WEBVTT - The Fifth Hour: BENNY VS. THE PENNY (Week 15) 0:00:00.680 --> 0:00:05.440 Kaboom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes a 0:00:05.480 --> 0:00:09.240 week was enough, think again. He's the last remnants of 0:00:09.280 --> 0:00:12.920 the Old Republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He treats 0:00:12.960 --> 0:00:15.800 crackheads in the ghetto Cutter the same as the rich 0:00:15.840 --> 0:00:20.200 pill poppers in the penthouse. The Clearinghouse of Hot Takes 0:00:20.280 --> 0:00:24.080 break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with Ben 0:00:24.120 --> 0:00:33.160 Maller starts right now in the air everywhere and back 0:00:33.320 --> 0:00:38.559 at it on a Friday. It's a football Fiesta on 0:00:38.680 --> 0:00:42.760 the Fifth Hour with Ben Maller and Danny g Radio 0:00:43.880 --> 0:00:48.599 in the podcast do Jo and Danny yet again repping 0:00:48.840 --> 0:00:54.000 the voice of the Penny right over there. And I'm 0:00:54.040 --> 0:00:58.200 extra hype for NFL football this weekend because Sunday morning, 0:00:58.720 --> 0:01:02.480 check Hot Baby, fly out of Long Beach and we 0:01:02.520 --> 0:01:05.959 are gonna land in Las Vegas lost wages as you 0:01:06.080 --> 0:01:09.120 call it, it's right. I'm gonna go to the Raiders game. 0:01:09.319 --> 0:01:13.520 Oh congratulations, that's great that you've you've been to the stadium, right, 0:01:13.520 --> 0:01:15.560 I remember you talked about you took a tour, but 0:01:15.640 --> 0:01:18.920 you've not actually been to a game, right, So this 0:01:18.959 --> 0:01:22.640 would be the first experience. I told my girl. I 0:01:22.720 --> 0:01:25.319 was like, man, I can't wait for us to watch 0:01:25.319 --> 0:01:29.319 a game inside this place and sneaking that in here 0:01:29.319 --> 0:01:32.120 in the fourth quarter of the season. Now you're flying 0:01:32.160 --> 0:01:34.480 in and flying out the same day. You're spending the 0:01:34.600 --> 0:01:36.640 night like, what's the plan here? What's the plan of 0:01:36.680 --> 0:01:39.760 attack here? That's like, that's actually it's not a great game. 0:01:39.800 --> 0:01:42.759 But you see the Patriots Bill Belichick, you know that's 0:01:42.760 --> 0:01:45.959 not There are worst games to see your first Raider 0:01:46.040 --> 0:01:51.640 game exactly. Mentor versus student with Josh McDaniels taken on 0:01:51.800 --> 0:01:55.000 his old coach. There, that'll be fun time. We will 0:01:55.000 --> 0:01:59.280 have a full report, detailed minute by minute travel log 0:01:59.400 --> 0:02:05.640 Danny g travelog thakas Baby on next week's edition of 0:02:05.680 --> 0:02:08.000 The Fifth Hour. So this is the Benny Versus the 0:02:08.000 --> 0:02:10.600 Penny edition, and so we're gonna get right into it 0:02:10.840 --> 0:02:16.720 right now. Let's strike up the band, let's go. Welcome players, 0:02:16.880 --> 0:02:29.160 You're welcome. It's time now Betty versus the Penny. Alright, 0:02:29.160 --> 0:02:32.359 So before we get to the games on Sunday, actually Saturday, 0:02:32.400 --> 0:02:36.359 we got games coming up tomorrow, Sunday and Monday this weekend. 0:02:36.440 --> 0:02:39.440 No more bye weeks in the NFL. But we must 0:02:39.480 --> 0:02:43.639 look back to last week and what happened in week fourteen. 0:02:43.680 --> 0:02:45.200 Before we look ahead, you gotta go in the hot 0:02:45.200 --> 0:02:48.120 tub time machine. So now I should point out in 0:02:48.240 --> 0:02:50.200 week thirteen. So let's go all the way back to 0:02:50.240 --> 0:02:54.600 week thirteen. I had my worst week all season. I 0:02:54.639 --> 0:02:56.720 was waiting for the bottom to fall out. I was 0:02:56.800 --> 0:03:00.359 six and nine in week thirteen. The penny was also 0:03:00.480 --> 0:03:04.120 under five at seven and eight. But that was my 0:03:04.200 --> 0:03:07.520 worst week of the year. Four winning percentage in week thirteen. 0:03:07.560 --> 0:03:09.640 So how did I do last week? You asked? In 0:03:09.720 --> 0:03:13.480 week fourteen, Well, we were thirteen games on the card, 0:03:14.480 --> 0:03:17.080 and how many do you think we got? Right, Danny, 0:03:17.200 --> 0:03:20.600 And now you're representing the penny. What did the penny 0:03:20.680 --> 0:03:22.320 first and then me? Would you like would you be 0:03:22.360 --> 0:03:25.360 more comfortable with that? Let's go with the good guy first. 0:03:25.400 --> 0:03:30.440 I'm gonna say the penny got eight corrects. Well, Danny 0:03:30.480 --> 0:03:35.000 Survey says that is absolutely right. The penny went eight 0:03:35.160 --> 0:03:39.160 and five, So a winning week for the penny that 0:03:39.400 --> 0:03:42.080 had too many winning weeks this year. You got off 0:03:42.080 --> 0:03:43.680 to a good start, but as Nott had too many 0:03:43.680 --> 0:03:46.160 winning weeks. But eight and five, so a six fifteen 0:03:46.160 --> 0:03:50.040 winning percentage last week for the penny. Now the gas bag, 0:03:51.360 --> 0:03:57.000 the evil Empire. I'm gonna say you got nine corrects, Danny, 0:03:57.960 --> 0:04:02.600 that is incorrect. I went hen in three again. That 0:04:02.760 --> 0:04:05.600 is my top record as far as winning percentage is 0:04:05.600 --> 0:04:09.560 concerned in the NFL. And I believe that is now 0:04:09.640 --> 0:04:12.839 my sixth week out of fourteen where I've gotten ten 0:04:12.880 --> 0:04:15.560 of the picks right on the card. So let me 0:04:15.840 --> 0:04:18.200 take a victory lap here, which means I will go 0:04:18.360 --> 0:04:21.440 terrible this week, but no, I'm I'm very happy with that. 0:04:21.520 --> 0:04:26.359 So overall, now we crunch, Hey, how there you? I 0:04:26.440 --> 0:04:30.520 had a big meal. So overall on the season total, 0:04:30.600 --> 0:04:33.839 and this is documented by Roscoe the Parent and David 0:04:33.839 --> 0:04:37.320 in winter Park, Florida and Robin Vegas and other a 0:04:37.480 --> 0:04:39.440 holes that keep track of all these picks to make 0:04:39.480 --> 0:04:42.960 sure I'm not lying and everything's recorded for posterity sake 0:04:43.000 --> 0:04:46.800 on the podcast. So overall, hundred and twenty two wins, 0:04:46.800 --> 0:04:49.920 eight one losses, and five ties on the year. That's 0:04:50.240 --> 0:04:54.279 a six oh one winning percentage of the penny night 0:04:54.560 --> 0:04:58.520 one oh seven and three of four seventy eight winning percentage. 0:04:58.839 --> 0:05:03.840 So for this to be an amazing, crazy full season football, 0:05:03.880 --> 0:05:05.359 we somehow have to find a way to get to 0:05:05.400 --> 0:05:08.799 the penny to go to five. The pennies nine games 0:05:08.839 --> 0:05:11.359 under five. Right now, in theory, you flip the penny 0:05:11.440 --> 0:05:15.120 up enough, it should be fifty fifty. It's nine under, 0:05:15.279 --> 0:05:17.040 so that would mean the penny is gonna finish the 0:05:17.080 --> 0:05:20.640 season the last month or so very strong. So we'll 0:05:20.640 --> 0:05:22.360 see how that goes. But let's get to the games. 0:05:22.400 --> 0:05:26.200 Are you ready? Let's do it. So if you're just 0:05:26.440 --> 0:05:29.440 new to this, the home team is heads, the road 0:05:29.520 --> 0:05:33.920 team is tails, and you travel on your behind planes, trains, 0:05:33.920 --> 0:05:35.760 and automobiles. So that's how we do it. The whole 0:05:35.760 --> 0:05:39.200 bit is man versus an animate object, and I I'm 0:05:39.240 --> 0:05:41.680 a loser. I crunch all the numbers, look at all 0:05:41.720 --> 0:05:43.920 the trends, and then the penny just flips it up 0:05:43.920 --> 0:05:46.599 and we see who does better. So start with the 0:05:46.640 --> 0:05:50.280 games coming up on Saturday, Saturday, Saturday, So we got 0:05:50.279 --> 0:05:54.560 football tomorrow, triple header on a Saturday, will start out 0:05:55.120 --> 0:05:58.920 at First Energy Stadium in the Land Baltimore nine and four, 0:05:59.040 --> 0:06:01.799 Cleveland five and A. If you look at the graphics 0:06:01.839 --> 0:06:03.680 on the screen there, you can see, well, actually aren't 0:06:03.680 --> 0:06:06.640 no graphics. This ain't TV, Danny, this is just radio 0:06:07.240 --> 0:06:12.400 on the NFL network. Rich Eisen former premier Networks. I 0:06:12.560 --> 0:06:16.640 Heart Guy and Kurt Warner have the call. Brown's open 0:06:16.680 --> 0:06:20.279 at three point favorite. They were favored by three at 0:06:20.320 --> 0:06:24.320 this point. The money's pretty even. There's a forecast of 0:06:24.560 --> 0:06:29.200 light snow, some light flurries, temperatures in the low thirties 0:06:29.680 --> 0:06:34.960 at kickoff in afternoon game in northern Ohio. We are 0:06:35.000 --> 0:06:38.120 gonna take the Ravens in this game. You look at 0:06:38.160 --> 0:06:41.560 the trends and not a huge trends Guy Baltimore without 0:06:41.680 --> 0:06:46.719 Lamar Jackson, it hasn't really mattered when Jackson's been out. 0:06:46.920 --> 0:06:49.000 They've still been able to hold their own there. And 0:06:49.360 --> 0:06:52.800 this is more of a bet against Cleveland. Kevin Stefanski 0:06:52.880 --> 0:06:56.039 and the Brownies with him as coach, nine and seventeen 0:06:56.040 --> 0:06:57.839 against the spread as a favorite. So they have not 0:06:57.920 --> 0:07:01.400 lived up the expectations that Deshaun Watts and the creepy 0:07:01.480 --> 0:07:04.400 quarterback has been absolutely lousy since he came back. It's 0:07:04.440 --> 0:07:06.760 only been a couple of games here and now he 0:07:06.800 --> 0:07:11.760 goes against a blood thirsty Ravens defense and they're like piranha. 0:07:11.840 --> 0:07:14.920 They smell blood in the water here. I love that mismatch. 0:07:15.040 --> 0:07:18.200 That's the top unit Ravens over the last month at 0:07:18.200 --> 0:07:22.120 the NFL's eighth ranked defense. The Poets, they're not the 0:07:22.160 --> 0:07:24.520 dead Poets right now. Now Now on offense, they might be dead. 0:07:25.120 --> 0:07:30.920 As backup quarterback Tyler Huntley cleared the concussion protocol earlier 0:07:30.960 --> 0:07:33.000 this week, so he is going to start. He's expected 0:07:33.040 --> 0:07:36.000 to start. Cleveland's the defense is not that good. Not 0:07:36.080 --> 0:07:38.360 that Baltimore is gonna but trickate the ball up and 0:07:38.400 --> 0:07:42.920 down the field. But we are taking the Ravens twenty 0:07:43.080 --> 0:07:52.080 three and the Brownies seventeen the final, and the penny 0:07:52.400 --> 0:07:55.320 is going with Deshaun Watson and the Browns gonna rub 0:07:55.360 --> 0:07:57.480 you the right way. Ye get you down to that 0:07:57.520 --> 0:08:00.600 baby yoga post as you get all right. Next up 0:08:00.640 --> 0:08:05.080 Indianapolis four eight and one at Minnesota ten and three. 0:08:05.160 --> 0:08:10.280 It's on the NFL Network with Noah Eagle and Nate 0:08:10.400 --> 0:08:14.920 Burleson and knows the voice of the Clippers. Probably not 0:08:15.000 --> 0:08:17.120 for long. This guy is gonna he's gonna be doing 0:08:17.160 --> 0:08:21.640 network games every week. Before I son, yes, yes, I 0:08:21.720 --> 0:08:24.720 met him, and it was very it was it was 0:08:24.760 --> 0:08:27.200 cool to meet he was a good guy. But he 0:08:27.280 --> 0:08:30.000 was right out of Syracuse and he walked right off 0:08:30.040 --> 0:08:32.400 of the Syracuse campus and an NBA play by play 0:08:32.520 --> 0:08:35.680 job was insane. But he's good. I mean the guys 0:08:35.760 --> 0:08:40.280 really good. He's he's he's a doppel ganger of his daddy. 0:08:40.600 --> 0:08:42.880 And some of these guys that follow in their father's 0:08:42.880 --> 0:08:45.800 footsteps are not good. But this guy's got the the chops, 0:08:45.800 --> 0:08:50.320 he's got the the verbosity, if that's even a thing. 0:08:50.600 --> 0:08:54.000 All right. So Indianapolis and Minnesota the Vikings a four 0:08:54.080 --> 0:08:56.240 point favorite in this game. They opened it five and 0:08:56.240 --> 0:08:59.160 a half. Most of the money the handle is on 0:08:59.240 --> 0:09:03.760 Minnesota US Bank Stadium, a dome. So those of us 0:09:04.040 --> 0:09:06.760 who are have friends in Minnesota, and it's gonna be 0:09:06.800 --> 0:09:09.320 the twenties. But you don't have the way you're gonna don't. 0:09:09.360 --> 0:09:13.280 It's the weather be good inside. Minnesota. Their last five 0:09:13.360 --> 0:09:16.280 games as a favorite, their four oh and one against 0:09:16.360 --> 0:09:19.640 the spread, three and oh against the spread their last 0:09:19.640 --> 0:09:23.839 three games as a home favorite. But Indianapolis, they have 0:09:24.080 --> 0:09:27.240 been sneaky good over the years, coming off the by 0:09:27.400 --> 0:09:31.160 with different coaches. There ten games over five over the 0:09:31.240 --> 0:09:35.520 last uh, you know, last decade or so. We we 0:09:35.600 --> 0:09:37.560 are going to go. We went kind of back and 0:09:37.600 --> 0:09:41.480 forth on this, but we're gonna take the Indianapolis Colts 0:09:42.080 --> 0:09:45.400 in this game and This is one of those games 0:09:45.480 --> 0:09:47.720 where we you know, crunched the numbers, kind of went 0:09:47.760 --> 0:09:50.360 back and forth on it. The Colts is the pick here, 0:09:50.400 --> 0:09:53.720 Minnesota ten and three. They have a negative point differential, 0:09:54.440 --> 0:09:57.600 so that means they've been eating for breakfast, lucky charms. 0:09:58.200 --> 0:10:02.680 Based on the advance statistics that the nerds love so much, 0:10:03.280 --> 0:10:08.280 these teams are very similar in terms of statistical profile. 0:10:09.000 --> 0:10:11.960 Now I realized that I'm putting my faith in Matt Ryan, 0:10:12.000 --> 0:10:14.160 and I do believe he's washed up, and that scares me. 0:10:14.200 --> 0:10:16.520 Matt Ryan by himself can give a game of way. 0:10:16.559 --> 0:10:19.199 We saw that against the Cowboys. But this is an 0:10:19.200 --> 0:10:22.120 opportunity to get that bad taste out of the Colts mouth. 0:10:22.160 --> 0:10:24.440 They're not going to the playoffs. They actually still have 0:10:24.440 --> 0:10:27.120 a chance mathematically to go to the playoffs because of 0:10:27.160 --> 0:10:30.920 the division they're in. But we'll take the Vikings seven 0:10:30.960 --> 0:10:33.640 Colts twenty four. But we love that four point line 0:10:34.240 --> 0:10:37.839 in favor of Indianapolis, so we'll take the points. But 0:10:38.000 --> 0:10:45.679 Minnesota wins the game and the Penny pecks. Penny says, 0:10:45.760 --> 0:10:49.959 you're crazy. The Vikings are gonna crunch Indie. No, Yeah, 0:10:50.000 --> 0:10:52.240 the Penny's a dope. The Penny should go to bed, 0:10:52.440 --> 0:10:55.960 all right. Next up Miami eight and five at Buffalo. 0:10:56.200 --> 0:11:01.160 Here we go Buffalo at ten and three, also state 0:11:01.200 --> 0:11:05.440 sponsored NFL Network. Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez, the Fox 0:11:05.520 --> 0:11:09.720 team have the call on state sponsored NFL Network. The 0:11:09.880 --> 0:11:14.160 Bills opened up a seven and a half point favorite, 0:11:14.880 --> 0:11:19.520 and they are favored by seven. The handle is insane. 0:11:20.520 --> 0:11:24.680 A ninety percent of the money and the numbers that 0:11:24.720 --> 0:11:29.720 we have here in favor of Buffalo is the public 0:11:30.040 --> 0:11:34.240 hounding the Buffalo Bills. The forecast this is gonna be 0:11:34.320 --> 0:11:38.520 great snow game. Snow game temperatures in the twenties that 0:11:38.640 --> 0:11:42.400 kick off with the weather conditions, they're snowing throughout the 0:11:42.440 --> 0:11:46.559 game at high Mark Stadium and Orchard Park, New York. Now, 0:11:46.600 --> 0:11:48.959 if you look at the numbers on this, you'd say, no, no, no, 0:11:49.000 --> 0:11:52.800 you gotta run away from Miami. They will freeze. There 0:11:52.880 --> 0:11:57.200 took us off in this game. And since the Dolphin 0:11:57.280 --> 0:12:03.439 franchise has played seven games in temperatures forty degrees and below, 0:12:04.280 --> 0:12:08.360 they are oh and seven against the spread. In those 0:12:08.400 --> 0:12:13.520 games they've lost by an average margin of twenty one 0:12:13.600 --> 0:12:16.120 points per game, so they haven't even been closed. They 0:12:16.160 --> 0:12:20.840 were just getting smoked in these games. The trends all indicate, 0:12:20.920 --> 0:12:24.559 don't take Miami. Don't take Miami. Josh Allen six two 0:12:24.559 --> 0:12:27.520 and three against the spread at home in his career 0:12:28.040 --> 0:12:31.560 as a seven point favorite or better. I did find 0:12:31.720 --> 0:12:35.960 one positive trend if you're into such things, for Miami 0:12:36.080 --> 0:12:39.360 to a tongue of Ilo three oh and one as 0:12:39.440 --> 0:12:43.800 an underdog of at least six points in his career. 0:12:44.520 --> 0:12:47.000 So we're getting down to the home stretch here. This 0:12:47.080 --> 0:12:51.280 is a massively important game for the Miami Dolphins and Buffalo. 0:12:52.000 --> 0:12:54.960 I'm gonna take the Dolphins in this game. I'm going 0:12:55.080 --> 0:12:59.520 against the public who is convinced that this is a 0:12:59.600 --> 0:13:02.880 broken a t M machine. Danny, they're handing out cash 0:13:03.280 --> 0:13:06.280 in a snow game. Are you kidding me? Warm weather 0:13:06.440 --> 0:13:11.240 soft team from Miami, no chance, no chance that Dolphins 0:13:11.280 --> 0:13:13.559 can compete. I did like that Mike McDaniel used the 0:13:13.640 --> 0:13:17.280 Jedi mind trick this week when dealing with the the 0:13:17.320 --> 0:13:20.800 weather conditions in Buffalo. But here's the reason I liked. 0:13:20.800 --> 0:13:27.000 The Dolphins made the great equalizer injuries. The Bills have 0:13:27.200 --> 0:13:30.800 three offensive lineman who are either gonna miss this game 0:13:31.080 --> 0:13:35.920 or play and be dinged up one one is definitely out. 0:13:35.960 --> 0:13:40.920 They've got four defensive starters that are also mangled. And 0:13:41.000 --> 0:13:43.280 as good as the Bills have been this year, you 0:13:43.360 --> 0:13:45.560 gotta look at how they've done recently the last month. 0:13:45.600 --> 0:13:49.520 That number two overall offenses twenty in the NFL. You're 0:13:49.559 --> 0:13:52.520 not supposed to say that out loud, but we just did. 0:13:53.000 --> 0:13:56.440 So that knock on the door. Here is opportunity for 0:13:56.520 --> 0:14:00.560 Tyreek Hill, who was dinged up himself, but he's gonna 0:14:00.600 --> 0:14:03.800 play and to a tongue of baloa. To stop the bleeding. 0:14:03.800 --> 0:14:05.960 After back to back losses on the West coast, you 0:14:06.000 --> 0:14:08.160 go to the East coast, go back to the east, 0:14:08.400 --> 0:14:12.360 get the winds, saddle up, get or done. Dolphins twenty 0:14:12.520 --> 0:14:20.640 three and the Bills twenty the final and the third 0:14:20.720 --> 0:14:24.040 straight heads here on the table, the Penny says, the 0:14:24.080 --> 0:14:30.920 Dolphins looked just like the Seahawks. Alright, so that I 0:14:30.960 --> 0:14:33.000 was waiting for that Geno Smith to show up at 0:14:33.040 --> 0:14:37.920 the All right, let's get to the early games on Sunday, 0:14:38.000 --> 0:14:40.680 as we continue Benny versus the Penny. Wearing many hats, 0:14:40.720 --> 0:14:45.640 here the mad Hatter of sports Chatter Atlanta five and 0:14:45.720 --> 0:14:49.360 eight at Orleans four and nine. It's on Fox Adam 0:14:49.400 --> 0:14:52.360 Amen and marsh lay Rick have the call. Won't spend 0:14:52.400 --> 0:14:53.760 a lot of time in this game. The Saints of 0:14:53.840 --> 0:14:55.960 four point favor They opened it three and a half 0:14:56.000 --> 0:15:00.120 at the super Dome in the Bayou Atlanta. One in 0:15:00.240 --> 0:15:04.640 six their last seven games against the spread owen four 0:15:05.040 --> 0:15:09.440 their last four games as a dog, and oh and 0:15:09.560 --> 0:15:12.360 three in their last three road games. So things have 0:15:12.520 --> 0:15:16.200 really gone sideways here for the Falcons, who gambling wise, 0:15:16.240 --> 0:15:18.520 got off to a very good start in New Orleans 0:15:18.600 --> 0:15:21.720 has covered three straight games at home, one of those 0:15:21.760 --> 0:15:26.080 a shutout of your Raiders. Danny g not to to 0:15:26.120 --> 0:15:28.880 bring an old wound back, but I'm gonna take the 0:15:28.920 --> 0:15:32.280 Falcons in this game. Now. I don't have been punished 0:15:32.280 --> 0:15:35.080 ever since. Well, yeah, being a Saints fan is a 0:15:35.080 --> 0:15:38.400 punishment experience outside of Drew Brees for a couple of years. 0:15:38.440 --> 0:15:41.640 So we are We're gonna go with the Atlanta Falcons, 0:15:41.800 --> 0:15:46.680 hoping for beginner's luck here. As Desmond Ritter comes off 0:15:46.720 --> 0:15:50.080 the bench, the rookie, and we're counting on him not 0:15:50.240 --> 0:15:53.600 pooping the bed in this game. He doesn't have to 0:15:53.600 --> 0:15:57.440 be great. The Saints defense is devoid of a consistent 0:15:57.560 --> 0:16:02.120 pass rush, which usually means, based on my years of 0:16:02.160 --> 0:16:04.600 watching football, if you don't get to the quarterback. The quarterback, 0:16:04.920 --> 0:16:07.600 no matter whether they're young, old, and the middle doesn't matter, 0:16:07.760 --> 0:16:09.480 we'll be able to make plays there. There's gonna be 0:16:09.480 --> 0:16:13.200 opportunities for Ritter, assuming he does not have flop sweat 0:16:13.800 --> 0:16:15.960 uh and which we are making the assumption he will not. 0:16:16.200 --> 0:16:20.800 New Orleans is also weak against the run, and that's 0:16:20.800 --> 0:16:24.600 a key variable here because Atlanta they don't throw the 0:16:24.640 --> 0:16:27.520 ball that much anyway. They're gonna focus on the ground 0:16:27.560 --> 0:16:31.560 game and that's promising for the Dirty Birds. These teams 0:16:31.600 --> 0:16:36.320 are very close usually if you look at the history 0:16:36.320 --> 0:16:40.440 of the matchup, there nail biting last second games Atlanta 0:16:40.520 --> 0:16:42.760 New Orleans. Whether one of them is much better than 0:16:42.800 --> 0:16:44.480 the other, these are pretty even teams, as we said 0:16:44.520 --> 0:16:47.320 this year, so I love getting over a field goal. 0:16:47.400 --> 0:16:51.960 Most games are a field goal or less. Falcons the 0:16:52.080 --> 0:16:56.520 underdog with a rookie quarterback, get or done Falcons twenties st. 0:16:56.640 --> 0:17:04.680 Seventeen the final and finally an agreement that Penny also 0:17:04.720 --> 0:17:06.800 going with the Falcons. Al Right, we agree on that 0:17:06.840 --> 0:17:10.600 we move on Detroit six and seven, the New York 0:17:10.720 --> 0:17:14.920 Jets at seven and six on CBS with Iron Eagle 0:17:15.840 --> 0:17:18.359 and Charles Davis, a friend of the podcast. We had 0:17:18.400 --> 0:17:21.680 Charles on leading up to the NFL season. Great to 0:17:22.240 --> 0:17:24.120 have him on. I'll have him on again, I'm sure 0:17:24.160 --> 0:17:26.680 at some point down the line one of the voices 0:17:26.840 --> 0:17:30.600 of Madden Football. So the Jets opened a three point favorite. 0:17:31.119 --> 0:17:33.920 Apparently the wise guys got that number wrong, because the 0:17:34.000 --> 0:17:36.119 Jets are a one and a half point favorite. This 0:17:36.119 --> 0:17:39.520 game was actually a pick him at one point this week. 0:17:39.640 --> 0:17:43.960 The handle over eight percent of the action on the 0:17:44.119 --> 0:17:48.280 j e t s sucks, sucks, suck. Recently sucks sucks 0:17:48.280 --> 0:17:52.240 suck at MetLife Stadium, Sonny in the Tri State area, 0:17:52.280 --> 0:17:56.520 temperatures in the thirties that kick off New York. The 0:17:56.520 --> 0:17:59.399 other New York team five and all against the spread 0:17:59.400 --> 0:18:02.880 after a Law loss. But how about the Detroit Lions. 0:18:03.520 --> 0:18:05.879 Here's the mother of all trends on this game. The 0:18:06.000 --> 0:18:09.679 Lions have covered six straight games. That is the longest 0:18:09.800 --> 0:18:15.439 active streak in the NFL. Hello the Lions. The Lions 0:18:15.560 --> 0:18:17.920 are the top team for gambles. Now. That tells you 0:18:18.000 --> 0:18:20.159 what has happened, not what's going to happen. But we 0:18:20.280 --> 0:18:23.960 love us some some Dan Campbell, Dan Campbell twenty and 0:18:24.080 --> 0:18:26.960 ten against the spread. The Lions are with him as 0:18:26.960 --> 0:18:31.840 the coach, second best record in the entire league since 0:18:31.840 --> 0:18:36.399 the start of last season. And we're gonna ride that pony. 0:18:36.640 --> 0:18:38.800 We're gonna because they got rid of those pony rides 0:18:38.800 --> 0:18:40.760 in l A at Griffith Park. We're gonna ride the 0:18:40.800 --> 0:18:44.680 pony here. We're gonna take the Detroit Lions, and we're 0:18:44.680 --> 0:18:48.240 gonna piggyback on Jared Golf and the Motor City kiddies. 0:18:48.520 --> 0:18:53.840 They have been wonderful, wonderful and offense, much better on 0:18:53.880 --> 0:18:56.520 offense and comparable on defense. If you look at the 0:18:56.560 --> 0:19:00.520 side by side taste test Jets and Lions. Now, Mike 0:19:00.560 --> 0:19:04.800 White dinged up and he's been on thin ice the 0:19:04.880 --> 0:19:07.480 last two weeks against the Vikings and the Buffalo Bills. 0:19:07.480 --> 0:19:12.080 We expect more up and down play from the Jets offense. 0:19:12.119 --> 0:19:15.440 Here is Aiden Hutchinson. I say that name every week 0:19:15.480 --> 0:19:19.119 because he's that good. He deserves top billing. Here on defense, 0:19:19.200 --> 0:19:24.240 the playmaker, they're the one that is the disruptor for Detroit. 0:19:24.359 --> 0:19:26.800 And then you've got on offense, Amon ross A, Brown, 0:19:26.840 --> 0:19:30.840 DeAndre Swift and company. So we're gonna ride that out set. 0:19:30.840 --> 0:19:33.320 It will be the seventh win. The Lions will be 0:19:33.359 --> 0:19:36.920 back to five hundred on the season after fourteen games. 0:19:37.520 --> 0:19:40.920 Lions in a nail biter, twenty six, Jets twenty three 0:19:41.000 --> 0:19:48.280 the final, and the Penny says, not so fast, Mallard, 0:19:48.680 --> 0:19:52.040 Mike White and his sore ribs are gonna beat the Lions. Yeah, 0:19:52.080 --> 0:19:54.359 he'll be eating barbecue ribs after the game, is what 0:19:54.440 --> 0:19:57.440 he'll be doing, all right. That we will stay focused 0:19:57.560 --> 0:20:02.120 on the prize as we spin around to Houston, Texas, 0:20:02.160 --> 0:20:06.359 where cairnsa City ten and three at Houston one eleven 0:20:06.359 --> 0:20:11.280 and one one one one ones everywhere on CBS, Kevin 0:20:11.359 --> 0:20:13.840 Harland and Shrank Green have the call the line on 0:20:13.920 --> 0:20:18.160 this game. The Chiefs opened up a fourteen point favorite. 0:20:18.200 --> 0:20:21.920 The line has stayed the same. Now the premise on 0:20:22.000 --> 0:20:24.440 Benny versus the Penny. We pick every game, even the 0:20:24.480 --> 0:20:27.120 bad ones, and this is a bad one. At NRG 0:20:27.320 --> 0:20:30.560 Stadium in Houston, it is a dome, and you look 0:20:30.600 --> 0:20:33.400 at some of the trends here. Double digit home underdogs 0:20:33.440 --> 0:20:36.800 are eight and ten outright over the last two seasons, 0:20:37.359 --> 0:20:40.800 thirteen and five against the spreads, so they've done very 0:20:40.840 --> 0:20:44.399 well here. Your home underdogs of double digit nature. That's 0:20:44.400 --> 0:20:46.600 one of the reasons we always always, almost always take 0:20:46.680 --> 0:20:49.040 home dogs when you get them. Very rarely do you 0:20:49.080 --> 0:20:52.760 get a double digit home underdog. Home underdogs of thirteen 0:20:52.920 --> 0:20:59.479 points or higher are eight and one against the spread 0:20:59.640 --> 0:21:02.639 over the last couple of years here, So that bodes 0:21:02.680 --> 0:21:06.439 well for Houston and this is something that Texans are 0:21:06.520 --> 0:21:11.040 used to, Danny, this will be the game. The morbid 0:21:11.240 --> 0:21:13.840 Texans have been a double digit underdog since the start 0:21:13.880 --> 0:21:16.920 of last season. That is six more than any other 0:21:17.119 --> 0:21:22.800 team in professional football in Houston, four and one against 0:21:22.840 --> 0:21:24.920 the spread the last five as a double digit underdog. 0:21:24.960 --> 0:21:27.040 We're gonna continue that. We go with the Texas here. 0:21:27.400 --> 0:21:31.200 I just simply don't trust the Chiefs as a massive favorite. 0:21:31.320 --> 0:21:34.359 With their offense this year is as good as they've 0:21:34.400 --> 0:21:37.840 been at times. You saw last week against Denver. They 0:21:37.880 --> 0:21:41.320 had a twenty seven nothing lead in that game, failed 0:21:41.359 --> 0:21:43.960 to cover as eight and a half point favorites loud 0:21:44.000 --> 0:21:46.679 le Broncos to get back in the game. And if 0:21:46.720 --> 0:21:49.080 it wasn't for a Russell Wilson injury, you play the 0:21:49.280 --> 0:21:52.960 KULDO would have shouldar Denver might have actually won that game. 0:21:53.440 --> 0:21:56.560 The Texans, i imagine, will be flat to start this game. 0:21:56.640 --> 0:22:01.120 They gagged away a winnable game against the Cowboys last week. 0:22:01.480 --> 0:22:05.040 They've lost Damian Pierce to start running back, several key 0:22:05.119 --> 0:22:07.440 players out with injury. It doesn't matter like the backups 0:22:07.480 --> 0:22:11.119 are much worse than the starters. When you're getting fourteen points, 0:22:11.160 --> 0:22:14.840 you always have that backdoor cover as we've we've seen 0:22:14.960 --> 0:22:19.000 here and Davis Mills, who's under center, make a couple 0:22:19.080 --> 0:22:20.639 of plays here and they're all you need is a 0:22:20.680 --> 0:22:23.240 couple of touchdown drives. Most likely that'll be enough to 0:22:23.320 --> 0:22:25.879 cover the spread. And I believe the Texans get that 0:22:26.040 --> 0:22:28.880 done here. We're going with Houston plus the points. Chiefs 0:22:28.920 --> 0:22:31.480 will win the game, Texans will win the money, Chiefs 0:22:31.520 --> 0:22:39.280 thirty one, Texans twenty the final and the penny says 0:22:39.320 --> 0:22:43.800 you're crazy, Chief spit all right? Well, back to back 0:22:43.840 --> 0:22:48.840 to the jungle we go here and the football picking jungle. 0:22:48.920 --> 0:22:51.840 We'll go to Chicago. How about that? Philadelphia twelve and 0:22:51.920 --> 0:22:56.280 one at Chicago three and ten. It's on Fox with 0:22:56.520 --> 0:22:59.840 Joe Davis and Darryl Johnson's they come together for this broadcast. 0:22:59.880 --> 0:23:03.360 The Eagles opened a nine point favorite, and they're still 0:23:03.480 --> 0:23:07.879 favored by nine and most everyone thinking again, this is 0:23:07.960 --> 0:23:10.600 free money. Just line up, bet on the Eagles, and 0:23:10.840 --> 0:23:13.199 you're guaranteed to make a profit. And they haven't been 0:23:13.240 --> 0:23:17.080 wrong very often this year. At Soldier Field, temperatures in 0:23:17.119 --> 0:23:22.040 the twenties, but no snow in the forecast at least 0:23:22.080 --> 0:23:26.119 at kickoff. Chicago all in four against the spread their 0:23:26.200 --> 0:23:29.240 last four games, Philadelphia three and oh against the number 0:23:29.240 --> 0:23:33.120 of their last three. Justin fields terrible as a home 0:23:33.200 --> 0:23:36.680 underdog in his brief career two and six as he 0:23:36.760 --> 0:23:39.760 tries to spin the Bears out of the grave, which 0:23:39.840 --> 0:23:43.119 they've been in much of the season. In much of 0:23:43.200 --> 0:23:47.480 the last several years, Chicago has not been an eight 0:23:47.600 --> 0:23:52.600 point home underdog since way back in I barely remember that. 0:23:52.800 --> 0:23:55.560 That's so long ago. We're gonna take the Bears in 0:23:55.640 --> 0:23:59.560 this game, Why, well, we're probably idiots, but we're gonna 0:23:59.560 --> 0:24:02.000 do it any way. The Bears, everyone's expecting them to 0:24:02.080 --> 0:24:05.119 be roasted. And I always love to go on the 0:24:05.280 --> 0:24:08.360 other side of the public. When the public is going 0:24:08.480 --> 0:24:11.360 one direction, I want to go the other direction. It's 0:24:11.400 --> 0:24:13.920 kind of like being stuck in gridlocked traffic. If you 0:24:13.960 --> 0:24:16.840 could go the other way and get out of traffic, 0:24:17.280 --> 0:24:20.000 wouldn't you do it, of course you would, all right, 0:24:20.000 --> 0:24:22.600 So I'm gonna take Chicago over Philly. Philly has been 0:24:22.640 --> 0:24:24.080 in an absolute wagon here. I can give you all 0:24:24.160 --> 0:24:26.719 kinds of numbers. Jalen Hurst looks like Conan the Barbarian 0:24:26.800 --> 0:24:30.600