1 00:00:00,960 --> 00:00:03,880 Speaker 1: Welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Podcast. I'm your host, 2 00:00:03,920 --> 00:00:06,360 Speaker 1: Scott Fogman, and today we're going to be going over 3 00:00:06,440 --> 00:00:09,360 Speaker 1: my favorite bets and player props for Week zero of 4 00:00:09,400 --> 00:00:12,000 Speaker 1: the college football season. Before we do, let me tell 5 00:00:12,039 --> 00:00:15,320 Speaker 1: you guys about Betting Pros betting systems. 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Now, all right, so 13 00:00:43,440 --> 00:00:46,600 Speaker 1: let's start with the Florida State versus Georgia Tech game, 14 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:48,519 Speaker 1: and I'm going to take the over fifty five and 15 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:51,240 Speaker 1: a half. It is creeping up as the week goes 16 00:00:51,280 --> 00:00:54,840 Speaker 1: on slowly, but and I know when we look at 17 00:00:54,840 --> 00:00:58,520 Speaker 1: this game, FSU specifically on offense, did lose a lot right, 18 00:01:00,080 --> 00:01:05,959 Speaker 1: leading rusher, leading receiver, quarterback, so much, so many things, 19 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:09,440 Speaker 1: but this is still an incredibly strong team with an 20 00:01:09,440 --> 00:01:14,040 Speaker 1: offensive roster strength of twelve, Georgia Tech is sixty eight. 21 00:01:14,640 --> 00:01:18,040 Speaker 1: So on defense, I do think that this is still 22 00:01:18,080 --> 00:01:21,639 Speaker 1: a mismatch even though this is a lot of new 23 00:01:21,920 --> 00:01:25,440 Speaker 1: players for Florida State, A lot of continuity issues could 24 00:01:25,480 --> 00:01:28,920 Speaker 1: happen here. That's your worry, especially in a weird game 25 00:01:29,000 --> 00:01:33,959 Speaker 1: going to Ireland, right, But I think that you know 26 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:37,119 Speaker 1: FSU has a I remember reading an article. FSU has 27 00:01:37,160 --> 00:01:39,600 Speaker 1: a lot of players or a lot of people on 28 00:01:39,640 --> 00:01:42,039 Speaker 1: the staff that have done this international travel before, so 29 00:01:42,080 --> 00:01:44,160 Speaker 1: they kind of know what to expect. 30 00:01:44,360 --> 00:01:47,120 Speaker 2: They can help prepare the players for it. 31 00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:50,840 Speaker 1: And for Georgia Tech, they bring back so much on offense, 32 00:01:50,880 --> 00:01:53,000 Speaker 1: and for as much as Florida State lost on offense, 33 00:01:53,040 --> 00:01:56,400 Speaker 1: they lost the same amount on defense as well. So 34 00:01:57,280 --> 00:02:00,880 Speaker 1: I think with Georgia Tech returning seven and the skill 35 00:02:00,920 --> 00:02:04,200 Speaker 1: position guys the starting quarterback Hanes King, the leading rusher 36 00:02:04,280 --> 00:02:06,520 Speaker 1: Jamal Hines, a top two wide receivers, and Eric Singleton 37 00:02:06,600 --> 00:02:11,880 Speaker 1: Junior and Malik Rutherford, I think FSU's mismatch from their offense, 38 00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:15,800 Speaker 1: even albeit with potential continuity issues, right, I think the 39 00:02:15,840 --> 00:02:17,839 Speaker 1: mismatch still is going to have them score a bunch 40 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:20,000 Speaker 1: of points. I think Georgia Tech is going to chip 41 00:02:20,000 --> 00:02:22,040 Speaker 1: in as well, so I think we get to this total. 42 00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:27,240 Speaker 1: The weirdness of this game being in Ireland, it makes 43 00:02:27,440 --> 00:02:30,320 Speaker 1: because I think this is maybe FSU in a walk 44 00:02:30,760 --> 00:02:32,720 Speaker 1: and I'm not a big FSU fan. For this year 45 00:02:32,720 --> 00:02:34,639 Speaker 1: and the last show, I picked them to go under 46 00:02:34,720 --> 00:02:38,280 Speaker 1: their win total, but I just this one is it's 47 00:02:38,320 --> 00:02:40,600 Speaker 1: weird that it's in Ireland with the travel, but I 48 00:02:40,600 --> 00:02:42,800 Speaker 1: think both these teams are going to be fine. I 49 00:02:42,840 --> 00:02:45,720 Speaker 1: think we're going to go over. There were a little 50 00:02:45,720 --> 00:02:48,120 Speaker 1: bit of weather concerns, and really when you get to 51 00:02:48,200 --> 00:02:54,000 Speaker 1: weather concerns for football, it's the wind, right, extreme temperatures 52 00:02:54,200 --> 00:02:57,560 Speaker 1: really affect stuff. But rain, even heavy rain, isn't as 53 00:02:57,600 --> 00:03:00,520 Speaker 1: bad as heavy win because heavy wind affects thees and 54 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:05,560 Speaker 1: everything kicks all of that. So the heavy rain, you're 55 00:03:05,600 --> 00:03:08,960 Speaker 1: gonna have some slip plays, maybe some sloppy plays, but 56 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:13,280 Speaker 1: most plays are gonna stay the same. So when it 57 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:15,320 Speaker 1: came down to it, it doesn't seem like we're gonna 58 00:03:15,360 --> 00:03:17,240 Speaker 1: have bad weather in this game. It's gonna be maybe 59 00:03:17,320 --> 00:03:20,040 Speaker 1: rainy before the game and then in the game maybe 60 00:03:20,080 --> 00:03:21,720 Speaker 1: we get a little bit of win. But the gusts 61 00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:23,920 Speaker 1: were like ten to twenty miles per hour, but in 62 00:03:24,000 --> 00:03:26,680 Speaker 1: terms of affecting a football game, that's really not much. 63 00:03:26,800 --> 00:03:29,800 Speaker 1: So I think we're gonna be okay with with that, 64 00:03:29,960 --> 00:03:31,839 Speaker 1: and I think we're gonna go over this fifty five 65 00:03:31,880 --> 00:03:33,840 Speaker 1: and a half just because I think both of these 66 00:03:33,880 --> 00:03:36,680 Speaker 1: offenses are gonna be scoring a couple props in this game. 67 00:03:36,720 --> 00:03:41,320 Speaker 1: I have two for this one. Dj Ui Langalila anytime 68 00:03:41,320 --> 00:03:44,360 Speaker 1: touchdown plus one oh five. He had six rushing touchdown 69 00:03:44,680 --> 00:03:49,280 Speaker 1: touchdowns last season. He has twenty one over his collegiate career. 70 00:03:49,920 --> 00:03:52,720 Speaker 1: He's a big kid. He's built like a linebacker, so 71 00:03:52,880 --> 00:03:54,960 Speaker 1: I think that he is definitely going to be able 72 00:03:55,120 --> 00:03:57,000 Speaker 1: to get in the end zone. It's plus one oh five. 73 00:03:57,720 --> 00:04:00,560 Speaker 1: The other prop that I have Eric Singleton over fifty 74 00:04:00,560 --> 00:04:02,840 Speaker 1: five and a half receiving yards. It's minus one fourteen 75 00:04:03,280 --> 00:04:06,880 Speaker 1: on FanDuel. He led Georgia Tech in targets last season 76 00:04:06,960 --> 00:04:11,240 Speaker 1: Eric Singleton junior, and in the games where Georgia Tech lost, 77 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:16,240 Speaker 1: he actually averaged more receptions and yards. He averaged five 78 00:04:16,320 --> 00:04:19,479 Speaker 1: catches for sixty eight yards and losses and four for 79 00:04:19,560 --> 00:04:22,400 Speaker 1: thirty eight in wins last season. Because Georgia Tech is 80 00:04:22,440 --> 00:04:26,120 Speaker 1: a run heavy team, but they are FSU is a 81 00:04:26,160 --> 00:04:28,600 Speaker 1: giant favor in this game by over ten points, and 82 00:04:28,640 --> 00:04:32,880 Speaker 1: I think that we may get a blowout. It's a possibility, 83 00:04:32,920 --> 00:04:34,719 Speaker 1: and Georgia Tech is going to have to pass the 84 00:04:34,760 --> 00:04:37,240 Speaker 1: ball to keep up and score point for point with 85 00:04:37,360 --> 00:04:40,680 Speaker 1: Florida State. So I think Eric Singleton is going to 86 00:04:40,680 --> 00:04:46,239 Speaker 1: be the leading target for the Yellow Jackets in this game, 87 00:04:46,560 --> 00:04:49,320 Speaker 1: and I think he's gonna go over this fairly easy. 88 00:04:49,600 --> 00:04:50,960 Speaker 2: So let's go over to. 89 00:04:51,200 --> 00:04:56,799 Speaker 1: SMU at Nevada in this one is a massive mismatch 90 00:04:56,920 --> 00:05:00,560 Speaker 1: SMU minus twenty four. I know that the majority of 91 00:05:00,600 --> 00:05:03,520 Speaker 1: the tickets are on Nevada right now. I just can't 92 00:05:03,520 --> 00:05:06,760 Speaker 1: do it Nevada. I don't know if they'll score in 93 00:05:06,800 --> 00:05:09,560 Speaker 1: this game. There is so much coming back and listen, 94 00:05:09,880 --> 00:05:13,320 Speaker 1: the SMU offense is better than the defense, but the 95 00:05:13,400 --> 00:05:16,400 Speaker 1: defense is so good, and it's such a mismatch for 96 00:05:16,480 --> 00:05:20,919 Speaker 1: Nevada in this game. Nevada average seventeen point seven points 97 00:05:20,920 --> 00:05:23,640 Speaker 1: per game last season, and they average giving up thirty 98 00:05:23,680 --> 00:05:28,040 Speaker 1: three point four. So you're starting out at sixteen points 99 00:05:28,080 --> 00:05:30,800 Speaker 1: and then you're against a potential top ten team here 100 00:05:31,040 --> 00:05:35,080 Speaker 1: in SMU. I think they get wiped out. I think 101 00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:38,520 Speaker 1: it's going to be really bad. And there were four 102 00:05:38,680 --> 00:05:43,760 Speaker 1: blowouts for SMU last season and they were huge. I 103 00:05:43,800 --> 00:05:48,000 Speaker 1: mean these games were massive against Prarie, per View A 104 00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:50,840 Speaker 1: and m Is like sixty something to nothing, and then 105 00:05:51,520 --> 00:05:55,000 Speaker 1: over thirty point victories at Temple Tulsa and versus Navy. 106 00:05:55,160 --> 00:05:58,520 Speaker 1: So I think this is going to be similar to 107 00:05:58,680 --> 00:06:04,479 Speaker 1: those games. Is returning eight starters on offense, including Preston 108 00:06:04,520 --> 00:06:07,800 Speaker 1: Stone the quarterback. They just they have a massive advantage 109 00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:10,240 Speaker 1: against a team like Nevada that looks to get better. 110 00:06:10,320 --> 00:06:14,120 Speaker 1: Jeff Schowed is coming in here and maybe he turns 111 00:06:14,120 --> 00:06:16,920 Speaker 1: this team around, right, but I don't think it's going 112 00:06:16,960 --> 00:06:22,040 Speaker 1: to be right out the gate against a team like SMU. 113 00:06:22,480 --> 00:06:25,400 Speaker 1: I'm going to also tag this with the ladder bet 114 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:28,520 Speaker 1: SMU minus six and a half in the first quarters 115 00:06:28,560 --> 00:06:31,800 Speaker 1: minus one forty two. Their first quarter total is twelve 116 00:06:31,839 --> 00:06:35,039 Speaker 1: and a half and that's minus one eighteen. SMU is 117 00:06:35,080 --> 00:06:38,280 Speaker 1: minus fourteen at half, fourteen and a half at halftime. 118 00:06:38,520 --> 00:06:41,479 Speaker 1: That is even money at plus one hundred and their 119 00:06:41,520 --> 00:06:45,880 Speaker 1: SMU they're their first half total is twenty nine and 120 00:06:45,920 --> 00:06:49,200 Speaker 1: a half. So if we're taking the over on all 121 00:06:49,240 --> 00:06:54,000 Speaker 1: of these, that's the plan. And in the four blowouts, 122 00:06:54,000 --> 00:06:57,760 Speaker 1: that I mentioned last year, the leads at halftime were massive. 123 00:06:57,839 --> 00:07:00,440 Speaker 1: It was fourteen zip after the first quarter against A 124 00:07:00,520 --> 00:07:02,560 Speaker 1: and M and forty two zip at halftime. 125 00:07:02,640 --> 00:07:04,159 Speaker 2: All right, that's an FCS team, all right. 126 00:07:04,560 --> 00:07:08,080 Speaker 1: At Temple fourteen zip after the first, twenty four zip 127 00:07:08,080 --> 00:07:11,240 Speaker 1: at halftime, versus Tulsa twenty eight three after the first 128 00:07:11,600 --> 00:07:14,760 Speaker 1: fifty two to three at halftime, and then against Navy 129 00:07:15,040 --> 00:07:18,200 Speaker 1: twenty eight and seven twenty eight to seven after the 130 00:07:18,240 --> 00:07:21,800 Speaker 1: first quarter, fifty two to fourteen at halftime. So what 131 00:07:21,960 --> 00:07:24,640 Speaker 1: SMU has shown us in the past is that in 132 00:07:24,720 --> 00:07:28,440 Speaker 1: these blowouts they put up big points first and kind 133 00:07:28,440 --> 00:07:30,200 Speaker 1: of let off the gas a little bit in the 134 00:07:30,280 --> 00:07:33,800 Speaker 1: second half. So you know, maybe a live bet of 135 00:07:33,840 --> 00:07:38,320 Speaker 1: the under on their total in the second half could 136 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:41,520 Speaker 1: be good as well. So keep that in mind as 137 00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:44,800 Speaker 1: you're watching this game this weekend. And the last prop 138 00:07:44,840 --> 00:07:47,960 Speaker 1: I will tell you guys about is Preston Stone over 139 00:07:48,040 --> 00:07:50,560 Speaker 1: three hundred yards passing and I saw this at plus 140 00:07:50,680 --> 00:07:54,560 Speaker 1: five hundred on DK. I think it was significantly less 141 00:07:54,880 --> 00:07:57,760 Speaker 1: for that on fanduels. So you have to check DK 142 00:07:57,880 --> 00:07:59,520 Speaker 1: and see if this number is still up as your 143 00:08:00,200 --> 00:08:03,920 Speaker 1: watching this. It's risky, right, he only hit this time 144 00:08:04,040 --> 00:08:06,920 Speaker 1: for He only hit this total four times last season, 145 00:08:06,960 --> 00:08:11,040 Speaker 1: President Stone, But guess what those four games were in 146 00:08:11,080 --> 00:08:13,760 Speaker 1: the four blowouts. This game, I believe is going to 147 00:08:13,800 --> 00:08:17,080 Speaker 1: be a massive blowout. I see it as more of 148 00:08:17,240 --> 00:08:22,440 Speaker 1: like a thirty point win for SMU. And he hit 149 00:08:22,480 --> 00:08:25,040 Speaker 1: this total against Preview A and m at Temple, Tulsa 150 00:08:25,240 --> 00:08:27,520 Speaker 1: and Navy, the four games that we talked about. So 151 00:08:27,600 --> 00:08:29,840 Speaker 1: if this game plays like that, I think there are 152 00:08:29,840 --> 00:08:34,079 Speaker 1: some nice trends that we see from SMU in terms 153 00:08:34,120 --> 00:08:36,599 Speaker 1: of putting up points in the first half their quarterback, 154 00:08:36,920 --> 00:08:40,840 Speaker 1: and Nevada just looks to be raggdalled. I'll say that 155 00:08:41,000 --> 00:08:44,040 Speaker 1: Montana State versus New Mexico the reason I'm not messing 156 00:08:44,120 --> 00:08:46,840 Speaker 1: with that game. I think the line got too much. 157 00:08:47,920 --> 00:08:50,319 Speaker 1: I think New Mexico could be better than we're giving 158 00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:53,440 Speaker 1: them credit for against an FCS team, So I just 159 00:08:53,480 --> 00:08:57,040 Speaker 1: don't really want to mess with it. And then Delaware 160 00:08:57,160 --> 00:09:00,560 Speaker 1: State and Hawaii, I mean, it just seems right for 161 00:09:00,720 --> 00:09:04,560 Speaker 1: Hawaii to murder Delaware State, you know, one of the 162 00:09:04,600 --> 00:09:06,520 Speaker 1: worst in the FBS versus one of the worst in 163 00:09:06,559 --> 00:09:11,960 Speaker 1: the FCS. Right, So we have that Delaware State missed 164 00:09:12,000 --> 00:09:15,240 Speaker 1: their flight initially to get out to Hawaii with all 165 00:09:15,280 --> 00:09:18,160 Speaker 1: that travel, but the line is just too big. I 166 00:09:18,160 --> 00:09:23,640 Speaker 1: don't want to rely on Hawaii to cover a massive spread. 167 00:09:23,760 --> 00:09:26,000 Speaker 2: So that's gonna be it for me for this week. 168 00:09:26,040 --> 00:09:26,960 Speaker 2: You guys will be back. 169 00:09:27,080 --> 00:09:29,760 Speaker 1: The show will be longer next week for sure, and 170 00:09:29,800 --> 00:09:32,040 Speaker 1: we'll talk about more bets because we'll have way more 171 00:09:32,080 --> 00:09:34,320 Speaker 1: than four games. But that is it for me. Scott Bogman. 172 00:09:34,320 --> 00:09:36,120 Speaker 1: You can follow me app Bogman Sports and I'll see 173 00:09:36,160 --> 00:09:37,920 Speaker 1: you guys next week. Take it easy, everybody. 174 00:09:38,240 --> 00:09:40,839 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 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