WEBVTT - Steve Murray Discusses Startup Valuation

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<v Speaker 1>This is Masters in Business with Barry Ridholts on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>This week on the podcast, I have an extra special guest.

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<v Speaker 1>His name is Steve Murray and he has a storied

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<v Speaker 1>background in the world of venture investing. He is currently

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<v Speaker 1>a partner at Revolution Growth. He spent twenty years at

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<v Speaker 1>soft Bank working with a legendary list of companies, and

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<v Speaker 1>we very much get in the weeds about startup and

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<v Speaker 1>venture investing. If this is an area that is of

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<v Speaker 1>an interest to you as either a career or just

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<v Speaker 1>a passing fancy, if you're intrigued by technology, finance, startups, fintech,

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<v Speaker 1>UH sports technology, wearable technology, well then you're going to

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<v Speaker 1>find this conversation quite intriguing. So, with no further ado,

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<v Speaker 1>my conversation with Steve Murray, I'm Barry Ridholts. You're listening

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<v Speaker 1>to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio. My special guest

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<v Speaker 1>today is Steve Murray. He is a managing partner at

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<v Speaker 1>Revolution Growth of venture capital funds that specializes in technology, software, wearables,

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<v Speaker 1>and a number of other fascinating UH tech subjects. He

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<v Speaker 1>was a partner and managing director at SoftBank for twenty years,

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<v Speaker 1>working with such companies as Yahoo, e Trade, Geo Cities,

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<v Speaker 1>Ziff Davis, BuzzFeed, and many others. He is a current

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<v Speaker 1>board of director member at Fitbit, where he has served

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<v Speaker 1>since Steve Murray, Welcome to Bloomberg. Welcome. Thank you for

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<v Speaker 1>having me, Barry. I appreciate it. So let's start with

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<v Speaker 1>soft Bank, because you were there for twenty years, um,

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<v Speaker 1>both as a director and a partner for for a

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<v Speaker 1>large part of that. What did you do with SoftBank

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<v Speaker 1>A TOF bank or many years is a long time.

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<v Speaker 1>I can't imagine that I was there for that long,

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<v Speaker 1>but it was. It was a lot of fun, I

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<v Speaker 1>guess in summary, I got to sort of be on

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<v Speaker 1>the front row of the sidelines of the commercial development

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<v Speaker 1>of the Internet. So what I did, what I did

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<v Speaker 1>functionally as I started there, I started is really ramping up. Really,

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<v Speaker 1>the Internet was just starting, and soft Bank had just

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<v Speaker 1>acquired companies like Ziff Davis, Kingston Technologies, Comdex trade Shows,

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<v Speaker 1>and plus I trade Shows, and so there were seven

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<v Speaker 1>different operating units that had had been put together here

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<v Speaker 1>in the US and outside of Japan. There was a

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<v Speaker 1>grand total of four people that worked for soft Bank.

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<v Speaker 1>So I joined initially from an infrastructure perspective to really

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<v Speaker 1>put together all the information systems, the accounting, legal, tax

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<v Speaker 1>and other activities for the and and managing that reporting

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<v Speaker 1>into Japan and working with them on their strategies there.

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<v Speaker 1>That quickly, as the commercial development of the Internet sort

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<v Speaker 1>of moved along rapidly, the tasks that I were doing

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<v Speaker 1>really moved much more into the investing side of life,

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<v Speaker 1>which really starting in current out of early two thousands,

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<v Speaker 1>I spent most of my time on the investing side.

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<v Speaker 1>What what was the relationship between Yahoo and soft Bank

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<v Speaker 1>way back? Yeah, so that's a that's a one of

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<v Speaker 1>the great stories of lore, which is um uh soft

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<v Speaker 1>Bank made an investment in Yahoo and owned about a

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<v Speaker 1>third of Yahoo at the same time that they made

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<v Speaker 1>the investment in in Yahoo US. At the time, that

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<v Speaker 1>was a huge investment. I think it was about a

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<v Speaker 1>hundred million dollars and they bought a third of it. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>put things in context, right, it was a a pre

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<v Speaker 1>I p O investment where Masioshi Son and Jerry Yang

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<v Speaker 1>got together and decided that Massa wanted to be a

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<v Speaker 1>big partner here in the US of of Yahoo's but

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<v Speaker 1>also at the same time they created Yahoo Japan which

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<v Speaker 1>was a real partnership. Actually, I think it was a

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<v Speaker 1>sixty forty partnership or something like that between soft Bank

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<v Speaker 1>as the controlling and managing partner of that entity and

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<v Speaker 1>Yahoo US. They also created Yahoo Korea, Yahoo UK and

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<v Speaker 1>some other things, So there was really a global partnership

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<v Speaker 1>that was set up, and that really was on some

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<v Speaker 1>level the basis for a lot of soft Banks US

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<v Speaker 1>and other Internet activities. Really, you know, that's the flagship

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<v Speaker 1>investment early on in the soft Bank story on the Internet.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's funny to think of you as a venture

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<v Speaker 1>investor because your background is that of an accountant. And

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<v Speaker 1>and maybe it's my bias, but I think of accountants

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<v Speaker 1>as steady risk averse dotting eyes and crossing teas and

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<v Speaker 1>making sure double entry accounting adds up. How did you

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<v Speaker 1>transition from a staid profession of an accountant to something

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<v Speaker 1>that's got a touch of cowboy in it? Yeah, I'd

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<v Speaker 1>say a touch of cowboy might be an understatement someday,

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<v Speaker 1>but I guess it takes all types. Um and uh.

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<v Speaker 1>I actually really enjoyed my time at Deloitte and was

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<v Speaker 1>my background is. I was a c p A for

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<v Speaker 1>a while. I was in the accounting and auditing function

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<v Speaker 1>within UH within Deloitte for six years, So my first

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<v Speaker 1>six years of my career were there spent. I spent

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<v Speaker 1>an inordinately large amount of time on companies, and I

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<v Speaker 1>think why it translated to my soft bank activities, it's spent.

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<v Speaker 1>I spent a large amount of my time on companies

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<v Speaker 1>that were heavily transaction orientated, So companies like Prime Mark

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<v Speaker 1>that was buying a lot of data service companies at

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<v Speaker 1>the time, a company like Hardcore General at the time

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<v Speaker 1>that was buying Hardcore Brace, Jovanovitch and Neeman Marcus and

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<v Speaker 1>other things. So I was I was involved in the

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<v Speaker 1>assignments that I ended up being on were very transactional orientated,

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of acquisitions, and they were doing a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of activity. Accounting skills would come in very handy with that.

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<v Speaker 1>Accounting skills come in very handy. I do find that

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<v Speaker 1>my background of accounting skills is actually quite helpful with

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<v Speaker 1>the companies, particularly as they scale. As they say there's

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<v Speaker 1>there's uh, there's nothing like that ruins a good story

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<v Speaker 1>like facts, and accountants on some level have facts, which

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<v Speaker 1>is how are the companies doing versus their plan? How

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<v Speaker 1>much cash is left in the bank, Can we last

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<v Speaker 1>another year or five years? How would we be viewed

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<v Speaker 1>relative to comparable companies in the marketplace? So um, Although,

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<v Speaker 1>for sure, you know the venture capital market is a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of art project, not necessarily a pure science project.

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<v Speaker 1>I think having the background and accounting actually has been helpful.

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<v Speaker 1>So tell us a little bit about Revolution Growth. What

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<v Speaker 1>sort of companies do you invest in? And gives some

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<v Speaker 1>examples of of some of the companies you're working with currently. Sure. So,

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<v Speaker 1>Revolution Growth is a growth fund based out of Washington,

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<v Speaker 1>d c uh. It was started maybe ten years ago

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<v Speaker 1>by three folks that previously we're partners together at A

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<v Speaker 1>o L. So it was Steve Case, Ted leonss and

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<v Speaker 1>Don Davis started Revolution. That's the murderous row. There we go, right,

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<v Speaker 1>I have three more podcasts. I'm sure they'd be happy

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<v Speaker 1>to come. So the three of them started Revolution a

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<v Speaker 1>number of years ago really to do what at the time,

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<v Speaker 1>they were trying to figure out what was big and

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<v Speaker 1>what was next for them in their careers after they

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<v Speaker 1>left the A O L situation after that merger, and

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<v Speaker 1>they ultimately created a series of investment funds, one of

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<v Speaker 1>them being Revolution Growth. Revolution. Growth invests in companies that are,

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<v Speaker 1>as the name would suggest, at the growth stage, so

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<v Speaker 1>bigger companies, not smaller, but not generally not billion dollar companies.

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<v Speaker 1>Generally companies that have twenty thirty fifty hundred million dollars

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<v Speaker 1>of revenue. We generally invest twenty to fifty million dollars

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<v Speaker 1>in each opportunity. We usually have a pretty significant minority ownership,

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<v Speaker 1>so we don't We're not a private equity shop where

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<v Speaker 1>we take control of businesses. We are more like a

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<v Speaker 1>venture capital UH even on on some level structured like

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<v Speaker 1>an early stage venture capital from where we own five

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<v Speaker 1>percent of a business ten percent of a business, but

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<v Speaker 1>we get involved as the business is really starting to scale.

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<v Speaker 1>And so the types of businesses that we get involved

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<v Speaker 1>in generally our technology related businesses, but they can be

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<v Speaker 1>across a number of different verticals. Right, So we have

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<v Speaker 1>UH companies actually as diverse and versus some of the

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<v Speaker 1>folks that we work with as co investors um in

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<v Speaker 1>fast casual restaurants, So we're investors in Sweet Green, We're

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<v Speaker 1>investors in Cava that are both using technology to change

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<v Speaker 1>the supply chain and change the ordering patterns and change

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<v Speaker 1>the So that's a fast casual thing that we think

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<v Speaker 1>is really big. We're involved in UM fintech, so we've

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<v Speaker 1>recently made an investment in a company called Talo, which

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<v Speaker 1>is doing UH micro loans in in developing nations through

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<v Speaker 1>the use of information on people's cell phone. We're involved

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<v Speaker 1>in sports related technologies like draft Kings where I'm on

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<v Speaker 1>the board, sport Radar, which we're involved in. I'm sure

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<v Speaker 1>we'll get to that topic later. UH. We're involved in

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<v Speaker 1>UH data companies places like Uptake in Chicago, Tempest in Chicago,

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<v Speaker 1>Interactions in Boston. So those are the types of companies.

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<v Speaker 1>So they tend to be companies that, when we we

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<v Speaker 1>get involved in them, tend to have substantive revenue, but

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<v Speaker 1>not a billion dollars of revenue. We tend to put

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<v Speaker 1>twenty to fifty million dollars to work. In almost every instance.

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<v Speaker 1>We're on the board of these companies, and we serve

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<v Speaker 1>to try to, you know, help them out, get them

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<v Speaker 1>through their journey, and use the experiences and references and

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<v Speaker 1>networks that we have to try to make them and

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<v Speaker 1>make them successful. You referenced soft Bank earlier, and I

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<v Speaker 1>have to ask you they now have a venture funds

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<v Speaker 1>it's a hundred billion dollars. That's an insane amount of

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<v Speaker 1>money for something like that. Uh, what does this say

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<v Speaker 1>about what's going on in that space? And is this

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<v Speaker 1>part of what's driving valuations that at firms like uber

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<v Speaker 1>and we works through the roof? Well, clearly there's been

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of talk about SoftBank's vision fund UM. I

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<v Speaker 1>think it's actually it's really an amazing thing. And what

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<v Speaker 1>does it say about the market and what does it

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<v Speaker 1>say about where we are in the market and things?

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<v Speaker 1>I think if we take a half a step back,

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<v Speaker 1>what it says is certainly something like this was not

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<v Speaker 1>possible ten years ago as an example, So what's changed

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<v Speaker 1>that true? A decade ago you could not have had

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<v Speaker 1>a fund this side, don't I mean outside of the

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<v Speaker 1>financial I don't believe so just it wasn't the appetite

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<v Speaker 1>for it, or it wasn't the capital for it. I

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<v Speaker 1>think maybe a combination of both. But I think what

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<v Speaker 1>UM has come to more clarity for people, which makes

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<v Speaker 1>something like this possible, although it is an invent of

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<v Speaker 1>one so you can't make too many broad conclusions about it.

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<v Speaker 1>And it is sponsored by Massa, who is one of

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<v Speaker 1>the world's great dealmakers. So I'm not suggesting that there

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<v Speaker 1>will be multiple more hundred billion dollar funds, but I

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<v Speaker 1>think what it does suggest is that the world has

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<v Speaker 1>recognized the importance of tech aology and major industries and

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<v Speaker 1>therefore the ability to deploy big amounts of capital in those.

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<v Speaker 1>So things like industries like real estate, industries like healthcare,

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<v Speaker 1>financial systems and others are really now being fundamentally changed

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<v Speaker 1>by technology in a way that it's really just starting

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<v Speaker 1>to happen, although there's been a lot of talk about it,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the industrial complex and the like, those things

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<v Speaker 1>are really now starting to change materially, and those give

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<v Speaker 1>real opportunities to deploy real amounts of capital. We say,

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<v Speaker 1>we see this with a bunch of different opportunities that

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<v Speaker 1>that's up Bank is deploying. So I think that they

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<v Speaker 1>are a hugely influencial investor in the marketplace. I don't

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<v Speaker 1>think a fund like this was possible ten years ago.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not sure there's ten more of them that are

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<v Speaker 1>coming down the path, but I do think it speaks

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<v Speaker 1>to the importance of technology in major industries that maybe

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<v Speaker 1>previously had been a bit more immune to it. So

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<v Speaker 1>not too long ago, I had a conversation with Benic

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<v Speaker 1>Devans of Andrews and Horowitz, and his comment was, there

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<v Speaker 1>aren't um technology companies anymore. Everybody's a technology company. If

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<v Speaker 1>you're not using tech in in the most optimal or

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<v Speaker 1>most productive way, you're just going to be left behind.

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<v Speaker 1>I think that's a fair and accurate summary. I do

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<v Speaker 1>think there are obviously some and many companies that are

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<v Speaker 1>using it more effectively. There are industries that allow for

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<v Speaker 1>it to be used more effectively. The pace at which

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<v Speaker 1>some of these industries are going to be able to

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<v Speaker 1>adopt the technology is not at the same pace that

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<v Speaker 1>we've seen in some other industries. So as an example,

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<v Speaker 1>when you talk about health care and you talk about

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<v Speaker 1>you know, money supply, and you talk about things like

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<v Speaker 1>that that are heavy heavily regulated, the pace at which

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<v Speaker 1>some of these changes are going to be happening is

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<v Speaker 1>not gonna be like how long it took Facebook to

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<v Speaker 1>be published. For changes in there, it's going to take.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's talk a little bit about health I see

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<v Speaker 1>you're wearing the bigger what is that called the versa?

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<v Speaker 1>This is all the ionic Oh, the ionic, so that's

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<v Speaker 1>the big fit. But I'm wearing the charge to my wife.

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<v Speaker 1>I had the original one, which I had, truth be told,

0:13:08.600 --> 0:13:10.439
<v Speaker 1>I didn't love, but my wife. I got this from

0:13:10.440 --> 0:13:13.080
<v Speaker 1>my wife and she liked it so much that I

0:13:13.200 --> 0:13:16.720
<v Speaker 1>went out and got my own. You've been heavily involved

0:13:16.720 --> 0:13:21.719
<v Speaker 1>in wearables. Where is that sector going, especially since you

0:13:21.800 --> 0:13:25.880
<v Speaker 1>mentioned health? What might these things mean for a sedentary

0:13:26.000 --> 0:13:31.920
<v Speaker 1>overweight nation. It's I think the existing status of wearables

0:13:32.000 --> 0:13:35.040
<v Speaker 1>means a lot for a sedentary overweight nation, which is

0:13:35.080 --> 0:13:40.400
<v Speaker 1>that it provides basic information around things like how active

0:13:40.480 --> 0:13:45.720
<v Speaker 1>you are, what is your what's your pulse, how much

0:13:45.800 --> 0:13:49.000
<v Speaker 1>sleep have you gotten? Things that are very basic in theory.

0:13:49.520 --> 0:13:53.000
<v Speaker 1>But those pieces of information, when provided to people and

0:13:53.080 --> 0:13:56.120
<v Speaker 1>easy to use formats with easy to use devices, change

0:13:56.160 --> 0:13:59.480
<v Speaker 1>behavior for many many users. I could tell you from

0:13:59.679 --> 0:14:03.360
<v Speaker 1>pro and experience. When I had the original fitbit and

0:14:03.400 --> 0:14:06.560
<v Speaker 1>I was doing ten fifteen thousand steps a day, I

0:14:06.640 --> 0:14:10.080
<v Speaker 1>became a little obsessive with it, and then I I

0:14:10.120 --> 0:14:11.760
<v Speaker 1>had a couple of glitches with it, and I kind

0:14:11.760 --> 0:14:13.199
<v Speaker 1>of got bored with it, and I put it down,

0:14:13.840 --> 0:14:17.920
<v Speaker 1>and the phone is still tracking most of my travel.

0:14:18.040 --> 0:14:21.440
<v Speaker 1>And I noticed that those ten thousand a day without

0:14:21.520 --> 0:14:26.320
<v Speaker 1>something on your wrist just disappeared and it. Once I

0:14:26.360 --> 0:14:29.640
<v Speaker 1>got this back again, suddenly it's all right. My office

0:14:29.680 --> 0:14:32.040
<v Speaker 1>is down on four the street. We're on fifty eight street.

0:14:32.360 --> 0:14:34.040
<v Speaker 1>I don't need to take a subway. I could walk,

0:14:34.080 --> 0:14:37.440
<v Speaker 1>And besides, that's gonna add me two thousand steps. It

0:14:37.560 --> 0:14:40.240
<v Speaker 1>really makes a significant thing, it really does. The mindfulness

0:14:40.280 --> 0:14:43.440
<v Speaker 1>piece of it, which you're referring to, is really the

0:14:43.880 --> 0:14:46.440
<v Speaker 1>key piece of the first generation of these things, which

0:14:46.480 --> 0:14:48.960
<v Speaker 1>is really we're on maybe the first and a half

0:14:49.040 --> 0:14:51.200
<v Speaker 1>generation of these things. So we started out with really

0:14:51.240 --> 0:14:55.280
<v Speaker 1>basic trackers that did a pretty good job of tracking steps,

0:14:55.320 --> 0:14:58.600
<v Speaker 1>but they were really electronic pedometers, if you will, right,

0:14:59.160 --> 0:15:02.240
<v Speaker 1>And then they married that with really easy to use

0:15:02.680 --> 0:15:05.800
<v Speaker 1>mobile software which makes you able to look at a

0:15:05.800 --> 0:15:08.640
<v Speaker 1>little bit more. They've added sensors to things, and I

0:15:08.680 --> 0:15:11.000
<v Speaker 1>don't know if you use the other ones that do

0:15:11.080 --> 0:15:13.680
<v Speaker 1>things like your heart rate, you know, which is actually

0:15:13.680 --> 0:15:19.160
<v Speaker 1>for lots of people quite interesting, what's my what's very

0:15:19.160 --> 0:15:21.880
<v Speaker 1>pretty chill? What's your and and people sometimes say when

0:15:21.880 --> 0:15:25.040
<v Speaker 1>I'm working out, I should get to thirty or forty

0:15:25.200 --> 0:15:27.600
<v Speaker 1>beats a minute. Okay, how is that? You can drill

0:15:27.680 --> 0:15:30.280
<v Speaker 1>into that in your mobile app after your workout and

0:15:30.280 --> 0:15:33.200
<v Speaker 1>look at how that goes. The other feature that I

0:15:33.320 --> 0:15:34.800
<v Speaker 1>use a lot, and I don't know if you do,

0:15:34.880 --> 0:15:37.800
<v Speaker 1>but many users do, and it actually has really influenced

0:15:37.840 --> 0:15:40.360
<v Speaker 1>me is the sleep function my wife uses that I

0:15:40.520 --> 0:15:43.760
<v Speaker 1>like to take off anything from my winning band is

0:15:43.800 --> 0:15:46.200
<v Speaker 1>the only jewelry I have on it in your bed.

0:15:46.560 --> 0:15:48.840
<v Speaker 1>But that's just a function of getting used to it.

0:15:49.040 --> 0:15:51.800
<v Speaker 1>And I would so the sleep thing for me, as

0:15:51.880 --> 0:15:56.680
<v Speaker 1>somebody that travels every week and has a lot of

0:15:56.720 --> 0:15:59.560
<v Speaker 1>functions that I attend to and are in different cities

0:15:59.560 --> 0:16:03.880
<v Speaker 1>a lot I find, particularly as I'm not getting younger,

0:16:04.320 --> 0:16:10.560
<v Speaker 1>My my vibrancy, my health, everything seems to directly correlate

0:16:10.640 --> 0:16:12.920
<v Speaker 1>with the number of hours of sleep I get, it seems.

0:16:13.280 --> 0:16:15.200
<v Speaker 1>And so as an example, I was looking yesterday, was

0:16:15.200 --> 0:16:18.480
<v Speaker 1>talking to somebody about this. Yesterday evening. I looked at

0:16:18.520 --> 0:16:22.320
<v Speaker 1>my fitbit data on my phone yesterday as I was

0:16:22.440 --> 0:16:26.000
<v Speaker 1>traveling someplace, and I noticed that it has been over

0:16:26.040 --> 0:16:28.320
<v Speaker 1>a month since I've had more than seven hours of sleep.

0:16:28.360 --> 0:16:30.120
<v Speaker 1>I said, you know, something is not good there. I

0:16:30.200 --> 0:16:32.680
<v Speaker 1>gotta fix that, right. So there's a mindfulness piece of

0:16:32.720 --> 0:16:34.400
<v Speaker 1>it there. You've got to report at the end of

0:16:34.440 --> 0:16:36.840
<v Speaker 1>a week, says your average sleep has gone up or

0:16:36.880 --> 0:16:40.320
<v Speaker 1>down since last week, and so those basic things that

0:16:40.400 --> 0:16:45.080
<v Speaker 1>are being provided now materially change people's behavior. Where is

0:16:45.120 --> 0:16:47.360
<v Speaker 1>it going? I think is is the next step, and

0:16:47.400 --> 0:16:50.600
<v Speaker 1>I think of it is around health. So they'll be

0:16:50.720 --> 0:16:54.880
<v Speaker 1>just as they added functions around things like pulse and

0:16:55.080 --> 0:16:58.720
<v Speaker 1>things like sleep, they there will be things that will

0:16:58.760 --> 0:17:02.600
<v Speaker 1>add things around blood sure, perhaps blood sugar contact. You

0:17:02.640 --> 0:17:07.959
<v Speaker 1>could imagine a whole series of sensors that get added

0:17:07.960 --> 0:17:11.680
<v Speaker 1>into whether it's a risk device or something else that

0:17:11.920 --> 0:17:16.800
<v Speaker 1>feeds a central depositor depository like a mobile application. And

0:17:16.840 --> 0:17:19.439
<v Speaker 1>the real key will be when that can be integrated

0:17:19.440 --> 0:17:22.320
<v Speaker 1>into your health system. If you will your doctor, If

0:17:22.359 --> 0:17:25.480
<v Speaker 1>you imagine your doctor at some point getting your report

0:17:25.520 --> 0:17:28.240
<v Speaker 1>about what's going on with you, and and a check

0:17:28.280 --> 0:17:31.560
<v Speaker 1>engine light if you will goes off and says, hey, Barry,

0:17:31.800 --> 0:17:34.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, looks to me like your blood sugar levels

0:17:34.280 --> 0:17:36.640
<v Speaker 1>pretty low. You might want to get home and get something.

0:17:36.680 --> 0:17:38.480
<v Speaker 1>You might want to get get something to eat, or

0:17:38.560 --> 0:17:41.600
<v Speaker 1>eat an apple or something, or geez, your pulse is

0:17:41.720 --> 0:17:44.840
<v Speaker 1>way high. You have the symptoms of somebody that looks

0:17:44.880 --> 0:17:47.639
<v Speaker 1>like you might be having some hard issues that you

0:17:47.680 --> 0:17:49.360
<v Speaker 1>might want to go to your doctor. But so if

0:17:49.359 --> 0:17:51.600
<v Speaker 1>you think about some of where this is going. I

0:17:51.600 --> 0:17:55.840
<v Speaker 1>think in the next phase is around this check engine

0:17:55.920 --> 0:17:59.280
<v Speaker 1>light for yourself. So, without getting to graphic, I've read

0:17:59.320 --> 0:18:03.640
<v Speaker 1>about sensors that can be put into a toilet where

0:18:03.680 --> 0:18:06.680
<v Speaker 1>they can check things like blood sugar, and actually check

0:18:06.760 --> 0:18:11.479
<v Speaker 1>for proteins associated with cancer. This is so small and

0:18:11.520 --> 0:18:14.240
<v Speaker 1>doesn't have, you know, a giant battery, but I would

0:18:14.240 --> 0:18:17.600
<v Speaker 1>imagine the next couple of generations of sensors are going

0:18:17.640 --> 0:18:19.680
<v Speaker 1>to be able to pick up all sorts of stuff that,

0:18:20.119 --> 0:18:22.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, hard to even imagine. Yeah, the real trick

0:18:22.880 --> 0:18:27.600
<v Speaker 1>in all this is figuring out what pieces of sensors

0:18:27.880 --> 0:18:32.239
<v Speaker 1>people would be willing to wear or use regularly so

0:18:32.320 --> 0:18:35.600
<v Speaker 1>that the data comes through regularly, because with periodic data

0:18:35.640 --> 0:18:38.600
<v Speaker 1>is and as valuable as regular data. So there's this

0:18:38.720 --> 0:18:43.640
<v Speaker 1>constant battle between battery life. You know, so this ionic

0:18:43.680 --> 0:18:46.600
<v Speaker 1>device lasts four or five days, you could put more

0:18:46.640 --> 0:18:49.040
<v Speaker 1>sensors on it to do more things. It might last

0:18:49.040 --> 0:18:51.040
<v Speaker 1>four or five hours, in which case, what do you

0:18:51.080 --> 0:18:53.000
<v Speaker 1>need to watch for that last four or five hours

0:18:53.000 --> 0:18:55.560
<v Speaker 1>that's of no value to So there's a they're the

0:18:55.840 --> 0:18:59.800
<v Speaker 1>constant push and pull and struggle and and researches around

0:18:59.840 --> 0:19:03.720
<v Speaker 1>how do you create sensors that identify things that make

0:19:03.800 --> 0:19:06.760
<v Speaker 1>the form factor usable enough for people to wear on

0:19:06.800 --> 0:19:09.480
<v Speaker 1>a regular basis. Related to wearables, I have to ask

0:19:09.520 --> 0:19:13.560
<v Speaker 1>the question why did Google glass flame out so spectacularly?

0:19:13.600 --> 0:19:17.000
<v Speaker 1>It seemed like an interesting piece of tech, but it

0:19:17.119 --> 0:19:22.640
<v Speaker 1>never caught on except for some very specific niches. Yeah,

0:19:22.800 --> 0:19:24.560
<v Speaker 1>I think it ties back to what we were just

0:19:24.600 --> 0:19:28.320
<v Speaker 1>talking about with respect to sensors and battery life and usability.

0:19:28.880 --> 0:19:31.960
<v Speaker 1>It appears as if the form factor never got to

0:19:32.000 --> 0:19:34.840
<v Speaker 1>a point where people really wanted to wear it. It

0:19:34.880 --> 0:19:38.000
<v Speaker 1>looked kind of geeky, it looked kind of weird, and

0:19:38.359 --> 0:19:41.040
<v Speaker 1>you know what we've seen with the fitbit devices and

0:19:41.119 --> 0:19:43.840
<v Speaker 1>I think it will be applicable for a lot of wearables.

0:19:43.920 --> 0:19:46.760
<v Speaker 1>Is that the fashionable piece of this is very important.

0:19:47.160 --> 0:19:49.400
<v Speaker 1>You know, can you is this something that you would

0:19:49.400 --> 0:19:52.359
<v Speaker 1>wear in public and and and use? Um So, I

0:19:52.400 --> 0:19:55.359
<v Speaker 1>think I think that might have impacted Google Glass. But

0:19:55.440 --> 0:19:58.119
<v Speaker 1>the thought of a surgeon who has Google Glass on

0:19:58.200 --> 0:20:01.119
<v Speaker 1>and wants to pull up a you know, either the

0:20:01.320 --> 0:20:03.520
<v Speaker 1>X ray or the m R, a you or some

0:20:04.240 --> 0:20:08.520
<v Speaker 1>other resource makes perfect sense for that absolutely. I think

0:20:08.800 --> 0:20:11.320
<v Speaker 1>what you what we'll see, particularly for those types of

0:20:11.760 --> 0:20:15.080
<v Speaker 1>applications on the I've seen something like that that's on

0:20:15.119 --> 0:20:18.920
<v Speaker 1>the construction floor where actually it was I think of

0:20:19.040 --> 0:20:21.800
<v Speaker 1>something with Boeing or or Lockheed or something where somebody

0:20:21.840 --> 0:20:25.120
<v Speaker 1>who was putting together the intricate pieces of a wing

0:20:25.160 --> 0:20:28.560
<v Speaker 1>of a plane can look at the through his glass

0:20:28.720 --> 0:20:31.919
<v Speaker 1>blueprints through blueprints right on the throughs. So those are

0:20:31.920 --> 0:20:34.680
<v Speaker 1>the types of applications that I think are easy to use,

0:20:34.800 --> 0:20:38.199
<v Speaker 1>much more likely to have early success. I think the

0:20:38.320 --> 0:20:41.600
<v Speaker 1>form factor for general commercial use hasn't quite got there.

0:20:41.760 --> 0:20:45.119
<v Speaker 1>And how significant is the Apple Watch as a player

0:20:45.160 --> 0:20:50.280
<v Speaker 1>in this space because you're your Fitbit watch about the

0:20:50.359 --> 0:20:53.800
<v Speaker 1>same form factor as the Apple Watch, the same size. Yeah.

0:20:54.359 --> 0:20:57.320
<v Speaker 1>Everything Apple does is they do a great job. They

0:20:57.320 --> 0:21:01.080
<v Speaker 1>have a real a loyal fan following. They're passionate, they

0:21:01.119 --> 0:21:05.480
<v Speaker 1>make great products that they're they're following loves um, you know.

0:21:06.320 --> 0:21:09.160
<v Speaker 1>So they're they're they're a credible competitor, and I think

0:21:09.160 --> 0:21:12.199
<v Speaker 1>that they will have and continue to be one of

0:21:12.240 --> 0:21:15.080
<v Speaker 1>the real leaders in the wearable category for sure. I

0:21:15.119 --> 0:21:18.879
<v Speaker 1>want to talk a little bit about a fund associated

0:21:18.960 --> 0:21:24.080
<v Speaker 1>with revolution growth called Rise of the rest O r TR,

0:21:24.400 --> 0:21:28.359
<v Speaker 1>and the concept is so intriguing. Most of the venture

0:21:28.359 --> 0:21:31.560
<v Speaker 1>investing seems to take place in San Francisco and New

0:21:31.640 --> 0:21:36.960
<v Speaker 1>York and Boston. But Revolution Growth does a bus tour,

0:21:37.560 --> 0:21:41.360
<v Speaker 1>five cities, five days, five thousand dollars, and they do

0:21:41.480 --> 0:21:45.320
<v Speaker 1>sort of a local pitch competition. Tell us more about

0:21:45.400 --> 0:21:49.760
<v Speaker 1>the idea behind that, and who's driving that literally driving it,

0:21:50.080 --> 0:21:52.920
<v Speaker 1>driving above the bus, right, So, so the idea really

0:21:53.000 --> 0:21:56.680
<v Speaker 1>is Steve Case's idea, um and it's something that he's

0:21:56.720 --> 0:22:00.280
<v Speaker 1>been and it and it started as an idea and

0:22:00.280 --> 0:22:03.720
<v Speaker 1>and some activities around a bus tour. They've recently done

0:22:03.720 --> 0:22:06.760
<v Speaker 1>their seventh bus tour. Really that many wow, And it's

0:22:06.960 --> 0:22:09.440
<v Speaker 1>half a million per tour or half a million per city,

0:22:09.760 --> 0:22:13.160
<v Speaker 1>half a million per tour generally, although sometimes he finds

0:22:13.280 --> 0:22:16.400
<v Speaker 1>a way to involve a couple of the runner ups

0:22:16.400 --> 0:22:18.840
<v Speaker 1>sometimes get something as well, but apparently that's not to

0:22:18.880 --> 0:22:21.760
<v Speaker 1>be known. So the activity really is Steve's, and it's

0:22:21.760 --> 0:22:25.440
<v Speaker 1>one of a personal passion of his, and it's one

0:22:25.480 --> 0:22:29.040
<v Speaker 1>that the firm Revolution has adopted generally, right, which is

0:22:29.359 --> 0:22:35.560
<v Speaker 1>in essence, the ideas around good company development and entrepreneurial

0:22:35.680 --> 0:22:39.919
<v Speaker 1>spirit are not solely located in New York, Boston and

0:22:40.000 --> 0:22:43.480
<v Speaker 1>San Francisco San Jose region. And if you look at

0:22:43.480 --> 0:22:46.960
<v Speaker 1>where the distribution of capital is about somewhere between seventy

0:22:46.960 --> 0:22:49.639
<v Speaker 1>and seventy eight percent of the venture capital money is

0:22:49.640 --> 0:22:52.240
<v Speaker 1>spent in those three areas. And so there are a

0:22:52.359 --> 0:22:55.840
<v Speaker 1>number of other great cities in the country that can

0:22:55.920 --> 0:23:01.160
<v Speaker 1>and should be producing more entrepreneurial based technology companies. It's

0:23:01.160 --> 0:23:03.439
<v Speaker 1>important for the country, it's important for the people in

0:23:03.480 --> 0:23:06.159
<v Speaker 1>those communities, and it's a real business opportunity. So we

0:23:06.240 --> 0:23:09.280
<v Speaker 1>combine all those three and that's really the impetus behind

0:23:09.520 --> 0:23:11.880
<v Speaker 1>Rise of the Rest. Rise of the Rest has become

0:23:12.240 --> 0:23:14.680
<v Speaker 1>much more than a bus tour, right, So it started

0:23:14.680 --> 0:23:17.160
<v Speaker 1>really as a bus tour. It's now become a real

0:23:17.200 --> 0:23:19.639
<v Speaker 1>platform of folks. There's a real team there as you

0:23:19.840 --> 0:23:22.879
<v Speaker 1>As you mentioned earlier, there's now a fund associated with it.

0:23:23.240 --> 0:23:26.159
<v Speaker 1>Hold on a second, I just have to read a

0:23:26.280 --> 0:23:29.920
<v Speaker 1>few of the names who are affiliated with this fund,

0:23:30.000 --> 0:23:34.200
<v Speaker 1>because it's just the noodles. Jim Barksdale of nets Gay,

0:23:34.440 --> 0:23:38.880
<v Speaker 1>Jeff Bezos of Amazon, Tory Birch, Steve Case, Ray Dalio,

0:23:39.000 --> 0:23:44.000
<v Speaker 1>John Dor, Henry Kravis, Michael Milkin's, Sean Parker, Howard Schiltz,

0:23:44.119 --> 0:23:47.439
<v Speaker 1>Eric sch Mintmigut Whitman. That's just the like first half

0:23:47.480 --> 0:23:51.000
<v Speaker 1>and the rest of it is just as impressive. How

0:23:51.040 --> 0:23:54.280
<v Speaker 1>on earth did a group of rock stars like that

0:23:54.320 --> 0:23:58.080
<v Speaker 1>come together to fund a concept like this? That's just

0:23:58.160 --> 0:24:01.800
<v Speaker 1>a mind blowing list of investors. It is an amazing list.

0:24:01.800 --> 0:24:03.840
<v Speaker 1>I'm not sure that list of investors has ever been

0:24:03.840 --> 0:24:05.600
<v Speaker 1>put together in a fund. And now I have another

0:24:05.640 --> 0:24:08.639
<v Speaker 1>twenty two podcasts to do based just on that list.

0:24:08.960 --> 0:24:10.720
<v Speaker 1>I think it speaks to the power of the idea.

0:24:11.359 --> 0:24:16.000
<v Speaker 1>Uh as. The first phases of this were the investments

0:24:16.000 --> 0:24:21.199
<v Speaker 1>were funded mostly from Steve Case's personal UM resources, and

0:24:21.280 --> 0:24:23.640
<v Speaker 1>as he traveled around the country and as he talked

0:24:23.640 --> 0:24:25.840
<v Speaker 1>to people that he had known and worked with and

0:24:25.880 --> 0:24:29.280
<v Speaker 1>interacted with, what he heard was, Geez, this is a

0:24:29.320 --> 0:24:31.719
<v Speaker 1>great idea. I want to be part of it. And

0:24:32.000 --> 0:24:34.399
<v Speaker 1>a decision was made about a year ago to to

0:24:34.520 --> 0:24:37.600
<v Speaker 1>institutionalize that activity, at least in terms of the deploying

0:24:37.640 --> 0:24:41.800
<v Speaker 1>of capital around a fund and based on the names

0:24:41.800 --> 0:24:45.240
<v Speaker 1>of people you can imagine. Um. You know, they really

0:24:45.280 --> 0:24:48.919
<v Speaker 1>thought that this was a powerful idea. They believe that

0:24:49.000 --> 0:24:53.000
<v Speaker 1>it is important for the country, important for the growth

0:24:53.040 --> 0:24:56.720
<v Speaker 1>of entrepreneurship across the country. I mean, anybody that runs

0:24:56.760 --> 0:25:00.560
<v Speaker 1>companies in Boston, New York and San France. Cisco knows

0:25:00.600 --> 0:25:04.680
<v Speaker 1>that labor shortage type hiring and retaining engineers is tight

0:25:05.160 --> 0:25:08.040
<v Speaker 1>um cost of living cause we're living through the roof,

0:25:08.680 --> 0:25:11.760
<v Speaker 1>so there's lots of things that make it challenging. There's

0:25:11.760 --> 0:25:13.800
<v Speaker 1>those are great places, and there are great companies and

0:25:13.800 --> 0:25:15.919
<v Speaker 1>they will continue to be. So the rise of the

0:25:15.960 --> 0:25:19.200
<v Speaker 1>rest is not, you know, sinking of these other places.

0:25:19.280 --> 0:25:22.400
<v Speaker 1>It's that these other opportunity there are places where new

0:25:22.440 --> 0:25:25.399
<v Speaker 1>opportunities can to be created, and we should be really

0:25:25.520 --> 0:25:27.800
<v Speaker 1>sponsoring those. And so that's really what that's all about.

0:25:28.080 --> 0:25:31.400
<v Speaker 1>There was a New York Times article some weeks ago

0:25:31.800 --> 0:25:37.080
<v Speaker 1>about a bunch of Silicon Valley venture capitalists who suddenly

0:25:37.160 --> 0:25:41.639
<v Speaker 1>had become completely enamored with Detroit. The cost of living

0:25:41.720 --> 0:25:46.680
<v Speaker 1>is incredibly cheap. There's a huge engineering and and um

0:25:46.760 --> 0:25:49.840
<v Speaker 1>technology talent pool there that they didn't expect to see.

0:25:50.320 --> 0:25:53.560
<v Speaker 1>How realistic is it to think of parts of the

0:25:53.600 --> 0:25:59.520
<v Speaker 1>Midwest Pittsburgh, Milwaukee, Detroit and other cities outside of the

0:25:59.600 --> 0:26:05.679
<v Speaker 1>core current technology venture capital areas really developing a burgeoning

0:26:06.040 --> 0:26:08.320
<v Speaker 1>texting I think it's very realistic, and I think we're

0:26:08.359 --> 0:26:10.800
<v Speaker 1>seeing it. Two of the most exciting companies in our

0:26:10.800 --> 0:26:14.240
<v Speaker 1>portfolio in Chicago. It's just in the West Loop and

0:26:14.280 --> 0:26:18.120
<v Speaker 1>it's one amazing If you walk into I think it's

0:26:18.119 --> 0:26:21.479
<v Speaker 1>six hundred West Chicago Avenue where these two companies, Temples

0:26:21.520 --> 0:26:25.800
<v Speaker 1>and Uptake are located, you would think you're in Silicon Valley.

0:26:25.960 --> 0:26:30.679
<v Speaker 1>The offices are, you know, vibrant, and there's young folks

0:26:30.760 --> 0:26:32.840
<v Speaker 1>coming in and out of the building all day long,

0:26:33.000 --> 0:26:38.240
<v Speaker 1>and there's the activity level is really buzzing. So Chicago's

0:26:38.280 --> 0:26:41.320
<v Speaker 1>for sure one of those areas that's coming along. Um.

0:26:41.359 --> 0:26:44.800
<v Speaker 1>I've done some stuff down in Atlanta, Atlantis coming along's

0:26:44.880 --> 0:26:48.720
<v Speaker 1>coming along. Um. We just did the investment in tallah

0:26:48.760 --> 0:26:50.520
<v Speaker 1>that we referred to earlier, which is in Santa Monica,

0:26:50.600 --> 0:26:52.520
<v Speaker 1>right outside of el I mean, there's so that we

0:26:52.640 --> 0:26:56.960
<v Speaker 1>believe that there are. Pittsburgh is where Google has their

0:26:57.080 --> 0:27:00.160
<v Speaker 1>autonomous uh and I think Uber has a lot their

0:27:00.200 --> 0:27:03.160
<v Speaker 1>autonomous work being done there. So a lot of these

0:27:03.160 --> 0:27:07.000
<v Speaker 1>cities that have great universities, a lot of young folks

0:27:07.400 --> 0:27:10.800
<v Speaker 1>are support of local community. They can do this and

0:27:10.800 --> 0:27:12.879
<v Speaker 1>and we're really starting to see this. So this isn't

0:27:12.920 --> 0:27:15.280
<v Speaker 1>a press release. This is a real commitment to those areas.

0:27:15.280 --> 0:27:17.080
<v Speaker 1>We stayed in the hotel right across the street, from

0:27:17.080 --> 0:27:20.199
<v Speaker 1>the new Google building, and our office in Chicago is

0:27:20.280 --> 0:27:22.520
<v Speaker 1>at a WEE works right around the corner from that.

0:27:22.600 --> 0:27:25.920
<v Speaker 1>It's amazing, it really is. Let's talk a little bit

0:27:26.080 --> 0:27:30.320
<v Speaker 1>about the modern era of venture investing, because it seems

0:27:30.359 --> 0:27:34.320
<v Speaker 1>so different than the two thousands, with the housing boom

0:27:34.320 --> 0:27:37.040
<v Speaker 1>and bust and the Great Financial Crisis, and of course

0:27:37.200 --> 0:27:40.600
<v Speaker 1>the insanity of the will we had, the dot com

0:27:40.720 --> 0:27:44.480
<v Speaker 1>boom and bust and and and that situation. I've noticed

0:27:44.480 --> 0:27:48.120
<v Speaker 1>that lots and lots of companies are staying private much

0:27:48.440 --> 0:27:50.280
<v Speaker 1>longer than they used to. The number of I p

0:27:50.359 --> 0:27:54.840
<v Speaker 1>o S are down. What's the driver behind that? Well,

0:27:54.880 --> 0:27:57.160
<v Speaker 1>as they say, probably part of it is because they

0:27:57.240 --> 0:28:00.280
<v Speaker 1>can all that all that capital we talked around gives

0:28:00.280 --> 0:28:03.400
<v Speaker 1>them an opportunity to not go public. One reasons, really,

0:28:03.440 --> 0:28:07.359
<v Speaker 1>I think is one is um because of some of

0:28:07.400 --> 0:28:11.800
<v Speaker 1>the regulations that's happened around Sarbanes Oxley and other things,

0:28:12.040 --> 0:28:16.000
<v Speaker 1>the cost and complexity of being a public company has

0:28:16.040 --> 0:28:21.160
<v Speaker 1>gone up, and so there's certainly some piece of it

0:28:21.200 --> 0:28:27.439
<v Speaker 1>is that it's just difficult. It's expensive. Oftentimes, particularly technology

0:28:27.440 --> 0:28:32.280
<v Speaker 1>based companies d prioritize building the infrastructure to support that

0:28:32.480 --> 0:28:35.920
<v Speaker 1>over the next product more sales and marketing, expand into

0:28:36.000 --> 0:28:39.800
<v Speaker 1>international activities and the like. And so there's a part

0:28:39.840 --> 0:28:42.440
<v Speaker 1>of it that is, hey, we don't want to do that,

0:28:42.560 --> 0:28:45.160
<v Speaker 1>and then there's a what what? So it's more let

0:28:45.440 --> 0:28:48.040
<v Speaker 1>me interrupt you. It's more than just regulations. It's building

0:28:48.040 --> 0:28:53.560
<v Speaker 1>out human resources, accounting, payroll compliance, all that stuff. They

0:28:53.640 --> 0:28:55.840
<v Speaker 1>just want to capture market share and sell more and

0:28:56.000 --> 0:28:58.560
<v Speaker 1>varied products. Yeah, if you think about what drives a

0:28:58.840 --> 0:29:01.680
<v Speaker 1>founder to start a company and what drives the founder

0:29:01.720 --> 0:29:04.320
<v Speaker 1>every day to picking a new payroll company, that's what

0:29:04.360 --> 0:29:09.440
<v Speaker 1>they're enthusiastic, picking a cybersecurity expert and and reviewing compliance

0:29:09.520 --> 0:29:13.400
<v Speaker 1>with Sarbanes Oxley for a one C or whatever. I mean,

0:29:14.160 --> 0:29:17.760
<v Speaker 1>for sure there's some piece of it that is not

0:29:17.960 --> 0:29:21.360
<v Speaker 1>prioritized with a lot of companies. So what But what

0:29:21.480 --> 0:29:24.240
<v Speaker 1>has enabled it? I believe as as you referred to

0:29:24.280 --> 0:29:27.280
<v Speaker 1>earlier as really the access of capital to allow for

0:29:27.800 --> 0:29:30.600
<v Speaker 1>the growth without having to tap the public market. So

0:29:30.600 --> 0:29:33.440
<v Speaker 1>that you as a venture capitalist, you as a person

0:29:33.560 --> 0:29:37.560
<v Speaker 1>running of funds, you're looking for an exit eventually, I

0:29:37.600 --> 0:29:41.320
<v Speaker 1>got to imagine that the big backers of shops like

0:29:41.480 --> 0:29:44.200
<v Speaker 1>Uber aren't. Yeah, take your time whenever you get around

0:29:44.240 --> 0:29:47.520
<v Speaker 1>to it will be patient. I think these folks are

0:29:47.600 --> 0:29:50.560
<v Speaker 1>waiting for an exit. And Uber perhaps is a good example.

0:29:50.560 --> 0:29:52.680
<v Speaker 1>If they would have gone public a year ago, they

0:29:52.760 --> 0:29:56.080
<v Speaker 1>might have missed that whole. Gee, here's a haircut on

0:29:56.120 --> 0:29:59.520
<v Speaker 1>your last high water mark valuation. Certainly could have been

0:29:59.760 --> 0:30:04.520
<v Speaker 1>And for sure, venture investors have limited partners and of

0:30:05.000 --> 0:30:08.800
<v Speaker 1>institutions that need money back at some point. That said,

0:30:08.840 --> 0:30:10.320
<v Speaker 1>if you talk to a lot of them, I'm sure

0:30:10.360 --> 0:30:12.880
<v Speaker 1>you hear from others that if they find a great

0:30:12.920 --> 0:30:15.920
<v Speaker 1>company that continues to grow at a fast pace and

0:30:15.920 --> 0:30:20.160
<v Speaker 1>it's continuing to gain market share and developing opportunity, that's

0:30:20.200 --> 0:30:22.720
<v Speaker 1>not something they want to get out of quickly. Right. So,

0:30:23.320 --> 0:30:27.600
<v Speaker 1>on some level, by these companies, the best of them

0:30:27.640 --> 0:30:31.000
<v Speaker 1>not going public, it allows some of these venture investors

0:30:31.040 --> 0:30:34.360
<v Speaker 1>to hold longer and capture more of the upside, where

0:30:34.400 --> 0:30:37.600
<v Speaker 1>perhaps in previous years, when the company goes public, they're

0:30:37.640 --> 0:30:41.640
<v Speaker 1>under a lot more pressure to sell their shares because

0:30:41.640 --> 0:30:44.080
<v Speaker 1>there's a public market for that. Now, I recall in

0:30:44.120 --> 0:30:47.680
<v Speaker 1>the nineties and maybe that's an aberrational period, but every

0:30:47.680 --> 0:30:49.560
<v Speaker 1>now and then a company would come public with a

0:30:49.680 --> 0:30:53.239
<v Speaker 1>very small float. Perhaps that was the thinking behind it.

0:30:53.320 --> 0:30:55.320
<v Speaker 1>All Right, we'll sell ten percent of our holdings, but

0:30:55.440 --> 0:30:57.800
<v Speaker 1>we think this is worth a lot and we don't

0:30:57.800 --> 0:30:59.480
<v Speaker 1>really need the money, so we willing to let it

0:30:59.560 --> 0:31:02.360
<v Speaker 1>ride a little bit. That's right, And and that was

0:31:02.400 --> 0:31:05.720
<v Speaker 1>also particularly in the nineties, Really the I p O

0:31:05.800 --> 0:31:08.960
<v Speaker 1>event was much more of a financing event, right, which

0:31:09.000 --> 0:31:13.560
<v Speaker 1>is they had they got access sitting in boardrooms during

0:31:13.640 --> 0:31:16.160
<v Speaker 1>that time, the question about when to go public was

0:31:16.360 --> 0:31:19.000
<v Speaker 1>when do we need to raise our next round? And

0:31:19.040 --> 0:31:21.320
<v Speaker 1>what would be the benefits of being public? And some

0:31:21.440 --> 0:31:23.520
<v Speaker 1>of them would be access to more capital, some of

0:31:23.560 --> 0:31:26.080
<v Speaker 1>them would be we now have a public currency which

0:31:26.120 --> 0:31:28.800
<v Speaker 1>we can use for acquisitions and the like. And with

0:31:28.880 --> 0:31:32.320
<v Speaker 1>the the world that has changed now where there there

0:31:32.360 --> 0:31:36.120
<v Speaker 1>aren't five soft bank vision funds, but there are certainly

0:31:36.200 --> 0:31:41.320
<v Speaker 1>five multi billion dollar funds that are focused now on

0:31:41.680 --> 0:31:45.800
<v Speaker 1>later stage technology based companies that are private. And so

0:31:45.840 --> 0:31:50.560
<v Speaker 1>the availability of capital I can't imagine it's ever been

0:31:50.760 --> 0:31:53.480
<v Speaker 1>more great than it is right now. Are we creating

0:31:54.040 --> 0:31:57.520
<v Speaker 1>a giant damn behind which there's all this pent up

0:31:57.520 --> 0:32:00.760
<v Speaker 1>demand to go public or pent up demand for for

0:32:00.840 --> 0:32:04.480
<v Speaker 1>more companies, And at some point, not too far off

0:32:04.480 --> 0:32:06.680
<v Speaker 1>in the future, we're gonna see a wave of I

0:32:06.800 --> 0:32:09.520
<v Speaker 1>p O s coming out. I don't know. There's been

0:32:09.560 --> 0:32:11.280
<v Speaker 1>a lot of talk about this wave of I p

0:32:11.360 --> 0:32:12.920
<v Speaker 1>O s for a number of years, and it doesn't

0:32:12.920 --> 0:32:16.240
<v Speaker 1>seem to have happened. I do think some of these

0:32:16.240 --> 0:32:19.240
<v Speaker 1>companies that are private, some of these big companies there,

0:32:19.320 --> 0:32:21.280
<v Speaker 1>B and B and others, they could go public anytime

0:32:21.280 --> 0:32:23.840
<v Speaker 1>they want. Uh. They don't have to wait for a

0:32:23.880 --> 0:32:27.280
<v Speaker 1>good market, a bad market, whatever. There are companies that

0:32:27.320 --> 0:32:30.160
<v Speaker 1>are our size and scale. Many of them are achieving

0:32:30.280 --> 0:32:33.040
<v Speaker 1>or past profitability. They're starting to show real leverage in

0:32:33.040 --> 0:32:35.760
<v Speaker 1>their model. They're starting to show that they're they're able

0:32:35.800 --> 0:32:39.240
<v Speaker 1>to add new products and new services onto what they're

0:32:39.240 --> 0:32:41.560
<v Speaker 1>doing in a very effective and efficient manner. They've built

0:32:41.560 --> 0:32:44.920
<v Speaker 1>out their management team so they are operating almost as

0:32:44.960 --> 0:32:47.000
<v Speaker 1>if they are a public company. When the within the

0:32:47.040 --> 0:32:50.560
<v Speaker 1>shell of within the veil of privacy, if you will,

0:32:50.640 --> 0:32:53.720
<v Speaker 1>and you know so, I think those will happen. Whether

0:32:53.760 --> 0:32:56.640
<v Speaker 1>they happen this month, next month, next year, it's unclear.

0:32:56.920 --> 0:32:59.920
<v Speaker 1>So let's talk a little bit about valuation. I've had

0:33:00.320 --> 0:33:05.880
<v Speaker 1>other vcs like Mark Andreeson tell me valuation is irrelevant.

0:33:06.320 --> 0:33:09.000
<v Speaker 1>Their business model is looking for the needle in a haystack.

0:33:09.080 --> 0:33:13.280
<v Speaker 1>And whether Facebook returns ten thousand times your initial investment

0:33:13.320 --> 0:33:16.080
<v Speaker 1>or twenty thousand times, it's a relevant at pace for

0:33:16.120 --> 0:33:19.400
<v Speaker 1>a lot of other um investments that don't work out.

0:33:20.200 --> 0:33:23.240
<v Speaker 1>You have the accounting background, what do you think of

0:33:23.240 --> 0:33:29.160
<v Speaker 1>of valuation when you're trying to choose amongst early stage companies? Yeah,

0:33:29.200 --> 0:33:31.800
<v Speaker 1>I guess maybe this is where some of my accounting

0:33:31.800 --> 0:33:34.720
<v Speaker 1>background would probably put me in a slightly different uh

0:33:35.240 --> 0:33:37.360
<v Speaker 1>point of view there. I think as it relates to

0:33:37.600 --> 0:33:40.600
<v Speaker 1>super early stage investments where you're really betting on a

0:33:40.640 --> 0:33:44.360
<v Speaker 1>team and an idea, whether you invest that two million

0:33:44.400 --> 0:33:47.000
<v Speaker 1>pre or ten million pre probably doesn't matter too much.

0:33:47.920 --> 0:33:50.720
<v Speaker 1>I think it starts to matter a lot more as

0:33:50.720 --> 0:33:54.000
<v Speaker 1>you get further up the valuation train. So does it

0:33:54.160 --> 0:33:57.840
<v Speaker 1>matter if you invest in the next best travel company

0:33:57.880 --> 0:34:01.240
<v Speaker 1>that has a lot of traction at a two million

0:34:01.320 --> 0:34:04.360
<v Speaker 1>valuation versus a billion valuation? I think it matters actually

0:34:04.360 --> 0:34:08.200
<v Speaker 1>a lot in many instances. In actually most instances, it's

0:34:08.200 --> 0:34:10.600
<v Speaker 1>easy to point to a Facebook and say, hey, you're

0:34:10.640 --> 0:34:12.680
<v Speaker 1>going to make twenty thou times your money. Doesn't really

0:34:12.719 --> 0:34:14.960
<v Speaker 1>matter if you make ten thousand times your money, of

0:34:14.960 --> 0:34:20.200
<v Speaker 1>course it does not. The that's really an exception. Most

0:34:20.239 --> 0:34:24.040
<v Speaker 1>of the companies follow into a much more predictable pattern

0:34:24.080 --> 0:34:27.440
<v Speaker 1>of what they can exit at. Ultimately, as you know,

0:34:27.520 --> 0:34:29.839
<v Speaker 1>what does that bill curve look like of those that

0:34:29.920 --> 0:34:32.279
<v Speaker 1>don't make it, those that break even, and those that

0:34:32.760 --> 0:34:37.560
<v Speaker 1>deliver a profit. It depends when you invest. Uh, if

0:34:37.600 --> 0:34:40.640
<v Speaker 1>you're pure early stage investors, most of them that are

0:34:40.680 --> 0:34:43.960
<v Speaker 1>honest with you would tell you that certainly thirty or

0:34:44.040 --> 0:34:48.080
<v Speaker 1>forty of their companies never make it. That's the earlier stage,

0:34:48.320 --> 0:34:51.759
<v Speaker 1>the much more challenging it is. You're really casting a

0:34:51.800 --> 0:34:53.840
<v Speaker 1>wide neck because so many of them are going to fail.

0:34:54.040 --> 0:34:56.399
<v Speaker 1>At the stage that we invest in, which is really

0:34:56.440 --> 0:34:59.960
<v Speaker 1>the growth stage where there's been there's lots of work

0:35:00.120 --> 0:35:03.280
<v Speaker 1>left to be done, but there's a existing revenue stream

0:35:03.280 --> 0:35:05.319
<v Speaker 1>and there's a product in the marketplace where you can

0:35:05.360 --> 0:35:08.800
<v Speaker 1>see things like margin and things like that. The failure

0:35:08.880 --> 0:35:12.920
<v Speaker 1>rate should be much much lower should be of the companies.

0:35:13.200 --> 0:35:16.960
<v Speaker 1>But you also lose the fifty or a hundred times

0:35:17.120 --> 0:35:19.640
<v Speaker 1>x because you're in at a higher valuation and transpoint.

0:35:19.800 --> 0:35:22.319
<v Speaker 1>But you could still see a ten or twenty x

0:35:22.400 --> 0:35:25.359
<v Speaker 1>return and that pays for a lot of companies that

0:35:25.560 --> 0:35:28.359
<v Speaker 1>for sure don't don't break even for sure. We were

0:35:28.400 --> 0:35:31.680
<v Speaker 1>discussing earlier about some of the companies that have stayed

0:35:32.480 --> 0:35:36.000
<v Speaker 1>UM private, and I referenced Duber. What about a company

0:35:36.000 --> 0:35:39.920
<v Speaker 1>like Tesla that went public and just has this massive

0:35:40.719 --> 0:35:44.120
<v Speaker 1>cash burn? Should they have stayed private and continue to

0:35:44.160 --> 0:35:48.080
<v Speaker 1>tap the venture markets or does this make sense for them?

0:35:48.120 --> 0:35:50.239
<v Speaker 1>I I, you know, I don't know enough to know.

0:35:50.480 --> 0:35:52.600
<v Speaker 1>I don't know all the details of why they decided

0:35:52.640 --> 0:35:54.399
<v Speaker 1>to do what they've do. It seems to have worked

0:35:54.440 --> 0:35:58.520
<v Speaker 1>out okay for them. They're obviously going through some challenges now,

0:35:59.160 --> 0:36:02.320
<v Speaker 1>but people love the product. They've be able to access

0:36:02.320 --> 0:36:05.879
<v Speaker 1>a lot of public funds. Um recently they just did

0:36:05.920 --> 0:36:09.640
<v Speaker 1>another three billion dollar bond bond offering that worked out

0:36:09.640 --> 0:36:12.400
<v Speaker 1>pretty well. And the CEO Ellen is obviously one of

0:36:12.440 --> 0:36:15.200
<v Speaker 1>the world's great visionaries that people want to back and

0:36:15.239 --> 0:36:19.640
<v Speaker 1>want to support. Uh So why they decided to go

0:36:19.719 --> 0:36:22.400
<v Speaker 1>public when they did is not clear, but it seems

0:36:22.400 --> 0:36:26.160
<v Speaker 1>to have worked out okay for them. So you referenced funding,

0:36:26.320 --> 0:36:30.520
<v Speaker 1>an idea and a team. Um, which is more important?

0:36:30.600 --> 0:36:33.279
<v Speaker 1>Is it the idea that grabs your attention? Is it

0:36:33.400 --> 0:36:36.200
<v Speaker 1>the team and how they execute or is it some

0:36:36.880 --> 0:36:41.440
<v Speaker 1>ineffable combination. Yeah, it's I'm sure it's It depends a

0:36:41.480 --> 0:36:44.360
<v Speaker 1>little different on each one, and I think it depends

0:36:44.360 --> 0:36:48.000
<v Speaker 1>a little bit more on the stage of investments. So

0:36:48.040 --> 0:36:52.239
<v Speaker 1>the earlier we go, the more it's simply dependent on

0:36:52.320 --> 0:36:55.600
<v Speaker 1>the team. Right. So it's because what we find is

0:36:55.960 --> 0:36:59.920
<v Speaker 1>great teams can find the opportunity. You know, if you're

0:37:00.520 --> 0:37:03.080
<v Speaker 1>if you're in a general market area where you think

0:37:03.120 --> 0:37:05.800
<v Speaker 1>there's a great opportunity and you have a superior team,

0:37:06.239 --> 0:37:10.200
<v Speaker 1>they will find where those nuanced opportunities will be. They're

0:37:10.200 --> 0:37:14.040
<v Speaker 1>almost never exactly where you start. I use this uh

0:37:14.239 --> 0:37:17.120
<v Speaker 1>analogy with a lot of people because my sons are

0:37:17.120 --> 0:37:20.399
<v Speaker 1>all they they're competitive sale racers, And I said, when

0:37:20.440 --> 0:37:24.839
<v Speaker 1>you're running one of these companies, you're you know where

0:37:24.840 --> 0:37:26.600
<v Speaker 1>you need to go. You're at point A and you

0:37:26.600 --> 0:37:29.560
<v Speaker 1>need to get to point C. The problem is the

0:37:29.600 --> 0:37:33.560
<v Speaker 1>people that you don't realize that the captain of the ship,

0:37:33.600 --> 0:37:35.480
<v Speaker 1>if you will, is actually in a sailboat, not a

0:37:35.520 --> 0:37:38.799
<v Speaker 1>motor boat. So you have to go. And so if

0:37:38.800 --> 0:37:40.560
<v Speaker 1>you try to go in a sailboat from point A

0:37:40.680 --> 0:37:42.799
<v Speaker 1>to point C, if the wind is not exactly where

0:37:42.840 --> 0:37:45.759
<v Speaker 1>you think it is, you ain't going anywhere, right. And

0:37:46.160 --> 0:37:48.560
<v Speaker 1>too many people say, geez, I know where I'm going,

0:37:48.600 --> 0:37:50.600
<v Speaker 1>and I keep going and I'm running into this wall.

0:37:51.000 --> 0:37:55.800
<v Speaker 1>The really talented managers of these companies and founders, they say, geez,

0:37:55.840 --> 0:37:57.319
<v Speaker 1>I know where I'm going, but I have to go

0:37:57.400 --> 0:37:59.279
<v Speaker 1>here first and then there and then there, and I'm

0:37:59.320 --> 0:38:00.960
<v Speaker 1>going to read the t leaves along the way, and

0:38:01.000 --> 0:38:02.959
<v Speaker 1>it's it's actually fun to be a part of those

0:38:03.320 --> 0:38:05.920
<v Speaker 1>We have been speaking with Steve Murray. He is a

0:38:05.960 --> 0:38:11.319
<v Speaker 1>partner at Revolution Growth Venture Funds. If you enjoy this conversation,

0:38:11.440 --> 0:38:14.040
<v Speaker 1>be sure and stick around for the podcast extras. Will

0:38:14.040 --> 0:38:17.080
<v Speaker 1>we keep the tape rolling and continue discussing all things

0:38:17.600 --> 0:38:22.239
<v Speaker 1>venture related. We love your comments, feedback and suggestions right

0:38:22.320 --> 0:38:25.439
<v Speaker 1>to us at m IB podcast at Bloomberg dot net.

0:38:25.880 --> 0:38:29.600
<v Speaker 1>You can check out my daily column at Bloomberg dot com.

0:38:29.640 --> 0:38:33.120
<v Speaker 1>Follow me on Twitter at rit Holts. I'm Barry rit Holts.

0:38:33.160 --> 0:38:50.240
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio. Welcome

0:38:50.280 --> 0:38:53.160
<v Speaker 1>to the podcast, Steve, thanks so much for doing this.

0:38:53.280 --> 0:38:56.680
<v Speaker 1>I have a list of questions we didn't get to.

0:38:56.960 --> 0:39:02.080
<v Speaker 1>I have to um bounce off view before we start

0:39:02.200 --> 0:39:08.280
<v Speaker 1>with our favorite questions. UM, your New York and DC based.

0:39:09.000 --> 0:39:11.920
<v Speaker 1>I have to ask, what's the difference between venture or

0:39:11.960 --> 0:39:16.680
<v Speaker 1>even private equity? Firms on the East Coast versus those

0:39:16.760 --> 0:39:19.520
<v Speaker 1>out in Silicon Valley. And I say this as a

0:39:19.560 --> 0:39:23.280
<v Speaker 1>person who has been to a number of Silicon Valley

0:39:23.560 --> 0:39:26.040
<v Speaker 1>venture firms, and every time I walk out of one

0:39:26.080 --> 0:39:29.440
<v Speaker 1>of them, I kind of scratched my chin and say,

0:39:29.160 --> 0:39:31.759
<v Speaker 1>I could live in California if I had to, I

0:39:32.120 --> 0:39:35.759
<v Speaker 1>could survive this. In New York. It seems they're role

0:39:35.880 --> 0:39:38.440
<v Speaker 1>in big offices and it's lovely and everything, but it's

0:39:38.440 --> 0:39:42.560
<v Speaker 1>a totally different vibe. Yeah, the weather in UH in

0:39:42.640 --> 0:39:46.319
<v Speaker 1>northern California is certainly superior to Boston or New York,

0:39:47.719 --> 0:39:50.760
<v Speaker 1>to say the least. I agree with that, that's agree.

0:39:51.200 --> 0:39:55.480
<v Speaker 1>So I actually think the differences between the coasts and

0:39:55.520 --> 0:39:59.000
<v Speaker 1>how they approach things has changed a little bit over time,

0:39:59.000 --> 0:40:02.160
<v Speaker 1>and they have become are similar. Partly is that some

0:40:02.239 --> 0:40:04.440
<v Speaker 1>of the firms and the West Coast have opened up

0:40:04.440 --> 0:40:06.239
<v Speaker 1>New York offices, and some of the firms in New

0:40:06.280 --> 0:40:09.200
<v Speaker 1>York and Boston have opened up Silicon value firms. Actually,

0:40:09.239 --> 0:40:11.680
<v Speaker 1>most of the successful firms on either coast now have

0:40:11.760 --> 0:40:14.080
<v Speaker 1>a presence in the coast that they weren't in. So

0:40:14.120 --> 0:40:15.839
<v Speaker 1>I think there's some of that that there's a little

0:40:15.840 --> 0:40:19.239
<v Speaker 1>bit more of similarity. That said, I do think there

0:40:19.440 --> 0:40:23.960
<v Speaker 1>is something to the you know, the the old adage

0:40:24.000 --> 0:40:27.400
<v Speaker 1>that they're the more risk tolerant on the West Coast.

0:40:27.760 --> 0:40:32.640
<v Speaker 1>They're more for sure, and they're the acceptance of failure

0:40:32.800 --> 0:40:36.480
<v Speaker 1>is a little higher, and on some level, particularly on

0:40:36.520 --> 0:40:40.759
<v Speaker 1>the early stage, I find that the West Coast investors

0:40:40.800 --> 0:40:46.239
<v Speaker 1>almost look like, look at somebody's failure as a CEO

0:40:46.520 --> 0:40:49.359
<v Speaker 1>as a badge of honor, not as a you know,

0:40:49.400 --> 0:40:52.120
<v Speaker 1>a black mark. Hey, this guy tried, They went for it,

0:40:52.200 --> 0:40:55.920
<v Speaker 1>they swung for the fences. Now I just um said

0:40:56.040 --> 0:40:59.640
<v Speaker 1>this guy and it's mostly been guys. Do you see

0:40:59.680 --> 0:41:02.960
<v Speaker 1>an each changes taking place with more women, more people

0:41:03.000 --> 0:41:09.479
<v Speaker 1>of color, less um, less just male dominator technology. Yeah,

0:41:09.520 --> 0:41:12.440
<v Speaker 1>for sure, they're they're less pro topia every everything for

0:41:12.680 --> 0:41:16.680
<v Speaker 1>the venture from the venture firms themselves, uh, to the

0:41:17.000 --> 0:41:21.960
<v Speaker 1>firms and the companies running there's there's a clear uh

0:41:23.160 --> 0:41:27.319
<v Speaker 1>emphasis on diversity, and there's real business reasons for it.

0:41:27.360 --> 0:41:31.000
<v Speaker 1>The research suggests that you get people in a room

0:41:31.080 --> 0:41:33.120
<v Speaker 1>with different points of view and you come up with

0:41:33.160 --> 0:41:36.359
<v Speaker 1>a better outcome. So let's group think. I think there's

0:41:36.360 --> 0:41:38.720
<v Speaker 1>a there's a lot a lot of ways to go there,

0:41:38.800 --> 0:41:41.800
<v Speaker 1>and obviously there's been some some you know, very public

0:41:41.840 --> 0:41:43.759
<v Speaker 1>and bad stories that have come out in the last

0:41:43.760 --> 0:41:47.680
<v Speaker 1>couple of years. But that's probably catalyzing change faster, is

0:41:47.680 --> 0:41:51.120
<v Speaker 1>my my guess. So you sit at a unique perch

0:41:51.160 --> 0:41:54.279
<v Speaker 1>where you're looking at things that are changing. What is

0:41:54.360 --> 0:41:59.000
<v Speaker 1>the next industry that's going to be disrupted? Is it healthcare?

0:41:59.200 --> 0:42:02.000
<v Speaker 1>Is it finance? Schools? In fintech, which I know is

0:42:02.040 --> 0:42:05.200
<v Speaker 1>an area, uh you like, is it even something like

0:42:05.280 --> 0:42:09.360
<v Speaker 1>food or transportation? What what's the next disruption that's going

0:42:09.400 --> 0:42:12.799
<v Speaker 1>to take place? I think there's all of those, but

0:42:13.120 --> 0:42:16.040
<v Speaker 1>so here's but there's one that's maybe more more current

0:42:16.120 --> 0:42:18.719
<v Speaker 1>than Okay, an interesting topic to talk about, which is

0:42:19.239 --> 0:42:23.880
<v Speaker 1>the Supreme Court will rule within the next thirty days

0:42:24.680 --> 0:42:28.920
<v Speaker 1>on a case called Paspo, which is the state of

0:42:28.920 --> 0:42:34.240
<v Speaker 1>New Jersey sued the federal government essentially around thing about

0:42:34.280 --> 0:42:38.680
<v Speaker 1>states rights. But depending on which way the Supreme Court rules,

0:42:38.880 --> 0:42:43.279
<v Speaker 1>it could allow for legalized sports gambling on a state

0:42:43.320 --> 0:42:48.760
<v Speaker 1>by state basis. Legalized sports gambling. So currently there's gambling

0:42:48.760 --> 0:42:53.200
<v Speaker 1>allowed in Las Vegas. You can bet on different um

0:42:53.239 --> 0:42:57.680
<v Speaker 1>teams and stuff. Isn't that is that not allowable on

0:42:57.719 --> 0:43:00.759
<v Speaker 1>a state by state basis currently? So you are now

0:43:00.800 --> 0:43:03.799
<v Speaker 1>seemingly making the argument that New Jersey is making, which

0:43:03.880 --> 0:43:08.120
<v Speaker 1>is why does Nevada get to allow for this and

0:43:08.280 --> 0:43:11.680
<v Speaker 1>the other states not? It doesn't make much sense there,

0:43:12.360 --> 0:43:15.680
<v Speaker 1>So that that's the essence of the conflict. There's lots

0:43:15.719 --> 0:43:18.279
<v Speaker 1>of legal nuanced and you with your legal background, would

0:43:18.320 --> 0:43:19.920
<v Speaker 1>be able to read the briefings, I'm sure, and be

0:43:19.960 --> 0:43:24.440
<v Speaker 1>able to summarize them, do you, Lord No, under no circumstances.

0:43:24.480 --> 0:43:27.839
<v Speaker 1>In essence, that is the conflict that's being resolved, or

0:43:27.880 --> 0:43:30.399
<v Speaker 1>that's being that that's at at that issue right now.

0:43:30.880 --> 0:43:34.560
<v Speaker 1>The reason I think that's so important is that sports

0:43:34.880 --> 0:43:38.960
<v Speaker 1>and the media around sports has changed so much in

0:43:39.000 --> 0:43:43.560
<v Speaker 1>the last few years. How people engage with sports, whether

0:43:43.640 --> 0:43:48.400
<v Speaker 1>it's through the mobile device, whether it's through uh fantasy sports,

0:43:48.480 --> 0:43:54.200
<v Speaker 1>both regular league's fantasy sports or daily fantasy sports like

0:43:54.239 --> 0:43:58.839
<v Speaker 1>at DraftKings. The engagement with sports has changed so much

0:43:58.840 --> 0:44:03.359
<v Speaker 1>over time. But the import of sports to the television

0:44:03.400 --> 0:44:09.800
<v Speaker 1>bundle and places cut the chord. You're not seeing live sports,

0:44:09.800 --> 0:44:14.480
<v Speaker 1>that's right, So that this is a big thing. There's

0:44:14.560 --> 0:44:18.200
<v Speaker 1>a strong opinion amongst many people that know much more

0:44:18.200 --> 0:44:20.560
<v Speaker 1>about it than I do, that the Supreme Court will

0:44:20.560 --> 0:44:24.840
<v Speaker 1>in fact overrule. This makes sense and allow for states

0:44:25.320 --> 0:44:27.640
<v Speaker 1>to decide on their own what they want to do.

0:44:28.160 --> 0:44:32.760
<v Speaker 1>That will kick off an enormous game of musical chairs

0:44:32.840 --> 0:44:37.200
<v Speaker 1>around who's doing what. Everybody wants to have their hand

0:44:37.239 --> 0:44:44.400
<v Speaker 1>in that pie. The leagues, the states, want, the operators,

0:44:44.800 --> 0:44:49.439
<v Speaker 1>the media companies. Everyone seems to be positioning there. There's

0:44:49.440 --> 0:44:52.400
<v Speaker 1>a number of states that have already begun to file

0:44:52.520 --> 0:44:56.560
<v Speaker 1>legislation in the event this passes. So this is a

0:44:56.600 --> 0:44:59.399
<v Speaker 1>real game of musical chairs that could start any day.

0:44:59.600 --> 0:45:02.239
<v Speaker 1>And you think this will be explosive. I think if

0:45:02.280 --> 0:45:04.560
<v Speaker 1>it happens, it's going to be really interesting to watch.

0:45:04.800 --> 0:45:08.440
<v Speaker 1>I have a buddy. So I'm not a fantasy sports guy,

0:45:08.560 --> 0:45:12.160
<v Speaker 1>and I'm too old to be the Nintendo I forgot

0:45:12.200 --> 0:45:15.320
<v Speaker 1>the name of the the game where people were running

0:45:15.360 --> 0:45:20.440
<v Speaker 1>around swiping things in in um Pokemon. I'm too old

0:45:20.480 --> 0:45:22.640
<v Speaker 1>to be a Pokemon ghost sort of guy. But I

0:45:22.640 --> 0:45:25.359
<v Speaker 1>have a buddy. Shout shout out to Lend Parissi, who

0:45:25.400 --> 0:45:30.040
<v Speaker 1>created a company that combined fantasy sports with Pokemon Go.

0:45:30.239 --> 0:45:33.600
<v Speaker 1>He got it patented. They were just funded and essentially,

0:45:33.600 --> 0:45:37.680
<v Speaker 1>when you put your fantasy NFL or basketball team together,

0:45:37.719 --> 0:45:40.680
<v Speaker 1>you run around your city and your's, Oh, there's Lebron

0:45:40.800 --> 0:45:43.520
<v Speaker 1>James and you're swiping him like he's a Pokemon go egg.

0:45:43.920 --> 0:45:46.400
<v Speaker 1>When he told it to me, I said, dude, I

0:45:46.440 --> 0:45:49.120
<v Speaker 1>don't do any of that stuff, And I gotta think

0:45:49.200 --> 0:45:51.640
<v Speaker 1>kids are gonna love that. That just seems like a

0:45:51.760 --> 0:45:56.480
<v Speaker 1>crazy good idea. Um, is this the sort of insanity

0:45:56.520 --> 0:45:59.720
<v Speaker 1>that we're gonna be dealing with? As all these different

0:45:59.760 --> 0:46:03.840
<v Speaker 1>kind steps cross fertilize each other and cross pollinate, you

0:46:03.960 --> 0:46:07.000
<v Speaker 1>end up with just a million new ideas and a

0:46:07.000 --> 0:46:11.240
<v Speaker 1>million new businesses. It's very clear that if from sports,

0:46:11.239 --> 0:46:14.759
<v Speaker 1>which is a big and important business in in the U.

0:46:14.920 --> 0:46:18.239
<v Speaker 1>S and and internationally, that the way in which the

0:46:18.280 --> 0:46:22.760
<v Speaker 1>consumers consume that content has changed dramatically and will continue

0:46:22.760 --> 0:46:26.520
<v Speaker 1>to change. That could be where things like virtual reality

0:46:26.560 --> 0:46:29.680
<v Speaker 1>and augmented reality player role like with your Friends Company

0:46:30.040 --> 0:46:32.680
<v Speaker 1>an AI are gonna apply to this. You think about

0:46:33.000 --> 0:46:35.480
<v Speaker 1>a situation where you're sitting at your house on a

0:46:35.480 --> 0:46:38.040
<v Speaker 1>Friday night, you don't feel like going into the Yankees game,

0:46:38.640 --> 0:46:42.759
<v Speaker 1>but maybe for fifteen dollars, you can be essentially at

0:46:42.920 --> 0:46:45.759
<v Speaker 1>the front row in your with put your headset on,

0:46:45.840 --> 0:46:48.600
<v Speaker 1>and you you're there. The game's going on. You hear

0:46:48.600 --> 0:46:51.520
<v Speaker 1>it all, you see the ball flying by, There's those

0:46:51.560 --> 0:46:54.640
<v Speaker 1>types of things. So there's a lot of ideas that

0:46:54.680 --> 0:46:57.319
<v Speaker 1>are going on. What the consumers actually fall in love with?

0:46:57.360 --> 0:47:00.000
<v Speaker 1>Who knows, I don't know. I have three teenage boys

0:47:00.200 --> 0:47:03.440
<v Speaker 1>and they have never seen addictive behavior like their's right

0:47:03.440 --> 0:47:06.439
<v Speaker 1>now with a game called Fortnite. Of course that's it's

0:47:06.520 --> 0:47:10.160
<v Speaker 1>just and so, but if a year ago somebody had

0:47:10.200 --> 0:47:12.320
<v Speaker 1>shown me that game, I would have said, I don't

0:47:12.520 --> 0:47:15.200
<v Speaker 1>see why somebody would want to do that. They and

0:47:15.280 --> 0:47:18.480
<v Speaker 1>all their friends and everybody I knows friends play it

0:47:18.520 --> 0:47:21.520
<v Speaker 1>all the time. So what consumers actually hang onto I

0:47:21.520 --> 0:47:24.279
<v Speaker 1>don't know, but there is, there has started to be,

0:47:24.520 --> 0:47:26.759
<v Speaker 1>and there will continue to be an enormous amount of

0:47:26.800 --> 0:47:31.360
<v Speaker 1>innovation around the activities around sports because they're so popular,

0:47:31.360 --> 0:47:33.799
<v Speaker 1>because the usage patterns have changed so much. And I

0:47:33.840 --> 0:47:37.319
<v Speaker 1>do think this sixty nine. Nobody knows what the number is,

0:47:37.360 --> 0:47:40.279
<v Speaker 1>but it's a big, big number of billions. That is

0:47:40.560 --> 0:47:44.160
<v Speaker 1>that is bet illegally in the US through off shore.

0:47:44.360 --> 0:47:46.680
<v Speaker 1>It's a lot more than that. It's hundreds of billions

0:47:46.680 --> 0:47:49.719
<v Speaker 1>of dollars. It's an insane, insane amount of money, and

0:47:50.040 --> 0:47:54.240
<v Speaker 1>that very soon could be very soon measured in years

0:47:54.280 --> 0:47:59.480
<v Speaker 1>not days, could be now bet legally, huh that? And

0:47:59.520 --> 0:48:02.880
<v Speaker 1>so every any profits from it, taxes it, except for

0:48:02.920 --> 0:48:06.520
<v Speaker 1>the you know Mark Twain called gambling attacks on the stupid,

0:48:06.560 --> 0:48:09.280
<v Speaker 1>but except for the people on the losing end. There's

0:48:09.280 --> 0:48:11.239
<v Speaker 1>a lot of activity that's going to take place, and

0:48:11.280 --> 0:48:14.319
<v Speaker 1>the people the proponents of this would certainly say, well,

0:48:14.360 --> 0:48:16.160
<v Speaker 1>there are people on the losing end of it. Now,

0:48:17.000 --> 0:48:20.480
<v Speaker 1>sure you're not adding to the number of people. Well,

0:48:20.560 --> 0:48:23.399
<v Speaker 1>you might be attracting more people once it comes out

0:48:23.440 --> 0:48:27.080
<v Speaker 1>from the black market. That's certainly a reasonable guess. Certainly

0:48:27.120 --> 0:48:30.839
<v Speaker 1>could be. I remember having a conversation with somebody that's

0:48:30.840 --> 0:48:33.520
<v Speaker 1>involved in one of the operators in Europe, a good

0:48:33.520 --> 0:48:35.160
<v Speaker 1>friend of mine who actually lives in New York here,

0:48:35.320 --> 0:48:38.080
<v Speaker 1>and he said, you know what's interesting is he said,

0:48:38.080 --> 0:48:42.080
<v Speaker 1>when we have a tennis match in Europe where the

0:48:42.200 --> 0:48:46.640
<v Speaker 1>number hundred player beats the number three player, we actually

0:48:46.680 --> 0:48:49.520
<v Speaker 1>go to the logs and see who bet on what when,

0:48:49.560 --> 0:48:52.440
<v Speaker 1>and if there's some unusual activity, if that happens here

0:48:52.440 --> 0:48:53.799
<v Speaker 1>in the U s what do you how do you

0:48:53.840 --> 0:48:56.960
<v Speaker 1>find any data? But what you actually don't. It's a

0:48:57.000 --> 0:49:00.680
<v Speaker 1>way to keep the sport clean and you know they're

0:49:00.960 --> 0:49:05.800
<v Speaker 1>currently enough twelve step programs UM certainly for for angry

0:49:05.840 --> 0:49:08.279
<v Speaker 1>birds and candy crush that if it gets to be

0:49:08.320 --> 0:49:10.440
<v Speaker 1>a problem someone I don't mean to make loud of this.

0:49:10.520 --> 0:49:14.040
<v Speaker 1>I know they're people who have issues with it, but UM,

0:49:14.080 --> 0:49:18.120
<v Speaker 1>it's fascinating to to see what takes place. So so

0:49:18.160 --> 0:49:21.080
<v Speaker 1>that's one area sports, Give me one more area and

0:49:21.080 --> 0:49:24.200
<v Speaker 1>then we'll jump to our favorite UM questions. What else

0:49:24.200 --> 0:49:27.839
<v Speaker 1>do you see as the next area that perhaps people

0:49:27.880 --> 0:49:32.400
<v Speaker 1>aren't paying attention to? We could we really like a

0:49:32.440 --> 0:49:38.760
<v Speaker 1>lot of the areas of UM in fintech and infint tech.

0:49:39.000 --> 0:49:42.479
<v Speaker 1>Fintech Yeah, oh, in within finte I thought you meant

0:49:42.520 --> 0:49:45.319
<v Speaker 1>like newborn technology, and like, what what are we doing

0:49:45.400 --> 0:49:49.640
<v Speaker 1>with no, not infantech, in infant infant technology. So give

0:49:49.719 --> 0:49:51.680
<v Speaker 1>us a couple of examples. So a couple of examples

0:49:51.760 --> 0:49:55.359
<v Speaker 1>is our most recent investment in in Tala Tala. As

0:49:55.360 --> 0:49:58.319
<v Speaker 1>I mentioned what what, So, what we like to see

0:49:58.440 --> 0:50:01.080
<v Speaker 1>is what are they doing now that has changed the

0:50:01.120 --> 0:50:04.319
<v Speaker 1>fundamental value proposition of what is being offered? So as

0:50:04.320 --> 0:50:08.680
<v Speaker 1>an example of this company is taking information that exists

0:50:08.680 --> 0:50:13.240
<v Speaker 1>on somebody's phone for people that are jet almost almost

0:50:13.560 --> 0:50:16.319
<v Speaker 1>universally do not have a bank account, and they're making

0:50:16.320 --> 0:50:19.680
<v Speaker 1>a credit decision based on that activity. Just so you

0:50:19.719 --> 0:50:22.040
<v Speaker 1>give them access to your phone and they determine based

0:50:22.040 --> 0:50:25.160
<v Speaker 1>on what you're doing with your aliate, can you give

0:50:25.200 --> 0:50:27.840
<v Speaker 1>me access to these five things? They say, yes, please,

0:50:28.000 --> 0:50:30.400
<v Speaker 1>I would like a loan of X. They say okay,

0:50:30.440 --> 0:50:33.640
<v Speaker 1>based on that I've correlated that activity with other people,

0:50:34.120 --> 0:50:36.000
<v Speaker 1>and this means that you're good or not a good

0:50:36.000 --> 0:50:39.480
<v Speaker 1>credit risk. I actually read something about an attempt to

0:50:39.520 --> 0:50:42.799
<v Speaker 1>create a credit score based on your social media activity?

0:50:42.840 --> 0:50:45.759
<v Speaker 1>Anything along? Is that similar to this or or is

0:50:45.800 --> 0:50:48.399
<v Speaker 1>that part of that part of the same concept, which

0:50:48.480 --> 0:50:51.040
<v Speaker 1>is how can you use And it informs a lot

0:50:51.080 --> 0:50:54.000
<v Speaker 1>of the investment decisions we make in the companies that

0:50:54.040 --> 0:50:57.040
<v Speaker 1>we like a lot, which is are you using the

0:50:57.160 --> 0:51:00.320
<v Speaker 1>availability of data that either didn't exist previous slee or

0:51:00.440 --> 0:51:03.240
<v Speaker 1>wasn't it didn't exist at the pace at which exists

0:51:03.280 --> 0:51:06.440
<v Speaker 1>now to do something different. Um. We have a company

0:51:06.520 --> 0:51:09.120
<v Speaker 1>and Chicago that we talked about a couple of times, Uptake,

0:51:09.160 --> 0:51:13.480
<v Speaker 1>which is using data from sensors on industrial equipment to

0:51:13.600 --> 0:51:17.359
<v Speaker 1>do things like tell you that the tractor that's going

0:51:17.400 --> 0:51:20.480
<v Speaker 1>across the farm in Iowa is just about ready to

0:51:20.600 --> 0:51:22.680
<v Speaker 1>have a problem, you better go change that oil or

0:51:22.680 --> 0:51:27.600
<v Speaker 1>you and so things like that. Those are amazing opportunities

0:51:27.600 --> 0:51:30.080
<v Speaker 1>within industries that previously didn't have a lot of technology.

0:51:30.120 --> 0:51:31.960
<v Speaker 1>Now there's data, but somebody has to do something with

0:51:32.040 --> 0:51:39.360
<v Speaker 1>industrial self diagnostic equipment correct that. That's just wild um

0:51:39.400 --> 0:51:44.000
<v Speaker 1>fascinating and and Venmo type stuff where you're you're swapping

0:51:44.040 --> 0:51:46.640
<v Speaker 1>money back and forth without a bank in the middle.

0:51:47.160 --> 0:51:50.720
<v Speaker 1>Is that really gonna Yeah, that's happening, not counting crypto

0:51:51.080 --> 0:51:55.839
<v Speaker 1>just talking on an app that theoretically is hackable. Are

0:51:55.840 --> 0:51:58.640
<v Speaker 1>people gonna be able to trust that? Well? That that's

0:51:58.680 --> 0:52:00.439
<v Speaker 1>the question. I think there's a lot out of those

0:52:00.480 --> 0:52:03.000
<v Speaker 1>activities that happen and then there's an event, and then

0:52:03.080 --> 0:52:06.480
<v Speaker 1>there's can you trust them? Can you not? There's obviously

0:52:06.480 --> 0:52:12.840
<v Speaker 1>there is no question a growing concern appropriately so around

0:52:12.880 --> 0:52:16.680
<v Speaker 1>where does my data? Said? Who has access to it? Um?

0:52:16.719 --> 0:52:19.080
<v Speaker 1>How do I protect against that? And part of that

0:52:19.200 --> 0:52:20.800
<v Speaker 1>is an operational thing, and part of that is a

0:52:20.840 --> 0:52:23.560
<v Speaker 1>cybersecurity thing. Right. There's not too long ago a Wall

0:52:23.600 --> 0:52:27.560
<v Speaker 1>Street Journal article about these crypto billionaires who have created

0:52:27.600 --> 0:52:32.360
<v Speaker 1>these bunkers for the secure storage of their codes and

0:52:32.600 --> 0:52:35.880
<v Speaker 1>drives and things like that. Because legitimately, these things can

0:52:35.920 --> 0:52:39.120
<v Speaker 1>get stolen and they just have to hope there's no

0:52:39.280 --> 0:52:43.279
<v Speaker 1>e M electromagnetic pulse that wipes out the hard drive.

0:52:43.360 --> 0:52:46.880
<v Speaker 1>But other than that, UM, that that's fascinating, all right,

0:52:46.880 --> 0:52:50.000
<v Speaker 1>So let's jump to our favorite questions. I asked these

0:52:50.040 --> 0:52:52.120
<v Speaker 1>of all our guests, and let's jump right into this.

0:52:52.600 --> 0:52:56.160
<v Speaker 1>Tell us the most important thing people don't know about

0:52:56.360 --> 0:53:01.799
<v Speaker 1>you or your background. The most important thing people don't

0:53:01.800 --> 0:53:04.040
<v Speaker 1>know about me that where they would be surprised to know,

0:53:04.200 --> 0:53:07.040
<v Speaker 1>perhaps given the nature of what I do. And so

0:53:07.080 --> 0:53:10.239
<v Speaker 1>I'm a pretty energetic guy, and I travel a lot,

0:53:10.280 --> 0:53:11.759
<v Speaker 1>and I see a lot of companies, and I sit

0:53:11.800 --> 0:53:13.319
<v Speaker 1>a lot of boards, and I do a lot of

0:53:13.360 --> 0:53:16.200
<v Speaker 1>outwardly facing things, and I'm a pretty introverted person that

0:53:16.239 --> 0:53:19.040
<v Speaker 1>I most people would not expect. I would not have

0:53:19.040 --> 0:53:20.799
<v Speaker 1>guessed that if I had to, If I had to

0:53:20.840 --> 0:53:25.200
<v Speaker 1>make a guess, who were some of your early mentors. Well,

0:53:25.239 --> 0:53:30.160
<v Speaker 1>I've been amazingly fortunate that. Um, I've had so many

0:53:30.200 --> 0:53:33.560
<v Speaker 1>people in my career that have taken a real care

0:53:33.640 --> 0:53:35.759
<v Speaker 1>about my career and me as a person. And so

0:53:35.880 --> 0:53:38.200
<v Speaker 1>there's a long list of them. But at you know,

0:53:38.239 --> 0:53:42.160
<v Speaker 1>I start at Deloitte and that was really um folks

0:53:42.200 --> 0:53:48.040
<v Speaker 1>like Steve Richards and Bill Platt and Susan Riyo and

0:53:48.880 --> 0:53:51.840
<v Speaker 1>Give Hammond and others. But there each one of them.

0:53:51.880 --> 0:53:54.480
<v Speaker 1>I still to this day bring something to the table

0:53:54.560 --> 0:53:58.240
<v Speaker 1>from them at soft Bank. And probably my best mentor

0:53:58.360 --> 0:54:01.080
<v Speaker 1>and will be forever. My best mentor is Ron Fisher,

0:54:01.080 --> 0:54:03.920
<v Speaker 1>who's still at SoftBank, who I had the pleasure of

0:54:03.920 --> 0:54:08.160
<v Speaker 1>working with for for twenty years. Um. I got to

0:54:08.760 --> 0:54:11.560
<v Speaker 1>Brad Feld was a mentor way back. He started at

0:54:11.560 --> 0:54:13.560
<v Speaker 1>SoftBank way back when, and he and I continue to

0:54:13.560 --> 0:54:17.319
<v Speaker 1>be friends and and he's currently at a Foundry boundary group.

0:54:17.320 --> 0:54:19.640
<v Speaker 1>He's the you know, really the managing partner at Foundry.

0:54:19.680 --> 0:54:22.279
<v Speaker 1>They've been hugely successful and he and I are working

0:54:22.280 --> 0:54:25.200
<v Speaker 1>on something together now. And you know, one of these

0:54:25.239 --> 0:54:31.920
<v Speaker 1>guys that's just such an honest and straightforward and involved guy. Um.

0:54:31.960 --> 0:54:34.200
<v Speaker 1>I've had the pleasure of working with him and learned

0:54:34.200 --> 0:54:36.640
<v Speaker 1>a ton from him. Although he wasn't a day to

0:54:36.719 --> 0:54:41.239
<v Speaker 1>day mentor, having exposure to Massa over the years has

0:54:41.280 --> 0:54:44.000
<v Speaker 1>certainly influenced me in a great way. So I've been

0:54:44.080 --> 0:54:46.279
<v Speaker 1>very very fortunate. I've had people that you know, and

0:54:46.320 --> 0:54:49.280
<v Speaker 1>now I have ted Leonsis and Steve case who who

0:54:49.680 --> 0:54:52.000
<v Speaker 1>I learned from every day. I think one of the

0:54:52.080 --> 0:54:55.600
<v Speaker 1>things that UM is so great about this business that

0:54:55.640 --> 0:54:58.240
<v Speaker 1>we're in is that I get exposed to brilliant people

0:54:58.320 --> 0:55:00.239
<v Speaker 1>every day that are either running these company, is on

0:55:00.280 --> 0:55:04.120
<v Speaker 1>the board, people that I work with, And so I

0:55:04.200 --> 0:55:07.640
<v Speaker 1>literally feel like I learned something new every day. And Uh,

0:55:07.719 --> 0:55:12.440
<v Speaker 1>let's talk about venture investors. Who has influenced your approach

0:55:12.640 --> 0:55:16.120
<v Speaker 1>to making these investments? Yeah, so I'd say Massa has

0:55:16.160 --> 0:55:20.319
<v Speaker 1>influenced my approach Originally his and the influence there was

0:55:20.680 --> 0:55:26.560
<v Speaker 1>his boldness, his willing to take enormous risk against the grain. Uh.

0:55:26.600 --> 0:55:30.080
<v Speaker 1>He he was by you know, he was buying you know,

0:55:30.160 --> 0:55:35.440
<v Speaker 1>mobile companies when that wasn't the right the thing to

0:55:35.520 --> 0:55:38.200
<v Speaker 1>do out of favor if you will. Um, he has

0:55:38.440 --> 0:55:42.080
<v Speaker 1>very you know, he raised a hundred billion dollar fund

0:55:42.880 --> 0:55:45.520
<v Speaker 1>when everyone is saying, jeez, we must be at the

0:55:45.640 --> 0:55:48.760
<v Speaker 1>end of a cycle, right, So this is a person

0:55:49.080 --> 0:55:53.959
<v Speaker 1>that his boldness UM is really inspirational on some level.

0:55:54.320 --> 0:55:57.000
<v Speaker 1>As I mentioned earlier, Brad Feld is somebody that's influenced

0:55:57.000 --> 0:56:03.160
<v Speaker 1>my investing style. He his is very much understand the

0:56:03.160 --> 0:56:06.640
<v Speaker 1>the company, the product of people, walk the hallways, see

0:56:06.680 --> 0:56:09.920
<v Speaker 1>where things are going. Another guy that influenced my investment

0:56:10.040 --> 0:56:12.640
<v Speaker 1>style that's here in New York as a guy named

0:56:12.800 --> 0:56:15.600
<v Speaker 1>actually two people one uh Eric Hippo who runs lair

0:56:15.640 --> 0:56:19.840
<v Speaker 1>Ho Pope Adventures, who um is sort of the ultimate

0:56:20.280 --> 0:56:23.400
<v Speaker 1>uh professional, you know. He everything starts on time and

0:56:23.520 --> 0:56:26.359
<v Speaker 1>ends on time, and decisions get made and you don't

0:56:26.360 --> 0:56:29.960
<v Speaker 1>second guess your decisions, and you and you put you know,

0:56:30.000 --> 0:56:33.560
<v Speaker 1>your very uh matter of fact and non emotional businesses.

0:56:33.960 --> 0:56:35.799
<v Speaker 1>You have to make decisions, and you have to move on,

0:56:35.840 --> 0:56:38.560
<v Speaker 1>and you have to go to the next one. I've admired,

0:56:38.600 --> 0:56:41.400
<v Speaker 1>I've admired him a lot. I've admired, uh you know,

0:56:41.480 --> 0:56:43.239
<v Speaker 1>I've worked with and he still remains a great friend.

0:56:43.239 --> 0:56:45.680
<v Speaker 1>A guy who just recently was the CEO at Forbes,

0:56:45.760 --> 0:56:49.640
<v Speaker 1>Mike Perlis, who's a great friend of mine, who really

0:56:49.760 --> 0:56:52.040
<v Speaker 1>is a real people person, you know. He is the

0:56:52.120 --> 0:56:54.840
<v Speaker 1>guy that walks the hallways and says, this guy and

0:56:54.840 --> 0:56:56.600
<v Speaker 1>this guy don't seem to be getting along, and this

0:56:56.600 --> 0:56:59.120
<v Speaker 1>gal is having a problem here, and how can I

0:56:59.200 --> 0:57:02.120
<v Speaker 1>engage myself off and help this company? And he's all

0:57:02.160 --> 0:57:05.040
<v Speaker 1>about leadership and clear vision and direction. And so from

0:57:05.040 --> 0:57:07.640
<v Speaker 1>each one of these persons, I've learned something different. Let's

0:57:07.640 --> 0:57:10.400
<v Speaker 1>talk about books. Tell us about some of your favorite books,

0:57:10.440 --> 0:57:14.920
<v Speaker 1>be they finance or technology or not fiction nonfiction. What

0:57:14.960 --> 0:57:18.760
<v Speaker 1>do you read? What do you enjoying? Yeah, sure so, Uh.

0:57:18.840 --> 0:57:22.240
<v Speaker 1>I actually mostly don't read about finance and technology because

0:57:22.240 --> 0:57:26.240
<v Speaker 1>I live it every day. But and time is short.

0:57:26.280 --> 0:57:27.760
<v Speaker 1>But I actually get to read a lot because I

0:57:27.800 --> 0:57:31.120
<v Speaker 1>travel a lot, so I read. I think I've read

0:57:31.160 --> 0:57:33.200
<v Speaker 1>every John Grisham book and I love them because they're

0:57:33.240 --> 0:57:35.120
<v Speaker 1>fun and they're easy, and you can read them in

0:57:35.160 --> 0:57:37.320
<v Speaker 1>a couple and well along flight or two and it's

0:57:37.360 --> 0:57:40.160
<v Speaker 1>other great. Um, I've read a couple recently that I

0:57:40.160 --> 0:57:42.919
<v Speaker 1>really like. One is that I've probably many people have read,

0:57:42.960 --> 0:57:45.000
<v Speaker 1>which is The Boys on the Boat. I like that

0:57:45.040 --> 0:57:46.920
<v Speaker 1>because I'm a team guy. I'm a sports guy. I

0:57:47.000 --> 0:57:50.720
<v Speaker 1>love I love how people can overcome adversity and gang

0:57:50.760 --> 0:57:54.800
<v Speaker 1>together and accomplish something. And I get, you know, goose

0:57:54.840 --> 0:57:57.800
<v Speaker 1>bumps on my back every time I hear those stories.

0:57:57.840 --> 0:58:00.360
<v Speaker 1>And I read about success and things like that. So

0:58:00.400 --> 0:58:03.960
<v Speaker 1>that that's a book that I've recently reread and enjoy it.

0:58:04.000 --> 0:58:06.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm also reading. I just finished a book, uh that

0:58:06.840 --> 0:58:10.720
<v Speaker 1>I that has a real influence on me called being mortal,

0:58:11.280 --> 0:58:13.960
<v Speaker 1>which is about really it's a it's a book written

0:58:13.960 --> 0:58:18.960
<v Speaker 1>by a doctor about the way, frankly, that we may

0:58:19.000 --> 0:58:22.200
<v Speaker 1>have screwed up the aging process. We're treating the aging

0:58:22.240 --> 0:58:25.320
<v Speaker 1>process as if it's a disease, not a condition, and

0:58:25.520 --> 0:58:28.400
<v Speaker 1>it's fascinating. So I like reading all kinds of different things.

0:58:28.480 --> 0:58:31.680
<v Speaker 1>I read something about that book, and if I'm remembering

0:58:31.680 --> 0:58:35.960
<v Speaker 1>it correctly, part of the book is doctors die differently

0:58:36.080 --> 0:58:40.000
<v Speaker 1>than lay people do because they understand what we do wrong.

0:58:40.080 --> 0:58:42.400
<v Speaker 1>And I'm recalling the right one. It may be, But

0:58:42.680 --> 0:58:45.000
<v Speaker 1>really the point of the thing of the of the

0:58:45.080 --> 0:58:48.080
<v Speaker 1>article was that or the book was that we've made

0:58:48.120 --> 0:58:51.160
<v Speaker 1>so many advancements in medicine that has allowed us to

0:58:51.280 --> 0:58:57.640
<v Speaker 1>treat things, and we have. Therefore, when somebody gets older

0:58:57.680 --> 0:59:00.840
<v Speaker 1>and they have a condition, we read them as if

0:59:00.840 --> 0:59:02.920
<v Speaker 1>they're twenty five years old and they might have seventy

0:59:03.040 --> 0:59:06.080
<v Speaker 1>more years to live. Doesn't make and what we end

0:59:06.160 --> 0:59:08.760
<v Speaker 1>up doing as a society, as we end up making

0:59:08.800 --> 0:59:11.920
<v Speaker 1>the last five years of somebody's life probably miserable, where

0:59:11.920 --> 0:59:14.400
<v Speaker 1>they're going through surgeries and all kinds of other things,

0:59:14.640 --> 0:59:17.800
<v Speaker 1>the likelihood of materially extending their life is not long

0:59:18.040 --> 0:59:20.960
<v Speaker 1>and you spend enormous resources doing it, something like eight

0:59:21.080 --> 0:59:24.040
<v Speaker 1>percent of the healthcare costs or in incurred in the

0:59:24.120 --> 0:59:27.520
<v Speaker 1>last twenty of people's lives. And so there's all these things,

0:59:27.560 --> 0:59:30.160
<v Speaker 1>and and so instead of that, what he proposes is

0:59:30.200 --> 0:59:33.800
<v Speaker 1>something more along the lines of what hospice and others do,

0:59:33.840 --> 0:59:35.520
<v Speaker 1>which is, say, what's important to you and how do

0:59:35.560 --> 0:59:37.840
<v Speaker 1>I create an environment for you to enjoy as best

0:59:37.880 --> 0:59:41.919
<v Speaker 1>you can your last remaining piece of your profound We

0:59:41.920 --> 0:59:45.480
<v Speaker 1>we talked about what what excites you? Tell us what

0:59:45.680 --> 0:59:49.400
<v Speaker 1>changes you're looking forward uh to the world of of

0:59:49.520 --> 0:59:53.080
<v Speaker 1>venture investing in startup? What what are How is the

0:59:53.120 --> 0:59:58.640
<v Speaker 1>industry itself shifting into the future. Yeah, and we've talked

0:59:58.640 --> 1:00:01.280
<v Speaker 1>about a number of it. The company these are are

1:00:01.320 --> 1:00:05.920
<v Speaker 1>there are staying private longer. The holding periods therefore are longer.

1:00:06.520 --> 1:00:10.480
<v Speaker 1>So the idea of investing today and returning capital in

1:00:10.520 --> 1:00:16.080
<v Speaker 1>a year or two is is much different. The size

1:00:16.320 --> 1:00:20.240
<v Speaker 1>of the funds seems to be extending. I think partly

1:00:20.520 --> 1:00:23.800
<v Speaker 1>due to that, which is that people are saying, geez,

1:00:23.840 --> 1:00:25.680
<v Speaker 1>I have to be able to build a firm to

1:00:25.880 --> 1:00:30.560
<v Speaker 1>support a company, particularly my best ones from soup to nuts.

1:00:30.560 --> 1:00:32.200
<v Speaker 1>I don't want to miss out I've talked to a

1:00:32.280 --> 1:00:35.480
<v Speaker 1>number of early stage investors who have now started to

1:00:35.520 --> 1:00:38.840
<v Speaker 1>create follow on investment funds because some of their best

1:00:38.880 --> 1:00:41.120
<v Speaker 1>companies that otherwise would have been private or sold are

1:00:41.120 --> 1:00:43.920
<v Speaker 1>now still private companies raising money and they want to

1:00:43.960 --> 1:00:47.000
<v Speaker 1>participate in those, but they don't fit within the constructs

1:00:47.040 --> 1:00:50.000
<v Speaker 1>of their early stage small fund. They they are now

1:00:50.080 --> 1:00:53.200
<v Speaker 1>adding different people call it different things, a select fund

1:00:53.280 --> 1:00:55.240
<v Speaker 1>or a follow on fund or something like that. So

1:00:55.280 --> 1:00:57.960
<v Speaker 1>I think that the things that are changing, or how

1:00:58.000 --> 1:01:00.680
<v Speaker 1>do you serve the needs of the company in a

1:01:00.720 --> 1:01:03.800
<v Speaker 1>better way, given the changing landscape that we exist in.

1:01:03.960 --> 1:01:05.760
<v Speaker 1>A lot of it is international too. I think that

1:01:05.760 --> 1:01:07.520
<v Speaker 1>will be another thing that will see more of, which

1:01:07.560 --> 1:01:10.640
<v Speaker 1>is more firms. Just as we've talked about earlier, more

1:01:10.680 --> 1:01:12.240
<v Speaker 1>of the East Coast firms they do have a West

1:01:12.280 --> 1:01:15.280
<v Speaker 1>Coast presence, and likewise, I actually think more of the

1:01:15.360 --> 1:01:18.840
<v Speaker 1>U S firms will have an international presence over time, Europe, Asia,

1:01:19.480 --> 1:01:22.560
<v Speaker 1>the least, ETCETERA. Tell us about a time you failed

1:01:22.760 --> 1:01:26.840
<v Speaker 1>and what you learned from the experience. Well, I fail

1:01:26.880 --> 1:01:30.120
<v Speaker 1>every day in something particularly and I'm reminded of that

1:01:30.200 --> 1:01:33.360
<v Speaker 1>by my three teenage sons. I think I actually fail

1:01:33.440 --> 1:01:37.040
<v Speaker 1>more in their eyes every as they get older, although

1:01:37.080 --> 1:01:39.160
<v Speaker 1>I think my older one that's eighteen now is starting

1:01:39.240 --> 1:01:41.000
<v Speaker 1>to come out of that phase. I think he's realizing

1:01:41.000 --> 1:01:42.440
<v Speaker 1>that I'm not quite as dumb as he might have

1:01:42.440 --> 1:01:44.880
<v Speaker 1>thought a year or two ago. But I noticed that

1:01:44.960 --> 1:01:47.200
<v Speaker 1>the older I got, the smart on my parents got.

1:01:47.400 --> 1:01:51.240
<v Speaker 1>So there's some correlations. It is an interesting correlation. The

1:01:51.280 --> 1:01:56.040
<v Speaker 1>topic for another one perhaps, UM. I'd say the two

1:01:56.120 --> 1:01:58.240
<v Speaker 1>or three times that I've failed in terms of an

1:01:58.240 --> 1:02:02.640
<v Speaker 1>investment bad is when and what I've learned about it

1:02:02.680 --> 1:02:06.520
<v Speaker 1>is really the value of people's ethics and people's integrity.

1:02:07.080 --> 1:02:10.400
<v Speaker 1>And so in a couple of different situations where we've

1:02:11.040 --> 1:02:15.360
<v Speaker 1>where we've you know, where I have known that the

1:02:15.400 --> 1:02:18.320
<v Speaker 1>person that we were dealing with was something less than

1:02:18.320 --> 1:02:21.000
<v Speaker 1>the type of quality individual that I want to be

1:02:21.040 --> 1:02:24.520
<v Speaker 1>associated with. I'm sort of over life on things like that,

1:02:24.680 --> 1:02:27.479
<v Speaker 1>and so that's happened to me twice where I sort

1:02:27.480 --> 1:02:30.840
<v Speaker 1>of knew that the person wasn't gonna be the kind

1:02:30.880 --> 1:02:34.240
<v Speaker 1>of person I really wanted to work with, but you know,

1:02:34.360 --> 1:02:37.360
<v Speaker 1>the opportunity was exciting and the progress in the business

1:02:37.440 --> 1:02:40.360
<v Speaker 1>was great, and in both cases it's come to bite

1:02:40.400 --> 1:02:43.120
<v Speaker 1>me right back in the behind. What do you do

1:02:43.200 --> 1:02:45.040
<v Speaker 1>for fun when you're not in the office, What do

1:02:45.040 --> 1:02:48.040
<v Speaker 1>you do to kick back and relax. Well, I mentioned

1:02:48.080 --> 1:02:50.520
<v Speaker 1>my three sons. So I have three sons. Two of

1:02:50.560 --> 1:02:53.520
<v Speaker 1>them are in high school, so I love to and

1:02:53.560 --> 1:02:55.240
<v Speaker 1>then I have another one in seventh grade. I love

1:02:55.280 --> 1:02:56.680
<v Speaker 1>to spend time with them. I love to go to

1:02:56.720 --> 1:02:59.520
<v Speaker 1>their sporting events. I love UH. For many years I

1:02:59.560 --> 1:03:02.040
<v Speaker 1>was the coach of their hockey team, so I enjoy

1:03:02.400 --> 1:03:06.360
<v Speaker 1>contributing and participating with the kids and their friends and

1:03:06.400 --> 1:03:08.120
<v Speaker 1>doing that kind of stuff. I like to work out,

1:03:08.200 --> 1:03:11.280
<v Speaker 1>that's sort of I find, like we talked about earlier

1:03:11.280 --> 1:03:14.120
<v Speaker 1>with sleep. The other thing that correlates to happiness for me,

1:03:14.600 --> 1:03:16.640
<v Speaker 1>UH seems to be if I can get a workout in,

1:03:16.720 --> 1:03:18.440
<v Speaker 1>so I try. I love to work out. I love

1:03:18.480 --> 1:03:21.000
<v Speaker 1>to be outside. I love to be I love to

1:03:21.080 --> 1:03:22.560
<v Speaker 1>fish and that kind of thing. But I really like

1:03:22.600 --> 1:03:25.680
<v Speaker 1>spending time with my family. If a millennial or a

1:03:25.800 --> 1:03:28.400
<v Speaker 1>recent college grad came up to you and said they

1:03:28.400 --> 1:03:32.320
<v Speaker 1>were interested in a career in venture investing, what sort

1:03:32.360 --> 1:03:34.440
<v Speaker 1>of career advice would you give them. It's it's a

1:03:34.560 --> 1:03:36.680
<v Speaker 1>question that I get, as you might imagine a lot

1:03:36.760 --> 1:03:40.120
<v Speaker 1>from millennials and recent college grads. Friends of friends and

1:03:40.120 --> 1:03:44.400
<v Speaker 1>and others. The the good and bad news. I think

1:03:44.480 --> 1:03:47.800
<v Speaker 1>on that particular question is the honest answer is there's

1:03:47.840 --> 1:03:52.440
<v Speaker 1>no clear easy path into the venture community. Uh, some

1:03:52.520 --> 1:03:55.560
<v Speaker 1>folks have. As you pointed out earlier, my background is

1:03:55.600 --> 1:03:57.680
<v Speaker 1>not sort of classic out of that there. So there's

1:03:57.680 --> 1:04:01.000
<v Speaker 1>people that have come from legal backgrounds and accounting backgrounds,

1:04:01.000 --> 1:04:03.360
<v Speaker 1>and they've come from product backgrounds, and they've come from

1:04:03.640 --> 1:04:06.960
<v Speaker 1>banking backgrounds. So there really is a collection of different

1:04:06.960 --> 1:04:08.520
<v Speaker 1>types of people that have come through it. What I

1:04:08.560 --> 1:04:10.520
<v Speaker 1>would advise what I do advise them to do is

1:04:10.560 --> 1:04:14.640
<v Speaker 1>if if you're passionate about startups, then get involved in one.

1:04:15.200 --> 1:04:20.280
<v Speaker 1>And that could be as um small as volunteering if

1:04:20.320 --> 1:04:22.400
<v Speaker 1>you will are helping out at the local tech stars

1:04:22.480 --> 1:04:25.720
<v Speaker 1>or something like that, or it could be maybe on

1:04:25.960 --> 1:04:27.840
<v Speaker 1>nights and weekends you're helping your friend that's doing and

1:04:27.800 --> 1:04:30.080
<v Speaker 1>then they's saying you have not everybody is ready to

1:04:30.200 --> 1:04:32.600
<v Speaker 1>say I'm gonna move to Silicon value, and do you

1:04:32.600 --> 1:04:34.000
<v Speaker 1>think if that's what you want to do, go do it.

1:04:34.120 --> 1:04:36.920
<v Speaker 1>So it's not it's not just go to a big school,

1:04:37.040 --> 1:04:39.960
<v Speaker 1>get a degree in finance and engineering and you're ready.

1:04:40.400 --> 1:04:42.360
<v Speaker 1>There's a lot of different paths, and they all can

1:04:42.440 --> 1:04:45.760
<v Speaker 1>lead to different things. And I think some firms obviously

1:04:45.800 --> 1:04:49.960
<v Speaker 1>have more of a technology product engineering bend some people.

1:04:50.080 --> 1:04:54.240
<v Speaker 1>Some firms have more of a investment banking bend. Some firms.

1:04:54.280 --> 1:04:56.120
<v Speaker 1>I think the best ones have a mix of other

1:04:56.240 --> 1:04:59.000
<v Speaker 1>Some people have more operators. I think the best firms

1:04:59.000 --> 1:05:02.120
<v Speaker 1>really as we talked about earlier, with diversity, diversity of experiences,

1:05:02.160 --> 1:05:04.960
<v Speaker 1>it's important, but it's it's a it's a tricky path

1:05:05.000 --> 1:05:07.280
<v Speaker 1>because there isn't a clean one where you can say,

1:05:07.480 --> 1:05:10.240
<v Speaker 1>go get this degree and get this job, and you'll

1:05:10.320 --> 1:05:13.120
<v Speaker 1>end up at this place. It's not my experiences, it's

1:05:13.120 --> 1:05:15.400
<v Speaker 1>not quite that. It's not like there are thousands and

1:05:15.480 --> 1:05:18.400
<v Speaker 1>thousands of vcs and millions of open slots. It's a

1:05:18.440 --> 1:05:22.880
<v Speaker 1>pretty small that's all community too. And and our final question,

1:05:23.280 --> 1:05:25.680
<v Speaker 1>what do you know about the world of venture investing

1:05:25.760 --> 1:05:28.520
<v Speaker 1>today that you wish you knew twenty thirty years ago

1:05:28.520 --> 1:05:31.959
<v Speaker 1>when you were first getting started. I guess the easy

1:05:32.000 --> 1:05:37.160
<v Speaker 1>answer would be Amazon, Facebook, Google, Right, Well, that's that's hindsight.

1:05:37.280 --> 1:05:40.680
<v Speaker 1>What should you have bought thirty years ago? But but

1:05:40.760 --> 1:05:44.040
<v Speaker 1>what did you learn from None? Was Amazon an option?

1:05:44.080 --> 1:05:46.840
<v Speaker 1>Did you say pass by the way, there was a

1:05:46.880 --> 1:05:50.440
<v Speaker 1>thing that I started noticing not too long ago, maybe

1:05:50.440 --> 1:05:53.400
<v Speaker 1>it was long ago, that a lot of the websites

1:05:53.440 --> 1:05:57.720
<v Speaker 1>of various venture firms list these are all the companies

1:05:57.760 --> 1:06:01.120
<v Speaker 1>we passed on, and it's just an sane list of

1:06:01.160 --> 1:06:05.479
<v Speaker 1>the great we passed on Apple, eBay, Amazon, Why why

1:06:05.800 --> 1:06:08.760
<v Speaker 1>share that? So it's a little self deprecating. But also

1:06:08.880 --> 1:06:14.240
<v Speaker 1>they probably don't list here are the other fifteen times

1:06:14.280 --> 1:06:16.280
<v Speaker 1>that list that we passed on that somebody else thought

1:06:16.280 --> 1:06:19.120
<v Speaker 1>was a great idea that failed. Right, So there's an

1:06:19.160 --> 1:06:21.360
<v Speaker 1>equal number of those. So sometimes the best deals, as

1:06:21.400 --> 1:06:22.760
<v Speaker 1>they say, they are the ones that you don't do.

1:06:23.000 --> 1:06:25.680
<v Speaker 1>So let me let me bring it back to what

1:06:26.640 --> 1:06:29.640
<v Speaker 1>years ago stands out what would have been really helpful

1:06:29.680 --> 1:06:33.480
<v Speaker 1>to know years ago. Not a crystal ball about the future,

1:06:33.520 --> 1:06:35.680
<v Speaker 1>but part of your process. So one of the things

1:06:35.720 --> 1:06:39.600
<v Speaker 1>that I think I have learned over time is that

1:06:40.600 --> 1:06:44.320
<v Speaker 1>people don't change right as much as they would like to.

1:06:44.400 --> 1:06:48.120
<v Speaker 1>People talk about changing, but it's hard. It's changing people

1:06:48.240 --> 1:06:51.440
<v Speaker 1>is very very hard. Not people you can move deck

1:06:51.520 --> 1:06:55.080
<v Speaker 1>chairs around, but the fundamental things that drive people to

1:06:55.920 --> 1:06:59.400
<v Speaker 1>behave a certain way very hard to change. So don't

1:06:59.400 --> 1:07:02.000
<v Speaker 1>waste a lot of time trying to do that. Secondly,

1:07:02.120 --> 1:07:05.560
<v Speaker 1>is that uh failure of these companies that are doing

1:07:05.600 --> 1:07:10.120
<v Speaker 1>this really really hard stuff is okay, they can adjust,

1:07:10.120 --> 1:07:13.240
<v Speaker 1>they can do things that I think I was, like

1:07:13.360 --> 1:07:16.480
<v Speaker 1>most people naive that the business plan is the one

1:07:16.560 --> 1:07:18.919
<v Speaker 1>that they should go execute on. You spend all this time,

1:07:18.960 --> 1:07:20.880
<v Speaker 1>you get trained along the way, there's gonna be a

1:07:20.880 --> 1:07:23.000
<v Speaker 1>business plan and here's how we're gonna do step bay

1:07:23.040 --> 1:07:25.600
<v Speaker 1>and step B and step see. And I've realized over

1:07:25.680 --> 1:07:27.720
<v Speaker 1>time that never works. So don't show me a fifty

1:07:27.760 --> 1:07:29.440
<v Speaker 1>page business plan because I don't want to see it.

1:07:29.480 --> 1:07:31.400
<v Speaker 1>Tell me about how you're thinking about things. How do

1:07:31.440 --> 1:07:33.880
<v Speaker 1>you think about challenges, how do you think about opportunities?

1:07:34.200 --> 1:07:35.560
<v Speaker 1>And those are the those are the things that I

1:07:35.600 --> 1:07:39.800
<v Speaker 1>wish I knew. Huh, quite quite fascinating. We have been

1:07:39.840 --> 1:07:43.880
<v Speaker 1>speaking with Steve Murray, here's a partner at Revolution Growth,

1:07:43.960 --> 1:07:49.200
<v Speaker 1>a early stage ventured capital firm. If you enjoy this conversation, well,

1:07:49.240 --> 1:07:51.080
<v Speaker 1>be sure to look up and entered down an inch

1:07:51.120 --> 1:07:54.920
<v Speaker 1>on Apple iTunes at any of the other two hundred

1:07:55.280 --> 1:07:58.920
<v Speaker 1>such conversations that we've had. You can find any of

1:07:58.960 --> 1:08:04.480
<v Speaker 1>them i Tunes, Bloomberg dot Com, overcast wherever final podcasts

1:08:04.480 --> 1:08:08.720
<v Speaker 1>are sold. We love your comments, feedback and suggestions right

1:08:08.800 --> 1:08:12.280
<v Speaker 1>to us at m IB podcast at Bloomberg dot net.

1:08:13.000 --> 1:08:14.920
<v Speaker 1>I would be remiss if I did not thank our

1:08:15.000 --> 1:08:18.000
<v Speaker 1>crack staff who helps put together this podcast each week.

1:08:18.800 --> 1:08:24.840
<v Speaker 1>Medina Parwana is my audio engineer, slash producer, Taylor Riggs

1:08:24.880 --> 1:08:27.720
<v Speaker 1>is our booker, and Michael Batnick is my head of research.

1:08:28.479 --> 1:08:31.759
<v Speaker 1>I'm Barry Results you've been listening to Masters in Business

1:08:32.240 --> 1:08:33.360
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio