1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:05,080 Speaker 1: Now here's a highlight from Coast to Coast AM on iHeartRadio. Well, 2 00:00:05,120 --> 00:00:07,240 Speaker 1: welcome back to Coast to Coast George dorry with you. 3 00:00:07,640 --> 00:00:10,360 Speaker 1: We have been following, of course, the tragedy in Ethiopia 4 00:00:10,360 --> 00:00:13,280 Speaker 1: where one hundred and fifty seven people died several days 5 00:00:13,280 --> 00:00:17,119 Speaker 1: ago in that very tragic crash of the Boeing Company's 6 00:00:17,360 --> 00:00:22,200 Speaker 1: seven thirty seven Max eight. And of course what's really 7 00:00:22,239 --> 00:00:26,279 Speaker 1: got everybody concerned, of course, is because in October there 8 00:00:26,360 --> 00:00:29,760 Speaker 1: was an identical plane that crashed in the Java Sea, 9 00:00:29,880 --> 00:00:32,960 Speaker 1: killing one hundred and eighty nine people, and the crashes 10 00:00:33,159 --> 00:00:35,720 Speaker 1: seemed similar. I thought it's about time we bring back 11 00:00:35,840 --> 00:00:39,120 Speaker 1: David Sussy back to the program. David, of course as 12 00:00:39,159 --> 00:00:42,800 Speaker 1: the author of Why Planes Crash? He was born in Boulder, Colorado, 13 00:00:43,600 --> 00:00:46,360 Speaker 1: and he has traveled the world and the interest of 14 00:00:46,400 --> 00:00:50,000 Speaker 1: improving safety awareness. He worked in the cockpit, on the 15 00:00:50,080 --> 00:00:54,400 Speaker 1: hangar floor with an aviation boardrooms and inside the Washington 16 00:00:54,480 --> 00:00:58,360 Speaker 1: DC Beltway. He has seen death up close and personal. David, 17 00:00:58,440 --> 00:01:01,720 Speaker 1: and you've been at CNA on all week. David's good 18 00:01:01,720 --> 00:01:04,399 Speaker 1: to have you back. Well, thank you, George. I wish 19 00:01:04,400 --> 00:01:07,920 Speaker 1: it was for something more yeah, enlightening, but this is 20 00:01:08,240 --> 00:01:13,600 Speaker 1: a true tragedy. When I saw the similarities between the 21 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:19,000 Speaker 1: two crashes, this is even before anybody had grounded these planes, 22 00:01:19,400 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 1: I figured this is something weird. I've been someone that David, 23 00:01:22,720 --> 00:01:26,760 Speaker 1: I don't believe in coincidences. I think things happen, and 24 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:29,240 Speaker 1: when they do, you got to look at the facts 25 00:01:29,240 --> 00:01:31,600 Speaker 1: that are out there. They're way too similar. What do 26 00:01:31,640 --> 00:01:36,240 Speaker 1: you think? Oh, most definitely George. As an accident investigator, 27 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 1: which I was for sixteen years, the worst fear that 28 00:01:40,400 --> 00:01:43,959 Speaker 1: I have is basically going to the same accident seen twice. 29 00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:46,160 Speaker 1: You know, you go to one accident scene, you figure 30 00:01:46,200 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 1: out what happened to it, and you put fixes in 31 00:01:48,760 --> 00:01:51,040 Speaker 1: place to make sure it doesn't happen again. But then 32 00:01:51,080 --> 00:01:55,000 Speaker 1: when it does, it's it's doubly as tragic. It's just horrible. 33 00:01:55,040 --> 00:01:58,800 Speaker 1: And when I saw these two the data where the 34 00:01:58,840 --> 00:02:02,760 Speaker 1: angle of attack indicate. Now, this data was streamed through 35 00:02:02,800 --> 00:02:05,760 Speaker 1: the new system that we use, the ADSP system, and 36 00:02:05,840 --> 00:02:09,040 Speaker 1: so when I got what they call the high definition report, 37 00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:12,200 Speaker 1: which was within hours of the accident, I could see 38 00:02:12,200 --> 00:02:15,000 Speaker 1: clearly that this angle of attack indicator was giving so 39 00:02:15,120 --> 00:02:18,359 Speaker 1: similar readings to lion Air that it was frightening. I 40 00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:21,240 Speaker 1: knew we had to do something right away when you 41 00:02:21,280 --> 00:02:24,840 Speaker 1: put this mix. Let's just assume for a moment that 42 00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:27,840 Speaker 1: there's a software problem and Boying is trying to update 43 00:02:27,880 --> 00:02:31,120 Speaker 1: it as we speak. But there's a software problem, and 44 00:02:31,280 --> 00:02:35,120 Speaker 1: mix that in with inexperienced pilots that don't have a 45 00:02:35,160 --> 00:02:40,160 Speaker 1: lot of flying time, you got a disaster on your hands. Yeah, George, 46 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:43,919 Speaker 1: that's the case in Lion Air. But but then again 47 00:02:44,000 --> 00:02:48,000 Speaker 1: in this aircraft, in the Ethiopian aircraft, they had eight 48 00:02:48,040 --> 00:02:52,079 Speaker 1: thousand hours. So you know, in the accidents that I've investigated, 49 00:02:52,680 --> 00:02:54,840 Speaker 1: there's a thing that I refer to as the atrophy 50 00:02:54,880 --> 00:02:58,200 Speaker 1: of vigilance in the brain. And what happens is the 51 00:02:58,320 --> 00:03:02,799 Speaker 1: more confident you are, in more routine you are as 52 00:03:02,840 --> 00:03:06,440 Speaker 1: to how you do things, your brain is not capable 53 00:03:06,480 --> 00:03:10,280 Speaker 1: of understanding or becomes less capable of understanding anomalies. And 54 00:03:10,320 --> 00:03:12,639 Speaker 1: when things don't go the way you expect them to go. 55 00:03:13,160 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 1: And so even in that case, even in someone who 56 00:03:15,720 --> 00:03:18,280 Speaker 1: has that much experience, they're going to respond in the 57 00:03:18,320 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 1: way that they know innately do and the way that 58 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:25,639 Speaker 1: this software is it set them up for failure from 59 00:03:25,639 --> 00:03:29,440 Speaker 1: the very beginning for that kind of scenario to happen. 60 00:03:29,919 --> 00:03:33,160 Speaker 1: In January of two thousand and nine, a US Airbus 61 00:03:33,480 --> 00:03:37,320 Speaker 1: A three twenty tanked in the Hudson River. All one 62 00:03:37,400 --> 00:03:40,280 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty five people aboard survived because of the 63 00:03:40,320 --> 00:03:44,680 Speaker 1: incredible work of now retired Captain Sully Sellenberger. He went 64 00:03:44,760 --> 00:03:47,800 Speaker 1: online today David and said that we don't know the 65 00:03:47,880 --> 00:03:51,320 Speaker 1: cause yet of the crash, but I'm concerned about the 66 00:03:51,360 --> 00:03:56,200 Speaker 1: training of the pilots. What do you think, Well, the 67 00:03:56,240 --> 00:04:00,080 Speaker 1: training of the pilots. I think it goes further in 68 00:04:00,200 --> 00:04:04,240 Speaker 1: that though if the pilots had the information, they did 69 00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:07,760 Speaker 1: have extensive training, what was I think the mistake. As 70 00:04:07,800 --> 00:04:10,120 Speaker 1: it's a case with almost every accident I've done, the 71 00:04:10,680 --> 00:04:15,320 Speaker 1: actual risk occurs way before the accident occurs, and I 72 00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:19,600 Speaker 1: believe that the risk here started with the desire of 73 00:04:20,520 --> 00:04:24,599 Speaker 1: Boeing and the FAA to maint to come up with 74 00:04:24,600 --> 00:04:27,960 Speaker 1: a new aircraft that had new capabilities, that had bigger engines, 75 00:04:28,000 --> 00:04:32,080 Speaker 1: that had a very significantly different airplane. But what they 76 00:04:32,120 --> 00:04:34,240 Speaker 1: wanted to do was make sure that the pilots that 77 00:04:34,279 --> 00:04:37,440 Speaker 1: went from the old model seven thirty seven into the 78 00:04:37,480 --> 00:04:41,000 Speaker 1: new model seven thirty seven didn't require a lot more training. 79 00:04:41,160 --> 00:04:42,919 Speaker 1: They wanted to be able to save a lot of money, 80 00:04:42,920 --> 00:04:44,280 Speaker 1: and they wanted to be able to make it more 81 00:04:44,279 --> 00:04:48,360 Speaker 1: efficient transition to this new model airplane by saying, well, 82 00:04:48,400 --> 00:04:50,520 Speaker 1: the cockpits are the same and you fly it the 83 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 1: same way and it feels the same way, and we 84 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:55,119 Speaker 1: don't have to retrain you on a whole new type 85 00:04:55,120 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 1: of aircraft. And that's what they certified it under the 86 00:04:58,320 --> 00:05:02,520 Speaker 1: same type certificate, which is basically the approval to build 87 00:05:02,560 --> 00:05:04,919 Speaker 1: that airplane. So they started by saying, we want to 88 00:05:04,960 --> 00:05:07,240 Speaker 1: make the same type certificate, but we're going to pack 89 00:05:07,279 --> 00:05:10,200 Speaker 1: a lot more punch into this new seven thirty seven. 90 00:05:10,279 --> 00:05:13,320 Speaker 1: So I believe that's where it really started. And when 91 00:05:13,320 --> 00:05:15,599 Speaker 1: they came up with a system to make it fly 92 00:05:15,760 --> 00:05:18,560 Speaker 1: that same way so that they didn't have to retrain 93 00:05:18,640 --> 00:05:21,600 Speaker 1: pilots and go through this. They didn't tell the pilots 94 00:05:21,880 --> 00:05:24,720 Speaker 1: that there was something new about this airplane, and so 95 00:05:24,760 --> 00:05:27,080 Speaker 1: the pilot training, as good as it may have been, 96 00:05:27,720 --> 00:05:31,360 Speaker 1: didn't touch on this particular part of the aircraft, which 97 00:05:31,400 --> 00:05:35,080 Speaker 1: is which is the IMCAST is what it's referred to as. 98 00:05:35,360 --> 00:05:40,039 Speaker 1: That's the Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System, A big name for 99 00:05:40,080 --> 00:05:42,880 Speaker 1: a simple thing. It just makes sure the airplane fly straight. Really, 100 00:05:43,240 --> 00:05:47,279 Speaker 1: We've got some video simulation of the Ethiopian crash on 101 00:05:47,320 --> 00:05:50,080 Speaker 1: the Coast to Coast dot com website in the highlight reel. 102 00:05:50,080 --> 00:05:52,359 Speaker 1: But I want to warn everybody it is kind of 103 00:05:52,400 --> 00:05:56,280 Speaker 1: emotional towards the end. It's video simulation. It is not 104 00:05:56,400 --> 00:05:59,440 Speaker 1: actually what happened during the crash. It is just a 105 00:05:59,600 --> 00:06:03,159 Speaker 1: similar elation on what the artists think happened. But it 106 00:06:03,279 --> 00:06:07,599 Speaker 1: is still kind of emotional. David, in your opinion, based 107 00:06:07,640 --> 00:06:11,120 Speaker 1: on what you're hearing of the two crashes, what do 108 00:06:11,160 --> 00:06:14,719 Speaker 1: you think happened in this Ethiopian crash in terms of 109 00:06:15,360 --> 00:06:19,040 Speaker 1: it takes off, people are strapped in, the plane takes off. 110 00:06:19,160 --> 00:06:22,960 Speaker 1: What happens, well, at this point, it's interesting. I looked 111 00:06:22,960 --> 00:06:25,200 Speaker 1: at the data from the same flight from the same 112 00:06:25,240 --> 00:06:29,479 Speaker 1: airport at the day before, the day before. Let's start 113 00:06:29,520 --> 00:06:31,800 Speaker 1: with that flight. First, they're strapped in and they code 114 00:06:31,839 --> 00:06:34,120 Speaker 1: to fly, and three quarters of the way down the 115 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:36,280 Speaker 1: runway they take off and there are thousand feet about 116 00:06:36,279 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 1: the runway going about two hundred and forty knots. In 117 00:06:39,520 --> 00:06:43,320 Speaker 1: this next day, they take off and the airplane stays 118 00:06:43,360 --> 00:06:45,560 Speaker 1: on the ground for an extended period of time. It 119 00:06:45,600 --> 00:06:48,240 Speaker 1: goes past that point three quarters of the way down 120 00:06:48,480 --> 00:06:52,200 Speaker 1: the airport. The speed continues to increase and increase and increase, 121 00:06:52,240 --> 00:06:54,560 Speaker 1: and ends up about two hundred and sixty two hundred 122 00:06:54,560 --> 00:06:56,680 Speaker 1: and seventy knots on the ground before it even takes off, 123 00:06:57,279 --> 00:07:00,400 Speaker 1: and the pilots had to be wondering why things not 124 00:07:00,480 --> 00:07:03,120 Speaker 1: lifting off at that point. But eventually they do get 125 00:07:03,120 --> 00:07:05,479 Speaker 1: the aircraft to lift off. They lift off with that 126 00:07:05,520 --> 00:07:09,159 Speaker 1: aircraft and it takes off within six minutes, within five 127 00:07:09,160 --> 00:07:12,720 Speaker 1: and a half to six minutes, this flight well. Firstly, 128 00:07:12,760 --> 00:07:16,040 Speaker 1: within three minutes, the pilot starts calling back saying, we 129 00:07:16,080 --> 00:07:17,840 Speaker 1: need to come home. We need to come home. There's 130 00:07:17,880 --> 00:07:20,120 Speaker 1: something wrong. We need to bring back home. Give me 131 00:07:20,160 --> 00:07:22,040 Speaker 1: a vector. I need to be back. We need to 132 00:07:22,040 --> 00:07:25,160 Speaker 1: go back and land. So they routed other airplanes around, 133 00:07:25,200 --> 00:07:27,120 Speaker 1: they tried to turn the airplane around, or they were 134 00:07:27,160 --> 00:07:29,440 Speaker 1: going to, but before they even had a chance to 135 00:07:29,440 --> 00:07:32,000 Speaker 1: turn this airplane around, it had already gone down and 136 00:07:32,320 --> 00:07:34,280 Speaker 1: the nose of the aircraft was pushed down by this 137 00:07:34,480 --> 00:07:41,040 Speaker 1: mcast system, and fatally and tragically the aircraft continued down 138 00:07:41,040 --> 00:07:43,520 Speaker 1: and within five or six minutes the aircraft had crashed 139 00:07:43,520 --> 00:07:47,160 Speaker 1: and no survivors at what angle was the plane coming down? 140 00:07:48,640 --> 00:07:50,720 Speaker 1: I don't know all the details at this point. I 141 00:07:50,760 --> 00:07:55,040 Speaker 1: do know that it was an incredibly short period of time. 142 00:07:55,120 --> 00:07:58,400 Speaker 1: So if I can just calculate what the angle would be, 143 00:07:58,480 --> 00:08:01,840 Speaker 1: it would have been close about seventy five degrees. Oh 144 00:08:01,880 --> 00:08:04,880 Speaker 1: my god's almost straight down. It is. So the people 145 00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:10,200 Speaker 1: obviously aboard this plane they knew this was it. Yes, 146 00:08:10,280 --> 00:08:12,800 Speaker 1: they did. They did. This was not one of those 147 00:08:13,080 --> 00:08:16,600 Speaker 1: instantaneous failures that happened in the sky when people are 148 00:08:16,680 --> 00:08:19,480 Speaker 1: instantaneously killed. This is something that they had to have 149 00:08:19,480 --> 00:08:22,040 Speaker 1: suffered that all the way down, knowing that something obviously 150 00:08:22,120 --> 00:08:25,280 Speaker 1: dramatic was going on. But before that the aircraft had 151 00:08:25,520 --> 00:08:27,480 Speaker 1: posted up and down. It was going up and down. 152 00:08:27,520 --> 00:08:30,640 Speaker 1: The air traffic controllers knew there was problems with this 153 00:08:30,720 --> 00:08:35,360 Speaker 1: aircraft long before, not long before, but minutes before the 154 00:08:36,160 --> 00:08:38,440 Speaker 1: pilot actually called in for help, because they could see 155 00:08:38,480 --> 00:08:42,120 Speaker 1: that it was varying altitude significantly, up to one hundred 156 00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:46,040 Speaker 1: feet up and a hundred feet down very rapidly. David, 157 00:08:46,080 --> 00:08:50,120 Speaker 1: I fly about four to six times a month, primarily 158 00:08:50,120 --> 00:08:54,559 Speaker 1: with Southwest, and I'm on these older versions of the 159 00:08:54,600 --> 00:08:59,480 Speaker 1: seven thirty seven's, the old reliable ones, but every time 160 00:08:59,520 --> 00:09:01,920 Speaker 1: we hit a little turbulence, you know, you could tell 161 00:09:01,960 --> 00:09:04,319 Speaker 1: people on the plane get a little skittish and jittery. 162 00:09:05,120 --> 00:09:07,600 Speaker 1: They make some sounds and things like that. I could 163 00:09:07,600 --> 00:09:10,920 Speaker 1: only imagine what it was like on that plane for 164 00:09:11,040 --> 00:09:14,240 Speaker 1: those poor people. No, it had to be tragic. It 165 00:09:14,400 --> 00:09:19,960 Speaker 1: just it would have panicked at anyone, and unfortunately you're 166 00:09:19,960 --> 00:09:21,640 Speaker 1: there and you have nothing you can do about it. 167 00:09:22,160 --> 00:09:25,440 Speaker 1: Listen to more Coast to Coast AM every weeknight at 168 00:09:25,480 --> 00:09:28,400 Speaker 1: one am Eastern, and go to Coast to Coast am 169 00:09:28,480 --> 00:09:29,520 Speaker 1: dot com for more