1 00:00:01,400 --> 00:00:05,360 Speaker 1: Welcome to Sharp or Square, presented by a hard rock 2 00:00:05,400 --> 00:00:08,879 Speaker 1: bet We are part of the Volume podcast network Business 3 00:00:08,960 --> 00:00:13,239 Speaker 1: the Betting Show, the number one betting show. It makes 4 00:00:13,280 --> 00:00:16,840 Speaker 1: the squares sharper and makes the wise guys pay attention. 5 00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:20,000 Speaker 2: I am Chad Millman and I'm joined as. 6 00:00:19,920 --> 00:00:23,479 Speaker 1: Always by my co host, my bff, my companion, my 7 00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:26,120 Speaker 1: compadre professional better Simon Hunter. 8 00:00:26,960 --> 00:00:30,800 Speaker 3: Hell oh so I'm in Chad. Are we doing, brother dude. 9 00:00:31,120 --> 00:00:34,800 Speaker 1: So at the end of our show on Sunday night, 10 00:00:35,960 --> 00:00:40,199 Speaker 1: we were talking about favorites dominating, and it feels a 11 00:00:40,280 --> 00:00:44,360 Speaker 1: little bit like they are picking up where they ended 12 00:00:44,680 --> 00:00:48,320 Speaker 1: last season. They were winning at such a rate last 13 00:00:48,360 --> 00:00:51,960 Speaker 1: year that the biggest sportsbook operators in the world, in 14 00:00:52,040 --> 00:00:55,360 Speaker 1: their earnings calls in the second in the third and 15 00:00:55,360 --> 00:00:59,080 Speaker 1: fourth quarter of the year had to reduce their revenue 16 00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:04,680 Speaker 1: projections because of what they described as customer friendly outcomes. 17 00:01:04,920 --> 00:01:07,320 Speaker 1: It means the favorites are winning too much, right, and 18 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:09,480 Speaker 1: that means the public is winning too much because all 19 00:01:09,520 --> 00:01:13,360 Speaker 1: the big favorites are covering and winning outright. So r 20 00:01:13,480 --> 00:01:17,080 Speaker 1: pal Evan Abrams, greatest researcher in the world, had a 21 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 1: tweet on I don't know Sunday night Monday morning. The 22 00:01:21,120 --> 00:01:27,480 Speaker 1: favorites who closed at more than four are twelve straight 23 00:01:27,560 --> 00:01:31,760 Speaker 1: up this season, sixty four and seven. Since Week thirteen 24 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:36,800 Speaker 1: of last year, paves of six plus points are forty 25 00:01:36,880 --> 00:01:41,160 Speaker 1: seven and four in that span. A reminder, over this 26 00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:45,000 Speaker 1: past weekend, the four point favorites were San Francisco one, 27 00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:52,920 Speaker 1: Baltimore one, Detroit one, Buffalo one, Rams one. By the way, 28 00:01:53,520 --> 00:01:55,880 Speaker 1: those teams all covered as well. The two that didn't 29 00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:58,520 Speaker 1: cover but still one with the Cowboys and Cardinals, the 30 00:01:58,520 --> 00:02:00,360 Speaker 1: Cardinals who gave it away in the final five minute. 31 00:02:00,400 --> 00:02:05,640 Speaker 1: So it's why we added Simon that money line round 32 00:02:05,720 --> 00:02:10,720 Speaker 1: robin for favorites. The dogs can't win, they can barely cover. 33 00:02:11,360 --> 00:02:13,920 Speaker 1: So if you don't change, you don't evolve, right, and 34 00:02:14,000 --> 00:02:16,880 Speaker 1: we evolve, Simon. Do you want to know how we're 35 00:02:16,919 --> 00:02:18,760 Speaker 1: going to prove it this week? 36 00:02:19,639 --> 00:02:21,200 Speaker 3: I'm looking forward to you showing me Choed. 37 00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:24,640 Speaker 2: It's our Tuesday show. We're going to review the entire slate. 38 00:02:24,720 --> 00:02:29,200 Speaker 1: We will have a battle, Simon, a battle of perception 39 00:02:29,840 --> 00:02:34,160 Speaker 1: versus reality. Now that we have two weeks of games, 40 00:02:34,600 --> 00:02:35,480 Speaker 1: let's get after it. 41 00:02:35,520 --> 00:02:36,120 Speaker 2: Don't forget. 42 00:02:36,600 --> 00:02:38,880 Speaker 1: You can get all the shows at Sharper Square on 43 00:02:38,919 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 1: YouTube go subscribe like this video. While you're at it, 44 00:02:41,440 --> 00:02:45,800 Speaker 1: you can subscribe to Sharper Square, Apple, Pose, Spotify, et cetera. 45 00:02:46,120 --> 00:02:48,519 Speaker 1: I look Thursday Night at Miami at Buffalo Buffalo a 46 00:02:48,520 --> 00:02:51,960 Speaker 1: twelve and a half point favorite. I think the theme 47 00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:56,280 Speaker 1: for this episode really is perception and reality, old school 48 00:02:56,600 --> 00:03:00,400 Speaker 1: old school philosophy versus reality. Old school reality is you 49 00:03:00,440 --> 00:03:02,640 Speaker 1: bet the dogs of more than twelve points in a 50 00:03:02,680 --> 00:03:08,920 Speaker 1: division game. The reality, thanks to Killer Sports, dogs in 51 00:03:08,960 --> 00:03:10,960 Speaker 1: those spots are forty four percent against the spreads in 52 00:03:10,960 --> 00:03:15,280 Speaker 1: twenty fifteen. We avoided it last week and ignoring the 53 00:03:15,280 --> 00:03:20,120 Speaker 1: Browns in the Ravens game. The question is not do 54 00:03:20,200 --> 00:03:22,399 Speaker 1: we bet the Dolphins? The question is are the Dolphins 55 00:03:22,480 --> 00:03:26,239 Speaker 1: so bad we would bet against them in this spot that, 56 00:03:26,400 --> 00:03:28,600 Speaker 1: to me, all of a sudden becomes the question. 57 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:30,480 Speaker 3: Yeah. 58 00:03:30,720 --> 00:03:34,160 Speaker 4: And again it's a game that I'm only going to 59 00:03:34,240 --> 00:03:36,000 Speaker 4: be on one side. People know my stance on Swam 60 00:03:36,120 --> 00:03:38,480 Speaker 4: with Tea. I'm just going to keep fading them every week. 61 00:03:38,520 --> 00:03:42,400 Speaker 4: I just until a change happens, right until they fire 62 00:03:42,960 --> 00:03:45,120 Speaker 4: the head coach in GM, which I think is just 63 00:03:46,000 --> 00:03:48,440 Speaker 4: it's needed. There's just some of these organizations. I mean, 64 00:03:48,480 --> 00:03:50,880 Speaker 4: we'll go through it today. But like you're two weeks in, 65 00:03:52,520 --> 00:03:54,200 Speaker 4: what do you think is really going to change? 66 00:03:54,280 --> 00:03:54,520 Speaker 3: Right? 67 00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:56,640 Speaker 4: You kind of know with some of these teams, just 68 00:03:56,680 --> 00:03:58,560 Speaker 4: the way it started and the way the vibes are. 69 00:03:58,640 --> 00:04:03,640 Speaker 4: So Miami's just a team that at fourteen fourteen and 70 00:04:03,640 --> 00:04:05,800 Speaker 4: a half, because it's a standalone game on a short 71 00:04:05,840 --> 00:04:08,360 Speaker 4: week and Miami is really desperate, I probably could be 72 00:04:08,360 --> 00:04:11,000 Speaker 4: tucked into it. But at this number, I'll just be 73 00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:13,320 Speaker 4: like the Joe public, I'll throw it in my teaser 74 00:04:13,400 --> 00:04:16,800 Speaker 4: with someone else from Sunday and just I mean, this 75 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:20,120 Speaker 4: is gonna be just a huge need for the book. 76 00:04:20,160 --> 00:04:22,200 Speaker 3: So, like we just said, Chalk has been winning in 77 00:04:22,240 --> 00:04:23,960 Speaker 3: the olden days just four or. 78 00:04:23,960 --> 00:04:27,239 Speaker 4: Five years ago. I would loved the Dolphins in the spot. 79 00:04:27,240 --> 00:04:29,000 Speaker 4: They're going to be a huge need for the book. 80 00:04:29,080 --> 00:04:33,440 Speaker 4: And like Chad's saying, no one's gonna be betting Miami here, 81 00:04:33,560 --> 00:04:36,680 Speaker 4: like this is such a Miami number, of Miami spot. 82 00:04:36,720 --> 00:04:39,120 Speaker 4: But we've seen these Thursday games they tilt to the 83 00:04:39,200 --> 00:04:43,520 Speaker 4: favorites at home and that's held true. And Chad just 84 00:04:43,520 --> 00:04:45,960 Speaker 4: sit here those stats. These big dogs, they just ain't 85 00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:49,119 Speaker 4: hitting like they used to. So I am so happy 86 00:04:49,160 --> 00:04:50,640 Speaker 4: we don't need to force this one and probably not. 87 00:04:50,800 --> 00:04:53,080 Speaker 4: Don't even need to talk about it on a Thursday show. 88 00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:55,680 Speaker 4: I'm simply looking at this as a teaser spot with 89 00:04:55,760 --> 00:04:58,840 Speaker 4: the bills, or if you really want to, you could 90 00:04:58,920 --> 00:04:59,560 Speaker 4: survivor it. 91 00:04:59,680 --> 00:05:02,760 Speaker 3: But I hate doing Survivors on Thursday. But I get it. 92 00:05:02,800 --> 00:05:06,360 Speaker 3: But I just this number is insane. 93 00:05:06,600 --> 00:05:09,880 Speaker 4: I can't believe, honestly, I can't believe that it's up 94 00:05:09,960 --> 00:05:11,200 Speaker 4: to where it's at. And I could see it keep 95 00:05:11,200 --> 00:05:14,320 Speaker 4: getting hired just because they need they're gonna need Dolphins money. 96 00:05:14,320 --> 00:05:16,760 Speaker 4: I just don't see it come until the professionals really 97 00:05:16,760 --> 00:05:19,160 Speaker 4: get that thirteen thirteen and a half, So sit that 98 00:05:19,240 --> 00:05:19,720 Speaker 4: twelve and a half. 99 00:05:19,800 --> 00:05:21,600 Speaker 3: Like Chad said, no need to force it. 100 00:05:22,040 --> 00:05:24,479 Speaker 1: I'm a little surprised it hasn't gotten at fourteen already. 101 00:05:24,800 --> 00:05:31,680 Speaker 1: There's no evidence of things unseen to make you want 102 00:05:31,680 --> 00:05:35,400 Speaker 1: to bet on the Dolphins. It just goes to show 103 00:05:35,400 --> 00:05:38,680 Speaker 1: you to me that everyone's kind of sitting this one 104 00:05:38,720 --> 00:05:40,800 Speaker 1: out because it hasn't moved off the twelve and a 105 00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:43,320 Speaker 1: half since Sunday. So if the wise guys were coming in, 106 00:05:43,520 --> 00:05:44,840 Speaker 1: they're the ones who are going to bet in the 107 00:05:44,880 --> 00:05:47,239 Speaker 1: first forty hours forty eight hours and sort of pluck 108 00:05:47,320 --> 00:05:52,839 Speaker 1: those early big lines. It's just solid twelve and a half. 109 00:05:53,200 --> 00:05:54,840 Speaker 1: So it hasn't gone down to twelve. It hasn't gone 110 00:05:54,839 --> 00:05:56,640 Speaker 1: down to eleven and a half, but it hasn't gone up, 111 00:05:56,720 --> 00:05:59,560 Speaker 1: meaning everyone's just sort of avoiding it. 112 00:05:59,600 --> 00:06:01,960 Speaker 4: To me, yeah, at this point, and you if you 113 00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:03,960 Speaker 4: have to take the number in a pick contest, I 114 00:06:04,000 --> 00:06:06,120 Speaker 4: would say on this show, I feel like we Chad. 115 00:06:06,120 --> 00:06:07,880 Speaker 4: You say you don't have to take the Dolphins number. 116 00:06:07,880 --> 00:06:10,760 Speaker 4: But if you're looking for an angle on the Dolphins side, 117 00:06:10,760 --> 00:06:12,640 Speaker 4: the best one I could think of is banged up 118 00:06:13,360 --> 00:06:18,360 Speaker 4: secondary defense that obviously the Jets couldn't expose in their matchup. 119 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:22,720 Speaker 4: But Miami has the weapons that can. But like too 120 00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:25,279 Speaker 4: has just been so bad. He's had these picks, he's 121 00:06:25,320 --> 00:06:28,680 Speaker 4: throwing all of it. It's just so bad. I am 122 00:06:28,720 --> 00:06:30,039 Speaker 4: happy that we can avoid this one. 123 00:06:30,080 --> 00:06:30,359 Speaker 3: Brother. 124 00:06:33,000 --> 00:06:35,880 Speaker 1: Green Bay Packers, who might be the best team in 125 00:06:35,880 --> 00:06:39,120 Speaker 1: the NFL right now after two games. They are visiting 126 00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:43,120 Speaker 1: the Cleveland Browns. The line opened at eight and a half, 127 00:06:43,320 --> 00:06:45,880 Speaker 1: actually got that up a little bit to nine. Now 128 00:06:45,920 --> 00:06:49,200 Speaker 1: it's been bought back down to eight and a half. 129 00:06:49,640 --> 00:06:53,080 Speaker 1: I'll tell you this, man, I don't know what to 130 00:06:53,120 --> 00:06:55,000 Speaker 1: do with the Browns and I want to get your 131 00:06:55,000 --> 00:06:59,040 Speaker 1: take on this, because we love the Browns in week one, 132 00:06:59,360 --> 00:07:01,080 Speaker 1: but the reason we love the Browns a week one 133 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:04,400 Speaker 1: is because we believe their defense is elite, and statistically 134 00:07:04,560 --> 00:07:07,760 Speaker 1: they are proving that to be the case. But they 135 00:07:07,760 --> 00:07:11,520 Speaker 1: were going against a revamped offensive line and a not 136 00:07:11,800 --> 00:07:15,320 Speaker 1: very good defense. And then in this past week I 137 00:07:15,400 --> 00:07:18,440 Speaker 1: rewatched this game assignment. I was on the rower and 138 00:07:18,480 --> 00:07:23,800 Speaker 1: I rewatched the condensed version in thirty eight minutes on with. 139 00:07:23,760 --> 00:07:25,280 Speaker 3: My Ravens Browns. 140 00:07:25,560 --> 00:07:28,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, oh yeah, yeah, I did. 141 00:07:28,280 --> 00:07:33,160 Speaker 1: Because here's the thing, Like, statistically, this game made no sense. 142 00:07:33,520 --> 00:07:35,480 Speaker 1: The Browns had three hundred and twenty two yards, the 143 00:07:35,560 --> 00:07:38,240 Speaker 1: Ravens had two hundred and forty two. Browns had seventy 144 00:07:38,280 --> 00:07:41,000 Speaker 1: two plays. The Ravens had fifty three rushing yards. The 145 00:07:41,000 --> 00:07:43,280 Speaker 1: Browns had one hundred and fifteen, the Ravens had forty five. 146 00:07:43,560 --> 00:07:45,880 Speaker 1: The Browns had five point two yards per carry. The 147 00:07:45,960 --> 00:07:48,800 Speaker 1: Ravens had two point one third downs. The Browns were 148 00:07:48,800 --> 00:07:51,880 Speaker 1: seven to eighteen, Ravens were three and twelve. I am 149 00:07:51,880 --> 00:07:53,880 Speaker 1: going to get into with the Ravens how this was 150 00:07:53,960 --> 00:08:01,920 Speaker 1: so deceiving because Joe Flacco was terrible, like actively terrible. 151 00:08:02,440 --> 00:08:05,360 Speaker 1: Any passing threw outside that was more than five yards 152 00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:08,760 Speaker 1: was usually high and had to be an acrobatic catch 153 00:08:09,120 --> 00:08:13,440 Speaker 1: by his receivers. They scored one touchdown before garbage time. 154 00:08:13,680 --> 00:08:16,240 Speaker 1: That was a miracle fourth down that was deflected off 155 00:08:16,240 --> 00:08:19,640 Speaker 1: Marlin Humphrey that shouldn't have been an interception. His whole 156 00:08:19,680 --> 00:08:23,160 Speaker 1: game was checked downs and screens like they have no offense. 157 00:08:23,680 --> 00:08:25,360 Speaker 1: So I can't bet on a team that has a 158 00:08:25,360 --> 00:08:29,560 Speaker 1: great defense as a big dog at home if I'm afraid, 159 00:08:30,480 --> 00:08:33,760 Speaker 1: even if the defense only gives up twenty points, they 160 00:08:33,760 --> 00:08:34,720 Speaker 1: won't even get ten. 161 00:08:37,000 --> 00:08:41,000 Speaker 4: It's fair, but this is easily the best defense Green 162 00:08:41,040 --> 00:08:44,800 Speaker 4: Bay has faced this year, and it's the zero to 163 00:08:44,800 --> 00:08:47,240 Speaker 4: two team, Like, this is the type of teams you 164 00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:50,360 Speaker 4: like because it is such a desperate spot and they're 165 00:08:50,400 --> 00:08:54,640 Speaker 4: going against a team that this will be Joe's versus pros. 166 00:08:54,679 --> 00:08:56,680 Speaker 4: The public is going to be all over the screen 167 00:08:56,679 --> 00:08:59,559 Speaker 4: Bay team. I was literally at the hard Rock this morning. 168 00:08:59,600 --> 00:09:01,480 Speaker 4: This is so it and a half in Jersey. So 169 00:09:02,040 --> 00:09:04,880 Speaker 4: some money has hit this brown side at least here 170 00:09:04,920 --> 00:09:09,360 Speaker 4: in Jersey. Uh, you know, I'm with you. I just 171 00:09:10,360 --> 00:09:14,280 Speaker 4: I view this. This Browns team is just a dog 172 00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:17,680 Speaker 4: that's always gonna be the fight. Like you said, you know, 173 00:09:17,720 --> 00:09:20,160 Speaker 4: they're they're asking their fourty year old quarterback Joe Flacko 174 00:09:20,240 --> 00:09:22,080 Speaker 4: to throw the ball like fifty times. So I know 175 00:09:22,120 --> 00:09:25,440 Speaker 4: what you're saying. He played really bad. It's like he 176 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:27,839 Speaker 4: is going to be deceased by week eight. I mean, 177 00:09:27,880 --> 00:09:30,720 Speaker 4: he's just dropping back this much, taking all these hits. 178 00:09:31,880 --> 00:09:35,760 Speaker 1: But literally throw back to the ogs who used to 179 00:09:35,800 --> 00:09:39,199 Speaker 1: listen to Behind the Bets with Scooge when we did 180 00:09:39,200 --> 00:09:40,040 Speaker 1: it at ESPN. 181 00:09:41,880 --> 00:09:44,880 Speaker 2: He's battered Flacco, literally battered Flacco. 182 00:09:46,240 --> 00:09:48,640 Speaker 4: Yeah, show some respect. Look how bad the how long ago? 183 00:09:48,679 --> 00:09:50,320 Speaker 4: You're a bad mouth on the man. He's still throwing 184 00:09:50,320 --> 00:09:54,839 Speaker 4: the touchdowns and then right, but yeah, it's a game 185 00:09:54,880 --> 00:09:57,520 Speaker 4: where I'll end up on their browns. But I'm like you, 186 00:09:57,600 --> 00:10:00,400 Speaker 4: it's I'm like dipping my toes in and where it's 187 00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:02,480 Speaker 4: like I don't really want to be on this spot. 188 00:10:02,640 --> 00:10:05,640 Speaker 4: And green Bay is another side I'm sure we're gonna 189 00:10:05,640 --> 00:10:07,440 Speaker 4: have in our money line round robin where it's like, 190 00:10:07,679 --> 00:10:11,040 Speaker 4: in what scenario does green Bay lose? The only thing 191 00:10:11,040 --> 00:10:12,480 Speaker 4: I can think of, the only angle I can look 192 00:10:12,480 --> 00:10:14,760 Speaker 4: at again for this is green Bay has a lot 193 00:10:14,800 --> 00:10:19,160 Speaker 4: of injuries, and you know Washington was in a bad 194 00:10:19,160 --> 00:10:21,040 Speaker 4: spot in a short week, and we'll see coming out 195 00:10:21,040 --> 00:10:23,480 Speaker 4: of this extended rest if Green Bay can get a 196 00:10:23,520 --> 00:10:24,160 Speaker 4: little healthier. 197 00:10:24,200 --> 00:10:25,520 Speaker 3: I'm back on that offensive line. 198 00:10:25,559 --> 00:10:29,160 Speaker 4: But if you're down, guys, your offensive line, you're going 199 00:10:29,200 --> 00:10:33,560 Speaker 4: against this Brown's defensive line, you're gonna have a bad time. 200 00:10:33,840 --> 00:10:36,800 Speaker 3: Like, let's be honest. So this is just one I'm 201 00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:39,240 Speaker 3: gonna keep eye on. But Chad, you're right here. On Tuesday. 202 00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:40,920 Speaker 4: People want to grab the eight and a half, I'm 203 00:10:40,920 --> 00:10:43,280 Speaker 4: grabbing it just in case the pro money does come on. 204 00:10:43,400 --> 00:10:45,679 Speaker 4: But I'm shocked the stummery he's down to seven and 205 00:10:45,679 --> 00:10:47,760 Speaker 4: a half, just because I thought it was gonna be 206 00:10:47,760 --> 00:10:50,880 Speaker 4: all public all over the Green Bay team. But yeah, 207 00:10:51,080 --> 00:10:54,600 Speaker 4: the early professional money now is coming on the Brown. 208 00:10:54,520 --> 00:10:58,280 Speaker 1: Side, which is not surprising. I would expect the early 209 00:10:58,320 --> 00:10:58,800 Speaker 1: pro money. 210 00:10:58,840 --> 00:10:59,200 Speaker 3: We saw it. 211 00:10:59,120 --> 00:11:01,280 Speaker 1: It was at nine, down to eight and a half, 212 00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:03,200 Speaker 1: you're saying, you're saying Hard Rock is at seven and 213 00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:08,079 Speaker 1: a half in New Jersey. I just I worry about 214 00:11:08,080 --> 00:11:12,400 Speaker 1: betting on a quarterback who cannot do anything more than 215 00:11:12,400 --> 00:11:15,520 Speaker 1: a checkdown, and whose coordinator and his coach don't seem 216 00:11:15,559 --> 00:11:17,319 Speaker 1: to want to let him do anything more than a 217 00:11:17,400 --> 00:11:17,840 Speaker 1: check down. 218 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:18,360 Speaker 3: Well, that was. 219 00:11:18,520 --> 00:11:21,840 Speaker 4: That was against the Ravens and Kyle Hamilton. I get 220 00:11:21,840 --> 00:11:24,040 Speaker 4: what I know. I get where you're coming from. But 221 00:11:24,040 --> 00:11:27,280 Speaker 4: if there's a team that you're taking the checkdown safe throws, 222 00:11:27,559 --> 00:11:29,719 Speaker 4: but I completly understand your cover. They were checking down 223 00:11:29,760 --> 00:11:32,480 Speaker 4: still when they're down twenty, it was I'm with you. 224 00:11:32,559 --> 00:11:35,800 Speaker 4: Like that game was just Stefanski doesn't trust him. The 225 00:11:35,840 --> 00:11:39,400 Speaker 4: offense just doesn't trust it. But there it's a different 226 00:11:39,400 --> 00:11:43,240 Speaker 4: world going from that position to being the one they're 227 00:11:43,280 --> 00:11:45,280 Speaker 4: going to be in next week. So yeah, I understand. 228 00:11:45,360 --> 00:11:47,120 Speaker 4: I'm not going to make us force the Browns in 229 00:11:47,120 --> 00:11:47,559 Speaker 4: this week. 230 00:11:47,760 --> 00:11:49,240 Speaker 2: I don't want to not do it. 231 00:11:49,240 --> 00:11:51,680 Speaker 1: It's one of the games I one hundred want to bet, 232 00:11:52,080 --> 00:11:54,960 Speaker 1: like I'm I actually was hoping you would come in 233 00:11:55,040 --> 00:11:57,240 Speaker 1: strong and say to me, come. 234 00:11:57,120 --> 00:11:59,160 Speaker 2: On, Chad, get your head out of your ass. 235 00:11:59,520 --> 00:11:59,800 Speaker 3: Not there. 236 00:12:00,440 --> 00:12:02,280 Speaker 2: This is the game. Like, of course we're going to 237 00:12:02,360 --> 00:12:03,000 Speaker 2: bet this game. 238 00:12:03,280 --> 00:12:05,720 Speaker 1: It's a team with a great defense at home, is 239 00:12:05,760 --> 00:12:09,800 Speaker 1: a big dog off of a blowout. Nine times out 240 00:12:09,800 --> 00:12:12,920 Speaker 1: of ten we auto bet this. I wanted you to. 241 00:12:12,840 --> 00:12:16,199 Speaker 2: Tell me that I guess we're not. 242 00:12:16,200 --> 00:12:17,240 Speaker 3: There love yet. 243 00:12:17,880 --> 00:12:21,960 Speaker 1: Houston, Jacksonville, Jacksonville. This game was one and a half. 244 00:12:22,000 --> 00:12:25,120 Speaker 1: It's down to one. In some places, it's down to 245 00:12:25,160 --> 00:12:30,640 Speaker 1: a half. You know, I don't know, man, poor Houston. 246 00:12:31,000 --> 00:12:34,640 Speaker 1: They got Baker, they got Baker good last night, and 247 00:12:34,679 --> 00:12:39,680 Speaker 1: that offensive line cannot keep the pressure off of CJ. 248 00:12:39,800 --> 00:12:40,319 Speaker 2: Stroud. 249 00:12:41,840 --> 00:12:44,840 Speaker 1: He is now going into a second straight season of 250 00:12:45,080 --> 00:12:49,760 Speaker 1: just not looking very good once teams adjust to what 251 00:12:49,800 --> 00:12:56,360 Speaker 1: they're doing after you know, fifteen scripted plays. So it's 252 00:12:56,440 --> 00:12:58,960 Speaker 1: weird how ineffective they are. I don't know how to 253 00:12:59,000 --> 00:13:01,800 Speaker 1: measure this. I don't know how to analyze this because 254 00:13:02,160 --> 00:13:05,720 Speaker 1: he's supposed to be a great quarterback and they cannot execute. 255 00:13:05,720 --> 00:13:10,040 Speaker 1: They cannot move the ball, they cannot protect him. It's disappointing, 256 00:13:10,120 --> 00:13:11,320 Speaker 1: but it's moving in his direction? 257 00:13:11,720 --> 00:13:15,560 Speaker 2: Is it? Because everyone thinks the Jags are so. 258 00:13:17,000 --> 00:13:17,560 Speaker 3: What? Is it? 259 00:13:17,600 --> 00:13:21,640 Speaker 2: Mismanaged? I've already lost the word that I'm looking for. 260 00:13:21,840 --> 00:13:22,200 Speaker 2: Help me. 261 00:13:22,960 --> 00:13:25,559 Speaker 3: I would say they're a team. 262 00:13:25,200 --> 00:13:28,320 Speaker 4: That they traded up to the second pickoverall to a 263 00:13:28,360 --> 00:13:30,640 Speaker 4: guy that isn't that good. That's how I'm gonna sum 264 00:13:30,720 --> 00:13:33,200 Speaker 4: up the Jags right now. With their Travis Huntermove. 265 00:13:33,040 --> 00:13:35,920 Speaker 1: All in, all in their GM came out. He was like, 266 00:13:35,960 --> 00:13:37,560 Speaker 1: we're going all in. This is how you make big 267 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:38,520 Speaker 1: most I know. 268 00:13:38,600 --> 00:13:42,080 Speaker 4: He was so cocky even though he did nothing. Yeah, 269 00:13:42,120 --> 00:13:45,000 Speaker 4: this is every pro I know is gonna be on Houston. 270 00:13:45,040 --> 00:13:47,400 Speaker 4: And we talked last week. They were lining up to 271 00:13:47,400 --> 00:13:50,079 Speaker 4: get Houston in that spot, and they got Baker, like 272 00:13:50,120 --> 00:13:53,440 Speaker 4: you said, and I love that Baker showing out right 273 00:13:53,800 --> 00:13:56,040 Speaker 4: two weeks in a row, two comeback wins. 274 00:13:56,320 --> 00:13:56,800 Speaker 2: It's great. 275 00:13:57,000 --> 00:13:59,200 Speaker 3: I mean that shit we were taking repeating like how 276 00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:00,160 Speaker 3: are you guys going to play him? 277 00:14:00,160 --> 00:14:02,880 Speaker 4: And you're your top ten? This is why this is 278 00:14:03,360 --> 00:14:06,520 Speaker 4: like he's got whatever that thing is. You can't measure. 279 00:14:06,640 --> 00:14:10,600 Speaker 4: Baker's got it. It's crazy like those both games left 280 00:14:10,640 --> 00:14:15,720 Speaker 4: for dead and just rises up in the clutches moments, 281 00:14:15,840 --> 00:14:17,199 Speaker 4: makes big time throws. 282 00:14:17,440 --> 00:14:20,600 Speaker 3: I mean, yeah, just I couldn't believe. 283 00:14:20,600 --> 00:14:22,000 Speaker 4: I thought he was going to be for sure knocked 284 00:14:22,000 --> 00:14:23,680 Speaker 4: out that game in the midway through the third quarter. 285 00:14:23,720 --> 00:14:27,480 Speaker 4: And yeah, he's just so tough Baker. So yeah, back 286 00:14:27,520 --> 00:14:30,200 Speaker 4: to Houston. This spot, it's it's going to be a 287 00:14:30,240 --> 00:14:32,800 Speaker 4: trend spot for I think eighty percent of guys you've 288 00:14:32,840 --> 00:14:37,000 Speaker 4: bet for a living Okay, Oh, and to Houston against 289 00:14:37,000 --> 00:14:41,520 Speaker 4: the spread straight up on the road in a spot 290 00:14:41,560 --> 00:14:43,120 Speaker 4: as a dog. I mean there's still one and a 291 00:14:43,120 --> 00:14:45,120 Speaker 4: half something there like Chad said, a hard rock, they've 292 00:14:45,120 --> 00:14:47,680 Speaker 4: moved to one. So I would get the one and 293 00:14:47,760 --> 00:14:50,360 Speaker 4: half I can or I know people hate betting one 294 00:14:50,400 --> 00:14:52,560 Speaker 4: and a half, Fine, throw him in your teaser, then 295 00:14:52,560 --> 00:14:54,000 Speaker 4: get him up to seven and a half fift you need to. 296 00:14:54,120 --> 00:14:58,880 Speaker 4: But incredible, incredible spot for Houston facing the Jacks team 297 00:14:58,920 --> 00:15:02,320 Speaker 4: that how is it not all burning down around them 298 00:15:02,400 --> 00:15:05,400 Speaker 4: right now? That was that had to be the worst 299 00:15:05,440 --> 00:15:08,200 Speaker 4: flight home this past week of any team. That was 300 00:15:08,320 --> 00:15:10,120 Speaker 4: to have been a pin drop, Like you couldn't hear 301 00:15:10,160 --> 00:15:13,680 Speaker 4: anything on the plane, No one was talking, just awful, 302 00:15:13,760 --> 00:15:14,640 Speaker 4: awful vibes. 303 00:15:14,960 --> 00:15:17,640 Speaker 3: And I don't know about you. 304 00:15:17,520 --> 00:15:21,200 Speaker 4: But I never not that I feel like I've been 305 00:15:21,200 --> 00:15:22,280 Speaker 4: too hard on Trevor Lawrence. 306 00:15:22,320 --> 00:15:24,920 Speaker 3: But even in Week one, I just watched him. 307 00:15:24,960 --> 00:15:28,040 Speaker 4: I was just like, he just isn't good, Like he's 308 00:15:28,080 --> 00:15:32,840 Speaker 4: just not good, he's not consistent, and he totally gave 309 00:15:32,880 --> 00:15:34,920 Speaker 4: that game away, Like your defense gets three picks on 310 00:15:34,960 --> 00:15:37,200 Speaker 4: a backup quarterback, you have to win that game. 311 00:15:37,520 --> 00:15:41,800 Speaker 3: And just I just can't get over how bad it 312 00:15:41,840 --> 00:15:42,680 Speaker 3: is for the Jaguars. 313 00:15:42,680 --> 00:15:46,200 Speaker 4: So I feel lucky where Houston lost in the game, 314 00:15:46,240 --> 00:15:48,440 Speaker 4: Like we just both agreed they probably shouldn't have lost. 315 00:15:48,520 --> 00:15:50,920 Speaker 3: I mean, they just got really unlucky. 316 00:15:51,000 --> 00:15:55,640 Speaker 4: And I expect the public to be on the Jaguars 317 00:15:55,680 --> 00:15:59,320 Speaker 4: here and maybe this number can go up a little bit, 318 00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:02,080 Speaker 4: but as we see right now at hard rockets come down. 319 00:16:02,160 --> 00:16:04,720 Speaker 4: So I like the one and a half on Houston, 320 00:16:04,760 --> 00:16:07,200 Speaker 4: but it's another game where I think what you've said 321 00:16:07,240 --> 00:16:07,800 Speaker 4: is true, that. 322 00:16:09,520 --> 00:16:10,240 Speaker 3: Something's wrong. 323 00:16:10,280 --> 00:16:13,600 Speaker 4: We see j in this offense right now, and it's 324 00:16:13,640 --> 00:16:15,920 Speaker 4: a little a little scary stepping in on this team 325 00:16:15,920 --> 00:16:18,880 Speaker 4: and believe in them. But it's the numbers and the 326 00:16:18,920 --> 00:16:20,400 Speaker 4: trends are gonna point to this being a good spot 327 00:16:20,440 --> 00:16:21,760 Speaker 4: and I have it at a pick. So it's like 328 00:16:21,800 --> 00:16:24,160 Speaker 4: I have Houston as great as a better team. They're 329 00:16:24,200 --> 00:16:27,280 Speaker 4: the dog. I'll take it, but there's a couple of 330 00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:29,200 Speaker 4: games this week they just make your stomach turn taking 331 00:16:29,240 --> 00:16:30,920 Speaker 4: it because it's just like you said, we've we've watched 332 00:16:30,960 --> 00:16:34,440 Speaker 4: them now for two weeks and it's like, man, I see, 333 00:16:34,520 --> 00:16:37,840 Speaker 4: I see see how it's going sideways for Houston. But man, 334 00:16:38,000 --> 00:16:41,440 Speaker 4: is this is this a make or break spot for 335 00:16:41,560 --> 00:16:43,520 Speaker 4: this team and they have to be the more desperate 336 00:16:43,560 --> 00:16:44,640 Speaker 4: one of the Jaguars. 337 00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:51,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, the the Jacks posted Liam Khan's postgame. 338 00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:53,960 Speaker 3: Speech, which I thought was cool. I never saw that before. 339 00:16:54,080 --> 00:16:55,680 Speaker 1: I thought it was great, Like you post the losing 340 00:16:55,720 --> 00:16:58,480 Speaker 1: coaches speech and he talks about how they have to 341 00:16:58,520 --> 00:17:00,360 Speaker 1: get better, and it's on all of that and they're 342 00:17:00,360 --> 00:17:02,680 Speaker 1: going to look at the film, and I thought that 343 00:17:02,800 --> 00:17:04,280 Speaker 1: was that was really interesting. 344 00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:07,320 Speaker 2: It's funny. 345 00:17:07,400 --> 00:17:09,800 Speaker 1: It's funny to me that you say we haven't been 346 00:17:09,800 --> 00:17:13,440 Speaker 1: hard on Trevor Lawrence. I feel like we've been dogging 347 00:17:13,520 --> 00:17:18,119 Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence for two years, saying he's inaccurate when he 348 00:17:18,119 --> 00:17:20,639 Speaker 1: needs to be accurate. He has no touch inside the 349 00:17:20,640 --> 00:17:24,679 Speaker 1: red zone. He's overrated. They shouldn't have paid him. He 350 00:17:24,760 --> 00:17:27,720 Speaker 1: hasn't proven that he's worth the money they gave him 351 00:17:28,119 --> 00:17:32,240 Speaker 1: in any respect. And this was the perfect game. Like 352 00:17:33,040 --> 00:17:38,040 Speaker 1: he's becoming to me, he's becoming an impediment to that team. 353 00:17:38,200 --> 00:17:38,920 Speaker 2: And I think it's good. 354 00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:42,040 Speaker 1: I think it's going to be really frustrating because it 355 00:17:42,040 --> 00:17:46,120 Speaker 1: doesn't look like he kind of is the one who 356 00:17:46,160 --> 00:17:50,960 Speaker 1: can take them to the next level because they should 357 00:17:51,040 --> 00:17:53,080 Speaker 1: have a deep receiver room, like it should be an 358 00:17:53,080 --> 00:17:54,120 Speaker 1: offensive juggernaut. 359 00:17:54,480 --> 00:17:56,399 Speaker 2: So I don't know. 360 00:17:56,920 --> 00:17:59,360 Speaker 1: He had three touchdowns in the first half and then 361 00:17:59,480 --> 00:18:03,159 Speaker 1: in the second half he had multiple interceptions and was inaccurate. 362 00:18:03,880 --> 00:18:06,119 Speaker 4: Yeah, and Darrel fourteen seventy, he could have put them 363 00:18:06,160 --> 00:18:08,280 Speaker 4: up twenty one seventy throw a pick in the end zone. 364 00:18:08,400 --> 00:18:11,040 Speaker 4: But I just went the masses, like there's still people 365 00:18:11,040 --> 00:18:13,280 Speaker 4: out there that talk and put them in their top 366 00:18:13,359 --> 00:18:15,120 Speaker 4: ten list than they do in the off season. 367 00:18:15,119 --> 00:18:17,320 Speaker 3: There's still shows out there that believe them. 368 00:18:17,400 --> 00:18:19,560 Speaker 4: I mean not to say you believe them, but you 369 00:18:19,600 --> 00:18:21,360 Speaker 4: did pick them to win this division, and I guess 370 00:18:21,359 --> 00:18:23,240 Speaker 4: it was because of the number. But it's like, yeah, 371 00:18:23,359 --> 00:18:25,040 Speaker 4: there's still some a little bit in the back of 372 00:18:25,080 --> 00:18:28,359 Speaker 4: our minds where I told you after last year he 373 00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:30,480 Speaker 4: burned me so bad. I was just like, I'm gonna 374 00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:32,560 Speaker 4: just be patient, let me see it first and then 375 00:18:32,600 --> 00:18:37,359 Speaker 4: I'll invest the money in Trevor Lawrence. And man, it's 376 00:18:37,400 --> 00:18:40,439 Speaker 4: it just will not make sense. His talent, his body 377 00:18:40,520 --> 00:18:44,360 Speaker 4: frame has built, his arm, talent, all of it. It's 378 00:18:44,400 --> 00:18:47,159 Speaker 4: just crazy. Yeah, exactly, it's just crazy. He doesn't have 379 00:18:47,200 --> 00:18:48,520 Speaker 4: the mindset for it. 380 00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:51,119 Speaker 1: All in the head at this point. It's all in 381 00:18:51,160 --> 00:18:54,840 Speaker 1: the head, right, because we why does Baker Mayfield, who 382 00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:59,200 Speaker 1: doesn't have any of the. 383 00:18:58,080 --> 00:19:04,080 Speaker 2: Natural give that Trevor Lawrence a legend. Let me finish, 384 00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:05,000 Speaker 2: Let me finish. 385 00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:09,760 Speaker 1: He's not a doll. Like his drunning motion isn't as good. 386 00:19:10,359 --> 00:19:12,879 Speaker 1: But the guy Kimball and his players love him, and 387 00:19:12,960 --> 00:19:18,359 Speaker 1: he's top ten. Trevor Lawrence is not no all right, 388 00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:21,720 Speaker 1: the backup quarterback ball Cincinnati and Minnesota. The line has 389 00:19:21,760 --> 00:19:24,480 Speaker 1: come down tremendously now that we know it's Carson Wentz 390 00:19:24,560 --> 00:19:30,720 Speaker 1: versus Jake Browning. Weird game, no feel. I kind of 391 00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:32,639 Speaker 1: want to see what's going to happen with a lot 392 00:19:32,680 --> 00:19:34,640 Speaker 1: of the people who have been injured from Minnesota, because 393 00:19:34,640 --> 00:19:38,280 Speaker 1: it's obviously been an issue. Whether it's Ryan Kelly who's 394 00:19:38,320 --> 00:19:39,920 Speaker 1: now out with the cancushion who left the game with 395 00:19:39,960 --> 00:19:43,560 Speaker 1: a concussion, Christian Darisaw who the left tackle who didn't 396 00:19:43,560 --> 00:19:48,399 Speaker 1: play was his status, Andrew van Ginkel, They lost Aaron 397 00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:52,000 Speaker 1: Jones to a hamstring, Harrison Smith, Jonathan Gernard, like all 398 00:19:52,040 --> 00:19:55,840 Speaker 1: these guys either didn't play last week or left the 399 00:19:55,840 --> 00:20:00,920 Speaker 1: game last week. Now you got Carson Wentz Bengals here. 400 00:20:01,520 --> 00:20:04,080 Speaker 1: Before I would before I would bet on the Vikings. 401 00:20:04,080 --> 00:20:06,400 Speaker 1: I don't want to play it, but I have more 402 00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:08,720 Speaker 1: faith in Jake Browning than I do in Carson Wentz. 403 00:20:09,320 --> 00:20:11,359 Speaker 4: Oh my god, the man threw three picks last week, 404 00:20:11,600 --> 00:20:14,640 Speaker 4: I might get it. I mean a ticket, So that's 405 00:20:14,640 --> 00:20:17,760 Speaker 4: why you're probably just like happy about it. But that's 406 00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:20,000 Speaker 4: one of those monies you should donate after winning that 407 00:20:20,080 --> 00:20:21,800 Speaker 4: bet on that Bengals team because it was. 408 00:20:21,760 --> 00:20:25,040 Speaker 1: Wins a win? Do I have to like when I 409 00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:28,199 Speaker 1: lose games like that? Is someone going to give me 410 00:20:28,320 --> 00:20:29,960 Speaker 1: money because it felt so bad for me? 411 00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:33,280 Speaker 3: Why would it feel bad? You just laugh? Does never 412 00:20:33,280 --> 00:20:35,040 Speaker 3: feel bad? You just laugh how stupid it was. But 413 00:20:35,280 --> 00:20:36,920 Speaker 3: I I live for this. 414 00:20:37,040 --> 00:20:41,880 Speaker 4: You're getting Carson Wentz and I spot that you know, 415 00:20:43,080 --> 00:20:44,800 Speaker 4: isn't this isn't this for his life? 416 00:20:45,040 --> 00:20:47,760 Speaker 3: Like so I love it. Like he's either gonna throw 417 00:20:47,800 --> 00:20:48,280 Speaker 3: what Brownie do. 418 00:20:48,320 --> 00:20:49,760 Speaker 4: He's gonna throw a three picks and just be a 419 00:20:49,760 --> 00:20:52,840 Speaker 4: train wreck, or I think he could be really solid 420 00:20:52,840 --> 00:20:55,760 Speaker 4: in this offense. When you look at the tape of 421 00:20:55,800 --> 00:20:59,520 Speaker 4: this Vikings team, even when they have guy like you said, 422 00:20:59,520 --> 00:21:01,560 Speaker 4: they have injuries their defense that is an issue. But 423 00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:04,199 Speaker 4: I think if people get cleared, this could easily get 424 00:21:04,280 --> 00:21:06,800 Speaker 4: up to three and a half. And it's just about 425 00:21:06,800 --> 00:21:13,200 Speaker 4: the talent level of this Vikings team and JJ McCarthy. 426 00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:16,680 Speaker 4: I'm sure people looked at the passing charts. He simply 427 00:21:16,760 --> 00:21:18,520 Speaker 4: can only throw it to one side of the field, 428 00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:23,760 Speaker 4: So I think it's in a real injury. But I 429 00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:25,920 Speaker 4: get why people are like, even if this is maybe 430 00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:28,159 Speaker 4: a one week thing, they might have them out for 431 00:21:28,160 --> 00:21:29,000 Speaker 4: two to three weeks. 432 00:21:29,080 --> 00:21:34,360 Speaker 3: And I don't know, I can't believe. It's just crazy. 433 00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:36,080 Speaker 4: Where they let Sam Donald walk and you might have 434 00:21:36,080 --> 00:21:37,840 Speaker 4: a quarterback that can only throw it one side of 435 00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:41,280 Speaker 4: the field. And that's what's so terrifying about drafting these rookies, 436 00:21:41,640 --> 00:21:42,600 Speaker 4: putting them out there. 437 00:21:42,760 --> 00:21:44,640 Speaker 3: And I mean it. 438 00:21:44,600 --> 00:21:46,320 Speaker 4: Was one week of tape and the defense already looked 439 00:21:46,359 --> 00:21:49,119 Speaker 4: like it figured out JJ McCarthy. So it's it's pretty 440 00:21:49,160 --> 00:21:51,479 Speaker 4: terrifying where the last year Sam Donald I think had 441 00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:55,480 Speaker 4: five touchdowns for the Vikings against Atlanta and JJ I 442 00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:57,439 Speaker 4: think got sacked like six times and was just an 443 00:21:57,440 --> 00:22:01,080 Speaker 4: absolute train wreck. So yeah, tough time being a GM 444 00:22:01,160 --> 00:22:05,240 Speaker 4: right now for the Vikings and this game right here, 445 00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:08,119 Speaker 4: Like you just said, I'm happy to stay away from 446 00:22:08,160 --> 00:22:10,119 Speaker 4: it as you are, but I'll take the three for 447 00:22:10,240 --> 00:22:13,080 Speaker 4: now just because it's the Vikings are a better team. 448 00:22:14,520 --> 00:22:15,960 Speaker 3: We'll see about Wentz. 449 00:22:16,040 --> 00:22:18,720 Speaker 4: We know, it's just you don't know what you're getting 450 00:22:18,760 --> 00:22:20,560 Speaker 4: so there's like no chance this would be in our countess. 451 00:22:20,600 --> 00:22:21,479 Speaker 3: You know, at two and a half. 452 00:22:22,000 --> 00:22:23,639 Speaker 4: I don't even know if I could convince myself, let 453 00:22:23,680 --> 00:22:26,040 Speaker 4: alone chat the force of the Vikings in a two 454 00:22:26,040 --> 00:22:26,440 Speaker 4: and a half. 455 00:22:26,480 --> 00:22:29,320 Speaker 3: So I'm with you, it's the backup Bowl. 456 00:22:29,720 --> 00:22:32,160 Speaker 4: This is why we protect the quarterbacks for exactly because 457 00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:35,000 Speaker 4: of a game like this where it's like, just protect 458 00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:39,080 Speaker 4: the quarterbacks at all costs. It's just week week three 459 00:22:39,320 --> 00:22:44,440 Speaker 4: when we down five starters, six six qbs. So yeah, 460 00:22:44,480 --> 00:22:46,800 Speaker 4: it's an ugly one for sure. And I know usually 461 00:22:46,800 --> 00:22:48,560 Speaker 4: I take the dog in the spot, but at the three, 462 00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:49,560 Speaker 4: I'll take I'll take the. 463 00:22:49,560 --> 00:22:54,000 Speaker 1: Vikings Atlanta at Carolina. This one popped and we talked 464 00:22:54,000 --> 00:22:58,600 Speaker 1: about it on Sunday night. We said we're not going 465 00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:01,119 Speaker 1: to be fooled by Bryce Young's come back in the 466 00:23:01,160 --> 00:23:04,399 Speaker 1: fininal five minutes of the games when he looked exactly 467 00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:07,120 Speaker 1: like Bryce Young from last year when they went seven 468 00:23:07,160 --> 00:23:09,320 Speaker 1: and two against the spread and won four of those 469 00:23:09,359 --> 00:23:14,280 Speaker 1: games outright. And that was before the Atlanta game against 470 00:23:14,320 --> 00:23:17,240 Speaker 1: the Vikings when their defense looked looked really good against 471 00:23:17,320 --> 00:23:21,480 Speaker 1: JJ McCarthy. But since then this line has popped. It 472 00:23:21,680 --> 00:23:24,159 Speaker 1: was around three three and a half. It's gone up 473 00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:27,040 Speaker 1: to five and a half, mainly because the Panthers lost 474 00:23:27,119 --> 00:23:29,680 Speaker 1: Austin Corb and Robert Hunt, their center in their right guard. 475 00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:32,480 Speaker 1: They were put on ir from an offensive line that 476 00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:36,520 Speaker 1: was already having a really hard time predicting. Bryce Young, 477 00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:40,000 Speaker 1: I don't have an opinion on the game at five 478 00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:41,840 Speaker 1: and a half, just because I feel like I liked 479 00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:44,159 Speaker 1: Atlanta and we've now lost the best of the number. 480 00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:46,280 Speaker 2: Do you have thoughts here? 481 00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:50,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, we'll put them on our money line around Robin Brow. 482 00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:51,120 Speaker 3: I'm with you. 483 00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:53,639 Speaker 4: The best of the number is gone, and they're going 484 00:23:53,720 --> 00:23:55,360 Speaker 4: to force me like last week. 485 00:23:55,400 --> 00:23:57,240 Speaker 3: I mean, Companther's got to seven last weege Ariazon. 486 00:23:57,320 --> 00:23:59,760 Speaker 4: If this gets up to seven, they're a plus seven 487 00:23:59,800 --> 00:24:02,679 Speaker 4: home dog or six and a half. I'll have to 488 00:24:02,680 --> 00:24:04,440 Speaker 4: do it. But like I said, I'm not punishing people 489 00:24:04,440 --> 00:24:06,040 Speaker 4: in the show anymore with the Panthers. I'm not going 490 00:24:06,080 --> 00:24:08,280 Speaker 4: to make them take it, and it'll be my own 491 00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:13,399 Speaker 4: suffering if I do. But yeah, we'll happily put the 492 00:24:13,760 --> 00:24:16,560 Speaker 4: Atlanta and our money line run Robins. It's a good 493 00:24:16,560 --> 00:24:20,080 Speaker 4: spot for them and the Panthers pull off the upset 494 00:24:20,760 --> 00:24:22,639 Speaker 4: good Hopefully A couple of people through the Falcons and 495 00:24:22,640 --> 00:24:23,520 Speaker 4: their survivor pool. 496 00:24:23,560 --> 00:24:25,600 Speaker 3: But yeah, I just we can't give us out on 497 00:24:25,600 --> 00:24:25,960 Speaker 3: the show. 498 00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:27,680 Speaker 2: It's so funny. 499 00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:34,520 Speaker 1: We are so either skittish or more disciplined about these 500 00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:39,199 Speaker 1: dogs at home and the big dogs and betting on 501 00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:42,399 Speaker 1: quarterbacks that we don't trust. Yeah, those are different in 502 00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:43,800 Speaker 1: the NFL. They just are. 503 00:24:44,280 --> 00:24:47,840 Speaker 2: And so we can't. Like I said, we've got to evolve. 504 00:24:48,040 --> 00:24:50,479 Speaker 4: But bye weeks in bye weeks. In a game like this, 505 00:24:50,520 --> 00:24:52,240 Speaker 4: we probably had to force us one in. But like, 506 00:24:52,400 --> 00:24:54,679 Speaker 4: we're blessed right now, we got the full slate. We 507 00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:57,679 Speaker 4: don't need to make these horrible, suffering decisions yet. 508 00:24:57,880 --> 00:24:59,840 Speaker 2: That's right, that's right, all right. 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Concerned about gambling in Florida called. 545 00:26:59,119 --> 00:27:00,920 Speaker 2: One eight eight to eighth. 546 00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:03,919 Speaker 1: Admitted in Indiana if you were someone you know has 547 00:27:03,920 --> 00:27:07,359 Speaker 1: a gambling problem that wants help, called one eight hundred 548 00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:11,120 Speaker 1: and nine with it gambling problem called one eight hundred 549 00:27:11,359 --> 00:27:16,640 Speaker 1: gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee. 550 00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:18,440 Speaker 2: For Jao. 551 00:27:22,600 --> 00:27:25,600 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh at New England, New England is a one and 552 00:27:25,640 --> 00:27:27,760 Speaker 1: a half point favorite. We talked about this on Sunday. 553 00:27:28,880 --> 00:27:30,720 Speaker 1: I think we both thought this line would have moved 554 00:27:30,760 --> 00:27:37,040 Speaker 1: a little bit. I think Aaron Rodgers has looked pedestrian 555 00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:42,399 Speaker 1: against a Jets defense we thought might be good and 556 00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:46,399 Speaker 1: the Seahawks defense that we know is good. 557 00:27:47,200 --> 00:27:48,359 Speaker 2: His decision making. 558 00:27:48,119 --> 00:27:51,520 Speaker 1: Is flawed, his reactions are slower, his lack of athleticism 559 00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:55,439 Speaker 1: is being exposed. He's been sacked seven times in the 560 00:27:55,440 --> 00:28:00,760 Speaker 1: first two games straight. Facts, here's a bigger problem with 561 00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:01,680 Speaker 1: the Steelers right now. 562 00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:02,080 Speaker 2: Simon. 563 00:28:03,119 --> 00:28:06,120 Speaker 1: There's this defense that we love that we think is amazing. 564 00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:11,240 Speaker 1: Allowed one hundred yards rushing in seven of the past 565 00:28:11,720 --> 00:28:15,000 Speaker 1: eleven games, including the first two this season. The Seahawks, 566 00:28:15,040 --> 00:28:17,280 Speaker 1: by the way, had thirty eight in the first half 567 00:28:17,320 --> 00:28:21,720 Speaker 1: and seventy nine in the second half, same number of carries. 568 00:28:22,880 --> 00:28:25,120 Speaker 1: Alex high Smith left the game with the high ankle sprain. 569 00:28:25,320 --> 00:28:29,639 Speaker 1: They got much much worse after that. You've been telling 570 00:28:29,680 --> 00:28:34,280 Speaker 1: me believe in Verrabel, believe in Vrabel. It's time to 571 00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:38,000 Speaker 1: believe in Vrabel. Do I believe in Vrabel? 572 00:28:38,080 --> 00:28:38,440 Speaker 2: Right now? 573 00:28:38,480 --> 00:28:41,600 Speaker 1: I have not bet this, and all my systems, everything 574 00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:43,560 Speaker 1: is telling me, take the Patriots. 575 00:28:43,960 --> 00:28:45,920 Speaker 2: Take the Patriots. I have not bet this yet. 576 00:28:48,040 --> 00:28:50,040 Speaker 4: Yeah, I wish you would have believed in them last week, Vrabel, 577 00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:52,680 Speaker 4: But I don't know. I went back and watched that 578 00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:57,480 Speaker 4: New England Miami game, and Newland might be really bad 579 00:28:57,800 --> 00:29:01,440 Speaker 4: like they You know, Christian Zals is a huge deal. 580 00:29:01,520 --> 00:29:03,720 Speaker 3: He's probably the best defender, and. 581 00:29:05,040 --> 00:29:09,600 Speaker 4: You know Tyreeq Waddle there's multiple player where they were 582 00:29:09,640 --> 00:29:12,440 Speaker 4: shrieking wide open. If Twoo just could put the ball 583 00:29:12,480 --> 00:29:14,600 Speaker 4: on the spot, you know, Miami would have had a 584 00:29:14,600 --> 00:29:18,920 Speaker 4: lot of you know better, Miami would have probably won 585 00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:22,440 Speaker 4: that game. Honestly, really going through it. But yeah, this, 586 00:29:22,680 --> 00:29:25,240 Speaker 4: this honestly would be another time just honestly believing and 587 00:29:25,320 --> 00:29:28,880 Speaker 4: vraible because I know Patriot fans and Drake made Truthers 588 00:29:28,880 --> 00:29:30,680 Speaker 4: are like, you see how great he was against Miami. 589 00:29:31,080 --> 00:29:33,120 Speaker 3: We talked about Miami's secondary is horrible. 590 00:29:34,320 --> 00:29:36,560 Speaker 4: Drake May had a bunch of fifty to fifty balls 591 00:29:36,560 --> 00:29:38,960 Speaker 4: that really worked out in his favor in that game, 592 00:29:39,000 --> 00:29:40,720 Speaker 4: which at the end of the day we'll take because 593 00:29:40,760 --> 00:29:45,120 Speaker 4: we said Miami is a really bad secondary. Jalen Ramsey 594 00:29:45,360 --> 00:29:48,320 Speaker 4: has actually been pretty good for Pittsburgh and their secondary 595 00:29:48,400 --> 00:29:51,920 Speaker 4: is just deceased. They have nothing left in their secondary, 596 00:29:51,960 --> 00:29:54,080 Speaker 4: and that that's been the biggest issue, right we do. 597 00:29:54,200 --> 00:29:56,040 Speaker 4: We did love their defense, and it was because they've 598 00:29:56,080 --> 00:29:58,200 Speaker 4: been so good over the years, and then the most 599 00:29:58,240 --> 00:30:01,440 Speaker 4: expensive defense in all football. It's I joked before the 600 00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:03,120 Speaker 4: season with you, they're paying their defense. I think it 601 00:30:03,160 --> 00:30:06,200 Speaker 4: was like one hundred million dollars more than the Eagles 602 00:30:06,200 --> 00:30:09,880 Speaker 4: are in total for their own defense. And I think 603 00:30:09,880 --> 00:30:12,200 Speaker 4: we'd both agree which defense we'd rather have right now. 604 00:30:12,240 --> 00:30:17,440 Speaker 4: So Steelers, it's it's a it's a game. 605 00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:18,520 Speaker 3: I want to dive more into. 606 00:30:19,320 --> 00:30:22,760 Speaker 4: My view of this one is there were books give 607 00:30:22,840 --> 00:30:24,920 Speaker 4: us the two because right now it is a lot 608 00:30:24,960 --> 00:30:28,640 Speaker 4: of Steelers money so I'm happy to be patient. Look 609 00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:32,239 Speaker 4: at this one as maybe potential Simon says, but if 610 00:30:32,280 --> 00:30:34,920 Speaker 4: they're going back and watching the Miami tape, it's like, 611 00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:37,440 Speaker 4: oh my god, I can't believe how bad this secondary 612 00:30:37,560 --> 00:30:40,120 Speaker 4: is because it's Gina Smith week one and we just 613 00:30:40,120 --> 00:30:43,480 Speaker 4: saw Gino last night look like totally lost against a 614 00:30:43,520 --> 00:30:46,720 Speaker 4: banked up Charges defense. So it's it's just I'm gonna 615 00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:48,880 Speaker 4: have little patience here with this one. Hopefully gets to 616 00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:51,200 Speaker 4: two to two and a half, just like last week, right, 617 00:30:51,280 --> 00:30:53,680 Speaker 4: they got to two and a half against Miami. That 618 00:30:53,680 --> 00:30:55,560 Speaker 4: that to me is a more comfortable, better spot to 619 00:30:55,600 --> 00:30:57,960 Speaker 4: be in where I still just have questions about this 620 00:30:58,280 --> 00:31:01,680 Speaker 4: Newland team. And I see what they're forming with the 621 00:31:02,160 --> 00:31:06,680 Speaker 4: Rabel identity and uh, you know that him running all 622 00:31:06,680 --> 00:31:09,280 Speaker 4: on the sideline when the kick return, Like, oh, that's 623 00:31:09,280 --> 00:31:11,560 Speaker 4: why we love Rabel and the players play for him. 624 00:31:11,560 --> 00:31:17,920 Speaker 3: But man, is joke. We joke all the time about 625 00:31:17,920 --> 00:31:19,120 Speaker 3: Tom and Tomlin spots. 626 00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:22,280 Speaker 4: I can't imagine this week in practice right, how and 627 00:31:22,320 --> 00:31:24,680 Speaker 4: how it's going to be for this team. So yeah, 628 00:31:24,720 --> 00:31:27,000 Speaker 4: we'll see chat. This one's based on the number. Be 629 00:31:27,120 --> 00:31:29,240 Speaker 4: patient if you like doing them, wait for the two. 630 00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:32,560 Speaker 4: If you like Pittsburgh, I got no issue. You're grabbing 631 00:31:32,560 --> 00:31:34,360 Speaker 4: it now in case it goes goes up. 632 00:31:35,520 --> 00:31:37,360 Speaker 1: Are you ready for a trend? I know you love 633 00:31:37,400 --> 00:31:41,680 Speaker 1: the trends from our friends at Killer Sports. And this 634 00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:47,320 Speaker 1: applies to a few teams this week. Okay, teams that 635 00:31:47,400 --> 00:31:51,880 Speaker 1: have failed to cover in the first two weeks in 636 00:31:51,920 --> 00:32:00,360 Speaker 1: Week three sixty against the spread since twenty ten. That clues, 637 00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:06,080 Speaker 1: by the way, the Miami Dolphins. It also includes the 638 00:32:06,120 --> 00:32:08,520 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers and a few other teams that we're going 639 00:32:08,560 --> 00:32:12,320 Speaker 1: to talk about today. Look, I think we need to 640 00:32:12,320 --> 00:32:14,520 Speaker 1: be selective when it comes to trends, Like you can't 641 00:32:14,600 --> 00:32:19,640 Speaker 1: just back them again like blindly. We will not do 642 00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:22,040 Speaker 1: it with the Dolphins. The Steelers could be more interesting, 643 00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:23,440 Speaker 1: even though I don't want to play them. 644 00:32:24,040 --> 00:32:26,200 Speaker 4: But if you do bet trends, that's one where like 645 00:32:26,240 --> 00:32:28,800 Speaker 4: you take like Chia said, you take Miami, you take Houston, 646 00:32:29,360 --> 00:32:33,480 Speaker 4: you take Pittsburgh here like that's that's a timeless trend. 647 00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:35,320 Speaker 3: I bet you're going back even further. That would hold 648 00:32:35,400 --> 00:32:36,360 Speaker 3: up in week three. 649 00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:39,440 Speaker 4: Just because we talk all the time, the public go reacts, 650 00:32:39,480 --> 00:32:43,160 Speaker 4: professional manager react. The number moves too much, you get value. 651 00:32:43,160 --> 00:32:46,640 Speaker 4: On the other side, so yeah, that's a totally great 652 00:32:46,680 --> 00:32:48,160 Speaker 4: trend to give out to start the week with. 653 00:32:48,520 --> 00:32:56,080 Speaker 1: Steelers, Chiefs, Saints, Bears, Broncos, Dolphins zero and two against 654 00:32:56,120 --> 00:32:56,600 Speaker 1: the spread. 655 00:32:56,680 --> 00:32:57,760 Speaker 3: I like a lot of those teams. 656 00:32:58,040 --> 00:33:00,480 Speaker 1: I do too, So we're going to we're going to 657 00:33:00,520 --> 00:33:03,080 Speaker 1: get to the games here. I'm excited you said that. 658 00:33:03,160 --> 00:33:05,720 Speaker 1: I'm going to assume that means you might like the Bears. 659 00:33:06,920 --> 00:33:11,040 Speaker 1: I'm excited to talk about that Los Angeles Rams at 660 00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:14,680 Speaker 1: the Philadelphia Eagles. Eagles three and a half point favorites 661 00:33:14,760 --> 00:33:18,040 Speaker 1: right now. Look, this came up Sunday night on the show. 662 00:33:18,120 --> 00:33:22,600 Speaker 1: A YouTube watcher asked if we should be in the comments, 663 00:33:22,840 --> 00:33:25,240 Speaker 1: should we be considering the Rams and the money line. 664 00:33:26,880 --> 00:33:29,760 Speaker 1: Your first reaction was that you didn't hate it. The 665 00:33:29,840 --> 00:33:31,760 Speaker 1: line has moved in the Rams direction. It was four 666 00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:33,280 Speaker 1: and a half and now it's three and a half. 667 00:33:35,480 --> 00:33:38,480 Speaker 1: I have so many thoughts in this game. I need 668 00:33:38,520 --> 00:33:40,960 Speaker 1: to get yours before I share mine, because I feel 669 00:33:40,960 --> 00:33:44,440 Speaker 1: like I feel like I'm just going to tell you 670 00:33:44,560 --> 00:33:46,200 Speaker 1: right now I really like the Eagles here, but tell 671 00:33:46,200 --> 00:33:47,080 Speaker 1: me your thoughts. 672 00:33:47,560 --> 00:33:49,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, I said grabbed the four and out just because 673 00:33:49,240 --> 00:33:51,640 Speaker 3: that was a good opening line. That was good value. 674 00:33:51,800 --> 00:33:53,640 Speaker 4: I just stayed away from the money line here just 675 00:33:53,680 --> 00:33:57,120 Speaker 4: because of the history of these two teams. Some teams 676 00:33:57,200 --> 00:34:01,560 Speaker 4: just have other team's numbers, and you know, you dive 677 00:34:01,600 --> 00:34:04,720 Speaker 4: into this Rams team. I believe they're last eleven games, 678 00:34:04,800 --> 00:34:08,320 Speaker 4: they've won nine. Their two losses were to this Eagles team. 679 00:34:08,360 --> 00:34:11,719 Speaker 4: So some teams just match up well against you, and 680 00:34:11,960 --> 00:34:14,200 Speaker 4: apparently that's what it is with this Eagles team. 681 00:34:15,320 --> 00:34:17,560 Speaker 3: Rams. I believe last week something crazy. 682 00:34:17,560 --> 00:34:20,239 Speaker 4: It was the most it was the biggest blowout of 683 00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:26,000 Speaker 4: the Stafford McVeigh Dandam isn't that crazy And it wasn't 684 00:34:26,000 --> 00:34:29,920 Speaker 4: even that big, No, So it's been a weird, a 685 00:34:29,960 --> 00:34:33,239 Speaker 4: weird case of uh. You know, these Rams just take 686 00:34:33,239 --> 00:34:35,160 Speaker 4: care of business, beat these teams close. 687 00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:37,320 Speaker 3: And the Eagles. 688 00:34:37,360 --> 00:34:39,600 Speaker 4: This is as an Eagles fan, this is like my 689 00:34:40,400 --> 00:34:42,160 Speaker 4: I don't know if this is peak right now of 690 00:34:42,200 --> 00:34:44,040 Speaker 4: my fano, but this is good as it gets. This week, 691 00:34:44,080 --> 00:34:48,320 Speaker 4: you got guys like Adam Schef, They're all these different 692 00:34:48,640 --> 00:34:51,520 Speaker 4: you know, sideline reporters coming on just saying it's not 693 00:34:51,560 --> 00:34:54,839 Speaker 4: a football play. This is why the guy got rid 694 00:34:54,840 --> 00:34:58,480 Speaker 4: of the toush push And I am just loving. It's 695 00:34:58,640 --> 00:35:01,080 Speaker 4: the best as a fan where your team is so 696 00:35:01,120 --> 00:35:04,480 Speaker 4: good at a QB sneak. People want it banned, they 697 00:35:04,560 --> 00:35:06,400 Speaker 4: want it out of the game forever. 698 00:35:06,719 --> 00:35:09,799 Speaker 3: And I love it. This is an Eagles fan. 699 00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:12,120 Speaker 4: This is peak right. Two super Bowls in seven years. 700 00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:16,719 Speaker 4: Everyone just hates them. People say this is the most 701 00:35:16,719 --> 00:35:18,480 Speaker 4: boring offense in all football. 702 00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:22,600 Speaker 3: Who cares, you know, it's a scor is to the sport. 703 00:35:22,800 --> 00:35:23,520 Speaker 3: They forget. 704 00:35:23,600 --> 00:35:26,680 Speaker 4: This Eagles team last year scored the most points in 705 00:35:26,800 --> 00:35:32,400 Speaker 4: NFL history in the playoffs. This boring, horrible offense. I 706 00:35:32,400 --> 00:35:35,160 Speaker 4: think of all the great offenses that ever played this sport. 707 00:35:35,320 --> 00:35:38,239 Speaker 4: This Eagles team with this boring pushbush running the ball 708 00:35:39,360 --> 00:35:43,000 Speaker 4: five yards two yards at a time, most points scored 709 00:35:43,040 --> 00:35:44,600 Speaker 4: in NFL history in the playoffs last year. 710 00:35:44,640 --> 00:35:47,560 Speaker 3: So I love it. It's just a team that I talked 711 00:35:47,600 --> 00:35:48,200 Speaker 3: about last year. 712 00:35:48,200 --> 00:35:50,879 Speaker 4: The Eagles are chameleons and they will form to whatever 713 00:35:50,920 --> 00:35:54,440 Speaker 4: the other team is and just suffocate them whatever their 714 00:35:54,480 --> 00:35:57,160 Speaker 4: weakness is, whatever it takes to win the game, whether 715 00:35:57,239 --> 00:36:00,680 Speaker 4: it just be the most boring slow bleed them out 716 00:36:00,680 --> 00:36:03,520 Speaker 4: this type of style, or pushing the ball downfield if 717 00:36:03,520 --> 00:36:07,279 Speaker 4: they need to. So I like dismatch before I feel 718 00:36:07,280 --> 00:36:09,680 Speaker 4: like the same reason as you do of this is 719 00:36:09,800 --> 00:36:13,759 Speaker 4: peak overrated Rams team right now, it feels like and 720 00:36:15,000 --> 00:36:17,680 Speaker 4: a bad spot for those Rams team in the sense 721 00:36:17,760 --> 00:36:20,759 Speaker 4: that I think we both agree we have questions about 722 00:36:20,760 --> 00:36:23,320 Speaker 4: that Houston team. We have a major questions about Tennessee 723 00:36:24,400 --> 00:36:27,160 Speaker 4: that Eagles team they showed me last week, because I 724 00:36:27,360 --> 00:36:28,759 Speaker 4: did in the back of mind, I did think that 725 00:36:28,840 --> 00:36:29,480 Speaker 4: was a terrible. 726 00:36:29,280 --> 00:36:29,719 Speaker 3: Spot for them. 727 00:36:29,719 --> 00:36:31,879 Speaker 4: But going against that Chiefs team, where we know how 728 00:36:31,920 --> 00:36:33,560 Speaker 4: desperate the Chiefs are going to be and all the 729 00:36:33,560 --> 00:36:36,040 Speaker 4: stuff that came along with it. If this is l 730 00:36:36,200 --> 00:36:37,759 Speaker 4: this season, I'd be with you, I'd be way more 731 00:36:37,760 --> 00:36:40,440 Speaker 4: confident on the Eagles here at three and a half. 732 00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:42,399 Speaker 4: I'm not going to force it because I did see 733 00:36:42,440 --> 00:36:45,440 Speaker 4: threes pop and then you quickly saw go right to 734 00:36:45,480 --> 00:36:47,360 Speaker 4: three and a half. So I have no that's on 735 00:36:47,440 --> 00:36:49,200 Speaker 4: this other than my Rams four and a half ticket. 736 00:36:49,239 --> 00:36:51,280 Speaker 4: But I think we're aligned up that this is probably 737 00:36:51,280 --> 00:36:52,560 Speaker 4: gonna hit a point where this is gonna be an 738 00:36:52,560 --> 00:36:55,239 Speaker 4: Eagles value line, and I'll wait for that. 739 00:36:55,280 --> 00:36:57,960 Speaker 3: But as we see here right now, I'm. 740 00:36:57,800 --> 00:37:01,640 Speaker 4: Tempted on it because I just see how how much 741 00:37:01,640 --> 00:37:04,800 Speaker 4: better the Seago's team is, but I'm not going to 742 00:37:04,880 --> 00:37:05,279 Speaker 4: force it. 743 00:37:05,920 --> 00:37:11,839 Speaker 1: I've watched this Eagles team and feel like they're at 744 00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:15,560 Speaker 1: the height of their powers. And this is a one 745 00:37:15,680 --> 00:37:21,719 Speaker 1: hundred percent perception versus reality game, because I do think 746 00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:24,080 Speaker 1: the Eagles can kind of do whatever they want at 747 00:37:24,080 --> 00:37:27,160 Speaker 1: this point, and I think they can play over the 748 00:37:27,160 --> 00:37:29,600 Speaker 1: top if they have to. I think they can play 749 00:37:29,600 --> 00:37:32,319 Speaker 1: physical if they have to. I think they can rush 750 00:37:32,360 --> 00:37:35,600 Speaker 1: the passer if they want to. I think the Rams 751 00:37:35,680 --> 00:37:39,440 Speaker 1: right now are getting a lot of credit for being 752 00:37:39,520 --> 00:37:42,279 Speaker 1: really aggressive and having a defensive line that created a 753 00:37:42,320 --> 00:37:45,000 Speaker 1: lot of pressure against a Texas team that we saw 754 00:37:45,120 --> 00:37:48,040 Speaker 1: can't handle pressure, and against the Titans team that we'll 755 00:37:48,080 --> 00:37:52,880 Speaker 1: get into is actually the worst at handling pressure of 756 00:37:52,960 --> 00:37:57,160 Speaker 1: any team in football right now. So like their QB 757 00:37:57,239 --> 00:38:01,400 Speaker 1: pressure rate offensively defending his opponent is I think thirty 758 00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:04,600 Speaker 1: first or thirty second only worse than maybe only the 759 00:38:04,640 --> 00:38:07,520 Speaker 1: Bengals are worse. And this is without being blitzed. So 760 00:38:07,560 --> 00:38:10,960 Speaker 1: like that discrepancy is massive. So the Rams all of 761 00:38:10,960 --> 00:38:13,680 Speaker 1: a sudden getting too much credit. Here's my big fear, 762 00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:16,919 Speaker 1: and it's why to me, it's not a Chad loves 763 00:38:16,960 --> 00:38:19,080 Speaker 1: love yet, because this was like. 764 00:38:21,640 --> 00:38:23,280 Speaker 2: Pete, Chad loves love. 765 00:38:23,360 --> 00:38:27,480 Speaker 1: For me, I'm going to tell you, and I'm a 766 00:38:27,480 --> 00:38:32,160 Speaker 1: little worried about the secondary against the Rams because Stafford 767 00:38:32,239 --> 00:38:36,359 Speaker 1: and Puca and DeVante they looked really good, like that 768 00:38:36,480 --> 00:38:38,759 Speaker 1: might be the strength of their team right now. 769 00:38:40,239 --> 00:38:43,399 Speaker 4: Yeah, my biggest question fear for the Eagles right now 770 00:38:43,480 --> 00:38:46,120 Speaker 4: is the offensive coordinator is someone who's never done the 771 00:38:46,239 --> 00:38:51,799 Speaker 4: job before. And he sounds the part. He talks good 772 00:38:51,840 --> 00:38:55,400 Speaker 4: talk in his interviews. He's got all that down, pat, 773 00:38:55,680 --> 00:39:00,000 Speaker 4: but I've real questions about his offensive scheme. It is 774 00:39:00,000 --> 00:39:03,080 Speaker 4: it's very simple, but it's very simple and easy to 775 00:39:03,120 --> 00:39:04,400 Speaker 4: read and very basic. 776 00:39:04,680 --> 00:39:08,040 Speaker 3: And I know it's early days here, right, so it's 777 00:39:08,280 --> 00:39:08,640 Speaker 3: I get it. 778 00:39:08,640 --> 00:39:10,480 Speaker 4: They're not trying to put too much on Galen's plate, 779 00:39:10,520 --> 00:39:13,800 Speaker 4: but it's always a little nervous when it's it's someone's 780 00:39:13,920 --> 00:39:16,840 Speaker 4: name that you don't know. They've never been in this 781 00:39:16,880 --> 00:39:18,960 Speaker 4: position before, and they got it because he was very 782 00:39:19,000 --> 00:39:20,799 Speaker 4: little to sir around. He's been in with Cron the 783 00:39:20,840 --> 00:39:23,439 Speaker 4: whole way. He's been his guy. Hurts went to bat 784 00:39:23,480 --> 00:39:24,640 Speaker 4: form helped him get. 785 00:39:24,560 --> 00:39:25,239 Speaker 3: The job as well. 786 00:39:25,280 --> 00:39:28,760 Speaker 4: But through two weeks, I think that's the only glaring 787 00:39:28,800 --> 00:39:32,360 Speaker 4: weakness right now is Hurts and learning this offensive system. 788 00:39:32,400 --> 00:39:34,520 Speaker 4: And the second biggest one is what Chad just mentioned. 789 00:39:34,520 --> 00:39:37,160 Speaker 4: The number two corner of this Eagles team. So things 790 00:39:37,200 --> 00:39:39,960 Speaker 4: that the Rams team could exploit, Like this Rams team 791 00:39:40,480 --> 00:39:42,680 Speaker 4: very well oiled machine. There's a reason I love them 792 00:39:42,719 --> 00:39:46,000 Speaker 4: coming into the year if Stafford was healthy, because I 793 00:39:46,040 --> 00:39:48,440 Speaker 4: told you that that Adam's ad getting rid of Cooper 794 00:39:48,480 --> 00:39:50,799 Speaker 4: Cup was a huge deal and replacing another guy like 795 00:39:50,840 --> 00:39:53,840 Speaker 4: Adams who might be still the best route runner of 796 00:39:53,880 --> 00:39:54,440 Speaker 4: all football. 797 00:39:54,480 --> 00:39:56,640 Speaker 3: He's just so crisp everything he does. 798 00:39:57,200 --> 00:40:01,000 Speaker 4: And yeah, it's uh, it's a It's a crazy game 799 00:40:01,000 --> 00:40:02,840 Speaker 4: to have at one o'clock. I can't believe this is 800 00:40:02,840 --> 00:40:05,279 Speaker 4: not the Sunday night game. Yeah right, yeah, it's it's 801 00:40:05,280 --> 00:40:06,800 Speaker 4: a game. I'm sure we're gonna talk more on Thursday. 802 00:40:06,840 --> 00:40:08,080 Speaker 4: As we said it right now, I think we're both 803 00:40:08,080 --> 00:40:09,919 Speaker 4: lining up to be on this Eagle side. 804 00:40:10,120 --> 00:40:14,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, definitely Las Vegas at Washington. The game's moved to 805 00:40:14,080 --> 00:40:16,040 Speaker 1: three and a half from six and a half basically 806 00:40:16,080 --> 00:40:19,520 Speaker 1: because there's Jade Daniels intrigued. 807 00:40:19,520 --> 00:40:20,719 Speaker 2: We don't know if he's going to be playing or not. 808 00:40:20,760 --> 00:40:24,400 Speaker 1: I just got an injured knee, had an MRI, so 809 00:40:25,680 --> 00:40:27,680 Speaker 1: kind of it passed from me until we know what's happening. 810 00:40:28,480 --> 00:40:31,520 Speaker 4: Okay, I'll probably be on the Raiders here I'll take 811 00:40:31,560 --> 00:40:34,799 Speaker 4: this early in line at three and a half, just 812 00:40:34,840 --> 00:40:40,040 Speaker 4: in the simple fact it was everything went wrong, horrible game, obviously, 813 00:40:40,600 --> 00:40:45,640 Speaker 4: short week flying out east. I just think everyone's gonna 814 00:40:45,640 --> 00:40:50,440 Speaker 4: be on Washington, whether it's Daniels or not. So if 815 00:40:50,440 --> 00:40:53,600 Speaker 4: it's Daniels, you know, I'll miss it. The Stimer will 816 00:40:53,600 --> 00:40:55,080 Speaker 4: go way up, and I'll just avoid this game. If 817 00:40:55,080 --> 00:40:56,799 Speaker 4: it's not, I could see this. He's again down at 818 00:40:56,800 --> 00:40:59,520 Speaker 4: two and a half. Three, Like it is all Daniels. 819 00:40:59,560 --> 00:41:03,680 Speaker 4: Washington is nothing without Daniels. That's not that talented of 820 00:41:03,680 --> 00:41:07,560 Speaker 4: the defense. They're an older team, and I don't think 821 00:41:07,560 --> 00:41:09,680 Speaker 4: you can just have someone else step in and replace 822 00:41:09,719 --> 00:41:13,960 Speaker 4: what Daniels does. So that Vegas team, they were good 823 00:41:13,960 --> 00:41:15,759 Speaker 4: in that game in my opinion, Okay, it was just 824 00:41:15,800 --> 00:41:18,239 Speaker 4: all Gino, Like he just failed them in a million 825 00:41:18,320 --> 00:41:21,600 Speaker 4: different ways. So another game I'm not going to force 826 00:41:21,640 --> 00:41:25,320 Speaker 4: in because of how bad Gino played, and he's another 827 00:41:25,360 --> 00:41:28,759 Speaker 4: guy in a new offense with Chip Kelly that he 828 00:41:28,840 --> 00:41:31,840 Speaker 4: was not throwing with confidence and had some horrible, horrible 829 00:41:31,880 --> 00:41:33,760 Speaker 4: reads in that game against the Chargers. 830 00:41:33,800 --> 00:41:36,560 Speaker 3: So it's a big difference going from the Chargers to Washington. 831 00:41:36,560 --> 00:41:37,000 Speaker 3: We know that. 832 00:41:37,160 --> 00:41:40,399 Speaker 4: So uh yeah, it's another game where, like Chad said, 833 00:41:40,400 --> 00:41:42,320 Speaker 4: we could be patient with it, see what the injury 834 00:41:42,400 --> 00:41:43,360 Speaker 4: news is on Daniels. 835 00:41:43,360 --> 00:41:45,640 Speaker 3: But I really wish I gave you that Sunday night 836 00:41:45,680 --> 00:41:46,160 Speaker 3: it was six. 837 00:41:46,440 --> 00:41:47,880 Speaker 4: I looked at it when it was six and I 838 00:41:47,960 --> 00:41:51,000 Speaker 4: was like, man, I'm not gonna just take this line 839 00:41:51,080 --> 00:41:53,560 Speaker 4: just in case if the Raiders get rolled, this gets 840 00:41:53,600 --> 00:41:54,040 Speaker 4: up to seven. 841 00:41:54,040 --> 00:41:54,840 Speaker 3: I should have taken it. 842 00:41:54,880 --> 00:41:57,080 Speaker 4: We should have known something was up with Daniels and 843 00:41:57,120 --> 00:41:58,440 Speaker 4: he looked banged up in that game. 844 00:42:00,080 --> 00:42:02,120 Speaker 2: You're Jets at Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay is a seven 845 00:42:02,120 --> 00:42:02,800 Speaker 2: point favorite. 846 00:42:03,960 --> 00:42:07,920 Speaker 1: Again, the signals are screaming take the Jets like you 847 00:42:08,000 --> 00:42:11,920 Speaker 1: take a team that just got blown out. The number 848 00:42:12,000 --> 00:42:15,359 Speaker 1: is going to be inflated. I think the number is 849 00:42:15,719 --> 00:42:18,640 Speaker 1: up at ticker two because of what happened last night 850 00:42:18,640 --> 00:42:20,719 Speaker 1: with Baker and their ability to come back, and it's 851 00:42:20,719 --> 00:42:23,280 Speaker 1: a second week in a row and people having faith 852 00:42:23,840 --> 00:42:27,880 Speaker 1: in what Baker can do. We don't know the status 853 00:42:27,880 --> 00:42:30,239 Speaker 1: of Justin Fields and whether or not he's going to 854 00:42:30,239 --> 00:42:34,040 Speaker 1: be playing because he was being evaluated for a concussion. Honestly, 855 00:42:34,840 --> 00:42:39,239 Speaker 1: tyred Taylor in terms of game management and accuracy and 856 00:42:39,320 --> 00:42:42,640 Speaker 1: short throws, which is what the Jets are relying on. 857 00:42:44,000 --> 00:42:48,719 Speaker 1: He might be an upgrade. So I'm not saying we're 858 00:42:48,719 --> 00:42:54,719 Speaker 1: taking the Jets here, but it scares me less than 859 00:42:54,760 --> 00:42:55,520 Speaker 1: you think. 860 00:42:55,880 --> 00:42:59,120 Speaker 4: I'd get as a Bears fan. You're a hated Rex quarterback. 861 00:42:59,160 --> 00:43:01,279 Speaker 4: But I actually have I have him as at least 862 00:43:01,320 --> 00:43:04,840 Speaker 4: a point I believe in my model higher than Taylor. 863 00:43:05,080 --> 00:43:07,960 Speaker 3: So Fields to me is it'd be great if he's 864 00:43:07,960 --> 00:43:08,200 Speaker 3: in this. 865 00:43:08,239 --> 00:43:10,520 Speaker 4: But this is really about the number once again, I think, 866 00:43:10,560 --> 00:43:12,840 Speaker 4: And yeah, it's I actually kind of love the Jets 867 00:43:12,840 --> 00:43:15,000 Speaker 4: on the spot, and I think you're gonna hate it 868 00:43:15,000 --> 00:43:16,759 Speaker 4: because it's they got burned from it last week. 869 00:43:16,800 --> 00:43:19,319 Speaker 3: But you can't bet that way. Is it better? 870 00:43:19,360 --> 00:43:21,239 Speaker 4: You kind of got to move on and burn it. 871 00:43:22,000 --> 00:43:24,879 Speaker 4: You learn from it. Right, that was a bad read. 872 00:43:24,880 --> 00:43:27,319 Speaker 4: But I think we can all agree that was a 873 00:43:27,400 --> 00:43:31,160 Speaker 4: bad read because of all the things we've seen with Fields. Right, 874 00:43:31,200 --> 00:43:33,440 Speaker 4: he just completely flaked out and was a zero in 875 00:43:33,440 --> 00:43:36,560 Speaker 4: that game. And yeah, major questions about this shit's defense. 876 00:43:37,520 --> 00:43:39,560 Speaker 4: I'm starting to every day is this season goes on, 877 00:43:39,600 --> 00:43:42,960 Speaker 4: as I get more and more respect for Salah and well, 878 00:43:43,000 --> 00:43:45,040 Speaker 4: it looks like he might be a defensive genius because 879 00:43:45,040 --> 00:43:47,280 Speaker 4: this actually might be a horrible defense on the Jets, 880 00:43:47,360 --> 00:43:49,200 Speaker 4: and he was the one that was so good and 881 00:43:49,320 --> 00:43:50,399 Speaker 4: made them look so good. 882 00:43:50,440 --> 00:43:53,640 Speaker 3: But the Bucks have injuries, Like we. 883 00:43:53,600 --> 00:43:55,880 Speaker 4: Saw how banged up the offensive line got in that game, 884 00:43:56,640 --> 00:43:58,399 Speaker 4: and how Baker was just getting crushed the OL game, 885 00:43:58,400 --> 00:44:01,600 Speaker 4: and Baker might be banged up too, So grabbing grab 886 00:44:01,640 --> 00:44:02,600 Speaker 4: the sevens as you can. 887 00:44:02,680 --> 00:44:07,360 Speaker 3: I'd grab it right now, some says Jets, Yeah, no 888 00:44:07,560 --> 00:44:08,000 Speaker 3: is this. 889 00:44:08,160 --> 00:44:09,680 Speaker 2: Simon says, we'll see. 890 00:44:09,680 --> 00:44:10,359 Speaker 3: I guy have another game. 891 00:44:10,400 --> 00:44:12,520 Speaker 4: I'm assuming we both like and if if, if you 892 00:44:13,040 --> 00:44:14,839 Speaker 4: there's two other games I really like. But I'm I'm 893 00:44:14,920 --> 00:44:18,520 Speaker 4: I'm grabbing this one right now. I'm not gonna make 894 00:44:18,560 --> 00:44:22,160 Speaker 4: a Simon says, because I I do see this potentially growing, 895 00:44:22,320 --> 00:44:23,560 Speaker 4: like this could go up seven and a half. 896 00:44:23,560 --> 00:44:26,560 Speaker 3: But even if six and a half, people are gonna 897 00:44:26,560 --> 00:44:26,920 Speaker 3: hate it. 898 00:44:27,000 --> 00:44:29,120 Speaker 4: I just I don't know how we don't have this 899 00:44:29,160 --> 00:44:30,400 Speaker 4: one in the contest. 900 00:44:31,400 --> 00:44:34,400 Speaker 3: It's just gonna we'll see. 901 00:44:34,680 --> 00:44:35,320 Speaker 2: I'm thrilled. 902 00:44:35,719 --> 00:44:36,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm thrilled. 903 00:44:37,360 --> 00:44:39,080 Speaker 4: Other games I know we're gonna love, But like, I 904 00:44:39,400 --> 00:44:40,920 Speaker 4: just couldn't get over the fact that the Stummer was 905 00:44:41,000 --> 00:44:46,200 Speaker 4: this big and the Bucks do role teams. It does happen, 906 00:44:47,160 --> 00:44:50,200 Speaker 4: but they usually play to their competition level and squeak 907 00:44:50,280 --> 00:44:52,719 Speaker 4: by and pull out wins. Now you're at it on 908 00:44:52,800 --> 00:44:55,719 Speaker 4: top of that them being banged up and you know, 909 00:44:55,840 --> 00:44:57,719 Speaker 4: stay with you one of the that's just defense. They 910 00:44:57,719 --> 00:44:59,960 Speaker 4: do have a pretty good defensive line in some aspect, 911 00:45:00,239 --> 00:45:02,439 Speaker 4: and if the middle of the lines banged up, that's 912 00:45:02,600 --> 00:45:05,520 Speaker 4: that's really where they can shine with Quin Williams. So yeah, 913 00:45:05,640 --> 00:45:09,359 Speaker 4: I'm glad we're aligned on It was hoping because it's 914 00:45:09,400 --> 00:45:11,680 Speaker 4: a couple of seven a halfs dip pop. It's at 915 00:45:11,760 --> 00:45:14,680 Speaker 4: seven at a hard rock I'm happy taking the seven. Uh, 916 00:45:15,000 --> 00:45:17,799 Speaker 4: just I was gonna make it, Simeon said, Like I said, 917 00:45:17,800 --> 00:45:19,480 Speaker 4: it's it came down from the seven a half, so 918 00:45:19,480 --> 00:45:20,360 Speaker 4: I'm not going to make it that. 919 00:45:20,560 --> 00:45:21,480 Speaker 3: I do love the seven. 920 00:45:23,080 --> 00:45:29,520 Speaker 1: Do you think Todd Bowles let Nick Chubbs score last 921 00:45:29,640 --> 00:45:33,560 Speaker 1: night so he could get the ball back quicker or 922 00:45:33,600 --> 00:45:35,560 Speaker 1: do you think that was just a defensive breakdown. If 923 00:45:35,600 --> 00:45:37,800 Speaker 1: you look at the play I've seen this online this morning, 924 00:45:38,600 --> 00:45:41,440 Speaker 1: it looks like the Bucks basically just let him run 925 00:45:41,520 --> 00:45:44,400 Speaker 1: right through them. And it was especially weird since the 926 00:45:44,480 --> 00:45:46,480 Speaker 1: Texas had not been able to run the ball all night, 927 00:45:46,520 --> 00:45:49,239 Speaker 1: and all of a sudden there's a gaping hole and 928 00:45:49,280 --> 00:45:50,520 Speaker 1: the guy can score a touchdown? 929 00:45:50,880 --> 00:45:53,120 Speaker 3: Do you frate it? Yeah? I look the idea and 930 00:45:53,160 --> 00:45:54,320 Speaker 3: it was and I agree with that. 931 00:45:54,680 --> 00:45:56,600 Speaker 4: During that game, I thought to myself, Nick Chubb looks 932 00:45:56,600 --> 00:45:58,400 Speaker 4: like he has nothing left. And then that one play 933 00:45:59,000 --> 00:46:00,719 Speaker 4: he breaks it for what was a t Yeah, twenty 934 00:46:00,719 --> 00:46:01,160 Speaker 4: one yards. 935 00:46:01,200 --> 00:46:02,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you on that. 936 00:46:02,200 --> 00:46:04,239 Speaker 1: And then it was brilliant because they had three timeouts 937 00:46:04,280 --> 00:46:06,719 Speaker 1: and they were either going to bleed their timeouts and 938 00:46:06,719 --> 00:46:08,680 Speaker 1: they had to go run down the field or they 939 00:46:08,680 --> 00:46:11,160 Speaker 1: had to keep their timeouts and go score a touchdown. Like, 940 00:46:11,840 --> 00:46:13,480 Speaker 1: I loved it in the end if that's what he did. 941 00:46:14,040 --> 00:46:19,440 Speaker 1: Total Ninja Total total Ninja Indianapolis at Tennessee. Tennessee is 942 00:46:19,440 --> 00:46:21,160 Speaker 1: a three and a half point favorite. You called this 943 00:46:21,200 --> 00:46:23,319 Speaker 1: one on Sunday night. I used to take the Colts 944 00:46:23,360 --> 00:46:26,279 Speaker 1: at plus three, are at minus three. I did take 945 00:46:26,320 --> 00:46:29,680 Speaker 1: the Colts. Look, Indianapol's Cults right now are probably the 946 00:46:29,719 --> 00:46:36,040 Speaker 1: greatest offense in the history of the NFL. And I 947 00:46:36,120 --> 00:46:41,600 Speaker 1: think we don't take a new account the old sort 948 00:46:41,640 --> 00:46:47,640 Speaker 1: of tropes Division Dog plus three at home, Like, I 949 00:46:47,719 --> 00:46:54,520 Speaker 1: don't think think these those things are actually as relevant 950 00:46:54,520 --> 00:46:55,439 Speaker 1: as they used to be. 951 00:46:56,840 --> 00:46:59,279 Speaker 2: And to me, this was really about the running game. 952 00:46:59,320 --> 00:47:03,600 Speaker 1: Like Jonathan Taylor has been magnificent for this team, both 953 00:47:03,800 --> 00:47:06,360 Speaker 1: out of the backfield catching the ball and running the ball. 954 00:47:07,120 --> 00:47:10,480 Speaker 1: The Titans are allowing the league worst five point four 955 00:47:10,560 --> 00:47:13,920 Speaker 1: yards per carry in the first two weeks on defense. 956 00:47:14,400 --> 00:47:18,680 Speaker 1: On offense, I mentioned their QB pressure rate is second highest, 957 00:47:18,719 --> 00:47:22,920 Speaker 1: while the opponents are blitzing at such a low rate. 958 00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:25,880 Speaker 1: It's only twenty third against them in the NFL, so 959 00:47:25,920 --> 00:47:30,000 Speaker 1: the gap between the pressure and the blitz is massive. 960 00:47:32,840 --> 00:47:35,080 Speaker 1: I feel good about the Cults, even at minus three 961 00:47:35,080 --> 00:47:35,439 Speaker 1: and a half. 962 00:47:37,520 --> 00:47:38,040 Speaker 3: I did too. 963 00:47:39,640 --> 00:47:41,680 Speaker 4: My negative view of this one is going to be 964 00:47:43,120 --> 00:47:47,080 Speaker 4: something we always fear of, which is a home the 965 00:47:47,200 --> 00:47:51,960 Speaker 4: visional dog that is surely surely going to be getting 966 00:47:52,040 --> 00:47:55,160 Speaker 4: less than ten percent of the money and the bets. 967 00:47:55,600 --> 00:47:56,800 Speaker 3: This is going to be the biggest need of the 968 00:47:56,840 --> 00:47:58,200 Speaker 3: books this week. And I have no doubt. 969 00:47:58,280 --> 00:48:01,120 Speaker 1: This is such a public play, There's no doubt about it. 970 00:48:01,120 --> 00:48:03,880 Speaker 1: We are leaning totally. 971 00:48:03,040 --> 00:48:06,160 Speaker 4: Torched by Dallas last week, and literally they were the 972 00:48:06,200 --> 00:48:08,200 Speaker 4: same thing. I have the money, ninbers and of the bets, 973 00:48:09,000 --> 00:48:11,040 Speaker 4: and I didn't mind it because Dallas was at home, 974 00:48:11,480 --> 00:48:13,680 Speaker 4: and even though we were dead than dead, there was 975 00:48:13,760 --> 00:48:16,840 Speaker 4: still a little glimmer at that overtime we could have 976 00:48:16,840 --> 00:48:21,400 Speaker 4: got to the number. But here, I'm with you, it's 977 00:48:21,680 --> 00:48:23,319 Speaker 4: I couldn't believe the number on Sunday night. 978 00:48:23,360 --> 00:48:23,799 Speaker 3: I could not. 979 00:48:23,760 --> 00:48:26,200 Speaker 4: Believe they hung a three, and I said that. I 980 00:48:26,200 --> 00:48:28,000 Speaker 4: was like, I'm taking this now because there's only one 981 00:48:28,000 --> 00:48:30,319 Speaker 4: way this is going to go. There's no way this 982 00:48:30,400 --> 00:48:31,440 Speaker 4: gets the two and a half. If we got to 983 00:48:31,480 --> 00:48:33,720 Speaker 4: two and a half, the alarms would be going off 984 00:48:34,080 --> 00:48:37,160 Speaker 4: all over the place. That this was a really bad 985 00:48:37,160 --> 00:48:40,320 Speaker 4: spots for the cold team. So trying to find angles 986 00:48:40,320 --> 00:48:43,160 Speaker 4: for this Titans team cold secondary is banged up. 987 00:48:44,719 --> 00:48:47,320 Speaker 3: Can Daniel Jones keep playing at this pace? 988 00:48:47,400 --> 00:48:50,880 Speaker 4: The man is not not punted, right, They've not punted 989 00:48:50,880 --> 00:48:56,879 Speaker 4: this year. This Colts team, I just I can't get 990 00:48:56,880 --> 00:48:58,799 Speaker 4: over how well he played, even going back and watching it, 991 00:48:58,840 --> 00:49:01,440 Speaker 4: and how well they ran the ball against that Broncos defense, 992 00:49:01,480 --> 00:49:03,160 Speaker 4: which we said they were going to take a step 993 00:49:03,160 --> 00:49:06,560 Speaker 4: down that Broncos defense, but that's still a really good defense. 994 00:49:06,640 --> 00:49:10,359 Speaker 4: So another only only angles I got attack. Really chat, 995 00:49:10,360 --> 00:49:12,600 Speaker 4: it is like, Okay, you have a Colts team that 996 00:49:12,640 --> 00:49:15,920 Speaker 4: actually plays fast now coming outdoors, playing on grass, and 997 00:49:16,480 --> 00:49:18,360 Speaker 4: you have a Tennessee team that is just left for 998 00:49:18,480 --> 00:49:21,680 Speaker 4: dead by everybody, including me and Chad, who loved them 999 00:49:21,880 --> 00:49:22,600 Speaker 4: just a week ago. 1000 00:49:22,760 --> 00:49:25,640 Speaker 3: So just kind of give us pause here. But I 1001 00:49:26,200 --> 00:49:26,600 Speaker 3: hate it. 1002 00:49:26,640 --> 00:49:28,240 Speaker 4: I think we both want to be on the Colts. 1003 00:49:28,280 --> 00:49:31,279 Speaker 4: But I just gotta I gotta take a step back 1004 00:49:31,320 --> 00:49:33,839 Speaker 4: on this one. We'll talk about on Thursday. But I know, 1005 00:49:34,640 --> 00:49:37,719 Speaker 4: I know this is going to be the biggest deed 1006 00:49:37,800 --> 00:49:38,200 Speaker 4: for the book. 1007 00:49:38,239 --> 00:49:38,680 Speaker 3: I just can't. 1008 00:49:38,680 --> 00:49:40,479 Speaker 4: I don't know who's betting. I don't know who's betting 1009 00:49:40,480 --> 00:49:43,200 Speaker 4: Tennessee at this number. Like we said, the Colts, I 1010 00:49:43,239 --> 00:49:45,240 Speaker 4: feel like I've earned their respect to be at this number, 1011 00:49:45,360 --> 00:49:47,439 Speaker 4: to be up to six or five on the road 1012 00:49:47,480 --> 00:49:49,719 Speaker 4: in this divisional game. They just they feel like that 1013 00:49:49,800 --> 00:49:52,359 Speaker 4: much better of a team. And like you said, the 1014 00:49:52,440 --> 00:49:54,920 Speaker 4: coaching of Tennessee and the stuff they do it is 1015 00:49:55,000 --> 00:49:59,160 Speaker 4: just so bad. So yeah, uh, I'll be patient here. 1016 00:49:59,160 --> 00:50:01,120 Speaker 4: People can tell them all spooked on this one. Even 1017 00:50:01,160 --> 00:50:03,640 Speaker 4: though I loved it on Sunday, it's I can't. I 1018 00:50:03,680 --> 00:50:06,320 Speaker 4: can't believe that this hasn't gone up to five six. 1019 00:50:06,640 --> 00:50:08,600 Speaker 2: Well, look, you love the number on Sunday. 1020 00:50:08,800 --> 00:50:12,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, when I did the research yesterday, I was really 1021 00:50:12,760 --> 00:50:15,960 Speaker 1: concerned at how much I love the game. It's very 1022 00:50:16,000 --> 00:50:18,479 Speaker 1: matchup with the Colts nearly made it a Chad Loves 1023 00:50:18,520 --> 00:50:23,560 Speaker 1: Love nearly and like it just felt. No, that's it's 1024 00:50:23,600 --> 00:50:27,759 Speaker 1: so chalky. You're setting yourself up to be disappointed. You're 1025 00:50:27,840 --> 00:50:31,279 Speaker 1: gonna look like an idiot. You can't handle that. It 1026 00:50:31,320 --> 00:50:35,799 Speaker 1: will make your Sunday miserable. I've already betted at three. 1027 00:50:36,360 --> 00:50:40,439 Speaker 1: I'm not walking away from that. But geez, Louise, man, 1028 00:50:40,520 --> 00:50:44,680 Speaker 1: that just feels we'd be walking into it. We'd be 1029 00:50:44,719 --> 00:50:46,840 Speaker 1: walking into as we used to like to say, oh Horn. 1030 00:50:46,680 --> 00:50:48,879 Speaker 4: It's Nesta And I can already see the future where 1031 00:50:48,920 --> 00:50:51,000 Speaker 4: it's like we have one spot open and we're just like, 1032 00:50:51,120 --> 00:50:53,440 Speaker 4: let's just throw We're gonna. 1033 00:50:53,239 --> 00:50:56,200 Speaker 2: You know what it is. We're gonna get lazy. It's 1034 00:50:56,200 --> 00:50:57,080 Speaker 2: gonna be like parenting. 1035 00:50:58,600 --> 00:51:00,719 Speaker 4: It's like we said, I you said to them, when 1036 00:51:00,760 --> 00:51:02,400 Speaker 4: you feel easier with the losses? Right, what would you 1037 00:51:02,400 --> 00:51:06,240 Speaker 4: feel easier losing this bed? Or we taken the Giants 1038 00:51:06,280 --> 00:51:08,000 Speaker 4: at home against the Chiefs, you know what I mean, 1039 00:51:08,040 --> 00:51:09,440 Speaker 4: so's it's tough. 1040 00:51:10,000 --> 00:51:13,160 Speaker 1: Or by the way, New Orleans plus seven and a 1041 00:51:13,200 --> 00:51:15,200 Speaker 1: half on the road at Seattle. 1042 00:51:16,760 --> 00:51:18,799 Speaker 2: This is one of those games. I talked about that 1043 00:51:18,880 --> 00:51:19,520 Speaker 2: stat earlier. 1044 00:51:19,600 --> 00:51:22,640 Speaker 1: Zero to two against the spread, and the perception is 1045 00:51:22,680 --> 00:51:26,239 Speaker 1: going to be that you want to back off when 1046 00:51:26,280 --> 00:51:27,360 Speaker 1: it comes to the Saints. 1047 00:51:27,640 --> 00:51:29,560 Speaker 2: Meanwhile, the Seahawks. 1048 00:51:30,040 --> 00:51:33,160 Speaker 1: Really played well and hard against the Niners in Week one, 1049 00:51:33,520 --> 00:51:36,319 Speaker 1: lost in the final moments of the game. Then they 1050 00:51:36,320 --> 00:51:38,600 Speaker 1: went out and dominated the Steelers and made the Steelers 1051 00:51:38,600 --> 00:51:41,920 Speaker 1: look really bad. So are the Seahawks? Is the Seahawks 1052 00:51:41,920 --> 00:51:46,279 Speaker 1: defense great? I do think it's great. They have not 1053 00:51:46,280 --> 00:51:49,280 Speaker 1: played a defense. The Saints have not played a defense 1054 00:51:49,360 --> 00:51:52,040 Speaker 1: as good as the Seahawks, yet have the highest QB 1055 00:51:52,120 --> 00:51:56,480 Speaker 1: pressure rate and the second lowest blitz percentage, so they 1056 00:51:56,480 --> 00:51:59,200 Speaker 1: are getting pressure with their front four just rushing for 1057 00:52:01,360 --> 00:52:04,080 Speaker 1: Saints are keeping themselves alive in these games though, and 1058 00:52:04,320 --> 00:52:09,280 Speaker 1: granted they've been at home, but still like they're making 1059 00:52:09,280 --> 00:52:16,400 Speaker 1: it hard. This feels so much more trappy than the Colts. 1060 00:52:17,440 --> 00:52:20,000 Speaker 1: It feels greedy to betting on the to be betting 1061 00:52:20,000 --> 00:52:26,319 Speaker 1: on the Seahawks at minus seven and a half. Give 1062 00:52:26,360 --> 00:52:29,960 Speaker 1: me your take. Are we being courageous to love the 1063 00:52:30,000 --> 00:52:31,880 Speaker 1: Saints here? I feel like you're gonna tell me this, 1064 00:52:31,920 --> 00:52:32,880 Speaker 1: as Simon says. 1065 00:52:33,320 --> 00:52:36,279 Speaker 3: Ooh on the Saints, Yeah no, thank god. Not. 1066 00:52:39,000 --> 00:52:41,200 Speaker 4: Almost every pro I've talked to I think is in 1067 00:52:41,239 --> 00:52:44,239 Speaker 4: alignment with you in this exact spot on the Saints team. 1068 00:52:44,600 --> 00:52:48,319 Speaker 4: And I think the Saints are in that description of 1069 00:52:48,320 --> 00:52:50,200 Speaker 4: the one and two against the spread, right they are 1070 00:52:50,560 --> 00:52:54,880 Speaker 4: totally so you know, they they fit the trends. My 1071 00:52:55,000 --> 00:52:57,440 Speaker 4: model has at six, so like I should be on 1072 00:52:57,480 --> 00:52:58,280 Speaker 4: the Saints team. 1073 00:52:59,360 --> 00:53:01,279 Speaker 3: But what you do said terrifies me. 1074 00:53:01,680 --> 00:53:04,760 Speaker 4: How do the Saints move the ball and score against 1075 00:53:04,840 --> 00:53:08,360 Speaker 4: the Seahawks defense? And you know, as much as we 1076 00:53:08,400 --> 00:53:13,720 Speaker 4: want a bad mouth Sam Darnold, you know, I feel 1077 00:53:13,760 --> 00:53:16,920 Speaker 4: like this is probably a good spot for him with 1078 00:53:17,040 --> 00:53:19,359 Speaker 4: his offense and the way they can run the ball 1079 00:53:19,400 --> 00:53:22,719 Speaker 4: against a Saints team that can't really stop the run. 1080 00:53:22,800 --> 00:53:23,359 Speaker 3: Let's be honest. 1081 00:53:23,440 --> 00:53:25,920 Speaker 4: We have two weeks now and it looks like this 1082 00:53:26,000 --> 00:53:28,800 Speaker 4: is just a team that simply will struggle all season 1083 00:53:28,840 --> 00:53:29,480 Speaker 4: against the run. 1084 00:53:29,600 --> 00:53:33,800 Speaker 3: So I love the number, Like that's what sucks so much. 1085 00:53:33,680 --> 00:53:38,200 Speaker 4: Is like, man, this is an incredible, incredible number, but 1086 00:53:40,040 --> 00:53:42,680 Speaker 4: I have to be patient, Like I already seen it 1087 00:53:42,719 --> 00:53:45,000 Speaker 4: right now, I'm looking right now, there's books that have 1088 00:53:45,120 --> 00:53:49,319 Speaker 4: hit seven. So yeah, clearly, clearly the professional side is 1089 00:53:49,320 --> 00:53:51,600 Speaker 4: the Saints. I need to just not up and do it, 1090 00:53:51,640 --> 00:53:53,840 Speaker 4: I'm sure, but I just haven't met it yet, Like 1091 00:53:53,840 --> 00:53:56,560 Speaker 4: there's other games I've bet heavy this week and this 1092 00:53:56,680 --> 00:53:58,480 Speaker 4: is not one of them. I've just been watching this 1093 00:53:58,600 --> 00:54:01,160 Speaker 4: and saying to myself, can this get the eight? 1094 00:54:01,200 --> 00:54:02,120 Speaker 3: Can of get day and a half? 1095 00:54:02,160 --> 00:54:03,880 Speaker 4: And now I'm looking it's going the other way, so 1096 00:54:03,920 --> 00:54:05,560 Speaker 4: I might just have to take the seven and a half. 1097 00:54:05,600 --> 00:54:07,520 Speaker 1: And I don't think it's getting I don't think it's 1098 00:54:07,560 --> 00:54:10,080 Speaker 1: going up because the Seahawks, I don't think yet are 1099 00:54:10,200 --> 00:54:13,840 Speaker 1: sort of enough of a public team, right and because 1100 00:54:14,040 --> 00:54:15,600 Speaker 1: if you look at the record that are one and one, 1101 00:54:15,840 --> 00:54:17,719 Speaker 1: and some people are coming to this who are going 1102 00:54:17,760 --> 00:54:19,839 Speaker 1: to be betting on the weekend, they're going to see 1103 00:54:19,880 --> 00:54:22,120 Speaker 1: a Seahawks team that is one and one. They're not 1104 00:54:22,200 --> 00:54:27,279 Speaker 1: going to recognize that. They they beat the Steelers who 1105 00:54:27,520 --> 00:54:30,000 Speaker 1: are one now one and one, they lost to the Niners, 1106 00:54:30,000 --> 00:54:32,359 Speaker 1: who everyone thinks are great still, so they're not going 1107 00:54:32,480 --> 00:54:35,360 Speaker 1: to be a public side, like a heavy public side. 1108 00:54:35,920 --> 00:54:41,520 Speaker 1: This is a professional game, yeah, and a professional number. 1109 00:54:42,000 --> 00:54:43,360 Speaker 3: And this is just like that time say this is 1110 00:54:43,360 --> 00:54:44,839 Speaker 3: gonna be Presisus shows. 1111 00:54:46,800 --> 00:54:48,560 Speaker 1: We're gonna end up betting the Saints. I don't know 1112 00:54:48,560 --> 00:54:50,680 Speaker 1: if it'll be in the contest, but it'll be. It'll 1113 00:54:50,680 --> 00:54:53,120 Speaker 1: be attempting number seven and a half. Seven and a half, 1114 00:54:53,760 --> 00:54:56,239 Speaker 1: all right, the Broncos are one of those teams that 1115 00:54:56,400 --> 00:54:59,279 Speaker 1: fits that model of having yet to cover, and so 1116 00:54:59,360 --> 00:55:01,799 Speaker 1: the perception a little bit off. I don't have a 1117 00:55:01,800 --> 00:55:04,320 Speaker 1: great read on this one. I think the Broncos defense 1118 00:55:04,520 --> 00:55:06,640 Speaker 1: might be overrated. They're getting a lot of pressure, but 1119 00:55:06,640 --> 00:55:11,040 Speaker 1: they're also blitzing fifty percent of the time. So I 1120 00:55:11,040 --> 00:55:17,560 Speaker 1: think the Chargers are kind of good. And they they 1121 00:55:17,600 --> 00:55:20,000 Speaker 1: backed it up last night after a week one against 1122 00:55:20,000 --> 00:55:22,960 Speaker 1: the Chiefs. So two and a half is a phishing 1123 00:55:23,040 --> 00:55:25,000 Speaker 1: number to me. I don't really want anything to do 1124 00:55:25,040 --> 00:55:25,239 Speaker 1: with this. 1125 00:55:26,320 --> 00:55:31,560 Speaker 4: Simon says, giving me Denver, love love, love, love love 1126 00:55:31,640 --> 00:55:34,680 Speaker 4: Denver in the spot, and I get to fear what 1127 00:55:34,719 --> 00:55:36,000 Speaker 4: you're saying about this Chargers team. 1128 00:55:36,120 --> 00:55:38,319 Speaker 3: Like they have looked really good. 1129 00:55:38,360 --> 00:55:42,040 Speaker 4: I mean, Herbert looks all world looks incredibly talented and 1130 00:55:43,480 --> 00:55:47,480 Speaker 4: dream dream start for them, right, two starts, one in Brazil, 1131 00:55:47,520 --> 00:55:49,000 Speaker 4: then in Vegas in your division. 1132 00:55:49,320 --> 00:55:50,000 Speaker 3: You win them both. 1133 00:55:50,040 --> 00:55:52,040 Speaker 4: They're coming back home a chance to go three and 1134 00:55:52,200 --> 00:55:54,360 Speaker 4: oh in the division to start this season. 1135 00:55:55,120 --> 00:55:57,919 Speaker 3: Chargers will win this game, but it won't be buying 1136 00:55:57,920 --> 00:55:58,719 Speaker 3: more than two chet. 1137 00:55:58,840 --> 00:56:01,480 Speaker 4: This is such a number to play such a spot 1138 00:56:01,520 --> 00:56:04,920 Speaker 4: to play in this Broncos team, who I was banging 1139 00:56:04,920 --> 00:56:06,120 Speaker 4: the drum to start the season. 1140 00:56:06,280 --> 00:56:09,040 Speaker 3: They were eight to oh or was it nine h 1141 00:56:09,080 --> 00:56:09,400 Speaker 3: eight to oh? 1142 00:56:09,400 --> 00:56:12,400 Speaker 4: I'm pretty sure bo Nicks last year as a favorite 1143 00:56:12,480 --> 00:56:14,000 Speaker 4: against the spread, he was perfect. 1144 00:56:14,320 --> 00:56:17,640 Speaker 3: Let's see this year, Jed I went too as a favorite. 1145 00:56:17,960 --> 00:56:22,799 Speaker 4: So the public is totally totally done with the Broncos, 1146 00:56:22,800 --> 00:56:24,920 Speaker 4: and this is exactly where I step in, like this 1147 00:56:24,960 --> 00:56:26,759 Speaker 4: is my favorite bets where it's like you line it up. 1148 00:56:26,840 --> 00:56:29,279 Speaker 4: Last week loved the Colts and I knew no matter 1149 00:56:29,360 --> 00:56:31,040 Speaker 4: what the number was going to be on the Broncos, 1150 00:56:31,680 --> 00:56:32,799 Speaker 4: I was going to probably. 1151 00:56:32,480 --> 00:56:35,279 Speaker 3: Love them even better. Like I have him modeled to 1152 00:56:35,320 --> 00:56:35,920 Speaker 3: pick them. 1153 00:56:35,920 --> 00:56:38,000 Speaker 4: In the Chargers, I do have the great the Broncos 1154 00:56:38,120 --> 00:56:41,719 Speaker 4: greated higher than this Chargers team because people aren't realizing this. 1155 00:56:41,719 --> 00:56:45,120 Speaker 4: This Chargers team is banged up today. Chargers team that 1156 00:56:45,960 --> 00:56:50,719 Speaker 4: you know, they've lost key guys on offensive line. That's 1157 00:56:50,719 --> 00:56:52,840 Speaker 4: a big deal, and they've gotten away with it somehow 1158 00:56:52,920 --> 00:56:56,640 Speaker 4: because you know, Herbert's so talented and harball and even 1159 00:56:56,680 --> 00:56:58,640 Speaker 4: their defense I cannot get around go to their defensive 1160 00:56:58,680 --> 00:57:02,120 Speaker 4: played two weeks in, but you couldn't be bigger of 1161 00:57:02,120 --> 00:57:06,160 Speaker 4: a letdown spot against a very desperate, angry Broncos team 1162 00:57:06,200 --> 00:57:08,400 Speaker 4: that's been undervalued by the general public right now, like this, 1163 00:57:09,080 --> 00:57:11,960 Speaker 4: people had the Broncos is the best team, as one 1164 00:57:11,960 --> 00:57:15,319 Speaker 4: of the best team visions in the ANFC. That hasn't changed, right, 1165 00:57:15,360 --> 00:57:18,400 Speaker 4: They just they haven't played well. They had a flukey 1166 00:57:18,480 --> 00:57:21,840 Speaker 4: loss last week, and now the lines punish him for that. 1167 00:57:21,880 --> 00:57:24,560 Speaker 4: This probably should have been one, maybe a pick if 1168 00:57:24,560 --> 00:57:27,280 Speaker 4: they win. Instead it's two and a half. I mean, 1169 00:57:27,280 --> 00:57:29,480 Speaker 4: if you're lucky, you can find a three, But I 1170 00:57:29,520 --> 00:57:31,400 Speaker 4: think professionals are gonna have models like me, and they're 1171 00:57:31,440 --> 00:57:33,200 Speaker 4: gonna come in and hit this no matter what if 1172 00:57:33,200 --> 00:57:33,880 Speaker 4: it touches three. 1173 00:57:33,960 --> 00:57:35,960 Speaker 3: So no chance we get three and a half in 1174 00:57:36,040 --> 00:57:37,040 Speaker 3: contest if we do. 1175 00:57:37,600 --> 00:57:39,560 Speaker 4: What a gift that would be on this Broncos team 1176 00:57:39,560 --> 00:57:42,360 Speaker 4: against the Chargers that are just I don't know what's more. 1177 00:57:42,560 --> 00:57:44,560 Speaker 4: Who's more peaked out right now? Th Emmer, Green Bay. 1178 00:57:44,560 --> 00:57:47,480 Speaker 4: It's it's close, though I think it might be the Chargers. 1179 00:57:47,520 --> 00:57:52,439 Speaker 4: This is just an egregious line for a really tough 1180 00:57:52,480 --> 00:57:56,400 Speaker 4: divisional game. So yeah, it's uh, it's it's it's it's 1181 00:57:56,400 --> 00:57:58,400 Speaker 4: shocking that you weren't too confident on this Broncos. So 1182 00:57:58,440 --> 00:58:00,480 Speaker 4: I thought you were gonna be all in fading this 1183 00:58:00,600 --> 00:58:01,840 Speaker 4: Chargers team after last night. 1184 00:58:02,480 --> 00:58:04,120 Speaker 1: Well, look, I haven't had a chance to watch the 1185 00:58:04,160 --> 00:58:08,640 Speaker 1: game because I, you know, go to sleep at nine o'clock. 1186 00:58:08,760 --> 00:58:11,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, and so it didn't start until ten. 1187 00:58:11,640 --> 00:58:13,920 Speaker 1: And this morning, when I was rowing, I decided to 1188 00:58:13,960 --> 00:58:17,520 Speaker 1: watch the Browns because I was a little bit more 1189 00:58:17,600 --> 00:58:20,200 Speaker 1: intrigued and figured I could catch up on the Chargers. 1190 00:58:22,600 --> 00:58:25,080 Speaker 1: I was pretty disappointed in the Broncos. I've been disappointed 1191 00:58:25,120 --> 00:58:28,120 Speaker 1: in their defense. I'm disappointed in the underlying metrics I 1192 00:58:28,160 --> 00:58:32,480 Speaker 1: see week one, I know, but against the calls, Like 1193 00:58:32,520 --> 00:58:34,360 Speaker 1: I just can't believe how much they have to blitz 1194 00:58:34,360 --> 00:58:37,840 Speaker 1: to get any kind of pressure, and so that that 1195 00:58:38,040 --> 00:58:38,960 Speaker 1: is concerning to me. 1196 00:58:40,480 --> 00:58:42,440 Speaker 4: Well, there's there is one three out there, so you 1197 00:58:42,520 --> 00:58:45,400 Speaker 4: might you could be patient. If you won, I would 1198 00:58:45,440 --> 00:58:46,760 Speaker 4: just grab it two and a half now, in case 1199 00:58:46,760 --> 00:58:47,520 Speaker 4: it comes down. 1200 00:58:47,480 --> 00:58:49,320 Speaker 2: I'll roll with you on it if you feel that 1201 00:58:49,360 --> 00:58:50,440 Speaker 2: strongly about it. 1202 00:58:50,920 --> 00:58:52,280 Speaker 3: It's on the general public. But if you want to 1203 00:58:52,280 --> 00:58:53,880 Speaker 3: bet it, I'm happy for you to get on the party. 1204 00:58:53,920 --> 00:58:56,200 Speaker 3: It's it's a nice number and a nice spot. 1205 00:58:57,880 --> 00:59:01,160 Speaker 1: So maybe this this next game, the Cowboys at the 1206 00:59:01,160 --> 00:59:03,920 Speaker 1: Bears the line is one and a half. The first 1207 00:59:03,960 --> 00:59:06,520 Speaker 1: move was in the Cowboys direction. The Bears are favored 1208 00:59:06,520 --> 00:59:09,160 Speaker 1: by a one and a half. This is, you know, 1209 00:59:10,240 --> 00:59:15,480 Speaker 1: train wreck of expectations meets the Mismanagement Bowl, right Like 1210 00:59:15,600 --> 00:59:22,480 Speaker 1: Jadavian Clowney isn't coming in to save this Cowboys team. 1211 00:59:22,920 --> 00:59:28,720 Speaker 1: All I read about from the Bears is they're encouraged by. 1212 00:59:30,160 --> 00:59:31,360 Speaker 2: Caleb Williams progress. 1213 00:59:32,160 --> 00:59:36,120 Speaker 1: He made better plays, he got his feet set, he 1214 00:59:36,240 --> 00:59:39,479 Speaker 1: was in his twitchy with his eyes, all these kinds 1215 00:59:39,480 --> 00:59:44,080 Speaker 1: of things, looking for anything to make them feel good 1216 00:59:44,720 --> 00:59:46,200 Speaker 1: in a blowout against the Lions. 1217 00:59:49,800 --> 00:59:54,000 Speaker 2: The Bears fit the model, you know what I mean, Like. 1218 00:59:56,760 --> 01:00:00,320 Speaker 1: The team that hasn't covered so much Animouz City and 1219 01:00:00,400 --> 01:00:01,880 Speaker 1: negativity against them. 1220 01:00:02,120 --> 01:00:04,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's well for me. 1221 01:00:05,000 --> 01:00:06,880 Speaker 1: You kind of have to back the Bears if you're 1222 01:00:06,880 --> 01:00:09,440 Speaker 1: going to play this game. But at one and a half, 1223 01:00:09,480 --> 01:00:12,800 Speaker 1: it feels sketchy, like I'm not loving one and a 1224 01:00:12,840 --> 01:00:13,920 Speaker 1: half as a number lately. 1225 01:00:14,320 --> 01:00:16,040 Speaker 3: Oh my god, this is on what Simon says. I 1226 01:00:16,120 --> 01:00:16,920 Speaker 3: left it for you. 1227 01:00:17,000 --> 01:00:19,919 Speaker 4: So either one this Simon says, or Denver Simon says, 1228 01:00:19,920 --> 01:00:24,560 Speaker 4: I love them both. Yeah, Bears, you have to bet 1229 01:00:24,560 --> 01:00:27,760 Speaker 4: this one. If you're a fan of this show gotta 1230 01:00:27,800 --> 01:00:30,720 Speaker 4: do it, like Chad's so right, it's all bad, it's 1231 01:00:30,760 --> 01:00:34,480 Speaker 4: all negative. Right after this Bears team felt like an 1232 01:00:34,480 --> 01:00:38,320 Speaker 4: incredible fluky loss week one, And I do put the 1233 01:00:38,360 --> 01:00:41,000 Speaker 4: blame obviously on Caleb for these first two weeks in 1234 01:00:41,000 --> 01:00:43,640 Speaker 4: some aspects, but it's hard to blame them really for 1235 01:00:43,680 --> 01:00:46,280 Speaker 4: that Lions game. But they just they ran into a buzzsaw, 1236 01:00:46,400 --> 01:00:49,640 Speaker 4: like it just felt like every everything was taken out 1237 01:00:49,640 --> 01:00:52,840 Speaker 4: on them from Detroit on defensive side and the offensive side. 1238 01:00:52,960 --> 01:00:58,320 Speaker 4: And Caleb is my only true hesitation here where it's 1239 01:00:58,360 --> 01:00:59,920 Speaker 4: like if you if Sunday morning, You're just like, I 1240 01:01:00,160 --> 01:01:01,280 Speaker 4: can't trust Caleb. 1241 01:01:01,320 --> 01:01:02,000 Speaker 3: I don't believe in them. 1242 01:01:02,080 --> 01:01:05,200 Speaker 4: Yet I can see where you're coming from, just because 1243 01:01:05,240 --> 01:01:09,480 Speaker 4: I've watched both games twice and both times it's like 1244 01:01:10,200 --> 01:01:13,680 Speaker 4: you see the raw talent, but you see all the 1245 01:01:13,720 --> 01:01:15,400 Speaker 4: stupid shit. He needs to just grow out of the 1246 01:01:15,400 --> 01:01:17,640 Speaker 4: holding on to the ball for too long, not making 1247 01:01:17,680 --> 01:01:20,280 Speaker 4: the read and just making the throw and trying to 1248 01:01:20,320 --> 01:01:22,480 Speaker 4: look for the other reads where it's like you don't 1249 01:01:22,520 --> 01:01:26,080 Speaker 4: have five six seconds back to to run around. So 1250 01:01:27,280 --> 01:01:30,520 Speaker 4: for Kayla's weaknesses, Dallas to me can't exploit it. They 1251 01:01:30,520 --> 01:01:33,560 Speaker 4: don't have guys on that front that are really terrifying 1252 01:01:33,560 --> 01:01:38,160 Speaker 4: in the past RUS aspects. So organizationally, I feel like 1253 01:01:38,200 --> 01:01:40,360 Speaker 4: CHAT should hope they go oh for three because maybe 1254 01:01:40,400 --> 01:01:42,040 Speaker 4: they fire the general manager. 1255 01:01:42,040 --> 01:01:44,320 Speaker 3: They just gave an extension to food. Didn't deserve it 1256 01:01:44,360 --> 01:01:45,160 Speaker 3: in any way, but. 1257 01:01:46,760 --> 01:01:50,880 Speaker 4: Just an incredible unique spot on the Bears team that 1258 01:01:51,040 --> 01:01:51,840 Speaker 4: Chad talked about it. 1259 01:01:51,840 --> 01:01:53,400 Speaker 3: It's like the over two stuff. 1260 01:01:53,440 --> 01:01:56,240 Speaker 4: All that is a big deal, but it's also just 1261 01:01:56,360 --> 01:01:59,720 Speaker 4: pub perception, right this number should be two and a 1262 01:01:59,760 --> 01:02:01,080 Speaker 4: half three Bears. 1263 01:02:01,120 --> 01:02:03,720 Speaker 3: Honestly, like I haven't modeled at two and a half. 1264 01:02:03,960 --> 01:02:07,720 Speaker 4: Personally, I think it should be three. It's one live 1265 01:02:07,800 --> 01:02:09,600 Speaker 4: right now at hard Rock here in Jersey, so it's 1266 01:02:09,600 --> 01:02:10,080 Speaker 4: come down. 1267 01:02:10,280 --> 01:02:12,360 Speaker 3: It's minus one right now and the Bear So. 1268 01:02:13,640 --> 01:02:16,120 Speaker 4: The public and the professionals might be lining up on 1269 01:02:16,160 --> 01:02:18,440 Speaker 4: the Cowboys, and I honestly kind of love it. It's like, 1270 01:02:18,600 --> 01:02:20,600 Speaker 4: I can't believe they're missing this one on this Bears 1271 01:02:20,640 --> 01:02:23,040 Speaker 4: team that I think we'll be able to move the 1272 01:02:23,040 --> 01:02:26,760 Speaker 4: ball offensively against obviously this Dallas defense, but defensively. 1273 01:02:27,440 --> 01:02:29,040 Speaker 3: I know you guys just lost your all pro. 1274 01:02:28,920 --> 01:02:31,560 Speaker 4: Corner, but you'd like to think there's a way they 1275 01:02:31,600 --> 01:02:33,440 Speaker 4: can scheme up. They can take away the passing game 1276 01:02:33,480 --> 01:02:35,720 Speaker 4: and try to make this Cowboys team just run the 1277 01:02:35,720 --> 01:02:38,160 Speaker 4: ball because we've seen it now, that's that's the only 1278 01:02:38,160 --> 01:02:41,760 Speaker 4: way to really shut down that offense. In Yeah, it's 1279 01:02:42,840 --> 01:02:45,880 Speaker 4: we've seen this. You talked about you have the oh 1280 01:02:45,960 --> 01:02:48,800 Speaker 4: for two teams zero to two against the spread. The 1281 01:02:48,840 --> 01:02:52,400 Speaker 4: reason that sixty percent exists is just because football is 1282 01:02:52,440 --> 01:02:56,480 Speaker 4: such an incredibly desperate sport, and this, to me, is 1283 01:02:56,480 --> 01:02:58,680 Speaker 4: going to be such a hungry, desperate spot of any 1284 01:02:58,680 --> 01:02:59,400 Speaker 4: team I could think of. 1285 01:02:59,480 --> 01:03:03,200 Speaker 3: I think are number one, where if. 1286 01:03:03,040 --> 01:03:05,600 Speaker 4: They're over three, then they know their season is officially 1287 01:03:05,600 --> 01:03:08,000 Speaker 4: over and it's all come crashing down on them. 1288 01:03:08,040 --> 01:03:11,120 Speaker 3: So I love the Bears at this number. 1289 01:03:11,840 --> 01:03:14,080 Speaker 4: I love the fact that I'm checking the charts right now, 1290 01:03:14,120 --> 01:03:15,960 Speaker 4: and that's what I love to this week. I'll be 1291 01:03:16,000 --> 01:03:19,120 Speaker 4: in the books talking different people. I keep a tally 1292 01:03:19,160 --> 01:03:21,480 Speaker 4: of these certain games. I can't imagine how many people 1293 01:03:21,480 --> 01:03:22,760 Speaker 4: are going to say they they're on the Bears this 1294 01:03:22,800 --> 01:03:26,160 Speaker 4: week with us. So it's just another great spot, gross 1295 01:03:26,160 --> 01:03:27,880 Speaker 4: spot that our fans are gonna hate. 1296 01:03:27,920 --> 01:03:29,760 Speaker 3: But you gotta bet got to tick the Bears here. 1297 01:03:30,200 --> 01:03:34,160 Speaker 1: You're not wrong about the Bears and the GM Ryan Pols. 1298 01:03:34,200 --> 01:03:37,680 Speaker 1: I feel like he got an extension because he won 1299 01:03:37,720 --> 01:03:41,040 Speaker 1: the press release. You know what I mean, Like anytime 1300 01:03:41,120 --> 01:03:45,800 Speaker 1: there's like a move within corporate management, a press release 1301 01:03:45,840 --> 01:03:48,720 Speaker 1: goes out or a memo goes out. And we also 1302 01:03:48,840 --> 01:03:50,760 Speaker 1: used to do this idiospan like who won the memo? 1303 01:03:51,080 --> 01:03:54,440 Speaker 1: Who like looks like they really got a lot of 1304 01:03:54,480 --> 01:03:57,120 Speaker 1: good stuff and are in a new position of power. 1305 01:03:58,040 --> 01:04:01,120 Speaker 1: He won the memo. The last two years, getting Caleb, 1306 01:04:01,680 --> 01:04:05,959 Speaker 1: getting Ben Johnson, the Bears are so mismanaged, and they're 1307 01:04:06,000 --> 01:04:09,240 Speaker 1: so incompetent, and the ownership group is so bad, which 1308 01:04:09,520 --> 01:04:12,040 Speaker 1: now everybody is understanding because there's been so much reporting 1309 01:04:12,040 --> 01:04:16,160 Speaker 1: out there, Like they gave that extension because they finally 1310 01:04:16,200 --> 01:04:20,840 Speaker 1: had someone within management getting good publicity who looked like 1311 01:04:20,880 --> 01:04:23,720 Speaker 1: he was doing the right things, and it turns out 1312 01:04:23,720 --> 01:04:24,960 Speaker 1: it could be all the wrong things. 1313 01:04:25,440 --> 01:04:26,439 Speaker 2: We don't know this yet. 1314 01:04:26,600 --> 01:04:30,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, certainly he didn't deserve He did not deserve yet 1315 01:04:30,840 --> 01:04:34,560 Speaker 1: the extension. We should have seen what actually happened with 1316 01:04:34,600 --> 01:04:37,480 Speaker 1: some of these assets that he's gone out and bought. 1317 01:04:38,080 --> 01:04:39,600 Speaker 3: And I think you nail the part of. 1318 01:04:41,280 --> 01:04:44,240 Speaker 4: He got that extension because he got incredibly lucky that 1319 01:04:44,400 --> 01:04:48,200 Speaker 4: Carolina took Bryce Young and that CJ Strout and totally 1320 01:04:48,280 --> 01:04:50,280 Speaker 4: knew their picks that they've given back to him, right 1321 01:04:50,280 --> 01:04:52,800 Speaker 4: if they taken CJ. I could see even if it 1322 01:04:52,840 --> 01:04:55,000 Speaker 4: wasn't that big of a difference people think because how 1323 01:04:55,040 --> 01:04:58,440 Speaker 4: bad the Panthers ran as an organization, they wasn't the 1324 01:04:58,440 --> 01:05:00,040 Speaker 4: game of the number one pick. I don't think he 1325 01:05:00,080 --> 01:05:02,160 Speaker 4: would have been a number one pick, Caroline want to 1326 01:05:02,160 --> 01:05:04,040 Speaker 4: give that out. I think they would have finished Polly 1327 01:05:04,440 --> 01:05:07,720 Speaker 4: five or six, whatever would have been. But just this 1328 01:05:07,840 --> 01:05:12,000 Speaker 4: past year, I couldn't stomach the fact that you passed 1329 01:05:12,000 --> 01:05:14,000 Speaker 4: on Warren the tight end and took that guy Courtland 1330 01:05:14,000 --> 01:05:14,880 Speaker 4: and Lowland. 1331 01:05:17,000 --> 01:05:21,400 Speaker 2: Coaston. Was it loveless? Lovelace Loveland? 1332 01:05:21,640 --> 01:05:25,080 Speaker 1: Don't. Yeah, here's the point, dude, you just it's like 1333 01:05:25,120 --> 01:05:29,680 Speaker 1: you just dipped into the Chicago Bears French chat because 1334 01:05:29,840 --> 01:05:33,400 Speaker 1: we're all like, where's the tight end that everyone had 1335 01:05:33,400 --> 01:05:38,640 Speaker 1: been saying all training camp is amazing? And meanwhile, Ty 1336 01:05:38,720 --> 01:05:42,800 Speaker 1: Warren is looking like the kind of all pro who 1337 01:05:42,880 --> 01:05:45,240 Speaker 1: just runs over people for the next ten years. 1338 01:05:45,600 --> 01:05:46,880 Speaker 3: He's a stunt. 1339 01:05:46,960 --> 01:05:50,400 Speaker 4: So I'm feeling Bears fans, but I know they don't 1340 01:05:50,400 --> 01:05:52,920 Speaker 4: want to hear it, but this is this is a 1341 01:05:52,920 --> 01:05:54,760 Speaker 4: great spot to back of your team. And bet on 1342 01:05:54,800 --> 01:05:57,320 Speaker 4: the Bears, so double misery if they lose. But I'm 1343 01:05:57,360 --> 01:05:59,000 Speaker 4: telling you, I love the Bears. 1344 01:05:58,680 --> 01:05:59,200 Speaker 3: In this spot. 1345 01:06:00,000 --> 01:06:00,400 Speaker 2: Loveland. 1346 01:06:00,440 --> 01:06:03,880 Speaker 1: By the way, I'm getting so upset, I'm losing focus. 1347 01:06:03,920 --> 01:06:09,920 Speaker 1: Look all right, you mentioned desperation. You mentioned a team 1348 01:06:10,520 --> 01:06:13,120 Speaker 1: that hasn't covered. I'm going to get to that in 1349 01:06:13,200 --> 01:06:16,560 Speaker 1: one second, but first let's talk about Arizona San Francisco. 1350 01:06:16,920 --> 01:06:19,640 Speaker 1: San Francisco is a short home favorite one and a half. 1351 01:06:20,000 --> 01:06:22,480 Speaker 1: I think I lead Niners here because of the coaching advantage, 1352 01:06:22,520 --> 01:06:26,360 Speaker 1: some pretty major injuries in the cards secondary I think 1353 01:06:26,400 --> 01:06:32,920 Speaker 1: that maybe they are being I think that mac Jones 1354 01:06:32,960 --> 01:06:38,160 Speaker 1: could potentially be undervalued here. Don't have strong opinions yet 1355 01:06:38,200 --> 01:06:41,440 Speaker 1: on this one, but don't hate the Niners at minus 1356 01:06:41,480 --> 01:06:41,760 Speaker 1: one and a. 1357 01:06:41,760 --> 01:06:44,880 Speaker 3: Half, yeah, no, read on it. I haven't bet it. 1358 01:06:46,200 --> 01:06:50,560 Speaker 4: You know, I honestly thought my model to have Arizona 1359 01:06:50,640 --> 01:06:52,960 Speaker 4: is the favorite here. It's right along with the books 1360 01:06:52,960 --> 01:06:54,919 Speaker 4: that I literally have the four an Arizona minus one. 1361 01:06:55,200 --> 01:06:58,720 Speaker 4: So no edge or really no value to my model 1362 01:06:58,800 --> 01:07:01,720 Speaker 4: on the numb and I feel like I'm like you, 1363 01:07:01,760 --> 01:07:03,160 Speaker 4: and I'm trying to break this one down and try 1364 01:07:03,200 --> 01:07:06,480 Speaker 4: to find an edge. It's a lot of it honestly 1365 01:07:06,480 --> 01:07:09,920 Speaker 4: points to me liking the Cardinals and then being a 1366 01:07:09,920 --> 01:07:13,240 Speaker 4: little undervalue just because they didn't cover last week, and 1367 01:07:13,400 --> 01:07:14,800 Speaker 4: if they maintained. 1368 01:07:14,320 --> 01:07:18,240 Speaker 3: That blowout, probably are the favorite in this spot. 1369 01:07:18,480 --> 01:07:21,880 Speaker 4: And I feel like this number is shaded towards this 1370 01:07:21,960 --> 01:07:24,240 Speaker 4: forty nine Ers team that yeah, mac Jones did step 1371 01:07:24,280 --> 01:07:25,320 Speaker 4: in Mick throws. 1372 01:07:25,000 --> 01:07:27,600 Speaker 3: But I don't know that Saints team. 1373 01:07:27,640 --> 01:07:29,680 Speaker 4: Man, they just there were so many different times where 1374 01:07:29,680 --> 01:07:31,520 Speaker 4: they just had bat penalties or just gave the way 1375 01:07:31,560 --> 01:07:34,520 Speaker 4: to this forty Niners team where Arizona surprisingly has been 1376 01:07:34,560 --> 01:07:37,280 Speaker 4: pretty well coached this year. But Chad said at the top, 1377 01:07:37,960 --> 01:07:41,200 Speaker 4: the secondary of this Cardinals team got ravaged by injuries 1378 01:07:41,280 --> 01:07:42,160 Speaker 4: at the end of that game. 1379 01:07:42,280 --> 01:07:44,520 Speaker 3: So another game I'm not going to rush into. 1380 01:07:46,720 --> 01:07:49,040 Speaker 4: Tempted again, tempted because you can get you can get 1381 01:07:49,120 --> 01:07:51,400 Speaker 4: Kyler right now plus one ZH five as a dog 1382 01:07:51,800 --> 01:07:54,280 Speaker 4: on the road. But I'll be patient, wait for the 1383 01:07:54,360 --> 01:07:56,720 Speaker 4: injury report and see what's what with this Arizona defense, 1384 01:07:56,800 --> 01:07:58,520 Speaker 4: because I think we're on different sides. 1385 01:07:58,800 --> 01:08:00,520 Speaker 3: I get your love for the forty nine. 1386 01:08:01,080 --> 01:08:03,280 Speaker 4: I think they won big on the mac jone that 1387 01:08:03,280 --> 01:08:06,560 Speaker 4: we've seen the backup quarterback the one week he comes 1388 01:08:06,600 --> 01:08:08,640 Speaker 4: in and wins the next week. You don't want to 1389 01:08:08,640 --> 01:08:09,960 Speaker 4: bet on the back of the win two weeks in 1390 01:08:09,960 --> 01:08:13,640 Speaker 4: a rowda. So it's an interesting spot where I can't believe. 1391 01:08:13,800 --> 01:08:16,599 Speaker 4: I think Arizona's gonna be three noh to start the season. 1392 01:08:16,640 --> 01:08:17,400 Speaker 3: But here we are. 1393 01:08:19,800 --> 01:08:24,679 Speaker 1: You mentioned desperation, you mentioned Hungary, you mentioned a team 1394 01:08:24,760 --> 01:08:27,719 Speaker 1: that can't be zero to three, you mentioned a team 1395 01:08:27,920 --> 01:08:32,000 Speaker 1: that needs a win. I'll add for its lungs, I'm 1396 01:08:32,040 --> 01:08:35,000 Speaker 1: giving you a team that has not covered the spread 1397 01:08:35,360 --> 01:08:39,400 Speaker 1: that the perception is way way down. I'm talking about 1398 01:08:39,400 --> 01:08:43,520 Speaker 1: the Kansas City Chiefs visiting the New York Football Giants. 1399 01:08:44,000 --> 01:08:47,000 Speaker 1: They are minus five and a half point favorus right 1400 01:08:47,000 --> 01:08:49,320 Speaker 1: now Sunday Night Football. 1401 01:08:50,280 --> 01:08:54,240 Speaker 2: Simon Hunter is the sharp? Is it square? 1402 01:08:54,600 --> 01:09:00,599 Speaker 1: Can the Chiefs be undervalued right now? As favorite? It's 1403 01:09:01,479 --> 01:09:03,479 Speaker 1: talk to me the. 1404 01:09:03,560 --> 01:09:05,519 Speaker 3: Five and a half got to listen on some days. 1405 01:09:05,600 --> 01:09:09,639 Speaker 4: That was sharp because we talked about how that number, 1406 01:09:10,000 --> 01:09:11,760 Speaker 4: to me just was not going to exist, and then 1407 01:09:11,760 --> 01:09:14,040 Speaker 4: I was going to get bet up. I'm looking at 1408 01:09:14,040 --> 01:09:16,880 Speaker 4: hard Rock right now in New Jersey chat it is six. 1409 01:09:17,560 --> 01:09:19,559 Speaker 3: So the number has moved to six. 1410 01:09:21,000 --> 01:09:24,240 Speaker 4: There's one public book or two public books out there 1411 01:09:24,320 --> 01:09:26,439 Speaker 4: still at five and a half. Hopefully by the time 1412 01:09:26,439 --> 01:09:28,080 Speaker 4: you hear this you can get it, because I think 1413 01:09:28,080 --> 01:09:29,400 Speaker 4: you're leaning towards the Chiefs. 1414 01:09:29,120 --> 01:09:34,120 Speaker 2: Here, Simon. Chad loves Love, Chad loves the Kansaity. 1415 01:09:33,800 --> 01:09:37,639 Speaker 1: Chiefs at five and a half, though I would still 1416 01:09:37,680 --> 01:09:41,360 Speaker 1: play it at six, like, because you know, at five 1417 01:09:41,400 --> 01:09:44,080 Speaker 1: and a half, I'm winning. At six. At six, I'm pushing. 1418 01:09:44,240 --> 01:09:47,720 Speaker 1: I think the Chiefs are primed to really pull off 1419 01:09:47,720 --> 01:09:52,200 Speaker 1: a mastermind trick here, So I like the Chiefs at 1420 01:09:52,200 --> 01:09:55,400 Speaker 1: five and a half or six. Chad Loves Love, Chad loves. 1421 01:09:55,160 --> 01:09:57,840 Speaker 4: The Chiefs, and you might get the five and a 1422 01:09:57,840 --> 01:10:00,200 Speaker 4: half again down the road if you're hearing this and 1423 01:10:00,400 --> 01:10:04,599 Speaker 4: your book doesn't have anymore, just because the professionals are 1424 01:10:04,600 --> 01:10:06,120 Speaker 4: going to keep coming on this Giants team. 1425 01:10:06,160 --> 01:10:06,760 Speaker 3: They love them. 1426 01:10:08,080 --> 01:10:12,559 Speaker 4: They're there, darling, And this is obviously a Chief spot 1427 01:10:12,600 --> 01:10:16,599 Speaker 4: we talked about winning and hopefully covering, But my god, 1428 01:10:16,920 --> 01:10:18,360 Speaker 4: this is six and a half, which a couple of 1429 01:10:18,360 --> 01:10:21,760 Speaker 4: books have hit on this Giant side. So this is 1430 01:10:22,040 --> 01:10:24,960 Speaker 4: a six and a half home dog in a Sunday 1431 01:10:25,040 --> 01:10:29,080 Speaker 4: night game that no one's going to betting the Giants. Everyone, 1432 01:10:29,280 --> 01:10:30,639 Speaker 4: all public is going to be on the chief because 1433 01:10:30,640 --> 01:10:32,479 Speaker 4: they're like me and Chad where it's like they're not 1434 01:10:32,520 --> 01:10:34,599 Speaker 4: going zero to three. This Chiefs team is not going 1435 01:10:34,600 --> 01:10:36,760 Speaker 4: on three like this is. We got a hard talk 1436 01:10:36,760 --> 01:10:38,760 Speaker 4: coming up about survivor and this might be one of them. 1437 01:10:38,800 --> 01:10:44,000 Speaker 4: But yeah, I'm with Chad like the five and a half, 1438 01:10:44,160 --> 01:10:46,680 Speaker 4: that's like we said something that's great value, like this 1439 01:10:46,760 --> 01:10:48,280 Speaker 4: should be six or six and a half. 1440 01:10:48,320 --> 01:10:50,120 Speaker 3: So I would take the Chiefs. 1441 01:10:50,120 --> 01:10:52,680 Speaker 4: I know they have all these injuries and all that, 1442 01:10:52,760 --> 01:10:57,559 Speaker 4: but it's really were really bet on just what we've 1443 01:10:57,600 --> 01:11:01,040 Speaker 4: seen with Andy against bad teams. Also Spags in this 1444 01:11:01,160 --> 01:11:05,040 Speaker 4: defense against this Giants offense that looked like world beaters 1445 01:11:05,040 --> 01:11:07,960 Speaker 4: against Dallas, but you saw that they're really not right. 1446 01:11:07,960 --> 01:11:10,800 Speaker 4: It's all Russ thrown fifty to fifty balls downfielding and 1447 01:11:10,960 --> 01:11:13,880 Speaker 4: they were hitting against Dallas like wide open hitting too. 1448 01:11:14,360 --> 01:11:16,160 Speaker 4: It's not going to be like that against the Spags defense. 1449 01:11:16,200 --> 01:11:18,720 Speaker 4: So I think we're in alignment here. But just be 1450 01:11:18,800 --> 01:11:22,360 Speaker 4: careful out there people if you're if you're only options 1451 01:11:22,360 --> 01:11:24,439 Speaker 4: of six and a half, I would not take the 1452 01:11:24,520 --> 01:11:27,240 Speaker 4: Chiefs minus six and a half. I just I've been 1453 01:11:27,280 --> 01:11:30,200 Speaker 4: burned so many times by my homes. Once he crosses 1454 01:11:30,240 --> 01:11:32,840 Speaker 4: that six numbers, So that to me that's going to 1455 01:11:33,160 --> 01:11:37,200 Speaker 4: I'll try to find more trends on it. But it's 1456 01:11:37,200 --> 01:11:39,400 Speaker 4: a key number to six, and I think here it 1457 01:11:39,520 --> 01:11:43,120 Speaker 4: matters because the books knew what they were doing. Like 1458 01:11:43,160 --> 01:11:44,880 Speaker 4: I said Sunday, I couldn't believe they hung the five 1459 01:11:44,920 --> 01:11:48,240 Speaker 4: and a half two books out there even going live. 1460 01:11:48,280 --> 01:11:49,960 Speaker 4: One of the books just moved to six. There's one 1461 01:11:49,960 --> 01:11:54,040 Speaker 4: book left at five and a half. It's it's just 1462 01:11:54,080 --> 01:11:56,240 Speaker 4: a good number. So I think we line up on 1463 01:11:56,240 --> 01:11:59,040 Speaker 4: the same side of the Chiefs side, but it's it's unfortunate. 1464 01:11:59,040 --> 01:12:00,679 Speaker 3: Probably gona be six and a half our contest. 1465 01:12:01,640 --> 01:12:04,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm still seeing five and a half and six, 1466 01:12:04,200 --> 01:12:07,680 Speaker 1: so I don't feel bad saying that it's five and 1467 01:12:07,720 --> 01:12:11,040 Speaker 1: a half. I'm taking the five and a half Chad 1468 01:12:11,080 --> 01:12:16,280 Speaker 1: Love's love. That's what I'm doing. I feel like I 1469 01:12:16,320 --> 01:12:20,760 Speaker 1: deserve it because it's available, because it's available in a 1470 01:12:20,800 --> 01:12:26,960 Speaker 1: lot of places. Yeah, last game Detroit at Baltimore, Baltimore's 1471 01:12:27,000 --> 01:12:29,000 Speaker 1: moved down from six to five and a half. Is 1472 01:12:29,040 --> 01:12:34,080 Speaker 1: the money on my football game? Simon, do you agree 1473 01:12:34,160 --> 01:12:38,600 Speaker 1: with the move? Is it sharp or square to be 1474 01:12:38,720 --> 01:12:41,679 Speaker 1: taking the Lions right now? Which is what the early 1475 01:12:41,720 --> 01:12:44,439 Speaker 1: move the professional betters have decided to do. 1476 01:12:46,120 --> 01:12:49,880 Speaker 4: It's obviously sharp side this line side, because I did 1477 01:12:49,960 --> 01:12:51,320 Speaker 4: think it was gonna go up, right. I think a 1478 01:12:51,360 --> 01:12:53,760 Speaker 4: couple of books opened at six. Yeah, like you just said, 1479 01:12:53,800 --> 01:12:55,000 Speaker 4: now it's down to four and a half. 1480 01:12:55,439 --> 01:12:59,479 Speaker 3: Wicked number. Wicked wicked number. Yeah. 1481 01:13:00,000 --> 01:13:04,320 Speaker 4: And I think this is really just because of this 1482 01:13:04,479 --> 01:13:08,439 Speaker 4: Ravens defense that you just said it that that Browns 1483 01:13:08,439 --> 01:13:09,840 Speaker 4: team was moving the ball. 1484 01:13:10,479 --> 01:13:14,080 Speaker 3: It was really on Joe Flackkoon. We talked last year. 1485 01:13:15,160 --> 01:13:18,160 Speaker 4: This Ravens team did struggle early the year defensively. It 1486 01:13:18,200 --> 01:13:20,240 Speaker 4: took or a little bit to get these guys right. 1487 01:13:20,320 --> 01:13:22,040 Speaker 4: And I think he's like my age. I think he's 1488 01:13:22,040 --> 01:13:24,880 Speaker 4: thirty four to thirty five their DC, their coordinator, which 1489 01:13:25,160 --> 01:13:27,599 Speaker 4: doesn't matter. Age doesn't matter, but it still shows he's 1490 01:13:27,600 --> 01:13:30,280 Speaker 4: a little green behind the ears. And it's like you've 1491 01:13:30,320 --> 01:13:32,200 Speaker 4: seen it a little bit here two years in a row, 1492 01:13:32,280 --> 01:13:35,240 Speaker 4: that the defense just comes out slow and they don't 1493 01:13:35,240 --> 01:13:41,280 Speaker 4: look great. And this Detroit team showed that they. 1494 01:13:41,120 --> 01:13:42,559 Speaker 3: Were still the same old offense. 1495 01:13:42,720 --> 01:13:44,800 Speaker 4: I suppose Chad, so I don't know what to do 1496 01:13:44,840 --> 01:13:46,680 Speaker 4: because the move the line moves so much, right, I 1497 01:13:46,680 --> 01:13:49,679 Speaker 4: did like the lines, I mean hard rock right now, 1498 01:13:50,000 --> 01:13:51,680 Speaker 4: you can still get the five and a half here 1499 01:13:51,680 --> 01:13:55,680 Speaker 4: in Jersey, so it's like, I'll grab that number. But 1500 01:13:56,160 --> 01:14:00,000 Speaker 4: I'm shocked, shocked it's moved. Oh it's five now Jersey Detroit. 1501 01:14:00,120 --> 01:14:02,160 Speaker 4: I'm shocked to move so quickly to four and a half. 1502 01:14:02,600 --> 01:14:05,920 Speaker 4: So their expecting money is coming to the lines and 1503 01:14:05,920 --> 01:14:08,479 Speaker 4: I'm looking the splits right now and it's all Ravens money. 1504 01:14:08,520 --> 01:14:12,479 Speaker 4: So you know, that's that's pretty telling that the books 1505 01:14:12,479 --> 01:14:14,679 Speaker 4: have moved even though so I'm taking tons of tickets 1506 01:14:14,720 --> 01:14:17,320 Speaker 4: and tons of bets on this Raven side. They've moved it, 1507 01:14:17,479 --> 01:14:19,639 Speaker 4: you know, a full point and a half now, down 1508 01:14:19,680 --> 01:14:23,320 Speaker 4: from six to four and a half. So we might 1509 01:14:23,400 --> 01:14:24,960 Speaker 4: end up the lines here like if this, if this 1510 01:14:25,040 --> 01:14:29,040 Speaker 4: keeps the moving, yeah, I'm gonna pretty entice because four 1511 01:14:29,040 --> 01:14:30,080 Speaker 4: and a half I'm taking the lions. 1512 01:14:30,120 --> 01:14:30,880 Speaker 3: I'll still grab it. 1513 01:14:30,960 --> 01:14:34,360 Speaker 4: But you know, at what point does this flip to 1514 01:14:34,400 --> 01:14:36,400 Speaker 4: a Raven's a Raven's number, because we. 1515 01:14:36,360 --> 01:14:37,800 Speaker 3: Know what laws. 1516 01:14:38,760 --> 01:14:40,960 Speaker 1: If you're taking the four and a half, if you're 1517 01:14:40,960 --> 01:14:42,519 Speaker 1: taking the four and a half, then you're gonna take 1518 01:14:42,520 --> 01:14:44,160 Speaker 1: the five, and you're gonna take the five and a half, 1519 01:14:44,240 --> 01:14:45,680 Speaker 1: a lot of which is still available. 1520 01:14:46,680 --> 01:14:49,160 Speaker 2: Here's what's interesting about the Ravens. So I gave the. 1521 01:14:50,600 --> 01:14:52,759 Speaker 1: At the beginning of the show. We'll take this full circle. 1522 01:14:53,240 --> 01:14:56,680 Speaker 1: I gave all the stats for the Browns in that 1523 01:14:56,760 --> 01:14:59,639 Speaker 1: Ravens game. Yeah, the flip side of that is that 1524 01:15:00,400 --> 01:15:04,120 Speaker 1: this game was ten to three at halftime. The Ravens 1525 01:15:04,360 --> 01:15:07,639 Speaker 1: scored on a putt return that led to a short 1526 01:15:07,640 --> 01:15:11,040 Speaker 1: field in a field goal. They blocked a punt that 1527 01:15:11,120 --> 01:15:14,200 Speaker 1: led to a short field and a touchdown. Interception led 1528 01:15:14,240 --> 01:15:17,360 Speaker 1: to a short field and a touchdown. Fumble return for 1529 01:15:17,439 --> 01:15:21,320 Speaker 1: a touchdown. Brown's going on fourth down end of the game, 1530 01:15:21,640 --> 01:15:25,080 Speaker 1: don't make it short field and a touchdown for Baltimore. 1531 01:15:25,520 --> 01:15:29,600 Speaker 1: That's thirty one points off of Brown's in competence in 1532 01:15:29,640 --> 01:15:32,479 Speaker 1: a game that they won forty one to seventeen. So 1533 01:15:33,200 --> 01:15:36,760 Speaker 1: this defense has been middle of the road when you 1534 01:15:36,800 --> 01:15:40,040 Speaker 1: look at the Lions, the Packers may be a great defense. 1535 01:15:40,240 --> 01:15:42,439 Speaker 1: We don't know yet, but we know that the Bears 1536 01:15:42,439 --> 01:15:45,880 Speaker 1: are amongst the league's worst defense. So you're asking yourself, 1537 01:15:45,920 --> 01:15:50,479 Speaker 1: where are the Lions right now? I would expect a 1538 01:15:50,520 --> 01:15:54,000 Speaker 1: competitive matchup. I feel like five and a half is 1539 01:15:54,080 --> 01:15:57,280 Speaker 1: still too high for this game. This was going to 1540 01:15:57,280 --> 01:16:00,360 Speaker 1: be my other Chad Loves Love and I decided I 1541 01:16:00,400 --> 01:16:02,440 Speaker 1: need to go with the more desperate team. 1542 01:16:03,720 --> 01:16:05,240 Speaker 4: Yeah, no, I'm glad we're both lined up in the 1543 01:16:05,280 --> 01:16:08,400 Speaker 4: Lions because I could see the Ravens angle inside of it. 1544 01:16:08,960 --> 01:16:12,000 Speaker 4: But I do agree if you dive more into that game, 1545 01:16:12,400 --> 01:16:13,880 Speaker 4: and I mean, I can't leave you went back and 1546 01:16:13,880 --> 01:16:14,160 Speaker 4: watch it. 1547 01:16:14,160 --> 01:16:15,720 Speaker 3: I didn't even need to go back and watch it, but. 1548 01:16:15,960 --> 01:16:17,600 Speaker 4: Because I just I mean, it was like, that's a 1549 01:16:17,600 --> 01:16:21,160 Speaker 4: painful watch watching that Browns second half against that Ravens team, 1550 01:16:21,240 --> 01:16:22,200 Speaker 4: especially you had money on them. 1551 01:16:22,240 --> 01:16:27,040 Speaker 3: But yeah, I think we're both in alignment of the offense. 1552 01:16:27,680 --> 01:16:31,719 Speaker 4: As great as it looked against the Bills, they obviously 1553 01:16:31,760 --> 01:16:33,960 Speaker 4: couldn't run the ball at all against Cleveland. 1554 01:16:34,040 --> 01:16:35,880 Speaker 3: They just moved to the pass. And again that's why 1555 01:16:35,920 --> 01:16:37,559 Speaker 3: the Moore is the early MVP right now. He just 1556 01:16:37,560 --> 01:16:38,040 Speaker 3: does it all. 1557 01:16:38,080 --> 01:16:41,360 Speaker 4: But yeah, that's really about the number, and I think 1558 01:16:41,360 --> 01:16:44,599 Speaker 4: we're both in agreement that the lines, if they're getting rolled, 1559 01:16:45,000 --> 01:16:46,360 Speaker 4: I still think they could find a way to the 1560 01:16:46,360 --> 01:16:48,800 Speaker 4: back door, keep it close. And I believe the last 1561 01:16:48,840 --> 01:16:51,200 Speaker 4: time they played the Ravens might have beat them by 1562 01:16:51,240 --> 01:16:53,840 Speaker 4: like thirty something crazy at home in this exact spot. 1563 01:16:53,920 --> 01:16:56,360 Speaker 3: So I'll dive more too. The numbers of trends in 1564 01:16:56,400 --> 01:16:56,720 Speaker 3: this one. 1565 01:16:56,760 --> 01:16:58,080 Speaker 4: But as we city right now, I think we're in 1566 01:16:58,120 --> 01:17:00,920 Speaker 4: alignment that we both like the early line value, especially 1567 01:17:00,960 --> 01:17:03,040 Speaker 4: five and a half before it moves down to four 1568 01:17:03,040 --> 01:17:04,559 Speaker 4: and half, which is we both think that's the way 1569 01:17:04,600 --> 01:17:05,720 Speaker 4: it's going, all right. 1570 01:17:05,760 --> 01:17:07,640 Speaker 1: So let's recap a little bit because this we'll talk 1571 01:17:07,680 --> 01:17:10,720 Speaker 1: about on Thursday. We're definitely keeping a close eye on 1572 01:17:10,760 --> 01:17:15,439 Speaker 1: Cleveland at Green Green Bay at Cleveland, Cleveland's plus eight 1573 01:17:15,439 --> 01:17:18,080 Speaker 1: and a half right now. We're keeping an eye on 1574 01:17:18,120 --> 01:17:23,080 Speaker 1: the Steelers and the Patriots, definitely keeping a close eye 1575 01:17:23,080 --> 01:17:27,679 Speaker 1: on the Eagles, keeping a close eye on the Jets, 1576 01:17:28,479 --> 01:17:32,160 Speaker 1: the Colts. Are we keeping an eye on the Saints 1577 01:17:32,160 --> 01:17:35,599 Speaker 1: that we feel like the Saints will Gota. We're keeping 1578 01:17:35,640 --> 01:17:38,400 Speaker 1: an eye on the Saints. Simon says is Denver plus 1579 01:17:38,400 --> 01:17:41,759 Speaker 1: two and a half. Simon also loves the Bears minus 1580 01:17:41,800 --> 01:17:46,040 Speaker 1: one and a half. Kansas City it's at five and 1581 01:17:46,080 --> 01:17:50,120 Speaker 1: a half or six. That's Chad Love's love. And we're 1582 01:17:50,160 --> 01:17:53,000 Speaker 1: keeping an eye on Detroit plus five and a half. 1583 01:17:53,040 --> 01:17:55,920 Speaker 1: I covered it all on Thursday, we'll we'll narrow it down, 1584 01:17:56,040 --> 01:18:00,200 Speaker 1: we'll recap where we think we're lining for our final five. 1585 01:18:00,240 --> 01:18:03,559 Speaker 1: You for Sunday, We'll get into Survivor. We'll get into 1586 01:18:03,600 --> 01:18:06,559 Speaker 1: brass Balls, we will get into Rock and a Hard Place, 1587 01:18:06,600 --> 01:18:07,400 Speaker 1: Hard Rock, Better. 1588 01:18:07,200 --> 01:18:07,599 Speaker 2: Of the Week. 1589 01:18:07,880 --> 01:18:10,200 Speaker 1: We will get into our moneyline, Favorite and Rob in 1590 01:18:10,240 --> 01:18:12,759 Speaker 1: our money line, underog Round, Robin Sharp versus Square. 1591 01:18:12,560 --> 01:18:13,320 Speaker 2: All that good stuff. 1592 01:18:14,040 --> 01:18:17,599 Speaker 1: This has been Sharper Square, part of the Volume podcast Network. 1593 01:18:17,600 --> 01:18:19,080 Speaker 1: We will be back on Thursday. 1594 01:18:20,560 --> 01:18:20,680 Speaker 3: Oo. 1595 01:18:21,439 --> 01:18:24,000 Speaker 1: Man, it's going to be exciting Thursday. Watch or we're 1596 01:18:24,040 --> 01:18:27,200 Speaker 1: listening on YouTube at Sharper Square. Like this video, subscribe 1597 01:18:27,439 --> 01:18:30,400 Speaker 1: to the channel. Also download us with Spotify, Apple Pose, 1598 01:18:30,439 --> 01:18:33,320 Speaker 1: wherever you get your pause rate review subscribe this five stars. 1599 01:18:33,160 --> 01:18:34,400 Speaker 2: Say whatever you want listen. 1600 01:18:34,920 --> 01:18:36,400 Speaker 1: I know I'd be saying this, but we want to 1601 01:18:36,439 --> 01:18:40,799 Speaker 1: get a huge, huge, huge amount of five star reviews 1602 01:18:41,080 --> 01:18:44,479 Speaker 1: and comments before we start reading. The comments back best 1603 01:18:44,520 --> 01:18:46,839 Speaker 1: and funniest in the spirit of the show. 1604 01:18:47,280 --> 01:18:51,639 Speaker 2: You know what to say. Uh, swag will come your way. 1605 01:18:52,720 --> 01:18:55,880 Speaker 2: I just did that right here. Until next time, I 1606 01:18:55,960 --> 01:18:56,360 Speaker 2: love you,