1 00:00:01,080 --> 00:00:05,240 Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show. 2 00:00:05,559 --> 00:00:09,160 Speaker 1: We are roughly forty eight hours away from injecting college 3 00:00:09,200 --> 00:00:13,160 Speaker 1: football back into our veins by way of the Conference Championships. 4 00:00:13,360 --> 00:00:16,800 Speaker 1: Today we make our official week fifteen picks and predictions. 5 00:00:17,079 --> 00:00:19,160 Speaker 1: I'm your host, Seth Wilcock, coming to you from the 6 00:00:19,200 --> 00:00:23,480 Speaker 1: beautiful state of Pennsylvania that will be buzzin' on Saturday night. 7 00:00:23,680 --> 00:00:26,320 Speaker 1: I'm joined by a man who probably bought the entire 8 00:00:26,400 --> 00:00:29,520 Speaker 1: bar around last night when he got news that Miami 9 00:00:29,760 --> 00:00:32,559 Speaker 1: was on the outside looking in of the college football 10 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:36,000 Speaker 1: playoffs to rel Furman Junior, what's up, brother? Are you 11 00:00:36,080 --> 00:00:38,680 Speaker 1: ready for Conference championship weekend? And what was the drink 12 00:00:38,680 --> 00:00:39,519 Speaker 1: you bought everybody? 13 00:00:40,479 --> 00:00:44,160 Speaker 2: Uh? No, Actually I was very very upset. Now. Did 14 00:00:44,200 --> 00:00:49,800 Speaker 2: I celebrate a Syracuse money line ticket? Absolutely, But this 15 00:00:50,000 --> 00:00:54,000 Speaker 2: was bittersweet and heavy on the heart because they have 16 00:00:54,120 --> 00:00:57,920 Speaker 2: announced and they said that Miami has virtually no shot 17 00:00:58,080 --> 00:01:01,480 Speaker 2: to make it, and it is very very outside in 18 00:01:02,040 --> 00:01:04,520 Speaker 2: and that hurts my feelings because I would have loved 19 00:01:04,640 --> 00:01:06,399 Speaker 2: one more opportunity to fakest all. 20 00:01:07,760 --> 00:01:10,080 Speaker 3: You'll get a bowl game and everybody will transfer. 21 00:01:11,880 --> 00:01:14,440 Speaker 2: I hope the bowl doesn't mess up the mojo that's 22 00:01:14,480 --> 00:01:17,880 Speaker 2: going on there kicking the field goal down twenty one. 23 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:21,959 Speaker 2: Appreciate you. Appreciate you for just doing whatever you can 24 00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:25,240 Speaker 2: to make sure that we make a lot of money. 25 00:01:25,319 --> 00:01:30,679 Speaker 2: And in a weekend where Texas let me down, that Miami, 26 00:01:31,040 --> 00:01:33,480 Speaker 2: Miami always is there to lift me back up. And 27 00:01:33,560 --> 00:01:36,480 Speaker 2: it's great. By the way, Ohio State, I have to 28 00:01:36,480 --> 00:01:40,400 Speaker 2: say really quick, really really quick, this playoff. I love 29 00:01:40,480 --> 00:01:43,640 Speaker 2: the twelve team playoff, but the fact that Ohio State 30 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:46,360 Speaker 2: can be rewarded with a bye week and then a 31 00:01:46,440 --> 00:01:50,520 Speaker 2: home playoff game for losing to Michigan is absurd. They're 32 00:01:50,520 --> 00:01:51,760 Speaker 2: not getting absurd. 33 00:01:52,520 --> 00:01:54,000 Speaker 3: You're just talking about they don't have to play in 34 00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:54,800 Speaker 3: the conference side. 35 00:01:54,800 --> 00:01:56,000 Speaker 2: They don't have to play in a conference ship. 36 00:01:56,000 --> 00:01:57,480 Speaker 3: But that's a week but they don't have to play, 37 00:01:57,480 --> 00:02:00,200 Speaker 3: but they don't get a bye week in the tourney. 38 00:02:00,040 --> 00:02:01,440 Speaker 3: They're gonna have to play a game. 39 00:02:01,720 --> 00:02:04,560 Speaker 2: That's fine, They've got a week off to prepare for 40 00:02:04,600 --> 00:02:07,920 Speaker 2: the first round of the playoffs. Like this is absolutely 41 00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:12,400 Speaker 2: ridiculous that you can play that abysmal game and still lose. 42 00:02:12,760 --> 00:02:14,800 Speaker 2: And Ryan Day I know that he just sees the 43 00:02:14,800 --> 00:02:17,600 Speaker 2: Grim Reaper standing at his door, Like yep, they are 44 00:02:17,720 --> 00:02:19,760 Speaker 2: sure getting me out of here as soon as this 45 00:02:19,840 --> 00:02:22,320 Speaker 2: playoff run is done. Might have to try to win 46 00:02:22,320 --> 00:02:25,079 Speaker 2: the NADDY because I'm about to get fired. 47 00:02:25,600 --> 00:02:28,560 Speaker 1: It's hey, it's tough. But they do have two wins 48 00:02:28,560 --> 00:02:30,919 Speaker 1: against teams ranked inside the top twelve, so I think 49 00:02:30,960 --> 00:02:35,079 Speaker 1: that's why they are getting that first round home playoff 50 00:02:35,120 --> 00:02:37,560 Speaker 1: game there. We're also linking up today with our college 51 00:02:37,600 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 1: football betting confident, Scott bogmin Bugs. How are you feeling 52 00:02:41,440 --> 00:02:43,720 Speaker 1: midweek as the dust has settled a little bit. 53 00:02:44,160 --> 00:02:46,200 Speaker 3: I mean, I'm still feeling as good as I felt 54 00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:50,680 Speaker 3: on sad. Beating A and M is excellent. Being able 55 00:02:50,760 --> 00:02:55,320 Speaker 3: to gloat in Trell's face is excellent as well. The 56 00:02:55,360 --> 00:02:58,919 Speaker 3: SEC title game that A and M has had thirteen 57 00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:02,040 Speaker 3: years to get to it has not made it. And 58 00:03:02,120 --> 00:03:03,760 Speaker 3: you know, the Longhorns get there. 59 00:03:03,760 --> 00:03:05,959 Speaker 2: And Sis did it win one. They did it win. 60 00:03:05,880 --> 00:03:10,240 Speaker 3: Boston year number one one, and they can win the 61 00:03:10,280 --> 00:03:13,600 Speaker 3: SEC title game. We have all I mean, the Sun 62 00:03:13,639 --> 00:03:15,600 Speaker 3: Devils can win the Big twelve in their first year. 63 00:03:15,919 --> 00:03:19,440 Speaker 3: SMU Mustangs can win the ACC in their first year. 64 00:03:19,639 --> 00:03:22,440 Speaker 3: The Oregon Ducks can win it in their first year 65 00:03:23,000 --> 00:03:26,040 Speaker 3: in the conference title game. So yeah, lots of first year, 66 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:28,040 Speaker 3: which is going to be a lot of fun to discuss. 67 00:03:28,120 --> 00:03:31,040 Speaker 3: But I mean, come on, you know, getting a chance 68 00:03:31,080 --> 00:03:34,720 Speaker 3: to not only win the SEC but also get a 69 00:03:34,760 --> 00:03:37,360 Speaker 3: little payback on the one team that beat you, I 70 00:03:37,400 --> 00:03:39,760 Speaker 3: think is all the Texas can ask for at this point. 71 00:03:39,800 --> 00:03:42,720 Speaker 2: So I'm happy Cam. Did you see that shade he 72 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:45,480 Speaker 2: started off with Arizona State? You saw how you did that? 73 00:03:45,800 --> 00:03:47,400 Speaker 4: Hey, that's all right, that's all right. 74 00:03:47,640 --> 00:03:49,760 Speaker 1: I will say this, gentlemen, it is a great time 75 00:03:49,800 --> 00:03:51,600 Speaker 1: to be a college football fan. It's a great time 76 00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:54,440 Speaker 1: to cover this sport on this program every single week 77 00:03:54,480 --> 00:03:55,040 Speaker 1: with you. 78 00:03:55,080 --> 00:03:56,440 Speaker 4: There's so many different debates. 79 00:03:56,480 --> 00:03:59,600 Speaker 1: Everyone on the internet is fired up and and sending 80 00:03:59,640 --> 00:04:02,840 Speaker 1: out their resumes. It's great. It's fun to see. I 81 00:04:02,840 --> 00:04:05,400 Speaker 1: don't think there's ever been a higher interest in the sports. 82 00:04:05,400 --> 00:04:08,360 Speaker 1: So we're thankful for everyone who watches and listens us 83 00:04:08,400 --> 00:04:10,720 Speaker 1: talk about it every single week. If you are here 84 00:04:10,760 --> 00:04:13,600 Speaker 1: on YouTube, please let us know who's your favorite bet 85 00:04:13,600 --> 00:04:16,840 Speaker 1: four week fifteen in the Conference Championships. And while you're here, 86 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:19,680 Speaker 1: please like this video if you enjoyed it, and subscribe 87 00:04:19,680 --> 00:04:21,880 Speaker 1: if you are new. And before we jump in, I 88 00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:25,320 Speaker 1: did want to remind everybody about the Betting Pros Discord. 89 00:04:25,560 --> 00:04:28,000 Speaker 1: Looking to up your game in sports betting well, then 90 00:04:28,080 --> 00:04:31,760 Speaker 1: join our exclusive sports betting Discord community at bettingpros dot 91 00:04:31,760 --> 00:04:34,960 Speaker 1: com slash Chat. Not only can you connect with some 92 00:04:35,040 --> 00:04:39,760 Speaker 1: expert handicappers who provide free picks for the NBA, the NFL, MLB, 93 00:04:40,120 --> 00:04:43,000 Speaker 1: NHL player props, live betting, and more, but now you 94 00:04:43,040 --> 00:04:46,240 Speaker 1: can also participate in our weekly community picks. Cast your 95 00:04:46,320 --> 00:04:48,880 Speaker 1: vote and see how your picks stack up against the 96 00:04:48,920 --> 00:04:53,120 Speaker 1: experts and track your success today. The action starts on 97 00:04:53,200 --> 00:04:56,960 Speaker 1: Friday in Jacksonville, Alabama, where the spread is tightened in 98 00:04:57,000 --> 00:05:01,120 Speaker 1: the Conference USA championship game the Jacksonville State game Cocks. 99 00:05:01,160 --> 00:05:03,440 Speaker 1: They are now favored by just three and a half 100 00:05:03,640 --> 00:05:07,680 Speaker 1: over the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. WKU will be without the 101 00:05:07,760 --> 00:05:11,040 Speaker 1: services of starting tight end River Helms. He was more 102 00:05:11,040 --> 00:05:13,839 Speaker 1: of a blocking tight end than a big time receiving option, 103 00:05:13,960 --> 00:05:17,719 Speaker 1: though Jacksonville State starting quarterback Tyler Huff will be a 104 00:05:17,760 --> 00:05:20,599 Speaker 1: game time decision. This dude is a dual threat weapon, 105 00:05:20,839 --> 00:05:24,279 Speaker 1: rushing for nearly twelve hundred yards and thirteen touchdowns on 106 00:05:24,400 --> 00:05:28,040 Speaker 1: the season. BP projections think this should be closer to 107 00:05:28,080 --> 00:05:30,640 Speaker 1: a two point line, but it's still not showing any 108 00:05:30,720 --> 00:05:33,880 Speaker 1: expected value on the spread. However, we are seeing some 109 00:05:34,000 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 1: value on the fifty seven and a half point total. 110 00:05:37,160 --> 00:05:40,240 Speaker 1: Going over, where do you like in this game trail? 111 00:05:40,279 --> 00:05:41,279 Speaker 4: Where are you putting your money? 112 00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:44,400 Speaker 2: Yeah? I'm rolling with rich Rod here. I think this 113 00:05:44,480 --> 00:05:46,560 Speaker 2: is a really nice spot get up for them. For 114 00:05:46,680 --> 00:05:48,320 Speaker 2: rich Rod, I think that they played it very very 115 00:05:48,440 --> 00:05:52,080 Speaker 2: vanilla in terms of that last game out and they 116 00:05:52,160 --> 00:05:54,719 Speaker 2: knew they were in the conference championship. Western Kentucky had 117 00:05:54,760 --> 00:05:57,400 Speaker 2: everything to play for, and it still took a last 118 00:05:57,400 --> 00:05:59,000 Speaker 2: second field goal for them to be able to get 119 00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:01,040 Speaker 2: that done. Sure, I like rich Rod to come in 120 00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:03,080 Speaker 2: here and open up the offense a lot. And I 121 00:06:03,080 --> 00:06:05,520 Speaker 2: think this is also rich Rods setting a statement and 122 00:06:05,640 --> 00:06:07,800 Speaker 2: that I think that he's on the short list for 123 00:06:07,839 --> 00:06:10,279 Speaker 2: a couple of coaching opportunities coming up in the future, 124 00:06:10,560 --> 00:06:13,000 Speaker 2: and this could be the nail in the coffin of Hey, 125 00:06:13,080 --> 00:06:14,560 Speaker 2: let's go ahead and get rich Rod out of here 126 00:06:14,600 --> 00:06:16,440 Speaker 2: and put them back in Power five. So I like 127 00:06:16,520 --> 00:06:17,920 Speaker 2: rich Rod be able to get it done. 128 00:06:18,160 --> 00:06:21,000 Speaker 1: Okay, how do you feel about Bogs? I have heard 129 00:06:21,200 --> 00:06:23,400 Speaker 1: from some of my friends who are West Virginia fans 130 00:06:23,400 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 1: that they wouldn't mind bringing rich Rod back down there 131 00:06:26,040 --> 00:06:29,799 Speaker 1: to Moriontown. Your thoughts on this game in particular, though, Yeah. 132 00:06:29,600 --> 00:06:33,240 Speaker 3: I'm with Terrell. I think that you know, initially we 133 00:06:33,279 --> 00:06:35,640 Speaker 3: thought that Tyler Huff was going to be out, but 134 00:06:35,680 --> 00:06:38,280 Speaker 3: he's now a game time decision, so there's a possibility 135 00:06:38,560 --> 00:06:41,800 Speaker 3: they keep their starting quarterback. And like Terrell said, I 136 00:06:42,040 --> 00:06:44,479 Speaker 3: think they're going to roll Downhill. They're playing at home, 137 00:06:45,080 --> 00:06:47,520 Speaker 3: they can open it up a little bit more because 138 00:06:47,600 --> 00:06:51,240 Speaker 3: they were probably playing, you know, just not showing their 139 00:06:51,320 --> 00:06:53,239 Speaker 3: hand too much in that game because they had already 140 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:55,400 Speaker 3: locked their spot up. And I know money is flowing 141 00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:58,080 Speaker 3: on the under, but WK, you put up four hundred 142 00:06:58,120 --> 00:06:59,640 Speaker 3: and twenty six yards. He just didn't put a lot 143 00:06:59,640 --> 00:07:01,599 Speaker 3: of points up on the board last week. So I 144 00:07:01,600 --> 00:07:03,400 Speaker 3: think both these teams will be able to move the ball. 145 00:07:03,640 --> 00:07:05,760 Speaker 3: I do like the over, but my pick is going 146 00:07:05,800 --> 00:07:09,120 Speaker 3: to be laying the points and taking Jacksonville State sco 147 00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:09,680 Speaker 3: Ris Rod. 148 00:07:09,840 --> 00:07:13,400 Speaker 1: Okay, we've had some major line movement in the AAC 149 00:07:13,640 --> 00:07:16,960 Speaker 1: Championship where the twenty fourth ranked Army Black Knights they've 150 00:07:17,000 --> 00:07:19,800 Speaker 1: now moved to six point home dogs against the two 151 00:07:19,920 --> 00:07:23,440 Speaker 1: lane Green Wave. No injuries to report for either side, 152 00:07:23,600 --> 00:07:25,960 Speaker 1: but it's gonna be frosty up there in West Point 153 00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:30,200 Speaker 1: approximately twenty seven degrees on Friday night at kickoff. Could 154 00:07:30,200 --> 00:07:32,560 Speaker 1: that spell trouble for a two lane team based in 155 00:07:32,600 --> 00:07:35,880 Speaker 1: New Orleans. Well, the BP projections they do think that's 156 00:07:35,920 --> 00:07:38,960 Speaker 1: the case, show and clear value on Army, indicating this 157 00:07:39,000 --> 00:07:41,000 Speaker 1: should be closer to a one point line. 158 00:07:41,160 --> 00:07:42,880 Speaker 4: Bogs, are you still thinking the same. 159 00:07:43,320 --> 00:07:47,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm you know. I have not been on the 160 00:07:48,040 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 3: Army or Navy side a lot this season, but in 161 00:07:51,520 --> 00:07:55,480 Speaker 3: this game, an American, in this game, we're gonna support 162 00:07:55,520 --> 00:07:58,560 Speaker 3: the troops. I just can't get past the two lane offense. 163 00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:02,440 Speaker 3: And when I saw Memphis due to them, Tulane rolled Navy. 164 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:07,520 Speaker 3: But again, Blake Corvatt, the Navy quarterback, went down fifteen 165 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:10,560 Speaker 3: snaps into that game. They're playing with a backup. This 166 00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:12,600 Speaker 3: game is gonna be won or lost by the Army 167 00:08:12,640 --> 00:08:16,040 Speaker 3: offensive line. Tulane buries them like Notre Dame did. This 168 00:08:16,080 --> 00:08:18,160 Speaker 3: is gonna be over quickly, and I'm gonna be very wrong, 169 00:08:18,520 --> 00:08:20,880 Speaker 3: but if they can push the line, they're gonna be 170 00:08:20,880 --> 00:08:23,200 Speaker 3: able to play in this game. And I do think 171 00:08:23,240 --> 00:08:26,000 Speaker 3: that Tulane is gonna be able to score on Army. 172 00:08:25,800 --> 00:08:28,920 Speaker 3: They've scored on pretty much everybody here, and I'm not 173 00:08:29,040 --> 00:08:33,520 Speaker 3: questioning that. But what I do question is how is 174 00:08:33,559 --> 00:08:35,800 Speaker 3: Tulane gonna play in the cold. It's gonna be twenty 175 00:08:35,840 --> 00:08:39,040 Speaker 3: six and a half degrees at West Point at kickoff here. 176 00:08:39,040 --> 00:08:41,520 Speaker 3: It's gonna be a cold game. Army is gonna get 177 00:08:41,520 --> 00:08:43,920 Speaker 3: some momentum running the ball, and I think they're going 178 00:08:44,000 --> 00:08:46,520 Speaker 3: to control the clock because of it. Both these teams 179 00:08:46,559 --> 00:08:50,080 Speaker 3: play at a fairly slow pace. And Darien Menza is 180 00:08:50,240 --> 00:08:53,360 Speaker 3: just he's still young, He's still inconsistent, which means we 181 00:08:53,400 --> 00:08:56,400 Speaker 3: can get an insane game from him here where he 182 00:08:56,480 --> 00:08:58,520 Speaker 3: leads to Lane to victory and it's not very close, 183 00:08:58,880 --> 00:09:00,840 Speaker 3: or we can see him make some stakes that young 184 00:09:00,880 --> 00:09:07,520 Speaker 3: men make, and especially in a weird environment cold. I 185 00:09:07,640 --> 00:09:09,800 Speaker 3: just I don't really like those boys from New Orleans 186 00:09:09,800 --> 00:09:14,320 Speaker 3: heading up to you know, northern New York to face 187 00:09:14,400 --> 00:09:16,760 Speaker 3: this game in the cold. So give me the Army. 188 00:09:16,800 --> 00:09:19,720 Speaker 3: I'm supporting the troops. I'm American this week, Terrell. 189 00:09:19,840 --> 00:09:20,760 Speaker 4: How do you feel about it? 190 00:09:20,800 --> 00:09:23,400 Speaker 1: I feel like the one thing going into Lane's favor 191 00:09:23,600 --> 00:09:26,079 Speaker 1: is that this is familiar territory, right like they are 192 00:09:26,120 --> 00:09:30,200 Speaker 1: in the AAC Championship quite frequently as of late, so 193 00:09:30,840 --> 00:09:33,679 Speaker 1: they are familiar with this type of setting. However, six 194 00:09:33,720 --> 00:09:36,040 Speaker 1: points for Army, that's starting to look like a pretty 195 00:09:36,080 --> 00:09:36,559 Speaker 1: good number. 196 00:09:37,280 --> 00:09:39,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, definitely what I think Army is also going to 197 00:09:39,200 --> 00:09:41,480 Speaker 2: control time and possession as well with all the runs 198 00:09:41,520 --> 00:09:43,280 Speaker 2: that they're going to be doing. I think that they're 199 00:09:43,280 --> 00:09:46,360 Speaker 2: going to play smash mount football. This is the atmosphere 200 00:09:46,400 --> 00:09:48,760 Speaker 2: of football. The only people that are in the stands 201 00:09:48,760 --> 00:09:51,679 Speaker 2: are Army lovers and football lovers because this is going 202 00:09:51,760 --> 00:09:56,480 Speaker 2: to be cold hitting, very very physical game and I 203 00:09:56,480 --> 00:09:57,959 Speaker 2: don't know if Sulane is going to be able to 204 00:09:58,000 --> 00:10:00,680 Speaker 2: step up to that challenge. And plus are me kind 205 00:10:00,720 --> 00:10:02,520 Speaker 2: of has a lot to play for. I'm not saying 206 00:10:02,520 --> 00:10:04,840 Speaker 2: that they're gonna have a they don't have a shot 207 00:10:04,880 --> 00:10:06,760 Speaker 2: at the playoff. But if you sit there and you 208 00:10:06,800 --> 00:10:09,200 Speaker 2: want to make the committee make a decision, go out 209 00:10:09,200 --> 00:10:11,480 Speaker 2: here and look dominant in this game and let something 210 00:10:11,520 --> 00:10:14,600 Speaker 2: happen to Boise in that Mountain West game. So yeah, 211 00:10:14,640 --> 00:10:16,560 Speaker 2: I think that we'll talk about that one in a second. 212 00:10:16,559 --> 00:10:19,559 Speaker 2: But I love Army in this spot. I think defensively 213 00:10:19,640 --> 00:10:21,880 Speaker 2: that they're gonna be really really good. They've looked really 214 00:10:21,920 --> 00:10:24,240 Speaker 2: really solid against the past for majority of the year. 215 00:10:24,800 --> 00:10:27,920 Speaker 2: And this is where Army handles business and just slowly, 216 00:10:28,080 --> 00:10:31,080 Speaker 2: slowly gets a nice, ugly win here, and then it's 217 00:10:31,120 --> 00:10:34,720 Speaker 2: on to you know, those guys in the Navy next week, 218 00:10:34,840 --> 00:10:37,600 Speaker 2: so we'll be enjoying that one as well. They can 219 00:10:37,640 --> 00:10:39,520 Speaker 2: throw the ball this year with Daily as well. I 220 00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:41,200 Speaker 2: think Daily is going to be the key to the game, 221 00:10:41,320 --> 00:10:44,200 Speaker 2: him being able to complete passes and keep that triple 222 00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:47,400 Speaker 2: option going. I love Army here. This is wrong ting 223 00:10:47,440 --> 00:10:48,040 Speaker 2: favorite Army. 224 00:10:49,200 --> 00:10:52,319 Speaker 3: I don't know about that. I think it's but if 225 00:10:52,320 --> 00:10:55,280 Speaker 3: you're I'm still seeing at four. I do see a 226 00:10:55,320 --> 00:10:57,560 Speaker 3: five and a half in some books. I'm not seeing 227 00:10:57,600 --> 00:10:58,720 Speaker 3: the six here, Seth. 228 00:10:58,760 --> 00:11:01,760 Speaker 4: But ESPN bet is yes at six. 229 00:11:01,960 --> 00:11:02,240 Speaker 1: Wow. 230 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:04,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, if I can get six, I'm going after that 231 00:11:05,200 --> 00:11:05,880 Speaker 3: all at home. 232 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:07,720 Speaker 2: I do not think that tou lane should be favorite. 233 00:11:07,760 --> 00:11:09,679 Speaker 2: I think this should be at least minus two and 234 00:11:09,720 --> 00:11:10,280 Speaker 2: a half Army. 235 00:11:10,320 --> 00:11:13,240 Speaker 1: Okay, well, maybe maybe a couple of wind margin options 236 00:11:13,320 --> 00:11:14,559 Speaker 1: or some teaser value. 237 00:11:14,600 --> 00:11:17,440 Speaker 2: There's a Friday night, come on, Seth, Friday night dogs. 238 00:11:17,520 --> 00:11:20,480 Speaker 1: I'll tell you this. I'm only about three three hours 239 00:11:20,520 --> 00:11:23,120 Speaker 1: away from West Point, so maybe even a little live 240 00:11:23,160 --> 00:11:24,319 Speaker 1: stream reaction. 241 00:11:24,080 --> 00:11:26,680 Speaker 4: Maybe we could get. 242 00:11:26,760 --> 00:11:28,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, let's go. 243 00:11:28,520 --> 00:11:31,280 Speaker 1: I think I'd have to make some really strong hot chocolate, 244 00:11:31,320 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 1: put a little khalua in there to keep myself form. 245 00:11:33,559 --> 00:11:37,720 Speaker 2: But uh, I'll pay for a drink for it. 246 00:11:38,600 --> 00:11:39,720 Speaker 3: Got to keep the man warm. 247 00:11:40,240 --> 00:11:41,400 Speaker 4: Yeah, I didn't think I. 248 00:11:41,400 --> 00:11:43,120 Speaker 1: I was trying to find a way to get invested 249 00:11:43,120 --> 00:11:46,000 Speaker 1: it on Friday Night and I've been looking all week. 250 00:11:46,440 --> 00:11:47,240 Speaker 4: I think this is it. 251 00:11:47,360 --> 00:11:49,760 Speaker 1: I have access to ESPN, bet, I got a little 252 00:11:49,840 --> 00:11:52,040 Speaker 1: jingle in there, so I think this is where I'll go. 253 00:11:52,080 --> 00:11:53,640 Speaker 1: I think I'll ride with you a little Friday Night 254 00:11:53,720 --> 00:11:54,160 Speaker 1: dog for you. 255 00:11:54,320 --> 00:11:55,720 Speaker 4: Wrong with with the boys. 256 00:11:56,240 --> 00:11:58,600 Speaker 1: Rounding out the Friday Night slate though, is the tenth 257 00:11:58,679 --> 00:12:02,120 Speaker 1: ranked Boise State Bronco those who've settled as four point 258 00:12:02,160 --> 00:12:06,000 Speaker 1: favorites against the nineteenth rank ULV Rebels. It's a clean 259 00:12:06,040 --> 00:12:09,319 Speaker 1: bill of health for Barry Odin's ReBs and also the Broncos. 260 00:12:09,920 --> 00:12:13,720 Speaker 1: It's also gonna be cold in this game, just below freezing. 261 00:12:13,600 --> 00:12:15,280 Speaker 4: On the blue turf. Boise. 262 00:12:15,679 --> 00:12:17,920 Speaker 1: They beat you and LV by five on the road 263 00:12:17,960 --> 00:12:20,720 Speaker 1: earlier this season, and that's right where the BP projections 264 00:12:21,000 --> 00:12:23,559 Speaker 1: think this line should be. So we are seeing some 265 00:12:23,600 --> 00:12:26,960 Speaker 1: slight value on Boise and massive value on the over. 266 00:12:27,320 --> 00:12:29,439 Speaker 1: Will you be backing either of these place trell A, 267 00:12:29,480 --> 00:12:30,680 Speaker 1: You're going a different direction. 268 00:12:31,679 --> 00:12:34,400 Speaker 2: Oh. I mean as much as I would love Chaos 269 00:12:34,880 --> 00:12:37,480 Speaker 2: and Boise to lose this game, and they really have 270 00:12:37,600 --> 00:12:39,960 Speaker 2: to make a decision about Army if Army were to 271 00:12:40,000 --> 00:12:42,480 Speaker 2: win out and win against Navy, and really really have 272 00:12:42,559 --> 00:12:44,360 Speaker 2: to make a decision about if they were gonna move 273 00:12:44,559 --> 00:12:48,320 Speaker 2: Army up into the playoff as a non Power five 274 00:12:48,360 --> 00:12:53,520 Speaker 2: conference champion. Yeah, I can't do it. Boise doesn't lose 275 00:12:53,559 --> 00:12:55,960 Speaker 2: at home, man, Like how many times have they lost 276 00:12:56,040 --> 00:12:59,080 Speaker 2: year at home? And you know the past decade, Like 277 00:12:59,120 --> 00:13:01,480 Speaker 2: they're really really tough team at home. You got this 278 00:13:01,679 --> 00:13:05,800 Speaker 2: UNLV squad coming from their nice comfy dome into this 279 00:13:05,920 --> 00:13:11,560 Speaker 2: boisey ugly weather. And I think Ashton GenZ has a 280 00:13:11,800 --> 00:13:15,440 Speaker 2: point to prove in this game, particularly because UNLV was 281 00:13:15,480 --> 00:13:17,240 Speaker 2: one of the only teams that was really able to 282 00:13:17,280 --> 00:13:19,960 Speaker 2: slow him down this season. And I think he's like, no, 283 00:13:20,480 --> 00:13:23,680 Speaker 2: I deserve to be Heisman looking at these numbers. I 284 00:13:23,800 --> 00:13:26,400 Speaker 2: understand that Travis Hunter plays two positions and he plays 285 00:13:26,400 --> 00:13:29,360 Speaker 2: them pretty well, But I think Ashton Jeenie says I 286 00:13:29,400 --> 00:13:32,520 Speaker 2: deserve to be Heisman. And this is a huge Ashton 287 00:13:32,600 --> 00:13:36,240 Speaker 2: GenZ game. In the cold, bringing that Dome team outside. 288 00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:38,640 Speaker 2: I think Hodjmaleak Williams is gonna struggle throwing the ball 289 00:13:38,679 --> 00:13:40,760 Speaker 2: a little bit here. I like Boise to go ahead 290 00:13:40,760 --> 00:13:42,760 Speaker 2: and get it done again. I'm laying the four Bogs. 291 00:13:42,760 --> 00:13:44,079 Speaker 4: Do you like the Broncos as well? 292 00:13:44,559 --> 00:13:46,440 Speaker 3: Yeah? I mean I do think this game is gonna 293 00:13:46,440 --> 00:13:49,760 Speaker 3: come down to the Bois State quarterback Mannix Mattson UNFV 294 00:13:49,840 --> 00:13:52,400 Speaker 3: held j T two a season low three point nine 295 00:13:52,480 --> 00:13:53,319 Speaker 3: yards per carry. 296 00:13:53,360 --> 00:13:54,679 Speaker 4: He was nicked up in that game. 297 00:13:54,760 --> 00:13:56,520 Speaker 3: He was He was nicked up in that game, but 298 00:13:56,600 --> 00:13:59,400 Speaker 3: to Trell's point, like he wants to prove a point 299 00:13:59,440 --> 00:14:02,720 Speaker 3: as well. For Maddix Madson, he was only eighteen for 300 00:14:02,800 --> 00:14:05,120 Speaker 3: thirty three two hundred and nine yards in a touchdown, 301 00:14:05,240 --> 00:14:08,439 Speaker 3: but he ran for forty nine. He ran for a touchdown, 302 00:14:08,800 --> 00:14:11,360 Speaker 3: and he didn't take a sack or have a turnover. 303 00:14:12,200 --> 00:14:13,960 Speaker 3: He won't have to throw for three hundred and fifty 304 00:14:14,040 --> 00:14:17,360 Speaker 3: yards in this game, but he's going to have to 305 00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:22,440 Speaker 3: continue this no turnovers trend and probably play a little 306 00:14:22,480 --> 00:14:25,400 Speaker 3: bit better on third and fifteen. Hodge Lake Williams was 307 00:14:25,440 --> 00:14:27,480 Speaker 3: great on the ground, but only twelve to twenty one 308 00:14:28,000 --> 00:14:30,160 Speaker 3: in that game. One hundred and seventy nine yards two touchdowns. 309 00:14:30,200 --> 00:14:33,000 Speaker 3: He took six sacks. I think that's the big difference 310 00:14:33,320 --> 00:14:36,480 Speaker 3: is the fact that hodgm Lake Williams is probably more 311 00:14:36,560 --> 00:14:39,680 Speaker 3: likely to take a sack, and Jint's not gonna play 312 00:14:39,720 --> 00:14:41,440 Speaker 3: as bad as he did in the first game. Attx 313 00:14:41,480 --> 00:14:44,400 Speaker 3: Madson had a great first game. They're at home, they're 314 00:14:44,440 --> 00:14:46,760 Speaker 3: playing in the cold. Boise State held the ball for 315 00:14:46,800 --> 00:14:50,760 Speaker 3: thirty four minutes and only converted three third down conversions, 316 00:14:50,800 --> 00:14:53,320 Speaker 3: and they still won by five. In that last game, 317 00:14:53,440 --> 00:14:55,720 Speaker 3: I don't think Boise State plays that poorly. Again, I 318 00:14:55,760 --> 00:14:57,400 Speaker 3: think they play a better game and I think they 319 00:14:57,400 --> 00:15:00,680 Speaker 3: win this one. So I don't like that Trell and 320 00:15:00,680 --> 00:15:02,560 Speaker 3: I are on the same side for the first three 321 00:15:02,600 --> 00:15:05,240 Speaker 3: games here, Bud, let's still lacking. Let's go. 322 00:15:05,800 --> 00:15:06,520 Speaker 4: This is weird. 323 00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:08,760 Speaker 1: Something feels off, but I'm sure it'll flip when we 324 00:15:08,760 --> 00:15:11,080 Speaker 1: get to the Saturday slate. But before we get there, 325 00:15:11,320 --> 00:15:13,560 Speaker 1: I did want to remind everyone to join our college 326 00:15:13,560 --> 00:15:16,600 Speaker 1: football podcast group. You can sink your picks or use 327 00:15:16,680 --> 00:15:19,120 Speaker 1: the quick pick feature on the bank Pro Sports betting 328 00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:21,120 Speaker 1: app to get a chance to win some free prizes. 329 00:15:21,360 --> 00:15:24,720 Speaker 1: Elevate your betting strategy, and join the conversation today at 330 00:15:24,760 --> 00:15:29,600 Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com slash College. Let's get to Saturday and 331 00:15:29,680 --> 00:15:32,920 Speaker 1: the MAC Championship kicking off at Ford Field in the 332 00:15:32,920 --> 00:15:36,520 Speaker 1: Great City of Detroit between the Ohio Bobcats and the 333 00:15:36,560 --> 00:15:39,920 Speaker 1: Miami Ohio RedHawks. Ohio is now a two and a 334 00:15:39,920 --> 00:15:42,680 Speaker 1: half point dog at some shops and down all the 335 00:15:42,720 --> 00:15:45,600 Speaker 1: way to one and a half at other sportsbooks. I've 336 00:15:45,640 --> 00:15:47,480 Speaker 1: been dancing with them all week. I've been trying to 337 00:15:47,520 --> 00:15:50,560 Speaker 1: get that three point line we saw earlier on the Bobcats. 338 00:15:50,840 --> 00:15:53,280 Speaker 1: I saw it again last night, and then I got greedy. 339 00:15:53,320 --> 00:15:55,040 Speaker 1: I said, Okay, well maybe if it's at three, I 340 00:15:55,040 --> 00:15:56,920 Speaker 1: can get the three and a half get the hook. Well, 341 00:15:56,960 --> 00:15:58,120 Speaker 1: now we're back to two and a half. 342 00:15:58,920 --> 00:15:59,360 Speaker 3: Ohio. 343 00:15:59,440 --> 00:16:03,200 Speaker 1: They have question tags two starting nose tackle CJ. Doggette, 344 00:16:03,240 --> 00:16:07,360 Speaker 1: and cornerback Tony Mathis. The only known injury for Miami 345 00:16:07,520 --> 00:16:11,680 Speaker 1: is Tony with an E. Coleman, who remains questionable. BP 346 00:16:11,880 --> 00:16:14,880 Speaker 1: projections they do show that this should be closer to 347 00:16:14,920 --> 00:16:16,920 Speaker 1: a one and a half point line and IU two 348 00:16:17,360 --> 00:16:21,320 Speaker 1: Ohio's dual threat quarterback Parker Navarro. They have great running 349 00:16:21,360 --> 00:16:24,240 Speaker 1: backs as well, Anthony's higas the third Ricky Hunt They 350 00:16:24,240 --> 00:16:27,200 Speaker 1: are really the engine of this team. They all average 351 00:16:27,240 --> 00:16:30,600 Speaker 1: over five yards per carry. Miami's worst element of their 352 00:16:30,600 --> 00:16:34,280 Speaker 1: defense is stopping the run. Boggs, have you changed your mind? 353 00:16:34,760 --> 00:16:36,720 Speaker 1: Are you coming with me and the Bobcats? 354 00:16:37,280 --> 00:16:39,640 Speaker 3: No, I'm not. I'm gonna stick with Miami. I'm taking 355 00:16:39,680 --> 00:16:43,120 Speaker 3: the RedHawks. These teams are evenly matched. Miami, in my opinion, 356 00:16:43,560 --> 00:16:45,520 Speaker 3: just matches up a little bit better. They pass at 357 00:16:45,520 --> 00:16:48,720 Speaker 3: a fifty six point nine percent clip, and while Ohio 358 00:16:48,760 --> 00:16:51,040 Speaker 3: has been strong on defense, they're definitely better against the 359 00:16:51,120 --> 00:16:54,840 Speaker 3: run than they are the past. Statistically, Gambert was only 360 00:16:54,880 --> 00:16:57,000 Speaker 3: fourteen for twenty one for one hundred and sevent eight 361 00:16:57,080 --> 00:16:59,480 Speaker 3: yards in the first game, but he had three passing touchdowns. 362 00:16:59,720 --> 00:17:03,120 Speaker 3: Park Navarro for Ohio has been much better since that game, 363 00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:04,840 Speaker 3: but he was so bad in that one that he 364 00:17:04,880 --> 00:17:08,360 Speaker 3: got benched. So Ohio had only one hundred and ten 365 00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:11,520 Speaker 3: yards rushing in the first matchup, even lower than their 366 00:17:11,560 --> 00:17:15,120 Speaker 3: total against Kentucky That was their lowest total of the season. 367 00:17:15,600 --> 00:17:18,520 Speaker 3: A lot has changed from that matchup, and I don't 368 00:17:18,560 --> 00:17:22,119 Speaker 3: know really what to expect here in this game. I 369 00:17:22,119 --> 00:17:24,040 Speaker 3: do think it can go a bunch of different ways, 370 00:17:24,400 --> 00:17:27,200 Speaker 3: but my gut tells me to stick with Miami and 371 00:17:27,280 --> 00:17:28,720 Speaker 3: lay the points. That's what I'm gonna do. 372 00:17:29,560 --> 00:17:31,720 Speaker 4: Terrell, Can I get one for the Bobcats. 373 00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:35,560 Speaker 2: Absolutely, I'm so glad to disagree here, thank you. I'm 374 00:17:35,600 --> 00:17:38,640 Speaker 2: on the Bobcats with Ohio here. This game is now 375 00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:40,800 Speaker 2: in Ford Field, so now we get them in a 376 00:17:40,840 --> 00:17:43,400 Speaker 2: neutral site. I think that that's gonna fare a little 377 00:17:43,400 --> 00:17:46,560 Speaker 2: bit better for Ohio and especially ever since that game, 378 00:17:46,600 --> 00:17:48,800 Speaker 2: park and Navarro has looked better, like he's looked a 379 00:17:48,840 --> 00:17:50,960 Speaker 2: lot better, and that benching was really the thing to 380 00:17:51,040 --> 00:17:54,560 Speaker 2: help boost this Ohio team back up. And I think that, yeah, 381 00:17:54,680 --> 00:17:58,040 Speaker 2: the defense plays a pretty good game. They had a 382 00:17:58,200 --> 00:18:00,720 Speaker 2: really really good outing on the road again Toledo that 383 00:18:00,800 --> 00:18:03,440 Speaker 2: I think that they came out out of that one 384 00:18:03,520 --> 00:18:05,640 Speaker 2: twenty one to seven. And I think the defense looked 385 00:18:05,640 --> 00:18:07,760 Speaker 2: really really solid. And if we can see that defense 386 00:18:07,800 --> 00:18:11,040 Speaker 2: here with Parker Navarro being able to attack them on 387 00:18:11,119 --> 00:18:13,640 Speaker 2: the ground, like not just focusing over through the air, 388 00:18:13,680 --> 00:18:16,119 Speaker 2: but just commitment to the ground game, even if it 389 00:18:16,119 --> 00:18:18,679 Speaker 2: doesn't work in the beginning, but just hey, making this 390 00:18:18,720 --> 00:18:20,600 Speaker 2: a ground and pound game. We're gonna run the football 391 00:18:20,640 --> 00:18:22,440 Speaker 2: and we know we can take advantage of a bad 392 00:18:22,520 --> 00:18:25,240 Speaker 2: run defense. I think that though, how Bobcats run all 393 00:18:25,240 --> 00:18:27,240 Speaker 2: over and get it done. I'm taking them plus two points. 394 00:18:27,280 --> 00:18:28,920 Speaker 2: There's a reason why this isn't three. 395 00:18:29,560 --> 00:18:32,639 Speaker 1: Staying in the noonslate, the Big twelve Championship will be 396 00:18:32,720 --> 00:18:36,320 Speaker 1: hosted in Jerry World. The twelfth ranked Arizona State sun Devils. 397 00:18:36,520 --> 00:18:39,280 Speaker 1: They've moved down to two point favorites minus won twenty 398 00:18:39,320 --> 00:18:42,320 Speaker 1: five on the money line against the sixteenth ranked Iowa 399 00:18:42,400 --> 00:18:47,440 Speaker 1: State Cyclones. That line movement likely came after ASU stud 400 00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:50,880 Speaker 1: eleven hundred yard wide receiver Jordan Tyson was rolled out 401 00:18:50,920 --> 00:18:55,040 Speaker 1: of this contest. Backup wide receiver Jake Smith also questionable 402 00:18:55,080 --> 00:18:58,720 Speaker 1: to play. Iowa State, though equally banged up. They're starting 403 00:18:58,720 --> 00:19:02,040 Speaker 1: tight end Ben Bromer. He is practicing this week, but 404 00:19:02,119 --> 00:19:06,600 Speaker 1: he's questionable. They're starting safety Malik Verdin, same deal. He's practicing, 405 00:19:06,640 --> 00:19:11,119 Speaker 1: remains questionable, but they're starting linebacker Cale Berzina is questionable. 406 00:19:11,160 --> 00:19:14,280 Speaker 1: They've had issues at that position all season long. He's 407 00:19:14,320 --> 00:19:15,920 Speaker 1: been a bright spot. We don't know if he'll play 408 00:19:15,960 --> 00:19:20,199 Speaker 1: after missing last week's contest. BP Projection show ev on 409 00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:23,280 Speaker 1: the side, Clones and the Over. However, I am trusting 410 00:19:23,400 --> 00:19:26,840 Speaker 1: Cam Scatibo in this entire ASU offense. I think they 411 00:19:26,880 --> 00:19:29,840 Speaker 1: are maybe one of the most underrated offenses in the country, 412 00:19:30,280 --> 00:19:32,280 Speaker 1: and I think they're gonna shoulder the load. 413 00:19:32,520 --> 00:19:33,359 Speaker 4: Forget the points. 414 00:19:33,400 --> 00:19:35,720 Speaker 1: I've got Arizona State on the money line, Mius one 415 00:19:35,760 --> 00:19:38,159 Speaker 1: twenty five Treell Are you coming with me? Are you 416 00:19:38,200 --> 00:19:41,600 Speaker 1: going with one last ride with Rocko Beck and the Boys? 417 00:19:42,040 --> 00:19:44,000 Speaker 2: Come on, man, what kind of question is this? Of 418 00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:46,160 Speaker 2: course I'm ryt with Roco Beck and the boys. Those 419 00:19:46,280 --> 00:19:49,080 Speaker 2: they can play defensing in the run game, they can 420 00:19:49,119 --> 00:19:51,520 Speaker 2: stop the run game. Scatibo is not gonna run up 421 00:19:51,520 --> 00:19:54,000 Speaker 2: and down the field here, and they're gonna turn Sam 422 00:19:54,080 --> 00:19:56,480 Speaker 2: Levi into a passer. And I think that missing their 423 00:19:56,520 --> 00:19:59,520 Speaker 2: star wide receivers really really gonna hurt them, Like that's 424 00:19:59,560 --> 00:20:01,560 Speaker 2: this is the type of game, the championship game, when 425 00:20:01,600 --> 00:20:03,960 Speaker 2: you need a big play one third down, you need 426 00:20:04,080 --> 00:20:06,400 Speaker 2: your at third and goal and you're at the ten 427 00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:08,480 Speaker 2: yard line and you're trying to get into the end zone. 428 00:20:08,840 --> 00:20:10,880 Speaker 2: Those are the plays that you need your star wide 429 00:20:10,920 --> 00:20:13,600 Speaker 2: out and not having one and maybe not two, I 430 00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:15,600 Speaker 2: think that's really really gonna hurt them. I think Matt 431 00:20:15,600 --> 00:20:18,520 Speaker 2: Campbell's gonna dial up a really really nasty defense and 432 00:20:18,640 --> 00:20:20,440 Speaker 2: Roco bec's gonna be able to do enough on this 433 00:20:20,520 --> 00:20:23,760 Speaker 2: Arizona State team. I'm sticking with them. I'm sticking with him. 434 00:20:23,840 --> 00:20:25,160 Speaker 2: Roco Beck's going to the playoff. 435 00:20:26,080 --> 00:20:26,520 Speaker 4: Boggs. 436 00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:29,960 Speaker 3: That is blind faith, and I think it's gonna lead 437 00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:33,600 Speaker 3: you over our cliff before it leads you to the playoffs. Here, Terrell, 438 00:20:33,720 --> 00:20:37,679 Speaker 3: I look. I like Iowa State. I think Matt Campbell 439 00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:40,560 Speaker 3: is one of the better coaches in the country, but 440 00:20:41,320 --> 00:20:46,040 Speaker 3: they have been finding ways to grab wins when they should. 441 00:20:46,280 --> 00:20:48,600 Speaker 3: We went over it on Monday. They haven't had a 442 00:20:48,600 --> 00:20:52,000 Speaker 3: post they haven't had a postgame win expectancy over fifty 443 00:20:52,040 --> 00:20:55,959 Speaker 3: percent since Week seven. They have been supposed to lose 444 00:20:56,480 --> 00:20:59,080 Speaker 3: every even that game where they beat Sincy by seventeen, 445 00:20:59,320 --> 00:21:02,719 Speaker 3: they had a third eight percent postgame win expectancy. So 446 00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:06,600 Speaker 3: I think Iowa State has been playing smoking mirrors for 447 00:21:06,680 --> 00:21:10,280 Speaker 3: too long. And the run de is particularly why I'm 448 00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:13,240 Speaker 3: going with Jordan Tyson out. It definitely the line needed 449 00:21:13,280 --> 00:21:15,320 Speaker 3: to slip Jordan Tyson I think makes this game a 450 00:21:15,440 --> 00:21:19,159 Speaker 3: walk for Arizona State, but without him it will be tougher. 451 00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:22,760 Speaker 3: Iosate is ninety six statistically against the run. They're one 452 00:21:22,840 --> 00:21:25,800 Speaker 3: hundred and nineteenth in PFF's run grade. They're one hundred 453 00:21:25,840 --> 00:21:29,960 Speaker 3: and twentieth in tackle grade. If you can't tackle Cam 454 00:21:30,000 --> 00:21:33,800 Speaker 3: Skataboo and you can't stop this run game, you will 455 00:21:33,840 --> 00:21:35,800 Speaker 3: not get the ball, you will not control the clock. 456 00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:39,240 Speaker 3: And rock Obec your boy. He's a good quarterback, but 457 00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:42,880 Speaker 3: he's been playing terribly recently. Thirty three for seventy three 458 00:21:42,960 --> 00:21:46,240 Speaker 3: over his last two games, and six of his eighteen 459 00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:49,119 Speaker 3: turnover worthy plays have been in those games as well. 460 00:21:49,359 --> 00:21:52,920 Speaker 3: ASU has fourteen picks. They're sixteenth in the country. They're 461 00:21:53,040 --> 00:21:56,320 Speaker 3: eleventh in turnover margin. Iowa State's pretty high up there 462 00:21:56,320 --> 00:21:59,879 Speaker 3: as well. There's seventeenth. But for this game, I'm sticking 463 00:21:59,880 --> 00:22:02,040 Speaker 3: with the Sun Devils, So I like we get to 464 00:22:02,119 --> 00:22:04,680 Speaker 3: Saturday and the Rails have come offs brow We're back 465 00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:06,400 Speaker 3: to be on opposite ends here. 466 00:22:06,440 --> 00:22:06,920 Speaker 2: I like it. 467 00:22:07,000 --> 00:22:07,720 Speaker 3: This feels better. 468 00:22:08,040 --> 00:22:10,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, I love it. It was just the Friday magic. 469 00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:12,960 Speaker 2: It was just the Friday magic because hey, this team 470 00:22:13,040 --> 00:22:15,439 Speaker 2: locked up DJ Giddens last week, and that's what I 471 00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:17,720 Speaker 2: need to see. They are bought it into stopping the 472 00:22:17,800 --> 00:22:21,119 Speaker 2: run game. They're not letting Scattaboo kill them. Levitt, you 473 00:22:21,240 --> 00:22:22,080 Speaker 2: have to beat us. 474 00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:27,280 Speaker 3: Case stated postgame win expectancy. They made too many mistakes. 475 00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:31,080 Speaker 2: And they lost. I hope that Iowa State has a 476 00:22:31,320 --> 00:22:33,440 Speaker 2: zero percent win expectancy at the end of the game, 477 00:22:33,480 --> 00:22:35,399 Speaker 2: because that means they still won the game. Because it 478 00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:38,200 Speaker 2: doesn't matter about win the expectancy when you still win. 479 00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:42,399 Speaker 2: Let's go Rocklebeck. You can't fade QB's name. Roco magic is. 480 00:22:42,440 --> 00:22:44,800 Speaker 1: Over, charl Then will you be putting more of your 481 00:22:44,880 --> 00:22:47,240 Speaker 1: unit allocation on the spread or you're just gonna be 482 00:22:47,280 --> 00:22:48,800 Speaker 1: taking the plus one ten money line? 483 00:22:49,040 --> 00:22:50,840 Speaker 2: Oh no, I'm going to the money line. We're going 484 00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:53,959 Speaker 2: to the playoffs, babe. Okay, We're going to the playoffs. 485 00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:57,320 Speaker 1: All right, let's go ahead and let's disagree more. In 486 00:22:57,440 --> 00:23:01,119 Speaker 1: the SEC Championship game, it's getting underway at four Eastern 487 00:23:01,200 --> 00:23:05,879 Speaker 1: time on Saturday afternoon from Mercedes Benz Stadium in Atlanta, 488 00:23:06,240 --> 00:23:08,639 Speaker 1: the second ring Texas long Horns. They remain a two 489 00:23:08,680 --> 00:23:11,960 Speaker 1: and a half point favorite over the fifth rank Georgia Bulldogs. 490 00:23:12,320 --> 00:23:15,679 Speaker 1: Georgia they are dealing with injury, specifically in their backfield 491 00:23:15,920 --> 00:23:20,080 Speaker 1: running backs Trevor Etn and Branson Robinson. They've remained questionable, 492 00:23:20,600 --> 00:23:25,240 Speaker 1: as is defensive tackle Kristin Miller and left guard Micah Morris. 493 00:23:25,680 --> 00:23:28,840 Speaker 1: The Longhorns are currently monitoring the status of their star 494 00:23:29,000 --> 00:23:32,200 Speaker 1: left tackle Kelvin Banks, a projected top ten pick in 495 00:23:32,320 --> 00:23:36,280 Speaker 1: the NFL draft. BP projections don't show much value on 496 00:23:36,440 --> 00:23:38,040 Speaker 1: the spread, but they do like the over. 497 00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:39,399 Speaker 4: I'm sitting this. 498 00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:42,159 Speaker 1: One out, Bogman. I'm gonna enjoy this one from the sideline. 499 00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:44,840 Speaker 1: Do you have a play here in the SEC Championship game? 500 00:23:44,920 --> 00:23:47,320 Speaker 3: I do, and it's gonna continue to be the under 501 00:23:47,520 --> 00:23:50,720 Speaker 3: in this game. And it's because the Texas defense is 502 00:23:50,760 --> 00:23:55,360 Speaker 3: playing lights out. The Texas offense isn't. And I think 503 00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:59,080 Speaker 3: Georgia has had a tough time putting up some points 504 00:23:59,119 --> 00:24:00,760 Speaker 3: and they've been giving up some rush yards. So I 505 00:24:00,840 --> 00:24:03,600 Speaker 3: do think Texas can control the ball and the clock. 506 00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:06,200 Speaker 3: I don't know how often they're going to punch it 507 00:24:06,240 --> 00:24:08,879 Speaker 3: in for touchdowns though, because they haven't been able to. 508 00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:12,200 Speaker 3: So for me, it's I'm going to continue to lean 509 00:24:12,280 --> 00:24:15,080 Speaker 3: on this. And I've heard just for the side, I've 510 00:24:15,119 --> 00:24:18,720 Speaker 3: heard it every single way this week. I've heard how 511 00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:22,199 Speaker 3: you know, well, nothing is shange Georgia out scheme Texas, 512 00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:24,320 Speaker 3: We're going to see a lot of the same. I heard, well, 513 00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:27,600 Speaker 3: ETN was huge in that game, and he's hurt. So 514 00:24:27,760 --> 00:24:31,280 Speaker 3: we're going to see Texas win. Let's stick to how 515 00:24:31,320 --> 00:24:34,320 Speaker 3: are they playing now? Right now? Georgia almost lost to 516 00:24:34,400 --> 00:24:36,960 Speaker 3: Georgia Tech. They gave up five hundred and sixty three yards. 517 00:24:37,640 --> 00:24:39,920 Speaker 3: They let Georgia Tech hold the ball for thirty seven 518 00:24:40,080 --> 00:24:43,520 Speaker 3: minutes and eleven seconds of the first sixty before overtime. 519 00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:45,720 Speaker 3: In that game, they didn't have a lot to play for. 520 00:24:46,040 --> 00:24:48,520 Speaker 3: They already had an SEC title game locked up, but 521 00:24:48,560 --> 00:24:50,639 Speaker 3: they were at home against a rival. You shouldn't have 522 00:24:50,800 --> 00:24:53,960 Speaker 3: to have inspiration play that game. Or Texas didn't let 523 00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:56,320 Speaker 3: Texas A and M score on offense, but the Longhorns 524 00:24:56,359 --> 00:24:58,920 Speaker 3: only put up seventeen points themselves. They turned the ball 525 00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:03,280 Speaker 3: over twice. So just because both of these defenses play 526 00:25:03,320 --> 00:25:07,080 Speaker 3: better than the offenses, I like the under in this game. 527 00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:10,720 Speaker 1: Okay, Terrell, how do you feel about this? Carson back, 528 00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:14,880 Speaker 1: quarterback for Georgia. He's taken shrapnel on the internet this week. 529 00:25:15,600 --> 00:25:17,919 Speaker 1: There's a clip that got cut saying that he doesn't 530 00:25:17,920 --> 00:25:23,400 Speaker 1: watch football that made its rounds. Some pervious snapchats also 531 00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:25,520 Speaker 1: kind of leaking out there on the internet right now 532 00:25:25,560 --> 00:25:26,159 Speaker 1: as well, So. 533 00:25:26,800 --> 00:25:28,080 Speaker 3: I mean any of that stuff. 534 00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:33,399 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm in controversy, Terrell. Are you rolling with Carson 535 00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:34,320 Speaker 1: Back and the Boys? 536 00:25:35,240 --> 00:25:35,400 Speaker 4: Oh? 537 00:25:35,520 --> 00:25:36,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely? 538 00:25:36,880 --> 00:25:37,240 Speaker 1: This is. 539 00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:42,040 Speaker 2: I think that this game has so many different layers 540 00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:45,080 Speaker 2: to it, and as I look at the game scripts, 541 00:25:45,160 --> 00:25:48,240 Speaker 2: it's just ultimately which quarterback do I trust to be 542 00:25:48,280 --> 00:25:50,560 Speaker 2: able to come back in this game, because I don't 543 00:25:50,560 --> 00:25:52,960 Speaker 2: think the game is over no matter who gets out early. 544 00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:55,080 Speaker 2: However this game starts in the first half is not 545 00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:57,520 Speaker 2: how this game probably going to end in the second half. 546 00:25:57,560 --> 00:25:59,119 Speaker 2: And that's just kind of how these teams have been 547 00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:02,000 Speaker 2: all year. But I just don't trust Quinn Youwers to 548 00:26:02,080 --> 00:26:04,520 Speaker 2: battle back in this game if he faces some adversity. 549 00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:07,520 Speaker 2: We saw two interceptions in the beginning of the game 550 00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:10,119 Speaker 2: last time, and Carson Beck was able to help settle 551 00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:11,919 Speaker 2: down and then they were able to run the football, 552 00:26:11,960 --> 00:26:13,960 Speaker 2: they were able to get a win. I think here 553 00:26:14,320 --> 00:26:16,440 Speaker 2: with Quinn you Weers, I just have too many more 554 00:26:16,520 --> 00:26:20,320 Speaker 2: questions about him and this offense be able to continue going. 555 00:26:20,359 --> 00:26:21,840 Speaker 2: They're gonna have to be able to run the ball, 556 00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:23,640 Speaker 2: and if they can't run the ball on the Georgia front, 557 00:26:23,800 --> 00:26:25,479 Speaker 2: I really don't think it's going to look good for him. 558 00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:27,800 Speaker 2: And yeah, I love the under box. I think that's 559 00:26:28,000 --> 00:26:30,679 Speaker 2: probably my favorite play in the game. But of course, 560 00:26:31,200 --> 00:26:34,280 Speaker 2: of course I'm picking Georgia to go against you, like, 561 00:26:34,400 --> 00:26:34,879 Speaker 2: that's just the. 562 00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:41,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, I would rebut with if Twin Eewers looks bad early, 563 00:26:41,600 --> 00:26:42,719 Speaker 3: they're just going to go to Arch. 564 00:26:43,119 --> 00:26:46,480 Speaker 2: Just go yeah and okay, now now it gets interesting. 565 00:26:46,560 --> 00:26:48,480 Speaker 2: If you tell me that we're going Arch in the beginning, 566 00:26:48,600 --> 00:26:51,639 Speaker 2: it might get a little bit interesting because he's just 567 00:26:51,720 --> 00:26:53,560 Speaker 2: a he's just a wild card. Like you don't know. 568 00:26:53,880 --> 00:26:55,960 Speaker 2: You saw the touchdown, like March is. 569 00:26:55,960 --> 00:26:58,480 Speaker 4: A while awesome. Yeah, that was one of the best touchdowns. 570 00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:01,119 Speaker 2: It was great. I'm not gonna lie to see you. 571 00:27:01,720 --> 00:27:04,600 Speaker 1: Boggs, unlike Penn State. Like Penn State's losing a lot 572 00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:07,480 Speaker 1: this year. You have a long runway with Texas, my friends. 573 00:27:07,520 --> 00:27:10,480 Speaker 1: So I'm sure for many many more years we'll be 574 00:27:10,600 --> 00:27:11,240 Speaker 1: on this program. 575 00:27:11,400 --> 00:27:13,760 Speaker 3: Georgia and Texas. This is These are the number one, 576 00:27:13,840 --> 00:27:17,520 Speaker 3: number two recruiting classes right now too. So this game 577 00:27:17,600 --> 00:27:19,720 Speaker 3: means a lot for recruiting. It means a lot for 578 00:27:20,119 --> 00:27:23,640 Speaker 3: the SEC title and for a playoff by like, yeah, 579 00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:25,520 Speaker 3: there is a lot on the line in this game, 580 00:27:25,760 --> 00:27:30,159 Speaker 3: and we can't say emotional letdown for either team because 581 00:27:30,880 --> 00:27:33,600 Speaker 3: you know, Georgia came back and won in eight overtimes 582 00:27:33,640 --> 00:27:35,600 Speaker 3: in Texas beat A and M, so they're both on 583 00:27:35,760 --> 00:27:38,200 Speaker 3: that on that type of true tilt as well. 584 00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:41,879 Speaker 2: And both teams do have the security and knowing that 585 00:27:42,359 --> 00:27:43,840 Speaker 2: you lose this game, you're still in to playoff. 586 00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:47,920 Speaker 1: Yep, yep for sure. So Boggs he is going to 587 00:27:47,960 --> 00:27:50,280 Speaker 1: be on Texas if he had to pick a side, 588 00:27:50,359 --> 00:27:53,160 Speaker 1: it seems like Terrell is on Georgia, and then both 589 00:27:53,240 --> 00:27:56,000 Speaker 1: of them are liking that under their favorite play in 590 00:27:56,080 --> 00:27:59,400 Speaker 1: the SEC Championship game. Before we continue, I did want 591 00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:02,280 Speaker 1: to tell y'all about Fast Break Bets. If y'all like 592 00:28:02,359 --> 00:28:05,439 Speaker 1: betting on basketball, well, then join her host Terrell Furman 593 00:28:05,560 --> 00:28:08,320 Speaker 1: Junior on the Fast Break Bets podcast. It is your 594 00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:11,800 Speaker 1: daily dose of basketball betting in fifteen minutes or less. 595 00:28:12,080 --> 00:28:14,960 Speaker 1: Tune in every single day for your rapid firefix of 596 00:28:15,000 --> 00:28:18,200 Speaker 1: all things basketball, from the NBA to the WNBA, to 597 00:28:18,280 --> 00:28:21,119 Speaker 1: college basketball and more. It's available here on the Betting 598 00:28:21,160 --> 00:28:26,240 Speaker 1: Pros YouTube channel or wherever you get your podcasts. Let's 599 00:28:26,280 --> 00:28:29,520 Speaker 1: open up the primetime Slay in Lafayette, Louisiana, where the 600 00:28:29,640 --> 00:28:32,840 Speaker 1: Rage and Cajuns have moved to six point favorites against 601 00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:36,400 Speaker 1: the Marshall Thunder and Herd in the Sun Belt Championship game. 602 00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:39,800 Speaker 1: The line movement in this one is surprising, to say 603 00:28:39,840 --> 00:28:43,480 Speaker 1: the least, given that Louisiana lost their starting quarterback Ben 604 00:28:43,560 --> 00:28:47,480 Speaker 1: Woolridge a few weeks ago. Trying to find some type 605 00:28:47,520 --> 00:28:49,960 Speaker 1: of edge, I did look at the common opponents, and 606 00:28:50,120 --> 00:28:52,920 Speaker 1: Marshall actually is a better winning margin out of three 607 00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:55,120 Speaker 1: of the four Sun Belt teams they have both faced. 608 00:28:55,840 --> 00:28:57,120 Speaker 4: I'm going with the gritty. 609 00:28:56,840 --> 00:28:59,520 Speaker 1: Boys from up there in West Virginia Herd plus six Terrell. 610 00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:01,240 Speaker 1: Are you right in this matchup? 611 00:29:01,880 --> 00:29:03,320 Speaker 2: Yes? And let me tell you why. It has nothing 612 00:29:03,360 --> 00:29:05,280 Speaker 2: to do with on the field. Let me take you 613 00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:08,040 Speaker 2: to Twitter and let me tell you a story about 614 00:29:08,280 --> 00:29:12,840 Speaker 2: their coach. Coach Huff has not been issued a contract 615 00:29:12,920 --> 00:29:15,120 Speaker 2: for next year. He has not been given an extension. 616 00:29:15,520 --> 00:29:18,680 Speaker 2: He is up and do like this is right now 617 00:29:18,800 --> 00:29:21,080 Speaker 2: his last season. They have not offered him contract. He 618 00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:23,360 Speaker 2: says how much he wants to stay the coach of Marshall, 619 00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:26,560 Speaker 2: but they have not given him a contract. The players 620 00:29:26,920 --> 00:29:30,320 Speaker 2: are on the side of coach Huff in this situation. 621 00:29:30,760 --> 00:29:34,160 Speaker 2: You have linebacker Monroe Beard who's tweeted out and I 622 00:29:34,320 --> 00:29:38,080 Speaker 2: quote stop playing with coach Huff. We love him and 623 00:29:38,320 --> 00:29:42,320 Speaker 2: we don't listen to the outside noise Marshall versus everybody. 624 00:29:42,640 --> 00:29:45,120 Speaker 2: I don't know how I'm supposed to fade this locker 625 00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:47,400 Speaker 2: room that's about to go run through a brick wall 626 00:29:47,480 --> 00:29:50,480 Speaker 2: for coach Huff and potentially his last game. He's already 627 00:29:50,560 --> 00:29:53,840 Speaker 2: been tied to Southern Miss and their head coaching opportunity 628 00:29:53,920 --> 00:29:56,240 Speaker 2: coming up, and it seems like he's gonna be moving on. 629 00:29:56,560 --> 00:29:58,880 Speaker 2: I think he's gonna get one more win and just 630 00:29:59,040 --> 00:30:01,960 Speaker 2: like all right, here you go, Marshall, here's the play. 631 00:30:02,160 --> 00:30:04,480 Speaker 2: And that's possibly what people are fading, and they're saying, hey, 632 00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:07,120 Speaker 2: let's put money on Louisiana. They got all this going on. 633 00:30:07,320 --> 00:30:09,040 Speaker 2: I think the players are getting up for this. I 634 00:30:09,080 --> 00:30:12,320 Speaker 2: don't know why this continues to go towards Louisiana. I 635 00:30:12,360 --> 00:30:14,000 Speaker 2: think this is a Marshall spot all day. 636 00:30:14,560 --> 00:30:17,680 Speaker 4: We are Marshall baby plus six. Let's go bogs three 637 00:30:17,760 --> 00:30:19,160 Speaker 4: for three with the Marshall guys. 638 00:30:19,640 --> 00:30:22,080 Speaker 3: I'm not gonna do it. I'm sorry, I can't, but look, 639 00:30:22,480 --> 00:30:25,720 Speaker 3: no disrespect to Marshall. I love that they are behind 640 00:30:25,840 --> 00:30:29,600 Speaker 3: Charlie Huff and Huff is so fun. I mean remember 641 00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:32,640 Speaker 3: him in the Ohio State press conference saying talking about 642 00:30:32,680 --> 00:30:36,800 Speaker 3: the biscuits, like he brought all the biscuits for the 643 00:30:36,880 --> 00:30:38,240 Speaker 3: Ohio State players, right. 644 00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:38,680 Speaker 1: Like. 645 00:30:39,040 --> 00:30:43,800 Speaker 3: I love Charles Huff He's a lot of fun to watch. 646 00:30:43,920 --> 00:30:46,560 Speaker 3: But I just think this Louisiana team is one of 647 00:30:46,560 --> 00:30:48,440 Speaker 3: the best G five teams in the country. They have 648 00:30:48,560 --> 00:30:52,000 Speaker 3: a well fought loss to Tulane and the only other 649 00:30:52,080 --> 00:30:54,680 Speaker 3: loss that they had this season was to South Alabama 650 00:30:54,840 --> 00:30:57,120 Speaker 3: when Wooldridge got hurt and they had to go to 651 00:30:57,240 --> 00:31:00,640 Speaker 3: Chandler Field. So I just think this Louisiana team is very, 652 00:31:00,760 --> 00:31:04,960 Speaker 3: very strong. The loss was when Wooldridge got hurt, obviously 653 00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:08,680 Speaker 3: to South Alabama. But Marshall is statistically middling. They grade well, 654 00:31:08,800 --> 00:31:12,240 Speaker 3: but their seventieth and explosive plays allowed eighty second. In 655 00:31:12,320 --> 00:31:16,000 Speaker 3: plays of ten plus yards allowed, Louisiana is twentieth in 656 00:31:16,080 --> 00:31:19,800 Speaker 3: the country and ten plus yard plays fifteenth in explosives 657 00:31:19,840 --> 00:31:22,040 Speaker 3: of twenty or more yards, I think that is going 658 00:31:22,120 --> 00:31:23,800 Speaker 3: to be the difference in this game. I think a 659 00:31:23,880 --> 00:31:27,240 Speaker 3: couple explosive plays on offense for Louisiana seal this game 660 00:31:27,320 --> 00:31:31,040 Speaker 3: for them. So and BP, we're showing value on the 661 00:31:31,080 --> 00:31:33,080 Speaker 3: occasions as well, So I'm going to roll with them. 662 00:31:33,840 --> 00:31:34,200 Speaker 4: Bogs. 663 00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:36,760 Speaker 1: Are you rolling right on the spread? Minus two h 664 00:31:36,880 --> 00:31:38,560 Speaker 1: five on the money line, so you probably have to 665 00:31:38,680 --> 00:31:39,760 Speaker 1: parlay that with something to. 666 00:31:39,760 --> 00:31:43,200 Speaker 3: Get I'll lay the points without much. 667 00:31:43,440 --> 00:31:45,880 Speaker 4: Points the lot for a conference championship game. 668 00:31:45,760 --> 00:31:49,480 Speaker 3: My friend, it is. But I again, I think that 669 00:31:49,880 --> 00:31:52,280 Speaker 3: Louisiana is one of the better G five schools in 670 00:31:52,360 --> 00:31:54,360 Speaker 3: the country, and I think they show it in this game. 671 00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:56,240 Speaker 4: Okay. The game with. 672 00:31:56,400 --> 00:31:59,880 Speaker 1: Maybe the most college football playoff implications is the ace 673 00:32:00,000 --> 00:32:03,280 Speaker 1: SC Championship happening in Charlotte, North Carolina. 674 00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:05,680 Speaker 4: The eighth ranked SMU Mustangs. 675 00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:08,000 Speaker 1: They remain a two and a half point favorite over 676 00:32:08,080 --> 00:32:11,480 Speaker 1: the eighteenth ranked Clemson Tigers. This is a winner, go 677 00:32:11,680 --> 00:32:15,040 Speaker 1: home game four Clemson. The status of wide receiver Tyler 678 00:32:15,120 --> 00:32:16,880 Speaker 1: Brown is up in the air, but it pretty much 679 00:32:17,000 --> 00:32:19,280 Speaker 1: is every single week. I think we we've said you know, 680 00:32:19,360 --> 00:32:21,600 Speaker 1: we've said it name every time we've ever talked about 681 00:32:21,640 --> 00:32:26,040 Speaker 1: Clemson this season. SMU could possibly still be in line 682 00:32:26,800 --> 00:32:29,080 Speaker 1: for an at large bit if they lose, but they 683 00:32:29,080 --> 00:32:30,680 Speaker 1: should be at full health for this game. 684 00:32:30,840 --> 00:32:32,640 Speaker 4: The BP projections it's better. 685 00:32:33,600 --> 00:32:36,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean that that and that's that's that goes 686 00:32:36,360 --> 00:32:40,479 Speaker 2: into this. I mean the fact that we literally are 687 00:32:40,560 --> 00:32:44,320 Speaker 2: going to be having a conversation if Dabo somehow pulls 688 00:32:44,360 --> 00:32:46,240 Speaker 2: this out of his behind and gets a win, I 689 00:32:46,280 --> 00:32:47,920 Speaker 2: don't think he is just go ahead and chop me 690 00:32:48,040 --> 00:32:50,920 Speaker 2: up for SMU minus two and a half seth Okay. 691 00:32:51,480 --> 00:32:53,280 Speaker 2: I don't think he. I don't think he gets over it. 692 00:32:53,320 --> 00:32:55,400 Speaker 2: I'm tired of this transfer portal stuff, all of that. 693 00:32:56,400 --> 00:32:58,560 Speaker 2: SMU minus two and a half Now what I really 694 00:32:58,600 --> 00:33:00,400 Speaker 2: want to talk about with my time. There is no 695 00:33:00,560 --> 00:33:03,720 Speaker 2: reason that if SMU were to lose this game that 696 00:33:03,800 --> 00:33:06,360 Speaker 2: they should not make the playoff. And if they put 697 00:33:06,480 --> 00:33:09,880 Speaker 2: in a three loss Alabama, they lost to Oklahoma. I 698 00:33:09,960 --> 00:33:12,200 Speaker 2: told you were going to bring this back. Lost to Oklahoma. 699 00:33:12,600 --> 00:33:14,520 Speaker 4: Oklahoma, Baby, it. 700 00:33:14,640 --> 00:33:17,840 Speaker 2: Wasn't even close. It wasn't close at all. There is 701 00:33:18,040 --> 00:33:20,840 Speaker 2: no reason, there is no reason sm you should not 702 00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:23,160 Speaker 2: make the playoffs if they do not put SMU in. 703 00:33:23,520 --> 00:33:25,640 Speaker 2: I almost want Clemson to win, just so they have 704 00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:27,760 Speaker 2: to make the decision so I can see where they stand, 705 00:33:28,160 --> 00:33:29,120 Speaker 2: because this is ridiculous. 706 00:33:29,120 --> 00:33:31,480 Speaker 3: You know you don't want a conversations where they stand. 707 00:33:32,160 --> 00:33:34,120 Speaker 2: No, they shouldn't do it. They should not do it 708 00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:36,400 Speaker 2: at all. That would be horrible. That would be a 709 00:33:36,560 --> 00:33:40,600 Speaker 2: terrible SMU ran through the acced they ran through the ACC. 710 00:33:40,800 --> 00:33:43,440 Speaker 3: They pushed Florida State out last year. They don't like 711 00:33:43,560 --> 00:33:46,680 Speaker 3: the ACC, they like the SEC. The SEC has the money. 712 00:33:47,120 --> 00:33:49,720 Speaker 3: So look, I don't You're not going to have to 713 00:33:49,760 --> 00:33:53,280 Speaker 3: debate this anyway. SMU is gonna win the game, I think, 714 00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:55,960 Speaker 3: and I think where we see the difference in this 715 00:33:56,080 --> 00:33:59,840 Speaker 3: game set is on the offensive line for Clemson, just 716 00:34:00,200 --> 00:34:02,680 Speaker 3: like we saw it last week. You know, against South 717 00:34:02,760 --> 00:34:06,560 Speaker 3: Carolina they had a valiant effort and Klubnik is a 718 00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:09,920 Speaker 3: good quarterback, much better. He's much better than I initially 719 00:34:09,960 --> 00:34:12,640 Speaker 3: gave him credit for. And Clemson is much better than 720 00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:15,359 Speaker 3: I gave them credit for going into that South Carolina game. 721 00:34:15,440 --> 00:34:17,920 Speaker 3: They are a good team. They do deserve to be here, 722 00:34:18,000 --> 00:34:20,239 Speaker 3: even though they backed in. They deserve to be here 723 00:34:20,280 --> 00:34:23,840 Speaker 3: over Miami. Miami played too many close games. They just 724 00:34:23,920 --> 00:34:26,000 Speaker 3: did not deserve to get in, especially after. 725 00:34:25,880 --> 00:34:26,920 Speaker 2: That lost to Syracuse. 726 00:34:27,000 --> 00:34:29,160 Speaker 3: So Clemson is where they belong. They belong in the 727 00:34:29,239 --> 00:34:31,560 Speaker 3: ACC title game. They are one of the two best 728 00:34:31,600 --> 00:34:34,000 Speaker 3: teams here. I just don't think they're even close to SMU. 729 00:34:34,080 --> 00:34:35,960 Speaker 3: I think sm you beat them up on both sides 730 00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:39,759 Speaker 3: of the offensive and defensive line. Then Klubnik faces too 731 00:34:39,920 --> 00:34:42,279 Speaker 3: much pressure in this game to get the ball out. 732 00:34:42,640 --> 00:34:44,279 Speaker 3: I think Smith' has been running the ball well for 733 00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:46,600 Speaker 3: the Mustangs, and I think they keep that trend. So 734 00:34:46,960 --> 00:34:48,920 Speaker 3: for me, I'm gonna lay the points to take the Ponies. 735 00:34:49,680 --> 00:34:51,960 Speaker 1: How do you guys feel about the over fifty six 736 00:34:52,040 --> 00:34:55,600 Speaker 1: point total that is the BP Projection's favorite line of 737 00:34:55,680 --> 00:34:58,640 Speaker 1: the entire weekend? Is there any value there in your eyes? 738 00:34:58,800 --> 00:35:01,319 Speaker 1: Or do you think they this one does get muddied up? 739 00:35:01,600 --> 00:35:05,480 Speaker 3: I So for me, I I think if Clemson is 740 00:35:05,520 --> 00:35:07,799 Speaker 3: in this game, it goes way over and this looks 741 00:35:07,840 --> 00:35:09,560 Speaker 3: like a Miami game, you know what I mean, where 742 00:35:10,120 --> 00:35:11,960 Speaker 3: if Clemson is able to move the ball, I just 743 00:35:12,000 --> 00:35:13,840 Speaker 3: don't know if they're going to be able to So 744 00:35:14,040 --> 00:35:17,120 Speaker 3: they only put up fourteen points against South Carolina last week. 745 00:35:17,280 --> 00:35:20,640 Speaker 3: I don't know that SMU's defense is as complete as 746 00:35:20,680 --> 00:35:23,759 Speaker 3: South Carolina's, especially in the secondary, but that line is 747 00:35:23,880 --> 00:35:26,719 Speaker 3: really good. So I question what Klebnik's going to be 748 00:35:26,760 --> 00:35:28,279 Speaker 3: able to do because they throw the ball at a 749 00:35:28,560 --> 00:35:30,719 Speaker 3: high I think it's fifty six point nine percent clip, 750 00:35:31,200 --> 00:35:33,640 Speaker 3: so it's a very very high clip that they're passing 751 00:35:33,680 --> 00:35:37,040 Speaker 3: the ball at in Clemson. So if this, if it 752 00:35:37,160 --> 00:35:39,279 Speaker 3: is a mismatch between the SMU offensive line and the 753 00:35:39,320 --> 00:35:42,799 Speaker 3: Clemson defensive line or offensive line, I don't know how 754 00:35:42,920 --> 00:35:45,399 Speaker 3: Clemson's going to be able to score points. So that's 755 00:35:45,440 --> 00:35:47,520 Speaker 3: what worries me in this game. So I wouldn't really 756 00:35:47,560 --> 00:35:48,239 Speaker 3: mess with the toll. 757 00:35:49,040 --> 00:35:51,520 Speaker 1: Let's go ahead, Let's round out the program with the 758 00:35:51,640 --> 00:35:55,840 Speaker 1: Big Ten Championship going down and Lucas Oil Stadium no 759 00:35:56,120 --> 00:35:59,240 Speaker 1: line movement in this game either. The top ranked Oregon 760 00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:01,080 Speaker 1: Ducks they were in a three and a half point 761 00:36:01,160 --> 00:36:04,400 Speaker 1: favorite against the third rank Penn State Nitney Lions. 762 00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:05,240 Speaker 4: Oregon. 763 00:36:05,480 --> 00:36:09,200 Speaker 1: Their only major injury as of late is defensive tackle 764 00:36:09,320 --> 00:36:12,520 Speaker 1: Keon where Hudson, who didn't play last week against the 765 00:36:12,600 --> 00:36:16,400 Speaker 1: Huskies Penn State. Meanwhile, their top wide receiver Trey Wallace, 766 00:36:16,440 --> 00:36:20,480 Speaker 1: he is questionable, as is their right tackle Anthony Donka. 767 00:36:20,840 --> 00:36:24,400 Speaker 1: They're both questionable after missing last week's game against Maryland. 768 00:36:24,840 --> 00:36:28,640 Speaker 1: BP still, ever so slightly is leaning at Penn State 769 00:36:28,960 --> 00:36:31,480 Speaker 1: for the three and a half Trell, are you backing 770 00:36:31,600 --> 00:36:34,680 Speaker 1: Nitney Lion Nation and riding with all the fine people 771 00:36:35,120 --> 00:36:35,840 Speaker 1: in the valley. 772 00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:39,080 Speaker 2: I mean it's more of a question for you as 773 00:36:39,120 --> 00:36:41,600 Speaker 2: a fan. I mean, do you feel good about James 774 00:36:41,640 --> 00:36:43,480 Speaker 2: Franklin going into yet another big game. 775 00:36:43,640 --> 00:36:45,439 Speaker 1: I feel better if Trey Wallace is on the field, 776 00:36:45,440 --> 00:36:47,160 Speaker 1: I'll tell you that much, because because he is that 777 00:36:47,239 --> 00:36:49,480 Speaker 1: one explosive play through the air that we have other 778 00:36:49,560 --> 00:36:50,320 Speaker 1: than Tyler Warren. 779 00:36:51,200 --> 00:36:54,120 Speaker 2: Oh man, I really really really want to get down 780 00:36:54,160 --> 00:36:56,520 Speaker 2: on Penn State here, not just because everybody and their 781 00:36:56,560 --> 00:36:59,000 Speaker 2: mother is on Oregon, but of the fact of like 782 00:36:59,320 --> 00:37:03,080 Speaker 2: that defense. I just know that they can rattle Dylan Gabriel. 783 00:37:03,120 --> 00:37:05,360 Speaker 2: We've seen it multiple times over the course of the 784 00:37:05,400 --> 00:37:08,440 Speaker 2: season where I'm like, oh man, Gabriel. 785 00:37:08,080 --> 00:37:12,120 Speaker 1: He struggles under pressure, he struggles under pressures like that. 786 00:37:12,200 --> 00:37:15,239 Speaker 2: Guy he throws red zone interceptions that you can't do 787 00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:17,480 Speaker 2: that against Penn State. If you move the ball against 788 00:37:17,480 --> 00:37:18,840 Speaker 2: Penn State and get into the red zone, you have 789 00:37:18,920 --> 00:37:21,120 Speaker 2: to put points on the board. And so that's what 790 00:37:21,200 --> 00:37:24,160 Speaker 2: I'm also concerned about the horrible interceptions and the timing 791 00:37:24,200 --> 00:37:27,319 Speaker 2: of the interceptions. But oh my gosh, we've been down 792 00:37:27,400 --> 00:37:29,399 Speaker 2: this road with James Franklin before this season. I don't 793 00:37:29,440 --> 00:37:32,160 Speaker 2: know if I'm ready to go through it again. Oh 794 00:37:34,520 --> 00:37:37,279 Speaker 2: oh man, this is really really tempting, But I'm gonna 795 00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:39,000 Speaker 2: stick with it. I think the defense is enough to 796 00:37:39,040 --> 00:37:41,160 Speaker 2: keep them in the game. Maybe this is a heartbreaker loss, 797 00:37:41,160 --> 00:37:42,759 Speaker 2: but they still cover a three and a half. I'll 798 00:37:42,760 --> 00:37:44,480 Speaker 2: take it because I get the hook. Give me penn State. 799 00:37:44,600 --> 00:37:48,280 Speaker 1: Okay, Bogs, we got Abdul Carter, we got denied Dennis 800 00:37:48,320 --> 00:37:51,359 Speaker 1: Sutton on that defensive line. I will send you guys 801 00:37:51,400 --> 00:37:55,040 Speaker 1: a shotgun video. I'll shotgun and Iron City beer straight 802 00:37:55,080 --> 00:37:58,279 Speaker 1: from the Pennsylvania waters Wow. And I will send that 803 00:37:58,480 --> 00:38:01,239 Speaker 1: in the chat on Saturday. If we win this game, 804 00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:02,319 Speaker 1: Are you coming with us? 805 00:38:03,600 --> 00:38:08,200 Speaker 3: I am, but I'll say this because I don't. 806 00:38:08,000 --> 00:38:10,719 Speaker 2: Know if you've seen all three of us are on Penstead. 807 00:38:11,880 --> 00:38:16,120 Speaker 3: The cash is heavy on Oregon heavy. 808 00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:17,960 Speaker 4: I want, so do you think we can wait? 809 00:38:18,280 --> 00:38:20,239 Speaker 3: I want four and a half. I want it to 810 00:38:20,360 --> 00:38:22,120 Speaker 3: open up a little bit more. And I do think 811 00:38:22,520 --> 00:38:24,640 Speaker 3: we can wait because all of it is coming in 812 00:38:24,760 --> 00:38:27,320 Speaker 3: on Oregon right now. I think Vegas needs to balance 813 00:38:27,400 --> 00:38:29,520 Speaker 3: this out a little bit. So I do think we're 814 00:38:29,560 --> 00:38:31,239 Speaker 3: going to see this number start to open up a 815 00:38:31,280 --> 00:38:33,320 Speaker 3: little bit. And that's when I want to take the 816 00:38:33,440 --> 00:38:36,359 Speaker 3: Ninda Lions, because look, this game is gonna come down 817 00:38:36,480 --> 00:38:40,600 Speaker 3: to who makes the big mistake, right, I think that. 818 00:38:40,840 --> 00:38:42,560 Speaker 4: Is really what it's usually Penn State. 819 00:38:42,640 --> 00:38:46,960 Speaker 3: It usually is Penn State. But look, the offensive line 820 00:38:47,320 --> 00:38:50,760 Speaker 3: for for these teams are in for a big test, 821 00:38:51,120 --> 00:38:56,040 Speaker 3: both offensive lines, because for Oregon you have Hammond and 822 00:38:56,160 --> 00:39:01,359 Speaker 3: Birch and along Lay and Basa, and you know they 823 00:39:01,480 --> 00:39:03,480 Speaker 3: have depth on this line too. And then you have 824 00:39:03,640 --> 00:39:08,600 Speaker 3: a dual carter. For Penn State, you have Zane Durant 825 00:39:08,640 --> 00:39:11,800 Speaker 3: who's in an NFL prospect. You have Danny Dennis Sutton 826 00:39:12,239 --> 00:39:15,320 Speaker 3: who is an NFL draft prospect. Right, Like, there's so 827 00:39:15,520 --> 00:39:18,920 Speaker 3: much talent on these defensive lines. But both these quarterbacks 828 00:39:19,000 --> 00:39:21,440 Speaker 3: have a turnover worthy play rate of less than one 829 00:39:21,480 --> 00:39:23,799 Speaker 3: and a half percent. The two of the best. They 830 00:39:23,840 --> 00:39:27,120 Speaker 3: don't turn the ball over. So the big mistake I 831 00:39:27,200 --> 00:39:29,319 Speaker 3: feel like is going to be the difference in this game. 832 00:39:29,560 --> 00:39:31,960 Speaker 3: And if a game is this tight and it's at 833 00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:36,000 Speaker 3: a neutral site, give me points for whoever is getting points. 834 00:39:36,080 --> 00:39:38,400 Speaker 3: If Oregon was getting points here, I want Oregon, But 835 00:39:38,560 --> 00:39:41,200 Speaker 3: because it's Penn State, I'll take the Nitney Lions and 836 00:39:41,280 --> 00:39:44,880 Speaker 3: I'll take the points here. I think the over is 837 00:39:44,960 --> 00:39:48,040 Speaker 3: pretty decent as well in this game because because these 838 00:39:48,040 --> 00:39:51,839 Speaker 3: teams don't turn over the ball right and now while 839 00:39:51,880 --> 00:39:53,799 Speaker 3: they both get to the quarterback, but they're both top 840 00:39:53,840 --> 00:39:57,200 Speaker 3: twenty in sacks allowed as well, only eleven on the 841 00:39:57,280 --> 00:39:59,680 Speaker 3: season for Penn State and only twelve on the season 842 00:39:59,719 --> 00:40:04,200 Speaker 3: for fur Work, So that line matchup is the difference. 843 00:40:04,600 --> 00:40:07,080 Speaker 3: I think they're less likely to get to each other. 844 00:40:07,160 --> 00:40:08,360 Speaker 3: I think it's going to be a little bit of 845 00:40:08,400 --> 00:40:10,680 Speaker 3: a back and forth scoring game. So I like the over, 846 00:40:10,960 --> 00:40:12,920 Speaker 3: but I'll take the points. Give me the ninteyllions and 847 00:40:13,000 --> 00:40:15,399 Speaker 3: give me the points. Wait as long as you can 848 00:40:16,280 --> 00:40:18,080 Speaker 3: and get it. I would much rather have it at 849 00:40:18,080 --> 00:40:19,680 Speaker 3: four and a half to three and a half, but 850 00:40:20,600 --> 00:40:22,520 Speaker 3: I would wait and I will take the points in 851 00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:22,919 Speaker 3: this game. 852 00:40:23,800 --> 00:40:26,040 Speaker 2: Wow, I'm actually on the opposite side of that one. 853 00:40:26,080 --> 00:40:27,759 Speaker 2: I like the under. I think that this is a 854 00:40:27,840 --> 00:40:31,000 Speaker 2: game where they actually do force the turnovers, and it's 855 00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:33,640 Speaker 2: because the defenses prize it out of their cold dead 856 00:40:33,719 --> 00:40:36,839 Speaker 2: hands and says, hey, no, we're taking this football. We're 857 00:40:36,920 --> 00:40:39,160 Speaker 2: giving our offense another chance at it because they know 858 00:40:39,280 --> 00:40:41,760 Speaker 2: both of the offenses aren't going to be as consistent. 859 00:40:41,880 --> 00:40:44,320 Speaker 2: And I agree with you, whoever makes the worst turnover 860 00:40:44,600 --> 00:40:46,960 Speaker 2: is going to be probably the loser in this game. 861 00:40:47,040 --> 00:40:50,120 Speaker 3: There's probably more outs to the under as well, because 862 00:40:50,320 --> 00:40:52,640 Speaker 3: you know, maybe these teams play a little tight to 863 00:40:52,760 --> 00:40:55,960 Speaker 3: start the feeling out process, all of that in this 864 00:40:56,200 --> 00:40:59,320 Speaker 3: game in a neutral environment and all that stuff, But 865 00:41:00,800 --> 00:41:04,799 Speaker 3: I don't care. I think who has the guts goes 866 00:41:04,840 --> 00:41:07,640 Speaker 3: the glory. And if your Penn State air it out, baby, 867 00:41:07,800 --> 00:41:10,719 Speaker 3: I mean throw that ball. Because you got a chance 868 00:41:10,760 --> 00:41:11,680 Speaker 3: to be the number one seed. 869 00:41:11,719 --> 00:41:12,920 Speaker 2: You did not have this change. 870 00:41:13,040 --> 00:41:14,720 Speaker 3: I didn't think you were gonna get to this spot 871 00:41:15,160 --> 00:41:19,400 Speaker 3: last week. So now that you're in it, you know, Yolo, 872 00:41:19,880 --> 00:41:23,240 Speaker 3: go for it. Let's roll, Let's have some trick plays, 873 00:41:23,560 --> 00:41:27,000 Speaker 3: Let's have some deep shots early and really go for it. 874 00:41:27,120 --> 00:41:29,560 Speaker 3: Put the pressure on Oregon to do it in that way. 875 00:41:29,880 --> 00:41:32,839 Speaker 3: If you're scoring on Oregon, now you can pin your 876 00:41:32,880 --> 00:41:35,480 Speaker 3: ears back and get after Dylan Gabriel. So I think 877 00:41:35,480 --> 00:41:37,560 Speaker 3: they're gonna take some big shots early in this game. 878 00:41:37,680 --> 00:41:40,520 Speaker 3: So give me Penn State, give me the over all. 879 00:41:40,640 --> 00:41:42,719 Speaker 1: Right, we all like Penn State. We are preaching a 880 00:41:42,760 --> 00:41:43,839 Speaker 1: little bit of patience. Though. 881 00:41:44,160 --> 00:41:45,840 Speaker 4: Let's see what happened with Trey Wallace. 882 00:41:45,960 --> 00:41:48,000 Speaker 1: Is he gonna be up for this game, and maybe 883 00:41:48,080 --> 00:41:50,200 Speaker 1: we will see some line movement get a better number 884 00:41:50,280 --> 00:41:53,640 Speaker 1: on the ninny Lyons, great discussions over all today, guys, 885 00:41:53,680 --> 00:41:55,960 Speaker 1: I cannot wait for this slate of football. It's going 886 00:41:56,040 --> 00:42:00,120 Speaker 1: to be college at its absolute peak this weekend. Thank 887 00:42:00,120 --> 00:42:02,040 Speaker 1: you to everyone so much for watching. That's going to 888 00:42:02,120 --> 00:42:03,839 Speaker 1: do it for us today on the Betting Pros College 889 00:42:03,880 --> 00:42:06,279 Speaker 1: Football show Bogs. He will be back later in the 890 00:42:06,320 --> 00:42:08,960 Speaker 1: week with some best bets and his player props, and 891 00:42:09,200 --> 00:42:11,920 Speaker 1: until then, like this video. If you enjoyed it, subscribe 892 00:42:11,920 --> 00:42:14,760 Speaker 1: to the Bank Pros YouTube channel and podcast feed, plus, 893 00:42:14,840 --> 00:42:17,880 Speaker 1: download the Bank Pros app and seek your sportsbooks today. 894 00:42:18,080 --> 00:42:21,520 Speaker 1: For Terrell Furman Junior and Scott Bogman, I'm Seth Wilcock. 895 00:42:21,719 --> 00:42:24,600 Speaker 4: Take care of y'all. Thanks for listening to the Betting 896 00:42:24,680 --> 00:42:25,520 Speaker 4: Pros podcast. 897 00:42:25,760 --> 00:42:28,160 Speaker 3: If you love the show, the best freeway to support 898 00:42:28,239 --> 00:42:31,120 Speaker 3: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts 899 00:42:31,200 --> 00:42:31,840 Speaker 3: or Spotify. 900 00:42:32,160 --> 00:42:34,759 Speaker 2: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 901 00:42:34,880 --> 00:42:38,520 Speaker 2: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 902 00:42:38,600 --> 00:42:41,080 Speaker 2: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros