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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting pros College Football Show.

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Speaker 1: It's an absolutely insane time around the sport right now

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Speaker 1: with early National Signing Day opening up. Also, we have

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Speaker 1: the coaching carousel which is heating up at an all

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Speaker 1: time clip right now. I'm your host Seth Wilcock, and

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Speaker 1: I put it out on X earlier, but being a

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Speaker 1: Penn State fan today feels a lot like the Will

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Speaker 1: Smith last episode of Fresh Prince Gift, where it's just him,

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Speaker 1: It's just an empty house and there's nothing around him.

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Speaker 1: And of course I'm joined by someone who probably also

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Speaker 1: feels a little left out in the cold this week,

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Speaker 1: as his Texas Longhorns are still on the outside looking

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Speaker 1: in of the college football playoff.

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Speaker 2: He's Scott Bogman. Boggs, how are you?

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Speaker 1: Obviously you're doing better than me after we got out

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Speaker 1: bid by the Crumble Cookie guy and another dude just

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Speaker 1: crushing creatinine all day. So how are the overall vibes for.

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Speaker 2: You heading into the weekend?

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Speaker 3: Hey, look, you know Texas is not making the tournament.

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Speaker 3: I had no grand aspirations of that, and I knew

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Speaker 3: like it just always sark just sounds better campaigning like

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Speaker 3: but you know, the team first of all did it.

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Speaker 3: They all do it. It's you know, how can you

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Speaker 3: not put my team in the blah blah blah. Look,

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Speaker 3: I understand the positives and negatives for Texas going in,

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Speaker 3: I get it right, But they said the president last

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Speaker 3: year Bama didn't get in, Texas wasn't going to get

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Speaker 3: in this year, right, Uh So that's fine. Look we

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Speaker 3: still beat A and M we still beat Oklahoma. That

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Speaker 3: is all that I need to warm my heart for

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Speaker 3: Christmas time, seth. So we're keeping to that. And I

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Speaker 3: do feel bad for you. It didn't seem like Sataki

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Speaker 3: was maybe Penn State's big swing here. But there's gonna

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Speaker 3: be a lot of fired NFL coaches at the end

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Speaker 3: of the year. You'll get to pick from that group

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Speaker 3: as well. So uh, I mean that there are there

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Speaker 3: are still options out there for Penn State. And know

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Speaker 3: it's not like that job is going to be vacant.

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Speaker 3: I just go with Smith, why not? No? No, what

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Speaker 3: about intern for another year? Just lead the interim tag

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Speaker 3: on him.

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Speaker 1: We're already if you look at a recruiting class today,

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Speaker 1: that we already the bad part.

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Speaker 2: That is what happened when we fired James Franklin.

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Speaker 1: We have one of the worst recruiting classes, not just

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Speaker 1: in the power for like, yes, it is terrible. And

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Speaker 1: at the same time, Bogs, we also kind of closed

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Speaker 1: this window on all the G five coaches that could

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Speaker 1: have came and we could have got a lot of

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Speaker 1: their guys through the transfer portal, like the Morrises and

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Speaker 1: everyone coming out of that conference that could have came

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Speaker 1: up and helped us. And I thought Brian Hartline was

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Speaker 1: like the ace in r sleeve and we're gonna pull

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Speaker 1: them out, and he was gonna bring a bunch of

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Speaker 1: Ohio State recruits.

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Speaker 2: Not the case. Not the case.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I I you know, I firing Franklin, I think

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Speaker 3: was it was probably the necessary step for the fans base.

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Speaker 3: They should have hired somebody way quick.

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Speaker 1: You had a month and a half, right, it's not

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Speaker 1: like wet Franklin before everybody else got fired R Yeah.

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Speaker 3: It's like almost everybody So yeah, too long drug their

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Speaker 3: feet in the process and it hasn't worked out. So

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Speaker 3: you know, I still think Penn State is going to

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Speaker 3: be a good team. They'll get players in the secondary

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Speaker 3: sign they'll get transfer guys as well. They'll be okay,

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Speaker 3: but this is a bad look. It is.

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Speaker 2: It is a long recovery. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I hopefully next year we can just fade Penn State together,

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Speaker 1: right and that can kind of be what we want

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Speaker 1: to do.

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Speaker 2: I tried fade them a couple of times this year.

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Speaker 2: Did not work. Did not work betting on. I think

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Speaker 2: I was owned four on Penn State this year.

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Speaker 1: So sad times there, but honestly, still a great time

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Speaker 1: overall in the sport.

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Speaker 2: So much buzz happening around it.

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Speaker 1: It keeps us employed, keeps lights on here and as usual,

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Speaker 1: it is our midweek program where we're gonna give you

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Speaker 1: our picks for all nine conference title games. We're also

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Speaker 1: gonna update you on the injury report, line movement, and

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Speaker 1: where the BP projections currently stand.

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Speaker 2: Then we'll get out of here with our best bets.

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Speaker 1: As always, shout to everyone who's still crushing with us

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Speaker 1: on the Betting pros YouTube channel.

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Speaker 2: Or the audio feed.

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Speaker 1: We are really looking forward to this stretch run to

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Speaker 1: the title game the easiest freeway to support us and

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Speaker 1: give this video a thumbs up if you enjoy this

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Speaker 1: type of content, Also make sure you subscribe so you

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Speaker 1: don't miss a moment of college football Betting cup Ridge.

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Speaker 1: Let's start on Friday at seven pm Eastern Time in

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Speaker 1: Calhoun County, Alabama. We have the nine to three Kanasas

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Speaker 1: State Owls. They have moved to a two and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorite over the eight and four Jacksonville State

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Speaker 1: game Cocks for the Conference USA Championship game. Kananasas State,

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Speaker 1: they're at full strength in this one.

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Speaker 2: Jack State.

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Speaker 1: Meanwhile, they're defensive tackle Juwan Campbell, they're right tackle Reggie Jackson,

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Speaker 1: and their flanker wide receiver Brock Rothsteiner. They are all questionable.

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Speaker 1: The BP projections they have this game at a pick them.

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Speaker 1: So are you staying packed with the Owls after they

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Speaker 1: moved out to a favor Bogs.

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Speaker 3: I really don't like the direction this moved in for

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Speaker 3: right like, and I was honestly surprised to see it

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Speaker 3: because I feel like everything I read, everything I watched,

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Speaker 3: all the experts are picking Jacksonville State in this game,

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Speaker 3: and I understand that like everyone I've watched also said

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Speaker 3: this game is going to be very close. So this

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Speaker 3: is a tough one for me. I'm gonna stick with

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Speaker 3: my lean towards Kennesall though I think this game is

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Speaker 3: likely to be a one score game the way, So

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Speaker 3: I think Kennesaw on the money line is a fine

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Speaker 3: play as well if you want to just not involve points.

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Speaker 3: But I'll lay the three because I'm thinking, but I'm

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Speaker 3: starting to think maybe the over is a better play.

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Speaker 3: Both these teams played a top fifty pace, they're both

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Speaker 3: better on offense, they both match up well with each other.

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Speaker 3: Our numbers are very close to the total in this

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Speaker 3: so they have it more as a coin flip, sure,

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Speaker 3: but really it's the the Amaro Odam turnovers. You know

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Speaker 3: for turnovers in this game for Kennesau last time, and

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Speaker 3: three of those were picks. I think that you know

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Speaker 3: Odamazin thrown a pick since that game. I think if

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Speaker 3: he cuts down on those turnovers, this game is really close.

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Speaker 3: I'll give the lean towards Kennesaw. But there's rain with

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Speaker 3: light wind as well, which is usually good for offense.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I think the over is probably my better lean.

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Speaker 3: Kennesaw is my lien as well, but I'm not going

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Speaker 3: beyond that. They are Lians. I'm not putting money on

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Speaker 3: this championship game. I'm not doing it.

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Speaker 1: It was so funny Bogs over the weekends that my

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Speaker 1: dad's house. I had a four quadbox going in the

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Speaker 1: living room and it was in between before the Alabama

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Speaker 1: Auburn games started.

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Speaker 3: I only have the weirdest squad box too.

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Speaker 1: I do, I do, And my grandpa walks and he says,

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Speaker 1: who are these teams? And it was Kanessas State in

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Speaker 1: Liberty and He's like, what is going on here?

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Speaker 2: And did exist? Yeah, So he was a little confused.

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Speaker 1: I had to kind of catch him up on what

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Speaker 1: the G five is, try to compare that to the

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Speaker 1: power for without making it sound like the FCS. It

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Speaker 1: was a very difficult process, but as a whole I'll

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Speaker 1: tell you this, the one thing I've taken away and

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Speaker 1: I've actually watched a decent amount of Kannesau and Jacksonville

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Speaker 1: State this year. KANISAU keeps these games close and they

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Speaker 1: find a way to win them.

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Speaker 2: So instead of just.

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Speaker 1: Going ahead and laying the points with Kanisau or even

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Speaker 1: taking Jacksonville State on the plus side of the money line,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with Jacksonville State over twenty eight and

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Speaker 1: a half. I'm getting this a minus one p fifteen

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Speaker 1: right now. I also heard in a comment earlier on

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Speaker 1: one of these episodes we did this week box where

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Speaker 1: apparently team totals are not available in some states. Not

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Speaker 1: know that, so apologies to those who cannot bet team

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Speaker 1: totals because I can't be player props in PA, but

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Speaker 1: had no idea that was a thing. But in this

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Speaker 1: game for me, Bogs, really I'm looking for mismatches, and

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Speaker 1: I think there's no bigger mismatch on the field than

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Speaker 1: the nation's leading rusher, Cam Cook in the backfield for

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Speaker 1: Jacksonville State against the ninety eighth ranked run defense of

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Speaker 1: kanasaw Right. The books have consistently been leaving Jacksonville State

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Speaker 1: out hanging this year, and we'd capitalized a couple times.

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Speaker 1: The only time I didn't hit on them when I

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Speaker 1: bet on them, I was two and one. The one

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Speaker 1: time I didn't was FIU last month where they had

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Speaker 1: the game impact and they just.

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Speaker 2: Fumbled it away. Yet fumbled away twice.

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Speaker 1: So still like I think, really like the Owls with

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Speaker 1: them gutting out these close wins and the Odam and

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Speaker 1: Bayer connection. I'm just taking the team total over here.

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Speaker 1: Jacksonville State has cleared this number in six of eight

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Speaker 1: CUSA games this season.

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Speaker 2: Kanasas State's last.

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Speaker 1: Three games have seen their opponent go over this total,

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Speaker 1: averaging thirty seven points in that span. And that's teams

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Speaker 1: like Liberty, right that weren't really that good on offense.

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Speaker 1: So I love the This is really my second favorite

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Speaker 1: bet of the week. Jacksonville State over twenty eight and a.

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Speaker 3: Half two hundred and fifty two rushing yards against Kennesau

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Speaker 3: State in that first matchup, two seventeen for Kennesaw though,

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Speaker 3: right right, That's why I'm thinking the over is a

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Speaker 3: better place about jack Ville State. Yeah, and I just

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Speaker 3: think this offense is improved for Kennesau so over as well.

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Speaker 3: But like I said, I'll watch that one from the side.

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Speaker 3: It's no action for me.

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Speaker 1: Most books have moved the nineteenth ring James Madison Dukes

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Speaker 1: to twenty three and a half point.

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Speaker 2: Favorites over the eight and four Troy Trojans.

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Speaker 1: And I will say though, our friends over at hard

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Speaker 1: Rock Bet they're still actually offering a twenty two and

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Speaker 1: a half point ticket for the Sun Belt Championship game

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Speaker 1: on Friday night.

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Speaker 2: If you want to get invested over there.

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Speaker 1: Another great reason to get invested with our friends at

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Speaker 1: hard Rock Bet. Troyd Right now coming in at full

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Speaker 1: strength JM you. Meanwhile, they have their linebacker Gannon weather Be,

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Speaker 1: their ex wide receiver Landon Ellis both listed as probable,

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Speaker 1: their RB two Jordan Fuller, he is questionable, and they're

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Speaker 1: also gonna have a few line and D lineman in

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Speaker 1: the two deep out BP projections. Right now, we are

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Speaker 1: at twenty one and a half points. Therefore, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: tease this down. I'm gonna go twenty and a half

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Speaker 1: points minus one P fifty.

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Speaker 2: They're on the alt line. What about you, Scotti?

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Speaker 3: I mean, I think that's a good play, alting this

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Speaker 3: if you want, because the line did go the wrong

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Speaker 3: way right. We were talking about this on Monday and

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Speaker 3: we said, Okay, it's twenty one and a half. Now,

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Speaker 3: if it slides down to twenty and a half, I'm

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Speaker 3: all over it because that's where we're showing value for

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Speaker 3: BP as well. So for this one, I'm also gonna

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Speaker 3: go with the team total. We're gonna stick to the

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Speaker 3: JMU over thirty four and a half. They've gone over

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Speaker 3: this in five of the last six games Troy has

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Speaker 3: won with defense this year. But I just really don't

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Speaker 3: buy into anyone in the Sunbelt really competing with James

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Speaker 3: Madison right, and their loss was to Louisville. They had

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Speaker 3: the one weird seven point win over Georgia State, but

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Speaker 3: all other sunblt foes lost by ten points are more

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Speaker 3: to James Madison, and they scored thirty five plus and

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Speaker 3: six of eight conference games this year. So I think

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Speaker 3: JMU is going to run with their running back Night

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Speaker 3: and Barnett their quarterback and beat down Troy, just like

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Speaker 3: Old Dominion did a couple weeks ago when they put

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Speaker 3: up three hundred and fifty one rushing yards against against

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Speaker 3: Troy here. So the spread is move. We mentioned on

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Speaker 3: Monday that it was probably going to move, and it did.

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Speaker 3: But we also talked about Troy in their losses, which

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Speaker 3: is why I don't like the total in this game. Right,

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Speaker 3: The tickets and cash areway on this over forty seven

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Speaker 3: and a half. It's a low total, but in those losses,

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Speaker 3: in three of the four losses that Troy has had,

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Speaker 3: they've scored ten points or fewer. So when they get beat,

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Speaker 3: they don't score on offense really at all. And JMU

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Speaker 3: has probably the best defense in the Sun Belt. So

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Speaker 3: for me, I'm going to go with JAMU over thirty

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Speaker 3: four and a half in the team total. I just

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Speaker 3: think this number is too big, and I think the

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Speaker 3: overs in question because I don't know how much Troy

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Speaker 3: scores in this game. So that's why I would lay

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Speaker 3: off both of those sides. But if you can't bet

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Speaker 3: the team total, I like thirty four and a half

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Speaker 3: as the over for JMU. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I actually really looked at that thirty four and a

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Speaker 1: half and I was deciding whether or not to take

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Speaker 1: that or to take this alt line and pay a

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Speaker 1: little more juice, and I ultimately went the ault line.

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Speaker 1: Specifically because while Troy has really fallen off towards the

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Speaker 1: back half the season under their quarterback Goose Crowder, since

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Speaker 1: making that switch, it has also sometimes led to dragging

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Speaker 1: some teams down in the mud. I don't think they

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Speaker 1: can necessarily do that against JAMU because they have a

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Speaker 1: top six rushing offense, but JAMU also a top five

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Speaker 1: total defense, so I don't think Troy's gonna score very

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Speaker 1: much in this game. I do think JM you probably

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Speaker 1: crosses that thirty four and a half line, honestly, But

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Speaker 1: like Troy right now, same strength to schedule as JMU

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Speaker 1: pretty much, and they're one hundred and twenty first in

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Speaker 1: rushing eighty third and passing seventy first.

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Speaker 2: And total defense.

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Speaker 1: So say what you want about the strength to schedule

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Speaker 1: for JMU, but at the same time, like they've had

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Speaker 1: the exact same thing and they are way worse of

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Speaker 1: a team in all metrics. And like jam you smoked

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Speaker 1: old dominion. We talked that on Monday sixty three, twenty seven.

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Speaker 1: I remember that game vividly. Else pregaming a wedding at

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Speaker 1: b Dubs that day with my fiance, so made sure

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Speaker 1: to have JMU locked and load on one of their

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Speaker 1: many many screens there. So Troy, they lost to ODU

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Speaker 1: three weeks ago, thirty three zero, as you pointed out.

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Speaker 1: So I think if JMU bogs like really wants to

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Speaker 1: impress the committee.

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Speaker 3: That yeah, yeah, I love your thought process, they could

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Speaker 3: get the total themselves, right, they could really beat them down.

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Speaker 1: And like you look at it, man, like, if they

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Speaker 1: win and Duke upsets Virginia, JMU could be heading towards

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Speaker 1: the college football Playoff, He's gonna make them.

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Speaker 2: Duke was not ranked last night. Duke was not ranked.

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Speaker 2: Jam you was ranked.

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Speaker 3: I like the fan fiction you're writing here, but I

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Speaker 3: don't think the committee is gonna put two six schools center.

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Speaker 1: And they have to say, beating Virginia in the conference

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Speaker 1: championship game means enough to out Outdole the Sun Belt here, so.

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Speaker 3: I think they would. So I'm just saying, yes, I

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Speaker 3: don't know. We may not get there, but I do.

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Speaker 3: I love your point about Look, JAMU wants to put

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Speaker 3: up points, right, They want to impress everyone, and they

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Speaker 3: want to beat their competition down real bad to look

337
00:15:08,560 --> 00:15:12,360
Speaker 3: great one more time at the tournament. Yes, that logic

338
00:15:12,480 --> 00:15:17,360
Speaker 3: is great. Also, JAMU second in time of possession this year, right,

339
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Speaker 3: so they like to wear out that defense, right, And

340
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Speaker 3: that's how Troy has made their money is with defense.

341
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Speaker 3: I think JAMU is going to run them over. I

342
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Speaker 3: think they're going to dominate time of possession and again

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Speaker 3: top ten. There's seventh in the nation in scoring in

344
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Speaker 3: the fourth quarter, James Madison. That is where the work

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00:15:33,160 --> 00:15:36,360
Speaker 3: gets done towards this team total and the over. So

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Speaker 3: I just don't know if Troy's going to score it all.

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Speaker 3: That's my big question here.

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358
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360
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Speaker 1: on the upgrade screen. No line movement has come in

361
00:16:22,400 --> 00:16:25,120
Speaker 1: New Orleans, where a college football playoff bid is on

362
00:16:25,240 --> 00:16:28,760
Speaker 1: the line in the American Championship on a Friday night

363
00:16:28,800 --> 00:16:31,680
Speaker 1: at eight pm Eastern Time. The number twenty North Texas

364
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Speaker 1: Mean Green. They remain a two and a half point

365
00:16:34,040 --> 00:16:36,880
Speaker 1: favorite over the number twenty one at two Lane Green

366
00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:40,000
Speaker 1: Wave North Texas. Their starters should all be up for

367
00:16:40,040 --> 00:16:42,160
Speaker 1: this one. They do a slove injury though in the

368
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Speaker 1: defense is two D but who really doesn't at this

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Speaker 1: point in the season. For two Lane is just their

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Speaker 1: h wide receiver Bryce bro Hannon, who is questionable. We

371
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Speaker 1: from the BP projections are showing North Texas nearly as

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Speaker 1: a four and a half point favorite. So Boggs, have

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Speaker 1: you found anything to take you off? Eric Morris, Drew

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Speaker 1: Mestmaker and company.

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Speaker 3: No way, No, the line didn't move, the toll didn't

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00:17:04,240 --> 00:17:06,600
Speaker 3: move neither. To my opinion, here, we're sticking in North

377
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Speaker 3: Texas and laying in the points. The mean Green have

378
00:17:09,960 --> 00:17:13,120
Speaker 3: been a covering machine this year ten and two. Tulane

379
00:17:13,160 --> 00:17:15,640
Speaker 3: is five to six and one. But North Texas offense

380
00:17:15,720 --> 00:17:18,560
Speaker 3: is what does it for us here? Obviously, they're number

381
00:17:18,600 --> 00:17:20,880
Speaker 3: one in scoring in the country. They've had fifty two

382
00:17:20,880 --> 00:17:23,600
Speaker 3: plus points in five of the last six games. Quarterback

383
00:17:23,640 --> 00:17:26,520
Speaker 3: Drew Messeenmaker is number one in passing in number one

384
00:17:26,640 --> 00:17:29,280
Speaker 3: yards per attempt, fourth in touchdowns with twenty nine, and

385
00:17:29,320 --> 00:17:32,639
Speaker 3: only has four interceptions this year. True freshman running back

386
00:17:33,000 --> 00:17:36,439
Speaker 3: Caleb Hawkins is first with twenty three touchdowns this season.

387
00:17:36,480 --> 00:17:39,760
Speaker 3: He's seventh in rushing yards in twenty fifth in attempts.

388
00:17:39,760 --> 00:17:43,760
Speaker 3: Tulane has been strong against the run but miserable against

389
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Speaker 3: the pass. This year. Retzlov has had some big performances,

390
00:17:47,400 --> 00:17:49,040
Speaker 3: but this one I think is just going to be

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00:17:49,119 --> 00:17:52,280
Speaker 3: likely too much in this game, So lay the points

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Speaker 3: take unt and this is another one that we have

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Speaker 3: rain in the forecast with light wins, which again leads

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Speaker 3: towards points.

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00:18:00,480 --> 00:18:01,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you, man.

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Speaker 1: I have been one of the few G five media

397
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Speaker 1: rankers over the past month or two who have had

398
00:18:05,920 --> 00:18:08,479
Speaker 1: North Texas in that one spot, right, because I mean

399
00:18:08,480 --> 00:18:10,680
Speaker 1: we were on them pretty early, right like we probably

400
00:18:10,720 --> 00:18:13,360
Speaker 1: started betting them, I'd say mid to late October when

401
00:18:13,400 --> 00:18:15,400
Speaker 1: we really started putting the team totals out there.

402
00:18:15,480 --> 00:18:16,440
Speaker 2: So that's where I'm going.

403
00:18:16,480 --> 00:18:18,880
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with the North Texas team total over

404
00:18:18,960 --> 00:18:21,399
Speaker 1: thirty four and a half points. North Texas, to me,

405
00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:23,920
Speaker 1: they just have way too much firepower to be stopped

406
00:18:24,160 --> 00:18:26,560
Speaker 1: with their offense right now. Mess Maker leads the nation

407
00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:29,440
Speaker 1: and passing yards fourth and passing touchdowns with twenty nine.

408
00:18:29,560 --> 00:18:31,920
Speaker 1: They're wide receiver Young I know you're a big fan

409
00:18:31,960 --> 00:18:34,159
Speaker 1: of that cat as well. He's third in the country

410
00:18:34,160 --> 00:18:38,439
Speaker 1: and receiving yards first and receiving touchdowns. He's been excellent,

411
00:18:38,520 --> 00:18:39,480
Speaker 1: big play waiting to happen.

412
00:18:39,520 --> 00:18:41,080
Speaker 2: And then they're running back Caleb Hawkins.

413
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Speaker 1: This guy leads the AAC in rushing yards and the

414
00:18:44,119 --> 00:18:45,360
Speaker 1: country in rushing touchdowns.

415
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Speaker 2: Tu Lane's defense For me, it's the passing defense.

416
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Speaker 1: Right, They're one hundred and nineteenth through the air, so miserable.

417
00:18:52,359 --> 00:18:55,440
Speaker 1: Like I get that they have have had a tougher schedule, right,

418
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Speaker 1: But I don't know if you remember watching Josh McCown's

419
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Speaker 1: son on a Tuesday, I think was a Thursday and

420
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Speaker 1: Wednesday night some weekday for UTSA, carving them up for

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00:19:04,040 --> 00:19:07,760
Speaker 1: three hundred and seventy yards, four touchdowns, forty eight points.

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00:19:07,760 --> 00:19:10,840
Speaker 3: So it was shocking. It was because I had money

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00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:11,600
Speaker 3: on Tulane.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I was very bummed out about that one. Had

425
00:19:14,200 --> 00:19:16,480
Speaker 1: multiple units down on it. So I think if Tulane

426
00:19:16,520 --> 00:19:19,720
Speaker 1: has any shot to win, it's gonna come via a shootout.

427
00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:22,000
Speaker 1: I don't think they're stopping North Texas. It's just can

428
00:19:22,040 --> 00:19:23,680
Speaker 1: they put up enough points to keep up with them?

429
00:19:24,000 --> 00:19:26,440
Speaker 1: Maybe I think I'm still with you. I don't mind

430
00:19:26,520 --> 00:19:28,480
Speaker 1: laying the points or taking them on the money line

431
00:19:28,520 --> 00:19:30,720
Speaker 1: North Texas, but instead I'm just gonna go with what's

432
00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:34,160
Speaker 1: safer to me in the team total over and let's

433
00:19:34,200 --> 00:19:36,919
Speaker 1: go ahead and move forward to where it's gonna be

434
00:19:36,960 --> 00:19:40,359
Speaker 1: a rainy Friday night in Boise, Idaho, where the eight

435
00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:41,720
Speaker 1: and four Broncos take.

436
00:19:41,560 --> 00:19:44,360
Speaker 2: On the ten and two UNLV ReBs.

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00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:47,280
Speaker 1: The a are currently three and a half to four

438
00:19:47,320 --> 00:19:50,920
Speaker 1: point favorites in the Mountain West Championship game. Un LV

439
00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:54,439
Speaker 1: they have their starting tight end vur Keys Gummas he

440
00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:58,560
Speaker 1: is questionable, Boise State their quarterback Maddix Mattson. He will

441
00:19:58,560 --> 00:20:02,000
Speaker 1: be back under center for the first times since November first,

442
00:20:02,040 --> 00:20:04,879
Speaker 1: and the Broncos also have their nose tackle Dean Washington

443
00:20:05,119 --> 00:20:08,200
Speaker 1: questionable coming. In the BP projections right now, we're showing

444
00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:10,159
Speaker 1: this line closer to one and a half points, so

445
00:20:10,600 --> 00:20:13,240
Speaker 1: actually some good value out there on the rebels.

446
00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:15,880
Speaker 2: Is that where you're getting invested, mister Scott Bogman.

447
00:20:16,080 --> 00:20:17,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean we've had a lot of changes in

448
00:20:17,840 --> 00:20:20,760
Speaker 3: this one since the initial line came out. Right Madson

449
00:20:20,840 --> 00:20:23,640
Speaker 3: was announced as the starter. While we were recording on Monday,

450
00:20:24,600 --> 00:20:27,040
Speaker 3: the line flipped to Boise minus three and a half

451
00:20:27,320 --> 00:20:29,640
Speaker 3: and now we have an eighty percent chance of rain

452
00:20:29,720 --> 00:20:31,760
Speaker 3: in this one, and obviously some Boise. It's so very

453
00:20:31,800 --> 00:20:35,080
Speaker 3: cold as well on the blue turf, with all that

454
00:20:35,320 --> 00:20:37,879
Speaker 3: on the smurf turf. With all that being said, the

455
00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:42,520
Speaker 3: public is all over UNLVU and we show value that

456
00:20:42,560 --> 00:20:44,639
Speaker 3: way as well. Madson will certainly throw a wrench in

457
00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:48,200
Speaker 3: my love for UNLV, but my initial pick here has

458
00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:50,320
Speaker 3: shrunk a point and I'm gonna stick to it. This

459
00:20:50,400 --> 00:20:52,680
Speaker 3: is a UNLV team total over twenty six and a

460
00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:56,240
Speaker 3: half now. Boise State beat the breaks off UNLV earlier

461
00:20:56,280 --> 00:20:58,320
Speaker 3: this season. Right they put up fifty six points, but

462
00:20:58,440 --> 00:21:01,000
Speaker 3: UNLV in that game still had four hundred and seventy

463
00:21:01,000 --> 00:21:03,600
Speaker 3: six yards and put up thirty one points. Their quarterback,

464
00:21:03,760 --> 00:21:07,480
Speaker 3: Anthony Calandria, has led this squad to the twelfth best

465
00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:11,159
Speaker 3: scoring offense in the country, the grade twenty seventh according

466
00:21:11,200 --> 00:21:14,320
Speaker 3: to PFF on offense. The only G six teams that

467
00:21:14,640 --> 00:21:18,040
Speaker 3: are higher graded than UNLV are North Texas, James Madison

468
00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:22,400
Speaker 3: and USF. That's it so on offense, this team is very,

469
00:21:22,600 --> 00:21:25,679
Speaker 3: very good, and Boise State has played strong defense this season,

470
00:21:25,760 --> 00:21:29,400
Speaker 3: but they already have allowed thirty one new UNLV this season,

471
00:21:29,520 --> 00:21:32,880
Speaker 3: and the defense allowed thirty to Presno State twenty one

472
00:21:32,920 --> 00:21:36,639
Speaker 3: to Colorado State, which interests out of points, but Colorado

473
00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:39,880
Speaker 3: State is two to ten right now, and they only

474
00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:42,080
Speaker 3: scored twenty one or more in half of their games

475
00:21:42,119 --> 00:21:43,840
Speaker 3: six of their games, and they allowed twenty four to

476
00:21:43,920 --> 00:21:46,399
Speaker 3: Utah State last week as well. UNOV has a better

477
00:21:46,520 --> 00:21:49,119
Speaker 3: offense than all of those teams, So I'm going to

478
00:21:49,160 --> 00:21:52,600
Speaker 3: stick to the UNLV team total over twenty six and

479
00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:54,960
Speaker 3: a half in this one. I don't really like a

480
00:21:55,080 --> 00:21:57,439
Speaker 3: lean one way or the other in the game. The

481
00:21:57,560 --> 00:22:00,280
Speaker 3: overall total I think could be smashed as well, so

482
00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:03,760
Speaker 3: I would lean towards the game over as well, but

483
00:22:03,960 --> 00:22:06,160
Speaker 3: definitely going to take you know, be over twenty six

484
00:22:06,240 --> 00:22:06,959
Speaker 3: and a half points.

485
00:22:07,200 --> 00:22:07,400
Speaker 2: Yeah.

486
00:22:07,400 --> 00:22:09,439
Speaker 1: Shout out to Dan Mullins for everything he's done for

487
00:22:09,480 --> 00:22:12,560
Speaker 1: this team in his first year. Also, Calandra right, he

488
00:22:12,600 --> 00:22:15,639
Speaker 1: came into the ston a quarterback battle with alex Or

489
00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:19,159
Speaker 1: g Orgy ends up going down after week one, not

490
00:22:19,280 --> 00:22:22,040
Speaker 1: seeing him again, and Calandra just named Mountain.

491
00:22:21,760 --> 00:22:25,040
Speaker 2: West Player of the Year. So two gratulations of the count.

492
00:22:24,960 --> 00:22:27,160
Speaker 3: Bad did they look week one? Right? Who they played

493
00:22:27,160 --> 00:22:29,720
Speaker 3: like Idaho State and almost got beat? Yeah, they looked

494
00:22:29,800 --> 00:22:33,040
Speaker 3: I was unuserable, Yeah, week one. And to be in

495
00:22:33,119 --> 00:22:36,919
Speaker 3: the Mountain West Championship again is pretty amazing from what

496
00:22:36,960 --> 00:22:39,040
Speaker 3: they looked in week one. So Mullins done a great

497
00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:39,479
Speaker 3: job here.

498
00:22:39,560 --> 00:22:43,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, I completely agree with you. Let's move forward, though, Boggs.

499
00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:46,520
Speaker 1: We have one more G five championship game and it

500
00:22:46,600 --> 00:22:49,080
Speaker 1: comes where we have a one and a half point

501
00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:51,840
Speaker 1: ticket that is now available in favor of the eight

502
00:22:51,920 --> 00:22:55,080
Speaker 1: and four Western Michigan Broncos over the seven to five

503
00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:59,280
Speaker 1: Miami Ohio RedHawks for the MAC Championship. This is coming

504
00:22:59,359 --> 00:23:03,520
Speaker 1: at four five Yield on noon Saturday, and we also

505
00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:06,639
Speaker 1: have Miami. They're coming in right now. They're linebacker corbyin

506
00:23:06,720 --> 00:23:09,800
Speaker 1: Hon Drew questionable. Western just their tight end two Kate

507
00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:12,840
Speaker 1: Conley questionable. They do rely on those tight ends pretty

508
00:23:12,840 --> 00:23:16,879
Speaker 1: heavily though, with their run heavy packages. The BP projections

509
00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:19,680
Speaker 1: like the Broncos by a field goal. So I'm down

510
00:23:19,680 --> 00:23:21,639
Speaker 1: on the one and a half. I was very happy

511
00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:23,240
Speaker 1: to see that today when.

512
00:23:23,080 --> 00:23:24,639
Speaker 2: I woke up. So are you coming with me on

513
00:23:24,680 --> 00:23:25,800
Speaker 2: the squad right here? Boggs?

514
00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:28,760
Speaker 3: I'm with you, man, and I'm fading the public on

515
00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:32,120
Speaker 3: both sides here of this one. As our numbers are,

516
00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:34,520
Speaker 3: I predicted it would drop and we are getting the

517
00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:37,120
Speaker 3: extra point for Western Michigan. I'm sorry, what did you say?

518
00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:39,480
Speaker 2: You're taking here one and a half.

519
00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:42,000
Speaker 3: You say, okay, yeah, we're fading the public, which is

520
00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:45,080
Speaker 3: surprising to me, Like I I was surprised. The public

521
00:23:45,200 --> 00:23:48,080
Speaker 3: is so on Miami. They've been a great team here,

522
00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:50,240
Speaker 3: and I think they're I like the under here. I

523
00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:53,080
Speaker 3: think Miami's offense was good enough to beat this dominant

524
00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:57,760
Speaker 3: w WMU defense With Finn but Goskowski in his second

525
00:23:57,880 --> 00:24:00,920
Speaker 3: career start, I'm good. I want to lean towards the

526
00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:04,040
Speaker 3: Western Michigan defense here. However, Miami defense is very good

527
00:24:04,080 --> 00:24:06,960
Speaker 3: as well, and they were able to hold WMU to

528
00:24:06,960 --> 00:24:09,080
Speaker 3: three hundred and sixteen yards and only seventeen points in

529
00:24:09,080 --> 00:24:12,639
Speaker 3: that first matchup. The plan on offense is boring and

530
00:24:12,680 --> 00:24:16,000
Speaker 3: clear for Western Michigan. Run the ball until you have

531
00:24:16,080 --> 00:24:20,159
Speaker 3: to pass. These teams are both very low in explosive

532
00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:23,800
Speaker 3: plays that both top forty in explosive plays allowed as well.

533
00:24:24,200 --> 00:24:28,320
Speaker 3: This should be a great defensive field position, gross type

534
00:24:28,359 --> 00:24:30,840
Speaker 3: of game. The only thing that's missing is weather because

535
00:24:30,840 --> 00:24:34,520
Speaker 3: they're playing in Ford field here, right, So I'm going

536
00:24:34,600 --> 00:24:38,520
Speaker 3: to go with the under here. I lean towards Western

537
00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:41,560
Speaker 3: Michigan as well. I think they win this game gross

538
00:24:41,560 --> 00:24:45,240
Speaker 3: slow scoring with that dominant defense. But I'm definitely going

539
00:24:45,240 --> 00:24:46,560
Speaker 3: to be on the under in this game, or we're

540
00:24:46,560 --> 00:24:49,479
Speaker 3: showing value that way as well. That has forty three

541
00:24:49,520 --> 00:24:51,280
Speaker 3: and a half is the total we've been on like

542
00:24:51,320 --> 00:24:53,919
Speaker 3: forty one and a half forty somewhere in that neighborhood.

543
00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:55,240
Speaker 3: It has not moved.

544
00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:56,480
Speaker 2: Okay, Yeah, I.

545
00:24:56,400 --> 00:24:58,880
Speaker 1: Mean I get why the public might be on Miami right.

546
00:24:58,920 --> 00:25:01,320
Speaker 1: This is a familiar tear to them. They've been in

547
00:25:01,680 --> 00:25:04,040
Speaker 1: tons of MAC championships over the last decade or so.

548
00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:06,960
Speaker 1: With Chuck Martin at the helm. This gotskowski kids. As

549
00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:10,080
Speaker 1: I said on Monday's show, he's got a little something right,

550
00:25:10,359 --> 00:25:12,760
Speaker 1: But I think he's gonna have to be pretty much

551
00:25:12,800 --> 00:25:13,679
Speaker 1: the entire show for them.

552
00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:16,120
Speaker 3: I think he can have to put Buffalo in state.

553
00:25:16,480 --> 00:25:19,480
Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, And like I think he's really gonna have

554
00:25:19,480 --> 00:25:22,440
Speaker 1: to put the team on his shoulders because WMU, Man,

555
00:25:22,480 --> 00:25:26,080
Speaker 1: they get after the opposing quarterbacks fourteenth in sacks per game,

556
00:25:26,560 --> 00:25:29,320
Speaker 1: and despite getting out of the gates usually pretty slow.

557
00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:31,919
Speaker 1: Like if you ever bet on Western Michigan, it's almost

558
00:25:31,920 --> 00:25:34,720
Speaker 1: sometimes a good thing to take them after kickoff live

559
00:25:34,760 --> 00:25:37,720
Speaker 1: if you're a lie better, because they usually get down right,

560
00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:41,359
Speaker 1: but then they libs yeah yes, and then they somehow

561
00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:43,720
Speaker 1: find their way back into the game, and then by

562
00:25:43,800 --> 00:25:46,040
Speaker 1: the fourth quarter they just start wearing on you late,

563
00:25:46,280 --> 00:25:48,760
Speaker 1: possessing the ball, leaning on that run game, and.

564
00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:50,400
Speaker 2: Like I really like Brock Lowry.

565
00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:52,639
Speaker 1: I like the running back Jaylen Buckley here, but they

566
00:25:52,680 --> 00:25:54,879
Speaker 1: also have some playmakers out there on the outside, like

567
00:25:54,960 --> 00:25:57,440
Speaker 1: Teleik Williams. They gave this guy a jet sweep last

568
00:25:57,440 --> 00:25:59,240
Speaker 1: week and he went the distance. I think he can

569
00:25:59,280 --> 00:26:02,199
Speaker 1: do it once again. And Western Michigan they killed my

570
00:26:02,560 --> 00:26:06,240
Speaker 1: Toledo Mac title future by coming back down thirteen zero

571
00:26:06,320 --> 00:26:08,720
Speaker 1: late in the third quarter earlier this season. I think

572
00:26:08,760 --> 00:26:11,320
Speaker 1: they went it back by getting the trophy for themselves

573
00:26:11,320 --> 00:26:11,720
Speaker 1: in this one.

574
00:26:11,800 --> 00:26:16,200
Speaker 2: Let's hope, Let's hope, Let's go ahead.

575
00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:18,560
Speaker 1: Let's get to the next game where the line has

576
00:26:18,640 --> 00:26:19,440
Speaker 1: dropped a point.

577
00:26:19,520 --> 00:26:20,399
Speaker 2: In Jerry World.

578
00:26:20,400 --> 00:26:24,200
Speaker 1: For the Big twelve Championship kicking off at noon on Saturday,

579
00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:26,840
Speaker 1: with the fifth ranked Texas Tech Red Raiders, they're favored

580
00:26:26,880 --> 00:26:29,400
Speaker 1: by twelve and a half points over the eleventh ranked

581
00:26:29,400 --> 00:26:32,440
Speaker 1: BYU Cougars, the Kugs. Right now, they have their ex

582
00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:36,760
Speaker 1: wide receiver Chase Roberts and their linebacker Max Adford. Questionable

583
00:26:37,000 --> 00:26:40,840
Speaker 1: Tech still somehow at full strength the BP projections, we're

584
00:26:40,880 --> 00:26:44,119
Speaker 1: showing this spread one hundred eight points, so massive value

585
00:26:44,240 --> 00:26:47,280
Speaker 1: right now on the Cougs. However, the system cannot take

586
00:26:47,320 --> 00:26:50,960
Speaker 1: into account the chaos then ensued this week in provo. Right,

587
00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:54,919
Speaker 1: you had all the happenings with Kolonie Sataki, the cookie

588
00:26:54,960 --> 00:26:58,120
Speaker 1: crumble money, all that good stuff coming in bogs. Call

589
00:26:58,200 --> 00:27:00,439
Speaker 1: me bitter, or call me someone who just wants to

590
00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:04,680
Speaker 1: back a country best eleven to one team against the spread.

591
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:06,280
Speaker 2: But I'm laying the twelve and a half with Tech.

592
00:27:06,520 --> 00:27:07,480
Speaker 2: What about you, man?

593
00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:09,919
Speaker 3: Yeah, look, I'll call you a smart better right. You

594
00:27:10,000 --> 00:27:12,560
Speaker 3: watch the first game where they're won by twenty two points,

595
00:27:12,600 --> 00:27:15,560
Speaker 3: and that was their closest big twelve game, which we

596
00:27:15,600 --> 00:27:18,040
Speaker 3: talked about outside of that loss to ASU, of course

597
00:27:18,240 --> 00:27:22,320
Speaker 3: without Baron Morton. So look, nothing changes here to me,

598
00:27:22,520 --> 00:27:25,960
Speaker 3: and I'm still gonna be on the BYU under seventeen

599
00:27:25,960 --> 00:27:28,159
Speaker 3: and a half team total. That's what it is for me.

600
00:27:28,240 --> 00:27:30,800
Speaker 3: I really wish the public new when to get away

601
00:27:30,840 --> 00:27:33,800
Speaker 3: from BYU because they've been off of BYU the last

602
00:27:33,800 --> 00:27:36,000
Speaker 3: three weeks and I've been scooping up money. Yeah, on

603
00:27:36,080 --> 00:27:38,320
Speaker 3: BYU three weeks in a row. Now we get to

604
00:27:38,359 --> 00:27:41,439
Speaker 3: play Texas Tech again and I'm like, yeah, I've gotta flip.

605
00:27:41,880 --> 00:27:44,200
Speaker 3: I'm not gonna take BYU again. They just don't match

606
00:27:44,280 --> 00:27:46,800
Speaker 3: up well here. The run defense for Texas Tech has

607
00:27:46,840 --> 00:27:49,880
Speaker 3: been outstanding. They say, look, I think most people think

608
00:27:49,960 --> 00:27:53,360
Speaker 3: Texas Tech and they think Patrick Mahomes offensive team, blah

609
00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:56,360
Speaker 3: blah blah. Their offense is good, their defense is elite.

610
00:27:56,680 --> 00:27:59,520
Speaker 3: That is what has been winning Texas Tech games. David

611
00:27:59,560 --> 00:28:02,840
Speaker 3: Bailey one of the best defensive linemen in the country.

612
00:28:03,200 --> 00:28:07,160
Speaker 3: Jacob Rodriguez should be in New York with a Heisman

613
00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:10,440
Speaker 3: chance with the weak Heisman group this year. He has

614
00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:15,440
Speaker 3: been unbelievably good at linebacker this year. So I just

615
00:28:16,359 --> 00:28:18,240
Speaker 3: in this game, to me, I think we're gonna see

616
00:28:18,280 --> 00:28:21,680
Speaker 3: a problem with BYU scoring. Right. What they have done

617
00:28:21,720 --> 00:28:25,520
Speaker 3: in the Big twelve has been out physically everybody. That's

618
00:28:25,560 --> 00:28:28,200
Speaker 3: what it is. It's they're running down everybody's throat. They're

619
00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:31,159
Speaker 3: beating you with a run game. Your defense gets tired

620
00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:33,400
Speaker 3: and they break it open in the fourth quarter. This

621
00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:35,840
Speaker 3: is what BYU has been doing the whole year. That

622
00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:37,879
Speaker 3: ain't gonna work against Texas Tech. We saw it the

623
00:28:37,960 --> 00:28:40,120
Speaker 3: last time. I think we're gonna run into the same

624
00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:44,120
Speaker 3: problems in this game. Now. The defense played great for

625
00:28:44,200 --> 00:28:47,760
Speaker 3: BYU in that game. They held Texas Tech to five

626
00:28:47,840 --> 00:28:50,880
Speaker 3: field goals and only two touchdowns, which nobody else has

627
00:28:50,920 --> 00:28:54,800
Speaker 3: done they hit Baron Morton. He was only seventeen of

628
00:28:54,920 --> 00:28:57,600
Speaker 3: thirty in that game, and I think it was his

629
00:28:57,680 --> 00:29:01,480
Speaker 3: second lowest QBR for the entire season, and they were

630
00:29:01,480 --> 00:29:04,080
Speaker 3: held to two hundred and fifty five yards in that game.

631
00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:07,080
Speaker 3: BYU was in sixty seven rushing yards. They typically put

632
00:29:07,160 --> 00:29:10,600
Speaker 3: up two hundred, So I like the under in this

633
00:29:10,760 --> 00:29:14,800
Speaker 3: game overall, but my favorite bet is BYU under seventeen

634
00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:15,480
Speaker 3: and a half here.

635
00:29:16,000 --> 00:29:18,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm super cool with that sixty seven rushing yards

636
00:29:18,760 --> 00:29:21,880
Speaker 1: last time for the Cougars against Tech's top ranked rushing defense.

637
00:29:22,120 --> 00:29:23,920
Speaker 1: That's the difference for me in this one. And like

638
00:29:24,360 --> 00:29:26,960
Speaker 1: Tech only got beat once the season Bogs were, we

639
00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:29,239
Speaker 1: would think about them maybe a little differently if they

640
00:29:29,240 --> 00:29:32,280
Speaker 1: had a zero next to their name in the lost column, right,

641
00:29:32,320 --> 00:29:34,480
Speaker 1: and the only reason they lost Will Hammond was under

642
00:29:34,480 --> 00:29:36,160
Speaker 1: center and Sam Levitt diced them.

643
00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:37,360
Speaker 2: Up for over three hundred yards.

644
00:29:37,480 --> 00:29:39,440
Speaker 1: That's how I think you have to beat Texas Tech

645
00:29:39,720 --> 00:29:41,240
Speaker 1: through the air, and you have to play your A

646
00:29:41,320 --> 00:29:44,280
Speaker 1: plus game. With how crazy things got out there in

647
00:29:44,280 --> 00:29:47,880
Speaker 1: provo this week with Sataki, I just don't think BYU

648
00:29:47,960 --> 00:29:49,200
Speaker 1: will be up to that challenge.

649
00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:51,600
Speaker 3: I mean, I'm not even considering that they haven't done

650
00:29:51,600 --> 00:29:54,440
Speaker 3: that all year. They win by running right. Yeah, so

651
00:29:54,720 --> 00:29:56,600
Speaker 3: I just don't think they have it in the past

652
00:29:56,640 --> 00:29:59,560
Speaker 3: game to compete with Texas Tech point for point, and

653
00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:02,440
Speaker 3: I just think Texas texts defense is too good to

654
00:30:02,440 --> 00:30:05,880
Speaker 3: be beat on the ground. So I don't know about

655
00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:08,680
Speaker 3: the spread we're showing value towards BYU. I don't want

656
00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:11,000
Speaker 3: to bet against BYU because they've been so good and

657
00:30:11,040 --> 00:30:13,680
Speaker 3: they showed well on defense in the last game, but

658
00:30:13,720 --> 00:30:15,960
Speaker 3: I don't think BYU moves the ball very well. Okay,

659
00:30:16,080 --> 00:30:17,760
Speaker 3: that's my ultimate takeaway there.

660
00:30:18,240 --> 00:30:20,080
Speaker 1: We have a couple more games to give some picks

661
00:30:20,120 --> 00:30:22,000
Speaker 1: out for it, but first we also wanted to give

662
00:30:22,040 --> 00:30:24,720
Speaker 1: away some goodies and if you want a chance to

663
00:30:24,760 --> 00:30:28,880
Speaker 1: score this signed AJ Brown Philadelphia Eagles helmet for absolutely

664
00:30:28,920 --> 00:30:32,120
Speaker 1: free courteous of our friends over at Pristineauction dot com.

665
00:30:32,280 --> 00:30:33,960
Speaker 1: All you need to do is head to Bettingpros dot

666
00:30:34,000 --> 00:30:36,800
Speaker 1: com slash contest, complete the form either a go ahead

667
00:30:36,800 --> 00:30:40,120
Speaker 1: and download that free Betting Pros app, be leaver review

668
00:30:40,160 --> 00:30:42,640
Speaker 1: for the Betting Pros podcast, or see subscribe to our

669
00:30:42,640 --> 00:30:45,520
Speaker 1: social media handles. We're at Betting Pros on x and

670
00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:49,120
Speaker 1: TikTok and at betting pros NFL on the Instagram. The

671
00:30:49,240 --> 00:30:52,080
Speaker 1: more actions you complete, the more entries you're gonna receive,

672
00:30:52,280 --> 00:30:54,520
Speaker 1: and we will of course announce a winner right here

673
00:30:54,560 --> 00:30:56,600
Speaker 1: on the channel, so make sure you'll ring the bell

674
00:30:56,720 --> 00:30:58,520
Speaker 1: so you could be alerted and we have new shows

675
00:30:58,600 --> 00:31:00,200
Speaker 1: up and to clean your prize if you are that

676
00:31:00,280 --> 00:31:04,960
Speaker 1: lucky winner. The spread as widened in the SEC Championship

677
00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:09,040
Speaker 1: game getting underway from Mercedes Benz Stadium in Atlanta at

678
00:31:09,080 --> 00:31:12,440
Speaker 1: four pm Eastern time the number three Georgia Bulldogs. They

679
00:31:12,440 --> 00:31:14,520
Speaker 1: are now two and a half point favorites over the

680
00:31:14,600 --> 00:31:18,160
Speaker 1: number ten Alabama Crimson Tide UGA. They have their center

681
00:31:18,280 --> 00:31:21,720
Speaker 1: Drew Bobo and their running back Chancey Ballins listed as

682
00:31:21,800 --> 00:31:25,120
Speaker 1: questionable Bama right after he had his breakout game RB

683
00:31:25,200 --> 00:31:28,360
Speaker 1: one Jam Miller is questionable. Also, their RB two Kevin

684
00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:30,480
Speaker 1: Riley might not be up for this one as well.

685
00:31:30,680 --> 00:31:33,600
Speaker 1: The BP projections right now we are leaning towards the Dogs,

686
00:31:33,640 --> 00:31:34,880
Speaker 1: but only by half a point.

687
00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:37,200
Speaker 2: So Boggs, how will you be playing this one?

688
00:31:37,280 --> 00:31:40,160
Speaker 1: And I believe the last time these two teams matched up,

689
00:31:40,240 --> 00:31:42,520
Speaker 1: you win and got at a really bad beat on

690
00:31:42,640 --> 00:31:44,360
Speaker 1: the over between the two blue bloods.

691
00:31:44,720 --> 00:31:48,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, Well, I think the Georgia. The Georgia Florida

692
00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:50,520
Speaker 3: game was my really bad beat in the over, but

693
00:31:50,680 --> 00:31:52,600
Speaker 3: this one probably was as well.

694
00:31:52,800 --> 00:31:54,520
Speaker 2: Lots of points in the first half, I think in

695
00:31:54,560 --> 00:31:55,040
Speaker 2: that one.

696
00:31:55,320 --> 00:31:58,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, Look this game. I don't think he'll be

697
00:31:58,400 --> 00:32:01,320
Speaker 3: right to bounce Mama for losing the conference championship game.

698
00:32:01,360 --> 00:32:04,120
Speaker 3: But BYU is sitting like if BYU beats Texas Tech,

699
00:32:04,120 --> 00:32:06,560
Speaker 3: which we both don't think is going to happen, that's interesting.

700
00:32:06,560 --> 00:32:09,680
Speaker 3: But if that happens and Bama loses this game, there's

701
00:32:09,720 --> 00:32:12,320
Speaker 3: a possibility that BYU skips in here. So there's a

702
00:32:12,360 --> 00:32:15,200
Speaker 3: lot of motivation for Alabama to win this game right now,

703
00:32:15,280 --> 00:32:17,880
Speaker 3: right Georgia needs to keep their bye. They have motivation

704
00:32:18,040 --> 00:32:20,000
Speaker 3: as well. I'm not trying to say that they're not

705
00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:22,440
Speaker 3: motivated to beat Alabama. Of course they are, sure, But

706
00:32:23,200 --> 00:32:26,160
Speaker 3: I just don't really like this game because of that

707
00:32:26,440 --> 00:32:29,520
Speaker 3: wrench that you throw in. And I still like Georgia here.

708
00:32:29,640 --> 00:32:32,120
Speaker 3: I know Bama won the first game in September, but

709
00:32:32,800 --> 00:32:36,000
Speaker 3: they have been more of a backing in late squad

710
00:32:36,080 --> 00:32:38,280
Speaker 3: to me from what I've watched from them. The win

711
00:32:38,320 --> 00:32:41,480
Speaker 3: and Georgia did wash away a lot of questions after

712
00:32:41,520 --> 00:32:45,640
Speaker 3: that FSU lost for Alabama fairly so, right, they responded

713
00:32:45,680 --> 00:32:47,880
Speaker 3: by winning that game. But Vanderbilt, they beat Vanderbilt and

714
00:32:47,920 --> 00:32:50,840
Speaker 3: a beat down, a tough road game against a surging

715
00:32:50,880 --> 00:32:53,240
Speaker 3: Missouri team. At that time, they won twenty seven and

716
00:32:53,320 --> 00:32:55,400
Speaker 3: twenty four, and I think they peaked when they beat

717
00:32:55,440 --> 00:32:58,440
Speaker 3: the Falls, right, but then they had that scare against

718
00:32:58,440 --> 00:33:02,280
Speaker 3: South Carolina. It's an impressive twenty to nine win against

719
00:33:02,400 --> 00:33:07,120
Speaker 3: LSU at home loss against Oklahoma. They beat the cupcake

720
00:33:07,160 --> 00:33:10,640
Speaker 3: in Eastern Illinois and fourth and goal against Auburn won

721
00:33:10,680 --> 00:33:14,440
Speaker 3: that that game, right like, they are backing in right now.

722
00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:16,920
Speaker 3: They are not peaking now. Look, they're still very good,

723
00:33:17,160 --> 00:33:19,320
Speaker 3: but they're not playing their best football that they've played

724
00:33:19,320 --> 00:33:23,320
Speaker 3: all year right now. So Georgia Tech and Florida when

725
00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:27,600
Speaker 3: Stockton could have gotten the cover for US. That's the

726
00:33:27,640 --> 00:33:31,120
Speaker 3: only one score games Georgia has played on this eight

727
00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:35,040
Speaker 3: game win streak, right, That's it. I like Georgia, the numbers,

728
00:33:35,080 --> 00:33:37,560
Speaker 3: like Bama. The motivation might be better a little bit

729
00:33:37,560 --> 00:33:42,120
Speaker 3: on the Bama side as well, but I don't know

730
00:33:42,280 --> 00:33:45,400
Speaker 3: how deep into the bag Kirby's gonna go. So the

731
00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:48,040
Speaker 3: total is a little wishy washy to me, as well,

732
00:33:48,440 --> 00:33:51,480
Speaker 3: I'm probably gonna stay away. I like Georgia in this game.

733
00:33:51,520 --> 00:33:53,400
Speaker 3: I think they're a better team than Alabama right now,

734
00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:55,719
Speaker 3: even though Alabama already beat them, and they may have

735
00:33:55,760 --> 00:33:58,640
Speaker 3: a little more motivating factors in this game to make

736
00:33:58,680 --> 00:34:02,000
Speaker 3: sure they secure their playoffs spot and don't get completely booted.

737
00:34:02,160 --> 00:34:04,600
Speaker 3: But they're gonna know when they take the field if

738
00:34:04,600 --> 00:34:06,920
Speaker 3: B WHYU loses, I think they're in even with the loss.

739
00:34:07,080 --> 00:34:09,920
Speaker 3: So I don't think you pushed Notre Dame in and

740
00:34:09,960 --> 00:34:13,759
Speaker 3: you don't push Miami. But I do think Georgia ends

741
00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:16,440
Speaker 3: up winning this game, So I'll lean towards Georgia here.

742
00:34:16,719 --> 00:34:18,640
Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, I don't have a play in this one.

743
00:34:18,960 --> 00:34:21,759
Speaker 1: It's really tough for me because I agree with you

744
00:34:21,920 --> 00:34:25,320
Speaker 1: that motivation definitely on the Alabama side. I also think

745
00:34:25,560 --> 00:34:29,240
Speaker 1: this is kind of the team that Ty Simpson really

746
00:34:29,280 --> 00:34:32,360
Speaker 1: can show out against, just because the fact that Jordia

747
00:34:32,360 --> 00:34:34,520
Speaker 1: doesn't really get after the quarterback right like Auburn was

748
00:34:34,560 --> 00:34:36,640
Speaker 1: getting after him last week. They have some really good

749
00:34:36,640 --> 00:34:39,440
Speaker 1: guys on that defensive front still for Auburn that were

750
00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:42,680
Speaker 1: playing inspired football last week, and I just don't think

751
00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:44,080
Speaker 1: Georgia currently has this.

752
00:34:44,280 --> 00:34:47,279
Speaker 3: So neither of these teams rush the passer. Well, yeah,

753
00:34:47,320 --> 00:34:50,800
Speaker 3: they're both bad for what they've been historically at getting

754
00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:51,600
Speaker 3: after the passer.

755
00:34:52,040 --> 00:34:53,440
Speaker 2: Yeah. Absolutely.

756
00:34:53,800 --> 00:34:56,480
Speaker 1: I think the big thing for Alabama is like, can

757
00:34:56,560 --> 00:34:58,800
Speaker 1: jam Miller give them something? Can one of these running

758
00:34:58,800 --> 00:34:59,359
Speaker 1: backs be up?

759
00:34:59,360 --> 00:34:59,600
Speaker 3: Really?

760
00:34:59,640 --> 00:35:01,840
Speaker 1: Like that's the difference because UGA does have one of

761
00:35:01,840 --> 00:35:04,279
Speaker 1: the best rushing defenses in the country. That's not how

762
00:35:04,360 --> 00:35:06,879
Speaker 1: Alabama really beats you though, right, It's more through the air.

763
00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:09,799
Speaker 1: And also like there's gotta be a time where we

764
00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:13,120
Speaker 1: start getting Ryan Williams back involved. Like I understand like

765
00:35:13,160 --> 00:35:15,479
Speaker 1: he's had an okay season, but Boggs, if you would

766
00:35:15,480 --> 00:35:18,080
Speaker 1: have told me that Ty Simpson and Bama went on

767
00:35:18,120 --> 00:35:22,080
Speaker 1: this run and Simpson and Ryan Williams really wasn't the

768
00:35:22,160 --> 00:35:24,000
Speaker 1: part of it that we thought he was going to be.

769
00:35:24,120 --> 00:35:26,240
Speaker 1: He's definitely regressed, and I'm not really sure.

770
00:35:26,239 --> 00:35:29,160
Speaker 3: What's going on in less than I think it's been

771
00:35:29,160 --> 00:35:30,359
Speaker 3: that way for a while.

772
00:35:30,320 --> 00:35:33,279
Speaker 1: Maybe or or was he maybe just not always that

773
00:35:33,360 --> 00:35:35,799
Speaker 1: good in a couple of hot games last se year,

774
00:35:35,840 --> 00:35:37,200
Speaker 1: really really good last year.

775
00:35:39,200 --> 00:35:41,959
Speaker 2: I'm just saying it's it's interesting. The fall off has been.

776
00:35:41,840 --> 00:35:44,800
Speaker 3: Really it is, and you know it's gonna affect his

777
00:35:44,880 --> 00:35:47,200
Speaker 3: draft stock if he doesn't get back on it throughout

778
00:35:47,200 --> 00:35:48,520
Speaker 3: the playoffs here and next year.

779
00:35:48,640 --> 00:35:50,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, he's got time, he's got time turning around. But

780
00:35:51,120 --> 00:35:54,759
Speaker 1: definitely an underwhelming season, especially for those who invested in him,

781
00:35:55,120 --> 00:35:59,280
Speaker 1: maybe in some futures markets or also in the CFF streets. Boggs,

782
00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:01,400
Speaker 1: let's go ahead, though, let's turn the page. There's been

783
00:36:01,440 --> 00:36:04,040
Speaker 1: no line movement and what's going to be an underwhelming

784
00:36:04,080 --> 00:36:07,600
Speaker 1: ACC Championship game by my standards. It's kicking off from

785
00:36:07,719 --> 00:36:10,279
Speaker 1: a Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte at eight pm

786
00:36:10,360 --> 00:36:12,879
Speaker 1: Eastern time the seven and five Duke Blue Devils. They'd

787
00:36:12,920 --> 00:36:15,600
Speaker 1: remain a three and a half point underdog against the

788
00:36:15,640 --> 00:36:19,920
Speaker 1: sixteenth rank Virginia Cavaliers. Duke has some defensive backs banged

789
00:36:20,000 --> 00:36:22,560
Speaker 1: up in the two D, but otherwise they're at full strength.

790
00:36:22,640 --> 00:36:25,680
Speaker 1: Everyone should also be up for the who's in this one?

791
00:36:25,760 --> 00:36:28,920
Speaker 2: The BP rejections. Right now, we are giving UVA.

792
00:36:29,200 --> 00:36:32,040
Speaker 1: By three and a half points, So this is another

793
00:36:32,080 --> 00:36:34,880
Speaker 1: spot maybe where you want to back the favorite.

794
00:36:34,880 --> 00:36:35,760
Speaker 2: What do you think bugs?

795
00:36:36,120 --> 00:36:39,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, look, I think that we saw this game played

796
00:36:39,680 --> 00:36:43,960
Speaker 3: three weeks ago, right, Uva beat Duke thirty four to seventeen.

797
00:36:45,000 --> 00:36:48,880
Speaker 3: Virginia had five hundred and forty yards, two hundred and

798
00:36:48,920 --> 00:36:52,640
Speaker 3: twenty four rushing yards. They SACKEDMENTSA four times and they

799
00:36:52,640 --> 00:36:56,560
Speaker 3: were minus one. And turnovers they had two to Duke's one,

800
00:36:56,920 --> 00:37:00,000
Speaker 3: and You're still had the ball for thirty six minutes

801
00:37:00,680 --> 00:37:04,520
Speaker 3: in that game. So we know the weird common opponent

802
00:37:04,600 --> 00:37:06,719
Speaker 3: thing is what put Duke in here. And they're not

803
00:37:06,760 --> 00:37:10,919
Speaker 3: gonna apologize anybody, but Duke versus Miami obviously would have been.

804
00:37:10,800 --> 00:37:12,920
Speaker 2: A better Virginia versus Miami.

805
00:37:13,200 --> 00:37:15,359
Speaker 3: Yeah yeah, I'm sorry. Virginia versus Miami would have been

806
00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:18,359
Speaker 3: a much better ACC Championship game.

807
00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:19,520
Speaker 2: But that Georgia Tech.

808
00:37:19,680 --> 00:37:22,800
Speaker 3: But that overtime, Yeah yeah, but that overtime loss. Smu

809
00:37:22,880 --> 00:37:26,319
Speaker 3: haunts Miami right now. Oh so, Duke has been a

810
00:37:26,320 --> 00:37:29,040
Speaker 3: great offense this season, and they have had some really

811
00:37:29,040 --> 00:37:33,680
Speaker 3: impressive performances Wake Forest. They got real bad forty six

812
00:37:33,719 --> 00:37:36,319
Speaker 3: and forty nine in those wins. But UVA is top

813
00:37:36,360 --> 00:37:39,560
Speaker 3: twenty five in scoring and in total defense. Duke has

814
00:37:39,600 --> 00:37:42,120
Speaker 3: been held to less than twenty points against the best

815
00:37:42,160 --> 00:37:45,280
Speaker 3: defenses they have played. Illinois held them to nineteen, Georgia

816
00:37:45,320 --> 00:37:48,400
Speaker 3: Tech held them to eighteen, UVA held them to seventeen.

817
00:37:48,680 --> 00:37:52,439
Speaker 3: Already this year. So the team total for Duke, can

818
00:37:52,480 --> 00:37:53,759
Speaker 3: you take a crack? Do you know what it is?

819
00:37:53,800 --> 00:37:54,520
Speaker 3: Have you looked yet?

820
00:37:55,200 --> 00:37:58,160
Speaker 1: I have not, But based on how many points they're

821
00:37:58,160 --> 00:38:01,240
Speaker 1: scoring a game and the over a total of this game,

822
00:38:01,880 --> 00:38:05,279
Speaker 1: I'm gonna say probably, like is it twenty four and

823
00:38:05,320 --> 00:38:05,680
Speaker 1: a half?

824
00:38:05,719 --> 00:38:08,680
Speaker 3: Twenty three, twenty six and a half. So we're gonna

825
00:38:08,719 --> 00:38:11,279
Speaker 3: go under that. We're gonna go under twenty six and

826
00:38:11,320 --> 00:38:14,680
Speaker 3: a half for them. You know, the team total is

827
00:38:14,680 --> 00:38:16,800
Speaker 3: twenty six and a half. I like the under Louisville,

828
00:38:16,880 --> 00:38:19,040
Speaker 3: FSU and NC State are the only teams to score

829
00:38:19,080 --> 00:38:22,200
Speaker 3: twenty seven plus against Virginia this year, having given up

830
00:38:22,320 --> 00:38:24,640
Speaker 3: more than twenty one and six straight games. Duke under

831
00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:26,640
Speaker 3: twenty six and a half in UVA minus three and

832
00:38:26,680 --> 00:38:28,319
Speaker 3: a half are the best that I like here.

833
00:38:28,760 --> 00:38:30,960
Speaker 1: Okay, yeah, I'm cool with that. I don't have too

834
00:38:31,000 --> 00:38:33,520
Speaker 1: much to add on this. Chandler Morris has been really

835
00:38:33,520 --> 00:38:35,880
Speaker 1: really fun to watch. I've been, you know, glad to

836
00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:38,000
Speaker 1: be a part of this ride and get to watch

837
00:38:38,040 --> 00:38:40,760
Speaker 1: the Who's have a really historic season for the program.

838
00:38:40,840 --> 00:38:43,000
Speaker 3: Right like if they only really got stopped on offense.

839
00:38:43,040 --> 00:38:45,799
Speaker 3: When Chandler Morris got hurt against Wake Forest, that was it.

840
00:38:46,280 --> 00:38:48,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, is this the best Virginia team you've ever seen?

841
00:38:48,719 --> 00:38:51,319
Speaker 3: Boggs, I don't know if it's the best Virginia team

842
00:38:51,320 --> 00:38:53,000
Speaker 3: I've ever seen. I've seen a lot of Virginia, but

843
00:38:53,200 --> 00:38:55,480
Speaker 3: is one of the best for sure, and it should

844
00:38:55,480 --> 00:38:57,319
Speaker 3: get them into the tournament with a win here.

845
00:38:57,480 --> 00:39:01,600
Speaker 2: So okay, Well, hopefully they don't because I want the chaos.

846
00:39:01,640 --> 00:39:03,480
Speaker 2: I want the chaos, baby, let's see.

847
00:39:03,520 --> 00:39:05,319
Speaker 3: I don't blame you. The chaos is fun, man.

848
00:39:05,600 --> 00:39:08,480
Speaker 1: Let's go Manny Diaz. Let's go Manny Diaz. I'm here

849
00:39:08,520 --> 00:39:09,080
Speaker 1: for it, baby.

850
00:39:09,440 --> 00:39:10,360
Speaker 2: Uh. Let's go ahead.

851
00:39:10,400 --> 00:39:13,799
Speaker 1: Though, Let's round it out with the game of all

852
00:39:13,840 --> 00:39:16,640
Speaker 1: games here, and the spread is actually shrunk between these

853
00:39:16,640 --> 00:39:19,919
Speaker 1: two Juggernauts in the Big Ten Championship that kicks off

854
00:39:19,920 --> 00:39:22,880
Speaker 1: from the loud House that is Lucas Oil Stadium at

855
00:39:22,920 --> 00:39:26,520
Speaker 1: eight pm Eastern Time on Saturday night in primetime, the

856
00:39:26,560 --> 00:39:29,680
Speaker 1: top ranked Ohio State buck Guys. They have moved to

857
00:39:29,960 --> 00:39:31,759
Speaker 1: between a three and a half and four and a

858
00:39:31,800 --> 00:39:35,720
Speaker 1: half point favorite over the second ranked Indiana Hoosiers after

859
00:39:35,760 --> 00:39:38,480
Speaker 1: the line originally opened all the way at five and

860
00:39:38,480 --> 00:39:40,960
Speaker 1: a half points. I you. Currently they have their left

861
00:39:40,960 --> 00:39:44,600
Speaker 1: guard Drew Evans and their flanker wide receiver EJ. Williams Junior,

862
00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:47,440
Speaker 1: who are questionable. The Buckeys come in at full strength

863
00:39:47,480 --> 00:39:50,680
Speaker 1: for this one. The VP projections right now still don't

864
00:39:50,680 --> 00:39:53,640
Speaker 1: think that the movement was even enough, listing this closer

865
00:39:53,680 --> 00:39:56,040
Speaker 1: to a one and a half point game. So, Bogs,

866
00:39:56,200 --> 00:39:59,160
Speaker 1: what do you think about the money coming in on

867
00:39:59,200 --> 00:39:59,960
Speaker 1: this game so far?

868
00:40:00,120 --> 00:40:01,759
Speaker 2: What do you think on the matchup as a whole?

869
00:40:02,480 --> 00:40:05,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, look, these are probably the two best teams in

870
00:40:05,680 --> 00:40:08,120
Speaker 3: the country, right, Yeah, I think that a lot of

871
00:40:08,120 --> 00:40:10,920
Speaker 3: people have agreed on this. I think no matter who

872
00:40:10,960 --> 00:40:13,520
Speaker 3: wins this game. You know, Indiana wins, they go to one,

873
00:40:13,520 --> 00:40:16,120
Speaker 3: Ohio State goes a two, Ohio State wins, they are

874
00:40:16,239 --> 00:40:18,760
Speaker 3: stay at one in Indiana states at two. I don't

875
00:40:18,800 --> 00:40:22,640
Speaker 3: mind that at all. Right, town should be, town should be.

876
00:40:22,640 --> 00:40:25,640
Speaker 3: But I think we do know that Ohio State is

877
00:40:25,680 --> 00:40:28,600
Speaker 3: the best team in the country, right, Like, maybe Indiana's

878
00:40:28,640 --> 00:40:32,680
Speaker 3: number two, maybe they're not, but Ohio State is number one. Right.

879
00:40:33,040 --> 00:40:35,320
Speaker 3: They played one to one score game. As we mentioned

880
00:40:35,360 --> 00:40:39,160
Speaker 3: on Monday, that was Julian Sands's first start against number

881
00:40:39,280 --> 00:40:42,759
Speaker 3: one Texas to start the year, right, Like, one of

882
00:40:42,800 --> 00:40:45,239
Speaker 3: the best defenses in the country specifically at that point

883
00:40:45,239 --> 00:40:48,040
Speaker 3: they were playing much better on defense when everybody was healthy.

884
00:40:48,120 --> 00:40:50,960
Speaker 3: So they went on the road to Washington beat him

885
00:40:50,960 --> 00:40:53,640
Speaker 3: by eighteen. They went on the road to Illinois, beat

886
00:40:53,719 --> 00:40:56,160
Speaker 3: him by eighteen. Penn State at home beat him by

887
00:40:56,200 --> 00:41:01,920
Speaker 3: twenty four. They hold Texas, Ohio, Washington, Minnesota, was Cosin, Purdue, Ucla, Rutgers,

888
00:41:01,960 --> 00:41:06,919
Speaker 3: and Michigan all to ten points or less. This year.

889
00:41:07,200 --> 00:41:10,879
Speaker 3: Indiana has been awesome too. They're undefeated, obviously, but they're

890
00:41:10,920 --> 00:41:13,200
Speaker 3: seven and five against the spread. Ohio State is ten

891
00:41:13,280 --> 00:41:16,320
Speaker 3: one and one. Indiana had a close call against Iowa

892
00:41:16,600 --> 00:41:18,799
Speaker 3: and should have lost to Penn State, but the rest

893
00:41:18,800 --> 00:41:21,080
Speaker 3: of their schedule was on par with the Buckeyes. Right

894
00:41:21,320 --> 00:41:24,920
Speaker 3: So Indiana would be my pick right now for the

895
00:41:24,920 --> 00:41:28,560
Speaker 3: second best team in the country. But Ohio State just

896
00:41:28,840 --> 00:41:31,840
Speaker 3: no doubt, and they look more balanced on offense with

897
00:41:31,960 --> 00:41:35,799
Speaker 3: bo Jackson ripping it up recently as well. So I

898
00:41:35,920 --> 00:41:38,760
Speaker 3: just don't know how you bet against the Buckeyes until

899
00:41:38,840 --> 00:41:42,960
Speaker 3: someone gives them a scare or beats them, which I don't.

900
00:41:43,000 --> 00:41:46,520
Speaker 3: We haven't seen all year. They've played a pretty easy

901
00:41:46,560 --> 00:41:49,960
Speaker 3: schedule in terms of you know, they're big ten matchups here,

902
00:41:50,200 --> 00:41:54,319
Speaker 3: but I mean this is This is the best team

903
00:41:54,360 --> 00:41:56,120
Speaker 3: in the country, I think, and I'm just gonna bet

904
00:41:56,120 --> 00:41:57,920
Speaker 3: them until somebody beats them.

905
00:41:58,320 --> 00:42:01,040
Speaker 2: Okay, that's fair, man. This one is so tough for me.

906
00:42:01,200 --> 00:42:03,800
Speaker 1: Like, I don't know if I've seen two more even

907
00:42:03,840 --> 00:42:06,920
Speaker 1: teams square off ever, honestly in a big game like this.

908
00:42:07,080 --> 00:42:09,920
Speaker 1: Really Like Also, then you have two of the Heisman favorites.

909
00:42:09,960 --> 00:42:13,160
Speaker 1: You have Julian saying, who com is a cucumber back there?

910
00:42:13,200 --> 00:42:15,520
Speaker 1: I gotta say, man for this guy being a young

911
00:42:15,560 --> 00:42:17,960
Speaker 1: pop in his first action this season, He's been great.

912
00:42:18,160 --> 00:42:21,120
Speaker 1: And I love Fernando Mendoza's moxie too. He's a guy

913
00:42:21,239 --> 00:42:23,640
Speaker 1: doesn't get too high, doesn't get too low.

914
00:42:23,960 --> 00:42:27,080
Speaker 3: It's my seedsman game. It could mean whoever wins could

915
00:42:27,120 --> 00:42:29,000
Speaker 3: be the Heisman winning would not be surprised.

916
00:42:29,080 --> 00:42:30,560
Speaker 2: Absolutely one hundred agree.

917
00:42:30,640 --> 00:42:34,320
Speaker 1: I also had a Jeremiah Love eighty to one ticket

918
00:42:34,360 --> 00:42:37,120
Speaker 1: from preseason that last week it got cut all the

919
00:42:37,120 --> 00:42:39,480
Speaker 1: way down to three to one, and I was like, oh, man,

920
00:42:39,520 --> 00:42:42,280
Speaker 1: are we gonna hit the long shot Heisman two years

921
00:42:42,280 --> 00:42:44,200
Speaker 1: in a row after being on sixty five to one.

922
00:42:44,200 --> 00:42:46,919
Speaker 1: Travis Hunter a year ago wasn't meant to be. He's

923
00:42:46,920 --> 00:42:48,640
Speaker 1: back at like twelve to one. I didn't get a

924
00:42:48,680 --> 00:42:50,960
Speaker 1: cash out opportunity either because of where I place it at,

925
00:42:51,280 --> 00:42:54,080
Speaker 1: so that was a bummer. But I'm really excited for

926
00:42:54,120 --> 00:42:57,319
Speaker 1: this one. I think it's two great head coaches. Say

927
00:42:57,360 --> 00:42:59,600
Speaker 1: what you want about sig Signetti, what he puts out

928
00:42:59,600 --> 00:43:02,560
Speaker 1: there and interviews, but I love the moxie from this

929
00:43:02,640 --> 00:43:06,799
Speaker 1: Western Pa guy. Also really excited for Ryan Day and

930
00:43:06,960 --> 00:43:09,840
Speaker 1: what's coming for him and his family after a massive

931
00:43:09,840 --> 00:43:11,360
Speaker 1: win in the game and now he can count of

932
00:43:11,440 --> 00:43:12,839
Speaker 1: continue his story on here.

933
00:43:13,040 --> 00:43:14,600
Speaker 2: Yes, exactly, exactly.

934
00:43:14,640 --> 00:43:17,319
Speaker 3: No more death threats to Ryan, don't don't relax too much.

935
00:43:17,360 --> 00:43:19,600
Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, let's get a fruit basket of this

936
00:43:19,640 --> 00:43:21,279
Speaker 1: guy's house with maybe after this game.

937
00:43:21,320 --> 00:43:23,960
Speaker 3: I think losing the Michigan and winning the Natty or

938
00:43:23,960 --> 00:43:26,879
Speaker 3: beating Michigan and losing in the tournament, I.

939
00:43:26,800 --> 00:43:29,239
Speaker 2: Think winning the Natty is more more important.

940
00:43:29,480 --> 00:43:32,640
Speaker 1: Ohio State fans, y'all are nutty, so I can't I

941
00:43:32,680 --> 00:43:34,520
Speaker 1: can't say anything say this, but they.

942
00:43:34,520 --> 00:43:37,799
Speaker 3: I am still warmed by wins over Oklahoma name like

943
00:43:37,800 --> 00:43:40,880
Speaker 3: I said at the beginning of the show, so not completely,

944
00:43:41,040 --> 00:43:43,200
Speaker 3: but I would rather have a national time.

945
00:43:43,719 --> 00:43:46,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, It's going to be a long road

946
00:43:46,840 --> 00:43:49,520
Speaker 1: for me to get either a win over our rivals

947
00:43:49,640 --> 00:43:51,040
Speaker 1: or a national title.

948
00:43:51,120 --> 00:43:53,799
Speaker 3: So at least the Steelers are bad, so you have that.

949
00:43:54,239 --> 00:43:54,439
Speaker 2: Yeah.

950
00:43:54,640 --> 00:43:56,880
Speaker 1: All I want to say too, is Big Ben, screw

951
00:43:56,920 --> 00:43:59,400
Speaker 1: you for putting out into the universe Mike Tomlin to

952
00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:01,880
Speaker 1: Penn State. I don't need one of my problems to

953
00:44:01,920 --> 00:44:03,960
Speaker 1: go make my other problem worse, Like I don't need.

954
00:44:04,000 --> 00:44:04,600
Speaker 2: I don't remember.

955
00:44:04,760 --> 00:44:06,800
Speaker 3: Tomlin had rumors of going to Texas a couple of

956
00:44:06,840 --> 00:44:10,400
Speaker 3: years ago as well, before they hired Sark. So yeah,

957
00:44:10,400 --> 00:44:13,840
Speaker 3: they just put Tomlin wherever they want to in rumors. Whatever,

958
00:44:14,400 --> 00:44:16,560
Speaker 3: There's no there's no smoke to that fire. It's just

959
00:44:16,600 --> 00:44:17,560
Speaker 3: been running us mouth.

960
00:44:18,840 --> 00:44:22,319
Speaker 1: I do love the football and podcast with Big Ben

961
00:44:22,320 --> 00:44:24,560
Speaker 1: and company. They did a nice job over there, Bogs.

962
00:44:24,600 --> 00:44:26,880
Speaker 1: Let's get out of here though with our podcast. And

963
00:44:27,160 --> 00:44:28,680
Speaker 1: what do you have for best bets this week?

964
00:44:29,080 --> 00:44:31,720
Speaker 3: Yeah? Man, I mean there's a lot to pick from

965
00:44:32,040 --> 00:44:36,440
Speaker 3: in these conference championship games, but I think my favorite

966
00:44:36,480 --> 00:44:38,400
Speaker 3: bet is still U and LV over twenty six and

967
00:44:38,400 --> 00:44:40,680
Speaker 3: a half. I love that bet. They scored more points

968
00:44:40,680 --> 00:44:42,399
Speaker 3: than that in every single game they played this year.

969
00:44:43,640 --> 00:44:45,719
Speaker 3: You know, Boise States played good defense. I do know

970
00:44:45,760 --> 00:44:48,720
Speaker 3: that it's cold and rainy there, but it's not oppressive cold.

971
00:44:48,880 --> 00:44:50,719
Speaker 3: We saw this in the game last year as well.

972
00:44:51,280 --> 00:44:53,240
Speaker 3: I just like that game to be a little higher scoring.

973
00:44:53,239 --> 00:44:56,160
Speaker 3: And I think UNLV holds a ball for longer because yes,

974
00:44:56,239 --> 00:44:59,200
Speaker 3: Mattson is playing, but is he one hundred percent? Is

975
00:44:59,239 --> 00:45:02,439
Speaker 3: there no rusher knockoff? I just don't think so. So yeah,

976
00:45:02,440 --> 00:45:04,200
Speaker 3: I like you know, v team total over twenty six

977
00:45:04,280 --> 00:45:05,760
Speaker 3: and a half is my favorite bet this week.

978
00:45:06,080 --> 00:45:08,480
Speaker 2: Okay, I love the Jacksonville State play.

979
00:45:08,680 --> 00:45:11,280
Speaker 1: I have on the team total over, but I think

980
00:45:11,440 --> 00:45:13,600
Speaker 1: the most units I have on any play this week

981
00:45:13,640 --> 00:45:16,680
Speaker 1: is actually that James Madison alt minus twenty and a

982
00:45:16,680 --> 00:45:19,480
Speaker 1: half at minus one fifty. I think they're gonna go

983
00:45:19,520 --> 00:45:22,520
Speaker 1: out here, Bob Chesney and company, and they're gonna say, hey,

984
00:45:22,600 --> 00:45:25,279
Speaker 1: let's put this in Manny Diaz's hands, right, Let's make

985
00:45:25,320 --> 00:45:28,799
Speaker 1: the committee make a decision. Troy, in my opinion, is

986
00:45:28,840 --> 00:45:31,800
Speaker 1: by far the worst team in these championships. This weekend,

987
00:45:31,960 --> 00:45:34,759
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna play like it. Jam you buy

988
00:45:34,960 --> 00:45:36,080
Speaker 1: a million.

989
00:45:35,719 --> 00:45:37,440
Speaker 2: My friends, That's where I'm going with.

990
00:45:37,280 --> 00:45:39,799
Speaker 1: My best bet of the week. That is gonna do

991
00:45:39,920 --> 00:45:42,080
Speaker 1: for us, though, Folks. On this episode of The Betting

992
00:45:42,080 --> 00:45:44,960
Speaker 1: Pros College Football show still to come. Later on, we

993
00:45:45,080 --> 00:45:47,920
Speaker 1: have Bog's best bets and player props that will go

994
00:45:47,960 --> 00:45:51,520
Speaker 1: of course, greet your YouTube feeds and audio feeds on Friday,

995
00:45:51,560 --> 00:45:53,560
Speaker 1: so be on the lookout for that. Also, let us

996
00:45:53,600 --> 00:45:57,000
Speaker 1: know down in the comments below your favorite conference championship picks,

997
00:45:57,160 --> 00:45:59,120
Speaker 1: and while you're here, make sure you're smashing that like

998
00:45:59,120 --> 00:46:01,600
Speaker 1: bund and subscribe to the channel. If you're new for

999
00:46:01,640 --> 00:46:05,320
Speaker 1: Scott Big Time Bogman, I'm Seth Wilcock take care of y'all.

1000
00:46:05,360 --> 00:46:07,520
Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

1001
00:46:07,719 --> 00:46:10,120
Speaker 5: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

1002
00:46:10,200 --> 00:46:12,200
Speaker 5: us is by leaving a positive review on.

1003
00:46:12,200 --> 00:46:13,840
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1004
00:46:14,120 --> 00:46:16,719
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1005
00:46:16,840 --> 00:46:20,480
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1006
00:46:20,560 --> 00:46:23,040
Speaker 5: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.