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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting Pros. It's down to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It is me, Joey p Joe Pisapia and

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Speaker 1: this is BP NFL. It's time for the look ahead

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Speaker 1: for week eleven. The lines, the number zone, we got

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Speaker 1: them all for you, and of course we've also got

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Speaker 1: Andrew ericson the undertaker himself. Andrew, I was much happier

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Speaker 1: with week ten. I was not a big fan of

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Speaker 1: week nine. You know that. And it turns out all

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Speaker 1: I needed to do was go on vacation for a

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Speaker 1: couple of days and get a little bit of fresh perspective,

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Speaker 1: just like one of my favorite films, Rat Tattooy, a

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Speaker 1: little bit of perspective goes a long way. Nine and two.

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Speaker 1: Follow me on Bettingpros dot com, slash Joe or just

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Speaker 1: put Joe Pizzapia into the little search bar. Same thing

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Speaker 1: for Andrew Ericsson. It was a good week for our patriots.

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Speaker 1: It was a bad week for the Jets, a good

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Speaker 1: week for betting. I'm in a great mood this Monday morning.

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Speaker 1: I can't tell you how. I'm just happy. I'm flying high,

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Speaker 1: Andrew flying high.

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Speaker 2: Wait, you're flying higher than the Dallas Cowboys.

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Speaker 1: Well, that's a low bar. That is a plane without wings,

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Speaker 1: without without an engine, without a pilot. It's it's bad

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Speaker 1: news right now for the Cowboys.

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Speaker 2: It's it's And this is one of these things where

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Speaker 2: I don't see where this gets better. So this is

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Speaker 2: an attack Dallas, every single game, attack, attack, attack, because

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Speaker 2: this is starting to spiral. And when we're talking about

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Speaker 2: the NFL Draft, are is anyone gonna be surprised to

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Speaker 2: look up with the number three overall pick the Dallas Cowboys.

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Speaker 1: No, that would not be shocking at all.

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Speaker 2: No one's going to be surprised by that. So get

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Speaker 2: on it now. Don't be optimistic that Dallas can turn

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Speaker 2: this around. They are a bad team and there is

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Speaker 2: no hope at the end of the time.

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Speaker 1: Don't be surprised when they blow that pick as well. Also, Andrew,

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Speaker 1: are you taking it personally that ever since you made

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Speaker 1: that proclamation that you were off of the Carolina Panthers

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Speaker 1: that they are now two and zero, ever since like

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Speaker 1: it feels like maybe you you jumped off that bandwagon

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Speaker 1: a little too soon.

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Speaker 2: Well, I did bet the under in that game, which

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Speaker 2: came through, even though even though the game went overtime,

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Speaker 2: because this is one of these things where I'm trying

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Speaker 2: to zoom out at the quarterbacks, right, Daniel Jones, first pry,

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Speaker 2: first price young, Yeah, bet the just like what I

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Speaker 2: do with Jacksonville in Minnesota, Mac Jones, Sam Darnold, you.

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Speaker 1: Got that one too, Yeah, bet the under gross. That

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Speaker 1: one pissed me off. Let me tell you a lot

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Speaker 1: of justin Jefferson, the DFS shares did not go well,

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Speaker 1: but yeah, like the NFL, the good thing about this

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Speaker 1: time of year is, you know, the first month of

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Speaker 1: the season's always very hard. When we get to week

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Speaker 1: nine to ten, we know who teams are and who

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Speaker 1: they aren't. We have good numbers on everybody. This is

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Speaker 1: the time where you can really make a lot of

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Speaker 1: money in that betting market. So we want you to

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Speaker 1: be a part of it with us. Download the Betting

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Speaker 1: pros app be with us, be part of the shows,

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Speaker 1: subscribe to the podcast wherever you get your pods. Make

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Speaker 1: sure you subscribe to the YouTube channel as well. And

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Speaker 1: speaking of all that fun stuff we've got going on,

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Speaker 1: we've still got that Mike Evans Buccaneers helmet giveaway too,

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Speaker 1: dot com. All you need to do is head to

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros dot com slash contest, complete the form and

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Speaker 1: either download the Betting Pros app, leave a review of

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Speaker 1: the Betting Pros podcast, or subscribe to our social media

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Speaker 1: channels at Betting Pros on x and TikTok and Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros NFL on the Instagram the IG and the more

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Speaker 1: actions you complete, the more entries you can receive, and

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Speaker 1: we'll be announcing the winner right here on this channel.

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Speaker 1: So subscribe to the YouTube channel of Betting Pros and

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Speaker 1: we'll let you know when you win that prize. And

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Speaker 1: of course you'll never miss an episode of the VP Show.

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Speaker 1: Last week Andrew nailed the Upset Special finally too. It

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Speaker 1: was a good week. I want to continue these good

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Speaker 1: feelings going. Let's start with Thursday Night football, a fun one.

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Speaker 1: We talked about Washington finally getting a real test here

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Speaker 1: with the Steelers. They did not pass the test. They

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Speaker 1: fell short. They get the Eagles this week in a

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Speaker 1: very important matchup here. I think this is really important

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Speaker 1: to see. Did they hold Brian Robinson Junior back yesterday

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Speaker 1: because they know the importance of this game Thursday night

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Speaker 1: against Eagles. I think the answer is yes. I think

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Speaker 1: you see him and you see the Washington Commanders give

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Speaker 1: it everything they've got in Philadelphia. This is a great game.

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Speaker 1: Three and a half is the number forty nine and

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Speaker 1: a half for the total. The Eagle is obviously favorites

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Speaker 1: on the three and a half side, and Washington plus

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Speaker 1: one fifty. So here's the thing, Andrew. The value on

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Speaker 1: this game is on the money line plus one fifty

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Speaker 1: Washington straight up. That's where the value is. If you

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Speaker 1: think they can win this game. Do you think they can?

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Speaker 2: I don't know. This is one of these games where

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Speaker 2: I kind of want to sit back and watch because

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Speaker 2: it goes with the Eagles, right which Eagle tea where

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Speaker 2: we're going to get exactly because you go to the

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Speaker 2: beginning of that Dallas game, if Ezekiel Ellie doesn't cough

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Speaker 2: the ball up at the five yard line, the Dallas

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Speaker 2: Cowboys are potentially going into half with the lead, led

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Speaker 2: by Cooper Rush, who threw for I think forty yards

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Speaker 2: in the entire game. So again, I I just don't

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Speaker 2: have faith in the Eagles, and that's why I'm concerned

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Speaker 2: about them. So I agree with you that, Hey, if

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Speaker 2: you're looking for value here, it definitely is on the

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Speaker 2: Commanders just to win outright. But I think that I mean,

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Speaker 2: isn't the sharp plays betting the under. It's a forty

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Speaker 2: nine and a half, it's on a short weak it's

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Speaker 2: a divisional matchup, and yeah, how the Eagles have been

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Speaker 2: really good on defense, like that's been one of their

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Speaker 2: strengths since they've kind of gotten more understanding with Vic Fangio.

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Speaker 2: And the thing with the Commanders is I just every

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Speaker 2: time I keep watching them, like McLaurin is so fantastic,

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Speaker 2: but this team so needs a number two guy, like

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Speaker 2: they need somebody else because McLaurin is getting all the attention.

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Speaker 2: Then who is Jane Daniels going to guys like Zachias

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Speaker 2: and Noah Brown zach Ertz Like those guys aren't difference makers,

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Speaker 2: especially if the run game isn't cooking. So for me,

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Speaker 2: forty nine and a half a ton on a short

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Speaker 2: week and usually Thursday night's usually shade towards the under.

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Speaker 2: This is a massive total indivisional game. So that's kind

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Speaker 2: of where I'm leaning early on.

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Speaker 1: I'm leaning and closing my eyes and betting the plus

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Speaker 1: one fifty on the money line for Washington. That's where

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Speaker 1: I'm at right now. I'm with you, though, this is

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Speaker 1: a tenuous one because you don't know which Eagles team

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Speaker 1: shows up, and you know, last week against Dallas it

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Speaker 1: was not, I don't want to say a letdown game

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Speaker 1: for them, but kind of right. I mean in a

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Speaker 1: sense like you kind of get up for that Dallas

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Speaker 1: Cowboy game and it's like, Okay, now the Commanders come

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Speaker 1: into town, Okay, whatever, And it depends on how seriously

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Speaker 1: they take this Commander's team. And maybe the best thing

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Speaker 1: to happen for this Commander's team is to have that

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Speaker 1: loss against Pittsburgh kind of get checked a little bit

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Speaker 1: and say, Okay, this is what it takes. Now, this

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Speaker 1: is the standard. Now we got the Eagles coming up.

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Speaker 1: Let's regroup and it's gonna tell you a lot about

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Speaker 1: Jade Daniels and Dan Quinn and this team. So let's

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Speaker 1: got a fun game. Green Bay Chicago. Green Bay coming

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Speaker 1: off a bye, the Chicago Bears coming off a loss.

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Speaker 1: They were seven point favorites this time last week at home. Now,

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Speaker 1: there's six and a half point underdogs at home the

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Speaker 1: Chicago Bears. Forty one is the number plus two thirty

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Speaker 1: for the Bears on the money line, I imagine any

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Speaker 1: minute now. Hasn't been announced yet, but the offensive coordinator

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Speaker 1: is probably not coming back this week. Like bald predictions

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Speaker 1: from Jostre Domas and hit me rub my bald head

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Speaker 1: and see if I can get the predictions. I just

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Speaker 1: don't think he's coming back this week. Shane Fraudren is, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I don't think Shane Waldron's gonna be there. That being said,

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Speaker 1: give me the Green Bay Packers with the six and

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Speaker 1: a half. I know it doesn't sound great, it seems

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Speaker 1: like a lot of points, but a week off for

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Speaker 1: Jordan Love, a little bit of reset, and I think

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Speaker 1: the Packers go back to kicking the butt of the

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Speaker 1: Chicago Bear. So I'm confident in this one, even though

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Speaker 1: six and a half is pretty strong. It's a touchdown

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Speaker 1: I'll take. How about you, Edrew?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you just can't have any faith in the Bears

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Speaker 2: right now. When you look at the rest of their

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Speaker 2: schedule this season. I'm not sure where they're going to

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Speaker 2: turn around. Because this matchup against the Patriots. This was

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Speaker 2: the last spot for them to put on a good

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Speaker 2: offensive performance because they have the hardest schedule remaining when

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Speaker 2: you just look at the strength of their opponents. So

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Speaker 2: they had their easy games, they had their cakewalk games,

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Speaker 2: and there were moments where against Jacksonville Jaguars, Caleb Williams

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Speaker 2: looked the part. But then when the challenges and defensive

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Speaker 2: have increased in competition, he has not met the bill.

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Speaker 2: I mean, it's just a sack machine, man. Like the

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Speaker 2: offensive line is an absolute mess. They had another injury,

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Speaker 2: Tivin Jenkins left the game against the Patriots. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: just give me the Packers.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the next one on the

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Speaker 1: doge for a week eleven, the Los Angeles Rams and

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Speaker 1: the New England Patriots. So the Patriots at home, underdogs

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Speaker 1: again plus five and a half. Now, I don't want

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Speaker 1: them to keep winning here. Like, here's the thing, I guess, Patriots,

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Speaker 1: this is cute. It's adorable. Like, I'm very happy you

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Speaker 1: beat the Jets. That to me, everything else is gravy.

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Speaker 1: Beat the Jets, get the number one overall pick. I'm

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Speaker 1: just thrilled with that scenario. To me, that's a successful season.

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Speaker 1: But here you go the doing the Patriots now three

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Speaker 1: and seven. We'll see what the Rams do tonight. But

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Speaker 1: the Rams five and a half point favorites here. Forty

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Speaker 1: three and a half is the number plus one ninety

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Speaker 1: eight for the Patriots on the money line. This feels

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Speaker 1: very dangerous to me. If anything, again, I'm leaning towards

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Speaker 1: the Patriots on the five and a half because I

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Speaker 1: do think the Pats have shown you they're gonna kind

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Speaker 1: of keep things tight and close these last few weeks.

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Speaker 1: They are competing. I think Geron Mayo was right for

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Speaker 1: calling them out. He did. Ever since the call out,

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Speaker 1: this team is fighting. They're winning games, but they're also

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Speaker 1: keeping games very close. Andrew, what are your thoughts on

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Speaker 1: this one?

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Speaker 2: I like the over over forty three and a half points.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Drake may has injected life into the Patriots offense. Again,

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Speaker 2: no one was expecting this matchup against the Bears to

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Speaker 2: be high scoring in any way, but against the Rams,

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Speaker 2: their defense is horrible. I think they're gonna get lit

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Speaker 2: up by the Miami Dolphins, specifically by Jayla wattall tonight

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Speaker 2: on Monday Night Football. And I think that you're gonna

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Speaker 2: see this line move. I like getting at forty three

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Speaker 2: and a half now because I don't think the Patriots

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Speaker 2: are gonna be go to stop Matthew Stafford and all

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Speaker 2: these wide receivers Kyrin Williams. Look again, it gets capable offenses.

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Speaker 2: The Patriot's defense has been horrible. It really I think

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Speaker 2: last week or against the Bears, it really was more

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Speaker 2: about just the Bears ineptitude. Oh yeah, about doing anything else.

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Speaker 1: The same thing with the Jets and aptitude. You're right,

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Speaker 1: it's absolutely an aptitude.

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Speaker 2: The Patriots Stephens is still bad and they are going

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Speaker 2: to get treaded by Matthew Staffording company. So I like

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Speaker 2: the over.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, let's go to Las Vegas or eight

220
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Speaker 1: is and the Miami Dolphins. So the Raiders had a

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Speaker 1: week off to think about all their sins of the year,

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Speaker 1: and they are seven point underdogs, which feels like a

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Speaker 1: lot of points. I gotta tell you, Like my faith

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Speaker 1: in the Miami Dolphins is slim and nun Forty five

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Speaker 1: and a half is the number for this one plus

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Speaker 1: two seventy for the Las Vegas Raiders. This game does

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Speaker 1: not have a lot of appeal to me personally. Here

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Speaker 1: there's a ton of value on the upset special on Vegas.

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Speaker 1: I just don't know if I'm there yet. A lot

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Speaker 1: of that would have to do with the health of

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Speaker 1: Tyreek Hill. If Hill doesn't play tonight and it turns

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Speaker 1: out this risk issue is a longer term thing, then

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden, I'm looking at that plus two

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Speaker 1: seventy and I'm thinking, Okay, that's good. I just don't

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Speaker 1: have enough information right now. So from an early line standpoint,

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Speaker 1: this is a game that I'm a little bit more

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Speaker 1: setting my line alerts on betting Pros, which you can do,

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Speaker 1: by the way, set those line alerts, download the BP apps,

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Speaker 1: set the line alerts, watch where this one goes and

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Speaker 1: how this might grow or shrink in the days to

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Speaker 1: come as more information floods out there with the custom

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Speaker 1: line alerts. Again, you can get that over on VP.

243
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Speaker 1: But Andrew, where are you at here with this game too,

244
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Speaker 1: because again, it's still kind of waiting on a little

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Speaker 1: bit more clarity with Tyreek Hill, and we'll see if

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Speaker 1: or how he performs tonight.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't like that many points for the Miami Dolphins,

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Speaker 2: even if they're playing at home or they're theoretically supposed

249
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Speaker 2: to be better, but that really hasn't been the case

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Speaker 2: this year. So I actually really like the under forty

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Speaker 2: five and a half points. That's what the total is

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Speaker 2: right now. I don't expect the Raiders to who's their quarterback?

253
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Speaker 2: Is it going to be Desmon Ritter that comes out

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Speaker 2: as the starting court. If I can against Tesli Ritters

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Speaker 2: scoring points, please sign me up. Because Miami's defense this year,

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Speaker 2: when they've played bad quarterbacks, those games have gone under

257
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Speaker 2: the total. So even as bad as the Raiders defense

258
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Speaker 2: is at times, it's still probably the better of their

259
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Speaker 2: two units offensive defense. The defense is probably still better

260
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Speaker 2: coming off a bye week. I think they can throw

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Speaker 2: an off at the Dolphins coming off a short week,

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Speaker 2: potentially if Tyreek's banged up, and then else you have

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Speaker 2: what happens on Monday night. What if there's another injury

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Speaker 2: to the Dolphins offense, offensive line, and then now you're

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Speaker 2: going to the under. So I think right now, if

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Speaker 2: you're betting this on Monday before the game, just bet

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Speaker 2: the end.

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Speaker 1: This is the classic. You just need more information. So

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Speaker 1: some games, like last week, you know, we had a

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Speaker 1: couple of games that we were really in on. Even

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Speaker 1: this week, a couple that we want to jump in

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Speaker 1: right away. Others sometimes you got to pump the breaks.

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Speaker 1: You need more information, like Green Bay Chicago. I don't

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Speaker 1: need more information. I'm good. I'm good. I've seen enough

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Speaker 1: of the Bears in the last couple of weeks. I

276
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Speaker 1: don't know how they could be so good before the bye,

277
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Speaker 1: like flying high, seeming like they're turning the quarter, hit

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Speaker 1: the bye, and then fall apart, because that's what they've

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Speaker 1: done defensively, offensively, just falling apart. Look and another team

280
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Speaker 1: falling apart of the seams, the Jacksonville Jaguars. Now this

281
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Speaker 1: is a big number. Last time we saw Detroit with

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Speaker 1: a big number, they crushed it. They covered by what

283
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Speaker 1: thirty plus? I mean, so now they get mac Jones

284
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Speaker 1: coming into town Jacksonville Jaguars into Detroit. Twelve and a

285
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Speaker 1: half was the number. Now it's thirteen. In a lot

286
00:12:15,000 --> 00:12:18,439
Speaker 1: of spots already from last night, forty seven and a

287
00:12:18,480 --> 00:12:20,960
Speaker 1: half is the total plus five point fifty for the

288
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Speaker 1: Jags of the money line. Question is are we comfortable

289
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Speaker 1: with the thirteen and will it grow even more? Andrew Ericksson, I.

290
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Speaker 2: Can't believe this line has moved in favor of Lions

291
00:12:31,559 --> 00:12:35,280
Speaker 2: after golf through five interceptions, It's got a lot of

292
00:12:35,320 --> 00:12:38,319
Speaker 2: This has gotten larger after he threw five interceptions in

293
00:12:38,360 --> 00:12:40,839
Speaker 2: the line, somehow won that game came back. I have

294
00:12:40,920 --> 00:12:43,760
Speaker 2: no idea. Still rewatching that game, I thought, man, how

295
00:12:43,800 --> 00:12:46,360
Speaker 2: did they come back? But it's just because they showed

296
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Speaker 2: up in the red zone held the Houston Texas to

297
00:12:48,240 --> 00:12:50,880
Speaker 2: field goals, and that's why red zone defense is so important. So,

298
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Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not touching thirteen points again, it's too

299
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Speaker 2: many points. I get that it's the Lions, but this

300
00:12:56,760 --> 00:12:58,520
Speaker 2: is giving them so much credit. And I get that

301
00:12:58,600 --> 00:13:00,840
Speaker 2: Jacksonville's gonna be playing Mac Jones on the road, but

302
00:13:01,280 --> 00:13:03,520
Speaker 2: I don't know it just laying that many points. Again,

303
00:13:03,559 --> 00:13:05,839
Speaker 2: this is the NFL, right, so many weird things happen.

304
00:13:05,920 --> 00:13:08,360
Speaker 2: I mean, we saw the Jacksonville Jaguars almost upset the

305
00:13:08,360 --> 00:13:11,160
Speaker 2: Minnesota Vikings, and they were a touchdown favorite at home

306
00:13:11,160 --> 00:13:13,559
Speaker 2: against the quarterback that also threw a bunch of interceptions,

307
00:13:13,920 --> 00:13:16,880
Speaker 2: So things can get weird. I think I probably stay away.

308
00:13:17,080 --> 00:13:19,080
Speaker 2: If anything, I probably just bet the over. Again, this

309
00:13:19,120 --> 00:13:22,040
Speaker 2: is Detroit, this is where games usually go again, playing

310
00:13:22,080 --> 00:13:25,760
Speaker 2: at Corsfield Ford Field of the NFL, So anything I

311
00:13:25,840 --> 00:13:27,200
Speaker 2: just bet the over bet on points.

312
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Speaker 1: I'm gonna take this. I'm comfortable with the points. So

313
00:13:30,559 --> 00:13:33,360
Speaker 1: Jared Goff is unfazed by all the Pixie threw. Therefore,

314
00:13:33,400 --> 00:13:35,880
Speaker 1: I am unfazed by it. They continues to win football games,

315
00:13:35,920 --> 00:13:38,160
Speaker 1: and as long as you keep having those good feelings,

316
00:13:38,600 --> 00:13:40,520
Speaker 1: you feel invincible. And I think the Lions right now

317
00:13:40,559 --> 00:13:43,480
Speaker 1: are feeling invincible. And I know a team that's feeling

318
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Speaker 1: quite vincible. And the Jacksonville Jaguars are vinced like they are.

319
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Speaker 1: Just They're done their toast Doug Peterson's toast Mac Jones

320
00:13:54,440 --> 00:13:56,960
Speaker 1: on the road in this building. Now. Nope. I think

321
00:13:57,240 --> 00:14:01,160
Speaker 1: the conquering heroes here, the Detroit line coming home here

322
00:14:01,320 --> 00:14:03,600
Speaker 1: looking good. I think this is another smash, just like

323
00:14:03,600 --> 00:14:05,400
Speaker 1: they did last time. I think the one thing you

324
00:14:05,400 --> 00:14:08,000
Speaker 1: could say about these Dan Campbell teams is they don't

325
00:14:08,080 --> 00:14:10,800
Speaker 1: overlook and fall into these traps, which is something even

326
00:14:10,840 --> 00:14:13,880
Speaker 1: good teams do. Sometimes. We've seen Campbell's got them very

327
00:14:13,880 --> 00:14:17,200
Speaker 1: focused every single week, and typically this would be a

328
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Speaker 1: trap game on the schedule. You would say, Okay, just

329
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Speaker 1: big game against Houston. You know you want it on

330
00:14:23,240 --> 00:14:25,400
Speaker 1: the road. Despite something I football, all these things you

331
00:14:25,520 --> 00:14:28,200
Speaker 1: made the kick by the skin of your teeth. Okay,

332
00:14:28,240 --> 00:14:30,280
Speaker 1: get never the big letdown next week. I don't think

333
00:14:30,280 --> 00:14:32,480
Speaker 1: that letdown happens. I don't think Dan Campbell's a letdown

334
00:14:32,600 --> 00:14:35,680
Speaker 1: kind of guy. And that's why they're eight and one.

335
00:14:35,880 --> 00:14:38,320
Speaker 1: That's that's why they are where they are right now.

336
00:14:38,360 --> 00:14:40,360
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about the Cleveland Browns and the

337
00:14:40,400 --> 00:14:44,640
Speaker 1: New Orleans Saints. Man, oh man, the adage is true. Now.

338
00:14:44,640 --> 00:14:47,760
Speaker 1: I wasn't here last week. I was on vacation, so

339
00:14:47,840 --> 00:14:50,640
Speaker 1: you missed the whole. Every time a team fires their

340
00:14:50,640 --> 00:14:53,080
Speaker 1: head coach, you go and you bet them, except when

341
00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:56,200
Speaker 1: it's the Jets, and you know what, I wasn't here

342
00:14:56,200 --> 00:14:59,960
Speaker 1: to talk about it. I don't know if you guys. Okay, good.

343
00:15:00,160 --> 00:15:02,320
Speaker 1: I'm so glad that Furman did it because that is

344
00:15:02,360 --> 00:15:04,920
Speaker 1: something you always run to. Despite the fact that those

345
00:15:04,920 --> 00:15:08,560
Speaker 1: the falcons, all those things. I hope everybody listened to Terrell.

346
00:15:09,160 --> 00:15:10,800
Speaker 1: They are now two point two and a half point

347
00:15:10,880 --> 00:15:13,800
Speaker 1: favorites against the Cleveland Browns in their own building here

348
00:15:13,840 --> 00:15:15,680
Speaker 1: in New Orleans. Forty four is the number for this

349
00:15:15,720 --> 00:15:18,160
Speaker 1: one plus one twenty. I'm going the over on the

350
00:15:18,160 --> 00:15:19,880
Speaker 1: forty four. To me, that's the best way to approach

351
00:15:19,920 --> 00:15:21,640
Speaker 1: this one. It was fun last week. Haha, we got

352
00:15:21,720 --> 00:15:25,040
Speaker 1: to win. My faith in New Orleans isn't great. It's

353
00:15:25,120 --> 00:15:27,840
Speaker 1: usually that one week bounce you get where teams rally

354
00:15:27,920 --> 00:15:32,080
Speaker 1: around when a beloved head coach is fired. It's different

355
00:15:32,320 --> 00:15:35,240
Speaker 1: when a head coach people don't like as fired. That's

356
00:15:35,240 --> 00:15:38,240
Speaker 1: when the w's tend to circle. So, Andrew Erickson, how

357
00:15:38,240 --> 00:15:40,960
Speaker 1: do you approach the Cleveland Browns off the bye against

358
00:15:41,000 --> 00:15:45,600
Speaker 1: the streaking one win in a row New Orleans Saints?

359
00:15:46,160 --> 00:15:48,280
Speaker 2: Yeah? I think this is where we see the dead

360
00:15:48,320 --> 00:15:51,520
Speaker 2: cat bounce kind of that's right. You get the boost

361
00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:53,200
Speaker 2: for the one week, and then you kind of go

362
00:15:53,240 --> 00:15:55,600
Speaker 2: back to, wow, the Saints team trade away Marshall Latimore

363
00:15:55,680 --> 00:15:56,680
Speaker 2: really doesn't have a good run.

364
00:15:56,720 --> 00:15:58,800
Speaker 1: You say, we can't rely on mvs to have three

365
00:15:58,880 --> 00:16:00,760
Speaker 1: catches for one hundred yards in two tons.

366
00:16:00,800 --> 00:16:03,080
Speaker 2: No, you know, I was thinking about this about, you know,

367
00:16:03,080 --> 00:16:05,400
Speaker 2: putting in where do you rank MBS in your waiver

368
00:16:05,440 --> 00:16:07,760
Speaker 2: wire rankings for fantasy because you know everyone's gonna look

369
00:16:07,760 --> 00:16:09,040
Speaker 2: at the box score, but then you look at the

370
00:16:09,080 --> 00:16:11,160
Speaker 2: matchup right, getting the face of the Cleveland Browns who

371
00:16:11,200 --> 00:16:13,280
Speaker 2: actually like here on the money line, just win out right,

372
00:16:13,400 --> 00:16:16,240
Speaker 2: Jameis Winston revenge game against the New Orleans Saints, going

373
00:16:16,280 --> 00:16:18,320
Speaker 2: head to head with Derek Carr. So I do like

374
00:16:18,400 --> 00:16:20,320
Speaker 2: Winston and the Browns to kind of get it done here.

375
00:16:20,360 --> 00:16:23,200
Speaker 2: But the one team that always seems to have coverage

376
00:16:23,240 --> 00:16:24,800
Speaker 2: busts is the Cleveland Browns.

377
00:16:24,880 --> 00:16:26,680
Speaker 1: Yeah. Oh, that's why I'm saying, just getting the over,

378
00:16:27,160 --> 00:16:28,840
Speaker 1: give me the over. They have bad coverage.

379
00:16:28,880 --> 00:16:30,720
Speaker 2: Moment benefits from that, the most is.

380
00:16:32,200 --> 00:16:34,640
Speaker 1: Right, you just got to actually catch the football. He

381
00:16:34,760 --> 00:16:37,520
Speaker 1: just got actually and he did all the three targets

382
00:16:37,520 --> 00:16:42,560
Speaker 1: he caught for a c note and two tunnies. Unbelievable. Unbelievable.

383
00:16:42,560 --> 00:16:43,880
Speaker 1: All right, So let's go the over on that one.

384
00:16:43,880 --> 00:16:46,840
Speaker 1: I think we both agree. Minnesota seven and two, and

385
00:16:47,000 --> 00:16:49,280
Speaker 1: ugly victory for them in a game they should have smashed,

386
00:16:49,320 --> 00:16:52,600
Speaker 1: but they did not. Boom Sam Donald. You know the

387
00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:54,840
Speaker 1: only nine and two this week, and one of those

388
00:16:54,840 --> 00:16:58,440
Speaker 1: two that I lost was by three yards from Sam Donald.

389
00:16:58,520 --> 00:16:58,800
Speaker 2: Three.

390
00:16:59,280 --> 00:17:02,080
Speaker 1: You couldn't have got one less interception. Just one more

391
00:17:02,120 --> 00:17:05,880
Speaker 1: completion would have done it for me. Anyway. The Tennessee Titans,

392
00:17:05,920 --> 00:17:09,160
Speaker 1: they stink. They'll be at home against the Minnesota Vikings.

393
00:17:09,160 --> 00:17:11,440
Speaker 1: The Vikings six and a half point favorites. Thirty nine

394
00:17:11,480 --> 00:17:14,120
Speaker 1: and a half is the number plus two twenty five

395
00:17:14,200 --> 00:17:18,879
Speaker 1: for the Tennessee side. So Andrew, Hey, I don't know

396
00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:22,000
Speaker 1: any love here on the money line. Maybe for the

397
00:17:22,040 --> 00:17:24,280
Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans. I know it sounds a little crazy, but

398
00:17:24,800 --> 00:17:27,320
Speaker 1: I don't know. This Vikings team just doesn't seem to

399
00:17:27,359 --> 00:17:29,280
Speaker 1: have the same UMFID had in the first six weeks

400
00:17:29,280 --> 00:17:29,800
Speaker 1: of the season.

401
00:17:31,000 --> 00:17:33,800
Speaker 2: I would agree. I think Titans plus six and a

402
00:17:33,840 --> 00:17:35,520
Speaker 2: half is one of the better bets that you can

403
00:17:35,560 --> 00:17:38,080
Speaker 2: make right now, because remember what happened last week, right,

404
00:17:38,240 --> 00:17:40,200
Speaker 2: So we had the Vikings on the road, it's four

405
00:17:40,240 --> 00:17:42,200
Speaker 2: and a half point favorites. When we thought Trevor Lawrence

406
00:17:42,240 --> 00:17:44,119
Speaker 2: is gonna be the quarterback in Jacksonville and then Mac

407
00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:46,159
Speaker 2: Jones gets to start and moves to a touchdown and

408
00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:49,280
Speaker 2: they only win by five points because Sam Donald's strowing

409
00:17:49,280 --> 00:17:52,200
Speaker 2: interceptions left and right. The Titans actually have a good defense,

410
00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:54,920
Speaker 2: like it is significantly better than Jacksonville. So I'm looking

411
00:17:54,960 --> 00:17:57,120
Speaker 2: at this line. Didn't we just learn our lesson from

412
00:17:57,200 --> 00:17:59,080
Speaker 2: last week where no, you don't want to lay that

413
00:17:59,119 --> 00:18:01,440
Speaker 2: many points with Sam darm on the road, and we're

414
00:18:01,440 --> 00:18:02,000
Speaker 2: doing that again.

415
00:18:02,040 --> 00:18:02,480
Speaker 1: It's two weeks.

416
00:18:02,600 --> 00:18:04,040
Speaker 2: Laying six and a half points is sam down on

417
00:18:04,040 --> 00:18:06,240
Speaker 2: the road. So yes, give me the Titans plus six

418
00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:08,280
Speaker 2: and a half. And like Trel always says, you got

419
00:18:08,320 --> 00:18:10,360
Speaker 2: a sprinkle sprinkle money line on your dogs, man.

420
00:18:10,320 --> 00:18:15,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, next to the mustard. Look, I'm I'm there. I'm there.

421
00:18:15,000 --> 00:18:17,800
Speaker 1: And maybe it's my rage from missing that bed less week.

422
00:18:17,840 --> 00:18:20,680
Speaker 1: Maybe I'm just maybe I'm betting too emotional. Maybe that's

423
00:18:20,720 --> 00:18:22,560
Speaker 1: what I'm doing. I don't know, but I kind of

424
00:18:22,600 --> 00:18:23,920
Speaker 1: say the same thing. I don't know if I'm there

425
00:18:24,000 --> 00:18:26,480
Speaker 1: quite for the plus two thirty yet, but I'm there

426
00:18:26,480 --> 00:18:28,160
Speaker 1: for the six and a half right now. Maybe by

427
00:18:28,160 --> 00:18:30,040
Speaker 1: Thursday I'll be there too. I'm sure Terrell will talk

428
00:18:30,040 --> 00:18:31,800
Speaker 1: me into it, knowing him. All right, let's get to

429
00:18:31,880 --> 00:18:33,439
Speaker 1: the next one here. This is a big game with

430
00:18:33,600 --> 00:18:39,359
Speaker 1: big implications. Baltimore and Pittsburgh three point favorites on the

431
00:18:39,440 --> 00:18:42,160
Speaker 1: road are the Baltimore Ravens going into Pittsburgh. Forty seven

432
00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:44,440
Speaker 1: and a half is the number plus one thirty five.

433
00:18:44,560 --> 00:18:47,440
Speaker 1: This looks like a football game that we can all

434
00:18:48,080 --> 00:18:50,879
Speaker 1: rally around in that one o'clock hour and watch. And

435
00:18:50,960 --> 00:18:53,360
Speaker 1: if you love football, this is it right here. This

436
00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:56,640
Speaker 1: is like playoff ish style stuff. You're gonna get here

437
00:18:56,760 --> 00:19:00,159
Speaker 1: in week eleven, So Andrew, this line is basically telling

438
00:19:00,240 --> 00:19:02,240
Speaker 1: you we're kind of like just straight down the middle.

439
00:19:02,600 --> 00:19:05,640
Speaker 1: So in a game that has range of outcomes in it, right,

440
00:19:05,920 --> 00:19:07,920
Speaker 1: which seems like a fair amount, I think the range

441
00:19:07,920 --> 00:19:09,480
Speaker 1: of alcal I'm gonna take is the over on the

442
00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:12,040
Speaker 1: forty seven and a half, which I know sometimes these

443
00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:15,040
Speaker 1: Indivision games get together this is what happens. But with

444
00:19:15,119 --> 00:19:17,280
Speaker 1: the way Baltimore Secondary is played, I just don't have

445
00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:19,600
Speaker 1: any faith that they can stop anything. And I think,

446
00:19:19,800 --> 00:19:23,000
Speaker 1: you know, this going more towards what not quite what

447
00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:25,600
Speaker 1: we saw on Thursday. As we talked last week, we'll

448
00:19:25,600 --> 00:19:28,119
Speaker 1: like just smash the over. It could be sixty, we

449
00:19:28,160 --> 00:19:31,320
Speaker 1: want the over, right, and it went to seventy again, right,

450
00:19:32,119 --> 00:19:34,639
Speaker 1: This one again feels like it's going to get towards

451
00:19:34,680 --> 00:19:36,719
Speaker 1: that over. For me, Are you as bullish on this

452
00:19:36,920 --> 00:19:38,800
Speaker 1: total as I am?

453
00:19:39,280 --> 00:19:41,040
Speaker 2: I think that's gotta be the lean, right because you

454
00:19:41,080 --> 00:19:44,160
Speaker 2: look at Baltimore Pittsburgh historically, right, these are all games

455
00:19:44,200 --> 00:19:46,680
Speaker 2: at ah, this game's totally going under. But the fact

456
00:19:46,720 --> 00:19:49,600
Speaker 2: that these teams have really morphed into some really strong

457
00:19:49,600 --> 00:19:53,200
Speaker 2: offensive play, It's like Hey, this is this game going

458
00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:55,119
Speaker 2: over is to make up for all those unders for

459
00:19:55,240 --> 00:19:58,960
Speaker 2: so many years where every single game goes under the total. Again,

460
00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:01,040
Speaker 2: it's weird. It seems to steal you game in this

461
00:20:01,119 --> 00:20:04,480
Speaker 2: day and age with Mike Tomlin TJ. Watt total forty

462
00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:06,760
Speaker 2: seven and a half points. That's got to be. That's

463
00:20:06,800 --> 00:20:09,320
Speaker 2: such a bizarre number to close or to open for

464
00:20:09,359 --> 00:20:11,320
Speaker 2: a total. With the game the Pittsburgh steel is playing

465
00:20:11,400 --> 00:20:13,920
Speaker 2: at home, but it's talking about how good this Ravens

466
00:20:13,920 --> 00:20:16,239
Speaker 2: offense is. They destroy everyone they play, it doesn't matter.

467
00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:18,639
Speaker 2: They're gonna score point against everybody. And the Steelers' offense

468
00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:21,359
Speaker 2: with Russ has been cooking think averaging over thirty points

469
00:20:21,359 --> 00:20:23,760
Speaker 2: per game, and the Ravens defense has shown zero ability

470
00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:25,920
Speaker 2: to stop anybody on the defensive side of the ball.

471
00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:28,160
Speaker 2: So I agree with you. I do think that there

472
00:20:28,240 --> 00:20:29,800
Speaker 2: might be and this is something that I'm always trying

473
00:20:29,800 --> 00:20:33,640
Speaker 2: to think about, some value in looking at this from

474
00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:36,720
Speaker 2: a live perspective where you have two divisional teams. Maybe

475
00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:38,720
Speaker 2: come out it's a little bit tight, a little bit slow. Again,

476
00:20:38,760 --> 00:20:41,960
Speaker 2: what happened last week, right Bengals Ravens. There wasn't any score,

477
00:20:42,080 --> 00:20:44,280
Speaker 2: There wasn't much scoring in the first half, right, and

478
00:20:44,320 --> 00:20:46,359
Speaker 2: then if you bet the over in the second half, Oh, baby,

479
00:20:46,520 --> 00:20:49,480
Speaker 2: like you were cooking with a ton of value. So

480
00:20:49,560 --> 00:20:52,119
Speaker 2: I think that might be an interesting one. Interesting from

481
00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:53,080
Speaker 2: a live perspective.

482
00:20:53,160 --> 00:20:55,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like that. I like that. Look at Andrew

483
00:20:55,320 --> 00:20:57,560
Speaker 1: dropping the knowledge here And if you need more knowledge too,

484
00:20:57,920 --> 00:21:01,840
Speaker 1: you should try the Betting Pro Betting Systems tool another

485
00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:04,200
Speaker 1: great tool over our Betting Pro. So download the app

486
00:21:04,240 --> 00:21:06,600
Speaker 1: sink your sportsbooks for free and check out the Betting

487
00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:09,200
Speaker 1: Systems tool that's designed to help you find winning strategies

488
00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:11,919
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489
00:21:11,960 --> 00:21:15,159
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490
00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:18,400
Speaker 1: best opportunities. Using real time data and expert analysis, track

491
00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:21,400
Speaker 1: your performance of different betting systems over time, and optimize

492
00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:24,800
Speaker 1: your bets to increase your chances of success. So download

493
00:21:24,840 --> 00:21:27,680
Speaker 1: the BP app today, elevate your betting strategy and start

494
00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:31,640
Speaker 1: making smarter bets now. The Indianapolis Colts can stay alive

495
00:21:31,680 --> 00:21:34,120
Speaker 1: in the playoff hunt here at four and six if

496
00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:38,879
Speaker 1: they can somehow beat the New York Jets in their building.

497
00:21:39,240 --> 00:21:42,760
Speaker 1: The Jets are three point favorites in this game. I'm

498
00:21:42,800 --> 00:21:44,560
Speaker 1: not gonna say it's a Joe Flacko revenge game, as

499
00:21:44,600 --> 00:21:46,480
Speaker 1: though Joe Flacko Revenge from the New York Jets says

500
00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:49,200
Speaker 1: it doesn't exist. Forty four is the number plus one

501
00:21:49,280 --> 00:21:51,480
Speaker 1: thirty five if you like the Indianapolis Cults on the

502
00:21:51,480 --> 00:21:54,960
Speaker 1: money line, that's where the value is. For me, it's

503
00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:57,480
Speaker 1: the plus side taking the Colts to somehow find a way.

504
00:21:58,359 --> 00:22:00,560
Speaker 1: It all depends on do you think the wheels have

505
00:22:00,560 --> 00:22:03,879
Speaker 1: come off this time? I warned everybody last week, just

506
00:22:03,920 --> 00:22:07,040
Speaker 1: because the Jets beat the Texans without Nico Collins, without

507
00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:10,000
Speaker 1: Stefan Diggs in their own building, Houston, traveling on a

508
00:22:10,040 --> 00:22:12,080
Speaker 1: short week. There were so many reasons, and they were

509
00:22:12,119 --> 00:22:15,040
Speaker 1: still terrible in the first half of that game, and

510
00:22:15,119 --> 00:22:16,960
Speaker 1: yet they came out with a victory, and everybody wanted

511
00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:18,280
Speaker 1: to think, Oh, the Jets are back. Jets are back.

512
00:22:18,359 --> 00:22:22,560
Speaker 1: They're not back. They just got shellacked by the Arizona Cardinals. Okay,

513
00:22:22,800 --> 00:22:25,439
Speaker 1: so Andrew, how do you approach this one?

514
00:22:25,480 --> 00:22:25,720
Speaker 2: To me?

515
00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:29,240
Speaker 1: Again, the value is close your eyes and bet the

516
00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:32,359
Speaker 1: Colts not a good team, but maybe a team that

517
00:22:32,440 --> 00:22:33,920
Speaker 1: might be good enough to be the Jets team. That

518
00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:35,280
Speaker 1: just seems like it's in disarray.

519
00:22:37,040 --> 00:22:39,199
Speaker 2: I mean, aren't the Colts in disarray? I mean, what

520
00:22:39,240 --> 00:22:41,359
Speaker 2: about the Colts? Last two weeks has shown Oh, this

521
00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:43,480
Speaker 2: is a team that knows exactly what they're doing. True,

522
00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:45,359
Speaker 2: So that's the thing I don't mean, I don't I mean,

523
00:22:45,400 --> 00:22:46,800
Speaker 2: you don't like either team here, So I'll just take

524
00:22:46,840 --> 00:22:48,720
Speaker 2: the Jets playing at home. It's only three points, Like

525
00:22:48,840 --> 00:22:50,600
Speaker 2: Rogers can't beat Olaca by three points.

526
00:22:51,040 --> 00:22:53,240
Speaker 1: I don't know. I think we're at the point where

527
00:22:53,320 --> 00:22:58,680
Speaker 1: that's a real question, and the real question I don't know.

528
00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:02,639
Speaker 1: I mean, at this point, it's a real dilemma. The

529
00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:06,600
Speaker 1: Denver Broncos gave the Chiefs everything they had, came up short.

530
00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:08,520
Speaker 1: They are one and a half point favorites at home

531
00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:12,000
Speaker 1: against the Atlanta Falcons. Forty three and a half is

532
00:23:12,040 --> 00:23:14,120
Speaker 1: the total plus one oh five on the Falcons side

533
00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:16,600
Speaker 1: of this one. The Falcons in themselves are huge disservice

534
00:23:17,480 --> 00:23:20,520
Speaker 1: they needed. They should have put their foot on the

535
00:23:20,560 --> 00:23:23,840
Speaker 1: Saints run away with that division. Now you're gonna have

536
00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:26,960
Speaker 1: a tough game here. I like the Denver Broncos on

537
00:23:27,040 --> 00:23:28,800
Speaker 1: this game one hundred percent. This is actually one of

538
00:23:28,840 --> 00:23:31,159
Speaker 1: my favorite bets of the week. Give me the Broncos

539
00:23:32,000 --> 00:23:33,560
Speaker 1: on the money line minus one twenty five. You just

540
00:23:33,600 --> 00:23:36,280
Speaker 1: want to keep it simple or give me the minus

541
00:23:36,320 --> 00:23:38,360
Speaker 1: one and a half. You're feeling plucky here on this one.

542
00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:40,639
Speaker 1: But I think the Denver Broncos come out with a

543
00:23:40,680 --> 00:23:43,720
Speaker 1: victory at home. Bough Nick has played very well words that. Again,

544
00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:46,720
Speaker 1: I don't tend to feel like we're going to materialize

545
00:23:46,720 --> 00:23:48,640
Speaker 1: from my mouth in twenty twenty four. Yet here we are.

546
00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:51,479
Speaker 1: But more often than not, he has gotten the job done.

547
00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:55,119
Speaker 1: Defense is pretty good. Maybe estimate continues to elevate this

548
00:23:55,200 --> 00:23:57,840
Speaker 1: run game a little bit, but to me, it feels

549
00:23:57,880 --> 00:24:00,720
Speaker 1: like I just don't have the confidence Kirk Cousins and

550
00:24:00,760 --> 00:24:02,879
Speaker 1: that team going into Denver and coming out with a victory.

551
00:24:02,920 --> 00:24:04,520
Speaker 1: I think the Denver Broncos find a way to win

552
00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:04,840
Speaker 1: this game.

553
00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:08,040
Speaker 2: Your thoughts, I mean, that's what the market agrees because

554
00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:09,879
Speaker 2: you have the Broncos are our favorite at home. And

555
00:24:10,160 --> 00:24:11,600
Speaker 2: when I was first looking at this game, I wasn't

556
00:24:11,600 --> 00:24:13,359
Speaker 2: really sure. I mean, man, should the Broncos be favored?

557
00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:14,840
Speaker 1: But I would have had them at two and a half.

558
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:16,440
Speaker 1: When I saw the one and a half, I was like, okay,

559
00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:18,080
Speaker 1: Like fine.

560
00:24:19,040 --> 00:24:21,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I don't really have any bullish stance

561
00:24:21,840 --> 00:24:24,760
Speaker 2: on the Atlanta Falcons. Again, they obviously felt victim because

562
00:24:24,760 --> 00:24:26,360
Speaker 2: THEYD no chance because they were up against the dead

563
00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:28,040
Speaker 2: cat down so they were going to lose that game

564
00:24:28,040 --> 00:24:29,919
Speaker 2: pretty much no matter what. So they didn't really have

565
00:24:30,040 --> 00:24:32,520
Speaker 2: So I'm not trying to take specifically what happened last

566
00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:34,440
Speaker 2: week at Atlanta, but it has had plenty of moments

567
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:37,480
Speaker 2: this year where they've floundered right in specific spots or

568
00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:39,320
Speaker 2: maybe they were the better team. They have been pretty

569
00:24:39,320 --> 00:24:40,800
Speaker 2: good on the road this season, so that's one of

570
00:24:40,840 --> 00:24:42,719
Speaker 2: the things. I'm not sure how much I want to

571
00:24:42,920 --> 00:24:46,240
Speaker 2: give Denver quote unquote home field advantage, but Denver, I say,

572
00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:47,600
Speaker 2: is one of the places that probably still has a

573
00:24:47,600 --> 00:24:49,639
Speaker 2: little bit of home field advantage to it, because I

574
00:24:49,680 --> 00:24:51,680
Speaker 2: don't think that exists nearly as much as we give

575
00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:54,119
Speaker 2: credit to sometimes. But yeah, I think I want to

576
00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:55,560
Speaker 2: dive into this more a little bit, but I think

577
00:24:55,600 --> 00:24:57,399
Speaker 2: you're kind of convincing me that the Broncos side is

578
00:24:57,440 --> 00:24:58,360
Speaker 2: probably the sure.

579
00:24:58,720 --> 00:25:00,320
Speaker 1: I gotta tell you, man, Like I said, it would

580
00:25:00,320 --> 00:25:02,320
Speaker 1: be two and a half at least, you know, with

581
00:25:02,400 --> 00:25:05,160
Speaker 1: the way the Broncos play. Broncos winning the Kansas City

582
00:25:05,160 --> 00:25:06,959
Speaker 1: and basically, you know, had it sewn up.

583
00:25:07,040 --> 00:25:08,760
Speaker 2: They wont I mean they were gonna win the right,

584
00:25:08,760 --> 00:25:09,920
Speaker 2: I mean, the guy missed the field goals.

585
00:25:09,920 --> 00:25:12,280
Speaker 1: So let's give let's give Denver some credit when I

586
00:25:12,320 --> 00:25:15,560
Speaker 1: go home. Yeah, I know, I hate the term moral victory,

587
00:25:15,600 --> 00:25:17,960
Speaker 1: but it kind of was like it kind of is

588
00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:19,800
Speaker 1: like if you're Sean Payton, you come back with this

589
00:25:19,800 --> 00:25:22,240
Speaker 1: team and say, hey, look tough, tough beat you know,

590
00:25:22,320 --> 00:25:24,760
Speaker 1: but you show that you can hang with the best

591
00:25:24,760 --> 00:25:26,360
Speaker 1: of the best. You're hanging with the Chiefs, You're hanging

592
00:25:26,400 --> 00:25:29,240
Speaker 1: with the Super Bowl champions. Right, go home beat the

593
00:25:29,280 --> 00:25:31,800
Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons, and I think they will all Right, Seattle

594
00:25:31,800 --> 00:25:33,879
Speaker 1: and San Francisco. San Francisco at home six and a

595
00:25:33,880 --> 00:25:35,399
Speaker 1: half point favorites forty nine and a half is the

596
00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:37,480
Speaker 1: number plus two sixty on the money line for the

597
00:25:37,560 --> 00:25:40,680
Speaker 1: upset for the Seattle Seahawks. Andrew, I'm waiting on DK

598
00:25:40,720 --> 00:25:42,760
Speaker 1: Metcalfe news. That's what I'm waiting for in this game.

599
00:25:42,880 --> 00:25:45,080
Speaker 1: If DK metcalf is playing, I like the points with

600
00:25:45,119 --> 00:25:47,080
Speaker 1: the Seahawks. I think they, even in garbage time, might

601
00:25:47,119 --> 00:25:48,639
Speaker 1: be able to find a way. What do you think

602
00:25:48,640 --> 00:25:49,760
Speaker 1: about San Franz Seattle?

603
00:25:51,400 --> 00:25:55,000
Speaker 2: The forty nine ers Man the froudy nine ers trying

604
00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:57,040
Speaker 2: to cover the spread. They keep missing field goals left

605
00:25:57,040 --> 00:25:58,679
Speaker 2: and right. They can't get out of their own way.

606
00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:02,080
Speaker 2: Caffrey's back. But it seems like again just going back

607
00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:04,000
Speaker 2: to the season long fade at the forty nine ers

608
00:26:04,040 --> 00:26:06,199
Speaker 2: right there, just always seems like there's like something is

609
00:26:06,240 --> 00:26:08,240
Speaker 2: missing from this team, and it just seems like they're

610
00:26:08,240 --> 00:26:10,480
Speaker 2: always coming up just short. Even if they win games,

611
00:26:10,520 --> 00:26:13,080
Speaker 2: it's just barely they're winning games. They're not looking nearly

612
00:26:13,080 --> 00:26:15,439
Speaker 2: as effective as they were last year. I think for

613
00:26:15,480 --> 00:26:17,320
Speaker 2: me it's like again going back to Deacon Metcalf, he

614
00:26:17,359 --> 00:26:18,800
Speaker 2: doesn't play like, how is this game going to go

615
00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:20,359
Speaker 2: over forty nine and a half points?

616
00:26:20,400 --> 00:26:23,359
Speaker 1: Well, that's that's why again again I can't make a

617
00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:26,040
Speaker 1: decision on until I get that news. Yeah, one way

618
00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:26,320
Speaker 1: or no.

619
00:26:26,520 --> 00:26:28,080
Speaker 2: I think I'm probably hands on.

620
00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:30,160
Speaker 1: All right, this is a wait for us on this

621
00:26:30,200 --> 00:26:34,639
Speaker 1: one Kansas City at Buffalo. Here we go. Okay, Casey.

622
00:26:35,119 --> 00:26:37,880
Speaker 1: You know, people keep giving Casey all the crap because

623
00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:39,600
Speaker 1: they keep finding ways to win games. Well, guess what,

624
00:26:39,920 --> 00:26:43,880
Speaker 1: when you're well coached and you have good players on offense, defensive,

625
00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:46,320
Speaker 1: special teams, you find ways to win games. Isn't that odd?

626
00:26:46,400 --> 00:26:47,000
Speaker 1: Isn't that something?

627
00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:47,600
Speaker 2: You know?

628
00:26:48,400 --> 00:26:50,120
Speaker 1: And you have leadership and all that stuff, all those

629
00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:52,320
Speaker 1: intangible things. Yeah, look, you can hit on the Gamesay,

630
00:26:52,359 --> 00:26:55,679
Speaker 1: Chiefs all you want. Sorry, they keep there not in

631
00:26:55,760 --> 00:26:58,679
Speaker 1: Oh and the Buffalo Bills might be withou Dalton Kinkade

632
00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:02,000
Speaker 1: for this game. We'll see health of key On Coleman too. Still,

633
00:27:02,040 --> 00:27:04,320
Speaker 1: the Buffalo Bills are favored minus one and a half.

634
00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:06,800
Speaker 1: Right now, That's that's where we're at. So Patrick Mahomes

635
00:27:06,840 --> 00:27:08,879
Speaker 1: is the underdog, which you know me, I'm taking the

636
00:27:09,000 --> 00:27:10,640
Speaker 1: Chiefs on the money line at plus one o five.

637
00:27:10,680 --> 00:27:12,680
Speaker 1: The total is forty six and a half. As soon

638
00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:16,280
Speaker 1: as I see again, it's like you're undefeated and you're

639
00:27:16,280 --> 00:27:18,920
Speaker 1: telling Patrick Mahomes easy underdog. You bet it every single

640
00:27:18,960 --> 00:27:21,240
Speaker 1: time until it and even if it goes bust, I'm

641
00:27:21,240 --> 00:27:22,840
Speaker 1: still betting it every single time.

642
00:27:22,880 --> 00:27:26,119
Speaker 2: Your thoughts, Andrew, I mean, I don't I don't know

643
00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:27,879
Speaker 2: how I'm just could follow that up because everything you

644
00:27:27,880 --> 00:27:30,040
Speaker 2: said is one hundred percent accurate. Just bet just keep it,

645
00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:32,159
Speaker 2: I mean, just keep betting pack Like why do the

646
00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:33,080
Speaker 2: books keep doing this?

647
00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:33,360
Speaker 1: Right?

648
00:27:33,400 --> 00:27:34,480
Speaker 2: Why do you keep making cause they.

649
00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:37,560
Speaker 1: Hate Buffalo dog. They hate the Buffalo Bills, they hate

650
00:27:37,600 --> 00:27:40,480
Speaker 1: the Ravens. They just keep making him an underdog in

651
00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:43,560
Speaker 1: these big games. I don't get it. I don't understand.

652
00:27:45,080 --> 00:27:48,600
Speaker 2: Again, eventually they will lose game as an underdog. But

653
00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:51,920
Speaker 2: is this the matchup? The process says, just keep betting

654
00:27:51,920 --> 00:27:55,120
Speaker 2: on him as underdog. So I'm gonna I'll dive into

655
00:27:55,160 --> 00:27:56,520
Speaker 2: this a little bit more on in the Betting pros primer

656
00:27:56,520 --> 00:27:58,320
Speaker 2: of this week off right now, I have nothing else

657
00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:00,960
Speaker 2: to nothing else to come back with the Mahomes as

658
00:28:01,000 --> 00:28:03,280
Speaker 2: the underdog take. I don't care even.

659
00:28:03,200 --> 00:28:04,720
Speaker 1: If it goes bust. I would still do it the

660
00:28:04,720 --> 00:28:07,640
Speaker 1: next week if it happened next week, Like I'm just like, okay, But.

661
00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:09,760
Speaker 2: That's that's not wrong, because nine if you bet, if

662
00:28:09,800 --> 00:28:12,360
Speaker 2: you bet on Mahomes one hundred times an underdog, you're

663
00:28:12,400 --> 00:28:12,720
Speaker 2: gonna be.

664
00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:16,400
Speaker 1: Right every dog you are, you just are all right.

665
00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:19,640
Speaker 1: Cincinnati Bengals, Joe Burrow was right. We're not a championship

666
00:28:19,680 --> 00:28:22,360
Speaker 1: caliber team. He was right, You're just not. The defense

667
00:28:22,480 --> 00:28:25,760
Speaker 1: is poor, the tacklings atrocious. They're taking on the Los

668
00:28:25,800 --> 00:28:28,480
Speaker 1: Angeles Chargers. The Chargers are minus two and a half

669
00:28:28,520 --> 00:28:30,760
Speaker 1: on this one. Forty five is the number plus one

670
00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:34,679
Speaker 1: twenty on the Cincinnati Bengals money line. Look, man, you

671
00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:37,879
Speaker 1: know the Chargers. I'm starting to buy into the Chargers.

672
00:28:37,920 --> 00:28:39,760
Speaker 1: I had this weird thing where I was not in

673
00:28:39,840 --> 00:28:42,560
Speaker 1: on the Chargers to start the year, and I kind

674
00:28:42,600 --> 00:28:44,920
Speaker 1: of wanted to see how it flowed. And now I'm

675
00:28:44,960 --> 00:28:47,000
Speaker 1: at a point where I'm starting to believe a little

676
00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:51,200
Speaker 1: bit that they've figured figuring out their identity. And I

677
00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:53,840
Speaker 1: just feel like no lead is safe for the Bengals

678
00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:56,400
Speaker 1: where that defense plays, So two and a half is

679
00:28:56,440 --> 00:28:58,520
Speaker 1: comfortable for me. I'm taking the Chargers with the two

680
00:28:58,560 --> 00:28:58,920
Speaker 1: and a half.

681
00:28:58,920 --> 00:29:02,400
Speaker 2: Your thoughts, I like the Bengals here, Okay, again, I

682
00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:06,680
Speaker 2: think that their offense is still I just love their offense.

683
00:29:06,720 --> 00:29:09,000
Speaker 2: I think they can score points. Joe Burrow the trends

684
00:29:09,080 --> 00:29:11,880
Speaker 2: point to him coming off losses one of the best

685
00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:14,040
Speaker 2: against the spread. So kind of like backing Mahomes as

686
00:29:14,040 --> 00:29:16,200
Speaker 2: an underdog, backing Joe Burrow after a loss, especially I

687
00:29:16,280 --> 00:29:18,000
Speaker 2: lost against the Baltimore Ravens where I mean, they had

688
00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:19,880
Speaker 2: that game. It just came down to the two point conversion.

689
00:29:20,040 --> 00:29:21,560
Speaker 2: It came up short, but we know they can put

690
00:29:21,600 --> 00:29:23,040
Speaker 2: up points. If anything, I just like the over in

691
00:29:23,080 --> 00:29:26,120
Speaker 2: this game, Like we've seen, the Chargers were willing to

692
00:29:26,160 --> 00:29:27,719
Speaker 2: open it up through the air when we have to.

693
00:29:27,920 --> 00:29:29,800
Speaker 2: They haven't really had to in a lot of the matchups.

694
00:29:29,920 --> 00:29:31,600
Speaker 2: I mean, they've played a lot of weaker opponents. This

695
00:29:31,640 --> 00:29:33,920
Speaker 2: week they're playing in Cincinnati Bengals, who they can score

696
00:29:34,160 --> 00:29:36,160
Speaker 2: thirty points I think against any defense. So I get

697
00:29:36,160 --> 00:29:38,200
Speaker 2: the Chargers defense has been very good. I don't think

698
00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:40,320
Speaker 2: they've faced an offense like the Bengals. And to me,

699
00:29:40,560 --> 00:29:42,720
Speaker 2: I was surprised that this total is around forty six

700
00:29:42,760 --> 00:29:44,720
Speaker 2: and a half, where to me seems more like a

701
00:29:44,800 --> 00:29:47,040
Speaker 2: for eight and a half forty nine point total game.

702
00:29:47,160 --> 00:29:49,320
Speaker 2: So this isn't a dome too. This is again this

703
00:29:49,360 --> 00:29:51,560
Speaker 2: is in Los Angeles where there really is no home

704
00:29:51,600 --> 00:29:54,040
Speaker 2: field advantage. So I like the over in this game,

705
00:29:54,040 --> 00:29:54,920
Speaker 2: probably the most.

706
00:29:54,680 --> 00:29:57,120
Speaker 1: All right, last one here, that's the Sunday Night came too.

707
00:29:57,120 --> 00:29:59,440
Speaker 1: See one more thing about that game, Android, just want

708
00:29:59,480 --> 00:30:01,760
Speaker 1: to throw in here. My concern is, you know, do

709
00:30:01,840 --> 00:30:03,320
Speaker 1: you get to a point where you know you got

710
00:30:03,360 --> 00:30:05,840
Speaker 1: Gus Edwards back, you have Dobbins, do you just kind

711
00:30:05,840 --> 00:30:08,440
Speaker 1: of grind this, make it really ugly and keep Burrow

712
00:30:08,480 --> 00:30:10,840
Speaker 1: off the field kind of game? And I feel like

713
00:30:11,000 --> 00:30:14,080
Speaker 1: hardball's going to want to do that, and that's gonna

714
00:30:14,080 --> 00:30:15,760
Speaker 1: make it tough for Sincy where they've got to like,

715
00:30:15,840 --> 00:30:17,320
Speaker 1: when they get the ball, they've got to score, which

716
00:30:17,320 --> 00:30:19,840
Speaker 1: you've to your point, you're one hundred percent right they have.

717
00:30:20,760 --> 00:30:24,560
Speaker 1: But if you limit their opportunities and you don't allow

718
00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:27,560
Speaker 1: too much on the defensive side there, maybe you can

719
00:30:27,960 --> 00:30:30,480
Speaker 1: get this field goal victory here. It's gonna be an

720
00:30:30,480 --> 00:30:32,840
Speaker 1: interesting one, that's for sure. Certainly a tough one to

721
00:30:32,880 --> 00:30:36,000
Speaker 1: be betting onto. These teams are very week to week,

722
00:30:36,160 --> 00:30:38,400
Speaker 1: you know, get a little jeckyll in high The Houston

723
00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:41,720
Speaker 1: Texans another team, Oh man, do they need Nico Collins back.

724
00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:44,760
Speaker 1: We didn't realize how important Nico Collins was to this offense,

725
00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:46,960
Speaker 1: did we, until he wasn't there, And my goodness, what

726
00:30:47,040 --> 00:30:50,360
Speaker 1: a difference it makes. They are taking on the Dallas Cowboys,

727
00:30:50,400 --> 00:30:53,600
Speaker 1: though the Houston Texans finally catching a break here on

728
00:30:53,680 --> 00:30:56,320
Speaker 1: Monday night football. This seemed at the time like a

729
00:30:56,360 --> 00:30:58,360
Speaker 1: fun Monday night football game, but now it seems like

730
00:30:58,360 --> 00:31:00,800
Speaker 1: it's gonna be pretty one sided. They are seven point

731
00:31:00,800 --> 00:31:03,200
Speaker 1: favorites in Dallas. Forty two and a half is the number.

732
00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:05,960
Speaker 1: Plus two sixty for the Dallas Cowboys. Do you think

733
00:31:06,120 --> 00:31:08,840
Speaker 1: the Houston Texans can handle their business here on Monday

734
00:31:08,920 --> 00:31:10,360
Speaker 1: night and clear this seven?

735
00:31:10,440 --> 00:31:14,800
Speaker 2: Andrew, Yes, fade the Dallas Cowboys into oblivion every bet

736
00:31:14,800 --> 00:31:16,520
Speaker 2: against them, every single week. This is the new trend.

737
00:31:16,520 --> 00:31:18,520
Speaker 2: Bet against Dallas. Doesn't matter who they're playing, what the

738
00:31:18,600 --> 00:31:20,280
Speaker 2: number is, just keep betting against Dallas.

739
00:31:20,280 --> 00:31:22,000
Speaker 1: If this number jumps to eight and a half, you

740
00:31:22,120 --> 00:31:22,640
Speaker 1: still like it?

741
00:31:23,320 --> 00:31:25,640
Speaker 2: Yes, I mean, how many points were the Houston against

742
00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:28,280
Speaker 2: the Lions. The Houston Texas were up how many points?

743
00:31:28,440 --> 00:31:30,320
Speaker 2: Because it couldn't score in the red zone. They're gonna

744
00:31:30,320 --> 00:31:32,200
Speaker 2: be able to score in the red zone against Dallas especially.

745
00:31:32,200 --> 00:31:34,080
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna get Neioc Collins back here. So

746
00:31:34,120 --> 00:31:36,479
Speaker 2: I think you're again, So I would again going back

747
00:31:36,520 --> 00:31:38,640
Speaker 2: to let's be aggressive getting on some of these lines early.

748
00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:40,880
Speaker 2: Get on this now, because I think Nico Collins is

749
00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:41,720
Speaker 2: coming back next week.

750
00:31:42,160 --> 00:31:44,200
Speaker 1: Yes, yes, and yes, this is one of the better

751
00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:46,720
Speaker 1: early lines you're gonna find. Because I'm with Andrew. I

752
00:31:46,760 --> 00:31:48,720
Speaker 1: think Nico comes back, and I do think that makes

753
00:31:48,800 --> 00:31:52,440
Speaker 1: a significant difference for this offense and for CJ. Stroud.

754
00:31:52,600 --> 00:31:55,040
Speaker 1: He's that safety blanket guy like he's that guy that

755
00:31:55,080 --> 00:31:57,600
Speaker 1: you want out there, who's been so good with c J.

756
00:31:57,720 --> 00:32:00,840
Speaker 1: Stroud these last two seasons, and unfortunately this injury is

757
00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:03,880
Speaker 1: dragged on longer than we thought. We thought we'd get

758
00:32:03,960 --> 00:32:05,880
Speaker 1: him back last week, we didn't, and it might have

759
00:32:05,960 --> 00:32:08,360
Speaker 1: cast him that game. But I'm with Andrew, especially with

760
00:32:08,360 --> 00:32:09,840
Speaker 1: that extra day on the Monday night. I think we're

761
00:32:09,840 --> 00:32:11,600
Speaker 1: gonna get a Nico this week, and that means I

762
00:32:11,600 --> 00:32:13,000
Speaker 1: want to jump on it now, because I do think

763
00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:14,680
Speaker 1: this one gets to seven and a half to eight

764
00:32:14,720 --> 00:32:16,920
Speaker 1: to eight and a half, potentially two as people have

765
00:32:16,960 --> 00:32:19,600
Speaker 1: more and more time to digest just how bad the

766
00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:20,880
Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys might be.

767
00:32:21,320 --> 00:32:23,560
Speaker 2: So just wait till they announced Trey Lance as.

768
00:32:23,560 --> 00:32:27,840
Speaker 1: Oh baby, double digits, let's go. If that happens, double digis.

769
00:32:28,200 --> 00:32:29,800
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, so that's no no. If it gets the

770
00:32:29,880 --> 00:32:32,920
Speaker 2: double digits the process, I just don't bet double digits

771
00:32:32,960 --> 00:32:34,600
Speaker 2: when guys are on the road, when team's on the road,

772
00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:35,440
Speaker 2: that's what I'll jump off.

773
00:32:35,520 --> 00:32:39,040
Speaker 1: That's what even Andrew Rickson has a threshold for the Cowboys.

774
00:32:39,160 --> 00:32:41,840
Speaker 1: All right, make sure you again subscribe to the Betting

775
00:32:41,880 --> 00:32:45,160
Speaker 1: Pros YouTube channel, drop your comments below, and don't forget

776
00:32:45,200 --> 00:32:47,280
Speaker 1: to ring that bell. For notifications and subscribe to the

777
00:32:47,320 --> 00:32:50,240
Speaker 1: Betting Pros Podcast wherever you get your pods. That'll do

778
00:32:50,280 --> 00:32:51,720
Speaker 1: it for us, but the story of the game goes

779
00:32:51,760 --> 00:32:54,680
Speaker 1: on For Andrew Erickson, I'm Joey P. We'll see you

780
00:32:54,720 --> 00:32:58,000
Speaker 1: next time. Kids. Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros Podcast.

781
00:32:58,240 --> 00:33:00,600
Speaker 1: If you love the show, the best free to support

782
00:33:00,680 --> 00:33:03,520
Speaker 1: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts

783
00:33:03,640 --> 00:33:06,640
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784
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:10,480
Speaker 1: Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to

785
00:33:10,520 --> 00:33:11,360
Speaker 1: our YouTube channel

786
00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:13,640
Speaker 2: At YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros