1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:03,360 Speaker 1: Welcome to One Bills Light, your stat intensive discussion on 2 00:00:03,400 --> 00:00:05,840 Speaker 1: the Bills and the NFL. Coming up, Will the Bills 3 00:00:05,880 --> 00:00:09,520 Speaker 1: be a league leader in spread formations on offense? And 4 00:00:09,640 --> 00:00:12,880 Speaker 1: what did Week one tell us about that possibility? Steve 5 00:00:13,039 --> 00:00:14,880 Speaker 1: is quizzed on it in the Numbers game and in 6 00:00:14,960 --> 00:00:18,759 Speaker 1: these three things, just how much does Josh Allen own 7 00:00:18,880 --> 00:00:28,960 Speaker 1: the Dolphins? Time to warm up the bus at a 8 00:00:29,160 --> 00:00:32,640 Speaker 1: Steve Tasker who has spent all of her fields kind 9 00:00:32,680 --> 00:00:34,479 Speaker 1: of unique. He was kind of a dual role player 10 00:00:34,560 --> 00:00:40,640 Speaker 1: for you. Steve, Steve a blimp. We're not even in 11 00:00:40,680 --> 00:00:48,000 Speaker 1: the stratosphere of normalcy. Thanks for joining us here on 12 00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:51,280 Speaker 1: one Bills Light your stat examination of the Bills in 13 00:00:51,320 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 1: the NFL. Chris Brown and Steve task with you as usual, 14 00:00:55,480 --> 00:00:59,440 Speaker 1: and we begin, Steve with Buffalo's offensive identity that maybe 15 00:00:59,440 --> 00:01:03,440 Speaker 1: revealed it self to some degree certainly last season, but 16 00:01:03,640 --> 00:01:07,000 Speaker 1: this season the usage of ten personnel or four wide 17 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:09,199 Speaker 1: with a single back Buffalo was second in the league 18 00:01:09,200 --> 00:01:12,760 Speaker 1: and its usage on offense last year with Arizona the 19 00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:16,320 Speaker 1: only team that utilized it more in Week one. This season, 20 00:01:17,319 --> 00:01:19,919 Speaker 1: the Bills turned to it often on their seventy plays. 21 00:01:20,120 --> 00:01:23,760 Speaker 1: So excuse me, seventy nine plays run on offense against 22 00:01:23,800 --> 00:01:26,240 Speaker 1: the Steelers in the home opener, they went four wide 23 00:01:27,040 --> 00:01:30,240 Speaker 1: or more or they went four wide excuse me, on 24 00:01:30,319 --> 00:01:32,800 Speaker 1: more than thirty eight percent of their plays. Last season 25 00:01:32,880 --> 00:01:35,640 Speaker 1: they went four wide just fourteen percent of the time. 26 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:39,000 Speaker 1: Granted this is a one game sample, I think we 27 00:01:39,080 --> 00:01:42,840 Speaker 1: expect those numbers to vacillate. Fifty cent word, that's nice, 28 00:01:43,360 --> 00:01:46,480 Speaker 1: but thank you, but more than thirty eight percent. That 29 00:01:46,640 --> 00:01:49,400 Speaker 1: is a fat number, it is, and I think it 30 00:01:49,440 --> 00:01:52,160 Speaker 1: has more to do with I don't know that there's 31 00:01:52,160 --> 00:01:53,800 Speaker 1: a trend in the NFL doing it, but it's a 32 00:01:53,840 --> 00:01:55,880 Speaker 1: trend towards what the Bill's roster and were the strength 33 00:01:55,880 --> 00:01:58,520 Speaker 1: of their roster lies in their wide receiver room, and 34 00:01:58,800 --> 00:02:01,280 Speaker 1: the fact that they got a strong arm quarterback. And 35 00:02:01,320 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 1: I think it also was a little bit to do 36 00:02:02,920 --> 00:02:04,840 Speaker 1: with the matchup. They thought they were going to be 37 00:02:04,920 --> 00:02:08,239 Speaker 1: able to get from the Pittsburgh Steelers. Maybe they thought 38 00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:10,480 Speaker 1: that the Bills thought that they could break up the 39 00:02:10,639 --> 00:02:13,679 Speaker 1: front seven of the Steelers and get maybe six in 40 00:02:13,720 --> 00:02:16,720 Speaker 1: the box, five in the box and be able to 41 00:02:16,760 --> 00:02:19,320 Speaker 1: make some hay and give Josh Allen chance a bit 42 00:02:19,400 --> 00:02:22,880 Speaker 1: more pass protection uses mobility a little bit Steelers did 43 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:24,720 Speaker 1: a great job of keeping him in the pocket and 44 00:02:24,840 --> 00:02:28,600 Speaker 1: pressuring him as well. So I think that's where the 45 00:02:28,639 --> 00:02:31,000 Speaker 1: strength of the Bills roster lies. I don't I'm not 46 00:02:31,000 --> 00:02:34,000 Speaker 1: gonna extrapolate it into the NFL at large and say, hey, 47 00:02:34,040 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 1: I think everybody's gonna head this way. Maybe they will. 48 00:02:37,080 --> 00:02:38,880 Speaker 1: The last couple of drafts, we've seen a ton of 49 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:41,560 Speaker 1: wide receivers come into the league. If you get really 50 00:02:41,600 --> 00:02:45,000 Speaker 1: good players, you want to get advantage. You want to 51 00:02:45,000 --> 00:02:46,800 Speaker 1: get him on the field. And if you've got a 52 00:02:46,840 --> 00:02:50,040 Speaker 1: big wide receiver room full of talent, that's where your 53 00:02:50,080 --> 00:02:51,560 Speaker 1: offense is going to head down. And I think that's 54 00:02:51,600 --> 00:02:54,200 Speaker 1: where the Bills are right now. I agree. I believe 55 00:02:54,280 --> 00:02:58,119 Speaker 1: the strength of this offense still lies in its receiving corps. 56 00:02:58,360 --> 00:03:05,280 Speaker 1: I think the miscalculation and one was a underestimating the 57 00:03:05,320 --> 00:03:08,640 Speaker 1: front three slash four of the Steelers in terms of 58 00:03:08,840 --> 00:03:12,720 Speaker 1: your front five being able to capably protect Josh Allen. 59 00:03:12,760 --> 00:03:15,880 Speaker 1: And then the second big issue in the game in 60 00:03:15,919 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 1: Week one was Josh basically admitting this week that I 61 00:03:21,520 --> 00:03:24,760 Speaker 1: was looking more top to bottom in my progressions and 62 00:03:24,880 --> 00:03:27,600 Speaker 1: looking to make a play than I was bottom to top, 63 00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:29,720 Speaker 1: and really when you think about it, the way the 64 00:03:29,720 --> 00:03:33,920 Speaker 1: Steelers were able to brack it off those deeper, longer patterns. 65 00:03:34,440 --> 00:03:36,920 Speaker 1: The underneath stuff was there for Josh to take. He 66 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:40,560 Speaker 1: just didn't take it in the game, and so I 67 00:03:40,600 --> 00:03:42,920 Speaker 1: think going forward he will look to do more of 68 00:03:42,960 --> 00:03:47,480 Speaker 1: that to facilitate the rhythm of this offense which runs 69 00:03:47,560 --> 00:03:51,120 Speaker 1: through their short intermediate passing game, which in turn opens 70 00:03:51,200 --> 00:03:54,240 Speaker 1: up the deep stuff maybe later on in the course 71 00:03:54,280 --> 00:03:57,080 Speaker 1: of a ball game. Taking this a step further, though, Steve, 72 00:03:57,160 --> 00:04:00,520 Speaker 1: the Bills also made use of zero personnel or five 73 00:04:01,040 --> 00:04:04,920 Speaker 1: receivers with an empty backfield in Week one thirteen percent 74 00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:09,960 Speaker 1: of their plays called in Week one. Essentially zero personnel 75 00:04:10,120 --> 00:04:12,960 Speaker 1: replaced the use of ten personnel from last year in 76 00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:16,120 Speaker 1: terms of frequency. So to sum up, the Bills went 77 00:04:16,160 --> 00:04:19,960 Speaker 1: with four or five receivers on the field against the 78 00:04:19,960 --> 00:04:22,479 Speaker 1: Steelers on forty four percent of their offensive plays in 79 00:04:22,480 --> 00:04:25,040 Speaker 1: Week one, and again, this probably won't be every week, 80 00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 1: But in your mind, even in this spread them out 81 00:04:30,040 --> 00:04:32,839 Speaker 1: trend that we're seeing in the NFL these days, was 82 00:04:32,880 --> 00:04:36,200 Speaker 1: it ambitious, even with the talent the Bills have on 83 00:04:36,240 --> 00:04:40,240 Speaker 1: their roster, to spread the field that much? I think, yeah, 84 00:04:40,240 --> 00:04:43,919 Speaker 1: a little bit. I mean it's I think it's a 85 00:04:44,000 --> 00:04:46,480 Speaker 1: nod to how much confidence they have in that room 86 00:04:46,880 --> 00:04:50,040 Speaker 1: and how much confidence that Josh Allen gave them last 87 00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:53,800 Speaker 1: year that he could handle it. Certainly, Josh didn't play 88 00:04:53,800 --> 00:04:56,080 Speaker 1: as well as we'd seen him play, or you know, 89 00:04:56,120 --> 00:04:57,640 Speaker 1: throw it as well as we saw him throw it 90 00:04:57,720 --> 00:05:00,400 Speaker 1: all last year. And I think you know, and you 91 00:05:00,400 --> 00:05:03,440 Speaker 1: can chalk it up to a hiccup to start the season, 92 00:05:03,800 --> 00:05:06,800 Speaker 1: playing against a really good defensive front that threw a 93 00:05:06,880 --> 00:05:09,200 Speaker 1: wrench into it. Still a very close game, and you 94 00:05:09,200 --> 00:05:12,160 Speaker 1: get you know, the offenses scored identical amount of points 95 00:05:12,160 --> 00:05:15,400 Speaker 1: sixteen apiece, but you throw in the block punt and 96 00:05:15,480 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 1: it turns into a touchdown loss. The Bills probably still 97 00:05:19,040 --> 00:05:23,800 Speaker 1: thought they could win that football game, all things being equal, 98 00:05:24,200 --> 00:05:26,200 Speaker 1: and thought and for sure thought they were gonna win 99 00:05:26,240 --> 00:05:29,760 Speaker 1: that football game going in with that game plan. And 100 00:05:29,800 --> 00:05:32,160 Speaker 1: I think you gotta know and got to have confidence 101 00:05:32,200 --> 00:05:34,719 Speaker 1: that you were in the right sets and if you 102 00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:37,440 Speaker 1: just execute him a little better, even a game like 103 00:05:37,480 --> 00:05:39,440 Speaker 1: the Steelers that was a touchdown down, you were ten 104 00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:42,599 Speaker 1: points down in the last halfway through the fourth quarter, 105 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:46,599 Speaker 1: execute better, and that's a much different football game. And 106 00:05:46,640 --> 00:05:48,320 Speaker 1: I think the players when they sit there and watch 107 00:05:48,360 --> 00:05:50,120 Speaker 1: the film, they're gonna get the feeling like, hey, this 108 00:05:50,240 --> 00:05:51,560 Speaker 1: is on us. It had nothing to do with the 109 00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:53,880 Speaker 1: five wide to four wide all of that. That was 110 00:05:54,040 --> 00:05:56,040 Speaker 1: where we should have been and we should have scored 111 00:05:56,279 --> 00:05:58,719 Speaker 1: about twenty one more points than we did. I think 112 00:05:58,839 --> 00:06:03,359 Speaker 1: if you look at the game and after Josh and 113 00:06:03,400 --> 00:06:06,040 Speaker 1: the rest of the offensive players did that, I think 114 00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:09,000 Speaker 1: they realized that the protection problems would not have been 115 00:06:09,040 --> 00:06:12,920 Speaker 1: a problem. If Josh's decision making went to the short stuff, 116 00:06:13,200 --> 00:06:16,119 Speaker 1: taken what the defense gave him earlier in the game, 117 00:06:16,520 --> 00:06:18,920 Speaker 1: it would have neutralized the effectiveness of the pass rush 118 00:06:18,960 --> 00:06:20,880 Speaker 1: because the ball would have been out. And I think 119 00:06:20,920 --> 00:06:23,600 Speaker 1: if they kind of drift back to that end of 120 00:06:23,640 --> 00:06:28,800 Speaker 1: their passing game identity, they'll be much more successful going forward. 121 00:06:29,160 --> 00:06:32,760 Speaker 1: Just for reference, last season, in Week two against Miami, 122 00:06:33,240 --> 00:06:35,560 Speaker 1: the same opponent they have this week, the Bills offense 123 00:06:35,680 --> 00:06:39,320 Speaker 1: used four wide sets on seventeen percent of their offensive 124 00:06:39,360 --> 00:06:42,120 Speaker 1: snaps but never went five wide, which is a new 125 00:06:42,160 --> 00:06:44,120 Speaker 1: look for them this year. Do we think the Bills 126 00:06:44,440 --> 00:06:47,400 Speaker 1: will mimic more of what they did Week won this 127 00:06:47,480 --> 00:06:52,400 Speaker 1: season against the Dolphins Sunday or be a more balanced 128 00:06:52,440 --> 00:06:54,520 Speaker 1: offense this time around? With the run game and their 129 00:06:54,520 --> 00:06:57,479 Speaker 1: most popular three wide with a tight end and a back. 130 00:06:57,600 --> 00:07:00,680 Speaker 1: I wouldn't be surprised they go five wide. I wouldn't 131 00:07:00,720 --> 00:07:03,160 Speaker 1: be surprised at all. I think they got some confidence 132 00:07:03,200 --> 00:07:06,640 Speaker 1: in it, and with a week under their belt, like 133 00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:09,320 Speaker 1: as a preseason game, so to speak, to get more 134 00:07:09,360 --> 00:07:12,080 Speaker 1: comfortable with it and against a live defense, I think 135 00:07:12,120 --> 00:07:14,280 Speaker 1: they'll feel more comfortable doing it. They'll be able to 136 00:07:14,360 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 1: shore some things up. I think one thing, you know, 137 00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:21,000 Speaker 1: you think about the Pittsburgh game, that's a game where 138 00:07:21,040 --> 00:07:24,720 Speaker 1: this offense probably feels like it missed opportunities to throw 139 00:07:24,840 --> 00:07:28,040 Speaker 1: points up on the board. And I think it's not 140 00:07:28,080 --> 00:07:30,320 Speaker 1: only the fact that you know, they wouldn't take the 141 00:07:30,320 --> 00:07:32,800 Speaker 1: short stuff and stay on the field. I think it's 142 00:07:32,840 --> 00:07:35,520 Speaker 1: also their red zone offense, which was a problem. They 143 00:07:35,560 --> 00:07:40,440 Speaker 1: couldn't punch it in and that So that's more about 144 00:07:40,480 --> 00:07:43,120 Speaker 1: execution of the players rather than the game plan or 145 00:07:43,120 --> 00:07:45,280 Speaker 1: the personnel usages or that kind of thing. Because there 146 00:07:45,280 --> 00:07:47,800 Speaker 1: were plays there to be made, and when you got players, 147 00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:49,920 Speaker 1: plays there to be made. That's what the coaching staff's 148 00:07:49,960 --> 00:07:52,080 Speaker 1: job is. The players got to put it on themselves. 149 00:07:52,320 --> 00:07:58,000 Speaker 1: I think this week there'll be conversations about how the 150 00:07:58,080 --> 00:08:00,200 Speaker 1: Dolphins are a little bit different than the Steelers their 151 00:08:00,200 --> 00:08:03,400 Speaker 1: defensive front and their strengths and weaknesses, but it doesn't 152 00:08:03,440 --> 00:08:06,040 Speaker 1: change the Bills strength and weaknesses. So I think you 153 00:08:06,080 --> 00:08:08,679 Speaker 1: will see some five wide four wide this week against 154 00:08:08,720 --> 00:08:11,600 Speaker 1: the Dolphins. They do go a little deeper than the 155 00:08:11,640 --> 00:08:15,880 Speaker 1: Steelers do at the corner position. The Dolphins do, so 156 00:08:15,960 --> 00:08:18,840 Speaker 1: it'll be interesting to see how they view those matchups, 157 00:08:18,840 --> 00:08:23,200 Speaker 1: which will likely predicate what personnel groupings they choose to 158 00:08:23,240 --> 00:08:27,600 Speaker 1: turn to. And yes, it's a three four front much 159 00:08:27,640 --> 00:08:30,000 Speaker 1: like the Steelers, but it's played a little bit differently. 160 00:08:30,600 --> 00:08:33,319 Speaker 1: They rely on their linebackers to cover a good deal 161 00:08:33,760 --> 00:08:36,720 Speaker 1: and that could be an advantage for Buffalo as well. 162 00:08:36,800 --> 00:08:38,880 Speaker 1: We'll just have to wait and see. To be clear, 163 00:08:38,920 --> 00:08:41,319 Speaker 1: eleven personnel with one back and one tight end is 164 00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:45,480 Speaker 1: still Buffalo's most popular personnel grouping, as it is for 165 00:08:45,520 --> 00:08:47,640 Speaker 1: a lot of offenses around the league. But the use 166 00:08:47,679 --> 00:08:50,200 Speaker 1: of four and five wide sets by the Bills is 167 00:08:50,240 --> 00:08:52,600 Speaker 1: the subject of this week's numbers game, as we put 168 00:08:52,640 --> 00:08:54,679 Speaker 1: Steve to the test, Steve, are you ready? I am 169 00:08:54,800 --> 00:08:58,800 Speaker 1: so ready so realizing it is just one week of data, 170 00:08:58,960 --> 00:09:01,920 Speaker 1: the Bills went four or five wide in the Week 171 00:09:01,960 --> 00:09:04,120 Speaker 1: one game against the Steelers, as we said, on forty 172 00:09:04,120 --> 00:09:06,680 Speaker 1: four percent of their place thirty three of their seventy 173 00:09:06,679 --> 00:09:09,320 Speaker 1: snaps were in four or five wide. Where do you 174 00:09:09,400 --> 00:09:13,800 Speaker 1: believe that ranked across the league in Week one, Steve 175 00:09:15,320 --> 00:09:21,400 Speaker 1: Man mean, yeah, I'll say iist got to be number one. 176 00:09:21,800 --> 00:09:26,560 Speaker 1: It was number one in the league by far. Yeah, 177 00:09:26,600 --> 00:09:31,000 Speaker 1: nobody goes five wide by far. So second part of 178 00:09:31,040 --> 00:09:34,199 Speaker 1: the numbers game, Steve, we did a rankings list last 179 00:09:34,280 --> 00:09:39,719 Speaker 1: year on ten personnel or four wides. Which teams? Okay, 180 00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:45,280 Speaker 1: do you believe are the top five teams in usage 181 00:09:45,800 --> 00:09:50,600 Speaker 1: of four wide personnel after one week of play? Top 182 00:09:50,640 --> 00:09:53,440 Speaker 1: five teams that went five wide? B NFL? Now four 183 00:09:53,480 --> 00:09:56,840 Speaker 1: and well, I'll give you four and five and five 184 00:09:57,080 --> 00:09:59,679 Speaker 1: because we know the Bills are number one. Okay, they 185 00:09:59,679 --> 00:10:04,560 Speaker 1: went on. I'm gonna say Arizona, Arizona is number two. 186 00:10:04,840 --> 00:10:08,920 Speaker 1: Buffalo Arizona. So listen to this. Buffalo forty four percent 187 00:10:08,920 --> 00:10:15,920 Speaker 1: of their offensive plays. Arizona was second eighteen percent piece. Okay, 188 00:10:16,280 --> 00:10:20,040 Speaker 1: so see if you can get I'm gonna see if 189 00:10:20,040 --> 00:10:25,200 Speaker 1: you can get a few of the next Arizona. I'll say, 190 00:10:25,240 --> 00:10:35,600 Speaker 1: somebody like Seattle not Seattle. Another team that was I'll 191 00:10:35,640 --> 00:10:40,120 Speaker 1: say New Orleans, not New Orleans. All right, now I'm 192 00:10:40,360 --> 00:10:42,280 Speaker 1: looking for spread them out teams. Now, there was a 193 00:10:42,320 --> 00:10:45,839 Speaker 1: team last year that used a good deal of ten personnel. 194 00:10:45,880 --> 00:10:50,439 Speaker 1: They were right up there or right behind Buffalo in Arizona, 195 00:10:51,240 --> 00:10:54,040 Speaker 1: and they are fifth on the list after one game played. 196 00:10:54,320 --> 00:10:57,240 Speaker 1: The Chiefs. The Chiefs are fourth. Yes, they're one of 197 00:10:57,280 --> 00:10:59,360 Speaker 1: the teams, not the one I was thinking of five 198 00:10:59,440 --> 00:11:04,120 Speaker 1: percent of the plays, we got three of them. You 199 00:11:04,200 --> 00:11:13,559 Speaker 1: need two more. Carolina, not Carolina, successful team last year, 200 00:11:13,679 --> 00:11:21,959 Speaker 1: playoff team, the Pack, not the Pack. No. Oh h Pittsburgh. 201 00:11:22,120 --> 00:11:26,840 Speaker 1: Not Pittsburgh. Really nope, because there are a lot of 202 00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:28,839 Speaker 1: eleven person they didn't run it at all last No, 203 00:11:28,960 --> 00:11:30,600 Speaker 1: there are a lot of a they go eleven a lot. 204 00:11:31,040 --> 00:11:32,880 Speaker 1: That was a good guest by me, Thank you. That 205 00:11:32,960 --> 00:11:37,760 Speaker 1: was not I have could give him myself kudos because 206 00:11:37,840 --> 00:11:42,480 Speaker 1: nobody else um Bill's Arizona. I will tell you the 207 00:11:42,559 --> 00:11:45,200 Speaker 1: last two teams in the top five are NFC teams. 208 00:11:45,960 --> 00:11:55,360 Speaker 1: One made the playoffs, one did not NFC. And I 209 00:11:55,400 --> 00:11:58,120 Speaker 1: would think of teams as you said in here on 210 00:11:58,120 --> 00:12:02,680 Speaker 1: this podcast, with good receiving chords like right deep receiving 211 00:12:02,760 --> 00:12:05,400 Speaker 1: chords really good top two, and it goes even further 212 00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:16,840 Speaker 1: than that at the receiver position. All right, um, I 213 00:12:16,880 --> 00:12:28,920 Speaker 1: will say my next one is Minnesota. Minnesota correct, third 214 00:12:28,960 --> 00:12:32,600 Speaker 1: on the list. Okay, the last team is the playoff 215 00:12:32,640 --> 00:12:38,000 Speaker 1: team from the NFC that I'm shocked you haven't guessed yet. 216 00:12:38,080 --> 00:12:41,440 Speaker 1: Oh Rams, Not the Rams. They're eleven personnel all day, 217 00:12:41,480 --> 00:12:46,280 Speaker 1: all day, all day. Oh Tampa Tampa Bay four point 218 00:12:46,320 --> 00:12:49,800 Speaker 1: six percent of their plays in Week one against the Cowboys. 219 00:12:49,840 --> 00:12:52,800 Speaker 1: So those are your top five using four and five 220 00:12:52,920 --> 00:12:56,040 Speaker 1: wide personnel. The opening game on Thursday night last week 221 00:12:56,080 --> 00:12:59,199 Speaker 1: seems like it was a month ago. I know. Oh go, 222 00:13:00,400 --> 00:13:02,240 Speaker 1: so here, we're gonna skip. We're gonna we are in. 223 00:13:02,320 --> 00:13:04,040 Speaker 1: We are right in the middle. We're in the season. 224 00:13:04,080 --> 00:13:06,880 Speaker 1: Now everything is like coming downhill. We're gonna skip the 225 00:13:06,920 --> 00:13:10,720 Speaker 1: second game tonight. Yeah, well you go, We're gonna skip 226 00:13:10,760 --> 00:13:13,640 Speaker 1: the second part of the numbers game because we want 227 00:13:13,640 --> 00:13:16,320 Speaker 1: to go right to the third part, which is how 228 00:13:16,320 --> 00:13:19,520 Speaker 1: many So you just gave us the top five in 229 00:13:19,640 --> 00:13:23,240 Speaker 1: terms of teams that used four and five wide personnel 230 00:13:23,600 --> 00:13:27,320 Speaker 1: the most in Week one, and so the second part 231 00:13:27,360 --> 00:13:29,880 Speaker 1: of this question, how many other teams in the league 232 00:13:30,320 --> 00:13:34,679 Speaker 1: used five wides in their Week one game. Okay from 233 00:13:34,720 --> 00:13:37,760 Speaker 1: any overall? Yeah, because teams, because we just had a 234 00:13:37,800 --> 00:13:41,679 Speaker 1: top five ranking of four and five wide, right right, 235 00:13:41,880 --> 00:13:45,000 Speaker 1: how many of them actually used five wide last week 236 00:13:45,040 --> 00:13:53,080 Speaker 1: besides the builds? How many other teams three one? And 237 00:13:53,160 --> 00:13:57,040 Speaker 1: it was Jacksonville and they used it for one snap. 238 00:13:59,760 --> 00:14:02,800 Speaker 1: The Bills had nine snaps of five wide empty. Nobody 239 00:14:02,800 --> 00:14:05,560 Speaker 1: else had more than one. Jacksonville is the only other 240 00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:08,080 Speaker 1: team that ran five wide and they did it for 241 00:14:08,280 --> 00:14:12,000 Speaker 1: one plague it. To me, that is a nod to. 242 00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:16,360 Speaker 1: That is just that is just old school. You know, Yeah, 243 00:14:16,400 --> 00:14:19,240 Speaker 1: it's just old school. Nobody wants to go because here's 244 00:14:19,240 --> 00:14:23,200 Speaker 1: the thing, at some point in almost every single game, 245 00:14:25,080 --> 00:14:27,920 Speaker 1: even at this stage in history of the NFL, you 246 00:14:28,000 --> 00:14:31,040 Speaker 1: gotta line up and beat somebody up. You gotta line 247 00:14:31,120 --> 00:14:33,440 Speaker 1: up and run it. You gotta line up and push 248 00:14:33,520 --> 00:14:38,320 Speaker 1: guys against their will. You gotta be physical. So nobody 249 00:14:38,360 --> 00:14:41,120 Speaker 1: has the wherewithal to go five wide with the current 250 00:14:41,200 --> 00:14:45,000 Speaker 1: roster size. Nobody has the personnel combinations or the quality 251 00:14:45,000 --> 00:14:48,000 Speaker 1: at every come to go five wide with guys you 252 00:14:48,120 --> 00:14:52,360 Speaker 1: trust can and make hay with and then get those 253 00:14:52,400 --> 00:14:55,520 Speaker 1: guys off the field, go three tight and two backs 254 00:14:56,320 --> 00:15:00,320 Speaker 1: and push people around. Nope, you can't do it with 255 00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:02,280 Speaker 1: deep with forty seven guys on game day, you gotta 256 00:15:02,320 --> 00:15:04,400 Speaker 1: do one or the other. Basically, yeah, you don't have 257 00:15:04,480 --> 00:15:06,400 Speaker 1: enough quality guys. Because here's the thing. If you have 258 00:15:06,480 --> 00:15:08,920 Speaker 1: quality guys that do that, you want them on the field. 259 00:15:09,080 --> 00:15:12,840 Speaker 1: Or they're squawking or somebody's squawkings like, hey, why aren't 260 00:15:12,840 --> 00:15:15,040 Speaker 1: you You know you got these guys. Why don't you 261 00:15:15,080 --> 00:15:16,960 Speaker 1: have him on the field more? Yeah, and you got 262 00:15:16,960 --> 00:15:19,240 Speaker 1: five guys. You know, nobody's got that many really good 263 00:15:19,240 --> 00:15:23,280 Speaker 1: players that can win matchups in the NFL at five 264 00:15:23,360 --> 00:15:25,560 Speaker 1: wide and then come down and win in the run game. 265 00:15:26,360 --> 00:15:30,360 Speaker 1: It's hard two tights or three tight. Those guys are 266 00:15:30,360 --> 00:15:33,440 Speaker 1: hard to find, it is. It's interesting because you know, 267 00:15:33,480 --> 00:15:35,840 Speaker 1: when you see Gabe Davis and Jake Kumero on the field, 268 00:15:36,600 --> 00:15:39,640 Speaker 1: chances are it's a run because those guys block. They're big, 269 00:15:39,720 --> 00:15:43,240 Speaker 1: they block. Yeah, so Kumro's physical, dude. So a good 270 00:15:43,320 --> 00:15:45,520 Speaker 1: job on the numbers game. There. We'll continue to follow 271 00:15:45,520 --> 00:15:49,040 Speaker 1: the Bills offensive personnel users as the season moves along. 272 00:15:49,520 --> 00:15:52,000 Speaker 1: Here on this podcast, we move along to our popular 273 00:15:52,040 --> 00:15:55,960 Speaker 1: segment called these three Things, which can vary from league 274 00:15:55,960 --> 00:15:59,080 Speaker 1: wide trends, to statistical anomalies, to some kind of streak. 275 00:15:59,120 --> 00:16:01,840 Speaker 1: It's all fair game. So first on the list of 276 00:16:01,840 --> 00:16:08,880 Speaker 1: these three things is forcing turnovers. As we know, Buffalo 277 00:16:09,280 --> 00:16:11,880 Speaker 1: came close but did not force any turnovers in their 278 00:16:11,920 --> 00:16:13,960 Speaker 1: Week one loss to the Steelers, had an interception called 279 00:16:13,960 --> 00:16:18,720 Speaker 1: back on a penalty. Miami meanwhile, forced three fumbles against 280 00:16:18,720 --> 00:16:22,080 Speaker 1: the Patriots last week, recovered two of them, which were 281 00:16:22,080 --> 00:16:25,560 Speaker 1: instrumental in helping them notch a one point victory in Foxborough. 282 00:16:25,760 --> 00:16:29,040 Speaker 1: The Dolphins now have a takeaway in twenty three straight games, 283 00:16:29,040 --> 00:16:31,720 Speaker 1: stretching back to the twenty nineteen season. It's the longest 284 00:16:31,760 --> 00:16:35,640 Speaker 1: takeaway streak in the NFL since twenty thirteen. You want 285 00:16:35,640 --> 00:16:38,560 Speaker 1: to guess which was the last team to successfully avoid 286 00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:44,640 Speaker 1: turning the ball over in a match up with the Dolphins, Buffalo, 287 00:16:44,960 --> 00:16:48,200 Speaker 1: You are correct. I was right. Buffalo is the last 288 00:16:48,240 --> 00:16:50,840 Speaker 1: team to not commit a turnover against the Dolphins. It 289 00:16:50,880 --> 00:16:54,160 Speaker 1: was the Bills on November seventeenth, twenty nineteen, a thirty 290 00:16:54,160 --> 00:17:01,520 Speaker 1: seven twenty victory at Miami. That is so delicious. Okay, 291 00:17:01,560 --> 00:17:06,119 Speaker 1: so usually Steve it was Bill's quarterback. Then it was yeah, 292 00:17:06,280 --> 00:17:09,520 Speaker 1: same guy, Usually Steve, They say takeaways coming bunches, but 293 00:17:09,920 --> 00:17:12,639 Speaker 1: rarely do we see teams run off a streak of 294 00:17:12,640 --> 00:17:16,000 Speaker 1: getting at least one per game like Miami has done. 295 00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:21,000 Speaker 1: So what do we make of that? I think it's 296 00:17:21,040 --> 00:17:23,920 Speaker 1: interesting because you'd think a team that scores a lot 297 00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:25,680 Speaker 1: of points would have the other team putting the ball 298 00:17:25,680 --> 00:17:29,120 Speaker 1: at risk more then, but they don't score a lot. 299 00:17:29,160 --> 00:17:32,040 Speaker 1: They don't score a lot. That's why I'm so perplexed here, 300 00:17:32,080 --> 00:17:37,240 Speaker 1: because you usually don't see consistency with takeaways for this 301 00:17:37,320 --> 00:17:41,560 Speaker 1: long of a stretch. And Dolphins have good corners, so 302 00:17:41,600 --> 00:17:46,800 Speaker 1: they picked the ball off some. But like you said it, 303 00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:49,080 Speaker 1: I don't know if there is an exclamation for it, 304 00:17:49,240 --> 00:17:51,479 Speaker 1: because even this last game it was three forced fumbles. 305 00:17:51,480 --> 00:17:53,000 Speaker 1: It wasn't like they were picking the ball off and 306 00:17:53,560 --> 00:17:56,560 Speaker 1: New England was like throwing it all over the yard. 307 00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:01,040 Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know if you can make 308 00:18:01,040 --> 00:18:03,800 Speaker 1: anything of it. I think it's an arbitrary number. In 309 00:18:03,880 --> 00:18:06,760 Speaker 1: many cases, the history of this league will tell you, yes, 310 00:18:06,840 --> 00:18:10,199 Speaker 1: that is unquestionably the case. It's pure happenstance. Sure you 311 00:18:10,240 --> 00:18:12,560 Speaker 1: can make efforts to strip the ball away or get 312 00:18:12,600 --> 00:18:15,560 Speaker 1: the ball out, but recovering it is a whole nother thing. 313 00:18:15,600 --> 00:18:19,200 Speaker 1: If you on a fumble interception, you know, the ball 314 00:18:19,200 --> 00:18:25,280 Speaker 1: bounces strange. Twenty three straight games. That's pretty impressive. You 315 00:18:25,280 --> 00:18:31,480 Speaker 1: know what. The only common denominator is Brian Flores. Yep, right, Yeah, 316 00:18:31,520 --> 00:18:34,040 Speaker 1: And you know there's probably a handful of defensive players 317 00:18:34,080 --> 00:18:36,959 Speaker 1: that are still in this lineup since he came on board, 318 00:18:37,520 --> 00:18:40,160 Speaker 1: and you say, okay, well maybe those are considered constants 319 00:18:40,200 --> 00:18:44,080 Speaker 1: as well the system all of that. But that's an 320 00:18:44,080 --> 00:18:46,639 Speaker 1: impressive streak, it really is. We'll see if the Bills 321 00:18:46,680 --> 00:18:49,119 Speaker 1: can end it on Sunday, it will certainly help their 322 00:18:49,119 --> 00:18:50,840 Speaker 1: cause and winning a game on the road this week 323 00:18:50,880 --> 00:18:52,720 Speaker 1: if they can do that. Second on the list of 324 00:18:52,760 --> 00:18:55,560 Speaker 1: these three things is Josh Allen's ownership of the Dolphins. 325 00:18:56,040 --> 00:18:58,520 Speaker 1: When it comes to head to head matchups, Allen, as 326 00:18:58,520 --> 00:19:01,760 Speaker 1: we know, five and one against my seventeen touchdowns, four picks, 327 00:19:02,080 --> 00:19:05,399 Speaker 1: a one fourteen point three rating. He's also rushed for 328 00:19:05,480 --> 00:19:07,840 Speaker 1: three hundred forty yards on thirty five carries for a 329 00:19:07,880 --> 00:19:11,760 Speaker 1: fat nine point seven average. Those are his highest figures 330 00:19:11,760 --> 00:19:17,040 Speaker 1: against any opponent both totals and per game averages. Bills 331 00:19:17,080 --> 00:19:20,840 Speaker 1: fans witness something that lasted a lot longer than what 332 00:19:20,960 --> 00:19:24,280 Speaker 1: Josh has done to Miami with Brady, who did that 333 00:19:24,320 --> 00:19:26,320 Speaker 1: to a good number of teams, including the Bills for 334 00:19:26,359 --> 00:19:28,840 Speaker 1: the better part of two decades. What is it about 335 00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:31,879 Speaker 1: Miami as an opponent, Steve the two think seems to 336 00:19:31,920 --> 00:19:35,920 Speaker 1: bring out the best in Josh. Anything there or just 337 00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:41,080 Speaker 1: I think making in Miami. When they play in Miami, 338 00:19:41,119 --> 00:19:45,800 Speaker 1: the conditions are always perfect, or have been. He was 339 00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:48,679 Speaker 1: in that first game. The only game he's lost is 340 00:19:48,680 --> 00:19:51,080 Speaker 1: the one where he absolutely put the entire team on 341 00:19:51,119 --> 00:19:54,680 Speaker 1: his back last game of the two thousand nineteen season, 342 00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:57,240 Speaker 1: where Charles Clay dropped the pass in the end zone 343 00:19:57,240 --> 00:20:02,600 Speaker 1: that could have been would have won the game. It's 344 00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:05,000 Speaker 1: it's I don't know if you can. So many things 345 00:20:05,040 --> 00:20:07,120 Speaker 1: changed year to year, and over the course of two years, 346 00:20:07,119 --> 00:20:10,160 Speaker 1: which is what we're talking about three years, a lot 347 00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:13,840 Speaker 1: of things are different, including Josh. Now here's the thing too, 348 00:20:14,760 --> 00:20:18,960 Speaker 1: Josh owned everybody last year. He did. That's a third. 349 00:20:19,040 --> 00:20:20,800 Speaker 1: That's a third of the games he's played against the 350 00:20:20,840 --> 00:20:26,240 Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins. But you even think about last year's Week 351 00:20:26,320 --> 00:20:29,560 Speaker 1: seventeen game where he was gonna play. They didn't even 352 00:20:29,600 --> 00:20:32,120 Speaker 1: know if he's gonna play, and then he did play, 353 00:20:32,160 --> 00:20:35,640 Speaker 1: played all the way to halftime, twenty three passing yards 354 00:20:35,640 --> 00:20:37,679 Speaker 1: and three touchdowns and a half and he and he 355 00:20:37,880 --> 00:20:41,080 Speaker 1: tore them up. Now that that offense last year was 356 00:20:41,160 --> 00:20:43,600 Speaker 1: humming and beating everybody up, and there's no question about it. 357 00:20:43,760 --> 00:20:46,199 Speaker 1: And at that point of the season, the Bill's offense 358 00:20:46,359 --> 00:20:53,560 Speaker 1: was absolutely singing. They were absolutely crushing people. So there's that. 359 00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:55,840 Speaker 1: And then early and they caught him early in the 360 00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:59,200 Speaker 1: season when nobody knew how good the Bill's offense was 361 00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:01,560 Speaker 1: going to be. So there's an and Miami thought they 362 00:21:01,560 --> 00:21:04,040 Speaker 1: could play them man to man and they were sorely mistaken. 363 00:21:04,119 --> 00:21:05,720 Speaker 1: I think I think all of it. I don't think 364 00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:09,679 Speaker 1: it comes from so much the fact, you know, for 365 00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:11,160 Speaker 1: you and me, we talk about it all the time, 366 00:21:11,359 --> 00:21:13,480 Speaker 1: and Miami is this, and Miami is that, and Josh 367 00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:15,880 Speaker 1: owns you know where I think it does come down 368 00:21:15,920 --> 00:21:19,639 Speaker 1: to when he was beating them when he wasn't very good. Yeah, 369 00:21:19,680 --> 00:21:21,919 Speaker 1: because this last year, the whole team was great. You 370 00:21:21,920 --> 00:21:23,800 Speaker 1: would expect him to win even if Josh didn't play 371 00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:26,040 Speaker 1: his best. That's a team that buffaloes. But that's the thing. 372 00:21:26,080 --> 00:21:28,159 Speaker 1: He was beating them even before that. He was the 373 00:21:28,359 --> 00:21:31,040 Speaker 1: team reached critical mass right the team was not. That's 374 00:21:31,040 --> 00:21:33,240 Speaker 1: where this comes from. It's from the way he started 375 00:21:33,280 --> 00:21:36,159 Speaker 1: off against them early in his career, when he was 376 00:21:36,200 --> 00:21:39,640 Speaker 1: still forming his identity and those the game we talk about, 377 00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:42,119 Speaker 1: the loss is really the one that really personifies this 378 00:21:42,119 --> 00:21:46,720 Speaker 1: whole thing. He almost beat him by himself. I still 379 00:21:46,720 --> 00:21:49,080 Speaker 1: remember coming in here when you guys were doing one 380 00:21:49,160 --> 00:21:51,200 Speaker 1: Bill's Live, you and Murph. I come in Monday after 381 00:21:51,240 --> 00:21:53,080 Speaker 1: the games to talk to you guys about the game. 382 00:21:53,640 --> 00:21:56,160 Speaker 1: And I look at Murph and I said, the Bills 383 00:21:56,200 --> 00:21:58,920 Speaker 1: have their quarterback. He's like what I was like, mark 384 00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:01,400 Speaker 1: it down, it's done. He's their guy. And he goes, 385 00:22:01,440 --> 00:22:03,000 Speaker 1: they didn't. He goes, they didn't win. I said, I 386 00:22:03,040 --> 00:22:04,960 Speaker 1: don't care. Did you see what he did on Sunday? Yeah, 387 00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:07,080 Speaker 1: I said, he put the team on his back and 388 00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:09,280 Speaker 1: almost single handedly won that game. He ran for one 389 00:22:09,359 --> 00:22:12,200 Speaker 1: hundred and thirty five yards on nine carries in that game. 390 00:22:12,400 --> 00:22:15,439 Speaker 1: And he and some of those runs, Kiko Alongzos still 391 00:22:15,520 --> 00:22:18,080 Speaker 1: lays awake at night. He's still spinning. He still lays 392 00:22:18,080 --> 00:22:21,600 Speaker 1: awake at night thinking about those runs. One time Josh 393 00:22:21,640 --> 00:22:24,320 Speaker 1: turned him in circles, he spun him in the second time. 394 00:22:24,920 --> 00:22:28,399 Speaker 1: The second time, he flat out ran him around the 395 00:22:28,520 --> 00:22:31,199 Speaker 1: end for a huge game, just flat out ran him, 396 00:22:31,280 --> 00:22:33,919 Speaker 1: left him in the dust with and Kiko had the 397 00:22:33,920 --> 00:22:38,159 Speaker 1: angle that game. You're right, I was right there with 398 00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:43,440 Speaker 1: you right that game alone told Bills fans this might 399 00:22:43,480 --> 00:22:45,560 Speaker 1: be this is the guy jump on board. We are 400 00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:47,920 Speaker 1: jumping on board night. It may not be long term, 401 00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:51,600 Speaker 1: we may not, but for now, the quarterback spot is 402 00:22:52,240 --> 00:22:56,840 Speaker 1: set building around it, and I think that's it. I 403 00:22:56,880 --> 00:22:59,399 Speaker 1: think it goes back in time too, when he was 404 00:22:59,520 --> 00:23:03,760 Speaker 1: young and had nothing to work with and lit him up. Yeah, 405 00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:09,439 Speaker 1: and in a loss. So as crazy as it sounds, 406 00:23:09,480 --> 00:23:12,440 Speaker 1: I think that's where this whole thing comes from. It 407 00:23:12,480 --> 00:23:15,080 Speaker 1: may not, it may not prove to be the thing 408 00:23:15,080 --> 00:23:19,240 Speaker 1: it happens, you know, overall, but man oh man, there's 409 00:23:19,240 --> 00:23:21,560 Speaker 1: an inherent confidence when he steps on the field down 410 00:23:21,600 --> 00:23:25,160 Speaker 1: there in Miami, like I've always done well against this team, 411 00:23:25,160 --> 00:23:29,720 Speaker 1: And I just think that, Booie's your your mindset when 412 00:23:29,800 --> 00:23:31,840 Speaker 1: you go into the game, where even if maybe a 413 00:23:31,840 --> 00:23:34,040 Speaker 1: couple of things don't go exactly right at the outset, 414 00:23:34,080 --> 00:23:38,199 Speaker 1: you're like, I've handled this team before, right, it'll come 415 00:23:38,240 --> 00:23:40,159 Speaker 1: together here. Let me just let the game come to 416 00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:42,720 Speaker 1: me kind of thing, and hopefully he has the presence 417 00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:44,679 Speaker 1: of mind to do that, and if he has to 418 00:23:44,800 --> 00:23:48,160 Speaker 1: lean on past success to kind of boost his confidence 419 00:23:48,200 --> 00:23:51,080 Speaker 1: all the more, especially after an inconsistent week last week, 420 00:23:51,080 --> 00:23:54,800 Speaker 1: well then all the better in particularly this game matchup 421 00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:58,280 Speaker 1: this week, specifically having a bounce back game coming into 422 00:23:58,320 --> 00:24:05,480 Speaker 1: Miami is I think it spells a much different outcome, right? Yeah? 423 00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:08,120 Speaker 1: I would. Last week the third thing on our three 424 00:24:08,160 --> 00:24:11,080 Speaker 1: things list is play in the red zone. Buffalo, as 425 00:24:11,080 --> 00:24:12,679 Speaker 1: we know when just one for four in the red 426 00:24:12,760 --> 00:24:15,439 Speaker 1: zone this past week on offense, Miami's red zone defense 427 00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:18,639 Speaker 1: was equally successful, holding New England out of the end 428 00:24:18,720 --> 00:24:20,879 Speaker 1: zone on three of their four opportunities last week to 429 00:24:20,880 --> 00:24:23,879 Speaker 1: post the one point win. Buffalo in the red zone 430 00:24:23,960 --> 00:24:28,800 Speaker 1: against the Dolphins last season Steve six for six in 431 00:24:28,840 --> 00:24:31,919 Speaker 1: the two games. I realize every year is different, but 432 00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:35,640 Speaker 1: what do we think we witness on Sunday in red 433 00:24:35,760 --> 00:24:39,159 Speaker 1: zone situations? Bill's offense Dolphins defense. I think about it 434 00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:42,760 Speaker 1: from the Bill's perspective that lost them the game last week. 435 00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:45,280 Speaker 1: They're gonna put some time in on it. They were 436 00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:48,359 Speaker 1: very good there last year, and I think if you 437 00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:50,600 Speaker 1: want to see how creative Brian day Ball can be, 438 00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:53,200 Speaker 1: we saw it on the fourth down where you know, 439 00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:55,000 Speaker 1: didn't work, and he took some heat for it with 440 00:24:55,040 --> 00:24:57,360 Speaker 1: a throwback thing trying to get around the edge last 441 00:24:57,400 --> 00:25:00,359 Speaker 1: week on the fourth down and the Steelers were in 442 00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:04,680 Speaker 1: perfect position. But I think that those kind of situational things, 443 00:25:04,720 --> 00:25:07,400 Speaker 1: particularly in the red zone where is where you'll see 444 00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:11,679 Speaker 1: Brian Table be the most creative. And I've I've loved 445 00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:15,879 Speaker 1: their red zone offense under Josh. He gives them that 446 00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:20,000 Speaker 1: dynamic where we've seen particular, you know two years ago particular, 447 00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:22,159 Speaker 1: they snap in the ball and shotgun, he tucks it 448 00:25:22,160 --> 00:25:24,600 Speaker 1: away and they go Everybody goes out in front of him. 449 00:25:24,600 --> 00:25:27,639 Speaker 1: They had and they head right towards the pylon that 450 00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:30,000 Speaker 1: was part of their red zone package that's still in 451 00:25:30,040 --> 00:25:33,240 Speaker 1: the in the bank there. And his ability to do 452 00:25:33,320 --> 00:25:37,199 Speaker 1: that is an issue with a quarterback. You know, we 453 00:25:37,240 --> 00:25:42,199 Speaker 1: saw it in the playoff game against Indianapolis where you know, 454 00:25:42,280 --> 00:25:45,840 Speaker 1: he options it turns an in boom early touchdown with 455 00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:48,439 Speaker 1: him running the football standing up off the edge, and 456 00:25:48,480 --> 00:25:50,760 Speaker 1: then later in the game he runs out wide again, 457 00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:53,119 Speaker 1: draws the whole entire defense and shot puts it to 458 00:25:53,160 --> 00:25:56,960 Speaker 1: Dawson Knox. So all that dynamic with with Josh Allen 459 00:25:57,000 --> 00:25:59,879 Speaker 1: as your quarterback opens things up for the red zone. 460 00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:02,280 Speaker 1: Mac Jones doesn't give you that in New England. He's 461 00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:06,399 Speaker 1: not running the ball in. Josh Allen will, and not 462 00:26:06,480 --> 00:26:08,440 Speaker 1: only will he run it in, he'll bang it in. 463 00:26:09,680 --> 00:26:13,120 Speaker 1: That gives the Bill's red zone offense a big boost 464 00:26:13,400 --> 00:26:15,600 Speaker 1: against a team like Mammi, particularly one who just put 465 00:26:15,640 --> 00:26:18,040 Speaker 1: one of their best defensive tackles on ir and ray 466 00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:21,000 Speaker 1: Kwon Smith. Yeah, their nose tackle will not play this week. 467 00:26:21,080 --> 00:26:23,600 Speaker 1: But here's how I look at it. A lot of 468 00:26:23,640 --> 00:26:26,320 Speaker 1: people are saying, oh, well, you know you had trouble 469 00:26:26,320 --> 00:26:28,520 Speaker 1: in the red zone last week. Why don't you activate 470 00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:30,440 Speaker 1: Zach Moss and use him to pound it in in 471 00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:31,879 Speaker 1: the red zone. I don't know if you do that 472 00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:34,600 Speaker 1: against this Miami team, because if there's one thing Miami 473 00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:37,280 Speaker 1: is good at, it's bowing up at the line of scrimmage. 474 00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:41,720 Speaker 1: Big heavy defensive lineman, you know, big stack, you know 475 00:26:41,760 --> 00:26:45,320 Speaker 1: in the whole linebackers. I think you race them to 476 00:26:45,359 --> 00:26:48,280 Speaker 1: the edge. This is not a long chase front seven, 477 00:26:48,800 --> 00:26:50,919 Speaker 1: and so I think you can use speed to the 478 00:26:51,040 --> 00:26:53,399 Speaker 1: edge here to your advantage, even in the red zone. 479 00:26:53,800 --> 00:26:56,920 Speaker 1: I would be surprised if they try to just mash 480 00:26:57,000 --> 00:26:59,399 Speaker 1: at the line of scrimmage in the red zone in 481 00:26:59,400 --> 00:27:02,679 Speaker 1: particular goal to go situations. I think they work the 482 00:27:02,800 --> 00:27:05,920 Speaker 1: edges of the formation knowing that this Miami defense isn't 483 00:27:06,000 --> 00:27:10,040 Speaker 1: great in pursuit from the backside long chase players that 484 00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:12,280 Speaker 1: kind of stuff. Jerrold Baker is a good long chase 485 00:27:12,320 --> 00:27:14,880 Speaker 1: player the line the middle linebacker, but outside of him, 486 00:27:15,400 --> 00:27:17,159 Speaker 1: you don't have a lot of speed demons in that 487 00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:19,000 Speaker 1: front seven. It's hard to do in the red zone. 488 00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:21,160 Speaker 1: But one thing you want to get a defense due 489 00:27:21,240 --> 00:27:23,479 Speaker 1: and in the red zone is going side to side. 490 00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:25,679 Speaker 1: You don't want them in your backfield. You don't want 491 00:27:25,720 --> 00:27:28,280 Speaker 1: them penetrating. That's and you know, even you can picture it, 492 00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:30,040 Speaker 1: even when you pack it in there and go you know, 493 00:27:30,280 --> 00:27:32,639 Speaker 1: tight ends, tight and stuff. The thing that crushes it 494 00:27:32,720 --> 00:27:35,960 Speaker 1: is penetration. That's the way it is for everybody. So 495 00:27:36,080 --> 00:27:37,880 Speaker 1: if you can get guys like that who aren't long 496 00:27:38,000 --> 00:27:40,160 Speaker 1: chase players thinking they got to get to the sideline 497 00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:43,280 Speaker 1: and get them going that way, change the directions and issues. 498 00:27:43,320 --> 00:27:45,199 Speaker 1: So you could see end a rounds or back and 499 00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:48,679 Speaker 1: forth kind of plays or throwback kind of plays, or 500 00:27:48,720 --> 00:27:51,160 Speaker 1: getting the ball out of Josh's hands to the sideline 501 00:27:51,240 --> 00:27:53,840 Speaker 1: quick and trying to punch it in that way. You'll 502 00:27:53,840 --> 00:27:57,040 Speaker 1: see some of that. I think maybe to get this 503 00:27:57,160 --> 00:28:01,080 Speaker 1: defense spread thin because that's where the spaces. The reason 504 00:28:01,119 --> 00:28:03,439 Speaker 1: it's hard to score in the red zone is the 505 00:28:03,560 --> 00:28:06,040 Speaker 1: end line of the end zone. The defense doesn't have 506 00:28:06,080 --> 00:28:08,080 Speaker 1: to retreat it. You can't take the top off the defense. 507 00:28:08,119 --> 00:28:11,800 Speaker 1: The back line does that, so the space becomes sideline 508 00:28:11,800 --> 00:28:14,320 Speaker 1: to sideline and that's where you have to find it. 509 00:28:14,400 --> 00:28:18,399 Speaker 1: And that's why Josh running the corners good good idea, 510 00:28:18,480 --> 00:28:21,119 Speaker 1: and throwing the football out there quickness digs is a 511 00:28:21,160 --> 00:28:24,760 Speaker 1: good idea. All of that, Let's not forget last year 512 00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:30,359 Speaker 1: against the Bills, Brian Flores put six, sometimes seven defensive 513 00:28:30,359 --> 00:28:33,280 Speaker 1: backs on the field defensively against the Bills. I thought 514 00:28:33,320 --> 00:28:37,119 Speaker 1: that was an indication that he knew his linebackers could 515 00:28:37,160 --> 00:28:40,320 Speaker 1: not hang with the skill position players on this team. 516 00:28:40,560 --> 00:28:43,680 Speaker 1: They were they had a speed deficiency. He knew it, 517 00:28:44,000 --> 00:28:46,480 Speaker 1: so he put faster players on the field. The question 518 00:28:46,680 --> 00:28:49,760 Speaker 1: is if they see that again, do the Bills CounterPunch 519 00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:53,040 Speaker 1: with a power run game and just run over all 520 00:28:53,040 --> 00:28:56,240 Speaker 1: those dbs. So maybe Zach Moss is active, but maybe 521 00:28:56,280 --> 00:28:58,760 Speaker 1: not for red zone for stuff between the twenties. If 522 00:28:58,800 --> 00:29:01,640 Speaker 1: in fact, the Dolphins throw seven dbs out there. If 523 00:29:01,640 --> 00:29:05,200 Speaker 1: that happens, you throw Devin Singletary out there, is Zach 524 00:29:05,240 --> 00:29:07,040 Speaker 1: Moss out there, but you run a couple of plays 525 00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:09,160 Speaker 1: first and second down if you can get it, and 526 00:29:09,280 --> 00:29:11,120 Speaker 1: you've got them split out wide, and they say, well, 527 00:29:11,120 --> 00:29:13,080 Speaker 1: if they're gonna do that, we're gonna counter. We gotta 528 00:29:13,120 --> 00:29:15,640 Speaker 1: throw another dB out there to get into the secondary. 529 00:29:15,800 --> 00:29:17,560 Speaker 1: Then when they do that, you go no huddle. You 530 00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:21,240 Speaker 1: bring Moss into the into the formation, and then you 531 00:29:21,320 --> 00:29:22,960 Speaker 1: run it when they get there at other dB in 532 00:29:23,120 --> 00:29:26,200 Speaker 1: or other two dbs in, and you take advantage of 533 00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:30,000 Speaker 1: the size if you can. Miami will have some ideas 534 00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:31,680 Speaker 1: about that as well. So you got to catch him 535 00:29:31,720 --> 00:29:35,800 Speaker 1: and go tempo rub. If they get guys out there 536 00:29:35,800 --> 00:29:37,480 Speaker 1: that you think you match up one way or the other, 537 00:29:37,560 --> 00:29:39,959 Speaker 1: run or pass. That's what you do, and you do 538 00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:44,000 Speaker 1: it fast. It's gonna be a fun cat and mouse 539 00:29:44,040 --> 00:29:47,400 Speaker 1: game between the Bills outfits and the Dolphins. It's gonna 540 00:29:47,400 --> 00:29:49,240 Speaker 1: be hard too, because none of us, no I don't 541 00:29:49,240 --> 00:29:51,560 Speaker 1: know exactly what the Bill's identity is gonna be, and 542 00:29:51,640 --> 00:29:53,720 Speaker 1: neither of the Dolphins and the Dolphins don't know exactly 543 00:29:53,760 --> 00:29:56,440 Speaker 1: what their identity is gonna be because it's it's weak. Two. Yeah, 544 00:29:56,640 --> 00:29:58,520 Speaker 1: so we found out a little bit in week one. 545 00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:01,640 Speaker 1: Now let's see. Now, let's see if we can find 546 00:30:01,640 --> 00:30:04,600 Speaker 1: out a little more. That'll do it for this edition 547 00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:07,360 Speaker 1: of One Bill's Light, where we do all the work 548 00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:10,200 Speaker 1: of crunching the numbers so you can enjoy them. For 549 00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:13,480 Speaker 1: Steve Tasker, I'm Chris Brown. We'll catch you in another 550 00:30:13,560 --> 00:30:17,640 Speaker 1: podcast form in a couple of weeks as we unveil 551 00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:22,960 Speaker 1: our newly branded podcast with a special sponsor. Keep your 552 00:30:23,000 --> 00:30:26,320 Speaker 1: eyes and ears open, everybody, you'll see us real soon.