WEBVTT - Tesla Gains as Carmaker to Accelerate Affordable Models

0:00:02.920 --> 0:00:08.119
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news.

0:00:08.520 --> 0:00:12.920
<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Business Wait inside from the reporters and

0:00:13.080 --> 0:00:16.640
<v Speaker 2>editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus

0:00:16.720 --> 0:00:20.840
<v Speaker 2>global business, finance and tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week

0:00:20.880 --> 0:00:25.800
<v Speaker 2>Podcast with Carol Messer and Tim Stenebeck from Bloomberg Radio.

0:00:27.160 --> 0:00:29.680
<v Speaker 3>All right, Well, Shares a Tesla our higher in the

0:00:29.720 --> 0:00:33.440
<v Speaker 3>after hours right now as investors continue to digest those

0:00:33.479 --> 0:00:37.160
<v Speaker 3>first quarter earnings numbers. Global vehicle inventory rose to twenty

0:00:37.159 --> 0:00:39.520
<v Speaker 3>eight days. It's a huge jump from the fifteen days

0:00:40.080 --> 0:00:42.080
<v Speaker 3>at the end of last quarter. Shares high right now

0:00:42.120 --> 0:00:45.159
<v Speaker 3>by just about five percent. First quarter revenue coming in

0:00:45.920 --> 0:00:48.560
<v Speaker 3>at twenty one point three billion dollars that was below

0:00:48.640 --> 0:00:51.440
<v Speaker 3>estimates of twenty two point three billion dollars. That also

0:00:51.479 --> 0:00:55.000
<v Speaker 3>a missed when it comes to EPs adjusted EPs, I

0:00:55.000 --> 0:00:57.640
<v Speaker 3>should say that coming in at forty five cents versus

0:00:57.800 --> 0:00:59.040
<v Speaker 3>estimates of fifty two cents.

0:00:59.080 --> 0:01:00.880
<v Speaker 4>Shares A Tesla up about five and a half percent

0:01:00.880 --> 0:01:03.560
<v Speaker 4>in the aftermarket. But also Tesla to accelerate the launch

0:01:03.560 --> 0:01:05.920
<v Speaker 4>of more affordable models at getting a red sticky by

0:01:05.959 --> 0:01:08.000
<v Speaker 4>our team here at Bloomberg. All right, so let's get

0:01:08.040 --> 0:01:10.320
<v Speaker 4>to it with us Ross Gerber, president and CEO at

0:01:10.319 --> 0:01:14.240
<v Speaker 4>Gerber Kawasaki Wealth and Investment Management, and also Bloomberg BusinessWeek

0:01:14.240 --> 0:01:18.440
<v Speaker 4>columnist Max Chafkin Ross out there in Santa Monica, California.

0:01:18.480 --> 0:01:21.560
<v Speaker 4>Max here in our Bloomberg Interactive Broker studio getting ready

0:01:21.600 --> 0:01:23.680
<v Speaker 4>for another round of Tesla. Bingo will get into in

0:01:23.720 --> 0:01:27.520
<v Speaker 4>just a moment. Ross investors like it. What do you

0:01:27.560 --> 0:01:31.119
<v Speaker 4>make of this report looking backwards looking forwards?

0:01:32.120 --> 0:01:34.600
<v Speaker 5>Well, I think the good part of the report, because

0:01:34.920 --> 0:01:36.679
<v Speaker 5>this is really the only good part of the report,

0:01:36.760 --> 0:01:39.440
<v Speaker 5>is them saying that they're going to accelerate the production

0:01:39.520 --> 0:01:42.720
<v Speaker 5>of this next gen vehicle platform. And they were pretty

0:01:42.800 --> 0:01:47.319
<v Speaker 5>vague about what their calling this or what Robotaxi is

0:01:47.640 --> 0:01:49.880
<v Speaker 5>or is a model to coming, and I think that'll

0:01:49.880 --> 0:01:51.920
<v Speaker 5>be clarified on the conference call. So you know, once again,

0:01:51.960 --> 0:01:55.080
<v Speaker 5>we don't really watch after hours trading because he really

0:01:55.120 --> 0:01:57.920
<v Speaker 5>doesn't represent all the participants and so, and we haven't

0:01:57.920 --> 0:01:59.680
<v Speaker 5>seen the conference call yet, so we'll see how this

0:01:59.680 --> 0:02:02.280
<v Speaker 5>docras over the next several months. But there really isn't

0:02:02.360 --> 0:02:06.200
<v Speaker 5>any other good news in that report other than them

0:02:06.320 --> 0:02:08.680
<v Speaker 5>saying they're going to accelerate production, even though they just

0:02:08.720 --> 0:02:11.280
<v Speaker 5>fire all the people that are in charge of accelerating production.

0:02:11.560 --> 0:02:14.200
<v Speaker 3>Hey Russ, remind everybody take a step back here, because

0:02:14.320 --> 0:02:16.560
<v Speaker 3>Carol and I were looking at the terminal a little earlier.

0:02:16.880 --> 0:02:20.560
<v Speaker 3>You've you know, you are a longtime Tesla bull until

0:02:20.600 --> 0:02:22.640
<v Speaker 3>you weren't, and you were a longtime believer and have

0:02:22.680 --> 0:02:25.600
<v Speaker 3>been a longtime believer in the company. You guys still

0:02:25.600 --> 0:02:28.280
<v Speaker 3>own a substantial number of shares over at kerber Kawasaki.

0:02:28.360 --> 0:02:31.440
<v Speaker 3>But what is your position right now in Tesla moving forward?

0:02:32.760 --> 0:02:36.040
<v Speaker 5>So my position is that Tesla is a wonderful company

0:02:36.080 --> 0:02:39.760
<v Speaker 5>that has enormous potential with the CEO who has become

0:02:39.840 --> 0:02:42.240
<v Speaker 5>so divisive that people won't buy the cars. And that's

0:02:42.240 --> 0:02:44.960
<v Speaker 5>why saying is just going to produce more cars doesn't

0:02:44.960 --> 0:02:48.000
<v Speaker 5>address the real issue is why they're not selling cars today,

0:02:48.320 --> 0:02:50.680
<v Speaker 5>and that's the issue that needs to be addressed that

0:02:50.800 --> 0:02:53.880
<v Speaker 5>isn't being addressed. So as a shareholder, we have to

0:02:53.919 --> 0:02:57.040
<v Speaker 5>assess what the future earnings potential of a company is

0:02:57.080 --> 0:03:00.440
<v Speaker 5>based off what their business model is. And when we

0:03:00.480 --> 0:03:02.760
<v Speaker 5>you know, we start investing in Tesla over ten years ago,

0:03:02.760 --> 0:03:05.600
<v Speaker 5>and we've had a great run up until the purchase

0:03:05.600 --> 0:03:08.560
<v Speaker 5>of Twitter, and so we've been lowering our position because

0:03:08.800 --> 0:03:11.640
<v Speaker 5>what we feel is that Elon's behavior has hurt the

0:03:11.680 --> 0:03:14.280
<v Speaker 5>brand in such a way that consumers actually don't want

0:03:14.320 --> 0:03:16.240
<v Speaker 5>to buy a Tesla. It's just the best car on

0:03:16.280 --> 0:03:18.680
<v Speaker 5>the road at the best price, so people buy the

0:03:18.720 --> 0:03:20.960
<v Speaker 5>car reluctantly at this point.

0:03:21.160 --> 0:03:24.120
<v Speaker 1>So I think, you know, we've got.

0:03:23.919 --> 0:03:26.080
<v Speaker 5>These problems to solve, and I'm not sure if that

0:03:26.160 --> 0:03:28.440
<v Speaker 5>will be addressed on the conference call today. And that's

0:03:28.639 --> 0:03:30.720
<v Speaker 5>you know, And I don't like being called a Tesla

0:03:30.760 --> 0:03:32.919
<v Speaker 5>bear because I actually think they could turn the company

0:03:32.919 --> 0:03:36.280
<v Speaker 5>around pretty quickly if Elon changed his behavior and stopped

0:03:36.280 --> 0:03:37.320
<v Speaker 5>attacking everybody.

0:03:37.600 --> 0:03:39.480
<v Speaker 1>But I just don't think that's going to happen. And

0:03:39.560 --> 0:03:40.760
<v Speaker 1>so so I.

0:03:40.760 --> 0:03:44.120
<v Speaker 5>Think the bigger issue that isn't being addressed is doesn't

0:03:44.160 --> 0:03:46.920
<v Speaker 5>matter how many cars Tesla makes if nobody will buy them.

0:03:47.240 --> 0:03:49.160
<v Speaker 4>All right, So Max chaff can come on in. You

0:03:49.200 --> 0:03:53.080
<v Speaker 4>guys do the Elon Inc. Podcast. You're constantly looking at

0:03:53.080 --> 0:03:54.920
<v Speaker 4>what he says, what he does. You're looking at his

0:03:55.160 --> 0:03:58.480
<v Speaker 4>kind of his assets, his portfolio, your initial thoughts on

0:03:58.560 --> 0:03:59.480
<v Speaker 4>kind of the headlines.

0:03:59.160 --> 0:04:01.240
<v Speaker 6>We got to yeah to kind of under Ross is

0:04:01.240 --> 0:04:04.320
<v Speaker 6>saying something like this, but like the note about the

0:04:04.360 --> 0:04:07.560
<v Speaker 6>new products is very vague. It doesn't say we're going

0:04:07.640 --> 0:04:09.600
<v Speaker 6>to have a model too, and it's going to come

0:04:09.600 --> 0:04:12.040
<v Speaker 6>out on this date, which is what investors, many investors

0:04:12.040 --> 0:04:14.720
<v Speaker 6>have been hoping for. It says it sounds like it's

0:04:14.760 --> 0:04:16.960
<v Speaker 6>saying I'm reading it correctly. They're going to try to

0:04:17.040 --> 0:04:20.640
<v Speaker 6>essentially make the current models more affordable. Now that obviously

0:04:21.240 --> 0:04:23.560
<v Speaker 6>could allow them to sell more cars. But it's a

0:04:23.600 --> 0:04:27.800
<v Speaker 6>slightly different spin on things than what many people have

0:04:27.880 --> 0:04:30.640
<v Speaker 6>been inspecting. The other thing is, as Ross is saying,

0:04:31.040 --> 0:04:34.200
<v Speaker 6>you know, on a Tesla earning's day, what Elon says,

0:04:34.279 --> 0:04:36.400
<v Speaker 6>and more importantly, how he says it is just as

0:04:36.440 --> 0:04:39.680
<v Speaker 6>important as as what's in these numbers, because he is

0:04:39.720 --> 0:04:42.280
<v Speaker 6>going to hopefully anyway clarify some of this. We also

0:04:42.360 --> 0:04:46.800
<v Speaker 6>hopefully get a sense of like where things stand with robotaxi,

0:04:46.839 --> 0:04:52.200
<v Speaker 6>where things stand with potential affordable cars, and investors seemed

0:04:52.200 --> 0:04:54.919
<v Speaker 6>to react to based on his optimism, you know, a

0:04:54.920 --> 0:04:56.719
<v Speaker 6>couple quarters ago, when he was in this kind of

0:04:56.800 --> 0:05:00.159
<v Speaker 6>dowur mood, we saw the stock go down. So so

0:05:00.200 --> 0:05:02.839
<v Speaker 6>it's like, do we get an optimistic version of Elon

0:05:03.120 --> 0:05:06.400
<v Speaker 6>or the kind of very dour, pessimistic Elon.

0:05:06.760 --> 0:05:08.880
<v Speaker 4>Well, I wonder if you have a question for Ross Max.

0:05:09.560 --> 0:05:13.120
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, Ross, what is your reading on this, on this product,

0:05:13.200 --> 0:05:14.880
<v Speaker 6>on this paragraph about the product?

0:05:15.400 --> 0:05:17.960
<v Speaker 5>Well, I think you're dead right about the two things

0:05:18.000 --> 0:05:21.000
<v Speaker 5>you just said. Number One, they're of course vague because

0:05:21.080 --> 0:05:22.279
<v Speaker 5>of the legality of it.

0:05:22.360 --> 0:05:24.320
<v Speaker 1>If they put this down and they don't do it right.

0:05:24.640 --> 0:05:26.800
<v Speaker 5>And since nobody seems to know what Elon's going to do,

0:05:26.920 --> 0:05:30.479
<v Speaker 5>and I'm sure that everybody understands that nobody within Tesla

0:05:30.560 --> 0:05:33.240
<v Speaker 5>knows what the business plan is either, because they just

0:05:33.320 --> 0:05:36.719
<v Speaker 5>don't at this point. But I think secondly, a lot

0:05:36.760 --> 0:05:39.600
<v Speaker 5>of it will be how does Elon answer these questions

0:05:39.640 --> 0:05:41.720
<v Speaker 5>from investors during the conference call?

0:05:41.920 --> 0:05:43.000
<v Speaker 1>And what you said is right.

0:05:43.080 --> 0:05:45.720
<v Speaker 5>If we have sort of a very positive Elon and

0:05:46.560 --> 0:05:49.839
<v Speaker 5>he's refocused and he's going to be working at Tesla more,

0:05:49.920 --> 0:05:53.360
<v Speaker 5>and you know, he can play the room right, maybe

0:05:53.400 --> 0:05:54.919
<v Speaker 5>we get a little rally in the stock, but it

0:05:54.960 --> 0:05:58.520
<v Speaker 5>doesn't change the fundamentals. If he doesn't play the room right,

0:05:58.960 --> 0:06:02.359
<v Speaker 5>this becomes a blood bath. So you know, I'm just

0:06:02.640 --> 0:06:06.120
<v Speaker 5>hoping that he understands the damage that he's done and

0:06:06.560 --> 0:06:09.159
<v Speaker 5>starts to mitigate this versus diving in and sort of

0:06:09.160 --> 0:06:09.800
<v Speaker 5>doubling down.

0:06:10.000 --> 0:06:13.080
<v Speaker 6>It will be interesting to see if if Twitter comes

0:06:13.120 --> 0:06:15.240
<v Speaker 6>up or sorry X comes up, you know, because there

0:06:15.279 --> 0:06:17.960
<v Speaker 6>is this question in this sense that he's spent ge

0:06:18.080 --> 0:06:21.680
<v Speaker 6>Whiz a lot of time talking about X, tweeting about X,

0:06:21.800 --> 0:06:24.560
<v Speaker 6>doing X related things. There's even a potential or they're

0:06:24.560 --> 0:06:27.760
<v Speaker 6>going to have a Grock integration inside of the Tesla's

0:06:28.080 --> 0:06:30.400
<v Speaker 6>And I think that to people who are really bought

0:06:30.400 --> 0:06:33.039
<v Speaker 6>into the ev story rather than the you know, Elon

0:06:33.160 --> 0:06:36.520
<v Speaker 6>Musk genius story, which those are two important constituencies here,

0:06:36.560 --> 0:06:40.200
<v Speaker 6>I think for Tesla Stock, you know, they would like

0:06:40.240 --> 0:06:42.960
<v Speaker 6>to see him spend less time on his social media network.

0:06:43.040 --> 0:06:46.440
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, well, it's not just less time, it's what he's saying,

0:06:47.000 --> 0:06:49.839
<v Speaker 5>you know. It's like it's not the time, it's that

0:06:49.920 --> 0:06:54.480
<v Speaker 5>what he's saying oftentimes is super divisive and basically racist.

0:06:54.520 --> 0:06:57.599
<v Speaker 5>So it's like, it's really hard to sell products to

0:06:57.640 --> 0:07:00.880
<v Speaker 5>people when the CEO says things that are really hurtful

0:07:00.880 --> 0:07:02.919
<v Speaker 5>to people, including me for that matter.

0:07:03.320 --> 0:07:07.040
<v Speaker 4>Now and we've talked with you about that absolutely ross.

0:07:07.080 --> 0:07:11.480
<v Speaker 4>What could Elon say on the call, or Elon and

0:07:11.560 --> 0:07:15.600
<v Speaker 4>Company say on the call that would make you more

0:07:15.640 --> 0:07:18.320
<v Speaker 4>excited about the company, or once again say you know

0:07:18.400 --> 0:07:21.320
<v Speaker 4>kind of owe Elon really well.

0:07:21.160 --> 0:07:22.440
<v Speaker 1>If I had my dream come true.

0:07:22.480 --> 0:07:24.400
<v Speaker 5>He'd say, I'm coming back to work at Tesla, because

0:07:24.400 --> 0:07:27.200
<v Speaker 5>he basically doesn't work at Tesla, and he would say,

0:07:27.360 --> 0:07:30.480
<v Speaker 5>I'm done tweeting all this garbage and politics. I'm going

0:07:30.520 --> 0:07:34.360
<v Speaker 5>to really focus on advancing sustainable transportation and energy and

0:07:34.400 --> 0:07:37.600
<v Speaker 5>that we're going to release this lower you know, priced

0:07:37.600 --> 0:07:38.920
<v Speaker 5>car and.

0:07:38.680 --> 0:07:41.960
<v Speaker 1>The strategy that we all bought into three years ago.

0:07:42.120 --> 0:07:44.800
<v Speaker 5>You know, and the stop was at all time highs,

0:07:44.840 --> 0:07:47.160
<v Speaker 5>and earnings were going up, you know, fifty hundred percent

0:07:47.160 --> 0:07:47.480
<v Speaker 5>a year.

0:07:47.600 --> 0:07:49.800
<v Speaker 1>You know, it was like it was like a different

0:07:49.840 --> 0:07:50.640
<v Speaker 1>world than today.

0:07:50.680 --> 0:07:53.640
<v Speaker 5>And it's amazing to me he doesn't understand this difference

0:07:53.680 --> 0:07:57.760
<v Speaker 5>that that really is his responsibility. And so as a shareholder,

0:07:58.040 --> 0:08:00.920
<v Speaker 5>I have to say it's extremely just stressing time because

0:08:00.960 --> 0:08:04.840
<v Speaker 5>the valuation of Tesla is premised off all these great

0:08:04.880 --> 0:08:08.640
<v Speaker 5>technological innovations, none of which have come to fruition yet.

0:08:08.680 --> 0:08:11.480
<v Speaker 5>So his focus is one hundred percent what needs to

0:08:11.520 --> 0:08:12.360
<v Speaker 5>be happening right now.

0:08:12.400 --> 0:08:14.880
<v Speaker 3>Hey, Ross, I do want to just end with one

0:08:14.960 --> 0:08:17.400
<v Speaker 3>last question about the cost of producing these vehicles. It

0:08:17.400 --> 0:08:19.600
<v Speaker 3>seems like Tesla is doing everything I can to bring

0:08:19.640 --> 0:08:22.040
<v Speaker 3>down the cost of producing these cars, the cost of

0:08:22.040 --> 0:08:25.880
<v Speaker 3>goods sold to Are they what numbers do you want

0:08:25.880 --> 0:08:26.320
<v Speaker 3>to see there?

0:08:27.320 --> 0:08:30.160
<v Speaker 5>Well, they are, but their margins continue to go lower.

0:08:30.160 --> 0:08:31.640
<v Speaker 5>If you look at the report, which I've only had

0:08:31.680 --> 0:08:33.920
<v Speaker 5>a minute to look at, you know, their vehicle margins

0:08:33.960 --> 0:08:36.920
<v Speaker 5>continue to go lower, their operating margins go lower, their

0:08:36.960 --> 0:08:40.079
<v Speaker 5>net margins go lower. So they're able to lower the

0:08:40.080 --> 0:08:41.800
<v Speaker 5>price of the car. But what they're not able to

0:08:41.840 --> 0:08:45.200
<v Speaker 5>do is keep that going as fast as they're they're

0:08:45.280 --> 0:08:48.839
<v Speaker 5>lowering the price of the vehicles, so it's still hurting

0:08:48.840 --> 0:08:50.640
<v Speaker 5>them even though they're lowering the cost of the car,

0:08:51.200 --> 0:08:54.120
<v Speaker 5>and it doesn't bring in a bigger market. But you're

0:08:54.240 --> 0:08:57.560
<v Speaker 5>not creating any demand. And this is I have said

0:08:57.559 --> 0:09:00.520
<v Speaker 5>it a hundred times. Every company in America average for

0:09:00.520 --> 0:09:03.800
<v Speaker 5>a reason. People need to know why your products are superior.

0:09:04.000 --> 0:09:06.960
<v Speaker 5>And all the Tesla people bought in Teslas, you know,

0:09:07.080 --> 0:09:09.679
<v Speaker 5>So all these YouTubers can tweet all they want, but

0:09:09.920 --> 0:09:11.840
<v Speaker 5>everybody wanted to Tesla bought a Tesla. So you've got

0:09:11.880 --> 0:09:14.280
<v Speaker 5>to get new customers. And the new customers are being

0:09:14.360 --> 0:09:17.200
<v Speaker 5>told that charging sucks and evs are bad and this

0:09:17.240 --> 0:09:20.240
<v Speaker 5>and that, and Donald Trump says they're bad, and this

0:09:20.280 --> 0:09:22.760
<v Speaker 5>is all they see all day and then It's like,

0:09:22.840 --> 0:09:24.680
<v Speaker 5>why would they go buy a Tesla because there's not

0:09:24.800 --> 0:09:27.760
<v Speaker 5>one ad anywhere that tells you how great the cars are?

0:09:27.840 --> 0:09:29.200
<v Speaker 1>Because they are great.

0:09:29.640 --> 0:09:31.439
<v Speaker 4>Right and you still own them right real quickly?

0:09:31.520 --> 0:09:32.040
<v Speaker 7>Yes or no?

0:09:32.120 --> 0:09:33.280
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I do.

0:09:33.720 --> 0:09:35.640
<v Speaker 5>I just don't understand why they don't tell people how

0:09:35.679 --> 0:09:36.679
<v Speaker 5>great their vehicles are.

0:09:36.720 --> 0:09:39.920
<v Speaker 4>All right, Ross Gerbert so appreciated. We know you've got

0:09:39.960 --> 0:09:41.800
<v Speaker 4>to I think run over to our TV guys, President

0:09:41.840 --> 0:09:45.640
<v Speaker 4>Ceot Germer Kawasak, so appreciate you joining us. Max Chafkin

0:09:45.720 --> 0:09:47.520
<v Speaker 4>is staying with us a Bloomberg Business Week and we

0:09:47.559 --> 0:09:48.680
<v Speaker 4>want to roll into the conversation.

0:09:48.840 --> 0:09:51.720
<v Speaker 3>Ed Ludlow, Yeah, he's co host of Bloomberg Technology on

0:09:51.720 --> 0:09:53.880
<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg TV. He joins us from the San Francisco Beer.

0:09:53.960 --> 0:09:55.680
<v Speaker 3>I do want to note, Carroll, the Tesla first quarter

0:09:55.720 --> 0:09:59.240
<v Speaker 3>automotive gross margin excluding regulatory credits is at sixteen point

0:09:59.280 --> 0:09:59.880
<v Speaker 3>four percent.

0:10:00.120 --> 0:10:01.240
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, for the quarter, stack.

0:10:01.120 --> 0:10:02.840
<v Speaker 4>Up six point three percent in the aftermarket.

0:10:02.880 --> 0:10:04.679
<v Speaker 3>Hey, I'd come on in here and explain why you

0:10:04.679 --> 0:10:06.760
<v Speaker 3>think the stock is moving higher given that a lot

0:10:06.760 --> 0:10:08.320
<v Speaker 3>of these numbers came in below estimates.

0:10:09.120 --> 0:10:09.320
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:10:09.360 --> 0:10:11.880
<v Speaker 8>I think that the print and the numbers in after

0:10:11.960 --> 0:10:14.360
<v Speaker 8>has had nothing to do with the quarter gone, everyone's

0:10:14.400 --> 0:10:19.240
<v Speaker 8>looked past it. Frankly, what the shareholder deck outlines is

0:10:19.320 --> 0:10:22.160
<v Speaker 8>almost line for line exactly what Danna and I outlined

0:10:22.200 --> 0:10:24.680
<v Speaker 8>in the Big Take on Sunday, which is on the

0:10:24.720 --> 0:10:27.679
<v Speaker 8>affordable ev A big body of work had already been

0:10:27.720 --> 0:10:31.959
<v Speaker 8>done at the component and production process level, and Tesla

0:10:32.120 --> 0:10:35.079
<v Speaker 8>is moving forward with a more affordable lineup of evs

0:10:35.360 --> 0:10:38.400
<v Speaker 8>based on that technology. It was really misunderstood. It's like

0:10:38.440 --> 0:10:41.120
<v Speaker 8>the world was banking on the Honda Civic of evs

0:10:41.440 --> 0:10:43.440
<v Speaker 8>and Tesla to be the one to bring it. But

0:10:43.480 --> 0:10:45.480
<v Speaker 8>my understanding from sources that was never the case. And

0:10:45.520 --> 0:10:47.920
<v Speaker 8>if you read the shareholder deck, they spell it out

0:10:48.120 --> 0:10:51.079
<v Speaker 8>pretty clearly. They've looked at this kind of more holistically

0:10:51.080 --> 0:10:53.840
<v Speaker 8>and there will be more affordable evs coming late twenty

0:10:53.880 --> 0:10:58.560
<v Speaker 8>twenty five. Caution caveat Musk has often miss his own deadlines.

0:10:58.559 --> 0:11:00.360
<v Speaker 8>You know that. I always say that, But it's like

0:11:00.400 --> 0:11:03.480
<v Speaker 8>a sumthing for everyone. Yeah, you know that, And and

0:11:04.320 --> 0:11:07.040
<v Speaker 8>that was me protecting myself from all the people who

0:11:07.080 --> 0:11:10.199
<v Speaker 8>may go after me on social media. But explicitly it

0:11:10.320 --> 0:11:13.559
<v Speaker 8>states that they are working on a purpose built robotaxi.

0:11:14.000 --> 0:11:16.600
<v Speaker 8>And so we went into this saying if you're a

0:11:16.600 --> 0:11:19.200
<v Speaker 8>Wall Street institutional giant who really wanted to see an

0:11:19.200 --> 0:11:22.560
<v Speaker 8>affordable EV. Or you're the technology investor or the retail

0:11:22.600 --> 0:11:25.640
<v Speaker 8>investor that's kind of all in on the Tesla thesis

0:11:25.640 --> 0:11:28.480
<v Speaker 8>around autonomy. You got that as well, and really I

0:11:28.480 --> 0:11:31.320
<v Speaker 8>think the market adjoining in hands to play that in

0:11:31.400 --> 0:11:32.040
<v Speaker 8>after hours.

0:11:33.080 --> 0:11:36.440
<v Speaker 6>You know, the question is like what is an affordable

0:11:36.720 --> 0:11:38.839
<v Speaker 6>EV And I think one of the things one of

0:11:38.880 --> 0:11:41.280
<v Speaker 6>the ways that Elon Musk could clarify is to is

0:11:41.320 --> 0:11:44.120
<v Speaker 6>to sort of say that, you know, he over the weekend,

0:11:44.720 --> 0:11:48.680
<v Speaker 6>amid all this speculation, he tweeted a screenshot showing the model.

0:11:48.760 --> 0:11:52.640
<v Speaker 6>Why priced at twenty nine thousand dollars sounds pretty affordable.

0:11:52.679 --> 0:11:56.480
<v Speaker 6>Course that includes tax credit, which you know not everybody gets,

0:11:56.800 --> 0:12:00.640
<v Speaker 6>and a and like a five thousand dollars of assumption

0:12:00.720 --> 0:12:03.880
<v Speaker 6>of gas savings. So so like you could imagine a

0:12:03.920 --> 0:12:06.839
<v Speaker 6>situation where he tries to argue, like, look, we're going

0:12:06.880 --> 0:12:09.320
<v Speaker 6>to cut a bunch of costs out of this thing,

0:12:09.640 --> 0:12:12.240
<v Speaker 6>and we're going to make it affordable as is, like

0:12:12.280 --> 0:12:14.600
<v Speaker 6>we don't need an additional model, which is a really

0:12:15.200 --> 0:12:18.839
<v Speaker 6>intriguing proposal. That is a huge, would you know, pretty

0:12:18.840 --> 0:12:22.440
<v Speaker 6>big departure from how the car industry normally does things

0:12:22.760 --> 0:12:24.880
<v Speaker 6>and in certain ways, like it is saying, maybe not

0:12:24.920 --> 0:12:27.200
<v Speaker 6>that surprising, right, that's kind of you know, Elon Musk

0:12:27.200 --> 0:12:30.600
<v Speaker 6>has long model this company after Apple. You know, Apple

0:12:30.720 --> 0:12:33.559
<v Speaker 6>sells a very you know, modest product line. All the

0:12:33.559 --> 0:12:35.680
<v Speaker 6>products kind of look the same, They're all kind of expensive.

0:12:35.720 --> 0:12:38.199
<v Speaker 6>You know, you could have sort of imagine his effort

0:12:38.280 --> 0:12:40.320
<v Speaker 6>to do this and and you know, who knows if

0:12:40.320 --> 0:12:43.199
<v Speaker 6>it's going to work, but it definitely is outside of

0:12:43.240 --> 0:12:45.840
<v Speaker 6>what you know, a normal sort of car company, nor

0:12:46.000 --> 0:12:48.719
<v Speaker 6>normal car company analyst would expect to see, would want

0:12:48.720 --> 0:12:49.000
<v Speaker 6>to see.

0:12:49.040 --> 0:12:51.200
<v Speaker 4>You know, guys, I'm looking at a live blog Creik

0:12:51.240 --> 0:12:55.200
<v Speaker 4>Canter weighing in our BNF Electric Vehicle Analysts and saying,

0:12:55.400 --> 0:12:58.920
<v Speaker 4>you know where he talks about these new models and

0:12:59.040 --> 0:13:01.760
<v Speaker 4>talks about I don't know, new models ahead of our

0:13:01.800 --> 0:13:04.280
<v Speaker 4>previously communicated startup production in the second half of twenty

0:13:04.320 --> 0:13:08.360
<v Speaker 4>twenty five, accelerating that launch, he writes by including these

0:13:08.360 --> 0:13:10.720
<v Speaker 4>statements in the investor deck, it shays Tesla has identified

0:13:10.720 --> 0:13:12.640
<v Speaker 4>that a lack of new models is a problem, but

0:13:12.800 --> 0:13:15.760
<v Speaker 4>are there actually actions being taken or just a continued

0:13:15.840 --> 0:13:18.480
<v Speaker 4>lack of clarity? And I guess you know, I'm going

0:13:18.520 --> 0:13:19.920
<v Speaker 4>to go back to you Max for a second. It

0:13:19.920 --> 0:13:23.079
<v Speaker 4>feels like, right, we want a little bit more specifics, right,

0:13:23.120 --> 0:13:24.120
<v Speaker 4>and what this means?

0:13:24.520 --> 0:13:27.600
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, again, it almost it does have the feel of

0:13:28.840 --> 0:13:31.439
<v Speaker 6>a deck that's being written for maximum optionality.

0:13:31.600 --> 0:13:34.800
<v Speaker 1>And you know, this is all happening very very quickly.

0:13:34.920 --> 0:13:38.479
<v Speaker 6>You know, we saw we've seen Elon Musk get re engaged.

0:13:38.720 --> 0:13:41.439
<v Speaker 6>It appears in any case, you know, connected this layoff

0:13:41.520 --> 0:13:44.080
<v Speaker 6>in a way that has seemed, at least according to

0:13:44.120 --> 0:13:45.959
<v Speaker 6>you know, the reports that the Bloomberg has published that

0:13:46.120 --> 0:13:49.800
<v Speaker 6>Ed has has written very hasty, and so you do

0:13:49.920 --> 0:13:52.439
<v Speaker 6>wonder like maybe they are trying to figure this out

0:13:52.679 --> 0:13:55.800
<v Speaker 6>as we speak, and who knows if we're definitely going

0:13:55.840 --> 0:13:58.319
<v Speaker 6>to get that level of clarity on the call from

0:13:58.320 --> 0:14:01.800
<v Speaker 6>Elon Musk, although given Elon m he cannot help himself

0:14:02.200 --> 0:14:04.800
<v Speaker 6>but sort of say controversial things. You know, he's got

0:14:04.800 --> 0:14:08.560
<v Speaker 6>that sort of trump characteristic of being sort of really

0:14:08.640 --> 0:14:11.840
<v Speaker 6>really honest sometimes to a fault, he may, you know,

0:14:11.840 --> 0:14:14.160
<v Speaker 6>spout something off that could send the stock in any

0:14:14.240 --> 0:14:15.079
<v Speaker 6>number of directions.

0:14:15.240 --> 0:14:17.720
<v Speaker 3>And to that point, you know, what's what are you

0:14:17.760 --> 0:14:20.400
<v Speaker 3>looking for on the call at if you're when you're

0:14:20.400 --> 0:14:21.240
<v Speaker 3>tuning in the call.

0:14:21.960 --> 0:14:23.720
<v Speaker 8>So so I don't want to be inconsistent. You know,

0:14:23.920 --> 0:14:26.560
<v Speaker 8>I posted in the blog before we kick things off clarity.

0:14:27.000 --> 0:14:30.280
<v Speaker 8>But actually, to be fair, I think that Tesla has

0:14:30.320 --> 0:14:32.600
<v Speaker 8>given us one single line of clarity. So I'm just

0:14:32.680 --> 0:14:35.400
<v Speaker 8>going to read it. This update may resolve in a

0:14:35.920 --> 0:14:41.440
<v Speaker 8>result in achieving less cost reductions than previously expected. So

0:14:41.600 --> 0:14:44.200
<v Speaker 8>Carol read out the section in which they outline the explanation.

0:14:44.600 --> 0:14:47.520
<v Speaker 8>There will be multiple affordable models, but I think that

0:14:47.600 --> 0:14:50.200
<v Speaker 8>the market, and indeed because Elon Musk kind of guided

0:14:50.280 --> 0:14:53.320
<v Speaker 8>us there, was thinking this will be a brand new model,

0:14:53.560 --> 0:14:56.040
<v Speaker 8>maybe it will be called M two, maybe it will

0:14:56.080 --> 0:15:00.240
<v Speaker 8>specifically cost twenty five thousand US dollars. I think in

0:15:00.240 --> 0:15:03.200
<v Speaker 8>that single line of the shareholder deck on page ten,

0:15:03.640 --> 0:15:06.800
<v Speaker 8>they're saying it will be less expensive than the average

0:15:06.800 --> 0:15:08.840
<v Speaker 8>cost of a while or three. Now it will not

0:15:08.960 --> 0:15:11.600
<v Speaker 8>be twenty five thousand dollars. And so now we go

0:15:11.680 --> 0:15:14.720
<v Speaker 8>to the big picture clarity, how many of these things

0:15:14.760 --> 0:15:18.160
<v Speaker 8>we build and what is the strategy with that visa

0:15:18.240 --> 0:15:22.880
<v Speaker 8>v ROBOTAXI because they all occupy the same physical production

0:15:23.000 --> 0:15:26.800
<v Speaker 8>space in Austin. Based on our understanding, I also would

0:15:26.840 --> 0:15:30.440
<v Speaker 8>think maybe the tone of Elon Musk Tim to answer

0:15:30.480 --> 0:15:33.960
<v Speaker 8>your question. I thought he'd be a bit combative and frazzled. Yeah,

0:15:34.000 --> 0:15:35.040
<v Speaker 8>now I just don't know.

0:15:36.520 --> 0:15:42.360
<v Speaker 4>Wait, wait surprised? All right, Edlerler, We're gonna let you

0:15:42.440 --> 0:15:44.520
<v Speaker 4>go because we know you've got a full play to continue.

0:15:44.520 --> 0:15:47.280
<v Speaker 4>But of course Bloomberg Technology co host ed Ludlow. But

0:15:47.320 --> 0:15:50.720
<v Speaker 4>we got to talk about with Max final minute here

0:15:50.800 --> 0:15:53.000
<v Speaker 4>or so Elon bingo.

0:15:52.920 --> 0:15:56.920
<v Speaker 6>Right, you know again, I've talked about this three months ago.

0:15:57.280 --> 0:16:00.400
<v Speaker 6>This is a thing that many Tesla watchers, balls bears,

0:16:00.440 --> 0:16:03.960
<v Speaker 6>everybody in between Elon Musk, super fans, Elon Musk's haters

0:16:04.120 --> 0:16:06.440
<v Speaker 6>tend to do, which is to kind of create a

0:16:06.440 --> 0:16:09.800
<v Speaker 6>bingo card and look for some of his catchphrases. So

0:16:10.080 --> 0:16:12.360
<v Speaker 6>we at the Elon Inc. Podcast, we've got a new

0:16:12.400 --> 0:16:15.400
<v Speaker 6>episode out right now and we have this bingo card.

0:16:15.600 --> 0:16:18.320
<v Speaker 6>Just want to flag a few items. A horse that

0:16:18.360 --> 0:16:19.360
<v Speaker 6>would be one.

0:16:19.520 --> 0:16:19.720
<v Speaker 1>Now.

0:16:19.960 --> 0:16:23.080
<v Speaker 6>Elon Musk has said that anyone who's driving a non

0:16:23.120 --> 0:16:25.840
<v Speaker 6>autonomous card, not a ROBOTAXI, it'll be like driving a

0:16:25.880 --> 0:16:28.120
<v Speaker 6>horse compared to a car. So see if he tries

0:16:28.160 --> 0:16:32.480
<v Speaker 6>that line on us, a few others and to Grock

0:16:33.920 --> 0:16:38.200
<v Speaker 6>and for reasonably optimistic, he's often reasonably optimistic about lots

0:16:38.200 --> 0:16:40.800
<v Speaker 6>of things. So so yeah, lots of fun to be

0:16:40.800 --> 0:16:42.560
<v Speaker 6>had here and we'll see if anyone gets bingo.

0:16:44.400 --> 0:16:46.520
<v Speaker 4>It's a fun card hopefully to get you.

0:16:46.480 --> 0:16:49.720
<v Speaker 3>Back in three months and also earlier than three months.

0:16:49.880 --> 0:16:51.840
<v Speaker 3>I'll be sure to check out the Elon Inc. Podcast

0:16:51.920 --> 0:16:55.000
<v Speaker 3>wherever you get your podcast. That's Max Chafkin, a columnist

0:16:55.040 --> 0:16:56.520
<v Speaker 3>for Bloomberg business Week.

0:16:57.320 --> 0:17:00.880
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

0:17:00.920 --> 0:17:04.160
<v Speaker 2>live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern Listen

0:17:04.200 --> 0:17:06.320
<v Speaker 2>on Apple car Play and then brout Auto with a

0:17:06.359 --> 0:17:10.560
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Business app, or want us live on YouTube.

0:17:11.720 --> 0:17:13.399
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, there's a lot going on today right and as

0:17:13.440 --> 0:17:15.280
<v Speaker 4>we try to keep you certainly up to date on

0:17:15.280 --> 0:17:17.000
<v Speaker 4>what's going on in DC, and it all has to

0:17:17.040 --> 0:17:20.119
<v Speaker 4>do with the ninety five billion dollars in emergency supplemental

0:17:20.160 --> 0:17:22.560
<v Speaker 4>funding that would be provided as we've been talking about

0:17:22.600 --> 0:17:25.920
<v Speaker 4>for Ukraine, Israel and also the Indo Pacific region under

0:17:25.920 --> 0:17:28.720
<v Speaker 4>that measure working its way right now on the Senate floor.

0:17:28.840 --> 0:17:31.760
<v Speaker 4>The measure would also require TikTok's Chinese owner to divest

0:17:31.800 --> 0:17:35.680
<v Speaker 4>the video sharing app impost sanctions on Iran and sees

0:17:35.760 --> 0:17:37.520
<v Speaker 4>Russian assets. So there's a lot of pieces, but the

0:17:37.520 --> 0:17:41.359
<v Speaker 4>big one really has to do with military aid, in

0:17:41.440 --> 0:17:44.240
<v Speaker 4>particular almost sixty one billion for Ukraine team.

0:17:44.320 --> 0:17:46.240
<v Speaker 3>Well, let's get to the interview. Angelas Stan is a

0:17:46.359 --> 0:17:50.160
<v Speaker 3>Russia and foreign policy expert. She's senior Fellow at Brookings Institution,

0:17:50.280 --> 0:17:53.840
<v Speaker 3>also a former National Intelligence officer for Russia and Eurasia

0:17:53.920 --> 0:17:56.680
<v Speaker 3>at the National Intelligence Council, and you also served in

0:17:56.720 --> 0:17:59.200
<v Speaker 3>the Office of Policy Planning at the US Department of State.

0:17:59.240 --> 0:18:01.960
<v Speaker 3>She's the author of the twenty nineteen book Putin's World,

0:18:02.080 --> 0:18:04.960
<v Speaker 3>Russia Against the West and With the Rest. She's also

0:18:05.000 --> 0:18:08.720
<v Speaker 3>Professor Emerita of Government and Foreign Service at Georgetown. She

0:18:08.800 --> 0:18:10.280
<v Speaker 3>joins US from Washington, DC.

0:18:10.440 --> 0:18:12.399
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, and she's been a go to throughout the Ukraine

0:18:12.440 --> 0:18:15.000
<v Speaker 4>Russian War. So Angela, good to have you here with US.

0:18:15.119 --> 0:18:18.080
<v Speaker 4>Ukraine President Zelenski telling NBC's Meet the Press over the

0:18:18.080 --> 0:18:22.000
<v Speaker 4>weekend that this US support quote will really strengthen the

0:18:22.119 --> 0:18:24.800
<v Speaker 4>armed forces of Ukraine and that now we would have

0:18:24.960 --> 0:18:28.360
<v Speaker 4>all the chance to stabilize the situation. From your perspective,

0:18:28.640 --> 0:18:31.520
<v Speaker 4>how important is this US measure from a financial perspective,

0:18:31.560 --> 0:18:35.920
<v Speaker 4>military perspective, and also from a show of support perspective.

0:18:36.359 --> 0:18:40.000
<v Speaker 7>So I think it's crucially important on all of those campts.

0:18:40.760 --> 0:18:43.760
<v Speaker 7>This vote has been six months in the making, and

0:18:43.840 --> 0:18:47.360
<v Speaker 7>in those six months, the Russians have made gains, particularly

0:18:47.359 --> 0:18:50.280
<v Speaker 7>in the last few months, and the Ukrainians have literally

0:18:50.520 --> 0:18:53.840
<v Speaker 7>been running out of ammunition and also air defenses. So

0:18:53.880 --> 0:18:56.000
<v Speaker 7>what they really need is the artillery and they need

0:18:56.040 --> 0:18:59.119
<v Speaker 7>the air defenses. And frankly, if this vote had not

0:18:59.240 --> 0:19:03.080
<v Speaker 7>taken place, and if Ukraine doesn't get the assistance, then

0:19:03.119 --> 0:19:05.960
<v Speaker 7>I think their prospects would look pretty dim by the

0:19:06.080 --> 0:19:08.480
<v Speaker 7>end of the year. If this all goes through, they

0:19:08.520 --> 0:19:11.879
<v Speaker 7>have a fighting chance, if you like, to continue pushing

0:19:11.960 --> 0:19:15.600
<v Speaker 7>back against the Russians and to do better in this

0:19:15.680 --> 0:19:18.359
<v Speaker 7>war than they have been doing for the past six months.

0:19:18.440 --> 0:19:20.320
<v Speaker 3>A fighting chance. But what would you say to critics

0:19:20.359 --> 0:19:23.479
<v Speaker 3>who say that even with this funding, you're just delaying

0:19:23.520 --> 0:19:26.160
<v Speaker 3>the inevitable of Russian win here.

0:19:27.359 --> 0:19:30.440
<v Speaker 7>I don't think it's inevitable. Our European allies have also

0:19:30.560 --> 0:19:34.680
<v Speaker 7>been stepping up and supplying more weapons, and they're financially

0:19:34.720 --> 0:19:38.119
<v Speaker 7>doing more for Ukraine than we are. European Union with

0:19:38.160 --> 0:19:45.560
<v Speaker 7>a fifteen billion a fifty billion euro financial instrument just

0:19:45.640 --> 0:19:48.639
<v Speaker 7>a few months ago money that they've given to Ukraine.

0:19:48.800 --> 0:19:52.000
<v Speaker 7>So it's not inevitable if one believes that at some

0:19:52.080 --> 0:19:55.280
<v Speaker 7>point there will be a negotiation, and there will be

0:19:55.760 --> 0:19:58.600
<v Speaker 7>There'll have to be some kind of a settlement over territory.

0:19:58.800 --> 0:20:03.840
<v Speaker 7>The Ukrainians can st gains with our assistance. And don't forget,

0:20:03.880 --> 0:20:06.480
<v Speaker 7>we should never forget. Eighty percent of this money will

0:20:06.480 --> 0:20:10.640
<v Speaker 7>go to US businesses and US jobs for people manufacturing

0:20:10.760 --> 0:20:11.440
<v Speaker 7>those weapons.

0:20:11.560 --> 0:20:11.720
<v Speaker 2>Right.

0:20:11.720 --> 0:20:13.760
<v Speaker 4>We just talked with that Joe Matthew about replenishing the

0:20:13.840 --> 0:20:16.960
<v Speaker 4>US defense dockpiles that have certainly been coming down as

0:20:16.960 --> 0:20:21.119
<v Speaker 4>a result of this support. How is Ukraine doing in

0:20:21.160 --> 0:20:23.280
<v Speaker 4>this fight? I feel like we've talked to you so

0:20:23.359 --> 0:20:25.840
<v Speaker 4>many times about kind of where we are. Do we

0:20:25.880 --> 0:20:29.160
<v Speaker 4>see an ending this year? Do we see an ending

0:20:29.200 --> 0:20:30.040
<v Speaker 4>anytime soon?

0:20:30.680 --> 0:20:31.040
<v Speaker 7>I don't know.

0:20:31.040 --> 0:20:32.399
<v Speaker 4>How do you see it at this point?

0:20:33.240 --> 0:20:35.959
<v Speaker 7>Well, so, as I said, it's been, Ukraine has suffered

0:20:36.000 --> 0:20:39.000
<v Speaker 7>some reversals in the past few months. Russians have taken

0:20:39.040 --> 0:20:42.440
<v Speaker 7>a bit more territory. The Ukrainians really have a manpower

0:20:42.480 --> 0:20:46.360
<v Speaker 7>shortage now, so a major challenge for Zelenski is to

0:20:46.480 --> 0:20:49.880
<v Speaker 7>mobilize more young men. They've lowered the draft gage now

0:20:49.880 --> 0:20:53.399
<v Speaker 7>from twenty seven to twenty five. Certainly they can go

0:20:53.480 --> 0:20:57.520
<v Speaker 7>on fighting this year and into next year. What happens

0:20:57.560 --> 0:21:01.200
<v Speaker 7>after that really is anyone's guess. It depends also whether

0:21:01.240 --> 0:21:04.160
<v Speaker 7>there's going to be more US assistance next year, which

0:21:04.200 --> 0:21:07.280
<v Speaker 7>we don't know about. But the Russians seem to be

0:21:07.359 --> 0:21:09.800
<v Speaker 7>doing pretty well now, and their economy is on a

0:21:09.840 --> 0:21:13.840
<v Speaker 7>war footing, and they're just manufacturing weapons at a very

0:21:13.920 --> 0:21:17.160
<v Speaker 7>high rate. And of course they're getting drones from Iran,

0:21:17.560 --> 0:21:21.000
<v Speaker 7>and they're getting ammunition from North Korea, and the Russians

0:21:21.040 --> 0:21:22.720
<v Speaker 7>do have more men that they can put in this

0:21:22.800 --> 0:21:24.200
<v Speaker 7>fight than the Ukrainians do.

0:21:24.640 --> 0:21:27.199
<v Speaker 3>On the US front. What did you make of the

0:21:27.359 --> 0:21:31.320
<v Speaker 3>change in position of House leadership, Professor? The idea that

0:21:31.400 --> 0:21:35.560
<v Speaker 3>well that the Speaker was against it until he wasn't right.

0:21:35.920 --> 0:21:39.119
<v Speaker 7>I think Speaker Johnson listened to a lot of people.

0:21:39.560 --> 0:21:42.200
<v Speaker 7>We know that he got briefings from the CIA director

0:21:42.240 --> 0:21:45.720
<v Speaker 7>William Burns about just what the situation was actually like

0:21:45.800 --> 0:21:48.960
<v Speaker 7>and how dire it was for the Ukrainians. He talked

0:21:49.000 --> 0:21:51.800
<v Speaker 7>to a number of top Republicans, as we know in

0:21:51.840 --> 0:21:56.320
<v Speaker 7>the Senate, starting with Mitch McConnell there and the people

0:21:56.359 --> 0:21:59.600
<v Speaker 7>who were very much in favor of this assistance. He

0:21:59.720 --> 0:22:05.359
<v Speaker 7>talked to Ukrainian evangelicals who managed to tell him that

0:22:05.359 --> 0:22:08.879
<v Speaker 7>what Marjorie Taylor Green had said about Christian's being persecuted

0:22:08.920 --> 0:22:11.800
<v Speaker 7>in Ukraine is just not true. They gain them. So

0:22:11.840 --> 0:22:14.800
<v Speaker 7>he talked to a wide variety of other people, and

0:22:14.880 --> 0:22:18.160
<v Speaker 7>in the end, I think the most important thing maybe

0:22:18.200 --> 0:22:21.320
<v Speaker 7>was going to mar Lago and meeting with former President Trump,

0:22:21.600 --> 0:22:25.000
<v Speaker 7>who himself understood that he didn't really want there to

0:22:25.040 --> 0:22:27.840
<v Speaker 7>be a Russian victory, particularly if he were then in

0:22:27.880 --> 0:22:32.320
<v Speaker 7>the White House, and therefore, despite his earlier opposition, President Trump,

0:22:32.359 --> 0:22:34.560
<v Speaker 7>he was in favor of it as long as some

0:22:34.640 --> 0:22:36.879
<v Speaker 7>of it is alone, and some of this money, I

0:22:36.920 --> 0:22:39.600
<v Speaker 7>think nine billion of it is alone, but I should

0:22:39.640 --> 0:22:41.480
<v Speaker 7>say it's a forgivable loan.

0:22:41.760 --> 0:22:46.600
<v Speaker 4>Exactly exactly How are you thinking about Vladimir Putin at

0:22:46.600 --> 0:22:50.960
<v Speaker 4>this point and how he could possibly end this war?

0:22:51.359 --> 0:22:53.000
<v Speaker 4>Does he have to save face.

0:22:54.240 --> 0:22:54.760
<v Speaker 7>And what his.

0:22:54.760 --> 0:22:58.320
<v Speaker 4>Ambitions still are when it comes to his country and

0:22:58.359 --> 0:22:59.240
<v Speaker 4>its ambitions.

0:23:00.119 --> 0:23:02.639
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, Well, the Kremlin is furious about the vote in

0:23:02.680 --> 0:23:06.399
<v Speaker 7>the House, and they're furious about this assistance. We know

0:23:06.480 --> 0:23:08.840
<v Speaker 7>that there was an emergency meeting in the Croun and

0:23:08.960 --> 0:23:12.880
<v Speaker 7>very late at night after the House passed the bill.

0:23:14.080 --> 0:23:17.200
<v Speaker 7>I don't think the Putin's ambitions in Ukraine have changed.

0:23:17.480 --> 0:23:20.520
<v Speaker 7>He still wants Russia to dominate Ukraine, and he still

0:23:20.560 --> 0:23:23.720
<v Speaker 7>wants there to be regime change in Kiev. He may

0:23:23.840 --> 0:23:26.200
<v Speaker 7>understand now that it's going to be much more difficult

0:23:26.200 --> 0:23:30.159
<v Speaker 7>to do, and he can always tell his people that

0:23:30.240 --> 0:23:34.320
<v Speaker 7>Russia has been victorious. He could settle for something less

0:23:34.359 --> 0:23:37.760
<v Speaker 7>than the maximum demands, but that would involve territory that

0:23:37.840 --> 0:23:41.960
<v Speaker 7>Russia has already taken since February of twenty twenty two.

0:23:42.080 --> 0:23:44.040
<v Speaker 7>He might not be willing to give any.

0:23:43.960 --> 0:23:44.479
<v Speaker 1>Of that up.

0:23:45.080 --> 0:23:48.159
<v Speaker 7>So with them, I think until this House vote was passed,

0:23:48.160 --> 0:23:50.640
<v Speaker 7>the Russian thought that they were really in the home

0:23:50.680 --> 0:23:53.040
<v Speaker 7>stretch of winning this war. I think now they have

0:23:53.160 --> 0:23:54.119
<v Speaker 7>to reevaluate that.

0:23:54.600 --> 0:23:57.360
<v Speaker 4>But I mean, in terms of ambitions beyond Ukraine, can

0:23:57.400 --> 0:24:00.880
<v Speaker 4>we think, do you still think that in president Vladimir

0:24:00.880 --> 0:24:03.400
<v Speaker 4>Putin Angela might have some ambitions beyond that?

0:24:04.520 --> 0:24:05.640
<v Speaker 7>Only no doubt does?

0:24:05.920 --> 0:24:06.160
<v Speaker 9>I mean?

0:24:06.200 --> 0:24:09.960
<v Speaker 7>I think the next country would be Moldova, which has

0:24:10.000 --> 0:24:13.800
<v Speaker 7>a rather fragile political system and where we know that

0:24:13.840 --> 0:24:19.199
<v Speaker 7>the Russians definitely have ambitions. The Baltic States and Poland

0:24:19.280 --> 0:24:22.080
<v Speaker 7>are obviously very concerned. I don't think it would be

0:24:22.160 --> 0:24:26.080
<v Speaker 7>possible for Russia to do another major invasion anytime of

0:24:26.119 --> 0:24:29.840
<v Speaker 7>a different country anytime soon. But it can also chip away,

0:24:30.440 --> 0:24:33.680
<v Speaker 7>particularly through the use of disinformation or in the case

0:24:33.720 --> 0:24:38.560
<v Speaker 7>of Moldova, by supporting and funding pro Russian parties that

0:24:38.640 --> 0:24:42.600
<v Speaker 7>will undermine the political system there. But certainly, as long

0:24:42.640 --> 0:24:44.879
<v Speaker 7>as he's in the Kremlin, I don't think he's going

0:24:44.920 --> 0:24:46.600
<v Speaker 7>to give up any of these ambitions.

0:24:46.880 --> 0:24:49.080
<v Speaker 3>So you know, we have been speaking to you, doctor

0:24:49.119 --> 0:24:52.560
<v Speaker 3>Sten many times over the last two plus years about

0:24:52.640 --> 0:24:56.879
<v Speaker 3>Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Given where we are, where we

0:24:56.920 --> 0:25:00.679
<v Speaker 3>are today, what is your realistic view on how it

0:25:00.680 --> 0:25:02.520
<v Speaker 3>could And you did say that Putin might not go

0:25:02.560 --> 0:25:05.679
<v Speaker 3>as far as regime change and actually taking over the

0:25:05.800 --> 0:25:09.159
<v Speaker 3>entire country. But what's a realistic way for our audience

0:25:09.200 --> 0:25:11.040
<v Speaker 3>to understand how we could see an end here?

0:25:12.600 --> 0:25:14.600
<v Speaker 7>Well, there could be there would be an end to

0:25:14.680 --> 0:25:17.600
<v Speaker 7>it if both sides, first of all, agree that it's

0:25:17.640 --> 0:25:20.679
<v Speaker 7>time to negotiate, and neither side agrees on that at

0:25:20.680 --> 0:25:27.040
<v Speaker 7>the moment, and if Ukraine, the Ukrainian side is willing

0:25:27.119 --> 0:25:32.440
<v Speaker 7>to accept a territorial settlement that falls short of their

0:25:32.520 --> 0:25:35.640
<v Speaker 7>maximum goals which of course is taking back all territory

0:25:35.840 --> 0:25:39.000
<v Speaker 7>that Russia has occupied since twenty fourteen, And if the

0:25:39.080 --> 0:25:41.720
<v Speaker 7>Russians were willing, if the Kremlin were willing to accept

0:25:42.240 --> 0:25:46.320
<v Speaker 7>a settlement that again falls short of their maximum goals,

0:25:46.320 --> 0:25:49.400
<v Speaker 7>which is taking over all of Ukraine. But I think

0:25:49.440 --> 0:25:52.160
<v Speaker 7>what we would see would be much more a ceasefire,

0:25:53.240 --> 0:25:56.480
<v Speaker 7>and then you might not it might be a Korean

0:25:56.560 --> 0:25:59.760
<v Speaker 7>situation where you actually don't have a treaty between the

0:25:59.760 --> 0:26:04.000
<v Speaker 7>two sides, but you have de facto ceasefire. But then

0:26:04.040 --> 0:26:07.600
<v Speaker 7>you would have to have troops, you know, ensuring that

0:26:07.640 --> 0:26:10.920
<v Speaker 7>the ceasefire isn't broken. And I think the Ukrainians would

0:26:10.960 --> 0:26:14.720
<v Speaker 7>have to get pretty strong security guarantees from all of

0:26:14.720 --> 0:26:19.880
<v Speaker 7>the major Western countries to bolster them, to arm them,

0:26:20.359 --> 0:26:22.920
<v Speaker 7>to try and deter any future Russian invasion.

0:26:23.040 --> 0:26:25.800
<v Speaker 4>Angela, how do you think about what happened in the

0:26:25.920 --> 0:26:28.040
<v Speaker 4>US election, who is ultimately in the White House and

0:26:28.080 --> 0:26:32.000
<v Speaker 4>what that means potentially this war is still going on,

0:26:32.560 --> 0:26:33.280
<v Speaker 4>what it might mean.

0:26:34.480 --> 0:26:38.000
<v Speaker 7>Well, so I think if President Biden is reelected, you know,

0:26:38.040 --> 0:26:41.480
<v Speaker 7>there will be continued support for Ukraine. Will the US

0:26:41.600 --> 0:26:44.199
<v Speaker 7>be willing to do more? Will it be willing to

0:26:44.280 --> 0:26:49.040
<v Speaker 7>supply Ukraine with the range of weapons that will actually

0:26:49.040 --> 0:26:50.720
<v Speaker 7>reach deep into Russian territory.

0:26:50.760 --> 0:26:51.399
<v Speaker 1>That's a question.

0:26:51.720 --> 0:26:54.879
<v Speaker 7>If President Trump wins the election, he said that he

0:26:54.880 --> 0:26:57.960
<v Speaker 7>would end the war quickly. We'll see whether that happens.

0:26:58.280 --> 0:27:01.640
<v Speaker 7>But I think even if if he were instrumental in

0:27:02.240 --> 0:27:06.840
<v Speaker 7>ending the war, I presume that a Trump administration would

0:27:06.920 --> 0:27:12.000
<v Speaker 7>want to have a settlement in which Ukraine isn't completely

0:27:12.040 --> 0:27:14.719
<v Speaker 7>defeated and Russia can say that it won. I'm not

0:27:14.760 --> 0:27:17.840
<v Speaker 7>sure that that would be in their interest or in

0:27:17.880 --> 0:27:20.920
<v Speaker 7>the interests of the United States. So I'm not sure

0:27:20.960 --> 0:27:23.119
<v Speaker 7>how they would do that, but I think that would

0:27:23.320 --> 0:27:25.119
<v Speaker 7>that's ultimately determined what they do.

0:27:25.280 --> 0:27:28.080
<v Speaker 3>That's my question, doctor sent Short of actually using American force,

0:27:28.160 --> 0:27:30.080
<v Speaker 3>how does the US and a war.

0:27:32.520 --> 0:27:36.080
<v Speaker 7>Well, I mean, if the Trump administration were to say

0:27:36.080 --> 0:27:39.760
<v Speaker 7>to Ukraine, Okay, we're cutting off all funding, and if

0:27:39.800 --> 0:27:43.480
<v Speaker 7>the Europeans began to cut off their funding, then of

0:27:43.480 --> 0:27:46.040
<v Speaker 7>course it would be very difficult for the Ukrainians to

0:27:46.320 --> 0:27:48.800
<v Speaker 7>continue fighting, although they would fight as long as they

0:27:48.800 --> 0:27:53.720
<v Speaker 7>could with whatever they had now. So that's one scenario,

0:27:55.160 --> 0:27:57.919
<v Speaker 7>which would be to force them to the negotiating table,

0:27:58.040 --> 0:28:00.360
<v Speaker 7>but that would take some time too.

0:28:00.800 --> 0:28:02.840
<v Speaker 4>Hey, just to recap everybody. We are, of course talking

0:28:02.840 --> 0:28:05.480
<v Speaker 4>with the Angela Stent Senior fell at the Brookings Institution.

0:28:05.600 --> 0:28:08.160
<v Speaker 4>But again, just moments ago, the US Senate has enough

0:28:08.200 --> 0:28:11.840
<v Speaker 4>votes to advance the ninety five billion dollar aid package

0:28:11.920 --> 0:28:15.320
<v Speaker 4>providing funding to Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan. The vote to

0:28:15.359 --> 0:28:17.639
<v Speaker 4>limit debate and move to final passage as soon as

0:28:17.640 --> 0:28:21.440
<v Speaker 4>today is though ongoing, and as we've mentioned also, there

0:28:21.440 --> 0:28:24.720
<v Speaker 4>were four pieces, if you will, to this measure. The

0:28:24.720 --> 0:28:27.359
<v Speaker 4>package includes a measure that would force ByteDance to divest

0:28:27.400 --> 0:28:29.560
<v Speaker 4>its ownership of TikTok or face a band here in

0:28:29.600 --> 0:28:31.879
<v Speaker 4>the United States. But again, as we talked about with

0:28:31.920 --> 0:28:34.639
<v Speaker 4>Joe Matthew earlier, this is very key in kind of

0:28:34.640 --> 0:28:36.480
<v Speaker 4>basically putting an end to a lot of the debate

0:28:36.520 --> 0:28:38.480
<v Speaker 4>that was happening on the floor and moving it along.

0:28:38.560 --> 0:28:40.600
<v Speaker 3>So it raises the question for you, doctor stan about

0:28:40.680 --> 0:28:43.920
<v Speaker 3>if you think that this bill, potential bill, this measure

0:28:44.120 --> 0:28:45.000
<v Speaker 3>goes far enough.

0:28:46.640 --> 0:28:49.440
<v Speaker 7>I think it goes far enough. So far, yes, I mean,

0:28:49.680 --> 0:28:53.520
<v Speaker 7>if we're going to supply Ukraine with long range missiles,

0:28:53.800 --> 0:28:56.440
<v Speaker 7>which we are, I do know that we already have

0:28:56.520 --> 0:28:59.760
<v Speaker 7>some weapons over the border in Poland. President Biden to

0:29:00.200 --> 0:29:02.680
<v Speaker 7>in Zelensky on Monday that some of those weapons can

0:29:02.720 --> 0:29:05.600
<v Speaker 7>get to Ukraine very quickly as long as he gets

0:29:05.600 --> 0:29:08.640
<v Speaker 7>the legislation on his desk to sign it. But I

0:29:08.680 --> 0:29:11.719
<v Speaker 7>think hopefully it's not the last assistance package that they

0:29:11.760 --> 0:29:12.800
<v Speaker 7>will be for Ukraine.

0:29:12.840 --> 0:29:15.160
<v Speaker 4>All Right, Kurn leave with there as always keeping us

0:29:15.200 --> 0:29:17.240
<v Speaker 4>up to date on this and really giving us some perspective.

0:29:17.280 --> 0:29:20.040
<v Speaker 4>Angela Stent, Senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. Her book

0:29:20.200 --> 0:29:22.720
<v Speaker 4>Putin's World, Russia against the West and with the rest

0:29:22.960 --> 0:29:27.200
<v Speaker 4>former policy and intelligence official joining us there. From the

0:29:27.280 --> 0:29:28.400
<v Speaker 4>nation's capital.

0:29:29.440 --> 0:29:33.320
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Listen live

0:29:33.400 --> 0:29:36.320
<v Speaker 2>each weekday starting at two pm Eastern on Apple car

0:29:36.360 --> 0:29:39.320
<v Speaker 2>Play and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. You

0:29:39.360 --> 0:29:42.600
<v Speaker 2>can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship

0:29:42.640 --> 0:29:46.480
<v Speaker 2>New York station just Say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:29:48.280 --> 0:29:48.400
<v Speaker 9>Well.

0:29:48.400 --> 0:29:50.360
<v Speaker 3>We spent a good portion of our program earlier talking

0:29:50.360 --> 0:29:52.640
<v Speaker 3>about the sweeping foreign aid package making its way through

0:29:52.640 --> 0:29:55.680
<v Speaker 3>the capital, with emergency supplemental funding for Ukraine, Israel in

0:29:55.720 --> 0:29:59.000
<v Speaker 3>the Indo Pacific region. Another part of the measure would

0:29:59.000 --> 0:30:02.880
<v Speaker 3>also require TikTok Chinese owner to divest the video sharing app,

0:30:02.880 --> 0:30:04.200
<v Speaker 3>and that's where we want to go.

0:30:04.160 --> 0:30:05.960
<v Speaker 4>Now, Yeah, we do, and we've got a great roundtable

0:30:06.000 --> 0:30:08.560
<v Speaker 4>to do it. Bloomberg News Technology reporter Alex Barrinka and

0:30:08.600 --> 0:30:12.520
<v Speaker 4>Bloomberg Opinion US Technology columnist Dave Lee are both here

0:30:12.560 --> 0:30:14.480
<v Speaker 4>with us. Both of them have been all over this

0:30:14.640 --> 0:30:17.640
<v Speaker 4>story from the very beginning. Alex joining us out there

0:30:17.640 --> 0:30:19.880
<v Speaker 4>in our La Bureau Davis right here in our Bloomberg

0:30:19.920 --> 0:30:23.240
<v Speaker 4>Interactive Broker studio. Alex, let me start with you. We've

0:30:23.280 --> 0:30:25.560
<v Speaker 4>been talking so much about this measure making its way

0:30:26.760 --> 0:30:30.760
<v Speaker 4>through the Senate through lawmakers. It does have this provision

0:30:30.760 --> 0:30:33.560
<v Speaker 4>for TikTok and a band. Specifically, let me just go

0:30:33.640 --> 0:30:37.520
<v Speaker 4>to it sanctions the TikTok sanctions Russian assets other language.

0:30:37.520 --> 0:30:41.000
<v Speaker 4>That's kind of the other fourth chunk of it. Long

0:30:41.080 --> 0:30:43.880
<v Speaker 4>way though before we would see TikTok band here in

0:30:43.880 --> 0:30:44.760
<v Speaker 4>the United States.

0:30:45.840 --> 0:30:48.200
<v Speaker 10>Certainly, if this bill does get signed into law, which

0:30:48.240 --> 0:30:50.040
<v Speaker 10>a lot of folks who are watching the progression of

0:30:50.080 --> 0:30:52.320
<v Speaker 10>it think will happen as soon as this week, there

0:30:52.320 --> 0:30:56.360
<v Speaker 10>would be about a year for byte Dance to have

0:30:56.440 --> 0:30:58.560
<v Speaker 10>some kind of separation from TikTok. That is, Byte Dance,

0:30:58.600 --> 0:31:02.200
<v Speaker 10>TikTok's Chinese parent company who under this law would be

0:31:02.360 --> 0:31:06.600
<v Speaker 10>forced to basically sell its stake. It is a company

0:31:06.600 --> 0:31:10.520
<v Speaker 10>in a foreign adversary country. China has laws that potentially

0:31:11.240 --> 0:31:13.800
<v Speaker 10>can allow for data from byte Dance to be seen

0:31:13.840 --> 0:31:16.320
<v Speaker 10>by the Chinese government. Those are the heart of the

0:31:16.400 --> 0:31:20.000
<v Speaker 10>concerns from the Senate. But I will tell you if

0:31:20.040 --> 0:31:22.880
<v Speaker 10>this law does pass and does force byte Dance to

0:31:22.880 --> 0:31:25.120
<v Speaker 10>go through some separation, that's not the end of the fight.

0:31:25.640 --> 0:31:27.320
<v Speaker 9>Our sources familiar.

0:31:26.880 --> 0:31:29.400
<v Speaker 10>With the thinking both that Bite Dance and TikTok have

0:31:29.480 --> 0:31:32.320
<v Speaker 10>said that this is going to head to the courts

0:31:32.520 --> 0:31:35.920
<v Speaker 10>first before Byte Dance will be willing to just easily

0:31:35.960 --> 0:31:38.480
<v Speaker 10>throw up its hands and say, hey, yeah, sure we'll

0:31:38.480 --> 0:31:39.960
<v Speaker 10>get rid of this really valuable asset.

0:31:40.040 --> 0:31:42.280
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, well, you've got one hundred and seventy million US users.

0:31:42.280 --> 0:31:44.720
<v Speaker 4>You don't just walk away from it. Dave, let's bring

0:31:44.720 --> 0:31:47.120
<v Speaker 4>you into this. Should there even be a fight at all,

0:31:47.280 --> 0:31:50.840
<v Speaker 4>because we do wonder about, you know, is the US,

0:31:50.920 --> 0:31:52.520
<v Speaker 4>as you write in your column, you know, a little

0:31:52.560 --> 0:31:55.440
<v Speaker 4>bit being you know, hypocritical in terms of the pushback

0:31:55.480 --> 0:31:57.520
<v Speaker 4>against TikTok. How are you seeing it? How are you

0:31:57.520 --> 0:31:58.120
<v Speaker 4>thinking about it?

0:31:58.240 --> 0:31:58.360
<v Speaker 9>Well?

0:31:58.360 --> 0:32:00.920
<v Speaker 11>I think one of the big questions about how this

0:32:01.120 --> 0:32:03.840
<v Speaker 11>entire episode has happened, is, you know, the nature of

0:32:03.880 --> 0:32:07.040
<v Speaker 11>which this has been very very quickly moved through the process,

0:32:07.080 --> 0:32:09.280
<v Speaker 11>through the House, through the Senate, as we've just seen today,

0:32:10.560 --> 0:32:14.320
<v Speaker 11>without much scrutiny of what exactly the concern about TikTok is.

0:32:14.360 --> 0:32:17.040
<v Speaker 11>Now there's you know, there's one framing of the app

0:32:17.080 --> 0:32:18.880
<v Speaker 11>as being and I think I described it this way

0:32:18.880 --> 0:32:21.760
<v Speaker 11>and the pieces as like a coiled spring, right, a

0:32:21.800 --> 0:32:24.680
<v Speaker 11>method by which it's China. Should they ever want to

0:32:24.720 --> 0:32:28.280
<v Speaker 11>be able to sort of exert this extreme influence over

0:32:28.360 --> 0:32:30.959
<v Speaker 11>many people in America one hundred and seventy million users,

0:32:31.320 --> 0:32:33.480
<v Speaker 11>many of them young users as well, that might be

0:32:33.640 --> 0:32:38.000
<v Speaker 11>receptive to certain messaging. However, we haven't actually seen evidence

0:32:38.040 --> 0:32:41.480
<v Speaker 11>of that happening. And while we've heard a lot of

0:32:41.920 --> 0:32:47.240
<v Speaker 11>discussion around how senators and representatives have had these briefings,

0:32:47.280 --> 0:32:50.600
<v Speaker 11>these kind of behind closed doors briefings, I think it's

0:32:50.640 --> 0:32:52.360
<v Speaker 11>going to take a little bit more to convince the

0:32:52.360 --> 0:32:54.880
<v Speaker 11>public that this was a move done for those reasons.

0:32:55.040 --> 0:32:57.120
<v Speaker 11>And also, as we're just hearing from from Alex you know,

0:32:57.160 --> 0:32:59.120
<v Speaker 11>this is going to go to the courts, and the

0:32:59.760 --> 0:33:02.360
<v Speaker 11>question there is going to be why Is this not

0:33:02.440 --> 0:33:05.360
<v Speaker 11>something that tramples the free speech rights of the user

0:33:05.360 --> 0:33:08.520
<v Speaker 11>of TikTok? What is the national security argument?

0:33:09.320 --> 0:33:12.600
<v Speaker 3>Let's see it well, Alex, how would proponents of a

0:33:12.640 --> 0:33:14.880
<v Speaker 3>bill to ban TikTok in the US respond to what

0:33:14.960 --> 0:33:17.280
<v Speaker 3>Dave was just talking about? What is the national security

0:33:17.360 --> 0:33:17.920
<v Speaker 3>argument here?

0:33:19.080 --> 0:33:19.880
<v Speaker 9>Like he said, it's.

0:33:19.760 --> 0:33:23.800
<v Speaker 10>Been kind of a trust us its scary type of argument.

0:33:24.040 --> 0:33:27.120
<v Speaker 10>You've heard folks say that, oh, the government could get

0:33:27.120 --> 0:33:30.080
<v Speaker 10>its hands on sensitive user data, things like your name,

0:33:30.160 --> 0:33:34.479
<v Speaker 10>your address, what you're interested in, where your location is.

0:33:35.040 --> 0:33:38.720
<v Speaker 10>They also have gone down this path, like Dave was

0:33:38.760 --> 0:33:42.520
<v Speaker 10>talking about, around influence, saying, hey, well the Chinese government

0:33:42.560 --> 0:33:45.800
<v Speaker 10>could influence what these vulnerable young minds could see. But

0:33:45.920 --> 0:33:48.400
<v Speaker 10>on both sides of those issues, we haven't heard a

0:33:48.400 --> 0:33:52.280
<v Speaker 10>lot from lawmakers. We've actually heard also from some lawmakers

0:33:52.320 --> 0:33:54.720
<v Speaker 10>who have been in these closed door briefings who said

0:33:55.160 --> 0:33:58.240
<v Speaker 10>what they're hearing is really similar to their experience actually

0:33:58.320 --> 0:34:00.959
<v Speaker 10>on other social media apps who are not owned by

0:34:01.040 --> 0:34:04.200
<v Speaker 10>a Chinese parent company. As this does go to the courts,

0:34:04.240 --> 0:34:06.440
<v Speaker 10>I think Dave's question is the right one. When are

0:34:06.440 --> 0:34:08.000
<v Speaker 10>we going to see the proof? And is that the

0:34:08.080 --> 0:34:10.719
<v Speaker 10>right venue? I will remind you guys. I think we

0:34:10.719 --> 0:34:12.520
<v Speaker 10>talked about it a month ago when we published the

0:34:12.520 --> 0:34:15.160
<v Speaker 10>story and Business Week. There was a nineteen sixty five

0:34:15.239 --> 0:34:19.080
<v Speaker 10>Supreme Court case where the US Postal Service was trying

0:34:19.080 --> 0:34:23.480
<v Speaker 10>to limit Chinese propaganda going to American users, and Scotis

0:34:23.480 --> 0:34:27.160
<v Speaker 10>actually ruled that Americans have every right to see Chinese

0:34:27.239 --> 0:34:31.040
<v Speaker 10>propaganda and the government cannot intervene. So depending on kind

0:34:31.080 --> 0:34:34.160
<v Speaker 10>of which legal battle lands, where there's an expectation that

0:34:34.200 --> 0:34:37.880
<v Speaker 10>there could be several different arguments that are pushed against

0:34:37.880 --> 0:34:40.640
<v Speaker 10>this bill. If it's signed into law, it might be

0:34:40.800 --> 0:34:43.680
<v Speaker 10>we might see some onus on the government to sort

0:34:43.680 --> 0:34:46.880
<v Speaker 10>of justify some of these things, depending on what TikTok

0:34:47.000 --> 0:34:50.120
<v Speaker 10>or other plaintiffs like creators or merchants, whoever ends up

0:34:50.120 --> 0:34:53.400
<v Speaker 10>in those legal battles, whatever argument they bring forward, we

0:34:53.520 --> 0:34:55.960
<v Speaker 10>might need to see some proof for the judicial system

0:34:56.000 --> 0:34:57.600
<v Speaker 10>to work things out.

0:34:58.080 --> 0:34:59.920
<v Speaker 4>David, you know, I also do wonder this whole li.

0:35:00.120 --> 0:35:01.960
<v Speaker 4>I feel like freedom of speech is just really a

0:35:01.960 --> 0:35:03.920
<v Speaker 4>big issue we're trying to kind of grapple with in

0:35:04.000 --> 0:35:07.440
<v Speaker 4>the US with it or globally really in a social

0:35:07.480 --> 0:35:10.400
<v Speaker 4>media world. Having said that, you know, I'm trying to

0:35:10.400 --> 0:35:11.960
<v Speaker 4>figure out what the real issue is it is it

0:35:12.000 --> 0:35:14.520
<v Speaker 4>that China can just peep into things that have access

0:35:14.520 --> 0:35:17.120
<v Speaker 4>to the information. As you say, China could save itself

0:35:17.120 --> 0:35:19.120
<v Speaker 4>a lot of time and effort by buying America's data

0:35:19.120 --> 0:35:21.439
<v Speaker 4>from the many shady brokers happy to sell it to them.

0:35:21.640 --> 0:35:24.359
<v Speaker 4>So there's a lot of information already out there. And

0:35:24.400 --> 0:35:27.560
<v Speaker 4>to be fair, many would argue the US government also

0:35:28.040 --> 0:35:30.360
<v Speaker 4>is tapping into things and accessing a lot of data

0:35:30.400 --> 0:35:32.399
<v Speaker 4>on its adversaries.

0:35:32.640 --> 0:35:32.920
<v Speaker 1>Yes.

0:35:32.920 --> 0:35:35.319
<v Speaker 11>Absolutely, And you know one of the parts of this

0:35:35.400 --> 0:35:38.000
<v Speaker 11>debate that comes up is that you know, China doesn't

0:35:38.000 --> 0:35:45.720
<v Speaker 11>allow US apps to to become popular. Yeah, deliberation become

0:35:45.760 --> 0:35:48.960
<v Speaker 11>popular in China. So you know there is this sort

0:35:48.960 --> 0:35:51.400
<v Speaker 11>of back and forth here on this. I argue in

0:35:51.440 --> 0:35:53.480
<v Speaker 11>the column that you know, America likes to think it

0:35:53.680 --> 0:35:56.000
<v Speaker 11>holds itself to a higher standard than China on these

0:35:56.080 --> 0:35:58.359
<v Speaker 11>kind of things, which is which you know historically has

0:35:58.400 --> 0:36:03.400
<v Speaker 11>been true. But you know, the question of user data,

0:36:03.560 --> 0:36:05.640
<v Speaker 11>a lot of it comes down to this. The algorithm

0:36:05.640 --> 0:36:07.120
<v Speaker 11>that TikTok hats, right, and this is you know, the

0:36:07.120 --> 0:36:10.400
<v Speaker 11>most lucrative algorithm in the world. And it's interesting that

0:36:10.440 --> 0:36:14.279
<v Speaker 11>even if TikTok was to be sold to a US

0:36:14.400 --> 0:36:17.399
<v Speaker 11>owner China has signaled that the algorithm wouldn't be part

0:36:17.440 --> 0:36:19.879
<v Speaker 11>of that sale, and so the question might then be, well,

0:36:20.360 --> 0:36:22.600
<v Speaker 11>use what value is the app? Anyway, even if it

0:36:22.680 --> 0:36:25.719
<v Speaker 11>was to be divested, which you know, any buyer would

0:36:25.760 --> 0:36:28.200
<v Speaker 11>be very, very aware of the fact that they weren't

0:36:28.200 --> 0:36:30.360
<v Speaker 11>getting the secret source of what TikTok is.

0:36:30.480 --> 0:36:32.200
<v Speaker 4>Alex come in on this, like, I do think we're

0:36:32.200 --> 0:36:34.640
<v Speaker 4>grappling with this idea of you know, data, who owned it,

0:36:34.680 --> 0:36:37.600
<v Speaker 4>who gets access to it, and freedom of information or

0:36:37.680 --> 0:36:40.080
<v Speaker 4>not freedom of information, but freedom of speech. Like, help

0:36:40.160 --> 0:36:42.160
<v Speaker 4>me out how you're seeing this and how it's kind

0:36:42.160 --> 0:36:45.000
<v Speaker 4>of working its way through the global tech industry.

0:36:45.880 --> 0:36:48.920
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, and it's kind of happening both in TikTok's argument,

0:36:48.920 --> 0:36:52.440
<v Speaker 10>who's saying, Look, if we want to protect users, we

0:36:52.480 --> 0:36:55.400
<v Speaker 10>need to have comprehensive data privacy policy and not just

0:36:55.480 --> 0:36:59.560
<v Speaker 10>you guys coming after us and fighting on ownership issues. Obviously,

0:37:00.160 --> 0:37:03.879
<v Speaker 10>the likes of some of TikTok's biggest competitors are not

0:37:03.920 --> 0:37:06.799
<v Speaker 10>always the friendliest of the idea of new legislation. I'll

0:37:06.800 --> 0:37:08.640
<v Speaker 10>also point to what I've seen from users.

0:37:08.680 --> 0:37:10.440
<v Speaker 9>I've been spending a lot of time on TikTok.

0:37:10.480 --> 0:37:12.600
<v Speaker 10>Per usual, it is my job, and a lot of

0:37:12.640 --> 0:37:14.880
<v Speaker 10>folks are really upset that they feel like the government

0:37:14.960 --> 0:37:16.799
<v Speaker 10>is getting in the way of a place that they

0:37:17.080 --> 0:37:17.919
<v Speaker 10>feel is.

0:37:18.400 --> 0:37:20.640
<v Speaker 9>Very amicable to regular people.

0:37:20.719 --> 0:37:22.880
<v Speaker 10>Going viral and talking on the app, TikTok kind of

0:37:22.960 --> 0:37:25.680
<v Speaker 10>changed the game to that extent. So when it comes

0:37:25.719 --> 0:37:27.960
<v Speaker 10>down to this kind of freedom of speech argument, I'm

0:37:27.960 --> 0:37:31.400
<v Speaker 10>also very fascinated to see how people take this bill

0:37:31.680 --> 0:37:34.680
<v Speaker 10>if it becomes law going into the election. Are they

0:37:34.719 --> 0:37:38.480
<v Speaker 10>looking at who their legislators are, who the president is,

0:37:38.600 --> 0:37:40.800
<v Speaker 10>Joe Biden, who would be the one signing this, and

0:37:41.200 --> 0:37:44.160
<v Speaker 10>taking that into account as they sign this bill, and

0:37:44.280 --> 0:37:47.160
<v Speaker 10>also does TikTok maybe try to wait until there's a

0:37:47.160 --> 0:37:50.479
<v Speaker 10>friendly administration. Donald Trump, the president who signed the first

0:37:50.560 --> 0:37:53.880
<v Speaker 10>executive order to ban the app, has now since changed

0:37:53.880 --> 0:37:57.680
<v Speaker 10>his tune, saying the app should probably stay in America

0:37:57.920 --> 0:37:59.760
<v Speaker 10>and that those are his feelings these days.

0:38:00.280 --> 0:38:03.719
<v Speaker 9>That argument will be one that I'm sure will come up, particularly.

0:38:03.120 --> 0:38:06.080
<v Speaker 10>In the eyes of users and in the eyes of

0:38:06.120 --> 0:38:07.680
<v Speaker 10>TikTok will take this to the courts.

0:38:07.719 --> 0:38:09.799
<v Speaker 3>Hey, Dave, I'm wondering in your in your reporting in

0:38:09.800 --> 0:38:12.520
<v Speaker 3>the column that you wrote the idea of it's not

0:38:12.600 --> 0:38:14.480
<v Speaker 3>this is not necessarily part of the band. But one

0:38:14.480 --> 0:38:16.319
<v Speaker 3>thing that I hear from parents all the time is

0:38:16.360 --> 0:38:20.640
<v Speaker 3>that it's completely addictive. The algorithm serves up content that

0:38:20.719 --> 0:38:23.279
<v Speaker 3>I don't necessarily want my kid to see all the time.

0:38:24.239 --> 0:38:27.239
<v Speaker 3>And there are arguments, and I don't know to what

0:38:27.360 --> 0:38:30.920
<v Speaker 3>extent that these are baseless arguments about how the Chinese

0:38:31.000 --> 0:38:34.960
<v Speaker 3>version of TikTok douyan Is serves different content than what

0:38:35.120 --> 0:38:38.360
<v Speaker 3>Americans see on the Byte Dance TikTok version here in

0:38:38.400 --> 0:38:39.080
<v Speaker 3>the US.

0:38:39.400 --> 0:38:41.200
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, I don't think they've actually been backed up by

0:38:41.320 --> 0:38:44.160
<v Speaker 11>sort of firm da and the differences suggestion on Douyen

0:38:44.239 --> 0:38:47.080
<v Speaker 11>you'll get think things about math and rights and where

0:38:47.080 --> 0:38:48.240
<v Speaker 11>it was on TikTok, you'll get.

0:38:48.120 --> 0:38:50.439
<v Speaker 3>People love to talk about. But I get to see

0:38:50.480 --> 0:38:50.960
<v Speaker 3>proof of that.

0:38:51.120 --> 0:38:53.520
<v Speaker 11>Yes, same s. I mean, I think it's an interesting

0:38:54.040 --> 0:38:56.319
<v Speaker 11>fool that that could help be happening. I think one

0:38:56.360 --> 0:38:59.879
<v Speaker 11>of the things that striking to me about how many

0:39:00.040 --> 0:39:02.879
<v Speaker 11>people on TikTok are viewing this and like Alex, it's

0:39:03.080 --> 0:39:04.960
<v Speaker 11>my job, that's my excuse I use for.

0:39:04.920 --> 0:39:06.239
<v Speaker 1>You all the time as well.

0:39:07.000 --> 0:39:09.720
<v Speaker 4>Right, ninety nine point nine percent is for work, point

0:39:09.840 --> 0:39:12.560
<v Speaker 4>one might be for your own.

0:39:13.200 --> 0:39:15.879
<v Speaker 11>But this the reaction is many of them are saying, well,

0:39:15.880 --> 0:39:19.239
<v Speaker 11>hold on, there's a bill to protect children online that's

0:39:19.280 --> 0:39:21.640
<v Speaker 11>currently stalled in Congress.

0:39:21.760 --> 0:39:22.800
<v Speaker 1>There's another bill.

0:39:22.640 --> 0:39:25.640
<v Speaker 11>To put a data privacy law on the books finally

0:39:25.680 --> 0:39:29.080
<v Speaker 11>in America. That seems like a big struggle to get

0:39:29.080 --> 0:39:30.960
<v Speaker 11>that passed as well. I think many people look at

0:39:31.000 --> 0:39:32.719
<v Speaker 11>this and said, why is it that this issue, that

0:39:32.760 --> 0:39:36.520
<v Speaker 11>TikTok issue, has flown through like nothing else, and yet

0:39:36.560 --> 0:39:40.600
<v Speaker 11>these fundamental laws that could protect users more broadly have

0:39:40.760 --> 0:39:42.279
<v Speaker 11>just sort of time and time again.

0:39:43.200 --> 0:39:44.879
<v Speaker 4>I just want to be compensated for all my data

0:39:44.920 --> 0:39:47.400
<v Speaker 4>that's helping people. Alex One last thought, and Dave has

0:39:47.400 --> 0:39:49.160
<v Speaker 4>this in his story that it's interesting, you know, we

0:39:49.239 --> 0:39:51.280
<v Speaker 4>do this all the time. We wonder about the folks

0:39:51.320 --> 0:39:55.440
<v Speaker 4>in Washington. No disrespect lawmakers, but whether they really understand it.

0:39:55.480 --> 0:39:57.879
<v Speaker 4>And Dave, you put in your story a senator asking

0:39:57.920 --> 0:40:00.800
<v Speaker 4>Mark Zuckerberg how does Facebook make money? Or when TikTok

0:40:00.920 --> 0:40:04.640
<v Speaker 4>CEOs was asked whether the app connects to home Wi Fi.

0:40:04.800 --> 0:40:07.680
<v Speaker 4>So there is this understanding that maybe not everybody understands

0:40:07.680 --> 0:40:11.600
<v Speaker 4>how it all works. Last thirty seconds? Is that important?

0:40:11.800 --> 0:40:13.880
<v Speaker 4>Like that maybe they're not so up on it.

0:40:14.040 --> 0:40:16.960
<v Speaker 9>The lawmakers users think it's really important.

0:40:17.040 --> 0:40:19.480
<v Speaker 10>They think that again, this is a place where folks

0:40:19.560 --> 0:40:21.320
<v Speaker 10>have been there to be able to share their mind,

0:40:21.600 --> 0:40:23.360
<v Speaker 10>and they feel like the government is taking away a

0:40:23.400 --> 0:40:26.000
<v Speaker 10>place where a lot of the TikTok users feel like

0:40:26.000 --> 0:40:29.760
<v Speaker 10>they're getting kind of a unvetted, raw view of what's

0:40:29.760 --> 0:40:32.040
<v Speaker 10>happening in the world, and it's it's a kind of

0:40:32.080 --> 0:40:35.040
<v Speaker 10>platform for them to share their thoughts. So certainly those

0:40:35.120 --> 0:40:37.520
<v Speaker 10>kind of questions turn heads freezers of TikTok.

0:40:37.719 --> 0:40:40.120
<v Speaker 4>And Facebook makes money by advertising by their way and

0:40:40.239 --> 0:40:42.840
<v Speaker 4>no you cannot connect it to you, and by selling.

0:40:45.239 --> 0:40:45.359
<v Speaker 2>Too.

0:40:45.560 --> 0:40:48.160
<v Speaker 4>Alex Barenka, Dave Lae, We wanted to do this round table.

0:40:48.200 --> 0:40:50.120
<v Speaker 4>You did it so well. Thank you so much. This

0:40:50.440 --> 0:40:56.520
<v Speaker 4>is Bloomberg, Markle.

0:40:57.880 --> 0:40:58.560
<v Speaker 1>The Journal.

0:40:59.560 --> 0:41:00.600
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, but you let me drive?

0:41:00.840 --> 0:41:06.279
<v Speaker 1>Oh no, no, no, no, honey, please, how do the gravels?

0:41:06.719 --> 0:41:08.080
<v Speaker 1>Let's I want to drive.

0:41:08.120 --> 0:41:11.280
<v Speaker 4>It's a good question.

0:41:15.040 --> 0:41:18.560
<v Speaker 2>This is the drive to the globe. Do me well,

0:41:18.640 --> 0:41:21.480
<v Speaker 2>Bern on Bloomberg Radio.

0:41:23.680 --> 0:41:26.520
<v Speaker 4>All right, everybody just got about eighteen minutes left in

0:41:26.560 --> 0:41:30.600
<v Speaker 4>today's trading session, getting ready to wrap shortly the Tuesday trade.

0:41:30.640 --> 0:41:33.200
<v Speaker 4>Having said that, our next guest says, large profitable tech

0:41:33.200 --> 0:41:36.359
<v Speaker 4>companies are beneficiaries of higher interest rates. She goes so

0:41:36.440 --> 0:41:39.960
<v Speaker 4>far to call them the new defensive companies. And yes, folks,

0:41:40.000 --> 0:41:43.760
<v Speaker 4>she meets companies like Apple, Meta, Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet.

0:41:43.800 --> 0:41:44.480
<v Speaker 4>So let's get to it.

0:41:44.680 --> 0:41:46.840
<v Speaker 3>We're talking about none other than Nancy Tangler, CEO and

0:41:46.880 --> 0:41:50.200
<v Speaker 3>a chief investment officer at Laffer Tangler Investments, also the

0:41:50.239 --> 0:41:53.319
<v Speaker 3>author of a women's guide to successful investing. She's here

0:41:53.360 --> 0:41:57.240
<v Speaker 3>in our Bloomberg Interactive Broker's studio. So the new defensive.

0:41:57.360 --> 0:42:01.959
<v Speaker 3>Typically when we see rates go up, the large well,

0:42:02.080 --> 0:42:05.880
<v Speaker 3>a lot of tech companies, particularly unprofitable tech companies move lower.

0:42:06.600 --> 0:42:09.440
<v Speaker 3>But why tech overall? Is it because of just the

0:42:09.480 --> 0:42:11.600
<v Speaker 3>cash that they have on their balance sheets?

0:42:12.040 --> 0:42:14.280
<v Speaker 12>Well, I thank you for that intro.

0:42:14.719 --> 0:42:16.400
<v Speaker 4>I hope you're welcome.

0:42:17.600 --> 0:42:21.200
<v Speaker 12>I think the secular narrative is a tailwind for these

0:42:21.239 --> 0:42:23.240
<v Speaker 12>companies and we're going to hear about that with AI

0:42:23.520 --> 0:42:26.920
<v Speaker 12>in the coming earnings reports and how much it is

0:42:26.960 --> 0:42:29.160
<v Speaker 12>impacting earnings. But yeah, I mean, if you look at

0:42:29.160 --> 0:42:33.240
<v Speaker 12>a company like Meta, their earned interest earned on cash

0:42:33.480 --> 0:42:35.640
<v Speaker 12>went up threefold. Google went up.

0:42:35.520 --> 0:42:36.360
<v Speaker 4>Seventy eight percent.

0:42:36.440 --> 0:42:39.160
<v Speaker 12>And the leader in this it's real money, it's real,

0:42:39.520 --> 0:42:41.719
<v Speaker 12>real money, and the leader in this pack is Microsoft,

0:42:42.000 --> 0:42:45.080
<v Speaker 12>which had a blowout second quarter last year and has

0:42:45.080 --> 0:42:48.160
<v Speaker 12>continued to accumulate cash. And then you sort of add

0:42:48.200 --> 0:42:50.680
<v Speaker 12>to that the fact that nobody can get any M

0:42:50.760 --> 0:42:53.000
<v Speaker 12>and A through this FTC. I think you're going to

0:42:53.040 --> 0:42:56.080
<v Speaker 12>start to see some return of capital shareholders.

0:42:56.440 --> 0:42:58.640
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, it's kind of interesting. I feel like there's momentum.

0:42:58.680 --> 0:43:00.960
<v Speaker 4>I think courtesy of you. I think Abigail do that.

0:43:00.960 --> 0:43:02.359
<v Speaker 3>That's what I was thinking when I asked the question,

0:43:02.480 --> 0:43:04.520
<v Speaker 3>or own Abigail do a little Chief Markets correspondent mentioned

0:43:04.520 --> 0:43:06.120
<v Speaker 3>this a couple of weeks ago about the cash that

0:43:06.160 --> 0:43:08.440
<v Speaker 3>these companies have on hand in the way it's generating money.

0:43:08.480 --> 0:43:10.919
<v Speaker 4>Well, in a higher rate environment, that means something, right,

0:43:10.960 --> 0:43:13.600
<v Speaker 4>and so they're not as problematic. You're a smaller company

0:43:13.640 --> 0:43:15.600
<v Speaker 4>in a higher rate environment, you don't have that access

0:43:15.600 --> 0:43:18.000
<v Speaker 4>to cash so easily because you're and you probably are

0:43:18.040 --> 0:43:20.600
<v Speaker 4>going to need to tap debt markets if you will.

0:43:20.760 --> 0:43:23.919
<v Speaker 4>These guys don't. They're actually okay, all right. Having said that,

0:43:24.040 --> 0:43:26.279
<v Speaker 4>then how do you think about you know, do you

0:43:26.320 --> 0:43:28.160
<v Speaker 4>buy them when there's a little bit of a pullback,

0:43:28.320 --> 0:43:30.160
<v Speaker 4>what's the role in the portfolio? Do you buy all

0:43:30.239 --> 0:43:31.640
<v Speaker 4>of them? How do you think about it?

0:43:31.920 --> 0:43:33.800
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, I don't think you buy all of them, Carol,

0:43:33.920 --> 0:43:35.920
<v Speaker 12>but I will say this, we were trimming the names

0:43:35.920 --> 0:43:37.880
<v Speaker 12>in February. We didn't know the market was going to

0:43:37.920 --> 0:43:41.200
<v Speaker 12>peak in March, and we were pretty disciplined in that regard.

0:43:41.520 --> 0:43:43.960
<v Speaker 12>When things get overweighted, we trim. I mean, I can

0:43:44.000 --> 0:43:44.920
<v Speaker 12>make an argument.

0:43:44.640 --> 0:43:46.600
<v Speaker 4>Just a superweighted call that you would trim back.

0:43:46.560 --> 0:43:49.880
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, or valuation, but I could make a case, and

0:43:49.920 --> 0:43:51.640
<v Speaker 12>as I do in my book, that you probably should

0:43:51.680 --> 0:43:54.879
<v Speaker 12>never trim. I mean, all the great wealth has come

0:43:54.920 --> 0:43:58.719
<v Speaker 12>from one stock in a founder's portfolio. But that's what

0:43:58.760 --> 0:44:01.480
<v Speaker 12>we do as professional money man. We've been back in

0:44:01.640 --> 0:44:04.600
<v Speaker 12>adding to some of the names after this pullback correction,

0:44:04.760 --> 0:44:07.000
<v Speaker 12>whatever you want to call it, because I do think

0:44:07.040 --> 0:44:10.000
<v Speaker 12>that they're well positioned, and it goes back to our

0:44:10.000 --> 0:44:12.160
<v Speaker 12>analogy of the nineties. You know this is we have

0:44:12.280 --> 0:44:16.520
<v Speaker 12>so many similarities ex globalization to the nineteen nineties, and

0:44:16.560 --> 0:44:19.759
<v Speaker 12>I think the most important of that is productivity. And

0:44:19.800 --> 0:44:22.759
<v Speaker 12>like old economy company Raytheon reported today they're going to

0:44:22.800 --> 0:44:27.200
<v Speaker 12>report two hundred million dollars in productivity improvements this year,

0:44:27.360 --> 0:44:29.480
<v Speaker 12>and a lot of that is because they're digitizing their

0:44:29.480 --> 0:44:33.200
<v Speaker 12>factories and connecting them. That stuff really matters, and it's

0:44:33.239 --> 0:44:35.759
<v Speaker 12>going to be what drives earnings growth, and we think

0:44:35.800 --> 0:44:38.320
<v Speaker 12>that's the only thing that matters, and the FED matters

0:44:38.360 --> 0:44:38.959
<v Speaker 12>a lot less.

0:44:39.239 --> 0:44:40.600
<v Speaker 3>Which stocks are you buying right now?

0:44:41.320 --> 0:44:44.160
<v Speaker 12>Where you've adding We've been adding to names like Oracle,

0:44:44.280 --> 0:44:46.680
<v Speaker 12>where we will be adding to LAMB after they report

0:44:46.719 --> 0:44:50.720
<v Speaker 12>because it's been pretty disappointing in the chip space the report,

0:44:50.960 --> 0:44:52.560
<v Speaker 12>just because we think there's probably a little bit more

0:44:52.640 --> 0:44:54.719
<v Speaker 12>room to the downside and it gives you clarity. But

0:44:54.760 --> 0:44:57.080
<v Speaker 12>we are in many of these names at such much

0:44:57.120 --> 0:45:03.359
<v Speaker 12>lower levels. We've added to Microsoft, added to Google pretty significantly,

0:45:03.880 --> 0:45:06.719
<v Speaker 12>And when you asked me this question, it's like in

0:45:06.760 --> 0:45:08.880
<v Speaker 12>my head, Oh, in Adobe, we've been adding to on

0:45:08.920 --> 0:45:11.960
<v Speaker 12>the weakness and Palwelto Networks, which sold off twenty eight

0:45:12.000 --> 0:45:13.920
<v Speaker 12>percent after the last ernest reports.

0:45:13.960 --> 0:45:17.799
<v Speaker 4>I to hear Tesla, we will be you will be, Yeah,

0:45:18.080 --> 0:45:18.799
<v Speaker 4>talk to us about that.

0:45:18.840 --> 0:45:19.120
<v Speaker 9>Okay.

0:45:19.200 --> 0:45:22.240
<v Speaker 12>So, I mean it's not the stock I'm really and Spotify,

0:45:22.280 --> 0:45:23.759
<v Speaker 12>by the way, it's not the stock I really want

0:45:23.800 --> 0:45:27.000
<v Speaker 12>to defend. But you know, this is a CEO who

0:45:27.000 --> 0:45:29.920
<v Speaker 12>thrives in chaos, and the last time that it was

0:45:29.960 --> 0:45:32.359
<v Speaker 12>this bad, the company didn't even have earnings. I bought

0:45:32.360 --> 0:45:33.480
<v Speaker 12>the stock at one hundred names.

0:45:33.440 --> 0:45:38.640
<v Speaker 4>You spot up keeping no finish sorry, yes, yes, I know,

0:45:38.680 --> 0:45:41.080
<v Speaker 4>I know, I know. The focus go ahead.

0:45:41.400 --> 0:45:44.440
<v Speaker 12>We bought about one hundred and eighty pre splits ten

0:45:44.480 --> 0:45:46.759
<v Speaker 12>then yes, and then he was smoking pot on the

0:45:46.840 --> 0:45:50.160
<v Speaker 12>Joe Rogan Show, drinking whiskey. People were quitting. The board

0:45:50.280 --> 0:45:53.120
<v Speaker 12>was just super not independent. He was sleeping on the

0:45:53.160 --> 0:45:57.359
<v Speaker 12>factory floor. You remember, right, we sold it. I felt

0:45:57.400 --> 0:46:01.920
<v Speaker 12>like it was it was gambling documented, so I took

0:46:01.960 --> 0:46:04.360
<v Speaker 12>a double and the stock's up five hundred and fifty

0:46:04.360 --> 0:46:08.800
<v Speaker 12>five percent since then, including the recent pullback. So we've

0:46:08.880 --> 0:46:09.600
<v Speaker 12>added to the stock.

0:46:09.640 --> 0:46:10.080
<v Speaker 9>A year ago.

0:46:10.120 --> 0:46:12.399
<v Speaker 12>We reinitiated it at about one hundred and four dollars

0:46:12.440 --> 0:46:14.520
<v Speaker 12>a share. We sold some when it got in the

0:46:14.560 --> 0:46:16.840
<v Speaker 12>two hundreds. We bought at some a little bit too

0:46:16.880 --> 0:46:19.600
<v Speaker 12>soon at onoint eight, and at current levels, we think

0:46:19.640 --> 0:46:21.480
<v Speaker 12>a lot of the bad news is priced in. And

0:46:21.520 --> 0:46:23.520
<v Speaker 12>the last thing I'll say about it, it's only trading

0:46:23.600 --> 0:46:26.200
<v Speaker 12>as an EV company. But the really interesting part of

0:46:26.239 --> 0:46:29.640
<v Speaker 12>the business is the utility grade battery pack business, which

0:46:29.640 --> 0:46:32.640
<v Speaker 12>is growing fifty percent a year and will dwarf the

0:46:32.760 --> 0:46:35.520
<v Speaker 12>EV business. At about one hundred and twenty billion in

0:46:35.560 --> 0:46:37.479
<v Speaker 12>market valuation in about five years.

0:46:37.520 --> 0:46:39.680
<v Speaker 4>Is there anything that comes off at the earnings tonight

0:46:39.719 --> 0:46:41.919
<v Speaker 4>that would make you, I don't know, either buy, sell

0:46:42.000 --> 0:46:42.640
<v Speaker 4>or do something.

0:46:44.400 --> 0:46:45.800
<v Speaker 7>I mean, I don't know.

0:46:45.840 --> 0:46:48.000
<v Speaker 4>I don't They don't sound like you're very reactionary that way.

0:46:48.080 --> 0:46:48.200
<v Speaker 5>Now.

0:46:48.200 --> 0:46:50.200
<v Speaker 12>I don't think Elon Musk could say anything that would

0:46:50.200 --> 0:46:53.640
<v Speaker 12>surprise me. If by chance, Donald Trump gets invested, I

0:46:53.680 --> 0:46:55.600
<v Speaker 12>think he will no longer Elon that is be the

0:46:55.600 --> 0:46:57.960
<v Speaker 12>man that everyone should hate. And we'll go back to

0:46:58.360 --> 0:47:04.239
<v Speaker 12>parsing the tweets of another well known, outspoken Yeah, I

0:47:04.280 --> 0:47:04.879
<v Speaker 12>want to go back.

0:47:04.800 --> 0:47:08.960
<v Speaker 4>To Spotify surging today, swing to profit boost and paid subscribers.

0:47:09.040 --> 0:47:11.000
<v Speaker 4>You know, woa, I forgot to do this as one

0:47:11.040 --> 0:47:12.879
<v Speaker 4>of my gainers today. But it's up about thirteen percent,

0:47:13.000 --> 0:47:15.200
<v Speaker 4>was up as much as seventeen percent. When were you

0:47:15.280 --> 0:47:16.040
<v Speaker 4>guys buying it?

0:47:16.719 --> 0:47:19.040
<v Speaker 12>We bought in the high eighties and this was this

0:47:19.200 --> 0:47:22.319
<v Speaker 12>was a plant based on today at three to six.

0:47:22.600 --> 0:47:22.880
<v Speaker 9>Yeah.

0:47:23.000 --> 0:47:25.040
<v Speaker 4>Well, we sometimes get them right. We don't not waste

0:47:25.040 --> 0:47:27.160
<v Speaker 4>get them right. But and we were just.

0:47:27.160 --> 0:47:28.600
<v Speaker 12>You know, we were convinced that they have a lot

0:47:28.640 --> 0:47:32.680
<v Speaker 12>of room to raise prices. They'd held the business. You know,

0:47:32.840 --> 0:47:35.719
<v Speaker 12>they were able to grow it. This notion where they

0:47:35.719 --> 0:47:38.600
<v Speaker 12>went out and made it a more open format so

0:47:38.640 --> 0:47:41.120
<v Speaker 12>you can get the Joe Rogan podcast on other platforms.

0:47:41.280 --> 0:47:44.120
<v Speaker 12>That was brilliant. That was a pivot, and I think

0:47:44.160 --> 0:47:46.520
<v Speaker 12>that the management team should be commended. Now they've been

0:47:46.560 --> 0:47:49.160
<v Speaker 12>able to stick a couple of price increases because they

0:47:49.160 --> 0:47:51.640
<v Speaker 12>waited so long, I think it is even more impactful

0:47:51.920 --> 0:47:53.919
<v Speaker 12>as opposed to some of the names. The consumer names

0:47:53.960 --> 0:47:55.719
<v Speaker 12>came out today, they're still raising prices.

0:47:56.040 --> 0:47:56.239
<v Speaker 9>You know.

0:47:56.320 --> 0:47:58.680
<v Speaker 12>Okay, EPs is up, but volumes are down. At some

0:47:58.719 --> 0:48:00.239
<v Speaker 12>point that party comes to an end.

0:48:00.920 --> 0:48:03.440
<v Speaker 3>What do you stand away from?

0:48:03.640 --> 0:48:08.520
<v Speaker 12>Uh, for the moment, we are underweight reats, we're underweight utility.

0:48:08.640 --> 0:48:12.120
<v Speaker 4>You happened treasures at all with the move up and rates? Yeah,

0:48:12.160 --> 0:48:13.080
<v Speaker 4>well where are you so?

0:48:13.160 --> 0:48:15.040
<v Speaker 12>Personally, this is the first time I've ever runed a

0:48:15.040 --> 0:48:18.080
<v Speaker 12>treasury in my entire life. We've been putting clients in

0:48:18.120 --> 0:48:20.279
<v Speaker 12>short ladders and we just started to extend duration a

0:48:20.280 --> 0:48:21.120
<v Speaker 12>couple of weeks ago.

0:48:21.200 --> 0:48:22.200
<v Speaker 9>How far out too?

0:48:22.440 --> 0:48:24.960
<v Speaker 12>Okay, we're not going very far out because we think

0:48:25.520 --> 0:48:30.200
<v Speaker 12>there's an opportunity to morph into unis and corporates when

0:48:30.600 --> 0:48:33.120
<v Speaker 12>when the treasury short game is done and so that's

0:48:33.160 --> 0:48:35.439
<v Speaker 12>we've just been rolling these short ladders and it's worked

0:48:35.440 --> 0:48:36.160
<v Speaker 12>out pretty well.

0:48:38.000 --> 0:48:40.479
<v Speaker 4>What I've been directed way too much.

0:48:40.600 --> 0:48:42.520
<v Speaker 3>We love it when you join us now, No, it's

0:48:42.760 --> 0:48:43.600
<v Speaker 3>especially in person.

0:48:44.520 --> 0:48:47.480
<v Speaker 4>Well just twenty seconds. I mean, does it feel like

0:48:47.600 --> 0:48:50.200
<v Speaker 4>things are going to be okay? Well you you actually

0:48:50.239 --> 0:48:51.040
<v Speaker 4>hate it, Carol.

0:48:51.040 --> 0:48:55.040
<v Speaker 12>I think the economy is slowing somewhat okayst names have

0:48:55.160 --> 0:48:58.239
<v Speaker 12>not performed well, you got the the S and P

0:48:58.400 --> 0:49:02.480
<v Speaker 12>Global pm I stay manufacturer has gone from expansionary to contractionery,

0:49:02.800 --> 0:49:05.359
<v Speaker 12>and the labor market is softening. I think I feel

0:49:05.360 --> 0:49:07.239
<v Speaker 12>like there's that tone. Sorry, yeah, I think that's what

0:49:07.280 --> 0:49:08.880
<v Speaker 12>I'm not sorry it is. I think that'll let the

0:49:08.920 --> 0:49:11.000
<v Speaker 12>fat off the hook. Nancy Tangler, thank you so much.

0:49:11.000 --> 0:49:12.839
<v Speaker 4>I appreciate it. Of Laffer Tangler.

0:49:13.120 --> 0:49:16.920
<v Speaker 2>This is the Bloomberg Business Week podcast of a Little Apple,

0:49:17.160 --> 0:49:21.120
<v Speaker 2>Spotify and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live

0:49:21.200 --> 0:49:24.600
<v Speaker 2>weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern on Bloomberg

0:49:24.640 --> 0:49:27.960
<v Speaker 2>dot Com, the iHeartRadio app, tune In, and the Bloomberg

0:49:28.000 --> 0:49:30.880
<v Speaker 2>Business App. You can also watch us live every weekday

0:49:30.920 --> 0:49:35.160
<v Speaker 2>on YouTube and always on the Bloomberg terminal