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Speaker 1: Oh, there's a lot going on here as we lead

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Speaker 1: up to airtime.

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Speaker 2: I think the most exciting thing about how big our

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Speaker 2: show this got is not the numbers themselves. That's wonderful.

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Speaker 2: It gets everyone around here paid and fed and whatnot.

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Speaker 1: That's great.

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Speaker 2: The most exciting thing about our show blowing up as

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Speaker 2: big as it has over the past few years is

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Speaker 2: it means a whole lot of people are listening and watching,

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Speaker 2: and a whole lot of people involved in college football

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Speaker 2: are listening and watching. So if we touch on something

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Speaker 2: like officiating, a bunch.

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Speaker 1: Of college football officials.

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Speaker 2: As it turns out, Jesse and Colin listen to and

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Speaker 2: watch the show, and they're more than happy to reach

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Speaker 2: out as long as we maintain their anonymity. We got

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Speaker 2: a really good, really jam packed show for you tonight,

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Speaker 2: hiatap a lovely downtown Nashville, Tennessee, Tuesday, September.

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Speaker 1: Seventeenth, twenty twenty four.

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Speaker 2: We are proudly powered by Academy Sports and Outdoors and

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Speaker 2: I am nervously bringing you week three predictions. We're doing Tennessee,

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Speaker 2: Oklahoma tonight, USC Michigan tonight. You realize we have a

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Speaker 2: ranked versus ranked matchup in Lincoln, Nebraska this Friday night.

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Speaker 2: Right you realize there's a solid seventy five or eighty

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Speaker 2: percent chance the winner of Utah Oklahoma State is in

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Speaker 2: the Big twelve championship game. Right, Well, if you didn't

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Speaker 2: realize that, you will by the end of tonight. You

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Speaker 2: will have a brand new JP pole by the end

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Speaker 2: of tonight. And like I said, we talked about officiating

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Speaker 2: and how disastrously bad it's been, especially last weekend on Sunday.

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Speaker 2: We talked about it on Sunday, and since then I

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Speaker 2: have talked with no less than a dozen or more

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Speaker 2: current college football officials and they were very happy to

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Speaker 2: give their feedback, and a lot of it is stuff

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Speaker 2: that you will not hear anywhere else. They're watching us

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Speaker 2: and listening to us in Valley, Alabama, Portland, Oregon, Monterey, California, Kingsport, Tennessee.

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Speaker 2: Thank you so so so much. We have a lot

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Speaker 2: of different areas to get to night kind of show.

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Speaker 2: We love to do it around here. Okay, so I

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Speaker 2: don't want to start it off positive. Why would we

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Speaker 2: ever start a show on Tuesday night off positive?

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Speaker 1: No? No, no, no. No.

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Speaker 2: Surprises are great. Pleasant surprises or even better immunity. But

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Speaker 2: tonight I wanted to talk to you at to start

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Speaker 2: the show about the biggest disappointments in college football for

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Speaker 2: me so far this year, and Florida State's got to

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Speaker 2: lead that list. And this is not going to be

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Speaker 2: a whack a mole segment for Florida State because I

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Speaker 2: got like four or five other programs that I want

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Speaker 2: to hit, but the wrong portal quarterback in DJ I

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Speaker 2: think it's very apparent at this point they're getting run on.

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Speaker 2: You know, their strengths should have been the line of scrimmage.

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Speaker 2: That's all we listened to during spring in fall camp.

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Speaker 2: And again I've gone over this, I'm going to say

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Speaker 2: it one more time. I don't think the folks who

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Speaker 2: cover Florida State were lying about the talent on that roster.

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Speaker 1: I don't think Nick.

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Speaker 2: Saban when he went and watched him practice and picked

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Speaker 2: him to win the ACC was lying or was deceived

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Speaker 2: about the talent on that roster. I don't think the

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Speaker 2: NFL scouts that were cited publicly and that I I

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Speaker 2: spoke to personally who went through Tallahassee during fall camp

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Speaker 2: were lying to me about the talent on the roster.

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Speaker 2: It's just not a good football team and so they're

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Speaker 2: getting run on.

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Speaker 1: They can't run it.

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Speaker 2: It's just a total fraud alert of a team, and

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Speaker 2: it's very disappointing. They were eighteenth in points per game

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Speaker 2: last year. They are one hundred and twenty fourth. In fact,

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Speaker 2: it's Tuesday. It's weird to do this padlock stat FSU

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Speaker 2: last year, eighteenth points per game, one hundred and twenty

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Speaker 2: fourth this year. And honestly, when producer Jesse gave me

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Speaker 2: that number, I was surprised they were as high as

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Speaker 2: one twenty four. Like, there are teams out there worse

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Speaker 2: at scoring the football right now in Florida State. You

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Speaker 2: want to pray for someone, Pray for those teams tonight.

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame is a big disappointment to me so far

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Speaker 2: this year, and they're banged up now. I see they're

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Speaker 2: losing guys by the day on the offensive line, but

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Speaker 2: the Northern Illinois loss is still fresh in my mind now.

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Speaker 2: They cleansed the palate this past weekend. Raman Noodle Express

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Speaker 2: may not have gotten much right, but buddy, Notre Dame

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Speaker 2: minus seven and a half. Notre Dame covered that thing

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Speaker 2: in about five seconds.

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Speaker 1: Looked back.

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Speaker 2: But how can we forget how can we forget the

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Speaker 2: Northern Illinois loss? And how can I forget them losing

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Speaker 2: to Marshall and stand for two years ago? And how

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Speaker 2: all this sort of gets lumped into losing to unranked opponents,

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Speaker 2: losing as a double digit favorite at home, Cause it's

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Speaker 2: happened a few times now, it's happened, and there's still

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Speaker 2: no elite pieces. And when I say elite pieces, you

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Speaker 2: know what I mean. I'm in a unit over on

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Speaker 2: the offensive side of the ball, and I am disappointed

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Speaker 2: because I wanted more. I am frequently labeled a Notre

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Speaker 2: Dame hater, despite the fact that I'm sitting here with

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Speaker 2: bald up fists wanting them to be elite, because I

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Speaker 2: am a person who respects the overall tradition and pageantry

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Speaker 2: of this sport. So growing up in the rural South,

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Speaker 2: not a lot of folks think like me when it

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Speaker 2: comes to Notre Dame. True story, my favorite experience out

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Speaker 2: of all the places we've been is being able to

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Speaker 2: go and stand on the sideline at Notre Dame Stadium.

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Speaker 2: Someone asked me that on a show the other day.

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Speaker 2: They thought I was going to say lsu or Alabama

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Speaker 2: or Tennessee, and all those places are awesome. But you know,

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Speaker 2: I'm a kid who grew up and my impression of

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame was old VHS tapes and the movie Rudy.

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Speaker 2: I know a lot of you have mixed feelings on

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Speaker 2: that movie, but the point is, it's kind of like

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Speaker 2: it is being in a movie scene when you go

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Speaker 2: up there. So I romanticize Notre Dame in my head,

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Speaker 2: and when they lose to Northern Illinois, it sucks. I

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Speaker 2: don't like it. Florida, of course, this is in no

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Speaker 2: particular order. Florida has been a crushing disappointment so far

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Speaker 2: this year. I have, as well as all of you,

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Speaker 2: have had to jump a car off at some point

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Speaker 2: in your life. And sometimes you hook up those red

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Speaker 2: and black jumper cables and you turn it over and

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Speaker 2: it cranked right up and close.

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Speaker 1: The hood and you're good to go.

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Speaker 2: You've also been in situations where you hook up the

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Speaker 2: jumper cables to where you think you got a good

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Speaker 2: solid latch, and then you go turn it and nothing happens.

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Speaker 1: So what do you do?

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Speaker 2: Will you go adjust it and you go turn it

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Speaker 2: this way thirty degrees forty degrees over there that way,

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Speaker 2: and then you turn it over again and it still

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Speaker 2: doesn't work. Then you just keep on re arranging things,

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Speaker 2: and then finally, hopefully you turn it over and it works.

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Speaker 2: It's not turning over, it's not cranking. I listened to

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Speaker 2: Billy Napier talk about this stuff. I sat there five

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Speaker 2: feet from him in Gainesville, and we did this show

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Speaker 2: from there in the spring. He maintained eye contact the

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Speaker 2: entire time.

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Speaker 1: Because he believed what he was saying.

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Speaker 2: He believed in the moves they had made, he believed

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Speaker 2: in the team, he believed in the coaches and the

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Speaker 2: entire organizational structure that he'd brought into that building.

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Speaker 1: But it hasn't worked.

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Speaker 2: I was listening to his press conference for this week,

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Speaker 2: and he was talking about how soon as those guys

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Speaker 2: got in the weight room this Monday morning, we're full

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Speaker 2: speed ahead to Mississippi State, and no one's quitting. I

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Speaker 2: was listening to I believe it was Pete Famil earlier

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Speaker 2: today talking about the future of this program, and one

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Speaker 2: of the first things he said is maybe they're not

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Speaker 2: in a hurry to get rid of him, because he's

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Speaker 2: still got the locker room. It's like rearranging the jumper

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Speaker 2: cables every week. You just hope eventually, whatever you've done,

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Speaker 2: the combination of decisions and moves and changes you've made

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Speaker 2: any given week, you turn the ignition and it starts.

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Speaker 2: They're on the road at Mississippi State this week. They're

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Speaker 2: favored by six and a half points. I believe it

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Speaker 2: FanDuel at the moment, and I and the model both

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Speaker 2: like them to win and cover. I have no confidence

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Speaker 2: in saying this whatsoever because I've had no confidence watching

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Speaker 2: them do anything so far this year. Penn State still undefeated,

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Speaker 2: but that doesn't mean I can't be a little disappointed

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Speaker 2: in you so far this year. Penn State offensively, surprisingly

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Speaker 2: is not what I want to talk to you about.

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Speaker 2: They're working on it, Andy Cole Nikki's there. It should

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Speaker 2: take a little time. I think it'll be okay. I

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Speaker 2: think they'll end up being a better offensive product than

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Speaker 2: they have been. But surprisingly, defense has quietly let me

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Speaker 2: down a little bit. Pass rush is not there like

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Speaker 2: I thought it would be. Their safety depth post injury

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Speaker 2: has taken a really big hit, and they're shaky back there.

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Speaker 2: And I cannot shake the image of Bowling Green moving

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Speaker 2: the ball down the field through the air on them,

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Speaker 2: and Colin, if you've got their schedule, could you throw

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Speaker 2: that up. And I'm gonna explain to you in very

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Speaker 2: simple terms why that concerns me. They're gonna go to

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Speaker 2: LA next month and play USC and one of the

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Speaker 2: things I know about Lincoln Riley and his passing attack

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Speaker 2: is it is a level up.

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Speaker 1: From Bowling Green.

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Speaker 2: All due respect there, They're gonna play Ohio State, diddo.

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Speaker 2: You know they're gonna if they were to make it

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Speaker 2: to the playoff, anybody they face is gonna be able

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Speaker 2: to throw the ball. Now, that's the natural filtration process

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Speaker 2: of being alive that late in the season. So it

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Speaker 2: is what week four. It's a developmental game. The best

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Speaker 2: teams have in common that they get better and they

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Speaker 2: scale throughout the season. So this is just disappointment so far.

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Speaker 2: This is not me writing you off. Actually I've written

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Speaker 2: Florida State off. I have not written Penn State off yet.

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Speaker 2: So look look at my fingers. There's still crossed. There's

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Speaker 2: still time. There's still plenty of time here. Speaking though,

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Speaker 2: of the offensive coordinator there at Penn State, Andy koldal Nikki,

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Speaker 2: left Kansas and apparently Jalen Daniels' ability to throw the

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Speaker 2: ball consistently did as well. I mean, they've already lost

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Speaker 2: two games. They're a big disappointment to me. Jalen Daniels.

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Speaker 2: The big question around this program was will he be healthy,

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Speaker 2: because if he's healthy this year, then they're a contender

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Speaker 2: to win the Big Twelve. Well, he's healthy, and they're

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Speaker 2: not a contender to win the Big Twelve. He is

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Speaker 2: just under fifty five percent completion this year so far

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Speaker 2: and six picks to give you an idea of the

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Speaker 2: impact of losing that coordinator. Fifty five percent guy this

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Speaker 2: year with half a dozen picks two years ago when

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Speaker 2: he was the last the last time, he's a full

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Speaker 2: year starter, sixty five percent completion.

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Speaker 1: And two picks the whole year. So it's not the same.

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Speaker 2: It is not the same. The age old adage in

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Speaker 2: this sport is don't just blindly buy into returning anything.

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Speaker 2: Returning starts returning experience and production. It's valuable, you certainly

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Speaker 2: want experience over just having a bunch of question marks

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Speaker 2: on your roster. But there's this blind assumption that if

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Speaker 2: anyone returns in this sport, if anyone comes back, they

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Speaker 2: automatically improved ten, fifteen to twenty percent. Well that's not

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Speaker 2: always the case. In fact, the road through a college

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Speaker 2: football season is littered with guys that didn't play as

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Speaker 2: well as they had in previous years. And this is

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Speaker 2: an example. And I'm disappointed in Kansas, and I am

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Speaker 2: a little bit disappointed in Oklahoma State. But Oklahoma State's

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Speaker 2: got a shot to rectify all this this Saturday.

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Speaker 1: But I don't know, Jesse Collin.

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Speaker 2: I mean, we sat here all spring and we talked

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Speaker 2: about how the offensive line was just a bunch of

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Speaker 2: thirty five year old grown men, and Ali Gordon was

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Speaker 2: returning from having won all these awards last year at tailback,

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Speaker 2: and they can't run the ball. He's averaging seventy two

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Speaker 2: yards per game, supposed to be the best running back

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Speaker 2: in the sport. It's the most experienced offensive line I think.

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Speaker 1: I've ever seen.

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Speaker 2: These guys all have like a wife and three kids

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Speaker 2: in sensible mortgages. And we can't run the ball, or

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Speaker 2: at least we haven't. So they play Utah Saturday. It's

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Speaker 2: one of the games we're gonna break down later in

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Speaker 2: the show. And if you're going to get right, you

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Speaker 2: might as well do it against Utah, But I am

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Speaker 2: very disappointed that it's been Alan Bowman throwing the ball.

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Speaker 2: That's actually been how they've They've been able to come

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Speaker 2: back on Arkansas and gave up over six hundred and

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Speaker 2: forty yards in the process defensively, so they needed every

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Speaker 2: one of those points. But I've got some disappointment. I

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Speaker 2: know everyone paints me as a glass half full guy.

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Speaker 2: No even I get disappointed. The good news for one

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Speaker 2: to about four of these teams is you still got

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Speaker 2: a ton of time to get things right and accomplish

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Speaker 2: all your preseason goals. You can accomplish pretty much like

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Speaker 2: ninety percent of the goals you have in life. You

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Speaker 2: can accomplish it Academy Sports and Outdoors. That is, if

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Speaker 2: you're living life the right way and you're properly motivated tailgating,

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Speaker 2: you can accomplish like ninety nine percent of your tailgating

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Speaker 2: goals at Academy Sports and Outdoors. Like if you're looking

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Speaker 2: to meet your significant other at a tailgate, I would

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Speaker 2: say academy can't help you because legally they cannot promise that.

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Speaker 2: But honestly, if you walk into an academy, it's not

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Speaker 2: bad selection in there. I'm just saying, we had on

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Speaker 2: the show last year a testimonial from two people who

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Speaker 2: met in an academy and they ended up getting married.

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Speaker 1: That's a fact, Colin, Like, we ran with that.

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Speaker 2: We screenshat it and we put it on the show

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Speaker 2: cause someone said it to us on the internet, which

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Speaker 2: means it's true.

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Speaker 1: There's no question about it. It's true.

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Speaker 2: And it is also true that whether you're going back

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Speaker 2: to school, you're getting ready for fall, you're getting ready

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Speaker 2: for the sports season, you're getting ready for tailgating. Academy

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Speaker 2: they make this show free for you. They have been

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Speaker 2: a partner with us pretty much since the beginning of

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Speaker 2: this show here a few years back, and they.

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Speaker 1: Will take care of all your needs.

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Speaker 2: And if you can't get there in person, Academy dot

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Speaker 2: com has your hookup. We've got a growing audience here

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Speaker 2: even as the minutes go by live on this Tuesday night.

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Speaker 2: Appreciate you being tuned in. Make sure that you hit

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Speaker 2: that subscribe button. I saw we had like six hundred

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Speaker 2: sous from last show, which just means a bunch of

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Speaker 2: you checked to see if you were subbed and you

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Speaker 2: found out you weren't.

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Speaker 1: So if you didn't do that the other night. Just

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Speaker 1: go ahead and do that. Now.

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Speaker 2: We got a big game coming up in Norman, Oklahoma,

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Speaker 2: Saturday night, the whole New Saturday Tour, our first ever

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Speaker 2: trip to Oklahoma for a football game. Been over there

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Speaker 2: storm chasing many times this year already, and I've only

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Speaker 2: been to Oklahoma to storm chase.

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Speaker 1: But I will be there Saturday night.

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Speaker 2: And I don't even think the Storm's Prediction Center has

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Speaker 2: issued an advisory for Saturday. That's how tranquil the weather

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Speaker 2: should be high of ninety four. So tranquil and hot

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Speaker 2: good name for an album for us later this year.

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Speaker 2: But Josh Hipel's going back to Oklahoma, and this is

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Speaker 2: like full on why at Earth and Tombstones sort of stuff.

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Speaker 2: I know he's downplaying it this week, but behind the scenes,

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Speaker 2: he wants blood. He is out for blood. And I

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Speaker 2: am thinking about the times in the past that we've

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Speaker 2: hyped games up, and we've hyped players up and teams

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Speaker 2: up this early in the season, and then you find

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Speaker 2: out at the quarter pole and at the halfway point

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Speaker 2: that sometimes your hype was built on false information. So

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Speaker 2: that doesn't mean that's the case here. It just means

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Speaker 2: we have to be wary of it. My guess on

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Speaker 2: the padlock stat for this game comes Sunday night when

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Speaker 2: we review it is explosive plays because Tennessee's top five

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Speaker 2: right now in that category and Oklahoma's in the one twenties.

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Speaker 2: But that does not mean that the book is written

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Speaker 2: on this. This is week four, not week twelve, so

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Speaker 2: we haven't fully figured out who teams are. So one

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Speaker 2: of my big questions about Oklahoma right now.

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Speaker 1: Is why is.

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Speaker 2: Jackson Arnold You're leading rusher. It's the quarterback there. The

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Speaker 2: offensive line is badly banged up. That's one reason wide

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Speaker 2: receiver production has been fairly subpar this year, and they've

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Speaker 2: been hurt there as well, so that has led to

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Speaker 2: defensive stacking the box on him, and a lot of

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Speaker 2: those rushing yards for Jackson Arnold are not coming via

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Speaker 2: design QB run It's running for his life and then

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Speaker 2: he happens to make something out enough, but no pass

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Speaker 2: pro no options out wide scrambling, and he ends up

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Speaker 2: being your leading rusher so far, that's not how we

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Speaker 2: drew it up.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: We can't do anything about the past, but is that

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Speaker 2: going to continue here? Can I expect it to come together?

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Speaker 2: Versus Tennessee. I know if you're an Oklahoma fan, you

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Speaker 2: know this. If you're not, those folks have been trying

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Speaker 2: to circle this game as the game where they time

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Speaker 2: up health wise, their guys coming back. Some of them,

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Speaker 2: like like Nick Anderson at wide receiver, we think may

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Speaker 2: come back this week. That may give you an explosive

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Speaker 2: play threat above and beyond Dion Burks.

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Speaker 1: Down the field.

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Speaker 2: But the entire team's not going to get healthy this week,

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Speaker 2: or at least I wouldn't expect it. And there's a

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Speaker 2: thing that is there maybe to be had. I just

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Speaker 2: don't know if Oklahoma can do it. I think Tennessee

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Speaker 2: secondary can still be had. No one's been equipped to

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Speaker 2: do it so far this year. Oklahoma doesn't look so

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Speaker 2: far like they've been equipped, but Tennessee has not haras

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Speaker 2: last quarterback so far, although I think they had the capability.

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Speaker 2: They got four sacks so far this year, so the

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Speaker 2: pressure and havoc rates haven't quite been as high as

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Speaker 2: I thought that'd be with Tennessee secondary, even if they

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Speaker 2: are right to be picked apart, and no one has

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Speaker 2: come close to being able to do it so far

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Speaker 2: this year. Do you get Nick Anderson back and do

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Speaker 2: you find a way to stay in manageable down in

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Speaker 2: distance and Jackson Arnold has a coming out party and

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Speaker 2: all of a sudden the offense clicks.

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Speaker 1: Hey, it'd be nice.

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Speaker 2: It's tough to have that happen in this moment, but

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Speaker 2: that'd be nice.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: As for Tennessee, I think Niko Iamaliava will have to

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Speaker 2: win this game with his arm, which I think would

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Speaker 2: make a lot of Tennessee folks say, okay, fine, and

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Speaker 2: you may be right, you may be right. I think

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Speaker 2: as highly of him as anyone, but no one's made

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Speaker 2: him do it so far. There's a lot of firsts

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Speaker 2: that we're still finding out with him. This is not

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Speaker 2: a grizzled veteran, third year starter. This is not like

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Speaker 2: watching Carson Beck. You know, there's not a lot of

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Speaker 2: firsts that we see with Carson Beck or Quinn Yours

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Speaker 2: still got some firsts. We're seeing him go on the

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Speaker 2: road for the first time in a true road environment,

360
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Speaker 2: not a bowl game or a neutral site, a true

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Speaker 2: road environment here where we're probably gonna see a defense

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Speaker 2: make him throw the ball to beat him. And I'm

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Speaker 2: sure that Josh Heipelan that offensive staff have the confidence

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Speaker 2: that he can will he will he, because this is

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Speaker 2: the kind of game that profiles the same way. We

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Speaker 2: see a few of them every year, where you watch

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Speaker 2: the team you think is superior understand their superior and

368
00:17:31,440 --> 00:17:34,880
Speaker 2: the opposing defense uses that to their advantage because they

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Speaker 2: bait you. I watch Iowa do it all the time,

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Speaker 2: and I'm not necessarily, you know, correlating one versus the

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Speaker 2: other year. But there is a world where maybe Dylan

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Speaker 2: Sampson does not run out of this world on Saturday night.

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Speaker 2: Maybe there are a bunch of second and eight, third

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Speaker 2: and sevens and Nico's got to throw it in obvious

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Speaker 2: passing downs and Brent Venables dials something up and Oklahoma

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Speaker 2: gets out gained, but they're plus two in the turnover

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Speaker 2: margin and it's deadlocked twenty three all in the fourth quarter.

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Speaker 1: There's a world where that happens.

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Speaker 2: It's just kind of tough to picture right now because

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Speaker 2: your mind has seen Oklahoma struggle and Tennessee look like

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Speaker 2: a death machine. Does it continue to track that way?

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Speaker 2: Don't need two hundred on the ground from Dylan Samson.

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Speaker 2: You're looking at him on the screen here, the Tennessee tailback.

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Speaker 2: Don't need two hundred from him. Just need him to

385
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Speaker 2: keep this offense on schedule because Oklahoma can get after

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Speaker 2: the quarterback. They're sixth in the country in sacks, So

387
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Speaker 2: the ingredients are kind of hidden, but the ingredients are

388
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Speaker 2: there for a havoc great game, for a quarterback harassment game,

389
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Speaker 2: for a young guy going into a shell a little

390
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Speaker 2: bit because he's seeing a lot of stuff for the

391
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Speaker 2: first time from a guy who really knows how to

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Speaker 2: dial it up.

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Speaker 1: That's in the deck of cards.

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Speaker 2: If you picture this game as a deck of cards

395
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Speaker 2: and you're drawing one, there are a lot of Tennessee

396
00:18:49,280 --> 00:18:52,440
Speaker 2: double digit wins in that deck. But there's some really

397
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Speaker 2: defensively ugly turnover margin, ugly Nico in the middle of

398
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Speaker 2: the third quarter with an ugly stat line games and

399
00:18:59,480 --> 00:19:04,000
Speaker 2: that deck of car cards too. So how different? How

400
00:19:04,080 --> 00:19:07,239
Speaker 2: different can Oklahoma make the first half here? That's what

401
00:19:07,280 --> 00:19:11,280
Speaker 2: I wonder because we've seen so far like Tennessee play

402
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Speaker 2: NC State, and when you picture the NC State game

403
00:19:13,760 --> 00:19:15,840
Speaker 2: in your mind, you think Tennessee blew him out. That

404
00:19:15,920 --> 00:19:18,760
Speaker 2: was ten to three close to the half, and then

405
00:19:18,800 --> 00:19:21,800
Speaker 2: a pick six blew it open. So how does Oklahoma

406
00:19:21,880 --> 00:19:25,040
Speaker 2: get the game out into that deep of the end

407
00:19:25,040 --> 00:19:26,960
Speaker 2: of the pool, because that's the game that they need

408
00:19:27,000 --> 00:19:29,520
Speaker 2: to play here. The pass rush has to get Nico

409
00:19:29,520 --> 00:19:32,760
Speaker 2: off the field, and then they have to convert in

410
00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:35,200
Speaker 2: the early portion of the game, the same way teams

411
00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:37,919
Speaker 2: have done against Florida State, where all of a sudden

412
00:19:37,920 --> 00:19:39,719
Speaker 2: you're looking at Mike Norvelli and he's panicked over there

413
00:19:39,720 --> 00:19:41,720
Speaker 2: because he hasn't had the ball. They haven't had the

414
00:19:41,720 --> 00:19:44,240
Speaker 2: ball the first half. You got to find a way

415
00:19:44,680 --> 00:19:47,439
Speaker 2: to have those cameras focused on Josh Hipel with like

416
00:19:47,440 --> 00:19:49,320
Speaker 2: four to three minutes to go in the first half,

417
00:19:49,520 --> 00:19:52,119
Speaker 2: and Tennessee had had the ball, and you may not

418
00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:55,080
Speaker 2: be blowing them out, but you've kept them off the field.

419
00:19:55,320 --> 00:19:58,240
Speaker 2: And then you're hoping that that game script continues to

420
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Speaker 2: tilt in your favor in the second and half in

421
00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:03,840
Speaker 2: what's gonna be a very very hot afternoon and evening,

422
00:20:04,400 --> 00:20:06,280
Speaker 2: and you're putting a lot of guys. You're just trying

423
00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:08,399
Speaker 2: to push a lot of guys for Tennessee past the

424
00:20:08,440 --> 00:20:11,199
Speaker 2: limit that they've been pushed. Let's take a look at

425
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Speaker 2: what the model thinks. Let's take a look at what

426
00:20:14,040 --> 00:20:16,720
Speaker 2: our friends at FanDuel think. FanDuel's got this right now,

427
00:20:16,800 --> 00:20:20,760
Speaker 2: Tennessee minus six and a half, That is my guess.

428
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Speaker 2: I don't have this information from FanDuel, but my guess

429
00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:26,679
Speaker 2: is that's gonna go over seven. My guess is we'll

430
00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:28,199
Speaker 2: see a seven and a half because I think a

431
00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:30,560
Speaker 2: flood of public money has come and will continue to

432
00:20:30,640 --> 00:20:34,520
Speaker 2: come on Tennessee. So assuming that gets to seven and

433
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Speaker 2: a half, I think Oklahoma's going to turn this into

434
00:20:37,600 --> 00:20:40,719
Speaker 2: a street fight. I think Tennessee low key is equipped

435
00:20:40,760 --> 00:20:42,280
Speaker 2: to try and win a street fight, and they will.

436
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Speaker 2: But I don't think this is gonna be a blowout.

437
00:20:44,800 --> 00:20:47,600
Speaker 2: And there are several coaches in the SEC who disagree

438
00:20:47,640 --> 00:20:49,840
Speaker 2: with me that I talked to about this today. But

439
00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:53,200
Speaker 2: I am going to trust. I'm gonna trust the old

440
00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:55,560
Speaker 2: gut for once. I'm gonna take Tennessee to win. I'm

441
00:20:55,560 --> 00:20:57,719
Speaker 2: gonna take Oklahoma to cover. I think it's a one

442
00:20:57,760 --> 00:21:01,359
Speaker 2: possession game. Saturday night should be a spectacle.

443
00:21:01,400 --> 00:21:01,640
Speaker 1: Though.

444
00:21:01,720 --> 00:21:05,240
Speaker 2: Either way, how are we even going to Norman Colin?

445
00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:07,199
Speaker 2: How are we getting there? We're getting there because our

446
00:21:07,200 --> 00:21:11,160
Speaker 2: friends at quick Trip, headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma, no less,

447
00:21:11,560 --> 00:21:15,480
Speaker 2: are fueling our trip. We look forward to every week

448
00:21:15,480 --> 00:21:17,080
Speaker 2: because we get to choose the game we go to

449
00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:20,160
Speaker 2: every week. Yeah, that's the job that we have around here.

450
00:21:20,600 --> 00:21:23,560
Speaker 2: They pay us to do that. So that's a dream

451
00:21:23,640 --> 00:21:26,280
Speaker 2: job scenario. And we've never been to an Oklahoma game,

452
00:21:26,320 --> 00:21:29,840
Speaker 2: so we're going there proudly fueled by Quick Trip. Now,

453
00:21:30,280 --> 00:21:32,880
Speaker 2: I told you guys when we brought Quick Trip on board,

454
00:21:33,080 --> 00:21:35,640
Speaker 2: that I brought them on board with the caveat that

455
00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:38,040
Speaker 2: you guys got to give away like thousands of dollars

456
00:21:38,040 --> 00:21:40,639
Speaker 2: in free gas to the audience, and they agreed, and

457
00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:43,440
Speaker 2: we've been doing it ever since. Like an hour ago,

458
00:21:43,560 --> 00:21:47,400
Speaker 2: for example, Dalton hit us up and this is all

459
00:21:47,440 --> 00:21:49,800
Speaker 2: you have to do. I can't give free gas to everyone.

460
00:21:50,200 --> 00:21:52,680
Speaker 2: But throughout the day I'm just looking at you guys

461
00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:54,480
Speaker 2: tagging me because every one of you that goes to

462
00:21:54,560 --> 00:21:56,879
Speaker 2: a Quick Trip is taking pictures of yourself and you

463
00:21:56,920 --> 00:21:59,080
Speaker 2: post it on the socials. So Colin, do you have

464
00:21:59,080 --> 00:22:01,840
Speaker 2: that tweet from Dalton? Yeah, here it is. He's in

465
00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:04,440
Speaker 2: the parking lot of a Quick Trip holding up a

466
00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:07,239
Speaker 2: pouch of Big League Chew ground ball grape is the

467
00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:09,920
Speaker 2: best Big League Chew flavor, by the way, and he said,

468
00:22:09,920 --> 00:22:11,600
Speaker 2: I'm making a stop at Quick Trip on this move

469
00:22:11,600 --> 00:22:14,080
Speaker 2: across the country only place to get all the essentials.

470
00:22:14,200 --> 00:22:16,680
Speaker 1: That's all it took. Dalton got a free tank.

471
00:22:16,520 --> 00:22:18,800
Speaker 2: Of gas out of this so quick Trip has followed

472
00:22:18,800 --> 00:22:21,000
Speaker 2: through on their end of the deal. You guys keep

473
00:22:21,000 --> 00:22:23,840
Speaker 2: following through on your end, and we'll keep handing out

474
00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:26,639
Speaker 2: the free tanks of gas left and right. It's pretty

475
00:22:26,720 --> 00:22:29,440
Speaker 2: much the perfect situation for us as a pate state.

476
00:22:29,480 --> 00:22:32,439
Speaker 2: People around here. We partner with a big company and

477
00:22:32,480 --> 00:22:33,960
Speaker 2: they give us a bunch of free stuff and I

478
00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:34,719
Speaker 2: pass it on to you.

479
00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:35,840
Speaker 1: All right, let's continue.

480
00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:39,040
Speaker 2: We have got another big game, big game in the

481
00:22:39,040 --> 00:22:44,240
Speaker 2: big House, Saturday, USC at Michigan. How did you think

482
00:22:44,280 --> 00:22:46,000
Speaker 2: this game was going to shape up? How did you

483
00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:49,400
Speaker 2: think this game was going to feel in August? How

484
00:22:49,400 --> 00:22:51,760
Speaker 2: does it feel now? And how different is it? This

485
00:22:51,800 --> 00:22:54,640
Speaker 2: is the Saturday three point thirty Eastern game on CBS.

486
00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:58,800
Speaker 2: By the way, this is a classic springboard situation versus

487
00:22:58,840 --> 00:23:02,520
Speaker 2: wounded animal situation. I know the win against LSU was

488
00:23:02,560 --> 00:23:05,840
Speaker 2: really big for USC. A win on the road at Michigan,

489
00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:08,280
Speaker 2: even though we don't think Michigan is as good a

490
00:23:08,320 --> 00:23:11,639
Speaker 2: team as LSU. This would be a conference win on

491
00:23:11,680 --> 00:23:14,400
Speaker 2: the road. In Lincoln Riley's first year in the Big Ten,

492
00:23:14,760 --> 00:23:16,800
Speaker 2: this would be a springboard moment. And if they go

493
00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:20,480
Speaker 2: up there and they really plant their flag figuratively, who knows,

494
00:23:20,520 --> 00:23:23,960
Speaker 2: maybe literally, it would be a springboard moment because you'd

495
00:23:24,040 --> 00:23:28,159
Speaker 2: start really quickly realizing us he's a prime player in

496
00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:31,600
Speaker 2: the Big Ten championship race. But Michigan is in the

497
00:23:31,640 --> 00:23:35,200
Speaker 2: classic wounded animal mode, a term coined by our buddy J. C.

498
00:23:35,359 --> 00:23:38,439
Speaker 2: Sherbert from long ago, and wounded animal mode is not

499
00:23:38,480 --> 00:23:42,760
Speaker 2: to be taken lightly in college football. Wounded animal mode

500
00:23:43,280 --> 00:23:46,240
Speaker 2: means desperate times, calling for desperate measures. And they have

501
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:50,280
Speaker 2: named Alex Orgy the starting quarterback at Michigan for this game.

502
00:23:51,080 --> 00:23:53,720
Speaker 2: And he's the guy we thought would win the job.

503
00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:56,080
Speaker 2: They thought would win the job in spring. He didn't

504
00:23:56,119 --> 00:23:59,280
Speaker 2: do it over summer workouts. Still know well he'll do

505
00:23:59,280 --> 00:24:01,520
Speaker 2: it in fall camp will know he didn't. And Michigan

506
00:24:01,640 --> 00:24:04,960
Speaker 2: was really bad out of the gate as a result.

507
00:24:05,560 --> 00:24:07,440
Speaker 2: There's a reason he didn't win the job. He wasn't

508
00:24:07,480 --> 00:24:11,640
Speaker 2: good enough. And now they've switched to him, and weirdly,

509
00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:14,960
Speaker 2: I think it aligns Michigan's offense. It doesn't make them

510
00:24:14,960 --> 00:24:17,640
Speaker 2: a prolific offense. I didn't say that in fact, their

511
00:24:17,680 --> 00:24:20,440
Speaker 2: passing is gonna become even worse than it already has been.

512
00:24:21,880 --> 00:24:25,640
Speaker 2: But it wasn't gonna be good regardless. Alex Orgy being

513
00:24:25,680 --> 00:24:29,400
Speaker 2: inserted does one thing for him, and it aligns their offense.

514
00:24:29,800 --> 00:24:33,680
Speaker 2: There is no more guessing what they are. They are

515
00:24:33,720 --> 00:24:36,760
Speaker 2: a dual threat quarterback led and there really isn't a

516
00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:39,440
Speaker 2: dual threat. He's just a running back who can throw

517
00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:42,280
Speaker 2: the ball a little bit. But that's what Michigan's offense

518
00:24:42,359 --> 00:24:43,840
Speaker 2: is gonna have to be. It's gonna have to be

519
00:24:43,920 --> 00:24:47,000
Speaker 2: a very complimentary approach. Special teams and defense are gonna

520
00:24:47,000 --> 00:24:50,240
Speaker 2: have to carry a disproportionate amount of the weight. There's

521
00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:52,800
Speaker 2: no more trying to be anything other than that. So

522
00:24:52,840 --> 00:24:55,920
Speaker 2: it at least aligns their offense. That's one good thing

523
00:24:55,960 --> 00:24:59,280
Speaker 2: we have going for us US. He's run defense. This

524
00:24:59,320 --> 00:25:01,840
Speaker 2: is the test because of that, This is the test.

525
00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:05,159
Speaker 2: Last year they were one hundred and nineteenth terrible. This

526
00:25:05,240 --> 00:25:09,320
Speaker 2: year they're thirty third so far. The LSU test in

527
00:25:09,359 --> 00:25:12,080
Speaker 2: Week one I don't think was as firm a test

528
00:25:12,119 --> 00:25:14,879
Speaker 2: as this one will be. And then Utah State last

529
00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:18,040
Speaker 2: week they trailed early so quickly they didn't even bother

530
00:25:18,080 --> 00:25:20,919
Speaker 2: trying to run the ball. Michigan will run the ball,

531
00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:23,120
Speaker 2: and if you get up on them, they will still

532
00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:25,800
Speaker 2: try and run the ball. So this will be one

533
00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:28,520
Speaker 2: of the best tests that that run defense has all year.

534
00:25:28,720 --> 00:25:31,600
Speaker 2: Here's something that we're looking at and something that I

535
00:25:31,600 --> 00:25:36,120
Speaker 2: think could matter. USC's entire two deep defensive line. There

536
00:25:36,119 --> 00:25:39,480
Speaker 2: are two guys north of three hundred pounds. So does

537
00:25:39,520 --> 00:25:41,159
Speaker 2: it become that kind of game? Does it become the

538
00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:43,760
Speaker 2: kind of game where that stat matters. I am on

539
00:25:43,800 --> 00:25:47,679
Speaker 2: the record as saying this personnel grouping has already vastly

540
00:25:47,720 --> 00:25:50,119
Speaker 2: overachieved me a relative to what I thought was in

541
00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:52,720
Speaker 2: that room. This will be a really good test for him.

542
00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:55,800
Speaker 2: Here's what USC needs to do. It's as simple and

543
00:25:55,840 --> 00:25:58,080
Speaker 2: as complex as this. All they have to do is

544
00:25:58,119 --> 00:26:00,280
Speaker 2: do what Texas did. All they have to do is

545
00:26:00,280 --> 00:26:03,119
Speaker 2: grab an early lead. Michigan will not be prepared to

546
00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:05,440
Speaker 2: play from behind at any point this year. They were

547
00:26:05,920 --> 00:26:09,199
Speaker 2: leading in ninety five percent of the snaps. Last season

548
00:26:09,240 --> 00:26:13,199
Speaker 2: when they won a title, Texas said yeah, whatever, bye

549
00:26:13,280 --> 00:26:15,920
Speaker 2: and they pulled away from him. You get up ten oh,

550
00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:20,040
Speaker 2: fourteen oh early, and it is very deflating because this

551
00:26:20,080 --> 00:26:22,399
Speaker 2: is a very fragile fan base, right now they're going

552
00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:24,080
Speaker 2: to be all in. This is a very tough ticket

553
00:26:24,119 --> 00:26:26,600
Speaker 2: to get, and it'll be just like when we went

554
00:26:26,640 --> 00:26:29,440
Speaker 2: to the Florida Miami game in Week one. Florida fans

555
00:26:29,480 --> 00:26:32,040
Speaker 2: were totally all in. They're fine, but there were doubts

556
00:26:32,080 --> 00:26:33,840
Speaker 2: in the back of their mind. And when Miami took

557
00:26:33,840 --> 00:26:37,560
Speaker 2: an early lead, it was total deflation and there's no

558
00:26:37,600 --> 00:26:39,960
Speaker 2: home field advantage anymore. And I was on the sideline

559
00:26:40,000 --> 00:26:43,640
Speaker 2: for the Texas Michigan game and it was total deflation

560
00:26:44,080 --> 00:26:46,440
Speaker 2: and by halftime there was no home field advantage anymore.

561
00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:49,520
Speaker 2: If USC can do that, and I love Miller Moss,

562
00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:52,359
Speaker 2: now he has the capability of doing it. He's facing

563
00:26:52,400 --> 00:26:54,840
Speaker 2: Michigan on the road, though, in a very desperate situation.

564
00:26:54,880 --> 00:26:56,760
Speaker 2: And unlike Quinn, you or as, Miller Moss does not

565
00:26:56,800 --> 00:26:59,919
Speaker 2: have those moments under his belt yet. So ken they

566
00:27:00,200 --> 00:27:03,399
Speaker 2: that can they replicate that? Some early throws I think

567
00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:05,920
Speaker 2: can be the difference in this thing. You will see

568
00:27:05,920 --> 00:27:09,199
Speaker 2: a couple of early throws second, third down and you

569
00:27:09,280 --> 00:27:12,600
Speaker 2: will see either a tipball incomplete or you'll see one

570
00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:17,040
Speaker 2: of those several USC wide receivers capable of doing such things,

571
00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:19,480
Speaker 2: make a really good grab. It moves the chains and

572
00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:22,120
Speaker 2: us he goes down and scores, and you'll find yourself

573
00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:25,880
Speaker 2: thinking they're off to the races, or you'll find yourself thinking, oh,

574
00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:27,200
Speaker 2: Michigan got them off the field.

575
00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:28,080
Speaker 1: It's a ballgame here.

576
00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:30,159
Speaker 2: Because if they can grind out a twelve or thirteen

577
00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:33,600
Speaker 2: play drive, chew up a bunch of clock, same thing

578
00:27:33,680 --> 00:27:36,480
Speaker 2: can happen that Michigan used to do. They get you

579
00:27:36,560 --> 00:27:40,040
Speaker 2: in their game script and all of a sudden you're saying, man, again,

580
00:27:40,240 --> 00:27:41,600
Speaker 2: we don't have the ball.

581
00:27:41,800 --> 00:27:43,119
Speaker 1: Why don't we have the ball?

582
00:27:44,040 --> 00:27:47,560
Speaker 2: USC can do what Texas did because they have the

583
00:27:47,560 --> 00:27:50,200
Speaker 2: same kind of wide receiver depth that Texas had.

584
00:27:50,359 --> 00:27:51,760
Speaker 1: Will Johnson's a great player.

585
00:27:52,200 --> 00:27:54,960
Speaker 2: Michigan is not elite in their secondary behind Will Johns

586
00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:59,240
Speaker 2: Will Johnson, and so Lincoln Riley can dial it up

587
00:27:59,320 --> 00:28:02,520
Speaker 2: just like Sark. The concerns that I have either way

588
00:28:02,600 --> 00:28:06,680
Speaker 2: are actually, you know, my biggest concern for Michigan is US.

589
00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:10,000
Speaker 2: He's probably equipped to do some of the stuff Texas did.

590
00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:14,879
Speaker 2: The difference is Texas they were the bigger, stronger, faster,

591
00:28:15,000 --> 00:28:17,800
Speaker 2: more physical team. I'm not sure USC is bigger and

592
00:28:17,840 --> 00:28:19,120
Speaker 2: more physical than Michigan.

593
00:28:19,400 --> 00:28:20,919
Speaker 1: The score could look the same.

594
00:28:21,320 --> 00:28:23,160
Speaker 2: I don't think they achieve it in the exact same

595
00:28:23,200 --> 00:28:27,359
Speaker 2: way as Texas did. But Michigan's physical edge, this is

596
00:28:27,400 --> 00:28:30,360
Speaker 2: my biggest concern about USC. Their physical ledge just may

597
00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:32,920
Speaker 2: be more glaring, you know, because I think a lot

598
00:28:32,960 --> 00:28:35,600
Speaker 2: of people's concerns have been put to rest after that

599
00:28:35,760 --> 00:28:38,560
Speaker 2: LSU game. And guys, I'm telling you, I just watched

600
00:28:38,920 --> 00:28:42,520
Speaker 2: South Carolina get after that LSU offensive line, and I

601
00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:45,440
Speaker 2: just watched South Carolina run for two forty plus on

602
00:28:45,520 --> 00:28:48,160
Speaker 2: that LSU defensive line. So it was a great win

603
00:28:48,240 --> 00:28:52,840
Speaker 2: for USC. I am not banking. They're just established both

604
00:28:52,880 --> 00:28:55,200
Speaker 2: lines of scrimmage off of the LSU game. It's all

605
00:28:55,240 --> 00:28:57,840
Speaker 2: I'm saying, this will be the bankable game, this will

606
00:28:57,840 --> 00:28:58,920
Speaker 2: be the one. Let's take a look at what the

607
00:28:58,920 --> 00:29:01,600
Speaker 2: model thinks. Fanduels got USC minus five and a half

608
00:29:01,680 --> 00:29:04,120
Speaker 2: right now, we think it's a little north of that.

609
00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:09,880
Speaker 2: The model thinks USC minus seven. Is it really over?

610
00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:11,920
Speaker 2: Here's where my mind is on this game. Is it

611
00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:14,440
Speaker 2: really over? Because if USC goes in there and wins

612
00:29:14,440 --> 00:29:19,000
Speaker 2: and covers here, that's kind of your season for Michigan.

613
00:29:19,520 --> 00:29:22,760
Speaker 2: They're still going to play all the games, but your

614
00:29:22,800 --> 00:29:26,280
Speaker 2: preseason goals are probably out the window. If you lose

615
00:29:26,280 --> 00:29:30,680
Speaker 2: this game. And then conversely, I'm thinking, Man, I think

616
00:29:30,800 --> 00:29:33,000
Speaker 2: USC is the story of college football so far this year.

617
00:29:33,040 --> 00:29:34,840
Speaker 2: I do think that by the way. I mean, it's

618
00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:39,240
Speaker 2: a great turnaround defensively already. Can it really be this good?

619
00:29:39,760 --> 00:29:41,840
Speaker 2: And then I think about the story and the lessons

620
00:29:42,040 --> 00:29:44,920
Speaker 2: that college football teaches me every year around this time,

621
00:29:45,040 --> 00:29:48,120
Speaker 2: around Week three and week four, I think, somehow Michigan's

622
00:29:48,160 --> 00:29:49,600
Speaker 2: going to find a way to win this game. Out right,

623
00:29:50,960 --> 00:29:54,400
Speaker 2: I know that doesn't compute right now. This is college football.

624
00:29:54,600 --> 00:29:58,240
Speaker 2: This is the way it works. A team like Michigan

625
00:29:58,520 --> 00:30:01,600
Speaker 2: with the pride of that program does not get double

626
00:30:01,640 --> 00:30:04,200
Speaker 2: digit losses hung on them two times in September at home,

627
00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:06,920
Speaker 2: at least historically, that is not the way it works.

628
00:30:07,120 --> 00:30:10,560
Speaker 2: I respect wounded Animal mode. I respect what Lincoln Riley's

629
00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:13,640
Speaker 2: doing as well. I think this is Michigan spot. I

630
00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:17,200
Speaker 2: disagree with the model. I think it's Michigan spot. And

631
00:30:17,280 --> 00:30:18,680
Speaker 2: I really don't even want you to ask me how.

632
00:30:18,760 --> 00:30:20,080
Speaker 2: I just think they're gonna find a way to get

633
00:30:20,080 --> 00:30:20,360
Speaker 2: it done.

634
00:30:21,600 --> 00:30:22,160
Speaker 1: Ahem.

635
00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:24,800
Speaker 2: And I picked up I picked USC to beat LSU

636
00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:27,200
Speaker 2: in week one, like we nailed that. Remember that, Jesse

637
00:30:27,280 --> 00:30:29,480
Speaker 2: and Colin when they come at us in the live chat.

638
00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:33,360
Speaker 2: We nailed that in week one, and hey, credit us

639
00:30:33,360 --> 00:30:36,400
Speaker 2: for picking USC to beat Utah State as well. We

640
00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:38,880
Speaker 2: were brave. We were brave little Toasters on that front.

641
00:30:39,120 --> 00:30:40,760
Speaker 2: Do you by the way, I don't think I talk

642
00:30:40,800 --> 00:30:43,560
Speaker 2: to you guys about this. Do you know Brian Kelly

643
00:30:43,600 --> 00:30:46,720
Speaker 2: had the audacity to sit in his postgame press conference

644
00:30:47,160 --> 00:30:50,760
Speaker 2: after the South Carolina game this past week, favored by

645
00:30:50,880 --> 00:30:54,480
Speaker 2: a touchdown plus and sat there and told the media,

646
00:30:54,600 --> 00:30:58,640
Speaker 2: no one picked us to win this game. Kirby Smart's

647
00:30:58,680 --> 00:31:02,200
Speaker 2: players have started an epidemic when they won the title

648
00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:04,800
Speaker 2: and then yelled in a camera that someone picked them

649
00:31:04,800 --> 00:31:07,440
Speaker 2: to go seven and five. It's like all bets were off.

650
00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:10,200
Speaker 2: You can just claim anyone said anything at any time.

651
00:31:11,000 --> 00:31:14,160
Speaker 2: So we're trying to be responsible around here.

652
00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:15,880
Speaker 1: I have good news.

653
00:31:16,200 --> 00:31:19,600
Speaker 2: Director Colin has photographic evidence that our store is open.

654
00:31:19,760 --> 00:31:21,560
Speaker 2: Peytstatematerial dot com is open.

655
00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:23,720
Speaker 1: We got a tour t shirt. Look at the whole

656
00:31:23,720 --> 00:31:24,600
Speaker 1: New Saturday tour.

657
00:31:24,760 --> 00:31:27,400
Speaker 2: Look at the Little Tornado because I love storm Chasing

658
00:31:27,680 --> 00:31:30,040
Speaker 2: and it's made up of the different conference logos but

659
00:31:30,120 --> 00:31:33,920
Speaker 2: not licensed logos because we get sued. Really loved that

660
00:31:34,000 --> 00:31:37,360
Speaker 2: design there, and also I mean chuggy murches in high demand.

661
00:31:37,520 --> 00:31:39,760
Speaker 2: When you get a new mascot, the first thing you

662
00:31:39,800 --> 00:31:42,640
Speaker 2: do is you slap him on a T shirt. And

663
00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:45,560
Speaker 2: we got the Peyt State Lil Freight's children's line as well,

664
00:31:45,840 --> 00:31:48,120
Speaker 2: and some of the adults watching the show could probably

665
00:31:48,160 --> 00:31:51,200
Speaker 2: fit in it, so there's no judgment here. We will

666
00:31:51,240 --> 00:31:54,680
Speaker 2: take all purchases and that money goes right back into

667
00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:57,240
Speaker 2: this show, so we appreciate it. It's a roundabout way

668
00:31:57,240 --> 00:32:02,240
Speaker 2: of you being clothed in a classy and us investing

669
00:32:02,360 --> 00:32:03,040
Speaker 2: into the show.

670
00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:03,960
Speaker 1: Thank you, guys.

671
00:32:04,040 --> 00:32:07,480
Speaker 2: Peytstatematerial dot com open for business and we only shut

672
00:32:07,520 --> 00:32:09,920
Speaker 2: down once. You guys only shut the website down once

673
00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:15,880
Speaker 2: so far. Alrighty JP Pole Time JP Poll Version four,

674
00:32:16,520 --> 00:32:20,000
Speaker 2: the Week four pole. Here it's ratings. It's not rankings.

675
00:32:20,360 --> 00:32:22,440
Speaker 2: We are going to have some movement that makes no

676
00:32:22,520 --> 00:32:24,560
Speaker 2: sense to you if you believe in a merit based

677
00:32:24,680 --> 00:32:27,120
Speaker 2: up or down, whether you won or lost. This is

678
00:32:27,120 --> 00:32:29,640
Speaker 2: not an ap This is not looking to mirror the

679
00:32:29,640 --> 00:32:32,000
Speaker 2: college Football Playoff Committee. This is not how I think

680
00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:34,600
Speaker 2: the committee should rate their teams. This is how in

681
00:32:34,680 --> 00:32:38,480
Speaker 2: a pure neutral field favorability model, the model would rank

682
00:32:38,600 --> 00:32:42,200
Speaker 2: these teams on a neutral field based on the number

683
00:32:42,240 --> 00:32:44,920
Speaker 2: it would put on the game. So we do have

684
00:32:44,960 --> 00:32:48,479
Speaker 2: a change at the top. Ironically, it's the same as

685
00:32:48,520 --> 00:32:52,080
Speaker 2: the AP. Texas is our new number one team, and

686
00:32:52,120 --> 00:32:53,840
Speaker 2: we would favor them by two and a half points

687
00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:55,840
Speaker 2: against Georgia if they played today, So there was big

688
00:32:55,840 --> 00:33:01,200
Speaker 2: movement here both ways. Wore that because those two teams

689
00:33:01,240 --> 00:33:03,080
Speaker 2: are going to play each other in a few weeks.

690
00:33:03,120 --> 00:33:06,240
Speaker 2: Ohio State is still three, Bama is still four, Oregon

691
00:33:06,280 --> 00:33:08,840
Speaker 2: has re emerged in the top five. I tried to

692
00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:10,760
Speaker 2: explain the profile of Oregon. We had had them all

693
00:33:10,760 --> 00:33:12,920
Speaker 2: the way down at nine, but I tried to explain

694
00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:16,560
Speaker 2: it was like pulling a rubber band, because whenever Oregon

695
00:33:17,160 --> 00:33:20,840
Speaker 2: just starts to validate what the preseason profile was on them,

696
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:22,800
Speaker 2: it'll be like a rubber band snap. They'll be right

697
00:33:22,840 --> 00:33:25,280
Speaker 2: back up there they are. There is a seven point

698
00:33:25,320 --> 00:33:28,800
Speaker 2: gap between Texas and Oregon right now. If we put

699
00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:32,880
Speaker 2: Texas Oregon neutral field, the model says seven. I'll have

700
00:33:32,880 --> 00:33:34,760
Speaker 2: to hit up FanDuel about what they think about it.

701
00:33:35,200 --> 00:33:37,440
Speaker 2: But that's not a massive gap. We normally have a

702
00:33:37,480 --> 00:33:39,920
Speaker 2: much bigger gap between one and five than that. Number

703
00:33:40,000 --> 00:33:44,760
Speaker 2: six is Tennessee. They hung four hundred and ninety points

704
00:33:44,800 --> 00:33:46,200
Speaker 2: on Kent State and fell a spot.

705
00:33:46,280 --> 00:33:48,240
Speaker 1: Shame on them. Ole miss at seven.

706
00:33:48,320 --> 00:33:52,440
Speaker 2: Miami is at eight, and it says they dropped two spots,

707
00:33:52,880 --> 00:33:57,200
Speaker 2: but Miami actually rose in terms of their rating. It's

708
00:33:57,320 --> 00:33:59,440
Speaker 2: just that a couple of teams vaulted above them because

709
00:33:59,440 --> 00:34:02,440
Speaker 2: they rose more. Penn State is at nine, USC is

710
00:34:02,480 --> 00:34:06,440
Speaker 2: at ten. Most of these are unchanged now eleven through fifteen.

711
00:34:07,040 --> 00:34:09,360
Speaker 2: I do want to make a little point about so

712
00:34:09,480 --> 00:34:14,120
Speaker 2: Clemson is at eleven. Clemson is now at and in

713
00:34:14,160 --> 00:34:17,400
Speaker 2: fact a little bit above our preseason rating. They are

714
00:34:17,520 --> 00:34:20,640
Speaker 2: zero point two points above where we had them coming

715
00:34:20,680 --> 00:34:23,920
Speaker 2: into week one. So that lost to Georgia, that body

716
00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:27,239
Speaker 2: bagging at the hands of Georgia is baked into that,

717
00:34:27,960 --> 00:34:29,759
Speaker 2: and we still think the number on Clemson is right.

718
00:34:30,160 --> 00:34:33,520
Speaker 2: Missouri is at twelve. You notice this time last week

719
00:34:34,440 --> 00:34:37,160
Speaker 2: we had a bunch of people chirping at us about Missouri.

720
00:34:37,600 --> 00:34:40,440
Speaker 2: We have underrated Missouri. And then I asked, well, what

721
00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:42,799
Speaker 2: should they be rated? And some guy came at me

722
00:34:42,880 --> 00:34:44,960
Speaker 2: and said, oh, I would pick who was it.

723
00:34:45,000 --> 00:34:47,400
Speaker 1: I'd pick Oregon, I'd pick Penn State.

724
00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:49,520
Speaker 2: There were like three or four teams he listed, there's

725
00:34:49,560 --> 00:34:51,560
Speaker 2: no way you'd favor them over Missouri. So I went

726
00:34:51,600 --> 00:34:55,200
Speaker 2: to FanDuel and I said, Hey, the entire purpose of

727
00:34:55,239 --> 00:34:57,759
Speaker 2: this thing is favorability neutral field. Could you give me

728
00:34:57,800 --> 00:34:59,879
Speaker 2: what the lines would be, and four out of four

729
00:35:00,280 --> 00:35:04,600
Speaker 2: they would have been favored over Missouri. I didn't hear

730
00:35:04,719 --> 00:35:09,800
Speaker 2: anything from those folks this week, probably because they trailed

731
00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:13,600
Speaker 2: Boston College early, probably because they realized their secondary is

732
00:35:13,640 --> 00:35:16,680
Speaker 2: a little bit of a liability right now, and having

733
00:35:16,719 --> 00:35:19,359
Speaker 2: them at number twelve is plenty high enough because that's

734
00:35:19,360 --> 00:35:22,720
Speaker 2: where we have them. So we were probably right on Missouri,

735
00:35:25,000 --> 00:35:26,760
Speaker 2: and then we'll see how they perform down the stretch.

736
00:35:26,920 --> 00:35:31,480
Speaker 2: Notre Dame at thirteen, I think they're too high. Model disagrees,

737
00:35:31,800 --> 00:35:35,680
Speaker 2: Kansas State at fourteen, LSU at fifteen. LSU dropped one

738
00:35:35,719 --> 00:35:40,520
Speaker 2: point after winning on the road at South Carolina sixteen

739
00:35:40,560 --> 00:35:43,279
Speaker 2: through twenty. I am very proud of the model when

740
00:35:43,280 --> 00:35:46,759
Speaker 2: it comes to Louisville because we have remained virtually unchanged

741
00:35:46,800 --> 00:35:49,200
Speaker 2: on Louisville and everyone else. I don't think even had

742
00:35:49,239 --> 00:35:53,040
Speaker 2: them rated, and we've been pretty consistent. We have not changed.

743
00:35:53,160 --> 00:35:55,520
Speaker 2: They have not even adjusted a full point. We already

744
00:35:55,520 --> 00:35:58,920
Speaker 2: had them rated. Really high. They're at sixteen. Utah's at seventeen.

745
00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:02,880
Speaker 2: They have cameras back this week an m eighteen. UCF

746
00:36:02,920 --> 00:36:04,600
Speaker 2: is now the number three team in the Big Twelve

747
00:36:04,680 --> 00:36:09,400
Speaker 2: at number nineteen. Big win against TCU this past week.

748
00:36:09,719 --> 00:36:13,280
Speaker 2: Oklahoma is at number twenty. Oklahoma is down a little

749
00:36:13,320 --> 00:36:16,040
Speaker 2: more than a field goal off of their preseason power

750
00:36:16,120 --> 00:36:18,000
Speaker 2: rating number twenty one.

751
00:36:18,520 --> 00:36:21,719
Speaker 1: Let's all clap together. Iowa State America's team.

752
00:36:22,719 --> 00:36:25,359
Speaker 2: The Iowa State is to college football in twenty twenty

753
00:36:25,400 --> 00:36:27,920
Speaker 2: four what the Dallas Cowboys are to the NFL, what

754
00:36:27,960 --> 00:36:30,320
Speaker 2: the Braves were in the nineties to Major League Baseball.

755
00:36:30,640 --> 00:36:33,560
Speaker 2: And you're welcome. You're welcome for being blessed with Iowa

756
00:36:33,600 --> 00:36:36,800
Speaker 2: State football. They're twenty one. Iowa is twenty two, Nebraska

757
00:36:36,840 --> 00:36:39,879
Speaker 2: twenty three. Michigan has down five more spots to twenty four.

758
00:36:40,120 --> 00:36:42,400
Speaker 2: They've bottomed out. I think that's as low as Michigan

759
00:36:42,480 --> 00:36:45,400
Speaker 2: will go this year. Tennessee or i TCU rather is

760
00:36:45,480 --> 00:36:48,759
Speaker 2: number twenty five. If Tennessee was twenty five, would we

761
00:36:48,800 --> 00:36:52,920
Speaker 2: would have a conversation. So I'm looking at the Big

762
00:36:52,960 --> 00:36:56,440
Speaker 2: twelve and I'm looking at the ACC and not that

763
00:36:56,560 --> 00:36:59,480
Speaker 2: this will be what the final measuring stick is, But

764
00:37:00,200 --> 00:37:05,080
Speaker 2: there's a healthy amount of Big twelve representation here, which

765
00:37:05,160 --> 00:37:06,680
Speaker 2: just means I think they've got a lot of pretty

766
00:37:06,680 --> 00:37:08,920
Speaker 2: competitive teams. And you know, teams like Kansas have already

767
00:37:08,920 --> 00:37:11,160
Speaker 2: fallen out. They're not even part of this. And I'm

768
00:37:11,160 --> 00:37:15,239
Speaker 2: just wondering, as so many people keep putting out these

769
00:37:15,239 --> 00:37:19,000
Speaker 2: playoff brackets and projections and whatnot, and I keep seeing

770
00:37:19,000 --> 00:37:21,680
Speaker 2: one Big twelve team in there, is that the way

771
00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:25,000
Speaker 2: it's automatically got to go down? Do we automatically have

772
00:37:25,040 --> 00:37:27,000
Speaker 2: to adhere to what we thought about the Big twelve

773
00:37:27,000 --> 00:37:30,719
Speaker 2: in the preseason? Can we not allow some wiggle room

774
00:37:30,760 --> 00:37:33,680
Speaker 2: in the accordion? Can we expand it and contract it

775
00:37:33,719 --> 00:37:36,240
Speaker 2: based on Oh, I don't know what our eyeballs are seeing?

776
00:37:36,360 --> 00:37:37,120
Speaker 1: Can we do that?

777
00:37:37,560 --> 00:37:41,320
Speaker 2: They're watching us in Lacey, Washington, bowse Or City, Louisiana, Charleston,

778
00:37:41,520 --> 00:37:45,240
Speaker 2: West Virginia. As always, we appreciate it. Now this next segment,

779
00:37:46,320 --> 00:37:47,520
Speaker 2: I'm going to need to take a chug of water

780
00:37:47,560 --> 00:37:52,399
Speaker 2: for actually, I'm you know, Colin this time last year,

781
00:37:52,440 --> 00:37:55,680
Speaker 2: I'd already lost my voice and it's still with us, thankfully.

782
00:37:55,960 --> 00:37:59,080
Speaker 2: But the fall sneezing has not started for allergy season

783
00:37:59,160 --> 00:37:59,840
Speaker 2: yet either.

784
00:38:02,280 --> 00:38:04,319
Speaker 1: Okay, So.

785
00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:09,080
Speaker 2: Sunday night, I just told the truth, and that was

786
00:38:09,360 --> 00:38:12,320
Speaker 2: officiating was horrific in college football Saturday.

787
00:38:12,560 --> 00:38:14,239
Speaker 1: And I gave a number of examples.

788
00:38:14,320 --> 00:38:17,280
Speaker 2: I had direct Colin t up a number of video

789
00:38:17,560 --> 00:38:21,200
Speaker 2: instances so we could have moving pictures that were the proof.

790
00:38:22,080 --> 00:38:24,759
Speaker 2: And I'm going to take you back, because if you

791
00:38:24,760 --> 00:38:26,760
Speaker 2: missed the Sunday show, you kind of missed the context.

792
00:38:26,760 --> 00:38:29,279
Speaker 2: Here I'm going to play you a clip of what

793
00:38:29,400 --> 00:38:32,600
Speaker 2: I said. And oh my goodness, the flood of reaction

794
00:38:33,080 --> 00:38:37,120
Speaker 2: that has come confidentially from officials after this is amazing.

795
00:38:37,200 --> 00:38:38,000
Speaker 1: Let's roll it. Colin.

796
00:38:38,200 --> 00:38:39,920
Speaker 2: College football is the greatest sport in the face of

797
00:38:39,920 --> 00:38:42,440
Speaker 2: the earth. I love it. I will fight for it.

798
00:38:42,440 --> 00:38:45,120
Speaker 2: It is a multi billion dollar sport with the most

799
00:38:45,280 --> 00:38:48,200
Speaker 2: nickel and dime officiating arm that you could ever imagine.

800
00:38:48,560 --> 00:38:52,640
Speaker 2: We are so so far behind on accountability and standard

801
00:38:52,680 --> 00:38:56,280
Speaker 2: of officiating. I'm not saying these are bad people. In fact,

802
00:38:56,640 --> 00:38:58,520
Speaker 2: I don't even think they're doing the wrong thing. I

803
00:38:58,520 --> 00:39:00,719
Speaker 2: think they've been put in a no win position as well,

804
00:39:00,800 --> 00:39:03,839
Speaker 2: because I will guarantee you after what happened with two

805
00:39:03,840 --> 00:39:06,040
Speaker 2: of the other night, I will guarantee there were Friday

806
00:39:06,040 --> 00:39:09,000
Speaker 2: conference calls with those league offices, and those league offices

807
00:39:09,040 --> 00:39:11,200
Speaker 2: talked to their officiating crews and they just flat out

808
00:39:11,200 --> 00:39:13,239
Speaker 2: and told them, guys, there are eyes on us that

809
00:39:13,239 --> 00:39:15,839
Speaker 2: aren't normally on us. We've got to enforce stuff. We've

810
00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:18,160
Speaker 2: got to make it abundantly clear we're protecting the players.

811
00:39:18,800 --> 00:39:19,759
Speaker 1: Well you're not.

812
00:39:20,200 --> 00:39:24,239
Speaker 2: You're just screwing the players because there were games decided,

813
00:39:24,360 --> 00:39:27,680
Speaker 2: there were outcomes decided on some of these calls yesterday,

814
00:39:28,080 --> 00:39:31,239
Speaker 2: and imagine being these coaches, you only get twelve of

815
00:39:31,280 --> 00:39:38,200
Speaker 2: these games. I got about as strong a bunch of

816
00:39:38,200 --> 00:39:41,800
Speaker 2: feedback on that segment as we've gotten in a while. Normally,

817
00:39:41,880 --> 00:39:44,520
Speaker 2: I mean, we're talking about teams and its fan reaction.

818
00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:46,839
Speaker 2: But when I talked about that the other night, I

819
00:39:46,880 --> 00:39:49,600
Speaker 2: got lit up in a really good way in DMS

820
00:39:49,640 --> 00:39:53,239
Speaker 2: and whatnot, and people who I know mutually giving my

821
00:39:53,360 --> 00:39:55,480
Speaker 2: number to officials and they reached out and they just

822
00:39:55,480 --> 00:39:57,759
Speaker 2: wanted to talk because they agreed with a lot of

823
00:39:57,760 --> 00:39:59,360
Speaker 2: what we said. They just wanted to make sure it

824
00:39:59,400 --> 00:40:01,719
Speaker 2: was understood what's going on behind the scenes. And I

825
00:40:01,760 --> 00:40:04,680
Speaker 2: appreciate it. Anytime we can make that happen on this show,

826
00:40:04,719 --> 00:40:08,160
Speaker 2: I appreciate it. Because this microphone's pretty big. So I mean,

827
00:40:08,200 --> 00:40:09,880
Speaker 2: if you want things to get out there in the

828
00:40:09,920 --> 00:40:12,719
Speaker 2: proper way, that's how you do it. Don't just let

829
00:40:12,800 --> 00:40:15,600
Speaker 2: folks trash you, especially if folks trashing you don't know

830
00:40:15,600 --> 00:40:17,839
Speaker 2: what they're talking about. So let me address one thing,

831
00:40:18,680 --> 00:40:22,240
Speaker 2: because I think it's completely misguided. A lot of people,

832
00:40:22,360 --> 00:40:25,680
Speaker 2: because of the proliferation of sports betting in American sporting

833
00:40:25,760 --> 00:40:28,960
Speaker 2: society these days, look at any bad call and they

834
00:40:29,000 --> 00:40:33,680
Speaker 2: automatically think gambling related. I'm not saying it's never happened before.

835
00:40:33,840 --> 00:40:36,239
Speaker 2: I'm not saying it's a total non issue. I am

836
00:40:36,280 --> 00:40:42,360
Speaker 2: saying it is very, very misguided thinking that that's the

837
00:40:42,400 --> 00:40:44,560
Speaker 2: crux of the issue here, not a whiff of it.

838
00:40:45,000 --> 00:40:47,920
Speaker 2: Didn't get a whiff of it. And I'm telling you

839
00:40:48,120 --> 00:40:52,360
Speaker 2: quite the opposite. The Vegas mechanism helps in these instances

840
00:40:52,719 --> 00:40:56,120
Speaker 2: way more than it hurts. It helps because it's monitored.

841
00:40:56,560 --> 00:40:59,880
Speaker 2: You've never been more likely to have that sort of

842
00:41:00,080 --> 00:41:04,080
Speaker 2: illicit activity rooted out than you are now because it

843
00:41:04,160 --> 00:41:08,879
Speaker 2: is to the detriment of the gambling complex to have

844
00:41:08,960 --> 00:41:12,280
Speaker 2: any kind of malfunction in the integrity of the game.

845
00:41:12,840 --> 00:41:16,520
Speaker 2: They don't want the games compromised, guys, they want the

846
00:41:16,560 --> 00:41:20,360
Speaker 2: games operating as they're supposed to be, and so no

847
00:41:20,840 --> 00:41:24,000
Speaker 2: on that front, just point blank, that's not what's happening here.

848
00:41:24,160 --> 00:41:26,400
Speaker 2: I'll tell you what is happening here, though. I was

849
00:41:26,480 --> 00:41:29,439
Speaker 2: talking to an official from a major conference about three

850
00:41:29,480 --> 00:41:32,160
Speaker 2: minutes before we came on the show tonight. I heard

851
00:41:32,200 --> 00:41:34,160
Speaker 2: from over a dozen of them, and there are some

852
00:41:34,239 --> 00:41:36,480
Speaker 2: emails I haven't opened yet, so I will get to you.

853
00:41:38,320 --> 00:41:40,480
Speaker 2: I think it's a very complex issue, but it's a

854
00:41:40,560 --> 00:41:43,000
Speaker 2: very simple issue, and it's not going to shock you

855
00:41:43,040 --> 00:41:45,480
Speaker 2: to find out what's happening in college football officiating. So

856
00:41:45,719 --> 00:41:49,880
Speaker 2: the first thing you need to know is these dudes

857
00:41:49,920 --> 00:41:52,439
Speaker 2: on field, actually, I think do a really good job.

858
00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:55,520
Speaker 2: Replay officials not so much. But the guys on the

859
00:41:55,520 --> 00:41:58,560
Speaker 2: field are doing really good jobs if you understand what

860
00:41:58,640 --> 00:42:02,120
Speaker 2: their job is, and therein lies the issue. A lot

861
00:42:02,120 --> 00:42:04,080
Speaker 2: of them don't understand what the job is. A lot

862
00:42:04,120 --> 00:42:07,320
Speaker 2: of them are enforcing things they've been told to enforce,

863
00:42:07,760 --> 00:42:10,879
Speaker 2: and what they've been told to enforce varies week to week,

864
00:42:10,960 --> 00:42:14,040
Speaker 2: it varies conference to conference. It's not as simple as

865
00:42:14,400 --> 00:42:19,120
Speaker 2: bad call ref sucks. Why are they there? Why have

866
00:42:19,239 --> 00:42:22,000
Speaker 2: they been told to flag what they flag? You know,

867
00:42:22,440 --> 00:42:25,640
Speaker 2: first thing out of two issues that I had laid

868
00:42:25,640 --> 00:42:28,359
Speaker 2: out to me was, and this will not shock you,

869
00:42:28,680 --> 00:42:33,560
Speaker 2: there's no consistency in how officiating happens in college football.

870
00:42:33,719 --> 00:42:38,720
Speaker 2: You've got something called the Collegiate Commissioner Association Mechanics Manual. Okay,

871
00:42:39,440 --> 00:42:43,200
Speaker 2: in a normal world, you know, if you work at McDonald's,

872
00:42:43,280 --> 00:42:45,759
Speaker 2: there's one way to make a big mac in Seattle

873
00:42:45,920 --> 00:42:49,359
Speaker 2: and Miami and LA and New York and Topeka. There's

874
00:42:49,400 --> 00:42:51,640
Speaker 2: one way to make a big mac. That's called a

875
00:42:51,719 --> 00:42:56,120
Speaker 2: standardized approach. And it makes sense, right. College football hadn't

876
00:42:56,120 --> 00:42:58,000
Speaker 2: figured that out yet, and so there's a way to

877
00:42:58,040 --> 00:42:59,680
Speaker 2: do things in the Big twelve, and there's a way

878
00:42:59,680 --> 00:43:01,919
Speaker 2: to do things in the SEC. And you got folks

879
00:43:01,920 --> 00:43:03,800
Speaker 2: who are the head of officiating in one place that

880
00:43:03,880 --> 00:43:06,360
Speaker 2: think this should be emphasized and that should be emphasized.

881
00:43:06,400 --> 00:43:09,719
Speaker 2: And you got your CCA manual. There of mechanics which

882
00:43:09,840 --> 00:43:13,280
Speaker 2: officials look at and say, why isn't this the universal standard.

883
00:43:13,760 --> 00:43:16,440
Speaker 1: It can't be that simple. It just can't be that simple.

884
00:43:16,560 --> 00:43:20,640
Speaker 2: This reared its ugly head no less than last weekend,

885
00:43:21,000 --> 00:43:23,120
Speaker 2: but it was spoken about a couple of weeks ago.

886
00:43:23,200 --> 00:43:27,200
Speaker 2: I want to take you back to postgame Stillwater Oklahoma.

887
00:43:27,480 --> 00:43:30,799
Speaker 2: Oklahoma State has just come from behind and they've beaten Arkansas.

888
00:43:31,040 --> 00:43:34,319
Speaker 2: And Mike Gundy rang the bell on this roll it column.

889
00:43:34,200 --> 00:43:36,920
Speaker 3: When we go on too, and we clap and then

890
00:43:36,920 --> 00:43:40,680
Speaker 3: clap again. Will we motioned to tight end to run

891
00:43:40,719 --> 00:43:44,840
Speaker 3: the ball over here? They jumped and the explanation me

892
00:43:45,040 --> 00:43:49,600
Speaker 3: was is, you can't do that, but we've done it before.

893
00:43:50,480 --> 00:43:53,680
Speaker 3: So there's the issue you have with officiating.

894
00:43:53,719 --> 00:43:55,239
Speaker 1: Cruise, that's the sec crew.

895
00:43:56,239 --> 00:43:58,239
Speaker 3: We did it. We've done it before. We did it

896
00:43:58,840 --> 00:44:01,520
Speaker 3: all pre season in scret images with big twelve crews

897
00:44:02,200 --> 00:44:05,760
Speaker 3: and did it, didn't get it called. So Steve Shaw

898
00:44:05,880 --> 00:44:07,880
Speaker 3: is the head of the officiating. He needs to fix it.

899
00:44:08,080 --> 00:44:09,440
Speaker 3: He needs to get them all in one room and

900
00:44:09,480 --> 00:44:10,560
Speaker 3: everybody has the same rule.

901
00:44:14,160 --> 00:44:16,120
Speaker 2: Now you might listen to that if you're not a

902
00:44:16,120 --> 00:44:18,480
Speaker 2: college football fan. If your boyfriend's watching the show, your

903
00:44:18,520 --> 00:44:21,160
Speaker 2: husband's watching the show, and you're just in the background,

904
00:44:21,320 --> 00:44:22,879
Speaker 2: like wandering through the living room, you.

905
00:44:22,840 --> 00:44:24,520
Speaker 1: Say, how can that be a problem.

906
00:44:24,800 --> 00:44:28,920
Speaker 2: It sounds so simple, And now you start to understand

907
00:44:28,920 --> 00:44:34,520
Speaker 2: college football a multi billion dollar sport that still has

908
00:44:34,600 --> 00:44:38,520
Speaker 2: appendages of itself that are nickel and dime, not worth

909
00:44:38,520 --> 00:44:41,399
Speaker 2: the paper it's drawn on. It makes no sense. It's

910
00:44:41,440 --> 00:44:44,000
Speaker 2: not supposed to make sense. Is it is such a

911
00:44:44,080 --> 00:44:47,319
Speaker 2: simple concept. We've got teams from coast to coast, we've

912
00:44:47,320 --> 00:44:50,359
Speaker 2: got conferences from coast to coast, but those stripes look

913
00:44:50,400 --> 00:44:52,600
Speaker 2: the same on every field. Why don't we have a

914
00:44:52,719 --> 00:44:55,640
Speaker 2: universal standard of officiating. Why don't we go by this

915
00:44:55,719 --> 00:45:00,200
Speaker 2: mechanics manual, because then you would have some people in

916
00:45:00,280 --> 00:45:02,680
Speaker 2: power that don't have as much power as they have.

917
00:45:03,400 --> 00:45:06,520
Speaker 2: And then you, of course have the other issue that

918
00:45:06,680 --> 00:45:09,560
Speaker 2: is age old tail as old as time. You probably

919
00:45:09,600 --> 00:45:11,480
Speaker 2: deal with it every day, especially if you work in

920
00:45:11,480 --> 00:45:16,000
Speaker 2: the corporate world, and that is politics coming into play

921
00:45:16,800 --> 00:45:20,160
Speaker 2: when it comes to who advances in the space.

922
00:45:22,120 --> 00:45:23,319
Speaker 1: I don't care where you work.

923
00:45:23,560 --> 00:45:25,560
Speaker 2: If you work in the corporate world long enough, you

924
00:45:25,600 --> 00:45:27,840
Speaker 2: have experienced this. You have watched someone get a promotion

925
00:45:28,360 --> 00:45:30,399
Speaker 2: and a bunch of you stood in the breakroom and said,

926
00:45:30,640 --> 00:45:33,239
Speaker 2: how in the world did that just happen. Don't think

927
00:45:33,320 --> 00:45:36,680
Speaker 2: it's any different in officiating. And don't think for a

928
00:45:36,760 --> 00:45:40,840
Speaker 2: second that you may not turn on a game this

929
00:45:40,920 --> 00:45:43,080
Speaker 2: Saturday and look at someone on that field that is

930
00:45:43,160 --> 00:45:45,760
Speaker 2: very ill qualified and prepared to be in that spot.

931
00:45:46,120 --> 00:45:49,239
Speaker 2: And it gets even worse when you start to dive

932
00:45:49,280 --> 00:45:52,680
Speaker 2: in or you open the hood on what it takes

933
00:45:52,719 --> 00:45:55,359
Speaker 2: to kind of become qualified to do this sort of thing, like, yeah,

934
00:45:55,400 --> 00:45:56,880
Speaker 2: you got to put in your time, you got to

935
00:45:56,880 --> 00:45:58,480
Speaker 2: pay tens of thousands of dollars to go to the

936
00:45:58,560 --> 00:46:02,160
Speaker 2: camps and the clinics. But what crazy is even when

937
00:46:02,239 --> 00:46:05,200
Speaker 2: you go to the clinics, some of the clinicians are

938
00:46:05,200 --> 00:46:09,400
Speaker 2: there for political reasons far less than just pure merit

939
00:46:09,440 --> 00:46:11,759
Speaker 2: based reasons, which means some folks have no clue what

940
00:46:11,760 --> 00:46:15,680
Speaker 2: they're talking about. And they call themselves teaching you how

941
00:46:15,680 --> 00:46:17,359
Speaker 2: to be an official, and everyone just kind of sits

942
00:46:17,360 --> 00:46:20,640
Speaker 2: there in snickers because everyone knows why this person is here,

943
00:46:20,800 --> 00:46:24,200
Speaker 2: because she knows him or he knows her, and by

944
00:46:24,239 --> 00:46:26,759
Speaker 2: and large it's just a waste of time. And then

945
00:46:26,880 --> 00:46:30,279
Speaker 2: at the clinics, you're having different things stressed based on

946
00:46:30,280 --> 00:46:32,920
Speaker 2: who's running the clinic, and there's no universal.

947
00:46:32,480 --> 00:46:36,120
Speaker 1: Standard for anything. So the moral of the story is same.

948
00:46:36,160 --> 00:46:40,279
Speaker 2: Conclusion here, college football officiating is not good enough. It's

949
00:46:40,280 --> 00:46:42,239
Speaker 2: not good enough for a sport that a lot of

950
00:46:42,320 --> 00:46:45,560
Speaker 2: us love. It's very important. You can't speak out about

951
00:46:45,600 --> 00:46:47,560
Speaker 2: it if you're a head coach. I just saw Mardoozi

952
00:46:47,920 --> 00:46:51,319
Speaker 2: get fined five thousand dollars for committing the crime of

953
00:46:51,360 --> 00:46:54,120
Speaker 2: telling the truth about officiating and their gam against West

954
00:46:54,200 --> 00:46:55,120
Speaker 2: Virginia last week.

955
00:46:55,840 --> 00:46:57,360
Speaker 1: You get no answers.

956
00:46:57,560 --> 00:46:59,719
Speaker 2: This is the most maddening part to someone like me,

957
00:46:59,760 --> 00:47:02,440
Speaker 2: you're someone like you, because we're not even coaches. We

958
00:47:02,480 --> 00:47:04,880
Speaker 2: just sit at home and watch and the product is

959
00:47:04,920 --> 00:47:09,359
Speaker 2: compromised and you get no answer, You get bad calls made,

960
00:47:10,000 --> 00:47:12,000
Speaker 2: and no one's ever gonna have to answer to you.

961
00:47:12,080 --> 00:47:14,680
Speaker 2: I was listening to Shane Beemer earlier today. He said,

962
00:47:14,680 --> 00:47:16,560
Speaker 2: we sent a bunch of plays in to get reviewed.

963
00:47:17,040 --> 00:47:20,240
Speaker 2: We heard back from him. You know, he can't comment

964
00:47:20,280 --> 00:47:23,200
Speaker 2: on it because he's gonna get fined. So, like, what's

965
00:47:23,280 --> 00:47:27,880
Speaker 2: the procedure in this world? You know, we have a

966
00:47:27,880 --> 00:47:30,200
Speaker 2: way we do things, and we have a standard that

967
00:47:30,239 --> 00:47:32,319
Speaker 2: we have to operate to, and we don't operate to

968
00:47:32,360 --> 00:47:33,680
Speaker 2: it and we get taken off the air.

969
00:47:34,200 --> 00:47:35,120
Speaker 1: This is CBS.

970
00:47:35,160 --> 00:47:36,759
Speaker 2: They're not going to put their mic in front of

971
00:47:36,800 --> 00:47:39,960
Speaker 2: me if we're not operating at a certain standard. In

972
00:47:40,040 --> 00:47:42,520
Speaker 2: this world, you fail to meet the standard and you're

973
00:47:42,600 --> 00:47:44,520
Speaker 2: right back on the field the next week and the

974
00:47:44,560 --> 00:47:46,239
Speaker 2: week after that, and the year after that and the

975
00:47:46,320 --> 00:47:48,600
Speaker 2: year after that and So some of these officials aren't

976
00:47:48,640 --> 00:47:51,560
Speaker 2: good enough to be in the position they're in. Many

977
00:47:51,600 --> 00:47:55,640
Speaker 2: more of them are, and they're being hamstrung and handcuffed

978
00:47:56,000 --> 00:47:58,719
Speaker 2: by the folks behind the scenes whose faces you'll never

979
00:47:58,800 --> 00:48:02,160
Speaker 2: see and whose name you never know. But I'm telling

980
00:48:02,200 --> 00:48:04,560
Speaker 2: you what Mike Gundhy just did, I don't care if

981
00:48:04,560 --> 00:48:07,600
Speaker 2: he got fined for it, And what Paton Ardoozy just did.

982
00:48:07,640 --> 00:48:09,439
Speaker 2: I don't care if he got fined for it. You're

983
00:48:09,480 --> 00:48:12,120
Speaker 2: gonna have to do. Head coaches are the ones with

984
00:48:12,160 --> 00:48:14,520
Speaker 2: the microphone, They're the ones with the voice, and they're

985
00:48:14,560 --> 00:48:16,800
Speaker 2: gonna have to bite the bullet. And if Kirby Smart

986
00:48:16,840 --> 00:48:19,560
Speaker 2: gets screwed, or Kaylin Debor gets screwed, or Start gets screwed,

987
00:48:20,160 --> 00:48:22,120
Speaker 2: I don't care if they find you five thousand dollars,

988
00:48:22,360 --> 00:48:24,880
Speaker 2: that is a rounding error in your paycheck. And for

989
00:48:24,960 --> 00:48:27,600
Speaker 2: the greater good of cleaning up officiating in this sport,

990
00:48:27,840 --> 00:48:29,760
Speaker 2: it may be that you got to embarrass these people.

991
00:48:31,040 --> 00:48:33,960
Speaker 2: Most everyone responds to that. And if people don't know

992
00:48:34,000 --> 00:48:36,640
Speaker 2: who the head of officiating is in the ACC or

993
00:48:36,640 --> 00:48:39,000
Speaker 2: the SEC or the Big twelve, maybe it's time for

994
00:48:39,120 --> 00:48:41,400
Speaker 2: him to know, you know, maybe it's time for the

995
00:48:41,480 --> 00:48:45,280
Speaker 2: curtain to be peeled back on what should be publicly

996
00:48:45,320 --> 00:48:49,000
Speaker 2: available information, and that is how you decide who officiates

997
00:48:49,280 --> 00:48:53,200
Speaker 2: college football games. That tens of millions of dollars are

998
00:48:53,239 --> 00:48:55,839
Speaker 2: being bent on and a lot of emotion is being

999
00:48:55,880 --> 00:48:58,839
Speaker 2: poured into from a fan basis perspective, maybe it's time

1000
00:48:58,920 --> 00:49:01,120
Speaker 2: for a little more light be shed on that process.

1001
00:49:02,280 --> 00:49:05,560
Speaker 2: This is our effort to do it. Moving along, I

1002
00:49:05,719 --> 00:49:07,800
Speaker 2: got a couple of games still to get to. I

1003
00:49:07,880 --> 00:49:11,279
Speaker 2: want you to know something. Back in the day, when

1004
00:49:11,440 --> 00:49:14,160
Speaker 2: we first came here, it was twenty twenty and we

1005
00:49:14,280 --> 00:49:17,320
Speaker 2: started the show, and Colin, you remember we would have

1006
00:49:17,600 --> 00:49:21,719
Speaker 2: FedEx drivers and ups drivers, delivery truck drivers and long

1007
00:49:21,800 --> 00:49:24,920
Speaker 2: haul truck drivers that would disproportionately hit us up and

1008
00:49:24,960 --> 00:49:26,359
Speaker 2: say thank you for the show.

1009
00:49:26,520 --> 00:49:26,680
Speaker 1: Man.

1010
00:49:26,760 --> 00:49:28,520
Speaker 2: You have no clue what it does to get us

1011
00:49:28,840 --> 00:49:33,520
Speaker 2: through our day, and I always loved it. To this day,

1012
00:49:33,840 --> 00:49:38,640
Speaker 2: we get inundated with delivery truck drivers and service industry

1013
00:49:38,719 --> 00:49:42,040
Speaker 2: people who may be driving a truck or they may

1014
00:49:42,120 --> 00:49:44,040
Speaker 2: be working a night shift at a restaurant. They just

1015
00:49:44,080 --> 00:49:46,879
Speaker 2: got the earbut end listening to know that the show

1016
00:49:47,680 --> 00:49:50,239
Speaker 2: is being used in that manner. Always love it. Drew

1017
00:49:50,320 --> 00:49:52,160
Speaker 2: hit us up today I just had Colin pick this

1018
00:49:52,239 --> 00:49:55,399
Speaker 2: one out, but I could screenshot these every day, he said.

1019
00:49:55,600 --> 00:49:58,800
Speaker 2: I'm a UPS delivery truck driver. Anytime I get people

1020
00:49:58,840 --> 00:50:00,680
Speaker 2: wanting to talk sports with me on my route, I

1021
00:50:00,680 --> 00:50:02,880
Speaker 2: always recommend your show. I always love it when they

1022
00:50:02,960 --> 00:50:05,920
Speaker 2: talk to me about your show. Hat tip, Drew, and

1023
00:50:06,040 --> 00:50:08,520
Speaker 2: hat tip the hundreds of you that we hear from

1024
00:50:08,600 --> 00:50:11,160
Speaker 2: per week. I appreciate you guys more than you know.

1025
00:50:12,400 --> 00:50:16,600
Speaker 2: Another big game to talk about here. There's a game

1026
00:50:16,719 --> 00:50:19,560
Speaker 2: happening at Oklahoma State Saturday that is going to have

1027
00:50:19,640 --> 00:50:22,759
Speaker 2: huge implications on the conference championship race out there. Utah

1028
00:50:22,880 --> 00:50:25,360
Speaker 2: goes to Oklahoma State. It is a Saturday game. It

1029
00:50:25,480 --> 00:50:27,839
Speaker 2: is a four o'clock Eastern time kick, three o'clock local

1030
00:50:27,920 --> 00:50:30,880
Speaker 2: kick on Fox. I am irate that this game is

1031
00:50:30,960 --> 00:50:33,800
Speaker 2: not an eleven am kickoff. I had eyes on this

1032
00:50:34,040 --> 00:50:36,680
Speaker 2: weeks ago. I knew we were going to go to Tennessee, Oklahoma.

1033
00:50:36,800 --> 00:50:39,760
Speaker 2: I knew that was a primetime game. If this was earlier,

1034
00:50:40,280 --> 00:50:43,680
Speaker 2: I would go to both games. And they took it

1035
00:50:43,760 --> 00:50:44,120
Speaker 2: from us.

1036
00:50:44,200 --> 00:50:46,080
Speaker 1: They robbed us. But that's okay.

1037
00:50:47,040 --> 00:50:49,160
Speaker 2: I'm going to say, like an eighty percent chance the

1038
00:50:49,239 --> 00:50:51,399
Speaker 2: winner of this game goes to the Big twelve title game.

1039
00:50:51,920 --> 00:50:54,840
Speaker 2: So there's a lot on the line here. Cam Rising

1040
00:50:54,960 --> 00:50:59,320
Speaker 2: is Jesse, You playing Jesse is playing. Cam Rising is

1041
00:50:59,360 --> 00:51:03,839
Speaker 2: back this week. So let me explain something about experience

1042
00:51:04,040 --> 00:51:07,960
Speaker 2: in this game to you. You have never you have

1043
00:51:08,200 --> 00:51:13,960
Speaker 2: never experienced experience like you will experience experience Saturday. In

1044
00:51:14,080 --> 00:51:17,240
Speaker 2: this game, Cam Rising is starting at quarterback for Utah.

1045
00:51:17,320 --> 00:51:20,359
Speaker 2: Alan Bowman is starting at quarterback for Oklahoma State. They

1046
00:51:20,520 --> 00:51:24,439
Speaker 2: combine to have lived forty nine years on this earth.

1047
00:51:25,000 --> 00:51:27,719
Speaker 2: The Bears and the Colts play Sunday. The combined age

1048
00:51:27,719 --> 00:51:31,000
Speaker 2: of the starting quarterbacks there's forty four that courtesy of

1049
00:51:31,360 --> 00:51:34,480
Speaker 2: College Sports only. Maybe the stat of the week, maybe

1050
00:51:34,520 --> 00:51:37,200
Speaker 2: the pregame padlock stat of the week. There is half

1051
00:51:37,320 --> 00:51:40,160
Speaker 2: a century of life experience on the field at quarterback here.

1052
00:51:41,600 --> 00:51:44,640
Speaker 2: Oklahoma State has faced one Power four team that was Arkansas,

1053
00:51:44,920 --> 00:51:47,040
Speaker 2: and they gave up about six hundred and fifty yards

1054
00:51:47,080 --> 00:51:49,799
Speaker 2: to them, and four hundred and eighteen of those were

1055
00:51:49,840 --> 00:51:51,440
Speaker 2: through the air. So I think Cam Rising can have

1056
00:51:51,600 --> 00:51:53,680
Speaker 2: himself a little bit of an afternoon here. He's got

1057
00:51:53,719 --> 00:51:55,960
Speaker 2: the best set of weapons that he's had around him

1058
00:51:55,960 --> 00:51:57,520
Speaker 2: in quite a while, tight end end receiver.

1059
00:51:58,040 --> 00:52:00,200
Speaker 1: But what I want to know is on on the

1060
00:52:00,280 --> 00:52:00,840
Speaker 1: other side.

1061
00:52:01,400 --> 00:52:03,040
Speaker 2: Like we talked about earlier in the show, where's the

1062
00:52:03,120 --> 00:52:07,359
Speaker 2: run game for Oklahoma State? They're all American at running back,

1063
00:52:07,520 --> 00:52:09,680
Speaker 2: they got the most experienced offensive line in the country.

1064
00:52:09,960 --> 00:52:12,280
Speaker 2: It's got a click and it has not been close.

1065
00:52:12,320 --> 00:52:14,760
Speaker 2: There are one hundred and eighth in yards per attempt

1066
00:52:14,840 --> 00:52:18,120
Speaker 2: rushing the ball this year, Alan Bowman. No quarterback has

1067
00:52:18,200 --> 00:52:21,080
Speaker 2: bailed him out. He's seventh in FBS and passing yards

1068
00:52:21,080 --> 00:52:23,560
Speaker 2: per game, which is just not a stat that I expected.

1069
00:52:23,600 --> 00:52:27,320
Speaker 2: He's cut down on the turnovers. You can't love that

1070
00:52:27,440 --> 00:52:29,800
Speaker 2: recipe here. Okay, So the running game has got to

1071
00:52:29,920 --> 00:52:33,480
Speaker 2: be found, and preferably this Saturday. It's impossible to know

1072
00:52:33,560 --> 00:52:34,920
Speaker 2: a couple of things in this game that I think

1073
00:52:34,960 --> 00:52:37,920
Speaker 2: will end up deciding it. Number one is, at what

1074
00:52:38,040 --> 00:52:40,120
Speaker 2: point this year does Oklahoma State find that ground game?

1075
00:52:40,160 --> 00:52:42,200
Speaker 1: When does it click? Number two?

1076
00:52:43,160 --> 00:52:45,520
Speaker 2: Utah is a much different team on the road just

1077
00:52:45,680 --> 00:52:51,000
Speaker 2: last several years. Good solid program, but much different in

1078
00:52:51,120 --> 00:52:54,279
Speaker 2: some ways, a disproportionately different team on the road than

1079
00:52:54,360 --> 00:52:56,600
Speaker 2: at home, and that matters here. Let's take a look

1080
00:52:56,600 --> 00:52:59,520
Speaker 2: at what the model thinks. The fandual number right now

1081
00:53:00,200 --> 00:53:03,279
Speaker 2: is Utah minus one and a half on the road.

1082
00:53:04,080 --> 00:53:08,680
Speaker 2: We've got Oklahoma State minus one, so it's basically a

1083
00:53:08,960 --> 00:53:09,839
Speaker 2: coin toss game.

1084
00:53:10,719 --> 00:53:14,560
Speaker 1: We're on the other side of it. But I think.

1085
00:53:16,000 --> 00:53:18,759
Speaker 2: I think there's a staff edge for Utah here that

1086
00:53:18,920 --> 00:53:21,160
Speaker 2: I use to kind of negate the home field edge.

1087
00:53:21,760 --> 00:53:24,880
Speaker 2: I think OC and DC there's an edge for Utah

1088
00:53:25,160 --> 00:53:27,960
Speaker 2: relative to Oklahoma State. I think Utah is going to

1089
00:53:28,000 --> 00:53:29,960
Speaker 2: find a way to win the game and obviously cover

1090
00:53:30,400 --> 00:53:33,320
Speaker 2: one and a half. Not a ton of confidence on

1091
00:53:33,400 --> 00:53:36,319
Speaker 2: that game. Should be very fun to watch and I'll

1092
00:53:36,360 --> 00:53:39,719
Speaker 2: be just down the road. I don't know where I'll

1093
00:53:39,760 --> 00:53:41,160
Speaker 2: be watching that game, but I'll be just down the

1094
00:53:41,200 --> 00:53:44,080
Speaker 2: road watching it somewhere. And by the way, the odds

1095
00:53:44,160 --> 00:53:47,120
Speaker 2: to win the Big Twelve Utah currently number one, Oklahoma

1096
00:53:47,200 --> 00:53:50,720
Speaker 2: State number four, and those odds could invert very quickly.

1097
00:53:51,200 --> 00:53:55,480
Speaker 2: And like I said, Iowa State shark fin right off shore.

1098
00:53:55,600 --> 00:54:00,680
Speaker 2: Iowa State number five. Iowa State plays see check it does.

1099
00:54:00,840 --> 00:54:02,160
Speaker 2: I don't think they do. I have a state plays

1100
00:54:02,239 --> 00:54:03,239
Speaker 2: Utah late in the year. I don't know if they

1101
00:54:03,239 --> 00:54:05,480
Speaker 2: play Oklahoma State. There are a lot of big time

1102
00:54:05,560 --> 00:54:07,399
Speaker 2: games down the stretch in the Big twelve. Big Twelve

1103
00:54:07,440 --> 00:54:09,960
Speaker 2: schedule maker has been taking a lot of heat. They

1104
00:54:10,040 --> 00:54:13,160
Speaker 2: may kind of know what they're doing. Speaking of America's

1105
00:54:13,160 --> 00:54:17,200
Speaker 2: College Football Conference, we are of course powered in the

1106
00:54:17,280 --> 00:54:21,920
Speaker 2: odds by FanDuel, and FanDuel also powers the Romannudal Express.

1107
00:54:22,200 --> 00:54:24,000
Speaker 2: Not something they're proud of at the moment, given how

1108
00:54:24,040 --> 00:54:27,040
Speaker 2: badly it's performed. But that's okay, because we're just gonna

1109
00:54:27,040 --> 00:54:28,680
Speaker 2: switch tracks this week and we'll be fine.

1110
00:54:28,760 --> 00:54:30,000
Speaker 1: We will be fine.

1111
00:54:30,040 --> 00:54:33,239
Speaker 2: We've never not made money using the model over the

1112
00:54:33,400 --> 00:54:36,120
Speaker 2: long haul, over the course of an entire season. There

1113
00:54:36,200 --> 00:54:38,600
Speaker 2: have been a couple of weeks stretches where it's been horrific, though,

1114
00:54:38,600 --> 00:54:40,960
Speaker 2: and we're in one right now. Excuse me, were we're

1115
00:54:41,040 --> 00:54:43,880
Speaker 2: out of it? So Romnuel Express time we're gonna add.

1116
00:54:44,120 --> 00:54:46,240
Speaker 2: We've got Brigham Young plus seven and a half already

1117
00:54:46,280 --> 00:54:50,600
Speaker 2: against Kansas State. I am adding another game with Big

1118
00:54:50,680 --> 00:54:51,680
Speaker 2: twelve implications.

1119
00:54:52,640 --> 00:54:53,640
Speaker 1: It's Baylor.

1120
00:54:53,840 --> 00:54:55,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, we're gonna bet money on Baylor plus one and

1121
00:54:55,640 --> 00:54:58,680
Speaker 2: a half at Colorado, wrong team's favorite. We think Baylor

1122
00:54:58,800 --> 00:55:01,320
Speaker 2: is going to go into Boulder and win outright, and

1123
00:55:01,640 --> 00:55:03,960
Speaker 2: we will fill the rest of those trained cars up

1124
00:55:04,000 --> 00:55:07,560
Speaker 2: throughout the week and Friday night lines will emanate from Norman,

1125
00:55:07,600 --> 00:55:11,839
Speaker 2: Oklahoma Friday Night at Lake Kickjosh on Instagram yep, still

1126
00:55:11,840 --> 00:55:14,719
Speaker 2: got the grandfathered in title there. Sign up for FanDuel

1127
00:55:14,840 --> 00:55:18,919
Speaker 2: at FanDuel dot Com backslash CFB promotion must be twenty

1128
00:55:18,960 --> 00:55:22,080
Speaker 2: one plus and present in select states for Kansas in

1129
00:55:22,120 --> 00:55:26,000
Speaker 2: affiliation with Kansas Star Casino, or eighteen plus and present

1130
00:55:26,080 --> 00:55:30,480
Speaker 2: in Washington, DC. First online real money wager only ten

1131
00:55:30,560 --> 00:55:34,920
Speaker 2: dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued is non withdrawable bonus

1132
00:55:35,000 --> 00:55:37,200
Speaker 2: bet that expires seven days after receipt.

1133
00:55:37,880 --> 00:55:39,160
Speaker 1: Do you have a gambling problem?

1134
00:55:39,800 --> 00:55:42,760
Speaker 2: If so, call one eight hundred gambler or visit FanDuel

1135
00:55:42,840 --> 00:55:47,000
Speaker 2: dot com backslash RG call one eight eight eight seven

1136
00:55:47,080 --> 00:55:50,920
Speaker 2: eight nine seven seven seven seven, or visit CCPG dot

1137
00:55:51,120 --> 00:55:55,440
Speaker 2: org backslash chat in Connecticut, or visit MD Gamblinghelp dot

1138
00:55:55,600 --> 00:55:56,440
Speaker 2: org in Maryland.

1139
00:55:56,880 --> 00:55:57,600
Speaker 1: Hope is here.

1140
00:55:58,080 --> 00:56:02,040
Speaker 2: Visit Gambling Helplinema dot or call eight hundred three through

1141
00:56:02,120 --> 00:56:04,600
Speaker 2: seven fifty to fifty for twenty four to seven support

1142
00:56:04,680 --> 00:56:08,000
Speaker 2: in Massachusetts. Or call one eight seven seven eight hope

1143
00:56:08,120 --> 00:56:11,239
Speaker 2: in Why or text h op E.

1144
00:56:11,480 --> 00:56:15,200
Speaker 1: N Y in New York. One more game, I got it.

1145
00:56:15,400 --> 00:56:18,280
Speaker 2: I got a touch on this and it happens before

1146
00:56:18,320 --> 00:56:21,640
Speaker 2: the rest of them Illinois goes to Nebraska Friday night.

1147
00:56:22,560 --> 00:56:25,640
Speaker 2: In fact, halftime of this game is probably when I'll

1148
00:56:25,680 --> 00:56:27,960
Speaker 2: do Friday night lines because that worked very well last

1149
00:56:28,000 --> 00:56:30,239
Speaker 2: Friday night. This is a top twenty five matchup. Do

1150
00:56:30,239 --> 00:56:32,160
Speaker 2: you realize that at least in the AP it's a

1151
00:56:32,200 --> 00:56:36,080
Speaker 2: top twenty five matchup. I've got a big time paper

1152
00:56:36,120 --> 00:56:38,960
Speaker 2: popper of a stat here. Both of these teams are

1153
00:56:39,000 --> 00:56:41,880
Speaker 2: three and oh. This is Nebraska's first three and oh

1154
00:56:41,960 --> 00:56:45,279
Speaker 2: start since twenty sixteen. It is Illinoi's this is a

1155
00:56:45,640 --> 00:56:50,440
Speaker 2: first three and oh start since twenty eleven. So who

1156
00:56:51,200 --> 00:56:54,640
Speaker 2: figures out how to deal with prosperity here? This is

1157
00:56:55,840 --> 00:56:58,680
Speaker 2: This is an interesting situation when we talk about tests,

1158
00:56:58,840 --> 00:57:01,960
Speaker 2: because the test for the Nebraska was thought to be

1159
00:57:02,000 --> 00:57:04,640
Speaker 2: the Colorado game. Everyone was building up for the Colorado game.

1160
00:57:04,840 --> 00:57:07,399
Speaker 2: This is the test for Nebraska, not the Colorado game.

1161
00:57:07,640 --> 00:57:08,359
Speaker 1: This is the test.

1162
00:57:08,560 --> 00:57:12,200
Speaker 2: Illinois's defense is thirteenth in points per game allowed, thirty

1163
00:57:12,280 --> 00:57:15,680
Speaker 2: third in yards per game allowed. They've been pretty stiff

1164
00:57:15,840 --> 00:57:20,440
Speaker 2: against opposing offenses. Colorado not so much. And Dylan Ryola

1165
00:57:21,640 --> 00:57:23,520
Speaker 2: kind of a familiar theme with a lot of the

1166
00:57:23,680 --> 00:57:28,520
Speaker 2: young quarterbacks facing first time situations. He hasn't had his

1167
00:57:28,640 --> 00:57:32,160
Speaker 2: bad week, yet he's about a seventy four percent completion guy,

1168
00:57:32,560 --> 00:57:35,080
Speaker 2: only thrown one pick. No one's put him in a

1169
00:57:35,120 --> 00:57:37,880
Speaker 2: blender yet, no one's made his head spin yet. But

1170
00:57:38,000 --> 00:57:41,200
Speaker 2: he's a true freshman starter in major college football. Someone's

1171
00:57:41,240 --> 00:57:43,160
Speaker 2: going to figure out how to do it. You got

1172
00:57:43,200 --> 00:57:45,200
Speaker 2: a little bit of a book on him. Now, someone's

1173
00:57:45,240 --> 00:57:47,720
Speaker 2: going to figure that out. But the Nebraska running back

1174
00:57:47,840 --> 00:57:50,280
Speaker 2: room has quietly been really legit, so it's not a

1175
00:57:50,360 --> 00:57:54,040
Speaker 2: one man show there. Don't let Nebraska play clean. That's

1176
00:57:54,080 --> 00:57:56,840
Speaker 2: the whole key for Illinois. They're coming in here and

1177
00:57:57,280 --> 00:58:01,520
Speaker 2: they they're one hundred and seventeenth in yards per game

1178
00:58:01,640 --> 00:58:05,600
Speaker 2: last year. They are fiftieth right now. And that's all

1179
00:58:05,640 --> 00:58:08,840
Speaker 2: we needed Nebraska, that's all we needed. They were terrible

1180
00:58:08,960 --> 00:58:11,200
Speaker 2: last year. We didn't need them to be top ten.

1181
00:58:11,480 --> 00:58:14,160
Speaker 2: They're good enough defensively. What we just asked for is

1182
00:58:14,320 --> 00:58:16,680
Speaker 2: be average. That's what they've been so far this year.

1183
00:58:18,440 --> 00:58:22,840
Speaker 2: Nebraska last year turnover ratio almost the worst in the country.

1184
00:58:23,240 --> 00:58:26,400
Speaker 2: This year twenty second. It's early, but we've gotten that.

1185
00:58:26,680 --> 00:58:29,200
Speaker 2: So they've been able to play clean. Don't let them

1186
00:58:29,240 --> 00:58:32,800
Speaker 2: play clean. Defense has allowed twenty points total this year.

1187
00:58:33,000 --> 00:58:34,720
Speaker 2: You can't be allowing them to play clean. They're not

1188
00:58:34,760 --> 00:58:36,680
Speaker 2: going to give up a lot. And this game last

1189
00:58:36,760 --> 00:58:39,920
Speaker 2: year was crazy. I think Nebraska won like twenty to

1190
00:58:40,000 --> 00:58:43,480
Speaker 2: seven or something like that. Illinois didn't try to run

1191
00:58:43,520 --> 00:58:46,360
Speaker 2: the ball, or they weren't effective running the ball. Forty

1192
00:58:46,480 --> 00:58:50,920
Speaker 2: seven to nineteen passed the run ratio. A few truths

1193
00:58:51,000 --> 00:58:54,040
Speaker 2: in an uncertain world, few guarantees. At least I guarantee

1194
00:58:54,160 --> 00:58:56,600
Speaker 2: you that doesn't look the same this game. Let's take

1195
00:58:56,640 --> 00:58:57,560
Speaker 2: a look with what the model thinks.

1196
00:58:57,600 --> 00:58:57,880
Speaker 1: Colin.

1197
00:58:58,080 --> 00:59:02,000
Speaker 2: The FanDuel number is Nebraska minus eight and a half.

1198
00:59:02,560 --> 00:59:05,440
Speaker 2: The model thinks that's a little too generous. We've got

1199
00:59:05,560 --> 00:59:09,680
Speaker 2: Nebraska minus seven classic two way go here. I think

1200
00:59:09,760 --> 00:59:13,120
Speaker 2: Nebraska wins. It's a very tight game that over unders

1201
00:59:13,200 --> 00:59:15,720
Speaker 2: forty three, so it's a game played in the upper teens,

1202
00:59:15,760 --> 00:59:16,320
Speaker 2: low twenties.

1203
00:59:16,560 --> 00:59:17,560
Speaker 1: I think Nebraska wins.

1204
00:59:17,600 --> 00:59:21,479
Speaker 2: I think Illinois finds a way to cover no money

1205
00:59:21,560 --> 00:59:22,680
Speaker 2: for us on that one right now.

1206
00:59:24,520 --> 00:59:29,240
Speaker 1: Nice tight Tuesday night, our long show hoops to Monscus

1207
00:59:29,280 --> 00:59:31,520
Speaker 1: would have fuck it. Thank you guys so much. Man.

1208
00:59:31,640 --> 00:59:35,720
Speaker 2: We're doing really really really good numbers and the interaction

1209
00:59:35,880 --> 00:59:36,440
Speaker 2: we have when.

1210
00:59:36,280 --> 00:59:38,400
Speaker 1: We go out on the road is amazing. So let's

1211
00:59:38,440 --> 00:59:40,520
Speaker 1: just keep doing what we're doing and recruit five of

1212
00:59:40,600 --> 00:59:41,640
Speaker 1: your friends right now to come in.

1213
00:59:41,680 --> 00:59:44,160
Speaker 2: Suck to the channel and the podcast being as well.

1214
00:59:44,480 --> 00:59:47,760
Speaker 1: So for director Colum producer Jesse, I'm Josh. Fate will

1215
00:59:47,800 --> 00:59:50,560
Speaker 1: be back same time Thursday night. Until then, take care

1216
00:59:50,760 --> 00:59:51,480
Speaker 1: to God bless you.

1217
01:00:00,400 --> 01:00:04,320
Speaker 2: Sign up for FanDuel at FanDuel dot com backslash CFB

1218
01:00:04,480 --> 01:00:07,440
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1219
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1220
01:00:11,520 --> 01:00:15,560
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1221
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1222
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Speaker 2: is non withdrawable bonus bet that expires seven days after receipt.

1223
01:00:24,720 --> 01:00:26,000
Speaker 1: Do you have a gambling problem?

1224
01:00:26,640 --> 01:00:29,600
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1225
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1226
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1228
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1229
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Speaker 2: or call eight hundred three two seven fifty to fifty

1230
01:00:50,160 --> 01:00:53,320
Speaker 2: for twenty four seven support in Massachusetts, or call one

1231
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1232
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Speaker 2: op e n Y. In New York st