WEBVTT - How Monster Beverage Shares Soared a Monster 100,000% in the Last 20 Years

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<v Speaker 1>Hello, and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots Podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Joe Wisenthal and I'm Tracy Alloway. Tracy, I have

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<v Speaker 1>a new idea for an e t F that I

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<v Speaker 1>think we should launch. You and about a gazillion other people,

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<v Speaker 1>but go on. So, I think we should make a

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<v Speaker 1>brose e t F like bro culture. I feel like

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<v Speaker 1>his is a really is a really winning format. So

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<v Speaker 1>I think, Um, I think the basic can you say

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<v Speaker 1>bitch on air? I don't know, Um, the Basic Bitch

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<v Speaker 1>portfolio you just did, so I guess, I guess. So

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<v Speaker 1>sorry everyone, Um, this is going to be the first

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<v Speaker 1>episode of all thoughts that comes with a disclaimer about

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<v Speaker 1>bad language. The Basic Bitch e t F portfolio has

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<v Speaker 1>been sort of long running theme on a finance Twitter,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's done pretty well, at least in twenties. So

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<v Speaker 1>things like Pinterest, um, some of the makeup companies, those

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<v Speaker 1>sorts of things, Starbucks, So I could see I could

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<v Speaker 1>see the flip side of that being a brose e

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<v Speaker 1>t F. Sure, Gaming stocks gaming, so we know video

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<v Speaker 1>games have done extremely well. I mean that's just incredible sector.

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<v Speaker 1>Of course, Uh you know, back last summer we did

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<v Speaker 1>that episode about Domino's Pizza, which I think, like, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>ordering pizza while you're playing video games, then it's obviously

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<v Speaker 1>part of it. I imagine there's some like sports element.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh well, you could certainly put in um DraftKings and

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<v Speaker 1>some of these online gambling um Penn Gaming, some of

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<v Speaker 1>these online gambling names. And uh, there's also a beverage

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<v Speaker 1>company that I think fits right into the portfolio, and

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<v Speaker 1>it's done extraordinarily well, So I know which one you're

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<v Speaker 1>talking about. This has become one of your favorite companies.

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<v Speaker 1>Not just because this story around bro culture is quite

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<v Speaker 1>interesting right now, lots of people are playing more video games,

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<v Speaker 1>we're all stuck at home, and so maybe you want

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<v Speaker 1>to drink more of this particular beverage while you're gaming,

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<v Speaker 1>but also because the returns on this one have just

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<v Speaker 1>been absolutely stunning. Yeah, exactly right. So the company is

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<v Speaker 1>a monster beverage. You've almost certainly seen them like at

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<v Speaker 1>any Delhi or grocery store or anything. They're known for

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<v Speaker 1>their big cans of heavily caffeinated drinks sugary. They have

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<v Speaker 1>like super aggressive label labels on them. It's like this

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<v Speaker 1>sort of like very like macho frankly Browy Beverage, and

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<v Speaker 1>the stock has done phenomenally well. But depending on exactly

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<v Speaker 1>what settings you use, it's it might be the single

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<v Speaker 1>best performing stock in history, or certainly over the last

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<v Speaker 1>twenty or so years. I think it's up like five

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<v Speaker 1>thousand percent over the last twenty years, or at one

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<v Speaker 1>point it was like it's just donereal. Like it's like

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<v Speaker 1>we're talking like bitcoin level returns. Actually could probably put

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<v Speaker 1>like bitcoin into et F two, um, but we're talking

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<v Speaker 1>like bitcoin level returns for a company that sells sugary

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<v Speaker 1>caffeidated beverages, right. And I think when most people think

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<v Speaker 1>about the best performing stock of the past couple of decades,

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<v Speaker 1>they're going to think about Amazon or Google or Apple

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<v Speaker 1>or something like that. Not many people are going to

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<v Speaker 1>think about, you know, a consumer facing beverage company. I

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<v Speaker 1>have to tell you something, so I don't know much

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<v Speaker 1>about Monster. Um. I've never had one of the energy drinks,

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<v Speaker 1>although I am very aware of the branding and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>they're advertising strategy has been a big part of their success,

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<v Speaker 1>and I'm sure we're going to get into that on

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<v Speaker 1>the podcast. But I have to say, in the course

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<v Speaker 1>of doing some research for this episode, I found the

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<v Speaker 1>most amazing anecdote on Reddit. Of course it came from Reddit,

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<v Speaker 1>that's what what the anecdote. So I think it was

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<v Speaker 1>on the Financial Independence Retirement Early board, but it was

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<v Speaker 1>some guy who said he invested nine thousand dollars in

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<v Speaker 1>Monster Energy drinks. Um. I think this was in two

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<v Speaker 1>thousand and ten. He posted and he said he had

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<v Speaker 1>invested five years ago. So basically he had a five

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<v Speaker 1>increase on that nine thousand dollar position, which made him

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<v Speaker 1>a millionaire in the space of five years. And the

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<v Speaker 1>best part of it was so he wrote that in

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<v Speaker 1>two thousand ten, everyone on the message board basically said,

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<v Speaker 1>you are absolutely crazy. I can't believe you have this

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<v Speaker 1>huge chunk of portfolio of your portfolio in a single stock.

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<v Speaker 1>You need to sell it right now. And of course

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<v Speaker 1>had he held onto it, I don't know even know

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<v Speaker 1>what it would be worth now. But like the big

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<v Speaker 1>spike in Monster Energy came after two thousand ten, so

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<v Speaker 1>you can only imagine what invested back in two thousand

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<v Speaker 1>five would look like after a fifteen year monster run

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<v Speaker 1>in Monster Energy. It's really incredible. I mean it's like

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<v Speaker 1>one of these like charts where you just like slice

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<v Speaker 1>it up and you're like, holy crap, these are amazing returns,

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<v Speaker 1>and then you zoom out and it looks even more amazing.

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<v Speaker 1>It's just, uh, it's just incredible. So I want to

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<v Speaker 1>get the story. How did this maker of these drinks

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<v Speaker 1>that I've actually never had one either, I don't think

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<v Speaker 1>maybe I had one years ago, but you know, I

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<v Speaker 1>see him everywhere? How did it become this just mammoth

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<v Speaker 1>player um company? Did I think? Uh? For a billion

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<v Speaker 1>in revenue last year? In two thousand and four, it

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<v Speaker 1>was just forty nine million dollars. So the growth of

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<v Speaker 1>the fundamentals have been incredible. We're going to be speaking

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<v Speaker 1>with an analyst wh will explain it. Our guest today

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<v Speaker 1>is Mark Astracan. He's an analyst at Steeple. He covers

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<v Speaker 1>consumer goods. He's going to tell us the story of

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<v Speaker 1>Monster and why it's returns have been so monster. So, Mark,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you so much for joining us. Yeah, thanks for

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<v Speaker 1>having me. Where did this company come from? It used

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<v Speaker 1>to be like it was called something different. It was

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<v Speaker 1>like some sort of like natural beverage maker. Originally right, yes,

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<v Speaker 1>it was called Hands and Natural up until a few

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<v Speaker 1>years ago. The two guys who are running at the

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<v Speaker 1>now co CEOs bought the business as an investment or

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<v Speaker 1>as part of an investment group in the early nineties.

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<v Speaker 1>It was selling juice at the time Southern California. I

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<v Speaker 1>think they were living in London at that point to

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<v Speaker 1>South Africans looking for an investment and yeah, pulled some

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<v Speaker 1>money together and bought the business, moved to California and

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<v Speaker 1>started selling beverages. So how did the energy concept come about?

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<v Speaker 1>Because I think around that time there was already a

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<v Speaker 1>very well known energy beverage with loads of caffeine in

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<v Speaker 1>the form of Red Bull. And I have to declare

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<v Speaker 1>my interest here. I'm half Austrian. Red Bull comes from Austria.

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<v Speaker 1>Lots of people don't know that, and so you know,

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<v Speaker 1>my loyalty and the energy drink markets are already committed

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<v Speaker 1>to red Bull. But I'm curious, like there was an

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<v Speaker 1>incumbent with a strong brand, why did they decide to

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<v Speaker 1>to take on that particular sector. Well, maybe just to

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<v Speaker 1>take a step back, because I think it's it's interesting

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<v Speaker 1>and importance. So the Austrian comment, you know, the guy

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<v Speaker 1>who's running red Bull rebel versus a private company, So

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<v Speaker 1>there's not a whole lot of information out there, but

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<v Speaker 1>having studied this sector for far too long and finding

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<v Speaker 1>it as interesting as it is. Um the guy who's

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<v Speaker 1>running Red Bull, the CEO, actually only owns about half

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<v Speaker 1>of the company. He was a consumer executive in the

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<v Speaker 1>world before starting Red Bull, and he was traveling to

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<v Speaker 1>Southeast Asia a lot and finding that he's has travels

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<v Speaker 1>from Europe to Southeast Asia retiring and was in Thailand

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<v Speaker 1>and found this drink called Creighton Dang, which is translated

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<v Speaker 1>into Red Bull the days, and he decided he wanted

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<v Speaker 1>to bring this back to Europe with him, so he

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<v Speaker 1>actually created a joint venture with the family of the

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<v Speaker 1>founder of this this business, and so what we know

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<v Speaker 1>of Red Bull today actually originated as a tie beverage

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<v Speaker 1>which is still sold in a can that looks like

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<v Speaker 1>it did in the early eighties in a bunch of

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<v Speaker 1>places around the world, mainly in that that part of

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<v Speaker 1>the world China as well, but that's an aside. He

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<v Speaker 1>brings it back to Europe and starts selling it as

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<v Speaker 1>Red Bull in these sleek cans as the first energy drink,

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<v Speaker 1>and so that is is kind of where the monster

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<v Speaker 1>story begins. So Rodney and Hilton the co c e

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<v Speaker 1>O s. We're living in London, and I saw that

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<v Speaker 1>Red Bull was starting out in Europe around the same

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<v Speaker 1>time that they moved there and could see that this

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<v Speaker 1>was obviously doing really well. So I had nothing to

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<v Speaker 1>do with buying the hands and Natural juice business, but

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<v Speaker 1>having seen the growth of the energy category, they thought

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<v Speaker 1>it would be a good thing to try when they

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<v Speaker 1>were running their their beverage business in the US, So

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<v Speaker 1>before they launched Monster, they actually had some energy drink

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<v Speaker 1>brands under the Handsome Natural portfolio. I think it was

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<v Speaker 1>Blue Sky Beverage. There were a few other ones, but

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<v Speaker 1>they were launched in maybe the mid to late nineties,

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<v Speaker 1>and the fact that you haven't heard from him suggests

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<v Speaker 1>that they were probably a little bit too early. So

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<v Speaker 1>they were always interested in the energy category, but it

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<v Speaker 1>wasn't until I think two thousand and two or so

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<v Speaker 1>that they and one of their partners, a guy named

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<v Speaker 1>Mark Hall who now is a board member and also

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<v Speaker 1>one of the chief innovators of the company, decided to

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<v Speaker 1>create this this thing called Monster, this edgeyear product than

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<v Speaker 1>than Red Bull, and the rest is sort of history.

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<v Speaker 1>So basically, Red Bull we sort of at the time

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<v Speaker 1>and still is it's you know, highly caffeinated, it's associated

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<v Speaker 1>with extreme sports. I know they sponsor a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>that stuff. Monster is basically like, we're just gonna go

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<v Speaker 1>more extreme. Yeah, I think that's probably fair. Maybe starting

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<v Speaker 1>with the sixteen ounces can, I think if you were

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<v Speaker 1>to think about the energy drink consumer, I believe I

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<v Speaker 1>think history kind of bears out, as well as sales

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<v Speaker 1>trends that the Red Bull and Monster consumers are unique

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<v Speaker 1>in that. Red Bull sure when after that extreme consumer,

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<v Speaker 1>but it also early on focused on on premise so

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<v Speaker 1>bars and restaurants, and it, as a result or maybe coincidentally,

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<v Speaker 1>morphed into what I would consider more of a white

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<v Speaker 1>collar beverage. And it was partly because it was sold

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<v Speaker 1>at a premium, partly because it was a smaller can.

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<v Speaker 1>Now you have a whole bunch of other packages for

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<v Speaker 1>Red Bull twelve O, sixteen ounts and the like, but

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<v Speaker 1>the original can is an eight point four ounce can,

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<v Speaker 1>and so was small in volume and expensive in dollars

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<v Speaker 1>or euros or whatever it was at the time. And

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<v Speaker 1>so Monster decided they were gonna come out with the

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<v Speaker 1>sixteen ouns to basically sell the same volume or the

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<v Speaker 1>same value, same price for twice the volume, and they

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<v Speaker 1>also started to market it a bit more towards blue

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<v Speaker 1>collar workers, construction workers, the like they flavored the product

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<v Speaker 1>I think to be a little bit more unique than

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<v Speaker 1>Red Bull. Red Bull was never something that I think

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<v Speaker 1>people wanted to really enjoy drinking, and the folks at

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<v Speaker 1>Monster really focused on on palatability and something that they

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<v Speaker 1>thought would would appeal and it especially from a very

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<v Speaker 1>sweet standpoint of the core. Green Monster, which was the

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<v Speaker 1>original product, really did that to a certain unique set

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<v Speaker 1>of consumers. But then they added on that with a

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<v Speaker 1>focus on much more of the the I don't know

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<v Speaker 1>if he'd be a blue collar type of extreme sport,

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<v Speaker 1>but but red Bull was focused more on on mode

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<v Speaker 1>or sport and on well known athletes and music, and

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<v Speaker 1>and Monster went a bit kind of next level two

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<v Speaker 1>younger generations as well, focusing on early on like X games,

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<v Speaker 1>but focusing on things like video games which really weren't

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<v Speaker 1>a focus at that point for Red Bull, focusing on

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<v Speaker 1>Moto GP, focusing on supercross, you know, things that that

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<v Speaker 1>RedBull not wasn't necessarily focused on at the time, and

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<v Speaker 1>probably still to a large degree really really isn't focused

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<v Speaker 1>on and so they were able to bring in a

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<v Speaker 1>completely different consumer. So you have you've they've done a

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<v Speaker 1>really good job of retaining that blue collar consumer, which yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's pretty important. You can look to see

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<v Speaker 1>the the green can, which is still their biggest best

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<v Speaker 1>selling product, but also that they've now skewed I think

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<v Speaker 1>a bit younger than Red Bull as well. Maybe their

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<v Speaker 1>core consumer is kind of late teenager to thirty Rebels

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<v Speaker 1>consumer probably come in in mid twenties and and up,

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<v Speaker 1>and so they've really segmented the energy drinking category. And

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<v Speaker 1>as I said at the outset of the question, I

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<v Speaker 1>think if you you asked the consumers, they would largely

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<v Speaker 1>tell you they're they're a drinker of one and not

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<v Speaker 1>the other. And so I think that has really led

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<v Speaker 1>to the success of both businesses. And interesting, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>we can get into the international expansion for for Monster,

0:13:24.520 --> 0:13:28.680
<v Speaker 1>which has been quite successful. But it's interesting that both

0:13:28.760 --> 0:13:31.400
<v Speaker 1>businesses as best we can tell, because as I said before,

0:13:31.440 --> 0:13:33.640
<v Speaker 1>Rebels private, so you don't have as much information, but

0:13:34.679 --> 0:13:38.400
<v Speaker 1>they're they're both still growing it unbelievably strong rates in

0:13:38.480 --> 0:13:40.560
<v Speaker 1>the case of Monster, almost twenty years after the product

0:13:40.640 --> 0:13:43.400
<v Speaker 1>was created. In the case of red Bull almost thirty

0:13:43.559 --> 0:13:47.719
<v Speaker 1>five years now, still growing at an amazing rate. I

0:13:47.840 --> 0:13:51.520
<v Speaker 1>think that customer segmentation is really interesting because you know,

0:13:51.640 --> 0:13:54.959
<v Speaker 1>as I mentioned, I have had red Bull throughout my life.

0:13:55.000 --> 0:13:58.000
<v Speaker 1>One of the worst cocktails I've ever had involved um.

0:13:58.040 --> 0:14:00.679
<v Speaker 1>I think it was red Bull vodka and gummy bears

0:14:00.840 --> 0:14:05.080
<v Speaker 1>and it was absolutely disgusting. UM. But I haven't had

0:14:05.120 --> 0:14:07.760
<v Speaker 1>a Monster energy drink of any kind. But I am

0:14:07.840 --> 0:14:12.520
<v Speaker 1>aware of the advertising campaign, uh, the very distinctive can

0:14:12.720 --> 0:14:15.040
<v Speaker 1>with the green claw marks. I think a lot of

0:14:15.080 --> 0:14:17.800
<v Speaker 1>people have probably seen hats and T shirts and things

0:14:17.880 --> 0:14:21.840
<v Speaker 1>like that over the course of their lives. But one

0:14:21.880 --> 0:14:23.600
<v Speaker 1>thing I wanted to dive in, so we spoke a

0:14:23.680 --> 0:14:27.120
<v Speaker 1>little bit about how the marketing was important here, the advertising,

0:14:27.200 --> 0:14:29.880
<v Speaker 1>how the brand set itself apart from red Bull. Can

0:14:29.960 --> 0:14:32.440
<v Speaker 1>you talk well, you started to touch upon this with

0:14:32.560 --> 0:14:36.400
<v Speaker 1>the international expansion mentioned, but could you talk about the

0:14:37.000 --> 0:14:40.760
<v Speaker 1>distribution network here? And um, I guess the deals that

0:14:40.880 --> 0:14:44.160
<v Speaker 1>Monster struck with um first a b in bev and

0:14:44.280 --> 0:14:49.560
<v Speaker 1>then Coke. Yeah, and and it's it's important from just

0:14:49.680 --> 0:14:52.440
<v Speaker 1>a beverage standpoint to understand that that basically what you

0:14:52.760 --> 0:14:55.880
<v Speaker 1>try to do as a brand owner is to put

0:14:55.960 --> 0:14:57.760
<v Speaker 1>uself in a position to be distributed by the biggest

0:14:57.760 --> 0:15:01.040
<v Speaker 1>and the best distributor over time. And so you know,

0:15:01.120 --> 0:15:03.760
<v Speaker 1>success sort of breaths success in that regard, meaning that

0:15:04.480 --> 0:15:06.200
<v Speaker 1>you've got to get out there and kick the tires

0:15:06.240 --> 0:15:10.000
<v Speaker 1>and sell the product to retailers to distributors on a

0:15:10.520 --> 0:15:14.080
<v Speaker 1>single case basis at the beginning. But as you get

0:15:14.160 --> 0:15:18.040
<v Speaker 1>more success, you attract more attention, and the result is

0:15:18.120 --> 0:15:21.840
<v Speaker 1>you have these networks of distributors of beverages who ultimately

0:15:21.920 --> 0:15:25.320
<v Speaker 1>want to put more product on the truck. And the idea,

0:15:25.360 --> 0:15:27.240
<v Speaker 1>of course, is to find the product that sells the

0:15:27.320 --> 0:15:31.080
<v Speaker 1>fastest and also provides you the best profit in doing so.

0:15:32.040 --> 0:15:36.000
<v Speaker 1>And so as the energy category accelerated is monster share accelerated.

0:15:36.920 --> 0:15:41.480
<v Speaker 1>You started to see Monster get proposition by a lot

0:15:41.560 --> 0:15:45.080
<v Speaker 1>of distributors because of the success, and you think about

0:15:45.120 --> 0:15:48.240
<v Speaker 1>it too, you're taking a step back. The biggest non

0:15:48.320 --> 0:15:53.280
<v Speaker 1>alcoholic beverage categories carbonated soft drinks. Energy at the time

0:15:53.360 --> 0:15:56.160
<v Speaker 1>fifteen years ago was a pimple of a pimple of size,

0:15:56.920 --> 0:15:59.320
<v Speaker 1>and this behemoth of carbonate of software was out there.

0:15:59.360 --> 0:16:01.560
<v Speaker 1>If you look to day a fast forward fifteen years

0:16:02.040 --> 0:16:04.520
<v Speaker 1>in a lot of convenience stores which accounts for about

0:16:05.320 --> 0:16:08.800
<v Speaker 1>of energy drink sales. You've got a full door, maybe

0:16:08.840 --> 0:16:12.120
<v Speaker 1>even two doors, depending on the store selling energy drinks.

0:16:12.200 --> 0:16:13.800
<v Speaker 1>And you've seen at the same time the amount of

0:16:13.960 --> 0:16:17.280
<v Speaker 1>space dedicated to carbonated soft drinks shrinking and basically giving

0:16:17.320 --> 0:16:22.440
<v Speaker 1>share away to energy drinks because it's growing faster and

0:16:22.600 --> 0:16:25.280
<v Speaker 1>it's allowing for more profit margins from both the distributor

0:16:25.360 --> 0:16:28.600
<v Speaker 1>as well as the retailer. So it creates this opportunity

0:16:28.720 --> 0:16:31.800
<v Speaker 1>for itself. And obviously it starts with the consumer wanting

0:16:31.840 --> 0:16:35.360
<v Speaker 1>the product. But if you're able to have higher velocity

0:16:35.520 --> 0:16:39.720
<v Speaker 1>and greater value in your your rings, it's it's a

0:16:39.760 --> 0:16:43.120
<v Speaker 1>self fulfilling prophecy. So you go back to mid two

0:16:43.240 --> 0:16:46.600
<v Speaker 1>thousands and Monster were starting to gain this traction. So

0:16:46.680 --> 0:16:50.240
<v Speaker 1>Ant hazer Bush, not a non alcoholic company but a

0:16:50.280 --> 0:16:52.920
<v Speaker 1>company that still has trucks and distributors that goes in

0:16:53.040 --> 0:16:57.080
<v Speaker 1>services grocery stores and convenience stores and the like, said hey,

0:16:57.200 --> 0:17:00.360
<v Speaker 1>you know we we want to put you in our trucks.

0:17:00.400 --> 0:17:02.240
<v Speaker 1>And so I think the original agreement was for about

0:17:02.280 --> 0:17:05.119
<v Speaker 1>half of the US. The other half of the US

0:17:05.240 --> 0:17:07.960
<v Speaker 1>was a bit of a hodgepodge of distribution from a

0:17:08.040 --> 0:17:13.359
<v Speaker 1>Monster standpoint, and slowly the distribution progressed, where in the

0:17:13.400 --> 0:17:18.840
<v Speaker 1>early two thousand tents the distribution had evolved into about

0:17:18.840 --> 0:17:22.440
<v Speaker 1>half Anheiser Bush and half Coke. Because Coke saw the

0:17:22.520 --> 0:17:26.960
<v Speaker 1>opportunity there, they had been a partner in international starting

0:17:27.000 --> 0:17:29.520
<v Speaker 1>in the UK. It was actually the first distribution partner

0:17:29.560 --> 0:17:32.400
<v Speaker 1>that Monster had outside of the US. Monster was doing

0:17:32.400 --> 0:17:33.879
<v Speaker 1>a little bit on their own, but really it started

0:17:33.880 --> 0:17:37.760
<v Speaker 1>to accelerate with Coke's help in the UK, and eventually

0:17:37.840 --> 0:17:40.000
<v Speaker 1>that morphed into Coke I think in two thousand and

0:17:40.160 --> 0:17:43.120
<v Speaker 1>fourteen announcing it was going to take at the time,

0:17:43.160 --> 0:17:46.119
<v Speaker 1>I think a fifteen or steak in Monster, which is

0:17:46.160 --> 0:17:49.560
<v Speaker 1>now close because Monster has brought back a lot of stock,

0:17:49.640 --> 0:17:54.879
<v Speaker 1>increasing Coke's ownership. And at the same time that agreement

0:17:55.320 --> 0:18:00.080
<v Speaker 1>made Coke the global distributor of of Monster, with a

0:18:00.119 --> 0:18:03.960
<v Speaker 1>couple of exceptions at certain countries. And so basically Monster

0:18:04.080 --> 0:18:06.480
<v Speaker 1>kicked again has a Bush out and is now fully

0:18:06.480 --> 0:18:09.280
<v Speaker 1>distributed at least domestically through Coke and as I said,

0:18:09.320 --> 0:18:13.040
<v Speaker 1>through probably something like of the world. And so if

0:18:13.119 --> 0:18:16.119
<v Speaker 1>you think about distributors out there of size on a

0:18:16.160 --> 0:18:20.240
<v Speaker 1>global basis, ant Hazard Bush is a very good distributor

0:18:20.280 --> 0:18:22.879
<v Speaker 1>globally and has a bushing a very good distributor Pepsi,

0:18:23.000 --> 0:18:25.040
<v Speaker 1>very good distributor. But I think many people believe the

0:18:25.080 --> 0:18:27.160
<v Speaker 1>Coke is the creme de la creme, and so Monsters

0:18:27.160 --> 0:18:29.800
<v Speaker 1>really positioned itself with the best distributor, the one with

0:18:29.840 --> 0:18:32.320
<v Speaker 1>the global reach to put you into every single bodega

0:18:32.480 --> 0:18:36.480
<v Speaker 1>on the planet if need being. Importantly, if Monster wants

0:18:36.520 --> 0:18:38.600
<v Speaker 1>to launch a new product, the Coke system can get

0:18:38.640 --> 0:18:42.639
<v Speaker 1>that onto store shelves virtually the next day. How much

0:18:42.640 --> 0:18:44.159
<v Speaker 1>do you know? It seems like there must be like

0:18:44.240 --> 0:18:48.480
<v Speaker 1>a real chicken and egg problem for any upstart consumer

0:18:48.520 --> 0:18:52.919
<v Speaker 1>food or beverage company because obviously you need these distributor

0:18:53.000 --> 0:18:57.120
<v Speaker 1>relationships to get to get out there. They're not easy

0:18:57.200 --> 0:19:00.679
<v Speaker 1>to get. There's limited, uh, there's limited shelf and truck space.

0:19:01.119 --> 0:19:03.159
<v Speaker 1>On the other hand, you also presumably need to have

0:19:03.440 --> 0:19:07.600
<v Speaker 1>a pretty big marketing efforts so that people actually buy it.

0:19:08.200 --> 0:19:10.760
<v Speaker 1>But if you don't have the distribution, then you can

0:19:10.840 --> 0:19:13.040
<v Speaker 1>have all the marketing and brand in the world, but

0:19:13.200 --> 0:19:15.680
<v Speaker 1>no one can get it. How do they sort of

0:19:16.040 --> 0:19:20.840
<v Speaker 1>navigate that simultaneous challenge of raising the brand awareness becoming

0:19:20.920 --> 0:19:24.159
<v Speaker 1>an entity that people knew, while also making sure that

0:19:24.240 --> 0:19:27.360
<v Speaker 1>once people became aware of the brand, they were able

0:19:27.400 --> 0:19:30.399
<v Speaker 1>to find it. Yeah, it's it's it's actually interesting to

0:19:31.200 --> 0:19:33.879
<v Speaker 1>Monster if you just take a look at marketing or

0:19:33.960 --> 0:19:39.760
<v Speaker 1>advertising expenditure. Despite it being a marketing company, it's not

0:19:39.840 --> 0:19:42.639
<v Speaker 1>even a company that manufactures its own product. It outsources

0:19:42.680 --> 0:19:45.240
<v Speaker 1>on manufacturing to third parties, so it's really just a

0:19:45.320 --> 0:19:50.879
<v Speaker 1>brand manager. Despite being a brand manager, it's it's marketing

0:19:50.920 --> 0:19:54.040
<v Speaker 1>expenditures is actually pretty low as a percentage of sales.

0:19:54.119 --> 0:19:56.160
<v Speaker 1>It's not a traditional I'm going to watch an add

0:19:56.240 --> 0:19:58.080
<v Speaker 1>on TV and want to go out and buy a Monster.

0:19:58.200 --> 0:20:01.200
<v Speaker 1>So what they do is is what I was saying before,

0:20:01.280 --> 0:20:05.640
<v Speaker 1>You go out and sponsor athletes, events, video games, rock festivals,

0:20:05.720 --> 0:20:11.080
<v Speaker 1>sporting events and the like, and that creates the lifestyle

0:20:11.160 --> 0:20:15.680
<v Speaker 1>image of the brand and becomes that that self fulfilling prophecy.

0:20:15.680 --> 0:20:17.359
<v Speaker 1>I mean Red Bulls kind of done the same thing.

0:20:17.440 --> 0:20:19.399
<v Speaker 1>They do a little bit of TV advertising, but the

0:20:19.440 --> 0:20:22.760
<v Speaker 1>bread and butter is really that you're you're sponsoring these

0:20:22.880 --> 0:20:27.320
<v Speaker 1>athletes and events, and so that relies a bit more

0:20:27.359 --> 0:20:30.119
<v Speaker 1>on a guerilla marketing proposition. What Monster is really good at.

0:20:30.160 --> 0:20:32.720
<v Speaker 1>Originally it was just feed on the streets, sampling and

0:20:32.800 --> 0:20:34.760
<v Speaker 1>kind of showing up at the right place to create

0:20:34.840 --> 0:20:39.320
<v Speaker 1>the image that they wanted for the brand, and that continues,

0:20:39.680 --> 0:20:42.520
<v Speaker 1>believe it or not to this day. They've evolved, as

0:20:42.600 --> 0:20:47.320
<v Speaker 1>everybody has, from traditional or more traditional kind of advertising

0:20:47.359 --> 0:20:49.200
<v Speaker 1>in at least in their sense of course of brick

0:20:49.280 --> 0:20:53.200
<v Speaker 1>and mortar. But we're a real visible in real world

0:20:53.359 --> 0:20:57.080
<v Speaker 1>advertising to now digital and social media. But they're still

0:20:57.160 --> 0:20:58.960
<v Speaker 1>doing it in kind of that same way, appealing to

0:20:59.080 --> 0:21:00.880
<v Speaker 1>the same consumer. And it's not going to be something

0:21:00.960 --> 0:21:04.280
<v Speaker 1>that you're gonna find on a Jeopardy advertisement for examples,

0:21:04.400 --> 0:21:06.560
<v Speaker 1>And I think he is probably gonna be something that

0:21:06.600 --> 0:21:11.120
<v Speaker 1>continues for the foreseeable future. And so I think that's

0:21:11.119 --> 0:21:13.240
<v Speaker 1>a bit different than kind of the rest of the

0:21:13.359 --> 0:21:16.600
<v Speaker 1>world that I spend time analyzing, the proctors and gambles,

0:21:16.800 --> 0:21:19.560
<v Speaker 1>rested laws, loreals of the world. They are doing more

0:21:19.600 --> 0:21:39.960
<v Speaker 1>traditional advertising. So I'm curious. You know, you've laid out

0:21:40.880 --> 0:21:42.879
<v Speaker 1>the sort of history of the company, what made it

0:21:43.040 --> 0:21:47.200
<v Speaker 1>different from its major competitors, how it was doing some

0:21:47.400 --> 0:21:51.800
<v Speaker 1>things rather unusually. So for instance, in marketing, it wasn't

0:21:51.920 --> 0:21:55.560
<v Speaker 1>spending a ton of money buying traditional ads. Instead it

0:21:55.680 --> 0:21:59.680
<v Speaker 1>was going through these sort of grassroots efforts or sponsorships.

0:22:00.440 --> 0:22:05.280
<v Speaker 1>How did the streets approach Monster in its early days, Like,

0:22:05.400 --> 0:22:09.120
<v Speaker 1>how are analysts actually viewing the company and its potential

0:22:09.320 --> 0:22:14.160
<v Speaker 1>and how did that evolve over time? It's it's it's

0:22:14.200 --> 0:22:17.359
<v Speaker 1>a good question. Frankly, I'm still not sure the the

0:22:17.520 --> 0:22:21.680
<v Speaker 1>street fully understands what they're they're doing or what they've created.

0:22:22.359 --> 0:22:25.680
<v Speaker 1>No no offense to the guys running the company, but

0:22:25.840 --> 0:22:28.600
<v Speaker 1>but it is interesting. They don't even have an in

0:22:28.760 --> 0:22:33.680
<v Speaker 1>sourced investor relations functions, So management uniquely here doesn't really

0:22:33.760 --> 0:22:36.399
<v Speaker 1>even talk to investors, don't talk to analysts, don't talk

0:22:36.480 --> 0:22:39.560
<v Speaker 1>to investors. They hold for earning his calls a year

0:22:39.640 --> 0:22:43.399
<v Speaker 1>and allow people to ask probably on the very minimal

0:22:43.520 --> 0:22:47.399
<v Speaker 1>side of questions to three four five per quarter. They

0:22:47.440 --> 0:22:51.320
<v Speaker 1>do a couple of investor events a year outside of that,

0:22:51.480 --> 0:22:54.280
<v Speaker 1>but but that's really it. There's no real outreach on

0:22:54.359 --> 0:22:58.760
<v Speaker 1>their part. And so that's actually what to me has

0:22:58.840 --> 0:23:03.000
<v Speaker 1>created such an interesting proposition from an analyst standpoint to

0:23:03.119 --> 0:23:05.640
<v Speaker 1>covering it. And if you think about it, yes they're

0:23:05.640 --> 0:23:07.639
<v Speaker 1>a public company, but they almost treat themselves as a

0:23:07.760 --> 0:23:09.640
<v Speaker 1>private company as a result of what I just said,

0:23:10.359 --> 0:23:12.760
<v Speaker 1>and you couple that with Red Bull being an actual

0:23:12.840 --> 0:23:16.359
<v Speaker 1>private company and that Coke and PEPSI. Yes, they distribute

0:23:16.440 --> 0:23:18.320
<v Speaker 1>energy drinks, but don't have really any of their own

0:23:18.359 --> 0:23:20.720
<v Speaker 1>and have never really had any success doing that. That

0:23:20.800 --> 0:23:23.080
<v Speaker 1>there's almost no information out there from an energy drink

0:23:23.080 --> 0:23:27.200
<v Speaker 1>company standpoint, so you're left to really do a lot

0:23:27.280 --> 0:23:29.280
<v Speaker 1>of feed on the street kind of thinking about how

0:23:29.560 --> 0:23:33.360
<v Speaker 1>how these businesses work and what has driven the success,

0:23:33.400 --> 0:23:35.400
<v Speaker 1>which I think is fun and it creates an opportunity

0:23:35.440 --> 0:23:39.959
<v Speaker 1>to really do unique analysis. In my opinion, I think

0:23:40.000 --> 0:23:41.360
<v Speaker 1>one of the things that we've done a good job

0:23:41.440 --> 0:23:43.800
<v Speaker 1>of historically is that is looking at things in a

0:23:43.840 --> 0:23:46.760
<v Speaker 1>way that people haven't looked at it before. I mean, ultimately,

0:23:46.800 --> 0:23:49.480
<v Speaker 1>I see my job is trying to help investors make

0:23:49.960 --> 0:23:52.080
<v Speaker 1>decisions and help them make money. And I think in

0:23:52.119 --> 0:23:55.680
<v Speaker 1>a company like this, where they give more information and

0:23:55.760 --> 0:23:58.239
<v Speaker 1>regulatory filings but not necessarily something that you have an

0:23:58.280 --> 0:24:01.600
<v Speaker 1>investor relations person or kind of directing people to find

0:24:01.720 --> 0:24:04.440
<v Speaker 1>that it creates an opportunity to do that. And so

0:24:05.359 --> 0:24:08.159
<v Speaker 1>if you go back fifteen years ago, there there was

0:24:09.560 --> 0:24:13.000
<v Speaker 1>none zilch, you know, zilch. There was just very little

0:24:13.040 --> 0:24:15.720
<v Speaker 1>information whatsoever. Is also a smaller company at the time,

0:24:15.760 --> 0:24:18.399
<v Speaker 1>and so it was probably something that really just felt

0:24:19.040 --> 0:24:21.240
<v Speaker 1>through the cracks. If you are lucky enough to cover it,

0:24:21.320 --> 0:24:23.359
<v Speaker 1>maybe it was one that you give less focus to

0:24:23.480 --> 0:24:25.920
<v Speaker 1>than covering some of the bigger companies like a Copa

0:24:25.960 --> 0:24:30.000
<v Speaker 1>Pepsi within your your coverage universe, and it was just

0:24:30.119 --> 0:24:33.119
<v Speaker 1>there because you thought it was interesting. And so in

0:24:33.200 --> 0:24:36.240
<v Speaker 1>the early days, I mean, I can remember just making

0:24:36.359 --> 0:24:40.840
<v Speaker 1>phone calls to private beer distributors and asking how sales

0:24:40.880 --> 0:24:43.440
<v Speaker 1>are going and what they're seeing from a category standpoint,

0:24:43.560 --> 0:24:45.720
<v Speaker 1>is there any are there any other brands that are

0:24:45.760 --> 0:24:47.240
<v Speaker 1>coming up Because of the time, if you go back

0:24:47.280 --> 0:24:50.040
<v Speaker 1>to the mid two thousands, Coke and Pepsi were both

0:24:50.040 --> 0:24:52.240
<v Speaker 1>trying to compete in this. They saw what was happening

0:24:52.280 --> 0:24:55.480
<v Speaker 1>from an energy standpoint, they saw the share shift commencing,

0:24:55.760 --> 0:24:58.199
<v Speaker 1>even early days at that point, and so they were

0:24:58.200 --> 0:25:01.040
<v Speaker 1>all trying this and and I think the fear amongst

0:25:01.119 --> 0:25:03.840
<v Speaker 1>investors was these are the behemous, the under pound guerrillas,

0:25:03.840 --> 0:25:05.560
<v Speaker 1>and they're gonna come in and they're gonna they're gonna

0:25:05.600 --> 0:25:08.639
<v Speaker 1>kill Monster and they're gonna hurt Red Bull. And it

0:25:08.800 --> 0:25:11.879
<v Speaker 1>just never materialized like that. And as I said, you

0:25:11.960 --> 0:25:14.280
<v Speaker 1>started getting bigger and bigger from a distribution standpoint. I

0:25:14.320 --> 0:25:19.080
<v Speaker 1>think these these big beverage companies ultimately decided if you

0:25:19.160 --> 0:25:21.240
<v Speaker 1>can't beat them, you join them, or from this case,

0:25:21.280 --> 0:25:23.440
<v Speaker 1>if you can't kill them, you distribute them. And so

0:25:23.560 --> 0:25:25.920
<v Speaker 1>you still make a piece of the distribution or the

0:25:26.000 --> 0:25:28.920
<v Speaker 1>profit that's out there, but you can't own the brand

0:25:28.960 --> 0:25:30.879
<v Speaker 1>Fulegus unless you go out and want to buy it.

0:25:31.359 --> 0:25:33.840
<v Speaker 1>And it's it's it's just very fascinating from that standpoint.

0:25:33.880 --> 0:25:35.520
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I think you didn't ask the question, but

0:25:36.240 --> 0:25:39.200
<v Speaker 1>there is clearly this dynamic that's still at play here

0:25:39.320 --> 0:25:41.960
<v Speaker 1>that Coke owns close to the company, but monsters still

0:25:42.000 --> 0:25:44.040
<v Speaker 1>like public companies. If at these two companies that are

0:25:44.880 --> 0:25:48.879
<v Speaker 1>public answering to their own shareholders, and so you can't

0:25:48.880 --> 0:25:52.480
<v Speaker 1>be fully aligned with with one another as a result

0:25:52.520 --> 0:25:54.080
<v Speaker 1>of that, And so I described it as almost a

0:25:54.119 --> 0:25:56.440
<v Speaker 1>healthy tension where I think if Coke were to ultimately

0:25:56.480 --> 0:25:58.240
<v Speaker 1>by this company, you would probably see some of that

0:25:58.320 --> 0:26:01.560
<v Speaker 1>tension go away, and you probably actually see better execution

0:26:01.640 --> 0:26:05.320
<v Speaker 1>because you have more streamlined focus from a organizational standpoint

0:26:05.359 --> 0:26:08.440
<v Speaker 1>on selling Monster so coaxed on a good job, I

0:26:08.480 --> 0:26:10.800
<v Speaker 1>think they could do a better job. Is that something

0:26:10.920 --> 0:26:14.440
<v Speaker 1>people uh talk about? I mean, do people speculate that

0:26:14.520 --> 0:26:18.000
<v Speaker 1>at some point Coke just might buy the whole thing. Yeah,

0:26:18.119 --> 0:26:20.479
<v Speaker 1>there's there's a lot of speculation on that. I mean

0:26:20.960 --> 0:26:23.240
<v Speaker 1>I could probably spend an hour answering that question alone.

0:26:23.480 --> 0:26:26.040
<v Speaker 1>But in terms of the specifics, yeah, Coke Is has

0:26:26.080 --> 0:26:28.680
<v Speaker 1>done what it's done. They've never increased their stakes since

0:26:28.720 --> 0:26:32.480
<v Speaker 1>the original purchase. They, if you pay attention to current news,

0:26:33.000 --> 0:26:36.119
<v Speaker 1>have some tax issues which ultimately could result in them

0:26:36.160 --> 0:26:37.800
<v Speaker 1>having to write a big check, and so that probably

0:26:38.320 --> 0:26:41.840
<v Speaker 1>prevents things from from happening nearer term. Their stock, which

0:26:41.880 --> 0:26:44.240
<v Speaker 1>I would think they could use in a potential deal,

0:26:44.480 --> 0:26:47.080
<v Speaker 1>is also down off of high Is given the whole

0:26:47.119 --> 0:26:50.440
<v Speaker 1>impact to their business from from COVID, and so their

0:26:50.640 --> 0:26:54.640
<v Speaker 1>their equity is a little bit depleted relative to historical levels.

0:26:54.680 --> 0:26:56.399
<v Speaker 1>It probably makes it harder. But the flip side to

0:26:56.520 --> 0:27:00.440
<v Speaker 1>it is the two guys who are running Monster Odney

0:27:01.320 --> 0:27:05.080
<v Speaker 1>just turned seventy end of last year. Hilton is sixty seven.

0:27:05.119 --> 0:27:09.000
<v Speaker 1>He'll be sixty eight the middle of this year. They're

0:27:09.040 --> 0:27:11.040
<v Speaker 1>not They're not young. They've been running this company for

0:27:11.080 --> 0:27:14.199
<v Speaker 1>a long time and uniquely each of them own about

0:27:14.359 --> 0:27:17.200
<v Speaker 1>five of monsters. If you think about that, on a

0:27:17.280 --> 0:27:20.480
<v Speaker 1>roughly fifty billion dollar company. They're worth an awful lot

0:27:20.520 --> 0:27:23.960
<v Speaker 1>of money, and so they're not getting younger. They are

0:27:24.000 --> 0:27:26.960
<v Speaker 1>worth a ton of money. I think they want to

0:27:27.040 --> 0:27:29.959
<v Speaker 1>spend more time doing other things at some point than

0:27:30.040 --> 0:27:35.320
<v Speaker 1>just running Monster. They both have grandkids, they're both enjoying

0:27:35.359 --> 0:27:38.320
<v Speaker 1>spending more time with them. I think they would like

0:27:38.400 --> 0:27:40.600
<v Speaker 1>to travel more, assuming that one could ever actually leave

0:27:40.640 --> 0:27:43.719
<v Speaker 1>their house, and so yeah, there's this question of kind

0:27:43.760 --> 0:27:47.520
<v Speaker 1>of what happens from there. In my humble opinion, I'm

0:27:47.520 --> 0:27:49.280
<v Speaker 1>sure they would disagree with this, but I think the

0:27:49.320 --> 0:27:53.520
<v Speaker 1>bench strength is at least lacking as far as visible

0:27:53.600 --> 0:27:57.440
<v Speaker 1>facing folks to the street. And it's not obvious to

0:27:57.640 --> 0:28:01.600
<v Speaker 1>me who would necessarily run and the company should they

0:28:01.640 --> 0:28:04.640
<v Speaker 1>both get hit by a bus tomorrow, God forbid. In fact,

0:28:04.640 --> 0:28:07.199
<v Speaker 1>I don't think there is somebody internally who would make

0:28:07.280 --> 0:28:09.439
<v Speaker 1>sense to do that, and I think it's a very

0:28:09.480 --> 0:28:12.040
<v Speaker 1>unique organization, and I think that creates a bit of

0:28:12.119 --> 0:28:17.000
<v Speaker 1>a question mark about what happens. But but obviously it

0:28:17.280 --> 0:28:20.680
<v Speaker 1>takes It's kind of like firing nuclear weapons. I guess

0:28:20.720 --> 0:28:22.320
<v Speaker 1>it takes two people to turn the key or two

0:28:22.400 --> 0:28:24.000
<v Speaker 1>sides to do that, and so you need to have

0:28:24.040 --> 0:28:25.920
<v Speaker 1>a willing buyer as well as a willing seller. I'm

0:28:25.920 --> 0:28:28.879
<v Speaker 1>not sure that they necessarily are willing sellers, but but

0:28:29.160 --> 0:28:32.119
<v Speaker 1>the right offer comes along, who who isn't. But I

0:28:32.200 --> 0:28:34.080
<v Speaker 1>think as as they get older, I think that becomes

0:28:34.160 --> 0:28:37.399
<v Speaker 1>more more reasonable. But then the question is who who

0:28:37.520 --> 0:28:40.040
<v Speaker 1>ultimately would buy them? And I think the distribution arrangement

0:28:40.040 --> 0:28:42.280
<v Speaker 1>and the equity ownership would put Poke in that position.

0:28:42.360 --> 0:28:45.040
<v Speaker 1>I just think at president it's probably a little harder

0:28:45.160 --> 0:28:47.880
<v Speaker 1>to pull off. So what we'll see how that goes.

0:28:48.120 --> 0:28:52.160
<v Speaker 1>I have long thought that there could be some others

0:28:52.280 --> 0:28:54.920
<v Speaker 1>out there, kind of dark horses that aren't really talked about,

0:28:55.000 --> 0:28:57.800
<v Speaker 1>that could potentially be buyers in the business. But what

0:28:57.880 --> 0:29:00.920
<v Speaker 1>will ultimately see how that plays out. But for the

0:29:01.000 --> 0:29:04.000
<v Speaker 1>time being, I think they're they're very happy, and they're

0:29:04.000 --> 0:29:07.200
<v Speaker 1>they're obviously very successful in doing what they're doing. What

0:29:07.320 --> 0:29:12.080
<v Speaker 1>we'll see what happens in time. So Joe mentioned in

0:29:12.160 --> 0:29:17.440
<v Speaker 1>the intro that we did a previous episode on Domino's Pizza,

0:29:17.560 --> 0:29:21.160
<v Speaker 1>which was another stock that had a stellar performance, perhaps

0:29:21.360 --> 0:29:27.000
<v Speaker 1>um unexpectedly, and we also did a podcast about tobacco companies,

0:29:27.160 --> 0:29:30.040
<v Speaker 1>again a similar story. You would have expected that an

0:29:30.080 --> 0:29:33.360
<v Speaker 1>industry that's been under a lot of pressure over the

0:29:33.480 --> 0:29:38.480
<v Speaker 1>years might have suffered, but actually they've generated pretty consistent returns.

0:29:39.520 --> 0:29:42.720
<v Speaker 1>Are there any parallels between I'm trying to think how

0:29:42.760 --> 0:29:46.040
<v Speaker 1>to phrase this. Are there any parallels between tobacco and

0:29:46.520 --> 0:29:50.560
<v Speaker 1>energy drinks here? I mean, ultimately, you're selling a product

0:29:50.960 --> 0:29:55.160
<v Speaker 1>that a lot of people would classify as unhealthy and addictive.

0:29:55.480 --> 0:30:00.040
<v Speaker 1>Is the business model as simple as that? Well, I

0:30:00.120 --> 0:30:05.480
<v Speaker 1>think the differences. Energy drinks don't kill people, and I

0:30:05.600 --> 0:30:09.720
<v Speaker 1>think there has been a question historically about the health

0:30:10.080 --> 0:30:13.440
<v Speaker 1>of of these products. If you go back, I think

0:30:13.520 --> 0:30:16.360
<v Speaker 1>it's now sevent eight years ago, it had come to

0:30:16.480 --> 0:30:21.480
<v Speaker 1>the attention of various political folks in Washington, who ultimately

0:30:21.640 --> 0:30:24.760
<v Speaker 1>put it to the f d A too figure out

0:30:24.840 --> 0:30:29.680
<v Speaker 1>whether these products were healthy. We're not and whether they

0:30:29.720 --> 0:30:34.920
<v Speaker 1>should be sold. And Rodney her Monster and the then

0:30:35.280 --> 0:30:38.040
<v Speaker 1>CFO at rock Star and a senior marketing executive a

0:30:38.120 --> 0:30:40.360
<v Speaker 1>red Bull, We're pulled in front of I think a

0:30:40.480 --> 0:30:44.000
<v Speaker 1>Senate committee to talk about the health of energy drinks,

0:30:44.200 --> 0:30:49.560
<v Speaker 1>and ultimately the FDA said the amount of caffeine in

0:30:49.640 --> 0:30:55.080
<v Speaker 1>this product was well within our daily limits. The other

0:30:55.280 --> 0:30:58.080
<v Speaker 1>stuff that helps to make it an energy drink, things

0:30:58.160 --> 0:31:02.360
<v Speaker 1>like touring or guarana gin seeing are all what would

0:31:02.400 --> 0:31:04.920
<v Speaker 1>be considered generally regarded as safe meeting that they're all

0:31:05.240 --> 0:31:08.160
<v Speaker 1>okay to go into the body, and there's nothing that

0:31:08.280 --> 0:31:11.680
<v Speaker 1>we can say or do that should change how these

0:31:11.760 --> 0:31:16.640
<v Speaker 1>things are are sold. But ultimately the energy drink companies

0:31:16.720 --> 0:31:19.600
<v Speaker 1>had come to an agreement to kind of have this

0:31:19.880 --> 0:31:21.719
<v Speaker 1>this go away, which is that they just put more

0:31:21.760 --> 0:31:24.600
<v Speaker 1>explicit messaging on the cans to say, pregnant women shouldn't

0:31:24.640 --> 0:31:26.680
<v Speaker 1>drink these, you shouldn't drink more than one a day,

0:31:26.720 --> 0:31:28.800
<v Speaker 1>and here's the amount of caffeine that's in the can.

0:31:29.520 --> 0:31:32.280
<v Speaker 1>And you've seen over the years, various countries that have

0:31:32.920 --> 0:31:35.760
<v Speaker 1>tried to do similar things have tried to ban sales

0:31:35.880 --> 0:31:40.520
<v Speaker 1>to minors. Monster also agreed not to market two kids

0:31:40.600 --> 0:31:43.280
<v Speaker 1>under twelve, whatever that means, because they don't really market anyway.

0:31:43.280 --> 0:31:44.680
<v Speaker 1>So I'm not sure how a twelve year old er

0:31:44.760 --> 0:31:48.200
<v Speaker 1>younger could be differentiated from those that are older from that,

0:31:48.400 --> 0:31:51.160
<v Speaker 1>but you know that the point is it's been vetted,

0:31:51.200 --> 0:31:54.880
<v Speaker 1>It's been vetted all over the place, and it effectively

0:31:54.920 --> 0:31:59.560
<v Speaker 1>still has less caffeine than a espresso at Starbucks or

0:31:59.680 --> 0:32:01.800
<v Speaker 1>thinking about a frappuccino that has a lot of calories

0:32:01.840 --> 0:32:04.360
<v Speaker 1>in it. It's no, it's no worse for you than

0:32:04.440 --> 0:32:06.000
<v Speaker 1>kind of anything else that's out there. I mean, I'm

0:32:06.000 --> 0:32:07.600
<v Speaker 1>not arguing these are good for you. I'm not arguing

0:32:07.640 --> 0:32:10.480
<v Speaker 1>cargnate soft drinks are good for you. But it's it's

0:32:10.480 --> 0:32:12.760
<v Speaker 1>in that same vein and it's not something, as I said,

0:32:12.800 --> 0:32:16.400
<v Speaker 1>that will ultimately link to cancer, I think pretty definitively.

0:32:16.440 --> 0:32:19.880
<v Speaker 1>And so it is what it is. I think it's

0:32:19.960 --> 0:32:25.040
<v Speaker 1>interesting too, just stepping back. It's never been perceived is

0:32:25.360 --> 0:32:27.960
<v Speaker 1>good for you, and the world seems to evolve into

0:32:28.040 --> 0:32:32.960
<v Speaker 1>more helpful products. And yet while the consumer says on

0:32:33.080 --> 0:32:35.960
<v Speaker 1>one hand that that's what they want to consume, whether

0:32:36.040 --> 0:32:38.160
<v Speaker 1>it's eat or drink, that they want things that are

0:32:38.160 --> 0:32:43.000
<v Speaker 1>cleaner label and more natural, organic and whatnot, the actions

0:32:43.120 --> 0:32:47.640
<v Speaker 1>to sales, the volumes, the accelerating growth globally of energy

0:32:47.720 --> 0:32:52.480
<v Speaker 1>drinks would speak otherwise. And I think ultimately, like coffee, sure,

0:32:52.640 --> 0:32:58.560
<v Speaker 1>caffeine is an addictive drug to some extent, but this

0:32:58.720 --> 0:33:01.600
<v Speaker 1>is something that fills it needs to eight. Consumers are sleeping, less,

0:33:01.640 --> 0:33:05.200
<v Speaker 1>working more, want more focus, and this is what it offers.

0:33:06.240 --> 0:33:08.400
<v Speaker 1>But but as I said, interestingly, it still has less

0:33:08.440 --> 0:33:13.080
<v Speaker 1>caffeine in it than an equivalent cup of coffee. Yes,

0:33:13.160 --> 0:33:15.160
<v Speaker 1>there's more caffeine in it, but I wouldn't say it's

0:33:15.200 --> 0:33:17.000
<v Speaker 1>materially more. It's kind of four times the amount of

0:33:17.040 --> 0:33:18.960
<v Speaker 1>caffeine is a can of coke. But what does that

0:33:19.080 --> 0:33:22.960
<v Speaker 1>really do necessarily from a body standpoint, I don't think

0:33:23.000 --> 0:33:26.240
<v Speaker 1>it's all that significant. So it's along when it answers

0:33:26.280 --> 0:33:29.400
<v Speaker 1>saying not healthy hasn't seemed to have an impact, doesn't

0:33:29.560 --> 0:33:33.840
<v Speaker 1>really harm you. It's been vetted across various regulatory bodies,

0:33:33.880 --> 0:33:37.320
<v Speaker 1>and um, I think at this point, and knock on wood,

0:33:37.360 --> 0:33:39.960
<v Speaker 1>but it seems like most of have generally accepted what

0:33:40.040 --> 0:33:43.320
<v Speaker 1>I just said. So I want to like look into

0:33:43.400 --> 0:33:46.040
<v Speaker 1>the future a little bit. I mean, you mentioned that

0:33:46.320 --> 0:33:49.760
<v Speaker 1>outside of the current management, there's not an obvious replacement

0:33:49.840 --> 0:33:52.479
<v Speaker 1>perhaps a reason for them to sell. Talk to us

0:33:52.480 --> 0:33:56.080
<v Speaker 1>about like where has the growth been lately and what

0:33:56.240 --> 0:34:00.200
<v Speaker 1>are the opportunities going forward? Like where will you know

0:34:00.520 --> 0:34:03.720
<v Speaker 1>we're theoretically well the next ten years of growth come

0:34:03.760 --> 0:34:06.560
<v Speaker 1>from for a company. Yeah, it's it's a good question.

0:34:07.280 --> 0:34:11.360
<v Speaker 1>And I'll start by saying in the US, which is

0:34:11.400 --> 0:34:15.200
<v Speaker 1>still two thirds of revenue, it's still growing at at

0:34:15.280 --> 0:34:17.879
<v Speaker 1>least a high single if not a low double digit rate.

0:34:18.680 --> 0:34:21.080
<v Speaker 1>So here here is a business fin around in the

0:34:21.200 --> 0:34:24.560
<v Speaker 1>US now for nineteen years and still growing at that rate.

0:34:25.040 --> 0:34:27.279
<v Speaker 1>And they don't really take price, so it's almost all

0:34:27.600 --> 0:34:31.680
<v Speaker 1>volume that's that's driving it, just more incremental cans being consumed.

0:34:32.960 --> 0:34:36.840
<v Speaker 1>The US is a bigger profit center than than the

0:34:36.920 --> 0:34:39.719
<v Speaker 1>international piece. They just have higher margins here and so

0:34:39.880 --> 0:34:44.160
<v Speaker 1>it probably accounts for ninety percent of global profit and

0:34:44.239 --> 0:34:47.239
<v Speaker 1>it produces just massive cash flows. So you've got this

0:34:47.360 --> 0:34:49.359
<v Speaker 1>business just before I answer the question on where does

0:34:49.400 --> 0:34:52.200
<v Speaker 1>it go? Yeah, you know, you talked about it being

0:34:52.200 --> 0:34:55.120
<v Speaker 1>a great stock. It's just the greatest business ever invented.

0:34:55.280 --> 0:34:58.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean, these guys don't produce anything themselves. There's no

0:34:58.320 --> 0:35:01.880
<v Speaker 1>real capital expenditures. They spend a percent of sales or

0:35:02.239 --> 0:35:05.000
<v Speaker 1>less per year. There's no debt on the balance sheet,

0:35:05.400 --> 0:35:07.560
<v Speaker 1>so it's just mints money a billion dollars plus in

0:35:07.640 --> 0:35:10.560
<v Speaker 1>free cash flow a year that they use to basically

0:35:10.640 --> 0:35:13.440
<v Speaker 1>just buy back stock. So you've got this business that's

0:35:13.480 --> 0:35:16.920
<v Speaker 1>growing domestically at a call it a high single digit rate.

0:35:17.000 --> 0:35:19.799
<v Speaker 1>I think can grow at that rate for at least

0:35:19.840 --> 0:35:23.239
<v Speaker 1>the foreseeable future. Here and we didn't touch on it,

0:35:23.360 --> 0:35:26.160
<v Speaker 1>but Ken if you want to later. I think they've

0:35:26.160 --> 0:35:28.200
<v Speaker 1>done a really good job of expanding usage occasion, so

0:35:28.280 --> 0:35:30.239
<v Speaker 1>you keep the core consumer and you innovate into new

0:35:30.320 --> 0:35:34.200
<v Speaker 1>product categories, and that has really driven interest and incrementality

0:35:34.239 --> 0:35:38.560
<v Speaker 1>of purchases, and it has contributed to the consistent growth

0:35:39.400 --> 0:35:43.360
<v Speaker 1>in the US. And in the US they have around

0:35:43.400 --> 0:35:46.279
<v Speaker 1>a forty share or so on a dollar basis of

0:35:46.360 --> 0:35:49.799
<v Speaker 1>the energy drink category, about the same as Red Bull. Volumetrically,

0:35:49.840 --> 0:35:52.840
<v Speaker 1>they're actually higher because they sell, as I said, twice

0:35:52.880 --> 0:35:54.680
<v Speaker 1>the volume for the same price, So they are the

0:35:54.840 --> 0:35:57.320
<v Speaker 1>leader from a volume standpoint on a market share basis

0:35:57.400 --> 0:36:01.040
<v Speaker 1>in the US. If you take that and look at

0:36:01.080 --> 0:36:04.960
<v Speaker 1>it globally excluding the US, our best guess, because there's

0:36:05.000 --> 0:36:07.719
<v Speaker 1>really not good data, is that they're probably somewhere in

0:36:07.800 --> 0:36:11.480
<v Speaker 1>the low to mid teens as a percentage of global share.

0:36:11.840 --> 0:36:14.759
<v Speaker 1>Red Bullet somewhere around a fifty share. So if you

0:36:14.800 --> 0:36:16.560
<v Speaker 1>think about what they've been able to do in the US,

0:36:16.600 --> 0:36:19.640
<v Speaker 1>starting at zero and now being a volume share leader

0:36:19.800 --> 0:36:22.279
<v Speaker 1>in the US, if they can have that kind of

0:36:22.400 --> 0:36:25.919
<v Speaker 1>success outside of the US, you go from a twelve

0:36:26.040 --> 0:36:29.120
<v Speaker 1>or thirteen global share to a forty share in a

0:36:29.239 --> 0:36:32.360
<v Speaker 1>category that's growing at a I don't know, ten percent

0:36:32.520 --> 0:36:35.440
<v Speaker 1>or more rate on a global basis. You get a

0:36:35.480 --> 0:36:38.279
<v Speaker 1>business it's three or four times the size of what

0:36:38.400 --> 0:36:41.680
<v Speaker 1>you have today on an outside the US basis, which

0:36:41.760 --> 0:36:44.920
<v Speaker 1>today is roughly a third of the business, and you

0:36:45.000 --> 0:36:46.640
<v Speaker 1>have a business that's growing in the US at a

0:36:46.719 --> 0:36:50.280
<v Speaker 1>high single digit rate. You've got a really long growth

0:36:50.440 --> 0:36:53.000
<v Speaker 1>rate for for the revenues of this company. To put

0:36:53.040 --> 0:36:58.880
<v Speaker 1>in perspective, best we can tell, Monster will do about

0:36:59.000 --> 0:37:02.680
<v Speaker 1>five billion dollars lars and revenue globally. I would guess

0:37:02.719 --> 0:37:04.759
<v Speaker 1>Red Bulls probably twice that size. You're talking about a

0:37:04.800 --> 0:37:09.120
<v Speaker 1>ten billion dollar company. So Monster can easily see its

0:37:09.160 --> 0:37:11.359
<v Speaker 1>sales double from here over a long period of time,

0:37:11.880 --> 0:37:14.840
<v Speaker 1>just based on the math that I just outline. And

0:37:15.000 --> 0:37:21.239
<v Speaker 1>so it's partly just this getting more distribution, increasing brand awareness,

0:37:21.680 --> 0:37:25.840
<v Speaker 1>and expanding usage occasions through innovation and the Coke system.

0:37:26.120 --> 0:37:27.840
<v Speaker 1>This is where the Coke system is really coming and

0:37:27.920 --> 0:37:29.960
<v Speaker 1>done a good job. I think in the US Monster

0:37:30.080 --> 0:37:32.279
<v Speaker 1>didn't need Coke, but outside the US, I think Coke

0:37:32.360 --> 0:37:35.000
<v Speaker 1>has really been helpful in just getting the product to

0:37:35.160 --> 0:37:39.080
<v Speaker 1>market in an efficient, effective manner and really getting more

0:37:39.160 --> 0:37:41.759
<v Speaker 1>product on shelf. And I think that's also an opportunity

0:37:41.800 --> 0:37:45.440
<v Speaker 1>beyond just category growing. If you think about a typical

0:37:45.520 --> 0:37:48.920
<v Speaker 1>seven eleven cooler in the US, you could have twelve

0:37:49.000 --> 0:37:51.520
<v Speaker 1>the fifteen Monsters sitting in that cooler. If you go

0:37:51.640 --> 0:37:54.320
<v Speaker 1>outside the US, on average, you're probably seeing three to

0:37:54.440 --> 0:37:57.360
<v Speaker 1>five per cooler. So there's also an opportunity to just

0:37:57.520 --> 0:38:00.920
<v Speaker 1>add more products, and those incremental products that have expanded

0:38:00.960 --> 0:38:03.320
<v Speaker 1>the usage occasions and brought in more consumers to the

0:38:03.400 --> 0:38:05.960
<v Speaker 1>Monster business, and that has been one of the big

0:38:06.040 --> 0:38:10.399
<v Speaker 1>things that has driven out performance relative to Red Bull

0:38:10.440 --> 0:38:12.400
<v Speaker 1>in my opinion that Red Bull has been more about

0:38:12.480 --> 0:38:16.600
<v Speaker 1>just adding different packaging sizes and until more recently just

0:38:16.760 --> 0:38:19.640
<v Speaker 1>not really wanting to add flavor extensions. And Monster beyond

0:38:19.719 --> 0:38:24.280
<v Speaker 1>just flavor extensions, has created new sub brands. They've created juice,

0:38:25.280 --> 0:38:28.360
<v Speaker 1>energy plus Juice, They've created coffee plus Energy and it

0:38:28.400 --> 0:38:31.239
<v Speaker 1>sounds almost like an oxymorn, and yet they've created a

0:38:31.480 --> 0:38:35.000
<v Speaker 1>multibillion dollar business globally that they're the day along with

0:38:35.080 --> 0:38:38.120
<v Speaker 1>Starbucks and others are competing in and so they they've

0:38:38.320 --> 0:38:40.640
<v Speaker 1>created this, I mean when they launched that in two

0:38:40.680 --> 0:38:43.080
<v Speaker 1>thousand five or six, this job a Monster product. I'm

0:38:43.120 --> 0:38:45.080
<v Speaker 1>sure I wrote something obnoxious at the time like, oh

0:38:45.160 --> 0:38:47.239
<v Speaker 1>my god, how could you possibly be successful with doing that?

0:38:47.360 --> 0:38:50.399
<v Speaker 1>And sure enough, here we are. So they've just done

0:38:50.440 --> 0:38:52.439
<v Speaker 1>a really good job of kind of going to where

0:38:52.480 --> 0:38:54.920
<v Speaker 1>the consumer is going to be. I think, you know,

0:38:55.000 --> 0:38:58.800
<v Speaker 1>the thing that you can't over emphasize enough is that

0:38:58.960 --> 0:39:01.080
<v Speaker 1>the management here, back to the beginning of what you

0:39:01.120 --> 0:39:04.840
<v Speaker 1>said about what has made this so successful, they've just

0:39:04.920 --> 0:39:09.000
<v Speaker 1>been the management here. Rodney, Hilton, Mark, those three guys

0:39:09.080 --> 0:39:11.319
<v Speaker 1>have just been brilliant at figuring out where the puck

0:39:11.440 --> 0:39:13.240
<v Speaker 1>was going and trying to figure out how to expand

0:39:13.280 --> 0:39:16.839
<v Speaker 1>those used occasions for the consumer and the Red Bull

0:39:16.960 --> 0:39:19.759
<v Speaker 1>maybe being a big, fat, happy private company never had

0:39:19.800 --> 0:39:23.160
<v Speaker 1>to do that, and Monster was given the opportunity and

0:39:23.200 --> 0:39:40.080
<v Speaker 1>clearly capitalized on it. I'm curious. We've talked a lot

0:39:40.120 --> 0:39:44.000
<v Speaker 1>about the success of Monster, and you seem pretty optimistic

0:39:44.080 --> 0:39:48.320
<v Speaker 1>about its future. What, in your opinion, is the biggest

0:39:48.480 --> 0:39:53.640
<v Speaker 1>threat to the company. I think the biggest threat at

0:39:53.680 --> 0:39:56.359
<v Speaker 1>this point the thing, I guess there's probably two things.

0:39:56.600 --> 0:39:58.279
<v Speaker 1>The two biggest things we hear are one, how long

0:39:58.320 --> 0:40:01.560
<v Speaker 1>can category growth continue? Because that's most important if they

0:40:01.640 --> 0:40:03.880
<v Speaker 1>can retain their share or even grow their share of

0:40:03.920 --> 0:40:06.520
<v Speaker 1>a category. And it's growing at that rate, I think

0:40:06.560 --> 0:40:09.480
<v Speaker 1>they're they're gonna be pretty happy. The second would be,

0:40:09.760 --> 0:40:11.719
<v Speaker 1>you know, and sort of related to that, what about

0:40:11.800 --> 0:40:14.719
<v Speaker 1>new entrance into the category. And so if you go

0:40:14.840 --> 0:40:20.279
<v Speaker 1>back twelve to eighteen months ago, there was a new

0:40:20.480 --> 0:40:22.840
<v Speaker 1>entrant or relatively new enter into the category in the

0:40:23.000 --> 0:40:27.600
<v Speaker 1>US called Bang, which is selling what is called performance energy,

0:40:28.000 --> 0:40:30.440
<v Speaker 1>which is basically selling, if you can believe it, twice

0:40:30.560 --> 0:40:33.720
<v Speaker 1>the caffeine in a same sixteen ounts can as Monster,

0:40:34.680 --> 0:40:37.400
<v Speaker 1>and that was something that started to resonate with consumers.

0:40:38.200 --> 0:40:42.560
<v Speaker 1>And like Monster, they moved from smaller distribution into antiser

0:40:42.640 --> 0:40:45.600
<v Speaker 1>bush district distribution and they're now actually distributed by Pepsi.

0:40:46.160 --> 0:40:49.680
<v Speaker 1>And so there's questions about whether the share that they

0:40:49.719 --> 0:40:52.399
<v Speaker 1>were able to get to fairly quickly, which was made

0:40:52.440 --> 0:40:55.640
<v Speaker 1>the high single digits, and it's it's since stopped and

0:40:56.080 --> 0:40:59.040
<v Speaker 1>moved backwards. But that share they got fairly quickly, it

0:40:59.120 --> 0:41:01.120
<v Speaker 1>wasn't as hard to get is maybe some people thought.

0:41:01.200 --> 0:41:06.800
<v Speaker 1>And so digital social media new age marketing can allow

0:41:07.040 --> 0:41:09.800
<v Speaker 1>or potentially allow new entriest to come in and reduce

0:41:09.920 --> 0:41:14.000
<v Speaker 1>the barriers to entry. You see a few smaller companies

0:41:14.120 --> 0:41:18.839
<v Speaker 1>like Celsius and C four also seeing very strong growth

0:41:18.920 --> 0:41:21.480
<v Speaker 1>at this point off of admittedly a very small base,

0:41:22.239 --> 0:41:24.560
<v Speaker 1>but you're seeing more competition in the space. So the

0:41:24.640 --> 0:41:27.880
<v Speaker 1>question is how relevant can Monster be within that? And

0:41:28.000 --> 0:41:29.960
<v Speaker 1>so it's just not one of these things that I

0:41:30.040 --> 0:41:31.920
<v Speaker 1>think they can sit there and rest on their laurels.

0:41:31.960 --> 0:41:36.160
<v Speaker 1>It's always about constant innovation and tweaking the image and

0:41:36.200 --> 0:41:40.160
<v Speaker 1>the products that they're offering and to monsters credit. For example,

0:41:40.920 --> 0:41:44.000
<v Speaker 1>when the world started focusing on this or the the

0:41:44.120 --> 0:41:46.320
<v Speaker 1>energy can world, I suppose the subset of losers like

0:41:46.400 --> 0:41:50.160
<v Speaker 1>me to focus on the beverage industry. When people started

0:41:50.200 --> 0:41:53.680
<v Speaker 1>focusing on this Bang product taking share fall two thousand eighteen,

0:41:54.600 --> 0:41:57.160
<v Speaker 1>Monster was able to get a product out to market

0:41:57.239 --> 0:42:00.680
<v Speaker 1>within six months called Rain that allly got to a

0:42:00.880 --> 0:42:03.880
<v Speaker 1>three share of the category stopped. The growth of Bang

0:42:04.040 --> 0:42:06.399
<v Speaker 1>has done quite well considering it was a brand nobody

0:42:06.480 --> 0:42:08.839
<v Speaker 1>ever heard of two years ago. That brand, I think

0:42:08.880 --> 0:42:11.800
<v Speaker 1>at this point could be doing something on order of

0:42:12.160 --> 0:42:14.360
<v Speaker 1>hundreds of millions of dollars in revenue at retails. So

0:42:14.520 --> 0:42:16.120
<v Speaker 1>they've done a really good job of creating something out

0:42:16.160 --> 0:42:18.960
<v Speaker 1>of nothing. So but that's the question. It's how can

0:42:19.000 --> 0:42:21.160
<v Speaker 1>you continue to growth and how you can sustain the

0:42:21.200 --> 0:42:25.160
<v Speaker 1>share you have. I mean, I'm curious bigger picture, I mean,

0:42:25.680 --> 0:42:31.440
<v Speaker 1>beyond Monster, you cover consumer brand um overall, this question

0:42:31.719 --> 0:42:36.080
<v Speaker 1>of the degree to which new new avenues for promotion

0:42:36.239 --> 0:42:39.520
<v Speaker 1>social media Instagram, and new avenues for distribution the whole

0:42:39.560 --> 0:42:43.480
<v Speaker 1>director consumer phenomenon. How much space for that is. We

0:42:43.560 --> 0:42:46.640
<v Speaker 1>have another conversation actually the timing wise, I think it's

0:42:46.680 --> 0:42:48.719
<v Speaker 1>going to come out right after this episode where we

0:42:48.800 --> 0:42:51.360
<v Speaker 1>talk a little bit about that. But from your perspective,

0:42:51.960 --> 0:42:55.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, you mentioned the importance of these distribution deals,

0:42:55.360 --> 0:42:59.960
<v Speaker 1>the Coke network, that sort of the oligopoly of distribution,

0:43:00.000 --> 0:43:02.920
<v Speaker 1>and in the US and globally, how much under threat

0:43:03.120 --> 0:43:06.080
<v Speaker 1>is that from the Internet, from new stuff or how

0:43:06.160 --> 0:43:11.640
<v Speaker 1>much Canada withstand um these sort of these changes. I

0:43:11.680 --> 0:43:16.960
<v Speaker 1>don't want to understate the importance. But in a category

0:43:17.040 --> 0:43:21.439
<v Speaker 1>like beverages, where as I said at the beginning, energy

0:43:21.520 --> 0:43:24.480
<v Speaker 1>drink sales are done a convenience store, meaning is an

0:43:24.560 --> 0:43:27.759
<v Speaker 1>impulse by It's going to be pretty hard to see

0:43:28.040 --> 0:43:32.719
<v Speaker 1>that materialize. Monster and others are selling more online and

0:43:32.880 --> 0:43:37.680
<v Speaker 1>on Amazon than they ever have, but those numbers are

0:43:37.960 --> 0:43:40.360
<v Speaker 1>how would estimated probably something like two percent of sales

0:43:40.400 --> 0:43:43.000
<v Speaker 1>at this point so it's it's still pretty small and

0:43:43.040 --> 0:43:45.560
<v Speaker 1>the idea of shipping heavy cases of beverage, it's still

0:43:45.640 --> 0:43:49.000
<v Speaker 1>not something that necessarily appeals or that I think will

0:43:49.040 --> 0:43:52.880
<v Speaker 1>get traction like it could in selling sneakers or in

0:43:52.960 --> 0:43:56.640
<v Speaker 1>selling pet food or something like that. So I think

0:43:56.719 --> 0:43:59.680
<v Speaker 1>in this category in particular, it's probably a little bit harder.

0:43:59.760 --> 0:44:02.920
<v Speaker 1>I won't say that it will be impossible, but I

0:44:03.000 --> 0:44:07.800
<v Speaker 1>think that's an advantage of of where we are historically speaking,

0:44:08.280 --> 0:44:11.000
<v Speaker 1>at least so far. You just you haven't seen any

0:44:11.200 --> 0:44:15.000
<v Speaker 1>brands like that game traction, partly because you want to

0:44:15.040 --> 0:44:17.759
<v Speaker 1>be where the consumers are and they need to see

0:44:17.760 --> 0:44:20.239
<v Speaker 1>the product want to buy it. I think that's a

0:44:20.400 --> 0:44:22.319
<v Speaker 1>good place to stop it. Do you have any other

0:44:22.480 --> 0:44:24.960
<v Speaker 1>It's sort of like anything we missed in terms of

0:44:25.040 --> 0:44:27.759
<v Speaker 1>like understanding the story and where it's going that we

0:44:27.800 --> 0:44:33.320
<v Speaker 1>should think about. It's worth pointing out and making it

0:44:34.560 --> 0:44:37.880
<v Speaker 1>making it important that this innovation thing is really what

0:44:38.080 --> 0:44:42.680
<v Speaker 1>has driven success, and the guys that this company are

0:44:42.880 --> 0:44:47.800
<v Speaker 1>are very good at understanding what consumers want. And I

0:44:47.920 --> 0:44:50.840
<v Speaker 1>think they're still despite being a company that will do

0:44:50.920 --> 0:44:54.200
<v Speaker 1>five billion in revenue this year, operating like a company

0:44:54.280 --> 0:44:56.560
<v Speaker 1>that's going to do a couple hundred million in revenue.

0:44:56.920 --> 0:45:00.879
<v Speaker 1>Like I mentioned with the rain product, I couldn't even

0:45:01.280 --> 0:45:03.520
<v Speaker 1>imagine how long it would take a product like that

0:45:03.680 --> 0:45:06.480
<v Speaker 1>to come to market at Coke or something equivalent to

0:45:06.520 --> 0:45:09.200
<v Speaker 1>Procter and Gamble, but it would take probably two years

0:45:09.239 --> 0:45:11.920
<v Speaker 1>of market research and consumer testing, and these guys were

0:45:11.920 --> 0:45:17.120
<v Speaker 1>able to get it done in months. And early last year,

0:45:17.640 --> 0:45:21.600
<v Speaker 1>Red Bull launched a watermelon flavor which sounds simple, but

0:45:21.760 --> 0:45:24.160
<v Speaker 1>it just killed it. It did. I'm sure Tracy would

0:45:24.160 --> 0:45:26.440
<v Speaker 1>love that in the country, probably very good with I've

0:45:26.480 --> 0:45:28.640
<v Speaker 1>done a little bit of sprig of basil or something

0:45:29.520 --> 0:45:31.839
<v Speaker 1>that sounds good joke, But now that you say, at

0:45:31.960 --> 0:45:35.040
<v Speaker 1>Red Bull watermelon with a sprig of basil, well but

0:45:35.280 --> 0:45:37.360
<v Speaker 1>but but if you don't want the full sugar products.

0:45:37.400 --> 0:45:40.400
<v Speaker 1>So that product did really well. Monster put a product

0:45:40.440 --> 0:45:43.719
<v Speaker 1>in the market on their zero calorie line in September,

0:45:43.880 --> 0:45:47.319
<v Speaker 1>so within months of seeing the success, they were able

0:45:47.320 --> 0:45:51.200
<v Speaker 1>to get that product the formulation correct, the taste profile right,

0:45:51.239 --> 0:45:53.440
<v Speaker 1>and they were able to get it to market. I

0:45:53.520 --> 0:45:56.120
<v Speaker 1>will say, if I'm able to do anything here, it's

0:45:56.160 --> 0:45:59.120
<v Speaker 1>it's to at least get you to try a Monster.

0:45:59.360 --> 0:46:01.239
<v Speaker 1>At this point, feel like both of you have never

0:46:01.320 --> 0:46:05.520
<v Speaker 1>tried one, which what's your favorite? What's your favorite? Uh,

0:46:06.160 --> 0:46:08.160
<v Speaker 1>your favorite one to try and I'll get that one.

0:46:08.400 --> 0:46:10.480
<v Speaker 1>What's your favorite flavor? I think you should try one

0:46:10.520 --> 0:46:14.640
<v Speaker 1>of the Ultra lines, try Ultra Sunrise, which is the

0:46:14.760 --> 0:46:18.600
<v Speaker 1>orange flavor, or Ultra Paradise, which is there. I don't know,

0:46:18.640 --> 0:46:22.560
<v Speaker 1>i'd call it like an apple key cucumber kind of thing, um,

0:46:22.800 --> 0:46:25.040
<v Speaker 1>but it's those are probably the ones that I would

0:46:25.040 --> 0:46:27.800
<v Speaker 1>try first. All Right, I'm gonna I'm looking up, I'm

0:46:27.840 --> 0:46:30.360
<v Speaker 1>gonna test the what were you going to test the

0:46:30.400 --> 0:46:34.239
<v Speaker 1>watermelon with vodka? Obviously? Obviously, but I was gonna say,

0:46:34.560 --> 0:46:38.680
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to test the strength of Coke's distribution network

0:46:38.760 --> 0:46:41.320
<v Speaker 1>and see if I can actually find a monster product

0:46:41.400 --> 0:46:46.560
<v Speaker 1>in Hong Kong. That's job number one. You will definitely

0:46:46.600 --> 0:46:48.799
<v Speaker 1>be able to find a Monster in Hong Kong. I'm

0:46:48.880 --> 0:46:53.560
<v Speaker 1>just I'm just envisioning Tracy on a rooftop in Hong Kong.

0:46:54.560 --> 0:46:57.840
<v Speaker 1>It's some you know where they apparently like they have

0:46:57.920 --> 0:47:04.239
<v Speaker 1>the virus under control, drinking a out monster watermelon basil cocktail.

0:47:04.320 --> 0:47:07.200
<v Speaker 1>And I'm very jealous of that. I'm very jealous of

0:47:07.280 --> 0:47:09.239
<v Speaker 1>that moment right now. I don't think you're gonna find

0:47:09.239 --> 0:47:12.880
<v Speaker 1>a watermelon ultra in Hong Kong, unfortunately. But Jill, they

0:47:12.920 --> 0:47:15.319
<v Speaker 1>actually are expanding in China at this point, to which

0:47:16.920 --> 0:47:19.640
<v Speaker 1>they're even a slightly different product offering there than they

0:47:19.719 --> 0:47:21.120
<v Speaker 1>do in the rest of the world. But they have

0:47:22.040 --> 0:47:25.960
<v Speaker 1>three three of their mainstream products and two non carbonated

0:47:26.000 --> 0:47:29.080
<v Speaker 1>tea products there, so I'm confident you'll be able to

0:47:29.160 --> 0:47:31.759
<v Speaker 1>find at least a couple of those on shelves. I'm

0:47:31.800 --> 0:47:34.359
<v Speaker 1>on it before this episode comes out. I'm gonna I'm

0:47:34.360 --> 0:47:37.200
<v Speaker 1>gonna get one, all right, Mark, thank you so much

0:47:37.200 --> 0:47:39.600
<v Speaker 1>for joining us. I've been so curious about this company

0:47:39.719 --> 0:47:42.120
<v Speaker 1>for a long time, and I feel like you you

0:47:42.280 --> 0:47:45.360
<v Speaker 1>told its story extremely well, so I really appreciate you

0:47:45.480 --> 0:47:48.640
<v Speaker 1>joining up. Yeah. Absolutely, thanks for having me. That was great, Mark,

0:47:48.719 --> 0:48:11.279
<v Speaker 1>Thank you, thanks Mark. Yeah, Tracy, I am kind of

0:48:11.360 --> 0:48:13.960
<v Speaker 1>embarrassed that I've never had one. I I think I

0:48:14.120 --> 0:48:16.759
<v Speaker 1>probably have like two thousand and four, two thousand five,

0:48:16.880 --> 0:48:20.120
<v Speaker 1>Like I have like some memory of like going to

0:48:20.200 --> 0:48:24.120
<v Speaker 1>the bagel store on Bedford Avenue in Williamsburg, and I

0:48:24.200 --> 0:48:27.560
<v Speaker 1>remember like seeing them, Like I have this vague memory

0:48:27.600 --> 0:48:30.279
<v Speaker 1>of like the first time I saw them proliferate. But

0:48:30.680 --> 0:48:33.239
<v Speaker 1>it's definitely been a been too long since I've had

0:48:33.680 --> 0:48:36.839
<v Speaker 1>a Monster beverage, But that's kind of an interesting thing, right,

0:48:36.920 --> 0:48:39.600
<v Speaker 1>So I have a feeling that even for most people

0:48:39.920 --> 0:48:45.040
<v Speaker 1>who haven't actually tried Monster, they're aware of the branding. Um. Yeah,

0:48:45.600 --> 0:48:47.719
<v Speaker 1>because it became such a big thing and it was

0:48:47.840 --> 0:48:53.520
<v Speaker 1>so distinctive. I do think that whole conversation was obviously fascinating.

0:48:54.040 --> 0:48:56.520
<v Speaker 1>The strength of management, this idea that they're able to

0:48:57.040 --> 0:49:00.759
<v Speaker 1>respond to the market very very quickly, that their advertising

0:49:00.840 --> 0:49:05.919
<v Speaker 1>has been different to other traditional drinks companies. The fact

0:49:06.000 --> 0:49:08.560
<v Speaker 1>that they have zero debt on their balance sheet is

0:49:08.760 --> 0:49:12.880
<v Speaker 1>absolutely amazing in the current environment. But one thing I

0:49:12.960 --> 0:49:15.480
<v Speaker 1>found really interesting was, you know, Mark was kind of

0:49:15.560 --> 0:49:18.080
<v Speaker 1>hinting at this, but it was the way the street

0:49:18.520 --> 0:49:23.680
<v Speaker 1>approached the company. Um, they didn't really understand it. Monster

0:49:24.120 --> 0:49:26.120
<v Speaker 1>was kind of unique in the sense that it was

0:49:26.200 --> 0:49:28.920
<v Speaker 1>a public company, but it acted a bit like a

0:49:29.080 --> 0:49:33.560
<v Speaker 1>private company. And I suspect also, and Mark didn't go

0:49:33.600 --> 0:49:36.120
<v Speaker 1>into this directly, but I suspect that there is also

0:49:36.200 --> 0:49:40.720
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of I guess like arrogance or classism

0:49:40.960 --> 0:49:45.120
<v Speaker 1>towards the product, Like Monster was always the blue collar

0:49:45.520 --> 0:49:49.600
<v Speaker 1>product for a less well off market. I suppose whereas

0:49:49.640 --> 0:49:52.640
<v Speaker 1>Red Bull was the sort of white collar one, and

0:49:52.719 --> 0:49:55.640
<v Speaker 1>I wonder how much of that fed into people's um

0:49:56.440 --> 0:50:01.200
<v Speaker 1>investment decisions or analysis. The it's just no question, like

0:50:01.320 --> 0:50:04.840
<v Speaker 1>if I have to in my mind's eye, and again

0:50:04.920 --> 0:50:08.239
<v Speaker 1>it's it's my own biases and judgment, and but like

0:50:08.360 --> 0:50:10.440
<v Speaker 1>in my mind's eye, you know, like if I have

0:50:10.920 --> 0:50:14.400
<v Speaker 1>if I imagine someone drinking Red Bull, it's like some

0:50:14.680 --> 0:50:17.800
<v Speaker 1>like you're a guy who's like six ft one, wearing

0:50:17.800 --> 0:50:21.400
<v Speaker 1>a white shirt and a club and you know, like

0:50:21.520 --> 0:50:24.680
<v Speaker 1>super fit, And if I imagined what I would have

0:50:24.760 --> 0:50:27.879
<v Speaker 1>assumed as like a monster drinker, it's like someone playing

0:50:28.000 --> 0:50:32.279
<v Speaker 1>video games in the US and Florida and having a

0:50:32.360 --> 0:50:35.760
<v Speaker 1>headset on talking, you know, like whatever game they're playing

0:50:36.320 --> 0:50:38.719
<v Speaker 1>with a baseball cap backwards and everything. Like it's just

0:50:38.800 --> 0:50:40.640
<v Speaker 1>like I hadn't I hadn't, you know, in my mind,

0:50:40.680 --> 0:50:42.600
<v Speaker 1>I was like, oh, yeah, they're competitors. But then as

0:50:42.640 --> 0:50:45.239
<v Speaker 1>soon as you said that, it's like so clear to me,

0:50:45.400 --> 0:50:49.320
<v Speaker 1>like how I've long like stereotyped the to uh the consumers.

0:50:49.440 --> 0:50:51.040
<v Speaker 1>So but I guess it's kind of accut, you're going

0:50:51.080 --> 0:50:54.479
<v Speaker 1>to get a lot of angry Monster fans coming after

0:50:54.560 --> 0:50:58.040
<v Speaker 1>you now I know, but you are definitely uh the

0:50:58.120 --> 0:51:02.640
<v Speaker 1>red Bull demotrazy. I would not like to put myself

0:51:02.680 --> 0:51:07.680
<v Speaker 1>in that category. I support it because Austria has very

0:51:07.840 --> 0:51:10.920
<v Speaker 1>very few things of which to be proud, and probably

0:51:11.040 --> 0:51:13.920
<v Speaker 1>our most famous export is something that you wouldn't want

0:51:13.920 --> 0:51:16.800
<v Speaker 1>to take credit for. So you know, we latch onto

0:51:16.920 --> 0:51:18.920
<v Speaker 1>what we can and red Bull is one of them,

0:51:19.000 --> 0:51:22.719
<v Speaker 1>even though, as Mark pointed out, the actual recipe came

0:51:22.800 --> 0:51:26.560
<v Speaker 1>from Thailand. But I'm going to convert, or at least

0:51:26.560 --> 0:51:28.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to try monster. I'll try to find it

0:51:28.680 --> 0:51:31.399
<v Speaker 1>in Hong Kong and uh, you know, we can talk

0:51:31.600 --> 0:51:34.239
<v Speaker 1>on Twitter or somewhere else about how we feel about it.

0:51:34.719 --> 0:51:37.759
<v Speaker 1>Do the review sounds good? I'm looking forward to our

0:51:38.280 --> 0:51:41.000
<v Speaker 1>our review and I'll take that selfie when I'm you know,

0:51:41.320 --> 0:51:44.800
<v Speaker 1>on the roof deck drinking some sort of monster based

0:51:44.880 --> 0:51:50.320
<v Speaker 1>cocktails to Instagram. Okay, this has been another episode of

0:51:50.400 --> 0:51:53.200
<v Speaker 1>the All Thoughts podcast. I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow

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<v Speaker 1>me on Twitter at Tracy Alloway and I'm Joe Why

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<v Speaker 1>Isn't All? You can follow me on Twitter at the Stalwart. Hello.

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<v Speaker 1>Our producer Laura Carlson. She's at Laura M. Carlson. Follow

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<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg head of podcast Francesco Levi at Francesco Today,

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<v Speaker 1>and check out all of our podcasts at Bloomberg onto

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<v Speaker 1>the handle at podcasts. Thanks for listening.