Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place
Speaker 1: your bets. It's me Joey P. Joe P's a P
Speaker 1: and it's week seven in the NFL, and that means
Speaker 1: it's time to look at our favorite picks for the
Speaker 1: week and to help us, of course, is the prop
Speaker 1: prophet Andrew Erickson back again. I heard tomorrow or next
Speaker 1: week rather at some point you're gonna have to go
Speaker 1: to jury duty? Is this true? Ericson how did you
Speaker 1: not get out of this? Don't they know that you're famous?
Speaker 1: I don't understand.
Speaker 2: They don't.
Speaker 3: They don't care how many followers I have on X
Speaker 3: or that I work for Betting Pros slash Fantasy Pros,
Speaker 3: or that.
Speaker 2: I am the Props profit. They don't care.
Speaker 3: They're like, you're an American citizen, so you need to
Speaker 3: do your duty and you need to go to jerry duty,
Speaker 3: so it should be fun.
Speaker 1: No, but it's like weddings, you know, jury duty, weddings,
Speaker 1: things you don't do during the NFL season. It's fall.
Speaker 3: I mean, it's how it's how you know that I'm
Speaker 3: gonna be thirty years old, Sam.
Speaker 1: That's right, creeping up. Joe Lacy our guest from Sportscreen TV.
Speaker 1: Do you remember when thirty was creeping up on you?
Speaker 1: Those are the days, wasn't it? Buddy?
Speaker 4: Don't even don't even mention it. Joe, It's always a pleasure.
Speaker 4: Thirty is in the rearview mirror. Wait in the rear review. Yeah,
Speaker 4: it's amazing.
Speaker 1: But that's okay. I think we look great. I think
Speaker 1: we're doing awesome. You and me Erickson, this is the
Speaker 1: model for you. Take a good look. This is how
Speaker 1: you want to age, like fine wine, like Joe Lacy
Speaker 1: and Joey p Today we're gonna continue on looking again.
Speaker 1: Numbers against the spread of the over unders. Our favorite
Speaker 1: money line picks all the above. So if you haven't
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Speaker 1: All right, gentlemen, it's time to get to work. Joe Lacy,
Speaker 1: you're our guest. Let's talk about week seven. What's the
Speaker 1: first pick that you have that you're in on this week?
Speaker 4: Well, yeah, it took a while to break these down,
Speaker 4: but these I actually feel pretty good. You know, look
Speaker 4: at the line right now with Cleveland minus two and
Speaker 4: a half in this ballgame. I was completely impressed the
Speaker 4: way the front seven played last week against Brock Prody.
Speaker 4: They shut down the run. Now, granted, McCaffrey did get
Speaker 4: his yards and hit paid dirt, but in my opinion,
Speaker 4: I thought they played lights out. Forced turnovers gave their
Speaker 4: offense an opportunity for short fields with p J. Walker,
Speaker 4: and even if Deshaun Watson doesn't go, I don't care.
Speaker 4: The interior line player of the Cleveland Browns is where
Speaker 4: I think this pick is. Even if it crept over
Speaker 4: the three and a half point level, I would still
Speaker 4: lay it with the Cleveland Browns. Just not a big
Speaker 4: believer in terms of Indianapolis. I understand over eat expectations
Speaker 4: right now, but Gardner Minshew is a quarterback that you
Speaker 4: know where he's going to be. I think they could
Speaker 4: get quarterback pressures, forced turnovers unlaying it with the Cleveland Browns. Guys.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like that call too. The under for this
Speaker 1: game actually made my Picks of the Week, Joe, because
Speaker 1: I feel like, again the Cleveland Browns defense been so good.
Speaker 1: If Deshaun Watson doesn't play again, this could be a
Speaker 1: little bit of a drag in terms of offense, maybe
Speaker 1: on both sides of the football for both of these teams.
Speaker 1: So interesting game here, and I think you nailed it, dude.
Speaker 1: The Cleveland Browns defense is absolutely one hundred percent for real,
Speaker 1: and that was the coming out party officially for everybody
Speaker 1: to take notice of it. Now all of us we
Speaker 1: recognized it, we were talking about it, but they got
Speaker 1: a real test with san Fran and they passed with
Speaker 1: flying colors in a difficult situation too. Andrew Erickson Week
Speaker 1: sevens upon us, what do you have for the people?
Speaker 3: I'm back in the pack Packers money line for me
Speaker 3: over the Denver Broncos. The Denver Broncos defense played well
Speaker 3: on Thursday night against the Chiefs, but I'm going to
Speaker 3: chock it up to being a weird game played on
Speaker 3: Thursday division rivals. That's not gonna be the case here
Speaker 3: in this particular matchup, because Green Bay has the weapons,
Speaker 3: specifically with Christian Watson, to expose what's been killing the
Speaker 3: Broncos this year, and that's been big plays. The Chiefs
Speaker 3: don't generate big plays on offense because of the personnel
Speaker 3: they have. The Packers all year have been trying to
Speaker 3: dial up big plays like it's left and right George.
Speaker 3: They're launching balls down the field with Jordan Love, who
Speaker 3: has the fourth highest deep ball rate in the NFL,
Speaker 3: but he is the fourth worst completion rate on those
Speaker 3: deep balls. Eventually, you're gonna see some regression kick in.
Speaker 3: Christian Watson is back to a full time role, he's
Speaker 3: fully off the injury report, and what better defense to
Speaker 3: do it again than the defense allowing the second most
Speaker 3: explosive plays per game than the Denver Broncos. So I
Speaker 3: think that the Packers' offense gets back on track to
Speaker 3: what we saw during the beginning of the season when
Speaker 3: they started out really hot. Denver's ozer and six versus spread.
Speaker 3: This year, they're winning five straight up and their only
Speaker 3: win came against the Bears in.
Speaker 2: A game they should have lost.
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna just continue to fade the Denver Broncos
Speaker 3: overrated team. They've been over rats and Shawn's payton there,
Speaker 3: it's been profitable. Just keep betting against the Denver Broncos's
Speaker 3: and I'm gonna keep doing it. So I'm going with
Speaker 3: the Packers here, who are coming off a bye week.
Speaker 3: They're healthier in their secondary, on their offensive line. I
Speaker 3: think it's a get right spot for Green bet.
Speaker 1: I like that you mentioned Kristian Watson because again that
Speaker 1: is he's such an explosive player. If you're in on
Speaker 1: this Packers bet here with Andrew, I think you do
Speaker 1: that little skiddy parlay, you know, that double up that
Speaker 1: we talk about sometimes of taking our favorite prop along
Speaker 1: with you know, a piece of the game. I think
Speaker 1: it's the Watson over on the receiving yards and again
Speaker 1: specifically receiving yards and not receptions, because you don't know
Speaker 1: how many looks he's gonna get, but you know he
Speaker 1: just needs one to really make it a special moment.
Speaker 3: I mean last week, in the last game he played,
Speaker 3: he saw one hundred and seventy air yards. He had
Speaker 3: like eighty percent of the team's total are yard. It's
Speaker 3: like it's gonna converge trying to acquire against every defense.
Speaker 1: I've sent out trades everywhere for him. I don't think
Speaker 1: I'm gonna get him anywhere, but you know, you can't
Speaker 1: fault me for trying. The other thing you should all
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Speaker 1: that bad boy today. Speaking of bad boys, Joe Lacy,
Speaker 1: the bad boy of Central Jersey. We all know that
Speaker 1: the reputation, the reputation precedes you, Joe, So let's go
Speaker 1: to your number two pick on the list for week seven.
Speaker 4: Well, let's keep it in state then, And this game
Speaker 4: is ugly Washington on the road against the New York Giants. Right,
Speaker 4: Giants get the covers of fifteen and a half point dog.
Speaker 4: Terrible decision by Tyron Taylor Kafka Dable whoever made that
Speaker 4: call at the end of the first half cost the
Speaker 4: New York Giants top ball game. But I'm not sold
Speaker 4: on Ron Rivera. I did pick the Commanders over Atlanta
Speaker 4: last week. I'm just not sold on in terms of
Speaker 4: des Ritter. I know we broke out two weeks ago
Speaker 4: a little inconsistent. I thought Sam Howell and more importantly,
Speaker 4: the defense could catch Atlanta. In terms of a look
Speaker 4: at spot, I like the Giants here. I am not
Speaker 4: sold on Ron Rivera in a big spot. I know
Speaker 4: they have more explosiveness in regards to the Washington side,
Speaker 4: but I think the physicality in the New York Giants
Speaker 4: playing at home, I think they're able to run it
Speaker 4: on the front seven of Washington. Saquan had a huge
Speaker 4: performance in the second half in ninety three yards. I
Speaker 4: liked the mobility of Tyrod Taylor, and I actually believe
Speaker 4: even though we sucked last week, Brian Dable is a
Speaker 4: much better head coach than Ron Rivera. Give me the
Speaker 4: Giants and the upset. Typically they step up against the man.
Speaker 4: There's especially in met life. I like them to step
Speaker 4: up here.
Speaker 1: You know, I've been struggling with this game all week,
Speaker 1: so I'm glad to hear you talk about it with
Speaker 1: such confidence. And the thing that I do like is
Speaker 1: the way the Giants defense performed and the Washington commanders
Speaker 1: give up a lot of sacks. If he can get
Speaker 1: to the quarterback, you can flush him out. Sam Howell
Speaker 1: is our own betting pro Scott Bobbin loves to call
Speaker 1: him Jekyl and Howell. He will pro picks, he will
Speaker 1: make mistakes, he will rush the football sometimes. How much
Speaker 1: of the defensive performance from what you saw against the
Speaker 1: Bills you think can carry over to this game against Washington, Well, it's.
Speaker 4: Not just the Bills. Look at the turnovers day forced
Speaker 4: against two or two weeks throughout three interceptions. So if
Speaker 4: I died, it is the biggest thing too, I think
Speaker 4: is that with Martindale, from a defensive perspective, will call
Speaker 4: a lot of different coverages to force Sam Howell to
Speaker 4: break it down and on the road. Hopefully the fan
Speaker 4: base is involved in terms of this matchup and ball game.
Speaker 4: It is an NFC matchup, so I think that adds
Speaker 4: a little more spice to this to this ball game
Speaker 4: as well. And you know, again it comes down to
Speaker 4: the coaches. I believe more in Dable than I believe
Speaker 4: more and Ron Rivera, even though they're over exceeding expectations
Speaker 4: right now. I believe in in Tyrod Taylor and as
Speaker 4: long as Barkley's there to run the football staying manageable.
Speaker 4: Third downs, and I think somehow, some way they catch
Speaker 4: the upset again. They're catching three, they're not laying it.
Speaker 4: So that's why I favor the giants at home here.
Speaker 1: I like it. Good stuff there, all right, Wink Erickson,
Speaker 1: let's get back to you instead. How come you don't
Speaker 1: have a cool nickname like Wink. I mean, I guess
Speaker 1: the prop profit or BP is pretty good. I mean,
Speaker 1: you did get a T shirt, you know, big body
Speaker 1: T shirt. Well, Joe, they call him big Pod Energy,
Speaker 1: this guy, right or he calls himself that I should say.
Speaker 1: And you know, he gets a T shirt made. And
Speaker 1: I still I've been here three years, they still have
Speaker 1: a T shirt made for any of my nonsense. I'm
Speaker 1: just saying, get in jelly, getting jelly over here, ericson,
Speaker 1: All right, give us another pick here, make up for it.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm looking at you know, talking about Desmond Ritter
Speaker 3: Falcons bucks under thirty seven and a half. Look, I
Speaker 3: think that both these defenses are really underrated. Atlanta's defense
Speaker 3: sixth best, red zone unit, second best in terms of
Speaker 3: third down conversion rate allowed. On defense, they're five and
Speaker 3: one towards the under the season. The Atlanta Falcons the
Speaker 3: Buccaneers are four and one towards the under. They have
Speaker 3: the number one red zone defense. And the biggest trend
Speaker 3: I've been following when it comes to Desmond Ritter is
Speaker 3: him on the road for sim at home, and even
Speaker 3: last week, as bad as he played, they still had
Speaker 3: three chances to.
Speaker 2: Cover in that game.
Speaker 3: They did up the ball three times down eight points
Speaker 3: in the fourth quarter with a chance to do something
Speaker 3: with it, and they did. But that's the fact that
Speaker 3: Rider does usually play better at home. If he's done
Speaker 3: that at the college level, he's done at the professional level,
Speaker 3: But now that he's on the road, hostile environment against
Speaker 3: Tampa Bay, who already has again the number one red
Speaker 3: zone defense, I have no faith that this game is
Speaker 3: going to go over thirty seven and a half, both
Speaker 3: top red zone defenses, so I'm going to take the
Speaker 3: under thirty seven and a half.
Speaker 1: This is an interesting one here too, because this is
Speaker 1: a very important division game for those of us who
Speaker 1: have money on the Falcons to win this division. I
Speaker 1: can tell you we'll be rooting very heartily for the
Speaker 1: Falcons right now on Sunday, that's for sure. But you
Speaker 1: make some good points there against Desmond, Rider do you think,
Speaker 1: how short I should say, is the leash for Desmond
Speaker 1: Rinder in your opinion erics? And I know that there
Speaker 1: was a disappointing loss last week at home, but this
Speaker 1: division is still very up for Grasbury winnable. How short
Speaker 1: is that leash? Like how many losses does it take
Speaker 1: for the Heinekey chatterer to really start to pick up stream.
Speaker 2: I feel like it's gonna be.
Speaker 3: I feel like it's kind of kind of long, honestly,
Speaker 3: Like think about like Marcus Mariota last year, Like how
Speaker 3: long did they stay with Marcus Mariota before they went?
Speaker 3: But they still did it so and it was the
Speaker 3: same coaching staff. And I know in last week's game,
Speaker 3: they kept paying to Arthur Smith and he's just like
Speaker 3: holding his head up and he's like, oh my god,
Speaker 3: I can't believe my quarterback just did that again. So
Speaker 3: I like to think that maybe they go to Heinike
Speaker 3: at some point, But I mean, we know what Heineke
Speaker 3: is at this point, Like he's a plucky backup that
Speaker 3: you want to start because he can get you a
Speaker 3: win or two, like get you through your quarterback being injured.
Speaker 3: He's not a long term answer at the position. So
Speaker 3: I think that they're gonna probably ride with Rheta until
Speaker 3: the wheels fall off.
Speaker 1: I realized I dropped a welshism. I said pick up
Speaker 1: stream instead of pick up steam. So Welsh will be
Speaker 1: very proud by the way. Welsh will be on the
Speaker 1: Prop show tomorrow speaking of the Welsh. That's what happens
Speaker 1: when you hang out with people you know who say
Speaker 1: dumb things too much. My good friend Welsh, now you
Speaker 1: start to sound and pick up your own welshism. This
Speaker 1: is a problem. All right, let's get back to you, Joe.
Speaker 1: Give us another pick for week seven.
Speaker 4: What do you have going four o'clock window, I'm going
Speaker 4: out west. It's an interconference game. You got Pittsburgh on
Speaker 4: the road to face off against Matt Stafford and the
Speaker 4: La Rams lay in three. I like the Rams in
Speaker 4: this ball game. I mean to me, I think it's
Speaker 4: the right side. Cooper Cup steps up with one hundred
Speaker 4: yard performance. Pooka Nakula even though he was contained last week.
Speaker 4: I think they could attack the secondary over the top.
Speaker 4: In terms of the Steelers, everybody talks about the Steelers,
Speaker 4: and rightfully so in terms of TJ. Watt, but they
Speaker 4: give up a ton of yards each and every week,
Speaker 4: especially in the back end. A couple of weeks ago
Speaker 4: on Prime Time, Jimmy Garoppolo attacked them. Davonte Yadam has
Speaker 4: had a bucks seventy two in terms of that matchup.
Speaker 4: Even though they lost. I like the rushing attack. Even
Speaker 4: though Kyron Williams out, I still think the offensive line
Speaker 4: is playing well, and I'm not sold about the offensive
Speaker 4: identity for Pittsburgh. They're gonna need to run the football
Speaker 4: on Aaron Donald in the front seven, and that's where
Speaker 4: I have a concern. Right even though they're coming out
Speaker 4: of a bye week, na Jay Harris Jalen Warren a
Speaker 4: little bit inconsistent. That offensive line hasn't been there, and
Speaker 4: the LA Rams secondary is basically holding opposing offenses and
Speaker 4: quarterbacks to right around two hundred and fifteen passing yarge
Speaker 4: per game if they put them into long third downs.
Speaker 4: I think that favors the defense. I love LA. This
Speaker 4: is one of my better picks. Maybe I'm wrong, but
Speaker 4: I like the Rams at home Saturday afternoon.
Speaker 1: I like the Rams at home too. I know they're
Speaker 1: getting Deontay Johnson back on the side of the Pittsburgh
Speaker 1: Steelers but I'm with you, Joe, which is you've been
Speaker 1: able to throw in this team all day long, and
Speaker 1: with the injuries they've had the running back position. I
Speaker 1: think that's all the Rams can do and want to do, so,
Speaker 1: I'm sure on the DFS show, Derek Brown and are
Speaker 1: going to talk quite a bit about the Rams and
Speaker 1: quite a bit about Puka as well as Cooper Cupp,
Speaker 1: who is the highest price wide receiver with Chase and
Speaker 1: Jefferson not available on the board anymore, so it might
Speaker 1: be one of those weeks to pay up for him
Speaker 1: with this matchup we've got here. All right, let's get
Speaker 1: to another one of Ericson's picks for Week three. I
Speaker 1: feel like you're kind of continuing all of the theme
Speaker 1: here Rickson.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm just going right back to the Buccaneers and
Speaker 3: Falcons a game, just taking the Buccaneers minus two and
Speaker 3: a half. Look Atlanta. Here about the road stats. So
Speaker 3: they've averaged six and a half points per game on
Speaker 3: the road this year, but less than a touchdown. Again,
Speaker 3: just going back to how Ritter has played on the road,
Speaker 3: Tampa Bay the number one red zone defense. I don't
Speaker 3: think that the the the Falcons are really going to
Speaker 3: score that much, Like, I really don't think that's gonna happen.
Speaker 3: And the biggest thing here is too is turnover margin.
Speaker 3: You know, the reason why Tampa Bay has been successful
Speaker 3: with Baker Mayfield a lot of the season is because
Speaker 3: their defense is generating a lot of turnovers and Baker
Speaker 3: Mayfield is not turning the ball over himself. Tampa Bay's
Speaker 3: second and plus turnover margin, the Falcons twenty seventh in
Speaker 3: that category.
Speaker 2: Desmon Ritter is ranked third and turnover worthy play rate.
Speaker 3: He has fourteen turnover worthy plays this season, so combined
Speaker 3: between interceptions and fumbles, not necessarily interceptions and fubms that
Speaker 3: actually happen, but ones that should have happened. We've played
Speaker 3: six games, he has fourteen of them. Like, there's going
Speaker 3: to be the turnover battle one I think by Tampa
Speaker 3: Bay and ultimately it's going to put them over the
Speaker 3: top to win by a field goal here at home.
Speaker 3: So and they can also stop the Falcons run game.
Speaker 3: That's the other big thing. So if the Falcons are
Speaker 3: behind and you're putting the ball in Desert Ridder's hands, like,
Speaker 3: that's a bet I want to be making.
Speaker 2: I think that's what's going to happen in this matchup.
Speaker 1: Yeah, good stuff there, all right, So you're very invested
Speaker 1: in this game, So there you go. Well, ericson will
Speaker 1: be glued to the TV on Sunday for this one.
Speaker 1: Let's get to another one here before we do, just
Speaker 1: quick reminder, as you continue to look through these games
Speaker 1: and watching these lines, set those Betting Pros app alerts
Speaker 1: to the app. Line alerts, the game notifications you can
Speaker 1: find specific games. Don't forget when you download the Betting
Speaker 1: Pros app, you could set the game notification, track them
Speaker 1: as line movement happens, and then jump in whenever you
Speaker 1: want to jump in, whenever you think the value is best.
Speaker 1: That's the beauty of the Betting Pros apps. So make
Speaker 1: sure you're utilizing all the tools here to help you
Speaker 1: be successful, along with the podcast, along with all the
Speaker 1: written content here. And if you haven't, go check out
Speaker 1: Erics and stuff every single week and everybody's content over here.
Speaker 1: The college guys are crushing it. Erics is crushing it.
Speaker 1: Go check out the written content on Betting Pros as well.
Speaker 1: Joe Lacy, you and I are more talkers, so let's
Speaker 1: get back to talking. So let's talk about another pick
Speaker 1: that you have here for week seven.
Speaker 4: Yeah, interesting, right. We saw Lamar Jackson get to win
Speaker 4: in terms of London last week, and again he started fast.
Speaker 4: He completes eight of eleven basically one hundred and thirteen
Speaker 4: yards in the first half, and they go more conservative
Speaker 4: in the second half and allow Tennessee back into that ballgame.
Speaker 4: John Harbaugh settles he's got a fourth to one inside
Speaker 4: the five yard line, inside the three, and the ops
Speaker 4: to kick the field goal. I get it to make
Speaker 4: it an eight score game, eight point game. But you
Speaker 4: have Lamar Jackson, Yeah, you have a second year quarterback
Speaker 4: and Malik Willis that was in the ballgame at that
Speaker 4: particular time. Two conservative, They cannot play that way against
Speaker 4: the Detroit Lions. But I do feel Lamore could break out,
Speaker 4: not just on the ground, through the air against the secondary.
Speaker 4: For the Lions, they dominated Baker Mayfield last week. The
Speaker 4: rushing attack was non existent. I think they throw it
Speaker 4: to run it later in the ballgame. And I know
Speaker 4: it's Jared Goff. I understand that they're dominating right now,
Speaker 4: but I still am not sold on the secondary of Detroit.
Speaker 4: A big day for Lamar through the air on the ground,
Speaker 4: they cover the three point number at home over the Lions.
Speaker 1: It's a big test for the Lions too, you know,
Speaker 1: to go on the road they see here and see
Speaker 1: how this all works out for them. So I want
Speaker 1: to see how the Lions react. Look so far, they
Speaker 1: have shown up to every big test, so that's good.
Speaker 1: But this is another one here, and now that I'm
Speaker 1: giving Baltimore too much credit, but ericson your next pick
Speaker 1: is also in this same Detroit Baltimore game.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I actually like the over in this game at
Speaker 3: forty two and a half. Now, it feels weird to
Speaker 3: be talking over as in a sea of where unders
Speaker 3: are hitting.
Speaker 2: At an unsustainable rate.
Speaker 3: But I'm just looking at betting on two quarterbacks that
Speaker 3: I think are playing some of their top ball right now.
Speaker 3: So I agree that Lamar Jackson has set up really
Speaker 3: well here against a suspect Detroit secondary. But I also
Speaker 3: think that the Lions can have a lot of success
Speaker 3: on offense as well. They have the number one pass
Speaker 3: blocking unit per PFF. The Ravens have the fourth worst
Speaker 3: pass rush. Like they're going to have time to throw
Speaker 3: the football, and that's where Jared Goff has been so
Speaker 3: good this year. Because he has time in the pocket.
Speaker 3: You give him time and not playing in cold weather,
Speaker 3: and he's gonna dice you up. They couldn't run the
Speaker 3: ball at all last week against the Buccaneers, and what
Speaker 3: did Jared Goff do. He threw for three hundred and
Speaker 3: forty passing yards and they were one dimensional and he
Speaker 3: was still able to get it done with backup running backs.
Speaker 3: So I think that this offense is going to be
Speaker 3: effective because I think the Ravens defense is overrated. Look
Speaker 3: at who they've played. They've played two rookie quarterbacks making
Speaker 3: their first starts and injured Joe Burrow garter Minshew Kenny
Speaker 3: Pickett and Ryan tannel Slash. Milik Willis say last week
Speaker 3: the same thing. It's like they played nobody that's worthy
Speaker 3: of being tested and the only game that's gone over
Speaker 3: for them was against Joe Burrow, the best quarterback they
Speaker 3: have faced, and he wasn't even one hundred percent. So
Speaker 3: I think, again, forty two and a half just betting
Speaker 3: on two quarterbacks that are playing super well.
Speaker 2: I like the over in this spot.
Speaker 1: All right, good argument there for the over. So another
Speaker 1: game here along with that Bucks Falcons matchup Ravens Lions
Speaker 1: got a lot of action, a lot of heat on
Speaker 1: it this week. So let's get to the last ones
Speaker 1: here on the list for the Gentleman for Week seven
Speaker 1: the NFL, Joe Lazy take it away.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm going maybe old school, but and I'm going contrarian.
Speaker 4: I'm going over Buffalo and New England, and I get it.
Speaker 4: New England's offense is absolutely atrocious. I was actually on
Speaker 4: them catching three and a half last week. The sack
Speaker 4: absolutely killed me with MATC Jones. But here's the thing.
Speaker 4: They took eight minutes guys to score on a touchdown
Speaker 4: in the fourth quarter. Right that did they win sixty
Speaker 4: yards basically eight and a half minutes. That's how pathetic
Speaker 4: they were. They cannot do that in terms of this
Speaker 4: ball game. If they're gonna try to old school at
Speaker 4: the way the Giants did on Sunday night. If I'm Buffalo,
Speaker 4: I want to push tempo. I sort of believe that
Speaker 4: Buffalo played down to the New York Giants and allowing
Speaker 4: the Giants to dictate that type of game with the
Speaker 4: rushing attack of Tyrod Taylor and Sakwon Barkley. I don't
Speaker 4: think it happens this week. They got pushed to the
Speaker 4: limit by the Giants. The goal line stand last player
Speaker 4: of the game. They have a beatable opponent that they
Speaker 4: dominate in recent years. If they jump up fourteen to nothing,
Speaker 4: it's lights out. I don't think they stop, especially lay
Speaker 4: in eight and a half, especially a divisional opponent. I
Speaker 4: think Josh Allen breaks out, they could potentially get the
Speaker 4: forty and a half on their own. Yes, I think
Speaker 4: it's over the forty and a half in this ball game.
Speaker 1: I'm I'm glad you said that. That's exactly I was like, well,
Speaker 1: I guess the score is forty to three, Like, I
Speaker 1: feel like that's the score here, and you're a hundred
Speaker 1: just right. They are going to push it, and that's
Speaker 1: what they've done historically is beat up on the Patriots
Speaker 1: now that they can, and they should for all those
Speaker 1: years that the Patriots used to beat up on them.
Speaker 1: It makes perfect sense. Ericson and I being Patriots fans,
Speaker 1: we accept this fate already. I made money again last
Speaker 1: week on the Raiders, as I have every single week
Speaker 1: betting against the Patriots, and I'm going to continue to
Speaker 1: do that this week. Also, the fascinating thing here, Joe
Speaker 1: I also think people are overrating a little bit too
Speaker 1: much of what happened in that Giants game, because I
Speaker 1: also think when Damian Harris went down with that injury,
Speaker 1: I think that took a lot of air out of
Speaker 1: that bubble for them. There was shades of that tragic
Speaker 1: situation last year with Tamor Hamlin. I think the whole
Speaker 1: air went out of that team for a long while.
Speaker 1: They got it pumped back up just in time to
Speaker 1: pull that game out, luckily for them, But I think
Speaker 1: that is not going to be the case when they
Speaker 1: go to New England this week. Ericson, let's close things
Speaker 1: out here strong, What do you have here for the
Speaker 1: people for your final peakle Week seven?
Speaker 3: I'm just ready to watch the offensive fireworks on Sunday
Speaker 3: Night Football. So I'm betting the over Eagles Dolphins over
Speaker 3: fifty one and a half points. Look, so Miami is
Speaker 3: one of the few teams here that's actually been hitting
Speaker 3: their over. So they're four and two towards the over.
Speaker 3: The two games that have not hit the over with
Speaker 3: the Dolphins have been when they've played the two worst
Speaker 3: offenses in the NFL, between the Giants and the Patriots.
Speaker 3: That has what stopped the Dolphins from hitting overs in
Speaker 3: every single game this year. They're playing the Philadelphia Eagles.
Speaker 3: Eagles in terms of offensive rank fifth and points per
Speaker 3: game third, and points per game at home both of
Speaker 3: their home games that they've played in Philadelphia over sixty
Speaker 3: points total.
Speaker 2: I'm going over here.
Speaker 3: All my bets could flame out during the day during
Speaker 3: Sunday or one o'clock, four o'clock. I'm gonna be getting popcorn, ready, fireworks.
Speaker 3: I'm ready to watch this show Sunday Night Football.
Speaker 2: Let's go over.
Speaker 1: I love it. If anybody saw my video this week
Speaker 1: on Betting Pros my top ten bets of the week,
Speaker 1: the Miami money line was part of forty percent of
Speaker 1: those bets this week, being about the Dolphins and Joe.
Speaker 1: The point I'm making everybody is if they go into Philadelphia,
Speaker 1: beat a team on the road in the Eagles that
Speaker 1: went to the Super Bowl last year, and beat them convincingly,
Speaker 1: all these numbers like TUA for MVP, which is a
Speaker 1: plus three fifty on Betting Pros, Tyreek Hill that's still
Speaker 1: in plus money, barely a plus one fifty for AP
Speaker 1: Player of the Year Josh enixus Al, Mike McDaniel at
Speaker 1: plus three hundred for Coach of the Year. All of
Speaker 1: these numbers are going to move significantly. Now, if they lose,
Speaker 1: I don't think they really move. But if they win,
Speaker 1: I think they do. Do you see this as a
Speaker 1: pivotal week here? For any investment you want to make
Speaker 1: in the Dolphins.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm not gonna be betting this game. Maybe you
Speaker 4: know pre kick you know in regard to that, because
Speaker 4: I do want to see a couple of drives. Here's
Speaker 4: the biggest factor for me. If they can run on
Speaker 4: the front seven of the Philadelphia Eagles. And I understand
Speaker 4: the Jets made second half adjustments and caught them in
Speaker 4: terms of met life, but Jane Harder didn't play either night.
Speaker 4: Jalen Carter in that lineup is a huge difference maker.
Speaker 4: So again, if the rushing attack could basically take over
Speaker 4: on the road, then I'm in agreement with you because
Speaker 4: the biggest thing in terms of a playoff type of environment,
Speaker 4: if we're taking big picture for the Miami Dolphins, if
Speaker 4: they can go on the road and run the football consistently.
Speaker 4: Let's not forget they did it against New England and Foxboro.
Speaker 4: They rushed for a buck forty one on that front
Speaker 4: seven earlier in the I want to see that against
Speaker 4: the Eagles in this environment it's supposed to be a
Speaker 4: little bit of cold weather. I want to see them
Speaker 4: perform in that type of situation as well. It's on
Speaker 4: grass even better, I want to see that because we
Speaker 4: know them. They struggle with Newichi Park in terms of
Speaker 4: beating the Buffalo Bills. If you want to go and
Speaker 4: win an AFC championship, you're most likely going to have
Speaker 4: to go to Kansas City. They need to run the football,
Speaker 4: so that's the biggest thing I want to say. If
Speaker 4: they do that and win this ball game convincingly, I'm
Speaker 4: with you. I think big picture, they could challenge the Chiefs.
Speaker 1: The last time an NFL team led the league in
Speaker 1: rushing yards and passing yards nineteen forty one, and just
Speaker 1: if you're keeping scores at home, they were still wearing
Speaker 1: leather helmets at that point. There you go, Ericson, you
Speaker 1: used to have your leather helmet and you still wear
Speaker 1: that sometimes you go out just for protection for those
Speaker 1: cold New England nights. No, not so much all right, eRx,
Speaker 1: What do you think about this whole Dolphins conversation too,
Speaker 1: Because before we go. I think this is important conversation.
Speaker 1: I know you're in here on the over, but you
Speaker 1: and I both know these are media awards, and when
Speaker 1: you have a big win on the road, on a
Speaker 1: standalone primetime Sunday night game, it gets a lot of
Speaker 1: traction in the betting universe. And I think this is
Speaker 1: something people if you again, if you're in on the Dolphins,
Speaker 1: this is the time to get in because if it
Speaker 1: flames out, I don't think it really moves all that
Speaker 1: much unless they get really just torch, which I don't see.
Speaker 1: I don't think any of us see that happening. Necessarily,
Speaker 1: anything's possible. What do you think about this? Dolphins numbers
Speaker 1: of everyone for all these awards maybe moving if they
Speaker 1: get this win.
Speaker 2: No, I think it makes a lot of sense.
Speaker 3: And I think that one of the undervalued ones is
Speaker 3: maybe doing a Tyreek Hill for MVP. You know, just
Speaker 3: kind of the narrative around Tua is, you know, how
Speaker 3: much credit does he deserve? And you know, if you
Speaker 3: were to miss any time, Okay, Mike White steps in
Speaker 3: and they don't miss a beat, then that's boosters for
Speaker 3: Tyreek Hill, who is currently averaging like five yards per
Speaker 3: round run. Which is like absolutely insane when you look
Speaker 3: at a stat like that two yards per out run
Speaker 3: is good. He's averaging five yards per out run like
Speaker 3: it's bonkers. So if he could break the receiving record,
Speaker 3: like if he does all those things and he doesn't
Speaker 3: win MVP, like yeah, like you're talking to off, it's
Speaker 3: the Player of the Year, Like yeah, at plus money,
Speaker 3: I think that's awesome. But maybe MVP is not totally
Speaker 3: impossible for a wide receiver.
Speaker 2: I think it could happen right now.
Speaker 1: The best odds you can get on Tyreek Hill plus
Speaker 1: five thousand. I'm looking at it right now on Betting Pro.
Speaker 1: So yeah, it's out there, folks, it's out there, and
Speaker 1: it's interesting. You're getting plus four thousand. I see on
Speaker 1: Draft Kings and on FanDuel it's already down to plus
Speaker 1: three thousand. On Caesars, I say, down to plus three thousand.
Speaker 1: But Ericson makes a great point, And I also wonder
Speaker 1: as the media who votes for these awards, Heilemans starts
Speaker 1: to get a little younger if they start to change
Speaker 1: their whole like it could only be a quarterback award,
Speaker 1: And I think that's something to watch, not just this year.
Speaker 1: But in the years ahead, as things start to evolve,
Speaker 1: just like you know in the baseball world, you know
Speaker 1: the writers who voted for awards, things evolved, Remember and
Speaker 1: Felix Hernandez won the cy Young What do you have
Speaker 1: like thirteen wins? I think that year or something ridiculous
Speaker 1: like that. People look past it, look to the secondary numbers.
Speaker 1: But that took a long time to get there. People
Speaker 1: loved wins, so ever, evolving, that's what we're trying to
Speaker 1: do here. We're trying to help you win money. Joe
Speaker 1: Leasey's always a big help in that regard. Go follow
Speaker 1: him on x at go for the two. Check him
Speaker 1: out on sportscrit TV every Saturday, every Sunday. He's doing
Speaker 1: college football. He's doing pro football today on Sundays after
Speaker 1: my show on Sports Career at ten am Eastern. Go
Speaker 1: check him out there. Joe, When do you sleep? Honestly,
Speaker 1: just a little bit on Saturday night.
Speaker 4: Now, Saturday night, A little Sunday night actually is my
Speaker 4: biggest sleep night. After the Sunday night game. There you go,
Speaker 4: I get a little R and R to catch up
Speaker 4: for Monday night football.
Speaker 1: Sleep in on Monday, all right, Everybody, make sure you
Speaker 1: download that Betting Pros app, drop the comments below let
Speaker 1: us know what you are in on this week. Join
Speaker 1: the NFL contest at Bettingpros dot com slash NFL Contests,
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Speaker 1: Every time a piece of content drops here on the
Speaker 1: Betting Pros YouTube channel. That'll do it for us, but
Speaker 1: the story of the game goes on for Joe Lacy
Speaker 1: and Andrew Erickson. I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids.
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