WEBVTT - TechStuff Classic: The Secret Space Plane

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to tech Stuff, a production from I Heart Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>Hey there, and welcome to tech Stuff. I'm your host,

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<v Speaker 1>Jonathan Strickland. I'm an executive producer with I Heart Radio

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<v Speaker 1>and Hell the Tech are you. It's time for a

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<v Speaker 1>tech Stuff classic episode. This one's a secret well. It

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<v Speaker 1>published on April two thousand fifteen, and it is titled

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<v Speaker 1>The Secret space Plane. Enjoy. So we're talking about a

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<v Speaker 1>space plane, secret space plane, and uh, it's been reported

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<v Speaker 1>on in the news several times. There's a at an

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<v Speaker 1>upcoming launch that should be happening in May of um

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<v Speaker 1>it is. As we record this, it's early April, so

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<v Speaker 1>obviously that's still always out and depending on weather and stuff,

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<v Speaker 1>it could end up being pushed back. But we wanted

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<v Speaker 1>to talk about what this plane is and we'd love

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<v Speaker 1>to talk about what it's doing. But as you'll find out,

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<v Speaker 1>that's a little complicated. There are some guesses, and as

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<v Speaker 1>we continue through today's episode, we will arrive at some

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<v Speaker 1>of that. But to be absolutely honest from the jump,

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<v Speaker 1>the people who do know what it's doing are totally

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<v Speaker 1>not allowed to talk about it. Yeah, this is like

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<v Speaker 1>almost Area fifty one level secrecy right where people it's

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's common knowledge that the thing exists, but not

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<v Speaker 1>common knowledge of what's going on with It's very much

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<v Speaker 1>like Area fifty one, what's for many years. So the

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<v Speaker 1>setup I have on this is on Friday October, an

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<v Speaker 1>unmanned plane landed autonomously, I should add, at Vandenburg Air

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<v Speaker 1>Force Base in California, and it had spent six hundred

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<v Speaker 1>seven in the four days, nearly two full years in

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<v Speaker 1>lower thorbit in space. It flew for two years up

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<v Speaker 1>in space. Yeah, um, so the landing marked the end

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<v Speaker 1>of the I call it a test flight, but really

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<v Speaker 1>you could just call it a mission of the X

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<v Speaker 1>thirty seven B space plane, also known as the Orbital

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<v Speaker 1>Test Vehicle or O t V. And there are two

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<v Speaker 1>of those planes in existence and together they've logged more

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<v Speaker 1>than one thousand, three hundred sixty seven days in orbit total.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh and that's across three missions. So that's a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of time at once. So you might want to know

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<v Speaker 1>what's going on. And the thing is, like we mentioned,

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<v Speaker 1>so need to know basis that you don't need to know,

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<v Speaker 1>and neither do we. Well, I think eventually that we're

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<v Speaker 1>going to know, we being the public, eventually we have

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<v Speaker 1>to know. Um, But there's there's a story behind this.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a culmination of stuff that began decades ago. Right, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it started back in the nineteen nineties. Uh So turn

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<v Speaker 1>your watch back, if you will, to the magical decade

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<v Speaker 1>of the nineties. Grunge music is all the rage. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>the Generation xers are making sardonic entertainment left and right,

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<v Speaker 1>Empire records, that kind of thing. Um. So, NASA at

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<v Speaker 1>that point was looking into the future of space exploration,

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<v Speaker 1>particularly the type that doesn't need human beings on spacecraft. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>Humans are such a hassle in space. You have to

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<v Speaker 1>you have to spend so much time, technology and money

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<v Speaker 1>just like make them not die. Yeah, get the little

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<v Speaker 1>guys up there and back. Yeah. Yeah, keeping keeping humans

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<v Speaker 1>alive in space is a tall order because there's a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of stuff in space that is really deadly. Right.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not our neck of the woods, a vacuum of space.

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<v Speaker 1>You've got radiation, You've got micro gravity, which over a

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<v Speaker 1>long enough time period can cause some serious health problems.

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<v Speaker 1>Objects at high speeds, yeah, space debris, all this sort

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<v Speaker 1>of stuff. And you know, clearly the space age we've

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<v Speaker 1>had our share of tragedies and you know, we definitely

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<v Speaker 1>aren't making light of that. That's one of the reasons

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<v Speaker 1>why so much effort and money has have been put

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<v Speaker 1>forward into these unmanned missions. And can we find ways

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<v Speaker 1>of getting stuff to space, let's say, like a like

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<v Speaker 1>a refueling mission or a you know, uh, you're replenishing

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<v Speaker 1>inventory aboard the International Space Station without the need for

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<v Speaker 1>a manned space flight. And so there there's a real

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<v Speaker 1>reason why NASA was interested in this, and um they were,

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<v Speaker 1>you know. Apart from that, it also reduces cost. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>you don't have to have a life support system for

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<v Speaker 1>a example, in an unmanned spacecraft. That alone will save

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<v Speaker 1>you millions of bucks. Right. So in NASA announced that

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<v Speaker 1>it was developing a pair of vehicles, one called the

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<v Speaker 1>orbital Vehicle and one called the Approach and Landing Test

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<v Speaker 1>Vehicle or a L t V UH. And the a

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<v Speaker 1>l t V S purpose was to test the approach

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<v Speaker 1>and landing systems of an unmanned plane, so this one

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<v Speaker 1>was not designed to go into space. The a L

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<v Speaker 1>t V and UH. NASA partnered with Boeing and the

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<v Speaker 1>Air Force in order to get this program going. So

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<v Speaker 1>the A L T V was just an unmantened I

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<v Speaker 1>say just it was an unmanned plane, because it was

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<v Speaker 1>amazing to me that you could build an autonomous vehicle

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<v Speaker 1>that could land a plane, yeah, on a landing strip. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>in this case, it wasn't taking off because what they

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<v Speaker 1>did with this was they would lift it up on

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<v Speaker 1>another vehicle and then drop it, and then they would

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<v Speaker 1>allow the unmanned vehicle to fly itself to the proper

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<v Speaker 1>landing destiny action and land so the al V it

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<v Speaker 1>could not take off on its own, it couldn't go

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<v Speaker 1>into space. But it was designed mainly as a test

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<v Speaker 1>platform for the autonomous guidance system and landing sort of

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<v Speaker 1>a proof of concept, Yeah, because I mean, obviously, if

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<v Speaker 1>you want to build upon this and create a vehicle,

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<v Speaker 1>an unmanned vehicle that can go into space, first you

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<v Speaker 1>want to make absolutely certain that you have taken steps

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<v Speaker 1>to a show that it can land before you pour

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<v Speaker 1>in all the money that is necessary for it to

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<v Speaker 1>be able to survive the rigors of space travel. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>And there's a little bit of a I guess a

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<v Speaker 1>geopolitical calculation with this kind of stuff too, because if

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<v Speaker 1>in orbit decays, right, if the thing gets into space

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<v Speaker 1>and it crashes or it just doesn't land where it's

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<v Speaker 1>supposed to. Then not only have you the launching party

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<v Speaker 1>lost billions of dollars, right, but you've also given all

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<v Speaker 1>of this research to another country, and maybe not a

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<v Speaker 1>friendly one. Yeah exactly. I mean we've seen this sort

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<v Speaker 1>of stuff throughout the history of the uh well really

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<v Speaker 1>the Cold War is you know, like things like the

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<v Speaker 1>you two's YouTube spy plane going down and the fact

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<v Speaker 1>that that was a huge concern that that uh, the

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<v Speaker 1>the adversaries to the United States had suddenly gained access

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<v Speaker 1>to some of that technology. Uh well, you know that's

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<v Speaker 1>clearly another concern for this sort of stuff. You want

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<v Speaker 1>to make sure that everything is working properly before you

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<v Speaker 1>ever put it towards any kind of sensitive use or

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<v Speaker 1>even just a scientific experiment or whatever. Like maybe it's

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<v Speaker 1>too you know, um deploy a satellite or something, or

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<v Speaker 1>even even something more sophisticated, like to fix a satellite

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<v Speaker 1>to repair solar panels. Yeah. Yeah, So this, like I said,

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<v Speaker 1>Boeing was partnering with NASA to develop these uh it

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<v Speaker 1>would ultimately under this part of the the program own

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<v Speaker 1>it would only develop the altar V for NASA. That's

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<v Speaker 1>as far as it got it. But it was designated

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<v Speaker 1>as the X thirty seven A aircraft or spacecraft. Really yeah, yeah, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it's so much easier to say that than uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>alt V or whatever. So it was similar to an

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<v Speaker 1>earlier unmanned aircraft that was again made by Boeing, but

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<v Speaker 1>this one was operated by the Air Force. It was

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<v Speaker 1>the X forty A H And again the X forty

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<v Speaker 1>A was meant as a test platform for things that

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<v Speaker 1>would ultimately go on an unmanned space plane type vehicle.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh so another proof of concept, kind of like the

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<v Speaker 1>idea that we want to make sure that we get,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, take the right steps. We're not gonna we're

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<v Speaker 1>not gonna leap and jump over like six steps of development.

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<v Speaker 1>We're gonna use this as an incremental approach. So the

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<v Speaker 1>X forty A could not actually go into space, but

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<v Speaker 1>again was to test certain technologies. It also was too

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<v Speaker 1>small for NASA, and could we yeah, it was too

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<v Speaker 1>small for naty could we Before we go on, could

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<v Speaker 1>you talk a little bit about just, uh the dramatic

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<v Speaker 1>waste in typical conventional launches. Oh? Sure, Like yeah, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>like so generally speaking, the rule of thumb is that

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<v Speaker 1>a launch with a government funded space launch is about

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<v Speaker 1>ten tho dollars per pound. Per pound, every pound of

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<v Speaker 1>payload that you want to put into space cost ten grand.

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<v Speaker 1>So imagine that you have a vehicle that has all

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<v Speaker 1>these different support systems on it for astronauts. That adds

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<v Speaker 1>to the weight, plus then you have the payload of

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<v Speaker 1>the spacecraft itself. So something like the Space Shuttle program,

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<v Speaker 1>which was designed to take material into space, either as

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<v Speaker 1>like a satellite to be deployed, or tools to repair

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<v Speaker 1>things that already existed like the hubble Um, or even

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<v Speaker 1>just a trip to the International Space Station to bring

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<v Speaker 1>supplies up there. All of that weight is a factor

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<v Speaker 1>in the cost of launch. If you do an unmanned

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<v Speaker 1>spacecraft and you reduce the weight of the spacecraft, you've

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<v Speaker 1>reduced the You know, even even though the X three

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<v Speaker 1>seven A was larger than the X forty A, it's

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<v Speaker 1>still significantly smaller than a space shuttle, and that means

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<v Speaker 1>that it would cost less to put up. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>you have to use less fuel, so it costs less

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<v Speaker 1>to put it up into lower thorbit. And when I

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<v Speaker 1>say less, it's still really expensive. By the way when

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<v Speaker 1>I the reason why I stressed government funded space launch

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<v Speaker 1>is there a lot of private companies that have been

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<v Speaker 1>arguing that by privatizing they could bring down the price

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<v Speaker 1>of launching payloads into space. So things like space x

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<v Speaker 1>have really helped to to reduce that cost. So then

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<v Speaker 1>getting into the differences between the X forty A and

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<v Speaker 1>the X thirty seven A, despite the fact that it's

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<v Speaker 1>a lower number of the X three seven A is

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<v Speaker 1>a bigger spacecraft. It's a larger than the X forty A.

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<v Speaker 1>And there are other differences as well. Once we get

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<v Speaker 1>to the one that actually was designed to go into space, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that one's got advanced thermal protection spacecraft systems, that kind

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<v Speaker 1>of thing. So the seven A and the forty A

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<v Speaker 1>were both designed just to be test platforms, so they

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<v Speaker 1>didn't need all that all the extra stuff. So we're

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<v Speaker 1>going through this incremental testing and starting to see if

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<v Speaker 1>we can really make this this vision a reality, this autonomous,

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<v Speaker 1>super secret spacecraft, which I just love the idea of it.

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<v Speaker 1>H out at than how um, how do the bureaucratic changes.

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<v Speaker 1>So yeah, this we're talking a lot about NASA right now,

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<v Speaker 1>and you might be thinking, well, why is this space

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<v Speaker 1>plane so secret. NASA is not about secrecy, and it's not.

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<v Speaker 1>The thirty seven A wasn't meant to be secret at all.

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<v Speaker 1>In fact, that's a lot of the information you can

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<v Speaker 1>find about the spacecraft is right there on NASA as

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<v Speaker 1>website because it's it's all publicly available. But some changes

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<v Speaker 1>would end up making the let's say, the stewardship of

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<v Speaker 1>the thirty seven X three seven program change hands. So first,

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<v Speaker 1>in two thousand one, the Air Force withdrew its support

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<v Speaker 1>for the project. It's financial support. It was one of

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<v Speaker 1>three parties that was partner to fund this, the other

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<v Speaker 1>two being NASA and Boeing. Air Force pulls out in

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<v Speaker 1>two thousand one, NASA keeps going with the partnership with Boeing. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>They had to end up, um, you know, going to

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<v Speaker 1>the government and saying, hey, we need grants and stuff

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<v Speaker 1>in order for this to keep going, otherwise the project's

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<v Speaker 1>gonna collapse from the inside. This continues until two thousand four,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's when NASA ends up handing over the control

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<v Speaker 1>of the X thirty seven program to the Defense Advanced

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<v Speaker 1>Research Projects Agency also known as DARPA, which I've talked

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<v Speaker 1>about multiple times this podcast. Yeah, we've talked about a

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<v Speaker 1>couple of other shows to DARPA. I'm assuming that people

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<v Speaker 1>have heard this name before, but the rumors are true.

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<v Speaker 1>It is the closest thing the US has to a

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<v Speaker 1>mad science department. Yeah, it's the Department of Defense is

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<v Speaker 1>mad science department. And and it's not like DARPA is

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<v Speaker 1>filled with a bunch of yeah in lab coats, like

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<v Speaker 1>locked away forty forty levels underground. In fact, mostly what

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<v Speaker 1>DARPA does is invite other entities to develop for specific purposes.

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<v Speaker 1>So I did an episode not long ago talking about

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<v Speaker 1>how DARPA was instrumental in the rapid development of autonomous

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<v Speaker 1>car technology. Yeah. Um so in this it's very akin

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<v Speaker 1>to that. This is an autonomous spacecraft technology. So you know,

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<v Speaker 1>you're you're talking about the continuation of an idea and

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<v Speaker 1>just expanding it, you know, expanding the parameters. Really uh So,

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<v Speaker 1>in this case, DARPA takes over, and it meant that

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<v Speaker 1>the X three seven fell under the control of the

0:14:03.440 --> 0:14:06.800
<v Speaker 1>Department of Defense, which also meant that the X three

0:14:06.880 --> 0:14:09.560
<v Speaker 1>seven suddenly became a classified project. It was no longer

0:14:09.679 --> 0:14:13.680
<v Speaker 1>this this you know, very public facing project from NASA.

0:14:13.760 --> 0:14:17.320
<v Speaker 1>Now it's a classified project under the Department of Defense. Yeah,

0:14:17.360 --> 0:14:20.920
<v Speaker 1>which you know, which is kind of a bummer, but

0:14:21.160 --> 0:14:26.240
<v Speaker 1>also understandable given that the kind of technology that they

0:14:26.240 --> 0:14:30.120
<v Speaker 1>would be working on is not something you want or

0:14:30.360 --> 0:14:33.600
<v Speaker 1>or really can have open sourced, you know, because other

0:14:33.640 --> 0:14:37.360
<v Speaker 1>countries will get involved, other countries will reverse engineer, and

0:14:37.560 --> 0:14:40.840
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of um Again, this is this is

0:14:40.880 --> 0:14:43.800
<v Speaker 1>where I think we start to see a political aspect

0:14:43.840 --> 0:14:47.280
<v Speaker 1>to become even more apparent. But but the story is

0:14:47.720 --> 0:14:51.840
<v Speaker 1>not done yet, right. So remember the Air Force had

0:14:51.840 --> 0:14:55.400
<v Speaker 1>pulled sort of it's it's supporting two thousand one November

0:14:55.440 --> 0:14:57.840
<v Speaker 1>two thousand six and announces it's going to develop a

0:14:57.920 --> 0:15:01.120
<v Speaker 1>variation of the X thirty seven A. Remember the orbital

0:15:01.200 --> 0:15:03.760
<v Speaker 1>vehicle that NASA had proposed. They never got to the

0:15:03.800 --> 0:15:06.200
<v Speaker 1>point where that was actually built. They had built the

0:15:06.200 --> 0:15:08.960
<v Speaker 1>one that was the approach and landing test vehicle, but

0:15:09.040 --> 0:15:11.680
<v Speaker 1>not the orbital one. And the Air Force wanted to

0:15:11.680 --> 0:15:14.960
<v Speaker 1>build an orbital vehicle. Uh. They called it the orbital

0:15:15.000 --> 0:15:18.120
<v Speaker 1>test vehicle, so the O t V UH, and they

0:15:18.200 --> 0:15:22.400
<v Speaker 1>designated it the X thirty seven B. So thirty seven

0:15:22.440 --> 0:15:24.560
<v Speaker 1>A was the one that NASA used to test this

0:15:24.640 --> 0:15:30.360
<v Speaker 1>approach and landing uh technology, and this one was meant

0:15:30.400 --> 0:15:35.000
<v Speaker 1>to actually go into space. Uh. So the top secret

0:15:35.000 --> 0:15:38.640
<v Speaker 1>program falls to the control of the Air Force. Now,

0:15:38.720 --> 0:15:41.920
<v Speaker 1>the official word from the Air Force as to the

0:15:41.960 --> 0:15:45.760
<v Speaker 1>purpose of the X thirty seven program is This is

0:15:45.760 --> 0:15:49.400
<v Speaker 1>a direct quote from their website. The X thirty seven

0:15:49.440 --> 0:15:52.960
<v Speaker 1>B Orbital Test Vehicle or O t V is an

0:15:52.960 --> 0:15:58.600
<v Speaker 1>experimental test program to demonstrate technologies for a reliable, reusable,

0:15:59.000 --> 0:16:02.760
<v Speaker 1>unmanned space ace test platform for the US Air Force.

0:16:03.200 --> 0:16:06.200
<v Speaker 1>The primary objectives of the X thirty seven B are

0:16:06.280 --> 0:16:10.960
<v Speaker 1>twofold reusable spacecraft technologies for America's future in space and

0:16:11.040 --> 0:16:18.200
<v Speaker 1>operating experiments which can be returned to and examined on Earth. So, um,

0:16:18.240 --> 0:16:21.000
<v Speaker 1>there's some important stuff in there that really does play

0:16:21.040 --> 0:16:24.160
<v Speaker 1>into the purpose of this thing. The big one being

0:16:24.200 --> 0:16:27.480
<v Speaker 1>that it is a reusable spacecraft, so it's not a

0:16:27.520 --> 0:16:30.360
<v Speaker 1>one and done right uh. And this was the same

0:16:30.360 --> 0:16:32.800
<v Speaker 1>purpose for the Space Shuttle program. It was the difference

0:16:32.800 --> 0:16:36.960
<v Speaker 1>between that and previous programs where like a capsule would

0:16:37.000 --> 0:16:39.000
<v Speaker 1>go up and come back down and then once it

0:16:39.000 --> 0:16:41.080
<v Speaker 1>came down it had to be retired. You couldn't use

0:16:41.080 --> 0:16:44.000
<v Speaker 1>it again. This is the difference between you know, those

0:16:44.080 --> 0:16:48.200
<v Speaker 1>and and those previous UH spacecraft and things like the

0:16:48.200 --> 0:16:51.240
<v Speaker 1>Space Shuttle and the X thirty seven spacecraft. Yeah, we're

0:16:51.320 --> 0:16:53.960
<v Speaker 1>kind of locked into it at this point because we've

0:16:54.000 --> 0:16:57.800
<v Speaker 1>put so much money in at the front, so we'll

0:16:57.840 --> 0:17:00.400
<v Speaker 1>have to we'll have to make that money back. Um.

0:17:00.440 --> 0:17:03.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm I'm just tickled because what I love about these

0:17:04.000 --> 0:17:11.080
<v Speaker 1>relatively obtuse kind of explanations is that there there's clearly, um,

0:17:11.119 --> 0:17:15.600
<v Speaker 1>there's clearly a reliance on vague language. The word test

0:17:15.760 --> 0:17:18.840
<v Speaker 1>is used three times in the first sentence, and the

0:17:18.920 --> 0:17:21.720
<v Speaker 1>substantive You are right, they are seeing substantive things. The

0:17:21.760 --> 0:17:26.880
<v Speaker 1>reusable spacecraft is probably the biggest part of it. Another

0:17:27.000 --> 0:17:32.000
<v Speaker 1>part is the testing of the instruments, which, again, although

0:17:32.200 --> 0:17:35.520
<v Speaker 1>you and I don't really know that, that seems like

0:17:35.560 --> 0:17:38.840
<v Speaker 1>one of the best guesses. Yeah, and you know, you

0:17:38.880 --> 0:17:41.439
<v Speaker 1>could argue that part of this, the existence of this

0:17:41.600 --> 0:17:46.280
<v Speaker 1>is really just too incrementally build towards a future spacecraft

0:17:46.280 --> 0:17:50.600
<v Speaker 1>that has not yet been designed for specific purposes that

0:17:50.640 --> 0:17:54.840
<v Speaker 1>may go beyond this testing that we're talking about. Uh.

0:17:55.000 --> 0:17:59.959
<v Speaker 1>And another one maybe that it's to test related technology

0:18:00.119 --> 0:18:04.440
<v Speaker 1>that are not intended to make the spacecraft itself more effective,

0:18:04.720 --> 0:18:07.919
<v Speaker 1>but rather just say Hey, we built this sensor. The

0:18:08.040 --> 0:18:11.920
<v Speaker 1>sensor is meant to do this specific task when it's

0:18:11.920 --> 0:18:15.520
<v Speaker 1>in space, but we don't know if the sensor can

0:18:15.560 --> 0:18:20.280
<v Speaker 1>actually withstand being in space, like being exposed to radiation.

0:18:21.160 --> 0:18:23.520
<v Speaker 1>But then you think, oh, I've got this unmanned vehicle.

0:18:23.680 --> 0:18:27.240
<v Speaker 1>I can put it up into orbit for hundreds of

0:18:27.320 --> 0:18:31.679
<v Speaker 1>days at a time and expose the sensor to the

0:18:31.760 --> 0:18:34.960
<v Speaker 1>same kinds of radiation it will would experience if it

0:18:35.000 --> 0:18:38.560
<v Speaker 1>were incorporated into some other type of spacecraft, and then

0:18:38.600 --> 0:18:42.280
<v Speaker 1>we can test and see if in fact the thing

0:18:42.359 --> 0:18:46.160
<v Speaker 1>we designed will still work, you know, once it's in space.

0:18:46.680 --> 0:18:51.960
<v Speaker 1>So those are I mean, that's a valid thing. But

0:18:51.960 --> 0:18:55.400
<v Speaker 1>but because of the secrecy involved, the fact that these

0:18:55.440 --> 0:19:01.240
<v Speaker 1>these details cannot legally be shared, has led to some

0:19:01.560 --> 0:19:06.520
<v Speaker 1>really interesting hypotheses, some more grounded than others. I like

0:19:06.680 --> 0:19:10.480
<v Speaker 1>to use the term grounded. Yes, space ground here all day.

0:19:10.560 --> 0:19:13.240
<v Speaker 1>I'm surprised we got this far without another space fund.

0:19:13.600 --> 0:19:15.719
<v Speaker 1>We've got a ton in the notes, and they were all,

0:19:16.800 --> 0:19:19.840
<v Speaker 1>well unintentional, might be going a bit far, Like I

0:19:20.320 --> 0:19:26.359
<v Speaker 1>would realize that while typing it out, I'm like, oh, well, okay,

0:19:26.600 --> 0:19:28.960
<v Speaker 1>but we do know, we do know a lot about

0:19:29.200 --> 0:19:31.880
<v Speaker 1>the X thirty seven. You can see pictures of it online.

0:19:31.960 --> 0:19:35.080
<v Speaker 1>You can see some great footage of it that comes

0:19:35.200 --> 0:19:39.320
<v Speaker 1>from I think ultimately from the Air Force themselves. Yeah. Yeah,

0:19:39.359 --> 0:19:43.600
<v Speaker 1>because I mean the landing is impressive, right, the fact

0:19:43.640 --> 0:19:47.640
<v Speaker 1>that this is landing autonomously, so it's unmanned. But it's

0:19:47.640 --> 0:19:51.879
<v Speaker 1>not just unmanned. There's no one remote controlling this aircraft

0:19:51.920 --> 0:19:54.520
<v Speaker 1>when it comes down and land, right, it's not a drone.

0:19:54.560 --> 0:19:57.480
<v Speaker 1>That's very important. Yeah, it's it's it's fully under its

0:19:57.520 --> 0:20:01.119
<v Speaker 1>own nat navigation power. Uh. So here's some of the

0:20:01.119 --> 0:20:02.840
<v Speaker 1>facts that we know about it. And a lot of

0:20:02.840 --> 0:20:05.320
<v Speaker 1>this is because, again, it started its life out as

0:20:05.320 --> 0:20:08.040
<v Speaker 1>a NASA project, so there were some details that were

0:20:08.040 --> 0:20:10.200
<v Speaker 1>already out there and the Air Force is like, well, heck,

0:20:10.240 --> 0:20:12.600
<v Speaker 1>we don't care about this part. This isn't the important part.

0:20:13.040 --> 0:20:16.320
<v Speaker 1>Just don't talk about the lasers, right, yeah, I mean

0:20:16.680 --> 0:20:20.159
<v Speaker 1>the tickle device. Yeah, it's just there to tickle space.

0:20:20.200 --> 0:20:22.359
<v Speaker 1>That's all it's meant to do. So here's what we

0:20:22.440 --> 0:20:26.320
<v Speaker 1>do know. Uh. It is twenty nine ft three inches long,

0:20:26.359 --> 0:20:29.600
<v Speaker 1>which is about eight point nine ms. When it's on

0:20:29.640 --> 0:20:32.400
<v Speaker 1>its landing gear, it is nine ft six inches tall

0:20:32.520 --> 0:20:36.200
<v Speaker 1>or about two point nine ms now at that space.

0:20:36.800 --> 0:20:39.200
<v Speaker 1>Even if you had a pressurized cabin, you wouldn't be

0:20:39.280 --> 0:20:41.920
<v Speaker 1>able to really have astronauts right in it. Uh. The

0:20:42.160 --> 0:20:44.520
<v Speaker 1>X three seven B does not have a pressurized cabin,

0:20:45.000 --> 0:20:48.200
<v Speaker 1>so it cannot carry up anything living, at least nothing

0:20:48.200 --> 0:20:51.639
<v Speaker 1>that you expect to remain. So it's it could carry

0:20:51.720 --> 0:20:55.919
<v Speaker 1>up non animate uh like cargo that could and not

0:20:56.000 --> 0:20:58.159
<v Speaker 1>a whole lot of it at that's at that size

0:20:58.720 --> 0:21:01.160
<v Speaker 1>from wing tip to wing tip, it is four ft

0:21:01.200 --> 0:21:04.399
<v Speaker 1>eleven inches wide or four point five meters, and it

0:21:04.480 --> 0:21:10.200
<v Speaker 1>weighs a slimming eleven thousand pounds or four thousand UH.

0:21:10.240 --> 0:21:14.000
<v Speaker 1>It's power system it uses lithium ion batteries to to

0:21:14.560 --> 0:21:19.040
<v Speaker 1>supply power to its um it's thrusters, but it is

0:21:19.240 --> 0:21:23.560
<v Speaker 1>uh it's got gallium arsenide solar cells to recharge those.

0:21:23.600 --> 0:21:25.760
<v Speaker 1>That's why it can stay in space so long. Because

0:21:25.760 --> 0:21:27.919
<v Speaker 1>that's the question that a lot of people have at

0:21:27.960 --> 0:21:32.359
<v Speaker 1>the beginning, is how does it manage to retain power

0:21:32.400 --> 0:21:36.000
<v Speaker 1>for that long and returned to its original um you know,

0:21:36.280 --> 0:21:39.040
<v Speaker 1>returned to its launch point on its own power. This

0:21:39.119 --> 0:21:43.199
<v Speaker 1>is not necessarily a powerful vehicle on its own No,

0:21:43.359 --> 0:21:47.520
<v Speaker 1>it cannot take off from Earth and it certainly cannot

0:21:47.960 --> 0:21:50.159
<v Speaker 1>escape Earth's gravity on its own. It has to have

0:21:50.200 --> 0:21:55.040
<v Speaker 1>a launch vehicle, also more commonly referred to by we

0:21:56.040 --> 0:21:59.119
<v Speaker 1>mere mortals as rockets. So you guess, trap one of

0:21:59.119 --> 0:22:03.320
<v Speaker 1>these suckers onto a rocket UM, typically an Atlas V

0:22:03.480 --> 0:22:06.280
<v Speaker 1>Applas Atlas five. I guess I should say, let's say

0:22:06.400 --> 0:22:12.399
<v Speaker 1>V call I X I I UM the Atlas five rocket.

0:22:12.480 --> 0:22:13.960
<v Speaker 1>You have to strap it up to one of those

0:22:13.960 --> 0:22:16.960
<v Speaker 1>suckers to get it out into space in the first place. So,

0:22:18.000 --> 0:22:21.760
<v Speaker 1>and that actually has raised some folks um objections to

0:22:21.920 --> 0:22:24.800
<v Speaker 1>this whole approach, but we'll get into that a little bit.

0:22:25.400 --> 0:22:27.679
<v Speaker 1>So the way it would work is originally they were

0:22:27.720 --> 0:22:31.359
<v Speaker 1>thinking about having this kind of piggyback onto a space shuttle,

0:22:32.119 --> 0:22:33.639
<v Speaker 1>so if you were going to launch a space shutle,

0:22:33.640 --> 0:22:36.400
<v Speaker 1>you could also launch a space plane. However, the Columbia

0:22:36.440 --> 0:22:40.600
<v Speaker 1>disaster really caused NASA to reevaluate the space shuttle program

0:22:40.640 --> 0:22:42.760
<v Speaker 1>for quite some time. In fact, it was it was

0:22:43.000 --> 0:22:45.960
<v Speaker 1>put on the ground for a good long time after

0:22:46.000 --> 0:22:49.480
<v Speaker 1>the Columbia disaster, as NASA was reevaluating the program and

0:22:49.520 --> 0:22:53.000
<v Speaker 1>seeing how to make it so that that kind of

0:22:53.000 --> 0:22:56.639
<v Speaker 1>tragedy would never happen again, so that meant that that

0:22:56.680 --> 0:22:59.160
<v Speaker 1>would no longer be a viable means of getting the

0:22:59.440 --> 0:23:02.600
<v Speaker 1>X thirty event into space. So at that point, the

0:23:02.640 --> 0:23:05.520
<v Speaker 1>reevaluation for X thirty seven mint they looked at it

0:23:05.560 --> 0:23:09.080
<v Speaker 1>as a payload for other launch vehicles, and they settled

0:23:09.080 --> 0:23:12.600
<v Speaker 1>on the United Launch Alliance at last five. We'll be

0:23:12.680 --> 0:23:16.080
<v Speaker 1>back with more about the secret space plane after these messages.

0:23:24.240 --> 0:23:26.200
<v Speaker 1>So the launch vehicle delivers the X thirty seven to

0:23:26.240 --> 0:23:29.879
<v Speaker 1>low Earth orbit. Low Earth orbit is the same orbit

0:23:29.960 --> 0:23:33.200
<v Speaker 1>that you find the International Space Station. It's the same

0:23:33.240 --> 0:23:37.040
<v Speaker 1>Earth orbit the Hubble spacecraft or Hubble space telescope is in.

0:23:37.119 --> 0:23:39.520
<v Speaker 1>It's the same Earth orbit. Or it's the same orbit

0:23:39.560 --> 0:23:42.560
<v Speaker 1>that all the Space Shuttle missions went to. So in

0:23:42.560 --> 0:23:44.560
<v Speaker 1>other words, there have only been a couple of times

0:23:44.560 --> 0:23:48.359
<v Speaker 1>that human beings have ever gone beyond beyond low Earth orbit.

0:23:48.720 --> 0:23:52.639
<v Speaker 1>Those times would be when we sent people to the Moon. Otherwise,

0:23:52.680 --> 0:23:54.840
<v Speaker 1>everything has been in low Earth orbit, which is relatively

0:23:54.920 --> 0:23:58.040
<v Speaker 1>close to the Earth. From our perspective, it's way the

0:23:58.119 --> 0:23:59.679
<v Speaker 1>heck out there. But if you were to look at

0:23:59.680 --> 0:24:04.000
<v Speaker 1>Earth from a much like not even a bird's eye view, obviously,

0:24:04.800 --> 0:24:07.119
<v Speaker 1>but much further out, you would say, oh, lower th

0:24:07.240 --> 0:24:09.480
<v Speaker 1>orbit is still very much in the neighborhood. Yeah, a

0:24:09.560 --> 0:24:12.240
<v Speaker 1>space bird. Well, I guess one of the great ways

0:24:12.280 --> 0:24:15.320
<v Speaker 1>to imagine this is if you look at a picture

0:24:15.400 --> 0:24:19.320
<v Speaker 1>with the distance between Earth's Moon and Earth and then

0:24:19.359 --> 0:24:24.200
<v Speaker 1>you see the line your Earth orbit is very very close. Yeah, exactly,

0:24:24.240 --> 0:24:27.040
<v Speaker 1>And it's also where a lot of space debris happens

0:24:27.080 --> 0:24:29.400
<v Speaker 1>to be. There's other space because we do have satellites

0:24:29.400 --> 0:24:32.160
<v Speaker 1>that are much further out right, We've got like the

0:24:32.160 --> 0:24:35.600
<v Speaker 1>the geosynchronous satellites are much further out than lower th orbit.

0:24:35.920 --> 0:24:40.000
<v Speaker 1>But those were delivered by unmanned spacecraft. They weren't They

0:24:40.000 --> 0:24:44.080
<v Speaker 1>weren't put there by astronauts. Uh, So that that is,

0:24:44.359 --> 0:24:46.679
<v Speaker 1>you know, we do have stuff that's further out, but

0:24:46.720 --> 0:24:50.119
<v Speaker 1>it's not stuff from manned missions. And this unmanned mission

0:24:50.119 --> 0:24:54.480
<v Speaker 1>would end up going and that's say, very low Earth orbit. Uh,

0:24:54.520 --> 0:24:58.840
<v Speaker 1>and it could stay. Originally, I think they were planning

0:24:58.880 --> 0:25:02.840
<v Speaker 1>on having it stayed between two entered in three days. Yeah,

0:25:03.040 --> 0:25:05.639
<v Speaker 1>that would be pretty much the limit that was originally,

0:25:05.720 --> 0:25:07.600
<v Speaker 1>or at least that was kind of what the mission

0:25:07.640 --> 0:25:10.320
<v Speaker 1>parameters were going to be. But as it turns out,

0:25:10.359 --> 0:25:12.400
<v Speaker 1>it can stay up there much longer than that. So

0:25:12.560 --> 0:25:17.440
<v Speaker 1>the very first mission for an X thirty seven launched

0:25:17.440 --> 0:25:23.800
<v Speaker 1>on April and landed on December three. Landed without a hitch.

0:25:24.359 --> 0:25:27.520
<v Speaker 1>Some of their tests landings that they did where they

0:25:27.560 --> 0:25:31.760
<v Speaker 1>just dropped one of these X thirty seven's from another aircraft,

0:25:32.400 --> 0:25:36.040
<v Speaker 1>some of them were successful, not all of them were. Yeah,

0:25:36.280 --> 0:25:38.480
<v Speaker 1>they had some issues where I think on the very

0:25:39.080 --> 0:25:41.320
<v Speaker 1>I think the very first time they tried to land

0:25:41.400 --> 0:25:46.200
<v Speaker 1>one um when the mission hadn't been scrapped for weather.

0:25:46.600 --> 0:25:49.560
<v Speaker 1>It ended up landing on the landing strip, but it

0:25:49.680 --> 0:25:52.919
<v Speaker 1>overshot a little bit and rolled off the end and

0:25:53.000 --> 0:25:57.000
<v Speaker 1>sustained minor damage. No. No, And then remember they built

0:25:57.000 --> 0:25:59.440
<v Speaker 1>two of these things. Originally they were just going to

0:25:59.520 --> 0:26:02.240
<v Speaker 1>do one, but they ended up building two. So that

0:26:02.359 --> 0:26:07.520
<v Speaker 1>first mission lasted two hundred twenty four days, and the

0:26:08.000 --> 0:26:12.320
<v Speaker 1>X thirty seven traveled approximately ninety one million miles in

0:26:12.320 --> 0:26:14.639
<v Speaker 1>those two four days, which is about a hundred forty

0:26:14.680 --> 0:26:19.000
<v Speaker 1>six million kilometers. The second mission was launched on March

0:26:19.080 --> 0:26:22.360
<v Speaker 1>five eleven. Now this was the second of the two

0:26:22.520 --> 0:26:25.159
<v Speaker 1>X thirty seven, so it wasn't the same one that

0:26:25.240 --> 0:26:29.320
<v Speaker 1>went up in important to remember because remember the whole

0:26:29.320 --> 0:26:32.480
<v Speaker 1>purpose of these was so you have reusable the idea

0:26:32.520 --> 0:26:35.600
<v Speaker 1>being you could turn it around fairly quickly and launch

0:26:35.640 --> 0:26:38.159
<v Speaker 1>it for a new mission. But they didn't reuse the

0:26:38.160 --> 0:26:41.800
<v Speaker 1>original one, not for this one. They decided, all right,

0:26:41.800 --> 0:26:44.000
<v Speaker 1>we're going to stagger these. So the second one went

0:26:44.080 --> 0:26:49.000
<v Speaker 1>up in on March two thousand eleven. Uh, this was

0:26:49.080 --> 0:26:52.679
<v Speaker 1>supposed to only last only is a weird way of

0:26:52.680 --> 0:26:56.160
<v Speaker 1>putting it. Only last two hundred seventy days as an

0:26:56.200 --> 0:26:59.400
<v Speaker 1>incredibly long time to just be you know, just being

0:26:59.440 --> 0:27:01.800
<v Speaker 1>a space craft. Remember it's not the International Space Station

0:27:01.880 --> 0:27:05.120
<v Speaker 1>or anything like that. But on November twenty nine, two

0:27:05.119 --> 0:27:06.920
<v Speaker 1>tho eleven, the Air Force announced it was going to

0:27:07.040 --> 0:27:09.199
<v Speaker 1>extend the mission, you know, just let go for a

0:27:09.200 --> 0:27:14.280
<v Speaker 1>while off. So it eventually landed on June twelve, which

0:27:14.320 --> 0:27:17.439
<v Speaker 1>means it lasted four hundred sixty nine days. That is

0:27:17.600 --> 0:27:21.760
<v Speaker 1>mind blowing. Yeah, so the spacecraft was just orbiting Earth

0:27:22.560 --> 0:27:25.040
<v Speaker 1>for four six days. Sometimes, by the way, it's low

0:27:25.160 --> 0:27:30.840
<v Speaker 1>enough that you can spot it. Amateur satellite investigators or

0:27:30.880 --> 0:27:34.760
<v Speaker 1>observers can check it out. You can go online, uh

0:27:34.880 --> 0:27:38.680
<v Speaker 1>and find the find the correct forums, which allow you

0:27:38.760 --> 0:27:43.320
<v Speaker 1>to track pretty much anything that is in orbit. If

0:27:43.359 --> 0:27:46.520
<v Speaker 1>it's close enough to be seen, it's it's the Great

0:27:46.600 --> 0:27:50.800
<v Speaker 1>Achilles heel of secrecy in space. Yeah. Yeah, if you're like, hey,

0:27:50.840 --> 0:27:54.200
<v Speaker 1>that's stars moving, the chances are it's not a star,

0:27:54.400 --> 0:27:57.800
<v Speaker 1>and it's not. It's not the Death Star. Probably probably,

0:27:57.800 --> 0:28:01.439
<v Speaker 1>it's more likely a space station or a spacecraft. Um.

0:28:01.520 --> 0:28:05.960
<v Speaker 1>So the third mission launched onto Samarrella at h and

0:28:06.000 --> 0:28:10.399
<v Speaker 1>this one was the same spacecraft that did the launched

0:28:10.440 --> 0:28:12.679
<v Speaker 1>So this was the first one, the first X thirty

0:28:12.720 --> 0:28:20.119
<v Speaker 1>seven b Um. Now this particular one, uh, lasted for

0:28:20.320 --> 0:28:22.119
<v Speaker 1>six hundred seventy four days. This is the one we

0:28:22.119 --> 0:28:24.919
<v Speaker 1>talked about where it was just shy of two years. Um,

0:28:25.560 --> 0:28:28.760
<v Speaker 1>pretty amazing that it could stay up that long. It

0:28:28.920 --> 0:28:31.600
<v Speaker 1>landed on October seventeen, So this is the one I

0:28:31.640 --> 0:28:34.959
<v Speaker 1>was referring to at the top of the show. And uh,

0:28:35.080 --> 0:28:38.240
<v Speaker 1>the fourth mission is scheduled to launch on May six,

0:28:39.240 --> 0:28:41.720
<v Speaker 1>but again we're in early April as we record this,

0:28:41.840 --> 0:28:45.760
<v Speaker 1>so that's still in our future, right. But what happens

0:28:45.800 --> 0:28:51.000
<v Speaker 1>on these missions, that's a great question. Then Remember how

0:28:51.040 --> 0:28:53.560
<v Speaker 1>I said it was classified in top secret? Do you

0:28:53.600 --> 0:28:56.240
<v Speaker 1>think I have that clearance? Where are we going? I

0:28:56.280 --> 0:28:58.760
<v Speaker 1>thought this was I thought you were doing a bit.

0:28:59.040 --> 0:29:01.160
<v Speaker 1>You're the guy who who knows the stuff. They don't

0:29:01.160 --> 0:29:03.200
<v Speaker 1>want you to know if anything, I should be asking

0:29:03.240 --> 0:29:06.360
<v Speaker 1>you this question. Well, uh yeah, well here's the thing,

0:29:06.680 --> 0:29:08.840
<v Speaker 1>and and and thank you for the shout out. But

0:29:09.920 --> 0:29:14.840
<v Speaker 1>rumors proliferate in the in the absence of Transparency's actually

0:29:14.880 --> 0:29:18.680
<v Speaker 1>absolutely like if you you know, you obviously can't deny

0:29:18.720 --> 0:29:22.760
<v Speaker 1>the existence of this thing, because we all know it exists,

0:29:23.320 --> 0:29:26.719
<v Speaker 1>but if you cannot also explain the reason for it,

0:29:26.840 --> 0:29:29.880
<v Speaker 1>or what its purposes or what it is doing, then

0:29:29.960 --> 0:29:33.560
<v Speaker 1>in the absence that vacuum of information, nature of whorrors

0:29:33.560 --> 0:29:37.760
<v Speaker 1>a vacuum. So we'll fill it with conjecture. Don't worry

0:29:37.760 --> 0:29:40.200
<v Speaker 1>about not telling us what it does. We will take

0:29:40.240 --> 0:29:43.440
<v Speaker 1>care of that for you by suggesting every kind of

0:29:43.480 --> 0:29:47.200
<v Speaker 1>hypothesis you can imagine. Okay, But with all that being said,

0:29:47.720 --> 0:29:50.520
<v Speaker 1>now we get to do one of the most enjoyable,

0:29:50.600 --> 0:29:55.760
<v Speaker 1>fascinating and sometimes slippery slopish kind of things, which is

0:29:56.040 --> 0:29:59.400
<v Speaker 1>we begin to assemble some of the facts we definitely

0:29:59.480 --> 0:30:02.600
<v Speaker 1>know and see if that builds out toward a larger picture.

0:30:02.680 --> 0:30:05.040
<v Speaker 1>Right all right, Yeah, So here's here's what we know.

0:30:05.600 --> 0:30:08.240
<v Speaker 1>DARPA took control of it. It's part of the Department

0:30:08.280 --> 0:30:11.400
<v Speaker 1>of Defense. The Air Force is running it, so it's

0:30:11.440 --> 0:30:15.040
<v Speaker 1>a military operation. With it being a military operation, you

0:30:15.040 --> 0:30:17.800
<v Speaker 1>can therefore assume that it's going to be doing some

0:30:18.720 --> 0:30:24.240
<v Speaker 1>things that would in the long term support military operations. Right,

0:30:24.320 --> 0:30:28.240
<v Speaker 1>it's not. It's not gonna be a cable television satellite

0:30:28.240 --> 0:30:31.800
<v Speaker 1>deployment device. That's not gonna help you know, the air forces.

0:30:31.840 --> 0:30:34.200
<v Speaker 1>Like we're strapped for cash. Let's see if Comcast wants

0:30:34.240 --> 0:30:36.239
<v Speaker 1>us to put something up in the sky, that's not

0:30:36.280 --> 0:30:40.640
<v Speaker 1>gonna happen. So therefore we narrow that the down the

0:30:40.760 --> 0:30:45.000
<v Speaker 1>possible uses for this to military things that would benefit

0:30:45.040 --> 0:30:48.640
<v Speaker 1>the military in some form or fashion. Yeah, that makes sense,

0:30:48.880 --> 0:30:53.760
<v Speaker 1>So that gives us some some direction. Uh So. One

0:30:53.760 --> 0:30:58.280
<v Speaker 1>of the popular hypotheses is that the X three seven

0:30:58.360 --> 0:31:02.000
<v Speaker 1>is acting like a spy settle light which maybe to

0:31:02.280 --> 0:31:08.280
<v Speaker 1>spy upon land targets or even other spacecraft other targets

0:31:08.280 --> 0:31:11.040
<v Speaker 1>in space, so it could be a satellite. Um. In fact,

0:31:11.040 --> 0:31:14.400
<v Speaker 1>there were a lot of people saying, hey, this you know,

0:31:14.480 --> 0:31:18.480
<v Speaker 1>most recent test had the spacecraft, the X thirty seven,

0:31:19.480 --> 0:31:23.440
<v Speaker 1>on the same general orbit as a Chinese satellite. Yeah,

0:31:23.480 --> 0:31:27.640
<v Speaker 1>the Tongue Young one or some and yeah, and that's

0:31:27.680 --> 0:31:30.080
<v Speaker 1>a that's a space lab has been up for a while.

0:31:30.160 --> 0:31:34.080
<v Speaker 1>It has its own refueling, So of course people people

0:31:34.080 --> 0:31:37.680
<v Speaker 1>would guess that this is a satellite either spine on

0:31:37.760 --> 0:31:42.400
<v Speaker 1>other satellites or giving imagery from the ground mapping. In

0:31:42.440 --> 0:31:45.920
<v Speaker 1>other words, in the orbitable path of the X thirty

0:31:46.000 --> 0:31:50.480
<v Speaker 1>seven B takes it over on Southeast Asia, Latin America,

0:31:50.960 --> 0:31:53.840
<v Speaker 1>parts the Middle East, notably I Rock. So it's not

0:31:54.120 --> 0:31:57.640
<v Speaker 1>an unreasonable guess. Yeah, you can understand why people would

0:31:57.760 --> 0:32:02.760
<v Speaker 1>would suggest this. And we don't know all the equipment

0:32:02.760 --> 0:32:05.000
<v Speaker 1>that's aboard the X thirty seven years. I have noticed

0:32:05.000 --> 0:32:07.360
<v Speaker 1>that we didn't give you a rundown on like it

0:32:07.440 --> 0:32:09.840
<v Speaker 1>has this kind of camera system on it or because

0:32:09.880 --> 0:32:12.040
<v Speaker 1>we don't know, but we'd love to do that. But

0:32:12.320 --> 0:32:14.000
<v Speaker 1>the stuff we do know is sort of vague. We

0:32:14.040 --> 0:32:16.640
<v Speaker 1>know it has the solar array, right, we know that.

0:32:17.280 --> 0:32:19.800
<v Speaker 1>We know that's what allows it to stay up for

0:32:19.840 --> 0:32:22.680
<v Speaker 1>so long. Uh, you know, I can't say that would

0:32:22.680 --> 0:32:25.200
<v Speaker 1>be able to stay up indefinitely, but it certainly is

0:32:25.200 --> 0:32:27.520
<v Speaker 1>staying up there an incredibly long amount of time for

0:32:28.120 --> 0:32:31.160
<v Speaker 1>something designed to fly up and fly back down. You

0:32:31.160 --> 0:32:34.760
<v Speaker 1>know it's not again, it's not space station. Um. So

0:32:36.120 --> 0:32:39.000
<v Speaker 1>here's the thing about the idea of it spying on

0:32:39.040 --> 0:32:44.520
<v Speaker 1>the space Lab. That's not really physically possible, right, yeah, absolutely,

0:32:44.720 --> 0:32:47.480
<v Speaker 1>because you can you can check out some of the

0:32:47.520 --> 0:32:51.760
<v Speaker 1>words from the analysts. This idea of it following a

0:32:51.800 --> 0:32:56.160
<v Speaker 1>satellite came about from that speculation. But there's a guy

0:32:56.200 --> 0:33:00.320
<v Speaker 1>named Jim Oberg who is who is a space analyst,

0:33:00.400 --> 0:33:02.560
<v Speaker 1>which is a great job to have. Yeah, I would

0:33:02.560 --> 0:33:06.800
<v Speaker 1>love to have that job. Looks pretty empty to me. Yeah,

0:33:07.080 --> 0:33:10.440
<v Speaker 1>I believe that's a star. No, it's moving, Yeah, exactly.

0:33:10.480 --> 0:33:13.240
<v Speaker 1>We'd be very good at that. Yeah, I think I

0:33:13.280 --> 0:33:17.080
<v Speaker 1>think we got a new podcast, so so um, let's

0:33:17.120 --> 0:33:19.840
<v Speaker 1>go ahead and and uh, we'll we'll finish quoting Jim

0:33:19.840 --> 0:33:21.760
<v Speaker 1>and invite him to the show later on our on

0:33:21.800 --> 0:33:25.400
<v Speaker 1>our space anitles stuff. Uh. He points out that these

0:33:25.440 --> 0:33:29.280
<v Speaker 1>two objects, the Chinese Space Lab and the X thirty

0:33:29.320 --> 0:33:32.800
<v Speaker 1>seven B, there in orbits that crossed the equator about

0:33:32.920 --> 0:33:36.120
<v Speaker 1>ninety degrees apart. So when they do criss cross each

0:33:36.120 --> 0:33:39.680
<v Speaker 1>other's paths, they're going thousands of meters per second. So

0:33:39.920 --> 0:33:43.360
<v Speaker 1>how how can you make an observation You're you're going

0:33:43.440 --> 0:33:47.120
<v Speaker 1>by so quickly that there's no there's no way to

0:33:47.120 --> 0:33:50.400
<v Speaker 1>get any meaningful information. Um, it would be kind of like,

0:33:50.760 --> 0:33:53.760
<v Speaker 1>let's let's imagine that Ben for a moment, that that

0:33:53.840 --> 0:33:58.280
<v Speaker 1>you're writing with Scott. Okay, yeah, Scott, Scott from car stuff,

0:33:58.400 --> 0:34:02.600
<v Speaker 1>because you guys do car stuff. To Scott, he's got

0:34:02.600 --> 0:34:06.600
<v Speaker 1>a lead foot man. He likes he likes to drive fast.

0:34:07.240 --> 0:34:10.759
<v Speaker 1>So let's say that he's driving by uh, you're you're

0:34:10.800 --> 0:34:13.200
<v Speaker 1>in the passenger seat. He's he's flying down the road.

0:34:13.239 --> 0:34:17.920
<v Speaker 1>He's in one of his his amazingly souped up muscle cars.

0:34:18.239 --> 0:34:21.120
<v Speaker 1>By the way, tostally making this up. But let's let's

0:34:21.120 --> 0:34:23.279
<v Speaker 1>say that he's or sports vehicle. Let's say it's either

0:34:23.400 --> 0:34:25.480
<v Speaker 1>faster than a muscle car. It's a sports car that's

0:34:25.600 --> 0:34:27.920
<v Speaker 1>designed to go fast. It's it's one of those that

0:34:28.000 --> 0:34:32.120
<v Speaker 1>was converted from an old race car. And you zoom

0:34:32.280 --> 0:34:36.799
<v Speaker 1>past a person that neither of you know, and he

0:34:36.840 --> 0:34:40.160
<v Speaker 1>asks you what colored their eyes were. It's like that,

0:34:40.320 --> 0:34:44.920
<v Speaker 1>except multiply it by way faster speeds. So it's just

0:34:44.960 --> 0:34:48.040
<v Speaker 1>it's it's impossible to get any kind of meaningful information

0:34:48.120 --> 0:34:52.160
<v Speaker 1>from that. So what's another hypothesis. How about it's not

0:34:52.440 --> 0:34:56.640
<v Speaker 1>actually doing any spying of its own, it's just testing

0:34:56.719 --> 0:35:01.359
<v Speaker 1>spy technology. Okay, like, what why would they be doing that. Well,

0:35:01.440 --> 0:35:04.600
<v Speaker 1>let's say that again, kind of like that idea of

0:35:04.680 --> 0:35:08.160
<v Speaker 1>these sensors that you might want in order to uh

0:35:08.400 --> 0:35:13.920
<v Speaker 1>to monitor something like uh nuclear deployment in another country,

0:35:14.080 --> 0:35:16.840
<v Speaker 1>or any other kind of sensor you can imagine that

0:35:16.880 --> 0:35:20.280
<v Speaker 1>would be useful for military purposes. And they've built these

0:35:20.400 --> 0:35:23.320
<v Speaker 1>on Earth. See here's the downfall that we have about

0:35:23.320 --> 0:35:26.439
<v Speaker 1>our our technologies for space. We have to build them

0:35:26.480 --> 0:35:30.920
<v Speaker 1>for the most part here on Earth. Sore. Yeah, that's

0:35:30.960 --> 0:35:33.759
<v Speaker 1>where we keep all our stuff, right, That's the way

0:35:33.800 --> 0:35:36.080
<v Speaker 1>the tick would say, not the Earth. That's where I

0:35:36.160 --> 0:35:39.839
<v Speaker 1>keep all my stuff. So because we have all that

0:35:39.920 --> 0:35:42.600
<v Speaker 1>stuff here and we're developing everything here, we're building it here,

0:35:42.920 --> 0:35:46.640
<v Speaker 1>we can never be fully certain that the thing we

0:35:46.760 --> 0:35:49.960
<v Speaker 1>designed here on Earth is going to work the way

0:35:50.000 --> 0:35:53.680
<v Speaker 1>we had intended once it's in space. So it may

0:35:53.800 --> 0:35:58.120
<v Speaker 1>be that this is acting as a platform to test

0:35:58.160 --> 0:36:01.440
<v Speaker 1>these technologies, see if they are in fact viable in

0:36:01.480 --> 0:36:05.520
<v Speaker 1>a space environment, and return to Earth, so that we

0:36:05.560 --> 0:36:09.120
<v Speaker 1>can be certain that the stuff we developed is in

0:36:09.200 --> 0:36:11.440
<v Speaker 1>fact doing what it was intended to do, or at

0:36:11.480 --> 0:36:14.080
<v Speaker 1>least figure out how it broke. Yeah, exactly. Yeah, if

0:36:14.080 --> 0:36:16.319
<v Speaker 1>it's not working, then we try and figure out why

0:36:16.400 --> 0:36:19.040
<v Speaker 1>is it not working? What caused that? What was the

0:36:19.080 --> 0:36:24.120
<v Speaker 1>thing was? Did it encounter a like some cosmic radiation

0:36:24.200 --> 0:36:26.759
<v Speaker 1>and it ended up messing everything up? If so, is

0:36:26.800 --> 0:36:28.840
<v Speaker 1>there some way we can shield it from that that

0:36:28.960 --> 0:36:31.960
<v Speaker 1>kind of thing? I think actually that this is probably

0:36:31.960 --> 0:36:37.239
<v Speaker 1>the the most likely out of all the different hypotheses. Yeah,

0:36:37.320 --> 0:36:39.920
<v Speaker 1>I agree, because pretty much what the Air Force has said,

0:36:40.760 --> 0:36:44.360
<v Speaker 1>and and it's it has precedent behind it because they've

0:36:44.400 --> 0:36:47.960
<v Speaker 1>continually built these platforms, as you said earlier, So it

0:36:48.000 --> 0:36:50.760
<v Speaker 1>makes sense. And you also want to check because especially

0:36:50.800 --> 0:36:54.240
<v Speaker 1>if this is new, uh new technology of any sort,

0:36:54.400 --> 0:36:56.319
<v Speaker 1>it's going to be a little bit delicate and you know,

0:36:56.560 --> 0:37:01.239
<v Speaker 1>sensors are well sensitive. Yeah yeah, And and you could

0:37:01.280 --> 0:37:03.080
<v Speaker 1>even argue that maybe it doesn't even go that far.

0:37:03.160 --> 0:37:06.040
<v Speaker 1>Maybe it's just the Air Force wanting to test this

0:37:06.160 --> 0:37:11.400
<v Speaker 1>autonomous uh nature and to make sure that they can

0:37:11.440 --> 0:37:15.720
<v Speaker 1>rely upon it even if the mission extends much further

0:37:15.800 --> 0:37:19.960
<v Speaker 1>out than what was originally anticipated. That's valuable information to know.

0:37:20.200 --> 0:37:25.040
<v Speaker 1>Maybe it's not doing anything remotely you know, secret right now,

0:37:25.120 --> 0:37:28.720
<v Speaker 1>other than just making sure it works, which that's important

0:37:28.760 --> 0:37:32.759
<v Speaker 1>to know, and we can't know without the tests. So

0:37:33.640 --> 0:37:37.279
<v Speaker 1>then there's another hypothesis where um, the X thirty seven

0:37:37.320 --> 0:37:41.640
<v Speaker 1>is a delivery mechanism for space weapons space weapon. How

0:37:41.680 --> 0:37:45.120
<v Speaker 1>do we define space weapons? That's an excellent question. It's

0:37:45.160 --> 0:37:47.560
<v Speaker 1>one that cannot be answered right now, because it's a

0:37:47.640 --> 0:37:50.880
<v Speaker 1>question that comes up over and over in treaty discussions

0:37:51.160 --> 0:37:57.680
<v Speaker 1>and uh arms control discussions. People disagree over and by

0:37:57.719 --> 0:38:01.279
<v Speaker 1>people I mean states like country. These disagree over the

0:38:01.280 --> 0:38:04.960
<v Speaker 1>definition of space weapons. So for example, perhaps you have

0:38:05.000 --> 0:38:09.280
<v Speaker 1>a missile detection system, like a satellite system that's deployed.

0:38:09.920 --> 0:38:12.480
<v Speaker 1>Some would argue that as a space weapon. Now it

0:38:12.560 --> 0:38:15.520
<v Speaker 1>might be up space weapon in the form of defense,

0:38:16.800 --> 0:38:20.960
<v Speaker 1>but they would still argue that counts under certain definitions.

0:38:21.000 --> 0:38:24.880
<v Speaker 1>And other states, presumably the states that actually have missile

0:38:25.280 --> 0:38:29.279
<v Speaker 1>detection systems in place, would say this totally doesn't count

0:38:29.320 --> 0:38:32.400
<v Speaker 1>as a space weapon. And we'll talk more about why

0:38:32.440 --> 0:38:36.600
<v Speaker 1>they would say that a little bit later. But the Pentagon,

0:38:36.840 --> 0:38:39.719
<v Speaker 1>just for the record, denies that in fact, the X

0:38:39.719 --> 0:38:42.320
<v Speaker 1>thirty seven has anything to do with space weapon deployment.

0:38:42.440 --> 0:38:47.120
<v Speaker 1>Explicitly denies it. And also, you know this concern about

0:38:47.280 --> 0:38:50.400
<v Speaker 1>space weapons and militarization. I know, we'll talk about it

0:38:50.400 --> 0:38:53.040
<v Speaker 1>a little bit later, but there is also precedent in

0:38:54.239 --> 0:39:01.400
<v Speaker 1>unclassified public record Pentagon statements, especially under Rumsfelds heading of

0:39:01.520 --> 0:39:06.799
<v Speaker 1>the administration, Donald Rumsfeld, there is an active desire on

0:39:06.840 --> 0:39:09.960
<v Speaker 1>the part of not just the US but other countries

0:39:10.320 --> 0:39:14.880
<v Speaker 1>to to explore the possibilities of defensive capability in space.

0:39:15.360 --> 0:39:17.359
<v Speaker 1>It just makes sense. It's not a secret. I mean,

0:39:17.680 --> 0:39:21.759
<v Speaker 1>anyone who lived through the eighties remembers the star Wars program,

0:39:21.760 --> 0:39:24.400
<v Speaker 1>the so called star Wars program, which was a proposed

0:39:24.400 --> 0:39:29.960
<v Speaker 1>and ultimately abandoned plan to put an anti missile system

0:39:30.040 --> 0:39:34.319
<v Speaker 1>into space to protect against the potential first strike situation

0:39:35.080 --> 0:39:37.440
<v Speaker 1>or even you know, not even a first strike, but

0:39:37.480 --> 0:39:41.560
<v Speaker 1>maybe even a counter strike if you're being super cynical

0:39:42.160 --> 0:39:45.200
<v Speaker 1>of uh, you know, a system meant to to uh

0:39:45.520 --> 0:39:50.880
<v Speaker 1>disarm or disable incoming missiles that could target the United States. Ultimately,

0:39:50.920 --> 0:39:55.120
<v Speaker 1>it didn't go into place. Um and I want to

0:39:55.160 --> 0:39:57.240
<v Speaker 1>say I've done an episode about that, but if I haven't,

0:39:57.239 --> 0:40:01.520
<v Speaker 1>I absolutely need to. Yeah, I feel we talked about this,

0:40:01.640 --> 0:40:03.480
<v Speaker 1>maybe we talked about off air, but that would be

0:40:03.520 --> 0:40:06.640
<v Speaker 1>that would be a fantastic episode. Uh, It's it's such

0:40:06.680 --> 0:40:09.319
<v Speaker 1>an it's such an interesting thing. We could also talk

0:40:09.360 --> 0:40:13.239
<v Speaker 1>about dead hands systems, but that's a story for another day,

0:40:13.440 --> 0:40:18.560
<v Speaker 1>A strange love stuff. Yeah, I'm almost certain that Chris

0:40:18.560 --> 0:40:20.479
<v Speaker 1>and I did one episode on it at some point,

0:40:20.520 --> 0:40:22.360
<v Speaker 1>but I'll have to do as search because once you

0:40:22.400 --> 0:40:27.800
<v Speaker 1>do around seven hundred episodes, you really can't remember what kinds. Yeah. Well,

0:40:27.840 --> 0:40:30.600
<v Speaker 1>and for me, honestly, after I did about ten episodes,

0:40:30.600 --> 0:40:35.120
<v Speaker 1>I was But so anyway, there are other hypotheses as

0:40:35.120 --> 0:40:38.080
<v Speaker 1>well or other other um statements that have come out

0:40:38.120 --> 0:40:42.040
<v Speaker 1>from various experts about the potential use of the X

0:40:42.080 --> 0:40:46.200
<v Speaker 1>thirty seven. Uh. Laura Grego of the Global Security Program

0:40:46.200 --> 0:40:50.080
<v Speaker 1>at the Union of Concerned Scientists says that the design

0:40:50.080 --> 0:40:52.520
<v Speaker 1>of the X thirty seven really limits what it could

0:40:52.520 --> 0:40:55.920
<v Speaker 1>be able to do, and she says that really can't

0:40:55.920 --> 0:40:59.280
<v Speaker 1>maneuver easily in orbit, so it would be very limited

0:40:59.280 --> 0:41:03.040
<v Speaker 1>in its use as either spy technology or a space weapon.

0:41:03.560 --> 0:41:07.000
<v Speaker 1>Like we were saying earlier, you can sometimes see this

0:41:07.080 --> 0:41:11.200
<v Speaker 1>thing from Earth, so maneuvering it is it's really hard

0:41:11.239 --> 0:41:14.080
<v Speaker 1>to make that a secret, right, right. Let's say, like

0:41:14.160 --> 0:41:16.880
<v Speaker 1>if if everyone notices that the X thirty seven happens

0:41:16.920 --> 0:41:20.000
<v Speaker 1>to be in a particular quadrant that's near say a

0:41:20.120 --> 0:41:23.640
<v Speaker 1>Russian spy satellite, and that spy satellite suddenly goes offline.

0:41:24.000 --> 0:41:26.800
<v Speaker 1>It does not take a lot of imagination to connect

0:41:26.840 --> 0:41:32.759
<v Speaker 1>those two things together. Yeah, so probably not going to

0:41:32.800 --> 0:41:36.960
<v Speaker 1>be used for clandestine purposes in that case. Um. She

0:41:37.040 --> 0:41:39.400
<v Speaker 1>also says it's not large enough to be a satellite launcher.

0:41:39.440 --> 0:41:42.120
<v Speaker 1>It doesn't have the cargo capacity to hold most satellites.

0:41:42.160 --> 0:41:45.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean, if you're talking about like the small cluster

0:41:45.560 --> 0:41:49.160
<v Speaker 1>satellites that some people have referred to. Maybe, but it's

0:41:49.239 --> 0:41:53.520
<v Speaker 1>not designed to carry anything of substantial size, so that's

0:41:53.560 --> 0:41:55.640
<v Speaker 1>probably not what it's being used. What it can do,

0:41:55.760 --> 0:41:58.759
<v Speaker 1>she says, is carry cargo up into space and that's

0:41:58.760 --> 0:42:03.480
<v Speaker 1>about it. Then you have another expert, Mark Gubrand or Gubrid,

0:42:03.640 --> 0:42:06.880
<v Speaker 1>who is an adjunct assistant professor of physics and Astronomy

0:42:06.880 --> 0:42:09.759
<v Speaker 1>at the University of North Carolina Chapel Hill, who says

0:42:09.800 --> 0:42:12.520
<v Speaker 1>that space planes like the X thirty seven are not

0:42:12.680 --> 0:42:16.480
<v Speaker 1>more effective than traditional launches of satellites or space weapons,

0:42:16.560 --> 0:42:20.040
<v Speaker 1>even potential space weapons. So in other words, putting them

0:42:20.080 --> 0:42:24.240
<v Speaker 1>into other types of spacecraft to go up into space

0:42:24.320 --> 0:42:26.919
<v Speaker 1>that that aren't designed to come back down, so there's

0:42:26.960 --> 0:42:30.360
<v Speaker 1>no real advantage, Like, yeah, you've got the reusable factor,

0:42:30.400 --> 0:42:33.600
<v Speaker 1>which presumably would cut down on the cost somewhat of

0:42:33.600 --> 0:42:38.480
<v Speaker 1>space launches, but that it's such a complicated endeavor and

0:42:38.480 --> 0:42:40.520
<v Speaker 1>it's really designed to stay up there for a really

0:42:40.560 --> 0:42:43.239
<v Speaker 1>long time, that it doesn't make sense to use it

0:42:43.280 --> 0:42:46.320
<v Speaker 1>as a delivery mechanism. There's no reason why your delivery

0:42:46.320 --> 0:42:49.800
<v Speaker 1>mechanism would need to remain up in low Earth orbit

0:42:50.560 --> 0:42:53.440
<v Speaker 1>for hundreds of days. You just get out there, you

0:42:53.480 --> 0:42:56.600
<v Speaker 1>deliver it, you're done. So his argument is that, well,

0:42:56.680 --> 0:42:59.000
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't really make sense. In fact, he would argue

0:42:59.040 --> 0:43:02.120
<v Speaker 1>that the only reason at the program still exists because

0:43:02.120 --> 0:43:04.680
<v Speaker 1>it has so much momentum, that there was so much

0:43:04.760 --> 0:43:09.080
<v Speaker 1>money and effort put into developing it, that it would

0:43:09.480 --> 0:43:11.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's kind of taken a life of its own.

0:43:11.960 --> 0:43:14.279
<v Speaker 1>It's a soak cost at this point. Yeah, saying that,

0:43:14.320 --> 0:43:17.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, it doesn't make sense compared to the alternatives. However,

0:43:18.080 --> 0:43:21.240
<v Speaker 1>it's we already got the ball rolling and now it's

0:43:21.280 --> 0:43:24.600
<v Speaker 1>going to continue to roll right wherever it ends up rolling.

0:43:24.640 --> 0:43:27.759
<v Speaker 1>And then there's another interesting thing that you have proposed.

0:43:27.960 --> 0:43:29.960
<v Speaker 1>You said, what what if it's what if there's a

0:43:30.000 --> 0:43:33.400
<v Speaker 1>psychological aspect? Yeah, there there's some who have suggested that

0:43:33.440 --> 0:43:37.120
<v Speaker 1>perhaps at least part of the reason why this project.

0:43:37.320 --> 0:43:40.000
<v Speaker 1>Let's say that the project ultimately people say, yeah, there's

0:43:40.000 --> 0:43:43.200
<v Speaker 1>no there's no practical reason to continue it because we

0:43:43.239 --> 0:43:46.919
<v Speaker 1>can accomplish a lot of the same goals using alternative

0:43:46.960 --> 0:43:51.719
<v Speaker 1>means that don't require this autonomous vehicle. UM. Some have said, well,

0:43:51.760 --> 0:43:56.440
<v Speaker 1>maybe it's just a kind of freak out potential adversaries

0:43:56.520 --> 0:44:02.000
<v Speaker 1>like the Chinese. I like, okay, first off, that sounds

0:44:02.160 --> 0:44:05.160
<v Speaker 1>so ridiculous on the offset. It sounds like a billion

0:44:05.200 --> 0:44:08.680
<v Speaker 1>dollar prank, you know, I agree, like, like, hey, guys,

0:44:08.719 --> 0:44:12.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, I'm concerned about what's happening over in China,

0:44:12.480 --> 0:44:15.319
<v Speaker 1>and obviously we can't declare war or anything like that,

0:44:15.440 --> 0:44:19.800
<v Speaker 1>but how do we scare them? Now? You could say that, however,

0:44:19.880 --> 0:44:22.719
<v Speaker 1>SPOT think was kind of that, you know, that's not

0:44:22.760 --> 0:44:25.520
<v Speaker 1>a bad that's not a bad comparison, and we we

0:44:25.560 --> 0:44:29.080
<v Speaker 1>do know that right now, there's there's this very um

0:44:29.120 --> 0:44:34.279
<v Speaker 1>sensitive is a good word, A sensitive and ongoing uh

0:44:34.880 --> 0:44:39.279
<v Speaker 1>elbow knocking between nations in space. UM. One thing that

0:44:39.320 --> 0:44:42.560
<v Speaker 1>working on this episode made me think about was the

0:44:42.640 --> 0:44:45.640
<v Speaker 1>incident in two thousand seven where the Chinese government shot

0:44:45.680 --> 0:44:49.560
<v Speaker 1>a satellite down from space and it was it was

0:44:50.080 --> 0:44:52.960
<v Speaker 1>pitched to the public as like whom it was bad

0:44:53.040 --> 0:44:56.720
<v Speaker 1>and we wanted to make sure that nothing terrible happened

0:44:56.719 --> 0:44:58.239
<v Speaker 1>to it, so we took care of it. But it

0:44:58.320 --> 0:45:01.640
<v Speaker 1>was also there was a sigh logical aspect between the

0:45:01.719 --> 0:45:04.920
<v Speaker 1>countries right too. Here's what we can do, ye look

0:45:04.920 --> 0:45:07.640
<v Speaker 1>at our capability. We can bring down a satellite from

0:45:07.920 --> 0:45:10.880
<v Speaker 1>the surface, like we can launch an attack from the

0:45:10.920 --> 0:45:13.920
<v Speaker 1>surface of the Earth and bring down a satellite. Also,

0:45:13.960 --> 0:45:17.280
<v Speaker 1>the rest of the world said, guys, don't don't clutter

0:45:17.360 --> 0:45:20.640
<v Speaker 1>up space more than it already. You are literally making

0:45:20.680 --> 0:45:23.640
<v Speaker 1>it more dangerous for everything else that's out in low

0:45:23.640 --> 0:45:26.200
<v Speaker 1>earth orbit. I mean, maybe that's the reason there hasn't

0:45:26.239 --> 0:45:30.080
<v Speaker 1>been any extraterrestrial contact. Maybe we're the equivalent of people

0:45:30.120 --> 0:45:33.000
<v Speaker 1>who have refrigerators and stuff in their yard, or or

0:45:33.200 --> 0:45:36.520
<v Speaker 1>or the equivalent of like, well, you know, I really

0:45:36.520 --> 0:45:39.399
<v Speaker 1>want to check out that beautiful waterfall, but there's all

0:45:39.440 --> 0:45:43.200
<v Speaker 1>this abandoned barbed wire and broken glass here. I'm kind

0:45:43.200 --> 0:45:44.880
<v Speaker 1>of scared that if I try and walk through there,

0:45:44.880 --> 0:45:47.360
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to cut myself up. Like that's that's because

0:45:47.360 --> 0:45:50.200
<v Speaker 1>I mean, space debris a serious problem, not just for

0:45:50.400 --> 0:45:54.360
<v Speaker 1>manned missions, but unmanned spacecraft as well. Like you know,

0:45:54.480 --> 0:45:57.840
<v Speaker 1>we could have communications satellites that would get taken down

0:45:58.000 --> 0:46:01.560
<v Speaker 1>if they encountered space debris. We're talking about things that

0:46:01.600 --> 0:46:05.400
<v Speaker 1>could be really tiny, I mean just like a couple

0:46:05.400 --> 0:46:09.400
<v Speaker 1>of centimeters per side, but traveling at those amazing speeds,

0:46:09.880 --> 0:46:12.200
<v Speaker 1>they could do massive amounts of damage if they collide

0:46:12.200 --> 0:46:15.560
<v Speaker 1>with something. Now, on the positive side, space is really big,

0:46:16.160 --> 0:46:20.439
<v Speaker 1>right on the On the the less positive side, first

0:46:20.440 --> 0:46:23.280
<v Speaker 1>of all, there all all of these things are largely

0:46:23.320 --> 0:46:27.440
<v Speaker 1>in the same general orbit, you know, lower thorbit. Secondly,

0:46:27.960 --> 0:46:31.279
<v Speaker 1>the more debris you have, the more the greater the

0:46:31.280 --> 0:46:35.359
<v Speaker 1>odds increase of some sort of unintended collision. We've got

0:46:35.440 --> 0:46:38.040
<v Speaker 1>a bit more about this secret space plane to talk about,

0:46:38.040 --> 0:46:49.640
<v Speaker 1>but first let's take a quick break. So making more

0:46:50.440 --> 0:46:53.640
<v Speaker 1>garbage up there is not great. And then there's also,

0:46:54.280 --> 0:46:58.240
<v Speaker 1>um a quote that you found from the London Times. Ah, yes, uh,

0:46:58.239 --> 0:47:03.000
<v Speaker 1>well back and unnamed Air force official yeah or woman

0:47:03.480 --> 0:47:08.120
<v Speaker 1>or that person, yes, a recurring character. An unnamed Air

0:47:08.160 --> 0:47:12.239
<v Speaker 1>Force official did note that the ultimate goal of the

0:47:12.360 --> 0:47:16.680
<v Speaker 1>X thirty seven B is to aid terrestrial war fighters,

0:47:17.040 --> 0:47:20.000
<v Speaker 1>which is still pretty vague. It's super vague, but it

0:47:20.040 --> 0:47:23.440
<v Speaker 1>does confirm that there is a military aspect by the

0:47:23.480 --> 0:47:27.360
<v Speaker 1>Air Force who knew. Yeah, right, I think again, you know,

0:47:27.400 --> 0:47:31.680
<v Speaker 1>we see people chasing explanations or speculation about what this is.

0:47:31.920 --> 0:47:36.319
<v Speaker 1>But there's clearly something about UM an informational edge that

0:47:36.520 --> 0:47:39.120
<v Speaker 1>I think he's in there. And you know, to be

0:47:39.160 --> 0:47:42.560
<v Speaker 1>fair that that phrasing, it could mean anything, right, it

0:47:42.600 --> 0:47:46.440
<v Speaker 1>could anything. It could It could mean reconnaissance. It could

0:47:46.480 --> 0:47:51.000
<v Speaker 1>mean support in the sense of uh sending up a

0:47:51.120 --> 0:47:54.960
<v Speaker 1>new satellite, small satellite, I guess, or or some other

0:47:55.040 --> 0:47:58.280
<v Speaker 1>kind of payload. Or it could mean some kind of weaponization.

0:47:58.360 --> 0:48:01.279
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's so vaguely find that it could mean

0:48:01.320 --> 0:48:03.880
<v Speaker 1>any of those things. So again, and more often than not,

0:48:03.960 --> 0:48:07.200
<v Speaker 1>it fuels the speculation as opposed to oh now I

0:48:07.280 --> 0:48:10.880
<v Speaker 1>understand exactly. Yeah, it's there's there's something a little platitude

0:48:10.920 --> 0:48:13.880
<v Speaker 1>and this about it. But but this brings us to

0:48:13.880 --> 0:48:19.160
<v Speaker 1>a bigger issue, which you and I have been fascinated by. Yeah,

0:48:19.560 --> 0:48:24.680
<v Speaker 1>the concept of weaponization of space, like putting weapons into

0:48:24.719 --> 0:48:28.879
<v Speaker 1>space for the purposes of warfare. So we're talking like

0:48:29.920 --> 0:48:34.400
<v Speaker 1>everything from those missile defense systems to something that's more

0:48:34.440 --> 0:48:39.000
<v Speaker 1>of an attack based form of warfare, something like a

0:48:39.200 --> 0:48:43.759
<v Speaker 1>system that could either launch missiles or other types of

0:48:43.800 --> 0:48:50.800
<v Speaker 1>weaponry from space or support some other coordinated warfare efforts. Uh.

0:48:50.920 --> 0:48:54.480
<v Speaker 1>And obviously this is one of those things that is

0:48:55.200 --> 0:48:58.880
<v Speaker 1>a very delicate subject, particularly when you look at the

0:48:58.920 --> 0:49:02.360
<v Speaker 1>Earth and you say how many nations are actually space

0:49:02.400 --> 0:49:07.120
<v Speaker 1>faring nations? Right, not as many as you think there there. Um,

0:49:07.160 --> 0:49:10.200
<v Speaker 1>there are some big strides being made that will change

0:49:10.239 --> 0:49:14.200
<v Speaker 1>the game, but right now the a lot of other

0:49:14.280 --> 0:49:17.040
<v Speaker 1>nations are still catching up to what the US and

0:49:17.200 --> 0:49:19.759
<v Speaker 1>Russia did in the eighties. Yeah, so you've got things

0:49:19.760 --> 0:49:23.799
<v Speaker 1>like you've got coalitions like the European Space Agency, and

0:49:23.840 --> 0:49:28.080
<v Speaker 1>you've got countries like India or China or Japan that

0:49:28.280 --> 0:49:31.720
<v Speaker 1>all have to some extent worked on this sort of stuff,

0:49:31.760 --> 0:49:34.759
<v Speaker 1>some of them using the resources of other nations in

0:49:34.880 --> 0:49:37.960
<v Speaker 1>order to actually launch things. But it is one of

0:49:37.960 --> 0:49:41.319
<v Speaker 1>those deals where you know you have the the potential

0:49:41.600 --> 0:49:45.800
<v Speaker 1>to affect a huge number of people, some of whom

0:49:45.960 --> 0:49:48.840
<v Speaker 1>are living in nations that have absolutely no capability of

0:49:48.880 --> 0:49:52.319
<v Speaker 1>going into space at the moment. So it ends up

0:49:52.400 --> 0:49:55.080
<v Speaker 1>raising some concerns, and in fact, the space race itself

0:49:56.160 --> 0:49:58.640
<v Speaker 1>raised a lot of concerns. You get to a point

0:49:58.640 --> 0:50:03.080
<v Speaker 1>where h the then Soviet Union can launch a satellite

0:50:03.080 --> 0:50:06.799
<v Speaker 1>into space. In this case, Sputnik Spotney could not do much.

0:50:06.840 --> 0:50:10.800
<v Speaker 1>It essentially beat Essentially, all it really did was send

0:50:10.840 --> 0:50:14.320
<v Speaker 1>a message that said I'm still here until until it

0:50:14.400 --> 0:50:19.120
<v Speaker 1>stopped UM. But that was enough to terrify people in

0:50:19.160 --> 0:50:23.040
<v Speaker 1>the United States because the other implication was that if

0:50:23.080 --> 0:50:25.759
<v Speaker 1>the Soviet Union could send a rocket all the way

0:50:25.760 --> 0:50:28.160
<v Speaker 1>out into space, it could also send a rocket all

0:50:28.160 --> 0:50:32.600
<v Speaker 1>the way over to the United States. So it raised

0:50:32.640 --> 0:50:37.520
<v Speaker 1>a lot of of concerns, not just about intercontinental ballistic missiles,

0:50:37.560 --> 0:50:41.759
<v Speaker 1>but also are we one day going to have war

0:50:41.880 --> 0:50:46.160
<v Speaker 1>breakout where the weapons are in space? Because that is terrifying,

0:50:46.719 --> 0:50:50.200
<v Speaker 1>just a nuclear weapon dropping from near Earth orbit. Yeah.

0:50:50.640 --> 0:50:54.600
<v Speaker 1>So in nineteen sixty seven, several countries came together and

0:50:54.640 --> 0:50:57.360
<v Speaker 1>there was an open signing in nineteen sixty seven that

0:50:58.280 --> 0:51:01.520
<v Speaker 1>took place in UM the so Union and the United

0:51:01.560 --> 0:51:04.440
<v Speaker 1>Kingdom and the United States for a treaty that is

0:51:04.480 --> 0:51:08.560
<v Speaker 1>called here's the full name, the Treaty on Principles Governing

0:51:08.600 --> 0:51:11.960
<v Speaker 1>the Activities of States in the Exploration and Use of

0:51:12.000 --> 0:51:18.040
<v Speaker 1>Outer Space, including the Moon and other celestial bodies. I

0:51:18.040 --> 0:51:19.759
<v Speaker 1>guess they didn't have a lot of time to work

0:51:19.760 --> 0:51:22.560
<v Speaker 1>on the title, were working on the actual agreement. It

0:51:22.600 --> 0:51:26.320
<v Speaker 1>wasn't so zippy with the title. It is informally referred

0:51:26.320 --> 0:51:28.879
<v Speaker 1>to as the Outer Space Treaty, which, oh, that makes

0:51:28.880 --> 0:51:32.200
<v Speaker 1>a lot more sangiesier. So set up a lot of

0:51:32.239 --> 0:51:36.960
<v Speaker 1>ground rules about about space because obviously at that point

0:51:37.000 --> 0:51:40.759
<v Speaker 1>only really two nations were in the space game, but

0:51:40.840 --> 0:51:45.400
<v Speaker 1>they were two nations that were philosophically opposed to one another.

0:51:45.440 --> 0:51:48.600
<v Speaker 1>They were in the middle of a Cold war. Uh,

0:51:48.640 --> 0:51:51.719
<v Speaker 1>And so you have all these other countries saying, you

0:51:51.760 --> 0:51:54.320
<v Speaker 1>guys are getting like, first of all, you're really angry

0:51:54.360 --> 0:51:57.879
<v Speaker 1>at each other. Secondly, you've both amassed a huge number

0:51:57.920 --> 0:52:00.759
<v Speaker 1>of weapons. Third you've demonstrated that you are very much

0:52:00.800 --> 0:52:03.799
<v Speaker 1>interested in going in the outer space, and we would

0:52:03.840 --> 0:52:06.799
<v Speaker 1>like to have to have us all kind of calm down,

0:52:07.320 --> 0:52:11.600
<v Speaker 1>set some ground rules and just chill out a little bit.

0:52:11.640 --> 0:52:14.880
<v Speaker 1>But these are these are actually some fantastic rules, to

0:52:14.920 --> 0:52:17.680
<v Speaker 1>the point where I wish more nations were on board

0:52:17.719 --> 0:52:20.880
<v Speaker 1>with this plan. But what are all right? So, first,

0:52:20.960 --> 0:52:24.440
<v Speaker 1>space exploration as discoveries belong to all humans, not just

0:52:24.520 --> 0:52:28.279
<v Speaker 1>one nation, so you can't hoard all the info. So yeah,

0:52:28.320 --> 0:52:31.400
<v Speaker 1>it's it's saying, look, there's the potential for what we

0:52:31.480 --> 0:52:34.600
<v Speaker 1>learn out in space to benefit all of humanity. We

0:52:34.719 --> 0:52:38.839
<v Speaker 1>cannot silo that information so that one nation benefits at

0:52:38.840 --> 0:52:42.160
<v Speaker 1>the expense of everybody else. So there was an agreement

0:52:42.200 --> 0:52:45.040
<v Speaker 1>that anything we learned that can become a benefit needs

0:52:45.080 --> 0:52:49.239
<v Speaker 1>to be shared with everyone. Anyone who with a technological

0:52:49.280 --> 0:52:52.640
<v Speaker 1>capacity can explore space, so it can't be off limits

0:52:52.640 --> 0:52:55.680
<v Speaker 1>to anyone. So in other words, if the United States

0:52:55.680 --> 0:52:59.359
<v Speaker 1>has to developed this space faring technology and then some

0:52:59.440 --> 0:53:02.799
<v Speaker 1>other country that the US is maybe not so friendly with, does,

0:53:02.960 --> 0:53:05.840
<v Speaker 1>the US can't move to block them, right like Iran.

0:53:06.040 --> 0:53:09.600
<v Speaker 1>You will hear stuff about the Iranian Space Agency, and

0:53:10.160 --> 0:53:12.839
<v Speaker 1>you know, for some people it might seem strange that, uh,

0:53:13.320 --> 0:53:16.240
<v Speaker 1>it might seem strange that there's such controversy over nuclear

0:53:16.280 --> 0:53:21.799
<v Speaker 1>weapons but relatively little controversy over um any space exploration.

0:53:22.200 --> 0:53:26.640
<v Speaker 1>Because this, yeah, exactly saying that, you know, philosophical disagreements

0:53:26.719 --> 0:53:32.880
<v Speaker 1>or ideological disagreements or or political arguments aside. All nations,

0:53:32.920 --> 0:53:36.480
<v Speaker 1>all states have a right to space exploration if they

0:53:36.520 --> 0:53:40.600
<v Speaker 1>have the technological capacity to do so. Uh, you can't

0:53:40.640 --> 0:53:44.359
<v Speaker 1>claim space property. Yeah, you can't. Can't go out there

0:53:44.360 --> 0:53:46.600
<v Speaker 1>and say this part of space belongs to the US

0:53:46.760 --> 0:53:50.719
<v Speaker 1>or to the Russia or to whatever. Uh, So you

0:53:50.760 --> 0:53:52.759
<v Speaker 1>can't land on the Moon plan a flag and say

0:53:52.760 --> 0:53:55.480
<v Speaker 1>that it belongs to you. Now, So, Eddie, Iszard's whole

0:53:55.560 --> 0:53:58.440
<v Speaker 1>routine about how you can conquer just as long as

0:53:58.440 --> 0:54:01.120
<v Speaker 1>you have a flag does not apply to outer space.

0:54:01.360 --> 0:54:03.680
<v Speaker 1>He's going to be so upset nobody telling you guys,

0:54:03.880 --> 0:54:06.400
<v Speaker 1>right well, this also means that the US can't lay

0:54:06.440 --> 0:54:09.040
<v Speaker 1>claim to the Moon because we have an American flag

0:54:09.719 --> 0:54:13.040
<v Speaker 1>up there. Um, obviously the American flag is really in

0:54:13.080 --> 0:54:17.720
<v Speaker 1>this sound studio someplace, the whole hoax deal. And because

0:54:17.760 --> 0:54:20.640
<v Speaker 1>somebody already sold off most of the property on the Moon.

0:54:20.719 --> 0:54:24.359
<v Speaker 1>I have a couple of acres myself. Yeah, you love those.

0:54:24.600 --> 0:54:26.400
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I'm sure those businesses are all on the

0:54:26.400 --> 0:54:29.680
<v Speaker 1>open up right. Yeah. Whenever you hear something like a

0:54:29.280 --> 0:54:34.399
<v Speaker 1>a company offering up space real estate, this treaty says

0:54:34.480 --> 0:54:37.160
<v Speaker 1>that's not legal, at least not for states to do. So.

0:54:37.239 --> 0:54:39.719
<v Speaker 1>Governments can't do it. If you say, well, I'm a

0:54:39.719 --> 0:54:42.120
<v Speaker 1>private individual, therefore I can claim it. I'm sure you're

0:54:42.120 --> 0:54:44.480
<v Speaker 1>going to have that. That's gonna be very difficult to

0:54:44.480 --> 0:54:46.960
<v Speaker 1>defend that. Not that not that there's any reason to

0:54:47.000 --> 0:54:51.880
<v Speaker 1>defend it. Right now, it's totally not practical, but anyway. Um. Also,

0:54:52.080 --> 0:54:55.040
<v Speaker 1>no one is allowed to create weapons of mass destruction

0:54:55.040 --> 0:54:57.280
<v Speaker 1>and place them in space. This is a big one.

0:54:59.080 --> 0:55:03.040
<v Speaker 1>And yeah, now it's talking about weapons of mass destruction,

0:55:03.520 --> 0:55:07.480
<v Speaker 1>so it's a very specific definition of the type of weaponry. Right.

0:55:07.600 --> 0:55:12.120
<v Speaker 1>We're talking about a weapon capable of killing or otherwise

0:55:12.239 --> 0:55:15.759
<v Speaker 1>injuring a huge number of folks at one go. Right, Yeah,

0:55:15.760 --> 0:55:20.200
<v Speaker 1>a catastrophic effect every time the weapons used. So any

0:55:20.200 --> 0:55:22.799
<v Speaker 1>weapon that does not fall under that category is not

0:55:24.400 --> 0:55:29.239
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's not prohibited under these terms, and that

0:55:29.280 --> 0:55:34.680
<v Speaker 1>has led to discussions of other treaties that would end

0:55:34.719 --> 0:55:36.480
<v Speaker 1>up filling in some of those gaps. We will get

0:55:36.480 --> 0:55:39.839
<v Speaker 1>to that in a second. Other rules include the fact

0:55:39.880 --> 0:55:43.200
<v Speaker 1>that celestial bodies can only be used for peaceful purposes.

0:55:43.520 --> 0:55:46.000
<v Speaker 1>That one's so interesting to me because you know what

0:55:46.000 --> 0:55:50.959
<v Speaker 1>what that also encompasses, right. That means not weaponizing an asteroid,

0:55:51.480 --> 0:55:54.719
<v Speaker 1>for instance, or altering the path of something else in

0:55:54.800 --> 0:55:58.120
<v Speaker 1>space so that it collides with the planet. You can't

0:55:58.200 --> 0:56:01.000
<v Speaker 1>use an asteroid as a projectile weapon and aim it

0:56:01.239 --> 0:56:06.240
<v Speaker 1>on at like you know, Russia, um, which you wouldn't

0:56:06.239 --> 0:56:09.359
<v Speaker 1>want to do anyway. I mean, like you don't want

0:56:09.360 --> 0:56:14.000
<v Speaker 1>to cause a planet wide extinction level event, which is

0:56:14.560 --> 0:56:17.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, like I mean, this is the kind of

0:56:17.560 --> 0:56:21.920
<v Speaker 1>stuff that that has killed off entire you know, populations,

0:56:22.160 --> 0:56:28.080
<v Speaker 1>entire you know, species, collections of species, your past. So yeah,

0:56:28.200 --> 0:56:31.839
<v Speaker 1>you cannot use celestial bodies for any you know, uh,

0:56:32.200 --> 0:56:36.680
<v Speaker 1>for any non peaceful purpose. Governments are responsible for space activities,

0:56:36.719 --> 0:56:39.920
<v Speaker 1>even if the activities themselves are carried out by private organizations,

0:56:39.960 --> 0:56:44.759
<v Speaker 1>which is very forward thinking since only state run operations

0:56:44.760 --> 0:56:48.880
<v Speaker 1>had existed at that point. So in other words, if

0:56:48.920 --> 0:56:53.720
<v Speaker 1>space X does something really dumb mountain space, the United

0:56:53.760 --> 0:56:57.200
<v Speaker 1>States government would be held accountable for that, because that's uh,

0:56:57.239 --> 0:57:00.239
<v Speaker 1>the presumably if they launched from the United States. I mean,

0:57:00.239 --> 0:57:04.200
<v Speaker 1>it is a US centered organization, So even though it's

0:57:04.200 --> 0:57:07.080
<v Speaker 1>not run by the government, the US would still be

0:57:07.080 --> 0:57:10.839
<v Speaker 1>held responsible because they would essentially be allowing for it

0:57:10.880 --> 0:57:15.480
<v Speaker 1>to happen. Be aware of space billionaires, because there you

0:57:15.480 --> 0:57:18.240
<v Speaker 1>could get a lot of trouble with your home country. Yeah, yeah,

0:57:18.320 --> 0:57:20.120
<v Speaker 1>your home country would get into a lot of trouble

0:57:20.200 --> 0:57:25.960
<v Speaker 1>and stuff trickles down, right, So we should say host country.

0:57:26.000 --> 0:57:28.440
<v Speaker 1>That's what I mean, that's true, that's true. That's probably

0:57:28.440 --> 0:57:31.200
<v Speaker 1>the best way of putting it. Uh So if your stuff,

0:57:31.360 --> 0:57:34.720
<v Speaker 1>meaning a state's property, falls out of the sky and

0:57:34.840 --> 0:57:37.240
<v Speaker 1>damages someone, you are at faults. So, in other words,

0:57:37.680 --> 0:57:40.720
<v Speaker 1>if the US puts up a satellite and the satellites

0:57:40.840 --> 0:57:45.600
<v Speaker 1>orbit decays, and the decaying orbit means the satellite starts

0:57:45.640 --> 0:57:49.960
<v Speaker 1>to fall into the Earth and does not burn up entirely,

0:57:50.200 --> 0:57:53.840
<v Speaker 1>and it ends up colliding with like a public library

0:57:53.920 --> 0:57:58.320
<v Speaker 1>over in Eastern Europe leaking dangerous chemicals, that US the

0:57:58.440 --> 0:58:00.600
<v Speaker 1>US is at fault. There's because they were the ones

0:58:00.600 --> 0:58:01.919
<v Speaker 1>who put it up there, and they did not find

0:58:01.960 --> 0:58:05.880
<v Speaker 1>a way to um to bring it down safely. Usually

0:58:07.560 --> 0:58:10.520
<v Speaker 1>things like that are done in a controlled way, where

0:58:11.480 --> 0:58:15.040
<v Speaker 1>it's purposefully brought down so that anything that would make

0:58:15.080 --> 0:58:18.240
<v Speaker 1>it through the atmosphere. The rare instance that that actually

0:58:18.240 --> 0:58:22.080
<v Speaker 1>does happen with land in an ocean, for example. UM,

0:58:22.280 --> 0:58:24.520
<v Speaker 1>but you know, it's always possible that you could have

0:58:24.560 --> 0:58:28.160
<v Speaker 1>a situation where you know, the the spacecraft is not

0:58:28.240 --> 0:58:31.760
<v Speaker 1>responding to your commands to have it, you know, de

0:58:32.040 --> 0:58:35.440
<v Speaker 1>orbit in a in a controlled way. And that's kind

0:58:35.440 --> 0:58:38.480
<v Speaker 1>of what this is covering. Also, states are not supposed

0:58:38.520 --> 0:58:43.480
<v Speaker 1>to contaminate celestial bodies, no littering I'm talking to But look,

0:58:44.320 --> 0:58:48.960
<v Speaker 1>take on any photographs, leave only footprints, right, and maybe

0:58:48.960 --> 0:58:51.680
<v Speaker 1>a flag and maybe a couple of lunar landers. I mean,

0:58:51.720 --> 0:58:54.320
<v Speaker 1>come on, the moon is pretty big. That's not really littering, right.

0:58:55.040 --> 0:58:58.560
<v Speaker 1>Uh So, over time, obviously this has been kind of updated.

0:58:59.160 --> 0:59:02.480
<v Speaker 1>But there have been other post treaties that would end

0:59:02.560 --> 0:59:06.240
<v Speaker 1>up beefing up these rules and defining them further, but

0:59:06.360 --> 0:59:10.360
<v Speaker 1>they have had limited success in adoption. And there are

0:59:10.360 --> 0:59:12.720
<v Speaker 1>a lot of reasons for that. So a proposed treaty

0:59:12.720 --> 0:59:16.320
<v Speaker 1>in fourteen would have placed more limitations on weapons and space,

0:59:16.360 --> 0:59:19.880
<v Speaker 1>at least in theory. The draft treaty is formally called

0:59:19.880 --> 0:59:23.600
<v Speaker 1>the Treaty on the Prevention of the Placement of Weapons

0:59:23.640 --> 0:59:26.240
<v Speaker 1>in Outer Space and of the Threat or Use of

0:59:26.320 --> 0:59:30.720
<v Speaker 1>Force against Outer Space Objects. So it's supposed to limit

0:59:30.840 --> 0:59:34.320
<v Speaker 1>states abilities to do things like launch missile attacks on

0:59:34.360 --> 0:59:39.120
<v Speaker 1>satellites or or put weaponization into space, even if it's

0:59:39.160 --> 0:59:44.800
<v Speaker 1>not mass destruction. And there were two countries that submitted

0:59:44.800 --> 0:59:48.040
<v Speaker 1>this treaty to the United Nations, and it was Russia

0:59:48.120 --> 0:59:52.760
<v Speaker 1>and China. Now, the United States opposed the treaty and

0:59:52.760 --> 0:59:56.280
<v Speaker 1>said it would not sign such a treaty. And you

0:59:56.360 --> 0:59:59.360
<v Speaker 1>might think well, why would the US say, no, I'm

0:59:59.360 --> 1:00:01.200
<v Speaker 1>not going to sign an treaty that doesn't allow us

1:00:01.200 --> 1:00:03.400
<v Speaker 1>to weaponize space. Does that mean the US is very

1:00:03.480 --> 1:00:07.400
<v Speaker 1>much interested in sending up tons of weapons into space. Yeah,

1:00:07.520 --> 1:00:09.400
<v Speaker 1>that that part is hard to answer, But I can

1:00:09.600 --> 1:00:12.960
<v Speaker 1>tell you what the official answers have been, which is

1:00:13.000 --> 1:00:18.840
<v Speaker 1>that China and this is there. I am paraphrasing, but

1:00:18.920 --> 1:00:23.200
<v Speaker 1>this is their perspective, not necessarily my own. China and

1:00:23.240 --> 1:00:27.360
<v Speaker 1>Russia don't play fair. That's that's what they're That's what

1:00:27.600 --> 1:00:31.240
<v Speaker 1>essentially the message has been, is that that this treaty

1:00:31.400 --> 1:00:34.680
<v Speaker 1>is something that if the United States signed it, because

1:00:34.720 --> 1:00:37.240
<v Speaker 1>the US are the good guys. Remember this is a narrative.

1:00:37.280 --> 1:00:40.600
<v Speaker 1>They're saying that the US are the good guys. The

1:00:40.720 --> 1:00:44.400
<v Speaker 1>US would abide by this treaty, but Russia and China

1:00:44.520 --> 1:00:48.960
<v Speaker 1>their tricks, ee, my precious, and they would totally ignore

1:00:49.040 --> 1:00:51.400
<v Speaker 1>the treaty and say, look at the dumb Americans. They're

1:00:51.480 --> 1:00:54.360
<v Speaker 1>totally abiding by these rules we've set, whereas we're actually

1:00:54.400 --> 1:00:56.400
<v Speaker 1>going to send up as many weapons into space as

1:00:56.440 --> 1:00:59.920
<v Speaker 1>we can, and we're going to end up getting dominance.

1:01:00.040 --> 1:01:02.120
<v Speaker 1>It will be an arms race in space that we

1:01:02.160 --> 1:01:04.720
<v Speaker 1>will have a leg up on because we're not paying

1:01:04.760 --> 1:01:09.320
<v Speaker 1>attention to the treaty. It's difficult because there it goes

1:01:09.360 --> 1:01:12.960
<v Speaker 1>back to this idea of verification, right, and that is

1:01:13.000 --> 1:01:18.360
<v Speaker 1>such a tricky, nearly impossible thing when you're talking about

1:01:18.480 --> 1:01:20.760
<v Speaker 1>state secrets like this. How do you how do you

1:01:20.880 --> 1:01:24.800
<v Speaker 1>verify that no one is up to anything shady? Right? Yeah?

1:01:24.800 --> 1:01:26.840
<v Speaker 1>That was in fact that that was actually the way

1:01:26.840 --> 1:01:32.360
<v Speaker 1>the us UH representatives worded it. They said, well, and

1:01:32.520 --> 1:01:35.600
<v Speaker 1>other people have essentially said more or less what I said,

1:01:35.640 --> 1:01:39.160
<v Speaker 1>just a nicer language, but the the specific line was

1:01:39.240 --> 1:01:43.160
<v Speaker 1>that this treaty as it stands is impossible to verify,

1:01:43.320 --> 1:01:48.560
<v Speaker 1>meaning that you cannot there's no there's no regulatory agency

1:01:49.280 --> 1:01:52.920
<v Speaker 1>that could monitor states and make certain that no one

1:01:53.040 --> 1:01:55.360
<v Speaker 1>was actually doing what the treaty said. So, in other words,

1:01:55.400 --> 1:01:57.680
<v Speaker 1>they said that you can't enforce the treaty because you

1:01:57.720 --> 1:02:01.080
<v Speaker 1>cannot be certain that people are abide by it, and

1:02:01.120 --> 1:02:03.360
<v Speaker 1>so it ends up being a meaningless treaty. In the

1:02:03.400 --> 1:02:06.440
<v Speaker 1>first place. It doesn't work because there's no means to

1:02:07.120 --> 1:02:10.040
<v Speaker 1>monitor and therefore enforce it. So if there's no way

1:02:10.080 --> 1:02:11.840
<v Speaker 1>to do that, then the treaty might as well not

1:02:11.920 --> 1:02:15.400
<v Speaker 1>even exist, because what you are doing is creating a

1:02:15.440 --> 1:02:18.560
<v Speaker 1>pressure on countries that want to follow it in good faith,

1:02:18.640 --> 1:02:23.040
<v Speaker 1>while other countries may not share that and they'll just

1:02:23.280 --> 1:02:26.240
<v Speaker 1>they'll violate it anyway, and there's no way to tell

1:02:26.280 --> 1:02:28.320
<v Speaker 1>that they're violating it, because again there's no way to

1:02:28.360 --> 1:02:32.160
<v Speaker 1>monitor it and verify it. So, um, I I totally

1:02:32.160 --> 1:02:35.240
<v Speaker 1>get their point, Like, I don't disagree with that, And

1:02:35.880 --> 1:02:39.120
<v Speaker 1>some might say, well, there's also ulterior motives that could

1:02:39.160 --> 1:02:41.840
<v Speaker 1>be in play. Let's say that the United States wants

1:02:41.880 --> 1:02:44.680
<v Speaker 1>to be able to have the option to send weapons,

1:02:44.720 --> 1:02:47.400
<v Speaker 1>even if they're not weapons of mass destruction up into space.

1:02:48.000 --> 1:02:50.320
<v Speaker 1>Send signing such a treaty would say that they would

1:02:50.320 --> 1:02:52.880
<v Speaker 1>not do that, and maybe they want the option to

1:02:53.080 --> 1:02:56.800
<v Speaker 1>remain open. It may be that they're even specific plans

1:02:56.840 --> 1:03:00.320
<v Speaker 1>in place that we're not privy to and obviously would

1:03:00.320 --> 1:03:03.160
<v Speaker 1>not be privy to. I'd like to think that that's

1:03:03.160 --> 1:03:05.480
<v Speaker 1>not the case. But at the same time, I'd also

1:03:05.560 --> 1:03:08.120
<v Speaker 1>like to think the government's not looking at all my emails,

1:03:08.120 --> 1:03:11.240
<v Speaker 1>and that unfortunately has proven to be false. So yeah,

1:03:11.240 --> 1:03:13.960
<v Speaker 1>it's always weird when an intern at the n s

1:03:14.040 --> 1:03:17.880
<v Speaker 1>a response to when your emails, Yeah, yeah, like you

1:03:18.120 --> 1:03:21.120
<v Speaker 1>send any Like I'm emailing you and the n s

1:03:21.160 --> 1:03:24.040
<v Speaker 1>A interns, like, oh, Ben's that lunch right now, He's

1:03:24.080 --> 1:03:27.080
<v Speaker 1>not going to respond until like four, Gary, I appreciate it,

1:03:27.400 --> 1:03:30.160
<v Speaker 1>but school that stops kind of creepy, like say hi

1:03:30.240 --> 1:03:33.080
<v Speaker 1>to your dad for me. Uh yeah, that that would

1:03:33.080 --> 1:03:37.360
<v Speaker 1>be weird, but also just just annoying here. Also, we

1:03:37.480 --> 1:03:42.640
<v Speaker 1>know that the ability to interfere with another state satellites,

1:03:43.200 --> 1:03:47.240
<v Speaker 1>it could be so crucial and so pivotal that it's

1:03:47.280 --> 1:03:49.600
<v Speaker 1>going to happen. Somebody's going to try to do that.

1:03:50.760 --> 1:03:52.920
<v Speaker 1>As as you've said before, you said in our notes here,

1:03:54.520 --> 1:03:58.680
<v Speaker 1>this space war stuff is not some distant sci fi thing.

1:03:58.960 --> 1:04:01.280
<v Speaker 1>It's real, and it's kind of we're kind of in

1:04:01.280 --> 1:04:03.480
<v Speaker 1>the middle of the story. Yeah, the idea that you know,

1:04:03.600 --> 1:04:07.160
<v Speaker 1>China bringing down a satellite by firing a missile at

1:04:07.160 --> 1:04:11.000
<v Speaker 1>it purely because that was the most effective means of

1:04:11.000 --> 1:04:15.160
<v Speaker 1>taking down the satellite does not ring true, right. It

1:04:15.240 --> 1:04:18.280
<v Speaker 1>definitely seems more like a demonstration of here's what we

1:04:18.320 --> 1:04:21.760
<v Speaker 1>are capable of doing. So if we ever enter an

1:04:21.800 --> 1:04:25.680
<v Speaker 1>actual like conflict, whether it's an official war or not,

1:04:26.440 --> 1:04:29.640
<v Speaker 1>we have the capability of bringing down your satellites. And

1:04:30.000 --> 1:04:33.280
<v Speaker 1>so yeah, I mean we're talking about satellites that could

1:04:33.320 --> 1:04:38.360
<v Speaker 1>provide communication, GPS data, all this kind of stuff. I mean, obviously,

1:04:38.400 --> 1:04:40.720
<v Speaker 1>the further out the satellite is, the harder it is

1:04:40.760 --> 1:04:42.680
<v Speaker 1>for you to create a system that's going to be

1:04:42.760 --> 1:04:44.720
<v Speaker 1>capable of bringing it down. You're gonna be able to

1:04:44.800 --> 1:04:46.600
<v Speaker 1>hit the ones that are more in lower thorbit than

1:04:46.640 --> 1:04:49.000
<v Speaker 1>the ones that are further out. I mean, you're talking

1:04:49.040 --> 1:04:52.560
<v Speaker 1>about a target that's further out is and it's moving

1:04:52.560 --> 1:04:55.960
<v Speaker 1>at an incredible speed like that. I'm not saying it's impossible.

1:04:56.040 --> 1:04:59.480
<v Speaker 1>It certainly isn't. It's just a lot harder, But at

1:04:59.480 --> 1:05:04.920
<v Speaker 1>any rate, the capability has been demonstrated. And uh, that

1:05:05.120 --> 1:05:08.840
<v Speaker 1>is a very vulnerable and valid target if you are

1:05:09.000 --> 1:05:12.880
<v Speaker 1>if you're very serious about warfare, right, yeah, absolutely, And

1:05:12.960 --> 1:05:18.240
<v Speaker 1>this this brings us all back around to the subject

1:05:18.320 --> 1:05:21.120
<v Speaker 1>we looked at today, which is the X thirty seven.

1:05:21.160 --> 1:05:23.120
<v Speaker 1>And I gotta tell you, man, I've been holding onto

1:05:23.120 --> 1:05:25.400
<v Speaker 1>this reference to the whole show, so okay, I've just

1:05:25.440 --> 1:05:29.600
<v Speaker 1>gotta let it go. There's something about an unmanned vehicle

1:05:29.920 --> 1:05:32.400
<v Speaker 1>in the darkness of space, just sort of orbiting in

1:05:32.400 --> 1:05:35.000
<v Speaker 1>the silence that is so very event horizon to me.

1:05:35.600 --> 1:05:37.560
<v Speaker 1>What's gonna come back the next time at Lands John

1:05:38.880 --> 1:05:41.320
<v Speaker 1>a little hitchhiker. Yeah, I found your thing. Man, I

1:05:41.320 --> 1:05:43.000
<v Speaker 1>don't know what happened to the drive out. He was

1:05:43.040 --> 1:05:47.080
<v Speaker 1>gone when I got on. I promise you thanks. I've

1:05:47.080 --> 1:05:49.720
<v Speaker 1>been working on that character for a while. Um. Yeah.

1:05:49.840 --> 1:05:52.600
<v Speaker 1>And it's interesting because you know, this is not necessarily

1:05:53.400 --> 1:05:57.120
<v Speaker 1>the end of the the space plane discussion. There's been

1:05:57.280 --> 1:06:00.160
<v Speaker 1>some other talks about what the space plane my do,

1:06:00.360 --> 1:06:04.480
<v Speaker 1>even in in light of the counter argument saying that

1:06:04.560 --> 1:06:08.560
<v Speaker 1>perhaps it's not the most um efficient or useful means

1:06:08.560 --> 1:06:11.040
<v Speaker 1>of getting things into space. The Air Force itself had

1:06:11.080 --> 1:06:13.760
<v Speaker 1>announced back in twenty eleven that it would develop a

1:06:13.760 --> 1:06:17.040
<v Speaker 1>new spacecraft based on the same design that would be

1:06:17.120 --> 1:06:20.800
<v Speaker 1>even larger than the X three seven be Remember the

1:06:20.800 --> 1:06:25.240
<v Speaker 1>thirty seven is larger than the X forty. This one

1:06:25.320 --> 1:06:28.560
<v Speaker 1>would be bigger than the X thirty seven, and the

1:06:28.680 --> 1:06:33.160
<v Speaker 1>numbers ranged between like a hundred sixty and so bigger

1:06:33.360 --> 1:06:35.920
<v Speaker 1>by almost a factor of two when you get to

1:06:35.920 --> 1:06:39.480
<v Speaker 1>the higher ends. And uh, this one would potentially have

1:06:39.560 --> 1:06:44.520
<v Speaker 1>a pressurized compartment, which means that could carry stuff what lives. Yeah,

1:06:44.600 --> 1:06:48.680
<v Speaker 1>and and the it has been suggested, could carry a

1:06:49.120 --> 1:06:53.240
<v Speaker 1>group of astronauts up to six into space. They don't

1:06:53.240 --> 1:06:55.800
<v Speaker 1>have to pilot the thing because it could still have

1:06:55.840 --> 1:06:59.280
<v Speaker 1>autonomous control, although they said it would also have manual control,

1:07:00.080 --> 1:07:04.320
<v Speaker 1>so uh, astronauts could presumably I assume astronauts. Maybe they

1:07:04.400 --> 1:07:07.800
<v Speaker 1>mean manual control from the ground, which is also a possibility,

1:07:07.840 --> 1:07:10.880
<v Speaker 1>but that, um, the astronauts would not necessarily have to

1:07:10.920 --> 1:07:17.040
<v Speaker 1>pilot this thing. It would be the X thirty seven C. Yeah,

1:07:17.040 --> 1:07:21.400
<v Speaker 1>no idea if that project is still happening or not,

1:07:21.520 --> 1:07:25.040
<v Speaker 1>like it was announced inn But again, when you're talking

1:07:25.040 --> 1:07:28.240
<v Speaker 1>about secret space planes, right, you don't get a lot

1:07:28.240 --> 1:07:31.920
<v Speaker 1>of updates until they launch one and then it lands

1:07:31.960 --> 1:07:33.760
<v Speaker 1>and then people are like, oh, so I guess that's

1:07:33.800 --> 1:07:37.320
<v Speaker 1>still a thing. So we don't know. I mean we

1:07:37.560 --> 1:07:41.360
<v Speaker 1>I don't know. People know. It's not me, Yeah, I'm

1:07:41.360 --> 1:07:44.600
<v Speaker 1>not I'm not privy to such information. But it could

1:07:44.600 --> 1:07:46.920
<v Speaker 1>be that we see a development and who knows, maybe

1:07:46.960 --> 1:07:51.920
<v Speaker 1>there will be demonstrable uses for space plane technology that

1:07:53.200 --> 1:07:57.320
<v Speaker 1>uh end up being uh, you know, the best option,

1:07:57.600 --> 1:08:00.520
<v Speaker 1>and that the objection saying that, hey, you have other

1:08:00.560 --> 1:08:03.120
<v Speaker 1>means of getting stuff into space that end up being

1:08:03.320 --> 1:08:06.600
<v Speaker 1>less complicated than this methodology. Maybe that will end up

1:08:06.600 --> 1:08:09.360
<v Speaker 1>being mood. It's kind of hard to say right now,

1:08:09.360 --> 1:08:13.360
<v Speaker 1>because obviously if you were to an astronauts up you're

1:08:13.360 --> 1:08:18.880
<v Speaker 1>probably not doing one of those crazy the body. It

1:08:18.880 --> 1:08:21.800
<v Speaker 1>would be very very tough on the on the human body.

1:08:21.840 --> 1:08:29.640
<v Speaker 1>And I can't imagine you could carry enough oxygen, water, food, like, yeah,

1:08:29.680 --> 1:08:31.960
<v Speaker 1>all the stuff, all the stuff that's necessary to keep

1:08:32.000 --> 1:08:35.599
<v Speaker 1>people alive. I don't think you could carry all of

1:08:35.640 --> 1:08:39.120
<v Speaker 1>that aboard a space plane that's designed to be up

1:08:39.120 --> 1:08:41.200
<v Speaker 1>there for six hundred days. That's just not going to happen.

1:08:41.960 --> 1:08:44.400
<v Speaker 1>So even if you were to say, well, we want

1:08:44.439 --> 1:08:46.840
<v Speaker 1>to find out what happens to best not when they're

1:08:46.840 --> 1:08:50.760
<v Speaker 1>in a spacecraft for two years, and uh, whether or

1:08:50.760 --> 1:08:53.160
<v Speaker 1>not they come back as the Fantastic Four. I mean,

1:08:53.720 --> 1:08:57.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's worth a shot. But but but one

1:08:57.200 --> 1:08:59.760
<v Speaker 1>thing we have learned about space radiation is it does

1:08:59.800 --> 1:09:02.360
<v Speaker 1>not work the way that Marvel Comics may have feeled

1:09:02.400 --> 1:09:05.000
<v Speaker 1>you as a child. No, it can. It can really

1:09:05.040 --> 1:09:07.880
<v Speaker 1>mess you up big time. And uh, you know, you're

1:09:07.880 --> 1:09:10.280
<v Speaker 1>talking about particles that move with a ton of energy

1:09:10.320 --> 1:09:15.559
<v Speaker 1>that have the capacity to do really like cellular level

1:09:15.640 --> 1:09:19.640
<v Speaker 1>damage that can end up causing huge issues. Yeah, like

1:09:19.680 --> 1:09:23.360
<v Speaker 1>irreparable damage. But let's let's go big, because despite these

1:09:23.400 --> 1:09:26.000
<v Speaker 1>problems right despite the secrecy, and I know it's a

1:09:26.160 --> 1:09:30.280
<v Speaker 1>wellyon and spooky and stuff. I'm so excited because this

1:09:30.400 --> 1:09:34.800
<v Speaker 1>gets us one one tiny step closer to one of

1:09:34.840 --> 1:09:37.439
<v Speaker 1>the one of the big dreams I've had, uh since

1:09:37.439 --> 1:09:40.160
<v Speaker 1>we started working together, which is the podcast on the Moon.

1:09:40.640 --> 1:09:43.360
<v Speaker 1>I mean, if they can just get us to the moon, Jonathan,

1:09:43.520 --> 1:09:45.360
<v Speaker 1>we could do the rest might be uh might be

1:09:45.400 --> 1:09:48.080
<v Speaker 1>a little quiet up there. I don't know how we're

1:09:48.120 --> 1:09:50.240
<v Speaker 1>going to talk into the microphones. The way of the

1:09:50.320 --> 1:09:53.600
<v Speaker 1>set up. We'll just go it's a sound studio. Come on,

1:09:53.760 --> 1:09:55.600
<v Speaker 1>We'll just so just move the whole studio to the

1:09:56.360 --> 1:09:58.000
<v Speaker 1>that makes more sense. I was just thinking of the

1:09:58.000 --> 1:10:01.160
<v Speaker 1>table on the mics, also about how long the cords

1:10:01.200 --> 1:10:04.000
<v Speaker 1>would have to be, and that anything we asked nol

1:10:04.160 --> 1:10:08.200
<v Speaker 1>we'd have to wait. Yeah, there'll be there'll be a Yeah,

1:10:08.200 --> 1:10:12.800
<v Speaker 1>there'd be a noticeable delay. Um. But I'm still in

1:10:12.840 --> 1:10:14.840
<v Speaker 1>favor of it personally because I think I think that

1:10:14.920 --> 1:10:17.680
<v Speaker 1>could really position us in a way that other podcasts

1:10:17.680 --> 1:10:21.080
<v Speaker 1>just haven't thought right to take advantage of that. I mean,

1:10:21.200 --> 1:10:23.439
<v Speaker 1>it's kind of amazing to me that hasn't avenue. Honestly,

1:10:24.520 --> 1:10:28.880
<v Speaker 1>don't ideas all right. So anyway, this has been a

1:10:28.880 --> 1:10:31.120
<v Speaker 1>lot of fun to talk about the you know, even

1:10:31.120 --> 1:10:34.640
<v Speaker 1>though obviously what we don't know as members of the

1:10:34.640 --> 1:10:38.640
<v Speaker 1>general public far outweighs what we do know. But it's

1:10:38.640 --> 1:10:41.920
<v Speaker 1>also fun just to kind of explore the psychology of

1:10:42.200 --> 1:10:45.360
<v Speaker 1>not just like conspiracy theories in the sense of well,

1:10:45.479 --> 1:10:47.360
<v Speaker 1>and since we don't have information, we have to fill

1:10:47.439 --> 1:10:52.000
<v Speaker 1>that vacuum, but also just the idea of what what

1:10:52.080 --> 1:10:55.400
<v Speaker 1>could be the motives for pursuing this. I mean, obviously

1:10:55.479 --> 1:10:57.639
<v Speaker 1>we're talking about something that costs a huge amount of money.

1:10:58.240 --> 1:11:01.640
<v Speaker 1>Maybe ultimately it's just a test of autonomous technology and

1:11:01.720 --> 1:11:06.040
<v Speaker 1>a new uh a new form like a new new

1:11:06.280 --> 1:11:10.559
<v Speaker 1>a new environment, and that that ultimately could become really important,

1:11:10.560 --> 1:11:13.920
<v Speaker 1>but in a totally different implementation. I hope you enjoyed

1:11:13.960 --> 1:11:16.920
<v Speaker 1>that classic episode of tech Stuff from twenty fifteen. I'll

1:11:16.920 --> 1:11:19.240
<v Speaker 1>have to do an update on this one, obviously, but

1:11:19.439 --> 1:11:22.599
<v Speaker 1>if you have suggestions for other topics that I should tackle,

1:11:22.960 --> 1:11:27.519
<v Speaker 1>whether it's a company, technology, a trend in tech, anything

1:11:27.560 --> 1:11:30.080
<v Speaker 1>like that, reach out to me on Twitter to handle

1:11:30.080 --> 1:11:32.640
<v Speaker 1>for the show is tech Stuff h s W I

1:11:32.800 --> 1:11:41.800
<v Speaker 1>talk to you again really soon. Y. Text Stuff is

1:11:41.800 --> 1:11:45.000
<v Speaker 1>an I Heart radio production For more podcasts from I

1:11:45.080 --> 1:11:48.680
<v Speaker 1>heart Radio, visit the i heart Radio app, Apple podcasts,

1:11:48.800 --> 1:11:50.799
<v Speaker 1>or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.