1 00:00:01,240 --> 00:00:07,160 Speaker 1: The volume. The Three and Out Podcast with me John 2 00:00:07,200 --> 00:00:10,440 Speaker 1: Middlecoff is presented by FanDuel Sports Book. There's no better 3 00:00:10,440 --> 00:00:14,000 Speaker 1: place to make every moment more than with FanDuel, America's 4 00:00:14,040 --> 00:00:17,200 Speaker 1: number one sports book. Very easy to use, safe and secure. 5 00:00:17,280 --> 00:00:20,360 Speaker 1: You get your winnings fast. I cannot recommend it enough. 6 00:00:20,920 --> 00:00:24,080 Speaker 1: Love gambling with FanDuel. If you are a new just 7 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:26,920 Speaker 1: download the FanDuel Sports Book app to get started now 8 00:00:27,000 --> 00:00:29,840 Speaker 1: side up with promo code Colin so they know we 9 00:00:29,960 --> 00:00:43,120 Speaker 1: sent you. What is going on? Everybody? John Middlecock Three 10 00:00:43,120 --> 00:00:47,680 Speaker 1: and Out Podcast somehow just watched every snap of the 11 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:51,080 Speaker 1: Thursday night football game. I did it so you didn't 12 00:00:51,080 --> 00:00:55,040 Speaker 1: have to A lot going on this weekend. We got 13 00:00:55,440 --> 00:01:03,200 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers versus McCarthy, Jeff Saturday versus Ash McDaniels, um 14 00:01:03,200 --> 00:01:05,200 Speaker 1: Tyreek Hill. Could he be the m v P, especially 15 00:01:05,240 --> 00:01:08,720 Speaker 1: if Josh Allen is injured? Middlecoff mail bag at John 16 00:01:08,760 --> 00:01:12,360 Speaker 1: Middlecoff firing those d m Instagram firing those d ms. 17 00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:14,960 Speaker 1: Get your question answered here on the show, not today, 18 00:01:15,000 --> 00:01:17,560 Speaker 1: but put one out on Sunday, put one out on Tuesday. 19 00:01:18,640 --> 00:01:20,720 Speaker 1: And if you listen on Collins Feed, make sure you 20 00:01:20,800 --> 00:01:24,240 Speaker 1: subscribe to the Three and out podcast. Let's roll. But 21 00:01:24,360 --> 00:01:28,000 Speaker 1: before we dive into it, my friends at turtle box. 22 00:01:28,880 --> 00:01:31,319 Speaker 1: I love my friends a turtle box because you know 23 00:01:31,360 --> 00:01:35,080 Speaker 1: what this is. It's the holiday season, and you know 24 00:01:35,080 --> 00:01:38,679 Speaker 1: what the holiday season means, time for giving. But you 25 00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:41,959 Speaker 1: know what's hard about time forgiving? 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So Al Michaels has been 52 00:03:25,320 --> 00:03:27,760 Speaker 1: a big deal for a long time, and he clearly 53 00:03:27,800 --> 00:03:30,880 Speaker 1: has been the number one NFL guy, even over Buck 54 00:03:30,919 --> 00:03:35,000 Speaker 1: and even over Nance for decades now. And I don't 55 00:03:35,120 --> 00:03:38,000 Speaker 1: truly understand. I mean, I have some theories why he 56 00:03:38,040 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 1: did Thursday Night Football. One, it's you get to trailblaze 57 00:03:42,680 --> 00:03:45,240 Speaker 1: a little bit, right, You're the first guy full time streamer, 58 00:03:45,760 --> 00:03:48,240 Speaker 1: so even long after he's gone, the first guy that 59 00:03:48,320 --> 00:03:51,520 Speaker 1: ever jumped at it was Al Michaels too. I'm sure 60 00:03:51,560 --> 00:03:54,240 Speaker 1: they paid him a lot of money. Three, he has 61 00:03:54,280 --> 00:03:57,839 Speaker 1: his weekends off because even when you know you're doing 62 00:03:57,880 --> 00:04:01,240 Speaker 1: a Sunday night game, he's still probably got travel on Saturday. 63 00:04:01,560 --> 00:04:04,040 Speaker 1: What can you do now? He can play golf on Saturday, 64 00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:06,720 Speaker 1: he can play golf on Sunday. He's got a little 65 00:04:06,720 --> 00:04:09,600 Speaker 1: bit of time to breathe. But these games, especially the 66 00:04:09,640 --> 00:04:14,240 Speaker 1: last several weeks, have been awful. And no hate to 67 00:04:14,280 --> 00:04:16,960 Speaker 1: anyone that's a Panther fan or a Falcon fan. For 68 00:04:17,000 --> 00:04:20,320 Speaker 1: me personally, those aren't the brands that really move the 69 00:04:20,360 --> 00:04:23,039 Speaker 1: needle for me. Like when I see you guys on TV, 70 00:04:24,080 --> 00:04:26,120 Speaker 1: if that game was a Sunday, it would be a 71 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:29,840 Speaker 1: Sunday morning game for us on the West Coast. I'm sorry, Like, 72 00:04:29,920 --> 00:04:32,279 Speaker 1: I'm not a big fantasy football guy, so I can't 73 00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:36,520 Speaker 1: totally totally relate to like chiming into every single game 74 00:04:36,520 --> 00:04:38,200 Speaker 1: because I got a player on that game. But I 75 00:04:38,240 --> 00:04:40,440 Speaker 1: do gamble, so so I know what it's like to 76 00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:43,720 Speaker 1: pay attention to games that aren't regional or I'm not 77 00:04:43,760 --> 00:04:47,280 Speaker 1: a fan of or whatever that's the division. I'm sorry 78 00:04:47,320 --> 00:04:50,000 Speaker 1: that I just disliked the most. And when I say 79 00:04:50,040 --> 00:04:53,440 Speaker 1: dislike just it's pretty meaningless. To me, it just doesn't 80 00:04:53,480 --> 00:04:57,800 Speaker 1: move me emotionally at all, but watching the game tonight, 81 00:04:57,800 --> 00:05:01,719 Speaker 1: it kind of hit me like Dave A. Temper, the 82 00:05:01,760 --> 00:05:05,480 Speaker 1: owner of the Panthers, who is I do think that 83 00:05:05,520 --> 00:05:09,240 Speaker 1: the Billions, the show Billions on Showtime or I guess 84 00:05:09,400 --> 00:05:13,440 Speaker 1: HBO Showtime was after specifically Steve Cohen, the guy that 85 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:15,760 Speaker 1: now owns the Mets, but I've read that parts of 86 00:05:15,760 --> 00:05:18,920 Speaker 1: it were also David Tepper, who kind of like an 87 00:05:18,920 --> 00:05:22,920 Speaker 1: axl Rod type figure in On Wall Street, obviously one 88 00:05:22,920 --> 00:05:25,919 Speaker 1: of the great traders of all time, and recently with 89 00:05:25,960 --> 00:05:28,760 Speaker 1: how much it costs to buy a team, you have 90 00:05:28,839 --> 00:05:32,240 Speaker 1: to have so much money, right, one of the stories 91 00:05:32,240 --> 00:05:35,159 Speaker 1: that happened today, like, I'm sorry, I'm not gonna spend 92 00:05:35,200 --> 00:05:38,719 Speaker 1: much time reading when politicians are going after Dan Snyder. 93 00:05:39,000 --> 00:05:41,159 Speaker 1: Just tell me when he sells the team. Now, I 94 00:05:41,200 --> 00:05:43,400 Speaker 1: get if I was a Washington Commander fan, I'd be 95 00:05:43,440 --> 00:05:45,840 Speaker 1: interested in that story, but that was a story like, 96 00:05:46,000 --> 00:05:48,280 Speaker 1: I'm not reading an article on this. Just tell me 97 00:05:48,320 --> 00:05:50,080 Speaker 1: when they pop him, he goes to jail or he 98 00:05:50,120 --> 00:05:52,320 Speaker 1: sells the team, Like I'm done. We've seen a million 99 00:05:52,320 --> 00:05:54,880 Speaker 1: stories on this guy, but whenever that team is sold, 100 00:05:54,920 --> 00:05:57,839 Speaker 1: someone's gonna buy it for six billion dollars. So the 101 00:05:57,920 --> 00:06:00,640 Speaker 1: market you know of potential buyers are me and you. 102 00:06:00,960 --> 00:06:03,360 Speaker 1: It's it's a small list of people. We already know him. 103 00:06:03,520 --> 00:06:06,960 Speaker 1: It's like bezos, like seven other people. So when these 104 00:06:06,960 --> 00:06:10,919 Speaker 1: guys buy the team at an astronomical value, you know 105 00:06:11,080 --> 00:06:13,680 Speaker 1: they are used to winning in life and winning at 106 00:06:13,680 --> 00:06:17,080 Speaker 1: their business. Yet David Tepper and even Arthur Blank when 107 00:06:17,080 --> 00:06:19,240 Speaker 1: he bought the team twenty plus years ago, I had 108 00:06:19,240 --> 00:06:21,239 Speaker 1: to google and he bought it in two thousand one, 109 00:06:21,400 --> 00:06:24,640 Speaker 1: he inherited Michael Vick. So Michael Vick had been the 110 00:06:24,760 --> 00:06:27,080 Speaker 1: number one pick the year before, so we got to 111 00:06:27,120 --> 00:06:31,960 Speaker 1: inherit one of the most spectacular, awesome, fun players like 112 00:06:32,160 --> 00:06:36,280 Speaker 1: NFL history in a second year. That's pretty lucky. That's 113 00:06:36,320 --> 00:06:41,160 Speaker 1: not normal. Most times you're inheriting a bad franchise, the Browns, 114 00:06:41,440 --> 00:06:44,360 Speaker 1: the Panthers, kind of what he's inheriting with the Broncos 115 00:06:44,480 --> 00:06:47,080 Speaker 1: now in theory, like he's inheriting Russell Wilson. Will see 116 00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:49,880 Speaker 1: how that plays out. But part of the business when 117 00:06:49,920 --> 00:06:53,599 Speaker 1: you buy these teams, if you're David Tepper, you hire 118 00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:55,720 Speaker 1: a guy to be your head coach, and then you 119 00:06:55,760 --> 00:06:57,840 Speaker 1: pray to God that he can draft you a quarterback. 120 00:06:58,279 --> 00:07:01,400 Speaker 1: But most of these guys great in Wall Street. You 121 00:07:01,440 --> 00:07:05,720 Speaker 1: know the Walten's, they owned Walmart, Bezos, dominant businessman. They're 122 00:07:05,760 --> 00:07:09,040 Speaker 1: great at their business. They know how to make money. 123 00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:12,920 Speaker 1: Yet when you buy the football team, you really know nothing. 124 00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:15,920 Speaker 1: Like you might be a football fan, but you don't 125 00:07:16,040 --> 00:07:19,160 Speaker 1: like no scheme. You don't know really what makes a 126 00:07:19,200 --> 00:07:21,440 Speaker 1: great coach. In your mind. You're like, I know what 127 00:07:21,520 --> 00:07:24,000 Speaker 1: makes a great leader. I've hired a ton of managers. 128 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:27,000 Speaker 1: I've hired a ton of you know, senior executives. It 129 00:07:27,120 --> 00:07:29,680 Speaker 1: is nothing in common with the football coach. So you 130 00:07:29,720 --> 00:07:32,240 Speaker 1: interview all these guys with great resumes that have been 131 00:07:32,240 --> 00:07:35,280 Speaker 1: winning at various spots, either as a coordinator, as a 132 00:07:35,280 --> 00:07:37,760 Speaker 1: former head coach, or as a college head coach, and 133 00:07:37,760 --> 00:07:39,880 Speaker 1: you kind of hope to get it right. Like David 134 00:07:39,920 --> 00:07:43,560 Speaker 1: Tepper hired Matt Rule, who was extremely successful at Temple 135 00:07:43,600 --> 00:07:45,800 Speaker 1: and Baylor. But when you look back, it's like he 136 00:07:45,840 --> 00:07:47,680 Speaker 1: had only worked one year in the NFL as an 137 00:07:47,680 --> 00:07:50,080 Speaker 1: assistant offensive line coach and then he couldn't find a 138 00:07:50,120 --> 00:07:52,440 Speaker 1: quarterback and it blew up in his face because I'm 139 00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:56,000 Speaker 1: watching his team tonight, loosely watching his team. That was 140 00:07:56,040 --> 00:07:58,360 Speaker 1: a terrible game. But the Panthers have a lot of 141 00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:01,440 Speaker 1: good players, but they have no quarterback. P J. Walker 142 00:08:01,480 --> 00:08:04,560 Speaker 1: is a fun little player. He's probably like a third 143 00:08:04,800 --> 00:08:09,360 Speaker 1: string maybe like a fringe second string guy. And when 144 00:08:09,400 --> 00:08:11,920 Speaker 1: you don't have a quarterback, it doesn't matter how much 145 00:08:11,960 --> 00:08:14,360 Speaker 1: talent you have, And when you don't have a coach, 146 00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:18,440 Speaker 1: you're fucked, like you have no shot. So all these 147 00:08:18,480 --> 00:08:22,600 Speaker 1: guys buying all these teams are basically just praying to God, 148 00:08:22,960 --> 00:08:25,320 Speaker 1: did they get their coaching interview right? And then that 149 00:08:25,360 --> 00:08:27,920 Speaker 1: guy can find a quarterback. And let's face it, there's 150 00:08:27,960 --> 00:08:31,000 Speaker 1: a huge element of luck with finding a quarterback just 151 00:08:31,040 --> 00:08:34,360 Speaker 1: a couple of years ago. And because the media hype 152 00:08:34,360 --> 00:08:37,199 Speaker 1: and listen, I guess I don't consider myself media, but 153 00:08:37,240 --> 00:08:39,600 Speaker 1: I'm part of the hype machine, and I fell victim 154 00:08:39,640 --> 00:08:41,960 Speaker 1: to it. Like I liked the quarterback class a lot 155 00:08:42,360 --> 00:08:46,560 Speaker 1: two years ago. Love Trevor Lawrence, Love Justin Fields was 156 00:08:46,640 --> 00:08:50,360 Speaker 1: fascinated and intrigued by Trey Lance. Wasn't the biggest Zack 157 00:08:50,440 --> 00:08:54,080 Speaker 1: Wilson guy, but didn't dispute his talent. And that quarterback 158 00:08:54,120 --> 00:08:56,959 Speaker 1: class looks pretty terrible, you know. Trevor Lawrence has been 159 00:08:57,080 --> 00:08:59,520 Speaker 1: very up and down for a guy that was held 160 00:08:59,520 --> 00:09:02,240 Speaker 1: to such regard, I mean, I mean he was. He 161 00:09:02,360 --> 00:09:06,079 Speaker 1: was the level of prospect of an Andrew luck of 162 00:09:06,160 --> 00:09:09,400 Speaker 1: like a Shaquille O'Neal, of a Lebron James, of a 163 00:09:09,480 --> 00:09:12,679 Speaker 1: Bryce Harper like no one can argue that anyone listening 164 00:09:13,040 --> 00:09:16,760 Speaker 1: that follows this game pretty closely knows he was held 165 00:09:16,800 --> 00:09:20,280 Speaker 1: in the highest of high regards. And it's it hasn't 166 00:09:20,320 --> 00:09:23,840 Speaker 1: been terrible of recent memory, but it should have been 167 00:09:23,880 --> 00:09:25,840 Speaker 1: a little bit better, a little quicker, just just in 168 00:09:25,880 --> 00:09:29,080 Speaker 1: my opinion. And Fields now looks like he's kind of 169 00:09:29,120 --> 00:09:31,240 Speaker 1: coming on, but we'll see. I mean, Trey Lances started 170 00:09:31,320 --> 00:09:34,760 Speaker 1: four games as a shattered ankle. The Jets win only 171 00:09:34,840 --> 00:09:37,280 Speaker 1: in spite of Zack Wilson and Mac Jones. Average of 172 00:09:37,320 --> 00:09:40,480 Speaker 1: the day is long. So the quarterback. The whole thing 173 00:09:40,520 --> 00:09:44,120 Speaker 1: with quarterbacks is the unknown. Think about years before that 174 00:09:45,120 --> 00:09:49,280 Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield, complete bust, uh Sam Donald also a complete bust. 175 00:09:49,720 --> 00:09:52,520 Speaker 1: Josh Rosen, he's like a practice squad guy. There are 176 00:09:52,520 --> 00:09:54,640 Speaker 1: two quarterbacks in that draft and they turned out to 177 00:09:54,679 --> 00:09:57,200 Speaker 1: be really good. Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen, but no 178 00:09:57,200 --> 00:09:59,600 Speaker 1: one knows coming up in this draft. I love Bryce Young, 179 00:09:59,679 --> 00:10:03,079 Speaker 1: he's any I'm a big fan of Will Levis's talent, 180 00:10:03,200 --> 00:10:07,000 Speaker 1: but who knows. So it's just that C. J. Stroud 181 00:10:07,000 --> 00:10:08,960 Speaker 1: and then all the other guys in this class. No, 182 00:10:08,960 --> 00:10:12,199 Speaker 1: nobody has any clue. Like most good gms, I can 183 00:10:12,240 --> 00:10:14,600 Speaker 1: find a good d tackle, I can find a good safety, 184 00:10:14,679 --> 00:10:17,880 Speaker 1: but if you don't find the quarterback, you got no shot. 185 00:10:18,360 --> 00:10:20,520 Speaker 1: And now he's looking for a head coach again. So 186 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:23,600 Speaker 1: even when they go on this head coaching search, which 187 00:10:23,960 --> 00:10:27,200 Speaker 1: I would imagine they've already done do due diligence, They've 188 00:10:27,200 --> 00:10:30,440 Speaker 1: already contacted agents, they already have a short list. It's 189 00:10:30,440 --> 00:10:33,640 Speaker 1: hard to interview people like you can't interview coordinators. Now 190 00:10:34,920 --> 00:10:38,480 Speaker 1: you probably could do some back channel interviewing college head coaches. 191 00:10:38,520 --> 00:10:40,480 Speaker 1: But he's not gonna He's not gonna hire a college 192 00:10:40,480 --> 00:10:44,120 Speaker 1: head coach after he just did, unless it was Jim Harbaugh. Uh. 193 00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:47,080 Speaker 1: Maybe he'll wait to see what NFL coaches are fired. 194 00:10:47,160 --> 00:10:49,920 Speaker 1: But again, it's gonna be an educated guests, which you 195 00:10:49,960 --> 00:10:52,600 Speaker 1: could argue most things in life for educated guess is 196 00:10:52,840 --> 00:10:56,800 Speaker 1: the differences when Bezos was dealing with Amazon, when Jet, 197 00:10:56,840 --> 00:10:59,920 Speaker 1: when David Tepper was dealing with the stock market when 198 00:11:00,040 --> 00:11:03,520 Speaker 1: and uh, the Waltons were dealing with anything inside Walmart. 199 00:11:03,720 --> 00:11:05,800 Speaker 1: They knew what they were doing and they knew how 200 00:11:05,800 --> 00:11:09,040 Speaker 1: to turn into a profit. When you own an NFL team, 201 00:11:09,280 --> 00:11:12,280 Speaker 1: that the element of luck. It's kind of like golf. 202 00:11:12,760 --> 00:11:14,080 Speaker 1: You know, you hit it. Even when you hit a 203 00:11:14,080 --> 00:11:18,360 Speaker 1: good shot, it could easily fucking be land under sand. 204 00:11:18,960 --> 00:11:21,800 Speaker 1: It could easily land plugged in the rough. You know, 205 00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:23,800 Speaker 1: just as easily it could bounce and be five ft 206 00:11:23,800 --> 00:11:27,720 Speaker 1: from the green. And you watch him right now, and 207 00:11:28,080 --> 00:11:30,880 Speaker 1: you know, you just see like, I think the Panthers 208 00:11:30,920 --> 00:11:33,560 Speaker 1: have a good future, but they don't get a coach 209 00:11:33,600 --> 00:11:36,160 Speaker 1: and they don't get a quarterback. Did Dave ever spent 210 00:11:36,240 --> 00:11:38,400 Speaker 1: a lot of money to keep losing? And on the 211 00:11:38,440 --> 00:11:43,640 Speaker 1: flip side, I think Arthur Smith is really good. I've 212 00:11:43,679 --> 00:11:46,360 Speaker 1: watched their team pretty closely, probably for the last month. 213 00:11:46,640 --> 00:11:48,640 Speaker 1: I watched him kick the hell out of the forty Niners. 214 00:11:49,160 --> 00:11:51,520 Speaker 1: I watched their game last week against the Chargers. I 215 00:11:51,559 --> 00:11:55,080 Speaker 1: thought they thoroughly outplayed him. Uh, I give them credit. 216 00:11:55,200 --> 00:11:57,440 Speaker 1: I didn't love the Drake London draft pick. He looks 217 00:11:57,480 --> 00:12:00,559 Speaker 1: pretty damn good. Obviously, Kyle Pitts is really good. They 218 00:12:00,600 --> 00:12:03,680 Speaker 1: also don't have a quarterback. I like Marcus Mariota one time, 219 00:12:03,720 --> 00:12:06,120 Speaker 1: the one time I went to Titan's practice, he was 220 00:12:06,160 --> 00:12:10,559 Speaker 1: the starting quarterback. The center at Fresno State who's now 221 00:12:10,600 --> 00:12:14,520 Speaker 1: coaching at Auburn actually as an assistant coach, was a 222 00:12:14,640 --> 00:12:18,360 Speaker 1: g A at at Oregon when Mariota was there, and 223 00:12:18,440 --> 00:12:20,439 Speaker 1: after some press conferences and stuff, I went over and 224 00:12:20,480 --> 00:12:23,079 Speaker 1: bullshited with him. Took like ten minutes. We talked for 225 00:12:23,120 --> 00:12:25,600 Speaker 1: a while. Every person I've ever known that has known 226 00:12:25,679 --> 00:12:29,640 Speaker 1: Marcus Mariota swears by the guy. His character is a 227 00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:33,480 Speaker 1: ten out of ten fantastic human being. He's a pretty 228 00:12:33,520 --> 00:12:38,199 Speaker 1: average quarterback, you know. So the Falcons are a good example, 229 00:12:38,320 --> 00:12:40,640 Speaker 1: kind of like the Carolina Panthers. They got some really 230 00:12:40,640 --> 00:12:43,200 Speaker 1: good players, and the difference is, like the Panthers don't 231 00:12:43,240 --> 00:12:45,880 Speaker 1: have a coach. I think the Falcons coach is pretty good. 232 00:12:47,200 --> 00:12:50,640 Speaker 1: If Arthur Smith, the son of the dude that created 233 00:12:50,760 --> 00:12:54,199 Speaker 1: started FedEx, is a billionaire, and I know people love 234 00:12:54,280 --> 00:12:57,319 Speaker 1: to shoot on like rich kids. If you're a rich 235 00:12:57,440 --> 00:12:59,600 Speaker 1: lazy kid, the last thing in a million years you 236 00:12:59,600 --> 00:13:02,080 Speaker 1: would ever want to do as be an NFL football coach, 237 00:13:02,440 --> 00:13:06,000 Speaker 1: because like google Arthur Smith's resume, he had to work 238 00:13:06,000 --> 00:13:08,920 Speaker 1: his way up from position coach to position coach, finally 239 00:13:08,920 --> 00:13:12,320 Speaker 1: became a coordinator. But he's not considered a guy of 240 00:13:12,400 --> 00:13:17,080 Speaker 1: any head coach, right Mike Vrabel inherited him. Mike Varibel 241 00:13:17,160 --> 00:13:19,320 Speaker 1: got hired at the job, and Arthur Smith was already 242 00:13:19,320 --> 00:13:23,120 Speaker 1: there and he made him the offensive coordinator after uh 243 00:13:23,240 --> 00:13:26,120 Speaker 1: La Fleur got the job at Green Bay. So he's 244 00:13:26,120 --> 00:13:30,199 Speaker 1: not considered like a Shanahan guy, a Belichick guy, Sean 245 00:13:30,280 --> 00:13:34,000 Speaker 1: Payton guy. He's just Arthur Smith. Yet, when I watched 246 00:13:34,000 --> 00:13:35,960 Speaker 1: his teams and I know he lost tonight, hell, I 247 00:13:35,960 --> 00:13:38,240 Speaker 1: know he lost last week against the Chargers, I go, 248 00:13:38,360 --> 00:13:41,520 Speaker 1: how is he so competitive? You know why? He's really good. 249 00:13:41,760 --> 00:13:44,400 Speaker 1: His team's tough and they're fantastic in the run game. 250 00:13:44,640 --> 00:13:47,400 Speaker 1: He does not have a quarterback. It might seem like 251 00:13:47,480 --> 00:13:51,480 Speaker 1: he does because he has Marcus Mariotta, a famous name. 252 00:13:51,760 --> 00:13:53,640 Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure Marcus Mariota is like a two million 253 00:13:53,640 --> 00:13:57,080 Speaker 1: dollar quarterback. Marcus Mariota is a backup right now, a 254 00:13:57,200 --> 00:14:00,280 Speaker 1: solid middle of the road backup. But he's there full 255 00:14:00,280 --> 00:14:04,160 Speaker 1: time starter now. Maybe Desmond Ritter, the guy they drafted 256 00:14:04,200 --> 00:14:06,920 Speaker 1: from Cincinnati, can become a starter, and maybe they get 257 00:14:06,960 --> 00:14:10,360 Speaker 1: some gem I don't know, uh I you know, watching 258 00:14:10,520 --> 00:14:13,120 Speaker 1: with Cincinnati, I'll be honest, I thought he was pretty average. 259 00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:15,360 Speaker 1: It's not like they loved him. They drafted him in 260 00:14:15,400 --> 00:14:19,440 Speaker 1: the third round. But if they can't find a quarterback, like, 261 00:14:19,480 --> 00:14:23,360 Speaker 1: their ceiling is only so high because that division is 262 00:14:23,520 --> 00:14:27,720 Speaker 1: pretty wide fucking open. Tom Brady is, you know, gonna 263 00:14:27,720 --> 00:14:31,000 Speaker 1: be fifty seven years old, and let's face it, this 264 00:14:31,040 --> 00:14:33,320 Speaker 1: is his last year on Tampa Bay. He's either gonna 265 00:14:33,320 --> 00:14:38,160 Speaker 1: retire or leave. The Saints are royally screwed. I mean 266 00:14:38,200 --> 00:14:40,560 Speaker 1: they coach is a major question mark, and they don't 267 00:14:40,600 --> 00:14:43,240 Speaker 1: have a quarterback. In Carolina doesn't have a quarterback or 268 00:14:43,280 --> 00:14:46,080 Speaker 1: a coach. So the one thing Atlanta has to feel 269 00:14:46,080 --> 00:14:49,600 Speaker 1: comfortable about is they like their coach as they should. 270 00:14:49,880 --> 00:14:53,080 Speaker 1: High level guy. He has like an ethos, he has 271 00:14:53,160 --> 00:14:55,280 Speaker 1: something that he can He has like when you watch 272 00:14:55,360 --> 00:14:58,480 Speaker 1: his teams, it's very obvious what you're watching. And a 273 00:14:58,560 --> 00:15:00,000 Speaker 1: lot of young coaches. I say it all the time 274 00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:02,680 Speaker 1: time when you think of young offensive guys, they like 275 00:15:02,800 --> 00:15:05,160 Speaker 1: to throw the ball to me. He reminds me of 276 00:15:05,240 --> 00:15:08,840 Speaker 1: Kyle Shanahan. He he would I don't care whose quarterback is, 277 00:15:09,000 --> 00:15:12,120 Speaker 1: he'd want to run it forty times a game, and 278 00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:15,760 Speaker 1: he's good at it. He's a fantastic run schemer, and 279 00:15:16,040 --> 00:15:18,440 Speaker 1: the better quarterback you get when that is kind of 280 00:15:18,480 --> 00:15:20,640 Speaker 1: your ethos, you have a chance, especially if they can 281 00:15:20,680 --> 00:15:23,160 Speaker 1: build up that defense. Now I don't know much about 282 00:15:23,280 --> 00:15:26,480 Speaker 1: his GM. Uh. You know they're gonna be drafted probably 283 00:15:26,480 --> 00:15:29,440 Speaker 1: in like the top thirteen fourteen. If they hit on 284 00:15:29,480 --> 00:15:32,600 Speaker 1: a pick uh, maybe they can be competitive. But I'll 285 00:15:32,640 --> 00:15:36,920 Speaker 1: tell you this, I've watched Arthur Smith now probably fourth 286 00:15:36,960 --> 00:15:39,120 Speaker 1: full game of the Atlanta Falcons, and that's a lot 287 00:15:39,160 --> 00:15:41,920 Speaker 1: for me. I haven't done much watching of the Atlanta 288 00:15:41,960 --> 00:15:43,960 Speaker 1: Falcons the last three or four years. Couldn't pay me 289 00:15:44,000 --> 00:15:48,040 Speaker 1: to watch Matt Ryan skip balls into people's hands, and 290 00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:50,880 Speaker 1: I'm impressed. If I was a Falcon fan, I would 291 00:15:50,920 --> 00:15:53,760 Speaker 1: be bullish on Arthur Smith. But we gotta figure out 292 00:15:53,800 --> 00:15:56,400 Speaker 1: a way to get a quarterback because Marcus Mariota, like 293 00:15:56,440 --> 00:16:00,920 Speaker 1: I said, fantastic human being average quarter back. And they 294 00:16:00,960 --> 00:16:02,560 Speaker 1: know that. It's not like it's not like they think 295 00:16:02,640 --> 00:16:05,600 Speaker 1: that he's some future starter for them. The problem, though, 296 00:16:05,680 --> 00:16:07,760 Speaker 1: is for all these teams without a quarterback, like, what 297 00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:10,040 Speaker 1: do you do? How do you find a guy if 298 00:16:10,080 --> 00:16:13,360 Speaker 1: you're not drafting one or two where the Lions, you 299 00:16:13,400 --> 00:16:15,600 Speaker 1: know where the Texans are probably gonna be drafting. And 300 00:16:15,680 --> 00:16:18,400 Speaker 1: let's face it, like whether these guys are worthy or not, 301 00:16:19,040 --> 00:16:22,520 Speaker 1: those top quarterbacks are gonna go there. Jimmy Garoppolo is 302 00:16:22,520 --> 00:16:25,040 Speaker 1: a free agent, Like where do you find the guy? 303 00:16:25,080 --> 00:16:26,560 Speaker 1: And this is what I get back to when you 304 00:16:26,600 --> 00:16:29,040 Speaker 1: buy the team. There's just a huge element of luck. 305 00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:32,400 Speaker 1: I mean, look at look at the Cowboys. How they 306 00:16:32,400 --> 00:16:35,360 Speaker 1: get the starting quarterback. They found him in the fourth round. 307 00:16:35,520 --> 00:16:37,760 Speaker 1: Look at look at Seattle there whatever six and three 308 00:16:37,760 --> 00:16:40,200 Speaker 1: where they find their court is Geno Smith. No one 309 00:16:40,280 --> 00:16:42,920 Speaker 1: thought Gino Smith was gonna be that good, not a soul. 310 00:16:43,600 --> 00:16:46,080 Speaker 1: You know. How how did the Rams get Matt Stafford? Well, 311 00:16:46,120 --> 00:16:48,200 Speaker 1: just randomly the Lions decided to trade them, and they 312 00:16:48,240 --> 00:16:51,240 Speaker 1: traded multiple first like that. Those type transactions don't happen 313 00:16:51,280 --> 00:16:54,960 Speaker 1: that much. So I don't know. Just you gotta keep 314 00:16:54,960 --> 00:16:57,800 Speaker 1: your fingers crossed and hope and pray, because I would 315 00:16:57,800 --> 00:16:59,800 Speaker 1: say this for the Falcons, Like I said I, you 316 00:16:59,840 --> 00:17:02,960 Speaker 1: do have a coach that you should feel somewhat confident 317 00:17:03,000 --> 00:17:04,320 Speaker 1: in the future if you can just get him a 318 00:17:04,320 --> 00:17:08,360 Speaker 1: guy that can throw the ball a little bit football 319 00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:10,879 Speaker 1: season is underway, so now is the perfect time to 320 00:17:10,960 --> 00:17:14,800 Speaker 1: download FanDuel America's number one sports book because right now, 321 00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:18,320 Speaker 1: new customers get a no sweat first bet up to 322 00:17:18,440 --> 00:17:22,679 Speaker 1: one thousand dollars. That's free bets back if your first 323 00:17:22,760 --> 00:17:26,920 Speaker 1: bet doesn't win. 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Visit www dot one gambler dot net, West Virginia. 348 00:18:51,200 --> 00:18:53,560 Speaker 1: I think the culture the worst watch in the NFL. 349 00:18:53,680 --> 00:18:57,199 Speaker 1: Cardinals stink they're in entertaining tobaccle to watch the culture 350 00:18:57,200 --> 00:19:00,000 Speaker 1: not and once you can't keep firing assistant coach like 351 00:19:00,040 --> 00:19:03,400 Speaker 1: head coach done. And now I think, obviously the story breaks. 352 00:19:03,400 --> 00:19:05,760 Speaker 1: They hired Jeff Saturday, and at first I thought it 353 00:19:05,800 --> 00:19:08,199 Speaker 1: was insane, just like every other human being, because the 354 00:19:08,240 --> 00:19:10,880 Speaker 1: news broke on Adam Scheffter's Twitter, and then like thirty 355 00:19:10,920 --> 00:19:13,240 Speaker 1: minutes later I'm hacked. I had no access. He follow 356 00:19:13,280 --> 00:19:16,760 Speaker 1: me on Twitter, crypto person has my my accountcil who 357 00:19:16,800 --> 00:19:19,919 Speaker 1: knows if I'll ever get back. But that's neither here 358 00:19:19,960 --> 00:19:22,320 Speaker 1: nor there. The reality of the situation is if I'm 359 00:19:22,359 --> 00:19:26,199 Speaker 1: sitting in during Jim rsay seat, I've watched his coaching 360 00:19:26,200 --> 00:19:31,440 Speaker 1: staff be incredibly awful, Like it's hard to be much 361 00:19:31,480 --> 00:19:33,840 Speaker 1: worse than they've been. So what if I'm sitting in 362 00:19:33,880 --> 00:19:36,399 Speaker 1: his seat going, I'm the boss, I signed the checks. 363 00:19:36,840 --> 00:19:38,320 Speaker 1: I don't want any of these guys to be the 364 00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:42,720 Speaker 1: interim coach. So he hires Jeff Saturday, which, yeah, jaw dropping, 365 00:19:42,960 --> 00:19:44,640 Speaker 1: but we've seen a couple of hires the last couple 366 00:19:44,640 --> 00:19:47,840 Speaker 1: of years be kind of crazy. I don't actually care, 367 00:19:48,640 --> 00:19:52,840 Speaker 1: and I don't think most people necessarily do. But a 368 00:19:52,880 --> 00:19:55,200 Speaker 1: lot of people, you know, the fake outrage that Jeff. 369 00:19:55,320 --> 00:19:57,399 Speaker 1: They could have named Bill Gates the head coach. They 370 00:19:57,400 --> 00:20:00,920 Speaker 1: could have named uh, Bobby knights Son the head coach. 371 00:20:00,920 --> 00:20:03,000 Speaker 1: They could have named Reggie Wayne the head coach. It 372 00:20:03,040 --> 00:20:08,520 Speaker 1: doesn't matter. The team stinks, a putrid team, that the 373 00:20:08,560 --> 00:20:11,160 Speaker 1: whole place is gonna get blown up, probably beside the 374 00:20:11,280 --> 00:20:15,240 Speaker 1: general manager. That being said, once you hire him like 375 00:20:15,320 --> 00:20:18,440 Speaker 1: I'm gonna pay attention. I'm gonna watch his press conference, 376 00:20:18,800 --> 00:20:20,919 Speaker 1: not the one where he's sitting there with the owner, 377 00:20:21,240 --> 00:20:23,560 Speaker 1: but the one where he's talking by himself, and he 378 00:20:23,600 --> 00:20:26,159 Speaker 1: got pretty defensive. Now, being a head coach in the 379 00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:29,800 Speaker 1: NFL is intense, being at the highest level of any 380 00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:33,800 Speaker 1: profession and essentially being the CEO is not easy. But 381 00:20:33,920 --> 00:20:36,679 Speaker 1: there's a reason you get defensive. Help. It happens to me, 382 00:20:36,760 --> 00:20:40,280 Speaker 1: it happens to you usually because whatever someone's saying to 383 00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:44,160 Speaker 1: you has some validity. And one thing that Jeff Saturday 384 00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:48,000 Speaker 1: really hung his hat on in this press conferences. He 385 00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:51,080 Speaker 1: played with the best in the business, played with Hall 386 00:20:51,119 --> 00:20:54,840 Speaker 1: of famers, played on teams fourteen, he was a fourteen 387 00:20:54,920 --> 00:20:59,280 Speaker 1: year NFL lineman, playoffs twelve times. All that stuff is factual. 388 00:21:00,600 --> 00:21:04,000 Speaker 1: There is a big gap though, between you know, being 389 00:21:04,040 --> 00:21:07,920 Speaker 1: a great player and playing with great players than coaching 390 00:21:07,960 --> 00:21:12,360 Speaker 1: great players. Now, they're always some similarities and some fundamental 391 00:21:12,440 --> 00:21:17,400 Speaker 1: philosophical beliefs in how you play, but coaching and playing 392 00:21:17,800 --> 00:21:24,200 Speaker 1: are two completely different crafts. Belichick, Sean Payton, Andy Reid, 393 00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:27,879 Speaker 1: Last time I checked, never played it down in the NFL. 394 00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:31,960 Speaker 1: And you know what, it doesn't matter because playing in 395 00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:34,560 Speaker 1: the NFL does not equate to being a good coach 396 00:21:34,600 --> 00:21:37,600 Speaker 1: in the NFL, just like not playing in the NFL 397 00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:40,800 Speaker 1: doesn't mean that you can't be a high level coach. Now, 398 00:21:40,960 --> 00:21:43,280 Speaker 1: I looked and really thought about it, like, there are 399 00:21:43,320 --> 00:21:47,760 Speaker 1: some guys that had long NFL careers and our head coaches. 400 00:21:48,200 --> 00:21:52,200 Speaker 1: Mike Vrabel is one right, was a long time NFL starter. 401 00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:56,080 Speaker 1: Was never like some all time great player, but very 402 00:21:56,200 --> 00:22:00,960 Speaker 1: very good starting player on very good teams. But Mike 403 00:22:01,040 --> 00:22:04,600 Speaker 1: rabel didn't transition directly to being a coach. He he 404 00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:08,240 Speaker 1: was basically an apprentice under Urban Meyer for a long 405 00:22:08,359 --> 00:22:11,160 Speaker 1: period of time. First he just went back to help 406 00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:13,639 Speaker 1: out his buddy Luke Fickle at Ohio State. When that 407 00:22:13,680 --> 00:22:16,879 Speaker 1: program got blown up, Urban kept him was there for 408 00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:19,600 Speaker 1: a while. Then while with Billy O'Brien, was a position 409 00:22:19,600 --> 00:22:21,879 Speaker 1: coach for a long period of time and was a 410 00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:24,960 Speaker 1: coordinated for one year, so saw it from a different angle. 411 00:22:26,080 --> 00:22:29,399 Speaker 1: Doug Peterson, who was a long time backup for guys 412 00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:34,640 Speaker 1: like Brett Farve, Dan Marino, Donovan McNabb, well, what happened? 413 00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:37,920 Speaker 1: I was there. I think his second year he was 414 00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:40,639 Speaker 1: a quality control guy for Andy Reid worked his way 415 00:22:40,720 --> 00:22:43,280 Speaker 1: up a quarterback coach and then became an offensive coordinator, 416 00:22:43,680 --> 00:22:46,640 Speaker 1: so he learned the craft from from a different position. 417 00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:51,240 Speaker 1: The reason you have confidence in anything you do is 418 00:22:51,280 --> 00:22:54,320 Speaker 1: because of the time you put into doing it right. 419 00:22:54,359 --> 00:22:58,200 Speaker 1: Your your confidence is not created overnight. I saw it 420 00:22:58,240 --> 00:23:02,880 Speaker 1: was the Marines birthday as I'm recording this Happy birthday 421 00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:06,159 Speaker 1: to all the Marine Corps out there, and listen, I 422 00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:07,840 Speaker 1: have a ton of respect, guys. I went to high 423 00:23:07,840 --> 00:23:11,639 Speaker 1: school with Drew Coker, Brad Bitler, Michael Cleary went to 424 00:23:11,720 --> 00:23:14,120 Speaker 1: the Marines. We we graduated high school and oh three 425 00:23:14,119 --> 00:23:17,480 Speaker 1: they went like oh four range and that was what 426 00:23:17,640 --> 00:23:20,240 Speaker 1: IRAQ was going on. So it wasn't just sitting at 427 00:23:20,280 --> 00:23:23,560 Speaker 1: the base in uh Fort Bragg. I mean, it was 428 00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:26,359 Speaker 1: the real deal ton of respect, the ultimate amount of 429 00:23:26,359 --> 00:23:28,919 Speaker 1: respect for everyone in the Marine Corps out there, and 430 00:23:29,000 --> 00:23:31,719 Speaker 1: especially people that I knew personally they were in it. 431 00:23:32,200 --> 00:23:36,560 Speaker 1: But I saw this this uh the Marine Corps instagram 432 00:23:36,600 --> 00:23:40,119 Speaker 1: basically this happy birthday kind of montage of highlights, and 433 00:23:40,160 --> 00:23:45,600 Speaker 1: I I remember watching this famous clip of uh I 434 00:23:45,640 --> 00:23:49,760 Speaker 1: think he was a general. I don't know his exact position, 435 00:23:49,880 --> 00:23:53,040 Speaker 1: but he's in this like minute instagram that the Marines 436 00:23:53,080 --> 00:23:56,040 Speaker 1: put out and he was asked, like, what keeps you 437 00:23:56,080 --> 00:24:01,760 Speaker 1: awaken night and his response was, you know, pretty pretty intense. 438 00:24:01,800 --> 00:24:05,600 Speaker 1: He said, nothing. I keep other people awake at night. 439 00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:09,040 Speaker 1: They struggle to sleep at night knowing I'm here. I mean, 440 00:24:09,320 --> 00:24:11,440 Speaker 1: you could watch and go. That's pretty arrogant thing to say. 441 00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:14,400 Speaker 1: And then you realize he believes that, just like all 442 00:24:14,440 --> 00:24:17,920 Speaker 1: the Marines are kind of you know, can be cocky 443 00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:20,879 Speaker 1: because of the work they put in, like Tom Brady 444 00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:24,680 Speaker 1: and Peyton Manning get their confidence from fucking grinding ninety 445 00:24:24,760 --> 00:24:28,720 Speaker 1: hour weeks on the field, off the field in preparation 446 00:24:28,840 --> 00:24:31,560 Speaker 1: for the game. That's their craft. That's what they do. 447 00:24:31,960 --> 00:24:34,840 Speaker 1: The reason Belichick and Andy Reid and Sean mcvagh and 448 00:24:34,880 --> 00:24:38,560 Speaker 1: Kyle Shanahan the moment they walk to the position on 449 00:24:38,760 --> 00:24:41,840 Speaker 1: game day are confident that they can win is because 450 00:24:41,840 --> 00:24:44,720 Speaker 1: of they've learned it for years as an assistant coach 451 00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:47,359 Speaker 1: or then as a head coach, and then the time 452 00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:50,520 Speaker 1: they have put in honing in on that craft in 453 00:24:50,640 --> 00:24:53,600 Speaker 1: season and in the off season. You can only get 454 00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:56,840 Speaker 1: good at something by putting in time. Now, Jeff saturday 455 00:24:56,880 --> 00:24:59,280 Speaker 1: Infaris did not claim to be good at this. He 456 00:24:59,320 --> 00:25:02,560 Speaker 1: basically said, I have no clue, but as I said 457 00:25:02,600 --> 00:25:05,640 Speaker 1: earlier in the week, it actually got cut out because 458 00:25:05,680 --> 00:25:08,760 Speaker 1: we ended up going a long time with Colin. Is 459 00:25:09,560 --> 00:25:11,680 Speaker 1: it is a much I think I said this to Colin. 460 00:25:11,760 --> 00:25:15,280 Speaker 1: It's a much easier transition to go from scratch to 461 00:25:15,359 --> 00:25:17,320 Speaker 1: be a GM than it is from go to scratch 462 00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:19,600 Speaker 1: to be a head coach, because I can lean on 463 00:25:19,680 --> 00:25:23,360 Speaker 1: people as a GM, my college coordinator, my pro director, 464 00:25:23,840 --> 00:25:28,360 Speaker 1: my head coach. It's virtually impossible. It is impossible. Now, 465 00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:31,560 Speaker 1: that doesn't mean that there are a lot of players 466 00:25:31,800 --> 00:25:33,800 Speaker 1: that if they wanted to coach, they would be good 467 00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:36,760 Speaker 1: at it, and a law probably a large percentage of 468 00:25:36,800 --> 00:25:39,800 Speaker 1: them will never go into coaching at the NFL level. 469 00:25:40,040 --> 00:25:42,119 Speaker 1: They'll messing around with high school with their kids and 470 00:25:42,280 --> 00:25:45,200 Speaker 1: you know, lower levels and maybe even college because they're 471 00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:47,680 Speaker 1: so rich and the time it takes. Like, I don't 472 00:25:47,680 --> 00:25:51,119 Speaker 1: blame anyone worth two hundred plus million dollars, it's not 473 00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:53,080 Speaker 1: worth it to be an NFL head coach. I don't 474 00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:55,480 Speaker 1: need the money, and too, I don't need the stress. 475 00:25:55,840 --> 00:25:58,440 Speaker 1: Now I've said if Philip Rivers, if Peyton Manning, if 476 00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:01,560 Speaker 1: Drew Brees, they wanted to he coaches and just get 477 00:26:01,600 --> 00:26:04,159 Speaker 1: into being a quarterback coach and then a coordinator. You 478 00:26:04,200 --> 00:26:06,280 Speaker 1: don't think they could do it. They could, but it 479 00:26:06,320 --> 00:26:09,439 Speaker 1: would take time. No different than the reason Peyton Manning 480 00:26:09,520 --> 00:26:12,040 Speaker 1: was a really good player is because he honed in 481 00:26:12,080 --> 00:26:14,160 Speaker 1: on his craft since he was like seven years old, 482 00:26:14,840 --> 00:26:18,000 Speaker 1: through high school through college, early on his NFL career 483 00:26:18,640 --> 00:26:23,320 Speaker 1: and he developed you know, the ten thousand hours. And 484 00:26:23,520 --> 00:26:26,560 Speaker 1: when you see Jeff Saturday, you know, I don't think 485 00:26:26,560 --> 00:26:29,120 Speaker 1: it's gonna work right, Not not that I don't think 486 00:26:29,119 --> 00:26:32,080 Speaker 1: the bell, Bill Belichick or Bill Barcelves in his prime 487 00:26:32,119 --> 00:26:33,880 Speaker 1: if you just put him on this Colts team would 488 00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:37,200 Speaker 1: have a chance. They're playing Sam Ellinger. But I also 489 00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:39,880 Speaker 1: saw like when he got defensive, it's because he knows 490 00:26:39,920 --> 00:26:44,080 Speaker 1: like this, this is kind of crazy, because it is crazy. 491 00:26:44,520 --> 00:26:47,199 Speaker 1: It's very difficult to be an NFL head coach the 492 00:26:47,280 --> 00:26:50,359 Speaker 1: time it takes the ability to deal with all these 493 00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:52,720 Speaker 1: different people, Like he can say, well, I've been in 494 00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:54,920 Speaker 1: a locker room with all these people. They're not all 495 00:26:55,000 --> 00:26:58,479 Speaker 1: depending on you. So if you don't like a defensive tackle, 496 00:26:58,840 --> 00:27:01,119 Speaker 1: or you don't like a corner, or you don't like 497 00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:04,240 Speaker 1: the kicker, it doesn't matter when you're the starting center. 498 00:27:04,600 --> 00:27:06,399 Speaker 1: Like ultimately you gotta get along with the guys on 499 00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:09,400 Speaker 1: your unit. As the head coach, you gotta get not 500 00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:12,440 Speaker 1: necessarily like everyone, but you gotta be able to motivate them. 501 00:27:12,480 --> 00:27:15,040 Speaker 1: You gotta know how they tick. You deal with everyone. 502 00:27:15,080 --> 00:27:18,000 Speaker 1: Why because everyone's staring at you. Why is it hard 503 00:27:18,040 --> 00:27:20,239 Speaker 1: to be a parent, Whether you have one kid or 504 00:27:20,240 --> 00:27:22,720 Speaker 1: four kids, they all look at you when it's time 505 00:27:22,760 --> 00:27:25,160 Speaker 1: to eat, when it's time to go to school, when 506 00:27:25,160 --> 00:27:27,959 Speaker 1: it's time to do everything. You're the leader of the house. 507 00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:31,159 Speaker 1: It's no different as the head coach, even as the CEO. 508 00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:33,800 Speaker 1: Like you're seeing all these people get blown out right 509 00:27:33,840 --> 00:27:38,479 Speaker 1: now in these tech jobs, Like ultimately Zuckerberg probably personally 510 00:27:38,520 --> 00:27:40,399 Speaker 1: didn't talk to a lot of the people we fired. 511 00:27:40,960 --> 00:27:43,240 Speaker 1: But when I'm the head coach of an NFL team, 512 00:27:43,280 --> 00:27:46,600 Speaker 1: a college team, a high school team, I'm interacting talking 513 00:27:47,040 --> 00:27:50,960 Speaker 1: obviously more with some guys than others, but with every player, 514 00:27:51,400 --> 00:27:55,240 Speaker 1: with every assistant coach, and the only way, Like I 515 00:27:55,320 --> 00:27:58,199 Speaker 1: get natural respect as the leader because I'm the boss, 516 00:27:58,720 --> 00:28:02,160 Speaker 1: but you also earn more respect over time. Like when 517 00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:05,600 Speaker 1: you watch Mike Vrabel, is Mike Vrabel's success have anything 518 00:28:05,640 --> 00:28:08,080 Speaker 1: to do with his playing career. No one on that 519 00:28:08,119 --> 00:28:11,160 Speaker 1: team actually gives a ship. You know why guys play 520 00:28:11,200 --> 00:28:13,879 Speaker 1: hard for him, whether it's Derrick Henry, whether it's Ben Jones, 521 00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:16,600 Speaker 1: whether it's the dudes on defense, because they respect him 522 00:28:16,600 --> 00:28:19,440 Speaker 1: as a coach. They respect when he tells them things 523 00:28:19,880 --> 00:28:22,080 Speaker 1: about how to get ready for the game, about how 524 00:28:22,119 --> 00:28:26,439 Speaker 1: to live their life, about the scheme. It's working. It 525 00:28:26,600 --> 00:28:30,560 Speaker 1: is turning into success, and that's taking time. And I 526 00:28:30,560 --> 00:28:32,639 Speaker 1: would imagine if he was sitting right here, he's be like, 527 00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:35,480 Speaker 1: I learned a lot from Urban Meyer. I learned a 528 00:28:35,480 --> 00:28:38,760 Speaker 1: lot from my position group at Ohio State. I then 529 00:28:38,880 --> 00:28:42,080 Speaker 1: learned a lot with my position group with the Houston Texans. 530 00:28:42,920 --> 00:28:46,239 Speaker 1: It takes time, and let's face it, like this, the 531 00:28:46,280 --> 00:28:49,440 Speaker 1: only reason Saturday is the coaches because the owner, Like, 532 00:28:49,680 --> 00:28:52,920 Speaker 1: not in a million years would Chris Ballard have chosen 533 00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:55,640 Speaker 1: this guy to be as head coach, because you wouldn't 534 00:28:55,720 --> 00:28:59,520 Speaker 1: choose an interim coach from outside your building. Now listen, 535 00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:01,720 Speaker 1: I've it over and over. Steve Wilkes is one of 536 00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:04,640 Speaker 1: the worst head coaches I've ever seen. Was a complete embarrassment, 537 00:29:04,720 --> 00:29:07,400 Speaker 1: was a joke. But like, why did they choose him? 538 00:29:07,440 --> 00:29:09,600 Speaker 1: Like I said, I think the owner liked him? One 539 00:29:10,280 --> 00:29:13,040 Speaker 1: and two. He was already there, so he knows the 540 00:29:13,080 --> 00:29:15,600 Speaker 1: players and he knows the roster. It's just an easy 541 00:29:15,680 --> 00:29:19,720 Speaker 1: transition in a tough time. Chris Ballard, whether he likes 542 00:29:19,760 --> 00:29:23,160 Speaker 1: these guys or not, probably would have chosen August Bradley, 543 00:29:23,360 --> 00:29:26,360 Speaker 1: you know, a John Fox, just for an easy transition 544 00:29:26,440 --> 00:29:29,360 Speaker 1: and then figure it out after the season. But this 545 00:29:29,520 --> 00:29:34,280 Speaker 1: also speaks to he's playing the Raiders this week. And 546 00:29:34,360 --> 00:29:38,960 Speaker 1: Josh McDaniels is probably one of the more famous assistant 547 00:29:39,000 --> 00:29:42,920 Speaker 1: coaches over the last several decades, and his head coaching 548 00:29:42,960 --> 00:29:45,400 Speaker 1: career is well documented. Now I'm not gonna beat a 549 00:29:45,400 --> 00:29:49,320 Speaker 1: dead horse. Is a fucking train wreck, absolute disaster. Apologize 550 00:29:49,360 --> 00:29:51,360 Speaker 1: the kids for swearing so much. My mom thinks I 551 00:29:51,400 --> 00:29:56,280 Speaker 1: got kicked off Twitter. Actually didn't, I got locked out, scammed. Uh, 552 00:29:56,320 --> 00:30:00,720 Speaker 1: it's stolen for swearing, but that's not true. But Josh McDaniels, 553 00:30:00,760 --> 00:30:03,840 Speaker 1: under no circumstances gonna lose this game. You can't lose 554 00:30:03,880 --> 00:30:06,640 Speaker 1: to a head coach who has never coached a game 555 00:30:06,960 --> 00:30:11,280 Speaker 1: in college or the pros who came in in early November. 556 00:30:11,800 --> 00:30:15,360 Speaker 1: You cannot lose to a quarterback who's never not only 557 00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:19,520 Speaker 1: never won a game, never thrown an NFL touchdown. You 558 00:30:19,600 --> 00:30:22,680 Speaker 1: have to win this game, like just period, point blank, 559 00:30:22,800 --> 00:30:27,000 Speaker 1: end of story. You cannot lose to this version of 560 00:30:27,040 --> 00:30:30,040 Speaker 1: the Indianapolis Colts. Now, am I confident they win? No? 561 00:30:30,120 --> 00:30:33,000 Speaker 1: I'm not. I just saw Darren Waller went on injury reserve, 562 00:30:33,120 --> 00:30:36,160 Speaker 1: hunter Renfro went on injury reserve, and just let's face it, 563 00:30:36,240 --> 00:30:40,200 Speaker 1: the team is pretty lifeless. I would be. I can't imagine, 564 00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:42,920 Speaker 1: in a weird way, you think Jeff Saturday is nervous, 565 00:30:43,120 --> 00:30:46,640 Speaker 1: I would imagine Josh McDaniels is more nervous. His team's atrocious. 566 00:30:47,000 --> 00:30:49,320 Speaker 1: They can't win a game. They've been getting their ass 567 00:30:49,360 --> 00:30:52,760 Speaker 1: kicked by the Saints. Two weeks ago, they blow another 568 00:30:52,920 --> 00:30:55,640 Speaker 1: seventeen point lead to the Jags, and now you're playing 569 00:30:55,720 --> 00:30:58,280 Speaker 1: this guy. I've said over and over I I did 570 00:30:58,320 --> 00:31:01,080 Speaker 1: not watch the Colts recently. Wouldn't do it, couldn't do it, 571 00:31:01,200 --> 00:31:05,400 Speaker 1: can't do it. Quote my guy, Mike Singletary. Can't do it. 572 00:31:06,080 --> 00:31:09,760 Speaker 1: They were too boring, it was too shitty of a product. 573 00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:11,880 Speaker 1: There the equivalent of like once you eat a bad 574 00:31:11,920 --> 00:31:14,360 Speaker 1: meal at a place, if you've only gone one time, 575 00:31:14,400 --> 00:31:17,000 Speaker 1: you're probably not going back. I'd seen enough of the 576 00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:20,400 Speaker 1: Colts I wasn't going back, but now I'm paying attention 577 00:31:20,760 --> 00:31:23,360 Speaker 1: just like you. If you're a fan of the Giants, 578 00:31:24,120 --> 00:31:27,640 Speaker 1: if you're a fan of the Cardinals, Seattle Saints, whoever, 579 00:31:28,040 --> 00:31:30,720 Speaker 1: it doesn't matter who you're a fan of. If you're 580 00:31:30,760 --> 00:31:33,080 Speaker 1: not a fan of the Colts, you're paying attention to 581 00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:36,600 Speaker 1: this game. How could you not? What the hell is 582 00:31:36,680 --> 00:31:41,960 Speaker 1: Jeff Saturday gonna do? We all are and listen, I 583 00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:44,800 Speaker 1: don't think he's necessarily gonna be a one and done coach, 584 00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:47,320 Speaker 1: but you're If you lose this game, and you're two 585 00:31:47,320 --> 00:31:50,880 Speaker 1: and seven and just lost to Jeff Saturday and Sam 586 00:31:50,920 --> 00:31:55,600 Speaker 1: Ellinger and Parks Fraser, you might be time to start 587 00:31:55,640 --> 00:31:59,640 Speaker 1: packing your bags and speaking about packing your bags, like 588 00:31:59,800 --> 00:32:02,400 Speaker 1: I listen, I've said over and over my personality. I 589 00:32:02,440 --> 00:32:05,480 Speaker 1: can't operate out of spite and vengeance. I don't do 590 00:32:05,560 --> 00:32:09,240 Speaker 1: well and anger. Uh. It wastes my energy. I don't 591 00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:13,480 Speaker 1: I'm not productive that way. Some people thrive with that mindset, 592 00:32:13,600 --> 00:32:16,040 Speaker 1: and listen, you have to figure out what works for 593 00:32:16,080 --> 00:32:19,360 Speaker 1: you and then take advantage of that. For me, it 594 00:32:19,400 --> 00:32:21,920 Speaker 1: has to be more optimistic, it has to be more positive. 595 00:32:21,960 --> 00:32:25,880 Speaker 1: That's when I'm the most productive. Clearly, some players and 596 00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:29,840 Speaker 1: some coaches operate well kind of out of spite, out 597 00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:32,480 Speaker 1: of vengeance, out of vengeance. Belichick is a great example. 598 00:32:32,560 --> 00:32:35,800 Speaker 1: Right the moment you start talking ship, it's when he 599 00:32:35,840 --> 00:32:39,600 Speaker 1: operates the best, the moment he has a specific angle 600 00:32:39,680 --> 00:32:42,320 Speaker 1: to take you down. It's why does he beat the 601 00:32:42,400 --> 00:32:44,920 Speaker 1: Jets all the time, because, deep down, for whatever reason, 602 00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:48,480 Speaker 1: he hates the Jets, truly hates. Now, I'm not saying 603 00:32:48,480 --> 00:32:50,720 Speaker 1: that I like everybody, and there are some people that 604 00:32:50,800 --> 00:32:53,800 Speaker 1: I don't like. And if I got the opportunity and 605 00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:56,880 Speaker 1: a direct one on one situation, I would hope to 606 00:32:57,000 --> 00:32:59,480 Speaker 1: win and get the advantage, and I would take more 607 00:32:59,640 --> 00:33:02,920 Speaker 1: joel a out of beating some people, just like I take. 608 00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:05,600 Speaker 1: I don't take joy out of other people's failures. But 609 00:33:05,640 --> 00:33:07,480 Speaker 1: when there are certain people that fail, if you don't 610 00:33:07,480 --> 00:33:10,080 Speaker 1: like them, you know, I'm not losing sleep over it. 611 00:33:10,840 --> 00:33:14,040 Speaker 1: And when McCarthy got fired, and I'm as guilty as 612 00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:17,400 Speaker 1: anybody probably outside like die hard Packers fans that truly 613 00:33:17,440 --> 00:33:19,600 Speaker 1: wanted him gone for a long period time, I would 614 00:33:19,600 --> 00:33:21,920 Speaker 1: have been one of the first to say Rogers is right, 615 00:33:22,240 --> 00:33:25,280 Speaker 1: total meat head had to get him away. Now I'm 616 00:33:25,320 --> 00:33:27,720 Speaker 1: not disputing no matter what's going on with the Cowboys 617 00:33:27,720 --> 00:33:30,640 Speaker 1: these last two years that it was time for a divorce, 618 00:33:31,040 --> 00:33:34,240 Speaker 1: it had run its course. But the way everyone talked 619 00:33:34,240 --> 00:33:36,760 Speaker 1: about him, the way everyone shipped on him, and then 620 00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:39,320 Speaker 1: the way the Packers went on to kick ass and 621 00:33:39,360 --> 00:33:42,040 Speaker 1: take names. When the floor came in, Rogers got a 622 00:33:42,080 --> 00:33:44,200 Speaker 1: swag back, won a couple of m vps. It was like, 623 00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:48,360 Speaker 1: kind of like Brady Belichick. Clearly it was Rogers. And 624 00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:50,960 Speaker 1: I still believe that if I had to take one 625 00:33:51,000 --> 00:33:55,880 Speaker 1: guy over the last fifteen years, Rogers or or McCarthy, 626 00:33:56,040 --> 00:34:00,920 Speaker 1: we'd all choose Rogers, every single person, probably including McCarthy's family. 627 00:34:01,560 --> 00:34:05,360 Speaker 1: But it's not going well for the Packers and they 628 00:34:05,360 --> 00:34:08,200 Speaker 1: are really shitty. And it was one of the predictions 629 00:34:08,200 --> 00:34:10,480 Speaker 1: that everyone was making picking Minnesota. I'm like, I don't 630 00:34:10,520 --> 00:34:14,000 Speaker 1: see it. They got no dbs. The Packers are gonna 631 00:34:14,040 --> 00:34:16,720 Speaker 1: be just as good. What are we talking about. Clearly, 632 00:34:17,200 --> 00:34:20,680 Speaker 1: at three and six in the Minnesota Vikings are are 633 00:34:20,719 --> 00:34:23,759 Speaker 1: currently seven and one. I mean they're a win and 634 00:34:23,800 --> 00:34:28,160 Speaker 1: a loss away from this this division being over, like done, 635 00:34:28,600 --> 00:34:31,399 Speaker 1: put a nail in the coffin and think of who 636 00:34:31,440 --> 00:34:34,879 Speaker 1: can kind of do it is Mike McCarthy like Mike 637 00:34:35,040 --> 00:34:38,480 Speaker 1: McCarthy isn't just having success since he fired Mike Nolan 638 00:34:38,480 --> 00:34:40,560 Speaker 1: a couple of years ago. He's kicking ass and taking 639 00:34:40,640 --> 00:34:42,799 Speaker 1: names now. The playoff loss last year was bad, he 640 00:34:42,880 --> 00:34:45,040 Speaker 1: was a favorite at home, got his ass kicked by 641 00:34:45,040 --> 00:34:48,719 Speaker 1: the forty niners. But bounce back this season. Loses his 642 00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:51,839 Speaker 1: quarterback Week one and then is basically six and one 643 00:34:51,880 --> 00:34:55,200 Speaker 1: the rest of this season. Like in the last two years, 644 00:34:55,640 --> 00:34:58,080 Speaker 1: Mike McCarthy twelve and five last year six to he's 645 00:34:58,160 --> 00:35:01,600 Speaker 1: eighteen and seven. Like Mike McCarthy is having a lot 646 00:35:01,680 --> 00:35:04,719 Speaker 1: of success. Now he's gonna be judged because he's a 647 00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:07,520 Speaker 1: Cowboys head coach and a former Super Bowl winning coach? 648 00:35:08,040 --> 00:35:11,359 Speaker 1: How can you do in the playoffs? But like, think 649 00:35:11,360 --> 00:35:12,880 Speaker 1: about this, and I talked about it was stuck you 650 00:35:12,880 --> 00:35:16,200 Speaker 1: a little bit later when I first saw the line, Like, 651 00:35:16,239 --> 00:35:18,440 Speaker 1: I didn't pay that much attention to the schedule beside 652 00:35:18,440 --> 00:35:21,239 Speaker 1: a couple of big games earlier in the week. When 653 00:35:21,239 --> 00:35:24,759 Speaker 1: I saw Packers plus five, I'm like, oh, green Bay 654 00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:27,640 Speaker 1: at the Dallas Cowboys. Green Bay still gett in some respect. No, 655 00:35:28,080 --> 00:35:30,839 Speaker 1: green Bay is at home at Lambeau. So if you're 656 00:35:30,840 --> 00:35:34,080 Speaker 1: Mike McCarthy, you come back to Lambeau where enough time 657 00:35:34,120 --> 00:35:36,480 Speaker 1: has passed, enough success has happened, he'll get a standing. 658 00:35:36,480 --> 00:35:39,560 Speaker 1: Oh but you can kind of end the Floor and 659 00:35:39,880 --> 00:35:43,880 Speaker 1: but more specifically, Rogers kind of season in early to 660 00:35:44,040 --> 00:35:47,120 Speaker 1: mid November, and your team would be seven and two 661 00:35:47,800 --> 00:35:50,280 Speaker 1: with a chance, like all of the needs to happen. 662 00:35:50,320 --> 00:35:53,120 Speaker 1: It probably inevitable the Eagles are gonna lose one of 663 00:35:53,120 --> 00:35:55,640 Speaker 1: these random games. And if you can just hold serve, 664 00:35:55,760 --> 00:35:58,279 Speaker 1: all of a sudden, you're just one game back. They're 665 00:35:58,320 --> 00:36:01,319 Speaker 1: eight and one, you're seven in two. You know they're 666 00:36:01,680 --> 00:36:03,759 Speaker 1: nine and one, you're eight in two. You just gotta 667 00:36:03,840 --> 00:36:06,200 Speaker 1: hold serve. But if he's your second running back, like 668 00:36:06,200 --> 00:36:10,120 Speaker 1: you're in pretty good shape. So I'm fascinated by this 669 00:36:10,320 --> 00:36:14,319 Speaker 1: Spike vengeance game. Even though McCarthy will play it like 670 00:36:14,520 --> 00:36:17,680 Speaker 1: he feels like he's a happy, go lucky, jolly big guy, 671 00:36:18,120 --> 00:36:21,080 Speaker 1: right but deep down he's gotta want this big time 672 00:36:21,320 --> 00:36:24,520 Speaker 1: and it's advantage him. So there's pressure on McCarthy to 673 00:36:24,520 --> 00:36:27,040 Speaker 1: win this game. There's pressure on Rogers and the Floor 674 00:36:27,080 --> 00:36:31,960 Speaker 1: just to save their season. Um this one. I'm for 675 00:36:31,960 --> 00:36:34,360 Speaker 1: for a game with the Packers, who were a tough watch. 676 00:36:34,400 --> 00:36:36,880 Speaker 1: Right now, I'm pretty fascinated by this game. And then 677 00:36:36,880 --> 00:36:40,600 Speaker 1: this is a couple of quick things NFL in Germany. Uh. 678 00:36:40,840 --> 00:36:42,480 Speaker 1: Who would have thought at the beginning of the season 679 00:36:42,480 --> 00:36:44,200 Speaker 1: that would have been like the Tampa would have been 680 00:36:44,200 --> 00:36:47,480 Speaker 1: really good. This would have been a terrible Seattle team classic, 681 00:36:47,480 --> 00:36:51,239 Speaker 1: one of those throwaway games now like can Seattle knock 682 00:36:51,360 --> 00:36:54,440 Speaker 1: tamp out? Is Seattle really this good? And they have 683 00:36:54,640 --> 00:36:57,839 Speaker 1: been so far, and Kenneth Walker has been probably one 684 00:36:57,840 --> 00:37:00,040 Speaker 1: of the if not the best rookie offensive play a 685 00:37:00,239 --> 00:37:04,919 Speaker 1: definitely of late. Uh. Brady somewhat saves that season last 686 00:37:04,960 --> 00:37:08,000 Speaker 1: week with that little drive going to Germany. Good little 687 00:37:08,000 --> 00:37:11,200 Speaker 1: stat It's kind of crazy when you close your eyes, 688 00:37:11,239 --> 00:37:13,400 Speaker 1: it doesn't make that much sense, but I guess you know, 689 00:37:13,480 --> 00:37:16,800 Speaker 1: Germany's higher up there. The difference of flying from Tampa 690 00:37:16,840 --> 00:37:19,839 Speaker 1: to Germany and flying from Seattle to Germany actually isn't 691 00:37:19,880 --> 00:37:22,719 Speaker 1: that much farther you would think, you know, it would 692 00:37:22,719 --> 00:37:26,239 Speaker 1: be a dramatic disadvantage for Seattle, which I'm pretty sure 693 00:37:26,320 --> 00:37:30,120 Speaker 1: flew earlier in the week, But the flight I forget 694 00:37:30,160 --> 00:37:32,960 Speaker 1: the exact mileage, but it's not near the gap that 695 00:37:33,040 --> 00:37:36,000 Speaker 1: you think that it would be kind of like Seattle 696 00:37:36,040 --> 00:37:38,439 Speaker 1: in this game. But you know, you just you never 697 00:37:38,520 --> 00:37:41,239 Speaker 1: want to ride off old Thomas Brady. A lot of 698 00:37:41,360 --> 00:37:43,359 Speaker 1: m v P talk, and now that Josh Allen, who 699 00:37:43,400 --> 00:37:45,799 Speaker 1: knows with his injury. I just saw on Thursday that 700 00:37:45,840 --> 00:37:48,080 Speaker 1: he was absent from practice at least a portion that 701 00:37:48,120 --> 00:37:51,640 Speaker 1: the media can see if he's in and out of 702 00:37:51,640 --> 00:37:54,600 Speaker 1: the lineup for the from moving forward or shell of himself, 703 00:37:54,800 --> 00:37:57,080 Speaker 1: like he's just not gonna win the MVP, and a 704 00:37:57,160 --> 00:37:59,280 Speaker 1: lot of people are trying to force two into that spot. 705 00:37:59,320 --> 00:38:03,200 Speaker 1: Here here's if this season continues the way it's been 706 00:38:03,239 --> 00:38:05,680 Speaker 1: going to me, you know who my m VP would be. 707 00:38:06,320 --> 00:38:09,879 Speaker 1: Jalen's right there too, But as of right now, Tyree Hill, 708 00:38:10,239 --> 00:38:13,759 Speaker 1: Like to me, Tyree Hill. Besides, like Micah Parsons and 709 00:38:13,920 --> 00:38:15,799 Speaker 1: they're they're just not gonna give it to a defensive player. 710 00:38:15,840 --> 00:38:18,000 Speaker 1: He'll win Defensive Player of the Year. Tyree Hill would 711 00:38:18,040 --> 00:38:21,040 Speaker 1: be my m VP. That guy is that guy is 712 00:38:21,080 --> 00:38:23,719 Speaker 1: the most important player in the Miami Dolphins. Who if 713 00:38:23,760 --> 00:38:26,560 Speaker 1: they go you know, eleven and six or twelve and five. Hell, 714 00:38:26,640 --> 00:38:28,959 Speaker 1: if they win that division, they've already beaten the Bills once, 715 00:38:29,760 --> 00:38:31,880 Speaker 1: I'd have no problem voting that guy at the m 716 00:38:31,920 --> 00:38:33,799 Speaker 1: v P. Plus I've said over and over. I give 717 00:38:33,880 --> 00:38:36,000 Speaker 1: him a lot of respect. I thought he would go 718 00:38:36,040 --> 00:38:38,520 Speaker 1: to Miami kind of like cash out, you know, get 719 00:38:38,560 --> 00:38:42,279 Speaker 1: that huge third contract, last big contract, and just kind 720 00:38:42,280 --> 00:38:46,520 Speaker 1: of chill. He has been a dominant force, uncoverable. He's 721 00:38:46,760 --> 00:38:50,480 Speaker 1: unstoppable right now. And I give him his competitive character 722 00:38:50,960 --> 00:38:52,880 Speaker 1: a lot of credit because I think a lot of 723 00:38:52,920 --> 00:38:56,439 Speaker 1: people in his shoes might have done a little mail 724 00:38:56,520 --> 00:38:59,880 Speaker 1: in job and he did not. Uh, and then the 725 00:39:00,040 --> 00:39:04,440 Speaker 1: injured game. Think about this last year they combined for 726 00:39:04,600 --> 00:39:07,440 Speaker 1: twenty three wins. Ironically they played each other in the 727 00:39:07,440 --> 00:39:10,919 Speaker 1: playoffs because the way they both lost Week eight team. 728 00:39:11,440 --> 00:39:14,000 Speaker 1: So even if you remove Week eighteen, which you can't 729 00:39:14,000 --> 00:39:18,799 Speaker 1: technically do because the eighteenth or the seventeenth game Week 730 00:39:18,800 --> 00:39:20,759 Speaker 1: eight team because there's a bye week, so you know, 731 00:39:20,800 --> 00:39:23,879 Speaker 1: the seventeenth game is actually a out of conference game. 732 00:39:23,920 --> 00:39:26,800 Speaker 1: And both the Rams Week eight team played the Niners 733 00:39:26,840 --> 00:39:29,440 Speaker 1: and Cardinals played Seattle, so they would have played that game, 734 00:39:29,760 --> 00:39:32,000 Speaker 1: but they were both One was twelve and four and 735 00:39:32,040 --> 00:39:35,200 Speaker 1: the other was uh eleven and five coming into that game. 736 00:39:35,680 --> 00:39:38,960 Speaker 1: So all that the the the Cardinals had to do 737 00:39:39,120 --> 00:39:41,719 Speaker 1: was especially the Rams lost, was win the game, and 738 00:39:41,960 --> 00:39:43,600 Speaker 1: they didn't. They should have won the division, but they 739 00:39:43,640 --> 00:39:45,920 Speaker 1: combined for twenty three wins, and obviously the Rams kick 740 00:39:45,960 --> 00:39:49,440 Speaker 1: their ass in that Monday night football Divisional game, which 741 00:39:49,600 --> 00:39:51,160 Speaker 1: I'm a fan of. I like a good Monday night 742 00:39:51,160 --> 00:39:56,040 Speaker 1: playoff game. Now Stafford is in the concussion protocol, and 743 00:39:56,200 --> 00:39:58,560 Speaker 1: clearly he's a shell of himself. This year he has 744 00:39:58,600 --> 00:40:00,719 Speaker 1: been I'll give him someone of the then him fitted out. 745 00:40:00,719 --> 00:40:02,640 Speaker 1: Even though he's always throwing a lot of interceptions. He 746 00:40:02,680 --> 00:40:05,440 Speaker 1: doesn't look right part of it. Their online is even worse. 747 00:40:05,880 --> 00:40:08,640 Speaker 1: Beside Cooper Cup. They can't run the ball, and the 748 00:40:08,680 --> 00:40:11,160 Speaker 1: Cardinals have been a disaster. I was flipping around HBO 749 00:40:11,239 --> 00:40:14,799 Speaker 1: Max the other day. Girlfriends out of town, uh in 750 00:40:14,880 --> 00:40:17,319 Speaker 1: Mexico for this wedding. I couldn't go. You know, some 751 00:40:17,360 --> 00:40:19,520 Speaker 1: of us gotta work. You know, some of us can't 752 00:40:19,560 --> 00:40:23,600 Speaker 1: just fall weddings. Man. People now granted this wedding and 753 00:40:23,640 --> 00:40:27,759 Speaker 1: her friend you just I'm a big spring, summer wedding guy, 754 00:40:27,840 --> 00:40:29,360 Speaker 1: but you gotta do what you gotta do. I'm not 755 00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:32,160 Speaker 1: here to tell Plus COVID pushed everything back. It is 756 00:40:32,160 --> 00:40:35,000 Speaker 1: what it is. But I'm here working, no no big deal, 757 00:40:35,160 --> 00:40:38,600 Speaker 1: just taking care of the dog. And I was flipping 758 00:40:38,640 --> 00:40:41,080 Speaker 1: around HBO Max, because you know, I used to watch 759 00:40:41,120 --> 00:40:44,600 Speaker 1: the show Industry fantastic show, very interesting, very entertaining, and 760 00:40:44,800 --> 00:40:48,640 Speaker 1: I stumble upon, Oh, the Cardinals mid season hard knocks. 761 00:40:49,000 --> 00:40:51,600 Speaker 1: I refused to press play, like I'm not I'm sorry. 762 00:40:52,000 --> 00:40:54,600 Speaker 1: Anything cool happens, I'll find it on the internet. Which 763 00:40:54,680 --> 00:40:56,359 Speaker 1: those are things I used to find on Twitter. Now 764 00:40:56,400 --> 00:40:58,720 Speaker 1: that I'm scammed out, maybe I won't find on the internet. 765 00:40:58,760 --> 00:41:01,320 Speaker 1: Who knows, but I I'm not watching that. I just 766 00:41:01,600 --> 00:41:05,160 Speaker 1: I just refuse. But the reality is someone who loses 767 00:41:05,200 --> 00:41:09,040 Speaker 1: this game is the Cards lose their three and seven 768 00:41:09,600 --> 00:41:12,640 Speaker 1: and Buddha Baker's injured. Kyler is dealing with a hamstring, 769 00:41:12,680 --> 00:41:16,360 Speaker 1: and hamstring like most quarterbacks, hamstring is not a normal injury, 770 00:41:16,360 --> 00:41:18,880 Speaker 1: but when you're an athlete like him and very dependent 771 00:41:18,960 --> 00:41:22,160 Speaker 1: on running, like that's Michael Vick got a hamstring injury. 772 00:41:22,200 --> 00:41:24,200 Speaker 1: I remember, Like that's part of the deal. Here is 773 00:41:24,280 --> 00:41:28,280 Speaker 1: Lamar got one too. It's just not a normal quarterback injury. 774 00:41:28,320 --> 00:41:31,000 Speaker 1: More concussion, because sometimes you get crushed, as Stafford is 775 00:41:31,560 --> 00:41:35,040 Speaker 1: did get one. I mean, it's not inconceivable that we 776 00:41:35,200 --> 00:41:40,200 Speaker 1: get Colton McCoy verse Wafford. But it's looking like Kyler 777 00:41:40,200 --> 00:41:42,839 Speaker 1: will play and then more than likely, I guess they'll 778 00:41:42,840 --> 00:41:44,439 Speaker 1: just be up in the air, depending if you can find, 779 00:41:44,520 --> 00:41:47,239 Speaker 1: you know, fix the protocol. But for the Cardinals to 780 00:41:47,280 --> 00:41:49,000 Speaker 1: be three and seven, and there's a lot of talk 781 00:41:49,040 --> 00:41:51,600 Speaker 1: like it's Kingsbury gonna lose his job, you know, who knows, 782 00:41:52,160 --> 00:41:55,040 Speaker 1: Like I don't necessarily expect it, but it won't necessarily 783 00:41:55,080 --> 00:41:57,800 Speaker 1: just because they own a bunch of money. But who's 784 00:41:57,800 --> 00:41:59,839 Speaker 1: gonna want to coach Kyler say the same thing about 785 00:41:59,880 --> 00:42:02,000 Speaker 1: the Holts, like, who's gonna want to coach the Colts? 786 00:42:02,800 --> 00:42:05,200 Speaker 1: They fired their coach, they hired Jeff Saturday. So you 787 00:42:05,920 --> 00:42:09,040 Speaker 1: work for the Colts, you just know the Jim Mercy 788 00:42:09,080 --> 00:42:12,040 Speaker 1: is always talking to those Peyton manning teams. They're just 789 00:42:12,080 --> 00:42:13,920 Speaker 1: kind of going behind your back talking to people. Now, 790 00:42:13,960 --> 00:42:15,680 Speaker 1: maybe that's just part of the deal in the NFL. 791 00:42:15,960 --> 00:42:17,880 Speaker 1: The owner has his people that he's gonna talk to you. 792 00:42:17,960 --> 00:42:20,960 Speaker 1: But it feels a little weird. I guess if I 793 00:42:21,000 --> 00:42:23,520 Speaker 1: had to bet right now, Kingsbury gets another year but 794 00:42:23,840 --> 00:42:26,239 Speaker 1: and is forced to fire some coaches. But who knows, 795 00:42:26,520 --> 00:42:30,480 Speaker 1: Maybe I'm crazy. The Rams like there's their season from help. 796 00:42:30,600 --> 00:42:32,440 Speaker 1: The big picture of thing is gonna be let's say 797 00:42:32,440 --> 00:42:35,239 Speaker 1: they lose this game, you'd be three and six. You 798 00:42:35,239 --> 00:42:38,080 Speaker 1: don't have any draft picks, so you're not really into 799 00:42:38,120 --> 00:42:42,040 Speaker 1: bottoming out because Detroit has your pick. Like you're trying 800 00:42:42,040 --> 00:42:44,799 Speaker 1: to win. You're not tanking. There's no reason to tank, 801 00:42:44,920 --> 00:42:47,799 Speaker 1: you don't have access to anything. Um, this game is 802 00:42:47,840 --> 00:42:53,560 Speaker 1: just fascinating to me because someone is who the loser 803 00:42:53,600 --> 00:42:56,800 Speaker 1: of this game is gonna feel like they're the Detroit Lions, 804 00:42:57,320 --> 00:43:03,640 Speaker 1: and I'm excited to see who it is. Back at 805 00:43:03,719 --> 00:43:06,920 Speaker 1: it again. I think we have some clarity with my 806 00:43:07,000 --> 00:43:10,759 Speaker 1: main man, Stucky Action Network. Follow him on Twitter and 807 00:43:10,800 --> 00:43:14,759 Speaker 1: app that I'm scammed locked out of and find him 808 00:43:14,760 --> 00:43:18,480 Speaker 1: on the Action Network. He does multiple podcast Thursday Action 809 00:43:18,520 --> 00:43:22,879 Speaker 1: Network podcasts as well as big Bets on Campus Stucky. Uh, 810 00:43:23,040 --> 00:43:25,440 Speaker 1: the Arizona Cardinals I think officially are dead to you, 811 00:43:25,560 --> 00:43:28,919 Speaker 1: and uh, we can't bet on Frank Reich to lose 812 00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:32,280 Speaker 1: his money anymore. So I think we got some clarity 813 00:43:32,320 --> 00:43:35,760 Speaker 1: from the gambling guts. Yeah, it's I I tested fate 814 00:43:35,880 --> 00:43:39,719 Speaker 1: with Usually it's like after week nine with Cliff Kingsbury 815 00:43:39,960 --> 00:43:43,080 Speaker 1: is an automatic fade and I was like, well it's 816 00:43:43,080 --> 00:43:48,000 Speaker 1: week nine, Um, let's go with it. And uh, it 817 00:43:48,040 --> 00:43:51,520 Speaker 1: was just they're arguing with each other everything. It was 818 00:43:51,560 --> 00:43:53,520 Speaker 1: just a disaster to watch. They couldn't even get a 819 00:43:53,520 --> 00:43:55,800 Speaker 1: snap off. The Seattles running the same basic place. You know, 820 00:43:55,800 --> 00:43:59,000 Speaker 1: I spent ours two air yards per throw and through 821 00:43:59,000 --> 00:44:05,080 Speaker 1: for two seven yards. Just embarrassing preparation. Um yeah, it 822 00:44:05,120 --> 00:44:08,480 Speaker 1: was rough. And then you know the Colts think about this. 823 00:44:09,080 --> 00:44:14,520 Speaker 1: They that they knew the place, they knew new England's 824 00:44:14,520 --> 00:44:17,080 Speaker 1: plays they were calling. They'll check him out and said, 825 00:44:17,120 --> 00:44:19,480 Speaker 1: check lit knew our plays. He's named the new play caller. 826 00:44:20,280 --> 00:44:24,680 Speaker 1: They their defense completely shut down the Patriots and granted 827 00:44:24,840 --> 00:44:29,640 Speaker 1: Johnathan Territi play and they still got absolutely blown out. 828 00:44:29,960 --> 00:44:34,040 Speaker 1: They averaged one point nine yards per play, the fewest 829 00:44:34,080 --> 00:44:40,000 Speaker 1: for Colts team since the seventies. They had your sacked 830 00:44:40,080 --> 00:44:44,879 Speaker 1: nine times, zero third down conversions and uh, if you're 831 00:44:44,880 --> 00:44:47,359 Speaker 1: into advance, that's negative thirty five e p A one 832 00:44:47,400 --> 00:44:50,520 Speaker 1: of the nine worst offensive games in the NFL over 833 00:44:50,520 --> 00:44:55,160 Speaker 1: the past twenty five years. It was so shitty that uh, 834 00:44:55,239 --> 00:44:57,480 Speaker 1: I had to watch Jeff Saturday's first press conferences, the 835 00:44:57,520 --> 00:44:59,799 Speaker 1: head coach. He said that gm rcay called him during 836 00:44:59,800 --> 00:45:03,560 Speaker 1: the game and basically offered him the job. During the game, 837 00:45:03,800 --> 00:45:07,040 Speaker 1: so hard to blame. We can talk Shot all we 838 00:45:07,080 --> 00:45:09,239 Speaker 1: want about her, say hard to blame him. If I 839 00:45:09,280 --> 00:45:11,520 Speaker 1: owned the team and I watched that, I fucking someone 840 00:45:11,560 --> 00:45:14,160 Speaker 1: would have to go. And we've already fired people like that. 841 00:45:14,480 --> 00:45:17,600 Speaker 1: It was time, you know, not not saying what's crazy 842 00:45:17,640 --> 00:45:21,719 Speaker 1: to me is now Granted, the Colts tackles, you know, 843 00:45:21,719 --> 00:45:23,759 Speaker 1: it's not like they're playing with Trent Williams. But their 844 00:45:23,800 --> 00:45:26,359 Speaker 1: offensive line over the last several years has been one 845 00:45:26,360 --> 00:45:29,680 Speaker 1: of the more complete units. Is just abysmal. I mean 846 00:45:29,719 --> 00:45:32,240 Speaker 1: you watch I don't watch them play anymore, like I 847 00:45:32,400 --> 00:45:36,920 Speaker 1: refuse like I'm not watching that football. I don't. I 848 00:45:36,960 --> 00:45:39,719 Speaker 1: don't need to talk about him except like ship like 849 00:45:39,800 --> 00:45:43,839 Speaker 1: Jeff Saturday. But the actual football is completely me It's 850 00:45:44,120 --> 00:45:47,759 Speaker 1: terrible to watch and start their offensive line. They could 851 00:45:47,760 --> 00:45:50,839 Speaker 1: have fucking Michael Vickens prime, he'd be running for his life. Yeah, 852 00:45:50,880 --> 00:45:53,239 Speaker 1: they have so much money invested in that line too, 853 00:45:53,239 --> 00:45:58,280 Speaker 1: which hampers other parts of their roster. If it's gonna 854 00:45:58,320 --> 00:45:59,880 Speaker 1: be like this because it was supposed to be one 855 00:45:59,920 --> 00:46:01,600 Speaker 1: of the best offensive lines in the NFL and now 856 00:46:01,600 --> 00:46:04,439 Speaker 1: it's one of the worst. Yeah, it's brutal. I'm interested 857 00:46:04,480 --> 00:46:06,719 Speaker 1: to see what happens with Saturday because you know some 858 00:46:06,800 --> 00:46:08,680 Speaker 1: of his quotes. He's just like, you know, I'm not 859 00:46:08,680 --> 00:46:12,359 Speaker 1: gonna be aggressive. I just take points when we can, uh, 860 00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:16,600 Speaker 1: just get get yards they might he's an offensive lineman. 861 00:46:17,040 --> 00:46:19,719 Speaker 1: My favorite clip of him is I don't know when 862 00:46:19,800 --> 00:46:23,439 Speaker 1: him and Manning were playing together and Manning goes over 863 00:46:24,000 --> 00:46:26,239 Speaker 1: and just says it, starts yelling at him. He points 864 00:46:26,239 --> 00:46:27,600 Speaker 1: at him. It's one of the few times you'll see 865 00:46:27,600 --> 00:46:30,279 Speaker 1: Manning on this island with a live clip with him 866 00:46:30,360 --> 00:46:34,239 Speaker 1: yelling and he Manning says, just happen, just half and 867 00:46:34,280 --> 00:46:37,160 Speaker 1: pass block? Just half the pass block? Uh, and then 868 00:46:37,200 --> 00:46:40,319 Speaker 1: Saturday's yelling back at him. Run the damn ball, Run 869 00:46:40,320 --> 00:46:42,400 Speaker 1: the dad. Why can't we run the damn balls? Like? 870 00:46:42,440 --> 00:46:45,759 Speaker 1: That's my memory of Saturday. If Terrible looks like he's back, 871 00:46:46,200 --> 00:46:50,160 Speaker 1: it might just be forty dives on Sunday, So I'm 872 00:46:50,160 --> 00:46:53,319 Speaker 1: curious to see how they place out. Do do you 873 00:46:53,360 --> 00:46:56,719 Speaker 1: think before we dive into a couple of games, like 874 00:46:57,719 --> 00:47:01,720 Speaker 1: Josh McDaniels, can you imagine if you lose to Jeff 875 00:47:01,840 --> 00:47:05,160 Speaker 1: Saturday and Sam Ellinger, Like it's it's already been a 876 00:47:05,440 --> 00:47:07,800 Speaker 1: I mean, it's one of the bigger it's the biggest 877 00:47:07,800 --> 00:47:10,719 Speaker 1: disaster in that division, and Denver was considered probably the 878 00:47:10,719 --> 00:47:13,280 Speaker 1: biggest disaster in the league. And the Raiders are worse. 879 00:47:13,760 --> 00:47:16,520 Speaker 1: I mean they're sucking two and six. You lose to 880 00:47:16,640 --> 00:47:19,560 Speaker 1: Jeff Saturday, a guy that's never coached in college or 881 00:47:19,640 --> 00:47:22,920 Speaker 1: the pros, and a quarterback who did I see his 882 00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:25,439 Speaker 1: Stady's never throwing a touchdown in the NFL. Let alone 883 00:47:25,520 --> 00:47:28,560 Speaker 1: obviously won a game. I mean, you can, you cannot. 884 00:47:28,600 --> 00:47:30,799 Speaker 1: You can lose to Trevor Lawrence and Doug Peterson, right, 885 00:47:31,000 --> 00:47:33,359 Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence was the next lock and Doug Peterson won 886 00:47:33,360 --> 00:47:36,160 Speaker 1: a Super Bowl. Like that sucks. It looks like a 887 00:47:36,160 --> 00:47:39,040 Speaker 1: bad loss, but like those guys are real NFL people. 888 00:47:39,840 --> 00:47:43,120 Speaker 1: Jeff Saturday, Sam Ellinger, I know. I mean, are we 889 00:47:43,160 --> 00:47:45,719 Speaker 1: talking about a one and done coach? Yeah, I mean 890 00:47:45,920 --> 00:47:48,880 Speaker 1: that we all like the fake Twitter accounts with the 891 00:47:48,960 --> 00:47:52,640 Speaker 1: check marks, maybe a little foreshadowing the fake chefter this 892 00:47:52,680 --> 00:47:57,880 Speaker 1: week tweet out Josh McDaniels has been fired. Um, maybe 893 00:47:57,920 --> 00:48:02,799 Speaker 1: that was a little foreshadowing to uh, what could potentially happen. 894 00:48:03,080 --> 00:48:08,799 Speaker 1: It's it's a mess for the Raiders as a what 895 00:48:08,800 --> 00:48:12,759 Speaker 1: what happened to the line? Jeff Saturday, Frank Reich, are 896 00:48:13,040 --> 00:48:18,000 Speaker 1: are they worth? Obviously Frank's probably worth more points, right, Yeah, 897 00:48:18,040 --> 00:48:21,000 Speaker 1: I think the market still has some respect for Reich 898 00:48:21,160 --> 00:48:27,600 Speaker 1: and has some questions for about Saturday. But it's I mean, 899 00:48:27,800 --> 00:48:33,000 Speaker 1: like the line was and it went up a little bit. 900 00:48:33,040 --> 00:48:35,120 Speaker 1: But it's the Raiders and the Raiders are you know, 901 00:48:35,160 --> 00:48:38,400 Speaker 1: It's not like everyone is rushing to bet the Raiders. Um, 902 00:48:38,520 --> 00:48:40,680 Speaker 1: that's not going to be a heavily beat game. I 903 00:48:40,719 --> 00:48:44,040 Speaker 1: can't figure out the Raiders. And technically you should be 904 00:48:44,080 --> 00:48:46,800 Speaker 1: buying low on the Colts here and you get Jonathan 905 00:48:46,800 --> 00:48:49,799 Speaker 1: Taylor back. But I just that is a game I 906 00:48:49,840 --> 00:48:54,399 Speaker 1: want to stay far far away from. Okay, let's let's 907 00:48:54,440 --> 00:48:57,200 Speaker 1: dive into a game. The Jags get a pretty nice 908 00:48:57,200 --> 00:49:00,600 Speaker 1: win against the Raiders playing Kansas City that if you 909 00:49:00,680 --> 00:49:04,480 Speaker 1: siphon out that Niner game has not really been explosive 910 00:49:04,520 --> 00:49:07,480 Speaker 1: point team like they have been in years past. So 911 00:49:07,520 --> 00:49:09,400 Speaker 1: when you give a team, you know, nine and a 912 00:49:09,440 --> 00:49:12,400 Speaker 1: half points to me, I mean it's the Chiefs have 913 00:49:12,440 --> 00:49:14,600 Speaker 1: not just been some consistent like thirty seven points on 914 00:49:14,640 --> 00:49:16,000 Speaker 1: the board. I mean a lot of times they are 915 00:49:16,040 --> 00:49:19,120 Speaker 1: in the low twenties. So the nine and a half 916 00:49:19,760 --> 00:49:24,880 Speaker 1: would be a little tasty, especially coming off you know, Tennessee. 917 00:49:25,719 --> 00:49:27,640 Speaker 1: It's weird right there, a playoff team, but we don't 918 00:49:27,680 --> 00:49:29,239 Speaker 1: look at them like a juggernaut. But there are just 919 00:49:29,280 --> 00:49:32,600 Speaker 1: a consistent team that wins ten plus games. And that 920 00:49:32,760 --> 00:49:35,560 Speaker 1: was an impressive win when the Chiefs were not playing well, 921 00:49:36,200 --> 00:49:38,640 Speaker 1: given that Patrick Mahomes just refused to let him lose, 922 00:49:38,760 --> 00:49:41,200 Speaker 1: like a little bit of a come down here against 923 00:49:41,200 --> 00:49:43,799 Speaker 1: a team that's ultimately going to be drafting in the 924 00:49:43,800 --> 00:49:46,759 Speaker 1: top ten. So I guess the plus nine and a half, 925 00:49:47,480 --> 00:49:50,239 Speaker 1: uh makes a little sense. Yeah, I took the plus 926 00:49:50,360 --> 00:49:53,000 Speaker 1: nine a half. I mean, uh, scoring is down a 927 00:49:53,000 --> 00:49:55,680 Speaker 1: little bit across the board in the NFL underdogs as 928 00:49:55,719 --> 00:49:58,479 Speaker 1: a result or just crushing it. Marginal victory is down. 929 00:49:59,040 --> 00:50:01,080 Speaker 1: Take underdogs between three and a half and ten or 930 00:50:01,160 --> 00:50:04,120 Speaker 1: hitting at sixty four and a half percent this year, 931 00:50:04,160 --> 00:50:06,719 Speaker 1: which is insane. But yeah, this line is too high. 932 00:50:06,760 --> 00:50:09,719 Speaker 1: I didn't bet this yet. I'm going to bet it. 933 00:50:09,760 --> 00:50:11,960 Speaker 1: I will bet nine and a half, but why it's 934 00:50:12,000 --> 00:50:13,480 Speaker 1: a dead number right now. I'm gonna wait to see 935 00:50:13,480 --> 00:50:15,719 Speaker 1: if it gets to ten. If it doesn't all be ten. 936 00:50:15,760 --> 00:50:17,279 Speaker 1: If not, I still like it at nine and a half. 937 00:50:17,800 --> 00:50:19,440 Speaker 1: So I'm just reading it's more likely to get to 938 00:50:19,520 --> 00:50:23,279 Speaker 1: ten than nine. Yeah, I think that it might. You're 939 00:50:23,280 --> 00:50:29,759 Speaker 1: probably gonna have heavy public action on Kansas City. Let's 940 00:50:29,760 --> 00:50:33,399 Speaker 1: say it's and then any time it hits ten, it'll 941 00:50:33,440 --> 00:50:38,160 Speaker 1: get snatched up real quick by h sharp money. So yeah, 942 00:50:38,520 --> 00:50:39,960 Speaker 1: you know, and going from nine and a half to 943 00:50:40,040 --> 00:50:42,080 Speaker 1: nine eight and a half is meaningless. So I think 944 00:50:42,120 --> 00:50:44,040 Speaker 1: it might. It might touch ten, but it will not 945 00:50:44,200 --> 00:50:46,440 Speaker 1: last long. So I'm gonna see if I can grab it. 946 00:50:46,480 --> 00:50:48,560 Speaker 1: But you know, nine is a dead number in the NFL, 947 00:50:48,880 --> 00:50:51,959 Speaker 1: but I think it's too many points. Regardless, the Jaguars 948 00:50:52,760 --> 00:50:57,000 Speaker 1: have look their top ten of pressure rate, and Mahomes 949 00:50:57,040 --> 00:50:59,359 Speaker 1: has struggled under pressure this year, and the offensive line 950 00:50:59,440 --> 00:51:01,600 Speaker 1: is just not in well, it's just like kind of 951 00:51:01,600 --> 00:51:05,200 Speaker 1: like the Colts. He was under fire all night against Tennessee. 952 00:51:05,280 --> 00:51:07,160 Speaker 1: And if you look at the Chiefs home games this year, 953 00:51:08,680 --> 00:51:12,080 Speaker 1: they won by three over the Chargers, easily could have lost. 954 00:51:12,480 --> 00:51:15,200 Speaker 1: They won by three over the Titans, who didn't complete 955 00:51:15,200 --> 00:51:17,719 Speaker 1: a pass to a receiver with a quarterback who went 956 00:51:17,760 --> 00:51:22,720 Speaker 1: five of sixteen um and ran thirty five fewer plays. 957 00:51:22,920 --> 00:51:25,120 Speaker 1: They won by one at home over the Raiders, and 958 00:51:25,160 --> 00:51:28,400 Speaker 1: again they easily could have lost and they lost a Buffalo. 959 00:51:29,080 --> 00:51:31,719 Speaker 1: That's been their home results this year. Mahomes, if you're 960 00:51:31,719 --> 00:51:34,719 Speaker 1: gonna fade him, you want to do it when he's 961 00:51:34,719 --> 00:51:38,200 Speaker 1: a favorite of seven plus points. He's twelve and seventeen 962 00:51:38,239 --> 00:51:41,200 Speaker 1: against the spread. Chiefs have the Chargers on deck, which 963 00:51:41,200 --> 00:51:44,560 Speaker 1: will essentially lock up the division. You know, coming off 964 00:51:44,560 --> 00:51:47,600 Speaker 1: a hard, fun game, they probably just you know, don't 965 00:51:47,600 --> 00:51:49,719 Speaker 1: be the show a lot. Let's get a lead and 966 00:51:49,760 --> 00:51:53,600 Speaker 1: then back door will be open. They'll sit on it. 967 00:51:53,800 --> 00:51:56,600 Speaker 1: But I also think that Jacksonville can compete here, and 968 00:51:56,960 --> 00:51:58,840 Speaker 1: they have all year there one. They finally won a 969 00:51:58,840 --> 00:52:02,160 Speaker 1: close game last last week there one in six now, 970 00:52:02,520 --> 00:52:05,640 Speaker 1: in one possession games, they have not lost by more 971 00:52:05,640 --> 00:52:09,759 Speaker 1: than one possession. They're feisty. I think eat C N. 972 00:52:10,280 --> 00:52:12,560 Speaker 1: Lawrence can move the ball in this Chief's defense. They 973 00:52:12,560 --> 00:52:15,840 Speaker 1: can get some pressure. Mahomes will make his plays. Jacksonalls 974 00:52:15,880 --> 00:52:19,239 Speaker 1: knowing the cover Kelsey just a little bit too high 975 00:52:19,280 --> 00:52:22,160 Speaker 1: the line here, I'll side with the dog. Well, it's 976 00:52:22,200 --> 00:52:24,480 Speaker 1: crazy is coming into the season. It's like, well, all 977 00:52:24,560 --> 00:52:26,719 Speaker 1: four teams can win the a f C West. You know, 978 00:52:26,719 --> 00:52:30,000 Speaker 1: it's fucking wide open. And now I mean the Chargers 979 00:52:30,040 --> 00:52:32,359 Speaker 1: lose the Niners, the Broncos and Raiders are any good. 980 00:52:32,400 --> 00:52:34,160 Speaker 1: The Chiefs win a couple of straight games, like you said, 981 00:52:34,160 --> 00:52:35,799 Speaker 1: they got the Chargers next, all of a sudden, they 982 00:52:35,880 --> 00:52:38,520 Speaker 1: got hats and T shirts by the time they're eating turkey, 983 00:52:38,680 --> 00:52:41,480 Speaker 1: you know, unofficially, right. I mean that just shows you, 984 00:52:41,600 --> 00:52:44,680 Speaker 1: man this you cannot trust those other three teams that 985 00:52:45,000 --> 00:52:48,439 Speaker 1: you just can't. And the Chiefs just slow steady this year, 986 00:52:48,480 --> 00:52:50,920 Speaker 1: like you said, they have not that they've actually what 987 00:52:51,400 --> 00:52:53,600 Speaker 1: the eye test, they've struggled at home. I mean, they 988 00:52:53,600 --> 00:52:57,080 Speaker 1: have just not been the same team and they're gonna 989 00:52:57,160 --> 00:53:00,520 Speaker 1: cruise what eleven twelve wins and win the division potentially 990 00:53:00,520 --> 00:53:03,120 Speaker 1: by three games. Yeah, yeah, And it just shows you 991 00:53:03,120 --> 00:53:06,160 Speaker 1: it's funny to look back at narratives about the NFL 992 00:53:06,200 --> 00:53:07,920 Speaker 1: and how predictable it can be from a year to 993 00:53:07,960 --> 00:53:09,840 Speaker 1: year basis. I mean, the a f what we thought 994 00:53:09,920 --> 00:53:13,160 Speaker 1: that division was gonna be is somehow the a f 995 00:53:13,239 --> 00:53:16,879 Speaker 1: CFCs the a f c s too. Yeah, but it's 996 00:53:16,920 --> 00:53:19,120 Speaker 1: like who would have thought, Like the Patriots are in 997 00:53:19,080 --> 00:53:22,320 Speaker 1: the last place and everyone is competing in that division 998 00:53:22,360 --> 00:53:26,759 Speaker 1: with the Bills, and like it's you gotta love the NFL. Well, 999 00:53:26,760 --> 00:53:28,320 Speaker 1: if I would have told you the Patriots are in 1000 00:53:28,440 --> 00:53:31,120 Speaker 1: last place on November ten, Like, oh, they're you know, 1001 00:53:31,160 --> 00:53:34,440 Speaker 1: they're two and seven, They're god awful. It's actually like 1002 00:53:34,520 --> 00:53:37,719 Speaker 1: they're five and four. They feel like they're probably gonna 1003 00:53:37,719 --> 00:53:42,439 Speaker 1: be a nine or ten win team, you know, honestly, Yeah, 1004 00:53:43,640 --> 00:53:48,120 Speaker 1: big pictures dive into the Browns at the Dolphins, like, 1005 00:53:48,200 --> 00:53:50,160 Speaker 1: clearly the Dolphins aren't going away, And a lot of 1006 00:53:50,160 --> 00:53:52,400 Speaker 1: people talk about to winning the MVP if I was 1007 00:53:52,440 --> 00:53:54,680 Speaker 1: betting on the m v P, like, I'm sorry, Tyreek 1008 00:53:54,719 --> 00:53:57,880 Speaker 1: kills the MVP of that team. Uh, but the Jets, 1009 00:53:58,080 --> 00:54:00,560 Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know. Obviously, They're defense is good, 1010 00:54:00,640 --> 00:54:02,560 Speaker 1: they've been running the ball, but I don't think you 1011 00:54:02,600 --> 00:54:05,719 Speaker 1: can just sustain winning it with their quarterback who was 1012 00:54:05,760 --> 00:54:07,640 Speaker 1: just a mess. Now you could argue Mac Jones ain't 1013 00:54:07,680 --> 00:54:10,600 Speaker 1: that much better. I just trust Bill more than I 1014 00:54:10,640 --> 00:54:13,520 Speaker 1: trust saw A. Plus, he plays them again and he 1015 00:54:13,520 --> 00:54:15,120 Speaker 1: always kicks their ass, and he gets him at home 1016 00:54:15,160 --> 00:54:17,520 Speaker 1: because he already beat him on on the road. So 1017 00:54:18,400 --> 00:54:20,279 Speaker 1: I mean, if you had to, if you had to pick, 1018 00:54:21,239 --> 00:54:23,959 Speaker 1: if you went Buffalo, assuming Josh is you know, gonna 1019 00:54:24,000 --> 00:54:27,239 Speaker 1: be able to keep playing Buffalo Miami, then would you 1020 00:54:27,239 --> 00:54:30,080 Speaker 1: go Patriots? Chets. Yeah, I mean that is that a 1021 00:54:30,120 --> 00:54:32,920 Speaker 1: three playoff team division potentially? Yeah, it could be. It 1022 00:54:32,960 --> 00:54:36,040 Speaker 1: depends on I mean, if you figure, depends what the 1023 00:54:36,120 --> 00:54:39,399 Speaker 1: Chargers do, if they can get healthier, which they've got 1024 00:54:39,400 --> 00:54:41,600 Speaker 1: a big couple of games coming up, but they could 1025 00:54:41,640 --> 00:54:43,919 Speaker 1: fall behind quick and then all of a sudden you're saying, 1026 00:54:43,920 --> 00:54:47,120 Speaker 1: it's just the Chiefs from that division, and the Bengals too. 1027 00:54:47,120 --> 00:54:49,200 Speaker 1: If Jamaar chases out a while, yeah, and then it's 1028 00:54:49,200 --> 00:54:50,759 Speaker 1: just like it's just gonna be that looks like just 1029 00:54:50,840 --> 00:54:53,560 Speaker 1: the Titans. So there's some spots opening up. It could 1030 00:54:53,640 --> 00:54:59,840 Speaker 1: easily be a three you know, crazy scenari of four team. Uh, 1031 00:55:00,280 --> 00:55:02,919 Speaker 1: but I think three is is pretty realistic. And yeah, 1032 00:55:02,960 --> 00:55:05,200 Speaker 1: the Jets impressed me last week with their defense because 1033 00:55:05,239 --> 00:55:08,399 Speaker 1: they were playing so many backup quarterbacks and getting so 1034 00:55:08,480 --> 00:55:10,160 Speaker 1: lucky at the end of games. But they were playing, 1035 00:55:10,760 --> 00:55:13,160 Speaker 1: you know, one of the best offenses in the NFL. Now, 1036 00:55:13,200 --> 00:55:16,960 Speaker 1: granted it's a home division game, weird things happening in 1037 00:55:17,280 --> 00:55:21,839 Speaker 1: those Zach Wilson didn't throw his picks, which he normally will, 1038 00:55:21,960 --> 00:55:25,319 Speaker 1: you only fumbled once. He's ultimately going to hold them back. 1039 00:55:25,840 --> 00:55:27,960 Speaker 1: But the defense showed me a lot they can get 1040 00:55:27,960 --> 00:55:32,719 Speaker 1: pressure without blitzing. You know, Sauce Garner is just so 1041 00:55:32,800 --> 00:55:35,319 Speaker 1: good for a rookie, and their special teams are also 1042 00:55:35,360 --> 00:55:38,319 Speaker 1: playing a lot better, so they'll be feisty. But you 1043 00:55:38,320 --> 00:55:40,080 Speaker 1: know they'll start losing some of these close games and 1044 00:55:40,120 --> 00:55:43,000 Speaker 1: Wilson will cost them. Uh yeah, I trust the Patriots 1045 00:55:43,000 --> 00:55:45,239 Speaker 1: just just a tab more. You could argue the big 1046 00:55:45,280 --> 00:55:48,360 Speaker 1: difference between the Jets, Dolphins, and Patriots is just simply 1047 00:55:48,400 --> 00:55:51,520 Speaker 1: two is a lot better than the obviously Zack Wilson 1048 00:55:51,520 --> 00:55:54,560 Speaker 1: and Mac Jones. I don't and listen, I think to uh, 1049 00:55:54,719 --> 00:55:56,640 Speaker 1: the hype he gets on the internet, it's probably a 1050 00:55:56,640 --> 00:55:59,960 Speaker 1: little stronger than what I watch, but he is much 1051 00:56:00,040 --> 00:56:03,160 Speaker 1: more functional and playing with those guys, I mean seventeen 1052 00:56:03,200 --> 00:56:08,200 Speaker 1: and ten or fucking monsters. Those guys are asking It's 1053 00:56:08,239 --> 00:56:11,880 Speaker 1: why I think you like Cleveland this week. I I 1054 00:56:12,000 --> 00:56:14,080 Speaker 1: just do not trust Jacoby and I know that they 1055 00:56:14,360 --> 00:56:16,279 Speaker 1: you know, they look pretty good. What wasn't two weeks 1056 00:56:16,320 --> 00:56:19,120 Speaker 1: ago against the Bengals on that Monday night game? And 1057 00:56:19,200 --> 00:56:22,719 Speaker 1: I think Monday night games for teams that it's weird. 1058 00:56:22,760 --> 00:56:25,000 Speaker 1: The Browns actually aren't a city team. They're just playing 1059 00:56:25,040 --> 00:56:27,200 Speaker 1: with their backup quarterback who's not gonna be the starting 1060 00:56:27,239 --> 00:56:29,920 Speaker 1: quarterback for much longer. But just even bad teams get 1061 00:56:30,000 --> 00:56:32,600 Speaker 1: up for those Monday night games. It's a really big deal, 1062 00:56:32,680 --> 00:56:34,960 Speaker 1: especially divisional games. We've seen it in years past when 1063 00:56:34,960 --> 00:56:37,719 Speaker 1: the Giants suck. Remember they almost beat the Bucks a 1064 00:56:37,760 --> 00:56:40,160 Speaker 1: couple of years ago. Like, just bad teams Monday Night, 1065 00:56:40,640 --> 00:56:42,040 Speaker 1: it's it's a it's a big deal if you're a 1066 00:56:42,120 --> 00:56:45,839 Speaker 1: human being. Uh So I would like Miami, I guess 1067 00:56:45,840 --> 00:56:48,080 Speaker 1: this weekend. But it's weird, Like I don't even love 1068 00:56:48,200 --> 00:56:50,960 Speaker 1: Miami that much. I just kind of love their two 1069 00:56:50,960 --> 00:56:54,200 Speaker 1: receivers because their defense isn't that great. But I just, 1070 00:56:54,440 --> 00:56:56,520 Speaker 1: you know, Jacoby can just be so hit or miss. 1071 00:56:56,560 --> 00:56:59,120 Speaker 1: I guess you just run the ball consistently. But is 1072 00:56:59,160 --> 00:57:01,200 Speaker 1: that something? Is the fan Ski just you know, I 1073 00:57:01,239 --> 00:57:03,160 Speaker 1: know he takes a lot of ship in Cleveland Land 1074 00:57:03,200 --> 00:57:07,399 Speaker 1: about being passed happy sometimes. Yeah, I like Cleveland. Here 1075 00:57:07,400 --> 00:57:09,279 Speaker 1: I took I took them plus four, like to plus three. 1076 00:57:09,320 --> 00:57:12,000 Speaker 1: Now they've actually been really good on like there their 1077 00:57:12,160 --> 00:57:15,120 Speaker 1: fifth and EPA per drop back, their offensive top ten 1078 00:57:15,800 --> 00:57:17,280 Speaker 1: e p A and the on the league this year. 1079 00:57:17,360 --> 00:57:20,480 Speaker 1: They they've just been really unlucky and they're actually getting 1080 00:57:20,520 --> 00:57:23,120 Speaker 1: healthier to they're coming off a by here. They should 1081 00:57:23,120 --> 00:57:25,760 Speaker 1: get Denzel Award back. Their offensive line should be at 1082 00:57:25,800 --> 00:57:28,480 Speaker 1: full strength. And if you look at what they've done 1083 00:57:28,520 --> 00:57:32,640 Speaker 1: this year right there, three they have three wins. The 1084 00:57:32,680 --> 00:57:36,800 Speaker 1: Dolphins have six wins. But the Browns here, they're losses. 1085 00:57:36,800 --> 00:57:38,280 Speaker 1: The Shoar they lost by one of the Jets game 1086 00:57:38,320 --> 00:57:40,480 Speaker 1: they should have won, lost by three to the Falcons game, 1087 00:57:40,480 --> 00:57:43,440 Speaker 1: they should have won two to the Chargers game they 1088 00:57:43,440 --> 00:57:46,439 Speaker 1: should have won three to the Ravens. Held the Ravens 1089 00:57:46,480 --> 00:57:48,600 Speaker 1: of two yards, by the way, that's another key here. 1090 00:57:48,840 --> 00:57:52,880 Speaker 1: Brown's defense over their previous two games has figured something out. 1091 00:57:52,960 --> 00:57:56,960 Speaker 1: Garrett's obviously dominating, but they were missing assignments. But they 1092 00:57:57,000 --> 00:58:00,880 Speaker 1: look so much better. The communication was better, they simplified 1093 00:58:00,880 --> 00:58:03,360 Speaker 1: the scheme against the Ravens and then the Bengals too 1094 00:58:03,360 --> 00:58:07,280 Speaker 1: good offenses before the bye, so and their defense was 1095 00:58:07,320 --> 00:58:10,400 Speaker 1: a disaster early in the season. So yeah, I think 1096 00:58:10,400 --> 00:58:13,440 Speaker 1: their defense is trending up. But that's one in four 1097 00:58:14,120 --> 00:58:18,640 Speaker 1: in games decided by six points or less. Do you 1098 00:58:18,640 --> 00:58:23,720 Speaker 1: know what the Dolphins are? They are five and oh 1099 00:58:23,880 --> 00:58:26,760 Speaker 1: they beat the Ravens by four and a miraculous comeback 1100 00:58:26,800 --> 00:58:29,680 Speaker 1: when the Bills by two, they got out game by two. 1101 00:58:30,640 --> 00:58:33,400 Speaker 1: They beat the Steelers by six at home, and then 1102 00:58:33,440 --> 00:58:35,880 Speaker 1: in the last two weeks they beat the Lions and 1103 00:58:35,960 --> 00:58:40,200 Speaker 1: Bears by four and three. So why well, their offense 1104 00:58:40,320 --> 00:58:44,200 Speaker 1: was humming, but their defense is really bad right now. 1105 00:58:44,240 --> 00:58:46,080 Speaker 1: They also have the worst special teams in the league 1106 00:58:46,600 --> 00:58:49,040 Speaker 1: if you look at some advanced metrics. But their defense 1107 00:58:49,080 --> 00:58:50,760 Speaker 1: is bad right now. And the reason is they don't 1108 00:58:50,800 --> 00:58:54,440 Speaker 1: get pressure and their secondaries decimated, so they can't do anything. 1109 00:58:54,440 --> 00:58:57,560 Speaker 1: They can't they can't let's, they can't cover. They need 1110 00:58:57,560 --> 00:58:59,840 Speaker 1: to get Jones back. They have a bye coming up. 1111 00:59:00,280 --> 00:59:02,200 Speaker 1: You know, Brandon Jones, I gotta get back Byron Jones, 1112 00:59:02,280 --> 00:59:05,040 Speaker 1: I gotta get back. Davian Howard has been playing hurt. 1113 00:59:05,160 --> 00:59:08,840 Speaker 1: That other backup corners are hurt. They can't stop anybody, 1114 00:59:09,200 --> 00:59:11,880 Speaker 1: and they are just finding ways to win late with 1115 00:59:11,920 --> 00:59:17,439 Speaker 1: that offense. By two, three, four not gonna happen forever there. 1116 00:59:17,480 --> 00:59:19,320 Speaker 1: That's what's gonna hold him back. Their defense has to 1117 00:59:19,320 --> 00:59:21,480 Speaker 1: get healthier to just they don't have to be great 1118 00:59:21,520 --> 00:59:25,320 Speaker 1: on defense just to get a few stops. Uh So, yeah, 1119 00:59:25,360 --> 00:59:27,720 Speaker 1: I think the Browns, off of a buyer defense trending 1120 00:59:27,800 --> 00:59:29,840 Speaker 1: up offense should be able to move the ball in 1121 00:59:29,920 --> 00:59:33,360 Speaker 1: this decimated Miami team. I'll gladly take over three year 1122 00:59:33,400 --> 00:59:36,120 Speaker 1: with Cleveland. Yeah, I guess when I and when I 1123 00:59:36,160 --> 00:59:39,040 Speaker 1: said past happy, I just meant more because obviously Chubb's 1124 00:59:39,040 --> 00:59:41,840 Speaker 1: having an incredible season. He's just called past plays that 1125 00:59:41,920 --> 00:59:44,240 Speaker 1: have led to like red zone picks for Jacobe that 1126 00:59:44,880 --> 00:59:47,400 Speaker 1: I didn't quite realize. I mean, when you watch him, 1127 00:59:47,200 --> 00:59:50,200 Speaker 1: my takeaway is like, I know Derrick Henry's come on 1128 00:59:50,240 --> 00:59:52,000 Speaker 1: this last three or four weeks, but Chubb's the best 1129 00:59:52,080 --> 00:59:54,320 Speaker 1: running back in the league. I mean, he's on pace 1130 00:59:54,440 --> 00:59:59,160 Speaker 1: for potentially like two thousand yards and he's fucking incredible. 1131 00:59:59,720 --> 01:00:02,320 Speaker 1: And what's the way to slow down and really explosive 1132 01:00:02,360 --> 01:00:06,400 Speaker 1: offense Kyle Shanahan style. Just pound the ball, slow the 1133 01:00:06,440 --> 01:00:09,480 Speaker 1: game down, and don't give as many shots to the 1134 01:00:09,520 --> 01:00:12,440 Speaker 1: other team, Right, Yeah, it should be control the ball here, 1135 01:00:12,560 --> 01:00:15,920 Speaker 1: keep their office on the sides and were set can 1136 01:00:16,000 --> 01:00:18,640 Speaker 1: make all the throws when he's under who just turns 1137 01:00:18,680 --> 01:00:21,680 Speaker 1: the ball over when he's under pressures when it's problematic 1138 01:00:21,720 --> 01:00:24,840 Speaker 1: but the offense aren't getting pressure. The Browns have one 1139 01:00:24,880 --> 01:00:27,040 Speaker 1: of the best offensive lines in the NFL. Should be 1140 01:00:27,040 --> 01:00:30,680 Speaker 1: at full strength this week and Miami is gonna be 1141 01:00:30,720 --> 01:00:32,640 Speaker 1: worried about the run, like he's gonna make some easy 1142 01:00:32,680 --> 01:00:36,960 Speaker 1: plaction throws here against the secondary that is decimated. So yeah, 1143 01:00:37,040 --> 01:00:40,560 Speaker 1: I think this will be a close game, but I'll 1144 01:00:40,600 --> 01:00:43,320 Speaker 1: gladly take over a field goal here. Crazy thing is 1145 01:00:43,360 --> 01:00:46,320 Speaker 1: looking at some of these offensive stats, if they just 1146 01:00:46,360 --> 01:00:49,400 Speaker 1: had a healthy Deshaun Watson the whole season, it would 1147 01:00:49,440 --> 01:00:52,120 Speaker 1: be hard to not say this team is a playoff team, right, Yeah, 1148 01:00:52,120 --> 01:00:54,000 Speaker 1: And that's that's what's said if you're a Browns fan, 1149 01:00:54,080 --> 01:00:56,240 Speaker 1: if you know, if lots of comes back. Now we'll 1150 01:00:56,240 --> 01:00:57,400 Speaker 1: talk about this later in the year, but I'm a 1151 01:00:57,400 --> 01:01:00,400 Speaker 1: little concerned if like Watson has a played in seven's, like, 1152 01:01:00,560 --> 01:01:03,000 Speaker 1: you don't come back and be like you saw him 1153 01:01:03,000 --> 01:01:05,240 Speaker 1: in the preseason. He looked there's because we russ like, 1154 01:01:05,280 --> 01:01:08,560 Speaker 1: that's why you have a preseason. But if it's hey, 1155 01:01:08,560 --> 01:01:10,600 Speaker 1: it took him a couple of days, would really hurt 1156 01:01:10,640 --> 01:01:13,560 Speaker 1: the Browns. Is all of these losses one and four 1157 01:01:13,840 --> 01:01:17,320 Speaker 1: in these games decided by four points or less if 1158 01:01:17,320 --> 01:01:20,480 Speaker 1: they were the opposite right and one of the three 1159 01:01:20,560 --> 01:01:24,040 Speaker 1: to put themselves in position to get to the playoffs. 1160 01:01:24,280 --> 01:01:27,560 Speaker 1: When Watson comes back, and then by the time you 1161 01:01:27,560 --> 01:01:29,000 Speaker 1: get to the plaoffs, you do as a wild card. 1162 01:01:29,040 --> 01:01:31,959 Speaker 1: If you have Watson acclimated into the offense, they would 1163 01:01:31,960 --> 01:01:34,320 Speaker 1: have been scary. But they lost all his coin flips. 1164 01:01:34,360 --> 01:01:38,480 Speaker 1: So it's a huge updilk climb. Now, I hadn't been 1165 01:01:38,480 --> 01:01:41,240 Speaker 1: paying attention to this game just because the Packers in 1166 01:01:41,280 --> 01:01:44,240 Speaker 1: a weird way, they are relevant because they're the Packers 1167 01:01:44,240 --> 01:01:47,120 Speaker 1: and they got Rogers, but their team is not. And 1168 01:01:47,280 --> 01:01:50,480 Speaker 1: when I saw the line that you like the Packers 1169 01:01:50,480 --> 01:01:54,680 Speaker 1: plus five, I'm like, damn, you know they're they're you know, 1170 01:01:55,440 --> 01:02:00,000 Speaker 1: posting the Cowboys, and then you realize or excuse me, 1171 01:02:00,120 --> 01:02:02,440 Speaker 1: I mean they're they're on the road. And then you 1172 01:02:02,520 --> 01:02:06,000 Speaker 1: realize once I clicked the game that no, that they're 1173 01:02:06,560 --> 01:02:09,040 Speaker 1: they're at home. And this would have been a line. 1174 01:02:09,200 --> 01:02:11,200 Speaker 1: I mean, we've talked to a lot about look aheadlines. 1175 01:02:11,240 --> 01:02:13,320 Speaker 1: I would imagine at the beginning of the season would 1176 01:02:13,360 --> 01:02:16,919 Speaker 1: be like a what a nine points swing the other way? 1177 01:02:16,960 --> 01:02:20,200 Speaker 1: So it shows you how low the Packers. I mean, 1178 01:02:20,240 --> 01:02:24,160 Speaker 1: it's pretty embarrassing, like just from a gambling standpoint, reflective 1179 01:02:24,200 --> 01:02:26,520 Speaker 1: of the team that is very unbiased, Like that is 1180 01:02:26,560 --> 01:02:30,560 Speaker 1: an embarrassing line. I mean that that to me reflects 1181 01:02:30,600 --> 01:02:34,320 Speaker 1: like your team is in fucking shambles, and then watching 1182 01:02:34,320 --> 01:02:36,880 Speaker 1: that game last week, every time you look dudes limping 1183 01:02:36,880 --> 01:02:39,360 Speaker 1: off the field, dudes in a boot, a dude's hurt. 1184 01:02:39,960 --> 01:02:42,240 Speaker 1: So it's one thing they just haven't played well, and 1185 01:02:42,280 --> 01:02:44,280 Speaker 1: then they just lost a lot of dudes. I mean, 1186 01:02:44,320 --> 01:02:46,280 Speaker 1: one of the best players on defense is out for 1187 01:02:46,320 --> 01:02:49,280 Speaker 1: the season now. And the other thing is when does 1188 01:02:49,360 --> 01:02:52,479 Speaker 1: Rogers ever throw picks like that? Like every everyone gets 1189 01:02:52,480 --> 01:02:55,600 Speaker 1: fooled on like an out round right, a corner jumps it. 1190 01:02:55,600 --> 01:02:58,560 Speaker 1: It's happened to Brady Peyton, Manning, Brett far But the 1191 01:02:58,640 --> 01:03:01,560 Speaker 1: picks over the middle where the corner runs underneath, like 1192 01:03:01,680 --> 01:03:05,080 Speaker 1: that's that's a shitty quarterback interception, especially in the in 1193 01:03:05,120 --> 01:03:07,920 Speaker 1: the red zone. My take on on Rodgers is like 1194 01:03:08,520 --> 01:03:11,240 Speaker 1: it'd be human nature. You know, when you get to 1195 01:03:11,360 --> 01:03:14,000 Speaker 1: be great at anything, you don't lose your confidence right away. 1196 01:03:14,040 --> 01:03:16,280 Speaker 1: But after a while, if you start looking around, you've 1197 01:03:16,320 --> 01:03:20,440 Speaker 1: tried everything, nothing's working. Maybe he's lost his confidence a 1198 01:03:20,480 --> 01:03:22,920 Speaker 1: little bit, which would be I mean, kind of normal 1199 01:03:22,960 --> 01:03:26,760 Speaker 1: for any human being when you're not having success over 1200 01:03:26,840 --> 01:03:30,640 Speaker 1: and over and over again. And if he's lost his confidence, 1201 01:03:30,720 --> 01:03:34,200 Speaker 1: even if it's from down to eighty. They are really fucked, 1202 01:03:34,200 --> 01:03:37,800 Speaker 1: and I would I'd be very leery gambling on them 1203 01:03:37,800 --> 01:03:40,720 Speaker 1: at all. Yeah, I mean, I I hold my nose. 1204 01:03:40,760 --> 01:03:43,600 Speaker 1: Maybe I'll jakes myself, but this is my The Packers 1205 01:03:43,640 --> 01:03:45,880 Speaker 1: have treated me very well. I'm eight no on betting 1206 01:03:45,920 --> 01:03:48,840 Speaker 1: Packers games this year. Just seems to have a good 1207 01:03:48,880 --> 01:03:50,880 Speaker 1: feel on them. The only time I bet them is 1208 01:03:50,920 --> 01:03:55,280 Speaker 1: against the Bills when they got that back door. But 1209 01:03:54,240 --> 01:03:59,040 Speaker 1: they did cover. If you dig into their stats like 1210 01:03:59,080 --> 01:04:01,760 Speaker 1: they're they're a lead get like. So let's take football 1211 01:04:01,760 --> 01:04:04,120 Speaker 1: outsiders as a measure d d o A to adjust 1212 01:04:04,160 --> 01:04:07,400 Speaker 1: for opponent. People think that the Packers are horrendous and 1213 01:04:07,440 --> 01:04:09,880 Speaker 1: the Vikings are decent. If you look at this, adjust 1214 01:04:09,920 --> 01:04:12,280 Speaker 1: for opponent doesn't account for injury, so it doesn't account 1215 01:04:12,280 --> 01:04:14,840 Speaker 1: for the fact that the Vikings have played some backup quarterbacks. 1216 01:04:15,360 --> 01:04:23,760 Speaker 1: The Packers on offense are league average. Offensive Vikings are six. 1217 01:04:25,000 --> 01:04:31,040 Speaker 1: Packers defense eighteen, Vikings defense nineteen. So what's happened with 1218 01:04:31,080 --> 01:04:34,040 Speaker 1: the Packers is I mean they're twelfth and net drive 1219 01:04:34,120 --> 01:04:39,240 Speaker 1: success rate eleven in net yards per play their second 1220 01:04:39,280 --> 01:04:42,520 Speaker 1: and rush success rate you know, tenth and success rate 1221 01:04:42,560 --> 01:04:46,160 Speaker 1: on offense, they actually can move the ball officially mainly 1222 01:04:46,200 --> 01:04:49,320 Speaker 1: through the They're very good running the ball, which I 1223 01:04:49,320 --> 01:04:53,240 Speaker 1: think they'll lean on here. Score. Yeah, they have been 1224 01:04:53,280 --> 01:04:56,920 Speaker 1: so unlucky in the red zone with turnovers and fourth downs. 1225 01:04:56,960 --> 01:05:00,560 Speaker 1: They are twenty percent. They've lost from an ep A perspective, 1226 01:05:00,640 --> 01:05:03,920 Speaker 1: thirty points on fourth down conversions there are three for 1227 01:05:04,080 --> 01:05:07,840 Speaker 1: fifteen and they've been huge four downs, just massive swings. 1228 01:05:08,520 --> 01:05:11,840 Speaker 1: And there's also obviously they don't have a lot of explosiveness, 1229 01:05:12,000 --> 01:05:14,680 Speaker 1: but they're able to move the ball and they're just 1230 01:05:14,680 --> 01:05:19,439 Speaker 1: getting unlucky on turnovers, red zone things that are there's 1231 01:05:19,480 --> 01:05:21,800 Speaker 1: a lot of variants in you would think that there's 1232 01:05:21,840 --> 01:05:24,680 Speaker 1: some correction, some regression coming. So they're not as bad 1233 01:05:24,720 --> 01:05:27,560 Speaker 1: as they look. They're not great. They're just to me, 1234 01:05:28,160 --> 01:05:32,080 Speaker 1: a league average team that's getting unlucky, and also, you know, 1235 01:05:32,160 --> 01:05:34,600 Speaker 1: dealing with some growing pains. The offensive lines had injuries, 1236 01:05:34,600 --> 01:05:37,200 Speaker 1: now they have injuries on defense. But this is a 1237 01:05:37,280 --> 01:05:39,600 Speaker 1: must win for them. Rigs has never been an underdog 1238 01:05:39,720 --> 01:05:42,880 Speaker 1: more than three points at home, and I think they'll 1239 01:05:42,880 --> 01:05:45,120 Speaker 1: be able to run the ball. I think you'll get 1240 01:05:45,120 --> 01:05:47,720 Speaker 1: a spirited effort, and I think this is just buying 1241 01:05:48,080 --> 01:05:50,040 Speaker 1: the stock at a low point, just like that against 1242 01:05:50,040 --> 01:05:51,919 Speaker 1: the Bills, and if you think about it, that line 1243 01:05:51,920 --> 01:05:55,520 Speaker 1: closed around ten at Buffalo. Buffalo was also off of 1244 01:05:55,680 --> 01:05:58,400 Speaker 1: by one of the best home field advantages in the 1245 01:05:58,520 --> 01:06:02,640 Speaker 1: NFL in i'me time too. And the Packers are playing 1246 01:06:02,640 --> 01:06:05,880 Speaker 1: in their fourth stadium in four weeks. Just got looked 1247 01:06:05,920 --> 01:06:09,320 Speaker 1: awful against Washington and they were catching ten there on 1248 01:06:09,360 --> 01:06:12,880 Speaker 1: the road. Okay, let's swing the home field back the 1249 01:06:12,920 --> 01:06:15,200 Speaker 1: other way, and they covered that game, by the way. 1250 01:06:15,320 --> 01:06:17,480 Speaker 1: Let's swing the home field back the other way. And 1251 01:06:17,480 --> 01:06:21,720 Speaker 1: we're going to Green Bay and Dallas now is laying 1252 01:06:21,880 --> 01:06:25,680 Speaker 1: five on the road in Lambeau. You you account for 1253 01:06:25,680 --> 01:06:28,000 Speaker 1: the home field. We're basically saying the Bills at full 1254 01:06:28,000 --> 01:06:31,520 Speaker 1: strength and the Cowboys are the same. Don't buy. I 1255 01:06:31,520 --> 01:06:34,520 Speaker 1: think this line should be three. You know, I think 1256 01:06:34,520 --> 01:06:38,439 Speaker 1: the Cowboys should be favored. But um, I think you're 1257 01:06:38,960 --> 01:06:41,240 Speaker 1: catching the Packers. That's what you really want to do 1258 01:06:41,720 --> 01:06:43,560 Speaker 1: when you're betting the NFL by low So I think 1259 01:06:43,560 --> 01:06:46,480 Speaker 1: you're catching the Packers at the low point. There could 1260 01:06:46,520 --> 01:06:49,280 Speaker 1: be some regression coming. They've been the unluckiest team in 1261 01:06:49,320 --> 01:06:52,360 Speaker 1: the NFL by far. This is just a league average team. 1262 01:06:52,360 --> 01:06:54,200 Speaker 1: That's what they're gonna be all year. You hope they 1263 01:06:54,240 --> 01:06:56,600 Speaker 1: get some breaks, but there's too much value this number 1264 01:06:56,600 --> 01:06:58,919 Speaker 1: for me to pass up. You know, it's crazy looking 1265 01:06:58,960 --> 01:07:02,840 Speaker 1: at points per game is like towards the bottom ten 1266 01:07:03,040 --> 01:07:06,200 Speaker 1: are the Bucks and the Packers at eighteen and seventeen 1267 01:07:06,200 --> 01:07:10,000 Speaker 1: point one. I mean that's I mean two teams that 1268 01:07:10,120 --> 01:07:12,240 Speaker 1: I mean the Bucks still might get there just based 1269 01:07:12,280 --> 01:07:16,439 Speaker 1: on their division. But the reviewed is, like I guess 1270 01:07:16,440 --> 01:07:18,920 Speaker 1: depending on who you talk to, as you know, playoff 1271 01:07:19,000 --> 01:07:22,840 Speaker 1: locks and playoff consistent stalwart teams with Brady and Rogers, 1272 01:07:23,320 --> 01:07:25,600 Speaker 1: and the eye test is as bad as like you 1273 01:07:25,680 --> 01:07:29,120 Speaker 1: just watch them. They like you said, they just can't score. 1274 01:07:29,360 --> 01:07:32,120 Speaker 1: And ultimately, like my always pushed back on on the 1275 01:07:32,240 --> 01:07:36,640 Speaker 1: on the stats, like you know, yards per play, the 1276 01:07:37,040 --> 01:07:39,560 Speaker 1: rushing stats, the passing. Ultimately, the point of the game 1277 01:07:39,600 --> 01:07:41,720 Speaker 1: is to have more points than the other team. And 1278 01:07:41,760 --> 01:07:43,240 Speaker 1: you know some of these games, I mean the Packers 1279 01:07:43,280 --> 01:07:45,920 Speaker 1: has lost the lines, not like the lines and thirty points. Right, 1280 01:07:46,120 --> 01:07:47,919 Speaker 1: what was the final in that game fifteen and nine, 1281 01:07:48,200 --> 01:07:51,240 Speaker 1: fifteen and nine, I graded it out as a Packers 1282 01:07:51,240 --> 01:07:52,920 Speaker 1: like I gred out with the final scores based on 1283 01:07:53,040 --> 01:07:56,600 Speaker 1: that's as a twelve point win. Um. They had four 1284 01:07:56,680 --> 01:08:00,000 Speaker 1: hundred yards of offense to the lines two D and fifty. 1285 01:08:01,000 --> 01:08:03,680 Speaker 1: Uh the ar play five point six to four point five. Yeah, 1286 01:08:03,720 --> 01:08:05,760 Speaker 1: I get what you're saying. There is it's it's it's 1287 01:08:05,760 --> 01:08:10,680 Speaker 1: red zone turnover. Fourth downs. There were one for four. 1288 01:08:11,200 --> 01:08:14,760 Speaker 1: Again they just and with the I normally agree with. 1289 01:08:14,800 --> 01:08:18,200 Speaker 1: You can't just look at the stats. There's there's a 1290 01:08:18,200 --> 01:08:20,400 Speaker 1: lot of times there's an underlying story. It's one of 1291 01:08:20,400 --> 01:08:23,680 Speaker 1: the reasons why I love watching the games and and 1292 01:08:23,720 --> 01:08:26,880 Speaker 1: trying to understand from that perspective as well. But like 1293 01:08:26,960 --> 01:08:29,360 Speaker 1: the fourth down thing, I do think is very flukey 1294 01:08:29,400 --> 01:08:33,120 Speaker 1: because their second in the NFL in rush success, right, 1295 01:08:33,120 --> 01:08:34,640 Speaker 1: they were a good rushing team, like they should be 1296 01:08:34,680 --> 01:08:37,920 Speaker 1: picking up these four downs. And then the red zone turner, 1297 01:08:38,040 --> 01:08:42,599 Speaker 1: like Rogers usually doesn't throw picks. He doesn't turn it over. 1298 01:08:42,640 --> 01:08:45,400 Speaker 1: It's a Hall of Fame quarterback. So that was that 1299 01:08:45,479 --> 01:08:47,519 Speaker 1: was my point on the style of the turnover. So 1300 01:08:47,760 --> 01:08:51,320 Speaker 1: to me, the throwback pass, you know, fuck, he he 1301 01:08:51,479 --> 01:08:55,200 Speaker 1: shorted it whatever. That's a weird play. But the passes 1302 01:08:55,320 --> 01:08:57,760 Speaker 1: over the middle where the guy undercuts like that, that's 1303 01:08:57,760 --> 01:09:00,720 Speaker 1: a shitty quarterback pick. In my opinion at this he's 1304 01:09:00,720 --> 01:09:06,000 Speaker 1: definitely um forcing it. And I think he's a little 1305 01:09:07,040 --> 01:09:09,559 Speaker 1: you know, just generation in the pocket because he's been 1306 01:09:10,080 --> 01:09:12,920 Speaker 1: getting he's just been under fire so much. The good 1307 01:09:12,920 --> 01:09:15,200 Speaker 1: news is their offensive line is like the healthy it 1308 01:09:15,240 --> 01:09:18,320 Speaker 1: set it's been all years. So you hope that, you know, 1309 01:09:18,320 --> 01:09:20,360 Speaker 1: back to your the rookie Tom that he's putting staffs 1310 01:09:20,520 --> 01:09:22,640 Speaker 1: was actually playing really well. They got Jenkins back in 1311 01:09:22,760 --> 01:09:26,040 Speaker 1: left guard. You hope that they can. Yeah, I assume 1312 01:09:26,080 --> 01:09:28,040 Speaker 1: they're just gonna lean on the run game here, short 1313 01:09:28,080 --> 01:09:30,400 Speaker 1: passing attack. That's what you have to do against Dallas. 1314 01:09:30,560 --> 01:09:33,360 Speaker 1: So you don't let that their defensive line take over 1315 01:09:33,400 --> 01:09:35,479 Speaker 1: the game. You can run on them a little bit. 1316 01:09:35,640 --> 01:09:38,799 Speaker 1: I'm assuming you're gonna get the best effort from their defense. 1317 01:09:38,840 --> 01:09:41,040 Speaker 1: This is it like if they want to make any 1318 01:09:41,080 --> 01:09:45,280 Speaker 1: outside shot at the playoffs, they're three and six. You 1319 01:09:45,360 --> 01:09:49,360 Speaker 1: lose this game, you're done your seasons over um. If 1320 01:09:49,400 --> 01:09:51,120 Speaker 1: you win it and you get the four and six, 1321 01:09:51,560 --> 01:09:54,559 Speaker 1: you know you're in the NFC. All of a sudden, 1322 01:09:54,800 --> 01:09:57,840 Speaker 1: four and six, you're you're in the playoffs. Like look 1323 01:09:57,840 --> 01:10:01,960 Speaker 1: at the the NFC standings. It's Philly Dallas Giants there 1324 01:10:02,680 --> 01:10:06,920 Speaker 1: have six or more wins. The Vikings have seven, The 1325 01:10:06,920 --> 01:10:11,160 Speaker 1: Seahawks have six there's still another spot in the playoffs. 1326 01:10:11,200 --> 01:10:13,880 Speaker 1: Everyone else the next highest is four wins, so you're 1327 01:10:14,000 --> 01:10:17,160 Speaker 1: right there to potentially make a run. But you don't 1328 01:10:17,200 --> 01:10:19,320 Speaker 1: win this game, you're done. So I assume you're gonna 1329 01:10:19,320 --> 01:10:23,400 Speaker 1: get their best effort everything they got um and uh, 1330 01:10:23,439 --> 01:10:26,240 Speaker 1: I just think the line is too high. Basically, it's crazy. 1331 01:10:26,280 --> 01:10:28,000 Speaker 1: They said the Chiefs can't score. They lead the league 1332 01:10:28,000 --> 01:10:29,920 Speaker 1: in scoring, but I mean they do the Cardinal game, 1333 01:10:29,960 --> 01:10:32,880 Speaker 1: the Niner game, and I think that Raider game was 1334 01:10:32,920 --> 01:10:35,040 Speaker 1: at twenty nine, So they have a couple three or 1335 01:10:35,040 --> 01:10:37,040 Speaker 1: four high scoring games that probably helped boost that a 1336 01:10:37,080 --> 01:10:39,160 Speaker 1: little bit. But yeah, the Chiefs, they don't have the 1337 01:10:39,160 --> 01:10:43,840 Speaker 1: same explosiveness they still have now Grant grant at the 1338 01:10:43,920 --> 01:10:48,200 Speaker 1: Forts were decimated by injuries on defense that game. They 1339 01:10:48,240 --> 01:10:50,840 Speaker 1: still have now, am I Jackson will that will be 1340 01:10:50,880 --> 01:10:56,120 Speaker 1: toast unless Trevor Lawrence goes off. If they the Chiefs 1341 01:10:56,160 --> 01:10:59,400 Speaker 1: have one of their days every month or so, they 1342 01:10:59,479 --> 01:11:04,080 Speaker 1: when everything is clicking, it is a spectacle to watch. 1343 01:11:04,080 --> 01:11:06,960 Speaker 1: And then Mahomes is just on another level. You just 1344 01:11:07,040 --> 01:11:09,080 Speaker 1: chalk it up. So they've had a couple one of 1345 01:11:09,120 --> 01:11:11,160 Speaker 1: those things, but it's not the same explosive. The offensive 1346 01:11:11,160 --> 01:11:14,960 Speaker 1: line isn't playing as well. Um so yeah, the Chiefs 1347 01:11:15,000 --> 01:11:17,280 Speaker 1: are don't have that same blowout potential on a week 1348 01:11:17,320 --> 01:11:21,679 Speaker 1: to week basis, Well stucky. Let's uh when some bets 1349 01:11:21,720 --> 01:11:23,200 Speaker 1: have a good weekend. Bro, let's have a good one. 1350 01:11:23,240 --> 01:11:47,240 Speaker 1: See the volume