1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:02,840 Speaker 1: Brought to you by the reinvented two thousand twelve camera. 2 00:00:03,160 --> 00:00:08,880 Speaker 1: It's ready. Are you get in touch with technology? With 3 00:00:09,039 --> 00:00:17,960 Speaker 1: text stuff from how stuff works dot com. Hello again, everyone, 4 00:00:18,160 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 1: Welcome to tex stuff. My name is Chris Poulette, and 5 00:00:21,360 --> 00:00:23,439 Speaker 1: I am an editor at how stuff works dot Com. 6 00:00:23,480 --> 00:00:26,279 Speaker 1: Sitting across from me as always, just as he was 7 00:00:26,520 --> 00:00:30,240 Speaker 1: a year ago, his senior writer, Jonathan Strickland. You all 8 00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:33,680 Speaker 1: know me, know how I earn a living. I'll catch 9 00:00:33,800 --> 00:00:35,720 Speaker 1: this bird for you, but it ain't gonna be easy. 10 00:00:36,280 --> 00:00:39,760 Speaker 1: Bad fish now like going down the pond chasing bluegills 11 00:00:39,760 --> 00:00:44,680 Speaker 1: and Tommy CODs. This shark swally a hole, little shaken, 12 00:00:45,240 --> 00:00:51,760 Speaker 1: little tenderizing and down you go. Okay, so wow, I 13 00:00:52,040 --> 00:00:54,600 Speaker 1: I yeah, I think we'll figure that out in a minute. 14 00:00:54,720 --> 00:00:56,640 Speaker 1: Of course. You know, if you know the source of 15 00:00:56,720 --> 00:01:02,640 Speaker 1: Jonathan's quotes, please let us know some of you of them. Yeah, 16 00:01:02,640 --> 00:01:04,280 Speaker 1: some of you have been very good about that. We 17 00:01:04,400 --> 00:01:08,039 Speaker 1: got one email that that listed I think thirty nine 18 00:01:08,120 --> 00:01:13,560 Speaker 1: of the quotes. How much Jonathan loves Tron. Yes, but 19 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 1: by the way, that movie I just quoted from not Tron. Alright, Uh, 20 00:01:20,200 --> 00:01:23,400 Speaker 1: this is our this is our annual. Hey, let's see 21 00:01:23,400 --> 00:01:26,600 Speaker 1: how well we did last year podcast where we we 22 00:01:26,640 --> 00:01:30,520 Speaker 1: talked about the predictions we made the year before and uh. 23 00:01:30,640 --> 00:01:33,759 Speaker 1: And first of all, we should mention that we're recording 24 00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:39,360 Speaker 1: this podcast at the very beginning of December of two 25 00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 1: thousand ten, and this is about the predictions we made 26 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:44,080 Speaker 1: for two thousand ten. Now, the reason why I say 27 00:01:44,120 --> 00:01:47,039 Speaker 1: that is because some of these wrong answers may still 28 00:01:47,080 --> 00:01:51,080 Speaker 1: turn right before January, so don't write us in if 29 00:01:51,120 --> 00:01:53,880 Speaker 1: something happened on December thirty one. Some of them were 30 00:01:54,160 --> 00:01:59,680 Speaker 1: very clearly wrong, and mine is the most embarrassing. Now 31 00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:03,440 Speaker 1: I'm looking at the list here, Polette, the list oh 32 00:02:03,600 --> 00:02:06,480 Speaker 1: predictions that the two of us made together. Yeah, this 33 00:02:06,560 --> 00:02:08,440 Speaker 1: was the second time we tried this. We tried this 34 00:02:08,560 --> 00:02:11,080 Speaker 1: at the the end of two thousand eight for two 35 00:02:11,120 --> 00:02:14,160 Speaker 1: thousand nine. Yeah, and uh, I remember being much more 36 00:02:14,360 --> 00:02:16,920 Speaker 1: into it and excited about making predictions because I didn't 37 00:02:16,960 --> 00:02:19,160 Speaker 1: realize how wrong I was going to be. And so 38 00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:22,200 Speaker 1: Jonathan made a ton more predictions for two thousand ten 39 00:02:22,240 --> 00:02:24,079 Speaker 1: than I did because I didn't want to go out 40 00:02:24,080 --> 00:02:26,520 Speaker 1: on the limb, so I was really conservative. Yeah. Also, 41 00:02:26,680 --> 00:02:30,000 Speaker 1: if you remember how I graded them last year, yeah, yeah, 42 00:02:30,200 --> 00:02:31,919 Speaker 1: that's the last time I'm giving you the marker. I 43 00:02:31,919 --> 00:02:33,799 Speaker 1: guess I won't be doing that this year, all right, 44 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:36,200 Speaker 1: So we're gonna start this up. Because I made a 45 00:02:36,280 --> 00:02:39,560 Speaker 1: few more predictions than Mr Pillette, We've decided that Mr 46 00:02:39,600 --> 00:02:42,079 Speaker 1: Pellette will read out some of mine and then we 47 00:02:42,120 --> 00:02:44,840 Speaker 1: will comment upon them, and then occasionally I will read 48 00:02:44,880 --> 00:02:47,280 Speaker 1: out some of his, and then we'll make our way 49 00:02:47,280 --> 00:02:49,400 Speaker 1: through there, and then we're gonna wrap up by talking 50 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:53,239 Speaker 1: about some of the big stories that neither of us predicted. Yes, 51 00:02:53,360 --> 00:02:56,000 Speaker 1: because we thought that would be fun. Okay, cool, all right, 52 00:02:56,080 --> 00:03:00,000 Speaker 1: let's get started. So you said, yes, that would be 53 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:03,760 Speaker 1: the year of the e reader, you know, the devices 54 00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:07,880 Speaker 1: dedicated to books, like the Nook or the Kindle. Uh 55 00:03:08,200 --> 00:03:11,000 Speaker 1: saying that you know, well, you were about to head 56 00:03:11,040 --> 00:03:15,440 Speaker 1: out to see SUH the the show formerly known specifically 57 00:03:15,440 --> 00:03:18,720 Speaker 1: as the Consumer Electronic Show. Every everyone assumes now that 58 00:03:18,880 --> 00:03:21,720 Speaker 1: it's just ce S. I guess. But you said you'd 59 00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:22,959 Speaker 1: see a lot of those when you went out in 60 00:03:23,040 --> 00:03:27,400 Speaker 1: January to Las Vegas, and you did. Some of them 61 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:30,320 Speaker 1: have disappeared since then, never actually hit the marketing, some 62 00:03:30,360 --> 00:03:33,520 Speaker 1: of them never really got a good chance. Yeah, I 63 00:03:33,600 --> 00:03:35,320 Speaker 1: said that that Twain ten would be the year the 64 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:37,600 Speaker 1: e reader, and you disagreed. You said that it would 65 00:03:37,600 --> 00:03:39,920 Speaker 1: take another year. Well, I was going by you know, 66 00:03:40,280 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 1: the analyst Gartner said that the e reader wasn't yet 67 00:03:44,160 --> 00:03:48,960 Speaker 1: ready for the masses. I think the Kindle sales prove 68 00:03:49,200 --> 00:03:51,760 Speaker 1: that wrong. However, I'm gonna I'm gonna call this one 69 00:03:51,800 --> 00:03:56,880 Speaker 1: a tie for us because one, it really is not 70 00:03:57,560 --> 00:03:59,600 Speaker 1: in the United States at any rate. It's still pretty 71 00:03:59,640 --> 00:04:02,760 Speaker 1: much a two horse race, right, And and the first 72 00:04:02,960 --> 00:04:05,840 Speaker 1: horse is the Kindle, and it's way the heck ahead 73 00:04:05,920 --> 00:04:08,600 Speaker 1: of the second horse, which is the Nook. And still 74 00:04:08,600 --> 00:04:10,920 Speaker 1: have other readers, but those are the two main ones. 75 00:04:11,040 --> 00:04:15,800 Speaker 1: And that's if you're going strictly by devices dedicated to readers, right, 76 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:20,240 Speaker 1: because the iPad has become a real contender in the 77 00:04:20,279 --> 00:04:22,680 Speaker 1: e reader space. But the iPad, of course is not 78 00:04:23,320 --> 00:04:27,080 Speaker 1: just an e reader, so that you know. But I 79 00:04:27,120 --> 00:04:32,160 Speaker 1: would say that the iPad still has not um It 80 00:04:32,200 --> 00:04:35,919 Speaker 1: hasn't made e readers obsolete. No, some people said that 81 00:04:35,960 --> 00:04:38,720 Speaker 1: it would because it can do so much more. But 82 00:04:38,960 --> 00:04:40,640 Speaker 1: it turns out that some people just like the e 83 00:04:40,720 --> 00:04:44,719 Speaker 1: reader form factor specifically for reading books. Plus the prices 84 00:04:44,760 --> 00:04:48,160 Speaker 1: come down, and there was another factor by a very 85 00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:51,600 Speaker 1: famous woman who came out in favor of e readers, 86 00:04:52,279 --> 00:04:54,880 Speaker 1: who probably tilted the market a little bit more than 87 00:04:54,880 --> 00:04:57,800 Speaker 1: it might not have benefit had been allowed to sit 88 00:04:57,880 --> 00:05:02,800 Speaker 1: with a lot of anonymous people reading books. Are you 89 00:05:02,880 --> 00:05:04,799 Speaker 1: talking about Wait wait wait wait, are you talking about 90 00:05:04,920 --> 00:05:08,440 Speaker 1: Nicole Kimman? Wait wait wait wait? Are you talking about 91 00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:14,880 Speaker 1: um Red Fraggle? Yes? Not Oprah. As a matter of fact, 92 00:05:15,040 --> 00:05:18,680 Speaker 1: I was talking about the lady who has the network 93 00:05:18,800 --> 00:05:24,040 Speaker 1: starting January one. In January, Sorry, I can remember. I 94 00:05:24,040 --> 00:05:26,200 Speaker 1: think eleven, isn't it? I don't know. You want to 95 00:05:26,200 --> 00:05:30,520 Speaker 1: go back on that. Yes, it was indeed Oprah I 96 00:05:30,560 --> 00:05:35,600 Speaker 1: was speaking of with the the new network on Discovery. Yeah, 97 00:05:35,640 --> 00:05:39,240 Speaker 1: and uh yeah, Oprah. Really the kindle became one of 98 00:05:39,240 --> 00:05:41,960 Speaker 1: her favorite things, right, Yeah, and of course she she 99 00:05:42,000 --> 00:05:45,360 Speaker 1: has a bully pulpit in her show, so we're so. 100 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:47,280 Speaker 1: You know, as soon as she mentioned that, a lot 101 00:05:47,320 --> 00:05:49,960 Speaker 1: of people who may not necessarily have been interested, you know, 102 00:05:50,040 --> 00:05:52,000 Speaker 1: checked it out and discovered they liked it. Yeah. Actually, 103 00:05:52,200 --> 00:05:54,680 Speaker 1: that was one of those devices that that quickly got 104 00:05:54,720 --> 00:05:57,839 Speaker 1: outside that niche market of the you know, the the 105 00:05:57,880 --> 00:06:03,080 Speaker 1: early adopter tech guys gals, and hit a broader audience 106 00:06:03,080 --> 00:06:06,200 Speaker 1: pretty quickly and and they still have been doing pretty well. 107 00:06:06,480 --> 00:06:08,840 Speaker 1: I'm still calling it a tie. I still don't think 108 00:06:09,560 --> 00:06:12,000 Speaker 1: was really technically the year of the e reader. I 109 00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:16,200 Speaker 1: think the iPad managed to two deflect that quite a bit. 110 00:06:16,360 --> 00:06:20,840 Speaker 1: So um, but it certainly did hit public mass consciousness. Yes, 111 00:06:21,640 --> 00:06:24,400 Speaker 1: readers did really well, and they continued to do well 112 00:06:24,480 --> 00:06:28,920 Speaker 1: during Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales as well. Okay, 113 00:06:28,960 --> 00:06:31,240 Speaker 1: so let's go. I guess to another one of mine. 114 00:06:31,320 --> 00:06:34,000 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, and one of your on the iPad, the 115 00:06:34,040 --> 00:06:38,960 Speaker 1: iPod Touch camera. Hey look at that ding? Yeah, I 116 00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:42,120 Speaker 1: got one right? Um, that was it was almost I 117 00:06:42,120 --> 00:06:44,280 Speaker 1: think I said last year that that one was pretty 118 00:06:44,360 --> 00:06:47,239 Speaker 1: much gimme. Uh. And even though Apple had not said 119 00:06:47,320 --> 00:06:51,240 Speaker 1: anything to that effect, I could not imagine another year 120 00:06:51,279 --> 00:06:55,120 Speaker 1: going by of iPod updates and not seeing a camera 121 00:06:55,279 --> 00:06:58,360 Speaker 1: in the new iPod Touch and uh. And of course 122 00:06:58,400 --> 00:07:02,080 Speaker 1: they've They've added the capability of being able to join 123 00:07:03,000 --> 00:07:06,960 Speaker 1: face time using iPod Touch over WiFi, just like if 124 00:07:07,120 --> 00:07:10,720 Speaker 1: people who use the iPhone. So I got one, right, 125 00:07:11,080 --> 00:07:13,920 Speaker 1: you got one right? More. I think this would be 126 00:07:13,920 --> 00:07:16,080 Speaker 1: a good time for my first one. All right, So 127 00:07:17,000 --> 00:07:21,320 Speaker 1: Apple release something likely. I love that you said something 128 00:07:21,520 --> 00:07:23,920 Speaker 1: talk about hedging your bets. I told you I was 129 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:30,360 Speaker 1: being really conservative because it could have released like doves 130 00:07:30,400 --> 00:07:34,000 Speaker 1: and it would have been right. They released a plague 131 00:07:34,000 --> 00:07:36,760 Speaker 1: of locusts in the in the Google headquarters and it 132 00:07:36,840 --> 00:07:41,120 Speaker 1: would have okay. Anyway, so Pletts says Apple will release something, 133 00:07:41,480 --> 00:07:45,000 Speaker 1: you know, the master prognosticator here. But then he went 134 00:07:45,000 --> 00:07:47,080 Speaker 1: on to say it would likely be a tablet and 135 00:07:47,120 --> 00:07:50,280 Speaker 1: it would sell well, but not as well as all 136 00:07:50,320 --> 00:07:53,160 Speaker 1: the hype leading up to the tablet would have indicated. 137 00:07:53,200 --> 00:07:56,800 Speaker 1: In other words, if you remember lots of hype, right, well, yeah, 138 00:07:56,800 --> 00:07:59,280 Speaker 1: if you remember this time, well, this time, I don't 139 00:07:59,280 --> 00:08:01,160 Speaker 1: know when you're listening to this, If you remember the 140 00:08:01,200 --> 00:08:05,240 Speaker 1: winter of two thousand and nine, that was really when 141 00:08:05,320 --> 00:08:10,840 Speaker 1: people were speculating about this tablet device more than ever before, 142 00:08:10,880 --> 00:08:14,760 Speaker 1: and that that speculation had started years earlier. I mean 143 00:08:14,760 --> 00:08:16,440 Speaker 1: we're talking like, I think it had been like two 144 00:08:16,520 --> 00:08:19,000 Speaker 1: years since people had started talking about an Apple tablet 145 00:08:19,480 --> 00:08:22,520 Speaker 1: and uh and so yeah, everyone was was really convinced 146 00:08:22,520 --> 00:08:24,320 Speaker 1: that Apple is going to come out with this. Um. 147 00:08:24,880 --> 00:08:27,040 Speaker 1: I should also say that I made a similar prediction, 148 00:08:27,080 --> 00:08:29,240 Speaker 1: except I said that Apple would come out with a 149 00:08:29,280 --> 00:08:33,240 Speaker 1: tablet and that it would tank. I think we both 150 00:08:33,440 --> 00:08:35,880 Speaker 1: technically got this a little wrong. I got it. I 151 00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:38,559 Speaker 1: got it way wrong. I was completely wrong. I mean, 152 00:08:38,640 --> 00:08:40,400 Speaker 1: apart from the fact that they came out with a tablet, 153 00:08:40,440 --> 00:08:44,040 Speaker 1: that part was right. Did you all hear that it 154 00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:46,960 Speaker 1: wasn't just me? I know, yes, Okay, Once in a 155 00:08:46,960 --> 00:08:49,440 Speaker 1: while I say things that don't turn out to be 156 00:08:49,480 --> 00:08:53,320 Speaker 1: true because, like John teethor I traveled back from an 157 00:08:53,400 --> 00:08:58,679 Speaker 1: alternate future where the iPad flocked. That's my defense. I 158 00:09:00,080 --> 00:09:03,640 Speaker 1: clearly it's three degrees of difference from my reality. I 159 00:09:03,679 --> 00:09:05,600 Speaker 1: hope you I hope you guys listened to the j 160 00:09:05,720 --> 00:09:09,280 Speaker 1: T podcast anyway. So, yeah, I said it was gonna flop. 161 00:09:09,320 --> 00:09:11,600 Speaker 1: I was totally wrong. Chris said it was gonna sell well, 162 00:09:11,640 --> 00:09:14,560 Speaker 1: but not as well as people thought. Actually ended up selling. 163 00:09:15,000 --> 00:09:17,520 Speaker 1: I think it's sell better hot cakes. Yeah it was. 164 00:09:17,640 --> 00:09:20,080 Speaker 1: It flew off store shelves well. Keeping in mind that 165 00:09:20,280 --> 00:09:25,040 Speaker 1: the previous tablets, the Windows based tablets, which were essentially 166 00:09:25,120 --> 00:09:28,800 Speaker 1: laptop computers that the screen flipped around. Yeah, uh, they 167 00:09:28,800 --> 00:09:30,800 Speaker 1: didn't really do so well. So I kind of figured, 168 00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:33,520 Speaker 1: you know, well, they they'll probably do well, but nobody 169 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:36,760 Speaker 1: really wants to tablet as much as they say we do. 170 00:09:37,040 --> 00:09:40,800 Speaker 1: Once it turns out Chris and I totally underestimated how 171 00:09:41,160 --> 00:09:43,600 Speaker 1: Apple can convince us to buy stuff. In fact, I 172 00:09:43,600 --> 00:09:45,360 Speaker 1: will go so far as to say fifty of the 173 00:09:45,360 --> 00:09:48,280 Speaker 1: people in this room have an iPad right now. Of 174 00:09:48,280 --> 00:09:50,800 Speaker 1: the people in this room at the moment caved within 175 00:09:50,840 --> 00:09:53,200 Speaker 1: a week of the release, and it's still upset. Actually, 176 00:09:53,240 --> 00:09:56,199 Speaker 1: I should I should amend that people in this recording 177 00:09:56,320 --> 00:09:59,120 Speaker 1: area of this room, because we have our producer out 178 00:09:59,120 --> 00:10:01,480 Speaker 1: there and I don't. Hey, Matt, do you have an iPad? 179 00:10:02,760 --> 00:10:05,600 Speaker 1: Matt does not. So the people in this room own 180 00:10:05,640 --> 00:10:09,440 Speaker 1: an iPad? How do you like them? Odds? So, yeah, 181 00:10:09,480 --> 00:10:12,720 Speaker 1: Anyway did really, really well. So we both got that 182 00:10:13,200 --> 00:10:15,160 Speaker 1: kriska just a little wrong. But I'm going to give 183 00:10:15,240 --> 00:10:18,560 Speaker 1: him a checkmark on this because he was more more 184 00:10:19,120 --> 00:10:23,720 Speaker 1: right than not right. I was totally wrong. Alright, So 185 00:10:23,760 --> 00:10:25,920 Speaker 1: it's your turn to read another one of my predictions. Yes, 186 00:10:26,240 --> 00:10:29,360 Speaker 1: here's another one we got that you got mostly right, 187 00:10:29,559 --> 00:10:34,240 Speaker 1: and uh yeah, Anyway will come and go without an 188 00:10:34,240 --> 00:10:37,200 Speaker 1: announcement of a new console from Sony or Microsoft. But 189 00:10:37,280 --> 00:10:41,360 Speaker 1: Nintendo might come out with something, and I agreed with you. 190 00:10:41,400 --> 00:10:44,680 Speaker 1: I thought that would be likely. Yeah, I thought at 191 00:10:44,720 --> 00:10:48,400 Speaker 1: the time that Nintendo might announce a successor possibly to 192 00:10:48,440 --> 00:10:51,240 Speaker 1: the Wei. As it turns out, Nintendo did not do that. 193 00:10:51,360 --> 00:10:55,040 Speaker 1: Nintendo or hasn't so far. December. We still have December 194 00:10:55,080 --> 00:10:57,600 Speaker 1: to go. Yeah, this isn't the time for announcements like 195 00:10:57,640 --> 00:11:00,520 Speaker 1: that because people don't want to cannibalize the today sales. 196 00:11:00,559 --> 00:11:02,800 Speaker 1: They're gonna keep mom on it even I'm sure they're all. 197 00:11:02,840 --> 00:11:06,760 Speaker 1: I agree with my earlier self when I said that 198 00:11:07,000 --> 00:11:09,080 Speaker 1: I think they're working on the next All of them 199 00:11:09,120 --> 00:11:11,000 Speaker 1: are working on the next generation. They're just ready to 200 00:11:11,040 --> 00:11:12,839 Speaker 1: share with us what they're doing. Yeah, and and and 201 00:11:13,000 --> 00:11:16,360 Speaker 1: my reasoning behind that was that both Sony and Microsoft 202 00:11:16,440 --> 00:11:18,839 Speaker 1: were coming out with new peripherals and that would be 203 00:11:18,960 --> 00:11:22,679 Speaker 1: the move and the connect um and uh and I thought, well, 204 00:11:22,720 --> 00:11:25,440 Speaker 1: if you're doing that, you wouldn't want to cannibalize those 205 00:11:25,480 --> 00:11:27,760 Speaker 1: sales by suggesting that you were going to come out 206 00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:30,400 Speaker 1: with a new console the following year, because people might say, well, 207 00:11:30,440 --> 00:11:33,240 Speaker 1: what if the peripherals aren't compatible with the new console. 208 00:11:34,040 --> 00:11:36,439 Speaker 1: So um, yeah, I was I was right. Sony and 209 00:11:36,520 --> 00:11:40,640 Speaker 1: Microsoft did not announce anything. Nintendo did announce the three DS, 210 00:11:41,520 --> 00:11:44,400 Speaker 1: which is a new gaming device, but it's not a console. 211 00:11:44,480 --> 00:11:47,839 Speaker 1: It's a handheld. It is an interesting handheld device, and 212 00:11:47,920 --> 00:11:50,560 Speaker 1: it is a variation on an original on their Earth. 213 00:11:50,640 --> 00:11:53,720 Speaker 1: So you know, I'm more right than not with this one, 214 00:11:53,800 --> 00:11:56,199 Speaker 1: but I think, uh, yeah, it's not a it's not 215 00:11:56,280 --> 00:11:58,280 Speaker 1: a total win on this one either. Yeah, the tech 216 00:11:58,320 --> 00:12:00,760 Speaker 1: industry is kind of aren't to pin down on. Yeah, alright, 217 00:12:00,840 --> 00:12:03,000 Speaker 1: hit me with another one. We have one of these 218 00:12:03,120 --> 00:12:05,280 Speaker 1: science more science e This is before we had a 219 00:12:05,679 --> 00:12:08,640 Speaker 1: science oriented podcast. So we actually talked about the Large 220 00:12:08,640 --> 00:12:11,880 Speaker 1: Hadron Collider, which is the if you'll remember, the Large 221 00:12:11,920 --> 00:12:16,360 Speaker 1: Particle Accelerator in Europe, Europe, Europe. There we go. Uh, 222 00:12:16,600 --> 00:12:18,719 Speaker 1: and you said it would either uncover evidence of the 223 00:12:18,800 --> 00:12:23,360 Speaker 1: Higgs boson particle or something even weirder. Yeah, that has 224 00:12:23,559 --> 00:12:27,800 Speaker 1: not really come to pass. Although recently the LHC has 225 00:12:27,920 --> 00:12:33,280 Speaker 1: managed to recreate on a miniscule scale conditions similar to 226 00:12:33,559 --> 00:12:36,240 Speaker 1: that that we believe existed right after the Big Bang. 227 00:12:37,360 --> 00:12:41,560 Speaker 1: So that's pretty cool, but nothing to the point where 228 00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:44,000 Speaker 1: at least none of the information has trickled out where 229 00:12:44,040 --> 00:12:46,880 Speaker 1: it's something brand new that we didn't know, it's something 230 00:12:46,960 --> 00:12:49,319 Speaker 1: that we haven't achieved before. But it's not like we 231 00:12:49,440 --> 00:12:54,520 Speaker 1: have new information that either confirms our hypotheses or uh 232 00:12:54,679 --> 00:12:56,400 Speaker 1: disproves them, and now we have to come up with 233 00:12:56,440 --> 00:13:00,520 Speaker 1: a new model. So right, so nothing as drumatic as that, 234 00:13:00,679 --> 00:13:03,520 Speaker 1: all right, can I read another one of yours? Now? Okay, 235 00:13:04,000 --> 00:13:06,559 Speaker 1: so Chris, here's another one of yours. The Nexus one 236 00:13:06,679 --> 00:13:09,520 Speaker 1: will come out and be a consumer device and will 237 00:13:09,520 --> 00:13:12,240 Speaker 1: be exclusive to T Mobile. And I agreed with that. 238 00:13:12,640 --> 00:13:16,200 Speaker 1: The Nexus one phone, uh, Android phone did come out 239 00:13:16,920 --> 00:13:19,760 Speaker 1: through both Google and through T Mobile. Uh, it was 240 00:13:19,840 --> 00:13:24,319 Speaker 1: a consumer device. Um, it wasn't technically exclusive to T Mobile, 241 00:13:24,320 --> 00:13:26,360 Speaker 1: but there was no real easy way to use it 242 00:13:26,440 --> 00:13:29,080 Speaker 1: on other networks if you were just purchasing for yourself. 243 00:13:29,800 --> 00:13:33,120 Speaker 1: They did sell that well, the Google the phone you 244 00:13:33,160 --> 00:13:37,679 Speaker 1: could get from Google was unlocked GSM phone, so you could, 245 00:13:38,760 --> 00:13:40,400 Speaker 1: you know, use it with a T and T here 246 00:13:40,440 --> 00:13:42,480 Speaker 1: in the United States. That would mean you'd have to 247 00:13:42,720 --> 00:13:46,640 Speaker 1: shave down the simcard though, right or no? The SIM 248 00:13:46,679 --> 00:13:48,920 Speaker 1: cards on a T and T are different, our size, 249 00:13:48,960 --> 00:13:50,880 Speaker 1: differently from the ones on T Mobile. So that was 250 00:13:50,960 --> 00:13:54,079 Speaker 1: the that was the plan. I'm sorry I misspoke then, No, no, no, no, 251 00:13:54,280 --> 00:13:57,080 Speaker 1: I think but they were unlocked. Yeah, they were unlocked 252 00:13:57,200 --> 00:13:59,280 Speaker 1: and so um, but you didn't have to buy a 253 00:13:59,360 --> 00:14:02,240 Speaker 1: contract with mobile to exactly. Yeah, you could use this 254 00:14:02,320 --> 00:14:04,400 Speaker 1: on an existing contract if you already had one with 255 00:14:04,559 --> 00:14:07,200 Speaker 1: T Mobile, you didn't have to sign a new contract. Um, 256 00:14:07,360 --> 00:14:09,959 Speaker 1: I will. I'm gonna say that this is a win 257 00:14:10,120 --> 00:14:13,599 Speaker 1: for you. Um. Now. Granted, the next one did not 258 00:14:13,800 --> 00:14:17,200 Speaker 1: remain a consumer device for all of two thousand and ten, 259 00:14:17,440 --> 00:14:20,240 Speaker 1: it did go off the market eventually. Yeah, it actually, 260 00:14:20,320 --> 00:14:23,440 Speaker 1: it actually left the market pretty quickly all things considered. Yeah, 261 00:14:23,480 --> 00:14:25,840 Speaker 1: it was one of those things where I think Google 262 00:14:26,440 --> 00:14:30,040 Speaker 1: discovered that trying to sell a device through their own 263 00:14:30,920 --> 00:14:34,000 Speaker 1: system just didn't work as well. For one thing, it 264 00:14:34,040 --> 00:14:36,920 Speaker 1: didn't allow consumers the chance to get a device in 265 00:14:37,040 --> 00:14:40,920 Speaker 1: their hands and play with it before committing to purchasing 266 00:14:41,160 --> 00:14:45,600 Speaker 1: the device. And uh, and smartphones aren't cheap, so it's 267 00:14:45,640 --> 00:14:47,840 Speaker 1: hard to say, you know what, I'm just gonna take 268 00:14:47,880 --> 00:14:50,240 Speaker 1: it on faith that this is a good hand set 269 00:14:50,360 --> 00:14:52,280 Speaker 1: and a good operating system, and I'm just gonna buy 270 00:14:52,320 --> 00:14:55,440 Speaker 1: it without getting my hands on it. So um, Yeah, 271 00:14:55,480 --> 00:14:57,640 Speaker 1: it didn't stay out for the consumer market for all 272 00:14:57,680 --> 00:14:59,720 Speaker 1: of two thousand and ten, but I think it's still 273 00:14:59,760 --> 00:15:04,200 Speaker 1: count and uh, although I have fewer predictions, I think 274 00:15:04,240 --> 00:15:06,440 Speaker 1: it might be a good point time to point out 275 00:15:06,480 --> 00:15:08,520 Speaker 1: that My next one was sort of related, which was 276 00:15:08,800 --> 00:15:12,480 Speaker 1: T Mobile's merger with another company, which, man, it's been 277 00:15:12,560 --> 00:15:15,520 Speaker 1: rumored like every three months, and it was I think 278 00:15:15,520 --> 00:15:17,640 Speaker 1: it was big around this time last year, around the 279 00:15:17,720 --> 00:15:20,720 Speaker 1: end of the year two thousand nine. But it's just 280 00:15:21,120 --> 00:15:24,040 Speaker 1: as as many times as people have predicted its death. 281 00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:27,360 Speaker 1: T Mobile is still hanging in there as a separate company. Independent. 282 00:15:27,520 --> 00:15:29,640 Speaker 1: I think we called out survey says you would get 283 00:15:29,680 --> 00:15:32,320 Speaker 1: an on this one. Yeah, I think you're right, all right, 284 00:15:32,440 --> 00:15:37,600 Speaker 1: so why don't you do it? Um? Okay, uh, here's 285 00:15:37,680 --> 00:15:40,440 Speaker 1: here's a ding on the game show buzzer for you. 286 00:15:40,960 --> 00:15:43,200 Speaker 1: We'll start to see the pay version of Hulu appear 287 00:15:43,280 --> 00:15:46,280 Speaker 1: in hooray it. As a matter of fact, we both 288 00:15:46,320 --> 00:15:50,720 Speaker 1: had predicted that one. Hooray for both of us. Um, well, 289 00:15:50,760 --> 00:15:52,640 Speaker 1: I mean this was this was one of our more 290 00:15:53,240 --> 00:15:56,880 Speaker 1: uh easy targets. I would say, well, the low hanging fruit. 291 00:15:57,000 --> 00:15:59,680 Speaker 1: It was. It was one of those things where it 292 00:15:59,800 --> 00:16:03,080 Speaker 1: was being talked about at in in two thousand nine, 293 00:16:04,240 --> 00:16:07,440 Speaker 1: but the question was whether or not Hulu would actually 294 00:16:07,440 --> 00:16:09,960 Speaker 1: go through with it, because you know, sometimes companies talk 295 00:16:10,000 --> 00:16:13,440 Speaker 1: about potential business models but nothing ever happens of it. 296 00:16:13,920 --> 00:16:16,000 Speaker 1: In this case, it did happen. Hulu does have a 297 00:16:16,080 --> 00:16:21,120 Speaker 1: paid version, Hulu Plus, which has some some benefits and 298 00:16:21,200 --> 00:16:26,080 Speaker 1: some limitations compared to the free Hulu service. So yeah, 299 00:16:26,240 --> 00:16:28,800 Speaker 1: that one was that one we both got right. Hooray, 300 00:16:29,080 --> 00:16:31,560 Speaker 1: let's do another one of mine. All right. You also 301 00:16:31,600 --> 00:16:34,520 Speaker 1: said that we would see wireless HD components. Okay, never, 302 00:16:35,520 --> 00:16:39,280 Speaker 1: that's just market Yeah, all right, Okay, so that didn't happen. 303 00:16:39,720 --> 00:16:44,080 Speaker 1: This was talking about things like devices like DVD players 304 00:16:44,120 --> 00:16:47,400 Speaker 1: and Blu ray players and cable boxes even that would 305 00:16:47,440 --> 00:16:50,600 Speaker 1: not require you to use a cable to hook up 306 00:16:50,720 --> 00:16:53,400 Speaker 1: directly to your TV. They would have power cables, but 307 00:16:53,520 --> 00:16:57,600 Speaker 1: otherwise would transmit data wirelessly. We're still not there yet. 308 00:16:57,640 --> 00:17:00,280 Speaker 1: Despite the fact that I've seen such systems at the 309 00:17:00,760 --> 00:17:06,600 Speaker 1: CSU conference every year since we started going, they still 310 00:17:06,680 --> 00:17:09,240 Speaker 1: have not really hit the market. My guess is it 311 00:17:09,400 --> 00:17:13,359 Speaker 1: may partially be due to the economy, because people's stuff 312 00:17:13,440 --> 00:17:16,679 Speaker 1: already works and there I would imagine that the manufacturers 313 00:17:16,720 --> 00:17:19,199 Speaker 1: are probably thinking, yeah, I'm not sure that people are 314 00:17:19,240 --> 00:17:21,120 Speaker 1: ready to upgrade. I think it might also be due 315 00:17:21,160 --> 00:17:24,119 Speaker 1: to those guys in the parking lot all holding bats 316 00:17:24,320 --> 00:17:27,000 Speaker 1: and wearing jackets that say Monster Cable on the back. 317 00:17:27,720 --> 00:17:33,360 Speaker 1: You're anyway, that was not me. Um, I predict next 318 00:17:33,440 --> 00:17:37,720 Speaker 1: year my legs will be broken. Um. You also said 319 00:17:37,720 --> 00:17:40,040 Speaker 1: we'd see the war of the four G technologies take off. 320 00:17:40,200 --> 00:17:43,880 Speaker 1: That's wy max and LTE. We're just starting to see 321 00:17:44,320 --> 00:17:47,960 Speaker 1: that come to a head right now. So I I 322 00:17:48,080 --> 00:17:51,160 Speaker 1: say that's a partial win. I would, but Verizon will 323 00:17:51,200 --> 00:17:54,080 Speaker 1: be At the time we're recording this, Verizon has announced 324 00:17:54,119 --> 00:17:56,680 Speaker 1: that it's going to be launching its LTE network and 325 00:17:56,800 --> 00:17:59,200 Speaker 1: I think thirty eight cities in just a few days. 326 00:17:59,240 --> 00:18:01,439 Speaker 1: So by the time this this publishes, it will already 327 00:18:01,520 --> 00:18:04,280 Speaker 1: have happened. The launch will have happened. Yeah. I have 328 00:18:04,400 --> 00:18:08,080 Speaker 1: a similar related prediction. Yeah, oh you said, um, on's 329 00:18:08,240 --> 00:18:11,320 Speaker 1: where it's the next to last one on the next Yeah, 330 00:18:11,359 --> 00:18:14,080 Speaker 1: the first LTE structure will get built out in the 331 00:18:14,240 --> 00:18:17,080 Speaker 1: United States because there were some in Europe already. And 332 00:18:17,200 --> 00:18:21,960 Speaker 1: that's true. Although it's really funny because it wasn't Verizon 333 00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:24,119 Speaker 1: who did it first, nor was it a T n 334 00:18:24,160 --> 00:18:28,000 Speaker 1: T or sprint to our T mobile. It was metro 335 00:18:28,200 --> 00:18:31,880 Speaker 1: PCs who beat everyone to the punch. Where you at? Dog? 336 00:18:32,119 --> 00:18:37,200 Speaker 1: Where am I at? I'm sorry? Yeah, tro PCs is 337 00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:39,680 Speaker 1: actually I've got friends who use that that that that 338 00:18:40,119 --> 00:18:43,960 Speaker 1: there's subscribers to metro PCs. Yeah. Now they are a 339 00:18:44,080 --> 00:18:46,879 Speaker 1: much smaller carrier, which probably helps them in building out 340 00:18:46,920 --> 00:18:50,560 Speaker 1: their LTE network. But uh yeah, one day tuned into 341 00:18:50,560 --> 00:18:53,879 Speaker 1: the Tech News Metro PCs builds out an LTE network 342 00:18:53,920 --> 00:18:57,000 Speaker 1: and I said, I'm sorry, what but they did it? 343 00:18:57,280 --> 00:18:59,800 Speaker 1: So they I get a point. My next the next 344 00:19:00,119 --> 00:19:05,800 Speaker 1: for me is a another big win for me, for me, 345 00:19:05,960 --> 00:19:09,639 Speaker 1: not for them. Ah. Yes, that would be Palm, the 346 00:19:09,920 --> 00:19:13,720 Speaker 1: formerly independent company. Uh that came out with the Palm 347 00:19:13,800 --> 00:19:16,359 Speaker 1: Pre smartphone. Of course, the Palm pilots for years the 348 00:19:17,560 --> 00:19:21,680 Speaker 1: handheld digital assistance. You said that they would either go 349 00:19:21,760 --> 00:19:25,040 Speaker 1: out of business or get acquired, and they got acquired, 350 00:19:26,160 --> 00:19:28,359 Speaker 1: So there you go. I actually now again this was 351 00:19:28,400 --> 00:19:31,480 Speaker 1: one of those things that this was not a sure 352 00:19:31,600 --> 00:19:34,000 Speaker 1: thing when I predicted it, but it was it was 353 00:19:34,080 --> 00:19:36,880 Speaker 1: something I felt fairly confident about because they were coming 354 00:19:36,920 --> 00:19:39,560 Speaker 1: out with a new phone. The Pre actually know at 355 00:19:39,600 --> 00:19:41,760 Speaker 1: this point was the Pixie. The Pre had already come out. 356 00:19:42,000 --> 00:19:48,080 Speaker 1: Um at the beginning of nine they showed it c 357 00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:51,240 Speaker 1: E S CS two thousand nine. It was yeah, everyone 358 00:19:51,320 --> 00:19:54,640 Speaker 1: went crazy for the Pre. When c S two thousand nine, 359 00:19:54,800 --> 00:19:57,560 Speaker 1: it didn't come out until the spring of two thousand nine, 360 00:19:57,560 --> 00:20:00,520 Speaker 1: which was the problem, right, They couldn't capitalize on that buzz, 361 00:20:01,520 --> 00:20:03,440 Speaker 1: and then the Pre just did not sell very well. 362 00:20:03,640 --> 00:20:05,520 Speaker 1: They came out with the Pixie towards the end of 363 00:20:05,600 --> 00:20:07,520 Speaker 1: two thousand nine, but I said that the Pixie was 364 00:20:07,600 --> 00:20:10,720 Speaker 1: not priced at such a point that it would keep 365 00:20:10,840 --> 00:20:13,720 Speaker 1: the company going. I had forgotten and uh, and sure 366 00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:16,840 Speaker 1: enough I was right. They started to really waiver and 367 00:20:16,920 --> 00:20:20,399 Speaker 1: then they got acquired. But they were acquired by Hewlett 368 00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:23,920 Speaker 1: Packard and p HP is talking about doing some things 369 00:20:24,000 --> 00:20:27,520 Speaker 1: with the Palm, the new web OS, the operating system 370 00:20:27,560 --> 00:20:29,480 Speaker 1: for the Pre and Pixie, talking about using it for 371 00:20:29,560 --> 00:20:32,520 Speaker 1: tablets or possibly even phones, even though they said at 372 00:20:32,600 --> 00:20:35,440 Speaker 1: one time they weren't interested in doing phones. Then that's 373 00:20:35,480 --> 00:20:37,760 Speaker 1: one of those things that kind of flip flops on. Well, 374 00:20:37,840 --> 00:20:39,800 Speaker 1: you know, when you got a good platform. And apparently, 375 00:20:39,920 --> 00:20:42,000 Speaker 1: from from what I've heard, the web os is a 376 00:20:42,080 --> 00:20:45,080 Speaker 1: pretty decent operating system. So there, okay, so let me 377 00:20:45,119 --> 00:20:50,000 Speaker 1: do one of yours. Apple will embrace music rental and 378 00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:54,920 Speaker 1: or streaming service on iTunes. We are still waiting for this, 379 00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:59,520 Speaker 1: but it appears that something along those lines may be coming. 380 00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:03,000 Speaker 1: They the company purchased La La. Yeah, and La La 381 00:21:03,280 --> 00:21:06,840 Speaker 1: was a streaming music service. Yep. And they're building in 382 00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:10,239 Speaker 1: a huge data center in North Carolina. So it may 383 00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:12,280 Speaker 1: be that this is still going to hit. It's just 384 00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:14,080 Speaker 1: doesn't look like it's going to hit by the end 385 00:21:14,119 --> 00:21:16,240 Speaker 1: of Yeah, and there are there are a lot of 386 00:21:16,320 --> 00:21:18,240 Speaker 1: licensing agreements that have to be in place for something 387 00:21:18,320 --> 00:21:21,959 Speaker 1: like this to happen, and it wouldn't. It's also prevented 388 00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:25,280 Speaker 1: Spotify from launching in the United States. There's licensing agreements exactly. 389 00:21:25,359 --> 00:21:28,280 Speaker 1: It wouldn't surprise me to see this if they do 390 00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:33,119 Speaker 1: get all their those those problems tucked away. It wouldn't 391 00:21:33,119 --> 00:21:36,200 Speaker 1: surprise me to see this announced being announced in January, 392 00:21:36,280 --> 00:21:40,960 Speaker 1: because there's usually an Apple announcement sometime in January. Of course, 393 00:21:41,000 --> 00:21:46,520 Speaker 1: that might also be the next iPad that we hear about. Yep. 394 00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:49,399 Speaker 1: Do you want to do another oil skip skip the 395 00:21:49,560 --> 00:21:51,520 Speaker 1: next one that's on my list, because that's the one 396 00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:52,960 Speaker 1: that I want to save to the end. Okay, we 397 00:21:53,000 --> 00:21:57,000 Speaker 1: can do that. You mentioned the rise in three D entertainment. 398 00:21:57,480 --> 00:21:59,800 Speaker 1: That would be a great day old ding. Yeah, for 399 00:22:00,000 --> 00:22:02,920 Speaker 1: at least for movies. For TV, it's still pretty slow 400 00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:05,040 Speaker 1: to take off. Although three D televisions are on the 401 00:22:05,119 --> 00:22:08,720 Speaker 1: market as of the holiday season, and there are three 402 00:22:08,840 --> 00:22:13,480 Speaker 1: D channels out already. Um, but it's it's still in 403 00:22:13,600 --> 00:22:17,480 Speaker 1: its earliest days for television. But as far as movies go, Yeah, 404 00:22:17,640 --> 00:22:21,440 Speaker 1: it went crazy. Avatar really helped that a lot. Yep, 405 00:22:21,640 --> 00:22:25,000 Speaker 1: it hasn't uh, it hasn't stalled out, so it's continuing 406 00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:28,800 Speaker 1: to move. It's just moving slowly. So yeah, I think 407 00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:32,720 Speaker 1: I think it's a win. Um. Also, you uh you 408 00:22:32,800 --> 00:22:35,720 Speaker 1: said more virtual machines will be used in the workplace. Yeah, 409 00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:37,680 Speaker 1: that one is kind of hard for me to verify. 410 00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:40,760 Speaker 1: I don't know that that many companies actually switched to 411 00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:45,160 Speaker 1: a virtual machine. Uh system. Now, that would be of course, 412 00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:48,080 Speaker 1: where you don't necessarily have a computer. You might have 413 00:22:48,160 --> 00:22:51,120 Speaker 1: a monitor and a keyboard and you have a vert 414 00:22:51,160 --> 00:22:53,280 Speaker 1: wall of virtual machine that you lug into the it's 415 00:22:53,280 --> 00:22:58,040 Speaker 1: actually kind of hosted on a another corporate machine and 416 00:22:58,280 --> 00:23:01,399 Speaker 1: uh so you don't have your own personal computer. Uh. 417 00:23:01,760 --> 00:23:04,359 Speaker 1: There may be some companies have switched over, but it 418 00:23:04,520 --> 00:23:07,480 Speaker 1: wasn't a big movement as far as I can tell, 419 00:23:07,560 --> 00:23:09,880 Speaker 1: So I'm going to call that a miss on my part. 420 00:23:10,640 --> 00:23:15,600 Speaker 1: Then you've got movie studios will start testing downloadable movie 421 00:23:15,680 --> 00:23:20,840 Speaker 1: business models, possibly through through the Comcast acquisition of NBC Universal. Well, 422 00:23:20,880 --> 00:23:25,280 Speaker 1: the acquisition is still pending pending, so that's we'll have 423 00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:27,680 Speaker 1: to wait and see if that actually goes through. But 424 00:23:27,760 --> 00:23:31,440 Speaker 1: as far as the studios testing downloadable movie business models, 425 00:23:33,000 --> 00:23:35,240 Speaker 1: we we can see streaming versions of this all over 426 00:23:35,280 --> 00:23:39,440 Speaker 1: the place. Right, there's Plus, there's Netflix, there are other um, 427 00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:43,200 Speaker 1: there are other actual set top devices that are doing this. 428 00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:47,360 Speaker 1: I call this a win. Well Netflix, Uh, the Netflix 429 00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:51,359 Speaker 1: CEO just not terribly long time before we recorded this, 430 00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:55,320 Speaker 1: in early December, announced that Netflix is a streaming video 431 00:23:55,400 --> 00:24:00,760 Speaker 1: company and not a DVD mail company anymore. So it's 432 00:24:00,800 --> 00:24:03,920 Speaker 1: definitely the way they're they're headed. Well, I only have 433 00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:07,480 Speaker 1: two more left, so, um, there's one more I have, 434 00:24:07,640 --> 00:24:09,720 Speaker 1: but I think we should save that before right before 435 00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:14,280 Speaker 1: yours then, so let's go with yours. The newspaper attempt 436 00:24:14,359 --> 00:24:17,479 Speaker 1: to get behind a paywall. That was a big thing 437 00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:20,320 Speaker 1: at the end of last year. Um, people talking about 438 00:24:20,359 --> 00:24:24,080 Speaker 1: the possibility of removing themselves from Google. Uh, you know 439 00:24:24,600 --> 00:24:27,520 Speaker 1: for some companies that have newspapers behind the paywall. Now, 440 00:24:27,640 --> 00:24:30,560 Speaker 1: if you access the article through Google instead of going 441 00:24:30,640 --> 00:24:32,600 Speaker 1: directly to the site, you can read the whole article. 442 00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:36,800 Speaker 1: I won't mention any you know, major newspaper names. Rupert 443 00:24:36,840 --> 00:24:43,840 Speaker 1: Murdoch may be involved with them, famous business publications owned 444 00:24:43,920 --> 00:24:48,560 Speaker 1: by Yes, but yeah, I mean there there are situations 445 00:24:48,640 --> 00:24:51,120 Speaker 1: where in which they've said, you know, hey, no free 446 00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:53,719 Speaker 1: ride if you come to our site, no matter how 447 00:24:53,800 --> 00:24:55,639 Speaker 1: you get there, You're gonna have to pay if you 448 00:24:55,680 --> 00:24:59,720 Speaker 1: want to read our content. And um, yeah, at the 449 00:24:59,800 --> 00:25:02,560 Speaker 1: time him, you said that you expected other newspapers and 450 00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:06,120 Speaker 1: blogs would step in if some of them went behind 451 00:25:06,160 --> 00:25:09,359 Speaker 1: a paywall, and uh, the big, bigger papers would go 452 00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:12,400 Speaker 1: back to the old business model. Yeah, we haven't seen 453 00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:14,800 Speaker 1: it happen whole sale like that. No, No, I mean 454 00:25:14,880 --> 00:25:18,000 Speaker 1: the Telegraph just announced that it's going to be having 455 00:25:18,119 --> 00:25:20,480 Speaker 1: some sort of not a paywall, but it's going to 456 00:25:20,600 --> 00:25:26,359 Speaker 1: have a paid uh access model of some sort. And 457 00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:29,560 Speaker 1: the details were not available as of the recording of 458 00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:32,000 Speaker 1: this podcast, but they did specifically say it wasn't going 459 00:25:32,040 --> 00:25:35,880 Speaker 1: to be a paywall system. Uh. So there are other 460 00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:40,280 Speaker 1: newspapers that are trying this, but it did not happen 461 00:25:40,359 --> 00:25:42,880 Speaker 1: at the speed at which I imagined. So this one, 462 00:25:43,119 --> 00:25:47,200 Speaker 1: this one's is still just a maybe. Yeah. I I 463 00:25:47,280 --> 00:25:50,680 Speaker 1: just thought have a prediction uh for the Predictions podcast 464 00:25:50,720 --> 00:25:52,159 Speaker 1: based on this, so I'll bring that up when we 465 00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:55,760 Speaker 1: actually do our predictions. But yeah, I kind of expected 466 00:25:55,800 --> 00:25:57,240 Speaker 1: it to happen with a couple of them have been 467 00:25:57,320 --> 00:26:00,440 Speaker 1: rumbling around, but they didn't. Actually it was saying go forward. 468 00:26:00,440 --> 00:26:03,080 Speaker 1: It moves slower than we thought. So alright, so we're 469 00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:06,600 Speaker 1: down to the lab the final two. Right, So here's 470 00:26:06,720 --> 00:26:13,000 Speaker 1: here's Chris Palette's final prediction for which was Jonathan's computer 471 00:26:13,280 --> 00:26:17,119 Speaker 1: will die before people. I want you to listen carefully 472 00:26:17,160 --> 00:26:22,920 Speaker 1: to this. All right, hang on, that's me hitting the 473 00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:26,200 Speaker 1: E key and nothing is happening. Still, I still have 474 00:26:26,480 --> 00:26:29,400 Speaker 1: the same computer, and the E key does not work. 475 00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:32,480 Speaker 1: The W key does not work, the A key does 476 00:26:32,560 --> 00:26:36,479 Speaker 1: not work, the S key does not work. The tilty 477 00:26:36,600 --> 00:26:40,880 Speaker 1: is still missing in action. I never found the tilty key, 478 00:26:41,280 --> 00:26:45,280 Speaker 1: so I have to actually plug in a supplemental keyboard 479 00:26:45,440 --> 00:26:48,440 Speaker 1: if I want to type anything on this computer. But 480 00:26:48,520 --> 00:26:51,959 Speaker 1: the key the keyboard is although it is not functioning, 481 00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:55,280 Speaker 1: the rest of the computer is well for a given 482 00:26:55,400 --> 00:26:59,840 Speaker 1: definition of functioning. Yes, so it did not let me 483 00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:03,359 Speaker 1: it this way. I don't have a new one, so 484 00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:08,960 Speaker 1: that one is U for all intents and purposes on 485 00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:13,320 Speaker 1: this alright, technically that's a technicality, and I still have 486 00:27:13,440 --> 00:27:17,200 Speaker 1: three weeks. Um that's true. Actually you could if you 487 00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:20,840 Speaker 1: wanted to, maybe maybe it will quote unquote slip off 488 00:27:20,920 --> 00:27:24,879 Speaker 1: my desk before the end of the year, so you 489 00:27:25,160 --> 00:27:26,960 Speaker 1: uh can I can I read the last one for 490 00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:33,040 Speaker 1: you to Jonathan will appear on This Weekend Tech sometime 491 00:27:33,240 --> 00:27:41,840 Speaker 1: in well, so c E. That's in January. Yeah, that 492 00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:45,119 Speaker 1: was like two weeks after we recorded my podcast. So 493 00:27:45,200 --> 00:27:47,560 Speaker 1: we recorded the podcast about two weeks later. I went 494 00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:50,280 Speaker 1: to c and as I was there, I was passing 495 00:27:50,440 --> 00:27:53,600 Speaker 1: by Leo Laporte and he had his This week in 496 00:27:53,760 --> 00:27:57,240 Speaker 1: Tech live coverage of c e S table up and running, 497 00:27:58,080 --> 00:28:01,639 Speaker 1: and his producer saw me and waived me on and 498 00:28:01,800 --> 00:28:04,760 Speaker 1: got me on This week in Text live coverage. Now, 499 00:28:04,840 --> 00:28:07,400 Speaker 1: technically that was not an episode of This Weekend Tech. 500 00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:11,119 Speaker 1: It was, however, on the This Weekend Tech network and 501 00:28:11,240 --> 00:28:13,840 Speaker 1: I was live, so I thought in January, I'm like, oh, 502 00:28:14,040 --> 00:28:16,720 Speaker 1: I'm just going to call us a win. I still 503 00:28:16,760 --> 00:28:19,960 Speaker 1: haven't been technically on the show This Week in Tech, however, 504 00:28:20,119 --> 00:28:23,760 Speaker 1: I have appeared several times on Tech News Today, which 505 00:28:23,800 --> 00:28:26,000 Speaker 1: is one of the shows on This Weekend Tech hosted 506 00:28:26,040 --> 00:28:29,160 Speaker 1: by Tom Merritt. So yeah, and I'd like to point 507 00:28:29,160 --> 00:28:31,920 Speaker 1: out that you have a very nifty cap on. I'm 508 00:28:31,960 --> 00:28:34,679 Speaker 1: also wearing a This Weekend Tech baseball cap right now. 509 00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:37,479 Speaker 1: I totally wasn't thinking about that, but yes, I am 510 00:28:37,560 --> 00:28:40,040 Speaker 1: wearing a baseball cap with the Twit logo on it. 511 00:28:40,040 --> 00:28:43,800 Speaker 1: And that's because I got that at CS and not 512 00:28:43,920 --> 00:28:47,240 Speaker 1: because he is a Twit. No, that that's unrelated but 513 00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:50,560 Speaker 1: also true. So, yes, you wanted to mention a few 514 00:28:50,600 --> 00:28:52,680 Speaker 1: of the stories before we wrap it up, on things 515 00:28:52,760 --> 00:28:55,880 Speaker 1: that we didn't hit here. So I I see some 516 00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:58,520 Speaker 1: of those stories that you listed that interrupt him? Sorry, no, 517 00:28:58,600 --> 00:29:01,200 Speaker 1: go ahead, Uh, but you know some of these things 518 00:29:01,920 --> 00:29:05,880 Speaker 1: I think the listeners will agree we we wouldn't necessarily 519 00:29:05,960 --> 00:29:08,360 Speaker 1: have hit anyone they were they were not Yeah, they 520 00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:10,160 Speaker 1: were not on the radar. Yeah yeah there, and and 521 00:29:10,280 --> 00:29:12,480 Speaker 1: they're probably. I'm sure there's some big ones I didn't. 522 00:29:12,520 --> 00:29:14,440 Speaker 1: I did this off the top of my head, so 523 00:29:14,520 --> 00:29:16,440 Speaker 1: I was mostly thinking of the stories that were recent. 524 00:29:16,560 --> 00:29:18,440 Speaker 1: I'm sure there were stories that happened throughout the year 525 00:29:18,560 --> 00:29:22,920 Speaker 1: that anyway. We did not predict Google TV. No, we didn't. 526 00:29:23,560 --> 00:29:28,360 Speaker 1: We didn't predict Google Buzz nor the massive fallout that 527 00:29:28,720 --> 00:29:32,280 Speaker 1: immediately followed the launch of Google Buzz, because if you 528 00:29:32,320 --> 00:29:35,000 Speaker 1: don't remember, some people, probably a lot of people aren't 529 00:29:35,040 --> 00:29:37,040 Speaker 1: using Google Buzz at all anymore. I do. I still 530 00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:40,640 Speaker 1: use it, and there's there's been a legal settlement involving 531 00:29:40,680 --> 00:29:43,320 Speaker 1: that too, right, but Google Buzz, if you don't remember, 532 00:29:43,880 --> 00:29:45,880 Speaker 1: there were a lot of there was a big outcry 533 00:29:46,000 --> 00:29:49,920 Speaker 1: about privacy issues where you could see people who were 534 00:29:50,040 --> 00:29:54,200 Speaker 1: context of the people you knew and um, and there 535 00:29:54,280 --> 00:29:55,880 Speaker 1: were a lot of other issues around it. So we 536 00:29:55,960 --> 00:29:58,720 Speaker 1: didn't predict that at all, Nor did we predict the 537 00:29:58,760 --> 00:30:02,040 Speaker 1: other big Google story of about the driverless car program. 538 00:30:02,240 --> 00:30:03,920 Speaker 1: That's true, that's true. Yeah, for a while there it 539 00:30:03,920 --> 00:30:05,240 Speaker 1: looked like Google is going to be in the news 540 00:30:05,280 --> 00:30:07,560 Speaker 1: every week. Actually, for a while there, Google was in 541 00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:10,480 Speaker 1: the news every week. Uh, I meant for the rest 542 00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:13,720 Speaker 1: of our lives. I wouldn't be surprised if that still 543 00:30:13,760 --> 00:30:19,080 Speaker 1: holds true. You mentioned Facebook the exactly where all of 544 00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:21,560 Speaker 1: your messages are going to go through a kind of 545 00:30:21,720 --> 00:30:25,520 Speaker 1: central funnel on Facebook, So it's kind of like email messaging, 546 00:30:25,600 --> 00:30:27,880 Speaker 1: instant messaging. All that the notes and all that kind 547 00:30:27,880 --> 00:30:30,120 Speaker 1: of stuff all kind of goes through one I don't 548 00:30:30,160 --> 00:30:32,640 Speaker 1: have access to that yet. But we didn't predict that. 549 00:30:32,760 --> 00:30:34,960 Speaker 1: We didn't think that. We didn't think about Facebook having 550 00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:38,680 Speaker 1: a what some people had been calling a Gmail killer, 551 00:30:39,000 --> 00:30:41,240 Speaker 1: and even Facebook has said since then that that's not 552 00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:44,800 Speaker 1: what this is intended to be. UM did not predict 553 00:30:44,880 --> 00:30:47,400 Speaker 1: my spaces redesign, despite the fact that I think they 554 00:30:47,400 --> 00:30:49,800 Speaker 1: had announced it sometime in two thousand nine. Where do 555 00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:52,040 Speaker 1: we predict that they would be partnering with Facebook? I 556 00:30:52,280 --> 00:30:55,720 Speaker 1: think I think maybe gone out of business or something else. 557 00:30:55,760 --> 00:30:58,520 Speaker 1: I think we mostly didn't think about my Space at all. 558 00:30:59,080 --> 00:31:01,600 Speaker 1: We did not We didn't think that Windows Phone seven 559 00:31:01,760 --> 00:31:04,480 Speaker 1: was going to be uh well, we didn't predict that 560 00:31:04,520 --> 00:31:07,320 Speaker 1: Windows Phones seven was really gonna look as awesome as 561 00:31:07,360 --> 00:31:09,600 Speaker 1: it does. You know, Um, I actually got to play 562 00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:12,560 Speaker 1: with Windows Phone seven recently, and uh and I was 563 00:31:12,640 --> 00:31:16,240 Speaker 1: really impressed with the operating system. I thought for a 564 00:31:16,280 --> 00:31:21,400 Speaker 1: while I was skeptical that Windows could I know, crazy 565 00:31:21,520 --> 00:31:24,040 Speaker 1: huh A skeptical that Windows could jump back into the 566 00:31:24,120 --> 00:31:27,680 Speaker 1: smartphone wars, because I thought that Android and Apple really 567 00:31:27,840 --> 00:31:31,360 Speaker 1: had that sewn up. But Windows fun seven does look 568 00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:34,760 Speaker 1: like it's a legitimate contender. I mean it, it's slick, 569 00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:38,320 Speaker 1: it does what it's supposed to do, at least the 570 00:31:38,440 --> 00:31:40,960 Speaker 1: limited amount of time I've had with it, it did. Um, 571 00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:43,200 Speaker 1: so I would not be surprised to see that actually 572 00:31:43,240 --> 00:31:46,160 Speaker 1: take off, especially if if Windows partners with some really 573 00:31:46,480 --> 00:31:51,880 Speaker 1: good handset manufacturers. Uh. We did not predict the iPhone 574 00:31:52,000 --> 00:31:55,360 Speaker 1: for the massive redesign of the iPhone. I mean, we 575 00:31:55,440 --> 00:31:58,760 Speaker 1: didn't predict that. We didn't predict FaceTime. We did not 576 00:31:59,000 --> 00:32:01,640 Speaker 1: predict and ten I gait. There was no way we 577 00:32:01,680 --> 00:32:04,760 Speaker 1: can know that we were holding it wrong. I'm left handed, 578 00:32:04,800 --> 00:32:10,360 Speaker 1: by the way. So anyway, UM, we did not predict 579 00:32:10,520 --> 00:32:14,960 Speaker 1: the whole this was Yeah, this is the story that 580 00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:19,320 Speaker 1: one of the stories that drove me crazy in Gizmodo 581 00:32:20,240 --> 00:32:24,520 Speaker 1: and leaking the iPhone four story months before it actually launched, 582 00:32:24,600 --> 00:32:28,400 Speaker 1: and not just the leak, but the whole stolen slash 583 00:32:28,520 --> 00:32:32,720 Speaker 1: missing iPhone for debacle, finding it quote unquote on a 584 00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:36,520 Speaker 1: bar stool and or stealing it depending on who you ask, 585 00:32:37,200 --> 00:32:41,120 Speaker 1: and then selling it essentially to Gizmoto and then Gizmodo 586 00:32:41,200 --> 00:32:45,960 Speaker 1: running the story. Did not predict that. UM didn't predict 587 00:32:46,280 --> 00:32:49,640 Speaker 1: the Microsoft Kid going on sale, then not being on sale, 588 00:32:49,880 --> 00:32:54,720 Speaker 1: then being on sale again. We didn't predict the Danger debacle. Either, 589 00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:57,560 Speaker 1: that's true. Yeah, that's something that came up earlier, the 590 00:32:57,680 --> 00:32:59,880 Speaker 1: Danger servers, and I would not have I would not 591 00:33:00,000 --> 00:33:03,120 Speaker 1: have imagined that after Microsoft acquired Danger. I mean that 592 00:33:03,240 --> 00:33:08,200 Speaker 1: the kin as kin to uh, the T mobile sidekick, um, 593 00:33:08,320 --> 00:33:11,000 Speaker 1: and I would not have expected that to have gone 594 00:33:11,040 --> 00:33:13,400 Speaker 1: away the way it did. But and I also have here, 595 00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:16,040 Speaker 1: we did not predict this one's. This one's the juicy 596 00:33:16,160 --> 00:33:19,280 Speaker 1: story of the bunch. We did not predict HP CEO 597 00:33:19,440 --> 00:33:24,240 Speaker 1: Mark Heard having to resign from HP due to a scandal, which, 598 00:33:24,680 --> 00:33:27,960 Speaker 1: depending again upon whom you ask, either was about inappropriate 599 00:33:28,040 --> 00:33:32,640 Speaker 1: relationships or just mismanagement of money or or unreported expenses. 600 00:33:32,680 --> 00:33:34,640 Speaker 1: I guess it's the nice way of putting it. Uh. 601 00:33:34,880 --> 00:33:37,840 Speaker 1: Nor did we predict that that he would then just 602 00:33:38,320 --> 00:33:42,680 Speaker 1: turn around and become a co president over at Oracle. Yeah, 603 00:33:42,800 --> 00:33:45,800 Speaker 1: that was actually a pretty scandalous story all around, because, 604 00:33:45,840 --> 00:33:48,800 Speaker 1: I mean HP and Oracle. You're talking about two major companies, 605 00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:51,880 Speaker 1: and you're talking about a man who presumably has quite 606 00:33:52,040 --> 00:33:55,920 Speaker 1: a bit of knowledge about one company's I p going 607 00:33:56,000 --> 00:33:59,560 Speaker 1: to work for a competitor, Yes, in a very prominent position, Yes, 608 00:33:59,680 --> 00:34:03,240 Speaker 1: as a prominent as it gets as it turns out. Yeah, yeah, 609 00:34:03,320 --> 00:34:05,960 Speaker 1: that's a little freaky. Yeah, we also didn't know I 610 00:34:05,960 --> 00:34:09,520 Speaker 1: think about it, predict the wiki leaks. That's something that 611 00:34:10,320 --> 00:34:14,080 Speaker 1: you know, has become very and it's still unfolding as 612 00:34:14,160 --> 00:34:18,240 Speaker 1: we record this podcast. They've been undergoing denial of service attacks. 613 00:34:18,360 --> 00:34:21,400 Speaker 1: They switched over to the Amazon Cloud system, and now 614 00:34:21,560 --> 00:34:24,400 Speaker 1: I've just heard before we win in that Amazon has 615 00:34:24,440 --> 00:34:28,520 Speaker 1: pulled that. Yes, they are no longer on Amazon. Yeah, 616 00:34:28,560 --> 00:34:30,279 Speaker 1: they're like, you know what, maybe we don't want to 617 00:34:30,440 --> 00:34:33,320 Speaker 1: have the target of all these d d o S attacks. Yeah, no, 618 00:34:33,440 --> 00:34:36,640 Speaker 1: we didn't predict that at all. Um. Yeah, there's and 619 00:34:37,400 --> 00:34:40,240 Speaker 1: what we didn't predict could go into another eight episodes. 620 00:34:40,239 --> 00:34:42,000 Speaker 1: So let's wrap this up because I think we've gone 621 00:34:42,080 --> 00:34:44,480 Speaker 1: way too long for this one. Yeah, it's it just 622 00:34:44,600 --> 00:34:47,880 Speaker 1: goes to show you how mercurial I hate that word mercurial. 623 00:34:48,040 --> 00:34:51,520 Speaker 1: The tech world is. Things changed so frequently, and you know, 624 00:34:51,640 --> 00:34:54,520 Speaker 1: we take our our best shots, but we don't always. Yeah. 625 00:34:54,560 --> 00:34:58,120 Speaker 1: I can't wait for us to record the predictions for eleven. 626 00:34:58,200 --> 00:35:02,480 Speaker 1: We're not doing that during this particular record wording sessions. Yeah. Yeah, 627 00:35:03,040 --> 00:35:04,759 Speaker 1: they should be fun though. All right, So if you 628 00:35:04,800 --> 00:35:07,719 Speaker 1: guys have any predictions for eleven, that you think are 629 00:35:07,880 --> 00:35:11,800 Speaker 1: absolutely positively going to come true. Email me and that 630 00:35:11,920 --> 00:35:14,680 Speaker 1: way I can get the advantage over Poulette, or you 631 00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:17,680 Speaker 1: can post to our Facebook or Twitter accounts they handle 632 00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:21,240 Speaker 1: There is tech Stuff H s W. Our email address 633 00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:24,080 Speaker 1: is tech stuff at how stuff works dot com and 634 00:35:24,200 --> 00:35:28,399 Speaker 1: Chris and I will talk to you again, probably before 635 00:35:29,239 --> 00:35:35,840 Speaker 1: really soon. For more on this and thousands of other topics. 636 00:35:36,040 --> 00:35:38,120 Speaker 1: Is it how stuff works dot com. To learn more 637 00:35:38,160 --> 00:35:40,920 Speaker 1: about the podcast, click on the podcast icon in the 638 00:35:41,040 --> 00:35:44,080 Speaker 1: upper right corner of our homepage. The how Stuff Works 639 00:35:44,120 --> 00:35:58,799 Speaker 1: iPhone app has arrived. Download it today on iTunes. Brought 640 00:35:58,840 --> 00:36:01,240 Speaker 1: to you by the reinvented two thousand and twelve Camry. 641 00:36:01,480 --> 00:36:02,520 Speaker 1: It's ready, are you