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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Wednesday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Deal Juice Podcast with me Matt Parolet

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Speaker 1: you guys can follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros is on Twitter at Betting pros. In. This

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Speaker 1: podcast always being brought to you by bet MGM. The

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Speaker 1: ten dollars offer Juice won fifty wind you one hundred

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Speaker 1: All right, so we have a little bit of a

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Speaker 1: cooling off period. This happens. Okay, we've just picture cold

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Speaker 1: one in three when the Penguins score five goals and

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Speaker 1: we're on the over six and a half. I mean,

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Speaker 1: come off of it, man. That's I don't want to

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Speaker 1: call it a bad beat, but that's unfortunate that Columbus

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Speaker 1: couldn't get one more goal for us or they don't

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Speaker 1: pull the goaltender late and get us there. So we

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Speaker 1: go zero to two on hockey because the biggest Old

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Speaker 1: Knights give up four goals. They scored zero goals against

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Speaker 1: Minnesota and they scored zero goals against Winnipeg. They are

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Speaker 1: an absolute train wreck, and I think the Vegas gold

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Speaker 1: Knights on the road automatically at home, maybe it's a

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Speaker 1: little bit of a thought, but on the road, Vegas

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Speaker 1: is a fade right now until the end of the season,

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Speaker 1: like they are just a bad hockey team and they

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Speaker 1: can't score at all. I mean, they gave up seven goals,

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Speaker 1: scored zero over a two day stretch. Yikes. Not good.

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Speaker 1: I know they're banged up. Everybody's making a million excuses

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Speaker 1: for the Golden Knights, but ye, really really bad. Also,

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Speaker 1: really really bad the last two minutes for the Knicks.

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Speaker 1: I mean, we could have gotten that under I don't

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Speaker 1: know what was going on at the end of that game.

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Speaker 1: That was brutal. That game was trending right where he

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Speaker 1: wanted it to be, and then it wound up about

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Speaker 1: four or five points too high for us. Unfortunately, we

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Speaker 1: get the Bucks and the Bulls. That was an easy

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Speaker 1: play when the Buck and the Bulls are playing teams

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Speaker 1: in their division, Let's watch that the rest of the

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Speaker 1: way because those teams do not play high scoring games

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Speaker 1: when they're playing against their own division. So one in

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Speaker 1: three night for us down a unit. Kind of a bummer,

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Speaker 1: But you know, hey, we move on. Okay, So before

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Speaker 1: I give you the picks here, I've got three college

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Speaker 1: basketball bets here on a Wednesday. I'm gonna wait till

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Speaker 1: Tomorrow's Pod to give you the NAA Tournament bets. But basically,

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Speaker 1: this is kind of what I've decided because we've been

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Speaker 1: sort of light going into this. I'm gonna bet all

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Speaker 1: the college basketball games tonight. That's including the Basketball Classic,

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Speaker 1: three of them. I'm gonna bet every game in the

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Speaker 1: Sweet sixteen Thursday, every game in the Sweet sixteen on Friday. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So that's how I'm gonna do it. I'm gonna stay

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Speaker 1: away from the NBA and stay away from the NHL

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Speaker 1: for a little bit. It's March Madness is college basketball.

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Speaker 1: Let's make a bet, Let's make a pick. Let's let's

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Speaker 1: put our foot down here. We might i might get

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Speaker 1: it chopped off. But let's put our foot down here

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Speaker 1: and make some picks in some plays for this. Before

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Speaker 1: I give you the picks, let's talk our friends who

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Speaker 1: let's start talking about the two an games, and the

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Speaker 1: first one, which I think is going to be an

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Speaker 1: absolute barn burner, Wake Forest taking on Texas A and M.

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Speaker 1: All Right, so the number went from two and a

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Speaker 1: half to three. Total is one forty six and a half.

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Speaker 1: Wake Forest has the acc Player of the year and

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Speaker 1: wake Forest has a resume that they on any other year,

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Speaker 1: Wake Forest would be in the tournament. They got cold

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Speaker 1: middle part of the year and it burned them. But

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Speaker 1: they are a very good team and they're very good

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Speaker 1: against the spread. Twenty one and three ats for wake

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Speaker 1: Forest Texas A and M. Though the team that I

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Speaker 1: thought should have been in over Michigan. Michigan is still

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Speaker 1: alive in this tournament, but A and M now playing

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Speaker 1: for a chance to go to New York in the

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Speaker 1: NIT for the final four of the NIT twenty one

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Speaker 1: and fifteen. They are eight and two ats. Over to

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Speaker 1: last ten, they are ten and eight at home. The

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Speaker 1: public is going to be on Texas A and M.

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Speaker 1: You may get a better number than I got. Okay,

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Speaker 1: plus three though with wake Forest seven and seven on

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Speaker 1: the road, but four in one over to last five.

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Speaker 1: They beat Louisville laying nine by twenty two. They beat

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Speaker 1: NC State laying ten by twenty five. They lost to

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Speaker 1: BC in the ACC tournament and that pretty much burned

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Speaker 1: their chances at an at large bid. That killed it.

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Speaker 1: But in this tournament, laying eight and a half, beat

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Speaker 1: Townsend by ten, laying four and a half against VCU

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Speaker 1: one by six. Both those games were at home, but

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Speaker 1: they are two to zero ats if you look at

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Speaker 1: the way the A and M has been playing. They

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Speaker 1: beat Oregon by fifteen points at home. That was a stunner.

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Speaker 1: They were laying eighteen and a half points in the

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Speaker 1: first game of the NIT to alcorn State and they

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Speaker 1: won by twelve, but lost to Tennessee in the SEC

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Speaker 1: Tournament in the final. That's it really burned them. But

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Speaker 1: they went on that long run where they beat Florida,

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Speaker 1: beat Auburn, beat Arkansas, beat Alabama, beat Ole, Miss, beat Georgia.

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Speaker 1: They were so hot there that I actually think that

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Speaker 1: wake Forest is the fresher team. I know they're at home.

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Speaker 1: I know A and M's at home. I know they're

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Speaker 1: going to be a tough, tough out they're ten and

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Speaker 1: eight at home. But I think this wake Forest team

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Speaker 1: has a lot to prove and I like the fact

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Speaker 1: that wake Forest has a little bit of a chip

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Speaker 1: on their shoulder here and we've seen what the ACC

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Speaker 1: has done and we've seen what the SEC has done.

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Speaker 1: I know it doesn't matter because it's conference play, neutral court,

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Speaker 1: I get it, but I think this wake Forest team

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Speaker 1: really wants to go and win the NIIT. Motivation is

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Speaker 1: a really big question and a big factor, but I

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Speaker 1: love the fact this team has beaten two good teams

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Speaker 1: here in the first two rounds alcorn State and Oregon's

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Speaker 1: motivational factor. I don't think Oregon wanted to be there

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Speaker 1: all that much going on the road. They put it

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Speaker 1: home and then on the road. Hard to tell. It's

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Speaker 1: a difficult conference to bet on. I'm gonna take the points.

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Speaker 1: I think this is a coin flip game. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: take wake Forest plus the three for a half a

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Speaker 1: unit at Texas A and M to seven o'clock Eastern times,

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Speaker 1: start four o'clock Pacific time. Start game of the night.

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Speaker 1: In college basketball, it's Wake Forest at Techs A and M.

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Speaker 1: If you're not going to bet it, watch it. It's

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Speaker 1: gonna be a ton of fun and Wake Forest plus

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Speaker 1: three for a half a unit. Second game, night game,

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Speaker 1: Washington State at BYU. You know how I feel about

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Speaker 1: BYU at home? Okay, BYU at home is a tough,

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Speaker 1: tough out. BYU is laying three total is one forty

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Speaker 1: two and a half. BYU at home this year seven

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Speaker 1: and seven ats Washington State on the road this year

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Speaker 1: seven and eight ats However, BYU. Their win over Northern Iowa. Hello,

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Speaker 1: I mean beating Long Beach. Was in the shock. We

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Speaker 1: bet BYU against Long Beach, jumped on it. I stayed

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Speaker 1: away from the Northern Iowa game because I wasn't sure

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Speaker 1: they were going to be able to beat Northern Iowa

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Speaker 1: at home BYU won by nineteen points. Laid eleven against

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Speaker 1: Long Beach, won by twenty one BYU, laid five against

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Speaker 1: Northern Iowa, one by nineteen. On the flip side, Washington

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Speaker 1: State beat Santa Clara at home, laying three and a

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Speaker 1: half by thirteen. They beat SMU as three point dogs

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Speaker 1: on the road by twelve. I just think BYU at home,

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Speaker 1: Washington State's a team that's gonna rebound the basketball. But

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Speaker 1: BYU's got some bigs and they're gonna have a rock

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Speaker 1: and home court. Look n games. It matters about motivation.

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Speaker 1: It's something about this school in these types of tournaments

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Speaker 1: where they pack the place and it's really a hard

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Speaker 1: place to play. It's a true road game, and sometimes

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Speaker 1: these teams go in there are like, what are we

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Speaker 1: doing here? This is a buzzsaw. We want no part

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Speaker 1: of this. I'm gonna lay the three points here. I

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Speaker 1: like BYU. I like the atmosphere. I like the fact

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Speaker 1: that it's a chance for them to really get after it.

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Speaker 1: It's another Power five school going to Provo, which is

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Speaker 1: a difficult place to play. I'm gonna take BYU. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna lay the three points BYU minus three for a

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Speaker 1: half a unit. And the last play is kind of

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Speaker 1: like one of those plays where I have to bet

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Speaker 1: it just because it's you know the board, right, let's

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Speaker 1: bet the board. Fresno State hosting Youngstown State. And you

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Speaker 1: might go, really, yeah, really, we're going to get involved

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Speaker 1: here with this game. It's only streaming on ESPN Plus.

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Speaker 1: It's in the CIT okay, and which is you know, okay,

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Speaker 1: whatever you want to do it. It's called the Basketball

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Speaker 1: Tournament now, right, or the CID whatever it's called. Fresno

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Speaker 1: is hosting Youngstown State. Fresno State this year ats seven

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Speaker 1: fourteen and one, but they have failed to cover over

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Speaker 1: their last three games, and they're just eight and seven

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Speaker 1: on the at home ats over the last ten. Fresno

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Speaker 1: State is three and seven against the number Youngstown State

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Speaker 1: fourteen and seventeen against the spread this season. But they're

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Speaker 1: nineteen and fourteen and they're coming in here after a

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Speaker 1: couple of decent performer one decent performance, and they have

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Speaker 1: a chance to go up against a Fresno State team

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Speaker 1: that doesn't score all that well. Thirteen and a half

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Speaker 1: points is the line, with a total of one thirty

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Speaker 1: and a half. Okay. Interesting look at Fresno State's last

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Speaker 1: five games at home Eastern Washington laying twelve and a half,

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Speaker 1: they won by nine. Okay, Home against San Diego State

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Speaker 1: they were catching two and a half, lost by seventeen.

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Speaker 1: Home against UNLV laying five and a half, they lost

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Speaker 1: by three. Home against Wyoming laying four and a half,

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Speaker 1: they lost by two. Last time they covered at home,

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Speaker 1: you'd go all the way back to the fourth of

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Speaker 1: February up against Nevada where they laid ten and they

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Speaker 1: won by seventeen. It's been over six weeks since this

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Speaker 1: team covered a number at home, and with this tiny

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Speaker 1: of a spread or I mean of a total of

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Speaker 1: one thirty and a half, and the fact that if

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Speaker 1: you look at some of the numbers go a little deeper.

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Speaker 1: Youngstown State on the year at bridges seventy one point

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Speaker 1: six points per game. Okay, that's you know, it's it's

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Speaker 1: level of competition obviously, right, Like who did you play? Okay,

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Speaker 1: I understand that, like who did you play? But it

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Speaker 1: is a little interesting to me that you know they're

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Speaker 1: expecting a complete and total blowout. Ken Palm has this

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Speaker 1: as a fifteen point win. For Fresno State. But I

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Speaker 1: don't know if Fresno State can score seventy four points.

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Speaker 1: I just it's not really in their nature. They average

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Speaker 1: sixty four point nine points per game. It's one of

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Speaker 1: the worst offenses in all of college basketball. And now

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Speaker 1: you got these guys scoring in the seventies. I don't

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Speaker 1: think so. I think they win the game, but I

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Speaker 1: think they win between eight and ten points. I'll take

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Speaker 1: the points here Youngstown State plus thirteen and a half,

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Speaker 1: and you have to hold your nose here a little bit.

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Speaker 1: This is a late night game ten o'clock Eastern time,

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Speaker 1: seven o'clock on ESBN plus if you want to watch it.

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Speaker 1: Youngstown State plus thirteen and a half up against Fresno State. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so we got three bets going here on a Wednesday.

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Speaker 1: We're taking a Wake Forest plus three at Texas A

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Speaker 1: and M. We're laying the three with BYU at home

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Speaker 1: against Washington State. And we're taking the thirteen and a

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Speaker 1: half for Youngstown State on the road at Fresno State.

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Speaker 1: For US here with college basketball Tomorrow's Thursday, Tomorrows Sweet sixteen,

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Speaker 1: we will go ahead and we will bet the board.

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Speaker 1: As I mentioned, we'll bet every game in college basketball.

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Speaker 1: As we're running out of games to bet on, we'll

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Speaker 1: have picks and plays on all of them. Not saying

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Speaker 1: we're gonna hit all of them, but we'll have picks

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Speaker 1: and plays coming up for all of them here as

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Speaker 1: we get into the Sweet sixteen for Thursday, four games Arkansas, Gonzaga, Michigan, Nova, Texas,

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Speaker 1: A and m Duke and Houston and Arizona in the

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Speaker 1: Sweet sixteen. Then into Friday, we get into Saint Peter's

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Speaker 1: in Purdue Providence, Kansas, North Carolina, UCLA, and Iowa State

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Speaker 1: in Miami. Before we hit the weekend, we find out

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Speaker 1: who is going to be in the Final Four in

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Speaker 1: New Orleans. Coming up here for the NAA Tournaments minus

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Speaker 1: Matt Parole. Follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Each and every morning it's They'll Just Podcast. I was

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Speaker 1: being brought to you by BETHAMGM