1 00:00:10,680 --> 00:00:14,160 Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots Podcast. 2 00:00:14,160 --> 00:00:18,320 Speaker 1: I'm Joe Wisenthal and I'm Tracy Alloway. Tracy, I have 3 00:00:18,600 --> 00:00:21,919 Speaker 1: a new idea for an e t F that I 4 00:00:21,920 --> 00:00:27,360 Speaker 1: think we should launch. You and about a gazillion other people, 5 00:00:27,440 --> 00:00:30,120 Speaker 1: but go on. So, I think we should make a 6 00:00:30,160 --> 00:00:34,000 Speaker 1: brose e t F like bro culture. I feel like 7 00:00:34,120 --> 00:00:37,280 Speaker 1: his is a really is a really winning format. So 8 00:00:37,600 --> 00:00:43,120 Speaker 1: I think, Um, I think the basic can you say 9 00:00:43,280 --> 00:00:45,840 Speaker 1: bitch on air? I don't know, Um, the Basic Bitch 10 00:00:45,880 --> 00:00:49,519 Speaker 1: portfolio you just did, so I guess, I guess. So 11 00:00:50,000 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 1: sorry everyone, Um, this is going to be the first 12 00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:54,640 Speaker 1: episode of all thoughts that comes with a disclaimer about 13 00:00:54,840 --> 00:00:59,720 Speaker 1: bad language. The Basic Bitch e t F portfolio has 14 00:00:59,760 --> 00:01:02,680 Speaker 1: been sort of long running theme on a finance Twitter, 15 00:01:02,840 --> 00:01:06,600 Speaker 1: and that's done pretty well, at least in twenties. So 16 00:01:06,760 --> 00:01:11,160 Speaker 1: things like Pinterest, um, some of the makeup companies, those 17 00:01:11,200 --> 00:01:13,720 Speaker 1: sorts of things, Starbucks, So I could see I could 18 00:01:13,720 --> 00:01:15,520 Speaker 1: see the flip side of that being a brose e 19 00:01:15,600 --> 00:01:19,479 Speaker 1: t F. Sure, Gaming stocks gaming, so we know video 20 00:01:19,520 --> 00:01:23,240 Speaker 1: games have done extremely well. I mean that's just incredible sector. 21 00:01:24,040 --> 00:01:26,360 Speaker 1: Of course, Uh you know, back last summer we did 22 00:01:26,360 --> 00:01:29,960 Speaker 1: that episode about Domino's Pizza, which I think, like, you know, 23 00:01:30,080 --> 00:01:33,240 Speaker 1: ordering pizza while you're playing video games, then it's obviously 24 00:01:33,319 --> 00:01:36,040 Speaker 1: part of it. I imagine there's some like sports element. 25 00:01:36,480 --> 00:01:39,880 Speaker 1: Oh well, you could certainly put in um DraftKings and 26 00:01:39,959 --> 00:01:43,840 Speaker 1: some of these online gambling um Penn Gaming, some of 27 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:48,000 Speaker 1: these online gambling names. And uh, there's also a beverage 28 00:01:48,040 --> 00:01:51,640 Speaker 1: company that I think fits right into the portfolio, and 29 00:01:51,640 --> 00:01:55,120 Speaker 1: it's done extraordinarily well, So I know which one you're 30 00:01:55,120 --> 00:01:58,400 Speaker 1: talking about. This has become one of your favorite companies. 31 00:01:58,600 --> 00:02:02,040 Speaker 1: Not just because this story around bro culture is quite 32 00:02:02,040 --> 00:02:04,960 Speaker 1: interesting right now, lots of people are playing more video games, 33 00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:07,080 Speaker 1: we're all stuck at home, and so maybe you want 34 00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:10,120 Speaker 1: to drink more of this particular beverage while you're gaming, 35 00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:14,200 Speaker 1: but also because the returns on this one have just 36 00:02:14,280 --> 00:02:18,200 Speaker 1: been absolutely stunning. Yeah, exactly right. So the company is 37 00:02:18,280 --> 00:02:21,799 Speaker 1: a monster beverage. You've almost certainly seen them like at 38 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:25,840 Speaker 1: any Delhi or grocery store or anything. They're known for 39 00:02:25,880 --> 00:02:31,280 Speaker 1: their big cans of heavily caffeinated drinks sugary. They have 40 00:02:31,360 --> 00:02:34,799 Speaker 1: like super aggressive label labels on them. It's like this 41 00:02:34,919 --> 00:02:39,880 Speaker 1: sort of like very like macho frankly Browy Beverage, and 42 00:02:40,000 --> 00:02:43,239 Speaker 1: the stock has done phenomenally well. But depending on exactly 43 00:02:43,480 --> 00:02:47,400 Speaker 1: what settings you use, it's it might be the single 44 00:02:47,480 --> 00:02:51,400 Speaker 1: best performing stock in history, or certainly over the last 45 00:02:51,440 --> 00:02:55,560 Speaker 1: twenty or so years. I think it's up like five 46 00:02:55,680 --> 00:02:58,120 Speaker 1: thousand percent over the last twenty years, or at one 47 00:02:58,120 --> 00:03:00,320 Speaker 1: point it was like it's just donereal. Like it's like 48 00:03:00,480 --> 00:03:03,600 Speaker 1: we're talking like bitcoin level returns. Actually could probably put 49 00:03:03,600 --> 00:03:06,920 Speaker 1: like bitcoin into et F two, um, but we're talking 50 00:03:07,040 --> 00:03:13,960 Speaker 1: like bitcoin level returns for a company that sells sugary 51 00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:17,399 Speaker 1: caffeidated beverages, right. And I think when most people think 52 00:03:17,600 --> 00:03:21,040 Speaker 1: about the best performing stock of the past couple of decades, 53 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:24,520 Speaker 1: they're going to think about Amazon or Google or Apple 54 00:03:24,760 --> 00:03:26,840 Speaker 1: or something like that. Not many people are going to 55 00:03:26,919 --> 00:03:31,280 Speaker 1: think about, you know, a consumer facing beverage company. I 56 00:03:31,360 --> 00:03:33,919 Speaker 1: have to tell you something, so I don't know much 57 00:03:33,960 --> 00:03:37,240 Speaker 1: about Monster. Um. I've never had one of the energy drinks, 58 00:03:37,320 --> 00:03:41,320 Speaker 1: although I am very aware of the branding and you know, 59 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:44,680 Speaker 1: they're advertising strategy has been a big part of their success, 60 00:03:44,720 --> 00:03:46,320 Speaker 1: and I'm sure we're going to get into that on 61 00:03:46,440 --> 00:03:49,120 Speaker 1: the podcast. But I have to say, in the course 62 00:03:49,280 --> 00:03:53,000 Speaker 1: of doing some research for this episode, I found the 63 00:03:53,080 --> 00:03:58,360 Speaker 1: most amazing anecdote on Reddit. Of course it came from Reddit, 64 00:03:59,640 --> 00:04:02,240 Speaker 1: that's what what the anecdote. So I think it was 65 00:04:02,320 --> 00:04:07,000 Speaker 1: on the Financial Independence Retirement Early board, but it was 66 00:04:07,160 --> 00:04:11,120 Speaker 1: some guy who said he invested nine thousand dollars in 67 00:04:11,320 --> 00:04:16,960 Speaker 1: Monster Energy drinks. Um. I think this was in two 68 00:04:17,120 --> 00:04:19,400 Speaker 1: thousand and ten. He posted and he said he had 69 00:04:19,440 --> 00:04:23,080 Speaker 1: invested five years ago. So basically he had a five 70 00:04:23,880 --> 00:04:27,240 Speaker 1: increase on that nine thousand dollar position, which made him 71 00:04:27,279 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 1: a millionaire in the space of five years. And the 72 00:04:30,120 --> 00:04:32,360 Speaker 1: best part of it was so he wrote that in 73 00:04:32,440 --> 00:04:36,159 Speaker 1: two thousand ten, everyone on the message board basically said, 74 00:04:36,240 --> 00:04:38,400 Speaker 1: you are absolutely crazy. I can't believe you have this 75 00:04:38,520 --> 00:04:41,599 Speaker 1: huge chunk of portfolio of your portfolio in a single stock. 76 00:04:41,720 --> 00:04:44,440 Speaker 1: You need to sell it right now. And of course 77 00:04:44,520 --> 00:04:48,240 Speaker 1: had he held onto it, I don't know even know 78 00:04:48,400 --> 00:04:50,800 Speaker 1: what it would be worth now. But like the big 79 00:04:50,880 --> 00:04:54,000 Speaker 1: spike in Monster Energy came after two thousand ten, so 80 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:57,359 Speaker 1: you can only imagine what invested back in two thousand 81 00:04:57,440 --> 00:05:01,240 Speaker 1: five would look like after a fifteen year monster run 82 00:05:01,520 --> 00:05:04,800 Speaker 1: in Monster Energy. It's really incredible. I mean it's like 83 00:05:04,880 --> 00:05:06,800 Speaker 1: one of these like charts where you just like slice 84 00:05:06,839 --> 00:05:09,600 Speaker 1: it up and you're like, holy crap, these are amazing returns, 85 00:05:09,839 --> 00:05:12,239 Speaker 1: and then you zoom out and it looks even more amazing. 86 00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:15,520 Speaker 1: It's just, uh, it's just incredible. So I want to 87 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:19,719 Speaker 1: get the story. How did this maker of these drinks 88 00:05:20,120 --> 00:05:22,200 Speaker 1: that I've actually never had one either, I don't think 89 00:05:22,279 --> 00:05:24,600 Speaker 1: maybe I had one years ago, but you know, I 90 00:05:24,600 --> 00:05:27,679 Speaker 1: see him everywhere? How did it become this just mammoth 91 00:05:27,920 --> 00:05:31,799 Speaker 1: player um company? Did I think? Uh? For a billion 92 00:05:31,839 --> 00:05:33,640 Speaker 1: in revenue last year? In two thousand and four, it 93 00:05:33,760 --> 00:05:36,240 Speaker 1: was just forty nine million dollars. So the growth of 94 00:05:36,360 --> 00:05:39,520 Speaker 1: the fundamentals have been incredible. We're going to be speaking 95 00:05:40,080 --> 00:05:42,719 Speaker 1: with an analyst wh will explain it. Our guest today 96 00:05:42,839 --> 00:05:46,040 Speaker 1: is Mark Astracan. He's an analyst at Steeple. He covers 97 00:05:46,400 --> 00:05:49,720 Speaker 1: consumer goods. He's going to tell us the story of 98 00:05:50,560 --> 00:05:54,400 Speaker 1: Monster and why it's returns have been so monster. So, Mark, 99 00:05:54,480 --> 00:05:56,680 Speaker 1: thank you so much for joining us. Yeah, thanks for 100 00:05:56,760 --> 00:05:59,360 Speaker 1: having me. Where did this company come from? It used 101 00:05:59,400 --> 00:06:01,600 Speaker 1: to be like it was called something different. It was 102 00:06:01,680 --> 00:06:06,080 Speaker 1: like some sort of like natural beverage maker. Originally right, yes, 103 00:06:06,839 --> 00:06:10,440 Speaker 1: it was called Hands and Natural up until a few 104 00:06:10,560 --> 00:06:14,800 Speaker 1: years ago. The two guys who are running at the 105 00:06:15,240 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 1: now co CEOs bought the business as an investment or 106 00:06:21,000 --> 00:06:23,760 Speaker 1: as part of an investment group in the early nineties. 107 00:06:23,960 --> 00:06:29,160 Speaker 1: It was selling juice at the time Southern California. I 108 00:06:29,200 --> 00:06:30,920 Speaker 1: think they were living in London at that point to 109 00:06:31,080 --> 00:06:34,600 Speaker 1: South Africans looking for an investment and yeah, pulled some 110 00:06:34,680 --> 00:06:38,240 Speaker 1: money together and bought the business, moved to California and 111 00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:46,200 Speaker 1: started selling beverages. So how did the energy concept come about? 112 00:06:46,240 --> 00:06:49,760 Speaker 1: Because I think around that time there was already a 113 00:06:49,960 --> 00:06:53,640 Speaker 1: very well known energy beverage with loads of caffeine in 114 00:06:53,960 --> 00:06:56,560 Speaker 1: the form of Red Bull. And I have to declare 115 00:06:56,640 --> 00:07:00,440 Speaker 1: my interest here. I'm half Austrian. Red Bull comes from Austria. 116 00:07:00,600 --> 00:07:02,760 Speaker 1: Lots of people don't know that, and so you know, 117 00:07:03,000 --> 00:07:06,159 Speaker 1: my loyalty and the energy drink markets are already committed 118 00:07:06,160 --> 00:07:08,800 Speaker 1: to red Bull. But I'm curious, like there was an 119 00:07:08,880 --> 00:07:12,840 Speaker 1: incumbent with a strong brand, why did they decide to 120 00:07:13,520 --> 00:07:17,600 Speaker 1: to take on that particular sector. Well, maybe just to 121 00:07:17,680 --> 00:07:20,560 Speaker 1: take a step back, because I think it's it's interesting 122 00:07:20,600 --> 00:07:24,320 Speaker 1: and importance. So the Austrian comment, you know, the guy 123 00:07:24,360 --> 00:07:27,280 Speaker 1: who's running red Bull rebel versus a private company, So 124 00:07:27,360 --> 00:07:29,200 Speaker 1: there's not a whole lot of information out there, but 125 00:07:29,280 --> 00:07:32,200 Speaker 1: having studied this sector for far too long and finding 126 00:07:32,240 --> 00:07:35,480 Speaker 1: it as interesting as it is. Um the guy who's 127 00:07:35,520 --> 00:07:39,920 Speaker 1: running Red Bull, the CEO, actually only owns about half 128 00:07:39,960 --> 00:07:44,840 Speaker 1: of the company. He was a consumer executive in the 129 00:07:45,200 --> 00:07:48,240 Speaker 1: world before starting Red Bull, and he was traveling to 130 00:07:48,320 --> 00:07:51,400 Speaker 1: Southeast Asia a lot and finding that he's has travels 131 00:07:51,400 --> 00:07:55,000 Speaker 1: from Europe to Southeast Asia retiring and was in Thailand 132 00:07:55,040 --> 00:07:59,000 Speaker 1: and found this drink called Creighton Dang, which is translated 133 00:07:59,000 --> 00:08:02,960 Speaker 1: into Red Bull the days, and he decided he wanted 134 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:05,080 Speaker 1: to bring this back to Europe with him, so he 135 00:08:05,160 --> 00:08:09,240 Speaker 1: actually created a joint venture with the family of the 136 00:08:09,360 --> 00:08:12,200 Speaker 1: founder of this this business, and so what we know 137 00:08:12,360 --> 00:08:17,120 Speaker 1: of Red Bull today actually originated as a tie beverage 138 00:08:17,120 --> 00:08:19,720 Speaker 1: which is still sold in a can that looks like 139 00:08:19,800 --> 00:08:22,120 Speaker 1: it did in the early eighties in a bunch of 140 00:08:22,200 --> 00:08:24,600 Speaker 1: places around the world, mainly in that that part of 141 00:08:24,640 --> 00:08:27,960 Speaker 1: the world China as well, but that's an aside. He 142 00:08:28,080 --> 00:08:30,320 Speaker 1: brings it back to Europe and starts selling it as 143 00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:34,880 Speaker 1: Red Bull in these sleek cans as the first energy drink, 144 00:08:36,000 --> 00:08:38,720 Speaker 1: and so that is is kind of where the monster 145 00:08:38,840 --> 00:08:42,360 Speaker 1: story begins. So Rodney and Hilton the co c e 146 00:08:42,520 --> 00:08:46,480 Speaker 1: O s. We're living in London, and I saw that 147 00:08:46,600 --> 00:08:49,040 Speaker 1: Red Bull was starting out in Europe around the same 148 00:08:49,120 --> 00:08:51,959 Speaker 1: time that they moved there and could see that this 149 00:08:52,080 --> 00:08:54,640 Speaker 1: was obviously doing really well. So I had nothing to 150 00:08:54,720 --> 00:08:58,280 Speaker 1: do with buying the hands and Natural juice business, but 151 00:08:58,400 --> 00:09:02,200 Speaker 1: having seen the growth of the energy category, they thought 152 00:09:02,320 --> 00:09:04,439 Speaker 1: it would be a good thing to try when they 153 00:09:05,440 --> 00:09:08,480 Speaker 1: were running their their beverage business in the US, So 154 00:09:09,240 --> 00:09:12,320 Speaker 1: before they launched Monster, they actually had some energy drink 155 00:09:12,400 --> 00:09:16,439 Speaker 1: brands under the Handsome Natural portfolio. I think it was 156 00:09:16,520 --> 00:09:19,040 Speaker 1: Blue Sky Beverage. There were a few other ones, but 157 00:09:19,200 --> 00:09:22,160 Speaker 1: they were launched in maybe the mid to late nineties, 158 00:09:22,960 --> 00:09:24,960 Speaker 1: and the fact that you haven't heard from him suggests 159 00:09:25,000 --> 00:09:27,520 Speaker 1: that they were probably a little bit too early. So 160 00:09:27,840 --> 00:09:30,079 Speaker 1: they were always interested in the energy category, but it 161 00:09:30,160 --> 00:09:32,880 Speaker 1: wasn't until I think two thousand and two or so 162 00:09:33,920 --> 00:09:37,400 Speaker 1: that they and one of their partners, a guy named 163 00:09:37,440 --> 00:09:40,240 Speaker 1: Mark Hall who now is a board member and also 164 00:09:41,160 --> 00:09:44,559 Speaker 1: one of the chief innovators of the company, decided to 165 00:09:44,679 --> 00:09:49,680 Speaker 1: create this this thing called Monster, this edgeyear product than 166 00:09:50,120 --> 00:09:53,520 Speaker 1: than Red Bull, and the rest is sort of history. 167 00:09:55,480 --> 00:09:58,760 Speaker 1: So basically, Red Bull we sort of at the time 168 00:09:58,880 --> 00:10:03,160 Speaker 1: and still is it's you know, highly caffeinated, it's associated 169 00:10:03,240 --> 00:10:06,559 Speaker 1: with extreme sports. I know they sponsor a lot of 170 00:10:06,600 --> 00:10:10,000 Speaker 1: that stuff. Monster is basically like, we're just gonna go 171 00:10:10,600 --> 00:10:14,880 Speaker 1: more extreme. Yeah, I think that's probably fair. Maybe starting 172 00:10:14,920 --> 00:10:17,960 Speaker 1: with the sixteen ounces can, I think if you were 173 00:10:18,000 --> 00:10:22,120 Speaker 1: to think about the energy drink consumer, I believe I 174 00:10:22,160 --> 00:10:24,160 Speaker 1: think history kind of bears out, as well as sales 175 00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:27,360 Speaker 1: trends that the Red Bull and Monster consumers are unique 176 00:10:27,920 --> 00:10:32,240 Speaker 1: in that. Red Bull sure when after that extreme consumer, 177 00:10:32,880 --> 00:10:35,480 Speaker 1: but it also early on focused on on premise so 178 00:10:35,640 --> 00:10:42,120 Speaker 1: bars and restaurants, and it, as a result or maybe coincidentally, 179 00:10:42,200 --> 00:10:44,320 Speaker 1: morphed into what I would consider more of a white 180 00:10:44,360 --> 00:10:47,960 Speaker 1: collar beverage. And it was partly because it was sold 181 00:10:48,000 --> 00:10:50,240 Speaker 1: at a premium, partly because it was a smaller can. 182 00:10:50,480 --> 00:10:52,520 Speaker 1: Now you have a whole bunch of other packages for 183 00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:56,040 Speaker 1: Red Bull twelve O, sixteen ounts and the like, but 184 00:10:56,120 --> 00:10:59,000 Speaker 1: the original can is an eight point four ounce can, 185 00:10:59,520 --> 00:11:04,240 Speaker 1: and so was small in volume and expensive in dollars 186 00:11:04,400 --> 00:11:06,760 Speaker 1: or euros or whatever it was at the time. And 187 00:11:06,840 --> 00:11:09,719 Speaker 1: so Monster decided they were gonna come out with the 188 00:11:09,760 --> 00:11:12,679 Speaker 1: sixteen ouns to basically sell the same volume or the 189 00:11:12,720 --> 00:11:17,000 Speaker 1: same value, same price for twice the volume, and they 190 00:11:17,080 --> 00:11:20,080 Speaker 1: also started to market it a bit more towards blue 191 00:11:20,320 --> 00:11:24,640 Speaker 1: collar workers, construction workers, the like they flavored the product 192 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:26,320 Speaker 1: I think to be a little bit more unique than 193 00:11:26,360 --> 00:11:28,520 Speaker 1: Red Bull. Red Bull was never something that I think 194 00:11:28,559 --> 00:11:31,480 Speaker 1: people wanted to really enjoy drinking, and the folks at 195 00:11:31,559 --> 00:11:35,520 Speaker 1: Monster really focused on on palatability and something that they 196 00:11:35,559 --> 00:11:38,520 Speaker 1: thought would would appeal and it especially from a very 197 00:11:38,800 --> 00:11:41,160 Speaker 1: sweet standpoint of the core. Green Monster, which was the 198 00:11:41,200 --> 00:11:45,600 Speaker 1: original product, really did that to a certain unique set 199 00:11:45,640 --> 00:11:50,280 Speaker 1: of consumers. But then they added on that with a 200 00:11:50,559 --> 00:11:54,760 Speaker 1: focus on much more of the the I don't know 201 00:11:54,800 --> 00:11:57,520 Speaker 1: if he'd be a blue collar type of extreme sport, 202 00:11:57,600 --> 00:11:59,960 Speaker 1: but but red Bull was focused more on on mode 203 00:12:00,080 --> 00:12:06,480 Speaker 1: or sport and on well known athletes and music, and 204 00:12:06,760 --> 00:12:09,080 Speaker 1: and Monster went a bit kind of next level two 205 00:12:09,160 --> 00:12:13,920 Speaker 1: younger generations as well, focusing on early on like X games, 206 00:12:14,000 --> 00:12:16,920 Speaker 1: but focusing on things like video games which really weren't 207 00:12:17,480 --> 00:12:20,599 Speaker 1: a focus at that point for Red Bull, focusing on 208 00:12:22,160 --> 00:12:25,839 Speaker 1: Moto GP, focusing on supercross, you know, things that that 209 00:12:25,960 --> 00:12:29,360 Speaker 1: RedBull not wasn't necessarily focused on at the time, and 210 00:12:29,480 --> 00:12:32,480 Speaker 1: probably still to a large degree really really isn't focused 211 00:12:32,520 --> 00:12:35,360 Speaker 1: on and so they were able to bring in a 212 00:12:35,440 --> 00:12:39,120 Speaker 1: completely different consumer. So you have you've they've done a 213 00:12:39,120 --> 00:12:44,680 Speaker 1: really good job of retaining that blue collar consumer, which yeah, 214 00:12:44,679 --> 00:12:46,400 Speaker 1: I think it's pretty important. You can look to see 215 00:12:46,440 --> 00:12:49,320 Speaker 1: the the green can, which is still their biggest best 216 00:12:49,400 --> 00:12:52,920 Speaker 1: selling product, but also that they've now skewed I think 217 00:12:52,960 --> 00:12:54,839 Speaker 1: a bit younger than Red Bull as well. Maybe their 218 00:12:54,880 --> 00:12:58,920 Speaker 1: core consumer is kind of late teenager to thirty Rebels 219 00:12:58,960 --> 00:13:01,960 Speaker 1: consumer probably come in in mid twenties and and up, 220 00:13:02,040 --> 00:13:06,160 Speaker 1: and so they've really segmented the energy drinking category. And 221 00:13:06,240 --> 00:13:09,000 Speaker 1: as I said at the outset of the question, I 222 00:13:09,080 --> 00:13:12,280 Speaker 1: think if you you asked the consumers, they would largely 223 00:13:12,320 --> 00:13:14,880 Speaker 1: tell you they're they're a drinker of one and not 224 00:13:15,480 --> 00:13:17,880 Speaker 1: the other. And so I think that has really led 225 00:13:17,920 --> 00:13:21,120 Speaker 1: to the success of both businesses. And interesting, I mean, 226 00:13:21,160 --> 00:13:24,400 Speaker 1: we can get into the international expansion for for Monster, 227 00:13:24,520 --> 00:13:28,680 Speaker 1: which has been quite successful. But it's interesting that both 228 00:13:28,760 --> 00:13:31,400 Speaker 1: businesses as best we can tell, because as I said before, 229 00:13:31,440 --> 00:13:33,640 Speaker 1: Rebels private, so you don't have as much information, but 230 00:13:34,679 --> 00:13:38,400 Speaker 1: they're they're both still growing it unbelievably strong rates in 231 00:13:38,480 --> 00:13:40,560 Speaker 1: the case of Monster, almost twenty years after the product 232 00:13:40,640 --> 00:13:43,400 Speaker 1: was created. In the case of red Bull almost thirty 233 00:13:43,559 --> 00:13:47,719 Speaker 1: five years now, still growing at an amazing rate. I 234 00:13:47,840 --> 00:13:51,520 Speaker 1: think that customer segmentation is really interesting because you know, 235 00:13:51,640 --> 00:13:54,959 Speaker 1: as I mentioned, I have had red Bull throughout my life. 236 00:13:55,000 --> 00:13:58,000 Speaker 1: One of the worst cocktails I've ever had involved um. 237 00:13:58,040 --> 00:14:00,679 Speaker 1: I think it was red Bull vodka and gummy bears 238 00:14:00,840 --> 00:14:05,080 Speaker 1: and it was absolutely disgusting. UM. But I haven't had 239 00:14:05,120 --> 00:14:07,760 Speaker 1: a Monster energy drink of any kind. But I am 240 00:14:07,840 --> 00:14:12,520 Speaker 1: aware of the advertising campaign, uh, the very distinctive can 241 00:14:12,720 --> 00:14:15,040 Speaker 1: with the green claw marks. I think a lot of 242 00:14:15,080 --> 00:14:17,800 Speaker 1: people have probably seen hats and T shirts and things 243 00:14:17,880 --> 00:14:21,840 Speaker 1: like that over the course of their lives. But one 244 00:14:21,880 --> 00:14:23,600 Speaker 1: thing I wanted to dive in, so we spoke a 245 00:14:23,680 --> 00:14:27,120 Speaker 1: little bit about how the marketing was important here, the advertising, 246 00:14:27,200 --> 00:14:29,880 Speaker 1: how the brand set itself apart from red Bull. Can 247 00:14:29,960 --> 00:14:32,440 Speaker 1: you talk well, you started to touch upon this with 248 00:14:32,560 --> 00:14:36,400 Speaker 1: the international expansion mentioned, but could you talk about the 249 00:14:37,000 --> 00:14:40,760 Speaker 1: distribution network here? And um, I guess the deals that 250 00:14:40,880 --> 00:14:44,160 Speaker 1: Monster struck with um first a b in bev and 251 00:14:44,280 --> 00:14:49,560 Speaker 1: then Coke. Yeah, and and it's it's important from just 252 00:14:49,680 --> 00:14:52,440 Speaker 1: a beverage standpoint to understand that that basically what you 253 00:14:52,760 --> 00:14:55,880 Speaker 1: try to do as a brand owner is to put 254 00:14:55,960 --> 00:14:57,760 Speaker 1: uself in a position to be distributed by the biggest 255 00:14:57,760 --> 00:15:01,040 Speaker 1: and the best distributor over time. And so you know, 256 00:15:01,120 --> 00:15:03,760 Speaker 1: success sort of breaths success in that regard, meaning that 257 00:15:04,480 --> 00:15:06,200 Speaker 1: you've got to get out there and kick the tires 258 00:15:06,240 --> 00:15:10,000 Speaker 1: and sell the product to retailers to distributors on a 259 00:15:10,520 --> 00:15:14,080 Speaker 1: single case basis at the beginning. But as you get 260 00:15:14,160 --> 00:15:18,040 Speaker 1: more success, you attract more attention, and the result is 261 00:15:18,120 --> 00:15:21,840 Speaker 1: you have these networks of distributors of beverages who ultimately 262 00:15:21,920 --> 00:15:25,320 Speaker 1: want to put more product on the truck. And the idea, 263 00:15:25,360 --> 00:15:27,240 Speaker 1: of course, is to find the product that sells the 264 00:15:27,320 --> 00:15:31,080 Speaker 1: fastest and also provides you the best profit in doing so. 265 00:15:32,040 --> 00:15:36,000 Speaker 1: And so as the energy category accelerated is monster share accelerated. 266 00:15:36,920 --> 00:15:41,480 Speaker 1: You started to see Monster get proposition by a lot 267 00:15:41,560 --> 00:15:45,080 Speaker 1: of distributors because of the success, and you think about 268 00:15:45,120 --> 00:15:48,240 Speaker 1: it too, you're taking a step back. The biggest non 269 00:15:48,320 --> 00:15:53,280 Speaker 1: alcoholic beverage categories carbonated soft drinks. Energy at the time 270 00:15:53,360 --> 00:15:56,160 Speaker 1: fifteen years ago was a pimple of a pimple of size, 271 00:15:56,920 --> 00:15:59,320 Speaker 1: and this behemoth of carbonate of software was out there. 272 00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:01,560 Speaker 1: If you look to day a fast forward fifteen years 273 00:16:02,040 --> 00:16:04,520 Speaker 1: in a lot of convenience stores which accounts for about 274 00:16:05,320 --> 00:16:08,800 Speaker 1: of energy drink sales. You've got a full door, maybe 275 00:16:08,840 --> 00:16:12,120 Speaker 1: even two doors, depending on the store selling energy drinks. 276 00:16:12,200 --> 00:16:13,800 Speaker 1: And you've seen at the same time the amount of 277 00:16:13,960 --> 00:16:17,280 Speaker 1: space dedicated to carbonated soft drinks shrinking and basically giving 278 00:16:17,320 --> 00:16:22,440 Speaker 1: share away to energy drinks because it's growing faster and 279 00:16:22,600 --> 00:16:25,280 Speaker 1: it's allowing for more profit margins from both the distributor 280 00:16:25,360 --> 00:16:28,600 Speaker 1: as well as the retailer. So it creates this opportunity 281 00:16:28,720 --> 00:16:31,800 Speaker 1: for itself. And obviously it starts with the consumer wanting 282 00:16:31,840 --> 00:16:35,360 Speaker 1: the product. But if you're able to have higher velocity 283 00:16:35,520 --> 00:16:39,720 Speaker 1: and greater value in your your rings, it's it's a 284 00:16:39,760 --> 00:16:43,120 Speaker 1: self fulfilling prophecy. So you go back to mid two 285 00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:46,600 Speaker 1: thousands and Monster were starting to gain this traction. So 286 00:16:46,680 --> 00:16:50,240 Speaker 1: Ant hazer Bush, not a non alcoholic company but a 287 00:16:50,280 --> 00:16:52,920 Speaker 1: company that still has trucks and distributors that goes in 288 00:16:53,040 --> 00:16:57,080 Speaker 1: services grocery stores and convenience stores and the like, said hey, 289 00:16:57,200 --> 00:17:00,360 Speaker 1: you know we we want to put you in our trucks. 290 00:17:00,400 --> 00:17:02,240 Speaker 1: And so I think the original agreement was for about 291 00:17:02,280 --> 00:17:05,119 Speaker 1: half of the US. The other half of the US 292 00:17:05,240 --> 00:17:07,960 Speaker 1: was a bit of a hodgepodge of distribution from a 293 00:17:08,040 --> 00:17:13,359 Speaker 1: Monster standpoint, and slowly the distribution progressed, where in the 294 00:17:13,400 --> 00:17:18,840 Speaker 1: early two thousand tents the distribution had evolved into about 295 00:17:18,840 --> 00:17:22,440 Speaker 1: half Anheiser Bush and half Coke. Because Coke saw the 296 00:17:22,520 --> 00:17:26,960 Speaker 1: opportunity there, they had been a partner in international starting 297 00:17:27,000 --> 00:17:29,520 Speaker 1: in the UK. It was actually the first distribution partner 298 00:17:29,560 --> 00:17:32,400 Speaker 1: that Monster had outside of the US. Monster was doing 299 00:17:32,400 --> 00:17:33,879 Speaker 1: a little bit on their own, but really it started 300 00:17:33,880 --> 00:17:37,760 Speaker 1: to accelerate with Coke's help in the UK, and eventually 301 00:17:37,840 --> 00:17:40,000 Speaker 1: that morphed into Coke I think in two thousand and 302 00:17:40,160 --> 00:17:43,120 Speaker 1: fourteen announcing it was going to take at the time, 303 00:17:43,160 --> 00:17:46,119 Speaker 1: I think a fifteen or steak in Monster, which is 304 00:17:46,160 --> 00:17:49,560 Speaker 1: now close because Monster has brought back a lot of stock, 305 00:17:49,640 --> 00:17:54,879 Speaker 1: increasing Coke's ownership. And at the same time that agreement 306 00:17:55,320 --> 00:18:00,080 Speaker 1: made Coke the global distributor of of Monster, with a 307 00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:03,960 Speaker 1: couple of exceptions at certain countries. And so basically Monster 308 00:18:04,080 --> 00:18:06,480 Speaker 1: kicked again has a Bush out and is now fully 309 00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:09,280 Speaker 1: distributed at least domestically through Coke and as I said, 310 00:18:09,320 --> 00:18:13,040 Speaker 1: through probably something like of the world. And so if 311 00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:16,119 Speaker 1: you think about distributors out there of size on a 312 00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:20,240 Speaker 1: global basis, ant Hazard Bush is a very good distributor 313 00:18:20,280 --> 00:18:22,879 Speaker 1: globally and has a bushing a very good distributor Pepsi, 314 00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:25,040 Speaker 1: very good distributor. But I think many people believe the 315 00:18:25,080 --> 00:18:27,160 Speaker 1: Coke is the creme de la creme, and so Monsters 316 00:18:27,160 --> 00:18:29,800 Speaker 1: really positioned itself with the best distributor, the one with 317 00:18:29,840 --> 00:18:32,320 Speaker 1: the global reach to put you into every single bodega 318 00:18:32,480 --> 00:18:36,480 Speaker 1: on the planet if need being. Importantly, if Monster wants 319 00:18:36,520 --> 00:18:38,600 Speaker 1: to launch a new product, the Coke system can get 320 00:18:38,640 --> 00:18:42,639 Speaker 1: that onto store shelves virtually the next day. How much 321 00:18:42,640 --> 00:18:44,159 Speaker 1: do you know? It seems like there must be like 322 00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:48,480 Speaker 1: a real chicken and egg problem for any upstart consumer 323 00:18:48,520 --> 00:18:52,919 Speaker 1: food or beverage company because obviously you need these distributor 324 00:18:53,000 --> 00:18:57,120 Speaker 1: relationships to get to get out there. They're not easy 325 00:18:57,200 --> 00:19:00,679 Speaker 1: to get. There's limited, uh, there's limited shelf and truck space. 326 00:19:01,119 --> 00:19:03,159 Speaker 1: On the other hand, you also presumably need to have 327 00:19:03,440 --> 00:19:07,600 Speaker 1: a pretty big marketing efforts so that people actually buy it. 328 00:19:08,200 --> 00:19:10,760 Speaker 1: But if you don't have the distribution, then you can 329 00:19:10,840 --> 00:19:13,040 Speaker 1: have all the marketing and brand in the world, but 330 00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:15,680 Speaker 1: no one can get it. How do they sort of 331 00:19:16,040 --> 00:19:20,840 Speaker 1: navigate that simultaneous challenge of raising the brand awareness becoming 332 00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:24,159 Speaker 1: an entity that people knew, while also making sure that 333 00:19:24,240 --> 00:19:27,360 Speaker 1: once people became aware of the brand, they were able 334 00:19:27,400 --> 00:19:30,399 Speaker 1: to find it. Yeah, it's it's it's actually interesting to 335 00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:33,879 Speaker 1: Monster if you just take a look at marketing or 336 00:19:33,960 --> 00:19:39,760 Speaker 1: advertising expenditure. Despite it being a marketing company, it's not 337 00:19:39,840 --> 00:19:42,639 Speaker 1: even a company that manufactures its own product. It outsources 338 00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:45,240 Speaker 1: on manufacturing to third parties, so it's really just a 339 00:19:45,320 --> 00:19:50,879 Speaker 1: brand manager. Despite being a brand manager, it's it's marketing 340 00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:54,040 Speaker 1: expenditures is actually pretty low as a percentage of sales. 341 00:19:54,119 --> 00:19:56,160 Speaker 1: It's not a traditional I'm going to watch an add 342 00:19:56,240 --> 00:19:58,080 Speaker 1: on TV and want to go out and buy a Monster. 343 00:19:58,200 --> 00:20:01,200 Speaker 1: So what they do is is what I was saying before, 344 00:20:01,280 --> 00:20:05,640 Speaker 1: You go out and sponsor athletes, events, video games, rock festivals, 345 00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:11,080 Speaker 1: sporting events and the like, and that creates the lifestyle 346 00:20:11,160 --> 00:20:15,680 Speaker 1: image of the brand and becomes that that self fulfilling prophecy. 347 00:20:15,680 --> 00:20:17,359 Speaker 1: I mean Red Bulls kind of done the same thing. 348 00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:19,399 Speaker 1: They do a little bit of TV advertising, but the 349 00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:22,760 Speaker 1: bread and butter is really that you're you're sponsoring these 350 00:20:22,880 --> 00:20:27,320 Speaker 1: athletes and events, and so that relies a bit more 351 00:20:27,359 --> 00:20:30,119 Speaker 1: on a guerilla marketing proposition. What Monster is really good at. 352 00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:32,720 Speaker 1: Originally it was just feed on the streets, sampling and 353 00:20:32,800 --> 00:20:34,760 Speaker 1: kind of showing up at the right place to create 354 00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:39,320 Speaker 1: the image that they wanted for the brand, and that continues, 355 00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:42,520 Speaker 1: believe it or not to this day. They've evolved, as 356 00:20:42,600 --> 00:20:47,320 Speaker 1: everybody has, from traditional or more traditional kind of advertising 357 00:20:47,359 --> 00:20:49,200 Speaker 1: in at least in their sense of course of brick 358 00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:53,200 Speaker 1: and mortar. But we're a real visible in real world 359 00:20:53,359 --> 00:20:57,080 Speaker 1: advertising to now digital and social media. But they're still 360 00:20:57,160 --> 00:20:58,960 Speaker 1: doing it in kind of that same way, appealing to 361 00:20:59,080 --> 00:21:00,880 Speaker 1: the same consumer. And it's not going to be something 362 00:21:00,960 --> 00:21:04,280 Speaker 1: that you're gonna find on a Jeopardy advertisement for examples, 363 00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:06,560 Speaker 1: And I think he is probably gonna be something that 364 00:21:06,600 --> 00:21:11,120 Speaker 1: continues for the foreseeable future. And so I think that's 365 00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:13,240 Speaker 1: a bit different than kind of the rest of the 366 00:21:13,359 --> 00:21:16,600 Speaker 1: world that I spend time analyzing, the proctors and gambles, 367 00:21:16,800 --> 00:21:19,560 Speaker 1: rested laws, loreals of the world. They are doing more 368 00:21:19,600 --> 00:21:39,960 Speaker 1: traditional advertising. So I'm curious. You know, you've laid out 369 00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:42,879 Speaker 1: the sort of history of the company, what made it 370 00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:47,200 Speaker 1: different from its major competitors, how it was doing some 371 00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:51,800 Speaker 1: things rather unusually. So for instance, in marketing, it wasn't 372 00:21:51,920 --> 00:21:55,560 Speaker 1: spending a ton of money buying traditional ads. Instead it 373 00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:59,680 Speaker 1: was going through these sort of grassroots efforts or sponsorships. 374 00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:05,280 Speaker 1: How did the streets approach Monster in its early days, Like, 375 00:22:05,400 --> 00:22:09,120 Speaker 1: how are analysts actually viewing the company and its potential 376 00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:14,160 Speaker 1: and how did that evolve over time? It's it's it's 377 00:22:14,200 --> 00:22:17,359 Speaker 1: a good question. Frankly, I'm still not sure the the 378 00:22:17,520 --> 00:22:21,680 Speaker 1: street fully understands what they're they're doing or what they've created. 379 00:22:22,359 --> 00:22:25,680 Speaker 1: No no offense to the guys running the company, but 380 00:22:25,840 --> 00:22:28,600 Speaker 1: but it is interesting. They don't even have an in 381 00:22:28,760 --> 00:22:33,680 Speaker 1: sourced investor relations functions, So management uniquely here doesn't really 382 00:22:33,760 --> 00:22:36,399 Speaker 1: even talk to investors, don't talk to analysts, don't talk 383 00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:39,560 Speaker 1: to investors. They hold for earning his calls a year 384 00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:43,399 Speaker 1: and allow people to ask probably on the very minimal 385 00:22:43,520 --> 00:22:47,399 Speaker 1: side of questions to three four five per quarter. They 386 00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:51,320 Speaker 1: do a couple of investor events a year outside of that, 387 00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:54,280 Speaker 1: but but that's really it. There's no real outreach on 388 00:22:54,359 --> 00:22:58,760 Speaker 1: their part. And so that's actually what to me has 389 00:22:58,840 --> 00:23:03,000 Speaker 1: created such an interesting proposition from an analyst standpoint to 390 00:23:03,119 --> 00:23:05,640 Speaker 1: covering it. And if you think about it, yes they're 391 00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:07,639 Speaker 1: a public company, but they almost treat themselves as a 392 00:23:07,760 --> 00:23:09,640 Speaker 1: private company as a result of what I just said, 393 00:23:10,359 --> 00:23:12,760 Speaker 1: and you couple that with Red Bull being an actual 394 00:23:12,840 --> 00:23:16,359 Speaker 1: private company and that Coke and PEPSI. Yes, they distribute 395 00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:18,320 Speaker 1: energy drinks, but don't have really any of their own 396 00:23:18,359 --> 00:23:20,720 Speaker 1: and have never really had any success doing that. That 397 00:23:20,800 --> 00:23:23,080 Speaker 1: there's almost no information out there from an energy drink 398 00:23:23,080 --> 00:23:27,200 Speaker 1: company standpoint, so you're left to really do a lot 399 00:23:27,280 --> 00:23:29,280 Speaker 1: of feed on the street kind of thinking about how 400 00:23:29,560 --> 00:23:33,360 Speaker 1: how these businesses work and what has driven the success, 401 00:23:33,400 --> 00:23:35,400 Speaker 1: which I think is fun and it creates an opportunity 402 00:23:35,440 --> 00:23:39,959 Speaker 1: to really do unique analysis. In my opinion, I think 403 00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:41,360 Speaker 1: one of the things that we've done a good job 404 00:23:41,440 --> 00:23:43,800 Speaker 1: of historically is that is looking at things in a 405 00:23:43,840 --> 00:23:46,760 Speaker 1: way that people haven't looked at it before. I mean, ultimately, 406 00:23:46,800 --> 00:23:49,480 Speaker 1: I see my job is trying to help investors make 407 00:23:49,960 --> 00:23:52,080 Speaker 1: decisions and help them make money. And I think in 408 00:23:52,119 --> 00:23:55,680 Speaker 1: a company like this, where they give more information and 409 00:23:55,760 --> 00:23:58,239 Speaker 1: regulatory filings but not necessarily something that you have an 410 00:23:58,280 --> 00:24:01,600 Speaker 1: investor relations person or kind of directing people to find 411 00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:04,440 Speaker 1: that it creates an opportunity to do that. And so 412 00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:08,159 Speaker 1: if you go back fifteen years ago, there there was 413 00:24:09,560 --> 00:24:13,000 Speaker 1: none zilch, you know, zilch. There was just very little 414 00:24:13,040 --> 00:24:15,720 Speaker 1: information whatsoever. Is also a smaller company at the time, 415 00:24:15,760 --> 00:24:18,399 Speaker 1: and so it was probably something that really just felt 416 00:24:19,040 --> 00:24:21,240 Speaker 1: through the cracks. If you are lucky enough to cover it, 417 00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:23,359 Speaker 1: maybe it was one that you give less focus to 418 00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:25,920 Speaker 1: than covering some of the bigger companies like a Copa 419 00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:30,000 Speaker 1: Pepsi within your your coverage universe, and it was just 420 00:24:30,119 --> 00:24:33,119 Speaker 1: there because you thought it was interesting. And so in 421 00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:36,240 Speaker 1: the early days, I mean, I can remember just making 422 00:24:36,359 --> 00:24:40,840 Speaker 1: phone calls to private beer distributors and asking how sales 423 00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:43,440 Speaker 1: are going and what they're seeing from a category standpoint, 424 00:24:43,560 --> 00:24:45,720 Speaker 1: is there any are there any other brands that are 425 00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:47,240 Speaker 1: coming up Because of the time, if you go back 426 00:24:47,280 --> 00:24:50,040 Speaker 1: to the mid two thousands, Coke and Pepsi were both 427 00:24:50,040 --> 00:24:52,240 Speaker 1: trying to compete in this. They saw what was happening 428 00:24:52,280 --> 00:24:55,480 Speaker 1: from an energy standpoint, they saw the share shift commencing, 429 00:24:55,760 --> 00:24:58,199 Speaker 1: even early days at that point, and so they were 430 00:24:58,200 --> 00:25:01,040 Speaker 1: all trying this and and I think the fear amongst 431 00:25:01,119 --> 00:25:03,840 Speaker 1: investors was these are the behemous, the under pound guerrillas, 432 00:25:03,840 --> 00:25:05,560 Speaker 1: and they're gonna come in and they're gonna they're gonna 433 00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:08,639 Speaker 1: kill Monster and they're gonna hurt Red Bull. And it 434 00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:11,879 Speaker 1: just never materialized like that. And as I said, you 435 00:25:11,960 --> 00:25:14,280 Speaker 1: started getting bigger and bigger from a distribution standpoint. I 436 00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:19,080 Speaker 1: think these these big beverage companies ultimately decided if you 437 00:25:19,160 --> 00:25:21,240 Speaker 1: can't beat them, you join them, or from this case, 438 00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:23,440 Speaker 1: if you can't kill them, you distribute them. And so 439 00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:25,920 Speaker 1: you still make a piece of the distribution or the 440 00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:28,920 Speaker 1: profit that's out there, but you can't own the brand 441 00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:30,879 Speaker 1: Fulegus unless you go out and want to buy it. 442 00:25:31,359 --> 00:25:33,840 Speaker 1: And it's it's it's just very fascinating from that standpoint. 443 00:25:33,880 --> 00:25:35,520 Speaker 1: I mean, I think you didn't ask the question, but 444 00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:39,200 Speaker 1: there is clearly this dynamic that's still at play here 445 00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:41,960 Speaker 1: that Coke owns close to the company, but monsters still 446 00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:44,040 Speaker 1: like public companies. If at these two companies that are 447 00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:48,879 Speaker 1: public answering to their own shareholders, and so you can't 448 00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:52,480 Speaker 1: be fully aligned with with one another as a result 449 00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:54,080 Speaker 1: of that, And so I described it as almost a 450 00:25:54,119 --> 00:25:56,440 Speaker 1: healthy tension where I think if Coke were to ultimately 451 00:25:56,480 --> 00:25:58,240 Speaker 1: by this company, you would probably see some of that 452 00:25:58,320 --> 00:26:01,560 Speaker 1: tension go away, and you probably actually see better execution 453 00:26:01,640 --> 00:26:05,320 Speaker 1: because you have more streamlined focus from a organizational standpoint 454 00:26:05,359 --> 00:26:08,440 Speaker 1: on selling Monster so coaxed on a good job, I 455 00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:10,800 Speaker 1: think they could do a better job. Is that something 456 00:26:10,920 --> 00:26:14,440 Speaker 1: people uh talk about? I mean, do people speculate that 457 00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:18,000 Speaker 1: at some point Coke just might buy the whole thing. Yeah, 458 00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:20,479 Speaker 1: there's there's a lot of speculation on that. I mean 459 00:26:20,960 --> 00:26:23,240 Speaker 1: I could probably spend an hour answering that question alone. 460 00:26:23,480 --> 00:26:26,040 Speaker 1: But in terms of the specifics, yeah, Coke Is has 461 00:26:26,080 --> 00:26:28,680 Speaker 1: done what it's done. They've never increased their stakes since 462 00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:32,480 Speaker 1: the original purchase. They, if you pay attention to current news, 463 00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:36,119 Speaker 1: have some tax issues which ultimately could result in them 464 00:26:36,160 --> 00:26:37,800 Speaker 1: having to write a big check, and so that probably 465 00:26:38,320 --> 00:26:41,840 Speaker 1: prevents things from from happening nearer term. Their stock, which 466 00:26:41,880 --> 00:26:44,240 Speaker 1: I would think they could use in a potential deal, 467 00:26:44,480 --> 00:26:47,080 Speaker 1: is also down off of high Is given the whole 468 00:26:47,119 --> 00:26:50,440 Speaker 1: impact to their business from from COVID, and so their 469 00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:54,640 Speaker 1: their equity is a little bit depleted relative to historical levels. 470 00:26:54,680 --> 00:26:56,399 Speaker 1: It probably makes it harder. But the flip side to 471 00:26:56,520 --> 00:27:00,440 Speaker 1: it is the two guys who are running Monster Odney 472 00:27:01,320 --> 00:27:05,080 Speaker 1: just turned seventy end of last year. Hilton is sixty seven. 473 00:27:05,119 --> 00:27:09,000 Speaker 1: He'll be sixty eight the middle of this year. They're 474 00:27:09,040 --> 00:27:11,040 Speaker 1: not They're not young. They've been running this company for 475 00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:14,199 Speaker 1: a long time and uniquely each of them own about 476 00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:17,200 Speaker 1: five of monsters. If you think about that, on a 477 00:27:17,280 --> 00:27:20,480 Speaker 1: roughly fifty billion dollar company. They're worth an awful lot 478 00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:23,960 Speaker 1: of money, and so they're not getting younger. They are 479 00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:26,960 Speaker 1: worth a ton of money. I think they want to 480 00:27:27,040 --> 00:27:29,959 Speaker 1: spend more time doing other things at some point than 481 00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:35,320 Speaker 1: just running Monster. They both have grandkids, they're both enjoying 482 00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:38,320 Speaker 1: spending more time with them. I think they would like 483 00:27:38,400 --> 00:27:40,600 Speaker 1: to travel more, assuming that one could ever actually leave 484 00:27:40,640 --> 00:27:43,719 Speaker 1: their house, and so yeah, there's this question of kind 485 00:27:43,760 --> 00:27:47,520 Speaker 1: of what happens from there. In my humble opinion, I'm 486 00:27:47,520 --> 00:27:49,280 Speaker 1: sure they would disagree with this, but I think the 487 00:27:49,320 --> 00:27:53,520 Speaker 1: bench strength is at least lacking as far as visible 488 00:27:53,600 --> 00:27:57,440 Speaker 1: facing folks to the street. And it's not obvious to 489 00:27:57,640 --> 00:28:01,600 Speaker 1: me who would necessarily run and the company should they 490 00:28:01,640 --> 00:28:04,640 Speaker 1: both get hit by a bus tomorrow, God forbid. In fact, 491 00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:07,199 Speaker 1: I don't think there is somebody internally who would make 492 00:28:07,280 --> 00:28:09,439 Speaker 1: sense to do that, and I think it's a very 493 00:28:09,480 --> 00:28:12,040 Speaker 1: unique organization, and I think that creates a bit of 494 00:28:12,119 --> 00:28:17,000 Speaker 1: a question mark about what happens. But but obviously it 495 00:28:17,280 --> 00:28:20,680 Speaker 1: takes It's kind of like firing nuclear weapons. I guess 496 00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:22,320 Speaker 1: it takes two people to turn the key or two 497 00:28:22,400 --> 00:28:24,000 Speaker 1: sides to do that, and so you need to have 498 00:28:24,040 --> 00:28:25,920 Speaker 1: a willing buyer as well as a willing seller. I'm 499 00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:28,879 Speaker 1: not sure that they necessarily are willing sellers, but but 500 00:28:29,160 --> 00:28:32,119 Speaker 1: the right offer comes along, who who isn't. But I 501 00:28:32,200 --> 00:28:34,080 Speaker 1: think as as they get older, I think that becomes 502 00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:37,399 Speaker 1: more more reasonable. But then the question is who who 503 00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:40,040 Speaker 1: ultimately would buy them? And I think the distribution arrangement 504 00:28:40,040 --> 00:28:42,280 Speaker 1: and the equity ownership would put Poke in that position. 505 00:28:42,360 --> 00:28:45,040 Speaker 1: I just think at president it's probably a little harder 506 00:28:45,160 --> 00:28:47,880 Speaker 1: to pull off. So what we'll see how that goes. 507 00:28:48,120 --> 00:28:52,160 Speaker 1: I have long thought that there could be some others 508 00:28:52,280 --> 00:28:54,920 Speaker 1: out there, kind of dark horses that aren't really talked about, 509 00:28:55,000 --> 00:28:57,800 Speaker 1: that could potentially be buyers in the business. But what 510 00:28:57,880 --> 00:29:00,920 Speaker 1: will ultimately see how that plays out. But for the 511 00:29:01,000 --> 00:29:04,000 Speaker 1: time being, I think they're they're very happy, and they're 512 00:29:04,000 --> 00:29:07,200 Speaker 1: they're obviously very successful in doing what they're doing. What 513 00:29:07,320 --> 00:29:12,080 Speaker 1: we'll see what happens in time. So Joe mentioned in 514 00:29:12,160 --> 00:29:17,440 Speaker 1: the intro that we did a previous episode on Domino's Pizza, 515 00:29:17,560 --> 00:29:21,160 Speaker 1: which was another stock that had a stellar performance, perhaps 516 00:29:21,360 --> 00:29:27,000 Speaker 1: um unexpectedly, and we also did a podcast about tobacco companies, 517 00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:30,040 Speaker 1: again a similar story. You would have expected that an 518 00:29:30,080 --> 00:29:33,360 Speaker 1: industry that's been under a lot of pressure over the 519 00:29:33,480 --> 00:29:38,480 Speaker 1: years might have suffered, but actually they've generated pretty consistent returns. 520 00:29:39,520 --> 00:29:42,720 Speaker 1: Are there any parallels between I'm trying to think how 521 00:29:42,760 --> 00:29:46,040 Speaker 1: to phrase this. Are there any parallels between tobacco and 522 00:29:46,520 --> 00:29:50,560 Speaker 1: energy drinks here? I mean, ultimately, you're selling a product 523 00:29:50,960 --> 00:29:55,160 Speaker 1: that a lot of people would classify as unhealthy and addictive. 524 00:29:55,480 --> 00:30:00,040 Speaker 1: Is the business model as simple as that? Well, I 525 00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:05,480 Speaker 1: think the differences. Energy drinks don't kill people, and I 526 00:30:05,600 --> 00:30:09,720 Speaker 1: think there has been a question historically about the health 527 00:30:10,080 --> 00:30:13,440 Speaker 1: of of these products. If you go back, I think 528 00:30:13,520 --> 00:30:16,360 Speaker 1: it's now sevent eight years ago, it had come to 529 00:30:16,480 --> 00:30:21,480 Speaker 1: the attention of various political folks in Washington, who ultimately 530 00:30:21,640 --> 00:30:24,760 Speaker 1: put it to the f d A too figure out 531 00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:29,680 Speaker 1: whether these products were healthy. We're not and whether they 532 00:30:29,720 --> 00:30:34,920 Speaker 1: should be sold. And Rodney her Monster and the then 533 00:30:35,280 --> 00:30:38,040 Speaker 1: CFO at rock Star and a senior marketing executive a 534 00:30:38,120 --> 00:30:40,360 Speaker 1: red Bull, We're pulled in front of I think a 535 00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:44,000 Speaker 1: Senate committee to talk about the health of energy drinks, 536 00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:49,560 Speaker 1: and ultimately the FDA said the amount of caffeine in 537 00:30:49,640 --> 00:30:55,080 Speaker 1: this product was well within our daily limits. The other 538 00:30:55,280 --> 00:30:58,080 Speaker 1: stuff that helps to make it an energy drink, things 539 00:30:58,160 --> 00:31:02,360 Speaker 1: like touring or guarana gin seeing are all what would 540 00:31:02,400 --> 00:31:04,920 Speaker 1: be considered generally regarded as safe meeting that they're all 541 00:31:05,240 --> 00:31:08,160 Speaker 1: okay to go into the body, and there's nothing that 542 00:31:08,280 --> 00:31:11,680 Speaker 1: we can say or do that should change how these 543 00:31:11,760 --> 00:31:16,640 Speaker 1: things are are sold. But ultimately the energy drink companies 544 00:31:16,720 --> 00:31:19,600 Speaker 1: had come to an agreement to kind of have this 545 00:31:19,880 --> 00:31:21,719 Speaker 1: this go away, which is that they just put more 546 00:31:21,760 --> 00:31:24,600 Speaker 1: explicit messaging on the cans to say, pregnant women shouldn't 547 00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:26,680 Speaker 1: drink these, you shouldn't drink more than one a day, 548 00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:28,800 Speaker 1: and here's the amount of caffeine that's in the can. 549 00:31:29,520 --> 00:31:32,280 Speaker 1: And you've seen over the years, various countries that have 550 00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:35,760 Speaker 1: tried to do similar things have tried to ban sales 551 00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:40,520 Speaker 1: to minors. Monster also agreed not to market two kids 552 00:31:40,600 --> 00:31:43,280 Speaker 1: under twelve, whatever that means, because they don't really market anyway. 553 00:31:43,280 --> 00:31:44,680 Speaker 1: So I'm not sure how a twelve year old er 554 00:31:44,760 --> 00:31:48,200 Speaker 1: younger could be differentiated from those that are older from that, 555 00:31:48,400 --> 00:31:51,160 Speaker 1: but you know that the point is it's been vetted, 556 00:31:51,200 --> 00:31:54,880 Speaker 1: It's been vetted all over the place, and it effectively 557 00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:59,560 Speaker 1: still has less caffeine than a espresso at Starbucks or 558 00:31:59,680 --> 00:32:01,800 Speaker 1: thinking about a frappuccino that has a lot of calories 559 00:32:01,840 --> 00:32:04,360 Speaker 1: in it. It's no, it's no worse for you than 560 00:32:04,440 --> 00:32:06,000 Speaker 1: kind of anything else that's out there. I mean, I'm 561 00:32:06,000 --> 00:32:07,600 Speaker 1: not arguing these are good for you. I'm not arguing 562 00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:10,480 Speaker 1: cargnate soft drinks are good for you. But it's it's 563 00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:12,760 Speaker 1: in that same vein and it's not something, as I said, 564 00:32:12,800 --> 00:32:16,400 Speaker 1: that will ultimately link to cancer, I think pretty definitively. 565 00:32:16,440 --> 00:32:19,880 Speaker 1: And so it is what it is. I think it's 566 00:32:19,960 --> 00:32:25,040 Speaker 1: interesting too, just stepping back. It's never been perceived is 567 00:32:25,360 --> 00:32:27,960 Speaker 1: good for you, and the world seems to evolve into 568 00:32:28,040 --> 00:32:32,960 Speaker 1: more helpful products. And yet while the consumer says on 569 00:32:33,080 --> 00:32:35,960 Speaker 1: one hand that that's what they want to consume, whether 570 00:32:36,040 --> 00:32:38,160 Speaker 1: it's eat or drink, that they want things that are 571 00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:43,000 Speaker 1: cleaner label and more natural, organic and whatnot, the actions 572 00:32:43,120 --> 00:32:47,640 Speaker 1: to sales, the volumes, the accelerating growth globally of energy 573 00:32:47,720 --> 00:32:52,480 Speaker 1: drinks would speak otherwise. And I think ultimately, like coffee, sure, 574 00:32:52,640 --> 00:32:58,560 Speaker 1: caffeine is an addictive drug to some extent, but this 575 00:32:58,720 --> 00:33:01,600 Speaker 1: is something that fills it needs to eight. Consumers are sleeping, less, 576 00:33:01,640 --> 00:33:05,200 Speaker 1: working more, want more focus, and this is what it offers. 577 00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:08,400 Speaker 1: But but as I said, interestingly, it still has less 578 00:33:08,440 --> 00:33:13,080 Speaker 1: caffeine in it than an equivalent cup of coffee. Yes, 579 00:33:13,160 --> 00:33:15,160 Speaker 1: there's more caffeine in it, but I wouldn't say it's 580 00:33:15,200 --> 00:33:17,000 Speaker 1: materially more. It's kind of four times the amount of 581 00:33:17,040 --> 00:33:18,960 Speaker 1: caffeine is a can of coke. But what does that 582 00:33:19,080 --> 00:33:22,960 Speaker 1: really do necessarily from a body standpoint, I don't think 583 00:33:23,000 --> 00:33:26,240 Speaker 1: it's all that significant. So it's along when it answers 584 00:33:26,280 --> 00:33:29,400 Speaker 1: saying not healthy hasn't seemed to have an impact, doesn't 585 00:33:29,560 --> 00:33:33,840 Speaker 1: really harm you. It's been vetted across various regulatory bodies, 586 00:33:33,880 --> 00:33:37,320 Speaker 1: and um, I think at this point, and knock on wood, 587 00:33:37,360 --> 00:33:39,960 Speaker 1: but it seems like most of have generally accepted what 588 00:33:40,040 --> 00:33:43,320 Speaker 1: I just said. So I want to like look into 589 00:33:43,400 --> 00:33:46,040 Speaker 1: the future a little bit. I mean, you mentioned that 590 00:33:46,320 --> 00:33:49,760 Speaker 1: outside of the current management, there's not an obvious replacement 591 00:33:49,840 --> 00:33:52,479 Speaker 1: perhaps a reason for them to sell. Talk to us 592 00:33:52,480 --> 00:33:56,080 Speaker 1: about like where has the growth been lately and what 593 00:33:56,240 --> 00:34:00,200 Speaker 1: are the opportunities going forward? Like where will you know 594 00:34:00,520 --> 00:34:03,720 Speaker 1: we're theoretically well the next ten years of growth come 595 00:34:03,760 --> 00:34:06,560 Speaker 1: from for a company. Yeah, it's it's a good question. 596 00:34:07,280 --> 00:34:11,360 Speaker 1: And I'll start by saying in the US, which is 597 00:34:11,400 --> 00:34:15,200 Speaker 1: still two thirds of revenue, it's still growing at at 598 00:34:15,280 --> 00:34:17,879 Speaker 1: least a high single if not a low double digit rate. 599 00:34:18,680 --> 00:34:21,080 Speaker 1: So here here is a business fin around in the 600 00:34:21,200 --> 00:34:24,560 Speaker 1: US now for nineteen years and still growing at that rate. 601 00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:27,279 Speaker 1: And they don't really take price, so it's almost all 602 00:34:27,600 --> 00:34:31,680 Speaker 1: volume that's that's driving it, just more incremental cans being consumed. 603 00:34:32,960 --> 00:34:36,840 Speaker 1: The US is a bigger profit center than than the 604 00:34:36,920 --> 00:34:39,719 Speaker 1: international piece. They just have higher margins here and so 605 00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:44,160 Speaker 1: it probably accounts for ninety percent of global profit and 606 00:34:44,239 --> 00:34:47,239 Speaker 1: it produces just massive cash flows. So you've got this 607 00:34:47,360 --> 00:34:49,359 Speaker 1: business just before I answer the question on where does 608 00:34:49,400 --> 00:34:52,200 Speaker 1: it go? Yeah, you know, you talked about it being 609 00:34:52,200 --> 00:34:55,120 Speaker 1: a great stock. It's just the greatest business ever invented. 610 00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:58,160 Speaker 1: I mean, these guys don't produce anything themselves. There's no 611 00:34:58,320 --> 00:35:01,880 Speaker 1: real capital expenditures. They spend a percent of sales or 612 00:35:02,239 --> 00:35:05,000 Speaker 1: less per year. There's no debt on the balance sheet, 613 00:35:05,400 --> 00:35:07,560 Speaker 1: so it's just mints money a billion dollars plus in 614 00:35:07,640 --> 00:35:10,560 Speaker 1: free cash flow a year that they use to basically 615 00:35:10,640 --> 00:35:13,440 Speaker 1: just buy back stock. So you've got this business that's 616 00:35:13,480 --> 00:35:16,920 Speaker 1: growing domestically at a call it a high single digit rate. 617 00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:19,799 Speaker 1: I think can grow at that rate for at least 618 00:35:19,840 --> 00:35:23,239 Speaker 1: the foreseeable future. Here and we didn't touch on it, 619 00:35:23,360 --> 00:35:26,160 Speaker 1: but Ken if you want to later. I think they've 620 00:35:26,160 --> 00:35:28,200 Speaker 1: done a really good job of expanding usage occasion, so 621 00:35:28,280 --> 00:35:30,239 Speaker 1: you keep the core consumer and you innovate into new 622 00:35:30,320 --> 00:35:34,200 Speaker 1: product categories, and that has really driven interest and incrementality 623 00:35:34,239 --> 00:35:38,560 Speaker 1: of purchases, and it has contributed to the consistent growth 624 00:35:39,400 --> 00:35:43,360 Speaker 1: in the US. And in the US they have around 625 00:35:43,400 --> 00:35:46,279 Speaker 1: a forty share or so on a dollar basis of 626 00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:49,799 Speaker 1: the energy drink category, about the same as Red Bull. Volumetrically, 627 00:35:49,840 --> 00:35:52,840 Speaker 1: they're actually higher because they sell, as I said, twice 628 00:35:52,880 --> 00:35:54,680 Speaker 1: the volume for the same price, So they are the 629 00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:57,320 Speaker 1: leader from a volume standpoint on a market share basis 630 00:35:57,400 --> 00:36:01,040 Speaker 1: in the US. If you take that and look at 631 00:36:01,080 --> 00:36:04,960 Speaker 1: it globally excluding the US, our best guess, because there's 632 00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:07,719 Speaker 1: really not good data, is that they're probably somewhere in 633 00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:11,480 Speaker 1: the low to mid teens as a percentage of global share. 634 00:36:11,840 --> 00:36:14,759 Speaker 1: Red Bullet somewhere around a fifty share. So if you 635 00:36:14,800 --> 00:36:16,560 Speaker 1: think about what they've been able to do in the US, 636 00:36:16,600 --> 00:36:19,640 Speaker 1: starting at zero and now being a volume share leader 637 00:36:19,800 --> 00:36:22,279 Speaker 1: in the US, if they can have that kind of 638 00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:25,919 Speaker 1: success outside of the US, you go from a twelve 639 00:36:26,040 --> 00:36:29,120 Speaker 1: or thirteen global share to a forty share in a 640 00:36:29,239 --> 00:36:32,360 Speaker 1: category that's growing at a I don't know, ten percent 641 00:36:32,520 --> 00:36:35,440 Speaker 1: or more rate on a global basis. You get a 642 00:36:35,480 --> 00:36:38,279 Speaker 1: business it's three or four times the size of what 643 00:36:38,400 --> 00:36:41,680 Speaker 1: you have today on an outside the US basis, which 644 00:36:41,760 --> 00:36:44,920 Speaker 1: today is roughly a third of the business, and you 645 00:36:45,000 --> 00:36:46,640 Speaker 1: have a business that's growing in the US at a 646 00:36:46,719 --> 00:36:50,280 Speaker 1: high single digit rate. You've got a really long growth 647 00:36:50,440 --> 00:36:53,000 Speaker 1: rate for for the revenues of this company. To put 648 00:36:53,040 --> 00:36:58,880 Speaker 1: in perspective, best we can tell, Monster will do about 649 00:36:59,000 --> 00:37:02,680 Speaker 1: five billion dollars lars and revenue globally. I would guess 650 00:37:02,719 --> 00:37:04,759 Speaker 1: Red Bulls probably twice that size. You're talking about a 651 00:37:04,800 --> 00:37:09,120 Speaker 1: ten billion dollar company. So Monster can easily see its 652 00:37:09,160 --> 00:37:11,359 Speaker 1: sales double from here over a long period of time, 653 00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:14,840 Speaker 1: just based on the math that I just outline. And 654 00:37:15,000 --> 00:37:21,239 Speaker 1: so it's partly just this getting more distribution, increasing brand awareness, 655 00:37:21,680 --> 00:37:25,840 Speaker 1: and expanding usage occasions through innovation and the Coke system. 656 00:37:26,120 --> 00:37:27,840 Speaker 1: This is where the Coke system is really coming and 657 00:37:27,920 --> 00:37:29,960 Speaker 1: done a good job. I think in the US Monster 658 00:37:30,080 --> 00:37:32,279 Speaker 1: didn't need Coke, but outside the US, I think Coke 659 00:37:32,360 --> 00:37:35,000 Speaker 1: has really been helpful in just getting the product to 660 00:37:35,160 --> 00:37:39,080 Speaker 1: market in an efficient, effective manner and really getting more 661 00:37:39,160 --> 00:37:41,759 Speaker 1: product on shelf. And I think that's also an opportunity 662 00:37:41,800 --> 00:37:45,440 Speaker 1: beyond just category growing. If you think about a typical 663 00:37:45,520 --> 00:37:48,920 Speaker 1: seven eleven cooler in the US, you could have twelve 664 00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:51,520 Speaker 1: the fifteen Monsters sitting in that cooler. If you go 665 00:37:51,640 --> 00:37:54,320 Speaker 1: outside the US, on average, you're probably seeing three to 666 00:37:54,440 --> 00:37:57,360 Speaker 1: five per cooler. So there's also an opportunity to just 667 00:37:57,520 --> 00:38:00,920 Speaker 1: add more products, and those incremental products that have expanded 668 00:38:00,960 --> 00:38:03,320 Speaker 1: the usage occasions and brought in more consumers to the 669 00:38:03,400 --> 00:38:05,960 Speaker 1: Monster business, and that has been one of the big 670 00:38:06,040 --> 00:38:10,399 Speaker 1: things that has driven out performance relative to Red Bull 671 00:38:10,440 --> 00:38:12,400 Speaker 1: in my opinion that Red Bull has been more about 672 00:38:12,480 --> 00:38:16,600 Speaker 1: just adding different packaging sizes and until more recently just 673 00:38:16,760 --> 00:38:19,640 Speaker 1: not really wanting to add flavor extensions. And Monster beyond 674 00:38:19,719 --> 00:38:24,280 Speaker 1: just flavor extensions, has created new sub brands. They've created juice, 675 00:38:25,280 --> 00:38:28,360 Speaker 1: energy plus Juice, They've created coffee plus Energy and it 676 00:38:28,400 --> 00:38:31,239 Speaker 1: sounds almost like an oxymorn, and yet they've created a 677 00:38:31,480 --> 00:38:35,000 Speaker 1: multibillion dollar business globally that they're the day along with 678 00:38:35,080 --> 00:38:38,120 Speaker 1: Starbucks and others are competing in and so they they've 679 00:38:38,320 --> 00:38:40,640 Speaker 1: created this, I mean when they launched that in two 680 00:38:40,680 --> 00:38:43,080 Speaker 1: thousand five or six, this job a Monster product. I'm 681 00:38:43,120 --> 00:38:45,080 Speaker 1: sure I wrote something obnoxious at the time like, oh 682 00:38:45,160 --> 00:38:47,239 Speaker 1: my god, how could you possibly be successful with doing that? 683 00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:50,399 Speaker 1: And sure enough, here we are. So they've just done 684 00:38:50,440 --> 00:38:52,439 Speaker 1: a really good job of kind of going to where 685 00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:54,920 Speaker 1: the consumer is going to be. I think, you know, 686 00:38:55,000 --> 00:38:58,800 Speaker 1: the thing that you can't over emphasize enough is that 687 00:38:58,960 --> 00:39:01,080 Speaker 1: the management here, back to the beginning of what you 688 00:39:01,120 --> 00:39:04,840 Speaker 1: said about what has made this so successful, they've just 689 00:39:04,920 --> 00:39:09,000 Speaker 1: been the management here. Rodney, Hilton, Mark, those three guys 690 00:39:09,080 --> 00:39:11,319 Speaker 1: have just been brilliant at figuring out where the puck 691 00:39:11,440 --> 00:39:13,240 Speaker 1: was going and trying to figure out how to expand 692 00:39:13,280 --> 00:39:16,839 Speaker 1: those used occasions for the consumer and the Red Bull 693 00:39:16,960 --> 00:39:19,759 Speaker 1: maybe being a big, fat, happy private company never had 694 00:39:19,800 --> 00:39:23,160 Speaker 1: to do that, and Monster was given the opportunity and 695 00:39:23,200 --> 00:39:40,080 Speaker 1: clearly capitalized on it. I'm curious. We've talked a lot 696 00:39:40,120 --> 00:39:44,000 Speaker 1: about the success of Monster, and you seem pretty optimistic 697 00:39:44,080 --> 00:39:48,320 Speaker 1: about its future. What, in your opinion, is the biggest 698 00:39:48,480 --> 00:39:53,640 Speaker 1: threat to the company. I think the biggest threat at 699 00:39:53,680 --> 00:39:56,359 Speaker 1: this point the thing, I guess there's probably two things. 700 00:39:56,600 --> 00:39:58,279 Speaker 1: The two biggest things we hear are one, how long 701 00:39:58,320 --> 00:40:01,560 Speaker 1: can category growth continue? Because that's most important if they 702 00:40:01,640 --> 00:40:03,880 Speaker 1: can retain their share or even grow their share of 703 00:40:03,920 --> 00:40:06,520 Speaker 1: a category. And it's growing at that rate, I think 704 00:40:06,560 --> 00:40:09,480 Speaker 1: they're they're gonna be pretty happy. The second would be, 705 00:40:09,760 --> 00:40:11,719 Speaker 1: you know, and sort of related to that, what about 706 00:40:11,800 --> 00:40:14,719 Speaker 1: new entrance into the category. And so if you go 707 00:40:14,840 --> 00:40:20,279 Speaker 1: back twelve to eighteen months ago, there was a new 708 00:40:20,480 --> 00:40:22,840 Speaker 1: entrant or relatively new enter into the category in the 709 00:40:23,000 --> 00:40:27,600 Speaker 1: US called Bang, which is selling what is called performance energy, 710 00:40:28,000 --> 00:40:30,440 Speaker 1: which is basically selling, if you can believe it, twice 711 00:40:30,560 --> 00:40:33,720 Speaker 1: the caffeine in a same sixteen ounts can as Monster, 712 00:40:34,680 --> 00:40:37,400 Speaker 1: and that was something that started to resonate with consumers. 713 00:40:38,200 --> 00:40:42,560 Speaker 1: And like Monster, they moved from smaller distribution into antiser 714 00:40:42,640 --> 00:40:45,600 Speaker 1: bush district distribution and they're now actually distributed by Pepsi. 715 00:40:46,160 --> 00:40:49,680 Speaker 1: And so there's questions about whether the share that they 716 00:40:49,719 --> 00:40:52,399 Speaker 1: were able to get to fairly quickly, which was made 717 00:40:52,440 --> 00:40:55,640 Speaker 1: the high single digits, and it's it's since stopped and 718 00:40:56,080 --> 00:40:59,040 Speaker 1: moved backwards. But that share they got fairly quickly, it 719 00:40:59,120 --> 00:41:01,120 Speaker 1: wasn't as hard to get is maybe some people thought. 720 00:41:01,200 --> 00:41:06,800 Speaker 1: And so digital social media new age marketing can allow 721 00:41:07,040 --> 00:41:09,800 Speaker 1: or potentially allow new entriest to come in and reduce 722 00:41:09,920 --> 00:41:14,000 Speaker 1: the barriers to entry. You see a few smaller companies 723 00:41:14,120 --> 00:41:18,839 Speaker 1: like Celsius and C four also seeing very strong growth 724 00:41:18,920 --> 00:41:21,480 Speaker 1: at this point off of admittedly a very small base, 725 00:41:22,239 --> 00:41:24,560 Speaker 1: but you're seeing more competition in the space. So the 726 00:41:24,640 --> 00:41:27,880 Speaker 1: question is how relevant can Monster be within that? And 727 00:41:28,000 --> 00:41:29,960 Speaker 1: so it's just not one of these things that I 728 00:41:30,040 --> 00:41:31,920 Speaker 1: think they can sit there and rest on their laurels. 729 00:41:31,960 --> 00:41:36,160 Speaker 1: It's always about constant innovation and tweaking the image and 730 00:41:36,200 --> 00:41:40,160 Speaker 1: the products that they're offering and to monsters credit. For example, 731 00:41:40,920 --> 00:41:44,000 Speaker 1: when the world started focusing on this or the the 732 00:41:44,120 --> 00:41:46,320 Speaker 1: energy can world, I suppose the subset of losers like 733 00:41:46,400 --> 00:41:50,160 Speaker 1: me to focus on the beverage industry. When people started 734 00:41:50,200 --> 00:41:53,680 Speaker 1: focusing on this Bang product taking share fall two thousand eighteen, 735 00:41:54,600 --> 00:41:57,160 Speaker 1: Monster was able to get a product out to market 736 00:41:57,239 --> 00:42:00,680 Speaker 1: within six months called Rain that allly got to a 737 00:42:00,880 --> 00:42:03,880 Speaker 1: three share of the category stopped. The growth of Bang 738 00:42:04,040 --> 00:42:06,399 Speaker 1: has done quite well considering it was a brand nobody 739 00:42:06,480 --> 00:42:08,839 Speaker 1: ever heard of two years ago. That brand, I think 740 00:42:08,880 --> 00:42:11,800 Speaker 1: at this point could be doing something on order of 741 00:42:12,160 --> 00:42:14,360 Speaker 1: hundreds of millions of dollars in revenue at retails. So 742 00:42:14,520 --> 00:42:16,120 Speaker 1: they've done a really good job of creating something out 743 00:42:16,160 --> 00:42:18,960 Speaker 1: of nothing. So but that's the question. It's how can 744 00:42:19,000 --> 00:42:21,160 Speaker 1: you continue to growth and how you can sustain the 745 00:42:21,200 --> 00:42:25,160 Speaker 1: share you have. I mean, I'm curious bigger picture, I mean, 746 00:42:25,680 --> 00:42:31,440 Speaker 1: beyond Monster, you cover consumer brand um overall, this question 747 00:42:31,719 --> 00:42:36,080 Speaker 1: of the degree to which new new avenues for promotion 748 00:42:36,239 --> 00:42:39,520 Speaker 1: social media Instagram, and new avenues for distribution the whole 749 00:42:39,560 --> 00:42:43,480 Speaker 1: director consumer phenomenon. How much space for that is. We 750 00:42:43,560 --> 00:42:46,640 Speaker 1: have another conversation actually the timing wise, I think it's 751 00:42:46,680 --> 00:42:48,719 Speaker 1: going to come out right after this episode where we 752 00:42:48,800 --> 00:42:51,360 Speaker 1: talk a little bit about that. But from your perspective, 753 00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:55,280 Speaker 1: you know, you mentioned the importance of these distribution deals, 754 00:42:55,360 --> 00:42:59,960 Speaker 1: the Coke network, that sort of the oligopoly of distribution, 755 00:43:00,000 --> 00:43:02,920 Speaker 1: and in the US and globally, how much under threat 756 00:43:03,120 --> 00:43:06,080 Speaker 1: is that from the Internet, from new stuff or how 757 00:43:06,160 --> 00:43:11,640 Speaker 1: much Canada withstand um these sort of these changes. I 758 00:43:11,680 --> 00:43:16,960 Speaker 1: don't want to understate the importance. But in a category 759 00:43:17,040 --> 00:43:21,439 Speaker 1: like beverages, where as I said at the beginning, energy 760 00:43:21,520 --> 00:43:24,480 Speaker 1: drink sales are done a convenience store, meaning is an 761 00:43:24,560 --> 00:43:27,759 Speaker 1: impulse by It's going to be pretty hard to see 762 00:43:28,040 --> 00:43:32,719 Speaker 1: that materialize. Monster and others are selling more online and 763 00:43:32,880 --> 00:43:37,680 Speaker 1: on Amazon than they ever have, but those numbers are 764 00:43:37,960 --> 00:43:40,360 Speaker 1: how would estimated probably something like two percent of sales 765 00:43:40,400 --> 00:43:43,000 Speaker 1: at this point so it's it's still pretty small and 766 00:43:43,040 --> 00:43:45,560 Speaker 1: the idea of shipping heavy cases of beverage, it's still 767 00:43:45,640 --> 00:43:49,000 Speaker 1: not something that necessarily appeals or that I think will 768 00:43:49,040 --> 00:43:52,880 Speaker 1: get traction like it could in selling sneakers or in 769 00:43:52,960 --> 00:43:56,640 Speaker 1: selling pet food or something like that. So I think 770 00:43:56,719 --> 00:43:59,680 Speaker 1: in this category in particular, it's probably a little bit harder. 771 00:43:59,760 --> 00:44:02,920 Speaker 1: I won't say that it will be impossible, but I 772 00:44:03,000 --> 00:44:07,800 Speaker 1: think that's an advantage of of where we are historically speaking, 773 00:44:08,280 --> 00:44:11,000 Speaker 1: at least so far. You just you haven't seen any 774 00:44:11,200 --> 00:44:15,000 Speaker 1: brands like that game traction, partly because you want to 775 00:44:15,040 --> 00:44:17,759 Speaker 1: be where the consumers are and they need to see 776 00:44:17,760 --> 00:44:20,239 Speaker 1: the product want to buy it. I think that's a 777 00:44:20,400 --> 00:44:22,319 Speaker 1: good place to stop it. Do you have any other 778 00:44:22,480 --> 00:44:24,960 Speaker 1: It's sort of like anything we missed in terms of 779 00:44:25,040 --> 00:44:27,759 Speaker 1: like understanding the story and where it's going that we 780 00:44:27,800 --> 00:44:33,320 Speaker 1: should think about. It's worth pointing out and making it 781 00:44:34,560 --> 00:44:37,880 Speaker 1: making it important that this innovation thing is really what 782 00:44:38,080 --> 00:44:42,680 Speaker 1: has driven success, and the guys that this company are 783 00:44:42,880 --> 00:44:47,800 Speaker 1: are very good at understanding what consumers want. And I 784 00:44:47,920 --> 00:44:50,840 Speaker 1: think they're still despite being a company that will do 785 00:44:50,920 --> 00:44:54,200 Speaker 1: five billion in revenue this year, operating like a company 786 00:44:54,280 --> 00:44:56,560 Speaker 1: that's going to do a couple hundred million in revenue. 787 00:44:56,920 --> 00:45:00,879 Speaker 1: Like I mentioned with the rain product, I couldn't even 788 00:45:01,280 --> 00:45:03,520 Speaker 1: imagine how long it would take a product like that 789 00:45:03,680 --> 00:45:06,480 Speaker 1: to come to market at Coke or something equivalent to 790 00:45:06,520 --> 00:45:09,200 Speaker 1: Procter and Gamble, but it would take probably two years 791 00:45:09,239 --> 00:45:11,920 Speaker 1: of market research and consumer testing, and these guys were 792 00:45:11,920 --> 00:45:17,120 Speaker 1: able to get it done in months. And early last year, 793 00:45:17,640 --> 00:45:21,600 Speaker 1: Red Bull launched a watermelon flavor which sounds simple, but 794 00:45:21,760 --> 00:45:24,160 Speaker 1: it just killed it. It did. I'm sure Tracy would 795 00:45:24,160 --> 00:45:26,440 Speaker 1: love that in the country, probably very good with I've 796 00:45:26,480 --> 00:45:28,640 Speaker 1: done a little bit of sprig of basil or something 797 00:45:29,520 --> 00:45:31,839 Speaker 1: that sounds good joke, But now that you say, at 798 00:45:31,960 --> 00:45:35,040 Speaker 1: Red Bull watermelon with a sprig of basil, well but 799 00:45:35,280 --> 00:45:37,360 Speaker 1: but but if you don't want the full sugar products. 800 00:45:37,400 --> 00:45:40,400 Speaker 1: So that product did really well. Monster put a product 801 00:45:40,440 --> 00:45:43,719 Speaker 1: in the market on their zero calorie line in September, 802 00:45:43,880 --> 00:45:47,319 Speaker 1: so within months of seeing the success, they were able 803 00:45:47,320 --> 00:45:51,200 Speaker 1: to get that product the formulation correct, the taste profile right, 804 00:45:51,239 --> 00:45:53,440 Speaker 1: and they were able to get it to market. I 805 00:45:53,520 --> 00:45:56,120 Speaker 1: will say, if I'm able to do anything here, it's 806 00:45:56,160 --> 00:45:59,120 Speaker 1: it's to at least get you to try a Monster. 807 00:45:59,360 --> 00:46:01,239 Speaker 1: At this point, feel like both of you have never 808 00:46:01,320 --> 00:46:05,520 Speaker 1: tried one, which what's your favorite? What's your favorite? Uh, 809 00:46:06,160 --> 00:46:08,160 Speaker 1: your favorite one to try and I'll get that one. 810 00:46:08,400 --> 00:46:10,480 Speaker 1: What's your favorite flavor? I think you should try one 811 00:46:10,520 --> 00:46:14,640 Speaker 1: of the Ultra lines, try Ultra Sunrise, which is the 812 00:46:14,760 --> 00:46:18,600 Speaker 1: orange flavor, or Ultra Paradise, which is there. I don't know, 813 00:46:18,640 --> 00:46:22,560 Speaker 1: i'd call it like an apple key cucumber kind of thing, um, 814 00:46:22,800 --> 00:46:25,040 Speaker 1: but it's those are probably the ones that I would 815 00:46:25,040 --> 00:46:27,800 Speaker 1: try first. All Right, I'm gonna I'm looking up, I'm 816 00:46:27,840 --> 00:46:30,360 Speaker 1: gonna test the what were you going to test the 817 00:46:30,400 --> 00:46:34,239 Speaker 1: watermelon with vodka? Obviously? Obviously, but I was gonna say, 818 00:46:34,560 --> 00:46:38,680 Speaker 1: I'm going to test the strength of Coke's distribution network 819 00:46:38,760 --> 00:46:41,320 Speaker 1: and see if I can actually find a monster product 820 00:46:41,400 --> 00:46:46,560 Speaker 1: in Hong Kong. That's job number one. You will definitely 821 00:46:46,600 --> 00:46:48,799 Speaker 1: be able to find a Monster in Hong Kong. I'm 822 00:46:48,880 --> 00:46:53,560 Speaker 1: just I'm just envisioning Tracy on a rooftop in Hong Kong. 823 00:46:54,560 --> 00:46:57,840 Speaker 1: It's some you know where they apparently like they have 824 00:46:57,920 --> 00:47:04,239 Speaker 1: the virus under control, drinking a out monster watermelon basil cocktail. 825 00:47:04,320 --> 00:47:07,200 Speaker 1: And I'm very jealous of that. I'm very jealous of 826 00:47:07,280 --> 00:47:09,239 Speaker 1: that moment right now. I don't think you're gonna find 827 00:47:09,239 --> 00:47:12,880 Speaker 1: a watermelon ultra in Hong Kong, unfortunately. But Jill, they 828 00:47:12,920 --> 00:47:15,319 Speaker 1: actually are expanding in China at this point, to which 829 00:47:16,920 --> 00:47:19,640 Speaker 1: they're even a slightly different product offering there than they 830 00:47:19,719 --> 00:47:21,120 Speaker 1: do in the rest of the world. But they have 831 00:47:22,040 --> 00:47:25,960 Speaker 1: three three of their mainstream products and two non carbonated 832 00:47:26,000 --> 00:47:29,080 Speaker 1: tea products there, so I'm confident you'll be able to 833 00:47:29,160 --> 00:47:31,759 Speaker 1: find at least a couple of those on shelves. I'm 834 00:47:31,800 --> 00:47:34,359 Speaker 1: on it before this episode comes out. I'm gonna I'm 835 00:47:34,360 --> 00:47:37,200 Speaker 1: gonna get one, all right, Mark, thank you so much 836 00:47:37,200 --> 00:47:39,600 Speaker 1: for joining us. I've been so curious about this company 837 00:47:39,719 --> 00:47:42,120 Speaker 1: for a long time, and I feel like you you 838 00:47:42,280 --> 00:47:45,360 Speaker 1: told its story extremely well, so I really appreciate you 839 00:47:45,480 --> 00:47:48,640 Speaker 1: joining up. Yeah. Absolutely, thanks for having me. That was great, Mark, 840 00:47:48,719 --> 00:48:11,279 Speaker 1: Thank you, thanks Mark. Yeah, Tracy, I am kind of 841 00:48:11,360 --> 00:48:13,960 Speaker 1: embarrassed that I've never had one. I I think I 842 00:48:14,120 --> 00:48:16,759 Speaker 1: probably have like two thousand and four, two thousand five, 843 00:48:16,880 --> 00:48:20,120 Speaker 1: Like I have like some memory of like going to 844 00:48:20,200 --> 00:48:24,120 Speaker 1: the bagel store on Bedford Avenue in Williamsburg, and I 845 00:48:24,200 --> 00:48:27,560 Speaker 1: remember like seeing them, Like I have this vague memory 846 00:48:27,600 --> 00:48:30,279 Speaker 1: of like the first time I saw them proliferate. But 847 00:48:30,680 --> 00:48:33,239 Speaker 1: it's definitely been a been too long since I've had 848 00:48:33,680 --> 00:48:36,839 Speaker 1: a Monster beverage, But that's kind of an interesting thing, right, 849 00:48:36,920 --> 00:48:39,600 Speaker 1: So I have a feeling that even for most people 850 00:48:39,920 --> 00:48:45,040 Speaker 1: who haven't actually tried Monster, they're aware of the branding. Um. Yeah, 851 00:48:45,600 --> 00:48:47,719 Speaker 1: because it became such a big thing and it was 852 00:48:47,840 --> 00:48:53,520 Speaker 1: so distinctive. I do think that whole conversation was obviously fascinating. 853 00:48:54,040 --> 00:48:56,520 Speaker 1: The strength of management, this idea that they're able to 854 00:48:57,040 --> 00:49:00,759 Speaker 1: respond to the market very very quickly, that their advertising 855 00:49:00,840 --> 00:49:05,919 Speaker 1: has been different to other traditional drinks companies. The fact 856 00:49:06,000 --> 00:49:08,560 Speaker 1: that they have zero debt on their balance sheet is 857 00:49:08,760 --> 00:49:12,880 Speaker 1: absolutely amazing in the current environment. But one thing I 858 00:49:12,960 --> 00:49:15,480 Speaker 1: found really interesting was, you know, Mark was kind of 859 00:49:15,560 --> 00:49:18,080 Speaker 1: hinting at this, but it was the way the street 860 00:49:18,520 --> 00:49:23,680 Speaker 1: approached the company. Um, they didn't really understand it. Monster 861 00:49:24,120 --> 00:49:26,120 Speaker 1: was kind of unique in the sense that it was 862 00:49:26,200 --> 00:49:28,920 Speaker 1: a public company, but it acted a bit like a 863 00:49:29,080 --> 00:49:33,560 Speaker 1: private company. And I suspect also, and Mark didn't go 864 00:49:33,600 --> 00:49:36,120 Speaker 1: into this directly, but I suspect that there is also 865 00:49:36,200 --> 00:49:40,720 Speaker 1: a little bit of I guess like arrogance or classism 866 00:49:40,960 --> 00:49:45,120 Speaker 1: towards the product, Like Monster was always the blue collar 867 00:49:45,520 --> 00:49:49,600 Speaker 1: product for a less well off market. I suppose whereas 868 00:49:49,640 --> 00:49:52,640 Speaker 1: Red Bull was the sort of white collar one, and 869 00:49:52,719 --> 00:49:55,640 Speaker 1: I wonder how much of that fed into people's um 870 00:49:56,440 --> 00:50:01,200 Speaker 1: investment decisions or analysis. The it's just no question, like 871 00:50:01,320 --> 00:50:04,840 Speaker 1: if I have to in my mind's eye, and again 872 00:50:04,920 --> 00:50:08,239 Speaker 1: it's it's my own biases and judgment, and but like 873 00:50:08,360 --> 00:50:10,440 Speaker 1: in my mind's eye, you know, like if I have 874 00:50:10,920 --> 00:50:14,400 Speaker 1: if I imagine someone drinking Red Bull, it's like some 875 00:50:14,680 --> 00:50:17,800 Speaker 1: like you're a guy who's like six ft one, wearing 876 00:50:17,800 --> 00:50:21,400 Speaker 1: a white shirt and a club and you know, like 877 00:50:21,520 --> 00:50:24,680 Speaker 1: super fit, And if I imagined what I would have 878 00:50:24,760 --> 00:50:27,879 Speaker 1: assumed as like a monster drinker, it's like someone playing 879 00:50:28,000 --> 00:50:32,279 Speaker 1: video games in the US and Florida and having a 880 00:50:32,360 --> 00:50:35,760 Speaker 1: headset on talking, you know, like whatever game they're playing 881 00:50:36,320 --> 00:50:38,719 Speaker 1: with a baseball cap backwards and everything. Like it's just 882 00:50:38,800 --> 00:50:40,640 Speaker 1: like I hadn't I hadn't, you know, in my mind, 883 00:50:40,680 --> 00:50:42,600 Speaker 1: I was like, oh, yeah, they're competitors. But then as 884 00:50:42,640 --> 00:50:45,239 Speaker 1: soon as you said that, it's like so clear to me, 885 00:50:45,400 --> 00:50:49,320 Speaker 1: like how I've long like stereotyped the to uh the consumers. 886 00:50:49,440 --> 00:50:51,040 Speaker 1: So but I guess it's kind of accut, you're going 887 00:50:51,080 --> 00:50:54,479 Speaker 1: to get a lot of angry Monster fans coming after 888 00:50:54,560 --> 00:50:58,040 Speaker 1: you now I know, but you are definitely uh the 889 00:50:58,120 --> 00:51:02,640 Speaker 1: red Bull demotrazy. I would not like to put myself 890 00:51:02,680 --> 00:51:07,680 Speaker 1: in that category. I support it because Austria has very 891 00:51:07,840 --> 00:51:10,920 Speaker 1: very few things of which to be proud, and probably 892 00:51:11,040 --> 00:51:13,920 Speaker 1: our most famous export is something that you wouldn't want 893 00:51:13,920 --> 00:51:16,800 Speaker 1: to take credit for. So you know, we latch onto 894 00:51:16,920 --> 00:51:18,920 Speaker 1: what we can and red Bull is one of them, 895 00:51:19,000 --> 00:51:22,719 Speaker 1: even though, as Mark pointed out, the actual recipe came 896 00:51:22,800 --> 00:51:26,560 Speaker 1: from Thailand. But I'm going to convert, or at least 897 00:51:26,560 --> 00:51:28,600 Speaker 1: I'm going to try monster. I'll try to find it 898 00:51:28,680 --> 00:51:31,399 Speaker 1: in Hong Kong and uh, you know, we can talk 899 00:51:31,600 --> 00:51:34,239 Speaker 1: on Twitter or somewhere else about how we feel about it. 900 00:51:34,719 --> 00:51:37,759 Speaker 1: Do the review sounds good? I'm looking forward to our 901 00:51:38,280 --> 00:51:41,000 Speaker 1: our review and I'll take that selfie when I'm you know, 902 00:51:41,320 --> 00:51:44,800 Speaker 1: on the roof deck drinking some sort of monster based 903 00:51:44,880 --> 00:51:50,320 Speaker 1: cocktails to Instagram. Okay, this has been another episode of 904 00:51:50,400 --> 00:51:53,200 Speaker 1: the All Thoughts podcast. I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow 905 00:51:53,239 --> 00:51:56,480 Speaker 1: me on Twitter at Tracy Alloway and I'm Joe Why 906 00:51:56,520 --> 00:52:00,120 Speaker 1: Isn't All? You can follow me on Twitter at the Stalwart. Hello. 907 00:52:00,200 --> 00:52:03,720 Speaker 1: Our producer Laura Carlson. She's at Laura M. Carlson. Follow 908 00:52:03,760 --> 00:52:07,160 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg head of podcast Francesco Levi at Francesco Today, 909 00:52:07,560 --> 00:52:10,400 Speaker 1: and check out all of our podcasts at Bloomberg onto 910 00:52:10,440 --> 00:52:12,920 Speaker 1: the handle at podcasts. Thanks for listening.