1 00:00:05,559 --> 00:00:11,440 Speaker 1: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. What is up 2 00:00:11,480 --> 00:00:18,200 Speaker 1: straight Firefam, It's me Jason McIntyre, Straight Fire for Christmas Morning. Thursday, 3 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:21,959 Speaker 1: March sixteenth, the NCAA Tournament is here. I have to 4 00:00:21,960 --> 00:00:24,119 Speaker 1: work on the Herd today. I know, I know, I 5 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:26,200 Speaker 1: talked about calling in sick. It's not happening. I've got 6 00:00:26,200 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 1: to go on the show. We're probably gonna do three 7 00:00:27,840 --> 00:00:30,880 Speaker 1: hours on Aaron Rodgers, and I'll have the tournament on 8 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:34,000 Speaker 1: the sideline at the studio. I love the beginning of 9 00:00:34,040 --> 00:00:36,080 Speaker 1: the tournament. I will say this has been a weird week, guys. 10 00:00:37,840 --> 00:00:41,720 Speaker 1: I've had to find time to crowbar in bracket stuff. 11 00:00:42,240 --> 00:00:44,879 Speaker 1: My son got invited to a bracket challenge. I barely 12 00:00:44,920 --> 00:00:46,640 Speaker 1: got in touch of them in time for him to 13 00:00:46,640 --> 00:00:49,920 Speaker 1: fill out a bracket. I'm in a ton of bracket contest. 14 00:00:50,040 --> 00:00:53,280 Speaker 1: I did the Calcutta last night. I'll talk about the 15 00:00:53,280 --> 00:00:56,040 Speaker 1: teams later. I'm told Jason, you've got a dial back 16 00:00:56,080 --> 00:00:59,880 Speaker 1: talking about Calcutta's. When pots are large, you know, you 17 00:01:00,000 --> 00:01:01,680 Speaker 1: don't want to put people in trouble in the cross 18 00:01:01,720 --> 00:01:04,480 Speaker 1: lines and the crosshairs. So I will stop talking about 19 00:01:04,520 --> 00:01:07,080 Speaker 1: the Calcutta. I'll just slide it in later in podcasts, 20 00:01:07,280 --> 00:01:09,840 Speaker 1: so I don't get bashed as much or upset with 21 00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:12,800 Speaker 1: people upset with me. That being said, we got to 22 00:01:12,840 --> 00:01:15,480 Speaker 1: start with Aaron Rodgers. Oh, by the way, we have 23 00:01:15,480 --> 00:01:17,720 Speaker 1: a great guest who's going to talk about games that 24 00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:21,840 Speaker 1: he likes today and tomorrow. Although Thomas Casale, you remember him, 25 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:25,000 Speaker 1: he's now with the Action Network. We like a lot 26 00:01:25,040 --> 00:01:28,120 Speaker 1: more second round potential games. There's more edge in the 27 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:30,959 Speaker 1: second round games than these tight lines for week one. 28 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:34,399 Speaker 1: Market is not in your favor be careful. A lot 29 00:01:34,440 --> 00:01:38,560 Speaker 1: of landmines. Don't jump the gun. I actually, and I'll 30 00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:40,160 Speaker 1: talk about it with Thomas. I think some of these 31 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:42,520 Speaker 1: bracket contests you can have a better job by both 32 00:01:42,560 --> 00:01:46,119 Speaker 1: doing multiple brackets, doing your doing like obviously the favorite, 33 00:01:46,160 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 1: the heavy favorites. Then you've got like the halfway favorites 34 00:01:49,800 --> 00:01:52,600 Speaker 1: and upsets, and then you've got just total chaos bracket. 35 00:01:52,640 --> 00:01:56,400 Speaker 1: Because any of those three could happen. Usually we get one. 36 00:01:56,560 --> 00:01:59,760 Speaker 1: I would not be shocked if this Thursday and Friday 37 00:01:59,800 --> 00:02:03,680 Speaker 1: were absolute bonkers with upset Scalore, because nobody's great. As 38 00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:07,040 Speaker 1: friend Frachila told you yesterday. But first, before our interview, 39 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:08,919 Speaker 1: I got to just talk about this Aaron Rodgers thing. 40 00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:13,840 Speaker 1: I'm getting notes from you guys on Instagram, DM, a 41 00:02:13,880 --> 00:02:16,600 Speaker 1: lot of texts from friends, texts from numbers who I 42 00:02:16,600 --> 00:02:18,240 Speaker 1: didn't have saved in the phone who I'm friends with, 43 00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:21,880 Speaker 1: Jay you are, how are you not more excited for 44 00:02:21,919 --> 00:02:24,799 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers? You're getting a Hall of Fame quarterback. How 45 00:02:24,800 --> 00:02:26,760 Speaker 1: are you not pumped up? You get You've never had 46 00:02:26,800 --> 00:02:29,120 Speaker 1: a good quarterback? And I'm like, well, have you guys 47 00:02:29,120 --> 00:02:33,480 Speaker 1: been listening to the podcast or me on the herd? Like, yeah, 48 00:02:33,520 --> 00:02:36,600 Speaker 1: I'm aware of all that, But we're getting Aaron Rodgers 49 00:02:36,639 --> 00:02:39,440 Speaker 1: for one year. That's it unless he's committing to two 50 00:02:39,480 --> 00:02:41,720 Speaker 1: and I'm unaware of it. What's one year of quarterback? 51 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:43,320 Speaker 1: We're gonna have to go through this crap again in 52 00:02:43,360 --> 00:02:47,160 Speaker 1: ten months. And this is where I'm gonna gloss over 53 00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:49,400 Speaker 1: all this stuff about him going on the Punters YouTube show. 54 00:02:49,440 --> 00:02:50,840 Speaker 1: And by the way, you guys seem to like when 55 00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:54,239 Speaker 1: I refer to McAfee as a former NFL Punters YouTube 56 00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:56,440 Speaker 1: show for some reason, you guys love that. It's not 57 00:02:56,480 --> 00:02:58,799 Speaker 1: a dig it's it's a factual description of the show. 58 00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:02,840 Speaker 1: At any rate, Rogers went on said a million things, 59 00:03:03,040 --> 00:03:07,120 Speaker 1: essentially My favorite was not the Adam Schefter part where 60 00:03:07,120 --> 00:03:11,440 Speaker 1: Adam Schefter, the reporter from ESPN, texted Aaron Rodgers a 61 00:03:11,520 --> 00:03:14,560 Speaker 1: question and he said, lose my phone number. Nice try 62 00:03:14,600 --> 00:03:18,440 Speaker 1: Like dude, so you bash reporters who are always wrong, 63 00:03:18,560 --> 00:03:20,680 Speaker 1: but here they are trying to get the truth out 64 00:03:20,680 --> 00:03:22,640 Speaker 1: of you, like Rogers. Just kind of a smarmy dude 65 00:03:22,840 --> 00:03:25,320 Speaker 1: at any rate. He said he went into his darkness 66 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:29,920 Speaker 1: retreat with ninety percent sure he would be retiring. Then 67 00:03:29,960 --> 00:03:32,520 Speaker 1: he came out of the darkness retreat got when that 68 00:03:32,520 --> 00:03:35,960 Speaker 1: the packers were not into him, and he was like, well, 69 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:37,360 Speaker 1: wait a secon, I don't want to retire, I want 70 00:03:37,360 --> 00:03:39,040 Speaker 1: to come back. So then he finds out, you know, 71 00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:41,880 Speaker 1: well he knew Hackets with the Jets. He loves Hackett. 72 00:03:41,880 --> 00:03:44,320 Speaker 1: He speaks so glowingly. There's one coach who means as 73 00:03:44,440 --> 00:03:46,960 Speaker 1: much to me as Eddie coach ever, and he's the 74 00:03:47,040 --> 00:03:53,600 Speaker 1: coordinator there. He says, it's not a decision day, but basically, 75 00:03:53,880 --> 00:03:56,119 Speaker 1: you know, I want to play for the Jets. That's 76 00:03:56,240 --> 00:03:59,920 Speaker 1: essentially what he said. It's kind of annoying that he'd said, 77 00:04:00,800 --> 00:04:02,880 Speaker 1: you know, my intention is to play for the Jets, 78 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:05,240 Speaker 1: and intention was kind of like a weird word because 79 00:04:05,280 --> 00:04:07,560 Speaker 1: it's like, well, you know what, I intend to work 80 00:04:07,560 --> 00:04:09,400 Speaker 1: out tomorrow and guess what, I'm probably not going to 81 00:04:09,440 --> 00:04:11,920 Speaker 1: do it, and see a tournament's on. It's a busy week. 82 00:04:12,800 --> 00:04:14,800 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers intends to play for the Jets, So what's 83 00:04:14,800 --> 00:04:18,039 Speaker 1: the hold up? And we later find out essentially Rogers 84 00:04:18,080 --> 00:04:22,159 Speaker 1: did this entire interview because the Packers hold all the cards, 85 00:04:22,440 --> 00:04:26,479 Speaker 1: or so they think so. According to Albert Breer, the 86 00:04:26,640 --> 00:04:30,800 Speaker 1: Packers contract with Rogers, his fifty eight point three million 87 00:04:30,839 --> 00:04:34,720 Speaker 1: dollar option bonus can be exercised at any point between 88 00:04:34,720 --> 00:04:41,840 Speaker 1: today and September one, so there's no urgency for the Packers, right. 89 00:04:41,960 --> 00:04:44,640 Speaker 1: So by that account, everybody says, oh, well, the Packers 90 00:04:44,680 --> 00:04:45,960 Speaker 1: hold all the cars. They could just ask for two 91 00:04:46,000 --> 00:04:49,960 Speaker 1: first round picks, and I would say absolutely not. The 92 00:04:50,040 --> 00:04:52,280 Speaker 1: Jets would be fools to do that. They know that 93 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:55,920 Speaker 1: there's no way they're doing that. The Jets move is simple, Hey, 94 00:04:56,120 --> 00:04:58,080 Speaker 1: we'll offer you a second round pick, take it or 95 00:04:58,160 --> 00:05:00,479 Speaker 1: leave it. Packers, No, not gonna cut it. Okay, you 96 00:05:00,520 --> 00:05:02,520 Speaker 1: can have Aaron Rodgers. Oh guess what, he doesn't want 97 00:05:02,520 --> 00:05:04,560 Speaker 1: to play for you, and he's going to retire and 98 00:05:04,640 --> 00:05:08,320 Speaker 1: destroy your salary cap because I believe according to spot track, 99 00:05:08,360 --> 00:05:10,880 Speaker 1: his cap hit is something like, not kidding, like ninety 100 00:05:10,960 --> 00:05:13,520 Speaker 1: nine million dollars. If you were to retire, it would 101 00:05:13,520 --> 00:05:17,680 Speaker 1: be devastating to the Packers. So essentially, the Packers are saying, Jets, 102 00:05:17,800 --> 00:05:21,160 Speaker 1: we double dog dare you to say no, because guess what, 103 00:05:21,160 --> 00:05:25,640 Speaker 1: what's your quarterback situation? You look around, it's like, oh, 104 00:05:25,680 --> 00:05:28,680 Speaker 1: we got Zach Wilson. Well, there is one ace trump 105 00:05:28,720 --> 00:05:32,719 Speaker 1: card the Jets have. How bad do they want Lamar Jackson? 106 00:05:32,920 --> 00:05:35,200 Speaker 1: How much would they be willing to go and grab 107 00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:37,680 Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson? They play a game of chicken with the 108 00:05:37,680 --> 00:05:40,960 Speaker 1: Packers and say, hey, okay, listen, if you don't want 109 00:05:41,000 --> 00:05:44,080 Speaker 1: to do the view, we're not giving up multiple first 110 00:05:44,080 --> 00:05:45,800 Speaker 1: that's insane. We're not giving up a first for a 111 00:05:45,800 --> 00:05:49,320 Speaker 1: guy who is committed to maybe one season. You know. 112 00:05:49,360 --> 00:05:51,560 Speaker 1: Maybe they're haggling over how who's paying how much of 113 00:05:51,560 --> 00:05:54,160 Speaker 1: his salary next season. I'm sure all those games are 114 00:05:54,160 --> 00:05:58,560 Speaker 1: being played, but Rogers nos, like, I don't want to 115 00:05:58,600 --> 00:06:00,520 Speaker 1: go to a Jets team that doesn't have for strump picks. 116 00:06:00,520 --> 00:06:03,880 Speaker 1: That can't help me. So now he put the onus 117 00:06:03,920 --> 00:06:07,000 Speaker 1: on Green Bay to hey, Pooper, get off the pot. Guys, 118 00:06:07,240 --> 00:06:10,160 Speaker 1: make a decision. What are you going to get? Just 119 00:06:10,279 --> 00:06:12,359 Speaker 1: take with the Jets, CAF, Let's move on, Let's end 120 00:06:12,400 --> 00:06:16,640 Speaker 1: this relationship. This is trending toward becoming as bad as 121 00:06:16,680 --> 00:06:18,560 Speaker 1: the far vending was in Green Bay. That's where this 122 00:06:18,600 --> 00:06:21,560 Speaker 1: is headed if the Packers keep playing this game. Now, 123 00:06:21,600 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 1: obviously I'm a Jets fan, so you guys know that. Yeah, 124 00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:26,400 Speaker 1: I don't want the Jets to give up a ton 125 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:29,359 Speaker 1: for a guy who you know. Let's just let's just 126 00:06:29,400 --> 00:06:35,120 Speaker 1: be real. His track record of every offseason making sure 127 00:06:35,160 --> 00:06:37,680 Speaker 1: he comes back. He's not great. We don't even know 128 00:06:37,720 --> 00:06:40,279 Speaker 1: what a status is this this upcoming season. So I 129 00:06:40,320 --> 00:06:42,839 Speaker 1: think Rogers did this twofold because one, he looked like 130 00:06:42,880 --> 00:06:45,800 Speaker 1: he had a hostage situation on his hands yesterday when 131 00:06:45,800 --> 00:06:48,720 Speaker 1: he made all these demands. He's blaming the reporters, saying 132 00:06:48,720 --> 00:06:51,240 Speaker 1: their liars, and now he puts it all on the Packers. 133 00:06:51,240 --> 00:06:53,279 Speaker 1: So it's not about the Jets, it's about Green Bay. 134 00:06:53,960 --> 00:06:56,479 Speaker 1: So essentially, if you're the Packers, how long do you 135 00:06:56,520 --> 00:06:59,479 Speaker 1: string this out? Do you just wait? I mean listen, 136 00:06:59,520 --> 00:07:01,719 Speaker 1: you could the Jets could be screwed if they just 137 00:07:01,800 --> 00:07:04,720 Speaker 1: hold this. Hey, we're not doing a deal, Jets say, fine, 138 00:07:04,760 --> 00:07:08,160 Speaker 1: we're drafting our guys, move on. I mean, I suppose 139 00:07:08,240 --> 00:07:11,720 Speaker 1: you could try the Lamar Jackson. You could say, hey, 140 00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:14,960 Speaker 1: we want to offer X for Lamar Jackson, Ravens do 141 00:07:15,000 --> 00:07:16,320 Speaker 1: you want to match it? And if Ravens say no, 142 00:07:16,360 --> 00:07:20,080 Speaker 1: they get two first round picks. But there really are 143 00:07:20,120 --> 00:07:22,360 Speaker 1: not a ton of options for the Jets. Should Rogers 144 00:07:22,360 --> 00:07:25,960 Speaker 1: stay in Green Bay? You got Matt Ryan, he was 145 00:07:26,000 --> 00:07:28,200 Speaker 1: just released. He's thirty seven years old. The combo of 146 00:07:28,200 --> 00:07:30,320 Speaker 1: Matt Ryan and Zack Wilson is not getting you anywhere. 147 00:07:31,760 --> 00:07:34,400 Speaker 1: You could make an attempt at Ryan Tannehill. I don't 148 00:07:34,400 --> 00:07:37,440 Speaker 1: know what that's worth. I don't know what other scraps 149 00:07:37,480 --> 00:07:41,520 Speaker 1: are out there on the market. But bottom line, the 150 00:07:41,600 --> 00:07:44,800 Speaker 1: Packers can just continue to wait until they get what 151 00:07:44,840 --> 00:07:49,600 Speaker 1: they want. And ultimately, I don't know will the Jets 152 00:07:49,840 --> 00:07:52,200 Speaker 1: take the pr hit looking bad because they refuse to 153 00:07:52,240 --> 00:07:55,360 Speaker 1: give up two first I don't think so. This is 154 00:07:55,440 --> 00:07:57,720 Speaker 1: thirty nine year old Aaron Rodgers. This is not what 155 00:07:57,840 --> 00:08:00,680 Speaker 1: Russell Wilson got, This is not what Matt Stafford gut. 156 00:08:01,520 --> 00:08:05,000 Speaker 1: I think the Packers overestimated what the market was for 157 00:08:05,080 --> 00:08:10,960 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers and it's really one team, the New York Jets. 158 00:08:10,960 --> 00:08:14,960 Speaker 1: They have Hackett, so hopefully they can find a middle ground. Otherwise, 159 00:08:15,480 --> 00:08:18,720 Speaker 1: in all honesty, I see this dragging out potentially deep 160 00:08:18,760 --> 00:08:23,520 Speaker 1: into the summer. The Jets absolutely should not capitulate. Imagine 161 00:08:23,520 --> 00:08:26,720 Speaker 1: worst case scenario, you give up two number ones Rodgers 162 00:08:26,760 --> 00:08:29,080 Speaker 1: who thirty nine gets hurt. Next year you got Zack 163 00:08:29,120 --> 00:08:31,640 Speaker 1: Wilson a quarterback, You end up with a bad record, 164 00:08:31,640 --> 00:08:33,360 Speaker 1: and the tenth pick goes to the Packers. And oh, 165 00:08:33,400 --> 00:08:34,560 Speaker 1: by the way, you don't have a pick the next 166 00:08:34,640 --> 00:08:37,120 Speaker 1: year either. No way, no way should the Jets do that. 167 00:08:37,120 --> 00:08:39,040 Speaker 1: That is a non starter, and I don't care. I'm 168 00:08:39,040 --> 00:08:41,480 Speaker 1: not renting Rodgers for one year to give up two 169 00:08:41,480 --> 00:08:44,240 Speaker 1: first That's just no. I wouldn't even do one first 170 00:08:45,360 --> 00:08:48,480 Speaker 1: for a for thirty nine year old. Stop it all right, 171 00:08:48,840 --> 00:08:54,120 Speaker 1: NCAA tournament talking picks with Thomas Kascale. It is lengthy. 172 00:08:54,800 --> 00:08:57,280 Speaker 1: Good luck, enjoy the tournament. Obviously, I'll be on social 173 00:08:57,320 --> 00:09:00,320 Speaker 1: media today. I don't know if I'll be added any 174 00:09:00,360 --> 00:09:02,280 Speaker 1: in game wagering, you know, if a number one, if 175 00:09:02,280 --> 00:09:05,000 Speaker 1: a higher seed goes down double digits, obviously you want 176 00:09:05,000 --> 00:09:08,440 Speaker 1: to smash them. Usually they come back unless it's Virginia boyt. 177 00:09:08,520 --> 00:09:11,520 Speaker 1: I remember that bloodbath, but can't wait for the games. 178 00:09:11,559 --> 00:09:13,680 Speaker 1: Today and tomar two of the best sporting days of 179 00:09:13,720 --> 00:09:17,559 Speaker 1: twenty twenty three. Enjoy it, folks, and here's our guest, 180 00:09:17,679 --> 00:09:21,200 Speaker 1: Thomas Casale from the Action Network. Fox Sports Radio has 181 00:09:21,240 --> 00:09:24,200 Speaker 1: the best sports talk lineup in the nation. Catch all 182 00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:27,400 Speaker 1: of our shows at Fox Sports Radio dot com and 183 00:09:27,600 --> 00:09:31,160 Speaker 1: within the iHeartRadio app. Search f SR to listen live. 184 00:09:34,960 --> 00:09:37,760 Speaker 1: Jason likes to think he knows everything when it comes 185 00:09:37,760 --> 00:09:40,960 Speaker 1: to sports. I know what sports dance wants, but for 186 00:09:41,000 --> 00:09:44,240 Speaker 1: everything he doesn't. He knows a guy who does. Let's 187 00:09:44,280 --> 00:09:47,479 Speaker 1: just say I know a guy who knows a guy 188 00:09:47,760 --> 00:09:50,480 Speaker 1: who knows another guy. You remember him from last year, 189 00:09:50,600 --> 00:09:56,199 Speaker 1: opprescient college basketball prognosticator. He is keeps moving on up 190 00:09:56,200 --> 00:09:58,360 Speaker 1: every time I feel like I talked to him online. 191 00:09:58,559 --> 00:10:00,240 Speaker 1: He's got a new job because people are trying to 192 00:10:00,280 --> 00:10:02,120 Speaker 1: hire him left and right. Maybe he'll be at Fox 193 00:10:02,160 --> 00:10:05,800 Speaker 1: Sports soon enough. He's currently at the Action Network. Work 194 00:10:05,920 --> 00:10:09,160 Speaker 1: with my guy Andrew Lynch, who was at Fox. Let's 195 00:10:09,160 --> 00:10:11,800 Speaker 1: bring in Thomas Cassali. Did I say it right, Thomas? 196 00:10:12,200 --> 00:10:16,680 Speaker 1: You got it? Yeah? Thomas college basketball Expert, The tournament 197 00:10:16,760 --> 00:10:20,320 Speaker 1: is finally here. I'm excited, You're excited. I don't want 198 00:10:20,360 --> 00:10:23,640 Speaker 1: to get that melancholy feel like, oh, you know, there's 199 00:10:23,679 --> 00:10:27,200 Speaker 1: only two amazing days and then it kind of peters 200 00:10:27,240 --> 00:10:29,480 Speaker 1: out after that. But I just I feel like it's 201 00:10:29,480 --> 00:10:32,960 Speaker 1: a Christmas morning vibe. Unfortunately, Thomas, I gotta say, some 202 00:10:33,000 --> 00:10:35,080 Speaker 1: of these lines are way sharper than they've been in 203 00:10:35,080 --> 00:10:37,679 Speaker 1: the past. It feels like the market is just way 204 00:10:37,720 --> 00:10:39,680 Speaker 1: tighter than Like, I don't see a ton of edges 205 00:10:39,720 --> 00:10:43,440 Speaker 1: in the first round. I agree. I actually only bet 206 00:10:43,520 --> 00:10:46,080 Speaker 1: one game early. I bet Drake at three and a 207 00:10:46,080 --> 00:10:48,880 Speaker 1: half because I thought that would go down and I 208 00:10:48,920 --> 00:10:52,160 Speaker 1: needed over a possession in that game. Now it's minus two. 209 00:10:52,240 --> 00:10:54,400 Speaker 1: I mean, I'm thinking about taking the Miami money line 210 00:10:54,400 --> 00:10:56,000 Speaker 1: a kind of middle of it it, be honest with you. 211 00:10:56,440 --> 00:10:59,920 Speaker 1: So and the thing is, and people have written about this, 212 00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:02,800 Speaker 1: So the last couple of years, a decade, two decades ago, 213 00:11:02,880 --> 00:11:05,560 Speaker 1: you always bet the underdogs. You were always getting value 214 00:11:05,559 --> 00:11:08,880 Speaker 1: on the dogs. Now the books know that everybody wants 215 00:11:08,880 --> 00:11:14,240 Speaker 1: to bet Colgate. You know, everybody's talking about Kandan Sau State. Listen, 216 00:11:14,280 --> 00:11:17,959 Speaker 1: I like Kendes Sau State, but eleven eleven and a half. Yeah, 217 00:11:18,000 --> 00:11:20,439 Speaker 1: you know, I got that more around thirteen or fourteen. 218 00:11:20,800 --> 00:11:24,120 Speaker 1: So you're not getting much value in these underdogs. Sometimes 219 00:11:24,480 --> 00:11:26,680 Speaker 1: the last couple of years, I've kind of one eighty 220 00:11:26,720 --> 00:11:30,199 Speaker 1: tod and I look for favorites I have value. So 221 00:11:30,360 --> 00:11:34,079 Speaker 1: you think now you think it's possible to favorites have value? Interesting? 222 00:11:34,120 --> 00:11:36,520 Speaker 1: What about like the UVA Ferman line? That was a 223 00:11:36,600 --> 00:11:39,240 Speaker 1: game I bet And then I started looking around Thomas 224 00:11:39,559 --> 00:11:42,240 Speaker 1: and all I'm seeing anywhere, Oh Furman's got this fermin 225 00:11:42,280 --> 00:11:45,880 Speaker 1: money line. Furman. I'm like, wait a minute, really, you 226 00:11:46,400 --> 00:11:48,719 Speaker 1: there's no way that many people think Furman's going to 227 00:11:48,760 --> 00:11:51,679 Speaker 1: be the side. And now I'm regretting my bet right. 228 00:11:51,720 --> 00:11:55,280 Speaker 1: And here's the thing about Virginia, right, I'm so happy 229 00:11:55,360 --> 00:11:58,720 Speaker 1: Wisconsin isn't in this tournament because I've lost enough money 230 00:11:59,040 --> 00:12:01,840 Speaker 1: betting against wiscon in over the last twenty years. You know, 231 00:12:02,160 --> 00:12:05,040 Speaker 1: last me a lifetime. Last year we got a lucky cover. 232 00:12:05,120 --> 00:12:07,160 Speaker 1: I mean I was on your show. We like Colgate. 233 00:12:07,400 --> 00:12:10,520 Speaker 1: We got a last second bucket to cover against Wisconsin. 234 00:12:10,880 --> 00:12:13,560 Speaker 1: But the thing that problem with teams like Virginia and 235 00:12:13,600 --> 00:12:17,640 Speaker 1: Wisconsin is you better shoot well against them, because if 236 00:12:17,679 --> 00:12:21,160 Speaker 1: you don't, they will slow that game down. They will 237 00:12:21,240 --> 00:12:24,240 Speaker 1: get a lead, they will milk the shot claw, they 238 00:12:24,240 --> 00:12:26,200 Speaker 1: will you know, they'll get their kind of looks. You 239 00:12:26,280 --> 00:12:29,360 Speaker 1: really want those teams playing for behind. So for me, 240 00:12:30,080 --> 00:12:32,000 Speaker 1: if you're looking at that game, how does it go 241 00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:35,120 Speaker 1: the first ten minutes, it's Ferman shooting well or they 242 00:12:35,160 --> 00:12:37,600 Speaker 1: staying in it. Because if Virginia gets like a you know, 243 00:12:37,640 --> 00:12:41,400 Speaker 1: a fourteen to four or fourteen sixth lead playing against 244 00:12:41,520 --> 00:12:44,440 Speaker 1: playing it against a team like Virginia, that's almost you 245 00:12:44,480 --> 00:12:46,960 Speaker 1: don't come back from it. So I think your bet really, 246 00:12:47,480 --> 00:12:50,240 Speaker 1: whoever wins that first ten minutes kind of plays the 247 00:12:50,240 --> 00:12:53,960 Speaker 1: game out. Yeah, I'm just Virginia has no depth. I mean, 248 00:12:54,000 --> 00:12:56,120 Speaker 1: not that it matters. But again, I know nothing about 249 00:12:56,120 --> 00:12:58,640 Speaker 1: fermin at all. You just start researching and you're like, huh, 250 00:12:58,760 --> 00:13:02,360 Speaker 1: they can make threes. Virginia slow. It's weird that I 251 00:13:02,400 --> 00:13:05,640 Speaker 1: know everybody is aware of this. But the higher seed 252 00:13:05,720 --> 00:13:08,320 Speaker 1: that plays at a slow pace, if the other team 253 00:13:08,360 --> 00:13:12,000 Speaker 1: shoot threes, you've got an interesting matchup there, right, Yes, Yeah, 254 00:13:12,040 --> 00:13:14,400 Speaker 1: And that's why I like Colgate last year against them. See, 255 00:13:14,440 --> 00:13:16,520 Speaker 1: I don't like Colgate this year, and I didn't like 256 00:13:16,559 --> 00:13:19,360 Speaker 1: Colgate two years ago when they played Arkansas. But when 257 00:13:19,360 --> 00:13:21,920 Speaker 1: you're a team like Furman, this is what you want. 258 00:13:22,160 --> 00:13:24,440 Speaker 1: You want a team like Virginia because if Furman plays 259 00:13:24,480 --> 00:13:26,960 Speaker 1: somebody who gets out and runs like them, they're gonna 260 00:13:26,960 --> 00:13:28,880 Speaker 1: get run off the court. They don't have the players, 261 00:13:28,960 --> 00:13:31,280 Speaker 1: they don't have the depth. So I do think this 262 00:13:31,360 --> 00:13:33,839 Speaker 1: is a pretty good matchup for Fermant though. One thing's 263 00:13:33,880 --> 00:13:36,520 Speaker 1: interesting though, that caught my eye earlier today. Like you said, 264 00:13:36,920 --> 00:13:39,360 Speaker 1: everyone in their mom is on Furman, and I saw 265 00:13:39,360 --> 00:13:41,360 Speaker 1: the line go from five and I have to six 266 00:13:41,440 --> 00:13:44,920 Speaker 1: to Virginia. So listen, this is a tournament. It's not 267 00:13:45,000 --> 00:13:48,280 Speaker 1: like football, like in college football or pro football. I 268 00:13:48,320 --> 00:13:50,720 Speaker 1: think it matters more if the sharps are on some 269 00:13:50,800 --> 00:13:53,400 Speaker 1: kind of random game things like the tournament in the 270 00:13:53,440 --> 00:13:57,600 Speaker 1: Super Bowl. Doesn't really matter because everybody's betting this stuff. 271 00:13:57,840 --> 00:14:00,880 Speaker 1: But I did think that was interesting. Do you think 272 00:14:00,880 --> 00:14:04,079 Speaker 1: there is any value to what sharps are on in 273 00:14:04,679 --> 00:14:07,680 Speaker 1: the first round or is all this really a lot 274 00:14:07,720 --> 00:14:10,080 Speaker 1: of it? I mean, for instance, let's say Texas Colgates. 275 00:14:10,120 --> 00:14:13,080 Speaker 1: As you mentioned, we had the Colgate Best Best Player, 276 00:14:13,120 --> 00:14:16,120 Speaker 1: Tucker Richardson on the pod this week, and you know, 277 00:14:16,160 --> 00:14:18,520 Speaker 1: I know he's got friends in the analytics community that 278 00:14:18,600 --> 00:14:21,240 Speaker 1: are sharing with him any edge that Colgate can find. 279 00:14:22,720 --> 00:14:26,840 Speaker 1: I bet Colgate first half and it's probably a bad matchup. 280 00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:28,880 Speaker 1: There's a chance they could run off the floor. But like, 281 00:14:29,240 --> 00:14:33,560 Speaker 1: how are we supposed to internalize? What is the Texas mindset? 282 00:14:33,920 --> 00:14:37,560 Speaker 1: Coming off a big twelve tournament championship. They run rival 283 00:14:37,600 --> 00:14:41,120 Speaker 1: Texas off the floor. They're all gassed up. Everybody's truck 284 00:14:41,160 --> 00:14:43,280 Speaker 1: at Texas Final four. I mean, Thomas, you know, there's 285 00:14:43,280 --> 00:14:46,520 Speaker 1: two weeks ago nobody had Texas As like a serious contender. 286 00:14:48,080 --> 00:14:51,160 Speaker 1: I don't know, is Texas overvalued a little bit heading 287 00:14:51,160 --> 00:14:55,160 Speaker 1: into the first round. Well, I like this matchup for Texas. 288 00:14:55,200 --> 00:14:57,720 Speaker 1: I don't like teams who win their conference tournaments like 289 00:14:57,840 --> 00:15:00,080 Speaker 1: I had. I had Memphis circled about a bump to 290 00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:01,840 Speaker 1: go as a team that was going to be dangerous. 291 00:15:02,160 --> 00:15:04,680 Speaker 1: Nobody was talking about Memphis now all of a sudden. 292 00:15:04,720 --> 00:15:06,240 Speaker 1: I mean, I think if they played for doing the 293 00:15:06,280 --> 00:15:08,480 Speaker 1: second round, Memphis is gonna be like a five point favorite. 294 00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:11,600 Speaker 1: Sobody yeah on Memphis. But this is the way I 295 00:15:11,920 --> 00:15:15,160 Speaker 1: took the Colgate Texas game. I bet the Texas team 296 00:15:15,200 --> 00:15:17,880 Speaker 1: total over eighty one and a half. And here's why. 297 00:15:18,360 --> 00:15:20,760 Speaker 1: If they blow cold Gate out. You got a good 298 00:15:20,800 --> 00:15:23,480 Speaker 1: chance they hit in the eighties. If Colegate is going 299 00:15:23,520 --> 00:15:25,880 Speaker 1: to be in this game, the only way they can 300 00:15:25,920 --> 00:15:28,160 Speaker 1: do it is by shooting threes and being on it. 301 00:15:28,400 --> 00:15:30,720 Speaker 1: So you're gonna have a high scoring game because if 302 00:15:30,720 --> 00:15:34,640 Speaker 1: you look at the Colgate metrics, defensively they are terrible 303 00:15:34,800 --> 00:15:37,160 Speaker 1: and they played the three hundred and thirty fifth toughest 304 00:15:37,160 --> 00:15:41,120 Speaker 1: schedule in basketball. And I also don't think this is 305 00:15:41,160 --> 00:15:42,680 Speaker 1: one of the best coal Gate teams to go to 306 00:15:42,720 --> 00:15:46,800 Speaker 1: the tournament. We saw a guy on Tuesday night, Nellie Cummings, 307 00:15:47,160 --> 00:15:49,440 Speaker 1: who was on Colgate the last couple of years who 308 00:15:49,480 --> 00:15:51,560 Speaker 1: is now at pit And you know, if you don't 309 00:15:51,560 --> 00:15:54,440 Speaker 1: follow college basketball closely, you might not know that, but 310 00:15:54,720 --> 00:15:57,960 Speaker 1: he was their best player and he's also an athletic guard, 311 00:15:58,280 --> 00:16:01,680 Speaker 1: so they don't really have that dynamic this year. But again, 312 00:16:01,840 --> 00:16:04,600 Speaker 1: any team that can shoot the three, like Cole Baton Furman, 313 00:16:04,840 --> 00:16:07,880 Speaker 1: if they're on it's gonna be a long night. We 314 00:16:07,960 --> 00:16:11,880 Speaker 1: had fran Fraschilla on the podcast yesterday talking about to 315 00:16:11,960 --> 00:16:14,280 Speaker 1: your Memphis point Kendrick Davis. He thinks he's the best 316 00:16:14,280 --> 00:16:16,560 Speaker 1: guard in the tournament. I don't know if you do 317 00:16:16,640 --> 00:16:18,840 Speaker 1: any player pools. I'm in a player pool with some 318 00:16:18,880 --> 00:16:22,040 Speaker 1: guys at Fox where you draft players in the however 319 00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:24,440 Speaker 1: long they stay around their points count. And I got 320 00:16:24,520 --> 00:16:26,800 Speaker 1: Kendrick Davis early and they're like, oh, he's one and done, 321 00:16:27,080 --> 00:16:29,640 Speaker 1: and I'm like, I don't know, how high are you 322 00:16:29,680 --> 00:16:32,920 Speaker 1: on Memphis. I'm pretty high. Last year at this time 323 00:16:32,960 --> 00:16:35,400 Speaker 1: I had SMU circled if they got on the tournament. 324 00:16:35,440 --> 00:16:38,040 Speaker 1: And the reason why it was Kendrick Davis. I think 325 00:16:38,040 --> 00:16:40,120 Speaker 1: he's the kind of guy if he gets in the tournament. 326 00:16:40,200 --> 00:16:43,120 Speaker 1: Now they got DeAndre Williams, you got two stars. The 327 00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:45,080 Speaker 1: other thing I'd like, listen, they got a tough first 328 00:16:45,160 --> 00:16:47,080 Speaker 1: round matchup. I didn't love the draw which they had 329 00:16:47,080 --> 00:16:49,200 Speaker 1: gotten Iowa, so they could have beat them by twenty. 330 00:16:49,600 --> 00:16:53,280 Speaker 1: But you look at the second round matchup against Purdue. 331 00:16:53,600 --> 00:16:57,200 Speaker 1: Remember something about the Big Ten. Their defenses don't pressure 332 00:16:57,240 --> 00:16:58,800 Speaker 1: the ball. If you ever look at all the Big 333 00:16:58,840 --> 00:17:01,960 Speaker 1: Ten teams, like they're turnover percentage defensively is all in 334 00:17:02,000 --> 00:17:04,760 Speaker 1: the three hundreds. They don't really pressure the ball. They 335 00:17:04,800 --> 00:17:08,680 Speaker 1: don't press in the Purdue guards. Everyone knows this is 336 00:17:08,720 --> 00:17:11,000 Speaker 1: the weak point of the team. I think when they 337 00:17:11,080 --> 00:17:13,560 Speaker 1: get up against a team like Memphis, who has a 338 00:17:13,640 --> 00:17:16,880 Speaker 1: quick point guard like Davis and can pressure them defensively. 339 00:17:17,400 --> 00:17:20,560 Speaker 1: I think that's going to give Perdue a lot of headaches. Well, 340 00:17:20,600 --> 00:17:22,399 Speaker 1: they just got to get by this who is it 341 00:17:22,480 --> 00:17:26,320 Speaker 1: fau first, Yeah, and that's a tough game, it is. 342 00:17:26,359 --> 00:17:29,080 Speaker 1: But you know, Memphis has the best court on the 343 00:17:29,080 --> 00:17:32,240 Speaker 1: best player on the court in Davis. DeAndre Williams is 344 00:17:32,280 --> 00:17:35,119 Speaker 1: playing great again. I wish they didn't mow through that 345 00:17:35,240 --> 00:17:39,080 Speaker 1: a you know, the American Athletic Conference Tournament, because I 346 00:17:39,160 --> 00:17:41,919 Speaker 1: put them on everybody's radar similar to Penn State, but 347 00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:45,680 Speaker 1: you gotta go with what you think. Speaking of Penn State, 348 00:17:45,800 --> 00:17:49,560 Speaker 1: oldest team in the field. And it's interesting because this 349 00:17:49,720 --> 00:17:53,359 Speaker 1: is one of those tournaments where, due to COVID and 350 00:17:53,480 --> 00:17:55,439 Speaker 1: the extra year of eligibility, you've got a lot of 351 00:17:55,440 --> 00:17:58,040 Speaker 1: like twenty two, twenty three year olds. You look at 352 00:17:58,080 --> 00:18:00,320 Speaker 1: some of these rosters, like Penn State's got grown ask 353 00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:03,760 Speaker 1: men on their team, and that's where I wonder what 354 00:18:03,840 --> 00:18:06,800 Speaker 1: would happen to a team like Duke, which starts four freshmen. 355 00:18:07,080 --> 00:18:09,720 Speaker 1: And again, these are McDonald's all Americans. So we're talking 356 00:18:09,720 --> 00:18:11,360 Speaker 1: about like the best of the best, but we're talking 357 00:18:11,359 --> 00:18:15,240 Speaker 1: about like nineteen year old kids against like twenty two 358 00:18:15,280 --> 00:18:18,359 Speaker 1: twenty three year old men in some cases. Do you 359 00:18:18,359 --> 00:18:21,600 Speaker 1: think this hurts or helps certain teams? I think it 360 00:18:21,680 --> 00:18:24,680 Speaker 1: helps them, especially at the mid major level. I thought, again, 361 00:18:24,800 --> 00:18:26,919 Speaker 1: Penn State was a team I had written down and 362 00:18:26,920 --> 00:18:29,640 Speaker 1: then they went and got to the finals against Perdue 363 00:18:30,359 --> 00:18:34,480 Speaker 1: lost a close game. So it fears My thing with Texas, 364 00:18:35,760 --> 00:18:38,119 Speaker 1: I think Texas can go far in this tournament, but 365 00:18:38,280 --> 00:18:41,400 Speaker 1: they all have the toughest second round game of any 366 00:18:41,480 --> 00:18:44,000 Speaker 1: high seed, regardless of who wins A and M or 367 00:18:44,000 --> 00:18:48,200 Speaker 1: Penn State. So's the That's the weird thing about the tournament. 368 00:18:48,560 --> 00:18:50,840 Speaker 1: There's teams I think who could lose in round one 369 00:18:50,920 --> 00:18:53,679 Speaker 1: or two. But if they win those games, then they 370 00:18:53,720 --> 00:18:56,199 Speaker 1: can go on a run. You know Texas will have us. 371 00:18:56,240 --> 00:18:58,920 Speaker 1: I have problems with Penn State because Penn State has 372 00:18:59,000 --> 00:19:01,440 Speaker 1: a veteran guards not. The thing about Penn State is 373 00:19:01,440 --> 00:19:03,959 Speaker 1: they don't have any size. They ranked Den last an 374 00:19:04,000 --> 00:19:06,640 Speaker 1: offensive rebounding percentage and that hurt him in the Big Ten, 375 00:19:06,880 --> 00:19:09,520 Speaker 1: so that might hurt him against Texas. But I think 376 00:19:09,560 --> 00:19:13,439 Speaker 1: experience matters. It depends on what the experience is, and 377 00:19:13,480 --> 00:19:17,080 Speaker 1: with Penn State it's vital key players so I think 378 00:19:17,080 --> 00:19:21,720 Speaker 1: that helps them in the tournament. M interesting, what about 379 00:19:21,760 --> 00:19:25,639 Speaker 1: this Houston team? It's weird the sass Or injuries kind 380 00:19:25,640 --> 00:19:28,760 Speaker 1: of getting glossed over. Yes, all anybody's saying is there's 381 00:19:28,760 --> 00:19:31,679 Speaker 1: a home home court advantage in Houston. I don't know. 382 00:19:31,760 --> 00:19:33,520 Speaker 1: I'm not so sure about them. I mean, I'm a 383 00:19:33,600 --> 00:19:37,080 Speaker 1: multiple bracket guy, but I wouldn't buy Houston futures, would you? No? 384 00:19:37,359 --> 00:19:40,600 Speaker 1: And the things that's weird about college basketball is like 385 00:19:40,600 --> 00:19:43,480 Speaker 1: nobody cares about injuries. Like I don't know, Marcus sass 386 00:19:43,640 --> 00:19:46,399 Speaker 1: Or average is seventeen point six points per game and 387 00:19:46,400 --> 00:19:49,240 Speaker 1: there's a key defensive player on Houston. You know, listen, 388 00:19:49,240 --> 00:19:52,240 Speaker 1: if Stetson Bennett gets injured in the SEC Championship game, 389 00:19:52,320 --> 00:19:53,840 Speaker 1: isn't that kind of a big game. Now. I know 390 00:19:53,880 --> 00:19:57,240 Speaker 1: it's a different sport, but it's a huge, huge injury. 391 00:19:57,280 --> 00:19:59,919 Speaker 1: And I don't think people really look at college basketball 392 00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:03,800 Speaker 1: injuries that much. I don't see Houston. Listen, can they 393 00:20:03,840 --> 00:20:07,560 Speaker 1: get by that first weekend? I think Auburn in Birmingham 394 00:20:07,600 --> 00:20:10,560 Speaker 1: without Sasser's a tough game. But if he's not back 395 00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:13,119 Speaker 1: after that, and if he's not one hundred percent, I 396 00:20:13,119 --> 00:20:15,439 Speaker 1: don't see them making the final four. He's just too 397 00:20:15,520 --> 00:20:18,040 Speaker 1: important to the team. And the other thing is, Jason, 398 00:20:18,200 --> 00:20:21,800 Speaker 1: is when did the injury happen? Like you Cela, Miami 399 00:20:21,880 --> 00:20:25,800 Speaker 1: and Houston all suffered key injuries a week or two 400 00:20:25,800 --> 00:20:28,560 Speaker 1: before the tournament. It's not like this happened in December 401 00:20:28,640 --> 00:20:30,600 Speaker 1: and they learned how to play with them, they found 402 00:20:30,600 --> 00:20:35,480 Speaker 1: a replacement. These late injuries really hurt teams. Yeah, that's interesting, 403 00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:38,320 Speaker 1: But you also said Auburn, I have Iowa getting by 404 00:20:38,359 --> 00:20:41,200 Speaker 1: What is that a confident pick in Auburn or not? Really? No, 405 00:20:41,280 --> 00:20:43,439 Speaker 1: I'm just saying they match up better with Houston than 406 00:20:43,480 --> 00:20:45,760 Speaker 1: Iowa does. I don't know. Listen, those eight nine games 407 00:20:45,800 --> 00:20:48,080 Speaker 1: can go either way, but that's one of those second 408 00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:51,960 Speaker 1: round games. If it's Iowa, I think Houston just has 409 00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:55,560 Speaker 1: too much. You know, they bullyball Iowa. I think with 410 00:20:55,680 --> 00:20:59,320 Speaker 1: they're athletes now Auburn, they can get out and get 411 00:20:59,320 --> 00:21:02,520 Speaker 1: in transition and kind of use their athletes against Houston. 412 00:21:02,800 --> 00:21:05,159 Speaker 1: So I think that would be a better matchup for 413 00:21:05,280 --> 00:21:09,680 Speaker 1: knock in Houston out of the tournament. Okay, interesting when 414 00:21:09,680 --> 00:21:12,760 Speaker 1: you look at the top seeds, let's look at the 415 00:21:12,960 --> 00:21:15,960 Speaker 1: let's look at the twos. Forget the ones, Arizona, the 416 00:21:16,040 --> 00:21:20,640 Speaker 1: two Texas, Marquette in UCLA. Who's most likely to get 417 00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:25,080 Speaker 1: bounced opening round, opening weekend? So I think Marquette is 418 00:21:25,119 --> 00:21:27,880 Speaker 1: the softest of the two. I think they're a very 419 00:21:27,920 --> 00:21:30,320 Speaker 1: good team. Now here's this is again like I don't 420 00:21:30,359 --> 00:21:33,760 Speaker 1: know who's gonna win the first game. But if it's USC, 421 00:21:34,640 --> 00:21:38,800 Speaker 1: watch out because USC will put that zone on Marquette 422 00:21:38,880 --> 00:21:41,560 Speaker 1: and they'll slow the game down. They got a ball 423 00:21:41,600 --> 00:21:45,560 Speaker 1: handler and Boogie Yellois. I think that's a tough matchup 424 00:21:45,600 --> 00:21:48,520 Speaker 1: for Marquette. If it's Michigan State, Markuetta run them right 425 00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:51,119 Speaker 1: off the floor. So again, it depends on who wins 426 00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:55,439 Speaker 1: that first round game. I also think Arizona's fraudulent, but 427 00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:59,040 Speaker 1: they're in the fraud bracket with Baylor and Create in 428 00:21:59,080 --> 00:22:03,399 Speaker 1: the two biggest fraud in college basketball. So the you know, 429 00:22:03,520 --> 00:22:07,800 Speaker 1: I think Arizona can do can get through there. But 430 00:22:08,000 --> 00:22:10,600 Speaker 1: you know, it's interesting. I mean it's there's gonna be 431 00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:12,439 Speaker 1: a lot of those type of teams that people are 432 00:22:12,480 --> 00:22:15,479 Speaker 1: too high on who maybe didn't watch basketball all season, 433 00:22:15,600 --> 00:22:18,399 Speaker 1: Like Creating is who they are. Listen, I'm sitting on 434 00:22:18,480 --> 00:22:20,680 Speaker 1: twenty two K. If Creton wins, it all. So I'm 435 00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:24,120 Speaker 1: telling it to you straight. That team never came together 436 00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:26,600 Speaker 1: like me and others thought they would when I bet 437 00:22:26,640 --> 00:22:28,840 Speaker 1: him way back last April at one hundred to one. 438 00:22:29,520 --> 00:22:31,720 Speaker 1: It's just not there. So all of a sudden, they're 439 00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:34,280 Speaker 1: gonna wake up and it's gonna doesn't work that way. 440 00:22:34,320 --> 00:22:37,240 Speaker 1: I don't think. Yeah, it's a Franfrachilla was on yesterday 441 00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:41,200 Speaker 1: and said that they had some chemistry issues with Columa, 442 00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:44,359 Speaker 1: tickets of bad shots, wanting to show the NBA he 443 00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:46,119 Speaker 1: can be a three point shooter and all this crap 444 00:22:46,480 --> 00:22:49,359 Speaker 1: um that because he's he's the guy. He's the guy 445 00:22:49,440 --> 00:22:52,720 Speaker 1: who never really came on who people like me were expecting, 446 00:22:52,840 --> 00:22:57,000 Speaker 1: because remember nobody, when everybody was piling on Creton, everybody 447 00:22:57,040 --> 00:22:59,480 Speaker 1: forgot they lost two of their top three scores last year. 448 00:23:00,080 --> 00:23:02,720 Speaker 1: That was part of the equation. So when someone like 449 00:23:02,840 --> 00:23:05,360 Speaker 1: me liked them, we were thinking a couple of those 450 00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:07,680 Speaker 1: younger kids were going to step up. And that's what 451 00:23:07,720 --> 00:23:10,240 Speaker 1: hasn't happened to make them the dangerous team I thought 452 00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:14,800 Speaker 1: they would be. Yeah, they lost who I was at Hawkins, Yeah, 453 00:23:14,800 --> 00:23:18,520 Speaker 1: and then another forward. But I remember their game against Kansas. 454 00:23:18,600 --> 00:23:21,120 Speaker 1: I had Kansas in a Calcutta last year, and I'm 455 00:23:21,160 --> 00:23:24,320 Speaker 1: sweating bullets because this is way closer, and I'm almost 456 00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:26,760 Speaker 1: certain they covered that game. And I'll be honest, I 457 00:23:26,800 --> 00:23:28,960 Speaker 1: think Kluma was the best player on the court in 458 00:23:28,960 --> 00:23:31,640 Speaker 1: that game. He was, and you know, that was kind 459 00:23:31,640 --> 00:23:33,800 Speaker 1: of what you were looking forward to this year with 460 00:23:33,840 --> 00:23:36,320 Speaker 1: a healthy team. Remember they had the injuries last year 461 00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:39,199 Speaker 1: late in the season, you know, to them hard and 462 00:23:39,320 --> 00:23:43,040 Speaker 1: Culprinner down low. That kind of kind of hurt them 463 00:23:43,080 --> 00:23:44,679 Speaker 1: a little bit and you were thinking, geez, you know, 464 00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:48,840 Speaker 1: then they get the transfer from South Dakota State. But yeah, yeah, yeah, 465 00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:51,280 Speaker 1: But you know, Craig is an interesting story because this 466 00:23:51,560 --> 00:23:56,000 Speaker 1: no money's new and you know, kids from South Dakota 467 00:23:56,040 --> 00:23:58,679 Speaker 1: State are asking for a million dollars. I don't know, 468 00:23:58,720 --> 00:24:01,080 Speaker 1: he played in the Summit League. Maybe he's not worth 469 00:24:01,119 --> 00:24:03,040 Speaker 1: a million dollars, you know what I mean. And I 470 00:24:03,080 --> 00:24:06,200 Speaker 1: think that's where some of the Chemist's free issues might be. Well, 471 00:24:06,240 --> 00:24:09,879 Speaker 1: the other thing with Crayton is is there a chance 472 00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:13,760 Speaker 1: the veteran coach McDermott can step in and say, guys, listen, 473 00:24:14,080 --> 00:24:17,000 Speaker 1: we've got a shot as long as we play our 474 00:24:17,040 --> 00:24:19,359 Speaker 1: game and nobody tries to be a hero worries about 475 00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:22,199 Speaker 1: the scouts or worries about any of the crap. We 476 00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:24,199 Speaker 1: can make a run because I'll be you know, NC 477 00:24:24,320 --> 00:24:26,160 Speaker 1: State's not going to be easy. They got an NBA 478 00:24:26,160 --> 00:24:29,360 Speaker 1: player in their starting lineup. I think Baylor, like you said, 479 00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:32,560 Speaker 1: is a big fraud. But you know, Missouri Utah State, 480 00:24:32,680 --> 00:24:34,879 Speaker 1: I don't. I like Missouri, nobody else seems to. And 481 00:24:34,960 --> 00:24:39,600 Speaker 1: then Arizona is good, but I'm not. I just don't 482 00:24:39,600 --> 00:24:40,879 Speaker 1: see it. And I'll tell you this. We're in a 483 00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:46,480 Speaker 1: Calcutta and you know, let's just say that a computer 484 00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:50,240 Speaker 1: model really likes Arizona as they're like undervalued because nobody 485 00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:53,600 Speaker 1: seems to like them. And I don't know, Thomas. I 486 00:24:54,040 --> 00:24:56,200 Speaker 1: watch them. They're not pleasing on the eye. They've got 487 00:24:56,200 --> 00:24:58,919 Speaker 1: no athletic wings, their guards are They just got a 488 00:24:58,920 --> 00:25:01,800 Speaker 1: bunch of size. Why can't Creton go on a run 489 00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:04,239 Speaker 1: and make the regional final? So this is why I 490 00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:07,000 Speaker 1: have my doubts. I took Creton even though I don't 491 00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:09,320 Speaker 1: like them, to win the Big East Tournament because I 492 00:25:09,359 --> 00:25:12,480 Speaker 1: thought this is the easiest path to a title game. 493 00:25:12,680 --> 00:25:14,320 Speaker 1: Like I didn't know if they would beat U Connor 494 00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:17,240 Speaker 1: Marquette in the title game. But I thought they'd get there. Yeah, 495 00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:20,760 Speaker 1: and I thought the performance against against Xavier was the 496 00:25:20,840 --> 00:25:24,080 Speaker 1: worst performance I saw by any team this season, and 497 00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:28,720 Speaker 1: that was last week. So there's there's My question is 498 00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:31,800 Speaker 1: like if they had started playing best, remember last year 499 00:25:31,880 --> 00:25:34,280 Speaker 1: and people say, well, what about North Carolina? Well, North 500 00:25:34,320 --> 00:25:36,200 Speaker 1: Carolina played pretty good at the end of the season 501 00:25:36,280 --> 00:25:39,840 Speaker 1: last year, Like that was a team that was underachieving 502 00:25:39,960 --> 00:25:41,919 Speaker 1: last year, but at the end of the season you 503 00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:44,560 Speaker 1: started to see, Hey, this kind of looks like the 504 00:25:44,560 --> 00:25:47,480 Speaker 1: team we thought we were gonna see. I've never seen 505 00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:50,879 Speaker 1: that out of Creton, So yeah, could they go on 506 00:25:50,960 --> 00:25:54,320 Speaker 1: a run? And maybe I agree with you about Arizona. 507 00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:57,959 Speaker 1: I do like Missouri. I think too many people are 508 00:25:58,000 --> 00:26:01,080 Speaker 1: on Utah State. I think Missouri's the our team and 509 00:26:01,160 --> 00:26:05,080 Speaker 1: there's a lot of question marks in that in the bracket, 510 00:26:05,080 --> 00:26:08,000 Speaker 1: so the reason, but that's why I think Alabama has 511 00:26:08,040 --> 00:26:10,840 Speaker 1: the easiest road the final four of any one seed. 512 00:26:10,920 --> 00:26:12,800 Speaker 1: I think there's just too many teams here that didn't 513 00:26:12,840 --> 00:26:16,280 Speaker 1: didn't an Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk 514 00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:19,040 Speaker 1: lineup in the nation. Catch all of our shows at 515 00:26:19,040 --> 00:26:22,960 Speaker 1: Fox sports Radio dot com and within the iHeart Radio app. 516 00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:26,120 Speaker 1: Search f SR to listen. Live. I want to ask 517 00:26:26,160 --> 00:26:27,400 Speaker 1: about all of them, but I want to go back 518 00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:28,840 Speaker 1: to what you said about in North Carolina. I was 519 00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:32,040 Speaker 1: looking back at their run last year. Listen man, that 520 00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:35,439 Speaker 1: game against I had UCLA against them, and that was 521 00:26:35,480 --> 00:26:37,840 Speaker 1: a gut wrenching loss. I felt like UCLA had the 522 00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:40,359 Speaker 1: game and blew it. And I don't know, maybe we 523 00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:43,000 Speaker 1: could disagree. I thought North Carolina got lucky as hell 524 00:26:43,080 --> 00:26:45,440 Speaker 1: at points in that tournament they got I thought super 525 00:26:45,520 --> 00:26:49,919 Speaker 1: lucky against Duke and against UCLA late. I don't know what. 526 00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:52,600 Speaker 1: Maybe we could disagree, but yeah, no, I'm not saying 527 00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:55,280 Speaker 1: I'm just saying they played better down the stretch of 528 00:26:55,280 --> 00:26:57,960 Speaker 1: the regular season, where I know some people who liked 529 00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:00,800 Speaker 1: them as a nine seed. I didn't, but I know 530 00:27:00,920 --> 00:27:04,200 Speaker 1: people who liked them because they had started playing better. 531 00:27:04,359 --> 00:27:07,040 Speaker 1: I haven't seen that from Crayton, and I think bay 532 00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:10,800 Speaker 1: Cock was big. Obviously he was playing at the top 533 00:27:10,880 --> 00:27:13,199 Speaker 1: level of the tournament. But I would agree with you 534 00:27:13,240 --> 00:27:15,800 Speaker 1: at at anytime North Carolina wins, they get lucky because 535 00:27:15,800 --> 00:27:18,879 Speaker 1: they have a terrible coach. Oh Jeezy went to my 536 00:27:18,960 --> 00:27:22,199 Speaker 1: high school, bro Way before me, But yeah, that's it. 537 00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:24,160 Speaker 1: And they also had the guard was at Caleb Love, 538 00:27:24,480 --> 00:27:27,360 Speaker 1: who was thinking about the NBA after that tournament run, 539 00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:29,800 Speaker 1: and he just this season he's just jacking shots like 540 00:27:29,880 --> 00:27:31,639 Speaker 1: I mean, like me and direct ley, you know, I 541 00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:33,400 Speaker 1: get the ball that's going up, you know, right, and 542 00:27:33,400 --> 00:27:35,440 Speaker 1: and that that kind of killed the chemistry. But let's 543 00:27:35,440 --> 00:27:39,159 Speaker 1: go to Alabama. It's interesting. No, I could guarantee you Thomas, 544 00:27:40,040 --> 00:27:41,960 Speaker 1: all these talking heads on TV pick in Alabama in 545 00:27:42,000 --> 00:27:44,560 Speaker 1: the final four six months ago, they could not have 546 00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:47,640 Speaker 1: named any players other than Brandon Miller. I'm looking at Alabama. 547 00:27:47,760 --> 00:27:49,560 Speaker 1: Last year they lost to Notre Dame. They actually got 548 00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:52,160 Speaker 1: smoked in the NCAA tournament. Remember that last year, yep, 549 00:27:52,280 --> 00:27:55,439 Speaker 1: I couldn't play any events. And you look at their 550 00:27:55,440 --> 00:27:57,840 Speaker 1: team from last year and they're like an almost an 551 00:27:57,960 --> 00:28:01,880 Speaker 1: entirely new team. And again, when you've got a bunch 552 00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:04,919 Speaker 1: of old veteran teams, does that concern you with an 553 00:28:04,920 --> 00:28:08,080 Speaker 1: Alabama team. I don't know who here has some postseason 554 00:28:08,080 --> 00:28:11,960 Speaker 1: wins quick quiterly maybe from two years ago. Like, I 555 00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:13,640 Speaker 1: don't know if any of these guys are all winners, 556 00:28:13,640 --> 00:28:17,400 Speaker 1: do you well? I actually had an Alabama plus eight 557 00:28:17,440 --> 00:28:20,480 Speaker 1: hunter to win the SEC because I thought their team 558 00:28:20,560 --> 00:28:23,920 Speaker 1: last year was Creighton's team this year, like it just 559 00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:26,359 Speaker 1: didn't come together. Like you looked at the team on 560 00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:29,399 Speaker 1: paper and you're like, why are they it Just something 561 00:28:29,560 --> 00:28:32,080 Speaker 1: wasn't right. And you know, I knew they were adding 562 00:28:32,119 --> 00:28:35,359 Speaker 1: the freshman. They're the big time freshman, you know. And 563 00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:38,000 Speaker 1: they also got Sears, the guard from Ohio who has 564 00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:41,720 Speaker 1: tournament experienced. He won a game in the tournament with 565 00:28:41,840 --> 00:28:47,400 Speaker 1: against Virginia the YEP and so that I thought the 566 00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:50,320 Speaker 1: chemistry and just the players they had this year were 567 00:28:50,360 --> 00:28:53,840 Speaker 1: better than last year. Something just didn't gel together last year, 568 00:28:53,840 --> 00:28:58,040 Speaker 1: and sometimes that happens, but I think Alabama happened. At 569 00:28:58,040 --> 00:29:00,280 Speaker 1: the end of the regular season. They were men to lead, 570 00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:02,240 Speaker 1: drained from all the off the court stuff. You could 571 00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:04,840 Speaker 1: see it on the port. Then the SEC tournament started 572 00:29:04,960 --> 00:29:07,719 Speaker 1: and that looked like they were back to be in Alabama. UM, 573 00:29:07,760 --> 00:29:10,520 Speaker 1: the way they play, the way they space, they're the 574 00:29:10,560 --> 00:29:13,400 Speaker 1: only SEC team I like SEC team. I like. I 575 00:29:13,440 --> 00:29:16,320 Speaker 1: think the SEC they all play the same style. They're 576 00:29:16,320 --> 00:29:19,680 Speaker 1: all slashers, they can't shoot. Um. You know, they all 577 00:29:19,720 --> 00:29:22,560 Speaker 1: have the same kind of players. To me, Alabama is 578 00:29:22,600 --> 00:29:24,560 Speaker 1: a little bit different than the way the rest of 579 00:29:24,560 --> 00:29:30,800 Speaker 1: the SEC plays basketball. MM. Interesting. UM, so I tweeted 580 00:29:30,800 --> 00:29:33,480 Speaker 1: out something along the lines of Brandon Miller, could he 581 00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:35,200 Speaker 1: go on a Danny Manning type run? Now, I know, 582 00:29:35,280 --> 00:29:37,520 Speaker 1: Danny Manning probably before your time. You're a young guy. No, 583 00:29:37,680 --> 00:29:39,480 Speaker 1: that's the last time I want to put a bracket 584 00:29:39,480 --> 00:29:45,000 Speaker 1: pool when nineteen eighty eight or like that. So Danny 585 00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:47,120 Speaker 1: Manning was they were They were not a number one seed. 586 00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:50,560 Speaker 1: Obviously not the favorite coming in that being said, someone 587 00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:53,240 Speaker 1: sent me a DM. I'm not going to say who Hey, Jay, 588 00:29:53,320 --> 00:29:55,000 Speaker 1: it's interesting you bring up Danny Manning. What was the 589 00:29:55,080 --> 00:29:57,000 Speaker 1: last time a freshman went on a massive run in 590 00:29:57,040 --> 00:29:59,200 Speaker 1: the NCAA tournament? And I was like, well, let me 591 00:29:59,200 --> 00:30:02,080 Speaker 1: think start going back, and they're like, oh, that hasn't happened. 592 00:30:02,200 --> 00:30:05,640 Speaker 1: Is it Carmelo in Carmelo Yeah, And it's like, oh, 593 00:30:05,680 --> 00:30:09,160 Speaker 1: so maybe freshman don't totally dominate now, Paolo bancro was 594 00:30:09,200 --> 00:30:12,200 Speaker 1: incredible last year. They didn't. I don't even think they 595 00:30:12,200 --> 00:30:13,600 Speaker 1: got to the final four? Right. Did they lose in 596 00:30:13,640 --> 00:30:17,920 Speaker 1: the final four or lead eight? I forget, but yeah, 597 00:30:17,440 --> 00:30:20,120 Speaker 1: they it was at least eight. I think that that 598 00:30:20,160 --> 00:30:23,200 Speaker 1: was a great game. I love Yeah. So anyways, just 599 00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:25,280 Speaker 1: been good fresh I don't think Kemba Walker was a 600 00:30:25,280 --> 00:30:29,760 Speaker 1: freshman when they went on the run. Gordon Hayward couldn't 601 00:30:29,800 --> 00:30:32,320 Speaker 1: quite do it. I think Curry was a sophomore, so 602 00:30:32,800 --> 00:30:35,080 Speaker 1: there really we haven't seen a freshman do it. Is 603 00:30:35,120 --> 00:30:39,360 Speaker 1: Brandon Miller capable of that. I don't like them to 604 00:30:39,400 --> 00:30:42,360 Speaker 1: win at all. I think they can make a Final 605 00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:44,840 Speaker 1: four run, like if you're filling out brackets because of 606 00:30:44,840 --> 00:30:48,720 Speaker 1: the region that they're in. Here's my problem with Alabama. 607 00:30:48,840 --> 00:30:51,760 Speaker 1: They're gonna shoot threes no matter what. If you look 608 00:30:51,800 --> 00:30:55,760 Speaker 1: at their losses, they shot an average at over twenty 609 00:30:55,760 --> 00:30:58,440 Speaker 1: two threes in those games, but they shot just over 610 00:30:58,520 --> 00:31:02,040 Speaker 1: thirty four percent. So that's how you're gonna be Alabama 611 00:31:02,240 --> 00:31:04,640 Speaker 1: is the day that they're they're ball Their shots aren't 612 00:31:04,680 --> 00:31:06,880 Speaker 1: falling from three because they're gonna keep putting them up. 613 00:31:07,720 --> 00:31:09,880 Speaker 1: I think there's a lot to like about the team. 614 00:31:10,400 --> 00:31:15,040 Speaker 1: I also wouldn't be surprised if, let's just supposing San 615 00:31:15,040 --> 00:31:17,640 Speaker 1: Diego State finally wins a game in the tournament, gets 616 00:31:17,680 --> 00:31:22,240 Speaker 1: by that first round game, right mental the mental hurdle, 617 00:31:23,120 --> 00:31:26,120 Speaker 1: you know, over they kind of match up pretty well 618 00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:28,560 Speaker 1: with Alabama. I don't know if they'll win the first 619 00:31:28,640 --> 00:31:31,440 Speaker 1: round game, but if they can get there, they can 620 00:31:31,680 --> 00:31:35,280 Speaker 1: d that team up and have and maybe Alabama starts 621 00:31:35,280 --> 00:31:38,000 Speaker 1: missing some outside shots, they can kind of slow them 622 00:31:38,040 --> 00:31:40,400 Speaker 1: down a little bit. That would be an interesting matchup, 623 00:31:40,440 --> 00:31:42,880 Speaker 1: I think. But there's not a lot of teams like 624 00:31:42,960 --> 00:31:46,000 Speaker 1: Virginia I don't like at all. You know, West Virginia 625 00:31:46,040 --> 00:31:48,640 Speaker 1: doesn't play enough defense. I don't think Maryland can beat them. 626 00:31:48,800 --> 00:31:53,880 Speaker 1: So there's not a lot there really standing in Alabama's way. Interesting. 627 00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:56,960 Speaker 1: San Diego State has two starters in the UM that 628 00:31:57,040 --> 00:32:00,320 Speaker 1: are transfers. The kid Bradley had a wolful game life year. 629 00:32:00,320 --> 00:32:04,480 Speaker 1: I was on them and they lost. I just I 630 00:32:04,480 --> 00:32:06,600 Speaker 1: haven't seen enough of them. The numbers for them are 631 00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:11,080 Speaker 1: kind of good defensively, but offensively, yikes. You know, you 632 00:32:11,160 --> 00:32:13,080 Speaker 1: go in a scoring drought against Alabama and you're in 633 00:32:13,120 --> 00:32:15,920 Speaker 1: some major trouble. I don't know they got. They got 634 00:32:15,920 --> 00:32:18,800 Speaker 1: smashed pretty bad by Arizona, but played dark and such tough. Interesting. 635 00:32:18,840 --> 00:32:22,560 Speaker 1: I hadn't considered them on a major run. One team 636 00:32:22,600 --> 00:32:24,720 Speaker 1: we haven't really drilled down on a number one seat 637 00:32:24,800 --> 00:32:28,800 Speaker 1: is Perdue. I can't remember the last time that everybody 638 00:32:28,800 --> 00:32:31,560 Speaker 1: has said Perdue's going down before this week, either, Sweet 639 00:32:31,560 --> 00:32:35,880 Speaker 1: sixteen or before, and are we sure we're not missing 640 00:32:35,920 --> 00:32:39,880 Speaker 1: anything with the Boilermakers. Well, Perdue's a very good team. 641 00:32:40,600 --> 00:32:43,600 Speaker 1: You look at their non conference They've beaten some really 642 00:32:43,680 --> 00:32:46,680 Speaker 1: good teams this year. They have the most dominant player 643 00:32:46,720 --> 00:32:51,160 Speaker 1: in college basketball that can get you pretty farm. I 644 00:32:51,280 --> 00:32:54,880 Speaker 1: do think there's some holes in Perdue, especially at the 645 00:32:54,920 --> 00:32:57,640 Speaker 1: guard position. That's where I worry about them. Their guards 646 00:32:57,640 --> 00:33:00,760 Speaker 1: are kind of untested. Again, we don't see teams in 647 00:33:00,800 --> 00:33:03,840 Speaker 1: the Big Ten press, but when Penn State and Rutgers 648 00:33:03,840 --> 00:33:06,000 Speaker 1: got down against them in the Big Ten Tournament and 649 00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:08,800 Speaker 1: pressed though they were throwing the ball all over the place. 650 00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:12,680 Speaker 1: That's my concern. Is an athletic backcourt that I think 651 00:33:12,720 --> 00:33:16,000 Speaker 1: they would be Florida Atlantic. I think Memphis gives them 652 00:33:16,040 --> 00:33:19,400 Speaker 1: a much different kind of challenge. So that would be 653 00:33:19,440 --> 00:33:23,200 Speaker 1: my worry with Purdue. But to your point, Jason, you 654 00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:26,840 Speaker 1: look at these teams here, like Duke Tennessee, you know 655 00:33:26,960 --> 00:33:29,920 Speaker 1: Kansas State, which is by far the weakest three seed 656 00:33:30,120 --> 00:33:34,520 Speaker 1: in the tournament, you know USC Marquette. There's not a 657 00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:37,960 Speaker 1: lot of world beaters in that placket. Yeah, so yeah, 658 00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:41,000 Speaker 1: I think it's a popular pick to the fade Purdue. 659 00:33:41,960 --> 00:33:44,760 Speaker 1: But I'll say this if they get by that. If 660 00:33:44,760 --> 00:33:48,400 Speaker 1: it's Memphis and Purdue second round and Purdue wins, I 661 00:33:48,440 --> 00:33:51,840 Speaker 1: think they go to the final four. Mm. Interesting, Now 662 00:33:51,920 --> 00:33:56,280 Speaker 1: I'm looking at those early season wins. Wow, Marquette, West, Virginia, Gonzagabite. 663 00:33:56,520 --> 00:34:00,760 Speaker 1: Yeah eighteen, Duke smashed Duke. Now Duke was, but then 664 00:34:00,760 --> 00:34:02,960 Speaker 1: I look at Perdue. They start too freshmen in the backcourt. 665 00:34:03,240 --> 00:34:05,920 Speaker 1: Now Edie is a different species seven four, you know, 666 00:34:06,040 --> 00:34:09,640 Speaker 1: absolutely dominant inside. I just wonder, let me ask you this. 667 00:34:10,600 --> 00:34:13,200 Speaker 1: In the NBA playoffs, it's like a totally different game 668 00:34:13,239 --> 00:34:16,440 Speaker 1: in than a regular season. Is that the case in 669 00:34:16,600 --> 00:34:20,080 Speaker 1: the NCAA tournament? And if so, do you think I 670 00:34:20,120 --> 00:34:22,920 Speaker 1: mean Zach Edie was going a bunch against up against 671 00:34:22,920 --> 00:34:25,960 Speaker 1: a bunch of smurfs last year in Saint Peter's and 672 00:34:26,000 --> 00:34:29,200 Speaker 1: he had arguably his worst game in the season. Sixteen minutes, 673 00:34:29,600 --> 00:34:34,320 Speaker 1: eleven points, five turnovers and they lose. You know, I 674 00:34:34,680 --> 00:34:37,080 Speaker 1: don't think Edie is gonna eat the way everybody saw 675 00:34:37,120 --> 00:34:40,200 Speaker 1: him eat in the regular season, do you. Well, you know, 676 00:34:40,280 --> 00:34:43,200 Speaker 1: you gotta that's who's he gonna play, right, Like Duke 677 00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:45,880 Speaker 1: has a big front line, they can challenge him the 678 00:34:46,640 --> 00:34:48,840 Speaker 1: you know, I think Memphis can give the Guards trouble, 679 00:34:48,880 --> 00:34:50,719 Speaker 1: but they don't have a ton of size down low. 680 00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:53,640 Speaker 1: So it really depends on who he's gonna play, like 681 00:34:53,760 --> 00:34:56,160 Speaker 1: Kansas state that they don't have a ton of size 682 00:34:56,200 --> 00:34:59,240 Speaker 1: down low. So I think he's got a good region 683 00:34:59,360 --> 00:35:02,759 Speaker 1: for that. But it all starts over now, you know 684 00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:04,400 Speaker 1: what I mean. Like that's why guys like me you 685 00:35:04,440 --> 00:35:06,600 Speaker 1: don't have an edge. We had an edge back in 686 00:35:06,680 --> 00:35:09,960 Speaker 1: November and December and January when I was picking games 687 00:35:10,000 --> 00:35:13,080 Speaker 1: on Monday for Friday, looking at the schedule, looking at 688 00:35:13,080 --> 00:35:16,120 Speaker 1: where Lions would be off, you know, Betton, Mass Lowell. 689 00:35:17,280 --> 00:35:20,040 Speaker 1: But now we all got the games at the same time, 690 00:35:20,080 --> 00:35:22,680 Speaker 1: the numbers were released at you know, everything was so 691 00:35:22,800 --> 00:35:26,000 Speaker 1: there's not a big edge here. But yeah, I would 692 00:35:26,000 --> 00:35:30,120 Speaker 1: say ed I think is in the right bracket, like 693 00:35:31,000 --> 00:35:34,640 Speaker 1: the monster bracket is that lower half of the West. 694 00:35:35,160 --> 00:35:38,520 Speaker 1: Good God, TCU as a sixth seed, they're better than 695 00:35:38,560 --> 00:35:40,839 Speaker 1: most of the three seeds. You know, you got Gonzaga, 696 00:35:40,920 --> 00:35:44,200 Speaker 1: you got UCLA, you got Yukon. In that, you got Kansas. 697 00:35:44,640 --> 00:35:47,080 Speaker 1: That's where I think he would have struggled more against 698 00:35:47,160 --> 00:35:49,920 Speaker 1: some of those big, physical front lines. All right, let 699 00:35:49,960 --> 00:35:51,560 Speaker 1: me just throw a couple of games at you, Indiana, 700 00:35:51,640 --> 00:35:54,000 Speaker 1: Kent State. I see a lot of people on Kent State. 701 00:35:54,239 --> 00:35:57,000 Speaker 1: What's going on? K State's a really good team that 702 00:35:57,080 --> 00:35:59,640 Speaker 1: you know. They played Gonzaga tough, they played Houston tough. 703 00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:02,600 Speaker 1: They have great guard play. For me, the numbers not 704 00:36:02,640 --> 00:36:05,360 Speaker 1: big enough. Uh, it's you know, sitting four four and 705 00:36:05,360 --> 00:36:08,760 Speaker 1: a half. You're talking about last year's Alabama team. Similar 706 00:36:08,840 --> 00:36:10,919 Speaker 1: here with Indiana. Right, they could lose in the first round, 707 00:36:10,960 --> 00:36:13,000 Speaker 1: they could make the final four. Nobody really knows that. 708 00:36:13,080 --> 00:36:16,160 Speaker 1: It really depends who shows up. You know. Again, I'm 709 00:36:16,200 --> 00:36:18,560 Speaker 1: not a huge fan of their coach. I think I 710 00:36:18,560 --> 00:36:22,520 Speaker 1: think he gets out coached sometimes. So Ken Ken State, 711 00:36:22,800 --> 00:36:26,000 Speaker 1: I'll say this, out of all the popular upset picks, 712 00:36:26,320 --> 00:36:29,360 Speaker 1: they're the most talented. That's the most talented team. So 713 00:36:29,560 --> 00:36:32,880 Speaker 1: lost to Houston by five, Gonzaga by seven, Charleston by two. 714 00:36:33,360 --> 00:36:37,239 Speaker 1: Interesting um close, but no cigar um. Sixth seed, that's 715 00:36:37,280 --> 00:36:40,640 Speaker 1: the most dangerous to make a run. Iowa State, Creighton, 716 00:36:41,880 --> 00:36:47,879 Speaker 1: m TCU or Kentucky. I think TCU easy on that one. 717 00:36:48,120 --> 00:36:52,279 Speaker 1: They they just they're a tough match. See. I think 718 00:36:52,320 --> 00:36:54,239 Speaker 1: some of these big twelve teams they got to be 719 00:36:54,280 --> 00:36:56,160 Speaker 1: taking a deep breath that they're getting out of that 720 00:36:56,200 --> 00:36:58,799 Speaker 1: conference beating each other up all the time, you know, 721 00:36:58,920 --> 00:37:01,480 Speaker 1: and you look at TC you I think they're the 722 00:37:01,520 --> 00:37:05,120 Speaker 1: best team that you mentioned. But again, their second round 723 00:37:05,160 --> 00:37:12,440 Speaker 1: game Gonzaga, I mean that they beat Gonzaga UCLA. How's 724 00:37:12,480 --> 00:37:15,040 Speaker 1: that for trying to make a run. You know, we 725 00:37:15,120 --> 00:37:18,600 Speaker 1: mentioned Creighton the Kentucky I have no love for it 726 00:37:18,640 --> 00:37:22,440 Speaker 1: at all. Iowa States an interesting team because the way 727 00:37:22,480 --> 00:37:25,799 Speaker 1: they played defensively. I think if they get Xavier in 728 00:37:25,840 --> 00:37:28,480 Speaker 1: the next round, that would be a good matchup for them, 729 00:37:28,480 --> 00:37:30,240 Speaker 1: and I could see them moving on to the sweet 730 00:37:30,320 --> 00:37:34,680 Speaker 1: sixteen Xavier's dot could Um No, maybe I just sour 731 00:37:34,760 --> 00:37:36,399 Speaker 1: on them because they beat like you said, they beat 732 00:37:36,600 --> 00:37:39,719 Speaker 1: our Creighton, our Creton team uh in tournament. All right, 733 00:37:39,719 --> 00:37:42,880 Speaker 1: we'll wrap up with you know, there's a million obviously 734 00:37:42,880 --> 00:37:46,480 Speaker 1: thirty two first round games excluding the first four. You know, Thomas, 735 00:37:47,000 --> 00:37:49,680 Speaker 1: I felt like last year the betting was just up 736 00:37:49,680 --> 00:37:51,640 Speaker 1: and down you end up five hundred. I almost felt 737 00:37:51,640 --> 00:37:54,720 Speaker 1: like the value is in filling out, getting in bracket 738 00:37:54,760 --> 00:37:57,400 Speaker 1: pools where if you can predict a little bit of 739 00:37:57,440 --> 00:37:59,239 Speaker 1: chaos you can do well and maybe if even if 740 00:37:59,239 --> 00:38:00,840 Speaker 1: you don't win, you could you know, finish second or 741 00:38:00,880 --> 00:38:03,239 Speaker 1: third and make some money and then betting in the 742 00:38:03,360 --> 00:38:06,600 Speaker 1: later rounds, like after the first round. Because listen, man, 743 00:38:06,719 --> 00:38:09,480 Speaker 1: some of these first round dogs look tasty, and as 744 00:38:09,520 --> 00:38:12,800 Speaker 1: you said, the lines are just too short. I agree 745 00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:16,400 Speaker 1: with you, especially this year. I'm looking at some projected 746 00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:19,400 Speaker 1: second round matchups that will probably end up being my 747 00:38:19,480 --> 00:38:22,560 Speaker 1: bigger bets of the tournament. There's nothing in the first round. 748 00:38:22,640 --> 00:38:25,239 Speaker 1: I'm just saying, yeah, you know, listen, I'm kind of 749 00:38:25,239 --> 00:38:28,080 Speaker 1: a contrarian on this one. I think Saint Mary's is 750 00:38:28,120 --> 00:38:31,040 Speaker 1: gonna stifle the hack out of DCU. I think they're 751 00:38:31,040 --> 00:38:33,480 Speaker 1: gonna slow that game down as long as they can 752 00:38:33,520 --> 00:38:36,319 Speaker 1: beat the press. I think they slow it down. But 753 00:38:36,600 --> 00:38:40,560 Speaker 1: remember DCU had DCU has trouble on the half court. Yeah, 754 00:38:40,600 --> 00:38:43,280 Speaker 1: so you know, that's one game, and I like Yukon 755 00:38:43,400 --> 00:38:46,560 Speaker 1: to be iona. But in the second round, I think 756 00:38:46,560 --> 00:38:49,760 Speaker 1: there's some really interesting matchups if you want to take dogs. 757 00:38:49,840 --> 00:38:52,400 Speaker 1: That's where I think the dogs start barking more as 758 00:38:52,440 --> 00:38:54,640 Speaker 1: in the second round, when you're getting more value in 759 00:38:54,680 --> 00:38:57,520 Speaker 1: the line. So are you looking at Saint Mary's against 760 00:38:57,600 --> 00:39:01,000 Speaker 1: Yukon because you kind will probably be favored. Yeah, No, 761 00:39:01,080 --> 00:39:03,800 Speaker 1: I don't think that's not a great matchup for Saint Mary's. 762 00:39:03,840 --> 00:39:07,920 Speaker 1: I think I think Yukon they're gonna do some damage 763 00:39:07,920 --> 00:39:10,919 Speaker 1: in this tournament. I think they lost last season. They 764 00:39:10,960 --> 00:39:13,480 Speaker 1: have that huge front line that's going to give a 765 00:39:13,520 --> 00:39:15,960 Speaker 1: bunch of teams trouble. But you look at that second 766 00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:19,640 Speaker 1: round right like if it's Memphis per Due, USC Marquette, 767 00:39:19,640 --> 00:39:21,640 Speaker 1: you know there's a couple of games there. You know, 768 00:39:21,840 --> 00:39:25,120 Speaker 1: Aubur Houston, We'll see what that line is, Kansas, Arkansas. 769 00:39:25,560 --> 00:39:28,719 Speaker 1: You know Arkansas, they still have really good players. So 770 00:39:28,840 --> 00:39:31,799 Speaker 1: there's some second round games that could shape up that look. 771 00:39:31,840 --> 00:39:33,960 Speaker 1: And you know, I'll tell you right now, if Virginia 772 00:39:34,000 --> 00:39:36,560 Speaker 1: wins the first round game, whoever they play in the 773 00:39:36,600 --> 00:39:39,720 Speaker 1: second round game, I'm taking that team. Yeah, I would agree, 774 00:39:40,120 --> 00:39:42,319 Speaker 1: just to go back real quick to Saint Mary's. So 775 00:39:42,920 --> 00:39:45,200 Speaker 1: what I recall from Yukon watching them down the stretch 776 00:39:45,520 --> 00:39:49,839 Speaker 1: inability to guard point guards is embarrassing. And I mean, 777 00:39:49,920 --> 00:39:51,960 Speaker 1: I know he's a freshman, but the kid Mahaney It's 778 00:39:52,360 --> 00:39:57,160 Speaker 1: Mary's is really nice. I want to make a case 779 00:39:57,200 --> 00:39:58,400 Speaker 1: for Saint mary I want them to go on a 780 00:39:58,480 --> 00:40:00,440 Speaker 1: run because I bought a futures on the but I mean, 781 00:40:00,480 --> 00:40:02,719 Speaker 1: it has no chance. That. Being said, they're a fun 782 00:40:02,760 --> 00:40:06,680 Speaker 1: team to watch. Yeah, I think he's really good. Logan Johnson, 783 00:40:06,719 --> 00:40:11,040 Speaker 1: he's a bucket getter. Any case you wouldn't take up 784 00:40:11,040 --> 00:40:13,799 Speaker 1: against huh just because of the if you looked at 785 00:40:13,800 --> 00:40:17,440 Speaker 1: where Saint mary struggled against Gonzaga, was a size right. Really, 786 00:40:17,480 --> 00:40:20,040 Speaker 1: Gonzaga won all three of those games. They dominated to 787 00:40:20,239 --> 00:40:22,120 Speaker 1: the other one they were up until ten minutes to 788 00:40:22,160 --> 00:40:24,239 Speaker 1: go when Saint Mary's came out a huge comeback and 789 00:40:24,360 --> 00:40:27,800 Speaker 1: won in overtime. But Gonzaga for the most part, really 790 00:40:27,840 --> 00:40:30,760 Speaker 1: controlled all three of those games. And I think Yukon 791 00:40:30,920 --> 00:40:33,160 Speaker 1: can do that similarly. But what you said you know 792 00:40:33,200 --> 00:40:36,000 Speaker 1: about the point guard, I think it's different. Like everybody's 793 00:40:36,040 --> 00:40:38,120 Speaker 1: talking about the BYU game where they pressed them and 794 00:40:38,200 --> 00:40:41,239 Speaker 1: almost came back. I think it's different in college when 795 00:40:41,239 --> 00:40:43,600 Speaker 1: you throw us press on these kids and they get 796 00:40:43,600 --> 00:40:46,839 Speaker 1: surprised by it. They've had five six days to prepare now, Yeah, 797 00:40:46,880 --> 00:40:49,799 Speaker 1: and they have ball hammers. So that's why I'm not 798 00:40:49,880 --> 00:40:53,040 Speaker 1: so sure that VCUS press is gonna bother them. But 799 00:40:53,400 --> 00:40:56,000 Speaker 1: it's an interesting team. And listen, we'll have to see 800 00:40:56,000 --> 00:40:58,320 Speaker 1: what that Yukon line is because when it comes to 801 00:40:58,360 --> 00:41:01,400 Speaker 1: a team like Saint Mary's. Prefer to take them getting 802 00:41:01,440 --> 00:41:04,480 Speaker 1: a lot of points then laying fourteen or fifteen points. 803 00:41:04,680 --> 00:41:06,680 Speaker 1: All right, I didn't ask about Kansas. We can wrap up, 804 00:41:07,200 --> 00:41:08,960 Speaker 1: I say, no shot or to repeat. I don't even 805 00:41:08,960 --> 00:41:10,560 Speaker 1: see them getting in the final four. I think they're 806 00:41:10,600 --> 00:41:13,880 Speaker 1: a little bit overrated. No depth at all. This injury 807 00:41:13,920 --> 00:41:17,279 Speaker 1: to mcculor doesn't seem great. I'm already hoping Arkansas is 808 00:41:17,280 --> 00:41:21,840 Speaker 1: getting like seven six seven you think in the second round. Yeah, 809 00:41:21,880 --> 00:41:24,040 Speaker 1: and that's uh, you know, we gotta look and see 810 00:41:24,040 --> 00:41:27,560 Speaker 1: who wins that game, right, Uh, I think, yeah, I 811 00:41:27,600 --> 00:41:32,920 Speaker 1: think Kansas will be Illinois. And you don't have Arkansas advancing. No, 812 00:41:33,080 --> 00:41:36,960 Speaker 1: I think they Kennedy. I have Arkansas winning that game. Okay, Yeah, 813 00:41:37,040 --> 00:41:39,160 Speaker 1: then I think it's a dead even game with Kansas. 814 00:41:39,280 --> 00:41:41,960 Speaker 1: Kansas is problem this year, which is unique. They don't 815 00:41:42,000 --> 00:41:44,680 Speaker 1: have any front line size, but you always, you know, 816 00:41:44,680 --> 00:41:47,120 Speaker 1: you remember Kansas, there's always a big guy down there 817 00:41:47,200 --> 00:41:50,240 Speaker 1: doing something, you know, and they just don't have that depth, 818 00:41:50,239 --> 00:41:52,400 Speaker 1: so they can get pushed around in the paint. And 819 00:41:52,520 --> 00:41:55,840 Speaker 1: this is a terrible draw in that region. I you know, 820 00:41:55,880 --> 00:41:59,960 Speaker 1: you got your Arkansas, Saint Mary's Yukon, PCU, Gonzaga, UCLA. 821 00:42:00,800 --> 00:42:03,960 Speaker 1: I would say if I had to bet on which 822 00:42:04,000 --> 00:42:07,360 Speaker 1: one seed wouldn't make the final four, Kansas, to me, 823 00:42:07,600 --> 00:42:09,920 Speaker 1: would have the shortest odds. I don't think they get there. 824 00:42:10,280 --> 00:42:12,920 Speaker 1: You're right, McCormick. Last year it was the big guy 825 00:42:13,000 --> 00:42:15,600 Speaker 1: and looking right now, Holy hell. They have a freshman 826 00:42:16,480 --> 00:42:19,360 Speaker 1: Uday who plays a little bit. But you're right. Jaalen 827 00:42:19,400 --> 00:42:22,839 Speaker 1: Wilson is their guy. Gritty Dick's like a perimeter player. Yeah, 828 00:42:22,840 --> 00:42:25,320 Speaker 1: they're gonna, They're gonna. Arkansas is like three pros on 829 00:42:25,360 --> 00:42:27,239 Speaker 1: their team, and I know they were injured a lot 830 00:42:27,280 --> 00:42:31,760 Speaker 1: and freshman's spottiness, but I kind of like Arkansas. Arkansas 831 00:42:31,840 --> 00:42:34,840 Speaker 1: will give them a lot of trouble, especially if Kansas 832 00:42:34,840 --> 00:42:37,399 Speaker 1: tries to play fast, because Kansas, Kansas one of those 833 00:42:37,400 --> 00:42:39,200 Speaker 1: teams that will play kind of any way you want 834 00:42:39,200 --> 00:42:43,200 Speaker 1: to play. They're adaptable. But if Arkansas can get that 835 00:42:43,239 --> 00:42:45,600 Speaker 1: game going back and forth and get their athletes out 836 00:42:45,640 --> 00:42:49,600 Speaker 1: running with Kansas, I think that's a very very interesting matchup, 837 00:42:49,640 --> 00:42:51,840 Speaker 1: and I'm with you. I would take the points in 838 00:42:51,920 --> 00:42:53,759 Speaker 1: round two with the Hodds if they get there, all right. 839 00:42:54,200 --> 00:42:57,480 Speaker 1: Thomas Casale Action Network, I see the Larry Johnson jersey 840 00:42:57,520 --> 00:43:00,200 Speaker 1: hanging in the background as well as the Is that 841 00:43:00,280 --> 00:43:03,759 Speaker 1: Michael Jordan? Yeah? Yes, yeah? What was what was your 842 00:43:03,760 --> 00:43:06,080 Speaker 1: what was your favorite team of those two? Oh? My 843 00:43:06,160 --> 00:43:09,400 Speaker 1: favorite team ever, hands down, UNLV. Yeah, that's my favorite 844 00:43:09,400 --> 00:43:12,080 Speaker 1: team ever. That's uh. I to this day, I cannot 845 00:43:12,120 --> 00:43:15,279 Speaker 1: watch Anderson Hunt's final shot against Duke because I still 846 00:43:15,280 --> 00:43:18,600 Speaker 1: think it's going to go in heartbreaking, heartbreaking. Hey, so 847 00:43:18,680 --> 00:43:21,520 Speaker 1: do you remember the year prior um Bobby Hurley was 848 00:43:21,560 --> 00:43:23,480 Speaker 1: so nervous to face that he had like the runs 849 00:43:23,480 --> 00:43:26,480 Speaker 1: before the game. I was scared to death. That's I 850 00:43:26,520 --> 00:43:28,640 Speaker 1: was watching it in my college dorm and they came 851 00:43:28,680 --> 00:43:30,520 Speaker 1: out and I said, oh my god, this game's over 852 00:43:30,560 --> 00:43:33,240 Speaker 1: look at those guys. They and you know the Duke's credit. 853 00:43:33,280 --> 00:43:37,000 Speaker 1: They came back the next year, but yes, by like 854 00:43:37,120 --> 00:43:39,480 Speaker 1: thirty though, didn't they Oh they got Yeah, they got 855 00:43:39,520 --> 00:43:42,560 Speaker 1: an annihilation. That was That team was a juggernaut. But 856 00:43:42,719 --> 00:43:45,080 Speaker 1: all right, Thomas to join the tournament. Sure everybody will 857 00:43:45,080 --> 00:43:46,640 Speaker 1: be following you on social media for the picks. To 858 00:43:46,719 --> 00:43:48,879 Speaker 1: take it easy, man, Thanks for having me. I really 859 00:43:48,880 --> 00:43:49,560 Speaker 1: appreciate it.