Speaker 1: Kaboom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes a
Speaker 1: week was enough, think again. He's the last remnants of
Speaker 1: the Old Republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He treats
Speaker 1: crackheads in the ghetto Cutter the same as the rich
Speaker 1: pill poppers in the penthouse. The Clearinghouse of Hot Takes
Speaker 1: break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with Ben
Speaker 1: Maller starts right now in the air everywhere and back
Speaker 1: at it on a Friday. It's a football Fiesta on
Speaker 1: the Fifth Hour with Ben Maller and Danny g Radio
Speaker 1: in the podcast do Jo and Danny yet again repping
Speaker 1: the voice of the Penny right over there. And I'm
Speaker 1: extra hype for NFL football this weekend because Sunday morning,
Speaker 1: check Hot Baby, fly out of Long Beach and we
Speaker 1: are gonna land in Las Vegas lost wages as you
Speaker 1: call it, it's right. I'm gonna go to the Raiders game.
Speaker 1: Oh congratulations, that's great that you've you've been to the stadium, right,
Speaker 1: I remember you talked about you took a tour, but
Speaker 1: you've not actually been to a game, right, So this
Speaker 1: would be the first experience. I told my girl. I
Speaker 1: was like, man, I can't wait for us to watch
Speaker 1: a game inside this place and sneaking that in here
Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter of the season. Now you're flying
Speaker 1: in and flying out the same day. You're spending the
Speaker 1: night like, what's the plan here? What's the plan of
Speaker 1: attack here? That's like, that's actually it's not a great game.
Speaker 1: But you see the Patriots Bill Belichick, you know that's
Speaker 1: not There are worst games to see your first Raider
Speaker 1: game exactly. Mentor versus student with Josh McDaniels taken on
Speaker 1: his old coach. There, that'll be fun time. We will
Speaker 1: have a full report, detailed minute by minute travel log
Speaker 1: Danny g travelog thakas Baby on next week's edition of
Speaker 1: The Fifth Hour. So this is the Benny Versus the
Speaker 1: Penny edition, and so we're gonna get right into it
Speaker 1: right now. Let's strike up the band, let's go. Welcome players,
Speaker 1: You're welcome. It's time now Betty versus the Penny. Alright,
Speaker 1: So before we get to the games on Sunday, actually Saturday,
Speaker 1: we got games coming up tomorrow, Sunday and Monday this weekend.
Speaker 1: No more bye weeks in the NFL. But we must
Speaker 1: look back to last week and what happened in week fourteen.
Speaker 1: Before we look ahead, you gotta go in the hot
Speaker 1: tub time machine. So now I should point out in
Speaker 1: week thirteen. So let's go all the way back to
Speaker 1: week thirteen. I had my worst week all season. I
Speaker 1: was waiting for the bottom to fall out. I was
Speaker 1: six and nine in week thirteen. The penny was also
Speaker 1: under five at seven and eight. But that was my
Speaker 1: worst week of the year. Four winning percentage in week thirteen.
Speaker 1: So how did I do last week? You asked? In
Speaker 1: week fourteen, Well, we were thirteen games on the card,
Speaker 1: and how many do you think we got? Right, Danny,
Speaker 1: And now you're representing the penny. What did the penny
Speaker 1: first and then me? Would you like would you be
Speaker 1: more comfortable with that? Let's go with the good guy first.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna say the penny got eight corrects. Well, Danny
Speaker 1: Survey says that is absolutely right. The penny went eight
Speaker 1: and five, So a winning week for the penny that
Speaker 1: had too many winning weeks this year. You got off
Speaker 1: to a good start, but as Nott had too many
Speaker 1: winning weeks. But eight and five, so a six fifteen
Speaker 1: winning percentage last week for the penny. Now the gas bag,
Speaker 1: the evil Empire. I'm gonna say you got nine corrects, Danny,
Speaker 1: that is incorrect. I went hen in three again. That
Speaker 1: is my top record as far as winning percentage is
Speaker 1: concerned in the NFL. And I believe that is now
Speaker 1: my sixth week out of fourteen where I've gotten ten
Speaker 1: of the picks right on the card. So let me
Speaker 1: take a victory lap here, which means I will go
Speaker 1: terrible this week, but no, I'm I'm very happy with that.
Speaker 1: So overall, now we crunch, Hey, how there you? I
Speaker 1: had a big meal. So overall on the season total,
Speaker 1: and this is documented by Roscoe the Parent and David
Speaker 1: in winter Park, Florida and Robin Vegas and other a
Speaker 1: holes that keep track of all these picks to make
Speaker 1: sure I'm not lying and everything's recorded for posterity sake
Speaker 1: on the podcast. So overall, hundred and twenty two wins,
Speaker 1: eight one losses, and five ties on the year. That's
Speaker 1: a six oh one winning percentage of the penny night
Speaker 1: one oh seven and three of four seventy eight winning percentage.
Speaker 1: So for this to be an amazing, crazy full season football,
Speaker 1: we somehow have to find a way to get to
Speaker 1: the penny to go to five. The pennies nine games
Speaker 1: under five. Right now, in theory, you flip the penny
Speaker 1: up enough, it should be fifty fifty. It's nine under,
Speaker 1: so that would mean the penny is gonna finish the
Speaker 1: season the last month or so very strong. So we'll
Speaker 1: see how that goes. But let's get to the games.
Speaker 1: Are you ready? Let's do it. So if you're just
Speaker 1: new to this, the home team is heads, the road
Speaker 1: team is tails, and you travel on your behind planes, trains,
Speaker 1: and automobiles. So that's how we do it. The whole
Speaker 1: bit is man versus an animate object, and I I'm
Speaker 1: a loser. I crunch all the numbers, look at all
Speaker 1: the trends, and then the penny just flips it up
Speaker 1: and we see who does better. So start with the
Speaker 1: games coming up on Saturday, Saturday, Saturday, So we got
Speaker 1: football tomorrow, triple header on a Saturday, will start out
Speaker 1: at First Energy Stadium in the Land Baltimore nine and four,
Speaker 1: Cleveland five and A. If you look at the graphics
Speaker 1: on the screen there, you can see, well, actually aren't
Speaker 1: no graphics. This ain't TV, Danny, this is just radio
Speaker 1: on the NFL network. Rich Eisen former premier Networks. I
Speaker 1: Heart Guy and Kurt Warner have the call. Brown's open
Speaker 1: at three point favorite. They were favored by three at
Speaker 1: this point. The money's pretty even. There's a forecast of
Speaker 1: light snow, some light flurries, temperatures in the low thirties
Speaker 1: at kickoff in afternoon game in northern Ohio. We are
Speaker 1: gonna take the Ravens in this game. You look at
Speaker 1: the trends and not a huge trends Guy Baltimore without
Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson, it hasn't really mattered when Jackson's been out.
Speaker 1: They've still been able to hold their own there. And
Speaker 1: this is more of a bet against Cleveland. Kevin Stefanski
Speaker 1: and the Brownies with him as coach, nine and seventeen
Speaker 1: against the spread as a favorite. So they have not
Speaker 1: lived up the expectations that Deshaun Watts and the creepy
Speaker 1: quarterback has been absolutely lousy since he came back. It's
Speaker 1: only been a couple of games here and now he
Speaker 1: goes against a blood thirsty Ravens defense and they're like piranha.
Speaker 1: They smell blood in the water here. I love that mismatch.
Speaker 1: That's the top unit Ravens over the last month at
Speaker 1: the NFL's eighth ranked defense. The Poets, they're not the
Speaker 1: dead Poets right now. Now Now on offense, they might be dead.
Speaker 1: As backup quarterback Tyler Huntley cleared the concussion protocol earlier
Speaker 1: this week, so he is going to start. He's expected
Speaker 1: to start. Cleveland's the defense is not that good. Not
Speaker 1: that Baltimore is gonna but trickate the ball up and
Speaker 1: down the field. But we are taking the Ravens twenty
Speaker 1: three and the Brownies seventeen the final, and the penny
Speaker 1: is going with Deshaun Watson and the Browns gonna rub
Speaker 1: you the right way. Ye get you down to that
Speaker 1: baby yoga post as you get all right. Next up
Speaker 1: Indianapolis four eight and one at Minnesota ten and three.
Speaker 1: It's on the NFL Network with Noah Eagle and Nate
Speaker 1: Burleson and knows the voice of the Clippers. Probably not
Speaker 1: for long. This guy is gonna he's gonna be doing
Speaker 1: network games every week. Before I son, yes, yes, I
Speaker 1: met him, and it was very it was it was
Speaker 1: cool to meet he was a good guy. But he
Speaker 1: was right out of Syracuse and he walked right off
Speaker 1: of the Syracuse campus and an NBA play by play
Speaker 1: job was insane. But he's good. I mean the guys
Speaker 1: really good. He's he's he's a doppel ganger of his daddy.
Speaker 1: And some of these guys that follow in their father's
Speaker 1: footsteps are not good. But this guy's got the the chops,
Speaker 1: he's got the the verbosity, if that's even a thing.
Speaker 1: All right. So Indianapolis and Minnesota the Vikings a four
Speaker 1: point favorite in this game. They opened it five and
Speaker 1: a half. Most of the money the handle is on
Speaker 1: Minnesota US Bank Stadium, a dome. So those of us
Speaker 1: who are have friends in Minnesota, and it's gonna be
Speaker 1: the twenties. But you don't have the way you're gonna don't.
Speaker 1: It's the weather be good inside. Minnesota. Their last five
Speaker 1: games as a favorite, their four oh and one against
Speaker 1: the spread, three and oh against the spread their last
Speaker 1: three games as a home favorite. But Indianapolis, they have
Speaker 1: been sneaky good over the years, coming off the by
Speaker 1: with different coaches. There ten games over five over the
Speaker 1: last uh, you know, last decade or so. We we
Speaker 1: are going to go. We went kind of back and
Speaker 1: forth on this, but we're gonna take the Indianapolis Colts
Speaker 1: in this game and This is one of those games
Speaker 1: where we you know, crunched the numbers, kind of went
Speaker 1: back and forth on it. The Colts is the pick here,
Speaker 1: Minnesota ten and three. They have a negative point differential,
Speaker 1: so that means they've been eating for breakfast, lucky charms.
Speaker 1: Based on the advance statistics that the nerds love so much,
Speaker 1: these teams are very similar in terms of statistical profile.
Speaker 1: Now I realized that I'm putting my faith in Matt Ryan,
Speaker 1: and I do believe he's washed up, and that scares me.
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan by himself can give a game of way.
Speaker 1: We saw that against the Cowboys. But this is an
Speaker 1: opportunity to get that bad taste out of the Colts mouth.
Speaker 1: They're not going to the playoffs. They actually still have
Speaker 1: a chance mathematically to go to the playoffs because of
Speaker 1: the division they're in. But we'll take the Vikings seven
Speaker 1: Colts twenty four. But we love that four point line
Speaker 1: in favor of Indianapolis, so we'll take the points. But
Speaker 1: Minnesota wins the game and the Penny pecks. Penny says,
Speaker 1: you're crazy. The Vikings are gonna crunch Indie. No, Yeah,
Speaker 1: the Penny's a dope. The Penny should go to bed,
Speaker 1: all right. Next up Miami eight and five at Buffalo.
Speaker 1: Here we go Buffalo at ten and three, also state
Speaker 1: sponsored NFL Network. Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez, the Fox
Speaker 1: team have the call on state sponsored NFL Network. The
Speaker 1: Bills opened up a seven and a half point favorite,
Speaker 1: and they are favored by seven. The handle is insane.
Speaker 1: A ninety percent of the money and the numbers that
Speaker 1: we have here in favor of Buffalo is the public
Speaker 1: hounding the Buffalo Bills. The forecast this is gonna be
Speaker 1: great snow game. Snow game temperatures in the twenties that
Speaker 1: kick off with the weather conditions, they're snowing throughout the
Speaker 1: game at high Mark Stadium and Orchard Park, New York. Now,
Speaker 1: if you look at the numbers on this, you'd say, no, no, no,
Speaker 1: you gotta run away from Miami. They will freeze. There
Speaker 1: took us off in this game. And since the Dolphin
Speaker 1: franchise has played seven games in temperatures forty degrees and below,
Speaker 1: they are oh and seven against the spread. In those
Speaker 1: games they've lost by an average margin of twenty one
Speaker 1: points per game, so they haven't even been closed. They
Speaker 1: were just getting smoked in these games. The trends all indicate,
Speaker 1: don't take Miami. Don't take Miami. Josh Allen six two
Speaker 1: and three against the spread at home in his career
Speaker 1: as a seven point favorite or better. I did find
Speaker 1: one positive trend if you're into such things, for Miami
Speaker 1: to a tongue of Ilo three oh and one as
Speaker 1: an underdog of at least six points in his career.
Speaker 1: So we're getting down to the home stretch here. This
Speaker 1: is a massively important game for the Miami Dolphins and Buffalo.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Dolphins in this game. I'm going
Speaker 1: against the public who is convinced that this is a
Speaker 1: broken a t M machine. Danny, they're handing out cash
Speaker 1: in a snow game. Are you kidding me? Warm weather
Speaker 1: soft team from Miami, no chance, no chance that Dolphins
Speaker 1: can compete. I did like that Mike McDaniel used the
Speaker 1: Jedi mind trick this week when dealing with the the
Speaker 1: weather conditions in Buffalo. But here's the reason I liked.
Speaker 1: The Dolphins made the great equalizer injuries. The Bills have
Speaker 1: three offensive lineman who are either gonna miss this game
Speaker 1: or play and be dinged up one one is definitely out.
Speaker 1: They've got four defensive starters that are also mangled. And
Speaker 1: as good as the Bills have been this year, you
Speaker 1: gotta look at how they've done recently the last month.
Speaker 1: That number two overall offenses twenty in the NFL. You're
Speaker 1: not supposed to say that out loud, but we just did.
Speaker 1: So that knock on the door. Here is opportunity for
Speaker 1: Tyreek Hill, who was dinged up himself, but he's gonna
Speaker 1: play and to a tongue of baloa. To stop the bleeding.
Speaker 1: After back to back losses on the West coast, you
Speaker 1: go to the East coast, go back to the east,
Speaker 1: get the winds, saddle up, get or done. Dolphins twenty
Speaker 1: three and the Bills twenty the final and the third
Speaker 1: straight heads here on the table, the Penny says, the
Speaker 1: Dolphins looked just like the Seahawks. Alright, so that I
Speaker 1: was waiting for that Geno Smith to show up at
Speaker 1: the All right, let's get to the early games on Sunday,
Speaker 1: as we continue Benny versus the Penny. Wearing many hats,
Speaker 1: here the mad Hatter of sports Chatter Atlanta five and
Speaker 1: eight at Orleans four and nine. It's on Fox Adam
Speaker 1: Amen and marsh lay Rick have the call. Won't spend
Speaker 1: a lot of time in this game. The Saints of
Speaker 1: four point favor They opened it three and a half
Speaker 1: at the super Dome in the Bayou Atlanta. One in
Speaker 1: six their last seven games against the spread owen four
Speaker 1: their last four games as a dog, and oh and
Speaker 1: three in their last three road games. So things have
Speaker 1: really gone sideways here for the Falcons, who gambling wise,
Speaker 1: got off to a very good start in New Orleans
Speaker 1: has covered three straight games at home, one of those
Speaker 1: a shutout of your Raiders. Danny g not to to
Speaker 1: bring an old wound back, but I'm gonna take the
Speaker 1: Falcons in this game. Now. I don't have been punished
Speaker 1: ever since. Well, yeah, being a Saints fan is a
Speaker 1: punishment experience outside of Drew Brees for a couple of years.
Speaker 1: So we are We're gonna go with the Atlanta Falcons,
Speaker 1: hoping for beginner's luck here. As Desmond Ritter comes off
Speaker 1: the bench, the rookie, and we're counting on him not
Speaker 1: pooping the bed in this game. He doesn't have to
Speaker 1: be great. The Saints defense is devoid of a consistent
Speaker 1: pass rush, which usually means, based on my years of
Speaker 1: watching football, if you don't get to the quarterback. The quarterback,
Speaker 1: no matter whether they're young, old, and the middle doesn't matter,
Speaker 1: we'll be able to make plays there. There's gonna be
Speaker 1: opportunities for Ritter, assuming he does not have flop sweat
Speaker 1: uh and which we are making the assumption he will not.
Speaker 1: New Orleans is also weak against the run, and that's
Speaker 1: a key variable here because Atlanta they don't throw the
Speaker 1: ball that much anyway. They're gonna focus on the ground
Speaker 1: game and that's promising for the Dirty Birds. These teams
Speaker 1: are very close usually if you look at the history
Speaker 1: of the matchup, there nail biting last second games Atlanta
Speaker 1: New Orleans. Whether one of them is much better than
Speaker 1: the other, these are pretty even teams, as we said
Speaker 1: this year, so I love getting over a field goal.
Speaker 1: Most games are a field goal or less. Falcons the
Speaker 1: underdog with a rookie quarterback, get or done Falcons twenties st.
Speaker 1: Seventeen the final and finally an agreement that Penny also
Speaker 1: going with the Falcons. Al Right, we agree on that
Speaker 1: we move on Detroit six and seven, the New York
Speaker 1: Jets at seven and six on CBS with Iron Eagle
Speaker 1: and Charles Davis, a friend of the podcast. We had
Speaker 1: Charles on leading up to the NFL season. Great to
Speaker 1: have him on. I'll have him on again, I'm sure
Speaker 1: at some point down the line one of the voices
Speaker 1: of Madden Football. So the Jets opened a three point favorite.
Speaker 1: Apparently the wise guys got that number wrong, because the
Speaker 1: Jets are a one and a half point favorite. This
Speaker 1: game was actually a pick him at one point this week.
Speaker 1: The handle over eight percent of the action on the
Speaker 1: j e t s sucks, sucks, suck. Recently sucks sucks
Speaker 1: suck at MetLife Stadium, Sonny in the Tri State area,
Speaker 1: temperatures in the thirties that kick off New York. The
Speaker 1: other New York team five and all against the spread
Speaker 1: after a Law loss. But how about the Detroit Lions.
Speaker 1: Here's the mother of all trends on this game. The
Speaker 1: Lions have covered six straight games. That is the longest
Speaker 1: active streak in the NFL. Hello the Lions. The Lions
Speaker 1: are the top team for gambles. Now. That tells you
Speaker 1: what has happened, not what's going to happen. But we
Speaker 1: love us some some Dan Campbell, Dan Campbell twenty and
Speaker 1: ten against the spread. The Lions are with him as
Speaker 1: the coach, second best record in the entire league since
Speaker 1: the start of last season. And we're gonna ride that pony.
Speaker 1: We're gonna because they got rid of those pony rides
Speaker 1: in l A at Griffith Park. We're gonna ride the
Speaker 1: pony here. We're gonna take the Detroit Lions, and we're
Speaker 1: gonna piggyback on Jared Golf and the Motor City kiddies.
Speaker 1: They have been wonderful, wonderful and offense, much better on
Speaker 1: offense and comparable on defense. If you look at the
Speaker 1: side by side taste test Jets and Lions. Now, Mike
Speaker 1: White dinged up and he's been on thin ice the
Speaker 1: last two weeks against the Vikings and the Buffalo Bills.
Speaker 1: We expect more up and down play from the Jets offense.
Speaker 1: Here is Aiden Hutchinson. I say that name every week
Speaker 1: because he's that good. He deserves top billing. Here on defense,
Speaker 1: the playmaker, they're the one that is the disruptor for Detroit.
Speaker 1: And then you've got on offense, Amon ross A, Brown,
Speaker 1: DeAndre Swift and company. So we're gonna ride that out set.
Speaker 1: It will be the seventh win. The Lions will be
Speaker 1: back to five hundred on the season after fourteen games.
Speaker 1: Lions in a nail biter, twenty six, Jets twenty three
Speaker 1: the final, and the Penny says, not so fast, Mallard,
Speaker 1: Mike White and his sore ribs are gonna beat the Lions. Yeah,
Speaker 1: he'll be eating barbecue ribs after the game, is what
Speaker 1: he'll be doing, all right. That we will stay focused
Speaker 1: on the prize as we spin around to Houston, Texas,
Speaker 1: where cairnsa City ten and three at Houston one eleven
Speaker 1: and one one one one ones everywhere on CBS, Kevin
Speaker 1: Harland and Shrank Green have the call the line on
Speaker 1: this game. The Chiefs opened up a fourteen point favorite.
Speaker 1: The line has stayed the same. Now the premise on
Speaker 1: Benny versus the Penny. We pick every game, even the
Speaker 1: bad ones, and this is a bad one. At NRG
Speaker 1: Stadium in Houston, it is a dome, and you look
Speaker 1: at some of the trends here. Double digit home underdogs
Speaker 1: are eight and ten outright over the last two seasons,
Speaker 1: thirteen and five against the spreads, so they've done very
Speaker 1: well here. Your home underdogs of double digit nature. That's
Speaker 1: one of the reasons we always always, almost always take
Speaker 1: home dogs when you get them. Very rarely do you
Speaker 1: get a double digit home underdog. Home underdogs of thirteen
Speaker 1: points or higher are eight and one against the spread
Speaker 1: over the last couple of years here, So that bodes
Speaker 1: well for Houston and this is something that Texans are
Speaker 1: used to, Danny, this will be the game. The morbid
Speaker 1: Texans have been a double digit underdog since the start
Speaker 1: of last season. That is six more than any other
Speaker 1: team in professional football in Houston, four and one against
Speaker 1: the spread the last five as a double digit underdog.
Speaker 1: We're gonna continue that. We go with the Texas here.
Speaker 1: I just simply don't trust the Chiefs as a massive favorite.
Speaker 1: With their offense this year is as good as they've
Speaker 1: been at times. You saw last week against Denver. They
Speaker 1: had a twenty seven nothing lead in that game, failed
Speaker 1: to cover as eight and a half point favorites loud
Speaker 1: le Broncos to get back in the game. And if
Speaker 1: it wasn't for a Russell Wilson injury, you play the
Speaker 1: KULDO would have shouldar Denver might have actually won that game.
Speaker 1: The Texans, i imagine, will be flat to start this game.
Speaker 1: They gagged away a winnable game against the Cowboys last week.
Speaker 1: They've lost Damian Pierce to start running back, several key
Speaker 1: players out with injury. It doesn't matter like the backups
Speaker 1: are much worse than the starters. When you're getting fourteen points,
Speaker 1: you always have that backdoor cover as we've we've seen
Speaker 1: here and Davis Mills, who's under center, make a couple
Speaker 1: of plays here and they're all you need is a
Speaker 1: couple of touchdown drives. Most likely that'll be enough to
Speaker 1: cover the spread. And I believe the Texans get that
Speaker 1: done here. We're going with Houston plus the points. Chiefs
Speaker 1: will win the game, Texans will win the money, Chiefs
Speaker 1: thirty one, Texans twenty the final and the penny says
Speaker 1: you're crazy, Chief spit all right? Well, back to back
Speaker 1: to the jungle we go here and the football picking jungle.
Speaker 1: We'll go to Chicago. How about that? Philadelphia twelve and
Speaker 1: one at Chicago three and ten. It's on Fox with
Speaker 1: Joe Davis and Darryl Johnson's they come together for this broadcast.
Speaker 1: The Eagles opened a nine point favorite, and they're still
Speaker 1: favored by nine and most everyone thinking again, this is
Speaker 1: free money. Just line up, bet on the Eagles, and
Speaker 1: you're guaranteed to make a profit. And they haven't been
Speaker 1: wrong very often this year. At Soldier Field, temperatures in
Speaker 1: the twenties, but no snow in the forecast at least
Speaker 1: at kickoff. Chicago all in four against the spread their
Speaker 1: last four games, Philadelphia three and oh against the number
Speaker 1: of their last three. Justin fields terrible as a home
Speaker 1: underdog in his brief career two and six as he
Speaker 1: tries to spin the Bears out of the grave, which
Speaker 1: they've been in much of the season. In much of
Speaker 1: the last several years, Chicago has not been an eight
Speaker 1: point home underdog since way back in I barely remember that.
Speaker 1: That's so long ago. We're gonna take the Bears in
Speaker 1: this game, Why, well, we're probably idiots, but we're gonna
Speaker 1: do it any way. The Bears, everyone's expecting them to
Speaker 1: be roasted. And I always love to go on the
Speaker 1: other side of the public. When the public is going
Speaker 1: one direction, I want to go the other direction. It's
Speaker 1: kind of like being stuck in gridlocked traffic. If you
Speaker 1: could go the other way and get out of traffic,
Speaker 1: wouldn't you do it, of course you would, all right,
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take Chicago over Philly. Philly has been
Speaker 1: in an absolute wagon here. I can give you all
Speaker 1: kinds of numbers. Jalen Hurst looks like Conan the Barbarian
Speaker 1: here and an unorthodox Birds offense has been working. But
Speaker 1: you're looking for weaknesses. My roots are to take underdogs.
Speaker 1: The value was on the side of Chicago getting over
Speaker 1: a touchdown. Mentioned the stat earlier on home underdogs. How
Speaker 1: good home dogs have been very profitable for those of
Speaker 1: us like to wager on these games. And Philadelphia, the
Speaker 1: one week spot they appear to have is their run
Speaker 1: defense on the road. This year their twenty second in
Speaker 1: the league in run defense. And what's the one thing
Speaker 1: the Bears can do? That's right, they can run the
Speaker 1: ball with justin fields and the helter skelter approach. So
Speaker 1: all he needs a couple of plays here and there
Speaker 1: we'll get that. Eagles win the game, Bears win the bat,
Speaker 1: Eagles thirty Bears twenty three, the final and the penny
Speaker 1: cheating off your paper here. Going with Chicago. There's no
Speaker 1: question the deep dish pizza of Chicago. Love that deep
Speaker 1: dish pizza. I'm piste off. I didn't eat that when
Speaker 1: I was younger. It's so good, but your stomach is
Speaker 1: so full afterwards. That's all right, at least I didn't
Speaker 1: want I told it so far. I didn't want it
Speaker 1: when I was a kid because it had the tomato
Speaker 1: sauce on top. I said, who would eat that? But
Speaker 1: then I realized I was like, wait a minute, they
Speaker 1: just reversed, So big deal, all right? Now? Next up
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh at Carolina on CBS with Greg Gumbel and Adam Marceletta.
Speaker 1: Now this is quite the line change. The Steelers opened
Speaker 1: up a three point favorite the Panthers. Carolina currently favored
Speaker 1: by three, so the whole team favorite by three. The
Speaker 1: money is pretty even on this at Bank of America
Speaker 1: Stadium in Charlotte and Carolina. They have lost the eight
Speaker 1: straight games outright as a favorite. That is one shy
Speaker 1: of the longest streak in the Super Bowl era. So
Speaker 1: this has not been going well for them. You gotta
Speaker 1: go all the way back to nineteen seventy nine the
Speaker 1: Seattle Seahawks, who were in the NFC at the time.
Speaker 1: The last time a team lost eight nine straight, nine
Speaker 1: straight as a favorite, Carolina. They have covered four straight
Speaker 1: games here of late. Both of these teams actually have
Speaker 1: done very well against teams that have a losing record.
Speaker 1: They have the same record at five and eight. We've
Speaker 1: we've gone back and forth. This is not one of
Speaker 1: those games that's a fifty fifty game for us, So
Speaker 1: it's really more for the penny than us. But we're
Speaker 1: we're locked in on the Pittsburgh steers. Now again, we
Speaker 1: originally like Carolina. I'll tell you why I'm going with
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh here. This line movement. The Panthers played very well
Speaker 1: in Seattle, it played well lately, but we like that
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh defense to slow down the running game, which is
Speaker 1: really the secret ingredient for Carolina and on offense. With Pittsburgh,
Speaker 1: it's a bit of a crapshoot because Kenny pick it
Speaker 1: likely out. If he cannot go, it's either gonna be
Speaker 1: Mitch Drabinsky or Mason Rudolf. Did you see Deonte Johnson
Speaker 1: this week? The white out in Pittsburgh said I want
Speaker 1: Mason Rudolph. That's not exactly a vote of confidence for
Speaker 1: Mr Robinsky. But either way, this could be an ugly game,
Speaker 1: not a lot of points a lot of punts, turnovers, penalties,
Speaker 1: that kind of matchup. Steelers find a way for Mike
Speaker 1: Tomlin to keep the dream alive of not finishing under five.
Speaker 1: They cannot lose another game this season. The Steelers are otherwise,
Speaker 1: They're guaranteed to finish under five hundred. Pittsburgh seventeen, Carolina
Speaker 1: thirteen the final and the penny says you're tripping. The
Speaker 1: Panthers are gonna claw their way to a victory. No,
Speaker 1: not gonna happen, all right. Next up, the last game
Speaker 1: in the early television window, Dallas ten and three at
Speaker 1: Jacksonville five and eight. It's on Fox with Kevin Burkhardt
Speaker 1: and Greg Olsen the A team as they get her
Speaker 1: done in the broadcast booth. The Cowboys opened up a
Speaker 1: six point favorite. They are currently favorite by four in
Speaker 1: Jacksonville a t i A A bank Field NICs Corporately
Speaker 1: named Stadium, and the temperatures will be mild in Jacksonville, Florida,
Speaker 1: but sunny at kickoff. The money is pretty even on
Speaker 1: this game. Jacksonville three and oh outright at home as
Speaker 1: a underdog this season, but Dallas six and one against
Speaker 1: the spread as a road favorite. Since the start of
Speaker 1: last season. We have the mother of all trends on
Speaker 1: this game. Jacksonville oh in ten against the spread their
Speaker 1: last ten against NFC teams. They're two and eighteen against
Speaker 1: the spread their last twenty games against out of conference
Speaker 1: NFC opponents. And so that that does not but well,
Speaker 1: the ten game losing streak the longest against the NFC
Speaker 1: by any team since the merger in nineteen seventies. So
Speaker 1: that's over fifty years of of football. We say that
Speaker 1: ends here onwards and upwards. You're gonna go with Jacksonville.
Speaker 1: We're going with Jacksonville. The Jacks have been a bit
Speaker 1: like the Chargers of the East Coast. When you expect
Speaker 1: them to do well, they let you down. When you
Speaker 1: think they won't get or done, they rise up. Last
Speaker 1: week they were given a gift, as the Tennessee Titans said,
Speaker 1: fumba uh, and they gave the ball away multiple times,
Speaker 1: helping Jacksonville end up winning that game. But we are
Speaker 1: advocates all of a sudden, Trevor Lawrence. He's the better
Speaker 1: quarterback in this game. The last month. Trevor Lawrence ten touchdowns,
Speaker 1: no interceptions. The key here for Jacksonville, though, as with
Speaker 1: everyone that plays the Cowboys. This is not brain surgery,
Speaker 1: this is not programming the internet. It's run defense, keep
Speaker 1: it simple, stupid, the kiss method and Jacksonville there ranked
Speaker 1: Danny in the NFL against the run. They've been better
Speaker 1: on the road than they have at home, so that
Speaker 1: is a factor here. But if you can just merely
Speaker 1: trip up that great running game with Pollard and Elliott
Speaker 1: and forced Dak Prescott to make plays, that does not
Speaker 1: vote well for the Cowboys getting over a field goal
Speaker 1: with a home dog against a shaky Cowboy team. I'm
Speaker 1: comfortable with taking Jacksonville despite their recent problems against the
Speaker 1: spread against the NFC. I say Jacksonville wins this game
Speaker 1: out right. Jags thirty three and the Cowboys thirty. The
Speaker 1: fine all and the penny says, nope, you're a prisoner
Speaker 1: of the moment going with the Cowboys. I love when
Speaker 1: the Cowboys lose and then Jerry Jones has his State
Speaker 1: of the Cowboys address after the games on Sunday. It's
Speaker 1: so good, it's so it's so I admit it's just
Speaker 1: lazy radio because it's just Jerry freaking out. Everyone's freaking
Speaker 1: out around the Cowboys. It's wonderful. Let's get to the
Speaker 1: late TV windows. We continue on Benny versus the Penny
Speaker 1: of Late Television Window Arizona four and nine at Denver
Speaker 1: three in tenants on Fox. Our friend Chris Myers, part
Speaker 1: of the FSR Alumni Association, and Robert Smith the Old
Speaker 1: Viking have the call. Broncos opened a one point favorite.
Speaker 1: They are currently favored by three and I don't quite
Speaker 1: get this at all. And empower field that mile high,
Speaker 1: temperatures in the thirties, Denver, oh and four this season
Speaker 1: as a favorite. Cliff King's are in the Cardinals. They've
Speaker 1: been great as a road underdog. The numbers are ridiculous,
Speaker 1: sixteen five and one against the spread as a road
Speaker 1: dog nine and one since the start of last season.
Speaker 1: We're taking the Cardinals in This game should be played
Speaker 1: in a looney ben. You've got dysfunction junction, what's your function?
Speaker 1: A lot of bitterness on both sides here, and you've
Speaker 1: got the Broncos who are running in circles with Nathaniel Hackett.
Speaker 1: You've got the Cardinals who are falling apart there without
Speaker 1: Kyler Murray the rest of the year and then next year.
Speaker 1: And it appears the Broncos will likely be without Russell
Speaker 1: Wilson at the time we are talking here, Danny g
Speaker 1: Russ in the concussion protocol, it's still up in the
Speaker 1: air whether or not he's going to play or not.
Speaker 1: If he is going to play, how good will he be?
Speaker 1: And if he's not gonna play, You've got Brett Rippon
Speaker 1: a tomato can as the backup. I'd rather have his dad,
Speaker 1: who's really old at this point, Mark RiPP and then Bret.
Speaker 1: His dad is is with his uncle, uncle, his uncle.
Speaker 1: But to anyway, listen, Arizona Colt McCoy not good, but
Speaker 1: he's the better quarterback in this game. Denver also may
Speaker 1: end up having five starters, five starters out of the
Speaker 1: all twenty two out with injury. The Cardinals are the
Speaker 1: healthier team even with Kyler Murray being out. We'll take
Speaker 1: Arizona twenty and the Broncos sixteen. And the penny just
Speaker 1: landed in a little puddle on the table here. I
Speaker 1: think that means it just wants to stay out of
Speaker 1: this game. But it landed on heads. That means the Broncos. Alright, Broncos,
Speaker 1: it is so we disagree on that game, and the
Speaker 1: next up we move on to Los Angeles or in
Speaker 1: the hood up to No Good and Inglewood. It's So
Speaker 1: five Stadium, Tennessee seven and six the Chargers All seven
Speaker 1: and six on CBS with Andrew Catalan and James Lofton.
Speaker 1: Chargers opened up a one and a half point favorite.
Speaker 1: They are favored by three in this game l A
Speaker 1: oh and three against the spread. Their last three is
Speaker 1: a home favorite, and since they moved from San Diego
Speaker 1: to l A, the Chargers are eleven games under five
Speaker 1: hundred as a home favorite. Justin Herbert, who's been so
Speaker 1: good statistically, he's been terrible, seems to be caught completely
Speaker 1: unaware when the Chargers are favored by three or more points.
Speaker 1: So we're gonna take the Tennessee Titans in this game.
Speaker 1: Last week was an absolute boondoggle for Tennessee. This is
Speaker 1: a chance to save their season. They gave the game
Speaker 1: away against Jacksonville, as we mentioned earlier, and they had
Speaker 1: butter fingers in that game. We assume Mike Rabel's not
Speaker 1: gonna take stupid pills here like the Dolphins did last
Speaker 1: week where they went away from the running game. The
Speaker 1: Chargers blow at stopping the run. Their over all against
Speaker 1: the run. I'm pretty sure Danny g could average about
Speaker 1: six yards per carry against this defense. Uh And and overall,
Speaker 1: the NFL teams against the Chargers are getting five point
Speaker 1: four yards per carrey. That's the worst per carry run
Speaker 1: defense in the NFL. We're taking the Titans. Remember the
Speaker 1: Titans bounced back game here with Mike Rabol has been
Speaker 1: so good as an underdog. Titans twenty six, Chargers twenty three.
Speaker 1: And the Penny agrees with you on this one. Going
Speaker 1: with the Titans al right. Next up Cincinnati nine and
Speaker 1: four at Tampa Bay six and sevens on CBS. This
Speaker 1: is big game for CBS, Jim Nance and Tony Romo.
Speaker 1: The Bengals opened up a two an a half point favorite,
Speaker 1: their favorite by three and a half at Raymond James Stadium.
Speaker 1: Most everyone and their mother betting on the Bengals eight
Speaker 1: six percent Cincinnati, why not? There? Ten and one against
Speaker 1: the spread the last eleven That is the number one
Speaker 1: record in the NFL. Over the last eleven weeks, Cincinnati
Speaker 1: has covered five straight games, one more cover If they
Speaker 1: cover the spread this week, that will be the longest
Speaker 1: stretch for the Bengals going all the way back to
Speaker 1: nineteen three. Holy crap, uh, that's a long time ago.
Speaker 1: So that's that's how long we have to go back.
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay has been dreadful. Their one nine and one
Speaker 1: against the spread in their last eleven games. That is
Speaker 1: the worst record in the NFL. Holy Tom Brady in
Speaker 1: that span, we're taking the Bengals. Call us a sucker.
Speaker 1: I don't care. I realized Joe Burrow has a tender elbow,
Speaker 1: and there's several receivers that are either in gonna miss
Speaker 1: this game or play and not be But Tampa Bay
Speaker 1: is so bad they are not worth a penny. They're
Speaker 1: not They're not even worth a penny the way they
Speaker 1: played here. And you look at Burrow in the Bengals,
Speaker 1: and then if you'd imagine in your head that cartoon
Speaker 1: bubble in your head, Cincinnati on offense is like a flamethrower.
Speaker 1: The Buccaneers are like a cigarette lighter that's running out
Speaker 1: of fuel. It's a huge mismatch, and I'm a little
Speaker 1: concerned because I'm on the side of the public, and
Speaker 1: you never want to be on the side of the public,
Speaker 1: cause I've said many times, but I've looked at the numbers.
Speaker 1: I've looked at everything, and I outside of Burrow throwing
Speaker 1: three interceptions or running back fumbling and a key injury,
Speaker 1: I just don't see a scenario where this game is
Speaker 1: even close in the fourth quarter. Bengals thirty six bucks
Speaker 1: seventeen the final penny. Agreeing with you again, going with
Speaker 1: the Bengals, al right. Next up, we've got New England
Speaker 1: seven and six at Las Vegas five and eight. It's
Speaker 1: on Fox. Kenny Albert and Jonathan Vilma have the call Friends. Uh.
Speaker 1: Kenny Albert is a friend of the the radio show
Speaker 1: The Raiders. Your Raiders, Danny opened up a two point favorite.
Speaker 1: They're favored by one and a half at Allegiance Stadium.
Speaker 1: Be sunny fifty degrees, Danny, so make sure you bring
Speaker 1: a sweater fifty degrees there in Vegas at kickoff. Most
Speaker 1: people betting on the Raiders in this game. Some of
Speaker 1: the numbers leading into this New England has covered four
Speaker 1: straight games as a favorite. The Raiders have covered three
Speaker 1: straight games as an underdog. But remember the Raiders are
Speaker 1: favorite in this game. It's a small line. New England
Speaker 1: four and one against the spread their last five on
Speaker 1: the road. We are going to take the Patriots in
Speaker 1: this game, Sorry, Danny new England staying out west. They
Speaker 1: were in Tucson after they beat the Cardinals on the
Speaker 1: Monday night game. Now they go against the Raiders, who
Speaker 1: had the game in their back pocket till they shipped
Speaker 1: the bed Danny against the Rams there they decided to
Speaker 1: gargle with Bleach in the late stage of that game.
Speaker 1: What is your opinion of that past that Derek Carr threw?
Speaker 1: You want to give your opinion on that, the woggling past.
Speaker 1: It's pretty bad when Brock Purdy is throwing dimes and
Speaker 1: meanwhile Derek Carr in Vegas is falling on his face. Yeah,
Speaker 1: Brock Purty, is this this can't last? I mean, this
Speaker 1: is like Kurt Warner type stuff, Tom Brady like stuff.
Speaker 1: This is insane what he's been doing here is But anyway,
Speaker 1: and this is about the Raider game. So I'm taking
Speaker 1: the Patriots. As I said, one of the main elements
Speaker 1: I looked at is okay, Bill Belichick's defensive mind against
Speaker 1: Derek Carr. Derek Carr gets confused about when he plays
Speaker 1: mediocre defenses. The Patriots have a top notch defense, that's
Speaker 1: the top unit on this field on Sunday, and in
Speaker 1: his career, Cars played Belichick three times oh and three.
Speaker 1: In his career, his passer rating is below eighty one
Speaker 1: against Patriot defenses. Now we should also mention that Josh
Speaker 1: McDaniels knows where all the bodies are buried in New England.
Speaker 1: He's he's the secret keeper for Bill Belichick. He knows
Speaker 1: all of the weak spots for Mac Jones. The question
Speaker 1: is whether or not the Raiders are good enough on
Speaker 1: defense to execute the game plan. And you also wonder
Speaker 1: the mental aspect of this because that lost too the
Speaker 1: Rams for all intensive purposes, slam the door shut on
Speaker 1: any realistic bid for the playoffs for the Raiders. So
Speaker 1: do they come back here completely flat? I'm gonna take
Speaker 1: the Patriots twenty eight and the Raiders sixteen the final
Speaker 1: and the penny also going with the cheat triots. It's
Speaker 1: all right, Ben, Raider fans are used to it, Raider
Speaker 1: Nation versus the world. All right now, Dan, I've got
Speaker 1: a homework assignment before you remember when you go to
Speaker 1: the Raider game. I need documentation, cell phone photos. I
Speaker 1: want to know the price of a hot dog, a beer, nachos, merchandise.
Speaker 1: I want all of the information. Okay, so just who
Speaker 1: we're on the same wavelength. I just want to know.
Speaker 1: I want to give you if and I've never been
Speaker 1: to Allegiance Stadium. I've driven by it every time you
Speaker 1: go to Vegas. You drive right by it on your
Speaker 1: way to the strip when you come from l A.
Speaker 1: So I want to I want to hear every detail.
Speaker 1: I want to hear how that you know they have
Speaker 1: good toilet paper in the bathrooms. Is it like Costco
Speaker 1: toilet papers? It crappy toilet paper. I wanna hear everything.
Speaker 1: Start with the alcohol and work my way down exactly
Speaker 1: the trickle down. In fact, all right, we got two
Speaker 1: games left. Let's get to it. Sunday night football, the
Speaker 1: Giants at seven five and one and the Washington football
Speaker 1: team at seven five and one on and Be you
Speaker 1: see the Peacock well not actually Peacock streaming service, the
Speaker 1: real Big NBC. Mike Tariko and Chris Collinsworth have the call.
Speaker 1: The Commanders opened up a four point favorite. They are
Speaker 1: favored by four and a half. Sunny temperatures actually not
Speaker 1: sunny because this is a night game, so I don't
Speaker 1: think it'll be sunny at kickoff. But Tempers in the
Speaker 1: twenties at FedEx Field in the Greater Washington, d C. Area.
Speaker 1: In land Over, Maryland, Washington six one and one against
Speaker 1: the spread their last eight games. Nine of Washington's last
Speaker 1: eleven games have gone under the expected total, so they've
Speaker 1: usually played plenty low scoring games over the last couple
Speaker 1: of months. We're gonna take the Giants in this game.
Speaker 1: We're betting a trend. It's been a roller coaster ride
Speaker 1: for both of these teams of Washington historically, going back
Speaker 1: for over a decade fifteen years, Washington thirteen twenty eight
Speaker 1: and two against the spread in prime time games. They've
Speaker 1: actually done better this year. This game flexed It was
Speaker 1: supposed to be a day game. It was flexed out.
Speaker 1: The Raiders Patriots game was supposed to be the game.
Speaker 1: This was supposed to be the prime time here, but
Speaker 1: instead Giants and Washington that East Coast bias. Washington had
Speaker 1: been on the come, as they say in poker. But
Speaker 1: again the game against the Giants, they that was the
Speaker 1: last game they play. It's very odd a quirk in
Speaker 1: the schedule. These teams played, had a bye week, and
Speaker 1: now they're back at it playing each other again. Washington
Speaker 1: would tend nothing leading that game the gym in taking
Speaker 1: advantage of a Taylor Heineke Ill advised pass. Now. In theory,
Speaker 1: this should be an easy game for Washington. They can
Speaker 1: run the ball with Brian Robinson and Antonio Gibson, run right,
Speaker 1: left and center. They can gut absolutely gut that Giants
Speaker 1: defense like a fish. Uh And and they did that
Speaker 1: in week thirteen, they still ended up in a tie.
Speaker 1: I'm going the other way though, I'm gonna take the
Speaker 1: Giants here. And not that I love Danny Dimes, I
Speaker 1: don't the guys. He's a bombom. The guys a bombom,
Speaker 1: as Joean Rhode Island would say. But divisional game. These
Speaker 1: teams just play. They know each other both. Coming off
Speaker 1: a by, Giants should be able to move the ball
Speaker 1: on the ground with their running game. Commanders twenty seven,
Speaker 1: Giants twenty four. The final within that four and a
Speaker 1: half point cushion, the penny go in the other direction.
Speaker 1: Commandos are going to be in the wind column here alright.
Speaker 1: Next up, the last game on the card. We save
Speaker 1: this turn for the very in Monday night football. Yeah,
Speaker 1: all I am as I honor past summer All four
Speaker 1: and nine, green Bay five and eight. It is on
Speaker 1: EESPN with Joe Buck and Troy Aikman, the sellout broadcasters
Speaker 1: over there to ESPN. Good for them. Packers opened up
Speaker 1: a nine and a half point favorite, green Bay favorite
Speaker 1: by seven at lambo Field and old a forecast. It
Speaker 1: is going to be no snow, but the forecast calls
Speaker 1: for a high of nine degrees that kick off, it'll
Speaker 1: feel like minus five. I might have to text my
Speaker 1: brother say, hey, how's that heater working. My brother lives
Speaker 1: about thirty miles away from lambeau Field and Appleton, Wisconsin.
Speaker 1: So yikes, yikes, yikes, sikes. He likes it. I guess
Speaker 1: he lived there for several years. Uh So, I'm gonna
Speaker 1: take the Rams in this game. And here's my my logic. Mind,
Speaker 1: I'm not confident that Baker Mayfield is gonna play well.
Speaker 1: Here's the rub on this. And you saw this Danny
Speaker 1: last week. Baker didn't play well for about eighty five
Speaker 1: nine of that game against the Raiders. He was zonked
Speaker 1: most of the game and it wasn't until that late
Speaker 1: fourth quarter storybook finish that turned everything around. It's like
Speaker 1: not how you started telling you finished right and that
Speaker 1: whole thing. But he was bad most of the game.
Speaker 1: He should be better here because he's actually had some
Speaker 1: practice time. You would assume the Rams have started to
Speaker 1: show a little bit of a pulse. They've come out
Speaker 1: of the coma they've been in. And the main thinking,
Speaker 1: you know, the main point on this game is that
Speaker 1: these teams are pretty similar. They're they're both mediocre. Uh,
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers is not the same Aaron Rodgers. They don't
Speaker 1: have the playmakers they have and this is way too
Speaker 1: many points. The package should not be favored by seven.
Speaker 1: I get the whole frozen tundra nonsense and all that.
Speaker 1: And I have seen plenty of RAM teams over the
Speaker 1: years turned into icicles when they go to cold weather.
Speaker 1: It's one of the nightmares of being a fan of
Speaker 1: a West Coast team. They just can't handle the cold weather.
Speaker 1: I'm like, what's the big deal. I got to a
Speaker 1: cold wed I put an extra sweater on. It's no
Speaker 1: big deal. These a holes going the cold weather and
Speaker 1: they freeze their ass off. So Packers twenty Rams sixteen
Speaker 1: the final and the penny going with your Rams. Okay,
Speaker 1: So we agree on that, and that is the full
Speaker 1: Monty no days off in the NFL, no buys this week,
Speaker 1: so we had a full card and enjoy, enjoy all
Speaker 1: the games coming up tomorrow on Saturday and then again
Speaker 1: on Sunday. And if you're listening to this podcast on Sunday,
Speaker 1: just fast forward. I probably should have said this earlier,
Speaker 1: but just fast you probably should have already fast forward
Speaker 1: through the games that already we're playing. Yes, it works easy, peasy,
Speaker 1: I think peasy japanesey. No, I can't say that. And
Speaker 1: when that's offensive, you could. You could have said that
Speaker 1: up until about seven years ago. I don't. Hey, by
Speaker 1: the way, on the Saturday podcast, it's gonna be a
Speaker 1: Ben Maller exclusive, is that right? I don't know how much.
Speaker 1: Al right, Wow, a Mallard podcast exclusive. You'll only hear
Speaker 1: that content here. We don't even know what it is.
Speaker 1: I have a great rest of your Friday, and and
Speaker 1: don't forget all weekend long. We got your cover right
Speaker 1: here in the podcast. Do Joe will catch you next
Speaker 1: time later. Skater population