1 00:00:00,960 --> 00:00:05,720 Speaker 1: Why from our nation's camera. How do we reopen this economy? 2 00:00:05,800 --> 00:00:08,920 Speaker 1: The latest on how this pandemic is impacting farmers. What 3 00:00:09,039 --> 00:00:12,040 Speaker 1: does this do for the United States relationship with China? 4 00:00:12,200 --> 00:00:17,120 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Sound On, The Insiders, the influencers, the insides. We're 5 00:00:17,160 --> 00:00:20,360 Speaker 1: responding to this crisis and manufacturers are stepping up like 6 00:00:20,480 --> 00:00:24,000 Speaker 1: never before. We're looking at seventy candidates for different vaccines. 7 00:00:24,079 --> 00:00:26,760 Speaker 1: How do we make sure a pandemic of this sale 8 00:00:26,800 --> 00:00:30,880 Speaker 1: never happens again? This is Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin 9 00:00:30,960 --> 00:00:36,120 Speaker 1: Surrelate on Bloomberg and one oh five h D two. 10 00:00:36,400 --> 00:00:39,440 Speaker 1: Less than one week until the election, the latest from 11 00:00:39,440 --> 00:00:42,600 Speaker 1: the campaign trail. We check in with Bloomberg Washington Bureau 12 00:00:42,680 --> 00:00:45,640 Speaker 1: chief Craig Gordon. All of that plus the SMP five 13 00:00:45,680 --> 00:00:49,440 Speaker 1: hundred tumbles and the worst stock route in four months. 14 00:00:49,600 --> 00:00:52,440 Speaker 1: Bloomberg's Katie Greenfield will join us to break down what 15 00:00:52,640 --> 00:00:56,840 Speaker 1: happened in the markets today, and we check in with 16 00:00:57,560 --> 00:01:02,160 Speaker 1: Aaron McPike and John Salities for our all star political panel. 17 00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:05,919 Speaker 1: All of that in an interview with Senator Kevin Kramer, 18 00:01:05,959 --> 00:01:08,080 Speaker 1: lots you got through? Can you believe it? Folks? Less 19 00:01:08,080 --> 00:01:12,440 Speaker 1: than one week until the presidential election and of course 20 00:01:12,480 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 1: the all important, equally as important really senate races. Former 21 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 1: Vice President Joe Biden was in his home state of Delaware, 22 00:01:19,760 --> 00:01:22,880 Speaker 1: where he voted early and delivered remarks at the Queen 23 00:01:22,920 --> 00:01:26,720 Speaker 1: Hotel in Wilmington's Take a listen. This country can't afford 24 00:01:26,760 --> 00:01:30,039 Speaker 1: former years of a president who thinks he's only responsible 25 00:01:30,160 --> 00:01:33,119 Speaker 1: for the well being of the people who voted for him. Now, 26 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:36,040 Speaker 1: Joe Biden is one of the nearly eighty million Americans 27 00:01:36,040 --> 00:01:38,640 Speaker 1: who now have already cast their ballot and what is 28 00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:43,240 Speaker 1: a record shattering early vote turnout. Meanwhile, President Trump, speaking 29 00:01:43,240 --> 00:01:46,680 Speaker 1: to reporters in Las Vegas after a campaign event, condemned 30 00:01:46,680 --> 00:01:51,640 Speaker 1: the looting and sometimes violent protests in Philadelphia, located, of course, 31 00:01:51,680 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 1: in the city in Pennsylvania, key battleground state, this following 32 00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:59,320 Speaker 1: the deadly police shooting of Walter Wallace Jr. Here he is, 33 00:02:00,040 --> 00:02:03,280 Speaker 1: you can't let that go on again. A Democrat run state, 34 00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 1: a Democrat run city, Philadelphia. We don't have that. All 35 00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:10,920 Speaker 1: of that as the Northeast is now running America's biggest 36 00:02:10,919 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 1: COVID nineteen surveillance operation, as the coronavirus resurgence sweeps the country, 37 00:02:16,400 --> 00:02:19,840 Speaker 1: sending US testing overall to a record here to break 38 00:02:19,840 --> 00:02:23,239 Speaker 1: down the pandemic, the politics, and of course what's going 39 00:02:23,280 --> 00:02:27,320 Speaker 1: to be driving the policy is Bloomberg's Washington Bureau chief 40 00:02:27,400 --> 00:02:30,440 Speaker 1: Craig Gordon Craig. Great to have you on the program. 41 00:02:30,480 --> 00:02:34,919 Speaker 1: Here we go, buckle up. What's driving the final contours 42 00:02:35,000 --> 00:02:37,920 Speaker 1: of this election? I think you're seeing right now the 43 00:02:37,919 --> 00:02:41,280 Speaker 1: coronavirus is doing some of the driving because the Washington 44 00:02:41,360 --> 00:02:44,280 Speaker 1: Post ABC has a new poll out showing Donald Trump 45 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:47,359 Speaker 1: pulling ahead of Joe Biden I'm sorry, Joe pulling out 46 00:02:47,360 --> 00:02:50,239 Speaker 1: of Donald Trump significantly in the state of Wisconsin, which, 47 00:02:50,280 --> 00:02:53,840 Speaker 1: as people know, is a state where the coronavirus is spiking. Um. 48 00:02:54,040 --> 00:02:56,960 Speaker 1: You know, obviously we don't want to minimize the human 49 00:02:57,240 --> 00:03:00,000 Speaker 1: death toll from coronavirus, but it has a political impact 50 00:03:00,040 --> 00:03:02,639 Speaker 1: act and you know, the spike that's happening right now 51 00:03:02,720 --> 00:03:04,880 Speaker 1: is coming at the worst possible time for Donald Trump. 52 00:03:04,960 --> 00:03:07,800 Speaker 1: It is absolutely reminding everybody that we all have been 53 00:03:07,800 --> 00:03:10,840 Speaker 1: living with this since January February March. Um, it's coming 54 00:03:10,880 --> 00:03:13,000 Speaker 1: just a week before election day, and at least in 55 00:03:13,040 --> 00:03:15,320 Speaker 1: one state that's being kind of racked with the coronavirus 56 00:03:15,400 --> 00:03:18,040 Speaker 1: right now is actually costing Donald Trump uh a lot 57 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:20,359 Speaker 1: of support. Um, I mean, Biden is up there by 58 00:03:20,440 --> 00:03:23,840 Speaker 1: you know, seventeen points, pretty unheard of. That's probably the 59 00:03:23,880 --> 00:03:25,920 Speaker 1: widest margin in that poll, one of the widest partinants 60 00:03:25,919 --> 00:03:28,200 Speaker 1: I've seen in any poll for the state of Wisconsin. 61 00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:29,880 Speaker 1: And we all know Wisconsin is one of those big 62 00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:33,160 Speaker 1: blue walls states Biden must have to win and Trump 63 00:03:33,240 --> 00:03:35,240 Speaker 1: must have to win as well. So Biden looking very 64 00:03:35,280 --> 00:03:38,520 Speaker 1: strong there right now. And I just can't underscore this enough. 65 00:03:38,600 --> 00:03:43,920 Speaker 1: The total from uh then Canada, Trump with the nominee 66 00:03:44,000 --> 00:03:47,360 Speaker 1: Hillary Clinton forty seven point to two percentage points to 67 00:03:47,440 --> 00:03:51,480 Speaker 1: Hillary Clinton's forty six point four five percentage points. I mean, really, 68 00:03:51,480 --> 00:03:55,000 Speaker 1: we're just talking about a couple of thousand votes. We 69 00:03:55,040 --> 00:03:58,600 Speaker 1: all remember what happened in Kenosha County just several months ago. 70 00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 1: The state of Wisconsin, how thin ten electoral votes this exchange. 71 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:07,120 Speaker 1: Can President Trump afford to lose Wisconsin? Does he still 72 00:04:07,160 --> 00:04:10,120 Speaker 1: have a path You would have to he would have 73 00:04:10,160 --> 00:04:13,160 Speaker 1: to essentially substitute another state. So right now, you know, 74 00:04:13,160 --> 00:04:15,080 Speaker 1: if the max sort of breaks down the way it 75 00:04:15,160 --> 00:04:18,160 Speaker 1: did in sixteen, obviously Trump can kind of recreate his 76 00:04:18,279 --> 00:04:21,000 Speaker 1: victory there. Uh, If any of the blue Wall states 77 00:04:21,000 --> 00:04:23,280 Speaker 1: go to Biden. Trump would probably need at least one 78 00:04:23,320 --> 00:04:26,320 Speaker 1: more state. People look at uh, a place like Minnesota, 79 00:04:26,400 --> 00:04:29,599 Speaker 1: someplace like that. But his margin is so narrow, and 80 00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:33,200 Speaker 1: the political report very widely respected. I'm sort of prognosticator. 81 00:04:33,560 --> 00:04:36,800 Speaker 1: Today moved Texas into the toss up column. Now think 82 00:04:36,839 --> 00:04:38,880 Speaker 1: about that for a second. The state of Texas. I 83 00:04:38,880 --> 00:04:41,880 Speaker 1: don't think they've elected a Democrat for president since Lynda B. Johnson, 84 00:04:41,920 --> 00:04:45,720 Speaker 1: of course, was from Texas. Now being considered possibly in play. 85 00:04:45,880 --> 00:04:47,800 Speaker 1: Let's not get ahead of ourselves. I think it'd be 86 00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:50,480 Speaker 1: if if Joe Biden wins Texas, then we have truly 87 00:04:50,480 --> 00:04:53,280 Speaker 1: moved into an entirely new world order as far as 88 00:04:53,279 --> 00:04:55,359 Speaker 1: politics in America, as hard for me to see that 89 00:04:55,440 --> 00:04:58,440 Speaker 1: really happening. But the fact that that's even in the conversation, 90 00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:00,520 Speaker 1: the fact that the possibility Joe Biden could take a 91 00:05:00,560 --> 00:05:04,000 Speaker 1: state as deep, deep deep red as Texas shows you 92 00:05:04,080 --> 00:05:07,240 Speaker 1: just how narrow Trump's passes. He has literally no margin 93 00:05:07,279 --> 00:05:09,119 Speaker 1: for air. I mean, what does that mean for down 94 00:05:09,120 --> 00:05:12,599 Speaker 1: ballot candidates in the Senate? I mean, look, that's the 95 00:05:12,600 --> 00:05:14,760 Speaker 1: other place. You know. Some people are saying, even if 96 00:05:14,760 --> 00:05:17,440 Speaker 1: Trump pulls off some kind of miracle kind of repeats 97 00:05:17,440 --> 00:05:20,839 Speaker 1: the miracle from and and gets a an electoral college 98 00:05:20,880 --> 00:05:23,960 Speaker 1: victory in the face of a Joe Biden popular vote majority. 99 00:05:24,080 --> 00:05:25,919 Speaker 1: That that doesn't really help with quite as much. In 100 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:28,800 Speaker 1: the Senate um, where you do have a great number 101 00:05:29,040 --> 00:05:33,160 Speaker 1: of endangered seats. You've got Maine, Arizona, Colorado, the list 102 00:05:33,240 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 1: is very, very long for the Republicans. Democrats are worried 103 00:05:35,760 --> 00:05:38,600 Speaker 1: about Alabama, of course, with Doug Jones down there, kind 104 00:05:38,640 --> 00:05:41,640 Speaker 1: of a surprise win um. But you could have a 105 00:05:41,680 --> 00:05:44,159 Speaker 1: scenario where at least the Senate flips Democratic and you know, 106 00:05:44,160 --> 00:05:46,279 Speaker 1: Trump Biden maybe too close to call for a little while. 107 00:05:46,640 --> 00:05:49,240 Speaker 1: But we're actually some prognosticators are even starting to talk 108 00:05:49,240 --> 00:05:52,000 Speaker 1: about the possiblity of ticket splitting where you have. You know, 109 00:05:52,040 --> 00:05:54,520 Speaker 1: that's a very old fashioned concept. People as old as 110 00:05:54,560 --> 00:05:56,720 Speaker 1: I am, not as not as not as young as you, Kevin, 111 00:05:56,760 --> 00:05:59,560 Speaker 1: but old as old as I am. Remember, people sometimes 112 00:05:59,560 --> 00:06:01,919 Speaker 1: with vote for different parties for the President and the 113 00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:04,680 Speaker 1: and the House or Senate candidates. Some people who are 114 00:06:04,760 --> 00:06:07,480 Speaker 1: kind of turned off by Trump might vote for Biden there, 115 00:06:07,560 --> 00:06:10,279 Speaker 1: but then stick with the Republican candidate for the Senator, 116 00:06:10,279 --> 00:06:11,960 Speaker 1: for the House district where the person is a little 117 00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:14,360 Speaker 1: closer to home and maybe they like them better. So look, 118 00:06:14,440 --> 00:06:16,919 Speaker 1: I to say this is going to be unpredictable, to 119 00:06:16,920 --> 00:06:19,520 Speaker 1: say this could be chaotic, to say we cannot predict 120 00:06:19,600 --> 00:06:22,000 Speaker 1: no matter how many crystal balls we stare into. Those 121 00:06:22,000 --> 00:06:24,360 Speaker 1: are all understatements. At this point, I think we should 122 00:06:24,400 --> 00:06:26,719 Speaker 1: be prepared for a lot of surprises. You could have 123 00:06:26,760 --> 00:06:29,000 Speaker 1: a Donald Trump win the state of Minnesota while Joe 124 00:06:29,040 --> 00:06:30,840 Speaker 1: Biden wins the state of Arizona and you know, goes 125 00:06:30,880 --> 00:06:32,240 Speaker 1: to the White House, you know. I mean there's a 126 00:06:32,240 --> 00:06:34,800 Speaker 1: lot of different ways that sort of the this checkerboard 127 00:06:34,839 --> 00:06:38,160 Speaker 1: could come into play, and almost anything you told me 128 00:06:38,200 --> 00:06:41,960 Speaker 1: could happen. Trump wins, Biden wins, split ticket, Biden wins 129 00:06:41,960 --> 00:06:44,600 Speaker 1: but loses the Senate. I'd say, sure, that's all possible. 130 00:06:44,920 --> 00:06:48,360 Speaker 1: And m J. Hagar is the Democratic Senate candidate from 131 00:06:48,440 --> 00:06:53,400 Speaker 1: Texas up against a someone who has been in office 132 00:06:53,440 --> 00:06:56,679 Speaker 1: for for years, Senator John Cornet. Yeah, the Republican incumbent. 133 00:06:56,720 --> 00:06:59,839 Speaker 1: I mean, you gotta just imagine people like Senate Majority 134 00:06:59,920 --> 00:07:02,920 Speaker 1: Lee or Mitch McConnell also up for reelection, but Senator 135 00:07:03,000 --> 00:07:05,800 Speaker 1: John Corner, I mean a Republican from Texas they must 136 00:07:05,880 --> 00:07:11,360 Speaker 1: be livid at in terms of what had traditionally been 137 00:07:12,160 --> 00:07:17,520 Speaker 1: a hallmark for conservatives, really like the foundation Bush World, 138 00:07:17,640 --> 00:07:20,960 Speaker 1: everyone coming from Texas and just to see this shift 139 00:07:21,000 --> 00:07:24,400 Speaker 1: from the from the incredibly well respected political report, to 140 00:07:24,520 --> 00:07:27,800 Speaker 1: see that shift tossed moved to a toss up. I mean, 141 00:07:27,840 --> 00:07:32,360 Speaker 1: it's either fool's gold for Democrats or or it's uh, 142 00:07:32,520 --> 00:07:36,120 Speaker 1: or it's you know, better over or pulling out the 143 00:07:36,480 --> 00:07:38,600 Speaker 1: skateboard and going door to door and trying to get 144 00:07:38,600 --> 00:07:41,560 Speaker 1: out some to pull off an upset Craig. Yeah, I mean, 145 00:07:41,680 --> 00:07:43,960 Speaker 1: and I I'm again I'm gonna go on the record 146 00:07:44,000 --> 00:07:45,360 Speaker 1: saying I do think it's a little more in the 147 00:07:45,360 --> 00:07:48,040 Speaker 1: fool's gold category. That's a great description of it. Democrats 148 00:07:48,040 --> 00:07:50,680 Speaker 1: have been talking about turning Texas blue. That's kind of 149 00:07:50,720 --> 00:07:54,000 Speaker 1: their phrase for two or three or four elections. Now, Um, 150 00:07:54,080 --> 00:07:57,320 Speaker 1: it's a deeply Republican state. It would take a shift 151 00:07:57,360 --> 00:07:59,880 Speaker 1: to the demographics and in the voting patterns that it's 152 00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:03,000 Speaker 1: it's hard to imagine happening. That's a very much a 153 00:08:03,040 --> 00:08:06,360 Speaker 1: long term bet. Obviously, the growing Hispanic population, they're very 154 00:08:06,360 --> 00:08:08,440 Speaker 1: friendly to the Democratic Party, and you know, it does 155 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:12,000 Speaker 1: feel like over time you could see the Texas go 156 00:08:12,080 --> 00:08:14,560 Speaker 1: back kind of to his original Democratic roots, producing someone 157 00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:17,040 Speaker 1: like an LBJ back in back in the sixties, but 158 00:08:17,480 --> 00:08:19,640 Speaker 1: a little harder picture of that inw But you know 159 00:08:19,720 --> 00:08:21,680 Speaker 1: the fact that John Corner actually has to kind of 160 00:08:21,720 --> 00:08:23,560 Speaker 1: toss and turning night a little bit about are other 161 00:08:23,600 --> 00:08:25,560 Speaker 1: people going to come out of the woodwork and vote 162 00:08:25,560 --> 00:08:28,200 Speaker 1: for his Democratic opponent. The idea of Mitch McConnell himself 163 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:30,720 Speaker 1: facing a race down there um in Kentucky. You know, 164 00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:34,080 Speaker 1: this would have been unheard of two years ago, when 165 00:08:34,120 --> 00:08:37,520 Speaker 1: the when the economy was still doing well before the virus, 166 00:08:37,640 --> 00:08:39,840 Speaker 1: and and you know, candidly, I think before people started 167 00:08:39,920 --> 00:08:42,079 Speaker 1: maybe some voters at least started to get to Philip 168 00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:44,120 Speaker 1: Donald Trump and and some of the tweeting and some 169 00:08:44,200 --> 00:08:46,480 Speaker 1: of the other things that he does. So you know, 170 00:08:46,480 --> 00:08:49,199 Speaker 1: it's been interesting for us here. McConnell, of course, is 171 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:52,120 Speaker 1: a very taciturn guy. He's a loyal Republican through and through. 172 00:08:52,480 --> 00:08:55,480 Speaker 1: But I think as we saw the stimulus um fight collapse, 173 00:08:55,600 --> 00:08:58,079 Speaker 1: where you know, Minuchon and Pelosi were trying to pull 174 00:08:58,080 --> 00:09:00,600 Speaker 1: that together at the last minute, Rich mcconne just he 175 00:09:00,640 --> 00:09:03,280 Speaker 1: didn't play like he just was basically like, my folks 176 00:09:03,320 --> 00:09:05,200 Speaker 1: will not vote for this, Please don't cut it. The 177 00:09:05,200 --> 00:09:07,560 Speaker 1: almost the president, I don't I don't really see this happening. 178 00:09:07,559 --> 00:09:10,719 Speaker 1: And it was one of the most really glaring situations 179 00:09:10,760 --> 00:09:15,200 Speaker 1: where the Senate Republicans unhitched themselves from Donald Trump to 180 00:09:15,360 --> 00:09:17,360 Speaker 1: kind of save their own save their own skins and 181 00:09:17,360 --> 00:09:21,520 Speaker 1: their individual races for the control of the Senate. Absolutely fascinating. 182 00:09:21,520 --> 00:09:25,000 Speaker 1: Craig Gordon, Washington DC Bureau Chief, joining us to break 183 00:09:25,040 --> 00:09:27,880 Speaker 1: everything down and listen, folks, I'll just say I don't predict, 184 00:09:28,160 --> 00:09:30,480 Speaker 1: but if Texas goes blue, it's a blue wave. I 185 00:09:30,480 --> 00:09:33,040 Speaker 1: think that that's safe to say. If not, uh, then 186 00:09:33,280 --> 00:09:35,080 Speaker 1: you know, we'll then we'll see what happens. Hey, Greg, 187 00:09:35,320 --> 00:09:39,079 Speaker 1: let's go Eagles. They played the Cowboys on Sunday. I 188 00:09:39,120 --> 00:09:41,160 Speaker 1: had to get it in here. Don't ask me who 189 00:09:41,200 --> 00:09:44,839 Speaker 1: I actually I do know who our quarterback is. What 190 00:09:45,160 --> 00:09:47,400 Speaker 1: I know you guys are looking more like a desk 191 00:09:47,679 --> 00:09:51,400 Speaker 1: that my birds. All right, Craig Gordon, cheap the Bureau 192 00:09:51,520 --> 00:09:54,120 Speaker 1: chief here coming up next, we check in on the 193 00:09:54,480 --> 00:09:57,840 Speaker 1: on the markets. Go Birds. Sorry d C. I'm Kevin cereally, 194 00:09:57,920 --> 00:10:00,880 Speaker 1: Chief Washington correspondent for Bluebird TV Radio you're listening to 195 00:10:00,920 --> 00:10:25,280 Speaker 1: Bloomberg ninety one. This is Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin 196 00:10:25,360 --> 00:10:29,559 Speaker 1: Shirley on Bloomberg and one oh five point seven f 197 00:10:29,679 --> 00:10:35,720 Speaker 1: m h D two. COVID has the market spooked. Stocks 198 00:10:35,760 --> 00:10:39,680 Speaker 1: tumbled in the US and Europe as rising coronavirus infections 199 00:10:39,679 --> 00:10:43,600 Speaker 1: and tougher lockdowns added to worries about the economic hit 200 00:10:43,679 --> 00:10:46,600 Speaker 1: from the pandemic. Diving into the Bloomberg terminal, the SMP 201 00:10:46,720 --> 00:10:50,040 Speaker 1: five next fell three point five per cent, the biggest 202 00:10:50,120 --> 00:10:55,080 Speaker 1: drop since June, amid a surge in COVID nineteen hospitalizations, 203 00:10:55,559 --> 00:10:59,680 Speaker 1: especially especially in the Midwest. Political ramifications for the Midwest 204 00:11:00,040 --> 00:11:03,200 Speaker 1: a theme that we've been covering the past several days, 205 00:11:03,240 --> 00:11:06,720 Speaker 1: and of course we'll all be looking at those Johns 206 00:11:06,720 --> 00:11:10,800 Speaker 1: Hopkins University cases and the case counts. Energy shares sank 207 00:11:10,880 --> 00:11:14,760 Speaker 1: with oil prices, and technology stocks were also among the 208 00:11:14,760 --> 00:11:19,000 Speaker 1: worst performers. With Microsoft now and after a disappointing forecast, 209 00:11:19,080 --> 00:11:22,439 Speaker 1: the vix Index, a measure of expected US equity volatility, 210 00:11:22,480 --> 00:11:25,840 Speaker 1: climbed to the highest level. Get this, The vixen next 211 00:11:25,920 --> 00:11:31,960 Speaker 1: hot climbed to the highest level since June June. See you, red, 212 00:11:32,280 --> 00:11:34,800 Speaker 1: I got my Bloomberg chart of the day. More than 213 00:11:35,960 --> 00:11:40,560 Speaker 1: of S and P five members are declining today declining. 214 00:11:41,160 --> 00:11:43,920 Speaker 1: Take a listen to Megan Green, senior fellow at the 215 00:11:43,960 --> 00:11:48,600 Speaker 1: Harvard Kennedy School. She says COVID nineteen lockdowns and restrictions 216 00:11:48,600 --> 00:11:51,880 Speaker 1: have market spooked. Here. She has the resurgence the virus 217 00:11:51,880 --> 00:11:54,480 Speaker 1: shouldn't have surprised any of us, but I think it 218 00:11:54,600 --> 00:11:57,640 Speaker 1: is surprising a lot of investors, particularly as we're seeing 219 00:11:57,760 --> 00:12:01,840 Speaker 1: some country lockdown again. I think it's generally consensus that 220 00:12:02,160 --> 00:12:05,320 Speaker 1: no one has any appetite for further lockdowns after what 221 00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:09,320 Speaker 1: we experienced in March April. And actually we're seeing Ireland Wales, 222 00:12:09,400 --> 00:12:14,040 Speaker 1: for example, who lockdown pretty pretty severely, and now France 223 00:12:14,080 --> 00:12:17,840 Speaker 1: and Germany are talking about measures. That was Megan Green 224 00:12:17,880 --> 00:12:20,559 Speaker 1: speaking earlier today to my colleagues on Bloomberg Television and 225 00:12:20,559 --> 00:12:22,880 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio. She is a senior fellow at the Harvard 226 00:12:22,920 --> 00:12:26,160 Speaker 1: Kennedy School. Chris Meekins joins us on the line. He 227 00:12:26,200 --> 00:12:29,880 Speaker 1: has a healthcare policy analyst at Raymond James. Chris, Welcome 228 00:12:29,920 --> 00:12:33,040 Speaker 1: to the program. What went on in the markets today? 229 00:12:33,120 --> 00:12:37,840 Speaker 1: They are spooked about the coronavirus. Yeah, I think the 230 00:12:37,840 --> 00:12:39,760 Speaker 1: markets are spooked about a lot of things. I think 231 00:12:39,760 --> 00:12:42,280 Speaker 1: coronavirus is one of those. As someone who was a 232 00:12:42,360 --> 00:12:45,839 Speaker 1: deputy assisted secretary at the Department of Health and Human 233 00:12:45,840 --> 00:12:48,480 Speaker 1: Services in the area of public health emergencies, I can 234 00:12:48,520 --> 00:12:52,840 Speaker 1: tell you this was predictable. We knew that his temperatures dropped. 235 00:12:52,880 --> 00:12:56,480 Speaker 1: People who felt comfortable being outdoors, had had outdoor activities 236 00:12:56,840 --> 00:12:59,439 Speaker 1: without seeing a spread of the virus would just move 237 00:12:59,520 --> 00:13:02,400 Speaker 1: those at civities indoors. And that's exactly what we're seeing. 238 00:13:02,440 --> 00:13:04,480 Speaker 1: If you look at the areas where we're seeing the 239 00:13:04,520 --> 00:13:08,360 Speaker 1: biggest pops, it's areas where high temperatures were below fifty 240 00:13:08,400 --> 00:13:11,199 Speaker 1: degrees for a period of time, and so it isn't 241 00:13:11,280 --> 00:13:14,720 Speaker 1: shocking that we would see this uptick. Additionally, I think 242 00:13:14,760 --> 00:13:17,960 Speaker 1: you also have some uncertainty around the election bout some 243 00:13:18,120 --> 00:13:21,760 Speaker 1: investors believing that a blue wave and a Democrats sweep 244 00:13:22,080 --> 00:13:24,720 Speaker 1: could result and even more Senate seats and they thought 245 00:13:24,760 --> 00:13:27,720 Speaker 1: initially possible, while some others looking at some of the 246 00:13:27,720 --> 00:13:32,280 Speaker 1: poll numbers closing wondering whether President Trump can pull a 247 00:13:32,400 --> 00:13:35,320 Speaker 1: rabbit out of his hat again, which could reignite trade wars. 248 00:13:35,320 --> 00:13:39,080 Speaker 1: So when you're looking at the week ahead, everything points 249 00:13:39,120 --> 00:13:43,000 Speaker 1: to more volatility not less, it's remarkable. Chris Meekins is 250 00:13:43,040 --> 00:13:47,200 Speaker 1: with us. He is now a director of Washington Health 251 00:13:47,200 --> 00:13:50,560 Speaker 1: Policy Research analyst for Raymond James. He's the former Deputy 252 00:13:50,600 --> 00:13:53,600 Speaker 1: Assistant Secretary chief. He's the former chiefest aff to the 253 00:13:53,600 --> 00:13:58,200 Speaker 1: Deputy Assistant Secretary UH for Preparedness and Response at the U. 254 00:13:58,320 --> 00:14:01,040 Speaker 1: S Department of Health and him in services. He was 255 00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:04,840 Speaker 1: also UH a chief of staff to Congressman Andy Harris, 256 00:14:04,880 --> 00:14:09,680 Speaker 1: the Republican from Maryland. So he's incredibly well uh, well 257 00:14:09,720 --> 00:14:13,080 Speaker 1: studied and experience when it comes to all of these issues. 258 00:14:13,120 --> 00:14:15,400 Speaker 1: We're thrilled to have Chris with us, especially on a 259 00:14:15,480 --> 00:14:17,640 Speaker 1: daylight today. All Right, let's pick it apart. So you 260 00:14:17,760 --> 00:14:21,280 Speaker 1: mentioned the dynamics that are happening not just in the 261 00:14:21,360 --> 00:14:23,680 Speaker 1: United States, which I think has been lost in the 262 00:14:23,760 --> 00:14:28,000 Speaker 1: national discourse regarding the upticking cases, but also throughout Europe. 263 00:14:28,400 --> 00:14:31,680 Speaker 1: Uh And and the uptick has happened in states with 264 00:14:31,720 --> 00:14:35,720 Speaker 1: more progressive politics as well as conservative politics. UM. But 265 00:14:35,920 --> 00:14:39,120 Speaker 1: in terms of as it relates to the stimulus front 266 00:14:39,520 --> 00:14:42,280 Speaker 1: now that we're going to get or now they're saying 267 00:14:42,400 --> 00:14:45,280 Speaker 1: rather on Capitol Hill that stimulus will come in the 268 00:14:45,360 --> 00:14:49,040 Speaker 1: Lame Duck price tag T b D. My question to you, sir, 269 00:14:49,120 --> 00:14:52,960 Speaker 1: is this okay with all of the volatility coming from 270 00:14:53,000 --> 00:14:55,720 Speaker 1: the elections, is that is how much of a significant 271 00:14:55,800 --> 00:14:59,680 Speaker 1: risk does election volatility i e. Core cases counting you know, 272 00:15:00,400 --> 00:15:04,400 Speaker 1: votes and whatnot after November three way into the pressure 273 00:15:04,400 --> 00:15:06,800 Speaker 1: that lawmakers are going to feel on the stimulus front 274 00:15:06,800 --> 00:15:10,280 Speaker 1: and the lame duck. Yeah, I think that I'd be 275 00:15:10,360 --> 00:15:13,080 Speaker 1: really careful just assuming that, oh, they'll get it done 276 00:15:13,080 --> 00:15:15,920 Speaker 1: in the lame duck session because oh, the assumption was 277 00:15:15,960 --> 00:15:17,600 Speaker 1: they would get it done in July, and then it 278 00:15:17,640 --> 00:15:19,560 Speaker 1: was August, and then it was September, and now you 279 00:15:19,640 --> 00:15:23,560 Speaker 1: get it done before the election, duking Lane duck. Yeah, 280 00:15:23,600 --> 00:15:25,800 Speaker 1: and now they're talking Lane Duck and then they'll talk, Well, 281 00:15:25,840 --> 00:15:28,880 Speaker 1: if Democrats sweep, that means we likely would see a 282 00:15:28,960 --> 00:15:32,400 Speaker 1: greater stimulus package, which I think is true. But unless 283 00:15:32,400 --> 00:15:35,560 Speaker 1: you use the budget reconciliation process you get creative there. 284 00:15:35,640 --> 00:15:38,360 Speaker 1: You may need sixty votes in the Senate still, which 285 00:15:38,400 --> 00:15:41,360 Speaker 1: no one's talking about Democrats getting. So there just needs 286 00:15:41,360 --> 00:15:43,760 Speaker 1: to be this acceptance that this is not going to 287 00:15:43,800 --> 00:15:46,720 Speaker 1: be easy. And I think that the markets finally realizing 288 00:15:46,760 --> 00:15:49,520 Speaker 1: that a bunch of the assumptions they had, including that 289 00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:52,400 Speaker 1: a fiscal stimulus bill was going to get done, which 290 00:15:52,400 --> 00:15:55,040 Speaker 1: I would argue was largely priced in the fact that 291 00:15:55,040 --> 00:15:57,480 Speaker 1: it didn't get done. Now has the market more concerned 292 00:15:57,760 --> 00:16:00,200 Speaker 1: When you layer on COVID, you layer on the elect shame, 293 00:16:00,280 --> 00:16:03,240 Speaker 1: you layer on all these different pieces of what's going on, 294 00:16:03,360 --> 00:16:06,120 Speaker 1: the FED saying they may not have that many additional 295 00:16:06,160 --> 00:16:09,080 Speaker 1: tools of their toolbox and really needs Congress to do something. 296 00:16:09,520 --> 00:16:12,160 Speaker 1: None of that is encouraging from a market perspective. With 297 00:16:12,320 --> 00:16:15,200 Speaker 1: that being said, if you go back and look historically 298 00:16:15,560 --> 00:16:19,160 Speaker 1: over the last forty years, the market generally trades down 299 00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:23,120 Speaker 1: in October and then right before the election, and then 300 00:16:23,160 --> 00:16:25,760 Speaker 1: it tends to make all of it back by your 301 00:16:25,920 --> 00:16:28,800 Speaker 1: end or by the swearing in of the new president. 302 00:16:28,920 --> 00:16:32,920 Speaker 1: So this isn't that uncommon for us to see, all right? 303 00:16:33,200 --> 00:16:35,200 Speaker 1: I think that's such a great point. Okay, And and 304 00:16:35,280 --> 00:16:36,920 Speaker 1: this is the other thing. I think Jonathan Farareh has 305 00:16:36,920 --> 00:16:39,400 Speaker 1: been all over this on Bloomberg Shire Valance and of 306 00:16:39,440 --> 00:16:41,480 Speaker 1: course the host of The Open as well on Bloomberg 307 00:16:41,480 --> 00:16:45,240 Speaker 1: TV and radio. You know, he's saying, regardless of who 308 00:16:45,240 --> 00:16:47,800 Speaker 1: wins the presidency, the markets are going to interpret it 309 00:16:48,120 --> 00:16:50,880 Speaker 1: as a win. If it's Trump, they're gonna say de regulation. 310 00:16:51,280 --> 00:16:53,480 Speaker 1: If it's Biden, they're going to say more fiscal spending. 311 00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:56,200 Speaker 1: Am I wrong? Is he wrong? Well? Actually not me. 312 00:16:56,280 --> 00:17:00,760 Speaker 1: If he's wrong, we'll blame Pharaoh. Go ahead. I don't 313 00:17:00,760 --> 00:17:04,560 Speaker 1: tell Pharaoh now I'm nervous. Don't tell Pharaoh. Go ahead. 314 00:17:05,640 --> 00:17:07,600 Speaker 1: In the last forty years, what we know, so it's 315 00:17:08,440 --> 00:17:11,240 Speaker 1: election to presidents. What we know is that the market 316 00:17:11,320 --> 00:17:14,840 Speaker 1: for the entire term of a democratic president has gone up. 317 00:17:15,600 --> 00:17:17,919 Speaker 1: From a healthcare perspective, least, it's rest a lot of 318 00:17:17,920 --> 00:17:21,560 Speaker 1: my time ten and under Republican presidents it's gone up seven. 319 00:17:21,600 --> 00:17:24,840 Speaker 1: So what we can see is the market generally speaking, 320 00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:27,399 Speaker 1: goes up, but that doesn't mean that's always going to 321 00:17:27,440 --> 00:17:30,600 Speaker 1: be the case for every specific month and every specific 322 00:17:30,680 --> 00:17:34,040 Speaker 1: period of time. I think regardless of who wins the presidency, 323 00:17:34,119 --> 00:17:36,800 Speaker 1: the market will be up over the next four years. 324 00:17:36,840 --> 00:17:39,120 Speaker 1: But that doesn't mean we're not going to have volatility 325 00:17:39,200 --> 00:17:41,720 Speaker 1: in the near term as the market tries to get 326 00:17:41,720 --> 00:17:44,119 Speaker 1: a better idea of what all this means. And it 327 00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:46,960 Speaker 1: also is important why folks like my colleagues and Raymond 328 00:17:47,040 --> 00:17:49,720 Speaker 1: James to cover individual stocks and so many of the 329 00:17:49,760 --> 00:17:52,679 Speaker 1: guests you have on are able to offer opinions about 330 00:17:52,680 --> 00:17:56,360 Speaker 1: how to position yourself going forward. If Trump wins re election, 331 00:17:56,400 --> 00:17:59,640 Speaker 1: the China trade fight is going to continue and probably 332 00:18:00,000 --> 00:18:02,359 Speaker 1: to be amplified because he doesn't have to run for 333 00:18:02,440 --> 00:18:04,600 Speaker 1: re election again, So he's going to be able to 334 00:18:04,600 --> 00:18:06,760 Speaker 1: do whatever he wants and say whatever he wants, with 335 00:18:07,000 --> 00:18:11,240 Speaker 1: largely speaking, little accountability to it. It Biden ends up winning, 336 00:18:11,320 --> 00:18:13,520 Speaker 1: the assumption is while it will be a more traditional 337 00:18:13,560 --> 00:18:16,879 Speaker 1: administration where we know what policy things could be coming, 338 00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:19,960 Speaker 1: but it also means if Democrats sweep, you'd probably get 339 00:18:19,960 --> 00:18:22,400 Speaker 1: a higher corporate tax rate, So you have to take 340 00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:24,600 Speaker 1: that into account and what that could mean and when 341 00:18:24,600 --> 00:18:27,080 Speaker 1: the corporate when the capital gains, taxes could go up 342 00:18:27,080 --> 00:18:30,000 Speaker 1: in timing. So there's just a lot of uncertainty and 343 00:18:30,040 --> 00:18:32,240 Speaker 1: for the next six days we'll do that now. I 344 00:18:32,240 --> 00:18:34,800 Speaker 1: think all of us are hoping that on election night 345 00:18:34,800 --> 00:18:36,960 Speaker 1: we're going to have a result, and I think we're 346 00:18:37,000 --> 00:18:39,360 Speaker 1: likely than not we'll know what the result is before 347 00:18:39,400 --> 00:18:42,400 Speaker 1: the market opens on that Wednesday. But it's not outside 348 00:18:42,400 --> 00:18:44,199 Speaker 1: the realm, and all of us that have lived through 349 00:18:45,080 --> 00:18:48,200 Speaker 1: with the craziness that it's been knows it's not outside 350 00:18:48,200 --> 00:18:50,280 Speaker 1: the realm of possibility. That we could have a contested 351 00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:53,600 Speaker 1: election with any Coney Barrett making it to the Supreme Court. 352 00:18:53,920 --> 00:18:58,000 Speaker 1: It only increases the likelihood that we would have um 353 00:18:58,119 --> 00:19:01,520 Speaker 1: some greater uncertainty about a challenge of what that could mean. 354 00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:05,040 Speaker 1: All right, Chris Meekins, health care policy analysts at Raymond James, 355 00:19:05,040 --> 00:19:07,639 Speaker 1: Thank you so much, sir for your times. And by 356 00:19:07,680 --> 00:19:10,280 Speaker 1: the way, a worried about Farah. No one prepares harder 357 00:19:10,320 --> 00:19:12,800 Speaker 1: than him. I mean, it's he's just a total workhorse, 358 00:19:12,840 --> 00:19:15,439 Speaker 1: and it's uh, it's awesome to look up to him. 359 00:19:15,800 --> 00:19:18,000 Speaker 1: Download the Bloomberg sown On podcast on Apple, it teams 360 00:19:18,000 --> 00:19:20,800 Speaker 1: and Bloomberg dot com, or by downloading the Bloomberg Business app. 361 00:19:20,840 --> 00:19:23,240 Speaker 1: You can also find me on Radio dot Com, I 362 00:19:23,400 --> 00:19:28,080 Speaker 1: Heart Radio, and Spotify. Coming up, we check in with 363 00:19:28,160 --> 00:19:31,840 Speaker 1: our all star political panel. You got a lot to 364 00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:36,480 Speaker 1: talk about. Buckle up six days of Kevin CURRELLI. You're 365 00:19:36,520 --> 00:19:54,760 Speaker 1: listening Bloomberg nine and I one. How do we reopen 366 00:19:55,200 --> 00:19:59,400 Speaker 1: this economy? The latest on how this pandemic is impacting farmers? 367 00:19:59,480 --> 00:20:02,639 Speaker 1: What does this to form the United States relationship with China? 368 00:20:02,800 --> 00:20:07,760 Speaker 1: Floomberg sound on the Insiders, the Influencers, the insides. We're 369 00:20:07,760 --> 00:20:10,960 Speaker 1: responding to this crisis, and manufacturers are stepping up like 370 00:20:11,080 --> 00:20:14,639 Speaker 1: never before. We're looking at seveny kennidates for different vaccines. 371 00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:17,399 Speaker 1: How do we make sure a pandemic of this scale 372 00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:21,480 Speaker 1: never happens again? This is Bloomberg. Sound on with Kevin 373 00:20:21,560 --> 00:20:26,760 Speaker 1: Surrelate on Bloomberg and one oh fiem h D two 374 00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:30,400 Speaker 1: buckle up. Six days to go until November three. All 375 00:20:30,440 --> 00:20:34,000 Speaker 1: of that, plus the markets are spooked over COVID stocks 376 00:20:34,080 --> 00:20:38,040 Speaker 1: tumbled in the US and Europe. All of that and 377 00:20:38,040 --> 00:20:41,400 Speaker 1: that Anonymous New York Times Remember that column, the Anonymous 378 00:20:41,440 --> 00:20:43,879 Speaker 1: New York Times will they released the name with just 379 00:20:44,080 --> 00:20:47,320 Speaker 1: six days to go? Do you do you believe that 380 00:20:48,000 --> 00:20:51,640 Speaker 1: both of the candidates were flooding the campaign trail, barn 381 00:20:51,720 --> 00:20:55,000 Speaker 1: storming across the country. Former Vice President Joe Biden was 382 00:20:55,040 --> 00:20:57,480 Speaker 1: in his home state at Delaware, where he voted early 383 00:20:57,520 --> 00:21:01,600 Speaker 1: and delivered remarks at the Queen Hotel in Wilmington, Delaware. 384 00:21:01,720 --> 00:21:06,199 Speaker 1: Very nice, uh, criticizing President Trump. Now Joe Biden joining 385 00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:10,400 Speaker 1: the nearly eighty million Americans who have already voted in 386 00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:14,880 Speaker 1: this election. Wow, record setting early voting in this election. 387 00:21:14,920 --> 00:21:19,960 Speaker 1: More than fifty percent of the voter total have already 388 00:21:20,040 --> 00:21:23,440 Speaker 1: voted in this election. Here's Joe Biden. This country can't 389 00:21:23,440 --> 00:21:26,240 Speaker 1: afford former years of a president who thinks he's only 390 00:21:26,320 --> 00:21:29,000 Speaker 1: responsible for the well being of the people who voted 391 00:21:29,040 --> 00:21:32,800 Speaker 1: for him. Meanwhile, President Trump, speaking to reporters in Las 392 00:21:32,920 --> 00:21:36,720 Speaker 1: Vegas after a campaign event, condemned the looting and sometimes 393 00:21:36,840 --> 00:21:40,320 Speaker 1: violent protests in Philadelphia, located, of course, in the key 394 00:21:40,359 --> 00:21:44,520 Speaker 1: battleground state of Pennsylvania, following the deadly police shooting of 395 00:21:44,520 --> 00:21:47,919 Speaker 1: Walter Wallace Jr. Here he is. You can't let that 396 00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:53,280 Speaker 1: go on again. A Democrat run state, a Democrat run city, Philadelphia. 397 00:21:53,640 --> 00:21:56,359 Speaker 1: We don't have that. All of it comes as the 398 00:21:56,359 --> 00:22:01,639 Speaker 1: Northeast drives record US testing to monitor the COVID nineteen surge. 399 00:22:01,720 --> 00:22:04,480 Speaker 1: The seven day average of US tests rose to one 400 00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:08,439 Speaker 1: point two million yesterday, part of an upswing that started 401 00:22:08,480 --> 00:22:11,520 Speaker 1: about a month ago and it's continued unabated this according 402 00:22:11,560 --> 00:22:15,040 Speaker 1: to the COVID Tracking Project, The markets are spooked days. 403 00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:18,040 Speaker 1: The stocks tumbled in the US and in Europe amidst 404 00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:23,280 Speaker 1: rising coronavirus infections and tougher lockdowns added to worries about 405 00:22:23,320 --> 00:22:29,120 Speaker 1: the economic hit hit from the coronavirus and Dr Anthony Fauci, 406 00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:32,160 Speaker 1: lead story on Bloomberg dot Com says that the vaccine 407 00:22:32,200 --> 00:22:36,720 Speaker 1: won't be ready before January. Here with me for the hour, 408 00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:41,920 Speaker 1: an all star political panel, Aaron McPike, political and media strategists, 409 00:22:41,920 --> 00:22:46,639 Speaker 1: and John Siniliti's GEO political strategist at Trilogy Advisors and 410 00:22:46,680 --> 00:22:50,880 Speaker 1: diplomacy consultant to the U. S. State Department. John. Here 411 00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:56,080 Speaker 1: we go five out, five days and some hours. Big day. Wow, 412 00:22:58,320 --> 00:23:01,560 Speaker 1: Welcome to the beautiful, messy world of politics in the 413 00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:04,439 Speaker 1: United States. I mean, it's almost like we forget this 414 00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:07,240 Speaker 1: is what happens every four years, and the race is 415 00:23:07,320 --> 00:23:09,679 Speaker 1: almost always tighten in the last couple of weeks of 416 00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:13,000 Speaker 1: the race, and it's no different. Maybe it's a bit 417 00:23:13,040 --> 00:23:16,960 Speaker 1: more dramatic because of the media obsession with Donald Trump 418 00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:20,560 Speaker 1: and the health condition of Joe Biden and the stakes 419 00:23:20,600 --> 00:23:23,440 Speaker 1: regarding the way the world is viewing American politics right now, 420 00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:26,639 Speaker 1: but the fact that they're rushing headlong into all of 421 00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:29,119 Speaker 1: these swing states to try to secure those last votes. 422 00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:31,840 Speaker 1: This is what it's all about, Kevin. It is, that's 423 00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:34,840 Speaker 1: what's all about. It's what political junkies live for. Aaron McPike, 424 00:23:34,920 --> 00:23:37,560 Speaker 1: I mean, what do you think is really driving the 425 00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:40,560 Speaker 1: final contours of this election. I put it to my 426 00:23:40,600 --> 00:23:44,720 Speaker 1: boss Bloomberg Washington Bureau chief Craig Gordon earlier, uh, and 427 00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:47,119 Speaker 1: I asked him. He said, it's coronavirus. It's all about 428 00:23:47,119 --> 00:23:49,000 Speaker 1: the coronavirus at this point. I mean, you look at 429 00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:53,320 Speaker 1: the uptick in Wisconsin, battleground state ten electoral votes, which 430 00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:57,680 Speaker 1: was just on a razor razor than margin for President 431 00:23:57,680 --> 00:24:01,600 Speaker 1: Trump against Hillary Clinton back in Wisconsin. Now you got 432 00:24:01,600 --> 00:24:07,040 Speaker 1: this uptick in cases. Yeah, there's no doubt that this 433 00:24:07,160 --> 00:24:10,240 Speaker 1: race is all about COVID, and it's been all about 434 00:24:10,320 --> 00:24:13,560 Speaker 1: COVID all year long. I mean, as you mentioned, the 435 00:24:13,600 --> 00:24:17,440 Speaker 1: investors are are spooked and the Dallas falling some as 436 00:24:17,440 --> 00:24:20,200 Speaker 1: it has the last couple of days because we are 437 00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:24,960 Speaker 1: not prepared for a second lockdown or this next big 438 00:24:25,000 --> 00:24:27,480 Speaker 1: spike that's happening this fallen winter. But we've been talking 439 00:24:27,520 --> 00:24:29,760 Speaker 1: about it for the last six to eight months that 440 00:24:29,800 --> 00:24:32,480 Speaker 1: we're going to see the spike. And all this is 441 00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:34,480 Speaker 1: doing is shining a light on the fact that the 442 00:24:34,480 --> 00:24:38,359 Speaker 1: Trump administration has not put forward a national plan. So 443 00:24:38,440 --> 00:24:40,960 Speaker 1: you can expect that Joe Biden will hit that over 444 00:24:41,080 --> 00:24:44,480 Speaker 1: and over again when he speaks publicly. Between now an 445 00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:47,600 Speaker 1: election day, although every day is election day, and so 446 00:24:47,640 --> 00:24:50,080 Speaker 1: you're gonna see him saying that because he wants to 447 00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:52,000 Speaker 1: be on the night we knew if he wants people 448 00:24:52,359 --> 00:24:55,120 Speaker 1: to see clips of him saying there is no national 449 00:24:55,160 --> 00:24:58,280 Speaker 1: plan because the Trump administration has not put one forward 450 00:24:58,680 --> 00:25:02,320 Speaker 1: and that's the very first thing he'll do as president elect. Well, 451 00:25:02,320 --> 00:25:03,879 Speaker 1: it's not true. I mean, look, you can be a 452 00:25:03,920 --> 00:25:05,840 Speaker 1: Republican or a Democrat. There is a plan. You can 453 00:25:05,840 --> 00:25:08,680 Speaker 1: disagree with the plan, but the fact of the matter is, 454 00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:10,159 Speaker 1: I mean, there is a plan. You can disagree with 455 00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:12,920 Speaker 1: the implementation of it. You can disagree with whether or 456 00:25:12,960 --> 00:25:15,560 Speaker 1: not he should have done more or taken a different approach. 457 00:25:15,840 --> 00:25:18,280 Speaker 1: But let's cut through the noise here, John sidilides, because 458 00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:21,280 Speaker 1: it's it's for one thing. The criticism, Well, there's not 459 00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:23,800 Speaker 1: there's not testing. Well, I'm looking at the Bloomberg terminal. 460 00:25:24,000 --> 00:25:28,840 Speaker 1: Northeast drives record US testing to monitor COVID nineteen surge, 461 00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:31,760 Speaker 1: as the seven day average of US tests rose to 462 00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:34,719 Speaker 1: one point two million. There were one point two million 463 00:25:34,800 --> 00:25:38,400 Speaker 1: tests in America yesterday. I think that the how does 464 00:25:38,440 --> 00:25:41,280 Speaker 1: the president in the final days to the race, whether 465 00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:42,960 Speaker 1: or not it makes a difference I don't know, but 466 00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:45,600 Speaker 1: John Saidialides, how does the president in the in the 467 00:25:45,640 --> 00:25:51,159 Speaker 1: final days of the race essentially essentially say look, and 468 00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:53,520 Speaker 1: he tried to do this, but there's been an uptick 469 00:25:53,640 --> 00:25:58,560 Speaker 1: in cases in Europe, in progressive countries Germany, in conservative 470 00:25:58,560 --> 00:26:02,280 Speaker 1: countries UK. Here in the United States, how does he 471 00:26:02,400 --> 00:26:08,240 Speaker 1: divorce the politics from the pandemic. It's it's an impossible task, John, 472 00:26:10,359 --> 00:26:12,440 Speaker 1: It's a great challenge because this is a one in 473 00:26:12,520 --> 00:26:16,200 Speaker 1: a one hundred year event, and I think almost everyone, 474 00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:19,760 Speaker 1: honestly has been completely unprepared for this. First of all, 475 00:26:19,760 --> 00:26:21,400 Speaker 1: I think the President that as he has been doing 476 00:26:21,440 --> 00:26:26,040 Speaker 1: all year, has made very clear that this was Chinese incompetence, 477 00:26:26,080 --> 00:26:29,560 Speaker 1: if not deliberate malign activity towards the United States in 478 00:26:29,600 --> 00:26:32,640 Speaker 1: the free world to allow a local outbreak in Wuhan 479 00:26:32,760 --> 00:26:35,320 Speaker 1: to become a global pandemic. Now that it's been a 480 00:26:35,320 --> 00:26:38,239 Speaker 1: pandemic for the last nine months, I think it's very 481 00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:40,600 Speaker 1: important to emphasize the fact that we don't have a 482 00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:44,000 Speaker 1: national parliamentary system the way many of our European allies do, 483 00:26:44,440 --> 00:26:47,040 Speaker 1: where you have a centralized government in a national plan. 484 00:26:47,560 --> 00:26:50,439 Speaker 1: The United States has comprised of fifty sovereign states, and 485 00:26:50,480 --> 00:26:53,560 Speaker 1: it's the governors who have the executive emergency powers, as 486 00:26:53,600 --> 00:26:56,439 Speaker 1: we've seen playing out in the great debate about to 487 00:26:56,560 --> 00:26:58,760 Speaker 1: what extent does the state have a lockdown and how 488 00:26:58,760 --> 00:27:01,360 Speaker 1: long does a lockdown go on? And the federal government 489 00:27:01,359 --> 00:27:05,680 Speaker 1: has almost no say over the attendant economic impacts of 490 00:27:05,720 --> 00:27:09,400 Speaker 1: the pandemic response. And I don't believe a national mask 491 00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:11,960 Speaker 1: mandate is going to resonate with a large number of 492 00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:15,840 Speaker 1: people who are concerned about possible COVID infections but don't 493 00:27:15,840 --> 00:27:18,320 Speaker 1: want to surrender their freedom in that regard, and they 494 00:27:18,359 --> 00:27:22,080 Speaker 1: want to have their common sense trusted. I actually don't 495 00:27:22,080 --> 00:27:25,159 Speaker 1: think that COVID is going to be the overall issue 496 00:27:25,200 --> 00:27:27,120 Speaker 1: going into the last couple of days, because I think 497 00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:30,159 Speaker 1: most Americans have essentially made up their mind as to 498 00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:32,679 Speaker 1: how they're going to address COVID in their lives, in 499 00:27:32,720 --> 00:27:35,520 Speaker 1: their workplace, and in their relationships. And I think it 500 00:27:35,600 --> 00:27:37,480 Speaker 1: really is what kind of a country are we going 501 00:27:37,520 --> 00:27:40,720 Speaker 1: to become in the next four years? And Joe Biden 502 00:27:40,800 --> 00:27:43,000 Speaker 1: keeps talking about how he wants to unite the nation 503 00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:46,040 Speaker 1: and yield the nation because his position is that Trump 504 00:27:46,080 --> 00:27:48,840 Speaker 1: has toured the country apart, and Trump says I'm going 505 00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:52,280 Speaker 1: to rebuild the economy and protect the country from socialists. 506 00:27:52,640 --> 00:27:55,280 Speaker 1: So two very different visions for the United States, and 507 00:27:55,280 --> 00:27:57,520 Speaker 1: I think that's going to be the driving force over 508 00:27:57,560 --> 00:27:59,600 Speaker 1: the next five days. And just to dive into the 509 00:27:59,359 --> 00:28:02,879 Speaker 1: one termine, global tracking of COVID nineteen cases top forty 510 00:28:02,920 --> 00:28:07,280 Speaker 1: four million death death's exceeding one point one six million 511 00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:12,920 Speaker 1: US hotspots Northeast, driving again that record. US testing vaccines 512 00:28:12,920 --> 00:28:15,800 Speaker 1: will not be available in the United States until January 513 00:28:15,920 --> 00:28:19,120 Speaker 1: at the earliest, according to Dr Fauci, the US government's 514 00:28:19,240 --> 00:28:22,640 Speaker 1: top infectious disease experts, And of course, the US also 515 00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:25,480 Speaker 1: agreeing to buy three hundred and seventy five million dollars 516 00:28:25,480 --> 00:28:30,360 Speaker 1: worth of Eli Lilly's experimental COVID nineteen. Anybody if that 517 00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:33,000 Speaker 1: proves to work. Germany and France again, I can't. I 518 00:28:33,080 --> 00:28:36,240 Speaker 1: cannot hammer this point home enough. Germany and France will 519 00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:39,400 Speaker 1: clamp down on movement for at least a month, coming 520 00:28:39,440 --> 00:28:42,520 Speaker 1: close to the stringent lockdowns in the spring is Europe 521 00:28:42,520 --> 00:28:46,440 Speaker 1: seeks to regain control of the rapid spread of the coronavirus. 522 00:28:46,520 --> 00:28:55,680 Speaker 1: I'm Kevin Sirelli. You're listening to Bloomberg. You're listening to 523 00:28:55,760 --> 00:29:00,240 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin Surreley on Bloomberge and then 524 00:29:00,280 --> 00:29:04,920 Speaker 1: one Old five two. I love this story. I love 525 00:29:05,280 --> 00:29:09,719 Speaker 1: this story in my Bloomberg Terminal, Steve Garberrino, I got 526 00:29:09,800 --> 00:29:11,840 Speaker 1: we gotta get him on. Matt Shirley, one of our 527 00:29:11,840 --> 00:29:15,520 Speaker 1: producers on the show. He's back in the office, thankfully. Um. 528 00:29:15,560 --> 00:29:19,160 Speaker 1: Steve Garberrino wrote this brilliant story on the Bloomberg Terminal. 529 00:29:19,240 --> 00:29:24,080 Speaker 1: Halloween Terror now on the drive through menu. The Oaks 530 00:29:24,120 --> 00:29:28,680 Speaker 1: Park Haunted drive through offers five frightening options to choose from, 531 00:29:28,720 --> 00:29:33,000 Speaker 1: including one called The Condemned. This year, lots of haunted 532 00:29:33,040 --> 00:29:37,360 Speaker 1: houses are closed, yet there's a detour. Some haunt promoters 533 00:29:37,400 --> 00:29:40,360 Speaker 1: are taking drive through attractions, many of them using conventional 534 00:29:40,360 --> 00:29:44,520 Speaker 1: effects of an indoor spook house moved outdoors. Are trying 535 00:29:44,520 --> 00:29:47,480 Speaker 1: to provide the same sort of jolts and shocks to 536 00:29:47,600 --> 00:29:52,040 Speaker 1: customers who don't leave their vehicles. So this Oaks Park attraction, 537 00:29:52,760 --> 00:29:55,040 Speaker 1: which I don't know what is it near us? No, 538 00:29:55,160 --> 00:29:57,760 Speaker 1: it's in Portland. Huh all right here, I am thinking 539 00:29:57,760 --> 00:30:00,240 Speaker 1: I'm gonna have something fun to do. Uh. The h 540 00:30:00,360 --> 00:30:04,440 Speaker 1: forty four acres this place in Portland's forty four acres 541 00:30:04,440 --> 00:30:08,080 Speaker 1: of the outdoor grounds of the Historic Oaks Amusement Park, 542 00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:12,280 Speaker 1: which has been around since Oh. I love music parks. 543 00:30:12,400 --> 00:30:15,960 Speaker 1: They have um they turn it into like a drive 544 00:30:16,120 --> 00:30:20,080 Speaker 1: through haunted house. So you drive your car through this 545 00:30:20,400 --> 00:30:24,120 Speaker 1: park and you get you get jump scares as they're called. 546 00:30:24,360 --> 00:30:26,960 Speaker 1: Thirty five performers and masks got over the mask. But 547 00:30:27,000 --> 00:30:29,080 Speaker 1: in this case it actually helps them in their industry 548 00:30:29,080 --> 00:30:32,240 Speaker 1: because they have the mask on already for the COVID, 549 00:30:32,280 --> 00:30:35,480 Speaker 1: but it's for Halloween. UM and prosthetics. I guess you 550 00:30:35,480 --> 00:30:39,800 Speaker 1: know the ghoulish. Anyway, eighty bucks per car between seven 551 00:30:39,800 --> 00:30:42,920 Speaker 1: and nine. After nine they slash you what I did there, 552 00:30:43,040 --> 00:30:47,640 Speaker 1: slasher hours, costing about seventy bucks. I think that's awesome, 553 00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:51,400 Speaker 1: you know, going to I love that that entrepreneurship. John 554 00:30:51,440 --> 00:30:54,200 Speaker 1: cine Lads is with me. Aaron McPike. Aaron, would you 555 00:30:54,240 --> 00:31:03,640 Speaker 1: go through a drive through haunted house? No? I would not. Well, 556 00:31:03,640 --> 00:31:09,120 Speaker 1: it's a little Halloween fun, Aaron. Yeah. But part of 557 00:31:09,120 --> 00:31:12,280 Speaker 1: the fun of being in a haunted house is, uh, 558 00:31:12,360 --> 00:31:15,320 Speaker 1: what kind of jumps out at you? So I've I've seen. 559 00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:17,760 Speaker 1: I'm I'm old enough to have been through haunted houses. 560 00:31:17,800 --> 00:31:19,840 Speaker 1: I don't need to I don't need to do it. 561 00:31:20,040 --> 00:31:27,680 Speaker 1: I love this story. I know nobody's going to push 562 00:31:27,720 --> 00:31:30,040 Speaker 1: me around or attack me, and so all the scare 563 00:31:30,200 --> 00:31:33,800 Speaker 1: is gone. You know, I'm not gonna lie my parents, 564 00:31:34,000 --> 00:31:36,520 Speaker 1: who we love back Indelka. It took me to see 565 00:31:36,560 --> 00:31:39,200 Speaker 1: the sixth sense when I was like, I don't know, 566 00:31:39,960 --> 00:31:42,160 Speaker 1: six or seven years old whenever. I mean, I don't 567 00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:43,920 Speaker 1: don't fact check that. I mean, it might have been eight. 568 00:31:44,320 --> 00:31:48,120 Speaker 1: But they filmed it in Philly, and I knew all 569 00:31:48,120 --> 00:31:53,640 Speaker 1: the locations. That movie scared the living heck out of me. 570 00:31:54,080 --> 00:31:56,360 Speaker 1: That's all I can say. All right, switching back to policy, 571 00:31:56,560 --> 00:31:58,880 Speaker 1: because I feel like Christine Barratta, who is off today, 572 00:31:59,240 --> 00:32:01,680 Speaker 1: would be yelling me for going off on a tangent 573 00:32:02,040 --> 00:32:05,360 Speaker 1: for too long. Anyway, Uh, anyone here here about the 574 00:32:05,360 --> 00:32:08,680 Speaker 1: tech hearing on Capitol Hill today? Virtually of course. Uh. 575 00:32:08,760 --> 00:32:11,640 Speaker 1: Jack Dorsey was on Capitol Hill and he took a 576 00:32:11,720 --> 00:32:16,400 Speaker 1: tough questions, tough questions from GOP Senator Ted Cruz. Take 577 00:32:16,400 --> 00:32:20,480 Speaker 1: a listen, Mr Dorsey. Does Twitter have the ability to 578 00:32:20,600 --> 00:32:24,880 Speaker 1: influence elections? No? You don't believe Twitter has any ability 579 00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:28,800 Speaker 1: to influence elections. No. We are one part of a 580 00:32:28,880 --> 00:32:32,200 Speaker 1: spectrum of communication channels that people have. So you're testified 581 00:32:32,200 --> 00:32:34,800 Speaker 1: to this committee right now that that that Twitter when 582 00:32:34,800 --> 00:32:37,400 Speaker 1: it's silences people, when it centers people, when it blocks 583 00:32:37,400 --> 00:32:41,440 Speaker 1: political speech that has no impact on elections people, people 584 00:32:41,480 --> 00:32:44,440 Speaker 1: have choice of other communication channels with which if not, 585 00:32:44,520 --> 00:32:47,360 Speaker 1: if they don't hear information, If you don't think you 586 00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:51,400 Speaker 1: have the power to influence elections, why do you block anything? Uh, Well, 587 00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:54,479 Speaker 1: we have policies that are focused on making sure that 588 00:32:54,520 --> 00:32:57,160 Speaker 1: more voices on the platform are possible. We see a 589 00:32:57,160 --> 00:32:59,840 Speaker 1: lot of abuse and harassment which ends up silencing people 590 00:33:00,040 --> 00:33:03,760 Speaker 1: something to leave from the platform. That was Senator tech 591 00:33:03,800 --> 00:33:07,840 Speaker 1: Cruse talking with Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey. Uh. The tech 592 00:33:07,920 --> 00:33:13,200 Speaker 1: CEOs facing criticism on Capitol Hill, bipartisan criticism for different reasons. 593 00:33:13,400 --> 00:33:16,160 Speaker 1: They ended up being accused by senators of abusing their 594 00:33:16,200 --> 00:33:20,040 Speaker 1: powers over political speech. Of course, only six days until 595 00:33:20,640 --> 00:33:24,360 Speaker 1: uh the election day, and that exchange, Uh, Senator Cruising 596 00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:26,240 Speaker 1: on to say, who the heck and you didn't say heck? 597 00:33:26,400 --> 00:33:29,200 Speaker 1: Who the heck elected you and put you in charge 598 00:33:29,200 --> 00:33:31,880 Speaker 1: of what the media are allowed to report. It was 599 00:33:31,880 --> 00:33:37,040 Speaker 1: a very very poignant question. Aaron McPike. The tech companies 600 00:33:37,280 --> 00:33:41,520 Speaker 1: and Google, Facebook, they're really under a lot of scrutiny 601 00:33:41,560 --> 00:33:45,040 Speaker 1: this go around. Well, they are, and a big part 602 00:33:45,080 --> 00:33:48,600 Speaker 1: of that is because they've gone unregulated for so long. 603 00:33:48,680 --> 00:33:52,240 Speaker 1: And here's the thing, we regulate so many other industries. 604 00:33:52,360 --> 00:33:55,840 Speaker 1: It is important to have some kinds of checks on 605 00:33:56,280 --> 00:33:59,160 Speaker 1: major companies that in many ways, you know, some tech 606 00:33:59,200 --> 00:34:02,680 Speaker 1: companies can function as utilities. So it is important that 607 00:34:02,720 --> 00:34:05,440 Speaker 1: we try to figure out how we can put some 608 00:34:05,560 --> 00:34:08,640 Speaker 1: checks on these guys. Um. And yes, as you said, 609 00:34:09,000 --> 00:34:14,360 Speaker 1: there are bipartisan complaints. Um, Twitter might should have probably 610 00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:19,200 Speaker 1: been checking some information that was not factual a long 611 00:34:19,280 --> 00:34:22,040 Speaker 1: time ago. But once you wait this long, of course, 612 00:34:22,080 --> 00:34:25,480 Speaker 1: you're going to irritate the other side when it hurts them. 613 00:34:25,760 --> 00:34:28,080 Speaker 1: So I think there's gonna be a lot of scrutiny 614 00:34:28,080 --> 00:34:31,120 Speaker 1: on these guys over the next few years, and Capitol 615 00:34:31,200 --> 00:34:33,800 Speaker 1: Hill is going to have to get some kind of action. 616 00:34:34,640 --> 00:34:38,080 Speaker 1: Uh in gear, you know, yeah, it's it's it's really remarkable. 617 00:34:38,080 --> 00:34:40,440 Speaker 1: And to get wonky for a minute, folks, what you're 618 00:34:40,440 --> 00:34:42,080 Speaker 1: gonna be hearing a lot more of is Aeron just 619 00:34:42,080 --> 00:34:47,360 Speaker 1: alluded to a section to thirty of the Communications Decency Act, 620 00:34:47,480 --> 00:34:51,480 Speaker 1: Section two thirty, which allows for companies essentially, so if 621 00:34:51,480 --> 00:34:54,560 Speaker 1: you're online, if you're on a social media platform and 622 00:34:54,719 --> 00:34:58,759 Speaker 1: you you post right now. It allows for the big 623 00:34:58,760 --> 00:35:02,000 Speaker 1: tech companies that the social media platforms to wait to 624 00:35:02,120 --> 00:35:05,000 Speaker 1: step in to moderate the user's speech. So if it's 625 00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:07,959 Speaker 1: hate speech, for example, or a threatening speech right now, 626 00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:12,360 Speaker 1: those companies under Section to thirty Section to thirty, you 627 00:35:12,480 --> 00:35:16,480 Speaker 1: can they can wait. They're not held an account for it. 628 00:35:17,080 --> 00:35:22,160 Speaker 1: So this helps their platforms to grow unencumbered by the 629 00:35:22,320 --> 00:35:26,719 Speaker 1: legal challenges. Google's YouTube, for example, they don't have to 630 00:35:26,800 --> 00:35:30,200 Speaker 1: pre screen the millions of videos that are uploaded daily. 631 00:35:30,719 --> 00:35:34,400 Speaker 1: Facebook for example, doesn't have to read every comment, so 632 00:35:34,560 --> 00:35:37,799 Speaker 1: users can post flow freely and clean them up later 633 00:35:37,840 --> 00:35:42,239 Speaker 1: if if something bad happens. So that is it's a 634 00:35:42,440 --> 00:35:47,200 Speaker 1: uniquely American problem, John citalites, we gotta protect freedom of speech. 635 00:35:48,120 --> 00:35:50,160 Speaker 1: We also got an account for what's going on. John, 636 00:35:50,160 --> 00:35:53,640 Speaker 1: Should it be repealed Section to be repealed? Well, I 637 00:35:53,680 --> 00:35:56,920 Speaker 1: don't there's a clear cut answer here. But the Section 638 00:35:56,960 --> 00:35:59,919 Speaker 1: to thirty issue is with paramount And obviously you've got 639 00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:03,919 Speaker 1: the giants have tech Facebook and Google and Twitter here 640 00:36:04,440 --> 00:36:08,239 Speaker 1: that want to maintain their Section to thirty protections against lawsuits. 641 00:36:08,239 --> 00:36:11,279 Speaker 1: They don't have any liability because they're classified right now 642 00:36:11,400 --> 00:36:15,879 Speaker 1: as platforms, which means that they don't regulate for any 643 00:36:15,880 --> 00:36:20,480 Speaker 1: other purposes except say, users content preferences and to protect 644 00:36:20,480 --> 00:36:23,520 Speaker 1: their consumers, but not by law what is published. But 645 00:36:24,120 --> 00:36:26,719 Speaker 1: if they were to be classified as publishers because they 646 00:36:26,760 --> 00:36:31,280 Speaker 1: are actively curating content, and Republicans and Democrats for different 647 00:36:31,280 --> 00:36:34,880 Speaker 1: purposes will accuse them of censorship or lack of sufficient censorship. 648 00:36:35,200 --> 00:36:38,120 Speaker 1: Democrats very upset about Facebook and what happened with the 649 00:36:38,160 --> 00:36:43,200 Speaker 1: Trump campaign in and Republicans challenging Twitter and Facebook now 650 00:36:43,239 --> 00:36:45,520 Speaker 1: for double standards. All right, we gotta leave it there. 651 00:36:45,560 --> 00:36:47,520 Speaker 1: Coming up next, much more with the panel. You're listening 652 00:36:47,520 --> 00:36:57,600 Speaker 1: to Bloomberg night and nine one. He did them as 653 00:37:02,160 --> 00:37:05,800 Speaker 1: I love this song. I remember back in two thousand sixteen, 654 00:37:05,840 --> 00:37:09,160 Speaker 1: Trump would always play this towards the end. He would 655 00:37:09,160 --> 00:37:11,720 Speaker 1: play these Halloween songs for the rallies of the crowd. 656 00:37:12,080 --> 00:37:15,600 Speaker 1: This is my favorite DC legend, this story. And I'm 657 00:37:15,680 --> 00:37:21,200 Speaker 1: on the government's website. The architect of uh, the architect 658 00:37:21,239 --> 00:37:23,799 Speaker 1: of the Capitol dot gov AOC dot gov, which is 659 00:37:23,840 --> 00:37:28,160 Speaker 1: not that AOC, it's the architect of the capital, which 660 00:37:28,200 --> 00:37:30,840 Speaker 1: is the dot gov. So it's the halls of Congress 661 00:37:31,560 --> 00:37:35,200 Speaker 1: all right, so they wrote the Uh. There was a 662 00:37:35,239 --> 00:37:39,120 Speaker 1: congressman back in the eighteen hundreds seven to be precise, 663 00:37:39,520 --> 00:37:43,200 Speaker 1: named William Preston Talby, and he was shot buyer reporter 664 00:37:43,680 --> 00:37:47,920 Speaker 1: for the Louisville Times. This is because the Louisville Times 665 00:37:47,920 --> 00:37:53,520 Speaker 1: wrote an article alleging that Congressman Talby had an affair. 666 00:37:54,280 --> 00:37:56,759 Speaker 1: Over the next two years, the former member who now 667 00:37:56,880 --> 00:38:02,360 Speaker 1: became a lobbyist. Congressman Talby disgraced. Then he becomes a lobbyist. 668 00:38:03,200 --> 00:38:06,480 Speaker 1: They kept bumping into each other in the halls of Congress. Okay, 669 00:38:06,600 --> 00:38:09,920 Speaker 1: so Tellby would see, is the reporter a much smaller man? 670 00:38:10,040 --> 00:38:12,080 Speaker 1: He was a small He didn't have that much. He 671 00:38:12,600 --> 00:38:16,640 Speaker 1: was a small guy, vertically challenged. I am you know, 672 00:38:16,880 --> 00:38:19,880 Speaker 1: I admitted. By eight nine, the reporter had enough of 673 00:38:19,920 --> 00:38:23,120 Speaker 1: the harassment and shot tal beyond the stairs. He died 674 00:38:23,160 --> 00:38:25,440 Speaker 1: eleven days later. A staying on the stairs in the 675 00:38:25,440 --> 00:38:28,600 Speaker 1: Capitol building is often attributed to the former congressman's blood. 676 00:38:28,880 --> 00:38:35,320 Speaker 1: This is the most haunting story in the Capitol. Happy Halloween, everybody. Um, 677 00:38:35,400 --> 00:38:37,520 Speaker 1: My name is Kevin Silei On, the chief Washington correspondent 678 00:38:37,560 --> 00:38:42,320 Speaker 1: for Bloomberg Television and for Bloomberg Radio. Natalie Wong on 679 00:38:42,360 --> 00:38:47,080 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg terminal. Manhattan bosses pullback expectations for return to office. 680 00:38:47,120 --> 00:38:51,120 Speaker 1: New York's technology and finance bosses are tempering their expectations 681 00:38:51,160 --> 00:38:54,520 Speaker 1: for bringing people back to work. This comes, of course, 682 00:38:55,160 --> 00:39:00,520 Speaker 1: as the virus threat is overshadowing the election in terms 683 00:39:00,520 --> 00:39:04,160 Speaker 1: of what investors are most worried about. A surge in 684 00:39:04,200 --> 00:39:07,839 Speaker 1: coronavirus cases and the attending concern that economic growth will 685 00:39:07,840 --> 00:39:12,120 Speaker 1: slump drove the SMP five too its worst day since June. 686 00:39:12,960 --> 00:39:16,920 Speaker 1: Investors dumped shares of companies that need a robust recovery. 687 00:39:17,040 --> 00:39:19,240 Speaker 1: And all of this comes as now talk a fiscal 688 00:39:19,280 --> 00:39:24,239 Speaker 1: stimulus is not happening obviously before Tuesday's election, but a 689 00:39:24,239 --> 00:39:27,000 Speaker 1: lot of uncertainty, as our our panel has pointed out 690 00:39:27,040 --> 00:39:30,480 Speaker 1: to us, over whether or not it will come even 691 00:39:30,560 --> 00:39:33,800 Speaker 1: during the lame duck. Meanwhile, across the pond in Europe, 692 00:39:34,080 --> 00:39:38,480 Speaker 1: Germany and France about to impose more stringent restrictions similar 693 00:39:38,520 --> 00:39:42,640 Speaker 1: to what happened in March and April, shutting down bars 694 00:39:42,640 --> 00:39:46,239 Speaker 1: and restaurants but allowing for schools and other businesses to 695 00:39:46,280 --> 00:39:50,080 Speaker 1: be opened. Because of the uptick in Europe, I asked 696 00:39:50,400 --> 00:39:53,000 Speaker 1: what all of this means earlier this week, to Senator 697 00:39:53,080 --> 00:39:56,279 Speaker 1: Kevin Kramer, a Republican from North Dakota, in terms of 698 00:39:56,440 --> 00:40:00,319 Speaker 1: when fiscal stimulus relief is coming here, he is, Yeah, 699 00:40:00,360 --> 00:40:02,480 Speaker 1: great question, because I I've always believe there would be 700 00:40:02,480 --> 00:40:05,000 Speaker 1: a Lame Duck deal, and I think is long ago 701 00:40:05,040 --> 00:40:07,560 Speaker 1: as a couple of months ago. Already the window had 702 00:40:07,600 --> 00:40:12,440 Speaker 1: gotten pretty tight for a pre election deal, partly because 703 00:40:12,600 --> 00:40:14,200 Speaker 1: some people were waiting to see how the rest of 704 00:40:14,239 --> 00:40:17,200 Speaker 1: it still played out, partly because we're getting closer to 705 00:40:17,239 --> 00:40:19,600 Speaker 1: the election and nobody wanted there to be winner winners, 706 00:40:19,600 --> 00:40:23,080 Speaker 1: only losers. And while the White House and the and 707 00:40:23,239 --> 00:40:26,400 Speaker 1: the U. S House were negotiating up um, you know, 708 00:40:26,440 --> 00:40:28,759 Speaker 1: the Republican Senate was hanging tight at about half a 709 00:40:28,800 --> 00:40:31,640 Speaker 1: trillion dollars. And so I never really did think we 710 00:40:31,640 --> 00:40:33,239 Speaker 1: were going to get a deal before the election. I 711 00:40:33,280 --> 00:40:35,960 Speaker 1: was hopeful, but you asked the magical question, that is, 712 00:40:36,160 --> 00:40:39,120 Speaker 1: and how much? And I think it in the Lame 713 00:40:39,239 --> 00:40:42,840 Speaker 1: Duck regardless of the election result. Now the election result 714 00:40:42,960 --> 00:40:46,120 Speaker 1: will no doubt informed to some degree what that number 715 00:40:46,160 --> 00:40:48,799 Speaker 1: might be. But either way, I think the pressure belve 716 00:40:48,840 --> 00:40:52,680 Speaker 1: gets gets opened, and people get back to at least 717 00:40:52,760 --> 00:40:54,719 Speaker 1: some semis the normal, and it will be a number 718 00:40:54,760 --> 00:40:56,799 Speaker 1: between the two trillion that they're talking about now in 719 00:40:56,840 --> 00:40:58,719 Speaker 1: the half a trillion that Republicans. And what do you 720 00:40:58,719 --> 00:41:00,480 Speaker 1: say to folks who say, you know, we just can't 721 00:41:00,520 --> 00:41:03,480 Speaker 1: afford to spend upwards of two trillion dollars, I say, 722 00:41:03,520 --> 00:41:05,880 Speaker 1: you're right, but we also can't afford to do nothing. 723 00:41:06,360 --> 00:41:08,800 Speaker 1: And uh, and while the debt and the depths that 724 00:41:08,960 --> 00:41:11,960 Speaker 1: certainly are important, and obviously there's skyrocketing, but we pretty 725 00:41:12,040 --> 00:41:14,239 Speaker 1: much threw the host rules out the window when we 726 00:41:14,320 --> 00:41:16,880 Speaker 1: passed the not not just the Cares Act, but that 727 00:41:17,000 --> 00:41:19,600 Speaker 1: you know, trillion dollars worth or so before that. Even 728 00:41:19,920 --> 00:41:23,200 Speaker 1: so you know, now it's a matter of how much 729 00:41:23,239 --> 00:41:25,360 Speaker 1: is necessary. I think at that at the point of 730 00:41:25,400 --> 00:41:27,279 Speaker 1: the Cares Act, we didn't know how long it would last. 731 00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:30,279 Speaker 1: I don't think anybody anticipated that the downturn would last 732 00:41:30,280 --> 00:41:33,040 Speaker 1: this long. There's been some nice recovery, Kevin, certainly in 733 00:41:33,080 --> 00:41:36,359 Speaker 1: lots of areas. However, I maintained it's very fragile. You 734 00:41:36,400 --> 00:41:40,200 Speaker 1: mentioned investors up front. I think investors are watching very carefully, 735 00:41:40,560 --> 00:41:43,399 Speaker 1: and the Federal Reserve is pretty much, you know, done 736 00:41:43,400 --> 00:41:46,920 Speaker 1: all they can with liquidity tools that they have. It 737 00:41:47,040 --> 00:41:49,680 Speaker 1: really is upon what specifically are you fighting for in 738 00:41:49,719 --> 00:41:52,200 Speaker 1: the next simulus. Yeah. So one of the big things 739 00:41:52,239 --> 00:41:55,520 Speaker 1: I think is paycheck protection forgiveness. I think that's been 740 00:41:55,600 --> 00:41:59,239 Speaker 1: clumsily handled by the s b A. I think a 741 00:41:59,239 --> 00:42:04,239 Speaker 1: lot of our lenders at every level, large small credit unions, banks, um, 742 00:42:04,280 --> 00:42:07,920 Speaker 1: you know, they they encouraged, strongly encouraged, after our encouragement 743 00:42:08,400 --> 00:42:10,880 Speaker 1: to get a lot of borrowers into the p p P. 744 00:42:11,040 --> 00:42:13,680 Speaker 1: A lot of people have been pleased with it. However, um, 745 00:42:13,680 --> 00:42:16,120 Speaker 1: it was always designed to be forgiven if people used 746 00:42:16,120 --> 00:42:18,359 Speaker 1: it to maintain their payrolls. People have been doing that, 747 00:42:18,560 --> 00:42:21,120 Speaker 1: and now the bureaucracy kicks in. I think we have 748 00:42:21,160 --> 00:42:23,080 Speaker 1: to do that. But I think we have to help 749 00:42:23,120 --> 00:42:25,640 Speaker 1: the airline industry. And I know some people think, well, 750 00:42:25,680 --> 00:42:28,799 Speaker 1: that's just a bunch of billionaires, rich people, you know, 751 00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:32,720 Speaker 1: next to energy itself. I think the airline industry probably 752 00:42:32,760 --> 00:42:35,319 Speaker 1: touches the value chain of just about everything in the 753 00:42:35,400 --> 00:42:38,160 Speaker 1: in our economy, and they need some help until we 754 00:42:38,160 --> 00:42:40,520 Speaker 1: can get you know, demand back. Well, let's talk about energy, 755 00:42:40,560 --> 00:42:43,720 Speaker 1: because last week in Nashville, at the final presidential debate, 756 00:42:43,760 --> 00:42:47,280 Speaker 1: there was a key moment where Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden. 757 00:42:47,680 --> 00:42:50,880 Speaker 1: UH said that he was not against banning fracking, he 758 00:42:51,040 --> 00:42:54,520 Speaker 1: was against banning fracking on federal land, and then he 759 00:42:54,560 --> 00:42:56,560 Speaker 1: went on to say that he would like to have 760 00:42:56,680 --> 00:43:01,359 Speaker 1: zero emissions by how do you square the circle? Well, 761 00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:04,160 Speaker 1: you can't, and that's the problem. That's why I think 762 00:43:04,200 --> 00:43:07,080 Speaker 1: that his message was incoherent, and to the degree that 763 00:43:07,120 --> 00:43:10,000 Speaker 1: it was UM what he meant to say, it was frightening. 764 00:43:10,239 --> 00:43:13,879 Speaker 1: I mean, he did clean up the um. He said 765 00:43:14,120 --> 00:43:20,520 Speaker 1: complete zero emissions, which is absolutely impossible. Obviously, a net 766 00:43:20,680 --> 00:43:23,719 Speaker 1: zero by twenty fifty is what the you know, the 767 00:43:23,800 --> 00:43:27,800 Speaker 1: United Nations, the I p c C is advocating for UM. 768 00:43:27,840 --> 00:43:30,359 Speaker 1: So he's very confused. I think he doesn't know much 769 00:43:30,400 --> 00:43:33,040 Speaker 1: about energy policy. Quite honestly, Well, what do you what 770 00:43:33,080 --> 00:43:35,600 Speaker 1: do you say to the family of of refinery workers 771 00:43:35,680 --> 00:43:38,080 Speaker 1: or the refinery employees. I mean, I know energy is 772 00:43:38,080 --> 00:43:41,040 Speaker 1: such a crucial economic engine in your state. You defeated 773 00:43:41,080 --> 00:43:45,319 Speaker 1: a Democratic incumbent in your last election. Uh, energy played 774 00:43:45,320 --> 00:43:48,400 Speaker 1: a crucial role in that specific election. I mean, what 775 00:43:48,400 --> 00:43:51,400 Speaker 1: do you say to refinery workers who have been pummeled 776 00:43:51,400 --> 00:43:54,000 Speaker 1: by the economic downturn this year and who are trying 777 00:43:54,000 --> 00:43:57,240 Speaker 1: to understand and they don't really Maybe they're for Trump, 778 00:43:57,239 --> 00:43:59,640 Speaker 1: maybe they're against Trump, maybe there four Biden or against Biden, 779 00:43:59,680 --> 00:44:02,560 Speaker 1: but they're trying to figure out what their economic forecast 780 00:44:02,640 --> 00:44:05,640 Speaker 1: is going to be for not their portfolio but for 781 00:44:05,680 --> 00:44:09,040 Speaker 1: their kitchen counter. Well, no question. So when you talk 782 00:44:09,120 --> 00:44:12,520 Speaker 1: about a desire to transition away from oil and gas, 783 00:44:12,640 --> 00:44:14,600 Speaker 1: first of all, it's I don't even know why you 784 00:44:14,640 --> 00:44:16,440 Speaker 1: would want to do that. We are we have an 785 00:44:16,480 --> 00:44:18,719 Speaker 1: abundance of this resource in the United States. We've gone 786 00:44:18,760 --> 00:44:21,279 Speaker 1: from being a net exporter to a net from a 787 00:44:21,320 --> 00:44:24,040 Speaker 1: net importer to a net exporter. That has a national 788 00:44:24,400 --> 00:44:28,200 Speaker 1: security implications as well as economic implications. Um, so I 789 00:44:28,239 --> 00:44:29,800 Speaker 1: think we have to tell them as no, no, we're 790 00:44:29,840 --> 00:44:32,880 Speaker 1: not going to transition away until there's all until there's 791 00:44:32,920 --> 00:44:35,880 Speaker 1: some other market force that requires it. We're just going 792 00:44:35,920 --> 00:44:39,040 Speaker 1: to find cleaner ways to utilize. Um, you know, oil 793 00:44:39,080 --> 00:44:41,640 Speaker 1: and gas and coal and the other the other baseload 794 00:44:41,880 --> 00:44:45,040 Speaker 1: fuel sources that are so important in the value chain 795 00:44:45,040 --> 00:44:48,560 Speaker 1: of the global economy. So uh, you know, everything we 796 00:44:48,840 --> 00:44:53,439 Speaker 1: consume touches energy, or energy touches that every value chain, 797 00:44:53,520 --> 00:44:58,440 Speaker 1: every supply chain of everything we grow, produced, manufacture is 798 00:44:58,480 --> 00:45:02,239 Speaker 1: touched by the energy supply change, so we have to 799 00:45:02,320 --> 00:45:06,080 Speaker 1: fight not just for those workers, but for everything that 800 00:45:06,160 --> 00:45:09,040 Speaker 1: they represent, not as national security, economic security as well. 801 00:45:09,080 --> 00:45:10,880 Speaker 1: Final question for you, I mean from your sense as 802 00:45:10,920 --> 00:45:13,319 Speaker 1: a center not up for real election, I mean, what 803 00:45:13,480 --> 00:45:17,320 Speaker 1: what's the mood is? Do you sense a shift coming 804 00:45:17,520 --> 00:45:21,160 Speaker 1: or do you sense a long term political fight for 805 00:45:21,200 --> 00:45:24,200 Speaker 1: the results? I mean where where My hope is that 806 00:45:24,239 --> 00:45:26,080 Speaker 1: the results won't be a long term fight. I mean, 807 00:45:26,120 --> 00:45:28,480 Speaker 1: I know, we know that that's possible. I think there's 808 00:45:28,480 --> 00:45:31,600 Speaker 1: a lot of romance sort of built around that idea. UM. 809 00:45:31,880 --> 00:45:34,640 Speaker 1: I certainly hope we can avoid that. UM. My sense 810 00:45:34,719 --> 00:45:37,360 Speaker 1: right now is is that the president's gaining some momentum. 811 00:45:37,680 --> 00:45:40,439 Speaker 1: What's unknown is that we're in this very peculiar time 812 00:45:40,440 --> 00:45:43,800 Speaker 1: where you know, half the country's voting early, um, and 813 00:45:43,800 --> 00:45:47,240 Speaker 1: and those votes are coming in pretty rapidly. Uh, there'll 814 00:45:47,239 --> 00:45:49,560 Speaker 1: be some shifting. I mean many votes for a castle 815 00:45:49,600 --> 00:45:52,040 Speaker 1: that it's not something like fifty million before. Joe Biden 816 00:45:52,120 --> 00:45:55,399 Speaker 1: had his snaffleo over energy policy the other day at 817 00:45:55,400 --> 00:45:57,320 Speaker 1: a debate, by the way, where I thought the President 818 00:45:57,360 --> 00:46:01,000 Speaker 1: performed beautifully and very well. But all of that said, 819 00:46:01,040 --> 00:46:04,000 Speaker 1: I do feel a momentum shift. What the result is 820 00:46:04,000 --> 00:46:05,560 Speaker 1: going to be nobody knows. That's why we do it 821 00:46:05,600 --> 00:46:09,799 Speaker 1: every four years. That was Senator Kevin Kramer, a Republican 822 00:46:10,239 --> 00:46:13,880 Speaker 1: from North Dakota, and really, I think he just captured 823 00:46:13,920 --> 00:46:19,799 Speaker 1: their folks just how much lawmakers in Congress are at 824 00:46:19,800 --> 00:46:26,320 Speaker 1: a standstill of Kevin cur Really. Chief Washington corresponded Bloomberg 825 00:46:26,320 --> 00:46:30,120 Speaker 1: TV and Radio. This is such a good song you're 826 00:46:30,120 --> 00:46:51,680 Speaker 1: listening to Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg's sound on with Kevin 827 00:46:51,680 --> 00:46:56,080 Speaker 1: Surreley on Bloomberg and one oh five point seven FM 828 00:46:56,239 --> 00:47:00,239 Speaker 1: HD two. I'm Kevin Surreally, Chief Washington correspond in form 829 00:47:00,239 --> 00:47:06,560 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Television in Bloomberg Radio All Star Panel. The panel 830 00:47:06,640 --> 00:47:11,120 Speaker 1: Aaron McPike, Political immedia strategist Aaron, what was your best 831 00:47:11,160 --> 00:47:16,319 Speaker 1: Halloween costume? I was a wizard when I was in 832 00:47:16,560 --> 00:47:19,919 Speaker 1: third or fourth grade and I made it myself. Lots 833 00:47:19,960 --> 00:47:23,320 Speaker 1: of glitter. It was fun always, God, I love glitter. 834 00:47:23,760 --> 00:47:27,600 Speaker 1: What okay, wait, so were you a specific wizard? Were 835 00:47:27,640 --> 00:47:33,320 Speaker 1: you Dumbledore? Were you Merlin? I was Merlin? I was Merlin. 836 00:47:33,719 --> 00:47:35,440 Speaker 1: That's fun. That's a good one. Why, I mean, why 837 00:47:35,440 --> 00:47:37,680 Speaker 1: do you sound a little like you know? Merlin's a 838 00:47:37,719 --> 00:47:42,200 Speaker 1: good one? I thought, so, Yeah, all right, John Sidlits, 839 00:47:42,280 --> 00:47:46,120 Speaker 1: what was your best Halloween costume? I was afraid you 840 00:47:46,160 --> 00:47:52,359 Speaker 1: were going to ask, but have come true when I 841 00:47:52,440 --> 00:47:59,839 Speaker 1: was younger and much more spelled mic comparis of what exactly? Yeah, 842 00:48:00,040 --> 00:48:04,200 Speaker 1: that's what I was afraid. Okay, you know what I was? 843 00:48:05,080 --> 00:48:07,680 Speaker 1: This this? Okay? So I went through a phase when 844 00:48:07,719 --> 00:48:09,920 Speaker 1: I was a kid where I was a bunch of 845 00:48:09,920 --> 00:48:13,520 Speaker 1: different foods for Halloween. One year, I was a pack 846 00:48:13,560 --> 00:48:16,799 Speaker 1: of Life Savers. Another year, I know you can't make 847 00:48:16,840 --> 00:48:21,640 Speaker 1: this up. Another year, I was a pizza pizza. That 848 00:48:21,760 --> 00:48:24,480 Speaker 1: was a fun one. And then my favorite, I was 849 00:48:24,560 --> 00:48:28,040 Speaker 1: French fries. I literally dressed up like a pack of 850 00:48:28,080 --> 00:48:30,839 Speaker 1: French fries. It was a great costume. I didn't win. 851 00:48:31,320 --> 00:48:34,240 Speaker 1: I didn't win, who knows, but I remember that I lost. 852 00:48:34,560 --> 00:48:37,680 Speaker 1: You know, I'm not competitive or anything. All right, Uh, 853 00:48:37,760 --> 00:48:40,040 Speaker 1: now it's time for my I should have had a 854 00:48:40,080 --> 00:48:43,879 Speaker 1: costume contest. We should have done a virtual or audio 855 00:48:44,160 --> 00:48:48,279 Speaker 1: on an audio a radio listening. Oh, we could have 856 00:48:48,320 --> 00:48:52,040 Speaker 1: done that, um contest. I love Halloween, I really do. Um. 857 00:48:52,040 --> 00:48:53,840 Speaker 1: But now it'side for my favorite part of the program, 858 00:48:53,880 --> 00:48:57,000 Speaker 1: which is what is on the panel's radar. Aaron McPike, 859 00:48:57,080 --> 00:49:04,399 Speaker 1: what is on your radar outing of Miles Taylor. Yes, 860 00:49:04,480 --> 00:49:11,200 Speaker 1: still line erin go Ahead, the former DHS chief of 861 00:49:11,320 --> 00:49:18,640 Speaker 1: staff who has finally announced that he is anonymous behind 862 00:49:18,880 --> 00:49:21,760 Speaker 1: the anonymous op ed in the New York Times calling 863 00:49:21,760 --> 00:49:25,520 Speaker 1: out Donald Trump and his administration back in and the 864 00:49:25,600 --> 00:49:30,719 Speaker 1: author of the book by Anonymous. And I guess he 865 00:49:30,800 --> 00:49:33,920 Speaker 1: considered this an October surprise because it's with less than 866 00:49:34,000 --> 00:49:36,560 Speaker 1: one week to go before the election is over. But 867 00:49:37,200 --> 00:49:43,680 Speaker 1: it landed with a thud in Washington because I gotta 868 00:49:43,719 --> 00:49:46,960 Speaker 1: be honest, I mean, and I really, I gotta be candid. 869 00:49:46,760 --> 00:49:49,600 Speaker 1: I had to google him and and that's me being 870 00:49:49,640 --> 00:49:52,759 Speaker 1: incredibly honest. So I don't think this was the what 871 00:49:52,840 --> 00:49:55,879 Speaker 1: do you think, Aaron, I mean, as a what's your 872 00:49:55,920 --> 00:49:59,280 Speaker 1: take on on the cloud that he has in terms 873 00:49:59,320 --> 00:50:03,000 Speaker 1: of what we who the level of a caliber of 874 00:50:03,080 --> 00:50:05,239 Speaker 1: person that we thought, well, I thought it was a 875 00:50:05,239 --> 00:50:08,200 Speaker 1: cabinet official. I thought that's how the Times described it. 876 00:50:09,040 --> 00:50:11,239 Speaker 1: I thought it was a cabinet official as well, or 877 00:50:11,680 --> 00:50:16,239 Speaker 1: potentially John Kelly or someone of that stature. Wasn't And 878 00:50:16,800 --> 00:50:20,000 Speaker 1: Miles Taylor is only thirty four years old, which means 879 00:50:20,040 --> 00:50:24,400 Speaker 1: that he came into the administration at about thirty one. Um, 880 00:50:24,560 --> 00:50:28,719 Speaker 1: and you know, and he certainly had a nice education 881 00:50:29,440 --> 00:50:33,359 Speaker 1: and upbringing, but I don't know how how how much 882 00:50:33,400 --> 00:50:35,600 Speaker 1: that should factor into the New York kind of decision 883 00:50:35,640 --> 00:50:38,200 Speaker 1: to publish it. But being chief of staff to a 884 00:50:38,200 --> 00:50:40,800 Speaker 1: cabinet secretary, in some cases that might be a powerful 885 00:50:40,840 --> 00:50:44,880 Speaker 1: position and others less so. But this was a bad decision. 886 00:50:45,080 --> 00:50:48,640 Speaker 1: And honestly, he seemed to use his purch to get 887 00:50:48,680 --> 00:50:53,799 Speaker 1: this book deal and also a TV contract, And it 888 00:50:53,840 --> 00:50:56,920 Speaker 1: doesn't it doesn't really seem. It seems to me like 889 00:50:56,960 --> 00:51:01,640 Speaker 1: it's a spineless thing to do. And and he I 890 00:51:01,680 --> 00:51:04,760 Speaker 1: think really is going to be mocked over the next 891 00:51:04,840 --> 00:51:07,279 Speaker 1: couple of weeks, as he should be, and as The 892 00:51:07,440 --> 00:51:12,080 Speaker 1: York Times should be for publishing it. I mean, this 893 00:51:12,200 --> 00:51:16,120 Speaker 1: was an incredibly in in you know, there was talk 894 00:51:16,280 --> 00:51:17,960 Speaker 1: that this was Mike Petts. I mean that was in 895 00:51:17,960 --> 00:51:22,480 Speaker 1: the rumor mill and it Aaron Is, I think you 896 00:51:22,600 --> 00:51:26,080 Speaker 1: just brilliantly laid it out, John, come in here. Uh, 897 00:51:26,760 --> 00:51:30,279 Speaker 1: nothing against I don't. I just was stunned that they 898 00:51:30,480 --> 00:51:34,880 Speaker 1: that The New York Times would publish an anonymous op 899 00:51:35,120 --> 00:51:40,640 Speaker 1: ed and all of the news cycle that that drove John. Um, yeah, 900 00:51:40,680 --> 00:51:44,640 Speaker 1: I mean your your thoughts. I don't think I have 901 00:51:44,760 --> 00:51:47,880 Speaker 1: much to add to this. Uh, It's it's a sad story, 902 00:51:47,960 --> 00:51:49,879 Speaker 1: and I think it says more about the New York 903 00:51:49,920 --> 00:51:53,960 Speaker 1: Times and media institutions than it does about Mr Taylor. 904 00:51:54,680 --> 00:51:59,520 Speaker 1: The the obsession with Donald Trump. It's down, you know, 905 00:51:59,600 --> 00:52:02,719 Speaker 1: It's just it got us nowhere, and I don't think 906 00:52:02,760 --> 00:52:06,040 Speaker 1: it really helps the civic discussion in this country about 907 00:52:06,360 --> 00:52:09,319 Speaker 1: policy and politics in a very constructive manner. So not 908 00:52:09,440 --> 00:52:12,000 Speaker 1: much more to say there. All right, what's on? What's 909 00:52:12,000 --> 00:52:15,000 Speaker 1: on your radar? Well, you know, Kevin, you always bring 910 00:52:15,040 --> 00:52:17,480 Speaker 1: me on for geopolitics. Yes, I do. I always do. 911 00:52:17,560 --> 00:52:19,800 Speaker 1: And I feel bad that we're in like political season 912 00:52:19,800 --> 00:52:21,919 Speaker 1: because I always learned when I talked to John. John 913 00:52:21,920 --> 00:52:24,959 Speaker 1: always teaches me go ahead. The world doesn't care about 914 00:52:24,960 --> 00:52:27,319 Speaker 1: American politics as much as we think it does. So 915 00:52:27,360 --> 00:52:30,280 Speaker 1: we have now the possibility of a low level Russia 916 00:52:30,400 --> 00:52:35,200 Speaker 1: Turkey proxy war in the underassessed, under analyzed caucuss battle 917 00:52:35,239 --> 00:52:39,360 Speaker 1: between Azerbaijan and Armenia. And you have now the Russians, 918 00:52:39,400 --> 00:52:42,239 Speaker 1: who have three times put together ceasefires, including with the 919 00:52:42,280 --> 00:52:45,640 Speaker 1: support of the United States and France, dias arias keep 920 00:52:45,719 --> 00:52:48,840 Speaker 1: violating the ceasefire and now the Russians are putting pressure 921 00:52:48,880 --> 00:52:52,240 Speaker 1: on the Turks. They're shooting down Turkish drones in Armenia 922 00:52:52,400 --> 00:52:57,040 Speaker 1: and Azerbaijan. They struck eighty Turkish back fighters in Syria, 923 00:52:57,120 --> 00:53:00,040 Speaker 1: kill them all, and enough beefing up pressure against O 924 00:53:00,920 --> 00:53:04,560 Speaker 1: Glibbya forces that Turkey is backing in Libya. So on 925 00:53:04,719 --> 00:53:08,560 Speaker 1: three different fronts we have tightening tensions between Russia and Turkey. 926 00:53:08,719 --> 00:53:10,640 Speaker 1: I gotta make sure this thing doesn't blow out into 927 00:53:10,680 --> 00:53:14,200 Speaker 1: something bigger. That is so brilliant, that is so brilliant. 928 00:53:14,239 --> 00:53:16,080 Speaker 1: And again I'm gonna I'm gonna bring it back here 929 00:53:16,480 --> 00:53:21,719 Speaker 1: for a second. Is NATO on the same page for this, John, Well, 930 00:53:21,800 --> 00:53:26,280 Speaker 1: NATO is not very much involved in the Armenia Azerbaijan battle. 931 00:53:26,480 --> 00:53:28,680 Speaker 1: France is very much on our Menia side, but most 932 00:53:28,680 --> 00:53:31,440 Speaker 1: of the countries have set that out. What's fascinating, trance 933 00:53:31,480 --> 00:53:35,840 Speaker 1: has gotten there's a major split inside of NATO regarding 934 00:53:35,880 --> 00:53:38,600 Speaker 1: the future of Libya. And that's a huge issue that 935 00:53:38,880 --> 00:53:42,239 Speaker 1: NATO members pitted against one another in Libya. Wow, yeah, 936 00:53:42,280 --> 00:53:44,799 Speaker 1: that is that is very, very huge And John, you 937 00:53:44,880 --> 00:53:47,640 Speaker 1: and I will catch up about that off line. John 938 00:53:47,680 --> 00:53:51,000 Speaker 1: silis with our geopolitical radar for the day. Here's it's 939 00:53:51,040 --> 00:53:53,359 Speaker 1: all my radar, bringing it back to the Keystone State. 940 00:53:53,400 --> 00:53:56,200 Speaker 1: Because we are five, five days and some hours away 941 00:53:56,520 --> 00:54:01,320 Speaker 1: from the election. I cannot believe it's I cannot believe 942 00:54:01,800 --> 00:54:04,840 Speaker 1: that it's tuesday. Greg Store on the Bloomberg Terminal. The U. S. 943 00:54:04,840 --> 00:54:08,920 Speaker 1: Supreme Court refused to schedule fast track review of a 944 00:54:08,960 --> 00:54:13,040 Speaker 1: new Republican bid to bar mail in ballots from being 945 00:54:13,080 --> 00:54:17,520 Speaker 1: counted in Pennsylvania if they arrive after election day, acting 946 00:54:17,560 --> 00:54:19,759 Speaker 1: a little more than a week after their four four 947 00:54:19,880 --> 00:54:24,080 Speaker 1: split left intact a three day extension for ballots to arrive. 948 00:54:24,560 --> 00:54:29,239 Speaker 1: The justices doulls Republican hopes of an immediate reversal now 949 00:54:29,320 --> 00:54:32,600 Speaker 1: that Justice Amy Coney Barrett has joined the Court. In 950 00:54:32,640 --> 00:54:36,480 Speaker 1: a statement that accompanied the order, three conservative justices said 951 00:54:36,719 --> 00:54:42,000 Speaker 1: the High Court could still intervene later, emphasis on that Barrett, 952 00:54:42,040 --> 00:54:44,760 Speaker 1: who was sworn in at the Court on Tuesday, didn't 953 00:54:44,760 --> 00:54:47,719 Speaker 1: take part, citing the need for prompt action and a 954 00:54:47,800 --> 00:54:51,280 Speaker 1: lack of time to review the case. Again, the Supreme 955 00:54:51,320 --> 00:54:55,920 Speaker 1: Court has rejected a Republican uh has have has rejected 956 00:54:55,920 --> 00:55:00,279 Speaker 1: the Republican policy on fast tracking a Pennsylvan in your 957 00:55:00,280 --> 00:55:06,239 Speaker 1: Ballot case. This obviously matters Keystone State, battleground state, mail 958 00:55:06,320 --> 00:55:11,560 Speaker 1: in ballots um and essentially they want Republicans want to 959 00:55:11,560 --> 00:55:14,200 Speaker 1: bar mail in ballots from being counted in Pennsylvania if 960 00:55:14,200 --> 00:55:20,080 Speaker 1: they arrive after election day. This is brace yourselves, folks, 961 00:55:20,160 --> 00:55:25,880 Speaker 1: because this is gonna be a remarkable, remarkable election unlike 962 00:55:25,880 --> 00:55:27,560 Speaker 1: we've ever seen. I don't care what side of the 963 00:55:27,560 --> 00:55:30,799 Speaker 1: aisle you're on. Hey, by thanks to Aaron McPike. Aaron, 964 00:55:30,920 --> 00:55:33,040 Speaker 1: it's great to have you on. Thank you for for 965 00:55:33,120 --> 00:55:35,360 Speaker 1: lending us an hour of your time. She's, of course 966 00:55:35,400 --> 00:55:38,040 Speaker 1: a political and media strategist. And of course John sid 967 00:55:38,120 --> 00:55:40,800 Speaker 1: aldis John. What are the boys being for Halloween? Do 968 00:55:40,880 --> 00:55:45,799 Speaker 1: they know? My boys are now teenagers, fift eighteen years old. 969 00:55:45,800 --> 00:55:49,279 Speaker 1: They're too cool to be doing trick or treating CUsing it. 970 00:55:49,360 --> 00:55:52,080 Speaker 1: I mean it's, hey, Halloween's it's a socialist holiday. You 971 00:55:52,160 --> 00:55:56,400 Speaker 1: get free candy. Geopolitical strategist, a Trilogy advisor's diplomacy consultant 972 00:55:56,640 --> 00:55:59,520 Speaker 1: at the State's Department of Kevin Cereally you're listening. I 973 00:55:59,600 --> 00:56:02,560 Speaker 1: was tonguing, cheek relaxed. I'm Kevin Surreally you're listening to 974 00:56:02,560 --> 00:56:15,680 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Night and I want ye