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Speaker 1: Welcome to Sharper's Square the podcast. We are presented by

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Speaker 1: hard Rock bet. We are part of the Volume podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: This is the show that makes the square Sharper. It

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Speaker 1: makes the wise guys pay attention. That's been especially true

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Speaker 1: during the NCABLE Tournament. I am Shadmull and I am

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Speaker 1: joined us always by my bff, my co host, my companion,

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Speaker 1: Mike Compot, great professional.

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Speaker 2: Better Simon Hunter, Ella, Simon Chad.

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Speaker 3: How are we feeling, dude?

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Speaker 1: Turns out we are great college basketball handicappers because we

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Speaker 1: have crushed it last week. I think Iowa was Simon says,

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Speaker 1: I think Tennessee was was our brass balls or something

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Speaker 1: like that. So we had them outright to win as

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Speaker 1: underdogs plus money. My goodness, my goodness, that was amazing.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you know me.

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Speaker 4: I definitely parlayed them together as well, and unfortunately lost

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Speaker 4: it all in the Phillies. The Phillies have just been

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Speaker 4: horrible art the season, and I've been I've been paying

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Speaker 4: for it.

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Speaker 3: So, like I always say, don't bet with your heart,

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Speaker 3: bet with your head, and betting with my heart has

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Speaker 3: been costing me. But when we listen to smart people

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Speaker 3: like Duck, we've been we've been winning some money.

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Speaker 4: So yeah, the well, obviously we'll get into it with

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Speaker 4: the Duke game and anything like that. But I always

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Speaker 4: talk about these these games and it didn't It didn't

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Speaker 4: work in Tennessee and Michigan. But betting the dog whoever

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Speaker 4: down twenty at halftime, it has to be profitable over

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Speaker 4: the last like ten years. Like you take in college basketball,

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Speaker 4: the team down at halftime by twenty, you know, I

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Speaker 4: really do think I I it was like thirty to

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Speaker 4: one or twenty five to one. Tennessee. They obviously got rolled.

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Speaker 4: I think they lost by thirty obviously, but Yukon same thing.

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Speaker 4: It was like crazy. I think it was like twenty

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Speaker 4: five to one. Put a little on it, and yeah

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Speaker 4: that you know, it doesn't always work out, but when

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Speaker 4: it hits, it really.

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Speaker 3: Hits big time. Right.

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Speaker 4: That's why we love college basketball. So yeah, we definitely

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Speaker 4: got dive into that one because there's just between the

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Speaker 4: hurley and the referee and you know what's going on

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Speaker 4: now with do with even at the end of with

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Speaker 4: coach k but they just keep having.

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Speaker 3: These horrible, soul crushing losses.

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Speaker 4: And like I said, I am a fan. It's a

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Speaker 4: childhood team. But I'm not like a true Duke fan.

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Speaker 4: This will affect me. It hurt that night, but the

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Speaker 4: next day I was just like, man that I rewatch replay.

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Speaker 4: It's like, those are the best, Those are the best

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Speaker 4: sports moms, right, chat, isn't that what we go on

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Speaker 4: our driveway?

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Speaker 3: We're envision that shot. It's the best.

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Speaker 1: It's so insane that it happened the way it did.

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Speaker 2: And you can look John Shire sat it after the game.

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Speaker 1: That's not the one play in which they lost the game, right,

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Speaker 1: They missed a free throw right before that. They had

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Speaker 1: multiple instances where players just fell to the ground and

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Speaker 1: lost the ball and handed it to you. Kind It

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Speaker 1: was almost like out of a movie or.

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Speaker 2: Like in Friday Night Lights.

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Speaker 1: I used to love the show Friday Night Lights, and

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Speaker 1: at the end of every game there'd be these crazy,

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Speaker 1: impossible situations where the other team made the exact mistake

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Speaker 1: that it needed to make at the exact time. That's

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Speaker 1: kind of what it looked like watching Duke, like they

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Speaker 1: were in a movie and completely forgot how to play

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Speaker 1: basketball for a little while. And Yukon, which is such

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Speaker 1: an emotional team to watch, and look, I am in

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Speaker 1: the middle of Yukon country, Like I can literally see

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Speaker 1: Luke Murray, the assistant.

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Speaker 2: Coach for Yukon.

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Speaker 1: I can see the back of his house from my

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Speaker 1: window where I'm sitting right now.

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Speaker 2: And like it is a crazy.

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Speaker 1: Yukon environment here. Half my block is going to the

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Speaker 1: Final four and so you could you could almost hear

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Speaker 1: people screaming all around my neighborhood. When Yukon won that game,

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Speaker 1: it was so miraculous. And I freaking love watching Danny

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Speaker 1: Hurley coach. He is all in and that whole referee

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Speaker 1: thing in the end, like I don't even know what

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Speaker 1: he was doing. I don't know why he went.

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Speaker 3: I do, I do? I saw the clip.

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Speaker 4: Basically the ref said he was saying something to him

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Speaker 4: and they couldn't hear anything because everyone was going so crazy.

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Speaker 4: So he basically really got right in his face to

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Speaker 4: hear what he was saying. So the ref said he

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Speaker 4: was the one talking to him, that he's the one

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Speaker 4: that initiated it. Ah, He's such a psychopath. I was

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Speaker 4: right there with you. I was like, what just happened?

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Speaker 4: Was watching that live. I could not believe what I

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Speaker 4: just witnessed with the coach. But again, this is why

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Speaker 4: I love this guy, like, I'm so glad he didn't

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Speaker 4: go the NBA, right and the NBA would not work.

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Speaker 4: But in college you're just it's the best because again

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Speaker 4: there's still they are adults, obviously, but it's like kids

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Speaker 4: with the crazy head coach.

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Speaker 3: That's what it always feels like.

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Speaker 4: And he is that perfect bill of He's right on

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Speaker 4: the borderline of madness and genius.

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Speaker 3: And yeah, you can never doubt Ukon. This is ridiculous.

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Speaker 3: What is this chad like? Twenty years of Yukon doing this.

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Speaker 1: Man, It's it's amazing. It's totally amazing. Listen between the

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Speaker 1: men's and the women's teams. I live in the basketball

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Speaker 1: capital of the world, in the middle of Connecticut. Central

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Speaker 1: Connecticut is the basketball capital of the world, thirty five

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Speaker 1: minutes from Springfield Basketball and in its entirety of success

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Speaker 1: and culture is I'm in the center of it.

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Speaker 2: It's like I'm the heartbeat. We got to go to the.

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Speaker 1: Final four in Indy at least transition to that. All

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Speaker 1: things betting in these two monster matchups.

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Speaker 2: Illinois my home state.

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Speaker 1: This show's all about me and Yukon, Arizona and Michigan. Listen,

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Speaker 1: our buddy Josh Nunn aka Duck, co host of the

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Speaker 1: Big Bets on Campus podcast, has been with us all

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Speaker 1: through the tournament.

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Speaker 2: He's kind of been crushing.

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Speaker 1: He's given us a lot of guidance, and that's kind

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Speaker 1: of why we're crushing.

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Speaker 5: Duck.

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Speaker 2: Welcome back to the show, my friend.

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Speaker 5: Thanks for having me on. Yeah, it's been a real

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Speaker 5: fun turn up to this point. We saw crazy activity

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Speaker 5: in the Sweet sixteen and in the Elite eight rounds,

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Speaker 5: and it's going to set up for an electric Final

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Speaker 5: four this weekend.

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Speaker 3: So I'm excited to break it all down. How you

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Speaker 3: guys been.

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Speaker 5: We've been at the window a little bit. We've gotten

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Speaker 5: the listeners home on some fun bets. I hope you

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Speaker 5: both are doing well.

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Speaker 2: Doc. I feel like we're giving you a gift.

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Speaker 1: I know you're at Disney World right now, and I

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Speaker 1: don't know what you're doing there, but I know when

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Speaker 1: I would have to go to Disney World, if I

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Speaker 1: could get an excuse to do thirty minutes of something

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Speaker 1: that wasn't being at Disney World, I felt like I

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Speaker 1: was being given a present.

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Speaker 2: So you're welcome.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I appreciate it. It allows me some time to dive

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Speaker 5: into doing what I love to do best, and that's

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Speaker 5: handicapped these games and talk about college athletics. So I'm

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Speaker 5: really happy to be honest with you guys. Disney's going

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Speaker 5: to be fun. Though we're here a week. We're going

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Speaker 5: to be at Disney for about four days. We're going

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Speaker 5: to do some beach stuff. So I'm excited to be

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Speaker 5: in Florida.

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Speaker 1: Yeah whatever, listen you before the tournament began, gave us

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Speaker 1: an exotic a fun bet on total seeds in the

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Speaker 1: final four under nine.

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Speaker 2: Congratulations it's at seven.

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Speaker 1: Michigan one, Arizona one, Yukon two, Illinois three. The second

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Speaker 1: bet you gave out also really fun. Last week, three

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Speaker 1: or more lower seed upsets outright in the sweet sixteen

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Speaker 1: plus money Illinois, Iowa, Tennessee.

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Speaker 2: Well done, my friend.

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Speaker 3: Thank you.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, it just it seemed as though there was some

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Speaker 5: level of top heaviness in this NCAA tournament, particularly with

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Speaker 5: the four to one seeds. We only ended up seeing

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Speaker 5: two of them get to the final four, but it

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Speaker 5: really wouldn't have affected anything regardless of Duke and Yukon's

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Speaker 5: outcome for this specific wager. And you know, we saw

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Speaker 5: Iowa give Illinois a real run for their money in

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Speaker 5: the Elite eight. But I just kind of thought that

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Speaker 5: that number on the total seeds to make the final

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Speaker 5: four was about one too high, and so I thought

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Speaker 5: there was value in taking the under, and that turned

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Speaker 5: out that it was. And then as we get down

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Speaker 5: to these later rounds of the tournament, we see the

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Speaker 5: talent disparity gets so condensed, and so the pricing in

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Speaker 5: these lines was very competitive, and it really wasn't that

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Speaker 5: much of a shock to see the teams that ended

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Speaker 5: up winning do. So it wasn't the monumental upset that

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Speaker 5: allowed for that second exotic to cash. It was just

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Speaker 5: two or three really competitive teams playing another real competitive team.

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Speaker 5: These lines were about three points or less almost in

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Speaker 5: every circumstance, so we had a couple of breaks go

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Speaker 5: our way to get that one to the window. And

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Speaker 5: I think it really allows for some compelling matchups now

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Speaker 5: that we're even beyond the Sweet sixteen and into the

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Speaker 5: Final four.

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Speaker 2: And now you've got extra money to buy yourself a

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Speaker 2: turkey leg.

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Speaker 5: Now I got extra money to buy myself something that

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Speaker 5: I won't need when I'm at Disney World this week.

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Speaker 1: Listen Duke, we talked about Duke Simon, they struggled against

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Speaker 1: Sienna in the first round. They trailed TCU in the

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Speaker 1: second half, they had their hands full with Saint John's

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Speaker 1: and the Sweet sixteen they blew a nineteen point lead

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Speaker 1: to Yukon. We've all seen how it ends. Duke up

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Speaker 1: to only ten seconds left inbounding the ball. Matt Mitchell

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Speaker 1: played this clip.

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Speaker 3: When Boozer they double them back to Sar. Now I

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Speaker 3: head to Kayden Boozer he the steal, Mullens gets it.

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Speaker 4: It's paravan to Bullen's long right scree.

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Speaker 3: Bullen's delivers dedlom dedlam.

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Speaker 1: Here Simon, I want Matt Mitchell to play the second

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Speaker 1: clip from Duke, and then I want your reaction because

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Speaker 1: everything about what happened is so Duke. I cannot believe

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Speaker 1: the way it went down. Matt Mitchell play the clip.

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Speaker 3: Bobbled it back for Sar and needs to get rid

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Speaker 3: of it.

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Speaker 4: Dunser Kaiden seven seconds trying to throw it ahead, deflected,

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Speaker 4: stolen by Connecticut two seconds.

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Speaker 3: It's Smolan's up top for the wind. Oh he hit

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Speaker 3: it with three tenths of a second ago. Tyler Kai

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Speaker 3: Smith ran off the bench. That should be a technical but.

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Speaker 4: With three tints of a second ago, Connecticut has the

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Speaker 4: least seventy three to seventy two.

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Speaker 1: Simon, as a Duke guy, this is the clip that

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Speaker 1: made the reds.

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Speaker 2: And it felt like the.

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Speaker 1: Most Duke thing ever that this guy was out there

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Speaker 1: claiming it should be a technical. He's looking, he's literally

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Speaker 1: looking for the technicalities to give Duke the opportunity to

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Speaker 1: get back to the free throw line.

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Speaker 2: As a Duke fan, how do you feel about that?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, as a fellow Duke, Douchehi right away was like, yeah,

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Speaker 4: that's a tech where's the rest in this? But yeah,

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Speaker 4: like I said, it's been it's been a ton of

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Speaker 4: carm and pain just coming as a Duke fan. I

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Speaker 4: like this year of hand better in the past, Like

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Speaker 4: there's been just how every year, Like you know, we've

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Speaker 4: wasted so much talent that's come through Duke.

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Speaker 3: And you know that play, you catch the.

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Speaker 4: Ball, you bend down, even if your head like a

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Speaker 4: grainy shot up into the air, you just eat up

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Speaker 4: three seconds throwing the ball into the air. And he

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Speaker 4: did the exact dumb move, right, He tried to move

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Speaker 4: the ball down the court, did not the violation penally, right,

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Speaker 4: and it's like it's it's just it's brutal. Because I

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Speaker 4: even saw the clip of them going over that exact

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Speaker 4: moment and that play and what to do in those

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Speaker 4: final seconds the night before the game.

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Speaker 3: So it's why we love sports.

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Speaker 4: And I talk of the time, like people can get

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Speaker 4: mad about how I get on about championships, but it's

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Speaker 4: so hard. You can have all the talent in the

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Speaker 4: world if you're not mentally right in the right moments.

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Speaker 4: And the other team is like that kid shooting that

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Speaker 4: ball huge right because his teammate passed it back to

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Speaker 4: him and a split second he's at half court half

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Speaker 4: court shooting at three.

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Speaker 3: So it's the best.

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Speaker 4: It's like, why again, while we talk about why we

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Speaker 4: love basketball, it's those exact scenarios. And as soon as

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Speaker 4: they got the deflection, everyone knew.

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Speaker 3: I feel like we all knew that way.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I hit it three, and it's like, oh my god,

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Speaker 4: they're doing it.

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Speaker 3: This is actually happening right now. So yeah, the.

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Speaker 4: Boozer Brothers handed on the class after the afterwards, did

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Speaker 4: all the interviews. You know, I just can't get over there.

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Speaker 4: Just kids and they handle like such a professional. This

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Speaker 4: new generation chat is.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, well they're so savvy. Look at what Caravan did. Right,

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Speaker 1: there's five seconds left. He gets the ball in the wing.

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Speaker 2: He's their leader, he's the guy who's.

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Speaker 1: Won national titles. He had an opportunity to take a

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Speaker 1: contested shot, recognize the situation, saw his teammate coming up

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Speaker 1: from behind, and knows what kind of shooter he is,

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Speaker 1: and got him the ball in a really good shooting position.

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Speaker 1: Even though it was a long shot, it wasn't nearly

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Speaker 1: as contested, and the guy made it. He made the

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Speaker 1: exact perfect play. How much of that is because of

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Speaker 1: the coaching? How much of that is because situational awareness?

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Speaker 1: How much of that is because he had been through

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Speaker 1: four seasons of college basketball? You know, it's probably as

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Speaker 1: a it's alchemy, man, It's all of it.

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Speaker 2: And let's talk about what.

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Speaker 1: That means for Duke and for Yukon. I mean, as

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Speaker 1: All right, First game up Saturday, six oh nine pm

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Speaker 1: Eastern three seed Illinois, two seed Yukon. Doc Illinois is

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Speaker 1: a two point favorite. The total is one thirty nine

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Speaker 1: and a half. I'm not really surprised that Illinois was

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Speaker 1: the favorite in this game. The Big Ten's had a

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Speaker 1: better tournament. They've been playing incredibly well. I think that

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Speaker 1: there's more enthusiasm and more respect for the way the

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Speaker 1: Big Ten plays and Yukon plays coming out of its tournament.

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Speaker 1: And I think Illinois has been a phenomenal team and

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Speaker 1: a phenomenal offensive.

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Speaker 2: Team all year.

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Speaker 1: Were you surprised at the number? Did you see Illinois

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Speaker 1: as the favorite in this matchup?

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Speaker 5: I think it's probably competitively priced a point and a

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Speaker 5: half is where I would have made it. So I

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Speaker 5: think we saw that line open about that and got

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Speaker 5: bet up a little bit. You can find some two

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Speaker 5: and a half on Yukon if you like that side.

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Speaker 5: I think the question comes down to if Yukon can

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Speaker 5: force some turnovers against the Alliini, who are a top

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Speaker 5: ten level team and protecting the basketball offensively. But Yukon,

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00:16:10,320 --> 00:16:12,760
Speaker 5: they're gonna gamble a little bit defensively, and we've seen

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Speaker 5: those gambles payoff at times. We've seen those gambles lead

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Speaker 5: to easy shots for their opponent. I think it's critical

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Speaker 5: to see Yukon force some turnovers of Illinois. Illinois is

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Speaker 5: not going to force them. Their defensive mosaic is just

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00:16:26,040 --> 00:16:28,720
Speaker 5: one where they just don't attempt to provide a lot

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Speaker 5: of on ball pressure and they don't force a lot

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Speaker 5: of turnovers. So I think we're gonna get an honest

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Speaker 5: game in the half court from Yukon. We're going to

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00:16:35,080 --> 00:16:37,760
Speaker 5: see a lot of opportunities for Yukon to run their sets,

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Speaker 5: and we shouldn't have turnovers be a real liability for them.

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Speaker 5: But if they force ten or twelve turnovers of Illinois,

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Speaker 5: that's going to really put the pressure on the ALIGNI

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Speaker 5: can Yukon make some shots. Entering the final four, they

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Speaker 5: were twenty seven out of ninety three from deep, and

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Speaker 5: we saw it in the game against Duke. We saw

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00:16:56,440 --> 00:17:01,160
Speaker 5: guys like Solo Ball and Caravan and Mulley go a

345
00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:05,800
Speaker 5: combine two of seventeen from three and they were still

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00:17:05,840 --> 00:17:07,439
Speaker 5: able to find a way to win the game. I

347
00:17:07,520 --> 00:17:10,240
Speaker 5: know that Yukon wants to play some high low. They

348
00:17:10,240 --> 00:17:12,200
Speaker 5: want to get the ball inside, and I think Terris

349
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Speaker 5: Reid is a guy that can really have an impact

350
00:17:14,440 --> 00:17:17,320
Speaker 5: here as long as he can stay out of foul trouble.

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Speaker 5: Yukon played Illinois earlier this season. They dominated the matchup,

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Speaker 5: but Reid was in foul trouble. I think he only

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Speaker 5: played about fourteen minutes. If he is able to stay

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Speaker 5: on the floor, stay out of foul trouble, and impact

355
00:17:30,800 --> 00:17:34,000
Speaker 5: the game on both ends of the floor, I think

356
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Speaker 5: Yukon has a really good chance to win this game.

357
00:17:36,359 --> 00:17:39,639
Speaker 5: Illinois cannot start slow like they did against Iowa. Yukon

358
00:17:39,720 --> 00:17:43,080
Speaker 5: is too athletic. There's too much tenacity on the defensive end.

359
00:17:44,359 --> 00:17:46,800
Speaker 5: I think it could be real trouble for Illinois if

360
00:17:46,800 --> 00:17:49,119
Speaker 5: they're just trying to play catch up against Yukon like

361
00:17:49,160 --> 00:17:52,000
Speaker 5: they had to against Iowa. I just don't foresee that

362
00:17:52,160 --> 00:17:54,280
Speaker 5: Yukon is a team that's going to surrender a real

363
00:17:54,320 --> 00:17:56,960
Speaker 5: big run as long as they're big men can stay

364
00:17:57,000 --> 00:18:00,640
Speaker 5: out of foul trouble. So the paces going to be slow.

365
00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:02,439
Speaker 5: Both of these teams are going to be methodical on

366
00:18:02,480 --> 00:18:05,960
Speaker 5: the offensive end, and both are two ninety six or

367
00:18:06,040 --> 00:18:10,960
Speaker 5: slower in offensive operating tempo. I think Terris Reid is

368
00:18:10,960 --> 00:18:12,520
Speaker 5: gonna have a big game. So the way I would

369
00:18:12,520 --> 00:18:14,720
Speaker 5: play this initially, if you don't love the side er

370
00:18:14,800 --> 00:18:17,760
Speaker 5: total either way, Reid's point total is fifteen and a

371
00:18:17,800 --> 00:18:19,720
Speaker 5: half and I'd go over there. I think he's going

372
00:18:19,720 --> 00:18:21,439
Speaker 5: to get to the stripe. I think he's going to

373
00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:24,639
Speaker 5: get and the Yukon will be able to procure some

374
00:18:24,720 --> 00:18:29,800
Speaker 5: paint touches. If Yukon has any confidence with their shooters

375
00:18:29,800 --> 00:18:32,080
Speaker 5: and they're nailing a few shots early, that's going to

376
00:18:32,520 --> 00:18:36,240
Speaker 5: require Illinois to expand their defense. And Reid's gonna cook

377
00:18:36,240 --> 00:18:38,840
Speaker 5: in the post. So I like over fifteen and a

378
00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:41,080
Speaker 5: half points for Tarras Reid. I think Yukon can win

379
00:18:41,119 --> 00:18:45,320
Speaker 5: this game. I initially said on this program earlier in

380
00:18:45,320 --> 00:18:47,200
Speaker 5: the tournament that I thought there was a chance that

381
00:18:47,640 --> 00:18:50,760
Speaker 5: Yukon might have been a hair overseeded. But these guys,

382
00:18:51,560 --> 00:18:55,480
Speaker 5: they have played really good situational basketball. They I mean

383
00:18:55,640 --> 00:18:57,679
Speaker 5: the comeback alone, I think that you can see that

384
00:18:57,760 --> 00:19:00,679
Speaker 5: really become a springboard for Yukon. I think they have

385
00:19:00,720 --> 00:19:02,280
Speaker 5: a really good chance to win this game. So I

386
00:19:02,280 --> 00:19:05,080
Speaker 5: wouldn't be surprised if it comes down to the last

387
00:19:05,080 --> 00:19:09,480
Speaker 5: two minutes. If you know the thing about Yukon, they

388
00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:11,920
Speaker 5: block a lot of shots, and Illinois really do try

389
00:19:11,920 --> 00:19:13,639
Speaker 5: to get the ball into the rim, get it to

390
00:19:13,680 --> 00:19:16,080
Speaker 5: the rim. I think Yukon has a really good defensive

391
00:19:16,080 --> 00:19:20,680
Speaker 5: advantage here. It's going to be hard for Illinois, specifically Stoyakovic,

392
00:19:20,760 --> 00:19:23,199
Speaker 5: who comes in off the bench and you know his

393
00:19:23,280 --> 00:19:25,320
Speaker 5: dad Paigia, was such a shooter, but he likes to

394
00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:27,439
Speaker 5: get to the tin. He likes to drive and create

395
00:19:27,840 --> 00:19:31,119
Speaker 5: off the bounce. I think he's key for Illinois, and

396
00:19:31,119 --> 00:19:34,199
Speaker 5: I don't know that his game really suits what Yukon

397
00:19:34,280 --> 00:19:36,959
Speaker 5: wants to do defensively, so I kind of think it's

398
00:19:36,960 --> 00:19:39,560
Speaker 5: a tough matchup for Illinois and Yukon really should have

399
00:19:39,600 --> 00:19:40,400
Speaker 5: a good showing here.

400
00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:45,359
Speaker 1: Simon. I think in honor of your co host. We

401
00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:47,000
Speaker 1: should bet Yukon as an underdog.

402
00:19:47,520 --> 00:19:48,520
Speaker 2: Let's just take him out, right.

403
00:19:49,680 --> 00:19:51,320
Speaker 3: Yeah. I felt like Joe Publock right away.

404
00:19:51,359 --> 00:19:53,960
Speaker 4: As soon as I saw this open, I was like, Okay,

405
00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:55,720
Speaker 4: I wonder what the pros are gonna do. And they've

406
00:19:55,800 --> 00:19:58,040
Speaker 4: obviously come in and taken a position on Illinois here,

407
00:19:58,040 --> 00:20:02,120
Speaker 4: and I'm like, you, guys, where it's you have Yukon,

408
00:20:02,160 --> 00:20:03,879
Speaker 4: who has the players who have been there and done it,

409
00:20:03,960 --> 00:20:06,320
Speaker 4: and the coach's been there and done it, playing a

410
00:20:06,359 --> 00:20:08,920
Speaker 4: team that hasn't really ever been in this type of

411
00:20:08,920 --> 00:20:11,359
Speaker 4: scenario before, and now they have a whole week to

412
00:20:11,400 --> 00:20:13,240
Speaker 4: think on it. That's why I love College of Basketball.

413
00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:15,359
Speaker 4: It's like they've gone back to school and they're the

414
00:20:15,359 --> 00:20:17,960
Speaker 4: heroes for this week, right, and they're not some schools

415
00:20:18,000 --> 00:20:20,960
Speaker 4: are on scream break whatever it is. They're enjoying themselves, right.

416
00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:23,119
Speaker 4: I know they're working hard, they're getting ready for what's ahead,

417
00:20:23,160 --> 00:20:26,280
Speaker 4: but it's like, mentally, you drink a little bit of it.

418
00:20:26,320 --> 00:20:28,800
Speaker 3: We're Hurley, we've seen it. The man's a crazy person.

419
00:20:28,840 --> 00:20:29,400
Speaker 3: I'm with you.

420
00:20:29,680 --> 00:20:30,760
Speaker 4: I mean, I don't know if we're gonna make this

421
00:20:30,800 --> 00:20:34,040
Speaker 4: brass balls or Simon says, but we gotta take Yukon's

422
00:20:34,080 --> 00:20:35,800
Speaker 4: money line. I mean, what show would this be if

423
00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:38,679
Speaker 4: we don't take Yukon's moneyline. I'm so happy Duck is

424
00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:40,320
Speaker 4: on there with us, because that doesn't mean you're gonna be.

425
00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:41,119
Speaker 3: Just a Joe public.

426
00:20:41,160 --> 00:20:43,119
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's nice to hear some pros are join us

427
00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:44,680
Speaker 4: on this this Ukon side.

428
00:20:44,840 --> 00:20:48,160
Speaker 1: It's so funny, you say, like these kids back at school.

429
00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:52,320
Speaker 1: And last night I took our dog out, you know,

430
00:20:52,480 --> 00:20:56,479
Speaker 1: like ten or ten thirty, and I don't know why.

431
00:20:56,920 --> 00:21:00,280
Speaker 1: It was what Monday night, and I started thinking about out,

432
00:21:01,280 --> 00:21:05,119
Speaker 1: like I wondered if everybody who was maybe I just

433
00:21:05,280 --> 00:21:07,080
Speaker 1: someone had just oh, I had just seen like a

434
00:21:07,080 --> 00:21:09,600
Speaker 1: clip of the Yukon thing again. You know, I was

435
00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:13,520
Speaker 1: scrolling before I took the dog out, and I was

436
00:21:13,520 --> 00:21:15,199
Speaker 1: seeing myself, Oh, I wonder if they went back to

437
00:21:15,240 --> 00:21:18,159
Speaker 1: campus and you know, if everyone's going Oh it was

438
00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:21,159
Speaker 1: a scene of everyone on Yukon's campus going crazy. So

439
00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:22,679
Speaker 1: I was thinking, I goh, my god, I wonder if

440
00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:25,080
Speaker 1: the kids are back on campus and what happens and

441
00:21:25,119 --> 00:21:29,840
Speaker 1: when they're going to go, and thinking about what a

442
00:21:29,920 --> 00:21:33,600
Speaker 1: difficult transition it would be to go from being in

443
00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:37,760
Speaker 1: stores and the celebration that's happening, and then having to

444
00:21:37,760 --> 00:21:39,520
Speaker 1: get on a plane and come down from all that

445
00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:41,399
Speaker 1: and get focused for the game. That's what the coaches

446
00:21:41,400 --> 00:21:44,680
Speaker 1: are supposed to do. But you're right, it's totally wild, Simon.

447
00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:47,240
Speaker 1: We're going to do it. Let's do it right now.

448
00:21:47,600 --> 00:21:50,160
Speaker 3: Our brass balls better.

449
00:21:50,000 --> 00:21:54,560
Speaker 1: The week presented by hard Rock that we're going with

450
00:21:54,600 --> 00:21:55,639
Speaker 1: the Yukon Huskies.

451
00:21:56,080 --> 00:21:56,879
Speaker 3: You know what it takes.

452
00:21:57,520 --> 00:22:02,919
Speaker 6: It takes brass balls.

453
00:22:01,440 --> 00:22:02,320
Speaker 2: Not even plus two.

454
00:22:02,600 --> 00:22:06,240
Speaker 1: We're taking them out right second game, say eight forty

455
00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:07,560
Speaker 1: nine pm Eastern.

456
00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:10,840
Speaker 2: Everyone's saying this is the Rio Championship.

457
00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:12,720
Speaker 1: I don't buy it because I love the plot of

458
00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:14,440
Speaker 1: both of those teams and I'm gonna see you kind

459
00:22:14,440 --> 00:22:15,080
Speaker 1: of in the finals.

460
00:22:15,760 --> 00:22:17,920
Speaker 2: Michigan is a one and a half point favorite.

461
00:22:17,920 --> 00:22:20,879
Speaker 1: This line, Duck has not moved the total one p

462
00:22:20,960 --> 00:22:23,080
Speaker 1: fifty seven and a half, obviously much higher than it

463
00:22:23,119 --> 00:22:25,359
Speaker 1: is for you, Kond of Illinois to slower paced teams.

464
00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:28,400
Speaker 2: What are you thinking about this one, Duck?

465
00:22:29,720 --> 00:22:32,520
Speaker 5: A true coin flip. I've seen these teams play numerous times,

466
00:22:32,560 --> 00:22:35,280
Speaker 5: and every time I watch Michigan and Arizona, I feel

467
00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:37,920
Speaker 5: like either one of these teams can win the National championship.

468
00:22:38,400 --> 00:22:40,720
Speaker 5: I never really felt that way watching Duke. I felt

469
00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:44,080
Speaker 5: like Duke had some flaws, and once their personnel was injured,

470
00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:47,439
Speaker 5: it just kind of seemed like a team that was

471
00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:52,720
Speaker 5: on a different level than Michigan and Arizona. Arizona has

472
00:22:52,760 --> 00:22:55,960
Speaker 5: such a fifth gear. We saw it against Purdue where

473
00:22:56,119 --> 00:22:59,359
Speaker 5: the Wildcats scored nineteen points in the first six minutes

474
00:22:59,400 --> 00:23:01,800
Speaker 5: of the first half, and then they went on this

475
00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:05,000
Speaker 5: unbelievable cold stretch where they couldn't hit shots, they couldn't

476
00:23:05,080 --> 00:23:07,760
Speaker 5: hit free throws, they weren't making three point shots, which

477
00:23:07,800 --> 00:23:10,480
Speaker 5: they don't take a lot of. It was probably the

478
00:23:10,520 --> 00:23:13,840
Speaker 5: coldest stretch I've seen in quite some time for Arizona.

479
00:23:13,960 --> 00:23:16,560
Speaker 5: They go into the half down seven, and you just

480
00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:19,640
Speaker 5: saw them completely tear Purdue apart in the second half,

481
00:23:19,720 --> 00:23:23,040
Speaker 5: forty eight to twenty six. They outscored the Boilers in

482
00:23:23,080 --> 00:23:27,280
Speaker 5: the second half, and there was just there was no

483
00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:31,040
Speaker 5: answer for Purdue. Michigan is really going to have to

484
00:23:31,800 --> 00:23:35,080
Speaker 5: play this well in the post or it could be trouble.

485
00:23:35,160 --> 00:23:38,480
Speaker 5: I look at Michigan completely dominated Tennessee, and you could

486
00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:41,520
Speaker 5: tell right away with Tennessee in the Elite eight that

487
00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:44,439
Speaker 5: Tennessee was getting open shots from the outside, which is

488
00:23:44,480 --> 00:23:46,400
Speaker 5: not what they want to do. But that's what Michigan

489
00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:48,920
Speaker 5: was giving up, and Tennessee was not hitting them. Even

490
00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:50,879
Speaker 5: when the game was in the balance and Tennessee was

491
00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:54,679
Speaker 5: banging on the offensive glass and collecting offensive rebounds, the

492
00:23:54,720 --> 00:23:56,639
Speaker 5: shots were not falling and you could just tell that

493
00:23:56,680 --> 00:24:01,240
Speaker 5: the run was coming from Michigan. But look at Arizona.

494
00:24:01,280 --> 00:24:03,600
Speaker 5: They shoot fewer threes than anybody in the country. Only

495
00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:06,040
Speaker 5: twenty five percent of their shots come from beyond the arc,

496
00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:08,679
Speaker 5: so they're gonna get the ball into the painted area.

497
00:24:08,840 --> 00:24:12,280
Speaker 5: Michigan has an exceptional rim protecting defense. They've block an

498
00:24:12,280 --> 00:24:15,640
Speaker 5: alter more shots than anybody in the Big Ten. You've

499
00:24:15,680 --> 00:24:18,720
Speaker 5: got Mara who has one hundred blocks. Yaxell and Mores

500
00:24:18,800 --> 00:24:22,600
Speaker 5: Johnson each have fifty block shots this season. But what's

501
00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:26,200
Speaker 5: going to happen if those guys get into foul trouble.

502
00:24:26,280 --> 00:24:28,520
Speaker 5: That's where I would be concerned with Michigan is if

503
00:24:28,560 --> 00:24:31,120
Speaker 5: they're big guys get into foul trouble. And Mara has

504
00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:33,720
Speaker 5: had a propensity to do that during this tournament. Well,

505
00:24:33,720 --> 00:24:36,439
Speaker 5: when he has to sit, they slide Yaxle down a

506
00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:40,000
Speaker 5: position and then they've got a couple of different guys

507
00:24:40,040 --> 00:24:42,640
Speaker 5: that they rotate in, and they play fast, they hit

508
00:24:42,680 --> 00:24:45,440
Speaker 5: outside shots, they create a little bit of tempo off

509
00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:47,600
Speaker 5: of that. I could certainly see that happening here, where

510
00:24:47,600 --> 00:24:50,680
Speaker 5: Arizona's able to get shots at the rim and procure

511
00:24:50,680 --> 00:24:53,480
Speaker 5: trips to the foul line and Michigan counters with some

512
00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:56,520
Speaker 5: pace three point shooting. I don't know that they'll go

513
00:24:56,560 --> 00:24:58,439
Speaker 5: on this huge run that we've seen them go on

514
00:24:58,480 --> 00:25:01,560
Speaker 5: in every game of the NCAA tournament, but I definitely

515
00:25:01,560 --> 00:25:03,920
Speaker 5: think the points are coming here. Michigan is twenty second

516
00:25:03,920 --> 00:25:07,280
Speaker 5: in adjusted tempo, Arizona is fifty sixth out of three

517
00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:11,160
Speaker 5: hundred and sixty five teams. But Michigan is the most

518
00:25:11,160 --> 00:25:14,359
Speaker 5: talented offensive team that Arizona will have faced all season.

519
00:25:14,560 --> 00:25:17,280
Speaker 5: And I just kind of feel like these two teams

520
00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:19,760
Speaker 5: are going to go back and forth years. So if

521
00:25:19,800 --> 00:25:22,439
Speaker 5: you put Cadot and Burnett and Roddy Gale on the

522
00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:26,280
Speaker 5: floor at the same time, if Michigan's post guy Mara

523
00:25:26,400 --> 00:25:28,960
Speaker 5: has has to sit with foul trouble, it's going to

524
00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:31,720
Speaker 5: create pace. It's going to create open looks. Their offensive

525
00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:34,760
Speaker 5: system is so well oiled. I really think this is

526
00:25:34,800 --> 00:25:37,320
Speaker 5: going to be an offensive game here, so I actually

527
00:25:37,440 --> 00:25:39,119
Speaker 5: lean over the total. The total is high at one

528
00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:40,960
Speaker 5: fifty seven and a half, but I lean over the

529
00:25:40,960 --> 00:25:43,880
Speaker 5: posted total as these two offenses are both top five

530
00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:46,720
Speaker 5: in efficiency. I think it's strength on strength here, and

531
00:25:46,760 --> 00:25:48,000
Speaker 5: I think that the points are coming.

532
00:25:48,680 --> 00:25:51,280
Speaker 2: Simon, what are you hearing? Are you? Have you seen

533
00:25:51,320 --> 00:25:54,679
Speaker 2: anything hurt? Anything? Anyone telling you anything on this one?

534
00:25:55,240 --> 00:25:57,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, just like I heard a couple of pros on Illinois.

535
00:25:57,359 --> 00:26:00,800
Speaker 4: I heard some pros like Michigan, and it's just another

536
00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:03,720
Speaker 4: battle tested team that's very long, and you saw how

537
00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:08,000
Speaker 4: when they're rolling that can dominate teams, right, not just

538
00:26:08,080 --> 00:26:09,280
Speaker 4: offensive but defensively.

539
00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:10,880
Speaker 3: Mean, they're just really counted.

540
00:26:10,960 --> 00:26:14,680
Speaker 4: So I don't know it's personally, I honestly won Arizona.

541
00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:16,760
Speaker 4: I feel like, you know, even going back to the

542
00:26:16,800 --> 00:26:19,840
Speaker 4: early twenty tens and early two thousands, Arizona was just

543
00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:22,679
Speaker 4: always that team, right, I mean even going back to

544
00:26:23,520 --> 00:26:25,240
Speaker 4: I mean, when's the last best run they had James

545
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:25,680
Speaker 4: hardin there?

546
00:26:25,880 --> 00:26:30,960
Speaker 6: So it feels like Arizona State, Oh right, I think

547
00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:34,880
Speaker 6: they were like, look, they were great for decades under

548
00:26:34,960 --> 00:26:36,680
Speaker 6: Lou Olson and then they won that title.

549
00:26:36,720 --> 00:26:38,880
Speaker 1: I think it was like ninety nine two thousand, something

550
00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:42,840
Speaker 1: like that. But it's been a minute since Arizona for

551
00:26:42,960 --> 00:26:47,399
Speaker 1: a minute, all right, duck, we've been running hot with

552
00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:54,200
Speaker 1: the Exotics. Anything new, anything from Monday's championship game. If

553
00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:59,159
Speaker 1: you're handicapping it all the way through, let's finish it

554
00:26:59,200 --> 00:27:02,760
Speaker 1: off for the fans.

555
00:27:04,040 --> 00:27:08,320
Speaker 5: I think we will see Yukon advance, and I think

556
00:27:08,359 --> 00:27:12,159
Speaker 5: we will. It is really a coin flip. You're splitting hairs.

557
00:27:12,840 --> 00:27:15,640
Speaker 5: I think Michigan does a better job of forcing its

558
00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:19,600
Speaker 5: opponent to be something that the opponent does not want

559
00:27:19,640 --> 00:27:23,000
Speaker 5: to be, and so I think Michigan will force Arizona

560
00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:26,199
Speaker 5: to have to shoot some threes, and they have some

561
00:27:26,240 --> 00:27:28,679
Speaker 5: shooters that can bury the outside shot, but it's just

562
00:27:28,840 --> 00:27:32,040
Speaker 5: not in their DNA makeup for what they want. For

563
00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:35,360
Speaker 5: that reason, I think Michigan moves on. I think Michigan

564
00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:39,159
Speaker 5: and Yukon play for the national title, another one that

565
00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:41,200
Speaker 5: I think will be a really, really good game.

566
00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:44,120
Speaker 3: It's all line dependent.

567
00:27:44,160 --> 00:27:45,880
Speaker 5: If this comes out at six and a half, seven

568
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:47,680
Speaker 5: and a half, I'd be on Yukon. If it's two

569
00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:50,280
Speaker 5: and a half, I'd probably take Michigan. I would guess,

570
00:27:50,359 --> 00:27:52,600
Speaker 5: gun to my head, Michigan would end up winning the

571
00:27:52,600 --> 00:27:56,119
Speaker 5: whole thing. Wow, very very close.

572
00:27:55,880 --> 00:27:57,879
Speaker 2: Game Michigan.

573
00:28:00,359 --> 00:28:04,320
Speaker 1: On Michigan Alum, that could get really annoying in my house.

574
00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:08,960
Speaker 1: But Doc, you've crushed it all tournament long.

575
00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:11,280
Speaker 2: I want you to enjoy Disney World.

576
00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:13,160
Speaker 1: I want you to spend all the money you've won

577
00:28:13,600 --> 00:28:17,119
Speaker 1: on really important things that will make the world a

578
00:28:17,119 --> 00:28:20,240
Speaker 1: better place because they were bought at Disney World.

579
00:28:20,560 --> 00:28:20,959
Speaker 2: Thank you.

580
00:28:21,920 --> 00:28:25,440
Speaker 1: Josh Nun, Doc, co host of The Big Bets on

581
00:28:25,520 --> 00:28:28,399
Speaker 1: Campus podcast. This has been Sharper Square, part of the

582
00:28:28,440 --> 00:28:31,440
Speaker 1: Volume podcast network Watcher Listen on YouTube a Sharper Square

583
00:28:31,880 --> 00:28:34,760
Speaker 1: like the video, Subscribe to the channel down on some Spotify,

584
00:28:34,800 --> 00:28:37,760
Speaker 1: Applepods wherever you get your pods, rate review, subscribe this

585
00:28:37,800 --> 00:28:40,400
Speaker 1: five stars say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift

586
00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:41,560
Speaker 1: until next time.

587
00:28:42,160 --> 00:28:42,760
Speaker 2: I love you.

588
00:28:44,560 --> 00:28:49,240
Speaker 5: Utterly impossible, our strange