1 00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:03,680 Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game? Do us prow 2 00:00:04,400 --> 00:00:05,440 Speaker 1: read enough? 3 00:00:06,200 --> 00:00:15,000 Speaker 2: There were running a game so smoothe so sweet, slipid. 4 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:17,440 Speaker 3: Sixteing, just glorious execution. 5 00:00:18,239 --> 00:00:21,160 Speaker 1: Guys, all I'm looking for is sixty percent effort four 6 00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:22,520 Speaker 1: thousand percent of the time. 7 00:00:23,160 --> 00:00:24,239 Speaker 3: How shot with that? 8 00:00:24,600 --> 00:00:27,520 Speaker 1: Shop with mind bog buddy, and that's why you see 9 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:29,440 Speaker 1: your beautiful tiers. 10 00:00:29,720 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 2: Look at his movements, the. 11 00:00:30,960 --> 00:00:32,280 Speaker 3: Most dangerous amount of the planet. 12 00:00:32,320 --> 00:00:33,040 Speaker 2: Nobody picks them. 13 00:00:35,680 --> 00:00:38,680 Speaker 1: Shut up, I'm trying. 14 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 3: The love. 15 00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:47,040 Speaker 1: It's left to the wide eyed drill pibws. 16 00:00:47,680 --> 00:00:50,040 Speaker 2: How old Earth pick that happens? 17 00:00:52,479 --> 00:00:55,240 Speaker 3: Hello and welcome to Wonder Goal, the soccer betting podcast 18 00:00:55,280 --> 00:00:58,720 Speaker 3: from the Action Network. I'm Anthony D. Bundo, joined as 19 00:00:58,760 --> 00:01:02,480 Speaker 3: always by BJ cunning him. Michael Leboff is out celebrating 20 00:01:02,880 --> 00:01:07,119 Speaker 3: the Leaf's elimination from the NHL Playoffs. He's on NHL 21 00:01:07,200 --> 00:01:09,720 Speaker 3: duty tonight, so we will not have mister Leeboff to 22 00:01:09,720 --> 00:01:13,600 Speaker 3: talk about the Champions League. So the Carlo Ancelotti homersm 23 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:16,200 Speaker 3: and defense will not be present on tonight's show. But 24 00:01:16,720 --> 00:01:18,800 Speaker 3: BJA and I are here to break it down to 25 00:01:18,880 --> 00:01:21,760 Speaker 3: discuss the first legs. What we learned from the Champions 26 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:25,040 Speaker 3: League Europa League, Conference League, and what we can expect 27 00:01:25,440 --> 00:01:29,600 Speaker 3: in this second leg. Semi final matchups We're gonna start 28 00:01:29,600 --> 00:01:31,600 Speaker 3: on Wednesday because I think it's the more exciting matchup. 29 00:01:31,640 --> 00:01:34,360 Speaker 3: We have two Titans of Europe going at it, Real 30 00:01:34,400 --> 00:01:40,959 Speaker 3: Madrid and Bayern Munich. The first leg was early similar 31 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:43,759 Speaker 3: to me to Arsenal and Bayern. When you go back 32 00:01:43,800 --> 00:01:46,840 Speaker 3: and look at how that match played out, it felt 33 00:01:46,880 --> 00:01:49,120 Speaker 3: throughout that Byron was the better team. They had more 34 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:51,120 Speaker 3: of the control of the game, they created more of 35 00:01:51,160 --> 00:01:55,080 Speaker 3: the so called chances. But Real Madrid created the best 36 00:01:55,160 --> 00:01:59,560 Speaker 3: chance because of their abilities to play in those transition moments. 37 00:01:59,640 --> 00:02:02,760 Speaker 3: And you know, Kim and Jay gets deeked and then 38 00:02:02,800 --> 00:02:04,680 Speaker 3: gives away a pen and it's two to two. Going 39 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:08,720 Speaker 3: back to Real Madrid where they seem to never lose. 40 00:02:08,720 --> 00:02:12,520 Speaker 3: Real Madrid minus won ten on the three way money line, 41 00:02:13,040 --> 00:02:15,760 Speaker 3: and Bayern Munich is as high as plus one seventy 42 00:02:15,800 --> 00:02:19,040 Speaker 3: five to advance BJ You gave out Byron before the 43 00:02:19,040 --> 00:02:22,240 Speaker 3: first leg to advance around plus one fifty five right 44 00:02:23,240 --> 00:02:25,799 Speaker 3: coming into the tie, I had some value on Byron. 45 00:02:25,800 --> 00:02:27,920 Speaker 3: I did not bet them, and now I have to 46 00:02:27,919 --> 00:02:30,320 Speaker 3: decide do I hop in so kind of what did 47 00:02:30,360 --> 00:02:32,959 Speaker 3: you learn from the first leg and are we adding 48 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:35,600 Speaker 3: to Byron, are we going with the under that's going 49 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:38,320 Speaker 3: to lose, or what's the thought on the second leg 50 00:02:38,320 --> 00:02:39,640 Speaker 3: of this Champions League matchup? 51 00:02:40,000 --> 00:02:43,919 Speaker 1: Yeah, I you know, like you said, Byron was really 52 00:02:43,919 --> 00:02:45,840 Speaker 1: good in the first leg. And if you're somebody who 53 00:02:46,440 --> 00:02:49,399 Speaker 1: is holding a Byron to advanced ticket from the first leg. 54 00:02:49,320 --> 00:02:51,200 Speaker 2: I wouldn't add anything to it. I would just ride 55 00:02:51,200 --> 00:02:51,480 Speaker 2: it out. 56 00:02:51,720 --> 00:02:54,800 Speaker 1: But if you're somebody who doesn't have to advanced ticket, 57 00:02:54,840 --> 00:02:58,120 Speaker 1: I would bet it at plus one seventy five. Byron 58 00:02:58,160 --> 00:03:02,200 Speaker 1: did something that city was either unwilling or PEP was 59 00:03:02,280 --> 00:03:05,760 Speaker 1: just too obsessed with to not do, which is try 60 00:03:05,760 --> 00:03:08,680 Speaker 1: and attack Real Madrid from wide areas. They constantly were 61 00:03:08,680 --> 00:03:12,280 Speaker 1: trying to stretch their low block creates create space, not 62 00:03:12,320 --> 00:03:14,320 Speaker 1: necessarily through the middle for people coming through. 63 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:15,359 Speaker 2: But in the half spaces. 64 00:03:15,440 --> 00:03:18,440 Speaker 1: And if you've watched in the first half, Leroy Sane 65 00:03:19,040 --> 00:03:20,960 Speaker 1: was getting in there time and time again. Same thing 66 00:03:21,000 --> 00:03:23,720 Speaker 1: with Musiala. They just weren't finishing and they weren't creating 67 00:03:23,760 --> 00:03:25,760 Speaker 1: the big chance. But if you go through all of 68 00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:28,880 Speaker 1: the data from the match, I mean Byron doubled Real 69 00:03:28,880 --> 00:03:32,760 Speaker 1: Madrid in box entries, twenty to ten. They had double 70 00:03:32,800 --> 00:03:36,320 Speaker 1: the amount of passes completed in the final third half spaces. 71 00:03:36,560 --> 00:03:38,240 Speaker 2: It was a very. 72 00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:40,040 Speaker 1: You know, and that's the thing about Touchel is obviously 73 00:03:40,960 --> 00:03:43,520 Speaker 1: in a one off game setting, he's incredible because he 74 00:03:43,640 --> 00:03:45,560 Speaker 1: takes whatever your weakness is and he just blitz it 75 00:03:45,600 --> 00:03:47,200 Speaker 1: over and over again. And that's what he was trying 76 00:03:47,240 --> 00:03:49,240 Speaker 1: to do. He was trying to get Real Madrid where 77 00:03:49,240 --> 00:03:51,520 Speaker 1: their weakest in the wide areas, and you saw two 78 00:03:51,520 --> 00:03:52,760 Speaker 1: of many many times was. 79 00:03:52,800 --> 00:03:54,560 Speaker 2: Like wait, do I go this way? Wait do I 80 00:03:54,600 --> 00:03:55,080 Speaker 2: go that way? 81 00:03:55,080 --> 00:03:56,760 Speaker 1: Like where am I going to help so we don't 82 00:03:56,760 --> 00:04:00,000 Speaker 1: get overloaded in wide areas? And Byron did that very well. 83 00:04:00,080 --> 00:04:03,160 Speaker 1: Now I know, in the end, you know, they failed 84 00:04:03,200 --> 00:04:06,640 Speaker 1: to create over one non penalty expected goal, but again 85 00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:09,800 Speaker 1: they were constantly threatening, pinning Real Madrid into their final third, 86 00:04:10,520 --> 00:04:12,760 Speaker 1: and honestly, I thought their defensive game plan was really 87 00:04:12,800 --> 00:04:18,000 Speaker 1: good as well. You know, the one chance from Venezis 88 00:04:18,080 --> 00:04:20,479 Speaker 1: Junior is just on a pure mistake and then like 89 00:04:20,480 --> 00:04:22,440 Speaker 1: you said, they got the penalty as well. Outside of 90 00:04:22,600 --> 00:04:25,360 Speaker 1: those two, Real Madrid took seven other shots and only 91 00:04:25,400 --> 00:04:28,320 Speaker 1: created half an expected goal. I thought Byron came with 92 00:04:28,360 --> 00:04:31,440 Speaker 1: the same exact approach that they had against Arsenal, which 93 00:04:31,480 --> 00:04:34,120 Speaker 1: is we're going to play a passive mid block, we're 94 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:36,080 Speaker 1: gonna cut off space for the middle, and I thought 95 00:04:36,120 --> 00:04:38,640 Speaker 1: they did a really really good job of playing in that. 96 00:04:38,760 --> 00:04:40,479 Speaker 1: Like I said, you know, they held Real Madrid to 97 00:04:40,560 --> 00:04:44,120 Speaker 1: ten box entries, so who's to say they can't go 98 00:04:44,160 --> 00:04:47,040 Speaker 1: on the road and do this again, right, Like, they 99 00:04:47,080 --> 00:04:49,839 Speaker 1: also didn't really allow Real Madrid to play in transition, 100 00:04:49,880 --> 00:04:51,800 Speaker 1: even though they were playing from behind for most of 101 00:04:51,839 --> 00:04:54,599 Speaker 1: the first half. They did a really good job counterpressing, 102 00:04:54,600 --> 00:04:57,520 Speaker 1: stopping all of those transition moments that Real Madrid couldn't 103 00:04:57,520 --> 00:05:00,960 Speaker 1: do what they do best. And I think there's something 104 00:05:01,000 --> 00:05:04,279 Speaker 1: to be said about Real Madrid where it's kind of funny. 105 00:05:04,320 --> 00:05:07,000 Speaker 1: They're really good in scenarios, Like if you look through 106 00:05:07,040 --> 00:05:10,239 Speaker 1: all the data from La Liga, they're really good playing 107 00:05:10,279 --> 00:05:13,400 Speaker 1: from behind and also playing with the lead, you know, 108 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:15,360 Speaker 1: like when they have the onus is on them, they 109 00:05:15,480 --> 00:05:17,359 Speaker 1: kind of get into it and it's like, okay, we 110 00:05:17,440 --> 00:05:19,320 Speaker 1: got to you know, they're not a very good pressing team, 111 00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:22,240 Speaker 1: but they're very very good when they're the onus is 112 00:05:22,279 --> 00:05:24,640 Speaker 1: on them to actually attack, and that because they have 113 00:05:24,720 --> 00:05:26,520 Speaker 1: some the best players in the world. But from an 114 00:05:26,520 --> 00:05:29,160 Speaker 1: even game state, they only have about a plus a 115 00:05:29,160 --> 00:05:32,200 Speaker 1: half expected goal differential for ninety in La Liga, which 116 00:05:32,279 --> 00:05:37,560 Speaker 1: kind of just emphasizes the point that maybe they're not 117 00:05:37,800 --> 00:05:40,880 Speaker 1: this elite team that the market thinks they are. Right, 118 00:05:41,040 --> 00:05:42,640 Speaker 1: That's kind of what we thought coming in the first leg, 119 00:05:42,680 --> 00:05:45,159 Speaker 1: and after seeing what happened in that first leg, the 120 00:05:45,200 --> 00:05:48,360 Speaker 1: market kind of still thinks like, Okay, we'll downgrade Real 121 00:05:48,400 --> 00:05:51,040 Speaker 1: Madrid just a little bit, you know, because because they 122 00:05:51,040 --> 00:05:54,119 Speaker 1: have home field advantage. But I think these two teams 123 00:05:54,120 --> 00:05:56,640 Speaker 1: are pretty even, quite frankly, and I think that plus 124 00:05:56,680 --> 00:05:58,680 Speaker 1: one seventy five is a little too high of a price. 125 00:05:58,760 --> 00:06:02,520 Speaker 1: So again, if you haven't played Byron to advance yet, 126 00:06:02,640 --> 00:06:03,320 Speaker 1: I would. 127 00:06:03,040 --> 00:06:04,479 Speaker 2: Play them at plus one seventy five. 128 00:06:05,320 --> 00:06:06,760 Speaker 3: Yeah. I think the most interesting thing in the first 129 00:06:06,839 --> 00:06:09,480 Speaker 3: leg was, you know, Real Madrid came out and tried 130 00:06:09,520 --> 00:06:12,160 Speaker 3: to put a little bit of pressure on Byron similar 131 00:06:12,200 --> 00:06:14,039 Speaker 3: to what they did to City in the first leg 132 00:06:14,080 --> 00:06:17,080 Speaker 3: at in Real Madrid. And it was very early on, 133 00:06:17,120 --> 00:06:20,000 Speaker 3: I'm talking like first ten minutes, and immediately within a 134 00:06:20,040 --> 00:06:23,400 Speaker 3: minute Byron almost scored like sone was in Yeah, and 135 00:06:23,440 --> 00:06:26,680 Speaker 3: they immediately abandoned that and when they were out of possession, 136 00:06:27,760 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 3: they did not press much at all after the tenth 137 00:06:30,000 --> 00:06:32,600 Speaker 3: or so minute. They were pretty passive themselves. I think 138 00:06:32,600 --> 00:06:35,839 Speaker 3: it's interesting because I mean, look, I bet the under 139 00:06:35,839 --> 00:06:38,040 Speaker 3: three i'd lost, I would have bet it again. There 140 00:06:38,040 --> 00:06:40,720 Speaker 3: were two penalties, whatever happens. But I do think it's 141 00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:44,080 Speaker 3: interesting as you look to the second leg because Bayern Munich, 142 00:06:44,480 --> 00:06:46,320 Speaker 3: you know, we're expecting Real Madrid to have a majority 143 00:06:46,320 --> 00:06:47,680 Speaker 3: of the possession. The owners is going to be on 144 00:06:47,800 --> 00:06:50,920 Speaker 3: them to control this game as the home team. Byron 145 00:06:51,000 --> 00:06:53,240 Speaker 3: is very comfortable sitting in their defensive shape and they 146 00:06:53,240 --> 00:06:54,880 Speaker 3: did it against Arsenal, and I thought they were pretty 147 00:06:54,920 --> 00:06:57,320 Speaker 3: effective against Arsenal, and I do think it's the best 148 00:06:57,360 --> 00:06:59,920 Speaker 3: way to counteract Reality to just give them the ball 149 00:07:00,240 --> 00:07:02,960 Speaker 3: because if you, you know, overcommit yourself, they're so lethal 150 00:07:03,040 --> 00:07:05,760 Speaker 3: on the break. But Real Madrid themselves aren't going to 151 00:07:05,760 --> 00:07:07,760 Speaker 3: press when they don't have the possession, so Byron will 152 00:07:07,760 --> 00:07:10,520 Speaker 3: get a chance to kind of play their stuff. The 153 00:07:10,600 --> 00:07:13,320 Speaker 3: question is, though, if Real Madrid does drop back when 154 00:07:13,320 --> 00:07:15,600 Speaker 3: they're out of possession, how good is Bayern going to 155 00:07:15,600 --> 00:07:18,000 Speaker 3: be at actually creating chances Because they did a pretty 156 00:07:18,080 --> 00:07:21,360 Speaker 3: nice job I thought outside of that fifteen minute period 157 00:07:21,440 --> 00:07:24,080 Speaker 3: in the early coming out of halftime, I didn't think 158 00:07:24,080 --> 00:07:25,960 Speaker 3: Byron had a ton of chances either that were like 159 00:07:26,080 --> 00:07:28,640 Speaker 3: high quality looks, you know, I'd say from like minute 160 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:32,160 Speaker 3: ten to minute eighty outside of that poor stretch that 161 00:07:32,240 --> 00:07:35,200 Speaker 3: Real had. So I still trust this Real Madrid defense, 162 00:07:35,200 --> 00:07:37,240 Speaker 3: maybe more than I should. I still believe in the 163 00:07:37,240 --> 00:07:38,760 Speaker 3: fact that they've been so much better in that league 164 00:07:38,760 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 3: of this year. And I do think that when either 165 00:07:40,880 --> 00:07:43,800 Speaker 3: defense is sitting in kind of their rest defense and 166 00:07:43,920 --> 00:07:46,480 Speaker 3: neither team is pressing as much as you would expect 167 00:07:46,480 --> 00:07:51,280 Speaker 3: for like this high caliber, you know, Titan match, there's 168 00:07:51,320 --> 00:07:52,840 Speaker 3: just not as much pressing. It's not like you know, 169 00:07:52,880 --> 00:07:55,800 Speaker 3: your Liverpool's or your even you know, to a lesser 170 00:07:55,800 --> 00:07:58,640 Speaker 3: extent Dortmann and PSG are doing. You're not going to 171 00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:00,000 Speaker 3: see as much pressing in this game, and so I 172 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:03,320 Speaker 3: think as a result, it does tend to make it 173 00:08:03,480 --> 00:08:06,400 Speaker 3: more risk averse. And I'm very tempted to play the 174 00:08:06,480 --> 00:08:08,680 Speaker 3: under even though I continue to get burned by these 175 00:08:09,640 --> 00:08:12,240 Speaker 3: Champions League unders and the goals seem to always come 176 00:08:12,280 --> 00:08:15,840 Speaker 3: from nothing. But as of right now, I think pretty 177 00:08:15,880 --> 00:08:17,240 Speaker 3: much I'm not gonna have a bet here. I'm gonna 178 00:08:17,240 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 3: put my feet up on the couch and enjoy it 179 00:08:19,840 --> 00:08:22,920 Speaker 3: and likely not have a wager. As lame as that sounds. 180 00:08:23,520 --> 00:08:27,080 Speaker 3: If three became plus money, I think I would invest, 181 00:08:28,000 --> 00:08:30,320 Speaker 3: just because I think the like I said, as whoever 182 00:08:30,400 --> 00:08:32,960 Speaker 3: is leading, I do trust their rest defense to hold 183 00:08:33,040 --> 00:08:35,920 Speaker 3: up under the pressure. So that's where I'm mind on 184 00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:38,840 Speaker 3: this one before we go to the other semifinal where 185 00:08:38,880 --> 00:08:42,760 Speaker 3: we got a pretty shocking first leg result. Reminder that 186 00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:45,079 Speaker 3: wonder goal is presented by Bet three six five and 187 00:08:45,120 --> 00:08:47,400 Speaker 3: Bet three sixty five doesn't do ordinary. That's why you 188 00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:49,800 Speaker 3: get more boosts with them than with anyone else. Every 189 00:08:49,880 --> 00:08:52,160 Speaker 3: day they power up the odds on hundreds of bets 190 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:55,000 Speaker 3: to give you a chance to win more. Bet three 191 00:08:55,000 --> 00:08:58,239 Speaker 3: sixty five boose specific markets your winnings and even parlays, 192 00:08:58,440 --> 00:09:00,120 Speaker 3: and they don't stop there. Keep an eye out for 193 00:09:00,160 --> 00:09:02,560 Speaker 3: their biggest and best odds with the incredible super boost. 194 00:09:02,960 --> 00:09:05,480 Speaker 3: Check out the boosts and see why it's never ordinary 195 00:09:05,480 --> 00:09:08,200 Speaker 3: at Bet three sixty five. Disclaimer you must be twenty 196 00:09:08,200 --> 00:09:11,440 Speaker 3: one or older and President Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, 197 00:09:11,480 --> 00:09:14,480 Speaker 3: New Jersey, Ohio, Virginia. We're eighteen year older. In Kentucky, 198 00:09:14,640 --> 00:09:17,199 Speaker 3: gave a problem called one hundred gambler or one d 199 00:09:17,240 --> 00:09:22,400 Speaker 3: bets off in Iowa terms, conditions and restrictions apply. Okay, 200 00:09:22,480 --> 00:09:26,480 Speaker 3: so I think we both had PSG team total on 201 00:09:26,559 --> 00:09:30,960 Speaker 3: Wednesday in the first leg in the yellow Wall. Shout 202 00:09:30,960 --> 00:09:34,240 Speaker 3: out Jamie Carragher for some incredible content of him getting 203 00:09:34,320 --> 00:09:36,200 Speaker 3: drunk in the yellow Wall with the dormund fans. I 204 00:09:36,320 --> 00:09:41,120 Speaker 3: particularly enjoyed that. But PSG, after a pretty lackluster first 205 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:43,040 Speaker 3: half where it never felt like they were going to score, 206 00:09:43,480 --> 00:09:46,600 Speaker 3: spent the entire second half peppering the dormant goal and 207 00:09:48,160 --> 00:09:49,439 Speaker 3: I feel like they've hit the post in the time 208 00:09:49,480 --> 00:09:52,840 Speaker 3: it took me to promo this game. So two posts, 209 00:09:53,120 --> 00:09:55,720 Speaker 3: two free headers from inside the six yard box, over 210 00:09:55,760 --> 00:09:59,600 Speaker 3: too expected goals. They finished with nothing. They lose one 211 00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:03,120 Speaker 3: MILLI home and I thought, hey, you know, the market 212 00:10:03,360 --> 00:10:06,240 Speaker 3: has liked this Dortmund team more than I thought. Maybe 213 00:10:06,280 --> 00:10:08,560 Speaker 3: we'll get a good number coming back against them in 214 00:10:08,600 --> 00:10:10,920 Speaker 3: the second leg. That is not to be the case 215 00:10:11,440 --> 00:10:16,360 Speaker 3: because PSG is a massive home favorite here, not just 216 00:10:16,520 --> 00:10:21,160 Speaker 3: to win the match outright minus two hundred plus five 217 00:10:21,160 --> 00:10:23,600 Speaker 3: to fifty on the road, but they are still a 218 00:10:23,600 --> 00:10:26,400 Speaker 3: pretty solid favorite to advance to the semi or to 219 00:10:26,480 --> 00:10:29,880 Speaker 3: the final. Rather, despite being down that goal, they are 220 00:10:29,920 --> 00:10:33,920 Speaker 3: minus one fifty at three sixty five Dortmund plus one 221 00:10:34,120 --> 00:10:40,800 Speaker 3: ten BJ. Dortmund has played eleven matches in this Champions League. 222 00:10:41,240 --> 00:10:45,400 Speaker 3: They've either tied or lost the XG in nine of them. 223 00:10:46,760 --> 00:10:49,080 Speaker 3: That is a historic run. Gregor Kolb has been great. 224 00:10:49,120 --> 00:10:51,760 Speaker 3: They've benefited from some finishing variants that's gone their way. 225 00:10:52,400 --> 00:10:54,560 Speaker 3: I do think, you know, we're gonna spend a lot 226 00:10:54,600 --> 00:10:59,040 Speaker 3: of time probably bashing Dortmund. We should credit them for 227 00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:02,319 Speaker 3: the Jaden Sancho was how much they were able to 228 00:11:02,320 --> 00:11:06,600 Speaker 3: get at PSG. They had numerous chances themselves. So before we, 229 00:11:07,080 --> 00:11:09,240 Speaker 3: you know, get into this, how concerned are you about 230 00:11:09,280 --> 00:11:12,000 Speaker 3: PSG defensively going into the second leg. 231 00:11:14,200 --> 00:11:15,000 Speaker 2: Well, a little bit. 232 00:11:15,120 --> 00:11:16,959 Speaker 1: I mean the goal they gave up was a pretty 233 00:11:17,000 --> 00:11:20,280 Speaker 1: simple ball over the top. And the way that this 234 00:11:20,400 --> 00:11:25,520 Speaker 1: leg sets up it allows Dortmund to do what they 235 00:11:25,559 --> 00:11:28,520 Speaker 1: do best. And I thought in the first leg, you know, 236 00:11:28,559 --> 00:11:32,200 Speaker 1: if you look at how those big chances. 237 00:11:31,760 --> 00:11:33,680 Speaker 2: That came off the post and everything. 238 00:11:33,320 --> 00:11:37,920 Speaker 1: Were created, Dorman really learned from their previous two encounters 239 00:11:37,920 --> 00:11:41,840 Speaker 1: with PSG of what not to do right. Like they 240 00:11:42,320 --> 00:11:45,880 Speaker 1: they did improve on the fact of like, okay, PSG 241 00:11:46,000 --> 00:11:48,920 Speaker 1: just burned us in transition time and time again, let's 242 00:11:48,960 --> 00:11:52,240 Speaker 1: not let them do that. So they ended up sitting 243 00:11:52,640 --> 00:11:55,079 Speaker 1: a little bit deeper. They pressed high sometimes, but if 244 00:11:55,080 --> 00:11:57,319 Speaker 1: they did get beat or the PSG got through the 245 00:11:57,320 --> 00:11:59,960 Speaker 1: first line of pressure, they were high tailing a past 246 00:12:00,120 --> 00:12:03,480 Speaker 1: to make sure they had numbers back there. And now 247 00:12:03,520 --> 00:12:08,120 Speaker 1: they're going to be in a situation where when Dortman's 248 00:12:08,120 --> 00:12:13,640 Speaker 1: at their best, it's playing a mid type of block 249 00:12:13,800 --> 00:12:16,480 Speaker 1: and playing in transition, right, Like all of their players 250 00:12:16,679 --> 00:12:19,120 Speaker 1: are really designed to play in transition. They have built 251 00:12:19,160 --> 00:12:22,840 Speaker 1: out of the back a little bit, and I just 252 00:12:22,880 --> 00:12:26,640 Speaker 1: don't see a scenario where they're going to really come 253 00:12:26,679 --> 00:12:29,600 Speaker 1: out of that defensive block or really try to be 254 00:12:30,200 --> 00:12:33,479 Speaker 1: essentially like a like they usually are in the Bundesliga. 255 00:12:35,280 --> 00:12:38,240 Speaker 2: Some can. I mean, they also. 256 00:12:39,040 --> 00:12:44,720 Speaker 1: Really did an outstanding job of utilizing Jaden Sancho to 257 00:12:44,840 --> 00:12:47,840 Speaker 1: his best possible ability. They dropped him deep and build 258 00:12:47,880 --> 00:12:50,600 Speaker 1: up many times, thirty four touches for him in the 259 00:12:50,640 --> 00:12:53,360 Speaker 1: middle third of the pitch that was the second most 260 00:12:53,440 --> 00:12:55,800 Speaker 1: on Dormann, just showing how much they utilized him and 261 00:12:55,840 --> 00:12:58,920 Speaker 1: build up. And now it's not only him but Julian 262 00:12:58,960 --> 00:13:01,280 Speaker 1: bront is also a player that's in kind of the 263 00:13:01,320 --> 00:13:04,679 Speaker 1: same mold as Jaden Sancho. He's somebody that drops deep, 264 00:13:04,840 --> 00:13:08,679 Speaker 1: somebody can be more of an attacking prowess, and they 265 00:13:08,760 --> 00:13:11,240 Speaker 1: used him more as an attacking guy and he ends up, 266 00:13:11,559 --> 00:13:14,920 Speaker 1: you know, creating a bunch of chances there for Dortmund. 267 00:13:14,920 --> 00:13:17,800 Speaker 1: I mean, Folkrig had a simple cross that he. 268 00:13:17,720 --> 00:13:19,520 Speaker 2: Could have put in. It could have made Dortmant to nothing. 269 00:13:19,600 --> 00:13:23,360 Speaker 1: So where I've kind of landed on this, like you said, 270 00:13:23,400 --> 00:13:26,480 Speaker 1: like I was getting ready to defade Dortmant again, Like 271 00:13:26,720 --> 00:13:31,839 Speaker 1: they still have like very clear flaws. But if you're 272 00:13:31,880 --> 00:13:34,360 Speaker 1: somebody that's holding like a PSG sixteen to one ticket, 273 00:13:34,720 --> 00:13:36,120 Speaker 1: I don't know how you don't throw a half unit 274 00:13:36,160 --> 00:13:38,120 Speaker 1: on Dormant at seven to one to win the Champions League. 275 00:13:38,160 --> 00:13:39,920 Speaker 1: Like I get they suck, and I get that they've 276 00:13:40,120 --> 00:13:43,559 Speaker 1: been on this historic run, but I mean that price 277 00:13:43,600 --> 00:13:46,440 Speaker 1: with a one goal advantage is kind of crazy to me. Honestly, 278 00:13:46,559 --> 00:13:49,720 Speaker 1: I in my opinion, with them being only plus one 279 00:13:49,800 --> 00:13:51,599 Speaker 1: ten to advance, then you can obviously hedge them in 280 00:13:51,640 --> 00:13:54,360 Speaker 1: the final and help you you know, they lock box 281 00:13:54,400 --> 00:13:56,440 Speaker 1: one more, but. 282 00:13:55,880 --> 00:13:57,160 Speaker 3: But they're still going to be three to one in 283 00:13:57,160 --> 00:14:00,760 Speaker 3: the final. It's true, like they should be line way 284 00:14:01,160 --> 00:14:05,200 Speaker 3: larger than I mean, Inter was plus three hundred to 285 00:14:05,200 --> 00:14:07,760 Speaker 3: lift the trophy if I recalled correctly last year, that 286 00:14:07,880 --> 00:14:10,080 Speaker 3: Inter team got way more market respect than this dormant 287 00:14:10,080 --> 00:14:12,280 Speaker 3: team did. So you're still looking at a pretty tough 288 00:14:12,320 --> 00:14:15,280 Speaker 3: one in the final. I mean Real Madrid and and 289 00:14:15,400 --> 00:14:17,880 Speaker 3: Bayern are both minus two hundred against Dormant in a 290 00:14:17,920 --> 00:14:19,280 Speaker 3: final money line. 291 00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:21,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, yes they are. 292 00:14:21,960 --> 00:14:24,120 Speaker 1: But I mean you still have a chance obviously too, 293 00:14:24,400 --> 00:14:26,480 Speaker 1: you know, because like we're talking about, you know, risk 294 00:14:26,520 --> 00:14:28,880 Speaker 1: adverse here right like here, if somebody has PSG sixteen 295 00:14:28,920 --> 00:14:31,000 Speaker 1: to one, you can let it ride. But again, I 296 00:14:31,040 --> 00:14:32,600 Speaker 1: think that this price is just a little bit out 297 00:14:32,640 --> 00:14:35,040 Speaker 1: of line. I know Dortmann's been running really good, but 298 00:14:35,080 --> 00:14:37,080 Speaker 1: I think that this matchup actually sets up pretty well 299 00:14:37,120 --> 00:14:39,560 Speaker 1: for them, given what they were able to do in 300 00:14:39,600 --> 00:14:41,440 Speaker 1: the first leg and even when they were sitting in 301 00:14:41,480 --> 00:14:43,280 Speaker 1: that low defensive block. I know they gave a couple 302 00:14:43,320 --> 00:14:45,960 Speaker 1: free headers, but like you said, for the first half, 303 00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:48,920 Speaker 1: PSG didn't really do anything and they kind of isolated 304 00:14:49,320 --> 00:14:51,040 Speaker 1: in Bope at times. You know, if you go with 305 00:14:51,080 --> 00:14:53,240 Speaker 1: the pass map, Bope kind of struggled to get the 306 00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:55,400 Speaker 1: ball until the second half, and they were just kind 307 00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:57,440 Speaker 1: of living with Dimble having the ball on the right 308 00:14:57,480 --> 00:15:00,480 Speaker 1: side of the pitch, and they did it job of 309 00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:04,680 Speaker 1: defending it. So I mean, it wouldn't shock me if 310 00:15:04,720 --> 00:15:09,360 Speaker 1: they got a result and went through here. So I'm 311 00:15:09,400 --> 00:15:11,200 Speaker 1: still debating whether I'm matching to take them at seven 312 00:15:11,240 --> 00:15:14,480 Speaker 1: to one. I might or I might just just let 313 00:15:14,560 --> 00:15:15,800 Speaker 1: it happen. But I don't actually have a. 314 00:15:15,840 --> 00:15:17,640 Speaker 2: Bet on this game. I think the price on PSG's 315 00:15:17,640 --> 00:15:19,800 Speaker 2: too high, but I don't want to lay dormand. 316 00:15:20,720 --> 00:15:23,080 Speaker 3: Trying to find the BTTs over two and a half. Yeah, 317 00:15:23,080 --> 00:15:26,760 Speaker 3: minus one twenty the Dubundo special, I think I'm going 318 00:15:26,760 --> 00:15:30,600 Speaker 3: about that. I really don't trust either defense, and it's 319 00:15:30,680 --> 00:15:33,320 Speaker 3: kind of both teams play the all right, let's just 320 00:15:33,320 --> 00:15:36,920 Speaker 3: pretend we have the ball offense and defensive approach because 321 00:15:37,000 --> 00:15:38,960 Speaker 3: neither team has ball winners. And you know, it was 322 00:15:39,000 --> 00:15:42,920 Speaker 3: funny the commentary leading into the first leg. Wow, you know, 323 00:15:43,160 --> 00:15:45,280 Speaker 3: Luis en Riquez really put out a midfield that suggests 324 00:15:45,280 --> 00:15:48,640 Speaker 3: he's going to go for it, and from a tactical perspective, 325 00:15:48,680 --> 00:15:50,280 Speaker 3: they didn't really get much in terms of chances, but 326 00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:52,680 Speaker 3: it was a pretty open first half, even though they 327 00:15:52,680 --> 00:15:56,440 Speaker 3: weren't a ton of chances. This match ended with sixty 328 00:15:56,480 --> 00:16:00,680 Speaker 3: three total first half touches in the penalty turtle touches 329 00:16:00,720 --> 00:16:03,440 Speaker 3: in the penalty area for the two teams combined. And 330 00:16:03,480 --> 00:16:05,480 Speaker 3: I think it's kind of similar to PSG BARSA. I 331 00:16:05,560 --> 00:16:08,200 Speaker 3: know they will end up being goals in that, but 332 00:16:08,360 --> 00:16:11,480 Speaker 3: this the first leg of Dortmund PSG wasn't that different 333 00:16:11,560 --> 00:16:14,960 Speaker 3: from the first leg of PSG BARSA. Essentially, there were 334 00:16:15,040 --> 00:16:17,560 Speaker 3: just more better finishes and thus there were more goals. 335 00:16:17,880 --> 00:16:20,520 Speaker 3: But if teams took their chances better, this easily could 336 00:16:20,560 --> 00:16:22,800 Speaker 3: have been a two two. So I think both teams 337 00:16:22,800 --> 00:16:25,560 Speaker 3: score over two and a half. You think, hey, PSG 338 00:16:26,720 --> 00:16:30,160 Speaker 3: from the jump has to push and they're out of possession. 339 00:16:30,200 --> 00:16:34,480 Speaker 3: Defense remains their biggest weakness, and so does Dortmund's. And 340 00:16:34,600 --> 00:16:37,280 Speaker 3: so how good is Dortmann gonna be able to hold 341 00:16:37,320 --> 00:16:40,400 Speaker 3: up on the road defensively when PSG's applying a ton 342 00:16:40,440 --> 00:16:42,880 Speaker 3: of pressure. I don't think too well. And I actually 343 00:16:42,880 --> 00:16:46,360 Speaker 3: thought and Bob was very quiet in the first matchup. 344 00:16:46,400 --> 00:16:48,200 Speaker 3: I know he hit the post in that early sequence 345 00:16:48,240 --> 00:16:50,640 Speaker 3: of the second half, but overall I didn't think he 346 00:16:50,720 --> 00:16:53,520 Speaker 3: had a huge great game and I mean we said 347 00:16:53,520 --> 00:16:55,640 Speaker 3: this ahead of the second leg against Barsa, you can 348 00:16:55,720 --> 00:16:58,240 Speaker 3: have a good plan against Imbabbe only had seven touches. 349 00:16:58,920 --> 00:17:01,440 Speaker 3: He took three total show hit the post. All three 350 00:17:01,440 --> 00:17:04,960 Speaker 3: of his shots were pretty low quality chances. But what 351 00:17:05,119 --> 00:17:09,080 Speaker 3: happens if they move him out wide and then isolate 352 00:17:09,160 --> 00:17:12,280 Speaker 3: him on the full backs and they play a striker 353 00:17:12,359 --> 00:17:16,000 Speaker 3: century like Kolhajuani starts instead of instead of Barcola like 354 00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:18,400 Speaker 3: that would be really interesting to me. I would love 355 00:17:18,440 --> 00:17:21,679 Speaker 3: to see that because I think they would torch Tortman 356 00:17:21,840 --> 00:17:23,720 Speaker 3: on the wings and then get a ton of you 357 00:17:23,800 --> 00:17:27,760 Speaker 3: know good dangerous low low block or you know low 358 00:17:27,880 --> 00:17:34,240 Speaker 3: entries into the penalty area. So I think PSG unleashes offensively, 359 00:17:34,280 --> 00:17:36,560 Speaker 3: and I do think Dortmund will consistently be able to 360 00:17:36,560 --> 00:17:40,359 Speaker 3: get them on the break even if PSG wins this match. 361 00:17:40,400 --> 00:17:42,639 Speaker 3: So I'm gonna go vote team to score over two 362 00:17:42,640 --> 00:17:45,679 Speaker 3: and a half minus one twenty the square play of 363 00:17:45,760 --> 00:17:48,880 Speaker 3: the Dundo special, just to have some action and yeah, 364 00:17:48,880 --> 00:17:53,520 Speaker 3: hopfully PSG can get our ticket to the final. Our preseason, 365 00:17:53,600 --> 00:17:55,840 Speaker 3: I think you've got real Madrid, right. 366 00:17:56,040 --> 00:17:58,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, I thought this, This guy that's playing for PSG 367 00:17:58,280 --> 00:17:59,800 Speaker 1: was already going to be at Real Madrid. 368 00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:01,320 Speaker 2: According to the reports. 369 00:18:01,760 --> 00:18:04,800 Speaker 1: I think I made that bet like like twenty four 370 00:18:04,800 --> 00:18:07,639 Speaker 1: hours after the last Champions League final was over. So 371 00:18:08,320 --> 00:18:10,120 Speaker 1: I'm just gonna ride that ticket. And then I also 372 00:18:10,160 --> 00:18:13,320 Speaker 1: have a PSG plus two seventy five as well. That 373 00:18:14,400 --> 00:18:17,679 Speaker 1: still debating whether I'm gonna put some money on Dortmund 374 00:18:17,760 --> 00:18:17,919 Speaker 1: or not. 375 00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:20,120 Speaker 2: No I will. 376 00:18:20,400 --> 00:18:21,320 Speaker 1: I will just say one thing. 377 00:18:21,640 --> 00:18:24,000 Speaker 3: I can't see dortmannd Making winning the final. 378 00:18:24,200 --> 00:18:27,320 Speaker 1: Well, I will say one thing. The only thing that 379 00:18:27,400 --> 00:18:31,879 Speaker 1: I want from this and money aside, is that I 380 00:18:31,920 --> 00:18:35,840 Speaker 1: would like to see the funniest possible thing happen, which 381 00:18:35,880 --> 00:18:37,720 Speaker 1: is Byron and Dorman meeting the final, and to have 382 00:18:37,800 --> 00:18:40,040 Speaker 1: Dortmund win just right in Harry Kane space. That would 383 00:18:40,080 --> 00:18:42,720 Speaker 1: be really funny. I would like that a lot. 384 00:18:43,040 --> 00:18:46,840 Speaker 3: Yeah. I was with a German fan. We watched the 385 00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:49,800 Speaker 3: first leg together, random guy I met at a bar 386 00:18:50,280 --> 00:18:54,480 Speaker 3: and Martin from Hanover, and he was rooting for the Buyern. 387 00:18:54,520 --> 00:18:56,560 Speaker 3: He's Byron fan, but rooting for the Byron Dortmand final 388 00:18:56,600 --> 00:19:00,520 Speaker 3: because one Harry Kaney trophy and two he just wants 389 00:19:00,560 --> 00:19:02,960 Speaker 3: to funish Dorman more, is what he told me. So, uh, 390 00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:04,840 Speaker 3: you know, Dortman, who will luck box their way to 391 00:19:04,840 --> 00:19:08,240 Speaker 3: the Champions League by way of this new expanded Champions League. 392 00:19:08,240 --> 00:19:11,080 Speaker 3: Because the're gonna fish fifth in Germany. We'll be back 393 00:19:11,160 --> 00:19:12,720 Speaker 3: next season in the Champions League. 394 00:19:12,520 --> 00:19:15,120 Speaker 1: As severe severesque. 395 00:19:15,880 --> 00:19:20,960 Speaker 3: Yes, yeah, all right, so that's the Champions League. We 396 00:19:21,080 --> 00:19:25,960 Speaker 3: have some two ties that are far from decided. Europa League. 397 00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:30,080 Speaker 3: We've got one that's pretty much over. Leverkusen took Caro Aromah. 398 00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:32,640 Speaker 3: They beat them too nil. Pretty much dominated every phase 399 00:19:32,640 --> 00:19:36,080 Speaker 3: of that match. Lukaku hit the crossbar early, probably needed 400 00:19:36,080 --> 00:19:37,640 Speaker 3: that one to go in and have any chance because 401 00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:40,320 Speaker 3: after that it was one way traffic. Leverkusen got the 402 00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:43,760 Speaker 3: late goal to go of course, to go up to 403 00:19:43,760 --> 00:19:46,200 Speaker 3: to essentially put that one to bed. They're coming home. 404 00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:50,400 Speaker 3: Any interest in Roma in this Europa League tie, I mean, 405 00:19:50,440 --> 00:19:52,200 Speaker 3: you know, I think they kind of shift their focus 406 00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:55,640 Speaker 3: to the league. They played a very strong attacking team 407 00:19:55,760 --> 00:19:59,680 Speaker 3: with Lucacu and Debala against Juventus today. It's a short 408 00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:02,960 Speaker 3: turner for them now, you know, with the Sandwich Leverkusen's 409 00:20:03,040 --> 00:20:06,280 Speaker 3: like celebrating in Germany and still not losing any matches. 410 00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:10,520 Speaker 3: So any any interest in Roma, I I them the first, 411 00:20:10,560 --> 00:20:11,640 Speaker 3: like I really don't want to do it again. 412 00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:12,280 Speaker 2: I mean the price. 413 00:20:12,600 --> 00:20:17,720 Speaker 1: So this is like very eerily similar to what Leverkusen 414 00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:20,720 Speaker 1: had in their previous in the quarterfinals, they were playing 415 00:20:20,760 --> 00:20:23,240 Speaker 1: west Ham. They went up to nothing and then they 416 00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:26,119 Speaker 1: were laying a huge number and they kind of just 417 00:20:27,040 --> 00:20:29,320 Speaker 1: kind of slip slipt walk through the match, kept their 418 00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:33,239 Speaker 1: unbeaten streak alive and that was that. Yeah, I just 419 00:20:33,320 --> 00:20:36,639 Speaker 1: have absolutely no interest. They had, like you said, they 420 00:20:36,680 --> 00:20:40,000 Speaker 1: had a great game plan. They were essentially cutting off 421 00:20:40,240 --> 00:20:42,600 Speaker 1: all of the lanes where Roma usually do they all 422 00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:45,479 Speaker 1: do all of their direct attacks. They were doing their 423 00:20:45,480 --> 00:20:48,440 Speaker 1: normal box midfield three man combinations and just playing right 424 00:20:48,480 --> 00:20:53,280 Speaker 1: through Roma's low blocks. So yeah, no, no interest. I'm 425 00:20:53,320 --> 00:20:55,560 Speaker 1: just tired of you know, I'm just not really going 426 00:20:55,640 --> 00:20:57,639 Speaker 1: to stick my neck out against this Levercusen team. Just 427 00:20:57,720 --> 00:20:58,919 Speaker 1: let them keep trucking people. 428 00:20:59,080 --> 00:21:03,800 Speaker 3: We're going to win the europe the League or to Atalanta. Yeah, 429 00:21:03,840 --> 00:21:05,000 Speaker 3: I mean, so, you know, you go back to the 430 00:21:05,000 --> 00:21:08,680 Speaker 3: first leg. The first goal comes off of a mistake, 431 00:21:08,760 --> 00:21:11,800 Speaker 3: right the right back makes a huge air backpass air 432 00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:15,960 Speaker 3: cars door basically hands them a goal. You know. From 433 00:21:15,960 --> 00:21:19,160 Speaker 3: that point, you know, Roma had already missed the big 434 00:21:19,240 --> 00:21:23,520 Speaker 3: chance off the post and you know, you felt like, hey, 435 00:21:24,440 --> 00:21:27,120 Speaker 3: maybe you know they're not out of this, but once 436 00:21:27,160 --> 00:21:29,159 Speaker 3: they went down one nail, you kind of expect a 437 00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:31,720 Speaker 3: response and it just never came. I mean, Leverkusen almost 438 00:21:31,720 --> 00:21:33,960 Speaker 3: played better once they had the lead. And this was 439 00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:36,600 Speaker 3: in Rome, right, You mentioned that the last round against 440 00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:39,600 Speaker 3: west Ham that was in East London and this one's 441 00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:41,480 Speaker 3: at home, so you do expect Leverkusen to give a 442 00:21:41,520 --> 00:21:44,000 Speaker 3: better response or a better performance than they did in 443 00:21:44,040 --> 00:21:46,280 Speaker 3: that match. And like you said, they're not really this 444 00:21:46,400 --> 00:21:48,880 Speaker 3: is everything now for them, so they might as well 445 00:21:48,880 --> 00:21:52,560 Speaker 3: play their strongest team. Bony Face, you know, has been 446 00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:54,600 Speaker 3: in and out of starting. He scored a pen today 447 00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:58,560 Speaker 3: against Frankfurt. I do expect him to start. Like you said, 448 00:21:58,600 --> 00:22:01,040 Speaker 3: I do think the numbers high. I think the way 449 00:22:01,040 --> 00:22:03,120 Speaker 3: to play this is probably the Roma team totals, because 450 00:22:03,119 --> 00:22:05,960 Speaker 3: I do think their attack will be live. But I 451 00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:10,160 Speaker 3: want no real part of Roma having to press forward 452 00:22:10,240 --> 00:22:12,399 Speaker 3: for goals and leverkus and being as good as they 453 00:22:12,400 --> 00:22:15,560 Speaker 3: are in those transition wide areas and just kind of 454 00:22:15,560 --> 00:22:18,359 Speaker 3: exploiting that, especially if Bony faces in there, which I 455 00:22:18,600 --> 00:22:21,320 Speaker 3: think he may start. So yeah, no bet for me 456 00:22:21,320 --> 00:22:25,080 Speaker 3: in this one. The total is also a little bit 457 00:22:25,160 --> 00:22:27,600 Speaker 3: higher than i'd make it, but given that Roma is 458 00:22:27,840 --> 00:22:31,520 Speaker 3: pushing here four goals and has to go for it 459 00:22:31,560 --> 00:22:35,359 Speaker 3: so to speak, that probably worth a quarter to a 460 00:22:35,400 --> 00:22:37,399 Speaker 3: half a goal to the spread to the total alone. 461 00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:42,359 Speaker 3: So yeah, no interest in this one for me. Marseille Atalanta, 462 00:22:43,320 --> 00:22:47,119 Speaker 3: the second Europa League quarter semi final played out to 463 00:22:47,160 --> 00:22:52,400 Speaker 3: a one to one draw in Marseille last weekend. Adelanta 464 00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:54,720 Speaker 3: took the lead early, then they were pegged back. Both 465 00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:58,240 Speaker 3: teams had chances to win it late, and now Adelanta 466 00:22:58,480 --> 00:23:01,119 Speaker 3: took a ton of money. They were minus ten on 467 00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:03,639 Speaker 3: the three way money line. They've been bet up to 468 00:23:03,640 --> 00:23:06,160 Speaker 3: minus one thirty four at bet three six five Atlanta 469 00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:09,240 Speaker 3: minus two seventy five to advance. By the way, Roma 470 00:23:09,240 --> 00:23:10,959 Speaker 3: eighteen to one to go through. If you're interested in 471 00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:14,560 Speaker 3: that Marseille plus two hundred. This is one where if 472 00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:16,720 Speaker 3: you're not invested in Atalanta, I like them at home 473 00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:18,639 Speaker 3: and I would lay it. I am not going to 474 00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:22,199 Speaker 3: expose myself more on the future, which I think you 475 00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:24,840 Speaker 3: know they're going to be plus two to fifty in 476 00:23:24,880 --> 00:23:29,160 Speaker 3: the in the final against Leverkusen. But I do think 477 00:23:29,280 --> 00:23:31,639 Speaker 3: anything up to minus one forty is good at Atlanta. 478 00:23:32,280 --> 00:23:34,920 Speaker 3: I think as this venue shifts, they have considerable advantages, 479 00:23:36,960 --> 00:23:40,000 Speaker 3: so I'm gonna roll with them. But BJM curious you 480 00:23:40,080 --> 00:23:43,040 Speaker 3: bet Atlanta in the first leg and now. 481 00:23:43,320 --> 00:23:46,000 Speaker 1: I honestly, I don't really have much of an opinion 482 00:23:46,080 --> 00:23:49,760 Speaker 1: on this one. I the first leg was pretty even. 483 00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:51,320 Speaker 1: I thought it was interesting that Marseille went with a 484 00:23:51,400 --> 00:23:54,720 Speaker 1: back five. They haven't done that in a while. They've 485 00:23:54,800 --> 00:23:57,880 Speaker 1: kind of transitioned to a three five two, but they 486 00:23:57,880 --> 00:24:01,359 Speaker 1: went straight five to three to two against Atlanta. They 487 00:24:01,359 --> 00:24:03,959 Speaker 1: obviously gave up the gold as kmaka. But you know, 488 00:24:04,520 --> 00:24:08,440 Speaker 1: the the issue with backing out Alante at this big 489 00:24:08,440 --> 00:24:11,040 Speaker 1: of a number is that Marseille has guys that can 490 00:24:11,320 --> 00:24:13,400 Speaker 1: that can hurt you in transition, and that's what they're 491 00:24:13,400 --> 00:24:16,880 Speaker 1: trying to play now. They're they're no longer under the 492 00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:19,600 Speaker 1: Catussou game plan of like we're going to control possession, 493 00:24:19,600 --> 00:24:23,160 Speaker 1: We're gonna press from the front. There under Gasse, who 494 00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:28,679 Speaker 1: is a very more more averse to controlling possession and 495 00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:31,679 Speaker 1: actually wanting to be more direct, and they have the 496 00:24:31,760 --> 00:24:33,840 Speaker 1: pace and ability to be able to do that, and 497 00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:35,040 Speaker 1: I think that's kind of what you saw on the 498 00:24:35,040 --> 00:24:35,480 Speaker 1: first leg. 499 00:24:35,520 --> 00:24:35,920 Speaker 2: As well. 500 00:24:36,280 --> 00:24:39,400 Speaker 1: Not much really happened. Both teams created under one expected goal. 501 00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:44,120 Speaker 1: It should be a very tight encounter. I'm sure both 502 00:24:44,119 --> 00:24:47,600 Speaker 1: teams will come out, you know, not really pressing or 503 00:24:47,720 --> 00:24:49,919 Speaker 1: really you know, trying to put the onus on on 504 00:24:50,000 --> 00:24:51,919 Speaker 1: the Basically, I think Marseille will be trying to put 505 00:24:51,920 --> 00:24:54,560 Speaker 1: the onus on Alanta to control possession and try to 506 00:24:54,600 --> 00:24:57,199 Speaker 1: break them down, as opposed to the flip side of it. 507 00:24:57,280 --> 00:24:59,960 Speaker 1: So I generally think the price on Alta might be 508 00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:01,240 Speaker 1: is a tad. 509 00:25:01,040 --> 00:25:01,879 Speaker 2: Too high to play. 510 00:25:01,920 --> 00:25:04,800 Speaker 1: But I'm really have just no interest in either side here. 511 00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:08,880 Speaker 1: I think this priced according price to appropriately and we'll 512 00:25:08,880 --> 00:25:11,119 Speaker 1: see if we'll see if I can get through to 513 00:25:11,160 --> 00:25:11,560 Speaker 1: the final. 514 00:25:12,160 --> 00:25:17,520 Speaker 3: Fingers crossed all right. Conference League was wild, absolutely wild 515 00:25:17,720 --> 00:25:20,400 Speaker 3: on Thursday. We'll get to this quickly before we head 516 00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:23,119 Speaker 3: out and we start to prepare for the penultimate weekend 517 00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:26,639 Speaker 3: of the prem the first match, which you know, I 518 00:25:26,720 --> 00:25:28,359 Speaker 3: like Olympiacos and I bet them, but I did not 519 00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:31,000 Speaker 3: think they would be able to win outright in Villa. 520 00:25:31,600 --> 00:25:34,040 Speaker 3: But it was really interesting because so Villa plays this 521 00:25:34,119 --> 00:25:36,520 Speaker 3: Thursday match at home, then they go to Brighton. They 522 00:25:36,560 --> 00:25:39,520 Speaker 3: don't really rotate at all. They look dead I mean 523 00:25:39,680 --> 00:25:43,520 Speaker 3: dead dead this morning again, got smoked in a loss 524 00:25:43,600 --> 00:25:46,600 Speaker 3: one no loss created I thinkero point one next g 525 00:25:46,840 --> 00:25:52,320 Speaker 3: it was really bad shots. Yeah, so really rough from them. Now, 526 00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:55,520 Speaker 3: this is the power of the market here, and I 527 00:25:56,200 --> 00:25:58,520 Speaker 3: want to kind of emphasize this for future seasons as 528 00:25:58,520 --> 00:26:01,040 Speaker 3: we get into this. As soon as the first legs 529 00:26:01,119 --> 00:26:03,440 Speaker 3: end at any tie, you will see the market put 530 00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:07,439 Speaker 3: up numbers four second legs pretty quickly. Aston Villa opened 531 00:26:07,480 --> 00:26:11,520 Speaker 3: minus one fifty five on the road after opening minus 532 00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:14,439 Speaker 3: two or closing minus two to ten at home, losing 533 00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:16,879 Speaker 3: the game by two goals. Outright, if you just flip 534 00:26:16,920 --> 00:26:19,840 Speaker 3: home field from minus two to ten down, it gets 535 00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:23,159 Speaker 3: you to like even money now. Their minus one fifty 536 00:26:23,200 --> 00:26:25,680 Speaker 3: was the opener. It didn't last very long because Villa's 537 00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:28,480 Speaker 3: been bent down to you guessed it, minus one to 538 00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:31,960 Speaker 3: six on the money line, Olympiacos plus two fifty at home. 539 00:26:32,320 --> 00:26:37,480 Speaker 3: The fatigue factor here, consecutive away matches traveling degrees, you know, 540 00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:40,119 Speaker 3: the quick turnaround. Villa does not have a ton of 541 00:26:40,119 --> 00:26:41,800 Speaker 3: squad depth, and we've seen that when they've had to 542 00:26:41,800 --> 00:26:44,200 Speaker 3: go into it, it has not been pretty. They lose Morgan 543 00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:46,160 Speaker 3: Rogers to injury today too, who's been like a nice 544 00:26:46,200 --> 00:26:49,840 Speaker 3: young spark plug for them, and I think it's Olympiacos 545 00:26:49,840 --> 00:26:52,840 Speaker 3: for nothing again at home catching the half. It's kind 546 00:26:52,840 --> 00:26:55,560 Speaker 3: of not too different from what Liverpool just did at Atlanta, 547 00:26:55,640 --> 00:26:59,040 Speaker 3: where they got pretty handled handled at home and the 548 00:26:59,040 --> 00:27:02,160 Speaker 3: market just expected to go to Atlanta and truck them. 549 00:27:02,600 --> 00:27:04,040 Speaker 3: I don't really see it in the way Villa has 550 00:27:04,040 --> 00:27:06,240 Speaker 3: been defending. They give up almost three xg to a 551 00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:08,760 Speaker 3: Brighton team that hasn't scored a goal in a month today. 552 00:27:09,840 --> 00:27:12,560 Speaker 3: The way they've been defending has been shocking. Olympiakos will 553 00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:15,640 Speaker 3: be happy to play on the break and they're alive here, 554 00:27:15,720 --> 00:27:18,320 Speaker 3: so I think Olympiacos is still good again for a second. 555 00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:22,280 Speaker 3: Like bet and on the other matchup, heartbreak for BRUEs 556 00:27:22,280 --> 00:27:27,600 Speaker 3: plus a half. They opened in this one as a 557 00:27:27,640 --> 00:27:31,239 Speaker 3: dog somehow and they have been bet now to the 558 00:27:31,280 --> 00:27:34,520 Speaker 3: modest modest favorite pick them minus one thirteen plus one 559 00:27:34,560 --> 00:27:37,000 Speaker 3: fifty five on the three way money line. I bet 560 00:27:37,000 --> 00:27:39,200 Speaker 3: BRUEs in the first leg they were pretty well outplayed 561 00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:41,560 Speaker 3: before the red card, but I'm gonna bet them here 562 00:27:41,720 --> 00:27:44,639 Speaker 3: at home. Let's to pick them down a goal for me. 563 00:27:44,800 --> 00:27:48,320 Speaker 3: This is, you know, somewhat similar to what Villa did 564 00:27:48,400 --> 00:27:51,160 Speaker 3: against lel where you know they were up a goal 565 00:27:51,240 --> 00:27:53,840 Speaker 3: going on the road. And I still have not really 566 00:27:53,840 --> 00:27:55,399 Speaker 3: a ton of faith in this Fiorentina team, Like you 567 00:27:55,440 --> 00:27:56,840 Speaker 3: watch them weekend and week out in the league and 568 00:27:56,880 --> 00:28:00,240 Speaker 3: they don't really impress. Their metrics are very average, and 569 00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:02,480 Speaker 3: so I'm going to back Bruges as a pick them. 570 00:28:02,520 --> 00:28:04,840 Speaker 3: So sound like a broken record. I wasn't on last 571 00:28:04,840 --> 00:28:07,280 Speaker 3: week's pod, but we're rolling with Olympiacos and Bruges. I 572 00:28:07,280 --> 00:28:09,480 Speaker 3: think Bruges is live to turn this tie around, but 573 00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:12,160 Speaker 3: I already have something to advance, so I'm just gonna 574 00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:15,679 Speaker 3: take some pick em minus one fifteen or better on Bruges. 575 00:28:16,480 --> 00:28:18,120 Speaker 3: It's a fairy tale town, isn't it? 576 00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:19,320 Speaker 2: I believe? 577 00:28:19,359 --> 00:28:25,760 Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah. The Olympiacos match. So Olympiacos is kind 578 00:28:25,760 --> 00:28:27,800 Speaker 1: of in a weird spot. They're on their third manager. 579 00:28:28,400 --> 00:28:32,160 Speaker 1: Mendel Lebar who, if you remember, took Sevilla to win 580 00:28:32,200 --> 00:28:36,080 Speaker 1: the Europa League last year, is now guiding Olympiacos through 581 00:28:36,080 --> 00:28:38,040 Speaker 1: the Europa Conference leagues. Maybe this guy is just like 582 00:28:38,080 --> 00:28:39,600 Speaker 1: the best tournament coach of all time. 583 00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:43,360 Speaker 3: He's replaced by Emery as theurnament. The tournaments are. 584 00:28:43,720 --> 00:28:48,840 Speaker 1: He's met his match. But Olympiacos is a team that 585 00:28:48,960 --> 00:28:50,760 Speaker 1: is much better when they don't have the ball. They 586 00:28:50,800 --> 00:28:52,640 Speaker 1: like to press high, they like to play very direct, 587 00:28:53,040 --> 00:28:55,240 Speaker 1: and that is the worst possible matchup that aston Villa 588 00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:58,360 Speaker 1: can have because they obviously are very prone to giving 589 00:28:58,440 --> 00:29:00,240 Speaker 1: up the ball in their own final third. So a 590 00:29:00,280 --> 00:29:02,560 Speaker 1: team that's ready to play direct like that is a 591 00:29:02,560 --> 00:29:03,240 Speaker 1: really good matchup. 592 00:29:03,280 --> 00:29:05,760 Speaker 2: So I agree with you, if you know, I'm. 593 00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:08,600 Speaker 1: Probably not gonna play Olympiacos, so I'll probably just let 594 00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:09,760 Speaker 1: it go and see what happens. 595 00:29:09,800 --> 00:29:11,959 Speaker 2: But yeah, aston Villa, it doesn't look good. 596 00:29:11,960 --> 00:29:14,680 Speaker 1: Maybe if Toddenhamack showed any life, they actually maybe could 597 00:29:14,720 --> 00:29:16,680 Speaker 1: have gotten top four because aston Villa looks kind of 598 00:29:16,720 --> 00:29:19,120 Speaker 1: dead right now. Touch on that before we had out, 599 00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:22,160 Speaker 1: But I like bruised to advance. You can find it 600 00:29:22,240 --> 00:29:26,880 Speaker 1: high as plus two sixty five right now. So the 601 00:29:26,920 --> 00:29:31,600 Speaker 1: story of Fiorentina and why myself and Anthony, why we 602 00:29:31,920 --> 00:29:34,960 Speaker 1: just keep fading this team is not only just because 603 00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:37,640 Speaker 1: they have, like you know, not great underlying metrics overall 604 00:29:37,680 --> 00:29:41,160 Speaker 1: for the season, but the way that they play. They 605 00:29:41,240 --> 00:29:44,960 Speaker 1: have some of the best build up numbers, pass completion 606 00:29:45,120 --> 00:29:48,440 Speaker 1: rate numbers, final third entries like it's all so good 607 00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:52,160 Speaker 1: and it makes it look like they're completely dominating a match. 608 00:29:52,600 --> 00:29:56,040 Speaker 1: But whenever they get to the final third, everything just 609 00:29:56,080 --> 00:30:00,000 Speaker 1: starts to fall apart. They settle for shots outside the box, 610 00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:02,560 Speaker 1: they settle for low quality chances. You look at their 611 00:30:02,560 --> 00:30:05,400 Speaker 1: first two goals against brucee one came off a screamer 612 00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:08,040 Speaker 1: like fading away screamer that had a Next Year rating 613 00:30:08,040 --> 00:30:11,680 Speaker 1: a point zero two. The second goal deflects right to 614 00:30:11,720 --> 00:30:14,400 Speaker 1: below Ti and he just slots it right in the corner. 615 00:30:14,720 --> 00:30:18,400 Speaker 1: Xt Year rating HG rating a point zero nine on 616 00:30:18,520 --> 00:30:21,120 Speaker 1: that shot. And then obviously Bruce got the penalty, and 617 00:30:21,120 --> 00:30:23,360 Speaker 1: they created one other big chance, and then they go 618 00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:26,800 Speaker 1: up a man, and immediately what happens, Bruce comes right 619 00:30:26,840 --> 00:30:30,160 Speaker 1: back and ties up two two, and then Fiorentina just 620 00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:32,240 Speaker 1: proceeded to obviously playing up a man, just seedd A 621 00:30:32,280 --> 00:30:34,840 Speaker 1: Pepper the Bruce goal over and over again, but again 622 00:30:34,920 --> 00:30:38,520 Speaker 1: didn't create a big scoring chance until they finally got 623 00:30:38,520 --> 00:30:41,480 Speaker 1: the third goal in the end. Yes they did have 624 00:30:41,520 --> 00:30:44,040 Speaker 1: two point two expected goals, and yes Bruce did have 625 00:30:44,120 --> 00:30:46,520 Speaker 1: a penalty early in the match, but up until the 626 00:30:46,520 --> 00:30:49,400 Speaker 1: point of the red card, Bruce had had higher more 627 00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:52,959 Speaker 1: expected goals off of three shots than Fiorentina did off 628 00:30:53,000 --> 00:30:55,640 Speaker 1: of their fourteen, which is kind of highlights what they 629 00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:57,239 Speaker 1: are like as a team. And they're not a good 630 00:30:57,280 --> 00:31:00,760 Speaker 1: team in transition as well. Nineteenth in Syria I and 631 00:31:00,840 --> 00:31:05,000 Speaker 1: final third box entry conversion rates. So Fago, who scored 632 00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:06,920 Speaker 1: the second goal, is gonna be playing at Brentford next year, 633 00:31:07,000 --> 00:31:10,400 Speaker 1: which is gonna be a little pretty fun. But Bruce 634 00:31:10,520 --> 00:31:12,680 Speaker 1: has the guys to be able to play in transition 635 00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:16,040 Speaker 1: because Fiorentina, the way they play, I don't see them 636 00:31:16,080 --> 00:31:17,959 Speaker 1: just coming out and sitting in some type of defensive 637 00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:19,760 Speaker 1: block and hating the ball and saying here, Bruce, like 638 00:31:19,880 --> 00:31:21,680 Speaker 1: you know you can have the ball. They're going to 639 00:31:21,720 --> 00:31:24,520 Speaker 1: try to control things. That's how they play. So I 640 00:31:24,560 --> 00:31:26,720 Speaker 1: think that we're going to see a very similar game plan, 641 00:31:26,760 --> 00:31:28,920 Speaker 1: and now this is in Belgium, and they have the 642 00:31:28,920 --> 00:31:32,440 Speaker 1: guys to be able to exploit them. So Bruce to 643 00:31:32,520 --> 00:31:36,600 Speaker 1: advance plus two sixty five and Fiorano and Bruce seven 644 00:31:36,640 --> 00:31:38,440 Speaker 1: to one to win the conference league. 645 00:31:38,480 --> 00:31:40,880 Speaker 2: That number is still out there, and I would bet 646 00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:41,760 Speaker 2: it if you haven't already. 647 00:31:42,480 --> 00:31:47,600 Speaker 3: It's so funny because last year, you know, I don't 648 00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:48,880 Speaker 3: know if you did, but I know I I of 649 00:31:48,880 --> 00:31:52,040 Speaker 3: course had Fiorentina to win this tournament, and I found 650 00:31:52,080 --> 00:31:54,440 Speaker 3: myself betting them a lot because the market didn't really 651 00:31:54,480 --> 00:31:57,120 Speaker 3: like them. They had these really good metrics. You talked 652 00:31:57,160 --> 00:31:59,080 Speaker 3: about it, the box to box stuff was really good 653 00:31:59,080 --> 00:32:05,080 Speaker 3: for Fiorentina, and then they ran bad at times, and 654 00:32:05,120 --> 00:32:07,120 Speaker 3: I thought, you know, the really good box to box 655 00:32:07,160 --> 00:32:11,000 Speaker 3: stuff would eventually translate into better output in terms of 656 00:32:11,080 --> 00:32:13,360 Speaker 3: XG and then goals and wins, and you know, they 657 00:32:13,360 --> 00:32:15,560 Speaker 3: make the final, they lose to west Ham. The west 658 00:32:15,560 --> 00:32:17,840 Speaker 3: Ham loss was kind of a perfect encapsulation of what 659 00:32:17,920 --> 00:32:20,040 Speaker 3: is wrong with the Italiano system. I like him, I 660 00:32:20,040 --> 00:32:23,400 Speaker 3: think he's a great manager, but they give away enough 661 00:32:23,440 --> 00:32:26,480 Speaker 3: big scoring chances when their team gets broken that they 662 00:32:26,960 --> 00:32:30,240 Speaker 3: tend to be vulnerable in this kind of situation. And 663 00:32:30,320 --> 00:32:33,160 Speaker 3: you saw it, you know, the second goal Bruce score. 664 00:32:33,760 --> 00:32:35,640 Speaker 3: They're up a man. Fiorentin is up a man, up 665 00:32:35,640 --> 00:32:37,280 Speaker 3: a goal, and I had written off the bat and 666 00:32:37,280 --> 00:32:40,160 Speaker 3: then all of a sudden, it's too too because Bruce 667 00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:42,480 Speaker 3: broke through and got him behind and scored. And I 668 00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:44,680 Speaker 3: think it's kind of just the flaw. And now that 669 00:32:44,760 --> 00:32:47,880 Speaker 3: Fiorentina is getting more market respect. This year they did 670 00:32:47,960 --> 00:32:50,640 Speaker 3: lose a lot of their goal scoring production and attacking talent, 671 00:32:50,760 --> 00:32:54,000 Speaker 3: and that I think ultimately they're like one or two 672 00:32:54,000 --> 00:32:56,920 Speaker 3: players away from making a top four challenge, but they 673 00:32:56,960 --> 00:32:59,600 Speaker 3: are short right now and thus they're a team to sell. 674 00:33:00,040 --> 00:33:02,000 Speaker 3: They're a team and they remind me a little bit 675 00:33:02,040 --> 00:33:06,760 Speaker 3: of like the Stuttguard pre Seru Guirassi insanity season where 676 00:33:06,800 --> 00:33:08,440 Speaker 3: they had the really good numbers and they just kept 677 00:33:08,440 --> 00:33:11,040 Speaker 3: finding ways to not get results. Where if they can 678 00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:13,840 Speaker 3: find one or two like dynamic attackers who are young, 679 00:33:13,960 --> 00:33:17,040 Speaker 3: get them in early and really like have them pop off. 680 00:33:17,560 --> 00:33:19,600 Speaker 3: Combine that with the good midfield and you'd have a 681 00:33:19,640 --> 00:33:22,720 Speaker 3: really good team. But they're not quite there. I think 682 00:33:22,720 --> 00:33:24,200 Speaker 3: they're probably you know, we'll see what they do in 683 00:33:24,200 --> 00:33:24,560 Speaker 3: the summer. 684 00:33:24,600 --> 00:33:28,120 Speaker 1: But remind me of it kind of remind me of 685 00:33:28,120 --> 00:33:31,120 Speaker 1: the low potaggy Wolves teams. That's just like put a 686 00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:35,920 Speaker 1: premium on defensive or their own final third or possession building. 687 00:33:35,560 --> 00:33:36,280 Speaker 2: Out that way. 688 00:33:36,760 --> 00:33:38,560 Speaker 1: Although Wolves didn't you know, they're playing in the Premier 689 00:33:38,640 --> 00:33:41,600 Speaker 1: League versus Fiorentina playing in Syria where nobody presses, so 690 00:33:42,160 --> 00:33:44,600 Speaker 1: there it's a lot easier to build out when teams 691 00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:47,760 Speaker 1: are just sitting in low defensive blocks. But it feels 692 00:33:47,840 --> 00:33:49,600 Speaker 1: very early similar to that, just because of how many 693 00:33:49,600 --> 00:33:50,600 Speaker 1: shots they're taking. 694 00:33:50,360 --> 00:33:51,320 Speaker 2: From outside the box. 695 00:33:51,600 --> 00:33:55,600 Speaker 1: So yeah, but no, I agree, like it's a this 696 00:33:55,680 --> 00:33:57,840 Speaker 1: is a great just a great betting opportunity on Bruge 697 00:33:57,880 --> 00:34:00,280 Speaker 1: quite frankly could it's. 698 00:34:00,160 --> 00:34:03,800 Speaker 3: Twenty Quarantinas anti Bruges last year. They've taken a real 699 00:34:03,840 --> 00:34:04,880 Speaker 3: step forward this year. 700 00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:07,840 Speaker 1: They have, and that match they're so the funny part 701 00:34:07,880 --> 00:34:10,480 Speaker 1: about Bruges is they were playing really well this season. 702 00:34:11,080 --> 00:34:14,520 Speaker 1: They parted ways with their manager. They've been on a 703 00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:16,960 Speaker 1: caretaker manager since about the middle of March, and that 704 00:34:17,200 --> 00:34:19,400 Speaker 1: lost to Fiorentino is the only time that they've lost. 705 00:34:20,000 --> 00:34:24,239 Speaker 1: So they're on a good run. And obviously Belgium. Belgium 706 00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:28,120 Speaker 1: is going through their playoffs right now. They're If somebody 707 00:34:28,160 --> 00:34:31,399 Speaker 1: can figure out how those work, please message me, because 708 00:34:31,400 --> 00:34:34,960 Speaker 1: I've heard people in Belgium don't even understand how it works. 709 00:34:35,120 --> 00:34:38,120 Speaker 1: But yeah, no, they're they're a very good team with 710 00:34:38,160 --> 00:34:40,320 Speaker 1: a lot of good young attacking talent that should be 711 00:34:40,360 --> 00:34:42,400 Speaker 1: able to give Fuorantine a lot of problems and transition. 712 00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:46,959 Speaker 3: All right, So Bruges Olympiacos again, we'll run it back 713 00:34:48,160 --> 00:34:51,560 Speaker 3: we uh, we like goals and PSG Doortman, I think, 714 00:34:51,960 --> 00:34:54,839 Speaker 3: and we have no idea what to expect in Europa League. 715 00:34:54,840 --> 00:34:56,799 Speaker 3: We're kind of just passing those and hoping we can 716 00:34:56,840 --> 00:35:00,840 Speaker 3: get all at Alanta to the window. That will do 717 00:35:00,840 --> 00:35:02,600 Speaker 3: it for this episode, oneer goal before we do go 718 00:35:02,640 --> 00:35:07,000 Speaker 3: though BJ On a scale of one to ten, how 719 00:35:07,040 --> 00:35:09,359 Speaker 3: confident are you that Tottenham will get a result against 720 00:35:09,400 --> 00:35:11,000 Speaker 3: City because it looks like the league title is going 721 00:35:11,040 --> 00:35:14,200 Speaker 3: to come down to that that match next Tuesday. 722 00:35:15,680 --> 00:35:17,680 Speaker 1: Who's to say Fulham doesn't get rid. 723 00:35:17,320 --> 00:35:20,640 Speaker 3: Of I don't think getting the result. 724 00:35:21,560 --> 00:35:21,840 Speaker 2: Five. 725 00:35:22,440 --> 00:35:24,799 Speaker 3: I kind of wish Tottenham played first because it would 726 00:35:24,840 --> 00:35:27,640 Speaker 3: have been even funnier if Tottenham got the result against 727 00:35:27,680 --> 00:35:33,000 Speaker 3: City and then United like this hilarious? And what is 728 00:35:33,000 --> 00:35:36,560 Speaker 3: the line on United? Arsenal? I have not looked first. 729 00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:39,719 Speaker 1: Yeah, let's play, let's play, let's play bill. Simmons guests 730 00:35:39,719 --> 00:35:43,080 Speaker 1: the line here. Okay, what do you think Arsenal's money 731 00:35:43,080 --> 00:35:43,400 Speaker 1: line is? 732 00:35:43,480 --> 00:35:43,839 Speaker 2: Right now? 733 00:35:45,320 --> 00:35:52,440 Speaker 3: So Liverpool closed minus one fifty five, right, and we 734 00:35:52,480 --> 00:35:54,600 Speaker 3: thought that was a little high. So I'm going to 735 00:35:54,640 --> 00:35:57,759 Speaker 3: say Arsenal, they'll must win tax them a little bit, 736 00:35:57,880 --> 00:36:02,440 Speaker 3: so we'll go Arsenal minus one eighty five. 737 00:36:03,239 --> 00:36:05,400 Speaker 1: You're gonna be betting in United because Arsenal's minus two 738 00:36:05,440 --> 00:36:06,440 Speaker 1: twenty right now. 739 00:36:06,480 --> 00:36:08,919 Speaker 3: No way, So they're going to quarter one a quarter? 740 00:36:09,840 --> 00:36:13,120 Speaker 1: Oh my god, United is going to have no available 741 00:36:13,160 --> 00:36:13,960 Speaker 1: center backs. 742 00:36:14,400 --> 00:36:17,480 Speaker 3: Well Johnny Evans should be back, no by that that's true? 743 00:36:18,280 --> 00:36:22,640 Speaker 1: Yeah wow, so one one available center back alongside Casamirow. 744 00:36:23,040 --> 00:36:27,239 Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, no, I'm not gonna betting Arsenal, but I'm 745 00:36:27,320 --> 00:36:29,399 Speaker 1: just going to watch them win four to two. 746 00:36:30,080 --> 00:36:32,160 Speaker 3: And then so City is at Fulham. So City is 747 00:36:32,160 --> 00:36:34,040 Speaker 3: probably like in minus three fifty. 748 00:36:34,320 --> 00:36:36,680 Speaker 1: It's actually much higher than minus three fifty. The minus 749 00:36:36,680 --> 00:36:40,359 Speaker 1: four forty at Fulham, which is crazy. And there is 750 00:36:40,400 --> 00:36:43,120 Speaker 1: a line for there is a line for City Tottenham 751 00:36:43,200 --> 00:36:43,960 Speaker 1: right now. 752 00:36:44,080 --> 00:36:45,279 Speaker 2: Really there is. 753 00:36:46,960 --> 00:36:55,360 Speaker 3: The City is minus one forty five. Oh boy, minus 754 00:36:55,400 --> 00:36:58,839 Speaker 3: two thirty. All right, I'm going to lose a lot 755 00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:00,719 Speaker 3: of money in the next two weeks betting against the 756 00:37:00,760 --> 00:37:02,440 Speaker 3: City and a Arsenal team. 757 00:37:02,760 --> 00:37:07,360 Speaker 1: In United's United's a favorite against Newcastle as well. 758 00:37:07,520 --> 00:37:10,960 Speaker 3: So Arsenal. Arsenal closes minus one forty at Spurs, right 759 00:37:12,120 --> 00:37:16,400 Speaker 3: and now Cities minus two twenty five. Yeah, m yeah, 760 00:37:16,440 --> 00:37:17,960 Speaker 3: that's a fun one. I love these end of the 761 00:37:17,960 --> 00:37:20,279 Speaker 3: season numbers. And sometimes you look like an idiot. I 762 00:37:20,320 --> 00:37:22,600 Speaker 3: mean sometimes you bet Wolves plus two and a half 763 00:37:22,680 --> 00:37:24,760 Speaker 3: and you're like, oh, we're down three zero and ten minutes, 764 00:37:25,640 --> 00:37:28,359 Speaker 3: and other times you look like a genius. So that's 765 00:37:28,400 --> 00:37:31,640 Speaker 3: the fun of the must win tax I cannot believe 766 00:37:31,680 --> 00:37:34,799 Speaker 3: Citi's minus two twenty five at Tottenham and Arsenal is 767 00:37:34,840 --> 00:37:37,879 Speaker 3: minus two twenty five at United, which one is more 768 00:37:37,920 --> 00:37:40,080 Speaker 3: shocking in hindsight. Honestly, the Tottenham line is kind of 769 00:37:40,080 --> 00:37:44,160 Speaker 3: more shocking. I know everybody thinks Tottenham sucks now, but 770 00:37:44,320 --> 00:37:48,319 Speaker 3: they're pretty much the same team they've always been. So 771 00:37:48,440 --> 00:37:50,200 Speaker 3: that will do it for this episode of Wonder Goal. 772 00:37:50,239 --> 00:37:54,200 Speaker 3: We will be back on Thursday morning to discuss the 773 00:37:54,239 --> 00:37:58,560 Speaker 3: penultimate weekend of the Premier League season, the title race, 774 00:37:59,440 --> 00:38:02,120 Speaker 3: the relegation picture which is becoming clear by the day, 775 00:38:02,520 --> 00:38:05,560 Speaker 3: our top ten tickets that we're sweating out, and more 776 00:38:05,680 --> 00:38:08,160 Speaker 3: leab off. Hopefully we'll be back Thursday. Think you will, 777 00:38:09,080 --> 00:38:10,919 Speaker 3: and thank you for joining us. Thank you to Noah, 778 00:38:10,960 --> 00:38:13,120 Speaker 3: our producer, Thanks to about three six five, and thanks 779 00:38:13,160 --> 00:38:17,600 Speaker 3: to everyone who listens, subscribes, likes, dislikes, calls us out 780 00:38:17,640 --> 00:38:20,160 Speaker 3: on Twitter. We appreciate all of you and have a 781 00:38:20,160 --> 00:38:30,359 Speaker 3: Great Day Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If 782 00:38:30,400 --> 00:38:33,000 Speaker 3: you or someone you care about has a gambling problem, 783 00:38:33,239 --> 00:38:35,880 Speaker 3: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight 784 00:38:35,960 --> 00:38:36,800 Speaker 3: hundred gambler