WEBVTT - 2025 NCAA March Madness: Final Four Picks & Predictions (Ep. 687) 0:00:00.960 --> 0:00:04.360 Happy Tuesday, guys. What's up. Welcome into another Betting Pros 0:00:04.559 --> 0:00:07.560 college basketball live stream here on the YouTube channel for 0:00:07.640 --> 0:00:11.080 Betting Pros. It is time to break down the Final four. 0:00:11.160 --> 0:00:13.560 He is Terrell Ferman. I am Matt Perolt. We're gonna 0:00:13.600 --> 0:00:16.960 get into the two games on Saturday, but we also 0:00:17.040 --> 0:00:20.080 have a live stream schedule Saturday. So these are sort 0:00:20.079 --> 0:00:23.279 of our preliminary thoughts and we're gonna break down the 0:00:23.320 --> 0:00:26.160 games and talk about the games. But there might be 0:00:26.160 --> 0:00:28.600 bets that we'll add coming up on Saturday after the 0:00:28.600 --> 0:00:32.199 line moves and we find out different information injury status 0:00:32.240 --> 0:00:34.720 and whatnot, because Auburn's got a bunch of them that 0:00:34.760 --> 0:00:37.200 we'll have a conversation about come Saturday morning. That show 0:00:37.240 --> 0:00:40.040 will be on Twitch. This show's on YouTube. How are you, Chruell? 0:00:40.120 --> 0:00:40.640 Good to see you. 0:00:41.040 --> 0:00:43.080 Oh, good to see it. I'm good. I'm great. I've 0:00:43.080 --> 0:00:47.080 been having a good time. I mean, it's been shock city. 0:00:47.240 --> 0:00:49.919 It's been shok city for the most part of the 0:00:50.040 --> 0:00:54.640 NCAA tournament. However, the women's side has grasped my attention. 0:00:55.000 --> 0:00:58.160 I've really, really, i've really really been locked into the 0:00:58.160 --> 0:01:01.200 women's side of tournament here. I don't know I feel 0:01:01.240 --> 0:01:03.280 like I've had more moments there than I've had on 0:01:03.320 --> 0:01:03.840 the me inside. 0:01:03.920 --> 0:01:06.440 I will say that, Well that makes one of us, 0:01:06.480 --> 0:01:08.360 so that's good. So you got picks you want to 0:01:08.360 --> 0:01:10.880 give out. I got a couple of secondary tournaments, the 0:01:10.959 --> 0:01:13.840 n and the Crown. I got a bet that I 0:01:13.840 --> 0:01:15.800 give out this morning, So I'll give. 0:01:15.640 --> 0:01:17.840 You a bet so we can do that. 0:01:17.920 --> 0:01:23.240 Now, that's like that I don't know. 0:01:23.720 --> 0:01:26.480 Literally where you live. I mean that dictates as to 0:01:26.600 --> 0:01:28.720 like where your location is whether or not you actually 0:01:28.720 --> 0:01:31.080 can bet the darn tournament. So somebody forgot to go 0:01:31.120 --> 0:01:33.120 and tell the regulators that they're going to actually have 0:01:33.160 --> 0:01:36.640 a college basketball tournament in Las Vegas. So it's been 0:01:36.720 --> 0:01:38.119 sort of a bleep shop. 0:01:38.160 --> 0:01:41.240 They told everything, they pulled it, they voided it like 0:01:41.319 --> 0:01:42.559 they said, no, well. 0:01:42.440 --> 0:01:45.080 They did it dirty though. They voided the winners and 0:01:45.120 --> 0:01:47.720 they collected the losers. So they did it kind of 0:01:47.760 --> 0:01:52.920 dirty like that. Yeah, like not too cool. Yes, full 0:01:53.000 --> 0:01:56.800 refund and winners get refunded, losers get refunded. You don't 0:01:56.840 --> 0:02:01.000 get to keep losers keep the money, and when somebody wins, 0:02:01.080 --> 0:02:03.120 you'll pay out the bet because you're not supposed to 0:02:03.160 --> 0:02:06.360 be taking action on it. So it's yeah, that'll all 0:02:06.400 --> 0:02:09.359 get worked out at the regulator level and the in 0:02:09.480 --> 0:02:12.120 the gaming level. But that's not Yeah, that's a couple 0:02:12.160 --> 0:02:14.720 of states. If that's some big problems with the Crown, 0:02:14.800 --> 0:02:18.440 Illinois being one of them. So not great. So we'll 0:02:18.520 --> 0:02:19.880 touch on that here for a little bit. But you 0:02:19.880 --> 0:02:23.160 mentioned the Chalk City situation. Okay, So here are the numbers. 0:02:23.200 --> 0:02:27.959 Fourteen consecutive wins for favorites in this tournament. Favorites went 0:02:28.040 --> 0:02:31.160 twelve to zero for the first time in history during 0:02:31.160 --> 0:02:34.239 the Sweet sixteen and the Elite eight. Second time ever. 0:02:34.360 --> 0:02:37.600 We have seen all number one seeds make the final 0:02:37.840 --> 0:02:40.919 four only second time, only second time ever. 0:02:41.200 --> 0:02:43.560 Wow, you would think, but you would think it would 0:02:43.600 --> 0:02:46.239 be more than that. They're the number one seed. Everybody's 0:02:46.240 --> 0:02:48.079 talking about the best team all that, like, this is 0:02:48.320 --> 0:02:51.480 come on, Remember we talked about the parody of college basketball. 0:02:51.720 --> 0:02:53.119 This mean this is parody. 0:02:53.240 --> 0:02:55.320 All the one seeds making it is parody because this 0:02:55.400 --> 0:02:56.600 has only happened twice. 0:02:56.639 --> 0:02:59.760 Ever, what's your take on this? Did the committee do 0:02:59.800 --> 0:03:03.520 a good job, We're teams seated correctly or is this 0:03:03.639 --> 0:03:06.960 a result of nil in the in the transfer portal 0:03:07.240 --> 0:03:10.680 where we have this four teams, the top four teams 0:03:10.720 --> 0:03:14.200 on Ken Palm, the deepest teams, the most talented teams 0:03:14.600 --> 0:03:16.240 are sitting here in San Antonio. 0:03:16.680 --> 0:03:20.480 Oh, if I'm the committee, I'm taking full credit, all 0:03:20.639 --> 0:03:21.120 the credit. 0:03:21.240 --> 0:03:23.520 I'm sitting there. I'm like, Oh, yeah, I told you. 0:03:23.400 --> 0:03:25.440 They're the number one seed. Why do you why are 0:03:25.520 --> 0:03:27.560 you considered? Why are you questioning why they're in the 0:03:27.560 --> 0:03:29.760 final four. I told you they are the four best teams. 0:03:29.919 --> 0:03:31.840 They should have made the final four. So if I'm 0:03:31.840 --> 0:03:34.560 a committee, oh, I'm eating this win and I'm eating 0:03:34.600 --> 0:03:36.440 this w up and I'm putting it out there in 0:03:36.440 --> 0:03:38.760 the media and everything. Hey, looks like we were right, 0:03:38.840 --> 0:03:40.880 because it looks like the four best teams that we 0:03:40.960 --> 0:03:43.160 say we're gonna be there in March are there in 0:03:43.200 --> 0:03:46.160 March right now. As of me as a viewer, you know, 0:03:46.240 --> 0:03:48.600 I like to see the underdog Cinderella make a little 0:03:48.680 --> 0:03:51.800 run and give me, give me something to cheer for there. 0:03:51.840 --> 0:03:53.839 But you know, we get to see Duke in there 0:03:53.920 --> 0:03:55.600 and hopefully Duke falls on their butt. 0:03:55.640 --> 0:04:00.040 So that all so, if you're gonna go by the trend, 0:04:00.120 --> 0:04:04.200 in fourteen consecutive times, we have seen the favorite win 0:04:04.240 --> 0:04:07.680 the game straight up. Now, not against the spread, but 0:04:07.840 --> 0:04:10.440 just straight up if you're going to go buy that 0:04:10.960 --> 0:04:14.680 this is going to be a Duke and Florida national championship. 0:04:14.920 --> 0:04:17.520 If you think we get something else, well then we 0:04:17.560 --> 0:04:19.520 may get a different situation. I think you and I 0:04:19.600 --> 0:04:22.120 both believe in something else that's going to happen here 0:04:22.160 --> 0:04:24.600 with the Duke Blue Devils up against Houston. We'll get 0:04:24.600 --> 0:04:26.800 more into that here in a second. But when are 0:04:26.880 --> 0:04:29.600 your college basketball for the women's side. When do those 0:04:29.640 --> 0:04:30.440 bets go off? 0:04:30.880 --> 0:04:33.120 Friday? So those games are Friday night. 0:04:33.560 --> 0:04:35.840 Okay, So I'll give you the bets for tonight. If 0:04:35.839 --> 0:04:38.200 you're looking for something from action right now, then Terrell 0:04:38.200 --> 0:04:40.280 will give you the picks for Friday, and then we'll 0:04:40.320 --> 0:04:42.520 get to our initial thoughts on Saturday on the two 0:04:42.600 --> 0:04:45.080 games coming up. So let's start with the game that's 0:04:45.080 --> 0:04:49.080 going to tip off here at seven o'clock at Hinklefiefield House, 0:04:49.120 --> 0:04:52.880 Eastern time. You see Irvine up against North Texas. I've 0:04:52.920 --> 0:04:55.839 taken the plus one and a half late money coming 0:04:55.880 --> 0:04:59.440 in here on you see Irvine DraftKings down to one, 0:04:59.640 --> 0:05:03.280 off down to one. Not a huge move, but just 0:05:03.279 --> 0:05:05.320 a little bit of a move here onto the dog. 0:05:05.440 --> 0:05:08.039 I do think you see Irvine is gonna win this game? Outright? 0:05:08.080 --> 0:05:10.599 I've watched probably more UC Irvine games than I thought 0:05:10.600 --> 0:05:13.000 I was going to because I wounded up seeing them 0:05:13.040 --> 0:05:16.520 play in the Big West Final against UC San Diego. 0:05:16.800 --> 0:05:19.080 I like the way they play. I like the continuity. 0:05:19.120 --> 0:05:21.280 There's been a lot of unrest with North Texas. This 0:05:21.320 --> 0:05:23.440 is one of those programs that's gonna get raided by 0:05:23.440 --> 0:05:25.720 the portal with players, you know, just out of a 0:05:25.800 --> 0:05:29.119 transfer and go elsewhere. I'm taking the Eaters at plus 0:05:29.160 --> 0:05:30.720 one and a half. I know you don't have a 0:05:30.760 --> 0:05:33.440 play on this, but do you like either game here 0:05:33.480 --> 0:05:36.920 tonight at Hinkle, either Chattanooga Leyola or you see Irvine 0:05:36.960 --> 0:05:37.680 North Texas. 0:05:38.160 --> 0:05:40.320 No, I haven't gotten there on either of the games. 0:05:40.400 --> 0:05:43.080 I just kind of left that world at a Bee. 0:05:43.160 --> 0:05:45.359 I've been so locked in on the women's side of things. 0:05:45.400 --> 0:05:48.080 But I'll tell you there and just say that, Hey, 0:05:48.120 --> 0:05:49.839 I'm fine tailing you and going with that. 0:05:49.880 --> 0:05:50.760 It sounds good to me. 0:05:51.200 --> 0:05:53.880 If you want extra I think taking Loyola is also 0:05:53.920 --> 0:05:56.120 a good play here. They're laying two and a half 0:05:56.240 --> 0:05:59.360 up against Chattanooga. I've liked the way that Leyola has 0:05:59.400 --> 0:06:02.159 looked here in this tournament. I'll be curious about the 0:06:02.200 --> 0:06:04.760 crowds because we'll talk about the Crown here in just 0:06:04.839 --> 0:06:08.600 one second. There's nobody going to the Crown games in Vegas. 0:06:08.880 --> 0:06:10.719 So I don't know if Hinkle with the n I 0:06:10.760 --> 0:06:13.160 T will see a larger number of people show up. 0:06:13.480 --> 0:06:15.239 The teams are gonna want to play in the Crown 0:06:15.320 --> 0:06:18.080 because of the five hundred thousand dollars in nil money 0:06:18.080 --> 0:06:20.920 that they're playing for, the nil money for the n 0:06:20.920 --> 0:06:22.720 C DOUAA and the n I T. If they want 0:06:22.720 --> 0:06:25.159 that tournament to stay relevant, they better start paying the 0:06:25.160 --> 0:06:27.800 players because that's going to cause a lot of these 0:06:27.800 --> 0:06:30.440 teams to say, well, if I have a choice, I'm 0:06:30.480 --> 0:06:32.400 going to go play in the you know, in the Crown, 0:06:32.760 --> 0:06:35.760 go to Vegas and go go play for money, versus 0:06:35.800 --> 0:06:38.240 having my guys to go ahead and play for you know, 0:06:38.480 --> 0:06:40.039 just for the rights to win the n I T, 0:06:40.160 --> 0:06:42.159 which it doesn't mean back in the day, that was 0:06:42.160 --> 0:06:43.520 a big deal. You know, you win the n I T, 0:06:43.720 --> 0:06:46.480 you get the practices. There's some value to that. You 0:06:46.520 --> 0:06:49.039 can make a name for yourself, but that's not you know, 0:06:49.279 --> 0:06:53.000 probably gonna happen here for many programs here in college basketball. 0:06:53.080 --> 0:06:56.120 So I think the final, I think we'll be Chattanooga 0:06:56.120 --> 0:06:59.080 against UC Irvine. But the only bet that I've made 0:06:59.240 --> 0:07:01.279 is I'm jumping on the plus one and a half 0:07:01.480 --> 0:07:05.000 for Irvine here up against Hinkle. Now the other games 0:07:05.040 --> 0:07:08.599 at eight thirty tonight, Colorado against Villanova. We mentioned that 0:07:08.640 --> 0:07:11.760 no one's gonna be there. DePaul and Cincinnati are playing. 0:07:12.080 --> 0:07:15.720 Just went final. Cincinnati beat to Paul eighty three sixty one, 0:07:16.160 --> 0:07:18.640 which there's been a couple of blowouts here in this tournament. 0:07:18.680 --> 0:07:21.160 Oregon State will play Central Florida. That game at five 0:07:21.120 --> 0:07:23.560 point thirty will tip off here in a couple of 0:07:23.560 --> 0:07:27.240 minutes for the second game for the Crown, and then 0:07:27.280 --> 0:07:30.160 eight to thirty Eastern UF Colorado and Villanova and then 0:07:30.200 --> 0:07:34.440 Twulane in USC will round it out. Look, I think 0:07:34.520 --> 0:07:37.280 Villanova with Eric Dixon. This is simply just bet the 0:07:37.320 --> 0:07:39.560 best player on the court, and the best player on 0:07:39.560 --> 0:07:42.559 the court's going to be Eric Dixon. So I haven't 0:07:42.600 --> 0:07:45.800 loved Colorado. It's stunning that Colorado is even playing in 0:07:45.840 --> 0:07:49.560 this tournament. Either you're playing in any postseason tournament that 0:07:49.680 --> 0:07:52.840 Colorado was there. So I thought the number was a 0:07:52.840 --> 0:07:56.400 bit suspect. I was like minus three for Villanova. I 0:07:56.480 --> 0:07:58.760 know there's been some defections, but this number now is 0:07:58.800 --> 0:08:01.880 up to four and a half at certain books. Circa 0:08:01.920 --> 0:08:03.920 just went to five. So to give you an idea 0:08:04.000 --> 0:08:06.120 where the professional money is coming in here, how do 0:08:06.120 --> 0:08:08.320 you feel about Noble to Night Noble minus three is 0:08:08.360 --> 0:08:08.920 my number? 0:08:09.360 --> 0:08:10.840 Yeah, no, and I agree with you. 0:08:10.920 --> 0:08:12.880 I think Nova probably does have the best player on 0:08:12.920 --> 0:08:16.200 the court in this game, and so I don't know what. 0:08:16.480 --> 0:08:21.480 Maybe they're buying into some type of team relations with 0:08:21.800 --> 0:08:26.040 Willard coaching staff, who's in, who's out, who's doing what right? 0:08:26.120 --> 0:08:29.760 Maybe that's it, but like who knows, guys, who knows? 0:08:30.200 --> 0:08:35.040 Yeah, I there's been just so much of this transition 0:08:35.400 --> 0:08:38.960 and there's been so much unrest here. For North Texas, 0:08:39.000 --> 0:08:42.240 you have a coach that's coming in. Obviously coaching changeable 0:08:42.240 --> 0:08:45.160 will take effect next year. But North Texas has been 0:08:45.200 --> 0:08:47.960 pretty good that you know, they've been a program that is, 0:08:48.520 --> 0:08:50.880 you know, interesting. But West Virginia came in and took 0:08:50.960 --> 0:08:53.199 North Texas's head coach if you didn't know, So you 0:08:53.280 --> 0:08:55.800 got a new coach coming in. So this is I 0:08:55.880 --> 0:08:57.920 just think a team of unrest. Same thing can be said, 0:08:57.920 --> 0:09:00.280 but I think it was a major benefit to me 0:09:00.480 --> 0:09:04.880 personally because I think Kyle Neptune was awful. I mean, 0:09:05.000 --> 0:09:07.640 I don't mean to be mean about it. I just 0:09:07.679 --> 0:09:10.080 think he's awful, and I think he was way over 0:09:10.120 --> 0:09:13.079 his head replacing Jay Wright, and so I think when 0:09:13.120 --> 0:09:16.080 he walked away it was actually a really big plus 0:09:16.080 --> 0:09:18.040 to me. Of why I even like Nova to win 0:09:18.080 --> 0:09:20.079 this thing. I think Nobah's gonna win the Crown. Personally, 0:09:20.120 --> 0:09:21.560 if I was betting a future on it, I would 0:09:21.600 --> 0:09:24.120 never do that because it's the Crown, but I would bet. 0:09:24.920 --> 0:09:26.640 I would bet Nova to win this thing. I think 0:09:26.720 --> 0:09:29.079 Eric Dixon takes them to a championship and he ends 0:09:29.120 --> 0:09:31.880 on his career with Villanova with a ring in Vegas. 0:09:31.960 --> 0:09:34.000 So it's four and a half now. I don't know 0:09:34.000 --> 0:09:35.719 if i'd lay the five. I mean again, I got 0:09:35.720 --> 0:09:38.559 three last night, it's five now, so you've seen some 0:09:38.720 --> 0:09:40.360 people wake up and go, oh my gosh, how is 0:09:40.440 --> 0:09:43.840 Villanova only minus three? Now they're five? But I do 0:09:43.880 --> 0:09:46.360 think they win. You can include him in moneyline parlays 0:09:46.400 --> 0:09:47.920 if you want, if you want to stay away from 0:09:47.920 --> 0:09:50.400 the five points. I do think Noah's going to win tonight, 0:09:50.400 --> 0:09:52.199 and they probably will win it quite easily to be 0:09:52.280 --> 0:09:54.800 quite honest against North Texas, although there are there are 0:09:54.800 --> 0:09:57.520 some talented players on North Texas. So those are my 0:09:57.600 --> 0:10:00.120 two plays. Other than the final four, Let's talk about 0:10:00.120 --> 0:10:02.680 your women's games Friday. These games are. 0:10:02.960 --> 0:10:06.960 Yes Friday, you got seven pm. Tampa, Florida is the 0:10:07.000 --> 0:10:12.200 women's final four. First play Texas South Carolina both playing. 0:10:12.280 --> 0:10:15.160 We know two SEC teams. I've been doing this the 0:10:15.320 --> 0:10:19.160 entire tournament and been pretty profitable taking the under when 0:10:19.160 --> 0:10:21.360 we're getting these conference games in the tournament. Man, these 0:10:21.400 --> 0:10:26.160 teams know each other. Texas South Carolina is like, now, Kin, 0:10:26.760 --> 0:10:29.080 what's the feeling. It kind of feels like if you 0:10:29.120 --> 0:10:32.199 go back into NBA, how you kept seeing the Warriors 0:10:32.240 --> 0:10:35.000 in the cabs link up time after time after time. 0:10:35.320 --> 0:10:36.040 That's what's going on. 0:10:36.080 --> 0:10:38.080 This is the fourth time they're playing this game this year, 0:10:39.120 --> 0:10:41.280 so they're played it a lot. I think the defense 0:10:41.360 --> 0:10:43.079 is really gonna come in here. I think it's gonna 0:10:43.080 --> 0:10:45.880 be first to fifty. Whoever gets to fifty points here 0:10:46.320 --> 0:10:48.720 is able to score, is able to win the game. 0:10:48.840 --> 0:10:50.600 So I think we're gonna see a bunch of low 0:10:50.679 --> 0:10:54.080 scoring game here. Texas is known as a big defensive team, 0:10:54.160 --> 0:10:56.760 not really known for their offense. Matty Booker has been 0:10:56.800 --> 0:10:59.120 really really good for them, but South Carolina has started 0:10:59.120 --> 0:11:01.160 to figure her out and how to slow her down. 0:11:01.320 --> 0:11:02.920 She's a freshman that can go out there and give 0:11:02.960 --> 0:11:05.280 you twenty whatever. So I think this is an under 0:11:05.320 --> 0:11:07.520 type of game. Give me under one twenty seven and 0:11:07.520 --> 0:11:09.960 a half. It's already going down to one twenty seven, 0:11:10.080 --> 0:11:12.000 one twenty six and a half in some spots too, 0:11:12.080 --> 0:11:14.440 so under money is well. I don't even know if 0:11:14.440 --> 0:11:16.280 the under money is coming in, but I would assume 0:11:16.280 --> 0:11:18.600 that it's coming in here. I think that you should 0:11:18.600 --> 0:11:20.800 be back in the under in that one. And that's 0:11:20.800 --> 0:11:24.040 play number one, Play number two. The second game, Yukon 0:11:24.520 --> 0:11:29.079 versus UCLA. I feel very confident about Yukon winning this game, 0:11:29.480 --> 0:11:32.560 going on playing in the national title game. This is 0:11:32.559 --> 0:11:36.200 what Gino does. Doesn't matter. If Gino has his players, 0:11:36.280 --> 0:11:38.360 Gino's gonna get his team to the Final four like 0:11:38.400 --> 0:11:40.720 he always does that. It's the only time he did 0:11:40.880 --> 0:11:43.000 make the final four is when Page Beckers was out 0:11:43.000 --> 0:11:45.600 with injury and he made the Sweet sixteen. Like Paige, 0:11:45.640 --> 0:11:48.400 Beckers has always helped get his team to the final four. 0:11:48.800 --> 0:11:50.679 I think this is the moment where they're like, all right, 0:11:50.720 --> 0:11:52.960 we're going back. We're getting a national title game. I've 0:11:52.960 --> 0:11:55.720 said it all year. I think that they've made this push. 0:11:56.160 --> 0:12:00.480 But UCLA is a really, really good team. They're getting 0:12:00.520 --> 0:12:01.240 eight and a half point. 0:12:01.280 --> 0:12:01.439 See. 0:12:01.480 --> 0:12:03.560 I think it's way too many points for Lauren Betts, 0:12:03.559 --> 0:12:06.040 who is one of the best players in college basketball. 0:12:06.280 --> 0:12:09.000 We'll see her playing college basketball again, six', seven AND 0:12:09.040 --> 0:12:11.439 i just don't think they have anything for her offensively 0:12:11.760 --> 0:12:13.760 to slow her. Down SO i think she'll be able to. 0:12:13.760 --> 0:12:16.400 Score she'll probably be able to combat Whatever page. Does 0:12:17.000 --> 0:12:20.079 and then you Got Kiki rice who had an amazing. 0:12:20.120 --> 0:12:22.600 Game they played this game last year AND ucla got the. Win, 0:12:22.640 --> 0:12:25.400 OUTRIGHT i Think Yu khan does get the win and get, 0:12:25.440 --> 0:12:28.160 revenge BUT i think it's a close game GAME ucla 0:12:28.240 --> 0:12:29.640 plus eight and a half, oo. 0:12:29.679 --> 0:12:32.600 All, right taking the dog in that. One, now, again 0:12:33.320 --> 0:12:36.040 we are going to be doing a livestream On twitch On, 0:12:36.120 --> 0:12:39.199 saturday so this Is, Tuesday so we are going to 0:12:39.240 --> 0:12:42.200 reserve the right to at least amend or add to 0:12:42.240 --> 0:12:44.680 the card depending on how these games are going to. 0:12:44.720 --> 0:12:51.560 Go Because auburn And florida is the first. Game Jeremiah broom's, arm, shoulder, 0:12:51.840 --> 0:12:55.120 elbow whatever it. Is we're going to reserve and see 0:12:55.160 --> 0:12:59.240 what happens with him because if he is actually. Hurt 0:12:59.280 --> 0:13:02.000 and we don't have a real information on this yet 0:13:02.080 --> 0:13:04.240 except That auburn is a two and a half point 0:13:04.400 --> 0:13:07.360 dog To florida with a total of one sixty and a. 0:13:07.360 --> 0:13:09.960 Half it opened at one sixty. Two the number has 0:13:09.960 --> 0:13:13.160 been bent. Down we haven't seen any movement on the side. 0:13:13.240 --> 0:13:16.120 Yet everyone's kind of waiting to. See, okay how healthy 0:13:16.240 --> 0:13:18.760 Is broom once he gets To San. Antonio if he is, 0:13:18.840 --> 0:13:22.480 out this number is going to. Jump BUT i think 0:13:22.520 --> 0:13:24.559 you AND i are on the same side. Here i've Liked. 0:13:24.559 --> 0:13:27.840 FLORIDA i Had florida winning it. ALL i love this 0:13:27.960 --> 0:13:32.840 matchup Against. Auburn these teams played At auburn during the regular. 0:13:32.880 --> 0:13:35.960 Season it was a ninety eighty one win For. Florida 0:13:35.960 --> 0:13:39.840 they won by. Nine they. Covered think they? Win think they. 0:13:39.880 --> 0:13:43.160 Cover i'm laying the two and a half With, Florida you, too, Right. 0:13:43.800 --> 0:13:46.560 YEAH i am sticking with. IT i think that their 0:13:46.679 --> 0:13:49.320 the size is going to be. Good condon had a, 0:13:49.360 --> 0:13:51.480 really really good game last time. OUT i think he 0:13:51.520 --> 0:13:53.679 had like some seventeen and ten when they played, them 0:13:53.720 --> 0:13:56.960 and they routed them over there At, auburn and so 0:13:57.080 --> 0:13:58.960 that's a really tough feat in it in. Itself AND 0:13:59.000 --> 0:14:02.000 i think If broom is, compromise then that's really really 0:14:02.080 --> 0:14:05.000 going to do you. Dirty BUT i, mean If broom 0:14:05.200 --> 0:14:07.480 is compromised and they don't have them out, there that 0:14:07.679 --> 0:14:11.160 may be auditioned by subtraction only on the defensive, side 0:14:11.160 --> 0:14:13.080 and that may make me look towards an under in the. 0:14:13.120 --> 0:14:15.440 Game if they tell me something's wrong With, BROOM i 0:14:15.440 --> 0:14:17.760 think that they do get a little bit better, defensively 0:14:17.960 --> 0:14:20.160 and of course the offensive production goes, Down so that 0:14:20.200 --> 0:14:22.200 would actually make me look towards an under if you 0:14:22.280 --> 0:14:24.800 told me that there was No broom Or broom might 0:14:24.840 --> 0:14:25.600 not be able to play. 0:14:25.640 --> 0:14:26.800 Here but With. 0:14:26.880 --> 0:14:30.000 Condon out there And broom out there And broom, COMPROMISE 0:14:30.040 --> 0:14:32.960 i Think condon's gonna feast the entire. Game even how 0:14:33.280 --> 0:14:35.200 it's going to have a really good game as well 0:14:35.200 --> 0:14:36.840 coming off the bench for, Them LIKE i think their 0:14:36.880 --> 0:14:38.240 bigs are going to be able to feast in this. 0:14:38.280 --> 0:14:42.360 One, yeah you, know the cardiac nature of the Way 0:14:42.400 --> 0:14:45.000 florida has, played you, know with the way that they 0:14:45.040 --> 0:14:48.840 wound up losing basically thirty eight minutes of the forty 0:14:48.920 --> 0:14:52.320 they've been losing to two different, teams Both yukon And Texas. Tech, 0:14:52.680 --> 0:14:55.400 yeah they were able to make the plays. Necessary and 0:14:55.440 --> 0:14:58.000 you could, say, well they're been laying living dangerously and 0:14:58.200 --> 0:15:02.040 they'll get they're gonna get. Burned they're just really good 0:15:02.120 --> 0:15:04.840 and they're able to, overcome and they're clutch and they 0:15:04.840 --> 0:15:07.040 can make big. SHOTS i Mean Walter. Clayton the shot 0:15:07.040 --> 0:15:09.600 when they were down by six in the second half 0:15:09.600 --> 0:15:12.280 Against Texas tech where he dribbles the ball from basically 0:15:12.360 --> 0:15:14.720 point blank range out to the top of the key 0:15:15.040 --> 0:15:18.760 to turn around and bury a three shows you just 0:15:18.840 --> 0:15:21.120 how confident that kid is and his ability to score 0:15:21.440 --> 0:15:24.800 and his ability to. Shoot he's the best shooter in college. 0:15:24.800 --> 0:15:27.600 Basketball he's been the best point guard in college basketball 0:15:27.600 --> 0:15:30.320 pretty much all. Year and HE i, Mean florida is 0:15:30.440 --> 0:15:35.000 dead Without Clayton. Junior so he's been tremendous in this. 0:15:35.080 --> 0:15:37.840 Tournament AND i think it continues. Here AND i know 0:15:37.920 --> 0:15:41.640 there's great guard play For, auburn But pettiford is a. 0:15:41.680 --> 0:15:44.480 Freshman this is a big moment for him. Here he's 0:15:44.520 --> 0:15:45.960 a guy who's going to try to go AND i 0:15:45.960 --> 0:15:48.920 think partically some hero ball if they don't Have, broom 0:15:49.280 --> 0:15:51.280 you could see some hero ball coming With pettiford THAT 0:15:51.320 --> 0:15:55.760 i don't really. Like auburn's, deep But florida is just as. 0:15:55.800 --> 0:15:58.240 Deep AND i think the bigs For florida will create 0:15:58.280 --> 0:16:01.120 problems in particular BECAUSE i do Think broom's banged. UP 0:16:01.200 --> 0:16:03.600 i don't think he's going to be. HEALTHY i think he'll, 0:16:03.600 --> 0:16:05.960 play BUT i don't think he's. Healthy SO i give 0:16:06.000 --> 0:16:08.640 the advantage in the post right now To, florida and 0:16:08.680 --> 0:16:11.480 then The guard. Play if it's not a, wash it's you, 0:16:11.520 --> 0:16:14.880 KNOW i give the nod To florida just On Clayton junior's. 0:16:14.920 --> 0:16:18.840 Ability SO i Think florida. Wins it shocked a lot of, 0:16:18.880 --> 0:16:22.680 people including the odds. Makers if we, Remember florida was 0:16:22.720 --> 0:16:26.080 an eleven point dog At auburn in that game and 0:16:26.120 --> 0:16:28.680 they went in there and they won the game by. Nine, 0:16:29.160 --> 0:16:31.680 so like to give you an, idea the oddsmakers were 0:16:31.760 --> 0:16:34.200 really wrong the last time these two Teams matt met 0:16:34.240 --> 0:16:37.560 up during the regular. Season and you, Know florida has 0:16:37.600 --> 0:16:39.520 BEEN i don't want to call him a team of, 0:16:39.560 --> 0:16:42.240 destiny but they've just been so darn. GOOD i mean 0:16:42.280 --> 0:16:45.160 away from. Home this, year they're fifteen and SEVEN. Ats, 0:16:45.360 --> 0:16:48.880 Now auburn was thirteen and, nine But Auburn florida was 0:16:48.920 --> 0:16:53.280 sixteen and five in THE, sec sixteen and five in 0:16:53.360 --> 0:16:57.280 the best conference we have ever seen with fourteen of 0:16:57.320 --> 0:17:01.240 the sixteen teams in the, Dance florida had AN ats 0:17:01.280 --> 0:17:03.640 record of sixteen and. Five i'm gonna lay the two 0:17:03.600 --> 0:17:06.480 and a half points With. Florida the total is. Interesting 0:17:07.119 --> 0:17:09.840 what do you make of the total here in the first, 0:17:09.880 --> 0:17:12.760 game it's one sixty and a half between these two. 0:17:12.840 --> 0:17:16.520 Teams we going up tempo because the first time that 0:17:16.560 --> 0:17:19.760 these teams faced off against each, other it was a 0:17:19.800 --> 0:17:22.439 fifteen point. Over it was one fifty six and the 0:17:22.480 --> 0:17:25.520 final score was ninety to eighty. One we going up tempo. 0:17:25.560 --> 0:17:26.480 AGAIN i don't. 0:17:26.520 --> 0:17:28.720 KNOW i THINK i kind of like an under kind 0:17:28.720 --> 0:17:30.800 of game here and things kind of slow. Down in 0:17:30.840 --> 0:17:35.239 the tournament final, four you're playing a conference opponent in you, 0:17:35.280 --> 0:17:39.200 Know San. Antonio LIKE i just, think, then, yeah dome 0:17:39.359 --> 0:17:41.960 type of. Game LIKE i think That I'M i like 0:17:42.040 --> 0:17:44.440 things to slow down. HERE i think that they may 0:17:44.480 --> 0:17:47.239 be a little bit more efficient and it may it 0:17:47.280 --> 0:17:50.040 may not look like, it BUT i think the game slows, 0:17:50.080 --> 0:17:51.920 down AND i don't think it's gonna be a quick up. 0:17:51.960 --> 0:17:55.680 Tempo everybody's, running running up and. Gunning maybe there's adjustments 0:17:55.680 --> 0:17:57.439 in the second, half and maybe there's trying to be 0:17:57.440 --> 0:17:59.200 an adjustment in the second, half but then that kind 0:17:59.200 --> 0:18:01.639 of throws off them and you start to see a 0:18:01.680 --> 0:18:03.760 little bit more mishots when you try to switch up 0:18:03.800 --> 0:18:06.879 tippo from first half to second. Half Like i'm really, 0:18:07.040 --> 0:18:10.080 Sold i've kind of sold on an. Under LIKE i, 0:18:10.080 --> 0:18:12.040 SAID i would feel amazing about. It if he'd told 0:18:12.040 --> 0:18:14.320 Me broom somehow wasn't playing in this, Game i'd be, 0:18:14.400 --> 0:18:15.720 like oh, yeah under all the. 0:18:15.720 --> 0:18:17.560 Way BUT i still like it. 0:18:17.640 --> 0:18:20.680 Under. Now Though robert likes The Florida duke money line, 0:18:20.760 --> 0:18:23.879 Parlay i've been betting that the entire, tournament every single 0:18:23.960 --> 0:18:27.080 round is. Cashed every single. Round we'll get To duke 0:18:27.119 --> 0:18:29.320 in a, second BUT i Think florida money, LINE i 0:18:29.320 --> 0:18:31.680 think you're good on, that and we'll talk About duke 0:18:31.680 --> 0:18:34.320 In houston here in a. SECOND i actually don't agree with, 0:18:34.359 --> 0:18:37.440