WEBVTT - The Revenge of Rural America

0:00:04.800 --> 0:00:07.120
<v Speaker 1>We don't usually think of the American right wing as

0:00:07.200 --> 0:00:10.840
<v Speaker 1>protesters or activists. Conservatives tend to be older, for one thing,

0:00:10.920 --> 0:00:12.720
<v Speaker 1>and they also tend to be on the side of

0:00:12.760 --> 0:00:15.360
<v Speaker 1>state power, the side of law and order. Liberals and

0:00:15.440 --> 0:00:18.279
<v Speaker 1>leftists are more likely to agitate for major changes in

0:00:18.320 --> 0:00:21.720
<v Speaker 1>the status quo. But right wing activism isn't unheard of either,

0:00:21.920 --> 0:00:24.079
<v Speaker 1>and recent experience has made it clear that when the

0:00:24.160 --> 0:00:26.759
<v Speaker 1>right stands up, they can make a serious impact. The

0:00:26.800 --> 0:00:30.600
<v Speaker 1>two fourteen Bundy standoff made national news. What started as

0:00:30.600 --> 0:00:33.519
<v Speaker 1>a confrontation over Clive and Bundy's refusal to pay grazing

0:00:33.520 --> 0:00:35.800
<v Speaker 1>fees to the Bureau of Land Management turned into a

0:00:35.880 --> 0:00:39.720
<v Speaker 1>minor right wing uprising against state control. Hundreds of militiamen

0:00:39.760 --> 0:00:41.920
<v Speaker 1>from all over the country, clad in body armor and

0:00:42.000 --> 0:00:46.040
<v Speaker 1>packing military grade weaponry, stood against federal law enforcement agents

0:00:46.080 --> 0:00:49.600
<v Speaker 1>and made them back down. The militiamen got their way,

0:00:49.800 --> 0:00:52.000
<v Speaker 1>more or less, and they got their way again two

0:00:52.080 --> 0:00:54.800
<v Speaker 1>years later, when Clive and Bundy's sons led a group

0:00:54.840 --> 0:00:57.840
<v Speaker 1>that occupied the malhur Wildlife Refuge in Oregon. I was

0:00:57.880 --> 0:01:00.320
<v Speaker 1>actually near the Malhir Refuge for a little bit of that,

0:01:00.640 --> 0:01:03.600
<v Speaker 1>not at the refuge itself, but in the town of Burns, Oregon,

0:01:03.760 --> 0:01:05.800
<v Speaker 1>talking to locals about what it was like to live

0:01:05.840 --> 0:01:09.119
<v Speaker 1>through the armed insurrection of a far right militia. People

0:01:09.120 --> 0:01:12.080
<v Speaker 1>told me stories and militiamen roaring through town and pickup trucks,

0:01:12.120 --> 0:01:15.880
<v Speaker 1>carrying guns into local businesses and terrifying residents. The way

0:01:15.880 --> 0:01:18.400
<v Speaker 1>they described these men reminded me more than a little

0:01:18.520 --> 0:01:22.000
<v Speaker 1>of how citizens of Constantinevka, a city in eastern Ukraine,

0:01:22.040 --> 0:01:25.480
<v Speaker 1>described the Russian backed separatists who briefly occupied their city.

0:01:25.840 --> 0:01:28.360
<v Speaker 1>Some of these men were literal Russian soldiers, of course,

0:01:28.400 --> 0:01:31.160
<v Speaker 1>but others were foreigners and local partisans, people with no

0:01:31.319 --> 0:01:35.320
<v Speaker 1>military training but a love of guns and feeling powerful. Now.

0:01:35.360 --> 0:01:38.920
<v Speaker 1>In both Bundy occupations, the specific justification for what they

0:01:38.959 --> 0:01:41.360
<v Speaker 1>were doing was not something with a lot of broad appeal.

0:01:41.560 --> 0:01:44.760
<v Speaker 1>Their grievances were niche and rural. Most people who didn't

0:01:44.760 --> 0:01:47.800
<v Speaker 1>live near Malhor viewed the entire thing as something of

0:01:47.840 --> 0:01:51.440
<v Speaker 1>a silly farce. The occupiers were male, dick shaped candies

0:01:51.480 --> 0:01:54.600
<v Speaker 1>and care packages, and mocked as y'all. kDa. It is

0:01:54.640 --> 0:01:57.240
<v Speaker 1>a great nickname, but I don't think most Americans really

0:01:57.320 --> 0:02:01.280
<v Speaker 1>realize how fucking terrifying A true y'all Cada would be

0:02:01.920 --> 0:02:06.120
<v Speaker 1>a few thousands sufficiently motivated, organized, and angry rural Americans

0:02:06.440 --> 0:02:09.079
<v Speaker 1>have the power to bring this nation to its needs.

0:02:10.000 --> 0:02:12.160
<v Speaker 1>In the last episode of It Could Happen Here, I

0:02:12.280 --> 0:02:15.080
<v Speaker 1>envisioned the start of a second American Civil War, driven

0:02:15.120 --> 0:02:17.880
<v Speaker 1>by President Trump's refusal to leave office and a series

0:02:17.919 --> 0:02:21.040
<v Speaker 1>of urban left wing uprisings. Today, we're going to look

0:02:21.040 --> 0:02:23.720
<v Speaker 1>at another possibility, one that involves the other half of

0:02:23.760 --> 0:02:27.399
<v Speaker 1>the American political equation. Today we're talking about the revenge

0:02:27.520 --> 0:02:31.239
<v Speaker 1>of Rural America. Exit polls taken in the two thousand

0:02:31.280 --> 0:02:34.600
<v Speaker 1>sixteen election revealed that a whopping three quarters of Americans

0:02:34.639 --> 0:02:37.880
<v Speaker 1>felt the country was growing more divided. Ground zero for

0:02:37.880 --> 0:02:40.840
<v Speaker 1>this divide was the split between rural and urban voters.

0:02:41.280 --> 0:02:43.720
<v Speaker 1>One way to look at Donald Trump's upset victory is

0:02:43.800 --> 0:02:46.880
<v Speaker 1>as the revenge of Rural America. Rural areas across the

0:02:46.880 --> 0:02:51.280
<v Speaker 1>country saw an unprecedented turnout, and those Americans voted overwhelmingly

0:02:51.320 --> 0:02:55.680
<v Speaker 1>for Donald Trump. Representative Tom Cole, Republican from Oklahoma, said this,

0:02:55.800 --> 0:02:58.440
<v Speaker 1>at the time, we've got some big chisms out there.

0:02:58.680 --> 0:03:02.560
<v Speaker 1>Rural America's much more Republican than ever before. In the

0:03:02.560 --> 0:03:05.440
<v Speaker 1>two thousand eighteen midterm elections, the urban rural divide in

0:03:05.480 --> 0:03:08.480
<v Speaker 1>America was even more pronounced. Only twenty nine percent of

0:03:08.480 --> 0:03:12.240
<v Speaker 1>Democratic voters lived in rural areas, the remainder being suburban

0:03:12.360 --> 0:03:15.639
<v Speaker 1>or urban. For comparison, a whopping forty six percent of

0:03:15.720 --> 0:03:19.400
<v Speaker 1>Republican voters live in rural areas, only nineteen percent live

0:03:19.480 --> 0:03:23.040
<v Speaker 1>in cities. Urban and rural America see each other as

0:03:23.120 --> 0:03:27.440
<v Speaker 1>increasingly two different nations. The one strong commonality between them

0:03:27.480 --> 0:03:29.880
<v Speaker 1>is that they both believe the other chunk of America

0:03:29.960 --> 0:03:32.960
<v Speaker 1>hates them. A two thousand eighteen PU survey revealed that

0:03:33.040 --> 0:03:35.880
<v Speaker 1>majorities of both urban and rural America believe the rest

0:03:35.880 --> 0:03:38.840
<v Speaker 1>of the country quote looks down on them. Here's the

0:03:38.840 --> 0:03:42.480
<v Speaker 1>New York Times quote. P has never asked this question

0:03:42.520 --> 0:03:44.320
<v Speaker 1>before in a way that allows us to tell if

0:03:44.320 --> 0:03:47.160
<v Speaker 1>the sentiment is becoming more common, but election results show

0:03:47.240 --> 0:03:49.840
<v Speaker 1>that urban and rural Americans are increasingly at odds with

0:03:49.880 --> 0:03:52.800
<v Speaker 1>each other. The new survey confirms both believe the other

0:03:52.840 --> 0:03:56.080
<v Speaker 1>group doesn't understand their problems or share their values, and

0:03:56.120 --> 0:03:59.960
<v Speaker 1>political scientists warned that place based resentments no one respects

0:04:00.040 --> 0:04:02.800
<v Speaker 1>rural America or Trump is at war with cities can

0:04:02.840 --> 0:04:06.800
<v Speaker 1>be easily exploited by politicians. Kathy Kramer, the University of

0:04:06.800 --> 0:04:10.400
<v Speaker 1>what Wisconsin political scientists who helped Pew compile this report,

0:04:10.680 --> 0:04:12.960
<v Speaker 1>believes this divide has gotten worse since the two thousand

0:04:12.960 --> 0:04:15.720
<v Speaker 1>and sixteen election and that it represents something new and

0:04:15.800 --> 0:04:19.960
<v Speaker 1>dangerous in American politics. Quote. We're at a political moment

0:04:20.000 --> 0:04:25.400
<v Speaker 1>where cultural divides overlap with political divides, which overlap with geography. Now.

0:04:25.440 --> 0:04:28.000
<v Speaker 1>I find that Pew study interesting for a lot of reasons,

0:04:28.279 --> 0:04:30.719
<v Speaker 1>but the most concerning thing to me is that it

0:04:30.720 --> 0:04:33.520
<v Speaker 1>shows this divide between rural and urban America has not

0:04:33.680 --> 0:04:36.200
<v Speaker 1>always been as bad as it is today. Here's the

0:04:36.240 --> 0:04:40.279
<v Speaker 1>Times again. Quote. Registered voters in urban areas have become

0:04:40.320 --> 0:04:43.760
<v Speaker 1>more likely to identify as Democrats or leaning Democratic. The

0:04:43.880 --> 0:04:47.320
<v Speaker 1>opposite trend has been more pronounced among rural residents, with

0:04:47.360 --> 0:04:51.200
<v Speaker 1>a notable shift after two thousand eight. Before then, rural

0:04:51.279 --> 0:04:55.520
<v Speaker 1>voters were relatively evenly divided between the two parties. You

0:04:55.560 --> 0:04:58.120
<v Speaker 1>may not find this divide as frightening as I do,

0:04:58.320 --> 0:05:01.719
<v Speaker 1>but I think it presages something potentially quite terrible. In

0:05:01.760 --> 0:05:04.960
<v Speaker 1>addition to trending further right every year, the rural United

0:05:05.000 --> 0:05:08.000
<v Speaker 1>States kind this seems to be falling the funk apart.

0:05:08.680 --> 0:05:11.120
<v Speaker 1>Cattle rustling is on the rise again across the Southwest

0:05:11.360 --> 0:05:14.640
<v Speaker 1>and states like Oklahoma, Texas, and California. It's reached levels

0:05:14.640 --> 0:05:18.520
<v Speaker 1>not seen since literal cowboy days. Now modern wrestling is

0:05:18.560 --> 0:05:21.080
<v Speaker 1>usually driven by sky higher rates of drug abuse. In

0:05:21.080 --> 0:05:23.760
<v Speaker 1>other words, people are stealing cows to buy pain killers

0:05:23.760 --> 0:05:26.640
<v Speaker 1>in meth Agricultural theft of all kinds is actually on

0:05:26.680 --> 0:05:29.680
<v Speaker 1>the rise across the rural US. Entire semi trucks filled

0:05:29.680 --> 0:05:32.960
<v Speaker 1>with nuts and oranges are regularly hijacked via complex schemes

0:05:33.000 --> 0:05:36.920
<v Speaker 1>that often involve fake trucking companies. Rural America is also

0:05:37.000 --> 0:05:40.039
<v Speaker 1>growing more violent. For most of American history, living out

0:05:40.040 --> 0:05:42.320
<v Speaker 1>in the middle of nowhere was the safer decision, since

0:05:42.360 --> 0:05:45.599
<v Speaker 1>cities tended to have much higher crime rates. But last year,

0:05:45.720 --> 0:05:48.520
<v Speaker 1>for the first time in a decade, violent crime rates

0:05:48.520 --> 0:05:52.919
<v Speaker 1>and rural areas rose above the national average. America's suicide

0:05:53.000 --> 0:05:56.119
<v Speaker 1>rate also increased by more than twenty from two thousand

0:05:56.200 --> 0:05:59.320
<v Speaker 1>one to two thousand fifteen. Most of that increase happened

0:05:59.360 --> 0:06:02.200
<v Speaker 1>out in the country. The increases in violent crime and

0:06:02.240 --> 0:06:04.880
<v Speaker 1>suicide are both due at least in part to the

0:06:04.920 --> 0:06:07.800
<v Speaker 1>fact that gun ownership is vastly higher out in the country.

0:06:09.120 --> 0:06:13.440
<v Speaker 1>Scent of rural Americans own a firearm compared to nineteen

0:06:13.480 --> 0:06:16.920
<v Speaker 1>percent of city dwellers and twenty eight percent of suburban Americans.

0:06:17.400 --> 0:06:20.720
<v Speaker 1>Three quarters of rural Americans own more than one firearm,

0:06:21.000 --> 0:06:23.760
<v Speaker 1>and forty eight percent of gun owning rural Americans use

0:06:23.800 --> 0:06:27.240
<v Speaker 1>their firearm to hunt. So these people have practical experience

0:06:27.320 --> 0:06:29.919
<v Speaker 1>using a gun out in the world to hit live,

0:06:30.200 --> 0:06:33.960
<v Speaker 1>moving targets. Now stick all this together, and what do

0:06:34.000 --> 0:06:36.640
<v Speaker 1>you have? It sure looks like you have all the

0:06:36.800 --> 0:06:38.920
<v Speaker 1>ingredients you'd need if you wanted to cook up one

0:06:39.000 --> 0:06:42.560
<v Speaker 1>ass kicker of an insurgency. And if the second American

0:06:42.600 --> 0:06:45.040
<v Speaker 1>Civil War kicks off in the rural areas, I can

0:06:45.080 --> 0:06:47.880
<v Speaker 1>almost guarantee you it will start with a massive new

0:06:47.920 --> 0:06:52.200
<v Speaker 1>push for national gun control. Kamala Harris, easily one of

0:06:52.240 --> 0:06:55.480
<v Speaker 1>the primary front running Democratic candidates in the current bevy

0:06:55.480 --> 0:06:59.080
<v Speaker 1>of candidates, is outspoken about her desire to ban all

0:06:59.080 --> 0:07:02.760
<v Speaker 1>semi automatic firearms. This would ban the vast majority of

0:07:02.800 --> 0:07:06.320
<v Speaker 1>America's civilian owned guns, literally making tens of millions of

0:07:06.320 --> 0:07:09.880
<v Speaker 1>people into criminals overnight. The only weapons left legal would

0:07:09.880 --> 0:07:13.640
<v Speaker 1>be revolvers, shotguns, and bolt action hunting rifles, which are

0:07:13.680 --> 0:07:16.920
<v Speaker 1>ironically the very weapons outside of bolt action weapons most

0:07:16.920 --> 0:07:19.520
<v Speaker 1>likely to be used in violent crime. In the immediate

0:07:19.560 --> 0:07:21.920
<v Speaker 1>wake of President Trump's decision to declare a state of

0:07:21.960 --> 0:07:25.640
<v Speaker 1>emergency over the border, conservative never trumpers like Rick Wilson

0:07:25.680 --> 0:07:28.360
<v Speaker 1>took to Twitter to warn not that Trump might seize power,

0:07:28.800 --> 0:07:32.200
<v Speaker 1>that setting this precedent would inevitably lead to Democrats declaring

0:07:32.200 --> 0:07:34.880
<v Speaker 1>a state of emergency of their own over gun violence

0:07:34.960 --> 0:07:38.200
<v Speaker 1>once they were back in the Oval Office. On January eight,

0:07:38.400 --> 0:07:41.560
<v Speaker 1>during a scene and appearance, Parkland shooting survivor David Hogg

0:07:41.760 --> 0:07:45.120
<v Speaker 1>said this quote, if we really want to start talking

0:07:45.120 --> 0:07:47.760
<v Speaker 1>about the national emergency, like the President likes to talk about,

0:07:48.040 --> 0:07:51.040
<v Speaker 1>forty Americans dying annually from gun violence, is a pretty

0:07:51.080 --> 0:07:54.840
<v Speaker 1>damn good one to start with. Last year, The Atlantic

0:07:54.880 --> 0:07:58.760
<v Speaker 1>published an article by Elizabeth Gaitin evaluating the extent of

0:07:58.800 --> 0:08:03.000
<v Speaker 1>the president's emergency hours. In February two thousand, nineteen, Pacific

0:08:03.040 --> 0:08:06.280
<v Speaker 1>Standard Magazine applied that to the possibility of a national

0:08:06.280 --> 0:08:11.240
<v Speaker 1>emergency over guns. Quote. The legal infrastructure to levy an

0:08:11.240 --> 0:08:15.360
<v Speaker 1>emergency declaration Goyton rights exists thanks to the Presidential Emergency

0:08:15.400 --> 0:08:19.200
<v Speaker 1>Action documents developed by the Eisenhower administration designed to address

0:08:19.360 --> 0:08:22.560
<v Speaker 1>such extra legal actions as declarations of martial law and

0:08:22.600 --> 0:08:26.240
<v Speaker 1>the suppression of habeas corpus. These documents could potentially extend

0:08:26.320 --> 0:08:29.880
<v Speaker 1>to encompass outright firearms confiscations given the scope of a

0:08:30.000 --> 0:08:34.120
<v Speaker 1>national crisis. Now. Back during Hurricane KATRAINA, the New Orleans

0:08:34.160 --> 0:08:38.000
<v Speaker 1>Police Department ordered evacuating citizens to hand over their firearms

0:08:38.000 --> 0:08:42.040
<v Speaker 1>to the police Superintendent Edwin P. Compass the third later

0:08:42.080 --> 0:08:44.800
<v Speaker 1>declared a blanket confiscation of all firearms in the city,

0:08:45.000 --> 0:08:48.600
<v Speaker 1>saying only law enforcement are allowed to have weapons. At

0:08:48.600 --> 0:08:50.960
<v Speaker 1>the time, a federal court issued a restraining order to

0:08:51.040 --> 0:08:53.720
<v Speaker 1>stop the weapons confiscations, so they did not go through

0:08:54.040 --> 0:08:57.120
<v Speaker 1>all the way, but weapons were confiscated. And of course

0:08:57.120 --> 0:08:59.720
<v Speaker 1>that was a very different time with a Republican president

0:08:59.760 --> 0:09:02.320
<v Speaker 1>and a few hundred fewer mass shootings in recent memory.

0:09:02.760 --> 0:09:05.640
<v Speaker 1>President Harris's semi automatic weapons ban would have to be

0:09:05.720 --> 0:09:08.800
<v Speaker 1>followed by mass confiscation. Tens of millions of gun owners

0:09:08.800 --> 0:09:12.560
<v Speaker 1>will not hand over their weapons willingly. There are literally

0:09:12.640 --> 0:09:15.400
<v Speaker 1>more privately owned firearms than people in the United States,

0:09:15.559 --> 0:09:17.320
<v Speaker 1>and half of those guns are owned by just three

0:09:17.320 --> 0:09:19.760
<v Speaker 1>percent of gun owners. I'm going to give you one

0:09:19.800 --> 0:09:21.800
<v Speaker 1>guess as to which part of the country most of

0:09:21.800 --> 0:09:25.640
<v Speaker 1>those gun owners live. Earlier this year, Washington State passed

0:09:25.640 --> 0:09:28.520
<v Speaker 1>a new set of gun control regulations. The restrictions are

0:09:28.559 --> 0:09:31.520
<v Speaker 1>fairly mild compared to Kamala Harris's proposition, and the new

0:09:31.600 --> 0:09:34.480
<v Speaker 1>law is popular with the state's liberal majority. Fifty nine

0:09:34.520 --> 0:09:37.880
<v Speaker 1>percent of Washingtonian supported it, but most of those people.

0:09:38.040 --> 0:09:41.200
<v Speaker 1>Most of those supporters live in urban areas like Seattle.

0:09:41.600 --> 0:09:46.640
<v Speaker 1>In conservative, rural and suburban Washington, people are pissed. Sixteen

0:09:46.679 --> 0:09:49.440
<v Speaker 1>sheriffs have so far declared that they will not enforce

0:09:49.480 --> 0:09:52.840
<v Speaker 1>the new law. Here's the Wall Street Journal quote. Sheriff

0:09:52.920 --> 0:09:55.520
<v Speaker 1>Tom Jones of Grant County, also in eastern Washington, is

0:09:55.520 --> 0:09:57.000
<v Speaker 1>one of a number of sheriffs who have said that

0:09:57.000 --> 0:09:58.880
<v Speaker 1>they would wait for the courts to rule before telling

0:09:58.960 --> 0:10:01.440
<v Speaker 1>their deputies to enforce the new law. I swore an

0:10:01.440 --> 0:10:04.560
<v Speaker 1>oath to defend our citizens and their constitutionally protected rights,

0:10:04.640 --> 0:10:07.120
<v Speaker 1>said mister Jones, whose county voted against the gun control

0:10:07.120 --> 0:10:09.160
<v Speaker 1>measure by more than two to one. I do not

0:10:09.320 --> 0:10:13.040
<v Speaker 1>believe the popular vote over rules that now there are

0:10:13.120 --> 0:10:16.040
<v Speaker 1>hundreds of thousands of heavily armed Americans right now who

0:10:16.120 --> 0:10:19.040
<v Speaker 1>see armed resistance to the state as something aspirational as

0:10:19.080 --> 0:10:22.160
<v Speaker 1>a dream. Most of these guys, and they are mostly guys,

0:10:22.360 --> 0:10:24.800
<v Speaker 1>don't have any real combat training. A lot of them

0:10:24.800 --> 0:10:28.680
<v Speaker 1>are probably just LARPing, play acting. But the Bundy standoff

0:10:28.760 --> 0:10:30.920
<v Speaker 1>was proof that even Larper's with a shipload of a

0:10:31.040 --> 0:10:34.320
<v Speaker 1>r fifteens can scare the federal government in the face

0:10:34.360 --> 0:10:36.880
<v Speaker 1>of a major gun band. How many rural communities and

0:10:36.920 --> 0:10:40.160
<v Speaker 1>how many states would say fuck you to a democratic president.

0:10:40.760 --> 0:10:43.200
<v Speaker 1>The Yellow vest movement kicked off as a suburban and

0:10:43.280 --> 0:10:46.480
<v Speaker 1>rural movement in France, a revolt from the more conservative

0:10:46.480 --> 0:10:49.880
<v Speaker 1>sections of that country society against a neoliberal president and

0:10:49.960 --> 0:10:52.240
<v Speaker 1>his policies. I'm going to quote from the New York

0:10:52.240 --> 0:10:55.280
<v Speaker 1>Times here. The movement originated in May when a woman

0:10:55.320 --> 0:10:58.160
<v Speaker 1>named Priscilla Ludovski, who has an internet cosmetics business and

0:10:58.200 --> 0:11:00.800
<v Speaker 1>lives in the suburb southeast of Paris, launched an internet

0:11:00.840 --> 0:11:03.480
<v Speaker 1>petition calling for a drop in gas prices. She broke

0:11:03.520 --> 0:11:05.959
<v Speaker 1>down the price into its components, noting the taxes made

0:11:06.000 --> 0:11:08.160
<v Speaker 1>up more than half the cost. In France per leader

0:11:08.280 --> 0:11:10.760
<v Speaker 1>lead free gas was one point four one euros on Sunday,

0:11:10.840 --> 0:11:13.839
<v Speaker 1>or about six dollars per gallon. The petition went mostly

0:11:13.880 --> 0:11:16.760
<v Speaker 1>unnoticed until October when Eric drew it. A truck driver

0:11:16.840 --> 0:11:19.480
<v Speaker 1>from the same area as miss Ladowski ran across it

0:11:19.559 --> 0:11:23.000
<v Speaker 1>and circulated it among his Facebook friends. Newspapers began writing

0:11:23.000 --> 0:11:25.720
<v Speaker 1>out the petition, and the number of signature skyrocketed from

0:11:25.720 --> 0:11:29.560
<v Speaker 1>an initial seven hundred to two hundred thousand. Now, the

0:11:29.640 --> 0:11:32.560
<v Speaker 1>yellowvest movement in France is not a purely conservative thing

0:11:32.720 --> 0:11:35.439
<v Speaker 1>within France itself. It's actually much more divided than that.

0:11:35.679 --> 0:11:37.439
<v Speaker 1>But I think it provides a good look at how

0:11:37.440 --> 0:11:40.840
<v Speaker 1>an activist movement can launch amongst older and more conservative

0:11:40.880 --> 0:11:44.079
<v Speaker 1>segments of a modern society. I also think rising gas

0:11:44.080 --> 0:11:46.920
<v Speaker 1>prices could very well be another generator of rural rage

0:11:47.040 --> 0:11:49.839
<v Speaker 1>here in America. People who live in the country spend

0:11:49.840 --> 0:11:52.520
<v Speaker 1>more on gas because they have to drive further distances.

0:11:52.880 --> 0:11:55.319
<v Speaker 1>There is a good chance that any Green New Deal

0:11:55.400 --> 0:11:58.480
<v Speaker 1>style plan to slow global warming introduced by a democratic

0:11:58.480 --> 0:12:02.679
<v Speaker 1>administration would include to gas tax. Rural areas grow our

0:12:02.720 --> 0:12:05.600
<v Speaker 1>food in a very real way that keep the cities alive,

0:12:05.800 --> 0:12:07.600
<v Speaker 1>and the people who live in those places know it.

0:12:07.920 --> 0:12:10.840
<v Speaker 1>Just to say, air traffic controllers and stewardesses had the

0:12:10.840 --> 0:12:13.720
<v Speaker 1>power to ind a government shutdown by threatening air travel.

0:12:14.160 --> 0:12:17.520
<v Speaker 1>Rural Americans have something they too can hold captive. In

0:12:17.559 --> 0:12:21.800
<v Speaker 1>their case, it's the food supply. This would of course

0:12:21.800 --> 0:12:24.560
<v Speaker 1>require a great deal of organization, lists of demands, and

0:12:24.600 --> 0:12:26.839
<v Speaker 1>political figureheads to speak for the movement, to lend it

0:12:26.880 --> 0:12:28.760
<v Speaker 1>a shape and a sense of purpose, and I can

0:12:28.800 --> 0:12:31.480
<v Speaker 1>guarantee you that Joey Gibson, the founder of Patriot Prayer,

0:12:31.520 --> 0:12:33.760
<v Speaker 1>would at least try to be one of them. Joey

0:12:33.800 --> 0:12:35.319
<v Speaker 1>is one of the leading figures in the right wing

0:12:35.360 --> 0:12:38.120
<v Speaker 1>activist movement that's arisen since the two thousand sixteen election.

0:12:38.240 --> 0:12:40.640
<v Speaker 1>Along with the Proud Boys, Joey and Patriot Prayer have

0:12:40.679 --> 0:12:43.280
<v Speaker 1>spent the last two years brawling against Antifa with fists

0:12:43.280 --> 0:12:46.720
<v Speaker 1>and flagpoles, but they have also held numerous armed marches

0:12:46.880 --> 0:12:51.680
<v Speaker 1>in full body armor carrying rifles. Gibson lives in Vancouver, Washington.

0:12:52.160 --> 0:12:54.559
<v Speaker 1>Most members of his gang come from either suburban or

0:12:54.640 --> 0:12:58.040
<v Speaker 1>rural areas around Portland, Oregon. If you watch hours and

0:12:58.080 --> 0:13:00.679
<v Speaker 1>hourage of their footage marches and ee O rants like

0:13:00.720 --> 0:13:03.720
<v Speaker 1>I have, you'll regularly hear these people describe their constant

0:13:03.760 --> 0:13:06.720
<v Speaker 1>bloody rallies in Portland as something of a crusade. Christian

0:13:06.760 --> 0:13:09.640
<v Speaker 1>Holy warriors descending into a decadent left wing city to

0:13:09.760 --> 0:13:12.840
<v Speaker 1>purchase of sin. In the last episode, I played several

0:13:12.840 --> 0:13:15.079
<v Speaker 1>clips of Alex Jones calling for a new civil war

0:13:15.120 --> 0:13:17.520
<v Speaker 1>against the left. Joey Gibson just happens to be a

0:13:17.559 --> 0:13:20.679
<v Speaker 1>regular guest on Info Wars. Last December, he joined the

0:13:20.720 --> 0:13:24.160
<v Speaker 1>show to talk about Washington's new gun control laws. It's

0:13:24.160 --> 0:13:26.560
<v Speaker 1>out of control and I've seen the videos on your shite.

0:13:26.800 --> 0:13:28.520
<v Speaker 1>You should plug no place people can find these. We're

0:13:28.520 --> 0:13:31.440
<v Speaker 1>gonna post some of these tempful wars dot com. You're

0:13:31.480 --> 0:13:34.319
<v Speaker 1>getting crowds of hundreds and hundreds of people in small towns,

0:13:34.360 --> 0:13:36.760
<v Speaker 1>counties coming out and they are really pitched about this.

0:13:38.200 --> 0:13:41.599
<v Speaker 1>They're really upset. We had almost three people in the

0:13:41.679 --> 0:13:44.040
<v Speaker 1>county with about ten thousand people in it, and they

0:13:44.040 --> 0:13:47.160
<v Speaker 1>were extremely concerned. They're really upset. They're sick and tired

0:13:47.160 --> 0:13:49.640
<v Speaker 1>of Seattle telling them what they can or cannot do.

0:13:50.040 --> 0:13:52.360
<v Speaker 1>These people just they just want to be free, They

0:13:52.360 --> 0:13:54.600
<v Speaker 1>want to be left alone. And so I think this

0:13:54.679 --> 0:13:57.280
<v Speaker 1>is the key in states like Washington and Oregon, the

0:13:57.440 --> 0:13:59.640
<v Speaker 1>keys to go around to all the counties that believe

0:13:59.640 --> 0:14:01.880
<v Speaker 1>in the car Institution, which is about nine of the

0:14:01.880 --> 0:14:05.200
<v Speaker 1>counties of Washington State, most of our conservative Now I've

0:14:05.200 --> 0:14:07.319
<v Speaker 1>met Joey. He's not a brilliant man or a likely

0:14:07.360 --> 0:14:10.280
<v Speaker 1>pick for a right wing revolutionary war lord. He would try,

0:14:10.440 --> 0:14:14.040
<v Speaker 1>but for my money, a likelier pick for rural insurrectionist

0:14:14.040 --> 0:14:17.520
<v Speaker 1>war lord would be someone like Ryan Bundy. You've seen

0:14:17.640 --> 0:14:19.600
<v Speaker 1>Ryan on the news a few times, especially if you

0:14:19.720 --> 0:14:22.440
<v Speaker 1>kept up with the Bundy standoff back in two thousand fourteen.

0:14:22.880 --> 0:14:24.920
<v Speaker 1>He's one of the sons of Clive and Bunny, the

0:14:25.000 --> 0:14:28.240
<v Speaker 1>old racist rancher who masterminded that standoff with the Bureau

0:14:28.320 --> 0:14:31.560
<v Speaker 1>of Land Management in Bunkerville, Nevada. Ryan is the one

0:14:31.600 --> 0:14:33.720
<v Speaker 1>with the facial deformity. This has led a lot of

0:14:33.720 --> 0:14:35.520
<v Speaker 1>people online to treat him as if he is a

0:14:35.520 --> 0:14:39.280
<v Speaker 1>big dum dummy because bigotry knows no political bounds. But

0:14:39.440 --> 0:14:43.120
<v Speaker 1>Ryan Bundy is not dumb. He was probably the driving

0:14:43.160 --> 0:14:46.160
<v Speaker 1>force behind the two thousand sixteen occupation of the Malhir

0:14:46.360 --> 0:14:49.840
<v Speaker 1>Wildlife Refuge. Ryan spent months in jail over that, but

0:14:49.880 --> 0:14:53.080
<v Speaker 1>he defended himself against the court and one. Some of

0:14:53.080 --> 0:14:55.880
<v Speaker 1>this was due to the serious mistakes made by the prosecution,

0:14:56.160 --> 0:14:58.880
<v Speaker 1>but a lot of it came down to Ryan's personal charisma,

0:14:59.000 --> 0:15:01.360
<v Speaker 1>his ability to sway a jury of his peers to

0:15:01.400 --> 0:15:05.320
<v Speaker 1>believe in the righteousness of his cause. Right now, Ryan

0:15:05.400 --> 0:15:08.760
<v Speaker 1>is running for governor of Nevada. He's probably a long

0:15:08.760 --> 0:15:12.800
<v Speaker 1>shot candidate, but it doesn't really matter. Dozens upon dozens

0:15:12.880 --> 0:15:15.600
<v Speaker 1>of heavily armed men and women were willing to gather

0:15:15.720 --> 0:15:19.040
<v Speaker 1>and put their lives on the line for his family twice.

0:15:19.760 --> 0:15:22.280
<v Speaker 1>There is a weird religious crusade angle to what the

0:15:22.320 --> 0:15:25.359
<v Speaker 1>Bundees have been doing, based on a fringe Mormon prophecy.

0:15:25.680 --> 0:15:29.640
<v Speaker 1>The fantastic podcast Bundyville, which I heartily recommend, goes into

0:15:29.640 --> 0:15:31.800
<v Speaker 1>more detail on this, but the short of it is

0:15:31.840 --> 0:15:34.120
<v Speaker 1>they believe that they've been chosen by God to defend

0:15:34.160 --> 0:15:38.520
<v Speaker 1>the Constitution, or at least their interpretation of the Constitution.

0:15:39.400 --> 0:15:41.240
<v Speaker 1>This is the kind of nutbar stuff that I think

0:15:41.240 --> 0:15:43.920
<v Speaker 1>a lot of liberals are prone to laugh about. I

0:15:43.960 --> 0:15:47.320
<v Speaker 1>don't find anything funny about the Bundees. Two people have

0:15:47.400 --> 0:15:51.080
<v Speaker 1>already been radicalized into killing by their rhetoric. In June

0:15:51.080 --> 0:15:54.280
<v Speaker 1>of two thousand fourteen, Jerried and Amanda Miller, fresh from

0:15:54.320 --> 0:15:57.240
<v Speaker 1>taking part in the standoff at Bundy Ranch, drove into

0:15:57.320 --> 0:15:59.840
<v Speaker 1>Las Vegas and walked into a Cisi's Pizza with a

0:16:00.000 --> 0:16:03.400
<v Speaker 1>small arsenal. They opened fire on two officers sitting and

0:16:03.480 --> 0:16:07.400
<v Speaker 1>eating lunch, killing both. As they started shooting, the couple

0:16:07.440 --> 0:16:11.320
<v Speaker 1>allegedly yelled this is the start of a revolution. One

0:16:11.360 --> 0:16:14.880
<v Speaker 1>dead officer was covered in a Gadsden flag, another was

0:16:14.920 --> 0:16:18.080
<v Speaker 1>covered in a Nazi flag. Jared and Amanda killed one

0:16:18.080 --> 0:16:21.360
<v Speaker 1>more person, a random bystander, before dying in a gunfight

0:16:21.400 --> 0:16:24.720
<v Speaker 1>with police. Now, the Millers had a lot of other

0:16:24.800 --> 0:16:28.360
<v Speaker 1>radicalizing factors behind their rampage than just the Bundy standoff,

0:16:28.600 --> 0:16:31.640
<v Speaker 1>but it was an important step in their journey. Lavoy

0:16:31.720 --> 0:16:34.280
<v Speaker 1>Finnickham is probably a better example of a man who

0:16:34.320 --> 0:16:37.760
<v Speaker 1>died explicitly for the Bundy's. He was shot reaching for

0:16:37.880 --> 0:16:40.520
<v Speaker 1>a gun after being stopped with Ryan and his brother

0:16:40.560 --> 0:16:44.720
<v Speaker 1>Amon during the Malhir occupation. In June of two thousand sixteen,

0:16:44.880 --> 0:16:47.960
<v Speaker 1>William Keiebler, a Utah militia leader and close adherent of

0:16:48.000 --> 0:16:51.080
<v Speaker 1>the Bundies, was arrested and charged for trying to detonate

0:16:51.120 --> 0:16:55.480
<v Speaker 1>homemade bombs at a BLM building in Arizona. So that's

0:16:55.560 --> 0:16:59.000
<v Speaker 1>three distinct cases and four individual people who have been

0:16:59.080 --> 0:17:03.280
<v Speaker 1>radicalized into violent, deadly action by the rhetoric and beliefs

0:17:03.480 --> 0:17:06.720
<v Speaker 1>of the Bundy clan. In a situation where order starts

0:17:06.720 --> 0:17:10.000
<v Speaker 1>to break down even more in rural America and extremist

0:17:10.000 --> 0:17:12.760
<v Speaker 1>groups begin to tear at the fabric of our society,

0:17:12.960 --> 0:17:15.320
<v Speaker 1>you can bet the Bundy's will not just sit back

0:17:15.359 --> 0:17:19.200
<v Speaker 1>and watch. So far, the Bundy family have mostly agitated

0:17:19.240 --> 0:17:21.880
<v Speaker 1>around land rights and what they depict as the struggle

0:17:21.880 --> 0:17:25.399
<v Speaker 1>of American ranchers against the tyrannical government. But they and

0:17:25.400 --> 0:17:28.560
<v Speaker 1>their supporters are also huge backers of the Second Amendment,

0:17:28.800 --> 0:17:32.000
<v Speaker 1>and if they were to organize even violently in defense

0:17:32.080 --> 0:17:34.200
<v Speaker 1>of the right to bear arms, I think you would

0:17:34.200 --> 0:17:37.640
<v Speaker 1>see them receive a lot of support from even mainstream conservatives.

0:17:38.480 --> 0:17:41.399
<v Speaker 1>Tucker Carlson is one of the most popular conservatives in

0:17:41.440 --> 0:17:44.359
<v Speaker 1>modern America. Here's a clip from a December four, two

0:17:44.680 --> 0:17:47.159
<v Speaker 1>seventeen episode of his show. During an interview with a

0:17:47.160 --> 0:17:50.000
<v Speaker 1>gun control advocate, the fact is, we need to have

0:17:50.119 --> 0:17:53.000
<v Speaker 1>fewer guns, and we need to talk about banning entire

0:17:53.080 --> 0:17:56.479
<v Speaker 1>classes of especially dangerous firearms like US all weapons. And

0:17:56.520 --> 0:17:59.040
<v Speaker 1>I think we have to talk about not just banning them,

0:17:59.040 --> 0:18:01.640
<v Speaker 1>but requiring them people allow the government to buy them back.

0:18:01.960 --> 0:18:07.080
<v Speaker 1>So you're universal gun confiscations. What you're talking about about

0:18:07.160 --> 0:18:09.639
<v Speaker 1>universal gun confiscations. So you're saying ban a class of

0:18:09.680 --> 0:18:12.919
<v Speaker 1>firearms that would be any rifle with you know, a

0:18:12.960 --> 0:18:15.919
<v Speaker 1>capacity of more than one above a certain caliber. I mean,

0:18:15.960 --> 0:18:18.119
<v Speaker 1>I don't know what the criteria are that you're suggesting,

0:18:18.480 --> 0:18:20.800
<v Speaker 1>but basically any gun they would use for deer hunting

0:18:20.800 --> 0:18:23.320
<v Speaker 1>would be banned. No, I would make a distinction between

0:18:23.440 --> 0:18:26.160
<v Speaker 1>long guns that are technically semi automatic of the kind

0:18:26.240 --> 0:18:29.280
<v Speaker 1>like my dad uses the taunts, and semi automatic assault

0:18:29.359 --> 0:18:32.040
<v Speaker 1>weapons that have to gon owners and hunters like me.

0:18:32.119 --> 0:18:33.840
<v Speaker 1>These are meaningless distinctions. But let's just go right to

0:18:33.840 --> 0:18:35.400
<v Speaker 1>the meat of it. What do you do to people

0:18:35.400 --> 0:18:38.399
<v Speaker 1>who won't sell them back? Um? I think you. I

0:18:38.440 --> 0:18:40.560
<v Speaker 1>think you had a bare minimum sort of find them

0:18:40.560 --> 0:18:42.680
<v Speaker 1>severely for it, and build an incentive for them to

0:18:42.720 --> 0:18:44.480
<v Speaker 1>selve them ready for the civil war that would ensue

0:18:44.480 --> 0:18:46.720
<v Speaker 1>when you try and take people's guns. And I'm serious. Now,

0:18:46.840 --> 0:18:49.239
<v Speaker 1>I can't think of many Americans I personally despise more

0:18:49.240 --> 0:18:51.720
<v Speaker 1>than Tucker Carlson, but I don't think he's wrong about that.

0:18:51.920 --> 0:18:54.800
<v Speaker 1>And if large chunks of rural America declared their resistance

0:18:54.840 --> 0:18:57.280
<v Speaker 1>to the federal government, the state would not have a

0:18:57.280 --> 0:19:00.480
<v Speaker 1>lot of options for stopping them. Both rural and urban

0:19:00.480 --> 0:19:03.360
<v Speaker 1>America have seen declines in the number of police officers

0:19:03.359 --> 0:19:05.880
<v Speaker 1>in recent years, but the rural parts of this country

0:19:05.920 --> 0:19:08.080
<v Speaker 1>are the only place where that dropping cops has led

0:19:08.119 --> 0:19:11.680
<v Speaker 1>to a surge in crime. So rural Americans, who grow

0:19:11.720 --> 0:19:14.760
<v Speaker 1>most of our food feel increasingly isolated from the majority

0:19:14.800 --> 0:19:17.639
<v Speaker 1>of the United States. They are already dealing with a

0:19:17.680 --> 0:19:20.840
<v Speaker 1>significant breakdown of civil order. And oh yeah, they just

0:19:20.920 --> 0:19:23.639
<v Speaker 1>happen to have most of America's three hundred something million

0:19:23.680 --> 0:19:37.720
<v Speaker 1>privately owned firearms. We don't, don't, I hope. At this point,

0:19:37.800 --> 0:19:41.600
<v Speaker 1>I've established how very possible a rural revolt is. Now

0:19:41.800 --> 0:19:44.240
<v Speaker 1>let's take a look at how it might actually happen.

0:19:45.320 --> 0:19:47.520
<v Speaker 1>Head north from San Francisco on the I five, and

0:19:47.520 --> 0:19:49.720
<v Speaker 1>before long, the verdant green of the Bay will give

0:19:49.720 --> 0:19:52.560
<v Speaker 1>away to rolling yellow hills, creeping higher and higher until

0:19:52.600 --> 0:19:55.360
<v Speaker 1>they become mountains. By the time you hit Read in California,

0:19:55.480 --> 0:19:58.399
<v Speaker 1>about three hours north from Silicon Valley, you'll be in

0:19:58.400 --> 0:20:00.720
<v Speaker 1>a place that does not feel like cal Alifornia, or

0:20:00.760 --> 0:20:03.440
<v Speaker 1>at least not the California that most of the world knows.

0:20:04.080 --> 0:20:06.760
<v Speaker 1>Reading is not a progressive hippie town like so many

0:20:06.760 --> 0:20:09.919
<v Speaker 1>small cities in northern California. It's filled with gun stores,

0:20:09.960 --> 0:20:13.760
<v Speaker 1>gigantic trucks, Bible schools, and churches. As you near reading,

0:20:13.800 --> 0:20:16.280
<v Speaker 1>you start to see strange signs, flags that bear a

0:20:16.359 --> 0:20:19.760
<v Speaker 1>yellow circle with two exes inside it on a green background.

0:20:20.080 --> 0:20:22.960
<v Speaker 1>This is the flag of the State of Jefferson. The

0:20:23.000 --> 0:20:25.920
<v Speaker 1>double exes stand for the fact that most rural Californians

0:20:25.960 --> 0:20:28.280
<v Speaker 1>believe they have been double crossed by the big cities

0:20:28.320 --> 0:20:31.960
<v Speaker 1>where most Californians reside. The State of Jefferson movement wants

0:20:32.000 --> 0:20:34.840
<v Speaker 1>to secede from California so they can pay fewer taxes,

0:20:35.000 --> 0:20:38.479
<v Speaker 1>particularly on gasoline, which California taxes at a higher rate

0:20:38.560 --> 0:20:43.359
<v Speaker 1>than any other state. Jeffersonians or wanna be Jeffersonians, however

0:20:43.359 --> 0:20:46.879
<v Speaker 1>you prefer to identify them, also advocate for looser gun laws,

0:20:46.960 --> 0:20:49.640
<v Speaker 1>more in line with so called free states like Texas.

0:20:50.240 --> 0:20:51.880
<v Speaker 1>You see a lot of Trump flags in this part

0:20:51.880 --> 0:20:54.200
<v Speaker 1>of California, at least more than you see in other

0:20:54.240 --> 0:20:57.440
<v Speaker 1>parts of the state. Most Californians, if they've even heard

0:20:57.440 --> 0:20:59.600
<v Speaker 1>of the state of Jefferson, view it is a big joke.

0:21:00.080 --> 0:21:02.920
<v Speaker 1>The movement has existed for decades now without ever managing

0:21:02.960 --> 0:21:05.679
<v Speaker 1>to move forward on their dreams of secession. But I

0:21:05.720 --> 0:21:08.480
<v Speaker 1>can say with confidence that for many people in rural

0:21:08.520 --> 0:21:11.680
<v Speaker 1>nor Caw, the state of Jefferson is anything but a joke.

0:21:12.520 --> 0:21:14.840
<v Speaker 1>From two thousand thirteen to two thousand sixteen, I spent

0:21:14.880 --> 0:21:18.439
<v Speaker 1>increasing chunks of time in rural inland California, mostly in

0:21:18.440 --> 0:21:21.719
<v Speaker 1>the tiny mountain communities in and around Reading. You probably

0:21:21.720 --> 0:21:23.520
<v Speaker 1>haven't heard of any of the towns I lived in.

0:21:23.600 --> 0:21:28.439
<v Speaker 1>They are not tourist destinations. They have names like red Bluff, Weaverville, Dunsmere,

0:21:28.680 --> 0:21:31.520
<v Speaker 1>and Shingletown. The place I spent most of my time

0:21:31.840 --> 0:21:34.760
<v Speaker 1>was Manton, a small community tucked deep in the middle

0:21:34.760 --> 0:21:38.000
<v Speaker 1>of nowhere. Most residents in Manton either grew weed or

0:21:38.040 --> 0:21:41.840
<v Speaker 1>cooked meth. Some did both. There are two roads into Manton,

0:21:42.040 --> 0:21:44.359
<v Speaker 1>one long and lonesome road from red Bluff and a

0:21:44.400 --> 0:21:47.480
<v Speaker 1>harrepin mountain road in from Shingletown, and all the months

0:21:47.520 --> 0:21:50.080
<v Speaker 1>I spent there over three years, I did not see

0:21:50.119 --> 0:21:53.679
<v Speaker 1>a single police car. Manton is not entirely free from

0:21:53.680 --> 0:21:55.399
<v Speaker 1>the long arm of the law, but most of what

0:21:55.480 --> 0:21:58.919
<v Speaker 1>transpires there is well outside of its grasp. That fact

0:21:59.000 --> 0:22:02.320
<v Speaker 1>does not make Manton an oddity in rural California. In

0:22:02.320 --> 0:22:06.040
<v Speaker 1>two thousand eighteen, McClatchy, a media company based in Sacramento,

0:22:06.160 --> 0:22:10.040
<v Speaker 1>investigated the number of law enforcement officers in rural California.

0:22:10.160 --> 0:22:14.879
<v Speaker 1>Here's how the Sacramento Be summarized things quote. Departments in

0:22:14.920 --> 0:22:18.639
<v Speaker 1>multiple jurisdictions are operating with skeleton stabs, McClatchy found, pushing

0:22:18.640 --> 0:22:21.399
<v Speaker 1>response times into hours, or sometimes leaving residents without a

0:22:21.400 --> 0:22:24.840
<v Speaker 1>response at all. In Trinity County, deputies regularly cover hundreds

0:22:24.840 --> 0:22:27.800
<v Speaker 1>of miles of territory alone. When law enforcement does arrive

0:22:27.800 --> 0:22:30.600
<v Speaker 1>in many outlying places, it's often a single officer, cut

0:22:30.600 --> 0:22:33.239
<v Speaker 1>off from back up and in some cases communication with

0:22:33.280 --> 0:22:36.080
<v Speaker 1>his or her department. We have no money, we have

0:22:36.160 --> 0:22:39.520
<v Speaker 1>no people, said Modoc County Sheriff Mike Pointdexter, echoing more

0:22:39.560 --> 0:22:42.480
<v Speaker 1>than a dozen rural California sheriffs. We don't have near

0:22:42.560 --> 0:22:47.280
<v Speaker 1>enough people. We just don't now. McClatchy interviewed officers and

0:22:47.400 --> 0:22:51.680
<v Speaker 1>citizens and reviewed crime statistics for twenty five rural Californian counties.

0:22:51.960 --> 0:22:54.639
<v Speaker 1>These places accounted for forty one percent of the state's

0:22:54.720 --> 0:22:57.919
<v Speaker 1>land mass but just four percent of its population. McClatchy

0:22:57.960 --> 0:23:00.480
<v Speaker 1>found that from two thousand eight to two thousands. Seventeen,

0:23:00.760 --> 0:23:03.320
<v Speaker 1>the number of rural deputies in these areas dropped from

0:23:03.400 --> 0:23:05.920
<v Speaker 1>seventeen hundred and fifty eight to sixteen hundred and ten.

0:23:06.359 --> 0:23:09.480
<v Speaker 1>This means roughly sixteen hundred men and women are responsible

0:23:09.480 --> 0:23:13.119
<v Speaker 1>for maintaining order in nearly half of America's third largest state.

0:23:14.200 --> 0:23:16.479
<v Speaker 1>Right now, the state of Jefferson is only in favor

0:23:16.480 --> 0:23:19.040
<v Speaker 1>of seceding from California. They want to be the United

0:23:19.080 --> 0:23:21.960
<v Speaker 1>States is fifty first state. But if you listen to

0:23:21.960 --> 0:23:24.199
<v Speaker 1>how these people talk, the amount of anger they have

0:23:24.320 --> 0:23:27.320
<v Speaker 1>for urban Californians, you might conclude that they could be

0:23:27.359 --> 0:23:30.840
<v Speaker 1>convinced to take more extreme action. I found an l

0:23:30.880 --> 0:23:33.320
<v Speaker 1>A Times article about the state of Jefferson. The journalist

0:23:33.359 --> 0:23:34.960
<v Speaker 1>who wrote it went to a meeting some of these

0:23:34.960 --> 0:23:37.160
<v Speaker 1>people held, and he quoted the speech of a prominent

0:23:37.200 --> 0:23:41.040
<v Speaker 1>State of Jefferson advocate, Mark Baird, a rancher in Siskiyou County.

0:23:41.440 --> 0:23:44.800
<v Speaker 1>Mark told his fellow rural Californians, you're the ones being

0:23:44.840 --> 0:23:48.800
<v Speaker 1>exterminated by a lack of liberty. Now that language, the

0:23:48.840 --> 0:23:52.800
<v Speaker 1>word exterminated. That's how you prime people for violence. And

0:23:52.840 --> 0:23:55.440
<v Speaker 1>there is enough truth behind his words to make them stick.

0:23:55.840 --> 0:23:59.159
<v Speaker 1>Rural Californians are just as poor as rural Texans, but

0:23:59.200 --> 0:24:02.720
<v Speaker 1>they're also burden by California's much higher taxes. A gas

0:24:02.760 --> 0:24:05.320
<v Speaker 1>tax makes sense in l a in fact, it's necessary

0:24:05.359 --> 0:24:07.439
<v Speaker 1>to keep the air breathable. But if you live in

0:24:07.480 --> 0:24:09.840
<v Speaker 1>Shasta County and you need a big truck to do

0:24:09.880 --> 0:24:11.600
<v Speaker 1>the kind of work people do out in the sticks,

0:24:11.640 --> 0:24:13.680
<v Speaker 1>and you've got to drive eighty miles a day paying

0:24:13.720 --> 0:24:17.800
<v Speaker 1>California gas prices well twelve extra since per gallon, is

0:24:17.840 --> 0:24:20.960
<v Speaker 1>a real hardship. And by the way, these people love

0:24:21.080 --> 0:24:24.880
<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump. The president currently enjoys a s approval rating

0:24:24.920 --> 0:24:27.960
<v Speaker 1>in rural America. If Trump is voted out or impeached,

0:24:28.080 --> 0:24:30.160
<v Speaker 1>it would not take much to get millions of people

0:24:30.200 --> 0:24:32.840
<v Speaker 1>to believe this was part of some deep state conspiracy

0:24:32.880 --> 0:24:36.480
<v Speaker 1>to steal liberty and also guns. That exact fear is

0:24:36.560 --> 0:24:39.320
<v Speaker 1>literally what caused the birth of the American militia movement

0:24:39.359 --> 0:24:41.800
<v Speaker 1>back in the late nineteen eighties. Now at the time

0:24:41.840 --> 0:24:43.719
<v Speaker 1>they called it the New World Order, but the basic

0:24:43.800 --> 0:24:46.320
<v Speaker 1>idea is that a socialist government was coming to take

0:24:46.359 --> 0:24:49.600
<v Speaker 1>their guns. That's why all these militias started. People like

0:24:49.640 --> 0:24:53.199
<v Speaker 1>Timothy McVeigh have killed over this stuff before So if

0:24:53.280 --> 0:24:56.240
<v Speaker 1>rural America decides to revolt, what would that look like.

0:24:56.760 --> 0:24:59.320
<v Speaker 1>How could four percent of a state effectively fight back

0:24:59.320 --> 0:25:01.720
<v Speaker 1>against the night the six percent who live in cities.

0:25:02.680 --> 0:25:05.480
<v Speaker 1>It is impossible to overstate the importance of the Golden

0:25:05.520 --> 0:25:08.000
<v Speaker 1>State to the rest of America, not because of Silicon

0:25:08.119 --> 0:25:12.320
<v Speaker 1>Valley or Hollywood, but because California feeds this country. It

0:25:12.440 --> 0:25:15.399
<v Speaker 1>leads the state in cash receipts for crops forty seven

0:25:15.440 --> 0:25:18.480
<v Speaker 1>billion dollars a year and much more. At this point.

0:25:18.520 --> 0:25:21.320
<v Speaker 1>The nearest state behind it, Iowa, is only twenty seven

0:25:21.320 --> 0:25:24.240
<v Speaker 1>billion in receipts. Texas only generates twenty three and a

0:25:24.280 --> 0:25:35.400
<v Speaker 1>half billion. California's cash receipts for agriculture were more than Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, Nevada, Utah, Colorado, Arizona,

0:25:35.560 --> 0:25:39.760
<v Speaker 1>and New Mexico combined. The state leads the nation in

0:25:39.840 --> 0:25:42.960
<v Speaker 1>sixty six crucial crops and grows more than nine of

0:25:43.000 --> 0:25:52.040
<v Speaker 1>the nation's almonds, artichokes, dates, figs, raisins, kiwi's olives, peaches, pistachios, prunes, pomegranates,

0:25:52.119 --> 0:25:56.000
<v Speaker 1>sweet rice, and walnuts. The bulk of California's food, including

0:25:56.040 --> 0:25:59.320
<v Speaker 1>nearly all its beef, comes from the densely farmed Central Valley,

0:25:59.600 --> 0:26:02.359
<v Speaker 1>but seven many five percent of California's water comes from

0:26:02.400 --> 0:26:05.600
<v Speaker 1>the watersheds north of Sacramento, which means the so called

0:26:05.640 --> 0:26:08.640
<v Speaker 1>state of Jefferson, were it to organize itself and revolt,

0:26:08.840 --> 0:26:11.920
<v Speaker 1>could cut off access to the water that makes California's

0:26:11.920 --> 0:26:16.119
<v Speaker 1>agriculture possible. Eight percent of California's water demand is in

0:26:16.160 --> 0:26:19.600
<v Speaker 1>the southern two thirds of the state. Right now, it

0:26:19.680 --> 0:26:21.560
<v Speaker 1>still seems like a long shot. But in the wake

0:26:21.560 --> 0:26:24.520
<v Speaker 1>of a massive, sweeping gun band and remember most economists

0:26:24.560 --> 0:26:27.040
<v Speaker 1>say we're right around the corner from another massive economic crash.

0:26:27.359 --> 0:26:29.879
<v Speaker 1>I brought up the Occupy movement last episode two and

0:26:29.920 --> 0:26:32.360
<v Speaker 1>how a similar movement might cause a right wing crackdown

0:26:32.400 --> 0:26:34.840
<v Speaker 1>that sparks the Civil War. I can see that same

0:26:34.880 --> 0:26:37.400
<v Speaker 1>sort of activist movement providing an opportunity for a far

0:26:37.520 --> 0:26:41.320
<v Speaker 1>right rural insurgent movement. After all, Occupy rose up itself

0:26:41.359 --> 0:26:44.560
<v Speaker 1>after the election of a Democratic president in an economic collapse.

0:26:44.840 --> 0:26:47.679
<v Speaker 1>Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, and Beto O'Rourke, three of the

0:26:47.720 --> 0:26:52.160
<v Speaker 1>most prominent potential Democratic candidates, are all very unpopular among

0:26:52.200 --> 0:26:55.040
<v Speaker 1>the far left. So imagine this assault weapons band is

0:26:55.119 --> 0:26:57.399
<v Speaker 1>enacted while the economy is in the shitter, and cities

0:26:57.440 --> 0:27:00.560
<v Speaker 1>across the US are convulsed with protests and of patients.

0:27:01.000 --> 0:27:04.119
<v Speaker 1>Even if these occupations and protests avoid the rioting I

0:27:04.200 --> 0:27:07.240
<v Speaker 1>theorized about last episode, it would still take a massive

0:27:07.280 --> 0:27:09.600
<v Speaker 1>toll on law enforcement, and that would look a lot

0:27:09.640 --> 0:27:12.639
<v Speaker 1>like opportunity to rural separatists who are sick and tired

0:27:12.640 --> 0:27:15.520
<v Speaker 1>of city folk telling them what to do. All the

0:27:15.560 --> 0:27:18.600
<v Speaker 1>water that grows California's crops is pumped south. It doesn't

0:27:18.600 --> 0:27:21.520
<v Speaker 1>just slide down there naturally. Pumps can be blown up.

0:27:21.840 --> 0:27:24.320
<v Speaker 1>The crops grown in the Central Valley are all transported

0:27:24.320 --> 0:27:27.440
<v Speaker 1>by trucks traveling on highways. Few I e d s

0:27:27.480 --> 0:27:30.480
<v Speaker 1>could cripple transit for days, and it just so happens

0:27:30.520 --> 0:27:33.040
<v Speaker 1>that rural America is a wash in and ingredient you

0:27:33.080 --> 0:27:35.240
<v Speaker 1>would need to make a really great I E D.

0:27:36.200 --> 0:27:39.639
<v Speaker 1>Tanna write is a bipartite explosive compound. It is safe

0:27:39.640 --> 0:27:42.359
<v Speaker 1>to handle, not explosive until mixed, and even then only

0:27:42.400 --> 0:27:45.240
<v Speaker 1>explosive when used with a detonator or shot with a rifle.

0:27:45.720 --> 0:27:47.960
<v Speaker 1>But tanna wite can be converted into something much more

0:27:48.040 --> 0:27:51.840
<v Speaker 1>dangerous with ease David Cocolin, the counterinsurgency expert in former

0:27:51.880 --> 0:27:55.359
<v Speaker 1>State Department strategists, told me this. I am astounded. You

0:27:55.359 --> 0:27:57.960
<v Speaker 1>can buy Tanna Write online. Tanna Write is basically amin.

0:27:58.000 --> 0:28:00.240
<v Speaker 1>All World War two bombs were filled with this stuff

0:28:00.240 --> 0:28:02.720
<v Speaker 1>that is essentially the same thing set up by impact

0:28:02.800 --> 0:28:04.680
<v Speaker 1>or a small T and T charge. I see no

0:28:04.800 --> 0:28:07.080
<v Speaker 1>legitimate purpose to tanner wite. If you took the ammonium

0:28:07.160 --> 0:28:10.640
<v Speaker 1>nitrate compound, you would then have a substance called ANFO,

0:28:10.880 --> 0:28:15.680
<v Speaker 1>the classic ira a explosive. Now, Kilcolan told me that

0:28:15.760 --> 0:28:18.240
<v Speaker 1>anyone in a farming community has access to the chemicals

0:28:18.280 --> 0:28:20.439
<v Speaker 1>you would need to turn tanner wite into anto and

0:28:20.480 --> 0:28:23.119
<v Speaker 1>that quote it's very safe to use and transport as

0:28:23.119 --> 0:28:26.720
<v Speaker 1>an insurgent. So for full disclosure, I myself have used

0:28:26.720 --> 0:28:28.560
<v Speaker 1>Tanna Write dozens of times over the years and I

0:28:28.600 --> 0:28:30.560
<v Speaker 1>love it. Normally, you only set up like a half

0:28:30.600 --> 0:28:32.280
<v Speaker 1>pound charge and you shoot it with a rifle from

0:28:32.280 --> 0:28:34.359
<v Speaker 1>a distance and it blows up and it's fun. I

0:28:34.359 --> 0:28:36.159
<v Speaker 1>can remember one time my friends and I set a

0:28:36.200 --> 0:28:39.000
<v Speaker 1>four pound charge one time, and only one time, because

0:28:39.000 --> 0:28:41.200
<v Speaker 1>it left a fucking crater and rained dirt down on

0:28:41.200 --> 0:28:43.640
<v Speaker 1>our heads from two hundred feet away. A lot of

0:28:43.640 --> 0:28:46.560
<v Speaker 1>Americans owned tanner Write, not just in California. When I

0:28:46.640 --> 0:28:48.800
<v Speaker 1>lived in Texas, I had twenty pounds at a time

0:28:48.840 --> 0:28:52.280
<v Speaker 1>delivered to my door. Tanna Wite gets its name from

0:28:52.280 --> 0:28:55.360
<v Speaker 1>its inventor, a guy named David Tanner. Mr. Tanner lives

0:28:55.360 --> 0:28:57.760
<v Speaker 1>in Oregon, and that's where most tanner Wite is made.

0:28:58.160 --> 0:29:00.400
<v Speaker 1>Residents of the so called state of Jefferson would only

0:29:00.480 --> 0:29:02.320
<v Speaker 1>have to drive a couple hours to buy it straight

0:29:02.320 --> 0:29:05.640
<v Speaker 1>from the source. So say a rural insurgency starts, and

0:29:05.680 --> 0:29:09.240
<v Speaker 1>say this insurgency strikes at southern California's water supply, maybe

0:29:09.240 --> 0:29:11.440
<v Speaker 1>going after the pumps and the Taha Choppi mountains that

0:29:11.480 --> 0:29:14.280
<v Speaker 1>carry it south. Or maybe they focus on bombing highways,

0:29:14.320 --> 0:29:17.280
<v Speaker 1>shutting down transit on the roads of America's most populous state.

0:29:17.760 --> 0:29:20.240
<v Speaker 1>A few hundred committed insurgents with a good plan and

0:29:20.320 --> 0:29:24.240
<v Speaker 1>decent organization could do a tremendous amount of damage this way.

0:29:24.600 --> 0:29:28.520
<v Speaker 1>Law enforcement, already wildly undermanned in rural California, would need

0:29:28.560 --> 0:29:30.280
<v Speaker 1>to bring in help from the cities, and if those

0:29:30.320 --> 0:29:33.840
<v Speaker 1>cities are convulsed with big gas occupy style protests, well,

0:29:34.680 --> 0:29:36.880
<v Speaker 1>at some point the government would have to deploy troops

0:29:36.960 --> 0:29:39.680
<v Speaker 1>to secure the nation's food supply. This would be a

0:29:39.760 --> 0:29:42.320
<v Speaker 1>terrifying precedent for a number of reasons. For one thing,

0:29:42.520 --> 0:29:45.480
<v Speaker 1>most U S soldiers come from rural areas, and California

0:29:45.520 --> 0:29:47.600
<v Speaker 1>is one of the major recruiting grounds for the United

0:29:47.600 --> 0:29:50.680
<v Speaker 1>States military. The d o D would have to take

0:29:50.720 --> 0:29:53.400
<v Speaker 1>great care to ensure soldiers weren't being sent to pacify

0:29:53.480 --> 0:29:56.360
<v Speaker 1>unrest being generated by their own friends and family members.

0:29:56.840 --> 0:29:58.720
<v Speaker 1>That might lead to the same sort of situation we

0:29:58.760 --> 0:30:02.880
<v Speaker 1>see in Afghanistan, constant insider attacks and desertions, where soldiers

0:30:02.880 --> 0:30:05.480
<v Speaker 1>take their experience and their weapons and melt into the

0:30:05.480 --> 0:30:09.320
<v Speaker 1>deep woods with their comrades. Their new comrades, this rural

0:30:09.320 --> 0:30:13.160
<v Speaker 1>insurgency would not stay confined to California very long. Terrorist

0:30:13.200 --> 0:30:16.480
<v Speaker 1>tactics have a nasty tendency to spread virally. A series

0:30:16.520 --> 0:30:19.360
<v Speaker 1>of truck bombings and rural northern California could lead rather

0:30:19.440 --> 0:30:22.680
<v Speaker 1>quickly to similar attacks all around the nation, not just bombings,

0:30:22.680 --> 0:30:25.600
<v Speaker 1>but hijackings. In many cases, these thefts might rely on

0:30:25.600 --> 0:30:28.520
<v Speaker 1>truck drivers themselves, allowing loads to be hoisted in exchange

0:30:28.520 --> 0:30:30.600
<v Speaker 1>for a cut of the money. Black market sales of

0:30:30.600 --> 0:30:33.120
<v Speaker 1>food would provide more funding for the insurgency, even as

0:30:33.160 --> 0:30:36.240
<v Speaker 1>food prices started to rise in the cities. Perhaps the

0:30:36.240 --> 0:30:38.320
<v Speaker 1>state and the federal government could get its shipped together

0:30:38.360 --> 0:30:40.440
<v Speaker 1>quickly enough to restore the flow of water to southern

0:30:40.440 --> 0:30:43.600
<v Speaker 1>California in a timely manner. Even so, a month or two,

0:30:43.640 --> 0:30:46.160
<v Speaker 1>even a few weeks without sufficient water would be crippling

0:30:46.160 --> 0:30:48.840
<v Speaker 1>to those farmers in their crops. Even a short lived

0:30:48.840 --> 0:30:51.960
<v Speaker 1>and very localized insurgency would cause a massive spike in

0:30:52.040 --> 0:30:56.120
<v Speaker 1>food prices. Now, food prices are traditionally the single biggest

0:30:56.120 --> 0:30:59.040
<v Speaker 1>predictor of civil conflict. Twitter and Facebook get a lot

0:30:59.080 --> 0:31:01.120
<v Speaker 1>of credit for the Arabs bring of two thousand eleven,

0:31:01.120 --> 0:31:03.840
<v Speaker 1>but that series of revolutions, uprisings, and civil wars was

0:31:03.920 --> 0:31:06.920
<v Speaker 1>sparked in large part by the price of grain. I'd

0:31:06.920 --> 0:31:08.680
<v Speaker 1>like to read a couple of quotes from a wonderful

0:31:08.680 --> 0:31:11.680
<v Speaker 1>Guardian article titled use your loaf. While food prices were

0:31:11.680 --> 0:31:14.560
<v Speaker 1>crucial to the Arab spring, when grain prices spiked in

0:31:14.560 --> 0:31:16.440
<v Speaker 1>two thousand seven to two thousand and eight, Egypt's bread

0:31:16.480 --> 0:31:19.160
<v Speaker 1>prices rose thirty seven percent, with unemployment rising as well.

0:31:19.240 --> 0:31:21.560
<v Speaker 1>More people depended on subsidized bread, but the government did

0:31:21.560 --> 0:31:24.520
<v Speaker 1>not make any more available. Egypt's annual food price inflation

0:31:24.600 --> 0:31:27.280
<v Speaker 1>continued and had had eighteen point nine percent before the

0:31:27.320 --> 0:31:30.120
<v Speaker 1>fall of President Mubarak. The first protests of the Arab

0:31:30.200 --> 0:31:32.280
<v Speaker 1>Spring in Tunisia in December two thousand and ten were

0:31:32.360 --> 0:31:35.880
<v Speaker 1>quickly dismissed as another bout of bread riots, but of

0:31:35.880 --> 0:31:39.160
<v Speaker 1>course those protests led to the overthrow of the Tunisian dictator.

0:31:39.680 --> 0:31:41.959
<v Speaker 1>This is not just a Middle Eastern thing. Food prices

0:31:41.960 --> 0:31:45.240
<v Speaker 1>are the number one predictor of unrest worldwide. If rural

0:31:45.240 --> 0:31:47.960
<v Speaker 1>America decided to go to war, they have a number

0:31:48.000 --> 0:31:50.360
<v Speaker 1>of very convenient choke points they could use to attack

0:31:50.440 --> 0:31:53.520
<v Speaker 1>their urban enemies. Many of these insurgents would consider it

0:31:53.560 --> 0:31:56.840
<v Speaker 1>revenge for decades of mockery, neglect, and environmental policies that

0:31:56.880 --> 0:31:59.960
<v Speaker 1>burdened them far more than is fair. These resentments exist

0:32:00.160 --> 0:32:01.960
<v Speaker 1>right now. All it would take is a few hundred

0:32:02.000 --> 0:32:04.840
<v Speaker 1>people in a geographically discrete part of the country like

0:32:04.920 --> 0:32:08.360
<v Speaker 1>northern California to turn this anger into action. So it

0:32:08.440 --> 0:32:10.800
<v Speaker 1>should at this point be easy to imagine rising food

0:32:10.800 --> 0:32:13.320
<v Speaker 1>prices in the midst of a recession escalating the number

0:32:13.320 --> 0:32:15.800
<v Speaker 1>and violence of these protests that we were already seeing

0:32:15.840 --> 0:32:19.120
<v Speaker 1>in cities across the nation. Desperation causes the government to

0:32:19.120 --> 0:32:22.080
<v Speaker 1>approve more and more violent tactics to deal with the insurgents,

0:32:22.120 --> 0:32:25.440
<v Speaker 1>which inspires more rural anger and probably causes more attacks.

0:32:25.800 --> 0:32:29.440
<v Speaker 1>We've watched this happen before in numerous countries. The bombing

0:32:29.440 --> 0:32:31.520
<v Speaker 1>of trucks and highways to cut off food is a

0:32:31.600 --> 0:32:33.280
<v Speaker 1>tactic that could work in almost every part of the

0:32:33.360 --> 0:32:36.040
<v Speaker 1>United States. Only four percent of the food consumed by

0:32:36.080 --> 0:32:39.040
<v Speaker 1>Americans is locally produced. More than seventy percent of the

0:32:39.040 --> 0:32:41.560
<v Speaker 1>food that gets to our cities does so via trucks.

0:32:41.600 --> 0:32:44.760
<v Speaker 1>We are incredibly vulnerable to attacks on our highways, and

0:32:44.800 --> 0:32:46.920
<v Speaker 1>this country is filled with people who have the means

0:32:46.960 --> 0:32:51.280
<v Speaker 1>and motivation to apply this sort of violence. In November eighteen,

0:32:51.400 --> 0:32:53.760
<v Speaker 1>over the space of about a week, two major busts

0:32:53.880 --> 0:32:56.560
<v Speaker 1>by US law enforcement officers led to the arrests of

0:32:56.560 --> 0:33:00.120
<v Speaker 1>more than eighty Neo Nazis and white supremacists. They are

0:33:00.120 --> 0:33:03.000
<v Speaker 1>members of gangs with names like the Unforgiven and the

0:33:03.160 --> 0:33:06.240
<v Speaker 1>Aryan Brotherhood. Thirty nine of the arrested were members of

0:33:06.240 --> 0:33:09.280
<v Speaker 1>a Neo Nazi gang from rural Florida. These Nazis were

0:33:09.280 --> 0:33:12.840
<v Speaker 1>found with meth fentanyl more than a hundred firearms, several

0:33:12.840 --> 0:33:16.080
<v Speaker 1>pipe bombs, and one rocket launcher. In a more violent

0:33:16.120 --> 0:33:18.280
<v Speaker 1>and less settled America, those men and women could have

0:33:18.320 --> 0:33:21.840
<v Speaker 1>formed the nexus of a deadly regional insurgency. And trust me,

0:33:22.120 --> 0:33:24.360
<v Speaker 1>there are thousands of people like them all around the

0:33:24.360 --> 0:33:27.800
<v Speaker 1>country who have not yet been busted hell. That same week,

0:33:27.920 --> 0:33:31.360
<v Speaker 1>police in Green Bay, Wisconsin, responding to a domestic disturbance call,

0:33:31.560 --> 0:33:35.760
<v Speaker 1>found a man with swastika tattoos and an underground bomb laboratory.

0:33:36.000 --> 0:33:38.320
<v Speaker 1>When I start talking about the state of Jefferson turning

0:33:38.320 --> 0:33:41.240
<v Speaker 1>into a violent insurgency, when I talk about rednecks bombing

0:33:41.240 --> 0:33:44.959
<v Speaker 1>water pump stations and hijacking trucks, it probably sounds far fetched.

0:33:45.320 --> 0:33:47.400
<v Speaker 1>But the kind of people who want that future, who

0:33:47.400 --> 0:33:49.560
<v Speaker 1>are just itching for the chance to go Taliban on

0:33:49.600 --> 0:33:52.600
<v Speaker 1>all of our asses, those people exist right now. They

0:33:52.600 --> 0:33:55.560
<v Speaker 1>aren't the majority of rural America or of conservatives, but

0:33:55.600 --> 0:33:57.920
<v Speaker 1>they don't need to be. A few thousand of violent

0:33:57.960 --> 0:34:00.960
<v Speaker 1>extremists spread out across a few dozen states could do

0:34:01.080 --> 0:34:05.360
<v Speaker 1>damage wildly out of proportion to their numbers. We don't.

0:34:06.200 --> 0:34:17.319
<v Speaker 1>We don't. Right I find myself drawn back regularly to

0:34:17.320 --> 0:34:19.719
<v Speaker 1>the notes I took in my interview with David Kilcullen,

0:34:19.880 --> 0:34:23.120
<v Speaker 1>one of the world's great counterinsurgency experts. We were talking

0:34:23.160 --> 0:34:25.520
<v Speaker 1>about the best way to cripple this country and he

0:34:25.600 --> 0:34:28.920
<v Speaker 1>said this quote. You don't try to generate a mass movement,

0:34:28.960 --> 0:34:30.479
<v Speaker 1>You don't try to get the state to crack down

0:34:30.480 --> 0:34:33.040
<v Speaker 1>on you. Instead, you try to generate a sectarian civil

0:34:33.040 --> 0:34:37.080
<v Speaker 1>war so intense that it makes the society ungovernable. And

0:34:37.120 --> 0:34:40.200
<v Speaker 1>that's the goal for any true revolutionary movement, right or left,

0:34:40.560 --> 0:34:44.680
<v Speaker 1>make America ungovernable. If you've been paying attention to your

0:34:44.760 --> 0:34:47.320
<v Speaker 1>a Nazi news, you may have heard about the terrorist

0:34:47.400 --> 0:34:50.480
<v Speaker 1>group Adam Woffen. With five deaths and counting to their name,

0:34:50.760 --> 0:34:53.080
<v Speaker 1>they have the highest body count of any neo Nazi

0:34:53.160 --> 0:34:56.120
<v Speaker 1>organization of the post two thousand sixteen era. While the

0:34:56.120 --> 0:34:58.919
<v Speaker 1>group has been hobbled recently by some inside drama over

0:34:59.520 --> 0:35:02.680
<v Speaker 1>Satan Them, they have active members in several US states

0:35:02.719 --> 0:35:05.279
<v Speaker 1>as well as Germany. These cells are usually three to

0:35:05.320 --> 0:35:08.759
<v Speaker 1>four members, with no communication between individual groups here, said

0:35:08.800 --> 0:35:12.440
<v Speaker 1>the German magazine Der Spiegel described them. Members are heavily

0:35:12.480 --> 0:35:14.720
<v Speaker 1>armed and prepared to make use of their weapons. Indeed,

0:35:14.719 --> 0:35:16.360
<v Speaker 1>they are getting ready for what they see as the

0:35:16.400 --> 0:35:19.479
<v Speaker 1>coming race war and so called hate camps. Weapons training

0:35:19.600 --> 0:35:21.680
<v Speaker 1>is conducted by members of the U. S Military, who

0:35:21.680 --> 0:35:24.359
<v Speaker 1>are also among the group's members. According to one former

0:35:24.440 --> 0:35:27.440
<v Speaker 1>member of the Adam Waffen Division, newcomers must submit to

0:35:27.480 --> 0:35:31.440
<v Speaker 1>water boarding in addition to other such trials. Now pro Publica,

0:35:31.600 --> 0:35:34.960
<v Speaker 1>working with the Fantastic Conflict, journalist Jake Hanrahan interviewed a

0:35:35.000 --> 0:35:37.239
<v Speaker 1>former member of Adam Waffen. I'm going to play a

0:35:37.239 --> 0:35:39.600
<v Speaker 1>clip from that here. A lot of things that they

0:35:39.600 --> 0:35:44.719
<v Speaker 1>talk about other members don't know about, of course, to

0:35:44.880 --> 0:35:48.759
<v Speaker 1>keep us, keep everyone from falling down, as it's talked

0:35:48.800 --> 0:35:52.759
<v Speaker 1>about in Siege, hit and runs. I got here and there,

0:35:55.440 --> 0:36:00.160
<v Speaker 1>stop let everyone panic. There's been no point to march

0:36:00.200 --> 0:36:05.560
<v Speaker 1>around the streets like a weak fucking pussy with white

0:36:05.560 --> 0:36:10.520
<v Speaker 1>polos and khakis and tiki torches streaming White Lives Matter.

0:36:12.000 --> 0:36:16.920
<v Speaker 1>I don't care about politicians, don't care about politics, just

0:36:17.000 --> 0:36:23.719
<v Speaker 1>wanting everyone just stopped being slaves for the system that

0:36:23.760 --> 0:36:27.240
<v Speaker 1>we're living in, living under. Her When he mentioned siege,

0:36:27.400 --> 0:36:29.919
<v Speaker 1>that's a reference to a white supremacist newsletter and book

0:36:29.960 --> 0:36:32.520
<v Speaker 1>authored by a guy named James Mason. Mr Mason is

0:36:32.560 --> 0:36:35.440
<v Speaker 1>a founding father of American Nazism and the guy who

0:36:35.480 --> 0:36:38.680
<v Speaker 1>coined the term leaderless resistance. He and his comrades have

0:36:38.719 --> 0:36:41.239
<v Speaker 1>been urging exactly the kind of war I've outlined here

0:36:41.480 --> 0:36:44.399
<v Speaker 1>for more than forty years. I write this a few

0:36:44.400 --> 0:36:46.920
<v Speaker 1>months after the birth of yet another new white supremacist

0:36:46.960 --> 0:36:49.920
<v Speaker 1>terror group in the United States. These people called themselves

0:36:50.040 --> 0:36:52.680
<v Speaker 1>the Base. Their name is literally the English translation of

0:36:52.719 --> 0:36:55.440
<v Speaker 1>Al Qaeda, who they considered to be an inspiration. They

0:36:55.440 --> 0:36:58.640
<v Speaker 1>are mostly based in the Pacific Northwest. They too, focus

0:36:58.680 --> 0:37:01.120
<v Speaker 1>on weapons training and small group preparation in order to

0:37:01.120 --> 0:37:04.160
<v Speaker 1>carry out insurgeant attacks against the U. S government. That

0:37:04.239 --> 0:37:07.360
<v Speaker 1>former Adam Woffin Gay interviewed by ProPublica, mentioned wanting to

0:37:07.440 --> 0:37:10.480
<v Speaker 1>destroy the system. He was expressing a desire to do

0:37:10.520 --> 0:37:14.480
<v Speaker 1>exactly what David Cocolin was talking about, render the country ungovernable.

0:37:14.960 --> 0:37:18.000
<v Speaker 1>These people, the neo Nazis and militiamen and white supremacists,

0:37:18.040 --> 0:37:20.480
<v Speaker 1>they all know exactly what they plan to do if

0:37:20.560 --> 0:37:26.080
<v Speaker 1>civil conflict erupts across the country. What will you do? Statistically,

0:37:26.280 --> 0:37:29.239
<v Speaker 1>You'll probably be in a city watching food prices rise

0:37:29.280 --> 0:37:32.759
<v Speaker 1>and seeing protest after protest convulse your downtown. There will

0:37:32.760 --> 0:37:35.239
<v Speaker 1>be runs on grocery stores, maybe even mass looting a

0:37:35.320 --> 0:37:37.880
<v Speaker 1>food If things get bad enough outside of the city,

0:37:38.040 --> 0:37:40.879
<v Speaker 1>roads will be closed, checkpoints with soldiers and heavily armed

0:37:40.880 --> 0:37:43.200
<v Speaker 1>cops will start to appear on the interstate. The Great

0:37:43.239 --> 0:37:46.680
<v Speaker 1>American Highway System will become militarized as the state scrambles

0:37:46.719 --> 0:37:49.520
<v Speaker 1>to pin down the insurgency. If you do live out

0:37:49.520 --> 0:37:52.480
<v Speaker 1>in the country or in a particularly conservative suburb, you

0:37:52.520 --> 0:37:55.560
<v Speaker 1>will have the additional complexity of needing to live with insurgents.

0:37:56.000 --> 0:37:58.640
<v Speaker 1>The first few months of this will be particularly difficult.

0:37:58.760 --> 0:38:01.080
<v Speaker 1>It takes time to deploy the National Guard of the Army.

0:38:01.400 --> 0:38:04.160
<v Speaker 1>Millions of rural Americans might spend weeks or months without

0:38:04.200 --> 0:38:08.520
<v Speaker 1>any realistic access to law enforcement or emergency services. Imagine

0:38:08.520 --> 0:38:10.960
<v Speaker 1>a knock at the door one night, an armed insurgent

0:38:11.120 --> 0:38:14.000
<v Speaker 1>asking for food or shelter. What do you do? It

0:38:14.080 --> 0:38:16.239
<v Speaker 1>might be weeks before the police come back or the

0:38:16.320 --> 0:38:18.840
<v Speaker 1>army arrives, and even when they do, they won't be

0:38:18.880 --> 0:38:21.520
<v Speaker 1>at every house every day. They may not even be

0:38:21.560 --> 0:38:23.839
<v Speaker 1>able to hold onto the area. So maybe you find

0:38:23.840 --> 0:38:27.080
<v Speaker 1>yourself aiding and abetting these revolutionaries, even if you consider

0:38:27.120 --> 0:38:29.960
<v Speaker 1>them terrorists. For a lot of people, that will feel

0:38:29.960 --> 0:38:33.279
<v Speaker 1>like the safest decision. So far on this podcast, I

0:38:33.360 --> 0:38:35.759
<v Speaker 1>focused on just how the civil war might break out,

0:38:36.000 --> 0:38:38.680
<v Speaker 1>and past a certain point, it doesn't really matter whether

0:38:38.680 --> 0:38:40.560
<v Speaker 1>the fighting starts from a left wing or a right

0:38:40.600 --> 0:38:43.640
<v Speaker 1>wing movement. Just as a rural secessionist movement would take

0:38:43.719 --> 0:38:46.879
<v Speaker 1>unrest in the cities as an opportunity, radical leftists would

0:38:46.880 --> 0:38:49.680
<v Speaker 1>find an ungovernable America to have just as much potential

0:38:49.719 --> 0:38:53.120
<v Speaker 1>for their ideals. Most of you listening probably wouldn't pick

0:38:53.160 --> 0:38:55.600
<v Speaker 1>a side right away. It wouldn't even look like there

0:38:55.600 --> 0:38:58.680
<v Speaker 1>were sides for a while. There'd be Protestant cities, of course,

0:38:58.800 --> 0:39:01.480
<v Speaker 1>activists with lists of the hands, maybe demands you agree with,

0:39:01.640 --> 0:39:04.480
<v Speaker 1>maybe not. And there'd be insurgents terrorists out in the

0:39:04.480 --> 0:39:07.080
<v Speaker 1>country with their own demands, strangling your city and the

0:39:07.120 --> 0:39:10.360
<v Speaker 1>rest of urban America. As the government failed to restore

0:39:10.440 --> 0:39:13.160
<v Speaker 1>order and normalcy, a lot of people would find themselves

0:39:13.160 --> 0:39:17.200
<v Speaker 1>seriously questioning the government's legitimacy, probably for the first time.

0:39:17.640 --> 0:39:19.560
<v Speaker 1>We've never really had cause to do that on a

0:39:19.600 --> 0:39:22.360
<v Speaker 1>mass level in modern America. Whatever else has happened, the

0:39:22.400 --> 0:39:24.880
<v Speaker 1>state has always managed to keep the highways open the

0:39:24.920 --> 0:39:27.880
<v Speaker 1>food flowing. When that's no longer the case. A lot

0:39:27.960 --> 0:39:31.160
<v Speaker 1>more people will find themselves picking sides. For some of

0:39:31.239 --> 0:39:34.920
<v Speaker 1>us that will mean backing a protest movement demanding radical change.

0:39:35.239 --> 0:39:38.040
<v Speaker 1>For others, it will mean supporting the government, maybe because

0:39:38.080 --> 0:39:40.080
<v Speaker 1>we just want the unrest to be over. And for

0:39:40.200 --> 0:39:42.920
<v Speaker 1>a growing number of Americans, it will mean deciding they

0:39:42.920 --> 0:39:46.040
<v Speaker 1>don't want to be Americans anymore. The government would not

0:39:46.080 --> 0:39:49.439
<v Speaker 1>call it a civil war, not right away, but we'd

0:39:49.480 --> 0:39:53.400
<v Speaker 1>know now. So far, we've just talked about how the

0:39:53.400 --> 0:39:55.920
<v Speaker 1>fighting would start, and for my money, I think the

0:39:55.960 --> 0:39:58.359
<v Speaker 1>most likely beginning would involve a mix of the things

0:39:58.400 --> 0:40:00.560
<v Speaker 1>we've talked about in both of these first two episodes.

0:40:00.840 --> 0:40:04.000
<v Speaker 1>City centers occupied by activists with demands fighting the police

0:40:04.000 --> 0:40:07.000
<v Speaker 1>in National Guard, while rural insurgents carry out their own

0:40:07.000 --> 0:40:09.759
<v Speaker 1>attacks and make their own demands. Every attack from every

0:40:09.800 --> 0:40:12.640
<v Speaker 1>side accelerates the whole process and pushes the whole country

0:40:12.680 --> 0:40:16.200
<v Speaker 1>closer to chaos. Now, the state would not take all

0:40:16.239 --> 0:40:19.319
<v Speaker 1>of this sitting down, of course. There would be increasingly

0:40:19.400 --> 0:40:22.000
<v Speaker 1>vigorous attempts to right the ship and to stop the

0:40:22.040 --> 0:40:26.040
<v Speaker 1>cycle of violence. Federal and state governments would throw absolutely

0:40:26.080 --> 0:40:29.279
<v Speaker 1>everything they had at curbing the unrest and restoring order.

0:40:29.840 --> 0:40:32.440
<v Speaker 1>On the next episode, if it could Happen Here. I'll

0:40:32.480 --> 0:40:34.840
<v Speaker 1>walk you through just what that would look like and

0:40:34.880 --> 0:40:41.960
<v Speaker 1>why the system's efforts would be almost certainly doomed to fail. Genia.

0:40:42.840 --> 0:40:47.200
<v Speaker 1>We watched it from our phones, change our Facebook pictures,

0:40:47.680 --> 0:40:53.120
<v Speaker 1>congratulating ourselves, made nervous jokes and whispers. But the sexts

0:40:53.200 --> 0:40:58.040
<v Speaker 1>was sinning now and essays always listening. Wonder of this

0:41:00.000 --> 0:41:05.239
<v Speaker 1>ostrum has been dead to them low now we're all

0:41:05.360 --> 0:41:09.640
<v Speaker 1>it's just none. The one they've done. You can give

0:41:09.719 --> 0:41:14.319
<v Speaker 1>an inch and they'll just take your own. But we

0:41:14.440 --> 0:41:23.600
<v Speaker 1>don't find. We don't, right, even with Rosa Sada door. No,

0:41:23.880 --> 0:41:30.560
<v Speaker 1>we don't find. We don't right even I'm Robert Evans

0:41:30.640 --> 0:41:33.239
<v Speaker 1>and I'm just exhausted from reading all of that. You

0:41:33.239 --> 0:41:35.279
<v Speaker 1>can find me on Twitter at I right, okay. You

0:41:35.320 --> 0:41:38.680
<v Speaker 1>can find this show on Twitter at happen Here pod,

0:41:39.080 --> 0:41:41.239
<v Speaker 1>and you can find this show online at it could

0:41:41.239 --> 0:41:45.200
<v Speaker 1>Happen here pod dot com. Our music, as always, is

0:41:45.200 --> 0:41:46.080
<v Speaker 1>from four Fists