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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast.

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Speaker 2: Pot all right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen Cundy, twenty five, thirty thirty five, Hony Coty five fifty.

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Speaker 4: And the kick as block the college football world stunner,

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Speaker 4: Oh my goodness, he's stumbled, and football the lateral turn,

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Speaker 4: the counter of the job.

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Speaker 1: Don't you believe that I'm not.

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Speaker 2: Gonna table off the field to night. It's not the

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Speaker 2: size of the dog in the fight. It's the size

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Speaker 2: of the fight in the dog.

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Speaker 5: What's up the gener nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 5: on Campus Podcast. This is the Week three college football

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Speaker 5: betting preview. I'm stucky and joining me as always my

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Speaker 5: fellow BBC Coast Colin Wilson. Got a lot to get

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Speaker 5: to today. We'll go through five marquee games, We'll do

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Speaker 5: a rundown, I'll get to some trash, and then of

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Speaker 5: course we'll go three and alive, our favorite favorite underdogs,

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Speaker 5: talk some Friday night lights, and then our favorite bets. Colin,

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Speaker 5: not the sexiest slate, but it's college football. I say

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Speaker 5: it all the time. When you don't expect the slate

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Speaker 5: to be great, college football never ceases to surprise. So

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Speaker 5: I wouldn't be shocked to be get a couple of

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Speaker 5: upsets no one is expecting this weekend.

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I mean like, I mean, we saw the

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Speaker 2: number with Northern Illinois trickle on Notre Dame. None of

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Speaker 2: us expected them to win out right, But this week

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Speaker 2: I think you really learned the identity of some of

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Speaker 2: these teams. Because conference play is starting now, we do

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Speaker 2: get some rivalry games. The Apple Cup is here, the

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Speaker 2: Civil War is here, Alabama steps out of the footprint

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Speaker 2: of the South, and the start of Big twelve play,

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Speaker 2: I mean, the most chaotic conference that there's going to be.

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Speaker 2: We get the start of some Big twelve games, so

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Speaker 2: it's going to be a lot of fun.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, and as always we're betting on it, so it

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Speaker 5: doesn't matter what games are, it'll be exciting. And before

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Speaker 5: we jump in here, as we've always done, this weekly

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Speaker 5: betting Previe episode drops overnight Thursday, but you can now

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Speaker 5: join us live every Thursday night, six pm Eastern for

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Speaker 5: the three and out portion new bdoc YouTube channel. Make

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Speaker 5: sure you subscribe there, help us car the channel, hit

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Speaker 5: the like button. All of that, But let's start with

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Speaker 5: the marquee games of the weekend.

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Speaker 1: It's another fabulous weekend of college football. Let's check out

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Speaker 1: the marquee matchups we'll all end up betting for Week three.

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Speaker 5: All right, let's start with the aforementioned Alabama at Wisconsin game.

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Speaker 5: Wisconsin the biggest underdog that they've been in quite some time,

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Speaker 5: the last time they're catching over two touchdowns at home

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Speaker 5: plus fourteen and a half over the past thirty years,

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Speaker 5: oh and eleven straight up as a double digit home underdog.

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Speaker 5: It's really it's actually an interesting game to me. The

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Speaker 5: Alabama offensive line last week, I was tweeting about this

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Speaker 5: entire was a disaster. They couldn't block anybody. They had

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Speaker 5: eight penalties, They couldn't get the run game going until

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Speaker 5: very late. You had Tyler Booker that let their left

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Speaker 5: guard playing left tackle. It was disastrous. Continuity issues, injury issues,

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Speaker 5: and it was just a mess. But the question then becomes,

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Speaker 5: can Wisconsin's defensive line really take advantage. I'm not sure

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Speaker 5: that's the weakness of their defense. Like he lost, you

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Speaker 5: already lost James Thompson, their breast a defensive lineman, to

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Speaker 5: an injury, and just wasn't a great unit already. I'd

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Speaker 5: expect them the blitz here test the offensive line for Alabama.

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Speaker 5: Try to contain Milroe's legs. That's going to open up

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Speaker 5: some deep shots for Milroe, which is where he excels.

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Speaker 5: Ken the offensive line hold up long enough and Ken

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Speaker 5: Wisconsin's secondary pulled up against these Alabama speedsters on the outside.

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Speaker 5: How many of these deep shots can Milroe hit? That's

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Speaker 5: probably what it's going to come down to. On the

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Speaker 5: other side of the ball. Alabama, Look, they blew out

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Speaker 5: Western Kentucky. That was more about Western Kentucky's in confidence

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Speaker 5: and TJ. Finley Brown for USF. They were running all

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Speaker 5: over Alabama, but they had they He missed multiple wide

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Speaker 5: open deep shots in the first quarter, three or four

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Speaker 5: of them. So Alabama's corners are really struggling. The young

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Speaker 5: kids just aren't up to speed yet. The offensive line

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Speaker 5: for Wisconsin's the strength of their team. Can they hold up.

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Speaker 5: I think they can do a good enough job. The

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Speaker 5: question is can Van Dyke take advantage of this some

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Speaker 5: Bologna assignments on the back end of Alabama? I'm not sure.

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Speaker 5: The passing attack's been so underwhelming with this new air

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Speaker 5: raid in Wisconsin. So interesting game at you know, if

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Speaker 5: this creeps out seventeen like I'm showing a little value

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Speaker 5: on Wisconsin now, so I would certainly lean that way.

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Speaker 5: Want to see what this Alabama offensive line injury situation

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Speaker 5: looks like, because it was a disaster last week. What

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Speaker 5: are you seeing here?

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Speaker 2: The offensive line for Alabama is the biggest question mark

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Speaker 2: in this game. They've allowed thirteen pressures in two games

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Speaker 2: against the defenses of Western Kentucky and South Florida. I mean,

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Speaker 2: competent offense is not really known for their havoc, so

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Speaker 2: you know, I think it really kind of diminished what

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Speaker 2: jam Miller did. He was electric. He had four point

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Speaker 2: six yards after contact, but he had to be because

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Speaker 2: the offensive line were not sticking with their blocks. To

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Speaker 2: me stuff. The handicap in this game came on the

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Speaker 2: other side of the ball because when Alabam's offense is

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Speaker 2: going against Wisconsin's defense, there's a lot of if and

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Speaker 2: because maybe like there's a lot of that, But when

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Speaker 2: you go to the other side of the ball, we

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Speaker 2: have variables that are pretty constant that we can definitely

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Speaker 2: bet on. And that is what the hell is going

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Speaker 2: on with the phil Longo's offense. I don't think this

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Speaker 2: is phil Longo's offense anymore. And their offense is cooled

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Speaker 2: to twenty seven seconds per play. Phil Longo offense is

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Speaker 2: twenty one seconds per play, so it is a major

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Speaker 2: cool offense tempo. The personnel has completely changed as to

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Speaker 2: where the Wisconsin offense is coming out with a much

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Speaker 2: heavier personnel. That is something that Phil Longo has never

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Speaker 2: had a lot of people around the badgery program thinks

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Speaker 2: Luke think Luke Fickles had a hand in that about

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Speaker 2: what we're going to do because we cannot create the

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Speaker 2: badger that is uncontested catches at the wide receiver position

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Speaker 2: for a second consecutive year in a Phil long Go offense.

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Speaker 2: It's something that you have to have. You have to

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Speaker 2: have dynamic targets that can create space, get downfield and

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Speaker 2: have uncontested catches. Wisconsin can't do that, So now they're

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Speaker 2: changing the offense of what Phil Longo likes to run.

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Speaker 2: So that's I mean, it's just a mess. Everything is

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Speaker 2: an absolute mess, and Wisconsin ranks dead last the big

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Speaker 2: play rate that's defined by Sports Source Analytics. It's a

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Speaker 2: combination of run, pass, all these big plays, but Wisconsin's last.

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Speaker 2: Alabama is right now at top five and preventing explosive passing.

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Speaker 2: So I don't expect this Wisconsin offense to get any

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Speaker 2: kind of sustenance downsfield. No twenty yard passes, no explosive runs.

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Speaker 2: The Badgers are going to be expected to create methodical drives,

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Speaker 2: move the chains and get into scoring position. Well, that's

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Speaker 2: a problem against Caine willmax three to three five for Alabama.

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Speaker 2: He's going to load the box, he's going to come

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Speaker 2: after TVD. They're going to run into the tenth best

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Speaker 2: defense against the run Wisconsin under sixteen and a half here,

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Speaker 2: I don't know how they score. It's not the explosive pass,

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Speaker 2: not the explosive run, and they have to generate a

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Speaker 2: methodical drive. I don't think that's going to happen either

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Speaker 2: under sixteen and a half. For me, on Wisconsin's total.

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Speaker 6: Points, we need to go keep out Romans until we

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Speaker 6: do something.

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Speaker 5: Stupid.

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Speaker 4: Egg hailed.

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Speaker 5: The exposive pass numbers for Alabama. They could be much

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Speaker 5: worse if if they had an opponent that could hit.

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Speaker 5: There's been wide open guys in the secondary both games

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Speaker 5: against USF and WKU. I just don't know if Wisconsin,

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Speaker 5: with Van Dyke, who hasn't looked great and their receivers

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Speaker 5: can fully take advantage. But we'll see, Oh donib the

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Speaker 5: pipes pipe from land. All right, let's move on to

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Speaker 5: the second Marquee game. Let's talk a little Notre Dame Purdue.

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Speaker 5: Notre Dame down to like a nine and a half

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Speaker 5: point favored here as we record produced take some money.

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Speaker 5: Purdue coming off of a buy Notre Name, obviously coming

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Speaker 5: off of that upset loss at home against Northern Illinois,

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Speaker 5: is a four touchdown favorite. Riley Leonard dealing with an

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Speaker 5: injury to his non throwing shoulder that could hurt his

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Speaker 5: rushing ability, and that's like his best attribute. I think

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Speaker 5: produce live in this game. There's a lot of variants

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Speaker 5: we still so like I'm probably gonna have them in

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Speaker 5: a round robin and don't mind taking a shot of

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Speaker 5: them in the money line. The Purdue defense, it has

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Speaker 5: some potential this year. Ivan So this is year two

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Speaker 5: of Graham Harrol air raid, right, and it's year two

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Speaker 5: of the Ryan Walters air strike defense. So if they

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Speaker 5: had a lot of turnover on the roster, do they

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Speaker 5: have the receivers now to run this air raid? We'll

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Speaker 5: find out. I think Hudson card now he's healthier he

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Speaker 5: was dealing with a number of injuries last year, so

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Speaker 5: I think the offense has a little bit more potential

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Speaker 5: than some are maybe assuming the defense is where I'm

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Speaker 5: actually really excited air strike defense of Ryan Walters, which

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Speaker 5: had a ton of success at Illinois. Three defensive line

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Speaker 5: and you're gonna have your linebackers also up on the

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Speaker 5: line of scrimmage, usually have one linebacker, and then you're

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Speaker 5: gonna have four defensive bats and then your deep deep

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Speaker 5: free safety who's really good in fedam In. But you're

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Speaker 5: gonna have five guys line scrimage and it's cover one.

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Speaker 5: It's aggressive, heavy man. Last year they give a ton

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Speaker 5: of exposive places. How you have to beat this Purdue

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Speaker 5: Cover one heavy defense. You gotta hit them deep, hit

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Speaker 5: exposive place. Can Leonard even throw it deep? Can these

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Speaker 5: receivers get open? I'm not fully convinced that that'll happen.

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Speaker 5: Where is Notre Dame ap mentally not sure. Maybe they

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Speaker 5: just come out with their hair on fire. Maybe they're

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Speaker 5: a bit fragile. Purdue. They've had a bye week too,

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Speaker 5: so they've had two weeks pair after kind of seeing

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Speaker 5: some things with a brand new roster, I think they

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Speaker 5: have a shot here to play the role of spoiler makers.

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Speaker 5: What do you see?

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Speaker 2: I agree with you on a ton and I think

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Speaker 2: everybody should take a step back and realize that Northern

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Speaker 2: Illinois was not a box score fraud. They literally beat

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Speaker 2: the pants off of Notre Dame. They created twice as

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Speaker 2: many methodical drives. They created an explode subdrive against this

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Speaker 2: what we thought was a great Notre Dame defense. When

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Speaker 2: they took on Texas A and M, Northern Illinois had

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Speaker 2: sixty five percent success rate in passing downs. Like, I'm

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Speaker 2: not sure what's going on with this Irish defense. The

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Speaker 2: defensive line has created one sack through two games. That

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Speaker 2: seems abnormal. You know, you have to be able to

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Speaker 2: read the market and you have to be able to

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Speaker 2: understand why things are moving. I mean this number caught

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Speaker 2: resistance at ten and a half, caught resistance at ten,

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Speaker 2: cought resists at nine and a half, and as we're

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Speaker 2: recording this right now, two of the sharpest books that

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Speaker 2: are out there at nine and I think it's real,

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Speaker 2: completely real. So if you like Notre Dame, I don't

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Speaker 2: really have much to tell you because we don't know

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Speaker 2: their psyche. They're saying all the right things. We've fixed

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Speaker 2: our fundamentals. We have an appetite for whatever they have

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Speaker 2: to say. All that, but this team is broken when

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Speaker 2: Norman Illinois dominates you on your own home field. At

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Speaker 2: the numbers that I just gave out, Purdue is absolutely

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Speaker 2: live here. I wouldn't be shocked if it closes lower

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Speaker 2: than nine stock. I mean, I really could see this

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Speaker 2: taking a hit on Saturday morning when we're doing our show.

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Speaker 5: Agreed, All right, Let's move on to where college game

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Speaker 5: day will be with LSU and South Carolina. LSU little

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Speaker 5: underwhelming last week against Nicols State after the opening season

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Speaker 5: loss to USC. South Carolina was underwhelming their opener, but

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Speaker 5: really bounced back against Kentucky, pulling off the road upset.

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Speaker 5: South kinda is sitting in around a touchdown underdog here.

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Speaker 5: Totals come down. Keep an eye on the weather if

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Speaker 5: it doesn't look terrible though. As of now, I lean

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Speaker 5: South Carolina here. I was way higher than anyone on

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Speaker 5: South Kronda coming into the year have their win total

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Speaker 5: over so it was a big win last week. Pull

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Speaker 5: off another upset this week. I think they're live in

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Speaker 5: this game. It's an interesting matchup though, because it's like

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Speaker 5: strength on strength, weakness on weakness. I think, you know

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Speaker 5: when you first look at this Emery Jones and Will Campbell,

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Speaker 5: they are excellent tackles. I don't think Campbell's giving up

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Speaker 5: a sack in two years. And they're gonna go up

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Speaker 5: against Stuart and Knar Stewart is awesome, the two edge

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Speaker 5: rushers for South Carolina. Their defensive line is legit. They're

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Speaker 5: going up against an LSU team that I think the

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Speaker 5: interior that offensive line was one of the more overrated units.

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Speaker 5: This is what I've written them in the country. They've

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Speaker 5: struggled just getting any sense of a run game outside

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Speaker 5: of the one guy at Emery he's now out for

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Speaker 5: the year. You know, have a run game now. The

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Speaker 5: receivers led by Lacy have looked pretty good. Nus Meyer

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Speaker 5: has looked great. So it's who's going to win that

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Speaker 5: battle and else he has the ball, Who's going to

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Speaker 5: win that battle of the edge rushers versus the tackles.

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Speaker 5: Strength on strength should be really fun to watch. On

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Speaker 5: the other side of the ball, it's, you know, weakness

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Speaker 5: on weakness. The LSU defense is vulnerable. They also just

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Speaker 5: lost their starting defensive tackle Gillery, to a season ending injury.

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Speaker 5: Now you're going with like on defensive tackle, you're going

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Speaker 5: like a D two transfer and a Wisconsin rotation player.

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Speaker 5: They missed out on a number of transfers in the offseason.

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Speaker 5: It's not great, but ken South Carolina take advantage throwing

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Speaker 5: the ball. I'm not sure, but I think that they

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Speaker 5: might be able to have some success, but just an

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Speaker 5: intriguing matchup across the board. I think South Carolina is

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Speaker 5: live though at home. How else you team has flaws?

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Speaker 5: What do you see here?

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Speaker 2: We got a tough bunch. I mean, you spelled out

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Speaker 2: everything that would lead to what I want to bet

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Speaker 2: on this, which is the under LSU has severe struggles

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Speaker 2: running the ball. Now that John Emery's out for the season.

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Speaker 2: You know you've completely changed your run concepts here with

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Speaker 2: what you have under center, which is Garrett Nusmeyer. And

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Speaker 2: I mean they're throwing on sixty three percent of snap

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Speaker 2: so far. Nuss is it eight to one TD to

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Speaker 2: I in t ratio, but he only has two big

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Speaker 2: time throws, which tells you that Kyrien Lacy and Aaron Anderson,

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Speaker 2: they've been responsible for most of the success and explosiveness

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Speaker 2: on this LSU offense. So really it comes down cann

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Speaker 2: South Carolina's secondary shut down. What is the juice on

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Speaker 2: the LSU offense, which is the wide receivers, and it's

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Speaker 2: you're right, it's a hell of a battle there, and

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Speaker 2: you can take that away from LSU. They're essentially not

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Speaker 2: going to be able to do anything to get points

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Speaker 2: up on the board. Now South Carolina, I know they

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Speaker 2: face Kentucky, I know they face the old Dominion passing attacks,

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Speaker 2: but they're currently graded at sixth in coverage, twenty first

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Speaker 2: and on target allowed. I know the competition is bad,

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Speaker 2: so I don't want to harp on too much, but

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Speaker 2: South Carolina does have in the secondary the ability to

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Speaker 2: take away what is LSU's maybe only feature right now,

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Speaker 2: and that's working, which is the pass game. Now when

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Speaker 2: you go to the other side of the ball, like

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Speaker 2: this passing attack from South Carolina is a joke.

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Speaker 5: I mean they block dug.

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Speaker 2: They only had two hundred and fifty yards, twenty two

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Speaker 2: defensive pressures and forty nine dropbacks so far this year

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Speaker 2: for South Carolina. The offensive line is not getting it done.

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Speaker 2: The successes come on explosives. In the past game a

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Speaker 2: couple of them they're hitting during the game Sellers is

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Speaker 2: total point two average up of target. It's not that

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Speaker 2: he's throwing deep. It's that they've kind of found a

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Speaker 2: couple of coverage guys falling asleep. To me, this is

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Speaker 2: all under all the way. The first half under still

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Speaker 2: a twenty four and a half while this thing is

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Speaker 2: trending past forty eight into forty seven. So I just

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Speaker 2: like the under here because both teams can negate on defense.

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Speaker 2: With the offense does best, I would.

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Speaker 5: Agree it's under or nothing with the total, even with

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Speaker 5: it already coming down, Let's go on to prime time.

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Speaker 5: Won't spend too much time in this game. But Georgia

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Speaker 5: at Kentucky in my backyard, the slates so bad. I've

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Speaker 5: never left TVs in my life for Saturdays Sunday, either

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Speaker 5: at a bar at my house. I might go to

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Speaker 5: the Kentucky game. Got some sweet tickets. There's to be

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Speaker 5: some TVs there. I'll try to get some other games on.

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Speaker 5: I might go.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't blame you. I might go to UAB

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Speaker 2: so I don't blame you.

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Speaker 5: Rock Vandergriff revenge game for Kentucky's twenty four and a

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Speaker 5: half point underdog year last week against South Carolina. He

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Speaker 5: finished three of ten for thirty yards in a pick.

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Speaker 5: He had negative twenty nine yards rushing and include sacks.

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Speaker 5: Finished with one yard one total yard. Not great. It

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Speaker 5: wasn't all on him. The offensive line is a mess.

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Speaker 5: I mean they're left tackle cocks supposed to be their

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Speaker 5: most reliable. He got beat like a drum against that

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Speaker 5: South Carol on the front. They have injuries on the

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Speaker 5: offensive line. Now we'll see who ends up going, but

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Speaker 5: they're probably going to be down a couple guys. Not great.

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Speaker 5: And now here comes Georgia. At least looks like Michael Williams.

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Speaker 5: It could be like the top overall pick in the

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Speaker 5: draft for Georgia. It looks like he's not going to play.

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Speaker 5: That does help. The Kentucky defense is good, like they're

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Speaker 5: they're up there front seven is good. It is a

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Speaker 5: good spot here, like you're gonna get Kentucky's best effort,

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Speaker 5: but they're just at such a talent disadvantage, and like

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Speaker 5: will you get anything on the offensive line or the

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Speaker 5: quarterback position at twenty four and a half eyed leaen Kentucky.

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Speaker 5: But it's not something I'm running to bet with. What

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Speaker 5: that Kentucky offense is dealing with right now, what do

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Speaker 5: you see here?

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Speaker 2: I mean I project this game twenty one and a half.

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Speaker 2: SPPLUS makes it twenty two and a half, So a

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Speaker 2: lot of sharper projections are slipping this right below twenty four.

333
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Speaker 2: So you're seeing a numbers play now when you see

334
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Speaker 2: this twenty four and a half dip down to twenty

335
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Speaker 2: three and a half. But listen, you're trying to make

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Speaker 2: a case for Kentucky. How I mean, they're outside the

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Speaker 2: top one hundred defensive passing success rate, they're grade at

338
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Speaker 2: one hundred and seventh the PFF's coverage grading, And you say, well,

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Speaker 2: is Georgia going to pass the ball? Let's put it

340
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Speaker 2: this way. They had no running back depth against Clemson whatsoever,

341
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Speaker 2: and the passing attack against Clemson secondary destroyed them. They

342
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Speaker 2: are now a complete team from a run and pass perspective.

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Speaker 2: So you have to wonder, like they can hit Kentucky

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Speaker 2: from so many different ways, but the way that you

345
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Speaker 2: want to hit Kentucky is through the air. Georgia has

346
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Speaker 2: the utmost ability with a number of targets to go

347
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Speaker 2: crazy against Kentucky's defense.

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Speaker 5: Here, what is also no Vandergriff like they know, not

349
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Speaker 5: that you even need to know him saw him down

350
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Speaker 5: if we saw last week, but.

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Speaker 2: Oh Kirby's like he knows every movement on this quarterback.

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Speaker 7: When you worry about results, like so many people in

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Speaker 7: our society do, it makes it tough to ever be happy.

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Speaker 7: So we don't concern ourselves with the results. We try

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Speaker 7: to focus on unbelievable effort, resiliency and relentless effort, and

356
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Speaker 7: that's what matters. And if you do that, you'll usually

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Speaker 7: get good results.

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Speaker 2: If you want to take him at twenty four or

359
00:17:30,800 --> 00:17:33,000
Speaker 2: higher and wait on a coin flip at the end

360
00:17:33,040 --> 00:17:34,920
Speaker 2: of the game, I'm not sure that's the best play

361
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Speaker 2: because historically Georgia has dominated a Kentucky. Kentucky is just

362
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Speaker 2: not able to play Georgia ball with Georgia, and so

363
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Speaker 2: for that reason, I would not put a penny on

364
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Speaker 2: Kentucky here.

365
00:17:46,040 --> 00:17:48,600
Speaker 5: If you like Kentucky, parlay with the under. I think

366
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Speaker 5: that's the only way they can say in this All right,

367
00:18:02,520 --> 00:18:04,919
Speaker 5: let's move on to our final market game day in primetime,

368
00:18:05,720 --> 00:18:11,119
Speaker 5: it's Primetime with Colorado, always an adventure to watch. Traveling

369
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Speaker 5: to Colorado State, a rematch of last year's thriller, which

370
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Speaker 5: Colorado State arguably should have won that game as massive

371
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Speaker 5: underdogs sitting around a touchdown underdog here. I'll have more

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Speaker 5: on this game later. It should be a pass binanz

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Speaker 5: I think last year there was ninety five past attempts

374
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Speaker 5: combined between the two quarterbacks who return. You have two

375
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Speaker 5: star receivers, so it should be a fun game to watch.

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Speaker 5: I'll share my thoughts later during the three and out

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Speaker 5: segment calmed do you have anything here you want to mention?

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00:18:36,920 --> 00:18:39,480
Speaker 2: I took Colorado over thirty three and a half on

379
00:18:39,520 --> 00:18:42,200
Speaker 2: the team total because, like I said, can you flush

380
00:18:42,240 --> 00:18:44,919
Speaker 2: Shuder from the pocket? I'm not sure Colorado State's defensive

381
00:18:44,920 --> 00:18:47,560
Speaker 2: line can. But more importantly, they do not have a

382
00:18:47,640 --> 00:18:50,639
Speaker 2: defensive secondary that can hang with the targets that Colorado has. So,

383
00:18:51,000 --> 00:18:53,880
Speaker 2: from the perspective of the number of pressure has had

384
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Speaker 2: and from the perspective of him bitching to the media

385
00:18:56,040 --> 00:18:58,720
Speaker 2: about how no, his offensive line isn't protecting him all

386
00:18:58,720 --> 00:19:01,320
Speaker 2: that whining, it's going to be an easier game from

387
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Speaker 2: a pressure perspective, that should give him a couple more

388
00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:06,080
Speaker 2: extra explosive plays. I like him to do what he

389
00:19:06,080 --> 00:19:08,000
Speaker 2: does to get over thirty three and a half on

390
00:19:08,040 --> 00:19:10,040
Speaker 2: the team totals, but Horton is definitely the guy to

391
00:19:10,080 --> 00:19:12,160
Speaker 2: be watching for to see if Colorado State can get

392
00:19:12,160 --> 00:19:12,440
Speaker 2: this win.

393
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Speaker 5: All right, good stuff, let's move on to the rundown.

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Speaker 5: We will hit ten games here. Do it in rapid

395
00:19:17,760 --> 00:19:20,199
Speaker 5: fire fashion. Come on, man, are we doing this or not?

396
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Speaker 4: Yeah?

397
00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:22,560
Speaker 2: No, I'm are we doing it or now? I'm on

398
00:19:22,600 --> 00:19:25,880
Speaker 2: the same being a line if we.

399
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Speaker 5: Can't do this right Oregon at Oregon State this civil war.

400
00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:36,760
Speaker 5: Let's see. Oregon is currently sitting as a sixteen and

401
00:19:36,800 --> 00:19:40,679
Speaker 5: a half point favorite here total fifty one. Geovanni McCoy

402
00:19:40,680 --> 00:19:43,280
Speaker 5: the new quarterback. The Idaho transfer has taken over at

403
00:19:43,320 --> 00:19:46,639
Speaker 5: Oregon State. They have a ton of turnover on the

404
00:19:46,720 --> 00:19:50,600
Speaker 5: roster across the board, coaching staff, quarterback all over. They

405
00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:53,879
Speaker 5: have a huge offensive line again, They're gonna feed Hankerson

406
00:19:54,119 --> 00:19:56,520
Speaker 5: and Griffin and they have some speedy receivers they want

407
00:19:56,520 --> 00:19:58,800
Speaker 5: to get the ball to in space. The question is

408
00:19:58,880 --> 00:20:01,440
Speaker 5: on Oregon. I don't want to back this Oregon team

409
00:20:01,480 --> 00:20:04,160
Speaker 5: right now. When will their offensive line look better?

410
00:20:04,440 --> 00:20:04,919
Speaker 2: I don't know.

411
00:20:05,240 --> 00:20:07,120
Speaker 5: They can't get a run game going. Gabriels holding onto

412
00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:10,159
Speaker 5: the ball too long, He's under pressure too often, a

413
00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:12,679
Speaker 5: lot of continuity issues on this offensive line. The defense

414
00:20:12,720 --> 00:20:16,520
Speaker 5: has been softer than I expected it to be. But

415
00:20:16,560 --> 00:20:19,400
Speaker 5: there's still a lot of unknowns with Oregon State. I mean,

416
00:20:20,000 --> 00:20:22,600
Speaker 5: they took care of business against San Diego State, but

417
00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:25,720
Speaker 5: it's not a great San Diego State team. Oregon hasn't

418
00:20:25,760 --> 00:20:29,359
Speaker 5: won in Corvale since twenty eighteen. Oregon State has won

419
00:20:29,600 --> 00:20:32,600
Speaker 5: the past two. With all the uncertainty, I mean, I

420
00:20:32,640 --> 00:20:35,480
Speaker 5: wouldn't shock me with the way Oregon's playing. They should

421
00:20:35,480 --> 00:20:38,400
Speaker 5: have lost a boise. There was a one possession game

422
00:20:38,440 --> 00:20:41,440
Speaker 5: with Idaho. Wouldn't shock me. You want to get crazy,

423
00:20:41,480 --> 00:20:43,560
Speaker 5: throw Oregon State and around Robin. What do you see here?

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Speaker 2: I agree with you because there are advantages here for

425
00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:49,000
Speaker 2: Oregon State. Just depends on how Oregon's going to play it.

426
00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:51,320
Speaker 2: The andicap really comes down. Can the Ducks clean up

427
00:20:51,320 --> 00:20:54,240
Speaker 2: their offensive line issues with pass protection? Can they defend

428
00:20:54,240 --> 00:20:57,040
Speaker 2: the rush of Oregon State? Can they defend the red

429
00:20:57,119 --> 00:20:59,479
Speaker 2: zone against Oregon State? I mean there's a lot that

430
00:20:59,520 --> 00:21:01,560
Speaker 2: Oregon me to do to win this game, not the

431
00:21:01,600 --> 00:21:03,159
Speaker 2: other way around, which is really how you would look

432
00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:05,320
Speaker 2: at the underdog. I think there's going to be a

433
00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:08,840
Speaker 2: heavier run tendency for Oregon here considering that the offensive

434
00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:11,800
Speaker 2: line has been horrific in pass protection for Dylan Gabriel

435
00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:15,399
Speaker 2: and his history blocking two is bad. The run blocking

436
00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:18,199
Speaker 2: has been bad, but in passing attempts, Dylan Gabriel has

437
00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:20,760
Speaker 2: been bad with his accuracy when he gets pressure. And

438
00:21:20,800 --> 00:21:22,640
Speaker 2: this is why I did not understand all these people

439
00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:24,439
Speaker 2: running to get Dylan Gabriel fourteen to want to win

440
00:21:24,480 --> 00:21:26,399
Speaker 2: the Heisman, because when he gets pressure, he's not an

441
00:21:26,400 --> 00:21:30,040
Speaker 2: elite quarterback. So if they decide to run, that's what

442
00:21:30,080 --> 00:21:32,320
Speaker 2: you want to do against this Oregon State defense because

443
00:21:32,320 --> 00:21:35,000
Speaker 2: they're outside the top one hundred and defensive stuff rate.

444
00:21:35,359 --> 00:21:37,600
Speaker 2: But Jordan James is nowhere near what he was last year.

445
00:21:37,680 --> 00:21:40,400
Speaker 2: Last year was four yards after contact. He has yet

446
00:21:40,440 --> 00:21:42,679
Speaker 2: to create an explosive run for the Ducks. Now, when

447
00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:43,840
Speaker 2: you go to the other side of the ball, Organ

448
00:21:43,880 --> 00:21:45,960
Speaker 2: Stint's going to run the ball seventy two percent clips

449
00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:48,760
Speaker 2: so far, why not your top twenty and success rate

450
00:21:48,840 --> 00:21:51,720
Speaker 2: running your line yards are sixth. The Beavers are twenty

451
00:21:51,760 --> 00:21:54,359
Speaker 2: first and creating quality drives. They are marching up and

452
00:21:54,400 --> 00:21:57,679
Speaker 2: down the field against teams. And you know Orgon is

453
00:21:57,680 --> 00:22:00,199
Speaker 2: one of the worst defenses nationally in the extended red

454
00:22:00,280 --> 00:22:03,560
Speaker 2: zone and nine trips the Boise State and Idaho got

455
00:22:03,560 --> 00:22:06,680
Speaker 2: past the forty yard line, they average four point six points.

456
00:22:07,000 --> 00:22:09,200
Speaker 2: So for that reason, I think Oregon State is completely

457
00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:11,840
Speaker 2: live here. I see a total at fifty one, I

458
00:22:11,880 --> 00:22:13,639
Speaker 2: see a dip down to fifty and a half forty

459
00:22:13,720 --> 00:22:16,960
Speaker 2: nine being key. The under is where my attention has been,

460
00:22:17,000 --> 00:22:18,639
Speaker 2: but I'm not sure if I believe this organ steam

461
00:22:18,720 --> 00:22:21,520
Speaker 2: up to seventeen. So I'm more veering towards the under,

462
00:22:21,800 --> 00:22:23,080
Speaker 2: and I believe the Ducks are going to run the

463
00:22:23,080 --> 00:22:24,720
Speaker 2: ball more because that's where their advantages are.

464
00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:27,600
Speaker 5: I'm gonna sprinkle some on an Oregon State money line,

465
00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:30,360
Speaker 5: just a not a variance with that team and Oregon.

466
00:22:31,080 --> 00:22:32,480
Speaker 5: They could figure it out, blow them out.

467
00:22:32,520 --> 00:22:35,120
Speaker 2: But it could be a service Academy change bit right

468
00:22:35,160 --> 00:22:36,360
Speaker 2: could be seven positions.

469
00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:40,320
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470
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471
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488
00:23:47,280 --> 00:23:51,399
Speaker 5: move go on to Texas A and M taking on Florida.

489
00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:53,920
Speaker 5: The AGAs haven't one of road games since twenty twenty one.

490
00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:56,560
Speaker 5: They will try to do so for the first time.

491
00:23:56,600 --> 00:23:59,040
Speaker 5: Get their season back on track after the opening season

492
00:23:59,040 --> 00:24:01,600
Speaker 5: loss against Notre Dame. Sitting around a three and a

493
00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:06,320
Speaker 5: half point road favorite injuries definitely favorite text Adam here.

494
00:24:06,359 --> 00:24:09,600
Speaker 5: Florida has a number of defensive back injuries worth monitoring.

495
00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:13,440
Speaker 5: Eugene Wilson, who's massive. It sounds like he's gonna be out.

496
00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:16,240
Speaker 5: That's a big loss. He hit twenty three and a

497
00:24:16,280 --> 00:24:19,280
Speaker 5: half miles per hour last week in his touchdown run.

498
00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:23,399
Speaker 5: That's ridiculous. The offensive line for Florida was still a

499
00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:25,520
Speaker 5: major question mark last week again Sanford. They were just

500
00:24:25,720 --> 00:24:28,800
Speaker 5: rotating guys every different drive. They were different guys in

501
00:24:28,840 --> 00:24:32,760
Speaker 5: there at all different positions. I expected Florida'd used him heavily,

502
00:24:32,800 --> 00:24:35,800
Speaker 5: kind of take advantage of text AdeM's aggressiveness. A lot

503
00:24:35,800 --> 00:24:38,119
Speaker 5: of variants in this game for a number of reasons,

504
00:24:38,119 --> 00:24:40,600
Speaker 5: Like so, I'm thinking about using Florida and as a

505
00:24:40,680 --> 00:24:44,720
Speaker 5: round robin piece because one, we didn't learn much about

506
00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:47,960
Speaker 5: either team last week. They played FCS teams two is

507
00:24:48,440 --> 00:24:51,160
Speaker 5: Texas A and m not really bad. They they lost

508
00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:53,200
Speaker 5: a Notre Dame and home. Notre Dame LOSTO nor they Illinois,

509
00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:55,040
Speaker 5: like the two data points we have on them, not

510
00:24:55,119 --> 00:24:58,840
Speaker 5: great and Florida. Maybe that was more about Miami in

511
00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:01,439
Speaker 5: the opener. Do scare me, But you have even more

512
00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:05,080
Speaker 5: variants here because the quarterback situation, like Mertz may start,

513
00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:07,760
Speaker 5: but you're going to see some lagwagism. A higher ceiling

514
00:25:07,880 --> 00:25:11,399
Speaker 5: increases the variance. Really talented kid. So the injuries do

515
00:25:11,480 --> 00:25:13,159
Speaker 5: scare me off a bit, but I mean text A

516
00:25:13,160 --> 00:25:15,359
Speaker 5: and M's laying a bigger number than Miami here on

517
00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:19,480
Speaker 5: the road. Apparently, if Mertz comes out first, the Florida

518
00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:21,720
Speaker 5: fans are planning on billing them. That's not right. Why

519
00:25:21,840 --> 00:25:23,720
Speaker 5: that's what I was reading on some message boards. I

520
00:25:23,760 --> 00:25:25,840
Speaker 5: don't know. I should boot boot Navier.

521
00:25:26,040 --> 00:25:27,920
Speaker 2: You got to go to work on the football part.

522
00:25:28,160 --> 00:25:30,720
Speaker 2: If we can focus on those things and not necessarily

523
00:25:30,760 --> 00:25:33,800
Speaker 2: what some guy in his basement saying in rural central

524
00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:36,520
Speaker 2: Florida on social media, then we got a chance to

525
00:25:36,520 --> 00:25:37,080
Speaker 2: get better.

526
00:25:37,840 --> 00:25:38,600
Speaker 5: See what do you got here?

527
00:25:38,600 --> 00:25:40,800
Speaker 2: Anything? I do like the under but I have Florida

528
00:25:40,840 --> 00:25:42,760
Speaker 2: and all my round Robbins, I missed the four and

529
00:25:42,800 --> 00:25:44,560
Speaker 2: a half down to three and a half. I fully

530
00:25:44,560 --> 00:25:46,480
Speaker 2: expect this thing to close at three or maybe even

531
00:25:46,520 --> 00:25:49,879
Speaker 2: two and a half. The Gators have the better offensive

532
00:25:50,040 --> 00:25:53,600
Speaker 2: talent here, especially at the quarterback position. Neither of these

533
00:25:53,640 --> 00:25:57,760
Speaker 2: teams are showing any kind of offensive probless Texas A

534
00:25:57,760 --> 00:26:01,600
Speaker 2: and M ranks as the worst past explosive team in

535
00:26:01,640 --> 00:26:03,480
Speaker 2: the nation that I think that's because they haven't produced

536
00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:06,280
Speaker 2: one yet. There's a lot of issues here, but the

537
00:26:06,320 --> 00:26:09,200
Speaker 2: skill set of what Florida has on their offense should

538
00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:11,040
Speaker 2: be able to take advantage of some point of Texas,

539
00:26:11,080 --> 00:26:13,240
Speaker 2: A and M, particularly through the air. I'm going to

540
00:26:13,280 --> 00:26:14,480
Speaker 2: take Florida here to win out right.

541
00:26:14,920 --> 00:26:18,440
Speaker 5: Washington at Washington State, well, I shouldn't say this will

542
00:26:18,480 --> 00:26:22,600
Speaker 5: be played at the Seattle Seahawks Stadium on a neutral field,

543
00:26:24,480 --> 00:26:26,600
Speaker 5: Washington sitting at about four and a half point favor

544
00:26:27,160 --> 00:26:29,920
Speaker 5: this to me, another high errants game like this, this

545
00:26:30,000 --> 00:26:32,040
Speaker 5: is this is gonna be the theme. We don't have

546
00:26:32,080 --> 00:26:33,760
Speaker 5: a lot of great data points for a lot of

547
00:26:33,800 --> 00:26:35,320
Speaker 5: these teams, and they have a lot of these teams

548
00:26:35,320 --> 00:26:38,160
Speaker 5: at extreme turner. I mean, Washington had one starter returning

549
00:26:38,520 --> 00:26:41,159
Speaker 5: like two guys from their entire two d is a

550
00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:43,560
Speaker 5: brand new team, brand new staff from the team that

551
00:26:43,600 --> 00:26:47,240
Speaker 5: went to the National Championship game. Washington State Tonnet turnover

552
00:26:47,320 --> 00:26:51,440
Speaker 5: as well. So and look, they they haven't they haven't

553
00:26:51,440 --> 00:26:54,360
Speaker 5: played really Washington has played Weaver State in eastern Michigan.

554
00:26:54,800 --> 00:26:55,960
Speaker 5: So that's one of the things that does make this

555
00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:59,000
Speaker 5: weekend tough. But the high variants game so I'm looking

556
00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:02,520
Speaker 5: Washington States are rob pieces money line. Look, because there's

557
00:27:02,520 --> 00:27:04,680
Speaker 5: just so much variance here. I would listen to someone

558
00:27:04,680 --> 00:27:06,680
Speaker 5: making a case for Washington State. I would listen to

559
00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:09,160
Speaker 5: a case, and you can make logical cases for both

560
00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:12,280
Speaker 5: sides here. I've been impressed with Mattier, a quarterback for

561
00:27:13,200 --> 00:27:15,880
Speaker 5: Washington State. He ran for a school record, was helped

562
00:27:16,000 --> 00:27:17,480
Speaker 5: like I think, like eighty years. I've closed to two

563
00:27:17,520 --> 00:27:21,000
Speaker 5: hundred yards on the ground last week. Yeah, I'm down

564
00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:22,040
Speaker 5: on this Washington team.

565
00:27:22,359 --> 00:27:22,600
Speaker 2: Yep.

566
00:27:22,760 --> 00:27:24,639
Speaker 5: We're still learning a lot about both these teams. But

567
00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:27,680
Speaker 5: I might take a shot on Washington State money line

568
00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:29,240
Speaker 5: just because of the variants. What are you seeing here?

569
00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:31,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, this number was like Washington minus eight on a

570
00:27:31,400 --> 00:27:34,480
Speaker 2: look aheadline last week and when it opened up reopened

571
00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:36,800
Speaker 2: on Sunday all the way down at four. I mean

572
00:27:37,000 --> 00:27:38,879
Speaker 2: that was I think that was my first bet that

573
00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:42,320
Speaker 2: I made in the app was Washington minus four. There's

574
00:27:42,359 --> 00:27:44,360
Speaker 2: a lot of advantages here for the Huskies. I mean,

575
00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:46,880
Speaker 2: first off, let's start off with the Washington Washington State

576
00:27:46,920 --> 00:27:49,360
Speaker 2: box score against Texas Tech. I mean, they were gifted

577
00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:51,160
Speaker 2: three turnovers, but fourth.

578
00:27:50,960 --> 00:27:53,120
Speaker 5: Down variance too, just like every Texas Tech and then,

579
00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:54,880
Speaker 5: but that went on Washington State's way.

580
00:27:55,160 --> 00:27:57,200
Speaker 2: There are a couple of stats in this game where

581
00:27:57,240 --> 00:27:59,400
Speaker 2: I was like, we're just I mean, I did get

582
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:01,800
Speaker 2: back door by Eastern Michigan with Washington last week, so

583
00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:04,639
Speaker 2: I wasn't even hesitant. I'm laying Washington minus four. I

584
00:28:04,680 --> 00:28:06,080
Speaker 2: would do to get at four and a half. Here,

585
00:28:06,359 --> 00:28:08,560
Speaker 2: there's a couple of things in the stat box where

586
00:28:08,880 --> 00:28:11,560
Speaker 2: it really strikes out. First off, there's a huge tackling

587
00:28:11,640 --> 00:28:16,000
Speaker 2: mismatch here. Belichick's got Washington tackling the second best, second

588
00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:18,520
Speaker 2: best grade in all PFF. Washington State's one hundred and

589
00:28:18,560 --> 00:28:20,399
Speaker 2: twenty sixth. When you get past that and you go

590
00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:23,359
Speaker 2: look at the havoc perspective, here, Washington's top thirty in

591
00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:27,520
Speaker 2: defensive havoc. Washington State is sixty first and havoc allowed

592
00:28:27,600 --> 00:28:30,000
Speaker 2: so and Washington is the number one team in the

593
00:28:30,080 --> 00:28:33,959
Speaker 2: nation and offensive line yards, they are moving the trench

594
00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:36,440
Speaker 2: at least three yards every time they rush the ball.

595
00:28:36,880 --> 00:28:38,600
Speaker 2: I'm going to take the team that can control the rush,

596
00:28:38,760 --> 00:28:41,959
Speaker 2: has the better tackling, has the havoc advantage. That's Washington

597
00:28:42,040 --> 00:28:44,440
Speaker 2: grabbed the four and a half. If I probably won't

598
00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:46,280
Speaker 2: kill you throwing a money line if it gets too fat.

599
00:28:46,280 --> 00:28:52,000
Speaker 5: On Saturday, West Virginia taking on Pitt backyard brawl.

600
00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:54,560
Speaker 2: Hey, swarm and tackle.

601
00:28:55,000 --> 00:28:59,520
Speaker 4: It's mountain, their pride from the heart play no doubt,

602
00:29:00,760 --> 00:29:05,240
Speaker 4: no doubt, not this night, No night.

603
00:29:05,840 --> 00:29:09,600
Speaker 5: Pit with an improbable win last week against Cincinnati, came

604
00:29:09,640 --> 00:29:12,959
Speaker 5: back from way down. They got extremely lucky. I am

605
00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:15,200
Speaker 5: worried about the West Virginia defense. I think they've taken

606
00:29:15,240 --> 00:29:17,680
Speaker 5: a significant step back. I have the West Virginia season

607
00:29:17,720 --> 00:29:20,000
Speaker 5: win total under one of the reasons I bet it

608
00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:21,440
Speaker 5: also is I thought the offensive line was going to

609
00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:23,680
Speaker 5: take a step back. You lost your two best guys,

610
00:29:23,880 --> 00:29:28,720
Speaker 5: including one one of the NFL and one really steady tackle.

611
00:29:28,760 --> 00:29:29,800
Speaker 5: There was no way they were going to be as

612
00:29:29,840 --> 00:29:33,160
Speaker 5: good as last year. But I'm still not completely sold

613
00:29:33,200 --> 00:29:37,520
Speaker 5: on this Pit team. Like they looked horrendous until you know,

614
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:39,360
Speaker 5: late in the game when they just went Banat has

615
00:29:39,360 --> 00:29:42,000
Speaker 5: been since he was completely worn down. And the first

616
00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:45,440
Speaker 5: game was against Kent State. So West Virginia's two point

617
00:29:45,600 --> 00:29:49,120
Speaker 5: road favorite or total took off up to sixty four.

618
00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:51,920
Speaker 5: A lot of us to do with the Pitt tempo.

619
00:29:52,320 --> 00:29:55,280
Speaker 5: Do you love West Virginia the offseason? You probably should

620
00:29:55,280 --> 00:29:57,920
Speaker 5: have waited. Wes has been disappointing and it's been better.

621
00:29:58,320 --> 00:29:59,400
Speaker 5: You still like West Virginia.

622
00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:01,320
Speaker 2: I got a dime on minus four and a half

623
00:30:01,360 --> 00:30:03,240
Speaker 2: on West Virginia. I'm not going to get out of it,

624
00:30:03,320 --> 00:30:05,440
Speaker 2: but I do like this total soaring that's going to

625
00:30:05,480 --> 00:30:08,400
Speaker 2: give me an opportunity to get out of it. This

626
00:30:08,480 --> 00:30:11,240
Speaker 2: bread's going to hover around a pick here. What would

627
00:30:11,240 --> 00:30:14,280
Speaker 2: this spread be if you didn't have what fifteen unanswered

628
00:30:14,280 --> 00:30:16,000
Speaker 2: points in the fourth quarter to come from behind to

629
00:30:16,040 --> 00:30:19,000
Speaker 2: beat Cincinnati. So I'm not a believer in Pitt whatsoever.

630
00:30:19,440 --> 00:30:21,520
Speaker 2: Schedule has been pretty easy to this standpoint as to

631
00:30:21,520 --> 00:30:23,720
Speaker 2: where West Virginia had to deal with the total nikky offense.

632
00:30:23,760 --> 00:30:26,120
Speaker 2: I know the defensive numbers are bad, and we expected,

633
00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:28,280
Speaker 2: with so many transfers in the West Virginia back seven

634
00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:30,160
Speaker 2: for them to struggle a little bit, but I don't

635
00:30:30,160 --> 00:30:31,920
Speaker 2: expect this pit offense to be able to take advantage

636
00:30:31,920 --> 00:30:33,880
Speaker 2: of that. I still like what West Virginia does on

637
00:30:33,880 --> 00:30:36,280
Speaker 2: the ground. The fact that Pitt is just slipping inside

638
00:30:36,280 --> 00:30:39,360
Speaker 2: the top fifty in defensive rush rankings that against Kent

639
00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:41,760
Speaker 2: State and Sincy tells me you're not really that great.

640
00:30:42,360 --> 00:30:43,960
Speaker 2: Let's take it with my West Virginia minus four and

641
00:30:44,000 --> 00:30:46,040
Speaker 2: a half. So obviously if you can get this one

642
00:30:46,040 --> 00:30:47,440
Speaker 2: and a half or a cheap money line to take

643
00:30:47,480 --> 00:30:47,800
Speaker 2: that too.

644
00:30:48,160 --> 00:30:50,360
Speaker 5: Yeah, these are two teams I'm low on, so pass

645
00:30:50,440 --> 00:30:53,040
Speaker 5: for me. Here's game that could get weird. Ole Miss

646
00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:59,280
Speaker 5: at wake Forest. The wake Forest offense I think has

647
00:30:59,280 --> 00:31:03,560
Speaker 5: looked better than I expected. The Ole Miss offense has

648
00:31:03,560 --> 00:31:06,720
Speaker 5: looked great. They haven't really played anybody they are up to.

649
00:31:06,880 --> 00:31:10,240
Speaker 5: Let me check the latest lines here at twenty two

650
00:31:10,240 --> 00:31:13,200
Speaker 5: and a half point favorite here, total up to sixty

651
00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:16,560
Speaker 5: four and a half. I think Lane really wants Dark

652
00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:19,240
Speaker 5: to get the heisman. He's not going to stop. That's

653
00:31:19,280 --> 00:31:21,440
Speaker 5: something to keep in mind here if they're up big

654
00:31:21,560 --> 00:31:24,320
Speaker 5: late or you need points for the total. He never

655
00:31:24,360 --> 00:31:27,200
Speaker 5: stopped before, but I think he has even more incentive

656
00:31:27,480 --> 00:31:32,040
Speaker 5: to keep going. Wake farest is off a heartbreaking loss.

657
00:31:32,040 --> 00:31:34,040
Speaker 5: I got out scored fourteen to nothing in the fourth quarter.

658
00:31:34,320 --> 00:31:39,560
Speaker 5: You know, one point loss to Virginia. But Bachmeyer looks

659
00:31:39,560 --> 00:31:42,040
Speaker 5: good in that offense with the mesh and he threw

660
00:31:42,080 --> 00:31:46,160
Speaker 5: for over four hundred last week. Wake Farts should should

661
00:31:46,160 --> 00:31:48,800
Speaker 5: have an opportunity to put some points up here. What

662
00:31:48,800 --> 00:31:49,400
Speaker 5: do you see here?

663
00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:52,680
Speaker 2: I see a wake Force defense that is going and

664
00:31:52,720 --> 00:31:55,720
Speaker 2: compete as obvious problems. Yeah, the d is really bad.

665
00:31:55,920 --> 00:31:57,520
Speaker 2: You go to the first game of the season Thursday night,

666
00:31:57,560 --> 00:31:59,880
Speaker 2: August twenty ninth. I mean Wake Forest went into halftime,

667
00:32:00,040 --> 00:32:03,040
Speaker 2: it's NCAA and T only up a possession. There's problems

668
00:32:03,040 --> 00:32:05,240
Speaker 2: all over this team. They just haven't been exposed until

669
00:32:05,320 --> 00:32:07,640
Speaker 2: Virginia started to wake up in the fourth quarter. I

670
00:32:07,840 --> 00:32:10,880
Speaker 2: completely believe in you that there is an agenda from

671
00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:13,720
Speaker 2: Lane Giffen for Jackson Dart to win this Heisman. I

672
00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:16,040
Speaker 2: think the number is extremely short. I do make this

673
00:32:16,080 --> 00:32:18,400
Speaker 2: over twenty four, but I think the better bet is

674
00:32:18,480 --> 00:32:22,440
Speaker 2: Jackson Dart props all the way, completions, maybe total yards

675
00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:24,120
Speaker 2: because when you look at these numbers for wake Forest,

676
00:32:24,320 --> 00:32:27,760
Speaker 2: considering the competition is NCAA and T and Virginia, they're

677
00:32:27,800 --> 00:32:30,160
Speaker 2: not creating any havoc whatsoever. They're near the bottom of

678
00:32:30,200 --> 00:32:34,080
Speaker 2: the country. More importantly, they're allowing pass explosives at a

679
00:32:34,120 --> 00:32:37,640
Speaker 2: bottom fifteen rate in all of FBS. To me, this

680
00:32:37,720 --> 00:32:41,320
Speaker 2: is an agenda by Lane Kiffin to get him the heisman.

681
00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:43,480
Speaker 2: Who does almost play next week? Do we need to

682
00:32:43,560 --> 00:32:46,640
Speaker 2: lay off in the game. No, they played Georgia Southern

683
00:32:46,720 --> 00:32:49,480
Speaker 2: i Ole Miss is gonna route wake Forest. We're looking

684
00:32:49,520 --> 00:32:52,080
Speaker 2: at thirteen percent chance of rain, a little bit of

685
00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:53,640
Speaker 2: drizzle at the start of the game, then it's just

686
00:32:53,640 --> 00:32:56,400
Speaker 2: going to be mostly cloudy. Wins below ten miles an hour,

687
00:32:56,480 --> 00:32:59,880
Speaker 2: which tells me this should be smooth sailing for Jackson Dart.

688
00:33:00,000 --> 00:33:02,280
Speaker 6: Football season is here and if you've thought about becoming

689
00:33:02,320 --> 00:33:05,840
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692
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693
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Speaker 6: Kerner and his Action analytics team, Colin Wilson and Stucky

694
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696
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697
00:33:32,400 --> 00:33:36,120
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698
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699
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700
00:33:43,720 --> 00:33:48,520
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701
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Speaker 6: or follow the link in the episode's.

702
00:33:50,920 --> 00:33:55,320
Speaker 5: Description Indiana at UCLA. Indiana l three point road favorite

703
00:33:55,360 --> 00:33:58,840
Speaker 5: Ucla off a bye after escaping that win against Hawaii.

704
00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:02,080
Speaker 5: India is the great I'm high in Indiana this year

705
00:34:02,200 --> 00:34:05,040
Speaker 5: after win. Total over love this team. I can't get

706
00:34:05,080 --> 00:34:08,480
Speaker 5: to three at three, I lean Ucla, but I don't

707
00:34:08,520 --> 00:34:11,520
Speaker 5: like UCLA and I like Indiana. Probably a pass for me.

708
00:34:12,160 --> 00:34:14,040
Speaker 2: Nothing gets people excited like winning.

709
00:34:14,640 --> 00:34:15,480
Speaker 5: It's pretty simple.

710
00:34:15,520 --> 00:34:16,080
Speaker 2: I win.

711
00:34:17,640 --> 00:34:21,839
Speaker 5: Google me. Now may pissed you people off, but so what.

712
00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:23,680
Speaker 5: This is the entertainment business.

713
00:34:23,840 --> 00:34:26,280
Speaker 2: We had to wake some people up and create some excitement.

714
00:34:26,440 --> 00:34:28,839
Speaker 2: Whatever you know about Indiana in the past, you got

715
00:34:28,880 --> 00:34:38,920
Speaker 2: to raise the take. Well, yeah, Indiana doesn't have a

716
00:34:38,920 --> 00:34:43,440
Speaker 2: resume to justify the steam which I was a part of.

717
00:34:43,520 --> 00:34:45,480
Speaker 2: Like that Indiana money line is something that I wanted

718
00:34:45,520 --> 00:34:47,799
Speaker 2: real fast when this number opened up. There's a lot

719
00:34:47,840 --> 00:34:50,680
Speaker 2: of discrepancies in the havoc here. Signette's defensive havoc has

720
00:34:50,719 --> 00:34:54,640
Speaker 2: carried over from James Madison. Right now Indiana's seventh and

721
00:34:54,800 --> 00:34:57,839
Speaker 2: total defensive havoc here. They are creating a twenty first

722
00:34:57,840 --> 00:35:01,560
Speaker 2: best pass rush. They're swatting down everything. This Indiana defense

723
00:35:01,640 --> 00:35:03,600
Speaker 2: is in the mold of what Signetti had at James.

724
00:35:03,400 --> 00:35:06,000
Speaker 1: Madison, Oh, Kurt Signetti.

725
00:35:06,400 --> 00:35:08,960
Speaker 2: And that comes against the US UCLA team that was

726
00:35:09,000 --> 00:35:12,319
Speaker 2: completely ambushed by the Hawaii defense. I mean Hawaii had

727
00:35:12,320 --> 00:35:15,200
Speaker 2: eleven tackles for lost, five sacks and three quarterback hits.

728
00:35:15,760 --> 00:35:17,359
Speaker 2: How do you get to the island and have those

729
00:35:17,440 --> 00:35:18,880
Speaker 2: kind of numbers? And by the way, why are you

730
00:35:18,880 --> 00:35:21,600
Speaker 2: not running the ball? You're DeShawn Foster and area the enemy?

731
00:35:21,600 --> 00:35:23,799
Speaker 2: Why are we throwing all the time? I think you the.

732
00:35:23,800 --> 00:35:25,840
Speaker 5: Enemy does last year, that's all he did at Washington

733
00:35:26,160 --> 00:35:28,799
Speaker 5: Just to throw throw, throw, throw, throw, throw, throw, throw again.

734
00:35:29,120 --> 00:35:31,759
Speaker 2: Makes no sense, makes it absolutely? I think UCLA is

735
00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:34,919
Speaker 2: an absolute disaster, especially from the offensive side, dead last

736
00:35:34,920 --> 00:35:37,080
Speaker 2: and rushing success rate. I know the numbers are early,

737
00:35:37,080 --> 00:35:39,319
Speaker 2: and I know Indiana's resume isn't there. This is still

738
00:35:39,320 --> 00:35:42,319
Speaker 2: a Signetti coach defense. That's a problem for UCLA.

739
00:35:42,560 --> 00:35:44,880
Speaker 5: You know, you gotta get him charged up. If a

740
00:35:45,000 --> 00:35:48,680
Speaker 5: TCU should be a fun game here. I think this

741
00:35:48,840 --> 00:35:52,920
Speaker 5: basically comes down to, let me see where this line

742
00:35:53,000 --> 00:35:56,320
Speaker 5: is sitting now. If TCU gets up to three, they'll yeah,

743
00:35:56,440 --> 00:35:58,360
Speaker 5: they'll intrigue me for sure. This come to me. This

744
00:35:58,400 --> 00:36:01,880
Speaker 5: comes down to can TCUs offensive line pulled up against

745
00:36:01,960 --> 00:36:06,080
Speaker 5: UCF's defensive line, which I think is good, but I

746
00:36:06,080 --> 00:36:11,440
Speaker 5: have concerns about UCF's secondary and TCU. I like Hoover

747
00:36:11,520 --> 00:36:14,279
Speaker 5: and they have great weapons. I don't think TCU will

748
00:36:14,280 --> 00:36:16,360
Speaker 5: be able to run much. So basically comes down to

749
00:36:16,400 --> 00:36:22,360
Speaker 5: the pass protection of TCU, which has some questions against

750
00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:24,439
Speaker 5: that UCF front. What do you see here?

751
00:36:24,719 --> 00:36:28,319
Speaker 2: I love UCF in this game. I jumped on that

752
00:36:28,360 --> 00:36:30,920
Speaker 2: money line. I believe I actually hit it three times,

753
00:36:31,000 --> 00:36:33,239
Speaker 2: put it in the app on while everybody was in

754
00:36:33,239 --> 00:36:36,200
Speaker 2: the transferport looking for defensive interior players. UCF didn't have

755
00:36:36,239 --> 00:36:38,160
Speaker 2: to because they already had two of them. I expect

756
00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:40,680
Speaker 2: that to take advantage of the TCU offensive line that

757
00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:44,600
Speaker 2: is severely struggling. James Brockermeyer at center has graded out

758
00:36:44,640 --> 00:36:47,279
Speaker 2: so poorly in so many aspects. It is not the

759
00:36:47,320 --> 00:36:49,239
Speaker 2: five star offensive lineman that came through the state of

760
00:36:49,280 --> 00:36:51,879
Speaker 2: Texas and went to Alabama. The play has.

761
00:36:51,920 --> 00:36:54,480
Speaker 5: Strolling at Stanfford's a bad luck at Stanford's such a small,

762
00:36:54,960 --> 00:36:57,000
Speaker 5: bad offense defensive line.

763
00:36:56,880 --> 00:36:59,440
Speaker 2: Right, and when you give up one hundred and fourteen

764
00:36:59,520 --> 00:37:02,680
Speaker 2: rushing yard to Ashton Daniels, I mean, what are we

765
00:37:02,719 --> 00:37:05,120
Speaker 2: doing here? If Stanford's quarterback is allowed to do that,

766
00:37:05,239 --> 00:37:07,719
Speaker 2: but most of that was designed run, And now you're

767
00:37:07,719 --> 00:37:10,560
Speaker 2: going to go up against what potentially is the most

768
00:37:10,560 --> 00:37:13,040
Speaker 2: explosive inside zone read and all of college football, Gus

769
00:37:13,040 --> 00:37:16,440
Speaker 2: Maleson's Wildcat led by RJ Harvey, who had four touchdowns

770
00:37:16,520 --> 00:37:19,760
Speaker 2: last week with kJ Jefferson at the helm, which kJ.

771
00:37:19,840 --> 00:37:22,240
Speaker 2: From a throwing perspective, I think at some point stuck

772
00:37:22,640 --> 00:37:24,200
Speaker 2: UCF's going to get in trouble. They're gonna have to

773
00:37:24,200 --> 00:37:28,160
Speaker 2: throw the ball. But from a running perspective, TCU's interior

774
00:37:28,200 --> 00:37:31,400
Speaker 2: defensive line is going to get destroyed here. They cannot

775
00:37:31,400 --> 00:37:34,280
Speaker 2: defend inside zone in between the tackles with their defensive interiors.

776
00:37:34,360 --> 00:37:36,880
Speaker 2: I don't know why anybody would bet against RJ. Harvey

777
00:37:37,040 --> 00:37:40,160
Speaker 2: and kJ Jefferson running inside zone against this defensive interior

778
00:37:40,160 --> 00:37:43,319
Speaker 2: of TCU. One last thing, full ride up out at

779
00:37:43,360 --> 00:37:46,319
Speaker 2: Action Network. I went deep into Josh Hoover's numbers. Josh

780
00:37:46,360 --> 00:37:50,520
Speaker 2: Hoover throws really well against Cover one, course for some reason,

781
00:37:50,520 --> 00:37:53,120
Speaker 2: he can't read Cover three. His splits against Cover three

782
00:37:53,160 --> 00:37:56,640
Speaker 2: were horrific last year. Ted Rufe has already shown he

783
00:37:56,680 --> 00:37:58,640
Speaker 2: did in the past and he's doing now with the UCF.

784
00:37:58,719 --> 00:38:01,680
Speaker 2: He runs exclusive cover three. I think there's problems for Hoover.

785
00:38:01,760 --> 00:38:03,960
Speaker 2: I think there's problems for the TCU offensive line. I'm

786
00:38:03,960 --> 00:38:05,880
Speaker 2: gonna be watching that with a bowl of popcorn and

787
00:38:06,280 --> 00:38:07,560
Speaker 2: avoiding the hate on Twitter.

788
00:38:09,200 --> 00:38:13,840
Speaker 5: Well that'll never stop. We do have a ranked matchup

789
00:38:13,880 --> 00:38:18,480
Speaker 5: this week. BC travels to Missouri. Missouri is a sixteen

790
00:38:18,520 --> 00:38:22,240
Speaker 5: and a half point favorite or total fifty four. BC's

791
00:38:22,280 --> 00:38:24,480
Speaker 5: looked good, they looked apart. I was really impressive. They

792
00:38:24,480 --> 00:38:26,680
Speaker 5: just took care of business against Dukine. By the way,

793
00:38:26,760 --> 00:38:29,560
Speaker 5: Ducaine another bad look for Toledo. We will give up

794
00:38:29,560 --> 00:38:32,439
Speaker 5: three hundred yards to Dukane. Du Kane couldn't do anything

795
00:38:32,440 --> 00:38:36,400
Speaker 5: against PC's because PC the new sexy team like Georgia

796
00:38:36,440 --> 00:38:39,040
Speaker 5: Tech was just because they beat Florida State and now

797
00:38:39,080 --> 00:38:40,800
Speaker 5: they're ranked. The same thing happened with Georgia Tech and

798
00:38:40,840 --> 00:38:43,680
Speaker 5: they lost in these matchups. Historically, ranked teams or there's

799
00:38:43,680 --> 00:38:46,320
Speaker 5: a big favor at the home team home favorite usually historically,

800
00:38:46,360 --> 00:38:48,880
Speaker 5: if you're in the trends, has done very well. Missouri

801
00:38:48,920 --> 00:38:50,879
Speaker 5: hasn't played anyone either, and I'm low on I'm lower

802
00:38:50,960 --> 00:38:52,680
Speaker 5: than the market on them. They haven't given up a

803
00:38:52,680 --> 00:38:55,799
Speaker 5: point and I'm really worried about their defense, but they

804
00:38:55,880 --> 00:38:58,840
Speaker 5: played Buffalo and Murray State. Maybe the Missouri defense is

805
00:38:58,840 --> 00:39:00,759
Speaker 5: better than I expect. Learn a little bit more. I've

806
00:39:00,760 --> 00:39:02,960
Speaker 5: impressed with Costianos, so I've been impressed with Bill O'Brian

807
00:39:03,080 --> 00:39:05,360
Speaker 5: so far. Yes is probably stay away from me.

808
00:39:05,440 --> 00:39:07,319
Speaker 2: What do you see under all the way here? It's

809
00:39:07,320 --> 00:39:09,720
Speaker 2: all and the key of fifty five? I think flash

810
00:39:09,760 --> 00:39:11,239
Speaker 2: for a half second, it's gone. It's down to like

811
00:39:11,280 --> 00:39:13,439
Speaker 2: fifty three and a half I did with the under here.

812
00:39:14,080 --> 00:39:18,360
Speaker 2: I don't expect Missouri to improve upon two numbers that

813
00:39:18,400 --> 00:39:20,960
Speaker 2: are really kind of eye popping. Zouri's eighty ninth and

814
00:39:21,000 --> 00:39:23,000
Speaker 2: creating rush explosives and there one hundred and thirtyth and

815
00:39:23,000 --> 00:39:26,720
Speaker 2: creating pass explosives. They are doing this all with quality drives,

816
00:39:27,080 --> 00:39:29,360
Speaker 2: cashing in when they get into the pat beyond.

817
00:39:29,160 --> 00:39:32,000
Speaker 5: The forty the other service academy. Their profile just like

818
00:39:32,160 --> 00:39:34,719
Speaker 5: extreme efficiency, no explosiveness exactly.

819
00:39:35,040 --> 00:39:37,920
Speaker 2: I don't think that's going to change until Kirby Moore

820
00:39:37,960 --> 00:39:38,640
Speaker 2: gets the sec.

821
00:39:38,680 --> 00:39:41,200
Speaker 5: Play kind of happened last year. They had their offense,

822
00:39:41,200 --> 00:39:43,120
Speaker 5: they're operating in a box early on in the season,

823
00:39:43,120 --> 00:39:44,480
Speaker 5: and then they finally opened it up.

824
00:39:44,600 --> 00:39:48,440
Speaker 2: YEP. I think that's exactly what's happening here. Boston College

825
00:39:48,480 --> 00:39:53,279
Speaker 2: will oblige thirty two point seven seconds per play. I mean,

826
00:39:53,320 --> 00:39:55,359
Speaker 2: we're getting close to running the clock out on every

827
00:39:55,400 --> 00:39:59,080
Speaker 2: down here. Boston College extremely slow. The pace of play

828
00:39:59,120 --> 00:40:00,680
Speaker 2: is going to be slow. Missouri is not going to

829
00:40:00,719 --> 00:40:03,319
Speaker 2: create explosives, I believe until they get to SEC play.

830
00:40:03,560 --> 00:40:05,799
Speaker 2: I want the under here, and I might have to

831
00:40:05,800 --> 00:40:07,880
Speaker 2: swallow a number that's not fifty five, which sucks, but

832
00:40:08,400 --> 00:40:09,200
Speaker 2: the under is the play.

833
00:40:09,640 --> 00:40:12,680
Speaker 5: Last one here, Memphis Florida State. The people are dying

834
00:40:12,680 --> 00:40:15,520
Speaker 5: to know if you're gonna play. Florida State is a favorite. Again,

835
00:40:15,560 --> 00:40:18,200
Speaker 5: they're six and a half point favored here. They were low.

836
00:40:18,280 --> 00:40:21,440
Speaker 5: It was like at three, it's touching seven at some places.

837
00:40:22,000 --> 00:40:24,040
Speaker 5: How much do we downgrade Florida State. I mean, like

838
00:40:24,440 --> 00:40:27,040
Speaker 5: I lost to Georgia Tech. Maybe Boston College is good,

839
00:40:27,040 --> 00:40:29,719
Speaker 5: but Georgia Tech lost at Syracuse. I thought Georgia State

840
00:40:29,719 --> 00:40:32,960
Speaker 5: actually played Georgia Tech pretty close. Just at Florida State,

841
00:40:33,000 --> 00:40:34,480
Speaker 5: it just does not look good. I'm not in a

842
00:40:34,560 --> 00:40:39,120
Speaker 5: rush to play points with DJ. It's not a DJU podcast.

843
00:40:39,600 --> 00:40:42,359
Speaker 5: I like this Memphis team. Memphis has to show well here.

844
00:40:42,560 --> 00:40:45,040
Speaker 5: You know, I've downgraded Florida State a ton. I'm around

845
00:40:45,040 --> 00:40:49,279
Speaker 5: like five ish. Maybe I've I've grown downgraded them too much.

846
00:40:49,880 --> 00:40:52,520
Speaker 5: Over seven, I'd be interested in Memphis. Actually, yeah, do

847
00:40:52,520 --> 00:40:53,399
Speaker 5: you think what do you see here?

848
00:40:53,600 --> 00:40:55,799
Speaker 2: Well, I mean I made it three. It fired all

849
00:40:55,840 --> 00:40:57,960
Speaker 2: the way up to seven and a half earlier this week.

850
00:40:58,200 --> 00:40:59,800
Speaker 2: That was really the time to buy. But at the

851
00:40:59,800 --> 00:41:02,200
Speaker 2: same time, I'm scrambling to figure out if we've got

852
00:41:02,239 --> 00:41:04,520
Speaker 2: quarterback injuries, what's going on with this is Memphis roster?

853
00:41:04,600 --> 00:41:06,840
Speaker 2: Why is you know, We've seen some moves that have

854
00:41:06,920 --> 00:41:08,360
Speaker 2: been real this year, but this one got up to

855
00:41:08,360 --> 00:41:10,480
Speaker 2: seven and a half and completely got bought back down

856
00:41:10,520 --> 00:41:12,359
Speaker 2: to six and a half. So you know, the number

857
00:41:12,360 --> 00:41:14,680
Speaker 2: that you need on Memphis is going to be seven.

858
00:41:14,719 --> 00:41:17,440
Speaker 2: That's when they're going to start showing some value. Listen,

859
00:41:18,719 --> 00:41:21,360
Speaker 2: one of these teams is number one in PFF and

860
00:41:21,400 --> 00:41:23,560
Speaker 2: tackle grading. One of these teams is one hundred and twenty. First,

861
00:41:23,560 --> 00:41:24,759
Speaker 2: you want to take a guess which one is one

862
00:41:24,840 --> 00:41:27,520
Speaker 2: hundred and twenty First, yeah, it's Florida State. I don't

863
00:41:27,520 --> 00:41:30,520
Speaker 2: know what's going on with Florida State secondary performing well

864
00:41:30,560 --> 00:41:33,120
Speaker 2: below the talent level at which they were recruited at.

865
00:41:33,440 --> 00:41:36,839
Speaker 2: So until we get some inside information about what's going

866
00:41:36,840 --> 00:41:39,000
Speaker 2: on with the Seminals defense. It's hard to sit there

867
00:41:39,040 --> 00:41:41,640
Speaker 2: and say, yeah, Memphis can dominate the secondary, but on

868
00:41:41,719 --> 00:41:44,440
Speaker 2: paper it looks like they should. But seven is your bypoint,

869
00:41:44,480 --> 00:41:45,200
Speaker 2: not six and a half.

870
00:41:45,760 --> 00:41:48,719
Speaker 5: Good stuff there. Let's do a quick look ahead or

871
00:41:48,719 --> 00:41:49,600
Speaker 5: look away.

872
00:41:49,360 --> 00:41:58,400
Speaker 1: Segment hangovers, sleepers and the dreaded sandwich spot. Is it

873
00:41:58,480 --> 00:42:00,880
Speaker 1: time to look ahead? Look away?

874
00:42:03,920 --> 00:42:06,680
Speaker 5: This is where we look at last weeknd next week's

875
00:42:06,719 --> 00:42:09,960
Speaker 5: game for potential situational spots. Maybe a team doesn't show

876
00:42:10,080 --> 00:42:12,960
Speaker 5: much pos are starters earlier, Arc State at Michigan. Michigan

877
00:42:13,000 --> 00:42:15,319
Speaker 5: is USC on deck. I expect Michigan to try to

878
00:42:15,320 --> 00:42:17,400
Speaker 5: bounce back. I'm not laying over three touchdowns with this

879
00:42:17,440 --> 00:42:21,480
Speaker 5: Michigan offense. No thanks, no thanks. I not not touching

880
00:42:21,480 --> 00:42:23,920
Speaker 5: this game. Are you? Are you betting you've gone back

881
00:42:23,920 --> 00:42:24,759
Speaker 5: to your Michigan.

882
00:42:24,480 --> 00:42:28,480
Speaker 2: Boys should be twenty five. There's not enough variance here

883
00:42:28,520 --> 00:42:30,200
Speaker 2: for me to say, yeah, I'm back in Michigan. Plus,

884
00:42:30,280 --> 00:42:32,439
Speaker 2: I like Arkansas State. I know you like them too,

885
00:42:32,520 --> 00:42:34,120
Speaker 2: So no, I'm not playing this.

886
00:42:34,960 --> 00:42:40,200
Speaker 5: To land at Oklahoma. Oklahoma rough outing last week there

887
00:42:40,200 --> 00:42:43,000
Speaker 5: are we should have lost to Houston there's a lot

888
00:42:43,040 --> 00:42:44,839
Speaker 5: going on here with Oklahoma.

889
00:42:45,480 --> 00:42:47,319
Speaker 3: If I'm a Sooner, then I'm a sooner. I'm not

890
00:42:47,400 --> 00:42:50,080
Speaker 3: sooner when it's convenient. Okay, I'm not a great fan.

891
00:42:50,160 --> 00:42:52,440
Speaker 3: When it's convenient. That means, you know, wearing your T

892
00:42:52,520 --> 00:42:54,840
Speaker 3: shirts in your community, that means putting the bumper sticker on.

893
00:42:55,200 --> 00:42:58,240
Speaker 3: If that means sending in five dollars, Okay, it all matters.

894
00:42:58,480 --> 00:43:02,239
Speaker 5: Let's see right now, this line is thirteen and a

895
00:43:02,280 --> 00:43:04,600
Speaker 5: half point favorites, totals down to forty six and a half.

896
00:43:05,000 --> 00:43:08,319
Speaker 5: My pure numbers in this game really like Oklahoma. That's

897
00:43:08,320 --> 00:43:12,040
Speaker 5: a good thing, like just pure power. But there's way

898
00:43:11,600 --> 00:43:13,799
Speaker 5: too many issues. I mean, this is a team that

899
00:43:13,840 --> 00:43:16,560
Speaker 5: had to replace all five starting offensive lineman. They're backup

900
00:43:16,600 --> 00:43:19,960
Speaker 5: center dates Dnibal said he's playing with one arm. I mean,

901
00:43:20,280 --> 00:43:22,120
Speaker 5: so they can't run the ball. All their wide receivers

902
00:43:22,160 --> 00:43:24,799
Speaker 5: are hurt. Arnold hasn't looked right and he hasn't been

903
00:43:24,840 --> 00:43:27,160
Speaker 5: helped by anything around. And yeah, they blew up Temple,

904
00:43:27,160 --> 00:43:29,600
Speaker 5: but they Temple fubbled the ball in every single possession.

905
00:43:29,680 --> 00:43:31,839
Speaker 5: Then you watch Temple against Navy and you're like, all right,

906
00:43:32,360 --> 00:43:36,600
Speaker 5: Temple is ungodly bad. This Oklahoma defense is good. I

907
00:43:36,640 --> 00:43:40,080
Speaker 5: get the under money. It's this Oklahoma team has issues.

908
00:43:40,160 --> 00:43:42,319
Speaker 5: They have Tennessee next week. They got to figure something

909
00:43:42,320 --> 00:43:44,480
Speaker 5: out before they have to face that Tennessee defensive line.

910
00:43:44,520 --> 00:43:45,359
Speaker 5: Do you see anything here?

911
00:43:45,719 --> 00:43:47,959
Speaker 2: I see the fact that Oklahoma can't pass the ball.

912
00:43:48,440 --> 00:43:50,360
Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on with the Sooners and

913
00:43:50,360 --> 00:43:53,600
Speaker 2: they're passing attacking Jackson Arnold on the offensive line. A

914
00:43:53,640 --> 00:43:55,640
Speaker 2: lot of things got broke real quick through one week.

915
00:43:56,000 --> 00:43:58,320
Speaker 2: And if you look at two lane's defense, they can't

916
00:43:58,520 --> 00:44:01,280
Speaker 2: defend the rush as well as they can the pass.

917
00:44:01,680 --> 00:44:04,200
Speaker 2: They are ben don't break. They're allowing people to get

918
00:44:04,239 --> 00:44:06,040
Speaker 2: down the field, and then they're stopping them when they

919
00:44:06,040 --> 00:44:08,400
Speaker 2: get close. Oklahoma's got to get some scenk here in

920
00:44:08,440 --> 00:44:11,960
Speaker 2: this offense. Until then, I just think they're unplayable now.

921
00:44:12,000 --> 00:44:14,040
Speaker 2: From a power rating perspective, stuck. I made this eleven.

922
00:44:14,040 --> 00:44:16,520
Speaker 2: I wish I'd have snapped up fourteen. Had a feeling

923
00:44:16,520 --> 00:44:18,319
Speaker 2: it might kind of hang above that. It didn't. It

924
00:44:18,360 --> 00:44:20,000
Speaker 2: came down to thirteen. I think it can come down

925
00:44:20,000 --> 00:44:22,680
Speaker 2: a little bit more. But the fact that Oklahoma can't pass,

926
00:44:23,960 --> 00:44:25,560
Speaker 2: the fact if they did get like a twenty one

927
00:44:25,600 --> 00:44:27,600
Speaker 2: point lead, the back door would be open. There's so

928
00:44:27,640 --> 00:44:29,120
Speaker 2: many things that tell me here that I don't want

929
00:44:29,120 --> 00:44:31,240
Speaker 2: to take Oklahoma. So we'll see how far the number sinks.

930
00:44:31,440 --> 00:44:33,480
Speaker 2: I think too Lane is live here to cover this

931
00:44:33,560 --> 00:44:35,840
Speaker 2: number at thirteen, I would play it down to eleven.

932
00:44:35,880 --> 00:44:36,040
Speaker 8: Oka.

933
00:44:36,040 --> 00:44:38,120
Speaker 3: If there's anybody that would like to tap out it

934
00:44:38,200 --> 00:44:39,120
Speaker 3: made it wants to lead.

935
00:44:39,280 --> 00:44:41,400
Speaker 1: Oh, that's what you do at the door right now.

936
00:44:41,520 --> 00:44:43,759
Speaker 5: One other spot that i'd mention NC State. It's a

937
00:44:43,800 --> 00:44:47,040
Speaker 5: tough spot after the Tennessee game. You have Clemson on deck.

938
00:44:47,440 --> 00:44:48,840
Speaker 5: But my numbers show a lot of value in this

939
00:44:48,920 --> 00:44:53,200
Speaker 5: number against pot Tech. It's just a tough spot, sandwich spot.

940
00:44:53,680 --> 00:44:55,200
Speaker 5: How about that semesis or.

941
00:44:55,239 --> 00:45:08,279
Speaker 1: No Southland or SEC, Big Sky or Big ten. It's

942
00:45:08,360 --> 00:45:11,240
Speaker 1: time to play FC yes or no.

943
00:45:15,520 --> 00:45:18,080
Speaker 5: Nebraska potential leftdown against Northern Iowa. Do you have anything there?

944
00:45:18,239 --> 00:45:20,600
Speaker 2: I think so. I mean Nebraska has a very quick

945
00:45:20,640 --> 00:45:22,839
Speaker 2: turn around. They're gonna play Illinois on Friday night. That

946
00:45:22,880 --> 00:45:25,640
Speaker 2: game is much more superior to them going up against

947
00:45:25,640 --> 00:45:27,880
Speaker 2: Brett Biela meant a conference game than it is playing

948
00:45:27,880 --> 00:45:30,520
Speaker 2: Northern Iowa. Now, Northern Iowa is not like a pushover

949
00:45:30,640 --> 00:45:34,200
Speaker 2: fcs SEM. We're gonna absolutely murder you. I make it

950
00:45:34,560 --> 00:45:37,839
Speaker 2: Nebraska minus sixteen. Sagurn makes this Nebraska minus ten. Why

951
00:45:37,960 --> 00:45:39,480
Speaker 2: is this number thirty two and a half? I mean

952
00:45:39,520 --> 00:45:41,440
Speaker 2: you and I is twenty ninth in the FCS poll.

953
00:45:41,800 --> 00:45:44,200
Speaker 2: I think the bigger aspect of this game stuck is

954
00:45:44,239 --> 00:45:48,120
Speaker 2: that Northern Iowa runs the ball a lot, eighty five

955
00:45:48,200 --> 00:45:50,880
Speaker 2: rushes to forty two passes so far, so there's no balance.

956
00:45:50,920 --> 00:45:53,719
Speaker 2: The balance on this doesn't exist for the Panthers here.

957
00:45:53,760 --> 00:45:55,799
Speaker 2: They're all rush. If you look at Nebraska, they're one

958
00:45:55,880 --> 00:45:59,879
Speaker 2: hundred and twenty fourth in defensive stuff rate. Nebraska's gonna

959
00:45:59,880 --> 00:46:03,320
Speaker 2: help this Why because they average thirty seconds per play.

960
00:46:03,520 --> 00:46:06,400
Speaker 2: They are an extremely slow offense. They're coming off a

961
00:46:06,440 --> 00:46:10,360
Speaker 2: big primetime win, They've got short turnaround, and Northern Iowa

962
00:46:10,400 --> 00:46:12,719
Speaker 2: wants to help by running the ball and draining the clock.

963
00:46:12,760 --> 00:46:15,440
Speaker 2: Covering thirty two and a half points against two teams

964
00:46:15,440 --> 00:46:17,680
Speaker 2: as slow that are ground based is going to be tough.

965
00:46:17,719 --> 00:46:19,960
Speaker 2: So I do like Northern Iowa. I'm it's only open

966
00:46:20,000 --> 00:46:21,279
Speaker 2: at one book. As you and I are recording this,

967
00:46:21,320 --> 00:46:22,799
Speaker 2: I'll see if it comes out, maybe get better than

968
00:46:22,840 --> 00:46:24,520
Speaker 2: thirty two and a half. But I would I'd play

969
00:46:24,520 --> 00:46:25,879
Speaker 2: this all the way down to twenty eight and a half.

970
00:46:26,120 --> 00:46:29,120
Speaker 5: Yeah, my numbers thirty one or better like that. But

971
00:46:29,160 --> 00:46:33,520
Speaker 5: let's get this trash. Baby, what's that smell?

972
00:46:34,080 --> 00:46:38,840
Speaker 2: It digs me? Just trash, the sweet, sweet trash.

973
00:46:39,760 --> 00:46:43,160
Speaker 5: The trash is a gold mine, old mine. They won't

974
00:46:43,160 --> 00:46:45,000
Speaker 5: it won't be as bad as last week. As far

975
00:46:45,000 --> 00:46:48,239
Speaker 5: as how bad these teams are, Wyoming, you just say

976
00:46:48,239 --> 00:46:50,359
Speaker 5: if you agree not Wyoming anst PYU. I'm gonna talk

977
00:46:50,360 --> 00:46:51,800
Speaker 5: about in my three and Ol'll give my reasoning. I

978
00:46:51,840 --> 00:46:54,320
Speaker 5: agree or disagree, I disagree.

979
00:46:54,320 --> 00:46:56,759
Speaker 2: I gotta see it from Savoda, Georgia.

980
00:46:56,440 --> 00:46:58,640
Speaker 5: State against Vandy. We talk about that later too. I

981
00:46:58,680 --> 00:47:12,480
Speaker 5: know you already disagree there. Tulsa against Oaks State. Great

982
00:47:12,480 --> 00:47:16,359
Speaker 5: spot here against Oaks State, coming off that overtime win.

983
00:47:16,920 --> 00:47:19,960
Speaker 5: Two ranked teams coming up eleven am kick in Tulsa,

984
00:47:20,520 --> 00:47:23,520
Speaker 5: which you know, well, this Oklahoma State defense is bad.

985
00:47:24,160 --> 00:47:26,360
Speaker 5: They weren't good last year. They lost their best defensive

986
00:47:26,360 --> 00:47:29,160
Speaker 5: player now two to injury in Colin Oliver. That's a

987
00:47:29,160 --> 00:47:33,319
Speaker 5: big loss. I like this Francis kid for Tulsa. Maybe

988
00:47:33,360 --> 00:47:35,880
Speaker 5: they just get bullied and Oli Gordon goes off because

989
00:47:35,880 --> 00:47:38,920
Speaker 5: their defensive line is small. But I think they can

990
00:47:38,960 --> 00:47:41,440
Speaker 5: put up enough points here and it's a bad spot

991
00:47:41,480 --> 00:47:44,080
Speaker 5: for Oaks State. Maybe the Golden Hurricane Baby.

992
00:47:43,920 --> 00:47:47,400
Speaker 2: But why would Gundy show any like run Alie thirty

993
00:47:47,440 --> 00:47:50,000
Speaker 2: times in a non conference game against Tulsa. To me,

994
00:47:50,080 --> 00:47:51,719
Speaker 2: this is a two position leave and get the hell

995
00:47:51,760 --> 00:47:54,040
Speaker 2: out of there, because you don't want to mess with

996
00:47:54,080 --> 00:47:57,480
Speaker 2: Gusty the new mascot there for Tulsa down to Chapman.

997
00:47:57,600 --> 00:48:00,359
Speaker 2: So no, I love the number. I like Tulsa, and

998
00:48:00,400 --> 00:48:02,640
Speaker 2: you know what, for some reason, stuck like I have

999
00:48:02,880 --> 00:48:05,400
Speaker 2: dropped Tulsa's name on like two or three different pods,

1000
00:48:05,440 --> 00:48:08,160
Speaker 2: like they're doing things we didn't expect from him, so

1001
00:48:08,800 --> 00:48:10,919
Speaker 2: got him to cover here. I feel like there's gonna

1002
00:48:10,920 --> 00:48:13,560
Speaker 2: be some I The one hesitation I have stuck is

1003
00:48:13,560 --> 00:48:14,960
Speaker 2: that I do feel like there's gonna be a little

1004
00:48:14,960 --> 00:48:17,080
Speaker 2: bit of steam on Saturday that's gonna drive this thing

1005
00:48:17,120 --> 00:48:19,720
Speaker 2: back up to twenty one. So I've gotten what nineteen

1006
00:48:19,760 --> 00:48:22,080
Speaker 2: and a half. I'm fine. I love Tulsa here. I

1007
00:48:22,080 --> 00:48:22,759
Speaker 2: think it's a good call.

1008
00:48:23,160 --> 00:48:25,440
Speaker 5: I like Francis. He showed well against some good defenses

1009
00:48:25,480 --> 00:48:28,879
Speaker 5: last year. I get two lane in a two point

1010
00:48:28,920 --> 00:48:31,400
Speaker 5: loss against Eastern Carolina and a two point win he

1011
00:48:31,440 --> 00:48:32,920
Speaker 5: played well in both those games, and it's all come

1012
00:48:32,920 --> 00:48:38,680
Speaker 5: to State defens has issues and sit in my watch

1013
00:48:38,760 --> 00:48:46,239
Speaker 5: back to it a Utah State against Utah. This Lin's

1014
00:48:46,239 --> 00:48:48,160
Speaker 5: come down. It doesn't look like cam Ryson's gonna play.

1015
00:48:48,400 --> 00:48:51,440
Speaker 5: I'm looking for Utah State above three touchdowns live. I

1016
00:48:51,480 --> 00:48:55,359
Speaker 5: also like the under. This is Utah. The drop off

1017
00:48:55,480 --> 00:48:58,239
Speaker 5: cam Rise of the backup is enormous. Last week when

1018
00:48:58,239 --> 00:49:00,359
Speaker 5: he went out, Whitningham said like we were just trying

1019
00:49:00,400 --> 00:49:03,040
Speaker 5: to get out of there right. Utah State now they

1020
00:49:03,080 --> 00:49:04,719
Speaker 5: were one of the fastest teams in the country that year.

1021
00:49:04,760 --> 00:49:06,960
Speaker 5: Not anymore. They're trying to just subot They can't do

1022
00:49:07,000 --> 00:49:08,839
Speaker 5: anything on offense. This is gonna be two teams trying

1023
00:49:08,840 --> 00:49:10,920
Speaker 5: to run out the clock. I trust Utah State defense

1024
00:49:10,960 --> 00:49:13,799
Speaker 5: more than their offense, and Utah, I think is just

1025
00:49:13,840 --> 00:49:16,120
Speaker 5: trying to try to get a lead here. It's hard

1026
00:49:16,120 --> 00:49:19,240
Speaker 5: for me to see Utah State doing much on offense

1027
00:49:19,880 --> 00:49:23,440
Speaker 5: against his Utah defense, which is really good, top fifteen

1028
00:49:23,440 --> 00:49:26,120
Speaker 5: in almost every category across the board. So I like

1029
00:49:26,160 --> 00:49:27,520
Speaker 5: the under here and I'm gonna be looking for Utah

1030
00:49:27,520 --> 00:49:30,040
Speaker 5: State Utah goes up. I'm looking for Uta State live

1031
00:49:30,040 --> 00:49:32,000
Speaker 5: because Utah then is gonna try to run out the clock.

1032
00:49:32,320 --> 00:49:35,480
Speaker 2: Yeah. I took Utah State earlier today beyond the news

1033
00:49:35,480 --> 00:49:37,040
Speaker 2: of cameras and going to be out. There were some

1034
00:49:37,120 --> 00:49:38,520
Speaker 2: nineteen and a halfs and twenties out there that got

1035
00:49:38,640 --> 00:49:41,319
Speaker 2: knocked down to eighteen at seventeen. I'm gonna buy back

1036
00:49:41,360 --> 00:49:42,840
Speaker 2: in or sixteen and a half. I'm gonna try to

1037
00:49:42,840 --> 00:49:45,640
Speaker 2: buy back in the middle of this because Whittingham should

1038
00:49:45,680 --> 00:49:48,719
Speaker 2: know his pig farmer quarterback in Bryce and Barnes there

1039
00:49:48,719 --> 00:49:50,600
Speaker 2: on the other side of Utah State. So I do

1040
00:49:50,680 --> 00:49:52,880
Speaker 2: have Utah State money down, but I am looking live

1041
00:49:53,000 --> 00:49:55,239
Speaker 2: to get Utah south of seventeen and.

1042
00:49:55,239 --> 00:49:58,520
Speaker 5: The last one fire up Chips Baby Central Michigan at

1043
00:49:58,560 --> 00:50:03,520
Speaker 5: Illinois Fie Chips. Illinois tough spot. They beat Kansas last week,

1044
00:50:03,560 --> 00:50:06,440
Speaker 5: but plus fourteen turnover special teams CPA, it was a

1045
00:50:06,480 --> 00:50:09,600
Speaker 5: lucky win. I'm still not sold on this roster. I

1046
00:50:09,680 --> 00:50:11,600
Speaker 5: just put my reclinent down. I don't know what that means.

1047
00:50:11,640 --> 00:50:14,480
Speaker 5: I think with my foot trying to back Central Michigan.

1048
00:50:14,800 --> 00:50:17,040
Speaker 5: But lucky when they had Nebraska on death is an

1049
00:50:17,080 --> 00:50:21,399
Speaker 5: early kick. It was an emotional win last week. Central Michigan. Yes,

1050
00:50:21,440 --> 00:50:24,120
Speaker 5: they got blown out by Florida International, but they had

1051
00:50:24,400 --> 00:50:28,120
Speaker 5: six turnovers. They actually out gained the Panthers in that game.

1052
00:50:28,680 --> 00:50:32,160
Speaker 5: Too many points, Illinois, they don't Beilaman's team doesn't profile

1053
00:50:32,200 --> 00:50:34,359
Speaker 5: is a good big favorite. Too many points here, give

1054
00:50:34,400 --> 00:50:34,920
Speaker 5: me the chips.

1055
00:50:35,040 --> 00:50:37,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, they're too slow to be a favorite. I mean

1056
00:50:37,280 --> 00:50:40,600
Speaker 2: thirty one seconds per play. Plus let's just consider this stuck.

1057
00:50:40,719 --> 00:50:43,640
Speaker 2: Kansas is bad. They're not a good football team. So yeah,

1058
00:50:43,640 --> 00:50:45,960
Speaker 2: I got to hate back in MAC teams against big

1059
00:50:45,960 --> 00:50:48,319
Speaker 2: ten schools. I will agree with you. I can't say

1060
00:50:48,360 --> 00:50:49,719
Speaker 2: they're gonna have money on it.

1061
00:50:49,480 --> 00:50:51,680
Speaker 5: Worked out last week Bowling Green nor in Illinois. The

1062
00:50:51,680 --> 00:50:54,080
Speaker 5: MAC is back, baby. Before we get to three and

1063
00:50:54,120 --> 00:50:56,799
Speaker 5: now nowhere fast San Diego State.

1064
00:50:58,560 --> 00:51:01,399
Speaker 8: You are about to enter a world unlike any you've

1065
00:51:01,440 --> 00:51:05,520
Speaker 8: ever seen before, where the beautiful, the brutal, and the

1066
00:51:05,560 --> 00:51:20,600
Speaker 8: brave all meat.

1067
00:51:22,800 --> 00:51:25,640
Speaker 5: You're two per two. We nailed that under last week. Yeah,

1068
00:51:25,880 --> 00:51:29,000
Speaker 5: San Diego State at cal decent spot for San Diego

1069
00:51:29,040 --> 00:51:31,120
Speaker 5: State Cal at that big win. Willcox's sword ha been

1070
00:51:31,160 --> 00:51:35,319
Speaker 5: a horrible big favor great as a big dog. Let's

1071
00:51:35,320 --> 00:51:40,520
Speaker 5: see this total is currently sitting at forty eight.

1072
00:51:40,800 --> 00:51:43,400
Speaker 2: Over or under under under here, I mean.

1073
00:51:43,600 --> 00:51:45,640
Speaker 5: The fast of San Diego State Tea. Now we're just

1074
00:51:45,640 --> 00:51:47,839
Speaker 5: doing nothing, but unders you have.

1075
00:51:47,840 --> 00:51:50,960
Speaker 2: To have a dance partner, Cal and should be sluggish.

1076
00:51:51,000 --> 00:51:52,440
Speaker 2: You get a win like that on the road and

1077
00:51:52,480 --> 00:51:54,520
Speaker 2: you come home, you should be sluggish. Plus they run

1078
00:51:54,560 --> 00:51:57,640
Speaker 2: almost not twenty nine seconds per play, and they have

1079
00:51:57,680 --> 00:51:59,719
Speaker 2: a ton of havoc and they're second in coverage in

1080
00:51:59,760 --> 00:52:01,960
Speaker 2: k Sean Lewis wants to go to the air here,

1081
00:52:02,200 --> 00:52:04,359
Speaker 2: and I think there is an extremely slow pace from

1082
00:52:04,440 --> 00:52:07,320
Speaker 2: their offense. Plus, defensively, Cal is pretty legit, and I

1083
00:52:07,360 --> 00:52:09,000
Speaker 2: think that's going to stop with the Aztecs. So I

1084
00:52:09,040 --> 00:52:11,360
Speaker 2: love Aztec fast, but you gotta have a dance partner,

1085
00:52:11,400 --> 00:52:12,960
Speaker 2: and I think we'll find some of them Mountain West.

1086
00:52:13,160 --> 00:52:14,680
Speaker 5: By the way, reminder, check out the Group of five

1087
00:52:14,719 --> 00:52:17,640
Speaker 5: guys Mike and Mike, Mike calvary S, Mike I and

1088
00:52:17,680 --> 00:52:20,359
Speaker 5: Ella every week here on BBOSC talking all Things. Troup

1089
00:52:20,400 --> 00:52:21,799
Speaker 5: of Five do a great job. Make sure you check

1090
00:52:21,800 --> 00:52:24,200
Speaker 5: out that episode and also our live show ten third

1091
00:52:24,239 --> 00:52:27,520
Speaker 5: a m Eastern YouTube and in the Action Network app

1092
00:52:27,920 --> 00:52:31,000
Speaker 5: Woo Pig Suy. We always have a segment Colin on

1093
00:52:31,080 --> 00:52:34,040
Speaker 5: Arkansas facing Trent Dilfer, our boy Trent Dilfer.

1094
00:52:34,120 --> 00:52:37,799
Speaker 2: This week We deserve all the criticism in the world,

1095
00:52:38,160 --> 00:52:41,200
Speaker 2: but let's be fair with the criticism. We all stunt.

1096
00:52:41,520 --> 00:52:44,560
Speaker 5: He has a great breakdown coming in three and out,

1097
00:52:44,680 --> 00:52:48,560
Speaker 5: which we recorded earlier. So it's time for us to

1098
00:52:48,600 --> 00:52:50,640
Speaker 5: go three and out.

1099
00:52:52,600 --> 00:52:54,760
Speaker 1: Let's make it a quick three and out.

1100
00:52:55,360 --> 00:52:58,600
Speaker 5: Let's get right into it with some Friday night lights.

1101
00:52:59,320 --> 00:53:03,240
Speaker 8: That's cheer, John clear eyes, full hearts.

1102
00:53:03,040 --> 00:53:07,160
Speaker 5: Let's all right. First down here, We'll start with the

1103
00:53:07,200 --> 00:53:12,200
Speaker 5: first game between UNLV and Kansas. This is a Bowl rematch.

1104
00:53:12,920 --> 00:53:17,120
Speaker 5: If you recall from last year when Kansas's offense just

1105
00:53:17,120 --> 00:53:22,040
Speaker 5: looked unstoppable. Kansas, as we record this, sitting around a

1106
00:53:22,160 --> 00:53:25,400
Speaker 5: nine point favorite, I make them a tad over double digits.

1107
00:53:25,440 --> 00:53:28,120
Speaker 5: So from a pure numbers perspective, I would lean Kansas.

1108
00:53:29,200 --> 00:53:32,200
Speaker 5: Kansas did lose at Illinois last week, but they really

1109
00:53:32,239 --> 00:53:34,520
Speaker 5: should have won that game. I think they were minus

1110
00:53:34,560 --> 00:53:38,840
Speaker 5: fourteen and turnover in special teams EPA. Illinois had like

1111
00:53:38,880 --> 00:53:40,480
Speaker 5: a muff punt that went to the end zones. It's

1112
00:53:40,480 --> 00:53:42,080
Speaker 5: a touchback that had a picked six. It was a

1113
00:53:42,080 --> 00:53:44,520
Speaker 5: bad throw by Daniels at the end of the first

1114
00:53:44,520 --> 00:53:47,680
Speaker 5: half that swung the entire game. Illinois I think scored

1115
00:53:47,719 --> 00:53:49,960
Speaker 5: ten points a long field goal, then that a pick

1116
00:53:50,080 --> 00:53:53,520
Speaker 5: six which really swung the game. And we only have

1117
00:53:53,600 --> 00:53:56,560
Speaker 5: one data point for UNLV because and then they just

1118
00:53:56,719 --> 00:53:59,200
Speaker 5: took an FCS team to the woodshed. Their offense, I

1119
00:53:59,239 --> 00:54:01,560
Speaker 5: think they scored fifty plus points in the first half,

1120
00:54:01,719 --> 00:54:05,520
Speaker 5: but I think their defense could potentially be really improved.

1121
00:54:05,560 --> 00:54:09,120
Speaker 5: And look what they did to Houston right, especially offense,

1122
00:54:09,280 --> 00:54:12,759
Speaker 5: like they blew out Houston, and Houston followed that up

1123
00:54:13,239 --> 00:54:16,960
Speaker 5: by giving Oklahoma a game. Maybe that speaks to UNLV

1124
00:54:17,080 --> 00:54:18,720
Speaker 5: and how much better they are. What are you seeing here?

1125
00:54:19,000 --> 00:54:22,399
Speaker 2: I have wanted UNLV all week, and I have been

1126
00:54:22,440 --> 00:54:25,840
Speaker 2: patient and patient patient because, like you, my spread, my

1127
00:54:25,840 --> 00:54:27,839
Speaker 2: projected spread was much higher than they was sitting at

1128
00:54:27,840 --> 00:54:29,560
Speaker 2: seven all week. Maybe as seven and a half was

1129
00:54:29,560 --> 00:54:31,080
Speaker 2: out there, I had it at nine and a half

1130
00:54:31,520 --> 00:54:33,000
Speaker 2: and I was going to be patient enough to see

1131
00:54:33,040 --> 00:54:35,120
Speaker 2: if this number would float up. And today, on Thursday,

1132
00:54:35,160 --> 00:54:37,520
Speaker 2: this morning, it actually did a number of shops out

1133
00:54:37,520 --> 00:54:39,080
Speaker 2: there at nine and a half. I would love to

1134
00:54:39,080 --> 00:54:40,520
Speaker 2: get a hold of a ten here. So I'm gonna

1135
00:54:40,560 --> 00:54:43,600
Speaker 2: sit patient and turn my line watcher on inside of

1136
00:54:43,600 --> 00:54:45,799
Speaker 2: our tools over at Action Labs and wait for that

1137
00:54:45,840 --> 00:54:47,759
Speaker 2: ten to come and then fire on it because I

1138
00:54:47,800 --> 00:54:50,520
Speaker 2: actually believe in this UNLV offense. They're just a total

1139
00:54:50,560 --> 00:54:53,560
Speaker 2: package with Sluca passing, with Hodge Ma League Daniels on

1140
00:54:53,600 --> 00:54:56,440
Speaker 2: the ground at quarterback. Sluca had ten big time throws

1141
00:54:56,440 --> 00:54:59,200
Speaker 2: and four turnoverworthy plays over twenty yards. He is capable

1142
00:54:59,200 --> 00:55:00,840
Speaker 2: of throwing a deep he just hasn't done it that

1143
00:55:00,960 --> 00:55:03,920
Speaker 2: much so far this year. Hodgwin is an absolute powder

1144
00:55:04,000 --> 00:55:06,200
Speaker 2: kick on the ground. He's had ten rushing attempts so far,

1145
00:55:06,440 --> 00:55:08,760
Speaker 2: eight point eight per carry. So Barry otom and Brendan

1146
00:55:08,800 --> 00:55:11,239
Speaker 2: Marion have the ability to switch through these quarterbacks and

1147
00:55:11,280 --> 00:55:13,319
Speaker 2: attack on the ground or attack through the air. And

1148
00:55:13,360 --> 00:55:15,360
Speaker 2: you know what, they have the best weapon, not just

1149
00:55:15,400 --> 00:55:17,400
Speaker 2: in the G five, maybe in all of college football,

1150
00:55:17,400 --> 00:55:19,480
Speaker 2: a wide receiver with Ricky White. And when you look

1151
00:55:19,480 --> 00:55:21,279
Speaker 2: at Kansas, I haven't been impressed with them at all.

1152
00:55:21,640 --> 00:55:25,360
Speaker 2: They didn't look stellar against linden Wood, especially on the

1153
00:55:25,440 --> 00:55:28,680
Speaker 2: rush defense perspective. Kansas's defense is one hundred and thirteenth

1154
00:55:28,719 --> 00:55:31,120
Speaker 2: in defensive stuff right there are one hundredth and third

1155
00:55:31,200 --> 00:55:33,600
Speaker 2: down defense and they're outside the top fifty in defending

1156
00:55:33,680 --> 00:55:37,440
Speaker 2: rush explosives. You can't defend rush explosives against Illinois and

1157
00:55:37,640 --> 00:55:39,600
Speaker 2: linden Wood and now you've got the go go offense

1158
00:55:39,680 --> 00:55:41,759
Speaker 2: coming to you. I want UNLV all the way here,

1159
00:55:41,760 --> 00:55:43,160
Speaker 2: but I'm going to be patient and do ten.

1160
00:55:43,480 --> 00:55:46,200
Speaker 5: Yeah, I definitely think there's a drop off from codl

1161
00:55:46,239 --> 00:55:49,960
Speaker 5: Niky to Jeff Grime. Something to monitor this year with

1162
00:55:50,040 --> 00:55:54,200
Speaker 5: that Kansas offense, which was always so well schemed. Let's

1163
00:55:54,200 --> 00:55:57,839
Speaker 5: move on to the second game on Friday night, and

1164
00:55:57,880 --> 00:56:03,040
Speaker 5: this is a conference, non conference game between Arizona and

1165
00:56:03,160 --> 00:56:07,360
Speaker 5: Kansas State. Kansas State as of right now sitting in

1166
00:56:07,400 --> 00:56:11,680
Speaker 5: a round a seven point home favorite. Pretty disappointing effort

1167
00:56:12,000 --> 00:56:16,359
Speaker 5: against Tulane last week. They had a defensive touchdown, they

1168
00:56:16,400 --> 00:56:19,120
Speaker 5: needed a late stop in the end zone. There was

1169
00:56:19,160 --> 00:56:22,920
Speaker 5: an OPI easily could have lost that game. Arizona also

1170
00:56:23,080 --> 00:56:27,080
Speaker 5: has not really looked great. A ton of turnover in

1171
00:56:27,120 --> 00:56:31,560
Speaker 5: the offseason. Brand new staff, Noah Flafida and Ted McMillan

1172
00:56:31,680 --> 00:56:34,319
Speaker 5: are back the stars of the show on that Arizona team.

1173
00:56:34,560 --> 00:56:37,480
Speaker 5: How much damage can they do? Two weeks ago against

1174
00:56:37,520 --> 00:56:40,360
Speaker 5: New Mexico, Milan went for over three hundred yards receiving,

1175
00:56:40,680 --> 00:56:44,280
Speaker 5: but Arizona's defense looked horrendous last week. All the attentions

1176
00:56:44,280 --> 00:56:46,480
Speaker 5: on McMillan. You only had I think two catches for

1177
00:56:46,560 --> 00:56:50,319
Speaker 5: under twenty yards. That offense just did not look good.

1178
00:56:50,640 --> 00:56:53,960
Speaker 5: I think we disagree on this game high Lan Kansas

1179
00:56:53,960 --> 00:56:55,880
Speaker 5: State here, but I don't like what I've seen from

1180
00:56:55,960 --> 00:56:58,600
Speaker 5: Kansas State. But my handicap is you got a game

1181
00:56:58,640 --> 00:57:01,160
Speaker 5: plan for one guy McMillan, so probably going to put

1182
00:57:01,200 --> 00:57:03,800
Speaker 5: up some numbers. But I think if you take him away,

1183
00:57:04,040 --> 00:57:06,200
Speaker 5: the running game isn't as good. You don't have your

1184
00:57:06,280 --> 00:57:09,440
Speaker 5: NFL tackle anymore. The offensive line is worth no Jedfish,

1185
00:57:09,440 --> 00:57:11,640
Speaker 5: who I think did a tremendous job with his staff

1186
00:57:11,920 --> 00:57:15,320
Speaker 5: scheming offensively. And if you can't stop the Kansas State's

1187
00:57:15,400 --> 00:57:18,000
Speaker 5: rush attack, you're not stopping him. You have to stop

1188
00:57:18,040 --> 00:57:23,120
Speaker 5: the run, force Avery Johnson into being a pocket passer.

1189
00:57:23,440 --> 00:57:25,800
Speaker 5: I'm not sure Arizona can do that. You look at

1190
00:57:25,800 --> 00:57:28,400
Speaker 5: what New Mexico did with a mobile quarterback in Week one.

1191
00:57:28,560 --> 00:57:31,920
Speaker 5: I think Kansas State can replicate some of that same success.

1192
00:57:31,960 --> 00:57:34,080
Speaker 5: And obviously they have a much better defense than New Mexico.

1193
00:57:34,200 --> 00:57:37,920
Speaker 5: Can't stop a nose believe seven or better highlight Kansas

1194
00:57:37,920 --> 00:57:41,680
Speaker 5: State might have might choose to throw him in the

1195
00:57:41,720 --> 00:57:44,760
Speaker 5: money on parlay as well, or or that is my

1196
00:57:44,840 --> 00:57:48,200
Speaker 5: only option. But you like the Wildcats here, well, I

1197
00:57:48,200 --> 00:57:50,520
Speaker 5: guess the Arizona Wildcats.

1198
00:57:51,320 --> 00:57:53,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, keep your eyes on the TV because Arizona is

1199
00:57:53,760 --> 00:57:56,400
Speaker 2: wearing these red uniforms, are being called the Redcats this week,

1200
00:57:56,440 --> 00:57:58,200
Speaker 2: so there will definitely be a difference in colors on

1201
00:57:58,240 --> 00:58:00,200
Speaker 2: the field. You know, when I first broke this game

1202
00:58:00,240 --> 00:58:02,520
Speaker 2: down stuck Sunday night Monday morning, I thought, Man, I

1203
00:58:02,520 --> 00:58:05,240
Speaker 2: really like Arizona for a number of reasons, and then

1204
00:58:05,280 --> 00:58:07,120
Speaker 2: when I actually wrote the game up for Action Network,

1205
00:58:07,280 --> 00:58:10,080
Speaker 2: the over became my favorite play. So I like them both.

1206
00:58:10,120 --> 00:58:12,920
Speaker 2: But let's talk about how I got there. The Arizona

1207
00:58:13,080 --> 00:58:16,400
Speaker 2: offensive style last year was a pro style under Jedfish

1208
00:58:16,600 --> 00:58:18,280
Speaker 2: no I. F Afida goes on to win the Action

1209
00:58:18,360 --> 00:58:21,320
Speaker 2: Network Heisman Trophy and frankly he's earning it this year,

1210
00:58:21,360 --> 00:58:25,360
Speaker 2: like he looks fantastic. Dino Babers comes in as offensive coordinator.

1211
00:58:25,040 --> 00:58:27,000
Speaker 5: Not covering. Now that's how you get that trophy. You

1212
00:58:27,120 --> 00:58:27,960
Speaker 5: gotta get covers.

1213
00:58:28,040 --> 00:58:31,800
Speaker 2: You gotta get covers. I mean, the Lobos have similar

1214
00:58:31,880 --> 00:58:34,920
Speaker 2: ranks to Kansas State and coverage grading and then target

1215
00:58:35,120 --> 00:58:37,280
Speaker 2: on target allowed. So it was really part of the

1216
00:58:37,320 --> 00:58:39,800
Speaker 2: handicap that got me in on Arizona definitely like it

1217
00:58:39,840 --> 00:58:41,440
Speaker 2: better with the hook. And then you look at the

1218
00:58:41,440 --> 00:58:44,960
Speaker 2: Northern Arizona game, you say, what happened to this game? Well,

1219
00:58:45,040 --> 00:58:48,440
Speaker 2: the Wildcats allowed ten pressures on twenty nine dropbacks to

1220
00:58:48,480 --> 00:58:51,840
Speaker 2: the Lumberjacks. That should not happen with Northern Arizona. The

1221
00:58:51,880 --> 00:58:55,400
Speaker 2: offensive line was missing two key starters. There were players

1222
00:58:55,400 --> 00:58:58,360
Speaker 2: playing out of position. And here's the most important fact

1223
00:58:58,360 --> 00:59:01,360
Speaker 2: that I took away from that game. Captain Josh Baker

1224
00:59:01,960 --> 00:59:04,160
Speaker 2: did not play in that game at center. He has

1225
00:59:04,280 --> 00:59:08,040
Speaker 2: served as the center for every single snap noaf a

1226
00:59:08,120 --> 00:59:10,600
Speaker 2: Fida has ever taken at Arizona. He's been there that

1227
00:59:10,680 --> 00:59:12,600
Speaker 2: long and he is that important to that offense, and

1228
00:59:12,640 --> 00:59:14,600
Speaker 2: he is that important to knowa f Aefida got a

1229
00:59:14,640 --> 00:59:17,800
Speaker 2: little inside bug at the practice facilities this week for Arizona.

1230
00:59:17,920 --> 00:59:20,880
Speaker 2: Josh Baker is practicing and he is going to play

1231
00:59:20,880 --> 00:59:23,360
Speaker 2: this weekend. That is a huge boost to Arizona. So

1232
00:59:23,960 --> 00:59:26,000
Speaker 2: the other thing about Fafida we talked about this last

1233
00:59:26,080 --> 00:59:29,880
Speaker 2: year at length. There are certain coverages that Fafieda dominates.

1234
00:59:30,280 --> 00:59:33,959
Speaker 2: He dominates cover one, he dominates quarters, and when people

1235
00:59:34,000 --> 00:59:36,040
Speaker 2: play man, he tears them up. You have teed McMillan,

1236
00:59:36,040 --> 00:59:37,960
Speaker 2: You're gonna be able to tear anybody's man coverage up.

1237
00:59:38,080 --> 00:59:40,120
Speaker 2: You go look at what Kansas State runs. Joe Clanderman

1238
00:59:40,200 --> 00:59:42,320
Speaker 2: runs quarters and cover one sixty percent of the time

1239
00:59:42,320 --> 00:59:45,280
Speaker 2: and then he veers off in demand. This is not

1240
00:59:45,440 --> 00:59:48,880
Speaker 2: a good setup to keep Arizona from having explosive passes.

1241
00:59:48,920 --> 00:59:51,280
Speaker 2: So that was a reason that I think Arizona the

1242
00:59:51,320 --> 00:59:53,400
Speaker 2: Redcats this week, can definitely keep up. But when you

1243
00:59:53,440 --> 00:59:55,040
Speaker 2: go to the other side, you're right stuck. I mean,

1244
00:59:55,400 --> 00:59:57,840
Speaker 2: who's stopping Kansas State from running the ball here? But

1245
00:59:57,920 --> 01:00:00,520
Speaker 2: Avery Johnson has yet to be touched. There's been twelve pressures.

1246
01:00:00,560 --> 01:00:02,920
Speaker 2: He hasn't been touched yet. He's hard to get down.

1247
01:00:03,080 --> 01:00:05,680
Speaker 2: I think there is opportunity for both teams to score

1248
01:00:05,680 --> 01:00:09,160
Speaker 2: a lot. I'm hoping Friday Night Lights is a bonanza points.

1249
01:00:09,520 --> 01:00:11,880
Speaker 2: A game that lands on seven with Kansas State winning

1250
01:00:11,880 --> 01:00:14,000
Speaker 2: and overtime. Maybe, but that's really how I see it

1251
01:00:14,000 --> 01:00:15,760
Speaker 2: playing now. There is an avenue for both these teams

1252
01:00:15,760 --> 01:00:17,440
Speaker 2: to score a lot of points.

1253
01:00:17,320 --> 01:00:21,160
Speaker 5: Hopefully not eight. The gods might pay you back for

1254
01:00:21,240 --> 01:00:26,320
Speaker 5: that Oklahoma State cover against Arkansas. I'm gonna get paid

1255
01:00:26,320 --> 01:00:29,520
Speaker 5: back for Northwest of Duke over I'm waiting for an

1256
01:00:29,600 --> 01:00:32,680
Speaker 5: under to go to overtime in the next couple of weeks.

1257
01:00:32,920 --> 01:00:35,480
Speaker 5: So let's be on to second down. Here our favorite overdog.

1258
01:00:35,600 --> 01:00:36,800
Speaker 5: It's our favorite favorite.

1259
01:00:37,080 --> 01:00:38,680
Speaker 2: It's called the overdog parlay.

1260
01:00:38,840 --> 01:00:41,400
Speaker 5: I'll kick things off. I'm gonna go Mississippi State. I'm

1261
01:00:41,440 --> 01:00:45,160
Speaker 5: waiting that got hit earlier with a release or way

1262
01:00:45,200 --> 01:00:48,600
Speaker 5: early in the week. He get hit earlier and earlier.

1263
01:00:48,800 --> 01:00:50,800
Speaker 5: There's been some buyback. I'm hoping it gets back to ten,

1264
01:00:51,200 --> 01:00:55,840
Speaker 5: but I'll play it regardless. I don't think the market

1265
01:00:55,960 --> 01:00:58,200
Speaker 5: has fully adjusted to how bad this Toledo team is.

1266
01:00:58,720 --> 01:01:00,880
Speaker 5: They should have lost the UMass week. They had a

1267
01:01:01,000 --> 01:01:06,600
Speaker 5: twenty six percent success rate. Tucker Gleason at one point

1268
01:01:06,720 --> 01:01:10,360
Speaker 5: was five of twenty one throwing the ball. This is

1269
01:01:10,360 --> 01:01:12,960
Speaker 5: an offense that lost all five offensive linemen. It's a

1270
01:01:13,000 --> 01:01:15,560
Speaker 5: mess up front. They lost Aai Kwon Finn who's now

1271
01:01:15,600 --> 01:01:18,360
Speaker 5: a quarterback of Taylor Penny Boone. He transferred to the

1272
01:01:18,400 --> 01:01:21,760
Speaker 5: UCF But Kalson is now completing tin fifty dropbacks forty

1273
01:01:21,800 --> 01:01:25,320
Speaker 5: eight percent of his passes. That was UMass last week.

1274
01:01:25,440 --> 01:01:27,200
Speaker 5: And on the other side of the ball, Toledo's defense

1275
01:01:27,640 --> 01:01:29,760
Speaker 5: is a huge drop off well That's it happens when

1276
01:01:29,800 --> 01:01:33,720
Speaker 5: you lose two corners to the NFL and another to Wisconsin,

1277
01:01:33,920 --> 01:01:35,760
Speaker 5: and then you lost your kind of do with everything

1278
01:01:36,120 --> 01:01:39,200
Speaker 5: safety Nickel and your two top pass rushers. How do

1279
01:01:39,240 --> 01:01:44,120
Speaker 5: you attack this Toledo defense deep shots. That's what Missisippi

1280
01:01:44,120 --> 01:01:46,680
Speaker 5: State's going to do. Last week against Arizona State, they

1281
01:01:46,680 --> 01:01:48,520
Speaker 5: were actually better on a down to down basis. They

1282
01:01:48,520 --> 01:01:51,680
Speaker 5: had a flute turnover when shape and lost the ball.

1283
01:01:51,800 --> 01:01:54,840
Speaker 5: That was a scoop and score. But Toledo's defense, you

1284
01:01:54,880 --> 01:01:57,959
Speaker 5: guys ran ninety plays in that game. You guys went

1285
01:01:58,120 --> 01:02:00,920
Speaker 5: up and down the feet and you might look at

1286
01:02:00,920 --> 01:02:02,439
Speaker 5: that final score and say, what are you talking about?

1287
01:02:02,560 --> 01:02:05,360
Speaker 5: So YOUO had a kick return for a touchdown. They

1288
01:02:05,400 --> 01:02:08,680
Speaker 5: had another touchdown late when UMass went for an on

1289
01:02:08,720 --> 01:02:10,400
Speaker 5: site kick, didn't get it. And then I had like

1290
01:02:10,440 --> 01:02:13,440
Speaker 5: three personal fouls and Toledo started at like the fifteen

1291
01:02:13,520 --> 01:02:15,560
Speaker 5: yard line and then punched it in when the game

1292
01:02:15,600 --> 01:02:17,960
Speaker 5: was over. U MESS was the much better team in

1293
01:02:18,000 --> 01:02:20,760
Speaker 5: that game. On a downtown basis. U Mass on the

1294
01:02:20,840 --> 01:02:23,440
Speaker 5: road against Toledo. This is a Toledo team. Last year

1295
01:02:23,480 --> 01:02:25,600
Speaker 5: against U MESS, they ran wild. They ran for like

1296
01:02:25,640 --> 01:02:28,160
Speaker 5: three hundred yards coverage nine yards to carry. Hey, they

1297
01:02:28,280 --> 01:02:30,200
Speaker 5: ran for like eighty yards last week. It's under four

1298
01:02:30,280 --> 01:02:33,080
Speaker 5: yards of pop. The offensive line is bad, so I

1299
01:02:33,080 --> 01:02:35,000
Speaker 5: think this is a good opportunity. They're not gonna get

1300
01:02:35,040 --> 01:02:38,440
Speaker 5: pushed around by this brand new Toledo offensive line. Mississi

1301
01:02:38,440 --> 01:02:41,200
Speaker 5: State wants to run tempo, more possessions. That's better for

1302
01:02:41,560 --> 01:02:44,800
Speaker 5: a favorite here, So I like the bulldogsginst Toledo. Toledo

1303
01:02:45,040 --> 01:02:46,800
Speaker 5: does not look good, So I like Mississi State. Where

1304
01:02:46,840 --> 01:02:48,000
Speaker 5: you going super fast game there?

1305
01:02:48,040 --> 01:02:49,880
Speaker 2: And by the way, I'm jealous that you got a

1306
01:02:49,960 --> 01:02:51,720
Speaker 2: U mass cover, Like I'm going to be jealous the

1307
01:02:51,840 --> 01:02:54,040
Speaker 2: entire season. You got one, So they didn't get one

1308
01:02:54,040 --> 01:02:54,640
Speaker 2: for me and we play.

1309
01:02:54,640 --> 01:02:58,640
Speaker 5: I also bet Temple though, so oh.

1310
01:02:58,520 --> 01:03:01,400
Speaker 2: The trash segment, we love it. I almost went Minnesota

1311
01:03:01,400 --> 01:03:03,480
Speaker 2: for my overdog. I just cannot trust him with a

1312
01:03:03,520 --> 01:03:05,400
Speaker 2: spread that big and it total so small, So I'm

1313
01:03:05,400 --> 01:03:07,160
Speaker 2: going Vanderbilt minus ten and a half.

1314
01:03:08,280 --> 01:03:10,360
Speaker 7: We know that in time Vannibilt football will be the

1315
01:03:10,360 --> 01:03:11,600
Speaker 7: best program in the country.

1316
01:03:12,560 --> 01:03:16,480
Speaker 2: Chattanooga was dominated by Tennessee sixty nine to three, and

1317
01:03:16,480 --> 01:03:18,919
Speaker 2: then the Mox turned around and nearly beat Georgia State

1318
01:03:19,000 --> 01:03:21,240
Speaker 2: Last week twenty four to twenty one. How bad is

1319
01:03:21,280 --> 01:03:24,040
Speaker 2: this Georgia State team? Listen, I projected the Sunbelt to

1320
01:03:24,080 --> 01:03:26,560
Speaker 2: have Georgia State in the bottom in the cellar. They

1321
01:03:26,560 --> 01:03:29,320
Speaker 2: are definitely living up to that, just barely surviving the

1322
01:03:29,320 --> 01:03:32,720
Speaker 2: Mox here Vandy right now. I mean what they're able

1323
01:03:32,760 --> 01:03:36,120
Speaker 2: to do with the influx of New Mexico State influence

1324
01:03:36,160 --> 01:03:38,680
Speaker 2: on the offensive side with Jerry kill Back in at

1325
01:03:38,680 --> 01:03:44,880
Speaker 2: offensive coordinator, Diego Pavia seventy four percent of time than

1326
01:03:44,920 --> 01:03:47,400
Speaker 2: running the ball. This is higher than most Service academies.

1327
01:03:47,680 --> 01:03:49,840
Speaker 2: But Georgia State is one hundred and twelfth in defensive

1328
01:03:49,880 --> 01:03:53,240
Speaker 2: stuff ring. That's not good. It takes Georgia State's best

1329
01:03:53,240 --> 01:03:55,960
Speaker 2: player on defense out, which is corner Gavin Pringle. So

1330
01:03:56,200 --> 01:03:57,920
Speaker 2: you know, if he's going to have no impact to

1331
01:03:57,960 --> 01:03:59,840
Speaker 2: a Vanderbilt team, this was going to run all the time.

1332
01:04:00,000 --> 01:04:02,120
Speaker 2: It's going to be tough. Now, can Georgia State handle

1333
01:04:02,160 --> 01:04:04,880
Speaker 2: what Diego Pavia wants to do in the red zone?

1334
01:04:04,920 --> 01:04:07,680
Speaker 2: Probably not. Georgia State's already one hundred and twenty sixth

1335
01:04:07,680 --> 01:04:11,200
Speaker 2: and defensive finishing drives. The Mox at Georgia Tech created

1336
01:04:11,240 --> 01:04:14,080
Speaker 2: eight drives beyond the forty yard line. They average five

1337
01:04:14,120 --> 01:04:17,520
Speaker 2: point three points, get past the forty, get yourself a touchdown.

1338
01:04:17,560 --> 01:04:20,280
Speaker 2: Vanderbilt has been in the red zone ten times already,

1339
01:04:20,520 --> 01:04:23,360
Speaker 2: eight touchdowns, two field goals. You go back to the

1340
01:04:23,360 --> 01:04:26,080
Speaker 2: new Mexico State days. Pobby is pretty much a cheat

1341
01:04:26,080 --> 01:04:29,000
Speaker 2: code on first and goal. Not really fair. Georgia State's

1342
01:04:29,040 --> 01:04:32,240
Speaker 2: only friend in this matchup is penalties. Vanda's one hundred

1343
01:04:32,240 --> 01:04:34,240
Speaker 2: and fifteenth in penalties. Clark Lee came out and said

1344
01:04:34,520 --> 01:04:36,960
Speaker 2: that is our biggest emphasis for this week. Well, that's

1345
01:04:37,040 --> 01:04:39,440
Speaker 2: like really the only emphasis, because Vandy is overachieving more

1346
01:04:39,440 --> 01:04:41,840
Speaker 2: than anybody of us expected in preseason, except for those

1347
01:04:41,840 --> 01:04:44,000
Speaker 2: of us that took over three wins. There's a lot

1348
01:04:44,000 --> 01:04:46,160
Speaker 2: of problems here. I mean, even down a special teams

1349
01:04:46,200 --> 01:04:49,520
Speaker 2: spplus as Vanderbilt eleventh as Georgia State eighty fourth, and

1350
01:04:49,560 --> 01:04:52,280
Speaker 2: I mean that includes a Vanderbilt return. Martel Height had

1351
01:04:52,320 --> 01:04:55,480
Speaker 2: a fifty seven punt return for a touchdown. Vanderbilt's clicking here,

1352
01:04:55,560 --> 01:04:57,480
Speaker 2: and this is not a defense in the Sun Belt

1353
01:04:57,520 --> 01:04:58,800
Speaker 2: that's going to be able to stop Pavey. So give

1354
01:04:58,800 --> 01:04:59,960
Speaker 2: me Vanderbilt minus ten and a half.

1355
01:05:00,640 --> 01:05:04,920
Speaker 5: Disagree. I have awoken from my hypnosis and I am

1356
01:05:04,960 --> 01:05:06,880
Speaker 5: no longer the president of the Poppy Club will be

1357
01:05:06,880 --> 01:05:09,360
Speaker 5: when they're big dogs. This is the Service Academy. They're

1358
01:05:09,400 --> 01:05:11,800
Speaker 5: laying double digits now. Vandy's laying double digits on the

1359
01:05:11,880 --> 01:05:15,360
Speaker 5: road at Georgia State. Georgia State played Georgia Tech very close.

1360
01:05:15,400 --> 01:05:18,480
Speaker 5: They had no fourth down variants, and that's like kind

1361
01:05:18,480 --> 01:05:20,840
Speaker 5: of a similar type of offense. I think that'll help

1362
01:05:20,880 --> 01:05:23,720
Speaker 5: with the preparation here. The clock's going to be running here.

1363
01:05:24,120 --> 01:05:26,640
Speaker 5: I'm on Georgia State here, we're going head to head.

1364
01:05:26,880 --> 01:05:31,920
Speaker 5: But let's move on to third down, and we're going

1365
01:05:32,000 --> 01:05:37,800
Speaker 5: to talk our money line underdog parlay.

1366
01:05:37,840 --> 01:05:42,800
Speaker 1: Turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the

1367
01:05:42,960 --> 01:05:44,240
Speaker 1: money line Parlay.

1368
01:05:45,400 --> 01:05:50,439
Speaker 5: Swept week one. Last week I hit San Jose State.

1369
01:05:50,480 --> 01:05:51,040
Speaker 5: Who did you have?

1370
01:05:52,680 --> 01:05:54,240
Speaker 2: We don't want to mention that I am Michigan.

1371
01:05:54,800 --> 01:05:57,880
Speaker 5: You went with Michigan. I tried to tell you, I tried.

1372
01:05:58,280 --> 01:06:01,000
Speaker 5: I tried my best, but to know of ail. So

1373
01:06:01,080 --> 01:06:05,720
Speaker 5: let's get back on track this week. I'm going Colorado

1374
01:06:05,760 --> 01:06:07,840
Speaker 5: State against Colorado. A lot of errands in this game.

1375
01:06:08,120 --> 01:06:11,400
Speaker 5: High total. Like Carlada is the same team. They've proven

1376
01:06:11,480 --> 01:06:14,560
Speaker 5: that no defense, no offensive line, no run game. Now

1377
01:06:15,080 --> 01:06:16,880
Speaker 5: their passing attack is going to have success there.

1378
01:06:16,960 --> 01:06:17,120
Speaker 2: Yeah.

1379
01:06:17,120 --> 01:06:20,280
Speaker 5: Absolutely. Colorado State lost, you know, and a corner to

1380
01:06:20,320 --> 01:06:23,560
Speaker 5: the NFL. They lost. They had three really good pass

1381
01:06:23,640 --> 01:06:26,720
Speaker 5: rushers last year, lost one of the NFL won a graduation.

1382
01:06:26,800 --> 01:06:28,160
Speaker 5: One still hurt and I don't think he's going to

1383
01:06:28,200 --> 01:06:29,880
Speaker 5: play this week, so they have no pass rush. That's

1384
01:06:29,960 --> 01:06:33,919
Speaker 5: problematic against Colorado because their offensive line is so bad.

1385
01:06:34,360 --> 01:06:36,720
Speaker 5: But Colorado is going to have success throwing the ball here.

1386
01:06:36,880 --> 01:06:39,120
Speaker 5: But Colorado State should have success throwing the ball too.

1387
01:06:39,280 --> 01:06:42,560
Speaker 5: Colorado has injuries, they have depth concerns, and just what's

1388
01:06:42,560 --> 01:06:47,760
Speaker 5: going on in that locker room. Very combustible situation. Tory

1389
01:06:47,800 --> 01:06:50,160
Speaker 5: Horton came out and said, one of my favorite players

1390
01:06:50,160 --> 01:06:52,760
Speaker 5: in college football. We should have we should have murdered

1391
01:06:52,920 --> 01:06:55,080
Speaker 5: Colorado last year. That's what he said. This will be

1392
01:06:55,120 --> 01:06:57,520
Speaker 5: a fun game. I'm taking a shot with the rams

1393
01:06:57,840 --> 01:06:58,240
Speaker 5: where you go.

1394
01:06:58,480 --> 01:07:00,160
Speaker 2: I would tell everybody to keep your eyes on that

1395
01:07:00,200 --> 01:07:02,840
Speaker 2: line on Friday afternoon. Tory Horton does have a groin injury,

1396
01:07:02,840 --> 01:07:05,160
Speaker 2: and I think ye was I was told he expects

1397
01:07:05,160 --> 01:07:08,920
Speaker 2: to play that yeah, nors monitor, Yeah, I was told

1398
01:07:08,960 --> 01:07:11,000
Speaker 2: no Revel's final decision. It's going to be Friday afternoon.

1399
01:07:11,000 --> 01:07:12,360
Speaker 2: So I would I would just keep my eyes on

1400
01:07:12,720 --> 01:07:13,840
Speaker 2: peeled on the market.

1401
01:07:13,880 --> 01:07:16,160
Speaker 5: If I get news on that. So wait on that.

1402
01:07:16,520 --> 01:07:18,240
Speaker 5: If Horton is out, where would you go?

1403
01:07:18,720 --> 01:07:19,200
Speaker 2: You Mass?

1404
01:07:19,240 --> 01:07:24,040
Speaker 5: Baby a kick? Well, I have these scenes powered it similarly,

1405
01:07:24,080 --> 01:07:24,600
Speaker 5: you Mass.

1406
01:07:26,680 --> 01:07:33,000
Speaker 2: I don't want no man and no man and man

1407
01:07:33,880 --> 01:07:35,919
Speaker 2: U Mass is ready to be in the mac. Let's

1408
01:07:35,920 --> 01:07:38,000
Speaker 2: stay in the Mountain West. We're gonna go Hawaii plus

1409
01:07:38,040 --> 01:07:40,600
Speaker 2: one sixty five. Oh do I love some Rainbow Warriors.

1410
01:07:40,640 --> 01:07:42,880
Speaker 2: But I projected him to be a small favorite here

1411
01:07:42,880 --> 01:07:45,640
Speaker 2: against Sam Houston. The last time Timmy Chang got a

1412
01:07:45,680 --> 01:07:47,960
Speaker 2: week of rest and came to the mainland was October eighth,

1413
01:07:48,000 --> 01:07:50,240
Speaker 2: twenty twenty two. He was a twenty three and a

1414
01:07:50,280 --> 01:07:52,840
Speaker 2: half point underdog to San Diego State and nearly won

1415
01:07:52,880 --> 01:07:55,120
Speaker 2: the game outright. He knows how to have his rest

1416
01:07:55,200 --> 01:07:58,200
Speaker 2: before he gets to the mainland. And there is a

1417
01:07:58,320 --> 01:08:01,920
Speaker 2: huge offensive havoc issue here for Sam Houston. Havoc allowed.

1418
01:08:01,920 --> 01:08:04,480
Speaker 2: They're one hundred and twenty second, They're allowing a lot

1419
01:08:04,480 --> 01:08:07,880
Speaker 2: of tackles for loss, They're fumbling the ball already sixteen

1420
01:08:07,920 --> 01:08:11,640
Speaker 2: tackles for loss, three fumbles, two interceptions. It's not been

1421
01:08:11,800 --> 01:08:15,000
Speaker 2: clean even in a twenty point victory over Rice, the

1422
01:08:15,040 --> 01:08:17,839
Speaker 2: Owls were able to generate seven sacks and ten tackles

1423
01:08:17,840 --> 01:08:21,280
Speaker 2: for loss. And that has just been Hawaii's calling cards

1424
01:08:21,280 --> 01:08:23,679
Speaker 2: so far this year. Their twelfth and early defensive havoc

1425
01:08:24,240 --> 01:08:27,920
Speaker 2: seventeenth and tackles, seventeen tackles for loss and twelve passes defense.

1426
01:08:28,000 --> 01:08:30,920
Speaker 2: These guys are ballhawks. Samus is going to try to

1427
01:08:31,000 --> 01:08:33,439
Speaker 2: run the ball against the Hawaii D that's top twenty five

1428
01:08:33,479 --> 01:08:36,400
Speaker 2: and stuff rate. Bearcat's run a high amount of inside

1429
01:08:36,479 --> 01:08:39,040
Speaker 2: zone with running bad John Gentry. He's produced only one

1430
01:08:39,120 --> 01:08:41,400
Speaker 2: run over ten yards. He's averaging two point three yards

1431
01:08:41,439 --> 01:08:43,439
Speaker 2: after contact. That is not the kind of numbers you're

1432
01:08:43,479 --> 01:08:46,559
Speaker 2: looking for from a running back. The quarterback Hunter Watson

1433
01:08:46,600 --> 01:08:48,920
Speaker 2: does know how to run that RPO well. He has

1434
01:08:48,920 --> 01:08:51,200
Speaker 2: two explosives so far on the ground five point six

1435
01:08:51,280 --> 01:08:54,519
Speaker 2: yards after contact. But that's the only option on the

1436
01:08:54,520 --> 01:08:57,200
Speaker 2: Sam Houston offense, especially on the ground, that has any

1437
01:08:57,280 --> 01:08:59,400
Speaker 2: kind of juice. But go back and look at Hawaii.

1438
01:08:59,400 --> 01:09:01,479
Speaker 2: Did do you see in that box score they stuffed

1439
01:09:01,560 --> 01:09:04,719
Speaker 2: fourteen of twenty three rushing attempts against that UCLA offensive

1440
01:09:04,760 --> 01:09:07,360
Speaker 2: line and UCLA running backs. You could say, whatever state

1441
01:09:07,400 --> 01:09:09,639
Speaker 2: the program is it's still UCLA. It's in the Big ten.

1442
01:09:10,000 --> 01:09:12,960
Speaker 2: This is a huge game for a couple of Hawaii players.

1443
01:09:13,479 --> 01:09:17,040
Speaker 2: Brandon Shagar Sagar Bomb the quarterback of Hawaii. He's from

1444
01:09:17,120 --> 01:09:21,160
Speaker 2: Texas from Highland Park. Wide receiver Pafell Ashlock He's from Ulas, Texas.

1445
01:09:21,520 --> 01:09:24,840
Speaker 2: Corner Cam Stone leads the secondary and almost everything. He's

1446
01:09:24,840 --> 01:09:27,840
Speaker 2: from Angleton. This is a huge game for a bunch

1447
01:09:27,880 --> 01:09:30,639
Speaker 2: of players on this Hawaii roster. They have massive havoc

1448
01:09:31,360 --> 01:09:34,400
Speaker 2: advantages all over this and that rush attack that Sam

1449
01:09:34,439 --> 01:09:36,600
Speaker 2: Houston's trying to pull off with the RPO just not

1450
01:09:36,600 --> 01:09:38,799
Speaker 2: going to work here. Give me Hawaii on the mainland

1451
01:09:38,800 --> 01:09:39,280
Speaker 2: plus one.

1452
01:09:39,320 --> 01:09:42,360
Speaker 5: Sixty five fading eat him up cats the only time.

1453
01:09:42,400 --> 01:09:49,360
Speaker 5: Producer is not going to be happy with that. Let's

1454
01:09:49,479 --> 01:09:52,559
Speaker 5: move on to fourth down because we go for it

1455
01:09:52,600 --> 01:09:55,839
Speaker 5: here this season. Fourth down will give out our favorite

1456
01:09:55,880 --> 01:09:57,759
Speaker 5: bet hot damn.

1457
01:09:58,600 --> 01:09:59,240
Speaker 8: This is fun.

1458
01:10:00,040 --> 01:10:02,840
Speaker 5: An ugly car this this week probably the last one

1459
01:10:02,880 --> 01:10:06,040
Speaker 5: I'll hate all season. But you know still, I don't

1460
01:10:06,080 --> 01:10:09,120
Speaker 5: really like to rely on the advanced metrics yet, like

1461
01:10:09,160 --> 01:10:10,479
Speaker 5: to get three or four data points a out of

1462
01:10:10,479 --> 01:10:11,800
Speaker 5: the day once we have. Some of them are just

1463
01:10:11,840 --> 01:10:14,880
Speaker 5: against SEPSS teams. You could throw them out and we're

1464
01:10:14,920 --> 01:10:17,920
Speaker 5: still learning a lot about these teams with such massive

1465
01:10:18,040 --> 01:10:22,600
Speaker 5: roster turnover, so we'll be much more comfortable in you know.

1466
01:10:22,640 --> 01:10:24,759
Speaker 5: I think one or two more weeks and the slates

1467
01:10:24,800 --> 01:10:26,760
Speaker 5: will get much better. I'm gonna take a shot with

1468
01:10:26,840 --> 01:10:29,160
Speaker 5: Wyoming here. It's ugly. I'm gonna try to catch the

1469
01:10:29,200 --> 01:10:32,240
Speaker 5: falling knife. I think this is the bottom on Wyoming. EYU.

1470
01:10:32,320 --> 01:10:34,280
Speaker 5: It's a terrible spot for uy. You going to Laramie,

1471
01:10:34,320 --> 01:10:37,400
Speaker 5: underrated home field advantage in the altitude there. They're coming

1472
01:10:37,400 --> 01:10:41,439
Speaker 5: off an upset win against SMU. They host Kansas State

1473
01:10:41,600 --> 01:10:44,800
Speaker 5: next weekend, huge conference game, So a little bit of

1474
01:10:44,840 --> 01:10:49,479
Speaker 5: a sandwich spot here, which just Wyoming's been dreadful Spibota,

1475
01:10:49,520 --> 01:10:52,000
Speaker 5: their quarterback's been awful. He hasn't been helped by his

1476
01:10:52,040 --> 01:10:55,280
Speaker 5: wide receivers. They got thirty percent to operate. You rarely

1477
01:10:55,320 --> 01:10:58,280
Speaker 5: ever see a team over twenty percent. Where red shirt

1478
01:10:58,280 --> 01:11:00,200
Speaker 5: freshman left tackle has been fat, so he hasn't got

1479
01:11:00,320 --> 01:11:04,720
Speaker 5: much help. Why could it be different this week? Well, one,

1480
01:11:04,960 --> 01:11:08,240
Speaker 5: I'm just playing the number a bit. But two, they

1481
01:11:08,240 --> 01:11:10,479
Speaker 5: get Jilling Board back or they should their tight end

1482
01:11:10,520 --> 01:11:12,840
Speaker 5: he's their best weapon and he hasn't played yet this season.

1483
01:11:13,240 --> 01:11:16,160
Speaker 5: He's huge. Their new coach, Jase Hovell, he hinted that

1484
01:11:16,200 --> 01:11:18,479
Speaker 5: they're going to try to run to Vota a lot more.

1485
01:11:18,880 --> 01:11:21,280
Speaker 5: That they need to do that. They need to utilize

1486
01:11:21,320 --> 01:11:24,520
Speaker 5: his legs and run him. And BYU's defense is vulnerable

1487
01:11:24,840 --> 01:11:28,240
Speaker 5: against mobile quarterbacks. You're catching eleven and a half points

1488
01:11:28,240 --> 01:11:30,200
Speaker 5: here in a game with a total that's what under

1489
01:11:30,240 --> 01:11:33,240
Speaker 5: forty right now, which is definitely intriguing. Should be a

1490
01:11:33,240 --> 01:11:35,240
Speaker 5: low scoring game, b YU mean will Not only is

1491
01:11:35,280 --> 01:11:37,479
Speaker 5: it a bad spot, They're gonna be without their top

1492
01:11:37,520 --> 01:11:40,840
Speaker 5: two running backs in this game, who are banged up.

1493
01:11:40,960 --> 01:11:44,320
Speaker 5: So I think that BYU, you know, win over SMU

1494
01:11:44,400 --> 01:11:47,479
Speaker 5: said more about SMU than it did about BYU. Remember

1495
01:11:47,680 --> 01:11:49,919
Speaker 5: SME should have lost that in Nevada. I wasn't necessarily

1496
01:11:49,960 --> 01:11:53,600
Speaker 5: wow by their offense. So I think this is the

1497
01:11:53,640 --> 01:11:56,120
Speaker 5: time to buy low, sell high back to pokes at

1498
01:11:56,120 --> 01:12:00,320
Speaker 5: home in a good spot in Laredice.

1499
01:12:00,720 --> 01:12:02,559
Speaker 2: I'm going to stick close to home here. I'm going

1500
01:12:02,640 --> 01:12:06,360
Speaker 2: to go to Donald W. Reynolds Razorbacks Stadium. Arkansas is

1501
01:12:06,400 --> 01:12:08,400
Speaker 2: in their home opener here. I'm going to go over

1502
01:12:08,520 --> 01:12:11,200
Speaker 2: twenty one and a half points on the Razorbacks in

1503
01:12:11,280 --> 01:12:12,200
Speaker 2: the first half.

1504
01:12:12,640 --> 01:12:16,040
Speaker 7: Our focus is to embrace the hog with pride.

1505
01:12:16,280 --> 01:12:18,439
Speaker 2: Welcome home, Bobby Patrino. This is his first time to

1506
01:12:18,439 --> 01:12:20,799
Speaker 2: coach in the stadium as a member of the coaching

1507
01:12:20,840 --> 01:12:23,960
Speaker 2: staff since he was fired a number of years ago.

1508
01:12:24,320 --> 01:12:27,320
Speaker 2: But really, look at this UAB team. I mean, Trent

1509
01:12:27,360 --> 01:12:30,439
Speaker 2: Dilford threw himself, through his offensive coordinator, through everybody under

1510
01:12:30,439 --> 01:12:33,080
Speaker 2: the bus about how bad the performance was when they

1511
01:12:33,120 --> 01:12:37,720
Speaker 2: got absolutely whacked by ULM last week. Ulm averaged four

1512
01:12:37,760 --> 01:12:40,400
Speaker 2: point four yards per carry. They had over two hundred

1513
01:12:40,479 --> 01:12:43,679
Speaker 2: rushing yards on what forty eight attempts. They were only

1514
01:12:43,720 --> 01:12:47,040
Speaker 2: stuffed ten times. I mean, it was a pathetic defensive

1515
01:12:47,080 --> 01:12:50,000
Speaker 2: performance for UAB. I knew going in that there'd be

1516
01:12:50,040 --> 01:12:50,879
Speaker 2: a lot of challenges.

1517
01:12:50,920 --> 01:12:52,599
Speaker 5: I knew going in there'd be a lot of learns.

1518
01:12:53,439 --> 01:12:56,160
Speaker 2: I'd forgotten how painful it is get your brains beat in.

1519
01:12:56,560 --> 01:12:58,439
Speaker 2: ARNSA was going to have their full boat of weapons

1520
01:12:58,479 --> 01:13:01,439
Speaker 2: on offense, and this is a pissed off offense that

1521
01:13:01,560 --> 01:13:04,000
Speaker 2: completely shut down in the fourth quarter against Oklahoma State

1522
01:13:04,040 --> 01:13:06,360
Speaker 2: and lost in overtime, a game that they had in

1523
01:13:06,439 --> 01:13:09,880
Speaker 2: control going into halftime. There's really what's a state Arkansas's

1524
01:13:10,080 --> 01:13:13,160
Speaker 2: all about. Arkansas is going to have jaquinnin Jackson. He's healthy.

1525
01:13:13,200 --> 01:13:14,800
Speaker 2: I know he came out of times against Okahoma State.

1526
01:13:15,000 --> 01:13:17,519
Speaker 2: He's fully healthy, ready to go. Wide receiver Andrew Armstrong

1527
01:13:17,760 --> 01:13:20,639
Speaker 2: did not play the opener against UAPB. He's at full

1528
01:13:20,680 --> 01:13:22,719
Speaker 2: speed right now and going to be there for Taylor Green,

1529
01:13:23,080 --> 01:13:25,920
Speaker 2: his roommate quarterback, Taylor Green, who should connect with him

1530
01:13:25,960 --> 01:13:28,720
Speaker 2: often here. Uab's defense is outside the top ninety and

1531
01:13:28,840 --> 01:13:32,040
Speaker 2: so many rushing metrics, lineyards, stuff rate, And that's a

1532
01:13:32,080 --> 01:13:34,920
Speaker 2: schedule against Alcorn State and ULM, and you have those

1533
01:13:35,000 --> 01:13:37,439
Speaker 2: kind of numbers on defense, UAB is one hundred and

1534
01:13:37,479 --> 01:13:41,880
Speaker 2: nineteenth and pass epa Jacob Zeno has been horrific. Zero

1535
01:13:41,960 --> 01:13:43,240
Speaker 2: big time throws.

1536
01:13:43,160 --> 01:13:48,560
Speaker 5: Did sun up beats all night, chick check four checkdown, Charlie.

1537
01:13:48,360 --> 01:13:51,320
Speaker 2: Check down, four turnover worthy plays an average depth of

1538
01:13:51,360 --> 01:13:53,799
Speaker 2: target of three point four yards. I would like someone

1539
01:13:53,840 --> 01:13:56,320
Speaker 2: to explain to me how you have four turnover worthy

1540
01:13:56,320 --> 01:13:58,320
Speaker 2: plays when your average depth of target is three point

1541
01:13:58,320 --> 01:14:02,080
Speaker 2: four yards, six pres drops already by the team, and

1542
01:14:02,200 --> 01:14:05,719
Speaker 2: twenty six pressures against the defenses of ULM and alcorn State.

1543
01:14:06,040 --> 01:14:07,600
Speaker 2: This is some of the worst numbers I've seen in

1544
01:14:07,600 --> 01:14:11,080
Speaker 2: college football in ten years. So you have to decide

1545
01:14:11,080 --> 01:14:13,840
Speaker 2: whether you're going to take Arkansas full game or first half.

1546
01:14:13,880 --> 01:14:16,080
Speaker 2: They do have an SEC game on deck next week

1547
01:14:16,120 --> 01:14:19,360
Speaker 2: against Auburn. Pretty big there, But because of what happened

1548
01:14:19,360 --> 01:14:21,400
Speaker 2: in to Oklahoma State and because the offense shut down,

1549
01:14:22,080 --> 01:14:24,559
Speaker 2: you can expect Arkansas to bring which is becoming more

1550
01:14:24,600 --> 01:14:27,240
Speaker 2: of an uptempo offense twenty five seconds per play. And

1551
01:14:27,280 --> 01:14:28,960
Speaker 2: by the way, UAB is going to help them get

1552
01:14:28,960 --> 01:14:30,960
Speaker 2: more possessions in the first half because UAB is twenty

1553
01:14:30,960 --> 01:14:33,360
Speaker 2: three seconds per play, that's fifteenth fastest in the nation.

1554
01:14:33,920 --> 01:14:36,320
Speaker 2: There's plenty of time to score here in the first half. Now,

1555
01:14:36,320 --> 01:14:38,519
Speaker 2: why am I sticking with the first half? Pittman has

1556
01:14:38,600 --> 01:14:42,320
Speaker 2: a monster history of taking on G five and FCS

1557
01:14:42,360 --> 01:14:44,920
Speaker 2: teams that are inferior, getting thirty five to forty two

1558
01:14:44,920 --> 01:14:46,479
Speaker 2: points up on the board in the first half, and

1559
01:14:46,520 --> 01:14:48,559
Speaker 2: then throwing it into second gear and saying, we don't

1560
01:14:48,560 --> 01:14:51,120
Speaker 2: care what happens in the second half. When Patrino was

1561
01:14:51,160 --> 01:14:54,200
Speaker 2: head coach his first year at the University of Arkansas

1562
01:14:54,240 --> 01:14:56,439
Speaker 2: in two thousand and eight, one of the quarterbacks in

1563
01:14:56,479 --> 01:14:59,760
Speaker 2: his room was Alex Mortenson, the offensive coordinator of UAB.

1564
01:15:00,320 --> 01:15:02,920
Speaker 2: I believe if there's a spot where Petrino is not

1565
01:15:02,960 --> 01:15:04,360
Speaker 2: going to be such an asshole and take his foot

1566
01:15:04,360 --> 01:15:06,160
Speaker 2: off the pedal. It'd be against Alex Mortenson in the

1567
01:15:06,200 --> 01:15:09,360
Speaker 2: second half against UAB, but in the first half Guns

1568
01:15:09,360 --> 01:15:13,320
Speaker 2: Blazing go Hogs. Whoopig sue they want to get back

1569
01:15:13,360 --> 01:15:15,400
Speaker 2: what they lost last week in Oklahoma State on offense.

1570
01:15:15,960 --> 01:15:17,600
Speaker 1: Woo pig sue.

1571
01:15:17,760 --> 01:15:19,679
Speaker 5: All right, that'll do it for us. Thanks to Colin

1572
01:15:19,720 --> 01:15:21,519
Speaker 5: for joining me, as always, thanks to our for producer

1573
01:15:21,560 --> 01:15:23,200
Speaker 5: Mit Mitchell in the back end. Mostly thanks to all

1574
01:15:23,240 --> 01:15:26,680
Speaker 5: of you for tuning in. Make sure you subscribe, unsubscribed, subscribe,

1575
01:15:26,960 --> 01:15:29,120
Speaker 5: Tell a Friend, Tell an Enemy. A live show ten

1576
01:15:29,160 --> 01:15:31,000
Speaker 5: thirty eight Eastern group of five guys. Make sure you

1577
01:15:31,040 --> 01:15:33,400
Speaker 5: check them out. Recap episode will be out Monday morning,

1578
01:15:33,439 --> 01:15:36,240
Speaker 5: nine to five nine. Bad bat for the voicemails. Get

1579
01:15:36,280 --> 01:15:38,360
Speaker 5: in there, yell at us, leave a review, a five

1580
01:15:38,360 --> 01:15:40,559
Speaker 5: star review. We'll do a bunch of getaways. You can

1581
01:15:40,640 --> 01:15:43,920
Speaker 5: say anything. We got a bunch recently, so let's see

1582
01:15:43,920 --> 01:15:46,280
Speaker 5: our Apple podcast review winners. Thank you to the following

1583
01:15:46,320 --> 01:15:49,400
Speaker 5: seven people for your five star reviews us. Their names

1584
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Speaker 5: sim City thirty three, knock on Wood if you're with me,

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Speaker 5: Brady Cook Him, Dylan Paul Murph, nine nine, Eddie Action,

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Speaker 5: What Up Betty, and Colin Wilson's long Lost Son. So

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Speaker 5: if you didn't hear your name Caudi or check out

1588
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Speaker 5: the end of this week's group of five episodes, they

1589
01:16:06,160 --> 01:16:09,479
Speaker 5: announced even more review winners there our producer will put

1590
01:16:09,520 --> 01:16:11,200
Speaker 5: in the info here.

1591
01:16:11,080 --> 01:16:11,599
Speaker 6: Thanks Dock.

1592
01:16:11,760 --> 01:16:16,000
Speaker 2: Just email me podcasts at actionnetwork dot com to claim

1593
01:16:16,040 --> 01:16:16,720
Speaker 2: your prize.

1594
01:16:17,320 --> 01:16:20,000
Speaker 5: Eat them upcats, and it's time for us to go

1595
01:16:20,040 --> 01:16:22,559
Speaker 5: find some last minute winners. Let's have a weekend.

1596
01:16:22,960 --> 01:16:24,120
Speaker 2: Cheers, peace out.

1597
01:16:33,360 --> 01:16:37,880
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

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