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Speaker 1: The Trump trade is on, but are you gonna profit

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Speaker 1: from it? Or do you dislike Trump so much that

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Speaker 1: you're gonna sit this one out?

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Speaker 2: Now, my opinion is that leave any.

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Speaker 1: Political orientation or perception on the sidelines to understand how

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Speaker 1: this affects the markets and of course the asset prices.

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Speaker 1: So in this video, I'm gonna break down what the

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Speaker 1: Trump trade is. We look at what asset prices are

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Speaker 1: already being moved, what the expectations are, what I'm expecting

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Speaker 1: from that. We're gonna look at how we can play

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Speaker 1: this regardless of who.

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Speaker 2: Wins in November. So let's go.

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Speaker 1: All right, Welcome back. If you're new to the channel,

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Speaker 1: my name is Mark Moss, and I make these videos

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Speaker 1: to help you understand the moves in the market. So

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Speaker 1: of course you can be on the winning side of

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Speaker 1: these and regardless of who wins in November, there's gonna

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Speaker 1: be winners and losers in the markets because asset prices

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Speaker 1: are already moving.

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Speaker 2: So let's break this down. I'm not getting go to

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Speaker 2: the political debate. Is it gonna be a freeerfire election?

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Speaker 2: I don't know. Is Kamala really gonna make it to November?

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Speaker 1: I don't know. There's a lot of questions, but we're

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Speaker 1: not diving into that today. I will say though, side note,

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Speaker 1: I know you want some of my opinions. You know

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Speaker 1: that's saying that gets used way too much. Where there's

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Speaker 1: decades where nothing seems to happen, and then there's decade

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Speaker 1: or there's days where decades.

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Speaker 2: Seem to happen. That's what we're living through right now.

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Speaker 1: A lot of you probably need to kind of sort

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Speaker 1: of pull back to understand exactly how important things are

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Speaker 1: right now today. We are literally living through history books.

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Speaker 1: So when you look through history books of like the

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Speaker 1: fall of the USSR and how one president was swapped

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Speaker 1: out for another, or internable countries, how that happens right

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Speaker 1: now today, that's exactly.

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Speaker 2: What we're living through right now.

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Speaker 1: The word coupdata comes to mind, and I don't think

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Speaker 1: it's used enough. I think that's exactly what we're living through.

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Speaker 1: And so we're really witnessing an entire shift in the

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Speaker 1: United States, maybe the biggest since FDR's New Deal, which

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Speaker 1: kind of turned us from a capitalist to more of

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Speaker 1: a socialist type nation. This is a really big deal.

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Speaker 1: I can go on and on and on about that.

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Speaker 1: I'm not happy about it. I think it's extremely horrible.

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Speaker 1: I think the side that's calling for the need to

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Speaker 1: save democracy is literally killing it. That being said, I'm

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Speaker 1: not gonna go dive deep into all that. We're going

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Speaker 1: to talk about what happens if Trump wins in November,

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Speaker 1: to the markets, to the asset prices, because one way

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Speaker 1: or another, whatever's gonna happen in politics is gonna happen.

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Speaker 1: You and I can decide how we navigate the world

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Speaker 1: after that. Now, I talk about money pretty much mostly

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Speaker 1: all the time. Money for the most part, and the

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Speaker 1: reason why it's important to me are for really two reasons,

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Speaker 1: and that's for me to have more options for my

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Speaker 1: family and so I can help more people.

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Speaker 2: That's it. That's why I care about money.

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Speaker 1: And trust me, the way the country's going, you probably

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Speaker 1: want to have some options.

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Speaker 2: So let's talk about that real quickly.

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Speaker 1: Now, First of all, is Trump gonna win? Will he

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Speaker 1: even make it there? I mean, who knows who? They

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Speaker 1: could try to kill him again? For all we know,

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Speaker 1: is Kamala gonna be there? Will that she get replaced

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Speaker 1: by Hillary or Michelle Obama?

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Speaker 2: I mean who knows? Right?

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Speaker 1: Well, one way we can tell is not by trusting

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Speaker 1: mainstream media, not by trying to trust their polls, but

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Speaker 1: the betting markets. What we found is that when people

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Speaker 1: are betting, when they put money in, they have true

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Speaker 1: skin in the game. The odds or I should say,

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Speaker 1: the results of those betting markets.

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Speaker 2: Are really really really.

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Speaker 1: Accurate, scary accurate as a matter of fact. And so

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Speaker 1: there's betting markets that are going on.

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Speaker 2: We can see.

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Speaker 1: One of them is Polygon, and when Trump got shot,

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Speaker 1: the attempted assassination, the amount of bets in that market shot.

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Speaker 2: To the roof.

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Speaker 1: I think there was about twenty five to forty million

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Speaker 1: dollars a day of bets being placed. I think it

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Speaker 1: jumped to like three to five hundred million, massive mass numbers.

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Speaker 1: So there's a lot of people putting skin in the game,

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Speaker 1: betting on who they think will win. Now, I can

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Speaker 1: tell you as of just a couple of weeks ago,

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Speaker 1: on July seventeenth, Trump was predicted by the betting markets

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Speaker 1: to win by sixty nine percent of the vote. We

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Speaker 1: had Joe Biden, who was still in at the time,

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Speaker 1: who had nineteen and nineteen percent chance of winning. Trump

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Speaker 1: had a sixty nine percent chance of winning at that time.

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Speaker 1: Back on July seventeenth, Kamala had a six percent chance

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Speaker 1: of winning. Michelle Obama had a two two percent chance

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Speaker 1: of winning. All the other Democrat politicians had about a

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Speaker 1: two percent or less. An RFK Junior had a one percent.

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Speaker 1: These are not my predictions. These are not poll predictions.

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Speaker 1: These are betting market predictions. That's what the betters are saying.

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Speaker 1: I would like to think RFK would have a way

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Speaker 1: better chance than that. I certainly would. I would think

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Speaker 1: he has if it was me, I would say he

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Speaker 1: probably has at least a twenty thirty percent chance, But

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Speaker 1: the market say one percent. Now that was seven to

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Speaker 1: seventeen as of today, at the time of this recording

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Speaker 1: July twenty what are we July twenty third. That's changed.

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Speaker 1: So now everything changed. Trump got shot, Biden dropped out,

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Speaker 1: and Trump's gone from a sixty nine percent chance of

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Speaker 1: winning now to a sixty four percent chance of winning.

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Speaker 2: So it's gone.

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Speaker 1: Down and Kamala obviously Biden's out now. Kamala went from

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Speaker 1: a six percent chance of winning to a thirty three percent.

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Speaker 1: And it's pretty interesting because if you looked at it before,

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Speaker 1: Biden was only nineteen and Kamala was six So what

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Speaker 1: is that, you know, twenty five percent? So now Trump

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Speaker 1: went down from sixty nine and sixty four and Kamala

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Speaker 1: went from six percent to thirty three percent.

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Speaker 2: Pretty big deal.

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Speaker 1: Mochelle Obama is still at just two percent. RFK Junior

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Speaker 1: is now less than one percent chance of winning, and

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Speaker 1: all other Democrat politicians, you know, people are talking about

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Speaker 1: whether Gavin Newsom will come up there, Aggretchen Whitmar or whatever.

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Speaker 1: All of them combined are less than one percent. So

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Speaker 1: again that's the betty markets. Nobody has a crystal ball.

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Speaker 1: But these things have been historically very very accurate. Maybe

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Speaker 1: one reason why the politicians are trying to outlaw betting

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Speaker 1: markets and prediction markets. They don't want you to have

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Speaker 1: that accurate information because polls are mostly propaganda. Don't pay

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Speaker 1: attention to those things. I'll link down to some of

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Speaker 1: the betting markets that you can follow this if you want,

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Speaker 1: followed up and put in the show does because again this

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Speaker 1: is going to be way more accurate than any polls

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Speaker 1: that you're hearing. Now, let's talk about the money. Let's

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Speaker 1: talk about the money in the markets. Now, somebody I

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Speaker 1: follow on Twitter Alex Krueger. He's a macroeconomist. He's from Argentina.

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Speaker 1: I like a lot of his content. He put out

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Speaker 1: the Trump Trade and diferent types of asked class. I'm

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Speaker 1: going to pull from some of his stuff. We'll link

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Speaker 1: to the tweet down below if you want to go

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Speaker 1: check it out and follow him.

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Speaker 2: He's worth a follow now. He's also worth of all.

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Speaker 2: He puts out good content.

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Speaker 1: He's a macro economist from Argentina. And the reason why

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Speaker 1: I emphasize from Argentina is because I talk a lot

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Speaker 1: about sort of America with Argentinian vibes. If you want

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Speaker 1: to know where the future of America is kind of

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Speaker 1: look at Argentina now in slow motion. Argentina has had,

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Speaker 1: you know, triple digitiflation for multiple years. I'm certainly not

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Speaker 1: saying we're going into that type of hyperinflation, but in

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Speaker 1: slow motion, that's the direction that we're headed. But let's

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Speaker 1: just jump right into it. Alex Kruger's kind of posts

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Speaker 1: and some of the things that I'm seeing. So the

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Speaker 1: number one thing on the Trump Trade right now is

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Speaker 1: very very bullish, a very very positive outlook for cryptocurrencies

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Speaker 1: bitcoin in general. Okay, so the reasons why are pretty

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Speaker 1: apparent if you're paying any attention. The Trump's administration has

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Speaker 1: openly come out and supported bitcoin and cryptocurrencies for that matter.

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Speaker 1: As matter of fact, there's a headline that says that

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Speaker 1: Trump and Vance, the new VP pick Trump Advance will

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Speaker 1: be the first crypto presidency. That's what inside insiders in

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Speaker 1: Silicon Valley are saying. So we have Trump who's openly

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Speaker 1: come out and said he's going to protect it.

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Speaker 2: He thinks it's an American right. He wants America to

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Speaker 2: be first with it. JD.

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Speaker 1: Vance, who openly has disclosed that he owns bitcoin. Of

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Speaker 1: course he's a tech investor from Silicon Valley. They've openly

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Speaker 1: embraced it. Now it's important to understand this key piece

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Speaker 1: because the Biden administration, I say the administration not specifically Biden,

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Speaker 1: but the administration of Elizabeth Warren most likely or not

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Speaker 1: most likely, but most importantly has been on an anti

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Speaker 1: crypto campaign. So she's been openly promoting an anti crypto

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Speaker 1: public shuts to shut it all down. And then the

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Speaker 1: SEC had by Gary Ginsler, has been openly attacking we

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Speaker 1: call it choke Point Tuboto, trying to shut down cryptocurrencies.

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Speaker 1: RFK Junior has a price embraced it.

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Speaker 2: He's pro bitcoin.

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Speaker 1: He spoke at the Bitcoin conference last year, and now

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Speaker 1: Trump and Vance are as well. Trump says he'll be

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Speaker 1: the first crypto president. As a matter of fact, Trump said,

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Speaker 1: quote bitcoin mining may be our last line of defense

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Speaker 1: against a CBDC, a central bank digital currency.

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Speaker 2: That's what he put on truth Social.

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Speaker 1: He went on to say, quote Bytran's hatred of bitcoin

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Speaker 1: only helps China and Russia and the communist left. See

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Speaker 1: how he's putting that now, I mean, I'm not trying

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Speaker 1: to make this political here, but that's what we have.

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Speaker 1: The Biden administration wants to take away your right to

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Speaker 1: use what you want his money, and Trump wants to

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Speaker 1: promote it, wants to protect it. And he's saying that

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Speaker 1: the hatred of bitcoin only helps China, Russia and the

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Speaker 1: communist left because they can get ahead. Well, the American

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Speaker 1: people will get punished by that. He also went on

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Speaker 1: to say, quote, he wants all the remaining bitcoin to

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Speaker 1: be made in the USA and he wants us to

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Speaker 1: be energy dominant. And we know that from his previous

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Speaker 1: presidency he was.

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Speaker 2: Very pro energy.

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Speaker 1: Now that's the Trump trade. He will be very positive

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Speaker 1: for bitcoin point in cryptocurrencies, relaxing the regulations. There's rumors

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Speaker 1: right now that we'll see at the Bitcoin conference potentially

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Speaker 1: some sort of an announcement that he would actually put

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Speaker 1: bitcoin on the strategic reserves for the United States. So

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Speaker 1: this is really big news. And of course if that happens,

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Speaker 1: you'll see the price of bitcoin explode, and we already

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Speaker 1: have since he started running on this platform and since

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Speaker 1: the shooting. The price of bitcoin, I believe, jumped like

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Speaker 1: ten thousand dollars in like a single day during that

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Speaker 1: assassination attempt, and it's only continued to go up. And

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Speaker 1: so I would expect bitcoin in the crypto narrative overall

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Speaker 1: to be extremely bullish.

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Speaker 2: It already is.

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Speaker 1: The second thing is that it'll be very bullish for

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Speaker 1: fossil fuels as they like to call them. I call

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Speaker 1: them oil and gas, oil, gas and steel. So Trump

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Speaker 1: ran on a platform of being energy independent. Biden's first

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Speaker 1: day in office, his very first thing, the most important

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Speaker 1: thing he did, was basically repeal everything Trump had done,

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Speaker 1: including shutting down the oil and gas industry, repealing permits,

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Speaker 1: not allowing people to go explore, not allowing people to

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Speaker 1: get supply to the market, which is why, of course

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Speaker 1: the gas price is shot so high. You restrict the supply,

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Speaker 1: the man stays the same, the price goes up. So

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Speaker 1: Biden has been very bearish, very heavy on oil and gas,

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Speaker 1: oil and gas exploration, et cetera. And we would expect

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Speaker 1: Trump to turn that completely around, open it back up,

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Speaker 1: deregulate things, put new policies in place to promote domestic production,

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Speaker 1: turning oil into gas, fossil fuels, industrial metals, things like that.

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Speaker 2: And so what would.

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Speaker 1: Happen from that, Well, that could really unlock the entire economy.

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Speaker 1: You have to understand that everything in the economy is

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Speaker 1: driven by the price of energy.

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Speaker 2: Right.

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Speaker 1: It doesn't matter if it's a loaf of bread, or

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Speaker 1: it's food at your store, or it's a new T

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Speaker 1: shirt like it all has to be driven there or

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Speaker 1: shipped there. Required energy to run the lights, to run

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Speaker 1: the equipment, to build it, whatever it is. And so

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Speaker 1: when you can lower the price of energy, the price

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Speaker 1: of everything comes down. When the prices come down, business

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Speaker 1: have better margins, business explode, your purchasing power goes up.

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Speaker 1: And so being bullish on oil and gas is bullish,

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Speaker 1: really on the economy, and it's bullish on humanity overall.

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Speaker 1: Number three, I would expect this Trump trade to continue

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Speaker 1: to be very bullish for financials.

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Speaker 2: Financials.

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Speaker 1: When I talk about financials, I'm talking about banks, lending,

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Speaker 1: the institutions, things like that. The reason why is again

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Speaker 1: back to deregulation. When Trump run on the first presidency,

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Speaker 1: I believe he said that for every one new regulation

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Speaker 1: that was put in place, he would repeal three. And

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Speaker 1: I didn't fact check this before, but I believe he

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Speaker 1: actually repealed five for every new one. So he's very

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Speaker 1: much in favor of deregulating things, letting the free markets

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Speaker 1: actually you know, be free, letting business owners actually you know,

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Speaker 1: create business. And so we would see a lot of

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Speaker 1: deregulation in the financial sector that would reduce compliance costs,

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Speaker 1: and then of course you reduce costs, that increases profitability

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Speaker 1: for the financial institutions, and that means again bullish for

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Speaker 1: that financial space. We'd probably see both Biden and Trump

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Speaker 1: want to print a bunch of money. Both of them

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Speaker 1: are bad for the national debt. Both of them are

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Speaker 1: going to want to print, you know, have the government

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Speaker 1: print money. They'll spend it in different ways. One of

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Speaker 1: the ways that I would see expect to see Trump

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Speaker 1: do that would be again back to the financial sectors,

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Speaker 1: bring these rates back down, and that would kind of

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Speaker 1: goose the short term barring rates and the long term

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Speaker 1: linding rates. I mean, he's a real estate guy overall,

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Speaker 1: so we'd expect to see the financials increase and then

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Speaker 1: the lending markets increase, you know, real estate takeoff and

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Speaker 1: things like that. The next way that this Trump trade

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Speaker 1: is playing out already right now, right in front of

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Speaker 1: our eyes, and we'll continue, is really being bullish in

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Speaker 1: the small cap stock sector. Now, what we've seen over

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Speaker 1: the last couple of years is really like in the

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Speaker 1: S and P five hundred, it's just the mag seven,

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Speaker 1: the top seven stocks that are driving the entire market caps.

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Speaker 1: We've seen this big divergence of the big caps, the

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Speaker 1: seven stocks with there driving the market and everything else

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Speaker 1: sort of falling behind. But we're seeing right now is

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Speaker 1: small cap stock stocks are blowing up, they're taking off.

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Speaker 2: Why.

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Speaker 1: The reason why is, well, let's see if Trump brings

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Speaker 1: back in lower taxes again, and we would expect them

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Speaker 1: to do that because he says he will. But more importantly,

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Speaker 1: that's what he did in his first running office. Now,

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Speaker 1: one of the things that he did that I've talked

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Speaker 1: about many many times is adding bonus depreciation or acceled depreciation.

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Speaker 1: It's been running out. It was going from one hundred

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Speaker 1: percent in year one eighty percent sixty percent. Hopefully that

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Speaker 1: gets renewed. We have lower taxes and less deregulation, and

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Speaker 1: then we support domestic manufacturing back at home. Then that's

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Speaker 1: very bullish for small cap. These are the small players, right,

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Speaker 1: Bring entrepreneurship back, bring manufacturing back. The small players will

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Speaker 1: do really, really well. And we've already seen that. And

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Speaker 1: we can see that by comparing the Russell two thousand index.

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Speaker 1: As we have the chart on the screen right now,

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Speaker 1: the Wrestle two thousand and next to the S and

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Speaker 1: P five hundred, and you can see how the Russell

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Speaker 1: was lagging way behind the S and P five hundred,

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Speaker 1: and now all of a sudden is catching up.

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Speaker 2: Now, this is pretty bullish. We've seen this before. When

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Speaker 2: do we see it before?

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Speaker 1: Well, we saw it in twenty sixteen, the last time

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Speaker 1: Trump was running for president. We can also see it

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Speaker 1: this Trump trade plane out in real time by looking

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Speaker 1: at the bets that are long the rustle and short

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Speaker 1: the Nasdaq one hundred, and we can see that after

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Speaker 1: the attempted assassination, that has completely reversed course and that

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Speaker 1: Trump trade is playing out in real time. As you

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Speaker 1: can see up on the screen. We can also see

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Speaker 1: that industrials are outperforming the S and P five hundred,

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Speaker 1: So the S and P five hundred that's been driven

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Speaker 1: mainly by this Max seven, these big tech stocks, that's

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Speaker 1: all starting to shift. The small caps are outperforming the Dow.

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Speaker 1: Industrials are taking off, and that is a big, big

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Speaker 1: momentum shift. The next catalyst for the Trump trade is

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Speaker 1: on shoring, or at least near shoring. Now Biden's talked

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Speaker 1: about this to some extent. As a matter of fact,

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Speaker 1: the Biden administration put together the Chips Act, which was

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Speaker 1: putting money aside to bring micro chip manufacturing back to

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Speaker 1: the United States, the Inflation and Reduction Act. Right, they

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Speaker 1: want to give tax breaks to people that built and

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Speaker 1: bought from made in America type of thing. We would

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Speaker 1: expect that to really escalate in a Trump administration. If

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Speaker 1: you remember, in Trump's first administration, he was really heavy

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Speaker 1: on China. He was imposing tariffs, and that's really where

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Speaker 1: the trade war started, and to bring a lot of

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Speaker 1: this back to the US. And now he's talking about how,

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Speaker 1: for example, there's on shoring, which is bringing manufacturing back

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Speaker 1: to the United States. There's near shoring, which is like

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Speaker 1: move to Mexico, get it nearby. The problem is that

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Speaker 1: down in Mexico, which is becoming one of the most

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Speaker 1: geopolitically important countries in the Northern Hemisphere probably over the

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Speaker 1: next several years, because of all the manufacturing that's going there,

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Speaker 1: a lot of it's coming from China. So China's setting

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Speaker 1: up their manufacturing in Mexico and then shipping across the border.

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Speaker 1: And Trump's like, whoa, whoa, whoa, That's not going to

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Speaker 1: work for me. If you want China, if you want

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Speaker 1: to build a shell in the United States, that's fine,

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Speaker 1: but move the factory to the United States. You see,

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Speaker 1: China allows manufacturer from the United States to go manufacture

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Speaker 1: in China, but it has to be done in China.

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Speaker 1: And Trump wants to do the same thing. And so

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Speaker 1: we would see a huge bullish catalyst in the markets

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Speaker 1: from reonshoring, and that would be very positive for domestic

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Speaker 1: manufacturing companies that are involved in the reshoring efforts things

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Speaker 1: like that, and very bullish for commodities that would be

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Speaker 1: required for that, copper, concrete, things like that. Now, it's

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Speaker 1: not all roses, it's not all bullish in the Trump trade.

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Speaker 1: The opposite side of being bullish on energy and natural

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Speaker 1: gas and coal and oil is being.

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Speaker 2: Bearish on renewable energy.

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Speaker 1: Now, the reason why is that if we're trying to

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Speaker 1: promote cheap, abundant energy, then we would probably be reducing

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Speaker 1: the emphasis on environmental regulations and supporting fossil fuels means

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Speaker 1: we don't need to be supporting renewable energy. So we'd

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Speaker 1: probably see a potential decrease in subsidies for the renewable

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Speaker 1: energy projects. Now, I've been talking about this a lot,

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Speaker 1: We've done several videos on this. I believe there's sort

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Speaker 1: of already on their way out, and we can see

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Speaker 1: this in a number of ways. So for example, like

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Speaker 1: Ford and GM, which are sort of being fu worst

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Speaker 1: into producing evs and we're building new plants in the

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Speaker 1: South to manufacture the new EV's, have been scrapping their plans.

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Speaker 1: If they cancel the plants to build the cars, then

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Speaker 1: that means the cars don't get built. We can see

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Speaker 1: over on the East Coast huge renewable energy feels like

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Speaker 1: windmills projects are getting canceled, they can't get funding, or

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Speaker 1: they're being shut down altogether. They're killing too many wells,

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Speaker 1: et cetera.

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Speaker 2: So we're already.

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Speaker 1: Seeing a big shift towards being bearish on renewable energy.

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Speaker 1: If Trump gets elected, I would see I would expect

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Speaker 1: to see that continue strong oil and gas bearish on

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Speaker 1: renewable energy, or as I like to call it, unreliable energy.

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Speaker 1: The next thing we would also see is not a

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Speaker 1: bullish case, but a bearish case. I would expect to

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Speaker 1: see it being bearished for healthcare. The reason why is

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Speaker 1: Trump has already talked about and I believe would continue

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Speaker 1: to try to repeal or replace big parts of Obamacare,

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Speaker 1: and so that'd create uncertainty in the healthcare system. Anytime

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Speaker 1: you make a big change, like even implementing Obamacare, it

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Speaker 1: was massively disruptive. And so what economy is like is predictability.

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Speaker 1: I want to know what to expect. They say the

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Speaker 1: markets are forward looking forward betting machines, right, and so

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Speaker 1: I want to know what to expect when there's a

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Speaker 1: lot of uncertainty in the market, you know what to do.

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Speaker 1: It creates a bearish narrative, and that's probably what happens

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Speaker 1: in healthcare as well. I think repealing Obamacare would actually

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Speaker 1: be very bullish for the overall economy and for the

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Speaker 1: majority of American's pocketbook, if you will, their standard of living,

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Speaker 1: but it could create a bearish overtone for the healthcare industry.

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Speaker 1: Now that's sort of the predictions that we have. But

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Speaker 1: here's what I want to come back to again. The TDS,

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Speaker 1: the Trump derangement syndrome is real. And I can already

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Speaker 1: see and hear all the comments that are already filling

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Speaker 1: up down below this video, and so please go ahead,

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Speaker 1: drop me your comments, let me know what you think. However,

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Speaker 1: this isn't about supporting Trump, hating Trump, or liking Trump.

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Speaker 2: It's not about either of those.

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Speaker 1: It's about understanding that things in the market happen.

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Speaker 2: They don't have to us. We're not victims. They just happen.

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Speaker 2: They can happen to us, or they can happen for us.

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Speaker 1: I've talked about before that there is no such thing

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Speaker 1: as good and bad timing. There's good and bad strategies.

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Speaker 1: So that means regardless of what happens. Whether it's Kamala

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Speaker 1: takes the White House or Trump takes the White House,

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Speaker 1: there's going to be different outcomes. As long as we

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Speaker 1: understand what those different outcomes are, and we position ourselves differently,

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Speaker 1: we can come out ahead either case.

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Speaker 2: It's one reason why.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, sometimes I talk about all the bad stuff that's

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Speaker 1: going on in the world, not because I'm a doom

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Speaker 1: and gloomer, but I'm trying to understand the threat, the

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Speaker 1: attack vector, so I can figure out how to play

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Speaker 1: around it.

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Speaker 2: Okay, that's it.

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Speaker 1: So again, if you have TDS Trump drangements engine, put

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Speaker 1: that aside. If you're you know, if you worship Trump,

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Speaker 1: put that aside as well. This is not about who wins.

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Speaker 1: It's about regardless of who wins, different things will happen

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Speaker 1: in the market, and I am positioning my money and

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Speaker 1: my assets in a certain way to benefit from that

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Speaker 1: either way. So again, back to the prediction markets. Not

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Speaker 1: only the prediction markets expecting Trump to win by well

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Speaker 1: over sixty percent, they're also predicting an almost one hundred

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Speaker 1: percent chance of rate cuts. And that's another big catalyst.

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Speaker 1: I've talked about rate cuts extensively. Most people, including myself

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Speaker 1: thought it would have come sooner, but the FED has

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Speaker 1: been holding off. But now there's almost one hundred percent

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Speaker 1: chance that rates are cut by September.

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Speaker 2: So it's a pretty big deal.

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Speaker 1: Now, I do want to give you a word of caution, right,

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Speaker 1: we've seen plenty of false starts in some of these

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Speaker 1: various financial assets. Like I've talked about before, We've seen

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Speaker 1: the false starts in the past, for example, the Russell

436
00:20:28,920 --> 00:20:32,040
Speaker 1: two thousand strength. It could disappear, right if these companies

437
00:20:32,080 --> 00:20:35,440
Speaker 1: can't actually produce the earnings needed to support their current

438
00:20:35,480 --> 00:20:38,360
Speaker 1: you know, excitement in the markets, they could crash back down, right.

439
00:20:38,440 --> 00:20:41,080
Speaker 1: Interest rates could stay up, I mean right now, the

440
00:20:41,080 --> 00:20:42,280
Speaker 1: betting markets will come down.

441
00:20:42,359 --> 00:20:43,400
Speaker 2: They could stay up. Right.

442
00:20:44,119 --> 00:20:47,919
Speaker 1: Bitcoin of course is taking off really big, but it's volatile, right,

443
00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:50,080
Speaker 1: so it could be going up depending on you know,

444
00:20:50,080 --> 00:20:52,159
Speaker 1: what news announcements come out in a given time. So

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00:20:52,200 --> 00:20:54,359
Speaker 1: I just want to give a word of caution. The

446
00:20:54,440 --> 00:20:57,960
Speaker 1: Trump play is in effect. Watch the betting markets to

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00:20:57,960 --> 00:20:59,800
Speaker 1: see the probability of that coming through again. I'll link

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00:20:59,840 --> 00:21:03,360
Speaker 1: to that down below, and pay attention to this Trump trade.

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00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:06,120
Speaker 1: Whether you like them or not, it's moving the markets now.

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00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:08,320
Speaker 1: For me, I decided to go ahead and make money

451
00:21:08,320 --> 00:21:09,879
Speaker 1: off of this. Whether I like the news or not,

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00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:12,040
Speaker 1: it doesn't really matter to me as an investor. But

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00:21:12,119 --> 00:21:13,480
Speaker 1: let me know what you think, all right.

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00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:15,280
Speaker 2: Leave me a comment down below. Let me know if

455
00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:16,720
Speaker 2: you think TDS.

456
00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:18,560
Speaker 1: Will keep people from making money in this market, or

457
00:21:18,640 --> 00:21:22,080
Speaker 1: if you're going to play this like a real investor

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00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:22,520
Speaker 1: and not.

459
00:21:22,520 --> 00:21:24,119
Speaker 2: Get caught up in the ideology behind this.

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00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:25,600
Speaker 1: Let me know in the commics down below. Of course,

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00:21:25,640 --> 00:21:27,120
Speaker 1: as always, give me a thumbs up if you like the video.

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00:21:27,119 --> 00:21:28,399
Speaker 1: If you don't, that's okay, you can give me a

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00:21:28,440 --> 00:21:30,359
Speaker 1: thumbs down. At least tell me why in the comments

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00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:32,000
Speaker 1: down below. And that's what I got. All right, to

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00:21:32,040 --> 00:21:33,760
Speaker 1: your success, I'm out.