1 00:00:02,080 --> 00:00:05,640 Speaker 1: You're listening to Math and Magic production of I Heart Radio. 2 00:00:08,520 --> 00:00:11,959 Speaker 1: The scientific laws which are they're not laws like boushaltons, 3 00:00:12,000 --> 00:00:15,040 Speaker 1: the laws that this is the way the world behaves, 4 00:00:15,120 --> 00:00:19,520 Speaker 1: so you can make predictions. I think they get wonderful guidance. Hi, 5 00:00:19,600 --> 00:00:22,599 Speaker 1: I'm Bob Pittman. Welcome to this special episode of Math 6 00:00:22,680 --> 00:00:26,400 Speaker 1: and Magic, Stories from the Frontiers and Marketing. In this episode, 7 00:00:26,440 --> 00:00:29,960 Speaker 1: my teammate at I Heeart Media are rather Spectacular CMO 8 00:00:30,040 --> 00:00:33,120 Speaker 1: and former Gasto Math and Magic Yale Trouberman is going 9 00:00:33,159 --> 00:00:36,240 Speaker 1: to do a special marketers focused interview with one of 10 00:00:36,280 --> 00:00:41,440 Speaker 1: the world's great marketing thinkers and researchers, Byron Sharp. He's 11 00:00:41,479 --> 00:00:44,479 Speaker 1: a genuine marketing guru and he is the director of 12 00:00:44,520 --> 00:00:47,680 Speaker 1: the Ahremberg Bass Institute and a Professor of Marketing Science 13 00:00:47,840 --> 00:00:51,840 Speaker 1: at the University of South Australia. His approach is best 14 00:00:52,080 --> 00:00:54,880 Speaker 1: captured by the view that to break through to the 15 00:00:54,920 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 1: frontier of any field, first you have to navigate the 16 00:00:57,680 --> 00:01:01,000 Speaker 1: fog of conventional wisdom, the established group think that says 17 00:01:01,320 --> 00:01:03,560 Speaker 1: these are the rules because this is the way it's 18 00:01:03,560 --> 00:01:07,440 Speaker 1: always been done. Byron had the intuition to question accepted 19 00:01:07,520 --> 00:01:11,000 Speaker 1: marketing wisdoms and chart a new path. Born and raised 20 00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:13,480 Speaker 1: on a sheep farm outside of Auckland, New Zealand, Sharp 21 00:01:13,520 --> 00:01:17,160 Speaker 1: partners the magic of serendipity. Early in his career. He 22 00:01:17,200 --> 00:01:21,440 Speaker 1: was a marketing manager who, despite an early aversion to academia, 23 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:25,280 Speaker 1: ended up working for an academic institution, the University of 24 00:01:25,319 --> 00:01:28,800 Speaker 1: Southern Australia. After determining that the business school there was 25 00:01:28,880 --> 00:01:33,080 Speaker 1: underperforming due to a strategy error, Sharp trusted his gut, 26 00:01:33,600 --> 00:01:36,480 Speaker 1: took a left turn, and here's where the math comes in. 27 00:01:37,000 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 1: He decided to apply rigorous testing methods to study buyer 28 00:01:40,640 --> 00:01:44,160 Speaker 1: behavior in a field he would help develop the science 29 00:01:44,319 --> 00:01:48,200 Speaker 1: of marketing. His discoveries led him to author a surprise bestseller, 30 00:01:48,480 --> 00:01:51,240 Speaker 1: widely considered one of the most influential marketing books of 31 00:01:51,280 --> 00:01:54,800 Speaker 1: the last fifty years, How Brands Grow and It's built 32 00:01:54,800 --> 00:01:57,840 Speaker 1: on his learnings. As the head of the Ahrenberg Bass Institute, 33 00:01:58,000 --> 00:02:00,400 Speaker 1: the world's largest center for research in the mark marketing 34 00:02:00,680 --> 00:02:04,080 Speaker 1: at the same University of Southern Australia where he started 35 00:02:04,120 --> 00:02:07,560 Speaker 1: as a marketing manager, Byron's research provides a wealth of 36 00:02:07,600 --> 00:02:10,760 Speaker 1: insight on the range of industry topics, including one near 37 00:02:10,760 --> 00:02:14,320 Speaker 1: and dear to me. Best Practices for CEOs around finding 38 00:02:14,320 --> 00:02:17,640 Speaker 1: the right CMO. Byron says, the best cmos of the 39 00:02:17,639 --> 00:02:20,440 Speaker 1: folks who are laser focused on the business needs and 40 00:02:20,480 --> 00:02:23,560 Speaker 1: the big goals. And in my experience this advice is 41 00:02:23,600 --> 00:02:27,520 Speaker 1: spot on. In fact, Gail has excelled in her role 42 00:02:27,520 --> 00:02:31,800 Speaker 1: at I Heart because of her laser focused, goal oriented approach. 43 00:02:32,360 --> 00:02:34,640 Speaker 1: So time for me to pass the mic over to 44 00:02:34,680 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 1: Gail to lead this conversation with Byron on this evidence 45 00:02:38,480 --> 00:02:43,079 Speaker 1: based expertise on how brand growth actually works. Marketer to 46 00:02:43,240 --> 00:02:47,520 Speaker 1: marketing guru. Here's Gale and Byron. Thank you, Bob, Byron, 47 00:02:47,600 --> 00:02:50,880 Speaker 1: I'm excited to be here with you. Before we get 48 00:02:50,919 --> 00:02:54,959 Speaker 1: into marketing science and growth, Bob always starts as interviews 49 00:02:54,960 --> 00:02:58,440 Speaker 1: by giving listeners a picture of you in sixty seconds. 50 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:03,280 Speaker 1: Are you ready? I'm ready early riser or night out? 51 00:03:04,160 --> 00:03:09,160 Speaker 1: Have a later offer my Chisenhun Coker PEPSI I live 52 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:13,720 Speaker 1: in a current country. Where's that? You know? The stats? 53 00:03:14,120 --> 00:03:20,120 Speaker 1: Mac PC, Matt Twitter or Instagram, Twitter, CEO or c MO. 54 00:03:20,520 --> 00:03:25,120 Speaker 1: Well that's an interesting Christian. I'm not gonna be pissing, 55 00:03:25,200 --> 00:03:28,480 Speaker 1: but I guess well near in invests. You know, I'm CEO, 56 00:03:28,639 --> 00:03:34,000 Speaker 1: not see bring your fault springing Becausan is coming call 57 00:03:34,240 --> 00:03:37,720 Speaker 1: or text taste. It's gonna get a little bit harder. 58 00:03:37,800 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 1: So the smartest person, you know, it's not a prison. 59 00:03:40,560 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 1: I think I have and you would have to be, Andrew. 60 00:03:42,800 --> 00:03:47,360 Speaker 1: You're big technology. You can't live without my Santa Sun 61 00:03:48,000 --> 00:03:53,560 Speaker 1: PROJECTA first job. My first job was actually a Rando 62 00:03:53,640 --> 00:03:58,800 Speaker 1: send a Minshapa roller Coast operator. Oh wow, secret talent 63 00:04:00,040 --> 00:04:02,960 Speaker 1: be at Johnson. What are you reading, watching, or listening 64 00:04:02,960 --> 00:04:06,160 Speaker 1: to right now? I've just finished watching the same man 65 00:04:06,280 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 1: on Netflix, Guilty Pleasure, my wine cell are okay? From here, 66 00:04:13,000 --> 00:04:16,040 Speaker 1: We're gonna get into why we're here today. In your 67 00:04:16,320 --> 00:04:19,839 Speaker 1: seminal book How Brands Grow, which has just been the 68 00:04:19,920 --> 00:04:23,520 Speaker 1: must read bible of marketing in so many ways. You know, 69 00:04:23,560 --> 00:04:26,280 Speaker 1: I think the major laws of marketing that you've outlined 70 00:04:26,279 --> 00:04:28,760 Speaker 1: and How Brands Grow, it's probably one of the most 71 00:04:28,839 --> 00:04:32,920 Speaker 1: underrated or misunderstood marketing laws. What is it really that 72 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:36,680 Speaker 1: you think many marketers are just still getting wrong even 73 00:04:36,720 --> 00:04:43,240 Speaker 1: though you've given them this plaint book. Oh no, I 74 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:45,960 Speaker 1: mean not just terribly impressive. I think the profession is 75 00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:48,560 Speaker 1: terribly imprisson But we are many ways, like so many 76 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:51,000 Speaker 1: other disciplines. I used the medical analogy in my book 77 00:04:51,160 --> 00:04:53,719 Speaker 1: medicine used to be absolute rubishing stakes. You short people's 78 00:04:53,760 --> 00:04:57,200 Speaker 1: loves in spite of its being well educated and well 79 00:04:57,240 --> 00:05:00,000 Speaker 1: in teaching and believing that that we was doing right. 80 00:05:00,360 --> 00:05:02,040 Speaker 1: I used to say I started in PR. It's when 81 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:03,960 Speaker 1: I used to say all the time, when people were 82 00:05:04,000 --> 00:05:07,120 Speaker 1: you know, in that exaggerated marketer fear moment, it was like, 83 00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:11,040 Speaker 1: it's PR, not R. It's okay, it's gonna be okay. 84 00:05:11,520 --> 00:05:14,440 Speaker 1: That's true. And particularly people who were really big brands, 85 00:05:14,520 --> 00:05:18,120 Speaker 1: have established meeting, physical availability and means of nots can't 86 00:05:18,160 --> 00:05:22,640 Speaker 1: really do that much damage. But there it lies also 87 00:05:22,839 --> 00:05:24,680 Speaker 1: the problem, and that they can be doing a lot 88 00:05:24,680 --> 00:05:27,320 Speaker 1: of things that are wrong, but they don't realize they're 89 00:05:27,360 --> 00:05:31,280 Speaker 1: wasting their time on trivial issues that really aren't kind 90 00:05:31,320 --> 00:05:34,920 Speaker 1: of build the value of the organization. Yeah, before we 91 00:05:34,920 --> 00:05:37,160 Speaker 1: go deeper up, we usually dig a little bit into 92 00:05:37,200 --> 00:05:39,440 Speaker 1: your early life so we'll get a little more sense 93 00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:41,919 Speaker 1: of who you are if we travel back in time. 94 00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:45,520 Speaker 1: I read that you grew up any sheep farm outside Auckland. Yes, 95 00:05:45,800 --> 00:05:49,120 Speaker 1: how about painting a quick picture of your childhood? Well, 96 00:05:49,160 --> 00:05:51,680 Speaker 1: it was quite ideal, like in the wential great country 97 00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:55,080 Speaker 1: school my mom was a teacher who several times the years, 98 00:05:55,120 --> 00:05:58,200 Speaker 1: which is a very good teacher, I think, into a 99 00:05:58,320 --> 00:06:02,120 Speaker 1: very large high school with no academic pretensions at all. 100 00:06:02,560 --> 00:06:04,760 Speaker 1: It was quite good though, because you know, I studied 101 00:06:04,760 --> 00:06:08,280 Speaker 1: well if humanities history and remember an art history. There 102 00:06:08,279 --> 00:06:09,880 Speaker 1: are only two of us in the class until the 103 00:06:09,880 --> 00:06:12,360 Speaker 1: other day left in the final year, so he had 104 00:06:12,400 --> 00:06:14,920 Speaker 1: one on one teaching, which was pretty good. That's amazing. 105 00:06:15,640 --> 00:06:17,480 Speaker 1: But I didn't want to be an academic, and if 106 00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:18,720 Speaker 1: you're going to be a history you end up in 107 00:06:18,800 --> 00:06:22,960 Speaker 1: an academic or something. So I was a business degree. 108 00:06:23,240 --> 00:06:27,360 Speaker 1: I was pretty put off when I studied the management classes, 109 00:06:27,360 --> 00:06:31,159 Speaker 1: which I thought that terribly pseudo academic. I love the 110 00:06:31,200 --> 00:06:35,520 Speaker 1: marketing classes because they talked about customers and the reason 111 00:06:35,560 --> 00:06:38,600 Speaker 1: why firms existed, making products, working out what you would 112 00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:41,120 Speaker 1: tell to you know, there's a eighteen year old. I thought, 113 00:06:41,160 --> 00:06:42,960 Speaker 1: this is a business. This is what I wanted to learn. 114 00:06:44,040 --> 00:06:45,640 Speaker 1: I knew on accounting and things like that, but I 115 00:06:45,640 --> 00:06:48,240 Speaker 1: wanted to know how businesses work, and the marketing classes 116 00:06:48,240 --> 00:06:50,680 Speaker 1: seemed to do that. So that's the first sort of 117 00:06:50,880 --> 00:06:54,200 Speaker 1: serendipitous all into marketing, and then the other one is, 118 00:06:54,240 --> 00:06:58,000 Speaker 1: as Bob mentioned, I ended up being a marketing manager 119 00:06:58,040 --> 00:07:03,400 Speaker 1: for the commercialization company of the university, and that was 120 00:07:03,440 --> 00:07:08,039 Speaker 1: actually really very useful because, you know, as a market 121 00:07:08,080 --> 00:07:09,920 Speaker 1: PRIs interesting to do as you go through the books 122 00:07:09,920 --> 00:07:12,080 Speaker 1: and see where the sales are coming from. And you know, 123 00:07:12,200 --> 00:07:16,120 Speaker 1: much to my surprise, the business schools rather ship and 124 00:07:16,160 --> 00:07:18,880 Speaker 1: it was all the revenue was coming into. It was 125 00:07:18,960 --> 00:07:23,600 Speaker 1: the chemical technology and pharmacists, and the Business school was 126 00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:27,000 Speaker 1: just selling you know, short versions of its courses and things. 127 00:07:27,280 --> 00:07:29,720 Speaker 1: The only futures if you make discoveries. The real world 128 00:07:29,840 --> 00:07:32,080 Speaker 1: wants discoveries, and you've got to do that, got to 129 00:07:32,080 --> 00:07:35,520 Speaker 1: do research, and so well, you know, in the rest 130 00:07:35,560 --> 00:07:39,000 Speaker 1: is history. So how did the idea of an institute 131 00:07:39,000 --> 00:07:43,520 Speaker 1: that focuses on research about marketing actually come about? Oh? Well, 132 00:07:43,560 --> 00:07:46,120 Speaker 1: that was easy. We were marking people, so we're supposed 133 00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:48,920 Speaker 1: to do research on that. But the I think the 134 00:07:48,960 --> 00:07:53,960 Speaker 1: odd thing was we pretty low respect for particularly top 135 00:07:54,000 --> 00:07:59,600 Speaker 1: American journals. They seemed to be just trivial questions, either 136 00:07:59,640 --> 00:08:03,200 Speaker 1: showing off long words and the sort of humanities orientered 137 00:08:03,240 --> 00:08:07,240 Speaker 1: marketing ones, you know, the general consumer research and things, 138 00:08:07,480 --> 00:08:11,760 Speaker 1: or showing off statistics and obscuring findings. So again it's 139 00:08:11,800 --> 00:08:15,480 Speaker 1: been inspired by those sort of Victorian scientists who actually 140 00:08:15,520 --> 00:08:18,000 Speaker 1: got out and got their hands to look to the 141 00:08:18,040 --> 00:08:22,280 Speaker 1: real world and collected real data and didn't try to 142 00:08:22,320 --> 00:08:26,960 Speaker 1: obscure the data was ridiculously over fitted models and things. 143 00:08:27,080 --> 00:08:30,560 Speaker 1: And so I started a journal which is about empirical generalizations. 144 00:08:30,600 --> 00:08:33,920 Speaker 1: You know, we're doing replications and extensions to see does 145 00:08:33,960 --> 00:08:35,839 Speaker 1: it hold in winter as a hold in summer? Does 146 00:08:35,880 --> 00:08:37,920 Speaker 1: a hole in this country? Is it for fast growing rands? 147 00:08:38,000 --> 00:08:41,040 Speaker 1: Is low growing rands? That sort of replication work, which 148 00:08:41,040 --> 00:08:43,480 Speaker 1: is the major journals at the time, just did not 149 00:08:43,640 --> 00:08:47,640 Speaker 1: touch that. That always have that new. Everything has to 150 00:08:47,679 --> 00:08:50,800 Speaker 1: be new. So the basic work of science wasn't being done. 151 00:08:51,360 --> 00:08:54,400 Speaker 1: And someone suggested to me, you should ask Andrew Ainberg 152 00:08:54,440 --> 00:08:58,599 Speaker 1: to be on the editorial board. And it knows is 153 00:08:58,640 --> 00:09:02,679 Speaker 1: he still alive of and do oh yes, well all right, 154 00:09:02,800 --> 00:09:05,560 Speaker 1: Andrew any broke back. Immedia is amazing, that's what creates 155 00:09:05,600 --> 00:09:08,480 Speaker 1: the best. But well, we wanted to not be broken 156 00:09:09,160 --> 00:09:11,480 Speaker 1: both sides of the Atlantic. So Frank Bass also it 157 00:09:11,559 --> 00:09:14,520 Speaker 1: was a great proponent of you know, he had the 158 00:09:14,600 --> 00:09:17,880 Speaker 1: view that we can make the marketing's real world science 159 00:09:17,880 --> 00:09:20,679 Speaker 1: studies the real world. You should be able to find 160 00:09:21,280 --> 00:09:24,440 Speaker 1: law like patterns just like everyone else has and we have. 161 00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:27,720 Speaker 1: One of my favorite things that you talk about is 162 00:09:27,880 --> 00:09:31,720 Speaker 1: the importance of open mindedness in marketing, right, this idea 163 00:09:31,800 --> 00:09:36,200 Speaker 1: of science and letting the data lead you any marketing 164 00:09:36,280 --> 00:09:39,880 Speaker 1: suppositions that you actually thought were right and then we're 165 00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:43,959 Speaker 1: proven untrue. But started dawning on me that the idea 166 00:09:44,000 --> 00:09:46,520 Speaker 1: of being differentiated will did not fit with some of 167 00:09:46,520 --> 00:09:49,559 Speaker 1: the scientific laws, like like couple of jeoparty, I mean, 168 00:09:49,600 --> 00:09:53,280 Speaker 1: that shouldn't happen. You should have you know, two grands 169 00:09:53,280 --> 00:09:55,800 Speaker 1: that are differentiated away from the others, that they're sharing 170 00:09:55,840 --> 00:09:58,320 Speaker 1: more with each other but way less with the others. 171 00:09:58,400 --> 00:10:02,600 Speaker 1: So yeah, we did some studying and compared patterns ex 172 00:10:02,800 --> 00:10:08,120 Speaker 1: entublication of purchase with the partial map data and you 173 00:10:08,160 --> 00:10:11,160 Speaker 1: know the perceptual map data which you can predict right, 174 00:10:11,280 --> 00:10:14,600 Speaker 1: you know, the high premium brands clustered together and the others. 175 00:10:15,480 --> 00:10:17,240 Speaker 1: This is for the department stores. When you looked at 176 00:10:17,240 --> 00:10:22,440 Speaker 1: the actual shopping, the low price and the high price 177 00:10:22,480 --> 00:10:25,800 Speaker 1: were sharing. Was than you'd expect. And then suddenly we 178 00:10:25,920 --> 00:10:29,800 Speaker 1: got out an actual map, a map map, geographical map, 179 00:10:29,920 --> 00:10:32,240 Speaker 1: and then oh it's obvious, it's where the stores are. 180 00:10:32,960 --> 00:10:37,439 Speaker 1: You realize that geography is a way bigger driver if 181 00:10:37,440 --> 00:10:39,240 Speaker 1: you're going to go buy a toaster or somebody can 182 00:10:39,280 --> 00:10:43,839 Speaker 1: buy it or either one and young ruberkan had was 183 00:10:43,960 --> 00:10:47,040 Speaker 1: part of the cantor the two people to be studied 184 00:10:47,080 --> 00:10:50,160 Speaker 1: track of things, and they kind of gave us their 185 00:10:50,160 --> 00:10:53,840 Speaker 1: whole data. Yeah, they had a perceived differentiation measure which 186 00:10:53,840 --> 00:10:57,400 Speaker 1: had be never been done in academia. Academics always infod 187 00:10:57,400 --> 00:11:00,960 Speaker 1: differentiation from perceptible maps or that you know, complicated things. 188 00:11:01,360 --> 00:11:04,160 Speaker 1: This actually just directly ask people in multiple ways, you know, 189 00:11:04,240 --> 00:11:06,920 Speaker 1: questions like you could just take it or not? You know, 190 00:11:06,960 --> 00:11:09,840 Speaker 1: it's just been different, is it unique? You know? And 191 00:11:10,240 --> 00:11:15,200 Speaker 1: schools are really really low, really love so even regular 192 00:11:15,200 --> 00:11:19,440 Speaker 1: buyers of something like two thirds of Apple users wouldn't 193 00:11:19,480 --> 00:11:24,640 Speaker 1: even take any of those things. Wow, and this is 194 00:11:24,640 --> 00:11:28,199 Speaker 1: what the real world is. Mind blowing right, Just that 195 00:11:28,320 --> 00:11:31,040 Speaker 1: surprises even me. And I was chief creative officer at 196 00:11:31,080 --> 00:11:34,560 Speaker 1: Microsoft for a while, so competing with Apple was We've 197 00:11:34,600 --> 00:11:38,880 Speaker 1: been of my existence quite sometime. People know that, you know, 198 00:11:39,040 --> 00:11:41,640 Speaker 1: the mecan dash is built on a Unix operating system, 199 00:11:41,720 --> 00:11:45,000 Speaker 1: you know, PCs based on that. And then I realized, 200 00:11:45,040 --> 00:11:48,120 Speaker 1: I thought about my parents and if I see it. Actually, 201 00:11:48,120 --> 00:11:54,520 Speaker 1: then let's say what's an operating system exactly exactly, and 202 00:11:54,559 --> 00:11:56,880 Speaker 1: they'd say, you know, we've got this map bar. You 203 00:11:56,920 --> 00:11:59,240 Speaker 1: told us to buy this map bar. We store our 204 00:11:59,240 --> 00:12:02,400 Speaker 1: photos on, and we do email, and we serve the web, 205 00:12:02,559 --> 00:12:08,200 Speaker 1: you know, And is that different? No, it's not different. 206 00:12:08,240 --> 00:12:12,520 Speaker 1: All the computers do that. Yes, the real world when 207 00:12:12,720 --> 00:12:15,760 Speaker 1: you realized that, Okay, the reason the scientific rules are 208 00:12:15,800 --> 00:12:20,480 Speaker 1: like that is because consumers they don't terribly see huge that, 209 00:12:20,520 --> 00:12:22,480 Speaker 1: you know, they do sometimes they know it Ferrari is 210 00:12:22,520 --> 00:12:26,600 Speaker 1: not half that you don't need to talk to day 211 00:12:26,720 --> 00:12:29,319 Speaker 1: to know. They see a lot of brands is in 212 00:12:29,360 --> 00:12:31,280 Speaker 1: the change, and they don't know much about the brands 213 00:12:31,280 --> 00:12:34,520 Speaker 1: they're not buying. We're so enamored of our brands, right. 214 00:12:34,600 --> 00:12:37,240 Speaker 1: We spend so much time in the data and thinking 215 00:12:37,280 --> 00:12:40,520 Speaker 1: about all the nuances, and we think that translates into 216 00:12:40,520 --> 00:12:43,320 Speaker 1: the real world. People are just like, what's on the shelf? 217 00:12:43,320 --> 00:12:46,960 Speaker 1: How much is it? What's convenient? Yeah, and we know 218 00:12:46,960 --> 00:12:49,480 Speaker 1: all about our competitors and things. But you know, if 219 00:12:49,520 --> 00:12:52,880 Speaker 1: someone banks with well Sargo and you asked them, what's 220 00:12:52,880 --> 00:12:57,120 Speaker 1: Bank of America? Like there, I don't know Stargo. Yeah, 221 00:12:57,160 --> 00:12:59,439 Speaker 1: it's so true. In as marketers. Right, I can tell 222 00:12:59,480 --> 00:13:03,800 Speaker 1: you all the nuances of first brands superentiation, and they 223 00:13:03,800 --> 00:13:08,960 Speaker 1: go they just see big banks. Yeah, exactly. Your book's 224 00:13:08,960 --> 00:13:11,680 Speaker 1: been out for a dozen years, for two years. Now, 225 00:13:12,360 --> 00:13:14,800 Speaker 1: what are you most proud of that you accomplished with 226 00:13:14,800 --> 00:13:18,160 Speaker 1: our brands grown? I guess that so many people have 227 00:13:18,200 --> 00:13:22,040 Speaker 1: brought it and read it, that's a good sign. Yes, 228 00:13:22,440 --> 00:13:25,120 Speaker 1: I mean some of the earliest findings of the Institute 229 00:13:25,440 --> 00:13:29,480 Speaker 1: and our advisory board members who are all you know 230 00:13:29,520 --> 00:13:33,880 Speaker 1: cmos of corporations told us to write it because they 231 00:13:33,880 --> 00:13:36,960 Speaker 1: needed a book to explain to the CFO and the 232 00:13:37,280 --> 00:13:40,800 Speaker 1: CEO what they were trying to achieve was marketing is 233 00:13:40,840 --> 00:13:43,640 Speaker 1: they're trying to move marketing to be evidence based, and 234 00:13:43,760 --> 00:13:47,360 Speaker 1: there was some for the first time of real evidence 235 00:13:47,960 --> 00:13:51,360 Speaker 1: behind it. So on that goal. I mean, I think 236 00:13:51,360 --> 00:13:55,640 Speaker 1: it has been useful, but to transform a big corporation 237 00:13:56,400 --> 00:14:01,199 Speaker 1: takes off lot of work and talk about it any 238 00:14:02,400 --> 00:14:05,880 Speaker 1: Bruce McCole, who is probably one of the most famous 239 00:14:05,240 --> 00:14:09,480 Speaker 1: in starting with the gene at Mars, he still says, 240 00:14:09,640 --> 00:14:13,839 Speaker 1: this gets forward, one step back, you know. Yeah, more 241 00:14:13,880 --> 00:14:20,680 Speaker 1: a math and magic right after this quick break, welcome 242 00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:23,200 Speaker 1: back to math and magic. Let's hear more now from 243 00:14:23,240 --> 00:14:28,880 Speaker 1: the conversation between Gail Troubleman and Byron Sharp. Some of 244 00:14:28,880 --> 00:14:32,080 Speaker 1: the criticism of your work was that it eliminates creativity 245 00:14:32,280 --> 00:14:35,880 Speaker 1: or what we Mathew Magic called the magic of marketing. 246 00:14:36,080 --> 00:14:38,160 Speaker 1: Why do you think people feel that way or why 247 00:14:38,160 --> 00:14:40,600 Speaker 1: do you think that completely misses the point of the book. 248 00:14:41,040 --> 00:14:43,400 Speaker 1: I used the example of the architecture of the book, 249 00:14:43,480 --> 00:14:47,000 Speaker 1: that it is a wonderful creative people, but they slept 250 00:14:47,560 --> 00:14:50,360 Speaker 1: build buildings that they can hand out. It's an engineer 251 00:14:50,400 --> 00:14:58,120 Speaker 1: and they going to stay out. Yes, and so the 252 00:14:58,160 --> 00:15:01,440 Speaker 1: scientific laws, which are the not laws like dur Shart laws, 253 00:15:01,480 --> 00:15:04,040 Speaker 1: their laws that this is the way the world. Perhaps, 254 00:15:04,600 --> 00:15:06,920 Speaker 1: so you can make predictions. I think they'll give you 255 00:15:06,960 --> 00:15:09,640 Speaker 1: wonderful guidance. I remember creative saying to me a blank 256 00:15:09,680 --> 00:15:14,840 Speaker 1: sheet of paper was a very scary thing. Yeah, so 257 00:15:15,240 --> 00:15:18,640 Speaker 1: doing research, knowing what your distinctive assets are and then 258 00:15:18,680 --> 00:15:21,560 Speaker 1: saying that it's not optional. We used to what we 259 00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:25,200 Speaker 1: now call distinctive assets used to be called creative devices, 260 00:15:25,360 --> 00:15:27,640 Speaker 1: and they were sort of optional, you know, like, well 261 00:15:28,000 --> 00:15:30,240 Speaker 1: stop using for a whole decade, stop using the M 262 00:15:30,240 --> 00:15:32,800 Speaker 1: and MS characters because someone thought, oh, you know what, 263 00:15:32,840 --> 00:15:36,480 Speaker 1: all these say about chocolate, you know, but then we say, no, 264 00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:39,080 Speaker 1: we must use those. And I think to creators, that's 265 00:15:39,080 --> 00:15:41,680 Speaker 1: really useful. It's like, okay, right, so I'm doing an 266 00:15:41,760 --> 00:15:44,960 Speaker 1: M and NZ it will be m ends characters. Right. 267 00:15:45,400 --> 00:15:49,200 Speaker 1: Marketers are so invested in their brands and all this 268 00:15:49,320 --> 00:15:53,160 Speaker 1: detail and all the nuance and personifying our brands that 269 00:15:53,240 --> 00:15:55,800 Speaker 1: I think sometimes when we get bored. You know, I've 270 00:15:55,840 --> 00:15:58,720 Speaker 1: seen so many times where people, you know, new new leadership, 271 00:15:58,760 --> 00:16:02,440 Speaker 1: new management, new team agencies, and people just want to 272 00:16:02,440 --> 00:16:04,840 Speaker 1: do new things. It's human nature. They get bored with 273 00:16:04,880 --> 00:16:07,680 Speaker 1: the same things, and and it's not necessarily because they're 274 00:16:07,680 --> 00:16:11,280 Speaker 1: not working. The duration of a campaign now it's got 275 00:16:11,280 --> 00:16:13,680 Speaker 1: to be so much shorter than the days of sort 276 00:16:13,680 --> 00:16:15,800 Speaker 1: of iconic I mean, which are goes to your whole 277 00:16:15,800 --> 00:16:18,000 Speaker 1: point of mass marketing, right. You know, one of the 278 00:16:18,040 --> 00:16:20,480 Speaker 1: things we talked a lot about it, I heart because 279 00:16:20,520 --> 00:16:23,520 Speaker 1: we reached nine out of ten US consumers just on 280 00:16:23,600 --> 00:16:26,680 Speaker 1: broadcast radio, and then we have our podcasting and our 281 00:16:26,720 --> 00:16:30,160 Speaker 1: events businesses, which are also bidding. But one of the 282 00:16:30,160 --> 00:16:32,520 Speaker 1: things that you know, why we quote you so often 283 00:16:32,840 --> 00:16:36,760 Speaker 1: and are huge believers, is you dispelled that false assumption 284 00:16:36,800 --> 00:16:40,720 Speaker 1: about mass marketing just not being competitive anymore in an 285 00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:45,200 Speaker 1: error of targeting as marketing still critical. Talk to us 286 00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:48,920 Speaker 1: a little bit about that. Well, I remember which UNI 287 00:16:49,000 --> 00:16:51,120 Speaker 1: legal ones said. You know, the great thing in the 288 00:16:51,160 --> 00:16:53,920 Speaker 1: past was that Marcas came up with these targets that 289 00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:57,760 Speaker 1: excluded most of the bias. I don't want to talk 290 00:16:57,800 --> 00:17:00,560 Speaker 1: about the bias. But unfortunately, when I handed the money 291 00:17:00,560 --> 00:17:02,960 Speaker 1: out of the media agency that was impossible to deliver, 292 00:17:05,840 --> 00:17:07,879 Speaker 1: the brand was saved. And you know, we've got to 293 00:17:07,880 --> 00:17:12,359 Speaker 1: stick to your grown anyway. But you know that we 294 00:17:12,600 --> 00:17:16,520 Speaker 1: now have the technology that the bus could actually deliver 295 00:17:16,640 --> 00:17:20,439 Speaker 1: on those highly restrictive targets, and that would be a 296 00:17:20,440 --> 00:17:23,879 Speaker 1: fantastic way to drink the brands. Funny, I do a 297 00:17:24,000 --> 00:17:27,840 Speaker 1: podcast like a clubhouse to podcast conversation with marketers called 298 00:17:27,840 --> 00:17:32,760 Speaker 1: maybe You're Not the Target. Yeah, I think that's a 299 00:17:32,840 --> 00:17:36,239 Speaker 1: human bias comes in in so many ways. We have 300 00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:40,320 Speaker 1: so much data at our fingertips now as marketers versus problem. 301 00:17:40,320 --> 00:17:43,000 Speaker 1: When you wrote this book, it was much harder to get, 302 00:17:43,200 --> 00:17:46,160 Speaker 1: you know, research and data. Now we have so much 303 00:17:46,240 --> 00:17:48,399 Speaker 1: data at our fingertips, and yet I think we're making 304 00:17:48,520 --> 00:17:51,879 Speaker 1: less informed decisions very often. The send was why I 305 00:17:52,359 --> 00:17:57,200 Speaker 1: now it's find as anybody who wait for big brands people, 306 00:17:57,200 --> 00:18:03,040 Speaker 1: we can like some category grows. Of course we like 307 00:18:03,119 --> 00:18:08,720 Speaker 1: category grows. You know, category, How do categories grow? I'll 308 00:18:08,760 --> 00:18:11,040 Speaker 1: give you a clue. It's like brand. It's okay, people 309 00:18:11,080 --> 00:18:15,200 Speaker 1: who are not buying the category buying the category? Right, 310 00:18:15,680 --> 00:18:18,040 Speaker 1: would you like to talk to people who currently do 311 00:18:18,200 --> 00:18:23,600 Speaker 1: not buy the category? Oh yeah, I suppose we would. Right, 312 00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:26,720 Speaker 1: So not only have to reach all category buyers, including 313 00:18:26,760 --> 00:18:30,320 Speaker 1: the lightest you know, but you actually people who are 314 00:18:30,440 --> 00:18:33,680 Speaker 1: not in the category at the moment. That how you 315 00:18:33,760 --> 00:18:37,240 Speaker 1: will grow? Well, you can chase our big drink your brain. No, 316 00:18:37,400 --> 00:18:40,080 Speaker 1: it's amazing. We see this all the time that I've heard, 317 00:18:40,520 --> 00:18:43,360 Speaker 1: you know, Mark Pritchard at PNG just a terrific example 318 00:18:43,359 --> 00:18:45,880 Speaker 1: of years back when P and had sort of moved 319 00:18:45,960 --> 00:18:48,879 Speaker 1: dramatically away from a lot of mass reach media. They 320 00:18:48,960 --> 00:18:52,720 Speaker 1: moved almost entirely out of broadcast radio. They were making 321 00:18:52,800 --> 00:18:55,879 Speaker 1: some decisions to cut budgets. So instead of just like 322 00:18:55,960 --> 00:18:58,680 Speaker 1: a lot of marketers cut across the board, marks started 323 00:18:58,760 --> 00:19:01,800 Speaker 1: digging in and to that principle was like, we need growth, 324 00:19:02,160 --> 00:19:04,600 Speaker 1: we need mass reach. Let's start trying some master each 325 00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:07,760 Speaker 1: media again and affordable media because we're in a moment 326 00:19:07,840 --> 00:19:11,000 Speaker 1: of making cuts, and he started reinvesting with a lot 327 00:19:11,080 --> 00:19:14,359 Speaker 1: of their big Master reach brands back into broadcast radio 328 00:19:14,960 --> 00:19:17,479 Speaker 1: and into out of both of which they had they 329 00:19:17,480 --> 00:19:20,000 Speaker 1: had pulled way back from, and they saw this just 330 00:19:20,119 --> 00:19:23,639 Speaker 1: amazing growth. The premise again, if you're talking to night 331 00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:26,280 Speaker 1: out of ten Americans about your laundry to churchy, you're 332 00:19:26,320 --> 00:19:28,840 Speaker 1: probably going to find some new consumers who pop into 333 00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:32,320 Speaker 1: the storm by it complementary emails saying how it really 334 00:19:32,440 --> 00:19:35,440 Speaker 1: turned the hats and you put them back up to 335 00:19:35,520 --> 00:19:38,200 Speaker 1: the christ to yes, you know a few years ago 336 00:19:38,240 --> 00:19:40,639 Speaker 1: and I think now they're in like the top probably 337 00:19:40,720 --> 00:19:43,760 Speaker 1: four or five broadcast radio spenders all up, and they've had, 338 00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:46,520 Speaker 1: you know, just a phenomenal track record of growth. You know, 339 00:19:46,840 --> 00:19:49,640 Speaker 1: tons of their brands now are very loyal, very dependent 340 00:19:49,760 --> 00:19:52,960 Speaker 1: on broadcast radio, which we love. Obviously, they're great clients 341 00:19:53,000 --> 00:19:57,879 Speaker 1: of ours. People going dark right, doing visted campaign and 342 00:19:57,920 --> 00:20:01,840 Speaker 1: then going silent. You know that suddenly the consumers have 343 00:20:01,920 --> 00:20:05,800 Speaker 1: stopped buying or some people they need to risk right, yes, 344 00:20:07,200 --> 00:20:10,760 Speaker 1: or they'll just remember for these long periods of time. Yeah, 345 00:20:10,840 --> 00:20:12,359 Speaker 1: I don't know if you have any data on this. 346 00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:15,239 Speaker 1: I've seen some research about how long it takes when 347 00:20:15,280 --> 00:20:17,160 Speaker 1: you go to our how long it takes to kind 348 00:20:17,200 --> 00:20:19,920 Speaker 1: of buy back that recall, you know, that mind share 349 00:20:20,000 --> 00:20:24,639 Speaker 1: with consumers someone else has coming and taken. Part of 350 00:20:24,680 --> 00:20:28,200 Speaker 1: the problem is reducing the efficiency to spend by clustering. 351 00:20:28,520 --> 00:20:30,680 Speaker 1: You know, you're pressing, clustering all your money and stid 352 00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:34,320 Speaker 1: of one month and then nothing the next month. You 353 00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:37,000 Speaker 1: just spread it out out of the two months. Golden 354 00:20:37,119 --> 00:20:40,640 Speaker 1: rule is buying media spread it out. Yeah, I think 355 00:20:40,680 --> 00:20:42,800 Speaker 1: that's probably gotten a little better in the you know, 356 00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:46,960 Speaker 1: the digital era. There's a little more always on probably spending, 357 00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:50,040 Speaker 1: but there's still this heavy reliance we see from so 358 00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:52,680 Speaker 1: many customers. And you talk about our OI not being 359 00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:57,080 Speaker 1: the best driver or measure of growth. So many customers 360 00:20:57,200 --> 00:21:00,600 Speaker 1: you see buying these very precious targets. I call it 361 00:21:00,720 --> 00:21:03,640 Speaker 1: the gritty strivers, you know. And so I'm gonna pay 362 00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:06,320 Speaker 1: a premium on a premium on a premium to reach 363 00:21:06,440 --> 00:21:10,520 Speaker 1: the this this epicenter of my target. And and I've 364 00:21:10,560 --> 00:21:13,840 Speaker 1: added so much cost to my media because I'm targeting 365 00:21:13,840 --> 00:21:16,560 Speaker 1: and targeting and targeting, and again I've shrunk my POE 366 00:21:16,600 --> 00:21:19,680 Speaker 1: consumers dramatically by doing it. Why are you paying that 367 00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:22,840 Speaker 1: huge premium because I don't want wastage? Right? Some of 368 00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:28,000 Speaker 1: that listage is the future customers. Yeah, exactly, exactly. Tell 369 00:21:28,080 --> 00:21:29,640 Speaker 1: us a little bit about how you think about late 370 00:21:29,680 --> 00:21:32,960 Speaker 1: buyers versus heavy buyers have to have friends. What we 371 00:21:33,040 --> 00:21:36,760 Speaker 1: did five year analysis by the continuous panel analysis and 372 00:21:37,040 --> 00:21:41,280 Speaker 1: ships a typical consumer good about eight percent of your 373 00:21:41,600 --> 00:21:45,360 Speaker 1: buio only buy you once a year or thessault than 374 00:21:46,000 --> 00:21:48,320 Speaker 1: once a big two years, with three years of fouritious 375 00:21:48,440 --> 00:21:51,919 Speaker 1: or five. And people go, okay, well, but then they 376 00:21:51,960 --> 00:21:53,800 Speaker 1: can't make out much of my sales, right because they're 377 00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:57,880 Speaker 1: so light. You know, well, i'mbout forty so am I? Right? 378 00:21:57,960 --> 00:22:00,640 Speaker 1: Your brand tracking only talks to people who have bought 379 00:22:00,800 --> 00:22:05,200 Speaker 1: the category of the last two months, and you're actually 380 00:22:05,240 --> 00:22:08,359 Speaker 1: buying these precise targets to only try to reach really 381 00:22:08,840 --> 00:22:13,200 Speaker 1: you're just talking to your friends basically. Yeah, And it 382 00:22:13,320 --> 00:22:16,000 Speaker 1: so feels like that sometimes I read these briefs. In 383 00:22:16,080 --> 00:22:18,800 Speaker 1: the States, there's a lot of media decision makers and 384 00:22:19,119 --> 00:22:21,199 Speaker 1: people writing the briefs and making a lot of these 385 00:22:21,240 --> 00:22:26,080 Speaker 1: decisions are very centralized in New York and Brooklyn. Increasingly, 386 00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:28,440 Speaker 1: Bob always says, how many of you in this room 387 00:22:28,600 --> 00:22:31,600 Speaker 1: own a tesla. How many you've been in a tesla? 388 00:22:33,280 --> 00:22:35,399 Speaker 1: You know, it's a It's less than one percent of 389 00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:38,560 Speaker 1: cars on the road in America. So that's what we're 390 00:22:38,560 --> 00:22:40,600 Speaker 1: always talking about it. I heart because we have this 391 00:22:40,840 --> 00:22:44,480 Speaker 1: mass reach and much lower CPMs, So we've got two 392 00:22:44,560 --> 00:22:47,560 Speaker 1: things going for radio there. What do you see as 393 00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:54,000 Speaker 1: the challenges about mass reach? Well, fragmentation obviously, but we've 394 00:22:54,000 --> 00:22:56,639 Speaker 1: got clever people that's got computers and then we do 395 00:22:56,840 --> 00:22:59,960 Speaker 1: get that reach. I mean, once upon a time these 396 00:23:00,600 --> 00:23:02,920 Speaker 1: I grew up in a country and in New Zealand, 397 00:23:03,280 --> 00:23:05,360 Speaker 1: we only had one of the TV stations. So yeah, 398 00:23:05,440 --> 00:23:08,760 Speaker 1: you put an ad on, you pretty much reach the country. Yeah, 399 00:23:09,640 --> 00:23:12,040 Speaker 1: and I caught some great brands and built doing that. 400 00:23:12,600 --> 00:23:15,639 Speaker 1: And then you know, later it got more complicated. And 401 00:23:15,760 --> 00:23:19,359 Speaker 1: so I used to tell offic I told and saying, 402 00:23:19,640 --> 00:23:22,159 Speaker 1: you know, you guys used to say, you know, this 403 00:23:22,240 --> 00:23:24,120 Speaker 1: is all of this new media and it's difficult at 404 00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:26,280 Speaker 1: leit about it. You know, whereas we new TV, you know, 405 00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:31,920 Speaker 1: really you didn't know TV. It was just easy. It 406 00:23:32,080 --> 00:23:35,800 Speaker 1: was just there's three choices. Most of Americans watching so 407 00:23:36,040 --> 00:23:40,399 Speaker 1: often people you know, they'll hear the data. Americans lower costs, 408 00:23:40,680 --> 00:23:43,200 Speaker 1: like we have all these cases of other brands and 409 00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:47,080 Speaker 1: chrome like g by using the mass media and people 410 00:23:47,359 --> 00:23:49,560 Speaker 1: very they'll be very skeptical, but they'll they'll do a 411 00:23:49,600 --> 00:23:53,000 Speaker 1: little test and then they'll just go Wow. It's sort 412 00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:56,399 Speaker 1: of like buying TV back in the day in New Zealand. 413 00:23:56,480 --> 00:23:58,320 Speaker 1: You know, you're just reaching a lot more people. You're 414 00:23:58,320 --> 00:24:01,119 Speaker 1: gonna start seeing sales grow. So I would like to 415 00:24:01,160 --> 00:24:03,879 Speaker 1: see market has drink a lot more research and learning 416 00:24:03,920 --> 00:24:07,960 Speaker 1: a lot more about things like radio, TV, outdoor. It's 417 00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:11,200 Speaker 1: like always there's also we must know a lot. Really, 418 00:24:11,280 --> 00:24:13,600 Speaker 1: what do you know about it? Yeah? You know, I 419 00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:16,199 Speaker 1: love saying so in the front Time TV show, how 420 00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:18,200 Speaker 1: many people who watched this week will be back watching 421 00:24:18,240 --> 00:24:22,680 Speaker 1: next week? People, I don't know. We've known this for 422 00:24:22,800 --> 00:24:25,360 Speaker 1: fifty years. We can predict this. But you know, I've 423 00:24:25,359 --> 00:24:32,560 Speaker 1: played the universities because most universities don't teach media at all. Yeah, 424 00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:35,800 Speaker 1: it's so interesting because, yeah, on the media side, I 425 00:24:35,840 --> 00:24:38,240 Speaker 1: think people get so caught up in the r o 426 00:24:38,359 --> 00:24:42,080 Speaker 1: I metrics and these sort of momentary KPIs. You know, 427 00:24:42,320 --> 00:24:44,520 Speaker 1: there's a lot of people touching a campaign, a lot 428 00:24:44,600 --> 00:24:46,680 Speaker 1: of hands on keyboards going I'm just going to drive 429 00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:49,760 Speaker 1: that number or that number or that number, and they're 430 00:24:49,800 --> 00:24:54,000 Speaker 1: all in isolation of they're not actually growth of sales. Yeah, 431 00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:58,959 Speaker 1: they're not thinking about mental and physical availability. Those are 432 00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:03,800 Speaker 1: the two big things undependent value of your company. Yes, yes, 433 00:25:04,560 --> 00:25:06,960 Speaker 1: what about message? You know you talked a lot about 434 00:25:07,040 --> 00:25:11,160 Speaker 1: not getting too specific on who you're targeting, so you're 435 00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:14,400 Speaker 1: going after the biggest pool of potential customers. But when 436 00:25:14,440 --> 00:25:18,920 Speaker 1: it comes to messaging, you do believe in specific messaging. 437 00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:22,000 Speaker 1: How do you advise people if you're talking to everyone, 438 00:25:22,119 --> 00:25:26,040 Speaker 1: how do you find a message that works. Well, that's 439 00:25:26,040 --> 00:25:30,680 Speaker 1: why we have advertising agencies because it was certainly, you know, 440 00:25:30,920 --> 00:25:33,600 Speaker 1: just all that persons interesting cats, right, Well, we put 441 00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:36,200 Speaker 1: again that the dollars and put a dollar. It was 442 00:25:36,320 --> 00:25:40,080 Speaker 1: that easy. We wouldn't need every agencies. No, we need 443 00:25:40,160 --> 00:25:43,080 Speaker 1: avertyping agencies because we go, okay, well you need to 444 00:25:43,160 --> 00:25:48,679 Speaker 1: communicate to millions of human being and they're all very different. 445 00:25:49,520 --> 00:25:52,159 Speaker 1: They do have a comment that they're human. M h. 446 00:25:52,920 --> 00:25:56,879 Speaker 1: You to work with Matt, Okay, we need will resonate 447 00:25:57,320 --> 00:25:59,880 Speaker 1: because it's very hard to act and do customization. People 448 00:25:59,880 --> 00:26:02,320 Speaker 1: are realize that. But all the research of the tests, 449 00:26:02,359 --> 00:26:05,520 Speaker 1: the academic tests we try personalization, the results of miserable. 450 00:26:06,119 --> 00:26:09,920 Speaker 1: So it's much better to place at bit on great 451 00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:13,120 Speaker 1: creativity that resonates with lots of people, with a little 452 00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:15,840 Speaker 1: bit of sophisticated mass marketing. I mean, obviously if someone 453 00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:18,520 Speaker 1: speaks Spanish by than English, then you talk to him. 454 00:26:18,560 --> 00:26:23,440 Speaker 1: It's been but what we wanted, mass scale without creativity 455 00:26:24,920 --> 00:26:27,359 Speaker 1: appreciate actually did that. We we set what do you 456 00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:30,720 Speaker 1: call it the crap track. Yes, I was there in 457 00:26:30,840 --> 00:26:35,760 Speaker 1: that room for that spanship brilliant. We're wasting all our 458 00:26:35,840 --> 00:26:38,919 Speaker 1: money creating all this different content and so we had 459 00:26:39,320 --> 00:26:42,640 Speaker 1: little money left that actually by media actually make sure 460 00:26:42,680 --> 00:26:47,160 Speaker 1: anyone heard it or so. Yeah, that's true, It's very true. 461 00:26:47,720 --> 00:26:49,680 Speaker 1: What do you think about in this world where everyone's 462 00:26:49,720 --> 00:26:52,880 Speaker 1: talking about privacy, you know, a world where we've become 463 00:26:52,960 --> 00:26:56,320 Speaker 1: so dependent on targeting and now with the Kingbridge Analytica 464 00:26:56,440 --> 00:26:59,520 Speaker 1: and all of the maybe abuse of targeting that's happened, 465 00:26:59,800 --> 00:27:02,280 Speaker 1: it's people are going to be pivoting back to mass marketing. 466 00:27:02,880 --> 00:27:08,920 Speaker 1: But also because they're targeting never worked. You know some 467 00:27:09,040 --> 00:27:12,160 Speaker 1: reports Nico human is very good work in this area, 468 00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:14,920 Speaker 1: you know, buying on programmatic platforms and showing that you know, 469 00:27:15,320 --> 00:27:17,520 Speaker 1: you could do a targe of saying men, and you 470 00:27:17,600 --> 00:27:19,760 Speaker 1: reached men about half the time, and half it's only 471 00:27:19,800 --> 00:27:22,119 Speaker 1: reached women. You know. I mean, we absolutely thought we 472 00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:24,240 Speaker 1: could do this and we couldn't. But most of the 473 00:27:24,280 --> 00:27:28,480 Speaker 1: time we don't need to target geographic right, Geographic is 474 00:27:28,720 --> 00:27:33,400 Speaker 1: hugely important because I do not have physical availability. It's 475 00:27:33,400 --> 00:27:35,680 Speaker 1: a very pat and so I would want to be 476 00:27:35,760 --> 00:27:38,480 Speaker 1: able to buy media on geographic basis. Yes, that's a 477 00:27:38,560 --> 00:27:42,560 Speaker 1: really important tipling thing. Where people live really matters to 478 00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:45,879 Speaker 1: their lives. Ducan lots re search shows that you know, 479 00:27:45,960 --> 00:27:49,440 Speaker 1: where people live affects what they do online. And then 480 00:27:49,640 --> 00:27:52,640 Speaker 1: some categories have end debased, you know, like I'm selling 481 00:27:52,680 --> 00:27:54,760 Speaker 1: women's clothing, so I want to the women or some 482 00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:59,480 Speaker 1: have some age. But after that it all gets quite trivial. Really, 483 00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:02,720 Speaker 1: we don't need anything much more than that. You think 484 00:28:02,760 --> 00:28:05,760 Speaker 1: consumers are easier dis way than we think. We don't 485 00:28:05,800 --> 00:28:09,720 Speaker 1: need to get seven hundred data points. I've seen literally 486 00:28:09,800 --> 00:28:12,639 Speaker 1: target lists from you know, digital campaigns where there's you know, 487 00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:18,440 Speaker 1: fifty sixty different criteria people are buying one impression that 488 00:28:18,560 --> 00:28:21,840 Speaker 1: is a mistaken belief. It's in shoudive belief that if 489 00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:26,000 Speaker 1: we get more datas My bit of predictions the forecasting 490 00:28:26,080 --> 00:28:28,520 Speaker 1: side of just just shape their heads and go Now 491 00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:31,920 Speaker 1: you wan't now you want a preid simple models out 492 00:28:31,960 --> 00:28:36,120 Speaker 1: before the most complex. Uh. How do you feel about 493 00:28:36,320 --> 00:28:41,600 Speaker 1: loyalty programs? Same problem, talking to too few people too often. 494 00:28:42,080 --> 00:28:44,640 Speaker 1: It might be a multi programs. Yeah, we now know 495 00:28:44,800 --> 00:28:47,600 Speaker 1: why they don't do a lot. You can detect the 496 00:28:47,880 --> 00:28:51,080 Speaker 1: dot lifting nualty. But it's rather disappointing. And the reason 497 00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:54,080 Speaker 1: it disappointing isn't because why do you join that department's 498 00:28:54,560 --> 00:28:59,320 Speaker 1: stools dualty program? Because I shot there regularly, right, And 499 00:28:59,400 --> 00:29:01,400 Speaker 1: if you don't, you don't even hear about the little 500 00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:07,000 Speaker 1: very true, that's the recruits are getting glass. And then 501 00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:10,880 Speaker 1: there's also the incentive effect if you don't buy, then 502 00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:13,040 Speaker 1: you go on up to get many points. So they're 503 00:29:13,120 --> 00:29:19,240 Speaker 1: very extensive or lower reach. And the low quality media 504 00:29:19,560 --> 00:29:22,280 Speaker 1: it's like Facebook friends. You know, I'm going to build 505 00:29:22,360 --> 00:29:25,240 Speaker 1: up a big thing of people who liked on Facebook. 506 00:29:25,520 --> 00:29:27,640 Speaker 1: That is low quality media because you're just talking to 507 00:29:27,720 --> 00:29:30,480 Speaker 1: the same people. I don't know that. It's so funny, 508 00:29:30,520 --> 00:29:33,520 Speaker 1: it's so true. I'm not a big loyalty club person, 509 00:29:33,640 --> 00:29:36,200 Speaker 1: but you have a certain retail story shop at all 510 00:29:36,240 --> 00:29:39,400 Speaker 1: the time so I accruit points. It's usually the first 511 00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:41,800 Speaker 1: story I go to, and I shopped there quite often, 512 00:29:41,840 --> 00:29:44,560 Speaker 1: and every time when they go, oh, you get fifty 513 00:29:44,600 --> 00:29:47,440 Speaker 1: dollars off this, and I'm like, amazing, but I was 514 00:29:47,520 --> 00:29:51,960 Speaker 1: going to buy this anyway. And country like, you've got 515 00:29:52,000 --> 00:29:54,120 Speaker 1: a lot of people living in the rule though you know, 516 00:29:54,560 --> 00:29:57,120 Speaker 1: there's only one guest station. I'm going to buck them anyway, 517 00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:02,720 Speaker 1: the one into down. That's so true. Yeah, no, it's interesting. 518 00:30:02,760 --> 00:30:05,480 Speaker 1: We've been talking a lot lately about rural America, you know, 519 00:30:05,600 --> 00:30:09,640 Speaker 1: smaller towns where you know, obviously because we have reached Americans, 520 00:30:09,760 --> 00:30:13,600 Speaker 1: we're reaching rural, suburban, urban, all of the flavors of 521 00:30:13,800 --> 00:30:16,680 Speaker 1: this nation. And I think so many marketers, you know, 522 00:30:16,720 --> 00:30:19,480 Speaker 1: you see campaign after campaign after campaign we want to 523 00:30:19,480 --> 00:30:22,880 Speaker 1: buy the top twenty markets, top twenty markets again, most expensive, 524 00:30:23,000 --> 00:30:25,480 Speaker 1: top twenty markets. You know, there's so many consumers out there. 525 00:30:25,720 --> 00:30:28,440 Speaker 1: You've never exposed your message too, if you just went 526 00:30:28,520 --> 00:30:31,440 Speaker 1: a little bit broader. I've done some diagnostics and brands 527 00:30:31,600 --> 00:30:35,040 Speaker 1: launches that have failed. One of the reasons it's the 528 00:30:35,040 --> 00:30:38,320 Speaker 1: people in the country you never reached, never even got 529 00:30:38,400 --> 00:30:43,719 Speaker 1: your message once. Wow. And usually it's the sales can 530 00:30:43,760 --> 00:30:45,479 Speaker 1: has done a great job, and you know they've got 531 00:30:45,520 --> 00:30:48,240 Speaker 1: it into Walmart or something. It's there, it's ready to 532 00:30:48,320 --> 00:30:55,280 Speaker 1: be bought. Sword on ship because you only top twenty markets. Well, 533 00:30:55,360 --> 00:30:58,680 Speaker 1: that's interesting to memory structures that you talked a lot about. 534 00:30:58,760 --> 00:31:02,479 Speaker 1: Can you explain the theory about memory structures. Consumers are 535 00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:06,520 Speaker 1: fairly naturally loyal. They don't really care that much about brands. 536 00:31:06,720 --> 00:31:10,200 Speaker 1: They keep going about to the same restaurants, the same stores, 537 00:31:10,880 --> 00:31:14,520 Speaker 1: the same brands on shelf. And this is what is brandiquity. 538 00:31:14,720 --> 00:31:18,840 Speaker 1: You have mental and physical availability, but you need to 539 00:31:18,880 --> 00:31:21,760 Speaker 1: have this to overlap. And you know a lot of 540 00:31:21,800 --> 00:31:24,040 Speaker 1: times it isn't overlapping, and that a lot of people 541 00:31:24,040 --> 00:31:26,120 Speaker 1: who are coming into the store just do not see 542 00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:29,920 Speaker 1: you because there's pins of thousands of items in the 543 00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:33,120 Speaker 1: store and they zoom in on the few that they 544 00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:35,360 Speaker 1: know and then they get out of the store. You 545 00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:39,320 Speaker 1: get a terrible return on the physical availability, whether that's 546 00:31:39,320 --> 00:31:41,479 Speaker 1: on a website or in a physical store, you get 547 00:31:41,520 --> 00:31:44,720 Speaker 1: a terrible return on because you went in their heads. Likewise, 548 00:31:44,720 --> 00:31:47,680 Speaker 1: there's no point being in people's heads. They don't know 549 00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:52,400 Speaker 1: where do I get this thing from? Nic As the 550 00:31:52,440 --> 00:31:55,600 Speaker 1: scot Line, the world's biggest search engine is between people's ears. 551 00:31:56,360 --> 00:31:58,680 Speaker 1: I spent so much time trying to figure out how 552 00:31:58,720 --> 00:32:02,160 Speaker 1: to do audio creative well. And we always say that 553 00:32:02,320 --> 00:32:06,440 Speaker 1: the world's best production machine is between your ears. So 554 00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:11,120 Speaker 1: you know, by saying Grand Canyon with jello, you're picturing 555 00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:14,000 Speaker 1: what color jello. It's amazing how we can fill in 556 00:32:14,080 --> 00:32:18,280 Speaker 1: the pictures and be even you know, targeted with audio creative. Right. 557 00:32:18,440 --> 00:32:20,840 Speaker 1: You know, I could say did you have lunch today? 558 00:32:21,640 --> 00:32:26,120 Speaker 1: Was it good? Do you even remember it? Yeah? Right, 559 00:32:26,120 --> 00:32:28,280 Speaker 1: And all of a sudden, I have you thinking about 560 00:32:28,320 --> 00:32:31,000 Speaker 1: your lunch. Whereas you know, back like in Microsoft, I 561 00:32:31,040 --> 00:32:35,000 Speaker 1: would have to make four spots for year for Xbox 562 00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:38,480 Speaker 1: for thirty one countries. And that living room didn't look 563 00:32:38,520 --> 00:32:40,760 Speaker 1: like anyone's living room because I was trying to bash 564 00:32:40,840 --> 00:32:44,040 Speaker 1: up you know, Southeast Asia and Europe, and no one 565 00:32:44,160 --> 00:32:46,320 Speaker 1: had that living room. But if I said picture yourself 566 00:32:46,400 --> 00:32:48,880 Speaker 1: in your living room, I'm relevant right there with everyone. 567 00:32:50,320 --> 00:32:53,800 Speaker 1: The impultance of having audio distinctive assets, even if you 568 00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:56,800 Speaker 1: are using video, the fact is you've got to expect 569 00:32:56,880 --> 00:33:01,040 Speaker 1: fleeting exposures. People will not be at tension to all that, 570 00:33:01,240 --> 00:33:02,920 Speaker 1: and there's something you can do about that. And you 571 00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:05,880 Speaker 1: shouldn't worry. You should just be cognisive of all that. 572 00:33:06,000 --> 00:33:08,720 Speaker 1: So I need this tv AD to work in audio 573 00:33:08,800 --> 00:33:12,200 Speaker 1: as well as as individual Yeah, I know, particularly people 574 00:33:12,320 --> 00:33:15,080 Speaker 1: multitasks too. I think a lot of brands have gotten 575 00:33:15,120 --> 00:33:18,440 Speaker 1: more sophisticated in understanding how important audio is because it's 576 00:33:18,480 --> 00:33:20,200 Speaker 1: tastes in your head and then like you said, there 577 00:33:20,200 --> 00:33:22,160 Speaker 1: it is on the shelf. Oh yeah, I don't even 578 00:33:22,240 --> 00:33:23,560 Speaker 1: know why I am picking that up, but it's in 579 00:33:23,600 --> 00:33:28,000 Speaker 1: my head. To stop paying more attention to jingles again, Yes, 580 00:33:28,360 --> 00:33:30,600 Speaker 1: you know we Yeah, we used to do some jingle hacks, 581 00:33:30,600 --> 00:33:33,360 Speaker 1: would get musicians in with marketers and actually work on 582 00:33:33,840 --> 00:33:37,080 Speaker 1: collaborating real time, and some amazing campaigns came out of that. 583 00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:39,880 Speaker 1: Because a lot of household you know brands, we know 584 00:33:40,000 --> 00:33:43,240 Speaker 1: what they are, We just need to remember to buy them. 585 00:33:43,440 --> 00:33:47,040 Speaker 1: Remember they're available. I cannot end a Math and Magic 586 00:33:47,120 --> 00:33:50,080 Speaker 1: interview if I didn't ask you to shout out your 587 00:33:50,280 --> 00:33:55,040 Speaker 1: favorite mathematician. Who's your favorite numbers person? That would be 588 00:33:55,120 --> 00:33:59,040 Speaker 1: Gerald Goodhart, who which with us as a cheer about 589 00:33:59,040 --> 00:34:02,680 Speaker 1: advisable Frank Emeritus Professor Honor Doctorate from the University of 590 00:34:02,720 --> 00:34:05,880 Speaker 1: Southstralia and colleague with Andrew and why do I say 591 00:34:05,920 --> 00:34:11,000 Speaker 1: Gerald because Gerald described himself as a reformed statistician than 592 00:34:11,960 --> 00:34:15,480 Speaker 1: he would always right, what's the simplest way of showing 593 00:34:15,600 --> 00:34:19,319 Speaker 1: this very key, not what where did the data come from? 594 00:34:19,440 --> 00:34:22,800 Speaker 1: I really understanding the data stable before subjecting it to 595 00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:26,120 Speaker 1: any sort of complex he could cut through the bullshit 596 00:34:26,320 --> 00:34:29,759 Speaker 1: very well. There's a danger when people learn statistics like 597 00:34:29,920 --> 00:34:32,840 Speaker 1: Gerald did, they just get enamored by their it's like 598 00:34:32,960 --> 00:34:38,560 Speaker 1: their machinery and yeah, the slice, and they totally lose 599 00:34:38,920 --> 00:34:41,200 Speaker 1: picture of the real world. So, you know, with someone 600 00:34:41,239 --> 00:34:47,040 Speaker 1: who needs statistics the Cambridge but became a silist rather 601 00:34:47,120 --> 00:34:50,719 Speaker 1: than someone who played being a statistician, that's what we 602 00:34:50,800 --> 00:34:54,440 Speaker 1: need more of. Definitely being true to the science of marketing. 603 00:34:55,480 --> 00:34:57,520 Speaker 1: How about the other side of the table, who's your 604 00:34:57,600 --> 00:35:01,000 Speaker 1: favorite creative? Who's your favorite MAGICI ship on the other 605 00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:04,839 Speaker 1: side of the mouth and magic coin. George Felix, who 606 00:35:05,120 --> 00:35:07,759 Speaker 1: was at Proper and Campbell gets responsible for the old 607 00:35:07,800 --> 00:35:13,520 Speaker 1: Spice revival fantastic magic and totally fitted in with you know, 608 00:35:13,960 --> 00:35:17,560 Speaker 1: the scientific laws that was really word and did it 609 00:35:17,640 --> 00:35:19,680 Speaker 1: when he went to Knowing a Chicken. He was part 610 00:35:19,719 --> 00:35:24,279 Speaker 1: of the team that finally brought back the Colonel l back. 611 00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:26,839 Speaker 1: I think there was a time where yeah, turn Chicken 612 00:35:26,960 --> 00:35:30,040 Speaker 1: changed its name at KFC because because the mont pun't 613 00:35:30,080 --> 00:35:33,240 Speaker 1: worried about that weird fried. This is a classic example 614 00:35:33,280 --> 00:35:37,239 Speaker 1: of marketing team just in their own little bubble, right, simnicate. 615 00:35:37,480 --> 00:35:40,439 Speaker 1: Everyone knows it's fried. Everyone knows it's fried chicken. That's 616 00:35:40,600 --> 00:35:43,759 Speaker 1: why they lost on you when you're wiping the grease 617 00:35:43,840 --> 00:35:48,560 Speaker 1: off your hands. That's why it's good. Yeah, might go, oh, 618 00:35:48,719 --> 00:35:51,040 Speaker 1: you know this old white guy from the South, that's 619 00:35:51,080 --> 00:35:53,279 Speaker 1: not really so good to go, Well, don't think about that. 620 00:35:54,000 --> 00:35:57,839 Speaker 1: It's a distinctive asset. It's branded. As I always point out, 621 00:35:58,040 --> 00:36:01,160 Speaker 1: no one stops to think, why does the bigger chant 622 00:36:01,320 --> 00:36:10,040 Speaker 1: a spot of shame? Also, nobody cares bringing the king back. 623 00:36:10,120 --> 00:36:13,400 Speaker 1: That was also genius. Yeah, that's totally in line with 624 00:36:13,520 --> 00:36:16,719 Speaker 1: the signs. And that's wonderful, gradual and right ready to 625 00:36:16,760 --> 00:36:20,120 Speaker 1: do it. So true, it's so true. We need more 626 00:36:20,239 --> 00:36:24,600 Speaker 1: bravery definitely the creative side of the equation. Well, this 627 00:36:24,719 --> 00:36:27,919 Speaker 1: has been amazing. I think marketers out there are ready 628 00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:30,799 Speaker 1: to learn a little math, a little magic, and your 629 00:36:30,800 --> 00:36:33,760 Speaker 1: book Our Brands Grow has just been really the bible 630 00:36:34,000 --> 00:36:37,360 Speaker 1: for so many marketers. Who are succeeding, and it's amazing 631 00:36:37,480 --> 00:36:39,920 Speaker 1: the advice you have from marketers holds up so well, 632 00:36:40,280 --> 00:36:46,040 Speaker 1: so so well today. So here are a few things 633 00:36:46,080 --> 00:36:49,440 Speaker 1: I've picked up from Gail's conversation with Byron. One, A 634 00:36:49,560 --> 00:36:54,200 Speaker 1: data driven approach can fuel creativity, not killing. Byron uses 635 00:36:54,280 --> 00:36:58,000 Speaker 1: the example of architectural design. Math and magic must come 636 00:36:58,040 --> 00:37:02,320 Speaker 1: together to create buildings that are beautifu full and structurally sound. 637 00:37:02,800 --> 00:37:05,680 Speaker 1: Stay rooted in data and facts, and your creative ideas 638 00:37:05,719 --> 00:37:10,439 Speaker 1: can flourish. Two. In an era of targeted advertisements, mass 639 00:37:10,520 --> 00:37:14,160 Speaker 1: marketing still works. While targeting can be a powerful tool, 640 00:37:14,840 --> 00:37:20,000 Speaker 1: over targeting can cause missed opportunities. Byron's research still finds 641 00:37:20,120 --> 00:37:25,360 Speaker 1: that reaching more people brings in more customers. Three numbers 642 00:37:25,440 --> 00:37:28,440 Speaker 1: don't lie. As marketers, it can be tempting to create 643 00:37:28,520 --> 00:37:31,320 Speaker 1: the campaigns we want to hear, but the data shows 644 00:37:31,400 --> 00:37:35,240 Speaker 1: that our preferences might not reflect the mass audience. Byron 645 00:37:35,320 --> 00:37:38,080 Speaker 1: reminds us that we need to cast aside our biases 646 00:37:38,400 --> 00:37:41,759 Speaker 1: and stick to the messages that have proven success or 647 00:37:42,440 --> 00:37:46,080 Speaker 1: Conventional wisdom often hides the truth. When we buy in 648 00:37:46,160 --> 00:37:49,359 Speaker 1: the group thing without examining the proof, we often miss 649 00:37:49,600 --> 00:37:55,839 Speaker 1: the right idea I'm Bob Pittman. Thanks for listening. That's 650 00:37:55,880 --> 00:37:58,080 Speaker 1: it for today's episode. Thanks so much for listening to 651 00:37:58,200 --> 00:38:01,040 Speaker 1: Math and Magic, a production of Radio. The show is 652 00:38:01,080 --> 00:38:03,840 Speaker 1: hosted by Bob Pittman. Special thanks to Susan Ward for 653 00:38:03,920 --> 00:38:06,520 Speaker 1: booking and wrangling our wonderful talent, which is no small feed, 654 00:38:06,719 --> 00:38:10,160 Speaker 1: Marissa Brown for pulling research, our editors Derek Clements, Mary 655 00:38:10,239 --> 00:38:13,560 Speaker 1: Dow and Ryan Murdoch, our producer Morgan Levoy, our executive 656 00:38:13,560 --> 00:38:17,560 Speaker 1: producer Nikki Etor, and of course Gayle Roel, Eric Angel Noel, 657 00:38:17,760 --> 00:38:20,040 Speaker 1: and everyone who helped bring this show to your ears. 658 00:38:20,360 --> 00:38:21,239 Speaker 1: Until next time,