1 00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:03,000 Speaker 1: I think so much for speaking to Bloomberg. So we 2 00:00:03,080 --> 00:00:06,720 Speaker 1: have one billion dollars in buybacks, positive outlook for twenty 3 00:00:06,720 --> 00:00:10,160 Speaker 1: twenty four. You're confirming your profitability target for twenty twenty five. 4 00:00:10,200 --> 00:00:11,799 Speaker 1: Are you pleased with today? 5 00:00:12,240 --> 00:00:14,520 Speaker 2: No, I'm very pleased that we finished the year with 6 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:20,239 Speaker 2: a very strong momentum. We achieved a strong underlying profitability 7 00:00:20,280 --> 00:00:24,000 Speaker 2: for the second quarter, for the fourth quarter, and also 8 00:00:24,040 --> 00:00:28,680 Speaker 2: we saw clients confirming their trust in our organizations. Twenty 9 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:33,960 Speaker 2: two billions of new assets, strong depositive influence across wealth 10 00:00:33,960 --> 00:00:36,599 Speaker 2: management and the P and C. We made good progress 11 00:00:36,680 --> 00:00:42,320 Speaker 2: in winding down part of the now core exposures, and 12 00:00:43,400 --> 00:00:48,239 Speaker 2: also that has allowed us to then also reierate the 13 00:00:48,280 --> 00:00:50,400 Speaker 2: story that we are a capital We want to have 14 00:00:50,440 --> 00:00:53,880 Speaker 2: a dividend that is increasing progressively, so we have an 15 00:00:53,880 --> 00:00:56,440 Speaker 2: increase of twenty seven percent of our dividend, and also 16 00:00:56,760 --> 00:00:58,760 Speaker 2: in the second half of twenty twenty four we will 17 00:00:58,760 --> 00:00:59,520 Speaker 2: do a share buyback. 18 00:01:00,000 --> 00:01:01,680 Speaker 1: Ho would you describe twenty twenty four. I know your 19 00:01:01,720 --> 00:01:04,200 Speaker 1: chairman has said in the past, it's difficult here. 20 00:01:05,000 --> 00:01:08,680 Speaker 2: It's a pivotal year because if you think about the journey, 21 00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:12,440 Speaker 2: the first six months are very intense. I think we're 22 00:01:12,440 --> 00:01:15,840 Speaker 2: going to go through the merger of the two operating 23 00:01:16,480 --> 00:01:20,160 Speaker 2: entity ubs N Credit Swiss AG will merge in the 24 00:01:20,240 --> 00:01:23,080 Speaker 2: first half of the year. The subsidiaries in the US 25 00:01:23,160 --> 00:01:27,480 Speaker 2: and Switzerland will merge also during twenty twenty four. So 26 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:32,320 Speaker 2: this is the prerequisite to be able to realize our syndergies. 27 00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:36,679 Speaker 2: We already achieved four billions of cost savings Etcitate twenty 28 00:01:36,840 --> 00:01:41,240 Speaker 2: twenty three. We now plan to have another gross savings 29 00:01:41,280 --> 00:01:45,039 Speaker 2: of nine billions between twenty four and twenty twenty six. 30 00:01:46,120 --> 00:01:49,080 Speaker 2: Partially this will be reinvested in the business to make 31 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:54,040 Speaker 2: our platform more resilient and up to speed with the requirements, 32 00:01:54,120 --> 00:01:55,800 Speaker 2: but also to invest in our future. 33 00:01:55,840 --> 00:01:58,400 Speaker 1: So sera, how important was this investor update just to 34 00:01:58,400 --> 00:02:00,960 Speaker 1: give up a blueprint of the kind of growth that 35 00:02:01,000 --> 00:02:04,280 Speaker 1: you want to you know, to a chain and how I. 36 00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:09,880 Speaker 2: Think it's very important for investors to understand how we 37 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:13,600 Speaker 2: are connecting the dots between what we say in summer 38 00:02:14,840 --> 00:02:18,400 Speaker 2: last year and in respect of our long term plans 39 00:02:18,440 --> 00:02:21,400 Speaker 2: in twenty twenty six plans and going beyond that. So 40 00:02:21,440 --> 00:02:25,480 Speaker 2: today we are providing few dots between twenty twenty four 41 00:02:25,520 --> 00:02:29,239 Speaker 2: and twenty twenty six how we achieve cost savings, how 42 00:02:29,280 --> 00:02:32,000 Speaker 2: we manage our balance sheet, how we want to manage 43 00:02:32,040 --> 00:02:35,200 Speaker 2: growth that has to come in a sustainable way. And 44 00:02:35,320 --> 00:02:39,519 Speaker 2: also we give also some indications about what to look 45 00:02:39,560 --> 00:02:46,200 Speaker 2: forward after the completion of the restructuring, which is then 46 00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:51,560 Speaker 2: going to enable us to harvest you know, the work 47 00:02:51,800 --> 00:02:55,440 Speaker 2: and we did with the quite attractive returns. 48 00:02:55,600 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 1: So how will you achieve this equality sustainable growth. 49 00:02:59,040 --> 00:03:01,040 Speaker 2: I think that one thing that we need to do 50 00:03:01,160 --> 00:03:04,680 Speaker 2: is to be willing in the next couple of years 51 00:03:04,680 --> 00:03:08,440 Speaker 2: to sacrifice a little bit of top line growth in 52 00:03:08,560 --> 00:03:14,160 Speaker 2: order to improve the returns on of our financial resources, 53 00:03:14,200 --> 00:03:17,520 Speaker 2: particularly on the balance sheet. So I think that you 54 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:21,679 Speaker 2: know what we both was a very strong business in 55 00:03:21,760 --> 00:03:24,680 Speaker 2: terms of client based, very good people, very good capabilities, 56 00:03:24,720 --> 00:03:28,119 Speaker 2: but the balance sheet was not properly priced. We need 57 00:03:28,160 --> 00:03:31,760 Speaker 2: to price risks in a better way and that will 58 00:03:31,919 --> 00:03:35,760 Speaker 2: help us to contribute to our financial targets for twenty 59 00:03:35,800 --> 00:03:36,880 Speaker 2: twenty six and beyond. 60 00:03:37,240 --> 00:03:40,640 Speaker 1: So exactly what does that growth look like? Is it 61 00:03:41,640 --> 00:03:45,240 Speaker 1: focus on the US or elsewhere everywhere? 62 00:03:45,280 --> 00:03:47,680 Speaker 2: I think that when you look at our wealth management 63 00:03:47,640 --> 00:03:51,200 Speaker 2: and business, we are planning to add around one hundred 64 00:03:51,280 --> 00:03:55,360 Speaker 2: million a year in terms of assets. This is basically 65 00:03:55,440 --> 00:03:57,800 Speaker 2: the net numbers. We're going to want to grow more 66 00:03:57,880 --> 00:04:00,120 Speaker 2: on a growth basis, but we are willing also to 67 00:04:00,280 --> 00:04:04,240 Speaker 2: let some assets go that are not yielding what we 68 00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:07,600 Speaker 2: believe is the appropriate level to cover for risk and 69 00:04:07,600 --> 00:04:10,760 Speaker 2: capital costs. And then beyond that, we believe we're going 70 00:04:10,800 --> 00:04:12,600 Speaker 2: to grow at around two hundred billions. So if you 71 00:04:12,640 --> 00:04:16,080 Speaker 2: think about what it is we are recreating, you know, 72 00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:18,800 Speaker 2: the business we just acquired, you know, we acquired seven 73 00:04:18,839 --> 00:04:22,159 Speaker 2: hundred billions of assets. In the next three to four years, 74 00:04:22,160 --> 00:04:26,120 Speaker 2: we're going to build up organically the size of credit 75 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:29,080 Speaker 2: switks again, so it's very important for us to do that, 76 00:04:29,320 --> 00:04:30,719 Speaker 2: but in a sustainable way. 77 00:04:30,920 --> 00:04:33,960 Speaker 1: But for the US, for example, can wee an acquisition No, 78 00:04:34,279 --> 00:04:34,799 Speaker 1: I think. 79 00:04:34,600 --> 00:04:36,679 Speaker 2: That the US, what we need to do is now 80 00:04:36,720 --> 00:04:41,520 Speaker 2: to institutionalize our platform by giving more capabilities on on 81 00:04:42,800 --> 00:04:47,839 Speaker 2: on deposits, on credit. We need to brought up more 82 00:04:48,440 --> 00:04:54,400 Speaker 2: of our global expertise in terms of CIO offering products, 83 00:04:54,440 --> 00:04:59,000 Speaker 2: the asset management capability that are coming in. And what 84 00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:01,000 Speaker 2: we need to do is also so to allow and 85 00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:04,279 Speaker 2: make it easier for our non US clients to book 86 00:05:04,400 --> 00:05:06,960 Speaker 2: business in the US because a lot of our global 87 00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:09,560 Speaker 2: clients they want to be also booked in the US, 88 00:05:09,600 --> 00:05:13,200 Speaker 2: and this is the real opportunity. So we believe that 89 00:05:13,320 --> 00:05:15,320 Speaker 2: by doing that, we're going to be able to narrow 90 00:05:15,400 --> 00:05:18,240 Speaker 2: the gap to our competitors and setting the base for 91 00:05:18,279 --> 00:05:19,360 Speaker 2: the next phase of growth. 92 00:05:19,720 --> 00:05:22,839 Speaker 1: So when you look at dividends and buybacks, how important 93 00:05:22,960 --> 00:05:27,240 Speaker 1: was it that this was ambitious or sufficiently ambitious for shareholders? 94 00:05:27,839 --> 00:05:30,440 Speaker 2: I think is the beginning of a journey. The journey, 95 00:05:30,960 --> 00:05:34,040 Speaker 2: so the fact that we are increasing our dividend by 96 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:39,640 Speaker 2: twenty seven percent is a good message of confidence shared 97 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:42,240 Speaker 2: by Back are coming. We want to be prudent in 98 00:05:42,240 --> 00:05:44,000 Speaker 2: the way we look at share by back. We want 99 00:05:44,040 --> 00:05:47,480 Speaker 2: to complete the first phase of the integration of the 100 00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:51,600 Speaker 2: legal entities in twenty twenty four, but is to give 101 00:05:51,600 --> 00:05:53,400 Speaker 2: a little bit of a flavor for where we want 102 00:05:53,440 --> 00:05:55,640 Speaker 2: to go by the end of twenty twenty six. We 103 00:05:55,680 --> 00:06:00,440 Speaker 2: want to exceed the levels of capital returns we had 104 00:06:01,640 --> 00:06:05,080 Speaker 2: before the acquisition. So I think that it's just a 105 00:06:05,120 --> 00:06:09,320 Speaker 2: testament of our confidence and our ability to generate capital 106 00:06:09,520 --> 00:06:12,840 Speaker 2: over as we also manage the integration for. 107 00:06:12,800 --> 00:06:14,520 Speaker 1: The Investment Bank of Credits Weez, I think you were 108 00:06:14,520 --> 00:06:16,600 Speaker 1: winding it down by two thirds, So this was kind 109 00:06:16,640 --> 00:06:18,440 Speaker 1: of the plan. Where are we on that journey? 110 00:06:18,800 --> 00:06:21,200 Speaker 2: I think that's everything that needed to be done in 111 00:06:21,279 --> 00:06:26,039 Speaker 2: terms of segregation of the non core activities has been done, 112 00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:30,919 Speaker 2: and now we have the third that we think is 113 00:06:30,960 --> 00:06:34,040 Speaker 2: going to add value to the combined franchise is operating. 114 00:06:34,520 --> 00:06:37,440 Speaker 2: They are ramping up their productivity. They are now part 115 00:06:38,200 --> 00:06:42,640 Speaker 2: of the business and I see very good promising starts. 116 00:06:42,680 --> 00:06:47,560 Speaker 2: So we see we are winning mandates globally. So I'm 117 00:06:47,640 --> 00:06:49,880 Speaker 2: very pleased with the momentum we see in banking. 118 00:06:50,480 --> 00:06:52,240 Speaker 1: When you look at the cost cuts, can you update 119 00:06:52,279 --> 00:06:54,520 Speaker 1: us on any job losses. There is no. 120 00:06:54,640 --> 00:06:58,160 Speaker 2: Major changes in terms of what we were planning during 121 00:06:58,200 --> 00:07:06,160 Speaker 2: the summer in terms of full time equivalence reductions and 122 00:07:06,920 --> 00:07:09,720 Speaker 2: so what we have been updating this morning is more 123 00:07:09,840 --> 00:07:14,520 Speaker 2: exactly the size of the gross savings. We were talking 124 00:07:14,520 --> 00:07:17,440 Speaker 2: about more than ten billions. Now we are pretty precise 125 00:07:17,480 --> 00:07:20,560 Speaker 2: on saying what it is. More than ten, it's thirteen. 126 00:07:21,800 --> 00:07:23,840 Speaker 2: But as I said, it's very important to understand that 127 00:07:23,880 --> 00:07:27,040 Speaker 2: we are cutting in order to create capacity to invest 128 00:07:27,480 --> 00:07:30,080 Speaker 2: also in infrastructure and growth. 129 00:07:30,400 --> 00:07:33,119 Speaker 1: But it's impossible to exclude further job cuts, of course, 130 00:07:33,680 --> 00:07:35,080 Speaker 1: but it's a continuation of course. 131 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 2: I mean more than fifty percent of our cost is 132 00:07:38,560 --> 00:07:41,080 Speaker 2: at count and there are duplications, but we try to 133 00:07:41,120 --> 00:07:48,560 Speaker 2: do it over time, also managing natural attrition and also 134 00:07:49,120 --> 00:07:54,200 Speaker 2: retirements early retirements. We do internalize much more than we 135 00:07:54,240 --> 00:07:57,120 Speaker 2: had before in the combined entities, so that's also allowing 136 00:07:57,200 --> 00:08:01,240 Speaker 2: us to retain many talented people both organizations. 137 00:08:01,480 --> 00:08:03,920 Speaker 1: Bonuses. If I don't ask about bonuses, I'm going to 138 00:08:03,920 --> 00:08:06,760 Speaker 1: have angry bankers email and what can you tell us 139 00:08:06,760 --> 00:08:07,360 Speaker 1: about bonus? 140 00:08:07,440 --> 00:08:09,480 Speaker 2: Well, they already know the answers, so they don't need 141 00:08:09,520 --> 00:08:12,200 Speaker 2: you to ask me the questions because we have communicated 142 00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:12,960 Speaker 2: their bonuses. 143 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:18,040 Speaker 1: So a good year, I think was what was is 144 00:08:18,040 --> 00:08:18,560 Speaker 1: a year that. 145 00:08:18,640 --> 00:08:22,520 Speaker 2: Considered both the financial performance but also also the efforts 146 00:08:22,520 --> 00:08:26,440 Speaker 2: that were put into into this. I'm very pleased with 147 00:08:26,600 --> 00:08:31,280 Speaker 2: the efforts that our people were brought into into making 148 00:08:31,320 --> 00:08:34,440 Speaker 2: the integration successful. They are integrating well in the in 149 00:08:34,520 --> 00:08:38,160 Speaker 2: the culture. In the culture, they see the upside momentum. 150 00:08:38,240 --> 00:08:41,280 Speaker 2: So I think compensation is reflecting all of it. But 151 00:08:41,360 --> 00:08:47,360 Speaker 2: it's measured and uh and uh uh totally aligned with 152 00:08:47,400 --> 00:08:49,400 Speaker 2: the UBS standards on how we pay people. 153 00:08:50,000 --> 00:08:52,440 Speaker 1: So do you also have an activist shareholder who's increased 154 00:08:52,520 --> 00:08:55,640 Speaker 1: of course, their stake in UBS CVN. Have you had conversations. 155 00:08:55,679 --> 00:08:58,920 Speaker 1: I mean that they're actually quite bullish on the UBS case, 156 00:08:59,080 --> 00:09:02,000 Speaker 1: saying that you can double the share price the next 157 00:09:02,040 --> 00:09:02,840 Speaker 1: two to three years. 158 00:09:03,320 --> 00:09:06,120 Speaker 2: We are also very boolish about our future. So I 159 00:09:06,120 --> 00:09:12,520 Speaker 2: think that I don't see anything in their in their 160 00:09:12,600 --> 00:09:17,360 Speaker 2: investment case that deviates from our ambitions. So I think 161 00:09:17,400 --> 00:09:20,400 Speaker 2: that's with the announcement of today, I think that we 162 00:09:20,440 --> 00:09:24,840 Speaker 2: are also connecting few dots with what they are looking 163 00:09:25,040 --> 00:09:28,559 Speaker 2: and what we are looking, and very well aligned. 164 00:09:28,720 --> 00:09:29,640 Speaker 1: Have you spoken to them? 165 00:09:31,080 --> 00:09:34,840 Speaker 2: We are always in contact with all major shareholders in terms. 166 00:09:34,679 --> 00:09:37,040 Speaker 1: Of valuations, I think that this would mean that an 167 00:09:37,160 --> 00:09:40,600 Speaker 1: EU bank would match valuations of US banks. Is that possible. 168 00:09:41,280 --> 00:09:44,840 Speaker 2: Evaluation is not to us to determine shareholders and the 169 00:09:44,840 --> 00:09:50,000 Speaker 2: market will determine valuations. We will deliver results and the 170 00:09:50,040 --> 00:09:53,360 Speaker 2: market will put their own view and multiples on. 171 00:09:53,280 --> 00:09:56,160 Speaker 1: That s What kind of market are you expecting this year? Again, 172 00:09:56,160 --> 00:09:59,240 Speaker 1: there's quite a lot of volatility, as you know. Markets 173 00:09:59,600 --> 00:10:01,440 Speaker 1: repri is what the FED does, what a lot of 174 00:10:01,440 --> 00:10:04,600 Speaker 1: central bank does. What do you think they're getting wrong? Well? 175 00:10:04,640 --> 00:10:08,240 Speaker 2: I think I think if you ask me, what they're 176 00:10:08,240 --> 00:10:12,040 Speaker 2: getting wrong is to pretend to know when you don't know. 177 00:10:12,120 --> 00:10:14,400 Speaker 2: I mean, the truth of the matter is that the 178 00:10:14,559 --> 00:10:18,720 Speaker 2: uncertainties that we see from many areas, not only the 179 00:10:18,760 --> 00:10:23,880 Speaker 2: macro more traditional economic indicator, which they seem to be 180 00:10:23,960 --> 00:10:26,760 Speaker 2: much more volatile and inpredictable that we had in the past, 181 00:10:27,000 --> 00:10:32,520 Speaker 2: but also the geopolitical situation and also the emotions and 182 00:10:32,559 --> 00:10:38,679 Speaker 2: the psychological effects on consumers and investors is a factor 183 00:10:38,679 --> 00:10:42,160 Speaker 2: that is very, very complex to manage. I still remain 184 00:10:42,320 --> 00:10:48,040 Speaker 2: convinced that the market has been too complacent early on 185 00:10:48,120 --> 00:10:51,880 Speaker 2: this year about the FED and central bands cutting so rapidly. 186 00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:56,240 Speaker 2: In the last mile of inflation fights seems to be 187 00:10:56,320 --> 00:10:59,960 Speaker 2: more challenging, and I do think it's prudent for certain 188 00:11:00,200 --> 00:11:04,440 Speaker 2: banks to stay focused on fighting inflation because it creates 189 00:11:05,080 --> 00:11:09,640 Speaker 2: unwanted consequences if we keep inflation way to I compared 190 00:11:09,679 --> 00:11:11,200 Speaker 2: to the original targets. 191 00:11:11,360 --> 00:11:13,280 Speaker 1: And so how does that change client behavior? 192 00:11:13,880 --> 00:11:16,439 Speaker 2: For the moment, we see a little bit of clearly 193 00:11:16,640 --> 00:11:21,520 Speaker 2: seasonality and there is a concrete hope that rates will 194 00:11:21,559 --> 00:11:26,520 Speaker 2: come down, but the uncertainty is still there. But we 195 00:11:26,640 --> 00:11:30,920 Speaker 2: look positively for the first quarter of the year. But 196 00:11:32,200 --> 00:11:36,280 Speaker 2: you know, we do have to expect still continued volatility 197 00:11:36,520 --> 00:11:37,400 Speaker 2: in the markets. 198 00:11:38,160 --> 00:11:39,520 Speaker 1: Morty. Thank you so much for your time today. 199 00:11:39,600 --> 00:11:39,880 Speaker 2: Thank you