1 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:03,040 Speaker 1: Good morning. 2 00:00:03,080 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 2: I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the 3 00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:07,440 Speaker 2: stories we're following today. 4 00:00:07,840 --> 00:00:10,840 Speaker 1: We begin with the global economy and interest rates. The 5 00:00:10,880 --> 00:00:14,320 Speaker 1: Federal Reserve makes a policy decision this afternoon, and while 6 00:00:14,360 --> 00:00:16,919 Speaker 1: the Central Bank is not expected to make any move, 7 00:00:17,040 --> 00:00:20,600 Speaker 1: there is much anticipation to the message Jay Powell will deliver. 8 00:00:20,960 --> 00:00:23,000 Speaker 1: We get more from Bloomberg's Michael McKee. 9 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:25,479 Speaker 3: Once again, it's a question of what they say rather 10 00:00:25,560 --> 00:00:28,479 Speaker 3: than what they do. Markets have priced out any chance 11 00:00:28,520 --> 00:00:31,720 Speaker 3: of a rate increase from the Fed. Instead, investors will 12 00:00:31,760 --> 00:00:34,120 Speaker 3: focus on clues to what the Central Bank's plans are 13 00:00:34,280 --> 00:00:37,360 Speaker 3: going forward. Will they keep their June forecast of at 14 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:39,720 Speaker 3: least one more rate hike before the end of twenty 15 00:00:39,800 --> 00:00:43,520 Speaker 3: twenty three, and what will their revised economic forecasts say 16 00:00:43,560 --> 00:00:46,240 Speaker 3: about the chances of rate cuts in twenty twenty four. 17 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:51,240 Speaker 3: We'll also get officials updated outlooks for employment, growth and inflation. 18 00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 3: Expect Chairman j Powell to emphasize uncertainty in his post 19 00:00:55,440 --> 00:00:59,520 Speaker 3: decision news conference as the economy faces headwinds including rising 20 00:00:59,520 --> 00:01:03,320 Speaker 3: oil price is, a government shutdown, and the auto workers strike. 21 00:01:03,720 --> 00:01:05,200 Speaker 3: Michael McKee, Bloomberg Radio. 22 00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:08,120 Speaker 1: All Right, Mike thanks to stay with Bloomberg for full coverage, 23 00:01:08,160 --> 00:01:12,680 Speaker 1: including the Bloomberg Surveillance special. The Fed decides later this afternoon. 24 00:01:13,000 --> 00:01:15,200 Speaker 2: Well, Nathan, as we wait for that Fed decision, we 25 00:01:15,319 --> 00:01:17,720 Speaker 2: got a surprise you can Numberg report that could impact 26 00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:20,479 Speaker 2: tomorrow's Bank of England decision, and we go to London 27 00:01:20,520 --> 00:01:22,720 Speaker 2: and get the latest with Bloomberg's You and Potts. 28 00:01:22,800 --> 00:01:25,039 Speaker 1: You and good morning, Good morning, Karen, Nathan. 29 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:28,520 Speaker 4: Britain's inflation rate has unexpectedly dropped to the lowest level 30 00:01:28,640 --> 00:01:31,840 Speaker 4: in eighteen months. CPI in the year to August came 31 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:35,200 Speaker 4: in at six point seven percent. Economists not the first 32 00:01:35,240 --> 00:01:37,559 Speaker 4: time they've been wrong. We're expecting the reading to tick 33 00:01:37,680 --> 00:01:40,760 Speaker 4: up to seven percent. And good news on the UK's 34 00:01:40,800 --> 00:01:44,120 Speaker 4: core inflation rate, which fell sharply from six point nine 35 00:01:44,280 --> 00:01:47,480 Speaker 4: to six point two percent. Investors have reined in bets 36 00:01:47,520 --> 00:01:49,720 Speaker 4: for further tightening from the Bank of England, though a 37 00:01:49,800 --> 00:01:52,800 Speaker 4: quarter point hike is still the consensus. We'll find out 38 00:01:52,880 --> 00:01:55,560 Speaker 4: tomorrow in London. I'm you in Pot's Bloomberg Daybreak. 39 00:01:55,760 --> 00:01:57,680 Speaker 1: All right, ew and thank you all. This morning, we're 40 00:01:57,680 --> 00:02:00,280 Speaker 1: seeing more calls for oil to reach one hundred dollars 41 00:02:00,320 --> 00:02:03,040 Speaker 1: a barrel Goldman Sacks is raising its forecast for crude 42 00:02:03,040 --> 00:02:06,120 Speaker 1: back to triple digits as demand booms and OPEC plus 43 00:02:06,120 --> 00:02:09,400 Speaker 1: supply curves tight in the market, with prices rising more 44 00:02:09,440 --> 00:02:12,799 Speaker 1: than thirty percent since mid June. Goldman pushed up its 45 00:02:12,840 --> 00:02:15,560 Speaker 1: twelve month forecast for Brent to one hundred dollars from 46 00:02:15,639 --> 00:02:18,000 Speaker 1: ninety three and checking Brent right now, it's at ninety 47 00:02:18,000 --> 00:02:20,800 Speaker 1: three zho two a barrel. That's down one point four percent. 48 00:02:21,040 --> 00:02:23,240 Speaker 1: Nine X Crud's down one point four percent as well, 49 00:02:23,280 --> 00:02:25,160 Speaker 1: at eighty nine dollars ninety cents. 50 00:02:25,320 --> 00:02:27,520 Speaker 2: Well. Another call this morning, Nathan, this one on the 51 00:02:27,520 --> 00:02:31,920 Speaker 2: Equity Markets Bank of America. Savita Supermanian is boosting her 52 00:02:31,960 --> 00:02:34,120 Speaker 2: target for the S and P five hundred after this 53 00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:38,200 Speaker 2: year's rally left many forecasts in the dust. The strategist 54 00:02:38,200 --> 00:02:41,120 Speaker 2: now expects the benchmark to end the year at four thousand, 55 00:02:41,200 --> 00:02:43,839 Speaker 2: six hundred, about a three and a half percent gain 56 00:02:43,880 --> 00:02:47,639 Speaker 2: from current levels. Her previous SMP target was forty three hundred. 57 00:02:47,880 --> 00:02:51,240 Speaker 1: Sticking with Markets, Karen, After starting trade yesterday in Stackhart 58 00:02:51,360 --> 00:02:53,840 Speaker 1: shares are down as much as five percent in the 59 00:02:53,840 --> 00:02:56,880 Speaker 1: pre market. The drop follows yesterday's volatile action for the 60 00:02:56,919 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 1: online grocery delivery firm. The stock initially surged forty three percent, 61 00:03:01,080 --> 00:03:03,040 Speaker 1: but ended the day with a gain of twelve percent. 62 00:03:03,120 --> 00:03:05,200 Speaker 1: We get more from Bloomberg's Katie Roof. 63 00:03:05,320 --> 00:03:08,560 Speaker 5: It's quite better than what they were initially hoping several 64 00:03:08,639 --> 00:03:12,400 Speaker 5: days ago, but definitely it's lower than the valuation they 65 00:03:12,480 --> 00:03:15,320 Speaker 5: had in twenty twenty one, a lot lower than that, 66 00:03:15,480 --> 00:03:18,519 Speaker 5: but around the thirteen billion where they were valued last year. 67 00:03:18,639 --> 00:03:22,360 Speaker 1: And Bloomberg's Katie Riff says instacarts listing, combined with arms IPO, 68 00:03:22,520 --> 00:03:25,480 Speaker 1: is giving equity capital markets much needed relief after the 69 00:03:25,520 --> 00:03:27,640 Speaker 1: longest drought since two thousand and nine. 70 00:03:28,080 --> 00:03:30,760 Speaker 2: Now to the latest on the auto strike, which enters 71 00:03:30,840 --> 00:03:33,560 Speaker 2: it's six day naighthan, the UAW says it will step 72 00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:36,360 Speaker 2: up pressure by the end of the week if negotiations 73 00:03:36,400 --> 00:03:39,120 Speaker 2: don't progress. Bloomberg's Ed Baxter has the story. 74 00:03:39,640 --> 00:03:43,400 Speaker 6: UAW President Sean Fain has set a Friday noon deadline 75 00:03:43,400 --> 00:03:46,800 Speaker 6: for good negotiations or an escalation in the strike. 76 00:03:46,960 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 7: If we don't make serious progress by noon on Friday, 77 00:03:51,160 --> 00:03:55,040 Speaker 7: September twenty second, more locals will be called on to 78 00:03:55,160 --> 00:03:56,680 Speaker 7: stand up and join the strike. 79 00:03:56,920 --> 00:04:01,440 Speaker 6: Representatives from gm Ford and stillattis say bargaining has continued 80 00:04:01,480 --> 00:04:04,800 Speaker 6: in good faith. Ad Baxter Bloomberg Radio thanks Ed, We've 81 00:04:04,800 --> 00:04:07,600 Speaker 6: got some labor resolution. North of the border, workers at 82 00:04:07,600 --> 00:04:11,160 Speaker 6: Ford's Canada unit have avoided a strike. UNIFOR the Canadian 83 00:04:11,160 --> 00:04:15,120 Speaker 6: Autoworkers Unions reached a three year national labor contract in Canada. 84 00:04:15,200 --> 00:04:18,000 Speaker 1: Rather than negotiating with all three major automakers at once, 85 00:04:18,120 --> 00:04:21,400 Speaker 1: UNIFORM selected Ford as the target for bargaining well Nathan. 86 00:04:21,440 --> 00:04:24,600 Speaker 2: President Biden will be focused on improved labor conditions as 87 00:04:24,640 --> 00:04:27,800 Speaker 2: the UN General Assembly continues. He'll meet with Brazil's President 88 00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:30,920 Speaker 2: Luis and Nacio Lula de Silva and announce a partnership 89 00:04:30,920 --> 00:04:33,600 Speaker 2: to how workers move into the gig economy and clean energy. 90 00:04:33,839 --> 00:04:36,240 Speaker 2: The President will also be looking for brazil support for 91 00:04:36,360 --> 00:04:38,680 Speaker 2: Ukraine and its war against Russia. That was the focus 92 00:04:38,720 --> 00:04:40,360 Speaker 2: of his annual address to the gathering. 93 00:04:40,720 --> 00:04:43,159 Speaker 8: If we abandoned the core principles of the United States 94 00:04:43,160 --> 00:04:46,919 Speaker 8: to a peas and aggressor, can any member stayed in 95 00:04:47,000 --> 00:04:51,480 Speaker 8: this body feel confident that they're protecting. 96 00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:54,320 Speaker 2: And Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelanski made his own appeal. He 97 00:04:54,360 --> 00:04:56,960 Speaker 2: says Russia is turning everything for food, to energy and 98 00:04:57,080 --> 00:04:58,279 Speaker 2: children into weapons. 99 00:04:58,560 --> 00:05:03,120 Speaker 9: Those children in ra Ah tools to hate Ukraine and 100 00:05:03,240 --> 00:05:07,000 Speaker 9: old ties with their families are broken, and this is 101 00:05:07,120 --> 00:05:08,919 Speaker 9: clearly a genocide. 102 00:05:08,960 --> 00:05:10,840 Speaker 2: And even with these new calls for support, the US 103 00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:12,960 Speaker 2: and G seven allies now say they're preparing for the 104 00:05:13,000 --> 00:05:14,480 Speaker 2: war to last for years to come. 105 00:05:14,720 --> 00:05:18,039 Speaker 1: Meanwhile, Karen Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's continuing her call for 106 00:05:18,120 --> 00:05:22,040 Speaker 1: financial institutions to make voluntary net zero carbon commitments. 107 00:05:22,480 --> 00:05:27,000 Speaker 10: Our goal is to affirm the importance of credible net 108 00:05:27,120 --> 00:05:32,360 Speaker 10: zero commitments and to encourage financial institutions that make them 109 00:05:32,839 --> 00:05:35,839 Speaker 10: to take consistent approaches to implementation. 110 00:05:36,640 --> 00:05:39,760 Speaker 1: Secretary Yellen spoke at the Transition Finance Action Forum in 111 00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:45,640 Speaker 1: New York hosted by Bloomberg. Man It's down time to 112 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:47,320 Speaker 1: take a look at some of the other stories making 113 00:05:47,360 --> 00:05:49,720 Speaker 1: news in New York and around the world with Bloomberg's 114 00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:50,200 Speaker 1: John Tucker. 115 00:05:50,240 --> 00:05:51,400 Speaker 11: Good Morning John, and Nathan. 116 00:05:51,480 --> 00:05:55,120 Speaker 12: The operators of a Bronx daycare center now facing federal 117 00:05:55,200 --> 00:05:58,559 Speaker 12: drug charges. It comes after one child died three others 118 00:05:58,560 --> 00:06:02,640 Speaker 12: were poisoned from exposure to fentanol. Friday, the federal prosecutors 119 00:06:02,680 --> 00:06:06,160 Speaker 12: took over the case against Gray Mendez and Carslito Brito, 120 00:06:06,360 --> 00:06:10,960 Speaker 12: who are religedly operating a drug distribution business. Prosecutors say 121 00:06:10,960 --> 00:06:13,760 Speaker 12: a kilogram brick of fentanyl would start on top of 122 00:06:13,880 --> 00:06:17,800 Speaker 12: children's playmats. That's enough fentanol to kill half a million people. 123 00:06:18,360 --> 00:06:21,880 Speaker 12: According to a draft securities filing, American Dream That Mega 124 00:06:21,960 --> 00:06:25,400 Speaker 12: Mall in New Jersey's Meadowlands has seen its losses increase 125 00:06:25,600 --> 00:06:29,200 Speaker 12: fourfold in one year. More in this report from Bloomberg's 126 00:06:29,279 --> 00:06:30,440 Speaker 12: Charlie Pellett. 127 00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:32,600 Speaker 11: The three and a half million square foot shopping and 128 00:06:32,760 --> 00:06:36,680 Speaker 11: entertainment complex, home to an indoor ski slope, amusement park 129 00:06:36,720 --> 00:06:40,000 Speaker 11: and water park, lost about two hundred and forty five 130 00:06:40,160 --> 00:06:44,279 Speaker 11: million dollars in twenty twenty two, as expenses almost doubled 131 00:06:44,480 --> 00:06:47,479 Speaker 11: to four hundred and twenty eight million dollars. This is 132 00:06:47,480 --> 00:06:50,479 Speaker 11: according to a three page document posted to the Municipal 133 00:06:50,520 --> 00:06:55,599 Speaker 11: Securities Rulemaking Boards EMMA website in New York. Charlie Pellett 134 00:06:55,600 --> 00:06:56,880 Speaker 11: Bloomberg Radio New. 135 00:06:56,839 --> 00:06:59,560 Speaker 12: Yorker's spending habits are cooling and the New York State 136 00:06:59,600 --> 00:07:02,880 Speaker 12: Control Or Thomas Didapoli is warning towns and cities to 137 00:07:02,960 --> 00:07:06,200 Speaker 12: adjust their budgets. He also says paying to house migrants 138 00:07:06,240 --> 00:07:08,520 Speaker 12: coming into New York is unsustainable. 139 00:07:09,080 --> 00:07:11,840 Speaker 13: You know the City's estimating some twelve billion dollars in 140 00:07:11,920 --> 00:07:14,120 Speaker 13: terms of the next couple of years of cost. The 141 00:07:14,200 --> 00:07:16,840 Speaker 13: state financial plan has about one and a half billion 142 00:07:16,840 --> 00:07:19,400 Speaker 13: in it for migrants. The governor has indicated some more 143 00:07:19,440 --> 00:07:22,240 Speaker 13: money will be put aside for that, but I don't 144 00:07:22,240 --> 00:07:24,040 Speaker 13: see how the state or the city could get through 145 00:07:24,120 --> 00:07:28,680 Speaker 13: this without additional federal support so far has not been forthcoming. 146 00:07:28,800 --> 00:07:33,080 Speaker 12: DiNapoli was interviewed on Bloomberg Business Week. Prince William managed 147 00:07:33,120 --> 00:07:36,880 Speaker 12: to go jogging in Central Park yesterday without paparazzi or 148 00:07:36,960 --> 00:07:38,160 Speaker 12: anybody else noticing. 149 00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:41,440 Speaker 14: I decided to join the holds of New Yorker's during 150 00:07:41,480 --> 00:07:44,840 Speaker 14: that morning routine as they went Rassiter Park. It was 151 00:07:44,840 --> 00:07:47,320 Speaker 14: wonderful waking up in New York on a Sunday morning 152 00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:50,520 Speaker 14: run the rain we had yesterday and it was it's 153 00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:52,080 Speaker 14: beautiful getting some fresh air this morning. 154 00:07:52,400 --> 00:07:54,760 Speaker 12: He went out for a run before announcing the fifteen 155 00:07:54,880 --> 00:07:58,120 Speaker 12: finalists for the twenty twenty three Earth Shot Prize, a 156 00:07:58,200 --> 00:08:00,680 Speaker 12: competition he created three years ago to find the most 157 00:08:00,680 --> 00:08:05,720 Speaker 12: innovative solutions to global environmental challenges, and health experts with 158 00:08:05,800 --> 00:08:09,120 Speaker 12: the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention predicting what they 159 00:08:09,200 --> 00:08:12,160 Speaker 12: call a repeat of a triple demic this fall and 160 00:08:12,280 --> 00:08:17,280 Speaker 12: winter with COVID nineteen RSV and influenza. The CDC earsing 161 00:08:17,320 --> 00:08:20,560 Speaker 12: people to get flu vaccinations and their COVID nineteen booster 162 00:08:20,760 --> 00:08:24,080 Speaker 12: before winter. Global News twenty four hours a day, power 163 00:08:24,120 --> 00:08:27,160 Speaker 12: by more than twenty seven hundred journalist and analysts in 164 00:08:27,240 --> 00:08:29,720 Speaker 12: more than one hundred and twenty countries. I'm John Tucker. 165 00:08:29,840 --> 00:08:31,120 Speaker 12: This is Bloomberg, Nathan. 166 00:08:31,160 --> 00:08:33,600 Speaker 1: All right, John, Thanks Now, get the latest news whenever 167 00:08:33,679 --> 00:08:36,360 Speaker 1: you want it with Bloomberg News Now the top stories 168 00:08:36,400 --> 00:08:38,480 Speaker 1: from our global team of reporters at the click of 169 00:08:38,559 --> 00:08:41,920 Speaker 1: a button. Get Bloomberg News Now on the Bloomberg Business app, 170 00:08:41,960 --> 00:08:50,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg dot com, and anywhere you get your podcasts. Time 171 00:08:50,040 --> 00:08:52,560 Speaker 1: now for the Bloomberg Sports Update. Here's John Stshower. 172 00:08:52,640 --> 00:08:55,280 Speaker 15: All right, Nathan. The Yankees are certainly hoping they don't 173 00:08:55,320 --> 00:08:58,680 Speaker 15: finish this disappointing feason with a sub five hundred record 174 00:08:58,720 --> 00:09:01,240 Speaker 15: that hasn't happened since nineteen nine. The record dropped to 175 00:09:01,320 --> 00:09:04,920 Speaker 15: seventy six and seventy five a seven to one loss 176 00:09:04,920 --> 00:09:07,319 Speaker 15: to Toronto at the Stadium. George Springer had a lead 177 00:09:07,360 --> 00:09:09,559 Speaker 15: off home run for the fifty seventh time in his career, 178 00:09:09,559 --> 00:09:11,680 Speaker 15: get it on his thirty fourth birthday. Yanks All had 179 00:09:11,720 --> 00:09:14,240 Speaker 15: a lot to say about whether the Blue Jays make 180 00:09:14,320 --> 00:09:16,760 Speaker 15: it in as a wildcard. Still have five games remaining 181 00:09:16,760 --> 00:09:20,000 Speaker 15: with the Jays who are in a battle very tight 182 00:09:20,040 --> 00:09:23,640 Speaker 15: now with three Al West teams Houston, Seattle, and Texas, 183 00:09:23,679 --> 00:09:27,320 Speaker 15: those three separated by only a half game, and the 184 00:09:27,400 --> 00:09:29,719 Speaker 15: teams that don't win the division in it with the 185 00:09:29,840 --> 00:09:32,760 Speaker 15: Jays for a wildcard. Miami Marlins won of four teams 186 00:09:32,800 --> 00:09:35,880 Speaker 15: buying for two NL wildcards. The Marlin scored five of 187 00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:36,880 Speaker 15: the nine they get the Mets. 188 00:09:36,640 --> 00:09:37,200 Speaker 1: Sport at three. 189 00:09:37,200 --> 00:09:40,320 Speaker 15: The Liberty moving on to the WNBA playoffs. They beat 190 00:09:40,520 --> 00:09:44,400 Speaker 15: Washington ninety to eighty five in overtime to win the 191 00:09:44,400 --> 00:09:47,079 Speaker 15: series two nothing. Brianna Stewart knows the Liberty had not 192 00:09:47,160 --> 00:09:49,280 Speaker 15: won a playoff series in twenty fifteen. 193 00:09:49,880 --> 00:09:50,560 Speaker 1: It means a lot. 194 00:09:50,679 --> 00:09:52,480 Speaker 2: I think that, you know, I don't know if we're 195 00:09:52,520 --> 00:09:55,920 Speaker 2: thinking about getting this team back to somewhere where the 196 00:09:55,960 --> 00:09:57,679 Speaker 2: Liberty hasn't been in eight years, but. 197 00:09:59,240 --> 00:10:00,080 Speaker 3: You know, the first time. 198 00:10:00,240 --> 00:10:01,600 Speaker 1: We've been able to do it as a group. 199 00:10:02,080 --> 00:10:06,160 Speaker 2: And today there was highs and lows, and we knew 200 00:10:06,160 --> 00:10:07,640 Speaker 2: it was going to be emotional. 201 00:10:07,400 --> 00:10:10,120 Speaker 15: Under the semi finals against either Connecticut or Minnesota. The 202 00:10:10,120 --> 00:10:12,000 Speaker 15: word on Saquon Barkley was that he was going to 203 00:10:12,000 --> 00:10:14,319 Speaker 15: be out three weeks with the injured ankle, A coach 204 00:10:14,360 --> 00:10:16,920 Speaker 15: Brian dave All talking about him being out only three days. 205 00:10:17,000 --> 00:10:19,520 Speaker 15: Dave Ball not ruling Barkley out for Tomorrow's game at 206 00:10:19,520 --> 00:10:20,520 Speaker 15: San Francisco SAT. 207 00:10:20,559 --> 00:10:21,640 Speaker 1: Barkley's a quick viewer. 208 00:10:21,960 --> 00:10:24,800 Speaker 15: Buddy Stevens has died at sixty six from injuries suffering 209 00:10:24,800 --> 00:10:28,040 Speaker 15: a bicycle accident. Coach Dartmouth the five IVY League titles 210 00:10:28,160 --> 00:10:28,720 Speaker 15: Jus Stashally. 211 00:10:28,720 --> 00:10:29,920 Speaker 1: We're Bloomberg Sports. 212 00:10:32,800 --> 00:10:35,840 Speaker 7: From coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, 213 00:10:36,160 --> 00:10:40,800 Speaker 7: Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on Syrias Exam the Bloomberg 214 00:10:40,840 --> 00:10:42,960 Speaker 7: Business Appen Bloomberg dot Com. 215 00:10:43,040 --> 00:10:47,800 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager on 216 00:10:47,960 --> 00:10:51,680 Speaker 1: decision day for the Federal Reserve. Two pm. Wall Street 217 00:10:51,679 --> 00:10:54,920 Speaker 1: Time is when Jpwell and Company will announce their plans 218 00:10:54,920 --> 00:10:57,840 Speaker 1: for interstrates this month and send the signal to markets 219 00:10:58,200 --> 00:11:01,360 Speaker 1: for where policy could be headed into November and beyond. 220 00:11:01,440 --> 00:11:03,440 Speaker 1: So let's get you set for what's to come from 221 00:11:03,480 --> 00:11:07,079 Speaker 1: the Central Bank. Bloomberg's pretty Gupta is here with me now, 222 00:11:07,080 --> 00:11:10,160 Speaker 1: and this decision really could be a lot more about 223 00:11:10,200 --> 00:11:12,559 Speaker 1: what's to come than any move the FED makes today, 224 00:11:12,559 --> 00:11:14,839 Speaker 1: because we're rarely not expecting a move, are. 225 00:11:14,840 --> 00:11:17,640 Speaker 16: We We're not expecting a move And I'm I believe, 226 00:11:17,720 --> 00:11:20,560 Speaker 16: just to emphasize how much of a consensus take this 227 00:11:20,720 --> 00:11:24,720 Speaker 16: is five and a half percent of economists estimated by 228 00:11:24,760 --> 00:11:28,000 Speaker 16: Bloomberg think that the Fed is going to actually. 229 00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:31,040 Speaker 1: Raise or move rates at all, which tells kind of 230 00:11:31,040 --> 00:11:33,440 Speaker 1: where the rate is, right, Yeah, five and a half percent, 231 00:11:34,040 --> 00:11:35,079 Speaker 1: I know the irony rate. 232 00:11:35,280 --> 00:11:38,680 Speaker 17: So essentially, in other words, ninety four and a half 233 00:11:38,800 --> 00:11:41,920 Speaker 17: percent of Bloomberg economists or surveyed at least by Bloomberg, 234 00:11:42,200 --> 00:11:44,680 Speaker 17: are saying that the Fed is not going to do anything. 235 00:11:44,679 --> 00:11:46,880 Speaker 17: But Nathan, that's I think the crux of it here 236 00:11:46,920 --> 00:11:49,160 Speaker 17: is that they're kind of setting this tone for the 237 00:11:49,200 --> 00:11:51,559 Speaker 17: rest of the world, which is that we're going to 238 00:11:51,640 --> 00:11:54,560 Speaker 17: have faith that the rest of the effect on the 239 00:11:54,559 --> 00:11:58,720 Speaker 17: economy is going to slowly come. The idea here that 240 00:11:58,920 --> 00:12:00,959 Speaker 17: these lags that I think a lot of people had 241 00:12:00,960 --> 00:12:05,560 Speaker 17: maybe shrugged off early on because inflation wasn't decelerating as 242 00:12:05,640 --> 00:12:08,320 Speaker 17: fast as perhaps people wanted it to. That is no 243 00:12:08,440 --> 00:12:10,800 Speaker 17: longer the narrative at play now. It's simply that we 244 00:12:10,880 --> 00:12:13,040 Speaker 17: just wait for the lags to take effect. And I 245 00:12:13,040 --> 00:12:14,719 Speaker 17: think that's one of the reasons that you're seeing the 246 00:12:14,760 --> 00:12:18,240 Speaker 17: Federal Reserve kind of perhaps indicate, at least from the 247 00:12:18,360 --> 00:12:20,680 Speaker 17: comments that we've gotten out of the FMC members, that 248 00:12:20,760 --> 00:12:22,520 Speaker 17: they're going to be taking them a little bit more 249 00:12:22,559 --> 00:12:24,960 Speaker 17: of a hands off approach on this. But Nathan, all 250 00:12:25,000 --> 00:12:27,079 Speaker 17: of that could change based on what Jay Powell says 251 00:12:27,120 --> 00:12:30,040 Speaker 17: around wages and around oil, because of course we know 252 00:12:30,080 --> 00:12:32,559 Speaker 17: that the strikes across the country and arguably across the 253 00:12:32,600 --> 00:12:35,719 Speaker 17: world as well, have captured a lot of attention, specifically 254 00:12:35,760 --> 00:12:39,920 Speaker 17: with the United autoworkers, where auto wages are significantly below 255 00:12:40,320 --> 00:12:43,480 Speaker 17: manufacturing wages broadly. But at the same time, you're seeing 256 00:12:43,960 --> 00:12:46,360 Speaker 17: much higher oil prices around the world, which is going 257 00:12:46,400 --> 00:12:49,480 Speaker 17: to have real effects on the American consumer as we 258 00:12:49,559 --> 00:12:52,440 Speaker 17: talk about gas prices, especially going into the election next year. 259 00:12:52,559 --> 00:12:55,319 Speaker 1: Yeah, and you have to wonder how much this surge 260 00:12:55,400 --> 00:12:58,040 Speaker 1: in oil prices we've seen in recent days. Obviously we're 261 00:12:58,040 --> 00:13:00,480 Speaker 1: getting a bit of relief this morning on this session, 262 00:13:00,640 --> 00:13:03,240 Speaker 1: but this idea that we could be getting to one 263 00:13:03,320 --> 00:13:06,079 Speaker 1: hundred dollars a barrel in the not too distant future. 264 00:13:06,360 --> 00:13:09,080 Speaker 1: What's that's going to mean for the lag effects that 265 00:13:09,160 --> 00:13:10,840 Speaker 1: the FED wants to see from policy. 266 00:13:11,200 --> 00:13:13,920 Speaker 17: Yeah, well, I'm old enough to remember when oil went negative, 267 00:13:13,960 --> 00:13:16,440 Speaker 17: and I'm also oiled enough to remember when oil went 268 00:13:16,480 --> 00:13:18,440 Speaker 17: to one hundred and forty three dollars a barrel. And 269 00:13:18,520 --> 00:13:21,720 Speaker 17: let me tell you, those round numbers one hundred and one, twenty, 270 00:13:21,920 --> 00:13:25,720 Speaker 17: even ninety make traders and people, by the way, everyday 271 00:13:25,720 --> 00:13:27,440 Speaker 17: consumers very very nervous. 272 00:13:27,440 --> 00:13:28,040 Speaker 4: To your point. 273 00:13:28,320 --> 00:13:30,760 Speaker 17: Goldman Sachs actually came out this morning and said that 274 00:13:30,800 --> 00:13:33,719 Speaker 17: their twelve month ahead price forecast was. 275 00:13:33,640 --> 00:13:34,920 Speaker 1: One hundred dollars a barrel. 276 00:13:34,960 --> 00:13:37,640 Speaker 17: We're at about ninety three right now, which tells you 277 00:13:37,840 --> 00:13:40,240 Speaker 17: this is a pretty significant call that in about twelve 278 00:13:40,280 --> 00:13:42,719 Speaker 17: months time, in a year's time, when a lot of 279 00:13:42,760 --> 00:13:45,959 Speaker 17: people are expecting inflation to come down much more significantly, 280 00:13:46,440 --> 00:13:49,200 Speaker 17: prices are still going to be one hundred dollars a barrel. 281 00:13:49,280 --> 00:13:51,440 Speaker 17: That's the price that people are saying, and this kind 282 00:13:51,480 --> 00:13:53,960 Speaker 17: of speaks to the stickiness of the inflation that a 283 00:13:53,960 --> 00:13:55,680 Speaker 17: lot of people are worried about. I think what's scary 284 00:13:55,720 --> 00:13:59,120 Speaker 17: for me is that the inflation. What's driving it is 285 00:13:59,160 --> 00:14:01,760 Speaker 17: coming more from commodities again, which is going to have 286 00:14:01,800 --> 00:14:04,400 Speaker 17: real effects into how much your grocery build costs, how 287 00:14:04,480 --> 00:14:07,240 Speaker 17: much your gas bill costs, even heating and electricity. 288 00:14:07,840 --> 00:14:11,520 Speaker 1: You have to think the decision that's coming tomorrow from 289 00:14:11,520 --> 00:14:13,480 Speaker 1: the Bank of England is going to get a lot 290 00:14:13,520 --> 00:14:17,880 Speaker 1: more interesting now that we've seen this surprise drop in inflation. 291 00:14:18,000 --> 00:14:20,440 Speaker 1: Who would have thought that we'd be considering the idea 292 00:14:20,600 --> 00:14:23,360 Speaker 1: of a rate pause from the Bank of England. 293 00:14:23,600 --> 00:14:23,880 Speaker 14: I know. 294 00:14:24,360 --> 00:14:27,120 Speaker 17: I mean, Andrew Bailey was supposed to be this kind 295 00:14:27,200 --> 00:14:31,720 Speaker 17: of renegade, almost essentially, this kind of lone wolf in 296 00:14:32,040 --> 00:14:35,440 Speaker 17: the sea of central bank doves, and he has turned 297 00:14:35,440 --> 00:14:39,040 Speaker 17: out to kind of maybe lean towards what Chair Powell 298 00:14:39,120 --> 00:14:41,520 Speaker 17: and President Legard are saying as well, which is simply 299 00:14:41,560 --> 00:14:45,200 Speaker 17: that the Bank of England has gone very very hard 300 00:14:45,320 --> 00:14:48,280 Speaker 17: on inflation. What is the lag there? And do we 301 00:14:48,360 --> 00:14:49,960 Speaker 17: now just wait for the lags to catch up with 302 00:14:50,000 --> 00:14:52,520 Speaker 17: the broader economy while we sit on the sidelines and 303 00:14:52,560 --> 00:14:55,200 Speaker 17: reassess And that is something nobody really expected the Bank 304 00:14:55,200 --> 00:14:57,480 Speaker 17: of England to say. What I will say, though, is 305 00:14:57,480 --> 00:15:00,600 Speaker 17: that it's a little bit different because even though they 306 00:15:00,680 --> 00:15:03,120 Speaker 17: might hike tomorrow, which I guess is the consensus call, 307 00:15:03,200 --> 00:15:05,760 Speaker 17: but then that could be its last. They are, or 308 00:15:05,800 --> 00:15:08,200 Speaker 17: at least there is a narrative that they will increase 309 00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:13,320 Speaker 17: their quantitative tightening policy and essentially sell bonds on the 310 00:15:13,320 --> 00:15:15,040 Speaker 17: open market, which could create some disruption. 311 00:15:15,120 --> 00:15:17,680 Speaker 1: There just about a minute left, Critty, We're in day 312 00:15:17,760 --> 00:15:20,280 Speaker 1: six of the United Auto Workers strike. Does this thing 313 00:15:20,320 --> 00:15:21,440 Speaker 1: look like it's expanding. 314 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:26,200 Speaker 17: It's not expanding yet, but it's not shrinking either. In fact, 315 00:15:26,240 --> 00:15:28,760 Speaker 17: you are seeing a little bit of progress made to 316 00:15:28,920 --> 00:15:31,440 Speaker 17: the north in Canada, where their union will be able 317 00:15:31,480 --> 00:15:34,160 Speaker 17: to make a negotiation with Ford. But again, they do 318 00:15:34,200 --> 00:15:36,960 Speaker 17: say Canadians are nicer than Americans anyway, so maybe that 319 00:15:37,000 --> 00:15:38,320 Speaker 17: has something to do with it. 320 00:15:38,880 --> 00:15:42,160 Speaker 1: Okay, we'll leave it there for now, Kritty Gupta. Bloomberg 321 00:15:42,240 --> 00:15:46,040 Speaker 1: News part of our coverage of the FED decides this 322 00:15:46,160 --> 00:15:49,880 Speaker 1: afternoon two pm Wall Street Time, waiting for the decision 323 00:15:50,040 --> 00:15:53,720 Speaker 1: from Chairman Powell and the Federal Open Market Committee. Powe 324 00:15:53,720 --> 00:15:56,720 Speaker 1: will address the media, of course, at two point thirty 325 00:15:57,400 --> 00:16:00,000 Speaker 1: half hour after the decision. We will have full coverage 326 00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:02,480 Speaker 1: for you on a special edition of Bloomberg Surveillance. The 327 00:16:02,520 --> 00:16:06,600 Speaker 1: FED decides, beginning at one thirty pm. Wall Street Time 328 00:16:07,000 --> 00:16:10,200 Speaker 1: full coverage of Decision Day and all the central banks 329 00:16:10,600 --> 00:16:13,720 Speaker 1: right here on Bloomberg Radio. Now we want to bring 330 00:16:13,760 --> 00:16:16,920 Speaker 1: you to New York and the sidelines of the United 331 00:16:17,000 --> 00:16:20,280 Speaker 1: Nations General Assembly, where we heard from the Mayor of London, 332 00:16:20,400 --> 00:16:24,960 Speaker 1: Sudi Khan. He says UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is 333 00:16:25,200 --> 00:16:28,760 Speaker 1: week for pulling back on green policies rather than looking 334 00:16:28,800 --> 00:16:33,240 Speaker 1: for opportunity in the climate crisis. Bloomberg's Francis Laquais sat 335 00:16:33,280 --> 00:16:34,760 Speaker 1: down with the Mayor of London. 336 00:16:35,400 --> 00:16:38,720 Speaker 18: Well, what's happening is some people are trying to weaponize 337 00:16:39,720 --> 00:16:44,960 Speaker 18: climate change, weaponize air pollution. And here's the perversity of 338 00:16:45,000 --> 00:16:48,400 Speaker 18: what Prime Minutes of Sunac is doing. We've seen in 339 00:16:48,640 --> 00:16:51,760 Speaker 18: the UK in September, in London in September, for the 340 00:16:51,800 --> 00:16:56,440 Speaker 18: first time ever, four consecutive days of temperatures north of 341 00:16:56,520 --> 00:17:01,880 Speaker 18: thirty degrees celsius. We saw la year in London, temperatures 342 00:17:02,280 --> 00:17:06,920 Speaker 18: north of forty degrees celsius. Wildfires in London. We've seen 343 00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:12,040 Speaker 18: across Europe and the global North in America, wildfires, droughts, 344 00:17:12,720 --> 00:17:16,199 Speaker 18: heat waves. The response of government should be actually to 345 00:17:16,240 --> 00:17:21,320 Speaker 18: turn this awful crisis into an opportunity, creating green jobs, 346 00:17:21,680 --> 00:17:24,520 Speaker 18: a green new deal, thinking about how we can both 347 00:17:24,560 --> 00:17:27,920 Speaker 18: save the planet, address climate change, but also give people 348 00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:29,000 Speaker 18: security and. 349 00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:30,360 Speaker 17: Have that just transition. 350 00:17:30,440 --> 00:17:32,879 Speaker 18: And this is basically, you know, lazy politics from a 351 00:17:32,920 --> 00:17:37,680 Speaker 18: weak prime minister throwing red meat to his backbenches because 352 00:17:37,680 --> 00:17:38,879 Speaker 18: he's so weak and ineffectual. 353 00:17:39,320 --> 00:17:39,880 Speaker 6: Do you think you. 354 00:17:39,840 --> 00:17:42,800 Speaker 19: Could have been better supported by ker starmarch with you. 355 00:17:42,760 --> 00:17:46,600 Speaker 18: Guys, Well, I recognize that we've got to make sure 356 00:17:46,680 --> 00:17:51,200 Speaker 18: we take people with us. I recognize that addressed people's concerns, 357 00:17:51,240 --> 00:17:56,040 Speaker 18: but concerns. But from Kirstarmer and the Labor Party, what 358 00:17:56,080 --> 00:17:58,439 Speaker 18: I would hope to see him we are seeing is 359 00:17:58,640 --> 00:18:01,720 Speaker 18: plans to address the time. You've got an announcement from 360 00:18:01,880 --> 00:18:04,560 Speaker 18: the Shot of Finance Secretary Rachel Reese saying, you know what, 361 00:18:05,160 --> 00:18:08,520 Speaker 18: in the first term of a Labor government will be 362 00:18:08,720 --> 00:18:12,600 Speaker 18: invested into the tune of twenty eight billion pounds a year, 363 00:18:12,640 --> 00:18:17,000 Speaker 18: which is a wall terms, akin to lot more than 364 00:18:17,080 --> 00:18:19,240 Speaker 18: President Biden's Inflation Reduction Act. 365 00:18:19,440 --> 00:18:21,600 Speaker 19: But Mayor, is it fair to say that you could 366 00:18:21,640 --> 00:18:24,359 Speaker 19: have gotten more support by Drestarma on U les and 367 00:18:24,400 --> 00:18:26,800 Speaker 19: also in the by elections, and you haven't because it's 368 00:18:26,800 --> 00:18:28,360 Speaker 19: now a political hot potato. 369 00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:31,399 Speaker 18: Well, what happened was the by election in Oxbridge and 370 00:18:31,480 --> 00:18:34,720 Speaker 18: Rice that took place a few weeks before the units 371 00:18:34,840 --> 00:18:38,640 Speaker 18: was expanded. People had judguine concerns which we were addressing 372 00:18:39,000 --> 00:18:41,760 Speaker 18: at the same time people were playing on that as well. 373 00:18:41,760 --> 00:18:43,840 Speaker 18: As said Kier and I are are of close friends. 374 00:18:43,880 --> 00:18:46,119 Speaker 18: We've over more than twenty five years. The only thing 375 00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:49,040 Speaker 18: we disagree about is I support a great soccer team, 376 00:18:49,040 --> 00:18:51,919 Speaker 18: great football team Liverpool. He sports a rubbish roun arsenal 377 00:18:52,080 --> 00:18:52,479 Speaker 18: okay pick. 378 00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:55,000 Speaker 19: But apart from football, what kind of advice would you 379 00:18:55,000 --> 00:18:56,560 Speaker 19: give him to win the general election? 380 00:18:56,840 --> 00:18:58,919 Speaker 18: No, I don't give care advice. You know what I 381 00:18:58,960 --> 00:19:02,199 Speaker 18: do is au frenttic care. But also an example of 382 00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:06,000 Speaker 18: what a labor politician winning the difference we can make 383 00:19:06,040 --> 00:19:10,280 Speaker 18: being pro business, supporting businesses to flourish and thrive, being 384 00:19:10,320 --> 00:19:14,920 Speaker 18: pro enterprise, being pro fighting a climate agency, being pro 385 00:19:15,000 --> 00:19:19,080 Speaker 18: clean building, recognumns affordable homes, making sure we invest in 386 00:19:19,080 --> 00:19:21,400 Speaker 18: public transfer and young people. And what O want people 387 00:19:21,400 --> 00:19:24,960 Speaker 18: to see across the country is that that's the difference 388 00:19:25,560 --> 00:19:29,480 Speaker 18: labor winning can make. Compare to contrast to a conservative 389 00:19:29,520 --> 00:19:32,959 Speaker 18: government where there's been economic mismanagement. List trust is all 390 00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:35,560 Speaker 18: from many budget last year, but also a week at 391 00:19:35,560 --> 00:19:37,080 Speaker 18: in effectual Conservative leader. 392 00:19:37,560 --> 00:19:40,720 Speaker 19: What can Labor now do to be closer to businesses? 393 00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:43,359 Speaker 19: There has been a campaign to actually get them on board. 394 00:19:43,359 --> 00:19:45,680 Speaker 19: I think the latest polls show that they be pretty 395 00:19:45,680 --> 00:19:46,879 Speaker 19: happy with the Labor government. 396 00:19:46,960 --> 00:19:47,720 Speaker 20: What would you do more? 397 00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:50,040 Speaker 18: Well, there's two The two things that people want to 398 00:19:50,080 --> 00:19:54,639 Speaker 18: see from good leaders. One is addressing social injustices, but 399 00:19:54,760 --> 00:19:58,800 Speaker 18: also economic competence, supporting businesses, being proud to support businesses, 400 00:19:58,840 --> 00:20:02,160 Speaker 18: being pro businesses, to be pro business. One of the things 401 00:20:02,200 --> 00:20:04,199 Speaker 18: that we've got to have the humility is polities to 402 00:20:04,240 --> 00:20:07,359 Speaker 18: do accept is you know, we don't create the jobs 403 00:20:07,400 --> 00:20:10,560 Speaker 18: the wealth of prospiracy after we think we do, but 404 00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:14,200 Speaker 18: we don't. We can create the environment where businesses flourish 405 00:20:14,280 --> 00:20:17,880 Speaker 18: and thrive, and work with businesses to be pro well 406 00:20:17,920 --> 00:20:20,359 Speaker 18: paid jobs, to work with businesses to make sure they 407 00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:23,080 Speaker 18: invest in young people, to work with businesses to train 408 00:20:23,160 --> 00:20:26,560 Speaker 18: up people to have the skills for the jobs being created. 409 00:20:26,960 --> 00:20:30,639 Speaker 18: My nervousness about the Layer Party is our reputation in 410 00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:35,159 Speaker 18: the recent past has been with anti growth or anti prosperity. 411 00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:39,280 Speaker 18: What Casarma Rachel reeves their teams have done is to 412 00:20:39,400 --> 00:20:41,800 Speaker 18: reassure businesses by listening to. 413 00:20:41,760 --> 00:20:43,280 Speaker 1: Them that we are pro business. 414 00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:45,040 Speaker 18: We're back at business As a result. 415 00:20:44,880 --> 00:20:47,399 Speaker 19: Mayor Sure, should London have gone the rm IPO and 416 00:20:47,520 --> 00:20:48,200 Speaker 19: was it a kick. 417 00:20:48,080 --> 00:20:50,440 Speaker 18: In the teeth not to have done so? I'm sorry 418 00:20:50,440 --> 00:20:52,919 Speaker 18: hey the r IPO. Well listen. But the great thing 419 00:20:52,920 --> 00:20:54,919 Speaker 18: about you know, London is our in the line strengths 420 00:20:54,920 --> 00:20:57,920 Speaker 18: is still there. We you know, even post Brexit, we 421 00:20:57,960 --> 00:21:00,480 Speaker 18: are still a city that has got all the things 422 00:21:00,520 --> 00:21:03,520 Speaker 18: that businesses need to invest in London, to expand in London, 423 00:21:03,520 --> 00:21:04,600 Speaker 18: and to run in London. 424 00:21:07,240 --> 00:21:10,280 Speaker 20: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Today, your morning brief on the 425 00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:13,760 Speaker 20: stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 426 00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:16,800 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed at six am 427 00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:20,520 Speaker 2: Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you 428 00:21:20,600 --> 00:21:21,760 Speaker 2: get your podcasts. 429 00:21:21,880 --> 00:21:24,600 Speaker 20: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 430 00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:27,199 Speaker 20: am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 431 00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:30,160 Speaker 20: in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, 432 00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:33,119 Speaker 20: Bloomberg one oh six to one in Boston, and Bloomberg 433 00:21:33,160 --> 00:21:34,800 Speaker 20: ninety sixty in San Francisco. 434 00:21:35,240 --> 00:21:38,400 Speaker 2: Our flagship New York station is also available on your 435 00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:43,879 Speaker 2: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty plus. 436 00:21:43,920 --> 00:21:46,879 Speaker 20: Listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app, serious 437 00:21:47,040 --> 00:21:51,000 Speaker 20: XM Channel one nineteen, the iHeartRadio app, and on Bloomberg 438 00:21:51,119 --> 00:21:51,680 Speaker 20: dot Com. 439 00:21:51,720 --> 00:21:54,040 Speaker 1: I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. 440 00:21:54,119 --> 00:21:56,879 Speaker 2: Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you 441 00:21:57,000 --> 00:21:59,760 Speaker 2: need to start your day right here on Bloomberg day 442 00:21:59,760 --> 00:22:00,240 Speaker 2: Break