1 00:00:02,400 --> 00:00:07,240 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:10,240 --> 00:00:13,560 Speaker 2: This is the Bloomberg Daybreak Europe podcast, available every morning 3 00:00:13,600 --> 00:00:17,119 Speaker 2: on Apple, Spotify or wherever you listen. It's Tuesday, the 4 00:00:17,160 --> 00:00:19,800 Speaker 2: twenty eighth of May in London. I'm Stephen Carroll. Coming 5 00:00:19,880 --> 00:00:23,120 Speaker 2: up today. An Egyptian soldier is killed in a clash 6 00:00:23,160 --> 00:00:27,040 Speaker 2: with Israeli troops at the Gaza border, while international condemnation 7 00:00:27,160 --> 00:00:30,840 Speaker 2: of the Rafa offensive grows. Within one hundred and twenty 8 00:00:30,960 --> 00:00:34,320 Speaker 2: business leaders sign a letter supporting the UK Labor Party's 9 00:00:34,440 --> 00:00:39,040 Speaker 2: economic plans. Plus one day, US investors gear up for 10 00:00:39,080 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 2: a major shift in the speed at which trades are settled. 11 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:45,800 Speaker 2: Let's start with the roundup of our top stories. An 12 00:00:45,840 --> 00:00:49,000 Speaker 2: Egyptian soldier has been killed during a clash with Israeli 13 00:00:49,000 --> 00:00:52,040 Speaker 2: troops at the Rafa border crossing in Gaza. The death 14 00:00:52,159 --> 00:00:55,440 Speaker 2: comes after an Israeli airstrike killed and estimated forty five 15 00:00:55,520 --> 00:00:59,000 Speaker 2: Palestinians at a camp for displaced people in the territory. 16 00:00:59,200 --> 00:01:01,800 Speaker 2: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Nettania, who says it was a 17 00:01:01,920 --> 00:01:02,920 Speaker 2: tragic mistake. 18 00:01:04,840 --> 00:01:07,880 Speaker 3: In Raffa, we have already evacuated about a million non 19 00:01:07,880 --> 00:01:11,559 Speaker 3: involved residents, and despite our best efforts not to harm 20 00:01:11,600 --> 00:01:16,360 Speaker 3: the non involved. Unfortunately, a technical failure happened. We're investigating 21 00:01:16,400 --> 00:01:16,800 Speaker 3: the case. 22 00:01:18,040 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 2: Netanyahu's words, spoken there by a translator, have done little 23 00:01:21,080 --> 00:01:24,720 Speaker 2: to quell the growing international anger over the strike. French 24 00:01:24,760 --> 00:01:27,920 Speaker 2: President Emmanuel Macron said he was outraged, while the White 25 00:01:27,959 --> 00:01:30,840 Speaker 2: House said the images of innocent civilians killed in the 26 00:01:30,880 --> 00:01:35,440 Speaker 2: strike were heartbreaking. More than one hundred and twenty UK 27 00:01:35,560 --> 00:01:38,319 Speaker 2: business leaders have signed an open letter endorsing the Labor 28 00:01:38,360 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 2: Party's economic policies. They say the party has changed and 29 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:44,800 Speaker 2: deserves a chance to run the country. Bloomberog's Chris pet 30 00:01:44,800 --> 00:01:45,240 Speaker 2: has more. 31 00:01:45,600 --> 00:01:50,640 Speaker 4: Jeremy Corbyn's Labor leadership notably spooked many business leaders, but 32 00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:54,040 Speaker 4: since Kirs Starmer took over the party, he and his 33 00:01:54,120 --> 00:01:58,000 Speaker 4: shadow Chancellor Rachel Reeves have been on a mission to 34 00:01:58,120 --> 00:02:02,040 Speaker 4: woo execs. Today we got some evidence that the so 35 00:02:02,200 --> 00:02:06,280 Speaker 4: called smoked salmon and scrambled eggs offensive has paid off. 36 00:02:06,880 --> 00:02:09,840 Speaker 4: More than one hundred and twenty business leaders have signed 37 00:02:09,840 --> 00:02:14,359 Speaker 4: an open letter in The Times newspaper saying Labour now 38 00:02:14,600 --> 00:02:18,680 Speaker 4: wants to work with business. The founder of Wikipedia, the 39 00:02:18,800 --> 00:02:23,560 Speaker 4: UK president of advertising giant WPP, and the ex CEO 40 00:02:23,600 --> 00:02:27,760 Speaker 4: of Astin Martin have all offered their signatures, and while 41 00:02:27,800 --> 00:02:31,600 Speaker 4: no foots one hundred CEOs have given their endorsement, the 42 00:02:31,720 --> 00:02:35,520 Speaker 4: list is notably longer than the one that David Cameron's 43 00:02:35,520 --> 00:02:40,000 Speaker 4: team put together ahead of the twenty fifteen election in London. 44 00:02:40,120 --> 00:02:42,120 Speaker 4: Chris Pitt Bloomberg Radio. 45 00:02:43,280 --> 00:02:46,320 Speaker 2: The Prime Minister Isshisinak is promising Pansioner is a tax 46 00:02:46,360 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 2: cart worth two point four billion pounds should he win reelection. 47 00:02:50,760 --> 00:02:53,480 Speaker 2: In a speech later that he'll pledged to increase the 48 00:02:53,600 --> 00:02:56,400 Speaker 2: tax free allowance for retired people in line with the 49 00:02:56,440 --> 00:03:00,480 Speaker 2: so called Triple Luck, which guarantees increases in the state pension. 50 00:03:00,800 --> 00:03:03,440 Speaker 2: The plans triggered an im mediate row about public spending, 51 00:03:03,480 --> 00:03:08,120 Speaker 2: but the Conservative leader says he has turned the economy around. 52 00:03:07,639 --> 00:03:11,880 Speaker 5: Inflation down back to normal at two percent, energy bills falling, 53 00:03:11,880 --> 00:03:16,200 Speaker 5: the economy growing faster than Germany, France America. Wages have 54 00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:19,080 Speaker 5: been rising faster than prices for ten months now. The 55 00:03:19,200 --> 00:03:20,320 Speaker 5: plan is working. 56 00:03:21,600 --> 00:03:24,120 Speaker 2: The Prime Minister is seeking to close the twenty point 57 00:03:24,200 --> 00:03:27,440 Speaker 2: polling gap with labor with new policies, including bringing back 58 00:03:27,560 --> 00:03:30,960 Speaker 2: national service for eighteen year olds. The ideas are mostly 59 00:03:30,960 --> 00:03:35,320 Speaker 2: popular with older voters, suggesting Tory fears around losing support 60 00:03:35,400 --> 00:03:36,160 Speaker 2: to the right. 61 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:37,840 Speaker 1: Wing reform UK Party. 62 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:42,280 Speaker 2: UK shop price inflation is slowing as the election approaches. 63 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:45,360 Speaker 2: The news adds to signs of an improving economic outlook. 64 00:03:45,400 --> 00:03:47,280 Speaker 2: Bloomberg's Tea at a Bio has the story. 65 00:03:47,840 --> 00:03:50,120 Speaker 6: In the first week of May, the pace of pricing 66 00:03:50,160 --> 00:03:52,840 Speaker 6: increases in UK shops was the slowest in more than 67 00:03:52,880 --> 00:03:56,840 Speaker 6: two years. The British Retail Consortium says retailers cut the 68 00:03:56,880 --> 00:03:59,720 Speaker 6: prices of big ticket items in a bit to revive 69 00:03:59,800 --> 00:04:04,040 Speaker 6: can human demand. Its survey shows food price inflations showing 70 00:04:04,080 --> 00:04:07,040 Speaker 6: to three point two percent in May, while the prices 71 00:04:07,040 --> 00:04:09,680 Speaker 6: of non food products fell for the second month in 72 00:04:09,720 --> 00:04:12,720 Speaker 6: a row. That's meant football fans have been able to 73 00:04:12,760 --> 00:04:16,760 Speaker 6: secure bargains on TVs and other audio visual equipment ahead 74 00:04:16,800 --> 00:04:20,840 Speaker 6: of this summer's Euros tournament. The bad weather has dampened 75 00:04:20,880 --> 00:04:24,640 Speaker 6: retail sales in recent months, and retail intelligence firm Nielsen 76 00:04:24,720 --> 00:04:28,000 Speaker 6: IQ says the trend of lower prices is likely to 77 00:04:28,080 --> 00:04:31,719 Speaker 6: continue in London twa Adebayo, Bloomberg. 78 00:04:31,360 --> 00:04:35,840 Speaker 2: Radio, France and Germany are set to unveil plans to 79 00:04:35,960 --> 00:04:39,599 Speaker 2: boost Europe's air defenses. The move is in response to 80 00:04:39,640 --> 00:04:43,080 Speaker 2: growing pressure for Europeans to strengthen their own security in 81 00:04:43,160 --> 00:04:46,760 Speaker 2: the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Emmanual Macron and 82 00:04:46,839 --> 00:04:49,600 Speaker 2: Olaf Schultz will discuss options when they meet later today. 83 00:04:49,800 --> 00:04:52,240 Speaker 2: Macran is on a state visit to Germany, where he's 84 00:04:52,279 --> 00:04:55,839 Speaker 2: repeated calls for a bi European strategy and sectors like 85 00:04:55,920 --> 00:05:00,800 Speaker 2: defense and a massive increase in EU public financing. And 86 00:05:00,880 --> 00:05:04,600 Speaker 2: starting today, the world's largest capital market will settle trades 87 00:05:04,839 --> 00:05:08,440 Speaker 2: just one day after they are executed. The move to 88 00:05:08,480 --> 00:05:11,080 Speaker 2: the so called T plus one system means that in 89 00:05:11,120 --> 00:05:13,760 Speaker 2: the US, investors no longer have to wait more than 90 00:05:13,800 --> 00:05:16,440 Speaker 2: twenty four hours to take ownership of the stocks they 91 00:05:16,480 --> 00:05:19,640 Speaker 2: purchase or to receive payment for the stocks they sell. 92 00:05:20,000 --> 00:05:24,200 Speaker 2: The Securities and Exchange Commission says the shorter settlement window 93 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:28,080 Speaker 2: means lower odds that the buyer or seller might default 94 00:05:28,120 --> 00:05:31,839 Speaker 2: just before a transaction is completed. However, just nine percent 95 00:05:31,880 --> 00:05:34,920 Speaker 2: of sell side firms polled by Coalition Greenwich in April 96 00:05:34,920 --> 00:05:37,600 Speaker 2: and May so they expect the T plus one switch 97 00:05:37,960 --> 00:05:40,440 Speaker 2: to go smoothly. Now in a moment, we'll get more 98 00:05:40,480 --> 00:05:42,720 Speaker 2: on the developments in Gaza plus bring you up to 99 00:05:42,760 --> 00:05:45,080 Speaker 2: date with the latest in the UK election campaign. But 100 00:05:45,240 --> 00:05:48,120 Speaker 2: another story that caught our eye this morning is Tokyo 101 00:05:48,279 --> 00:05:51,680 Speaker 2: getting its own version of New York's high Line. Our 102 00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:54,520 Speaker 2: colleague Neaglass has been writing about this. This is a 103 00:05:54,520 --> 00:05:56,600 Speaker 2: plan to use some of the KK Line, known as 104 00:05:56,640 --> 00:06:01,000 Speaker 2: the Tokyo Expressway as an elevated pedesta and walkway. So 105 00:06:01,040 --> 00:06:03,640 Speaker 2: it's currently a roadway, it's about two kilometers long. The 106 00:06:03,640 --> 00:06:06,360 Speaker 2: section they're talking about changing, which borders the Ginza district 107 00:06:06,360 --> 00:06:08,200 Speaker 2: in the center of the capital. Now it'll be much 108 00:06:08,279 --> 00:06:10,800 Speaker 2: wider than the Kulivet in Paris or the Highland in 109 00:06:10,800 --> 00:06:13,600 Speaker 2: New York, so we'll include things like shops and other 110 00:06:13,680 --> 00:06:14,560 Speaker 2: green spaces. 111 00:06:14,600 --> 00:06:16,799 Speaker 1: The project set to partially. 112 00:06:16,360 --> 00:06:19,479 Speaker 2: Open in twenty twenty nine, with full completion aimed for 113 00:06:19,520 --> 00:06:21,920 Speaker 2: the twenty thirties or twenty forties. Could be a big 114 00:06:21,960 --> 00:06:25,080 Speaker 2: shift though for Japanese cities to move space that's been 115 00:06:25,200 --> 00:06:30,240 Speaker 2: allocated traditionally for cars towards other uses, and particularly pedestrian 116 00:06:30,320 --> 00:06:33,719 Speaker 2: uses as well, so it could be an interesting change 117 00:06:33,800 --> 00:06:36,679 Speaker 2: in Japanese cities as well. 118 00:06:36,839 --> 00:06:36,960 Speaker 7: Well. 119 00:06:37,040 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 2: Let's get more now on the latest in Gaza. After 120 00:06:39,680 --> 00:06:42,640 Speaker 2: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Ettaniaw, who called the airstrike on 121 00:06:42,680 --> 00:06:46,400 Speaker 2: a camphor displaced people in Rafa, a tragic mistake. This 122 00:06:46,520 --> 00:06:49,480 Speaker 2: is Three European countries are set to formally recognize Palestinian 123 00:06:49,520 --> 00:06:52,560 Speaker 2: statehood later today. Our Middle East breaking news editor Dana 124 00:06:52,560 --> 00:06:54,120 Speaker 2: Cras joins us now for more. 125 00:06:54,200 --> 00:06:55,040 Speaker 1: Dana, good morning. 126 00:06:55,400 --> 00:06:57,920 Speaker 2: Let's start with just the events on the Gaza border 127 00:06:57,920 --> 00:07:00,840 Speaker 2: crossing with Egypt and Egyptian soldier killed in a clash 128 00:07:01,120 --> 00:07:03,640 Speaker 2: with Israeli troops. What do we know about what happened 129 00:07:03,839 --> 00:07:06,320 Speaker 2: and what does it mean for regional tensions? 130 00:07:07,760 --> 00:07:10,800 Speaker 7: Good morning, So we know there was a shooting incident 131 00:07:10,880 --> 00:07:14,160 Speaker 7: on the border between Guza and Egypt, where Israeli forces 132 00:07:14,160 --> 00:07:16,920 Speaker 7: are present, and Egyptian soldier was killed. In Both Egypt 133 00:07:16,960 --> 00:07:19,960 Speaker 7: and Israel said they are investigating. Well, this is the 134 00:07:19,960 --> 00:07:22,920 Speaker 7: force of its kind. It seemed both parties are interested 135 00:07:22,920 --> 00:07:26,280 Speaker 7: in reducing tensions and not turn this incident into more 136 00:07:26,320 --> 00:07:28,840 Speaker 7: than what it is likely just an accident and not 137 00:07:29,240 --> 00:07:32,520 Speaker 7: deliberate exchange of fire. Now this is also significant because 138 00:07:32,520 --> 00:07:35,280 Speaker 7: Egypt was the first Arab country to sign a peace 139 00:07:35,320 --> 00:07:38,600 Speaker 7: deal with Israel, and keeping that border secure is of 140 00:07:38,600 --> 00:07:42,840 Speaker 7: course paramount to both countries. But given how close Israeli 141 00:07:42,880 --> 00:07:46,520 Speaker 7: forces are now to the Egypt border. There this might 142 00:07:46,720 --> 00:07:47,520 Speaker 7: just happen again. 143 00:07:49,400 --> 00:07:51,920 Speaker 2: Benjamin Natania, who is called the air strike on a 144 00:07:52,000 --> 00:07:54,280 Speaker 2: tent city in Rafa, where it's thought that forty five 145 00:07:54,320 --> 00:07:57,960 Speaker 2: people were killed, a tragic mistake, but it's drawn condemnation 146 00:07:58,120 --> 00:07:59,200 Speaker 2: too from elsewhere. 147 00:08:00,680 --> 00:08:04,840 Speaker 7: Indeed, yeah, we saw France uh Francis Macon condemning it, 148 00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:07,600 Speaker 7: saying that the images out of Rafah were heartbreaking. But 149 00:08:07,640 --> 00:08:10,000 Speaker 7: also we saw the White House saying it was actively 150 00:08:10,080 --> 00:08:12,600 Speaker 7: engaging with Israel and partners in the region to better 151 00:08:12,640 --> 00:08:17,480 Speaker 7: assess what had occurred. Now, images out of Gaza show 152 00:08:17,560 --> 00:08:20,400 Speaker 7: tents on fire and wreckage from the strike. But the 153 00:08:20,400 --> 00:08:24,160 Speaker 7: incident's incident is an example of why the international community, 154 00:08:24,160 --> 00:08:27,440 Speaker 7: including the US, were almost unanimously calling on Israel to 155 00:08:27,440 --> 00:08:30,840 Speaker 7: refrain from launching an off offensive Rapa or over a 156 00:08:30,840 --> 00:08:35,320 Speaker 7: million Palestinians are sheltering crammed in tiny spaces. Israel said 157 00:08:35,360 --> 00:08:38,640 Speaker 7: that it acted based on precise intelligence and intelligence and 158 00:08:38,720 --> 00:08:41,840 Speaker 7: killed two senior members of Hamas, and that it was 159 00:08:41,960 --> 00:08:46,160 Speaker 7: investigating what happened. And it is very tragic and evident 160 00:08:46,200 --> 00:08:48,680 Speaker 7: of that is what Benjamin Nataniel has said that you know, 161 00:08:48,720 --> 00:08:50,800 Speaker 7: it was a tragic mistake. 162 00:08:51,280 --> 00:08:52,840 Speaker 2: But of course, this is coming at a time where 163 00:08:52,840 --> 00:08:55,240 Speaker 2: we had the International Course of Justice ruling only a 164 00:08:55,280 --> 00:08:59,360 Speaker 2: few days ago designed to halt the operations that Israel's 165 00:08:59,360 --> 00:09:04,240 Speaker 2: conducting in Rafa. On the European diplomatic front, we have Ireland, 166 00:09:04,280 --> 00:09:07,920 Speaker 2: Spain and Norway said to formally recognize Palestinian stated today 167 00:09:08,320 --> 00:09:11,600 Speaker 2: e foreign ministers meeting in Brussels discuss the possibility of 168 00:09:11,640 --> 00:09:16,000 Speaker 2: sanctions on Israel if it doesn't comply with that ICJ order. 169 00:09:16,559 --> 00:09:19,719 Speaker 2: How significant a shift are we seeing in the European 170 00:09:19,800 --> 00:09:22,200 Speaker 2: position visa VI the Israel Hamas war. 171 00:09:23,720 --> 00:09:26,920 Speaker 7: It's a very strong signal from the you as we're 172 00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:29,920 Speaker 7: seeing it hardening its stands against Israel's action in the 173 00:09:30,000 --> 00:09:33,560 Speaker 7: war and trying to also pressure it to not only 174 00:09:33,760 --> 00:09:36,560 Speaker 7: end the war, but also start the conversation on a 175 00:09:36,559 --> 00:09:41,280 Speaker 7: two state solution, which Israel said or is completely against it. 176 00:09:41,559 --> 00:09:44,199 Speaker 7: And this is evident, of course in the recent decisions 177 00:09:44,640 --> 00:09:49,000 Speaker 7: from last week of some European countries recognizing a Palestinian statehood, 178 00:09:49,240 --> 00:09:52,040 Speaker 7: and we're seeing, like you said, Ireland, space Spain and 179 00:09:52,080 --> 00:09:55,240 Speaker 7: Norway are set to formally recognize that as well. So 180 00:09:55,320 --> 00:09:59,440 Speaker 7: they're going to discuss potential measures if Israel doesn't comply, 181 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:03,600 Speaker 7: but Israel has made it clear that it won't comply 182 00:10:03,800 --> 00:10:06,720 Speaker 7: with the with the ICG ruling of course, to hold 183 00:10:06,800 --> 00:10:07,920 Speaker 7: operations in Rafah. 184 00:10:08,920 --> 00:10:11,319 Speaker 2: Okay, Donna Krash, our Middle East Breaking News editor, thank 185 00:10:11,320 --> 00:10:13,840 Speaker 2: you very much for joining us with the latest on 186 00:10:14,120 --> 00:10:16,400 Speaker 2: the story and the developments there in the Middle East. 187 00:10:17,320 --> 00:10:19,959 Speaker 2: Now Here in the UK, the Prime Minister will promise 188 00:10:20,000 --> 00:10:23,720 Speaker 2: a tax cut for pensioners if his Conservative Party wins 189 00:10:23,720 --> 00:10:26,920 Speaker 2: the general election on the fourth of July. This is 190 00:10:27,080 --> 00:10:29,400 Speaker 2: labor is set to focus on business, with Rachel Reeves 191 00:10:29,440 --> 00:10:31,760 Speaker 2: due to make a major policy speech later on as well. 192 00:10:31,760 --> 00:10:34,800 Speaker 2: Our UK politics supporter James Wilcock joins us now for 193 00:10:34,880 --> 00:10:35,960 Speaker 2: more on all of this. 194 00:10:36,320 --> 00:10:37,079 Speaker 1: James, good morning. 195 00:10:37,120 --> 00:10:40,160 Speaker 2: What does this say about the battle lines being drawn 196 00:10:40,440 --> 00:10:43,400 Speaker 2: over the economy with these latest announcements? 197 00:10:43,640 --> 00:10:44,440 Speaker 1: Good morning, Stephen. 198 00:10:44,720 --> 00:10:47,720 Speaker 8: It says that both parties are trying to tell a 199 00:10:47,840 --> 00:10:50,160 Speaker 8: very different message, but where they see the economy going. 200 00:10:50,160 --> 00:10:52,040 Speaker 8: I mean, for she's soon at the Prime Minister. The 201 00:10:52,080 --> 00:10:55,240 Speaker 8: Conservative Party have turned the economy around, he'll say, and 202 00:10:55,400 --> 00:10:59,480 Speaker 8: therefore he can make giveaways and the pensioners where the 203 00:10:59,480 --> 00:11:02,040 Speaker 8: story of the past decade has been George Osbourne abolished 204 00:11:02,120 --> 00:11:03,880 Speaker 8: this kind of tax free allowance because it was seem 205 00:11:03,880 --> 00:11:06,600 Speaker 8: as a way of giving higher pensioners big tax breaks. 206 00:11:07,120 --> 00:11:10,160 Speaker 8: Now what has happened is since then, obviously inflation and 207 00:11:10,200 --> 00:11:12,600 Speaker 8: the Triple Lock have led to the basic state pension. 208 00:11:12,800 --> 00:11:16,160 Speaker 8: It comes in around eleven five hundred and forty pounds 209 00:11:16,200 --> 00:11:19,080 Speaker 8: a year. Now in a few years the personal tax 210 00:11:19,120 --> 00:11:21,840 Speaker 8: free allowance for everyone in the UK is currently at 211 00:11:21,840 --> 00:11:24,760 Speaker 8: twelve thousand and five seventy so you can see pensions 212 00:11:24,760 --> 00:11:26,480 Speaker 8: will start to get tax on their day income. So 213 00:11:26,559 --> 00:11:29,760 Speaker 8: Sunak saying, we have you know, after tonally coming around, 214 00:11:29,840 --> 00:11:32,280 Speaker 8: we can give back on that front, and so he 215 00:11:32,320 --> 00:11:34,160 Speaker 8: would introduce what he is being called the triple dot 216 00:11:34,200 --> 00:11:37,520 Speaker 8: plus or the quadruple lock, which should put pensioners on 217 00:11:37,600 --> 00:11:41,440 Speaker 8: their own special tax exemptions, taking them out of having 218 00:11:41,440 --> 00:11:44,960 Speaker 8: to pay income tax. Whereas for Rachel Reeves, the Shadow Chancellor, 219 00:11:45,000 --> 00:11:47,960 Speaker 8: is also speaking today, she says No completely rejected its 220 00:11:47,960 --> 00:11:50,120 Speaker 8: idea that the economists turned to corner. We're only in 221 00:11:50,160 --> 00:11:53,280 Speaker 8: this mess because of the Conservative Party and I am 222 00:11:53,320 --> 00:11:56,680 Speaker 8: being trusted by business leaders to return us to growth 223 00:11:56,960 --> 00:12:00,920 Speaker 8: and with economic stability. So there are very very key 224 00:12:01,280 --> 00:12:04,800 Speaker 8: dividing lines now on where both parties would take the 225 00:12:04,840 --> 00:12:06,199 Speaker 8: economy if they were to win. 226 00:12:06,559 --> 00:12:08,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, because I mean the existing pension tripper lock. This 227 00:12:09,040 --> 00:12:11,200 Speaker 2: is the guarantee the pension rises by the highest of 228 00:12:11,240 --> 00:12:14,160 Speaker 2: either earnings wages or inflation wages are two and a 229 00:12:14,200 --> 00:12:19,319 Speaker 2: half percent. This is something that is already a huge 230 00:12:19,480 --> 00:12:23,440 Speaker 2: item on the budget here for the government. How much 231 00:12:23,480 --> 00:12:26,080 Speaker 2: would the change that the Tories are proposing add to 232 00:12:26,120 --> 00:12:26,560 Speaker 2: that cost? 233 00:12:26,720 --> 00:12:28,040 Speaker 8: Well, I mean, I do want to pick up some 234 00:12:28,040 --> 00:12:29,840 Speaker 8: of the concerned of language it because they're calling this 235 00:12:29,920 --> 00:12:33,280 Speaker 8: a tax cuts now, because it's a threshold that's being frozen, 236 00:12:33,320 --> 00:12:36,160 Speaker 8: and then they would unfreeze it. It's technically not imposing 237 00:12:36,240 --> 00:12:39,920 Speaker 8: a tax rise. Is worth saying, a lot of these 238 00:12:39,960 --> 00:12:42,760 Speaker 8: spending plenders are really stacking up, Stephen. If you look 239 00:12:42,760 --> 00:12:45,120 Speaker 8: at the Conservatives, they are pledged to increase defense spending 240 00:12:45,160 --> 00:12:47,120 Speaker 8: two point five cent of GDP, that's about six billion 241 00:12:47,120 --> 00:12:50,079 Speaker 8: a year. They the National Service Plan they put out 242 00:12:50,120 --> 00:12:52,120 Speaker 8: over the weekend, that's another two point five billion, which 243 00:12:52,160 --> 00:12:54,280 Speaker 8: they say would come from leveling up funds that were 244 00:12:54,440 --> 00:12:56,880 Speaker 8: come after the EU, but still more spending. This would 245 00:12:56,880 --> 00:12:59,040 Speaker 8: be another two point four billion pounds. And all of 246 00:12:59,040 --> 00:13:02,720 Speaker 8: this in addition to the fact that Bloomberg Economics say 247 00:13:02,840 --> 00:13:06,000 Speaker 8: that because the government haven't updated their spending punch like budget, 248 00:13:06,080 --> 00:13:09,360 Speaker 8: they predict a forty five billion black hole and government 249 00:13:09,400 --> 00:13:13,040 Speaker 8: finances over the next five years. So it really is 250 00:13:13,280 --> 00:13:16,200 Speaker 8: a lot of big spending commitments by the Conservatives at 251 00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:21,000 Speaker 8: a point where they're already very very fiscally constrained, and 252 00:13:21,080 --> 00:13:25,240 Speaker 8: ones that Labor are quite eminently choosing not to make. 253 00:13:25,160 --> 00:13:26,000 Speaker 4: And are rejecting. 254 00:13:26,040 --> 00:13:28,560 Speaker 8: And I'm throwing a lot of political mud at the 255 00:13:28,559 --> 00:13:30,560 Speaker 8: Conservatives from making these kind of claims. 256 00:13:31,760 --> 00:13:33,800 Speaker 2: Well, let's turn to the Labor announcement then, So we've 257 00:13:33,800 --> 00:13:36,000 Speaker 2: had these one hundred and twenty business leader as signing 258 00:13:36,000 --> 00:13:39,360 Speaker 2: a letter supporting Labor on the day as you said 259 00:13:39,360 --> 00:13:43,280 Speaker 2: that Rachel Reeves is making this speech. How significant is 260 00:13:43,320 --> 00:13:44,359 Speaker 2: that support. 261 00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:44,840 Speaker 1: For the Labor Party. 262 00:13:44,880 --> 00:13:46,320 Speaker 8: I mean, you can tell them bringing the citizens from 263 00:13:46,320 --> 00:13:48,200 Speaker 8: both sides this morning, Stephen. I mean, look, you've got 264 00:13:48,200 --> 00:13:52,680 Speaker 8: to take these lists with a big pinch of salt. Obviously, 265 00:13:52,720 --> 00:13:55,080 Speaker 8: BUSI lyders want to support the party that is twenty 266 00:13:55,080 --> 00:13:59,840 Speaker 8: points ahead in the polls, and also give no reflection 267 00:14:00,040 --> 00:14:02,280 Speaker 8: of kind of what sectors. If these all these people 268 00:14:02,280 --> 00:14:05,160 Speaker 8: are from all sorts of sectors of business, how supportive 269 00:14:05,160 --> 00:14:07,520 Speaker 8: they will be how supported the sectors I as a whole. 270 00:14:07,960 --> 00:14:11,640 Speaker 8: Having said all of that, you couldn't imagine a list 271 00:14:11,720 --> 00:14:14,520 Speaker 8: like this being put out in twenty nineteen for Jeremy Corbyn. 272 00:14:15,120 --> 00:14:17,079 Speaker 8: It mimics a lot of sort of the David Cameron 273 00:14:17,160 --> 00:14:20,280 Speaker 8: kind of pro business policies. It really is a sign 274 00:14:20,320 --> 00:14:23,080 Speaker 8: of how the amount of support racial Research chalistanst has 275 00:14:23,080 --> 00:14:26,200 Speaker 8: won from business leaders across the UK and a sign 276 00:14:26,200 --> 00:14:28,880 Speaker 8: of where the party has moved on. Notably no foots 277 00:14:28,960 --> 00:14:31,960 Speaker 8: one hundred CEOs in there. But they normally don't choose 278 00:14:31,960 --> 00:14:34,920 Speaker 8: any sort of major sides in any election anyway, so 279 00:14:35,240 --> 00:14:38,000 Speaker 8: Labor will trumpet this as a sign of they have 280 00:14:38,080 --> 00:14:41,480 Speaker 8: won the trust of the business community and therefore can 281 00:14:41,520 --> 00:14:43,520 Speaker 8: be trusted to bring stability to the economy and bring 282 00:14:43,560 --> 00:14:47,560 Speaker 8: investment back to Britain. Is an electionary slogan, Stephen, There's 283 00:14:47,560 --> 00:14:50,080 Speaker 8: no getting around that. But it is one that a 284 00:14:50,160 --> 00:14:52,680 Speaker 8: previous Labor Party could not have achieved and is worth 285 00:14:52,720 --> 00:14:53,320 Speaker 8: noting that. 286 00:14:54,120 --> 00:14:57,120 Speaker 2: Okay, James, we're coming up to towards towards the end 287 00:14:57,120 --> 00:14:58,320 Speaker 2: of the first week of the campaign. 288 00:14:58,320 --> 00:15:01,160 Speaker 1: Believe it or not, how are things going so far? 289 00:15:02,280 --> 00:15:05,560 Speaker 8: So far, very little has changed in the pulse and 290 00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:07,240 Speaker 8: we're keeping a close eye on them. Here a Bloomberg 291 00:15:07,320 --> 00:15:08,680 Speaker 8: to see where things would shift. 292 00:15:09,120 --> 00:15:09,400 Speaker 1: Now. 293 00:15:09,920 --> 00:15:12,000 Speaker 8: Richie Sunac, as we've sort of noted, is taking a 294 00:15:12,000 --> 00:15:15,640 Speaker 8: policy of trying to please much older voters, which seems 295 00:15:15,680 --> 00:15:17,640 Speaker 8: to suggest he seems to be very worried about the 296 00:15:17,640 --> 00:15:22,720 Speaker 8: threat from the Reform UK Party and on the right. Meanwhile, Labor, 297 00:15:22,880 --> 00:15:25,440 Speaker 8: you've also spotted them campaigning in Scotland quite a lot, 298 00:15:25,440 --> 00:15:27,160 Speaker 8: which always quite inesting in terms of like they're trying 299 00:15:27,160 --> 00:15:29,120 Speaker 8: to take seats away from the SMP A name for 300 00:15:29,160 --> 00:15:32,360 Speaker 8: this kind of centrist economics message. We'll see where that 301 00:15:32,400 --> 00:15:34,840 Speaker 8: develops going forward. I mean Bloomberg that's working our political editor. 302 00:15:35,720 --> 00:15:38,520 Speaker 8: He is saying that for some conservative campaigns, seems to 303 00:15:38,560 --> 00:15:42,040 Speaker 8: be trying to get Reform voters home and then maybe 304 00:15:42,120 --> 00:15:44,520 Speaker 8: doing a pivot in coming weeks. The other side of 305 00:15:44,520 --> 00:15:45,880 Speaker 8: it we keep watching out for is any kind of 306 00:15:45,880 --> 00:15:50,040 Speaker 8: big election TV debates and the manifestos, these crucial manifestors, well, 307 00:15:50,040 --> 00:15:52,880 Speaker 8: the parties really can't hold anything back once those are published. 308 00:15:53,080 --> 00:15:55,440 Speaker 8: We'll be expecting those in sort of the coming week Stephens. 309 00:15:55,480 --> 00:15:58,480 Speaker 8: So they are when we really will start to get 310 00:15:58,560 --> 00:16:03,560 Speaker 8: serious costings as opposed the big picture attention grabbing announcements. 311 00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:06,880 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, your morning brief on the 312 00:16:06,920 --> 00:16:10,000 Speaker 2: stories making news from London to Wall Street and beyond. 313 00:16:10,240 --> 00:16:14,240 Speaker 9: Look for us on your podcast feed every morning, on Apple, Spotify, 314 00:16:14,320 --> 00:16:16,280 Speaker 9: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 315 00:16:16,320 --> 00:16:19,320 Speaker 2: You can also listen live each morning on London Dab Radio, 316 00:16:19,400 --> 00:16:22,080 Speaker 2: the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. 317 00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:24,880 Speaker 9: Our flagship New York station, is also available on your 318 00:16:24,920 --> 00:16:29,640 Speaker 9: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 319 00:16:29,880 --> 00:16:31,160 Speaker 9: I'm Caroline Hipka and. 320 00:16:31,120 --> 00:16:31,920 Speaker 1: I'm Stephen Carroll. 321 00:16:32,000 --> 00:16:34,360 Speaker 2: Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you 322 00:16:34,400 --> 00:16:37,040 Speaker 2: need to start your day right here on Bloomberg day 323 00:16:37,080 --> 00:16:40,480 Speaker 2: Break Europe