1 00:00:03,120 --> 00:00:09,959 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. Skyscanner has this option 2 00:00:10,080 --> 00:00:14,240 Speaker 1: that says explore everywhere and I just need to input 3 00:00:14,320 --> 00:00:18,320 Speaker 1: my location. Okay, just put JFK. 4 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:23,880 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg reporter Natalie Lung. She told me that 5 00:00:24,079 --> 00:00:26,680 Speaker 2: recently she's been paying a lot of attention to the 6 00:00:26,760 --> 00:00:29,520 Speaker 2: travel website skyscanner. 7 00:00:29,320 --> 00:00:33,400 Speaker 1: And then it shows everything from the cheapest to the 8 00:00:33,440 --> 00:00:37,840 Speaker 1: most expensive, and the next cheapest one outside the US 9 00:00:37,920 --> 00:00:41,879 Speaker 1: is Canada as well as Puerto Rico. So sounds good 10 00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:45,760 Speaker 1: to me. Yeah, yeah, how cheap is cheap? So let's 11 00:00:45,760 --> 00:00:50,560 Speaker 1: see for San Juan is one hundred and fifteen dollars. 12 00:00:51,400 --> 00:00:53,760 Speaker 1: I think it's a one stop flight and. 13 00:00:53,680 --> 00:00:55,440 Speaker 2: I'm seeing some four star hotels. 14 00:00:55,680 --> 00:00:58,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, sounds like a pretty good deal. 15 00:00:58,640 --> 00:01:02,320 Speaker 2: Natalie said she has been browsing skyscanner to find herself 16 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:07,480 Speaker 2: some cheap vacation options. She's been using it for work. Really. 17 00:01:08,480 --> 00:01:12,000 Speaker 1: I cover tech for Bloomberg in New York, so I 18 00:01:12,040 --> 00:01:15,880 Speaker 1: cover a couple of companies, including in the travel space 19 00:01:16,040 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 1: like Airbnb, Expedia, as well as the gig economy, uber 20 00:01:19,920 --> 00:01:23,039 Speaker 1: Lyft and dating apps. So a lot of my coverage 21 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:27,240 Speaker 1: span across everything that people use on a daily basis. 22 00:01:27,000 --> 00:01:30,800 Speaker 2: And recently Natalie noticed people were using travel booking sites 23 00:01:30,840 --> 00:01:34,640 Speaker 2: like skyscanner differently than they used to. People weren't looking 24 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:39,039 Speaker 2: for white Lotus inspired holidays in say, Sicily or Hawaii. 25 00:01:39,800 --> 00:01:42,759 Speaker 2: They were looking to go well anywhere. 26 00:01:43,240 --> 00:01:46,480 Speaker 1: I spoke to Skyscanner and they were saying they consistently 27 00:01:46,520 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 1: saw people putting everywhere as their destination. So this sort 28 00:01:50,200 --> 00:01:52,760 Speaker 1: of speaks to Okay, people are holding out for deals, 29 00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:55,120 Speaker 1: and it's not that they're not traveling. They're still on 30 00:01:55,200 --> 00:01:57,760 Speaker 1: a travel but they are looking for the perhaps a 31 00:01:57,840 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 1: lower star rated hotel or like a cheap of property. 32 00:02:01,800 --> 00:02:05,280 Speaker 2: They'll go anywhere for the right price. Yes, that focus 33 00:02:05,320 --> 00:02:08,000 Speaker 2: on keeping travel costs down seems to mark a big 34 00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:10,440 Speaker 2: shift from the way people were thinking about travel when 35 00:02:10,480 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 2: COVID lockdowns first lifted, and it got Natalie thinking, is 36 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:20,840 Speaker 2: the post pandemic travel boom coming to an end? Today? 37 00:02:20,840 --> 00:02:23,840 Speaker 2: On the show, Americans are back to spending less on travel. 38 00:02:23,960 --> 00:02:27,680 Speaker 2: They're trading in extravagant post COVID trips for budget friendly deals. 39 00:02:28,240 --> 00:02:30,639 Speaker 2: We look at what that means for everything from airlines 40 00:02:30,639 --> 00:02:35,000 Speaker 2: and hospitality to your next vacation. I'm Sarah Holder and 41 00:02:35,080 --> 00:02:46,120 Speaker 2: This is the big take from Blueberg News. At this point, 42 00:02:46,200 --> 00:02:48,520 Speaker 2: the time we spent trapped at home living in a 43 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:52,120 Speaker 2: COVID pandemic might feel like it all blurs together, but 44 00:02:52,240 --> 00:02:55,640 Speaker 2: Natalie says it's pretty easy to pinpoint exactly when the 45 00:02:55,680 --> 00:02:59,760 Speaker 2: post pandemic travel boom started and where in twenty twenty 46 00:02:59,760 --> 00:03:03,120 Speaker 2: one everyone was in Florida. That was right around the 47 00:03:03,160 --> 00:03:06,360 Speaker 2: time COVID vaccinations first rolled out to the general public, 48 00:03:06,880 --> 00:03:08,919 Speaker 2: and if you weren't a Florida person. 49 00:03:09,080 --> 00:03:11,880 Speaker 1: They went to a lot of national parks that say 50 00:03:12,040 --> 00:03:17,000 Speaker 1: Joshua Tree in California, and even Gatlinburg or Pigeon Fortune 51 00:03:17,080 --> 00:03:18,040 Speaker 1: like Tennessee. 52 00:03:18,400 --> 00:03:21,560 Speaker 2: People were eager to get out, and the travel companies 53 00:03:21,639 --> 00:03:26,800 Speaker 2: Natalie covered, including Expedia and especially Airbnb, found that feeding 54 00:03:26,840 --> 00:03:30,920 Speaker 2: that travel frenzy was a very good business. Last year, 55 00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:34,040 Speaker 2: Airbnb saw record setting profits every quarter. 56 00:03:34,400 --> 00:03:37,680 Speaker 1: It was like not anything like they've seen before before 57 00:03:37,720 --> 00:03:42,640 Speaker 1: the pandemic, and so that was really obviously welcome. After 58 00:03:42,680 --> 00:03:45,320 Speaker 1: they lost almost all their business during the pandemic. 59 00:03:45,720 --> 00:03:49,400 Speaker 2: After lockdowns lifted, there was so much business hosts could 60 00:03:49,440 --> 00:03:50,280 Speaker 2: barely keep up. 61 00:03:50,640 --> 00:03:54,080 Speaker 1: Airbnb hosts in particular added a lot of supply to 62 00:03:54,400 --> 00:03:55,880 Speaker 1: feed that pentup demand. 63 00:03:55,920 --> 00:03:58,560 Speaker 2: Back then, Natalie spoke to one woman who tried to 64 00:03:58,640 --> 00:03:59,640 Speaker 2: cash in on the trend. 65 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:03,520 Speaker 1: So I actually talked to a host who found a 66 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:07,480 Speaker 1: home in Orlando because she was hoping to get like Disney, 67 00:04:07,520 --> 00:04:08,400 Speaker 1: you know, travelers. 68 00:04:08,840 --> 00:04:11,520 Speaker 2: But since then, not as many people were clamoring to 69 00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:14,160 Speaker 2: visit the Magic Kingdom or Epcot. 70 00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:18,240 Speaker 1: And she said it was just no activity for the 71 00:04:18,279 --> 00:04:22,559 Speaker 1: month of August, and overall revenue in that Orlando area 72 00:04:22,640 --> 00:04:24,400 Speaker 1: like dropped like six point four percent. 73 00:04:24,920 --> 00:04:28,480 Speaker 2: And it wasn't just Florida recently, people just haven't been 74 00:04:28,520 --> 00:04:29,480 Speaker 2: traveling like they. 75 00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:32,599 Speaker 1: Used to other areas, like the places where I talked 76 00:04:32,600 --> 00:04:36,279 Speaker 1: about in Tennessee near Dollywood was down like eight point 77 00:04:36,320 --> 00:04:40,120 Speaker 1: seven percent. So like, actually, if we look at earlier 78 00:04:40,160 --> 00:04:43,520 Speaker 1: this year, in the past twenty two to twenty three months, 79 00:04:44,240 --> 00:04:47,839 Speaker 1: a lot of US airbnbs saw their earnings drop, and 80 00:04:47,920 --> 00:04:53,120 Speaker 1: so that sort of speaks to the changes in travel patterns. 81 00:04:53,160 --> 00:04:57,840 Speaker 2: And that's led investors, especially to sour on Airbnb. Last week, 82 00:04:57,960 --> 00:05:00,839 Speaker 2: the company reported its earnings and w learn of slowing 83 00:05:00,839 --> 00:05:05,120 Speaker 2: demand that sent share prices down by thirteen percent, its 84 00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:09,200 Speaker 2: biggest dip in nearly two years. Adding to Airbnb's woes 85 00:05:09,240 --> 00:05:11,920 Speaker 2: are a series of local restrictions that have limited the 86 00:05:12,000 --> 00:05:15,000 Speaker 2: number of short term rentals or even banned them entirely. 87 00:05:15,720 --> 00:05:19,560 Speaker 2: But aside from Airbnb, some hotel chains like Hilton, have 88 00:05:19,640 --> 00:05:23,440 Speaker 2: said they've also noticed increasing cost consciousness among their customers. 89 00:05:24,040 --> 00:05:27,040 Speaker 2: Some have tried offering promotions in the hopes of luring 90 00:05:27,240 --> 00:05:28,080 Speaker 2: deal seekers. 91 00:05:28,600 --> 00:05:32,720 Speaker 1: Some hotels, while they're not, you know, cutting prices on moss, 92 00:05:32,760 --> 00:05:36,120 Speaker 1: but they are offering some more perks, such as, you know, 93 00:05:36,400 --> 00:05:39,120 Speaker 1: if you stay for two days, they'll offer another night free, 94 00:05:39,320 --> 00:05:42,800 Speaker 1: as well as perhaps issuing more like loyalty perks for 95 00:05:42,839 --> 00:05:43,960 Speaker 1: their program members. 96 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:48,839 Speaker 2: And then there are the airlines. The most recent data 97 00:05:48,880 --> 00:05:51,799 Speaker 2: shows that fares from the US to Europe slumped seven 98 00:05:51,839 --> 00:05:54,880 Speaker 2: point five percent in business class and nine point two 99 00:05:54,920 --> 00:05:58,320 Speaker 2: percent in economy from a year earlier. That's led everyone 100 00:05:58,360 --> 00:06:01,760 Speaker 2: from United to Delta to Spirit to lower their financial 101 00:06:01,800 --> 00:06:04,080 Speaker 2: targets and slow plans to expand. 102 00:06:04,440 --> 00:06:08,800 Speaker 1: So you saw a lot of airlines actually slashing prices 103 00:06:09,000 --> 00:06:11,719 Speaker 1: because one of the things that they did was adding 104 00:06:11,760 --> 00:06:15,839 Speaker 1: more airplane seats in anticipation of that coming back of travel. 105 00:06:16,200 --> 00:06:20,040 Speaker 1: But now this sort of demand has not been as 106 00:06:20,200 --> 00:06:22,919 Speaker 1: high as they hoped, and they don't have that price 107 00:06:23,040 --> 00:06:26,680 Speaker 1: power anymore. So, definitely, tic kits are coming down, and 108 00:06:26,720 --> 00:06:28,200 Speaker 1: that's affecting some of their earnings. 109 00:06:28,480 --> 00:06:31,599 Speaker 2: Overall, it seems many of us aren't traveling as much 110 00:06:31,640 --> 00:06:34,960 Speaker 2: this summer, and certainly not as far. According to the 111 00:06:34,960 --> 00:06:37,600 Speaker 2: Conference Board, the share of Americans planning to go on 112 00:06:37,640 --> 00:06:39,800 Speaker 2: a trip abroad in the next six months is at 113 00:06:39,800 --> 00:06:42,120 Speaker 2: the lowest level since the end of twenty twenty two, 114 00:06:42,560 --> 00:06:46,480 Speaker 2: and growth in new US passport applications and issuances slowed 115 00:06:46,480 --> 00:06:50,400 Speaker 2: in twenty twenty three after a post pandemic search. So, Natalie, 116 00:06:50,520 --> 00:06:52,960 Speaker 2: why is this happening? What are experts telling you to 117 00:06:53,040 --> 00:06:54,320 Speaker 2: explain all this like? 118 00:06:54,400 --> 00:06:57,160 Speaker 1: From the number's point of view, even though all the 119 00:06:57,240 --> 00:07:00,080 Speaker 1: numbers are, you know, bigger than it was then in 120 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:04,120 Speaker 1: twenty nineteen, it's just not growing as the same clip 121 00:07:04,200 --> 00:07:07,839 Speaker 1: as it did after the pandemic, and that sort of 122 00:07:07,880 --> 00:07:11,000 Speaker 1: growth rate, by calculation is going to slow down and moderate. 123 00:07:11,400 --> 00:07:13,400 Speaker 1: So that is what we're seeing so far. 124 00:07:13,800 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 2: How much does inflation and economic pressures and a slow 125 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:21,560 Speaker 2: down in consumer spending generally have to do with this 126 00:07:21,840 --> 00:07:23,600 Speaker 2: change in the travel industry we're seeing. 127 00:07:23,600 --> 00:07:27,920 Speaker 1: Right, So, let's say people's pandemic savings have slowly been 128 00:07:27,960 --> 00:07:31,560 Speaker 1: deepleting because of the up spending they've done in the 129 00:07:31,600 --> 00:07:36,160 Speaker 1: past few years, and with wage growth and jobs growth slowing, 130 00:07:36,640 --> 00:07:39,920 Speaker 1: this is definitely eating into people's discretionary spending and how 131 00:07:39,960 --> 00:07:43,200 Speaker 1: they make choices on where to spend that money. 132 00:07:45,200 --> 00:07:48,280 Speaker 2: But even if consumers are feeling less flesh, that doesn't 133 00:07:48,280 --> 00:07:52,240 Speaker 2: mean people have stopped traveling entirely. Coming up after the break, 134 00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:55,679 Speaker 2: if people are essentially spinning the globe and looking for deals, 135 00:07:56,160 --> 00:08:08,040 Speaker 2: where are they going? And can I come to? After 136 00:08:08,120 --> 00:08:11,120 Speaker 2: a post pandemic flurry of activity, the rapid growth in 137 00:08:11,160 --> 00:08:15,840 Speaker 2: consumer travel is finally slowing down. Bloomberg's Natalie Lung says 138 00:08:15,880 --> 00:08:18,480 Speaker 2: that's partly because people don't have quite as much money 139 00:08:18,480 --> 00:08:21,680 Speaker 2: to spend on vacation these days. But not everyone is 140 00:08:21,720 --> 00:08:27,200 Speaker 2: staying home. They're just finding new budget travel hacks. 141 00:08:27,520 --> 00:08:31,800 Speaker 1: So people are getting smarter. So for airbnbs in like 142 00:08:31,960 --> 00:08:35,960 Speaker 1: let's say, rural smaller towns where you can find multi 143 00:08:35,960 --> 00:08:39,240 Speaker 1: bedroom properties, they have been able to offer like a 144 00:08:39,320 --> 00:08:42,040 Speaker 1: lower price per bedroom, So if you're traveling with a 145 00:08:42,040 --> 00:08:45,400 Speaker 1: group of friends to a smaller town, you might be 146 00:08:45,480 --> 00:08:48,680 Speaker 1: able to find a better deal there. And actually that's 147 00:08:48,920 --> 00:08:51,520 Speaker 1: helped drive group travel up. As one of the fastest 148 00:08:51,520 --> 00:08:56,160 Speaker 1: growing categories for Airbnb. So that's another interesting point where 149 00:08:56,280 --> 00:08:59,760 Speaker 1: hosts are definitely sensitive to and they've been building an 150 00:08:59,840 --> 00:09:01,760 Speaker 1: adding more houses there too. 151 00:09:02,120 --> 00:09:05,920 Speaker 2: Another big change, people are becoming more flexible about when 152 00:09:05,960 --> 00:09:06,600 Speaker 2: they want to fly. 153 00:09:07,120 --> 00:09:10,000 Speaker 1: They're willing to fly at a different time to get 154 00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:12,240 Speaker 1: a better deal. A lot of people say they travel 155 00:09:12,280 --> 00:09:15,600 Speaker 1: during shoulder season, so that's in between the peak seasons 156 00:09:15,880 --> 00:09:20,320 Speaker 1: to sort of get those deals earlier and sole some 157 00:09:20,480 --> 00:09:23,760 Speaker 1: hotel excecutives might have seen July as their peak season, 158 00:09:23,840 --> 00:09:26,760 Speaker 1: but now it's moved earlier to maybe June, and that's 159 00:09:26,760 --> 00:09:29,280 Speaker 1: why that might have influenced sort of that you're on 160 00:09:29,320 --> 00:09:31,800 Speaker 1: you change when you look at, you know, last year's July. 161 00:09:32,400 --> 00:09:34,960 Speaker 2: Does all of this mean this is the perfect time 162 00:09:35,080 --> 00:09:38,080 Speaker 2: to book a trip to a place that used to 163 00:09:38,080 --> 00:09:41,280 Speaker 2: be really over touristy or crowded or expensive. 164 00:09:41,640 --> 00:09:44,240 Speaker 1: Maybe, like, at least from some of the data, we're 165 00:09:44,280 --> 00:09:48,280 Speaker 1: seeing a lot of coastal destinations in Florida cutting prices, 166 00:09:48,320 --> 00:09:51,520 Speaker 1: so maybe you might find a cheap stay or you know, 167 00:09:51,559 --> 00:09:52,720 Speaker 1: a cheap ticket there. 168 00:09:54,720 --> 00:09:57,440 Speaker 2: But Natalie did say some places and some types of 169 00:09:57,480 --> 00:10:01,800 Speaker 2: travel are still booming. Cruises have remained popular as has 170 00:10:01,960 --> 00:10:06,079 Speaker 2: Las Vegas. In fact, the Wind Casino Company recently reported 171 00:10:06,160 --> 00:10:09,640 Speaker 2: its best second quarter profit in the company's history. But 172 00:10:09,679 --> 00:10:12,400 Speaker 2: those are the outliers, and even when CEO said the 173 00:10:12,400 --> 00:10:17,240 Speaker 2: company was paying very close attention to customer behavior. So, Natalie, 174 00:10:17,280 --> 00:10:20,800 Speaker 2: Summer is ending soon, sadly, what's the next big travel 175 00:10:20,800 --> 00:10:22,680 Speaker 2: season that will give us a sense of the health 176 00:10:22,760 --> 00:10:25,400 Speaker 2: of the travel industry and what do experts expect to 177 00:10:25,440 --> 00:10:26,280 Speaker 2: see then? 178 00:10:26,760 --> 00:10:30,720 Speaker 1: So people are looking at the fall travel season and 179 00:10:30,920 --> 00:10:35,040 Speaker 1: so far from the conference calls and you know, earnings reports, 180 00:10:35,320 --> 00:10:38,800 Speaker 1: executives are saying that travel is going to still moderate. 181 00:10:38,880 --> 00:10:42,840 Speaker 1: It's not as strong as before, even with Airbnb noting 182 00:10:42,880 --> 00:10:46,839 Speaker 1: that people are not making those Thanksgiving and Christmas trips 183 00:10:46,880 --> 00:10:50,200 Speaker 1: so far yet, and that speaks to the price sensitivity 184 00:10:50,240 --> 00:10:52,920 Speaker 1: that people might be having there holding out for deals. 185 00:10:54,880 --> 00:10:57,480 Speaker 2: How has reporting all this changed the way that you're 186 00:10:57,559 --> 00:10:58,840 Speaker 2: thinking about travel. 187 00:10:59,080 --> 00:11:01,600 Speaker 1: I'm definitely going to be more savvy and you know, 188 00:11:01,679 --> 00:11:05,400 Speaker 1: seeking out different destinations for travel. Maybe it's a place 189 00:11:05,440 --> 00:11:09,160 Speaker 1: I've never considered for travel before, but if there's a good, 190 00:11:09,559 --> 00:11:13,440 Speaker 1: well priced tour or well priced stay I can find, 191 00:11:13,679 --> 00:11:16,120 Speaker 1: I would be open minded to go there. 192 00:11:16,679 --> 00:11:25,800 Speaker 2: Searching Skyscanner for everywhere. Yes, this is the Big Take 193 00:11:25,880 --> 00:11:29,600 Speaker 2: from Bloomberg News. I'm Sarah Holder. This episode was produced 194 00:11:29,600 --> 00:11:32,280 Speaker 2: by David Fox. It was edited by Aaron Edwards and 195 00:11:32,360 --> 00:11:35,400 Speaker 2: Tim Annett. It was mixed by Blake Maples. It was 196 00:11:35,440 --> 00:11:39,160 Speaker 2: fact checked by Adriana Tapia. Naomi Shaven and Kim Gittelson 197 00:11:39,240 --> 00:11:42,640 Speaker 2: are our senior producers. Our senior editor is Elizabeth Ponso. 198 00:11:43,120 --> 00:11:46,679 Speaker 2: Nicole Beemster Bor is our executive producer. Sage Bauman is 199 00:11:46,720 --> 00:11:50,360 Speaker 2: Bloomberg's head of podcasts. If you liked this episode, make 200 00:11:50,440 --> 00:11:52,840 Speaker 2: sure to subscribe and review The Big Take wherever you 201 00:11:52,880 --> 00:11:56,439 Speaker 2: listen to podcasts. It helps people find the show. Thanks 202 00:11:56,480 --> 00:12:01,040 Speaker 2: so much for listening. We'll be back tomorrow, do you 203 00:12:01,320 --> 00:12:02,640 Speaker 2: s y d.