1 00:00:01,080 --> 00:00:03,240 Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,320 --> 00:00:05,320 Speaker 1: your bets. It's me Joey P. Joe P's a P 3 00:00:05,480 --> 00:00:08,039 Speaker 1: and it's week seven in the NFL, and that means 4 00:00:08,080 --> 00:00:10,160 Speaker 1: it's time to look at our favorite picks for the 5 00:00:10,160 --> 00:00:12,600 Speaker 1: week and to help us, of course, is the prop 6 00:00:12,640 --> 00:00:17,320 Speaker 1: prophet Andrew Erickson back again. I heard tomorrow or next 7 00:00:17,320 --> 00:00:18,959 Speaker 1: week rather at some point you're gonna have to go 8 00:00:19,000 --> 00:00:22,759 Speaker 1: to jury duty? Is this true? Ericson how did you 9 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:24,600 Speaker 1: not get out of this? Don't they know that you're famous? 10 00:00:24,600 --> 00:00:25,360 Speaker 1: I don't understand. 11 00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:26,479 Speaker 2: They don't. 12 00:00:26,480 --> 00:00:28,720 Speaker 3: They don't care how many followers I have on X 13 00:00:28,880 --> 00:00:32,240 Speaker 3: or that I work for Betting Pros slash Fantasy Pros, 14 00:00:32,320 --> 00:00:32,760 Speaker 3: or that. 15 00:00:32,880 --> 00:00:34,600 Speaker 2: I am the Props profit. They don't care. 16 00:00:34,640 --> 00:00:36,879 Speaker 3: They're like, you're an American citizen, so you need to 17 00:00:36,880 --> 00:00:39,120 Speaker 3: do your duty and you need to go to jerry duty, 18 00:00:39,159 --> 00:00:40,120 Speaker 3: so it should be fun. 19 00:00:40,159 --> 00:00:42,560 Speaker 1: No, but it's like weddings, you know, jury duty, weddings, 20 00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:45,360 Speaker 1: things you don't do during the NFL season. It's fall. 21 00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:47,319 Speaker 3: I mean, it's how it's how you know that I'm 22 00:00:47,360 --> 00:00:48,800 Speaker 3: gonna be thirty years old, Sam. 23 00:00:49,960 --> 00:00:53,920 Speaker 1: That's right, creeping up. Joe Lacy our guest from Sportscreen TV. 24 00:00:54,440 --> 00:00:56,200 Speaker 1: Do you remember when thirty was creeping up on you? 25 00:00:56,280 --> 00:00:57,720 Speaker 1: Those are the days, wasn't it? Buddy? 26 00:00:57,800 --> 00:01:00,920 Speaker 4: Don't even don't even mention it. Joe, It's always a pleasure. 27 00:01:01,000 --> 00:01:05,720 Speaker 4: Thirty is in the rearview mirror. Wait in the rear review. Yeah, 28 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:06,479 Speaker 4: it's amazing. 29 00:01:06,760 --> 00:01:08,840 Speaker 1: But that's okay. I think we look great. I think 30 00:01:08,840 --> 00:01:11,720 Speaker 1: we're doing awesome. You and me Erickson, this is the 31 00:01:11,760 --> 00:01:14,000 Speaker 1: model for you. Take a good look. This is how 32 00:01:14,000 --> 00:01:16,320 Speaker 1: you want to age, like fine wine, like Joe Lacy 33 00:01:16,440 --> 00:01:20,199 Speaker 1: and Joey p Today we're gonna continue on looking again. 34 00:01:20,600 --> 00:01:23,080 Speaker 1: Numbers against the spread of the over unders. Our favorite 35 00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:25,400 Speaker 1: money line picks all the above. So if you haven't 36 00:01:25,400 --> 00:01:28,120 Speaker 1: already made sure you subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube 37 00:01:28,200 --> 00:01:30,960 Speaker 1: channel while you're watching here, or if you're listening, run 38 00:01:30,959 --> 00:01:33,120 Speaker 1: over to YouTube and subscribe. Drop a comment below too, 39 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:35,000 Speaker 1: because we love to hear from you guys what you're 40 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:36,720 Speaker 1: in on this week in Week seven in the NFL. 41 00:01:36,760 --> 00:01:39,400 Speaker 1: So drop those comments because remember, if you subscribe and 42 00:01:39,440 --> 00:01:41,000 Speaker 1: drop the comment below, you have a chance to win 43 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:43,120 Speaker 1: free stuff. We just gave away the Odell Beckham jersey, 44 00:01:43,120 --> 00:01:46,320 Speaker 1: and now we're giving away Robert Tunyan's jersey. That's right, 45 00:01:46,360 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 1: he doesn't need it, so we're giving it away to you. 46 00:01:49,080 --> 00:01:50,960 Speaker 1: It's autographed, its signed by Robert Tunya. 47 00:01:51,080 --> 00:01:51,360 Speaker 3: Win this. 48 00:01:51,440 --> 00:01:53,880 Speaker 1: Give it to a Packer fan friend of yours the 49 00:01:53,920 --> 00:01:56,880 Speaker 1: holidays are coming. Makes a fun gift. I'm telling you 50 00:01:56,880 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 1: you want this one. And if again you just subscribe 51 00:02:00,000 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 1: and click that little belt to it goes in, you'll 52 00:02:01,640 --> 00:02:04,400 Speaker 1: know if you're the big winner of our latest giveaway. 53 00:02:04,520 --> 00:02:07,640 Speaker 1: All right, gentlemen, it's time to get to work. Joe Lacy, 54 00:02:07,680 --> 00:02:09,840 Speaker 1: you're our guest. Let's talk about week seven. What's the 55 00:02:09,840 --> 00:02:12,720 Speaker 1: first pick that you have that you're in on this week? 56 00:02:13,360 --> 00:02:16,520 Speaker 4: Well, yeah, it took a while to break these down, 57 00:02:16,600 --> 00:02:19,480 Speaker 4: but these I actually feel pretty good. You know, look 58 00:02:19,480 --> 00:02:21,600 Speaker 4: at the line right now with Cleveland minus two and 59 00:02:21,680 --> 00:02:25,239 Speaker 4: a half in this ballgame. I was completely impressed the 60 00:02:25,320 --> 00:02:28,560 Speaker 4: way the front seven played last week against Brock Prody. 61 00:02:28,639 --> 00:02:31,480 Speaker 4: They shut down the run. Now, granted, McCaffrey did get 62 00:02:31,480 --> 00:02:34,240 Speaker 4: his yards and hit paid dirt, but in my opinion, 63 00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:37,919 Speaker 4: I thought they played lights out. Forced turnovers gave their 64 00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:41,800 Speaker 4: offense an opportunity for short fields with p J. Walker, 65 00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:44,919 Speaker 4: and even if Deshaun Watson doesn't go, I don't care. 66 00:02:45,040 --> 00:02:48,320 Speaker 4: The interior line player of the Cleveland Browns is where 67 00:02:48,639 --> 00:02:50,840 Speaker 4: I think this pick is. Even if it crept over 68 00:02:51,240 --> 00:02:54,160 Speaker 4: the three and a half point level, I would still 69 00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:56,600 Speaker 4: lay it with the Cleveland Browns. Just not a big 70 00:02:56,639 --> 00:03:01,120 Speaker 4: believer in terms of Indianapolis. I understand over eat expectations 71 00:03:01,200 --> 00:03:03,800 Speaker 4: right now, but Gardner Minshew is a quarterback that you 72 00:03:03,880 --> 00:03:05,720 Speaker 4: know where he's going to be. I think they could 73 00:03:05,720 --> 00:03:10,000 Speaker 4: get quarterback pressures, forced turnovers unlaying it with the Cleveland Browns. Guys. 74 00:03:10,200 --> 00:03:12,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, I like that call too. The under for this 75 00:03:12,760 --> 00:03:15,280 Speaker 1: game actually made my Picks of the Week, Joe, because 76 00:03:15,320 --> 00:03:18,519 Speaker 1: I feel like, again the Cleveland Browns defense been so good. 77 00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:20,799 Speaker 1: If Deshaun Watson doesn't play again, this could be a 78 00:03:20,840 --> 00:03:23,119 Speaker 1: little bit of a drag in terms of offense, maybe 79 00:03:23,160 --> 00:03:25,520 Speaker 1: on both sides of the football for both of these teams. 80 00:03:25,600 --> 00:03:29,160 Speaker 1: So interesting game here, and I think you nailed it, dude. 81 00:03:29,240 --> 00:03:33,000 Speaker 1: The Cleveland Browns defense is absolutely one hundred percent for real, 82 00:03:33,520 --> 00:03:36,600 Speaker 1: and that was the coming out party officially for everybody 83 00:03:36,600 --> 00:03:38,280 Speaker 1: to take notice of it. Now all of us we 84 00:03:38,360 --> 00:03:41,120 Speaker 1: recognized it, we were talking about it, but they got 85 00:03:41,160 --> 00:03:43,280 Speaker 1: a real test with san Fran and they passed with 86 00:03:43,320 --> 00:03:46,800 Speaker 1: flying colors in a difficult situation too. Andrew Erickson Week 87 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:48,680 Speaker 1: sevens upon us, what do you have for the people? 88 00:03:49,840 --> 00:03:52,680 Speaker 3: I'm back in the pack Packers money line for me 89 00:03:52,880 --> 00:03:56,440 Speaker 3: over the Denver Broncos. The Denver Broncos defense played well 90 00:03:56,480 --> 00:03:58,200 Speaker 3: on Thursday night against the Chiefs, but I'm going to 91 00:03:58,280 --> 00:03:59,880 Speaker 3: chock it up to being a weird game played on 92 00:04:00,040 --> 00:04:03,400 Speaker 3: Thursday division rivals. That's not gonna be the case here 93 00:04:03,440 --> 00:04:06,920 Speaker 3: in this particular matchup, because Green Bay has the weapons, 94 00:04:06,960 --> 00:04:10,760 Speaker 3: specifically with Christian Watson, to expose what's been killing the 95 00:04:10,760 --> 00:04:13,240 Speaker 3: Broncos this year, and that's been big plays. The Chiefs 96 00:04:13,360 --> 00:04:15,600 Speaker 3: don't generate big plays on offense because of the personnel 97 00:04:15,640 --> 00:04:18,599 Speaker 3: they have. The Packers all year have been trying to 98 00:04:18,640 --> 00:04:21,120 Speaker 3: dial up big plays like it's left and right George. 99 00:04:21,560 --> 00:04:24,000 Speaker 3: They're launching balls down the field with Jordan Love, who 100 00:04:24,000 --> 00:04:26,919 Speaker 3: has the fourth highest deep ball rate in the NFL, 101 00:04:27,200 --> 00:04:29,320 Speaker 3: but he is the fourth worst completion rate on those 102 00:04:29,360 --> 00:04:32,159 Speaker 3: deep balls. Eventually, you're gonna see some regression kick in. 103 00:04:32,480 --> 00:04:34,400 Speaker 3: Christian Watson is back to a full time role, he's 104 00:04:34,400 --> 00:04:36,839 Speaker 3: fully off the injury report, and what better defense to 105 00:04:36,880 --> 00:04:39,200 Speaker 3: do it again than the defense allowing the second most 106 00:04:39,200 --> 00:04:42,960 Speaker 3: explosive plays per game than the Denver Broncos. So I 107 00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:45,120 Speaker 3: think that the Packers' offense gets back on track to 108 00:04:45,120 --> 00:04:46,840 Speaker 3: what we saw during the beginning of the season when 109 00:04:46,839 --> 00:04:49,520 Speaker 3: they started out really hot. Denver's ozer and six versus spread. 110 00:04:49,560 --> 00:04:51,600 Speaker 3: This year, they're winning five straight up and their only 111 00:04:51,640 --> 00:04:53,159 Speaker 3: win came against the Bears in. 112 00:04:53,200 --> 00:04:54,200 Speaker 2: A game they should have lost. 113 00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:57,360 Speaker 3: So I'm gonna just continue to fade the Denver Broncos 114 00:04:57,680 --> 00:05:00,520 Speaker 3: overrated team. They've been over rats and Shawn's payton there, 115 00:05:00,680 --> 00:05:03,960 Speaker 3: it's been profitable. Just keep betting against the Denver Broncos's 116 00:05:04,000 --> 00:05:05,960 Speaker 3: and I'm gonna keep doing it. So I'm going with 117 00:05:06,000 --> 00:05:07,920 Speaker 3: the Packers here, who are coming off a bye week. 118 00:05:08,120 --> 00:05:11,280 Speaker 3: They're healthier in their secondary, on their offensive line. I 119 00:05:11,400 --> 00:05:12,960 Speaker 3: think it's a get right spot for Green bet. 120 00:05:13,000 --> 00:05:16,120 Speaker 1: I like that you mentioned Kristian Watson because again that 121 00:05:16,200 --> 00:05:18,600 Speaker 1: is he's such an explosive player. If you're in on 122 00:05:18,640 --> 00:05:21,479 Speaker 1: this Packers bet here with Andrew, I think you do 123 00:05:21,560 --> 00:05:24,200 Speaker 1: that little skiddy parlay, you know, that double up that 124 00:05:24,240 --> 00:05:26,640 Speaker 1: we talk about sometimes of taking our favorite prop along 125 00:05:26,640 --> 00:05:28,680 Speaker 1: with you know, a piece of the game. I think 126 00:05:28,720 --> 00:05:30,960 Speaker 1: it's the Watson over on the receiving yards and again 127 00:05:31,000 --> 00:05:34,520 Speaker 1: specifically receiving yards and not receptions, because you don't know 128 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:36,640 Speaker 1: how many looks he's gonna get, but you know he 129 00:05:36,760 --> 00:05:40,000 Speaker 1: just needs one to really make it a special moment. 130 00:05:40,080 --> 00:05:41,880 Speaker 3: I mean last week, in the last game he played, 131 00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:45,000 Speaker 3: he saw one hundred and seventy air yards. He had 132 00:05:45,000 --> 00:05:47,240 Speaker 3: like eighty percent of the team's total are yard. It's 133 00:05:47,279 --> 00:05:50,159 Speaker 3: like it's gonna converge trying to acquire against every defense. 134 00:05:50,200 --> 00:05:52,200 Speaker 1: I've sent out trades everywhere for him. I don't think 135 00:05:52,200 --> 00:05:54,280 Speaker 1: I'm gonna get him anywhere, but you know, you can't 136 00:05:54,279 --> 00:05:55,920 Speaker 1: fault me for trying. The other thing you should all 137 00:05:55,920 --> 00:05:57,960 Speaker 1: try and do also is make sure you make all 138 00:05:58,000 --> 00:05:59,720 Speaker 1: these picks count. And the way you do that is 139 00:05:59,720 --> 00:06:03,040 Speaker 1: by going to bettingpros dot Com, Slash and NFL Contest Again, 140 00:06:03,120 --> 00:06:05,200 Speaker 1: it's free to join. Gambling does not have to be 141 00:06:05,279 --> 00:06:07,960 Speaker 1: legal in your state. You're just making picks having fun. 142 00:06:08,400 --> 00:06:11,200 Speaker 1: Joining us. Download the VP app, go to the community 143 00:06:11,279 --> 00:06:13,480 Speaker 1: tap join the NFL contest and you could win a 144 00:06:13,600 --> 00:06:16,960 Speaker 1: Jackson Smith and Jigba autograph jersey. That's the grand prize again, 145 00:06:17,000 --> 00:06:19,200 Speaker 1: five picks a week, one hundred picks on the season. 146 00:06:19,560 --> 00:06:22,600 Speaker 1: But if you're saying, oh, Joe, it's the nineteenth of October, 147 00:06:22,680 --> 00:06:25,560 Speaker 1: how can I possibly win? Well, we're still doing weekly prizes, 148 00:06:25,640 --> 00:06:29,480 Speaker 1: monthly prizes, upgrades to Betting Pros Premium to Fantasy Pros Premium, 149 00:06:29,760 --> 00:06:32,880 Speaker 1: and swag from our shops at both of those places. Hats, 150 00:06:32,920 --> 00:06:35,599 Speaker 1: t shirts, you name it, We've got it. So go ahead, 151 00:06:35,640 --> 00:06:38,240 Speaker 1: get in there Bettingpros dot Com slash NFL contest. Join 152 00:06:38,320 --> 00:06:41,040 Speaker 1: that bad boy today. Speaking of bad boys, Joe Lacy, 153 00:06:41,360 --> 00:06:44,360 Speaker 1: the bad boy of Central Jersey. We all know that 154 00:06:44,480 --> 00:06:48,800 Speaker 1: the reputation, the reputation precedes you, Joe, So let's go 155 00:06:48,880 --> 00:06:51,640 Speaker 1: to your number two pick on the list for week seven. 156 00:06:52,240 --> 00:06:54,360 Speaker 4: Well, let's keep it in state then, And this game 157 00:06:54,480 --> 00:06:57,600 Speaker 4: is ugly Washington on the road against the New York Giants. Right, 158 00:06:57,640 --> 00:07:00,800 Speaker 4: Giants get the covers of fifteen and a half point dog. 159 00:07:01,040 --> 00:07:05,400 Speaker 4: Terrible decision by Tyron Taylor Kafka Dable whoever made that 160 00:07:05,440 --> 00:07:07,680 Speaker 4: call at the end of the first half cost the 161 00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:09,880 Speaker 4: New York Giants top ball game. But I'm not sold 162 00:07:09,920 --> 00:07:13,280 Speaker 4: on Ron Rivera. I did pick the Commanders over Atlanta 163 00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:15,720 Speaker 4: last week. I'm just not sold on in terms of 164 00:07:15,760 --> 00:07:17,920 Speaker 4: des Ritter. I know we broke out two weeks ago 165 00:07:18,280 --> 00:07:21,480 Speaker 4: a little inconsistent. I thought Sam Howell and more importantly, 166 00:07:21,520 --> 00:07:24,280 Speaker 4: the defense could catch Atlanta. In terms of a look 167 00:07:24,280 --> 00:07:27,720 Speaker 4: at spot, I like the Giants here. I am not 168 00:07:27,880 --> 00:07:30,560 Speaker 4: sold on Ron Rivera in a big spot. I know 169 00:07:30,640 --> 00:07:34,600 Speaker 4: they have more explosiveness in regards to the Washington side, 170 00:07:34,880 --> 00:07:37,520 Speaker 4: but I think the physicality in the New York Giants 171 00:07:37,520 --> 00:07:39,920 Speaker 4: playing at home, I think they're able to run it 172 00:07:39,960 --> 00:07:43,280 Speaker 4: on the front seven of Washington. Saquan had a huge 173 00:07:43,320 --> 00:07:46,680 Speaker 4: performance in the second half in ninety three yards. I 174 00:07:46,800 --> 00:07:50,280 Speaker 4: liked the mobility of Tyrod Taylor, and I actually believe 175 00:07:50,640 --> 00:07:53,600 Speaker 4: even though we sucked last week, Brian Dable is a 176 00:07:53,680 --> 00:07:56,520 Speaker 4: much better head coach than Ron Rivera. Give me the 177 00:07:56,560 --> 00:08:00,320 Speaker 4: Giants and the upset. Typically they step up against the man. 178 00:08:00,360 --> 00:08:03,080 Speaker 4: There's especially in met life. I like them to step 179 00:08:03,160 --> 00:08:03,560 Speaker 4: up here. 180 00:08:03,760 --> 00:08:05,600 Speaker 1: You know, I've been struggling with this game all week, 181 00:08:05,720 --> 00:08:07,640 Speaker 1: so I'm glad to hear you talk about it with 182 00:08:07,680 --> 00:08:10,200 Speaker 1: such confidence. And the thing that I do like is 183 00:08:10,240 --> 00:08:13,160 Speaker 1: the way the Giants defense performed and the Washington commanders 184 00:08:13,160 --> 00:08:14,440 Speaker 1: give up a lot of sacks. If he can get 185 00:08:14,440 --> 00:08:17,080 Speaker 1: to the quarterback, you can flush him out. Sam Howell 186 00:08:17,440 --> 00:08:19,800 Speaker 1: is our own betting pro Scott Bobbin loves to call 187 00:08:19,880 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 1: him Jekyl and Howell. He will pro picks, he will 188 00:08:22,520 --> 00:08:25,520 Speaker 1: make mistakes, he will rush the football sometimes. How much 189 00:08:25,520 --> 00:08:27,760 Speaker 1: of the defensive performance from what you saw against the 190 00:08:27,760 --> 00:08:31,280 Speaker 1: Bills you think can carry over to this game against Washington, Well, it's. 191 00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:33,480 Speaker 4: Not just the Bills. Look at the turnovers day forced 192 00:08:33,559 --> 00:08:36,640 Speaker 4: against two or two weeks throughout three interceptions. So if 193 00:08:37,000 --> 00:08:38,800 Speaker 4: I died, it is the biggest thing too, I think 194 00:08:38,880 --> 00:08:42,200 Speaker 4: is that with Martindale, from a defensive perspective, will call 195 00:08:42,280 --> 00:08:45,840 Speaker 4: a lot of different coverages to force Sam Howell to 196 00:08:45,920 --> 00:08:49,080 Speaker 4: break it down and on the road. Hopefully the fan 197 00:08:49,160 --> 00:08:51,960 Speaker 4: base is involved in terms of this matchup and ball game. 198 00:08:52,280 --> 00:08:55,120 Speaker 4: It is an NFC matchup, so I think that adds 199 00:08:55,160 --> 00:08:57,559 Speaker 4: a little more spice to this to this ball game 200 00:08:57,600 --> 00:08:59,840 Speaker 4: as well. And you know, again it comes down to 201 00:08:59,880 --> 00:09:02,640 Speaker 4: the coaches. I believe more in Dable than I believe 202 00:09:02,720 --> 00:09:06,680 Speaker 4: more and Ron Rivera, even though they're over exceeding expectations 203 00:09:06,760 --> 00:09:09,760 Speaker 4: right now. I believe in in Tyrod Taylor and as 204 00:09:09,800 --> 00:09:13,319 Speaker 4: long as Barkley's there to run the football staying manageable. 205 00:09:13,360 --> 00:09:16,199 Speaker 4: Third downs, and I think somehow, some way they catch 206 00:09:16,480 --> 00:09:19,920 Speaker 4: the upset again. They're catching three, they're not laying it. 207 00:09:20,160 --> 00:09:22,360 Speaker 4: So that's why I favor the giants at home here. 208 00:09:22,520 --> 00:09:25,160 Speaker 1: I like it. Good stuff there, all right, Wink Erickson, 209 00:09:25,280 --> 00:09:27,080 Speaker 1: let's get back to you instead. How come you don't 210 00:09:27,080 --> 00:09:29,160 Speaker 1: have a cool nickname like Wink. I mean, I guess 211 00:09:29,160 --> 00:09:31,200 Speaker 1: the prop profit or BP is pretty good. I mean, 212 00:09:31,240 --> 00:09:33,320 Speaker 1: you did get a T shirt, you know, big body 213 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:35,720 Speaker 1: T shirt. Well, Joe, they call him big Pod Energy, 214 00:09:35,760 --> 00:09:38,200 Speaker 1: this guy, right or he calls himself that I should say. 215 00:09:38,520 --> 00:09:41,320 Speaker 1: And you know, he gets a T shirt made. And 216 00:09:41,320 --> 00:09:42,959 Speaker 1: I still I've been here three years, they still have 217 00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:45,000 Speaker 1: a T shirt made for any of my nonsense. I'm 218 00:09:45,000 --> 00:09:47,840 Speaker 1: just saying, get in jelly, getting jelly over here, ericson, 219 00:09:48,000 --> 00:09:50,000 Speaker 1: All right, give us another pick here, make up for it. 220 00:09:50,720 --> 00:09:53,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm looking at you know, talking about Desmond Ritter 221 00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:56,559 Speaker 3: Falcons bucks under thirty seven and a half. Look, I 222 00:09:56,559 --> 00:10:00,320 Speaker 3: think that both these defenses are really underrated. Atlanta's defense 223 00:10:00,480 --> 00:10:03,280 Speaker 3: sixth best, red zone unit, second best in terms of 224 00:10:03,320 --> 00:10:06,160 Speaker 3: third down conversion rate allowed. On defense, they're five and 225 00:10:06,200 --> 00:10:08,520 Speaker 3: one towards the under the season. The Atlanta Falcons the 226 00:10:08,520 --> 00:10:11,080 Speaker 3: Buccaneers are four and one towards the under. They have 227 00:10:11,120 --> 00:10:13,640 Speaker 3: the number one red zone defense. And the biggest trend 228 00:10:13,679 --> 00:10:16,120 Speaker 3: I've been following when it comes to Desmond Ritter is 229 00:10:16,559 --> 00:10:19,520 Speaker 3: him on the road for sim at home, and even 230 00:10:19,640 --> 00:10:21,920 Speaker 3: last week, as bad as he played, they still had 231 00:10:22,280 --> 00:10:23,120 Speaker 3: three chances to. 232 00:10:23,120 --> 00:10:23,800 Speaker 2: Cover in that game. 233 00:10:23,880 --> 00:10:26,439 Speaker 3: They did up the ball three times down eight points 234 00:10:26,480 --> 00:10:28,920 Speaker 3: in the fourth quarter with a chance to do something 235 00:10:28,920 --> 00:10:31,640 Speaker 3: with it, and they did. But that's the fact that 236 00:10:31,679 --> 00:10:34,160 Speaker 3: Rider does usually play better at home. If he's done 237 00:10:34,160 --> 00:10:36,040 Speaker 3: that at the college level, he's done at the professional level, 238 00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:39,800 Speaker 3: But now that he's on the road, hostile environment against 239 00:10:39,840 --> 00:10:42,520 Speaker 3: Tampa Bay, who already has again the number one red 240 00:10:42,600 --> 00:10:46,040 Speaker 3: zone defense, I have no faith that this game is 241 00:10:46,080 --> 00:10:48,120 Speaker 3: going to go over thirty seven and a half, both 242 00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:50,240 Speaker 3: top red zone defenses, so I'm going to take the 243 00:10:50,280 --> 00:10:51,400 Speaker 3: under thirty seven and a half. 244 00:10:51,440 --> 00:10:53,400 Speaker 1: This is an interesting one here too, because this is 245 00:10:53,400 --> 00:10:55,440 Speaker 1: a very important division game for those of us who 246 00:10:55,480 --> 00:10:57,320 Speaker 1: have money on the Falcons to win this division. I 247 00:10:57,320 --> 00:10:59,680 Speaker 1: can tell you we'll be rooting very heartily for the 248 00:10:59,679 --> 00:11:02,680 Speaker 1: Falcons right now on Sunday, that's for sure. But you 249 00:11:02,720 --> 00:11:05,280 Speaker 1: make some good points there against Desmond, Rider do you think, 250 00:11:06,360 --> 00:11:08,800 Speaker 1: how short I should say, is the leash for Desmond 251 00:11:08,840 --> 00:11:10,160 Speaker 1: Rinder in your opinion erics? And I know that there 252 00:11:10,160 --> 00:11:12,440 Speaker 1: was a disappointing loss last week at home, but this 253 00:11:12,559 --> 00:11:14,960 Speaker 1: division is still very up for Grasbury winnable. How short 254 00:11:15,000 --> 00:11:16,880 Speaker 1: is that leash? Like how many losses does it take 255 00:11:16,920 --> 00:11:20,240 Speaker 1: for the Heinekey chatterer to really start to pick up stream. 256 00:11:21,600 --> 00:11:22,520 Speaker 2: I feel like it's gonna be. 257 00:11:22,920 --> 00:11:24,840 Speaker 3: I feel like it's kind of kind of long, honestly, 258 00:11:24,920 --> 00:11:27,360 Speaker 3: Like think about like Marcus Mariota last year, Like how 259 00:11:27,400 --> 00:11:30,720 Speaker 3: long did they stay with Marcus Mariota before they went? 260 00:11:32,720 --> 00:11:34,560 Speaker 3: But they still did it so and it was the 261 00:11:34,600 --> 00:11:37,360 Speaker 3: same coaching staff. And I know in last week's game, 262 00:11:37,360 --> 00:11:39,040 Speaker 3: they kept paying to Arthur Smith and he's just like 263 00:11:39,040 --> 00:11:41,160 Speaker 3: holding his head up and he's like, oh my god, 264 00:11:41,160 --> 00:11:44,160 Speaker 3: I can't believe my quarterback just did that again. So 265 00:11:44,960 --> 00:11:46,680 Speaker 3: I like to think that maybe they go to Heinike 266 00:11:46,880 --> 00:11:48,880 Speaker 3: at some point, But I mean, we know what Heineke 267 00:11:49,040 --> 00:11:51,000 Speaker 3: is at this point, Like he's a plucky backup that 268 00:11:51,440 --> 00:11:53,400 Speaker 3: you want to start because he can get you a 269 00:11:53,400 --> 00:11:55,959 Speaker 3: win or two, like get you through your quarterback being injured. 270 00:11:55,960 --> 00:11:59,080 Speaker 3: He's not a long term answer at the position. So 271 00:11:59,520 --> 00:12:01,800 Speaker 3: I think that they're gonna probably ride with Rheta until 272 00:12:01,840 --> 00:12:02,760 Speaker 3: the wheels fall off. 273 00:12:02,800 --> 00:12:04,880 Speaker 1: I realized I dropped a welshism. I said pick up 274 00:12:04,920 --> 00:12:08,000 Speaker 1: stream instead of pick up steam. So Welsh will be 275 00:12:08,120 --> 00:12:09,480 Speaker 1: very proud by the way. Welsh will be on the 276 00:12:09,480 --> 00:12:11,800 Speaker 1: Prop show tomorrow speaking of the Welsh. That's what happens 277 00:12:11,840 --> 00:12:13,640 Speaker 1: when you hang out with people you know who say 278 00:12:13,800 --> 00:12:16,400 Speaker 1: dumb things too much. My good friend Welsh, now you 279 00:12:16,400 --> 00:12:19,120 Speaker 1: start to sound and pick up your own welshism. This 280 00:12:19,160 --> 00:12:21,280 Speaker 1: is a problem. All right, let's get back to you, Joe. 281 00:12:21,320 --> 00:12:22,600 Speaker 1: Give us another pick for week seven. 282 00:12:22,640 --> 00:12:25,960 Speaker 4: What do you have going four o'clock window, I'm going 283 00:12:26,040 --> 00:12:29,120 Speaker 4: out west. It's an interconference game. You got Pittsburgh on 284 00:12:29,120 --> 00:12:31,320 Speaker 4: the road to face off against Matt Stafford and the 285 00:12:31,480 --> 00:12:34,160 Speaker 4: La Rams lay in three. I like the Rams in 286 00:12:34,200 --> 00:12:36,200 Speaker 4: this ball game. I mean to me, I think it's 287 00:12:36,200 --> 00:12:38,880 Speaker 4: the right side. Cooper Cup steps up with one hundred 288 00:12:38,920 --> 00:12:43,160 Speaker 4: yard performance. Pooka Nakula even though he was contained last week. 289 00:12:43,240 --> 00:12:46,320 Speaker 4: I think they could attack the secondary over the top. 290 00:12:46,360 --> 00:12:49,040 Speaker 4: In terms of the Steelers, everybody talks about the Steelers, 291 00:12:49,280 --> 00:12:51,959 Speaker 4: and rightfully so in terms of TJ. Watt, but they 292 00:12:52,000 --> 00:12:54,160 Speaker 4: give up a ton of yards each and every week, 293 00:12:54,280 --> 00:12:56,720 Speaker 4: especially in the back end. A couple of weeks ago 294 00:12:56,760 --> 00:13:00,200 Speaker 4: on Prime Time, Jimmy Garoppolo attacked them. Davonte Yadam has 295 00:13:00,200 --> 00:13:02,720 Speaker 4: had a bucks seventy two in terms of that matchup. 296 00:13:02,760 --> 00:13:05,520 Speaker 4: Even though they lost. I like the rushing attack. Even 297 00:13:05,559 --> 00:13:08,600 Speaker 4: though Kyron Williams out, I still think the offensive line 298 00:13:08,640 --> 00:13:11,680 Speaker 4: is playing well, and I'm not sold about the offensive 299 00:13:11,679 --> 00:13:14,760 Speaker 4: identity for Pittsburgh. They're gonna need to run the football 300 00:13:14,760 --> 00:13:17,400 Speaker 4: on Aaron Donald in the front seven, and that's where 301 00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:19,760 Speaker 4: I have a concern. Right even though they're coming out 302 00:13:19,760 --> 00:13:22,839 Speaker 4: of a bye week, na Jay Harris Jalen Warren a 303 00:13:22,920 --> 00:13:26,480 Speaker 4: little bit inconsistent. That offensive line hasn't been there, and 304 00:13:26,559 --> 00:13:31,160 Speaker 4: the LA Rams secondary is basically holding opposing offenses and 305 00:13:31,280 --> 00:13:34,360 Speaker 4: quarterbacks to right around two hundred and fifteen passing yarge 306 00:13:34,360 --> 00:13:37,160 Speaker 4: per game if they put them into long third downs. 307 00:13:37,440 --> 00:13:40,839 Speaker 4: I think that favors the defense. I love LA. This 308 00:13:40,880 --> 00:13:43,320 Speaker 4: is one of my better picks. Maybe I'm wrong, but 309 00:13:43,600 --> 00:13:46,120 Speaker 4: I like the Rams at home Saturday afternoon. 310 00:13:46,200 --> 00:13:47,800 Speaker 1: I like the Rams at home too. I know they're 311 00:13:47,800 --> 00:13:50,199 Speaker 1: getting Deontay Johnson back on the side of the Pittsburgh 312 00:13:50,200 --> 00:13:52,280 Speaker 1: Steelers but I'm with you, Joe, which is you've been 313 00:13:52,280 --> 00:13:54,640 Speaker 1: able to throw in this team all day long, and 314 00:13:54,760 --> 00:13:56,400 Speaker 1: with the injuries they've had the running back position. I 315 00:13:56,400 --> 00:13:59,200 Speaker 1: think that's all the Rams can do and want to do, so, 316 00:13:59,400 --> 00:14:03,400 Speaker 1: I'm sure on the DFS show, Derek Brown and are 317 00:14:03,400 --> 00:14:05,760 Speaker 1: going to talk quite a bit about the Rams and 318 00:14:05,840 --> 00:14:07,880 Speaker 1: quite a bit about Puka as well as Cooper Cupp, 319 00:14:07,920 --> 00:14:10,240 Speaker 1: who is the highest price wide receiver with Chase and 320 00:14:10,280 --> 00:14:13,000 Speaker 1: Jefferson not available on the board anymore, so it might 321 00:14:13,040 --> 00:14:14,360 Speaker 1: be one of those weeks to pay up for him 322 00:14:14,400 --> 00:14:16,400 Speaker 1: with this matchup we've got here. All right, let's get 323 00:14:16,400 --> 00:14:19,400 Speaker 1: to another one of Ericson's picks for Week three. I 324 00:14:19,400 --> 00:14:21,680 Speaker 1: feel like you're kind of continuing all of the theme 325 00:14:21,720 --> 00:14:22,240 Speaker 1: here Rickson. 326 00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:24,880 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm just going right back to the Buccaneers and 327 00:14:24,960 --> 00:14:27,240 Speaker 3: Falcons a game, just taking the Buccaneers minus two and 328 00:14:27,280 --> 00:14:30,400 Speaker 3: a half. Look Atlanta. Here about the road stats. So 329 00:14:30,400 --> 00:14:32,120 Speaker 3: they've averaged six and a half points per game on 330 00:14:32,160 --> 00:14:34,880 Speaker 3: the road this year, but less than a touchdown. Again, 331 00:14:35,080 --> 00:14:37,520 Speaker 3: just going back to how Ritter has played on the road, 332 00:14:37,920 --> 00:14:40,720 Speaker 3: Tampa Bay the number one red zone defense. I don't 333 00:14:40,760 --> 00:14:43,880 Speaker 3: think that the the the Falcons are really going to 334 00:14:43,920 --> 00:14:46,160 Speaker 3: score that much, Like, I really don't think that's gonna happen. 335 00:14:46,200 --> 00:14:48,480 Speaker 3: And the biggest thing here is too is turnover margin. 336 00:14:48,680 --> 00:14:50,480 Speaker 3: You know, the reason why Tampa Bay has been successful 337 00:14:50,480 --> 00:14:52,320 Speaker 3: with Baker Mayfield a lot of the season is because 338 00:14:52,320 --> 00:14:55,200 Speaker 3: their defense is generating a lot of turnovers and Baker 339 00:14:55,200 --> 00:14:57,720 Speaker 3: Mayfield is not turning the ball over himself. Tampa Bay's 340 00:14:57,720 --> 00:15:01,360 Speaker 3: second and plus turnover margin, the Falcons twenty seventh in 341 00:15:01,440 --> 00:15:02,120 Speaker 3: that category. 342 00:15:02,360 --> 00:15:05,320 Speaker 2: Desmon Ritter is ranked third and turnover worthy play rate. 343 00:15:05,520 --> 00:15:09,120 Speaker 3: He has fourteen turnover worthy plays this season, so combined 344 00:15:09,160 --> 00:15:13,120 Speaker 3: between interceptions and fumbles, not necessarily interceptions and fubms that 345 00:15:13,120 --> 00:15:15,520 Speaker 3: actually happen, but ones that should have happened. We've played 346 00:15:15,560 --> 00:15:19,120 Speaker 3: six games, he has fourteen of them. Like, there's going 347 00:15:19,160 --> 00:15:21,440 Speaker 3: to be the turnover battle one I think by Tampa 348 00:15:21,440 --> 00:15:23,280 Speaker 3: Bay and ultimately it's going to put them over the 349 00:15:23,280 --> 00:15:25,360 Speaker 3: top to win by a field goal here at home. 350 00:15:25,440 --> 00:15:28,520 Speaker 3: So and they can also stop the Falcons run game. 351 00:15:28,640 --> 00:15:31,120 Speaker 3: That's the other big thing. So if the Falcons are 352 00:15:31,160 --> 00:15:33,680 Speaker 3: behind and you're putting the ball in Desert Ridder's hands, like, 353 00:15:33,680 --> 00:15:34,880 Speaker 3: that's a bet I want to be making. 354 00:15:34,880 --> 00:15:36,400 Speaker 2: I think that's what's going to happen in this matchup. 355 00:15:36,520 --> 00:15:39,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, good stuff there, all right, So you're very invested 356 00:15:39,160 --> 00:15:41,240 Speaker 1: in this game, So there you go. Well, ericson will 357 00:15:41,280 --> 00:15:43,240 Speaker 1: be glued to the TV on Sunday for this one. 358 00:15:43,520 --> 00:15:45,520 Speaker 1: Let's get to another one here before we do, just 359 00:15:45,560 --> 00:15:48,880 Speaker 1: quick reminder, as you continue to look through these games 360 00:15:48,920 --> 00:15:52,640 Speaker 1: and watching these lines, set those Betting Pros app alerts 361 00:15:52,680 --> 00:15:55,520 Speaker 1: to the app. Line alerts, the game notifications you can 362 00:15:55,600 --> 00:15:58,160 Speaker 1: find specific games. Don't forget when you download the Betting 363 00:15:58,200 --> 00:16:00,920 Speaker 1: Pros app, you could set the game notification, track them 364 00:16:01,280 --> 00:16:03,480 Speaker 1: as line movement happens, and then jump in whenever you 365 00:16:03,520 --> 00:16:05,640 Speaker 1: want to jump in, whenever you think the value is best. 366 00:16:05,640 --> 00:16:08,120 Speaker 1: That's the beauty of the Betting Pros apps. So make 367 00:16:08,160 --> 00:16:09,920 Speaker 1: sure you're utilizing all the tools here to help you 368 00:16:09,960 --> 00:16:12,560 Speaker 1: be successful, along with the podcast, along with all the 369 00:16:12,560 --> 00:16:15,120 Speaker 1: written content here. And if you haven't, go check out 370 00:16:15,200 --> 00:16:18,080 Speaker 1: Erics and stuff every single week and everybody's content over here. 371 00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:20,760 Speaker 1: The college guys are crushing it. Erics is crushing it. 372 00:16:20,880 --> 00:16:23,520 Speaker 1: Go check out the written content on Betting Pros as well. 373 00:16:23,880 --> 00:16:26,640 Speaker 1: Joe Lacy, you and I are more talkers, so let's 374 00:16:26,680 --> 00:16:28,920 Speaker 1: get back to talking. So let's talk about another pick 375 00:16:28,960 --> 00:16:30,120 Speaker 1: that you have here for week seven. 376 00:16:30,800 --> 00:16:34,240 Speaker 4: Yeah, interesting, right. We saw Lamar Jackson get to win 377 00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:37,640 Speaker 4: in terms of London last week, and again he started fast. 378 00:16:37,640 --> 00:16:40,840 Speaker 4: He completes eight of eleven basically one hundred and thirteen 379 00:16:40,920 --> 00:16:43,880 Speaker 4: yards in the first half, and they go more conservative 380 00:16:43,960 --> 00:16:47,040 Speaker 4: in the second half and allow Tennessee back into that ballgame. 381 00:16:47,680 --> 00:16:51,680 Speaker 4: John Harbaugh settles he's got a fourth to one inside 382 00:16:51,680 --> 00:16:54,240 Speaker 4: the five yard line, inside the three, and the ops 383 00:16:54,280 --> 00:16:56,320 Speaker 4: to kick the field goal. I get it to make 384 00:16:56,320 --> 00:16:58,760 Speaker 4: it an eight score game, eight point game. But you 385 00:16:58,800 --> 00:17:02,600 Speaker 4: have Lamar Jackson, Yeah, you have a second year quarterback 386 00:17:02,640 --> 00:17:05,199 Speaker 4: and Malik Willis that was in the ballgame at that 387 00:17:05,240 --> 00:17:09,320 Speaker 4: particular time. Two conservative, They cannot play that way against 388 00:17:09,359 --> 00:17:12,880 Speaker 4: the Detroit Lions. But I do feel Lamore could break out, 389 00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:16,080 Speaker 4: not just on the ground, through the air against the secondary. 390 00:17:16,119 --> 00:17:19,520 Speaker 4: For the Lions, they dominated Baker Mayfield last week. The 391 00:17:19,640 --> 00:17:22,720 Speaker 4: rushing attack was non existent. I think they throw it 392 00:17:22,760 --> 00:17:24,600 Speaker 4: to run it later in the ballgame. And I know 393 00:17:24,640 --> 00:17:28,080 Speaker 4: it's Jared Goff. I understand that they're dominating right now, 394 00:17:28,280 --> 00:17:31,639 Speaker 4: but I still am not sold on the secondary of Detroit. 395 00:17:32,040 --> 00:17:35,240 Speaker 4: A big day for Lamar through the air on the ground, 396 00:17:35,320 --> 00:17:38,439 Speaker 4: they cover the three point number at home over the Lions. 397 00:17:38,440 --> 00:17:40,439 Speaker 1: It's a big test for the Lions too, you know, 398 00:17:40,560 --> 00:17:43,240 Speaker 1: to go on the road they see here and see 399 00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:45,240 Speaker 1: how this all works out for them. So I want 400 00:17:45,280 --> 00:17:47,800 Speaker 1: to see how the Lions react. Look so far, they 401 00:17:47,800 --> 00:17:50,800 Speaker 1: have shown up to every big test, so that's good. 402 00:17:50,800 --> 00:17:52,439 Speaker 1: But this is another one here, and now that I'm 403 00:17:52,480 --> 00:17:55,360 Speaker 1: giving Baltimore too much credit, but ericson your next pick 404 00:17:55,400 --> 00:17:57,840 Speaker 1: is also in this same Detroit Baltimore game. 405 00:17:58,680 --> 00:18:00,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, I actually like the over in this game at 406 00:18:00,840 --> 00:18:02,600 Speaker 3: forty two and a half. Now, it feels weird to 407 00:18:02,600 --> 00:18:04,840 Speaker 3: be talking over as in a sea of where unders 408 00:18:04,880 --> 00:18:05,520 Speaker 3: are hitting. 409 00:18:05,359 --> 00:18:06,560 Speaker 2: At an unsustainable rate. 410 00:18:06,680 --> 00:18:09,359 Speaker 3: But I'm just looking at betting on two quarterbacks that 411 00:18:09,359 --> 00:18:12,080 Speaker 3: I think are playing some of their top ball right now. 412 00:18:12,119 --> 00:18:14,840 Speaker 3: So I agree that Lamar Jackson has set up really 413 00:18:14,840 --> 00:18:18,480 Speaker 3: well here against a suspect Detroit secondary. But I also 414 00:18:18,520 --> 00:18:20,200 Speaker 3: think that the Lions can have a lot of success 415 00:18:20,240 --> 00:18:22,359 Speaker 3: on offense as well. They have the number one pass 416 00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:25,520 Speaker 3: blocking unit per PFF. The Ravens have the fourth worst 417 00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:28,359 Speaker 3: pass rush. Like they're going to have time to throw 418 00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:30,159 Speaker 3: the football, and that's where Jared Goff has been so 419 00:18:30,200 --> 00:18:31,760 Speaker 3: good this year. Because he has time in the pocket. 420 00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:34,359 Speaker 3: You give him time and not playing in cold weather, 421 00:18:34,680 --> 00:18:36,480 Speaker 3: and he's gonna dice you up. They couldn't run the 422 00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:38,359 Speaker 3: ball at all last week against the Buccaneers, and what 423 00:18:38,359 --> 00:18:40,240 Speaker 3: did Jared Goff do. He threw for three hundred and 424 00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:42,480 Speaker 3: forty passing yards and they were one dimensional and he 425 00:18:42,560 --> 00:18:44,920 Speaker 3: was still able to get it done with backup running backs. 426 00:18:45,119 --> 00:18:47,040 Speaker 3: So I think that this offense is going to be 427 00:18:47,040 --> 00:18:50,400 Speaker 3: effective because I think the Ravens defense is overrated. Look 428 00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:53,480 Speaker 3: at who they've played. They've played two rookie quarterbacks making 429 00:18:53,480 --> 00:18:57,399 Speaker 3: their first starts and injured Joe Burrow garter Minshew Kenny 430 00:18:57,440 --> 00:19:00,800 Speaker 3: Pickett and Ryan tannel Slash. Milik Willis say last week 431 00:19:00,840 --> 00:19:05,600 Speaker 3: the same thing. It's like they played nobody that's worthy 432 00:19:05,720 --> 00:19:07,680 Speaker 3: of being tested and the only game that's gone over 433 00:19:08,040 --> 00:19:10,639 Speaker 3: for them was against Joe Burrow, the best quarterback they 434 00:19:10,640 --> 00:19:12,640 Speaker 3: have faced, and he wasn't even one hundred percent. So 435 00:19:12,960 --> 00:19:15,320 Speaker 3: I think, again, forty two and a half just betting 436 00:19:15,359 --> 00:19:17,399 Speaker 3: on two quarterbacks that are playing super well. 437 00:19:17,880 --> 00:19:19,080 Speaker 2: I like the over in this spot. 438 00:19:19,240 --> 00:19:21,359 Speaker 1: All right, good argument there for the over. So another 439 00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:24,919 Speaker 1: game here along with that Bucks Falcons matchup Ravens Lions 440 00:19:24,920 --> 00:19:26,359 Speaker 1: got a lot of action, a lot of heat on 441 00:19:26,400 --> 00:19:29,359 Speaker 1: it this week. So let's get to the last ones 442 00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:32,000 Speaker 1: here on the list for the Gentleman for Week seven 443 00:19:32,040 --> 00:19:34,320 Speaker 1: the NFL, Joe Lazy take it away. 444 00:19:35,040 --> 00:19:38,840 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm going maybe old school, but and I'm going contrarian. 445 00:19:39,000 --> 00:19:42,719 Speaker 4: I'm going over Buffalo and New England, and I get it. 446 00:19:42,800 --> 00:19:46,320 Speaker 4: New England's offense is absolutely atrocious. I was actually on 447 00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:49,360 Speaker 4: them catching three and a half last week. The sack 448 00:19:49,520 --> 00:19:52,640 Speaker 4: absolutely killed me with MATC Jones. But here's the thing. 449 00:19:52,680 --> 00:19:56,600 Speaker 4: They took eight minutes guys to score on a touchdown 450 00:19:56,960 --> 00:19:59,399 Speaker 4: in the fourth quarter. Right that did they win sixty 451 00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:02,680 Speaker 4: yards basically eight and a half minutes. That's how pathetic 452 00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:05,239 Speaker 4: they were. They cannot do that in terms of this 453 00:20:05,280 --> 00:20:08,320 Speaker 4: ball game. If they're gonna try to old school at 454 00:20:08,320 --> 00:20:11,400 Speaker 4: the way the Giants did on Sunday night. If I'm Buffalo, 455 00:20:11,520 --> 00:20:13,840 Speaker 4: I want to push tempo. I sort of believe that 456 00:20:13,880 --> 00:20:17,040 Speaker 4: Buffalo played down to the New York Giants and allowing 457 00:20:17,080 --> 00:20:20,080 Speaker 4: the Giants to dictate that type of game with the 458 00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:23,720 Speaker 4: rushing attack of Tyrod Taylor and Sakwon Barkley. I don't 459 00:20:23,720 --> 00:20:25,919 Speaker 4: think it happens this week. They got pushed to the 460 00:20:25,920 --> 00:20:29,400 Speaker 4: limit by the Giants. The goal line stand last player 461 00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:32,440 Speaker 4: of the game. They have a beatable opponent that they 462 00:20:32,560 --> 00:20:36,280 Speaker 4: dominate in recent years. If they jump up fourteen to nothing, 463 00:20:36,320 --> 00:20:39,320 Speaker 4: it's lights out. I don't think they stop, especially lay 464 00:20:39,320 --> 00:20:42,399 Speaker 4: in eight and a half, especially a divisional opponent. I 465 00:20:42,440 --> 00:20:45,399 Speaker 4: think Josh Allen breaks out, they could potentially get the 466 00:20:45,440 --> 00:20:48,000 Speaker 4: forty and a half on their own. Yes, I think 467 00:20:48,040 --> 00:20:50,560 Speaker 4: it's over the forty and a half in this ball game. 468 00:20:50,600 --> 00:20:52,879 Speaker 1: I'm I'm glad you said that. That's exactly I was like, well, 469 00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:55,000 Speaker 1: I guess the score is forty to three, Like, I 470 00:20:55,040 --> 00:20:57,439 Speaker 1: feel like that's the score here, and you're a hundred 471 00:20:57,600 --> 00:21:00,520 Speaker 1: just right. They are going to push it, and that's 472 00:21:00,560 --> 00:21:02,480 Speaker 1: what they've done historically is beat up on the Patriots 473 00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:04,600 Speaker 1: now that they can, and they should for all those 474 00:21:04,680 --> 00:21:06,199 Speaker 1: years that the Patriots used to beat up on them. 475 00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:09,080 Speaker 1: It makes perfect sense. Ericson and I being Patriots fans, 476 00:21:09,080 --> 00:21:11,920 Speaker 1: we accept this fate already. I made money again last 477 00:21:11,960 --> 00:21:13,760 Speaker 1: week on the Raiders, as I have every single week 478 00:21:13,800 --> 00:21:16,240 Speaker 1: betting against the Patriots, and I'm going to continue to 479 00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:19,280 Speaker 1: do that this week. Also, the fascinating thing here, Joe 480 00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:22,320 Speaker 1: I also think people are overrating a little bit too 481 00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:24,119 Speaker 1: much of what happened in that Giants game, because I 482 00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:27,320 Speaker 1: also think when Damian Harris went down with that injury, 483 00:21:27,480 --> 00:21:29,119 Speaker 1: I think that took a lot of air out of 484 00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:32,360 Speaker 1: that bubble for them. There was shades of that tragic 485 00:21:32,520 --> 00:21:35,000 Speaker 1: situation last year with Tamor Hamlin. I think the whole 486 00:21:35,040 --> 00:21:37,000 Speaker 1: air went out of that team for a long while. 487 00:21:37,280 --> 00:21:39,639 Speaker 1: They got it pumped back up just in time to 488 00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:43,560 Speaker 1: pull that game out, luckily for them, But I think 489 00:21:43,680 --> 00:21:45,199 Speaker 1: that is not going to be the case when they 490 00:21:45,200 --> 00:21:47,920 Speaker 1: go to New England this week. Ericson, let's close things 491 00:21:47,960 --> 00:21:49,639 Speaker 1: out here strong, What do you have here for the 492 00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:51,399 Speaker 1: people for your final peakle Week seven? 493 00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:55,080 Speaker 3: I'm just ready to watch the offensive fireworks on Sunday 494 00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:57,720 Speaker 3: Night Football. So I'm betting the over Eagles Dolphins over 495 00:21:57,800 --> 00:22:00,560 Speaker 3: fifty one and a half points. Look, so Miami is 496 00:22:00,560 --> 00:22:02,120 Speaker 3: one of the few teams here that's actually been hitting 497 00:22:02,119 --> 00:22:04,000 Speaker 3: their over. So they're four and two towards the over. 498 00:22:04,359 --> 00:22:06,199 Speaker 3: The two games that have not hit the over with 499 00:22:06,280 --> 00:22:08,680 Speaker 3: the Dolphins have been when they've played the two worst 500 00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:12,919 Speaker 3: offenses in the NFL, between the Giants and the Patriots. 501 00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:15,040 Speaker 3: That has what stopped the Dolphins from hitting overs in 502 00:22:15,119 --> 00:22:18,440 Speaker 3: every single game this year. They're playing the Philadelphia Eagles. 503 00:22:18,680 --> 00:22:21,080 Speaker 3: Eagles in terms of offensive rank fifth and points per 504 00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:23,480 Speaker 3: game third, and points per game at home both of 505 00:22:23,520 --> 00:22:26,600 Speaker 3: their home games that they've played in Philadelphia over sixty 506 00:22:26,640 --> 00:22:27,320 Speaker 3: points total. 507 00:22:27,880 --> 00:22:28,800 Speaker 2: I'm going over here. 508 00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:31,840 Speaker 3: All my bets could flame out during the day during 509 00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:36,120 Speaker 3: Sunday or one o'clock, four o'clock. I'm gonna be getting popcorn, ready, fireworks. 510 00:22:36,200 --> 00:22:38,159 Speaker 3: I'm ready to watch this show Sunday Night Football. 511 00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:38,800 Speaker 2: Let's go over. 512 00:22:38,920 --> 00:22:42,000 Speaker 1: I love it. If anybody saw my video this week 513 00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:44,159 Speaker 1: on Betting Pros my top ten bets of the week, 514 00:22:44,560 --> 00:22:48,159 Speaker 1: the Miami money line was part of forty percent of 515 00:22:48,200 --> 00:22:52,080 Speaker 1: those bets this week, being about the Dolphins and Joe. 516 00:22:52,119 --> 00:22:54,920 Speaker 1: The point I'm making everybody is if they go into Philadelphia, 517 00:22:55,400 --> 00:22:57,040 Speaker 1: beat a team on the road in the Eagles that 518 00:22:57,080 --> 00:22:59,960 Speaker 1: went to the Super Bowl last year, and beat them convincingly, 519 00:23:00,600 --> 00:23:03,520 Speaker 1: all these numbers like TUA for MVP, which is a 520 00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:06,800 Speaker 1: plus three fifty on Betting Pros, Tyreek Hill that's still 521 00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:08,960 Speaker 1: in plus money, barely a plus one fifty for AP 522 00:23:09,040 --> 00:23:12,760 Speaker 1: Player of the Year Josh enixus Al, Mike McDaniel at 523 00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:15,639 Speaker 1: plus three hundred for Coach of the Year. All of 524 00:23:15,680 --> 00:23:18,080 Speaker 1: these numbers are going to move significantly. Now, if they lose, 525 00:23:18,119 --> 00:23:20,280 Speaker 1: I don't think they really move. But if they win, 526 00:23:20,680 --> 00:23:22,719 Speaker 1: I think they do. Do you see this as a 527 00:23:22,800 --> 00:23:25,000 Speaker 1: pivotal week here? For any investment you want to make 528 00:23:25,040 --> 00:23:26,080 Speaker 1: in the Dolphins. 529 00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:28,639 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm not gonna be betting this game. Maybe you 530 00:23:28,680 --> 00:23:31,399 Speaker 4: know pre kick you know in regard to that, because 531 00:23:31,440 --> 00:23:33,399 Speaker 4: I do want to see a couple of drives. Here's 532 00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:35,560 Speaker 4: the biggest factor for me. If they can run on 533 00:23:35,600 --> 00:23:39,000 Speaker 4: the front seven of the Philadelphia Eagles. And I understand 534 00:23:39,040 --> 00:23:41,879 Speaker 4: the Jets made second half adjustments and caught them in 535 00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:44,760 Speaker 4: terms of met life, but Jane Harder didn't play either night. 536 00:23:44,880 --> 00:23:47,879 Speaker 4: Jalen Carter in that lineup is a huge difference maker. 537 00:23:47,920 --> 00:23:51,440 Speaker 4: So again, if the rushing attack could basically take over 538 00:23:51,560 --> 00:23:54,359 Speaker 4: on the road, then I'm in agreement with you because 539 00:23:54,400 --> 00:23:57,080 Speaker 4: the biggest thing in terms of a playoff type of environment, 540 00:23:57,320 --> 00:24:00,280 Speaker 4: if we're taking big picture for the Miami Dolphins, if 541 00:24:00,320 --> 00:24:03,639 Speaker 4: they can go on the road and run the football consistently. 542 00:24:03,720 --> 00:24:06,720 Speaker 4: Let's not forget they did it against New England and Foxboro. 543 00:24:06,840 --> 00:24:09,359 Speaker 4: They rushed for a buck forty one on that front 544 00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:12,200 Speaker 4: seven earlier in the I want to see that against 545 00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:14,600 Speaker 4: the Eagles in this environment it's supposed to be a 546 00:24:14,640 --> 00:24:17,040 Speaker 4: little bit of cold weather. I want to see them 547 00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:19,919 Speaker 4: perform in that type of situation as well. It's on 548 00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:22,639 Speaker 4: grass even better, I want to see that because we 549 00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:25,760 Speaker 4: know them. They struggle with Newichi Park in terms of 550 00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:29,600 Speaker 4: beating the Buffalo Bills. If you want to go and 551 00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:32,520 Speaker 4: win an AFC championship, you're most likely going to have 552 00:24:32,560 --> 00:24:35,320 Speaker 4: to go to Kansas City. They need to run the football, 553 00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:37,360 Speaker 4: so that's the biggest thing I want to say. If 554 00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:40,480 Speaker 4: they do that and win this ball game convincingly, I'm 555 00:24:40,520 --> 00:24:43,359 Speaker 4: with you. I think big picture, they could challenge the Chiefs. 556 00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:46,919 Speaker 1: The last time an NFL team led the league in 557 00:24:47,080 --> 00:24:50,240 Speaker 1: rushing yards and passing yards nineteen forty one, and just 558 00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:52,200 Speaker 1: if you're keeping scores at home, they were still wearing 559 00:24:52,280 --> 00:24:56,200 Speaker 1: leather helmets at that point. There you go, Ericson, you 560 00:24:56,400 --> 00:24:58,000 Speaker 1: used to have your leather helmet and you still wear 561 00:24:58,040 --> 00:25:00,480 Speaker 1: that sometimes you go out just for protection for those 562 00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:03,560 Speaker 1: cold New England nights. No, not so much all right, eRx, 563 00:25:03,640 --> 00:25:05,480 Speaker 1: What do you think about this whole Dolphins conversation too, 564 00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:07,720 Speaker 1: Because before we go. I think this is important conversation. 565 00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:10,760 Speaker 1: I know you're in here on the over, but you 566 00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:13,840 Speaker 1: and I both know these are media awards, and when 567 00:25:13,840 --> 00:25:15,840 Speaker 1: you have a big win on the road, on a 568 00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:19,560 Speaker 1: standalone primetime Sunday night game, it gets a lot of 569 00:25:19,640 --> 00:25:23,080 Speaker 1: traction in the betting universe. And I think this is 570 00:25:23,080 --> 00:25:25,320 Speaker 1: something people if you again, if you're in on the Dolphins, 571 00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:27,560 Speaker 1: this is the time to get in because if it 572 00:25:27,560 --> 00:25:29,080 Speaker 1: flames out, I don't think it really moves all that 573 00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:31,399 Speaker 1: much unless they get really just torch, which I don't see. 574 00:25:31,480 --> 00:25:33,400 Speaker 1: I don't think any of us see that happening. Necessarily, 575 00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:36,400 Speaker 1: anything's possible. What do you think about this? Dolphins numbers 576 00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:38,720 Speaker 1: of everyone for all these awards maybe moving if they 577 00:25:38,760 --> 00:25:39,320 Speaker 1: get this win. 578 00:25:40,040 --> 00:25:41,320 Speaker 2: No, I think it makes a lot of sense. 579 00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:44,320 Speaker 3: And I think that one of the undervalued ones is 580 00:25:44,320 --> 00:25:47,680 Speaker 3: maybe doing a Tyreek Hill for MVP. You know, just 581 00:25:47,760 --> 00:25:50,399 Speaker 3: kind of the narrative around Tua is, you know, how 582 00:25:50,480 --> 00:25:52,520 Speaker 3: much credit does he deserve? And you know, if you 583 00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:54,639 Speaker 3: were to miss any time, Okay, Mike White steps in 584 00:25:54,680 --> 00:25:57,359 Speaker 3: and they don't miss a beat, then that's boosters for 585 00:25:57,440 --> 00:25:59,800 Speaker 3: Tyreek Hill, who is currently averaging like five yards per 586 00:25:59,840 --> 00:26:03,080 Speaker 3: round run. Which is like absolutely insane when you look 587 00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:05,520 Speaker 3: at a stat like that two yards per out run 588 00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:08,239 Speaker 3: is good. He's averaging five yards per out run like 589 00:26:08,320 --> 00:26:11,320 Speaker 3: it's bonkers. So if he could break the receiving record, 590 00:26:11,320 --> 00:26:13,359 Speaker 3: like if he does all those things and he doesn't 591 00:26:13,400 --> 00:26:15,479 Speaker 3: win MVP, like yeah, like you're talking to off, it's 592 00:26:15,520 --> 00:26:16,960 Speaker 3: the Player of the Year, Like yeah, at plus money, 593 00:26:16,960 --> 00:26:20,160 Speaker 3: I think that's awesome. But maybe MVP is not totally 594 00:26:20,160 --> 00:26:21,639 Speaker 3: impossible for a wide receiver. 595 00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:24,240 Speaker 2: I think it could happen right now. 596 00:26:24,320 --> 00:26:26,359 Speaker 1: The best odds you can get on Tyreek Hill plus 597 00:26:26,400 --> 00:26:28,640 Speaker 1: five thousand. I'm looking at it right now on Betting Pro. 598 00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:31,639 Speaker 1: So yeah, it's out there, folks, it's out there, and 599 00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:34,119 Speaker 1: it's interesting. You're getting plus four thousand. I see on 600 00:26:34,280 --> 00:26:37,120 Speaker 1: Draft Kings and on FanDuel it's already down to plus 601 00:26:37,160 --> 00:26:40,320 Speaker 1: three thousand. On Caesars, I say, down to plus three thousand. 602 00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:42,480 Speaker 1: But Ericson makes a great point, And I also wonder 603 00:26:42,480 --> 00:26:44,960 Speaker 1: as the media who votes for these awards, Heilemans starts 604 00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:47,480 Speaker 1: to get a little younger if they start to change 605 00:26:47,520 --> 00:26:50,440 Speaker 1: their whole like it could only be a quarterback award, 606 00:26:50,600 --> 00:26:53,159 Speaker 1: And I think that's something to watch, not just this year. 607 00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:55,480 Speaker 1: But in the years ahead, as things start to evolve, 608 00:26:55,520 --> 00:26:56,879 Speaker 1: just like you know in the baseball world, you know 609 00:26:56,880 --> 00:27:00,040 Speaker 1: the writers who voted for awards, things evolved, Remember and 610 00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:02,119 Speaker 1: Felix Hernandez won the cy Young What do you have 611 00:27:02,160 --> 00:27:04,720 Speaker 1: like thirteen wins? I think that year or something ridiculous 612 00:27:04,760 --> 00:27:07,359 Speaker 1: like that. People look past it, look to the secondary numbers. 613 00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:09,119 Speaker 1: But that took a long time to get there. People 614 00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:11,879 Speaker 1: loved wins, so ever, evolving, that's what we're trying to 615 00:27:11,920 --> 00:27:13,479 Speaker 1: do here. We're trying to help you win money. Joe 616 00:27:13,560 --> 00:27:15,680 Speaker 1: Leasey's always a big help in that regard. Go follow 617 00:27:15,760 --> 00:27:18,679 Speaker 1: him on x at go for the two. Check him 618 00:27:18,680 --> 00:27:21,680 Speaker 1: out on sportscrit TV every Saturday, every Sunday. He's doing 619 00:27:21,720 --> 00:27:25,400 Speaker 1: college football. He's doing pro football today on Sundays after 620 00:27:25,480 --> 00:27:27,560 Speaker 1: my show on Sports Career at ten am Eastern. Go 621 00:27:27,640 --> 00:27:29,880 Speaker 1: check him out there. Joe, When do you sleep? Honestly, 622 00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:31,320 Speaker 1: just a little bit on Saturday night. 623 00:27:31,359 --> 00:27:35,720 Speaker 4: Now, Saturday night, A little Sunday night actually is my 624 00:27:35,800 --> 00:27:38,600 Speaker 4: biggest sleep night. After the Sunday night game. There you go, 625 00:27:38,840 --> 00:27:41,040 Speaker 4: I get a little R and R to catch up 626 00:27:41,080 --> 00:27:42,400 Speaker 4: for Monday night football. 627 00:27:42,720 --> 00:27:44,879 Speaker 1: Sleep in on Monday, all right, Everybody, make sure you 628 00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:47,160 Speaker 1: download that Betting Pros app, drop the comments below let 629 00:27:47,240 --> 00:27:49,840 Speaker 1: us know what you are in on this week. Join 630 00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:52,960 Speaker 1: the NFL contest at Bettingpros dot com slash NFL Contests, 631 00:27:52,960 --> 00:27:55,480 Speaker 1: and again click that bell for notification so you know. 632 00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:57,800 Speaker 1: Every time a piece of content drops here on the 633 00:27:57,800 --> 00:28:00,199 Speaker 1: Betting Pros YouTube channel. That'll do it for us, but 634 00:28:00,240 --> 00:28:02,200 Speaker 1: the story of the game goes on for Joe Lacy 635 00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:05,480 Speaker 1: and Andrew Erickson. I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids. 636 00:28:06,480 --> 00:28:09,359 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. Follow us 637 00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:12,320 Speaker 1: on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and Instagram at 638 00:28:12,320 --> 00:28:15,920 Speaker 1: Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube channel at 639 00:28:15,920 --> 00:28:17,840 Speaker 1: YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.