1 00:00:02,440 --> 00:00:20,640 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:18,320 Speaker 2: Single best idea your busy election day. Let's keep it 3 00:00:18,400 --> 00:00:21,800 Speaker 2: short and sweet. We love that single best idea four 4 00:00:21,880 --> 00:00:25,360 Speaker 2: or five, six minutes. Dovetails into your other podcast like 5 00:00:25,400 --> 00:00:29,000 Speaker 2: The Big Take on Bloomberg winning awards. I can't remember, 6 00:00:29,040 --> 00:00:31,880 Speaker 2: I don't win awards. Girl wins awards? What's that about? 7 00:00:32,040 --> 00:00:34,839 Speaker 2: The Big Take podcast? Twenty minutes of brilliance? And there 8 00:00:34,840 --> 00:00:37,560 Speaker 2: are many others out there, But slip in single best 9 00:00:37,600 --> 00:00:40,040 Speaker 2: idea and tell your friends about it. We're gonna do 10 00:00:40,080 --> 00:00:43,360 Speaker 2: it on election Day, and there's no question you have 11 00:00:43,400 --> 00:00:45,440 Speaker 2: to lead with Wendy Schiller. What an honor to have 12 00:00:45,520 --> 00:00:50,440 Speaker 2: her commitment to Bloomberg surveillance to smart. Political conversation from 13 00:00:50,520 --> 00:00:56,360 Speaker 2: Brown University professor Schiller on twenty twenty four's gender. 14 00:00:56,040 --> 00:00:59,640 Speaker 3: Gap calling indicates that it's larger than it's been in 15 00:00:59,640 --> 00:01:03,560 Speaker 3: the past. It ranges somewhere between seven and nine points 16 00:01:03,600 --> 00:01:06,800 Speaker 3: that more women vote for the Democratic Party. That number 17 00:01:06,840 --> 00:01:10,039 Speaker 3: is driven in large part by Black women, who turn 18 00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:12,840 Speaker 3: out about seventy two percent of registered Black women vote, 19 00:01:13,080 --> 00:01:16,039 Speaker 3: and they really push that gender gap for the Democrats. 20 00:01:16,400 --> 00:01:22,280 Speaker 3: White women, particularly white women Protestant married, lean Republican. So 21 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:25,680 Speaker 3: it's a very interesting dynamic within that gender gap. You 22 00:01:25,760 --> 00:01:29,000 Speaker 3: really have to piece it out. So if it comes 23 00:01:29,040 --> 00:01:31,520 Speaker 3: to pass that it's an eleven percent or a ten 24 00:01:31,560 --> 00:01:35,120 Speaker 3: percent gender gap, that's a hard mountain for Donald Trump 25 00:01:35,160 --> 00:01:37,280 Speaker 3: to climb. And what we're seeing is women over the 26 00:01:37,280 --> 00:01:39,400 Speaker 3: age of sixty five at least so far, and some 27 00:01:39,440 --> 00:01:42,520 Speaker 3: of the polling have indicated that they either have already 28 00:01:42,560 --> 00:01:45,240 Speaker 3: voted for Kamala Harris or they support Kamala Harris in 29 00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:48,840 Speaker 3: bigger numbers visa v men. I'm also talking about that 30 00:01:48,840 --> 00:01:54,160 Speaker 3: Iowa poll then in recent elections, and that also poses 31 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:57,560 Speaker 3: a difficulty for the Republicans because they usually win about 32 00:01:57,560 --> 00:02:00,080 Speaker 3: six seven points margin on people over the age of six. 33 00:02:00,760 --> 00:02:03,920 Speaker 3: So it's not just young women directly affected by availity 34 00:02:03,960 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 3: of reproductive rights. It's older women having lived through a 35 00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:11,040 Speaker 3: time when there was no road decision, abortion was completely illegal. 36 00:02:11,440 --> 00:02:13,560 Speaker 3: So I don't know what that dynamic will look like 37 00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:15,760 Speaker 3: in the end, but it could be driving that gender 38 00:02:15,800 --> 00:02:18,120 Speaker 3: gap larger than we've seen in previous elections. 39 00:02:18,240 --> 00:02:22,639 Speaker 2: Wendy Schuller from Brown University many other people we talked to, 40 00:02:22,680 --> 00:02:24,680 Speaker 2: I really want to say thank you to David Gera 41 00:02:24,840 --> 00:02:28,320 Speaker 2: out on the road from Wisconsin to Pennsylvania. And Romaine 42 00:02:28,360 --> 00:02:32,520 Speaker 2: Bostick was just brilliant today from the Northwest Activity Center 43 00:02:33,240 --> 00:02:35,760 Speaker 2: in Detroit. I think he's staying around for tomorrow there 44 00:02:35,760 --> 00:02:39,400 Speaker 2: having senior exercise at eight am. Maybe Romain will slip 45 00:02:39,440 --> 00:02:41,760 Speaker 2: in there as the youngest kid in the activity center. 46 00:02:42,200 --> 00:02:46,000 Speaker 2: Romaine Bostick just great in Detroit. On an election, on 47 00:02:46,080 --> 00:02:50,360 Speaker 2: the undecided, on the uncertainty. We spoke to Gadamcunda of 48 00:02:50,480 --> 00:02:51,960 Speaker 2: Yale School of Management. 49 00:02:52,120 --> 00:02:55,119 Speaker 4: Counterintuitively, the thing maybe we should learn is the campaign's 50 00:02:55,680 --> 00:02:58,720 Speaker 4: campaigns are just too long. I think Harris got a 51 00:02:58,800 --> 00:03:02,040 Speaker 4: real benefit being I mean, maybe this was too short 52 00:03:02,120 --> 00:03:05,120 Speaker 4: for her, but the two year long election cycle that 53 00:03:05,160 --> 00:03:08,040 Speaker 4: we've been doing for presidential campaigns, it drives everyone insane. 54 00:03:08,320 --> 00:03:11,280 Speaker 4: It forces people to take positions that end up being 55 00:03:11,280 --> 00:03:12,120 Speaker 4: completely indefensive. 56 00:03:12,280 --> 00:03:14,720 Speaker 2: So to be clear here, for Vice President Harris, she 57 00:03:14,800 --> 00:03:16,680 Speaker 2: had an advantage because of the delay. 58 00:03:17,680 --> 00:03:19,680 Speaker 4: I won't say I think she would rather have had 59 00:03:19,680 --> 00:03:21,680 Speaker 4: a normal cycle. And I have to give her credit 60 00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:23,359 Speaker 4: for being able to perform this balancing act in the 61 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:25,400 Speaker 4: shortest kind of time. But if I were a normal candidate, 62 00:03:25,760 --> 00:03:28,239 Speaker 4: I would rather do six months than two years. 63 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:30,079 Speaker 2: Got him a Kunda yell. We'll have him in here 64 00:03:30,080 --> 00:03:32,120 Speaker 2: in the coming days, and really all the voices of 65 00:03:32,160 --> 00:03:34,880 Speaker 2: the last two or three days, thank you so much. 66 00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:38,760 Speaker 2: Look out on Bloomberg Digital, our conversations yesterday with Ann 67 00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:42,840 Speaker 2: Selzer of Iowa her she shifted, just simply shifted the 68 00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:46,480 Speaker 2: debate this weekend where they're polling, and with Bob Woodward 69 00:03:46,520 --> 00:03:49,600 Speaker 2: or the Washington Post. His book is wore a huge response, 70 00:03:49,840 --> 00:03:54,000 Speaker 2: particularly from Trump supporters to mister Woodward's comments. We say 71 00:03:54,040 --> 00:03:58,960 Speaker 2: thank you to you on YouTube worldwide. Subscribe to Bloomberg Podcast. 72 00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:01,960 Speaker 2: I just can't say enough about it. That's the simplest 73 00:04:01,960 --> 00:04:06,280 Speaker 2: path to our new digital product on your commute across 74 00:04:06,280 --> 00:04:09,040 Speaker 2: the nation, and as you wake up tomorrow, we'll have 75 00:04:09,120 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 2: the results for you, at least up to Bloomberg Surveillance tomorrow. 76 00:04:13,480 --> 00:04:26,000 Speaker 2: An Apple Podcasts on YouTube podcast single best Idea