1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:09,440 --> 00:00:12,440 Speaker 2: This is the Blueberg DBAK podcast. Good morning, It's Wednesday, 3 00:00:12,480 --> 00:00:15,600 Speaker 2: the seventh of January. I'm Caroline Hepkea in London and 4 00:00:15,680 --> 00:00:18,840 Speaker 2: I'm Stephen Caroline Brussels. Coming up today, The White House 5 00:00:18,840 --> 00:00:22,360 Speaker 2: says Donald Trump isn't ruling out using military force to 6 00:00:22,440 --> 00:00:27,480 Speaker 2: acquire Greenland. The US President claims Venezuela will send America 7 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:29,880 Speaker 2: up to fifty million barrels of oil. 8 00:00:30,040 --> 00:00:33,559 Speaker 3: Plus trying to prevent last orders. British pubs push for 9 00:00:33,720 --> 00:00:37,440 Speaker 3: tax discounts as the sector warns many risk going out 10 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:38,120 Speaker 3: of business. 11 00:00:38,560 --> 00:00:40,599 Speaker 4: Let's start with a round up of our top stories. 12 00:00:40,760 --> 00:00:43,559 Speaker 3: The White House says President Trump will not rule out 13 00:00:43,600 --> 00:00:47,519 Speaker 3: the use of military force to acquire Greenland. In a statement, 14 00:00:47,600 --> 00:00:50,800 Speaker 3: Press Secretary Caroline Levitt said a number of possibilities are 15 00:00:50,800 --> 00:00:54,600 Speaker 3: being discussed and that quote utilizing the US military is 16 00:00:54,720 --> 00:00:58,440 Speaker 3: always an option at the Commander in Chief's disposal. The 17 00:00:58,480 --> 00:01:01,560 Speaker 3: comments are sure to escalate tens with Denmark and other 18 00:01:01,600 --> 00:01:05,479 Speaker 3: European countries. European leaders issued their own statement yesterday, warning 19 00:01:05,520 --> 00:01:08,959 Speaker 3: that Trump needs to respect the territorial integrity of Greenland 20 00:01:09,240 --> 00:01:13,199 Speaker 3: and work collectively on Arctic security. Greenland's Prime Minister Jans 21 00:01:13,240 --> 00:01:16,080 Speaker 3: Frederick Nielsen says there's no basis for a takeover. 22 00:01:16,720 --> 00:01:19,880 Speaker 5: Well, even we are a country that is democratic and 23 00:01:19,920 --> 00:01:22,640 Speaker 5: has been democratic for many, many years, and if we 24 00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:25,039 Speaker 5: look at the whole picture, I can understand that some 25 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:28,120 Speaker 5: people are concerned. The situation is not that the United 26 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:30,800 Speaker 5: States can simply conquer Greenland. 27 00:01:31,160 --> 00:01:34,200 Speaker 3: Yes, Frederick Nielsen, speaking there via translator. As the Wall 28 00:01:34,200 --> 00:01:36,840 Speaker 3: Street Journal report of the US Secretary of State Marco 29 00:01:36,959 --> 00:01:40,680 Speaker 3: Rubio downplayed military action in a briefing with American lawmakers, 30 00:01:40,959 --> 00:01:43,640 Speaker 3: instead signaling that the goal was to buy the island 31 00:01:43,640 --> 00:01:44,440 Speaker 3: from Denmark. 32 00:01:45,680 --> 00:01:49,320 Speaker 2: Venezuela will send as much as fifty million barrels of 33 00:01:49,360 --> 00:01:53,000 Speaker 2: oil to the United States. According to President Trump, I 34 00:01:53,120 --> 00:01:55,720 Speaker 2: can't market prices that would be worth roughly two point 35 00:01:55,760 --> 00:01:59,000 Speaker 2: eight billion dollars. Writing on social media, Trump said he 36 00:01:59,040 --> 00:02:02,040 Speaker 2: would control the proceeds from the sale of the crude 37 00:02:02,040 --> 00:02:04,680 Speaker 2: oil to ensure it is used to benefit the people 38 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:08,320 Speaker 2: of Venezuela and the US. The announcement comes as the 39 00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:12,239 Speaker 2: White House seeks to extend its economic influence in Venezuela 40 00:02:12,280 --> 00:02:16,720 Speaker 2: following the capture of leader Nicholas Maduro. US House Speaker 41 00:02:16,720 --> 00:02:20,360 Speaker 2: Mike Johnson spoke to reporters following a meeting with President Trump. 42 00:02:20,919 --> 00:02:23,880 Speaker 6: This is not a regime change. This is a demand 43 00:02:23,880 --> 00:02:27,480 Speaker 6: for change of behavior by a regime. The interim government 44 00:02:28,240 --> 00:02:31,320 Speaker 6: is stood up now and we are hopeful that they 45 00:02:31,320 --> 00:02:34,720 Speaker 6: will be able to correct their action. They cannot participate 46 00:02:34,720 --> 00:02:35,600 Speaker 6: with Narco terrorist. 47 00:02:36,800 --> 00:02:40,440 Speaker 2: US House Speaker Mike Johnson, speaking there as, ABC reports 48 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:44,440 Speaker 2: that the US has told Venezuela's interim leader DLCI Rodriguez 49 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:48,639 Speaker 2: to exclusively partner with them on oil production and favor 50 00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:51,919 Speaker 2: America when selling heavy crude. 51 00:02:52,520 --> 00:02:55,080 Speaker 3: Franz and the UK have pledged to send troops to 52 00:02:55,240 --> 00:02:57,640 Speaker 3: Ukraine and the event of a peace deal with Russia. 53 00:02:58,000 --> 00:03:00,600 Speaker 3: The commitment to a so called Reassurance Horse came at 54 00:03:00,600 --> 00:03:03,520 Speaker 3: a meeting in Paris yesterday with the Coalition of the Willing, 55 00:03:03,760 --> 00:03:06,760 Speaker 3: which included US officials as well as European, Canadian and 56 00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:10,080 Speaker 3: other leaders. UK Prime Minister Kiir Starmer says the agreement 57 00:03:10,120 --> 00:03:11,720 Speaker 3: marks a crucial breakthrough. 58 00:03:12,440 --> 00:03:16,440 Speaker 7: This is a vital part of our ironcast commitment to 59 00:03:16,520 --> 00:03:20,440 Speaker 7: stand with Ukraine for the long term. It paved the 60 00:03:20,440 --> 00:03:25,000 Speaker 7: way for the legal framework under which British, French and 61 00:03:25,120 --> 00:03:28,320 Speaker 7: partner forces could operate on Ukrainian soil. 62 00:03:29,680 --> 00:03:32,640 Speaker 3: British Prime Minister kre Starmer, speaking in Paris after talks 63 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:35,840 Speaker 3: which saw the Trump administration move towards an agreement on 64 00:03:35,920 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 3: security guarantees, usnvoy Steve Whitcoff said leaders had largely finished 65 00:03:40,520 --> 00:03:44,520 Speaker 3: security protocols during the gathering and vowed US backed initiatives 66 00:03:44,560 --> 00:03:48,960 Speaker 3: would defend Ukraine from future attacks. According to European officials, 67 00:03:49,000 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 3: it's now up to Russia to decide when it's ready 68 00:03:51,160 --> 00:03:51,920 Speaker 3: to negotiate. 69 00:03:53,160 --> 00:03:56,560 Speaker 2: Tensions between China and Japan continue to escalate over the 70 00:03:56,600 --> 00:04:00,839 Speaker 2: issue of Taiwan. On Tuesday, China's Ministry of Commerce said 71 00:04:00,880 --> 00:04:04,120 Speaker 2: that all items with military as well as commercial uses 72 00:04:04,520 --> 00:04:07,280 Speaker 2: were banned from being sent to Japan if they could 73 00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:11,680 Speaker 2: enhance the country's military capabilities. Officials in Tokyo have now 74 00:04:11,720 --> 00:04:16,200 Speaker 2: issued a formal protest against China's trading curbs, which threatened 75 00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:20,320 Speaker 2: more than forty percent of Chinese exports to Japan, estimated 76 00:04:20,360 --> 00:04:24,080 Speaker 2: to be worth over sixty eight billion dollars. The dispute 77 00:04:24,160 --> 00:04:28,280 Speaker 2: originally springs from remarks by Japan's Prime Minister Sanai Techichi 78 00:04:28,320 --> 00:04:31,360 Speaker 2: about Taiwan in early November twenty twenty five. 79 00:04:32,000 --> 00:04:34,640 Speaker 3: One Hundreds of flights have been canceled in Europe as 80 00:04:34,720 --> 00:04:38,360 Speaker 3: heavy snowfall disrupts travel and power networks. Airports in Paris 81 00:04:38,400 --> 00:04:41,760 Speaker 3: and Amsterdam are running reduced services today so staff can 82 00:04:41,800 --> 00:04:45,279 Speaker 3: clear snow from runways. Demand for power has also soared 83 00:04:45,320 --> 00:04:48,239 Speaker 3: as temperatures fell as low as minus twenty two degrees 84 00:04:48,320 --> 00:04:52,000 Speaker 3: celsius in parts of France, its most severe cold snap 85 00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:54,760 Speaker 3: since twenty twelve. At least five people are reported to 86 00:04:54,839 --> 00:04:57,560 Speaker 3: have died in weather related incidents in the country. The 87 00:04:57,600 --> 00:05:00,640 Speaker 3: cold weather is forecast to continue across much of western 88 00:05:00,680 --> 00:05:01,560 Speaker 3: Europe this week. 89 00:05:02,760 --> 00:05:06,240 Speaker 2: UK pubs are pushing for last minute tax discounts as 90 00:05:06,279 --> 00:05:09,680 Speaker 2: they warn of an existential threat to their industry. Bloomberg 91 00:05:09,680 --> 00:05:12,599 Speaker 2: has learned that the UK Treasury held talks with the 92 00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:17,320 Speaker 2: British Beer and Pub Association after Landlord started banning labour 93 00:05:17,480 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 2: MPs from their businesses. 94 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:20,599 Speaker 4: Bloomberg's James Worcock has. 95 00:05:20,480 --> 00:05:25,400 Speaker 8: More pints are political in Britain. Labor MPs like Tom 96 00:05:25,480 --> 00:05:28,719 Speaker 8: Hayes have been dismayed to find out they have recently 97 00:05:28,760 --> 00:05:31,960 Speaker 8: been banned from many local pubs. My job has just 98 00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:35,000 Speaker 8: got a million times harder because I can't go and 99 00:05:35,040 --> 00:05:37,520 Speaker 8: bang the drum for businesses with the Chancellor if I 100 00:05:37,560 --> 00:05:40,360 Speaker 8: can't speak with business owners because they're banning me from 101 00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:43,640 Speaker 8: doing so. The venues are running a grassroots campaign as 102 00:05:43,640 --> 00:05:46,440 Speaker 8: they face the end of pandemic here as subsidies and 103 00:05:46,560 --> 00:05:50,560 Speaker 8: higher tax bills. Lobby Group UK Hospitality says the typical 104 00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:53,080 Speaker 8: pub will see an increased in business rates of seventy 105 00:05:53,160 --> 00:05:56,239 Speaker 8: six percent over the next two years. The government says 106 00:05:56,279 --> 00:05:59,960 Speaker 8: a transition payment will help support companies, but the ongoing 107 00:06:00,240 --> 00:06:04,080 Speaker 8: fight over higher taxes is yet another political hangover for 108 00:06:04,120 --> 00:06:08,200 Speaker 8: the government in London. James Wilcock, Bloomberg Radio and. 109 00:06:08,120 --> 00:06:09,840 Speaker 4: Those are our top stories this morning. 110 00:06:09,960 --> 00:06:10,159 Speaker 1: Now. 111 00:06:10,200 --> 00:06:13,640 Speaker 2: The record breaking global stock rally is losing momentum today. 112 00:06:13,680 --> 00:06:14,279 Speaker 4: In Asia. 113 00:06:14,320 --> 00:06:17,040 Speaker 2: The MSCI All Country World Index was at a record 114 00:06:17,120 --> 00:06:20,200 Speaker 2: yesterday record high, but it's down a tenth of one 115 00:06:20,200 --> 00:06:22,880 Speaker 2: percent this morning. The European stock six hundred also here 116 00:06:22,960 --> 00:06:26,120 Speaker 2: fresh record high yesterday. Memory chip stocks in the US 117 00:06:26,160 --> 00:06:31,479 Speaker 2: surge after comments from Nvidia, sand Disk, Western Digital, Seagate 118 00:06:31,960 --> 00:06:35,560 Speaker 2: Oil is down today breakthrough below sixty dollars a barrel 119 00:06:35,640 --> 00:06:38,359 Speaker 2: are currently down nine tenths of one percent. Gold and 120 00:06:38,400 --> 00:06:41,640 Speaker 2: silver sliding Treasury yields at four sixteen Gold and Sachs 121 00:06:41,800 --> 00:06:44,960 Speaker 2: seeing a twenty percent jump for the MSCI China Index 122 00:06:45,040 --> 00:06:48,520 Speaker 2: by the end of this year. So an interesting longer 123 00:06:48,560 --> 00:06:49,880 Speaker 2: perspective on markets too. 124 00:06:50,880 --> 00:06:52,359 Speaker 3: In a moment, we'll bring you the latest on the 125 00:06:52,400 --> 00:06:56,040 Speaker 3: US comments on Greenland, plus the prospect of Venezuela sending 126 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:59,560 Speaker 3: oil worth billions of dollars to America. But it is 127 00:06:59,560 --> 00:07:02,120 Speaker 3: that time we have to take out your crazy inventions 128 00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:06,279 Speaker 3: bingo cards because it's the Consumer Electronics show in Las Vegas. 129 00:07:06,360 --> 00:07:09,679 Speaker 3: Remember the hype of the folding laundry robots last year. 130 00:07:10,040 --> 00:07:13,440 Speaker 3: My clothes are still creased, Caroline, But fear not, hoover 131 00:07:13,560 --> 00:07:16,800 Speaker 3: is coming that can hoover your stairs. This is a 132 00:07:16,840 --> 00:07:21,440 Speaker 3: new version of robot vacuum cleaners from the Chinese company Roboock, 133 00:07:21,760 --> 00:07:24,080 Speaker 3: unveiling a model that has legs that can work around 134 00:07:24,160 --> 00:07:28,280 Speaker 3: steps and uneven surfaces, can clear downward slopes as well 135 00:07:28,320 --> 00:07:30,800 Speaker 3: in the demonstrations that were done yesterday. Now it sounds great, 136 00:07:30,840 --> 00:07:33,400 Speaker 3: but our reporter in Las Vegas, don a woman, also 137 00:07:33,440 --> 00:07:35,800 Speaker 3: reminds us that last year the same company showed off 138 00:07:35,800 --> 00:07:38,640 Speaker 3: a different kind of robot vacuum. They had a mechanical 139 00:07:38,880 --> 00:07:42,360 Speaker 3: arm to pick up stray socks. The reality, though, didn't 140 00:07:42,400 --> 00:07:44,200 Speaker 3: turn out to be so great. It costs, first of all, 141 00:07:44,280 --> 00:07:47,640 Speaker 3: nearly twenty six hundred dollars to buy, and secondly wasn't 142 00:07:47,680 --> 00:07:50,800 Speaker 3: great at distinguishing things that weren't socks while moving around 143 00:07:50,840 --> 00:07:55,440 Speaker 3: the house either. I presented some other practical difficulties. Now, look, 144 00:07:55,720 --> 00:07:57,800 Speaker 3: that's not to say that this couldn't be a very 145 00:07:57,880 --> 00:08:01,000 Speaker 3: helpful development for some people. I did watch a video 146 00:08:01,040 --> 00:08:03,440 Speaker 3: of this. It moves very slowly as well. You wouldn't 147 00:08:03,440 --> 00:08:05,200 Speaker 3: want to be in a hurry to have your stairs cleaned. 148 00:08:05,880 --> 00:08:09,000 Speaker 2: No, Look, the gadgets could be amazing, right, I would 149 00:08:09,000 --> 00:08:11,400 Speaker 2: love one of these my very own Johnny number five. 150 00:08:11,600 --> 00:08:15,320 Speaker 2: But making that leap from kind of static white goods 151 00:08:15,560 --> 00:08:20,400 Speaker 2: to ones that move is obviously immensely complex, and not 152 00:08:20,440 --> 00:08:22,440 Speaker 2: just for the technology, but I think also for the 153 00:08:22,520 --> 00:08:27,800 Speaker 2: adaptation of users. Maybe I just do think moving technology 154 00:08:27,800 --> 00:08:29,960 Speaker 2: in your home is going to be a big leap, 155 00:08:30,040 --> 00:08:30,360 Speaker 2: isn't it? 156 00:08:30,720 --> 00:08:31,320 Speaker 4: Yeah, certainly. 157 00:08:31,360 --> 00:08:34,840 Speaker 3: I mean, I note that my laundry remains unfolded, so 158 00:08:35,320 --> 00:08:37,000 Speaker 3: you know, well, I'll let you know when one of 159 00:08:37,040 --> 00:08:40,240 Speaker 3: these robots actually arrive in my house. But it's a 160 00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:41,760 Speaker 3: very great time, of course, to be checking in on 161 00:08:41,800 --> 00:08:44,839 Speaker 3: where those developments are full coverage of the Consumer Electronics 162 00:08:44,840 --> 00:08:47,280 Speaker 3: Show across Bloomberg and we'll put a link to that 163 00:08:47,320 --> 00:08:48,760 Speaker 3: story in our podcast show notes. 164 00:08:49,760 --> 00:08:52,840 Speaker 2: Well, that's bring you more now on President Donald Trump's 165 00:08:52,880 --> 00:08:56,720 Speaker 2: plans for Greenland. After the White House refuse to rule 166 00:08:56,760 --> 00:09:00,640 Speaker 2: out using military force to acquire the Arctic island, Washington 167 00:09:00,720 --> 00:09:03,760 Speaker 2: d C editor John Harney joins us now for more. John, 168 00:09:03,800 --> 00:09:08,520 Speaker 2: how seriously is the Trump administration considering military action over Greenland? 169 00:09:09,200 --> 00:09:12,679 Speaker 1: That we're talking about this at all indicates that it 170 00:09:12,760 --> 00:09:16,760 Speaker 1: is certainly far more serious than we would have imagined 171 00:09:17,200 --> 00:09:21,319 Speaker 1: even a year ago. Now, this notion of acquiring Greenland 172 00:09:21,600 --> 00:09:24,280 Speaker 1: began in the first Trump administration and then sort of 173 00:09:24,320 --> 00:09:29,840 Speaker 1: faded away, but it's acquired new urgency after the spectacular 174 00:09:30,360 --> 00:09:33,480 Speaker 1: United States encouragion into Venezuela over the weekend in which 175 00:09:33,600 --> 00:09:39,280 Speaker 1: President Nicholas Maduro was seized and brought brought the United 176 00:09:39,280 --> 00:09:42,679 Speaker 1: States to face criminal charges. And the other thing is 177 00:09:42,880 --> 00:09:46,400 Speaker 1: that far as military action, Caroline Levitt, with the White 178 00:09:46,440 --> 00:09:49,840 Speaker 1: House Press Secretary, said it couldn't be ruled out entirely, 179 00:09:50,160 --> 00:09:54,600 Speaker 1: but then Secretary State Marco Rubio said that the Trump 180 00:09:54,640 --> 00:09:58,160 Speaker 1: administration would try to buy Greenland but in either case, 181 00:09:58,360 --> 00:10:00,800 Speaker 1: they're certainly not letting go of this. No that the 182 00:10:00,920 --> 00:10:03,920 Speaker 1: United States wants this territory. 183 00:10:03,480 --> 00:10:05,400 Speaker 3: So the Danish government wants a meeting with the US 184 00:10:05,480 --> 00:10:09,040 Speaker 3: to talk about this issue. Can diplomacy help to diffuse this? 185 00:10:09,280 --> 00:10:11,240 Speaker 3: We know that Donald Trump has stated the aim of 186 00:10:11,280 --> 00:10:15,160 Speaker 3: wanting to acquire or buy Greenland for many years. 187 00:10:15,160 --> 00:10:19,880 Speaker 1: Now, that's right, I mean, diplomacy always has the potential 188 00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:25,680 Speaker 1: to avoid confrontation the threat of confrontation, and we'll see 189 00:10:25,760 --> 00:10:28,960 Speaker 1: how that goes. But again, both sides seem to have 190 00:10:29,040 --> 00:10:31,400 Speaker 1: taken pretty strong positions to this point, in United States 191 00:10:31,400 --> 00:10:36,199 Speaker 1: saying we need Greenland for national security purposes, the Danish 192 00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:40,720 Speaker 1: government saying that this is our territory has been for 193 00:10:41,160 --> 00:10:44,040 Speaker 1: you know, for a very long time, and the Europeans, 194 00:10:44,280 --> 00:10:49,520 Speaker 1: the European Union, NATO countries expressing some alarm over this. 195 00:10:49,880 --> 00:10:53,880 Speaker 2: I'm also trying to undercot the idea that it's necessary, 196 00:10:53,960 --> 00:10:57,480 Speaker 2: you know, talking about having to work together for Arctic security, 197 00:10:57,480 --> 00:11:00,840 Speaker 2: which is also the reason that Greenland so stratetisic parly important. 198 00:11:00,880 --> 00:11:01,679 Speaker 4: Does it? 199 00:11:01,720 --> 00:11:05,880 Speaker 2: Does the issue though, also risk the work when it 200 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:08,720 Speaker 2: comes to the Ukraine peace process that was also taking 201 00:11:08,760 --> 00:11:10,120 Speaker 2: place yesterday. 202 00:11:10,240 --> 00:11:12,920 Speaker 1: Well, First of all, Marco Rubio, the Secretary of State, 203 00:11:13,280 --> 00:11:18,040 Speaker 1: did not go to this this summit because of the 204 00:11:18,600 --> 00:11:23,640 Speaker 1: what happened. What happened in Venezuela. But the new museums 205 00:11:23,800 --> 00:11:26,880 Speaker 1: or whatever you want to call them about Greenland overshadowed 206 00:11:26,960 --> 00:11:30,200 Speaker 1: this event in which Britain, France, and in Germany and 207 00:11:30,280 --> 00:11:35,400 Speaker 1: other allies of Ukraine tried to forge an agreement on 208 00:11:35,480 --> 00:11:39,079 Speaker 1: what would come after and he ceased fire with Russia 209 00:11:39,880 --> 00:11:44,079 Speaker 1: and with the United States involvement. But if this acrimony 210 00:11:44,120 --> 00:11:47,400 Speaker 1: between the United States in Denmark becomes more serious, well 211 00:11:47,440 --> 00:11:50,120 Speaker 1: that could call into question the future of the entire 212 00:11:50,200 --> 00:11:53,520 Speaker 1: NATO alliance, which has been in place since the end 213 00:11:53,559 --> 00:11:54,480 Speaker 1: of the Second World War. 214 00:11:55,240 --> 00:11:57,880 Speaker 3: Okay, John, thanks very much our Washington DC editor John 215 00:11:57,880 --> 00:11:58,720 Speaker 3: Harney there. 216 00:12:00,080 --> 00:12:00,400 Speaker 8: With us. 217 00:12:00,520 --> 00:12:03,360 Speaker 3: More from Bloomberg Daybreak Europe coming up after this. 218 00:12:06,080 --> 00:12:08,600 Speaker 2: Now Crudell prices have dropped off to President Trump said 219 00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:11,040 Speaker 2: that Venezuela would hand over millions of bows of crude 220 00:12:11,080 --> 00:12:13,440 Speaker 2: all to the United States. Joining us now to discuss 221 00:12:13,480 --> 00:12:17,640 Speaker 2: is Stephen Stopchinski, who leads our energy coverage in Asia. Stephen, 222 00:12:17,679 --> 00:12:21,400 Speaker 2: President Trump seizing Venezuelan or what do we know about 223 00:12:21,440 --> 00:12:21,839 Speaker 2: the action? 224 00:12:22,040 --> 00:12:22,440 Speaker 4: So far. 225 00:12:23,200 --> 00:12:25,079 Speaker 9: I'm not sure if I would call it seizing per se. 226 00:12:25,160 --> 00:12:26,960 Speaker 9: He says, it's an agreement where there will be some 227 00:12:27,000 --> 00:12:32,120 Speaker 9: sort of profit sharing. But surely it's Trump capitalizing on 228 00:12:32,200 --> 00:12:34,800 Speaker 9: the current situation and a government that likely wants to 229 00:12:35,120 --> 00:12:37,840 Speaker 9: sort of give an olive branch to the Trump administration 230 00:12:38,000 --> 00:12:41,400 Speaker 9: figure out a way forward. Now, fifty million barrels, While 231 00:12:41,400 --> 00:12:43,400 Speaker 9: that might seem like a lot, if you actually look 232 00:12:43,400 --> 00:12:45,880 Speaker 9: at the production of Venezuela, they produce, what hand one 233 00:12:45,920 --> 00:12:49,240 Speaker 9: thousand barrels per day. That's like fifty to sixty days 234 00:12:49,240 --> 00:12:52,320 Speaker 9: of production, and it's unclear if that's going to be 235 00:12:52,920 --> 00:12:55,040 Speaker 9: you know, all the production coming forward. You know, Trump 236 00:12:55,080 --> 00:13:00,600 Speaker 9: said sanctioned oil, and so for example, Chevron produces oil 237 00:13:00,600 --> 00:13:03,360 Speaker 9: and Venezuela that's not sanctioned. I don't think that this 238 00:13:03,440 --> 00:13:05,719 Speaker 9: is that's included. I think he's talking about just the 239 00:13:05,800 --> 00:13:08,760 Speaker 9: stuff that's that the US sees is going out on 240 00:13:09,080 --> 00:13:12,560 Speaker 9: shadow flue vessels. Maybe he's maybe some of that oil 241 00:13:12,640 --> 00:13:16,319 Speaker 9: will come from what's on floating storage, basically what's already 242 00:13:16,360 --> 00:13:18,840 Speaker 9: at sea that will be routed. 243 00:13:18,720 --> 00:13:19,320 Speaker 8: To the US. 244 00:13:19,400 --> 00:13:21,880 Speaker 9: It will be sold to international markets. Maybe, but there's 245 00:13:21,920 --> 00:13:27,000 Speaker 9: a lot of questions. But certainly this I think would 246 00:13:27,000 --> 00:13:30,640 Speaker 9: be a geopolitical win for both sides. Right, Trump is 247 00:13:30,679 --> 00:13:33,160 Speaker 9: able to say, hey, I got some oil and it's 248 00:13:33,240 --> 00:13:35,360 Speaker 9: paying you know, it's helping to pay for this, while 249 00:13:35,440 --> 00:13:37,439 Speaker 9: Venezuela can say, hey, we had a breakthrough with the 250 00:13:37,480 --> 00:13:38,320 Speaker 9: Trump administration. 251 00:13:39,600 --> 00:13:42,600 Speaker 3: We did see shares and Chevron jumping yesterday though, and 252 00:13:42,640 --> 00:13:45,079 Speaker 3: this question of prize and Trump wanting to use the 253 00:13:45,280 --> 00:13:48,280 Speaker 3: oil may just to rebuild the oil sector in Venezuela. 254 00:13:48,440 --> 00:13:50,920 Speaker 3: I mean, how difficult or how feasible is that? 255 00:13:52,120 --> 00:13:54,719 Speaker 9: Yeah, I mean, so the fifty million barrels is kind 256 00:13:54,760 --> 00:13:57,320 Speaker 9: of small, short term stuff, you know. The longer term 257 00:13:57,320 --> 00:13:59,960 Speaker 9: prize is being able to capture some of the three 258 00:14:00,000 --> 00:14:03,160 Speaker 9: one hundred billion barrels of oil potential. That's what Venezuela says, 259 00:14:03,160 --> 00:14:07,520 Speaker 9: that the reserves are at with it underground, and whether 260 00:14:07,800 --> 00:14:10,440 Speaker 9: the US can come in and kind of take advantage 261 00:14:10,520 --> 00:14:13,920 Speaker 9: or start boosting production there. Now, there are a lot 262 00:14:13,920 --> 00:14:16,880 Speaker 9: of questions, right if your Chevron, Xon or another US 263 00:14:16,920 --> 00:14:19,880 Speaker 9: oil major, the big question is why would I want 264 00:14:19,920 --> 00:14:22,240 Speaker 9: to go there when there's this geopolitical risk hanging over 265 00:14:22,280 --> 00:14:25,760 Speaker 9: my head? Are we sure that the Trump administration of 266 00:14:25,840 --> 00:14:28,200 Speaker 9: the current government in Venezuela are really going to get 267 00:14:28,200 --> 00:14:31,640 Speaker 9: along and will my long term investment really pay off, 268 00:14:31,640 --> 00:14:34,120 Speaker 9: because when you talk to analysts, you know, to get 269 00:14:34,160 --> 00:14:38,200 Speaker 9: to where Venezuelan production was at the early two thousands, 270 00:14:38,240 --> 00:14:41,120 Speaker 9: three million barrels per day, you need to invest basically 271 00:14:41,200 --> 00:14:43,520 Speaker 9: ten billion dollars a year over a decade. That's a 272 00:14:43,520 --> 00:14:46,600 Speaker 9: lot of money. So and also with oil prices rent 273 00:14:47,080 --> 00:14:49,080 Speaker 9: kind of in the high fifty dollars low sixty dollars 274 00:14:49,120 --> 00:14:51,600 Speaker 9: range right now, it's not really a great time to 275 00:14:51,640 --> 00:14:54,600 Speaker 9: be investing in new supply. So you need essentially the 276 00:14:54,640 --> 00:14:58,800 Speaker 9: Trump administration to subsidize it. And Trump has basically kind 277 00:14:58,840 --> 00:15:02,240 Speaker 9: of said that it's unclear exactly how he will subsidize it. 278 00:15:02,840 --> 00:15:05,680 Speaker 9: There's other media reporting that he'll be meeting with executives 279 00:15:05,680 --> 00:15:08,520 Speaker 9: from Chevron ax on Another's later this week. But I 280 00:15:08,520 --> 00:15:11,120 Speaker 9: think that is going to really come down to if 281 00:15:11,120 --> 00:15:15,520 Speaker 9: the US is going to basically pay these companies that 282 00:15:15,600 --> 00:15:17,640 Speaker 9: go and avail as well, will that be enough to 283 00:15:17,640 --> 00:15:20,520 Speaker 9: get them at the table to really put riggs on 284 00:15:20,560 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 9: the ground and send more crew there. 285 00:15:23,320 --> 00:15:26,040 Speaker 3: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, your morning brief on the 286 00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:29,160 Speaker 3: stories making news from London to Wall Street and beyond. 287 00:15:29,520 --> 00:15:33,480 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed every morning, on Apple, Spotify, 288 00:15:33,560 --> 00:15:35,600 Speaker 2: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 289 00:15:35,680 --> 00:15:38,720 Speaker 3: You can also listen live each morning on London Dab Radio, 290 00:15:38,760 --> 00:15:41,400 Speaker 3: the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. 291 00:15:41,480 --> 00:15:44,280 Speaker 2: Our flagship New York station is also available on your 292 00:15:44,280 --> 00:15:49,000 Speaker 2: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 293 00:15:49,240 --> 00:15:50,560 Speaker 2: I'm Caroline Hepka and. 294 00:15:50,480 --> 00:15:53,160 Speaker 3: I'm Stephen Carroll. Join us again tomorrow morning for all 295 00:15:53,160 --> 00:15:55,600 Speaker 3: the news you need to start your day right here 296 00:15:55,640 --> 00:16:04,840 Speaker 3: on Bloomberg day Break Europe