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Speaker 1: Happy Sunday, guys. How are you welcome into the latest

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Speaker 1: edition of the Dilijuice Podcast. My name is Matt Parolti.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: You can follow Betting Pros on Twitter at Betting Pros.

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Speaker 1: This podcast always found wherever you get your audio podcasts,

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Speaker 1: YouTube for the video as well, and always being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by bet MGM the ten dollars offer when's

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Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty bucks on any event use at

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Speaker 1: promo codejuice one fifty when he's not for a new

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Speaker 1: account with betmgmor BETMGM dot com. All right, so we

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Speaker 1: are entering into the second half of the NFL season,

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Speaker 1: and well I'm on the East Coast. So the majority,

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Speaker 1: not the majority, but two of our very big bets

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Speaker 1: are still not decided as of yet at the time

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Speaker 1: of taping. Oklahoma Oklahoma State's still going on. Well, we

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Speaker 1: have two of the one unit. I guess we get

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Speaker 1: Michigan right plus eight, they win outright, We get Alabama wrong.

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Speaker 1: They win in quadruple over time, but they don't cover

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Speaker 1: the twenty points. Home teams have been the story. Hopefully

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Speaker 1: that stays the case here When it comes to Oki

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Speaker 1: State at home for Bedlam that they'll win and cover

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Speaker 1: that four and a half point line for us going

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Speaker 1: two and one, and then we'll see what the boxing

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Speaker 1: parlay winds up going. With the potentially of a plus

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Speaker 1: one fifty three hit on the parlay, so we'll see

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Speaker 1: how that might wind up going for us, but we

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Speaker 1: gotta wait and see how that all falls out. It

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Speaker 1: is about a thirty here on the East Coast, and

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Speaker 1: this is when I tape the podcast eight thirty nine

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Speaker 1: o'clock normally, and I cannot stand East Coast sports Man.

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Speaker 1: It's amazing. I grew up with this, and it's just incredible.

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Speaker 1: Everything is so late and so cold that you just

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Speaker 1: want to go to bed, and it's frigid here. It's

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Speaker 1: thirty degrees and my gosh, So I'm here one more

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Speaker 1: time in the hotel. We were going to go back

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Speaker 1: to my in laws, but we decided to stay an

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Speaker 1: extra night in the hotel. So we'll be at the

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Speaker 1: end Laws coming up tomorrow for Monday Night football and

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Speaker 1: then or no for yeah first or for Sunday into

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Speaker 1: Monday Night football, and then I'll come to you from

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Speaker 1: New Jersey, Z for one night and then back to

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Speaker 1: Vegas for Tuesdays taping for Wednesday Mornings podcast. So that's

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Speaker 1: kind of the schedule. There is no live stream today, okay,

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Speaker 1: just FYI, no lave tuam. I'm gonna give you all

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Speaker 1: four of my player props coming up here right now.

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Speaker 1: There will not be an official Wong teaser. I will

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Speaker 1: give it to you on the Discord channel, bettingpros dot com,

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Speaker 1: slash chat, or the link is underneath me here on youtubec.

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Speaker 1: The Wong teaser has missed three straight weeks. We are

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Speaker 1: now seven and four on the Wong teaser. I believe

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Speaker 1: that's the correct record for the Wong teaser. But I

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Speaker 1: did come back with a different teaser last week that

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Speaker 1: did cash, so we were one in one on teasers

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Speaker 1: last week. But hopefully we'll get a Wong teaser right

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Speaker 1: coming up here for today. But I've got one full

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Speaker 1: unit NFL bet to give you and four quarter unit

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Speaker 1: prop bets to give you, and that's kind of it.

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Speaker 1: We were involved on Thanksgiving with three games, three one

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Speaker 1: unit plays plus a prop that cashed for us. We

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Speaker 1: got one voided because of the Tasom healthy he didn't

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Speaker 1: play to that cash. One of them got avoided, so

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Speaker 1: went one and oher on props. So I'm gonna give

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Speaker 1: you four props and one full unit play and then

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Speaker 1: I'll give you the long teaser on the Discord channel

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Speaker 1: a little bit later on today, and that's all we

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Speaker 1: got going for today. So just FYI on that. All right,

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Speaker 1: Let's start with the only game I'm betting a full

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Speaker 1: unit on, and that is the Sunday night game with

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Speaker 1: the Ravens taking on the Baltimore Ravens start hosting the

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Speaker 1: Cleveland and Cleveland Browns. Okay, so let's just talk about

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Speaker 1: these teams kind of in general, like where they are

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Speaker 1: right now. Cleveland six and five, Baltimore seven and three.

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Speaker 1: Cleveland has now in the division, they're one in one,

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Speaker 1: They're three and four in the conference, three and two

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Speaker 1: over their last five. They are banged up. Baker Mayfield,

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Speaker 1: it's still banged up Nick Chubb probably coming back there.

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Speaker 1: That could be big four and three in the conference

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Speaker 1: for the Ravens. Three and two over the last five,

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Speaker 1: seven and three on the year for them coming up

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Speaker 1: here on this season. So nice to see that last

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Speaker 1: week getting a win and a on the road against Chicago.

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Speaker 1: They had two road games to come back home here

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Speaker 1: on Sunday Night football. A couple things to watch here,

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Speaker 1: and obviously everyone's going to be talking and watching about

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Speaker 1: the injury situation because it appears that they're going to

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Speaker 1: get Nick Chubb back here for this game, which is

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Speaker 1: obviously a monster situation. They have to have him out there.

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Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield has got all sorts of problems. Knee injury,

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Speaker 1: you arm injury, shoulder injury. It's just ridiculous how many

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Speaker 1: guys are banged up for this Cleveland Browns team. But

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Speaker 1: they should get their running backs back and that would

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Speaker 1: be big for them up against this Baltimore Ravens defense. However,

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Speaker 1: the Ravens in the secondary, they continue to be really,

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Speaker 1: really banged up and they continue not to be great.

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Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson, Yes, he's probable. With the COVID nineteenth situation

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Speaker 1: or the illness that they're calling non COVID, I should

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Speaker 1: say I think he's playing. Okay, I think he's in.

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Speaker 1: This bet has been made with the likelhood of him inning.

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Speaker 1: The number is three. Okay, you can chop around and

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Speaker 1: find this. Some books are already at three and a half.

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Speaker 1: Some books are at three. I like this number at three.

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Speaker 1: The Ravens this season only four and six against the spread,

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Speaker 1: very Unjohn Harnball like. At home, they're two and three,

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Speaker 1: very un John hornball like. But Jim just got a

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Speaker 1: big win yesterday. Let's see if John can match it.

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Speaker 1: Three and four against the division. So far for Baltimore

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Speaker 1: against the spread, four and six this season is just

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Speaker 1: not good. But they did cover last week. The previous

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Speaker 1: three games they did not cover. But for the Browns,

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Speaker 1: three of the last four games they did not cover.

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Speaker 1: Against Detroit they didn't cover, laying thirteen and a half

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Speaker 1: they won by three. On the road. Against the Patriots,

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Speaker 1: catching two and a half, they lost by thirty eight.

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Speaker 1: Against Cincinnati on the road, they were catching two. They

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Speaker 1: won by twenty five. Look, I think this Ravens team

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Speaker 1: starts to play their best football here in the later

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Speaker 1: parts of November into December. Here, okay, and when you

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Speaker 1: start looking at the numbers, this is interesting to me

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Speaker 1: from this Ravens defense. So Baltimore wants to Cleveland, wants

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Speaker 1: to run the football right, five point two yards per rush,

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Speaker 1: it's number one in the NFL. But four point two

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Speaker 1: yards giving up is not bad. That's twelfth best in

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Speaker 1: the NFL. Rushing wise, they only give up eighty eight

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Speaker 1: point six yards over all on the ground. That's number

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Speaker 1: two in the NFL. So it's number one rushing defense

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Speaker 1: versus the number two rushing sorry, number one rushing offense

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Speaker 1: versus number two rushing defense in this football game, right,

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Speaker 1: So obviously they want to pound the rock, they want

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Speaker 1: to run the football. I actually think Cleveland might throw

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Speaker 1: the ball a bit more. Only averaging two hundred and

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Speaker 1: five yards per game through the air, but Cleveland is

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Speaker 1: looking at a defense giving up two hundred and eighty

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Speaker 1: one yards. That's the worst pass defense in the NFL. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So I think Baltimore is gonna you know, is his

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Speaker 1: strength on strength. So what are you gonna try to do?

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Speaker 1: Throw the football? Right? Well, the receivers they're good, not great.

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Speaker 1: Mayfield good, not great, little danger there, turnovers potentially and whatnot.

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Speaker 1: But I do think Cleveland's gonna throw the football, and

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Speaker 1: I do think they're gonna have a chance to throw

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Speaker 1: the football. Here. Baltimore on the other side, averaging twenty

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Speaker 1: four point seven points per game, Cleveland's defense twenty two

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Speaker 1: point eight points per game. It's five point seven yards

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Speaker 1: per play to five point three yards defensively for Cleveland

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Speaker 1: given up rushing wise, fifth best rushing offense in the

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Speaker 1: NFL with Baltimore, thanks mostly to Lamar Jackson four point

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Speaker 1: eight yards per rush for him on the ground, one

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Speaker 1: hundred and fifty one yards per game rushing third best

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Speaker 1: in the NFL for the Ravens' eighth best rush defense

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Speaker 1: for Cleveland one hundred and one point one throwing the football,

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Speaker 1: though Cleveland's defense not bad, two hundred and fifteen yards

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Speaker 1: through the air, giving up two hundred and fifty one

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Speaker 1: yards passing here for Cleveland, the number though being three.

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Speaker 1: I just think these are the games that the hardballs

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Speaker 1: win in the NFL because it's about smash mouth football

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Speaker 1: in cooler weather, running the football, and whose quarterback is

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Speaker 1: not gonna make the big mistake. I just don't like

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Speaker 1: this Cleveland Browns team. I haven't liked this Cleveland Browns

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Speaker 1: team all year. I think this could be a higher

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Speaker 1: scoring game than people think. I mean, I think there's

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Speaker 1: a potential that goes over forty seven. That's possible if

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Speaker 1: you like the overplay. But I'm gonna go one year

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Speaker 1: in here, Baltimore three take the Ravens minus three. Now,

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Speaker 1: the first prop bet comes from this game, So let's

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Speaker 1: talk about prop betting here. And obviously these numbers are

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Speaker 1: subject to change before you guys listen to them. But

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Speaker 1: at the time of taping, let's talk about Baker Mayfield,

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Speaker 1: currently number two on the prop bet cheat sheets, number

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Speaker 1: two selection. Number one selection already hit. We bet it

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Speaker 1: with Derek Carr going over his passing attempts or sorry,

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Speaker 1: passing yardage on Thanksgiving that cash. This is number two.

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Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield over two hundred and nine and a half

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Speaker 1: yards passing. Okay, we just talked about the worst passing

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Speaker 1: defense in the NFL, the Baltimore Ravens, great against the run,

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Speaker 1: offul against the pass. We're going over two hundred and

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Speaker 1: nine and a half yards passing for Baker Mayfield. I

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Speaker 1: know he's only averaging two hundred and five. Just go

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Speaker 1: a little bit over the average and he's going to

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Speaker 1: get there for us. Two hundred and nine and a

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Speaker 1: half yards passing. Baker Mayfield quarter unit on that prop

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Speaker 1: number two. Dalvin Cook rushing seventy eight point five yard

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Speaker 1: at DraftKings tonight. I was somewhat surprised by this. We

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Speaker 1: know what the Vikings are going to try to do

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Speaker 1: the Vikings want to run the football. I know San

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Speaker 1: Francisco's got a really good rushing defense. I understand that.

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Speaker 1: But to me, you've got a rushing team, you know,

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Speaker 1: an offense averaging one hundred and nineteen yards per game

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Speaker 1: on the ground. The vast majority that's going to come

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Speaker 1: from Dalvin Cook and San frans giving up one hundred

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Speaker 1: and fifteen yards per game on the ground. It's not

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Speaker 1: your typical San Francisco rushing team. Dalvin Cook, I think

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Speaker 1: will blow over this. Dalvin Cook. At draft Pane you

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Speaker 1: can find it. Seventy eight point five rushing yards for

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Speaker 1: Dalvin Cook for a quarter unit. One more. Next, prop

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Speaker 1: t Y Hilton up against Tampa Bay at home for

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Speaker 1: t Y and you look at the numbers here. Thirty

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Speaker 1: four and a half yards receiving for t Y Hilton

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Speaker 1: facing a Tampa Bay defense that gives up two hundred

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Speaker 1: and forty three yards per game to the air six

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Speaker 1: point two yards per pass place. Not bad, but they

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Speaker 1: do it, but only seventeen best in terms of overall passing.

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Speaker 1: And teams throw on this on these guys, why you

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Speaker 1: can't run on them? Really hard to run. We know

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Speaker 1: what what Indy's gonna want to do with run the

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Speaker 1: ball with you know they're great running attack in their

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Speaker 1: offensive line, but with j Taylor. But thirty second, sixty

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Speaker 1: six point nine percent of the time teams are passing

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Speaker 1: on Tampa. Why because they can and they have to

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Speaker 1: because they can't move and move the ball on the ground.

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Speaker 1: T Wy Hilton over thirty five thirty four and a

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Speaker 1: half yards receiving. And this next one in the last

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Speaker 1: one is totally juice to high heaven. It's minus one

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Speaker 1: eighty five at draftings. But it's just to get a

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Speaker 1: w It's almost like guaranteed money. If you guys ever

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Speaker 1: looked at Ben Roethlizsberger and the rushing totals. I was

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Speaker 1: tipped off by a friend on this Ben Roethlisberger. Look

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Speaker 1: at Ben Roethlisberger's rushing It's actually kind of ridiculous. You know,

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Speaker 1: his his rushing stats. It's point five. Okay, it's point five.

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Speaker 1: You heard me, right, Ben Roethlisberger rushing stats point five

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Speaker 1: at minus one eighty five, minus one eighty five if

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Speaker 1: he moves at all this, hey, you just tip your

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Speaker 1: cap and go, thank you very much. But Ben Roethlisberger

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Speaker 1: over the last five games. Negative one, negative one and

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Speaker 1: a half zero zero. Oh sorry, tell you negative one,

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Speaker 1: negative three zero zero zero. Okay, he goes back there

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Speaker 1: in the shotgun a lot. He's a statue. He doesn't move.

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Speaker 1: If he gets a one yard, if he picks up

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Speaker 1: a yard, we're dead fine. But Neil downs and everything

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Speaker 1: else could come into play here Ben Roethlisberger for fun.

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Speaker 1: We're going Roethlisberger for a quarter. Unit at minus one

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Speaker 1: eighty five is under one and a half, under half

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Speaker 1: a yard rushing for Ben Roethlisberger. Okay, so again, here's

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Speaker 1: the full pod. We're going ravens minds three okay, at

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Speaker 1: home on Sunday Night Football. The Wong teaser right now

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Speaker 1: most likely, okay, most likely, not not official, I tell

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Speaker 1: you in the discord channel. Most likely it's going to

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Speaker 1: be paid Patriots minus one, Packers plus eight, most likely.

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Speaker 1: But we gotta wait for line movement, wait for actives,

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Speaker 1: who's inactive, who's active, Wait for the totals to settle

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Speaker 1: right as we get towards kickoff. But right for kickoff,

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Speaker 1: I will tell you whether or not we're going to

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Speaker 1: jump in on that. But that's most likely going to

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Speaker 1: be the Wong teaser Patriots minus one, Packers plus eight

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Speaker 1: in their games Patriots, Titans, Rams, and the Packers, so

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Speaker 1: that's probably going to be the mis one to twenty

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Speaker 1: wong teaser. They'll stick around coming up for that. And

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Speaker 1: then the props Ben Roethlisberger under a half yard rushing,

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Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield over two hundred and nine yards passing, Dalvin

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Speaker 1: Cook over seventy eight and a half yards rushing, and

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Speaker 1: t Y Hilton over thirty four and a half yards

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Speaker 1: receiving for the Indianapolis Colts. Okay, three units in play

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Speaker 1: coming up here for us today for a Sunday's Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice Podcast. Vacation continues. Let's watch them football. Hopefully today

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Speaker 1: ended well, I don't know. I mean, the best play

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Speaker 1: of the day was Michigan plus eight, but hopefully the

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Speaker 1: rest of them win, the bets come in for us

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Speaker 1: and we have a winning day. I don't really know.

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Speaker 1: We were on a seven and three run going into today,

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Speaker 1: so hopefully that continues for us. Here for the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice minus Matt Parot. You can follow me on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt. Each every morning it's the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice Podcast, always being brought to you by bet MGM