WEBVTT - Looking Back on the Future Part Two

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<v Speaker 1>Brought to you by Toyota. Let's go places. Welcome to

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<v Speaker 1>Forward Thinking. Hey, then, welcome to Forward Thinking, the podcast

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<v Speaker 1>that looks the future. It says tomorrow Tomorrow, I love

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<v Speaker 1>you Tomorrow. I'm Jonathan Strickland, I'm Lauren, and I'm Joe McCormick.

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<v Speaker 1>And this is gonna be part two of a two

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<v Speaker 1>part episode that we had to split up because we

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<v Speaker 1>ended up talking for a long time. But last time,

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<v Speaker 1>what were we talking about? It? It was about our

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<v Speaker 1>favorite predictions of the future. Yeah, we talked about a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of very quaint French postcards from the turn of

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<v Speaker 1>the nineteenth century, been with bad wings, and we talked

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<v Speaker 1>about some driverless car technology, and then we talked about

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<v Speaker 1>how communications doesn't make you less of a jerk? Is

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<v Speaker 1>that what we talked about? Yeah, Well, we talked about

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<v Speaker 1>like telecommunications predictions that the idea of the the rhetoric

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<v Speaker 1>of the electrical sublime, the people who thought that, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the telegraph and eventually the internet would just bring us

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<v Speaker 1>all together and make us connect and just be friendly.

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<v Speaker 1>We would friendly happy people. Only we can talk to

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<v Speaker 1>each other instantaneously. We'll bring about world peace and then

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<v Speaker 1>we'll all just click on that little button to buy

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<v Speaker 1>the world a coke. Yeah, and well, you guys aren't

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<v Speaker 1>alive in the seventies, so you have no idea what

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<v Speaker 1>I'm talking about. But we all know what by the

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<v Speaker 1>World of Coke is. Did you ever see those commercials?

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<v Speaker 1>Were they still around when you guys were kids? Also,

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know what you're talking you'd like to I'd

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<v Speaker 1>like to sing. I'd like to teach the world to

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<v Speaker 1>sing a perfect harmony. I'd like to buy the world

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<v Speaker 1>of coke and keep it company. I know the polar Bears,

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<v Speaker 1>the polar Bears, you know, cute little ones. Joe, just

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<v Speaker 1>talk about robots. Okay, So last time we talked about

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<v Speaker 1>one of the we reached picking picking a couple of

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<v Speaker 1>favorite predictions in the future, or at least the most illuminating.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know if I could say I have favorites,

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<v Speaker 1>the ones that are spurring of good conversation, and so

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<v Speaker 1>we did. Why list telecommunications and all that? Now I

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<v Speaker 1>want to talk about robots. Uh So I was trying

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<v Speaker 1>to think what my other favorite prediction would be. And

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<v Speaker 1>I think that we we've talked about this on the

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<v Speaker 1>show before, but I have to come back to it

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<v Speaker 1>because I think it's so fruitful. Uh. And it's the

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<v Speaker 1>science fiction world embodied in Isaac Asimov's Robots stories and

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<v Speaker 1>essentially in Asimov's fictional future. Robots are very intelligent, powerful,

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<v Speaker 1>well integrated into society, performing all kinds of labor the

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<v Speaker 1>positronic brain, and to keep their behavior in check, they

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<v Speaker 1>all necessarily are bound by three fundamental laws of robotics. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>that's kind of like the I mean, we've seen tons

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<v Speaker 1>of different science fiction stories that build upon the same idea,

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<v Speaker 1>like even things like RoboCop where he has all the

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<v Speaker 1>different directives that stems from this concept of the laws

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<v Speaker 1>of robotics. Yeah, and so the three law us basically

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<v Speaker 1>are a robot. First law, a robot may not injure

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<v Speaker 1>or harm a human being, or through inaction, allow a

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<v Speaker 1>human being to come to harm. Obviously, robotup did not

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<v Speaker 1>have that one. Nope. The second one, a robot must

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<v Speaker 1>obey the orders given it by human beings, except where

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<v Speaker 1>such orders would conflict with the first law. So lo

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<v Speaker 1>as you couldn't tell robot, hey, I want you to

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<v Speaker 1>go and punch gim in the face, right, robot has

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<v Speaker 1>to do what you say unless you tell it to

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<v Speaker 1>hurt somebody. And then the third law, a robot must

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<v Speaker 1>protect its own existence as long as such protection does

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<v Speaker 1>not conflict with the first or second laws. And then

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<v Speaker 1>there was the zero with law that got added afterwards,

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<v Speaker 1>which is a robot may not harm humanity or through

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<v Speaker 1>an action, allow humanity to come to him, right, the

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<v Speaker 1>sort of the worldwide extension. And they also would sometimes

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<v Speaker 1>extend it's not just to humans, but to property as well,

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<v Speaker 1>so in other words like like you know, extended, saying

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<v Speaker 1>that a robot couldn't cause damage to property unless again

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<v Speaker 1>it violated a more important law like further up on

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<v Speaker 1>the list. Yeah, and so if you haven't read any

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<v Speaker 1>of these stories, I do recommend going back and reading

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<v Speaker 1>some of Asimov's robots stories because I think they're very entertaining,

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<v Speaker 1>their interesting, and they're usually pretty short and self contained.

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<v Speaker 1>Um but anyway, the dramatic conflict in many of these

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<v Speaker 1>stories comes from engineers and robopsychologists trying to solve problems

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<v Speaker 1>with robots, and the problems are created by the fact

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<v Speaker 1>that the robots are following the laws, but following them

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<v Speaker 1>in a way that leads to unforeseen problems. Uh So,

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<v Speaker 1>robots with these types of programming, can be caught in

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<v Speaker 1>sort of ethical loops or traps that prevent them from

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<v Speaker 1>doing something crucial or that allow them to do horrible

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<v Speaker 1>things by way of misunderstanding or misapplication of the laws.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's kind of similar, and I think I've made

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<v Speaker 1>this comparison in a previous episode of forward thinking. But

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<v Speaker 1>for for those of you out there who have ever

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<v Speaker 1>played Dungeons and Dragons, if you've ever encountered a scenario

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<v Speaker 1>where your character is granted a wish, you know that

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<v Speaker 1>any any experienced player will spend ages agonizing over the

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<v Speaker 1>exact wording of the wish, because dungeon masters the world

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<v Speaker 1>over have great joy in taking a wish and then

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<v Speaker 1>purposefully miss interpreting the wish so that a terrible thing happens.

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<v Speaker 1>So the classic one is make me a sandwich and

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<v Speaker 1>then boom, the character turns into a sandwich. Like that

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<v Speaker 1>would be That would be a very simple version of that.

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<v Speaker 1>But you typically will get someone who has to try

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<v Speaker 1>and word out an incredibly convoluted wish in order to

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<v Speaker 1>avoid any potential misinterpretation or or abuse of their request.

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<v Speaker 1>The same sort of thing is is kind of underlying

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<v Speaker 1>some of these stories where it's not that a robot

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<v Speaker 1>is intentionally trying to find its way around its programming.

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<v Speaker 1>It's simply that in order for it to carry out

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<v Speaker 1>whatever task it's been given and follow these rules, something

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<v Speaker 1>doesn't go as people would expect it to. It's really

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<v Speaker 1>a cautionary tale about human error and hubris. Yes, definitely,

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<v Speaker 1>and also just the idea of you know, any sort

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<v Speaker 1>of artificial intelligence that's sufficiently capable of being able to

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<v Speaker 1>to be autonomous or even semi autonomous, it's hard. Well, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that's exactly why I cited this. I cite this because

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<v Speaker 1>of the increasing interest in the future challenges presented by

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<v Speaker 1>AI and sophisticated mobile robotics. Um, but you're exactly right.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, the more a machine is in line with

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<v Speaker 1>what we think of as intelligence in the same way

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<v Speaker 1>we've use intelligence to refer to human intelligence, the more

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<v Speaker 1>their behavior and reasoning will become proportionally obscure to us.

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<v Speaker 1>Like things that act in intelligent ways are sometimes hard

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<v Speaker 1>to understand because intelligens is inherently complex. I've got a

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<v Speaker 1>very relevant example that happened very recently, which was that

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<v Speaker 1>you had some people working with a supercomputer over the

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<v Speaker 1>course of forty eight hours to create a mathematical proof

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<v Speaker 1>that had been proposed back in the eighties, or at

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<v Speaker 1>least someone has said, like, I need a proof to

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<v Speaker 1>prove this whether or not this particular mathematical problem as

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<v Speaker 1>possible or not possible. And the computer did it in

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<v Speaker 1>two days, and it took two hundred terabytes of storage

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<v Speaker 1>to store the proof. And I won't get into the

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<v Speaker 1>proof that would take forever for me to explain, but

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<v Speaker 1>the idea being that, uh, it was such a long

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<v Speaker 1>laborious process, even for a supercomputer working for forty eight hours,

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<v Speaker 1>essentially that for people it was pretty much a lost cause, right,

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<v Speaker 1>like like you almost have to uh use a different

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<v Speaker 1>supercomputer to verify the results because you couldn't employ humans

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<v Speaker 1>to go through all the steps. It would just take

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<v Speaker 1>way too long and it and it'd be too easy

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<v Speaker 1>to lose your place and make a human error and

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<v Speaker 1>then realize that, oh, well, we've got to have yet

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<v Speaker 1>another team check that the results here. And you started

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<v Speaker 1>getting to this idea what this was just to do

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<v Speaker 1>one mathematical proof and there's not a major downside to

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<v Speaker 1>humankind if it does something wrong, right, if if it

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<v Speaker 1>says that the proof shows that this particular mathematical question

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<v Speaker 1>is impossible, and it turns out it is possible. Big whoop.

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<v Speaker 1>But you might have similarly complex internal machinations in a

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<v Speaker 1>robot that is designed to open a door for people.

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<v Speaker 1>But the robot that's designed to open a door for

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<v Speaker 1>people could slam the door on people and kill them.

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<v Speaker 1>So you know, even well, maybe a robot that opens

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<v Speaker 1>doors for people wouldn't have to be all that intelligence.

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<v Speaker 1>I'll give the full general AI to the door opener.

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<v Speaker 1>You say it, But actually when I went to south

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<v Speaker 1>By Southwest, one of the panels I too. They talked

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<v Speaker 1>about how there was, uh this team that was trying

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<v Speaker 1>to develop a robot that could open different types of doors,

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<v Speaker 1>but it would take hours for the robot to figure

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<v Speaker 1>out what kind of door it was, and how three

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<v Speaker 1>types of doors. There's your problem, right right, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>it's only got the one door. If you only got

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<v Speaker 1>one door, then you're fine. But but as we saw

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<v Speaker 1>also in the darker robotics challenge like opening doors and

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<v Speaker 1>walking through them, certainly the walking through them part, right,

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<v Speaker 1>So you know, you've got to find a way to

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<v Speaker 1>prevent robots from causing harm, and this causes we've got

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<v Speaker 1>to think about the AI control problem, and it's not

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<v Speaker 1>as easy as it sounds. And I think this is

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<v Speaker 1>very well predicted by Asimov's stories, which makes this one

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<v Speaker 1>of my favorite future predictions, because he starts with these

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<v Speaker 1>three laws that if you read them, they sound very

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<v Speaker 1>simple and they sound very air tight. It sounds like

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<v Speaker 1>they cover all the bases. But you you only have

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<v Speaker 1>to think a little bit further as Asimov did, and

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<v Speaker 1>start trying to apply them to unexpected malfunctions and use

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<v Speaker 1>case scenarios. Well, and it could you it also just

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<v Speaker 1>imagine where it's not even a malfunction. You could just

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<v Speaker 1>imagine where a robot would take no action, because it

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<v Speaker 1>turns out the robot is able to project all the

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<v Speaker 1>potential consequences of its actions and determined that some of

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<v Speaker 1>them may in fact cause some form of harm to someone,

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<v Speaker 1>and that it's not even that necessarily identified, right. It

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<v Speaker 1>may just be like, well, I took into account the

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<v Speaker 1>task you gave me, I plotted out all the variables,

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<v Speaker 1>and it turns out there's maybe a twenty seven percent

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<v Speaker 1>chance that this could hurt somebody's feelings. And because I

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<v Speaker 1>interpret that as being harm. I can't actually do what

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<v Speaker 1>you asked me to do, so I'm just gonna stand

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<v Speaker 1>here motionless, and you're gonna think I'm broken. The chaos

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<v Speaker 1>effective robotics like you've created a very expensive brick, and

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<v Speaker 1>that brick is just constantly thinking like well if I

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<v Speaker 1>opened this door, then yeah, it's it's a robot paralyzed

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<v Speaker 1>by self doubt. Essentially, because we so we're creating a

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<v Speaker 1>Douglas Adams character, would you would have to create a

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<v Speaker 1>threshold for the robot saying you have to be above

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<v Speaker 1>this percentage sure that this action is going to cause

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<v Speaker 1>some form of harm before you decide not to do

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<v Speaker 1>it right now. Now. Of course, the application of this

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<v Speaker 1>to the real world is all well, actually I was

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<v Speaker 1>going to say it's all assuming we ever create general

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<v Speaker 1>AI of any consequence, but actually I think it's not

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<v Speaker 1>even even if we don't. As a MOOV stories are

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<v Speaker 1>interesting for thinking about ethics as they apply to humans. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>it's also too, I would argue, it's interesting to apply

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<v Speaker 1>that even if you're talking about narrow definitions of AI,

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<v Speaker 1>there's still something to be said about it may not

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<v Speaker 1>be sentient, it may not be self aware, it may

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<v Speaker 1>not have general AI may not it may not be

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<v Speaker 1>walking around and interacting with us, but it could very

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<v Speaker 1>well still affect us in a in a pro in

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<v Speaker 1>profound ways and so thinking in this case, even for

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<v Speaker 1>something like narrow AI, I think it's important. It is

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<v Speaker 1>also important when it comes to just our thoughts about

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<v Speaker 1>how humans behave I agree, but it's it's it's something

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<v Speaker 1>that a lot of people have been arguing we should

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<v Speaker 1>be talking about more anyway, with the state of AI

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<v Speaker 1>as it stands right now, which I think everyone would

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<v Speaker 1>say it falls easily into the category of week AI. Yeah. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>and we talked about autonomous cars in the last episode.

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<v Speaker 1>You start entering when you've gotten multi ton death machines

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<v Speaker 1>with combustible engines in them running around being controlled by

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<v Speaker 1>week AI. Uh, you have you have a potential future

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<v Speaker 1>rife with Charlie problems. Yeah. Yeah, that's a very good point. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>where you get to that situation where, uh, an action

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<v Speaker 1>must be taken and there is no clear action that

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<v Speaker 1>will prevent harm from some happening to someone, right, whether

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<v Speaker 1>it's yeah, which which someone you choose to cause harm? Right?

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<v Speaker 1>Would it be the person sitting in the past, your seat,

0:12:48.559 --> 0:12:51.000
<v Speaker 1>would it be a person outside of the vehicle, would

0:12:51.000 --> 0:12:53.559
<v Speaker 1>be a person in another vehicle? Yeah, that whole thing exactly. Yeah,

0:12:53.640 --> 0:12:56.200
<v Speaker 1>I mean, and it also comes down to things that

0:12:56.240 --> 0:12:59.760
<v Speaker 1>are in conflict. In some of those stories were like

0:13:00.160 --> 0:13:03.400
<v Speaker 1>you have a very very low risk of a major

0:13:03.559 --> 0:13:08.599
<v Speaker 1>problem in conflict with a compelling need for something petty

0:13:08.840 --> 0:13:11.800
<v Speaker 1>as opposed you know, So like in a driverless car,

0:13:11.920 --> 0:13:15.040
<v Speaker 1>this might mean, Okay, should the car come to a

0:13:15.120 --> 0:13:18.480
<v Speaker 1>stop every time there is a point zero zero zero

0:13:18.600 --> 0:13:22.000
<v Speaker 1>zero one percent chance that doing so would prevent injury

0:13:22.040 --> 0:13:25.160
<v Speaker 1>to someone? I don't know. I mean, what if that

0:13:25.200 --> 0:13:27.720
<v Speaker 1>means it's coming to a stop all the time and

0:13:27.840 --> 0:13:30.319
<v Speaker 1>being really inconvenient. So in other words, like let's say

0:13:30.360 --> 0:13:32.800
<v Speaker 1>that it's um let's say that it's a car that

0:13:32.840 --> 0:13:38.920
<v Speaker 1>has predictive algorithms that can track motion of various entities

0:13:38.960 --> 0:13:43.800
<v Speaker 1>around the vehicle. Right, so pedestrians for example, knowing that

0:13:43.840 --> 0:13:47.520
<v Speaker 1>sometimes pedestrians will walk into the street not at a crosswalk,

0:13:47.600 --> 0:13:50.280
<v Speaker 1>so it's not a place where they're designated to cross. Well,

0:13:51.200 --> 0:13:53.200
<v Speaker 1>autonos cars will have to be able to deal with that,

0:13:53.280 --> 0:13:55.000
<v Speaker 1>have to be able to detect that a person has

0:13:55.000 --> 0:13:57.640
<v Speaker 1>stepped out into the street and stop. At what point

0:13:58.000 --> 0:14:02.000
<v Speaker 1>do you tell the car this is indica an indicator

0:14:02.040 --> 0:14:03.600
<v Speaker 1>that a person is going to walk out on the street,

0:14:03.760 --> 0:14:05.960
<v Speaker 1>as opposed to this is someone who's trying to step

0:14:06.000 --> 0:14:08.600
<v Speaker 1>around some dog do that's on the sidewalk, and they're

0:14:08.600 --> 0:14:10.600
<v Speaker 1>not actually gonna walk in the street, but their path

0:14:10.640 --> 0:14:13.239
<v Speaker 1>has diverted enough so that if they were to continue

0:14:13.320 --> 0:14:15.160
<v Speaker 1>on it, they would go out on the street. But

0:14:15.160 --> 0:14:17.040
<v Speaker 1>that's not what they're playing on doing. If the car

0:14:17.080 --> 0:14:18.720
<v Speaker 1>thinks you're gonna walk out on the street, then it's

0:14:18.760 --> 0:14:22.560
<v Speaker 1>gonna stop. So in that case, a really really sensitive

0:14:22.560 --> 0:14:26.040
<v Speaker 1>car might kill fewer people in the total, but it

0:14:26.040 --> 0:14:28.200
<v Speaker 1>will take you forever to get to You might be

0:14:28.280 --> 0:14:35.200
<v Speaker 1>stopping all the time. Another psychological science fiction example, there's

0:14:35.200 --> 0:14:37.320
<v Speaker 1>there's a movie called Robot and Frank that I think

0:14:37.320 --> 0:14:40.720
<v Speaker 1>I've brought up on the podcast before Frank Angel and

0:14:40.800 --> 0:14:44.600
<v Speaker 1>it's got somebody. I think you're right, Yeah, human of

0:14:44.680 --> 0:14:46.520
<v Speaker 1>some kind or another. I'm pretty sure you're right. I've

0:14:46.520 --> 0:14:48.640
<v Speaker 1>seen it on that. I've seen that it's on Netflix.

0:14:48.680 --> 0:14:51.360
<v Speaker 1>I have not watched it. It's it's cute, um, it's

0:14:51.360 --> 0:14:53.160
<v Speaker 1>it's it's it's a fun it's a fun film. It's

0:14:53.200 --> 0:14:57.080
<v Speaker 1>it's comedic and and and traumatic at the same time.

0:14:57.120 --> 0:14:59.360
<v Speaker 1>And and the basic storyline is is that this this

0:14:59.440 --> 0:15:03.600
<v Speaker 1>this elderly man who is a reformed criminal UM is

0:15:04.080 --> 0:15:05.920
<v Speaker 1>being placed in the care of a of a home

0:15:06.000 --> 0:15:09.880
<v Speaker 1>care robot and uh, and the robot can't keep this

0:15:09.960 --> 0:15:13.080
<v Speaker 1>dude happy. It's directive is to keep the dude happy?

0:15:13.200 --> 0:15:20.560
<v Speaker 1>Should the robot take him on heists hijinkson soon? So

0:15:20.600 --> 0:15:22.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, like like how like like at what point,

0:15:22.960 --> 0:15:25.760
<v Speaker 1>at what point does morality kick in? Yeah, how do

0:15:25.800 --> 0:15:30.560
<v Speaker 1>you prograb a robot to like not take dudes on heists?

0:15:30.600 --> 0:15:33.400
<v Speaker 1>Assuming that it shouldn't get similar to maybe it should

0:15:33.600 --> 0:15:38.239
<v Speaker 1>right starts starts also falling into the plot for Chappie

0:15:38.760 --> 0:15:44.120
<v Speaker 1>as well, You've got terrible. It's not great, but but

0:15:44.160 --> 0:15:46.200
<v Speaker 1>it falls into that that same sort of plot. The

0:15:46.240 --> 0:15:49.840
<v Speaker 1>idea of having a robot that is generally meant to

0:15:49.880 --> 0:15:55.360
<v Speaker 1>be kind of a positive influence and then bad people

0:15:55.760 --> 0:15:58.080
<v Speaker 1>or at least people with bad intentions get hold of

0:15:58.080 --> 0:16:01.120
<v Speaker 1>the robot and UM and and twist its sense of

0:16:01.160 --> 0:16:04.520
<v Speaker 1>morality because it doesn't have something immately programmed into it

0:16:05.040 --> 0:16:08.320
<v Speaker 1>so that like, hey, we we need to survive, so

0:16:08.360 --> 0:16:09.760
<v Speaker 1>in order for us to survive. We need to be

0:16:09.800 --> 0:16:12.680
<v Speaker 1>able to do these things which are technically crimes, and

0:16:12.680 --> 0:16:15.520
<v Speaker 1>then convince the robot to do those things. Um, Chappie

0:16:15.680 --> 0:16:18.560
<v Speaker 1>is is kind of a lot of people have compared

0:16:18.560 --> 0:16:22.400
<v Speaker 1>it to short circuit, the short circuit movies. I think

0:16:22.440 --> 0:16:27.320
<v Speaker 1>that's fair. It's not. It's not complimentary, but it's fair.

0:16:28.880 --> 0:16:31.000
<v Speaker 1>All right, Well, that about does it for me, Lauren.

0:16:31.040 --> 0:16:33.520
<v Speaker 1>Do you have some of you want to talk about? Yeah?

0:16:33.560 --> 0:16:37.240
<v Speaker 1>I also wanted to continue talking about speculative fiction because

0:16:37.280 --> 0:16:41.280
<v Speaker 1>that is where I tend to live, and in thinking

0:16:41.360 --> 0:16:43.800
<v Speaker 1>about this, I was finding it interesting that that a

0:16:43.800 --> 0:16:46.520
<v Speaker 1>lot of science fiction and speculative fiction, however you want

0:16:46.560 --> 0:16:50.600
<v Speaker 1>to say, it centers around those cautionary tales about technology

0:16:50.680 --> 0:16:55.080
<v Speaker 1>that we were talking a little bit about previously. Um,

0:16:55.120 --> 0:16:58.080
<v Speaker 1>you know the kind of plot line of like mankind

0:16:58.200 --> 0:17:03.600
<v Speaker 1>has created this amazing thing and it destroys him, possibly

0:17:03.720 --> 0:17:08.600
<v Speaker 1>from the inside out, don't we I'm sure? Yeah? Well,

0:17:08.600 --> 0:17:12.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean it's it's fun storytelling. But but take take

0:17:12.240 --> 0:17:15.840
<v Speaker 1>Ray Bradbury's work, for for example, UM, excellent work. UM.

0:17:15.920 --> 0:17:20.920
<v Speaker 1>Ray Bradbury kind of hated technology. His work frequently disdained

0:17:21.080 --> 0:17:24.840
<v Speaker 1>television and telecommunications in general. In his stories, those kind

0:17:24.880 --> 0:17:29.040
<v Speaker 1>of technologies made people placid and unthinking and isolated and

0:17:29.280 --> 0:17:33.160
<v Speaker 1>even cruel. And it's not just in stories. He kind

0:17:33.160 --> 0:17:35.679
<v Speaker 1>of held the same feelings in real life. There's a

0:17:35.680 --> 0:17:37.840
<v Speaker 1>great quote from him from an interview with The New

0:17:37.920 --> 0:17:40.760
<v Speaker 1>York Times in two thousand nine where he was talking

0:17:40.760 --> 0:17:43.359
<v Speaker 1>to them about the possibility of his work being put

0:17:43.480 --> 0:17:48.080
<v Speaker 1>into e book format and he said, it's it's great

0:17:48.080 --> 0:17:51.560
<v Speaker 1>all around. He said. Yahoo called me eight weeks ago.

0:17:51.840 --> 0:17:54.040
<v Speaker 1>They wanted to put a book of mine on Yahoo.

0:17:54.240 --> 0:17:56.240
<v Speaker 1>You know what, I told them, to hell with you,

0:17:56.359 --> 0:18:00.560
<v Speaker 1>to hell with you, and to hell with the Internet's

0:18:01.119 --> 0:18:03.840
<v Speaker 1>father science fiction, y'all, or like at least at least

0:18:03.880 --> 0:18:08.160
<v Speaker 1>one of the crachity uncles of this is a guy

0:18:08.160 --> 0:18:11.800
<v Speaker 1>who he didn't drive, he didn't fly on airplanes, um

0:18:11.840 --> 0:18:14.119
<v Speaker 1>and okay, like to be fair, he was born in

0:18:14.200 --> 0:18:18.240
<v Speaker 1>nineteen twenty and not everyone finds it easy or even

0:18:18.320 --> 0:18:22.400
<v Speaker 1>desirable to adapt to new technology. And that is fine.

0:18:22.680 --> 0:18:25.159
<v Speaker 1>It is not up to everyone to adapt to everything

0:18:25.200 --> 0:18:27.840
<v Speaker 1>that goes on in the world. Um. But but this

0:18:27.960 --> 0:18:30.320
<v Speaker 1>was this was a guy who envisioned like in air

0:18:30.359 --> 0:18:34.880
<v Speaker 1>communication headsets and also a t M S Yeah yeah,

0:18:34.880 --> 0:18:37.679
<v Speaker 1>like earbuds and also self driving cars and also like

0:18:37.760 --> 0:18:41.760
<v Speaker 1>wall sized flat screen TVs and virtual reality. And he

0:18:41.800 --> 0:18:43.720
<v Speaker 1>did all of this in the nineteen fifties. Yeah, to

0:18:44.080 --> 0:18:45.719
<v Speaker 1>be fair, though he thought it was going to be terrible.

0:18:48.400 --> 0:18:50.080
<v Speaker 1>The future is going to have all this stuff. It's

0:18:50.080 --> 0:18:54.879
<v Speaker 1>gonna be awful. Yeah. In another interview, um, he said,

0:18:55.280 --> 0:18:58.000
<v Speaker 1>I don't try to describe the future. I try to

0:18:58.119 --> 0:19:01.879
<v Speaker 1>prevent it. Well, I mean and end time. Now in

0:19:01.960 --> 0:19:03.520
<v Speaker 1>some of the books, and some of the books you

0:19:03.560 --> 0:19:05.159
<v Speaker 1>can see what he's saying, Like like in some of

0:19:05.200 --> 0:19:07.399
<v Speaker 1>his books, you understand exactly what the point is that

0:19:07.440 --> 0:19:09.400
<v Speaker 1>he's getting at, like like fair Knefe or fifty one.

0:19:09.400 --> 0:19:11.399
<v Speaker 1>You know, you look, you read that book and you realize, like,

0:19:12.080 --> 0:19:16.440
<v Speaker 1>this is a book that's warning us about anti intellectualism.

0:19:16.440 --> 0:19:22.240
<v Speaker 1>It's warning us about turning to things like television as

0:19:22.240 --> 0:19:26.879
<v Speaker 1>a source for information and entertainment and issuing the idea

0:19:27.040 --> 0:19:31.000
<v Speaker 1>of books which apparently magically make you think while television

0:19:31.040 --> 0:19:34.760
<v Speaker 1>magically makes you not think. I think that's oversimplification, but

0:19:35.160 --> 0:19:37.680
<v Speaker 1>you see the route he was going. Yeah, Well, and

0:19:37.880 --> 0:19:40.400
<v Speaker 1>we and we still have the concept kicking around today

0:19:40.480 --> 0:19:44.400
<v Speaker 1>that digital communication makes you a colder and more more

0:19:44.440 --> 0:19:48.159
<v Speaker 1>isolated than person to person communication does, although that's a

0:19:48.200 --> 0:19:50.480
<v Speaker 1>little bit that's that's a little bit prejudiced in that

0:19:50.520 --> 0:19:53.119
<v Speaker 1>it's not taking into account people who are bad at

0:19:53.119 --> 0:19:56.240
<v Speaker 1>in person communication, who have, you know, whatever kind of

0:19:56.400 --> 0:19:58.920
<v Speaker 1>anxiety or or inability to get out of the house

0:19:59.040 --> 0:20:03.680
<v Speaker 1>or etcetera, etcetera. And so it also ignores the trend

0:20:03.880 --> 0:20:07.680
<v Speaker 1>of urbanization where you get to a point where, uh,

0:20:07.760 --> 0:20:10.320
<v Speaker 1>you weren't growing up in a small a lot most

0:20:10.359 --> 0:20:12.520
<v Speaker 1>people these days, I should say most people are not

0:20:12.560 --> 0:20:15.920
<v Speaker 1>growing up in a small community where everyone knows everyone else.

0:20:15.960 --> 0:20:19.320
<v Speaker 1>In communication is pretty easy because you already know everybody,

0:20:19.680 --> 0:20:22.320
<v Speaker 1>and I mean that's you can't really get around it. Uh.

0:20:22.359 --> 0:20:24.159
<v Speaker 1>And then you get into an urban environment where you

0:20:24.320 --> 0:20:27.320
<v Speaker 1>may have potentially millions of people around you. There's no

0:20:27.359 --> 0:20:30.080
<v Speaker 1>way for you to know everybody, and so the people

0:20:30.160 --> 0:20:33.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, the people with whom you form relationships may

0:20:33.160 --> 0:20:36.960
<v Speaker 1>not be people you encounter all that frequently, unless you're

0:20:37.000 --> 0:20:40.200
<v Speaker 1>just hanging out with the people you work with or whatever. Uh.

0:20:40.280 --> 0:20:45.159
<v Speaker 1>So technology has allowed them to maintain these relationships in

0:20:45.200 --> 0:20:48.600
<v Speaker 1>a way that they couldn't necessarily do without it. There

0:20:48.640 --> 0:20:50.640
<v Speaker 1>was actually a comic strip I wish I could remember

0:20:51.280 --> 0:20:52.920
<v Speaker 1>who it was that drew this, I just one of

0:20:52.960 --> 0:20:54.399
<v Speaker 1>those things that you pop that pops up on a

0:20:54.440 --> 0:20:57.960
<v Speaker 1>Facebook timeline and I saw, but it was commentary on

0:20:58.080 --> 0:21:03.119
<v Speaker 1>that very idea. It shows for people on like a

0:21:03.119 --> 0:21:05.800
<v Speaker 1>subway train and they all have their phones out, and

0:21:05.840 --> 0:21:08.439
<v Speaker 1>then there's like the one the one version of the

0:21:08.440 --> 0:21:11.439
<v Speaker 1>thing saying people today, you know, they want to be

0:21:11.480 --> 0:21:13.359
<v Speaker 1>on their phones. They don't take the time to bother,

0:21:13.480 --> 0:21:16.359
<v Speaker 1>to communicate with each other, it's terrible. And then there's

0:21:16.359 --> 0:21:18.080
<v Speaker 1>a flip side of it where it shows what each

0:21:18.119 --> 0:21:20.440
<v Speaker 1>person is supposedly typing on their phone, and it's all

0:21:20.520 --> 0:21:23.080
<v Speaker 1>things like like I'm gonna be home soon, I miss you.

0:21:23.280 --> 0:21:26.800
<v Speaker 1>Like it's actual messages of love and support to people

0:21:26.840 --> 0:21:29.960
<v Speaker 1>that are meaningful to them. Uh, it's not that they

0:21:29.960 --> 0:21:31.879
<v Speaker 1>don't have any care for the strangers around them, but

0:21:31.920 --> 0:21:35.240
<v Speaker 1>they are communicating. They're just communicating to people who aren't

0:21:35.280 --> 0:21:37.640
<v Speaker 1>in that space at that time. And say, it's kind

0:21:37.640 --> 0:21:42.439
<v Speaker 1>of judgmental to make that broad statement. You could argue

0:21:42.480 --> 0:21:45.159
<v Speaker 1>that there are trends that perhaps are changing some of

0:21:45.240 --> 0:21:49.399
<v Speaker 1>our cultural values, but to make a like a flat

0:21:49.440 --> 0:21:53.800
<v Speaker 1>statement saying, you know, people care less now because they

0:21:53.840 --> 0:21:57.480
<v Speaker 1>aren't talking to each other in public, I think that's

0:21:58.080 --> 0:22:04.600
<v Speaker 1>overly simplifying the matter personally. Joe Joe thinks so too.

0:22:04.720 --> 0:22:09.119
<v Speaker 1>I'm thinking, I mean, I get it. Where like the

0:22:09.160 --> 0:22:11.600
<v Speaker 1>idea that you are, you can there are people who

0:22:11.680 --> 0:22:15.240
<v Speaker 1>use technology as a shield from interacting with others. We

0:22:15.280 --> 0:22:18.919
<v Speaker 1>do it here at work. You put on headphones, and

0:22:18.960 --> 0:22:21.080
<v Speaker 1>that tells everybody, even if you're not listening to anything,

0:22:21.080 --> 0:22:24.280
<v Speaker 1>it tells everybody. Hey. The main move I'm thinking of

0:22:24.440 --> 0:22:27.879
<v Speaker 1>is like you're out somewhere and you see somebody you

0:22:27.880 --> 0:22:30.040
<v Speaker 1>don't really want to talk to, so you pretend to

0:22:30.080 --> 0:22:33.119
<v Speaker 1>be doing something in your phone. Yeah. Yeah. Usually for me,

0:22:33.160 --> 0:22:35.560
<v Speaker 1>that's when I'm walking home and I just see someone

0:22:35.600 --> 0:22:38.399
<v Speaker 1>walking the opposite way towards me on the sidewalk, and

0:22:38.440 --> 0:22:41.040
<v Speaker 1>I'm just like, I don't want to have an interaction

0:22:41.040 --> 0:22:43.080
<v Speaker 1>with this human being. What can I do? Time to

0:22:43.160 --> 0:22:47.479
<v Speaker 1>pretend to send a text? I hate saying hello, Hello

0:22:47.600 --> 0:22:51.440
<v Speaker 1>is fine? Hello is fine. Having to have a five

0:22:51.480 --> 0:22:53.959
<v Speaker 1>minute conversation on why I don't want to buy your

0:22:54.040 --> 0:22:57.159
<v Speaker 1>John Wayne blue rays uh that I don't want to

0:22:57.160 --> 0:22:59.040
<v Speaker 1>have to do again just because I was wearing a

0:22:59.080 --> 0:23:04.359
<v Speaker 1>cowboy hat. That, by the way, true anecdote. Yeah, I

0:23:04.400 --> 0:23:07.600
<v Speaker 1>got some blue rays of John Wayne and like, Okay,

0:23:07.680 --> 0:23:08.960
<v Speaker 1>He's like, do you want to buy a Like no,

0:23:09.280 --> 0:23:14.480
<v Speaker 1>he's they're collector's items. Like still no. Like I first

0:23:14.480 --> 0:23:16.760
<v Speaker 1>of all, I could go into a very long conversation

0:23:16.800 --> 0:23:19.320
<v Speaker 1>with you about why physical media no longer holds any

0:23:19.359 --> 0:23:21.720
<v Speaker 1>sway with me, but that's beside the point I'm trying

0:23:21.720 --> 0:23:25.400
<v Speaker 1>to get home anyway. Anyway, I wanted to bring all

0:23:25.400 --> 0:23:28.560
<v Speaker 1>this up to just as an illustrative point of how

0:23:28.800 --> 0:23:33.800
<v Speaker 1>UM biased our perceptions of the future can be based

0:23:33.840 --> 0:23:38.920
<v Speaker 1>on what our current culture and current technological state UM

0:23:39.600 --> 0:23:42.359
<v Speaker 1>and and to kind of springboard off of that. Some

0:23:42.400 --> 0:23:45.240
<v Speaker 1>of my favorite predictions for the future predictions in big

0:23:45.240 --> 0:23:48.000
<v Speaker 1>Old scare quotes UM because they're their imaginings, really, since

0:23:48.040 --> 0:23:51.640
<v Speaker 1>their speculative fiction are UM like like really like grimy,

0:23:51.760 --> 0:23:55.080
<v Speaker 1>cyberpunk esque visions like like in the comic book series

0:23:55.080 --> 0:23:59.360
<v Speaker 1>trans Metropolitan UM by Warren Ellis and the artist Derrick Robertson,

0:23:59.560 --> 0:24:03.200
<v Speaker 1>or The Snow Crash, which is by Neil Stephenson UM.

0:24:03.240 --> 0:24:07.240
<v Speaker 1>And maybe maybe because I feel like things like that

0:24:07.280 --> 0:24:11.040
<v Speaker 1>are are are closer time wise and and feel more

0:24:11.080 --> 0:24:14.600
<v Speaker 1>realistic to me than than futurists kind of sweeping visions

0:24:14.600 --> 0:24:17.399
<v Speaker 1>about what's going to be going on? Um In In

0:24:17.480 --> 0:24:22.880
<v Speaker 1>stories like these, commercialism and personal interests are driving technology forward.

0:24:23.080 --> 0:24:26.040
<v Speaker 1>This this translates to booms and in wearable and implantable

0:24:26.040 --> 0:24:29.680
<v Speaker 1>technology that that keep us constantly connected. Uh. The the

0:24:29.680 --> 0:24:32.800
<v Speaker 1>the information industry in these stories rules the world not

0:24:32.880 --> 0:24:35.200
<v Speaker 1>too far off from where we are right now. Genetics

0:24:35.240 --> 0:24:38.800
<v Speaker 1>affords the characters upgrades and strength and resilience. UM can

0:24:38.840 --> 0:24:42.920
<v Speaker 1>even allow for like X Men style voluntary mutations UM.

0:24:43.160 --> 0:24:47.960
<v Speaker 1>And the lines between humans and their technology are are blurred.

0:24:48.200 --> 0:24:50.520
<v Speaker 1>Not not quite a race, so not not quite to

0:24:50.560 --> 0:24:52.879
<v Speaker 1>a point where you would call it the singularity, so

0:24:53.080 --> 0:24:55.520
<v Speaker 1>certainly not uh and probably not even as far as

0:24:55.560 --> 0:25:00.199
<v Speaker 1>trans humanism um. But but but bumping up against that

0:25:00.200 --> 0:25:04.680
<v Speaker 1>that thresholds somewhere in the squishy meat space before transprisa

0:25:05.119 --> 0:25:09.240
<v Speaker 1>UM and and all of these these changes and developments

0:25:09.800 --> 0:25:12.920
<v Speaker 1>results in really amazing things. You can you can pop

0:25:12.960 --> 0:25:17.240
<v Speaker 1>an anti cancer pill and just never get cancer. You

0:25:17.280 --> 0:25:20.679
<v Speaker 1>can you can spend your free time in vast and

0:25:20.760 --> 0:25:24.720
<v Speaker 1>beautiful and enriching virtual world. You can learn about anything

0:25:24.720 --> 0:25:27.719
<v Speaker 1>and everything that that whole Uh, what is it the

0:25:27.720 --> 0:25:31.560
<v Speaker 1>the rhetoric of the electrical sublime, that that's that sort

0:25:31.600 --> 0:25:35.560
<v Speaker 1>of thing. Um, but in these stories it also leads

0:25:35.680 --> 0:25:40.359
<v Speaker 1>to terrible things. Technology viral code can threaten your life

0:25:40.359 --> 0:25:46.280
<v Speaker 1>and your sanity. Um. Viral code not viruses. Yes, so

0:25:46.320 --> 0:25:48.320
<v Speaker 1>you can get a virus, but this is a computer virus.

0:25:48.320 --> 0:25:50.639
<v Speaker 1>It's it's a brain virus. It's a brain computer virus.

0:25:50.840 --> 0:25:54.480
<v Speaker 1>M most bodily upgrades in these stories that are considered

0:25:54.720 --> 0:25:58.120
<v Speaker 1>tacky or vain at best, and are mostly portrayed as

0:25:58.160 --> 0:26:02.320
<v Speaker 1>just being kind of grotesque. Personal privacy is a complete joke.

0:26:02.960 --> 0:26:05.400
<v Speaker 1>The lines between the upper and lower classes are even

0:26:05.440 --> 0:26:07.679
<v Speaker 1>more stark than they are today. So you've got like

0:26:07.720 --> 0:26:11.280
<v Speaker 1>the haves have way more and the have nots have nothing.

0:26:11.520 --> 0:26:13.800
<v Speaker 1>Sure and and furthermore that the poor in these stories

0:26:13.800 --> 0:26:17.359
<v Speaker 1>are being told that a virtual life should be enough. Ah.

0:26:17.400 --> 0:26:21.399
<v Speaker 1>So this is like the Chimney sweet poem, Like you

0:26:21.440 --> 0:26:24.040
<v Speaker 1>guys are you guys? I realized that your your real

0:26:24.119 --> 0:26:27.639
<v Speaker 1>world life is crappy, but if you just stick with it,

0:26:27.760 --> 0:26:32.080
<v Speaker 1>you're gonna have such a wonderful, wonderful existence afterward. That

0:26:32.160 --> 0:26:35.400
<v Speaker 1>was essentially the message of the Chimney sweep. Uh it's

0:26:35.440 --> 0:26:39.320
<v Speaker 1>a poem from the nineteenth century. In that case, they

0:26:39.320 --> 0:26:44.600
<v Speaker 1>were it was essentially the It was specifically criticizing a

0:26:44.720 --> 0:26:50.320
<v Speaker 1>very particular approach that some Christian ministers were taking when

0:26:50.320 --> 0:26:52.760
<v Speaker 1>they were talking to the poor, saying, you should just

0:26:52.800 --> 0:26:55.159
<v Speaker 1>accept your lot in life because if you if you

0:26:55.240 --> 0:26:56.800
<v Speaker 1>do that and you're a good person, you will be

0:26:56.840 --> 0:26:59.760
<v Speaker 1>rewarded in heaven. And the poet in this case was

0:26:59.800 --> 0:27:02.560
<v Speaker 1>our doing. You're saying this in order to preserve the

0:27:02.600 --> 0:27:05.719
<v Speaker 1>status quoe. You're not actually saying it because you believe

0:27:05.800 --> 0:27:08.399
<v Speaker 1>these people's souls are destined to heaven. You're saying it

0:27:08.440 --> 0:27:10.680
<v Speaker 1>because it's convenient to keeping these people where they are

0:27:10.680 --> 0:27:13.720
<v Speaker 1>in their social class. If you believe they're destined for heaven,

0:27:13.840 --> 0:27:16.640
<v Speaker 1>is that destiny dependent on them doing a good job?

0:27:16.680 --> 0:27:19.720
<v Speaker 1>As being a chimney sweep? Right? So, and furthermore, is

0:27:19.720 --> 0:27:21.800
<v Speaker 1>is that really a happy ending? Like? Is that a

0:27:21.920 --> 0:27:24.239
<v Speaker 1>nice thing? Well? And and here's the problem is that,

0:27:24.359 --> 0:27:27.919
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I remember studying this poem in college and uh,

0:27:28.080 --> 0:27:32.200
<v Speaker 1>it was a freshman or sophomore poetry class, which meant

0:27:32.280 --> 0:27:34.520
<v Speaker 1>that uh, and it's technically the chimney sweeper. It's a

0:27:34.520 --> 0:27:37.920
<v Speaker 1>William Blake poem. And so it was one of those

0:27:37.920 --> 0:27:43.600
<v Speaker 1>things where several of the students weren't aware of the

0:27:43.760 --> 0:27:46.359
<v Speaker 1>satirical nature of the poem. They were taking it at

0:27:46.359 --> 0:27:49.840
<v Speaker 1>face value and that was problematic, whereas it sounds like

0:27:49.880 --> 0:27:55.400
<v Speaker 1>this is probably a more apparent satire. Oh yeah, oh yeah.

0:27:55.400 --> 0:27:57.080
<v Speaker 1>It's it's not saying that this stuff is rad it's

0:27:57.080 --> 0:27:59.160
<v Speaker 1>saying that this is a potential problem of the future.

0:27:59.160 --> 0:28:01.680
<v Speaker 1>It's not quite a caut nary tale of technology. It's

0:28:01.680 --> 0:28:04.280
<v Speaker 1>more like a cautionary tale of society, of of like,

0:28:04.359 --> 0:28:08.159
<v Speaker 1>where given these things society could go, especially considering that

0:28:08.160 --> 0:28:10.520
<v Speaker 1>that with these stark divides between the rich and the poor,

0:28:11.080 --> 0:28:15.280
<v Speaker 1>conflict and violence are still thriving in opposition to something

0:28:15.400 --> 0:28:17.720
<v Speaker 1>something along the lines of like Star Trek, where you know,

0:28:17.760 --> 0:28:22.040
<v Speaker 1>certainly there's conflict with with other other alien races, but

0:28:22.240 --> 0:28:26.040
<v Speaker 1>within humanity everything's pretty much sorted out. Everyone's got their

0:28:26.080 --> 0:28:30.680
<v Speaker 1>basic needs met. They they are allowed to pursue any

0:28:30.720 --> 0:28:34.200
<v Speaker 1>type of activity they want, whether it's something that would

0:28:34.440 --> 0:28:37.320
<v Speaker 1>be described as a job or just you know, you

0:28:37.440 --> 0:28:40.600
<v Speaker 1>just want to I just want to sit and think. Fine, fine,

0:28:40.840 --> 0:28:45.360
<v Speaker 1>go ahead, do not think also fine? And and there

0:28:45.400 --> 0:28:50.360
<v Speaker 1>are still, in those sweepingly optimistic stories like Star Trek,

0:28:50.520 --> 0:28:53.560
<v Speaker 1>a little little side tales, side quests. If you will

0:28:53.600 --> 0:28:57.960
<v Speaker 1>about about particular groups of people who, for whatever reason

0:28:58.040 --> 0:29:00.600
<v Speaker 1>are being oppressed or or miss read it in some

0:29:00.640 --> 0:29:04.600
<v Speaker 1>way because I don't know why, but because maybe maybe

0:29:04.640 --> 0:29:10.080
<v Speaker 1>because we can't currently imagine a future without people being jerks. Well,

0:29:10.120 --> 0:29:13.400
<v Speaker 1>and dramatic necessity, Well, I mean, but that's what I'm saying, like, like,

0:29:13.520 --> 0:29:16.800
<v Speaker 1>does dramatic necessity mean that we like, like that is

0:29:16.840 --> 0:29:19.040
<v Speaker 1>the fact that a story is boring to us if

0:29:19.080 --> 0:29:22.000
<v Speaker 1>bad things aren't happening to people, Like, what does that

0:29:22.040 --> 0:29:24.640
<v Speaker 1>say about us? That you can't just tell a story

0:29:24.640 --> 0:29:27.440
<v Speaker 1>where everything is pleasant, there's never any conflict, and then

0:29:27.480 --> 0:29:30.760
<v Speaker 1>everything just ends fine. That seems like it's not a story. Well,

0:29:30.760 --> 0:29:32.920
<v Speaker 1>that's what that's That's kind of what Lauren's point is

0:29:32.920 --> 0:29:36.560
<v Speaker 1>is that without that conflict, we don't consider it a story. Well,

0:29:36.560 --> 0:29:39.959
<v Speaker 1>does that mean that at the very basic core of

0:29:40.000 --> 0:29:44.080
<v Speaker 1>being a human we need bad people and bad things

0:29:44.080 --> 0:29:47.400
<v Speaker 1>to happen in order to define, you know, to understand it.

0:29:48.000 --> 0:29:49.360
<v Speaker 1>I was I was thinking about this when you were

0:29:49.400 --> 0:29:53.400
<v Speaker 1>talking about Marconi's point about things like wireless technology making

0:29:53.440 --> 0:29:58.320
<v Speaker 1>things like war ridiculous, and and I found myself wondering

0:29:58.760 --> 0:30:03.440
<v Speaker 1>whether any technological thing could ever solve war or or

0:30:03.560 --> 0:30:06.680
<v Speaker 1>conflict or poverty, because it it does seem like at

0:30:06.720 --> 0:30:10.600
<v Speaker 1>this point in society at least, distrust and greed for

0:30:10.680 --> 0:30:12.880
<v Speaker 1>better or for worse are are are part of the

0:30:12.960 --> 0:30:15.200
<v Speaker 1>human experience. They're part of the fabric of our makeup.

0:30:15.680 --> 0:30:19.520
<v Speaker 1>And and maybe it's just one of those things that

0:30:19.640 --> 0:30:25.720
<v Speaker 1>I cannot imagine being different from our current perspective. Um,

0:30:25.760 --> 0:30:27.240
<v Speaker 1>And I don't I don't mean this to be a

0:30:27.280 --> 0:30:31.960
<v Speaker 1>downer note. It's actually an optimistic downer note because maybe

0:30:32.000 --> 0:30:36.000
<v Speaker 1>some unpredictable technology will come along that will solve energy

0:30:36.240 --> 0:30:40.760
<v Speaker 1>or solve empathy and um and lead to a kind

0:30:40.760 --> 0:30:44.520
<v Speaker 1>of utopia. Yeah. I don't know if I can ever

0:30:44.600 --> 0:30:48.600
<v Speaker 1>see a full utopia. I just see things. Uh. My

0:30:48.680 --> 0:30:52.360
<v Speaker 1>optimistic vision for the future is one of progressive solving

0:30:52.400 --> 0:30:57.040
<v Speaker 1>of small problems. In my optimistic view of the future

0:30:57.200 --> 0:31:02.200
<v Speaker 1>is that we get to a point air we've already

0:31:02.360 --> 0:31:05.080
<v Speaker 1>we've already reached the point where we can talk to

0:31:05.200 --> 0:31:08.520
<v Speaker 1>almost anybody that's continuing. Obviously, not everyone has access to

0:31:08.520 --> 0:31:11.240
<v Speaker 1>the internet, but that is that that the number of

0:31:11.240 --> 0:31:14.120
<v Speaker 1>people who don't have access to the Internet decreases every year.

0:31:15.200 --> 0:31:17.240
<v Speaker 1>My optimistic vision of the future is that we arrive

0:31:17.320 --> 0:31:20.200
<v Speaker 1>at a day where we're listening to everyone. We're no

0:31:20.240 --> 0:31:23.480
<v Speaker 1>longer just talking to everyone, but we can actually listen

0:31:23.640 --> 0:31:26.760
<v Speaker 1>and at least be able to have that conversation, which

0:31:26.960 --> 0:31:30.480
<v Speaker 1>you could argue it gets right back to that simplistic

0:31:30.520 --> 0:31:32.440
<v Speaker 1>notion of all sit down and talk it out and

0:31:32.480 --> 0:31:35.200
<v Speaker 1>everything will be fine, right. I mean, I'm not trying

0:31:35.200 --> 0:31:37.920
<v Speaker 1>to criticize you for this, but if you just take

0:31:37.960 --> 0:31:40.440
<v Speaker 1>that literally, just listen to everyone, well, a lot of

0:31:40.440 --> 0:31:42.360
<v Speaker 1>the people you're going to be listening to are going

0:31:42.400 --> 0:31:45.040
<v Speaker 1>to have some really stupid and hateful things to say.

0:31:45.080 --> 0:31:47.240
<v Speaker 1>But then if you ultimately get at the core of

0:31:47.360 --> 0:31:52.120
<v Speaker 1>why they say those things, you could perhaps address the

0:31:52.200 --> 0:31:55.280
<v Speaker 1>root issues that are that are producing this in the

0:31:55.280 --> 0:31:57.680
<v Speaker 1>first place. Unless you just come to the conclusion that

0:31:57.760 --> 0:32:01.400
<v Speaker 1>some people are inherently bad, which I have I have

0:32:01.440 --> 0:32:04.480
<v Speaker 1>a I have a problem with that idea, but I mean,

0:32:04.520 --> 0:32:06.920
<v Speaker 1>there's some people who certainly behave as if they are

0:32:06.960 --> 0:32:10.640
<v Speaker 1>inherently bad and give very little indication that they are otherwise.

0:32:10.920 --> 0:32:13.960
<v Speaker 1>But assuming that you don't buy into that that philosophy,

0:32:14.240 --> 0:32:18.000
<v Speaker 1>then you could say, let's look at the series of

0:32:19.040 --> 0:32:22.280
<v Speaker 1>events or the various uh components of the scenario that

0:32:22.320 --> 0:32:25.800
<v Speaker 1>are in place that have led to this behavior and

0:32:25.800 --> 0:32:28.400
<v Speaker 1>find out are there things that need to be addressed

0:32:28.880 --> 0:32:33.920
<v Speaker 1>so that people don't develop these ideas or thoughts or prejudices,

0:32:34.400 --> 0:32:38.160
<v Speaker 1>because I think more often than not it comes from

0:32:38.200 --> 0:32:43.520
<v Speaker 1>a place of putting blame on others for a situation

0:32:43.560 --> 0:32:47.240
<v Speaker 1>that you are in, whether it was justified or or not.

0:32:47.640 --> 0:32:49.440
<v Speaker 1>So in other words, you might say I'm not as

0:32:49.440 --> 0:32:52.680
<v Speaker 1>successful as I should be because those people over there

0:32:52.680 --> 0:32:56.600
<v Speaker 1>begin are given preferential treatment, or I am I should

0:32:56.640 --> 0:33:00.240
<v Speaker 1>be guaranteed the place where I'm at. Don't give that

0:33:00.360 --> 0:33:04.520
<v Speaker 1>other group the same sort of opportunities that I've had,

0:33:04.560 --> 0:33:07.120
<v Speaker 1>because then you're somehow taking away where I'm at, Like

0:33:07.160 --> 0:33:10.120
<v Speaker 1>you have to get to the bottom of where does that?

0:33:11.080 --> 0:33:13.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean you're talking about particularly you're talking about like

0:33:13.360 --> 0:33:16.560
<v Speaker 1>group prejudice or something. But there's also I mean, there

0:33:16.560 --> 0:33:19.520
<v Speaker 1>are lots of ways to have nothing good to contribute.

0:33:19.520 --> 0:33:21.720
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you can also just be like a sociopath

0:33:21.760 --> 0:33:25.480
<v Speaker 1>who hates people. Well, sure, but that's that's always going

0:33:25.560 --> 0:33:27.280
<v Speaker 1>to be the case, right There always going to be

0:33:27.600 --> 0:33:31.040
<v Speaker 1>sociopath unless we come up with h is it yeah,

0:33:31.080 --> 0:33:32.760
<v Speaker 1>maybe not. I mean I mean, if we come up

0:33:32.800 --> 0:33:36.240
<v Speaker 1>with a way of identifying it immediately. And then but

0:33:36.280 --> 0:33:38.000
<v Speaker 1>then you have a question of how do you deal

0:33:38.040 --> 0:33:39.920
<v Speaker 1>with that? Do you do something where you're making a

0:33:39.920 --> 0:33:45.360
<v Speaker 1>fundamental change to someone's uh neural, uh, you know, performance,

0:33:45.400 --> 0:33:47.920
<v Speaker 1>so that they are not going to be a sociopath?

0:33:48.240 --> 0:33:52.080
<v Speaker 1>At what point does that go way too freaking far? Right?

0:33:52.560 --> 0:33:54.320
<v Speaker 1>These are we did. We did a whole other very

0:33:54.320 --> 0:33:58.920
<v Speaker 1>long episodes like The Moral Moral Bio Enhancements. Yeah, so,

0:33:59.040 --> 0:34:01.680
<v Speaker 1>I mean they're always going to be outliers. I don't

0:34:01.720 --> 0:34:03.160
<v Speaker 1>think you're ever going to get a thing where it's

0:34:03.160 --> 0:34:06.800
<v Speaker 1>going to be universal. But I I at least not

0:34:06.920 --> 0:34:08.840
<v Speaker 1>that I necessarily think we're going to get to a

0:34:08.880 --> 0:34:12.360
<v Speaker 1>point where we're all listening to one another. But I

0:34:12.360 --> 0:34:15.239
<v Speaker 1>think we should always be striving to that right, that

0:34:15.280 --> 0:34:18.960
<v Speaker 1>should be our goal. Even if we have all concluded

0:34:19.000 --> 0:34:23.040
<v Speaker 1>that that goal will we will never be there. To me,

0:34:23.320 --> 0:34:25.960
<v Speaker 1>it's still something that we have to strive for if

0:34:26.000 --> 0:34:31.960
<v Speaker 1>we want to continue to improve as just humans. Yeah,

0:34:32.000 --> 0:34:34.040
<v Speaker 1>I guess the way I would interpret that, maybe what

0:34:34.160 --> 0:34:37.480
<v Speaker 1>you're saying is making a good faith attempt to understand

0:34:37.560 --> 0:34:41.640
<v Speaker 1>everyone else's point of view. Yeah, that's that's that's fair,

0:34:41.880 --> 0:34:45.200
<v Speaker 1>fair assessment. Yes, yeah, yeah, if we could have a

0:34:45.239 --> 0:34:48.920
<v Speaker 1>technology that would allow people to do that, and I

0:34:49.000 --> 0:34:51.320
<v Speaker 1>think so easily that it would come as second nature.

0:34:51.800 --> 0:34:54.000
<v Speaker 1>I think it's one of those I think it's one

0:34:54.040 --> 0:34:57.759
<v Speaker 1>of those things where perhaps, uh, we just get to

0:34:57.760 --> 0:35:00.160
<v Speaker 1>a point where we're able to switch the focus is

0:35:00.239 --> 0:35:03.560
<v Speaker 1>from the technological capability to more of all, right, let's

0:35:04.040 --> 0:35:07.080
<v Speaker 1>really address the social and cultural issues that are in

0:35:07.120 --> 0:35:10.280
<v Speaker 1>place that are allowing such things to foster and really

0:35:10.320 --> 0:35:12.640
<v Speaker 1>just have conversations about that and really talk about what

0:35:12.719 --> 0:35:16.840
<v Speaker 1>are the what are the various causes of this um

0:35:17.160 --> 0:35:19.319
<v Speaker 1>and what can we do about it? Like, are there

0:35:19.320 --> 0:35:21.480
<v Speaker 1>things that we can are there problems that we can

0:35:21.560 --> 0:35:24.799
<v Speaker 1>actually work on solving? Are there some things that are

0:35:24.840 --> 0:35:28.480
<v Speaker 1>really it's so you know, nebulous that there's not really

0:35:28.520 --> 0:35:31.160
<v Speaker 1>a way to solve it, and if so, what else

0:35:31.200 --> 0:35:34.840
<v Speaker 1>could we do? But then, to me, that's not talking

0:35:34.880 --> 0:35:38.640
<v Speaker 1>about the technology anymore. That's that's talking about people being

0:35:38.719 --> 0:35:43.560
<v Speaker 1>people um And And you know, maybe the technology allows

0:35:43.640 --> 0:35:47.520
<v Speaker 1>for greater conversations to happen, but the technology itself doesn't

0:35:48.080 --> 0:35:50.719
<v Speaker 1>doesn't actually make the change again unless we get that

0:35:50.960 --> 0:35:53.160
<v Speaker 1>good evil switch in everybody's head and you just make

0:35:53.200 --> 0:35:56.680
<v Speaker 1>sure everyone switched to good. Yeah, no, I I don't know.

0:35:56.719 --> 0:35:58.359
<v Speaker 1>I think that that's the That's the point about all

0:35:58.360 --> 0:36:01.040
<v Speaker 1>of these discussions of prediction for the future is that

0:36:01.440 --> 0:36:05.319
<v Speaker 1>whatever future technology we can imagine, people, as far as

0:36:05.360 --> 0:36:07.920
<v Speaker 1>I can personally discern, are are still going to be people.

0:36:08.560 --> 0:36:12.359
<v Speaker 1>Um And and it technology can slowly change the way

0:36:12.360 --> 0:36:14.480
<v Speaker 1>that we act, in the way that we interact, But

0:36:15.280 --> 0:36:18.319
<v Speaker 1>I don't think it changes us like intrinsically, I don't

0:36:18.360 --> 0:36:20.720
<v Speaker 1>think it does either. What I think it would allow

0:36:20.840 --> 0:36:26.240
<v Speaker 1>us to do is just, uh, again, be more aware

0:36:26.280 --> 0:36:31.240
<v Speaker 1>of what is going on beyond our our own selves. Um.

0:36:31.400 --> 0:36:33.920
<v Speaker 1>Whether that means that we care, that's kind of up

0:36:33.960 --> 0:36:36.640
<v Speaker 1>to the individual. Right. That's technology is not going to

0:36:36.719 --> 0:36:39.440
<v Speaker 1>magically make someone care if a person around on the

0:36:39.440 --> 0:36:42.160
<v Speaker 1>other side of the world is suffering or not, even

0:36:42.200 --> 0:36:46.000
<v Speaker 1>if they see really compelling evidence that that person is

0:36:46.040 --> 0:36:51.000
<v Speaker 1>indeed suffering. Um. But it it certainly, it certainly makes

0:36:51.000 --> 0:36:53.759
<v Speaker 1>more people aware of it. And that's at least the

0:36:53.840 --> 0:36:58.200
<v Speaker 1>first step toward getting something done, because if people are unaware,

0:36:58.239 --> 0:37:01.480
<v Speaker 1>then of course there's no they're not going to move

0:37:01.520 --> 0:37:05.719
<v Speaker 1>to action. Yeah, they can't act because they didn't know, right, So,

0:37:05.880 --> 0:37:10.160
<v Speaker 1>whether the ignorance was self imposed or not, Um, anyway,

0:37:10.160 --> 0:37:11.920
<v Speaker 1>these are This is exactly why we wanted to do

0:37:11.960 --> 0:37:14.160
<v Speaker 1>these episodes, right, to have these kind of conversations, to

0:37:14.200 --> 0:37:18.319
<v Speaker 1>talk about these big predictions and big ideas. And uh,

0:37:18.520 --> 0:37:20.360
<v Speaker 1>there's so many more we could have touched on, Like

0:37:20.440 --> 0:37:23.480
<v Speaker 1>we limited ourselves to just a couple each because we

0:37:23.560 --> 0:37:25.600
<v Speaker 1>knew We didn't know it was going to go over

0:37:25.640 --> 0:37:27.279
<v Speaker 1>to two episodes, but we knew it was going to

0:37:27.360 --> 0:37:30.080
<v Speaker 1>be a heck of a conversation. But we've got so

0:37:30.160 --> 0:37:32.399
<v Speaker 1>much more to say. You'll have to tune in next

0:37:32.400 --> 0:37:35.719
<v Speaker 1>week to hear our our thoughts. Uh, we've got a

0:37:35.800 --> 0:37:38.200
<v Speaker 1>very special episode coming up for you guys, so you

0:37:38.200 --> 0:37:41.680
<v Speaker 1>should tune into that. And um, guys, it's been great.

0:37:41.680 --> 0:37:44.320
<v Speaker 1>If you want to check us out on Facebook or Twitter,

0:37:44.480 --> 0:37:47.520
<v Speaker 1>we are FW thinking. All were on Twitter. Search fw

0:37:47.600 --> 0:37:50.480
<v Speaker 1>thinking on Facebook. Our profile page will pop up and

0:37:50.520 --> 0:37:59.280
<v Speaker 1>we will talk to you again really soon on this topic.

0:37:59.320 --> 0:38:13.440
<v Speaker 1>In the future of technology, visit forward Thinking dot Com,

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<v Speaker 1>brought to you by Toyota. Let's go places