WEBVTT - Walgreens and CVS Try to Fix America’s Flailing Pharmacies

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. This is Bloomberg business

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<v Speaker 1>Week Inside, from the reporters and editors who bring you

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<v Speaker 1>tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week Podcast with Carol Messer

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<v Speaker 1>and Tim Stenebeck from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>Okachonally. I don't know about you, but I do everything

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<v Speaker 2>I can to avoid going to the pharmacy. The products

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<v Speaker 2>are expensive, they're locked up, the line to pick up

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<v Speaker 2>medications is long. Sometimes the pharmacy has even closed when

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<v Speaker 2>I try to go, and overall I just find it

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<v Speaker 2>an experience I want to avoid. Well, it turns out

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<v Speaker 2>I'm not the only one. As Feoni Rutherford writes in

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<v Speaker 2>the new issue of Bloomberg BusinessWeek, pharmacy profit margins are

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<v Speaker 2>falling at the biggest chains, which includes CBS and Walgreens

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<v Speaker 2>write a declared bankruptcy just a few months ago, and

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<v Speaker 2>a key problem for drugstores is the front of the store,

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<v Speaker 2>where competition and inflation are making it harder to turn

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<v Speaker 2>a profit. Jim Ellis is at Bloomberg BusinessWeek Assistant Managing editor,

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<v Speaker 2>and he edited Fiona's story, which is featured in the

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<v Speaker 2>new issue of BusinessWeek magazine. It's available on newsstands, on

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<v Speaker 2>the Bloomberg terminal and at bloomberg dot com slash At BusinessWeek,

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<v Speaker 2>Jim joins us from New Jersey. So, Jim, you go

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<v Speaker 2>to the pharmacy, everything's locked up, The line is long.

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<v Speaker 2>It turns out you can get a lot of this

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<v Speaker 2>stuff for cheaper when you order it from some of

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<v Speaker 2>the biggest retailers online.

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<v Speaker 3>That's become the big problems, so many of it. That's

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<v Speaker 3>become a big problem for the drug store change simply

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<v Speaker 3>because once upon a time people thought, oh, well, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>I'm going to go and buy a lot of things

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<v Speaker 3>as I walk through the store to the back to

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<v Speaker 3>the pharmacy, and the business model for the pharmacies had

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<v Speaker 3>been you put that, you know, the pharmacy in the

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<v Speaker 3>back of the store. It makes people go through run

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<v Speaker 3>the gauntlet through all the candy, school supplies, things like that,

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<v Speaker 3>and they pick these things up, which is showed at

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<v Speaker 3>a higher price than you get at other retailers, and

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<v Speaker 3>then they'll also buy the drugs. That's been thrown sort

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<v Speaker 3>of apart now because people have discovered that you can

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<v Speaker 3>go to a Walmart, you can go to even Amazon's

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<v Speaker 3>pharmacy business, you can find drugs other places. And so therefore,

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<v Speaker 3>not only are the drug stores losing that business that

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<v Speaker 3>comes from people picking up prescriptions, they're also losing the

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<v Speaker 3>business of people buying basically overpriced retail items within their stores,

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<v Speaker 3>and that's wrecking their financial model.

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<v Speaker 4>If wrecking the financial model, and you could see that

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<v Speaker 4>some people have already kind of thrown in a towel

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<v Speaker 4>when it comes to that struggling financial model. Tim is

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<v Speaker 4>waving his hand.

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<v Speaker 2>Unless you need, unless you need talent on in the

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<v Speaker 2>middle of the night for a crying toddler, like it's

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<v Speaker 2>hard to find a reason Shanalie to step inside one

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<v Speaker 2>of these I don't know.

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<v Speaker 4>I live in New York City, so I like to

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<v Speaker 4>step inside of it the rec and I don't is

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<v Speaker 4>because my dog barks on the line a lot, so

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<v Speaker 4>I don't like to take them in there. But Jim,

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<v Speaker 4>what are the fixes here?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, the fix the first fix is that they've got

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<v Speaker 3>to come up with some way to make actually going

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<v Speaker 3>to a pharmacy not such a hassle for a lot

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<v Speaker 3>of customers. One of the things, particularly since COVID is

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of people don't like the notion that, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>they're understaffed many of the pharmacies because they've had shortages

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<v Speaker 3>of pharmacists because it's been so difficult to work in

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<v Speaker 3>a pharmacy since COVID. You know, a lot of people

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<v Speaker 3>are confronted with lines, they're confronted with weights that they

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<v Speaker 3>don't want to have, and it's sort of chaotic at

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<v Speaker 3>the same time within a pharmacy, simply because the pharmacist

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<v Speaker 3>now is not only preparing your drugs. They may be

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<v Speaker 3>giving vaccinations, they may be doing health screenings. There's a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of things depending on your state, that pharmacists are

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<v Speaker 3>allowed to do now that they weren't allowed to do before,

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<v Speaker 3>and that's more work with fewerformacists, and so it's become

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<v Speaker 3>a less you know, it's not like going to the

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<v Speaker 3>doctor where you sit up and talk to your pharmacist,

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<v Speaker 3>and you know, nowadays that sort of jump in wait

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<v Speaker 3>in line, wait, wait, wait, then finally you can get

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<v Speaker 3>out and then have to walk back through that gauntlet

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<v Speaker 3>of things you don't want to buy because they're overpriced.

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<v Speaker 3>So what they're trying to do is to figure out

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<v Speaker 3>a way to get the pharmacy, you know, back up

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<v Speaker 3>to the front of the store. Now that's like, that's

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<v Speaker 3>heresy for a lot, you know, for people who work

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<v Speaker 3>in this business for decades. But right now that's something

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<v Speaker 3>that Walgreens is experimenting with, is you know, put in

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<v Speaker 3>pharmacies at the front so you can come in and

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<v Speaker 3>one of the things that people don't like about going

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<v Speaker 3>to the pharmacy, which is waiting, a lot of that

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<v Speaker 3>goes away simply because you come in and instead of

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<v Speaker 3>waiting in line, you're using kiosks to put in your

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<v Speaker 3>information and then you just so you can if you want,

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<v Speaker 3>go back and wait in your car and they text

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<v Speaker 3>you when your order is ready. You can shop the

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<v Speaker 3>store if you choose to, but more importantly, you can

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<v Speaker 3>go other places. You can walk around or just sit

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<v Speaker 3>in your care and be more comfortable. That's very different.

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<v Speaker 3>It also is a pretty big gamble simply because a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of the business model counts on that mixture of

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<v Speaker 3>both pharmacy revenue and that sort of high margin business

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<v Speaker 3>of retail that they sell within a drug store.

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<v Speaker 2>Jim, it's so hard to see to hear you say

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<v Speaker 2>this and see how it competes with the upstarts that

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<v Speaker 2>I think have taken over in a lot of the

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<v Speaker 2>bigger cities. Look, they're not available everywhere in the US

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<v Speaker 2>at this point, but the fact that there are apps

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<v Speaker 2>that you can give a phone number to your doctor

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<v Speaker 2>when you're at the doctor's office getting a prescription written,

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<v Speaker 2>and then something pops up on the app and asks

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<v Speaker 2>what time do you want this drug delivered today? Like

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<v Speaker 2>that is just so much easier than this process.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, the convenience is something that you know that

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<v Speaker 3>brick and mortar retailers, like a drug chain, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>a drug store chain, they just have to deal with that.

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<v Speaker 3>They are making deliveries available, depends on the market, but

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<v Speaker 3>often the deliveries that they offer are not quite as

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<v Speaker 3>good as some of these online only pharmacies. For example,

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<v Speaker 3>in New York, you can get deliveries at you know,

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<v Speaker 3>sort of CVS's, but often it's through a third party

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<v Speaker 3>delivery service, and some people don't like that. And some

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<v Speaker 3>people also get confused when they think of it as

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<v Speaker 3>sort of, you know, should I be getting my drugs

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<v Speaker 3>delivered by the same person that brings my pizza.

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<v Speaker 2>It's not necessarily the same person, but hey, I order

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<v Speaker 2>Peaza on Friday, so why.

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<v Speaker 4>Not well, doesn't jim to that end. What are the

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<v Speaker 4>risks here?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, one big risk is that when you change a habit,

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<v Speaker 3>when you try to change a habit that consumers have

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<v Speaker 3>had for sixty seventy eighty years, you know that that

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<v Speaker 3>will confuse them. That also can make them think, well,

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<v Speaker 3>you know I've done this this way before. Well maybe

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<v Speaker 3>if I'm going to have to do something different, maybe

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<v Speaker 3>I will try something different. Maybe I'll try an online pharmacy.

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<v Speaker 3>Maybe I will try some other place, you know, maybe

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<v Speaker 3>I'll get my pharmacy needs done at a Walmart. Walmart's

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<v Speaker 3>in very aggressive at expanding pharmacies in all of its

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<v Speaker 3>major stores, and you know, they don't have the same potentially,

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<v Speaker 3>they don't have the same hours that some drug store

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<v Speaker 3>chains do. But especially since the since the pandemic, a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of the hours that twenty four hour pharmacies had

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<v Speaker 3>have been cut back. So that actually is something that

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<v Speaker 3>now other types of retailers like a Walmart can compete on.

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<v Speaker 3>It used to be you could say, oh, my local

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<v Speaker 3>CBS or my local right Aid is open twenty four hours.

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<v Speaker 3>If I get sick in the middle of that, I

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<v Speaker 3>can go there. I can't do that at my Walmart. Well, nowadays,

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of pharmacies are actually, you know, closed after

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<v Speaker 3>six pm on the weeks. A lot of pharmacies are

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<v Speaker 3>not open at night, and so therefore it's not that

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<v Speaker 3>different from an opening standpoint than you could do at

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<v Speaker 3>a big box store.

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<v Speaker 2>Jim Ellis really appreciate you joining us. Bloomberg BusinessWeek Assistant

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<v Speaker 2>Managing Editor. He's the editor on Fiona Ruthaford's story, which

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<v Speaker 2>is available the new issue of BusinessWeek magazine. It's on newstands,

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<v Speaker 2>on the Bloomberg Terminal and at Bloomberg dot com slash

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<v Speaker 2>of BusinessWeek.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

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<v Speaker 1>Live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern. Listen

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<v Speaker 2>Well, we just spoke to our Real Economy team reporter

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<v Speaker 2>Mark Niquette, about how different parts of the economy are

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<v Speaker 2>informing voters, specifically how inflation under the Biden administration is

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<v Speaker 2>overshadowing what has been the best time to find work

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<v Speaker 2>in generations on inflation. We did get a bit of

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<v Speaker 2>good news this week with the latest CPI figures. Core

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<v Speaker 2>CPI snapped a streak of three above forecast readings, and

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<v Speaker 2>the year over year measure cooled to the slowest pace

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<v Speaker 2>in three years. So that's the data. But how are

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<v Speaker 2>things playing out on the ground for customers, for businesses,

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<v Speaker 2>for retailers. We have back with us for answers Katie Thomas,

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<v Speaker 2>lead at the Carney Consumer Institute. The company looks at

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<v Speaker 2>consumer behavior data and insights to give businesses an idea

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<v Speaker 2>about how to engage customers. Katie joins us once again

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<v Speaker 2>from Pittsburgh. So, Katie, in your most recent batch of research,

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<v Speaker 2>what are you finding that customers are noticing when it

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<v Speaker 2>comes to inflation. Are they noticing that it's easing, because,

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<v Speaker 2>as we just discussed, that easing doesn't seem to be

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<v Speaker 2>hitting voters and the polling just yet.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, while they do comment. Your consumers are commenting about

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<v Speaker 5>noticing price increases in certain key areas such as food

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<v Speaker 5>and gas. That being said, I think we're still seeing

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<v Speaker 5>a bit of a struggle to connect that directly to

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<v Speaker 5>how they feel about the economy, and so we are

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<v Speaker 5>seeing consumers just increasingly be cautious. I think that's what

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<v Speaker 5>you saw in the retail sales numbers this week, which

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<v Speaker 5>is I'm not overly concerned. I don't think we're doom

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<v Speaker 5>and gloom, but we're seeing that slow down that we've

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<v Speaker 5>been in anticipating that consumers have finally reached a point

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<v Speaker 5>where they're perhaps really having to prioritize or pick and

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<v Speaker 5>choose how they're spending. And one of the major numbers

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<v Speaker 5>that I'm watching though, is personal job security. So you know,

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<v Speaker 5>unemployment numbers are one measure, but it's really consumer spend

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<v Speaker 5>is informed by how somebody individually feels about their job

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<v Speaker 5>situation and how safe they are to either keep their

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<v Speaker 5>job or find a new job if they need to.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, it's interesting too, you know, when you're an investor,

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<v Speaker 4>investors talk a lot about inflation slowing, inflation slowing, but

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<v Speaker 4>really it's the pace of increases slowing and constant. Hunter

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<v Speaker 4>over at Micropolicy Perspectives and made a great point this

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<v Speaker 4>week that for many Americans, the price is just so

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<v Speaker 4>much higher than it was years ago for many products, services, housing.

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<v Speaker 4>How do you view that disconnect this idea that still

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<v Speaker 4>people are living under the weight of these preennily higher prices. Really,

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<v Speaker 4>even if inflation is slowing at the rate it's increasing.

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<v Speaker 5>Right, I mean, I think you're seeing a couple of

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<v Speaker 5>different factors feed in here. So some of the unfortunate

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<v Speaker 5>news about consumers is you're seeing savings on a decline.

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<v Speaker 5>So it's been there was some recovery after the high

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<v Speaker 5>savings during the pandemic in early twenty twenty three. Now

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<v Speaker 5>you're seeing that number a steady decline while seeing credit

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<v Speaker 5>card delinquencies also tick up. So in some cases, unfortunately,

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<v Speaker 5>folks probably are not you know, they're probably spending a

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<v Speaker 5>little bit beyond their means, you know, beyond that, it's

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<v Speaker 5>just about consumers really evaluating their discretionary spend and how

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<v Speaker 5>they categorize spend themselves. So where are they prioritizing, where

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<v Speaker 5>are they making trade offs? And how can they continue

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<v Speaker 5>to kind of navigate this complicated environment.

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<v Speaker 2>What about when it comes to what many would argue

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<v Speaker 2>has historically been discretionary spending. I'm thinking of, Katie, something

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<v Speaker 2>like travel, which you know, historically, if people don't have

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<v Speaker 2>the money to travel, at least if they don't need

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<v Speaker 2>to travel, they're not going to spend the money to

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<v Speaker 2>do that. What are you learning sort of like the

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<v Speaker 2>new normal when it comes to travel.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, you know, I think we all have a bias

0:12:12.800 --> 0:12:15.520
<v Speaker 5>to sometimes stick with the way we've defined things in

0:12:15.559 --> 0:12:20.160
<v Speaker 5>the past consumer discretionary spend, consumer staples, and some version

0:12:20.200 --> 0:12:23.440
<v Speaker 5>of needs versus wants. But we hear from consumers is

0:12:23.440 --> 0:12:26.199
<v Speaker 5>that they tend to define things a little bit differently

0:12:26.520 --> 0:12:29.319
<v Speaker 5>and they're able to really prioritize how they want to spend.

0:12:29.360 --> 0:12:32.319
<v Speaker 5>Travel is a great example. So when we talk to consumers,

0:12:32.360 --> 0:12:35.560
<v Speaker 5>twenty six percent of consumers told us they consider their

0:12:35.600 --> 0:12:38.520
<v Speaker 5>annual vacation to be a must have spend and in

0:12:38.600 --> 0:12:41.199
<v Speaker 5>order to enable that, that's actually where we're seeing men

0:12:41.320 --> 0:12:44.319
<v Speaker 5>pull back in other areas. So perhaps it's food and

0:12:44.360 --> 0:12:46.840
<v Speaker 5>they're willing to again make trade offs or even cut

0:12:46.880 --> 0:12:51.120
<v Speaker 5>certain things from their typical grocery shop to really allow

0:12:51.240 --> 0:12:54.040
<v Speaker 5>for that. Whereas certain items like food that feel like

0:12:54.080 --> 0:12:56.640
<v Speaker 5>a staple. A lot of times there's things that they

0:12:56.720 --> 0:12:59.000
<v Speaker 5>again can give up. Maybe it don't buy as many

0:12:59.000 --> 0:13:01.800
<v Speaker 5>snacks this week, maybe I go out to restaurants one

0:13:01.880 --> 0:13:04.199
<v Speaker 5>less a week. And so I really think sometimes it's

0:13:04.280 --> 0:13:07.880
<v Speaker 5>about seeing that bigger picture of how a consumer understands

0:13:07.960 --> 0:13:11.599
<v Speaker 5>just how discretionary versus must have something.

0:13:11.320 --> 0:13:13.920
<v Speaker 4>Is I think we also have to differentiate types of

0:13:14.000 --> 0:13:16.800
<v Speaker 4>consumers here, because you kind of hinted earlier about this

0:13:16.840 --> 0:13:20.320
<v Speaker 4>idea that's some consumers are feeling stressed, and we saw

0:13:20.400 --> 0:13:23.960
<v Speaker 4>retail earnings this week, we see more retail earnings next week,

0:13:24.200 --> 0:13:28.400
<v Speaker 4>and you see upper to middle class customers trading downstill,

0:13:28.760 --> 0:13:32.600
<v Speaker 4>so buying cheaper goods instead of more expensive ones. A

0:13:32.600 --> 0:13:36.280
<v Speaker 4>lot of commentary around how lower end consumers are feeling stretched.

0:13:36.960 --> 0:13:40.120
<v Speaker 4>Where are the biggest discrepancies as you see it, who

0:13:40.240 --> 0:13:43.320
<v Speaker 4>is feeling the most pressure and will that pressure start

0:13:43.400 --> 0:13:45.280
<v Speaker 4>to widen among more groups?

0:13:46.960 --> 0:13:49.680
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I think this is another area where we try

0:13:49.720 --> 0:13:51.760
<v Speaker 5>to take a too pronged approach at it. So what

0:13:51.920 --> 0:13:56.200
<v Speaker 5>is is the you know, obvious more traditional demographic income split,

0:13:56.280 --> 0:13:58.719
<v Speaker 5>so looking at you know, high, medium, low income. But

0:13:58.800 --> 0:14:01.640
<v Speaker 5>another question we asks is if they feel like they're

0:14:01.679 --> 0:14:04.679
<v Speaker 5>living within their means or paycheck to paycheck. And what

0:14:04.720 --> 0:14:07.680
<v Speaker 5>we found is folks that feel like they're living within

0:14:07.720 --> 0:14:11.160
<v Speaker 5>their means, regardless of what income category they're in, are

0:14:11.440 --> 0:14:14.760
<v Speaker 5>there's more commonality there and with the people that are

0:14:14.840 --> 0:14:17.720
<v Speaker 5>living paycheck to paycheck. So I know, for instance, we

0:14:17.720 --> 0:14:20.320
<v Speaker 5>saw Walmart's earnings release, I actually caught your segment on

0:14:20.360 --> 0:14:23.120
<v Speaker 5>it yesterday, and I think the high income shoppers there

0:14:23.200 --> 0:14:25.120
<v Speaker 5>is a great example of people.

0:14:25.480 --> 0:14:27.680
<v Speaker 6>I think some of the stigma maybe even.

0:14:27.520 --> 0:14:30.640
<v Speaker 5>Around shopping certain stores has just slowly gone away, and

0:14:30.920 --> 0:14:34.440
<v Speaker 5>as we've had these continually tightening wallets, people simply want

0:14:34.440 --> 0:14:36.600
<v Speaker 5>to know they're getting the best bang for their buck

0:14:36.680 --> 0:14:37.400
<v Speaker 5>on the basics.

0:14:37.480 --> 0:14:39.480
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it look well. I was just going to say

0:14:39.480 --> 0:14:42.400
<v Speaker 2>it's because we were talking about this in the newsroom

0:14:42.480 --> 0:14:44.800
<v Speaker 2>yesterday after those numbers came out, and there were folks

0:14:44.800 --> 0:14:47.240
<v Speaker 2>around my desk just talking about how the way that

0:14:47.320 --> 0:14:50.680
<v Speaker 2>Walmart's in store offering has changed, especially when it comes

0:14:50.720 --> 0:14:53.600
<v Speaker 2>to groceries in recent years. Just shows that it's really

0:14:53.640 --> 0:14:56.240
<v Speaker 2>trying to go after so many different types of consumers

0:14:56.280 --> 0:14:56.640
<v Speaker 2>right now.

0:14:58.040 --> 0:14:59.800
<v Speaker 5>Absolutely you see it with some of their new Private

0:14:59.840 --> 0:15:03.400
<v Speaker 5>Life launches, but they've also done more partnerships with direct

0:15:03.400 --> 0:15:04.960
<v Speaker 5>to consumer brands over the years.

0:15:05.040 --> 0:15:06.000
<v Speaker 6>They're not the only.

0:15:05.840 --> 0:15:08.680
<v Speaker 5>Big box retailer doing it, but they are known for

0:15:08.960 --> 0:15:11.200
<v Speaker 5>being willing to test and learn, but also if something

0:15:11.240 --> 0:15:13.280
<v Speaker 5>doesn't work out, they kind of cut their losses and

0:15:13.320 --> 0:15:15.560
<v Speaker 5>move on from it. So I think that you're seeing

0:15:15.600 --> 0:15:19.080
<v Speaker 5>all these different types of retailers really try to adapt

0:15:19.080 --> 0:15:21.200
<v Speaker 5>to the consumer and take all the data that they

0:15:21.280 --> 0:15:24.000
<v Speaker 5>have and give the best experience possible. And I think

0:15:24.040 --> 0:15:27.920
<v Speaker 5>even they're realizing certain things that perhaps we traditionally attributed

0:15:28.000 --> 0:15:32.480
<v Speaker 5>to standard demographics, like income, that's not really the case.

0:15:32.840 --> 0:15:35.080
<v Speaker 5>You know, everybody likes to get a deal, everyone likes

0:15:35.120 --> 0:15:37.400
<v Speaker 5>the best bang for their buck, and so moving away

0:15:37.440 --> 0:15:40.240
<v Speaker 5>from some of those preconceived notions has enabled a lot

0:15:40.280 --> 0:15:43.200
<v Speaker 5>of success for retailers that understand their value proposition.

0:15:43.600 --> 0:15:45.800
<v Speaker 2>Hey, before we let you go, Katie, I want to

0:15:46.320 --> 0:15:48.200
<v Speaker 2>just get an idea of what's coming up next at

0:15:48.200 --> 0:15:51.160
<v Speaker 2>the Carney Consumer Institute. I know you have a report

0:15:51.200 --> 0:15:53.440
<v Speaker 2>coming out next week about innovation and it kind of

0:15:53.440 --> 0:15:57.960
<v Speaker 2>shows the delta between how consumers see innovation versus how

0:15:57.960 --> 0:16:01.720
<v Speaker 2>brands internally see innovation. Little bit about what to expect there.

0:16:02.880 --> 0:16:05.480
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, well, oh well, you know, we all know innovation

0:16:05.600 --> 0:16:07.920
<v Speaker 5>is actually like pretty ambiguous as it is. It can

0:16:07.960 --> 0:16:10.800
<v Speaker 5>be described to be anything from like a simple line

0:16:10.840 --> 0:16:16.000
<v Speaker 5>extension to some you know, massively disruptive category or technological advancement.

0:16:16.720 --> 0:16:19.000
<v Speaker 5>But in reality, lately, what we hear a lot of

0:16:19.120 --> 0:16:24.280
<v Speaker 5>is like consumers are increasingly demanding more specialized, more niche products.

0:16:24.320 --> 0:16:26.320
<v Speaker 5>And when we found when we went to consumers, is

0:16:26.360 --> 0:16:29.560
<v Speaker 5>that's not the case. So almost ninety percent of consumers

0:16:29.560 --> 0:16:32.640
<v Speaker 5>told us there's either enough products in most categories or

0:16:32.680 --> 0:16:36.160
<v Speaker 5>too many in some categories. So it's really about, i think,

0:16:36.200 --> 0:16:39.080
<v Speaker 5>repositioning inflation to make sure we're doing it in the

0:16:39.160 --> 0:16:42.560
<v Speaker 5>right way and not proliferating for innovation's sake, by just

0:16:42.640 --> 0:16:46.360
<v Speaker 5>deepening some of those consumer feedback loops and really understanding

0:16:46.640 --> 0:16:49.920
<v Speaker 5>when we want better when we do just want new

0:16:50.360 --> 0:16:53.640
<v Speaker 5>or more options, and kind of really trying to delineate,

0:16:53.760 --> 0:16:55.920
<v Speaker 5>you know, what's going to be most successful at any

0:16:55.920 --> 0:16:56.400
<v Speaker 5>given time.

0:16:56.680 --> 0:16:59.040
<v Speaker 2>Katie certainly look forward to seeing that report. Thank you

0:16:59.080 --> 0:17:02.120
<v Speaker 2>as always for joining us us on Bloomberg Business Week.

0:17:03.680 --> 0:17:08.880
<v Speaker 3>Mark a journal. How about you let me drive?

0:17:09.119 --> 0:17:14.440
<v Speaker 2>Oh no, no, no, no, all right, please, I'll do travel.

0:17:15.640 --> 0:17:16.400
<v Speaker 3>I want to drive.

0:17:18.640 --> 0:17:19.560
<v Speaker 2>It's a good question.

0:17:23.320 --> 0:17:27.080
<v Speaker 1>This is the drive to the clothes thing. Well by

0:17:27.119 --> 0:17:29.760
<v Speaker 1>around on Bloomberg Radio.

0:17:31.760 --> 0:17:33.959
<v Speaker 2>It is Bloomberg a Business Week, and believe it or not,

0:17:34.119 --> 0:17:35.640
<v Speaker 2>we are only wow.

0:17:35.720 --> 0:17:37.280
<v Speaker 1>Look at that is that right?

0:17:37.359 --> 0:17:38.440
<v Speaker 2>Eighteen minutes from the close?

0:17:38.480 --> 0:17:38.720
<v Speaker 1>Here?

0:17:39.320 --> 0:17:41.560
<v Speaker 2>It's time fly when you have fun.

0:17:41.720 --> 0:17:43.600
<v Speaker 4>Time does fly when you're having fun.

0:17:43.880 --> 0:17:45.640
<v Speaker 2>Well, let's see what our drive to the closes, guest

0:17:45.680 --> 0:17:48.760
<v Speaker 2>has to say about everything that happened over the last week.

0:17:48.840 --> 0:17:51.679
<v Speaker 2>Danadoria is co chief investment Officer at Investment. It's a

0:17:51.680 --> 0:17:55.560
<v Speaker 2>provider of technology to banks and rias, think wealth management

0:17:55.640 --> 0:17:59.520
<v Speaker 2>software and consulting services to financial advisors. Dana joins us

0:17:59.520 --> 0:18:03.600
<v Speaker 2>from Sylvania this afternoon. Dana, good to have you with us.

0:18:04.480 --> 0:18:06.200
<v Speaker 2>I want to talk a little bit about the CPI

0:18:06.320 --> 0:18:09.720
<v Speaker 2>report that we got earlier this week. Once again, I've

0:18:09.720 --> 0:18:11.960
<v Speaker 2>said it many times before and I'll say it many

0:18:11.960 --> 0:18:16.200
<v Speaker 2>times again, It's not the Fed's preferred method, preferred measure

0:18:16.240 --> 0:18:19.560
<v Speaker 2>of inflation, but we still saw a pretty big market

0:18:19.560 --> 0:18:21.920
<v Speaker 2>reaction to it. What did you make of that.

0:18:24.119 --> 0:18:26.560
<v Speaker 6>I make of it that it's an overreaction. Thank you

0:18:26.600 --> 0:18:27.199
<v Speaker 6>for having me.

0:18:28.119 --> 0:18:31.320
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, No, Look, I think the market has you know,

0:18:31.480 --> 0:18:35.720
<v Speaker 7>kind of overshot most of these reports that have come out,

0:18:35.840 --> 0:18:39.560
<v Speaker 7>and you know, assuming right that the reaction is really

0:18:40.280 --> 0:18:43.159
<v Speaker 7>confined to that report, you know, I mean, look, we

0:18:43.200 --> 0:18:45.639
<v Speaker 7>started the year at the expectation of six rate cuts.

0:18:45.880 --> 0:18:48.480
<v Speaker 6>We're living in this world of bad news is good news.

0:18:48.520 --> 0:18:51.800
<v Speaker 6>So you know the fact that not only do.

0:18:51.840 --> 0:18:55.000
<v Speaker 7>We see some indicators in growth kind of you know,

0:18:56.040 --> 0:18:58.480
<v Speaker 7>maybe plateauing a bit and a little bit more muted,

0:18:58.840 --> 0:19:02.200
<v Speaker 7>something like having inflation come in you know, this report

0:19:02.240 --> 0:19:08.000
<v Speaker 7>inflation and particularly core inflation coming in better, right, not fantastic,

0:19:08.160 --> 0:19:10.240
<v Speaker 7>I don't think, you know, in line with what would

0:19:10.359 --> 0:19:13.760
<v Speaker 7>rationalize rate cuts, but enough that the market can latch

0:19:13.800 --> 0:19:16.160
<v Speaker 7>onto it and say, look, maybe it's two, it's not

0:19:16.240 --> 0:19:16.680
<v Speaker 7>just one.

0:19:16.800 --> 0:19:18.640
<v Speaker 6>Maybe it's September, it's not November.

0:19:19.480 --> 0:19:22.359
<v Speaker 4>So you were kind of talking here about this idea

0:19:22.600 --> 0:19:25.040
<v Speaker 4>of bad news as good news, and I want to

0:19:25.040 --> 0:19:26.600
<v Speaker 4>ask you a question that I don't think we ask

0:19:26.680 --> 0:19:30.000
<v Speaker 4>people enough, which is when bad news starts to hit

0:19:30.040 --> 0:19:32.280
<v Speaker 4>the table a little more. Yes, in the early terms,

0:19:32.280 --> 0:19:34.840
<v Speaker 4>we have seen the market really react well to it

0:19:34.960 --> 0:19:37.920
<v Speaker 4>because of the idea of rate cuts. But how much

0:19:37.960 --> 0:19:40.359
<v Speaker 4>of that is already priced in? When will bad news

0:19:40.480 --> 0:19:44.320
<v Speaker 4>just start to feel like bad news?

0:19:43.760 --> 0:19:45.560
<v Speaker 6>It's such a good question.

0:19:46.119 --> 0:19:48.880
<v Speaker 7>I do think that we've had a pretty poor scenario

0:19:49.000 --> 0:19:51.199
<v Speaker 7>price in, particularly for areas of the market that we

0:19:51.280 --> 0:19:53.159
<v Speaker 7>don't talk about as much, like small caps.

0:19:53.160 --> 0:19:57.080
<v Speaker 6>So obviously we have a market. You know, there's more than.

0:19:57.040 --> 0:19:59.160
<v Speaker 7>Enough discussion around the fact that we have a very

0:19:59.160 --> 0:20:03.280
<v Speaker 7>concentrated mark get you know, dominated by the top several stocks,

0:20:03.280 --> 0:20:05.920
<v Speaker 7>and you can you know, cut that line Barbie like,

0:20:06.040 --> 0:20:08.680
<v Speaker 7>but when you look at something like small caps, which

0:20:08.720 --> 0:20:11.840
<v Speaker 7>are you know, more interest rates sensitive, they are needing.

0:20:11.600 --> 0:20:14.320
<v Speaker 6>To go back to capital markets more frequently.

0:20:14.760 --> 0:20:17.919
<v Speaker 7>We have corporate debt rolling over this year, and it

0:20:18.000 --> 0:20:21.320
<v Speaker 7>really does matter to those corporate teams, you know, how

0:20:21.400 --> 0:20:25.240
<v Speaker 7>quickly that rate cut proms. So it's understandable that there's

0:20:25.320 --> 0:20:28.280
<v Speaker 7>a higher beta at interest rates there. But I think

0:20:28.320 --> 0:20:30.440
<v Speaker 7>that you know, you've seen those areas of the market

0:20:30.480 --> 0:20:34.760
<v Speaker 7>certainly struggle with respect to you know, the larger and

0:20:35.080 --> 0:20:36.760
<v Speaker 7>this is the larger stocks, and this has been going

0:20:36.760 --> 0:20:39.240
<v Speaker 7>on for a while, so I do think there's sort

0:20:39.280 --> 0:20:43.240
<v Speaker 7>of a pretty negative outlook priced into that already. And

0:20:43.400 --> 0:20:45.840
<v Speaker 7>that's one of the reasons that you know, any sign

0:20:46.040 --> 0:20:47.760
<v Speaker 7>that there might be another rate cut or that it

0:20:47.840 --> 0:20:52.480
<v Speaker 7>might come faster can have a nice bump, a nice

0:20:52.520 --> 0:20:54.080
<v Speaker 7>impact on stocks.

0:20:53.680 --> 0:20:56.600
<v Speaker 6>Like that because they are you know, kind of more

0:20:56.800 --> 0:20:58.080
<v Speaker 6>maybe prepped for the worst.

0:20:58.720 --> 0:21:00.840
<v Speaker 2>Danni, what are you seeing now on the platform when

0:21:00.880 --> 0:21:03.280
<v Speaker 2>it comes to cash? And the reason I ask is

0:21:03.320 --> 0:21:07.320
<v Speaker 2>because we're still waiting for that cash on the sidelines

0:21:07.359 --> 0:21:08.480
<v Speaker 2>to go somewhere.

0:21:09.080 --> 0:21:10.480
<v Speaker 6>And yeah, I'm.

0:21:10.400 --> 0:21:12.240
<v Speaker 2>Wondering what you're seeing in terms of cash and if

0:21:12.280 --> 0:21:16.640
<v Speaker 2>you started to see allocations change from those folks who say, okay,

0:21:16.680 --> 0:21:18.960
<v Speaker 2>well we do know rates are going to go down

0:21:19.000 --> 0:21:21.520
<v Speaker 2>at some point, so we want to get ahead of

0:21:21.520 --> 0:21:23.560
<v Speaker 2>that and deploy this cash. Now what are you seeing?

0:21:25.560 --> 0:21:26.800
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, cash is high.

0:21:26.960 --> 0:21:30.280
<v Speaker 7>You know, we've seen cash and short term instruments in general,

0:21:30.480 --> 0:21:31.359
<v Speaker 7>which you know that.

0:21:31.480 --> 0:21:34.119
<v Speaker 6>I mean the short term instruments.

0:21:33.560 --> 0:21:37.280
<v Speaker 7>Are part of asset allocation, right, so you know, so

0:21:37.640 --> 0:21:41.160
<v Speaker 7>if you think about how money gets deployed on our platform,

0:21:41.440 --> 0:21:44.440
<v Speaker 7>a lot of it is deployed by independent financial advisors

0:21:44.520 --> 0:21:48.120
<v Speaker 7>or by financial advisors that are connected with broker dealers.

0:21:48.560 --> 0:21:52.080
<v Speaker 7>And then you also, of course that I would say

0:21:52.119 --> 0:21:57.119
<v Speaker 7>is differentiated from money manager's asset managers broadly distributed, where

0:21:57.560 --> 0:22:00.439
<v Speaker 7>an advisor may be outsourcing those that decision making to

0:22:00.480 --> 0:22:01.240
<v Speaker 7>the money managers.

0:22:01.560 --> 0:22:04.159
<v Speaker 6>So to an extent, some of it is some of

0:22:04.160 --> 0:22:06.160
<v Speaker 6>what you see is client.

0:22:05.920 --> 0:22:09.479
<v Speaker 7>Directed decisions for that particular client, that particular account, and

0:22:09.520 --> 0:22:12.280
<v Speaker 7>then some of it is acid allocation decisions that are

0:22:12.359 --> 0:22:16.560
<v Speaker 7>lead cascading out from a series of models. Having said that,

0:22:17.400 --> 0:22:21.320
<v Speaker 7>you know, cash short term instruments are high. Obviously you're

0:22:21.359 --> 0:22:23.359
<v Speaker 7>getting a return there that you haven't gotten in a

0:22:23.400 --> 0:22:26.000
<v Speaker 7>long time. So it's understandable that you know, people are

0:22:26.080 --> 0:22:28.720
<v Speaker 7>kind of parked there and earning these higher rates. I

0:22:28.760 --> 0:22:31.400
<v Speaker 7>think as part of you know, if that cash, if

0:22:31.400 --> 0:22:34.920
<v Speaker 7>that short term instrument is part of that overall acid allocation.

0:22:34.560 --> 0:22:36.240
<v Speaker 6>Decision, it can make sense.

0:22:36.640 --> 0:22:39.200
<v Speaker 7>I think where it's it begins to become a struggle,

0:22:39.240 --> 0:22:42.399
<v Speaker 7>as if it's money sitting on the sidelines. Money that's

0:22:42.600 --> 0:22:45.240
<v Speaker 7>you know, maybe longer term money that typically that client,

0:22:45.280 --> 0:22:49.440
<v Speaker 7>that investor has a risk tolerance, that is that would

0:22:49.480 --> 0:22:52.000
<v Speaker 7>allow for it to be taking some equity market risk.

0:22:52.400 --> 0:22:54.120
<v Speaker 7>If you look at that kind of money where maybe

0:22:54.160 --> 0:22:55.800
<v Speaker 7>they pulled it out of the market from a timing

0:22:55.840 --> 0:22:58.480
<v Speaker 7>perspective and now it's just sitting there. The problem there,

0:22:58.520 --> 0:23:01.399
<v Speaker 7>of course, is that you know, fear of losing out.

0:23:01.600 --> 0:23:03.639
<v Speaker 7>You're definitely losing out right if you look at what

0:23:03.680 --> 0:23:05.960
<v Speaker 7>equities have been doing over the course of the last year.

0:23:06.400 --> 0:23:07.600
<v Speaker 6>If that money really.

0:23:07.440 --> 0:23:10.399
<v Speaker 7>Was better situated in a sixty forty, you've given up

0:23:10.400 --> 0:23:12.520
<v Speaker 7>a lot of returns sitting in cash.

0:23:12.600 --> 0:23:15.320
<v Speaker 4>Well, it's interesting too, you have to wonder what things

0:23:15.359 --> 0:23:17.520
<v Speaker 4>look like not just now, but six months from now.

0:23:17.640 --> 0:23:20.479
<v Speaker 4>If you're worried about the volatility, how do you how

0:23:20.520 --> 0:23:23.119
<v Speaker 4>do you play the market right? Now perhaps people are

0:23:23.160 --> 0:23:25.199
<v Speaker 4>sitting in cash just because they're scared.

0:23:26.640 --> 0:23:29.040
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, no, you're absolutely right, I mean, and that's a

0:23:29.040 --> 0:23:31.879
<v Speaker 7>typical thing, right that. It's why the adage is always

0:23:31.880 --> 0:23:34.439
<v Speaker 7>you know, it's not even just timing getting out, but

0:23:34.480 --> 0:23:37.840
<v Speaker 7>it's time and getting back in and what happens, you know,

0:23:37.880 --> 0:23:40.119
<v Speaker 7>And so often we see that people miss out on

0:23:40.119 --> 0:23:44.640
<v Speaker 7>the opportunities because they're sitting there for understandable reasons. They're

0:23:44.680 --> 0:23:46.679
<v Speaker 7>kind of waiting for a shakeout that may or may

0:23:46.720 --> 0:23:49.920
<v Speaker 7>not materialize, but the timing of that shakeout is difficult.

0:23:50.119 --> 0:23:51.200
<v Speaker 6>So what I would say is.

0:23:51.200 --> 0:23:53.760
<v Speaker 7>If you're in that camp, you want to deploy money

0:23:53.760 --> 0:23:55.959
<v Speaker 7>in the market, but you want something a little bit

0:23:56.000 --> 0:23:59.080
<v Speaker 7>more protective, there are some strategies that you know, Number one,

0:23:59.119 --> 0:24:00.720
<v Speaker 7>you can go out a little bit on the curve

0:24:00.800 --> 0:24:01.679
<v Speaker 7>on fixed income.

0:24:02.160 --> 0:24:04.320
<v Speaker 6>You can have you know, as opposed to just cash.

0:24:04.359 --> 0:24:07.920
<v Speaker 7>You can be taking some interest rate risks, some credit risk,

0:24:08.720 --> 0:24:12.280
<v Speaker 7>and still you're sitting in a fixed income investment.

0:24:12.480 --> 0:24:15.200
<v Speaker 6>And then of course, if you are putting money into equities,

0:24:15.520 --> 0:24:16.600
<v Speaker 6>but you're trying to head.

0:24:16.400 --> 0:24:18.399
<v Speaker 7>Your bets a little bit around, maybe some of the

0:24:18.640 --> 0:24:20.720
<v Speaker 7>you know, very risk on quality.

0:24:20.920 --> 0:24:25.800
<v Speaker 6>You know, fundamental indicators like quality. Technical indicators like low.

0:24:25.680 --> 0:24:28.720
<v Speaker 7>Volatility, minimum variance, portfolios are a nice place to be

0:24:29.080 --> 0:24:32.960
<v Speaker 7>traditionally have delivered higher return per unit of risk over time,

0:24:33.000 --> 0:24:34.399
<v Speaker 7>have outperformed over time.

0:24:34.600 --> 0:24:37.119
<v Speaker 6>So those are typical places I talked to about.

0:24:37.119 --> 0:24:39.480
<v Speaker 7>And I and a lot of the folks I talked

0:24:39.480 --> 0:24:42.520
<v Speaker 7>to in the industry point out that if you have

0:24:42.600 --> 0:24:46.359
<v Speaker 7>small caps, which I've long stated, and you know, this

0:24:46.440 --> 0:24:48.160
<v Speaker 7>is a longer term play, right, this is not we're

0:24:48.160 --> 0:24:50.600
<v Speaker 7>going to talk in a quarter and it materialized, but

0:24:50.960 --> 0:24:53.840
<v Speaker 7>you know, longer term, small caps are a nice place

0:24:53.880 --> 0:24:57.440
<v Speaker 7>to be, particularly small value, because they tend to outperform

0:24:57.440 --> 0:25:00.200
<v Speaker 7>inflation over time. They tend to outperform in general over time.

0:25:00.359 --> 0:25:03.399
<v Speaker 7>You have to have the stomach and the timeframe. But

0:25:03.440 --> 0:25:06.040
<v Speaker 7>if you like having some diverse pations, small caps small

0:25:06.040 --> 0:25:10.600
<v Speaker 7>cap quality is a place that folks are looking so like,

0:25:10.720 --> 0:25:13.080
<v Speaker 7>you know, six hundred right, as opposed to.

0:25:13.200 --> 0:25:16.800
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Dana, I'll always love it when you join us,

0:25:16.800 --> 0:25:19.440
<v Speaker 2>Thank you so much. That's Dana Dioria, co chief investment

0:25:19.440 --> 0:25:22.960
<v Speaker 2>Officer over at investmentt They've got a unique view into

0:25:23.240 --> 0:25:26.000
<v Speaker 2>what clients are doing because they provide tech to banks

0:25:26.000 --> 0:25:29.800
<v Speaker 2>and rias like wealth manager and software. They do consulting services,

0:25:29.840 --> 0:25:32.280
<v Speaker 2>also to financial advisors.

0:25:33.000 --> 0:25:37.639
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