Speaker 1: Israeli jets pounded southern Lebanon, and despite US concern over
Speaker 1: Israel's bombing campaign in Beirut, there were a series of
Speaker 1: strikes around the capitol. This comes a day after Hesbel
Speaker 1: avow to strike deeper inside Israel. The Israeli military says
Speaker 1: it's targeting Hesbel as strongholds, but there have been more
Speaker 1: than two thousand casualties and nearly eleven thousand wounded, many
Speaker 1: of them civilians.
Speaker 2: Wow.
Speaker 3: I was just thinking, this is listening to that because
Speaker 3: that's about Hesbelah and Lebanon, and the news today right
Speaker 3: now is all about Hamas in Gaza, and it looks
Speaker 3: like Sinwar has been killed, the leader of Amas and
Speaker 3: the mastermind of October seventh. And I was going to
Speaker 3: talk about the two front war or is it really
Speaker 3: a one front war against Iran? And soon that will
Speaker 3: be more obvious when Israel does attack Iran, which they're
Speaker 3: planning to do. That's why we thought we'd bring Mike
Speaker 3: Lyons in. He's our go to guy anything military. We
Speaker 3: catch him on CNN all the time. I follow his
Speaker 3: Twitter feed all the time and wanted to hear his opinion.
Speaker 3: First of all, Sinwar being dead. If that's true's good news.
Speaker 2: Hey Mike, Hey one of guys.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think so. It's not the end or anything
Speaker 4: of this. It's not that things will change there. There
Speaker 4: is others there within Hamas that will, you know, look
Speaker 4: to step up to take his place. But he's been
Speaker 4: the leader since I think twenty seventeen. You know, Hamas
Speaker 4: has got this you know, kind of set up where
Speaker 4: they run the military, they run the political side of things,
Speaker 4: They have elections, they do a lot of different things
Speaker 4: that you would think a terrorist organization wouldn't do on
Speaker 4: some level. But there'll be somebody to take his place.
Speaker 4: I think you're looking at there's a deputy leader. There's
Speaker 4: a guy named Sally Aurora. He was the deputy head
Speaker 4: there runs the West Bank operations. So he'll be the
Speaker 4: next one on the target, you know, Israel. It's kind
Speaker 4: of like next man up when it comes to this
Speaker 4: decapitation strategy. We saw what they did and let in
Speaker 4: the North with with Hesbelah taking out significant leadership. With
Speaker 4: the Pager operation. This is much more difficult, much more
Speaker 4: precision strikes. But this is a good start, but surely
Speaker 4: not over yet.
Speaker 3: Yeah, So the reason we wanted to have you on
Speaker 3: was the news came out yesterday that Israel is ready
Speaker 3: to attack Iran. They are going to attack Iran, and
Speaker 3: it is going to be before the election, So sometime
Speaker 3: in the next nineteen days. I would imagine sooner rather
Speaker 3: than later, because the closer you get to a presidential election,
Speaker 3: the more influence it would have on it.
Speaker 2: What do you.
Speaker 4: Expect to happen, Well, I think the administration is going
Speaker 4: to no longer put red lines on our allies, which
Speaker 4: is what they've been doing for the past few months.
Speaker 4: And we saw yesterday, now what it was, We saw
Speaker 4: the B two's coming from the US to drop bombs
Speaker 4: on the hoofties. I think that's a good sign. That's
Speaker 4: an indirect message to the Iranians to stop taking our
Speaker 4: threats lightly.
Speaker 2: Just since you brought that up, I just saw that headline.
Speaker 3: So that's the first time we had used our B
Speaker 3: two bombers are really big bombers in quite a while.
Speaker 3: That's a fairly significant thing, huh.
Speaker 4: It is, And and they go along way. Those are
Speaker 4: nuclear capable, not that we're going to drop a nuclear
Speaker 4: weapon on anybody over there, but it just it just
Speaker 4: reflects the level of weapon system that we've brought into
Speaker 4: the theater now that we're prepared to use. It's not
Speaker 4: just going to be these naval assets and and other places.
Speaker 4: So I think that's that's a we're good at sending messages.
Speaker 4: That sends a big message on a lot of levels.
Speaker 4: But I would take it a step further if if
Speaker 4: I'm the US president or the chiefest Staff, you're advising
Speaker 4: the president and you're meeting behind doors with bbing net
Speaker 4: and Yahoo right now, Look, this is a generational opportunity
Speaker 4: to take out the Iranian nuclear capability. And there's Reel
Speaker 4: has done this in the past. And if i'm if
Speaker 4: I'm I'm saying, look, we're all in. We'll we'll go
Speaker 4: ahead and light the way for you guys. We'll take
Speaker 4: out all the c ED we'll take out all your
Speaker 4: defense platforms. But you guys got to go accomplish that
Speaker 4: mission because the world will be a safer place when
Speaker 4: the Ranians aren't close to having nuclear weapons. We're traveling
Speaker 4: about you know, how close are they to break out?
Speaker 4: We're watching internal Iranians argue about the fought while that
Speaker 4: the Ayatola issue that they weren't produced nuclear weapons that's
Speaker 4: a bunch of garbage. I mean, obviously they're moving it forward.
Speaker 4: So I think this is the time, and I think
Speaker 4: there's a lot of things going to happen the next
Speaker 4: nineteen days before our election, and you're going to see
Speaker 4: this administration also come off, you know, the rains a
Speaker 4: little bit because they recognize that that's what most Americans want,
Speaker 4: and what they want to do is get re elected.
Speaker 4: This administration wants to get reelected. And I think that's
Speaker 4: what you're going to see, so less less red lines
Speaker 4: for Israel, going to see is reel kind of go forward.
Speaker 4: But they were going to go forward anyway. But I
Speaker 4: think you're going to see that happening.
Speaker 3: Wow, that's interesting. I didn't know that would be your take.
Speaker 3: I'm happy to hear it. So you think we would
Speaker 3: actually use some of our unique fire power to lay
Speaker 3: the groundwork for Israel's attack, In other words, we would
Speaker 3: be involved in the attack on Iran?
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think so. I think we would. You know,
Speaker 4: that would be a big step forward. Yeah, would for
Speaker 4: us to attack, Yeah, I mean, but I think you'd
Speaker 4: have tremendous support to do that. I think they they
Speaker 4: would be support within our country and with our politicians
Speaker 4: to do that. Not great Britain and France though, yeah,
Speaker 4: you know I saw that and where they are there
Speaker 4: they're struggling with their own you know, internal forces right now.
Speaker 4: But politically this would be the right move at this point.
Speaker 4: So again, they don't Israel doesn't need them, and Israel's
Speaker 4: going to have long memory about how they acted, especially
Speaker 4: in particularly the French. But with the Friends have done
Speaker 4: this before. I mean you look in history and sure
Speaker 4: the French haven't been The French haven't been a thing
Speaker 4: militarily since what April of nineteen thirty nine, I mean
Speaker 4: since then, since right before Dunkirk. You know, they're the
Speaker 4: greatest military ever in the world, and then you know,
Speaker 4: pretty much over a four day period that that went
Speaker 4: away and they haven't recovered since.
Speaker 2: So well, what was it?
Speaker 3: I don't know, you might know it. I read the
Speaker 3: Schwartz Cough quote about France the other day that going
Speaker 3: to war without France is like something going to something
Speaker 3: without a banjo or something.
Speaker 2: It's pretty funny.
Speaker 4: Yet, yeah, you know, so again you know, they pick
Speaker 4: at choose when they want to be in the game,
Speaker 4: and you know, so I don't think you know, Israel
Speaker 4: this roles Arise doesn't doesn't really care about it. The
Speaker 4: United States is the one that is superpower in the region,
Speaker 4: and Israel's acting like a superpower. Let's be clear, right,
Speaker 4: So here's a well Israel has nuclear weapons as well,
Speaker 4: but so that they act like a superpower. They're going
Speaker 4: after leadership, looking to decapitate. It's all air strikes, using
Speaker 4: tremendous intelligence assets, you know. So they're they're acting like
Speaker 4: a superpower in that region. And what I'm seeing too
Speaker 4: is other countries now Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and Egypt quietly
Speaker 4: so these other countries recognize the threat of Iran. They
Speaker 4: want Israel to take out the threat as well. In
Speaker 4: the United States. Now, I'm glad we're going after the Houthis.
Speaker 4: It's been a long time coming since since since we've
Speaker 4: had uh, you know, done something about that situation. So
Speaker 4: you know, I think you're going to see this stepped
Speaker 4: up reliance on de terrence we have as of right now,
Speaker 4: we have no deterrence that I see with Iran. Israel's
Speaker 4: going to re establish it and they're going to re
Speaker 4: establish it by hurting them pretty badly.
Speaker 3: Fantastic. I'm very excited about that. I grab the popcorn.
Speaker 3: I'll be watching that and it's got to happen in
Speaker 3: the next you know, nineteen days before we let you go.
Speaker 3: I want to switch to another spot because President Zelensky
Speaker 3: of Ukraine has laid out his peace plan or plan
Speaker 3: for ending the war. I guess he's calling it that
Speaker 3: includes giving up no Ukrainian territory. I don't know if
Speaker 3: he actually believes that or not, or if that's you know,
Speaker 3: your classic pegging the negotiations. This is where we'll start
Speaker 3: and go from there. But what do you think about
Speaker 3: where that is?
Speaker 4: I think he has to say that he has to
Speaker 4: start and go from there first of all. But and
Speaker 4: he'll be lucky to get some of that the coastal
Speaker 4: area back in the south there from from Russia, given
Speaker 4: what it occupies, given what it has occupied since Obama
Speaker 4: was president, and then when Joe Biden was president, they
Speaker 4: decided to go after it again. They've got maximust objectives
Speaker 4: that it still can't be accomplished militarily. I saw this
Speaker 4: morning also that the new NATO Secretary General speaking to
Speaker 4: the fact of you know, Ukraine will be a NATO
Speaker 4: country that's not going to help anybody. That's that's you know,
Speaker 4: we should just be quiet on that. But then you
Speaker 4: have Zelinski saying, well, we're going to develop nuclear weapons
Speaker 4: if we're not part of NATO, So they're using nuclear
Speaker 4: weapons as a way as defense mechanism. It's too late
Speaker 4: at this point. Let's let's you know, Russia will take
Speaker 4: some land back, primarily Crimea. They need Crimea for the
Speaker 4: Black Sea Fleet. Let's sop Ukraine gets some of that
Speaker 4: coastal area back, which is what it can use. But
Speaker 4: it looks like that part of the Dombas likely becomes
Speaker 4: part of Russia. You have a DMZ set up. We
Speaker 4: have a North and South Korea. The wall is up.
Speaker 4: Everybody's good because it's going to mean more conventional arms
Speaker 4: pouring into Europe and the US defence contractors are going
Speaker 4: to be happy about that.
Speaker 3: North Korea blowing up those roads between North Korea and
Speaker 3: South Korea, which was an odd move. Earlier in the week,
Speaker 3: he got China with some of the biggest military exercises
Speaker 3: around Taiwan they've ever done, still running their ships into
Speaker 3: Philippines navy vessels. There's a lot of hotspots around the world,
Speaker 3: kind of a global macro question for you is this,
Speaker 3: are we in more of the like this is what
Speaker 3: the world's always been like? Is period right now? And
Speaker 3: we kind of got lulled into a weird state of
Speaker 3: you know, things being calm there for a couple of
Speaker 3: decades when we were the superpower really establishing a global order.
Speaker 3: Is this was that more normal for the world or
Speaker 3: is this more normal for the world where we are
Speaker 3: right now?
Speaker 4: We got lolled into it a little bit, and it
Speaker 4: all has to do with we we've established, We've not
Speaker 4: established the terrence in these other countries we've allowed. Look
Speaker 4: with the Iranians, how much they were able to arm
Speaker 4: Hesbelah and how opt you see these pictures of those
Speaker 4: weapons caches, all those weapons are a clear a result
Speaker 4: of the Obama administration sending palace of cash to the
Speaker 4: Iranians to try to do a nuclear deal. So we
Speaker 4: again lost our way with the term, and so did Israel.
Speaker 4: Israel probably will never forgive itself for what happened on
Speaker 4: October seventh, because that was a tremendous lull and then
Speaker 4: in fact they got off to a very bad start
Speaker 4: as well in that war. We knew that they would
Speaker 4: recover but now that's why they're not stopping. They are,
Speaker 4: you know, very biblically. They're at this is this is
Speaker 4: how they're looking at this is his war. But I think,
Speaker 4: I think that in in Obama's administration, we lost our
Speaker 4: de terms. With Iron Trump as president for four years,
Speaker 4: he definitely acts tougher and acts more afraid, kind of
Speaker 4: goes the the Reagan way of de Terrens about speak softly,
Speaker 4: carry a big stick, and that crazy every once in
Speaker 4: a while, right, And then these last four years with
Speaker 4: with with Brydon and Corla Harris, I just don't know
Speaker 4: what's where they're going. They again they give red lines
Speaker 4: to our allies, which is a non starter. They we're
Speaker 4: telling Israel, we whip saw back and forth with Israel
Speaker 4: supporting them and not supporting this. And it's based on
Speaker 4: a voting block where in Michigan or Minnesota or someplace.
Speaker 4: I mean, it's just we've got to get back to
Speaker 4: what's important for the United States, what's important for our
Speaker 4: national security, and how we're going to project power. And
Speaker 4: I hope, hope we start doing that again.
Speaker 2: Appreciate you time to Mike today. Mike. I follow you
Speaker 2: all the time and other people should. At m a J.
Speaker 3: Mike Lines, Major Mike Lines, thanks for your time today
Speaker 3: and insight and all that stuff.
Speaker 4: Thanks. I seen that later. So hopefull cool.
Speaker 2: Ye tune it in Armstrong and Getty