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Speaker 1: Hey there everyone. Welcome back to the Betting Pros NFL Podcast,

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Speaker 1: brought to you by bet MGM. I'm your host, Dan Harris.

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Speaker 1: You can find me on Twitter at Dan Harris Hadi.

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Speaker 1: It is time to break down some of our favorite

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Speaker 1: and least favorite bets for the Week seven NFL slate,

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Speaker 1: And with me to talk about it all is Matt Perrault,

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Speaker 1: host of Pushing the Odds on SB Nation Radio and

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Speaker 1: The Better Network and a ton more which I could list,

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Speaker 1: but then we'd be like an hour and a half show.

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Speaker 1: You can find him on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Matt,

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Speaker 1: thanks for joining me today. How you doing.

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Speaker 2: I appreciate it.

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Speaker 3: I'm great. Thanks for the invite. Always great to talk

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Speaker 3: to somebody in New England.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I know, we were just talking about it. We are,

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Speaker 1: you know, Matt's not not near me anymore, but we

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Speaker 1: would have been roughly, like, I don't know, like twenty

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Speaker 1: minutes away at one point in our lives had we

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Speaker 1: met at a different point. But for now we're pretty

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Speaker 1: far away. But thanks to advancements and technology, you'd never

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Speaker 1: know it if we didn't tell you. So anyway, let's

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Speaker 1: get right into it. We had a pretty profitable week.

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Speaker 1: Last week, our guest Jared Smollett nailed both the Falcons

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Speaker 1: Cardinals over fifty one and the Jets getting seven from

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Speaker 1: the Cowboys, as well as his top prop bet, which

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Speaker 1: was Matt Ryan over three hundred and fifty passing yards

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Speaker 1: at plus one forty six, which he barely squeaked by.

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Speaker 1: His only miss was on the Chiefs slaying four to

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Speaker 1: the Texans. As for me, I hit on all four

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Speaker 1: of my picks, which included the absolutely grotesque Dolphins getting

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Speaker 1: three and a half from the Redskins, the Jaguars and

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Speaker 1: Saints under forty three and a half, the Jets and

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Speaker 1: the Cowboys over forty four, and Stefan Digs over fifty

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Speaker 1: nine and a half yards at minus one fourteen, which

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Speaker 1: he narrowly cleared by eleventy billion yards. Now it is

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Speaker 1: up to you, Matt, to keep us going. How confident

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Speaker 1: are you on a scale of.

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Speaker 2: Like one to forty eight on what game just.

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Speaker 1: In might no, just generally, if you're going to be

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Speaker 1: able to do a perfect Look, man, we don't go.

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Speaker 1: We don't go like half ass. Here we go all

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Speaker 1: the way. Are you ready to have the clean sweep?

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Speaker 1: Get all three of your bets plus your top proper

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Speaker 1: Are you ready? Yeah?

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Speaker 3: I mean, well yeah, given my week last week was horrendous,

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Speaker 3: So I started off red hot, I went ten and

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Speaker 3: not to start the year out of the NFL, and

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Speaker 3: and then as you know, as what happens, you come

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Speaker 3: crashing down to earth, and all of my handicapping acumen,

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Speaker 3: all of my narrative explaining all those games I thought

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Speaker 3: where I had teams backed up against the wall at home,

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Speaker 3: either as small as small favors or small underdogs. You know, Chiefs,

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Speaker 3: the Rams, and the Browns all let me down brutally

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Speaker 3: last week. So I'm I'm hoping to bounce back, and

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Speaker 3: hopefully this show will help you help me get back

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Speaker 3: on the winning track.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I'll be honest, because I'm an honest guy.

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Speaker 1: I like to have credibility with the listeners. The three

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Speaker 1: bets that I listed, not even including the prop bet

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Speaker 1: with Digs, were you know, three of my better bets

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Speaker 1: for the week.

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Speaker 2: It was.

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Speaker 1: It was a rough week overall, I think, generally speaking,

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Speaker 1: but it was for a lot of people. And so

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Speaker 1: we're gonna, we're gonna definitely bounce back right here, you

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Speaker 1: and I we're gonna Now we're gonna go eight for

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Speaker 1: eight on all our picks, even the ones we'll avoid.

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Speaker 1: We'll just be like obviously nobody wants to get into that.

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Speaker 1: But before we get into it, I do want to

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Speaker 1: announce the winner of the Alvin Kamara helmet giveaway. Congratulations

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Speaker 1: to Nick from Massachusetts. Nick has already been notified and

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Speaker 1: the helmet is on its way way to go. Nick,

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Speaker 1: thanks for listening. Now, if you did not win the

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Speaker 1: Kamara helmet, well, how would you like to win a

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Speaker 1: signed Odell Beckham Junior Brown's helmet, Because that is this

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Speaker 1: month's contest. To be entered, just leave a review on

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Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts or Stitcher and senday screenshot of that review

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Speaker 1: to contest at bettingpros dot com. And of course, if

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Speaker 1: you entered a previous contest, you're automatically entered here. All right,

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Speaker 1: As always, we're gonna get started with Pick six, where

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Speaker 1: both Matt and I are going to give three of

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Speaker 1: our favorite bets for this weekend, either against the spread

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Speaker 1: or on the over under. Now, as always, I will

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Speaker 1: note at the outset that we were recording this on

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Speaker 1: Thursday night, shortly after Patrick Mahomes hurt his knee. So

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Speaker 1: we're not going to be making any picks on the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs Broncos game. But if you want to see how

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Speaker 1: I picked that game, you can go to Bettingpros dot com.

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Speaker 1: That is going to show you how I and every

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Speaker 1: betting expert who makes picks on the site made their

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Speaker 1: picks for that and every game. Matt and I are

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Speaker 1: also going to be using the bettingpros dot Com consensus

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Speaker 1: odds here in making our picks. So those are the

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Speaker 1: aggregate odds that you'll find available in the market. All right, Matt,

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Speaker 1: start us off, what is your first pick?

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Speaker 2: All right?

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Speaker 3: So let's talk first on what I think It's going

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Speaker 3: to be an important game for the sports books. It's

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Speaker 3: going to come down to Sunday nights, and so what

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Speaker 3: I do on my show, I have the fortunate of

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Speaker 3: being in Las Vegas. I work actually out of a

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Speaker 3: sports book in the Palms, working very closely with CG Sportsbooks,

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Speaker 3: so I have the ability to talk to these guys

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Speaker 3: in what they think they're going to need.

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Speaker 2: And you know, there was a famous line back in

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Speaker 2: the day about a year ago.

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Speaker 3: Actually G two E is the Gaming Global Gaming Conference

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Speaker 3: actually this week here in Las Vegas. But a year ago,

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Speaker 3: Scott Van Pelt made a very controversial comment by saying

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Speaker 3: he wanted to be on the side of the books,

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Speaker 3: which I don't really think is that bad of a comment,

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Speaker 3: but people flipped out. Pros flipped out saying, I don't

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Speaker 3: care what the books need, but generally speaking, it's not

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Speaker 3: bad to be on the side of the sports books.

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Speaker 3: Over the last three weeks, the books have absolutely crushed

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Speaker 3: the public. So let's go to a game, which the

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Speaker 3: Sunday night game, the Eagles and the Dallas Cowboys. This

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Speaker 3: is where the Dallas Cowboys, everyone who loves Dallas says

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Speaker 3: they can't lose in the game in a row. They're

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Speaker 3: at home. There's no way short number. Here we go,

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Speaker 3: but the Eagles, and I know that does. Shawn Jackson

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Speaker 3: situation is an interesting one to watch. And I'd feel

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Speaker 3: more comfortable if we knew that Amari Cooper was not

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Speaker 3: going to play, and we knew that Shaan Jackson was

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Speaker 3: going to play. But let's just assume all trends are

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Speaker 3: pointing towards one. Yes Jackson playing, no, even if he

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Speaker 3: does play, like last week, he was in for three

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Speaker 3: snaps and it was really big detriment to the offense

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Speaker 3: for the for the Dolphins. I am going to take

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Speaker 3: some short numbers here because of most of these week

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Speaker 3: weeks are short numbers. I like the Eagles here plus

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Speaker 3: three on the road at Dallas.

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Speaker 2: I think this is a field goal.

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Speaker 3: Game, but I think you want to play the money line.

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Speaker 3: I don't hate it. I think this is an Eagles

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Speaker 3: bounce back spot. There's some real problems with Dallas. Their

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Speaker 3: offensive line is really banged up, and if that's if

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Speaker 3: that part of their game is banged up, I just

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Speaker 3: don't think they're effective. They can't run the football, and

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Speaker 3: I've never liked Dak Prescott personally. So you've got some

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Speaker 3: injuries with skilled players. You can't use Elliott the way

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Speaker 3: you want to. That defense is not good enough. I

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Speaker 3: think the Eagles win outright, but I'll take the three

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Speaker 3: points on Sunday Night football.

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Speaker 1: So the consensus odds very recently has just moved to

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Speaker 1: two and a half. But I assume you like them

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Speaker 1: there since you're willing to take them out right, and

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Speaker 1: I could not agree with you anymore. And it's a

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Speaker 1: little scary this game, right, This game is a dream.

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Speaker 1: I mean, there's gonna be so much money on Sunday

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Speaker 1: Night too, Right, you're gonna have betters who have just

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Speaker 1: gotten crushed and are gonna try to make it all back.

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Speaker 1: But of course you've got two very prominent teams. I

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Speaker 1: completely agree with you. Now, I see almost no chance

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Speaker 1: that Amari Cooper plays. I don't think he practiced either

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Speaker 1: Wednesday or Thursday. They got to buy coming up. I

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Speaker 1: just I can't see him playing. So I'm basically assuming

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Speaker 1: that he's going to be out, and I think that

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Speaker 1: that drastically changes what the Cowboys offense looks like. As

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Speaker 1: we saw essentially in the first what seven games of

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Speaker 1: last season, they are not anywhere near the same team.

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Speaker 1: Do we know whether or not Lell Collins and Tyron

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Speaker 1: Smith are going to play here on the offensive line.

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Speaker 1: Have they practiced yet?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, they're both questionable, but leaning towards not playing. So

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Speaker 3: I mean it's trending in that way as we as

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Speaker 3: we record this here on you know, way before the

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Speaker 3: week begins, but on a Thursday. But they're trending towards

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Speaker 3: not playing. It's not good for the injuries right now

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Speaker 3: for the Cowboys.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, especially if they don't play. Forget about it, because

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Speaker 1: the one thing the Eagles can do. Their defense has

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Speaker 1: been banged up, but they can stop the run. They've

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Speaker 1: been stopping the run all year. You can pass on them.

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Speaker 1: But right now, if you're going to take away a

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Speaker 1: Marii Cooper, if you're going to weekend that offensive line

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Speaker 1: for the Cowboys as it has been in recent weeks,

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Speaker 1: then I just don't see them really being able to

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Speaker 1: move the ball all that well. You know, and the

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Speaker 1: Eagles are starting to get a little healthier in their secondary.

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Speaker 1: I don't know whether or not all the injured guys

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Speaker 1: are going to come back yet, but in the end,

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Speaker 1: I'm one on board with you in this one. The

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Speaker 1: fact that it's two and a half now not three

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Speaker 1: does not matter to me.

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Speaker 2: I agree.

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Speaker 1: I think they win this game out right. I Mean

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Speaker 1: it gets me a little, you know, worried being in Dallas.

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Speaker 1: It's primetime. But overall, I'm with you, as are the

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Speaker 1: experts on our site. Sixty seven percent are with Philly

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Speaker 1: on this one, so we're in agreement on that one.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to start with an over under, and that

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Speaker 1: is the Saints and Bears under thirty eight and a half. Now,

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Speaker 1: our guest Jared Smallas said last week that he could

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Speaker 1: not even envision a number that could be high enough

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Speaker 1: for him to not grab the over in the Falcons

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Speaker 1: Cardinals game. I kind of feel the same way about

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Speaker 1: the under here. I mean, you can drop it down

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Speaker 1: to thirty and I'd be like, well, yeah, maybe I

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Speaker 1: could see it going. I mean, you've got obvious injury

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Speaker 1: concerns on both sides here, right. Alvin Kamara misspractice again today.

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Speaker 1: He is dealing with both a high ankle sprain and

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Speaker 1: a knee injury. And Mitchell Trubisky for the Bears might

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Speaker 1: come back from a shoulder injury, but you've got certainly

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Speaker 1: some chance for reinjury even if he does. And I'm

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Speaker 1: not even convinced that he's necessarily an upgrade over Chase

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Speaker 1: Daniel at this point, but regardless, this pick is not

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Speaker 1: rocket science. So okay, you've got two teams with extremely

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Speaker 1: strong defenses. Bears are coming off a bye following a

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Speaker 1: game in which the defense played extremely against the Raiders

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Speaker 1: in London. They've lost the team Hicks. That is a

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Speaker 1: big loss, given how badly though that they were gashed

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Speaker 1: by Jacobs a lot because Hicks was out. But you

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Speaker 1: know that They're going to put much more of an

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Speaker 1: emphasis on stopping the run here. Even if Kamara plays,

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Speaker 1: he's not going to be one hundred percent. I don't

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Speaker 1: trust that Latavius Murray is gonna be able to do

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Speaker 1: all that much. And with a pass rush, I mean,

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Speaker 1: the Bears can get to the quarterback with the best

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Speaker 1: of any team. They've gotten eight point two percent sack

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Speaker 1: rate this year. They're best in the league with a

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Speaker 1: thirty four point one percent QB pressure percentage. And Bridgewater

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Speaker 1: is going to come back down to Earth. He's going

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Speaker 1: to continue to need to check down every game, except

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Speaker 1: for that stupid Bucks game where they just aired it out,

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Speaker 1: because that's the way you attack them. The Bears defense

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Speaker 1: is going to be ready for all these checkdowns. And

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Speaker 1: I get that the Saints put up thirty one points

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Speaker 1: against the Buck Other than that with Bridgewater, the offense

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Speaker 1: has put up nineteen points against the Seahawks. They put

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Speaker 1: up more with you know, turnovers and defense and stuff.

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Speaker 1: But the offense nineteen points, twelve points against the Cowboys,

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Speaker 1: thirteen points against the Jaguars. I just cannot see them

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Speaker 1: moving the ball or putting up points. And on the

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Speaker 1: flip side, the Saints defense is really strong eleventh best

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Speaker 1: against the past, fourteenth best against the run, but they've

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Speaker 1: been pretty dominant against the ground games since Sheldon Rankins

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Speaker 1: came back, so I don't really expect the Bears to

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Speaker 1: be able to move much with David Montgomery and the

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Speaker 1: passing game. I mean, come on, it's just Alan Robinson

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Speaker 1: is the only bright spot. He's gonna draw Marshau Lattimore.

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Speaker 1: The Saints get to the quarterback their third and QB

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Speaker 1: pressure percentage. It's a defensive game. It's in Chicago. It

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Speaker 1: seems pretty obvious to me. I mean, thirty eight and

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Speaker 1: a half is a low number, but for me, I

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Speaker 1: don't really think it's gonna come close to that. So

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Speaker 1: I'll take the under on thirty eight and a half.

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Speaker 1: My number two, Yeah, go for number two. Go for it,

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Speaker 1: all right?

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Speaker 3: So my number two here, and I have a I

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Speaker 3: just have to get one of these Texans picks right,

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Speaker 3: because I have been getting these games wrong with the Texans.

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Speaker 3: But I always feel like I've got the right narrative.

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Speaker 3: I always feel like I've got the right stats to

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Speaker 3: back it up. I feel like I'm looking at the

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Speaker 3: game correctly, and then something happens in the Texans for

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Speaker 3: some crazy way they're able to cover. I'm gonna go

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Speaker 3: with the Colts and the Texans here, and look, the

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Speaker 3: line opened up two and a half.

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Speaker 2: It's kind of swung around.

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Speaker 3: I'm not sure where you guys have a consensus, but

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Speaker 3: let's just play a Colts minus one, right, It's pretty.

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Speaker 1: Much that's where it is. Okay, that's where it is.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, general, I know where that number is. So here.

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Speaker 3: Historically speaking, the Colts coming off of a bye have

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Speaker 3: not been great, but this is a different type of

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Speaker 3: Colts team, and I think they needed to get t

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Speaker 3: Y Hilton and they needed to get Mac healthy, and

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Speaker 3: I believe both those guys are going to benefit a

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Speaker 3: ton for having the extra time off to get them

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Speaker 3: ready to go for this game. The Texans are coming

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Speaker 3: off an incredibly emotional win against Kansas City, and I

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Speaker 3: am not Look, I'm from andover Massachusetts. I'm not so

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Speaker 3: far from where you run. Bill O'Brien's from andover Massachusetts.

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Speaker 3: So maybe I'm blinded by that saying I'm not a

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Speaker 3: very big Bill O'Brien fan by never really have been

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Speaker 3: a big Bill O'Brien fan. As a head coach, and

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Speaker 3: I don't think this team can go back to back

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Speaker 3: weeks and get monster victories on the road like this.

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Speaker 3: I think the Colts off of a bye, come and

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Speaker 3: get a big victory. So far this year, they're three

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Speaker 3: to one and one against the spread. This is a

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Speaker 3: team that can run the football. I think they can

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Speaker 3: take advantage of the of the things that the Texans

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Speaker 3: defense doesn't do great.

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Speaker 2: They've got to protect the football.

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Speaker 3: But I'm a Jacoby Brissett has played really, really well

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Speaker 3: and they are a different team when they've got t

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Speaker 3: Y Hilton healthy. He should be healthy for this football game.

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Speaker 3: I like the Colts money line minus one doesn't really matter.

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Speaker 3: I think the Colts at home win this football game

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Speaker 3: and beat the Texans.

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Speaker 1: I promise you. I don't just blindly agree with our

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Speaker 1: guest picks when they come on, but I one hundred

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Speaker 1: percent i'm with you. I assume are you in the

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Speaker 1: Westgates Super Contest. I don't know if you are, but

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Speaker 1: Circa yeah, okay, Cirka, yeah, all right, So I'm in

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Speaker 1: the super Contest. I guarantee. I'm not gonna guarantee, I

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Speaker 1: guess because I like to do mine really on Friday

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Speaker 1: when I go through. But I'm sure these are going

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Speaker 1: to be both the ones you named are going to

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Speaker 1: be two of my picks because I really really like

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Speaker 1: both of them. Yeah, I mean the Texans. The Texans

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Speaker 1: are great. I think the the injuries uh you know

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Speaker 1: to the offensive line that they just sustained this past

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Speaker 1: weekend is going to hurt a little bit. But either way, yeah,

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Speaker 1: this is this is a different team. Man. The Colts

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Speaker 1: are you know, off of by they're getting healthy. Darius

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Speaker 1: Leonard has cleared the concussion protocol. That makes a huge,

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Speaker 1: huge difference in the run game. And and I like

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Speaker 1: the Texans. What I love about the Colts and I

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Speaker 1: mean they're they're so incredibly well coached. Okay, they they've

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Speaker 1: got great you know, they've got great personal They've got

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Speaker 1: a fantastic offensive line. They're very solid on defense. But

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Speaker 1: you know, against the Chiefs, they totally switched it up

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Speaker 1: and played man, right, I mean, they're like more of

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Speaker 1: a zone team, and they switched it up and played men.

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Speaker 1: I think they can go back to zone here. They

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Speaker 1: can kind of make de Shaun Watson beat them by

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Speaker 1: by sort of taking away the deep stuff. But I

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Speaker 1: think this game sets up well for them. In addition

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Speaker 1: to the fact that, yeah, the Texas are coming off

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Speaker 1: like a huge, you know victory that that takes a

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Speaker 1: lot out of a team like that when they do it,

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Speaker 1: and they got another road game coming up, the Cults

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Speaker 1: coming off of eye. So I agree. I was surprised because,

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Speaker 1: like you said, this number has moved all over the place.

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Speaker 1: I did see it at two point five earlier in

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Speaker 1: the week. I don't know where it opened.

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Speaker 3: Two point two, Yeah, and then it's swung at some

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Speaker 3: books all the way the Houston minus one, and pretty

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Speaker 3: much the consensus here in Vegas is that the number

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Speaker 3: is gonna that the public's gonna come in on whatever

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Speaker 3: team is the under dog. So we'll see kind of,

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Speaker 3: you know, how much professional money we see come in

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Speaker 3: on this game and whether it swings it to you know,

337
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Speaker 3: to Houston. Because of what happened last week and the

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Speaker 3: week before where they scored fifty three points, you know,

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Speaker 3: the metrics are all pointing upwards in a great trajectory

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Speaker 3: for the Texans given what they've done with their offense

341
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Speaker 3: and scoring twenty points in the second quarter against the

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Speaker 3: Chiefs at Arrowhead last week was pretty impressive. So a

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Speaker 3: lot of people kind of looking at it that going,

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Speaker 3: all right, you know, this team is trending in the

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Speaker 3: right direction. But I just think this is a classic.

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Speaker 3: I sold high last week one on the Texans and

347
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Speaker 3: got it wrong. I'm gonna sell high again on the

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Speaker 3: Texans and think that the Colts are going to use

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Speaker 3: that time off wisely and be able to get a

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Speaker 3: very big victory in the AFC South. And you know,

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Speaker 3: it's interesting because you look at the game you talked

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Speaker 3: about that the New Orleans Chicago game, and how defensive

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Speaker 3: minded that both teams are in. Trubitsky is a guy

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Speaker 3: that I don't trust, and I mean I don't want

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Speaker 3: hundred percent trust Jacoby Presett yet, but I'm getting closer

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Speaker 3: and closer to feeling like Brissett guy that week in

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Speaker 3: week out. I kind of know what he's gonna do,

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Speaker 3: and I kind of feel like what he You know,

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Speaker 3: he's going to be able to move the football, and

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Speaker 3: if not, they're gonna hand the ball off, and that

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Speaker 3: great offensive line is gonna be able to move the

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Speaker 3: ball pretty much on anybody. So so one thing that

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Speaker 3: Bears really don't have is a dominant offensive line to spill,

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Speaker 3: you know, is to get to spell Mitchell Trubisky when

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Speaker 3: he's out there running around for his life and making

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Speaker 3: mistakes like crazy. So you know, it's the thing with

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Speaker 3: the Bridgewater brings to the table for New Orleans, which

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Speaker 3: is so great that you have Alan like Evan Kamara,

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Speaker 3: but not just that, you've got his ability to pick

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Speaker 3: up first downs and roll out when he needs to

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Speaker 3: and then run when he has to as well. So

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Speaker 3: I mean, both those defenses are gonna feast. And I

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Speaker 3: talk to a writer on my on my show Pushing

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Speaker 3: the Odds who covers the Saints from New Orleans Saints

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Speaker 3: dot Com, and he said that there's talking the locker

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Speaker 3: room for New Orleans that they want to be the

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Speaker 3: number one ranked defense in the NFL, and over the

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Speaker 3: last couple of weeks they're playing like it. So playing

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Speaker 3: the Bears, there's sort of this, you know, here we go.

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Speaker 3: We're gonna show you that. Look, the Raider game wasn't

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Speaker 3: a fluke. You guys aren't as good as everyone says

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Speaker 3: you are. But we're the real dominant team in the

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Speaker 3: NFC defensively, So I can't wait to see you. I

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Speaker 3: go in the Saints play that game because it could

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Speaker 3: be ten to three at the final.

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Speaker 1: Oh man, well thanks for coming back to that game,

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Speaker 1: because I was worried when you were just like, yeah,

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Speaker 1: that's good, let's move on the next pick. They were like, nah,

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Speaker 1: that's a terrible pick.

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Speaker 3: I don't even want your podcast. I'm learning everyone's podcast

391
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Speaker 3: is definitely right. I'm getting in the fact right to

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Speaker 3: do it.

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Speaker 1: You don't have to worry about it. Man, we can

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Speaker 1: move right on to the next one. It doesn't matter

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Speaker 1: to me.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Usually we you know, usually somebody comments on what it was.

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Speaker 1: But it was all right. You want to get rund

399
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Speaker 1: to your pick, which I love anyway, So it's good.

400
00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:30,000
Speaker 1: I'm glad we were ready into it. So it sounds

401
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Speaker 1: like we're on board here this one. I don't know.

402
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Speaker 1: I think we may be a little different on this one.

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Speaker 1: I don't like the big spreads. I generally just you know,

404
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Speaker 1: I don't feel comfortable taking a favorite the big spread,

405
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Speaker 1: particularly on the road. But I'm going to take the

406
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Speaker 1: forty nine ers, which is now down to nine, laying

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Speaker 1: nine to the Redskins. Now, this was ten when I

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Speaker 1: checked it on Monday, so you probably have some money

409
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Speaker 1: coming in on the Redskins, I would assume, but not

410
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Speaker 1: that much. From when I'm looking.

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Speaker 3: Nobody is at nine. So wherever you're getting nine, that's

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Speaker 3: good because it's nine and a half here, so that's

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Speaker 3: good to get at nine.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm looking and oh yeah, it's I mean, it's

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Speaker 1: all over the place. When I'm looking, the consensus odds

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Speaker 1: are at nine. It's still at ten at points Bet

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Speaker 1: it's at nine and a half on FanDuel. Everywhere else

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Speaker 1: that I'm looking at right here has it at nine.

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Speaker 2: William Hill's ten.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, see, all right, I'll see. I no

421
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Speaker 1: value when I see it. Yeah, Now even at ten, frankly,

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Speaker 1: I would still I would still take it, I think.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I look, you have to always be concerned

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Speaker 1: about a backdoor cover anytime you have a number this high.

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Speaker 1: But I just it's difficult for me to see the

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Speaker 1: game being that close. I get, like, the only things

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Speaker 1: there are the fact that the forty nine ers are

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Speaker 1: coming off a monstrous win against the Rams, so that

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Speaker 1: might take a little out of them, and they're coming east.

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Speaker 1: I get it, I get it. But the defense is

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Speaker 1: completely legitimate, and they're going to destroy Case Keenum. They've

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Speaker 1: got a ten percent sack rate, third best in football.

433
00:17:54,040 --> 00:17:57,160
Speaker 1: The Redskins offensive line is terrible. The forty nine ers

434
00:17:57,200 --> 00:17:59,959
Speaker 1: allow nothing through the air, their best in yards per

435
00:18:00,040 --> 00:18:03,719
Speaker 1: attempt and completion percentage. They allowed one hundred and fifty

436
00:18:03,880 --> 00:18:06,680
Speaker 1: point two passing yards per game, So you know Terry

437
00:18:06,720 --> 00:18:08,960
Speaker 1: mclaurin's gonna get some catches. The forty nine ers are

438
00:18:08,960 --> 00:18:10,680
Speaker 1: going to play zone a lot, but they're not going

439
00:18:10,720 --> 00:18:13,359
Speaker 1: to be able to sustain drives through the air against

440
00:18:13,400 --> 00:18:15,280
Speaker 1: this defense, nor are they going to be able to

441
00:18:15,280 --> 00:18:17,040
Speaker 1: move the ball well on the ground. The forty nine

442
00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:18,800
Speaker 1: Ers haven't allowed a touchdown to a running back. They

443
00:18:18,840 --> 00:18:21,680
Speaker 1: allow fewer than four yards per carry. Chris Thompson's dealing

444
00:18:21,680 --> 00:18:23,240
Speaker 1: with turf tow he may miss the game and when

445
00:18:23,240 --> 00:18:26,399
Speaker 1: they'll smallwood is not nearly as good an option if

446
00:18:26,400 --> 00:18:28,639
Speaker 1: they's got to check down. They're just their second in

447
00:18:28,680 --> 00:18:31,080
Speaker 1: total defense. They're dominant on the defense event. On the

448
00:18:31,080 --> 00:18:34,960
Speaker 1: flip side, the Washington defense is pretty terrible and Jimmy

449
00:18:34,960 --> 00:18:37,080
Speaker 1: Garoppolo has not lit up the stat sheet, but he

450
00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:39,520
Speaker 1: just hasn't needed to. He hasn't tempted more than thirty

451
00:18:39,520 --> 00:18:42,600
Speaker 1: three passes. Because the forty nine ers are winning easily.

452
00:18:42,600 --> 00:18:45,960
Speaker 1: The Redskins allow a seventy two percent completion percentage. They're

453
00:18:46,000 --> 00:18:47,560
Speaker 1: not much better on the ground. They're twenty eighth in

454
00:18:47,560 --> 00:18:49,280
Speaker 1: the league. They allow one hundred and thirty four rushing

455
00:18:49,320 --> 00:18:50,760
Speaker 1: yards per game. Part of that is the fact that

456
00:18:50,800 --> 00:18:53,840
Speaker 1: they are always behind and the opposing team just runs

457
00:18:53,880 --> 00:18:55,639
Speaker 1: the ball. But they're twenty eighth in points allowed. The

458
00:18:55,680 --> 00:18:58,040
Speaker 1: forty nine Ers gained four hundred eight yards per game,

459
00:18:58,080 --> 00:19:00,119
Speaker 1: fourth in the league. They put up twenty nine ze

460
00:19:00,160 --> 00:19:02,480
Speaker 1: point four points per game. That's third in the league.

461
00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:05,159
Speaker 1: I get it. The cross country trip, I get it.

462
00:19:05,200 --> 00:19:07,920
Speaker 1: They just had this sort of, you know, emotional giant

463
00:19:07,920 --> 00:19:11,000
Speaker 1: win over the Rams. This is not anything that I

464
00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:12,919
Speaker 1: think is going to be remotely close. I think the

465
00:19:12,920 --> 00:19:15,040
Speaker 1: forty nine ers completely blow them out of the water,

466
00:19:15,080 --> 00:19:18,960
Speaker 1: and even laying nine, I'm willing to do it. You can, now, Matt,

467
00:19:19,040 --> 00:19:20,920
Speaker 1: go ahead and talk about that pick and tell me

468
00:19:20,960 --> 00:19:21,520
Speaker 1: why I'm wrong.

469
00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:24,240
Speaker 3: I don't think you're wrong. It's scary, but I don't

470
00:19:24,240 --> 00:19:25,840
Speaker 3: think you're wrong. See, here's the thing with the forty

471
00:19:25,920 --> 00:19:28,960
Speaker 3: nine ers. And I talked on my show all summer

472
00:19:29,040 --> 00:19:31,720
Speaker 3: long about different teams whose win total I thought was

473
00:19:31,760 --> 00:19:33,720
Speaker 3: too low, and the forty nine ers were one of

474
00:19:33,720 --> 00:19:34,920
Speaker 3: the teams at eight wins.

475
00:19:35,359 --> 00:19:36,520
Speaker 2: I thought that was ridiculous.

476
00:19:36,560 --> 00:19:38,800
Speaker 3: I thought that was if they stayed healthy, if Lungs

477
00:19:38,840 --> 00:19:41,119
Speaker 3: Garoppolo stayed healthy, and they kept one of their two

478
00:19:41,200 --> 00:19:43,520
Speaker 3: running backs upright, that they were going to be able

479
00:19:43,520 --> 00:19:45,800
Speaker 3: to run the football and move the ball. And then

480
00:19:46,080 --> 00:19:49,680
Speaker 3: if their defensive line, which has five first round picks

481
00:19:49,680 --> 00:19:52,080
Speaker 3: on it could just play the way that they're supposed

482
00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:54,560
Speaker 3: to play, that this defense was going to be something.

483
00:19:54,560 --> 00:19:57,280
Speaker 3: And I had them winning the NFC West and I

484
00:19:57,320 --> 00:19:59,520
Speaker 3: have them at ten wins, so I didn't think they'd

485
00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:01,280
Speaker 3: open up five. I know, mind you, so at some

486
00:20:01,400 --> 00:20:03,280
Speaker 3: point they're gonna stub their toe. But this is kind

487
00:20:03,320 --> 00:20:05,159
Speaker 3: of like the Patriots and the schedule that the Patriots

488
00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:07,320
Speaker 3: have had, it's just kind of lay up city. And

489
00:20:07,320 --> 00:20:09,560
Speaker 3: when you're playing a team like Washington that has Bill

490
00:20:09,600 --> 00:20:12,159
Speaker 3: Callahan as the head coach. And what's remarkable is that

491
00:20:12,200 --> 00:20:14,399
Speaker 3: people aren't talking nearly enough about how much of a

492
00:20:14,480 --> 00:20:17,480
Speaker 3: jerk Bill Callahan is and everything he's done to change.

493
00:20:17,520 --> 00:20:19,360
Speaker 3: I covered him at Nebraska when he was the head

494
00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:21,680
Speaker 3: coach there, and they hated the guy. He does things

495
00:20:21,760 --> 00:20:24,240
Speaker 3: that are not player friendly. Jay Gruden was the ultimate

496
00:20:24,240 --> 00:20:27,600
Speaker 3: player friendly coach. Here comes Callahan. He shuts off practice,

497
00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:30,560
Speaker 3: our music at practice. He makes them what run wind sprints.

498
00:20:30,760 --> 00:20:33,359
Speaker 3: He's changing, you know, the locker room culture in a way.

499
00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:35,760
Speaker 3: But you can't do that mid season because all the

500
00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:37,960
Speaker 3: guys that were brought in are expecting to go and

501
00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:39,840
Speaker 3: play for Jay Gruden, not Bill Callahan.

502
00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:41,040
Speaker 2: So that's what I love.

503
00:20:41,080 --> 00:20:42,920
Speaker 3: The Dolphins last week at plus three and a half,

504
00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:44,679
Speaker 3: and I thought the team would actually lay down.

505
00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:45,440
Speaker 2: And lose on purpose.

506
00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:47,640
Speaker 3: There's no way they're gonna want to bash their head

507
00:20:47,680 --> 00:20:50,480
Speaker 3: against that forty nine or defensive line and go hard here.

508
00:20:50,480 --> 00:20:52,399
Speaker 3: And I don't care which are the three quarterbacks the

509
00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:54,600
Speaker 3: Redskins are gonna play. They're not going to score or

510
00:20:54,640 --> 00:20:57,159
Speaker 3: move the football on the forty nine ers, So to me,

511
00:20:57,920 --> 00:21:01,160
Speaker 3: it's it's a I would look to the forty nine

512
00:21:01,240 --> 00:21:03,880
Speaker 3: ers team total and see what that is at kickoff

513
00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:06,560
Speaker 3: and see if that number is somewhat reasonable, because they're

514
00:21:06,600 --> 00:21:09,399
Speaker 3: gonna score. It's just a matter of backdoor covers and

515
00:21:09,440 --> 00:21:12,560
Speaker 3: a matter of late game touchdowns when the scrubs are

516
00:21:12,560 --> 00:21:15,040
Speaker 3: in for the forty nine ers. But I'm not afraid

517
00:21:15,040 --> 00:21:17,320
Speaker 3: of it too much. Laying double digits even here. The

518
00:21:17,400 --> 00:21:20,520
Speaker 3: Redskins are absolute trash and the forty nine Ers are

519
00:21:20,520 --> 00:21:21,440
Speaker 3: a legitimate team.

520
00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:23,120
Speaker 2: And even if they're handling the balling.

521
00:21:22,760 --> 00:21:25,280
Speaker 3: Off football and just running the football in the second half,

522
00:21:25,359 --> 00:21:26,920
Speaker 3: they're still going to move the football and they're still

523
00:21:26,920 --> 00:21:29,760
Speaker 3: going to score points against that Redskins defense. So I

524
00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:32,280
Speaker 3: don't hate it at all. And I think the Redskins

525
00:21:32,320 --> 00:21:35,240
Speaker 3: are If they win another game the rest of the year,

526
00:21:35,800 --> 00:21:37,720
Speaker 3: I mean, I'd be somewhat surprised. I mean, one in

527
00:21:37,760 --> 00:21:40,040
Speaker 3: fifteen is very possible for that Redskins team.

528
00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:42,080
Speaker 1: I can't believe that you were on the forty nine

529
00:21:42,160 --> 00:21:45,440
Speaker 1: ers ten wins in the preseason. I was not anywhere

530
00:21:45,480 --> 00:21:47,720
Speaker 1: close to that. I did not expect them to be good,

531
00:21:47,880 --> 00:21:49,680
Speaker 1: and it took me a long time to buy into

532
00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:51,919
Speaker 1: them now. I mean honestly. I mean I had the

533
00:21:52,040 --> 00:21:53,720
Speaker 1: Rams last week, and I thought that was going to

534
00:21:53,760 --> 00:21:55,479
Speaker 1: be a spot where they were going to show up

535
00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:57,800
Speaker 1: and kind of, you know, in a game that they

536
00:21:57,840 --> 00:21:59,320
Speaker 1: really had to win and do it.

537
00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:02,119
Speaker 2: But the Rams, Yeah, I'm with you.

538
00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:02,280
Speaker 1: I was.

539
00:22:02,480 --> 00:22:03,520
Speaker 2: I was on the Rams last week.

540
00:22:03,560 --> 00:22:05,960
Speaker 3: But because I think there's a game here that we're

541
00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:08,240
Speaker 3: gonna the forty nine Ers are running away with the West.

542
00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:10,159
Speaker 3: I just I know the Seahawks are there, but I mean,

543
00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:11,639
Speaker 3: I mean it's a team that you look at and

544
00:22:11,640 --> 00:22:14,800
Speaker 3: you're like, hmm. I mean, their schedule, they're winning games

545
00:22:14,800 --> 00:22:16,640
Speaker 3: you don't expect them to win. They're going on the road,

546
00:22:16,640 --> 00:22:18,800
Speaker 3: They're beating the Rams. It's like, wow, like what this

547
00:22:18,880 --> 00:22:21,239
Speaker 3: is really kind of surprising. They're pounding the Browns. I mean,

548
00:22:21,280 --> 00:22:23,080
Speaker 3: it's just it's sort of surprising when you kind of

549
00:22:23,080 --> 00:22:25,040
Speaker 3: break it down and realize how good they've been this

550
00:22:25,160 --> 00:22:27,679
Speaker 3: early in the year. So I thought they win ten games,

551
00:22:27,960 --> 00:22:29,480
Speaker 3: but I didn't expect them to come out of the

552
00:22:29,520 --> 00:22:32,399
Speaker 3: gate this fast. And look, if you go through their

553
00:22:32,520 --> 00:22:35,720
Speaker 3: their defensive line, and Bosa's been playing incredibly well for

554
00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:37,399
Speaker 3: them that you know, this number two pick overall in

555
00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:39,440
Speaker 3: the last draft, but they've got four other guys who

556
00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:41,960
Speaker 3: were first round picks. The draft capital they have invested

557
00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:46,520
Speaker 3: in their defensive line is ridiculous. So it's like, Okay,

558
00:22:46,600 --> 00:22:49,680
Speaker 3: about time. These guys are playing this well, and Richard

559
00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:52,480
Speaker 3: Sherman's playing decent in the back end, and so it's

560
00:22:52,600 --> 00:22:55,359
Speaker 3: just when you have a front like this with this

561
00:22:55,520 --> 00:22:57,879
Speaker 3: much talent, guys who are six foot seven that you know,

562
00:22:57,920 --> 00:23:00,840
Speaker 3: shorter quarterbacks can't see over I mean Armistad and the

563
00:23:00,840 --> 00:23:01,400
Speaker 3: rest of the guys.

564
00:23:01,440 --> 00:23:03,440
Speaker 2: I mean, I really, if they stayed healthy.

565
00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:05,520
Speaker 3: I was really high in the forty nine ers this year,

566
00:23:05,600 --> 00:23:08,880
Speaker 3: and I mean if it's Patriots forty nine ers in Miami,

567
00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:11,560
Speaker 3: it will not surprise me at all. That's what winds

568
00:23:11,640 --> 00:23:11,960
Speaker 3: up being.

569
00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:14,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely, I mean it's you know, you have to

570
00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:16,639
Speaker 1: assume it's going to be either them or the Saints

571
00:23:16,680 --> 00:23:18,960
Speaker 1: at this point. But the forty nine ers are absolutely

572
00:23:19,000 --> 00:23:21,919
Speaker 1: legitimate and they'd be a really, really scary team if

573
00:23:21,920 --> 00:23:23,239
Speaker 1: they made it. All right, let's move on to your

574
00:23:23,240 --> 00:23:24,280
Speaker 1: third pick. What do you got for me?

575
00:23:24,359 --> 00:23:24,720
Speaker 2: All right?

576
00:23:24,800 --> 00:23:26,879
Speaker 3: I am going to make everybody who is from New

577
00:23:26,920 --> 00:23:30,560
Speaker 3: England angry, and I'm taking the Patriots and the Jets

578
00:23:30,560 --> 00:23:33,959
Speaker 3: game as my third play. And I'm going to really

579
00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:37,520
Speaker 3: hope CJ. Moseley plays, and I hope the extra day

580
00:23:37,840 --> 00:23:40,560
Speaker 3: allows him to play, and if he can go, I

581
00:23:40,680 --> 00:23:42,880
Speaker 3: like this pick even more. But even without him, I'm

582
00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:46,160
Speaker 3: gonna take the points here. And if you're gonna play

583
00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:48,959
Speaker 3: this game, wait for the public money to push this

584
00:23:49,040 --> 00:23:51,800
Speaker 3: back to ten. It's nine nine and a half right now.

585
00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:54,800
Speaker 3: For Patriots on the road on Monday Night football. I

586
00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:56,960
Speaker 3: love it at ten. If you see it at ten,

587
00:23:57,400 --> 00:24:00,800
Speaker 3: hammer it, jump on it. There's a couple of reasons why. One,

588
00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:02,560
Speaker 3: this is the second time the Patriots and the Jets

589
00:24:02,560 --> 00:24:04,879
Speaker 3: have played each other, so the Jets have seen the

590
00:24:04,880 --> 00:24:08,439
Speaker 3: Patriots offense. The Patriots offensive line is not great, and

591
00:24:08,480 --> 00:24:11,679
Speaker 3: they're gonna blitz Brady like crazy. This is gonna be

592
00:24:11,720 --> 00:24:13,120
Speaker 3: similar to the Buffalo Bills game.

593
00:24:13,119 --> 00:24:13,679
Speaker 2: In my opinion.

594
00:24:13,760 --> 00:24:15,560
Speaker 3: The Patriots are gonna try to run the ball and

595
00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:17,480
Speaker 3: get the hell out of there. They don't need to

596
00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:19,359
Speaker 3: win that game by a lot. They don't need to

597
00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:22,120
Speaker 3: blow the Jets out. And as Sam Donald comes back,

598
00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:24,880
Speaker 3: the entire team is different for the Jets. We saw

599
00:24:24,920 --> 00:24:28,800
Speaker 3: it last week against the Cowboys. He just changes everything

600
00:24:29,040 --> 00:24:32,280
Speaker 3: for them. It makes you know, average players, C level

601
00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:35,400
Speaker 3: receivers become B level receivers and B become.

602
00:24:35,160 --> 00:24:37,719
Speaker 2: A and it just it affects everyone.

603
00:24:38,040 --> 00:24:40,360
Speaker 3: They're gonna get after this offensive line for the Patriots,

604
00:24:40,400 --> 00:24:42,720
Speaker 3: and they're gonna get up to their wide receivers. I

605
00:24:42,720 --> 00:24:46,280
Speaker 3: mean the Patriots. You look at their numbers, Yep, it's impressive.

606
00:24:46,320 --> 00:24:49,000
Speaker 3: But their schedule has been a joke. Okay, let's be frank.

607
00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:53,040
Speaker 3: I'm a Patriot fan. Who they've played. It's been Cupcake City.

608
00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:55,040
Speaker 3: We'll see what they do on the road against the

609
00:24:55,119 --> 00:24:57,159
Speaker 3: Ravens coming up, and then they got their buy and

610
00:24:57,200 --> 00:24:59,879
Speaker 3: then they have four incredibly difficult games after their bi

611
00:25:00,359 --> 00:25:02,920
Speaker 3: So this is a typical Belichick game where he's gonna

612
00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:05,560
Speaker 3: hand the ball off, run the ball, get out of town.

613
00:25:05,760 --> 00:25:06,920
Speaker 2: Patriots win the game.

614
00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:09,680
Speaker 3: I'm not saying they're losing, but I don't believe they're

615
00:25:09,680 --> 00:25:11,879
Speaker 3: gonna cover a double digit spread on the road.

616
00:25:12,200 --> 00:25:14,920
Speaker 2: I like home teams catching.

617
00:25:14,600 --> 00:25:17,280
Speaker 3: Points in primetime, and if you're gonna give me ten,

618
00:25:17,720 --> 00:25:21,800
Speaker 3: I'm almost automatically gonna take the dog without even looking

619
00:25:21,840 --> 00:25:24,440
Speaker 3: at the teams. This is being a divisional game, Jets

620
00:25:24,440 --> 00:25:27,240
Speaker 3: playing for pride, Sam Darnold coming back in this game.

621
00:25:27,840 --> 00:25:31,040
Speaker 3: Patriots defense is very very good. I understand that, but

622
00:25:31,200 --> 00:25:33,000
Speaker 3: I don't think this is a high scoring game. I

623
00:25:33,000 --> 00:25:35,359
Speaker 3: don't hate to play on the under here as well

624
00:25:35,400 --> 00:25:37,760
Speaker 3: on the game, but I'm gonna take the Jets plus

625
00:25:37,800 --> 00:25:39,200
Speaker 3: the ten on Monday Night football.

626
00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:43,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, I am a Jets fan, so I am going

627
00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:46,760
Speaker 1: to admit that from Queen's So it's all right. I mean,

628
00:25:46,760 --> 00:25:49,200
Speaker 1: there's like seven of us still left around. But I

629
00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:51,919
Speaker 1: live in New England, so obviously my life is terrible.

630
00:25:52,240 --> 00:25:58,040
Speaker 1: But I will say this, I probably don't have enough

631
00:25:58,480 --> 00:26:00,600
Speaker 1: to bet it, but I agree with you. I do

632
00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:03,480
Speaker 1: the under as well. By the way, I'm both both counts. Yes,

633
00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:05,879
Speaker 1: I completely. First of all, I believe Josh Gordon was

634
00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:11,600
Speaker 1: ruled out already earlier this evening. I'm almost positive Mosley's

635
00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:14,959
Speaker 1: gonna play. He was at practice. He was doing mostly

636
00:26:14,960 --> 00:26:17,320
Speaker 1: individual drills today, but I was watching videos of him.

637
00:26:17,560 --> 00:26:20,200
Speaker 1: He looked great. I'm sure they've kind of been eyeing

638
00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:22,800
Speaker 1: this game regardless of what's going on, because you know

639
00:26:22,840 --> 00:26:25,640
Speaker 1: it's the Patriots, of course. And yeah, I agree, Look

640
00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:28,800
Speaker 1: the Pats just the offense does not look The defense

641
00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:32,000
Speaker 1: is great. It's totally legitimate. I get that they haven't

642
00:26:32,000 --> 00:26:35,200
Speaker 1: played too many strong offenses, but the defense one hundred

643
00:26:35,200 --> 00:26:39,480
Speaker 1: percent legitimate. But the Jets defense surprisingly is pretty good.

644
00:26:39,560 --> 00:26:41,840
Speaker 1: The front seven is really good. They stop the run,

645
00:26:41,880 --> 00:26:45,080
Speaker 1: they get to the quarterback, especially with Moseley there, he's

646
00:26:45,080 --> 00:26:47,000
Speaker 1: gonna be able, you know, to improve their run defense.

647
00:26:47,119 --> 00:26:49,359
Speaker 1: They're weak in the secondary other than Jamal Adams. The

648
00:26:49,400 --> 00:26:52,840
Speaker 1: cornerbacks are not great. But you know, that's not you know,

649
00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:54,960
Speaker 1: the Pats at this point. That's the thing. They don't

650
00:26:55,200 --> 00:26:57,919
Speaker 1: have these dominant receivers right now at all. You know,

651
00:26:57,920 --> 00:27:01,439
Speaker 1: it's basically Edelman, You've got who hasn't you know, has

652
00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:03,520
Speaker 1: been nicked up the whole year, and he's gonna miss

653
00:27:03,520 --> 00:27:06,320
Speaker 1: this game. So you know, whether or not Dorset comes back,

654
00:27:06,840 --> 00:27:09,160
Speaker 1: you know, whoever they're gonna wind up throwing out there.

655
00:27:09,720 --> 00:27:11,600
Speaker 1: I agree, man, I just do not see this as

656
00:27:11,600 --> 00:27:13,480
Speaker 1: a game that the Patriots are going to smash them

657
00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:15,000
Speaker 1: at all, as much as you know they want to

658
00:27:15,080 --> 00:27:17,800
Speaker 1: because of the history, you know, and Belichick sort of doesn't.

659
00:27:17,960 --> 00:27:20,120
Speaker 1: I agree in this instance. I think they just want

660
00:27:20,119 --> 00:27:21,360
Speaker 1: to get out of there. They just want to get

661
00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:24,240
Speaker 1: out of there without getting too beat up and take

662
00:27:24,280 --> 00:27:26,439
Speaker 1: the win. And I agree that they probably will. But

663
00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:29,840
Speaker 1: with that many points at home on Monday night, the

664
00:27:29,880 --> 00:27:32,359
Speaker 1: crowd's going to be crazy. Everybody's going to be excited.

665
00:27:32,760 --> 00:27:36,320
Speaker 1: And I agree with you completely in Darnald, I have

666
00:27:36,400 --> 00:27:40,440
Speaker 1: been really annoyed at people who have drawn any conclusions

667
00:27:40,440 --> 00:27:43,960
Speaker 1: whatsoever about the Jets with Luke Falk at quarterback. It's

668
00:27:44,000 --> 00:27:46,600
Speaker 1: not like people were making these grand proclamations. But I

669
00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:48,920
Speaker 1: love Darnald coming into the year, I thought he really

670
00:27:48,920 --> 00:27:51,240
Speaker 1: showed a lot of growth last year. He's looked great

671
00:27:51,280 --> 00:27:53,080
Speaker 1: so far. I mean, you know, the game against Buffalo.

672
00:27:53,240 --> 00:27:55,800
Speaker 1: You realize how good that defense is now that we've

673
00:27:55,840 --> 00:27:58,280
Speaker 1: seen them in several games. But he looked great last week.

674
00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:00,840
Speaker 1: So I agree with you, man, that's a lot of

675
00:28:00,880 --> 00:28:03,879
Speaker 1: points to be getting at home on Monday night. So

676
00:28:04,960 --> 00:28:07,600
Speaker 1: it's at nine point five in our consensus, but I'm

677
00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:07,919
Speaker 1: with you.

678
00:28:08,280 --> 00:28:09,600
Speaker 3: If it can get to ten and even nine and

679
00:28:09,640 --> 00:28:11,480
Speaker 3: a half, I don't hit it either. I mean, you know,

680
00:28:11,560 --> 00:28:14,800
Speaker 3: Patrick Chung left the game last week with a chest injury.

681
00:28:14,800 --> 00:28:17,920
Speaker 3: He'd already been dealing with with a heel injuries. Now

682
00:28:17,920 --> 00:28:20,840
Speaker 3: he's got two and he's main a main cog in

683
00:28:20,880 --> 00:28:23,879
Speaker 3: that back seven for the Patriots. And Darnell had a

684
00:28:23,880 --> 00:28:27,960
Speaker 3: couple of big plays against the Cowboys last week. I mean,

685
00:28:28,080 --> 00:28:29,760
Speaker 3: you know this is they play at home against the

686
00:28:29,760 --> 00:28:31,960
Speaker 3: Browns next week, the Patriots do, and then they play

687
00:28:31,960 --> 00:28:33,520
Speaker 3: on the road against the Ravens to get to the

688
00:28:33,560 --> 00:28:35,520
Speaker 3: bye week. And the Patriots I think, are just gonna

689
00:28:35,520 --> 00:28:37,760
Speaker 3: try to get to the bye They're gonna I mean,

690
00:28:37,760 --> 00:28:40,200
Speaker 3: they might be undefeated when they get to the bye,

691
00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:42,800
Speaker 3: But it wouldn't be crazy to me if they're eight

692
00:28:42,800 --> 00:28:44,920
Speaker 3: and one when they get there. And I mean this,

693
00:28:45,080 --> 00:28:47,920
Speaker 3: they always lose one game in the AFC East. They

694
00:28:47,920 --> 00:28:49,880
Speaker 3: always go it's rare they go six and oh, they

695
00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:50,840
Speaker 3: always go five and one.

696
00:28:50,880 --> 00:28:52,280
Speaker 1: And they always usually in Miami.

697
00:28:52,480 --> 00:28:55,720
Speaker 3: Right, it's at Miami or it's at Buffalo. Now they've

698
00:28:55,720 --> 00:28:58,120
Speaker 3: got wins in both those places already, so maybe it's

699
00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:00,880
Speaker 3: the Jets here, and the Jets get the victory against

700
00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:03,840
Speaker 3: the Patriots. And I've been telling people who say, like,

701
00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:06,000
Speaker 3: would you bet the Patriots going sixteen or no? And

702
00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:08,440
Speaker 3: I'm like, absolutely not. I mean, Belichick literally said it

703
00:29:08,480 --> 00:29:10,720
Speaker 3: with Dick Saban a couple of weeks ago that he

704
00:29:10,880 --> 00:29:13,200
Speaker 3: was he wished in O seven that they had lost

705
00:29:13,200 --> 00:29:13,560
Speaker 3: the game.

706
00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:15,800
Speaker 2: So they're not gonna try for sixteen or no.

707
00:29:15,880 --> 00:29:18,200
Speaker 3: If he's already saying we screwed up in seven by

708
00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:20,480
Speaker 3: trying to go for undefeatedn't go nineteen or oh. So

709
00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:23,719
Speaker 3: they're not interested in that. They just won another championship

710
00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:26,680
Speaker 3: ring And you know, Brady, you pressure him, as we

711
00:29:26,760 --> 00:29:28,640
Speaker 3: know you pressure him. You make a move in the pocket,

712
00:29:28,680 --> 00:29:31,760
Speaker 3: and that's how you stop this Patriot offense. And frankly,

713
00:29:31,760 --> 00:29:34,479
Speaker 3: they missed Gronkowski. I mean, it's just it's obvious that

714
00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:37,520
Speaker 3: they miss an over the middle, big body guy in

715
00:29:37,560 --> 00:29:40,520
Speaker 3: the red zone. And they've got three good running backs,

716
00:29:40,520 --> 00:29:43,160
Speaker 3: but it depends. I mean, really, it's Ivy Beholder with

717
00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:46,320
Speaker 3: Sony Michelle because he doesn't break tackles. He's great in

718
00:29:46,360 --> 00:29:48,680
Speaker 3: the open field, but he's not a between the tackles runner.

719
00:29:48,920 --> 00:29:51,240
Speaker 3: And Rex burkehead was nicked up and he's got a

720
00:29:51,240 --> 00:29:54,120
Speaker 3: foot injury and he's questionable for this game. James White

721
00:29:54,160 --> 00:29:56,160
Speaker 3: is not a guy who's gonna run hard in between

722
00:29:56,160 --> 00:29:56,600
Speaker 3: the tackles.

723
00:29:56,640 --> 00:29:57,560
Speaker 2: He's just not big enough.

724
00:29:57,640 --> 00:29:59,440
Speaker 3: So you know, you just start looking at the Patriots

725
00:29:59,480 --> 00:30:02,320
Speaker 3: offense that Jets defense, and you're thinking, huh, are they

726
00:30:02,360 --> 00:30:04,680
Speaker 3: going to be able to score enough to cover a

727
00:30:04,720 --> 00:30:07,840
Speaker 3: double digit line? And I just don't see it. I mean,

728
00:30:07,960 --> 00:30:10,280
Speaker 3: I could easily see this game being like a fourteen

729
00:30:10,320 --> 00:30:12,680
Speaker 3: to ten final where the Patriots are just lucky to

730
00:30:12,720 --> 00:30:14,120
Speaker 3: get the victory. Yeah.

731
00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:16,840
Speaker 1: Now, I'm with you, honestly on all accounts. I think

732
00:30:16,840 --> 00:30:19,640
Speaker 1: it's not a great matchup for what the Pats are

733
00:30:19,680 --> 00:30:22,440
Speaker 1: able to do on offense at this point. I think,

734
00:30:22,480 --> 00:30:24,200
Speaker 1: you know, with the Jets you really need kind of

735
00:30:24,240 --> 00:30:26,200
Speaker 1: an elite wide receiver because they don't really have that

736
00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:29,200
Speaker 1: elite shutdown cornerback. And you know the Pats, you know

737
00:30:29,320 --> 00:30:32,000
Speaker 1: Edelman's not that guy in that sense, So I agree

738
00:30:32,040 --> 00:30:34,720
Speaker 1: with you. I'm with you on both that, and again

739
00:30:34,760 --> 00:30:36,920
Speaker 1: I would bet the under on this one as well.

740
00:30:37,040 --> 00:30:39,000
Speaker 1: For my final pick, I am going to go with

741
00:30:39,040 --> 00:30:42,600
Speaker 1: the Bills and the Dolphins under forty and a half points.

742
00:30:42,600 --> 00:30:45,360
Speaker 1: And I used to avoid all Dolphins lines and that

743
00:30:45,560 --> 00:30:48,120
Speaker 1: won me money last week when I actually took them,

744
00:30:48,160 --> 00:30:50,840
Speaker 1: so now I love them. But realistically, I think the

745
00:30:50,880 --> 00:30:54,880
Speaker 1: Bills need maybe two defensive scores here if they're going

746
00:30:54,920 --> 00:30:56,720
Speaker 1: to hit the over. I've talked a few times this

747
00:30:56,760 --> 00:30:58,880
Speaker 1: season about the Bills defense, and I talked about it

748
00:30:58,880 --> 00:31:02,200
Speaker 1: earlier today. Depletely legitimate. They've allowed the fourth fewest points,

749
00:31:02,240 --> 00:31:04,800
Speaker 1: the third fewest yards, They're third against the pass. Tra

750
00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:07,600
Speaker 1: Davious White and Levi Willas are playing really well at cornerback.

751
00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:10,360
Speaker 1: Tremaine Edwins Matt Mlano have been great in coverage at

752
00:31:10,360 --> 00:31:12,480
Speaker 1: a linebackers. I mean, Milana may not play, but it's

753
00:31:12,520 --> 00:31:14,960
Speaker 1: not that huge a deal. Micha a Hide, Jordan Poyer.

754
00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:17,479
Speaker 1: They can really they can rush the passer, they get pressure,

755
00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:20,760
Speaker 1: they're very difficult to throw on. Ryan Fitzpatrick is going

756
00:31:20,800 --> 00:31:23,680
Speaker 1: to start, and that doesn't make me feel that doesn't

757
00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:25,880
Speaker 1: have any impact frankly on how I view the game,

758
00:31:25,920 --> 00:31:28,480
Speaker 1: because I really don't know what to expect from either

759
00:31:28,520 --> 00:31:31,400
Speaker 1: Fitzmagic or Josh Rosen at this point. But you know,

760
00:31:31,440 --> 00:31:33,480
Speaker 1: the Dolphins allow four point six x per game. That's

761
00:31:33,520 --> 00:31:35,160
Speaker 1: third worst than the NFL. He's going to be running

762
00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:38,200
Speaker 1: for his life. They're set, you know, they they They're

763
00:31:38,320 --> 00:31:40,240
Speaker 1: terrible at running the ball. They never give Kenyan Drake

764
00:31:40,280 --> 00:31:42,600
Speaker 1: the ball to the extent you know they do obviously,

765
00:31:43,160 --> 00:31:45,240
Speaker 1: you know calln baladge gets the goal line, touches, you know,

766
00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:48,040
Speaker 1: want whatever. But on the other side, the Dolphins defense

767
00:31:48,240 --> 00:31:50,200
Speaker 1: is terrible. But the Bills know they're going to be

768
00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:52,880
Speaker 1: able to win this game without needing to pile up

769
00:31:53,000 --> 00:31:54,560
Speaker 1: a ton of points, right, I mean, they only put

770
00:31:54,600 --> 00:31:57,080
Speaker 1: up eighteen points per game. Their run game is their strength.

771
00:31:57,120 --> 00:31:59,400
Speaker 1: Miami allows the second most rushing yards per game. They'll

772
00:31:59,440 --> 00:32:02,880
Speaker 1: probably get Devin Singletary back here. Opposing offenses everage more

773
00:32:02,920 --> 00:32:05,080
Speaker 1: than thirty one carries a game against the Dolphins, So

774
00:32:05,160 --> 00:32:06,440
Speaker 1: I think this is just going to be a game

775
00:32:06,640 --> 00:32:08,760
Speaker 1: where the Bills kind of take their time. They run

776
00:32:08,800 --> 00:32:12,040
Speaker 1: the ball all the time, long drives, keep the clock moving.

777
00:32:12,160 --> 00:32:14,000
Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna give up much on defense.

778
00:32:14,040 --> 00:32:16,040
Speaker 1: So I think the Bills have hit their under if

779
00:32:16,040 --> 00:32:18,800
Speaker 1: I'm not mistaken, on every single game that they've played

780
00:32:18,800 --> 00:32:20,600
Speaker 1: so far this year, I think they do it again here.

781
00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:22,760
Speaker 1: I'll take the under over here at forty one.

782
00:32:23,080 --> 00:32:28,840
Speaker 3: See, this is hard because I I'm petrified of what Miami.

783
00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:32,640
Speaker 3: If Miami gets fourteen points, you might be in trouble.

784
00:32:33,440 --> 00:32:35,840
Speaker 1: So yeah, that's a bet, though I'm willing to risk.

785
00:32:35,960 --> 00:32:38,480
Speaker 1: I mean at this, I mean maybe not but fourteen points.

786
00:32:38,560 --> 00:32:41,719
Speaker 1: You know, that's the thing, Like they scored what they

787
00:32:41,760 --> 00:32:44,000
Speaker 1: get sixteen. I guess when they went for two last

788
00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:46,920
Speaker 1: week is that they lost seventeen to sixteen. Yeah, and

789
00:32:46,920 --> 00:32:48,880
Speaker 1: that knows the kicks magic is kind of coming back

790
00:32:48,880 --> 00:32:50,240
Speaker 1: all the way at the end. Man, this is the

791
00:32:50,240 --> 00:32:52,120
Speaker 1: Bills defense. I don't really see them being able to

792
00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:54,520
Speaker 1: get two touchdowns. I understand you're absolutely right. I don't

793
00:32:54,520 --> 00:32:56,320
Speaker 1: see them being able to get two touchdowns honestly.

794
00:32:56,480 --> 00:33:00,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean they've scored so far this year in totality,

795
00:33:00,800 --> 00:33:03,520
Speaker 3: they have scored thirty two points if my math is right.

796
00:33:03,920 --> 00:33:06,440
Speaker 3: So yeah, the Dolphin Dolphins has not done very much.

797
00:33:06,480 --> 00:33:09,479
Speaker 3: But I like Fitzpatrick. I thought he should have been

798
00:33:09,480 --> 00:33:11,320
Speaker 3: the start of the whole time. He's not working with

799
00:33:11,400 --> 00:33:13,080
Speaker 3: a whole heck of a lot. I just worry about

800
00:33:13,080 --> 00:33:15,320
Speaker 3: garbage time. If the Bills are up thirty to nothing.

801
00:33:15,720 --> 00:33:18,000
Speaker 3: You know, dude, do they care about stopping Miami if

802
00:33:18,000 --> 00:33:19,560
Speaker 3: they put in a couple of ridiculous end of the

803
00:33:19,560 --> 00:33:20,440
Speaker 3: game touchdowns.

804
00:33:20,680 --> 00:33:22,920
Speaker 2: I actually, I have to look at this.

805
00:33:23,000 --> 00:33:24,360
Speaker 3: I was trying to find it while you were talking,

806
00:33:24,440 --> 00:33:26,760
Speaker 3: and I don't think it's out yet, but the team

807
00:33:26,880 --> 00:33:30,080
Speaker 3: total prop for Buffalo, for for Buffalo, what it might be,

808
00:33:30,480 --> 00:33:32,440
Speaker 3: and I think if it's somewhere in the neighborhood. If

809
00:33:32,480 --> 00:33:34,800
Speaker 3: you think if the you know, just guessing what the

810
00:33:34,880 --> 00:33:36,520
Speaker 3: what the books are gonna put it at with you know,

811
00:33:36,600 --> 00:33:39,080
Speaker 3: you're talking about a total here of forty one. My

812
00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:41,200
Speaker 3: guess is the Bills are going to have some team

813
00:33:41,240 --> 00:33:43,800
Speaker 3: total somewhere around thirty one would be my guess, maybe

814
00:33:44,040 --> 00:33:47,560
Speaker 3: thirty four, somewhere in that range. And I might look

815
00:33:47,560 --> 00:33:50,320
Speaker 3: at the implied team total for the Bills and play

816
00:33:50,360 --> 00:33:52,800
Speaker 3: the under on what the what the implied team total

817
00:33:52,800 --> 00:33:54,320
Speaker 3: of the Bills would be, because I just don't think

818
00:33:54,360 --> 00:33:56,040
Speaker 3: Dolphin Dolphins can score. But if you set the line

819
00:33:56,040 --> 00:33:57,520
Speaker 3: at forty one, you're gonna have to put the Bills

820
00:33:57,600 --> 00:33:58,640
Speaker 3: number at pretty high.

821
00:33:58,880 --> 00:34:01,120
Speaker 2: So that's one win angle.

822
00:34:01,200 --> 00:34:03,160
Speaker 3: I might look to play and kind of eliminate the

823
00:34:03,160 --> 00:34:05,160
Speaker 3: Dolphins altogether and not worry about what they're going to

824
00:34:05,200 --> 00:34:07,400
Speaker 3: do to the total and just take the under on Buffalo.

825
00:34:07,440 --> 00:34:09,880
Speaker 3: But it's going to be an ugly football game for sure.

826
00:34:10,000 --> 00:34:12,239
Speaker 3: I mean it's it's an absolute no play for me

827
00:34:12,960 --> 00:34:15,440
Speaker 3: on pretty much every on every aspect.

828
00:34:16,000 --> 00:34:18,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't want the spread whatsoever, which is seventeen

829
00:34:18,719 --> 00:34:20,759
Speaker 1: at this point. I don't want anywhere near there. I mean,

830
00:34:20,760 --> 00:34:23,120
Speaker 1: the Dolphins, these Giants spreads just make me nervous. I

831
00:34:23,120 --> 00:34:25,160
Speaker 1: did say forty one. I think actually the consensus is

832
00:34:25,200 --> 00:34:28,400
Speaker 1: forty and a half now, but that does not change

833
00:34:28,680 --> 00:34:31,440
Speaker 1: how I want it. Yeah, I honestly I think the

834
00:34:31,520 --> 00:34:34,480
Speaker 1: game could easily go over if the Bills want it to.

835
00:34:34,600 --> 00:34:36,480
Speaker 1: And again, it's you know, you think about that Bengals

836
00:34:36,520 --> 00:34:38,600
Speaker 1: game where they were ahead the entire game and then

837
00:34:38,600 --> 00:34:41,320
Speaker 1: the Bengals just came storming back in the last quarter

838
00:34:41,360 --> 00:34:43,560
Speaker 1: when the Bills. You know, they could have lost that game,

839
00:34:43,600 --> 00:34:45,000
Speaker 1: of course, but they kind of, you know, took their

840
00:34:45,000 --> 00:34:46,279
Speaker 1: foot off the gas a little bit, so that can

841
00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:49,520
Speaker 1: certainly happen here. But I just, honestly, I don't see

842
00:34:49,520 --> 00:34:51,560
Speaker 1: the Dolphins having enough to be able to do it.

843
00:34:51,600 --> 00:34:53,200
Speaker 1: But you know, you make a fair point, and I

844
00:34:53,360 --> 00:34:55,200
Speaker 1: like that. You know, we can disagree because we've basically

845
00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:57,239
Speaker 1: just been like, yes, everything right, right, of course I

846
00:34:57,280 --> 00:34:58,960
Speaker 1: love it. Well, I'm fine, all right.

847
00:34:59,120 --> 00:35:00,920
Speaker 2: Just to back you up the five and oh with

848
00:35:00,960 --> 00:35:01,759
Speaker 2: the unders of four in the.

849
00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:04,200
Speaker 1: Games, That's what I said, right, Yeah, they've hit on

850
00:35:04,239 --> 00:35:06,359
Speaker 1: the under every single time. It just strikes me as

851
00:35:06,600 --> 00:35:08,480
Speaker 1: as much as they could. I think they're more than

852
00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:11,080
Speaker 1: happy to just run Frank or all day long. Get

853
00:35:11,200 --> 00:35:13,600
Speaker 1: Singletary back sort of into the fold. Let's just control

854
00:35:13,640 --> 00:35:15,960
Speaker 1: the clock. The clock will bleed and then before you

855
00:35:16,040 --> 00:35:17,160
Speaker 1: know it, the game will be over and they'll be

856
00:35:17,200 --> 00:35:19,319
Speaker 1: at you know, thirty three points or something like that.

857
00:35:19,360 --> 00:35:21,560
Speaker 1: But all right, let's recap here, Matt. You like the

858
00:35:22,080 --> 00:35:25,439
Speaker 1: Eagles plus two and a half or three against the Cowboys, yep,

859
00:35:25,600 --> 00:35:28,760
Speaker 1: the Colts laying one to the Texans, and the Jets

860
00:35:29,120 --> 00:35:31,240
Speaker 1: getting ten or even nine and a half. You're willing

861
00:35:31,239 --> 00:35:33,799
Speaker 1: to go, hopefully from the Patriots, which I like, of

862
00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:36,160
Speaker 1: course as a Jets fan. I'm gonna take the Bears

863
00:35:36,160 --> 00:35:38,439
Speaker 1: and Saints under thirty eight and a half, the forty

864
00:35:38,520 --> 00:35:40,920
Speaker 1: nine Ers laying nine to the Redskins, and the Bills

865
00:35:40,920 --> 00:35:43,239
Speaker 1: and Dolphins under forty and a half. So there you go.

866
00:35:43,320 --> 00:35:46,040
Speaker 1: There are the picks six. Now, before we move on,

867
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Speaker 1: a gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler. All right, Matt,

896
00:37:05,040 --> 00:37:07,040
Speaker 1: let's move on to it's a trap where we list

897
00:37:07,080 --> 00:37:09,200
Speaker 1: the line that we are avoiding. Go ahead and start

898
00:37:09,239 --> 00:37:09,600
Speaker 1: us off.

899
00:37:10,800 --> 00:37:13,440
Speaker 3: Well, the game I'm gonna avoid is the Arizona Cardinals

900
00:37:13,520 --> 00:37:15,719
Speaker 3: on the road at the New York Giants. So there

901
00:37:15,719 --> 00:37:18,719
Speaker 3: are two big questionable players in this game, and there

902
00:37:18,800 --> 00:37:21,000
Speaker 3: may be the biggest named players in the game outside

903
00:37:21,000 --> 00:37:23,759
Speaker 3: of Kyler Murray and Daniel Jones, the two rookie quarterbacks.

904
00:37:23,960 --> 00:37:27,680
Speaker 3: You got David Johnson who is probable, Saquon Barkley who

905
00:37:27,719 --> 00:37:30,440
Speaker 3: is probable, but both most likely will not be one

906
00:37:30,480 --> 00:37:33,120
Speaker 3: hundred percent going into this game. Arizona's coming off of

907
00:37:33,120 --> 00:37:36,120
Speaker 3: a one point victory at home against the Falcons, and

908
00:37:36,200 --> 00:37:38,600
Speaker 3: Kyler Murray was was named the NFC Player of the

909
00:37:38,600 --> 00:37:40,840
Speaker 3: Offensive Player of the Week last week because of what

910
00:37:40,920 --> 00:37:43,320
Speaker 3: he did. That offense is starting to come around. However,

911
00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:47,560
Speaker 3: their defense is still absolutely horrendous. The Giants against bad

912
00:37:47,600 --> 00:37:51,080
Speaker 3: defenses have been you know, okay, they put twenty four

913
00:37:51,120 --> 00:37:54,799
Speaker 3: points up against the Redskins this season. I'm not going

914
00:37:54,880 --> 00:37:58,640
Speaker 3: anywhere near this game for the Giants and the Cardinals.

915
00:37:58,680 --> 00:38:01,000
Speaker 3: It may be highly entertaining. I can make a case

916
00:38:01,040 --> 00:38:03,640
Speaker 3: for either side to win this game, but Giants laying

917
00:38:03,680 --> 00:38:05,640
Speaker 3: the three, I'm avoiding.

918
00:38:05,520 --> 00:38:08,319
Speaker 1: One hundred percent agree as usual. I'm sorry that I

919
00:38:08,360 --> 00:38:10,520
Speaker 1: hate to do that, but I completely agree with the Cardinals.

920
00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:13,839
Speaker 1: I don't know at all. I took the Falcons laying

921
00:38:13,840 --> 00:38:16,600
Speaker 1: two and a half against the Cardinals last time, because

922
00:38:16,600 --> 00:38:19,000
Speaker 1: I just I could not get out of my head

923
00:38:19,000 --> 00:38:21,600
Speaker 1: that I Am not going to trust Cliff Kingsbury in

924
00:38:21,600 --> 00:38:23,520
Speaker 1: a game with two offenses that are going to be

925
00:38:23,560 --> 00:38:25,799
Speaker 1: able to move the ball and two defenses that can't

926
00:38:25,800 --> 00:38:27,800
Speaker 1: stop anyone. I just sort of felt like the Falcons

927
00:38:27,800 --> 00:38:29,880
Speaker 1: would come out, and here I just kind of feel

928
00:38:29,920 --> 00:38:32,120
Speaker 1: like the same. I don't know, I do not know

929
00:38:32,239 --> 00:38:34,320
Speaker 1: what to do. I imagine, like you said, both Barkley

930
00:38:34,360 --> 00:38:36,839
Speaker 1: and Johnson are going to play. Ingram sounds like he's

931
00:38:36,840 --> 00:38:39,680
Speaker 1: going to play as well, which well the Giants Shepherd

932
00:38:39,719 --> 00:38:42,400
Speaker 1: sounds a little bit less certain at this point. But

933
00:38:42,480 --> 00:38:45,000
Speaker 1: either way, I don't know. I have no idea what

934
00:38:45,080 --> 00:38:46,680
Speaker 1: to do with this line. And there are a bunch

935
00:38:46,680 --> 00:38:49,480
Speaker 1: of teams that I feel that way about, including the

936
00:38:49,520 --> 00:38:51,479
Speaker 1: team that I am picking right now in the line

937
00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:54,440
Speaker 1: to avoid, and that is the Titans laying two to

938
00:38:54,480 --> 00:38:57,120
Speaker 1: the Chargers. I joke last week about putting the Titans

939
00:38:57,120 --> 00:38:59,920
Speaker 1: here each and every week, and I pretty much meant,

940
00:39:00,280 --> 00:39:01,799
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not actually going to do it, but

941
00:39:01,840 --> 00:39:05,200
Speaker 1: for this week, absolutely, these are two teams, the Titans

942
00:39:05,239 --> 00:39:07,960
Speaker 1: and the Chargers, that I do not understand at all,

943
00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:10,880
Speaker 1: And forget about putting in Ryan Tannel over Marcus Mariota.

944
00:39:10,880 --> 00:39:13,640
Speaker 1: They're basically that's like an even swap. To me, it's

945
00:39:13,719 --> 00:39:15,960
Speaker 1: much more about that I don't know which version of

946
00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:18,839
Speaker 1: either of these teams is showing up on any given week.

947
00:39:18,840 --> 00:39:22,280
Speaker 1: The Titans defense is legitimate, but the offense is pretty abysmal,

948
00:39:22,320 --> 00:39:26,800
Speaker 1: and the Chargers are an overwhelming disappointment. The offensive line

949
00:39:26,840 --> 00:39:29,440
Speaker 1: is in total shambles, the defense has played poorly and

950
00:39:29,480 --> 00:39:33,120
Speaker 1: been injured. Both teams are desperate for a win, and

951
00:39:33,200 --> 00:39:36,080
Speaker 1: I have absolutely no idea how to view this game.

952
00:39:36,160 --> 00:39:37,880
Speaker 1: There's no line that I would be able to look

953
00:39:37,920 --> 00:39:39,960
Speaker 1: at and say, yeah, this feels about right to me,

954
00:39:40,040 --> 00:39:42,680
Speaker 1: because I feel confident in picking one or the other

955
00:39:42,800 --> 00:39:44,719
Speaker 1: at this point. If I had to gun to my head,

956
00:39:44,760 --> 00:39:47,320
Speaker 1: if I had to, probably the Titans, just because it

957
00:39:47,400 --> 00:39:49,719
Speaker 1: seems difficult to see how the Charters are going to

958
00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:52,200
Speaker 1: protect Philip Rivers. But it's much more about the psyche

959
00:39:52,239 --> 00:39:53,760
Speaker 1: of both of these teams, and I have no idea

960
00:39:53,760 --> 00:39:55,680
Speaker 1: what to do. So for me, I'm avoiding the Titans

961
00:39:55,920 --> 00:39:57,000
Speaker 1: laying two to the Charters.

962
00:39:57,160 --> 00:39:58,880
Speaker 3: I'm hating on the Titans for the rest of the

963
00:39:58,960 --> 00:40:01,759
Speaker 3: year because I bet them the last two weeks and

964
00:40:02,320 --> 00:40:04,680
Speaker 3: I thought I had it right on both occasions. I

965
00:40:04,719 --> 00:40:08,080
Speaker 3: thought I was going to see the tickets cash and unfortunately,

966
00:40:08,200 --> 00:40:10,440
Speaker 3: even last week when it was three nothing on the

967
00:40:10,480 --> 00:40:13,279
Speaker 3: road at Denver, I'm just watching Marcus Mariota miss so

968
00:40:13,320 --> 00:40:14,320
Speaker 3: many open receivers.

969
00:40:14,320 --> 00:40:15,759
Speaker 2: I don't blame them benching him.

970
00:40:15,760 --> 00:40:17,480
Speaker 3: I think that was the right call with how well

971
00:40:17,480 --> 00:40:20,759
Speaker 3: their defense plays, they get after the quarterback. But I

972
00:40:20,760 --> 00:40:22,439
Speaker 3: don't know what to make of the Chargers to save

973
00:40:22,520 --> 00:40:24,960
Speaker 3: my life either, I've lost money betting on the Chargers

974
00:40:25,000 --> 00:40:27,480
Speaker 3: this year. I bet them against the Denver Broncos and

975
00:40:27,520 --> 00:40:29,719
Speaker 3: that that didn't work out well. And I had them

976
00:40:29,760 --> 00:40:34,040
Speaker 3: against the I had them against the Steelers last weekend

977
00:40:33,680 --> 00:40:36,720
Speaker 3: that didn't work out well. I mean again, the narrative

978
00:40:36,760 --> 00:40:38,799
Speaker 3: last week for me was teams that had to had

979
00:40:38,800 --> 00:40:41,520
Speaker 3: to win who are at home. I thought, okay, with

980
00:40:41,600 --> 00:40:43,520
Speaker 3: under a touchdown line that they were going to be

981
00:40:43,560 --> 00:40:46,239
Speaker 3: able to do it, and almost across the board, it

982
00:40:46,280 --> 00:40:49,080
Speaker 3: was an outright loss for those teams last week. So

983
00:40:50,120 --> 00:40:53,040
Speaker 3: when you paint a picture and the picture goes against

984
00:40:53,120 --> 00:40:55,640
Speaker 3: you in every single way, that's how you wind up

985
00:40:55,640 --> 00:40:56,120
Speaker 3: with the week that.

986
00:40:56,120 --> 00:40:57,920
Speaker 2: I had last week, which was just kind of.

987
00:40:57,960 --> 00:41:00,759
Speaker 3: Duck and cover but I can't trust the Chargers either.

988
00:41:00,800 --> 00:41:03,719
Speaker 3: I can't trust the Titans either. I think they made

989
00:41:03,719 --> 00:41:06,080
Speaker 3: the right decision here. I don't like Ryan Tannehill. I

990
00:41:06,080 --> 00:41:08,600
Speaker 3: couldn't stand him at the Dolphins with the Dolphins, but

991
00:41:08,960 --> 00:41:10,799
Speaker 3: I think it's the right move because he looked at

992
00:41:10,920 --> 00:41:14,000
Speaker 3: least competent throwing the football and comfortable throwing the ball

993
00:41:14,040 --> 00:41:14,640
Speaker 3: down the field.

994
00:41:14,880 --> 00:41:17,360
Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean I hated the Titans in the preseason.

995
00:41:17,360 --> 00:41:19,480
Speaker 1: It was because I just I could never back Marcus

996
00:41:19,560 --> 00:41:22,359
Speaker 1: Mariotta at all. So I'm fine to make that switch

997
00:41:22,360 --> 00:41:23,600
Speaker 1: at this point. There are a bunch of teams, by

998
00:41:23,640 --> 00:41:25,440
Speaker 1: the way, that I will put in this bucket of

999
00:41:25,680 --> 00:41:28,160
Speaker 1: no because I every time I bet them, I bet wrong.

1000
00:41:28,239 --> 00:41:30,920
Speaker 1: The Bucks are another team. I have no sense of

1001
00:41:30,960 --> 00:41:32,640
Speaker 1: what the Bucks are gonna do on any given week.

1002
00:41:32,640 --> 00:41:34,839
Speaker 1: I've been wrong in them like four straight weeks, just

1003
00:41:34,840 --> 00:41:36,960
Speaker 1: sort of being like, yeah, there's a game here, they come,

1004
00:41:36,960 --> 00:41:39,120
Speaker 1: they gonna bounce back, and then nothing, and then they

1005
00:41:39,440 --> 00:41:41,920
Speaker 1: go crazy against the Rams. So Titans are definitely in that.

1006
00:41:42,000 --> 00:41:44,680
Speaker 1: So I'm avoiding the Titans link two to the Chargers.

1007
00:41:44,760 --> 00:41:48,800
Speaker 1: You are avoiding the Cardinals getting three from the Giants.

1008
00:41:48,960 --> 00:41:51,160
Speaker 1: All right, let us move on to our final segment,

1009
00:41:51,360 --> 00:41:54,319
Speaker 1: Top Prop, where we list our top player prop of

1010
00:41:54,360 --> 00:41:56,040
Speaker 1: the week. Matt go ahead and started off.

1011
00:41:55,920 --> 00:41:58,000
Speaker 3: Sure, I'm gonna go back to the Monday nighter here

1012
00:41:58,120 --> 00:41:59,759
Speaker 3: and kind of stay with the narrative for that Jets

1013
00:41:59,800 --> 00:42:02,480
Speaker 3: d being able to control the Patriots and the Patriots

1014
00:42:02,520 --> 00:42:04,400
Speaker 3: coming into the game just wanting to run the football.

1015
00:42:04,640 --> 00:42:08,359
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go under Tom Brady completions of twenty four

1016
00:42:08,400 --> 00:42:10,480
Speaker 3: and a half. Now it's minus one ten, so it's

1017
00:42:10,520 --> 00:42:12,719
Speaker 3: not really heavily juiced up. But I just think that

1018
00:42:12,840 --> 00:42:15,120
Speaker 3: Jets defense is going to be able to slow that

1019
00:42:15,160 --> 00:42:17,680
Speaker 3: Patriots offense down, and I think the Patriots want to

1020
00:42:17,760 --> 00:42:19,799
Speaker 3: run the football and basically get the heck out of there.

1021
00:42:19,960 --> 00:42:23,200
Speaker 3: Against the Buffalo Bills, Brady only had eighteen completions. I

1022
00:42:23,239 --> 00:42:25,399
Speaker 3: think we could see a very similar number here. I'll

1023
00:42:25,440 --> 00:42:28,280
Speaker 3: be surprised if Brady gets into the twenties, just because

1024
00:42:28,280 --> 00:42:30,879
Speaker 3: of this desire to not have Brady sitting back there

1025
00:42:30,960 --> 00:42:34,080
Speaker 3: like a duck, allowing this defensive line in linebackers to

1026
00:42:34,080 --> 00:42:36,440
Speaker 3: blitz Brady and get after the quarterback. So I think

1027
00:42:36,480 --> 00:42:38,719
Speaker 3: the Patriots are going to really try to run the ball,

1028
00:42:39,040 --> 00:42:41,799
Speaker 3: limit Brady and not throw the football a lot, So

1029
00:42:41,920 --> 00:42:44,719
Speaker 3: I like Brady under twenty four and a half completions

1030
00:42:44,760 --> 00:42:46,080
Speaker 3: on Monday Night, So.

1031
00:42:46,120 --> 00:42:49,080
Speaker 1: I don't hate that. My only thing is that my

1032
00:42:49,160 --> 00:42:50,800
Speaker 1: guess is when they do pass, it's gonna be a

1033
00:42:50,800 --> 00:42:53,359
Speaker 1: lot of short passes, like it's gonna be a lot

1034
00:42:53,400 --> 00:42:56,040
Speaker 1: of things to James White and stuff like that, because

1035
00:42:56,040 --> 00:42:58,000
Speaker 1: they're not going to want to let Brady gets it there.

1036
00:42:58,000 --> 00:42:59,160
Speaker 1: And I don't know whether or not they're going to

1037
00:42:59,200 --> 00:43:00,480
Speaker 1: be able to run the ball all that. Well. I

1038
00:43:00,480 --> 00:43:02,520
Speaker 1: think they're gonna play conservative game, they'll be able to

1039
00:43:02,520 --> 00:43:04,719
Speaker 1: win and stuff like that. My only concern with that,

1040
00:43:04,800 --> 00:43:07,239
Speaker 1: like whatever the yardage prop is, I would probably go

1041
00:43:07,320 --> 00:43:09,200
Speaker 1: under that because I don't see a big throwing game

1042
00:43:09,280 --> 00:43:11,480
Speaker 1: or anything like that. But my worry with that one

1043
00:43:11,480 --> 00:43:13,160
Speaker 1: would be that I could see a lot of just

1044
00:43:13,280 --> 00:43:16,239
Speaker 1: kind of dump offs, quick passes, quick you know, things

1045
00:43:16,239 --> 00:43:18,560
Speaker 1: like that, where the completion number sort of piles up

1046
00:43:18,680 --> 00:43:19,839
Speaker 1: without the yards. You know what I'm saying.

1047
00:43:19,920 --> 00:43:21,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, they didn't put a yards number up. I think

1048
00:43:21,520 --> 00:43:22,359
Speaker 2: for that very reason.

1049
00:43:22,440 --> 00:43:24,279
Speaker 3: I think that as of right now, I'm looking at

1050
00:43:24,280 --> 00:43:26,600
Speaker 3: the West Gate here in Las Vegas for player props,

1051
00:43:26,600 --> 00:43:28,120
Speaker 3: and they don't have a Brady prop they've got a

1052
00:43:28,160 --> 00:43:32,080
Speaker 3: Brady touchdowns for one and a half, and they've got

1053
00:43:32,719 --> 00:43:33,839
Speaker 3: in Brady completions.

1054
00:43:34,080 --> 00:43:35,680
Speaker 2: I just I get your point.

1055
00:43:35,440 --> 00:43:37,239
Speaker 3: About the dink and dunk, and it starts to add

1056
00:43:37,320 --> 00:43:40,279
Speaker 3: up for the Patriots, But I don't think they want

1057
00:43:40,280 --> 00:43:42,600
Speaker 3: to put Brady into the position where all of a sudden,

1058
00:43:42,680 --> 00:43:44,440
Speaker 3: you know, if Edelman's not one hundred percent and we

1059
00:43:44,480 --> 00:43:46,600
Speaker 3: know he's a little bit nicked up, they double team

1060
00:43:46,640 --> 00:43:49,479
Speaker 3: the slot take away that guy. I mean, it's door set,

1061
00:43:49,640 --> 00:43:52,720
Speaker 3: it's Jacobe Myers, it's you know, if there's no Josh Gordon.

1062
00:43:52,760 --> 00:43:54,680
Speaker 3: I just don't know who Brady throws to. I just

1063
00:43:54,719 --> 00:43:57,200
Speaker 3: don't think they have a receiving corps. And maybe it's

1064
00:43:57,239 --> 00:43:58,960
Speaker 3: James White coming out of the backfield and they run

1065
00:43:58,960 --> 00:44:01,160
Speaker 3: a bunch of a bunch of screen passes to the

1066
00:44:01,239 --> 00:44:04,160
Speaker 3: running backs. But I don't I'm concerned about the Patriot

1067
00:44:04,200 --> 00:44:05,480
Speaker 3: offense on Monday Night.

1068
00:44:05,920 --> 00:44:08,040
Speaker 1: I think all of that is fair. I am going

1069
00:44:08,120 --> 00:44:12,200
Speaker 1: to take Leonard Fournette over one hundred and twenty five

1070
00:44:12,280 --> 00:44:15,320
Speaker 1: yards rushing and it's plus two fifty, so that's obviously

1071
00:44:15,360 --> 00:44:17,360
Speaker 1: where we're going here. I don't necessarily think that the

1072
00:44:17,360 --> 00:44:19,279
Speaker 1: odds are going for him to go over there. But

1073
00:44:19,520 --> 00:44:21,440
Speaker 1: this perfect situation, right, it's a game in which the

1074
00:44:21,520 --> 00:44:24,759
Speaker 1: Jaguars are favored. Burnette gets all of the carries. You know,

1075
00:44:24,800 --> 00:44:27,719
Speaker 1: he's giving a couple now to Rock Armstead, but barely any.

1076
00:44:27,800 --> 00:44:29,920
Speaker 1: The Bengals allow one hundred and eighty four and a

1077
00:44:30,000 --> 00:44:33,200
Speaker 1: half yards per game on the ground. Fournette has averaged

1078
00:44:33,239 --> 00:44:36,160
Speaker 1: twenty four carries over his last three games. He's averaging

1079
00:44:36,200 --> 00:44:38,360
Speaker 1: five point one yards per carry on the season, including

1080
00:44:38,400 --> 00:44:40,279
Speaker 1: games against the Saints and the Titans, two teams that

1081
00:44:40,320 --> 00:44:42,480
Speaker 1: are good against the run. He is just going to

1082
00:44:42,520 --> 00:44:44,600
Speaker 1: get fed a whole lot here, and if he sees

1083
00:44:44,640 --> 00:44:46,959
Speaker 1: his normal volume of carries, he has a good shot

1084
00:44:46,960 --> 00:44:48,719
Speaker 1: to go over this mark. So given the fact that

1085
00:44:48,719 --> 00:44:51,239
Speaker 1: it's plus two fifty, I'm gonna take that all that long.

1086
00:44:51,520 --> 00:44:52,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't hate that at all.

1087
00:44:52,800 --> 00:44:55,880
Speaker 3: I mean, I think also the narrative that we're talking

1088
00:44:55,880 --> 00:44:59,280
Speaker 3: about is is on point because of you know, Gardner meanshew,

1089
00:44:59,280 --> 00:45:02,640
Speaker 3: and let's to see what this offense the hype is.

1090
00:45:03,360 --> 00:45:04,839
Speaker 3: I don't want to say Warren off a little bit,

1091
00:45:04,840 --> 00:45:06,480
Speaker 3: but I think people are starting to figure out what

1092
00:45:06,520 --> 00:45:08,480
Speaker 3: he is and what he can and cannot do. And

1093
00:45:08,920 --> 00:45:11,040
Speaker 3: I mean that offensive line is good enough. I think

1094
00:45:11,080 --> 00:45:13,400
Speaker 3: the Jaguars just based off the Jalen Ramsey trade, and

1095
00:45:13,400 --> 00:45:14,919
Speaker 3: I think they're gonna want to come out and prove

1096
00:45:14,960 --> 00:45:17,600
Speaker 3: a point. And I think you're gonna get the good

1097
00:45:17,680 --> 00:45:19,840
Speaker 3: version of the Jaguars. There's kind of two different versions

1098
00:45:19,840 --> 00:45:21,440
Speaker 3: of that team right now. I think you'll get the

1099
00:45:21,480 --> 00:45:23,359
Speaker 3: good version of the Jaguars, and a lot of times

1100
00:45:23,360 --> 00:45:26,000
Speaker 3: that means slamming the ball down the opposing team's throat.

1101
00:45:26,320 --> 00:45:28,839
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't actually love them laying three and a half.

1102
00:45:28,920 --> 00:45:30,880
Speaker 1: I'm a little sort of you know, I'm a little

1103
00:45:30,880 --> 00:45:34,040
Speaker 1: torn on it with what it's going to be because

1104
00:45:34,440 --> 00:45:36,120
Speaker 1: I just have the weird feeling that the Bengals are

1105
00:45:36,120 --> 00:45:37,840
Speaker 1: going to come out and keep this game competitive. But

1106
00:45:37,880 --> 00:45:40,120
Speaker 1: I do think that regardless they're going to run the ball,

1107
00:45:40,239 --> 00:45:41,640
Speaker 1: the Jaguars are gonna run.

1108
00:45:41,960 --> 00:45:42,840
Speaker 2: I hate the Bengals.

1109
00:45:42,920 --> 00:45:45,759
Speaker 3: I hate the Bengals, And maybe this is going back

1110
00:45:45,760 --> 00:45:48,720
Speaker 3: to the Bill Callahan hate. But I was covering Nebraska

1111
00:45:48,760 --> 00:45:50,920
Speaker 3: when Zach Taylor was the quarterback for the Huskers and

1112
00:45:50,920 --> 00:45:52,800
Speaker 3: the fact that that dude is is a head coach

1113
00:45:52,880 --> 00:45:55,800
Speaker 3: and the average age of his coaching staff is thirty seven.

1114
00:45:56,000 --> 00:45:57,600
Speaker 3: You know, as I mentioned in the preseason, I was

1115
00:45:57,600 --> 00:46:00,839
Speaker 3: telling you ten losses or ten wins for for the

1116
00:46:00,840 --> 00:46:03,600
Speaker 3: forty nine ers. In July, I was standing on tables

1117
00:46:03,640 --> 00:46:05,840
Speaker 3: telling everybody that the Bengals were going to be competing

1118
00:46:05,880 --> 00:46:07,799
Speaker 3: for the first pick in the draft, that they were

1119
00:46:07,800 --> 00:46:10,560
Speaker 3: going to be absolutely awful, and the number was six,

1120
00:46:10,800 --> 00:46:13,160
Speaker 3: and I was saying, just hammer the under on the

1121
00:46:13,200 --> 00:46:16,239
Speaker 3: Bengals team total, because they're not a good football team.

1122
00:46:16,280 --> 00:46:17,799
Speaker 3: And if they get off to a rough start, which

1123
00:46:17,840 --> 00:46:20,680
Speaker 3: they did because their schedule was relatively tough, there's no

1124
00:46:20,880 --> 00:46:24,400
Speaker 3: coach on that staff that has any experience pulling teams

1125
00:46:24,640 --> 00:46:28,200
Speaker 3: out of tailspins. And aj Green should never play another

1126
00:46:28,320 --> 00:46:30,440
Speaker 3: down for the Bengals for the rest of his career.

1127
00:46:30,480 --> 00:46:32,920
Speaker 3: He should pull a Jalen Ramsey just say I'm not

1128
00:46:32,960 --> 00:46:35,480
Speaker 3: playing guys. Get me the hell out of here. Sorry,

1129
00:46:35,520 --> 00:46:37,800
Speaker 3: Andy Dalton. I know you need me, but I want

1130
00:46:37,840 --> 00:46:41,719
Speaker 3: no part of being around this dumpster fire. Why they

1131
00:46:41,760 --> 00:46:43,799
Speaker 3: decided to hire a thirty six year old head coach

1132
00:46:44,040 --> 00:46:46,640
Speaker 3: just because he had been close to Sean McVay made

1133
00:46:46,719 --> 00:46:49,400
Speaker 3: absolutely no sense. After Marvin Lewis was there for so

1134
00:46:49,600 --> 00:46:52,120
Speaker 3: long and he had so much stability in that head

1135
00:46:52,120 --> 00:46:56,000
Speaker 3: coaching position, it was the worst hire of the year

1136
00:46:56,280 --> 00:46:58,320
Speaker 3: to go get Zach Taylor, and it was the latest.

1137
00:46:58,360 --> 00:47:00,359
Speaker 3: You remember, it was the last of all the vague

1138
00:47:00,360 --> 00:47:02,399
Speaker 3: guys they went and got, and they gave the head

1139
00:47:02,400 --> 00:47:04,279
Speaker 3: coaching job to somebody who had never been a head

1140
00:47:04,320 --> 00:47:05,319
Speaker 3: coach anywhere.

1141
00:47:05,440 --> 00:47:05,720
Speaker 2: Ever.

1142
00:47:06,280 --> 00:47:10,040
Speaker 3: It's just such a stupid, typical Bengals move to hire

1143
00:47:10,040 --> 00:47:13,480
Speaker 3: a guy like that, and I fade them. I have

1144
00:47:13,520 --> 00:47:15,520
Speaker 3: no problem betting against them every single week because I

1145
00:47:15,600 --> 00:47:16,920
Speaker 3: just I don't think they're any.

1146
00:47:16,800 --> 00:47:20,279
Speaker 1: Good man, Matt, you are bringing the fire, and I

1147
00:47:20,360 --> 00:47:22,600
Speaker 1: love it. I've gone with the Bengals a couple of

1148
00:47:22,600 --> 00:47:25,000
Speaker 1: times because on the road. You know, over the last

1149
00:47:25,000 --> 00:47:28,200
Speaker 1: few seasons, they've actually been great covering. And you know

1150
00:47:28,280 --> 00:47:31,200
Speaker 1: this year, you know, the only time, I guess I

1151
00:47:31,200 --> 00:47:33,160
Speaker 1: thought one at a time, but I remember taking them

1152
00:47:33,239 --> 00:47:35,360
Speaker 1: in Buffalo against the Bills where they did manage to

1153
00:47:35,400 --> 00:47:37,719
Speaker 1: cover the six point spread. But yeah, you know, you

1154
00:47:37,800 --> 00:47:39,799
Speaker 1: make you make a lot of good points. And my

1155
00:47:39,840 --> 00:47:42,600
Speaker 1: guess is that Aj Green will not play another game

1156
00:47:42,680 --> 00:47:45,440
Speaker 1: for the Bengals. It is my guess. But those are

1157
00:47:45,440 --> 00:47:47,440
Speaker 1: really good points. And I'm glad I didn't pick that

1158
00:47:47,480 --> 00:47:49,680
Speaker 1: game for one of my picks, because we would have

1159
00:47:49,680 --> 00:47:51,880
Speaker 1: gotten off to a crazy start. But anyway, that is

1160
00:47:51,920 --> 00:47:54,040
Speaker 1: it for today's show. Thanks again for joining me, Matt.

1161
00:47:54,040 --> 00:47:56,160
Speaker 1: Remind everyone where they can find more of you and your.

1162
00:47:56,040 --> 00:47:59,200
Speaker 3: Work sure at sports Talk Matt is the Twitter account,

1163
00:47:59,760 --> 00:48:02,719
Speaker 3: the Better Network and eSPI Nation Radio. If you use

1164
00:48:02,800 --> 00:48:04,640
Speaker 3: tune in you can get the show. We're on from

1165
00:48:04,640 --> 00:48:06,680
Speaker 3: one to four Eastern part of the Better Network on

1166
00:48:06,760 --> 00:48:09,360
Speaker 3: tune in or eSPI Nation Live dot com is a

1167
00:48:09,400 --> 00:48:12,160
Speaker 3: direct stream for Espidation Radio from ten to one Pacific

1168
00:48:12,200 --> 00:48:13,880
Speaker 3: one to four. We come out of the Palms Casino

1169
00:48:13,920 --> 00:48:16,239
Speaker 3: and CG Sportsbooks and we have a lot of fun

1170
00:48:16,680 --> 00:48:18,640
Speaker 3: breaking down games. A lot of insiders, a lot of

1171
00:48:18,719 --> 00:48:22,080
Speaker 3: Las Vegas bookmakers join us on the program and talk

1172
00:48:22,120 --> 00:48:23,799
Speaker 3: a lot about what's happening behind the counter. So we

1173
00:48:23,800 --> 00:48:26,480
Speaker 3: try to take you into the wriskroom, if you will,

1174
00:48:26,480 --> 00:48:28,160
Speaker 3: to find out what the books need every week.

1175
00:48:28,360 --> 00:48:30,319
Speaker 1: All right, well, thanks again for coming on the show, Matt.

1176
00:48:30,320 --> 00:48:32,319
Speaker 1: I hope we can do it again before the season ends.

1177
00:48:32,360 --> 00:48:34,600
Speaker 2: Would love to. Thanks for the invite, really appreciate it. All right.

1178
00:48:34,600 --> 00:48:36,960
Speaker 1: I want to remind everyone about bet MGM, where you

1179
00:48:37,000 --> 00:48:39,960
Speaker 1: can earn one hundred dollars in winnings by placing a

1180
00:48:40,080 --> 00:48:42,640
Speaker 1: one dollar bet on the forty nine ers to beat

1181
00:48:42,640 --> 00:48:44,560
Speaker 1: the Redskins this weekend. When you sign up using our

1182
00:48:44,600 --> 00:48:47,279
Speaker 1: promo code Harris and Don't Forget, to leave us a

1183
00:48:47,320 --> 00:48:50,239
Speaker 1: review on Apple Podcaster, Stitcher and send a screenshot of

1184
00:48:50,239 --> 00:48:52,760
Speaker 1: that review to be entered into our Oldale Beckham Junior

1185
00:48:52,800 --> 00:48:55,320
Speaker 1: signed helmet giveaway. Good luck with your wagers this weekend,

1186
00:48:55,320 --> 00:48:57,720
Speaker 1: my friends. We'll be back breaking down the early lines

1187
00:48:57,880 --> 00:48:58,400
Speaker 1: next week.