1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:13,480 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio, news. 2 00:00:12,760 --> 00:00:15,400 Speaker 2: Single best Idea and it was just a wonderful day. 3 00:00:15,440 --> 00:00:17,840 Speaker 2: We could do like a three hour single best idea. 4 00:00:18,360 --> 00:00:21,599 Speaker 2: We just wonderful guests given the exceptional news for a 5 00:00:21,680 --> 00:00:24,759 Speaker 2: major shout out to our Tea Live service. It's on 6 00:00:24,800 --> 00:00:28,520 Speaker 2: the Bloomberg terminal and it's a team of five, six, 7 00:00:28,800 --> 00:00:33,280 Speaker 2: eight of our senior editors basically from Dublin through London, 8 00:00:33,479 --> 00:00:37,440 Speaker 2: down through Europe into the Middle East, moving all the 9 00:00:37,520 --> 00:00:41,319 Speaker 2: different dialogue and really with an advantage of translation as 10 00:00:41,360 --> 00:00:45,000 Speaker 2: well of what we're getting out of Iran. Just thank 11 00:00:45,040 --> 00:00:47,240 Speaker 2: you to them for driving all of our news flow 12 00:00:48,040 --> 00:00:54,520 Speaker 2: forward today. With Michael Barr and Monica Rix as well. 13 00:00:54,600 --> 00:00:57,120 Speaker 2: Richard Clareda came by the former vice chairman of the FED. 14 00:00:57,200 --> 00:01:02,520 Speaker 2: Great conversation on his Columbia University. I asked him about 15 00:01:03,120 --> 00:01:06,440 Speaker 2: all of the different FED officials and how unique Governor 16 00:01:06,480 --> 00:01:08,959 Speaker 2: Myron is here is Richard Clareda. 17 00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:13,240 Speaker 1: Models are tools, but they're backward looking, and in particular, 18 00:01:13,280 --> 00:01:17,480 Speaker 1: I think oftentimes the argument that Governor Myron has made 19 00:01:17,600 --> 00:01:21,120 Speaker 1: is he has a personal individual belief that the neutral 20 00:01:21,160 --> 00:01:23,880 Speaker 1: interest rate in the US is well below the current 21 00:01:23,959 --> 00:01:26,840 Speaker 1: level and well below where the committee believes. You know, 22 00:01:27,160 --> 00:01:29,600 Speaker 1: he could be right, but I don't think that is 23 00:01:29,640 --> 00:01:32,440 Speaker 1: the view on the committee, So I think he'll continue 24 00:01:32,520 --> 00:01:36,080 Speaker 1: to be a minority view on that. 25 00:01:36,480 --> 00:01:40,040 Speaker 2: Years and years of practice. There a delicate answer, nicely 26 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:44,160 Speaker 2: said from Richard Clarita of his colleague and economic Stephen Myron, 27 00:01:44,880 --> 00:01:48,280 Speaker 2: a governor of the Federal Reserve System at this time, 28 00:01:48,400 --> 00:01:52,360 Speaker 2: Friend Sua Trehan with the Bank of Montreal BEIMO Capital Markets. 29 00:01:52,600 --> 00:01:55,960 Speaker 2: Friend Suatrehan on the moment at hand and risk. 30 00:01:56,280 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 3: People say, all right, we can't have non inflationary growth 31 00:02:00,040 --> 00:02:03,559 Speaker 3: because we don't have excess capacity. Why can't AI play 32 00:02:03,600 --> 00:02:09,080 Speaker 3: that role with productivity? And that sounds logical when you 33 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:11,280 Speaker 3: think about it, when you dig into the data, you 34 00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:15,840 Speaker 3: realize that it's not feasible in twenty twenty six and so. 35 00:02:16,200 --> 00:02:19,440 Speaker 3: And the reason for this is that AI is really 36 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:23,359 Speaker 3: for now a phenomenon of the very large companies. Small 37 00:02:23,400 --> 00:02:27,160 Speaker 3: business America has not really embraced it. And small business 38 00:02:27,200 --> 00:02:30,880 Speaker 3: America creates three quarters of jobs in the US. And so, 39 00:02:31,320 --> 00:02:35,079 Speaker 3: until you know this is adopted broadly, I don't think 40 00:02:35,120 --> 00:02:37,280 Speaker 3: we're going to see the employment phenomenon that a lot 41 00:02:37,280 --> 00:02:39,440 Speaker 3: of people are looking for. 42 00:02:39,840 --> 00:02:44,080 Speaker 2: Beautifully frames the risk of AI in this twenty twenty 43 00:02:44,120 --> 00:02:46,919 Speaker 2: six and the total mystery or where We'll be out 44 00:02:46,919 --> 00:02:51,680 Speaker 2: there somewhere Friends Hotan, BMO Capital Markets on our podcast 45 00:02:51,760 --> 00:02:55,760 Speaker 2: run Apple, on Spotify, particularly Good Morning to the Pacific RIM, 46 00:02:56,160 --> 00:03:00,640 Speaker 2: which we hear does well of Spotify and on YouTube podcasts. 47 00:03:01,080 --> 00:03:12,400 Speaker 2: A single best idea m HM