WEBVTT - Beating The Book: Guessing Lines NFL Conference Championship Weekend Preview 0:00:03.440 --> 0:00:12.000 Check it on Man No down Man a numbers game 0:00:12.119 --> 0:00:17.600 right here at x M No not that anymore. Just 0:00:17.600 --> 0:00:19.439 got distracted by something on the screen. We had a 0:00:19.440 --> 0:00:22.400 shooting here. Let's let's let's follow that that just popped 0:00:22.440 --> 0:00:24.480 up on the screen. IT'SSA dot Com, the Visa, that 0:00:24.600 --> 0:00:26.800 foodbost Link game plus and of course I heard radio 0:00:26.960 --> 0:00:31.200 where's here on the strip somewhere, Just distracted like a 0:00:31.360 --> 0:00:33.680 like a dog, just being distracted by things that are 0:00:33.680 --> 0:00:35.960 popping up on the screen. And then you just go 0:00:36.000 --> 0:00:39.280 into you're just going to auto it is Gil Alexander 0:00:39.760 --> 0:00:42.479 Division round. Oh boy, do we have a lot to 0:00:42.520 --> 0:00:45.840 talk about? Um. Maybe not quite as much in terms 0:00:45.880 --> 0:00:48.800 of coaching gaffs that was the case last week after 0:00:48.880 --> 0:00:53.199 wild Card weekend, but certainly much to talk about rules, 0:00:53.240 --> 0:00:57.200 to discuss coaching changes. Uh. And of course it's the 0:00:57.520 --> 0:01:00.840 it's the Packers and the Buccaneer years in the NFC, 0:01:01.640 --> 0:01:05.200 the Bay of Pigs, as Chris Berman used to say it. Uh. 0:01:05.240 --> 0:01:07.280 And then in the in the a f C, it's uh, 0:01:07.319 --> 0:01:11.399 it's it's Kansas City and Buffalo maybe the four teams 0:01:11.440 --> 0:01:14.200 we thought, although the Buccaneers may be replaced by the Saints, 0:01:14.280 --> 0:01:16.560 maybe so maybe not the four teams we thought. The 0:01:16.640 --> 0:01:18.320 first thing I want to say is shout out to 0:01:18.360 --> 0:01:21.759 Aaron Shots, because people went a little after Football Outsiders 0:01:21.840 --> 0:01:23.920 rankings all years saying, hey, they kind of had the 0:01:23.959 --> 0:01:27.199 Bucks overrated all year. Maybe not, so let's comparing shots 0:01:27.240 --> 0:01:30.440 of sly improved over the last two weeks too. Yeah, 0:01:30.640 --> 0:01:32.399 let's give him a shout off the top. This is 0:01:32.680 --> 0:01:34.959 typically on Monday we do guessing lines. Were still branded 0:01:35.000 --> 0:01:37.600 as guessing lines, but we will talk about everything that 0:01:37.640 --> 0:01:40.120 happened this past weekend and we will talk about the 0:01:40.120 --> 0:01:42.960 two championship games moving forward with of course my book 0:01:43.000 --> 0:01:45.199 at the star of the show. He runs the South 0:01:45.240 --> 0:01:48.640 Point Sports Book. Here, it's Chrissie Andrews. Good morning to Chrissie. 0:01:48.640 --> 0:01:53.000 How you doing all? We're doing pretty good. Let's survived 0:01:53.000 --> 0:01:57.400 the weekend? Okay, so yeah, we're doing from a book's perspective. 0:01:57.480 --> 0:01:59.000 Let's get that out of the way and let's go. 0:01:59.120 --> 0:02:02.600 Let's get your intro for this is Guessing Lines with 0:02:02.680 --> 0:02:07.240 Chrissy Andrews. The numbers game. There it is, there's the animation. Um, 0:02:07.280 --> 0:02:11.120 how did you do? From a books perspective? Saturday was 0:02:11.160 --> 0:02:15.600 a great day and everything fell perfectly for us yesterday. 0:02:15.960 --> 0:02:19.600 You know, we had a lot of stuff running. Um, 0:02:19.639 --> 0:02:23.200 you know we uh they founded us on the Browns 0:02:23.240 --> 0:02:28.840 pretty good just before post we want to closing name eight. Um, 0:02:28.880 --> 0:02:32.120 So that game wasn't terrible, It wasn't good, it turning, 0:02:32.720 --> 0:02:34.920 you know, it wasn't terrible. That s game had some 0:02:35.080 --> 0:02:38.280 potential to be terrible because a lot of it was 0:02:38.360 --> 0:02:42.240 running through New Orleans. Um, you know, I didn't want 0:02:42.240 --> 0:02:44.160 to mess around with the two and a half three. 0:02:44.200 --> 0:02:46.360 So once they took the three off, I went to 0:02:46.360 --> 0:02:48.520 two and a half, kept it there. I got rid 0:02:48.560 --> 0:02:50.600 of a lot of it on the money line. But 0:02:50.919 --> 0:02:53.080 so we needed Tampa Bay pretty good, and we needed 0:02:53.280 --> 0:02:56.359 Under really good. And you know we snuck through with that. 0:02:56.520 --> 0:03:00.600 So so it saved us. But Sunday was no more 0:03:00.639 --> 0:03:03.519 than a break even, just you know, a very very 0:03:03.560 --> 0:03:05.680 slight winner then the basketball kind of guy us yesterday 0:03:05.760 --> 0:03:09.600 with football wise, Uh, just a break even yesterday. Yeah. 0:03:09.680 --> 0:03:12.480 And I was solid on both early games, not so 0:03:12.480 --> 0:03:15.560 solid on both late games. Uh, we'll get into it. 0:03:15.919 --> 0:03:18.079 Let's just do it. Let's do it in chronological order, 0:03:18.080 --> 0:03:20.280 as we normally do in terms of what's coming up 0:03:20.320 --> 0:03:24.320 for championship. Weekend, and we'll go back and review everything 0:03:24.680 --> 0:03:26.840 from yesterday in the process. So, what's the first of 0:03:26.840 --> 0:03:31.440 the two championship games on Sunday? The Tampa Green Bay 0:03:31.560 --> 0:03:35.840 Tampa Bay at Green Bay, the Bay of Pigs. Um, alright, 0:03:35.880 --> 0:03:39.280 Buccaneers do it. That's the game most recent or most 0:03:39.400 --> 0:03:41.720 uh clear in our minds since it was the last 0:03:41.720 --> 0:03:47.000 one yesterday. The Buccaneers beat the Saints thirty to twenty. Really, 0:03:47.000 --> 0:03:49.480 the entire story of this game is the turnovers. Right, 0:03:49.520 --> 0:03:54.040 There's not really much else to say for Saints turnovers, 0:03:54.240 --> 0:03:57.720 none for the Bucks. Uh. And if you go through them, 0:03:58.280 --> 0:04:01.559 two of those, you know, two of the Bucks touchdowns 0:04:02.480 --> 0:04:06.240 uh directly off well really twenty one points directly off 0:04:06.240 --> 0:04:08.640 the turnovers. The first of wish the Saints led six 0:04:08.680 --> 0:04:12.160 to three. Breeze trying to flee pressure, he underthrows Michael 0:04:12.160 --> 0:04:16.240 Thomas intercepted by Sean Murphy, bunding thirty six yards along 0:04:16.240 --> 0:04:18.080 the sideline to the Saints three. And then Brady Hits 0:04:18.120 --> 0:04:24.120 Evans play later to put the Bucks up ten to six. Then, uh, 0:04:24.360 --> 0:04:26.159 you know, Breeze in the and the Saints go up 0:04:26.160 --> 0:04:28.400 on a tray kawon Smith catch. They go up twenty 0:04:28.440 --> 0:04:32.000 to thirteen. New Orleans appeared primed, you know, to build 0:04:32.040 --> 0:04:33.920 on the lead. They had the ball back up seven. 0:04:34.200 --> 0:04:37.000 Breeze finds Jared Cook. This one was not a Breeze pick, 0:04:37.040 --> 0:04:39.560 but this is a Jared Cook fumble across the fifty 0:04:39.960 --> 0:04:42.839 buck safe dance on Winfield strips him from behind. White 0:04:42.880 --> 0:04:46.240 snags the loose ball. Devin White does returns to eighteen 0:04:46.279 --> 0:04:48.400 yards in New Orleans. Forty five plays later, it's Brady 0:04:48.440 --> 0:04:50.080 to four net over the middle for a six yards 0:04:50.080 --> 0:04:53.760 score that tied it up. Then Devon White snags the 0:04:53.839 --> 0:04:58.400 second of breeze three interceptions. UH was a pass intended 0:04:58.440 --> 0:05:00.680 for Alvin Kamara gave the Bucks the ball at the 0:05:00.680 --> 0:05:04.240 New Orleans twenty, setting up Tampa Bay's final touchdown, and 0:05:04.279 --> 0:05:06.919 then the last one Brady drove by the way. Brady 0:05:06.960 --> 0:05:09.080 drove to the Bucks one on that one from where 0:05:09.080 --> 0:05:11.800 he scored himself with one with four fifty seven left 0:05:11.800 --> 0:05:16.120 to virtually ensure his fourteenth trip. It's Gill, Alexander and 0:05:16.360 --> 0:05:18.720 Chris Andrews. This is guessing lines on a numbers game 0:05:18.720 --> 0:05:22.440 at Vista, the sports betting network. UH that virtually ensured 0:05:22.760 --> 0:05:27.360 Tom Brady's fourteen trip. To a conference championship game on 0:05:27.400 --> 0:05:31.360 that last uh, capitalizing off the last pick his first 0:05:31.400 --> 0:05:35.120 in the NFC. Um and then or that was the yeah. 0:05:35.120 --> 0:05:36.760 And then Brady, by the way, if he wins this game, 0:05:36.800 --> 0:05:39.719 he'll try to advance to his tenth Super Bowl. Good lord, 0:05:40.040 --> 0:05:44.119 fourteen conference championship. If he wins that his tenth Super Bowl? 0:05:44.279 --> 0:05:49.400 What are we talking about here? Amazing? Good Lord? By 0:05:49.400 --> 0:05:51.600 the way, after his third interception on tip pass late 0:05:51.600 --> 0:05:52.840 in the fourth quarter of the Bucks were able to 0:05:52.839 --> 0:05:54.640 close out the game. So it was you know, it 0:05:54.720 --> 0:05:57.120 was the two picks. His first two picks led directly 0:05:57.120 --> 0:05:58.920 to such downs and the Jared Cook fumble led to 0:05:58.960 --> 0:06:01.680 a third and in the last pick sealed the deal. 0:06:01.760 --> 0:06:05.320 Brady ends up. Brady came into the game and eighteen 0:06:05.320 --> 0:06:08.320 passing yards in his last four games, twelve touchdowns, one pick, 0:06:08.600 --> 0:06:10.240 and in this one he was eighteen of thirty three 0:06:10.279 --> 0:06:13.120 for one two touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked once, 0:06:13.160 --> 0:06:17.240 he was not intercepted, largely avoided pressure, took only one sack. 0:06:17.279 --> 0:06:19.400 As I said, plus four and turnovers is really all 0:06:19.440 --> 0:06:23.120 you need to know. And um, you know, look, then 0:06:23.120 --> 0:06:26.000 there's that we can go to the New Orleans side momentarily, 0:06:26.000 --> 0:06:29.880 but with Green Bay they beat the Rams thirty two 0:06:29.920 --> 0:06:34.720 to eighteen. Saturday morning. They played without Cooper Cup and 0:06:34.760 --> 0:06:37.159 as soon as that information came out, the Cooper Cup 0:06:37.160 --> 0:06:39.279 wasn't playing. That went from six and a half to seven. 0:06:39.680 --> 0:06:43.520 Did you do the same here, Christy? Oh yeah, yeah, same? 0:06:43.600 --> 0:06:45.320 And I said it all week, you know that I 0:06:45.920 --> 0:06:48.880 didn't believe what the coaches were telling us. The Coup 0:06:48.920 --> 0:06:53.760 will be fine. Donald was fine, Donald was fine. I 0:06:53.760 --> 0:06:57.080 didn't believe. And it came to fruition. Cup missed the 0:06:57.120 --> 0:06:59.520 game and Donald was on a pitch count and that 0:06:59.560 --> 0:07:04.799 was a huge, huge, huge kid to the game. Uh. 0:07:04.800 --> 0:07:08.599 And you know Rogers uh was playing in a in 0:07:08.640 --> 0:07:12.200 a conference championship game yesterday at home for the first times. 0:07:12.320 --> 0:07:14.640 Uh first time sinstaking over his Green Based starting quarterback 0:07:14.680 --> 0:07:17.000 two thousand and eight. He reached the championship game for 0:07:17.000 --> 0:07:19.600 the fourth time in seven seasons, trying to get to 0:07:19.600 --> 0:07:24.680 their first Super Bowl in a decade. Uh yeah, first 0:07:24.680 --> 0:07:26.640 Super Bowl birth in a decade. They'll be their first 0:07:26.720 --> 0:07:30.360 NFC title contest, as it turns out at Lambo since 0:07:30.400 --> 0:07:33.080 the two thousand seven season, Rodgers was a backup too 0:07:33.080 --> 0:07:35.560 far there they lost that game. That was the Tom 0:07:35.600 --> 0:07:38.160 Coughlan my face is falling off game where the Giants 0:07:38.160 --> 0:07:42.000 beat him by a field coal. If you recall um 0:07:42.040 --> 0:07:43.920 there were only how many fans were there there was 0:07:44.040 --> 0:07:46.400 There was only eight thousand, four hundred fifty six fans. 0:07:46.680 --> 0:07:48.760 Rogers said it felt like there were fifty thousand. Aaron 0:07:48.840 --> 0:07:51.960 Jones said it felt like eighty thousand. Alan Wizard said 0:07:51.960 --> 0:07:55.560 it felt like ninety thousand. Honestly didn't allow any sacks. 0:07:55.560 --> 0:07:58.360 The Packers didn't despite being without All Pro left tackle 0:07:58.480 --> 0:08:01.440 David Baktiari. They cord on their first five drives of 0:08:01.480 --> 0:08:04.280 the games. The Packers did three touchdowns, two field goals. 0:08:04.480 --> 0:08:07.119 It was the thirteenth game this season with thirty plus points, 0:08:07.160 --> 0:08:09.560 most in the NFL, eleventh game this season without a turnover. 0:08:09.960 --> 0:08:12.000 Rogers twenty three or thirty six for two ninety six, 0:08:12.000 --> 0:08:14.840 two touchdowns, not picks, not sacked, and they just filled 0:08:14.880 --> 0:08:17.000 up the statue right. Jones fourteen and ninety nine for 0:08:17.040 --> 0:08:19.760 a touchdown. Lazard for ninety six touchdown, Adams nine of 0:08:19.880 --> 0:08:23.400 sixty six falling just below his prop and a touchdown 0:08:23.480 --> 0:08:25.920 eight of twelve on third down four eight four total 0:08:26.000 --> 0:08:29.320 yards one eight rushing and we can talk about the 0:08:29.400 --> 0:08:32.679 Rams because they were depleted. Naron Donald was just not 0:08:32.679 --> 0:08:37.000 not himself, was not healthy. Clearly in the end, I 0:08:37.040 --> 0:08:39.280 thought this was going to be green Bay talking about 0:08:39.280 --> 0:08:42.400 green Bay Tampa Bay. Now, after those outcomes, I thought 0:08:42.400 --> 0:08:44.920 green Bay would be a three and a half point favorite, 0:08:44.960 --> 0:08:49.120 and that's not what it ended up being, is it. Well, 0:08:49.120 --> 0:08:52.000 we opened four, which I really thought was a good number, 0:08:52.480 --> 0:08:54.040 but they took it off because we'd three and a 0:08:54.040 --> 0:08:57.920 half now with action, well with you know, playing money 0:08:58.640 --> 0:09:02.319 came in last night on Tampa. So we're three and 0:09:02.320 --> 0:09:05.400 a half legitimately because of action. Oh part Pardon me, 0:09:05.440 --> 0:09:07.200 I got that wrong. So I was wrong on both 0:09:07.200 --> 0:09:08.440 of these. And let me just say for those who 0:09:08.440 --> 0:09:10.520 are like, hey, you're not really guessing, No, No. I 0:09:10.600 --> 0:09:12.440 thought about what the lines would be yesterday and obviously 0:09:12.440 --> 0:09:14.320 found out what the lines as this is the one. 0:09:14.360 --> 0:09:16.840 I thought green Bay would be three point favorites. Pardon me, 0:09:16.880 --> 0:09:19.720 I was low on this. I said green Bay minus three. Here. 0:09:19.760 --> 0:09:21.520 It's the the second game where I thought it would 0:09:21.559 --> 0:09:24.040 be three and a half. Um, but we'll get into that. 0:09:24.080 --> 0:09:25.520 Because I didn't think there should be a line at 0:09:25.520 --> 0:09:26.920 all in the second game, and I know you have 0:09:26.960 --> 0:09:29.319 thoughts on that, but I thought green Bay minus three here, 0:09:29.360 --> 0:09:32.000 So I'm I'm low on this. You're at three and 0:09:32.040 --> 0:09:35.840 a half now, yeah, we are. But like I said, 0:09:35.880 --> 0:09:39.920 I thought four was a good opening number. Um, you know, 0:09:40.000 --> 0:09:42.440 I have my reasons. I guess you know, the market 0:09:42.640 --> 0:09:46.480 eminitely disagreed with me. But I think right now, you know, 0:09:48.480 --> 0:09:50.199 you know, I mean right now, I think that there 0:09:50.280 --> 0:09:52.800 is a little bit of a home field advantage, particularly 0:09:52.840 --> 0:09:57.840 for a Florida team going up to Green Bay in January. Um, 0:09:57.920 --> 0:10:00.520 you know, I think Rogers playing probably the best football 0:10:00.640 --> 0:10:03.920 is of his career, which is, you know, startling to 0:10:03.960 --> 0:10:06.240 say at his age when the coaching has an awful 0:10:06.240 --> 0:10:09.120 lot to do with it. Um, you know it's not 0:10:09.200 --> 0:10:11.199 the not Brady, but I don't. I don't think right 0:10:11.240 --> 0:10:14.000 now he's as good as Rogers. And uh, you know, 0:10:14.040 --> 0:10:16.960 I think the coaching, you know, I like Bruce Arians, 0:10:17.080 --> 0:10:19.760 but I like Matt Lafloor a lot better. So I 0:10:19.800 --> 0:10:22.600 think there's a there's a couple of edges for green Bay, 0:10:22.640 --> 0:10:25.120 and uh, I think it deserved to be more than 0:10:25.160 --> 0:10:27.040 the three. I thought. I thought four was a good 0:10:27.080 --> 0:10:28.959 opening number, and that's when I opened it going back 0:10:29.000 --> 0:10:32.240 to Tampa Bay in New Orleans. Yesterday. New Orleans was 0:10:32.280 --> 0:10:36.439 without Taysom Hill, they were without Lettavius Murray. Then Deante Harris, 0:10:36.480 --> 0:10:40.360 who had two great great punt returns early right returned 0:10:40.400 --> 0:10:42.360 the first one fifty four yards set up at field 0:10:42.400 --> 0:10:44.560 well and then the second one called back because of 0:10:44.600 --> 0:10:46.480 a block in the back, but he leaves with a 0:10:46.559 --> 0:10:49.760 neck injury in the first half as well. Uh Jamis 0:10:49.760 --> 0:10:52.240 Winston with the only big play for the Saints early 0:10:52.280 --> 0:10:54.400 in this game to tray Kawan Smith for fifty six 0:10:54.440 --> 0:10:56.600 yards and a touchdown, the exact Saint play the Bears 0:10:56.720 --> 0:10:59.360 ran against the Saints the previous week. The Saints pulled 0:10:59.360 --> 0:11:02.680 it against the Bucks, and it was just you really 0:11:02.720 --> 0:11:05.800 did wonder where the Saints better off. Like, as this 0:11:05.880 --> 0:11:08.560 game went on, you were like, maybe let's just see 0:11:08.559 --> 0:11:11.120 what Jamis can do here, because because Drew Brees and 0:11:11.120 --> 0:11:13.400 we've said this about him all year long, and and 0:11:13.440 --> 0:11:16.080 actually we said this about him last year, he can't 0:11:16.120 --> 0:11:18.440 throw the ball down field, and for much of that 0:11:18.880 --> 0:11:21.320 we then quickly said, oh, we're acting like Drew Brees, 0:11:21.400 --> 0:11:24.600 is that terrible? Okay, yes, he can't throw the ball downfield. 0:11:24.640 --> 0:11:27.280 He's still awesome. I don't know. Was he awesome yesterday? 0:11:27.320 --> 0:11:29.319 I don't I don't know. Nineteen of thirty four for 0:11:29.440 --> 0:11:33.560 one thirty four touchdown, three picks, no sacks. All the 0:11:33.600 --> 0:11:35.800 reports are is that he is going to retire. He 0:11:35.840 --> 0:11:39.280 has not confirmed this quite yet, as I'm as, I'm uh, 0:11:39.920 --> 0:11:42.080 you know, looking across he has not confirmed in himself. 0:11:42.080 --> 0:11:44.559 But that is it appears the writing is on the 0:11:44.600 --> 0:11:47.760 wall for that. That seems to be the right move, 0:11:48.000 --> 0:11:51.680 would you not say so? Yeah? An all week? You know, 0:11:51.679 --> 0:11:53.319 I was on a couple of different shows, and I 0:11:53.440 --> 0:11:57.120 probably said on your show last week, I I'm not 0:11:57.280 --> 0:12:01.000 the biggest breeze guy, uh and at his best, And 0:12:01.040 --> 0:12:02.840 I don't think right now he's not at his best. 0:12:02.880 --> 0:12:05.680 He doesn't have a zip on the fastball, he can't 0:12:05.679 --> 0:12:08.400 really throw the ball long. Um, you know, I think 0:12:08.520 --> 0:12:10.640 his team kind of carried him. And I saw somebody 0:12:10.640 --> 0:12:14.800 else made the comment that, you know, Drew Brees reminds 0:12:14.800 --> 0:12:18.080 me of Peyton Manning, which I thought was a pretty 0:12:18.280 --> 0:12:22.880 apt comparison. Um, if you remember that that that team 0:12:22.920 --> 0:12:25.000 won a Super Bowl, but it was strictly defense and 0:12:25.040 --> 0:12:27.960 Peyton was really nothing more than, uh, you know, a 0:12:27.960 --> 0:12:31.439 game manager. In that, but you know they didn't quite 0:12:31.440 --> 0:12:33.400 have the talent to pull it off. But you know, 0:12:33.440 --> 0:12:35.320 the turnovers where the key of the game. Three of 0:12:35.320 --> 0:12:38.040 them were interceptions, and I know you could always kind 0:12:38.040 --> 0:12:40.800 of make some excuses, which you can for breeding a 0:12:40.840 --> 0:12:42.840 lot of tip balls and that sort of thing, but 0:12:43.080 --> 0:12:47.760 they still happen. And uh, you know, I think, certainly 0:12:47.800 --> 0:12:49.480 the writes on the law he comes back, I think 0:12:49.480 --> 0:12:51.960 it would be a big mistake for him. And you know, 0:12:52.240 --> 0:12:54.480 he has a great legacy. He does. Just because I'm 0:12:54.520 --> 0:12:57.760 not the biggest breeze guy doesn't mean that much. He's 0:12:57.760 --> 0:12:59.640 still going to go into the Hall of Fame first 0:12:59.679 --> 0:13:03.080 day he's eligible. So you know, I think it would 0:13:03.080 --> 0:13:07.680 certainly be a tarnishing his image if he were to 0:13:07.720 --> 0:13:10.160 come back right now. Yeah, no, Ship, You're right, No 0:13:10.240 --> 0:13:12.720 shame in forty two years old, just turned forty two. 0:13:13.360 --> 0:13:16.840 Hall of Famer immediately, what he's eligible. As you said, um, 0:13:16.880 --> 0:13:18.480 I had this Green Bay minus three. It's a it's 0:13:18.480 --> 0:13:20.160 a tick above that in many ways. You know, Look 0:13:20.160 --> 0:13:21.840 as we crescendo because we all want to talk about 0:13:21.840 --> 0:13:23.839 the Kansas City Cleveland game, because that's that's got the 0:13:23.880 --> 0:13:27.000 most meat on the bone. But the Tampa Bay New 0:13:27.080 --> 0:13:30.679 Orleans games simply came down to the turnovers period. It's 0:13:30.720 --> 0:13:35.120 that simple. The Packers Rams game, to me, simply just 0:13:35.160 --> 0:13:38.560 came down to the fact that Aaron Donald was not 0:13:38.720 --> 0:13:42.360 full strength. One tackle, no sacks, no quarterback hits one 0:13:42.400 --> 0:13:44.760 week after rib injury knocked him out of the window 0:13:44.840 --> 0:13:47.720 over Seattle last week which they won thirty twenty, but 0:13:47.760 --> 0:13:51.720 he clearly wasn't himself, had just one assist. As a 0:13:51.760 --> 0:13:54.920 matter of fact, the Rams defense zero sacks, zero takeaways. 0:13:55.120 --> 0:13:58.199 As I mentioned fo eighty four total yards allowed. Golf 0:13:58.240 --> 0:14:01.280 was one seventy four or one touchdown note picks. He 0:14:01.320 --> 0:14:03.960 was stacked four times. He ends up two and three 0:14:04.000 --> 0:14:06.640 now straight up in the playoffs. Jared Golf does has 0:14:06.640 --> 0:14:09.640 never thrown multiple touchdowns in the playoff game. The Rams, 0:14:09.679 --> 0:14:12.680 of these of these eight teams headed into the UH 0:14:12.720 --> 0:14:14.960 Divisional round, was the most flawed. I think of the 0:14:15.000 --> 0:14:18.040 teams UH and the Packers to me, I have them 0:14:18.080 --> 0:14:19.680 winning the Super Bowl. I have them beating the Chiefs. 0:14:19.680 --> 0:14:21.920 From before the playoffs started and when we did brackets 0:14:21.920 --> 0:14:25.240 on primetime Action, I think the Packers are the team 0:14:25.240 --> 0:14:29.400 to beat and Aaron Rodgers just looks so effortless, smiling 0:14:29.760 --> 0:14:32.720 as the other team is trying to figure out how 0:14:32.760 --> 0:14:36.880 to combat him. So, um yeah, I mean I think 0:14:36.880 --> 0:14:38.680 it's I think it's the Packers year. I think they 0:14:38.760 --> 0:14:41.320 had the weakest opponent of the bunch. They got it done. 0:14:41.560 --> 0:14:43.880 Wasn't wasn't a blowout in the end, right, the Rams 0:14:43.920 --> 0:14:46.720 hung around, But in the end, I don't think they 0:14:46.760 --> 0:14:50.720 had it on defense with Aaron Donald being diminished. No, 0:14:50.920 --> 0:14:53.040 I mean it just shows you what, you know, key 0:14:53.160 --> 0:14:56.360 players do make a big difference. And you know, they 0:14:56.440 --> 0:14:59.240 lost their best offensive player, the best defensive player, and 0:14:59.280 --> 0:15:01.480 I know we we knocked off a lot of people, 0:15:01.560 --> 0:15:04.120 knocked off quite a bit. I thought he played a 0:15:04.160 --> 0:15:06.560 really good game, you know, I thought, you know, he 0:15:06.880 --> 0:15:08.920 did as much as he could to keep that team 0:15:08.960 --> 0:15:10.880 in the game. And I think he deserves some credit 0:15:10.920 --> 0:15:13.880 for it. But going on, you know Rogers right now, 0:15:13.960 --> 0:15:17.720 I mean Rodgers, you know, he's a man, and uh 0:15:17.840 --> 0:15:20.600 you know, they talked about, you know, mid season it 0:15:20.640 --> 0:15:23.960 looked like there's gonna be between Rogers and my Homes 0:15:23.960 --> 0:15:26.680 for m v P. Then you know, Rogers has clearly 0:15:26.760 --> 0:15:30.560 passed him. I think he's playing just terrific ball, and uh, well, 0:15:30.600 --> 0:15:32.280 I think they're gonna win the Super Bowl and then 0:15:32.280 --> 0:15:36.640 includes winning and covering this game against Camp. Yeah, I 0:15:36.640 --> 0:15:38.320 I lean here in Green Bay. I don't you know, 0:15:38.360 --> 0:15:40.480 Bruce Arians. We have this tweet here. This is from 0:15:40.480 --> 0:15:44.240 Bill Barnwell. Um, again it really did come to It's 0:15:44.280 --> 0:15:45.920 just look, if you had a box score, if you 0:15:45.960 --> 0:15:48.160 had access to the box score, all you would have 0:15:48.200 --> 0:15:50.080 to do in the NFL games is go to the 0:15:50.080 --> 0:15:52.400 turnover column and you can pretty much figure the game 0:15:52.400 --> 0:15:55.560 win NBA, it's really three point shooting percentage. But here's 0:15:55.600 --> 0:15:58.040 Bill Barnwell. The Bucks went for it on fourth and 0:15:58.120 --> 0:16:01.680 one once during this game. Game they've you know, subsequently 0:16:01.680 --> 0:16:03.400 went six yards down the field fourth and one in 0:16:03.400 --> 0:16:06.360 their own territory. Subsequently went six yards down the field 0:16:06.360 --> 0:16:08.840 and scored. Another time was fourth and two, they kicked 0:16:08.880 --> 0:16:11.160 the field goal. Then on a fourth than one that 0:16:11.240 --> 0:16:14.000 you know, they punt. So Bruce Arians, who again, I'm 0:16:14.040 --> 0:16:16.760 worried he's trying to detonate himself the way he's trapped 0:16:16.760 --> 0:16:19.960 on like that. Uh, it's just his His decision making 0:16:20.080 --> 0:16:22.280 or that team's decision making is all over the board. 0:16:23.200 --> 0:16:26.600 Brady Brady, doesn't you know. Look, Brady Can is great 0:16:26.640 --> 0:16:29.200 at taking what the defense gives him, does throw the 0:16:29.240 --> 0:16:32.280 ball downfield unlike Drew Brees give him that much. But 0:16:32.360 --> 0:16:34.760 what Mike Evans had one? Did he have one catch 0:16:34.840 --> 0:16:36.680 ultimately in this game and they still ended up winning 0:16:36.720 --> 0:16:38.680 and it was all turnovers. So I don't know how 0:16:38.760 --> 0:16:41.960 much you can you can read into this, by the way, 0:16:42.000 --> 0:16:44.360 And when I asked Aaron Shots, now I'm just flipping 0:16:44.360 --> 0:16:46.080 all over place. But when I asked Aaron Shots before 0:16:46.080 --> 0:16:48.360 the season started about his football preview, what was the 0:16:48.400 --> 0:16:51.440 most amazing stat was the most was the thing that 0:16:51.480 --> 0:16:55.520 even you were shocked by when you did it before 0:16:55.560 --> 0:16:57.120 the season. And he said to me, he goes, you know, 0:16:57.120 --> 0:17:00.320 it's a it's a good question that you ask um. 0:17:00.360 --> 0:17:02.320 By the way, Mike Evans, yes, with just that one 0:17:02.400 --> 0:17:05.520 catch for three yards in the touchdown, And he said 0:17:05.520 --> 0:17:07.560 it was the fact that in the Saints last three 0:17:07.600 --> 0:17:11.800 off three playoff losses headed into this season, Michael Thomas 0:17:12.680 --> 0:17:17.679 had exactly three total third down catches in the saints 0:17:17.720 --> 0:17:21.720 previous three playoff losses, which was just an unbelievable stat 0:17:22.240 --> 0:17:26.800 and then yesterday he has zero catches. In the end, 0:17:27.040 --> 0:17:30.119 he was targeted four times, he ends up with zero 0:17:30.200 --> 0:17:34.399 catches and it's just it's incredible. It's it's absolutely incredible. 0:17:34.440 --> 0:17:37.160 So what was already the most amazing stat to him 0:17:37.560 --> 0:17:40.320 just goes on steroids yesterday without even a single catch, 0:17:40.440 --> 0:17:43.240 let alone not a catch on third down. And that's 0:17:43.280 --> 0:17:45.520 the Saints in the end. Do you do you you know, 0:17:45.520 --> 0:17:49.320 Sean Payton has had these playoff disasters, uh, if we 0:17:49.359 --> 0:17:51.920 can use that word, but these playoff losses now more 0:17:51.960 --> 0:17:54.600 than once, you feel the same about him as you 0:17:54.640 --> 0:18:01.359 have all year. No, um, you know, but I do think, 0:18:02.480 --> 0:18:06.479 you know, whatever, you know, however successful we see Breese, 0:18:06.680 --> 0:18:08.560 I think Sean Payton had a lot to do with that, 0:18:08.640 --> 0:18:11.960 she says, But you know, I mean football is just 0:18:12.080 --> 0:18:13.840 such a funny game, you know, it's you know, it's 0:18:13.880 --> 0:18:17.720 not like basketball, where like one turnover could mean so much. 0:18:18.440 --> 0:18:20.240 And we'll get to that with the Bills game, I 0:18:20.280 --> 0:18:22.320 guess when we talked about that one. But I mean, 0:18:22.520 --> 0:18:26.000 one turnover in basketball might mean you know, you know, 0:18:26.000 --> 0:18:28.119 the most, it's gonna mean six points you make it 0:18:28.200 --> 0:18:30.920 three or the other team makes it three. Um, but 0:18:31.040 --> 0:18:33.600 here it's just gonna be so dramatic, and it seems 0:18:33.600 --> 0:18:36.960 like he's had some bad luck in a couple of situations, 0:18:37.440 --> 0:18:41.320 you know, the past interference play, the long word digs 0:18:41.359 --> 0:18:44.480 went all the way on, you know, seemingly, you know, 0:18:44.600 --> 0:18:46.800 good player would have put the vikings into a field 0:18:46.840 --> 0:18:49.440 goal position. Um. And then you know he turns around 0:18:49.440 --> 0:18:51.359 and gotten missed the tackle and all of a sudden 0:18:51.359 --> 0:18:54.280 a six points. Um. So he I think he's been 0:18:55.160 --> 0:18:58.160 he's gotten some bad luck. So but when you keep 0:18:58.240 --> 0:19:00.640 losing those games, you know, and I think you made 0:19:00.640 --> 0:19:04.919 some questionable decisions with Paysom Hill Um, you know. So 0:19:04.960 --> 0:19:07.400 I don't know. I mean, listen, it's always easy from 0:19:07.440 --> 0:19:09.720 here to say what a coach. And I always hate 0:19:09.720 --> 0:19:12.600 the Internet Twitter. Every coach is an idiot, you know 0:19:12.640 --> 0:19:14.720 what I mean. I don't like to go there. You know, 0:19:14.800 --> 0:19:19.399 that's just what everybody does. But you know, not, you know, 0:19:19.600 --> 0:19:21.480 maybe a little bit, but not too much. I think 0:19:21.480 --> 0:19:23.399 he pulled a lot out of Breeze his whole career, 0:19:23.440 --> 0:19:25.359 including this year. He got as much as he could 0:19:25.359 --> 0:19:27.479 out of him. I just think that that it just 0:19:27.560 --> 0:19:32.000 wasn't there for during this year. Yeah. Um, those in 0:19:32.040 --> 0:19:34.960 many ways, those were the two of those two games 0:19:34.960 --> 0:19:38.439 were the least interesting of the four, uh this past weekend, 0:19:38.800 --> 0:19:41.760 And those I mean Green Bay I had going away 0:19:42.040 --> 0:19:44.080 and in the case of the States, they just couldn't 0:19:44.119 --> 0:19:46.600 get it there. They could not get it there even 0:19:46.600 --> 0:19:49.920 in uh in teasers and again it comes just down 0:19:50.240 --> 0:19:52.960 comes down to the turnovers. And that's all she wrote. 0:19:53.440 --> 0:19:55.720 We'll talk about, of course, the a f C Championship 0:19:55.720 --> 0:19:58.680 here momentarily. Just want to talk about some coaching moves 0:19:58.720 --> 0:20:00.320 that have happened there as we go to the break. 0:20:00.920 --> 0:20:04.679 In the case of the Rams, Brandon Staley, their defensive coordinator, 0:20:05.000 --> 0:20:07.919 hired by the Los Angeles Chargers to be their head coach, 0:20:08.880 --> 0:20:11.880