1 00:00:12,400 --> 00:00:12,799 Speaker 1: Hey guys. 2 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:14,760 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Wednesday morning edition of 3 00:00:14,760 --> 00:00:16,880 Speaker 2: the Deal Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Paroult. Every 4 00:00:16,880 --> 00:00:19,119 Speaker 2: morning here on Bettingpros dot com. You can get here 5 00:00:19,160 --> 00:00:21,599 Speaker 2: by following me on Twitter at sports Doc Matt or 6 00:00:21,640 --> 00:00:25,160 Speaker 2: following Betting Pros on Twitter at Betting Pros and fl 7 00:00:25,320 --> 00:00:28,360 Speaker 2: We are here on audio everywhere you get your podcasts, 8 00:00:28,480 --> 00:00:31,040 Speaker 2: video on YouTube and always being brought to you by 9 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:34,199 Speaker 2: bet MGM. Ten dollar bet wins you one hundred and 10 00:00:34,240 --> 00:00:37,199 Speaker 2: fifty dollars. That's always above me here on YouTube. Use 11 00:00:37,240 --> 00:00:40,519 Speaker 2: from promo codejuice one fifty to win that at BETMGM 12 00:00:40,640 --> 00:00:41,960 Speaker 2: or bettmgm dot com. 13 00:00:42,000 --> 00:00:46,199 Speaker 1: All right, oh boy, it's one of those times. 14 00:00:47,120 --> 00:00:50,480 Speaker 2: And I'm transparent with you guys. And when things are good, 15 00:00:51,200 --> 00:00:53,680 Speaker 2: I bang my chest. When things are bad, I come 16 00:00:53,720 --> 00:00:56,200 Speaker 2: to you hat in hand and say fade away. And 17 00:00:56,280 --> 00:00:58,520 Speaker 2: we are in a fadeaway period of when you should 18 00:00:58,560 --> 00:01:00,600 Speaker 2: just take my picks and flush them down on the toilet. 19 00:01:01,000 --> 00:01:04,080 Speaker 2: So one in two on the pod last night, we 20 00:01:04,160 --> 00:01:08,160 Speaker 2: wind up going two in one in college basketball because 21 00:01:08,200 --> 00:01:12,360 Speaker 2: of the over four Nebraska. I was happily wrong about 22 00:01:12,360 --> 00:01:14,560 Speaker 2: the creaton Blue Jays. I told you guys, last night. 23 00:01:14,600 --> 00:01:17,040 Speaker 2: I am a Monster Jays. I don't know what you 24 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:19,360 Speaker 2: want to call me, A supporter, fan, close to the program, 25 00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:21,440 Speaker 2: whatever you might want to call it. I'm covering them 26 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:25,120 Speaker 2: since two thousand and four and many friends in the administration. 27 00:01:25,360 --> 00:01:28,759 Speaker 2: Coach McDermott, you know, northern coach in the entire country 28 00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:31,640 Speaker 2: texts me on my birthday. But that dude, that dude 29 00:01:31,680 --> 00:01:34,160 Speaker 2: sends me happy birthday text messages because that's the guy 30 00:01:34,200 --> 00:01:36,840 Speaker 2: that that guy is so super happy for Coach mac 31 00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 2: amazing victory for him in the program to go there 32 00:01:40,600 --> 00:01:42,600 Speaker 2: on the road in a hostile environment and go up 33 00:01:42,640 --> 00:01:45,400 Speaker 2: by nineteen points and would stand the run and then win. 34 00:01:45,760 --> 00:01:48,080 Speaker 2: We get the overt to come in as well. So 35 00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:50,440 Speaker 2: one in one on that game and the creaton Blue 36 00:01:50,520 --> 00:01:54,200 Speaker 2: Jays winning it outright, beautiful love. It made my night. 37 00:01:54,440 --> 00:01:56,160 Speaker 2: Rest of the night was just kind of you know, 38 00:01:56,600 --> 00:02:01,120 Speaker 2: butter seton Hall with the win outright at Michigan Low outright. 39 00:02:01,480 --> 00:02:02,960 Speaker 1: Have you guys been seeing what the Big did? 40 00:02:02,960 --> 00:02:05,400 Speaker 2: We talked about it last night. The Big ten is 41 00:02:05,400 --> 00:02:08,640 Speaker 2: getting spanked by the Big East, I mean just spanked. 42 00:02:09,040 --> 00:02:13,160 Speaker 2: How about Butler Michigan State tonight? Man, I want to 43 00:02:13,160 --> 00:02:15,000 Speaker 2: take Butler at plus two and a half at home. 44 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:18,320 Speaker 2: That's a really hard one. I'm leaning Butler, but I 45 00:02:18,360 --> 00:02:19,640 Speaker 2: don't know what to do with that. And then everything 46 00:02:19,639 --> 00:02:23,800 Speaker 2: else was crap, like maction zero to two. The Golden 47 00:02:23,840 --> 00:02:26,400 Speaker 2: Knights give up a goal in the eleventh minute. We 48 00:02:26,440 --> 00:02:28,799 Speaker 2: had a goal, yes, in the first ten, so that's 49 00:02:28,840 --> 00:02:31,880 Speaker 2: when you're running cold. Those things happened, you know, Hurricane 50 00:02:31,919 --> 00:02:35,000 Speaker 2: score when the eleventh minute of the of the game, 51 00:02:35,080 --> 00:02:36,800 Speaker 2: and we need it in the first ten minutes of 52 00:02:36,840 --> 00:02:38,760 Speaker 2: the game. So just kind of a real bummer there. 53 00:02:38,760 --> 00:02:39,880 Speaker 2: And then the overhit too. I thought I was a 54 00:02:39,880 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 2: betting over one and a half. They scored two goals 55 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:44,480 Speaker 2: Carolina did in the first period, so I didn't have 56 00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:44,959 Speaker 2: the balls. 57 00:02:45,560 --> 00:02:46,840 Speaker 1: Can I say that? Can I say balls? 58 00:02:46,880 --> 00:02:50,440 Speaker 2: I think I can to go and bet that. So 59 00:02:50,720 --> 00:02:55,320 Speaker 2: not just blah blah. And then how about that Warriors pick. 60 00:02:55,639 --> 00:02:58,120 Speaker 2: I faded the Warriors for the first time all year. 61 00:02:58,400 --> 00:02:59,960 Speaker 2: The Brooklyn Nets get step. 62 00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:03,400 Speaker 1: The Warriors are twelve and two. 63 00:03:03,560 --> 00:03:06,560 Speaker 2: Guys, we have a bet on them to win over 64 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:09,800 Speaker 2: forty seven and a half games, and they're twelve and two. 65 00:03:10,360 --> 00:03:12,119 Speaker 1: They can basically play under. 66 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:14,440 Speaker 2: Five hundred basketball by a ways for the rest of 67 00:03:14,440 --> 00:03:17,040 Speaker 2: the year, and we're gonna get that bet. I mean, 68 00:03:17,080 --> 00:03:19,640 Speaker 2: that was my favorite bet of the NBA season preseason. 69 00:03:19,680 --> 00:03:21,840 Speaker 2: We're gonna get that. I've been doing pretty good on 70 00:03:21,600 --> 00:03:26,040 Speaker 2: my favorite future bets. Like my favorite bet preseason in 71 00:03:26,120 --> 00:03:29,440 Speaker 2: college football was All Missed over seven and a half wins. 72 00:03:29,720 --> 00:03:30,440 Speaker 1: That got there. 73 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:33,440 Speaker 2: My favorite bet for the NFL was over six and 74 00:03:33,480 --> 00:03:35,960 Speaker 2: a half wins for the Raiders. We're not there yet. 75 00:03:36,200 --> 00:03:38,960 Speaker 2: We got five wins. We need two more wins for them, 76 00:03:39,000 --> 00:03:41,040 Speaker 2: and maybe hard to get two more wins, but we're 77 00:03:41,040 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 2: doing okay there. And then my favorite bet in the 78 00:03:43,560 --> 00:03:46,000 Speaker 2: NBA was the Warriors over forty seven and a half 79 00:03:46,040 --> 00:03:49,720 Speaker 2: wins and they're twelve and two, so not bad, not 80 00:03:49,800 --> 00:03:50,640 Speaker 2: angry about it. 81 00:03:50,720 --> 00:03:52,520 Speaker 1: So here's what we're doing today. 82 00:03:53,520 --> 00:03:55,800 Speaker 2: I have an NFL play for you on Thursday night, 83 00:03:55,800 --> 00:03:57,240 Speaker 2: which I don't really know how to give it to you. 84 00:03:57,320 --> 00:03:59,080 Speaker 2: So I'm gonna explain where we're at with that here 85 00:03:59,080 --> 00:04:04,320 Speaker 2: in a second. And uh, we got an NBA bet, 86 00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:08,120 Speaker 2: and we've got a maction bet. I want you to 87 00:04:08,160 --> 00:04:11,200 Speaker 2: in play, and I'm going to fight in really hold 88 00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:13,720 Speaker 2: back on the NERT on the urge to bet more 89 00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:15,960 Speaker 2: than just a couple of player props coming up today 90 00:04:16,120 --> 00:04:18,479 Speaker 2: in the Discord channel. I don't want to have more 91 00:04:18,520 --> 00:04:20,400 Speaker 2: than one and a half units in play, Okay, I'm 92 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:23,520 Speaker 2: gonna hold myself back here just because we've had a 93 00:04:23,560 --> 00:04:26,040 Speaker 2: really rough couple of days in the bank roll is 94 00:04:26,080 --> 00:04:28,520 Speaker 2: taking a beating, so I want to I want to 95 00:04:28,520 --> 00:04:30,599 Speaker 2: be light today. I was I was gonna be late 96 00:04:30,720 --> 00:04:32,600 Speaker 2: last night, and then I woke up and was like, man, 97 00:04:32,680 --> 00:04:34,440 Speaker 2: it's mac shin. I looked at those numbers and like, 98 00:04:34,440 --> 00:04:35,960 Speaker 2: I was like, O, Hiowa is plus seven and a 99 00:04:36,000 --> 00:04:36,560 Speaker 2: half at home? 100 00:04:36,600 --> 00:04:38,720 Speaker 1: Are you kidding me? They're playing so hard right now, 101 00:04:38,960 --> 00:04:40,080 Speaker 1: give me the seven and a half. 102 00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:43,799 Speaker 2: And then Eastern Michigan in western Eastern Michigan in Western Michigan. 103 00:04:44,200 --> 00:04:47,039 Speaker 2: You know that Eastern offense has gone down the tubes. Man, 104 00:04:47,120 --> 00:04:49,520 Speaker 2: What happened to that thing was a pass heavy offense. 105 00:04:49,560 --> 00:04:52,960 Speaker 2: They were scoring like crazy and game went way under. 106 00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:55,359 Speaker 2: So went the over in that game, and that was wrong. 107 00:04:55,440 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 2: So you know, I got too exposed. I should have 108 00:04:58,320 --> 00:04:59,920 Speaker 2: just listened to myself. So I'm gonna fight it today, 109 00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:01,680 Speaker 2: gonna fight it. I'mnna hold it. I'm gonna hold off 110 00:05:02,240 --> 00:05:06,080 Speaker 2: here because Thursday is the five hundredth episode of the 111 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:09,400 Speaker 2: Daily Juice podcast. So you know, I gotta have I 112 00:05:09,400 --> 00:05:11,640 Speaker 2: gotta have some some stuff going. I gotta have like 113 00:05:11,720 --> 00:05:14,600 Speaker 2: parlays going, and I'm gonna have some some fun here, right, 114 00:05:14,720 --> 00:05:17,560 Speaker 2: We're gonna go for the five hundred parlay, like we're 115 00:05:17,560 --> 00:05:20,479 Speaker 2: gonna do some fun stuff coming up for the you know, 116 00:05:20,520 --> 00:05:23,039 Speaker 2: five hundred episode of Daily Juice, we have to write 117 00:05:23,040 --> 00:05:25,240 Speaker 2: we haven't done like one of those light in Dark 118 00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:27,880 Speaker 2: parlays in a while, like one of those crazy ones 119 00:05:27,920 --> 00:05:28,719 Speaker 2: from the first year. 120 00:05:28,960 --> 00:05:30,800 Speaker 1: If you're an og you remember. 121 00:05:30,480 --> 00:05:32,200 Speaker 2: The light in the Dark parlay and the Light of 122 00:05:32,279 --> 00:05:34,520 Speaker 2: Parlay hitting at like eight to one whatever it was. 123 00:05:34,839 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 2: So we have to do something like that to try 124 00:05:36,880 --> 00:05:38,240 Speaker 2: to have some fun. So I'm gonna go into the 125 00:05:38,279 --> 00:05:40,560 Speaker 2: lab and try to find something for tomorrow's podcast. But 126 00:05:40,640 --> 00:05:44,000 Speaker 2: today episode four hundred and ninety nine. Can you believe 127 00:05:44,040 --> 00:05:47,560 Speaker 2: that four hundred and ninety nine consecutive days of this podcast. 128 00:05:47,640 --> 00:05:51,320 Speaker 2: It's it's it's crazy, it really is. All right, let's 129 00:05:51,320 --> 00:05:54,360 Speaker 2: get to the NFL play and here's my my dilemma. 130 00:05:55,240 --> 00:05:58,880 Speaker 2: My dilemma is this, So two days ago I gave 131 00:05:58,960 --> 00:06:02,400 Speaker 2: you this bet, did the bet of the New England 132 00:06:02,400 --> 00:06:05,919 Speaker 2: Patriots on Thursday Night Football against the Falcons minus six. 133 00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:10,120 Speaker 2: Patriots open it five and a half. Cordell Patterson is 134 00:06:10,240 --> 00:06:13,480 Speaker 2: questionable for the game. He did practice today, so he 135 00:06:13,600 --> 00:06:15,520 Speaker 2: might play, but he's not going to be one hundred percent. 136 00:06:16,400 --> 00:06:18,360 Speaker 2: And the line went from five and a half to six, 137 00:06:18,440 --> 00:06:22,359 Speaker 2: and I hashtagged or sorry at everybody on the Discord 138 00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:26,880 Speaker 2: channel bet Patriots minus six one unit official play. So 139 00:06:26,920 --> 00:06:30,480 Speaker 2: now the line seven. And so if you're just hearing 140 00:06:30,480 --> 00:06:32,080 Speaker 2: this for the first time and you're not on the 141 00:06:32,120 --> 00:06:34,960 Speaker 2: Discord channel, well hello, come on. Now, you're supposed to 142 00:06:35,000 --> 00:06:37,160 Speaker 2: be on the Discord channel and your notifications have to 143 00:06:37,160 --> 00:06:37,599 Speaker 2: be turned on. 144 00:06:37,920 --> 00:06:41,000 Speaker 1: But if you miss that, it's seven. 145 00:06:42,040 --> 00:06:45,800 Speaker 2: And the difference between six and seven is so significant, 146 00:06:45,960 --> 00:06:49,320 Speaker 2: I mean all the way down to just overtime. You know, 147 00:06:49,400 --> 00:06:51,760 Speaker 2: if you're an overtime you don't kick the extra point. 148 00:06:52,240 --> 00:06:54,799 Speaker 2: So we push Patriots would score touchdown and win by six. 149 00:06:55,680 --> 00:06:58,120 Speaker 2: We would push six and a half. I don't like 150 00:06:58,240 --> 00:06:59,960 Speaker 2: buy it down to six, to be quite honest, but 151 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:05,040 Speaker 2: it's seven right now. It's not playable. So the official 152 00:07:05,080 --> 00:07:09,880 Speaker 2: play is Patriots minus six. Okay, The Patriots offense is 153 00:07:09,960 --> 00:07:12,080 Speaker 2: one of the best offenses in the NFL. 154 00:07:11,800 --> 00:07:13,640 Speaker 1: And you need to stop sleeping on it. 155 00:07:13,960 --> 00:07:16,600 Speaker 2: The Patriots defense is one of the best defenses in 156 00:07:16,640 --> 00:07:19,160 Speaker 2: the NFL, and you need to stop sleeping on it, 157 00:07:19,360 --> 00:07:21,880 Speaker 2: all right. I watched The Man in the Arena tonight 158 00:07:21,880 --> 00:07:25,560 Speaker 2: with Tom Brady, Episode one. Everyone's making the comparison to 159 00:07:25,600 --> 00:07:28,440 Speaker 2: the Patriots who were five and five in two thousand 160 00:07:28,480 --> 00:07:31,119 Speaker 2: and one and then went on to win the Super Bowl. 161 00:07:31,440 --> 00:07:35,720 Speaker 2: I'm not making that declaration. However, a buddy of mine 162 00:07:35,760 --> 00:07:38,880 Speaker 2: did preseason take one hundred dollars bet or put one 163 00:07:38,920 --> 00:07:41,320 Speaker 2: hundred dollars bet down. I did it for him for 164 00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:45,560 Speaker 2: ten to one Patriots to win the AFC. It's not crazy. 165 00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:52,000 Speaker 2: Patriots Rams could happen. It could happen in LA. I mean, 166 00:07:52,240 --> 00:07:56,200 Speaker 2: could you imagine the line was fourteen right for that game? 167 00:07:56,720 --> 00:07:58,320 Speaker 2: I wonder what the line would be if the Patriots 168 00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:00,120 Speaker 2: played the Rams in the Super Bowl this year. What 169 00:08:00,160 --> 00:08:02,760 Speaker 2: the line would be? My guests would be Rams minus six, 170 00:08:03,760 --> 00:08:06,240 Speaker 2: maybe five and a half six. Belichick would earn some respect, 171 00:08:06,640 --> 00:08:08,800 Speaker 2: but Rams still would be a heavy favorite in that game. 172 00:08:09,800 --> 00:08:12,960 Speaker 2: Patriots run the football. Their offensive line is healthy with 173 00:08:12,960 --> 00:08:17,280 Speaker 2: Trent Brown. Mac Jones is right now, this is not crazy. 174 00:08:17,360 --> 00:08:20,600 Speaker 2: Mac Jones on paper is a top fifteen quarterback in 175 00:08:20,640 --> 00:08:24,440 Speaker 2: the NFL. He's a top fifteen quarterback. He's almost top 176 00:08:24,520 --> 00:08:28,320 Speaker 2: ten quarterback in the NFL on paper. Now, is he 177 00:08:28,680 --> 00:08:31,320 Speaker 2: We don't really know that yet. But the kids playing 178 00:08:31,400 --> 00:08:33,880 Speaker 2: really well and he's starting to progress, and we saw 179 00:08:33,920 --> 00:08:37,800 Speaker 2: it against the Browns. Okay, this Falcons team is banged up. 180 00:08:38,160 --> 00:08:41,800 Speaker 2: This Falcons defense is not good. This Falcons team. 181 00:08:41,600 --> 00:08:44,200 Speaker 1: Is not good. The Patriots on a short week on the. 182 00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:46,480 Speaker 2: Road, I get it, but I think that's where they 183 00:08:46,520 --> 00:08:49,680 Speaker 2: run the football and they get in there and their 184 00:08:49,679 --> 00:08:52,720 Speaker 2: defense plays, and I don't think without Patterson they can't 185 00:08:52,720 --> 00:08:53,040 Speaker 2: really move. 186 00:08:53,080 --> 00:08:54,839 Speaker 1: The Falcons can't really move the football. And he's not 187 00:08:54,840 --> 00:08:57,440 Speaker 1: gonna be one hundred percent injury. He plays no Calvin Ridley. 188 00:08:58,160 --> 00:09:01,600 Speaker 2: I mean, this is obviously matt Ryan Boston college quarterback, 189 00:09:01,679 --> 00:09:03,680 Speaker 2: and you know he wants to play well. But I 190 00:09:03,720 --> 00:09:05,560 Speaker 2: got the Pats by seven. I think they win by 191 00:09:05,600 --> 00:09:08,000 Speaker 2: a touchdown here. I think they cover that six points. 192 00:09:08,600 --> 00:09:10,680 Speaker 2: I wouldn't touch it at seven though, I really wouldn't. 193 00:09:10,800 --> 00:09:12,600 Speaker 2: And it's either if you want to play the game, 194 00:09:12,640 --> 00:09:14,600 Speaker 2: I'd say it's a Falcons or a no play at 195 00:09:14,600 --> 00:09:17,640 Speaker 2: this point where the number is. But I like the 196 00:09:17,640 --> 00:09:21,360 Speaker 2: Patriots minus six and one unit. Patriots will go get 197 00:09:21,360 --> 00:09:23,439 Speaker 2: We're on record two days ago. Now we're just putting 198 00:09:23,480 --> 00:09:27,440 Speaker 2: it on the podcast. Patriots minus six and they have 199 00:09:27,679 --> 00:09:31,160 Speaker 2: just been really, really good and this has been a 200 00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:34,120 Speaker 2: really good start. I mean, look at the losses they lost. 201 00:09:34,160 --> 00:09:37,360 Speaker 2: They fumbled the football against the Dolphins, they lost seventeen 202 00:09:37,400 --> 00:09:39,320 Speaker 2: to sixteen. They were driving to kick a game winning 203 00:09:39,320 --> 00:09:41,680 Speaker 2: field goal. They would have won that game. The Doyt 204 00:09:41,720 --> 00:09:44,640 Speaker 2: off the upright against Tampa Bay and Tom Brady, maybe 205 00:09:44,640 --> 00:09:46,719 Speaker 2: they win that game. That's maybe because Brady would have 206 00:09:46,720 --> 00:09:48,480 Speaker 2: the football with a minute left, and we know what 207 00:09:48,520 --> 00:09:50,320 Speaker 2: Tom Brady does when he has those chances. 208 00:09:50,320 --> 00:09:51,640 Speaker 1: Just go watch Man in the arena. 209 00:09:52,080 --> 00:09:53,880 Speaker 2: If you don't know about the Brady story from twenty 210 00:09:53,960 --> 00:09:55,760 Speaker 2: years ago, go watch what he did in the Super 211 00:09:55,800 --> 00:09:57,680 Speaker 2: Bowl or what he did it, you know, in multiple. 212 00:09:57,400 --> 00:09:58,359 Speaker 1: Games with the Patriots. 213 00:09:58,960 --> 00:10:01,400 Speaker 2: But Patrio would have lead, they could have won that game. 214 00:10:01,559 --> 00:10:04,360 Speaker 2: Belichick punts on fourth down from his own forty five 215 00:10:04,440 --> 00:10:08,240 Speaker 2: yard lined. His defense is gassed and tired, and Dak 216 00:10:08,240 --> 00:10:10,400 Speaker 2: Prescott goes down and scored to such down. Dak Prescott 217 00:10:10,440 --> 00:10:12,600 Speaker 2: wins the game with the Dallas Cowboys in overtime, though 218 00:10:12,760 --> 00:10:14,480 Speaker 2: they could have won that game. They had chances, they 219 00:10:14,480 --> 00:10:16,280 Speaker 2: had field goals, they had kicks, they had potential to 220 00:10:16,280 --> 00:10:16,760 Speaker 2: win that game. 221 00:10:16,800 --> 00:10:17,240 Speaker 1: And they didn't. 222 00:10:17,880 --> 00:10:21,760 Speaker 2: Three losses right there, okay, but they were right in 223 00:10:21,960 --> 00:10:24,960 Speaker 2: those games, could have won all three of them. What 224 00:10:25,080 --> 00:10:28,840 Speaker 2: happens If the Patriots, you know, are sitting there with 225 00:10:29,000 --> 00:10:31,760 Speaker 2: nine wins right now, you would think differently, right, you'd 226 00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:34,640 Speaker 2: be like, ohoh boy, kind of a different football team, right, 227 00:10:35,000 --> 00:10:38,000 Speaker 2: not saying they would be, but they're right there, and 228 00:10:38,040 --> 00:10:40,440 Speaker 2: I think that's the caliber team we're talking about here, 229 00:10:40,480 --> 00:10:42,120 Speaker 2: and I think the Falcons are in deep trouble on 230 00:10:42,160 --> 00:10:45,920 Speaker 2: Thursday night. So Patriots minus six is the play, but 231 00:10:46,040 --> 00:10:49,040 Speaker 2: it's gone, so you know, I wanted to give it 232 00:10:49,040 --> 00:10:50,640 Speaker 2: out officially and tell you guys about it if you 233 00:10:50,679 --> 00:10:52,320 Speaker 2: missed it in the discord channel. It's kind of like 234 00:10:52,320 --> 00:10:53,800 Speaker 2: a thing like you got to be if you want 235 00:10:53,800 --> 00:10:55,640 Speaker 2: to trail my plays here. Not that I would on 236 00:10:55,679 --> 00:10:58,400 Speaker 2: Sunday because how bad I was on Sunday. But this 237 00:10:58,559 --> 00:11:00,640 Speaker 2: is my team, and I bet on my team and 238 00:11:00,679 --> 00:11:02,640 Speaker 2: against my team, and I do fairly well when I'm 239 00:11:02,640 --> 00:11:05,320 Speaker 2: betting on or against my team, even though last week 240 00:11:05,360 --> 00:11:08,680 Speaker 2: I allowed everyone to tell me to tease the Browns 241 00:11:08,760 --> 00:11:10,560 Speaker 2: up and take the Browns in the circum million. 242 00:11:10,600 --> 00:11:12,839 Speaker 1: And I was like nope. I was like, this is 243 00:11:12,880 --> 00:11:15,320 Speaker 1: the wrong side, guys. I don't like this side. 244 00:11:15,920 --> 00:11:17,880 Speaker 2: And then the Patriots went out there and destroyed the Browns. 245 00:11:18,120 --> 00:11:20,960 Speaker 2: So now listening to myself, I am gonna try this 246 00:11:21,000 --> 00:11:23,160 Speaker 2: time to listen to myself when it comes to the Falcons. 247 00:11:23,160 --> 00:11:26,120 Speaker 1: Minus six. So sorry, Patriots minus six against the Falcons. 248 00:11:26,200 --> 00:11:28,880 Speaker 2: Okay, let's get to two plays going today, happy unit 249 00:11:28,920 --> 00:11:32,120 Speaker 2: plays on each Let's start in football with mactionin. Let's 250 00:11:32,120 --> 00:11:36,160 Speaker 2: start with Northern Illinois against Buffalo. Look, this is a 251 00:11:36,200 --> 00:11:38,800 Speaker 2: big game in the MAC. It's a chance for the 252 00:11:38,840 --> 00:11:42,400 Speaker 2: Macwest title to get clinched for Northern Okay. Northern on 253 00:11:42,440 --> 00:11:45,160 Speaker 2: the year six three and one against the number. Buffalo 254 00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:48,600 Speaker 2: is three six and one, literally the opposite. They haven't 255 00:11:48,600 --> 00:11:51,280 Speaker 2: covered the last two games. This is kind of a 256 00:11:51,320 --> 00:11:55,480 Speaker 2: wild streak. Over the last ten, Buffalo is three six 257 00:11:55,520 --> 00:11:58,520 Speaker 2: and one against the number. Over the last five, Buffalo 258 00:11:58,600 --> 00:12:02,240 Speaker 2: is one in four against the number. In conference play, 259 00:12:02,280 --> 00:12:05,880 Speaker 2: Buffalo is one four and one against the number. At 260 00:12:05,920 --> 00:12:09,480 Speaker 2: home though they're two to two and one. This Buffalo 261 00:12:09,559 --> 00:12:13,880 Speaker 2: team either they run the ball or they don't move 262 00:12:13,960 --> 00:12:17,160 Speaker 2: the or they don't move the ball very well. Northern's 263 00:12:17,200 --> 00:12:19,280 Speaker 2: defense not very good. More in that here in a second. 264 00:12:19,280 --> 00:12:21,680 Speaker 2: But Northern on the other side, four and two in 265 00:12:21,720 --> 00:12:24,880 Speaker 2: the back against the spread, last ten six, three and 266 00:12:24,960 --> 00:12:28,400 Speaker 2: one on the road, three and two over the last five, 267 00:12:28,640 --> 00:12:33,000 Speaker 2: three and two against the number. When you start comparing 268 00:12:33,040 --> 00:12:35,560 Speaker 2: stats here between Northern and Buffalo, you go right to 269 00:12:35,600 --> 00:12:37,559 Speaker 2: the Buffalo rushing numbers, okay. 270 00:12:37,280 --> 00:12:40,400 Speaker 1: And you're like, all right, they run the ball fairly well. 271 00:12:40,440 --> 00:12:42,199 Speaker 2: Four point two yards per rush, one hundred and eighty 272 00:12:42,240 --> 00:12:45,360 Speaker 2: four yards per game, score twenty eight points per game, 273 00:12:45,440 --> 00:12:49,000 Speaker 2: five point three yards per carry, and Northern you can 274 00:12:49,080 --> 00:12:52,080 Speaker 2: run all over these guys. Six yards per carrie given 275 00:12:52,160 --> 00:12:54,199 Speaker 2: up one hundred and twenty six in the country, give 276 00:12:54,280 --> 00:12:56,760 Speaker 2: up two hundred and eighteen yards on the ground per game, 277 00:12:56,840 --> 00:12:59,360 Speaker 2: one hundred and nineteenth in the country. Northern gives up 278 00:12:59,400 --> 00:13:01,720 Speaker 2: thirty five points per game, one hundred and thirteenth in 279 00:13:01,760 --> 00:13:02,240 Speaker 2: the country. 280 00:13:02,840 --> 00:13:03,160 Speaker 1: Yuck. 281 00:13:03,960 --> 00:13:06,720 Speaker 2: But this Buffalo team is somewhat one dimensional to me, 282 00:13:07,040 --> 00:13:10,920 Speaker 2: I've watched Buffalo. I'm like, man, this team, this team's ugly. Northern, 283 00:13:10,960 --> 00:13:14,760 Speaker 2: on the other hand, offensively not bad. Thirty points per game, 284 00:13:14,800 --> 00:13:17,199 Speaker 2: five point six yards per play four point six yards 285 00:13:17,240 --> 00:13:20,199 Speaker 2: per rush. Up against a Bufalo defense that gives up 286 00:13:20,280 --> 00:13:23,000 Speaker 2: five point two yards per rush. They run for two 287 00:13:23,080 --> 00:13:25,640 Speaker 2: hundred and twelve yards a game. Buffalo gives up two 288 00:13:25,760 --> 00:13:28,640 Speaker 2: hundred and sixteen yards per game. You got a pass 289 00:13:28,720 --> 00:13:31,400 Speaker 2: offense give up seven point five yards or complete seven 290 00:13:31,400 --> 00:13:34,040 Speaker 2: point five yards per pass play? Have about Buffalo nine 291 00:13:34,080 --> 00:13:36,200 Speaker 2: point eight yards per pass play given up one hundred 292 00:13:36,200 --> 00:13:38,440 Speaker 2: and twenty seventh in the country. Who point, and they 293 00:13:38,480 --> 00:13:42,280 Speaker 2: get thrown on like crazy twenty five pass plays because 294 00:13:42,320 --> 00:13:45,280 Speaker 2: you can run these guys you throw, you run, You're 295 00:13:45,280 --> 00:13:47,800 Speaker 2: throwing two hundred and forty four yards per off per game. 296 00:13:48,280 --> 00:13:50,600 Speaker 2: I mean, Buffalo's defense is so bad and they run 297 00:13:50,640 --> 00:13:53,600 Speaker 2: the ball. If they get by behind here, I don't 298 00:13:53,600 --> 00:13:55,439 Speaker 2: think they can do much to keep to catch up. 299 00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:57,839 Speaker 2: This number opened up at two and a half and 300 00:13:57,880 --> 00:14:00,679 Speaker 2: it's been bet down, which is somewhat supper And I'm 301 00:14:00,760 --> 00:14:02,959 Speaker 2: kind of like, what am I missing? But then again, 302 00:14:03,080 --> 00:14:04,120 Speaker 2: I've been way off on that. 303 00:14:04,200 --> 00:14:05,439 Speaker 1: So you want to fade this? Do you want to 304 00:14:05,440 --> 00:14:07,440 Speaker 1: take Buffalo? Take the line move? 305 00:14:08,160 --> 00:14:11,120 Speaker 2: Okay, not gonna hate on it, but I got Northern 306 00:14:11,160 --> 00:14:12,520 Speaker 2: on the road minus one. 307 00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:14,520 Speaker 1: I got a hotter team. 308 00:14:15,120 --> 00:14:17,880 Speaker 2: I got a better offense, and even though Northern's defense 309 00:14:17,960 --> 00:14:20,720 Speaker 2: is crap, I think they got a chance to wrap 310 00:14:20,800 --> 00:14:23,960 Speaker 2: up the West here. I'm gonna take Northern for a 311 00:14:24,000 --> 00:14:26,560 Speaker 2: half a unit at minus one at minus one ten 312 00:14:26,680 --> 00:14:28,920 Speaker 2: here to go ahead and beat Buffalo. I don't think 313 00:14:28,920 --> 00:14:33,280 Speaker 2: Buffalo is all that good. The total is sixty. If 314 00:14:33,280 --> 00:14:34,760 Speaker 2: I had a play on that would be the under, 315 00:14:35,280 --> 00:14:37,080 Speaker 2: but I don't have to play on it. It just 316 00:14:37,080 --> 00:14:38,760 Speaker 2: seems for two teams that want to run the football, 317 00:14:38,920 --> 00:14:41,560 Speaker 2: it seems pretty high. I mean, the number opened up 318 00:14:41,600 --> 00:14:43,320 Speaker 2: at sixty four and a half. It's been a bit 319 00:14:43,320 --> 00:14:44,960 Speaker 2: all the way down to sixty. So give you an 320 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:47,760 Speaker 2: idea of what people are expecting in this game. Low scoring. 321 00:14:48,000 --> 00:14:50,040 Speaker 2: There could be weather in the area with Buffalo. It's 322 00:14:50,120 --> 00:14:52,200 Speaker 2: upstate New York in late November, so you gotta chick 323 00:14:52,240 --> 00:14:57,040 Speaker 2: the weather. Obviously on that, I'm mistaking Northern Northern minus one. 324 00:14:57,120 --> 00:15:00,400 Speaker 2: Forget the total taken Northern on the road, laying a 325 00:15:00,440 --> 00:15:03,720 Speaker 2: point here, basically a pick against Buffalo here for half 326 00:15:03,720 --> 00:15:06,360 Speaker 2: a unit. One game in the NBA I want to 327 00:15:06,360 --> 00:15:08,880 Speaker 2: look at and this game involves, well I told you 328 00:15:08,880 --> 00:15:12,240 Speaker 2: about the Patriots, involves my basketball team, Boston Celtics on 329 00:15:12,280 --> 00:15:16,720 Speaker 2: the road up against our favorite Atlanta Hawks. Look, we've 330 00:15:16,720 --> 00:15:20,880 Speaker 2: been watching the Hawks, right, watching them really well. No 331 00:15:21,000 --> 00:15:25,280 Speaker 2: Jalen Brown, which is significant. Okay, Robert Williams the third 332 00:15:25,640 --> 00:15:29,160 Speaker 2: maybe playing this game questionable. We know that there is 333 00:15:29,240 --> 00:15:33,520 Speaker 2: definitely injuries for this Hawks team that are significant, in 334 00:15:33,560 --> 00:15:37,720 Speaker 2: particular for a long in the long term. You got 335 00:15:37,720 --> 00:15:40,040 Speaker 2: to look at DeAndre Hunter being out. When that guy 336 00:15:40,120 --> 00:15:43,360 Speaker 2: left last year, Atlanta was a much different basketball team. 337 00:15:44,200 --> 00:15:46,680 Speaker 2: Their depth got hurt as well in their last game 338 00:15:46,760 --> 00:15:49,440 Speaker 2: as Kevin Houter Hereter got hurt in the game against 339 00:15:49,480 --> 00:15:53,560 Speaker 2: the Orlando Magic, but the Hawks covered that game. If 340 00:15:53,560 --> 00:15:56,160 Speaker 2: you look at where Atlanta has been five and ten 341 00:15:56,200 --> 00:15:58,640 Speaker 2: against the numbers so far this year, however, they've covered 342 00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:00,000 Speaker 2: their last two at home. 343 00:16:00,040 --> 00:16:00,280 Speaker 1: Home. 344 00:16:00,720 --> 00:16:03,560 Speaker 2: At home, Atlanta is five and one against the number. 345 00:16:03,880 --> 00:16:06,480 Speaker 2: Boston on the road is a whopping six two and 346 00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:10,440 Speaker 2: one against the spread, which is nuts. They did not cover, well, 347 00:16:10,560 --> 00:16:12,920 Speaker 2: I guess they pushed no, no, no, sorry, they didn't cover. 348 00:16:13,080 --> 00:16:14,440 Speaker 1: They were two point favorites. 349 00:16:15,600 --> 00:16:17,160 Speaker 2: Sorry, there are four and a half point favorites in 350 00:16:17,200 --> 00:16:21,600 Speaker 2: their last game against Cleveland and that number, that's that's 351 00:16:21,600 --> 00:16:23,480 Speaker 2: not right because they played Cleveland and they didn't cover 352 00:16:23,520 --> 00:16:25,360 Speaker 2: its four and a half points and they won by six. 353 00:16:25,800 --> 00:16:27,880 Speaker 2: Let's see who did Boston play two games ago, Because 354 00:16:27,880 --> 00:16:30,400 Speaker 2: they're saying it's Cleveland. Cleveland, that's not team rankings is 355 00:16:30,440 --> 00:16:31,120 Speaker 2: not right on that. 356 00:16:31,200 --> 00:16:31,960 Speaker 1: Hold on, let me. 357 00:16:31,920 --> 00:16:34,960 Speaker 2: Pull up the Celtics because they didn't cover in their 358 00:16:34,960 --> 00:16:38,520 Speaker 2: previous game, but because it snapped a pretty good streak 359 00:16:39,320 --> 00:16:44,000 Speaker 2: for Boston that was against Oh no, sorry it was. 360 00:16:43,800 --> 00:16:45,720 Speaker 2: It wasn't East as home and it was. It just 361 00:16:45,800 --> 00:16:47,600 Speaker 2: doesn't have it as a way and a way. It 362 00:16:47,640 --> 00:16:50,960 Speaker 2: was home and away for that one for Cleveland. But 363 00:16:51,080 --> 00:16:54,960 Speaker 2: they were plus two, lost by two, you know, pushed 364 00:16:54,960 --> 00:16:57,320 Speaker 2: on that they were miss four and a half. They 365 00:16:57,360 --> 00:17:00,320 Speaker 2: won by six, but before that they had covered five 366 00:17:00,400 --> 00:17:06,080 Speaker 2: straight games. Look, this Boston team is really really good defensively, okay, 367 00:17:06,200 --> 00:17:08,600 Speaker 2: but if you look at the numbers for Atlanta when 368 00:17:08,640 --> 00:17:11,440 Speaker 2: they play at home, they are a different basketball team 369 00:17:11,480 --> 00:17:14,359 Speaker 2: at home. We've been watching this, We've been following this 370 00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:18,919 Speaker 2: with Atlanta, and I just don't like the inconsistency of 371 00:17:19,000 --> 00:17:22,479 Speaker 2: Boston right now. And you're gonna have basically all Jason 372 00:17:22,480 --> 00:17:26,399 Speaker 2: Tatum the glass is what I would look at John 373 00:17:26,520 --> 00:17:30,400 Speaker 2: Collins rebounding. I'm gonna be looking at that prop coming 374 00:17:30,440 --> 00:17:34,840 Speaker 2: up here today, Clint Capella rebounds watching that prop today, 375 00:17:35,080 --> 00:17:38,920 Speaker 2: Clint Capella over a half assist, right, We're talking about 376 00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:41,560 Speaker 2: that forever. It's just like that's just be an automatic 377 00:17:41,680 --> 00:17:44,080 Speaker 2: fire every day because he just he gets one assist 378 00:17:44,119 --> 00:17:46,000 Speaker 2: and it goes over. The books are ducing it up 379 00:17:46,040 --> 00:17:47,880 Speaker 2: like crazy, but it keeps on hitting, so it doesn't 380 00:17:47,920 --> 00:17:51,439 Speaker 2: really matter. I just think Trey Young goes off tonight. 381 00:17:51,560 --> 00:17:53,600 Speaker 2: I'm not really sure you put Marcus Smart on him, 382 00:17:53,640 --> 00:17:55,399 Speaker 2: I guess, but like, I just don't think this is 383 00:17:55,440 --> 00:17:59,600 Speaker 2: gonna be a game that Boston's gonna look that great 384 00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:02,280 Speaker 2: line has come down from four and a half to 385 00:18:02,480 --> 00:18:04,600 Speaker 2: four if it keeps on coming down, and I like 386 00:18:04,600 --> 00:18:06,879 Speaker 2: it even more. But I'm going to take the Hawks 387 00:18:06,880 --> 00:18:09,960 Speaker 2: here at home to stay hot at home in front 388 00:18:10,000 --> 00:18:12,119 Speaker 2: of their home crowd. And it kind of turned the 389 00:18:12,160 --> 00:18:14,760 Speaker 2: tables here as to where they were and what they 390 00:18:14,760 --> 00:18:17,119 Speaker 2: were doing on that awful road trip, because you know, 391 00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:17,840 Speaker 2: we talked about it and. 392 00:18:17,800 --> 00:18:18,520 Speaker 1: We bet it against them. 393 00:18:18,720 --> 00:18:20,680 Speaker 2: I mean, they had six games and we've talked about 394 00:18:20,680 --> 00:18:24,800 Speaker 2: it a lot here against Brooklyn, Utah, Phoenix, Golden State, Utah, 395 00:18:24,880 --> 00:18:27,120 Speaker 2: and Denver and all about the Utah game was on 396 00:18:27,160 --> 00:18:30,240 Speaker 2: the road and they lost in didn't cover any of them. 397 00:18:30,640 --> 00:18:33,400 Speaker 1: All six of those games they lost and didn't cover. 398 00:18:33,680 --> 00:18:36,600 Speaker 2: And they came home against Milwaukee two point favorites, one 399 00:18:36,680 --> 00:18:39,920 Speaker 2: by twenty, against Orlando ten and a half point favorites, 400 00:18:40,040 --> 00:18:42,359 Speaker 2: they won by eighteen. Now that game was close in 401 00:18:42,400 --> 00:18:44,000 Speaker 2: the fourth quarter and then they had like a little 402 00:18:44,040 --> 00:18:45,480 Speaker 2: five minute spurt there to get to. 403 00:18:45,400 --> 00:18:47,119 Speaker 1: Get it to eighteen. It was always kind of a 404 00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:49,920 Speaker 1: nip and tuck cover and then they got there. This 405 00:18:50,080 --> 00:18:52,480 Speaker 1: numbers four. I like my team. 406 00:18:52,600 --> 00:18:55,240 Speaker 2: I like Boston, but I'm very concerned about them on 407 00:18:55,240 --> 00:18:58,520 Speaker 2: the glass. I'm very concerned about Trey Young going off 408 00:18:58,520 --> 00:19:01,679 Speaker 2: and going crazy. And when Boston goes to Atlanta, you 409 00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:03,680 Speaker 2: know the crowd's going to be jacked up and excited. 410 00:19:04,480 --> 00:19:06,800 Speaker 2: I just think Atlanta is playing really well at home, 411 00:19:07,320 --> 00:19:09,480 Speaker 2: not great on the road. They're five and one against 412 00:19:09,520 --> 00:19:11,960 Speaker 2: the number on at home and they're oh and nine. 413 00:19:12,600 --> 00:19:15,280 Speaker 2: They're oh to nine on the road this season against 414 00:19:15,280 --> 00:19:19,280 Speaker 2: the spread for six two and one. Six two and 415 00:19:19,480 --> 00:19:22,120 Speaker 2: one on the road for the Boss Celtics is pretty 416 00:19:22,160 --> 00:19:24,680 Speaker 2: darn good. But Boston is seven and seven straight up, 417 00:19:24,720 --> 00:19:27,400 Speaker 2: Atlanta is six and nine. They're five and one at home. 418 00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:30,880 Speaker 2: Boston's just five and four on the road straight up 419 00:19:30,880 --> 00:19:34,440 Speaker 2: this year, number is only a two possession game minus four. 420 00:19:34,880 --> 00:19:36,240 Speaker 2: I'm gonna lay it with a half of a unit 421 00:19:36,320 --> 00:19:40,160 Speaker 2: Atlanta minus four against the Celtics. Okay, so the official 422 00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:44,119 Speaker 2: plays here Boston minus sorry, Patriots minus six on Thursday 423 00:19:44,160 --> 00:19:47,840 Speaker 2: Night football. That number right now is unplayable, unfortunately, and 424 00:19:47,920 --> 00:19:50,560 Speaker 2: that I'm taking the Hawks minus four against the Celtics 425 00:19:50,680 --> 00:19:54,119 Speaker 2: in Northern Illinois minus one on the road at Buffalo 426 00:19:54,400 --> 00:19:56,760 Speaker 2: for maction coming up here tonight. I will have two 427 00:19:56,800 --> 00:20:00,800 Speaker 2: player props in this score channel. But that's it. That's 428 00:20:00,840 --> 00:20:02,879 Speaker 2: all I'm playing here on a Wednesday. I'm going to 429 00:20:02,960 --> 00:20:05,720 Speaker 2: force myself to be light here. Just give me because 430 00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:08,359 Speaker 2: I'm ice cold. Don't hate it if you fade my picks. Okay, 431 00:20:08,400 --> 00:20:10,360 Speaker 2: if you faded me, you were five and two yesterday. 432 00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:12,840 Speaker 2: Fitted everything I did, you went five and two. So congratulations. 433 00:20:12,880 --> 00:20:15,560 Speaker 2: Does a huge day for you. If I'm making you money. 434 00:20:15,359 --> 00:20:17,040 Speaker 1: Great, Okay, That's what I'm here to do. 435 00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:20,640 Speaker 2: Give you my thoughts, what I'm doing, fader, follow, pick 436 00:20:20,640 --> 00:20:22,840 Speaker 2: and choose, do what you want. Those are two bets 437 00:20:22,840 --> 00:20:24,800 Speaker 2: I've made, or three bets I've made so far here 438 00:20:25,080 --> 00:20:28,359 Speaker 2: with the Patriots minus six, Hawks minus four, and the 439 00:20:28,560 --> 00:20:30,640 Speaker 2: Northern and Northern Illinois minus one. 440 00:20:30,920 --> 00:20:31,399 Speaker 1: Don't like it. 441 00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:33,640 Speaker 2: That's all favorites. I don't really love that. But they're 442 00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:35,480 Speaker 2: short numbers for a little bit. A couple of short 443 00:20:35,560 --> 00:20:38,000 Speaker 2: numbers there with a couple of them. Mine's Matt Perrault's 444 00:20:38,160 --> 00:20:40,480 Speaker 2: make sure you're with us tomorrow for the five hundredth 445 00:20:40,520 --> 00:20:43,119 Speaker 2: episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. Follow me on Twitter 446 00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:45,720 Speaker 2: at sports Talk Matt. Every morning we're here for the 447 00:20:45,800 --> 00:20:46,880 Speaker 2: Daily Juice Podcast.