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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites Podcast, presented by DraftKings Sportsbook, part

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Speaker 1: of the Action Network. Your Favorites Trio is back. I'm

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Speaker 1: Brandon Kravitz, joined by the wonderfully insightful and talented Stuckey

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Speaker 1: and Kendra Middleton. On today's episode, we've got our plant

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Speaker 1: the Flag game for week four? Who are we in

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Speaker 1: on early? A breakdown of the top storylines, and of

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Speaker 1: course the main event evans Tuesday primer. We cannot live

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Speaker 1: and breathe without it. An update for the schedule. This week,

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Speaker 1: we'll have our typical Thursday show where we lock in

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Speaker 1: our best bets. Our Three Musketeers parlay, which I am

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Speaker 1: hearing from production is losing its name because we haven't

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Speaker 1: landed on a winner just yet. But we have no

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Speaker 1: show Sunday night for a recap this week, but we

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Speaker 1: got you covered today and Thursday, and then of course

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Speaker 1: back at it next week. For five. Kendra is headed

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Speaker 1: to San Francisco. That's part of the reason we don't

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Speaker 1: have a Sunday night show. You're gonna see what could

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Speaker 1: be Mac Jones versus Trevor Lawrence. Who knows? But how

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Speaker 1: excited are you for your trip to the West Coast?

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Speaker 2: Is it bad that I wanted to be brock Party,

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Speaker 2: even if that means that the Jags get their asspeed

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Speaker 2: just so I don't want to watch Mac Jones.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I figured that that might be the case.

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Speaker 2: I would much rather even if I would rather lose

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Speaker 2: to the brock Party led forty nine Ers in a

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Speaker 2: horrible fashion once again, because every time I go walk

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Speaker 2: to the forty nine Ers and the Jaguars, that's what happens.

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Speaker 2: Then watch Mac Jones at all for any reason, especially

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Speaker 2: if he's going to beat them.

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Speaker 1: So before we get into any football talk, I think

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Speaker 1: you might be the best person to help us out here.

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Speaker 1: I don't know, Stucky, how informed you are on the rapture,

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Speaker 1: but apparently that's happening today. My wife informs me of

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Speaker 1: this last night, and I thought, Okay, what am I

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Speaker 1: supposed to do with that? In from I haven't been

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Speaker 1: raptured yet. I also don't know exactly what that means,

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Speaker 1: so fill us in. I mean, you got the waxing

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Speaker 1: waning moon paid off last night with Jared Goff and

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Speaker 1: the Detroit Lions. So if there's some way I can

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Speaker 1: weave this into my Week four betting card, let me know.

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Speaker 1: But what am I looking at here? What does this mean?

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Speaker 1: What am I supposed to do with this?

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Speaker 2: People were so mean to me on the internet about

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Speaker 2: my waxing carrescent moon take, and I would like to

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Speaker 2: tell all of you to suck me. Okay, it worked out,

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Speaker 2: and it worked out big time. Anytime there's a waxing

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Speaker 2: crescent moon and the lions are playing from now on,

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Speaker 2: that's my Jesus Christ.

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Speaker 3: That is that is my bread and butter. That is

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Speaker 3: what is going on for me. However, I'll see you

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Speaker 3: guys tomorrow.

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Speaker 2: But allegedly the rapture is happening today. I think that

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Speaker 2: this is like the third rapture in my lifetime. People

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Speaker 2: are selling their cars, which, first of all, I don't

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Speaker 2: understand why so many people on the internet are selling

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Speaker 2: their things, Like if you're getting raptured, you don't need

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Speaker 2: the money, Like what are you going to do with

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Speaker 2: why are you selling your things? Just anyways, I watched

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Speaker 2: a ten minute breakdown that this girl did about what

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Speaker 2: to do when you're raptured. Apparently, don't grab onto things

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Speaker 2: in your house, don't touch things because it just prevents

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Speaker 2: you from being raptured when you do that. Don't look

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Speaker 2: down because you might get sick. You're supposed to just

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Speaker 2: look up to just.

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Speaker 3: Go and whatever.

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Speaker 2: There's people online who are like, I'm being raptured tomorrow,

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Speaker 2: and if I am not raptured, I will come online,

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Speaker 2: make an apology video, and get off of the internet forever.

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Speaker 3: I guess like the signs of all of.

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Speaker 2: This political crap going on that we're not supposed to

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Speaker 2: be talking about at our jobs is why people think

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Speaker 2: that the rapture is happening. Like I said, I'll see

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Speaker 2: you guys tomorrow. I'm pretty sure this is like the

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Speaker 2: third rapture of my lifetime. But people are selling all

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Speaker 2: of their shit. And I guess four o'clock today, if

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Speaker 2: you see people floating, it is the rapture stuck you

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Speaker 2: in on this.

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Speaker 4: No, I don't have time for this nonsense. They this

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Speaker 4: is like the every year there's that this is the

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Speaker 4: end of the world. This is the real rapture will

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Speaker 4: come when if the Titans actually cover a game. But

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Speaker 4: I found a new obsession, and uh, it's this stuff.

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Speaker 1: It's is that a candle think salt?

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Speaker 4: I think it's pronounced nom pre pal could be mispronounced it,

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Speaker 4: but it's tie chili oil.

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Speaker 3: And oh yeah, my friends.

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Speaker 4: From Chicago brought this one for me this weekend. They

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Speaker 4: came to visit and like the sandwich shop by them

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Speaker 4: in Chicago puts it on all their breakfast sandwiches. Oh

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Speaker 4: my god. I made egg sandwiches on like fresh fresh

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Speaker 4: carved out roll the past two days and then just

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Speaker 4: drenched the role in this.

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Speaker 2: It is, I'm a life hack for you, believable. I

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Speaker 2: do this with pesto too. Just take like a teaspoon

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Speaker 2: of it and put it in your pan and then

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Speaker 2: crack your egg in it, and the egg cooks in

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Speaker 2: that oil and it like some versus itself in it.

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Speaker 2: And that way you have like the spicy eggs for

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Speaker 2: your breakfast sandwiches and it doesn't drip off because the

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Speaker 2: egg cooked in it.

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Speaker 3: It's so good.

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Speaker 4: That's a good idea. I'll try that tomorrow.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 4: So look at it's called just Google. We're not we're

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Speaker 4: not sponsored by this. What do they want to sponsors?

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Speaker 4: I would, uh just google pink salt and then nom

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Speaker 4: n a m preak I think it's p r I

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Speaker 4: K and then pal p ao it's tye roasted chili jam. Oh,

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Speaker 4: it's like the best breakfast sandwich. I've ever had.

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Speaker 1: This he's had, but we can't get him to try

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Speaker 1: Zaxby's sauce.

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Speaker 3: Hey, he tried. Don't put that evil.

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Speaker 4: I tried to do it. I blame that customer service.

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Speaker 4: That's a Chick fil A. Wouldn't have forgotten my sauce.

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Speaker 4: Chick fil A won the best chicken Sandwich. Did you

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Speaker 4: see that?

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Speaker 3: That doesn't surprise me.

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Speaker 1: Who is awarding this?

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Speaker 4: The American Chicken Association. I don't even know if that's

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Speaker 4: the thing. Let's see, I just read it.

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Speaker 3: Maybe we are being raptured.

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Speaker 2: The Christian chicken sandwich got voted the best chicken sandwich,

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Speaker 2: and now they're never going to have another contest because

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Speaker 2: we're all going to be raptured.

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Speaker 1: So one question I have to go back to the

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Speaker 1: rapture for a moment. We'll get to our picks in

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Speaker 1: a minute. Is do I is this like a crack

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Speaker 1: in the ground that you fall into or am.

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Speaker 3: You don't up?

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Speaker 1: Sucked up?

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Speaker 3: You go up?

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Speaker 1: Gotcha?

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Speaker 3: That's why the girl was.

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Speaker 2: Saying, you like, shouldn't look down like you just stare

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Speaker 2: up the whole time. Imagine getting raptured and getting like

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Speaker 2: motion sickness and just like throwing up right thing below.

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Speaker 1: You doesn't sound that bad. I imagine you're going to

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Speaker 1: the You're you're going to the better place. That's the

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Speaker 1: idea of this.

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Speaker 2: I guess if that's your idea of the better place,

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Speaker 2: I still want to smoke darts with Satan.

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Speaker 1: Well, I mean, like, are you just going to the

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Speaker 1: moon or you? Is this like a spiritual thing?

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Speaker 3: I don't know. I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I grew up in the Southern Baptist Church and I

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Speaker 2: this is this is my third rapture and I still

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Speaker 2: don't know.

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Speaker 1: Okay. Sponsored by Elon Musk and his news base cadets.

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Speaker 1: I guess all right, well, hey, what do you say

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Speaker 1: we move on to the main dish? Some news across

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Speaker 1: the league. One night night football was electric, twenty eight

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Speaker 1: points scored in the first half alone, sixty eight total.

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Speaker 1: The Lions win by eight on the road against Baltimore.

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Speaker 1: Four touchdowns for the Lions running backs to a piece

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Speaker 1: for Gibbs and David Montgomery. The props were propping last

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Speaker 1: night across the board. But is Derrick Henry broken? I

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Speaker 1: mean this is now two times this year where he

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Speaker 1: has not him alone. The defense has issues, but where

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Speaker 1: he has cost this team mightily with a big time fumble. Stucky,

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Speaker 1: you're a Ravens fan, how did you compute what happened

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Speaker 1: last night?

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Speaker 4: Yeah? The Ravens just right now, they're not the same

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Speaker 4: team as they will be when they're fully healthy. They're

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Speaker 4: missing like number one. Their offense isn't humming as it

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Speaker 4: usually does. Is just not as efficient. There's still some

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Speaker 4: explosiveness still Lamar, but the guard are struggling for He's

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Speaker 4: really struggling, So the offensive line is not great. I

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Speaker 4: did think the Lions. I was really impressed with the

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Speaker 4: Lion's defensive game plan and how they rushed and spied Lamar.

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Speaker 4: It differed a lot from the first time these two

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Speaker 4: teams played two years ago. But they don't have Likely

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Speaker 4: in Ricard, and when they have Likely, it is that's

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Speaker 4: how they create so many mismatches and heavy formations. And

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Speaker 4: you have Likely and Andrews out there and then Ricard,

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Speaker 4: and then you can do so many things that teams

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Speaker 4: aren't used to seeing. And they might get Likely back

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Speaker 4: but this week, but they just aren't full strength, and

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Speaker 4: their offensive line in the interior of both guard positions

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Speaker 4: is really struggling, which you're seeing on just the drive

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Speaker 4: by drive efficiency basis. And on the defensive end, they

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Speaker 4: really miss Matabuke in the middle like they've been they

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Speaker 4: have allowed going into last night. It's gonna get worse

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Speaker 4: now they've allowed two yards more per carry without him

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Speaker 4: on the field. He's also their best interior pass rusher.

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Speaker 4: So those are the those that's how you beat the Lions.

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Speaker 4: You get interior pressure. The Ravens can't really get interior

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Speaker 4: pressure now with that Madibuque, and their run defense is

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Speaker 4: much worse. You saw that throughout the night. So the

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Speaker 4: Ravens have to get a lot healthier because they're missing

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Speaker 4: that key cog in the middle of their defense who

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Speaker 4: does so much, not only on against the run, but

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Speaker 4: on late downs and then on offense. They just don't

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Speaker 4: have their full complement of weapons in addition to the

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Speaker 4: offensive line struggling. So yeah, it's a Ravens team that

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Speaker 4: sets far from peak right now. So impressive roadwin for

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Speaker 4: the for the Lions.

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Speaker 3: My big issue has Henry broken.

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Speaker 4: I mean it's probably just fluky, but it's crazy that

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Speaker 4: it's happenings.

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Speaker 3: Three in a row.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and that's just not He's not a running back

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Speaker 2: that fumbles, so it is a question of is he broken.

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Speaker 3: I think my big issue last night was just Todd

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Speaker 3: Monkin in general. I don't think that it was the

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Speaker 3: best game for him.

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Speaker 2: I think that they've definitely got away from their bread

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Speaker 2: and butter and what we as consumers and fans know

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Speaker 2: to be Ravens football over the last twenty five years,

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Speaker 2: and Lamar Jackson just it looked like he was trying

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Speaker 2: not to run or be traditional Lamar Jackson last night.

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Speaker 2: He took way too long to look downfield, way too

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Speaker 2: long to make decisions, held onto the ball way too long.

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Speaker 2: There were times where I was screaming at my TV,

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Speaker 2: just go just run, just be Lamar Jackson, be that

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Speaker 2: guy stopped looking downfield.

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Speaker 3: It just it felt like Todd Monkin.

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Speaker 2: Got away from the football that we know that the

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Speaker 2: Ravens play, and that was their biggest issue. There were

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Speaker 2: times I was genuinely screaming at Lamar through my TV.

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Speaker 3: And they just they passed way too much.

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Speaker 2: I get that Derrick Henry has been having you know,

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Speaker 2: fumble problems, but he despite that, he's still been the

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Speaker 2: Derrick Henry that we know that man does not age

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Speaker 2: and Lamar, you are the best dual threat quarterback in

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Speaker 2: the league. Use your legs when it looks like you

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Speaker 2: need to run, run, you know better than anybody else.

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Speaker 3: Just it felt like they got.

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Speaker 2: Away from what we know Raven's football to be and

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Speaker 2: that it was them shooting them the foot. I can

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Speaker 2: take the injury thing, I get that, but they were

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Speaker 2: in that game from start to finish, and there's nobody

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Speaker 2: to blame but themselves for that loss.

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Speaker 3: The Lions played lights out. Their run game gave them fits.

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Speaker 2: The defense absolutely did their job. It was at six

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Speaker 2: sacks seven sacks at the end of the night.

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Speaker 3: Seven did their job.

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Speaker 2: But still they were in that game and there was

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Speaker 2: no excuse other than themselves on offense shooting themselves in

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Speaker 2: the foot.

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Speaker 1: Eighty that it makes. He makes such a big difference

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Speaker 1: on that Lion's defense. But I mean, Lamar passing wise

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Speaker 1: was terrific. But in terms of actually managing the game,

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Speaker 1: we got Mark Andrews back involved. He had a total

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Speaker 1: of seven yards entering last night, ends up in ninety

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Speaker 1: six and two touchdowns. One of those was just kind

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Speaker 1: of garbage time at the end of the game. But

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Speaker 1: I don't want to get too far ahead here, but

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Speaker 1: we are very much a show and a peoples of

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Speaker 1: looking ahead, not behind. I always want to do a

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Speaker 1: quick recap, especially when you have a game that's that exciting.

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Speaker 1: But this is about what's next. The Ravens have a

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Speaker 1: big one on Sunday against the Kansas City Chiefs. They

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Speaker 1: are road favorites against the Chiefs team. That wall was

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Speaker 1: against the Giants. Feels like they found themselves at least

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Speaker 1: slightly on offense. Mahomes deep ball was cooking again early

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Speaker 1: Reid Kendra on that game, have you placed any bets

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Speaker 1: on it? What are you thinking? Early on? I want

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Speaker 1: to be on the Chiefs, but I hate fading a

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Speaker 1: Ravens team off of a loss like this.

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Speaker 2: I was gonna say, I know, you guys love the

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Speaker 2: angle of a Mahomes like home dog, whatever situation. But

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Speaker 2: I'm probably going to be on the Ravens once again

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Speaker 2: this week just because once they're coming off of a loss,

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Speaker 2: I don't really care that they're on the road. I

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Speaker 2: hate to feed them in that situation. But it's more

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Speaker 2: so just I'm watching this Chiefs team and I think

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Speaker 2: that they suck the Giants. They didn't beat the Giants

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Speaker 2: the Giants beat the Giants, Okay, like Russell Wilson hot

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Speaker 2: garbage ass Okay, this has to be the We can

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Speaker 2: talk about the Giants later, but it has to be

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Speaker 2: Jackson start from here. But it's just the Ravens coming

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Speaker 2: off of this loss. I think they're gonna be out

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Speaker 2: for blood. I don't think Derek Henry can fumble four

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Speaker 2: games in a row.

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Speaker 3: The Chiefs don't look good. They don't look like the

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Speaker 3: Chiefs we know them to be.

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Speaker 2: I'm out on the Patrick Mahomes home dog. The Chiefs

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Speaker 2: are injured, Sure, the Ravens are also injured, but that

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Speaker 2: team is just so much more depth across the board.

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Speaker 3: I can't.

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Speaker 2: The Chiefs are just not themselves and I'm not going

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Speaker 2: to back them until they convince me that they are

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Speaker 2: the team that they have been for the last five, six,

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Speaker 2: seven years. And the Ravens can be and I think

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Speaker 2: that they are more likely to fix their issues in

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Speaker 2: this scenario than the Chiefs not even being able to

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Speaker 2: really beat the Giants. How I would like them to

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Speaker 2: beat the Giants for me to be convinced to put

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Speaker 2: my hard earned dollar on them this week.

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Speaker 1: Stucky. If the Chiefs can run the football, which they

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Speaker 1: haven't been great at this year against this Ravens team,

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Speaker 1: and Mahomes feels comfortable. That is the Mahomes Chiefs dog

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Speaker 1: that I want to be in on. We know the

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Speaker 1: defense is going to show up. I'm kind of stuck

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Speaker 1: in the middle here. Where do you stand early on

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Speaker 1: on this game?

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Speaker 4: No, I want no interest of the Chiefs. I mean

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Speaker 4: I thought the Chiefs looked awful again. I mean, look,

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Speaker 4: they have the average savage four yards per play against

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Speaker 4: the Giants. The Giants and the Chiefs both average four

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Speaker 4: yards per play on Sunday. The Giants didn't have a kicker,

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Speaker 4: which cost them, like, I don't know, six points, and

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Speaker 4: they were down, they were at the goal line. They

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Speaker 4: could have another touchdown. Yeah, I mean, Mahomes completed two

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Speaker 4: balls downfield. But you got to remember no kicker, and

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Speaker 4: Andrew Thomas didn't play the second half, and Russell Wilson

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Speaker 4: was just throwing it into the end zone. This Chief's

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Speaker 4: just throwing him to the tunnel at the end of

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Speaker 4: the game. I don't know what he was doing. So

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Speaker 4: I wasn't overly impressed with the Chiefs. I know Chris

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Speaker 4: Collinsworth was just drooling all over. Mahomes also threw it

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Speaker 4: backwards twice, just.

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Speaker 1: Like that was crazy. That was He just doesn't That's

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Speaker 1: what I'm saying. Last week, he doesn't seem like the

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Speaker 1: same guy.

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Speaker 4: I thought that could have been two Giants touchdowns and

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Speaker 4: which would have swung the whole game. I mean, they

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Speaker 4: also won the turn of a battle to nothing. The

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Speaker 4: Giants went one a four on fourth down, they didn't

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Speaker 4: have a kicker, and it was kind of a game.

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Speaker 2: So wait, I have a question, since we are getting

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Speaker 2: raptured do we just put fucking money everywhere this week? Like,

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Speaker 2: do we do we go balls to the wall because

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Speaker 2: money doesn't matter. We're getting raptured.

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Speaker 1: Well, people are selling stuff, so I don't know that everybody.

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Speaker 4: There's no need to even put place at that.

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Speaker 1: I don't get raptured. I still I still want a

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Speaker 1: bank roll, So I just I'm not ready to make

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Speaker 1: that sort of commitment.

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Speaker 4: They but no, I can't back the Chiefs here. But

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Speaker 4: the Raidings have issues. Like I said, I don't know

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Speaker 4: if it's like their defense this week unlike last week? Though,

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Speaker 4: can you know you can provide help because when you're

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Speaker 4: playing the lines, they can spread you out. They have

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Speaker 4: really good receivers, but here the Chiefs run game isn't

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Speaker 4: as good. They don't have Gibbs in Montgomery and their

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Speaker 4: receivers aren't as good. Well see if Worthy can go.

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Speaker 4: But this Chiefs offense is just like even the loss

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Speaker 4: amount of Bouquet isn't as great this week as it

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Speaker 4: was last week. And this Chief's back end on the

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Speaker 4: defense still has issues so that I think Lamar can exploit.

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Speaker 4: But I'll tell you the Chiefs are probably gonna look

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Speaker 4: at a lot of what the Lions did defensively last week.

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Speaker 4: The key to me, there's two keys, is Worthy back.

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Speaker 4: He's just so huge for the Chiefs offense and is

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Speaker 4: likely back for the Ravens. And then if so, how

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Speaker 4: healthy are they and in what capacity? But both of

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Speaker 4: those pieces are really important. But yeah, I want no

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Speaker 4: part of the Chiefs as of right now. Two and

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Speaker 4: a half. I will say this game is huge because

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Speaker 4: this is essentially a one seed elimination game because you look,

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Speaker 4: I mean you look at the Bills schedule. The Ravens

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Speaker 4: already have a loss to the Bills. If they lose

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Speaker 4: to the Chiefs, I don't see them getting the one seed,

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Speaker 4: which is uber important. If the Chiefs fall to one

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Speaker 4: in three, I don't see them finely. I mean, maybe

357
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Speaker 4: they could beat the Bills head to head, that'll help

358
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Speaker 4: make up the gap. But this game is big for

359
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Speaker 4: playoff positioning. The teams that coming into the season thought

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Speaker 4: they were going to get a one seed. They don't

361
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Speaker 4: win this game, and then you're going to have a

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Speaker 4: tougher path in the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: At the end of the day, I think we're looking

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Speaker 2: at the difference being the Ravens can clean.

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Speaker 3: Up the issues that they had last night.

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Speaker 2: The Chiefs cannot make up for the lack of talent

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Speaker 2: and the injuries in comparison to the Ravens right now.

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Speaker 3: That's what I'm looking at.

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Speaker 2: Like the Ravens can limit the turnovers, they can have

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Speaker 2: Lamar get the ball out quicker, they can change their

371
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Speaker 2: offensive plan a little bit. The Chiefs cannot get over

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Speaker 2: the lack of talent issue that they're having right now.

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Speaker 1: It's still a team that you need to downgrade at

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Speaker 1: least slightly, just in the fact that they're coming off

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Speaker 1: of a Monday night football game where they just got

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Speaker 1: beat up by the Detroit Lions. So there is that

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Speaker 1: also that the Ravens are at a scheduled disadvantage here,

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Speaker 1: not just being on the road, but I think even

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Speaker 1: more importantly, coming off of that Monday night game, it

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Speaker 1: sounds to me like we're all on a holding pattern

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Speaker 1: with this one. So we'll put them to the side

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Speaker 1: till Thursday.

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Speaker 4: By the way, the Eagles were just minus one and

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Speaker 4: a half in Kansas City. I mean I have the

385
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Speaker 4: Raidens three points better than the Eagles, so now they're

386
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Speaker 4: not at one hundred percent full strength with neither is

387
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Speaker 4: Kansas City. So I would in order to entertain the Chiefs,

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Speaker 4: I would need at least three, but definitely not at

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Speaker 4: two and a half.

390
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Speaker 1: I don't think this ever touches three, do you.

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Speaker 4: I could see it. Let's see there is.

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Speaker 3: It looks like two and a half's across the board.

393
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Speaker 4: Yeah, but there there's semi juice. There's like minus two

394
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Speaker 4: and a half minus one twenty, So I could see

395
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Speaker 4: a touch in three. Depending it'll depend on injury reports,

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Speaker 4: and there'll probably be some buy on Kansas City at three,

397
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Speaker 4: but we'll be monitoring and we'll talk more on Thursday

398
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Speaker 4: about it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll be one of the buyers when that touches

400
00:18:49,840 --> 00:18:53,520
Speaker 1: the three Monday night football in the Bucks. Let's move

401
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Speaker 1: on to Viking Steelers leave for Dublin on Thursday after practice.

402
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Speaker 1: So I did digging to see both of the travel

403
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Speaker 1: schedules here Kendra, to see if we had any sort

404
00:19:04,359 --> 00:19:08,840
Speaker 1: of an edge on who lands in Dublin first. They

405
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Speaker 1: both leave Thursday after practice, so I don't know who's

406
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Speaker 1: gonna land first, but they're not gonna land too far

407
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Speaker 1: apart from one another.

408
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Speaker 3: I think that's so dumb.

409
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Speaker 1: I know, I don't know that we does it still

410
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Speaker 1: matter if it's like fifteen minutes apart? Is it just okay?

411
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Speaker 1: It has to be well you're talking hours days?

412
00:19:27,359 --> 00:19:29,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, because there actually is data.

413
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Speaker 2: I don't know if Evan wound up looking into it

414
00:19:31,520 --> 00:19:33,960
Speaker 2: or not, but I remember specifically the last couple of

415
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Speaker 2: years there being a difference between people who would leave

416
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Speaker 2: pretty much, you know, Monday or Tuesday, and then the

417
00:19:40,320 --> 00:19:43,080
Speaker 2: people who would follow the Thursday schedule and leave. There

418
00:19:43,160 --> 00:19:47,640
Speaker 2: definitely was a significant advantage in the team who got

419
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Speaker 2: there earlier. And I even look back at like, like

420
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Speaker 2: I said, Jags fan, I've been through this quite a

421
00:19:51,960 --> 00:19:54,720
Speaker 2: few times. Jags got their absolute ass beat by the

422
00:19:54,720 --> 00:19:57,040
Speaker 2: Bears in their first game last year, stayed played a

423
00:19:57,080 --> 00:20:00,960
Speaker 2: second game across the way in London against the Patriots

424
00:20:01,040 --> 00:20:02,560
Speaker 2: last year and wax the Patriots.

425
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Speaker 3: The time advantage definitely helps you.

426
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Speaker 2: I don't like I said. I don't know if Evan

427
00:20:07,920 --> 00:20:10,040
Speaker 2: looked into it. I should have probably done more research.

428
00:20:10,080 --> 00:20:12,359
Speaker 2: But as someone who has suffered through these London games

429
00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:14,760
Speaker 2: for quite some time now and pays attention to all

430
00:20:14,840 --> 00:20:17,520
Speaker 2: of them, there is an advantage to getting there earlier

431
00:20:17,560 --> 00:20:18,680
Speaker 2: and adjusting well, and.

432
00:20:18,600 --> 00:20:21,679
Speaker 1: There's definitely an advantage to staying there. I think the

433
00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:24,760
Speaker 1: bigger advantage isn't so much about this week on Minnesota

434
00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:28,000
Speaker 1: or Pittsburgh, but the Vikings play the Browns in London

435
00:20:28,520 --> 00:20:32,119
Speaker 1: next week and Week five. Teams that stay overseas have

436
00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:34,480
Speaker 1: a massive advantage. The Jags are the only team to

437
00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:37,320
Speaker 1: have done it to go back to back overseas. They

438
00:20:37,320 --> 00:20:39,119
Speaker 1: are two and oh straight up two and oh against

439
00:20:39,119 --> 00:20:42,439
Speaker 1: the spread. You just mentioned getting waxed in games prior

440
00:20:42,480 --> 00:20:45,199
Speaker 1: and then turning right around because they stay there. So

441
00:20:45,440 --> 00:20:48,200
Speaker 1: perhaps I wish the Vikings were playing a better team

442
00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:50,560
Speaker 1: than Cleveland, where there we have a tighter number, because

443
00:20:50,560 --> 00:20:52,760
Speaker 1: they're going to be pretty heavy favorites against the Browns,

444
00:20:52,800 --> 00:20:55,440
Speaker 1: But I would still look early on at targeting the

445
00:20:55,520 --> 00:20:57,679
Speaker 1: Vikings in week five. That's probably the best. I know

446
00:20:57,720 --> 00:20:59,480
Speaker 1: we're talking about week four, but I think the best

447
00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:01,960
Speaker 1: angle to look at here is Vikings week five.

448
00:21:02,400 --> 00:21:04,960
Speaker 2: One n not even a question in my mind depending

449
00:21:05,080 --> 00:21:07,480
Speaker 2: do we have a number on that already for.

450
00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:08,560
Speaker 1: The Vikings Browns.

451
00:21:08,760 --> 00:21:11,240
Speaker 3: It looks like it's six and a half seven right now.

452
00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:13,359
Speaker 1: I don't. I mean, it's not gonna it's not gonna

453
00:21:13,359 --> 00:21:16,560
Speaker 1: get much lower than that. If the Browns would have

454
00:21:16,640 --> 00:21:18,880
Speaker 1: to beat the Lions. I don't see them going back

455
00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:21,200
Speaker 1: to back like that against the AFC North.

456
00:21:21,560 --> 00:21:24,160
Speaker 4: The Vikings going back. I'm not laying seven with JJ McCarry.

457
00:21:24,160 --> 00:21:25,400
Speaker 4: I mean, I don't think I want to like seven

458
00:21:25,400 --> 00:21:28,520
Speaker 4: with JJ McCarthy, wor cars some wentz but uh, that

459
00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:31,080
Speaker 4: sounds like a PA against that Browns front.

460
00:21:32,119 --> 00:21:34,719
Speaker 3: That'll be a no go from me. Big dogs.

461
00:21:35,280 --> 00:21:37,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, I wish they I wish they were playing a

462
00:21:37,040 --> 00:21:39,200
Speaker 1: team that was good enough to where the Vikings would

463
00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:42,080
Speaker 1: be a dog. We'd be all over the Minnesota Vikings

464
00:21:42,080 --> 00:21:47,320
Speaker 1: in that spot. Haf Tough looks, yes, exactly. The injuries

465
00:21:47,320 --> 00:21:49,760
Speaker 1: are piling up, folks. Nick Bosa done for the year.

466
00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:52,960
Speaker 1: He's out San Francisco, he's got an ACL injury. Ceed

467
00:21:53,160 --> 00:21:56,280
Speaker 1: Lamb is out multiple weeks. He's definitely gonna miss against

468
00:21:56,320 --> 00:21:59,080
Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packers. Jerry Jones is talking about putting

469
00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:00,159
Speaker 1: him on ir J.

470
00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:03,600
Speaker 2: Crazy because he said that he could even potentially play

471
00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:05,320
Speaker 2: this week if he wanted to CD dead.

472
00:22:05,880 --> 00:22:07,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that's a pretty big gap in.

473
00:22:10,040 --> 00:22:13,360
Speaker 3: Fuck up God, I'm so sick of him.

474
00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:17,879
Speaker 1: We've already seen that line moved pretty drastically. It was

475
00:22:17,920 --> 00:22:20,520
Speaker 1: five and a half, four and a half, five, somewhere

476
00:22:20,520 --> 00:22:23,000
Speaker 1: between four and five at open, but quickly got bet

477
00:22:23,119 --> 00:22:26,160
Speaker 1: up to Packers minus six. Right after the news came

478
00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:28,359
Speaker 1: out about Ceedee Lamb, it popped six and a half

479
00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:30,920
Speaker 1: and now you see sevens pretty much across the board.

480
00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:34,080
Speaker 1: James Connors also done with a severe ankle injury. He's

481
00:22:34,080 --> 00:22:37,320
Speaker 1: out for the year. Fire up Trey Benson Stock and

482
00:22:37,480 --> 00:22:41,320
Speaker 1: Najee Harris is done with an achilles. So I assume

483
00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:43,920
Speaker 1: as far as this goes, Nick Bosa would definitely move

484
00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:46,879
Speaker 1: a line. Ceedee Lamb feels like the most drastic of

485
00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:49,280
Speaker 1: all of these as far as where we would be

486
00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:53,760
Speaker 1: leaning towards one side or the other based on these

487
00:22:53,760 --> 00:22:57,119
Speaker 1: injuries that we see. I would have probably wanted to

488
00:22:57,160 --> 00:22:59,639
Speaker 1: be on Dallas this week against Green Bay, but I

489
00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:02,040
Speaker 1: don't think you can touch it without Ceedee Lamb Stucky.

490
00:23:02,080 --> 00:23:04,200
Speaker 1: We saw what that looked like when he left the game.

491
00:23:04,240 --> 00:23:05,959
Speaker 1: The team could have moved the ball consistently.

492
00:23:07,200 --> 00:23:09,720
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's tough. I mean, it's still get seven. We're

493
00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:11,480
Speaker 4: getting up there, it's getting I mean, I could not

494
00:23:11,600 --> 00:23:13,520
Speaker 4: be at the Packers. It's only the Cowboys at that price.

495
00:23:13,560 --> 00:23:17,199
Speaker 4: But that was that was one of their biggest advents. Like,

496
00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:19,600
Speaker 4: their biggest strengths of their team is their wide receiver room,

497
00:23:19,680 --> 00:23:21,159
Speaker 4: and their offense is going to have to make up

498
00:23:21,160 --> 00:23:25,959
Speaker 4: for their defense which is atrocious. Uh so again, you're

499
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:30,920
Speaker 4: getting the Packers salty off of the loss Parsons revenge game. Sure,

500
00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:32,760
Speaker 4: he's going to be firing out of a canon.

501
00:23:32,920 --> 00:23:40,640
Speaker 1: So do we have Parsons Yeah, yeah, probably Yeah, over

502
00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:44,320
Speaker 1: that's going to be at least minus two hundred.

503
00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:49,000
Speaker 4: Everyone's going to be bad minus eight minus eight hundred

504
00:23:49,040 --> 00:23:53,280
Speaker 4: for over a one and a half sacks. But yeah,

505
00:23:53,320 --> 00:23:55,480
Speaker 4: the Bosa one's big. The forty nine ers are stars

506
00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:56,360
Speaker 4: and scrubs team.

507
00:23:56,400 --> 00:23:58,400
Speaker 3: Like, yeah, I want to talk about that game.

508
00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:00,520
Speaker 2: Because obviously we don't have the news about Mac Jones

509
00:24:00,560 --> 00:24:03,200
Speaker 2: and brought Party. Yet it's sitting at the Jags getting

510
00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:05,520
Speaker 2: three and a half. Do we think that this value

511
00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:07,120
Speaker 2: is going to get any better or any worse, because

512
00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:10,080
Speaker 2: obviously Party was pretty close to allegedly.

513
00:24:09,600 --> 00:24:10,679
Speaker 3: Being back this week.

514
00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:13,600
Speaker 2: I think that if he plays, obviously this number gets

515
00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:16,159
Speaker 2: better if you like the Jags, But I think that

516
00:24:16,400 --> 00:24:18,800
Speaker 2: we probably if you have any likes or Leans, this

517
00:24:19,000 --> 00:24:21,800
Speaker 2: is maybe where you have to make some value decisions

518
00:24:21,840 --> 00:24:24,360
Speaker 2: and make them quickly, especially with both out.

519
00:24:25,359 --> 00:24:27,840
Speaker 1: I'm sitting this conversation out because this is my plant

520
00:24:27,840 --> 00:24:28,480
Speaker 1: the flag game.

521
00:24:28,600 --> 00:24:31,920
Speaker 4: So yeah, I would think it goes to three if

522
00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:37,040
Speaker 4: if it's Mac Jones, and then it ticks back up

523
00:24:37,040 --> 00:24:41,000
Speaker 4: to four four and a half if it's Party. I

524
00:24:41,000 --> 00:24:42,800
Speaker 4: could be wrong, but the both laws is big. Like

525
00:24:42,960 --> 00:24:49,159
Speaker 4: that defense, all the attention that he draws then opens

526
00:24:49,240 --> 00:24:53,280
Speaker 4: up things for your other pass rushers, So the trickle

527
00:24:53,320 --> 00:24:56,200
Speaker 4: down effect is no longer there because overall, if you

528
00:24:56,240 --> 00:24:58,720
Speaker 4: look at this defense, it's not an overly talented unit.

529
00:24:59,240 --> 00:25:04,240
Speaker 4: And uh so, yeah, I think that the the Jacks

530
00:25:04,240 --> 00:25:06,960
Speaker 4: are definitely gonna benefit from that. So we'll see, we'll

531
00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:10,560
Speaker 4: we'll talk more about that on Brandon's plays by game.

532
00:25:10,640 --> 00:25:13,280
Speaker 4: But yeah, the Bosa and the lamb Ones are obviously

533
00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:16,720
Speaker 4: pretty big. That James Connord's unfortunate, but I don't think

534
00:25:16,720 --> 00:25:18,760
Speaker 4: it really impacts the Cardinals that much. They have they

535
00:25:18,760 --> 00:25:20,359
Speaker 4: have good running back death and it's it's still at

536
00:25:20,359 --> 00:25:22,800
Speaker 4: the end of the day, it's a running back, so

537
00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:26,440
Speaker 4: that's not that's not too impactful other than just impacting

538
00:25:26,480 --> 00:25:30,760
Speaker 4: your depth. But yeah, Cowboys are in trouble if Lamb

539
00:25:30,840 --> 00:25:33,480
Speaker 4: is out long term because I think the coming into

540
00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:35,399
Speaker 4: the year is like Lamb and Parsons, let's rely on

541
00:25:35,400 --> 00:25:37,560
Speaker 4: the rights. We don't have.

542
00:25:37,600 --> 00:25:40,399
Speaker 1: Either exactly now, it's all it's all on Dak and

543
00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:43,679
Speaker 1: a resurgent Ravante Williams. I think the Packers are a

544
00:25:43,720 --> 00:25:48,040
Speaker 1: great teaser. Leg I already took them down to half

545
00:25:48,080 --> 00:25:51,159
Speaker 1: a point and the and I paired that with the

546
00:25:51,160 --> 00:25:53,760
Speaker 1: Denver Broncos on Monday Night down to a point against

547
00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:58,200
Speaker 1: the Cincinnati Bengals bod Nicks. As a teaser, leg has

548
00:25:58,240 --> 00:26:03,240
Speaker 1: been I think he's been the most profitable Caeser candidate

549
00:26:03,920 --> 00:26:05,000
Speaker 1: over the last year.

550
00:26:05,320 --> 00:26:08,560
Speaker 4: So the defense.

551
00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:15,120
Speaker 1: Right, yeah, I mean that's why you have to buy

552
00:26:15,200 --> 00:26:18,000
Speaker 1: the points with if you're gonna bet bo Nicks. So

553
00:26:18,359 --> 00:26:20,680
Speaker 1: let's take a look at the ATS standings report as

554
00:26:20,680 --> 00:26:23,200
Speaker 1: it stands right now, only two three and oh teams

555
00:26:23,240 --> 00:26:27,240
Speaker 1: remain against the spread, the Indianapolis Colts and the LA Chargers.

556
00:26:27,440 --> 00:26:29,800
Speaker 1: The Chargers one is debatable because that line sat at

557
00:26:29,800 --> 00:26:31,960
Speaker 1: two and a half. I think it hit a three

558
00:26:32,160 --> 00:26:35,800
Speaker 1: at some point before kickoff. Unfortunately I was impatient enough

559
00:26:35,840 --> 00:26:38,200
Speaker 1: on that and I took the l on the Denver Broncos.

560
00:26:38,200 --> 00:26:40,439
Speaker 1: Speaking of bo Nicks by the points, ladies and gentlemen,

561
00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:44,679
Speaker 1: But the Saints, Broncos and Texans are the only three

562
00:26:44,880 --> 00:26:47,560
Speaker 1: not to cover the number yet. The big question of

563
00:26:47,600 --> 00:26:51,560
Speaker 1: all of this is is it time finally to fade

564
00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:56,560
Speaker 1: the Indianapolis Colts. They finally play a real football team

565
00:26:56,760 --> 00:26:59,800
Speaker 1: in the LA Rams this week. Waiting for this opportunity,

566
00:26:59,840 --> 00:27:03,280
Speaker 1: but am this team is impressive? So is anybody willing

567
00:27:03,320 --> 00:27:05,879
Speaker 1: to do it to fade the Indianapolis Colts is an

568
00:27:06,000 --> 00:27:07,600
Speaker 1: undefeated ATS team.

569
00:27:09,000 --> 00:27:12,280
Speaker 2: I think I potentially might get there just because the

570
00:27:12,400 --> 00:27:16,200
Speaker 2: Rams are healthy. Outside of if you want to consider

571
00:27:16,600 --> 00:27:20,639
Speaker 2: the Matthew Stafford back saying an issue which he's older,

572
00:27:20,680 --> 00:27:22,680
Speaker 2: I think it's something you definitely have to look at

573
00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:24,679
Speaker 2: But I do think that this is the week that

574
00:27:24,680 --> 00:27:26,920
Speaker 2: the Colts get got. I'm not going to say they're

575
00:27:26,920 --> 00:27:28,679
Speaker 2: going to turn back into a pumpkin, because I do

576
00:27:28,720 --> 00:27:31,040
Speaker 2: think that they're actually a legit team at this point.

577
00:27:31,400 --> 00:27:34,240
Speaker 3: I don't know why I feel that way.

578
00:27:34,280 --> 00:27:36,040
Speaker 2: I know when we first started this show, I was

579
00:27:36,040 --> 00:27:37,639
Speaker 2: talking about how they draft. Well, it's just been the

580
00:27:37,720 --> 00:27:40,960
Speaker 2: coaching not be able to put the pieces together for them.

581
00:27:41,040 --> 00:27:43,359
Speaker 2: But I just think that this Rams team is just

582
00:27:43,560 --> 00:27:45,639
Speaker 2: all class. They're as healthy as they can be. That

583
00:27:45,680 --> 00:27:47,960
Speaker 2: the healthiest they're going to be all season. The Rams

584
00:27:47,960 --> 00:27:49,640
Speaker 2: are legit, man. They were one of my favorite heading

585
00:27:49,640 --> 00:27:51,600
Speaker 2: into the season, one of my sleeper picks to you know,

586
00:27:51,640 --> 00:27:52,720
Speaker 2: make a deep playoff run.

587
00:27:53,000 --> 00:27:54,560
Speaker 3: Not that that's really even a sleeper.

588
00:27:54,600 --> 00:27:58,919
Speaker 2: It's just the NFC's not you know, the the NFC

589
00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:00,800
Speaker 2: is not the AFC right now. A couple of years ago,

590
00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:02,240
Speaker 2: you would have gotten me to say otherwise.

591
00:28:02,320 --> 00:28:04,800
Speaker 3: But I don't know.

592
00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:08,360
Speaker 2: They haven't played any great opponents so far. Their their

593
00:28:08,400 --> 00:28:10,080
Speaker 2: game this week was just a heartbreaker.

594
00:28:12,040 --> 00:28:14,479
Speaker 4: I'll see. I'm curious how they bounced back after that.

595
00:28:14,600 --> 00:28:17,919
Speaker 4: But uh yeah, I would love a three. That's what

596
00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:22,200
Speaker 4: I'm hoping. There's a lot of Colts love in the market,

597
00:28:22,440 --> 00:28:24,080
Speaker 4: and we can at some point get to three. That's

598
00:28:24,080 --> 00:28:26,879
Speaker 4: what I'll be waiting for all week. They might get

599
00:28:26,920 --> 00:28:28,639
Speaker 4: a Vealo back so they could be one hundred percent

600
00:28:28,680 --> 00:28:32,000
Speaker 4: healthy this week. But yeah, I've been impressed with the Colts,

601
00:28:32,600 --> 00:28:35,199
Speaker 4: especially against the Broncos at home in that defense, because

602
00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:39,080
Speaker 4: like the Broncos, the Rams can get pressure and Daniel

603
00:28:39,120 --> 00:28:42,360
Speaker 4: Jones historically struggled against pressure, but against the Broncos they

604
00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:45,040
Speaker 4: were able to move it and they carved up that defense.

605
00:28:45,160 --> 00:28:47,440
Speaker 4: But yeah, if we can get if I can get

606
00:28:47,440 --> 00:28:51,280
Speaker 4: a three, I would I'm definitely in on the Rams here.

607
00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:55,400
Speaker 4: But uh, because we have to keep in mind the Colts.

608
00:28:55,400 --> 00:28:58,000
Speaker 4: It's again, it's only three games, and two of them

609
00:28:58,040 --> 00:29:02,920
Speaker 4: have come against the Titans five starters out and the Dolphins,

610
00:29:03,120 --> 00:29:05,040
Speaker 4: who didn't even get off the bus in Week one,

611
00:29:05,360 --> 00:29:07,720
Speaker 4: and then their one win came against the Broncos because

612
00:29:07,720 --> 00:29:10,640
Speaker 4: of a leaping penalty. By the way, you could have

613
00:29:10,680 --> 00:29:13,120
Speaker 4: called it on on the Eagles on that field goal block,

614
00:29:13,160 --> 00:29:16,240
Speaker 4: but of course they didn't. So they could easily be

615
00:29:16,280 --> 00:29:20,400
Speaker 4: one too and one still looking good, but the conversation

616
00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:22,479
Speaker 4: would be a lot different that they're two and one

617
00:29:22,520 --> 00:29:26,440
Speaker 4: with wins over the Texans. Excuse me, the Titans and

618
00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:32,680
Speaker 4: the Dolphins, who have yet to win a game. And yeah,

619
00:29:32,800 --> 00:29:36,840
Speaker 4: the Titans, by the way, are just I don't even

620
00:29:36,840 --> 00:29:38,680
Speaker 4: want to talk about that game. They're three and seventeen

621
00:29:38,680 --> 00:29:40,360
Speaker 4: against the spread over the past twenty.

622
00:29:40,160 --> 00:29:42,840
Speaker 1: I bet them. I'll talk at the seven and a half.

623
00:29:43,800 --> 00:29:47,480
Speaker 1: I'm not even going to suggest it, but but the.

624
00:29:47,480 --> 00:29:50,520
Speaker 4: Number seven and a half, it's them or nothing, just

625
00:29:50,520 --> 00:29:53,680
Speaker 4: because the Texans bid don't deserve to be laying seven

626
00:29:53,720 --> 00:29:54,080
Speaker 4: and a half.

627
00:29:54,560 --> 00:29:58,600
Speaker 1: That's exactly anyone exactly, it's a bet against the Texans

628
00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:01,760
Speaker 1: and unfortunately the Titans of side on the other side

629
00:30:01,760 --> 00:30:01,920
Speaker 1: of it.

630
00:30:02,120 --> 00:30:03,960
Speaker 3: You might be right. I hate to say it, but

631
00:30:04,000 --> 00:30:05,160
Speaker 3: it's a divisional game.

632
00:30:07,160 --> 00:30:11,160
Speaker 1: The Texans have been terrible laying seven seven and a

633
00:30:11,520 --> 00:30:14,360
Speaker 1: get and I got it at minus one ten. That

634
00:30:14,440 --> 00:30:16,959
Speaker 1: number is gone now, which does make me feel good

635
00:30:17,000 --> 00:30:19,720
Speaker 1: about the wager, at least at this juncture in the week.

636
00:30:19,760 --> 00:30:21,840
Speaker 1: I'm sure I'll feel differently when we're into the second

637
00:30:21,920 --> 00:30:25,040
Speaker 1: quarter on Sunday, but I feel like it was a

638
00:30:25,080 --> 00:30:26,600
Speaker 1: bet that that had to be made.

639
00:30:27,440 --> 00:30:30,120
Speaker 4: Now I'll get I think I'm going eleven bet and

640
00:30:30,160 --> 00:30:31,960
Speaker 4: Titans games when I beat the close over the last

641
00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:36,680
Speaker 4: two years, sometimes by like three points. So the Titans,

642
00:30:36,880 --> 00:30:40,320
Speaker 4: we'll find a way. The Callahan, he's just he's gotta go.

643
00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:43,400
Speaker 4: Did you hear the fire Callahan? Chance and the stands

644
00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:44,880
Speaker 4: at oh yeah, end of the half?

645
00:30:45,680 --> 00:30:48,960
Speaker 1: Really he might beat Mike McDaniel to the bunch, who knows.

646
00:30:49,120 --> 00:30:51,880
Speaker 3: Yeah. Can we talk about how dumb that c J.

647
00:30:52,040 --> 00:30:55,080
Speaker 2: Stroud and Kayleb Williams conversation looks like after their game

648
00:30:55,120 --> 00:30:57,000
Speaker 2: when he goes up to him and he's like, you know,

649
00:30:57,120 --> 00:30:58,080
Speaker 2: fix your mistakes.

650
00:30:58,120 --> 00:31:01,240
Speaker 3: This this league's two hard blah blah blah blah blah.

651
00:31:01,280 --> 00:31:01,480
Speaker 1: CJ.

652
00:31:01,560 --> 00:31:04,440
Speaker 2: Stroud giving Kleb Williams all this advice and it's like,

653
00:31:04,480 --> 00:31:05,560
Speaker 2: you look real dumb.

654
00:31:05,600 --> 00:31:07,760
Speaker 3: Now, you look real dumb right now?

655
00:31:08,440 --> 00:31:11,560
Speaker 4: Yeah, Stroud's gotta he's got to figure it out. But

656
00:31:11,720 --> 00:31:13,360
Speaker 4: he's getting no help around him.

657
00:31:13,360 --> 00:31:16,200
Speaker 2: He's becoming more and more unlikable to me. His rookie season,

658
00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:18,280
Speaker 2: I like loved him and I hate the Texans more

659
00:31:18,320 --> 00:31:21,080
Speaker 2: than any other team or fan base, but he is

660
00:31:21,120 --> 00:31:23,960
Speaker 2: becoming more and more unlikable rather quickly, in my opinion.

661
00:31:24,200 --> 00:31:26,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, he's uh, he's not handling the losing press conference

662
00:31:27,000 --> 00:31:29,320
Speaker 1: well to this point. By the way, I have a

663
00:31:29,400 --> 00:31:31,800
Speaker 1: damning stat on the Indianapolis Colts. This will make you

664
00:31:31,840 --> 00:31:34,880
Speaker 1: want to fade them quickly. This is uh. I found

665
00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:38,360
Speaker 1: a graph on how often do NFL defenses allow a

666
00:31:38,440 --> 00:31:42,240
Speaker 1: new series of downs? The dead last team in the

667
00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:45,160
Speaker 1: NFL is the Indianapolis Colt seventy eight percent of the

668
00:31:45,160 --> 00:31:48,000
Speaker 1: time their defense allows a new series of downs. The

669
00:31:48,080 --> 00:31:50,280
Speaker 1: best team in the NFL is the Green Bay Packers,

670
00:31:50,360 --> 00:31:53,000
Speaker 1: the Vikings, the Chargers, the Broncos. Just for a frame

671
00:31:53,040 --> 00:31:55,520
Speaker 1: of reference, those are the best defenses in the league.

672
00:31:55,880 --> 00:31:59,520
Speaker 1: The Colts are dead last. And look who they've played.

673
00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:01,840
Speaker 1: I do wonder if some of that is just because

674
00:32:01,840 --> 00:32:05,480
Speaker 1: they've been blowing some teams out and garbage time maybe

675
00:32:06,320 --> 00:32:08,960
Speaker 1: has baked into that a little bit. But still that

676
00:32:09,280 --> 00:32:12,600
Speaker 1: they're down there with the Cowboys, Bengals, Dolphins, and Steelers,

677
00:32:12,800 --> 00:32:16,480
Speaker 1: and this is an undefeated team that's also spread.

678
00:32:16,520 --> 00:32:18,840
Speaker 4: You're not getting any pressure. That's bad. I mean the

679
00:32:18,880 --> 00:32:20,960
Speaker 4: Titans were moving the ball on them a bit. That

680
00:32:21,040 --> 00:32:24,680
Speaker 4: Broncos shredded them. You can't get trigded by the Broncos offense.

681
00:32:26,040 --> 00:32:29,600
Speaker 4: And the Dolphins were just they were in a daze.

682
00:32:29,600 --> 00:32:31,920
Speaker 4: But yeah, their defense isn't great. It's better because it's

683
00:32:31,920 --> 00:32:34,640
Speaker 4: not Gus Bradley, but it's still not an elite unit

684
00:32:34,760 --> 00:32:38,320
Speaker 4: for sure. So their offense has to keep up this pace.

685
00:32:39,640 --> 00:32:44,040
Speaker 1: So I flashed the bat signal early this morning because

686
00:32:44,120 --> 00:32:46,160
Speaker 1: I saw this line out there for the Bills and

687
00:32:46,200 --> 00:32:49,080
Speaker 1: the Saints. It's up to sixteen and a half, and

688
00:32:49,120 --> 00:32:51,880
Speaker 1: I thought, how often do you see a number that

689
00:32:52,080 --> 00:32:54,720
Speaker 1: big this early on in the season. So we're talking

690
00:32:54,800 --> 00:32:58,880
Speaker 1: about the September really early October portion of the season.

691
00:32:59,520 --> 00:33:02,400
Speaker 1: And I look back, I did my own research, couldn't

692
00:33:02,440 --> 00:33:05,440
Speaker 1: find anything but through the bat signal up there, and

693
00:33:05,480 --> 00:33:07,880
Speaker 1: Evan Abrams hit me back with this one. The biggest

694
00:33:08,560 --> 00:33:12,600
Speaker 1: Week one through four spread that we have seen is

695
00:33:12,680 --> 00:33:15,680
Speaker 1: this one. Bills favored by sixteen and a half since

696
00:33:15,760 --> 00:33:18,880
Speaker 1: twenty twenty one. It was also a Bills game at

697
00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:22,120
Speaker 1: home against the Houston Texans where the Bills were favored

698
00:33:22,520 --> 00:33:27,480
Speaker 1: by seventeen. They won that game forty to zero. This

699
00:33:27,600 --> 00:33:30,040
Speaker 1: is also the largest the Saints have been an underdog

700
00:33:30,080 --> 00:33:32,520
Speaker 1: since nineteen seventy five, which is shocking to me because

701
00:33:32,520 --> 00:33:36,360
Speaker 1: they've had some bad teams since nineteen seventy five. Anybody

702
00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:40,440
Speaker 1: willing to lay the lay the lumber on the Buffalo Bills.

703
00:33:40,880 --> 00:33:42,640
Speaker 3: Absolutely not no.

704
00:33:42,680 --> 00:33:44,600
Speaker 4: Not only sixteen and a half an NFL game, although

705
00:33:44,600 --> 00:33:48,040
Speaker 4: I think historically favorites of over two touchdowns. Heaven can

706
00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:50,160
Speaker 4: correct us, correct me if wrong. I think they're like

707
00:33:50,160 --> 00:33:53,400
Speaker 4: five hundred against the spread, but Josh Allen is six

708
00:33:53,560 --> 00:33:55,239
Speaker 4: nine and two against the spread when favored by more

709
00:33:55,320 --> 00:33:58,000
Speaker 4: than ten. We just saw them favored by eleven and

710
00:33:58,000 --> 00:34:01,520
Speaker 4: a half at home against the Dolphins, and Dolphins easily covered. Like,

711
00:34:01,800 --> 00:34:03,520
Speaker 4: if this gets the seventeen, I might have to think

712
00:34:03,520 --> 00:34:05,760
Speaker 4: about the Saints. The Saints weren't that bad last week,

713
00:34:05,800 --> 00:34:09,000
Speaker 4: like their special teams were disaster, but like success right yards,

714
00:34:09,000 --> 00:34:12,000
Speaker 4: they were pretty even with the Seahawks, and they looked

715
00:34:12,080 --> 00:34:14,879
Speaker 4: like functional. And this Bills team is not the team

716
00:34:14,920 --> 00:34:17,560
Speaker 4: that you want to lay seventeen with in this spot.

717
00:34:18,320 --> 00:34:20,080
Speaker 4: Like they're they're gonna they're gonna take the air out

718
00:34:20,120 --> 00:34:23,520
Speaker 4: of the ball, They're gonna run it a ton, they're

719
00:34:23,520 --> 00:34:24,240
Speaker 4: gonna kill clock.

720
00:34:24,320 --> 00:34:25,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, stay healthy.

721
00:34:25,280 --> 00:34:29,120
Speaker 4: You're not gonna run Allen, So yeah, no, thanks.

722
00:34:29,200 --> 00:34:30,200
Speaker 3: Stay healthy, kill clock.

723
00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:31,960
Speaker 2: Is there any team right now in the NFL that's

724
00:34:32,000 --> 00:34:34,040
Speaker 2: like an absolute world beater to you, guys? I know

725
00:34:34,040 --> 00:34:36,719
Speaker 2: that the conversation was the Packers last week, Like, I

726
00:34:36,760 --> 00:34:39,799
Speaker 2: don't think anybody is like a bona fide favorite right now,

727
00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:40,840
Speaker 2: everybody's flawed.

728
00:34:41,840 --> 00:34:44,000
Speaker 1: Well I would agree with that, Yeah, Bills.

729
00:34:45,600 --> 00:34:48,279
Speaker 4: I think pat Packers might be the best team in

730
00:34:48,280 --> 00:34:50,200
Speaker 4: the NFC when they're healthy, like they're Offen's a lot

731
00:34:50,239 --> 00:34:52,800
Speaker 4: got dominated last week because of their injuries, but uh

732
00:34:53,480 --> 00:34:56,200
Speaker 4: that they're not like head and shoulders above everyone else.

733
00:34:56,239 --> 00:34:57,759
Speaker 4: I think the Ravens are the best team they see

734
00:34:57,800 --> 00:35:02,239
Speaker 4: when they're fully healthy, but they're beatable mark games.

735
00:35:02,239 --> 00:35:03,040
Speaker 3: I don't know what it is.

736
00:35:03,680 --> 00:35:06,680
Speaker 4: It's a lot of parody in the NFL, but for

737
00:35:06,680 --> 00:35:09,000
Speaker 4: for what, it's where dogs off off a thirty point

738
00:35:09,080 --> 00:35:11,960
Speaker 4: plus loss, Like who wants to bet an underdog which

739
00:35:12,000 --> 00:35:13,880
Speaker 4: means they're playing a better team after a thirty plus

740
00:35:13,880 --> 00:35:16,759
Speaker 4: point loss. One hundred and fifteen seventy seven and eight

741
00:35:16,760 --> 00:35:19,239
Speaker 4: against the spread over the past twenty five years, that's

742
00:35:19,320 --> 00:35:23,400
Speaker 4: sixty percent. This week you got three of them. Yeah,

743
00:35:24,040 --> 00:35:29,359
Speaker 4: the Saints, the Falcons, and the Bengals. So historically it's

744
00:35:29,360 --> 00:35:31,080
Speaker 4: been a good bet. Teams off a thirty point plus

745
00:35:31,080 --> 00:35:32,439
Speaker 4: point loss bet them the next week.

746
00:35:32,440 --> 00:35:35,200
Speaker 1: Because I am softening, I'm softening a little bit on

747
00:35:35,239 --> 00:35:36,960
Speaker 1: the on the Falcons idea the other two.

748
00:35:37,680 --> 00:35:39,680
Speaker 3: I thought we were in bet jail with the Falcons.

749
00:35:39,760 --> 00:35:42,799
Speaker 1: Well, I just said, I'm softening. They're still behind. They're

750
00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:43,480
Speaker 1: still behind.

751
00:35:43,560 --> 00:35:45,800
Speaker 4: The I played Falcons rails.

752
00:35:45,920 --> 00:35:47,400
Speaker 3: Whatever you want to tell you about.

753
00:35:47,160 --> 00:35:48,759
Speaker 4: Bet jail, that's the time the bettle.

754
00:35:48,840 --> 00:35:50,719
Speaker 3: Besides, I'm in lad Maconkee bet jail.

755
00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:52,480
Speaker 2: But I'm going to tell you guys, he's going to

756
00:35:52,520 --> 00:35:55,879
Speaker 2: score this week. If you faded me last week, this

757
00:35:55,920 --> 00:35:59,480
Speaker 2: is your time. I'm gonna preface this. I'm going to

758
00:35:59,520 --> 00:36:03,120
Speaker 2: be so he he haha, silly with my picks this week.

759
00:36:03,120 --> 00:36:05,640
Speaker 2: When we finally roll around to Thursday, I'm just letting

760
00:36:05,640 --> 00:36:10,719
Speaker 2: you guys know I am going off the rails.

761
00:36:10,760 --> 00:36:12,120
Speaker 1: It's already that time of the year.

762
00:36:12,160 --> 00:36:15,719
Speaker 3: That's my tease. I'm going to be insane.

763
00:36:17,080 --> 00:36:21,640
Speaker 1: The Evan has shared the stat fifty so favorites of

764
00:36:22,640 --> 00:36:26,720
Speaker 1: over fourteen points fifty three, fifty two and three against

765
00:36:26,719 --> 00:36:29,560
Speaker 1: the spread and essential coin flip. So we are all

766
00:36:29,600 --> 00:36:37,279
Speaker 1: staying away from Okay, I don't hate that, leve. Let's

767
00:36:37,320 --> 00:36:40,799
Speaker 1: talk to the professor of pickles here, Kendra Middleton. What

768
00:36:41,000 --> 00:36:43,960
Speaker 1: is the game that has you all torn up your

769
00:36:44,000 --> 00:36:45,160
Speaker 1: pickle game of the week.

770
00:36:45,440 --> 00:36:47,560
Speaker 2: You already know that it's going to be the battle

771
00:36:47,600 --> 00:36:50,399
Speaker 2: of the p words. It's the Panthers and the Patriots.

772
00:36:50,520 --> 00:36:54,040
Speaker 2: I with the way that the number is looking, I

773
00:36:54,120 --> 00:36:58,360
Speaker 2: get that the Panthers are not a thirty point, shutout

774
00:36:58,440 --> 00:37:02,160
Speaker 2: win team against absolutely anybody, But I think they're finding

775
00:37:02,160 --> 00:37:06,040
Speaker 2: their rhythm right now. I all right, do what is

776
00:37:06,080 --> 00:37:07,480
Speaker 2: going on with Christian Gonzales?

777
00:37:08,880 --> 00:37:11,120
Speaker 1: You tell us that's your John?

778
00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:14,239
Speaker 3: I know, I do. I think that. Do they sit

779
00:37:14,320 --> 00:37:14,560
Speaker 3: in this?

780
00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:17,279
Speaker 2: Okay, here's my thing, and I'm between this like everybody else.

781
00:37:17,280 --> 00:37:20,279
Speaker 2: I told you guys that the local media is kind

782
00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:22,040
Speaker 2: of saying that they are thinking.

783
00:37:21,800 --> 00:37:23,080
Speaker 3: That it's going to be the Bills game.

784
00:37:23,480 --> 00:37:26,239
Speaker 2: If you're a head coach, which obviously none of us are,

785
00:37:26,480 --> 00:37:28,799
Speaker 2: unless you guys coach like high school or something that

786
00:37:28,840 --> 00:37:32,200
Speaker 2: I don't know about, would you rather start Christian Gonzalez

787
00:37:32,200 --> 00:37:34,520
Speaker 2: in a game against the Panthers to maybe let him

788
00:37:34,560 --> 00:37:37,000
Speaker 2: warm up take you know, twenty thirty percent of the

789
00:37:37,040 --> 00:37:40,000
Speaker 2: reps on defense, or would you rather just let him

790
00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:42,120
Speaker 2: sit one more week and throw him out there against Buffalo.

791
00:37:43,440 --> 00:37:48,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'd rather come back this week, especially the Patriots.

792
00:37:48,040 --> 00:37:50,359
Speaker 4: You can't you want to get him into the next

793
00:37:50,440 --> 00:37:52,480
Speaker 4: before how much stuffer opponent.

794
00:37:52,800 --> 00:37:55,680
Speaker 1: Absolutely, And it's not like anybody's all push over to

795
00:37:55,680 --> 00:37:57,880
Speaker 1: the New England Patriots. They can't look at their schedule

796
00:37:57,920 --> 00:37:58,239
Speaker 1: that way.

797
00:37:58,840 --> 00:38:01,560
Speaker 2: I just I say, I think that this number is

798
00:38:01,680 --> 00:38:04,560
Speaker 2: too big for a Patriot Crazy that sucks.

799
00:38:04,640 --> 00:38:06,920
Speaker 3: I think that I have to back the sad Cats.

800
00:38:07,000 --> 00:38:11,759
Speaker 1: You guys, I don't understand what's happening. So I do

801
00:38:11,840 --> 00:38:15,400
Speaker 1: my own numbers just to you know, get a framework

802
00:38:15,400 --> 00:38:18,319
Speaker 1: of what we're looking at for the week. And this

803
00:38:18,440 --> 00:38:21,000
Speaker 1: is the most off market game for me. I have.

804
00:38:21,040 --> 00:38:23,399
Speaker 1: The Patriots is a one point favorite, So I don't

805
00:38:23,440 --> 00:38:24,240
Speaker 1: know one.

806
00:38:24,080 --> 00:38:26,560
Speaker 4: Of my look at those numbers.

807
00:38:26,280 --> 00:38:29,719
Speaker 1: Well exactly like I don't. Everything else is sort of

808
00:38:29,760 --> 00:38:34,200
Speaker 1: where it should be. You know, we're in range that one.

809
00:38:34,520 --> 00:38:38,480
Speaker 1: I don't know where I have gone astray with this

810
00:38:38,840 --> 00:38:41,880
Speaker 1: or what I'm missing, but I'm it's too off for

811
00:38:41,920 --> 00:38:44,200
Speaker 1: me to bet it because obviously I need to get

812
00:38:44,239 --> 00:38:47,359
Speaker 1: back in the lab with that. But this Patriots team

813
00:38:47,400 --> 00:38:49,280
Speaker 1: should not be a five and a half point favorite,

814
00:38:49,400 --> 00:38:52,840
Speaker 1: just common sense wise. And then the numbers, it's something And.

815
00:38:52,840 --> 00:38:55,439
Speaker 2: If Gonzales comes back, that number is probably only gonna

816
00:38:55,440 --> 00:38:55,839
Speaker 2: get better.

817
00:38:56,040 --> 00:38:57,719
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, it's gonna go up. To six six and

818
00:38:57,719 --> 00:39:03,520
Speaker 4: a half this week. I bet the Patriots if you're in,

819
00:39:03,640 --> 00:39:08,160
Speaker 4: If you're curious, dogs underdogs that just won a game

820
00:39:08,160 --> 00:39:11,840
Speaker 4: by a shutout are thirty five percent against the spread. Historically,

821
00:39:12,400 --> 00:39:14,680
Speaker 4: the Panthers still stink. Penicks just had a game where

822
00:39:14,920 --> 00:39:18,520
Speaker 4: he was awful and he couldn't complete a pass. Like

823
00:39:18,520 --> 00:39:20,200
Speaker 4: they didn't do anything. They were just playing their basic

824
00:39:20,200 --> 00:39:22,320
Speaker 4: cover three Ay. Penis just could couldn't read the defense.

825
00:39:22,320 --> 00:39:24,759
Speaker 4: There was miscommunication issues. I mean, the Panthers got out

826
00:39:24,760 --> 00:39:27,640
Speaker 4: game by one hundred yards. Their defense still stinks. They

827
00:39:27,680 --> 00:39:30,160
Speaker 4: have offensive line injuries. The Patriots are going to dominate

828
00:39:30,160 --> 00:39:31,879
Speaker 4: them up front. They're not able to run the ball,

829
00:39:32,560 --> 00:39:34,520
Speaker 4: especially if they get Gonzales back. How are they moving

830
00:39:34,520 --> 00:39:37,040
Speaker 4: the ball? I don't know. The Patriots don't have a

831
00:39:37,040 --> 00:39:40,600
Speaker 4: problem moving the ball. They moved the ball half They

832
00:39:40,680 --> 00:39:42,839
Speaker 4: moved all every single game this year, up and down

833
00:39:42,840 --> 00:39:45,359
Speaker 4: the field, like last last week. They played that game

834
00:39:45,440 --> 00:39:47,400
Speaker 4: nine out of ten times. They beat the Steelers by

835
00:39:47,600 --> 00:39:50,960
Speaker 4: twenty if they don't fumble, they turned it over five times.

836
00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:54,960
Speaker 4: They fumbled the goal line twice. So and this this

837
00:39:55,000 --> 00:40:00,600
Speaker 4: Panther's defense is wretched. That one game doesn't change my

838
00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:02,880
Speaker 4: thoughts on that their offensive line was supposed to be

839
00:40:02,920 --> 00:40:05,480
Speaker 4: their strength, is now missing multiple starters. The loss of

840
00:40:05,560 --> 00:40:07,919
Speaker 4: Hunt is huge, and the Patriots front has been really good,

841
00:40:08,360 --> 00:40:10,799
Speaker 4: so they're not going to run it, and then Young

842
00:40:10,840 --> 00:40:14,279
Speaker 4: will be under pressure. It's probably gonna make mistakes. So yeah,

843
00:40:14,280 --> 00:40:15,920
Speaker 4: I like the Patriots. I like the Patriots went by

844
00:40:16,000 --> 00:40:19,120
Speaker 4: margin this week. Not my plant the flag game, but uh,

845
00:40:20,000 --> 00:40:20,440
Speaker 4: I am.

846
00:40:20,280 --> 00:40:23,480
Speaker 1: On if if the Panthers cover this with the ease,

847
00:40:23,520 --> 00:40:26,040
Speaker 1: I'm never doubting my power ratings again, but for right now,

848
00:40:26,040 --> 00:40:27,239
Speaker 1: I'm gonna doubt my power ratings.

849
00:40:27,360 --> 00:40:28,920
Speaker 3: Rabel doesn't lose games like this.

850
00:40:29,040 --> 00:40:31,160
Speaker 2: I'll say that like to bad teams, Like I get

851
00:40:31,160 --> 00:40:34,279
Speaker 2: that the Steelers were they're not a good team, but

852
00:40:34,280 --> 00:40:35,440
Speaker 2: they're not the Panthers.

853
00:40:36,040 --> 00:40:37,560
Speaker 3: That's the only lean.

854
00:40:37,480 --> 00:40:39,719
Speaker 2: That I have in this game Patriots wise, is that

855
00:40:40,000 --> 00:40:42,040
Speaker 2: Rabel beats bad teams.

856
00:40:42,800 --> 00:40:45,719
Speaker 4: Even though he was the Patriots worse than the Panthers.

857
00:40:45,719 --> 00:40:46,360
Speaker 4: That's insane.

858
00:40:46,800 --> 00:40:48,399
Speaker 3: I don't know. I don't have the Patriots worse.

859
00:40:51,040 --> 00:40:56,200
Speaker 4: I'm talking with Brandon has one point spread. That's it kind.

860
00:40:56,040 --> 00:40:57,600
Speaker 3: Of looks like as we're due.

861
00:40:57,800 --> 00:41:00,840
Speaker 2: The tarketingste digs at.

862
00:41:00,640 --> 00:41:03,440
Speaker 1: All, I have the Panthers is one point better than

863
00:41:03,480 --> 00:41:04,719
Speaker 1: the New England Patriots.

864
00:41:05,239 --> 00:41:09,239
Speaker 4: That's insane in market. The I mean even going in that.

865
00:41:09,280 --> 00:41:11,839
Speaker 1: That's without a home field or anything like any any

866
00:41:11,840 --> 00:41:14,440
Speaker 1: other factors, just power ratings wise.

867
00:41:14,880 --> 00:41:16,879
Speaker 4: It's the more in market. Do you think you even

868
00:41:16,880 --> 00:41:18,279
Speaker 4: going in the last week there, it's it's like a

869
00:41:18,320 --> 00:41:22,120
Speaker 4: four and a half point difference. Uh, Brabel is twenty

870
00:41:22,160 --> 00:41:24,240
Speaker 4: eight and eleven straight up against teams under five hundred

871
00:41:24,280 --> 00:41:26,240
Speaker 4: to teams.

872
00:41:26,560 --> 00:41:30,320
Speaker 3: That's one thing I will give him.

873
00:41:29,200 --> 00:41:31,040
Speaker 4: Hire playing Where are we planting our flags?

874
00:41:31,080 --> 00:41:34,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, we're planting the flag. Okay, I'm gonna get it started.

875
00:41:34,360 --> 00:41:36,319
Speaker 1: Forty nine ers minus three and a half already kind

876
00:41:36,320 --> 00:41:38,359
Speaker 1: of teased this one. I got a minus one oh five,

877
00:41:38,719 --> 00:41:41,719
Speaker 1: this might touch three. I'm gonna take the gamble here

878
00:41:42,200 --> 00:41:45,200
Speaker 1: that Purty plays will see this number tick up by

879
00:41:45,200 --> 00:41:47,640
Speaker 1: a couple of points. But it's a fade against the Jags.

880
00:41:47,719 --> 00:41:51,319
Speaker 1: They've got wins over the Panthers, who I'm clearly off on,

881
00:41:51,800 --> 00:41:54,720
Speaker 1: and the uh in the Houston Texans.

882
00:41:54,280 --> 00:41:55,960
Speaker 4: And how good the Panthers are.

883
00:41:56,040 --> 00:42:00,239
Speaker 1: No, no, no, I'm not that's a good win yet.

884
00:42:00,360 --> 00:42:00,480
Speaker 2: Us.

885
00:42:00,520 --> 00:42:03,040
Speaker 4: If I say Champs are better than the Patriots and you.

886
00:42:03,200 --> 00:42:08,640
Speaker 1: Like them, yeah, my numbers are not gospel.

887
00:42:10,120 --> 00:42:10,480
Speaker 3: Today.

888
00:42:11,000 --> 00:42:12,920
Speaker 1: I'm going back to the lab on the on the

889
00:42:13,000 --> 00:42:17,160
Speaker 1: Panthers because I think narrative, I think, yeah, well that's

890
00:42:17,200 --> 00:42:20,879
Speaker 1: definitely true. But I I think I think I've overrated them.

891
00:42:21,280 --> 00:42:24,880
Speaker 1: The I don't make the numbers off of subjectivity. This

892
00:42:25,040 --> 00:42:27,719
Speaker 1: is a formula, and clearly the formula has overrated a

893
00:42:27,800 --> 00:42:32,040
Speaker 1: thirty point win. Besides that, the Jags defense has been great,

894
00:42:32,200 --> 00:42:34,360
Speaker 1: but this is gonna be their biggest test of the season.

895
00:42:34,400 --> 00:42:37,279
Speaker 1: They ring second to last in receiving grade. Big shocker there,

896
00:42:37,440 --> 00:42:39,520
Speaker 1: and then dead last and special teams. We see how

897
00:42:39,520 --> 00:42:42,360
Speaker 1: important special teams are early on in the season. A

898
00:42:42,520 --> 00:42:45,160
Speaker 1: chance that party plays in this number ticking up. I'm

899
00:42:45,200 --> 00:42:47,080
Speaker 1: going to plant the flag on the forty nine ers now,

900
00:42:47,239 --> 00:42:49,879
Speaker 1: and I'm even willing to lay the hook at three

901
00:42:49,920 --> 00:42:50,279
Speaker 1: and a half.

902
00:42:50,560 --> 00:42:52,160
Speaker 3: I'll tell you, the forty nine ers have had the

903
00:42:52,239 --> 00:42:55,840
Speaker 3: Jags number for years and years. So I am flying

904
00:42:55,880 --> 00:42:56,880
Speaker 3: across the country for this.

905
00:42:57,000 --> 00:42:57,840
Speaker 5: But I don't hate it.

906
00:42:59,239 --> 00:43:00,600
Speaker 4: I don't think I like three and a half with

907
00:43:00,680 --> 00:43:04,560
Speaker 4: this for you talk about the Jags. Resume the forty

908
00:43:04,640 --> 00:43:06,120
Speaker 4: nine ers or three and oh they have wins over

909
00:43:06,480 --> 00:43:09,960
Speaker 4: Seattle and a coin flip game, New Orleans in a

910
00:43:10,040 --> 00:43:12,960
Speaker 4: coin flip game, and then Arizona in a game they

911
00:43:12,960 --> 00:43:13,839
Speaker 4: probably should have lost.

912
00:43:14,880 --> 00:43:16,440
Speaker 1: So like, that's looking pretty good.

913
00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:21,440
Speaker 4: I'm not They've won by four, five and one, so like,

914
00:43:21,640 --> 00:43:24,120
Speaker 4: this isn't a team that I And now there's no Bosa,

915
00:43:24,600 --> 00:43:26,440
Speaker 4: so I'll be curious today. Might maybe they get Party

916
00:43:26,440 --> 00:43:27,600
Speaker 4: and maybe they get Jennings back?

917
00:43:29,080 --> 00:43:30,320
Speaker 3: Can I say something crazy?

918
00:43:30,840 --> 00:43:31,080
Speaker 4: Yeah?

919
00:43:31,640 --> 00:43:34,360
Speaker 3: I think I like them more if Mac Jones is playing.

920
00:43:34,920 --> 00:43:36,160
Speaker 4: Well, if you get a three, you might get a

921
00:43:36,200 --> 00:43:36,680
Speaker 4: three and next.

922
00:43:36,840 --> 00:43:39,160
Speaker 2: No, I think that they're more likely to win this game.

923
00:43:39,200 --> 00:43:41,520
Speaker 2: If Mac is playing just because Party's hurt.

924
00:43:41,800 --> 00:43:42,800
Speaker 1: Maxim might not.

925
00:43:43,560 --> 00:43:45,760
Speaker 4: He might drive off the driving Max.

926
00:43:45,680 --> 00:43:48,280
Speaker 2: Been playing lights out, a revenge game from him against

927
00:43:48,320 --> 00:43:48,960
Speaker 2: his hometown.

928
00:43:49,160 --> 00:43:50,319
Speaker 3: Like, what are we even doing here?

929
00:43:52,480 --> 00:43:57,399
Speaker 1: I mean, obviously, I'm still I'm still comfortable with I'm

930
00:43:57,480 --> 00:43:59,879
Speaker 1: so comfortable with the forty nine ers. If Jones plays,

931
00:44:00,040 --> 00:44:02,440
Speaker 1: I'd rather have pretty out there. I think we're forgetting

932
00:44:02,800 --> 00:44:03,280
Speaker 1: how good.

933
00:44:03,200 --> 00:44:04,279
Speaker 3: Even with like the claw toe?

934
00:44:05,560 --> 00:44:05,799
Speaker 4: Yeah?

935
00:44:07,080 --> 00:44:09,760
Speaker 3: No, no, all right to McGee over.

936
00:44:09,680 --> 00:44:11,799
Speaker 1: Here, what about you, Kendrew? Where you plainting the flag?

937
00:44:12,360 --> 00:44:15,399
Speaker 3: You alluded to it teased a little bit. I'm going

938
00:44:15,440 --> 00:44:16,200
Speaker 3: with the Seahawks.

939
00:44:16,360 --> 00:44:18,040
Speaker 1: This line is wrong.

940
00:44:18,320 --> 00:44:20,800
Speaker 2: The Seahawks are it's Seahawks are nothing for me this

941
00:44:20,880 --> 00:44:22,359
Speaker 2: week probably going to be my biggest play.

942
00:44:22,400 --> 00:44:25,080
Speaker 3: The Cardinals are bad. People are sleeping on the Seahawks.

943
00:44:25,640 --> 00:44:27,880
Speaker 2: Yes, they lost to the forty nine Ers, but they

944
00:44:27,920 --> 00:44:29,759
Speaker 2: were still healthy, as healthy as they were going to

945
00:44:29,800 --> 00:44:31,919
Speaker 2: be at that point for the season. Beat the bag

946
00:44:32,000 --> 00:44:33,920
Speaker 2: out of the Steelers, beat the bag out of the Saints.

947
00:44:33,920 --> 00:44:35,840
Speaker 2: Steelers and Saints both bad. But I think that the

948
00:44:35,920 --> 00:44:38,480
Speaker 2: Saints and the Steelers are both equivalent to the Cardinals.

949
00:44:38,560 --> 00:44:42,520
Speaker 2: Cardinals got injury issues. Seahawks are better than people are

950
00:44:42,520 --> 00:44:44,040
Speaker 2: giving them credit for. I think that this is a

951
00:44:44,080 --> 00:44:45,880
Speaker 2: real team to reckon without West. I'm going with the

952
00:44:45,920 --> 00:44:47,560
Speaker 2: Seahawks this week, no questions asked.

953
00:44:48,320 --> 00:44:51,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, great teaser leg too, Let them kick them up

954
00:44:51,160 --> 00:44:52,960
Speaker 1: to us lot.

955
00:44:53,200 --> 00:44:55,200
Speaker 4: Just people listening on Thursdays. There's a lot of injuries

956
00:44:55,239 --> 00:45:02,799
Speaker 4: that look for both sides, Cardinals secondary, Seahawks secondary. There's

957
00:45:03,040 --> 00:45:06,759
Speaker 4: a couple others too, so keep your eye out there.

958
00:45:06,800 --> 00:45:09,120
Speaker 4: Because the Seahawks a bunch of their defenders didn't play

959
00:45:10,320 --> 00:45:14,080
Speaker 4: on Sunday, and then the Cardinals as well, so we'll

960
00:45:14,080 --> 00:45:16,600
Speaker 4: see who goes. It seems like an over reaction. I mean,

961
00:45:16,640 --> 00:45:18,319
Speaker 4: coming into the year that we've all said, like we're

962
00:45:18,320 --> 00:45:20,080
Speaker 4: out on the Seahawks. People were saying the Cardinals are

963
00:45:20,120 --> 00:45:22,600
Speaker 4: a sleeper, and like, if you look at their resumes,

964
00:45:22,640 --> 00:45:25,920
Speaker 4: like they've they've pretty much played to what we expected.

965
00:45:26,080 --> 00:45:29,160
Speaker 4: But should should be a good one on Thursday night.

966
00:45:29,200 --> 00:45:31,200
Speaker 4: Injuries are gonna be big to watching the secondaries there,

967
00:45:31,760 --> 00:45:35,040
Speaker 4: I'll I'll play my flag on the only game I've

968
00:45:35,040 --> 00:45:38,719
Speaker 4: played so far, I've played the Falcons, but that there's

969
00:45:38,719 --> 00:45:41,400
Speaker 4: probably no threes left? Are there any threes left? I

970
00:45:41,520 --> 00:45:41,840
Speaker 4: doubt it?

971
00:45:42,640 --> 00:45:43,279
Speaker 3: Just two and a half.

972
00:45:43,840 --> 00:45:45,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, I still would play the Falcons at two and

973
00:45:45,880 --> 00:45:50,160
Speaker 4: a half, but obviously not as big. But I mean

974
00:45:50,200 --> 00:45:52,080
Speaker 4: the calendar. Who knows if Daniel's gonna play, who knows

975
00:45:52,120 --> 00:45:54,320
Speaker 4: how healthy is I don't like this Commander team this

976
00:45:54,400 --> 00:45:57,120
Speaker 4: year anyway, but they have their entire secondary got hurt

977
00:45:57,160 --> 00:45:59,680
Speaker 4: last week. McLaurin got hurt. They lost. I think they

978
00:45:59,719 --> 00:46:02,359
Speaker 4: have like four or five starters on IR they started.

979
00:46:02,360 --> 00:46:04,800
Speaker 4: They signed Darnell Savage, just got cut by the Jaguars

980
00:46:04,840 --> 00:46:07,560
Speaker 4: and he's probably gonna start for them. Lattimore looks washed.

981
00:46:08,400 --> 00:46:10,360
Speaker 3: I think Savage sucks.

982
00:46:10,800 --> 00:46:13,960
Speaker 4: This is the trifecta. It was a team off of

983
00:46:14,200 --> 00:46:19,000
Speaker 4: the Falcons had a misleading box score loss. They are

984
00:46:19,080 --> 00:46:22,319
Speaker 4: off of a shutout teams and then they were off

985
00:46:22,360 --> 00:46:24,480
Speaker 4: of a thirty point loss. So underdogs off of a

986
00:46:24,680 --> 00:46:29,080
Speaker 4: after getting shut out sixty two percent historically dogs off

987
00:46:29,120 --> 00:46:33,640
Speaker 4: a thirty plus point loss sixty percent historically huge sample size.

988
00:46:34,600 --> 00:46:38,760
Speaker 4: So but I'll plan my flag on the Bengals plus

989
00:46:38,880 --> 00:46:41,040
Speaker 4: seven and a half. Still some seven and a half's

990
00:46:41,040 --> 00:46:44,680
Speaker 4: out there. I think minus one fifteen the look we

991
00:46:44,840 --> 00:46:47,440
Speaker 4: said last week, and the Bengals, by the way, fit

992
00:46:47,480 --> 00:46:49,760
Speaker 4: this off of a dog off a thirty plus point loss.

993
00:46:50,880 --> 00:46:54,560
Speaker 4: We said last week that I made the difference between

994
00:46:56,000 --> 00:46:57,399
Speaker 4: uh and this is one of the reasons I kind

995
00:46:57,400 --> 00:46:58,800
Speaker 4: of liked the Vikings. I did end up playing it,

996
00:46:58,840 --> 00:47:01,760
Speaker 4: but I made the difference between and Browning five points.

997
00:47:01,840 --> 00:47:03,680
Speaker 4: Markets seemed to have made it like three to three

998
00:47:03,719 --> 00:47:05,560
Speaker 4: and a half four. I thought that was too short.

999
00:47:06,600 --> 00:47:08,720
Speaker 4: It looks like I was probably right. It's probably closer

1000
00:47:08,800 --> 00:47:11,600
Speaker 4: to five five and a half points. Okay, Well, coming

1001
00:47:11,640 --> 00:47:14,120
Speaker 4: into the year, you can go back to Week sixteen

1002
00:47:14,280 --> 00:47:17,080
Speaker 4: last year when these two teams played. The Bengals defense

1003
00:47:17,280 --> 00:47:22,120
Speaker 4: still awful. Burrow was playing the Bengals need both teams

1004
00:47:22,200 --> 00:47:26,800
Speaker 4: needed the game we're trying. The Bengals are three and

1005
00:47:26,800 --> 00:47:30,480
Speaker 4: a half point favorites at home, so the power ratings lives.

1006
00:47:30,520 --> 00:47:31,759
Speaker 4: Coming into the year, I had the Bengals as the

1007
00:47:31,800 --> 00:47:34,880
Speaker 4: better team when fully healthy. We've seen how bad bon

1008
00:47:35,000 --> 00:47:39,680
Speaker 4: Nicks has been, so I made this game before. If

1009
00:47:39,680 --> 00:47:42,200
Speaker 4: everyone was at full strength in Denver respect the home

1010
00:47:42,280 --> 00:47:45,239
Speaker 4: field be like Denver'd be like close to a pick

1011
00:47:45,320 --> 00:47:49,279
Speaker 4: Denver minus won at most. So let's adjust for the

1012
00:47:49,680 --> 00:47:54,000
Speaker 4: drop between Burrow and Browning. I can't get to over seven,

1013
00:47:54,200 --> 00:47:56,879
Speaker 4: can't get to seven, so you're gonna give me over seven.

1014
00:47:57,960 --> 00:48:02,200
Speaker 4: I'm gonna take it there. So I get that it's

1015
00:48:02,239 --> 00:48:05,160
Speaker 4: scary playing Browning after another defense and get pressure. Maybe

1016
00:48:05,239 --> 00:48:07,080
Speaker 4: makes a ton of mistakes again, but Knicks could too,

1017
00:48:07,239 --> 00:48:12,080
Speaker 4: So I'll plan my flag on I don't think you're

1018
00:48:12,080 --> 00:48:14,759
Speaker 4: going to see us seven and a half for much

1019
00:48:14,800 --> 00:48:17,600
Speaker 4: of the week leading up into game time, so I'll

1020
00:48:17,600 --> 00:48:19,439
Speaker 4: plan my flag on the Bengals plus seven and a half.

1021
00:48:20,520 --> 00:48:23,439
Speaker 1: All right, Kendrin's on Seattle plus one and a half,

1022
00:48:23,560 --> 00:48:25,800
Speaker 1: Stucky's got the Bengals plus seven and a half, and

1023
00:48:25,880 --> 00:48:28,279
Speaker 1: I am on the forty nine Ers minus three and

1024
00:48:28,320 --> 00:48:31,160
Speaker 1: a half against the Jaguars. Time now for the main

1025
00:48:31,360 --> 00:48:34,120
Speaker 1: event of our Tuesday episode. No betting week can start

1026
00:48:34,160 --> 00:48:38,440
Speaker 1: without it. The primer courtesy of Evan Abrams. Evan, welcome

1027
00:48:38,520 --> 00:48:40,439
Speaker 1: to the show. What trends are we looking at before

1028
00:48:40,480 --> 00:48:42,239
Speaker 1: we fire away on the Apps this week?

1029
00:48:43,280 --> 00:48:46,520
Speaker 6: Well, so, guys, honestly, I feel like and Stucky talks

1030
00:48:46,520 --> 00:48:48,320
Speaker 6: about this all the time, and I'm start sorry to

1031
00:48:48,400 --> 00:48:50,839
Speaker 6: keep bringing this up, but the Titans, the numbers are

1032
00:48:50,920 --> 00:48:53,200
Speaker 6: just stupid, and I feel like it's worth noting how

1033
00:48:53,400 --> 00:48:56,920
Speaker 6: bad the ATS stuff has gotten with them. So Stucky

1034
00:48:57,080 --> 00:49:01,200
Speaker 6: mentioned the three and seventeen ats plus twenty six, six,

1035
00:49:01,360 --> 00:49:04,759
Speaker 6: twenty three and one ats last thirty seven, twenty five

1036
00:49:04,800 --> 00:49:08,480
Speaker 6: and one last thirty three and losing ten straight ats

1037
00:49:08,520 --> 00:49:10,360
Speaker 6: at home, which not this week but we'll deal with

1038
00:49:10,920 --> 00:49:11,640
Speaker 6: in a week or two.

1039
00:49:12,200 --> 00:49:15,680
Speaker 5: Just absolutely insane. I feel like the other story lost.

1040
00:49:15,960 --> 00:49:18,520
Speaker 4: Seventeen of our twenty game stretch the worst ever, Evan.

1041
00:49:19,640 --> 00:49:20,440
Speaker 5: I was gonna look at that.

1042
00:49:20,960 --> 00:49:23,640
Speaker 6: I've had trouble with spends, but when I had some time,

1043
00:49:23,760 --> 00:49:25,520
Speaker 6: it was going to be the next thing on my mind.

1044
00:49:26,120 --> 00:49:27,920
Speaker 5: So I will get back to on that one. But

1045
00:49:27,960 --> 00:49:30,320
Speaker 5: I feel like someone has done that before.

1046
00:49:30,960 --> 00:49:33,839
Speaker 4: A Browns team from like the mid two.

1047
00:49:33,800 --> 00:49:37,480
Speaker 5: Thousands something like that. But I feel like it's been done.

1048
00:49:37,520 --> 00:49:39,920
Speaker 6: But the stretch in itself is just stupid, especially when

1049
00:49:39,960 --> 00:49:41,200
Speaker 6: you consider the quarterback play.

1050
00:49:42,120 --> 00:49:44,359
Speaker 5: The Mahome stuff this week is just a lot of fun.

1051
00:49:44,520 --> 00:49:47,279
Speaker 6: So you guys are talking about the three point line,

1052
00:49:47,320 --> 00:49:49,520
Speaker 6: it looks like Baltimore is getting minus two and a

1053
00:49:49,560 --> 00:49:52,560
Speaker 6: half minus one twenty, so that plus three might be coming,

1054
00:49:52,600 --> 00:49:55,600
Speaker 6: and that would be the largest home dog he has

1055
00:49:55,760 --> 00:50:00,680
Speaker 6: been since Texas Tech. It was Shane Buckle, which was

1056
00:50:00,760 --> 00:50:04,399
Speaker 6: Texas's quarterback back in November of twenty sixteen, the last

1057
00:50:04,440 --> 00:50:06,959
Speaker 6: time he was plus Yeah, thank you, Stuck. I feel

1058
00:50:07,000 --> 00:50:08,520
Speaker 6: like you were going to do that for me and

1059
00:50:08,600 --> 00:50:11,440
Speaker 6: I appreciate it. Here's the best one. And I actually

1060
00:50:11,520 --> 00:50:14,080
Speaker 6: just finished looking this up. So he's actually never won

1061
00:50:14,120 --> 00:50:16,400
Speaker 6: as a home dog oh and nine and two in

1062
00:50:17,000 --> 00:50:19,920
Speaker 6: the pros oh in seven of Texas Tech, so this

1063
00:50:20,000 --> 00:50:21,719
Speaker 6: would be the first time he's ever won as a

1064
00:50:21,800 --> 00:50:24,640
Speaker 6: home underdog. And the funny thing ish and two straight

1065
00:50:24,719 --> 00:50:27,640
Speaker 6: up as a home dog, fifty five and twelve as

1066
00:50:27,680 --> 00:50:30,200
Speaker 6: a favorite, So maybe something to look at there. The

1067
00:50:30,239 --> 00:50:32,520
Speaker 6: only thing that I think is fun when Mahomes is

1068
00:50:32,560 --> 00:50:34,719
Speaker 6: either an underdog or a favorite of blessed that a

1069
00:50:34,760 --> 00:50:37,160
Speaker 6: field goal at home. He is just four and five

1070
00:50:37,239 --> 00:50:42,360
Speaker 6: straight up. So in these tight games, Lamar Josh, there

1071
00:50:42,440 --> 00:50:45,960
Speaker 6: might even be a Tom in there difficult opponents. So

1072
00:50:46,160 --> 00:50:48,719
Speaker 6: I felt that one was kind of interesting. I'll give

1073
00:50:48,719 --> 00:50:49,400
Speaker 6: you one more.

1074
00:50:50,160 --> 00:50:50,800
Speaker 5: Dak Prescott.

1075
00:50:50,920 --> 00:50:54,319
Speaker 6: So that line is up to seven now at at CD, lamb.

1076
00:50:54,360 --> 00:50:56,480
Speaker 6: This would be tied for his biggest home underdog in

1077
00:50:56,560 --> 00:50:59,959
Speaker 6: his career. Twenty eighteen against the Saints and Drew Brees

1078
00:51:00,560 --> 00:51:02,319
Speaker 6: was the last time he was plus seven or higher

1079
00:51:02,440 --> 00:51:03,000
Speaker 6: at home.

1080
00:51:03,200 --> 00:51:06,279
Speaker 5: So interesting line there is. It's gone up a few

1081
00:51:06,400 --> 00:51:07,320
Speaker 5: points with that CD.

1082
00:51:09,239 --> 00:51:12,480
Speaker 1: Is there anything This might be obscure, but the Bucks

1083
00:51:12,520 --> 00:51:17,360
Speaker 1: have won three straight games on game ending drives to

1084
00:51:17,480 --> 00:51:20,919
Speaker 1: seal the victory luck alone, I mean, is there any

1085
00:51:21,280 --> 00:51:23,320
Speaker 1: do we have anything awful?

1086
00:51:23,360 --> 00:51:23,680
Speaker 4: Teams?

1087
00:51:24,360 --> 00:51:24,560
Speaker 5: Yeah?

1088
00:51:24,680 --> 00:51:28,160
Speaker 1: On on doing what you do in the fourth game.

1089
00:51:28,239 --> 00:51:29,880
Speaker 1: After doing that three in a row, it just feels

1090
00:51:29,920 --> 00:51:32,160
Speaker 1: so unique in what the Bucks have done to get

1091
00:51:32,200 --> 00:51:32,680
Speaker 1: to three and oh.

1092
00:51:33,560 --> 00:51:34,359
Speaker 5: I'll give you this one.

1093
00:51:34,440 --> 00:51:36,360
Speaker 6: So Bucks are the second team in the Wild carder

1094
00:51:36,440 --> 00:51:39,360
Speaker 6: to start three and oh with three fourth quarter comebacks.

1095
00:51:39,560 --> 00:51:42,560
Speaker 6: The most ironic thing about this run the Bucks are

1096
00:51:42,719 --> 00:51:46,080
Speaker 6: also zero and three against the fourth quarter spread, So

1097
00:51:46,600 --> 00:51:49,640
Speaker 6: they've not only made the comeback and done the job,

1098
00:51:50,000 --> 00:51:53,160
Speaker 6: but they actually haven't covered in their fourth quarter spreads

1099
00:51:53,200 --> 00:51:55,680
Speaker 6: because of the chaos on the other side. So the

1100
00:51:55,840 --> 00:51:59,000
Speaker 6: only other team in the wildcard area since nineteen ninety

1101
00:51:59,040 --> 00:52:01,280
Speaker 6: to do the three and oh with fourth quarter comebacks

1102
00:52:01,800 --> 00:52:05,640
Speaker 6: Falcons in twenty fifteen. They ended eight and eight six

1103
00:52:05,719 --> 00:52:08,920
Speaker 6: and ten against the spread and sucked. So this actually

1104
00:52:09,080 --> 00:52:11,719
Speaker 6: might just be a fluke. But again, one team, guys,

1105
00:52:11,800 --> 00:52:14,080
Speaker 6: I mean, nothing like that can be you know, taken

1106
00:52:14,160 --> 00:52:17,680
Speaker 6: two seriously, But I will say this. Dampa was thirteen

1107
00:52:17,719 --> 00:52:20,760
Speaker 6: and four fourth quarter spread last season, so this feels

1108
00:52:20,800 --> 00:52:22,280
Speaker 6: like just something in Baker's blood.

1109
00:52:23,440 --> 00:52:26,680
Speaker 4: Yeah, Baker has definitely clutched in the games, and to

1110
00:52:26,760 --> 00:52:28,600
Speaker 4: be fair, they have a ton of offensive line injuries

1111
00:52:29,440 --> 00:52:33,160
Speaker 4: and they're surriving, but two of the wins came against

1112
00:52:33,200 --> 00:52:38,680
Speaker 4: the Jets and the Texans in the last second, which

1113
00:52:39,480 --> 00:52:42,200
Speaker 4: doesn't look great. But their offensive line is in shambles

1114
00:52:42,280 --> 00:52:44,319
Speaker 4: and they're three now, so you can't complain too much.

1115
00:52:44,360 --> 00:52:46,360
Speaker 4: And that the Eagles have been extremely lucky too, so

1116
00:52:46,440 --> 00:52:48,160
Speaker 4: these are this is a luckbox Bowl.

1117
00:52:49,920 --> 00:52:51,360
Speaker 1: Heavn't you have anything on the rapture?

1118
00:52:52,960 --> 00:52:53,400
Speaker 2: Yeah? I do.

1119
00:52:54,080 --> 00:52:56,680
Speaker 6: I mean Giants and Jets at home, I mean in

1120
00:52:56,840 --> 00:52:59,040
Speaker 6: primetime again this week. It feels like the raptor has

1121
00:52:59,080 --> 00:53:01,439
Speaker 6: something to do with that. I put this out five

1122
00:53:01,520 --> 00:53:04,480
Speaker 6: and thirty four Giants and Jets and night games. We

1123
00:53:04,600 --> 00:53:07,040
Speaker 6: get the Jets again this week. But maybe the other

1124
00:53:07,239 --> 00:53:08,880
Speaker 6: side of the rapture is the fact that they have

1125
00:53:08,960 --> 00:53:11,560
Speaker 6: to play the Dolphins. Like, maybe that's what the rapture

1126
00:53:11,719 --> 00:53:13,800
Speaker 6: is is you kind of get this matchup and the

1127
00:53:13,880 --> 00:53:16,120
Speaker 6: world just ends at halftime in that game, and.

1128
00:53:16,239 --> 00:53:17,960
Speaker 3: You're talking to us as God right now.

1129
00:53:18,200 --> 00:53:21,279
Speaker 2: If I get raptured, I'm letting you guys rock paper

1130
00:53:21,360 --> 00:53:23,360
Speaker 2: scissors for OJ and Monica.

1131
00:53:26,239 --> 00:53:28,560
Speaker 1: Can't we just split custody, like I get one stuck

1132
00:53:28,600 --> 00:53:29,359
Speaker 1: against another one?

1133
00:53:29,680 --> 00:53:32,320
Speaker 3: Well, yeah, but who wants to you get one pregnant

1134
00:53:32,320 --> 00:53:32,719
Speaker 3: and one not.

1135
00:53:34,160 --> 00:53:36,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't want all that responsibility. I'll take the

1136
00:53:36,800 --> 00:53:42,400
Speaker 1: non impregnated shrimp on my way to heaven, I suppose you.

1137
00:53:44,239 --> 00:53:47,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, I already have a pregnant one in my house.

1138
00:53:47,200 --> 00:53:50,000
Speaker 4: I got a dog. It's post surgery, so bring it on.

1139
00:53:51,440 --> 00:53:54,080
Speaker 6: Yeah, those shrimp possible bulls have to be terrible and

1140
00:53:54,200 --> 00:53:56,640
Speaker 6: sell the out pass, all right.

1141
00:53:56,960 --> 00:53:59,279
Speaker 1: It sounds like my It sounds like the Dolphins first

1142
00:53:59,320 --> 00:54:02,439
Speaker 1: half spread according to the Rapture Stats. Thanks so much, Evan,

1143
00:54:02,719 --> 00:54:04,839
Speaker 1: that's going to do it for today's episode special thanks

1144
00:54:04,840 --> 00:54:07,560
Speaker 1: to our producers David Paine and Gifford Gold. The Favorites

1145
00:54:07,600 --> 00:54:10,560
Speaker 1: will return with our next episode on Thursday, right here

1146
00:54:10,600 --> 00:54:12,919
Speaker 1: on the Action Network YouTube page, where we will talk

1147
00:54:13,320 --> 00:54:16,480
Speaker 1: Week four bets and make our official plays for the week.

1148
00:54:16,520 --> 00:54:18,680
Speaker 1: We'll see you next time here on the Favorites presented

1149
00:54:18,760 --> 00:54:22,160
Speaker 1: by DraftKings. It's cash these tickets Happy Rapture.

1150
00:54:29,360 --> 00:54:33,840
Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1151
00:54:33,880 --> 00:54:36,680
Speaker 3: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1152
00:54:36,680 --> 00:54:39,760
Speaker 3: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler