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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named vest vetting podcast or radio

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Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the

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Speaker 1: number one show for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All Right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: We're growing in job spectacular.

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Speaker 2: I'm saying it's a cash totar.

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Speaker 3: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 3: go to win.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible.

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Speaker 3: Big bank, small bank.

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Speaker 2: I like to make money.

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Speaker 4: All right, this is the ultimate kbine you want to pull.

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Speaker 3: And we are underway.

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Speaker 2: Hello, everyone, Welcome back to another NFL Fantasy Flax episode

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Speaker 2: of the award winning Action Network podcast, presented by Bett MGM,

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Speaker 2: the official odds provider of the show. I'm Matthew Friedman,

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Speaker 2: the editor in chief of Fantasy Labs. In here with

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Speaker 2: me are Sean Corner and Chris Raybond. Sean is the

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Speaker 2: Action Network director of Predictive Analytics, and Chris is a

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Speaker 2: senior editor and analyst at the Action Network. There too

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Speaker 2: of the best, I'd say very best fantasy football rankers

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Speaker 2: in the world. In this episode, we're highlighting the players

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Speaker 2: at the top of our week fifteen rankings in the

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Speaker 2: Fantasy tool at Action Network. We were discussing the guys

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Speaker 2: we're high and low on and looking at how they

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Speaker 2: do in our Fantasy Labs models, and as always we're

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Speaker 2: speculating on some player props. Week fifteen. It feels good.

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Speaker 2: We're solidly in the fantasy playoffs. We're starting to get

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Speaker 2: those late season NFL games on Saturday. I love those.

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Speaker 2: When we reach that point in the season where I

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Speaker 2: see those games on the schedule, I know we are

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Speaker 2: almost home. Sean and Chris, congratulations to both of you

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Speaker 2: on getting your fantasy rankings in on time this week.

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Speaker 2: Looking forward to diving in to those in just a second. First,

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Speaker 2: I have a couple of notes. One, it's almost basketball season,

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Speaker 2: so we will be adjusting the podcast schedule. Next week.

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Speaker 2: We're having an NBA betting show for the Christmas Day slate.

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Speaker 2: We're also going to have a weekly NBA episode starting

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Speaker 2: in January. For college football fans. Stucking and Colin will

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Speaker 2: be releasing their annual five part preview breaking down every

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Speaker 2: single OWLD game, literally every game all the way to

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Speaker 2: the National Championship. And of course we will continue with

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Speaker 2: the Fantasy Flex every week to the Super Bowl. All

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Speaker 2: that is great, but it is not nearly as great

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Speaker 2: as the Action Network podcast Tournament of Champions presented by

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Speaker 2: bet MGM. It is a free tournament on Yahoo for listeners.

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Speaker 2: You can join by clicking the link in the show description.

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Speaker 2: Each week, the top ten finishers get over one thousand

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Speaker 2: dollars in Action Network prizes. In the top five advance

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Speaker 2: to the Wildcard Weekend Grand Finale, where their winner will

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Speaker 2: get a grand prize Las Vegas trip for two valued

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Speaker 2: at five thousand dollars courtesy of bet MGM. Again, listeners

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Speaker 2: can join for free every week. Click on the link

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Speaker 2: in the episode description to join. All right, gentlemen, let's

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Speaker 2: look at our fantasy rankings. Caveat to everyone, remembering we

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Speaker 2: are recording this early in the week. We have just

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Speaker 2: finished our rankings. I am sure that they will change,

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Speaker 2: but right now, the guys at the top of our

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Speaker 2: rankings we have Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Russell Wilson, Sean.

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Speaker 2: I am going to kick it to you first. Who

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Speaker 2: is a quarterback that you are high on? For Week fifteen.

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Speaker 5: It's time to get back on the Kyler Murray train.

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Speaker 5: He seems to be over this shoulder injury that he

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Speaker 5: suffered in week eleven. I mean, not only did it

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Speaker 5: limit his passing, you know he failed to throw for

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Speaker 5: over two hundred dards in weeks twelve and thirteen, but

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Speaker 5: it also seemed to limit his rushing. He failed to

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Speaker 5: clear twenty yards in weeks twelve thirteen as well. So

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Speaker 5: you know, last week it was pretty good to see

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Speaker 5: he threw for two hundred and forty four yards and

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Speaker 5: rushed for forty seven despite the blowout. So I think

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Speaker 5: this week against the Eagles, you know, we're more likely

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Speaker 5: to see his true overall number one ceiling here. So

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Speaker 5: I think at seven kN DK he certainly makes sense.

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Speaker 5: He's pretty easy to find a stacking partner and Andrew Hopkins,

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Speaker 5: so I think I'll have a lot more Kyler Murray

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Speaker 5: this week in GPPs than I have in the previous

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Speaker 5: few weeks. And then it goes about saying on the

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Speaker 5: other side of the ball that Jalen Hurts will be

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Speaker 5: a popular play at fifty nine hundred. The problem with

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Speaker 5: Hurts is it's going to be tough to find a

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Speaker 5: stacking partner for GPPs, So if I do use him,

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Speaker 5: I might be creative and just go with naked Hurts here,

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Speaker 5: because there's there's no way I'm telling who he's gonna

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Speaker 5: throw as one touchdown to but he has enough rushing upside.

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Speaker 5: I think he's worth playing a GPPs as well.

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Speaker 2: Sean, I am with you on Hurts embarrassingly. So right

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Speaker 2: now I'm looking at our rankings and I'm going to

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Speaker 2: have to adjust this, but that's it. I don't know

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Speaker 2: if I'm going to I just might be bold. I

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Speaker 2: have him number two overall, and it's I mean, it's

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Speaker 2: ridiculous to have him that high. But at the same time,

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Speaker 2: he had fifty percent of the Eagles carries last week. Now,

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Speaker 2: like that's not projectable moving forward, but even if you

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Speaker 2: bring that down to you know, like thirty percent, thirty

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Speaker 2: five percent, I mean, I think we're looking at a

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Speaker 2: quarterback who has great rushing ability and is sufficient enough

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Speaker 2: as a passer. And we've seen that before. That was

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Speaker 2: rookie year Lamar Jackson, that was rookie year Josh Allen,

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Speaker 2: and that player can be a top five fantasy quarterback.

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Speaker 2: And we saw that last week with one hundred and

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Speaker 2: six yards rushing for Jalen Hurts. So I know I'm

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Speaker 2: going to have to adjust this down, but I mean,

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Speaker 2: that's it, Like I feel like he's got to be

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Speaker 2: at least in the top six. But I mean, I

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Speaker 2: honestly don't feel horrible about him at number two, Like

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Speaker 2: I know that's ridiculously aggressive, but I think he belongs

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Speaker 2: because of the rushing ability. He belongs in the top

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Speaker 2: six for sure. Raybon, who are you high on?

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Speaker 6: I mean I thought I was high on Jalen Hurts,

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Speaker 6: but obviously you are much higher. I love, I'm high.

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Speaker 6: I'm hyeah yes, and strong with the naked Hurts. I mean,

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Speaker 6: there's just a lot to follow up here. But you know,

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Speaker 6: I think, you know, for cash games, I mean we've

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Speaker 6: not only seen this, you know, as you mentioned Freeman

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Speaker 6: with you know guy you know guys last year, but.

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Speaker 3: We've seen this with Taysom Hill.

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Speaker 6: I mean it's just guys who can run the football

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Speaker 6: at the quarterback position are just so much more valuable.

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Speaker 6: So Jalen Hurts love him. I think Ryan Tannehill is

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Speaker 6: a guy you could still look at, you know.

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Speaker 3: I know he's coming to some kind of.

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Speaker 6: So so weeks, but Detroit is thirtieth in past defense DVA.

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Speaker 6: Tannehill still has a ton of playmakers, and I think

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Speaker 6: this is another one of those weeks where you know,

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Speaker 6: this Tennessee offense is just going to score a ton

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Speaker 6: of points. Tannehill is an extremely high floor option because

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Speaker 6: you look at what he's done nineteen multi touchdown games

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Speaker 6: and twenty three starts as a tight end, just because

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Speaker 6: their red zone offense is so efficient. So you get

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Speaker 6: the high floor weekend week out, but you also get

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Speaker 6: a high ceiling just because of this offense and going

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Speaker 6: against a bottom tier Detroit defense. So like Tannehill as well,

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Speaker 6: but for cash games, I think Hurts is the right call.

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Speaker 2: All right, Chris, who are you low on at quarterback

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Speaker 2: for Week fifteen?

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Speaker 6: Looking at the you know, I think that a couple

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Speaker 6: of guys that stand out number one. You still have

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Speaker 6: Tom Brady kind of up in the top with seven

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Speaker 6: or eight.

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Speaker 3: You know, I think this Atlanta defense is improved.

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Speaker 6: You know, they've given up around twenty points per game

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Speaker 6: since bringhim Morris took over for Dan Quinn and we

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Speaker 6: saw Tampa Bay kind of come out of the break

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Speaker 6: and expected a little bit more against that Minnesota defense.

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Speaker 3: That didn't happen.

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Speaker 6: So he's one of those quarterbacks with lack of a

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Speaker 6: rushing rushing ability that I just wouldn't trust.

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Speaker 3: And Deshaun Watson as well.

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Speaker 6: I think, you know, he's got the rushing ability, so

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Speaker 6: you don't worry about him quite as much. But going

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Speaker 6: on the road against Indianapolis's defense, which I think is

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Speaker 6: kind of back to where it needs to be, Watson,

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Speaker 6: the lack of playmakers are just going to start to

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Speaker 6: you know, we knew it was going to start to

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Speaker 6: bite him. And I think this Colts defense is a

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Speaker 6: similar quality to the Chicago Bear defense, which gave Watson

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Speaker 6: a ton of problems last week. The Colts are number

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Speaker 6: six in pass defense Divio, which is actually better than

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Speaker 6: the Bears more number ten on defense, So a little

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Speaker 6: bit worried about DeShawn as well.

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Speaker 2: Sean, what are your thoughts here? Who are you low

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Speaker 2: on for week fifteen?

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Speaker 5: I'm low on two a time of byloa. He's fifty

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Speaker 5: seven hundred. I think people will be tempted to take

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Speaker 5: him at that price. He's coming off his best game

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Speaker 5: of the season, so his best game of his career,

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Speaker 5: you know. But he was forced to throw a ton

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Speaker 5: against the Chiefs and sort of comeback mode most of

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Speaker 5: the game. So he ended up with three hundred and

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Speaker 5: sixteen yards and three touchdowns. But more importantly, he potentially

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Speaker 5: lost Mike Gaseki for this week and beyond. It remains

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Speaker 5: to be seen if DeVante Parker or jackim Grant will

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Speaker 5: be able to play this week, So you know, he

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Speaker 5: sort of left with six to seven running back slash

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Speaker 5: wide receiver hybrids this week potentially, So I could just

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Speaker 5: see this being a very conservative game plan, closer to

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Speaker 5: the line of scrimmage, limiting his upside. And you know,

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Speaker 5: I think Bill Belichick may be able to come up

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Speaker 5: with a game plan that throws him off as well

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Speaker 5: and force him to make some murky mistakes. So I'm

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Speaker 5: just gonna be off of to despite, you know, encourage

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Speaker 5: what I saw last week that he can have that

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Speaker 5: ceiling game I've been waiting for. But this week I'll

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Speaker 5: be fading in DFS.

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Speaker 2: Okay, one guy, and I feel dirty even saying this,

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Speaker 2: But one guy I'm relatively low on is Patrick Mahomes

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Speaker 2: this week, and that means I have him as like

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Speaker 2: a mid range QB one instead of like an uber

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Speaker 2: elite top two quarterback this week, and you know, like

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Speaker 2: a good chance I'm probably just flat out wrong, Like

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Speaker 2: maybe there should just be a blanket rule that Mahomes

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Speaker 2: should always be ranked in the top two or top three,

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Speaker 2: and then you just kind of move on with your life.

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Speaker 2: But a lot of this has to do with the matchup.

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Speaker 2: The Saints are one of the top teams in past defense, Dvoa,

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Speaker 2: Mahomes is on the road, and opposing quarterbacks are number

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Speaker 2: twenty nine versus the Saints in fantasy scoring. So the

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Speaker 2: combination of those things and then looking at some of

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Speaker 2: the other quarterbacks in this slate, like Josh Allen, I

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Speaker 2: think I'd rather have of Josh Allen this week. You know,

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Speaker 2: Aaron Rodgers, Sewan, you mentioned Kyler Murray. There were just

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Speaker 2: other quarterbacks that I have just a little bit ahead

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Speaker 2: of Mahomes this week. So it's it's a dangerous it's

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Speaker 2: a dangerous kind of thing to be like, I'm fading

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Speaker 2: Mahomes this week because that's a surefire away to look

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Speaker 2: like a moron. But I'm just not as enthusiastic about

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Speaker 2: him this week as I am most weeks. Sean, you

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Speaker 2: are going to give us the quarterback prop everyone, be

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Speaker 2: sure to check out the Fantasy Labs player prop tool,

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Speaker 2: where the props with a bet quality of ten have

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Speaker 2: a sixty percent win rate over the past two years.

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Speaker 2: When player props are posted. You can bet them at

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Speaker 2: bet MGM. Sean give us the quarterback prop.

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Speaker 5: So we're sticking out with Jalen Hurts this week because

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Speaker 5: you know, I threw this out there last week. I

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Speaker 5: think it was in the high thirties, and if you

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Speaker 5: ended up with, say, forty five yards rushing, I would

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Speaker 5: just move on to the next guy. But he ran

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Speaker 5: for one hundred and eight yards against the Saints defense,

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Speaker 5: and now he faces the Cardinals this week, so we're

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Speaker 5: gonna have to re set his line here. It sounds

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Speaker 5: like I can't set it high enough for you two,

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Speaker 5: but I'm going to go with an over under of

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Speaker 5: sixty four and a half rushing yards.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I'm taking the over, you know, Like I

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Speaker 2: feel this is kind of like Lamar Jackson Territory, where

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Speaker 2: you know, last year it was impossible early in the

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Speaker 2: season for books to set the number high enough, and

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Speaker 2: they were, you know, step like gradually stepping it up,

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Speaker 2: but they were just getting killed on the over each week.

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Speaker 2: And I think that's just the way it is with

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Speaker 2: Jalen Hurts right now. Where I mean in Raybond, I

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Speaker 2: think talked about this on the show last week, where

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Speaker 2: pretty much every time the throw isn't there for him

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Speaker 2: right away, he's just pulling the ball down and taking

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Speaker 2: off and running like he's running on a ridiculous number

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Speaker 2: of his dropbacks. It's not even necessarily designed runs. So

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Speaker 2: as long as that is the case, you know I'm

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Speaker 2: going to be taking the over on his rushing prop.

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Speaker 4: Where do you have it at right now?

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Speaker 2: I mean, it's embarrassing. I don't want to say.

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Speaker 4: Is there an eight in front of it?

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Speaker 2: There's in front of it.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, I'll go over slightly.

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Speaker 3: I think it like, I think that's a high line.

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Speaker 6: But I have it around seventy and it's something I'll

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Speaker 6: probably have to fiddle with throughout the week.

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Speaker 3: But it's tough because you know, Friedman mentioned.

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Speaker 6: The scrambling ability, which I did talk about last week,

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Speaker 6: but I'm looking at his numbers now and he actually

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Speaker 6: did have ten design runs, so you know it's we

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Speaker 6: have a one game sample.

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Speaker 3: Size with him as a starting quarterback. He has ten

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Speaker 3: design runs.

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Speaker 6: Now, you know the scramble percentage on the year, he's

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Speaker 6: scrambling on about seventeen percent of his dropback So even

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Speaker 6: if the design runs drop because they're in more passing

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Speaker 6: situations than you expect the scrambles to rise. So I

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Speaker 6: think we can expect definitely double digit rush attempts. I

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Speaker 6: have him around thirteen right now. That's extremely high for

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Speaker 6: a quarterback. That's two more than I have for Lamar Jackson.

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Speaker 6: So yeah, I'm going over and he could go way over.

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Speaker 6: But yeah, it comes down to the fact that he's

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Speaker 6: scrambling on over fifteen percent of his dropbacks and he's

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Speaker 6: getting essentially like a third of the design runs, if

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Speaker 6: not more.

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Speaker 4: Yeah.

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Speaker 5: So I just saw if I give him thirteen and

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Speaker 5: a half carries as opposed to my ten and a half,

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Speaker 5: he jumps up to QB four.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Q three, that's what it is.

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Speaker 2: That's what it is.

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Speaker 5: Well to this day, still underestimate, you know, rushing stats

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Speaker 5: for quarterbacks, so and to be I don't really have

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Speaker 5: him doing much passing either, So it's so tight up

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Speaker 5: there that Yeah, if Freedman, if you have eighty yards rushing,

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Speaker 5: it's not too crazy to him right number two.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and it might be unreasonable to have him with

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Speaker 2: eightyish yards rushing, that's the real question. But I honestly

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Speaker 2: don't know if it is based on what we saw

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Speaker 2: out of him last week, and just based on what

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Speaker 2: we saw out of him in college, the type of

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Speaker 2: player he is, and what we've seen out of quarterbacks

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Speaker 2: who are similar to him and what they've done. I

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Speaker 2: don't know if it's that unrealistic.

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Speaker 5: Like his floor last week was getting benched for Wentz. Right,

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Speaker 5: that's gone now, So that that's why he's such a

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Speaker 5: high floor, high ceiling players, we don't at least for

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Speaker 5: this week. I don't think we have to worry about

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Speaker 5: him getting bench for Wentz.

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Speaker 2: All right, Let's let's look at the running backs at

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Speaker 2: the top of the Action Network rankings, and I'm going

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Speaker 2: to be looking at the half PPR number one. We

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Speaker 2: have Derrick Henry, number two, Dalvin Cook number three, Austin Eckler,

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Speaker 2: Raybaund Kicking it to you first year, who is a

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Speaker 2: running back or a couple of running backs for Week

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Speaker 2: fifteen that you were high on?

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Speaker 6: First of all, cam Akers obviously gets a huge jump.

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Speaker 6: You know, he's going against a tough Jets defense, but

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Speaker 6: you know the way he controlled that backfield against the Patriots.

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Speaker 6: You know, I think we have to start thinking about

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Speaker 6: him as a you know, a much like a kind

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Speaker 6: of an RB two ish you know, maybe RB one

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Speaker 6: kind of running back at this stage of the of

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Speaker 6: the game. I think also Ronald Jones, you know, if

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Speaker 6: he's healthy. You know, with Fournett getting scratched last week,

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Speaker 6: we'll see a lot more of Ronald Jones. Now he

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Speaker 6: did have he does have the finger issues, so maybe

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Speaker 6: that's not great for his you know, pat PPR ceiling

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Speaker 6: because you know, I thought he was gonna get more

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Speaker 6: catches last week. I bet the over run is one

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Speaker 6: and a half props, and of course the ends of

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Speaker 6: one reception. But you know, I think that was a

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Speaker 6: really good sign that for Nett, I was getting scratched,

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Speaker 6: you know, in favor of Jones, and he got an

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Speaker 6: eighty it's like eighty two percent of the carries last week,

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Speaker 6: So Ronald Jones as well.

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Speaker 2: Okay, I just I have to say. One, I was

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Speaker 2: scared that you might take Acres nor. I never go first.

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Speaker 2: I almost went first, just because I wanted to be

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Speaker 2: able to talk about Acres before either one of you

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Speaker 2: guys did. So. One, I should have listened to to

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Speaker 2: my my inner my inner self there. Two, I think

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Speaker 2: it looks like Ronald Jones has had a surgery on

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Speaker 2: his broken pinky. We don't know, I mean surgery, that

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Speaker 2: could kind of mean anything, and it doesn't seem as

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Speaker 2: if it was all that major of an injury. So

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Speaker 2: it looks like there's the possibility as of recording that

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Speaker 2: he could still play this week, but definitely something to

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Speaker 2: monitor there because if he doesn't play, then you know,

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Speaker 2: there are the question as to whether it's Learnd Fournette,

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Speaker 2: maybe Keishan Vaughn finally gets a shot, and who knows.

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Speaker 2: But let's talk about cam Akers. This is I have

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Speaker 2: him number four. I know that's ridiculous. I'm going to

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Speaker 2: have to adjust that down, but is it actually ridiculous.

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Speaker 2: He's a massive home favorite versus the Jets Raymond, as

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Speaker 2: you mentioned, he has totally seized control of the Rams backfield.

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Speaker 2: Over the past two weeks. He has basically been Derrick Henry. Like,

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Speaker 2: I know that sounds like a ridiculous exaggeration, but if

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Speaker 2: you look at what they've done over the past two weeks,

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Speaker 2: kam Akers has fifty carries, three receptions two hundred and

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Speaker 2: eighty eight yards. Derrick Henry has forty one carries, three

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Speaker 2: receptions two hundred and ninety one yards. I mean, almost

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Speaker 2: no one over the past two weeks and you could

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Speaker 2: even extend it out to three weeks, has really matched

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Speaker 2: the workload that Akers has had. And then given the matchup,

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Speaker 2: the situation as a home favorite, massive home favorite, I mean,

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Speaker 2: we could be looking at one hundred and twenty yards

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Speaker 2: in multiple touchdowns. Like that's aggressive, but that's well within

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Speaker 2: the realm of possibility given the situation. So I am

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Speaker 2: extremely bullish on cam Acres this week. It just feels like,

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Speaker 2: based on what has happened recently and the talent that

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Speaker 2: he has, this is a massive explosion spot Sean, who

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Speaker 2: are you high on and if you have thoughts on Acres,

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Speaker 2: definitely let us know.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I like the Acres call. I think he's safe

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Speaker 5: now because I think we can trust McVeigh, especially like

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Speaker 5: you said, this matchup, I don't see any reason why

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Speaker 5: he shouldn't see twenty plus carries. I think the Derrick

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Speaker 5: Henry analogy is spot on here because also, you know,

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Speaker 5: you can only project him for maybe one or two receptions,

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Speaker 5: so it's gonna basically all come from on the ground.

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Speaker 5: But this matchup, certainly, you know, I expect him to

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Speaker 5: break a hundred yards here. Again, so I love the call.

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Speaker 5: The one guy that sticks out to me on a

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Speaker 5: Tuesday morning is JD. Mcizick one, because I'm still projecting

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Speaker 5: Gibson to be out this week with his toe injury.

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Speaker 5: I think that was a multi week injury for him.

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Speaker 5: And now having said that, you know, mckizwick was way

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Speaker 5: more involved in the running game than I anticipated this

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Speaker 5: week without Gibson. He saw eleven carries for sixty eight

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Speaker 5: yards I believe it was, and Peyton Barber racked up

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Speaker 5: twelve carries, so it was a pretty even timeshare in

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Speaker 5: just the carries alone. But given you know they were

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Speaker 5: leading for most of that game and check down machine

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Speaker 5: Alex Smith was forced out, mckisick only ended up with

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Speaker 5: two catches. But you know, this week against Seattle, I

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Speaker 5: think this is going to be more of a mckiswick

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Speaker 5: game script to begin with. But you know, if he's

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Speaker 5: seeing this many carries as well, he's going to be

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Speaker 5: much more of a workhorse back than I realized in

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Speaker 5: this matchup against Seahawks. At fifty seven hundred, I love

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Speaker 5: him here. And the other guy, just real quick is

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Speaker 5: Matt Brida at four K and and in season long leagues,

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Speaker 5: you know he's he could be on the waiver wire

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Speaker 5: in some leagues. We don't really know how this Dolphins

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Speaker 5: depth chart is going to sort out this week, but

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Speaker 5: he could emerge from the rebel and become you know,

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Speaker 5: the workhorse back this week seeing what's up with Salvon

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Speaker 5: Ahmed and others. So you know, Brita is a guy

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Speaker 5: to not sleep on. He could end up being you know,

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Speaker 5: RB three flex in one of the most important weeks

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Speaker 5: in fantasy. So make sure he's not available until we

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Speaker 5: find out more.

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Speaker 2: Okay, Sean, I'm curious who you are low on, But

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Speaker 2: but before we get to that, I do want to

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Speaker 2: know who you're low on. I'm looking at the rankings

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Speaker 2: and one guy we've been high on for a good

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Speaker 2: chunk of the season, especially you Rayon Raymon.

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Speaker 4: You have.

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Speaker 2: James Robinson at number two, Sean, you have him at

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Speaker 2: number nine. I have him at number fourteen. He's you know,

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Speaker 2: the guy that I'm fairly low on at the position

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Speaker 2: this week. Sean, What are your thoughts on Robinson?

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Speaker 4: Oh?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I have him eight, and I always feel like

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Speaker 5: you can never rank him too high. He always exceeds expectations.

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Speaker 5: But this week at Baltimore that does seem like a

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Speaker 5: tough spot, and I think, you know, a guy like

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Speaker 5: Jonathan Taylor is now up above him, so I think

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Speaker 5: there's just other guys. Alvin Kamara another guy who I've ranked,

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Speaker 5: you know, in the lower RB one range, but now

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Speaker 5: is you know, back to being a borderlining top five back.

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Speaker 5: So I think there's just more competition. And Robinson has

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Speaker 5: dropped a bit in my rankings as a result. But

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Speaker 5: I tend to agree with Raybun and you know, just

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Speaker 5: being careful, you know, underestimating this guy. So he's still

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Speaker 5: in my top ten, but I don't disagree with your

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Speaker 5: logic on why he's outside of your top ten.

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Speaker 6: Freeman him number nine too, so we're probably just looking

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Speaker 6: at they might have not updated, like.

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Speaker 3: If you go on the sheet, he should be nine.

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Speaker 4: Okay, so that makes more sense.

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Speaker 3: Like last week was definitely disappointing.

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Speaker 6: He got a touchdown run call back on a silly

427
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Speaker 6: penalty by DJ Chark not covering up the tight end,

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Speaker 6: so you know it made his line with a lot worse.

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Speaker 6: But still, you know, this is extremely tough matchup against Baltimore, who,

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Speaker 6: by the way, is you know, they're a desperate team,

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Speaker 6: kind of fighting to get back in his playoff pitcher,

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Speaker 6: so you know they're not going to take it easy.

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Speaker 6: So yeah, he's at the kind of bottom of the

434
00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:11,600
Speaker 6: top ten, but still very startable in season one.

435
00:21:11,600 --> 00:21:13,439
Speaker 3: You're not You're not benching him or anything like that.

436
00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:15,119
Speaker 2: So Sean, who are you low one?

437
00:21:16,400 --> 00:21:18,919
Speaker 5: I'm low on James Connor this week, which is a

438
00:21:18,960 --> 00:21:22,280
Speaker 5: shame because you know, the Steelers face the Bengals, so

439
00:21:22,359 --> 00:21:24,399
Speaker 5: this this would be a great spot to lean on

440
00:21:24,480 --> 00:21:27,680
Speaker 5: James Connor. I still think he's a low one RB two,

441
00:21:28,680 --> 00:21:31,040
Speaker 5: but the Steelers just can't get the running game going.

442
00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:34,080
Speaker 5: So you know, Connor went for ten carriers and eighteen

443
00:21:34,119 --> 00:21:37,040
Speaker 5: yards in his return last week. What was even more

444
00:21:37,080 --> 00:21:39,800
Speaker 5: concerning was his lack of receiving work. He failed to

445
00:21:39,800 --> 00:21:42,240
Speaker 5: secure a pass and you know it looked like Jalen

446
00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:45,639
Speaker 5: Samuels is the main pass catching back now, so that

447
00:21:45,840 --> 00:21:50,080
Speaker 5: severely limits Connor's upside here. Just like I said, this

448
00:21:50,119 --> 00:21:52,639
Speaker 5: should be a smash spot for Connor, but he's a

449
00:21:52,720 --> 00:21:56,200
Speaker 5: you know, untrustworthy, low end RB two, So if if

450
00:21:56,440 --> 00:21:58,399
Speaker 5: you don't have any better options, you got to play him,

451
00:21:58,400 --> 00:22:00,960
Speaker 5: and you know he very well could put up RB

452
00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:02,920
Speaker 5: one numbers this week. It's just a shame that he's

453
00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:06,600
Speaker 5: going into this with so much uncertainty. And the other

454
00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:10,800
Speaker 5: guy is Damien Harris. You know, this is a situation

455
00:22:10,840 --> 00:22:12,480
Speaker 5: where we're gonna have to see what's up with his

456
00:22:12,560 --> 00:22:15,159
Speaker 5: back injury. But either way, Sony Michelle being back and

457
00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:19,040
Speaker 5: healthy could reduce his role anyway, And you know, Damien Harris,

458
00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:22,800
Speaker 5: his role is very just important to have that volume

459
00:22:22,840 --> 00:22:25,920
Speaker 5: to begin with. James White dominates the passing down work

460
00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:28,919
Speaker 5: and Cam Newton hoggs a lot of these goalline opportunities.

461
00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:31,800
Speaker 5: So Damian Harris kind of thrives on his ten to

462
00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:34,520
Speaker 5: fifteen carries he sees every week. So with that, with

463
00:22:34,800 --> 00:22:38,440
Speaker 5: that in Jeopardy especially Fantasy playoffs, he's a very low

464
00:22:38,840 --> 00:22:40,960
Speaker 5: you know, RB three flex play So I'd be very

465
00:22:40,960 --> 00:22:43,359
Speaker 5: careful with him and check the injury reports on his

466
00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:45,159
Speaker 5: back injury later in the week to see if we

467
00:22:45,200 --> 00:22:45,880
Speaker 5: can trust him.

468
00:22:46,080 --> 00:22:48,600
Speaker 2: And Sean to your point on James Connor, he has

469
00:22:48,680 --> 00:22:52,399
Speaker 2: popped up on the injury report apparently has an injured quad,

470
00:22:52,520 --> 00:22:55,080
Speaker 2: so something that he's you know, trying to play through.

471
00:22:55,560 --> 00:22:57,960
Speaker 2: Who knows if he actually even ends up playing this week,

472
00:22:58,000 --> 00:23:00,560
Speaker 2: and if he does, certainly will be lessed undred percent

473
00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:02,360
Speaker 2: and it looks like I mean, we've seen the effects

474
00:23:02,400 --> 00:23:06,480
Speaker 2: of that recently with his performance Raybond, who are you

475
00:23:06,560 --> 00:23:06,840
Speaker 2: low on?

476
00:23:07,560 --> 00:23:09,040
Speaker 3: He's got to be Todd Gurley.

477
00:23:09,600 --> 00:23:12,000
Speaker 6: I mean, not only is he going against the Bucks defense,

478
00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:14,639
Speaker 6: and I'll just extend this to any Falcons back, but

479
00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:17,240
Speaker 6: you know, going against the Bucks defense, they're allowing three

480
00:23:17,520 --> 00:23:20,080
Speaker 6: zero point oney eight yards per carrier running backs. That's

481
00:23:20,320 --> 00:23:22,840
Speaker 6: a half yard lower than any other defense in the

482
00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:25,160
Speaker 6: league is allowing. And then you look at you look

483
00:23:25,160 --> 00:23:28,920
Speaker 6: at Gurley's workload last week, just thirty two percent of

484
00:23:28,960 --> 00:23:33,480
Speaker 6: the backfield carries and thirty three percent of the.

485
00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:34,200
Speaker 3: Routes run per dropback.

486
00:23:34,320 --> 00:23:37,199
Speaker 6: So you know he's becoming a Westerer part of that

487
00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:39,760
Speaker 6: offense didn't really see him much in that second half

488
00:23:39,840 --> 00:23:43,120
Speaker 6: against the Chargers. And now you're going against the toughest defense.

489
00:23:43,119 --> 00:23:45,639
Speaker 6: So whether it's Gurley, whether he's benched, and you know,

490
00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:48,240
Speaker 6: we get news that like Edo Smith or Hill or

491
00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:50,480
Speaker 6: one of these guys is gonna play like it doesn't matter.

492
00:23:50,480 --> 00:23:53,399
Speaker 6: It's a tough matchup. But for Gurley, like I just

493
00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:54,920
Speaker 6: don't even think he's startable right now.

494
00:23:55,800 --> 00:24:00,639
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean absolutely agree. Painful for anyone who him,

495
00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:03,479
Speaker 2: you know, in the season long league. I mean, at

496
00:24:03,480 --> 00:24:06,840
Speaker 2: this point now you can't start him at all. Mentioned

497
00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:10,360
Speaker 2: earlier James Robinson. We touched on that tough matchup for him,

498
00:24:10,359 --> 00:24:13,800
Speaker 2: and you know, a big road underdog. A ton of

499
00:24:13,840 --> 00:24:16,879
Speaker 2: respect for him, but it's just it's hard to be

500
00:24:17,040 --> 00:24:19,120
Speaker 2: on a guy who's on a road dog that's implied

501
00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:22,960
Speaker 2: for fewer than seventeen points. Sean give us the prop

502
00:24:23,080 --> 00:24:23,760
Speaker 2: for running back.

503
00:24:24,760 --> 00:24:29,719
Speaker 5: I mentioned him earlier, but Jonathan Taylor gets you know,

504
00:24:29,800 --> 00:24:32,240
Speaker 5: he's on fire right now. It certainly looks like he's

505
00:24:32,240 --> 00:24:35,320
Speaker 5: adjusted to this be the NFL back, to being the

506
00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:37,960
Speaker 5: top five back I thought he could be. But he

507
00:24:38,000 --> 00:24:40,200
Speaker 5: faces the Texans this week, so this is a smash

508
00:24:40,200 --> 00:24:42,960
Speaker 5: spot for him as well. I'm curious for you guys

509
00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:46,399
Speaker 5: have his rushing yards. I'm going to set this line

510
00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:50,000
Speaker 5: at over under seventy four and a half rushing yards.

511
00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:55,040
Speaker 2: I should be on the over, but I'm not. I'm

512
00:24:55,119 --> 00:24:58,359
Speaker 2: just under. I have this around seventy two and a half.

513
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:03,240
Speaker 2: But honestly, I feel as if I haven't adjusted his

514
00:25:03,240 --> 00:25:07,600
Speaker 2: his recent production up enough, or like his recent usage

515
00:25:07,680 --> 00:25:10,240
Speaker 2: up enough. So this is something I might come back to,

516
00:25:10,320 --> 00:25:12,080
Speaker 2: but right now, I will take the under.

517
00:25:12,760 --> 00:25:13,400
Speaker 3: I'm going over.

518
00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:16,200
Speaker 6: This is a great spot form as we mentioned Sean,

519
00:25:16,240 --> 00:25:18,840
Speaker 6: and I think looking at his last three games, he's

520
00:25:18,840 --> 00:25:23,520
Speaker 6: had twenty thirteen and twenty two carries. That is, you know,

521
00:25:23,880 --> 00:25:27,560
Speaker 6: very promising and like sixty nine, fifty four and seventy

522
00:25:27,600 --> 00:25:30,640
Speaker 6: one percent of the backfield carries. So that means you're

523
00:25:30,680 --> 00:25:33,080
Speaker 6: going to project them for six out of ten or

524
00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:36,199
Speaker 6: or you know, closer to two thirds of the of

525
00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:37,840
Speaker 6: the carries every week. And then you look at Euston's

526
00:25:37,880 --> 00:25:40,600
Speaker 6: run defense and remember this is we talked about this

527
00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:42,760
Speaker 6: going into last week with David Montgomery and one of

528
00:25:42,800 --> 00:25:44,120
Speaker 6: the what's the first thing he does in a game

529
00:25:44,160 --> 00:25:44,680
Speaker 6: like pop off?

530
00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:45,840
Speaker 3: Like an eighty yard run.

531
00:25:46,440 --> 00:25:50,159
Speaker 6: Houston is allowing five point three six yards per carry

532
00:25:50,160 --> 00:25:52,760
Speaker 6: two running backs. That is last in the league by

533
00:25:52,840 --> 00:25:56,720
Speaker 6: point three to six, even worse than Dallas, who's coached

534
00:25:56,720 --> 00:26:01,240
Speaker 6: by Mike No run defense Nolan. So this Houston defense

535
00:26:01,320 --> 00:26:03,159
Speaker 6: is exactly the defense that you want to be starting

536
00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:05,160
Speaker 6: running backs against in a fantasy playoffs.

537
00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:08,439
Speaker 2: All right, yeah, this is it's a smash spot. I

538
00:26:08,520 --> 00:26:10,720
Speaker 2: wish my projection for better. I should have taken the over.

539
00:26:11,119 --> 00:26:13,440
Speaker 7: Hope you're enjoying this great action network podcast. I want

540
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:16,040
Speaker 7: to make sure you know about the Locked On podcast network.

541
00:26:16,080 --> 00:26:19,000
Speaker 7: Locked On as a daily podcast on your favorite team.

542
00:26:19,119 --> 00:26:20,840
Speaker 4: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers.

543
00:26:20,920 --> 00:26:22,960
Speaker 3: You are locked onn of the Dallas marriage Welcome everybody

544
00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:25,160
Speaker 3: for the Lockdown Lakers podcast. Let's go.

545
00:26:25,440 --> 00:26:28,360
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546
00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:30,600
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549
00:26:41,560 --> 00:26:45,919
Speaker 2: Okay, let's talk about the wide receivers and the guys

550
00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:49,400
Speaker 2: at the top of our half PPR rankings right now,

551
00:26:49,520 --> 00:26:54,440
Speaker 2: DeVante Adams, Tyreek Kill, Calvin Ridley. I'm going first. I'm

552
00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:57,320
Speaker 2: going first, Calvin Ridley. I have him number one, which

553
00:26:57,440 --> 00:27:00,760
Speaker 2: is aggressive, but I'm assuming no Julio Jones because of

554
00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:03,560
Speaker 2: the hamstring injury. He didn't practice at all last week

555
00:27:03,680 --> 00:27:06,480
Speaker 2: and so I'm, you know, kind of skeptical that he's

556
00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:08,439
Speaker 2: going to play this week. So right now, projecting he

557
00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:10,960
Speaker 2: does not play, I think that means Ridley gets a

558
00:27:11,000 --> 00:27:13,959
Speaker 2: ton of targets and I'm not sure that Carlton Davis

559
00:27:14,000 --> 00:27:16,600
Speaker 2: can keep up with him. Now, Davis is a good cornerback,

560
00:27:16,640 --> 00:27:20,960
Speaker 2: but we saw him get absolutely decimated by Tyreek Hill.

561
00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:24,320
Speaker 2: And that's not to say that Ridley is like Tyreek Hill,

562
00:27:24,760 --> 00:27:30,280
Speaker 2: but I think he's faster than Carlton Davis, faster as

563
00:27:30,320 --> 00:27:33,760
Speaker 2: a wide receiver than what Carlton Davis typically deals with.

564
00:27:33,960 --> 00:27:36,840
Speaker 2: So I still think it's an okay situation for him.

565
00:27:36,880 --> 00:27:39,159
Speaker 2: And really this is all about the volume. In his

566
00:27:39,240 --> 00:27:42,480
Speaker 2: five career games without Julio, Ridley has ten point eight

567
00:27:42,520 --> 00:27:45,560
Speaker 2: targets per game and one hundred and two point two yards.

568
00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:49,000
Speaker 2: In his sixteen career games with eight targets, and this

569
00:27:49,080 --> 00:27:52,200
Speaker 2: is coming from a tweet by old friend Ian Hargitz.

570
00:27:52,520 --> 00:27:56,040
Speaker 2: In sixteen career games with eight plus targets, Ridley has

571
00:27:56,600 --> 00:28:00,280
Speaker 2: sixteen hundred and seventy nine yards and fifteen touchdowns. I

572
00:28:00,280 --> 00:28:03,240
Speaker 2: think Ridley is as long as Julio is out, is

573
00:28:03,440 --> 00:28:07,200
Speaker 2: very likely to have at least a floor of eight targets.

574
00:28:08,080 --> 00:28:11,040
Speaker 2: And with that we've just seen him historically crush. So

575
00:28:11,240 --> 00:28:14,399
Speaker 2: even with the tough matchup going against the Buccaneers, I

576
00:28:14,520 --> 00:28:16,679
Speaker 2: still think it's a pretty good spot for him. So

577
00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:21,000
Speaker 2: I am on Ridley all over this week as long

578
00:28:21,400 --> 00:28:25,439
Speaker 2: as he is playing without Julio Jones, Sean, who do

579
00:28:25,520 --> 00:28:26,600
Speaker 2: you like this week?

580
00:28:27,600 --> 00:28:31,359
Speaker 5: I really like brand Ayuk this week and going forward

581
00:28:32,160 --> 00:28:35,560
Speaker 5: with Deebo Samuel out for potentially the rest of the season,

582
00:28:35,680 --> 00:28:37,879
Speaker 5: So I think I was going to be a target

583
00:28:37,880 --> 00:28:40,840
Speaker 5: monster this week at Dallas. You know, he saw sixteen

584
00:28:40,880 --> 00:28:43,560
Speaker 5: targets last week for ten catches and one hundred and

585
00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:47,200
Speaker 5: nineteen yards. So he's wide receiver sixteen for me, and

586
00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:49,680
Speaker 5: I feel like I'm holding back on his projections a bit.

587
00:28:50,080 --> 00:28:52,360
Speaker 5: Who knows, later in the week he may crack the

588
00:28:52,360 --> 00:28:52,880
Speaker 5: top twelve.

589
00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:53,320
Speaker 4: I'll see.

590
00:28:54,120 --> 00:28:58,080
Speaker 5: And the other guy is Tyrone Johnson, you know, potentially

591
00:29:00,160 --> 00:29:04,520
Speaker 5: receiver three flex play this week against the Raiders. Well,

592
00:29:04,520 --> 00:29:06,520
Speaker 5: we'll have to see. But Mike Williams, you know he

593
00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:09,840
Speaker 5: was he had to leave the game early due to

594
00:29:09,840 --> 00:29:13,000
Speaker 5: a back injury. I think the fact that the Chargers

595
00:29:13,040 --> 00:29:17,440
Speaker 5: play on Thursday increases the chances Mike Williams won't be

596
00:29:17,480 --> 00:29:20,520
Speaker 5: ready this week. So Tyron Johnson, you know, he looked

597
00:29:20,520 --> 00:29:24,200
Speaker 5: really you know, he's looked good all season, just as

598
00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:25,960
Speaker 5: the deep threat. It seems like every other week he

599
00:29:26,000 --> 00:29:29,560
Speaker 5: catches one pass for fifty yards. But when he replaced

600
00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:33,160
Speaker 5: Mike Williams, he ran a very complete route tree. He

601
00:29:33,280 --> 00:29:36,800
Speaker 5: saw six catches for fifty to five yards and a touchdown.

602
00:29:36,880 --> 00:29:38,960
Speaker 5: So I think this is a great spot against the Raiders.

603
00:29:39,200 --> 00:29:42,000
Speaker 5: I think Justin Herbert's gonna bounce back in Tyron Johnson,

604
00:29:42,320 --> 00:29:44,960
Speaker 5: you know, he has a super high ceiling. So you know,

605
00:29:45,040 --> 00:29:48,239
Speaker 5: if you're an underdog in your fancy playoffs and you

606
00:29:48,320 --> 00:29:50,800
Speaker 5: just need to dart throw at wide receiver, you could

607
00:29:50,800 --> 00:29:53,000
Speaker 5: certainly do worse than him in deeper leagues. But again,

608
00:29:53,040 --> 00:29:54,840
Speaker 5: we'll have to see if Mike Williams is ruled out,

609
00:29:54,880 --> 00:29:57,600
Speaker 5: but I think he's worth just a bench stash for

610
00:29:57,640 --> 00:30:00,960
Speaker 5: now until we find out Raybond.

611
00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:02,080
Speaker 2: Who are you high on?

612
00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:08,120
Speaker 6: So going back to targeting the Texans defense, this time

613
00:30:08,160 --> 00:30:11,480
Speaker 6: with t Y Hilton. Hilton finally starting to come alive

614
00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:14,320
Speaker 6: late in the season, which is good to see, but

615
00:30:14,560 --> 00:30:17,360
Speaker 6: we know he was playing Houston. Now he probably was

616
00:30:17,360 --> 00:30:19,440
Speaker 6: playing Houston a little more in their building that we're

617
00:30:19,480 --> 00:30:22,080
Speaker 6: in Indianapolis, But either way, you're not going to have

618
00:30:22,400 --> 00:30:26,400
Speaker 6: weather concerns. In seventeen career games against the Houston Texans,

619
00:30:26,440 --> 00:30:30,200
Speaker 6: Hilton's averaging five point five catches for ninety seven yards

620
00:30:30,640 --> 00:30:34,040
Speaker 6: and point sixty five touchdowns per game. And this is

621
00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:39,400
Speaker 6: a very exploitable Texans defense. They're giving up the sixth

622
00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:42,560
Speaker 6: most schedule adjusted receiving yards per game to number one

623
00:30:42,600 --> 00:30:47,240
Speaker 6: wideouts at eighty two, and they ranked thirty first against

624
00:30:47,280 --> 00:30:49,760
Speaker 6: the position. If you want to consider Hilton the number

625
00:30:49,760 --> 00:30:51,720
Speaker 6: two and Pittman the number one, well, Houston on the

626
00:30:51,760 --> 00:30:54,680
Speaker 6: ranks thirtieth against number two wide receivers.

627
00:30:54,920 --> 00:30:56,160
Speaker 3: This is just a bad defense.

628
00:30:56,760 --> 00:31:00,600
Speaker 6: So I have Hilton finally inside the top thirty again

629
00:31:00,640 --> 00:31:00,959
Speaker 6: this year.

630
00:31:00,960 --> 00:31:02,280
Speaker 3: I think you could start him as a wide receiver.

631
00:31:02,360 --> 00:31:02,680
Speaker 4: Three.

632
00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:07,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean the Texans without number one cornerback Bradley Roby,

633
00:31:07,760 --> 00:31:11,600
Speaker 2: and then also without their top perimeter backup in Philip Gaines.

634
00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:15,600
Speaker 2: So they are especially thin at the cornerback position right now.

635
00:31:15,680 --> 00:31:18,840
Speaker 2: And one of the things I always love is after

636
00:31:19,120 --> 00:31:22,320
Speaker 2: like this happens without a question, Like every time after

637
00:31:22,400 --> 00:31:25,560
Speaker 2: t Y Hilton plays the Texans, someone will go into

638
00:31:25,560 --> 00:31:29,000
Speaker 2: Wikipedia and change his profile and say that he's the

639
00:31:29,040 --> 00:31:34,200
Speaker 2: owner of the Houston Texans. It's simple, but so good.

640
00:31:35,560 --> 00:31:38,520
Speaker 2: All right, Raybon, totally with you there on the Hilton call.

641
00:31:38,640 --> 00:31:41,920
Speaker 2: Who is someone that you are low on for Week fifteen?

642
00:31:44,080 --> 00:31:49,040
Speaker 6: So I'm still gonna go with I still think DeAndre

643
00:31:49,160 --> 00:31:51,960
Speaker 6: Hopkins at the fourth highest priced wide receivers a little

644
00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:54,600
Speaker 6: bit high, you know. I know Philly's had their struggle

645
00:31:54,600 --> 00:31:56,840
Speaker 6: with lately covering some of the top wide receivers, but

646
00:31:56,880 --> 00:31:59,080
Speaker 6: Hoskins has just been so you know, up and down

647
00:31:59,080 --> 00:32:00,600
Speaker 6: this year. Like he'll give you game like he had

648
00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:02,760
Speaker 6: last week against the Giants for you know, nine for one,

649
00:32:02,880 --> 00:32:05,400
Speaker 6: thirty six, but he's also given us a lot of

650
00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:09,360
Speaker 6: kind of shaky, you know, barely getting to double digit

651
00:32:09,440 --> 00:32:09,840
Speaker 6: points in.

652
00:32:10,240 --> 00:32:11,760
Speaker 3: PPR type of situation.

653
00:32:11,920 --> 00:32:15,040
Speaker 6: So I think that's a little bit high for Hopkins

654
00:32:15,120 --> 00:32:19,160
Speaker 6: there at at the fourth highest priced receiver.

655
00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:21,360
Speaker 2: All Right, Seohn, who are you low on?

656
00:32:21,960 --> 00:32:24,200
Speaker 5: I mean, I wouldn't say I'm low on DK Metcalf

657
00:32:24,240 --> 00:32:27,520
Speaker 5: because he's my wide receerver five, but certainly in DFS,

658
00:32:28,320 --> 00:32:32,880
Speaker 5: nothing terrifies me more than fading DK Metcalf in GPPs.

659
00:32:32,960 --> 00:32:36,120
Speaker 5: But I think this week at eighty six hundred against

660
00:32:36,320 --> 00:32:40,200
Speaker 5: the Washington football team, I think it is warranted. I'm

661
00:32:40,240 --> 00:32:42,600
Speaker 5: just a bit worried about Russell Wilson in this matchup.

662
00:32:42,920 --> 00:32:45,360
Speaker 5: Chase Young is playing out of his freaking mind right now,

663
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:48,360
Speaker 5: so I think this is a game where Wilson could

664
00:32:48,360 --> 00:32:51,280
Speaker 5: potentially be sacked four to six times, so he might

665
00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:53,680
Speaker 5: not have the time he needs to you know, hit

666
00:32:53,760 --> 00:32:56,280
Speaker 5: Metcalf for a couple of deep balls. Here could be

667
00:32:56,320 --> 00:32:59,960
Speaker 5: a more quick passing attack. Maybe Tyler Lockett gets more involved.

668
00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:02,480
Speaker 5: But I think if I had to pick one week

669
00:33:02,800 --> 00:33:05,600
Speaker 5: to fay DK, Matt Chaffin be this week. But if

670
00:33:05,600 --> 00:33:07,520
Speaker 5: he goes for ten catches and one hundred and fift yards

671
00:33:07,520 --> 00:33:10,440
Speaker 5: and two touchdowns, I will be the least surprised person

672
00:33:10,520 --> 00:33:14,320
Speaker 5: on Earth. And then the Rams receivers Cooper Cup and

673
00:33:14,440 --> 00:33:17,640
Speaker 5: Robert Woods, I'll probably be faitting them as well. They're

674
00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:21,560
Speaker 5: both around seven K and you know they're typically, you know,

675
00:33:21,600 --> 00:33:23,560
Speaker 5: one of the highest four ceiling combos in the league.

676
00:33:23,600 --> 00:33:26,560
Speaker 5: I love playing in them in DFS. But you know,

677
00:33:26,640 --> 00:33:29,920
Speaker 5: this week against the Jets you've talked about Freeman, I

678
00:33:29,960 --> 00:33:32,200
Speaker 5: could see the game plan just being let's get cam

679
00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:35,960
Speaker 5: Akers the ball and move on to Seattle next week.

680
00:33:36,000 --> 00:33:38,600
Speaker 5: So I don't think they're going to want to be

681
00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:41,480
Speaker 5: too creative and give anything away against their their huge

682
00:33:41,480 --> 00:33:43,840
Speaker 5: matchup against Seattle in week sixteen. So this could be

683
00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:47,120
Speaker 5: a pretty vanilla run heavy, just boring offense this week.

684
00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:49,920
Speaker 5: So I'll be staying away from Cooper Cup and Robert Woods.

685
00:33:50,360 --> 00:33:53,000
Speaker 2: Okay, one guy I am low on and I'm all

686
00:33:53,040 --> 00:33:55,360
Speaker 2: just be honest. I'm perpetually low on him, Like we've

687
00:33:55,400 --> 00:33:57,880
Speaker 2: talked about him for years on the show Keenan Allen

688
00:33:58,200 --> 00:33:59,920
Speaker 2: just always low on him. I have to admit he

689
00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:03,400
Speaker 2: has a great matchup on Thursday Night Football, going against

690
00:34:03,440 --> 00:34:07,400
Speaker 2: the Raiders in general and then LaMarcus Joiner in particular

691
00:34:07,480 --> 00:34:10,640
Speaker 2: in the slot. Great matchup. It just the splits with

692
00:34:10,680 --> 00:34:14,720
Speaker 2: Eckler are concerning. Without Eckler this year, He's had eighty

693
00:34:14,719 --> 00:34:17,920
Speaker 2: four point seven yards per game, point eight three touchdowns

694
00:34:17,960 --> 00:34:20,799
Speaker 2: per game. With Eckler, those numbers dropped to sixty six

695
00:34:20,800 --> 00:34:24,719
Speaker 2: point seven yards and point four to three touchdowns. Since

696
00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:28,399
Speaker 2: Eckler returned in Week twelve, Eckler has a twenty three

697
00:34:28,560 --> 00:34:32,080
Speaker 2: percent target chair. Alan has a twenty two percent target share.

698
00:34:32,080 --> 00:34:35,279
Speaker 2: He's being out targeted by the running back on the team.

699
00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:39,200
Speaker 2: Before Eckler's return, Alan had a target share above thirty percent.

700
00:34:39,640 --> 00:34:44,400
Speaker 2: So because he's not targeted downfield, Alan really needs heavy

701
00:34:44,440 --> 00:34:47,440
Speaker 2: target volume and with a reduced market share, I just

702
00:34:47,520 --> 00:34:49,160
Speaker 2: I have to knock him down. He's still a wide

703
00:34:49,200 --> 00:34:52,440
Speaker 2: receiver to he could still have a great week. But

704
00:34:52,520 --> 00:34:55,799
Speaker 2: I just feel without that unreal target volume that he

705
00:34:55,920 --> 00:34:59,160
Speaker 2: was getting with Eckler on the sideline, he has a

706
00:34:59,200 --> 00:35:02,960
Speaker 2: lower ceiling then he probably then he previously had. So

707
00:35:03,960 --> 00:35:06,279
Speaker 2: that's that's my take on Alan, and I look forward

708
00:35:06,280 --> 00:35:09,719
Speaker 2: to being very wrong. On Thursday night, Sean give us

709
00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:11,640
Speaker 2: the player prop for Wider's years.

710
00:35:12,920 --> 00:35:15,799
Speaker 5: I'm gonna go with aj Brown because I seem like

711
00:35:15,840 --> 00:35:18,960
Speaker 5: I'm low on his receiving yards almost every single week,

712
00:35:19,520 --> 00:35:22,719
Speaker 5: and it's burned me on fancy pros, you know, the

713
00:35:22,800 --> 00:35:26,440
Speaker 5: ranking contest. So this week, you know, they face Detroit.

714
00:35:26,480 --> 00:35:30,200
Speaker 5: They're huge favorites. I'm not expecting much volume, but I'm

715
00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:32,480
Speaker 5: still expecting him to go off. So I'm curious to

716
00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:34,680
Speaker 5: hear where you guys are on his receiving yards. But

717
00:35:34,800 --> 00:35:37,239
Speaker 5: right now I have him at seventy six and a half.

718
00:35:38,040 --> 00:35:40,160
Speaker 2: I will take the over, but I have it at

719
00:35:40,200 --> 00:35:43,600
Speaker 2: seventy nine and a half, so really really close.

720
00:35:44,400 --> 00:35:46,239
Speaker 6: Yeah, I'll go over too, but I have it at

721
00:35:46,280 --> 00:35:49,040
Speaker 6: seventy nine, so that's right, that's right where you expect.

722
00:35:49,040 --> 00:35:51,040
Speaker 6: I think Detroit, you know, as much as I like,

723
00:35:51,920 --> 00:35:55,320
Speaker 6: I can't ever say this guy's name, but o Waria

724
00:35:55,719 --> 00:35:58,000
Speaker 6: at their corner. I don't think he's gonna be able

725
00:35:58,000 --> 00:36:02,440
Speaker 6: to cover aj Brown. Their number twenty four in dvoaversus

726
00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:05,880
Speaker 6: number one receivers. They are twenty fourth in schedule adjusted

727
00:36:05,960 --> 00:36:08,520
Speaker 6: yards allowed to number one at seventy five per game,

728
00:36:08,600 --> 00:36:10,759
Speaker 6: So right in that range, in at seventy five to

729
00:36:10,800 --> 00:36:13,880
Speaker 6: eighty range, I think is where you'd expect most receivers

730
00:36:13,880 --> 00:36:17,360
Speaker 6: against Detroit and their thirtieth in past DVOA.

731
00:36:17,520 --> 00:36:19,120
Speaker 3: So with Brown, it's you know.

732
00:36:19,040 --> 00:36:22,000
Speaker 6: He's gonna he usually makes these big plays after the catch,

733
00:36:22,080 --> 00:36:25,120
Speaker 6: so like even when he gets four receptions, it's not

734
00:36:25,200 --> 00:36:27,280
Speaker 6: it doesn't necessarily mean that he's gonna have like forty

735
00:36:27,360 --> 00:36:28,080
Speaker 6: or fifty yards.

736
00:36:28,080 --> 00:36:30,120
Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm going closer to eighty.

737
00:36:31,680 --> 00:36:34,399
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Speaker 8: And now back to the show.

756
00:37:27,960 --> 00:37:30,640
Speaker 2: All right, let's talk about the tight ends. And I

757
00:37:30,640 --> 00:37:33,799
Speaker 2: would say normalcy has kind of re established itself now

758
00:37:33,800 --> 00:37:36,799
Speaker 2: that Mark Andrews is back and healthy. So at the

759
00:37:36,800 --> 00:37:41,080
Speaker 2: top three we have Kelsey Waller, Mark Andrews. I don't

760
00:37:41,080 --> 00:37:44,799
Speaker 2: think any any big surprises there, Raybon, who are you

761
00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:46,160
Speaker 2: high on? At tight end?

762
00:37:46,680 --> 00:37:49,560
Speaker 3: So I think still TJ.

763
00:37:49,640 --> 00:37:52,440
Speaker 6: Hockinson is a guy that you know, you look at

764
00:37:52,440 --> 00:37:55,399
Speaker 6: the pricing on draftings, and Kelsey's way up there.

765
00:37:55,440 --> 00:37:57,200
Speaker 3: So love Andrews.

766
00:37:57,200 --> 00:37:59,959
Speaker 6: But then Hockinson kind of coming in third, and I thought,

767
00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:02,640
Speaker 6: I think there's a big drop off after that. So,

768
00:38:02,880 --> 00:38:06,680
Speaker 6: like Hockinson going against the Tennessee Titans, you look at

769
00:38:06,680 --> 00:38:10,760
Speaker 6: the last few games, it's eleven targets, nine targets, eight targets,

770
00:38:10,760 --> 00:38:14,520
Speaker 6: seven targets, four and then eight and ten. So, like

771
00:38:14,920 --> 00:38:17,120
Speaker 6: even you know, whether it's been with Patricia, whether it's

772
00:38:17,160 --> 00:38:21,680
Speaker 6: been with Darryl Bevell, we've seen Hockinson consistently put up numbers.

773
00:38:22,360 --> 00:38:25,799
Speaker 6: I think, you know, regardless of the quarterback situation, I

774
00:38:25,800 --> 00:38:28,320
Speaker 6: think he's gonna be a guy that you have to target.

775
00:38:28,360 --> 00:38:29,239
Speaker 3: And Tennessee.

776
00:38:29,320 --> 00:38:31,480
Speaker 6: You know, you're going against Tennessee, which we just kind

777
00:38:31,480 --> 00:38:33,440
Speaker 6: of mentioned, is a team that can put up a

778
00:38:33,440 --> 00:38:36,120
Speaker 6: ton of points, and so what you may get from

779
00:38:36,160 --> 00:38:40,680
Speaker 6: this matchup is a situation where Detroit is playing from behind,

780
00:38:41,080 --> 00:38:43,080
Speaker 6: and that could equal like a lot of garbage time

781
00:38:43,400 --> 00:38:46,839
Speaker 6: easy targets for the Titans, who rank dead we ast

782
00:38:46,960 --> 00:38:50,839
Speaker 6: thirty second in DVOA against tight ends Son.

783
00:38:51,000 --> 00:38:51,920
Speaker 2: How do you like this week?

784
00:38:52,680 --> 00:38:56,080
Speaker 5: I think Logan Thomas is pretty sneaky at four K

785
00:38:56,360 --> 00:38:58,640
Speaker 5: against the Seahawks this week. I think, you know, people

786
00:38:58,719 --> 00:39:03,120
Speaker 5: might fade him because they're innticipating Jamal Adams coverage, but

787
00:39:03,680 --> 00:39:06,120
Speaker 5: you know he still has one of the safest tight

788
00:39:06,200 --> 00:39:09,560
Speaker 5: end floors you know in DFS. He typically runs a

789
00:39:09,600 --> 00:39:13,640
Speaker 5: route on ninety percent of Washington's pass plays, you know,

790
00:39:13,800 --> 00:39:16,400
Speaker 5: three plus catches in seven of the past eight games,

791
00:39:16,640 --> 00:39:18,520
Speaker 5: and honestly, outside of the top three.

792
00:39:18,400 --> 00:39:18,880
Speaker 4: At tight end.

793
00:39:18,880 --> 00:39:21,879
Speaker 5: What more could you ask really from a cheaper tight end.

794
00:39:21,920 --> 00:39:24,960
Speaker 5: So you know, I like Logan Thomas at four K

795
00:39:25,080 --> 00:39:27,960
Speaker 5: this week. I think the football team is going to

796
00:39:28,000 --> 00:39:29,680
Speaker 5: be forced to throw a bit more and you know,

797
00:39:29,760 --> 00:39:32,800
Speaker 5: hopefully Alex Smith's quarterback because I think he loves targeting

798
00:39:32,880 --> 00:39:35,359
Speaker 5: Logan Thomas and Jad McKissick. But I think those two

799
00:39:35,360 --> 00:39:38,520
Speaker 5: guys will be key this week for the football team.

800
00:39:38,880 --> 00:39:42,479
Speaker 2: Okay, I'm with you there on Logan Thomas. I would say, though,

801
00:39:42,680 --> 00:39:45,440
Speaker 2: if we're thinking about this from the DFS perspective, I

802
00:39:45,440 --> 00:39:48,360
Speaker 2: would rather save the thousand dollars and drop down to

803
00:39:48,400 --> 00:39:53,279
Speaker 2: Cole Comet. And it feels dirty saying that, but I

804
00:39:53,320 --> 00:39:55,319
Speaker 2: honestly think that that's where I am. And I have

805
00:39:55,440 --> 00:39:59,120
Speaker 2: Kmet as a low end tight end one this week,

806
00:39:59,160 --> 00:40:01,360
Speaker 2: and that probably says more about the tight end position

807
00:40:01,760 --> 00:40:05,040
Speaker 2: than anything else. But in season long leagues, I think

808
00:40:05,440 --> 00:40:08,480
Speaker 2: Comet is streamable. He's now clearly the tight end one

809
00:40:08,480 --> 00:40:10,960
Speaker 2: in Chicago. He's played well ahead of Jimmy Graham over

810
00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:13,680
Speaker 2: the past month. He has seven targets. In each of

811
00:40:13,719 --> 00:40:16,160
Speaker 2: the past two weeks. He has seventy eight yards and

812
00:40:16,200 --> 00:40:19,480
Speaker 2: a touchdown in that time. It's not easy to find

813
00:40:19,840 --> 00:40:23,480
Speaker 2: a tight end with seven targets a game. I mean

814
00:40:23,480 --> 00:40:26,520
Speaker 2: not to say that you can just randomly project Comet

815
00:40:26,560 --> 00:40:29,080
Speaker 2: to get seven targets, but the fact that he's gotten

816
00:40:29,120 --> 00:40:31,400
Speaker 2: that in each of the past two weeks is encouraging,

817
00:40:31,480 --> 00:40:33,439
Speaker 2: along with the fact that he's playing such a high

818
00:40:33,480 --> 00:40:38,320
Speaker 2: percentage of the snaps. So he's a guy that I'm

819
00:40:38,360 --> 00:40:41,480
Speaker 2: probably going to be looking at for DFS if I

820
00:40:41,560 --> 00:40:44,560
Speaker 2: really decide to pay down at the position, because I

821
00:40:44,600 --> 00:40:46,520
Speaker 2: don't know if I really seen much of a difference

822
00:40:46,560 --> 00:40:50,000
Speaker 2: between Comet at three thousand on DraftKings and Logan Thomas

823
00:40:50,080 --> 00:40:52,800
Speaker 2: at four thousand. Something to think about when I'm building

824
00:40:52,840 --> 00:40:56,400
Speaker 2: my cash game lineup last minute on Sunday morning, Sean,

825
00:40:56,840 --> 00:40:59,319
Speaker 2: who are you low on for Week two?

826
00:41:00,440 --> 00:41:01,640
Speaker 4: I guess I'm low on TJ.

827
00:41:01,760 --> 00:41:05,239
Speaker 5: Hawkinson, even though I agreed with pretty much everything Raybaund said.

828
00:41:05,320 --> 00:41:07,640
Speaker 5: You know, he's been my tight end three for weeks now,

829
00:41:07,680 --> 00:41:10,680
Speaker 5: so he's all the way down to tight end six.

830
00:41:10,760 --> 00:41:14,080
Speaker 5: I think he's fifty two hundred on DK. So you know,

831
00:41:14,520 --> 00:41:17,640
Speaker 5: I just don't see the reason that spend up. But

832
00:41:18,680 --> 00:41:20,839
Speaker 5: I think he probably does get a downgrade with Chase

833
00:41:20,920 --> 00:41:23,080
Speaker 5: Daniel under center that they failed to connect on two

834
00:41:23,080 --> 00:41:24,839
Speaker 5: targets last week where it looked like they were kind

835
00:41:24,840 --> 00:41:27,840
Speaker 5: of out of sink. And then every Tuesday, you know,

836
00:41:27,880 --> 00:41:30,040
Speaker 5: I have Kenny Galladay making his return, so I give

837
00:41:30,120 --> 00:41:34,319
Speaker 5: him a few targets and it suppresses TJ. Howkinson's you

838
00:41:34,360 --> 00:41:37,600
Speaker 5: know yards touchdowns. And then by Thursday, when we find

839
00:41:37,600 --> 00:41:40,960
Speaker 5: out Kenny Galladay is not playing, I remove those targets

840
00:41:40,960 --> 00:41:43,440
Speaker 5: and TJ. Hockkinson goes up. So here that's where we

841
00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:46,520
Speaker 5: are right now. Is my Tuesday morning t J Hawkinson downgrade.

842
00:41:47,000 --> 00:41:50,720
Speaker 2: You know, maybe you could just not project Kenny Gallady.

843
00:41:50,760 --> 00:41:52,840
Speaker 4: Maybe yeah, yeah, I think that might be that.

844
00:41:53,080 --> 00:41:56,320
Speaker 5: You know, I'm an optimist, so I hold out hope,

845
00:41:56,320 --> 00:41:57,440
Speaker 5: but yeah, you're probably right.

846
00:41:57,760 --> 00:41:57,920
Speaker 4: Yeah.

847
00:41:57,920 --> 00:41:58,840
Speaker 3: I feel like this is a trend.

848
00:41:58,880 --> 00:42:01,120
Speaker 6: Like every week I'm like J Hockinson, You're like not

849
00:42:01,239 --> 00:42:03,680
Speaker 6: TJ Hockinson, and then like like Thursday, it's like.

850
00:42:03,640 --> 00:42:05,319
Speaker 4: Okay, by Thursday, I love him.

851
00:42:05,920 --> 00:42:09,280
Speaker 5: I thought maybe with Patricia getting fired, that might inspire

852
00:42:09,360 --> 00:42:13,080
Speaker 5: Galladay to return, but it really does seem like he's

853
00:42:13,120 --> 00:42:13,560
Speaker 5: milking this.

854
00:42:13,719 --> 00:42:14,440
Speaker 4: So we'll see.

855
00:42:15,239 --> 00:42:17,080
Speaker 2: All right, Raymond, who are you long?

856
00:42:18,640 --> 00:42:19,399
Speaker 3: I'm going with?

857
00:42:19,600 --> 00:42:21,399
Speaker 6: I feel like this is the same every week, Like

858
00:42:21,440 --> 00:42:22,840
Speaker 6: me and Sean are on opposite side.

859
00:42:22,880 --> 00:42:26,319
Speaker 3: Like he likes, He'll like, he'll hate god Hockinson and

860
00:42:26,360 --> 00:42:29,280
Speaker 3: love Goddard, and I'll is a very stronger. Okay, Okay, He'll.

861
00:42:29,160 --> 00:42:31,960
Speaker 6: Be down on Hockinson and enough on Goddard, and I'll

862
00:42:32,000 --> 00:42:32,600
Speaker 6: be the opposite.

863
00:42:32,600 --> 00:42:34,000
Speaker 3: So I'm going back to Goddard. Uh.

864
00:42:34,880 --> 00:42:36,640
Speaker 6: I just think that you know, you look at the

865
00:42:36,800 --> 00:42:39,760
Speaker 6: amount of routes available with this Jay One Hurts Run

866
00:42:39,880 --> 00:42:42,720
Speaker 6: Eagles team, and it's just it's not optimal.

867
00:42:42,760 --> 00:42:45,640
Speaker 3: And then last week or the last couple of weeks, we've.

868
00:42:45,480 --> 00:42:48,000
Speaker 6: Seen god It run sixty eight percent and seventy one

869
00:42:48,000 --> 00:42:51,759
Speaker 6: percent of the routes per dropback. So and last week

870
00:42:51,800 --> 00:42:53,960
Speaker 6: we saw Hurtz jump art succeed me jump up to

871
00:42:54,239 --> 00:42:57,440
Speaker 6: sixty two percent. So with that, you know, Goddard is

872
00:42:57,520 --> 00:42:59,719
Speaker 6: kind of a fringe tight end one for me, just

873
00:42:59,760 --> 00:43:03,000
Speaker 6: because you know, we don't know exactly how many routes

874
00:43:03,040 --> 00:43:05,200
Speaker 6: he's are going to be available with Jay when hurts

875
00:43:05,280 --> 00:43:08,960
Speaker 6: dropping back, and then because he is so liable to scramble,

876
00:43:09,520 --> 00:43:11,400
Speaker 6: that kind of gets there's a lot even.

877
00:43:11,160 --> 00:43:12,160
Speaker 3: More volatilty with that.

878
00:43:12,280 --> 00:43:15,440
Speaker 6: So I think Goddard is a guy who I'm just

879
00:43:15,480 --> 00:43:19,240
Speaker 6: being a little bit cautious with. And this Arizona defense

880
00:43:19,280 --> 00:43:22,480
Speaker 6: has been kind of decent against tight ends, like their mediocre

881
00:43:22,480 --> 00:43:26,720
Speaker 6: in terms of DVOA, but they've allowed the seventh fewest

882
00:43:26,960 --> 00:43:31,520
Speaker 6: schedule adjusted receiving yards to the position at just under

883
00:43:31,560 --> 00:43:35,000
Speaker 6: forty six. So I not a great matchup considering we

884
00:43:35,080 --> 00:43:37,799
Speaker 6: have to get two tight ends fed in this one, and.

885
00:43:37,880 --> 00:43:41,640
Speaker 2: One guy I am low on is Johnny Smith. He's

886
00:43:41,719 --> 00:43:45,520
Speaker 2: number three at the position with eight touchdowns this year,

887
00:43:45,560 --> 00:43:48,680
Speaker 2: and so much of tight end scoring is driven by touchdowns,

888
00:43:48,680 --> 00:43:52,200
Speaker 2: but touchdowns are unreliable, they're hard to predict, and Smith

889
00:43:52,239 --> 00:43:55,520
Speaker 2: has almost nothing else going for him. Besides the fact

890
00:43:55,560 --> 00:43:58,760
Speaker 2: that he has scored eight touchdowns. In the seven games

891
00:43:58,800 --> 00:44:02,080
Speaker 2: since he was injured in Week six, he has just

892
00:44:02,200 --> 00:44:05,840
Speaker 2: twenty two targets, thirteen receptions one hundred and twenty four yards,

893
00:44:05,840 --> 00:44:09,239
Speaker 2: and only two touchdowns over the past three weeks. He's

894
00:44:09,320 --> 00:44:12,520
Speaker 2: missed one game. In another game, he had zero targets

895
00:44:12,600 --> 00:44:15,000
Speaker 2: and in the third game he had just two targets.

896
00:44:15,280 --> 00:44:17,960
Speaker 2: I mean, he's I think a very talented player, but

897
00:44:18,200 --> 00:44:21,960
Speaker 2: right now he's just an entirely supplementary piece to the

898
00:44:22,000 --> 00:44:25,239
Speaker 2: Titans offense, and with his lack of volume, it's just

899
00:44:25,480 --> 00:44:28,680
Speaker 2: hard to hope for a touchdown. So he's someone, I

900
00:44:28,719 --> 00:44:32,200
Speaker 2: mean whatever, with how horrible the tight end landscape is.

901
00:44:32,800 --> 00:44:35,200
Speaker 2: Sure he's a tight end too, because if he scores

902
00:44:35,239 --> 00:44:37,239
Speaker 2: a touchdown, he's gonna end up being a tight end

903
00:44:37,280 --> 00:44:39,920
Speaker 2: one on the week. But you know, it's just it's

904
00:44:39,960 --> 00:44:41,759
Speaker 2: hard to hope for a touchdown right now when he's

905
00:44:42,000 --> 00:44:46,000
Speaker 2: barely being targeted. So down on John in all right.

906
00:44:45,920 --> 00:44:49,280
Speaker 6: So to thing because he ran tied for a season

907
00:44:49,320 --> 00:44:54,000
Speaker 6: high eighty percent of routes last week and ferks their drop.

908
00:44:54,120 --> 00:44:56,640
Speaker 6: But I agree he's been like the hardest tight end

909
00:44:56,680 --> 00:44:58,960
Speaker 6: of project because he can run routes and do nothing

910
00:44:58,960 --> 00:45:00,880
Speaker 6: with them, or he can run like half the routes

911
00:45:00,920 --> 00:45:02,120
Speaker 6: and get like two touchdowns.

912
00:45:02,120 --> 00:45:04,520
Speaker 3: So I kind of agree there. It's it's a lot

913
00:45:04,520 --> 00:45:05,759
Speaker 3: of anativity.

914
00:45:05,480 --> 00:45:07,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, Sean, give us the prop.

915
00:45:07,719 --> 00:45:10,680
Speaker 5: Well, Raybaon tipped his hand a bit here, but I'm

916
00:45:10,680 --> 00:45:13,680
Speaker 5: going with Dallas Goddart receiving yards basically because you know

917
00:45:13,960 --> 00:45:16,200
Speaker 5: Raybon mentioned it, he's a fringe tight end one. This

918
00:45:16,239 --> 00:45:18,440
Speaker 5: is the fancy playoffs, so I think he's going to

919
00:45:18,480 --> 00:45:22,320
Speaker 5: be a very popular sit start question this week. Obviously,

920
00:45:22,360 --> 00:45:26,960
Speaker 5: the main concerns are Ertz and Hurts here, so you know,

921
00:45:27,239 --> 00:45:30,440
Speaker 5: you know where are you projecting Hurts and passing yards? Dictates?

922
00:45:30,960 --> 00:45:33,560
Speaker 5: Got her here and then Ertz. You know, we saw

923
00:45:33,600 --> 00:45:35,719
Speaker 5: his routes run go up to sixty two percent, which

924
00:45:35,760 --> 00:45:37,400
Speaker 5: is where I think he'll max out the rest of

925
00:45:37,440 --> 00:45:39,920
Speaker 5: the season. But like, where do you guys have him projected?

926
00:45:39,920 --> 00:45:42,880
Speaker 5: Because I have got Her at over forty one and

927
00:45:42,880 --> 00:45:45,640
Speaker 5: a half receiving yards, which again puts him at a

928
00:45:45,640 --> 00:45:47,560
Speaker 5: fringe tight end one. And it's gonna be a very

929
00:45:47,560 --> 00:45:48,600
Speaker 5: tricky call this week.

930
00:45:49,000 --> 00:45:51,640
Speaker 2: I'm taking the under. I have it around thirty eight

931
00:45:51,640 --> 00:45:52,120
Speaker 2: and a half.

932
00:45:52,480 --> 00:45:53,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm actually right in line.

933
00:45:53,680 --> 00:45:56,839
Speaker 6: I haven't at thirty eight, so yeah, it's a good line.

934
00:45:56,880 --> 00:45:57,839
Speaker 3: I think it'll end right there.

935
00:45:57,840 --> 00:45:59,640
Speaker 6: It's just does he get three catches or does he

936
00:45:59,680 --> 00:46:03,640
Speaker 6: get four? I have his receptions at three point six.

937
00:46:03,480 --> 00:46:06,439
Speaker 5: So all about for passing touchdowns? Where do you guys

938
00:46:06,440 --> 00:46:09,960
Speaker 5: have Jalen Hurt set up? Because that does dictate. That's

939
00:46:09,960 --> 00:46:11,239
Speaker 5: a bit, but I.

940
00:46:11,200 --> 00:46:13,120
Speaker 2: Have him at one point four.

941
00:46:13,600 --> 00:46:15,799
Speaker 4: Okay, yeah, I have one point four as well.

942
00:46:16,040 --> 00:46:18,440
Speaker 6: I have him one point three, so again that that

943
00:46:18,480 --> 00:46:21,000
Speaker 6: could change, but I do kind of what I do

944
00:46:21,040 --> 00:46:23,800
Speaker 6: is I take like scramble percentage and work that into

945
00:46:23,840 --> 00:46:26,200
Speaker 6: like the team's drop back. So I may be just

946
00:46:26,239 --> 00:46:28,920
Speaker 6: a little low because I'm projecting like a certain percentage

947
00:46:28,920 --> 00:46:31,279
Speaker 6: of scrambles, but yeah, I have him about one point

948
00:46:31,719 --> 00:46:33,360
Speaker 6: one point three TDS got it.

949
00:46:33,440 --> 00:46:36,160
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, Godard's probably the most likely guy to

950
00:46:36,800 --> 00:46:39,879
Speaker 5: Pest to catch a passing touchdown from him. But yeah,

951
00:46:39,920 --> 00:46:42,600
Speaker 5: it's it's gonna be a bit lower than Carson Wentz

952
00:46:42,600 --> 00:46:44,359
Speaker 5: in there, so I don't know what to do yet,

953
00:46:44,400 --> 00:46:47,080
Speaker 5: but yeah, he's He's gonna be a tough call.

954
00:46:47,040 --> 00:46:47,600
Speaker 4: Later in the week.

955
00:46:47,920 --> 00:46:51,560
Speaker 2: Sean, how many receiving touchdowns do you have forgot her?

956
00:46:51,560 --> 00:46:54,600
Speaker 2: Because I agree, I think he is the likeliest of

957
00:46:54,600 --> 00:46:56,880
Speaker 2: bollow those guys to score a touchdown.

958
00:46:57,000 --> 00:46:58,640
Speaker 4: Yeah, right now, I have point three.

959
00:46:59,000 --> 00:47:02,040
Speaker 2: Okay, I'm way over on that. I have point four,

960
00:47:02,680 --> 00:47:04,680
Speaker 2: which I guess I say way over about point four

961
00:47:04,719 --> 00:47:07,160
Speaker 2: to three. It's like it's it's significant when we're talking

962
00:47:07,160 --> 00:47:09,759
Speaker 2: about just one point four touchdowns to go around.

963
00:47:09,520 --> 00:47:11,560
Speaker 5: Because that's I mean, honestly, he'll probably have to score

964
00:47:11,560 --> 00:47:13,480
Speaker 5: a touchdown to hit value. But you could say that

965
00:47:14,000 --> 00:47:16,920
Speaker 5: about pretty much every tight end outside of Kelsey and Waller,

966
00:47:17,040 --> 00:47:20,120
Speaker 5: so you know that's he's got. It's kind of lumped

967
00:47:20,120 --> 00:47:22,480
Speaker 5: in this huge, massive tight end one tier right now.

968
00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:25,520
Speaker 6: All right, how about here's the question, are you guys

969
00:47:25,520 --> 00:47:27,719
Speaker 6: starting Goddard or John wu Oh?

970
00:47:27,760 --> 00:47:28,880
Speaker 4: Got her for sure?

971
00:47:29,239 --> 00:47:29,919
Speaker 2: Yeah.

972
00:47:30,000 --> 00:47:31,640
Speaker 3: I actually have John a little ahead of him. So

973
00:47:31,680 --> 00:47:33,480
Speaker 3: that's that's it's good to know. Interesting.

974
00:47:34,040 --> 00:47:36,480
Speaker 5: I've stuck with Goddart this far. I'm not going to

975
00:47:36,520 --> 00:47:40,120
Speaker 5: abandon ship for John who Smith of all people, and

976
00:47:40,160 --> 00:47:41,480
Speaker 5: I would just hate myself.

977
00:47:42,320 --> 00:47:44,680
Speaker 3: I mean, I hear you, but it's like it goes

978
00:47:44,719 --> 00:47:45,480
Speaker 3: both ways.

979
00:47:45,239 --> 00:47:47,479
Speaker 6: For me, because it's like it's like John Who's running

980
00:47:47,480 --> 00:47:49,640
Speaker 6: a season high of routes and Goddard's are going down.

981
00:47:49,680 --> 00:47:51,400
Speaker 3: It's just like seems like a trap.

982
00:47:51,680 --> 00:47:54,880
Speaker 5: I'm a bit worried about the Titans passing volume. We

983
00:47:55,000 --> 00:47:57,200
Speaker 5: mentioned that Aj Brown. It doesn't matter, he's gonna get

984
00:47:57,200 --> 00:47:59,520
Speaker 5: one hundred ards anyway, but a guy like John Who

985
00:47:59,640 --> 00:48:02,040
Speaker 5: might got you know, if they just attemp nineteen passes

986
00:48:02,080 --> 00:48:04,640
Speaker 5: this week, which is certainly possible. Where the hell is

987
00:48:04,680 --> 00:48:07,759
Speaker 5: Johnny going to get his production from. It's got to

988
00:48:07,800 --> 00:48:08,840
Speaker 5: be a touchdown, right.

989
00:48:08,760 --> 00:48:11,000
Speaker 2: So rushing, rushing touchdown.

990
00:48:10,800 --> 00:48:12,480
Speaker 4: Rushing touchdown. That's actually a good call.

991
00:48:12,600 --> 00:48:15,160
Speaker 6: Yeah, if only we could just start Titans tight end

992
00:48:15,200 --> 00:48:17,400
Speaker 6: and get like all that Michael Pruit, Jeff Swam.

993
00:48:17,760 --> 00:48:19,120
Speaker 3: That was like a touchdown.

994
00:48:19,200 --> 00:48:24,640
Speaker 2: Yeah right, all right, So good show week week fifteen.

995
00:48:25,040 --> 00:48:27,360
Speaker 2: In the bag, you can follow Sean, Chris and me

996
00:48:27,480 --> 00:48:30,160
Speaker 2: in the Action Network app at the Underscore odds maker

997
00:48:30,200 --> 00:48:32,800
Speaker 2: Chris Raybonn and Matt f the Oracle. Use the app

998
00:48:32,920 --> 00:48:35,320
Speaker 2: to get real time odds and track your bets for free.

999
00:48:35,480 --> 00:48:37,960
Speaker 2: Be sure to check out our rankings and Shawn's tears

1000
00:48:38,040 --> 00:48:41,160
Speaker 2: at the Action Network, in Raybond's DFS breakdown and my

1001
00:48:41,280 --> 00:48:45,120
Speaker 2: positional breakdowns at Fantasy Labs, and please subscribe to and

1002
00:48:45,239 --> 00:48:48,040
Speaker 2: rate and review the show and listen and download on Spotify.

1003
00:48:48,320 --> 00:48:59,719
Speaker 2: See you again next episode.

1004
00:49:06,080 --> 00:49:07,120
Speaker 8: We're finished talking