1 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:11,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. Good morning, I'm Nathan 2 00:00:11,039 --> 00:00:14,040 Speaker 1: Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're 3 00:00:14,040 --> 00:00:14,840 Speaker 1: following today. 4 00:00:15,040 --> 00:00:18,239 Speaker 2: Karen Oil is on the rise this morning following the 5 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:22,079 Speaker 2: latest developments in the Middle East. Hamas says Israel killed 6 00:00:22,120 --> 00:00:26,439 Speaker 2: its political leader Ismael Hania in an airstrike on Tehran. 7 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:30,080 Speaker 2: Hania is a chief negotiator for Hamas. He was in 8 00:00:30,080 --> 00:00:33,320 Speaker 2: Iran's capital for the inauguration of the country's new president. 9 00:00:33,640 --> 00:00:37,040 Speaker 2: Bloomberg's Dan Williams in Jerusalem says the killing follows the 10 00:00:37,080 --> 00:00:39,720 Speaker 2: recent death of another top level Hamas official. 11 00:00:40,159 --> 00:00:44,120 Speaker 3: It's very, very impressive in terms of operations. We're talking 12 00:00:44,120 --> 00:00:47,920 Speaker 3: about two Middle East capitals, two very senior targets with 13 00:00:48,040 --> 00:00:52,199 Speaker 3: apparently very limited damage around them, kind of surgical strikes 14 00:00:52,360 --> 00:00:55,680 Speaker 3: that could also be considered of strategic value. So in 15 00:00:55,680 --> 00:01:00,160 Speaker 3: a sense, Nataniel will have burnished his credentials here and 16 00:01:00,200 --> 00:01:04,280 Speaker 3: batted by the October seventh attacks that really blindsided Israel 17 00:01:04,600 --> 00:01:08,120 Speaker 3: and cause casualties on an unprecedented scale. 18 00:01:08,160 --> 00:01:11,120 Speaker 2: Bloomberg's Dan william says heny His death follows in Israeli 19 00:01:11,200 --> 00:01:15,000 Speaker 2: strike on beb Route last night, targeting a senior Hesbola commander. 20 00:01:15,040 --> 00:01:17,360 Speaker 2: That attack was a response to a rocket assault that 21 00:01:17,440 --> 00:01:20,280 Speaker 2: killed twelve young people in the Israeli controlled goal On 22 00:01:20,400 --> 00:01:21,440 Speaker 2: Heights over the weekend. 23 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:25,039 Speaker 1: Now, Nathan to another major story we're following this morning. 24 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:29,200 Speaker 1: The latest Bloomberg News Morning Consule poll of seven battleground states, 25 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:32,000 Speaker 1: conducted after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race, 26 00:01:32,319 --> 00:01:35,920 Speaker 1: shows Vice President Kamala Harris in a statistical tie with 27 00:01:36,040 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 1: Republican nominee Donald Trump. Bloomberg Amy Morris reports from Washington. 28 00:01:41,120 --> 00:01:44,399 Speaker 4: Harris is riding a wave of enthusiasm among young, Black 29 00:01:44,400 --> 00:01:47,160 Speaker 4: and Hispanic voters. More than a third of voters in 30 00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:50,320 Speaker 4: the seven battleground states said they're much more likely to 31 00:01:50,400 --> 00:01:53,040 Speaker 4: vote now that the contest is between Donald Trump and 32 00:01:53,080 --> 00:01:56,080 Speaker 4: Kamala Harris, and the numbers rose to forty nine percent 33 00:01:56,160 --> 00:01:59,840 Speaker 4: and forty four percent among Black and Hispanic voters, respectively. 34 00:02:00,240 --> 00:02:02,720 Speaker 4: Almost two thirds of Black voters say they are now 35 00:02:02,800 --> 00:02:05,960 Speaker 4: somewhat or much more likely to cast ballots in November. 36 00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:09,040 Speaker 4: The number suggests Harris has a shot at reassembling the 37 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:12,720 Speaker 4: voter coalition that propelled President Barack Obama to the White 38 00:02:12,720 --> 00:02:15,720 Speaker 4: House in Washington. Amy Morris, Bloomberg Radio. 39 00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:16,239 Speaker 5: All right, Amy, thank you. 40 00:02:16,320 --> 00:02:16,400 Speaker 3: Now. 41 00:02:16,480 --> 00:02:19,440 Speaker 2: Vice President Harris is honing her campaign on those battleground 42 00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:22,120 Speaker 2: states and focusing on the issue that Donald Trump's been 43 00:02:22,120 --> 00:02:25,400 Speaker 2: looking to use against her, border security. Not a rally 44 00:02:25,400 --> 00:02:28,360 Speaker 2: in Atlanta, Georgia, Harris said, the former president helped tank 45 00:02:28,360 --> 00:02:31,160 Speaker 2: a bipartisan border bill in Congress earlier this year. 46 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:36,640 Speaker 4: It's my pledge to you as president, I will bring 47 00:02:36,720 --> 00:02:40,359 Speaker 4: back the border security bill that Donald Trump killed. 48 00:02:43,880 --> 00:02:46,960 Speaker 2: Vice President Harris now plans to tour all seven battleground 49 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:50,640 Speaker 2: states next week with her new running mate. She hasn't 50 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:53,079 Speaker 2: picked one yet, but a source tells Bloomberg News she's 51 00:02:53,120 --> 00:02:56,480 Speaker 2: going to do interviews this week. Harris's VP shortlist is 52 00:02:56,520 --> 00:03:00,760 Speaker 2: said to include Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro, Minnesota Walls, and 53 00:03:00,960 --> 00:03:03,600 Speaker 2: Arizona Senator Mark Kelly Well Nathan. 54 00:03:03,600 --> 00:03:05,640 Speaker 1: We turn to the markets now. In reaction to US 55 00:03:05,720 --> 00:03:08,680 Speaker 1: slough of earnings, shares a Microsoft down more than two 56 00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:11,600 Speaker 1: percent this morning. The company's as You're a cloud computing 57 00:03:11,720 --> 00:03:15,280 Speaker 1: service posting as slowed down in quarterly growth. As Bloomberg 58 00:03:15,280 --> 00:03:19,080 Speaker 1: technology host at Ludlower reports, that's disappointing investors anxious to 59 00:03:19,080 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 1: see a payoff from huge investments in artificial intelligence products. 60 00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:27,239 Speaker 6: Ultimately, Microsoft as Your Cloud Services growth is slowing while 61 00:03:27,240 --> 00:03:30,600 Speaker 6: capital expenditures are going up. So as Yours Cloud Services 62 00:03:30,639 --> 00:03:33,800 Speaker 6: saw twenty nine percent top line growth, eight percent contribution 63 00:03:33,919 --> 00:03:37,280 Speaker 6: specifically from artificial intelligence. That was up from a seven 64 00:03:37,280 --> 00:03:40,960 Speaker 6: percent contribution from AI in the prior quarter. But this 65 00:03:41,120 --> 00:03:43,400 Speaker 6: is a quarter where one you don't miss estimates, the 66 00:03:43,440 --> 00:03:46,720 Speaker 6: street punishes you. But also we know that it's about 67 00:03:46,760 --> 00:03:49,320 Speaker 6: the money machine right. Investors look very closely at the 68 00:03:49,360 --> 00:03:53,480 Speaker 6: money going in on AI investment into infrastructure. For Microsoft, 69 00:03:53,560 --> 00:03:56,520 Speaker 6: there was a significant jump there. They're finding it hard 70 00:03:56,520 --> 00:03:59,000 Speaker 6: to see the money coming out. Ed Ludlow for Bloomberg 71 00:03:59,040 --> 00:04:00,280 Speaker 6: News in New York's. 72 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:02,440 Speaker 2: All right, ed, thank you. On the flip side, shares 73 00:04:02,480 --> 00:04:05,280 Speaker 2: of Advanced micro Devices are up more than nine percent. 74 00:04:05,360 --> 00:04:08,560 Speaker 2: The chip maker gave an upbeat revenue forecast, underscoring its 75 00:04:08,680 --> 00:04:12,440 Speaker 2: new artificial intelligence processors are boosting growth. 76 00:04:12,440 --> 00:04:16,160 Speaker 1: And Nathan Shares of Tokyo Electron and ASML are surging 77 00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:19,040 Speaker 1: this morning. The gains come after Reuters reported the Biden 78 00:04:19,080 --> 00:04:23,760 Speaker 1: administration plan to exempt ship equipment makers in Japan, the Netherlands, 79 00:04:23,760 --> 00:04:26,599 Speaker 1: and South Korea from upcoming export restrictions. 80 00:04:26,720 --> 00:04:29,440 Speaker 2: Thank Care and Shares of Nvidia are up about five percent. 81 00:04:29,520 --> 00:04:33,000 Speaker 2: It's been renamed the top us chip stock pick at 82 00:04:33,080 --> 00:04:36,320 Speaker 2: Morgan Stanley. Analysts there say the recent selloff in Nvidia 83 00:04:36,720 --> 00:04:38,039 Speaker 2: provided a good entry point. 84 00:04:39,240 --> 00:04:41,880 Speaker 1: Well, Nathan, we stay in the semiconductor space, and Intel 85 00:04:41,960 --> 00:04:44,520 Speaker 1: is planning to eliminate thousands of jobs. We get the 86 00:04:44,520 --> 00:04:46,360 Speaker 1: details at Bloomberg's Doug Chrisner. 87 00:04:46,640 --> 00:04:49,560 Speaker 7: The cuts are aimed at reducing cost and funding an 88 00:04:49,560 --> 00:04:52,240 Speaker 7: ambitious effort to recover from a slump in earnings and 89 00:04:52,279 --> 00:04:54,760 Speaker 7: a loss of market share. We are told the cuts 90 00:04:54,800 --> 00:04:57,680 Speaker 7: may be announced as early as this week. Intel has 91 00:04:57,680 --> 00:05:01,360 Speaker 7: about one hundred and ten thousand employees, excluding workers at 92 00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:05,320 Speaker 7: units being spun off. CEO Pat Gelsinger is spending heavily 93 00:05:05,360 --> 00:05:08,720 Speaker 7: on research and development to help Intel return to prominence 94 00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:12,960 Speaker 7: in the semiconductor industry. Rivals such as advanced micro devices 95 00:05:13,160 --> 00:05:16,520 Speaker 7: have caught up and taken market share. Intel is scheduled 96 00:05:16,520 --> 00:05:19,520 Speaker 7: to report second quarter earnings on Thursday in New York. 97 00:05:19,560 --> 00:05:21,119 Speaker 7: I'm Doug Prisoner Bloomberg Radio. 98 00:05:21,440 --> 00:05:21,919 Speaker 8: Doug Thanks. 99 00:05:21,920 --> 00:05:25,480 Speaker 2: In Europe, shares of HSBC are up four percent earnings 100 00:05:25,520 --> 00:05:27,960 Speaker 2: top estimates, and the bank also announced a three billion 101 00:05:28,000 --> 00:05:31,080 Speaker 2: dollar stock buyback. We caught up with Noel Quinn, who 102 00:05:31,160 --> 00:05:34,680 Speaker 2: just finished his final quarter as boss of HSBC. 103 00:05:35,240 --> 00:05:37,920 Speaker 9: I'm feeling really good. I think we've delivered a very 104 00:05:37,920 --> 00:05:39,960 Speaker 9: strong set of results in the first six months of 105 00:05:40,000 --> 00:05:43,480 Speaker 9: this year, following a record profit year last year. So 106 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:47,320 Speaker 9: really please that we've delivered a return on tansual equitcy 107 00:05:48,520 --> 00:05:51,280 Speaker 9: of seventeen percent excluding notable items. 108 00:05:51,680 --> 00:05:54,640 Speaker 2: HSBC's Noel Quinn will hand over the CEO rains to 109 00:05:54,680 --> 00:05:58,280 Speaker 2: the current Chief Financial Officer, George el Hedri in September. 110 00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:02,320 Speaker 1: The big event on themicfront comes this afternoon, Nathan, when 111 00:06:02,320 --> 00:06:06,560 Speaker 1: the Fed makes a policy decision. While no move is expected, 112 00:06:06,560 --> 00:06:09,480 Speaker 1: investors will be looking for clues if a September rate 113 00:06:09,560 --> 00:06:12,240 Speaker 1: cut is on tap. And we get more from Bloomberg's 114 00:06:12,279 --> 00:06:13,160 Speaker 1: Michael McKee. 115 00:06:13,400 --> 00:06:16,480 Speaker 10: The Central Bank is not expected to change interest rates today, 116 00:06:16,600 --> 00:06:19,279 Speaker 10: but what they say and how they say it is 117 00:06:19,279 --> 00:06:22,080 Speaker 10: what Wall Street is looking for. They're not offering new 118 00:06:22,080 --> 00:06:25,640 Speaker 10: forecasts or a dot plot update, but Fed officials are 119 00:06:25,680 --> 00:06:28,880 Speaker 10: widely expected to signal a rate cut maybe coming at 120 00:06:28,880 --> 00:06:32,200 Speaker 10: their September meeting. The question is how specific will they 121 00:06:32,240 --> 00:06:35,560 Speaker 10: be in the statement or in Chairman Powell's news conference. 122 00:06:35,800 --> 00:06:38,559 Speaker 10: How much confidence do they have that inflation is coming 123 00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:41,839 Speaker 10: down and that the economy is not weakening too much. 124 00:06:42,200 --> 00:06:44,880 Speaker 10: Will they be explicit or just offer hints they can 125 00:06:44,920 --> 00:06:47,280 Speaker 10: back away from. Michael McKee Bloomberg Radio. 126 00:06:47,400 --> 00:06:49,160 Speaker 1: All right, Michael, thank you, and please join us for 127 00:06:49,279 --> 00:06:51,880 Speaker 1: special coverage of the Fed decision. It all begins at 128 00:06:51,880 --> 00:06:56,080 Speaker 1: one thirty pm on Bloomberg Radio and television and YouTube. 129 00:06:56,279 --> 00:06:59,320 Speaker 2: And Karen, we got a central bank decision in Asia. 130 00:06:59,400 --> 00:07:02,400 Speaker 2: The Bank of Japa hand raised its benchmark interest rate 131 00:07:02,480 --> 00:07:06,960 Speaker 2: and unveiled plans to have bond purchases, underscoring the boj's 132 00:07:07,000 --> 00:07:10,679 Speaker 2: determination to normalize monetary policy. And the end is moving 133 00:07:10,760 --> 00:07:12,880 Speaker 2: higher on the news right now, it's stronger by one 134 00:07:12,920 --> 00:07:15,320 Speaker 2: point three percent against the dollar, trading at one point 135 00:07:15,320 --> 00:07:17,080 Speaker 2: fifty point seventy seven. 136 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:22,040 Speaker 1: Time now for a look at some of the other 137 00:07:22,160 --> 00:07:24,239 Speaker 1: stories making news in New York and around the world. 138 00:07:24,240 --> 00:07:26,480 Speaker 1: And for that we're joined by Bloomberg's John Tucker. John, 139 00:07:26,480 --> 00:07:28,000 Speaker 1: good morning, Good morning, Karen. 140 00:07:28,160 --> 00:07:31,000 Speaker 11: The Carter Center says it was unable to verify the 141 00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:35,160 Speaker 11: results of Venezuela's presidential election. The Atlanta based group also 142 00:07:35,240 --> 00:07:39,040 Speaker 11: blaming authorities for a complete lack of transparency and declaring 143 00:07:39,120 --> 00:07:42,800 Speaker 11: Nicholas Baduro the winner. Meanwhile, Venezuela and government leaders are 144 00:07:42,880 --> 00:07:46,120 Speaker 11: ratcheting up attacks on their opponents. They included Collins with 145 00:07:46,120 --> 00:07:49,760 Speaker 11: the arrest of opposition candidate at Mundo Gonzalez, who supporters 146 00:07:49,760 --> 00:07:53,160 Speaker 11: say won by a landslide. Senators from both sides of 147 00:07:53,200 --> 00:07:56,040 Speaker 11: the aisle had a joint committee congressional hearing on the 148 00:07:56,040 --> 00:07:59,960 Speaker 11: attempted Trump assassination say they're not satisfied with Secret Service 149 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:04,200 Speaker 11: Director Kim Cheetle's resignation. Lawmakers are calling for a fundamental 150 00:08:04,240 --> 00:08:08,520 Speaker 11: restructuring of the agency. Republican Senator Ron Johnson of Wisconsin 151 00:08:08,640 --> 00:08:12,520 Speaker 11: called for more transparency from the FBI and the Secret Service. 152 00:08:12,760 --> 00:08:16,080 Speaker 12: We have to have transcribed interviews of all the Secret 153 00:08:16,120 --> 00:08:19,880 Speaker 12: Service personnel at the site, people involved the planning. This 154 00:08:19,960 --> 00:08:22,600 Speaker 12: is just table stakes, and we need those interviews fast. 155 00:08:22,800 --> 00:08:24,640 Speaker 12: We need them now because memories fade. 156 00:08:25,520 --> 00:08:29,200 Speaker 11: Acting Secret Service Director Ronald Rose says that he's ashamed 157 00:08:29,280 --> 00:08:31,480 Speaker 11: of the failures that allowed a gunman to fire eight 158 00:08:31,520 --> 00:08:34,840 Speaker 11: shots at the former president. The Park Fire at Northern 159 00:08:34,880 --> 00:08:39,160 Speaker 11: California became the fifth largest wildfire in state history. Evacuation 160 00:08:39,320 --> 00:08:42,000 Speaker 11: orders were lifted in the town of Paradise, which was 161 00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:45,319 Speaker 11: leveled in twenty eighteen, but a campfire that killed eighty 162 00:08:45,360 --> 00:08:48,120 Speaker 11: five people. This man lost his home in that fire. 163 00:08:48,360 --> 00:08:51,080 Speaker 11: Yesterday he and his wife returned to find the home 164 00:08:51,080 --> 00:08:53,440 Speaker 11: that they had rebuilt destroyed again. 165 00:08:54,000 --> 00:08:56,679 Speaker 2: I can't say it's easier the second time, but you're 166 00:08:56,720 --> 00:08:58,520 Speaker 2: more numb to it the second time around. 167 00:08:58,520 --> 00:09:02,960 Speaker 11: Obviously, firefighters could faced triple digit temperatures in the days ahead. 168 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:05,760 Speaker 11: By a vote of ninety one to three, the Senate 169 00:09:05,800 --> 00:09:08,400 Speaker 11: passed a package of the Internet safety bills aimed at 170 00:09:08,480 --> 00:09:12,439 Speaker 11: keeping kids safe online. Sent up Majority Leader Chuck Schumer. 171 00:09:12,320 --> 00:09:16,960 Speaker 5: Now we call on the House to pass these common sense, 172 00:09:17,640 --> 00:09:20,080 Speaker 5: bipartisan life saving bills. 173 00:09:20,880 --> 00:09:24,160 Speaker 11: Senators Ran Paul, Mike Lee, and Ron Wyden voted against 174 00:09:24,160 --> 00:09:28,400 Speaker 11: the package, citing concerns about freedom of speech. Global News 175 00:09:28,520 --> 00:09:30,240 Speaker 11: twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it 176 00:09:30,280 --> 00:09:33,280 Speaker 11: with Bloomberg News. Now, I'm John Tucker, and they see 177 00:09:33,320 --> 00:09:35,600 Speaker 11: is Bloomberg Nathan and Karen All. 178 00:09:35,559 --> 00:09:43,240 Speaker 1: Right, John, thank you time now for the Bloomberg Sports 179 00:09:43,320 --> 00:09:45,000 Speaker 1: Update with John stash Hour. 180 00:09:45,120 --> 00:09:47,559 Speaker 5: John, good morning, Good morning. Karen looks at the Yankee 181 00:09:47,559 --> 00:09:50,079 Speaker 5: Winning Street is going to end in Philadelphia. The day 182 00:09:50,120 --> 00:09:52,840 Speaker 5: began when Garrett Coles start being pushed back a few 183 00:09:52,920 --> 00:09:55,760 Speaker 5: days due to arm fatigue, so Will Warren made his 184 00:09:55,880 --> 00:09:58,400 Speaker 5: major league debut. Austin Hayes at a three run homer 185 00:09:58,440 --> 00:10:00,720 Speaker 5: off him. The Phillies led for to one. The Yanks 186 00:10:00,760 --> 00:10:03,640 Speaker 5: came back their new third baseman, Jazz Chisholm, who hit 187 00:10:03,679 --> 00:10:05,520 Speaker 5: two home runs Monday, hit a solo shot in the 188 00:10:05,559 --> 00:10:08,000 Speaker 5: sixth inning, then came up with two on in the 189 00:10:08,120 --> 00:10:12,239 Speaker 5: seventh shrump pitches swung on hit James. 190 00:10:12,040 --> 00:10:18,120 Speaker 13: To right that ghost Castianos at the wall, Baby another one, 191 00:10:18,679 --> 00:10:25,080 Speaker 13: Sady Semigal smooth ches does it again. 192 00:10:25,440 --> 00:10:27,520 Speaker 5: You fa and the call. Yanks led five to four 193 00:10:27,600 --> 00:10:29,959 Speaker 5: until a Clay Holmes wild pitch bottom of the ninth. 194 00:10:30,120 --> 00:10:32,760 Speaker 5: Neither team scored in the tenth inning, both scored in 195 00:10:32,800 --> 00:10:35,520 Speaker 5: the eleventh. Only the Yankees scored in the twelfth. They 196 00:10:35,520 --> 00:10:37,880 Speaker 5: won seven to six, go for a series sweep. This afternoon. 197 00:10:37,920 --> 00:10:40,680 Speaker 5: Only one player in major league history had previously done 198 00:10:40,679 --> 00:10:43,520 Speaker 5: what Chisholm has now done four home runs over the 199 00:10:43,520 --> 00:10:45,679 Speaker 5: first three games with the new team and cityfield. The 200 00:10:45,679 --> 00:10:48,520 Speaker 5: Mets followed up Mondays fifteen to two rout of the 201 00:10:48,520 --> 00:10:51,680 Speaker 5: Twins with a two to nothing shutout. Superb pitching from 202 00:10:51,720 --> 00:10:54,280 Speaker 5: Sean and I. At the trade deadline, the Mets acquired 203 00:10:54,360 --> 00:10:57,800 Speaker 5: starting pitcher Paul Blackburn from Oakland. The Yankees added two relievers, 204 00:10:57,840 --> 00:11:01,080 Speaker 5: including Mark Leier Junior from the Cubs. She pitched the 205 00:11:01,160 --> 00:11:03,520 Speaker 5: tenth inning last night. Among the events today at the 206 00:11:03,520 --> 00:11:07,199 Speaker 5: Paris Olympics, though women's fifteen hundred meters Katie Thedecki owns 207 00:11:07,240 --> 00:11:11,160 Speaker 5: the nineteen fastest times ever. She's the heavy favorite, as 208 00:11:11,200 --> 00:11:14,360 Speaker 5: the women's gymnastics team was yesterday and they prevailed with 209 00:11:14,480 --> 00:11:17,000 Speaker 5: the gold medal that eluded them three years ago in Tokyo. 210 00:11:17,440 --> 00:11:20,000 Speaker 5: John Stasha, We're Bloomberg Sports carry Nathan. 211 00:11:22,120 --> 00:11:26,160 Speaker 14: Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio, nationwide on Sirius XM, 212 00:11:26,360 --> 00:11:29,240 Speaker 14: and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the 213 00:11:29,280 --> 00:11:33,640 Speaker 14: Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning. 214 00:11:33,640 --> 00:11:36,640 Speaker 2: I'm Nathan Hager. The Middle East is bracing for further 215 00:11:36,760 --> 00:11:39,800 Speaker 2: violence after the death of Hamas as political leader. The 216 00:11:39,800 --> 00:11:43,080 Speaker 2: Iran backed militant group says Ismail Hania was killed in 217 00:11:43,120 --> 00:11:47,199 Speaker 2: an Israeli airstrike on Tehran, and now Iran's supreme leader 218 00:11:47,240 --> 00:11:50,680 Speaker 2: is promising quote severe retaliation for the latest We are 219 00:11:50,760 --> 00:11:53,880 Speaker 2: joined now by Bloomberg's Kevin Whitelaw Kevin, good morning. What 220 00:11:54,200 --> 00:11:57,160 Speaker 2: is the latest that we know about this assassination. 221 00:11:57,720 --> 00:11:59,800 Speaker 15: Well, you know, as as usual in cases like this, 222 00:12:00,280 --> 00:12:04,319 Speaker 15: Israel has been reasonably silent on it. But obviously the 223 00:12:04,840 --> 00:12:08,360 Speaker 15: Hamas has blamed Israel for this assassination attempt, which appears 224 00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:11,679 Speaker 15: to have been carried out in Iran at his residence. 225 00:12:11,760 --> 00:12:16,040 Speaker 15: So this obviously is coming on the heels of another 226 00:12:17,400 --> 00:12:20,760 Speaker 15: attack Israel said it carried out and killing a Hesbelah 227 00:12:20,800 --> 00:12:23,760 Speaker 15: commander in Lebanon. So that's sparking a lot of concern 228 00:12:23,800 --> 00:12:27,480 Speaker 15: that this could intensify the conflict, widen the conflict even 229 00:12:28,440 --> 00:12:32,560 Speaker 15: and also sort of dashes some hopes for possible ceasefire 230 00:12:32,600 --> 00:12:36,880 Speaker 15: negotiations since Henea was sort of the main interlocutor in 231 00:12:37,000 --> 00:12:39,800 Speaker 15: the various talks between you know, sort of that were 232 00:12:39,800 --> 00:12:41,400 Speaker 15: being broken between Israel and himas. 233 00:12:41,840 --> 00:12:45,200 Speaker 2: Now and in the meantime, you mentioned the killing of 234 00:12:45,240 --> 00:12:48,680 Speaker 2: that senior hesbel A commander in response to the Goal 235 00:12:48,760 --> 00:12:50,960 Speaker 2: on Heights attack. Up to now that had been seen 236 00:12:51,000 --> 00:12:53,440 Speaker 2: as something of a muted response. But what could the 237 00:12:53,480 --> 00:12:58,199 Speaker 2: response be now that we have two major leaders of 238 00:12:58,280 --> 00:13:01,960 Speaker 2: Iran backed groups take out in the Middle East. 239 00:13:02,400 --> 00:13:04,640 Speaker 15: Well, that's just right. It does have the potential to 240 00:13:04,760 --> 00:13:06,680 Speaker 15: escalate things, one coming on the heels of the other, 241 00:13:06,720 --> 00:13:09,439 Speaker 15: and this one is particularly the second one is particularly 242 00:13:09,440 --> 00:13:15,080 Speaker 15: embarrassing for Iran, which obviously backs both financially and militarily, 243 00:13:15,120 --> 00:13:18,600 Speaker 15: backs both of US and HESBLA to various to varying decrees. 244 00:13:18,720 --> 00:13:21,240 Speaker 15: It's very embarrassing for Tehran that since it happened, you know, 245 00:13:21,440 --> 00:13:25,400 Speaker 15: inside their own country, so they may well feel that 246 00:13:25,440 --> 00:13:29,000 Speaker 15: they need to respond, and obviously Israel could, depending on 247 00:13:29,040 --> 00:13:31,439 Speaker 15: what happens, then widen it out further. So there are 248 00:13:31,640 --> 00:13:34,680 Speaker 15: very very stark concerns about this. You've seen the price 249 00:13:34,679 --> 00:13:37,680 Speaker 15: of oil go up on it. But at the same time, 250 00:13:37,720 --> 00:13:42,800 Speaker 15: Iran had been looking for ways to sort of ease 251 00:13:42,840 --> 00:13:45,199 Speaker 15: some of the sanctions they're under and been some talk 252 00:13:45,280 --> 00:13:48,000 Speaker 15: about possibly reaching out to the West. So you know, 253 00:13:48,040 --> 00:13:52,960 Speaker 15: there's still a path away from an escalation here. It's 254 00:13:53,000 --> 00:13:54,959 Speaker 15: just not clear that that that's where it's going to 255 00:13:55,000 --> 00:13:55,360 Speaker 15: be headed. 256 00:13:55,559 --> 00:13:58,320 Speaker 2: But as you mentioned, smile Hania was also a key 257 00:13:58,679 --> 00:14:02,480 Speaker 2: figure in the negotiations for a ceasefire between Israel and 258 00:14:02,559 --> 00:14:05,680 Speaker 2: Hamas in Gaza. I mean, does this just throw that 259 00:14:05,840 --> 00:14:07,240 Speaker 2: process up in the air now? 260 00:14:07,400 --> 00:14:09,559 Speaker 15: Well, it definitely does. I think we're going to wait 261 00:14:09,600 --> 00:14:11,840 Speaker 15: to see what the real reaction is. We've seen the 262 00:14:11,840 --> 00:14:13,960 Speaker 15: reaction from Cutters so far, but sort of more in 263 00:14:14,000 --> 00:14:16,160 Speaker 15: the form of a question, which is sort of how 264 00:14:16,160 --> 00:14:18,240 Speaker 15: do you expect to have negotiations when you kill the 265 00:14:18,320 --> 00:14:21,120 Speaker 15: one of the chief negotiators. So we'll have to see 266 00:14:21,280 --> 00:14:23,640 Speaker 15: in the coming days and weeks what that actually means 267 00:14:23,640 --> 00:14:25,840 Speaker 15: for this. You know, keep in mind Tomas is under 268 00:14:25,960 --> 00:14:29,520 Speaker 15: eight tont of pressure from the Israeli assault, and so 269 00:14:30,280 --> 00:14:33,680 Speaker 15: it is you know, there are some of some of 270 00:14:33,680 --> 00:14:36,480 Speaker 15: the various dynamics that were pushing them towards towards the 271 00:14:36,680 --> 00:14:39,520 Speaker 15: talks are obviously still there, but this does make it 272 00:14:39,560 --> 00:14:42,600 Speaker 15: a lot harder for either side to trust in the 273 00:14:42,600 --> 00:14:43,480 Speaker 15: idea of a ceasefire. 274 00:14:43,720 --> 00:14:45,640 Speaker 2: Of course, the next US president is going to have 275 00:14:45,680 --> 00:14:49,440 Speaker 2: to deal with Middle East tensions foreign policy as well. 276 00:14:49,600 --> 00:14:52,200 Speaker 2: And we have a new look at the state of 277 00:14:52,320 --> 00:14:55,640 Speaker 2: the presidential race in our latest Bloomberg News Morning Consult 278 00:14:55,680 --> 00:14:58,600 Speaker 2: pull kind of a shift in the dynamic now with 279 00:14:58,680 --> 00:15:00,880 Speaker 2: Kamala Harris on top of the Democratic ticket. 280 00:15:01,400 --> 00:15:04,880 Speaker 15: Yeah, it's really interesting just how much that shifted there 281 00:15:04,960 --> 00:15:07,280 Speaker 15: where you did have you know, Trump with with a 282 00:15:07,320 --> 00:15:10,480 Speaker 15: reasonably clear lead. It's now basically showing up as a 283 00:15:10,520 --> 00:15:14,760 Speaker 15: statistical tie in most of the key key battleground states. 284 00:15:15,280 --> 00:15:18,200 Speaker 15: I think to me the most interesting figure in the 285 00:15:18,240 --> 00:15:23,720 Speaker 15: poll was you're seeing the a number of different key 286 00:15:23,760 --> 00:15:27,440 Speaker 15: groups that that Democrats need to win, sort of blacks 287 00:15:27,480 --> 00:15:33,320 Speaker 15: and young voters and women. You're seeing a much higher 288 00:15:33,440 --> 00:15:37,000 Speaker 15: propensity a likelihood of plan to actually vote in November. 289 00:15:37,080 --> 00:15:40,560 Speaker 15: So obviously turnout is in all of these states is 290 00:15:40,600 --> 00:15:42,240 Speaker 15: going to be an enormous factor. And I think that 291 00:15:42,280 --> 00:15:44,760 Speaker 15: had been something that was really weighing on the Democrats 292 00:15:44,800 --> 00:15:47,320 Speaker 15: when Biden was still atop the ticket, this notion that 293 00:15:47,360 --> 00:15:50,400 Speaker 15: people just would just stay home they didn't like their choices. 294 00:15:50,480 --> 00:15:53,120 Speaker 15: So seeing that the the a lot a lot of 295 00:15:53,160 --> 00:15:55,400 Speaker 15: people and their key demographics are now a lot more 296 00:15:55,560 --> 00:15:58,840 Speaker 15: likely to turn out in November, that's going to booie 297 00:15:58,840 --> 00:16:00,840 Speaker 15: a lot of hopes in in the Harris camp. 298 00:16:01,040 --> 00:16:04,080 Speaker 8: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Today, your morning brief on the 299 00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:07,560 Speaker 8: stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 300 00:16:07,840 --> 00:16:10,600 Speaker 1: Look for us on your podcast feed at six am 301 00:16:10,680 --> 00:16:14,320 Speaker 1: Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you 302 00:16:14,400 --> 00:16:15,560 Speaker 1: get your podcasts. 303 00:16:15,680 --> 00:16:18,400 Speaker 8: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 304 00:16:18,440 --> 00:16:21,080 Speaker 8: am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 305 00:16:21,080 --> 00:16:23,960 Speaker 8: in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, 306 00:16:24,040 --> 00:16:26,920 Speaker 8: Bloomberg one oh six to one in Boston, and Bloomberg 307 00:16:27,000 --> 00:16:28,680 Speaker 8: ninety sixty in San Francisco. 308 00:16:29,040 --> 00:16:32,200 Speaker 1: Our flagship New York station is also available on your 309 00:16:32,240 --> 00:16:37,680 Speaker 1: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty plus. 310 00:16:37,720 --> 00:16:41,280 Speaker 8: Listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app, seriusxmb 311 00:16:41,440 --> 00:16:45,520 Speaker 8: iHeartRadio app, and on Bloomberg dot Com. I'm Nathan Hager. 312 00:16:45,280 --> 00:16:48,400 Speaker 1: And I'm Karen Moscow. Join us again tomorrow morning for 313 00:16:48,560 --> 00:16:51,040 Speaker 1: all the news you need to start your day right 314 00:16:51,080 --> 00:17:01,880 Speaker 1: here on Bloomberg Daybreak