WEBVTT - NFL Week 7 Picks & Best Bets + Against the Spread Selections (Ep. 364) 0:00:01.080 --> 0:00:03.240 Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 0:00:03.320 --> 0:00:05.320 your bets. It's me Joey P. Joe P's a P 0:00:05.480 --> 0:00:08.039 and it's week seven in the NFL, and that means 0:00:08.080 --> 0:00:10.160 it's time to look at our favorite picks for the 0:00:10.160 --> 0:00:12.600 week and to help us, of course, is the prop 0:00:12.640 --> 0:00:17.320 prophet Andrew Erickson back again. I heard tomorrow or next 0:00:17.320 --> 0:00:18.959 week rather at some point you're gonna have to go 0:00:19.000 --> 0:00:22.759 to jury duty? Is this true? Ericson how did you 0:00:22.800 --> 0:00:24.600 not get out of this? Don't they know that you're famous? 0:00:24.600 --> 0:00:25.360 I don't understand. 0:00:26.120 --> 0:00:26.479 They don't. 0:00:26.480 --> 0:00:28.720 They don't care how many followers I have on X 0:00:28.880 --> 0:00:32.240 or that I work for Betting Pros slash Fantasy Pros, 0:00:32.320 --> 0:00:32.760 or that. 0:00:32.880 --> 0:00:34.600 I am the Props profit. They don't care. 0:00:34.640 --> 0:00:36.879 They're like, you're an American citizen, so you need to 0:00:36.880 --> 0:00:39.120 do your duty and you need to go to jerry duty, 0:00:39.159 --> 0:00:40.120 so it should be fun. 0:00:40.159 --> 0:00:42.560 No, but it's like weddings, you know, jury duty, weddings, 0:00:42.600 --> 0:00:45.360 things you don't do during the NFL season. It's fall. 0:00:45.560 --> 0:00:47.319 I mean, it's how it's how you know that I'm 0:00:47.360 --> 0:00:48.800 gonna be thirty years old, Sam. 0:00:49.960 --> 0:00:53.920 That's right, creeping up. Joe Lacy our guest from Sportscreen TV. 0:00:54.440 --> 0:00:56.200 Do you remember when thirty was creeping up on you? 0:00:56.280 --> 0:00:57.720 Those are the days, wasn't it? Buddy? 0:00:57.800 --> 0:01:00.920 Don't even don't even mention it. Joe, It's always a pleasure. 0:01:01.000 --> 0:01:05.720 Thirty is in the rearview mirror. Wait in the rear review. Yeah, 0:01:05.760 --> 0:01:06.479 it's amazing. 0:01:06.760 --> 0:01:08.840 But that's okay. I think we look great. I think 0:01:08.840 --> 0:01:11.720 we're doing awesome. You and me Erickson, this is the 0:01:11.760 --> 0:01:14.000 model for you. Take a good look. This is how 0:01:14.000 --> 0:01:16.320 you want to age, like fine wine, like Joe Lacy 0:01:16.440 --> 0:01:20.199 and Joey p Today we're gonna continue on looking again. 0:01:20.600 --> 0:01:23.080 Numbers against the spread of the over unders. Our favorite 0:01:23.080 --> 0:01:25.400 money line picks all the above. So if you haven't 0:01:25.400 --> 0:01:28.120 already made sure you subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube 0:01:28.200 --> 0:01:30.960 channel while you're watching here, or if you're listening, run 0:01:30.959 --> 0:01:33.120 over to YouTube and subscribe. Drop a comment below too, 0:01:33.120 --> 0:01:35.000 because we love to hear from you guys what you're 0:01:35.040 --> 0:01:36.720 in on this week in Week seven in the NFL. 0:01:36.760 --> 0:01:39.400 So drop those comments because remember, if you subscribe and 0:01:39.440 --> 0:01:41.000 drop the comment below, you have a chance to win 0:01:41.040 --> 0:01:43.120 free stuff. We just gave away the Odell Beckham jersey, 0:01:43.120 --> 0:01:46.320 and now we're giving away Robert Tunyan's jersey. That's right, 0:01:46.360 --> 0:01:48.720 he doesn't need it, so we're giving it away to you. 0:01:49.080 --> 0:01:50.960 It's autographed, its signed by Robert Tunya. 0:01:51.080 --> 0:01:51.360 Win this. 0:01:51.440 --> 0:01:53.880 Give it to a Packer fan friend of yours the 0:01:53.920 --> 0:01:56.880 holidays are coming. Makes a fun gift. I'm telling you 0:01:56.880 --> 0:01:59.960 you want this one. And if again you just subscribe 0:02:00.000 --> 0:02:01.640 and click that little belt to it goes in, you'll 0:02:01.640 --> 0:02:04.400 know if you're the big winner of our latest giveaway. 0:02:04.520 --> 0:02:07.640 All right, gentlemen, it's time to get to work. Joe Lacy, 0:02:07.680 --> 0:02:09.840 you're our guest. Let's talk about week seven. What's the 0:02:09.840 --> 0:02:12.720 first pick that you have that you're in on this week? 0:02:13.360 --> 0:02:16.520 Well, yeah, it took a while to break these down, 0:02:16.600 --> 0:02:19.480 but these I actually feel pretty good. You know, look 0:02:19.480 --> 0:02:21.600 at the line right now with Cleveland minus two and 0:02:21.680 --> 0:02:25.239 a half in this ballgame. I was completely impressed the 0:02:25.320 --> 0:02:28.560 way the front seven played last week against Brock Prody. 0:02:28.639 --> 0:02:31.480 They shut down the run. Now, granted, McCaffrey did get 0:02:31.480 --> 0:02:34.240 his yards and hit paid dirt, but in my opinion, 0:02:34.320 --> 0:02:37.919 I thought they played lights out. Forced turnovers gave their 0:02:37.960 --> 0:02:41.800 offense an opportunity for short fields with p J. Walker, 0:02:41.840 --> 0:02:44.919 and even if Deshaun Watson doesn't go, I don't care. 0:02:45.040 --> 0:02:48.320 The interior line player of the Cleveland Browns is where 0:02:48.639 --> 0:02:50.840 I think this pick is. Even if it crept over 0:02:51.240 --> 0:02:54.160 the three and a half point level, I would still 0:02:54.240 --> 0:02:56.600 lay it with the Cleveland Browns. Just not a big 0:02:56.639 --> 0:03:01.120 believer in terms of Indianapolis. I understand over eat expectations 0:03:01.200 --> 0:03:03.800 right now, but Gardner Minshew is a quarterback that you 0:03:03.880 --> 0:03:05.720 know where he's going to be. I think they could 0:03:05.720 --> 0:03:10.000 get quarterback pressures, forced turnovers unlaying it with the Cleveland Browns. Guys. 0:03:10.200 --> 0:03:12.680 Yeah, I like that call too. The under for this 0:03:12.760 --> 0:03:15.280 game actually made my Picks of the Week, Joe, because 0:03:15.320 --> 0:03:18.519 I feel like, again the Cleveland Browns defense been so good. 0:03:18.680 --> 0:03:20.799 If Deshaun Watson doesn't play again, this could be a 0:03:20.840 --> 0:03:23.119 little bit of a drag in terms of offense, maybe 0:03:23.160 --> 0:03:25.520 on both sides of the football for both of these teams. 0:03:25.600 --> 0:03:29.160 So interesting game here, and I think you nailed it, dude. 0:03:29.240 --> 0:03:33.000 The Cleveland Browns defense is absolutely one hundred percent for real, 0:03:33.520 --> 0:03:36.600 and that was the coming out party officially for everybody 0:03:36.600 --> 0:03:38.280 to take notice of it. Now all of us we 0:03:38.360 --> 0:03:41.120 recognized it, we were talking about it, but they got 0:03:41.160 --> 0:03:43.280 a real test with san Fran and they passed with 0:03:43.320 --> 0:03:46.800 flying colors in a difficult situation too. Andrew Erickson Week 0:03:46.880 --> 0:03:48.680 sevens upon us, what do you have for the people? 0:03:49.840 --> 0:03:52.680 I'm back in the pack Packers money line for me 0:03:52.880 --> 0:03:56.440 over the Denver Broncos. The Denver Broncos defense played well 0:03:56.480 --> 0:03:58.200 on Thursday night against the Chiefs, but I'm going to 0:03:58.280 --> 0:03:59.880 chock it up to being a weird game played on 0:04:00.040 --> 0:04:03.400 Thursday division rivals. That's not gonna be the case here 0:04:03.440 --> 0:04:06.920 in this particular matchup, because Green Bay has the weapons, 0:04:06.960 --> 0:04:10.760 specifically with Christian Watson, to expose what's been killing the 0:04:10.760 --> 0:04:13.240 Broncos this year, and that's been big plays. The Chiefs 0:04:13.360 --> 0:04:15.600 don't generate big plays on offense because of the personnel 0:04:15.640 --> 0:04:18.599 they have. The Packers all year have been trying to 0:04:18.640 --> 0:04:21.120 dial up big plays like it's left and right George. 0:04:21.560 --> 0:04:24.000 They're launching balls down the field with Jordan Love, who 0:04:24.000 --> 0:04:26.919 has the fourth highest deep ball rate in the NFL, 0:04:27.200 --> 0:04:29.320 but he is the fourth worst completion rate on those 0:04:29.360 --> 0:04:32.159 deep balls. Eventually, you're gonna see some regression kick in. 0:04:32.480 --> 0:04:34.400 Christian Watson is back to a full time role, he's 0:04:34.400 --> 0:04:36.839 fully off the injury report, and what better defense to 0:04:36.880 --> 0:04:39.200 do it again than the defense allowing the second most 0:04:39.200 --> 0:04:42.960 explosive plays per game than the Denver Broncos. So I 0:04:43.000 --> 0:04:45.120 think that the Packers' offense gets back on track to 0:04:45.120 --> 0:04:46.840 what we saw during the beginning of the season when 0:04:46.839 --> 0:04:49.520 they started out really hot. Denver's ozer and six versus spread. 0:04:49.560 --> 0:04:51.600 This year, they're winning five straight up and their only 0:04:51.640 --> 0:04:53.159 win came against the Bears in. 0:04:53.200 --> 0:04:54.200 A game they should have lost. 0:04:54.480 --> 0:04:57.360 So I'm gonna just continue to fade the Denver Broncos 0:04:57.680 --> 0:05:00.520 overrated team. They've been over rats and Shawn's payton there, 0:05:00.680 --> 0:05:03.960 it's been profitable. Just keep betting against the Denver Broncos's 0:05:04.000 --> 0:05:05.960 and I'm gonna keep doing it. So I'm going with 0:05:06.000 --> 0:05:07.920 the Packers here, who are coming off a bye week. 0:05:08.120 --> 0:05:11.280 They're healthier in their secondary, on their offensive line. I 0:05:11.400 --> 0:05:12.960 think it's a get right spot for Green bet. 0:05:13.000 --> 0:05:16.120 I like that you mentioned Kristian Watson because again that 0:05:16.200 --> 0:05:18.600 is he's such an explosive player. If you're in on 0:05:18.640 --> 0:05:21.479 this Packers bet here with Andrew, I think you do 0:05:21.560 --> 0:05:24.200 that little skiddy parlay, you know, that double up that 0:05:24.240 --> 0:05:26.640 we talk about sometimes of taking our favorite prop along 0:05:26.640 --> 0:05:28.680 with you know, a piece of the game. I think 0:05:28.720 --> 0:05:30.960 it's the Watson over on the receiving yards and again 0:05:31.000 --> 0:05:34.520 specifically receiving yards and not receptions, because you don't know 0:05:34.560 --> 0:05:36.640 how many looks he's gonna get, but you know he 0:05:36.760 --> 0:05:40.000 just needs one to really make it a special moment. 0:05:40.080 --> 0:05:41.880 I mean last week, in the last game he played, 0:05:41.960 --> 0:05:45.000 he saw one hundred and seventy air yards. He had 0:05:45.000 --> 0:05:47.240 like eighty percent of the team's total are yard. It's 0:05:47.279 --> 0:05:50.159 like it's gonna converge trying to acquire against every defense. 0:05:50.200 --> 0:05:52.200 I've sent out trades everywhere for him. I don't think 0:05:52.200 --> 0:05:54.280 I'm gonna get him anywhere, but you know, you can't 0:05:54.279 --> 0:05:55.920 fault me for trying. The other thing you should all 0:05:55.920 --> 0:05:57.960 try and do also is make sure you make all 0:05:58.000 --> 0:05:59.720 these picks count. And the way you do that is 0:05:59.720 --> 0:06:03.040 by going to bettingpros dot Com, Slash and NFL Contest Again, 0:06:03.120 --> 0:06:05.200 it's free to join. Gambling does not have to be 0:06:05.279 --> 0:06:07.960 legal in your state. You're just making picks having fun. 0:06:08.400 --> 0:06:11.200 Joining us. Download the VP app, go to the community 0:06:11.279 --> 0:06:13.480 tap join the NFL contest and you could win a 0:06:13.600 --> 0:06:16.960 Jackson Smith and Jigba autograph jersey. That's the grand prize again, 0:06:17.000 --> 0:06:19.200 five picks a week, one hundred picks on the season. 0:06:19.560 --> 0:06:22.600 But if you're saying, oh, Joe, it's the nineteenth of October, 0:06:22.680 --> 0:06:25.560 how can I possibly win? Well, we're still doing weekly prizes, 0:06:25.640 --> 0:06:29.480 monthly prizes, upgrades to Betting Pros Premium to Fantasy Pros Premium, 0:06:29.760 --> 0:06:32.880 and swag from our shops at both of those places. Hats, 0:06:32.920 --> 0:06:35.599 t shirts, you name it, We've got it. So go ahead, 0:06:35.640 --> 0:06:38.240 get in there Bettingpros dot Com slash NFL contest. Join 0:06:38.320 --> 0:06:41.040 that bad boy today. Speaking of bad boys, Joe Lacy, 0:06:41.360 --> 0:06:44.360 the bad boy of Central Jersey. We all know that 0:06:44.480 --> 0:06:48.800 the reputation, the reputation precedes you, Joe, So let's go 0:06:48.880 --> 0:06:51.640 to your number two pick on the list for week seven. 0:06:52.240 --> 0:06:54.360 Well, let's keep it in state then, And this game 0:06:54.480 --> 0:06:57.600 is ugly Washington on the road against the New York Giants. Right, 0:06:57.640 --> 0:07:00.800 Giants get the covers of fifteen and a half point dog. 0:07:01.040 --> 0:07:05.400 Terrible decision by Tyron Taylor Kafka Dable whoever made that 0:07:05.440 --> 0:07:07.680 call at the end of the first half cost the 0:07:07.720 --> 0:07:09.880 New York Giants top ball game. But I'm not sold 0:07:09.920 --> 0:07:13.280 on Ron Rivera. I did pick the Commanders over Atlanta 0:07:13.360 --> 0:07:15.720 last week. I'm just not sold on in terms of 0:07:15.760 --> 0:07:17.920 des Ritter. I know we broke out two weeks ago 0:07:18.280 --> 0:07:21.480 a little inconsistent. I thought Sam Howell and more importantly, 0:07:21.520 --> 0:07:24.280 the defense could catch Atlanta. In terms of a look 0:07:24.280 --> 0:07:27.720 at spot, I like the Giants here. I am not 0:07:27.880 --> 0:07:30.560 sold on Ron Rivera in a big spot. I know 0:07:30.640 --> 0:07:34.600 they have more explosiveness in regards to the Washington side, 0:07:34.880 --> 0:07:37.520 but I think the physicality in the New York Giants 0:07:37.520 --> 0:07:39.920 playing at home, I think they're able to run it 0:07:39.960 --> 0:07:43.280 on the front seven of Washington. Saquan had a huge 0:07:43.320 --> 0:07:46.680 performance in the second half in ninety three yards. I 0:07:46.800 --> 0:07:50.280 liked the mobility of Tyrod Taylor, and I actually believe 0:07:50.640 --> 0:07:53.600 even though we sucked last week, Brian Dable is a 0:07:53.680 --> 0:07:56.520 much better head coach than Ron Rivera. Give me the 0:07:56.560 --> 0:08:00.320 Giants and the upset. Typically they step up against the man. 0:08:00.360 --> 0:08:03.080 There's especially in met life. I like them to step 0:08:03.160 --> 0:08:03.560 up here. 0:08:03.760 --> 0:08:05.600 You know, I've been struggling with this game all week, 0:08:05.720 --> 0:08:07.640 so I'm glad to hear you talk about it with 0:08:07.680 --> 0:08:10.200 such confidence. And the thing that I do like is 0:08:10.240 --> 0:08:13.160 the way the Giants defense performed and the Washington commanders 0:08:13.160 --> 0:08:14.440 give up a lot of sacks. If he can get 0:08:14.440 --> 0:08:17.080 to the quarterback, you can flush him out. Sam Howell 0:08:17.440 --> 0:08:19.800 is our own betting pro Scott Bobbin loves to call 0:08:19.880 --> 0:08:22.480 him Jekyl and Howell. He will pro picks, he will 0:08:22.520 --> 0:08:25.520 make mistakes, he will rush the football sometimes. How much 0:08:25.520 --> 0:08:27.760 of the defensive performance from what you saw against the 0:08:27.760 --> 0:08:31.280 Bills you think can carry over to this game against Washington, Well, it's. 0:08:31.120 --> 0:08:33.480 Not just the Bills. Look at the turnovers day forced 0:08:33.559 --> 0:08:36.640 against two or two weeks throughout three interceptions. So if 0:08:37.000 --> 0:08:38.800 I died, it is the biggest thing too, I think 0:08:38.880 --> 0:08:42.200 is that with Martindale, from a defensive perspective, will call 0:08:42.280 --> 0:08:45.840 a lot of different coverages to force Sam Howell to 0:08:45.920 --> 0:08:49.080 break it down and on the road. Hopefully the fan 0:08:49.160 --> 0:08:51.960 base is involved in terms of this matchup and ball game. 0:08:52.280 --> 0:08:55.120 It is an NFC matchup, so I think that adds 0:08:55.160 --> 0:08:57.559 a little more spice to this to this ball game 0:08:57.600 --> 0:08:59.840 as well. And you know, again it comes down to 0:08:59.880 --> 0:09:02.640 the coaches. I believe more in Dable than I believe 0:09:02.720 --> 0:09:06.680 more and Ron Rivera, even though they're over exceeding expectations 0:09:06.760 --> 0:09:09.760 right now. I believe in in Tyrod Taylor and as 0:09:09.800 --> 0:09:13.319 long as Barkley's there to run the football staying manageable. 0:09:13.360 --> 0:09:16.199 Third downs, and I think somehow, some way they catch 0:09:16.480 --> 0:09:19.920 the upset again. They're catching three, they're not laying it. 0:09:20.160 --> 0:09:22.360 So that's why I favor the giants at home here. 0:09:22.520 --> 0:09:25.160 I like it. Good stuff there, all right, Wink Erickson, 0:09:25.280 --> 0:09:27.080 let's get back to you instead. How come you don't 0:09:27.080 --> 0:09:29.160 have a cool nickname like Wink. I mean, I guess 0:09:29.160 --> 0:09:31.200 the prop profit or BP is pretty good. I mean, 0:09:31.240 --> 0:09:33.320 you did get a T shirt, you know, big body 0:09:33.520 --> 0:09:35.720 T shirt. Well, Joe, they call him big Pod Energy, 0:09:35.760 --> 0:09:38.200 this guy, right or he calls himself that I should say. 0:09:38.520 --> 0:09:41.320 And you know, he gets a T shirt made. And 0:09:41.320 --> 0:09:42.959 I still I've been here three years, they still have 0:09:43.000 --> 0:09:45.000 a T shirt made for any of my nonsense. I'm 0:09:45.000 --> 0:09:47.840 just saying, get in jelly, getting jelly over here, ericson, 0:09:48.000 --> 0:09:50.000 All right, give us another pick here, make up for it. 0:09:50.720 --> 0:09:53.280 Yeah, I'm looking at you know, talking about Desmond Ritter 0:09:53.640 --> 0:09:56.559 Falcons bucks under thirty seven and a half. Look, I 0:09:56.559 --> 0:10:00.320 think that both these defenses are really underrated. Atlanta's defense 0:10:00.480 --> 0:10:03.280 sixth best, red zone unit, second best in terms of 0:10:03.320 --> 0:10:06.160 third down conversion rate allowed. On defense, they're five and 0:10:06.200 --> 0:10:08.520 one towards the under the season. The Atlanta Falcons the 0:10:08.520 --> 0:10:11.080 Buccaneers are four and one towards the under. They have 0:10:11.120 --> 0:10:13.640 the number one red zone defense. And the biggest trend 0:10:13.679 --> 0:10:16.120 I've been following when it comes to Desmond Ritter is 0:10:16.559 --> 0:10:19.520 him on the road for sim at home, and even 0:10:19.640 --> 0:10:21.920 last week, as bad as he played, they still had 0:10:22.280 --> 0:10:23.120 three chances to. 0:10:23.120 --> 0:10:23.800 Cover in that game. 0:10:23.880 --> 0:10:26.439 They did up the ball three times down eight points 0:10:26.480 --> 0:10:28.920 in the fourth quarter with a chance to do something 0:10:28.920 --> 0:10:31.640 with it, and they did. But that's the fact that 0:10:31.679 --> 0:10:34.160 Rider does usually play better at home. If he's done 0:10:34.160 --> 0:10:36.040 that at the college level, he's done at the professional level, 0:10:36.240 --> 0:10:39.800 But now that he's on the road, hostile environment against 0:10:39.840 --> 0:10:42.520 Tampa Bay, who already has again the number one red 0:10:42.600 --> 0:10:46.040 zone defense, I have no faith that this game is 0:10:46.080 --> 0:10:48.120 going to go over thirty seven and a half, both 0:10:48.200 --> 0:10:50.240 top red zone defenses, so I'm going to take the 0:10:50.280 --> 0:10:51.400 under thirty seven and a half. 0:10:51.440 --> 0:10:53.400 This is an interesting one here too, because this is 0:10:53.400 --> 0:10:55.440 a very important division game for those of us who 0:10:55.480 --> 0:10:57.320 have money on the Falcons to win this division. I 0:10:57.320 --> 0:10:59.680 can tell you we'll be rooting very heartily for the 0:10:59.679 --> 0:11:02.680 Falcons right now on Sunday, that's for sure. But you 0:11:02.720 --> 0:11:05.280 make some good points there against Desmond, Rider do you think, 0:11:06.360 --> 0:11:08.800 how short I should say, is the leash for Desmond 0:11:08.840 --> 0:11:10.160 Rinder in your opinion erics? And I know that there 0:11:10.160 --> 0:11:12.440 was a disappointing loss last week at home, but this 0:11:12.559 --> 0:11:14.960 division is still very up for Grasbury winnable. How short 0:11:15.000 --> 0:11:16.880 is that leash? Like how many losses does it take 0:11:16.920 --> 0:11:20.240 for the Heinekey chatterer to really start to pick up stream. 0:11:21.600 --> 0:11:22.520 I feel like it's gonna be. 0:11:22.920 --> 0:11:24.840 I feel like it's kind of kind of long, honestly, 0:11:24.920 --> 0:11:27.360 Like think about like Marcus Mariota last year, Like how 0:11:27.400 --> 0:11:30.720 long did they stay with Marcus Mariota before they went? 0:11:32.720 --> 0:11:34.560 But they still did it so and it was the 0:11:34.600 --> 0:11:37.360 same coaching staff. And I know in last week's game, 0:11:37.360 --> 0:11:39.040 they kept paying to Arthur Smith and he's just like 0:11:39.040 --> 0:11:41.160 holding his head up and he's like, oh my god, 0:11:41.160 --> 0:11:44.160 I can't believe my quarterback just did that again. So 0:11:44.960 --> 0:11:46.680 I like to think that maybe they go to Heinike 0:11:46.880 --> 0:11:48.880 at some point, But I mean, we know what Heineke 0:11:49.040 --> 0:11:51.000 is at this point, Like he's a plucky backup that 0:11:51.440 --> 0:11:53.400 you want to start because he can get you a 0:11:53.400 --> 0:11:55.959 win or two, like get you through your quarterback being injured. 0:11:55.960 --> 0:11:59.080 He's not a long term answer at the position. So 0:11:59.520 --> 0:12:01.800 I think that they're gonna probably ride with Rheta until 0:12:01.840 --> 0:12:02.760 the wheels fall off. 0:12:02.800 --> 0:12:04.880 I realized I dropped a welshism. I said pick up 0:12:04.920 --> 0:12:08.000 stream instead of pick up steam. So Welsh will be 0:12:08.120 --> 0:12:09.480 very proud by the way. Welsh will be on the 0:12:09.480 --> 0:12:11.800 Prop show tomorrow speaking of the Welsh. That's what happens 0:12:11.840 --> 0:12:13.640 when you hang out with people you know who say 0:12:13.800 --> 0:12:16.400 dumb things too much. My good friend Welsh, now you 0:12:16.400 --> 0:12:19.120 start to sound and pick up your own welshism. This 0:12:19.160 --> 0:12:21.280 is a problem. All right, let's get back to you, Joe. 0:12:21.320 --> 0:12:22.600 Give us another pick for week seven. 0:12:22.640 --> 0:12:25.960 What do you have going four o'clock window, I'm going 0:12:26.040 --> 0:12:29.120 out west. It's an interconference game. You got Pittsburgh on 0:12:29.120 --> 0:12:31.320 the road to face off against Matt Stafford and the 0:12:31.480 --> 0:12:34.160 La Rams lay in three. I like the Rams in 0:12:34.200 --> 0:12:36.200 this ball game. I mean to me, I think it's 0:12:36.200 --> 0:12:38.880 the right side. Cooper Cup steps up with one hundred 0:12:38.920 --> 0:12:43.160 yard performance. Pooka Nakula even though he was contained last week. 0:12:43.240 --> 0:12:46.320 I think they could attack the secondary over the top. 0:12:46.360 --> 0:12:49.040 In terms of the Steelers, everybody talks about the Steelers, 0:12:49.280 --> 0:12:51.959 and rightfully so in terms of TJ. Watt, but they 0:12:52.000 --> 0:12:54.160 give up a ton of yards each and every week, 0:12:54.280 --> 0:12:56.720 especially in the back end. A couple of weeks ago 0:12:56.760 --> 0:13:00.200 on Prime Time, Jimmy Garoppolo attacked them. Davonte Yadam has 0:13:00.200 --> 0:13:02.720 had a bucks seventy two in terms of that matchup. 0:13:02.760 --> 0:13:05.520 Even though they lost. I like the rushing attack. Even 0:13:05.559 --> 0:13:08.600 though Kyron Williams out, I still think the offensive line 0:13:08.640 --> 0:13:11.680 is playing well, and I'm not sold about the offensive 0:13:11.679 --> 0:13:14.760 identity for Pittsburgh. They're gonna need to run the football 0:13:14.760 --> 0:13:17.400 on Aaron Donald in the front seven, and that's where 0:13:17.440 --> 0:13:19.760 I have a concern. Right even though they're coming out 0:13:19.760 --> 0:13:22.839 of a bye week, na Jay Harris Jalen Warren a 0:13:22.920 --> 0:13:26.480 little bit inconsistent. That offensive line hasn't been there, and 0:13:26.559 --> 0:13:31.160 the LA Rams secondary is basically holding opposing offenses and 0:13:31.280 --> 0:13:34.360 quarterbacks to right around two hundred and fifteen passing yarge 0:13:34.360 --> 0:13:37.160 per game if they put them into long third downs. 0:13:37.440 --> 0:13:40.839 I think that favors the defense. I love LA. This 0:13:40.880 --> 0:13:43.320 is one of my better picks. Maybe I'm wrong, but 0:13:43.600 --> 0:13:46.120 I like the Rams at home Saturday afternoon. 0:13:46.200 --> 0:13:47.800 I like the Rams at home too. I know they're 0:13:47.800 --> 0:13:50.199 getting Deontay Johnson back on the side of the Pittsburgh 0:13:50.200 --> 0:13:52.280 Steelers but I'm with you, Joe, which is you've been 0:13:52.280 --> 0:13:54.640 able to throw in this team all day long, and 0:13:54.760 --> 0:13:56.400 with the injuries they've had the running back position. I 0:13:56.400 --> 0:13:59.200 think that's all the Rams can do and want to do, so, 0:13:59.400 --> 0:14:03.400 I'm sure on the DFS show, Derek Brown and are 0:14:03.400 --> 0:14:05.760 going to talk quite a bit about the Rams and 0:14:05.840 --> 0:14:07.880 quite a bit about Puka as well as Cooper Cupp, 0:14:07.920 --> 0:14:10.240 who is the highest price wide receiver with Chase and 0:14:10.280 --> 0:14:13.000 Jefferson not available on the board anymore, so it might 0:14:13.040 --> 0:14:14.360 be one of those weeks to pay up for him 0:14:14.400 --> 0:14:16.400 with this matchup we've got here. All right, let's get 0:14:16.400 --> 0:14:19.400 to another one of Ericson's picks for Week three. I 0:14:19.400 --> 0:14:21.680 feel like you're kind of continuing all of the theme 0:14:21.720 --> 0:14:22.240 here Rickson. 0:14:23.040 --> 0:14:24.880 Yeah, I'm just going right back to the Buccaneers and 0:14:24.960 --> 0:14:27.240 Falcons a game, just taking the Buccaneers minus two and 0:14:27.280 --> 0:14:30.400 a half. Look Atlanta. Here about the road stats. So 0:14:30.400 --> 0:14:32.120 they've averaged six and a half points per game on 0:14:32.160 --> 0:14:34.880 the road this year, but less than a touchdown. Again, 0:14:35.080 --> 0:14:37.520 just going back to how Ritter has played on the road, 0:14:37.920 --> 0:14:40.720 Tampa Bay the number one red zone defense. I don't 0:14:40.760 --> 0:14:43.880 think that the the the Falcons are really going to 0:14:43.920 --> 0:14:46.160 score that much, Like, I really don't think that's gonna happen. 0:14:46.200 --> 0:14:48.480 And the biggest thing here is too is turnover margin. 0:14:48.680 --> 0:14:50.480 You know, the reason why Tampa Bay has been successful 0:14:50.480 --> 0:14:52.320 with Baker Mayfield a lot of the season is because 0:14:52.320 --> 0:14:55.200 their defense is generating a lot of turnovers and Baker 0:14:55.200 --> 0:14:57.720 Mayfield is not turning the ball over himself. Tampa Bay's 0:14:57.720 --> 0:15:01.360 second and plus turnover margin, the Falcons twenty seventh in 0:15:01.440 --> 0:15:02.120 that category. 0:15:02.360 --> 0:15:05.320 Desmon Ritter is ranked third and turnover worthy play rate. 0:15:05.520 --> 0:15:09.120 He has fourteen turnover worthy plays this season, so combined 0:15:09.160 --> 0:15:13.120 between interceptions and fumbles, not necessarily interceptions and fubms that 0:15:13.120 --> 0:15:15.520 actually happen, but ones that should have happened. We've played 0:15:15.560 --> 0:15:19.120 six games, he has fourteen of them. Like, there's going 0:15:19.160 --> 0:15:21.440 to be the turnover battle one I think by Tampa 0:15:21.440 --> 0:15:23.280 Bay and ultimately it's going to put them over the 0:15:23.280 --> 0:15:25.360 top to win by a field goal here at home. 0:15:25.440 --> 0:15:28.520 So and they can also stop the Falcons run game. 0:15:28.640 --> 0:15:31.120 That's the other big thing. So if the Falcons are 0:15:31.160 --> 0:15:33.680 behind and you're putting the ball in Desert Ridder's hands, like, 0:15:33.680 --> 0:15:34.880 that's a bet I want to be making. 0:15:34.880 --> 0:15:36.400 I think that's what's going to happen in this matchup. 0:15:36.520 --> 0:15:39.120 Yeah, good stuff there, all right, So you're very invested 0:15:39.160 --> 0:15:41.240 in this game, So there you go. Well, ericson will 0:15:41.280 --> 0:15:43.240 be glued to the TV on Sunday for this one. 0:15:43.520 --> 0:15:45.520 Let's get to another one here before we do, just 0:15:45.560 --> 0:15:48.880 quick reminder, as you continue to look through these games 0:15:48.920 --> 0:15:52.640 and watching these lines, set those Betting Pros app alerts 0:15:52.680 --> 0:15:55.520 to the app. Line alerts, the game notifications you can 0:15:55.600 --> 0:15:58.160 find specific games. Don't forget when you download the Betting 0:15:58.200 --> 0:16:00.920 Pros app, you could set the game notification, track them 0:16:01.280 --> 0:16:03.480 as line movement happens, and then jump in whenever you 0:16:03.520 --> 0:16:05.640 want to jump in, whenever you think the value is best. 0:16:05.640 --> 0:16:08.120 That's the beauty of the Betting Pros apps. So make 0:16:08.160 --> 0:16:09.920 sure you're utilizing all the tools here to help you 0:16:09.960 --> 0:16:12.560 be successful, along with the podcast, along with all the 0:16:12.560 --> 0:16:15.120 written content here. And if you haven't, go check out 0:16:15.200 --> 0:16:18.080 Erics and stuff every single week and everybody's content over here. 0:16:18.120 --> 0:16:20.760 The college guys are crushing it. Erics is crushing it. 0:16:20.880 --> 0:16:23.520 Go check out the written content on Betting Pros as well. 0:16:23.880 --> 0:16:26.640 Joe Lacy, you and I are more talkers, so let's 0:16:26.680 --> 0:16:28.920 get back to talking. So let's talk about another pick 0:16:28.960 --> 0:16:30.120 that you have here for week seven. 0:16:30.800 --> 0:16:34.240 Yeah, interesting, right. We saw Lamar Jackson get to win 0:16:34.320 --> 0:16:37.640 in terms of London last week, and again he started fast. 0:16:37.640 --> 0:16:40.840 He completes eight of eleven basically one hundred and thirteen 0:16:40.920 --> 0:16:43.880 yards in the first half, and they go more conservative 0:16:43.960 --> 0:16:47.040 in the second half and allow Tennessee back into that ballgame. 0:16:47.680 --> 0:16:51.680 John Harbaugh settles he's got a fourth to one inside 0:16:51.680 --> 0:16:54.240 the five yard line, inside the three, and the ops 0:16:54.280 --> 0:16:56.320 to kick the field goal. I get it to make 0:16:56.320 --> 0:16:58.760 it an eight score game, eight point game. But you 0:16:58.800 --> 0:17:02.600 have Lamar Jackson, Yeah, you have a second year quarterback 0:17:02.640 --> 0:17:05.199 and Malik Willis that was in the ballgame at that 0:17:05.240 --> 0:17:09.320 particular time. Two conservative, They cannot play that way against 0:17:09.359 --> 0:17:12.880 the Detroit Lions. But I do feel Lamore could break out, 0:17:12.960 --> 0:17:16.080 not just on the ground, through the air against the secondary. 0:17:16.119 --> 0:17:19.520 For the Lions, they dominated Baker Mayfield last week. The 0:17:19.640 --> 0:17:22.720 rushing attack was non existent. I think they throw it 0:17:22.760 --> 0:17:24.600 to run it later in the ballgame. And I know 0:17:24.640 --> 0:17:28.080 it's Jared Goff. I understand that they're dominating right now, 0:17:28.280 --> 0:17:31.639 but I still am not sold on the secondary of Detroit. 0:17:32.040 --> 0:17:35.240 A big day for Lamar through the air on the ground, 0:17:35.320 --> 0:17:38.439 they cover the three point number at home over the Lions. 0:17:38.440 --> 0:17:40.439 It's a big test for the Lions too, you know, 0:17:40.560 --> 0:17:43.240 to go on the road they see here and see 0:17:43.280 --> 0:17:45.240 how this all works out for them. So I want 0:17:45.280 --> 0:17:47.800 to see how the Lions react. Look so far, they 0:17:47.800 --> 0:17:50.800