WEBVTT - Fred Vogelstein on the Problem of Facebook's Power

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<v Speaker 1>Untold numbers of journalists, politicians, technologists, and armchair experts have

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<v Speaker 1>tackled the slippery topic of Facebook, and to be honest,

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<v Speaker 1>I was a little wary of jumping into these boiling waters.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not an expert on the social network by any means,

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<v Speaker 1>but I have reported on my share of other scandals

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<v Speaker 1>in overall business gone bad. Like most of us, I

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<v Speaker 1>am deeply interested in the gargantuan problem that is Facebook.

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<v Speaker 1>So when I read the Wired article fifteen months of

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<v Speaker 1>Fresh Hell Inside Facebook, written by my friend and class

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<v Speaker 1>act reporter Fred Vogelstein, I knew I'd found the right

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<v Speaker 1>guide to help us understand the story behind the story

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<v Speaker 1>at Facebook. So Facebook, the problem of the company's power

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<v Speaker 1>starts out sounding familiar, but then it becomes totally, incompletely unprecedented.

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<v Speaker 1>The first thing to understand is simple, we are the product.

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<v Speaker 1>Facebook's business model is built on getting us to spend

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<v Speaker 1>as much time as possible on the platform, sharing as

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<v Speaker 1>much as possible about our lives. We're essentially paying for

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<v Speaker 1>Facebook with our attention and our data. This is by

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<v Speaker 1>no means unique to Facebook. Every website you visit is

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<v Speaker 1>collecting data of some sort and using it to show

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<v Speaker 1>you better ads, or to profile you in some other way.

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<v Speaker 1>Sometimes your data is anonymous, sometimes it's not. Sometimes it's secure. Sometimes,

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<v Speaker 1>as we have all learned, it's not ug. It's just

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<v Speaker 1>the way advertising and social networks than the Internet have evolved,

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<v Speaker 1>and Facebook is the biggest player in this game. I've

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<v Speaker 1>heard an argument that this isn't any different from the

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<v Speaker 1>old days of television or radio. They gave us entertainment.

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<v Speaker 1>We watch their advertising, but it is different because it's

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<v Speaker 1>even bigger and more concentrated than you might think. One person,

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<v Speaker 1>Mark Zuckerberg, controlling sixty percent of voting shares, says at

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<v Speaker 1>the very top of not just one, but three of

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<v Speaker 1>the world's major communications platforms Facebook, Instagram, and What'sapp that

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<v Speaker 1>billions of people use every single day, and then there

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<v Speaker 1>are the privacy shortcomings. It's like a reverse Spider Man,

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<v Speaker 1>and with great power comes great irresponsibility. We share far

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<v Speaker 1>more with Facebook than we ever did with our TV sets.

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<v Speaker 1>Time and again, Facebook has purposely ignored privacy and fixated

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<v Speaker 1>on growth. This worked for them for years, but when

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<v Speaker 1>data leaks and privacy scandals just keep coming. When the

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<v Speaker 1>compromised data is being used by political operatives to manipulate

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<v Speaker 1>human behavior during elections. I think it's fair to say

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<v Speaker 1>that Facebook's old slogan, move fast and break things, needs

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<v Speaker 1>to be retired before Facebook breaks are very democracy. The

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<v Speaker 1>real problem of Facebook's power is, as Facebook co founder

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<v Speaker 1>Chris Hughes said when he wrote his Wall Street Journal

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<v Speaker 1>op ed, It's time to break up Facebook, there is

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<v Speaker 1>no precedent for the ability to monitor, organize, and even

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<v Speaker 1>censor the conversations of two billion people. Something of this

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<v Speaker 1>size has just never happened before. Exponential technology has maybe

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<v Speaker 1>gotten out of hand. How can Facebook regulate itself? Can

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<v Speaker 1>artificial intelligence do it instead of human intelligence? Can the

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<v Speaker 1>ferment what role do we as humans play in the

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<v Speaker 1>uglier aspects of how Facebook has evolved? After all, even

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<v Speaker 1>when it's working normally, it still brings out the more

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<v Speaker 1>divisive aspects of humanity rather than the kind and loving ones.

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<v Speaker 1>Some might even argue that Facebook's algorithms engineer rage. Facebook

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<v Speaker 1>might be good for its shareholders, but his Facebook a

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<v Speaker 1>good thing for our society. Fred who I've known since

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<v Speaker 1>our days at Fortune Magazine together, just did this massive

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<v Speaker 1>story for Wired based on interviews with sixty five current

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<v Speaker 1>and former employees at the company. I was so glad

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<v Speaker 1>he made some time to talk with me, even though

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<v Speaker 1>he's fighting a case of laryngitis. In this episode, he

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<v Speaker 1>walks us through a story about the seismic shifts happening

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<v Speaker 1>inside Facebook, a company trapped by its own pathologies and

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<v Speaker 1>one with no precedent, where we are all literally writing

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<v Speaker 1>the rules as we make or break them. We're going

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<v Speaker 1>to start at the beginning. You've got this great line

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<v Speaker 1>in your piece that Facebook's reputation is sinking toward junk

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<v Speaker 1>bond status. Why Facebook is sinking toward dunk bond status

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<v Speaker 1>Because Facebook, when you kind of cut right through, it

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<v Speaker 1>relies on people trusting it as an organization to do

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<v Speaker 1>the right thing, because it's asking people to give them

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<v Speaker 1>all kinds of super personal information that they own. And

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<v Speaker 1>Facebook has a trust problem, and I think they're working

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<v Speaker 1>super hard to try to get it back. But trust

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<v Speaker 1>is one of those things that is super hard to

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<v Speaker 1>earn and easy to an easy to lose, and it

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<v Speaker 1>requires hell of a lot of effort to kind of

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<v Speaker 1>get back. So when it was a virtuous circle, when

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<v Speaker 1>Facebook was gaining power and gaining users, it was a

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<v Speaker 1>virtuous circle. But that virtuous circle has somehow turned vicious. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>is that a way to think about it? That's absolutely

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<v Speaker 1>the way to think about it. I Mean, one of

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<v Speaker 1>the really fascinating things about what drove Facebook was very

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<v Speaker 1>much the same thing that drove many of the tech

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<v Speaker 1>companies that we've come to love or hate. It's a complicated,

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<v Speaker 1>complicated thing, but Microsoft became the biggest, most powerful company

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<v Speaker 1>on the planet. First it developed the operating systems that

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<v Speaker 1>ran all the computers on our desks, and then it

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<v Speaker 1>developed the office software that ran all the computers on

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<v Speaker 1>our desks. And the thing about those software businesses is

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<v Speaker 1>that they have network effects, and network effects are essentially

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<v Speaker 1>the more valuable the network becomes the more people are

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<v Speaker 1>on it. And Facebook essentially rode that as well. People

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<v Speaker 1>started joining Facebook because everybody else was joining Facebook. And

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<v Speaker 1>it started to get to the point where you go

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<v Speaker 1>to cocktail parties and people would say, well, I did

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<v Speaker 1>this on Facebook or that on Facebook. Didn't you see it?

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<v Speaker 1>And if on Facebook, you weren't part of the conversation.

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<v Speaker 1>Virtual life becoming real life and vice versa, right exactly.

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<v Speaker 1>So I was also really struck in your story that

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<v Speaker 1>you have these really powerful people weighing in on face

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<v Speaker 1>Book in a way that just would have been shocking

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<v Speaker 1>a couple of years ago. You begin with this great

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<v Speaker 1>anecdote about George Soros taking Davos to announce that Facebook's

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<v Speaker 1>days are numbered. You've got Brian Acton, who is the

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<v Speaker 1>founder of WhatsApp, which was acquired by Facebook, talking about

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<v Speaker 1>his delete Facebook hashtag. What do you make of the

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<v Speaker 1>way things shifted so quickly? It seems one of the

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<v Speaker 1>things that happens to big companies is they realize that

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<v Speaker 1>they're big companies, usually a lot later than they should.

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<v Speaker 1>It's really hard to start a company, and it's really

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<v Speaker 1>hard to kind of grow a business to the size

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<v Speaker 1>that Facebook grew it. And you're constantly thinking of yourself

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<v Speaker 1>as an underdog, and you're constantly thinking that there's somebody

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<v Speaker 1>always around the corner that's about to crush you in

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<v Speaker 1>the marketplace, and that posture doesn't really make you think

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<v Speaker 1>about your social responsibilities as an enormous firm with billions

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<v Speaker 1>and billions and billions of users on the planet, and

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<v Speaker 1>Facebook was just really slow to recognize that shift. The

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<v Speaker 1>first sign that it was hitting Facebook hard was when

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<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump got elected president in twenty sixteen, But I

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<v Speaker 1>really don't think Facebook itself realized it was in that

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<v Speaker 1>situation until the middle of two seventeen, when it became

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<v Speaker 1>clear that the Russians had infiltrated Facebook's platform in all

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<v Speaker 1>kinds of ways that even they were just starting to

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<v Speaker 1>figure out that gap between self perception and reality is fascinating,

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<v Speaker 1>or between self perception and the rest of our perception.

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<v Speaker 1>In some ways, it's understandable, because when you're a little company,

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<v Speaker 1>you have to think one way, and the only way

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<v Speaker 1>to know where that line is is to really cross it.

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<v Speaker 1>But the companies that actually survive are the ones that

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<v Speaker 1>realize when they've crossed it and do something about it

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<v Speaker 1>quickly once they've crossed it. And I think what we're

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<v Speaker 1>seeing is that Facebook moved a little too slowly to

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<v Speaker 1>tackle its image problems. I also think the image problem

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<v Speaker 1>that Facebook faced was actually bigger than previous technology companies

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<v Speaker 1>have run into. Microsoft and Google were super powerful and

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<v Speaker 1>important but in their very specific niches technologies, computer, software, advertising.

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<v Speaker 1>All of a sudden, Facebook was not only super influential

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<v Speaker 1>in those but suddenly it was super influential in politics

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<v Speaker 1>and international relations, and people in the intelligence community were

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<v Speaker 1>starting to wonder, hey, what side are you on? And so,

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<v Speaker 1>to give Facebook some credit, the issues that Facebook had

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<v Speaker 1>to deal with when it crossed that line were bigger

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<v Speaker 1>and more complicated than really I think any company before

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<v Speaker 1>it has had to deal with. I was actually thinking

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<v Speaker 1>that when you were talking that if you were to

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<v Speaker 1>be sympathetic to them, you would say that they're reach

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<v Speaker 1>into people's lives and their reach around the globe is

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<v Speaker 1>just absolutely unprecedented, isn't it. I mean, has there ever

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<v Speaker 1>been a historical analog that you can think of a

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<v Speaker 1>company that could have awakened this kind of fear and loathing,

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<v Speaker 1>if you will, just because of its reach into the

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<v Speaker 1>deepest parts of our lives. I think Facebook really didn't

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<v Speaker 1>know what it was unleashing when it was asking us

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<v Speaker 1>to let them into our lives in the way that

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<v Speaker 1>it did, and I think they were as surprised by

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<v Speaker 1>the shocks as many of us were. You're almost saying

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<v Speaker 1>there was a naivety about Facebook. They were incredibly naive,

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<v Speaker 1>but to be fair, we let them be that way.

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<v Speaker 1>What's going on with Facebook is bigger than Facebook. The

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<v Speaker 1>impact that technology is having on our lives is bigger

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<v Speaker 1>than Facebook, and I don't think Facebook really thought that way.

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<v Speaker 1>I think they thought the same way technology companies before

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<v Speaker 1>them thought, which is that if we stick to our knitting,

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<v Speaker 1>everything will be fine. And I think they didn't realize

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<v Speaker 1>that the world thinks about technology companies one way. When

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<v Speaker 1>they're small and just a bunch of crazy entrepreneurs out

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<v Speaker 1>there in California doing that startup thing in their t shirts,

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<v Speaker 1>they think about them differently than when they're the top

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<v Speaker 1>five or six most valuable companies in the planet. I

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<v Speaker 1>actually want to back up to the people here, because

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<v Speaker 1>you've been thinking about Facebook for years, and you've covered

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<v Speaker 1>technology brilliantly for years. Who is Mark Zuckerberg? How would

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<v Speaker 1>you sum him up? And have you seen him change

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<v Speaker 1>over the years that you've been thinking about him and

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<v Speaker 1>getting to know him and watching him. I think Mark

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<v Speaker 1>Zuckerberg is a lot savvier than most people give him

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<v Speaker 1>credit for. I think that Mark doesn't particularly like to

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<v Speaker 1>be in the public eye. But the times that I've

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<v Speaker 1>talked to him and interviewed him, you don't get the

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<v Speaker 1>idea that he's dysfunctional as a leader and public person either.

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<v Speaker 1>His background is technology, not sales. You know, Mark is

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<v Speaker 1>a very sophisticated guy who can learn very quickly about

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<v Speaker 1>what he needs to do to tackle the problems at hand.

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<v Speaker 1>One of the problems that Bill Gates had was that

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<v Speaker 1>he was super uncomfortable in the public eye in a

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<v Speaker 1>way that he was not really able to control super effectively,

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<v Speaker 1>Whereas I think that Zuck is quite able to kind

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<v Speaker 1>of stand up in front of a room full of

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<v Speaker 1>people and talk about all kinds of fairly human things.

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<v Speaker 1>People talk about Zuck is if he's some kind of robot,

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<v Speaker 1>but my interactions with him have not really been that way.

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<v Speaker 1>And have you've seen him evolve? Is he capable of evolution?

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<v Speaker 1>I think one of Mark Zuckerberg's biggest assets is his

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<v Speaker 1>ability to evolve and adapt. There used to be a

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<v Speaker 1>saying inside Facebook when the company was younger and fast

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<v Speaker 1>growing that Facebook is the company that always does the

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<v Speaker 1>right thing eventually. I love the pause before the word eventually. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>but what they're trying what they're trying to say is

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<v Speaker 1>is that we understand that we screw it up sometimes,

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<v Speaker 1>but we're also not bad people, and we are capable

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<v Speaker 1>of seeing the problems that we cause and doing something

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<v Speaker 1>about them. But it's the very length of that pause

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<v Speaker 1>that has gotten the company into trouble, right, the eventually,

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<v Speaker 1>the pause and then the eventually that is that sums

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<v Speaker 1>up where we are today in some ways. But you know,

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<v Speaker 1>to be fair, part of what's happening isn't just a

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<v Speaker 1>re examination of Facebook. It's a reexamination of the role

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<v Speaker 1>of technology in our lives and in society that really

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<v Speaker 1>hasn't happened for twenty years. I go back covering technology

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<v Speaker 1>to the days that technology was sold in packages in

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<v Speaker 1>stores on shelves. There was a time when Microsoft actually

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<v Speaker 1>did operating systems and did versions of Office and put

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<v Speaker 1>them in boxes and ship them to stores and sold

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<v Speaker 1>them for money, and every two years you got a

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<v Speaker 1>new version of whatever they were developing. And in the

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<v Speaker 1>early two thousands, Google changed all that by saying, well,

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<v Speaker 1>what if we gave our software away for free, paid

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<v Speaker 1>for it with advertising, and threw it over the wall

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<v Speaker 1>to you users, half baked in beta, so you guys

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<v Speaker 1>can mess around with it and tell it what tell

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<v Speaker 1>us what was wrong with it. That turned out to

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<v Speaker 1>be a brilliant idea twenty years ago or fifteen years ago,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's been the whole approach to thinking about technology

0:14:03.440 --> 0:14:06.720
<v Speaker 1>since two thousand and two or two thousand and three,

0:14:07.240 --> 0:14:11.560
<v Speaker 1>the thinking being that this technology is so interesting and

0:14:11.800 --> 0:14:14.480
<v Speaker 1>useful and important that we're just going to let you

0:14:14.559 --> 0:14:17.160
<v Speaker 1>guys mess around with it and see where it goes.

0:14:17.720 --> 0:14:21.480
<v Speaker 1>In those days, the technology didn't have all kinds of

0:14:21.560 --> 0:14:28.000
<v Speaker 1>unintended consequences that seemed particularly meaningful or bothersome. What we're

0:14:28.000 --> 0:14:32.440
<v Speaker 1>discovering now, though, is that the technology that these companies

0:14:32.480 --> 0:14:38.960
<v Speaker 1>are making has enormous unintended consequences. It's hell, it can

0:14:39.040 --> 0:14:43.440
<v Speaker 1>turn the world inside out in a moment, and so

0:14:43.480 --> 0:14:46.040
<v Speaker 1>all of a sudden, the conversation that we're having about

0:14:46.080 --> 0:14:50.080
<v Speaker 1>these new technologies much more resembles the conversation that we

0:14:50.160 --> 0:14:54.320
<v Speaker 1>used to add about nuclear weapons. We can build these weapons,

0:14:54.640 --> 0:14:58.720
<v Speaker 1>but should we That's a fascinating analogy, and I want

0:14:58.720 --> 0:15:02.120
<v Speaker 1>to come back to that. Chris Hughes said something in

0:15:02.160 --> 0:15:04.800
<v Speaker 1>the op ed he wrote, arguing also that Facebook should

0:15:04.840 --> 0:15:07.520
<v Speaker 1>be broken up that I thought was a really interesting line,

0:15:07.520 --> 0:15:10.360
<v Speaker 1>and I thought maybe you could help unpack it. And

0:15:10.400 --> 0:15:13.520
<v Speaker 1>he said, it's his very humanity that makes his unchecked

0:15:13.520 --> 0:15:16.520
<v Speaker 1>power so problematic. What do you think Chris meant by that?

0:15:17.000 --> 0:15:20.040
<v Speaker 1>Is what I said earlier? Mark Zuckerberg doesn't seem like

0:15:20.080 --> 0:15:23.880
<v Speaker 1>a bad guy. If you really get to know Mark Zuckerberg,

0:15:24.280 --> 0:15:26.640
<v Speaker 1>he's not the kind of guy that like you would say, oh,

0:15:26.760 --> 0:15:30.520
<v Speaker 1>he reminds me of Joseph Stalin. He seems like a

0:15:30.520 --> 0:15:34.400
<v Speaker 1>pretty regular dude. It would be really easy when you

0:15:34.520 --> 0:15:37.640
<v Speaker 1>met Mark Zuckerberg to say, why are we getting so

0:15:37.720 --> 0:15:40.800
<v Speaker 1>worked up? He's not such a bad guy. But that's

0:15:40.840 --> 0:15:43.880
<v Speaker 1>not the problem. The problem with Zuckerberg that Chris Hughes

0:15:43.960 --> 0:15:48.720
<v Speaker 1>pointed out is that no one should have that kind

0:15:48.760 --> 0:15:54.480
<v Speaker 1>of power. It doesn't matter how good anybody is, how

0:15:54.520 --> 0:15:58.760
<v Speaker 1>well meaning they are, no single person should have the

0:15:58.840 --> 0:16:03.760
<v Speaker 1>kind of power Mark Zuckerberg has over how we see

0:16:03.800 --> 0:16:08.640
<v Speaker 1>information and interact with information and interact with each other.

0:16:09.200 --> 0:16:12.560
<v Speaker 1>That's the point he's making. He's saying, like it doesn't

0:16:12.600 --> 0:16:16.840
<v Speaker 1>matter who he is, we need to rethink how we

0:16:17.120 --> 0:16:25.080
<v Speaker 1>allow technologies and technology companies, what rules they operate in society.

0:16:25.200 --> 0:16:27.480
<v Speaker 1>I was thinking it's fascinating while you were talking. There's

0:16:27.760 --> 0:16:31.040
<v Speaker 1>of course famous line, absolute power corrupts absolutely, and maybe

0:16:31.040 --> 0:16:35.360
<v Speaker 1>in this case the analogy is absolute infiltration infiltrates absolutely

0:16:35.880 --> 0:16:37.200
<v Speaker 1>in the way in the way at which it just

0:16:37.200 --> 0:16:39.840
<v Speaker 1>steeps into every aspect of our lives, right. I think

0:16:39.920 --> 0:16:42.560
<v Speaker 1>part of the problem that we're having with Facebook and

0:16:42.600 --> 0:16:47.000
<v Speaker 1>all these companies, but Facebook in particular, is that we

0:16:47.080 --> 0:16:53.400
<v Speaker 1>still haven't decided what Facebook is. I sometimes think that

0:16:53.560 --> 0:16:57.760
<v Speaker 1>the easiest solution to how we think about Facebook and

0:16:58.120 --> 0:17:02.200
<v Speaker 1>the rest of the technology company, or certainly Facebook and Google,

0:17:02.640 --> 0:17:06.840
<v Speaker 1>is to conclude that they are the new television networks.

0:17:07.760 --> 0:17:13.880
<v Speaker 1>We've actually seen this movie before, we just don't remember it.

0:17:14.119 --> 0:17:16.840
<v Speaker 1>If that's the correct analogy, then that argues for a

0:17:16.960 --> 0:17:20.120
<v Speaker 1>very different set of regulation and a very different set

0:17:20.160 --> 0:17:24.119
<v Speaker 1>of responsibilities, because being a TV station came with a

0:17:24.119 --> 0:17:27.960
<v Speaker 1>fair amount of responsibilities back then, right, and also with

0:17:28.080 --> 0:17:31.200
<v Speaker 1>limitations on size, and there were lots of TV stations,

0:17:31.200 --> 0:17:32.879
<v Speaker 1>and all of that was at least for a period

0:17:32.920 --> 0:17:37.560
<v Speaker 1>of time, very deliberately thought about exactly. The problem we

0:17:37.640 --> 0:17:41.280
<v Speaker 1>have is that these new companies, as you'd expect, have

0:17:41.520 --> 0:17:45.800
<v Speaker 1>tried to explain to us and convince us that they

0:17:45.840 --> 0:17:49.560
<v Speaker 1>are entirely new and different things that nobody has seen

0:17:49.680 --> 0:17:55.480
<v Speaker 1>before in humanity. And the reality is that's false. We've

0:17:55.480 --> 0:18:01.080
<v Speaker 1>seen this movie completely before. It started one hundred years

0:18:01.080 --> 0:18:07.800
<v Speaker 1>ago with radio and then television, and you could go

0:18:07.880 --> 0:18:10.320
<v Speaker 1>back even before that and say it started with the

0:18:10.359 --> 0:18:15.199
<v Speaker 1>printing press, but and the development and the telephone and

0:18:15.240 --> 0:18:20.480
<v Speaker 1>the development of recording devices. I mean, Facebook just takes

0:18:20.600 --> 0:18:24.280
<v Speaker 1>all of that and kind of squishes it into one thing.

0:18:24.560 --> 0:18:28.960
<v Speaker 1>But that doesn't mean that it's different. In fact, it's

0:18:29.040 --> 0:18:31.680
<v Speaker 1>more powerful, and you could argue that it maybe needs

0:18:32.040 --> 0:18:36.879
<v Speaker 1>more regulation and rules that we had on the television

0:18:36.920 --> 0:18:40.479
<v Speaker 1>networks and the telephone companies and the cable companies that

0:18:40.560 --> 0:18:44.880
<v Speaker 1>we put in place back in the fifties, sixties and seventies.

0:18:45.000 --> 0:18:47.480
<v Speaker 1>I want to go back to another person at Facebook

0:18:47.520 --> 0:18:50.720
<v Speaker 1>in addition to Zuk, and that's Cheryl Sandberg. What do

0:18:50.760 --> 0:18:52.960
<v Speaker 1>you think about her? Who is she? I think that

0:18:53.080 --> 0:18:56.760
<v Speaker 1>Cheryl is one of the most impressive executives in American business,

0:18:57.000 --> 0:18:59.880
<v Speaker 1>and everybody I've talked to, even the people who hate

0:19:00.280 --> 0:19:03.919
<v Speaker 1>say that as well. What I can't figure out, though,

0:19:04.520 --> 0:19:11.439
<v Speaker 1>is her background is sales, marketing politics. She worked for

0:19:11.560 --> 0:19:17.879
<v Speaker 1>Larry Summers in Washington. She understands how society turns on

0:19:18.200 --> 0:19:22.840
<v Speaker 1>things and how laws get passed and regulations get passed.

0:19:23.080 --> 0:19:27.760
<v Speaker 1>And I'm a little surprised that her expertise has still

0:19:27.960 --> 0:19:32.960
<v Speaker 1>left Facebook looking as flat footed as it has. So

0:19:33.040 --> 0:19:36.119
<v Speaker 1>going back to your nuclear weapons analogy. In the end,

0:19:36.160 --> 0:19:38.639
<v Speaker 1>a nuclear weapon is only dangerous because it's in the

0:19:38.640 --> 0:19:42.200
<v Speaker 1>hands of people, right, so it is the ultimate problem

0:19:42.280 --> 0:19:45.320
<v Speaker 1>all of us. In other words, if Facebook was naive

0:19:45.440 --> 0:19:48.520
<v Speaker 1>in some ways counting on human nature to be better

0:19:48.600 --> 0:19:51.840
<v Speaker 1>than it perhaps is are we really the problem? Some

0:19:52.040 --> 0:19:55.399
<v Speaker 1>of what I think is happening here is that we

0:19:55.760 --> 0:20:01.560
<v Speaker 1>as people are finally getting over our starry eyed views

0:20:01.800 --> 0:20:06.120
<v Speaker 1>of the Internet in general. I think that there were

0:20:06.160 --> 0:20:09.119
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people when the Internet took hold in

0:20:09.119 --> 0:20:11.920
<v Speaker 1>the mid nineties. I think that there were a lot

0:20:11.960 --> 0:20:15.560
<v Speaker 1>of people, and I'll include myself, who believe that the

0:20:15.600 --> 0:20:20.119
<v Speaker 1>Internet would change the world in only good ways, because

0:20:20.280 --> 0:20:25.960
<v Speaker 1>how could a technology that allowed people access to information

0:20:26.840 --> 0:20:31.879
<v Speaker 1>everywhere and anywhere not be a good thing? And we

0:20:32.000 --> 0:20:35.439
<v Speaker 1>all thought that the world was going to be a

0:20:35.480 --> 0:20:40.480
<v Speaker 1>better place, and we allowed technology companies to convince us

0:20:40.480 --> 0:20:44.760
<v Speaker 1>of that as we moved forward. And guess what, the

0:20:44.800 --> 0:20:50.440
<v Speaker 1>Internet and Facebook we're realizing are just another tool. They're

0:20:50.800 --> 0:20:55.960
<v Speaker 1>like the telephone, they're like the wheel, they're like fire.

0:20:56.480 --> 0:21:01.720
<v Speaker 1>You don't get a free ride humanity when it's all connected,

0:21:01.920 --> 0:21:07.040
<v Speaker 1>and when you can put information anywhere, we'll figure out

0:21:07.080 --> 0:21:10.600
<v Speaker 1>a way to mess up the same way it's been

0:21:10.640 --> 0:21:14.640
<v Speaker 1>doing since Adam and Eve. Humans are just like this.

0:21:15.119 --> 0:21:17.440
<v Speaker 1>It will be really beautiful and it will be really ugly.

0:21:18.080 --> 0:21:21.119
<v Speaker 1>There is this other component. So I accept that some

0:21:21.200 --> 0:21:25.040
<v Speaker 1>of us, and this nastiness that is part of human nature,

0:21:25.240 --> 0:21:27.080
<v Speaker 1>is to blame for where we are. But then you

0:21:27.160 --> 0:21:29.439
<v Speaker 1>layer on top of this. Facebook has always had this

0:21:29.600 --> 0:21:33.720
<v Speaker 1>just relentless drive for growth. Why is that? Where does

0:21:33.760 --> 0:21:35.760
<v Speaker 1>that come from? Because I don't get the impression, and

0:21:35.800 --> 0:21:38.800
<v Speaker 1>you would know better that Mark Zuckerberg's primary goal is

0:21:38.840 --> 0:21:40.960
<v Speaker 1>being rich. I think it all goes back to the

0:21:40.960 --> 0:21:45.320
<v Speaker 1>power of network effects. I think Facebook realized early on

0:21:45.720 --> 0:21:49.639
<v Speaker 1>that the more people who used Facebook, the more people

0:21:50.119 --> 0:21:55.240
<v Speaker 1>used Facebook. And so if you think that way, and

0:21:55.600 --> 0:22:00.720
<v Speaker 1>your business is going to be driven by advertising, which

0:22:01.080 --> 0:22:06.400
<v Speaker 1>means eyeballs. By definition, getting as many eyeballs as possible

0:22:06.800 --> 0:22:11.000
<v Speaker 1>becomes your reason for existing, right, It's like oxygen. It

0:22:11.000 --> 0:22:13.520
<v Speaker 1>becomes something you need for survival, or at least that

0:22:13.560 --> 0:22:17.240
<v Speaker 1>you perceive you need for survival exactly. So I think

0:22:17.280 --> 0:22:21.320
<v Speaker 1>Facebook just went after growth the way you'd expect any

0:22:21.400 --> 0:22:25.680
<v Speaker 1>engineers to go after growth. They actually looked at the problem,

0:22:26.080 --> 0:22:30.360
<v Speaker 1>applied all kinds of math and algorithms, and tried to

0:22:30.400 --> 0:22:33.760
<v Speaker 1>systematize it. And they did a really really, really good

0:22:33.840 --> 0:22:37.680
<v Speaker 1>job using the tools that they had and the brains

0:22:37.760 --> 0:22:42.480
<v Speaker 1>on their heads. But I think Zuckerberg never really thought

0:22:42.520 --> 0:22:46.600
<v Speaker 1>of himself needing to be a zillionaire that he is.

0:22:46.840 --> 0:22:50.920
<v Speaker 1>But that's actually kind of true about almost every super

0:22:50.960 --> 0:22:54.920
<v Speaker 1>successful entrepreneur in Silicon Valley that I've run into. The

0:22:54.920 --> 0:22:58.600
<v Speaker 1>ones that really see building a company as a get

0:22:58.680 --> 0:23:02.720
<v Speaker 1>rich quick mechanism are the ones that don't usually do

0:23:02.800 --> 0:23:05.800
<v Speaker 1>so well. The guys that do really well are the

0:23:05.840 --> 0:23:10.200
<v Speaker 1>guys that build companies because they're not set up to

0:23:10.240 --> 0:23:13.960
<v Speaker 1>do anything else. It's like breathing today. And yet it

0:23:14.000 --> 0:23:17.800
<v Speaker 1>creates a conundrum of sorts, which is where Facebook is now.

0:23:18.080 --> 0:23:21.880
<v Speaker 1>I think Zuckerberg writes this essay, this three thousand word

0:23:22.040 --> 0:23:25.119
<v Speaker 1>essay that's kind of vague. It sounds really nice, but

0:23:25.200 --> 0:23:26.840
<v Speaker 1>about how the company is going to be a lot

0:23:26.880 --> 0:23:30.440
<v Speaker 1>more privacy focused going forward, and it's realized that people

0:23:30.560 --> 0:23:34.520
<v Speaker 1>people need privacy. Yet at the same time, the company

0:23:34.720 --> 0:23:38.720
<v Speaker 1>makes its money off selling our personal data off advertising.

0:23:39.000 --> 0:23:41.480
<v Speaker 1>And so one critic responded to the piece. He wrote

0:23:41.520 --> 0:23:43.600
<v Speaker 1>that the essay is a power grab disguised as an

0:23:43.600 --> 0:23:46.639
<v Speaker 1>act of contrition. Do you think that's fair? Is that no?

0:23:46.760 --> 0:23:49.760
<v Speaker 1>I think it's totally fair. I actually think that one

0:23:49.800 --> 0:23:52.720
<v Speaker 1>of the things that Zuckerberg has done, very very very

0:23:52.760 --> 0:23:58.040
<v Speaker 1>well has been to master the art of apologizing. Zuckerberg's

0:23:58.080 --> 0:24:03.119
<v Speaker 1>gift beyond engineering, and maybe even more than his gift

0:24:03.200 --> 0:24:07.200
<v Speaker 1>of engineering, is to understand that humans care a lot

0:24:07.280 --> 0:24:10.240
<v Speaker 1>less about privacy than they say they do, and a

0:24:10.280 --> 0:24:13.880
<v Speaker 1>lot more about interacting with each other than they say

0:24:13.920 --> 0:24:16.800
<v Speaker 1>they do. You think that's still true today. I think

0:24:16.800 --> 0:24:19.400
<v Speaker 1>that that's still true today. I think that that's when

0:24:19.440 --> 0:24:23.800
<v Speaker 1>you kind of cut right through it. That's Zuckerberg's incredible brilliance. Basically,

0:24:23.960 --> 0:24:27.040
<v Speaker 1>when you think about the history of Facebook, this rea

0:24:27.160 --> 0:24:30.800
<v Speaker 1>Facebook is. It is of Zuck doing all kinds of

0:24:30.880 --> 0:24:33.600
<v Speaker 1>things to push people to do things that initially they

0:24:33.640 --> 0:24:36.960
<v Speaker 1>thought seemed awful and preposterous and that they didn't want

0:24:37.000 --> 0:24:40.760
<v Speaker 1>to do, and Zuck telling them to breathe, and them

0:24:40.760 --> 0:24:45.000
<v Speaker 1>breathing and realizing that he was giving them something that

0:24:45.080 --> 0:24:49.720
<v Speaker 1>they really wanted. It's happened again and again and again

0:24:50.160 --> 0:24:53.320
<v Speaker 1>and again. It's astonishing when you think about it. Think

0:24:53.400 --> 0:24:57.080
<v Speaker 1>about Facebook when it started fifteen years ago. The idea

0:24:57.119 --> 0:24:59.720
<v Speaker 1>that you would put all your personal information on some

0:25:00.119 --> 0:25:02.199
<v Speaker 1>the server and connect with a bunch of people that

0:25:02.320 --> 0:25:05.240
<v Speaker 1>you knew and didn't know. It's like nobody would have

0:25:05.280 --> 0:25:08.399
<v Speaker 1>done that. It was like it seemed preposterous. The idea

0:25:08.400 --> 0:25:13.080
<v Speaker 1>of Facebook seemed completely preposterous. Interesting, how far he's moved us, Right,

0:25:13.680 --> 0:25:16.399
<v Speaker 1>He's moved us because he understood us better than we

0:25:16.520 --> 0:25:20.840
<v Speaker 1>understand ourselves. But doesn't that create a problem today if

0:25:20.880 --> 0:25:23.400
<v Speaker 1>there is and maybe based on what you're saying, it's

0:25:23.440 --> 0:25:26.199
<v Speaker 1>more of an if than an absolute, If there is

0:25:26.240 --> 0:25:30.320
<v Speaker 1>this pressure for more privacy, for less data sharing, if

0:25:30.320 --> 0:25:32.479
<v Speaker 1>that is the direction that Facebook is going to go.

0:25:32.880 --> 0:25:35.359
<v Speaker 1>Whether or not Mark Zuckerberg cares about the money, his

0:25:35.440 --> 0:25:38.760
<v Speaker 1>shareholders care a lot about the money, and you chart

0:25:38.760 --> 0:25:41.520
<v Speaker 1>in your story the employee reaction to the stocks up

0:25:41.520 --> 0:25:44.200
<v Speaker 1>and downs. The employees care a lot about the stock

0:25:44.240 --> 0:25:46.919
<v Speaker 1>price because so many of them, that's the majority of

0:25:46.920 --> 0:25:49.320
<v Speaker 1>their wealth is tied up in that. What element of

0:25:49.359 --> 0:25:53.160
<v Speaker 1>complexity does that add to Facebook's maneuvering going forward? Doesn't

0:25:53.200 --> 0:25:57.040
<v Speaker 1>that tie their hands? Well? Actually, what's really interesting about

0:25:57.119 --> 0:26:01.160
<v Speaker 1>Facebook going forward is that it's going to be a

0:26:01.280 --> 0:26:04.560
<v Speaker 1>very different company over the course of the next five years.

0:26:05.119 --> 0:26:09.200
<v Speaker 1>We're starting to see signs of that already. A lot

0:26:09.240 --> 0:26:13.160
<v Speaker 1>of people are focusing on Zuckerberg's move to privacy as

0:26:13.240 --> 0:26:17.160
<v Speaker 1>being driven by his reaction to the world as it

0:26:17.240 --> 0:26:19.960
<v Speaker 1>is today, and I think that that's true. But I

0:26:20.040 --> 0:26:23.400
<v Speaker 1>also think that Zuckerberg has a grand plan for taking

0:26:23.680 --> 0:26:27.760
<v Speaker 1>Facebook to the next level that we're only just starting

0:26:27.760 --> 0:26:31.439
<v Speaker 1>to get glimpses of. The conversation that we've been having

0:26:31.600 --> 0:26:35.080
<v Speaker 1>about Facebook right now is that Facebook is going to

0:26:35.160 --> 0:26:39.000
<v Speaker 1>be a company driven primarily by advertising. But when you

0:26:39.040 --> 0:26:42.439
<v Speaker 1>actually stop and think about it the long term future

0:26:42.480 --> 0:26:47.280
<v Speaker 1>of Facebook, it can't keep growing and being dependent solely

0:26:47.280 --> 0:26:50.359
<v Speaker 1>on advertising because at some point and in the not

0:26:50.440 --> 0:26:53.680
<v Speaker 1>too distant future, it'll run out of people to advertise to.

0:26:54.240 --> 0:26:58.160
<v Speaker 1>Half of all advertising generally is now online. I think

0:26:58.160 --> 0:27:01.600
<v Speaker 1>it's probably fair to say that, given current growth rates,

0:27:01.880 --> 0:27:05.040
<v Speaker 1>in the next five years, most of the rest of

0:27:05.080 --> 0:27:11.280
<v Speaker 1>it will come online. Facebook has about thirty percent of

0:27:11.320 --> 0:27:15.760
<v Speaker 1>that market, so you can actually do the math. So

0:27:16.000 --> 0:27:19.119
<v Speaker 1>when you look at what Zuckerberg is talking about visa

0:27:19.200 --> 0:27:23.159
<v Speaker 1>VI privacy, it's also a rethinking about how Facebook is

0:27:23.160 --> 0:27:27.439
<v Speaker 1>gonna make money going forward. I was super interested to

0:27:27.520 --> 0:27:30.800
<v Speaker 1>note people have been talking about Facebook's plans with crypto

0:27:30.920 --> 0:27:34.080
<v Speaker 1>for a long time, wondering what that's gonna look like. Well,

0:27:34.119 --> 0:27:36.280
<v Speaker 1>we're now starting to get a pretty good look of

0:27:36.280 --> 0:27:39.920
<v Speaker 1>what's that's gonna look like. Facebook's gonna try to become

0:27:40.440 --> 0:27:46.399
<v Speaker 1>the transaction system for the third world. When you stop

0:27:46.400 --> 0:27:49.480
<v Speaker 1>and think about it, Facebook isn't really likely to be

0:27:49.520 --> 0:27:54.159
<v Speaker 1>able to monetize India, China and the rest of the

0:27:54.400 --> 0:28:00.320
<v Speaker 1>non European and United States world with advertising. What do

0:28:00.359 --> 0:28:04.040
<v Speaker 1>those companies really need. They need a better way to

0:28:04.080 --> 0:28:08.679
<v Speaker 1>do transactions online. And I was particularly struck by the

0:28:08.680 --> 0:28:12.840
<v Speaker 1>fact that Facebook has signed up Visa and PayPal and

0:28:12.960 --> 0:28:16.600
<v Speaker 1>MasterCard in it's soon to be launch efforts in the

0:28:16.640 --> 0:28:19.960
<v Speaker 1>world of bitcoin and crypto, because the thing that everybody

0:28:19.960 --> 0:28:23.600
<v Speaker 1>forgets about bitcoin and crypto is that it's not just

0:28:23.680 --> 0:28:27.359
<v Speaker 1>some speculative game. It's a whole new way of thinking

0:28:27.400 --> 0:28:33.160
<v Speaker 1>about privacy, identity, security. And if Facebook can do that,

0:28:33.600 --> 0:28:36.000
<v Speaker 1>it's all of a sudden going to become the biggest

0:28:36.080 --> 0:28:39.800
<v Speaker 1>bank on the entire planet. It'll have to be regulated

0:28:39.880 --> 0:28:42.560
<v Speaker 1>pretty heavily if it's going to do that. On the

0:28:42.600 --> 0:28:46.000
<v Speaker 1>other hand, getting regulated pretty heavily so that you can

0:28:46.040 --> 0:28:49.760
<v Speaker 1>get a teeny bit of a transaction volume of two

0:28:50.120 --> 0:28:53.200
<v Speaker 1>billion people online is a pretty good way to make

0:28:53.240 --> 0:28:57.600
<v Speaker 1>a lot of debating Facebook. Facebook is shifting and mutating

0:28:57.600 --> 0:29:01.160
<v Speaker 1>and becoming something else. Just back to this privacy issue, though,

0:29:01.160 --> 0:29:03.160
<v Speaker 1>because it is so top of mind for where we

0:29:03.200 --> 0:29:06.480
<v Speaker 1>are today, that in the middle of August, Facebook prototype

0:29:06.520 --> 0:29:09.800
<v Speaker 1>this location tracking service inside of Instagram, which is the

0:29:09.920 --> 0:29:12.600
<v Speaker 1>very thing that Instagram had been fighting against for a

0:29:12.640 --> 0:29:17.000
<v Speaker 1>long time. Doesn't that prove that everything Zuckerberg is saying

0:29:17.080 --> 0:29:20.560
<v Speaker 1>about increased privacy a sort of bs. They'll do what

0:29:20.600 --> 0:29:24.640
<v Speaker 1>they can get away with. Yes, yes, But I think

0:29:24.640 --> 0:29:27.680
<v Speaker 1>that one of the things that we discovered in our

0:29:27.760 --> 0:29:33.240
<v Speaker 1>reporting about Instagram is that Instagram, like WhatsApp, turned out

0:29:33.280 --> 0:29:36.960
<v Speaker 1>to be an incredible act of forward thinking by Facebook.

0:29:37.520 --> 0:29:40.360
<v Speaker 1>There are still zillions of people who talk about how

0:29:40.440 --> 0:29:45.760
<v Speaker 1>much they hate Facebook and love Instagram without realizing that

0:29:45.840 --> 0:29:49.920
<v Speaker 1>Facebook owns Instagram, and outside of the United States, the

0:29:49.960 --> 0:29:54.240
<v Speaker 1>world communicates on WhatsApp, and I don't know how many

0:29:54.240 --> 0:29:57.400
<v Speaker 1>people think about the fact that it's owned by Facebook

0:29:57.400 --> 0:30:00.520
<v Speaker 1>as well. You have to hand it to Zuckerberg seeing

0:30:00.960 --> 0:30:05.120
<v Speaker 1>where the world was heading and getting Facebook involved in

0:30:05.160 --> 0:30:08.920
<v Speaker 1>all of that, contrasted to some of Microsoft's disastrous acquisitions.

0:30:08.920 --> 0:30:12.120
<v Speaker 1>Contrast it to Yahoo's attempts to save itself by acquiring

0:30:12.120 --> 0:30:14.560
<v Speaker 1>its way out right. I mean, you look at what

0:30:14.760 --> 0:30:18.479
<v Speaker 1>Zuckerberg was able to pick and pick early, and it's

0:30:18.520 --> 0:30:22.240
<v Speaker 1>pretty astonishing going back to something else, to news feed

0:30:22.320 --> 0:30:25.720
<v Speaker 1>and the changes there and the impact on publishers. Can

0:30:25.800 --> 0:30:28.840
<v Speaker 1>Facebook survive if our world doesn't survive? Or am I

0:30:28.880 --> 0:30:30.880
<v Speaker 1>giving us too much credit? Well? In other words, if

0:30:30.880 --> 0:30:34.800
<v Speaker 1>newspapers go away, if print goes away, if content goes away,

0:30:35.520 --> 0:30:38.840
<v Speaker 1>can Facebook survive? And do they recognize that they do

0:30:38.880 --> 0:30:41.880
<v Speaker 1>they need us or have we become just an appendage

0:30:41.920 --> 0:30:46.680
<v Speaker 1>that can be chopped off? Oh? Wow, you're going to

0:30:46.760 --> 0:30:52.400
<v Speaker 1>make answer that question, aren't you? Sorry? I think the

0:30:52.440 --> 0:30:57.480
<v Speaker 1>reason Facebook seems a little schizophrenic about the media business,

0:30:57.680 --> 0:31:02.640
<v Speaker 1>whether it be newspapers or magazines or television, is that

0:31:03.000 --> 0:31:06.800
<v Speaker 1>the people who are making decisions inside of Facebook about

0:31:07.080 --> 0:31:12.880
<v Speaker 1>those things still don't completely agree about what Facebook's role

0:31:13.480 --> 0:31:17.000
<v Speaker 1>should be. So the reason it looks like they keep

0:31:17.040 --> 0:31:20.000
<v Speaker 1>going back and forth and back and forth and how

0:31:20.040 --> 0:31:22.800
<v Speaker 1>they kind of deal with the media business is because

0:31:23.040 --> 0:31:26.880
<v Speaker 1>that's actually what's going on inside. They've hired some very

0:31:27.040 --> 0:31:33.800
<v Speaker 1>very savvy former journalists to help them plan what they're

0:31:33.800 --> 0:31:37.080
<v Speaker 1>going to do and have started some very very interesting

0:31:37.160 --> 0:31:43.360
<v Speaker 1>projects that would allow them to be super helpful to

0:31:43.400 --> 0:31:47.800
<v Speaker 1>the media business. But there are other forces inside of Facebook,

0:31:48.000 --> 0:31:52.720
<v Speaker 1>like Mark Zuckerberg himself, who see Facebook as more of

0:31:52.760 --> 0:31:58.200
<v Speaker 1>a disruptive force rather than as a supportive force. When

0:31:58.240 --> 0:32:02.960
<v Speaker 1>I interviewed Zuckerberg early on in two thousand and six

0:32:03.080 --> 0:32:07.680
<v Speaker 1>and seven and two thousand and nine, he would talk

0:32:07.720 --> 0:32:10.600
<v Speaker 1>about the impact that Facebook would have on the media

0:32:10.680 --> 0:32:17.040
<v Speaker 1>business as one of disaggregation. He really thought that Facebook's

0:32:17.120 --> 0:32:20.760
<v Speaker 1>role would be to keep the New York Times or

0:32:20.800 --> 0:32:24.000
<v Speaker 1>the Washington Post, or the La Times or the Wall

0:32:24.080 --> 0:32:29.200
<v Speaker 1>Street Journal of the Financial Times from being the centralized

0:32:29.480 --> 0:32:34.080
<v Speaker 1>source of people's information. In Zuck's view, the best way

0:32:34.280 --> 0:32:37.600
<v Speaker 1>for the public to be informed was to be informed

0:32:37.680 --> 0:32:41.959
<v Speaker 1>by their friends. And I actually think what's really interesting

0:32:42.120 --> 0:32:45.640
<v Speaker 1>is that Facebook has actually done a lot of what

0:32:45.800 --> 0:32:51.880
<v Speaker 1>Zuckerberg talked about super early on, and now some of

0:32:51.880 --> 0:32:55.280
<v Speaker 1>the conversations that we're having are whether or not that

0:32:55.400 --> 0:32:58.720
<v Speaker 1>was such a good idea, Because ultimately, if your information

0:32:58.920 --> 0:33:03.400
<v Speaker 1>is really truly only getting sourced from your friends as

0:33:03.400 --> 0:33:08.360
<v Speaker 1>opposed to a handful of professional sources of information, essentially

0:33:08.400 --> 0:33:11.840
<v Speaker 1>what you got is information being distributed by mob rule,

0:33:12.520 --> 0:33:16.680
<v Speaker 1>and that has a lot of complexities for the future

0:33:16.720 --> 0:33:19.880
<v Speaker 1>of the world. Facebook made this really pivotal change to

0:33:19.920 --> 0:33:24.760
<v Speaker 1>its news feed algorithm to focus on tragedy, crime, and politics.

0:33:24.920 --> 0:33:27.760
<v Speaker 1>What do you think the impact of that was. Facebook's

0:33:27.760 --> 0:33:30.440
<v Speaker 1>basic problem is is that they think like engineers, not

0:33:30.560 --> 0:33:36.240
<v Speaker 1>like media people, and so when they make decisions about stuff,

0:33:36.280 --> 0:33:40.280
<v Speaker 1>they think about them like engineers. So Facebook two years

0:33:40.280 --> 0:33:43.280
<v Speaker 1>ago realized that it had a problem with its news

0:33:43.280 --> 0:33:48.680
<v Speaker 1>feed algorithm because the news feed algorithm was sending all

0:33:48.760 --> 0:33:53.880
<v Speaker 1>the least accurate stories and clickbaity stories to the top

0:33:53.960 --> 0:33:58.080
<v Speaker 1>of everybody's news feed. And so in an effort to

0:33:58.120 --> 0:34:04.239
<v Speaker 1>fix that problem, they try to categorize information so that

0:34:04.400 --> 0:34:07.880
<v Speaker 1>the algorithm that couldn't actually do what it needed to

0:34:07.920 --> 0:34:12.400
<v Speaker 1>do and understand how to reorient the news in people's

0:34:12.440 --> 0:34:15.600
<v Speaker 1>news feed. The only problem was is that they weren't

0:34:15.640 --> 0:34:19.600
<v Speaker 1>smart enough to come up with any other categories besides politics, crime,

0:34:19.640 --> 0:34:24.040
<v Speaker 1>and tragedy for what constituted news. Well, so if the

0:34:24.120 --> 0:34:27.600
<v Speaker 1>only news that you have labeled is news that are

0:34:27.640 --> 0:34:31.640
<v Speaker 1>related to politics, crime, and tragedy, you haven't fixed the

0:34:31.719 --> 0:34:34.759
<v Speaker 1>problem at all. You've created a whole new set of problems. Right,

0:34:34.840 --> 0:34:38.400
<v Speaker 1>and you've actually created an outrage machine in some ways.

0:34:38.400 --> 0:34:42.120
<v Speaker 1>A last question for you, thinking about five years from now,

0:34:42.320 --> 0:34:44.120
<v Speaker 1>where do you think we are. Do you think Facebook

0:34:44.120 --> 0:34:46.400
<v Speaker 1>has been broken up? Do you think their new regulations

0:34:46.440 --> 0:34:49.680
<v Speaker 1>in place? Or do you think Facebook, per your earlier comments,

0:34:49.800 --> 0:34:52.640
<v Speaker 1>is just no longer Facebook. It's become something else entirely

0:34:52.840 --> 0:34:55.800
<v Speaker 1>and has sort of slipped out from under the web

0:34:55.960 --> 0:34:59.400
<v Speaker 1>of anger that looks to ensnare the current Facebook. I

0:34:59.480 --> 0:35:02.240
<v Speaker 1>actually don't think that Facebook is going to get broken

0:35:02.360 --> 0:35:06.040
<v Speaker 1>up because I think that breaking up a company is

0:35:06.080 --> 0:35:09.800
<v Speaker 1>a really, really, really hard thing to do by force.

0:35:10.239 --> 0:35:14.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's happened before, but it takes a super

0:35:14.200 --> 0:35:19.000
<v Speaker 1>long time, the company fights it in court, and by

0:35:19.040 --> 0:35:23.000
<v Speaker 1>the time you wind up with some resolution, the solution

0:35:23.040 --> 0:35:26.600
<v Speaker 1>that you were seeking doesn't matter anymore because ten years

0:35:26.640 --> 0:35:29.440
<v Speaker 1>has gone by. And that's especially true when you're dealing

0:35:29.440 --> 0:35:32.400
<v Speaker 1>with technology companies. But I do think that we're going

0:35:32.480 --> 0:35:36.680
<v Speaker 1>to have regulations that change the way things are done,

0:35:37.080 --> 0:35:41.200
<v Speaker 1>and I do think that the technology world will evolve

0:35:41.280 --> 0:35:46.680
<v Speaker 1>in a way that Facebook is not necessarily the dominant player.

0:35:46.760 --> 0:35:49.440
<v Speaker 1>In One of the things that it's hard not to

0:35:49.480 --> 0:35:54.480
<v Speaker 1>be a believer. I believe in regulation, and I believe

0:35:54.520 --> 0:35:58.760
<v Speaker 1>in regulation of technology companies, but I'm also keenly aware

0:35:58.800 --> 0:36:01.680
<v Speaker 1>of the fact that the world that the only way

0:36:01.719 --> 0:36:06.319
<v Speaker 1>that works as if the regulations get done quickly and

0:36:06.440 --> 0:36:11.239
<v Speaker 1>get done in very precise and small ways, because it

0:36:11.320 --> 0:36:14.799
<v Speaker 1>is also true that the technology world moves so fast

0:36:14.880 --> 0:36:21.000
<v Speaker 1>that sweeping regulations wind up looking completely meaningless if by

0:36:21.000 --> 0:36:22.960
<v Speaker 1>the time you're done. One of the things that I'm

0:36:23.000 --> 0:36:27.600
<v Speaker 1>always looking back to that makes me giggle a little

0:36:27.640 --> 0:36:31.760
<v Speaker 1>bit inside is twenty one years ago, I was sitting

0:36:32.200 --> 0:36:36.680
<v Speaker 1>in the Judiciary Committee's room in Washington during a hearing

0:36:36.960 --> 0:36:40.960
<v Speaker 1>in front of Orne Hatch's Senate Judiciary Committee. Bill Gates

0:36:41.040 --> 0:36:43.920
<v Speaker 1>was sitting at the witness table. The room was packed,

0:36:44.320 --> 0:36:49.520
<v Speaker 1>and somebody, maybe it was Hatch, asked Bill Gates whether

0:36:49.600 --> 0:36:52.080
<v Speaker 1>or not Microsoft was a monopoly and whether or not

0:36:52.120 --> 0:36:55.560
<v Speaker 1>the government should do anything about that. And Bill Gates said,

0:36:55.840 --> 0:36:59.640
<v Speaker 1>without missing a beat, not only that Microsoft was not

0:36:59.760 --> 0:37:03.799
<v Speaker 1>a monopoly and that the government shouldn't do anything about that,

0:37:04.200 --> 0:37:07.880
<v Speaker 1>but that he was not only not complacent at that point,

0:37:08.200 --> 0:37:12.799
<v Speaker 1>but actually super terrified because there was a company right then,

0:37:13.239 --> 0:37:16.840
<v Speaker 1>probably starting in its garage, that would come up with

0:37:16.880 --> 0:37:19.400
<v Speaker 1>a new way of thinking about the future of computing

0:37:19.719 --> 0:37:24.040
<v Speaker 1>that would render Microsoft relatively obsolete, and he was absolutely right.

0:37:24.640 --> 0:37:27.040
<v Speaker 1>He didn't know it at the time, but he was

0:37:27.080 --> 0:37:30.719
<v Speaker 1>talking about Google, which started in nineteen ninety eight. The

0:37:30.760 --> 0:37:35.799
<v Speaker 1>technology world moves incredibly fast, and Facebook is the most

0:37:35.840 --> 0:37:40.360
<v Speaker 1>dominant technology company in many ways right now that we've seen.

0:37:40.880 --> 0:37:44.240
<v Speaker 1>But that doesn't mean it's going to be that way forever,

0:37:44.360 --> 0:37:49.400
<v Speaker 1>even though it looks that way right now. What struck

0:37:49.440 --> 0:37:51.799
<v Speaker 1>me most of my conversation with Fred is that by

0:37:51.800 --> 0:37:55.280
<v Speaker 1>obsessing about Facebook and privacy, we may all be focusing

0:37:55.280 --> 0:37:58.680
<v Speaker 1>on the wrong thing. History is replete with regulators who

0:37:58.680 --> 0:38:01.880
<v Speaker 1>are building weapons to the last war instead of getting

0:38:01.880 --> 0:38:05.239
<v Speaker 1>ahead of the next war. It's the imaginal line, an

0:38:05.239 --> 0:38:09.480
<v Speaker 1>overused meme, yes, but an OsO apropos one. By making

0:38:09.520 --> 0:38:12.920
<v Speaker 1>plans to offer a digital currency, Facebook is morphing in

0:38:12.920 --> 0:38:15.600
<v Speaker 1>front of our very eyes, or at least it would

0:38:15.600 --> 0:38:18.399
<v Speaker 1>be if we had our eyes open. I was also

0:38:18.440 --> 0:38:21.879
<v Speaker 1>struck by Fred's comments about Mark Zuckerberg, because in the end,

0:38:22.040 --> 0:38:25.319
<v Speaker 1>stories about business are owis stories about people, and if

0:38:25.360 --> 0:38:29.560
<v Speaker 1>heads of corporations are more powerful than most heads of states, well,

0:38:29.640 --> 0:38:32.840
<v Speaker 1>then thirty five year old Mark Zuckerberg is very powerful. Indeed,

0:38:33.440 --> 0:38:35.520
<v Speaker 1>what he does with that power will help define the

0:38:35.520 --> 0:38:45.400
<v Speaker 1>next decade for us. All Making a Killing is a

0:38:45.440 --> 0:38:49.080
<v Speaker 1>co production of Pushkin Industries in Chalk and Blade. It's

0:38:49.120 --> 0:38:53.600
<v Speaker 1>produced by Ruth Barnes and Rosie Stoffer. My executive producers

0:38:53.600 --> 0:38:57.960
<v Speaker 1>are Alison McClean no relation in Making Casey. The executive

0:38:57.960 --> 0:39:02.400
<v Speaker 1>producer at Pushkin is Mia Loebell. Engineering is by Jason Gambrel.

0:39:03.120 --> 0:39:06.640
<v Speaker 1>Our music is by Jed Flood. Special thanks to Jacob

0:39:06.640 --> 0:39:10.280
<v Speaker 1>Weisberg at Pushkin and everyone on the show. I'm Bethany

0:39:10.360 --> 0:39:13.319
<v Speaker 1>mc lean. Thanks so much for listening. Find me on

0:39:13.360 --> 0:39:16.480
<v Speaker 1>Twitter at Bethany mac twelve and let me know who

0:39:16.480 --> 0:39:21.520
<v Speaker 1>you've enjoyed hearing from.