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Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast from the Volume and

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Speaker 1: Podcast Network. I'm Chad Mollman, Chief Content Officer of the

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Speaker 1: Action Network. We are still talking March Madness, folks. We're

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Speaker 1: going to dive deep into the bets you need to

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Speaker 1: make for Friday with one of our Action Network college

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Speaker 1: basketball experts, Mike Calabris. You hear him all over the

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Speaker 1: BBOC podcasts all football season long. He's amazing on college basketball.

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Speaker 1: He was on our preview show on Sunday night spewing knowledge.

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Speaker 1: Before we get to Calabris, let me bring in my

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Speaker 1: co host, my bff, my companion, Mike and Padre professional

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Speaker 1: Better or Simon Hunter. Hello sewing In, Hello Chad. Just

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Speaker 1: in time for kickoff of the March Badness. We do

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Speaker 1: a show, Gotta love it, lemon am here we are

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Speaker 1: for twelve was it twelve am or twelve pm? They

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Speaker 1: kick off these games, dude, It's called tip off, man,

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Speaker 1: Fuck it's tip off it's all right. Listen, listen, I

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Speaker 1: know where your head is at Your head is the

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Speaker 1: same place my head is, which is how amazing are

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Speaker 1: the Chicago Bears, which will be a continued theme for

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Speaker 1: this podcast. Whether we're talking in March madness, whether we're

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Speaker 1: talking Masters, whether we're talking NBA playoffs, whether we are

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Speaker 1: talking baseball, it's not gonna matter. The Chicago Bears are

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Speaker 1: marching their way to the super Bowl this year. That

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Speaker 1: odds are dropping. Let's bring in Mike Calabres, who, by

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Speaker 1: the way, the man knows a little bit of something

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Speaker 1: about betting because in a into being from a family

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Speaker 1: of degenerates. And I say that lovingly, I assume love

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Speaker 1: and affection. I say that if people don't listen to

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Speaker 1: the Group of Five podcasts that Calabris does during the

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Speaker 1: season on BBOC, these guys they freaking nail their picks

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Speaker 1: like it's uncanny. Calabries, how much you know about the

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Speaker 1: Group of Five, it's pretty impressive. Nice job. Well, I

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Speaker 1: appreciate that. I think it's time to step into the

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Speaker 1: tea box, drop the puck, get ready for this basketball action.

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Speaker 1: You know, try to too as many cross supports references

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Speaker 1: as we can. Yeah, I agree. This is such a

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Speaker 1: fun time of year, and for me, people come out

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Speaker 1: of the woodwork. It's you know, friends, family, a lot

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Speaker 1: of ex girlfriends. Oh hey, could you help me with

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Speaker 1: dear bracket? You know, who do you think's going all

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Speaker 1: the way? So depending on how those relationships ended, I'm

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Speaker 1: giving out some Easter eggs and I'm also giving out

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Speaker 1: some soon cold dead losers, just for the first round,

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Speaker 1: just to turn turn the knife a little bit. But yes,

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Speaker 1: I'm here to provide as much insight as I can.

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Speaker 1: Because when I'm tolling away in mid major Land in January,

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Speaker 1: no one wants to talk about Grand Canyon. But now

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden, I'm the bell of the ball.

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Speaker 1: People are like, tell me everything you know about the Lopes.

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Speaker 1: Let's get to it. Well, listen, I want to remind

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Speaker 1: people as I have all you know month long. We're

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Speaker 1: talking about the game Time ticketing app, which is the

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Speaker 1: fastest growing ticketing app in the US. You know, I

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Speaker 1: love it, I do. I use it all the time.

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Speaker 1: If you've been looking to get out to a pro

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Speaker 1: or college game this week, or even a concert, game

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Speaker 1: Time has amazing last minute deals on tickets to all

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Speaker 1: of these events. I'm actually going to open game Time

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Speaker 1: right now from my house here in Connecticut. Lo and

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Speaker 1: behold what can I go? See? Hey? Look at that

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Speaker 1: The Brooklyn Nets play tonight and I can get into

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Speaker 1: the building for forty three bucks and it's good seat

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Speaker 1: no matter where you live. Download the game Time app.

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Speaker 1: Get out have some fun this week. You deserve it.

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Speaker 1: Redeem code favorites for twenty dollars off your first purchase.

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Speaker 1: Terms apply again. Just download the app. Answer code favorites

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Speaker 1: for twenty dollars off. Download Game Time today. Last minute

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Speaker 1: tickets a little sprice guaranteed Calabris. It's Thursday, we got

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Speaker 1: games tomorrow. Obviously, people listening to this, We're not going

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Speaker 1: to try to tell you who to bet in the

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Speaker 1: middle of a Thursday when games are kicking off and

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Speaker 1: we're dropping the puck and it's you know, opening pitch

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Speaker 1: going up until about ten thirty to night. But we

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Speaker 1: do want to focus on Friday. I listened to the

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Speaker 1: Road to the Final Score Show, and listen to watch

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Speaker 1: the Road to the Final Score Show with you and

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Speaker 1: Stucky and Anthony du Bundo and Mariam. Are you know

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Speaker 1: on Sunday you can still check all that out on

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Speaker 1: YouTube Action Network YouTube page. You had a lot to say,

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Speaker 1: and I liked a lot of what you were talking about.

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Speaker 1: I was picking up a lot of what you were

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Speaker 1: laying down. Give me your best bet right now for

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Speaker 1: the Friday matchups, you can only choose one. I know

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Speaker 1: there are a bunch of teams you talked about, So

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Speaker 1: during the offseason I like to do a deep dive.

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Speaker 1: I'm not quite on the Evan Abrahams level of research,

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Speaker 1: but I do like to have my little theories and

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Speaker 1: then go on these little easter egg hunts and see

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Speaker 1: if I can find something and one element that I

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Speaker 1: found since twenty fourteen, when you look at all the

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Speaker 1: pods and you can see this beautifully on the Wikipedia

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Speaker 1: page for every single March Madness tournament, you can see

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Speaker 1: where all the regional spots are located, all the first

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Speaker 1: and second round spots. So there's eight pods with four

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Speaker 1: games each in them. So what I do is I

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Speaker 1: try to find the teams that have the longest travel

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Speaker 1: because not only are the miles important, but also if

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Speaker 1: it's thousands of miles away, you're not going to get

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Speaker 1: many of your fans to come to the games. And

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Speaker 1: then it's an added bonus if there's some kind of

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Speaker 1: time shift that works against you. The body clock theory,

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Speaker 1: all of that is coming together for VS to you

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Speaker 1: against Saint Mary's. Saint Mary's spent the majority of the

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Speaker 1: season in the top twenty five. They got, you know,

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Speaker 1: close to the top ten. And what is their reward

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Speaker 1: for that? They get to go across country and play

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Speaker 1: in Albany, New York. Not a great look for them.

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Speaker 1: When are they playing two pm Eastern so eleven am

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Speaker 1: body clock tip off for the gals, and they're up

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Speaker 1: against a high energy VCU defense that turns you over

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Speaker 1: just about as much as any team in the entire country.

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Speaker 1: And when you pair that with the fact that Saint

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Speaker 1: Mary's likes to play real slow, low possession games, every

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Speaker 1: turnover takes on added value. If it's an up and

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Speaker 1: down game, back and forth, hey can turn the ball

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Speaker 1: over fifteen times, that's fine. But when you're playing in

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Speaker 1: those low scoring games that they want to play and in

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Speaker 1: in the sixties, if you turn it over fifteen times,

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Speaker 1: that can be a death knell. And then finally, Aiden mhaney,

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Speaker 1: who was one of the best freshmen in the entire country,

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Speaker 1: playing for the Gals. It was a great story. He

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Speaker 1: turned down some very high major opportunities to go play

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Speaker 1: for Saint Mary's. He has just been in a bit

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Speaker 1: of a shooting funk. Four games with ten points or

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Speaker 1: fewer in his last seven, and that's really why the

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Speaker 1: Gals have been leaking oil down the stretch. After they

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Speaker 1: beat Gonzaga in an overtime game, looks like they spent

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Speaker 1: all their emotional energy up against a VCU team that

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Speaker 1: has a star of their own, Ace Baldwin at the

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Speaker 1: guard position. He's a combo guard. He can facilitate, he

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Speaker 1: can score. I think is gonna win this game out right.

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Speaker 1: You can still get him plus four and a half

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Speaker 1: five at seven places in the market. But I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go ahead and play him at about plus one seventy

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Speaker 1: five on the body line VCU, plus four and a

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Speaker 1: half at Vanduel. As you just said, plus one seventy

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Speaker 1: five of the money line. I'm not gonna lie caliberies.

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Speaker 1: That's not one of the teams that you mentioned on

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Speaker 1: Sunday night in the road to the final score. And

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Speaker 1: I unloaded on basically every team that you talked about seriously.

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Speaker 1: And when I say you I mean the collective you

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Speaker 1: Stucky Dubundo, Nick Giffen. I unloaded on Drake Creighton Firm

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Speaker 1: in Utah State. I unloaded down West Virginia, Yukon, Arkansas,

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Speaker 1: Oral Roberts Kent State. Not once did you mention VCU Well.

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Speaker 1: One thing I will say in defense of this good thing,

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Speaker 1: you jump on that Drake client because I think I

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Speaker 1: could end up closing as a pick against Miami. It's

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Speaker 1: a twelve five game that's in paper flat. I'm just

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Speaker 1: trying to say here, we gave you that scorching hot

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Speaker 1: intel to be able to get in before they rule

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Speaker 1: out in North Shadow Mirror from this game because Drake's

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Speaker 1: defense is incredible. They're really strong on the glass. All

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Speaker 1: the things that we said on Sunday night, I'm glad

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Speaker 1: that you got in at the right number, because that's

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Speaker 1: what Stuck is preaching this time of year, get the

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Speaker 1: best number possible. Yeah. I'm not getting the best number

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Speaker 1: on anything. By the way, all my numbers are off

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Speaker 1: from what I did on Sunday. I'm just saying, Simon,

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Speaker 1: before we jumped on the air, you said you add

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Speaker 1: some late breaking info from professional groups on one of

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Speaker 1: the games that's happening on Friday. I think I'm still

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Speaker 1: recovering from here. In chat say unload multiple times in

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Speaker 1: about a two minute span. That was a bit much. Yeah, Chad,

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Speaker 1: this is my time of year. I'm just a true

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Speaker 1: fly on the wall. Like I'm in all these texts

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Speaker 1: group with all these pros, and I know this is

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Speaker 1: in my place to say anything or reach out. So

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Speaker 1: I literally I'll wake up in the morning, I'll just

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Speaker 1: read through conversations that people have all through the night,

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Speaker 1: just the degenerates talking shit, throwing ideas, and multiple guys

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Speaker 1: keep popping up with Grand Canyon outright over Gonzaga, which

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Speaker 1: to me is so out of this world even thinking

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Speaker 1: about it, because Gonzaga historically, yes they do choke, but

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Speaker 1: it's not until maybe the second or third week, right,

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Speaker 1: they don't choke first weekend. Usually they're pretty good at

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Speaker 1: beating up these bad teams. And then I look, I

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Speaker 1: see you online. There are three seed Grand Canyon is

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Speaker 1: the fourteen. It's plus eight ninety right now on Fandel.

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Speaker 1: Of course I'm gonna throw some on it. So I

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Speaker 1: would love to hear that from another professional viewpoint. What

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Speaker 1: are these guys seen and what's the other side here,

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Speaker 1: Why would you say no, Tiken zag on the spread.

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Speaker 1: That's the better play than calling for the big upset

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Speaker 1: here of Grand Canyon over Gonzaga in round one. This

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Speaker 1: is a three point variants kind of play. You know,

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Speaker 1: the Lopes are gonna fire up probably twenty five thirty

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Speaker 1: threes in this game. They go ahead and make ten

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Speaker 1: or twelve, it's going to be a game in the

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Speaker 1: under eight time out. So I stand from that perspective.

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Speaker 1: But then when you look on the other side of

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Speaker 1: the ball, for Grant Kenyon, they're one hundred and ninety

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Speaker 1: eight and palm defense. They're going to get fed into

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Speaker 1: the wood chipper by this Gonzaga offense. They're by far

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Speaker 1: the number one rated offense. And really I've been calling

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Speaker 1: them the zombie Zags ever since they lost an overtime

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Speaker 1: a game that they dominated for thirty nine minutes against

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Speaker 1: Saint Mary's and just fell apart at the end of regulation.

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Speaker 1: They lose in ot and the national media was basically like, well,

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Speaker 1: they were this cute story this year. You know, they're

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Speaker 1: not going to be in the national conversation to really win,

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Speaker 1: to finally get over the hump for Mark Few. Since then,

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Speaker 1: they've averaged ninety three points per game in their last nine,

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Speaker 1: including two games against Saint Mary's where they thumped them.

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Speaker 1: And I think from a human nature standpoint, Mark Few

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Speaker 1: is really pushing the right buttons right now. Because Drew

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Speaker 1: Timmy came back for this run, They're not overlooking anything

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Speaker 1: in March Madness. It's been all about getting to this

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Speaker 1: tournament and dominating. And for that reason, I think they

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Speaker 1: actually have great value to make the Sweet sixteen at

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Speaker 1: minus one sixty because beyond this game, they have a

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Speaker 1: chance to go up against a wounded UCLA team that's

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Speaker 1: down the defensive player of the year in the Pac twelve.

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Speaker 1: They also set have some injury issues in their front court. Gonzaga,

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Speaker 1: I think it's just locked and loaded, and I love

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Speaker 1: their depth. Malakai Smith is a name to keep in

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Speaker 1: minds as this tournament goes on because he comes off

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Speaker 1: the bench. Last year, he led Chad knew Good to

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Speaker 1: the MC double A tournament and he was like a

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Speaker 1: twenty and eight kind of scorer. This year, he's coming

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Speaker 1: off the bench, but he's capable of double digits and

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Speaker 1: that's the beauty of what Gonzaga has going on offensively

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Speaker 1: Beyond Timmy, it's just a multi headed attack. So there's

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Speaker 1: no way to take the offensive pressure down from Gonzaga.

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Speaker 1: They're gonna push, push, push, and I mean, Grant Indian

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Speaker 1: is a good story. But the fact of the matter

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Speaker 1: is they're better home team. They're clear on that playing

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Speaker 1: on their home floor here. So I actually like the

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Speaker 1: fifteen and a half point spread for the Zags. Maybe

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Speaker 1: play it in the first half, see if they come

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Speaker 1: out with their hair on the fire. But I think

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Speaker 1: in terms of the pros, it's just a value proposition.

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Speaker 1: I would have to be north at ten to one

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Speaker 1: for me even to get interested in a nightmare scenario

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Speaker 1: where Gonzaga goes out because Mark Fu's gone to the

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Speaker 1: Sweet sixteen and seven straight tournaments, so that's early exit,

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Speaker 1: you know, tag that's attached to them. As you said,

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Speaker 1: that's a second weekend conversation, not on the first weekend.

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Speaker 1: Calabrie's is unloading on your wise guys. Yeah, no, it's

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Speaker 1: making me feel good. I like when I hear a

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Speaker 1: team can get hot from three points, That's what I

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Speaker 1: wanted to hear. I just want to know why are

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Speaker 1: they taking Grant Cannon that makes perfect sense. If they

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Speaker 1: can hit the threes. You know, Gonzai can score they want,

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Speaker 1: they can't catch up to all those threes being made.

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Speaker 1: That's that's kind of the angle I think they're taking here.

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Speaker 1: All right, Michael, you told us about VCU five days

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Speaker 1: after the seatings came out. Who is another one that

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Speaker 1: we should be looking for on Friday? So I'm hot

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Speaker 1: to trot on Creton. This is one that I have

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Speaker 1: not kept close to the best. I'm telling everybody stopping

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Speaker 1: people on the street the hot dog vendor here in

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Speaker 1: New York City because I'm at the lovely New Action

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Speaker 1: Network headquarters shooting video so I can the opportunity to

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Speaker 1: walk around talk basketball with anyone to listen to me.

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Speaker 1: Craydon's got it all, to be honest, there's a certain

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Speaker 1: championship DNA out there. From a composite resume standpoint, when

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Speaker 1: you look at Kenpom, if you can be top thirty

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Speaker 1: and offensive even defensive efficiency year elite, they're twenty eighth

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Speaker 1: and offense fifteenth in defense. All five starters average over

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Speaker 1: eleven points per game. They got a great big and

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Speaker 1: Kalk Brenner, so they're not going to get bullied by

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Speaker 1: any of these opponents. They play great defense and something

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Speaker 1: that I really love that's infuriating and something that can

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Speaker 1: be overlooked pretty easily when you're putting together your picks.

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Speaker 1: They don't put opponents to the line. They only give

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Speaker 1: up twelve point four foul shots per game. That's third nationally.

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Speaker 1: So you have to truly beat him. There's no cheapies,

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Speaker 1: there's no easy points being handed out. You got to

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Speaker 1: beat him in the half court and that's really difficult

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Speaker 1: to do. And then additionally, beyond everything they have offensively,

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Speaker 1: they do not turn the ball over. So when you

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Speaker 1: put it between not turning the ball over and not

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Speaker 1: putting teams on the line, it's hard work to knock

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Speaker 1: out the Blue Jays. And they're up against ency state

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Speaker 1: team that has some nice wins this year, but they're

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Speaker 1: all at home. They've done absolutely nothing zip zero, nada

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Speaker 1: on the road or a neutral sites, and I think

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Speaker 1: that's a bad recipe for the wolf Packs. All go

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Speaker 1: ahead and the five and a half. I'd love to

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Speaker 1: get five. I think there's a chance maybe it'll go

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Speaker 1: down to five in the market, but I would probably

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Speaker 1: play it up to seven, where it still has its value.

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Speaker 1: Now looking at the whole board here, do we have

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Speaker 1: any Cinderellas up pop out to any teams that can

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Speaker 1: make a run. You know, every year we always have

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Speaker 1: these teams. Now everything in the NCAA is so much

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Speaker 1: closer now where we talked about stuck. If there's a

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Speaker 1: bunch of good seniors, you can usually make a run. Right,

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Speaker 1: These guys haven't been together for three four years playing

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Speaker 1: against these teams at Yes, they might have the pedigree,

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Speaker 1: but they're just not a team like these other teams are.

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Speaker 1: There's anyone that stands out to this year that could

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Speaker 1: be a Cinderella or is it kind of flat across

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Speaker 1: the board? So I'd love to say Drake, but I

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Speaker 1: don't want to get yelled up by Chat again. So

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with Montana State, one of the most

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Speaker 1: experienced teams here in the field. They're up against a

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Speaker 1: Case State team and Bobcats have won fourteen and fifteen,

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Speaker 1: coming in four upperclassmen, and they're starting lineup a dynamic

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Speaker 1: score in former Washington guard Raquan Battle. The other issue

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Speaker 1: in this case is sometimes it becomes the game inside

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Speaker 1: the game. So kse State loves to get to the rim.

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Speaker 1: They want to attack, attack, attack, but Montana State is

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Speaker 1: six nationally in points per possession allowed at the rim,

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Speaker 1: so I think that's bad news for KSE State, and

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Speaker 1: pressure wise, I think all of its slides. When you're

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Speaker 1: a fourteen seed, they're quote unquote happy to be there.

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Speaker 1: But KASE State has spent a lot of this season

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Speaker 1: in the fight in the mix in the Big Twelve,

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Speaker 1: thinking of themselves as a national title contender. Certainly, it

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Speaker 1: contended to win the Big twelve regular season and it

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Speaker 1: didn't come to fruition didn't come together in the Big

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Speaker 1: Twelve tournament. And I think if they have some bum

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Speaker 1: luck early in this game and they kind of get

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00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:39,240
Speaker 1: stuck in the mud trying to drive and not finding

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00:16:39,280 --> 00:16:41,680
Speaker 1: their usual success, I think the bobs are going to

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00:16:41,720 --> 00:16:43,520
Speaker 1: absolutely throw a scare in the Wildcats. So I think

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Speaker 1: they're alive as dog here. KSE State is an interesting program.

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Speaker 1: Another interesting program with national aspirations in my backyard the

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Speaker 1: Yukon Huskies, which at one point this year were you know,

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Speaker 1: a top two team and then faded and then they

345
00:17:07,560 --> 00:17:13,680
Speaker 1: were listen the West Hartford cocktail party circuit. We were

346
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Speaker 1: ever at the Burns. They had the whole neighborhood over

347
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Speaker 1: talking about Yukon basketball because in the middle of January

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Speaker 1: they got hot last six weeks of the year, potentially

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Speaker 1: one of the best teams in the country. They got

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Speaker 1: to take on rip Pettino and Iona great couple of years.

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Speaker 1: Rumors he may take a new job. Rippettino coming back

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Speaker 1: at seventy years old. Love that. Where do you stand

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Speaker 1: on Yukon? Right now? Yukon is an elite offensive rebounding

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Speaker 1: team and I love the fact do you bring something

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Speaker 1: special to the table. And in a lot of cases,

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Speaker 1: teams at this point the season will say we're great

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Speaker 1: from three point range, which to me is a double

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Speaker 1: edged sword. It doesn't always travel. Sometimes it's the bay

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00:18:00,000 --> 00:18:01,879
Speaker 1: and you can throw you off. Sometimes you just have

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00:18:01,920 --> 00:18:04,000
Speaker 1: those nights where you shoot twenty five percent from three?

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00:18:04,080 --> 00:18:07,560
Speaker 1: Can you recover from that? Offensive rebounding travels everywhere. They

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00:18:07,600 --> 00:18:10,280
Speaker 1: have these bouncy athletic you know, six foot six to

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00:18:10,320 --> 00:18:12,240
Speaker 1: six foot ten guys. They just come in waves like

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Speaker 1: it gets a line change in hockey, and for the

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Speaker 1: most part they overwhelm teams in that regard. Now I

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Speaker 1: own them is a good offensive rebounding team in their

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Speaker 1: own right. They're twenty sixth in offensive rebounding percentage nationally,

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Speaker 1: which is one of the best marks for mid major.

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Speaker 1: It begins and ends with Nellie Junior Joseph the averages

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00:18:27,560 --> 00:18:30,119
Speaker 1: close to fifteen and ten per game. I own. It

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00:18:30,280 --> 00:18:32,560
Speaker 1: also is great in terms of turnover margins. So when

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00:18:32,600 --> 00:18:34,920
Speaker 1: you put the offensive rebounding stats in there, and then

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00:18:35,119 --> 00:18:38,440
Speaker 1: fourteenth in turnover margin at just about plus four per game,

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Speaker 1: that's a lot of extra opportunities. You're not giving opportunities

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Speaker 1: to the opponent. They're also elite at shutting down the

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Speaker 1: three point line for opponents. Their twentieth in opponent shooting efficiency.

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Speaker 1: So the gals are real tough defensively, and when I

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Speaker 1: look at Yukon, there's so much to like about them,

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Speaker 1: but their offensive engine on the perimeters. Jordan Hawkins, he's

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Speaker 1: seventeen for fifty in his last four games. That concerns

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Speaker 1: a little bit, not necessarily to get out of the

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Speaker 1: first round, but I think it's they're legitimate threat to

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Speaker 1: go to the final four. He has to get it together. Luckily,

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Speaker 1: in this spot, Yukon can also turn around and just

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Speaker 1: shut down the three point shot. They only gave up

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Speaker 1: four point nine made threes per game. That's third nationally.

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Speaker 1: So Iona, I do not think have the Cinderella formula

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00:19:18,560 --> 00:19:20,719
Speaker 1: to be able to bomb away from three. It's going

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00:19:20,760 --> 00:19:23,479
Speaker 1: to be Yoman's work on the glass just to probably

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00:19:23,520 --> 00:19:25,960
Speaker 1: be minus five in the offensive rebounding battle. What I

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Speaker 1: actually like, there's under one forty three and a half.

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Speaker 1: I think it's going to be at rock fight, and

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Speaker 1: I think Ukon's going to be happy to get out

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Speaker 1: of there with a five or six point win. Simon.

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Speaker 1: I don't know about you, but I like listening to

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Speaker 1: Calabrie's talk about college basketball. Might be making up the

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Speaker 1: name of every single player on teams, like he talks

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Speaker 1: about the Lopes, he talks about, you know, Iona's offensive

399
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Speaker 1: rebounding prowess. Can you name the leading score for every

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00:19:55,359 --> 00:20:02,680
Speaker 1: team in the NCAA tournament year the NCAA tournaments. There's

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Speaker 1: a good chance. One of my parlor tricks is I know,

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00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:08,520
Speaker 1: you know, obviously every single Division one school nickname which

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00:20:08,520 --> 00:20:11,120
Speaker 1: comes into play. You know, if I meet someone's wife

404
00:20:11,119 --> 00:20:13,040
Speaker 1: at a party, she's like, well I went to Western Illinois.

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00:20:13,119 --> 00:20:17,439
Speaker 1: Just give them a good go leathernecks, that icebreaker, I

406
00:20:17,560 --> 00:20:20,200
Speaker 1: know the Leathernecks. A guy from my high school played

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00:20:20,240 --> 00:20:24,440
Speaker 1: football for Western Illinois, and we're like the Leathernecks roof

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00:20:24,480 --> 00:20:28,400
Speaker 1: positive right there. Just bringing people together school. It doesn't

409
00:20:28,440 --> 00:20:34,879
Speaker 1: make people excited. You're a freak man this March. Take

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Speaker 1: point spreads, or even that five twelve seed matchet you've

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Speaker 1: been eyeing tonight. My favorite beat is Villanova, all on

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Speaker 1: one eight hundred eight eight nine nine seven eight nine

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Speaker 1: West Virginia. Speaking of college basketball powers Indiana University. I

442
00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:28,720
Speaker 1: went to Indiana. Been super excited about this team. All year,

443
00:22:29,520 --> 00:22:32,960
Speaker 1: up and down, up and down big wins against Purdue.

444
00:22:33,760 --> 00:22:37,360
Speaker 1: Looked terrible against Penn State. After jumping out to an

445
00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:39,840
Speaker 1: early lead, I think they made one three the entire game.

446
00:22:40,520 --> 00:22:44,199
Speaker 1: They got Kent State. In my IU text chain, it

447
00:22:44,280 --> 00:22:46,439
Speaker 1: was reminded. I was reminded that the last time we

448
00:22:46,440 --> 00:22:48,439
Speaker 1: played at Kent State in the first round, we were

449
00:22:48,520 --> 00:22:52,600
Speaker 1: dominated by Antonio Gates before he moved on to the NFL.

450
00:22:53,440 --> 00:22:55,920
Speaker 1: I bet Kent State plus four and a half. It's

451
00:22:55,920 --> 00:22:58,679
Speaker 1: a little bit of an emotional hedge. Give me your

452
00:22:58,720 --> 00:23:01,520
Speaker 1: take on this Indiana team. Well, I would say if

453
00:23:01,560 --> 00:23:04,240
Speaker 1: an upset happens, that means I guess Sincere Carrey is

454
00:23:04,240 --> 00:23:06,439
Speaker 1: going to be a starting defensive back in the NFL

455
00:23:06,520 --> 00:23:09,520
Speaker 1: in five years because he's there there you go, showing

456
00:23:09,600 --> 00:23:12,359
Speaker 1: off right there, ten and one down the stretch for

457
00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:15,280
Speaker 1: the Golden Flashes. And here's the thing about MAC basketball.

458
00:23:15,320 --> 00:23:17,600
Speaker 1: There's a decent amount of teams that go to the

459
00:23:17,640 --> 00:23:20,160
Speaker 1: low post and play back to the basket and want

460
00:23:20,160 --> 00:23:22,439
Speaker 1: to feed the post. So they have experience and they

461
00:23:22,480 --> 00:23:24,680
Speaker 1: come in as one of the best mid majors defending

462
00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:28,000
Speaker 1: the post. Why is that importance? Because Trace Jackson Davis

463
00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:31,560
Speaker 1: is such a dominant post player. So really it becomes

464
00:23:31,640 --> 00:23:33,600
Speaker 1: Jordan rules where it's like, as long as we can

465
00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:36,119
Speaker 1: let him get just twenty five instead of thirty five.

466
00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:38,040
Speaker 1: I think the Golden Flashes are going to be in

467
00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:41,080
Speaker 1: good shape there. And there's also at this point in

468
00:23:41,160 --> 00:23:43,320
Speaker 1: the season, you know, we make light of some of

469
00:23:43,320 --> 00:23:45,760
Speaker 1: the teams like Grand Canyon in Montana State where they

470
00:23:45,760 --> 00:23:49,960
Speaker 1: don't have those apples to aticles nonconference comparisons, but not

471
00:23:50,119 --> 00:23:52,920
Speaker 1: Kent State. They played Houston, they were within five, They

472
00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:55,600
Speaker 1: held Houston to forty nine points, and they were within

473
00:23:55,760 --> 00:23:58,200
Speaker 1: seven of Gonzaga, both of those games on the road.

474
00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:00,639
Speaker 1: So I think that illustrates that they don't feel that

475
00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:03,719
Speaker 1: they're in deep water playing against you know, elite teams,

476
00:24:04,080 --> 00:24:07,920
Speaker 1: nationally ranked teams. Yes, Trace Jackson Davis is probably gonna

477
00:24:07,920 --> 00:24:10,440
Speaker 1: have a double double in this game, but if he

478
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:13,600
Speaker 1: gets in foul trouble early, this could be curtains for EU.

479
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:15,879
Speaker 1: I think this is a bad raw. I think that

480
00:24:15,960 --> 00:24:18,399
Speaker 1: they were you know, misseated, probably by one line. I

481
00:24:18,440 --> 00:24:20,680
Speaker 1: would have preferred them in some of the five twelve games.

482
00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:24,360
Speaker 1: In terms of the overall player on player matchups. This

483
00:24:24,440 --> 00:24:26,680
Speaker 1: is not a good situation. So I think the emotional

484
00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:29,480
Speaker 1: hedge was the right move on your part. He a

485
00:24:29,520 --> 00:24:34,960
Speaker 1: little curball here. What is Arkansas Tech's nickname? Arkansas? They're

486
00:24:35,000 --> 00:24:38,680
Speaker 1: not division one of anything, as I I thought you

487
00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:42,439
Speaker 1: were gonna hit me with Arkansas Pine Bluff, Go Gold Through.

488
00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:46,639
Speaker 1: They're called the Boys, Wonder Boys, the great nickname. What

489
00:24:46,960 --> 00:24:51,160
Speaker 1: a nickname that is? That's one one more? You see

490
00:24:51,160 --> 00:24:55,359
Speaker 1: Santa Cruz. Anybody got that one chambered? Okay? Good? All right,

491
00:24:55,440 --> 00:25:00,359
Speaker 1: So somebody somebody's awake at the wheel over there, frash

492
00:25:00,520 --> 00:25:04,280
Speaker 1: out of the favorite. Okay, do you have any other

493
00:25:04,320 --> 00:25:05,960
Speaker 1: best bets for Friday that pop off the top of

494
00:25:05,960 --> 00:25:09,960
Speaker 1: your head. Let me just look through my entire sheet here,

495
00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:13,560
Speaker 1: because there's a couple of games that I actually think

496
00:25:13,600 --> 00:25:16,640
Speaker 1: are very well calibrated by the market. Not surprising. That's

497
00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:18,400
Speaker 1: what stuck. He was saying. You're just talking about how

498
00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:21,040
Speaker 1: the margin now just just got big sports betting his gun.

499
00:25:21,119 --> 00:25:23,359
Speaker 1: He just keeps getting smaller and smaller. This value of

500
00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:27,040
Speaker 1: March Badness and doing the podcasts throughout the basketball season

501
00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:29,000
Speaker 1: was stuck. We noticed that as well. And it's not

502
00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:31,919
Speaker 1: just the National Lady televised games. It's also you know,

503
00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:34,960
Speaker 1: Leeds down to the high mid major level, you know

504
00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:37,119
Speaker 1: that kind of middle tier. I'm gonna go ahead. I

505
00:25:37,160 --> 00:25:39,520
Speaker 1: think there's one team that is an underdog. I think

506
00:25:39,680 --> 00:25:41,880
Speaker 1: they should be favored, and it's the ten seven game

507
00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:44,400
Speaker 1: between USC and Michigan State. Spartans are a two point

508
00:25:44,400 --> 00:25:47,520
Speaker 1: favorite here. I actually like the Trojans. I mean, they

509
00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:50,399
Speaker 1: nearly swept UCLA. They're only lost in that series was

510
00:25:50,400 --> 00:25:52,440
Speaker 1: a two point road loss. They lost the Tennessee and

511
00:25:52,480 --> 00:25:54,840
Speaker 1: ot They gave Arizona run for their money to end

512
00:25:54,840 --> 00:25:58,000
Speaker 1: the regular season. But really, beyond the fact that they're

513
00:25:58,040 --> 00:26:00,679
Speaker 1: always close or they're winning those games against you know,

514
00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:03,840
Speaker 1: the best competition on their schedule, their backcourt gives them

515
00:26:04,000 --> 00:26:06,520
Speaker 1: huge upside. Boogie ellis a lot of people on the

516
00:26:06,520 --> 00:26:08,880
Speaker 1: East Coast have never seen this guy play. He's a bucket.

517
00:26:09,040 --> 00:26:11,280
Speaker 1: He poured in twenty one plus in seven of their

518
00:26:11,320 --> 00:26:14,680
Speaker 1: last twelve games. Drew Peterson is also absolutely lethally. He's

519
00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:16,520
Speaker 1: like six nine, six tenth, so he gets a shot

520
00:26:16,520 --> 00:26:18,720
Speaker 1: anytime he wants. Last month of the season, he shot

521
00:26:18,760 --> 00:26:22,160
Speaker 1: forty percent from long range. This backcourt helps them achieve

522
00:26:22,240 --> 00:26:24,960
Speaker 1: one of the cooler New Age stats in college basketball,

523
00:26:24,960 --> 00:26:27,560
Speaker 1: which is the kill shot. That's a ten o runner better.

524
00:26:28,000 --> 00:26:29,879
Speaker 1: They are one of the top ten teams in the

525
00:26:29,920 --> 00:26:33,200
Speaker 1: country and kill shot runs. So I see them potentially

526
00:26:33,240 --> 00:26:35,760
Speaker 1: running away from Michigan State team that Yes, they don't

527
00:26:35,760 --> 00:26:38,360
Speaker 1: shoot a ton of threes, but when they're not falling,

528
00:26:38,520 --> 00:26:41,159
Speaker 1: their offense can fall apart. You saw that happen against

529
00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:43,520
Speaker 1: Ohio State in the Big Ten Tournament. They shot I

530
00:26:43,520 --> 00:26:45,879
Speaker 1: think like twenty percent from long range. They end up

531
00:26:45,920 --> 00:26:50,920
Speaker 1: losing by double digits in that game, so that's a problem. Additionally,

532
00:26:50,960 --> 00:26:53,480
Speaker 1: when it comes to stopping Peterson and the perimeter weapons

533
00:26:53,560 --> 00:26:56,040
Speaker 1: from USA, Michigan State ranks three hundred and twentieth and

534
00:26:56,040 --> 00:26:58,600
Speaker 1: catch and shoot three point defense, so I see a

535
00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:02,400
Speaker 1: lot of slashing, kick the ball out three's fallen for USC.

536
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:04,600
Speaker 1: As they mentioned, I think they should be the favorite song.

537
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:06,520
Speaker 1: I go ahead and just play them at plus one

538
00:27:06,520 --> 00:27:14,119
Speaker 1: out of five plus one ten New Jersey Institute of Technology.

539
00:27:14,280 --> 00:27:17,120
Speaker 1: He must be referring to the Highlanders. Man, you are

540
00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:21,040
Speaker 1: a fucker that is not to be not to be

541
00:27:21,080 --> 00:27:23,919
Speaker 1: confused with UC Riverside. Also the Highlanders. They have a

542
00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:28,080
Speaker 1: really cool Scottish bear mascot with the whole Highlander look.

543
00:27:28,520 --> 00:27:31,320
Speaker 1: I'm moving out to California in the spring. I'm excited

544
00:27:31,359 --> 00:27:34,520
Speaker 1: to get my hands on some UC riverside swag. That

545
00:27:34,640 --> 00:27:39,439
Speaker 1: was good because not only did you paused for a

546
00:27:39,520 --> 00:27:43,000
Speaker 1: second where I'm like, I think I got them, and

547
00:27:43,040 --> 00:27:49,080
Speaker 1: then you just pulled out like fucking suave, really really good.

548
00:27:49,400 --> 00:27:54,200
Speaker 1: Give me your final four, assuming that you know, we'll

549
00:27:54,240 --> 00:27:56,520
Speaker 1: hope that whoever is in your final four doesn't get

550
00:27:56,640 --> 00:27:59,520
Speaker 1: napped at on Thursday while people are listening to this podcast.

551
00:28:00,720 --> 00:28:03,040
Speaker 1: All right, I'm going to go through region by region.

552
00:28:03,280 --> 00:28:07,719
Speaker 1: So in the South, I have Cradon. In the East,

553
00:28:07,760 --> 00:28:10,600
Speaker 1: I have Marquette. You're gonna like this one. Chad. Out

554
00:28:10,600 --> 00:28:13,040
Speaker 1: of the West, I have Yukon, and then I have

555
00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:17,399
Speaker 1: Texas coming out of the Midwest. I love Texas, And

556
00:28:17,880 --> 00:28:20,720
Speaker 1: I brought this up on Vison about a week ago.

557
00:28:21,320 --> 00:28:24,680
Speaker 1: Twenty five years ago, if you lost a head coach midseason,

558
00:28:25,080 --> 00:28:27,280
Speaker 1: that your whole program would have just fallen apart. There

559
00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:30,360
Speaker 1: was the game of basketball, there was more involvement from

560
00:28:30,359 --> 00:28:33,159
Speaker 1: an exs no standpoint, and a little bit of a

561
00:28:33,200 --> 00:28:36,040
Speaker 1: tighter leash by a head coach. Particularly had a huge

562
00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:38,840
Speaker 1: program in the top ten. That's just not been the

563
00:28:38,920 --> 00:28:41,520
Speaker 1: case with Texas. I think they circled the wagons. I

564
00:28:41,560 --> 00:28:44,360
Speaker 1: think strangely, I think it's made them a closer team.

565
00:28:44,440 --> 00:28:46,680
Speaker 1: They have a great backcourt in Marcus Carr and one

566
00:28:46,680 --> 00:28:49,760
Speaker 1: of the best names in all college basketball, Sergibari Rice.

567
00:28:50,240 --> 00:28:53,320
Speaker 1: So I love what the Longhorns have, and their front

568
00:28:53,360 --> 00:28:56,480
Speaker 1: court got better and better. Dylan to Sue in particular,

569
00:28:56,760 --> 00:28:58,719
Speaker 1: you know, took a step forward in the Big Twelve tournament.

570
00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:01,200
Speaker 1: He gives them that final piece. If he plays like

571
00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:02,920
Speaker 1: that for six games, I think they're gonna win the

572
00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:05,880
Speaker 1: national championship. And then who do you have winning it?

573
00:29:06,880 --> 00:29:09,480
Speaker 1: So I've Texas over Creton in a tight one. We'll

574
00:29:09,480 --> 00:29:13,360
Speaker 1: call it a one possession game, just from a you

575
00:29:13,400 --> 00:29:16,920
Speaker 1: know style, making fights situation. That's going to be a

576
00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:20,280
Speaker 1: really good defensive battle, and both teams can heat up

577
00:29:20,280 --> 00:29:21,960
Speaker 1: from the perimeter. So I think it's going to be

578
00:29:22,160 --> 00:29:25,440
Speaker 1: a seesaw events. It's a little bit heavily on Big

579
00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:27,080
Speaker 1: East teams, but I think that's just the way it

580
00:29:27,080 --> 00:29:28,960
Speaker 1: shook out. I'm not trying to get in my own head.

581
00:29:29,160 --> 00:29:30,880
Speaker 1: Those are just the teams that I think have the

582
00:29:31,320 --> 00:29:34,520
Speaker 1: right path and the right mix of analytics and personnel

583
00:29:34,560 --> 00:29:36,320
Speaker 1: to get it done for six games or in this case,

584
00:29:36,480 --> 00:29:38,440
Speaker 1: four games to get to the final four. Do you

585
00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:40,400
Speaker 1: know what's interesting about this final four? It's the last

586
00:29:40,400 --> 00:29:43,960
Speaker 1: thing that I think we're going to cover here. Marquette, Creton, Yukon.

587
00:29:45,200 --> 00:29:50,200
Speaker 1: In this new age world of nil, these are not

588
00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:53,920
Speaker 1: programs that are going to compete at the same level

589
00:29:54,400 --> 00:29:58,560
Speaker 1: as the Texas, the Dukes, the uncs. We'll be able

590
00:29:58,560 --> 00:30:02,600
Speaker 1: to compete in college basketball. So I know we're still

591
00:30:02,600 --> 00:30:06,440
Speaker 1: in the early stages of this, but that's a fascinating

592
00:30:07,760 --> 00:30:11,520
Speaker 1: idea and it would be real boon for these programs

593
00:30:11,560 --> 00:30:13,320
Speaker 1: to be able to get to the Final four when

594
00:30:13,320 --> 00:30:17,600
Speaker 1: it's going to be increasingly competitive for talent. It is interesting,

595
00:30:17,640 --> 00:30:20,880
Speaker 1: although I will say, you know, these mini collectives at

596
00:30:20,880 --> 00:30:23,120
Speaker 1: the mid major level you can get together. You can

597
00:30:23,200 --> 00:30:25,440
Speaker 1: keep one guy on campus. Western Kentucky just did it

598
00:30:25,480 --> 00:30:27,760
Speaker 1: with their quarterback Austin Reid, who looked like he was

599
00:30:27,800 --> 00:30:30,000
Speaker 1: going to enter the transfer porter and next thing you know,

600
00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:32,760
Speaker 1: he's on Instagram with a brand new car. So it's like,

601
00:30:33,160 --> 00:30:36,320
Speaker 1: to me, these are all victimless crimes, Like they are

602
00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:40,240
Speaker 1: absolutely funny. And you know, we're not talking about competing

603
00:30:40,320 --> 00:30:43,280
Speaker 1: with the death star like Alabama or Texas, where they

604
00:30:43,360 --> 00:30:47,160
Speaker 1: just have an unlimited amount of resources to just pound

605
00:30:47,200 --> 00:30:49,840
Speaker 1: the competition on the recruiting trail if you want to

606
00:30:49,840 --> 00:30:52,560
Speaker 1: get together and put you know, three hundred thousand dollars together.

607
00:30:53,080 --> 00:30:55,000
Speaker 1: A lot of these schools are big schools. I think

608
00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:57,240
Speaker 1: of school like Liberty, and not many people know it's

609
00:30:57,280 --> 00:31:00,960
Speaker 1: the largest undergrad you know, a population in terms of

610
00:31:01,200 --> 00:31:03,400
Speaker 1: kids on campus in the entire country. There's a lot

611
00:31:03,400 --> 00:31:05,440
Speaker 1: of people that graduated from Liberty. You get five ten

612
00:31:05,480 --> 00:31:07,800
Speaker 1: bucks ahead, all of a sudden, you can start competing.

613
00:31:07,880 --> 00:31:10,240
Speaker 1: So I think it's a little bit overblown that there's

614
00:31:10,320 --> 00:31:14,000
Speaker 1: such a gulf between the major power programs and their

615
00:31:14,040 --> 00:31:17,360
Speaker 1: potential on the NIL front and everybody else. Speaking of

616
00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:26,560
Speaker 1: power programs before we go Rezbyterian College. Yeah, I mean,

617
00:31:26,600 --> 00:31:28,600
Speaker 1: I wish I could say that I didn't know that

618
00:31:28,640 --> 00:31:31,440
Speaker 1: it was the blue Hose, but of course, and you really,

619
00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:35,680
Speaker 1: you really had to enunciate when you're around Presbyterian PC grads.

620
00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:38,720
Speaker 1: Make sure to enunciate so you're not calling them blue hose.

621
00:31:40,040 --> 00:31:43,800
Speaker 1: Oh my god. By the way, that's a great doublelon

622
00:31:43,920 --> 00:31:50,920
Speaker 1: to Andrea. Presbyterian College, Mike Calabrie, out standing. Thanks for

623
00:31:50,960 --> 00:31:54,960
Speaker 1: coming on the Favorites podcast. Great work during college football,

624
00:31:55,040 --> 00:32:00,280
Speaker 1: great work during college basketball for Simon Hunter, for Matt Mitchell.

625
00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:03,640
Speaker 1: Our producer, I am Chad Millman. This has been the

626
00:32:03,680 --> 00:32:09,320
Speaker 1: favorite podcast from the volume Podcast Network rate review, Subscribe, subscribe,

627
00:32:09,400 --> 00:32:16,080
Speaker 1: subscribe directly to the favorites. Please leave us five stars,

628
00:32:16,320 --> 00:32:18,760
Speaker 1: say whatever you want feedback as a gift. Good luck

629
00:32:18,800 --> 00:32:26,720
Speaker 1: in your brackets until next time. Love you. Action Network

630
00:32:26,800 --> 00:32:30,520
Speaker 1: reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you

631
00:32:30,560 --> 00:32:33,479
Speaker 1: care about has a gambling problem, help is available twenty

632
00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:35,440
Speaker 1: four seven at one eight hundred Gambler