Speaker 1: Huh, check it down, man now down. Then Monday Morning,
Speaker 1: the last fie up Seating the Book Podcast, Gil Alexander,
Speaker 1: It is mid July and therefore time to talk football,
Speaker 1: college football. In this instance, Chris Felika, the Bear from
Speaker 1: ESPN's College Game Day, also Daily Wager and the Stanford
Speaker 1: Steve and the Bear podcast joins us to talk about
Speaker 1: no fewer than eight actually make it nine different season
Speaker 1: win totals, his nine favorite that are out there. I
Speaker 1: actually end up aligning with four of them. Nine season
Speaker 1: win totals. Chris Felika's best right here on the Beating
Speaker 1: of the Book podcast. Enjoy. Now back to a numbers
Speaker 1: game with your host, Gil Alexander, broadcasting live from our
Speaker 1: visa in studios in Las Vegas. Back on the Numbers
Speaker 1: Game with Sports Betting Analytics, live actionable sports betting information,
Speaker 1: Gil Alexander, talk a little college football. Uh, first time
Speaker 1: we're talking season win totals. We got a bunch of
Speaker 1: them today to talk about with our friend from ESPNS
Speaker 1: Daily Wager of course, the glue that keeps Game Day together,
Speaker 1: and the Stanford Stephen the Bear Podcast. Ladies and gentlemen,
Speaker 1: back on the show. It's our friend Chris Feliga, Good
Speaker 1: morning Chris, Good, good morning Gil. We'll welcome back from vacation.
Speaker 1: And before we get it, before we get into the
Speaker 1: East wind totals and every y'alls, they just want to uh,
Speaker 1: he might be listening. So we just want to give
Speaker 1: Chris andrew the shout out. I hope he is doing well.
Speaker 1: And the reason I say that is because a lot
Speaker 1: of times, I think a lot of people, uh think
Speaker 1: some of these Las Vegas oddmaker is the Las Vegas bookmakers.
Speaker 1: Might the rumors are all they just copy off shore
Speaker 1: odds and they just put them up. Well, let me
Speaker 1: let me say this. We're today on this show, we're
Speaker 1: gonna be talking about all these Power five Conference wind totals.
Speaker 1: Were the only guy out there, the first guy out there,
Speaker 1: I should say that puts up these MAC and Conference
Speaker 1: USA and some belt totals that I saw with Chris Andrews.
Speaker 1: I haven't seen any out there this year at all. Uh,
Speaker 1: And I think that's a testament to to him just
Speaker 1: being great at his task and trusting his power ratings
Speaker 1: and trusting his numbers and up. I could be wrong,
Speaker 1: maybe they do exist somewhere, but I'm still waiting to
Speaker 1: see those that first batch of UH conference USA mac
Speaker 1: sun felt all those good wind totles that we like
Speaker 1: to play into. So we're gonna be talking some Power
Speaker 1: five today, but hopefully we'll get some of those up
Speaker 1: other five conferences at some point in the future. But
Speaker 1: first and four of us, we hope Christie is doing well.
Speaker 1: I appreciate you saying that. First of all, this on
Speaker 1: a year everything you said about Christian a year what
Speaker 1: he said, he he apologized. Remember he apologized to folks
Speaker 1: that he wouldn't be able to apologize. Yeah, that's the
Speaker 1: first thing I said to him, Like, you need to
Speaker 1: apologize to us. Um on a year where he said
Speaker 1: he probably couldn't get to a lot of stuff. Uh
Speaker 1: for those and I'm glad to bring it up and
Speaker 1: let me not leave that hanging. Uh. Pam Chrissie's wife,
Speaker 1: tweeting this weekend that Chris was undergoing the transplant. He
Speaker 1: did so, Uh this weekend. I spoke with him beforehand
Speaker 1: and he was playing gin with ninety minutes before the transplant.
Speaker 1: He was playing gin with his wife, Pam. She pointed
Speaker 1: that out as well as she said with every poke
Speaker 1: PROD injection and infusion. He remains himself, funny and smart
Speaker 1: up on the action close with his family and friends,
Speaker 1: kicking my butt agin. I couldn't be more proud of him,
Speaker 1: and I spoke to him. He was in great spirits beforehand,
Speaker 1: and so now it is a um, it's like a
Speaker 1: waiting period. Hopefully everything processes well and his body accepts
Speaker 1: what is happening, and UM, you know, so far, so good,
Speaker 1: and UM, what a fighter that kid is. What a fighter? Seriously,
Speaker 1: so we all wish both Christie and Pam the best.
Speaker 1: And Christie will be on the show as soon as
Speaker 1: he can, let's put it that way. But he's going
Speaker 1: to suit through some more treatment today, so I couldn't
Speaker 1: be on today. That will be in course. So Mr Felika, sir,
Speaker 1: let's start with some high profile teams. How about that.
Speaker 1: I want to go there. Let's do it. Let's go
Speaker 1: to the SEC. Let's go to the SEC. The SEC.
Speaker 1: Let's let's not have any debates this year best conference
Speaker 1: in football, nude doubt about it. Let's not flash that up.
Speaker 1: Let's take that off the screen because I want to
Speaker 1: I want people to be able to listen to it.
Speaker 1: I want to give away the answers yet, Um, let's
Speaker 1: start with the Florida Gators. Um, the number is nine
Speaker 1: on the Gators. You and I aligned on this one. Um,
Speaker 1: we both like the under I'll give away that one first.
Speaker 1: And I guess if you talk about Florida, you're gonna
Speaker 1: expect good things from the defense. Yes, there's some there,
Speaker 1: there's some folks they got to replace, but you're still
Speaker 1: gonna expect good things from the defense under Dan Mullen.
Speaker 1: It's the offense. Can they replace the guys they're losing
Speaker 1: on the line. And then I guess a lot of
Speaker 1: this calculus has to come down to how do you
Speaker 1: feel about Felipe Franks? Yeah, and Dan Malon did an
Speaker 1: unbelievable job with him last year, really getting a lot
Speaker 1: at him. I think a lot more than people thought
Speaker 1: he would. You win ten games last year, I mean
Speaker 1: you just you hit on the offensive line. That that
Speaker 1: is something, uh in the SEC you really don't want
Speaker 1: to go into a year UH with with an experience
Speaker 1: in the offensive line, especially earlier. You mean, look, they
Speaker 1: did a great job last year winning all of the
Speaker 1: close films they was m and Owen games decided by
Speaker 1: a touchdown or less. If you include that Bandy game,
Speaker 1: which was really a touchdown LS they won four close games,
Speaker 1: they were plus twelve and turnovers that they were very
Speaker 1: fortunate in that regard, and you just go down the schedule,
Speaker 1: they might be a better team this year, but you
Speaker 1: got Miami and Georgia away from home. You've got road
Speaker 1: games at l f U, South Carolina and Missouri, and
Speaker 1: you certainly can't chalk up wings of South Carolina Missouri
Speaker 1: if you're Florida and you still got home games Instwin
Speaker 1: and Florida State, who put wise, are right there with Florida.
Speaker 1: So uh so Florida wins those other five games that
Speaker 1: it was beating Kentucky and beating Tennessee, who both will
Speaker 1: be better this year. With Florida is pretty much control
Speaker 1: those series lately. So as soon as they were those
Speaker 1: five games in their five and oh they gotta build
Speaker 1: five and two when those other seven games to beat you,
Speaker 1: I don't see that happening. I mean landing on nine
Speaker 1: as a possibility. But I'm gonna go into the year
Speaker 1: assuming a loss at Georgia, assuming a lot of assuming
Speaker 1: they lost to Georgia and Jacksonville, assuming a laws the
Speaker 1: LSU and I think they dropped two of those other
Speaker 1: uh of those other games that I think eating four,
Speaker 1: it's a really likely scenario for Flaida. Even it's interesting
Speaker 1: because they're one of those teams this heal. I've done
Speaker 1: a bunch of shows already this year, and it seems
Speaker 1: like every show I've done, people have been like, lookout
Speaker 1: for Florida this year in the East and think they
Speaker 1: could really compete with Georgia. Teems like the Gators or
Speaker 1: one of those teams that have gotten a lot of
Speaker 1: a lot of hype a lot of them, and rightfully
Speaker 1: so for what they did last year. But I think
Speaker 1: even how it goes with recently bys a lot. I
Speaker 1: think a lot of people are thinking back at that
Speaker 1: ball game in Michigan or they absolutely annihilated Michigan, and
Speaker 1: you've got to remember the circumstances of that game. You
Speaker 1: hate bringing it up, but there's something to it. Michigan,
Speaker 1: a bunch of guys sat out getting ready for the draft.
Speaker 1: Wolverines were coming off a game where they got annihilated
Speaker 1: by Ohio. Stepid thought they were going to go to
Speaker 1: the kench Championship game. They're not the circumstances that game change.
Speaker 1: It was Denmlin a largest cance to to blow out
Speaker 1: Jim Harbor and make a statement. So there are a
Speaker 1: lot of circumstances in that ball game that went in
Speaker 1: farest way and that has zero correlation to this Yuar.
Speaker 1: So yeah, I am a I am with you on
Speaker 1: the under the year. Um And and let me just
Speaker 1: rehash what you said about the schedule, because you know
Speaker 1: this always comes down to a a snap schedule analysis.
Speaker 1: And what you said, I think is right. Miami in Orlando,
Speaker 1: Georgia in Jacksonville, Kentucky in Lexington. They gotta win that
Speaker 1: one just for moral purposes, right there, h L s
Speaker 1: U and Baton rouge South Carolina and Columbia Missouri and
Speaker 1: the other Columbia Jeff Parls the other Columbia. UM. And
Speaker 1: you're right the early part of that schedule, even if
Speaker 1: you assume a win against Miami August twenty four, and
Speaker 1: by the way, if they don't win that one, oh,
Speaker 1: but let's just assume a win there. Let's say you're
Speaker 1: five and oh, the rest of the schedule Auburn at
Speaker 1: L s U out at South Carolina, open date, Georgia
Speaker 1: and Jacksonville Vandy at home at Missoo open date Florida State.
Speaker 1: Ten wins is asking for a lot and so at nine.
Speaker 1: To me, this is one of these bets where you
Speaker 1: look at it and you're like, this is a push
Speaker 1: or a win for me on the under. And that's
Speaker 1: how I like to approach a lot of these win
Speaker 1: totals is I'd like to look for worst save, worst
Speaker 1: case scenario push, and I think that's the case here. Yeah, okay,
Speaker 1: let's move on, by the way, and let me just
Speaker 1: clarify with season win totals in college football, for those
Speaker 1: who don't know, does not include bowl games, does not
Speaker 1: include a team getting to their conference championship. This is
Speaker 1: your regular season games only. Let us get to note
Speaker 1: trade Dame another one that you and I are allied.
Speaker 1: I don't notre Dame. The number here is nine and
Speaker 1: a half. Uh, And I just want to quickly, I'm
Speaker 1: just looking at some names here. No Dexter Williams, no
Speaker 1: Julian Love. Uh, let me look more. No Tavon Coney,
Speaker 1: no Jerry Tillery, no Drew Tranquill, no at least magno
Speaker 1: Justin Yune, no Miles Boykin. And then you've got three
Speaker 1: giant road games at George at Michigan at Stanford. You're
Speaker 1: trying to beat nine and a half. Give me the
Speaker 1: under all day. Yeah, there are nines out there and
Speaker 1: then they're nine and a half. Is it nine and
Speaker 1: a half out there? That that scene is well at
Speaker 1: a delaying a little more at truth, But you're right.
Speaker 1: You look at every level of that defense. Hillery on
Speaker 1: the defensive line, Coney at linebacker, loving Tranquil Uh in
Speaker 1: the secondary. Those are those are massive losses for Clark
Speaker 1: Lee uh and that defense. To look at the offense,
Speaker 1: even with Duster Williamson a great running team last year,
Speaker 1: and now you have Myles boykan who what's your big threat? Uh?
Speaker 1: Big plate deep wide receive deep deeper at wide receiver.
Speaker 1: He's gone to be pure us to see how we
Speaker 1: in book responds what they having to find a new
Speaker 1: really big place set out there wide receiver. And you
Speaker 1: look last year and going twelve this season, they won
Speaker 1: five one score games. So again this is a team
Speaker 1: that won a lot of close games against some teams
Speaker 1: that I mean they survived the game against Vandy and
Speaker 1: know they survived the game against s C Who really
Speaker 1: is it was not very good this year? Uh, there
Speaker 1: were games and Notre Games very easily could have lost
Speaker 1: it again. Uh, I'm again. I'm going to assume they
Speaker 1: lose at Michigan and they lose it Georgia. They're probably
Speaker 1: gonna be I would say, a significant underdog in both places.
Speaker 1: So they say they dropped those two games. Are they
Speaker 1: gonna run the table winning at Stanford beating sc who
Speaker 1: was in the game with them last year? They gotta
Speaker 1: play Virginia, They gotta play Virginia Tech. They have to
Speaker 1: play Duke, who typically plays well as an underbog with
Speaker 1: David cut Cliff. And the way the schedule sets up
Speaker 1: for Notre Dame in November, Virginia Tech, Duke, Navy, and
Speaker 1: Boston College all in a row. Every single one of
Speaker 1: those opponents has the week off before they play Notre Game,
Speaker 1: and Odor Dame place every week applied to that at
Speaker 1: that point in the year, a week of rest could
Speaker 1: mean the world, but potentially pulling an opposite. So I
Speaker 1: think again, just like Florida, I think tennan cho is
Speaker 1: gonna be really really hard to come by, But unlike
Speaker 1: Florida at nine and a half, laying a little bit
Speaker 1: of extra chuse, I think nine and three is a
Speaker 1: really likely outcome in a winner. Yeah. And also last
Speaker 1: year too, right, it was a very very down USC
Speaker 1: team they played, Virginia Tech wasn't all that great, Florida
Speaker 1: State was a mess, Stanford was a home game. They
Speaker 1: they caught every possible break in that schedule, and it
Speaker 1: just doesn't happen every year like that. And I also,
Speaker 1: just anecdotally, I think about Ian Book and I think
Speaker 1: about his ability to they just seemed to come up
Speaker 1: with plays. You know. I talked moments ago about how
Speaker 1: Djokovic got the key points against all the key points
Speaker 1: against Federer, even though Federer won more overall points. For me,
Speaker 1: just anecdotally about Notre Dame last year in Book just
Speaker 1: seemed to make the key plays and they needed it,
Speaker 1: and I don't know how sustated. And then the bill
Speaker 1: came doing the college football playoffs, That's right, pretty much
Speaker 1: the best way to talk about the bill came, do
Speaker 1: let's go to break, Let's do a couple more. We'll
Speaker 1: talk about Texas on the way. We'll do that, UM
Speaker 1: and some more, some more high profile and a little
Speaker 1: less profile teams trying to get to eight and all
Speaker 1: right here, college football season win totals with Chris Felika
Speaker 1: on a numbers game at Visa. Down Back to a
Speaker 1: numbers game with your host, Gil Alexander, broadcasting live from
Speaker 1: our Visa in studios in Las Vegas. Back on the
Speaker 1: numbers game right here at Visa, Gil Alexander, back in
Speaker 1: to hope you're having a good summer. Jeff Parls is
Speaker 1: here as well. Jeff, what were you just talking about
Speaker 1: off air there? You were talking about that? Uh? Was
Speaker 1: the Westgate just went to? Uh what did they go
Speaker 1: to on Clemson and Alabama to make the playoff? One
Speaker 1: to six? So minus six hundred, minus six hundred, And
Speaker 1: I was mentioning to you, and I probably shouldn't even
Speaker 1: say this on air, but because it's not available anywhere,
Speaker 1: but some rogue out somewhere I got a minus three
Speaker 1: D was like, how much will you take on Clemson?
Speaker 1: How much max the heck out of that there is?
Speaker 1: I mean, seriously, unless there is a a scourge of injuries,
Speaker 1: that is a as about as good as it gets.
Speaker 1: For what it's worth. Alabama is now down to minus
Speaker 1: four hundred on the yes, and Clemson is now down
Speaker 1: to minus five hundred on the yes. It's not worth
Speaker 1: much to me right there. I like it. Um. By
Speaker 1: the way, Chris Felika and I, last year we got Clemson.
Speaker 1: You remember this, Chris, last year we got Clemson to
Speaker 1: make the playoff plus money. Remember that at the west
Speaker 1: Gate when they opened plus it's gonna say you talk
Speaker 1: about the perfect the perfect timing for Gilawore to be
Speaker 1: at the right place at the right time, or you
Speaker 1: know this is this is my my other job since
Speaker 1: moving to Las Vegas. That I didn't anticipate is that
Speaker 1: I become a hey, uh, there's a good bet here
Speaker 1: over here, so you know it works out, um, and
Speaker 1: we all get we all get in on that. Let
Speaker 1: us continue with our season win even at even at
Speaker 1: minus a hundred of mind whatever I just said. Clemson
Speaker 1: was like, they're going to make the playoff. Yes, if
Speaker 1: you if you're if you're into just letting the good
Speaker 1: people at the Westgate super Book USA hold on to
Speaker 1: some money for a couple of months and you want
Speaker 1: to get what on your money, It gives it what
Speaker 1: it works out too for uh, for for three or
Speaker 1: four months, then then then take it. Yeah, you're betting
Speaker 1: against injury, that's all you're betting against. Um, and by
Speaker 1: the way, we should point out and I said this
Speaker 1: all fair too. I should probably start any college football
Speaker 1: season win total discussion with saying, of all the season
Speaker 1: win totals across the major American sports, this is the
Speaker 1: shortest time you have to wait, right for that to cash.
Speaker 1: We're talking just a few months here. With college football,
Speaker 1: you can catch these in early December. So that's why
Speaker 1: we enjoy talking about him so much. Let us move
Speaker 1: to Ohio State, Chris in the Big Ten. Obviously the
Speaker 1: change at head coach. It is Ryan Day's team. How
Speaker 1: do you feel about the buck eyes and nine and
Speaker 1: a half? Nine and a half? I just had a
Speaker 1: hard time imagining Ohio State going nine and three. Uh.
Speaker 1: The only time they've lost that many games in the
Speaker 1: regular season going back to the last every many years
Speaker 1: was the transition year where a trestle got had to
Speaker 1: resign because of the suspensions and everything. But I think,
Speaker 1: but I don't want to say losing irban Meyer is
Speaker 1: a great thing and they're gonna be better off without
Speaker 1: irban Meyer. But I want to, like, you know, back
Speaker 1: over the last five years, every year they've had that
Speaker 1: head scratching, mind numbing kind of loss where that that
Speaker 1: at twelve point favorite or more lost out right, and
Speaker 1: it's just been like, how the heck did they lose
Speaker 1: that game. I almost think Ryan Day being there might
Speaker 1: help Ohio State in that regret because urban it's great
Speaker 1: at the head coach as he was the biggest strength,
Speaker 1: and his attribute was getting his team emotionally ready to
Speaker 1: play when people doubted them. When he had something he
Speaker 1: could cry, they don't think you can be your home
Speaker 1: underdog on your own field and it's Michigan that you're
Speaker 1: a big undergog to Ohio State, and that's the s
Speaker 1: no one thinks you can do. He was a great
Speaker 1: at getting players to reach an emotional peak and play well.
Speaker 1: I've been people forget last year. Sure the schedule was
Speaker 1: easier at that point in the year. Ohio State played
Speaker 1: their best football earlier in the year when Lyon Day
Speaker 1: was interim head coach. Dyl of course they were the
Speaker 1: other dog against Michigan, But other than that game, you
Speaker 1: look at the seat that they played their best ball
Speaker 1: when Lyon Day was the head coach. If you look
Speaker 1: at for Ohio State to go nine and three, they're
Speaker 1: going to have to lose it Nebraska. They're going to
Speaker 1: have to lose it Michigan, and then they're going to
Speaker 1: have to drop one of those other games, whether it's
Speaker 1: Missigan state home state, or Wisconsin at home or Northwestern
Speaker 1: something like that. At Northwest exactly, they still have more.
Speaker 1: They still don't have more than any team uh in
Speaker 1: the Big Ten. So uh, you know what, if they
Speaker 1: happened to be nine and two going into that game
Speaker 1: against Michigan, be into the year they did, and they
Speaker 1: and they go to Anne Aubor, you could probably get
Speaker 1: to get off that some some way. And if money
Speaker 1: line Michigan to just kind of cut cut your losses
Speaker 1: in in a way. So I just think they're talent wise,
Speaker 1: they're head and shoulders of everybody in that conference, and
Speaker 1: they're just a question of whether, uh they can avoid
Speaker 1: one of those big ups, which I think they can.
Speaker 1: It's interesting. I'm with you on the Florida under, I'm
Speaker 1: with you on the under unnoted Dame, which we discussed
Speaker 1: last segment. I'm not disagreeing with you here, but something
Speaker 1: is preventing me from wanting to make this bet on
Speaker 1: the over with you. And I don't know if it's
Speaker 1: the Justin Fields factor that I don't yet trust him.
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's the fact that there was
Speaker 1: the seventeen Iowa game, there was ten per due game,
Speaker 1: and I just expect there's gonna be one clunker. Which
Speaker 1: but by the way, you had a very interesting take
Speaker 1: on that that you think Ryan Day is actually a
Speaker 1: better coach to prevent that than Urban Meyer for the
Speaker 1: reasons you get you've given, you know, which is interesting.
Speaker 1: I do think you know, Florida Atlantic and Cincinnati to
Speaker 1: start the season, if those game as we're on the road,
Speaker 1: I'd be much more concerned. Right, they get those at home,
Speaker 1: So so that's a that's a plus for sure. I
Speaker 1: just I worry about, you know, the other games we
Speaker 1: talked about. I just think there's a third loss in there.
Speaker 1: I just have this weird feeling it could there could be.
Speaker 1: And you brought up Justin Fields and certainly a highly
Speaker 1: talented guy. And whether you think you should be in
Speaker 1: a lot of state and held here or not, it's
Speaker 1: another thing that they're still I don't want to sound
Speaker 1: like class are like one, but I still think a
Speaker 1: lot in a lot of people's minds and it sounds
Speaker 1: like yours. The question is, is Justin fields actually good, right, man,
Speaker 1: maybe he is, but what we just don't know that here, right,
Speaker 1: we just don't know it yet. Let's move on to Texas. Texas.
Speaker 1: Nine and a half is their number underhead coach Tom Herman.
Speaker 1: If you bet against Texas last year in any in
Speaker 1: so many of their games, it was such an experience
Speaker 1: in for us there in frustration because Sam Ellinger at
Speaker 1: least after the Maryland game. Let's throw the Maryland game
Speaker 1: out to start the season. But after that he was
Speaker 1: just such nails. Sixty passing last year yards twenty five touchdowns.
Speaker 1: He finished third on the team in rushing as well,
Speaker 1: with fo two yards and an additional sixteen touchdowns. And
Speaker 1: he was so automatic on third downs. Man, it was unbelievable.
Speaker 1: Whether it was a design running play or not. Uh,
Speaker 1: they were incredible in that regard. I don't think you
Speaker 1: want him to shoulder that much of the load again though,
Speaker 1: right you're begging for an injury if that's the case. Uh,
Speaker 1: Texas at nine and a half, which way you go
Speaker 1: in here? If you can still find a nine and
Speaker 1: a half out there, there was nine, and there were
Speaker 1: nine and a half out there A little bit ago.
Speaker 1: I don't know if there still are nine and a
Speaker 1: half that there are, I would go under. Uh nine
Speaker 1: is a little bit of a tougher number because I
Speaker 1: think nine and three is a really good option. But
Speaker 1: but but again, you're looking at Texas last year, so
Speaker 1: many one possession games, Uh, that that that they wanted
Speaker 1: and then and then they lost a couple of them.
Speaker 1: But kind of like Florida in a sense, I think
Speaker 1: everybody got so excited and they had that flashback to
Speaker 1: the Joe Tests a couple of years ago on Sunday Night,
Speaker 1: and Texas back and they want to having a losing season.
Speaker 1: There's six and six whatever it was, and people see
Speaker 1: fam ling or back at quarterback and Ingram back at
Speaker 1: running back in but I think you're forgetting that you
Speaker 1: lose a lot offensive line production and you've got Ellis
Speaker 1: you coming in earlier in the year. Uh. Your defense.
Speaker 1: I believe it's seven of the top eight tacklers, uh
Speaker 1: that that are gone for Texas. This is a team
Speaker 1: that's won ten games in the regular season. Uh. They
Speaker 1: haven't done it since two thousand nine when they played
Speaker 1: for the national title. And I think, just like Florida,
Speaker 1: that Georgia game sticks in their mind like, oh, the
Speaker 1: big upsode with Georgia. But again talking about Georgia who
Speaker 1: came off of that game against Alabama, and the people
Speaker 1: don't want to hear that the team that one. They
Speaker 1: don't want to hear it. But it's true if you
Speaker 1: put truth serum, like you say in any of those coaches,
Speaker 1: Kirby Smart or Gust mills On, they would tell you
Speaker 1: that there their teams work will fly. Yet guys sitting
Speaker 1: out for the run up and it just wasn't a
Speaker 1: good reading. And credit to Texas for going out and
Speaker 1: making a statement winning the game. But again, you should
Speaker 1: not be handicapping Texas and success for two thousand nine
Speaker 1: team based on beating Georgia in the circle. Boy, they'll
Speaker 1: problem will be another doll games, Tels you will be
Speaker 1: another documents Oklahoma and I think the two games docted
Speaker 1: back late in the year at Iowa State and at Baylor. Uh,
Speaker 1: there's a really good I think they'll lose at least
Speaker 1: one of those games. Yeah, I'm with you on this one.
Speaker 1: To Chris again, Ohio State's the one I sort of
Speaker 1: of the ones we've discussed, that's the one I'm not
Speaker 1: jumping in on, but I like the under out Texas.
Speaker 1: By the way, Jeff, you were saying nine and a
Speaker 1: halfs are still readily available, although the unders a bit
Speaker 1: juiced minus one, so not crazy juiced, but that's fine.
Speaker 1: Minus one forty nine and a half. And again we
Speaker 1: we do the old schedule analysis here, Chris and I
Speaker 1: look at this schedule and I don't know. I mean,
Speaker 1: first part of this season, there's Oklahoma State at home,
Speaker 1: and there's Oklahoma in Dallas through early October. Um, there's
Speaker 1: also l s U in the first part of that.
Speaker 1: Let's say you end up. Let's let's give him, let's
Speaker 1: give him the benefit of the doubt. One loss there, um,
Speaker 1: and that's really being cunt. Then later, oh, no, excuse me,
Speaker 1: let's let's throw in I'm sorry, Let's say L s
Speaker 1: U at home in Oklahoma State at home, that's in September.
Speaker 1: Let's say let's say they split those. Then there's Oklahoma
Speaker 1: and Dallas and there's at TCU in October. Let's say
Speaker 1: they split those. Then you're asking them not to lose
Speaker 1: ever again. And I'm just I'm I'll play the under
Speaker 1: on nine and a half. No problem on that. If
Speaker 1: I just look at it that way. Bill Connolly does
Speaker 1: that great study on the returning production for for major
Speaker 1: but everyone there isn't a Power five team out there
Speaker 1: that lost more production from last year than Texas. So
Speaker 1: I'll take much chances. Let's let's let that hang for
Speaker 1: Bill Connelly. By the way, with the tacklers that you
Speaker 1: were talking about the numbers, I have four of their
Speaker 1: top five tacklers, seven of their top twelve gone either way,
Speaker 1: you slice it a lot to replace. Let's take a break, Chris,
Speaker 1: you want to do one more. We'll get to some
Speaker 1: more of these hang ansolutely what I can hang around
Speaker 1: as long as you want. All right, Well, maybe we'll
Speaker 1: do two more sevens. We'll get to more a little
Speaker 1: less pro high profile teams will get a little more random.
Speaker 1: I think there's one more that I'm aligned with with Chris,
Speaker 1: and there's a couple, and there's a few others where
Speaker 1: we'll ask him to, uh find out what his thinking
Speaker 1: is on these. We'll ask him to explain that. Coming
Speaker 1: up more college football season win totals back on a
Speaker 1: Monday right here on a Numbers game at Visa broadcasting
Speaker 1: live from our Visa in studios in Las Vegas. Back
Speaker 1: on the numbers game, Jeff Paruls, did you see, uh,
Speaker 1: did you see while I was gone that someone uh
Speaker 1: posted something praiseworthy that I said on on the show
Speaker 1: about two months ago? And then gambling Twitter where two
Speaker 1: days was consumed by it. And I'm like, I'm a
Speaker 1: beach observing all of this and I'm just dying and
Speaker 1: laughing the whole time. And in the end, the people
Speaker 1: who were like up in arms, they all capitulated. It's
Speaker 1: a beautiful thing, drunk with power. Gotta love Twitter. By
Speaker 1: the way, at Beating the book is my Twitter. All
Speaker 1: the feedback on the show, please feel free to uh
Speaker 1: send it there. We're gonna definitely have to podcast this
Speaker 1: with Mr Felika because this is good stuff. All these
Speaker 1: college football season win totals. Kids. You're just joining us
Speaker 1: right now from Daily Wade. You're on ESPN, which airs
Speaker 1: three pm Pacific six pm Eastern Monday through Friday on
Speaker 1: ESPN News currently um and of course he's half of
Speaker 1: the Stanford, Steve and the Bear podcast, as well as
Speaker 1: the glue that holds ESPN College Game Day together. By
Speaker 1: the way, Chris, do you have your game day schedule?
Speaker 1: And checked is Chris Felika. By the way, everybody, I
Speaker 1: think if I think if you look at the early
Speaker 1: season schedule, you can probably uh out. We haven't officially
Speaker 1: announced anything yet, but I think it's pretty obviously if
Speaker 1: you're looking for some content for the next couple of
Speaker 1: days or something you might want to keep you to
Speaker 1: get maybe, uh what boards litter, Paul Spoor or Jason
Speaker 1: Wine going to do some type of study on had
Speaker 1: a little study on why lowd management, Christian yells if
Speaker 1: you finish up and the no note day games after
Speaker 1: night games sing something something like that. Chris, maybe have
Speaker 1: to do a little study on that. What Chris is
Speaker 1: referring to is that both of us hold tickets on
Speaker 1: Cody Bellinger at very fine prices. By the way, what
Speaker 1: was yours eighty two one? Is that what you had
Speaker 1: on the show? Oh god, minus fifty to one? I
Speaker 1: thought I was doing something on Bellainger hitting the most
Speaker 1: home runs in Major League Baseball, and and the other
Speaker 1: day two days ago, Bellinger ties Yell at the top
Speaker 1: the lead. We couldn't even enjoy it for twenty four hours.
Speaker 1: Yello hits another ding dog yesterday. So yeah, um, let's
Speaker 1: do a study on that. And let's try to Let's
Speaker 1: try to figure out how the Brewers should really rest
Speaker 1: him as much as they can. Let's move on college
Speaker 1: football season win totals. We already have and we'll review
Speaker 1: these here at the end, but we already have unders
Speaker 1: on Florida, Notre Dame in Texas. I'm aligned on all that.
Speaker 1: Chris is going over on Ohio State. Let us go
Speaker 1: to the pack, well U the Pack twelve. Chris Um,
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers, and Jared Goff are rolling over in their
Speaker 1: college football graves. When I say this team is all
Speaker 1: about their defense and their offense is terrible, like this
Speaker 1: is just unbelievable that this is cal we're talking about.
Speaker 1: But that's really what this team is under Justin Wilcox.
Speaker 1: And while I think the defense is going to be wonderful,
Speaker 1: I look at that offense and I'm thinking of myself,
Speaker 1: Chase Garber's might be the best player on that offense.
Speaker 1: And that's not saying a lot. Yeah, this is one
Speaker 1: exits with I don't think how they get to seven.
Speaker 1: I don't know how they get This would be one
Speaker 1: that I would, honestly, I want to say it'd be
Speaker 1: disappointed with the push. But I expect to win this one. Uh,
Speaker 1: are they really going to be better? On offense? You
Speaker 1: lose you we didn't want running back, you lose your
Speaker 1: top four receivers. But you've got road games at Washington,
Speaker 1: Old miss Or Reagan, Utah, Stanford, and U C. L A.
Speaker 1: I mean that's that's potentially five losses right there. You've
Speaker 1: got three wins last year by a field goal or less,
Speaker 1: including being beating one of the worst USC teams in
Speaker 1: recent memory, a massive upset of Washington. I don't I
Speaker 1: don't see. I don't see seven wins at all, and
Speaker 1: and I would actually be a little bit sad if
Speaker 1: they wound up winning six as well. But I think
Speaker 1: this is a one of the strong ones. I would
Speaker 1: pay five and seven is a a really really likely
Speaker 1: outcome here. And maybe didn't North Carolina left year as
Speaker 1: well than on topics. But I mean, you got to Washington,
Speaker 1: you're not gonna lose. I mean our Football Power Index
Speaker 1: UH projects them at at four point eight. So I
Speaker 1: mean you got you got some wind over room here.
Speaker 1: I think with the Bears, I go under the five
Speaker 1: pretty or under the six rather pretty strongly. Let me
Speaker 1: let me echo what you say here with even more
Speaker 1: strong words. I would yeah, you said, would be surprised again,
Speaker 1: says I will. To seven, I would be surprising again
Speaker 1: a six. I'm with you there completely This to me,
Speaker 1: in fact, might be ready for this superlative might be
Speaker 1: my favorite college football season win total of the bad
Speaker 1: Florida is pretty strong. The under on Florida. I like
Speaker 1: that a lot. But I might like this one just
Speaker 1: as much because again, the schedule analysis. Let's just look
Speaker 1: at these games they play. You're obviously they play u C.
Speaker 1: Davis to start with. That's their easiest game, chalk it
Speaker 1: up at one and oh but if you look what's
Speaker 1: their second easiest game on this entire schedule, it might
Speaker 1: be right North Texas and North Texas like could contend
Speaker 1: for the Conference USA title. That's not outlandish. So good lord,
Speaker 1: that's your second that's your second easiest game. Yeah, give
Speaker 1: me the under, Give me the under on Cow. Let's
Speaker 1: move on. Let's go to uh, let's go to Georgia Tech.
Speaker 1: This is an interesting one. UH. Georgia text number is
Speaker 1: at four under Jeff Collins. So this is the post
Speaker 1: Paul Johnson era. So we have a a schematic change here, right, No,
Speaker 1: more triple option. They're gonna try to just completely change
Speaker 1: their identity. How do you feel about the Yellow Jackets.
Speaker 1: I think by the end of the year that this
Speaker 1: will be a team that is pretty pretty respectable. And
Speaker 1: I do think that that was Jeff Collins. They will
Speaker 1: be competitive and they and they will give a ton
Speaker 1: of effort, and they might not necessarily be complete pushovers.
Speaker 1: But you're looking at a really young team with a
Speaker 1: bunch of freshman sophomore total transition. I mean, even if
Speaker 1: Paul Johnson was gone, uh Hadden's last rather, they were
Speaker 1: going to have a bunch of new starters. But now
Speaker 1: you've got new starters and as system that they weren't
Speaker 1: recruited recruited to playing. I just don't see five wins here.
Speaker 1: I love Jeff Collins. I think he is going to
Speaker 1: do a really really good job recruiting there and eventually
Speaker 1: getting them to to to to two Bowl respectability. But
Speaker 1: you're gonna start the year it up the bound with
Speaker 1: the blowoutlaws against Clemson. You've got a game against South Florida.
Speaker 1: Everyone was Charlie strong Be, you know, made potentially on
Speaker 1: the hot seat oh later, and then you go to
Speaker 1: Temple and I'm sure the Temple is gonna want to
Speaker 1: beat their old coach, which is fine, but uh, I
Speaker 1: just see a lot of a lot of losses on
Speaker 1: that schedule. Leven, you're're here to be a significant underdog,
Speaker 1: and the majority of those games if you can get
Speaker 1: to if you can get to five and beat me,
Speaker 1: so be it. But I mean other than the Citadel,
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't see a game on there that
Speaker 1: you can automatically say they're gonna win. I think you're
Speaker 1: right about that. We're talking to Chris Felika, by the way,
Speaker 1: once again here talking about Georgia Tech season win total.
Speaker 1: Let them four. Um, I'll play Devil's advocate on this
Speaker 1: one because this feels pushy to me, Like I wish
Speaker 1: I could bet on the push here at four. And
Speaker 1: I'll just take the other side of this, which is
Speaker 1: you point out, okay, Citadel, there's there's a win, right
Speaker 1: but that us F game, that's no gimme. But win
Speaker 1: a bull at Temple obviously, Uh, there's going to be
Speaker 1: you know, that goes both ways in terms of who
Speaker 1: wants to beat who, Jeff Collins or Temple themselves. And
Speaker 1: then there's North Carolina October five, and so I'm just
Speaker 1: thinking to myself, let's say somehow they come out of that.
Speaker 1: It is not completely outlandish to think that they might
Speaker 1: win three of those. Not outlandish, it's gonna be right.
Speaker 1: So then you're only asking for one more win the
Speaker 1: rest of the way, and I just don't want to
Speaker 1: have that bet, you know, to have to live through
Speaker 1: that the rest of the year. That would be my
Speaker 1: point on that. Totally totally understanding, I think, And I
Speaker 1: think this is one of those where, yeah, I'm probably
Speaker 1: I'm not expecting five. I think there's a much better
Speaker 1: chance at forty than their age five. But four, like
Speaker 1: you said, what could be the most likely outcome. But
Speaker 1: I'll take my chances that they they have some early
Speaker 1: season struggles and then later in the year when they're better.
Speaker 1: Unfortunately they go to Virginia, they played Virginia Tech, and
Speaker 1: then they played Georgia, so I think it may go
Speaker 1: to miamis Wall and so earlier in the year are
Speaker 1: there are more winnable games, And even though they're going
Speaker 1: to be better later in the year, I think those
Speaker 1: that they're they're not to be improved to a point
Speaker 1: where they're likely to see that winter late in the year.
Speaker 1: All right, Jeff, you like this one. You you're with
Speaker 1: Chris on this on the under with Georgia Tech. Yeah,
Speaker 1: even though you are right from what you said on
Speaker 1: that schedule, it is other than getting obliterated a death
Speaker 1: Valley week one, that's gonna be vicious. But look, there
Speaker 1: are winnable games at the top of that schedule. But
Speaker 1: going through the the offensive transformation they're going to have
Speaker 1: to go through, that's a lot to ask. And that
Speaker 1: you're at four four and aid seems like a very
Speaker 1: possible outcome. So worst case scenario, you push. I like
Speaker 1: this one a lot. Okay. Um, So I'm I'm staying
Speaker 1: off the Ohio State. Not that I disagree with any
Speaker 1: of these, I just don't. I just they don't trigger
Speaker 1: a bet for me. So I'm not going to do
Speaker 1: the Ohio State one so far. I'm not on the
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech one. Um. Am I on everything else of
Speaker 1: the of the I'm on yet. Yeah, all the other
Speaker 1: four Cal Florida, Notre Dame, and Texas, I'm on all those.
Speaker 1: We have two more. Chris, do you want to stay
Speaker 1: for one more segment and finish it all out? You
Speaker 1: want to save it for Wednesday. Let's stick around, Let's
Speaker 1: do it. Let's make a podcast out of it, for
Speaker 1: God's sakes, let's go multimedia. Chris Felika one more segment.
Speaker 1: We have two more teams to get to his best
Speaker 1: college football season win totals of the year, and will
Speaker 1: list them all for you at the end, I promise,
Speaker 1: In case you you forgot about all that, Roxy Roxborough
Speaker 1: on the show. Still to come as well. It's a
Speaker 1: numbers game right here on the Vegas Stats and Information
Speaker 1: Network now live from the Visa Studios in the South
Speaker 1: Point Hotel and Casino. It's Gil Alexander, our number two
Speaker 1: of the Numbers game right here at Visa Vegas Stats
Speaker 1: and Information Network Series x UP Channel two for Visa
Speaker 1: dot Com, the Visa App, Foobo TV, Sling, as well
Speaker 1: as of course our friends Game plus North of the
Speaker 1: Border now throughout New York City as well New Jersey,
Speaker 1: all up and down the Eastern the Northern Eastern Seaboard.
Speaker 1: I should point out it's skill Alexander. Jeff Paul is
Speaker 1: here as well, Jeff and I laughing off fair because
Speaker 1: we love football. Football just just makes itself done, and
Speaker 1: it's just so much to talk about pro in college.
Speaker 1: Chris Felika is with us. Of course, we'll get to
Speaker 1: his final to college football season win totals of eight
Speaker 1: uh to talk about, and then Chris will be back
Speaker 1: on Wednesday to talk the Open Championship with us. We
Speaker 1: should point out tomorrow on the show Joe Peter in studio.
Speaker 1: Remember he wrote that big book about the Masters. He'll
Speaker 1: be here to talk about the Open Championship as well.
Speaker 1: Later on the show today, Roxy Roxborro always humbled by
Speaker 1: everybody coming on the show, such great guests. And later
Speaker 1: in the week, of course Todd wishing of Bill Crackenburger.
Speaker 1: You know how that goes. Let us continue with Oh
Speaker 1: and one more thing coming up this hour, Jeff, I
Speaker 1: should point out a harrowing picture from our friend Las Vegas,
Speaker 1: Chris and overhead shot of the Palm pools. As anybody's
Speaker 1: seeing this, the pools at the Palm good lord, my
Speaker 1: day's my my hate. Hay back in the hard Rock
Speaker 1: I utes to take pictures from my hotel room and
Speaker 1: it was just a sea of humanity. This Trump's that.
Speaker 1: We'll get to that coming up as well. Let us
Speaker 1: continue with Chris Pheli Chris, thank you for just hanging
Speaker 1: out with us. I appreciate it. Man, very kind of you. Sure,
Speaker 1: let's go to Wake four. Let's go to Wake Forest.
Speaker 1: Let's go a C C. David Dakins. Uh. They're at
Speaker 1: five and a half, Dave class and the head coach
Speaker 1: now should be pointed out, this is not your mom
Speaker 1: and Dad's Wake Forest football. Uh. Three bowl games in
Speaker 1: a row. The last time that Wake could put together
Speaker 1: three straight winning seasons before this was two thousand six
Speaker 1: to two thousand eight. Before that, nineteen fifty through nineteen
Speaker 1: fifty two. Who could forget that period? Um And basically
Speaker 1: the only time they've done it beyond three years in
Speaker 1: a row, and they're trying to do that this year
Speaker 1: was in the forties from now. I look at this
Speaker 1: schedule and I'm curious which way you're going here, because
Speaker 1: when I look at the schedule, this schedule, to me
Speaker 1: is the quintessential stay away, because I can see any
Speaker 1: number of scenarios with this schedule for Wake Forest. Which
Speaker 1: way you're going on them? I'm going over the five
Speaker 1: and a half, I think is a really good chance.
Speaker 1: It's funny Stafford Steve jokes all the time about he
Speaker 1: loves playing the win totals where he's gonna know early
Speaker 1: and we always have fun with that. You're gonna know.
Speaker 1: Is a good chance you could have this bet one,
Speaker 1: uh the second weekend in October, because I think there's
Speaker 1: a chance that that the deacon could start six and oh.
Speaker 1: They played Rice, who is arguably the worst team in
Speaker 1: the FPS. Uh, they play Elon Mixkin there, they play
Speaker 1: North Carolina at home, who is probably gonna struggle and
Speaker 1: that really inexperienced the quarterback position. They got a home
Speaker 1: game to start against Utah State and Gary Anderson's out there,
Speaker 1: and yeah, Jordan loves back at quarterback, but that's really it.
Speaker 1: On offense, Louisville they have and who knows what to
Speaker 1: expect out of the Cardinals year one with Bud Scott Cudderfield.
Speaker 1: And then you got that game at BC is a
Speaker 1: toss up game. I think at worst you're looking at
Speaker 1: five and one from from Wake Forest through the six games. Uh,
Speaker 1: good chance of six and oh and then if you
Speaker 1: can manage one more win the rest of the way,
Speaker 1: there's five and one. Uh. Maybe at State Florida State,
Speaker 1: maybe Duke maybe go to Syracuston win. But I like
Speaker 1: the I think they have difference makers a quarterback or
Speaker 1: regardless of whoever wins the job, if it's humor of
Speaker 1: heartman uh Carne's back at running back. Uh. They kind
Speaker 1: of got their defensive issues squared away a little bit
Speaker 1: late late in the year last year after they made
Speaker 1: some changes a coordinator after Notre Dame absolutely torched them.
Speaker 1: But but I I respect Dave Clausen and the coaching
Speaker 1: job that it can do. I like the direction of
Speaker 1: this program. Uh. I think six and six is uh
Speaker 1: bare basement for this team. I g said, I think
Speaker 1: I think you're gonna have at least five or one
Speaker 1: early Uh. And if it's not the CLO, I think
Speaker 1: that you get at least one more win. So I
Speaker 1: think six wins at the at the very minimum for
Speaker 1: way classes. You make a persuasive case, my friend, you
Speaker 1: make it persuasive case road games, as you mentioned at BC,
Speaker 1: at Tech, at Clemson, at Syracuse, those are the tough ones,
Speaker 1: you know when you when you brought up your friend
Speaker 1: Stanford Steve, your your partner in crime on the podcast
Speaker 1: the Stanford, Steven and the Bearer Podcast over there at ESPN,
Speaker 1: I thought you were gonna say because he loves to
Speaker 1: say will know early. And it is really true that
Speaker 1: there are fulk groom games, what I like to call
Speaker 1: fulk room games, that there's a game it could come
Speaker 1: down to, Like with Ohio State, I look at that
Speaker 1: schedule and for some reason, that game at Northwestern is
Speaker 1: the one where I'm like, that's going to be the decider, right,
Speaker 1: something like that. I look at this wake Forest schedule
Speaker 1: and I thought you were gonna say, based on what
Speaker 1: Stanford Staves said that the very first game August thirty,
Speaker 1: when Utah State comes to town, that that's going to
Speaker 1: be the barometer, right if they drop that game, even
Speaker 1: though you say you know the rest of them, it'll
Speaker 1: be tough, right, Like that's that outcome matters a lot,
Speaker 1: even though it's only going to be in August, it doesn't.
Speaker 1: And then and then you look back down the schedule
Speaker 1: and trying and find certain spots, situations in the game
Speaker 1: in We'regnia Tech, we State, We're the text is gonna
Speaker 1: be good this year, but you just don't know. If
Speaker 1: you go back over the last year years, I think
Speaker 1: it is so true no team and no team in
Speaker 1: the country has lost more games as a fourteen point
Speaker 1: favorite or more than a Virginia Tech in that span.
Speaker 1: So this is a team what you think they're gonna
Speaker 1: be good? And Lane Stadium enter sad man, it's a
Speaker 1: plate to play. The lost is a big favorite quite often,
Speaker 1: so so we'll see what happens well. And that's also
Speaker 1: you know, we're talking about the Clemson number before about
Speaker 1: to make the playoffs, and I got a I got
Speaker 1: a three to one, and now the prevailing number is
Speaker 1: six to one, and it just you know, the a
Speaker 1: C C Clemson is like there is there's not oceans
Speaker 1: between Clemson and the rest of the a C C, right,
Speaker 1: It's just like there's galaxies between them. And if you
Speaker 1: take every a C, every other a CC team, second,
Speaker 1: all the way to the bottom, just kind of throw
Speaker 1: them all up in the air and see what happens.
Speaker 1: I mean, am I missing something? No, I think you're
Speaker 1: a mean. I think you write regardless of the years
Speaker 1: that they had last year, I think you asked most
Speaker 1: most people who who the second best team in the SEC,
Speaker 1: and you're probably gonna get at least I would say,
Speaker 1: talent wise, it's still Miami, your flormity state in terms
Speaker 1: of the players, that they have um but but I
Speaker 1: mean no one would say Pitt after being picked out
Speaker 1: upolutely demolishing the title game last year, it was kind
Speaker 1: of like a circumstantial like spot in the SEC title
Speaker 1: game just because of Miami not being very good and
Speaker 1: just a little tiebreakers once. So h yeah, you're right.
Speaker 1: I still think from Miami, Florida State Talent two and three,
Speaker 1: maybe in Virginia Tech four, and then like after that
Speaker 1: is probably uh, it's just all thrown in a plus
Speaker 1: during and come out with the SEC relic destiny and
Speaker 1: with that as a glowing backdrop, let's stay in the
Speaker 1: CEC Atlantic. Let's go to Boston College. Six and a
Speaker 1: half is their number here, And I look at this schedule, Now,
Speaker 1: this is one of these schedules really, I mean, let's
Speaker 1: face it, this is always fun to analyze. But they
Speaker 1: have a perfectly well not perfectly, but they have a
Speaker 1: if they was ever a pre open date group of games,
Speaker 1: they have six games before they're open date in mid October,
Speaker 1: and those games are where they're gonna have to bank
Speaker 1: as many wins as humanly possible because after that first
Speaker 1: open date then it's Ency State at Clemson at Syracuse
Speaker 1: Florida State at Notre Dame at pitt Good lord, they
Speaker 1: got a gauntlet the second half, so they better bank
Speaker 1: wins early and and I don't know if they bank
Speaker 1: enough wings. I mean again, I think the Virginia Tech
Speaker 1: game in the wake Forest games are swing games. But
Speaker 1: our football Power Index gives them to the sixteen percent
Speaker 1: chance to get to seven wins. And that's what it's
Speaker 1: going to take, uh to beat me. I think this
Speaker 1: looks very six and six to me. Uh, you look
Speaker 1: at everyone that they lost on defense. Uh, you got
Speaker 1: an inexperience of council the line. Now, who's gonna have
Speaker 1: to try and keep anathany hairs upright and block? For
Speaker 1: a J. Gillen. You mentioned the road games, and I
Speaker 1: think this is six and six and under written all
Speaker 1: over it under on Boston College, very short and sweet,
Speaker 1: under on BC alright, because there was one that was
Speaker 1: what was one more that I want to kind And
Speaker 1: even the Louisville game I mentioned I didn't mention, but
Speaker 1: I was talking to maybe and it was going under
Speaker 1: on Louisville and then I was thinking, like, you know what,
Speaker 1: last year could have been one of those things where
Speaker 1: they were just so bad. The new Katrina was gone
Speaker 1: and they just mailed it in. And maybe the new
Speaker 1: coaching staff maybe coaches a couple of wings as of
Speaker 1: them because the players that are left will want to
Speaker 1: be there, and maybe they kind of do a little
Speaker 1: at that that perception. So I wasn't well on to
Speaker 1: hang around with a Louisville book. Uh. The other day
Speaker 1: on Daily Wage, I was talking about Kansas and they're
Speaker 1: at three, and uh, I don't see how I mean
Speaker 1: they could. But you're talking about a team that's won
Speaker 1: two big twelve games in the last four years, and
Speaker 1: that's what it's gonna take to get to four. Because
Speaker 1: assume they beat Indiana State, assume they beat Western Kentucky,
Speaker 1: that's too you gotta find two more wins. They're not
Speaker 1: gonna win a hero A game. They're not gonna beat
Speaker 1: Oklahoma at home. So you're talking about they're gonna have
Speaker 1: to beat U two of get two wins amongst home
Speaker 1: West Virginia home Texas Tech, home Case State home Baylor,
Speaker 1: and they're probably gonna be a double digit dog in each.
Speaker 1: They're got a Juco kid coming into quarterback. Both both
Speaker 1: lines are in disarray. Again. This could come in on
Speaker 1: three and push, but I see a very small chance
Speaker 1: it gets to four and had a good chance they
Speaker 1: go win. Listen to Big twelve again. Man Kangas is
Speaker 1: another one out. I want to just if you want
Speaker 1: to have if you have a little, a little money,
Speaker 1: a little throw away money, want has some fun and
Speaker 1: it'd be a little contrarian on the left, Miles on
Speaker 1: the parade, Poor Kansas, the under on Kansas at three.
Speaker 1: Let's let's review the eight prior to that one. There's
Speaker 1: your bonus team on on the Jayhawks. There these are
Speaker 1: Chris philike Is college Football win total plays and of
Speaker 1: course we will track these and we will grade these
Speaker 1: uh And if you have more between now in the
Speaker 1: beginning of the season, of course you're always welcome to
Speaker 1: come and share with us. But these are already bit
Speaker 1: as soon as we as soon as we get as
Speaker 1: soon as we get Max to TSA, I will happily
Speaker 1: come on, yes, Kaylowie for that. These are already bet
Speaker 1: by Chris uh Notre Dame under nine and a half,
Speaker 1: Ohio State over nine and a half, Texas the under
Speaker 1: nine and a half, Florida under nine, b C under
Speaker 1: six and a half, Cal under six Wake over five
Speaker 1: and a half, Georgia Tech under four. I am with
Speaker 1: him on four of these. I have also jumped in
Speaker 1: on the unders. I'm gonna I must be getting old
Speaker 1: and curmudgeonly because when I am analyzing teams, I am
Speaker 1: like on in such an under train, like I have
Speaker 1: to stop myself and be like you realize, Gil, like
Speaker 1: it all can't be under But Notre Dame Texas, Florida Cal.
Speaker 1: Those are my four. Notre Dame Texas, Florida, Cal. And
Speaker 1: I think if you had to ask me, what do
Speaker 1: you like the best of the bunch, for me, it's
Speaker 1: Florida and Cal. So we shall see. Chris, I appreciate it. Man.
Speaker 1: We didn't expect to keep you this long, of course,
Speaker 1: but we get to have you back. We'll talk open
Speaker 1: championship on Wednesday with you. How about that? Exactly? Each
Speaker 1: I'll turn it over now to a much smarter individual
Speaker 1: than they would with Mr rocks bro YEA that will
Speaker 1: that will be listening. Well, he's smarter than all of us, Chris,
Speaker 1: that's for sure. Chris, thank you, man. Appreciate it. Okay,
Speaker 1: Sure thoughts Wednesday, the Great Chris Felik again Daily Daily
Speaker 1: wager on ESPN News three pm Pacific six pm Eastern
Speaker 1: Monday through Friday, as well as his role on game
Speaker 1: Day and of course the Stanfords team and the Bear podcast,
Speaker 1: which you can access for all podcasts are distributed