WEBVTT - It's a Numbers Game: The Numbers Behind Veterans, the Economy, and the Jewish Vote 0:00:04.120 --> 0:00:06.800 Welcome back to a numbers game with Brian Grudeski. Thank 0:00:06.800 --> 0:00:09.360 you all for being here again. I forgot to mention 0:00:09.440 --> 0:00:11.280 this on Monday show, but I want to thank all 0:00:11.320 --> 0:00:14.360 the veterans. It was Veterans Day on Tuesday. It's a 0:00:14.400 --> 0:00:16.040 problem of mine where I just don't look at like 0:00:16.040 --> 0:00:18.040 three days ahead and to see there's a big holiday. 0:00:18.079 --> 0:00:21.760 So I missed saying it the day before. But Happy 0:00:21.840 --> 0:00:24.000 Veterans Data. All the veterans out there, thank you for 0:00:24.040 --> 0:00:27.000 your service for joining our armed forces and keeping our 0:00:27.080 --> 0:00:30.000 nation free. I appreciate everything you have done and do 0:00:30.640 --> 0:00:33.239 so anyway, I hope you guys had a great day. 0:00:33.520 --> 0:00:36.960 I want to briefly talk about some economic news before 0:00:36.960 --> 0:00:41.080 doing a full ask Me Anything segment. So Goldman sachs 0:00:41.159 --> 0:00:44.600 Is estimated that the economy loss around fifty thousand jobs 0:00:44.640 --> 0:00:48.280 in October. Now that's not the official government data. Because 0:00:48.320 --> 0:00:50.559 of the government shutdown, there was a delay getting out 0:00:50.600 --> 0:00:52.559 the official data, so we don't know the official data yet, 0:00:52.600 --> 0:00:54.680 but this is just an estimate. I'm going to do 0:00:54.720 --> 0:00:58.320 an episode next week dedicated to the economy, and I 0:00:58.400 --> 0:01:00.240 am going to have another whole episode on it AI 0:01:00.360 --> 0:01:02.640 regulation on the government, which would be really really good. 0:01:02.840 --> 0:01:04.840 I think of lining up with a very impressive guest 0:01:04.880 --> 0:01:07.080 for that show, so that'll be next week. And I 0:01:07.160 --> 0:01:09.200 got to get more on immigration because there's so much 0:01:09.240 --> 0:01:11.640 immigration news. But I looked at my emails and I 0:01:11.760 --> 0:01:14.120 was backed up on asking me any things, and I 0:01:14.160 --> 0:01:16.160 was like, some of these questions are so dated. I 0:01:16.240 --> 0:01:18.400 have to just do a whole episode and kind of 0:01:18.400 --> 0:01:20.679 empty the inbox because I really appreciate you guys. I 0:01:20.680 --> 0:01:23.280 appreciate you joining me asked Me Anything segment. By the way, 0:01:23.319 --> 0:01:24.560 before the end of the year, I'm going to bring 0:01:24.600 --> 0:01:27.040 on one of my old campaign buddies to discuss anything 0:01:27.080 --> 0:01:30.000 about running for office or you know, campaigns or like 0:01:30.040 --> 0:01:31.760 the meat and potatoes a campaign is not just like 0:01:31.800 --> 0:01:35.080 the overall idea of politics or a big meta issue, 0:01:35.080 --> 0:01:37.280 but just like what it's like to work on a campaign, 0:01:37.600 --> 0:01:40.280 how to run for office, all those real meat and 0:01:40.360 --> 0:01:42.920 potato questions. I think you guys really enjoyed that episode 0:01:42.959 --> 0:01:44.759 I did like early early in the year and when 0:01:44.800 --> 0:01:47.080 my first episode. So I'm going to do it again. 0:01:47.319 --> 0:01:48.880 I hope you guys will be part of it and 0:01:48.960 --> 0:01:51.800 do a whole ask Me anything just about campaigns and 0:01:52.080 --> 0:01:54.720 working in politics and what that whole thing is like. 0:01:55.080 --> 0:01:58.520 So email me Ryan at Numbers Game podcast dot com. 0:01:58.640 --> 0:02:01.440 Ryan at numbers Plural Game podcast dot com. Put in 0:02:01.480 --> 0:02:04.040 the headline campaign episode. I'll be sure to answer all 0:02:04.080 --> 0:02:07.200 those questions and then once again ask me anything because 0:02:07.280 --> 0:02:09.720 we do. We love this part of the show. It 0:02:09.800 --> 0:02:12.880 really makes the whole entire podcast. You know about anything 0:02:12.919 --> 0:02:15.200 about you know, I feel like a dialogue. I'm not 0:02:15.240 --> 0:02:19.359 just talking to a computer. So okay, here goes, ask 0:02:19.440 --> 0:02:21.480 me anything for the day. So first question comes from 0:02:21.480 --> 0:02:24.560 e cardialist. He says, my family took a trip to 0:02:24.600 --> 0:02:26.600 Washingt d C. About ten years ago. All of my 0:02:26.720 --> 0:02:29.360 travel research and tourist books made a point to not 0:02:29.880 --> 0:02:32.320 having a floor plan of the White House and stated 0:02:32.320 --> 0:02:34.080 that the location of the Oval Office has not been 0:02:34.120 --> 0:02:36.160 released to the public. I actually did not know that. 0:02:36.919 --> 0:02:39.799 With the most with the recent ballroom outrage, I've seen 0:02:39.840 --> 0:02:43.040 a number of images that show the exact location, shape, 0:02:43.040 --> 0:02:45.440 and size of the Oval Office. Until this week, I 0:02:45.440 --> 0:02:47.600 didn't know that it was in the White House. Rather, 0:02:47.639 --> 0:02:50.280 it is in the West Wing. It wasn't in the 0:02:50.280 --> 0:02:52.560 White House. It's in the West Wing. When did the 0:02:52.600 --> 0:02:55.560 location of the Oval Office become something people didn't try 0:02:55.600 --> 0:02:59.160 to protect I actually had never heard of that before, 0:02:59.280 --> 0:03:02.480 because I I feel like there's models of the White 0:03:02.480 --> 0:03:04.880 House that you could buy, and the West Wing is there, 0:03:04.880 --> 0:03:07.440 and the Oval Office is there. I didn't I didn't 0:03:07.440 --> 0:03:10.600 know that that was not supposed to be public. I 0:03:10.600 --> 0:03:12.840 feel like it was. There was a movie called Civil 0:03:12.880 --> 0:03:15.839 War that was released a couple of years ago. It 0:03:16.000 --> 0:03:18.480 was there was a war, obviously a civil war, a 0:03:18.520 --> 0:03:21.600 new civil war, and they were invading the White House 0:03:21.800 --> 0:03:24.680 and they went through like door to door Florida, Florida 0:03:24.680 --> 0:03:26.480 to get to the west to the gets to the Oval. 0:03:26.960 --> 0:03:29.400 And I was watching my buddy John mcintee, and John 0:03:29.680 --> 0:03:32.000 was Trump's body man and then the head of PPO 0:03:32.120 --> 0:03:34.760 during the first term of the administration. And one thing 0:03:34.840 --> 0:03:36.720 John said to me, I was like, Wow, they really 0:03:36.760 --> 0:03:39.720 got this very accurate, Like this is extremely accurate the 0:03:39.800 --> 0:03:42.640 layout of the White House. So I feel like it was. 0:03:43.160 --> 0:03:45.120 I feel like it was there, Like I feel like 0:03:45.160 --> 0:03:47.320 people could have gotten a hold of it. I don't know, 0:03:47.360 --> 0:03:50.160 maybe this was the one tour guy, or maybe this 0:03:50.280 --> 0:03:52.200 is the one book that says that the old Office 0:03:52.200 --> 0:03:54.360 is not located, but I feel like it probably was. 0:03:54.520 --> 0:03:58.920 And about the outrage in general. Look, Dan Turntine said 0:03:58.920 --> 0:04:03.440 this on this podcast. Democrats fundamentally believe that we are 0:04:03.480 --> 0:04:06.840 in a fever dream that Trump will just go away 0:04:06.920 --> 0:04:10.240 if there's enough controversy, if there's enough protests, if there's 0:04:10.400 --> 0:04:14.080 enough no King's rally that you know it's Russia or 0:04:14.120 --> 0:04:17.279 Epstein know the ballroom or anything like Liberals Finnament's believe 0:04:17.360 --> 0:04:21.039 were just one more controversy away from wake up the 0:04:21.080 --> 0:04:23.440 eyes of millions of people that this whole thing was 0:04:23.480 --> 0:04:27.400 misguided and that will return to normalcy as they see it. 0:04:27.480 --> 0:04:29.600 And if only they were focused on policies that make 0:04:29.640 --> 0:04:34.120 them popular, they would be much further along to being 0:04:34.560 --> 0:04:38.640 effective against him. Okay, next question, Hey, Ryan, Although I 0:04:38.720 --> 0:04:41.240 have a boy's name, I am actually a girl. What 0:04:41.360 --> 0:04:43.040 a way to start off a question. I am from 0:04:43.120 --> 0:04:45.280 the South and my parents give me my grandmother's made 0:04:45.279 --> 0:04:48.719 a name. Pause. So I have a Candida running for 0:04:48.760 --> 0:04:52.159 office in the South and he has his grandmother's made 0:04:52.160 --> 0:04:54.520 a name. And apparently I did not know this, but 0:04:54.560 --> 0:04:56.839 this is I learned this this year that that is 0:04:56.880 --> 0:04:58.920 a very common tradition in the South. I have to 0:04:58.960 --> 0:05:00.960 say I really like it. I really like the idea 0:05:00.960 --> 0:05:05.039 of honoring your maternal sides family by giving the first 0:05:05.120 --> 0:05:08.200 name of the child to their last name. So the 0:05:08.200 --> 0:05:10.840 Candon's name is Morgan Murphy, and Morgan was his grandmother's 0:05:10.920 --> 0:05:13.640 last name. Yes, his grandmother's last name, So that is 0:05:13.760 --> 0:05:15.279 I think it's very very cool. It's a very cool 0:05:15.320 --> 0:05:18.880 Southern tradition I just learned about. The question continues, why 0:05:18.880 --> 0:05:21.599 do you think Democrats are holding out on the shutdown? 0:05:21.640 --> 0:05:24.599 It is because the past the Republicans have given into 0:05:24.640 --> 0:05:27.000 their temper tantrum. Can you please give us the numbers 0:05:27.120 --> 0:05:29.400 you're so talented at doing on past shutdowns and how 0:05:29.440 --> 0:05:32.440 they play out, whether Conservatives have given in play cared 0:05:32.480 --> 0:05:34.960 the Democrats. Secondly, I know you want to Buck and 0:05:35.040 --> 0:05:38.360 Clay to discuss the Jewish vote. How has it changed 0:05:38.440 --> 0:05:41.240 or not changed his October seventh, and how does it 0:05:41.279 --> 0:05:43.920 stand now now? And why could you do a longer 0:05:43.920 --> 0:05:47.520 segment on that? Please? Rock Rock love that you are 0:05:47.560 --> 0:05:50.560 at this question very very smart stuff. So I am 0:05:50.640 --> 0:05:54.880 going to discuss first the shutdown. Obviously it's over now, 0:05:55.080 --> 0:05:57.320 but I think a big part of it that no 0:05:57.360 --> 0:06:00.760 one was really talking about was one was to juice 0:06:00.800 --> 0:06:02.720 the election in New Jersey and Virginia. I think there 0:06:02.720 --> 0:06:04.760 was a pure political thing right to give you langry, 0:06:04.880 --> 0:06:06.400 but a lot of it really has to do with 0:06:06.520 --> 0:06:10.159 Chuck Schumer's career. Rewind the date. What was being talked 0:06:10.160 --> 0:06:14.279 about on September thirtieth, twenty twenty five that one of 0:06:14.320 --> 0:06:16.320 the big stories was a poll that had come out 0:06:16.360 --> 0:06:20.440 from Pew Research, and it found that Schumer was the 0:06:20.480 --> 0:06:24.800 most unpopular national politician in the country, more than John Thune, 0:06:25.240 --> 0:06:28.200 more than Donald Trump, more than JD. Vans, more than 0:06:28.839 --> 0:06:34.000 Hakim Jeffries. Schumer had a negative twenty nine percent approval rating. 0:06:34.560 --> 0:06:36.680 But what made it worse for Schumer was that he 0:06:36.760 --> 0:06:40.080 was also underwater nationally with Democrats. He was at negative 0:06:40.120 --> 0:06:44.839 four nationally among his own party. And that poll came 0:06:44.880 --> 0:06:48.560 out several I guess, maybe like ten weeks or eleven 0:06:48.600 --> 0:06:52.920 weeks after. Another poll showed that AOC was beating Schumer 0:06:52.960 --> 0:06:55.520 in New York City if they went to a statewide primary, 0:06:55.520 --> 0:06:57.920 But in the New York City, which is forty two 0:06:58.040 --> 0:07:01.240 percent of the state's populations in those five burrows in 0:07:01.320 --> 0:07:05.120 a head to head competition, Schumer was losing to AOC 0:07:05.279 --> 0:07:07.839 by twenty one points in New York City, means that 0:07:07.880 --> 0:07:09.840 he'd have to make up a ton of votes out 0:07:09.880 --> 0:07:12.080 on Long Island and in the suburbs of New York 0:07:12.120 --> 0:07:14.520 up state in Westchester, Rockland, and then further in western 0:07:14.520 --> 0:07:17.480 New York. That's not a great place for Schumer to be. 0:07:17.760 --> 0:07:20.160 He was very worried, I think by the fact that 0:07:20.240 --> 0:07:23.360 Democrats didn't believe he was up for the fight against Trump. 0:07:23.360 --> 0:07:25.840 That was often another number one thing cited it Schumer's 0:07:25.880 --> 0:07:29.320 not a fighter, so Schumer needed the narrative to change 0:07:29.320 --> 0:07:31.880 that he was going to fight. And I think that's 0:07:31.920 --> 0:07:35.440 why you see more mainstream Democrats. I guess the term 0:07:35.600 --> 0:07:37.760 if we were in the UK would be backbenchers Schumer 0:07:37.840 --> 0:07:40.800 back benchers, people who side with the leadership most of 0:07:40.840 --> 0:07:43.640 the time. That's why they voted to continue the shutdown, 0:07:44.160 --> 0:07:49.360 which they wouldn't have done had had Schumer told them to, 0:07:49.760 --> 0:07:51.600 you know, get rid of the shutdown, like let's keep 0:07:51.640 --> 0:07:55.000 the thing everything funded. They basically kind of go with 0:07:55.160 --> 0:07:57.840 a lot of what Schumer's cues are. That's why it's 0:07:57.920 --> 0:08:01.240 believed that Schumer gave them the okay, enough of them 0:08:01.320 --> 0:08:03.440 who are either retiring or they're not up for a 0:08:03.520 --> 0:08:06.040 very long time to sit there and devote to end 0:08:06.040 --> 0:08:10.000 the shutdown with getting very little concessions from the Republican Party. 0:08:10.120 --> 0:08:14.240 It's very rare except for Trump's term. It was very 0:08:14.360 --> 0:08:16.880 rare before that for the Republican president to have a 0:08:16.920 --> 0:08:19.640 government shutdown, especially with the Republican majority. I don't think 0:08:19.680 --> 0:08:23.520 Bush ever had them. So that's I mean, that's really 0:08:23.560 --> 0:08:25.000 where I think a big part of it was. It 0:08:25.040 --> 0:08:27.560 was really Schumer trying to make a stand. Schumer trying 0:08:27.560 --> 0:08:30.120 to sit there and say, you know, look, I'm this 0:08:30.200 --> 0:08:32.959 strong fighter, and I think things just got so bad 0:08:33.000 --> 0:08:35.760 between the air flights being canceled and snap benefits and 0:08:36.040 --> 0:08:38.160 you know, all the rest of it that they ultimately caved, 0:08:38.360 --> 0:08:40.200 which is more or less what the Democrats said. They 0:08:40.280 --> 0:08:44.120 basically caved. My guess is that Schumer gave him the blessing, 0:08:44.240 --> 0:08:45.960 hoping he wouldn't get his prints on it, and of 0:08:46.000 --> 0:08:48.920 course it went to a huge backlash. Congress and Rocannor 0:08:48.960 --> 0:08:51.600 and several other people are saying Schumer needs to step 0:08:51.640 --> 0:08:54.040 aside his leader. I think this is the last ditch 0:08:54.160 --> 0:08:57.840 effort to save Schumer's career, and I didn't think it's 0:08:57.880 --> 0:09:00.360 going to work. I don't. As far as the Jewish 0:09:00.440 --> 0:09:03.120 vot goes. I'm going to try to dedicate an episode 0:09:03.120 --> 0:09:04.800 to this later on the year because it's something that 0:09:04.840 --> 0:09:08.360 everyone talks about. Here's the deal. Since October seventh, there's 0:09:08.400 --> 0:09:12.400 only been two major elections, so I guess three major 0:09:12.400 --> 0:09:15.920 elections right in New York City, Virginia, and New Jersey's governorship, 0:09:15.920 --> 0:09:19.160 which saw a big left wing shift along across the board. 0:09:20.080 --> 0:09:22.199 New York City didn't really have a Republican running. We 0:09:22.240 --> 0:09:25.240 had a Republican running on the ticket, but his name 0:09:25.320 --> 0:09:28.079 was on the ballot, but he It was basically a 0:09:28.120 --> 0:09:31.280 moderate republic Democrat versus a left wing Democrat race. That's 0:09:31.280 --> 0:09:33.760 how the media branded it. So the Jewish vote was 0:09:34.080 --> 0:09:36.400 very clearly aligned with Guomo there, so it's not really 0:09:36.400 --> 0:09:40.079 a good test case. In New Jersey, the Orthodox Jewish 0:09:40.120 --> 0:09:43.840 vote was very strong for Chitarelly, extremely strong for Chitarelly. 0:09:43.840 --> 0:09:46.560 It's one of the very few places that swung right 0:09:46.600 --> 0:09:50.200 word from twenty twenty four. And as far as Virginia goes, 0:09:50.240 --> 0:09:53.320 there's not really a heavy Jewish presences that they're in. 0:09:53.720 --> 0:09:57.520 You get polling, accurate polling, don here's the problem with 0:09:57.600 --> 0:09:59.880 the Jewish vote as far as these studies that come 0:10:00.120 --> 0:10:03.280 one there is. There's a nonprofit I will think of 0:10:03.320 --> 0:10:06.400 the name of it, probably after this episode's over, that 0:10:06.720 --> 0:10:10.000 is a left wing nonprofit. And they immediately released the 0:10:10.040 --> 0:10:12.600 first eggs of Poles right after the elections saying how 0:10:12.640 --> 0:10:17.000 the Jewish vote broke, but the Jewish vote always seems 0:10:17.000 --> 0:10:19.120 to break even more left wing than the previous election. 0:10:19.200 --> 0:10:21.800 They kind of manipulate the data and they given the 0:10:21.840 --> 0:10:23.480 media eats it up because it's a good narrative the 0:10:23.520 --> 0:10:26.560 media really wants. When you look at the Jewish vote, 0:10:26.559 --> 0:10:30.080 you're really breaking it into three different groups of people. 0:10:30.120 --> 0:10:34.480 You're breaking into non religious Jews. Who are you know, secular, 0:10:34.720 --> 0:10:38.119 who would be somebody like a fran Drusher, a Jerry Seinfeld, 0:10:38.120 --> 0:10:41.080 a Woody Allen, somebody who they are a fran Leeblitz. 0:10:41.160 --> 0:10:43.800 They are Bill Maher, I guess is half Jewish. They 0:10:43.840 --> 0:10:46.800 are Jewish in the sense of their birth or their circumstances, 0:10:46.800 --> 0:10:49.600 but it doesn't really influence their politics all that much. 0:10:50.440 --> 0:10:54.880 They don't have a special attachment to Israel. They are 0:10:55.200 --> 0:10:58.080 just they're just Jewish. So when and they for the 0:10:58.120 --> 0:11:00.559 longest time where the all huge teche of the Jewish 0:11:00.559 --> 0:11:04.160 population in America, probably most of the majority. So when 0:11:04.200 --> 0:11:07.040 everyone would say, oh, the Jewish votes not moving, well, 0:11:07.040 --> 0:11:11.280 they vote like non religious, college educated whites. Well, that 0:11:11.520 --> 0:11:14.000 is one of the most left wing groups in America. 0:11:15.559 --> 0:11:18.440 Then there's also the Then there's the conservative Jews. This 0:11:18.559 --> 0:11:21.600 is like conservative or Orthodox. Those are two separate things, 0:11:21.600 --> 0:11:24.240 if you know Judaism, but I'm going to lump them 0:11:24.280 --> 0:11:28.080 in together. Politically, they tend to vote, you know, much 0:11:28.120 --> 0:11:31.080 more Republican than the secular Jews do. But that would 0:11:31.080 --> 0:11:35.080 be something like a Ben Shapiro, right. They are when 0:11:35.120 --> 0:11:37.800 they are Republicans. I have found they are the most 0:11:37.840 --> 0:11:41.320 consistent Republicans. They are of the Jewish population. They are 0:11:41.440 --> 0:11:44.920 very consistently. I'm a Republican. I vote Republican very very 0:11:45.040 --> 0:11:47.880 very like down the line constantly. And then the last 0:11:47.960 --> 0:11:51.680 group is the like ultra Orthodox, the Hasidum. They are 0:11:51.800 --> 0:11:54.360 the ones who wear you know, the outfits and the 0:11:54.400 --> 0:11:57.280 hats and that where the fur. Their wives have wigs 0:11:57.280 --> 0:12:00.760 a lot. They live in cloister community where they don't 0:12:00.760 --> 0:12:03.679 do a lot of the outside of the Jewish community. 0:12:03.920 --> 0:12:06.480 You'll see them in Borough Park or a curious joal 0:12:06.520 --> 0:12:10.240 in New York or Lakewood, New Jersey. They tend to 0:12:10.360 --> 0:12:13.079 vote for how the rabbis want. And I know it's 0:12:13.080 --> 0:12:14.840 like a very controversial thing to sit there and say, 0:12:14.840 --> 0:12:17.679 but they do block vote based upon rabbi endorsements. That's 0:12:17.720 --> 0:12:20.240 why the rabbi's endorsements are so important, because they have 0:12:20.840 --> 0:12:24.960 huge voters to turnout. They turn out at maximum level 0:12:24.960 --> 0:12:28.160 in every election for doll catcher or for president, doesn't matter, 0:12:29.200 --> 0:12:32.280 and they have a huge interest in having certain things 0:12:32.400 --> 0:12:34.880 granted from the state. I will tell you I went 0:12:34.920 --> 0:12:37.439 to an Asidic This is the craziest thing in the world. 0:12:37.679 --> 0:12:41.280 I went to a Hasidic a meeting with acidic Jews 0:12:41.440 --> 0:12:44.840 Hassidic rabbis in Brooklyn, and they were asking about education 0:12:44.920 --> 0:12:47.240 issues because I run the seventeen seventy six project pack. 0:12:47.240 --> 0:12:50.440 And I guess to the place and it looked like 0:12:50.480 --> 0:12:54.360 a doctor's office. It looked so strange. It looked like 0:12:54.360 --> 0:12:58.600 a doctor's office or like a like a call center, 0:12:58.679 --> 0:13:01.760 like I couldn't make out what where I was. And finally, 0:13:01.960 --> 0:13:03.439 because it was like a waiting room. But then there 0:13:03.480 --> 0:13:06.800 was rows of Jewish women, you know, having someone in 0:13:06.800 --> 0:13:09.200 front of them, sitting next to them doing phone calls 0:13:09.240 --> 0:13:11.560 to somebody or other, and having computers. So I finally 0:13:11.600 --> 0:13:13.839 got to meet with the rabbis and I asked the 0:13:14.480 --> 0:13:16.599 person who brought me, who is not a rabbi but 0:13:16.720 --> 0:13:19.920 is Jewish, said to them, where am I? Like, what 0:13:20.120 --> 0:13:22.160 is this place? I've never seen something of this before 0:13:22.200 --> 0:13:24.200 in my life. And they said, oh, this is where 0:13:24.240 --> 0:13:27.120 we signed everyone up for Medicaid and Social Security benefits. 0:13:27.160 --> 0:13:29.839 And the Republican voice in my head wanted to sit 0:13:29.880 --> 0:13:33.480 there and scream like crazy. And it was really funny 0:13:33.520 --> 0:13:36.880 because when the snap benefits were ending and they were 0:13:36.920 --> 0:13:40.720 having a bunch of people, you know, who were definitely 0:13:40.800 --> 0:13:45.040 able bodied in my opinion, going on the news to say, 0:13:45.080 --> 0:13:46.520 you know, look at my hungry kids and they have 0:13:46.559 --> 0:13:48.520 like the nice nails, and they have new iPhones, and 0:13:48.600 --> 0:13:51.320 they probably shouldn't be on welfare benefits and we should 0:13:51.320 --> 0:13:54.360 probably have better ways of monitoring welfare benefits and they 0:13:54.360 --> 0:13:56.880 have six kids by who knows. That same friend who 0:13:56.880 --> 0:13:59.600 brought me to the call center was like, this is ridiculous. 0:13:59.720 --> 0:14:02.440 People be working, and I said, that's exactly what I 0:14:02.480 --> 0:14:06.439 thought about all those people at that Medicaid call center 0:14:06.440 --> 0:14:10.120 that he brought me to. Anyway, those that voting block 0:14:10.240 --> 0:14:13.240 votes extremely one way or the other. So like that's 0:14:13.240 --> 0:14:15.640 when you'll see like these elections where it's Trump, you know, 0:14:15.720 --> 0:14:18.559 ninety seven to two, and then down ballot it will 0:14:18.600 --> 0:14:21.160 be a Democrat like ninety five to like three. Like 0:14:21.200 --> 0:14:23.600 it will be one way or the other, and they 0:14:23.600 --> 0:14:26.200 have no loyalty to party. It's really an issues based thing. 0:14:26.240 --> 0:14:30.720 They tend to vote Republican federally and Democrat locally in 0:14:30.800 --> 0:14:34.160 my opinion. Okay, so I've made to a whole episode 0:14:34.200 --> 0:14:36.560 on this, but I just get, you know, with everything 0:14:36.600 --> 0:14:40.720 about I feel tremendously bad for my Jewish friends and 0:14:40.760 --> 0:14:42.760 for my friends who are Zionists who feel like they 0:14:42.760 --> 0:14:47.360 are under a constant attack and duress. And it's led 0:14:47.360 --> 0:14:50.160 to a place where having an honest conversation good and bad, 0:14:50.280 --> 0:14:53.480 it's very difficult without feeling like you're kind of piling 0:14:53.520 --> 0:14:55.880 on to a very unfair moment. I would like to 0:14:55.880 --> 0:14:58.160 go into the Jewish vote one day, though, and maybe 0:14:58.160 --> 0:15:00.560 break it down. I'll have one of my friends who's 0:15:00.600 --> 0:15:03.160 Jewish to sit there and works in Jewish politics, sit 0:15:03.160 --> 0:15:06.400 there and really discuss and break it down. But maybe 0:15:06.400 --> 0:15:07.840 I'll do a lot of it because it is fascinating. 0:15:07.840 --> 0:15:11.000 It's very interesting. Okay, speaking of Jews. Next question comes 0:15:11.040 --> 0:15:13.720 from Joel. I don't know Joel is Jewish, but the 0:15:13.800 --> 0:15:18.520 questions about Jews, okay? And Joel says, suppose Israeli Prime 0:15:18.520 --> 0:15:22.080 Minister Netanya, who visits New York City and now Mayor Mandanni, 0:15:22.160 --> 0:15:24.880 has him arrested on war crimes, what federal laws or 0:15:24.960 --> 0:15:27.760 doctrines would apply. Could Mandanni himself be arrested under the 0:15:27.800 --> 0:15:30.320 Logan Act for interfering with foreign affairs? Or would it 0:15:30.360 --> 0:15:33.000 just not happened? Thanks for engaging with your audience so thoughtfully. 0:15:33.240 --> 0:15:35.520 You've definitely got a loyal listen here. Oh thank you, Joel. 0:15:35.520 --> 0:15:38.920 It's really kind of you. So it's a great question. Netnia, 0:15:39.000 --> 0:15:41.480 who has a warrant for his arrest under the International 0:15:41.640 --> 0:15:44.920 Crime Criminal Court for crimes against humanity and soon to 0:15:44.920 --> 0:15:46.960 be Mayor Mandannie, has said over and over he plans 0:15:46.960 --> 0:15:49.480 on arresting him if he comes to New York City. 0:15:49.960 --> 0:15:53.480 Legal experts say that he doesn't really have the authority. 0:15:53.520 --> 0:15:56.160 I look this up because I'm not a lawyer and 0:15:55.680 --> 0:15:58.440 I don't pretend to play one. So this comes from 0:15:58.520 --> 0:16:01.160 India Today and the Time Times magazine. It says the 0:16:01.240 --> 0:16:04.200 United States is not a signatory on the International Criminal Court, 0:16:04.240 --> 0:16:08.800 which means the ICC has no jurisdiction within the US territory. 0:16:09.120 --> 0:16:12.760 As Times reported after interviewing Mandannie, several federal laws would 0:16:12.760 --> 0:16:17.080 be would obstruct any local attempt to execute an international 0:16:17.200 --> 0:16:20.680 arrest warrant. The US Constitution gives the federal government authority 0:16:20.680 --> 0:16:25.200 over foreign affairs, a power repeatedly upheld by the American courts. 0:16:25.560 --> 0:16:27.120 In practice, this means that even if the New York 0:16:27.120 --> 0:16:30.920 City authorities were to attempt to detain Yahoo, federal agencies 0:16:30.960 --> 0:16:35.080 would override that move. Mendanni himself acknowledged these limits during 0:16:35.120 --> 0:16:37.920 his Zeno interview. He said, quote, I'm going to operate 0:16:37.960 --> 0:16:39.760 within the bounds of the law on not Donald Trump 0:16:39.800 --> 0:16:41.960 seeking to create my own legal system. Of course, he's 0:16:41.960 --> 0:16:44.280 got to hit Trump, but this at the time of 0:16:44.320 --> 0:16:47.040 celebrating Benjamin Yahoo in the city from those in the 0:16:47.120 --> 0:16:50.480 leading political positions, has come to an end. So he 0:16:50.520 --> 0:16:53.320 can't do it. I mean, that's basically the long law 0:16:53.400 --> 0:16:55.360 and short of it. He can't do it. And I 0:16:55.400 --> 0:16:57.680 think that he knows he can't do it. It's just 0:16:57.960 --> 0:17:03.120 him being a union know what. Okay. Tristan Shelby writes 0:17:03.200 --> 0:17:07.480 about the elections turnout was definitely the main issue, but 0:17:07.640 --> 0:17:09.960 I think the shutdown and lack of focus on cost 0:17:10.000 --> 0:17:12.360 of living and inflation by Trump and the White House 0:17:12.359 --> 0:17:14.919 played it a role too. Seems like Trump and Jdvans 0:17:14.960 --> 0:17:18.320 are aware that these about these issues. Hopefully they'll immediately 0:17:18.359 --> 0:17:20.600 focus on it. I would look into pushing care for 0:17:20.760 --> 0:17:24.560 leaf checks before Christmas to make more of the public 0:17:24.600 --> 0:17:27.080 on board with tariffs and help give extra income during 0:17:27.119 --> 0:17:29.399 the holiday season. I would like to raise a minimal wage. 0:17:29.520 --> 0:17:32.080 It's a winning issue and I would take away take 0:17:32.080 --> 0:17:35.200 away from the damas, but doubt this establishment GOP will 0:17:35.200 --> 0:17:38.440 be on board. Looking forward to Thursday's podcast. Okay, so 0:17:38.720 --> 0:17:40.520 here's the thing, and I don't mean to sound like 0:17:40.520 --> 0:17:42.760 a libertarian, because you know I can't stand libertarians. Here 0:17:42.840 --> 0:17:48.119 is the thing about the minimal wage. Worker scarcity creates 0:17:48.240 --> 0:17:54.840 higher and minimum wages. Right, if you have less foreign 0:17:54.920 --> 0:17:59.560 workers being pumped into the country, the minimal wage will 0:17:59.640 --> 0:18:03.320 rise naturally, especially for people with low skills. Right. There's 0:18:03.359 --> 0:18:08.920 no minimum wage conversation happening among doctors or nurses or 0:18:09.840 --> 0:18:14.359 educated class. It's really the uneducated population, not uninformed uneducated. 0:18:14.359 --> 0:18:17.000 I think there's a difference, but people without a college degree, 0:18:17.040 --> 0:18:20.560 who are working blue collar jobs or are they're working 0:18:20.600 --> 0:18:24.639 service jobs, that protecting those workers is of the most importance, 0:18:24.640 --> 0:18:29.359 and other ones really feeling the tremendous exhaustion of the 0:18:29.480 --> 0:18:33.640 last five years of inflation and constant spending. I mean, 0:18:33.720 --> 0:18:35.919 I think that the two thousand dollars check idea is 0:18:36.640 --> 0:18:40.920 would be popular, but our deficit is so large, our 0:18:40.960 --> 0:18:44.199 debt is so large that anything that we could do 0:18:44.320 --> 0:18:47.679 to bring that down will help reduce inflation over time. 0:18:48.119 --> 0:18:50.879 It is more essential to bring down the deficit and 0:18:50.880 --> 0:18:53.280 the debt than to worry about these two thousand dollar 0:18:53.359 --> 0:18:56.040 checks that will help the working class more over the 0:18:56.080 --> 0:18:57.600 long term. And I know if you're listening, I know 0:18:57.640 --> 0:18:59.560 if you're hungry, you don't think about the long term. 0:18:59.600 --> 0:19:01.840 I know if you have credit card payments and you're 0:19:01.880 --> 0:19:04.199 looking at Christmas and I know you're not thinking of 0:19:04.240 --> 0:19:06.680 the long term. I get it. I completely understand. I've 0:19:06.680 --> 0:19:08.919 been broke at times. I know what that feels like, 0:19:08.960 --> 0:19:11.280 I know how tough it can be, and I know 0:19:11.280 --> 0:19:12.720 what a two thousand dollars track would mean for a 0:19:12.760 --> 0:19:15.359 lot of people. So I'm not discouraging that. I'm just 0:19:15.400 --> 0:19:19.120 trying to think of a bigger policy issue, saying how 0:19:19.160 --> 0:19:22.359 do we help Americans and the best way is to 0:19:22.480 --> 0:19:25.439 reduce the deficit. It will bring down inflations. I'm not 0:19:25.520 --> 0:19:28.760 really for that, although I understand him doing this. In 0:19:28.880 --> 0:19:31.800 my opinion on the ADMIN in the last few months 0:19:32.480 --> 0:19:34.840 is they Trump ha spent a lot of time looking 0:19:34.880 --> 0:19:38.399 at overseas and international issues, which is very common for 0:19:38.480 --> 0:19:41.480 second term presidents. Right you have Clinton who did it 0:19:41.520 --> 0:19:43.800 in Israel. Bush, I mean, I guess this whole entire 0:19:43.840 --> 0:19:46.760 second term was dealt with with foreign policy issues, but 0:19:46.920 --> 0:19:50.160 the Iraq War mainly, and then you had Obama with 0:19:50.200 --> 0:19:53.160 trying to do the Iran deal. Like second terms are 0:19:53.200 --> 0:19:59.320 oftentimes for legacy making historical foreign policy accomplishments, and President Trump, 0:19:59.359 --> 0:20:02.679 to his credit, it has a number of them. But 0:20:02.920 --> 0:20:06.560 like I said in the post election podcast, because you 0:20:06.840 --> 0:20:10.160 saw this swing both among white working class voters and 0:20:10.240 --> 0:20:14.960