1
00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:05,280
Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast All Right,

2
00:00:05,320 --> 00:00:05,640
Speaker 1: here we.

3
00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:14,560
Speaker 2: Go fifteen cuny twenty five thirty thirty five forty twenty

4
00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:20,439
Speaker 2: five fifty and the Kickers block Book College Football World Stundar.

5
00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:29,080
Speaker 2: Oh my goodness, he stumbled and fumble the lateral turn

6
00:00:29,080 --> 00:00:32,320
Speaker 2: the counter on the inside. Can't you believe?

7
00:00:33,800 --> 00:00:35,120
Speaker 3: Not? The table up the.

8
00:00:35,120 --> 00:00:42,320
Speaker 2: Field to night. It's not the sage of the dog anything.

9
00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:45,000
Speaker 2: It's the sage of the fight in the roll.

10
00:00:48,960 --> 00:00:51,480
Speaker 3: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

11
00:00:51,520 --> 00:00:56,520
Speaker 3: on Campus Podcast. This is the Week thirteen college football

12
00:00:56,600 --> 00:01:01,240
Speaker 3: betting preview presented by Bett MGM. I'm stucky in joining

13
00:01:01,240 --> 00:01:04,440
Speaker 3: me as always as Colin Wilson, coming to you early.

14
00:01:04,520 --> 00:01:07,280
Speaker 3: It's Thanksgiving week, so we're knocking this out on a

15
00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:12,280
Speaker 3: Tuesday night, the final regular season week of the year.

16
00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:13,400
Speaker 3: How are we here already?

17
00:01:14,880 --> 00:01:20,920
Speaker 1: Happy Thanksgiving gamblers. We're thankful for you.

18
00:01:21,080 --> 00:01:24,480
Speaker 2: We are here to make the drive to your family

19
00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:27,320
Speaker 2: more tolerable. We are here in case you want to

20
00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:30,680
Speaker 2: escape your family. Go have a cigarette, avoid the really

21
00:01:30,760 --> 00:01:34,360
Speaker 2: bad food that your aunt in law makes. Listen to

22
00:01:34,440 --> 00:01:38,120
Speaker 2: our podcasts. Hopefully we can provide something better than the

23
00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:41,600
Speaker 2: pickle lolf for the spruce potatoes, or I don't know,

24
00:01:41,640 --> 00:01:43,839
Speaker 2: maybe there's no alcohol and you're stuck with a bills

25
00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:46,039
Speaker 2: bet that's losing. I don't know. We're here for you.

26
00:01:46,400 --> 00:01:48,480
Speaker 3: I will I will have good food. I know that

27
00:01:48,640 --> 00:01:51,920
Speaker 3: my wife will be cooking for her family almost everything.

28
00:01:51,920 --> 00:01:54,720
Speaker 3: She's a phenomenal cook. And I'll get a lot of

29
00:01:54,760 --> 00:01:56,840
Speaker 3: it stays here and a lot of the leftovers. But

30
00:01:56,920 --> 00:01:59,960
Speaker 3: I go over and see them for about five minutes,

31
00:02:00,080 --> 00:02:01,920
Speaker 3: and then I will make my way back to the

32
00:02:01,960 --> 00:02:05,280
Speaker 3: couch and I have to work. I do an NFL stuff,

33
00:02:05,320 --> 00:02:08,240
Speaker 3: so I'll be on the couch and eventually get some

34
00:02:08,639 --> 00:02:12,359
Speaker 3: get some eggnog, and uh, just go on the couch

35
00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:14,639
Speaker 3: and it's gonna be a great day, be some NFL

36
00:02:14,760 --> 00:02:17,280
Speaker 3: some egg bowl, which we'll talk about here in just

37
00:02:17,320 --> 00:02:19,600
Speaker 3: a second. We'll get to the Marquee games, a lot

38
00:02:19,600 --> 00:02:22,560
Speaker 3: of meaningful games this weekend. We'll do a quick rundown

39
00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:25,000
Speaker 3: where we'll go through every conference and just highlight a

40
00:02:25,000 --> 00:02:26,640
Speaker 3: game or two and then just give you a quick

41
00:02:26,720 --> 00:02:30,120
Speaker 3: brief one or two sentences about what's going on in

42
00:02:30,120 --> 00:02:32,960
Speaker 3: that each conference that you should be aware of the

43
00:02:33,000 --> 00:02:37,919
Speaker 3: final trash of the season, I think, and then obviously,

44
00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:42,720
Speaker 3: we will close things out with our favorite pets, favorite underdogs,

45
00:02:42,760 --> 00:02:45,400
Speaker 3: and favorite Mondaylne parlay. So let's get right into it.

46
00:02:45,919 --> 00:02:51,240
Speaker 3: Let's kick things off with Thursday night lights. So we'll

47
00:02:51,240 --> 00:02:53,760
Speaker 3: start with the Egg Bowl on Thursday night. It is

48
00:02:54,080 --> 00:02:58,519
Speaker 3: the only college football game prior to Friday this week

49
00:02:58,760 --> 00:03:06,400
Speaker 3: a Thanksgiving tradition, and unlike any other Ammas, yes, I

50
00:03:08,080 --> 00:03:12,560
Speaker 3: yah Shenanigan's peeing, there might be some p gestures in

51
00:03:12,600 --> 00:03:16,120
Speaker 3: the end zone. With the legs up and suspensions that follow,

52
00:03:16,160 --> 00:03:17,880
Speaker 3: you never know what you're gonna get in the Egg Bowl.

53
00:03:18,600 --> 00:03:23,000
Speaker 3: Mississippi a two and a half point home favorite over

54
00:03:23,120 --> 00:03:27,560
Speaker 3: under fifty eight and a half fifty nine. I'm actually

55
00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:29,920
Speaker 3: leading the leading Towardssissippi State, but I always do so

56
00:03:29,960 --> 00:03:33,040
Speaker 3: that doesn't mean much. And leach on tys Giving, this

57
00:03:33,080 --> 00:03:35,840
Speaker 3: won't be a big bet for me regardless. But I

58
00:03:35,880 --> 00:03:37,960
Speaker 3: know you like Ole Miss and you like the under,

59
00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:42,160
Speaker 3: So make your case for those folks who will be

60
00:03:42,520 --> 00:03:46,160
Speaker 3: on their couch tuning in trying to avoid sleep, and

61
00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:48,680
Speaker 3: hopefully this game can keep them entertained enough not.

62
00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:51,480
Speaker 2: To I love the under, and you know I like

63
00:03:51,560 --> 00:03:53,480
Speaker 2: Ole Miss in this game. I don't like the fact

64
00:03:53,480 --> 00:03:55,360
Speaker 2: that the points bread has gone against where I bet it.

65
00:03:55,440 --> 00:03:57,320
Speaker 2: But I think a lot of that has to do

66
00:03:57,360 --> 00:04:00,480
Speaker 2: with Lane Kiffin. We have some TV guide down there

67
00:04:00,520 --> 00:04:03,480
Speaker 2: reporting that he's leaving, and it just isn't verified. It's

68
00:04:03,520 --> 00:04:07,520
Speaker 2: not confirmed. I mean, we all are getting little tidbits

69
00:04:07,560 --> 00:04:11,360
Speaker 2: of information that Lane Kiffin is gone, and Lane, of course,

70
00:04:11,960 --> 00:04:14,360
Speaker 2: you know, takes offense to it, doing some late night

71
00:04:14,480 --> 00:04:17,200
Speaker 2: eating Dan Mullens jumping in his mentions and then he

72
00:04:17,320 --> 00:04:19,599
Speaker 2: calls out this TV guy and like, I think it's

73
00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:22,320
Speaker 2: great by Lane that tells his players like, I'm here

74
00:04:22,320 --> 00:04:24,600
Speaker 2: for you, I'm here through the end of the season

75
00:04:24,680 --> 00:04:26,640
Speaker 2: and don't listen to all these rumors. So I think

76
00:04:26,640 --> 00:04:28,400
Speaker 2: the locker room is going to fight for Lane, right,

77
00:04:28,400 --> 00:04:30,920
Speaker 2: because Lane's going to come out and not dismiss these rumors,

78
00:04:31,320 --> 00:04:33,040
Speaker 2: then the locker room is not going to play for him.

79
00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:35,400
Speaker 2: So I think you're going to get a fully motivated

80
00:04:35,440 --> 00:04:38,040
Speaker 2: Old miss team thinking their head coach is still going

81
00:04:38,080 --> 00:04:40,560
Speaker 2: to be there. And this is the egg Bowl, right,

82
00:04:40,640 --> 00:04:42,360
Speaker 2: I mean, you show up to fight. You don't show

83
00:04:42,400 --> 00:04:43,680
Speaker 2: up to play here. You show up to fight in

84
00:04:43,720 --> 00:04:46,400
Speaker 2: the Egg Bowl. The Rebels have two defensive backs that

85
00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:48,320
Speaker 2: are great in the top two hundred and coverage defenders.

86
00:04:48,360 --> 00:04:51,080
Speaker 2: You've got to have that against Mississippi State. And you

87
00:04:51,080 --> 00:04:53,760
Speaker 2: know DeAndre Prince has been a quality cornerback this season.

88
00:04:53,800 --> 00:04:57,080
Speaker 2: He's for seven pass breakups in a zone heavy scheme.

89
00:04:57,480 --> 00:04:58,960
Speaker 2: So they're going to start to try to stop that

90
00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:02,080
Speaker 2: air raid, that dink and offense that Missisippi State's going

91
00:05:02,080 --> 00:05:04,680
Speaker 2: to try to play. But Mississippi State, you know, they're

92
00:05:04,720 --> 00:05:06,400
Speaker 2: just going to give up too many explosives to the

93
00:05:06,400 --> 00:05:08,320
Speaker 2: Old Miss running backs. That has been a problem for

94
00:05:08,360 --> 00:05:10,800
Speaker 2: them the entire season. I think the scoring is going

95
00:05:10,839 --> 00:05:12,160
Speaker 2: to be light. I think it's going to be slow.

96
00:05:12,200 --> 00:05:14,080
Speaker 2: I think this is a grudge match of a battle

97
00:05:14,200 --> 00:05:16,880
Speaker 2: and a rivalry game. But there's just too much in

98
00:05:16,920 --> 00:05:19,279
Speaker 2: the advanced stats to say that Old Miss is going

99
00:05:19,279 --> 00:05:21,719
Speaker 2: to have success running. Old Miss is going to have

100
00:05:21,880 --> 00:05:24,880
Speaker 2: the advantage on third downs. And that's enough for me

101
00:05:24,920 --> 00:05:26,280
Speaker 2: to go ahead and make a bet on a number

102
00:05:26,279 --> 00:05:27,880
Speaker 2: that I think should be four and a half. That's

103
00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:30,480
Speaker 2: why I took it right on open. So I get it.

104
00:05:31,120 --> 00:05:35,239
Speaker 2: I know why Missisippi State is steaming down and listen,

105
00:05:35,240 --> 00:05:37,920
Speaker 2: it's a fragile state for Old Miss. They could players

106
00:05:37,920 --> 00:05:39,839
Speaker 2: can all of a sudden decide we know coaches leaving

107
00:05:39,880 --> 00:05:43,680
Speaker 2: and fuck this right, we don't know so I get it.

108
00:05:43,680 --> 00:05:46,359
Speaker 2: But from an nexus, a no standpoint, Ole Miss to

109
00:05:46,440 --> 00:05:47,560
Speaker 2: me has the advantage.

110
00:05:47,960 --> 00:05:49,679
Speaker 3: I could see you're covering from there. From but numbers

111
00:05:49,880 --> 00:05:51,480
Speaker 3: like that, I make it just like a point flip.

112
00:05:51,480 --> 00:05:53,200
Speaker 3: But I've been lower than the market on Missisippi State,

113
00:05:53,240 --> 00:05:54,880
Speaker 3: and I mean higher than the market Missippi State lower and

114
00:05:54,880 --> 00:05:57,520
Speaker 3: Ole Miss all year. So it's gonna be nothing big

115
00:05:57,600 --> 00:06:00,840
Speaker 3: for me on Thursday night, but I'll definitely have I'll

116
00:06:00,920 --> 00:06:03,000
Speaker 3: dabble a little bit. Maybe I don't mind the under either.

117
00:06:03,560 --> 00:06:06,720
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to Let's just go right

118
00:06:06,760 --> 00:06:11,800
Speaker 3: into our marquee games of the weekend Diesel span across

119
00:06:12,040 --> 00:06:13,600
Speaker 3: Friday and Saturday.

120
00:06:14,640 --> 00:06:19,800
Speaker 1: It's another fabulous weekend of college football. Let's check out

121
00:06:19,839 --> 00:06:24,039
Speaker 1: the marque matchups we'll all end up bedding for week thirteen.

122
00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:28,599
Speaker 3: Okay, let's start on Friday and let's go to the AAC.

123
00:06:28,920 --> 00:06:31,600
Speaker 3: We got a big one is that noon on ABC

124
00:06:31,920 --> 00:06:34,920
Speaker 3: TWU Lane at SINC. Since he is a two point

125
00:06:35,320 --> 00:06:38,640
Speaker 3: home favorite over under forty six and a half, the

126
00:06:38,680 --> 00:06:45,920
Speaker 3: winner of this game will host the AAC Championship Game,

127
00:06:46,480 --> 00:06:50,000
Speaker 3: hosting ucf I would imagine neither here nor there. Let's

128
00:06:50,000 --> 00:06:53,279
Speaker 3: talk about this game. I wish I could have I

129
00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:56,080
Speaker 3: could get a three here. But I really like Tulane.

130
00:06:56,480 --> 00:06:58,919
Speaker 3: I mean I've been low on this and same with

131
00:06:58,960 --> 00:07:02,000
Speaker 3: you on the Cincinnati TA all season long. And if

132
00:07:02,040 --> 00:07:04,240
Speaker 3: you look at their body of work, just look at

133
00:07:04,240 --> 00:07:06,360
Speaker 3: some of them, just look at the results. Just take

134
00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:10,640
Speaker 3: you very basic analysis, take their schedules and look at

135
00:07:10,640 --> 00:07:14,160
Speaker 3: who's just one comprehensively we get in week out, and

136
00:07:14,160 --> 00:07:16,600
Speaker 3: then look at the other team, which is Cincinnati, who

137
00:07:16,640 --> 00:07:21,320
Speaker 3: is barely barely scraping by a number of opponents home

138
00:07:21,360 --> 00:07:24,960
Speaker 3: and away. Also from a matchup perspective, we talked about

139
00:07:25,000 --> 00:07:29,280
Speaker 3: Tulane's excellent secondary all season. Since he can't run the

140
00:07:29,320 --> 00:07:32,800
Speaker 3: ball the bottom ten rush success rate, that's not going

141
00:07:32,840 --> 00:07:35,680
Speaker 3: to get it done against Tulane. I've said this since

142
00:07:36,200 --> 00:07:39,480
Speaker 3: since he defense has been overrated all year because of

143
00:07:39,880 --> 00:07:42,040
Speaker 3: all the talent that they lost. It's very rare for

144
00:07:42,200 --> 00:07:45,320
Speaker 3: a team in the AAC. I think Tulane gets is done.

145
00:07:45,520 --> 00:07:48,160
Speaker 3: We're gonna wait to see if this gets up to three.

146
00:07:48,680 --> 00:07:51,040
Speaker 3: If it doesn't, I'll still be on them, probably be

147
00:07:51,080 --> 00:07:53,280
Speaker 3: in my round robin as well. I think Tulane gets

148
00:07:53,280 --> 00:07:54,760
Speaker 3: it done. Do you agree?

149
00:07:56,040 --> 00:07:57,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think Twoln's gonna be the one the host

150
00:07:57,720 --> 00:08:02,200
Speaker 2: AC championship. I mean, our conclusion from the UCF game

151
00:08:02,520 --> 00:08:05,320
Speaker 2: with Tulane is that, you know, Tulane can't defend the run,

152
00:08:05,600 --> 00:08:08,040
Speaker 2: but they're still an excellent against the pass and they're

153
00:08:08,080 --> 00:08:10,960
Speaker 2: currently fifth and coverage grading. So that didn't work out

154
00:08:11,000 --> 00:08:14,160
Speaker 2: against Central Florida. But Cincinnati is fifty three percent pass

155
00:08:14,200 --> 00:08:16,640
Speaker 2: places for Ben Bryan. Ben Bryan not the best quarterback

156
00:08:17,520 --> 00:08:20,160
Speaker 2: in the conference, but they're not really.

157
00:08:20,000 --> 00:08:21,960
Speaker 3: Rot He's not like a plumb lead that's going to

158
00:08:22,200 --> 00:08:24,720
Speaker 3: plumbly rep for a one to eighty against two lane.

159
00:08:24,720 --> 00:08:25,240
Speaker 3: That was their.

160
00:08:25,120 --> 00:08:28,160
Speaker 2: Issue and the rush offense for Cincinnati's one hundred and

161
00:08:28,160 --> 00:08:31,120
Speaker 2: eighteenth and success right, so they cannot attack TU lane

162
00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:34,240
Speaker 2: where TWU lane is the weakest. On defense, Ben Bryant

163
00:08:34,240 --> 00:08:37,000
Speaker 2: has pulled explosives in the passing games and standardowns, but

164
00:08:37,480 --> 00:08:40,560
Speaker 2: Tulane dominates that down and distance, and they dominate in

165
00:08:40,640 --> 00:08:44,360
Speaker 2: pass explosiveness, So you know Cincinnati's weakness on defense. Turning

166
00:08:44,360 --> 00:08:46,520
Speaker 2: to the other side, Sinaty's weakness on defense is against

167
00:08:46,559 --> 00:08:50,000
Speaker 2: the pass. So Michael Pratt just completed nine passes against

168
00:08:50,080 --> 00:08:52,520
Speaker 2: SMU with three touchdowns. That's like the most efficient box

169
00:08:52,520 --> 00:08:55,600
Speaker 2: score I've ever seen in my life. Is a big

170
00:08:55,600 --> 00:08:58,560
Speaker 2: penalty difference here. Two lane's eighth in the nation flag

171
00:08:58,640 --> 00:09:01,040
Speaker 2: since it he's one hundred and twenty fifth. To me,

172
00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:03,000
Speaker 2: the number is depressed it too. I think it should

173
00:09:03,000 --> 00:09:04,480
Speaker 2: be a little bit higher, but at this point I

174
00:09:04,480 --> 00:09:06,160
Speaker 2: would bet the money line. I think two Lang wins.

175
00:09:06,200 --> 00:09:09,920
Speaker 3: This came out right. Yeah, yeah, I completely agree. Let's

176
00:09:09,960 --> 00:09:14,199
Speaker 3: go Greenway, roll Wave. Let's move on to the second game.

177
00:09:14,600 --> 00:09:21,040
Speaker 3: It's the game Michigan Ohio State. Ohio State will host Michigan,

178
00:09:21,080 --> 00:09:25,640
Speaker 3: are seven to seven and a half point favorite at home,

179
00:09:25,880 --> 00:09:28,520
Speaker 3: trying to avenge that loss. Lesser of course, the winner

180
00:09:29,120 --> 00:09:34,319
Speaker 3: will win the Big Ten East Division and go to

181
00:09:34,360 --> 00:09:37,240
Speaker 3: the Big Ten Championship game and have the inside track

182
00:09:38,120 --> 00:09:44,480
Speaker 3: to a college football playoff. Berth I, we'll tell you

183
00:09:44,720 --> 00:09:46,839
Speaker 3: by the way over unders fifty six has come down

184
00:09:46,920 --> 00:09:49,280
Speaker 3: from sixty and a half. I have struggled with this

185
00:09:49,400 --> 00:09:53,960
Speaker 3: game all week, and I've struggled with both teams. I

186
00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:56,840
Speaker 3: faded both last week Smaller because I just still don't

187
00:09:56,840 --> 00:09:59,240
Speaker 3: feel like I have a handle on either. In pretty

188
00:09:59,240 --> 00:10:03,480
Speaker 3: good spots worked out but Blake Korn, the Michigan running back,

189
00:10:03,520 --> 00:10:04,920
Speaker 3: is he going to play? I mean, when he's on

190
00:10:04,960 --> 00:10:06,920
Speaker 3: the field, he touches the ball ninety percent of the time.

191
00:10:07,040 --> 00:10:08,920
Speaker 3: Is he is going to play as he fully healthy?

192
00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:13,760
Speaker 3: That's massive because Michigan's passing game has been going in

193
00:10:13,800 --> 00:10:16,600
Speaker 3: the wrong direction. It has been extremely inefficient for weeks.

194
00:10:17,120 --> 00:10:20,160
Speaker 3: Can they attack this Ohio State secondary which hasn't been

195
00:10:20,200 --> 00:10:24,120
Speaker 3: tested often, but when they have, they've, you know, by

196
00:10:24,120 --> 00:10:28,080
Speaker 3: anyone with a pulse, they've given up some yards. And

197
00:10:28,200 --> 00:10:30,240
Speaker 3: neither team has been tested that much, which makes it

198
00:10:30,280 --> 00:10:32,160
Speaker 3: really you know, because obviously there's so much more talented

199
00:10:32,200 --> 00:10:36,080
Speaker 3: than everyone else. But given their schedules, it's just not

200
00:10:37,280 --> 00:10:39,240
Speaker 3: it's not we have usually have more data points of

201
00:10:39,280 --> 00:10:41,400
Speaker 3: both of these teams by now. On the other side

202
00:10:41,400 --> 00:10:44,800
Speaker 3: of the ball, it's ken Ohio State attack this Michigan

203
00:10:44,880 --> 00:10:48,319
Speaker 3: secondary through the air. Jackson spent Jigba is not there.

204
00:10:48,360 --> 00:10:50,920
Speaker 3: We talked about some of the struggles of C. J.

205
00:10:51,080 --> 00:10:54,040
Speaker 3: Stroud that you've mentioned hasn't been as efficient or as

206
00:10:54,080 --> 00:10:58,360
Speaker 3: explosive as some have thought coming into the year. So

207
00:10:58,960 --> 00:11:01,120
Speaker 3: I don't know, I feel like there's more questions than

208
00:11:01,200 --> 00:11:04,840
Speaker 3: answers for I mean, Michigan also has Donovan Edwards because

209
00:11:04,960 --> 00:11:06,839
Speaker 3: they're running back. Then it's a team that needs to

210
00:11:06,920 --> 00:11:11,360
Speaker 3: run the ball to have success. And can they do

211
00:11:11,440 --> 00:11:14,439
Speaker 3: it against Ohio State? Who knows that. I'm sure they're

212
00:11:14,440 --> 00:11:17,400
Speaker 3: going to stack the box here. But if Lake Korm's

213
00:11:17,440 --> 00:11:20,120
Speaker 3: not there and Edwards isn't there, can Michigan keep up

214
00:11:20,120 --> 00:11:21,960
Speaker 3: with an Honestly, Obviouste is going to put up some

215
00:11:22,000 --> 00:11:26,080
Speaker 3: points for sure. Marvin Harris at a company. So yeah,

216
00:11:26,120 --> 00:11:28,000
Speaker 3: I struggle. I'm struggling back and forth, which maybe it

217
00:11:28,120 --> 00:11:31,720
Speaker 3: just means I'm going to pass. I think the under

218
00:11:31,720 --> 00:11:34,920
Speaker 3: makes sense coming down, especially if korms banged up. But

219
00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:36,440
Speaker 3: what do you see here? Break it all down?

220
00:11:36,920 --> 00:11:40,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't. I'm not struggling to handicap this game.

221
00:11:40,200 --> 00:11:43,280
Speaker 2: I did a deep dive. I've spent most of my

222
00:11:43,360 --> 00:11:45,840
Speaker 2: little forty eight hours to get ready for this week's games,

223
00:11:46,080 --> 00:11:48,960
Speaker 2: most of it on this one, and I very clearly

224
00:11:49,000 --> 00:11:52,000
Speaker 2: am behind Ohio State here so much to the fact

225
00:11:52,040 --> 00:11:53,880
Speaker 2: that last week I had a look ahead line at

226
00:11:53,920 --> 00:11:57,640
Speaker 2: Michigan plus eight. I was happy at one of my

227
00:11:57,679 --> 00:11:59,520
Speaker 2: books to buy a half point from seven and a half

228
00:11:59,559 --> 00:12:02,439
Speaker 2: down to seven and throw three times as much down

229
00:12:02,480 --> 00:12:04,199
Speaker 2: as what I did last week on Michigan plus eight.

230
00:12:04,240 --> 00:12:07,240
Speaker 2: I like Ohio State that much so, and I think

231
00:12:07,240 --> 00:12:09,360
Speaker 2: there's really a lot of reasons why it's hard to

232
00:12:09,400 --> 00:12:12,400
Speaker 2: get out, and you know, maybe in written format it's

233
00:12:12,679 --> 00:12:14,720
Speaker 2: it's hard in this limited time we have. So the

234
00:12:14,760 --> 00:12:17,360
Speaker 2: best I can do is everything Michigan has done to

235
00:12:17,400 --> 00:12:19,480
Speaker 2: this point is about beefing up that run game. That's

236
00:12:19,480 --> 00:12:21,760
Speaker 2: all Hardballs wanted to do for the last twelve months

237
00:12:21,880 --> 00:12:24,360
Speaker 2: is beef up that run game so they can beat

238
00:12:24,400 --> 00:12:28,000
Speaker 2: Ohio State again. And Ryan Day was smart about that.

239
00:12:28,120 --> 00:12:30,040
Speaker 2: The second he lost that game in Michigan last year,

240
00:12:30,040 --> 00:12:32,439
Speaker 2: he went out and got Jim Knowles just to stop

241
00:12:32,480 --> 00:12:35,400
Speaker 2: the rush. And so what's happened. If you go deep

242
00:12:35,520 --> 00:12:37,600
Speaker 2: dive and you go into the film and you watch

243
00:12:37,600 --> 00:12:41,880
Speaker 2: Ohio State on defense, they're not going to be tricked

244
00:12:41,920 --> 00:12:45,240
Speaker 2: by anything. Michigan go does so much pre staff, there's

245
00:12:45,280 --> 00:12:48,719
Speaker 2: so much motion. They're in pistol, they're inloaded pistol, they're

246
00:12:48,760 --> 00:12:51,600
Speaker 2: in different schemes. They have linemen pulling what's called a

247
00:12:51,720 --> 00:12:55,000
Speaker 2: g Skiing poll, a Dart poll that just depends on

248
00:12:55,040 --> 00:12:58,440
Speaker 2: which way the the Lineman poll. But and Michigan even

249
00:12:58,480 --> 00:13:00,800
Speaker 2: went out and got Olu Wallawa Teamy to play center

250
00:13:00,800 --> 00:13:02,679
Speaker 2: for them in the transfer portal. I mean, he's one

251
00:13:02,679 --> 00:13:06,160
Speaker 2: of the best centers in the nation. And despite all

252
00:13:06,200 --> 00:13:09,040
Speaker 2: of this motion, this pistol and this great running attack

253
00:13:09,080 --> 00:13:11,840
Speaker 2: that they have, Jim Knowles is perfectly set up as

254
00:13:11,840 --> 00:13:14,280
Speaker 2: Ohio State defense to stop it. So the four to

255
00:13:14,280 --> 00:13:16,600
Speaker 2: two five has been designed to stop the run. And

256
00:13:16,679 --> 00:13:18,640
Speaker 2: if you go and watch tape, like against Iowa and

257
00:13:18,679 --> 00:13:21,600
Speaker 2: Penn State, they used heavy motion and pistol formations and

258
00:13:21,679 --> 00:13:23,480
Speaker 2: neither of them could get the Ohio State front to

259
00:13:23,480 --> 00:13:27,240
Speaker 2: get confused to miscontain assignments. And I think the biggest

260
00:13:27,240 --> 00:13:29,800
Speaker 2: thing that people don't understand is that Josh Proctor and

261
00:13:29,880 --> 00:13:32,840
Speaker 2: Ronnie Hickman are the safeties for Iowa State. They are

262
00:13:33,120 --> 00:13:36,160
Speaker 2: excellent at meeting at the point of attack on the

263
00:13:36,160 --> 00:13:38,960
Speaker 2: line of scrimmage when the ball has been run by

264
00:13:39,000 --> 00:13:42,000
Speaker 2: any team that they've faced, those safeties have been their

265
00:13:42,280 --> 00:13:45,440
Speaker 2: asap and that was a big difference from last year.

266
00:13:45,440 --> 00:13:47,040
Speaker 2: That's why they got tore up in the rush game.

267
00:13:47,200 --> 00:13:49,000
Speaker 3: Now the weakness is against the pass and I'm just

268
00:13:49,040 --> 00:13:52,200
Speaker 3: not sure that McCarthy won't be able to race on

269
00:13:52,240 --> 00:13:55,040
Speaker 3: what we've seen over the past few weeks with those receivers.

270
00:13:55,040 --> 00:13:57,040
Speaker 3: It's not all on Macarthury. Either has been drops, there's

271
00:13:57,040 --> 00:13:58,120
Speaker 3: been bad routes, you.

272
00:13:58,080 --> 00:13:59,680
Speaker 2: Hit the nail on the head. It's not all on

273
00:13:59,800 --> 00:14:02,520
Speaker 2: It's not all JJ McCarthy's fault. And so if you

274
00:14:02,520 --> 00:14:04,760
Speaker 2: go and look at what Ohio State did against quarterbacks

275
00:14:04,800 --> 00:14:07,880
Speaker 2: that have comparisons to JJ McCarthy, they've had a ton

276
00:14:07,920 --> 00:14:10,480
Speaker 2: of success there too. So you know, from a Michigan

277
00:14:10,480 --> 00:14:12,880
Speaker 2: team total standpoint, I think they're gonna have some problems here.

278
00:14:12,880 --> 00:14:13,040
Speaker 4: Now.

279
00:14:13,040 --> 00:14:15,560
Speaker 2: Ohio State has given up a couple of explosives this year,

280
00:14:16,160 --> 00:14:17,920
Speaker 2: but it's been through the air, so I don't expect

281
00:14:17,960 --> 00:14:20,840
Speaker 2: that to happen on the ground. If Michigan can't get

282
00:14:20,840 --> 00:14:23,600
Speaker 2: pressure on CJ. Stroud, he's going to sit back there

283
00:14:23,880 --> 00:14:26,760
Speaker 2: and pick this zone coverage defense apart and Stucky. I

284
00:14:26,760 --> 00:14:28,880
Speaker 2: feel like like we're on a record that's broken on

285
00:14:28,920 --> 00:14:30,760
Speaker 2: repeat because we used to talk about Don Brown and

286
00:14:30,800 --> 00:14:32,920
Speaker 2: the zone coverage defense and Ohio State would just tear

287
00:14:32,960 --> 00:14:33,200
Speaker 2: it up.

288
00:14:34,760 --> 00:14:38,640
Speaker 3: Solve your problems with aggression, Okay, sit there and go, oh,

289
00:14:38,720 --> 00:14:40,720
Speaker 3: we're gonna read this pull, We're gonna run up the

290
00:14:40,960 --> 00:14:41,320
Speaker 3: fuck that.

291
00:14:42,080 --> 00:14:44,600
Speaker 2: Let's go. Well, if you go and look at Michigan's numbers.

292
00:14:44,600 --> 00:14:47,120
Speaker 2: They run zone coverage sixty five percent of the time.

293
00:14:47,280 --> 00:14:49,160
Speaker 2: They don't run man very much, and when they have,

294
00:14:49,600 --> 00:14:53,200
Speaker 2: they've been lit up. So Michigan runs sixty five percent

295
00:14:53,280 --> 00:14:56,240
Speaker 2: and only DJ Turner at corner has been good. Marvin

296
00:14:56,240 --> 00:14:59,600
Speaker 2: Harrison has rated the fourth best wide receiver against man coverage.

297
00:14:59,720 --> 00:15:02,680
Speaker 2: He's the third best wide receiver against zone. Now, if

298
00:15:02,680 --> 00:15:05,600
Speaker 2: Michigan's going to go zone, that plays into Ohio State's

299
00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:08,360
Speaker 2: hand because a Mecca Igbuka is the twentieth best wide

300
00:15:08,400 --> 00:15:11,720
Speaker 2: receiver in zone. So like, I don't know what she's

301
00:15:11,760 --> 00:15:13,720
Speaker 2: gonna do. You can play man and get burned, or

302
00:15:13,760 --> 00:15:16,160
Speaker 2: you can play zone, which is what Ohio State thrives

303
00:15:16,160 --> 00:15:18,840
Speaker 2: and hitting. And that's all because CJ. Stroud is going

304
00:15:18,840 --> 00:15:22,680
Speaker 2: to have time to throw the ball. So there's things

305
00:15:22,680 --> 00:15:24,840
Speaker 2: on both sides of the ball. Like Jim Knowles is

306
00:15:25,080 --> 00:15:27,240
Speaker 2: hired to stop the run, they're going to do that.

307
00:15:27,560 --> 00:15:31,120
Speaker 2: Michigan's back end doesn't have the coverage that it takes

308
00:15:31,560 --> 00:15:34,240
Speaker 2: or the pass rush that needed to get in CJ.

309
00:15:34,320 --> 00:15:36,840
Speaker 2: Stroud's face. So I'm all about Ohio State here.

310
00:15:37,520 --> 00:15:40,160
Speaker 3: I don't think Michigan is going to shut down Ohio State.

311
00:15:40,160 --> 00:15:44,200
Speaker 3: And then from what I've seen, this Michigan passing offense,

312
00:15:44,200 --> 00:15:47,000
Speaker 3: which is how you have to tackle Ohio State, is

313
00:15:47,000 --> 00:15:49,160
Speaker 3: not gonna be able to keep up. All right, let's

314
00:15:49,160 --> 00:15:52,280
Speaker 3: move on to a game where we'll disagree on Iowa

315
00:15:52,400 --> 00:15:57,640
Speaker 3: State at TCU. TCU is a ten ten and a

316
00:15:57,680 --> 00:16:02,520
Speaker 3: half point home favorite against Iowa State. This game's at

317
00:16:02,600 --> 00:16:07,080
Speaker 3: four pm Eastern on Fox on Friday. TCU trying to

318
00:16:07,160 --> 00:16:12,000
Speaker 3: keep their perfect season alive. Look I took the ten

319
00:16:12,040 --> 00:16:15,200
Speaker 3: and a half here, and I look again, we're just

320
00:16:15,240 --> 00:16:18,760
Speaker 3: the things we talked about last week. There are the

321
00:16:18,840 --> 00:16:21,320
Speaker 3: exhaustion factor. They're playing again. They still haven't had a

322
00:16:21,360 --> 00:16:25,160
Speaker 3: break the injuries. They lost their three most important players

323
00:16:25,160 --> 00:16:27,920
Speaker 3: on offense to injury last week. Doug And is banged up.

324
00:16:27,960 --> 00:16:30,720
Speaker 3: He's been getting hit every week. We'll see who's healthy

325
00:16:30,800 --> 00:16:33,720
Speaker 3: enough to play. But also, just from a pure and

326
00:16:33,760 --> 00:16:35,640
Speaker 3: then from a number standpoint, I've been led. I think

327
00:16:35,640 --> 00:16:37,600
Speaker 3: it's pretty obvious. I've been lower tis you than a

328
00:16:37,600 --> 00:16:41,520
Speaker 3: lot of people TCUs one eight of nine. Only one

329
00:16:41,520 --> 00:16:44,120
Speaker 3: of those games has come by more than ten points.

330
00:16:44,480 --> 00:16:47,200
Speaker 3: That's when Davis Pumpkin Bevil had to come in at

331
00:16:47,280 --> 00:16:50,840
Speaker 3: quarterback for Oklahoma and then they had to go to Wildcat.

332
00:16:51,360 --> 00:16:53,360
Speaker 3: They about won a game by more than ten points

333
00:16:53,400 --> 00:16:56,880
Speaker 3: since beating Tarleton State, like in the September second. All

334
00:16:57,000 --> 00:16:59,800
Speaker 3: their games are decided by one possession to ten. That

335
00:16:59,880 --> 00:17:03,920
Speaker 3: is it. Meanwhile, Iowa State, who right now I have

336
00:17:04,600 --> 00:17:07,560
Speaker 3: with the seventh best defense opponent adjusted in the country,

337
00:17:08,440 --> 00:17:11,160
Speaker 3: is here's what they've they've lost. They lost by six

338
00:17:11,200 --> 00:17:14,159
Speaker 3: to Oklahoma State, four to Texas Tech. And most of

339
00:17:14,160 --> 00:17:17,920
Speaker 3: the time they are out gaining higher yards for playing

340
00:17:17,960 --> 00:17:20,000
Speaker 3: all these games, they just shoot themselves in the foot.

341
00:17:20,000 --> 00:17:22,480
Speaker 3: They have awful special teams. By the way, they will

342
00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:24,880
Speaker 3: not execute in the red zone. But here are they're losses.

343
00:17:25,320 --> 00:17:28,240
Speaker 3: They lost by four to Texas Tech, six to Oklahoma State,

344
00:17:29,960 --> 00:17:32,840
Speaker 3: they lost by three at Texas, They lost by one

345
00:17:32,880 --> 00:17:37,000
Speaker 3: to Kansas State, three to Kansas seven to balor this,

346
00:17:37,440 --> 00:17:40,480
Speaker 3: you know, they beat Iowa by three. This team is

347
00:17:40,480 --> 00:17:42,960
Speaker 3: in every game. They cannot get it done. And by

348
00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:45,080
Speaker 3: the way they lost their Bowl eligibility last week. You

349
00:17:45,119 --> 00:17:46,960
Speaker 3: would think, oh, maybe they're flat. I think that works

350
00:17:47,000 --> 00:17:50,120
Speaker 3: in their favor here. Matt Campbell is elite, the most

351
00:17:50,320 --> 00:17:52,840
Speaker 3: profitable against the spread coach in college football in the

352
00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:55,080
Speaker 3: best twenty years is double digit dog. But I think

353
00:17:55,080 --> 00:17:56,760
Speaker 3: that works in their favor. This is their super Bowl.

354
00:17:56,760 --> 00:18:01,040
Speaker 3: Now there's no bowl game, there's no postseason. TCU banged

355
00:18:01,119 --> 00:18:04,400
Speaker 3: up on offense. I think the stays within one possession again,

356
00:18:04,440 --> 00:18:05,960
Speaker 3: but I know you laid it to make a case

357
00:18:06,000 --> 00:18:08,160
Speaker 3: for your baby Orange Frogs.

358
00:18:08,400 --> 00:18:10,720
Speaker 2: No, the power rating is I mean the numbers too low.

359
00:18:10,760 --> 00:18:12,439
Speaker 2: I mean the numbers should be a little bit higher,

360
00:18:12,760 --> 00:18:14,399
Speaker 2: which is why I hit it from the start. But

361
00:18:14,960 --> 00:18:16,439
Speaker 2: you know, and of course there's a big worry here.

362
00:18:16,600 --> 00:18:20,879
Speaker 2: Xavier Hutchinson absolutely torched this team, this TCU team in

363
00:18:20,920 --> 00:18:24,760
Speaker 2: a blowout victory last year. But now there's Trevius Hodges Tomlinson.

364
00:18:24,800 --> 00:18:26,720
Speaker 2: He's going to draw Hutcherson duties. And I mean there's

365
00:18:26,760 --> 00:18:29,760
Speaker 2: a big height advantage there for Hutchison. But Hodge Tomlinson

366
00:18:29,800 --> 00:18:33,360
Speaker 2: has just been a force. You know, He's been targeted

367
00:18:33,400 --> 00:18:35,520
Speaker 2: eighteen times in the last three games and he's allowed

368
00:18:35,560 --> 00:18:38,879
Speaker 2: just five catches. And Iowa State has shut down the

369
00:18:38,920 --> 00:18:41,840
Speaker 2: explosive play against everyone, the best rank of the nation

370
00:18:41,920 --> 00:18:44,680
Speaker 2: against ground explosives and their twelfth and expected points against

371
00:18:44,720 --> 00:18:47,480
Speaker 2: the pass. So TCU has got to do their best

372
00:18:47,480 --> 00:18:50,399
Speaker 2: to stay in standardowns. And moving the chains, which is

373
00:18:50,520 --> 00:18:53,439
Speaker 2: really kind of unfamiliar territory for him. They're more of

374
00:18:53,480 --> 00:18:56,919
Speaker 2: an explosive team. But my problem is Iowa State scoring

375
00:18:56,920 --> 00:19:00,159
Speaker 2: now unless this game finishes like seventeen to seven. And

376
00:19:00,840 --> 00:19:03,520
Speaker 2: I could be wrong, but Iowa State just dozen scoring points.

377
00:19:03,560 --> 00:19:05,560
Speaker 2: I mean, they haven't generated more than fourteen points in

378
00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:09,639
Speaker 2: recent games against Texas Tech, Oak State, Oklahoma. You know,

379
00:19:09,720 --> 00:19:11,440
Speaker 2: I mean, this is just I just think this is

380
00:19:11,480 --> 00:19:13,359
Speaker 2: going to be a tough cover for Iowa State in

381
00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:16,280
Speaker 2: the fourth quarter. I get it. I agree that all

382
00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:18,640
Speaker 2: those things are going to last, but TC just has

383
00:19:18,680 --> 00:19:21,320
Speaker 2: this way of wearing on you until you let your

384
00:19:21,320 --> 00:19:24,160
Speaker 2: guard down West Virginia and then they drop a dime

385
00:19:24,240 --> 00:19:25,960
Speaker 2: on you with one second left on the clock to

386
00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:28,960
Speaker 2: give a cover. I just I think the power rating

387
00:19:29,040 --> 00:19:30,800
Speaker 2: is wrong. I think the number is wrong. My power

388
00:19:30,880 --> 00:19:33,520
Speaker 2: rating is higher, and I'm not sure. I always they

389
00:19:33,560 --> 00:19:35,239
Speaker 2: can play a full four quarters and I don't think

390
00:19:35,280 --> 00:19:37,800
Speaker 2: they score enough. You just can't come into this game

391
00:19:37,840 --> 00:19:40,360
Speaker 2: and not be able to score, which they don't do.

392
00:19:41,280 --> 00:19:44,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, but I don't know. I did seventeen to seven,

393
00:19:44,119 --> 00:19:45,840
Speaker 3: like that's all their games have They lost ten nine

394
00:19:45,880 --> 00:19:49,400
Speaker 3: to Kansas State, like and I think that this will

395
00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:52,760
Speaker 3: be an easy cover if TC has all their guys out,

396
00:19:53,040 --> 00:19:56,720
Speaker 3: like Quentin Johnson arguably is the best receiver in the country.

397
00:19:56,840 --> 00:19:59,960
Speaker 3: He left last with Skim didn't return another ankle injury.

398
00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:02,640
Speaker 3: They were without their slot receiver, and then they were

399
00:20:02,800 --> 00:20:05,320
Speaker 3: without DeAndre Miller. He got hurt and never came back.

400
00:20:05,359 --> 00:20:07,920
Speaker 3: He's rushed for twelve hundred yards. Do you take those

401
00:20:07,920 --> 00:20:11,200
Speaker 3: three guys out of the offense. This is not the

402
00:20:11,240 --> 00:20:16,439
Speaker 3: Baylor defense. This is top ten defense nationally. And we'll

403
00:20:16,480 --> 00:20:20,719
Speaker 3: see if TC just they won another game at at

404
00:20:20,880 --> 00:20:23,200
Speaker 3: on the last play. They've played like ten weeks in

405
00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:25,760
Speaker 3: a row, all these huge games. Can they get up again?

406
00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:30,200
Speaker 3: We'll see. This is Iowa State super Bowl. It should

407
00:20:30,200 --> 00:20:33,840
Speaker 3: be an interesting one. All right, Let's move on to Saturday.

408
00:20:34,720 --> 00:20:38,600
Speaker 3: Let's talk the a little Let's talk a little Iron Bowl.

409
00:20:38,600 --> 00:20:40,200
Speaker 3: By the way, this give us to be played in Birmingham,

410
00:20:40,200 --> 00:20:42,920
Speaker 3: which is like famous for its steel, which is why

411
00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:44,520
Speaker 3: how it kind of stick named the Iron Bowl. Now

412
00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:49,520
Speaker 3: they rotate stadiums Alabama shade over a three touchdown favorite here.

413
00:20:50,080 --> 00:20:51,760
Speaker 5: Oh look, the first thing, it was great to see

414
00:20:51,760 --> 00:20:55,719
Speaker 5: our players happy and excited to be celebrating enthusiasm and

415
00:20:55,800 --> 00:20:58,800
Speaker 5: togetherness as a team. Really good to see the players

416
00:20:58,800 --> 00:21:01,520
Speaker 5: happy because they were that they had put something in

417
00:21:01,600 --> 00:21:03,000
Speaker 5: something and got up with the result.

418
00:21:04,800 --> 00:21:06,359
Speaker 3: Auburn, maybe you could go to a bowl. I'm here

419
00:21:06,359 --> 00:21:08,160
Speaker 3: and they're going to go to the Birmingham Bowl anyway,

420
00:21:08,480 --> 00:21:10,439
Speaker 3: even if they lose, if there's not enough teams. But

421
00:21:11,040 --> 00:21:13,600
Speaker 3: this game is a thriller. Last year Alburn took it

422
00:21:13,640 --> 00:21:17,920
Speaker 3: to multiple overtimes as over a three touchdown underdog. Can

423
00:21:17,960 --> 00:21:21,359
Speaker 3: they do it again? Like there's cracks this Alabama team.

424
00:21:21,840 --> 00:21:25,040
Speaker 3: But will Alabama just say hey, your one dimensional, you

425
00:21:25,080 --> 00:21:27,080
Speaker 3: can't throw it? Are they going to be able to

426
00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:29,480
Speaker 3: shut them down? Does the Cadillac magic end on the road?

427
00:21:30,280 --> 00:21:31,760
Speaker 3: How do you see this playing out?

428
00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:33,720
Speaker 2: Well? I mean there's a lot of injury news, especially

429
00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:36,960
Speaker 2: on the Alabama side. Jamiir Gibbs returned to practice yesterday,

430
00:21:37,400 --> 00:21:41,119
Speaker 2: yesterday being Monday. Eli Rix has cleared concussion protocols. You

431
00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:43,320
Speaker 2: expect them to play, but Cameront two is still dealing

432
00:21:43,400 --> 00:21:47,199
Speaker 2: with a twisted ankle and left tager Tyler Stein the

433
00:21:47,240 --> 00:21:49,960
Speaker 2: transfer came in he was injured against Austin p So

434
00:21:50,000 --> 00:21:51,920
Speaker 2: I don't know what Albam was going to do at

435
00:21:51,920 --> 00:21:54,440
Speaker 2: the left tackle position, and there's a lot of pro

436
00:21:54,560 --> 00:21:56,760
Speaker 2: prospects here and you don't know, like is this the

437
00:21:56,800 --> 00:21:59,400
Speaker 2: last game they're ever going to play? What is their

438
00:21:59,440 --> 00:22:01,960
Speaker 2: mindset going into the Iron Bowl? And that's Bryce Young,

439
00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:05,880
Speaker 2: Will Anderson, Jordan Battle, Brian Branch, Malachi Morris. Is a lot,

440
00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:07,600
Speaker 2: I mean a lot of last game stuff going on

441
00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:09,480
Speaker 2: here for Alabama, So it's kind of hard to predict

442
00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:12,520
Speaker 2: like where their headspace is at. Is this a come

443
00:22:12,560 --> 00:22:14,600
Speaker 2: together moment or is this a get it done and

444
00:22:14,640 --> 00:22:17,600
Speaker 2: move on kind of thing? But listen, Auburn has won,

445
00:22:17,880 --> 00:22:21,560
Speaker 2: you know, two straight after going to after going to

446
00:22:22,000 --> 00:22:24,399
Speaker 2: overtime A Mississippi State had a thirteen to ten win

447
00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:26,359
Speaker 2: over Texas A and M. Tank went for one hundred

448
00:22:26,359 --> 00:22:28,879
Speaker 2: and twenty one yards. There's a lot of sharp money

449
00:22:28,920 --> 00:22:32,440
Speaker 2: on Western Kentucky last week that like them, which I

450
00:22:32,480 --> 00:22:36,040
Speaker 2: couldn't understand because Auburn has a great secondary and they

451
00:22:36,080 --> 00:22:38,440
Speaker 2: eventually won that game forty one to seventeen, and Tank

452
00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:40,960
Speaker 2: and Robbie Ashford combined for two hundred and twelve rushing yards.

453
00:22:40,960 --> 00:22:43,120
Speaker 2: So I think what you want to do is go

454
00:22:43,200 --> 00:22:46,440
Speaker 2: and look at what is Alabama done against a combination

455
00:22:46,760 --> 00:22:50,000
Speaker 2: like Robbie Ashford and Tank Bigsby Jackson Dart had just

456
00:22:50,040 --> 00:22:53,240
Speaker 2: thirty five yards. Quinchawn Judkins did all the damage for

457
00:22:53,280 --> 00:22:57,679
Speaker 2: Ole Miss. Jadeen Daniels might be the best comp to

458
00:22:57,800 --> 00:22:59,960
Speaker 2: Robbie Ashford. He had eighty five yards on the ground.

459
00:23:01,359 --> 00:23:04,280
Speaker 2: I mean LSU won that game because of jade daniels play.

460
00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:07,400
Speaker 2: And they look at Hooker and Hooker had fifty six yards.

461
00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:08,800
Speaker 2: He send a lot of dry It's not really the

462
00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:11,520
Speaker 2: same as Robbie Ashford. But listen, who's going to run

463
00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:13,840
Speaker 2: the ball for Alabama? Tray Anders just got in the portal.

464
00:23:14,080 --> 00:23:16,600
Speaker 3: Jumior Gibbs is hurt, and that's how you have to

465
00:23:16,640 --> 00:23:19,600
Speaker 3: attack Auburn. Yeah, their run defense is bad. And then

466
00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:21,840
Speaker 3: if you have if Alabama doesn't have that, and then

467
00:23:22,119 --> 00:23:24,720
Speaker 3: Bryce Young, who's I think is still a little hurt,

468
00:23:25,040 --> 00:23:27,280
Speaker 3: probably not willing to really run all over the field

469
00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:31,560
Speaker 3: here in a game that's maybe like the last with

470
00:23:32,080 --> 00:23:35,399
Speaker 3: the draft coming up, and I think the numbers already inflated.

471
00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:37,320
Speaker 3: I think it's more Cadillac magic.

472
00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:40,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know if they're gonna win. I'm not

473
00:23:40,040 --> 00:23:40,399
Speaker 2: gonna say.

474
00:23:40,520 --> 00:23:42,480
Speaker 3: I'm saying. I'm saying to cover to cover, Yeah, to.

475
00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:45,240
Speaker 2: Cover I definitely yeah to cover like it.

476
00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:50,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, This Albabama team just it's not there's holes like eve.

477
00:23:50,040 --> 00:23:52,240
Speaker 3: If you look at their run defense, it's like the

478
00:23:52,320 --> 00:23:56,000
Speaker 3: line yards the offensive line, like nothing is jumping off

479
00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:58,120
Speaker 3: the page. And look at all the spots this year,

480
00:23:58,160 --> 00:24:00,359
Speaker 3: it's like the Texas A and M game. That's a

481
00:24:00,359 --> 00:24:03,879
Speaker 3: slam spot for Saban. They won twenty four to twenty

482
00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:07,800
Speaker 3: at home. You know they lose at LSU out right

483
00:24:07,880 --> 00:24:11,800
Speaker 3: then you know, oh, miss should be coming off the

484
00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:16,800
Speaker 3: LSU loss. No, don't cover again like over and over

485
00:24:16,840 --> 00:24:19,560
Speaker 3: again this year. They are just there's just issues on

486
00:24:19,600 --> 00:24:20,080
Speaker 3: this roster.

487
00:24:20,520 --> 00:24:23,280
Speaker 2: But the lack of also pass has has. I mean,

488
00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:26,320
Speaker 2: when we go into twenty twenty three season, if they

489
00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:29,160
Speaker 2: do not fix a lack of explosive passing on offense,

490
00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:30,480
Speaker 2: then it's just going to be more of the same

491
00:24:30,480 --> 00:24:31,199
Speaker 2: for Alabama.

492
00:24:31,520 --> 00:24:34,080
Speaker 3: All right? Before we continue, as a reminder, the Big

493
00:24:34,119 --> 00:24:37,280
Speaker 3: Bets on Campus podcast is probably presented by bet MGM.

494
00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:40,040
Speaker 3: So kick off the new Pro football season with the

495
00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:43,240
Speaker 3: King of Sportsbooks. Sign up with bet MGM using Bonus

496
00:24:43,240 --> 00:24:46,120
Speaker 3: Code Action two hundred and your first wager is risk

497
00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:50,520
Speaker 3: free up to one thousand dollars. Is it BETMGM dot

498
00:24:50,560 --> 00:24:56,800
Speaker 3: com for terms and conditions. Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Michigan, Mississippi, Nevada,

499
00:24:56,840 --> 00:24:59,960
Speaker 3: New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, puert Rico, Tennessee, Virginia, Washington, DC,

500
00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:02,560
Speaker 3: West Virginia, Wyoming, or Ontario only. Must be twenty one

501
00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:05,040
Speaker 3: years or older to wager nineteen or older in Ontario

502
00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:08,800
Speaker 3: New Customer Offer. All promotions are subject qualification in eligibility requirements.

503
00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:10,960
Speaker 3: The rewards issued as a non withdrawable free bets or

504
00:25:10,960 --> 00:25:13,480
Speaker 3: cite credit free bets expire seven days from issuance. Excludes

505
00:25:13,520 --> 00:25:17,320
Speaker 3: Michigan dissociated persons. Please gamble responsibly. Gambling Problem Call one

506
00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:20,240
Speaker 3: hundred Next Step in Arizona one one hundred five two

507
00:25:20,240 --> 00:25:24,159
Speaker 3: two forty seven hundred in Colorado, DC, Kansas, Louisiana, Nevada, Wyoming,

508
00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:26,399
Speaker 3: ort Virginia one one hundred two seven zero seven one

509
00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:29,479
Speaker 3: one seven for confidential help in Michigan, twenty hundred gambler

510
00:25:29,480 --> 00:25:31,879
Speaker 3: in Indiana, Maryland, New Jersey, or West Virginia one eight

511
00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:34,800
Speaker 3: hundred Bets off in Iowa one hundred nine eight one

512
00:25:35,000 --> 00:25:37,360
Speaker 3: zero zero two three in Puerto Rico call eight seven

513
00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:40,640
Speaker 3: seven eight Hope NY or text Hope NY. In New York,

514
00:25:40,760 --> 00:25:43,040
Speaker 3: call or texts the Tennessee Redline at eight hundred eight

515
00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:45,240
Speaker 3: nine nine seven eight nine or one eight eight eight

516
00:25:45,240 --> 00:25:48,119
Speaker 3: seven seven seven nine six nine six in Mississippi. In Ontario,

517
00:25:48,160 --> 00:25:49,920
Speaker 3: if you have questions or concerns about your gambling or.

518
00:25:49,840 --> 00:25:53,120
Speaker 6: Someone close to you, please contact Connects Ontario at one

519
00:25:53,160 --> 00:25:55,560
Speaker 6: eight six six five three one two six zero zero

520
00:25:55,640 --> 00:25:57,840
Speaker 6: to speak to an advisor free of charge. Sports betting

521
00:25:57,840 --> 00:25:59,919
Speaker 6: is void in Georgia, Hawaii, Ohio, in Utah, and other

522
00:26:00,000 --> 00:26:04,120
Speaker 6: state's work promotional offers not available in Nevada and New York.

523
00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:08,120
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to another game with massive

524
00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:11,760
Speaker 3: cultural playoff implications. Notre Dame at usc Us. He's already

525
00:26:11,760 --> 00:26:15,439
Speaker 3: locked into the PAC twelve championship game. We'll get to

526
00:26:15,480 --> 00:26:17,760
Speaker 3: who they might play in just the second. Here usc

527
00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:22,960
Speaker 3: is a five point home favorite. Here for me, it's

528
00:26:23,160 --> 00:26:26,840
Speaker 3: it's the Irish. It's it's always has been the Irish,

529
00:26:26,920 --> 00:26:29,320
Speaker 3: always will be the Irish in this game. I've loved

530
00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:31,920
Speaker 3: Notre Dame as a dog all year, not changing my

531
00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:34,959
Speaker 3: tune now how I think this game plays out? Number one,

532
00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:37,679
Speaker 3: I make this game like right around three right and

533
00:26:37,960 --> 00:26:40,200
Speaker 3: catching five, And I also think it's a pretty good matchup.

534
00:26:40,240 --> 00:26:42,200
Speaker 3: And then I also have Okay, Notaday's been one of

535
00:26:42,240 --> 00:26:44,800
Speaker 3: the unluckiest teams in the country in turnovers, and we

536
00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:48,120
Speaker 3: have USC once again one by three last week gets

537
00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:52,240
Speaker 3: three interceptions from dtr Those bounces are still out there.

538
00:26:52,240 --> 00:26:54,880
Speaker 3: Maybe they don't come, but there's a better chance they're

539
00:26:54,880 --> 00:26:57,040
Speaker 3: going to come than not But I think this game

540
00:26:57,080 --> 00:27:01,880
Speaker 3: plays out similar to how Oregon State did, and Notre

541
00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:06,600
Speaker 3: Dame's offensive line can control the game. They can control

542
00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:09,600
Speaker 3: the clock, they can move the sticks. They also have

543
00:27:09,640 --> 00:27:13,640
Speaker 3: a much better secondary than UCLA was able to put

544
00:27:13,640 --> 00:27:16,480
Speaker 3: out there, and they can kind of just grind this

545
00:27:16,600 --> 00:27:18,840
Speaker 3: game down. You know, UCLA wants to get in the

546
00:27:18,880 --> 00:27:23,760
Speaker 3: shootouts too, just like USC, so all the pressures on

547
00:27:23,880 --> 00:27:27,440
Speaker 3: USC here. Notre Dame has thrived in this role all year,

548
00:27:28,080 --> 00:27:32,639
Speaker 3: and I think from a stylistic standpoint, they're going to

549
00:27:32,680 --> 00:27:35,920
Speaker 3: make this game uncomfortable for USC. And just like most

550
00:27:36,080 --> 00:27:38,879
Speaker 3: USC competent opponents, they should be able to go up

551
00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:43,159
Speaker 3: and down the field. UCLA, even with three picks, scored

552
00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:45,639
Speaker 3: forty five points. I don't think it's going to be

553
00:27:45,640 --> 00:27:49,720
Speaker 3: that high. Scoring. I like Notre Dame here. I think

554
00:27:49,760 --> 00:27:51,720
Speaker 3: this ends up being like who has the ball? Ass,

555
00:27:51,760 --> 00:27:53,320
Speaker 3: So I'll happily take the five in a game I

556
00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:56,040
Speaker 3: make click right around three in a good stylistic matchup.

557
00:27:56,880 --> 00:27:58,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a game I make four and a half

558
00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:00,119
Speaker 2: and it's kind of sitting in a dead zone. So

559
00:28:00,280 --> 00:28:02,119
Speaker 2: I haven't touched it yet. But Notre Dame is the

560
00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:05,159
Speaker 2: side that Colin wants. Absolutely. When you look at what

561
00:28:05,280 --> 00:28:09,040
Speaker 2: UCLA did to USC, they have a tight end Michael Azeki.

562
00:28:09,840 --> 00:28:12,160
Speaker 2: I mean he's got like thirty catches in his entire

563
00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:16,080
Speaker 2: career Ucla. He had three touchdowns against USC. So then

564
00:28:16,119 --> 00:28:17,439
Speaker 2: when you look at that and you say, wow, they

565
00:28:17,440 --> 00:28:19,639
Speaker 2: gave up three touchdowns to a tight end. What is

566
00:28:19,680 --> 00:28:22,760
Speaker 2: Michael Mayer going to do to this USC defense? If

567
00:28:22,760 --> 00:28:25,840
Speaker 2: some throwaway tight end for the Bruins is scoring three touchdowns,

568
00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:28,439
Speaker 2: Notre Dame is going to run the ball to audrec

569
00:28:28,560 --> 00:28:30,840
Speaker 2: Estima has just been running away with the job. Used

570
00:28:30,840 --> 00:28:33,000
Speaker 2: to be a three headed monster there in the running back,

571
00:28:33,040 --> 00:28:35,919
Speaker 2: but now it's all his two tds against Boston College.

572
00:28:36,000 --> 00:28:37,440
Speaker 2: I think he was pulled because the game was out

573
00:28:37,440 --> 00:28:40,520
Speaker 2: of hand, but he's averaging three point five yards after contact.

574
00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:43,560
Speaker 2: And you know where Notre Dame difference from USC is

575
00:28:44,080 --> 00:28:48,320
Speaker 2: from UCLA is clock management. They can have sustained drives

576
00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:51,440
Speaker 2: that end in points just you know, drain clock and

577
00:28:51,600 --> 00:28:55,040
Speaker 2: USC's defense is one hundred and eighteenth in defensive finishing drives.

578
00:28:56,080 --> 00:28:58,120
Speaker 2: You know, you say, just didn't capitalize on this kind

579
00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:00,520
Speaker 2: of stuff, and then I said this last week. You

580
00:29:00,560 --> 00:29:02,440
Speaker 2: know the reason why we like UCLA so much is

581
00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:05,880
Speaker 2: because the only play that USC has is the flush

582
00:29:05,960 --> 00:29:08,400
Speaker 2: Caleb Williams outside the pocket, let him scramble and hit

583
00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:11,720
Speaker 2: shots downfield. And Notre Dame is seventeenth in a pass rush.

584
00:29:11,800 --> 00:29:14,120
Speaker 2: So that advantage that UCLA had last week, Notre Dame's

585
00:29:14,120 --> 00:29:16,120
Speaker 2: going to have it too. They're going to flush Caleb

586
00:29:16,160 --> 00:29:18,720
Speaker 2: Williams from the pocket frequently. Now you have to go

587
00:29:18,760 --> 00:29:20,960
Speaker 2: and look at what Notre Dame has done against comparable

588
00:29:21,040 --> 00:29:25,080
Speaker 2: quarterbacks to see if they maintained assignments downfield, which UCLA

589
00:29:25,120 --> 00:29:28,400
Speaker 2: could not do. Garrett Strader and DJU kind of fit

590
00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:31,040
Speaker 2: the same mold that Notre Dame has faced. Dj had

591
00:29:31,040 --> 00:29:32,600
Speaker 2: one hundred and ninety one yards in the air, but

592
00:29:32,720 --> 00:29:35,560
Speaker 2: just twenty three on the ground. Schrader was hurt after

593
00:29:35,640 --> 00:29:38,080
Speaker 2: going five to fourteen passing, So it's a little tough

594
00:29:38,120 --> 00:29:41,040
Speaker 2: to diagnose that, but there is something to say that,

595
00:29:41,280 --> 00:29:43,920
Speaker 2: you know, Notre Dame has done well at least against

596
00:29:44,000 --> 00:29:47,640
Speaker 2: comparable quarterbacks at not letting them have explosive plays and touchdowns.

597
00:29:48,160 --> 00:29:50,040
Speaker 2: There is a and I think what really makes this

598
00:29:50,120 --> 00:29:52,920
Speaker 2: bet for Notre Dame. There's just a monster difference in

599
00:29:53,080 --> 00:29:56,720
Speaker 2: attention to details and fundamentals. Special teams USC one hundred

600
00:29:56,720 --> 00:30:00,760
Speaker 2: and twenty six Notre Dame twenty third penalties Notre Dame third,

601
00:30:01,040 --> 00:30:03,720
Speaker 2: USC outside the top one hundred. This is a big

602
00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:06,000
Speaker 2: difference in a lot of areas in here. And I

603
00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:08,760
Speaker 2: can expect Michael Mayer to have at least three touchdowns.

604
00:30:08,800 --> 00:30:12,000
Speaker 2: That's what the UCLA throwaway Titans have in that can't

605
00:30:12,040 --> 00:30:13,200
Speaker 2: manage what Notre Dame is going to do.

606
00:30:14,120 --> 00:30:16,520
Speaker 3: All right, One final game here, MARKI games before we

607
00:30:16,520 --> 00:30:22,320
Speaker 3: get to the rundown Oregon Oregon State the Civil War

608
00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:28,400
Speaker 3: so be played in Corvallis. Oregon wins in the PAC

609
00:30:28,440 --> 00:30:33,120
Speaker 3: twelve title if they lose, and then they'll play USC.

610
00:30:33,920 --> 00:30:39,520
Speaker 3: If they lose and Washington loses, they're right the way. Washington,

611
00:30:39,560 --> 00:30:40,760
Speaker 3: by the way, gets in we'll get to them. The

612
00:30:40,800 --> 00:30:43,200
Speaker 3: second is they have to win. Oregon has to lose,

613
00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:48,320
Speaker 3: and either Cal beats Ucla or Colorado beats Utah. Utah

614
00:30:48,360 --> 00:30:52,880
Speaker 3: can get in. If they beat Colorado, Oregon loses, Washington wins,

615
00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:56,320
Speaker 3: and UCLA wins, so Ucla is eliminated, but that Ucla

616
00:30:56,920 --> 00:31:02,440
Speaker 3: calgame matters depending on what happened. So obviously this game

617
00:31:02,600 --> 00:31:06,640
Speaker 3: is massive. Oregon is a I think they're still sitting

618
00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:08,320
Speaker 3: at around what a three three and a half point

619
00:31:08,320 --> 00:31:13,160
Speaker 3: favorite here. Uh yeah, I saw that. You take you

620
00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:16,040
Speaker 3: took Oregon State. There are still questions about Bonnix's help.

621
00:31:16,720 --> 00:31:18,320
Speaker 3: When I look at this from a matchup perspective, and

622
00:31:18,360 --> 00:31:20,520
Speaker 3: I'm curious to get your thoughts, it does remind me

623
00:31:20,560 --> 00:31:25,000
Speaker 3: a bit of last week. Just from a stylistic perspective,

624
00:31:25,040 --> 00:31:27,240
Speaker 3: It's like a how you know they're there? Are Oregon

625
00:31:27,280 --> 00:31:30,280
Speaker 3: States a physical team, West Coast offense. They run a

626
00:31:30,320 --> 00:31:34,080
Speaker 3: lot of power sets. Oregon might be more equipped to

627
00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:35,800
Speaker 3: defend that, which they you know, they did a good

628
00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:37,720
Speaker 3: job of doing last week. They're not really great on

629
00:31:37,760 --> 00:31:44,320
Speaker 3: the outside defending explosive receivers, but Oregon State their weakness

630
00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:49,840
Speaker 3: is their rush defense. And you saw something last week

631
00:31:49,840 --> 00:31:51,200
Speaker 3: and I don't know if we're going to get this week,

632
00:31:51,240 --> 00:31:53,760
Speaker 3: And they asked Dan Lanning about it because Bononix couldn't

633
00:31:53,760 --> 00:31:56,120
Speaker 3: really run. We also don't know how he's going to

634
00:31:56,160 --> 00:31:58,760
Speaker 3: be still, but they said, are we going to get

635
00:31:58,800 --> 00:32:01,440
Speaker 3: more diverse play calling? And he was just like, I

636
00:32:01,440 --> 00:32:04,600
Speaker 3: don't know. I can't tell you much. So it's a

637
00:32:04,640 --> 00:32:08,240
Speaker 3: really interesting match up. The spot screams Oregon State, how

638
00:32:08,280 --> 00:32:11,800
Speaker 3: healthy is Bonnicks? But from you know, instead of like

639
00:32:12,400 --> 00:32:17,200
Speaker 3: USC or Washington, this, you know, Oregon State kind of

640
00:32:17,200 --> 00:32:20,240
Speaker 3: profile similar to Utah like it from a stylistic standpoint,

641
00:32:20,280 --> 00:32:24,000
Speaker 3: So does that make this easier for Oregon to defend?

642
00:32:24,280 --> 00:32:25,120
Speaker 3: What are your thoughts here?

643
00:32:25,680 --> 00:32:28,520
Speaker 2: Well, yeah, you're right about Bonex. Bonex was very open

644
00:32:28,560 --> 00:32:32,680
Speaker 2: with reporters Tuesday after practicing his ankle injury. Is doing great,

645
00:32:32,960 --> 00:32:34,920
Speaker 2: it'll be good to go against Oregon State, and yes,

646
00:32:35,000 --> 00:32:37,840
Speaker 2: Lanning was Lanning wasn't giving much about it if it's

647
00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:40,120
Speaker 2: going to be run plays, but to be honest, he

648
00:32:40,240 --> 00:32:43,360
Speaker 2: might not actually know, right. Bonix talked a lot about

649
00:32:43,360 --> 00:32:46,640
Speaker 2: how he's had broken ankles, bruised ankles, twisted ankles, and

650
00:32:46,880 --> 00:32:48,760
Speaker 2: he's had a lot of experience in the ankle department.

651
00:32:48,800 --> 00:32:50,000
Speaker 2: And he's going to be good to go, so we'll

652
00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:52,840
Speaker 2: see if he's able to run. The Beavers are undefeated

653
00:32:52,880 --> 00:32:55,520
Speaker 2: against the spread in Reeser Stadium, which is hilarious because

654
00:32:55,600 --> 00:32:58,720
Speaker 2: it's missing half their seating. The current bleachers only see

655
00:32:58,760 --> 00:33:02,200
Speaker 2: twenty five thousand. They're dudes reconstruction, so maybe they shouldn't

656
00:33:02,280 --> 00:33:06,160
Speaker 2: change it in Corvallis. So you know, Nix was pretty complimentary.

657
00:33:06,200 --> 00:33:08,720
Speaker 2: The Beaver's coverage scheme, plenty of own the ability to

658
00:33:08,760 --> 00:33:12,040
Speaker 2: take away the underneath routs, and the Ducks offense may

659
00:33:12,080 --> 00:33:14,520
Speaker 2: just come down to can Nick six Stend plays with

660
00:33:14,560 --> 00:33:16,600
Speaker 2: his legs. If the answer is no, then the Beavers

661
00:33:16,640 --> 00:33:18,160
Speaker 2: have a chance to win this game. If the answer

662
00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:21,640
Speaker 2: is yes, then it's a completely different handicap. But there

663
00:33:21,680 --> 00:33:24,240
Speaker 2: are big advantages for organ State from a rushing perspective.

664
00:33:24,280 --> 00:33:27,760
Speaker 2: Now we've said this before, Oregon can't stop anybody, right

665
00:33:28,360 --> 00:33:31,000
Speaker 2: and freshman Damian Martinez for Oregon State is now the

666
00:33:31,080 --> 00:33:33,680
Speaker 2: lead back after sharing the job with the Shan Fenwick

667
00:33:33,720 --> 00:33:36,880
Speaker 2: and Jam Griffin earlier this year. Martinez is an animal.

668
00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:39,000
Speaker 2: Five straight games over one hundred yards three and a

669
00:33:39,040 --> 00:33:43,720
Speaker 2: half a carry after contact, He's created thirty seven miss tackles,

670
00:33:44,320 --> 00:33:46,160
Speaker 2: and Oregon State's one of the best teams in the

671
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:49,520
Speaker 2: nation early downs because of the rush. That's where Oregon's

672
00:33:49,600 --> 00:33:53,000
Speaker 2: defense really struggles their eightieth and standard down success rate.

673
00:33:53,320 --> 00:33:55,480
Speaker 2: So if Oregon State god sounds like we're talking about

674
00:33:55,560 --> 00:34:00,200
Speaker 2: USC again, Oregon State can not have any turnovers, keep

675
00:34:00,240 --> 00:34:03,120
Speaker 2: the chains moving on early downs, they'll win the game. Now,

676
00:34:03,160 --> 00:34:05,120
Speaker 2: we all know that the Beavers like to shoot themselves

677
00:34:05,120 --> 00:34:07,600
Speaker 2: in the foot, so I did buy the three and

678
00:34:07,640 --> 00:34:10,360
Speaker 2: a half. I figured this will settle in three and

679
00:34:10,400 --> 00:34:12,319
Speaker 2: I'll be watching it live. If Bonnix is running, if

680
00:34:12,320 --> 00:34:14,040
Speaker 2: we're in the first quarter, he's out there running all

681
00:34:14,040 --> 00:34:16,040
Speaker 2: over the place like a madman like he used to be,

682
00:34:16,600 --> 00:34:19,400
Speaker 2: I'll happily buy out of this. But until we see that,

683
00:34:19,560 --> 00:34:20,960
Speaker 2: I'm gonna roll the Beavers.

684
00:34:21,560 --> 00:34:23,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, I probably wanted to bet on this. I would

685
00:34:23,200 --> 00:34:25,560
Speaker 3: actually lean under though I think it might play. It's

686
00:34:25,560 --> 00:34:29,280
Speaker 3: going to play slower. Oregon State wants to grind it down.

687
00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:32,320
Speaker 3: Oregon's strength is there run d I don't think Bnix

688
00:34:32,400 --> 00:34:35,760
Speaker 3: is going to be at one hundred percent mobility, and

689
00:34:35,920 --> 00:34:39,279
Speaker 3: Oregon State's strength is their secondary They're organ's not gonna

690
00:34:39,280 --> 00:34:42,480
Speaker 3: get many explosive plays. I also don't think that Oregon

691
00:34:42,520 --> 00:34:45,759
Speaker 3: State and their very limited quarterback is really going to

692
00:34:45,840 --> 00:34:51,239
Speaker 3: exploit the Oregon on the outside. So yeah, I think

693
00:34:51,360 --> 00:34:54,719
Speaker 3: there's a lot on the line for Oregon. Their offensive

694
00:34:54,719 --> 00:34:58,319
Speaker 3: line isn't fully healthy. I yeah, I think this ends

695
00:34:58,400 --> 00:35:01,880
Speaker 3: up playing maybe more of a grinder than the market assumes,

696
00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:04,680
Speaker 3: similar to maybe how Utah Oregon played out last week.

697
00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:07,680
Speaker 3: All right, good stuff there, and obviously for back twelve futures,

698
00:35:07,680 --> 00:35:10,600
Speaker 3: I will be rooting for Oregon, but actually, like I

699
00:35:10,920 --> 00:35:13,480
Speaker 3: have a feeling that Oregon State wins it and then

700
00:35:13,840 --> 00:35:18,960
Speaker 3: Washington State beats Washington and Oregon goes Anyway, That's that's

701
00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:21,120
Speaker 3: my guess on how it plays out. Let's move on,

702
00:35:21,200 --> 00:35:22,680
Speaker 3: Let's go to the rundown. Let's go through a couple

703
00:35:22,800 --> 00:35:28,440
Speaker 3: quick conferences here, acc everything settled. It's UNC against Clemson.

704
00:35:29,000 --> 00:35:30,839
Speaker 3: I think it's a seven and a half. Clemson's fere

705
00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:32,279
Speaker 3: by seven and a half. We'll get to that one

706
00:35:32,560 --> 00:35:34,600
Speaker 3: Conference championships. So one get one of the mention is

707
00:35:34,840 --> 00:35:37,880
Speaker 3: NC State at UNC. N C State didn't have MG

708
00:35:38,040 --> 00:35:43,400
Speaker 3: Morris last week. They started Ben Finley at quarterback. They

709
00:35:43,400 --> 00:35:45,640
Speaker 3: also were rather the center Grant Gibson, their tight entr

710
00:35:45,719 --> 00:35:50,160
Speaker 3: and Pinnix. They're running back Sumo Peyton Wilson linebacker, their

711
00:35:50,600 --> 00:35:54,839
Speaker 3: corners Tyler Baker Williams is still out. Just a team

712
00:35:55,160 --> 00:35:58,080
Speaker 3: headed in the wrong direction. Things aren't great around the

713
00:35:58,080 --> 00:36:01,160
Speaker 3: locker room either. And then you have UNC but playing

714
00:36:01,239 --> 00:36:04,040
Speaker 3: with fire all year, finally got burned up seventeen to

715
00:36:04,080 --> 00:36:07,440
Speaker 3: nothing on Georgia Tech, don't score the final thirty five minutes,

716
00:36:08,320 --> 00:36:11,400
Speaker 3: then lose that game. So very weird game here in

717
00:36:11,440 --> 00:36:15,520
Speaker 3: now in C State at UNC rivalry game is who's

718
00:36:15,560 --> 00:36:17,520
Speaker 3: going to get up for this? I mean, is this

719
00:36:17,640 --> 00:36:21,719
Speaker 3: just a pure stay away? Obviously some quarterback uncertainty with

720
00:36:21,840 --> 00:36:25,320
Speaker 3: NC State North calend doesn't seem capable of really blowing

721
00:36:25,360 --> 00:36:27,960
Speaker 3: anyone out with that defense and the offense. As a

722
00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:29,799
Speaker 3: head scratcher last week, do you see anything there?

723
00:36:30,239 --> 00:36:32,719
Speaker 2: No, I think the number that's are completely in line

724
00:36:32,719 --> 00:36:35,400
Speaker 2: with my power ratings. And you know that you mentioned

725
00:36:35,440 --> 00:36:37,600
Speaker 2: all the injury concerns and aenn MJ. Morris sat with

726
00:36:37,600 --> 00:36:40,840
Speaker 2: a lower body injury. I would need him to play

727
00:36:40,880 --> 00:36:44,040
Speaker 2: and even consider making any kind of wager that's a

728
00:36:44,080 --> 00:36:46,759
Speaker 2: wolfpack related here, so you know, and then there's there's

729
00:36:46,760 --> 00:36:49,400
Speaker 2: nothing known on wide receiver Devin Carter tight interim panics

730
00:36:49,920 --> 00:36:52,480
Speaker 2: until we know these things. And even the running back

731
00:36:52,719 --> 00:36:55,279
Speaker 2: Demi Sumo Cardon Bay. I mean, like he's not even

732
00:36:55,320 --> 00:36:57,879
Speaker 2: on the depth chart this week. So to me, it's

733
00:36:57,920 --> 00:36:58,520
Speaker 2: just center.

734
00:36:58,560 --> 00:37:01,840
Speaker 3: Greg Gibson is really good too, who didn't play, So

735
00:37:01,840 --> 00:37:04,319
Speaker 3: there's a lot going on. Uh yeah, I think that's

736
00:37:04,320 --> 00:37:08,040
Speaker 3: a pure pass too. AC. We talked about it earlier

737
00:37:08,040 --> 00:37:10,600
Speaker 3: with sinc Tulane. I mentioned the games earlier that could matter.

738
00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:14,160
Speaker 3: Tulsa at Houston, UCF at USF. I will mention USF

739
00:37:14,200 --> 00:37:16,879
Speaker 3: has a bad run dye. We'll see if plumb Lee goes.

740
00:37:16,920 --> 00:37:18,799
Speaker 3: I mean, USF is a bad everything d But if

741
00:37:18,840 --> 00:37:20,839
Speaker 3: you can't stop the run against UCF, you're gonna get

742
00:37:20,840 --> 00:37:24,720
Speaker 3: blown out. USF isn't at least still fighting. Can Tulsa?

743
00:37:25,000 --> 00:37:27,920
Speaker 3: Does Tulsa still care? Can they slow down Houston here?

744
00:37:28,480 --> 00:37:30,040
Speaker 3: We don't know if it's gonna be Keen or plumb Lee.

745
00:37:30,200 --> 00:37:32,640
Speaker 3: We'll see. Any of those games interest you? Or is

746
00:37:32,640 --> 00:37:34,280
Speaker 3: it it's all about two lane this weekend?

747
00:37:34,760 --> 00:37:37,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's all about two lane here. There's no other

748
00:37:37,080 --> 00:37:38,640
Speaker 2: best inside the AC I'll be making.

749
00:37:39,200 --> 00:37:41,959
Speaker 3: Okay, let's go want to the big twelve bailer at

750
00:37:42,000 --> 00:37:44,600
Speaker 3: Texas let's talk Kansas and Kansas State. These are the

751
00:37:44,600 --> 00:37:47,200
Speaker 3: two games that matter TCU besides the TCU game. But

752
00:37:47,200 --> 00:37:50,960
Speaker 3: TC's already in the Big Twelve Championship. Kansas State beats Kansas,

753
00:37:51,560 --> 00:37:55,360
Speaker 3: they are in the Big Twelve Championship, which I should

754
00:37:55,360 --> 00:37:58,200
Speaker 3: will make you happy with Kansas State and Baylor at

755
00:37:58,239 --> 00:38:01,759
Speaker 3: Kansas State and TCU futures. But if Kansas could pull

756
00:38:01,800 --> 00:38:05,359
Speaker 3: off the upset over Kansas State and Texas takes care

757
00:38:05,360 --> 00:38:09,239
Speaker 3: of business against Baylor, then Texas would actually go, which

758
00:38:09,239 --> 00:38:11,239
Speaker 3: would make me happy since I have Texas features, but

759
00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:15,520
Speaker 3: that's obviously a long shot here. Texas line is, look

760
00:38:16,400 --> 00:38:20,399
Speaker 3: Texas is they look great last week, and they'll look

761
00:38:20,440 --> 00:38:22,919
Speaker 3: great and their advanced metrics look great, and then they'll

762
00:38:22,960 --> 00:38:25,000
Speaker 3: just quin you. As will go off the rails for half.

763
00:38:25,239 --> 00:38:28,160
Speaker 3: Very hard to trust, especially as a favorite. Baylor though,

764
00:38:28,360 --> 00:38:31,080
Speaker 3: you'd have to think it's a tough spot here if

765
00:38:31,080 --> 00:38:32,799
Speaker 3: they're losing the way that they did last week, and

766
00:38:32,800 --> 00:38:35,480
Speaker 3: then it's like, what are you playing for? Now? You

767
00:38:35,520 --> 00:38:37,120
Speaker 3: know you're still playing Texas, But we'll see how they

768
00:38:37,200 --> 00:38:40,520
Speaker 3: recover from that loss, and then could Kansas's offense because

769
00:38:40,520 --> 00:38:42,080
Speaker 3: it's gonna be hard for their defense to give any

770
00:38:42,120 --> 00:38:44,920
Speaker 3: stops here. I think that's the question. Can the Kansas

771
00:38:45,000 --> 00:38:47,680
Speaker 3: offense keep up with Kansas State to put a scare

772
00:38:47,760 --> 00:38:49,520
Speaker 3: to them? You see anything in either one or both

773
00:38:49,520 --> 00:38:50,120
Speaker 3: of these games.

774
00:38:50,360 --> 00:38:52,400
Speaker 2: Yeah? I like both home teams. I love Texas in

775
00:38:52,440 --> 00:38:54,560
Speaker 2: the spot. Either going to get that TCU taste out

776
00:38:54,560 --> 00:38:56,280
Speaker 2: of their mouth the last time they played in Austin.

777
00:38:56,520 --> 00:38:59,400
Speaker 2: It's gonna bejean Or Robinson's probably his last game to

778
00:38:59,440 --> 00:39:02,000
Speaker 2: play there. And you know, Baylor's gonna look to run

779
00:39:02,040 --> 00:39:03,840
Speaker 2: the ball, score Williams and Richard Reese as much as

780
00:39:03,880 --> 00:39:06,400
Speaker 2: possible because they don't want Blake Shapen to have the

781
00:39:06,400 --> 00:39:07,279
Speaker 2: ball in his hands and.

782
00:39:07,239 --> 00:39:09,120
Speaker 3: Long downs and awful last week.

783
00:39:09,640 --> 00:39:12,600
Speaker 2: Baylor is just not producing enough of a pass rush

784
00:39:12,640 --> 00:39:15,000
Speaker 2: on defense to rattle quinn Ewers. But then again, quinn

785
00:39:15,040 --> 00:39:18,200
Speaker 2: Ewers has been making bad plays without any pressure, so

786
00:39:18,239 --> 00:39:21,040
Speaker 2: we'll see if he can kind of reverse that trend here.

787
00:39:21,040 --> 00:39:23,600
Speaker 2: But Texas is fourteenth in the pass rush. That's gonna

788
00:39:23,600 --> 00:39:25,359
Speaker 2: be enough to get into Blake Shaven's face and cast

789
00:39:25,360 --> 00:39:28,320
Speaker 2: some turnover worthy plays. As far as Kansas State, I

790
00:39:28,400 --> 00:39:30,000
Speaker 2: know the number went down a little bit from what

791
00:39:30,160 --> 00:39:31,960
Speaker 2: I took it out, and that's because of the announcement

792
00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:34,320
Speaker 2: that Adrian Martinez isn't going to play. We know Jaylen

793
00:39:34,400 --> 00:39:37,399
Speaker 2: Daniels is going to play, but at the same time,

794
00:39:37,600 --> 00:39:41,560
Speaker 2: this Kansas defense cannot defend the run whatsoever one hundred

795
00:39:41,560 --> 00:39:43,759
Speaker 2: and twenty seventh and defensive stuff rate one hundred and

796
00:39:43,760 --> 00:39:46,799
Speaker 2: twenty third defensive line yards and Deuce Vaughn is just

797
00:39:47,440 --> 00:39:50,239
Speaker 2: going to eat them up alive. This Kansas team has

798
00:39:50,320 --> 00:39:54,120
Speaker 2: been dead since they got six wins, and they're huge

799
00:39:54,160 --> 00:39:57,120
Speaker 2: defensive edge player that they got through the transport of

800
00:39:57,160 --> 00:40:00,239
Speaker 2: Lonnie Phelps, who's the best defensive player on the t team.

801
00:40:00,239 --> 00:40:03,040
Speaker 2: He hasn't even recorded a sack in the last five games.

802
00:40:03,080 --> 00:40:06,440
Speaker 2: So you know, I mean Kansas is sleepwalking. Now, maybe

803
00:40:06,480 --> 00:40:07,960
Speaker 2: they wake up for the big rivalry game.

804
00:40:08,680 --> 00:40:10,319
Speaker 3: Better wake up for a bowl because we're probably gonna

805
00:40:10,320 --> 00:40:10,560
Speaker 3: be all.

806
00:40:10,880 --> 00:40:12,759
Speaker 2: I know, Kansas State has to win this game. So

807
00:40:12,800 --> 00:40:14,120
Speaker 2: it's not like they're gonna come out and be like, Ah,

808
00:40:14,200 --> 00:40:15,799
Speaker 2: we don't need this game. They have to win this

809
00:40:15,920 --> 00:40:18,520
Speaker 2: game or else they fall back into a tiebreaker lost

810
00:40:18,560 --> 00:40:21,360
Speaker 2: situation with Texas. So Kansas is not going to come

811
00:40:21,400 --> 00:40:23,520
Speaker 2: out and be like, Oh, we don't need this. It's

812
00:40:23,520 --> 00:40:25,040
Speaker 2: a rivalry and they have to have it to go

813
00:40:25,040 --> 00:40:27,799
Speaker 2: to the Big fual championship. So I like Kansas State here.

814
00:40:27,800 --> 00:40:29,400
Speaker 2: I think the number just came out a little bit

815
00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:32,319
Speaker 2: because Will Howard's in there, and said Adrian Martinez, what are.

816
00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:34,040
Speaker 3: Your thoughts on the Kansastate defense? Overall?

817
00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:35,839
Speaker 2: They have a great defensive line that you can get

818
00:40:35,840 --> 00:40:37,920
Speaker 2: pressure on quarterbacks, but if you can get to their

819
00:40:37,960 --> 00:40:40,480
Speaker 2: second level, you can burn them. That's just not Kansas.

820
00:40:42,239 --> 00:40:46,839
Speaker 3: Yeah. Big Ten is obviously Ohio State Michigan winner goes

821
00:40:46,880 --> 00:40:51,280
Speaker 3: to the Big Ten title and then from there it's

822
00:40:51,760 --> 00:40:54,399
Speaker 3: it's kind of mess. I mean, if Iowa wins, they're

823
00:40:54,440 --> 00:40:56,360
Speaker 3: going great. We get to see Iowa again and the

824
00:40:56,360 --> 00:40:58,839
Speaker 3: Big Ten championships. So if i WOA beat Nebraska, they

825
00:40:58,840 --> 00:41:01,239
Speaker 3: win the West. If Iowa slipt up, Purdue wins it,

826
00:41:01,280 --> 00:41:05,319
Speaker 3: if they win at Indiana, if if both of them

827
00:41:05,360 --> 00:41:10,160
Speaker 3: lose and Illinois wins, then Illinois would go and also

828
00:41:10,239 --> 00:41:13,560
Speaker 3: Iowa would go if Purdue an Illinois lose. Got all that.

829
00:41:13,719 --> 00:41:16,600
Speaker 3: Maybe not, but basically it's probably gonna be Iowa if

830
00:41:16,640 --> 00:41:21,040
Speaker 3: they beat Nebraska their ten and a half point favorites.

831
00:41:21,120 --> 00:41:23,600
Speaker 3: I was asked personally via DM, I don't know why

832
00:41:23,640 --> 00:41:25,560
Speaker 3: they didn't dmu to ask you are you betting the

833
00:41:25,640 --> 00:41:27,520
Speaker 3: over Nebraska Iowa? And you better not be.

834
00:41:28,280 --> 00:41:30,080
Speaker 2: No, if I had to make a bed in this game,

835
00:41:30,080 --> 00:41:32,439
Speaker 2: it would be on Nebraska. The players are still playing

836
00:41:32,480 --> 00:41:35,160
Speaker 2: hard for Mickey Joseph and Iowa. At the same time,

837
00:41:35,200 --> 00:41:37,000
Speaker 2: they don't need to cover this game. They just need

838
00:41:37,040 --> 00:41:39,439
Speaker 2: to win this game. So if I had to play,

839
00:41:39,560 --> 00:41:41,840
Speaker 2: I played Nebraska. But no no interest in the total

840
00:41:41,880 --> 00:41:43,520
Speaker 2: this weekend on the Nebraska Iowa game.

841
00:41:44,200 --> 00:41:50,120
Speaker 3: Let's see this is in Kinnick Stadium, No no bad weather.

842
00:41:50,239 --> 00:41:56,080
Speaker 3: For what it's worth, Conference USA is pretty straightforward. I'm

843
00:41:56,080 --> 00:41:59,200
Speaker 3: going to get to utsa utep in my trash a

844
00:41:59,280 --> 00:42:02,560
Speaker 3: little tz. They've clinched a spot. They'll host it again

845
00:42:03,160 --> 00:42:05,919
Speaker 3: in They will host the conference championship for the second

846
00:42:05,960 --> 00:42:08,120
Speaker 3: straight year in the Alamo Dome. They will either play

847
00:42:08,280 --> 00:42:11,400
Speaker 3: North Texas or Western Kentucky. But North Texas beat Western Kentucky,

848
00:42:11,520 --> 00:42:15,120
Speaker 3: so all North Texas has to do is beat Rice

849
00:42:15,200 --> 00:42:17,840
Speaker 3: at home to punch its ticket. The problem is, if

850
00:42:17,880 --> 00:42:20,680
Speaker 3: you're thinking of Rice pulling off an upset is it

851
00:42:20,680 --> 00:42:23,080
Speaker 3: looks like aj Padget will start a quarterback again. That

852
00:42:23,120 --> 00:42:25,880
Speaker 3: did not go well last week for Rice, so it

853
00:42:26,000 --> 00:42:29,400
Speaker 3: might be a tall task. Western Kentucky will try to

854
00:42:29,400 --> 00:42:33,560
Speaker 3: get everything done on the road at FAU. It's worth

855
00:42:33,600 --> 00:42:37,960
Speaker 3: noting that FAU has a horrible pass defense, which should

856
00:42:38,040 --> 00:42:40,760
Speaker 3: work out for Western Kentucky, which obviously runs an aerid

857
00:42:41,040 --> 00:42:43,279
Speaker 3: and wants to throw it a lot. The interesting thing

858
00:42:43,320 --> 00:42:46,520
Speaker 3: about the Conference USA why I wanted to bring this up,

859
00:42:46,520 --> 00:42:49,160
Speaker 3: And then you have UAV who's fighting for BO eligibility.

860
00:42:50,000 --> 00:42:52,560
Speaker 3: Will you get Liddy again for lab Tech who's a corpse?

861
00:42:52,640 --> 00:42:55,320
Speaker 3: We'll see. But I think the most interesting about Conference

862
00:42:55,400 --> 00:42:59,920
Speaker 3: USA is two things here. One, if North Texas, If

863
00:43:00,000 --> 00:43:06,440
Speaker 3: Western Kentucky loses at noon at FAU, North Texas is

864
00:43:06,480 --> 00:43:09,560
Speaker 3: in and they played later that day against Rice, So

865
00:43:09,640 --> 00:43:12,000
Speaker 3: I don't know if they'll sit guys.

866
00:43:12,120 --> 00:43:16,040
Speaker 2: Two hours later, right, So the Western side probably late third,

867
00:43:16,239 --> 00:43:18,560
Speaker 2: around the fourth by the time North Texas takes the field.

868
00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:20,439
Speaker 3: Yeah, So I don't know if they're going up sitting

869
00:43:20,440 --> 00:43:23,120
Speaker 3: guys in the second half or they're in our care

870
00:43:23,440 --> 00:43:25,560
Speaker 3: because and I'll get to this in the trash segment

871
00:43:25,560 --> 00:43:28,680
Speaker 3: with UTEP. Last year, UTSA was clinched in the same

872
00:43:28,719 --> 00:43:31,200
Speaker 3: exact spot. They were going for a perfect season two

873
00:43:31,719 --> 00:43:34,040
Speaker 3: and they were playing North Texas, who blew them out

874
00:43:34,040 --> 00:43:37,600
Speaker 3: of the water, and then UTSA was just like, ah,

875
00:43:37,640 --> 00:43:40,800
Speaker 3: we're sitting. They just sat Frank Harris and their coach

876
00:43:41,000 --> 00:43:44,320
Speaker 3: was like, you know Frank Harris, the way he plays,

877
00:43:44,360 --> 00:43:46,319
Speaker 3: he's always banged up. We don't need to risk it.

878
00:43:46,360 --> 00:43:49,520
Speaker 3: So they clinched home field last week. UTSA might not

879
00:43:49,719 --> 00:43:52,800
Speaker 3: go full speed here again. So UTEB team that's playing

880
00:43:53,520 --> 00:43:55,719
Speaker 3: to go to a bowl minor nation, what's up? I'll

881
00:43:55,719 --> 00:43:58,600
Speaker 3: get to that in the trash segment here. But any

882
00:43:58,640 --> 00:44:03,319
Speaker 3: interest in your Rice boys with Paget or fau at

883
00:44:03,320 --> 00:44:04,560
Speaker 3: home against Western Kentucky?

884
00:44:04,960 --> 00:44:09,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have interested in North Texas, especially Western Kentucky

885
00:44:09,160 --> 00:44:11,240
Speaker 2: wins that game against Floria a Landic, which they should.

886
00:44:11,400 --> 00:44:13,840
Speaker 2: There's going to be rain, possible, fifteen mile hour winds

887
00:44:13,880 --> 00:44:17,160
Speaker 2: blowing through one end zone at Pokee Stadium and dead

888
00:44:17,239 --> 00:44:19,200
Speaker 2: in there. And you know North Texas coming off of

889
00:44:19,239 --> 00:44:20,600
Speaker 2: bye week, and I don't know who has a bye

890
00:44:20,600 --> 00:44:22,279
Speaker 2: week this late this season, but they're gonna come off

891
00:44:22,280 --> 00:44:25,239
Speaker 2: of bye week and they're going to be fresh right.

892
00:44:25,840 --> 00:44:27,960
Speaker 3: Sean as a buye. They don't even play there again,

893
00:44:28,000 --> 00:44:29,560
Speaker 3: They're the only thing that just doesn't play.

894
00:44:29,320 --> 00:44:32,320
Speaker 2: This week scheduling, I'm going to keep my eyes on

895
00:44:32,320 --> 00:44:35,120
Speaker 2: the Western Kentucky scoreboard, and I will play North Texas accordingly.

896
00:44:35,520 --> 00:44:39,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, I also think UAB boat races LA Tech if

897
00:44:39,440 --> 00:44:43,400
Speaker 3: Liddy starts again. Louisiana Tech cannot run the ball at all,

898
00:44:43,760 --> 00:44:47,000
Speaker 3: not one bit horrific, and they can throw it a

899
00:44:47,000 --> 00:44:49,640
Speaker 3: little bit with McNeil's in there, but not with Liddy.

900
00:44:49,760 --> 00:44:52,279
Speaker 3: And they're going to against this ua B secondary. I

901
00:44:52,280 --> 00:44:54,040
Speaker 3: imagine the u AB team is gonna be pretty angry

902
00:44:54,080 --> 00:44:57,600
Speaker 3: and Last tex defense is impoverished, so ua B should

903
00:44:57,600 --> 00:45:01,240
Speaker 3: blow them out. We'll get to the other Comforts USA

904
00:45:01,280 --> 00:45:07,560
Speaker 3: game in my trash segment. Let's talk Mac. The mactionin Kent,

905
00:45:07,600 --> 00:45:11,160
Speaker 3: State of Buffalo no longer matters, so if Slee plays,

906
00:45:11,160 --> 00:45:14,000
Speaker 3: we could play Kent, but it looks like Ohio is

907
00:45:14,000 --> 00:45:16,880
Speaker 3: gonna win, so that game doesn't matter anymore. Mount West,

908
00:45:16,880 --> 00:45:20,480
Speaker 3: we're gonna save your Yeah, we'll save your San Diego

909
00:45:20,560 --> 00:45:24,240
Speaker 3: State Air Force take for later in the show. Let's

910
00:45:24,239 --> 00:45:28,360
Speaker 3: talk PAC twelve Washington at Washington State. This game is

911
00:45:28,440 --> 00:45:34,239
Speaker 3: obviously very important, especially if Oregon loses, Washington can then

912
00:45:34,280 --> 00:45:41,200
Speaker 3: play to go to the PAC twelve Championship. Here's the airs.

913
00:45:41,320 --> 00:45:43,040
Speaker 3: I look at this game. These are First of all,

914
00:45:43,040 --> 00:45:45,640
Speaker 3: these are two of the most pass heavy teams in

915
00:45:45,680 --> 00:45:47,880
Speaker 3: the country. Right now, Washington is a one and a

916
00:45:47,920 --> 00:45:49,719
Speaker 3: half anywhere from one and a half to two and

917
00:45:49,760 --> 00:45:51,400
Speaker 3: a half point favorite, depending on the book that you

918
00:45:51,400 --> 00:45:53,279
Speaker 3: look at. I don't think it's gonna get to three.

919
00:45:53,320 --> 00:45:55,359
Speaker 3: If it does, I will hit it immediately. But the

920
00:45:55,400 --> 00:45:59,840
Speaker 3: Washington defense we know is just dreadful. They can't stop anybody.

921
00:46:00,120 --> 00:46:03,000
Speaker 3: They haven't all year. I don't think that they're going

922
00:46:03,080 --> 00:46:06,239
Speaker 3: to stop Washington State here. And on the other side

923
00:46:06,239 --> 00:46:08,319
Speaker 3: of the ball, this Washing. If I look at this

924
00:46:08,440 --> 00:46:11,399
Speaker 3: Washington offense and they've been a different team away from home,

925
00:46:11,440 --> 00:46:14,400
Speaker 3: you have to give them credit for beating Oregon. But

926
00:46:14,480 --> 00:46:17,040
Speaker 3: Oregon's secondary is so bad it was a perfect matchup

927
00:46:17,080 --> 00:46:19,480
Speaker 3: for them. Like they just can't stop passing attacks. That's

928
00:46:19,520 --> 00:46:22,800
Speaker 3: all Washington does. But here are the defenses that Washington's

929
00:46:22,800 --> 00:46:28,080
Speaker 3: faced and their opponent adjusted ranks. Portland State, who cares

930
00:46:28,440 --> 00:46:34,239
Speaker 3: Kent stayed outside the top one hundred, Michigan State ninetieth.

931
00:46:34,320 --> 00:46:36,840
Speaker 3: And by the way, these teams also have awful secondaries

932
00:46:36,840 --> 00:46:42,840
Speaker 3: and better rush defenses. Washington doesn't run it. Stafford Colorado

933
00:46:43,440 --> 00:46:46,279
Speaker 3: one hundred and twenty eight Arizona State one hundred and

934
00:46:46,320 --> 00:46:54,360
Speaker 3: twenty fifth, Arizona outside the top one hundred cal Okay average,

935
00:46:55,480 --> 00:47:00,000
Speaker 3: Oregon average, but again horrific secondary Oregon State top two

936
00:47:00,880 --> 00:47:03,600
Speaker 3: shut them down. And then now you got Washington State,

937
00:47:03,640 --> 00:47:06,640
Speaker 3: who is I have a top fifteen defense right now.

938
00:47:06,719 --> 00:47:09,759
Speaker 3: This is the best defense they will faced by far.

939
00:47:10,520 --> 00:47:13,719
Speaker 3: They are capable of matching up on the outside, and

940
00:47:14,200 --> 00:47:16,480
Speaker 3: both teams are very similar. Like, let's pass a lot.

941
00:47:17,160 --> 00:47:20,360
Speaker 3: I'll take the Washington State defense. I'll take the Washington

942
00:47:20,360 --> 00:47:23,600
Speaker 3: State spot, and I'll take Washington State to get this

943
00:47:23,719 --> 00:47:26,520
Speaker 3: done at home. What do you think?

944
00:47:26,880 --> 00:47:29,879
Speaker 2: Yeah, I completely agree with you. I'm on Washington State here,

945
00:47:29,920 --> 00:47:31,600
Speaker 2: but I don't think we're gonna get closer to three.

946
00:47:31,600 --> 00:47:34,000
Speaker 2: I think we're gonna get closer to one. Yeah, so

947
00:47:34,040 --> 00:47:36,640
Speaker 2: I might as well fire tonight tonight being Tuesday night.

948
00:47:36,680 --> 00:47:39,200
Speaker 2: But a lot of good things happening on the defensive

949
00:47:39,239 --> 00:47:41,120
Speaker 2: side of the ball for Washington State. And by the

950
00:47:41,120 --> 00:47:43,000
Speaker 2: way they play, they play better at home than they

951
00:47:43,000 --> 00:47:45,000
Speaker 2: do on the road. But they are a.

952
00:47:45,000 --> 00:47:48,240
Speaker 3: Time's a team who had Oregon DEADDA rights. They should

953
00:47:48,280 --> 00:47:48,879
Speaker 3: have beat them.

954
00:47:49,320 --> 00:47:50,840
Speaker 2: You know, I can talk all day about the defense,

955
00:47:50,880 --> 00:47:53,320
Speaker 2: how great it's been. The offense is what has killed

956
00:47:53,320 --> 00:47:55,239
Speaker 2: them on the road sometimes because they're one hundred and

957
00:47:55,239 --> 00:47:57,640
Speaker 2: fourteenth and havevoc allowed and they just don't protect the

958
00:47:57,640 --> 00:47:59,680
Speaker 2: ball and take care of the ball. Now, with that

959
00:48:00,200 --> 00:48:03,080
Speaker 2: exciting plays, I mean, this is still the third best

960
00:48:03,120 --> 00:48:06,200
Speaker 2: offense in the nation in rush explosiveness. They make highlight plays.

961
00:48:06,600 --> 00:48:10,279
Speaker 2: The problem. The problem is that they don't take care

962
00:48:10,280 --> 00:48:12,600
Speaker 2: of the ball. So if you're gonna be at Washington Stage,

963
00:48:12,640 --> 00:48:14,600
Speaker 2: just take it with a grain of salt that you're

964
00:48:14,640 --> 00:48:17,600
Speaker 2: gonna get some turnover, some interceptions and you know, and

965
00:48:17,640 --> 00:48:20,600
Speaker 2: that's just a part of being on the coogs here.

966
00:48:20,640 --> 00:48:22,600
Speaker 2: But yeah, I'm with the Washington State and I think

967
00:48:22,640 --> 00:48:24,160
Speaker 2: I'm gonna buy you tonight at two. If you guys

968
00:48:24,200 --> 00:48:27,080
Speaker 2: are listening to this on holiday, I don't I think

969
00:48:27,120 --> 00:48:28,880
Speaker 2: two and a half would draw a lot of sharp money.

970
00:48:29,600 --> 00:48:31,839
Speaker 3: Yeah, I see like a rogue two and a half

971
00:48:31,920 --> 00:48:35,279
Speaker 3: at fandel that's like two and a half minus one twelve. Yeah,

972
00:48:35,320 --> 00:48:38,759
Speaker 3: you can't buy at FanDuel. But I agree, I think

973
00:48:38,760 --> 00:48:40,360
Speaker 3: it's gonna go to a pick. I would even be

974
00:48:40,360 --> 00:48:42,880
Speaker 3: shocked if Washington State closes is a one point favorite.

975
00:48:43,040 --> 00:48:46,160
Speaker 3: But I'm just waiting on that one thing to see

976
00:48:46,160 --> 00:48:48,560
Speaker 3: if that goes to three, send some text off, But

977
00:48:48,600 --> 00:48:50,759
Speaker 3: I agree that this line's gonna come down. All right,

978
00:48:50,840 --> 00:48:55,320
Speaker 3: Let's move on to the SEC, which is already settled.

979
00:48:55,360 --> 00:48:58,840
Speaker 3: We have LSU at Georgia. Georgia is a fifteen and

980
00:48:58,840 --> 00:49:01,040
Speaker 3: a half point favorite in the SEC Championship, which we'll

981
00:49:01,040 --> 00:49:04,600
Speaker 3: obviously talk about next week. Any initial thoughts on that game.

982
00:49:04,800 --> 00:49:08,839
Speaker 2: Dual threat quarterbacks that are depending on Georgia to give

983
00:49:08,920 --> 00:49:12,120
Speaker 2: up their assignment, on what Jayden Daniel Jayden Dan is

984
00:49:12,120 --> 00:49:14,840
Speaker 2: doing with the zone read that's not a good combination

985
00:49:14,920 --> 00:49:18,160
Speaker 2: up against the Georgia defense at all. So I'm uncomfortable

986
00:49:18,200 --> 00:49:20,560
Speaker 2: taking LSU at any number at this point. But like

987
00:49:20,600 --> 00:49:23,120
Speaker 2: Ohio State and Michigan, once I deep dive it, maybe

988
00:49:23,160 --> 00:49:25,400
Speaker 2: I'll change my mind. But right now, I mean, an

989
00:49:25,480 --> 00:49:28,160
Speaker 2: under is the play right with considering the way LSU's

990
00:49:28,200 --> 00:49:31,040
Speaker 2: playing defense these days out of their freaking minds right now?

991
00:49:31,080 --> 00:49:32,839
Speaker 2: With what is Errol Perkins? Is that his name? Yeah?

992
00:49:33,000 --> 00:49:33,239
Speaker 3: Yeah?

993
00:49:33,280 --> 00:49:36,560
Speaker 2: I mean like it's like Georgia has eleven of those

994
00:49:36,560 --> 00:49:39,040
Speaker 2: on their defensive side. LSU's got one guy that is

995
00:49:39,080 --> 00:49:40,879
Speaker 2: a one man wrecking crew. So right now I bet

996
00:49:40,880 --> 00:49:42,160
Speaker 2: the under, But I don't know if I could take

997
00:49:42,160 --> 00:49:43,240
Speaker 2: a point spread with LSU.

998
00:49:43,880 --> 00:49:46,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not taking, by the way, the spot. It's

999
00:49:46,520 --> 00:49:49,480
Speaker 3: not in my drash spots. They're dead to me. Textanum.

1000
00:49:49,480 --> 00:49:51,560
Speaker 3: I bet them once to fade them six times. I'm

1001
00:49:51,560 --> 00:49:53,319
Speaker 3: not betting them. Here are you? Are you betting them?

1002
00:49:53,560 --> 00:49:55,160
Speaker 2: I think I am. I told you they're going to

1003
00:49:55,200 --> 00:49:57,680
Speaker 2: put a number in the market that's gonna draw a

1004
00:49:57,719 --> 00:50:00,600
Speaker 2: lot of it. You know, you know, Oh, the Texas

1005
00:50:00,600 --> 00:50:02,560
Speaker 2: A and M is gonna somehow cover this game like

1006
00:50:02,600 --> 00:50:06,560
Speaker 2: Weekman's gonna have three touchdowns on bullshit plays, right, LSU

1007
00:50:06,719 --> 00:50:08,560
Speaker 2: is gonna look uninterested, and then they'll fire it up

1008
00:50:08,560 --> 00:50:11,440
Speaker 2: in the fourth. But come on, you know that the

1009
00:50:11,520 --> 00:50:13,360
Speaker 2: A and MS are just gonna lay down and die.

1010
00:50:14,400 --> 00:50:16,239
Speaker 3: They might at this point. All right, you should have

1011
00:50:16,239 --> 00:50:18,520
Speaker 3: done your trash segment. Let off with them. I mean,

1012
00:50:18,560 --> 00:50:21,040
Speaker 3: it's the right side. I just don't And I'm usually

1013
00:50:21,040 --> 00:50:22,600
Speaker 3: not like this. I'm usually like I don't care what

1014
00:50:22,640 --> 00:50:25,280
Speaker 3: I did last week. I'll fire again. Here's a really

1015
00:50:25,280 --> 00:50:29,719
Speaker 3: interesting game as sec ACC combos South Carolina at Clemson.

1016
00:50:30,000 --> 00:50:32,520
Speaker 3: Clemson's a fourteen and a half fifteen point favorite. I

1017
00:50:32,560 --> 00:50:35,239
Speaker 3: guess Clem's Oregon. Actually, I think still has a chance

1018
00:50:35,239 --> 00:50:38,240
Speaker 3: at the COLLEGEWABLL playoff like one point five percent. Obviously,

1019
00:50:38,400 --> 00:50:41,160
Speaker 3: just tons of chaos, but I guess Clemson thinks they're

1020
00:50:41,160 --> 00:50:44,200
Speaker 3: still alive, so they would want margin. Well, fund's in

1021
00:50:44,239 --> 00:50:45,760
Speaker 3: the winning. Fund is in the winning.

1022
00:50:45,960 --> 00:50:48,640
Speaker 2: It's hard to win if you can't have fun winning.

1023
00:50:49,360 --> 00:50:51,720
Speaker 3: Why you do it? But do we say is South

1024
00:50:51,719 --> 00:50:54,880
Speaker 3: Carolina and that both their running backs are questionable, So

1025
00:50:54,920 --> 00:50:58,520
Speaker 3: we'll see if if Marshaan Lloyd or Christian Bale Smith play.

1026
00:50:58,600 --> 00:51:00,960
Speaker 3: But they they kind of just let Rattler go and

1027
00:51:00,960 --> 00:51:03,720
Speaker 3: then he threw all over Tennessee. But we know Tennessee's

1028
00:51:03,800 --> 00:51:07,919
Speaker 3: secondary is really bad. But I still was shocked at

1029
00:51:08,120 --> 00:51:10,200
Speaker 3: South Carolina was able to die. Can South kind of

1030
00:51:10,280 --> 00:51:12,880
Speaker 3: carry any of that over into this week? Was that

1031
00:51:13,000 --> 00:51:16,200
Speaker 3: a one week flip because their passing offense was a

1032
00:51:16,320 --> 00:51:20,759
Speaker 3: corpse the rest of the season. Clemson his own this

1033
00:51:20,840 --> 00:51:23,120
Speaker 3: year's they won five straight, three by twenty one plus.

1034
00:51:23,400 --> 00:51:26,799
Speaker 3: Can South Carolina scare Clemson here? Or is this one

1035
00:51:26,800 --> 00:51:27,440
Speaker 3: way traffic?

1036
00:51:27,760 --> 00:51:30,719
Speaker 2: Well, Nate Wiggins I said this. I said this on

1037
00:51:30,719 --> 00:51:35,240
Speaker 2: the podcast on Sunday that if teams that face South Carolina,

1038
00:51:35,280 --> 00:51:37,160
Speaker 2: if they don't have corners that can win fifty fifty

1039
00:51:37,160 --> 00:51:40,880
Speaker 2: balls are going to get abused by South Carolina. Clemson

1040
00:51:40,920 --> 00:51:43,359
Speaker 2: does have a corner, Nate Wiggins, that is good enough

1041
00:51:43,360 --> 00:51:45,200
Speaker 2: to win fifty fifty balls. He's one of the highest

1042
00:51:45,280 --> 00:51:49,480
Speaker 2: rated coverage corners on PFF, so he's going to be fine.

1043
00:51:50,040 --> 00:51:52,400
Speaker 2: And that's going to cut the field in half and

1044
00:51:52,440 --> 00:51:54,320
Speaker 2: they could double over on the other side of Spencer

1045
00:51:54,400 --> 00:51:56,160
Speaker 2: Raller wants to try to do the tip ball drill again.

1046
00:51:56,239 --> 00:51:59,520
Speaker 2: Let's like Stanford from like six years ago. But I

1047
00:51:59,600 --> 00:52:02,080
Speaker 2: have to add, where did the South Carolina offense come from?

1048
00:52:02,160 --> 00:52:04,160
Speaker 2: They had less than three hundred total yards in recent

1049
00:52:04,200 --> 00:52:08,200
Speaker 2: games against Florida, Missouri, Texas, A, and M. And I

1050
00:52:08,239 --> 00:52:10,799
Speaker 2: think where Clemson wins this game and covers. I think

1051
00:52:10,840 --> 00:52:13,960
Speaker 2: I'm going to play Clemson. Uh is on the ground.

1052
00:52:14,160 --> 00:52:18,080
Speaker 2: I mean they can run all day with DJU and

1053
00:52:18,239 --> 00:52:20,360
Speaker 2: uh you know, will Shipley kill the clock, hogged the

1054
00:52:20,400 --> 00:52:23,400
Speaker 2: time of possession. Florida ran for three hundred and seventy

1055
00:52:23,400 --> 00:52:25,239
Speaker 2: four yards on the ground just a couple of weeks

1056
00:52:25,280 --> 00:52:28,879
Speaker 2: ago and blew South Carolina out. And I don't see

1057
00:52:28,880 --> 00:52:31,319
Speaker 2: any reason why that's not the Clemson template here. So

1058
00:52:32,000 --> 00:52:33,719
Speaker 2: Clemson is probably going to be a play of mine.

1059
00:52:34,560 --> 00:52:37,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, they're very, very weak in the trenches, which Clemson

1060
00:52:38,000 --> 00:52:43,120
Speaker 3: might be able to exploit. I'm about Louisville at UK.

1061
00:52:44,440 --> 00:52:47,959
Speaker 3: I mean, it looks like Malice Cunningham is going to play.

1062
00:52:48,000 --> 00:52:52,480
Speaker 3: I don't know how healthy's going to be. I and

1063
00:52:52,640 --> 00:52:54,960
Speaker 3: Louisville's defense has been excellent all year. It's one of

1064
00:52:55,000 --> 00:52:57,959
Speaker 3: the most underrated units I think at the Power five level.

1065
00:52:57,960 --> 00:53:02,040
Speaker 3: They've just been especially against the pass. Kentucky can't run it.

1066
00:53:03,560 --> 00:53:07,680
Speaker 3: Kentucky's gonna shut down the exposive Louisville plays. There's probably

1067
00:53:07,680 --> 00:53:09,719
Speaker 3: gonna be some weather. How why do we're gonna get

1068
00:53:10,400 --> 00:53:12,600
Speaker 3: just rinse and repeat? Its canna be another Kentucky under.

1069
00:53:12,640 --> 00:53:14,799
Speaker 3: The Kentucky Unders are just the freest money every single week.

1070
00:53:14,960 --> 00:53:16,920
Speaker 3: I know. Finally the market has come down aload bit,

1071
00:53:16,920 --> 00:53:21,279
Speaker 3: I mean and a half one over this year, and

1072
00:53:21,320 --> 00:53:23,720
Speaker 3: it went by half a point on a last second

1073
00:53:23,920 --> 00:53:27,319
Speaker 3: touchdown by Northern Illinois, who also scored with no time

1074
00:53:27,360 --> 00:53:28,799
Speaker 3: remaining at the end of the first half. That's what

1075
00:53:28,840 --> 00:53:32,759
Speaker 3: it took. So I don't know, I see another under here,

1076
00:53:32,800 --> 00:53:36,719
Speaker 3: but there's definitely some uncertainty with injuries. What do you

1077
00:53:36,760 --> 00:53:37,200
Speaker 3: see here?

1078
00:53:37,840 --> 00:53:40,000
Speaker 2: Same as you I mean, it's an undergame because Kentucky's

1079
00:53:40,040 --> 00:53:41,759
Speaker 2: excellent at tackling, and that's what you have to have

1080
00:53:41,800 --> 00:53:45,160
Speaker 2: against Malice Cunningham. So you know that takes sound like

1081
00:53:45,160 --> 00:53:49,480
Speaker 2: a broken record, But until these unders lose, just keep

1082
00:53:49,480 --> 00:53:50,440
Speaker 2: bending them with Kentucky.

1083
00:53:51,160 --> 00:53:55,120
Speaker 3: Yep, yeah, stoops and unders, you can't really go wrong.

1084
00:53:55,640 --> 00:54:00,439
Speaker 3: Last game Arkansas at Missouri, Missouri three and a half

1085
00:54:00,480 --> 00:54:04,839
Speaker 3: point home underdog. That's down to three now they're playing

1086
00:54:04,880 --> 00:54:10,200
Speaker 3: for Bowl eligibility. I took some Missouri here, just the spot.

1087
00:54:11,680 --> 00:54:15,280
Speaker 3: Arkansas just such emotional games over the past couple of weeks,

1088
00:54:16,239 --> 00:54:19,400
Speaker 3: locked into a bowl. Now I know that they're Unfortunately

1089
00:54:19,440 --> 00:54:22,120
Speaker 3: Pittman's not going to right up a whole line. Know

1090
00:54:22,120 --> 00:54:23,920
Speaker 3: they got to Otam's old team, but they're not going

1091
00:54:23,960 --> 00:54:25,839
Speaker 3: to do a whole speech for your win total, which

1092
00:54:25,840 --> 00:54:28,320
Speaker 3: I know you would like. But I think the spot

1093
00:54:28,400 --> 00:54:31,919
Speaker 3: favors Missouri here. So I took over the field goal.

1094
00:54:32,280 --> 00:54:33,719
Speaker 3: What are your thoughts on your hogs here?

1095
00:54:34,040 --> 00:54:38,120
Speaker 1: Woo pig Suey Collins talking razorback football.

1096
00:54:39,520 --> 00:54:41,799
Speaker 2: I see a lot of advantages from Missouri here. I

1097
00:54:41,800 --> 00:54:44,080
Speaker 2: mean Brad Brady Cook is going to hit crossing routes,

1098
00:54:44,120 --> 00:54:47,280
Speaker 2: Dominic love and Luther Burden the third and Arkansas's defense

1099
00:54:47,320 --> 00:54:49,560
Speaker 2: is still struggling to stop the pass. And then Pittman

1100
00:54:49,600 --> 00:54:51,919
Speaker 2: said something interesting. He said bumper Pool might not play

1101
00:54:51,960 --> 00:54:54,920
Speaker 2: in this game, that he has thought that bumber Pool

1102
00:54:55,280 --> 00:54:57,480
Speaker 2: has been too injured to play the last four weeks,

1103
00:54:57,480 --> 00:55:00,480
Speaker 2: but he keeps showing up and I'm like what, Like,

1104
00:55:00,520 --> 00:55:02,200
Speaker 2: I mean, there's just things going on, like we got

1105
00:55:02,320 --> 00:55:04,000
Speaker 2: a we got a player and hopping in the portal

1106
00:55:04,040 --> 00:55:05,920
Speaker 2: and Pittman like somebody's brought up to Pittman at the

1107
00:55:05,920 --> 00:55:08,200
Speaker 2: press conference is like, oh, nobody's told me about that.

1108
00:55:08,239 --> 00:55:10,040
Speaker 2: Oh well he just did it. And he's like, okay, well,

1109
00:55:10,200 --> 00:55:13,640
Speaker 2: like maybe the receiver Thompson, Yeah, yeah, well no, there's

1110
00:55:13,640 --> 00:55:15,280
Speaker 2: another one, the Joiner kid.

1111
00:55:15,520 --> 00:55:17,839
Speaker 3: Uh oh yeah yeah yeah yeah, yeah's yeah.

1112
00:55:17,880 --> 00:55:19,560
Speaker 2: Pittman at the press conference, like the first time he's

1113
00:55:19,600 --> 00:55:21,200
Speaker 2: ever heard of it was at the press conference. So

1114
00:55:21,440 --> 00:55:25,080
Speaker 2: there's like, I don't know the communication that was there

1115
00:55:25,080 --> 00:55:26,920
Speaker 2: between the players and the coach last year. It's just

1116
00:55:27,000 --> 00:55:29,520
Speaker 2: it's not there this year. But you know, Bumberpool may

1117
00:55:29,520 --> 00:55:32,400
Speaker 2: not play in this game. We'll see. Missouri has been

1118
00:55:32,400 --> 00:55:35,160
Speaker 2: excellent limiting the rush, the rush of opponents, and they're

1119
00:55:35,160 --> 00:55:37,839
Speaker 2: going to have to have that against Arkansas. Uh, and

1120
00:55:37,880 --> 00:55:39,560
Speaker 2: it's been one of the top defenses the nation and

1121
00:55:39,640 --> 00:55:42,720
Speaker 2: passing downs, and I think more importantly, Missouri is sixth

1122
00:55:42,719 --> 00:55:46,200
Speaker 2: than defensive havoc where that really comes into play because

1123
00:55:46,280 --> 00:55:48,359
Speaker 2: Arkansas doesn't turn the ball over and kJ doesn't throw

1124
00:55:48,400 --> 00:55:51,240
Speaker 2: it enough for a lot of PBUs. But where Missouri

1125
00:55:51,320 --> 00:55:54,120
Speaker 2: is going to just recavoc is the fact that Arkansas

1126
00:55:54,160 --> 00:55:56,520
Speaker 2: has allowed seventy tackles for loss this season. A lot

1127
00:55:56,600 --> 00:55:59,719
Speaker 2: of people play in the backfield of Arkansas behind that

1128
00:55:59,760 --> 00:56:02,280
Speaker 2: off and subline, and that's a good way to stop

1129
00:56:02,280 --> 00:56:04,560
Speaker 2: our heat. Sanders. So I see a lot of advantages

1130
00:56:04,560 --> 00:56:08,239
Speaker 2: from Missouri here. So I bought them two. For those

1131
00:56:08,239 --> 00:56:10,040
Speaker 2: of you that followed, I tried to make it as

1132
00:56:10,040 --> 00:56:12,480
Speaker 2: transparent on Twitter as possible. But for those of you

1133
00:56:12,520 --> 00:56:14,200
Speaker 2: that have the win total over at six and a

1134
00:56:14,239 --> 00:56:17,839
Speaker 2: half or seven, I bought Missouri on the spread at four.

1135
00:56:17,880 --> 00:56:19,680
Speaker 2: I would still buy it at three. I would just

1136
00:56:19,719 --> 00:56:22,080
Speaker 2: whatever money you put into the win total, just put

1137
00:56:22,080 --> 00:56:23,799
Speaker 2: it on the other side of the Missouri plus three

1138
00:56:23,840 --> 00:56:25,520
Speaker 2: plus three and a half whatever you can get. And hey,

1139
00:56:25,560 --> 00:56:28,480
Speaker 2: if Arnastas wins by two, you're gonna cash both. But

1140
00:56:29,080 --> 00:56:33,120
Speaker 2: no win totals whatsoever. I would bet Missouri standalone here.

1141
00:56:34,160 --> 00:56:37,000
Speaker 3: For triple overtime. That worked for me too. Yeah. Also

1142
00:56:37,040 --> 00:56:39,520
Speaker 3: the spot to Missouri motivation art will come up. Two

1143
00:56:39,560 --> 00:56:42,320
Speaker 3: really emotional games. Missouri basically had a bye last week.

1144
00:56:42,600 --> 00:56:47,759
Speaker 3: They also recently switched play callers, which I think could

1145
00:56:47,800 --> 00:56:50,080
Speaker 3: work on their favor here with kind of the Alemindus surprise,

1146
00:56:50,200 --> 00:56:53,280
Speaker 3: not as much on film, and obviously an important games.

1147
00:56:53,280 --> 00:56:56,480
Speaker 3: So you'll see probably all the stops for Missouri, like

1148
00:56:56,960 --> 00:56:59,160
Speaker 3: the for that staff. It's like getting to a bowl

1149
00:56:59,480 --> 00:57:02,960
Speaker 3: is a big deal for just like your your future

1150
00:57:03,080 --> 00:57:08,279
Speaker 3: job security, so we'll see it. He gave up play calling,

1151
00:57:08,760 --> 00:57:09,719
Speaker 3: so we'll see.

1152
00:57:09,719 --> 00:57:14,360
Speaker 4: All right, let's uh one quick one sun Belt is uh,

1153
00:57:14,640 --> 00:57:17,400
Speaker 4: it's gonna be JMU, which I'll get to in a bit,

1154
00:57:17,960 --> 00:57:21,840
Speaker 4: and they can't go to the conference title.

1155
00:57:22,040 --> 00:57:26,400
Speaker 3: They're gonna play Coastal Carolina, who's already in Coastal Carolina

1156
00:57:26,440 --> 00:57:31,560
Speaker 3: is going to play either South Alabama or Troy. If Troy,

1157
00:57:31,600 --> 00:57:35,400
Speaker 3: who beat South Alabama, can simply beat Arkansas State, then

1158
00:57:35,600 --> 00:57:40,880
Speaker 3: Troy will go and face Coastal Carolina. We don't know

1159
00:57:40,880 --> 00:57:43,080
Speaker 3: if Grayson McCall will be ready by then. He's out

1160
00:57:43,120 --> 00:57:45,920
Speaker 3: for this week for Coastal Carolina their star quarterback. So

1161
00:57:45,960 --> 00:57:48,520
Speaker 3: if Troy beats Arkansas State, they go. They'll play Coastal

1162
00:57:48,560 --> 00:57:51,280
Speaker 3: Carolina in the Sun Belt Championship. If Troy loses and

1163
00:57:51,480 --> 00:57:55,440
Speaker 3: South Alabama takes care of business against Old Dominion, then

1164
00:57:55,520 --> 00:57:58,120
Speaker 3: South Alabama will go. If they both lose, Troy will

1165
00:57:58,160 --> 00:58:03,000
Speaker 3: go as a result of the head to head. I'll

1166
00:58:03,080 --> 00:58:04,760
Speaker 3: just get in. I mean, I'll mention it to my

1167
00:58:04,880 --> 00:58:07,800
Speaker 3: favorite favorite later, but I laid it with JMU. This

1168
00:58:07,960 --> 00:58:11,440
Speaker 3: is like a coast was playing for nothing and they're

1169
00:58:11,440 --> 00:58:13,919
Speaker 3: playing with their backup quarterback. You cannot run the ball

1170
00:58:13,920 --> 00:58:15,920
Speaker 3: in JMU, so I don't know they're gonna move the ball.

1171
00:58:15,920 --> 00:58:19,240
Speaker 3: And this is like an f U JMU game. This

1172
00:58:19,440 --> 00:58:21,200
Speaker 3: is a week You're not gonna let us go to

1173
00:58:21,240 --> 00:58:23,400
Speaker 3: a bowl. You're not gonna let us go. But they

1174
00:58:23,400 --> 00:58:25,240
Speaker 3: would be playing this game to go to the conference

1175
00:58:25,360 --> 00:58:29,440
Speaker 3: title championship if they were eligible for the postseason. This

1176
00:58:29,640 --> 00:58:32,240
Speaker 3: is like our final home game, our final game. You're

1177
00:58:32,240 --> 00:58:34,440
Speaker 3: not gonna let us go. This is like, let's come

1178
00:58:34,440 --> 00:58:38,160
Speaker 3: out and run this up. I think they blow Coastal

1179
00:58:38,200 --> 00:58:42,600
Speaker 3: out of the water, and Coastal doesn't really care. They're already,

1180
00:58:42,720 --> 00:58:44,240
Speaker 3: but the Grace McCall is not playing it, I think

1181
00:58:44,240 --> 00:58:47,360
Speaker 3: that's gonna be a big, big deal. But do you

1182
00:58:47,440 --> 00:58:49,360
Speaker 3: see anything in the other game South A that was

1183
00:58:49,400 --> 00:58:55,400
Speaker 3: laying sixteen and Troy's laying thirteen and a half on

1184
00:58:55,520 --> 00:58:57,840
Speaker 3: the road at ARC State. You know, you also have

1185
00:58:58,280 --> 00:59:02,160
Speaker 3: Southern misses fighting for Bowl elg ability, so is Louisiana

1186
00:59:02,320 --> 00:59:05,520
Speaker 3: app State. Georgia Southern also is for bowligibility since app

1187
00:59:05,560 --> 00:59:10,360
Speaker 3: State has two FCS wins. So some semi interesting storylines

1188
00:59:10,400 --> 00:59:12,360
Speaker 3: in the Sun Belt. Do you see anything that you

1189
00:59:12,440 --> 00:59:14,200
Speaker 3: better are you're looking at? Yeah?

1190
00:59:14,240 --> 00:59:17,040
Speaker 2: I do like Georgia State the first half against Marshall

1191
00:59:18,160 --> 00:59:20,640
Speaker 2: and so you know, they've been playing well and then

1192
00:59:20,640 --> 00:59:23,400
Speaker 2: they just everything explodes in the second half. So I'm

1193
00:59:23,400 --> 00:59:26,680
Speaker 2: not sure what's going on. Why Shawn Elliott keeps getting these,

1194
00:59:27,320 --> 00:59:29,000
Speaker 2: you know, big blow ups in the second half with

1195
00:59:29,040 --> 00:59:31,200
Speaker 2: this team. A lot of turnovers going on there. But

1196
00:59:31,920 --> 00:59:33,320
Speaker 2: you know, I think that's one thing that I had

1197
00:59:33,360 --> 00:59:35,720
Speaker 2: my eye on. And then the James Madison. I didn't

1198
00:59:35,720 --> 00:59:37,600
Speaker 2: want to really mess with the spread because the spread

1199
00:59:37,680 --> 00:59:43,040
Speaker 2: is so completely over inflated. We're talking at ten point

1200
00:59:43,080 --> 00:59:45,160
Speaker 2: swinging in the last couple of weeks because Grayson McCall's

1201
00:59:45,200 --> 00:59:47,720
Speaker 2: not there, James Madison is playing the biggest game of

1202
00:59:47,760 --> 00:59:51,880
Speaker 2: the year because FBS, NCA whatever won't let them play

1203
00:59:51,920 --> 00:59:54,040
Speaker 2: in a bowl, or let them win their division or

1204
00:59:54,120 --> 00:59:57,480
Speaker 2: let them play in the Sun Belt Championship game. So

1205
00:59:57,680 --> 00:59:59,520
Speaker 2: I think it's one of those things where it's like,

1206
00:59:59,600 --> 01:00:01,920
Speaker 2: is James Madison, if they're up by forty, are they

1207
01:00:02,000 --> 01:00:05,880
Speaker 2: really gonna use their last three possessions and just run

1208
01:00:05,880 --> 01:00:07,480
Speaker 2: a full back dive and take a knee?

1209
01:00:07,520 --> 01:00:08,640
Speaker 3: Shit? Now? No?

1210
01:00:08,640 --> 01:00:10,640
Speaker 2: No, yeah, no way. I mean, like, I don't think

1211
01:00:10,640 --> 01:00:11,080
Speaker 2: I'm playing that.

1212
01:00:11,280 --> 01:00:12,920
Speaker 3: I don't care what play this number is. I mean

1213
01:00:12,960 --> 01:00:14,960
Speaker 3: I just wanted under two touch like it was too tight,

1214
01:00:15,000 --> 01:00:16,360
Speaker 3: like if it was over two touchdowns and buy your

1215
01:00:16,360 --> 01:00:18,160
Speaker 3: a little dicey for me. But this is one of

1216
01:00:18,200 --> 01:00:19,760
Speaker 3: those spots where I'm like, I don't care and I

1217
01:00:19,800 --> 01:00:21,000
Speaker 3: might be wrong, but.

1218
01:00:21,560 --> 01:00:25,760
Speaker 2: So Tomsontio right, it has been absolutely amazing ground and

1219
01:00:25,840 --> 01:00:29,120
Speaker 2: through the air. James Madison's top twenty and passing success

1220
01:00:29,160 --> 01:00:31,760
Speaker 2: rate on offense and Coastal's biggest weakness is there a

1221
01:00:31,800 --> 01:00:35,320
Speaker 2: bottom ten team against the pass, So this could be

1222
01:00:35,640 --> 01:00:40,080
Speaker 2: points real fast here, I and more in talking about

1223
01:00:40,080 --> 01:00:41,920
Speaker 2: better now let's shove some money across the counter. I

1224
01:00:41,960 --> 01:00:43,480
Speaker 2: want James Madison team total over.

1225
01:00:44,800 --> 01:00:46,920
Speaker 3: Well, that'll work for me too. I think this is

1226
01:00:47,200 --> 01:00:51,080
Speaker 3: blowout city. And then it's like, what's Coastal's motivation here?

1227
01:00:51,080 --> 01:00:53,320
Speaker 3: They don't even like hate JMU they never played him

1228
01:00:53,400 --> 01:00:55,240
Speaker 3: or anything. It's like, all right, yeah, we get it.

1229
01:00:55,280 --> 01:00:56,040
Speaker 3: You're kind of pissed.

1230
01:00:56,120 --> 01:00:56,240
Speaker 2: Uh.

1231
01:00:56,600 --> 01:00:59,000
Speaker 3: And they're starting quarterback. They start starting quarterbacks hurt like

1232
01:00:59,040 --> 01:01:01,800
Speaker 3: there's no history here. This is just like they might

1233
01:01:01,840 --> 01:01:05,080
Speaker 3: sit some guys right like that are banged up. They

1234
01:01:05,120 --> 01:01:06,600
Speaker 3: got the conference title coming up.

1235
01:01:07,240 --> 01:01:09,400
Speaker 2: Jamie Chadwell is not dumb, you know. I mean I

1236
01:01:09,400 --> 01:01:12,400
Speaker 2: would sit everybody that's gonna play in your conference championship game.

1237
01:01:13,000 --> 01:01:15,160
Speaker 2: I would say, Jamie Chadwell is not dumb here.

1238
01:01:15,680 --> 01:01:19,080
Speaker 3: Yep, all right, let's move on to the final trash.

1239
01:01:19,160 --> 01:01:21,800
Speaker 3: Maybe maybe in a bullshow I might bring up if

1240
01:01:21,960 --> 01:01:24,920
Speaker 3: some trash gets in, But the final trash segment of

1241
01:01:25,000 --> 01:01:30,240
Speaker 3: the regular season, what's that smell? It's digs?

1242
01:01:30,600 --> 01:01:33,880
Speaker 2: I mean the trash, the sweet sweet trash.

1243
01:01:34,800 --> 01:01:38,400
Speaker 3: The trash is a gold mine, old mind the hell

1244
01:01:38,480 --> 01:01:41,600
Speaker 3: A regular season for the trash probably the best that

1245
01:01:41,640 --> 01:01:44,360
Speaker 3: I'll ever have. The trash never does this well, but

1246
01:01:45,000 --> 01:01:48,040
Speaker 3: it was enjoyable, and unfortunately we don't have Club Lit.

1247
01:01:48,040 --> 01:01:50,520
Speaker 3: How's Club Lit? I'll play on the regular final regular season.

1248
01:01:50,840 --> 01:01:53,080
Speaker 3: Definitely would have been betting them again.

1249
01:01:52,960 --> 01:01:54,920
Speaker 2: At the problem is is you've made this such a

1250
01:01:54,960 --> 01:01:57,000
Speaker 2: hot segment, then we're gonna have to talk about this

1251
01:01:57,040 --> 01:01:59,479
Speaker 2: shit in week zero next year, and we're we're gonna

1252
01:01:59,480 --> 01:02:01,040
Speaker 2: have like barely any information on something.

1253
01:02:01,720 --> 01:02:01,800
Speaker 5: No.

1254
01:02:01,920 --> 01:02:05,760
Speaker 3: Club Lit's gonna be I think the worst team. Like

1255
01:02:05,800 --> 01:02:09,600
Speaker 3: so they lose Reynolds, they just had their star receiver

1256
01:02:09,680 --> 01:02:13,439
Speaker 3: under the transfer portal do bos. They're all like, I'm

1257
01:02:13,440 --> 01:02:15,440
Speaker 3: getting out of here. So they're gonna have all they

1258
01:02:15,440 --> 01:02:18,720
Speaker 3: had was like their offense. They're all transferring or graduating.

1259
01:02:19,320 --> 01:02:22,480
Speaker 3: Club elt is going to be unbackable trash Like it's

1260
01:02:22,480 --> 01:02:24,880
Speaker 3: gonna be you mass territory. We'll see, all right, this

1261
01:02:25,000 --> 01:02:29,320
Speaker 3: week I got three trash three trash teams. One's pending,

1262
01:02:29,520 --> 01:02:33,000
Speaker 3: like we'll see I acron at NIU backers plus ten.

1263
01:02:33,080 --> 01:02:35,280
Speaker 3: Right now, I'm trying to get info in DJ Irons

1264
01:02:35,360 --> 01:02:38,160
Speaker 3: if he's playing. What can Akron do? They have one thing?

1265
01:02:38,200 --> 01:02:40,720
Speaker 3: They have really good receivers, their Power five transfers. He

1266
01:02:40,800 --> 01:02:43,560
Speaker 3: can buy time. Irons can buy time and get the

1267
01:02:43,600 --> 01:02:46,200
Speaker 3: ball to the receivers. Their passing game is actually like

1268
01:02:46,360 --> 01:02:48,320
Speaker 3: pretty decent for an acro team. They can't run the

1269
01:02:48,320 --> 01:02:50,600
Speaker 3: ball at all at all. I had all like not

1270
01:02:50,600 --> 01:02:53,760
Speaker 3: not even it's embarrassing. But and I use strength as

1271
01:02:53,760 --> 01:02:56,920
Speaker 3: their run defense and I use pass defense and secondary

1272
01:02:56,960 --> 01:03:01,880
Speaker 3: is really bad. On the flip side, NIU decent running team.

1273
01:03:02,240 --> 01:03:05,280
Speaker 3: That's actually Akron strength on defense. Some of their past

1274
01:03:05,320 --> 01:03:08,080
Speaker 3: that's are okay, but that's with Rocky Lombardi. They haven't

1275
01:03:08,240 --> 01:03:11,200
Speaker 3: I don't know one of their six or seven Italian

1276
01:03:11,280 --> 01:03:13,680
Speaker 3: kids that they bring in. They're all all of Italian names,

1277
01:03:13,720 --> 01:03:16,760
Speaker 3: Premise School or whoever they bring in. And I'm Italian.

1278
01:03:16,760 --> 01:03:19,840
Speaker 3: That's why I say that, Uh, they can't throw the ball,

1279
01:03:20,080 --> 01:03:22,280
Speaker 3: So I think it's a pretty decent matchup for Akron.

1280
01:03:22,320 --> 01:03:24,760
Speaker 3: I also think no one cares in this game, so

1281
01:03:24,840 --> 01:03:26,600
Speaker 3: I'll take the ten points. But I got to make

1282
01:03:26,640 --> 01:03:29,760
Speaker 3: sure that this undercuffler kid isn't starting because he can't

1283
01:03:29,800 --> 01:03:32,600
Speaker 3: move around. He got thrown out of a game earlier.

1284
01:03:33,040 --> 01:03:35,040
Speaker 3: I can't find any info on him. He's like the

1285
01:03:35,080 --> 01:03:39,440
Speaker 3: backup a mess. So Akron, if we can't get club that,

1286
01:03:39,480 --> 01:03:41,560
Speaker 3: we'll have to bet Akron on the final day, you

1287
01:03:41,720 --> 01:03:43,320
Speaker 3: chap Minor Nation. What's up?

1288
01:03:43,840 --> 01:03:48,560
Speaker 2: We're talking Minor Nation out in the West Texans town

1289
01:03:48,560 --> 01:03:51,600
Speaker 2: of Past picks up.

1290
01:03:52,360 --> 01:03:54,760
Speaker 3: We're back. We're gonna get and we'll bet you again.

1291
01:03:55,080 --> 01:03:57,480
Speaker 3: That's the trash we trash segment Bowl. You win this,

1292
01:03:57,840 --> 01:04:02,080
Speaker 3: we're going bowling at utsn UTSA is playing for nothing,

1293
01:04:02,520 --> 01:04:05,720
Speaker 3: nothing at all. It's not the best matchup on paper,

1294
01:04:05,800 --> 01:04:08,120
Speaker 3: but UTSA showed us last year they don't really care

1295
01:04:08,120 --> 01:04:10,200
Speaker 3: about this. This is the same exact spot they're playing

1296
01:04:10,200 --> 01:04:13,280
Speaker 3: in North Texas, team that needed the win to become boeligible.

1297
01:04:13,760 --> 01:04:16,560
Speaker 3: UTSA already knew they were hosting the conference championship, which

1298
01:04:16,560 --> 01:04:19,880
Speaker 3: they clinched the week before all happened this year, and

1299
01:04:19,880 --> 01:04:22,040
Speaker 3: then they sat a couple guys and then Frank Harris.

1300
01:04:22,040 --> 01:04:24,120
Speaker 3: They just said that, don't even come back out for

1301
01:04:24,160 --> 01:04:27,959
Speaker 3: the second half, and North Texas blew them out. Minor Nation,

1302
01:04:28,200 --> 01:04:30,640
Speaker 3: catch them over seventeen. Let's do it. I better hear

1303
01:04:30,680 --> 01:04:33,800
Speaker 3: from you this weekend. I'll be watching. And here's one

1304
01:04:33,800 --> 01:04:35,480
Speaker 3: where I don't show too much value in the line.

1305
01:04:35,800 --> 01:04:38,439
Speaker 3: It's kind of like JMU, but I just don't care.

1306
01:04:38,600 --> 01:04:41,600
Speaker 3: The spot is too good. Vandy plus fourteen or better

1307
01:04:41,600 --> 01:04:45,800
Speaker 3: against Tennessee. I know that Tennessee still has a lot

1308
01:04:45,800 --> 01:04:47,760
Speaker 3: of talented guys to look at. Mine was thirty one.

1309
01:04:48,240 --> 01:04:50,440
Speaker 3: And I know you upgrade Vandy a little bit. I

1310
01:04:50,480 --> 01:04:52,120
Speaker 3: know you have the downngoard Tennessee for giving up a

1311
01:04:52,160 --> 01:04:56,160
Speaker 3: million points to Spencer Rattler. Probably too much of an

1312
01:04:56,160 --> 01:04:58,800
Speaker 3: overreaction here, but Tennessee just went from oh my god,

1313
01:04:58,800 --> 01:05:02,200
Speaker 3: we lost Georgia, so we lost the SEC to okay,

1314
01:05:02,400 --> 01:05:04,520
Speaker 3: everything broke away. We're going to the college for a

1315
01:05:04,600 --> 01:05:07,680
Speaker 3: playoff to holy shit, we just gave up seventy to

1316
01:05:07,680 --> 01:05:10,160
Speaker 3: Spencer rattle and our season's over. Now you're going to

1317
01:05:10,160 --> 01:05:14,480
Speaker 3: a Vandy team. Is Dandy playing for a ball? I

1318
01:05:14,520 --> 01:05:17,280
Speaker 3: think Vandy's playing for a bowl or whatever. They're playing

1319
01:05:17,320 --> 01:05:20,439
Speaker 3: to win three I think they might be. Is Dandy

1320
01:05:20,480 --> 01:05:21,120
Speaker 3: playing for a ball?

1321
01:05:21,440 --> 01:05:23,240
Speaker 2: Yeah they are. They've had too Andandy.

1322
01:05:22,920 --> 01:05:24,720
Speaker 3: Playing for a bowl and then trying to win their

1323
01:05:24,840 --> 01:05:27,800
Speaker 3: third straight SEC game. Now, they got a little lucky

1324
01:05:27,840 --> 01:05:30,280
Speaker 3: last week against Florida, granted, but they got it done

1325
01:05:30,320 --> 01:05:32,880
Speaker 3: and they won out right. They beat Kentucky the week before.

1326
01:05:33,080 --> 01:05:35,440
Speaker 3: These are two teams in completely different mental states. Now,

1327
01:05:35,440 --> 01:05:38,240
Speaker 3: if Tennessee is like uber focused, all week, Like, can

1328
01:05:38,240 --> 01:05:41,440
Speaker 3: you imagine this would be very tough, But they're like, Okay,

1329
01:05:41,480 --> 01:05:44,000
Speaker 3: let's go. We're gonna go beat Vandy. And they come

1330
01:05:44,040 --> 01:05:46,240
Speaker 3: out sharp and Chris with Joe Milton. Fine, they could

1331
01:05:46,240 --> 01:05:50,840
Speaker 3: blow Bandy out, but I'll pay to make them prove it.

1332
01:05:50,880 --> 01:05:54,120
Speaker 3: So yeah, Vandy, that's the trash of the week, minor Nation,

1333
01:05:55,000 --> 01:05:59,480
Speaker 3: the zips and the doors. Uh so let me go

1334
01:05:59,520 --> 01:06:01,680
Speaker 3: one by one. You to agree or disagree.

1335
01:06:02,040 --> 01:06:06,320
Speaker 2: Agree, that's an outright spot. That's that is a cover.

1336
01:06:06,400 --> 01:06:07,280
Speaker 2: That's an outright spot.

1337
01:06:08,000 --> 01:06:11,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, it also might be looking worth looking like second

1338
01:06:11,480 --> 01:06:14,480
Speaker 3: half USA much. Just get some guys, some reps and

1339
01:06:14,480 --> 01:06:20,760
Speaker 3: then sit them. Akron should know, No, Vandy.

1340
01:06:20,920 --> 01:06:22,800
Speaker 2: I think Tennessee is going to roll them. I think

1341
01:06:22,840 --> 01:06:24,240
Speaker 2: Joe Milton has been within one.

1342
01:06:24,080 --> 01:06:25,880
Speaker 3: Of the other They're gonna be about fifty or lose.

1343
01:06:25,920 --> 01:06:29,680
Speaker 2: I think, I mean Joe Milton needs a great performance

1344
01:06:29,680 --> 01:06:31,480
Speaker 2: so he can get his ass in the transfer portal

1345
01:06:31,480 --> 01:06:34,360
Speaker 2: and get a good back team. You know, I don't

1346
01:06:34,360 --> 01:06:36,200
Speaker 2: think Tennessee's right to sit down and die.

1347
01:06:36,840 --> 01:06:39,400
Speaker 3: They're they're they're either going. Maybe you might want to

1348
01:06:39,400 --> 01:06:41,000
Speaker 3: sprinkle some of the money line too, if you kind

1349
01:06:41,000 --> 01:06:43,960
Speaker 3: of like Sandy, because if Tennessee doesn't. It's like they Yeah,

1350
01:06:43,960 --> 01:06:46,960
Speaker 3: they might just show up focused and like it take

1351
01:06:46,960 --> 01:06:53,960
Speaker 3: it's vandy and pissed, or it's a complete disaster. You'll know, yeah, yeah,

1352
01:06:54,000 --> 01:06:56,080
Speaker 3: you'll know right off the bat. All right, So the

1353
01:06:56,080 --> 01:06:58,360
Speaker 3: agreement is on minor nation. Minor nation. We better hear

1354
01:06:58,360 --> 01:07:02,160
Speaker 3: from you, by the way, group of five guys, make

1355
01:07:02,200 --> 01:07:07,680
Speaker 3: sure you check them out. And we appreciate all of

1356
01:07:07,680 --> 01:07:09,800
Speaker 3: you for listening as always, and we appreciate them. They

1357
01:07:09,840 --> 01:07:11,680
Speaker 3: do a great job as well as our audio video

1358
01:07:11,720 --> 01:07:13,600
Speaker 3: people in the back end before we get out of

1359
01:07:13,640 --> 01:07:16,120
Speaker 3: here that we do with to go three and out.

1360
01:07:16,440 --> 01:07:20,440
Speaker 2: Let's make it a quick three and out first.

1361
01:07:20,160 --> 01:07:24,720
Speaker 3: Down our favorite favorite favorite overdog as we affectionately call them.

1362
01:07:25,240 --> 01:07:28,040
Speaker 3: I'll kick things off. I'll make it easy. James Madison,

1363
01:07:28,600 --> 01:07:31,360
Speaker 3: I think it's just a slam spot, an FU game.

1364
01:07:31,560 --> 01:07:34,600
Speaker 3: They're not eligible for the conference championship that they should

1365
01:07:34,640 --> 01:07:37,480
Speaker 3: be playing them Verse Coastal would be to decide the division,

1366
01:07:38,040 --> 01:07:40,400
Speaker 3: but they're not eligible. They're not eligible for a bowl.

1367
01:07:40,480 --> 01:07:43,840
Speaker 3: It's all BS Coastal. Karen doesn't have Grayce and McCall

1368
01:07:44,000 --> 01:07:46,600
Speaker 3: don't really care about this game. This is like an

1369
01:07:47,120 --> 01:07:50,360
Speaker 3: important sending off mode for Jamie, who will just I

1370
01:07:50,400 --> 01:07:53,000
Speaker 3: assume want to run this up and Coastal can't run

1371
01:07:53,040 --> 01:07:56,560
Speaker 3: the ball. That's bad news with their backup quarterback against

1372
01:07:56,600 --> 01:08:01,480
Speaker 3: Jami because you can't run the ball against Jmu and

1373
01:08:01,560 --> 01:08:03,960
Speaker 3: their backup can't really throw it. So yeah, this is

1374
01:08:04,000 --> 01:08:04,840
Speaker 3: all dukes for me.

1375
01:08:04,920 --> 01:08:07,960
Speaker 2: Where you're going, I'm gonna go Florida State over Florida.

1376
01:08:08,000 --> 01:08:10,680
Speaker 2: The Seminoles are on fire right now. Four straight wins,

1377
01:08:10,760 --> 01:08:14,280
Speaker 2: four straight covers. They have quietly moved into the top

1378
01:08:14,320 --> 01:08:16,720
Speaker 2: seven of my power ratings. I've kind of took a

1379
01:08:16,760 --> 01:08:19,080
Speaker 2: glance at some other power ratings out there that are respected,

1380
01:08:19,160 --> 01:08:22,080
Speaker 2: like Florida State is actually this good now, Florida State's

1381
01:08:22,120 --> 01:08:24,719
Speaker 2: top twenty five and explosive plays on offense and Florida

1382
01:08:24,800 --> 01:08:28,439
Speaker 2: is outside the top ninety and allowing them and you know,

1383
01:08:28,560 --> 01:08:31,439
Speaker 2: Florida just allows way too many long rushing plays. It's

1384
01:08:31,439 --> 01:08:33,719
Speaker 2: been a problem for them all year. And Trey Benson,

1385
01:08:33,800 --> 01:08:36,639
Speaker 2: the Seminoles running back, has just been lighting teams up

1386
01:08:36,960 --> 01:08:41,000
Speaker 2: four point eight yards after contact. He's created sixty nine

1387
01:08:41,040 --> 01:08:42,880
Speaker 2: missed tackles on the season. And if you go out

1388
01:08:42,920 --> 01:08:47,679
Speaker 2: to PFF, the highest elusive rating of all skilled position

1389
01:08:47,760 --> 01:08:51,240
Speaker 2: players that have at least one hundred rushing attempts. Trey Benson.

1390
01:08:51,560 --> 01:08:53,640
Speaker 2: That's how good Florida State is right now. I mean

1391
01:08:53,680 --> 01:08:55,920
Speaker 2: he's better than Dayda Hunter and Liberty. He's better than

1392
01:08:55,920 --> 01:08:59,519
Speaker 2: May and Williams at Ohio State, better than everybody. Siminols

1393
01:08:59,520 --> 01:09:02,400
Speaker 2: don't allow explosives on defense through the air or on

1394
01:09:02,479 --> 01:09:05,479
Speaker 2: the ground, and they have a track They have a

1395
01:09:05,520 --> 01:09:09,479
Speaker 2: track record against dual threats. Garrett Trader, Sam Hartman, Tyler

1396
01:09:09,560 --> 01:09:14,040
Speaker 2: Van Dyke, negative rushing yards including sack yardage, d Jungleiley

1397
01:09:14,760 --> 01:09:17,479
Speaker 2: just twenty six yards on fourteen carries. And there's a

1398
01:09:17,560 --> 01:09:20,599
Speaker 2: huge third down edge here that goes to the seminals

1399
01:09:20,680 --> 01:09:22,760
Speaker 2: Floridas one hundred and twenty seventh and third down D

1400
01:09:23,720 --> 01:09:27,439
Speaker 2: Florida State sixth. Offensively, Florida State is going to roll.

1401
01:09:27,720 --> 01:09:30,960
Speaker 2: They can do it methodically, they can do it with explosiveness.

1402
01:09:31,200 --> 01:09:33,599
Speaker 2: Florida State, I think, is going to roll the Gators.

1403
01:09:34,760 --> 01:09:38,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, Florida State the one if I was going to

1404
01:09:38,120 --> 01:09:41,559
Speaker 3: try to play Devil's advocate. I mean, now their offense

1405
01:09:41,640 --> 01:09:43,120
Speaker 3: is really good. It's coming to their own. Their defense

1406
01:09:43,200 --> 01:09:44,600
Speaker 3: is healthy. They were dealing with some injuries are in

1407
01:09:44,600 --> 01:09:46,120
Speaker 3: the other This is as healthy as they that they've

1408
01:09:46,120 --> 01:09:48,720
Speaker 3: been all year, and they can get you, like with

1409
01:09:48,800 --> 01:09:51,080
Speaker 3: the run game, if you try to play too deep

1410
01:09:51,120 --> 01:09:54,200
Speaker 3: to take away Johnny Wilson over the top, then they're

1411
01:09:54,200 --> 01:09:56,680
Speaker 3: going to beat you underneath. Or if you focus too

1412
01:09:56,720 --> 01:09:58,920
Speaker 3: much on the power run game, Travis is gonna scramble.

1413
01:09:58,960 --> 01:10:00,840
Speaker 3: It's like a really bad Like look if you look

1414
01:10:00,840 --> 01:10:02,439
Speaker 3: at a balance to their offense, like what they do

1415
01:10:02,479 --> 01:10:06,080
Speaker 3: on the ground through the air. The only thing that

1416
01:10:06,120 --> 01:10:08,439
Speaker 3: would worry me is this is going to be this

1417
01:10:08,479 --> 01:10:11,679
Speaker 3: is more of like for bowls and like, yeah, they

1418
01:10:11,800 --> 01:10:14,320
Speaker 3: beat Georgia Tech with a backup QUS to the backup Louisiana,

1419
01:10:14,400 --> 01:10:16,920
Speaker 3: the backup Miami, the HERCB. So those are the last four,

1420
01:10:17,200 --> 01:10:19,040
Speaker 3: but any of the metrics will suggest this team is

1421
01:10:19,080 --> 01:10:22,360
Speaker 3: trending way up. My only concern is the ACC Like,

1422
01:10:23,080 --> 01:10:25,280
Speaker 3: so I'm trying to crack, like just get ahead of

1423
01:10:25,320 --> 01:10:27,639
Speaker 3: the game on who which conferences are overrated, which you're

1424
01:10:27,720 --> 01:10:31,880
Speaker 3: underrated as a whole, as a guideline for and we'll

1425
01:10:31,920 --> 01:10:33,640
Speaker 3: talk about that a lot. You always talk about that

1426
01:10:33,680 --> 01:10:39,080
Speaker 3: as well for bowl season. But like seeing Pitt lose

1427
01:10:39,080 --> 01:10:41,760
Speaker 3: at home the Georgia Tech, then U n C losing

1428
01:10:41,840 --> 01:10:45,719
Speaker 3: the Georgia tach the inconsistencies of NC State. Now Wake's

1429
01:10:45,760 --> 01:10:51,479
Speaker 3: been struggling. Syracuse has just fallen off of a cliff. So,

1430
01:10:52,000 --> 01:10:53,360
Speaker 3: I don't know. I don't know if that's what that's

1431
01:10:53,400 --> 01:10:55,360
Speaker 3: If that says about the teams at the top as

1432
01:10:55,360 --> 01:10:57,320
Speaker 3: a whole, I don't know. Just wanted to throw that

1433
01:10:57,360 --> 01:11:01,400
Speaker 3: out there, is like, is the ACC really down as

1434
01:11:01,400 --> 01:11:03,559
Speaker 3: a whole and will that show up in bowl season?

1435
01:11:04,680 --> 01:11:06,280
Speaker 2: Well, I know that you and I are picking on

1436
01:11:06,320 --> 01:11:08,800
Speaker 2: Mountain West, right, I don't know. I mean usually we

1437
01:11:08,840 --> 01:11:12,000
Speaker 2: pick on the ACC two, but we generally know that

1438
01:11:12,080 --> 01:11:14,320
Speaker 2: the MAC doesn't have the recruiting to hold up in

1439
01:11:14,439 --> 01:11:16,679
Speaker 2: bowl games, and the Mountain West has been down this year,

1440
01:11:17,439 --> 01:11:19,439
Speaker 2: and the ACC has been fun to pick on two,

1441
01:11:19,560 --> 01:11:22,400
Speaker 2: but I'm not I'm not positive that's the cases here.

1442
01:11:22,600 --> 01:11:23,559
Speaker 2: I mean, Florida has.

1443
01:11:23,400 --> 01:11:25,880
Speaker 3: Great quarterbacks, which should be which it is translate to

1444
01:11:25,880 --> 01:11:27,519
Speaker 3: facing great quarterbacks every week.

1445
01:11:27,920 --> 01:11:31,080
Speaker 2: If Yeah, I think the ACC is is a conference

1446
01:11:31,120 --> 01:11:33,000
Speaker 2: I'm looking to play on, if anything, when it gets

1447
01:11:33,040 --> 01:11:33,639
Speaker 2: to ball season.

1448
01:11:34,360 --> 01:11:36,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, there are just some head scratching results all year,

1449
01:11:36,840 --> 01:11:40,040
Speaker 3: like Miami losing the Middle Tennessee at home. Like we've

1450
01:11:40,080 --> 01:11:43,000
Speaker 3: done this study out, we've done this study.

1451
01:11:42,760 --> 01:11:48,040
Speaker 2: Before that the ACC, out of all the Power five conferences,

1452
01:11:48,560 --> 01:11:52,400
Speaker 2: has the most blowouts. It has the least amount of

1453
01:11:52,520 --> 01:11:57,240
Speaker 2: underdogs covering and not winning, which means there's blowouts both sides.

1454
01:11:57,320 --> 01:12:00,680
Speaker 2: Underdogs blowout, favorites blowout like this, the spread it is

1455
01:12:00,720 --> 01:12:03,120
Speaker 2: never close, Like we did that study a couple of

1456
01:12:03,160 --> 01:12:06,200
Speaker 2: years ago in Action and bet Labs, and it's like

1457
01:12:06,240 --> 01:12:08,720
Speaker 2: the ACC is wild because scores are like a team

1458
01:12:08,760 --> 01:12:10,280
Speaker 2: will win by thirty and then the next week they'll

1459
01:12:10,320 --> 01:12:11,920
Speaker 2: lose by thirty and the points spar it never mattered,

1460
01:12:11,920 --> 01:12:13,600
Speaker 2: no matter if you're a dog or a favorite, and

1461
01:12:13,640 --> 01:12:15,240
Speaker 2: maybe that's just never change with the ACC.

1462
01:12:15,520 --> 01:12:19,439
Speaker 3: Yeah, all right, let's move on to our favorite money online.

1463
01:12:19,360 --> 01:12:27,760
Speaker 1: Underdog turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for

1464
01:12:27,800 --> 01:12:31,000
Speaker 1: the money line parlay again.

1465
01:12:31,000 --> 01:12:32,600
Speaker 3: I'll keep it easy, already mentioned mine. I'm gonna go

1466
01:12:32,720 --> 01:12:37,040
Speaker 3: Washington State on the polose. Let's go Coog's. I think

1467
01:12:37,080 --> 01:12:40,559
Speaker 3: that this is by far the best defense that Washington

1468
01:12:40,600 --> 01:12:42,960
Speaker 3: will have faced all year. Just like any team that's

1469
01:12:42,960 --> 01:12:46,400
Speaker 3: facing Washington, they'll be Washington State'll be able to move

1470
01:12:46,400 --> 01:12:49,439
Speaker 3: it against their bad defense. Give you the home team here,

1471
01:12:49,880 --> 01:12:52,080
Speaker 3: give me the best defense. Washington's face. If you look

1472
01:12:52,080 --> 01:12:55,800
Speaker 3: at teams that Washington's faced all year, not only is

1473
01:12:55,840 --> 01:12:58,160
Speaker 3: it one of the easiest schedules of opposing defense in

1474
01:12:58,160 --> 01:13:00,639
Speaker 3: the country, a lot of those defenses they're even worse

1475
01:13:00,680 --> 01:13:04,040
Speaker 3: when you consider that their secondaries are way worse than

1476
01:13:04,040 --> 01:13:08,680
Speaker 3: their rush defenses. Looking at you, Oregon, Michigan State, and

1477
01:13:08,720 --> 01:13:10,880
Speaker 3: that's all Washington does, so they're even worse than their

1478
01:13:11,200 --> 01:13:14,160
Speaker 3: their role numbers are stating. I think it's going to

1479
01:13:14,160 --> 01:13:18,200
Speaker 3: be Washington State here gets to twenty eight, thirty thirty one,

1480
01:13:19,280 --> 01:13:21,200
Speaker 3: and that's going to be enough. The only two top

1481
01:13:21,360 --> 01:13:24,920
Speaker 3: fifty sixty ish defenses that Washington has faced, they've been

1482
01:13:24,920 --> 01:13:28,840
Speaker 3: held to twenty one and twenty four against Cal and

1483
01:13:29,000 --> 01:13:33,040
Speaker 3: Oregon State. Washington State gets it done.

1484
01:13:33,600 --> 01:13:36,519
Speaker 2: Where you going, I'm going to stay with another rivalry

1485
01:13:36,560 --> 01:13:39,120
Speaker 2: game in the PAC twelve. But you can't tell UCLA

1486
01:13:39,160 --> 01:13:41,000
Speaker 2: that this is a rivalry game because they're coming off

1487
01:13:41,040 --> 01:13:44,479
Speaker 2: a game against USC heartbreaking loss. Now they have to

1488
01:13:44,520 --> 01:13:47,719
Speaker 2: face Cal, which is this is their absolute biggest rivalry

1489
01:13:48,240 --> 01:13:50,599
Speaker 2: and UCLA is going to struggle because they just lost

1490
01:13:50,640 --> 01:13:53,000
Speaker 2: a game that they needed to make the pactual Championship

1491
01:13:53,040 --> 01:13:55,640
Speaker 2: to possibly have a spot in the Rose Bowl. So

1492
01:13:55,680 --> 01:13:58,439
Speaker 2: they're on hangover mode here. And you know Dorian Thompson

1493
01:13:58,520 --> 01:14:02,240
Speaker 2: Robinson had three interceptions of fumble. He was USC's best

1494
01:14:02,280 --> 01:14:04,280
Speaker 2: defense and now he has to try to pick it

1495
01:14:04,360 --> 01:14:06,240
Speaker 2: up and beat this cow team. It's been stingy in

1496
01:14:06,280 --> 01:14:10,559
Speaker 2: certain spots on their schedule. Utaile's defense was horrendous. USC

1497
01:14:10,600 --> 01:14:13,880
Speaker 2: punted just one time. They had four consecutive touchdown drives

1498
01:14:13,880 --> 01:14:16,760
Speaker 2: in the second half. And UCLA has been known to

1499
01:14:16,920 --> 01:14:20,559
Speaker 2: lose these lou have losses in flurries. Now what I

1500
01:14:20,680 --> 01:14:22,519
Speaker 2: mean by that is they just don't lose one game

1501
01:14:22,560 --> 01:14:26,160
Speaker 2: pick themselves up in the Chip Kelly dtr Era. It

1502
01:14:26,360 --> 01:14:28,920
Speaker 2: just hasn't been that way. In twenty twenty one, they

1503
01:14:28,920 --> 01:14:31,160
Speaker 2: lost to number ten Organ. They follow that up with

1504
01:14:31,200 --> 01:14:33,479
Speaker 2: a twenty point loss to Utah the next week. In

1505
01:14:33,520 --> 01:14:36,880
Speaker 2: the pandemic season, they lost number fifteen USC. They lost

1506
01:14:36,880 --> 01:14:39,360
Speaker 2: in double overtime to Stanford the following week. And then

1507
01:14:39,400 --> 01:14:43,040
Speaker 2: finally in twenty nineteen, just completely, UCLA just fell apart.

1508
01:14:43,360 --> 01:14:46,240
Speaker 2: They lost to number seven Utah twenty three USC. Then

1509
01:14:46,280 --> 01:14:48,840
Speaker 2: they lost to Cal this cow team twenty eight to

1510
01:14:48,880 --> 01:14:52,679
Speaker 2: eighteen in this very spot. And if you look at Cal,

1511
01:14:52,720 --> 01:14:54,799
Speaker 2: I mean they lost on the road by six points

1512
01:14:54,800 --> 01:14:57,800
Speaker 2: to USC. They can hang here. They can hang and

1513
01:14:57,840 --> 01:14:59,720
Speaker 2: they closed a twenty point gap in the second half.

1514
01:14:59,760 --> 01:15:01,080
Speaker 2: I think they could do that here. Of you say

1515
01:15:01,160 --> 01:15:03,840
Speaker 2: it's the lead, but this is Cal's season ending bowl game.

1516
01:15:03,880 --> 01:15:05,600
Speaker 2: They only have four wins. They can't make it to

1517
01:15:05,640 --> 01:15:08,000
Speaker 2: a bowl. And you say his defense is one hundred

1518
01:15:08,000 --> 01:15:10,600
Speaker 2: and sixteenth and success rate one hundred and seventeenth in

1519
01:15:10,720 --> 01:15:14,840
Speaker 2: havoc near dead last and standard downs defense. This cold

1520
01:15:15,040 --> 01:15:19,080
Speaker 2: thrives on eliminating explosives, especially against the rush. They're fourth

1521
01:15:19,080 --> 01:15:22,960
Speaker 2: in the nation and defensive rush expected points. That's the

1522
01:15:23,000 --> 01:15:25,759
Speaker 2: main ingredient that you have to have to beat Ucla.

1523
01:15:25,840 --> 01:15:27,000
Speaker 2: And Cal's gonna do it here.

1524
01:15:28,240 --> 01:15:33,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's gonna be tough, tough for UCLA to come

1525
01:15:33,080 --> 01:15:35,080
Speaker 3: out here. And a lot of times when I say,

1526
01:15:35,160 --> 01:15:38,559
Speaker 3: like the energy for a spot, like their kids, once

1527
01:15:38,600 --> 01:15:40,519
Speaker 3: they get out there and play like you could be

1528
01:15:40,680 --> 01:15:42,240
Speaker 3: larger for a while, but then you pick it up.

1529
01:15:42,479 --> 01:15:45,120
Speaker 3: It's mainly the prep, like the focus, the energy during

1530
01:15:45,200 --> 01:15:49,440
Speaker 3: the week. If it's it's a really tough spot for Ucla.

1531
01:15:49,960 --> 01:15:54,439
Speaker 3: And then finally on third down, final order of business

1532
01:15:54,600 --> 01:16:01,360
Speaker 3: of the regular season. Favorite bet of Week thirteen with Missouri.

1533
01:16:01,680 --> 01:16:04,080
Speaker 3: It's the spot. I think that they get it done,

1534
01:16:04,240 --> 01:16:06,519
Speaker 3: hopefully by two. Hopefully Arkits one by two for your

1535
01:16:06,560 --> 01:16:09,759
Speaker 3: win total. In triple overtime, we'll get an exciting game

1536
01:16:10,080 --> 01:16:13,680
Speaker 3: and everyone cashes. But I love the spot here. I

1537
01:16:13,720 --> 01:16:15,920
Speaker 3: love some aspects of the matchup. I love that there's

1538
01:16:15,920 --> 01:16:18,320
Speaker 3: a new play caller. I think you're going to see

1539
01:16:18,520 --> 01:16:20,640
Speaker 3: Missouri pull out all the stops, needing this game for

1540
01:16:20,680 --> 01:16:24,880
Speaker 3: Bowl eligibility. Meanwhile, Arkansas coming off really two emotional games.

1541
01:16:24,920 --> 01:16:27,240
Speaker 3: I mean that LSU game, they put everything out on

1542
01:16:27,280 --> 01:16:30,360
Speaker 3: the field, and then last week, I mean kJ wanted

1543
01:16:30,400 --> 01:16:35,519
Speaker 3: that bad and just just a dominant effort, emotional game. Meanwhile,

1544
01:16:35,560 --> 01:16:38,320
Speaker 3: Missouri pretty much got to buy over to Mexico State.

1545
01:16:38,439 --> 01:16:40,559
Speaker 3: So I think the spot streams Missouri. Where you go.

1546
01:16:41,200 --> 01:16:44,120
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take air Force against by beloved San Diego

1547
01:16:44,160 --> 01:16:48,400
Speaker 2: State Aztecs. Wow. Air Force has limited dual threat quarterbacks

1548
01:16:48,439 --> 01:16:50,200
Speaker 2: throughout the season. You go back and look at that

1549
01:16:50,240 --> 01:16:53,160
Speaker 2: Boise State game quarterback Taylor Green. He was limited to

1550
01:16:53,280 --> 01:16:56,559
Speaker 2: sixteen yards on five carries. That's what you're gonna have

1551
01:16:56,600 --> 01:16:59,360
Speaker 2: to have when you're gonna go up against my favorite

1552
01:16:59,439 --> 01:17:02,160
Speaker 2: quarterback in all of FBS, which is Jalen Maiden. So

1553
01:17:02,960 --> 01:17:04,800
Speaker 2: you know, Air Force has given up one hundred rushing

1554
01:17:04,880 --> 01:17:07,720
Speaker 2: yards in just one time. In past five games, they

1555
01:17:07,760 --> 01:17:10,640
Speaker 2: have been extremely good against the rush, and running is

1556
01:17:10,760 --> 01:17:13,200
Speaker 2: stsu's primary method to move the ball.

1557
01:17:13,720 --> 01:17:13,920
Speaker 3: Now.

1558
01:17:14,080 --> 01:17:16,559
Speaker 2: San Diego State is coming off a stretch of cupcakes,

1559
01:17:16,560 --> 01:17:20,000
Speaker 2: and listen, it's been fun riding this Jalen Maiden train

1560
01:17:20,160 --> 01:17:24,200
Speaker 2: ever since he's become the starter. But Nevada UNLV San

1561
01:17:24,280 --> 01:17:27,760
Speaker 2: Jose State, who's been lifeless in the New Mexico. It's

1562
01:17:27,800 --> 01:17:30,840
Speaker 2: been fun, but that is not, you know, a killer

1563
01:17:30,880 --> 01:17:33,160
Speaker 2: schedule that we can bank anything on. To say that

1564
01:17:33,200 --> 01:17:35,559
Speaker 2: San Diego State is a good football team now and

1565
01:17:35,600 --> 01:17:38,120
Speaker 2: Santeo State is improved, and I love them, but the

1566
01:17:38,240 --> 01:17:40,920
Speaker 2: numbers should be four, it shouldn't be one and a half.

1567
01:17:41,760 --> 01:17:43,719
Speaker 2: So I'm going to go with Air Force here. There's

1568
01:17:43,760 --> 01:17:47,400
Speaker 2: just too much defense, too much ground game. Santuea State

1569
01:17:47,439 --> 01:17:50,880
Speaker 2: doesn't see the triple enough, and you know, Jalen Maiden

1570
01:17:50,960 --> 01:17:52,519
Speaker 2: is not going to be able to scramble around against

1571
01:17:52,560 --> 01:17:53,760
Speaker 2: this Air Force defense.

1572
01:17:54,320 --> 01:17:57,280
Speaker 3: Ten seconds or less. The last time in the regular

1573
01:17:57,320 --> 01:17:59,360
Speaker 3: season this year, San Diego State.

1574
01:17:59,200 --> 01:18:02,120
Speaker 2: Over under over always forever.

1575
01:18:02,560 --> 01:18:07,519
Speaker 3: It's vertical and the horizontal, electric, vertical and electric.

1576
01:18:07,760 --> 01:18:12,000
Speaker 2: By the way, Jeff Acklinski was fired, so he Yeah.

1577
01:18:12,360 --> 01:18:14,360
Speaker 2: The reason why I got so confused on that last

1578
01:18:14,360 --> 01:18:16,600
Speaker 2: week is because he got fired the week that he

1579
01:18:16,760 --> 01:18:19,759
Speaker 2: lined Brax and Burmeister up in the slot. Anyways, underdew

1580
01:18:19,800 --> 01:18:22,280
Speaker 2: management in San Diego State has and listen that plays

1581
01:18:22,280 --> 01:18:25,680
Speaker 2: into the air force play too. Like the defense for

1582
01:18:25,720 --> 01:18:28,880
Speaker 2: some reason, is no longer defending anybody. They they are pure.

1583
01:18:28,920 --> 01:18:32,280
Speaker 3: Their defense has fallen off a cliffs. They lost some talent,

1584
01:18:32,280 --> 01:18:35,439
Speaker 3: but usually they're able to reload a little better. All right,

1585
01:18:35,520 --> 01:18:38,800
Speaker 3: that'll do it for us. Thanks as always to Colin

1586
01:18:38,840 --> 01:18:40,559
Speaker 3: for joining me. Thanks of course to all of you

1587
01:18:40,680 --> 01:18:43,920
Speaker 3: for tuning in, thanks to our audio video teams on

1588
01:18:43,920 --> 01:18:47,080
Speaker 3: the back end, and I wish you all happy. Thanksgiven.

1589
01:18:47,120 --> 01:18:49,800
Speaker 3: We're thankful for all of you. Many more opportunities and

1590
01:18:49,840 --> 01:18:52,679
Speaker 3: many more podcasts, not only in future years, but in December,

1591
01:18:52,760 --> 01:18:55,479
Speaker 3: Bowls are coming, my favorite time of the year, our

1592
01:18:55,520 --> 01:18:58,639
Speaker 3: favorite time of the year. I can't wait to dive

1593
01:18:58,680 --> 01:19:02,320
Speaker 3: into those college will playoff of course national championship, but

1594
01:19:02,920 --> 01:19:05,320
Speaker 3: we always have a lot of fun on the Bowl podcast.

1595
01:19:05,400 --> 01:19:07,360
Speaker 3: To stay tuned for them. Of course, we'll be back

1596
01:19:07,400 --> 01:19:11,040
Speaker 3: on Saturday this weekend. Saturday morning, ten thirty am Eastern

1597
01:19:11,080 --> 01:19:14,240
Speaker 3: Big Bets on Campus Live, talk some more about the games,

1598
01:19:14,760 --> 01:19:17,000
Speaker 3: nine to five to nine bad Beat. Tell us how

1599
01:19:17,000 --> 01:19:19,920
Speaker 3: you feel, Yeah, I think it's uh. Next week will

1600
01:19:19,960 --> 01:19:25,320
Speaker 3: be probably the last normal recording schedule of the year,

1601
01:19:25,960 --> 01:19:28,640
Speaker 3: so we'll have a recap episode and then we'll have

1602
01:19:28,720 --> 01:19:33,800
Speaker 3: our conference title previews, and then after that it'll be

1603
01:19:33,920 --> 01:19:36,519
Speaker 3: you know, we'll figure out the best schedule for to

1604
01:19:36,560 --> 01:19:39,240
Speaker 3: get a bunch of Bowl previews out there, but we'll

1605
01:19:39,280 --> 01:19:42,479
Speaker 3: have a nice week off for Army Navy Week. Make

1606
01:19:42,520 --> 01:19:44,960
Speaker 3: sure you stay tuned for all that and leave a review.

1607
01:19:45,040 --> 01:19:47,599
Speaker 3: Subscribe on Subscribe, tell a friend, tell on enemy. Five

1608
01:19:47,640 --> 01:19:49,880
Speaker 3: star reviews really help us out. Thankful for all of

1609
01:19:49,920 --> 01:19:52,400
Speaker 3: you happy Thanksgiving and enjoying the holiday, enjoying the games,

1610
01:19:52,479 --> 01:19:54,439
Speaker 3: and we will catch you all later.

1611
01:19:54,560 --> 01:20:01,959
Speaker 2: Cheers, peace out,